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Mideast Turmoil and the Push For Clean Energy

Hugh Pickens writes writes "Adam Werbach writes that in July 2008 oil prices reached $147 a barrel and suddenly energy prices and alternative energy was on everyone's agenda but soon oil prices fell as the economy faltered and people moved on to the more immediate concerns of keeping their jobs and businesses alive. Now with the possibility looming of $200 a barrel oil, the US has a robust field of clean energy technologies that are slowly coming online, from thinfilm solar to fuel cells to cellulosic ethanol — unlike 2008, when it seemed like we were starting our innovation engine from a cold start. 'In the last three years, as oil prices have softened, we've seen stumbles as companies like Applied Materials pulled back from the clean energy space because of operational and market conditions,' writes Werbach. '2012 will be a rich year for equity capitalizations, giving energy entrepreneurs the capital they need to build infrastructure. Even with the draconian austerity measures that are coming into effect across the country, this is a second opportunity for energy innovation.'"

314 comments

  1. Re:slashdot = stagnated by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Eliza's cooter has stagnated.

  2. Nothing new here by quarkie68 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    In our world there are innovators and there are also people that will vow to re-use existing suboptimal solutions with all their pros and cons until it is absolutely necessary to adopt something else. Unfortunately, the second type is the majority, even if it is completely obvious that the dependency of the West on the Middle East is one of its largest weaknesses. I wonder how many slaps does it take for some people to wake up from their deep oily sleep.

    1. Re:Nothing new here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Unfortunately, the second type is the majority,"

      Wrong. "Unfortunately, the second type are the ones with all the money and the desire to keep it."

    2. Re:Nothing new here by quarkie68 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I would agree with you but... I don't. The oil monopoly is supported by some large car driving populations. For most of this folk, it is really a big thing to get on the bike and/or use fuel efficient cars or rationalize the use of the car. This is why the US started considering fuel efficient cars only recently. If you compare the average GM/Ford/whatever gas guzzler they used to chunk out of their production lines (which was cheap for the average Joe to buy) to the average European car there was no comparison. Extrapolate this behavior to the growing middle class of India and China and you get the idea. Power is given to monopolies by people, it does not come by itself. In the absence of realizing the consequences, the majority of the people will use the more readily available and cheapest solution. And that I am afraid is petrol :-( . Not necessarily because they do not have the extra money to pay for an alternative. But because they are sold to the idea of horse power, acceleration, when the most they do on their motorway is 30-40 miles an hour just before the rush hour! :-)

    3. Re:Nothing new here by khallow · · Score: 1, Insightful

      In our world there are innovators and there are also people that will vow to re-use existing suboptimal solutions with all their pros and cons until it is absolutely necessary to adopt something else. Unfortunately, the second type is the majority, even if it is completely obvious that the dependency of the West on the Middle East is one of its largest weaknesses. I wonder how many slaps does it take for some people to wake up from their deep oily sleep. So what's the problem? You just spelled out the optimal solution. It doesn't take six billion people to innovate a replacement for petroleum-based transportation so there's proper division of labor. And society isn't going to do better than to stick with what works, until something comes along that works better (which incidentally hasn't happened yet with transportation).

      Finally, what's wrong with giving good business to the Middle East? It helps everyone.

      It just seems to me that you haven't really compared the status quo to the alternatives. It's the traditional conceit to assume that because the present scheme has flaws, then some alternative is better. My view is that the flaws and benefits of the alternatives to our fossil fuel burning haven't been seriously evaluated.

    4. Re:Nothing new here by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Sorry, I really messed up my last reply with a single typo. Let's try this again.

      In our world there are innovators and there are also people that will vow to re-use existing suboptimal solutions with all their pros and cons until it is absolutely necessary to adopt something else. Unfortunately, the second type is the majority, even if it is completely obvious that the dependency of the West on the Middle East is one of its largest weaknesses. I wonder how many slaps does it take for some people to wake up from their deep oily sleep.

      So what's the problem? You just spelled out the optimal solution. It doesn't take six billion people to innovate a replacement for petroleum-based transportation so there's proper division of labor. And society isn't going to do better than to stick with what works, until something comes along that works better (which incidentally hasn't happened yet with transportation).

      Finally, what's wrong with giving good business to the Middle East? It helps everyone.

      It just seems to me that you haven't really compared the status quo to the alternatives. It's the traditional conceit to assume that because the present scheme has flaws, then some alternative is better. My view is that the flaws and benefits of the alternatives to our fossil fuel burning haven't been seriously evaluated.

    5. Re:Nothing new here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      hey are sold to the idea of horse power, acceleration,

      So why don't they switch to an electric engine ? the electric engine is superior the the ICE in every way.

    6. Re:Nothing new here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But the energy storage isn't.

    7. Re:Nothing new here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, the US doesn't depend on mideast oil. We get most of our oil from Canada and Venezuela.

    8. Re:Nothing new here by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

      Nor the price. The electric engine is cheap, but the batteries can cost more than the rest of the car put together. A lot more.

    9. Re:Nothing new here by iserlohn · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Finally, what's wrong with giving good business to the Middle East? It helps everyone.

      That is a very naive view of trade. Take for example the plight of the citizens of Nauru. Although different in scale, it parallels the situation we have in the Middle East.

      The Republic of Nauru is a small island nation in the Pacific which had an economy that was based almost solely on phosphate mining which was plentiful once, but not any more. In the beginning, most of the money generate from this industry went to the Australian interests who were exploiting the mines, then gradually the islanders wised up and negotiated a better deal. This money was saved up in a trust fund, but ultimately corruption set in and the trust fund lost most of its value. At the same time, mining had stopped on the island as the phosphate ran out. Now the unemployment rate is near 90% the government failed in implementing reforms to encourage a diverse economy and the establishment of alternative industries.

      Trade is not always good, and in some case (such as what's happening in the middle east), it is very exploitive to the people of the lands on which we are sucking the resources from. Many times, it only benefits a few at the top and the money never trickles down to the working population. That frequently causes political instability as the leaders has the resources from the mineral or oil wealth to establish an authoritarian regime. It often causes over-dependency on the export of the natural resources within the state. Once the resources are depleted, what results is a failed state.

    10. Re:Nothing new here by iserlohn · · Score: 2

      The oil markets are global. A demand and supply of oil in any one country will affect the spot price of oil around the world.

    11. Re:Nothing new here by quarkie68 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      There is nothing wrong with doing business in the middle east. What is wrong is to rely so much on the Middle East. This creates contention and undesirable situations, especially for Middle East folk. The very fact that most of them export their resources to oil feed the rest of the world, when very little money returns to them is indicative of most of the geopolitical problems that rose, are rising and will rise in the area.

      Oil is not the only example. Manufacturing and outsourcing is another. If only 20% of the Asian manufacturers of integrated circuit/assembly lines decided to close tomorrow for whatever reason, the implications for the US and the rest of the electronic consumer's world would be at least worrying and at most catastrophic for the market.

      I believe this is a general trend of globalization, which is mainly driven by us, because we want the cheapest and then someone has to produce that cheapest product by pushing outsourcing to the point where we rely on few places. Personally, if I knew that a product is REALLY only made in the US/UK/Europe etc, I would buy it, even if it was more expensive. Not because I dislike Asia or whatever distant part of the world, but because I want with my behavior to enforce resilience, the very opposite of absolute reliance.
      Do you really think that the world has resilience today in terms of energy?

    12. Re:Nothing new here by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Exactly : currently moving away from oil is prevented, not by of evil corporations conspiring against meddling kids, not (much) by middle eastern theocratic lunatic dictators, not even by the American version of same.

      It's prevented by actual, honest-to-God, technical issues.

      One thing you never hear greens suggest is ... fixing the problems. It's just so much easier to declare a problem solved and accuse everyone of conspiracies. To depict yourself the victim of whatever is the unpopular enemy "du jour" (is it still BP these days ?). As to whether it gets anyone anywhere ... But where's the fun for "green" parties saying the obvious : we're waiting for decent (= cheap + efficient) energy storage technology. Let's please not waste money or resources on actually becoming green until we ... know HOW. No, not even on co2 reduction (because we won't get it down until we have an actual alternative. Moving co2 production to china does exactly zilch for the environment, except paying for Al Gore's army of cronies and fleet of 30 gallons-a-mile cars)

      But wasting taxpayer's money on fool's errands, which then proceed to fail, and then blame the, oh, local bank that demands it's dividends. Or a president. Or congress. Or an oil company that fucked up an installation. Or ... that's like fighting the man, man ! That's so cool.

    13. Re:Nothing new here by poetmatt · · Score: 0

      It doesn't matter about where oil prices go, because if we continue to have horrifically bad patent law, patents will still be used to stifle innovation and new markets, including alternative energy solutions.

    14. Re:Nothing new here by kyle5t · · Score: 1

      This is referred to as the resource curse.

    15. Re:Nothing new here by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      What would work better for transportation, is to reduce the need to transport anything...
      How many people could work from home?
      How many people could live closer to where they work?
      How many businesses could move out of business districts and into areas where their employees can actually afford to live?

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
    16. Re:Nothing new here by tomhath · · Score: 2

      In our world there are innovators and there are also people that will vow to re-use existing suboptimal solutions with all their pros and cons until it is absolutely necessary to adopt something else.

      The headline of this story illustrates your point perfectly. High oil prices should push us to seek other, less expensive sources of energy. But the current administration is fixated on solar and wind. They can't see past those suboptimal "clean" sources to the other alternatives available to us (*cough* nuclear *cough*).

      .

    17. Re:Nothing new here by tmosley · · Score: 1

      It sounds to me like the government took control of the resources instead of allowing individual landowners to sell thier mineral rights. The government then became corrupted by all the funds. The US had PLENTY of resources, and never really had problems, because we respected individual property rights (but not communal property rights, so don't even try to bring up the "oh we killed the indians" meme). Those who homesteaded the land got the mineral rights, sold them, were compensated, and invested that money in infrastructure and capital projects that have provided dividends right up to modern day. If the Nauru government had stayed out of it, the same thing would have happened there. This is the peril of communism, and has been repeated in many resource rich countries.

    18. Re:Nothing new here by khallow · · Score: 2

      That is a very naive view of trade. Take for example the plight of the citizens of Nauru. Although different in scale, it parallels the situation we have in the Middle East.

      That changed in the 70s. The Middle East has taken charge of its resources and its destiny. I won't take the blame for any resulting failed states. My view is that the revolutions of 2010-2011 will mark a historical turning point for the Middle East. Oil revenue will have contributed indirectly to this state of affairs.

    19. Re:Nothing new here by __aaqvdr516 · · Score: 1

      I work in the power industry and I keep a pretty close eye on this. There are a number of nuclear plants that are coming.

      This link lists the currently planned plants for nuclear alone. (see the .xls on the right)
      http://www.nei.org/resourcesandstats/documentlibrary/newplants/graphicsandcharts/newnuclearplantstatus/

      This link discusses the progress of the NRC to implement nuclear options.
      http://www.nei.org/keyissues/newnuclearplants/

    20. Re:Nothing new here by houstonbofh · · Score: 2

      Do you really think that the world has resilience today in terms of energy?

      Yes. There are lots of sources for chemical energy that we do not use because of cost. That is being fixed... Painfully. Also, there are many sources of oil not being used because of cost and political will. As the cost goes up, that political will has to change. And this is just chemical energy, which is still the best source for transportation. Electrical energy is really only held back by political will. There are safe, low polluting reactors now, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_reactor#Future_and_developing_technologies but the public is afraid of Chernobyl... But as costs go up, that too will change.

    21. Re:Nothing new here by houstonbofh · · Score: 1

      What would work better for transportation, is to reduce the need to transport anything... How many people could work from home? How many people could live closer to where they work? How many businesses could move out of business districts and into areas where their employees can actually afford to live?

      Sure, that is easy for you to say in your mother's basement. :) But for those of us that actually want to go out, or to travel, or to not get scurvy in northern winters, or to own the cheapest (any product from china) that money can buy, we need transportation.

    22. Re:Nothing new here by DaveGod · · Score: 1

      In our world there are innovators and there are also people that will vow to re-use existing theoretically suboptimal but working, viable solutions with all their known pros and cons until it is absolutely necessary to take the leap of faith and adopt something else. Unfortunately, the second type is the majority, even if it is completely obvious that the dependency of the West on the Middle East is one of its largest weaknesses. I wonder how many slaps does it take for some people to reach the point where the leap of faith is considered the more viable proposition than staying the course.

      FTFY?

      While I agree with your overall direction, there seemed to be an implicit assumption that we're stuck to oil due to Luddites. There are absolutely valid reasons why we're stuck to oil and we're not going to get beyond it until they can be resolved, likely through a combination of oil becoming less and alternatives becoming more viable.

      All of the possibilities for moving away from oil carry their own risks, and while I think we both believe we need to move much more quickly, everybody has their own assessment of the risks, everybody has their own ideas on the part they want to play and it's easy for us to make demands when (naturally) we see so many opportunities from someone else sinking a few billion into R&D.

      Car analogy: when we don't have a map, none of the exits are signposted and even the destination is just a vague idea then it's a little boorish to be insulting the driver for our not having arrived yet.

    23. Re:Nothing new here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "At the same time, mining had stopped on the island as the phosphate ran out. Now the unemployment rate is near 90% the government failed in implementing reforms to encourage a diverse economy and the establishment of alternative industries."

      It's worse than that. The mining left large parts of the island as a craggy limestone wasteland unsuitable for agriculture because the soil is gone. They basically strip-mined the place for cash, and to top it off, as you mention, the people in charge of the money from the mining were corrupt. This is a special level of failure, but it demonstrates what happens when you have an economy based almost entirely on a non-renewable resource, and then the resource runs out. The same thing will happen to many oil-rich Middle Eastern countries -- it will be a huge, lucrative party for the next few decades, and we in the industrialized world will be paying the tab to get access to the resource. Then, unless they've invested in changes to diversify the economy, the countries will economically collapse. It could be argued that is what is happening already due to politics -- that an economy where a tiny fraction of the population gets billions of dollars to build extravagant palaces and the majority of the population gets minimum wage isn't politically sustainable, even if the people in power invest heavily in a military-security industry that is hopefully (for the leaders) willing to shoot its own people when the people get sufficiently pissed off.

      I mean, look at the situation in Saudi Arabia. Worried about their collective heads, the government just announced a $37 billion social program. Sounds generous, doesn't it? But Saudi Arabia pumps an average of 9.7 million barrels a day or so. Current costs of production are estimated at a few dollars a barrel. So at today's prices that's about 9.7 million barrels * $100/barrel * 365 days/year = about $354 billion a year from oil revenues. In a country with a population of only ~25 million, that's about $14000 of revenue each, even if they do nothing but pump oil from the country. What the government is offering as a bribe in an attempt to keep the population content is a pittance (~$1480/person) compared to the amount of money the royal family has been hoarding for decades. Granted, a government has plenty of expenses too, but when you look at what the general population of Saudi Arabia has gotten for all the money that has flowed into that country over the years, it's a pretty bad deal. They, like many of the authoritarian regimes in the Middle East, are sitting on a political powder keg, and having plenty of unevenly-distributed oil revenue just makes the situation worse.

      About the only consolation for countries in the Middle East that haven't invested oil revenue into broad diversification of their economies is that we in the industrialized world might be worse off than they are as cheap energy supplies dwindle. The way it plays out will depend on our investment in energy alternatives and efficiency.

    24. Re:Nothing new here by the_humeister · · Score: 1

      Weren't these guys the same ones that funded the Da Vinci musical? I think they deserve what they got.

    25. Re:Nothing new here by CadDr2 · · Score: 1

      I believe this is a general trend of globalization, which is mainly driven by us, because we want the cheapest and then someone has to produce that cheapest product by pushing outsourcing to the point where we rely on few places. Personally, if I knew that a product is REALLY only made in the US/UK/Europe etc, I would buy it, even if it was more expensive. Not because I dislike Asia or whatever distant part of the world, but because I want with my behavior to enforce resilience, the very opposite of absolute reliance.

      I agree. What I don't understand is how most of these high-tech manufactures use automated equipment now...so why is it offshored, where's the savings? I thought it was labor savings as the push for lower cost. Isn't it actually more expensive to manufacture farther away from your customer? Is it our antiquated accounting philosophy has hidden this cost by favoring standard costing methods?

    26. Re:Nothing new here by CadDr2 · · Score: 1

      Sure, that is easy for you to say in your mother's basement. :) But for those of us that actually want to go out, or to travel, or to not get scurvy in northern winters, or to own the cheapest (any product from china) that money can buy, we need transportation.

      Our technology has progressed enough that we can make most things locally if we really wanted to. Our culture in North America is not one of continuous improvement so we've stagnated and found the easy way out - offshore to cultures that want to improve.

    27. Re:Nothing new here by petermgreen · · Score: 3, Interesting

      the electric engine is superior the the ICE in every way.

      The engine itself may be but the complete power system including the energy store isn't. With an ICE a cheap and lightweight fuel tank can take you you hundreds of miles. With an electric the batteries are expensive, bulky, heavy and still give a far worse range then a conventional fuel tank.

      For example lets compare the lotus elise and the tesla roadster (I think this is a reasonable comparison as the roadster is basically an electric elise).

      pros of the roadster:
      a bit faster in the straight (according to top gear, if you have better sources that contradict this please post them)
      cheaper to run

      pros of the elise:
      corners a bit better (according to top gear, if you have better sources that contradict this please post them)
      longer range
      far lower pricetag (according to wikipedia an elise is arround £30K while a roadster is arround £90K).

      There are other cheaper electric cars but I dunno which non-electrics they are most comparable to so it's difficult to see how much more expensive they are. I'm sure I also heared somewhere that they were being sold at a loss to help the manufacturers gain experiance with electric technology for when it does become affordable.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    28. Re:Nothing new here by enormouspenis · · Score: 0

      That was the stupidest post I have ever read. It started out promising but the point of view was exploited and expanded on by other anti-capitalists and isolationists. Soon the poster tried to salvage his personal position by mentioning that Nauru failed by not encouraging a diverse economy--even using popular buzzwords--, but the corruption of arrogance set in and he failed to make anything but vague charges of imperialist lackey while maintaining his hipper and smarter than everyone attitude; never producing an opinion of his own. Not all commenting is good. In many cases, the commenters suck while using the opinions of others while never actually studying history or economics. Often this attitude benefits only the arrogant and condescending while leaving little room for the average person. Once the issue is gone, the arrogant, clueless and condescending must move on and forget the actual reality: A failed meme.

      --
      "I didn't spend six years in Evil Medical School to be called 'Mr.Evil,' thank you very much!"
    29. Re:Nothing new here by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      No.. our industry has been so regulated and people demand so much money for simple tasks, that it's cheaper to get things from other cultures.

      It's not so much a matter of continuous improvement, it's a matter of affordability. I can generally buy 3 china made products that last 40% of the time one American made product might last for less costs then one home grown equivalent.

    30. Re:Nothing new here by panda+cakes · · Score: 0

      Some European "fuel-efficient" cars would be a hazard in the US trying to merge into 80mph traffic off an uphill ramp. Driving a smaller underpowered car to save fuel does not work for the most of the US - people have big families, 50 mile commutes, broken roads, snow, animals jumping on the road etc etc. The only sensible fuel-saving measure from Europe you could apply in the US is diesel but we won't get those in the US because of the environmental regulations.

    31. Re:Nothing new here by budgenator · · Score: 1

      No need to worry, Chris Huhne says you'll have plenty of electricity as long as the wind is blowing, so you'll be able to keep your cars charged.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    32. Re:Nothing new here by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I'm not completely sure either, but one mundane thing that people can do much more easily then machines is orientate part into the carriers for the machine, which to me would be the most plausable answer. I saw a video of a robot folding towels from a jumbled pile like they came out of the drier, while impressive that the machine could do it at all, it was painfully slow; I doubt the value of the work would be enough to cover the machines depreciation and energy costs. This is really the same as what was happening in the US's slave states just before the civil war, Slavery really was dieing due to economic pressures. Many slave owner would hire Irish day laborers to do really dangerous work because they were much cheaper and easier to replace than the slaves.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    33. Re:Nothing new here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why is the parent post marked insightful?

      In the beginning, most of the money generate from this industry went to the Australian interests who were exploiting the mines

      That is not trade, that is exploitation of a subject people.

      This money was saved up in a trust fund, but ultimately corruption set in and the trust fund lost most of its value.

      Corruption is not trade.

      Now the unemployment rate is near 90%

      And what was the unemployment rate before the trade in phosphate? Before the mining there was no industry at all.

      the government failed in implementing reforms

      Again, this has nothing to do with trade as such. It has to do with corruption.

      Trade is: I make widgets and you make whatchamacallits. I (for whatever reasons) am really good at making widgets and make more than I need for myself. You make more whatchamacallits than you need. We trade widgets for whatchamacallits.

      The specialization and trade means we are both better off. By making just widgets and trading for whatchamacallits, I end up with more of both widgets and whatchamacallits for myself than if I didn’t trade and tried to make both by myself. And so do you.

      Trade is not the same thing as resource exploitation. Trade is not the same thing as manipulating locals to take their resources at below fair value.

    34. Re:Nothing new here by toastar · · Score: 1

      The oil markets are global. A demand and supply of oil in any one country will affect the spot price of oil around the world.

      This is why we should switch to nat gas

    35. Re:Nothing new here by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      While I agree we should be moving towards non-fossil fuel energy sources I suggest taking a look at the chart below.

      http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/54/LLNL_US_Energy_Flow_2009.png

      As can be seen from that chart in the USA only a tiny amount of oil goes to electricty generation (I believe the situation is similar here in europe but since this is a US site I used a US example). Over half of oil used in the US goes to transportation (with another large chunk going to insturial uses). Therefore nuclear power stations generating electricty won't directly do anything about the oil problem they will just displace natural gas and/or coal generation. Solving the oil problem will require at least one of the follwing

      1: massive develpment of fischer tropsh and similar processes that can turn other energy sources into liquid fuel
      2: a massive switch to electric transportation (not just cars but lorries, trains etc as well)
      3: a massive reduction in the ammount of transportation services used (both of people and goods)

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    36. Re:Nothing new here by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      You post is completely non sequitur.

      The US is a big country with a relatively low population density which does not depend on the export of natural resources on the functioning of its economy. Your homesteading argument makes no sense as mineral right is only a extremely small portion of the economy in the US. Furthermore, the government of Nauru did not directly invest the proceeds that it held on behalf of its people. It was held in a trust fund with a private trustees. This is the preferred way of handling such matters, as one would imagine that the resources mined from public land would benefit the entire population. If the money was given back to the people, it's unlikely they would of invested the majority of it. Look at the tax cut checks that Bush sent out, how many people took that money and invested it verses the number of people that went out and spent it at Wal-Mart?

    37. Re:Nothing new here by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      QWERTYUIOP
      ASDFGHJKL
      ZXCVBNM

      Thanks for proving that given enough monkeys, a slashdot post will result. Come collect your banana.

    38. Re:Nothing new here by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      Resource exploitation on a grand scale is instrumented by trade (but, of course, not all trade is resource exploitation).

      What do you think the Nauru did with all that phosphate? Dinner?

    39. Re:Nothing new here by russotto · · Score: 1

      The link below discusses the possibility of any of those nuclear plants going operational in the forseeable future:

    40. Re:Nothing new here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps you failed geology in school. Just proven coal, oil and natural gas reserves at present here in the USA and Canada equal more than the rest of the world combined.... As for the being on the bleeding edge of science and technology I will respectfully take the tried and proven systems as they are now. If you want to drive your electric cart go right ahead. Just leave the rest of us alone.

      James Douglass
      Garden City, Kansas

  3. Thorium Reactors by NFN_NLN · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Why is the west still concentrating on solar and wind power while the Chinese are already into Thorium reactors?

    The US oil companies can stall all they want while they squeeze as much profit as they can out of fossil fuels.. but the Chinese aren't going to wait around.

    1. Re:Thorium Reactors by NFN_NLN · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Sorry, forgot to include this:

      Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, of the British Telegraph daily, suggests that "Obama could kill fossil fuels overnight with a nuclear dash for thorium," and could put "an end to our dependence on fossil fuels within three to five years."[14]

      The Thorium Energy Alliance (TEA), an educational advocacy organization, emphasizes that "there is enough thorium in the United States alone to power the country at its current energy level for over 1,000 years."

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thorium#Thorium_as_a_nuclear_fuel

    2. Re:Thorium Reactors by IHateEverybody · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A lot of it is due to residual fear of any kind of nuclear energy and chronic NIMBYism. Everybody wants cheap energy but no one wants a power plant anywhere near their home. Most people have no idea when thorium is or of its benefits over traditional nuclear energy. This runs into a basic human fear of change. Oil has worked for America for a hundred years and Americans have grown emotionally attached to their gas guzzlers and have rewarded oil companies with the kind of wealth and political influence that make them a force in Washington.

      Add a fundamental lack of will and rampant political cowardice and you have a formula for Chinese domination of the "green" industries of the future.

      --
      Does this .sig make my butt look big?
    3. Re:Thorium Reactors by MrQuacker · · Score: 1
      I love the fact we have a giant pit out west with over 10000 tons of processed Thorium ore. Stuff that has been mined, concentrated, and then just dumped in a pit.

      With minimal processing we'd have thousands of tons of thorium pure enough to use in reactors.

    4. Re:Thorium Reactors by khallow · · Score: 1

      Why is the west still concentrating on solar and wind power while the Chinese are already into Thorium reactors?

      I imagine because the payback is obvious. Thorium is a long way from becoming a profitable technology. I imagine fusion research is also killing funding into thorium. After all, if you have a working fusion reactor then why deal with any sort of fission power?

    5. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes little grasshopper, but what you fail to understand is that large corporations like the oil companies run the US, and the government (bought and paid for by large corporations), are in the business of 1. listening to those who pay them (the corporations), and 2. keeping the corporations in business. Its an act of keeping what has been alive, at the expense of killing off what is new. Peak oil has passed, and environmental issues aside, oil will keep getting more expensive, both to produce, and to consume. Oil shale and oil sand are more monetarily expensive, environmentally expensive, energy intensive and labor intensive to produce than conventional oil. In Saudi Arabia, all you had to do is punch a hole in the ground, and out comes clean, sweet (meaning no hydrogen sulphide), and ready for shipment and refining (mostly catalytic cracking and fractional distilation) in the US. With alternative energy, you have to dig it out of the ground, and then likely finish cooking it. Geology usually does the job, but with oil shale and oil sand, its not quite oil yet, its bitumen. You have to finish cooking it. This involves heating (usually using natural gas), adding natural gas as a chemical product, and adding coke (not the drink, but powdered carbon made from coal) in a unit called a coker. The natural gas and coke mix with the hot bitumen to become oil. Excess sulphur is then removed from the proto-oil, and then its refined like regular oil. So you first dig, then transport, then cook, then refine, instead of drill, refine, transport. It costs more, because you have to do more, and the natural gas used for heat when cooking make it a double-whammy greenhouse gas emitter. Thorium reactors in the US could heavily offset the price of oil (electricity could be used for both heat and transportation, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and the price of oil and food (since people aren't trying to turn so much food into fuel), and also lower transportation costs. The oil lobby will have none of it. No thorium reactors! The next one who says anything about thorium reactors gets the China Syndrome shoved down their throats (and some muttering about Un-American, and 'we will Julian Assange them').

    6. Re:Thorium Reactors by NFN_NLN · · Score: 1

      1. The solution isn't more energy usage. The solution is less energy usage, period.

      Less energy usage...forget that.

      Mass interstellar travel, holodecks and replicators all require large amounts of energy. The rest of you can live like 20th century Hutterites, but I'll take technological advancement any day. We need to continue moving ahead on the Kardashev scale until we have holodeck porn... after that we can stop learning for all I care.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kardashev_scale

    7. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      probally cant , more than likely the chinese have bought the land and mineral rights allready.

    8. Re:Thorium Reactors by Americium · · Score: 1

      The US oil companies sell what? Heating oil and gasoline for cars, how does a Thorium reactor power Chinese automobiles?

      Natural gas is much much cheaper than nuclear, even solar is cheaper. China just has assloads of cash and a lack of energy, so they are building 1 coal power plant per week, plus nuclear, plus solar, plus hydro, and they still can't keep up. Check the Uranium prices, they already went up 10 fold in the last decade, whereas solar is the exact opposite, it keeps getting cheaper.

      I'm all for putting nuclear reactors in cargo ships, but it's too expensive for electricity. I guess your argument is that we waste even more money building alternative energy projects that have no economic benefit, but actually make everyone poorer. You do know we already have insanely high subsidies for alternative energy projects.

      What would work the best is to increase the tax 10fold on gasoline and natural gas, that would spur innovation in alternative energy, and also leave us broke. The market is working just fine, there are hybrids and electric cars and alternative fuels already being sold. The problem is that they are expensive and often less reliable/powerful/useable than the fossil fuel alternatives. Just give it a couple more years, and the market will pick the best new technology..... that is unless we have your way, where the government gets to pick the winners and losers, and siphons untold billions away from investment by interfering in the market.

      That's not to say the government can't help, it could give some patents to the public, like the NiMH battery patent. Those batteries effectively double the range of electric cars, but like you said, here the oil companies are colluding to keep you stuck on oil. Of course it's never talked about, even tho this could make a huge positive impact immediately without costing the taxpayer a penny. Instead the government does as you suggest, pour billions into battery research in hopes to maybe create a battery 75% as good as the one already patented....utter bullshit.

    9. Re:Thorium Reactors by Paradise+Pete · · Score: 1
      Is Evans-Pritchard some sort of authority? It seems like he is a reporter and author of biographies. If so, I don't see the point of quoting him on the subject.

      I'm asking this as a real question; I don't know the answer.

    10. Re:Thorium Reactors by fat_mike · · Score: 1

      I have a few questions and I'm going to use this link just because its as retarded as the premise of your post:

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3C6Zz7L74Fs

    11. Re:Thorium Reactors by khallow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      1. The solution isn't more energy usage. The solution is less energy usage, period.

      Energy is cheap and there really isn't that much to be gained from energy conservation. Else we would be doing it already.

      2. This is because USA still stupidly has an unregulated economy that does whatever it wants.

      There are two obvious errors. First, the US economy is far from unregulated. Second, what is left that needs to be regulated? Virtually everything that people claim needs to be regulated is already regulated.

      Sane countries, like China, let The Smart People plan their economic growth in accordance with scientific principles.

      Do you know what the purpose of a "five year plan" is? Emergency toilet paper. The people implementing the plan don't have a clue. They can't make serious decisions. Second, do you know what's far better than "scientific principles" for running an economy? Markets.

      Third, "scientific principles" are a case of the "appeal to authority" fallacy. Please recall that macroeconomics is unusually resistant to scientific principles precisely because of the remarkable difficulty of falsifying any hypotheses about it.

      Just imagine if USA had similar policies, and could actually implement them. Ownership of General Motors to advance state economic policies was a good start, but needs to expand to more sectors of the US economy. Letting the market decide is, frankly, irresponsible and a proven recipe for disaster, time and time again. Just look at history.

      The US merely had to let GM go through bankruptcy court. No action required. The Obama administration screwed that up by rescuing it at the expense of everyone but the unions, and mocking the laws of the land.

      It'll be a long time before I buy another GM or Chrysler (or for that matter any banking product from one of the "too big to fail" banks) product and I know that's going to be the case for a lot of other people too. We don't like thieves.

    12. Re:Thorium Reactors by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Petrochemicals. Oil isn't just about energy, it provides the raw building blocks for modern industrial goods. You can't replace them with nuclear energy.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petrochemicals#Petrochemicals_products

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    13. Re:Thorium Reactors by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

      You're both wrong. The free market works quite well, most of the time - but it is by no means infallible. We worked that out over here in Europe, but you in the US are afraid to regulate anything for fear of somehow turning into communists.

    14. Re:Thorium Reactors by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      "I'm all for putting nuclear reactors in cargo ships"

      Somalia.....

    15. Re:Thorium Reactors by Americium · · Score: 1

      lol, excellent point, I won't be recommending that anymore.

    16. Re:Thorium Reactors by Zoxed · · Score: 1

      Firstly I confess to never having heard of Thorium as a nuclear fuel.
      But if your best references are a *business* reporter for a right-wing, reactionary newspaper, a business advocacy group, and a Wikipedia page that includes a quote from an engineer: "meaning one that will produce and consume about the same amounts of fuel," then you have not convinced me, for one !!

    17. Re:Thorium Reactors by Zoxed · · Score: 3, Insightful

      > Everybody wants cheap energy
      Wrong: people want, for example, warm houses. Whether that comes from pumping energy in, or insulating it to prevent energy leaving it is irrelevance. You can invest in energy saving, and not need cheap energy.

    18. Re:Thorium Reactors by i-linux123 · · Score: 1

      Who's going to build these reactors? I think they're waiting for the oil companies to come aroun an ensure a smooth transition.

    19. Re:Thorium Reactors by toriver · · Score: 1

      The main reason for ships to move through the "pirate zone" is to conserve/save fuel. With nuclear power the incentive to do so is reduced a lot, so they could move through the sea outside of the "pirate range" (i.e. the max distance the pirate vessels move relative to their land bases in order to make it back in the case of failure).

    20. Re:Thorium Reactors by outsider007 · · Score: 1, Troll

      Wrong: people want, for example, warm houses. They'll be plenty warm by 2050

      --
      If you mod me down the terrorists will have won
    21. Re:Thorium Reactors by ferd_farkle · · Score: 1

      heh. I'm unsuccessfully scratching my head trying to remember the book, but it was classic science fiction of the good ol' space opera variety. The adolescent hero's adventure was all about striking it rich by finding huge thorium deposits on Mercury. Written in the 1950s.

    22. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Petrochemicals. Oil isn't just about energy, it provides the raw building blocks for modern industrial goods. You can't replace them with nuclear energy.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petrochemicals#Petrochemicals_products

      Thorium plastic, thorium fertilizers, thorium packaging, thorium trucking, thorium tomatoes? Who needs industrial goods - all I want is fruit salad and a tomato.

    23. Re:Thorium Reactors by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Steven Chu is trying to get small, prefabbed modular nuclear reactors going:
      http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2010/0330/Nuclear-power-Obama-team-touts-mini-nukes-to-fight-global-warming
      The problem with Thorium reactors is that they are not ready yet. Yes they sound good but they are years away.

    24. Re:Thorium Reactors by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2

      Yes you can. You can crack long chain polymers into shorter ones, and you can polymerise simple hydrocarbons to produce shorter ones. Crude oil just happens to have a fairly convenient mixture, allowing you to use relatively low energy reactions to produce lots of chemicals that we want. You can produce the same chemicals from any hydrocarbon source - such as plant oil - but you need more energy, making it not cost effective to do. If you have cheap and abundant energy, then these economies change.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    25. Re:Thorium Reactors by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      The problem with Thorium IIRC was the plans that show Thorium working are to have hundreds of "mini-reactors" like say one in every city 10,000 or better. Now that might work in China where there isn't as many crazies and they (from what I understand) have control of their borders thanks to a "we'll shoot your ass and send you to PMITA prison" policy, but try to remember we have plenty of nutballs here both from the Arab countries we've been fucking with for decades, along with our very own home grown crazies.

      Now picture every city 10,000 or better having a nuke plant as a target, how will you protect them? It would take pretty much the entire military, and even then you'd be short handed. We'd have to go total police state or surround the things with automated death cannons you'd have to hope like hell didn't malfunction and pull an ED209 on you.

      Let us not forget the OKC bomb was just fertilizer and diesel fuel, now imagine if he could have gotten close enough to a reactor to cause a breach? I don't know how it is in other places but I've been to the reactor in my home state and we are pretty damned good about not letting anybody close to the thing. But a reactor in every little podunk nowhere? Sounds like asking for trouble to me.

      While it sounds nice in theory and may actually work for a heavily militaristic state where everyone is raised to respect the state, but I just don't think they'd be too safe around here. Hell if the Chinese keep screwing with Falun Gong they may not be too safe there either, and last I heard the people of Tibet ain't too fond of them as well. Good luck China, you'll need it.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    26. Re:Thorium Reactors by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually, Thorium was the natural choice for nuclear energy; Uranium was chosen instead so that we could build bombs.

    27. Re:Thorium Reactors by phoenix321 · · Score: 2

      Saving energy is only going to delay the problem and won't help much in addressing the root of it. Unless energy saving can reduce expenditure to zero or close to it - and it can't - we still need to find a long-term solution when (not if) oil runs out.

      Don't get me wrong, energy saving is a good thing and should always be considered if economical or practical. But while the other half of energy research should be directed at new (shale gas), renewable (sun, wind, water, biomass) or long-term (nuclear) primary energy sources. We invariably need both, but primary energy gain quite a bit more than secondary gains through efficiency.

      Hypothetical case:

      Assume that this year, cold fusion is reaching industry-scale profitability, for money and energy output. Assume production is so cheap (one plant = 300 GW or more) and its resources so abundant that the price of electrical energy drops to 0,01USD/kWh. Renewable energy (0,10USD/kWh)is and house insulation (1,00USD per kWh/y saved, insulation lifetime is max. 50y) will then be absolutely moot.

      One stroke of genius in cold or hot fusion - or any other large-scale energy production - can reduce everything we as a society invested in renewables and efficiency to a foolish and expensive waste of resources, overnight. We'd still need superconductors and high capacity batteries, though.

    28. Re:Thorium Reactors by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      No, they want cheap energy.

      I'm not opposed to energy conservation, far from it; but reducing energy dependence isn't eliminating energy dependence. A very efficient home will still have nontrivial energy use (including externalities such as the energy to produce and transport the goods that maintain that efficient home), and it's folly to focus exclusively on either supply or demand when there's so much that can be done on both sides.

    29. Re:Thorium Reactors by turing_m · · Score: 1
      When there is enough solar for everyone, why use a non-renewable fuel?

      What's the big deal about using non-renewable fuels? Some day we are probably going to need an energy source as dense as nuclear fuel for space colonization. If we set ourselves up to use nuclear on a widespread basis for simple stuff like heating our homes and transport, we'll run out of it. If I've learned anything in life from playing computer games, it's that the surest fire way to have to require a restart from the beginning is to be a resource spendthrift. Being a resource tightwad may result in finishing the game with your backpack crammed with ammo (and ammo in caches if possible), at least you can always finish the map. And with the Earth, there is no way to restore a save game.

      --
      If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
    30. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Why is the west still concentrating on solar and wind power while the Chinese are already into Thorium reactors?>

      Eh?! China is concentrating on biofuel, solar and, especially, wind power(*), just like the West. It also research molten salt reactors (aka thorium reactors), just like many countries in the West. In the West, a lot of countries spend a lot of government money on research and experiments with different kinds of power sources, including better ways to utilise nuclear power. Heck! I live in Sweden where we are, since 1983, slowly replacing all nuclear power with other sources of energy, and even inside Sweden there are efforts to develop new, waste free and more efficient, kinds of nuclear power, those researchers get more than a billion dollars a year from the Swedish government and EU. It is pocket money, but nothing say more money would lead to better research. Meanwhile Sweden is concentrating on developing and refining energy sources that already work or show actual promise. Nuclear power has been a very expensive, inefficient and polluting (mostly on the mining side, and some hundreds years in the future when the capsules with our nuclear waste start to leak) dream, for more then 60 years There is no indications that the world will ever see clean and profitable (without government subventions) nuclear power, even if we would spend a lot of money and resources trying to develop such nuclear power.

      And as always, it is more efficient to save energy then to find new sources of energy. Sweden could save the energy production of two nuclear reactors, just by applying knowledge and technology that already exist, without any loss in living standard (Swedish living standard is much higher then that in English speaking countries, it is high even compared to New Zealand and Canada). The gain of using energy saving technology and changing energy wasting habits would be even greater in extremely wasteful and inefficient countries like USA(**). In such an underdeveloped country, modernising the industry, infrastructure and consumer products offered, could really improve the life's of the citizens.

      (*) In just three years, China went from having almost non-existing (village black smiths) production of wind power plants, to being the leading manufacturer in the world (China has twice the production as the previous leader Denmark). Most of those wind power plants are deployed inside China.

      (**) Since the fall of the Warsaw pact, Sweden is deploying energy saving and waste reducing technology to countries around the Baltic sea as part of foreign aid. Every "krona" spent in Poland, former East Germany, Russia (never call it "foreign aid" in the face of a Russian), the Baltic states et.c., give hundred times more in return in form of a clean Baltic Sea, then it would if it was spent in Sweden (of course, as part of the same plan for a clean Baltic sea, we also have technology exchange and share research efforts with other countries around the Baltic Sea, like Finland, Germany and Denmark, it has been so successful that today most of the waste in the Baltic sea origin from Britain, there is a current that take some of the waste from the British shores to the Baltic sea, where it accumulates). Even if neither technology nor living standard in those countries are on par with the rich countries around the Baltic Sea, they are approaching fast, with a lot of help from "green" technology. USA have a technological level roughly equal to those countries when they where still part of the Warsaw pact twenty years ago.

    31. Re:Thorium Reactors by tp_xyzzy · · Score: 0

      But the green stuff is the wrong answer. They just want to push us back to 1700s where everything was transported with horses. :)

      We should be looking forward into new great stuff and not going backwards in time.

      The real problem with energy is that there just isn't that much of it available after 2 billion years of trying matter configurations randomly. Any configuration of matter that could release some energy has already been tried, and it already released all the energy 100000 years ago. So not much is left. It takes technological advancement to find those configurations that have not been tried yet. Energy stuff is fighting billions of years of evolution. It's not easy task. We need to use all possible ways we can find to solve the problems. Including nuclear. Especially nuclear because of E=mc^2. c is very big number. Solar energy is no better than nuclear. (the only difference between solar and nuclear is that the reaction happens few millions of km's away in the sun). Cold fusion folks seem to be already building working reactors. But it has problems with reproducibility. They don't know how it works. So it could stop working when you get small changes in temperature and there is nothing they could do to restore it. The green stuff is considerably worse. The green stuff doesn't even have a chance. The energy balance equation just doesnt work for them.

    32. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, because there isn't a militant anti-nuke Sierra Club in China.

    33. Re:Thorium Reactors by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Just stick it in a shipping container in an industrial estate somewhere. It'll be fine.

      That's the nice thing about modern reactor designs. You could stand on top of it beating on it with a sledgehammer, and the worst that would happen is you might slip and twist your ankle.

    34. Re:Thorium Reactors by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Energy is cheap and there really isn't that much to be gained from energy conservation. Else we would be doing it already.

      That is a stupid thing to say. There IS a great deal to be gained, but those who stand to gain it are not those who are in power. Also, Energy is most certainly not cheap, but many of the costs can be pushed off onto all the citizens of the planet instead of having to pay them solely by oneself.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    35. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pretty sure that you are a responding to a sarcastic troll. Just saiyan`.

    36. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are technically correct however I do not buy this argument. The world's oil reserves as they stand today represent oil that is hypothetically extractable for a profit at current prices. If civilization does manage to transition away from fossil fuels then the idea of civilization collapsing due to a lack of petrochemicals to make plastic, ect... from is a little strange. Oil is not unobtanium, it is just hydrogen and carbon and could be replaced for non-energy applications.

      Either way the threat of a shortfall in energy supplies is much more pressing - far more petrochemicals are used for primary energy than for petrochemical purposes.

    37. Re:Thorium Reactors by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      Rather than stating the obvious, which isn't actually true anyway because I for one wouldn't mind a Thorium reactor near me, we should instead be marketing Thorium to the public, saying it's the new 'green fuel', and giving incentives to nearby urban areas by giving them drastically reduced fuel prices (say 50-75% off).

      I think it's a great time to cash in on all the latest research, so we can have our cake and eat it (low pollution, AND high energy - our energy needs are only going to grow anyway).

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    38. Re:Thorium Reactors by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      Nuclear produces waste. We don't want proliferation of nuclear material and despite our best efforts like anything will never be 100% safe. Remember we need to produce energy in less stable and well maintained parts of the world, not just Europe and the US.

      On the other hand solar thermal energy production (using mirrors to reflect light onto a water tank and then using the steam to drive turbines) produces no waste and you can build a lot of what you need from recycled material too. In the event of an accident there isn't any nasty stuff to leak out and contaminate things. It is cheap, reliable and relatively easy to build and run. It even works after dark as water is a good way to store energy.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    39. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would LOVE to have a Thorium reactor IMBY, but then again, I am a nuclear physicist.

      A Uranium reactor? Eh, no thanks. Got all that close enough in Sellafield

    40. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually, Thorium was the natural choice for nuclear energy; Uranium was chosen instead so that we could build bombs.

      I keep hearing this bullshit over and over, as if peopel just cut and paste it from some random website.
      Thorium is a rubbish choice for several reasons:

      Firstly, while it is possible to build a thermal breeder reactor using thorium, you would have to really push the the neutron economy, and thus the doubling time would be very long. As a consequence of the very long doubling time, the initial fissile fuel to breed enough U-233 to make a thorium reactor critical would have to come from reprocessed plutonium, meaning you would have to develop the technology needed for uranium reactors and plutonium extraction anyway.

      Now if you want to destroy the minor actinide from your uranium waste you need a fast neutron spectrum. The reason for this is that many of the actinides are not fissile for low energy neutrons. You could build a fast reactor using thorium, but in a fast spectrum Plutonium, not U-233 is teh superior fuel due to a much higher neutron yield. It is only for thermal neutrons that Thorium excels.

      It is also more difficult to reprocess throium, there's some intense gamma-emitters formed in a reactor using them, and there's a bunch of other issues.

    41. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Keep up with the technology. Thorium produces short lived (10-15 years) waste that can be stored on site, and, in fact, can and HAS been designed to be 100% safe (pebble bed reactors, anyone?), where they physically CAN'T melt down.

      You SAY that solar thermal doesn't produce a lot of waste, but you have clearly never been to a smelting operation, nor have you considered the energy input it takes to produce the hundreds of thousands of miles of tubing and mirrors that would have to be purpose made for such plants, or the environmental effect they would have on the NOT lifeless deserts you people want to destroy with them.

      Further, you can't use WATER to store the energy--you can barely store heat in water. How are you planning to heat water to a boil using the energy stored in water? If you want it to produce energy overnight you have to use molten sodium. There's an environmental catastrophe waiting to happen. You are talking about distributing little pockets of 10,000 degree heat all around the place, rathe than having a few,centralized, large, easily controlled pockets of 3,000 degree heat that won't melt much more than ice, certainly not steel and concrete.

    42. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 2

      Anyone and everyone, once we get rid the literally impossible to overcome regulations that were imposed on new construction in the industry after 3 mile island. Hell, I'd go in with the neighbors to order one of those self-sustaining nuclear reactors from Japan where the only maintenance required is to change out the fuel once every 50 years. The regulations prevent me from hiring these experts who have set up such systems around the world without problem.

    43. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Call us back in two years and tell us how much better you are doing thanks to your mixed markets.

      That is, assuming there is a functional telephone in either of our countries.

    44. Re:Thorium Reactors by khallow · · Score: 1

      The free market works quite well, most of the time - but it is by no means infallible. We worked that out over here in Europe, but you in the US are afraid to regulate anything for fear of somehow turning into communists.

      The US as a society has a better understanding of markets than Europe does. It's not "fear" of some abstract ideology.

    45. Re:Thorium Reactors by khallow · · Score: 2

      There IS a great deal to be gained, but those who stand to gain it are not those who are in power.

      How are you forced to use more energy? You can always pay more to live closer and use less energy in your activities.

      Also, Energy is most certainly not cheap, but many of the costs can be pushed off onto all the citizens of the planet instead of having to pay them solely by oneself.

      In the case of petroleum for transportation, I strongly doubt this is the situation outside of some oil producing countries which heavily subsidize their oil consumption. Most places have consumption taxes which tend to offset or even exceed their subsidies.

    46. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 2

      Uhh, having them distributed means they will be smaller. They might as well attack the coal plants we have now.

      Further, no truck bomb is going to be able to breach an underground facility, which is generally what I have seen being called for, especially with the micronuclear reactors designed by Hitachi, which are designed to provide power to 1000 households for 50 years with no maintenance, and are so cheap that you could literally throw them away when you are done (they only cost a few million each, installed, IIRC). And with the intrinsically safe pebble bed reactors, even if the fuel was spilled in the street, you would just need guys in suits to go pick them up with tongs. The pebbles have radiation shielding built in, and physically can't get close enough together to melt down. You would have to remove the shell from each and every one to cause a problem.

      Also, I don't know where you seem to get this idea that China is some sort of homogeneous culture. They have more Arabs than we do, many of which are fighting for independence and want an Islamic state.

      Basically, your ideas are laughable excuses not to go with nuclear.

    47. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Or they could, you know, arm themselves.

      It's not like the world has never had pirates before. There is a reason all seafaring civilizations in history have had a merchant marine force.

    48. Re:Thorium Reactors by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      How are you forced to use more energy? You can always pay more to live closer and use less energy in your activities.

      Transportation energy is just one slice. The whole world is set up to cause you to use more energy. In some cases it's simple laws of physics, like requiring more energy to produce an LED lamp than an incandescent one; the LED lamp costs more but will save you money in the long run. Someone living paycheck to paycheck has a hard time justifying paying 20x as much for a light bulb. A better example, though, is the typical gas range. The most efficient ones, which cost no more to produce and are simply a matter of using a newer design, cost more than the least efficient ones. On-demand water heaters are very much the same; a basic readily available Bosch Aquastar has four times the minimum burn rate that a Rinnai does with the same maximum output, but it also costs literally one quarter as much. If your W/H goes out and you don't have $2,000 to replace it then you're going to opt for the less-efficient $500 model.

      Also, Energy is most certainly not cheap, but many of the costs can be pushed off onto all the citizens of the planet instead of having to pay them solely by oneself.

      In the case of petroleum for transportation, I strongly doubt this is the situation outside of some oil producing countries which heavily subsidize their oil consumption. Most places have consumption taxes which tend to offset or even exceed their subsidies.

      I am here talking about environmental costs; pushing them off to all citizens of the planet should have clued you in. The environmental costs are very much simply being ignored, with the debts mounting. If oil companies were forced to actually clean up their messes, and held accountable for the damage they did to other industries by their incompetence or malfeasance (e.g. the devastation wrought upon the gulf which is only now coming to light because our government spent so very much time and money keeping people away from the spill when management was in process... and by management I mean overspraying of dispersants.) When you make a solar panel in the developed world you have to control your emissions at least a little, but when it's made in China (as per usual) you don't. When you drill oil in the USA you have to control your leaks just a little, but when it's offshore and in nobody's waters you don't. Or when it's in some shithole country whose government has been overthrown and replaced with a puppet, you don't. Unfortunately, we will ALL pay this environmental debt eventually and if history is any indication there will be NO accounting.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    49. Re:Thorium Reactors by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      > Everybody wants cheap energy

      Wrong: people want, for example, warm houses.

      "Wrong"? I do not think that word means what you think it means. Everybody wants everything as cheap as is reasonable and everything takes energy input to produce so everybody wants cheap energy, QED. If you have cheap energy then you can use numerous old technologies which are more reliable but less efficient.

      You can invest in energy saving, and not need cheap energy.

      No, because cheap energy lets us do things which simply require large energy expenditure. If you're trying to smelt ore you're going to need a certain amount of energy, period, the end. Where it comes from doesn't matter, but how much it costs is always relevant.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    50. Re:Thorium Reactors by khallow · · Score: 1

      Transportation energy is just one slice. The whole world is set up to cause you to use more energy. In some cases it's simple laws of physics, like requiring more energy to produce an LED lamp than an incandescent one; the LED lamp costs more but will save you money in the long run. Someone living paycheck to paycheck has a hard time justifying paying 20x as much for a light bulb. A better example, though, is the typical gas range. The most efficient ones, which cost no more to produce and are simply a matter of using a newer design, cost more than the least efficient ones. On-demand water heaters are very much the same; a basic readily available Bosch Aquastar has four times the minimum burn rate that a Rinnai does with the same maximum output, but it also costs literally one quarter as much. If your W/H goes out and you don't have $2,000 to replace it then you're going to opt for the less-efficient $500 model.

      But that's reality getting in the way not some human power interfering with your attempts to reduce energy consumption. The more efficient ranges or light sources save you money, hence, they are more expensive. You share some of the benefit with the manufacturer, creating an incentive to build more efficient goods in the future.

      Unfortunately, we will ALL pay this environmental debt eventually and if history is any indication there will be NO accounting.

      I think the "environmental debt" is grossly exaggerated, particularly by the environmental activists who have neither the inclination nor the talent to do an environmental accounting. It's worth noting that this oil has been in the natural environment for a long time. Something eats it or some process buries it. I think it's worthwhile to see what happens first before we decide that the environment is doomed.

    51. Re:Thorium Reactors by khallow · · Score: 1

      That's the nice thing about modern reactor designs. You could stand on top of it beating on it with a sledgehammer, and the worst that would happen is you might slip and twist your ankle.

      And that actually helps the terrorism problem since the crazies are now ineffectually attacking hardened targets rather than something that could cause a serious problem. A truck bomb on top of a small buried reactor is a better place than a crowded mall or propane tank farm.

    52. Re:Thorium Reactors by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      But that's reality getting in the way not some human power interfering with your attempts to reduce energy consumption. The more efficient ranges or light sources save you money, hence, they are more expensive. You share some of the benefit with the manufacturer, creating an incentive to build more efficient goods in the future.

      Uh what? They save you money hence they are more expensive? I think you need to examine your logic, which is not. Also, I really like how you just ignored my examples of something which costs no more to make being less efficient. You're an ass.

      I think the "environmental debt" is grossly exaggerated, particularly by the environmental activists who have neither the inclination nor the talent to do an environmental accounting.

      Experts disagree.

      It's worth noting that this oil has been in the natural environment for a long time.

      No, it has not, at least not in this kind of quantity in the part we find interesting. It's been under the inaccurately-named biosphere, for the most part.

      Something eats it or some process buries it.

      Just like CO2, it has never been released in this quantity and at this rapidity. Or if it was, predates history, and therefore can safely be ignored since we don't know how ugly conditions were in prehistory.

      I think it's worthwhile to see what happens first before we decide that the environment is doomed.

      We've seen what happens when you spill oil many times, but we've never seen what happens when you spill this much oil and then spray so many tons of dispersant on it. Every time oil has been spilled in any significant quantity throughout our history it has done damage from which the world has still not recovered fully. This is to say nothing of secondary pollution effects like releasing so much carbon at once into the atmosphere, which has never happened since the planet looked like it does today. Your "wait and see" attitude is ridiculous given what we know about CO2 from our understanding of physics. We know that corals die when temperature and Ph changes. This has happened and is continuing to happen; average ocean temperatures have risen, the ocean is becoming more acidic, and lo and behold, coral reefs which harbor the majority of the ocean's biodiversity are dying off at rates which marine biologists (i.e. people better-qualified to make a judgment than either of us) are referring to with words like "shocking".

      In short, there is ample evidence that the environmental debt from our current global aggregate/average lifestyle is harmful to a biosphere capable of supporting humanity. Those in a position to determine if this is true overwhelmingly say that it is. Virtually every dissenting voice has been bought by big oil or similar, indeed they are typically in their employ full-time; nobody else wants them once they're tainted except other despoilers.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    53. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Respectfully, Nuclear waste is easy to deal with. With reprocessing, a modern plant produces about 3 cubic metres of waste a year, which is easy to deal with and probably occupies less space than just the spare parts for solar consumables. Europe's been handling waste generated in Japan - half a world away - for over 40 years with no incidents.

      Note that a solar plant would also be a target for looting as a result of copper prices - non-copper panels degrade after a few years and need constant replacement. If the US can't protect copper telephone cables in urban enviroments, how well do you think smaller countries will manage solar plants distributed over large areas? Maintenance could prove far more expensive for them than shipping off waste for reprocessing as a result.

    54. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thorium is only going to generate electricity. This would counter coal, 50% on US electricity production. Putting all the coal miners out of work. Think of all the children that will starve (obligatory).

      Vehicles will still need to have good battery storage to drive 100+ miles between charges.

    55. Re:Thorium Reactors by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Yes, because melt-down is the only possible failure mode of a nuclear power plant. Creating nuclear fuel and transporting it is also 100% safe, right?

      Are you seriously suggesting that the amount of energy and material that goes into producing metal for a solar power plant is somehow more than for a nuclear one? How do you think the heat from the reactor is turned into electricity? I'll give you a hint, it involves water and pipes. I don't know why you think you need "thousands of miles" of tubing for solar either. Why can't the turbine be somewhere near the heating tower that the mirrors focus on?

      I also recommend checking your basic physics textbooks again. Heat is energy. Energy is stored in water a heat. There is a rather simple way to do it. When heating the water with light from the sun you couple the tank to the heating element. When you want to store that heat you decouple it so that the loss due to radiation is kept to a minimum. All that is required are some simple hydraulics.

      Of course in practice we might use something like molten salt to heat water as a secondary effect but the principal is the same. Yes, high temperature salt could be quite dangerous but the effects are somewhat less serious than say radioactive contamination of soil.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    56. Re:Thorium Reactors by NFN_NLN · · Score: 1

      Firstly I confess to never having heard of Thorium as a nuclear fuel... you have not convinced me, for one !!

      If you're looking for more information on Thorium Reactors, this link has everything you need to get started: http://lmgtfy.com/?q=thorium+reactors

    57. Re:Thorium Reactors by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      Yeah, exactly. You can imagine the SCADA readout from the reactor "OVER TEMP" "HIGH VIBRATION" "Oh it's okay, it's stopped"

    58. Re:Thorium Reactors by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      They might as well attack the coal plants we have now.

      Indeed, I wonder if all the people worried about 'blowing up nuclear plants' have an idea what would happen with some C-4 dropped into a coal ash containment unit. Or, you know, them just failing by themselves.

      Blowing up the actual coal itself would also be a workable plan.

      The nice thing about thorium is that you can't steal it and make a nuke with either it or its waste.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    59. Re:Thorium Reactors by currently_awake · · Score: 1

      All power sources produce waste, it's just a matter of how much we care. Hydroelectric destroys rivers and streams, solar produces thermal pollution, wind kills birds and alters the winds that generate our weather, geothermal cools the earth and might cause earthquakes. Based on environmental destruction coal is the worst power source known to humanity, with oil a distant second. I'd rather live next to a thorium reactor than a coal plant.

    60. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Uranium 235 also fissions with thermal neutrons, Thorium takes neutrons with a little more "zip". Enriched uranium reactors were therefore easier to design and control.

    61. Re:Thorium Reactors by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Too bad environmentalists disagree with you. Nuclear reactors are bad! They spew radiation(never mind the cosmic rays tearing holes through your body)! They're just bad! Skip the common sense stuff, anything nuclear is bad(ignore that giant sun).

      Thanks wingnut environmentalists, you really do want us to be back in the stone age don't you?

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    62. Re:Thorium Reactors by khallow · · Score: 1

      Uh what? They save you money hence they are more expensive? I think you need to examine your logic, which is not. Also, I really like how you just ignored my examples of something which costs no more to make being less efficient.

      Think about it, I have a choice of two refrigerators that are identical in every way except one costs $50 less per year to run. Which am I going to buy? In order for the two to be equivalent purchases for me, the cheaper to run refrigerator has to be significantly more expensive.

      Second, you ignore research and development. The newer range of your original example was more expensive than the older range because the R&D (which is very significant for a consumer products device that has considerable potential dangers in it BTW) is over fewer products and a shorter period of time.

      You're an ass.

      Welcome to debate as it gets practiced in the real world. If I weren't an "ass", you might just blow off my disagreement. You might not even realize I disagreed with you. I use the proper tools for effective communication.

      Experts disagree.

      Fallacy of appealing to authority. Please keep in mind that a lot of experts get funded precisely because they exaggerate the effects of pollution, AGW, and other environmental problems.

      No, it has not, at least not in this kind of quantity in the part we find interesting. It's been under the inaccurately-named biosphere, for the most part.

      Keep mind both that the Gulf of Mexico has natural oil seeps and that oil wells have been leaking for a long time in the Gulf. The Deepwater Horizon accident is thought to have leaked about 5 million barrels. While that is a lot, it is worth noting that US waters experience about a tenth of that amount each year. I'd wager that more than half of that comes from the Gulf of Mexico.

      We've seen what happens when you spill oil many times, but we've never seen what happens when you spill this much oil and then spray so many tons of dispersant on it.

      So how does jumping to conclusions change anything? It doesn't make the Gulf of Mexico any less polluted. It doesn't reduce our dependency on oil. It is a hysterical statement that does nothing for us. There's always a first time for every variety of disaster or attempted disaster mitigation. That's why I counsel waiting and see what actually happened before we pass judgment. My bet is that a significant fraction of the oil spill is already covered with silt and on its way to being removed from the environment.

      Your "wait and see" attitude is ridiculous given what we know about CO2 from our understanding of physics.

      In other words, because we think we have a great handle on a few small parts of climate modeling such as radiative forcing by greenhouse gases and despite having no urgent AGW-related problems coming in the near future, we should engage now in massive social reengineering. Do you comprehend how stupid that is? Even the worst-case experts agree that AGW is not a problem for the next 70 or so years.

      That gives us plenty of time both to determined whether the science is right and to determine whether fossil fuel burning will be a problem in the long run.

    63. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also keep in mind that one man's waste is another man's treasure - some 'waste' products are quite useful as alpha, beta and gamma emitters for scientific use and medical technology.

      With regard to the desert, no it isn't lifeless, but it is far and away the least life bearing environment other than maybe the arctic or extreme elevations. That said, I suspect a solar farm would actually benefit most desert dwellers by providing areas of shade from midday heat rather than harming them. Mirror supports (properly designed) should not be much of an obstacle to animals and the whole point of this is to contain the heat to convert it to power. Thorium might be better, but this is still a major improvement over coal based power environmentally.

    64. Re:Thorium Reactors by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      Further, you can't use WATER to store the energy--you can barely store heat in water. .

      Hmm, water has great specific heat capacity. Many you can explain your theory to the navy - they use stored heat in water to launch planes off aircraft carriers.

    65. Re:Thorium Reactors by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      There are reasons other than global warming to worry about CO2 emissions, so even if you're not concerned about the real cost of a more energetic global weather system you should consider the other issues.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    66. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do some math.

      You can use water to store enough energy to heat a house through a daily cycle quite easily.

      Nuclear is a great option, and probably the only option we have. Markets will correct attitudes, but don't spread FUD.

    67. Re:Thorium Reactors by budgenator · · Score: 1

      "Nuclear produces waste." Do you have a reference for that?, everything that comes out of a used nuclear fuel rods is useful and valuable to somebody. The coolest thing is to just bury it in the ground, a thousand years later you can dig up almost pure plutonium!

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    68. Re:Thorium Reactors by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Stupid Fucking Morons like you are the reason Nuclear Power has languished for the last 40 years.

    69. Re:Thorium Reactors by khallow · · Score: 1

      so even if you're not concerned about the real cost of a more energetic global weather system

      And I'm not so concerned. Perhaps you should read up on how the research in this particular area was blown out of proportion in order to support the AGW narrative.

      you should consider the other issues

      I have. The key thing to remember here is that while there is some evidence of global warming and ocean acidification from human activity, no evidence of an urgent need to do anything has come up.

    70. Re:Thorium Reactors by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It's important to remember that Nuclear by itself will never replace fossil fuels. The biggest use of oil in the US is transportation. Nuclear will get us off coal, but if you want to get off oil, you need to combine that with electric cars.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    71. Re:Thorium Reactors by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      or the environmental effect they would have on the NOT lifeless deserts you people want to destroy with them.

      My wish is that everyone who has such sentiments be forced to live in the desert for a year. Or at least go there. The impact of a power plant in the mojave desert is very small.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    72. Re:Thorium Reactors by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      Even many environmentalists seem to be realising the potential benefits of a Thorium reactor. E.g. see:

      http://www.fastcompany.com/1727914/will-green-nukes-save-the-world
      http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2011/feb/16/china-nuclear-thorium

      Those weren't 'hand picked' over weeks or years, but found after a quick search today in Google news.
      Also, afaik, there are still potential economical challenges with Thorium based reactors. Not sure about that though.

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    73. Re:Thorium Reactors by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      I keep hearing this bullshit over and over, as if peopel just cut and paste it from some random website.
      Thorium is a rubbish choice for several reasons:

      Using a rare isotope of Uranium in a thermal reactor while wasting 99% of the energy, and leaving behind a huge mess was the rubbish choice. Those reactors were born from the manufacture of fissile material for bombs, and while that was an unfortunate reality, it should have been nothing more than a stepping stone. For energy production though, they were a dead end, and we have had ample chance to pursue breeder reactors ever since. Or rather, they were under consideration from nearly the start, but we chose the dead end route of the PWR instead. Why is that?

      Do you still consider Thorium a rubbish choice? You have merely given reasons why it may have been impractical in the very beginning, not that it was undesirable. It should have been the goal, and there is no good excuse for its neglect in the half century since. At the very least we should have pursued breeder reactors.

      The advantages of the Thorium fuel cycle are manyfold, and as you mention it allows for a thermal breeder. Really, that is exactly what we want; a passively safe breeder reactor with plentiful fuel, which can burn our existing waste, and has little and short-lived waste of its own. Running at atmospheric pressure is far preferable, and the high temperatures allow for efficient electrical conversion, or hydrogen production.

    74. Re:Thorium Reactors by Lanteran · · Score: 1

      Check the Uranium prices..

      Thorium. He said thorium, it's in the title. It's also about four times as abundant as uranium.

      --
      "People don't want to learn linux" hasn't been a valid excuse since '03.
    75. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 2

      Yes, solar thermal takes about 100X as much material to produce the same amount of energy. The heat stored by water overnight is worthless, because you by definition can only extract useful work by converting liquid water to steam. You can only do that by adding energy. If you want to continue generating energy overnight, you have to use molten sodium.

      I don't understand how a person can fail to tell the difference between 10,000 square miles of thermal solar and ten thousand nuclear plants that cover maybe 20 square miles. With so so very many miles of energy production, which must by definition will be in sparsely populated areas, you are going to experience a LOT of fires. But hey, as long as there's no "radioactivity", right? Tell me, when, in the history of the Earth, has there EVER been an accident while delivering fuel to a nuclear facility? I've certainly never heard of one.

    76. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Ok, design me a reactor that extracts useful energy from non-boiling water.

      Aircraft carriers use BOILING water from a NUCLEAR reactor.

      Amazing number of dim bulbs around here hating on nuclear energy.

    77. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 1

      I do live in a desert.

      The impact of A power plant is small, especially a nuclear, coal, or oil burning one. The impact of the 10,000 square miles of solar thermal power plants required to fuel the US is ENORMOUS.

    78. Re:Thorium Reactors by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Wow, did you even read the thread? Hot water can keep a house warm? Are you high? What, you want to ship hot water from the desert to heat people's homes? We are talking about producing electricity here.

    79. Re:Thorium Reactors by HereIAmJH · · Score: 1

      His point is that people care about things other than cost of energy. Most wouldn't care if fuel cost $40 a gallon if it took 1 gallon to commute, compared to $4 fuel that required 10 gallons for the same commute. Or to put it another way, you have the choice of a $20k car that gets 30mpg vs a $60k car that gets 90mpg. (all other factors being equal) The concern is how much they have to pay to get to work everyday.

      Along the same line; I don't buy natural gas based on price, I buy based on what it takes to keep my house warm.

      I care that the price of milk went up 25 cents a gallon this week, I don't care whether it's because diesel has gone up 30 cents a gallon in the last month or because dairy farmers are paying more for grain.

      --
      Another day, another update to a Google android app.
    80. Re:Thorium Reactors by iserlohn · · Score: 1

      www.nuclearactive.org/graphix/transport_accidents.pdf

      From the article:

      In a 1996 report based on Atomic Energy Commission and DOE data entitled Reported Incidents Involving Spent Nuclear Fuel Shipments, 1949 to Present, the Nevada Agency for Nuclear Projects documents 72 nuclear waste transportation accidents. Four involve accidental radioactive material contamination beyond the vehicle (Table 1); four involve contamination confined to the vehicle (Table 2); 13 involve traffic accidents with no release or contamination; 49 involve accidental container surface contamination; and two accidents include no description.

    81. Re:Thorium Reactors by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      Now you're just being silly.

      Steam engines, AC catapults, some nuclear reactors, all use non-boiling water under pressure. Obviously, they all also extract useful energy at some point by reducing the pressure and letting it boil.

    82. Re:Thorium Reactors by quax · · Score: 1

      China is also very much investing into Wind power and solar.

      They strongly and wisely pursue every viable alternative to fossil fuel. Thorium reactors are obviously an important part of this but the Chinese are way too smart to put all their eggs into one basket.

    83. Re:Thorium Reactors by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      The problem is, they seem to be realizing this about 20 years too late.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    84. Re:Thorium Reactors by RewriteQuran · · Score: 0

      US & China are dependent on 50% imports. India is 75%.

      --
      Govt must constitute a panel to rewrite US Constitution and Quran
    85. Re:Thorium Reactors by RewriteQuran · · Score: 0

      Reactors consume 880 kg of plutonium for energy production from seed rods, converts 1,100 kg of thorium into fissionable uranium-233.
      i.e your car needs 80 ml engine oil to burn 100 ml gasoline.

      --
      Govt must constitute a panel to rewrite US Constitution and Quran
    86. Re:Thorium Reactors by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 2

      Using a rare isotope of Uranium in a thermal reactor while wasting 99% of the energy, and leaving behind a huge mess was the rubbish choice.

      U235 is at 0.7% and you can make natural U critical, it not that rare. Th is *NOT* a fuel, its fertile, you need neutrons to turn Th232 into Pa233 which then turn into U233 which is far *rarer* than U235. Also you can make a bomb from U233, in fact they *did*. Pa233 has a high neutron cross section and if not separated will form Pa234. Pa234 decays into U234 which is a horrible gamma emitter. The waste from *both* cycles is roughly the *same* for all practical planing purposes. Stable fast reactors reactors are "easy" if you go molten salt. You don't need Th to do it. In fact the "advantages are many fold" is often not from choosing Th but from using a molten salt reactor.

      As for "wasting 99% of the energy", WTF are you talking about. What you do with the heat afterward has no bearing on the fuel cycle. Do you have any idea what you are talking about?

      And it is BS that U was chosen over Th to make bombs. Th was tried once there was enough U around to make the neutrons needed, without U as a neutron source you can't use Th for anything. Its has some problems as a base fuel cycle which is why molten salt is often suggested despite is long development time, it should solve the problems. Th is no silver bullet and does not change the basic issue with nuclear energy.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    87. Re:Thorium Reactors by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      His point is that people care about things other than cost of energy.

      His point was pointless and so is your continuance, because it is based on a profoundly silly idea. The truth is that the cost of energy is an enormous part of the cost of virtually all goods and services, and further that the average person is tied rather directly into the cost of energy through their visits to the fuel pump and their receipt of a light bill.

      Along the same line; I don't buy natural gas based on price, I buy based on what it takes to keep my house warm.

      I have an LP tank and central forced air, but I use the wood stove because I get the energy cheaper. So you might not care, but people in a position to choose and to make good decisions do. If we didn't have a wood stove then we'd be without choices as well.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    88. Re:Thorium Reactors by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      [citation needed] on the 100x more material claim. It sounds like utter bullshit because basically a nuclear reactor and a solar plant use heat in the same way - they heat water and turn it into steam. The difference is where the heat comes from and considering you can make mirrors from extremely thin recycled metal yet need masses of shielding and support for a reactor I doubt there is much in it.

      I think you misunderstand how solar plants work. The heat would be stored in some intermediate like liquid salt. That is then used to heat water into steam. Since the liquid salt will remain well about 100C well after sundown it can continue to work. You don't even need 100C because pressurised water has a lower boiling point.

      Your idea of the size of solar plant needed is also off by several orders of magnitude. A solar plant will not be any bigger than a nuclear one all said and done. Yeah, the reactor itself is small, but the site has to be much larger. The relative simplicity of the solar solution also helps reduce size and maintenance costs. There is no more danger of fire than a nuclear plant.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    89. Re:Thorium Reactors by phoenix321 · · Score: 1
    90. Re:Thorium Reactors by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      Which molten salt plants operate at 10,000 degrees?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_thermal_energy#Molten_salt_storage says 550...

      At any rate, I agree that nuclear is the right solution given our current tech, but until political red-tap is streamlined, and public opinion is changed, we should be building anything we can that makes environmental and economic sense (when taking into account external costs: security, environment/climate, sustainable, pollution, etc..). Solar thermal isn't dangerous at all, is relatively simple construction, doesn't necessarily need to harm the desert if done right, and has been proven to work well in many areas already.

      I'd also like to see more symbiotic systems in place, like solar thermal towers.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_updraft_tower

      The interesting thing about them, is that condensation forms on the underside of the collector at night, and could be used to grow crops underneath the collector if partial areas of transparency would allow light though. It is less efficient than other solar methods, but if it could provide power while simultaneous making the land arable underneath, it would be ideal for poor countries with lots of dry land.

    91. Re:Thorium Reactors by HereIAmJH · · Score: 1

      The truth is that the cost of energy is an enormous part of the cost of virtually all goods and services, and further that the average person is tied rather directly into the cost of energy through their visits to the fuel pump and their receipt of a light bill.

      You're right, the cost of energy is part of virtually all goods. But as a consumer I don't have to give a crap what is part of what I am buying. I don't care how much energy was used to create the aluminum in the cans of the products I buy, although making aluminum is an extremely energy intensive process. I'm not buying the energy or the can, I'm buying what is inside it. I mentioned milk, or dairy products, specifically to make this point. But you were too focused on the price of gasoline to notice. The largest component of dairy products is energy. Time sensitive goods. Fuel to transport, fuel to pasteurize, energy to keep it cold until it is used. Again, when I go to the store I'm not calculating the energy component of milk, I'm buying milk.

      As a consumer I managed to successfully not care, for decades, what the price of a barrel of oil is. And the point you fail to grasp is I don't care what the cost of natural gas is, I care what it costs to heat my house. It's not the same thing.

      --
      Another day, another update to a Google android app.
  4. Great! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now where can I buy these new technologies at? My wallet's at the ready. No really, I'm serious. Just give me a website and a price list with your available products. Guys? Hello?

    1. Re:Great! by BiggerIsBetter · · Score: 1

      Now where can I buy these new technologies at? My wallet's at the ready. No really, I'm serious. Just give me a website and a price list with your available products. Guys? Hello?

      I guess there's more (easier) money in R&D than there is in retail sales.

      --
      Forget thrust, drag, lift and weight. Airplanes fly because of money.
  5. Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    What will the middle east be like once we run our stuff on unicorn dust or some other thing that cuts them out? That's when you'll see the turmoil.

    1. Re:Question by MrQuacker · · Score: 1

      Look at Dubai. They tried planning for that day by creating a tourist economy. With over 60% vacancy rates though, I don't think its working out that great for them.

    2. Re:Question by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      The turmoil will come to other places first: When the oil countries reduce their oil exports because they need it for domestic energy.

    3. Re:Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then they will be invaded and their oil taken anyway.

  6. Iceland by countertrolling · · Score: 1

    Maybe they can pipe some of that lava over to the UK

    --
    For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
  7. Domestic oil is an alternative by Kohath · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The cheapest and most obvious alternative to mideast oil is domestic oil. We have lots of it. It's being produced in North Dakota in increasing quantities. It's available under the Alaskan wasteland. It pollutes the Santa Barbara beaches from natural oil seeps -- pollution that would be prevented by oil drilling. And it's available in vast quantities in the Gulf of Mexico.

    And in Canada, the oil from tar sands will be available to use in mass quantities. But environmentalists are trying to prevent the construction of a midwest oil pipeline to bring the oil from the oil fields to the people who would use it.

    There are also vast new natural gas reserves available.

    If people want to invest in "clean" energy, they're welcome to do that. But "clean" energy shouldn't be the only energy. We need affordable energy to escape the recession.

    We need clean energy jobs and also traditional energy jobs. And every other kind of jobs.

    1. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by NFN_NLN · · Score: 0

      ... domestic oil. We have lots of it. It's being produced in North Dakota in increasing quantities. It's available under the Alaskan wasteland... and in Canada, the oil from tar sands will be available to use in mass quantities...

      Stand up and start kicking as hard as you can... you might be able to free yourself from your box if you try hard enough.

    2. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by jjohnson · · Score: 5, Informative

      America has plenty of shale oil, which is more expensive to produce than the oil in the tar sands of Alberta, which is more expensive to produce than the oil in the Middle East. Environmentalism has nothing to do with failure to develop North American oilfields; the cost of a barrel of oil simply isn't high enough to start thoroughly exploiting local deposits.

      Oil has to be around $70/barrel for the tar sands to be worthwhile, and no one knows the floor price to make shale oil extraction profitable because that's a field of engineering only now being developed. As for the Gulf of Mexico, the reason BP was drilling 5,000 feet down was because all the shallow fields have been sucked dry.

      --
      Anyone who loves or hates any language, platform, or manufacturer, doesn't know what they're talking about.
    3. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      And it's available in vast quantities in the Gulf of Mexico.

      No shit, Sherlock.

      All you need is a rowboat and a bucket.

    4. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      No its not. Oil pollutes. The earth can't handle the current load of CO2. We need a huge investment in Nuclear and Wind electricity NOW.
      Coal is a LOT worse, and people aren't talking about constructing a lot of Coal power plants to produce electricity for the upcoming rise in electricity power for electric cars.
      The US needs to rethink its long commute way of living. Nowhere else you see people driving 100 miles to work everyday. Plenty of companies could have some departments 90% working via telecommuting but don't do it for stupid reasons, many employees would gladly give back to their employer some of their time saved by not having to drive to work.
      Perhaps that would be a lot more useful a government policy, a small tax break for companies that have at least 1/3 of their total working hours done by telecommuting, with a greater tax break for 50% telecommuting. Nothing huge, perhaps 3-5% tax break.

    5. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by burni2 · · Score: 1

      Well you might think, that affordable energy is the best way to escape the current recession of the US you might be right on a short term. But as economy rises in the US it will fuel the economy in some directly affected countries (example: China) the need for oil in consequence will increase so will the prices. And China has over the last decade also secured oil longterm import contracts from some african countries.

      So the midterm effects of such an affordable energy strategy, come out as where we are now. Because the US had since the oil price "crash" very cheap energy at it's hand, and was even on the verge of leaving recession behind. But since energy prices rise this is not for sure anymore.

      This is also a very interesting system when US economy boosts -> energy consumption will -> higher prices, China's economy boosts -> energy consumption will -> higher prices.

      It's history repeating itself, and the lesser the US will lower their dependency on forreign or restricted energy sources the greater their economic dependency on the energy prices or availability will be.

      Even if you have "vast" energy reserves availible, you will get into an economic problem, tar sands are expensive to extract, at the moment it is a small loss or a zero benefit situation for the companies. Using natural gas you need the right amount of power plants to produce enough energy with them, and even vast reserves are going to be depleted when they are vastly used. Not thinking about planning and construction times for those plants

      conclusion: insulate & devellop alternatives & make it fast because the next economic downturn is on the rise.

    6. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by buchner.johannes · · Score: 2

      Plenty of oil is the wrong term when you have a limited resource and constant growth of demand.

      Watch this video, it's insightful.

      --
      NB: The message above might reflect my opinion right now, but not necessarily tomorrow or next year.
    7. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Domestic oil is somewhat expensive. It's there, yes, but it's pricy - deep down deposits in the golf, and sands that take intensive processing. That's why so much of it is imported. The shallow deposits of the middle east are so easy to get to, it's cheaper to get it over there - even with the OPEC cartel.

      Oil prices have, in recent times, gone up high enough to make even oil shale profitable. But there is no guarantee they will stay that high. Why would any company spend hundreds of millions to build a processing facility that's viable right now if there is a chance that in five years the price of oil will have dropped again?

    8. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Gutboy · · Score: 1

      ... and no one knows the floor price to make shale oil extraction profitable because that's a field of engineering only now being developed.

      Say what? Shale oil extraction has been around since the 10th century, lots of development went on in the 1980s
      . Kiviter process facilities have been operated continuously in Estonia since the 1920s

      It's obviously cheap enough as some people have been doing it for nearly a century.

    9. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by outsider007 · · Score: 1

      CO2 is easy to offset. Just have a garden. Methane is by far the more insidious GHG. For that you need to get off beef and dairy.

      --
      If you mod me down the terrorists will have won
    10. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      How large a garden do you need to offset driving 100 miles a day ? Think more like a little forest.
      Specially if you live in high latitudes where the sun doesn't shine all that much.
      Methane production per gallon of milk isn't bad. Bad is Methane production for pound of beef.
      It takes a lot of milk to make a pound of Cheese, so its quite bad there as well.
      The American model of living and the Chinese coal mad dash are destroying the world. No cheap words can negate that.
      I lived in the US for 7 years. My commute was 30 miles each way. However I drove a fuel efficient almost compact car, 25mpg.
      And saw all those idiots driving gas guzzling SUVs and trucks.

    11. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      US oil consumption: ~22 million bbl/day.
      Proven US oil reserves (including Alaska, Gulf of Mexico and the continental shelves): ~21 billion bbl.
      You call that lots?

    12. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      The main problem with shale oil is that its EROEI (energy returned on energy invested) is only about 3, i.e. to produce one barrel of oil you need the energy equivalent of 1/3rd barrel. And that's with the easily extracted stuff. Once the EROEI gets close to one it doesn't matter how much you have and what the oil price is.
      http://theoildrum.com/ is *the* resource for this kind of info.

    13. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by outsider007 · · Score: 1

      It would be a few trees for you probably. Or you could always buy the carbon offsets like Al Gore does, it might set you back $50/year tops.

      --
      If you mod me down the terrorists will have won
    14. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How large a garden do you need to offset driving 100 miles a day?

      That's easy enough to work out. Let's assume that your hypothetical 100 miles-per-day commute was done in a car that gets 25mpg. You'd use up 4 gallons of gasoline for your drive. Each gallon of gasoline roughly works out to 20 lbs of CO2.

      Okay, so now you're working about 260 days a year, and this means you would need 20*260 ==> 5200 lbs of related lumber.

      Going by how much an average tree absorbs (1100kg, or 2425lbs), your hypothetical driver would need to plant 2-3 trees a year.

      Not everybody drives 100 miles a day, so not everybody would need all 3 trees to offset their driving.

    15. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by QuoteMstr · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. EROEI isn't everything, or even the dominant factor in extraction.

      EROEI > 1 makes perfect sense when you think about it. Petroleum is even more useful as a chemical feedstock than it is as a fuel, and even as a fuel, petroleum products are portable and convenient in a way unmatched by any alternative. We'll see extraction continue far past EROEI > 1, with the excess made up by nuclear, wind, solar, and so on.

    16. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Alioth · · Score: 1

      The problem is not the QUANTITY of oil, it's the RATE at which you can extract it.

      The biggest supplier to the USA of oil is Canada, not the Middle East. But consider this: Canada's proven reserves are 1.7 trillion barrels of oil if I recall correctly. By comparison, Mexico's Cantarell field was only 0.1% of the size of Canada's tar sands reserves. However, after two decades of development, Canada's entire tar sands reserves can barely produce at the rate of Cantarell - a field 0.1% of the size - at its peak.

      All the easy US oil is gone. While there may be a lot in shale, it is painfully slow to extract. It's not like drinking out of a Coke bottle with a straw (that's what Saudi oil is like), it's basically having to extract it from rock.

      Basically, it's slow and hard and expensive to extract. For the US to be able to run only on north American oil sources, it would have to cut consumption to 1/4 of what it is now permanently. With the best will in the world, the US oil reserves will not produce oil quickly nor cheaply. It has nothing to do with environmentalists, and everything to do with sweet crude from elsewhere being a heck of a lot cheaper and easier to extract.

    17. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

      TL;DW - got a transcript?

      If it's that important they should write it down instead of making a boring video.

    18. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      at well over $70/barrel a lot of sustainable solutions can be very competitive. so why invest in a technology that isn't sustainable?

    19. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by bunratty · · Score: 1

      We emit over 30 billion tons of carbon dioxide per per. That's over 4 tons for every person on the planet. Is every person going to be able to grow tons of plants every year? If not, we need to either reduce emissions or find a way of scrubbing the carbon dioxide out of the air and sequester it to prevent carbon dioxide levels from rising.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    20. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by outsider007 · · Score: 1

      That just means we need about 20 trees per person to offset the carbon. It's really no big deal.

      --
      If you mod me down the terrorists will have won
    21. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Where are we going to put 20 new trees per year per person? It sounds like a big deal to me... work out the numbers. Besides, even if we plant 20 trees per person per year, they won't grow to full size in one year. Read up on carbon sequestration to get an idea of the scale of what you're proposing.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    22. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      CO2 is easy to offset. Just have a garden.

      Gasoline has a high energy density, which is why we use it, at ~2.5 times that of wood. Basically if you burn a gallon of gas a day you'd need to grow ~120 cubic feet of wood to offset the carbon.

      I don't know how to calculate how large a garden it would take, but I think 'ridiculously large' is a good approximation.

    23. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by the_humeister · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't say they're "sucked dry." Just the easy top 10% that comes out by itself due to pressure has been collected. There's still more oil in the old wells, it just doesn't come up by itself anymore.

    24. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by currently_awake · · Score: 1

      The USA doesn't have anywhere near enough oil for domestic use, though canadian tar sands will fill the gap if you'd stop buying from Saudi Arabia. The bigger issue with renewable energy is how to run your car on it. America is built around cars and nobody is going to change that in less than 50 years. The reason things are going so slowly with renewable energy is because it costs more. Once that changes it'll pick right up. Or your government could show some leadership and make it happen, but historically american politicians don't know what leadership is.

    25. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention all those countries that have active volcanoes. Talk about polluters! They're going to have to grow trees on their trees.

    26. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by panda+cakes · · Score: 0

      Not all trees are the Christmas trees, they don't get chopped down at the end of the year but instead they tend to live for decades or even centuries.

    27. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Kohath · · Score: 1

      The US needs to rethink its long commute way of living.

      What if we simply decline your suggestion? We choose to live the way we choose.

      Should any culture be allowed to live according to their choice? Or is it just the US that isn't allowed to choose our own way of life?

    28. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Kohath · · Score: 1

      There isn't constant "growth of demand". It varies. Sometimes it grows, sometimes it shrinks. And no one said "plenty" except for you.

    29. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      Go ahead, destroy the earth.
      Real smart. Real real smart.
      Take the easy convenient road.
      Continue to drive your huge SUVs and pickup trucks for their status and ego boosting.
      Thanks god America will be bankrupt before it finishes destroying earth.
      You're selling yourselves out to China and the big corporations.
      You probably think that all Wars America though were righteous.
      You probably believe there's no global warming. And that George W. Bush took all his actions thinking about what's best for USA's population and no to give his oil/defense/energy hundreds of billions.
      Be an ostrich, keep your head stuck in a whole forever.

    30. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Kohath · · Score: 1

      I, and many other citizens of the US (and a growing number of people around the world), disagree that the earth is in danger of being destroyed by normal people trying to live their lives.

      We are also skeptical of US-haters in general. Hate and prejudice tends to alienate people from reason and fact.

    31. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      I'm not a US hater.
      I lived in the US for 7 years in the 90s.
      I have plenty of friends both of born and raised in the US and Brazilian naturalized Americans.
      You just made your personal agenda very clear. Everyone that criticizes America must be labelled an enemy of America. Very typical post 9/11 behavior.
      I don't even hate you. I don't hate most Americans. I do hate Bush, Cheney and the rest of his gang. I don't love Obama either, but I do respect him (respect him a lot). It's a pity they voted Bush in the office as a knee jerk reaction from Clinton's sex scandals. That shows how immature the average American voter is. I could respect McCain if he didn't change a lot and got ellected. I actually was in the US when Clinton got re-elected and when Bush later took office.
      If you go around and talk to any Airline pilot that flies across the world's ocean, if they truly open up they will tell you that the earth's atmosphere over the oceans is increasingly becoming more and more dangerous for flying due to serious increase in convective activity (thunderstorm clouds). This is caused by a hotter earth.
      This isn't a critical issue, just one more evidence that the situation is happening.

      Man does has the full capacity to destroy earth. Even without thinking that its doing it.

      The level of resource consumption from developed countries is unsustainable. If Latin America and Africa had a society that used oil like the US does, we would already be doomed. If the same population eated protein like America, there wouldn't be enough land to grow grain to feed all that cattle. Think about it !

      Just because you believe in something, it doesn't make it true. You need data to back your thinking up. Not manipulated information from Fox News.

      Average human beings when threatened will deny everything that threatens them. Don't expect rational behavior from them. I don't expect rational behavior from you. Hopefully others will read this exchange and see who's being irrational. You would probably choose to ignore every shred of evidence that points to global warming and accept every thing to the contrary.

      Wait until one year when a dozen category 5 hurricanes make a really serious damage on the South Eastern US coast. Wait until the forest fires in SW US become really serious. We're seeing a level of deaths in Brazil due to serious floods that can be directly linked to global warming.

      There's clear evidence that the level of CO2 present in the atmosphere today hasn't happened in the last 10000 years (since the rise of the human domination of the earth). The one and only mitigating factor is that the higher CO2 levels reach, the faster vegetation will grow, specially in sunny areas with plenty of water. That has been determined by ice core analysis. Ice keeps samples of atmosphere concentrations for thousands of years.

      While USA is the biggest problem, China is just a few years from becoming just as serious, Europe uses a little less Petrol per capta, but is also an issue, France being a little less problematic since they use very little coal and use very little oil for electricity generation and has reasonable mass transit (that the Americans insist on not using), because they are heavy users of Nuclear Energy.

      Do you have the balls to affirm that the bad rap that Nuclear Energy got in the US isn't driven by the big oil lobby ?
      The US has tons of plutonium in storage that could power a lot of nuclear plants for a long time.

      It's so sad that so few people can't see past the media manipulation that big business lobby have effected since there is mass media.
      International mainstream media is seriously manipulated. Miss information is fed into the media every day.
      So sad.

      PS:
      1 - I do hate Bin Laden, Al Qaeda, Ahmajinejad, Kim Jong Il, Castro and all dictators and dictators wanna bees of the world. Even more than Bush.
      2 - I'm 100% a firm believer in real democracy, even with all of its shortcomings. Unfortunately people aren't smart enough to demand lo

    32. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Kohath · · Score: 1

      do hate Bush, Cheney and the rest of his gang. ... That shows how immature the average American voter is. ... Not manipulated information from Fox News.

      See what I said above. Hatred and prejudice tend to lead a person away from facts and reason.

      Wait until one year when a dozen category 5 hurricanes make a really serious damage on the South Eastern US coast.

      They promised this after hurricane Katrina. That was 5 years ago. It didn't happen. It has been calm. How many wrong predictions does it take to lead a reasonable person to doubt?

      What's the long term record for doomsday predictions anyway? How many hundreds or thousands of supposedly enlightened men have made doomsday predictions? And when were they right? When was doomsday? Did I miss it?

      Mayan calendar doomsday is next year, BTW.

      Al Gore predicted an ice-free Arctic within 10 years. That was 7 years ago. What will you say when he turns out to be wrong?

      ...
      Unfortunately people aren't smart enough to demand long term smart decisions from their politics, the 60% poorer population in the US and in Brazil are both relatively stupid. ...

      3 - You probably don't see that the dictatorships in Egypt, Iran and many others were a direct result of the US war on communism and their plan for world domination. The current Iranian theocracy was a direct result of keeping a tyrant king in power in Iran. Same for Egypt. The current president of Afghanistan is a pawn of the energy interests of America.

      The truth is ugly.

      But you don't hate the US. You just have nothing good to say about it and a dozen complaints going back 40-60 years. And we're stupid in the US.

    33. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      It's interesting how your responses to my political arguments are completely devoid of any facts or any details.

      Look at what oil prices did while Bush was in power. Look at the trillions of dollars he spent on the Iraq and Afghanistan invasion. I was completely in favor of the first Iraq war. I actually was at first in favor of the 2nd Iraq war, but after I realized how the US went in without a plan for peace, it was very clear that Bush & gang didn't think it through. They didn't go in to achieve piece, but just to give their defense and oil buddies hundreds of billions in profits. That's the republican approach to war. Their approach always breeds more violence. Damn defense Hawks. The US defense dept should be renamed the War dept as it was up to the WWII times.

      I don't hate the US people in general. As much as I don't hate the Iranian people even though I hate their regime. Hell, I don't hate the current US administration, even though I don't love them. But you seem hell bent on mixing it all up to make me look stupid. That attitude shows weaknesses on your argument.

      Funny your response on Iran. Do you deny that the Shah was armed by the USA (they have F-14, F-5 aircraft for instance). Do you deny that the Shah ruthless treatment of the Iranian people didn't cause the revolution ?
      Accepting responsibility over the Iranian political scenario (and many other countries) would go a long way towards restoring a good standing with the Middle East people. That doesn't mean the current Iranian regime is a good thing, I'm all for figuring a way to topple them peacefully, and going in with heavy airstrikes and special ops assaults if their nuclear threat becomes critical, but no invasion.

      Do you deny that Fox News is a hate spreading organization, that manipulates their editorial content to spread hate and discontent ? Of course they make money doing that, but so does other media organizations, even those with far more balanced positions on news.
      We used to get them in Brazil, but about 18 months ago, they were removed from both my local cable and Brazil Sky satellite TV. It was interesting the contrast between CNN International and Fox News. Brutal.

      The rise in CO2 levels is a documented fact.
      Look at:
        http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/5/51/Mauna_Loa_Carbon_Dioxide-en.svg
      From:
        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide

      Same for global warming:
          http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/95/Global_Temperature_Anomaly_1880-2010_(Fig.A).gif
      Have you seen this chart ???? It was measured in American soil (Hawaii), by the Mauna Loa observatory.

      It's possible that scientists are over blowing the short term macro earth effects. There are extremists on both sides, just as there are those that say global warming doesn't exist at all, there are those on the global warming side that will exaggerate on their predictions. But that doesn't mean the effects aren't serious. It could be another 10 years, but when it really starts getting very serious, it might take another 10 years to bring things back under control and millions will die in between. Melting of the ice caps will happen with the current state of affairs.

      The oceans are becoming more acid. That's because CO2 in contact with water becomes carbonic acid. This is killing seaborne species today.
      I'm a fairly young guy (under 40), so I don't have a long term view of worldwide natural disasters, but has the fires in California and vicinity were that serious 30-40 years ago ?
      This will be my last message. If you don't want to see anything documented as of happening TODAY about global warming as serious, then you won't be persuaded until it comes close enough to biting you in the ass.

      Goodbye my Ostridge friend.

      I still don't hate you. It's just that I can't agree to disagree on such a serious matters.

    34. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by Kohath · · Score: 1

      And, right now, there is real democracy and (relative) peace in Iraq. It isn't a utopia, and everything didn't go exactly as planned, and anything could change at any time, but we won the war and Iraq is currently a success.

      But no credit or anything. Only complaints and conspiracy theories.

      And again this complaining about Iran. What was exactly the right thing to do in Iran? What was exactly the right time? Who was the right leader? What, exactly, would have been the correct outcome?Why didn't your country do the right thing at the right time and promote the right leader? Why didn't they even try?

      We had a cold war to win. Communists killed more than 100 million people in a dozen countries on 4 continents.

      Why should the US have anything to say about any policy from 50 years ago? Clinton went around the world apologizing for a dozen different things. Obama is doing the same, and bowing to kings and emperors and every other kind of national leader. But it doesn't do any good. You're still complaining.

    35. Re:Domestic oil is an alternative by macpacheco · · Score: 1

      It wasn't my 2 trillion dollars Bush spent on wars. It was American money. It now added to your national debt. So much for republicans calling themselves fiscally conservatives. Americans will need to give up on a ton of stuff to pay that (if they ever do).

      Sure, after someone outside the Bush gang suggested a smart solution (the surge was McCain's proposal as I recall), things started to improve. McCain isn't a hawk, he's one of the few smart (open minded) republicans out there. And got grilled big time for all of his bipartisan initiatives. Many Democrats are close minded too, on the opposite side of the ideological spectrum. But still, the Iraq invasion wasn't cost effective. It was to enrich Bush buddies. And this is a fact. Look at who are the largest political contributors to Republicans like him.

      I don't need any apology from the Americans for what they did through the cold war. I hate communism in general. Even though medicine standards in Cuba are good, people are borderline starving, and there's no excuse for silencing political opposition. And Cuba seems to be the one communist regime that can say that it brought some real improvement to people's life. All others were/are utter failures. But I digress. The fact is that the US is used as a scapegoat by most dictatorships in the world. But for many in the middle east, some US humility might weaken Hamas, Al Qaeda and other terror organizations. If those terrorist organizations / dictatorships no longer can blame America/Europe for their troubles, they would be severely undermined.

      Eating humble pie doesn't mean making substantial concessions. Wikileaks shows that what you say in public can be completely different from behind the doors conversation.

      Still no comment on global warming and CO2 rise.
      I stand by the root of this thread. Long commutes with Gasoline vehicles, large SUVs, pickup trucks and heavy meat consumption by developed countries (specially the US) is unsustainable, and will eventually destroy the earth. Hybrids only attenuate the issue.
      Whenever possible, substitute beef with eggs, milk, chicken/pork/fish meat, much more environmentally conscious options. I do eat meat BTW but I'm progressively cutting back with egg white, milk, whey protein and fish.

      If the US standard of living was exercised by just half of earth's population, oil would cost at least US$ 300 / barrel and there wouldn't be enough grain to feed cattle for meat production. Those are FACTs. Global inflation would put the whole world through a new depression.

      Think about it. The US way of life is very convenient. It's very painful to just digest the facts I'm rising on this message. I know how great living in the US can be compared to developing countries. So I understand how painful it must be to even try to digest this information. But its the truth.

      Do you know that most countries tax petrol by at least 50%. Even though Brazil is a net exporter of Oil, Gasoline here costs more than double the US. Same for Europe. If I were Obama, I would tax petrol imports by 20% and give citizens a tax credit per person to offset that tax. This way people would be far wiser about their usage of oil (those who used less petrol would save money, while those who use more would spend more).

      Gasoline in Brazil costs close to US$ 6 per gallon. In Europe its about the same.

  8. Beware the lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We can see the putative 'energy crisis' currently when we buy gas. It gets majorly more expensive by the day. It is apparently caused by concerns about the Middle East. This is rubbish though. The gas we buy now was bought nine months ago on futures contracts. What we are seeing at the gas pump is an excuse for the oil companies to make more money. With business ethics like this, it is no surprise that renewable energy will never have much of a chance. The more interesting question though is why we are so stupid as to permit this. I'd recommend the peddle cycle as the best way of promoting sustainable ways of living and a way to let the greedy types know that their game is understood and rejected.

    1. Re:Beware the lies by stoanhart · · Score: 1

      Just because oil is purchased on futures contracts doesn't mean that current gas prices can't be affected by current events. If you're an oil company, you would rightly predict that, based on current events, future oil prices will be higher and supply will be lower. Thus, you need to make your current stockpile of gasoline last longer by raising its price, because the output from your refineries is going to slow down soon. Of course, I believe there is definitely an element of opportunistic price gouging too, but that's not the whole story.

  9. What do you mean by 'Clean' by rossdee · · Score: 1

    Most of the 'clean' energy projects are not for replacing oil (as a transport fuel) but are for replacing fossil fuels like coal and natural gas in electricity production.
    Until we get a big breakthrough in battery technology we are not going to be able to run our cars on wind and solar power.

    1. Re:What do you mean by 'Clean' by NFN_NLN · · Score: 5, Informative

      Most of the 'clean' energy projects are not for replacing oil (as a transport fuel) but are for replacing fossil fuels like coal and natural gas in electricity production.
      Until we get a big breakthrough in battery technology we are not going to be able to run our cars on wind and solar power.

      Transportation only accounts for 27% of US energy consumption. You can still make a large impact even if you left cars to run on fossil fuels.

      http://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q=cache:VQZGOdC8BrMJ:www.need.org/needpdf/infobook_activities/IntInfo/ConsI.pdf+automobiles+percentage+energy&hl=en&gl=ca&pid=bl&srcid=ADGEESiuc1DbXndHxR3juwumi8zfv8PraBjI9Q6rRJddCRo2TVVM2d6ar8e-9lofdg138GPS-jCQAA5o0F6wbGk4kC51MYiOK_-rw0y7XWluvhzo-JBVPyZpTJAxeMZYQaAvcMJE3eha&sig=AHIEtbTo2UW2PHXen6_KMZpEnGeuEAj4vQ

    2. Re:What do you mean by 'Clean' by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      True but of the 3 types of fossil fuels petroleum, the one most used for transportation, is the one that's going to be in short supply soonest.

    3. Re:What do you mean by 'Clean' by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most of those cars can run on "Biobutanol" with no modification at all, or on ethanol/methanol with some modification.
      Diesel trucks/cars can run on vegetable oil and biodiesel.

      But you USoAians always fucks things up. corn corn corn....

    4. Re:What do you mean by 'Clean' by rossdee · · Score: 1

      But when the price of oil skyrockets, the price of coal hardly moves - at least as far as the contracts the power companies have with the coal producers

      So its not an incentive to switch from coal to wind etc

    5. Re:What do you mean by 'Clean' by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      It depends on what impact you want to make. If your goal is to stop producing CO2, then yes, you can make a large impact even if you left cars to run on fossil fuels.

      But most of the oil use in the US is for transportation. If you want to make a difference to Mideast Turmoil like the OP, then yes, you need to address transportation.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    6. Re:What do you mean by 'Clean' by RewriteQuran · · Score: 0

      I think free public transportation will reduce demand for crude imports.

      --
      Govt must constitute a panel to rewrite US Constitution and Quran
  10. Unless you have an economically viable solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    you're just spewing hot air.

    Please to note, "economically viable" != "taxing everyone else to make up for the deficiencies of my proposals".

    1. Re:Unless you have an economically viable solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, Bush is gone. Get over it. Seriously.

      Not everyone fits into nice little slots and when it comes to politicians people shouldn't vote like they do either. Bush was a suck. No doubt. But when it comes right down to, he's gone and I'd rather cut spending and let the tree shake a bit then see a new unproven social program put in place.

      Let's live in the here and now and realize that the current administration had pretty much a blank check out of the gate and what we got out of it was more welfare and less jobs. This isn't to say that the so called Republican surge is going to make a difference, how can they honestly? What it is to say is that Obama could have funneled money just about anywhere he wanted and he went with something that was just about as unpopular as possible. Had he instead been gunning for alternative energy I'd be a hell of a lot more sympathetic and most people would have probably just shrugged it off.

      Both parties seemed to have gone out of their way for people to hate them in recent times but Obama really fumbled the ball. Bush at least has the sympathies of bad circumstance.

    2. Re:Unless you have an economically viable solution by antifoidulus · · Score: 1

      Public health insurance is proven, deal with it. EVERY, and I mean EVERY single rich country in the world has public health insurance and as a result spend less than half what the US does as a percentage of GDP on healthcare. If thats not "proven", I don't know what is.

  11. 2 flippin words by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Two words....

    PEAK OIL. Its all price climbs here on out, How about $500/bbl? $700/bbl?

  12. i really dont care, just drop oil prices already by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thanks to the left-wing party, the lack of drilling is causing the oil prices to be substantial. Allow drilling, and allow unclean energy to exist while the discovery of alternative energy is being researched and mass-produced. At the moment, not many people can afford the high-cost of energy in this dying economy and there are too many liberals thinking that we'll all die in 50 years if we don't immediately switch over, which is ironic being that many of these alternative energy sources often require energy that they claim to hate to build them.

  13. Basic economics by l2718 · · Score: 2

    As a product becomes more expensive, developing alternative means of production becomes more profitable. For example, extracting oil from the shale in Alberta (Canada) is more expensive than the bare costs of extracting it from wells in the middle east. If political risks make middle-eastern oil more expensive, it will now be profitable to extract oil in Alberta. But oil prices could also come down if the political situation becomes more stable, so it's difficult to tell if the investment in alternatives is worth it. It depends on the ability of the market to deal with the volatility coming from the political instability (if it can, then the fluctuations in prices don't mean much in the long run).

    If you view the product more generally (energy) then again more expensive oil would make alternative energy solutions more profitable. For example, shifting from gasoline-powered to electric-powered cars tends to reduce the volatility in the cost of driving the car, since electricity can be produced by many means.

    What I don't see is why the so-called "clean" alternatives to oil would be cheaper than the "non-clean" ones. Given the terrible experience with wind power in Spain and Germany, the disaster that corn-based ethanol is in the US etc, it is simply not believable that such technologies would be cheaper than, say, natural gas.

    Then there's fusion reactors, a proven clean energy source that seems to always be left out of the discussion. At current oil prices building nuclear reactors should be more profitable, but given the possibility that oil prices will eventually come down, I don't think short-term savings will be enough to counter the public's irrational fears of nuclear reactors.

    1. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > fusion reactors, a proven clean energy source

      Fusion? Really?

      And wind is working pretty damn good here in Texas, and the Chinese are doing well with it too. Failures in Germany and Spain (citation needed, BTW) do not imply failure everywhere.

    2. Re:Basic economics by toejam13 · · Score: 1

      I think you meant to say fission reactors. AFAIK, fusion reactors that generate more power than they require to sustain a fusion reaction are still science fiction.

      However, I do agree with your statement. Nuclear reactors [in combination with hydro and off-shore wind] would make for excellent base-load generation. The efficiency and safety of fission reactors has come a long way since the 1970s, which is the age of many reactors in the US.

      The problem with nuclear is mostly image. People think of Chernobyl, which was an unsafe design even for its time. Thing is, you'd never have gotten a permit to build a Soviet RBMK turbine in the US, even in 1970 (the US required full containment and prohibited positive void coefficients). It is like suggesting that all cars today should be banned because somebody who didn't know how to drive got into a horrific crash in a '72 Yugo back in '86.

      The other issue, waste disposal, is mostly an issue of NIMBYism. Vitrification does a fairly good job of making high-level waste stable for long-term storage. The bulk of our waste (90+%) is low-level crap like gloves, suits and the like - you probably get more radiation emissions from the radon escaping your granite counter-tops or seeping up through your basement. Even if the stuff leaks into the groundwater, we have strains of bacteria that we can pump into the water table that neutralizes it; it is being used at Hanford today.

      Peak uranium isn't really an issue, either. The Japanese have found that you can extract uranium from seawater for about 2× the current cost of yellow cake on the commodities market. There is enough in the oceans to fuel us for 10,000 years. And remember that fuel is one of the smallest of costs of running a nuke plant. Then there is thorium, which is even more plentiful.

    3. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What fusion reactors? Where they be? Proven to be clean? Yes. Proven as a technology? Absolutely not.

      Wind, bio-ethanol, tidal, geothermal, all proven technology, that works to differing degrees depending on the circumstances. Fusion however, has been tried repeatedly and the outcome was always the same, Fail!

      However, if you meant fission reactors, i vote that you eat the first barrel of waste.

    4. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fission reactors are much more expensive than coal, but they are perfect for cargo ships.

      The problem is mostly with the cost, also since we don't have a fleet of electric cars, we can't use them to power our auto industry.

      Once solar is cheap, and batteries are cheap, then of course they will be cheaper than their gas alternatives.
      Think of it this way, gasolines prices continue to go up, and will continue until we switch away from it. Supply is not increasing, and will eventually decrease, yet demand is skyrocketing, it's really that simple.

      Batteries and solar on the other hand continually go down in price, therefore at some point in the future they will become much cheaper, primarily since the sun doesn't charge us anything.

    5. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Basic economics also has something called an "externality" Generally, it's a cost that gets pushed on to some one else, so you don't have to worry about it.

      The energy market is rife with externalities that need to be part of the debate ... pollution and waste disposal, defense costs for protecting fields and shipping lanes, trade imbalances, tax codes, etc.

      If you could find a way to mix those costs into the costs fo various energy forms, the clean(*) alternatives would look a lot better (and corn ethanol would look a lot worse - that one's a pure disaster).

      (*) Why the scare quotes on clean in your post?

    6. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a product becomes more expensive, developing alternative means of production becomes more profitable.

      Yes, but that doesn't necessarily mean the price comes down, just that there is still oil on the market and someone is making money from it.

      For example, extracting oil from the shale in Alberta (Canada) is more expensive than the bare costs of extracting it from wells in the middle east. If political risks make middle-eastern oil more expensive, it will now be profitable to extract oil in Alberta.

      I don't think you understand...the price of oil is based on how much energy it produces vs. how much energy it takes to get it out of the ground. We've already taken the easy to get oil out of the ground everywhere except the Middle East because they have so much of it. Turning shale to oil is even more energy intense than drilling a well in the deep ocean. None of these things will make the oil price go down.

      But oil prices could also come down if the political situation becomes more stable, so it's difficult to tell if the investment in alternatives is worth it.

      Short term, you are absolutely right. Long term, no way.

      Fossil fuels are made from old dead plants. That's why they are called fossil fuels. We would need another billion years of dead plants in order to have more oil, and we don't have that kind of time. The global demand for oil continues to increase while the supply continues to dwindle. Of course the price will go up over time. It has for the last 100 years, and there is no reason for it to stop.

      What I don't see is why the so-called "clean" alternatives to oil would be cheaper than the "non-clean" ones.

      Good question. The answer is that it is only a matter of time (price of oil will go up), technology (new battery chemistries with higher energy density), and mass production (batteries, windmills, etc. go down in price when everybody is using them). The point is to be prepared to switch to the new technologies as soon as possible to avoid the kind of fluctuations we are seeing now as well as to keep the jobs and money domestically, or at least to not send money to volatile regions like the Middle East.

      Given the terrible experience with wind power in Spain and Germany

      What what WHAT?!?!?! Do you have any idea what you are saying?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_Germany
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_Spain

      Nations around the world are getting a greater percentage of their energy from wind because it is cost effective. This is only true because the Danes subsidized the industry like mad in the 1990's and thus funded new technologies to bring the costs down. In many places, wind is more cost effective than coal:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power

      As far as solar is concerned, Germany last year reduced subsidies for it because it was TOO profitable. Panel growth was outstripping the grids ability to handle the regional ups and downs of so many panels. We are talking about Germany, a country that gets far less sun, than, well, just about any place in the US.

      Then there's fusion reactors, a proven clean energy source that seems to always be left out of the discussion.

      That's the problem: They aren't a proven clean energy source. Billions have been spent on research to make them cost competitive, but the amount of energy put in to start the reaction and contain it is always more than the amount that comes out. To be commercially viable (worth building such a plant) the amount of energy to come out needs to be an order of magnitude higher. We should continue to fund research in the hopes that we get there, but fusion is currently not an option.

      At current oil prices building nuclear reactors should be more profitable, but given the possibility that oil prices will eventually co

    7. Re:Basic economics by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 2

      Corn-based ethanol was an idiotic idea from the start, born only of lobbying by the corn industry so farmers wouldn't have to actually change their crops. Corn is and always has been a terrible source for ethanol. The problem is it is politically impossible in the US to stop subsidizing inefficient farming practices, despite most farms being owned by mega-corps anyway.

      I don't know what you're getting about wind power in Spain and Germany though. Their biggest problem is that they can't let it grow to be too large a fraction of the power grid without some type of storage technology, but when the wind blows it works just fine to let them shut down coal generators.

      The biggest problem any of these places face is subsidy's to specific technologies. Without a general price on CO2 emissions, most of these technologies end up being a net inefficient way to reduce CO2 emissions, often at the expense of other technologies (like tidal power, nuclear, hydro, geothermal).

      The free market works wonderfully when externalities are correctly priced in, but so long as CO2 is not, then direct action plans are much more expensive then a CO2 price (and subsequent cost-of-living increase) subsidies are.

    8. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When it comes to corn-based ethanol, that is just a mistake from start to finish. Not only are there other grains and cereals where you get a significantly higher amount of ethanol for less acreage and input energy, the only reason corn is cheap enough to even consider making fuel from it is because of subsidies to production in the US. The obvious counterexample is sugarcane ethanol in e.g. Brazil.

    9. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear cargo ships? Not happening. Way too expensive.

      Also, security risks add to the cost - imagine how tempting a target a nuclear-powered ship would be to Somali pirates.

      The US military only has a few nuclear-powered hulls, since even they think it's too expensive for general use (that should tell you something).

    10. Re:Basic economics by toejam13 · · Score: 1

      I disagree. Coal is cheaper because we don't force mining companies to clean their sites to a state of zero impact. We don't force generators to scrub their exhaust of 100% of all fly ash generated, to catalyze all nitrogen oxides or capture all carbon output. We don't force them to bury their fly ash, bottom ash and sludge a mile deep under a mountain.

      If we did that, the cost of coal would go way up. Instead, what fly ash doesn't get expelled out the smoke stack is sold for use as filler in concrete, gypsum and fertilizers. Bottom ash also gets used as an aggregate. All this, even though such ash contains arsenic, barium, beryllium, cadmium, chromium, lead, mercury, molybdenum, radium, selenium, thorium, uranium and vanadium.

    11. Re:Basic economics by jonwil · · Score: 1

      I suspect that for ANY field being used to grow corn ethanol ANYWHERE in the US, you could find something else to grow on that same field that produces better biofuel outcomes.

    12. Re:Basic economics by Troll-Under-D'Bridge · · Score: 1

      Then there's fusion reactors, a proven clean energy source that seems to always be left out of the discussion.

      You probably mean fission, unless you know something we don't. Or are you talking about the biggest power source within eight light minutes of us?

    13. Re:Basic economics by rrohbeck · · Score: 2

      All the economics doesn't change one fact: There will be Peak X for any nonrenewable resource X at some point. The question is not if but when.
      Shale oil can keep us going for a decade or two, at high cost, but it's the last chance to get off fossil fuels. By the time shale oil hits its peak, peak coal will also be imminent - in 20 to 30 years. If the economy is still running on fossil fuels by then it will collapse. Even without that worst case scenario we will be hit by crude price peaks repeatedly - probably faster than the economy can adapt so it will have to shrink.

    14. Re:Basic economics by maxwell+demon · · Score: 1

      What fusion reactors? Where they be?

      Above our heads.
      However only one is close enough to harvest its energy.

      --
      The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
    15. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The US military only has a few nuclear-powered hulls, since even they think it's too expensive for general use (that should tell you something).

      You're claiming that 200 subs and a dozen carriers constitute "a few hulls"? Really?

    16. Re:Basic economics by currently_awake · · Score: 1

      Fusion -generators- don't exist. It's easy to talk about fusion reactors as the solution to all our problems but it's vapourware. Solving todays problems requires existing tech, not future tech. If the canadian gov had any sense they would build fision reactors by the dozen and sell the power cheap enough to the US to close down all your generator capacity. Once a monopoly is obtained we could milk them for all they're worth, opec style, forever.

    17. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But oil prices could also come down if the political situation becomes more stable, so it's difficult to tell if the investment in alternatives is worth it.

      And this exactly the sort of problem oil futures solve :) You can sell oil futures now at today's prices, and then drill up the oil and deliver it on the futures expiration dates. However, I imagine oil futures are below spot oil, as the market would be pricing in the likeliness that the ME crisis ends soonish.

    18. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm claiming nuclear is too expensive for general use - even you should be able to understand what 'few' means in that context.

      Out of all the ships in the US military, there are only 71 subs and 11 carriers that are nuclear-powered. So out of 400 US Navy ships, only some special cases are nukes. The Army has 1,500 large ships and 14,000 ships total, and none of them are nuclear powered.

      So, yes, few.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_current_ships_of_the_United_States_Navy
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ships_of_the_United_States_Army

    19. Re:Basic economics by khallow · · Score: 1

      If the canadian gov had any sense they would build fision reactors by the dozen and sell the power cheap enough to the US to close down all your generator capacity. Once a monopoly is obtained we could milk them for all they're worth, opec style, forever.

      Pretty dumb idea. Thinking of all the flaws, the one that stands out is that Canada goes bankrupt subsidizing this strategy. Then everyone in the US turns back on their generators when Canada "exploits" their monopoly. There is so much fail here, it's not funny.

    20. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Being a spaniard I can tell you that I disagree with your statement "terrible experience with wind power in Spain.."
      We are producing almost 30% of the electricity we use with wind and new wind farms are geting almost not subsidies as they are already able to produce at a cost level similar than natural gas power plants. Sorry for my bad English and regards.

    21. Re:Basic economics by l2718 · · Score: 1

      Yes; I meant to say "fission". Unfortunately you can't edit posts on Slashdot ...

    22. Re:Basic economics by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      Panel growth was outstripping the grids ability to handle the regional ups and downs of so many panels.

      And therin lies the real problem with solar and wind, they generate when the weather is right which may or may not match up with when you need the most power.

      Pumped storage and demand side management can help but pumped storage is very expensive and encouraging demand side management requires exposing end customers to tarrifs that vary with time of day which opens up huge cans of worms both form a point of view of privacy and from a point of view of keeping tarrifs understandable to consumers. Further both pumped storage and demand side management are only likely to smooth out short term peaks/troughs not weeks of poor weather.

      For this reason I would be very surprised if solar and wind ever become more than minor players in the electricty market.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    23. Re:Basic economics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "...the public's irrational fears of nuclear reactors."

      Then don't call them nuclear reactors. Call them "Elemental Generators - Using the Earth's Natural Resources to Generate Clean Electricity". I'm sure a marketer could come up with an even better name/byline.

  14. The Kings Fault by MrQuacker · · Score: 2
    When oil got that high, the Saudi King decided that if it got any higher people would really start looking at alternatives. So Saudi Arabia overinflated oil reserve and production estimates, and upped production as high as possible. By flooding the market with more oil they lowered prices a bit. Along with the banks fiasco, oil went "cheap" again.

    Now the Saudis production is slowing down the fields are going dry.

    1. Re:The Kings Fault by rrohbeck · · Score: 2

      All OPEC countries inflated their reserves because their market share was allocated proportionally.
      In 2008 Saudi Arabia couldn't increase production any more although the price was at a record high and Bush begged them for more.
      Right now it looks very questionable if they can really increase their production to pick up Libya's shortfall. Nobody measures how much they export so they can tell us anything. The crude oil price will tell us in the end.
      http://www.theoildrum.com/node/7550

    2. Re:The Kings Fault by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      It's not just Saudi Arabia, it's all of OPEC. They work as a consortium to keep oil prices high, but not *too* high. Or at least they try. They have enough influence to nudge the price of oil up or down, but not to just dictate it.

  15. Re:The enemy is still present by macpacheco · · Score: 1

    I absolutely hate both Republicans and Democrats equally when it comes down to financial responsibility. Perhaps hate the Republicans just a little bit more because they are pro Oil and pro War.
    While the Democrats are pro alternate energy, they waste a ton of money on all kinds of things.
    Nuclear energy in general is a sane, efficient solution as long as the nuclear waste is reprocessed like its done in France.
    Wait, even the Germans aren't pro nuclear as well. Let's not focus on one party. The target needs to be the energy lobby.
    If green peace and other eco organizations focused 100% of their energies on this alone, but no, they also are anti nuclear. Idiots too.
    Its a huge mess.
    Need to invest heavily on nuclear and wind power. With the latest and greatest huge 10MW wind turbines, wind power need perhaps just a 50% drop in turbine prices to become 100% economically viable, for places that are abundant in wind.
    For instance, the entire northern Brazilian sea shore gets a ton of wind, with peak right at the drought season that limits hydro power. Perfect solution for us.

  16. I put on my tin foil hat and robes. by Palmsie · · Score: 2

    If the wave of manufactured democracy has any foundation from the US government, bravo sirs. We have been trying to artificial create democracy in the middle east for quite some time. Right before Obama is beginning the Afghan pull out, democracy not only appears, but thrives. Massive propaganda success? Maybe. Who cares. Mission accomplished. I, for one, hope that the strain on oil continues. I'm in CA atm and we're up to $4.10 for regular but the long term goal is that this forces us to reconsider alternatives: serious alternatives, seriously.

    It is only when gas gets so ridiculously high that average citizens actually change their behavior that we as a nation can change. It forces us. And, as previous posters have noted, this will not solve the entire energy problem but it will allow for an ecosystem to grow in society where you can have a broad range of thoughts: robber barons, genuine captains of industry, small fixes, big fixes, fixes for cars, fixes for electricity. It allows for what Don Campbell called an 'experimenting society'. Rather, a society where everyone can (through science) solve the woes of humanity. Building that kind of society is the first step but it isn't the last.

    --
    Carl Sagan quotes get you an automatic +5 on all posts.
  17. A tree fell down in the Mideast... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..let us talk about clean energy for 5min.

  18. Re:The enemy is still present by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

    will do their best to cut funding for promising projects and make laws to kill the ones that are left over.

    If these projects can't stand on their own merits without requiring a ton of public funding, then they aren't "promising".

    Why any sane rational person would ever vote Republican is beyond me.

    Currently, US voters are to a considerable degree worried about the level of spending at the federal and state levels. When Democrats, such as Bill Clinton were serious about cutting spending, they got considerable support. Currently, the only serious impetus to cutting spending is among the Republicans. If that were to change, then the Democrats would get more support.

  19. Natural gas is cheaper than water by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, almost cheaper than water:
    http://www.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/ngw/ngupdate.asp

    So there is really no problem. All the world needs to do is drill for shale gas and build more gas turbines for electricity production and that is exactly what is happening.

  20. Re:The enemy is still present by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

    The problem with this approach is that, while all the voters are in favor of cutting spending in general, it's hard to find anything significent to cut that the voters don't actually want. Even the porkiest projects have a lot of supporters in their local area. We're having that situation here in the UK right now - our government is actually cutting spending, and heavily too, but that doesn't stop people moaning very loudly when they realise that there are fewer police on the street, the NHS is losing staff and even the road-cleaners will be coming around less often.

  21. Not much research is being done by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Some of us are working on alternatives to oil and have remained doing so since 2008. However, there is still relatively very little research being done in these areas. When one pulls patents in some of the alternative energy areas, the results are very thin.

    Its funny... the US is spending about $100 million dollars A DAY (12 million barrels x $80) on oil and I doubt that there is that much investment in RAW SCIENCE for alternative energy in a year. Nobody is doing it. Lots of people talk about it and there is lots of press, but when you go look at various areas you can count the number of companies working on things on one hand.

    I am very fearful that China is going to lock up a lot of the IP on batteries and, of course, the manufacturing.

     

  22. All According To Plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Obama, when he was interviewed about his cap-and-trade plan, stated that "Under my cap-and-trade plan, energy costs would necessarily skyrocket."

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HlTxGHn4sH4

    That's how they plan on making alternate energy cost-feasible...by blocking/impeding oil, natural gas, nuclear, and coal resource development domestically through regulation while simultaneously making all of it so expensive that alternate energy looks viable.

    Never mind that this will cause needless hardships, deaths, and a massive drop in the standard of living. The ends justify the means to those on the left.

    An All-American "Cultural Revolution" in the sense that untold numbers will likely die with the survivors living in poverty and starvation. Hungry poor people are easy to control.

    Sort of like the targeted famines used by the former USSR and Mao's China, only with energy instead of food, and targeted at the whole population instead of specific geographical areas and/or ethnicitys. Of course, increased energy prices will also dramatically raise food costs as well.

    All this combined with a failing US dollar resulting from our insane fiscal policies will make buying food resemble the hyperinflation in the former Weimar Republic where people were using wheelbarrows to haul enough cash for a single loaf.

  23. The problem is FAR more complex by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    It isn't about electric cars. It isn't about the middle east.

    It is about infrastructure, long term planning, economy, the status quo and vested interests.

    Oil is not just oil. Not all oil is equal for one. One of the problem with Libya is that its oil is very clean (low sulfur) and can be easily turned into petrol. Other oils especially those from the US are very poor. They are dirty and take a lot of processing to turn in to petrol.

    But petrol is not all. We could survive without petrol far easier then we could survive without plastics. Most gas engines can be converted cheaply to run on gas or alcohol. Try making a pencil out of wind electricity or biomass. What about syringes? Our modern medicine needs a LOT of plastic. Made from oil. Lots of stuff is made from oil and there are no easy replacements available. When the last drop of oil is sucked out of the ground, nobody will mourn their car. They will be to busy mourning the collapse of chemical industry.

    That is why there is a push to just keep drilling for more oil. The petrol companies got little to do with this. They can always switch. Far bigger concerns are all the industries that use oil not for burning but as an ingredient.

    Another concern is that switching changes the status quo. The way things are done. What use is Englands good relation with Arab dictatorships if oil from the region doesn't matter as much anymore? Forget about the oil barons, the public service is heavily tied to the region. See where Gadaffi (or whatever he is called) son went to school. Who was in the class with him? Us knows us.

    Turning over this multi-layered structure with its tentacles spread widely is insanely difficult. Good luck getting an oil free car. Oh, it might not RUN on oil, but it will have been build with it.

    In the meantime, peoples limited understanding of the world means that getting them to accept new things is very difficult. One of the most complex concepts is to get people to understand FUEL is nothing more then a battery, an energy carrier. Hydrogen is an alternative. So is electricity. Wait, electricity is an energy carrier itself? Yes. If I generate electricity at say a windmill I am storing energry produced by motion and transport it via a wire to say a car where it is turned into motion again.

    Lots of people claim of electric cars that generating the electricity is often polluting as well. Could be BUT an electric car can be fueled by electricity produced from a coal plant, a hand crank, solar energy and indeed a internal combustion engine running on petrol.

    A fleet of electric cars will NOT solve our problem of needing fasts amount of energy but it WILL make it easier to SWITCH energy sources. No need for a conversion kit to make your Prius run on nuclear power instead of coal power. If we can replace petrol cars with electric cars we can THEN worry about new ways to produce electric power. Else it will remain a catch 22 forever. No investment in alternative energy production because there is not enough demand for it.

    We have had oil crisisses before and frankly it seems a silly way to run an economy. of course to fix it, we actually have to start RUNNING the economy instead of letting speculators run rampant. Because the Libyan crisis should have no effect. It produces only a fraction of the world demand and other regions have already agreed to step up production. the price rices are just speculators hoping to strike it rich. Kill off wallstreet and there would be no oil price rice.

    Now there is a way to make the world a better place. Make peace, kill a speculator.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:The problem is FAR more complex by Alioth · · Score: 2

      Pencils ARE made from biomass, they are made from wood and carbon. Terrible example!

      In any case, the amount of oil we use for plastics is dwarfed (probably by orders of magnitude) compared to what we burn. Plastic is also very reusable, unlike fuel that is burned.

      In any case, to make plastic, fundamentally you need hydrocarbons. If you have energy you can make hydrocarbons. Carbon, hydrogen and oxygen are incredibly abundant; have a big enough source of energy and you can make any hydrocarbon you want. It's just it's more convenient and cheaper to get them ready-made from oil.

    2. Re:The problem is FAR more complex by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >If I generate electricity at say a windmill I am storing energry produced by motion and transport it via a wire to say a car where it is turned into motion again.

      Or even without a wire.

  24. A coupe things by djlemma · · Score: 1

    I have a couple questions and comments about this stuff...

    First, doesn't the US import most of its oil from South America? Maybe I'm remembering outdated information, but I could have sworn that was true..

    Second, aren't oil prices sort of artificially controlled by OPEC? I mean, if the Middle East wanted prices to go down, they could just produce more oil. So it seems like they're trying to get to that sweet sport where prices are high enough that they make lots of money, but low enough that it seems expensive to extract shale oil or invest in alternative energy..

    Personally I'm all for some alternatives. Heck, I wish there was a ton more public transit in the USA- I'm living in NYC now and I don't know how I lived without the subway system...

    1. Re:A coupe things by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Venezuela is the #3 or 4 source usually, that's the only significant South American source. The other top suppliers to the US are Canada, Saudi Arabia, Mexico and Nigeria.
      Prices are no longer controlled by OPEC but by the market. Close to half the supply comes from non-OPEC countries so they can't dictate prices. All they dictate is production rates for their members and the members generally don't obey them.

    2. Re:A coupe things by Software+Geek · · Score: 1

      First, doesn't the US import most of its oil from South America? Maybe I'm remembering outdated information, but I could have sworn that was true..

      The price of oil is based on the global market, balancing global supply with global demand. Most places tend to get their oil from the closest source to save a little on transportation costs. They pay the same price as people on the other side of the world getting their oil from the other side of the world, though. The cost savings of having your oil tankers take shorter trips is not enough to justify paying very much more for the oil.

      Second, aren't oil prices sort of artificially controlled by OPEC?

      Presumably, OPEC still has the power to raise oil prices by artificially limiting the supply of oil, the way they have done in the past. I don't believe they are doing so right now. Our current oil supply is limited by oil companies' decisions made over the past decade about how many oil wells to dig, based on the cost of digging each individual well, weighed against the projected price of oil.
      For most oil producers, once they have sunk the money into building the oil well, it makes economic sense to suck the oil out of that well as fast as possible and sell it at the market price, whatever that happens to be. When the time cost of money is factored in, it is more profitable to sell your oil today at $100/barrel than ten years from now at $200/barrel. In contrast it frequently makes economic sense to delay drilling the oil well for a decade, until the price of oil rises enough to justify the drilling costs.

      To summarize, the oil market is very efficient in the short term, using price fluctuation to exactly balance instantaneous supply with instantaneous demand. In the long term, it is highly speculative, with investors losing their shirts or making huge fortunes based on their ability to predict oil prices years in the future.

  25. Oil is too cheap by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Not too expensive. It's too cheap!

    You will not see any investment in alternative energies or more efficient engines as long as it's cheaper to just use more oil. Do you think people would care about getting 10 or 30 miles to the gallon if we still had the gas prices of the 70s? Especially if that 10 mpg car would cost quite a bit more since more R&D is necessary? Efficiency is never free, someone has to come up with a way to save fuel.

    And as much as it will hurt, only with higher prices for gas other, more expensive, forms of energy will become popular. Electric and H2 cars will instantly be a hit when gas prices double.

    And also, let's not forget that local production becomes quite a bit more interesting if the transport of crap from China gets more expensive...

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Oil is too cheap by rrohbeck · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Price volatility is the problem. Right now the price is high but after the next recession when the price drops again many new projects will be canceled again because they're not profitable. Exactly that happened in 2009.
      There needs to be a tax that props up the price to some minimum level.

    2. Re:Oil is too cheap by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's hardly a recession that creates cheap oil. If oil is cheap in a recession, it only means that there's enough stockpiled that oil sellers can open the flow when they need money.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:Oil is too cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, you're completely wrong and clearly don't actually follow the markets. A recession does create cheap oil because demand drops. A huge amount of oil is consumed by industry. When industry shrinks (for example, if there's a recession), demand for oil goes down and so does price. If anything, oil companies REDUCE production when price goes down, since their profit margin decreases when the price of oil does. During the worst of the recession, you would hear about commodities traders buying and filling up tankers so they could sell the oil at a later date.

    4. Re:Oil is too cheap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unfortunately, stupid fucking morons like you are in the White House.

      Expensive energy is the death knell of the economy. But dumb fucks like you don't care.

      I just hope you and your small, fuel efficient car end up beneath a semi-truck.

    5. Re:Oil is too cheap by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Yes it *is* a recession that creates cheap oil. Contrary to what the tinfoil hat crowds tells you, the oil price is set by supply and demand. OPEC has practically no control and everybody is pumping as much as they can. There is inherent speculation in oil trade because oil has to be shipped (often literally) so oil is bought for delivery in e.g. 6 or 8 weeks. However, speculators have little effect on the price because the oil market is so gigantic and nobody could finance manipulating it in earnest. They can only push it by a few dollars per barrel at most and the speculation actually dampens out some of the price swings.

  26. You have a left wing part in the USA? by fantomas · · Score: 1

    I didn't realise you have a left wing party of any substance in the USA, similar to socialist or labour parties in Europe. I thought your mapping was Democrat = centre-right and Republican= conservative right. For example, mainstream right wing parties in Europe are in favour of public education, and public health care like I think the Obama administration has just fought for.

    Maybe we have a differing terminology, what would you describe as a left wing party, a centre party, and a right wing party? Do you have examples of all three in the USA? In the UK, Labour = left wing, Liberal Democrat = centre party, Conservative = right wing.

  27. Gasoline 8.03 dollars / gallon where I live. by fantomas · · Score: 1

    Petrol not so cheap these days...

    Here in the UK, my local petrol (gasoline) station petrol costs 1.30 a litre, that's 8.03 US dollars / US gallon

    (3.79 litres to a US gallon, 1.63 dollars to the GB pound).

    1. Re:Gasoline 8.03 dollars / gallon where I live. by isorox · · Score: 1

      Petrol not so cheap these days...

      Here in the UK, my local petrol (gasoline) station petrol costs 1.30 a litre, that's 8.03 US dollars / US gallon

      (3.79 litres to a US gallon, 1.63 dollars to the GB pound).

      My wife and I commute to work, it costs £57 on the train for the 2 of us in peak, or £13 in petrol.

      It only makes sense to get the train if only one of us goes in, and only then if it's off peak (£18)

    2. Re:Gasoline 8.03 dollars / gallon where I live. by Yvan256 · · Score: 1

      It's around 1.30$CAD/litre in Canada. Which means 1.30 British pounds = 2.06$CAD/litre for you... ouch!

  28. Thrives? Where exactly? by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 2

    The rebellions in the Middle East have shaken things up but no lasting changes have yet been made. Figure heads can easily be replaced by the next dictator.

    Things are happening but to say Democracy is thriving... lets wait for the first free and open elections to be held at least eh? Some of us old stick in the muds think that they are a fairly important element of democracy. Silly I know but humor us.

    When not only a government has been fairly elected but ALSO one freely elected government has been freely and openly replaced by another fairly elected government can democracy be said to thrive.

    Overthowing a dictator is NOT democracy. Forced free elections is not freedom either. A ruling government respecting election results that go against it. THAT is democracy.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:Thrives? Where exactly? by cdrguru · · Score: 2

      Might want to see who gets elected as well. A huge problem is that there are very few established poltical organizations in those countries and the ones that do exist we wouldn't really like to see in power.

      But whether we like it or not, the established and well known organizations are likely to end up in control. It won't be like Iran but it will almost certainly be like Gaza where Hamas was elected in a supposedly free and fair election.

      If people want to vote in a new dictator, who are we to stop them?

    2. Re:Thrives? Where exactly? by Palmsie · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, thriving may have been too optimistic a word. But I think one could argue that things are shaking and they won't stop for quite some time. It started in Iran but no one was surprised when Ahmadinejad rolled in the tanks, he's already part of our favorite axis of evil. Egypt, Tunisia, even Iraq is feeling it. Will it result in a beautifully organized democracy? Of course not. But this is the kind of thinking the west has been waiting for. People overthrowing their shitty governments. The more Libya defies their citizens the easier it is for everyone to point the finger at them, rally support for democracy, and move the issue forward. Are we there yet? No, you're right, they're not. But like I said, it's an important step forward and a pretty commendable one if the US intel machine is involved.

      --
      Carl Sagan quotes get you an automatic +5 on all posts.
  29. Re:The enemy is still present by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

    If these projects can't stand on their own merits without requiring a ton of public funding, then they aren't "promising".

    You mean 'if these projects can't compete with all of the direct and indirect subsidy that the oil industry receives'.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  30. 50% more energy from existing power plants... by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

    Sort of tangential, but Sandia has made tremendous progress on thermal-electric conversion efficiency. Using supercritical carbon dioxide in the Brayton cycle, efficiency is 40-50% better than with the conventional steam cycle. As an added bonus, the system is thirty(!) times smaller, and will be correspondingly cheaper. The technology is applicable to existing coal, natural gas, nuclear, and even solar thermal plants.

  31. An easy first step: Open Fuel Standard (flex-fuel) by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

    Here's something we could do right now, that would make a big difference at minimal cost: pass the Open Fuel Standards Act.

    http://www.setamericafree.org/wordpress/?p=485

    At the moment, "flex-fuel" cars are available, but in limited supply. And they only work with E85 mix. A true flex-fuel car can use any combination of ethanol, butanol, methanol, gasoline, etc.. It doesn't solve the problem, obviously, but it does give us more OPTIONS when the petroleum supply gets tight.

    You can convert an existing car for a few hundred bucks. But if they are built that way at the factory, the flex-fuel option only adds about $100 to the price of the vehicle.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  32. Ethanol? Please. by 78spb89 · · Score: 1

    cellulosic ethanol is not a clean energy source, it's a bad idea. It uses food crops or food crop capable land to grow something that won't be used for food, so it cuts back on food production, causing price increases there. It's also energy negative, which means it uses more energy than you get from using it. Look at the energy density of gasoline vs. ethanol. Your cars will get less milage burning it.

    You know what the answer is? Biodiesel. Algae reactors can use waste water and ultimately clean that up (solves a problem) and be set up anywhere they can get sunlight (not using crop land) and biodiesel production is energy positive. Add to that, there is a smaller gap in energy density between petrol diesel and biodiesel than between gas and ethanol, and you're moving in the right direction. Things get downright warm and fuzzy when you remember that compression ignition engines are more efficient than spark ignition engines.

    1. Re:Ethanol? Please. by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      cellulosic ethanol is not a clean energy source, it's a bad idea. It uses food crops or food crop capable land to grow something that won't be used for food, so it cuts back on food production, causing price increases there.

      Wow, how amazingly ignorant. Actually, you can use the waste from green-revolution style agriculture, in which waste is overwhelmingly BURNED today, and turn it into ethanol. You can produce fuel and crops at the same time. A better objection is that all so-called green-revolution agriculture is inherently harmful to the planet. We need to be turning that waste into fertilizer to feed the fields. The crops are fertilized with oil-based fertilizers, and sprayed with pesticides, killing the biological components of the soil and basically rendering it inert. "Green Revolution" farming is essentially hydroponics in a soil medium. The end result will be hydroponics in greenhouses being the only viable means of fruit and vegetable production aside from actually doing it under lights.

      You know what the answer is? Biodiesel. Algae reactors can use waste water and ultimately clean that up (solves a problem) and be set up anywhere they can get sunlight (not using crop land) and biodiesel production is energy positive.

      Sure, I agree with that. Also butanol, which can also be made from algae, although it cannot currently be made cost-effectively from saltwater algae. Unfortunately, we really need a solution right now to deal with all the non-diesels on the planet. Butanol is that solution, and if patent law had a "shit or get off the pot" clause in it as it probably should then we'd be able to buy it right now, but as was recently reported here, a joint venture between BP and DuPont is sitting on the patent for doing it efficiently and actively seeking to prevent its use. The work was done at a university using the time of grad students and therefore at least partly funded by our tax dollars.

      I love my diesels and would love to be able to score B100 for them at all times. But there are numerous advantages to gasoline engines and if we had a readily-available carbon-neutral fuel for them it would be a huge help.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  33. That isn't what happens by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    What happens is :

    repeat

    the central bank prints money
    the oil price peaks
    this drives inflation up past the point people can bear
    this causes a recession
    the oil price falls

    until (civilisation collapses or replacement energy found)

    --
    Deleted
  34. Overpriced trains are madness by fantomas · · Score: 2

    I know, it's madness. I guess it depends on your model / philosophy of how a country should be run. Current ConDem government seems to follow the Tory line that trains should be run at a profit, they are a business. Compare to many of our European neighbours who see trains as part of the public infrastructure and to be subsidised as such.

    Can't pull any figures out the hat but we definitely pay way more than a lot of other European countries for our train services. Myself, I think in the long run you're better investing in infrastructure and I believe you'll indirectly pull in profit in the long run if you have good services. Plus the current govt says we need jobs, well why not employ loads of people in building a 21st century rail infrastructure, that'll stimulate the economy. I live in a railway town and they'd love it if the government announced we need hundreds of new railway carriages built here, need to open up some mothballed steelworks and start turning out new rail lines, get loads of construction workers building improved bridges and tracks etc. People in work = people spending in shops, secondary industries benefit, end result more people working and better infrastructure. Or you could just lay off loads of people and let our trains decay to the point where you're into third world / US public infrastructure and see how that works. (rant over! :-) )

    1. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by tmosley · · Score: 1

      You don't seem to understand that if you don't pay for it yourself, they subsidies will cost you 50% more at least, as you not only have to pay the taxes to run the train, but for the bureaucrats who distribute the subsidy and prevent fraud. Not to mention the fraud itself.

      Multiply that times tens of thousands of subsidies, and you wonder why western economies are all floundering?

    2. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by isorox · · Score: 2

      I know, it's madness. I guess it depends on your model / philosophy of how a country should be run. Current ConDem government seems to follow the Tory line that trains should be run at a profit, they are a business.

      Prices were extreme before the last election. There are massive discounts for season tickets, but these aren't great if you work a mixture of peak and off peak, or only do a few days a week. The current train fare structure encourages 9-5 m-f working.

      I live in a railway town and they'd love it if the government announced we need hundreds of new railway carriages built here, need to open up some mothballed steelworks and start turning out new rail lines, get loads of construction workers building improved bridges and tracks etc.

      Building infrastructure is a great way out of a recession, as long as you can afford to borrow to build it (the last government screwed that one up by borrowing to pay for non-infrastructural projects when we were in a boom). That infrastructure could be rail, road, power, even new cities.

    3. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by isorox · · Score: 2

      You don't seem to understand that if you don't pay for it yourself, they subsidies will cost you 50% more at least, as you not only have to pay the taxes to run the train, but for the bureaucrats who distribute the subsidy and prevent fraud. Not to mention the fraud itself.

      Multiply that times tens of thousands of subsidies, and you wonder why western economies are all floundering?

      You do realise the trucking industry in the U.S. is subsidised by a mostly free interstate highway system?

    4. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by Guido+von+Guido · · Score: 1

      You do realise the trucking industry in the U.S. is subsidised by a mostly free interstate highway system?

      Everybody knows roads and bridges build and maintain themselves.

    5. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Taxes on road fuel not only pay for the road but for a large part of public transit.

      But don't let facts bother you. Hell, greens claim road costs that come from taxes on gasoline subsidies on gasoline. They don't understand what subsidy means.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    6. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by tautog · · Score: 2

      You don't seem to understand that if you don't pay for it yourself, they subsidies will cost you 50% more at least, as you not only have to pay the taxes to run the train, but for the bureaucrats who distribute the subsidy and prevent fraud. Not to mention the fraud itself.

      Multiply that times tens of thousands of subsidies, and you wonder why western economies are all floundering?

      You do realise the trucking industry in the U.S. is subsidised by a mostly free interstate highway system?

      Just to keep things in perspective... The transportation industry paid $37.4 billion in federal and state highway-user taxes. Commercial trucks make up 12.5 percent of all registered vehicles, but paid 36.5 percent of total highway-user taxes in 2006.

      Source: American Trucking Association

      Granted, they travel more miles than private passenger vehicles, but they are also designed to impact the infrastructure less.

    7. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by sumdumass · · Score: 2

      No.. not really.

      The trucking system pays a hefty fuel tax for the use of those interstate roads. A single driver truck will average about 3000 miles a week over 50 weeks. That truck will pay close to $14,000 a year in IFTA (fuel taxes). This is not counting registration fees, permits, state surety bonds, or anything else associated with it. When you consider team drivers that will average about 5500-6000 miles per week, that number jumps quite a bit (over 20k).

      and yes, I used conservative mileage estimates there. when I drove, I averaged close to 3500 a week for most of the year (winter caused it to go down to 3000).

      The trucking industry more then pays for it's use of the roads. The problem is that the money they pay, gets spent elsewhere. This is no different then regular gas taxes either. for instance, a few years ago, The town I live closest to, ended up spending most of the gas tax on a rural bike path that doesn't even come close to any business centers in the town. They then complained they they didn't have enough money to fix the roads. the state, funneled a lot of the road use tax money to other programs too. Even the feds take the money and put it in other areas.

      You would be more accurate in saying the government is subsidized by the trucking industry.

    8. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by RobertM1968 · · Score: 1

      Just to keep things in perspective... The transportation industry paid $37.4 billion in federal and state highway-user taxes. Commercial trucks make up 12.5 percent of all registered vehicles, but paid 36.5 percent of total highway-user taxes in 2006.

      Source: American Trucking Association

      Granted, they travel more miles than private passenger vehicles, but they are also designed to impact the infrastructure less.

      I understand the point you are trying to make, but you should always endeavor to ensure that facts are used properly. Commercial trucks, on a 1:1 ration (compared to remaining vehicles) drive VASTLY more miles. On a "commercial trucks on this side, all others here" the mileage for the commercial vehicles is still... VASTLY more. Hence, the use taxes they pay are more.

      In addition, trucks cause quicker roadway deterioration. Even without looking at the studies and statistics, one can simply drive on certain old-pavement (ie: not recently paved) highways in the 1-2 truck lanes and notice the ruts being worn in them that largely do not exist in the car lanes.

    9. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      Taxes on road fuel not only pay for the road but for a large part of public transit.

      But don't let facts bother you. Hell, greens claim road costs that come from taxes on gasoline subsidies on gasoline. They don't understand what subsidy means.

      Taxes on road fuel do not pay for the roads: federal and state gas taxes raise around $25b/year, road upkeep requires $30b/year.

    10. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by HornWumpus · · Score: 2

      USA total gas taxes.$66b/year.

      Cites

      Average gas tax 48.1 cents/gallon. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_tax

      Total gas used: 137,916,660,000 gallons/year http://americanfuels.blogspot.com/2010/04/2009-gasoline-consumption.html

      Like I said don't let facts bother you.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    11. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      That's without counting taxes on Diesel fuel.

      Cars subsidize trains and buses. That is a simple fact.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    12. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      Nice cherry-picking of numbers that do not address your claim.

    13. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by jbengt · · Score: 1

      not really, Though some gas tax money is often diverted for other uses, they don't bring in enough to build and maintain the roads even if they were dedicated to that use.

    14. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by HereIAmJH · · Score: 3, Interesting

      In addition, trucks cause quicker roadway deterioration.

      On the other side of the coin, passenger traffic tends to be clustered on limited routes during short periods of the day. So passenger traffic causes cities to build over capacity to support traffic flow for 4-5 hours of the day. For example, a local loop interstate has 4-6 lanes (each direction) to handle rush hour in the morning and evenings. Even so, it is quite common for a 6 mile stretch to be bumper to bumper for close to 2 hours in the evening. Outside of the morning and evening commutes, 2 lanes in each direction would be sufficient. That carries over to ramps and interchanges as well. Most of the interchanges around town are being rebuilt to increase rush hour capacity, not because of wear.

      --
      Another day, another update to a Google android app.
    15. Re:Overpriced trains are madness by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Cherry picking numbers my ass.

      Calling you out on your lies.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  35. the obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We went through all the dire predictions before. And when money freed up went back to our profits and living. This time all that expensive alternative crap will do is have consumed that nest egg that let us easily return to profit and living.

  36. Re:An easy first step: Open Fuel Standard (flex-fu by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

    Why not just convert your cars to run on gas? We've got more of that than we could ever use.

  37. Re:The enemy is still present by khallow · · Score: 2

    You mean 'if these projects can't compete with all of the direct and indirect subsidy that the oil industry receives'.

    IMHO while in absolute size, oil industry probably receives more, as a fraction of revenue, renewables and nuclear get more.

  38. Lack of capital by ElrondHubbard · · Score: 1

    "2012 will be a rich year for equity capitalizations, giving energy entrepreneurs the capital they need to build infrastructure." Sounds great, but it's wrong. The financial system is sick and corrupt and the capital he's talking about is largely an illusion. The major financial institutions (Citibank, JPMorgan, etc.) only present a facade of solvency because mark-to-market rules have been suspended, so they have been allowed to hold toxic assets on their books at the values their models predict (the models that were proved devastatingly wrong in the collapse of 2008) instead of what they could actually fetch in the market. If it were ever brought in contact with reality, the world financial system would die instantly. Instead it's basically being strung along by the U.S. federal government (i.e., taxpayers) in the hope that this was a one-time thing and at some point, something like solvency will return.

    The fact is we are in a deflation right now, with debt-based capital disappearing from the system at a prodigious rate, while the U.S. Federal Reserve is using quantitative easing (i.e. manufacturing more debt on its own balance sheet) to hold the process back and try to restore growth. The financial system is sick just when we desperately need capital to start rebuilding our energy infrastructure. I would refer anyone to The Automatic Earth if they want to learn more about the energy and finance predicament that we're in.

    --
    "The deep-fried Mars bar is a symptom of a wider crisis." -- Nutritionist Ann Ralph, on the Scottish diet
  39. Re:The enemy is still present by khallow · · Score: 1

    The problem with this approach is that, while all the voters are in favor of cutting spending in general, it's hard to find anything significent to cut that the voters don't actually want. Even the porkiest projects have a lot of supporters in their local area. We're having that situation here in the UK right now - our government is actually cutting spending, and heavily too, but that doesn't stop people moaning very loudly when they realise that there are fewer police on the street, the NHS is losing staff and even the road-cleaners will be coming around less often.

    Sure. The electorate never is unified. Even now there are voters in the US who would rather add on 10% debt per year rather than cut any spending. But as long as you want a government that functions for more than a few decades (at best), you'll have to agree to a budget that has at worse a modest deficit.

    And it's worth noting that many of the problems are future entitlement promises come due (note that the three largest categories, social protection, health, and education are the top items, they all have some considerable degree of future risk to them, and they're all entitlements). Everyone is in favor of government keeping its promises to themselves.

    But there's a tradeoff between everyone getting their piece of the action and having a society that functions well because the government is operating on a good enough budget.

  40. Re:An easy first step: Open Fuel Standard (flex-fu by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Are you trying to say natural gas? Because many cars already run on gas(oline).

    Hey, I didn't name it.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  41. Re:An easy first step: Open Fuel Standard (flex-fu by Gordonjcp · · Score: 1

    Yes, "gas" gas, not "gasoline" gas. Over here we call it petrol, and only lawnmowers, motorbikes and incredibly old cars run on it. Everything else uses diesel.

  42. Middle East? Less than 7% of our oil !!! by llZENll · · Score: 1

    I don't understand why the middle east turmoil is nothing more than a scape goat for price gouging, 40% of our oil comes from the US. Of the remaining imports 40% comes from Canada and Mexico, and another 40% comes from North and South America Countries (mostly in Central America). Of the top 12 importing countries, there are only 2 from the middle east, totaling a WHOPPING (sarcasm) 6.6% of our imports! This should be replaceable immediately with alternative energy sources. People need to WAKE UP and quite taking the crap the media and government is feeding us about why oil prices do what they do.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_oil_politics

    1. Re:Middle East? Less than 7% of our oil !!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a global commodity market. So, read my lips: it doesn't matter where oil is produced, or bought, it's global, you moron.

    2. Re:Middle East? Less than 7% of our oil !!! by MrQuacker · · Score: 1

      Think globally. If China gets its oil from the Middle East, and they suddenly go dry, China still needs oil. So they go to Canada/Mexico and offer them more $$$/barrel than we are. So then they sell to China, or raise their prices for what we pay. So even if we only get a small % directly from the arabs, we are still involved in the supply chain and pay the toll for any disruptions.

  43. start with a 4 day work week makeing full time by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 1

    start with a 4 day work week makeing full time go to 32-36 hours a week.

    that can save alot of fuel and end Saturday mail.

  44. Re:An easy first step: Open Fuel Standard (flex-fu by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Still makes more sense to burn it in a power plant so you can control the CO2. The CO2 can be fed to algae using technology developed at Sandia NREL ("National Renewable Energy Labs") in the 1980s. Any gasoline engine could probably be converted to LP ("liquefied propane") but mostly it's done to carbureted vehicles because otherwise you either have to delete and block off or needlessly haul around a fuel injection system. LP is also commonly injected into diesels with the air charge for performance, often accompanied by N2O.

    Diesels do produce more acid rain than gassers and the cleanest ones require urea injection, just one more thing to fill up. I think electric is a better long-term solution. I'd like to see Butanol and Biodiesel, both from algae, take over for fossil-derived fuels. Then we can use oil for making plastic; it's too valuable to burn. I have two classic diesels, a 1982 MBZ 300SD and a 1992 Ford F250 with a turbo kit. Both are pollution monsters compared to anything modern. So again, rather than finding new ways to milk the old tech along, we should be trying to adopt new tech. And anyway, electric cars are actually older than fossil fuel-powered ones. Today the battery technology exists to make them feasible.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  45. Re:The enemy is still present by DavidTC · · Score: 2

    Currently, US voters are to a considerable degree worried about the level of spending at the federal and state levels.

    Currently, Americans are, first and foremost, worried about jobs and the economy. (I don't think 'US voters' differ from that, but haven't seen a poll of just them.)

    Then they're worried about spending.

    Currently, the only serious impetus to cutting spending is among the Republicans.

    Yeah, those serious Republicans, yammering constantly about cutting...social security? Which doesn't have anything to do with spending? Hrm. Anytime anyone mentions social security, which pays its own way, as somehow being related to 'spending', they just obviously dishonest. Same with people who list Medicare.

    Both those are trust funds, both those have nothing to do with our budget shortfall because they are spending only the money they've taken in, and both those are the first thing Republicans attack WRT spending. It's inherent dishonestly on the whole issue from starting premises. (Obviously, at some point, both those need fixing, because they either are, or near the point of, spending more than they currently are taking in, and operating off their reserves, and at some point will run out of money, but that's not relevant to the actual budget.)

    The actual spending problem is that the Republicans refuse, and have scared the Democrats into being unable to do so (The Democrats are spineless cowards who faint at their own shadow), to cut defense spending, which is the gigantic elephant in the room.

    Instead, the Republicans run around trying to cut out microscopic levels of spending, like $27 million to help communities run poison control centers. That's about how much it costs us to operate one nuclear sub for a year. So, keep three million people out of the emergency rooms...or have a nuclear sub to play around with to 'export freedom'...wait, who are we even fighting that we need nuclear subs against?

    You can claim the Republicans are 'serious' about spending when they acknowledge that the military is costlier than all other militaries on the planet, combined, and maybe we should do something about that.

    In fact, I have seen Republicans point that out...and then get ignored by the rest of their party. Ron Paul is an idiot on many things, but at least he's honest and consistent, and has pointed out our military spending is insane.

    --
    If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  46. Rickover's Cult by Baldrson · · Score: 1

    I've just recently encountered an interesting phenomenon when talking to some guys involved with the DoE about LFTR. The resistance to LFTR appears, to me, to be a vestigial cult-worship of Admiral Rickover. Its still alive and well in the halls of the Federal bureaucracy, its damage has spread far beyond the Navy and there appears little hope of removing its hold on the hearts and minds of the Federal bureaucracies. The origin of this cult in the Navy is reflected in the Wikipedia article on Rickover where it mentions the cult and the greatly exaggerated rumors of its death during the Reagan Administration:

    But on January 31, 1982, in his 80's, and after 63 years of service to his country under 13 presidents (Woodrow Wilson through Ronald Reagan), Rickover was forced to retire from the Navy as a full admiral by Secretary of the Navy John Lehman, with the knowledge and consent of President Reagan. This was done in a premeditated fashion. As Lehman, a former reserve naval aviator, put it in his book, Command of the Seas:

    [O]ne of my first orders of business as secretary of the navy would be to solve...the Rickover problem. Rickover's legendary achievements were in the past. His present viselike grip on much of the navy was doing it much harm. I had sought the job because I believed the navy had deteriorated to the point where its weakness seriously threatened our future security. The navy's grave afflictions included loss of a strategic vision; loss of self-confidence, and morale; a prolonged starvation of resources, leaving vast shortfalls in capability to do the job; and too few ships to cover a sea so great, all resulting in cynicism, exhaustion, and an undercurrent of defeatism. The cult created by Admiral Rickover was itself a major obstacle to recovery, entwining nearly all the issues of culture and policy within the navy.[40]

    Fitting to the end of the decades-long rein and reputation of Rickover, his career concluded in both a battle with the defense establishment and a coming-to-terms with his own human limitations.

  47. I use hydrogen. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I power my home and my car and even my BBQ with hydrogen is so easy to do is laughable Well the PEM for the house was not so affordable. I produce most of my hydrogen with chemical reactions. and I can produce a whole month supply in about 1 hour via that method making meth is way more difficult but I think there are way more labs making meth than hydrogen.

  48. Re:The enemy is still present by khallow · · Score: 1

    Both those are trust funds, both those have nothing to do with our budget shortfall because they are spending only the money they've taken in, and both those are the first thing Republicans attack WRT spending.

    You failed to take into account future liabilities. Social Security will only be "revenue neutral" (a state it currently isn't in BTW) in the long term with significant cuts in service. I personally think the whole program is an idiotic redistribution of wealth that helps undermine US workers so I wouldn't mind seeing the whole thing dismantled, but I recognize that won't happen, at least for some time to come.

    As to the rest of your comments? So what? Yes, voters/taxpayers have higher priorities than government spending for the most part, but they still are deeply concerned. And yes, Republicans are somewhat lackluster in cutting spending and have obvious blind spots like Social Security and defense. It still remains that the Republicans are far more serious about spending than the Democrats.

    In comparison the current breed of Democrats are courting suicide. I haven't seen any serious addressing of jobs, economy, and spending by Democrats. The assumption seems to be that if the Obama administration spends gobs of money on its allies and supportive special interests, then these important issues will take care of themselves. Hasn't worked in practice nor is any rational reason it should have worked.

  49. Solar and wind is a joke compared to.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solar and wind is a joke compared to thorium nuclear plants which have a much higher return. Too bad we have wasted so much money developing the former when we could have more than enough electricity from the latter. Live and learn....live and learn.

  50. Re:The enemy is still present by DavidTC · · Score: 1

    You failed to take into account future liabilities. Social Security will only be "revenue neutral" (a state it currently isn't in BTW) in the long term with significant cuts in service. I personally think the whole program is an idiotic redistribution of wealth that helps undermine US workers so I wouldn't mind seeing the whole thing dismantled, but I recognize that won't happen, at least for some time to come.

    No, I don't fail to take anything into account, you idjit.

    Social security operates completely independent of general revenues. It can neither add to or reduce the deficit, in any manner whatsoever, as it currently set up. (Actually, this is wrong, as borrowing from it has reduced interest on the deficit, but that's not important.)

    The only way that social security can start costing the government money is if someone passes a law allowing it to get access to general revenue.

    Everyone hinting that social security 'might become a budget problem' is a fucking liar. Social security might become a problem in the same way that the post office might become a budget problem...if we pass a law to give it a huge sum of money. Of course, anything might be a problem by that logic...you might be a problem by that logic, perhaps we should get rid of you.

    And yes, Republicans are somewhat lackluster in cutting spending and have obvious blind spots like Social Security and defense. It still remains that the Republicans are far more serious about spending than the Democrats.

    Yes, if you utterly ignore the $0.7 trillion dollars spent on Iraq. And the $2.9 trillion in tax cuts from 2000-2010.

    Feel free to respond with anything either Clinton or Obama did.

    *crickets*

    Good to know Republicans are 'serious' about the issue. They're currently running around cutting $100 billion out of the budget, as they promised...if they can do that. Of course, they just forced renewal of the giant tax cuts, so they've still made negative progress.

    I haven't seen any serious addressing of jobs, economy, and spending by Democrats.

    How about the fucking stimulus? Duh. You know, that thing that the Republicans made a good portion of be inexplicable tax cuts (Which don't help during a recession at all. People who do not have jobs do not need tax cuts, they are not paying taxes.), and yet still managed to create millions of jobs.

    Oh, and there's the unemployment benefits that the Republicans don't want to pass and the Democrats do. Guess that doesn't count either.

    And of course the Democrats aren't address spending. It's a goddamn made up issue by the Republicans. You don't fucking worry about spending in a recession, that makes things worse .(Of course, the the Republicans are counting on things to get worse to elected in 2012.)

    If the Republicans cared about spending, perhaps they should have addressed it while they were in charge during an economic boom, instead of always become desperate about it when they're out of power after blowing up the damn economy.

    --
    If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  51. Re:The enemy is still present by khallow · · Score: 1

    Social security operates completely independent of general revenues.

    This statement being wrong, the rest of your post associated with Social Security is a waste of your effort. Congress can change Social Security at any time. And given that excess Social Security funds are dumped general funding while Social Security deficits (such as what is expected for the rest of the life of Social Security) are pulled from general funds, your use of the term, "independent" is wrong at a fundamental level which indicates you either don't know or don't care about the true state of the US budget.

    Yes, if you utterly ignore the $0.7 trillion dollars spent on Iraq. And the $2.9 trillion in tax cuts from 2000-2010.

    Feel free to respond with anything either Clinton or Obama did.

    Don't get me wrong. President Bush was a embarrassment for the Republicans and put lie to the claim that Republicans of that time were in any way serious about reducing spending. But only the extremely delusion would dare compare Obama to Clinton. Clinton is the only president in decades to come close to balancing the "on budget" budget. He fell a little shy in the 1999-2000 budget (by perhaps a billion dollars!).

    Obama is a modern Nero, fiddling while Rome burns.

    How about the fucking stimulus?

    Any real Keynesian would laugh at that spending. Some of it went to special interests (lot of unions did well by the ARRA), some went to China, and the bill created at least two significant disincentives to new hiring (increasing COBRA benefits, unemployment health insurance to be paid by the employer and later reimbursed, maybe, by government) and the mockery of law that went on in the GM and Chrysler takeovers by the Obama administration.

    The Obama administration also has a long history of obstruction of business such as the unofficial ban on off-shore oil drilling, several provisions in Obamacare which drive up the cost of employer health insurance (and operation of business in general), classifying carbon dioxide as a pollutant (and efforts to create a cap and trade market in carbon dioxide), the continual thumbing of the nose at law and the Constitution, frequent lying that shames prior administrations, and a sullen disrespect for the concerns of business (such as Obama whining about people making too much money while ignoring that he benefited from some pretty sweet deals himself).

    All that screams to business to wait until Obama is out of office and the future is more certain before they hire anyone. This is how you can spend gobs of money and fail to create any jobs or economic activity.

    And of course, the Obama administration's current stance for reducing government spending is a joke. The deficit in the 2011-2012 budget proposal submitted to Congress is still over a trillion dollars.

    And we ignore the $2.75 or so trillion in "quantitative easing" spent by the Fed to prop up the bond market. If spending translated into stimulus, then the US economy would have left orbit by now.

    All this just goes to show that if you actually paid attention to what the Obama administration and the 2009-2010 Congress did, rather than just the labels of some of their bills, you'd see the truth of my claims.

  52. Not true by edxwelch · · Score: 0

    http://www.ieer.org/fctsheet/thorium2009factsheet.pdf

    NotÂaÂWasteÂSolutionÂÂ
    ProponentsÂclaimÂthatÂthoriumÂfuelÂsignificantlyÂreducesÂtheÂvolume,ÂweightÂandÂlongâtermÂ
    radiotoxicityÂofÂspentÂfuel.ÂUsingÂthoriumÂinÂaÂnuclearÂreactorÂcreatesÂradioactiveÂwasteÂ
    thatÂproponentsÂclaimÂwouldÂonlyÂhaveÂtoÂbeÂisolatedÂfromÂtheÂenvironmentÂforÂ500Âyears,Â
    asÂopposedÂtoÂtheÂirradiatedÂuraniumâonlyÂfuelÂthatÂremainsÂdangerousÂforÂhundredsÂofÂ
    thousandsÂofÂyears.ÂÂThisÂclaimÂisÂwrong.ÂÂTheÂfissionÂofÂthoriumÂcreatesÂlongâlivedÂfissionÂ
    productsÂlikeÂtechnetiumâ99Â(halfâlifeÂoverÂ200,000Âyears).ÂÂWhileÂtheÂmixÂofÂfissionÂ
    productsÂisÂsomewhatÂdifferentÂthanÂwithÂuraniumÂfuel,ÂtheÂsameÂrangeÂofÂfissionÂproductsÂ
    isÂcreated.ÂÂWithÂorÂwithoutÂreprocessing,ÂtheseÂfissionÂproductsÂhaveÂtoÂbeÂdisposedÂofÂinÂaÂ
    geologicÂrepository.ÂÂÂ
    Â
    IfÂtheÂspentÂfuelÂisÂnotÂreprocessed,Âthoriumâ232ÂisÂveryâlongÂlivedÂ(halfâlife:14ÂbillionÂ
    years)ÂandÂitsÂdecayÂproductsÂwillÂbuildÂupÂoverÂtimeÂinÂtheÂspentÂfuel.ÂÂThisÂwillÂmakeÂtheÂ
    spentÂfuelÂquiteÂradiotoxic,ÂinÂadditionÂtoÂallÂtheÂfissionÂproductsÂinÂit.ÂÂItÂshouldÂalsoÂbeÂ
    notedÂthatÂinhalationÂofÂaÂunitÂofÂradioactivityÂofÂthoriumâ232ÂorÂthoriumâ228Â(whichÂisÂ
    alsoÂpresentÂasÂaÂdecayÂproductÂofÂthoriumâ232)ÂproducesÂaÂfarÂhigherÂdose,ÂespeciallyÂtoÂ
    certainÂorgans,ÂthanÂtheÂinhalationÂofÂuraniumÂcontainingÂtheÂsameÂamountÂofÂradioactivity.ÂÂÂ
    ForÂinstance,ÂtheÂboneÂsurfaceÂdoseÂfromÂbreathingÂtheÂanÂamountÂ(mass)ÂofÂinsolubleÂ
    thoriumÂisÂaboutÂ200ÂtimesÂthatÂofÂbreathingÂtheÂsameÂmassÂofÂuranium.Â
    Â3Â
    Â
    Finally,ÂtheÂuseÂofÂthoriumÂalsoÂcreatesÂwasteÂatÂtheÂfrontÂendÂofÂtheÂfuelÂcycle.ÂÂTheÂ
    radioactivityÂassociatedÂwithÂtheseÂisÂexpectedÂtoÂbeÂconsiderablyÂlessÂthanÂthatÂassociatedÂ
    withÂaÂcomparableÂamountÂofÂuraniumÂmilling.ÂÂHowever,ÂmineÂwastesÂwillÂposeÂlongâtermÂ
    hazards,ÂasÂinÂtheÂcaseÂofÂuraniumÂmining.ÂÂThereÂareÂalsoÂoftenÂhazardousÂnonâradioactiveÂ
    metalsÂinÂbothÂthoriumÂandÂuraniumÂmillÂtailings.Â
    Â
    OngoingÂTechnicalÂProblemsÂÂ
    ResearchÂandÂdevelopmentÂofÂthoriumÂfuelÂhasÂbeenÂundertakenÂ

    1. Re:Not true by edxwelch · · Score: 1

      ah sorry, copy and pasting from pdf fucked somehow:

      NotÂaÂWasteÂSolutionÂÂ
      ProponentsÂclaimÂthatÂthoriumÂfuelÂsignificantlyÂreducesÂtheÂvolume,ÂweightÂandÂlong-termÂ
      radiotoxicityÂofÂspentÂfuel.ÂUsingÂthoriumÂinÂaÂnuclearÂreactorÂcreatesÂradioactiveÂwasteÂ
      thatÂproponentsÂclaimÂwouldÂonlyÂhaveÂtoÂbeÂisolatedÂfromÂtheÂenvironmentÂforÂ500Âyears,Â
      asÂopposedÂtoÂtheÂirradiatedÂuranium-onlyÂfuelÂthatÂremainsÂdangerousÂforÂhundredsÂofÂ
      thousandsÂofÂyears.ÂÂThisÂclaimÂisÂwrong.ÂÂTheÂfissionÂofÂthoriumÂcreatesÂlong-livedÂfissionÂ
      productsÂlikeÂtechnetium-99Â(half-lifeÂoverÂ200,000Âyears).ÂÂWhileÂtheÂmixÂofÂfissionÂ
      productsÂisÂsomewhatÂdifferentÂthanÂwithÂuraniumÂfuel,ÂtheÂsameÂrangeÂofÂfissionÂproductsÂ
      isÂcreated.ÂÂWithÂorÂwithoutÂreprocessing,ÂtheseÂfissionÂproductsÂhaveÂtoÂbeÂdisposedÂofÂinÂaÂ
      geologicÂrepository.ÂÂÂ

      Â
      IfÂtheÂspentÂfuelÂisÂnotÂreprocessed,Âthorium-232ÂisÂvery-longÂlivedÂ(half-life:14ÂbillionÂ
      years)ÂandÂitsÂdecayÂproductsÂwillÂbuildÂupÂoverÂtimeÂinÂtheÂspentÂfuel.ÂÂThisÂwillÂmakeÂtheÂ
      spentÂfuelÂquiteÂradiotoxic,ÂinÂadditionÂtoÂallÂtheÂfissionÂproductsÂinÂit.ÂÂItÂshouldÂalsoÂbeÂ
      notedÂthatÂinhalationÂofÂaÂunitÂofÂradioactivityÂofÂthorium-232ÂorÂthorium-228Â(whichÂisÂ
      alsoÂpresentÂasÂaÂdecayÂproductÂofÂthorium-232)ÂproducesÂaÂfarÂhigherÂdose,ÂespeciallyÂtoÂ
      certainÂorgans,ÂthanÂtheÂinhalationÂofÂuraniumÂcontainingÂtheÂsameÂamountÂofÂradioactivity.ÂÂÂ
      ForÂinstance,ÂtheÂboneÂsurfaceÂdoseÂfromÂbreathingÂtheÂanÂamountÂ(mass)ÂofÂinsolubleÂ
      thoriumÂisÂaboutÂ200ÂtimesÂthatÂofÂbreathingÂtheÂsameÂmassÂofÂuranium.Â

      Finally,ÂtheÂuseÂofÂthoriumÂalsoÂcreatesÂwasteÂatÂtheÂfrontÂendÂofÂtheÂfuelÂcycle.ÂÂTheÂ
      radioactivityÂassociatedÂwithÂtheseÂisÂexpectedÂtoÂbeÂconsiderablyÂlessÂthanÂthatÂassociatedÂ
      withÂaÂcomparableÂamountÂofÂuraniumÂmilling.ÂÂHowever,ÂmineÂwastesÂwillÂposeÂlong-termÂ
      hazards,ÂasÂinÂtheÂcaseÂofÂuraniumÂmining.ÂÂThereÂareÂalsoÂoftenÂhazardousÂnon-radioactiveÂ
      metalsÂinÂbothÂthoriumÂandÂuraniumÂmillÂtailings.Â

  53. More fluff technology journalism by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    Adam Werbach wrote, Unlike 2008, when it seemed like we were starting our innovation engine from a cold start, we now have a robust field of clean energy technologies that are slowly coming online, from thinfilm solar to fuel cells to cellulosic ethanol.

    When it comes to fuel cells, at least, this is darn misleading. Fuel cells were invented in the 1830s. There have been a few refinements over the decades, but state-of-the-art fuel cells in 2011 differ very little from those in 2008.

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  54. Re:i really dont care, just drop oil prices alread by stoanhart · · Score: 1

    Or lets try not continuing business as usual.

    Let the gas prices rise. Fine by me. Currently $1.30/liter in Vancouver, BC - bring on $2.00/liter, I drive a small car and fuck you if you drive a big one. Suck it up, that's the cost of your choice of vehicle. Yes, the cost of everything will go up, but you'll be amazed how fast we suddenly find solutions to problems we've been "trying" to solve for last 30 years.

  55. NIMBY by manaway · · Score: 1

    Nuclear sounds good in theory but in practice there are problems, long-term residual ones. NIMBY is a term that can be an excuse to not take responsibility, it can also be used to dismiss real concerns. Just ask those who have actually, not theoretically, mined it. For example: the damage to humans and groundwater from nuclear mining in New Mexico.

    1. Re:NIMBY by IHateEverybody · · Score: 1

      Nuclear sounds good in theory but in practice there are problems, long-term residual ones. NIMBY is a term that can be an excuse to not take responsibility, it can also be used to dismiss real concerns. Just ask those who have actually, not theoretically, mined it. For example: the damage to humans and groundwater from nuclear mining in New Mexico

      As opposed to damage to humans and groundwater from drilling for "clean" natural gas.
      Or from mountaintop removal for "safer" coal mining.
      Or the risks associated with more traditional coal mining.
      And finally there's the somewhat controversial issue of carbon dioxide emissions from coal and oil.

      Ultimately, any form of energy production will have its inherent risks and we as a society have to choose if the benefits outweigh the risks. The risks are of oil are varied and diverse and coal is not much better and in some ways worse. The risks of solar, wind, and even nuclear energy pale by comparison. We won't solve our problems by picking winners and losers but by investing in a wide variety of alternatives rather than putting all of our eggs in one basket.

      I personally like the promise of Thorium nuclear power but I'm skeptical of its lofty promises. I doubt if we'll know for sure how practical it is until billions of dollars have been poured into it and dozens of plants are in operation. That's just the nature of our energy hungry culture.

      --
      Does this .sig make my butt look big?
    2. Re:NIMBY by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      I personally like the promise of Thorium nuclear power but I'm skeptical of its lofty promises.

      One problem is the huge amount of total BS about them. You only need read a few posts above to see the Thorium proponents have no idea about a Th fuel cycle at all. They pull figures out of a place where the sun don't shine.

      First of all Th232 is not fissile, it is fertile. It needs to be transmutated into Pa233, which then needs to be separated from the neutron source so that it can decay into U233. You can't really leave the Pa233 in the pile, as it has a high neutron cross section and will then end up as Pa234 which decays to U234 which is not fissile (even numbers of nucleons are not good fuels) and the absorption destroys neutron economy (ie needing more than one neutron for every atom of produced fuel).

      Since you really need to do a lot of in situ separation of Pa233 to make it work, generally it is suggested that molten salt reactors would be a good choice. A lot of benefits of the Th fuel cycle claimed by proponents come from this choice. Note this also applies to using U in a molten salt reactor. In fact the only molten salt reactors built only used U. Molten salt rectors are from a larger class of reactors call homogeneous reactors. This is where the coolant and the fuel are the same fluid or gas. They have many advantages compared to traditional solid core reactors, such as being able to burn fissile material that is too unstable to burn in solid core reactors --aka "burn waste". Again its not limited to just the Th fuel cycle.

      However they don't really burn true waste(ie unfissile fissile fragments) and don't really compare that favorably to the U cycle per say. They are slightly better with the true waste breakup, having less bad gamma emitters, but if you compare both U fuel cycle, and a Th fuel cycle both with the same degree of reprocessing, both look about the same. In fact both look pretty good. That is both would produce on the order of a few tonns of high grade waste per 1GW year, which would be low grade waste after about 100 years (or so). Note that a power plant could have a small on site storage facility to store over a 100 years of waste. ie once the facility is full, the first stuff you put in is now pretty safe. 100 years is not really that long. My apartment block is ~130 years old. My favorite wine cellar is 1300 years old.

      Also often it is claimed that a Th is more proliferation resistant. This is really not true at all. It may be a little harder than with U, but at best only a little. Remember you need to separate out the Pa233 to decay into U233. If this is done in situ then it will be very pure (ie very little Pa234). This would decay into very pure U233 with very little U234 (bad gamma ray emitter). Not only can you make a bomb with U233, it was done and worked just fine.

      It should be noted that nuclear waste is not really any worse that a lot of other industrial wastes. For example DDT is bad no matter how long you wait. Same with tailings from a lot of mining operations. Which brings up the point that both Th and U are mined from dilute sources, and the environmental cost of mining U and Th should not be excluded when considering the nuclear option. For example U mines typically have 100ppm of U ore contained in them, which has about 8.2GJ of nuclear energy per kg of raw ore processed (assuming reprocessing). While coal has only 35MJ per kg. So you mine less for more, but there are a *lot* of tailings.

      However developing the reactor and verifying the waste profiles etc. is a 20 year project at least.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  56. Re:The enemy is still present by DavidTC · · Score: 1

    which indicates you either don't know or don't care about the true state of the US budget.

    Considering that social security has not caused a single dime of debt so far, and in fact reduced to by a rather large amount due to lack of interest payments, perhaps we should work on the things that actually cause deficit now instead of pretending that it's an emergency that someday in the future, if no one does anything, we'll run out of money in the fund and might hypothetically pull money from general revenue.

    Don't get me wrong. President Bush was a embarrassment for the Republicans and put lie to the claim that Republicans of that time were in any way serious about reducing spending.

    Just like, um, Reagan, and Bush I. And Nixon.

    You don't get to pretend all Republicans have been exceptionally bad at spending, and yet also claim the Republicans are the only people serious about it.

    Some of it went to special interests (lot of unions did well by the ARRA),

    Only on the right are unions 'special interests'. In the rest of the population, money going to 'unions' is actually 'money paid to workers who are in unions'.

    Damn those 'special interests' human beings working a job.

    some went to China

    [citation needed]

    and the bill created at least two significant disincentives to new hiring (increasing COBRA benefits, unemployment health insurance to be paid by the employer and later reimbursed, maybe, by government)

    Erm, do you even know what CORBA is? Employers do not pay it. Unemployed workers do. It is a way for them to continue their work insurance for a set amount of time, paying the entire cost, including the employer part.

    and the mockery of law that went on in the GM and Chrysler takeovers by the Obama administration.

    You mean the 'mockery' that's eventually going to cost us, oh, maybe $30 billion dollars? (Which, for viewers at home, is trivial, as I've pointed out.) And save an entire industry that employs hundreds of thousand of Americans.

    But thanks for reminding me, I knew I left something off my list of how Obama was trying to help with jobs. Keeping the auto industry from going under is definitely one of those things.

    The Obama administration also has a long history of obstruction of business such as the unofficial ban on off-shore oil drilling,

    Um, are you insane? Firstly, there is no ban, offshore drilling started up again, second, there never was a ban on existing drilling, it was for new drilling.

    And, most importantly, the drilling industry total has 60,000 jobs...and only 3% of drills are offshore. Only 55 of them. That's about 1800 jobs total offshore drilling jobs in the country, so there's about 30 on each drill.

    The 'new drill moratorium' that existed temporarily maybe stopped the creation of 60 jobs in some sort of hypothetical universe where there were two new drills ready to start instantly. It's utterly insane to pretend that had any effect on job creation.

    several provisions in Obamacare which drive up the cost of employer health insurance (and operation of business in general),

    Yes, these unnamed 'several provisions'.

    Perhaps we should name them. Things like 'Not dropping people who get sick', those sorts of things?

    classifying carbon dioxide as a pollutant (and efforts to create a cap and trade market in carbon dioxide),

    Except Obama didn't do that. The EPA did.

    the continual thumbing of the nose at law and the Constitution, frequent lying that shames prior administrations,

    Other random made up shit...

    and a sullen disrespect for the concerns of business (such as Obama whining about people making too much money while ignoring that he benefited from some pretty sweet deals himself).

    Ah, yes, 'disrespect'. How dare he! If we've nicer to businesses maybe they'll hire people!

    --
    If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  57. Biobutanol by cdn-programmer · · Score: 1

    I rather doubt anyone is sitting on any old patents or will be any time soon. Sure BP and Dupont are working on biobutanol. They are probably working with Clostridium acetobutylicum. This was isolated before 1915 and was used industrially for decades.

    What they are likely trying to do is mutate the beast so it will produce concentration of bio-fuel which are competitive with other sources which traditionally have been petroleum based.

    I just don't know why we have all these conspiracy theories and why these theories seem to be promoted by the least informed.

    1. Re:Biobutanol by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I rather doubt anyone is sitting on any old patents or will be any time soon.

      It's not an old patent, it's a fairly new one. It's still old enough for other people to have done something at least substantially similar, and to have built a plant and started production, and get slapped with a lawsuit for having the audacity to actually produce Butanol.

      Sure BP and Dupont are working on biobutanol. They are probably working with Clostridium acetobutylicum. This was isolated before 1915 and was used industrially for decades.

      We had a slashdot story recently about what they are actually doing, but you didn't bother to read it so you're uninformed. Butamax (BP+DuPont) owns a patent based on work they did not do and which they only partly paid for on inserting the genes from one of the original organisms used for the purpose into essentially anything. This is an overly broad patent at best.

      What they are likely trying to do is mutate the beast so it will produce concentration of bio-fuel which are competitive with other sources which traditionally have been petroleum based.

      No, you have no fucking idea what you are talking about. What they HAVE DONE is insert the genes for the ABE process into a whole bunch of other organisms, basically all the organisms which are viable hosts for the genes, and then receive a patent on sticking the genes into basically anything. It should fail obviousness because of course you'd want to do that. It should fail broadness because they basically made a list of every viable organism into which the genes can be inserted, and because they're really changing nothing but efficiency from the original process.

      I just don't know why we have all these conspiracy theories and why these theories seem to be promoted by the least informed.

      Any time two or more people get together to screw one or more people, it's a conspiracy. And you are by far the least informed person contributing to this thread. Perhaps you should study up before you spew more ignorant nonsense.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  58. Projects not viable Re:Oil is too cheap by cdn-programmer · · Score: 1

    Unfortunately many alternative energy projects are not viable at any price. There is a difference between chemistry and physics and wishful thinking.

    A case in point is bio-ethanol from starch. While it is not true that this is an energy loss, the issue is that the energy gain is not so great. Farmers probably can produce all the bio-fuel they need... for themselves. They cannot both feed millions of hungry urban mouths as well as millions of hungry urban gas tanks.

    If we see oil prices run up over $150 per barrel I'm sure we will see a lot of finger pointing at politics and so forth. The truth is the problem is not a political problem ... it is a geological problem. We are reaching the limit of our ability at this time to mine hydrocarbons from the earth.

    Perhaps a new technology will come forth. If so the judgment day will be pushed back a bit. We are still facing the inevitable. We are at or near peak oil. We need alternatives which are synthetics and we don't have them. The reason we don't have them is because we haven't built the plants.

    The technology exists and has existed for decades. Part of the solution is coal->liquids with Natural Gas providing Hydrogen as a feed stock. I'll demonstrate why below. This is the Fischer Tropsch process. Look it up.

    The reason we need a source of hydrogen is as follows. Coal has a hydrogen:carbon ratio of say about 0.6. It varies a lot. This means our coal feedstock might be say C(n)H(0.6n).

    The liquid fuels we pour into our gas tanks are alkanes and they have a hydrogen:carbon ratio of about 2 and the chemical formula of C(n)H(2n+2). So for each carbon atom we mine from Coal or from Bitumin for that matter we need to find an atom of hydrogen. If we cannot find that hydrogen atom then we need to discard about 1/2 the carbon we mine. Well - we can burn some of it for energy... but people have their religions and they don't want that!

    What they want is nirvana and it doesn't exist.

    1. Re:Projects not viable Re:Oil is too cheap by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Fischer-Tropsch works but is insanely expensive. It is being done (generally under "coal to liquids", CTL) - the Chinese just opened a new plant last year.
      But it's not an option for large scale oil production. It is only profitable at really high oil prices but oil prices can not get too high before they kill the economy, reducing the price again.

  59. Re:An easy first step: Open Fuel Standard (flex-fu by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

    Because natural gas is still a single (ie: "non-flex") fuel. Also, butanol can be made from nat-gas VERY cheaply and easily, so it makes more sense to use it in that form anyway. It takes advantage of existing fuel delivery infrastructure.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  60. We don't have long by Eclipse-now · · Score: 1

    As you'll see from my sig, I se peak oil as a clear and present danger. If only we had a peer-reviewed energy body that actually had the top 100 questions that should be asked of any energy claims by a start up. Here's my first 7 expressed in the mnemonic SERVICE.

    1. Sustainability
    2. Energy Return on Energy Invested
    3. Rare materials
    4. Volumes
    5. Infrastructure — time to implement?
    6. Constant supply of energy
    7. Expense
    http://eclipsenow.wordpress.com/alternatives/

    We don't have long to get ready, so why oh why are we still mucking around with toys like wind and solar? It's time to get some baseload grunt out there. We need to electrify as many forms of transport as we can, conserve the fuels we absolutely need in sectors like agriculture and long-haul flights, convert shorter flights to fast rail, etc. And only baseload NUKES can supply the energy cheap enough. If I were Obama I'd be handing out $10 billion to the Argonne labs guys and get them to build their prototype GenIV reactor. Then I'd get them to set up the modularised FACTORY and start pumping these nukes off the production line! The reason individual nukes are so expensive is they are... individual. Like a hand crafted Rolls Royce instead of a mass produced Hyundai. GE have the S-PRISM almost ready to go: so I'd call the big boys in from Argonne, GE, and Westinghouse and have a peer-reviewed 'chat' about which way to go nuclear. FAST. Only then will we solve both peak oil and climate change (and with a whole lot of rolling suburbia back into New Urbanism, but that's my other shtick).

  61. promising by manaway · · Score: 1

    All excellent points, except for "We won't solve our problems by picking winners and losers..." There is a hierarchy if we're going to plan longterm. With solar, wind, and hydro near the top for providing renewable energy with the fewest longterm downsides. Obvious winners, though with currently limited capacity and smaller but not insignificant environmental concerns. Nuclear would be considerably lower because of profit-seeking mining and storage problems (see Hanford), and being a limited resource. With coal, oil, and natural gas at the bottom, for the reasons you listed.

    Paramount would be cutting back on use of those bottom 3 or 4 (as there is a race between running out and cooking and polluting ourselves); which appears to be in the committee stage for the greedy industrial countries, and practiced mainly by some of Latin and South America, large swaths of Africa, and in small pockets of sensible people on bicycles, skate boards, and foot elsewhere. (Tangentially, check out the documentary Homeland: Four Portraits of Native Action for examples of people doing while we're typing.)

  62. Re:The enemy is still present by khallow · · Score: 1

    Considering that social security has not caused a single dime of debt so far, and in fact reduced to by a rather large amount due to lack of interest payments, perhaps we should work on the things that actually cause deficit now instead of pretending that it's an emergency that someday in the future, if no one does anything, we'll run out of money in the fund and might hypothetically pull money from general revenue.

    We pull money now from the general fund for Social Security and CBO is projecting that we'll continued to do so for the indefinite future, unless Social Security is fixed of course.

    Just like, um, Reagan, and Bush I. And Nixon.

    Not Nixon. Public debt per GDP declined under Nixon. It also declined under Eisenhower.

    You don't get to pretend all Republicans have been exceptionally bad at spending, and yet also claim the Republicans are the only people serious about it.

    Who on the Democrat side at the federal level is serious about cutting spending? Obama threw in a budget that was more than a trillion over. Most of the Democrat survivors drove the spending in the last Congress. So yes, the Republicans with their ever so awesome record are the only game in town when it comes to federal spending reduction.

    You mean the 'mockery' that's eventually going to cost us, oh, maybe $30 billion dollars? (Which, for viewers at home, is trivial, as I've pointed out.) And save an entire industry that employs hundreds of thousand of Americans.

    What other mockery could I be talking about? Bankruptcy court was adequate for that task. And no, it didn't save the industry (probably doomed Ford too). We still have three crippled auto manufacturers who will go under next time this happens.

    And of course, $30 billion is trivial. That's spending $100k or so per job "created or saved", most which I might add, would have been "created or saved" anyway in a bankruptcy.

    Erm, do you even know what CORBA is? Employers do not pay it.

    From here:

    Under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, certain individuals who are eligible for COBRA continuation health coverage, or similar coverage under state law, may receive a subsidy for 65 percent of the premium. These individuals are required to pay only 35 percent of the premium. The employer may recover the subsidy provided to assistance-eligible individuals by taking the subsidy amount as a credit on its quarterly employment tax return. The employer may provide the subsidy â" and take the credit on its employment tax return â" only after it has received the 35 percent premium payment from the individual.

    It was as I said. The employer pays then, maybe, gets the funds recovered from the federal government later. It's a cost for the employer because they aren't compensated for the expense of providing the subsidy.

    Um, are you insane? Firstly, there is no ban, offshore drilling started up again, second, there never was a ban on existing drilling, it was for new drilling.

    There we go. I wasn't insane as you confirmed.

    Except Obama didn't do that. The EPA did.

    EPA is directed by Obama. Further, it's actions are the responsibility of Obama.

    the continual thumbing of the nose at law and the Constitution, frequent lying that shames prior administrations,

    Other random made up shit...

    Let's go over a few items. A vast number of people with authority who weren't appointed by Congress; two lightweights with blatant ideological leanings appointed to the Supreme Court; continuation of all the constitutional abominations of his predecessor such as Guantanamo prison, wire tapping without a warrant (in other words, he rene

  63. What about high-altitude winds? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Looks like the jet-streams have a good amount of energy and are more consistent that those just near the ground.
    Additionally, a breakthrough in the solar domain is one potential game-changer (there is so much energy recieved from the Sun that it can power the globe).

  64. Spain and Germany are fantastic! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What are you on?! Spain and Germany's renewables are doing extremely well!

  65. Alternatives are within reach by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We could, within two years be producing all Petroleum fuels domestically,or at least in North America. We will have pipelines from Canadian tar sands and we have an economically workable coal reprocessing technique that is still profitable if oil drops to $30 a barrel. We are a lot farther away from using electricity to replace oil as a transportation fuel. Replacing enough of the fleet to make a dent will take decades. In the meantime, I'm seeing enough interesting possibilities in Graphene research to make me optimistic that direct conversion in situ will eventually be possible and, perhaps economically feasible. ( For non-physics readers, that is generation of electricity from the products of nuclear decay.) Nuclear power without nuclear waste is at least a realistic potential, though not in the near future.
      What I am seeing is that the most interesting things are happening in places we have not thought of as centers for advanced research. North and South Dakota, Finland, Canada and so on.
    All who read here hope we never reach a plateau with computing where nothing much changes. Why should it be different with energy? We always work for something better, but now is the time disruptive technologies start to rumble from unexpected places.

  66. Re:The enemy is still present by DavidTC · · Score: 1

    We pull money now from the general fund for Social Security and CBO is projecting that we'll continued to do so for the indefinite future, unless Social Security is fixed of course.

    No we do not. Thanks to the payroll tax holiday, Social Security pulls money from Social Security's reserve.

    Social Security does not pull money from the general fund. It has no actual way to do that, although admittedly if things got that bad we'd probably pass a law allowing it to do so.

    Public debt per GDP declined under Nixon. It also declined under Eisenhower.

    Yes, if you make random measurements you can find ways in which it declined.

    Of course, the GDP then declined under Carter, which I guess made all added debt that Nixon put on there his fault? Or, perhaps, GDP is utterly unrelated to debt. The debt is a long-term problem, and growing it less than you grow the GDP is not relevant to anything.

    Who on the Democrat side at the federal level is serious about cutting spending? Obama threw in a budget that was more than a trillion over. Most of the Democrat survivors drove the spending in the last Congress. So yes, the Republicans with their ever so awesome record are the only game in town when it comes to federal spending reduction.

    Yes, the people who keep increasing the budget massively while cutting microscopic amounts are the only game in town.

    What other mockery could I be talking about? Bankruptcy court was adequate for that task. And no, it didn't save the industry (probably doomed Ford too). We still have three crippled auto manufacturers who will go under next time this happens.

    Uh, you need to read something that's actually looked at the issue since the bailout. The auto industry is doing very well. (In a recession!) Smart money is on stock prices getting high enough for the government to sell their stock at a profit in two or three years, although they'll have to sell it slowly.

    And of course, $30 billion is trivial. That's spending $100k or so per job "created or saved", most which I might add, would have been "created or saved" anyway in a bankruptcy.

    Holy fuck, it was that productive? That's like ten time more productive than the stimulus, and fifth times more productive than tax cuts.

    I wasn't insane as you confirmed.

    ..except you didn't address the fact that 'new offshore drilling jobs' is utter nonsense. There are only 55 offshore drilling platforms, and maybe three or four put in a year, with a grand total of thirty people on them, so we get maybe 100 added jobs each year...and that's not including the fact it's new permits, which translate into actual drilling and actual jobs five years later. Nationwide, that's not even worth measuring. The BP spill itself created more jobs than the entirety of offshore drilling has ever done.

    EPA is directed by Obama. You do realize that the Surpreme Court, in Massachusetts v. EPA (Which I should point out, was under Bush, so the case was defended), ordered the EPA to look at carbon dioxide as a possibly pollutant, right? And said that the only decision they could make is if 'carbon dioxide either caused or contributed to air pollution in ways that endangered public health'.

    The only answer possible to that is 'yes', and thus the EPA is required by the courts to regulate carbon dioxide.

    The law, existing since the creation of the EPA, requires to EPA to regulate that sort of stuff, and the court decision forces them to follow the law. Obama doesn't get any blame or credit for that at all, unless you think he should have appointed someone who say 'Fuck the Supreme Court, I'm doing whatever I want!'.

    Let's go over a few items.

    If you want to attack Obama from the left, I have no problem with it. He is governing a lot farther to the right than he appeared to be during election.

    A vast number of people with authority who weren't appoin

    --
    If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  67. Re:The enemy is still present by khallow · · Score: 1

    Social Security pulls money from Social Security's reserve.

    The Social Security reserve is an accounting fiction. Money goes to or comes from general funds.

    Luckily, Obama's not in charge of treaties.

    Executive agreement.

    The only answer possible to that is 'yes', and thus the EPA is required by the courts to regulate carbon dioxide.

    The other answer is "no". I get the feeling you frequently forget that there are other answers than the one you want it to be. The EPA had to decide whether greenhouse gases were a public health menace. The rationalizations there are remarkably weak such as claiming that global warming contributes to an increase in allergens, disease vectors, and flooding. Water also does the same thing and could be regulated by the same justification.

    And once again, Obama is responsible for poor decisions made by anyone which serves in his administration.

    At this point, I just want to point out that you have numerous obvious flaws in your reasoning which indicate you don't understand the important issues we discuss here.

    For example, I have no idea why you repeat ancient 1930s propaganda on Social Security like it is fact. We have almost 80 years of operation of Social Security and we can see that it doesn't operate like you claim. I can't help you, if you continue to misunderstand key parts of the US government.

    I'll agree that he lied about how far left he was, and is actually basically at the same point as Clinton, if that's the claim you want to make.

    This is one of the few things that amuse me about leftists. How they turn on each other so easily.

    Um, yes, they did force that tax cut, by filibustering every bill that didn't contain it.

    You'd think the Republicans were running the show back then the way they get talked about. It's a feeble excuse. The Democrats just needed to keep their senate bloc loyal and peel away a couple of Republican senators. They failed to do that.

    Almost all the things you listed are countered by tax rebates and whatnot for businesses that provide health insurance.

    Yes, this was a totally insane way to provide health care, I agree, and while Obama likes to blame the Republicans, I think we've all realized we got basically the bill he wanted.

    What? Do I hear a bit of disenchantment with the Glorious Leader? Did he say something again which might not have been the whole unvarnished truth?

    Yes, and those exact same tax cuts have worked very well over the past decade, haven't they?

    True, tax cuts aren't enough in themselves. The US could have not collected taxes at all for the past ten years and still have the recent financial crash wipe out a lot of the gain. My view is that recessions are the missing piece of the puzzle. Having to rebuild the financial system every 20-40 years is not a good idea, but the current approach of bailing out businesses in every recession builds up a lot of parasitic incompetents (using the "private profit, public risk" business model) who can't fend for themselves.

    You have to cull the herd every so often, even if it means significant job loss, in order to clear space for the better businesses. This is the biggest flaw with any variety of Keynesian economics, not to mention the Obama variety which wasn't based on investment in the first place.

  68. Roll on $300/bbl oil, I say. by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
    Job security at minor cost. I don't see any downsides.

    What - you don't work in the non-Middle East oil industry. I'll see if I can find a phone number for someone who might be interested ... try (01224) 574488 (Aberdeen Samaritans).

    --
    Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"