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US Funding Five Game-Changing Energy Projects

coondoggie writes "Taking aim at developing some progressive energy technologies the US Department of Energy said it will write a $130 million check to develop five areas, including plants engineered to replace oil, thermal power storage, rare earth alternatives and what it calls the energy equivalent of an Internet router."

529 comments

  1. Rare earth alternatives. by drfreak · · Score: 4, Funny

    Will Nikola Tesla please stand up? Oh wait, he's dead. Forget it.

    1. Re:Rare earth alternatives. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Back in the day the Rare Earth scored Top-40 hits with "Get Ready" and "I just want to celebrate", but if you were looking for alternatives, the Temptations (who also did "Get Ready", as well as "Ball of Confusion") would be one.

    2. Re:Rare earth alternatives. by qfman · · Score: 1

      Brillouin Energy Corp. (BEC) is developing Intellectual Property(IP) that represents the ultimate in clean green renewable energy. Be sure to check out our Phase 2 results paper at http://www.brillouinenergy.com/Brillouin_Second_Round_Data.pdf We have now exceed twice the thermal equivalent energy out as electrical energy fed into the generator or (2X) under stable controlled operation. BEC expects to far exceed that making the technology a valuable industrial heat source that can dramatically reduced the use of carbon and fission based heat sources (i.e. coal, oil, gas, and existing nuclear). At 10x the technology can generate electricity and at 15x it will fit under the hood of a car for a hybrid electric vehicle with no toxic or green house emissions. Perhaps it is time to put a bit of DOE and or ARPAE funding towards the development of LENR technology! If you know people investing in green energy I would appreciate you forwarding them a link to our website http://www.brillouinenergy.com/

      --
      They who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety.
  2. Until costs go down... by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unlike Brazil, once prices went back down the US decided to drop all the programs from the 70s because. Hell, fuel was cheap! People have already forgotten 2008 and went out buying SUVs once again. Now they're complaining once again.

    1. Re:Until costs go down... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Which is why public policy should be directed to intercede. The public is short-sighted, like the markets that supply their fuel and "choose" which technologies to pursue. We can see the storm coming on the horizon, but when you've got so many people looking straight up, seeing the sun and proclaiming there's no danger it's hard to react to a future that many experts know is coming.

      We can either make tough choices now that will lead to a somewhat painful but tolerable transition period, or wait and do the same things in haste and agony. The people saying we should do nothing are doing so mostly out of an ideological mistrust of government doing anything, but they are going to be very regretful when they realize the markets failed to see and prepare for a future that experts and government DID predict, and could have prevented or at least vastly reduced the severity of.

      We are in for a bleak future, because a small section of society has a vested interest in doing nothing and they have fully convinced roughly half of us that doing anything about it is an affront to their liberty. They'll pay in the end, we all will.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    2. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no good reason why gas costs can't be cheap. We have a president who thinks its OK to bring us to the tipping point of $5/gallon gasoline to teach us a lesson with his fucked up ideas that we all need to be shared responsibility (read: SUFFERING)

      The real problem here is the government subsidization program. We have an obesity epidemic because farmers had us hoodwinked that HFCS is just as good as sugar, and a health crisis because of it. The real solution would be to get off the tits of Middle Eastern oil dependence for fossil fuels and be using our corn strictly for our fuel.

    3. Re:Until costs go down... by bunratty · · Score: 2

      So Obama's to blame for $4/gallon gas? Was Bush to blame the last time we had $4/gallon gas? BTW, no one is asking anyone to suffer. We can switch to alternative energy sources without anyone suffering at all. Using corn for fuel doesn't use energy wisely; it takes nearly as much energy or even more energy to make ethanol from corn as you get from the ethanol. Using corn for energy is a waste of energy.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    4. Re:Until costs go down... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Well, you have to remember, 2008 was fueled by hope and change and some people believe either is working.

    5. Re:Until costs go down... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      The problem with HFCS is not so much what it is or how it's used but how ubiquitous it is in our food supply. It's probably in at least half of every food product the average person eats on a daily basis. It's not just the obvious sources like soda and sweet snacks; it's in ketchup, bread, orange juice, nearly anything that comes in a box or bag.

      That being said, int he same store that you can buy those things are also food products that are safe and healthy and not for much more money. It's mostly a matter of being willing to prepare your own food and not rely so much on precooked and preprocessed sources. It's much easier to cook spaghetti with marinara with premade tomato sauce, but you could spend a few more minutes to make your own from tomatoes and spices. It's choices like that, we make them every day. We trade a few minutes, even a few seconds, of convenience for our health. It's slowly killing us, and people aren't going to stop doing it by themselves, sadly. Something has to stop them. I wish it could be a matter of education and personal choice but that's simply not going to work. We need a force strong enough to mandate that this junk is taken out of our food, and that starts with removing the influence of the corporations that produce those chemicals and additives on the government agency that is supposed to regulate what they get to put in our food.

      I don't care if I'm called a communist or a fascist or a Nazi or whatever, government needs to have stricter control on what companies are allowed to put in food, because individuals making their own choices about what to buy are simply not punishing those companies enough for what they are doing to our health.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    6. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1, Troll

      Which is why public policy should be directed to intercede.

      And do what? The ignorance in that statement is remarkable. Public policy is asked to spend vast sums of money, without understanding what the problems are.

      The public is short-sighted, like the markets that supply their fuel and "choose" which technologies to pursue.

      There we go. A system that works. Why squander our wealth on mandarins when we can encourage far sighted entrepreneurs to find solutions for us?

      We can see the storm coming on the horizon, but when you've got so many people looking straight up, seeing the sun and proclaiming there's no danger it's hard to react to a future that many experts know is coming.

      I like how the experts "know" the future is coming, they might even be right! I can't help but snort at the fantasy of the "storm on the horizon" coupled with your desire to use public policy to acknowledge your superstitions. This is the very essence of confirmation bias.

      We can either make tough choices now that will lead to a somewhat painful but tolerable transition period, or wait and do the same things in haste and agony.

      You obviously do not understand the merits of wait then act. And "haste and agony" is a common product of public policy. The Obama administration, for example, both has engineered a ban of incandescent lightbulbs and a ludicrous increase in the required gas mileage for auto manufacturers via CAFE.

      We are in for a bleak future, because a small section of society has a vested interest in doing nothing and they have fully convinced roughly half of us that doing anything about it is an affront to their liberty. They'll pay in the end, we all will.

      As long as we don't feed your delusions, it'll probably turn out ok. Freedom is important and we'll just need to make some sacrifices for that. Controlling the Earth's thermostat or whatever you think the problem is just isn't that important.

    7. Re:Until costs go down... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 4, Interesting

      History will show who was right. I'm prepared to be judged for, in my zeal, doing too much. Are you prepared to be judged for doing too little?

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    8. Re:Until costs go down... by Gerzel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes there is a good reason why gas can't be cheap.

      It is a limited finite resource and there is a large and growing demand for it on the planet.

      It is something that will increase in cost and has greater value for chemical manufacturing. Why are we squandering such a resource on fuel? Why are we burning it and wasting it? Why do so many people think it is such a good idea to go through our own reserve supplies first and then depend on the rest of the world for our supply?

      Drill here, drill now is just a good recipe to destroy American sovereignty.

    9. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a ban of incandescent lightbulbs and a ludicrous increase in the required gas mileage for auto manufacturers via CAFE.

      How are either of these a bad thing? They're both a reasonable adjustment towards more efficient technologies with little if any downside. Or are you one of those people who whine about the CFL light not being "pleasing" enough. Get over yourself.

    10. Re:Until costs go down... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      Because such a course of action will yield the greatest short term profits for many people. This is the only course of action that could be expected, it's as natural and expected of corporations as breathing is for humans. This behavior cannot be divorced from the system that created it, because they are one and the same.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    11. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      int he same store that you can buy those things are also food products that are safe and healthy and not for much more money

      HFCS is safe and healthy. It's not the bogeyman it's made out to be. Just watch your calorie intake.

    12. Re:Until costs go down... by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

      You obviously do not understand the merits of wait then act.

      Except that it seems like a majority of the time humans wait until there's an absolute catastrophe before actually doing anything. Waiting is fine as long as there is a good reason to and it's not too long.

      And "haste and agony" is a common product of public policy.

      Common? Maybe. Good? I think not.

      --
      Filthy, filthy copyrapists!
    13. Re:Until costs go down... by Pseudonym+Authority · · Score: 2

      You obviously do not understand the merits of wait then act.

      If a train is coming at you, you do not wait until he hits you to get out of the way.

      it'll probably turn out ok

      Oh, you are one of those types immune to reason, who would just stand there on the tracks and expect the free market to save you.

    14. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is why the EP-fuckin-A forbids me from using CNG as a fuel source without it being an "approved" kit that costs hundreds of thousands to develop.

      For fuck sake get over yourself, troll.

    15. Re:Until costs go down... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Hi MR AC! Allow me to explain how that can be bad, a little thing called 'unforeseen consequences'. For example CAFE...once upon a time there was a thing called a station wagon. Now this thing was just about perfect for your average soccer mom who needed to haul the kids to practice, but then along came CAFE which listed them as cars and put crazy MPG ratings on them.

      " Why" said the auto manufacturers "We can keep making these and make underpowered POS station wagons that the public doesn't buy, or we can build them on a truck chassis and forget the CAFE crap!" and the SUV was born. The same thing happened to those great little car/trucks, like the El Camino and Ranchero, which were perfect for just hauling a little lumber or moving some furniture. Nope instead thanks to CAFE you got full sized trucks instead!

      So you see MR AC it is those unforeseen consequences that bite you in the ass, like those studies coming out now that say the chemicals released by the new CFC bulbs are a cancer risk, as well as more dangerous thanks to the blue tint being more like sunlight and throwing everyone's biological clocks off more than the yellow incandescent bulbs. It is the "we have to do something now!" brigade that leaps before looking and yet again those pesky unforeseen consequences bite you in the ass. Personally I'd rather let the people decide whether they want car A or car B myself. Call me weird but I think having choice is a good thing.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    16. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You point out exactly what needs to be done to fix the system and and then you somehow arrive at the conclusion that it should be scraped entirely. Why? All you've done is argued that the standards aren't well applied or created at current, not that the idea of them is itself a bad thing.

      I'm very interested in reading the studies about the CFLs being a cancer risk, do you have any sources for them from peer reviewed academic journals? Also have you considered that the extra coal burned to produce more power for the less efficient incandescent bulbs would also be a cancer risk? That sounds like something that should be studied, but my intuition hints that the burning of more coal is probably the more serious danger. Lots of things have to be weighed against each other so we know how to make the best decision, you raise some good points.

    17. Re:Until costs go down... by Tumbleweed · · Score: 1

      History will show who was right. I'm prepared to be judged for, in my zeal, doing too much. Are you prepared to be judged for doing too little?

      If people were worried about how they'd be judged in the future, rather than how they _look_ right now, the world would be unrecognizable. The thing public policy people don't seem to take into account is human nature.

    18. Re:Until costs go down... by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

      > And do what?

      How about an Open Fuel Standard? That would quickly and easily decouple our transportation from imported oil.

      Just one example of many things that government can do to steer our economic development in a better direction.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    19. Re:Until costs go down... by Black+Parrot · · Score: 1

      Unlike Brazil, once prices went back down the US decided to drop all the programs from the 70s because. Hell, fuel was cheap!

      An associate who has consulted with the auto industry for several decades says that every time someone gets serious about building fuel-efficient automobiles, the gas prices "miraculously" drop and the program gets cancelled. So much so that getting assigned to lead such a program is top management's way of telling you that your career is dead.

      People have already forgotten 2008 and went out buying SUVs once again. Now they're complaining once again.

      In the last go-round it really annoyed me that everyone wanted to blame Detroit for all the gas-guzzlers. Detroit just builds what we want to buy.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    20. Re:Until costs go down... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      I don't want any scrap built, ramshackle vehicle made by some yahoo in his garage to be traveling on the roads that I too must drive on. I'm glad you can't just throw together some experimental, possibly dangerous, vehicle and drive it. If you want a CNG car you can buy one, several automakers produce versions of cars with such systems and they are far safer and more efficient (not to mention cost effective) than anything you or I could build on our own.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    21. Re:Until costs go down... by RobbieThe1st · · Score: 2

      As far as incandescent lightbulbs go, it's a bad thing in some places and fine in others.
      In the middle of California, sure... Not only are you wasting a lot of energy, but that energy then has to be moved to the outside, wasting even /more/ energy.
      In the middle of Alaska, or even the northern states, however -- places that need heating and not cooling, incandescent lights are fine. The wasted energy is used to heat the building.
      In addition, you have several problems with CFLs:
      1. Made in China. We aren't -- and /won't/ -- be producing any of our lights now, relying on someone else to do it for us. What happens if we stop being able to import new ones? Say the dollar goes down to the point at whch they can't be afforded?
      Oh, and they're cheaply made and full of mercury too..

      2. Climate-sensitive: CFLs hate high humidity, and extremely high and low temperatures. Which means they aren't good for outside lights if the temperature drops below freezing, or in ovens, refrigeraters etc. Same with bathrooms, honestly.

      3. Slow start. Sure, for a living room light, it's fine. For a closet, however, not so much.

      4. Low power factor. I haven't seen one CFL over 0.4 PF. Not a big deal for one or two, but it could easily distort the wave form when you have several millions lights going, which could cause other problems. Unless it gets filtered by the pole transformer, of course.

      That all being said, I've been using flourescent lights for years, and were a relatively early adopter of CFLs. I just don't think they're appropriate everywhere, nor do I think the mandate was a good idea. Incentives might be a better idea.

    22. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We have a president who thinks its OK to bring us to the tipping point of $5/gallon

      No...like the IPO bubble of the turn-of-the-millennium and the mortgage meltdown of a few years ago, those to blame in the oil speculation problem are on wall st...particularly Goldman Sachs. Goldman did have help from Washington where it seems that most of those tasked with regulating Goldman are ex-Goldmanites, but that doesn't absolve them of the primary blame.

      This article does a good job summarizing Goldman's many large-scale fraudulent activities (see p. 5 for the $4/gal explanation)

    23. Re:Until costs go down... by catchblue22 · · Score: 1

      I have replaced most of the light bulbs in my house with CFL's. Here is my experience:

      Firstly, buy the good ones. I use Phillips. The open coil kind, and not the ones that come already surrounded by a glass dome. The glass dome ones have an irritatingly long warm up time. The good ones are the ones where you can touch the coil directly.

      The bulbs that I use have a fairly good color. I have used the cheap ones, and their color was awful, reminiscent of the lighting at a typical swimming pool. The Phillips bulbs have a color that is nearly indistinguishable from regular bulbs. And they come on almost instantly, and are at full brightness almost right away. The only incandescent bulbs I use are in my nighttime dimmed reading lights. I like the nice warm orange glow of a dimmed 40W incandescent bulb just before bed. Other than that they do work great. They DO work in washrooms. They DO work inside light enclosures. And you won't really notice the difference, except on your power bill.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    24. Re:Until costs go down... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      The problem is, a lot of the people on one side of the debate don't even accept the premise that the train exists at all.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    25. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      History will show who was right. I'm prepared to be judged for, in my zeal, doing too much. Are you prepared to be judged for doing too little?

      I would rather do the right thing now than concern myself with judgment. Hence, my choices. I know already that no one has more than a greatly imperfect knowledge of the future and no understand at all of the possible choices we collectively could make. So imposing restrictions that not only depend on a relatively solid knowledge of the future, but also constrain our collective lives, seems remarkably foolish to me. Clothing that choice in the conceit of elite knowledge is just folly.

      I don't know whether you will ever regret the choices you make imposing your myopic morality on the rest of the world, but I do know that I would regret allowing your choices to go through uncontested. And that's good enough for me.

    26. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Command economics in general is a miserable failure. Often predicted problems have organic solutions that no expert expects (internal combustion making dealing with horse manure in urban environments a non-issue for instance). While some planning makes sense (adjusting for higher density, finding ways to make roads more efficient, etc.) deciding that technology X will be the replacement for gasoline powered cars now is a horrible idea. Don't get me wrong, I'm not necessarily opposed to funding research and would need to do quite a bit more investigation to judge this particular set of projects, but advocating bureaucratic or technocratic solutions crosses the line for me and opens up a wealth of unintended consequences. For one, it tells anyone with an alternative idea not to bother in this market and it also makes all of us pay the early adopter penalty on a national scale. The fascinating thing to me at the moment is that the US government itself is actually trying to keep the market from doing something useful - the Obama administration is currently attacking gasoline speculation, the market method of informing the public of looming supply issues down the road. Your more fundamental problem is that the electorate doesn't want to confront the problem, and so their representatives opt to largely kick the problem down the road until the next election (see their efforts to address social security long term insolvency).

    27. Re:Until costs go down... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      I feel just as strongly in my convictions that the path you would have us take stems from an equally myopic morality and will be just as disastrous. It takes no great leap of faith to understand the science behind our energy future, and the facts are not debatable for the most part. All that is uncertain is how great the calamity will be, and how soon it will come.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    28. Re:Until costs go down... by sqrt(2) · · Score: 1

      I'm not advocating full command economy, I just want the government to intervene in areas that market forces have proven to be unreliable at best, and destructive at worst, in addressing. People aren't going to make the right decisions themselves, it requires some form of coercion or incentives.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    29. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 0

      How are either of these a bad thing?

      They are impositions on personal freedom for starters.

      They're both a reasonable adjustment towards more efficient technologies with little if any downside.

      In which case the people who buy lightbulbs or cars can make those decisions. Keep in mind that we don't need a government agency to tell us what to buy. Hence, it serves no useful role.

      Second, efficiency is not the only reason people buy things. People buy a lot of SUVs, but they obviously don't buy them for the fuel economy. Incandescent bulbs have their own advantages of color and fast lighting.

      So we have a government agency which is forcing people to buy certain things while completely ignoring why people make the decisions they make. In other words, they view the decisions in a one-dimensional sense. Society has no need for this kind of folly.

      Or are you one of those people who whine about the CFL light not being "pleasing" enough. Get over yourself.

      Then there's the gall. If CFL light isn't pleasing enough then that should be good enough for you and for the government. Govenrment shouldn't be an enabler of snooty busybodies.

    30. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 0

      I'm sure there is a role for the Bureau of Deciding For You What Lightbulbs You Should Use in there somewhere. You don't sound like a person who has the knowledge and experience to be entrusted by society with personal lightbulb placement decisions. Maybe if you got a license to change lightbulbs, I'd feel better about it.

    31. Re:Until costs go down... by LordLimecat · · Score: 1

      Which is why public policy should be directed to intercede. The public is short-sighted,/quote.
      So is policy.

      Regulations have their place, but keep in mind that that well intentioned, well-reasoned policy you put in place today will likely be with us for a long long time.

      If you just in general consider government intervention a last resort when nothing else will do, youll generally be better off.

    32. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Except that it seems like a majority of the time humans wait until there's an absolute catastrophe before actually doing anything.

      When absolute catastrophes happen, then we develop the infrastructure for them. Experience provides a suitable reason for doing something about it. This is a tested strategy that works. I feel like I'm describing how to read a newspaper. It should be obvious to you how a strategy of waiting can work better than reacting to low probability dangers.

      Second, just because I don't decide to do something today doesn't mean that I've foregone my choices in the future. Unlike the phony morality plays that often crop up in environmental hysteria myths, I can change my mind, if someone were to show with solid evidence that, say AGW, were a serious problem that required immediate action.

      Third, there are a lot of low probability dangers, real and imagined. I don't think we could function as a society, if we let those override the other things that a society does. We all make decisions that have drawbacks and tradeoffs. There are various choice failures that can come from making decisions based on little data and poorly understood risks.

      For example, imagine that you choice what to eat based on the last news story that you read on which foods were healthy and which weren't. You'd always be shuffling your diet around as the next new thing was heralded or scorned by someone in the newspaper or on TV. I imagine that would be costly and expose you to a variety of risks and harms that a normal person, who did nothing about their diet, wouldn't even see.

      So to summarize, there are good reasons to wait. These might not outweigh the advantages of doing something now, but there is a lot of wisdom in putting things off that don't need to be done today.

      And let me revisit my statement on public policy.

      And "haste and agony" is a common product of public policy.

      I gave two examples, incandescent light bulbs and increasing the collective fuel economy of cars by a bit over 50%. There's no reason to implement these policies in twenty years, much less in the four or less years that's been assigned to them. That's a lot of haste and agony that could have been avoided by just not implementing the policy. And that's the thing about public policy, it's almost always hustled through and implemented in short time spans.

    33. Re:Until costs go down... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      I am unfortunatly very familier with the CFL conspiracy theory. Like all good conspiracy theories it starts with a grain of truth, then goes on with wild speculation. CFLs do indeed contain toxins. Specifically mercury (which will screw up your nervous system) and phosphors (Which will give you cancer) - but both of them are held safely contained inside the glass. Even if the glass were broken, the amount in an individual bulb is insignificent. It's a danger if you work in their manufacture or disposal, in which case appropriate precautions must be taken, but no danger to the people who use them. Not unless they plan on eating the things.

      There may be no real danger, but there are a lot of false reports and paniced stories on the internet claiming that CFLs will cause everything from cancer to epilepsy. It's a political thing. The US recently passed new efficiency standards for light bulbs which no conventional incandescent can achieve, and this has annoyed a lot of people of the more libertarian political stance - people who believe the federal government should have no business regulating what type of light bulbs are permitted. It's also annoyed anyone who is strictly partisan on the republican or conservative side - as the efficiency standards are a democrat idea, those who support the republicans are in some way obliged to oppose them. As a result the 'CFLs will kill you' story can join the ranks of the modern myth, alongside 'vaccines cause autism' and 'Bush organised the 9/11 attacks.' False stories that keep spreading because some people just want them to be true.

    34. Re:Until costs go down... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      I think that is more the fact that CNG equipment has a tendency to go 'boom' and leave a small crater where once your car stood.

    35. Re:Until costs go down... by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Which is the problem. HFCS has a huge energy content. It's also found in just about all processed foods, due to it's very low cost and almost magic ability to make any food taste nice. It's more difficult to watch your calorie intake when your small lunchtime snack contains 30% of your daily allowance.

    36. Re:Until costs go down... by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

      It should be obvious to you how a strategy of waiting can work better than reacting to low probability dangers.

      In the very same post I mentioned that there was situations where waiting would be wise. It's just that, oftentimes, humans procrastinate at the worst possible times.

      These might not outweigh the advantages of doing something now, but there is a lot of wisdom in putting things off that don't need to be done today.

      Actually, if the reasons to wait do not outweigh the reasons to not wait, then that would be an unwise decisions, would it not? In other words, in the situations you just described, waiting wouldn't be beneficial.

      --
      Filthy, filthy copyrapists!
    37. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      If a train is coming at you, you do not wait until he hits you to get out of the way.

      Not everything is a train. And not every train is heading towards you.

    38. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      In the very same post I mentioned that there was situations where waiting would be wise. It's just that, oftentimes, humans procrastinate at the worst possible times.

      Procrastination is just waiting that had a harmful net outcome. My point is that waiting is a strategy just like any course of action. And it has advantages as well as disadvantages. The original post way back when failed to acknowledge this (among several other flaws, waiting was treated as having no benefit). Even waiting to the moment of "absolute catastrophe" may be the best approach. I'd say that in reality even slight preparation would probably be beneficial, but the thing is at least theoretically possible. Or perhaps you've already made sufficient preparation and more effort doesn't give you further advantage, hence, you return to a waiting strategy. It doesn't become procrastination merely because life sucks in the post-catastrophe part.

    39. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 0

      You point out exactly what needs to be done to fix the system and and then you somehow arrive at the conclusion that it should be scraped entirely. Why?

      Reason and common sense. There are examples of repeated, futile flailing as a bureaucracy refines rules to try to remove unintended consequences until they give up and remove the regulation, returning things to the original state. CAFE is a great example of this. They've broken a lot of good car designs.

      Lots of things have to be weighed against each other so we know how to make the best decision, you raise some good points.

      And guess what has demonstrated time and again that they can't make "best decisions"? Governments.

    40. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 0

      The problem is, a lot of the people on one side of the debate don't even accept the premise that the train exists at all.

      It could be a train. It could be coming at me. And it might come in what? Two to three centuries? Sometimes these problems are made for wait and act.

    41. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      I feel just as strongly in my convictions that the path you would have us take stems from an equally myopic morality and will be just as disastrous.

      I have a reason for my convictions. We routinely have people predict various doomsday scenarios.

      It takes no great leap of faith to understand the science behind our energy future, and the facts are not debatable for the most part.

      That still depends on you understanding the science behind our "energy future" and knowing the facts. I doubt you can come up with a rational basis for that confidence.

      For example, it's pretty close to established fact that oil reserves are greatly overstated (primarily due to machinations of OPEC, but there are other incentives). But that doesn't prevent smart, informed parties (who I might add, won't be most government bureaucracies, unless they happen to be in Saudi Arabia) from making good educated guesses on what's really out there. And markets from communicating more accurately through price signals how much oil is currently out there.

      All that is uncertain is how great the calamity will be, and how soon it will come.

      Something like this makes me chuckle inside, Finally, a true statement we can both agree and disagree on simultaneously.

      The problem with the "science" and the "not debatable facts" is that it is a short slide from that to a morass of conflicting interests and nebulous outcomes. You also often need more science and facts than what you have. One of the reasons I favor the "wait and act" strategy is because I've seen too many people claim science and indisputable facts, only to fail to deliver.

    42. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Why are we squandering such a resource on fuel?

      Because "squandering" it generates a lot of value for us.

      Why do so many people think it is such a good idea to go through our own reserve supplies first and then depend on the rest of the world for our supply?

      Because using it now is a lot more valuable than some distant future use. Time-value of money and all.

    43. Re:Until costs go down... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Didn't the USA invade Iraq/Afghanistan because Bush wanted to write himself into the future's history books...?

      (Which he's succeeded in doing, except that outside the USA they're probably going to publish the picture of the chimp instead of the one where he's wearing a military jacket under the "mission accomplished" banner...)

      --
      No sig today...
    44. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      This behavior cannot be divorced from the system that created it, because they are one and the same.

      Except that neither the behavior and the system are as you describe. For example, time-value of money (which would exist even in a system that didn't have money or so-called "short term profits") means that there's not much point to using a resource in the distant future rather than now.

    45. Re:Until costs go down... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Are you also against people telling you not to litter? Not to dump bad chemicals in the local creek?

      Not being able to dump garbage wherever I want is an infringement of my personal freedom.

      --
      No sig today...
    46. Re:Until costs go down... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      He'll probably feature prominently in the history books when someone rewrites Gibbon's history of Rome's downfall to the topic of the downfall of the American Empire.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    47. Re:Until costs go down... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      I have a reason for my convictions. We routinely have people predict various doomsday scenarios.

      Ah, this shit again. I hear it all too often from people here in Germany who insist that all doomsday sayers are stupid because about 30 years ago it was predicted that due to acid rains Germany would not have any forests by now.

      For their own comfort, they forget that since the 1980ies these doomsday sayers have done a lot to combat industry, power production and vehicular exhaust dirt, which lead to a much better air quality altogether - the last smog alert in Germany was 20 years ago.

      Same thing happened with the y2k problem and ozone hole - the shortsighted are convinced that nothing really bad has happened because the problems weren't there, the less myopic understand that the positive outcome was due to a lot of effort.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    48. Re:Until costs go down... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Ah.. here we go. Show your colors. It doesn't concern me, only the next generation, so fuck them for my personal gain. Thanks for showing off what passes as "ethics" in you circles, if you ever even heard of the concept.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    49. Re:Until costs go down... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      But, don't you see, not being able to blow up some bystanders with his crap-arse homemade shit infringes on his FREEDOM.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    50. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Ah, this shit again. I hear it all too often from people here in Germany who insist that all doomsday sayers are stupid because about 30 years ago it was predicted that due to acid rains Germany would not have any forests by now.

      It's just reasonable. You have to take past behavior into account. When a certain ideology consistently makes erroneous predictions such as the above, completely no doubt with science, facts, and all that, then a prudent person has to take that into account.

      Same thing happened with the y2k problem and ozone hole - the shortsighted are convinced that nothing really bad has happened because the problems weren't there, the less myopic understand that the positive outcome was due to a lot of effort.

      The Y2K problem had a legitimate foundation, a huge pile of code that would break when dateroll happened.

      Further, the less myopic have zero clue how bad things might have gotten if that effort hadn't happened. There's little evidence that human CFCs had any effect on the Antarctica hole, for example. The hole might have always been there, but we didn't see it until we looked.

    51. Re:Until costs go down... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      And you don't recognize that as problematic? This pretty much sums up the systemic flaw in our economy. Burn it now, everything available, and to hell with the next generation.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    52. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 0

      Are you also against people telling you not to litter?

      They have to be licensed scolds. We can't have just anyone scold.

      Not to dump bad chemicals in the local creek?

      I can see the connection to lightbulbs here. Blatantly obvious. If you screwed in the local creek yourself, then yes, you should be able to dump bad chemicals in it. That's what it's there for.

      Not being able to dump garbage wherever I want is an infringement of my personal freedom.

      Well, obvious I think you should be able to screw your garbage into any socket of your choosing,

    53. Re:Until costs go down... by TheLink · · Score: 1

      And guess what has demonstrated time and again that they can't make "best decisions"? Governments.
      Who are controlled by leaders elected by voters.

      So using your logic the some countries should do away with democracy and elections, since the voters have demonstrated time and again that they elect Governments who have demonstrated time and again that they can't make decisions that are "best" according to you...

      Fact is they get some stuff right. Car safety has gone up over the years. I've heard that fatalities are down because cars are safer not because drivers are better. Exhaust pollution has gone down.

      If you think the government had nothing to do with it and it's all due to the manufacturers "good hearts" you should look at vehicles in other countries without those government regulations. In some places the trucks do not have underrun protection bars, the cars would not pass US/Euro safety standards, etc etc.

      Maybe your Government did screw up with CAFE. But ranting about "Governments" like that is about as useful as ranting about "Humans".

      --
    54. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll consider your pathetic attempt at humorous evasion as an admission of your inability to actually defend your position :)

    55. Re:Until costs go down... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Uhhh...because we have seen time and time again how just trying to "fix" the mess by passing ever more rules just piles on the clusterfuck? As for CFLs I can give you a little link to a thing called Yahoo Search which brings up 36,000 pages on CFLs and cancer. Feel free to choose whichever site you would consider a credible source, with 36,000 I'm sure you'll find a few.

      Basically the gist of it is the plastics that make up the ring holding the CFL when heated release carcinogens which you then breathe. Surprise surprise, those unintended consequences bite you right in the rear again. Oh I'm sure they'll come out with yet more regulations, that will promptly be ignored by the third world countries we have making the things since they closed the light bulb factories here to make the new ones in China (there is those pesky unintended consequences again) and people will justify the increased risk of cancer on "being green". Of course if you get cancer and die your carbon footprint drops off the chart, so you are REALLY being green then!

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    56. Re:Until costs go down... by Lonewolf666 · · Score: 1

      Hi MR AC! Allow me to explain how that can be bad, a little thing called 'unforeseen consequences'. For example CAFE...once upon a time there was a thing called a station wagon. Now this thing was just about perfect for your average soccer mom who needed to haul the kids to practice, but then along came CAFE which listed them as cars and put crazy MPG ratings on them.

      " Why" said the auto manufacturers "We can keep making these and make underpowered POS station wagons that the public doesn't buy, or we can build them on a truck chassis and forget the CAFE crap!" and the SUV was born. The same thing happened to those great little car/trucks, like the El Camino and Ranchero, which were perfect for just hauling a little lumber or moving some furniture. Nope instead thanks to CAFE you got full sized trucks instead!

      I've just taken a look at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corporate_Average_Fuel_Economy and I think the current MPG ratings are far from crazy.
      For instance, my Audi A4 (European model) from 2002 is rated at about 35 mpg and has 130hp. It certainly does not feel underpowered. According to Wikipedia, CAFE only demands 30 mpg for the model year 2011. So it is clearly doable. Granted, the 39 mph for 2016 may be a bit harder to obtain ;-)

      --
      C - the footgun of programming languages
    57. Re:Until costs go down... by Lonewolf666 · · Score: 1

      Oops, the 35 mpg for my Audi are based on imperial gallons. In US gallons, it's only 29 mpg.
      Still doable, but not with the same comfortable margin

      --
      C - the footgun of programming languages
    58. Re:Until costs go down... by improfane · · Score: 1

      It's nice to see that someone has an idea where we as a society are heading. It's depressing what people close to you are arguing about and think are the real problems, completely oblivious to the status quo.

      Isaac Asimov's Foundation anyone? Ten thousand years of barbarianism? Not quite what I expect but there must be a even darker relapse in humanity at the present rate. Another issue is that even with the Internet and web, the vested interests are destroying our will to be self-organized and form communities. If you self-organize, you're met with suspicion and treated like a criminal.

      Computer geeks need to self-organize in passive righteousness. Think secure cells of command and mutual co-operation.

      --
      Slashdot needs Geekcode | Can anyone recommend any good SCIFI? My tastes: Foundation, Startide Rising, CITY, Ringworld,
    59. Re:Until costs go down... by improfane · · Score: 1

      That should say, a much darker relapse than a economic recession but not quite so bad as a ten thousand year one...

      --
      Slashdot needs Geekcode | Can anyone recommend any good SCIFI? My tastes: Foundation, Startide Rising, CITY, Ringworld,
    60. Re:Until costs go down... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      "Do not scare ostriches! Concrete floor."

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    61. Re:Until costs go down... by HungryHobo · · Score: 2

      The hole might have always been there, but we didn't see it until we looked.... and now it just happens to be shrinking now that CFC's aren't being used as much.
      Pure coincidence of course.

      A prediction was made based on the hypothesis that CFC's were causing the hole and based on that changes were made(CFC's banned and used far less) and the hole shrank fitting with the hypothesis.

      Like any test of a hypothesis it's not perfect but it's orders of magnitude better than your denial Just-Because.

    62. Re:Until costs go down... by HungryHobo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      For example, imagine that you choice what to eat based on the last news story that you read on which foods were healthy and which weren't. You'd always be shuffling your diet around as the next new thing was heralded or scorned by someone in the newspaper or on TV. I imagine that would be costly and expose you to a variety of risks and harms that a normal person, who did nothing about their diet, wouldn't even see.

      you've got the wrong comparison.
      Yes it would be insane to listen to every "nutritionist" and hack who think fish oil will make you smart or that bread will give you cancer.

      on the other hand if you based your diet on the current best practice as advised by the majority of dieticians(that's the real experts with the real qualifications who don't change their minds every 20 minutes but can sometimes be wrong like any scientists or professionals) then you'd likely have an exceptionally good diet and be more healthy than average.

      there are good reasons to wait.

      until... what? most of the actual experts are fairly confident that they have the right model now and that it would be best to act now.

      but what evidence are you waiting for?
      What event exactly are you waiting for?
      The opinions of the experts obviously aren't good enough for you so what is?

    63. Re:Until costs go down... by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      "We can switch to alternative energy sources without anyone suffering at all."

      BS. Got anything sitting in your driveway right now that will burn, say, coal, or natural gas, or something-mined-or-drilled here? Not likely. We can't switch until someone figures out a great solution that is worth buying, will fill not only our needs but our wants, and doesn't cost more than we can afford. This is currently vaporware. Chevy Volt comes close - but falls down on "affordable" and "want." I "want" 0-60 in 5 second range, and price in mid-$20Ks'. That's my current Subaru WRX. I'd buy a Volt or lease it except for some $$$ considerations, and if I obtain a 6-month detail at work that involves some travel to dangerous places with commensurate pay, the $$$ consideration will be solved and I'll buy a Volt, if I don't get blown up or shot doing the detail. Then I'll happily enjoy driving past all the local gas stations while "refueling" at home off the grid, for $1.60 / 100 miles instead of $18 / 100 miles like the WRX consumes.

    64. Re:Until costs go down... by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      "Why are we squandering such a resource on fuel? Why are we burning it and wasting it?"

      Because... there's exactly 1 way to get a car or truck down a highway right now, that doesn't involve huge up-front expenditure, and that is gasoline. Gasoline is the only way to get a car down a highway and do it all day, day after day, if you want to drive from, say, DC to St. Louis.

      You can dream of pie-in-the-sky solutions all day and it won't change a thing until someone with actual scientific understanding and capability INVENTS something that works. The best minds on the planet have so far come up with 1 fairly expensive vehicle, the Chevy Volt, that will do DC to St. Louis and do it while offering alternative energy transportation for MOST of your transportation needs that occur within 40 miles round trip of your home. Its the only car that will do that.

      When some geniuses finally build the magic battery that will allow electric cars to drive 300 miles on a charge and "refuel" in a reasonable 5 minutes or less, so you can do that DC to St. Louis run without sitting in a charging station for 4 hours, then we can all convert to a car that uses that battery, and happily burn solar-thermal, photo-voltaic, wind, hydro, coal-fired, nuclear, etc. electricity. But we can't do it now, and we won't be able to do it until the geniuses act, and are successful. It may be be this year, or it may take 30 years.

    65. Re:Until costs go down... by RobertLTux · · Score: 1

      what should happen is that a custom build should receive an inspection and certification as to the merits of the build.

      Did He get the maths right?? did he make any critical errors?? Is he within the recommended tolerances??

      if the answers are Yes No Yes then he gets his plates

      heck for all that matters put the car on some sort of treadmill and do a full up run test.

      --
      Any person using FTFY or editing my postings agrees to a US$50.00 charge
    66. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but they are going to be very regretful when they realize the markets failed to see and prepare for a future that experts and government DID predict

      Nonsense - they'll just find some way to blame the government / experts for it.

    67. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      SUVs are again popular, because (as you say) there is a storm on the horizon, and a family can survive in an SUV, but not in a sub compact. Where are you going to live, when your house has been taken back?

    68. Re:Until costs go down... by socrplayr813 · · Score: 1

      The people saying we should do nothing are doing so mostly out of an ideological mistrust of government doing anything, but they are going to be very regretful when they realize the markets failed to see and prepare for a future that experts and government DID predict, and could have prevented or at least vastly reduced the severity of.

      We are in for a bleak future, because a small section of society has a vested interest in doing nothing and they have fully convinced roughly half of us that doing anything about it is an affront to their liberty. They'll pay in the end, we all will.

      Agree with everything you typed, except the part about regret. They won't regret anything. They'll just blame the government again.

      They're afraid of the government doing anything, but if the government doesn't (or can't) do anything, it's their fault for not predicting and preventing. These people are ignorant, paranoid, and have no ability to see the big picture. It will take generations and probably a major disaster before they start to see. By then, there will be some other big problem looming for them to be ignorant about.

      --
      The confidence of ignorance will always overcome the indecision of knowledge.
    69. Re:Until costs go down... by BobGregg · · Score: 3, Informative

      >> The Obama administration, for example, both has engineered a ban of incandescent lightbulbs
      >> and a ludicrous increase in the required gas mileage for auto manufacturers via CAFE.

      Sigh... The Obama administration had nothing to do with the ban.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_Independence_and_Security_Act_of_2007

      Signed into law by George Bush. If yer gonna tell lies about Obama, at least do 5 seconds of research.

    70. Re:Until costs go down... by bunratty · · Score: 1

      By the time biofuels are available at the pump, I can buy a car that runs on them. It's not vaporware. I see cars that run on up to 85% biofuels on the road every day.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    71. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What are you suggesting? That you and your experts can take decisions for other people? If you think there's a problem, you have to convince other people that it's real and get them to agree to your plan of action.

      You're talking like a true paternalist.

      FYI I think there probably is an ecological issue happening. I just don't agree with forcing everyone who doesn't agree to submit to my plan.

    72. Re:Until costs go down... by Nimey · · Score: 0

      As much as it sucks for poor people, IMO gas prices here in the States will continue being too low until I don't see any mommy SUVs going over the speed limit on the highway.

      We should raise gasoline taxes (but not yet for diesel - here diesel is tens of cents higher already, and it's used for goods delivery) and use the proceeds to fund mass transit.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    73. Re:Until costs go down... by Nimey · · Score: 1

      Our Caligula.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    74. Re:Until costs go down... by Nimey · · Score: 1

      The problem with CAFE was not that it exists, but that it was poorly implemented to ignore trucks (probably at the time trucks were strictly working vehicles) and the manufacturers gamed the system. CAFE should have been amended sooner to take SUV-driving trendoids into account, but it's hard to do that when half of the political duopoly has an instinctual case of the NOs towards any regulation.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    75. Re:Until costs go down... by Nimey · · Score: 2

      Because in aggregate people are selfish. They'd rather have their gas-guzzling toy than worry about everyone's air quality and the remaining supply of fossil fuels because THEY WANT IT, and anyone gainsaying them is obviously a socialist commie out to take their liberties away.

      Rupert Fucking Murdoch, man.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    76. Re:Until costs go down... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I wish I knew for sure why Diesel was so expensive anyway. It's a byproduct of the gasoline production process and it takes only 60% of the energy input needed to make gasoline to make diesel on purpose (not counting the crude of course.) I'm assuming (heh heh) that it's because the military is using it all for blowing people up, is that a good assumption or pure nonsense? I know less than nothing about how the military acquires its fuel.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    77. Re:Until costs go down... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I don't want any scrap built, ramshackle vehicle made by some yahoo in his garage to be traveling on the roads that I too must drive on.

      Guess what? California, at least, has a program within which you may do this once in your lifetime. People use it to license kit cars, which haven't been through expensive crash testing. Some of those vehicles use tubular steel frames (like GT40 kits) so they are actually safer for the driver than any street vehicle if you put in racing seats and six point harnesses. (Five points are dangerous to testicles.)

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    78. Re:Until costs go down... by Daengbo · · Score: 1

      I'm fairly libertarian, but this is a silly stance. FEMA and the CDC exist in the US for a reason: planning and quick action at the first sign of trouble are significantly better than "wait and see" in many cases. Cases where the long- or short-term danger is especially high need planning and preparation of some kind. I'm also pro-nuke (still, even now), but that is also one area where you want to make sure you have good, strict regulation.

    79. Re:Until costs go down... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      In the last go-round it really annoyed me that everyone wanted to blame Detroit for all the gas-guzzlers. Detroit just builds what we want to buy.

      Uh no. Advertising works. Its job is to convince people to buy shit they don't want. They tell you what you want to buy, and for the most part, people follow along because we are pack animals, we instinctively look up to the strongest leader and follow their lead. Many people, unfortunately, have adopted the herd mentality instead, and they just follow the asshole of the beast before them, view unchanging except for the lead cow.

      The automakers are overwhelmingly teaming up to offer us gas guzzlers and bullshit. The only company really trying to sell you efficiency from bumper to bumper in the USA is Volkswagen, which luckily is the world's largest automotive group. Their cars coming out of Mexico sucked and gave them a bad name for a while so they moved production back to Wolfsberg so that they could control it better. The paranoid might assume industrial espionage, which would be tragically easily to carry off in the context of the typical maquiladora. BMW also has some nice, efficient cars, but after import tariffs you can't afford them so they don't bother to sell them here. Ditto Mercedes. It's really not about Californa emissions, it's about the EPA being industry's whore.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    80. Re:Until costs go down... by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Which is why public policy should be directed to intercede. The public is short-sighted,

      Oh, yes, of course. Because our representatives in Washington always take the long view, right?

      The people saying we should do nothing are doing so mostly out of an ideological mistrust of government doing anything, but they are going to be very regretful when they realize the markets failed to see and prepare for a future that experts and government DID predict, and could have prevented or at least vastly reduced the severity of.

      I don't think it's an ideological mistrust - I think it's a well-founded mistrust based on historical record. Central planning is not going to work here any better than it has worked with health care, retirement planning ($15 trillion in unfunded liabilities), public education, farming, banking, and on and on. There is no compelling technology that can fix anything, and no one can agree on any single set of policies, so you end up with some kind of "compromise" where each side gets the pork, the money, and control that satisfies them and whatever constituents they are pandering to and the public gets screwed once again.

      All the government can do to fix this is level the playing field, stop rewarding failure and punishing success, and let people with ideas come up with solutions. Yes, some will fail. But some may not. And at least the failures won't mean the entire country is trashed.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    81. Re:Until costs go down... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 2

      on the other hand if you based your diet on the current best practice as advised by the majority of dieticians...

      If you had done that in the 1970s, you would have had a low fat, low protein, high carbohydrate diet. This has been proven since then to be an unhealthy diet. I remember when dieticians insisted that coffee was bad for you. They ran study after study attempting to quantify the ways in which coffee was bad for you. They finally had to admit that coffee was actually good for you. The same thing went on with eggs. They had all these studies showing how eggs were bad for you, until someone did a long term study of people who ate a reasonable number of eggs vs. people who ate no eggs and discovered that the people who ate the reasonable number of eggs (averaging around two per day) were on average healthier than those who did not eat eggs.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    82. Re:Until costs go down... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      "We can switch to alternative energy sources without anyone suffering at all."

      BS. Got anything sitting in your driveway right now that will burn, say, coal, or natural gas, or something-mined-or-drilled here?

      Alternative fuels, dude, not more of the same. You have a serious reading comprehension problem. We can run diesels on biodiesel from algae using technology tested by the USDOE at Sandia NREL in the 1980s. We can run gasoline cars on butanol from ANY biological material using technology owned and patented by a company mostly owned by BP, which has sued the only people actually trying to make production quantities of Butanol with a process supposedly infringing on their patent. We HAVE THE TECHNOLOGY RIGHT NOW AND ENERGY COMPANIES ARE ACTIVELY PREVENTING ITS USE. The problem is NOT TECHNICAL. The problem is boobs like you who think there is no alternative to digging stuff up and burning it. You're playing directly into Big Energy's hands.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    83. Re:Until costs go down... by sockman · · Score: 1

      I think you missed the AC's point. Why is it the EPA's job to regulate such a kit? I could understand the DoT of the state, but the EPA? The only reason they claim regulatory ability is because of emissions (even though California has tougher standards) so any modification to the emission systems of your vehicle is illegal without their approval.

      And have you seen the vehicles offered in CNG? They're just as awful and useless as the early hybrids (or even current hybrids). Not all of us are city dwellers who will never need to get off of a paved road.

    84. Re:Until costs go down... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 0

      If a train is coming at you, you do not wait until he hits you to get out of the way.

      Yes, but when you are on a trestle 200 feet above a chasm, jumping off of the tracks just because someone who has been trying to convince you to jump for years says a train is coming is stupid, especially when someone else is telling you that there is a place to step out of the way just around the corner up ahead.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    85. Re:Until costs go down... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      The problem with HFCS is not so much what it is or how it's used but how ubiquitous it is in our food supply.

      No, the problem with HFCS is how it's used. You think it's ubiquitous because it's replacing sugar, but no, that would be OK (except that most processed foods have way too much added sugar. I don't need my cheese and crackers to taste like cookies and cheese, you Kraft bastards. ugh.) The problem is that vegetable oil is being replaced in recipes with HFCS, which produces similar texture results with a longer shelf life, because oil goes rancid but HFCS doesn't. So they have a whisper of vegetable oil in the product to convince you that it is real (oil has to be in the ingredients or you will be suspicious) and then they stuff it full of HFCS to replace the lost oil. Then they have to add a shitload of citric acid to the product to balance out [most of] the sweetness of the HFCS.

      So YES, the problem is VERY MUCH how HFCS is being used. It's being used to LIE TO PEOPLE. In the same vein, it's very much used in "low fat" food. Remember the food pyramid? It looks a little different now but it still over-recommends carbohydrates. Fat is not bad for you. Rapidly-converted carbohydrates are. Low-fat processed foods are the worst offenders. Eating these foods can make you fat even if you consume a reasonable amount of calories. Further, your brain becomes resistant to insulin over time meaning you have to eat more of them to feel full. Consequently anyone eating that shit will become miserable and/or fat.

      I think there are basically two roads out of this mess. One of them is to ban everything that the junk food industry abuses; none of it is interesting to the actual cook anyway. The other way is to mandate that the mass in grams of every ingredient be listed on the packaging. I would also like to see every ingredient be listed by nation of origin as well, but I recognize the difficulty inherent to such an idea and don't really propose it yet. Maybe in another few decades when all printing is on-demand.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    86. Re:Until costs go down... by swalve · · Score: 1

      Because it competes (in production) with heating oil, heavy fuel oils, kerosene and jet fuels. We use a lot of that stuff. Especially in this global marketplace, where it is somehow cheaper to ship stuff all over the world than it is to make it nearby.

    87. Re:Until costs go down... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Yes there is a good reason why gas can't be cheap.

      It is a limited finite resource and there is a large and growing demand for it on the planet.

      you can make Butanol, a direct gasoline replacement, with a carbon-neutral biological process commonly used since the thirties or so for the production of TNT. The process is called the ABE process because it produces acetone, butanol, and ethanol. Butanol is a direct gasoline replacement, but the mix of ABE can be burned in most gasoline engines with minor tuning changes. The ABE process works on any organic material. BP has a patent on making it efficient through genetic engineering, a patent which should have failed the obviousness test since yes, it's obvious you would do that. And the ground work for the patent, of course, was done at a public university.

      Drill here, drill now is just a good recipe to destroy American sovereignty.

      Yeah well, that's true. We have to use up the oil in the middle east first so we have more oil than the next guy. But in the process we are releasing all that carbon, and making it a problem. When, as you say, we should be saving our oil for plastic.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    88. Re:Until costs go down... by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      I think that is more the fact that CNG equipment has a tendency to go 'boom' and leave a small crater where once your car stood.

      But federal and state safety regulations cover that. The OP was talking about the onerous EPA regulations that have nothing to do with safety.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    89. Re:Until costs go down... by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Diesel fuel WAS 60% of the price of gasoline, though, until relatively recently. My recollection is that the price went over that of premium gasoline about the same time we entered a second war, but maybe that's just bias.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    90. Re:Until costs go down... by inca34 · · Score: 1

      It is hard to refute GP's actual argument which is that because the current incarnation of capitalist markets are short-sighted, the government should act in a populist manner to serve the interests of the commonwealth. Neither the premise or the conclusion are far-fetcher and I find your talking points to be fettered with straw. Good job, GP!

    91. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 2

      You can do an experiment that demonstrates how CFCs and HCFCs catalytically destroy ozone, and build computer models of the way the atmosphere works to show why we ended up with a specific "hole" over the pole rather than simply a weakened ozone layer all over.

      There's really no doubt in this. Your bold assertion that

      There's little evidence that human CFCs had any effect on the Antarctica hole, for example. The hole might have always been there, but we didn't see it until we looked.

      is just laughable. So, first you say there's little evidence we had anything to do with it (without actually looking at any of the vast, vast amounts of data and tested hypotheses and models, and the resulting changes to the ozone layer in the years since), then say "it might" in the next sentence and expect your first one to be taken seriously!

      Yes, we "might" not have had anything to do with it - that's why we *went and tested it out* to find the cause.

    92. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      You mean like those "station wagons" (we call them estates) and MPVs in Europe that already get considerably higher mpg figures than the lazy, uninspired US models, even after you divide by 1.2 to take account of the difference in size between the US and English gallon.

      Don't blame the CAFE standards for the rise of the SUV, blame the loophole that allowed them to be built in the first place (putting profit before safety).

      There was no reason you can't have powerful, efficient station wagons and MPVs - we have them in Europe and have had them for at least two decades. My father drives a 150bhp minivan that gets nearly 60mpg (50mpg US figure) and that's with all his engineering tools in the back. It does 0-60 in 9 seconds (a figure that a US commenter on /. put down as a decent figure for a US family car that a European car "would not be able to match"). It's also fun to drive.

      My own car is French, so clearly wouldn't last 5 minutes on sale in the land of Freedom Fries (tm), but gets 55mpg (45.8mpg US figure) and can comfortably seat 5 with a huge load of luggage in the boot.

      This technology wasn't alien to the US automakers, but at the time they were lobbying the government that they simply wouldn't be able to afford to make a car in 4 years that got the same gas mileage as legally mandated in China at the current time when they were already exceeding it in the European market. Ford's Euro offerings, for example, are one of the hilariously weird decisions of an industry that required a massive government bailout - here in the UK Ford makes some genuinely good cars, two or three of which are class leading models and have been for years. They also make some extremely efficient and powerful engines that are far ahead of anything they are offering in the US.

      Blame it on regulation and laziness and effective lobbying and purchasing of congressmen and senators, don't blame it on the mandating of more efficient cars.

    93. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Your link contains this paragraph too:

      Most of these new CFLs make people sick and diseased by emitting radio frequency radiation that contributes to dirty electricity, that can cause diabetes, cancer, cardiac problems, low or high blood pressure, sinusitis, bronchitis, pneumonia, asthma, migraines, dizziness, nausea, confusion, fatigue, digestive problems, enlarged thyroid, testicular/ovarian pain, internal bleeding; altered sugar metabolism, immune abnormalities; redistribution of metals within the bodyskin irritations, eye strain and many other ailments.

      So, I'm assuming you also believe that WiFi base stations make people sick too?

      Quack sites really aren't go-to places for definitive evidence.

    94. Re:Until costs go down... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      I'm not advocating full command economy, I just want the government to intervene in areas that market forces have proven to be unreliable at best, and destructive at worst, in addressing. People aren't going to make the right decisions themselves, it requires some form of coercion or incentives.

      Ultimately, once you give the government the power to intervene in areas that YOU consider essential, then you have given it power to intervene in EVERYTHING!

      Or don't you think that someone else might manage to convince the government that HIS pet peeve is important enough to deserve a government mandate?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    95. Re:Until costs go down... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Was Bush to blame the last time we had $4/gallon gas?

      Well, as I recall, most of the people defending Obama now were, in fact, blaming Bush back then.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    96. Re:Until costs go down... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am one of the ones saying 'stay out of it gov'. But for VASTLY different reasons than what you think.

      I have seen many programs start and do great good. No program starts off with 'lets rip the tax payers off'.

      However, *MANY* have no endgame. They do not realize they have made their goal and need to get out. They instead 'change their mandate' to be something similar but can never be achieved.

      It is dead easy to start a gov program it seems. But seems to be impossible to end them once their goal is achieved or becomes clear it can never be.

      Then there are those that never change but chug along. Some of these are good things (such as infrastructure). However, some continue on and actually show people how to game them to 'get the most out of them'.

      I would much prefer a gov that seeds things then gets out of the way leaving behind a good regulatory framework to work in. Rather than take over and just runs them.

      There *could* be a balance here. Instead we end up with hundreds of programs that do not really do anything. But no one wants to really cut any.

      So go ahead you probably will get your program. But good luck getting funding and not getting mired down in political squabbles. As many of these programs have trouble thinking 2-3 years out much less 30.

    97. Re:Until costs go down... by inca34 · · Score: 1

      Nevertheless, your point is null and void.

      Wait and act presumes the lack of actionable information. The lack of actionable information is, by definition, ignorance. If you choose to espouse ignorance, then sure, wait and perhaps the apple will drop for you. The rest of the world will continue to move.

    98. Re:Until costs go down... by Gerzel · · Score: 1

      You don't see this as a problem?

      Yes today we are better off for it but what about tomorrow?

      Or do you want all your business and endeavors to fail after the short term?

    99. Re:Until costs go down... by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      You are right, that 1 blub breaking probably wont have any affect on you. But picture a lifetime of bulbs, how many have you broken in your life? Im 26 years old and I couldnt tell you how many bulbs I have broken over the years. When ALL bulbs are "potential cancer threats" than the chances of issue increase. Unforeseen circumstances indeed

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    100. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      It doesn't concern me, only the next generation, so fuck them for my personal gain.

      Wait and act can be just as good for future generations as it is for me. Keep in mind that while I wait, I'm working and building value for those future generations. I am improving not just my circumstances but those of everyone else including generations yet to be born. They as a result are wealthier and more able to deal with whatever problems they might face.

    101. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Countries that have automobile regulations also have working judicial systems, in other words, a working alternative to regulation.

    102. Re:Until costs go down... by osgeek · · Score: 1

      So as US government expenditures and power are growing beyond all historical levels, exactly when is all this good stuff from them going to kick in. Oh yeah, voters are stupid and keep electing the same types of thieves into power who rather than going out of business when their ideas fail, just raise taxes and increase their authority.

      The free market isn't perfect either, but it has two things going for it. 1) the free market doesn't directly control the use of force to obey them since they don't own the police and military. 2) free market entities are allowed to fail when their ideas suck.

    103. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      most of the actual experts are fairly confident that they have the right model now and that it would be best to act now.

      I don't see most climatologists, much less experts in other related fields, advocating action now. I do see a lot of climatologists claiming that if we don't engage in radical cutbacks in CO2 and other greenhouse gases, then we'll eventually see some degree of global warming. But that doesn't imply that we should cut back, merely that we should expect some degree of global warming when we don't cut back.

      Further, and I'm disappointed that I need to remind you of this, for predictions of future climate, the confidence of present climatologists is inadequate. We need to actually see if future climate matches future prediction.

      but what evidence are you waiting for?
      What event exactly are you waiting for?
      The opinions of the experts obviously aren't good enough for you so what is?

      I wait for evidence that the models are correct. There will be decades in which global warming or whatever will develop and we'll have plenty of data with which to determine whether the models are correct and to what degree. The opinions of experts are not supporting evidence.

    104. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      FEMA and the CDC exist in the US for a reason: planning and quick action at the first sign of trouble are significantly better than "wait and see" in many cases.

      But now that they exist and have implemented successful strategies, wait and act is the usual approach to most disasters and disease outbreaks. We don't need to anticipate most such events any more than we already have. And the further in the future these potential events are, the less need there is to anticipate them now.

      The issue I am address is the conceit that just because someone conceives of a threat, real or imagined, no matter how distant in the future it is, it is always best to expend consider resources today to deal with the threat. What is ignored is first, all the threats that will end being real, but weren't imagined by us, and the fact that merely having reactive organizations such as FEMA and the CDC prepare you well enough for most threats whether you know of them or not. Second, as is my primary theme here, if the threat is far enough in the future, then elaborate preparations simply do not make sense. I think it better to merely stoke and improve a productive society that will be more capable of dealing with these future threats rather than deal with long term threats piecemeal as soon as one perceives of the threat.

    105. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      I'll consider your pathetic attempt at humorous evasion as an admission of your inability to actually defend your position :)

      Let us keep in mind that I was replying to a pathetic attempt to change the subject. There are certain times such as pollution and other cases of externalities when I accept that regulation, that is, somebody telling what to do, is necessary. All the examples given are decent examples of this.

      So why not lightbulbs? First, there isn't an externality there. No one is harmed by my purchase or ownership of the lightbulb. And any externalities from consumption of the electricity via the lightbulb should be contained the cost of the electricity or in the very minor pollution issues (which I might add are much greater for fluorescent bulbs than incandescent bulbs). There is no externality to regulate and hence, no justification for regulating what light bulbs I purchase.

      So what I supposed to do when someone compares the buying of bulbs to dumping pollution in a stream that can affect thousands of people and other things downstream? Answer: I don't take them seriously.

    106. Re:Until costs go down... by benhattman · · Score: 1

      I know already that no one has more than a greatly imperfect knowledge of the future and no understand at all of the possible choices we collectively could make.

      You may know that, but you'd be wrong. In actuality, we know a great deal about the future, it's just that in some domains we know more or less than in others. We know, for instance, with great accuracy that in the 7 billion year range, the sun will collapse into a white dwarf. We know with slightly less certainty that there is a great chance the earth will be swallowed by the sun when this happens. Maybe that's too far out there for you though. In recent news, Japan knew that they would have to deal with "the big one" at some point. They couldn't predict when exactly, nor could they predict the exact size, but they could predict statistical likelihood of certain events. You might call that imperfect knowledge and thus dismiss it out of hand, but fortunately, the Japanese people did in fact plan ahead based on highly imperfect knowledge that had high certainty.

      Now, perhaps you have a very specific example where not only is our knowledge imperfect, but our certainty is quite low as well. By all means, we should act accordingly and not be carried about by the whims of fear mongers whether they be on the left or the right of the political spectrum. Just know, that your general argument that the future is unknowable and thus not worth acting on is flawed and somewhat childish.

    107. Re:Until costs go down... by SleazyRidr · · Score: 1

      Fantastic quote, I'll be stealing that and using it in the future.

    108. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Given that some people were confused by my attempt at humor, I'll be explicit. You give great examples of issues of externality. Dumping into a stream can affect many thousands of people and other things. I grant in those situations that regulation is necessary.

      Using an incandescent bulb doesn't fall in that category since the bulb is even less polluting as a object than fluorescent counterparts. And the externalities of the electricity can be contain in the cost of the electricity. There is no justification for regulating the use of light bulbs as a result.

      Same thing goes for cars and other motor vehicles. We can easily incorporate the primary externalities of gasoline into the price of gasoline. Other pollutions can be covered by smog tests and such things to reduce the presence of polluting vehicles on the road.

      Once again as in the light bulb case, there is absolutely no need for regulation of fuel economy or of customer purchases. If I choose a vehicle with a poor fuel economy, then I pay for it with more gas consumption which can be very expensive if gas is expensive. It is simple and solves the problem while CAFE is not simple (introducing a number of unintended consequences) and doesn't solve the problem.

    109. Re:Until costs go down... by benhattman · · Score: 1

      Perhaps, but even that high carbohydrate (assuming it's focused on whole grains rather than wunderbread), high veggie diet would be preferable to the diet most Americans chose instead: McDonald's. If you'd like a much better and more recent example of when it's smart to ignore the experts, think housing bubble.

    110. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      The hole might have always been there, but we didn't see it until we looked.... and now it just happens to be shrinking now that CFC's aren't being used as much.

      Pure coincidence of course.

      Need I remind you that coincidences frequently happen, especially when you first look for them?

      A prediction was made based on the hypothesis that CFC's were causing the hole and based on that changes were made(CFC's banned and used far less) and the hole shrank fitting with the hypothesis.

      I suppose it's not worth mentioning that you base this assertion on very little data.

      Like any test of a hypothesis it's not perfect but it's orders of magnitude better than your denial Just-Because.

      Orders of magnitude bigger than zero is still zero.

    111. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 2

      You can do an experiment that demonstrates how CFCs and HCFCs catalytically destroy ozone, and build computer models of the way the atmosphere works to show why we ended up with a specific "hole" over the pole rather than simply a weakened ozone layer all over.

      And we can build models that fit our preconceptions as long as there isn't much data to conflict with them. Answer this simple question: how many centuries of data do we have on the interaction of CFCs with the ozone layer? If the models are right, then you're right. If the models are wrong, then you're wrong. In the absence of sufficient evidence, you simply don't know which is which.

    112. Re:Until costs go down... by Shotgun · · Score: 2

      Damn, I'm glad you interventionist were there to save us from the copper shortages in the 50's. They were going to bring modern civilization to a screeching halt. But ya'll jumped right in there and saved us all with your government programs. What would we have done without you?

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    113. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      And you don't recognize that as problematic?

      Nope. it's merely what happens when you have existence of time in your economic system.

      Burn it now, everything available, and to hell with the next generation.

      You keep repeating variations of this saying. We don't just burn things. We burn things to create value; we "squander" things to create value; etc. Every one of these economic acts which superficially appear destructive also create something of greater value to us.

      There are purely destructive acts such as wars, but it's worth noting that human society has made significant progress towards reducing the number and extent of these purely destructive acts. That is what you'd expect from a society that cares about the next generation.

      Ultimately, merely doing what we do, provides tremendous value to the next generation and the many generations after that. It is a destructive myth to assume merely because we don't promptly act to deal with problems that won't manifest for centuries that we are deliberately trading off future wellbeing for present prosperity. One needs a rational understanding of the tradeoffs of imposing costs today versus those of the future.

      That is why I keep repeating the phrase "time-value of money". Because without understand of this fundamental dynamic of economic systems with time, that is, anything of value loses current-value as more time passes before the value of the thing is realized (and similarly any future cost is less costly from our current point of view as the timing of the cost moves further into the future), you can't contribute rationally to the discussion of future consequences of present actions. And this happens to true not just for us in current time but also anyone in future times as well.

      As a result, a far future disaster needs to be very costly before it is worth our while (and that of our descendants!) to invest in mitigative measures now. For example, I use the rule of thumb, $1 now is worth $10 in a century (adjusted for inflation), $100 in two centuries, $1000 in three centuries, etc.

      So, for example, suppose we have a choice. Reduce our carbon dioxide emissions at a cost of a trillion dollars a year for ten years or put up a ten ten trillion dollar orbital solar shade in two centuries because we didn't stop our activities today.

      Superficially, the two are the same size. But because one cost is a full two centuries from now, we can invest the ten trillion (turning it into a quadrillion dollars in the process) instead of spending it now. End result is that the future generation is far wealthier even after the cost of the orbital solar shade because we deliberately chose to grow our society rather than mitigate a two century old threat.

    114. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      You don't see this as a problem?

      Nope. This is how things work.

      Yes today we are better off for it but what about tomorrow?

      Yes, we or they will be better off in the future as well. The choice is invest in growth of the society or a preventative measure that happens to harm society's growth. Dropping a little now means large drops in the future.

      Or do you want all your business and endeavors to fail after the short term?

      Why would investments in my business fail after the short term? I make rational decisions about the tradeoffs between different investment options such as insurance and capital purchases.

    115. Re:Until costs go down... by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Better than "let's stop EVERYTHING we're doing and move everything we have onto the other track." Only to discover in 300 yrs that the train was actually on that track, and you would have been safe if you'd only stay put.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    116. Re:Until costs go down... by eepok · · Score: 1

      "Which is why public policy should be directed to intercede. The public is short-sighted, like the markets that supply their fuel and "choose" which technologies to pursue. We can see the storm coming on the horizon, but when you've got so many people looking straight up, seeing the sun and proclaiming there's no danger it's hard to react to a future that many experts know is coming."

      I agree. I prefer the idea of a gasoline price floor.

      Real Price of Gasoline (RPoG): $2.50/g
      Gasoline Price Floor (GPF): $3.50/gF
      GPF - RPOG = $1.00/g, goes to fund supplying grants for research, establishment, or expansion of alternative energy sources and sustainable transportation.

      Real Price of Gasoline (RPoG): $4.25/g
      Gasoline Price Floor (GPF): $3.25/g
      GPF - RPOG = 0 , no additional cost.

    117. Re:Until costs go down... by canadian_right · · Score: 1

      And where did you get these "facts"?

      Except for a few newspaper articles about fad diets no one was promoting high carb diets on the 70's. Too much coffee is bad for you. Eggs are high in cholesterol so they are healthy for everyone.

      Moderation is often a good policy.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    118. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Why would we have "centuries" of data on how CFCs interact with the ozone layer - they are man-made compounds that simply do not exist in nature without an anthropogenic source, and we didn't start using them until their invention as a replacement for H2S and NH3 in refrigeration systems and as a replacement for flammable blowing agents and aerosols. We were already studying the atmosphere before, during and after the cut down of CFCs. They are virtually inert compounds, which we thought was fantastic (they don;t burn or react in the environment), but their catalytic destruction of ozone in the presence of UV was not understood until they started getting concentrated over the pole.

      The models were designed based on empirical evidence of how these species react - looking at reaction rates, profiles, activation energy, temperature dependence, reaction order etc, and the products that form in these reactions then asking a computer "hey what would happen if we had x concentration of y species in the atmosphere" and comparing it to real world measurements. It wasn't designed to "fit what we saw" or "fit out preconceptions". We looked at the chemistry and asked the computer to work out what would happen and, hey, it happens to match what was being observed in the atmosphere. We didn't tell the computer "make the model look like the atmosphere so we can say it was CFCs"

      It's not like the model was fitted to the data and we declared it solved. In the wake of the CFC ban the ozone cover has been recovering, exactly as modelled and expected. It will be some years before it was back to the way it was before, since the species are very long lived in the atmosphere by their very nature.

      Quite often the model doesn't predict what you expect, due to some missing piece of the puzzle (for example, the development of the Chapman Cycle as a way to explain the observed concentration of ozone in the atmosphere when the models predicted it to be about 5 times too high.

    119. Re:Until costs go down... by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1

      My friends in the refining business attribute the changing relative price of diesel and gasoline in the US to several factors:
      Refineries are hard to build or reconfigure for various reasons.
      Crude feedstock is whatever it is, and gives a certain ratio of fuels most efficiently.
      Demand for heavy fuels has increased remarkably due in large part to increased global trade.
      Changes in diesel purity standards have made diesel more costly to refine.

      Lots of people in the refining industry are trying to increase capacity and decrease costs of diesel refining. It is difficult and expensive to increase supply and many refiners are wary of huge investments given the price volatility of refined petroleum products.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    120. Re:Until costs go down... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      And what particular strawman is demanding to stop everything you are doing? Ah, yeah, the god-emperor of strawmen you just build in your backyard, by the plans handed to you by whoever hands out the talking points these days. "There's the way we roll now, and there's crawling back into the caves", right? That passes for intelligent though these days? Well, if that is the case, we are truly and thoroughly fucked.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    121. Re:Until costs go down... by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      Right, so they're not saying we should do anything, they're just saying that unless we do something bad things.
      right.
      great distinction you've got there.

      yet you've not answered my question.

      what evidence *exactly*.
      it's a simple question.

      the changes we're seeing: more lightening storms, more storms overall and more extreme weather is already fitting the models.

      but that's apparently not good enough for you.

      so what event.
      what evidence exactly would be good enough for you.
      Hell, even a list of candidates would be ok: yearly rainfall and distribution falling outside of certain limits, X number of storm or hurricanes more than would be expected if everything was perfectly OK, average worldwide temerature increasing more than a certain amount (though that would be more waiting till after the damage has been done like only accepting you're driving dangerously when your car is already wrapped around a lamp post)etc etc.

    122. Re:Until costs go down... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      I can tell you I haven't seen shit as far as studies on the MASSIVE amount of waves we are currently be bombarded with compared to just a few decades ago. I know that in my own apt I'm being hit with about 2 dozen Wifi stations, more cell phone signals than one could count, and countless other signals being bounced to and fro all over the damned place. Where are the studies showing what all these signals going through the human body does? Remember that in the 50s it was all "radiation is your friend" until we figured out that in the long term it would give you cancer. hell they sold Radium water in the 30s as an energy drink!

      So until I see some real long term studies NOT paid for by corps with a vested interest I'd say the jury is out. Look at how long they have been giving us food and drink with plastics leeching so bad even newborns test positive for plastics now? Our current climate appears to favor "when it doubt assume safe" which is a bad way to be IMHO.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    123. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      My god, you really must be trolling.

      The "everything is a corporate conspiracy to harm you" was a nice touch too.

    124. Re:Until costs go down... by bhiestand · · Score: 1

      The people saying we should do nothing are doing so mostly out of an ideological mistrust of government doing anything, but they are going to be very regretful when they realize the markets failed to see and prepare for a future that experts and government DID predict, and could have prevented or at least vastly reduced the severity of.

      As much as I'd love to agree with you, this just isn't true. We look back on the Savings & Loan crisis and see how government could have prevented it. We look back on the great depression and see what the government could have done better. We look at the latest financial crash and know it could have been prevented.

      Free Marketists, however, blame all of the above on government action. They blame FDR for the Great Depression. While they won't join us in our fight to end oil subsidies today, conservatives in 50 years will almost certainly be saying that government caused an oil crisis. They will claim that a truly free energy market would have corrected itself sooner.

      --
      SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling
    125. Re:Until costs go down... by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      some years back, Taxes were proposed on fuels that would go toward researching alternative energy. But the hue and cry was that it was bad. Bad taxes, Bad! What kind of idiot wants to pay 4 dollars a gallon for gasoline?

      We didn't enact the taxes, other than bits here and there.

      So now, here we are, paying 4 dollars a gallon for gasoline, only instead of money going toward research, it's going to speculators who serve only as an added step in the process of getting fuel from well to vehicle.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    126. Re:Until costs go down... by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      This is sort of Off topic, but your post reminded me of a joke.....

      A Republican, a member of the Tea party, and a Union member sat down at a kitchen table.

      There were 20 cookies on the table

      The Republican took 18 of the cookies, and left one each for the Tea Party member and the Union guy.

      Then he pointed his finger at the Union guy and told the Tea party member "That Union guy wants to take your cookie!"

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    127. Re:Until costs go down... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Care to explain to me exactly HOW Am I supposedly trolling? Are newborn children not currently being found to have plastics in their bloodstream from their first breath of life? Why I believe that is a yes. In fact it looks as if plastics may even be causing liver damage in preemies.

      Now would YOU care to show me those long term peer reviewed studies on the massive electrical smog we are currently blanketed in NOT paid for by a company that makes devices that would be harmed if anything bad was found? because frankly all I have seen is studies bought and paid for by the cell phone handset manufacturers with if you believe they will be fair and impartial you probably believed MSFT's get the facts and Mohave campaigns.

      If there is one thing I have learned it is the USA government is MASSIVELY CORRUPT full stop. That is why we have superfund sites, why the government has repeatedly covered up the misdeeds of corps (hell they even covered up a contractor in Afghanistan selling 9 year old boys for fuck toys to get a contract! How fucking corrupt do you got to be to sign off on THAT?) so frankly if the government told me it was raining outside I'd want a second opinion. You believe them if you want, but you might want to look up a little thing known as "frakking" which is being given the green light by the current government. So what if the water smells funny or catches on fire right? The government is protecting you!

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    128. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Like I said, trolling.

      Well played sir.

      You had everyone fooled.

    129. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Why would we have "centuries" of data on how CFCs interact with the ozone layer

      Exactly my point.

      We looked at the chemistry and asked the computer to work out what would happen and, hey, it happens to match what was being observed in the atmosphere. We didn't tell the computer "make the model look like the atmosphere so we can say it was CFCs"

      "We" just did in this sentence. I really tire of the crap that gets shoveled in climatology. In most of science, predictions can be disproven on time scales far short of decades or centuries. Climatology doen't have that luxury. I'm not going to hold them to a lesser standard (especially given the stakes!) just because it's tougher to make predictions and collect evidence.

    130. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      what evidence *exactly*.

      [...]

      the changes we're seeing: more lightening storms, more storms overall and more extreme weather is already fitting the models.

      Not this sort of crap. Claiming that "more extreme" weather is a sign of global warming is a sign of scientific ignorance.

      Here's what I consider evidence. Several decades of new climate data which backs solidly the predictions of some existing models.

    131. Re:Until costs go down... by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      right so there is literally no evidence that will be acceptable to you until you're elderly.
      isn't that convenient.
      And even then you're not willing to define it in any way shape or form.

      Any bets that 40 years down the line you'll be insisting that sure while what happened actually fit perfectly with what was predicted it still doesn't cont because your favorite talking head insists that it fits far better
      with this other model which the coal and oil industry sponsored which shows that everything will go back to normal in just a few more decades. nothing to see. just normal massive fluctuations in the earths climate.

    132. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Who said I'm a climatologist, or that I did it? I use "we" to refer to scientists as a whole, and if you're going to simply dismiss their methodologies and results out of hand because its fashionable to hate climate science right now then I really don't think we have much to discuss.

      We don't need centuries of data to determine how CFCs interact with ozone - we can see it very clearly on a timescale of years, both in the actual atmosphere, in models (that are calculated completely separately from the atmosphere yet accurately reproduce what has been observed), and in smog tanks and lab settings.

      There's no "controversy" or "bad science" going on just because it relates to the atmosphere, and in fact a great deal of the CFC research took place before special interests started their propaganda war against climate science.

      The science behind the interaction of CFCs with ozone isn;t even as esoteric as climate change science. It is something you can observe directly in the lab - put a low concentration of any particular CFC into a tank with some ozone, expose it to UV light and watch what happens to the ozone concentration. Do the same thing in a tank that only has ozone in it (UV light also photodissociates ozone itself, so you can compare with the control experiment).

      Set this up in a large "atmosphere simulator" like the huge one in Spain and run the experiment for months under the same conditions that you find in the atmosphere.

      Run some reactions and work out the reaction order, the kinetics and the pathway of all the reactions that occur (including the natural ones, like the formation and photodissociation of ozone etc) and plug this reaction data into a computer and ask it what will happen over a 10 year period. Don;t tell it anything about the atmosphere other than the starting concentrations of the species and see hot it compares to 10 years worth of measured results. Ask it what will happen if CFC concentrations are reduced. Ask it what happens if they are not.

      There is a reason that the Montreal Protocol happened in the late 80s, when the science as presented was compelling enough to force a change in the way we manufacture and use catalytic ozone depleting compounds.

      The same would have been true for CO2, but by the time the science was compelling there was too much money in opposing what the science was trying to say.

      The idea that it's "holding to a lesser standard" that you can't produce centuries of data because the compounds haven't existed for that long is laughable. Are we holding the science "to a lesser standard" in the conclusion that tetraethyl lead is bad for the environment because we don;t have "centuries" of data to back up the conclusions we came to?

      If you are arguing that "CFCs destroy the ozone layer and were responsible for the antarctic ozone hole" is a bad or weak conclusion because we don't have centuries of data, then so is the idea that TEL is bad for the environment.

    133. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      right so there is literally no evidence that will be acceptable to you until you're elderly.

      Exactly. Plus nobody is predicting significant changes in the next half century. Which is why I advocate a "wait and see" approach to AGW theories and their analysis.

      with this other model which the coal and oil industry sponsored which shows that everything will go back to normal in just a few more decades.

      As I note, a few more decades of evidence would be enough to confirm or reject such models, should they ever come to exist. It's far more foolproof than the approach of "act and hope you saved more people than you killed."

    134. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      There is a reason that the Montreal Protocol happened in the late 80s, when the science as presented was compelling enough to force a change in the way we manufacture and use catalytic ozone depleting compounds.

      It was also very profitable for the chemical companies to switch to CFC alternatives.

    135. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1
      Let me explain why you need long term climate data for the study of the ozone layer. First, you need to know what is normal and isn't. 30-35 years of ozone layer study doesn't cut it. You don't know what the natural extremes are, how ozone concentrations depend on the solar cycles, etc.

      How do you know that human-induced ozone depletion has been observed rather than we just happened to start looking when a nonhuman cause sparked some degree of ozone depletion? Observation bias and confirmation bias are the sharks in this tank.

      If you are arguing that "CFCs destroy the ozone layer and were responsible for the antarctic ozone hole" is a bad or weak conclusion because we don't have centuries of data, then so is the idea that TEL is bad for the environment.

      What is "TEL?" Maybe we really can't tell whether "TEL" is bad for the environment given current data, or maybe evidence can be collected on faster time scales than climatology data. I can't tell until you tell me what "TEL" is.

    136. Re:Until costs go down... by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      right so emissions standards, energy efficiency and trying to curb carbon output is going to kill people now?

      If it was one of the more dramatic geoengineering projects being proposed what you're saying would make sense but when it's reasonable measures which just happen to mean that it's more expensive for you to run a 5 ton gas guzzler killing people isn't really an issue.

    137. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Not really - it was the same as before. While previously CFCs were being used, now some of those roles are filled by HCFCs, which are just as bad as CFCs in the upper atmosphere but break down much more effectively before they reach the stratosphere and so have a much lower impact.

      Other areas where they were used heavily, for example in fridges and AC systems, they simply switched back to using things like propane. How very "profitable".

      You are desperate to look for some conspiracy here, but there isn't one. CFCs were invented, looked to be excellent (non toxic, non-flammable, non-smelly, inert) so we started using them in vast quantities until we discovered they catalytically destroyed ozone, so we looked for alternatives - some old (propane), some new (HCFCs), among other things.

    138. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      right so emissions standards, energy efficiency and trying to curb carbon output is going to kill people now?

      Yes, there is a well known correlation between government intervention and human poverty. The latter kills a lot of people in various ways (such as malnutrition, poor health care, higher infant mortality, etc). These interventions sometimes, such as in the case of emission standards, have benefits which outweigh the costs. But it is foolish to ignore that they always have costs.

      I don't believe there is any justification for government action in energy efficiency. It is just not a need of society. And as I've noted before, curbing carbon output requires a stronger justification for me than has currently been laid out.

      If it was one of the more dramatic geoengineering projects being proposed what you're saying would make sense but when it's reasonable measures which just happen to mean that it's more expensive for you to run a 5 ton gas guzzler killing people isn't really an issue.

      Harm can come from the mundane just as easily as the exotic. It's very possible for a mundane, but flawed greenhouse gas mitigation effort now to cause more harm, not just to us, but to our distant descendants, than an exotic, risky geoengineering project centuries down the road. Mistakes made now compound with interest. That's the "time-value of money" thing, I have mention numerous times in the overall discussion for this article.

    139. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Ah, proof you're not reading my posts carefully. I wrote out the full name for TEL (tetraethyl lead - [Et4 Pb]) in the same post you quoted from, but you clearly didn't read that.

      However, given your supposed knowledge of this whole climate thing, I assumed you'd know about one of the most famous airborne pollutants of the 20th century, especially since I mentioned it by name in the same post.

      Anyway, you ask:

      How do you know that human-induced ozone depletion has been observed rather than we just happened to start looking when a nonhuman cause sparked some degree of ozone depletion? Observation bias and confirmation bias are the sharks in this tank.

      Which is a common tactic in the "muddy the science" waters when it comes to the atmosphere. Observation bias is a concern, which is why extensive computer modelling is employed to look at what happens when you change things, and extensive physical modelling in very large atmosphere simulation experiments (generally huge transparent domes with controlled/monitored conditions inside) so you can vary things and see what happens.

      If the ozone depletion was independent of CFC concentration this would have been seen long before these experiments. You can demonstrate it in the lab quite easily and observe the results. Comparing to actual measurements in the atmosphere, they correlate very well. It's not even like it can be put down to a natural source - CFCs are 100% anthropogenic.

      There *are* natural processes that destroy ozone in the stratosphere that are also well understood, and they are more effective at the poles due to the way the global weather/climate works that concentrates and "traps" things at the poles seasonally, but these processes (both modelled and observed directly) cannot account for the hole in the ozone layer. The fact that the hole is now reducing gradually in the wake of the CFC ban, in line with models for the predicted lifetimes of CFCs in the atmosphere (they last a long time), is further evidence that we were right.

      It's not like it's based on any prediction - it's an easily observable series of chemical reactions that form catalytic loss cycles - it's no surprise that putting them in the atmosphere, even in low concentrations, caused a much increased ozone depletion rate that could not be accounted for by natural loss cycles alone. However, given your foolish question, I doubt you've actually read my post, just as you didn't before.

    140. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Not really - it was the same as before.

      Not really what? My argument still stands. The thing you don't get is that there was no real opposition to the Montreal Protocol. The science wasn't questioned because it wasn't in anyone's interest to do so. AGW is different precisely because there are now losers in this game. It's also far higher stakes, both economically and politically.

      You are desperate to look for some conspiracy here

      Am I? I see instead a natural process like water flowing downhill. Please keep in mind that by the time the treaty had become active in 1989 there was something like a mere ten years of satellite data on the ozone layer which was the only concrete data on the global system. It's laughable to claim that the treaty happened because of the science.

    141. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Ah, proof you're not reading my posts carefully. I wrote out the full name for TEL (tetraethyl lead - [Et4 Pb]) in the same post you quoted from

      Here's how you do it, "tetraethyl lead (TEL)." You first use the abbreviation with the full name it represents.

      But now that we established what TEL is. It's worth noting that lead is a well-known poison with well-known biological effects. Second, there are well known avenues, such as ground water contamination and auto exhaust for lead to get into humans and other organisms. One doesn't need to study a hard climate model to establish that. Hence, rules against use of TEL are far more well-founded than rules for mitigating carbon dioxide emissions.

      There *are* natural processes that destroy ozone in the stratosphere that are also well understood, and they are more effective at the poles due to the way the global weather/climate works that concentrates and "traps" things at the poles seasonally, but these processes (both modelled and observed directly) cannot account for the hole in the ozone layer. The fact that the hole is now reducing gradually in the wake of the CFC ban, in line with models for the predicted lifetimes of CFCs in the atmosphere (they last a long time), is further evidence that we were right.

      It's also in line for error in human understanding of the processes for creating and destroying ozone. I don't buy your opinion above because you simply don't know what is normal or not for the weather and climate of the ozone layer. When you say "these processes (both modelled and observed directly) cannot account for the hole in the ozone layer" that just means according to existing models (not observed processes I might add). There may well be models that more accurately model conditions in and around the ozone layer, which model the conditions of ozone depletion successfully without requiring invocation of human activity.

      I would be much more satisfied once a far longer climate record for this region of the atmosphere has been compiled and it were determined that the levels of ozone depletion of the 80s were unusually low, like 1 in 10,000 year events rather than say 1 in 100 year events. The latter indicates they could have happened by chance. The former indicates very unusual circumstances.

    142. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      You've just changed your tune - before you were lumping this all together with "climatology" and the big conspiracy and the "hoax" of global warming and how it is all so "convenient and profitable" that the science goes a particular way. My "not really" was in reply to your assertion that it was profitable for companies to sell alternatives to CFCs when in reality their profits remained unchanged - they were just selling different compounds, negating the thinly-veiled "the only reason it happened was due to a corporate profits".

      So you "see a natural process like water flowing downhill". Yes, there are natural processes for the destruction of ozone. These are well understood.

      What was not understood at the time was the way CFCs and brominated analogues would do regarding ozone destruction. Of *course* the Montreal Protocol was because of the science - why else would it be there? The whole purpose was the discussion of how CFCs were damaging the atmosphere. It was hardly a grand master plan by chemical companies who made them to say "we'll fake up some story about how CFCs are damaging so we instead have to search for alternative compounds".

      You also seem to think that only satellite data was used to monitor the ozone layer. I have to wonder if you understand exactly how ozone concentration is measured, which does include satellites, but also a number of other methods too.

      Like I said, just because it's not a data set going back "centuries" doesn't mean that the science and conclusions drawn are invalid when the results are as easily testable and repeatable as these are. You don't need to wait for 50 years worth of data when the results are blatantly obvious and can stand up to easy repeat testing and analysis. No one was in any doubt about what CFCs were doing.

    143. Re:Until costs go down... by jo_ham · · Score: 1

      Hilarious. You're blaming your skim-reading of my post on me.

      I caught you out looking stupid and you're trying to blame it on the way I phrased it. Here's the full quote from my original post, exactly as it appears (including my semicolon typo):

      Are we holding the science "to a lesser standard" in the conclusion that tetraethyl lead is bad for the environment because we don;t have "centuries" of data to back up the conclusions we came to?

      If you are arguing that "CFCs destroy the ozone layer and were responsible for the antarctic ozone hole" is a bad or weak conclusion because we don't have centuries of data, then so is the idea that TEL is bad for the environment.

      It is mentioned in the sentence before, in context. I could have specifically added "TEL" after the name, but I was assuming some minor knowledge of the 20th century and atmospheric science since you have seen fit to argue against me regarding ozone and CFCs. It's hardly a stretch to TEL from there.

      Put it this way, the fact that you felt the need to post it as a sarcastic question makes it read the same way as someone on slashdot asking what the acronym "RAM" stands for in a discussion about computer specs. If you are going to argue with me in some detail about catalytic ozone depletion, especially from a counterargument standpoint in opposition of the established viewpoint that the ozone hole is anthropogenic, then there are some basic terms I'm going to assume knowledge of.

      Even if the term is unfamiliar to you, about 5 seconds with google and/or wiki will tell you what it means. It's the top hit in the disambiguation page for "TEL", for example. The fact that I wrote it out in full in the previous sentence is just bonus.

      Regarding "long term monitoring" - it is *extremely unlikely* that the high levels of ozone depletion in the 80s were down to a natural process that occurred right as CFCs were invented and that has mysteriously vanished at the same time that CFCs were phased out. Now, slashdot is the king of the "correlation is not causation" quote, but in this instance there was *a lot* of science carried out that definitively proved that CFCs were the cause.

      If you have evidence to the contrary, or you have a theory on a reaction pathway for ozone depletion that can explain the levels seen since the 80s then scientists are more than willing to listen, model and experimentally test. This is how the Chapman Cycle was created, after the original ozone model was producing about 5 times too much ozone compared with empirical data. It was theorised, tested, then measured and added to the model, with the results matching the real data. This is how the models work. The stratosphere is *extensively* studied - if you believe there is something that an entire field of chemists is missing, they will be more than willing to listen. They love performing experiments.

    144. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Hilarious. You're blaming your skim-reading of my post on me.

      Yes, I missed your comment about TEL. Else, my correction of your error would have been more focused. To rehash that part, a lot of climatology science such as ozone depletion and AGW is lacking because we don't have many decades to centuries of good satellite data. That's just how it is in climatology. Regulations about a gasoline additive do not require centuries of data. The comparison was flawed.

      And if you're going to use an unusual acronym in your writing, it is best to include it after the first use of the term as I mentioned before.

      it is *extremely unlikely* that the high levels of ozone depletion in the 80s were down to a natural process that occurred right as CFCs were invented and that has mysteriously vanished at the same time that CFCs were phased out

      And you base that on what? Trends would happen anyway. I personally would put the likelihood in the low double digits 10-20% as a matter of opinion, perhaps higher given that satellite observations started (apparently in 1979) at a maximum of the 11 year solar cycle when solar irradiance and hence, ozone production, would be a local maximum.

    145. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      My "not really" was in reply to your assertion that it was profitable for companies to sell alternatives to CFCs when in reality their profits remained unchanged

      You simply are wrong here. Du Pont, for example, made a pretty good killing from CFC alternatives. They were very excited about the Protocol for some reason.

      You also seem to think that only satellite data was used to monitor the ozone layer. I have to wonder if you understand exactly how ozone concentration is measured, which does include satellites, but also a number of other methods too.

      The other approaches do not measure global ozone concentrations.

      Of *course* the Montreal Protocol was because of the science - why else would it be there?

      To make lots of money for developed world chemical companies. Water flows downhill. Your willful ignorance is remarkable.

      Like I said, just because it's not a data set going back "centuries" doesn't mean that the science and conclusions drawn are invalid when the results are as easily testable and repeatable as these are.

      Exactly. Because they are not "easily testable and repeatable" which incidentally is a big, ignored problem in climatology (as your posting attests).

    146. Re:Until costs go down... by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      ok, so it isn't just that you don't believe the majority of experts in a field you yourself are not an expert in.

      you also would under no circumstances accept any evidence whatsoever in any form until you're an old age pensioner and even then you probably won't.

      you oppose any actions whatsoever to change the status quo in any way even to the extent of simply stopping doing the damge/making the changes we're currently making to the earths atmosphere.

      all because while you have no proof that sane intervention to prevent more changes would cause any harm whatsoever you are certain it will on the basis of faith that any interventions of any kind ever are bad.

      and also you're unwilling to even define what you would accept decades down the road when you're an OAP.

      "no I won't stop driving towards that wall, it could be a mirage and if I turn away now it could make it harder for me to avoid the wall in future once I'm close enough to feel it with my own hands."

      wow. I mean wow. just wow.

    147. Re:Until costs go down... by khallow · · Score: 1

      ok, so it isn't just that you don't believe the majority of experts in a field you yourself are not an expert in.

      Predicting the future based on poorly tested models (which include other things than climate modeling such as modeling human economic behavior over decades or centuries, need I remind you) is never a field that has experts in it. It's not climatology at this point, but but a high tech version of tea leaves, reading entrails, etc. It's only saving grace is that most of the predictions are open and concrete, subject to falsification, but only if you're willing to test them. You apparently aren't willing to test them.

      you also would under no circumstances accept any evidence whatsoever in any form until you're an old age pensioner and even then you probably won't.

      These very experts say I can wait. I'm not going to urgently follow poorly tested models just because something bad might happen a few centuries from now. So we can wait for confirmation or we can do something hasty and costly now, without adequate forethought. Can you understand why that's a problem for me?

      all because while you have no proof that sane intervention to prevent more changes would cause any harm whatsoever you are certain it will on the basis of faith that any interventions of any kind ever are bad.

      The harm of government intervention is well known. You impose a deliberate inefficiency on society to prevent a perceived harm. For carbon emission mitigation, it is now claimed that virtually complete shutdown of any industry (not just fossil fuel burning) which emits large amounts of CO2 is necessary to return Earth to some past level of CO2 concentration. It probably sounds like chump change to you, but I figure that would cost us tens of trillions or more in current dollars to do that, if we treated it as a one time cost. That makes a lot of poor people.

      To be very blunt, I am aware that a global scale industrialized society will probably change the Earth's climate. I approach this problem from an economic and engineering rather than environmentalist viewpoint. Those are just costs or drawbacks. There are also benefits. I want the choice with good benefits for its costs. The AGW advocates have yet to demonstrate that carbon mitigation is the better strategy.

      Finally, on this matter, I see myself as the sane intervener. You mock my conservative, plodding approach, but you have yet to provide a single reason why we need to act now. The experts do not support your claims of urgency, for example.

      and also you're unwilling to even define what you would accept decades down the road

      We have models. They make predictions, some quite dramatic. If AGW turns out to be that significant, it will be obvious in a few decades. I see no reason to elaborate on this.

      "no I won't stop driving towards that wall, it could be a mirage and if I turn away now it could make it harder for me to avoid the wall in future once I'm close enough to feel it with my own hands."

      Bogus. There are many walls such as frivolous government intervention to avoid imaginary or insubstantial walls. And the wall is miles away not something looming at the last moment. I can indeed drive further to see if the wall exists and its extent. And it may well be in our interests including those of future generations to ignore the wall, say because it's made of cardboard rather than stone.

      Where is the urgency? Why is it bad for us to wait a few decades before we make some decision to act or not?

    148. Re:Until costs go down... by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      It would be insane to shut everything down overnight but often the differences in cost aren't dramatic.
      it's the difference between building a nuclear plant or a coal plant when you're building a new one anyway.

      from just that one change you'd cut CO2 emissions by almost 50% over the next 40 or 50 years without any other changes to industry getting us most of the way there and also get lots of other benefits from not putting huge quantities of mercury, lead and arsenic into the air.

      Why is it bad for us to wait a few decades? because in a few decades the exact same people will be still saying that another few decades are fine... the rise in sealevel was perfectly natural and icecaps were only ever a myth fabricated by the left and as for those silly old claims about sea currents which supposedly used to exist. Hah!

  3. Good, but there is always an issue by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I love this R&D. We have a solid science base (in spite of the gutting of during the 80s and through the 00's). We have loads of inventions and developments. The problem is that we simply allow other nations esp China to simply take it. That has to stop. China has been subsidizing companies to go there, which is total bs. This R&D needs to require that any company picking it up remain in the USA with the tech. Simple as that. All of Asia does. All of EU does it. Only US and UK do not do this. We need to rebuild our own economy.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I particularly like the look of Green Electricity Network Integration (GENI) project; using the stuff we've learned about networking applied to the problem of power switching and monitoring. Electricity, once generated, is pretty much a "use it or lose it" proposition, so coming up with new ways to route the electric grid (particularly with peaky generation like wind) is a really great idea. Although, "up to" $30M to this project doesn't seem like a lot.

      --
      No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
    2. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      LOL what goes around comes around. Americans didn't get where they are without totally disrespecting intellectual property from europe during the industrial revolution. why should the chinese?

    3. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by cyrus0101 · · Score: 1

      There is a balance to be struck between building a competitive economic/technological advantage and the actual point of the technology: developing a technology that can be leveraged to reduce the environmental costs of producing energy.

    4. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by ArcherB · · Score: 2, Insightful

      LOL what goes around comes around. Americans didn't get where they are without totally disrespecting intellectual property from europe during the industrial revolution. why should the chinese?

      Which we then used to build tanks, airplanes, submarines and battleships to defeat the Nazis.

      Alright! We'll call it a draw.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    5. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your high-school history teacher must be so proud.

    6. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by MSTCrow5429 · · Score: 1

      Don't confuse corporate welfare or a fascist economy for economically productive R&D. If such technologies can be profitably developed within our current regulatory economy, then entrepreneurs will create start-ups, and funders will give funding. This wasteful exercise of $130 million is a political, not an economic, decision, and rent-seekers with the closest ties to the government will satiate themselves at the public trough. If you want to rebuild the economy, the answer is not centralized planning or rent-seeking under a government unlawfully propping up its supporters with taxpayer money, but free-market competition under the same legal regime of equality under the law, absent political bribery and ransom.

      --
      Slashdot: Playing Favorites Since 1997
    7. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL what goes around comes around. Americans didn't get where they are without totally disrespecting intellectual property from europe during the industrial revolution. why should the chinese?

      Which we then used to build tanks, airplanes, submarines and battleships to defeat the Nazis.

      Alright! We'll call it a draw.

      Don't forget that we Americans stole the water wheel and helped kick start the industrial age. Imagine what the world would be like without the US stealing those things. I would dare to say the world's tech would be at least 20 years behind what it is currently.

      The problem with the Chinese is simply that we (as consumers) do not like the lack of concern for safety that they have when producing goods that we use. If they had all the OSHA requirements, labor laws (actually enforced), property rights (actually enforced again) that the US has, they would be seen as fair competition and animosity would be a great deal lower. As a government, the US of A is not doing a great deal to protect the citizens from foreign markets, which is one of the government's primary purposes. Trade agreements suck when made shallowly. Need more tariffs to create desire for jobs in the US market instead of sending them elsewhere.

    8. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 0, Troll

      Bullshit. Go back to the tea party idiot. You and your kinda are outright traitors to this nation and are responsible for the significant downturns in the US economy and standard of living of true American heroes (the working class) . You have sold the US out to the uber rich corporate elite and the nation of China. With your complete and utter religions jihad against anything remotely intelligent. You have no place in technical society and you have no place in American society. And now you are ranting against one of the few chances we have to pull this nation out of the ditch your stupidity has created. You are the enemy of the American people. Ya this is a troll but its damn worth it.

    9. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 1

      You, sir, are my hero.

      --
      No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
    10. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by arkenian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is just total BS. The vast majority of advances in engineering and science in the history of mankind have been funded by the government or the church at one level or another. Why? Because R&D is high risk, and willingness to invest in things that high-risk is rare in the private market. VCs very rarely invest in real research, but instead typically invest in the phase where you take a concept with proven theory to a real product. Most research money produces nothing immediately useful. I freely confess this. But the only way to progress is to be willing to try a hundred ideas, understanding that 50 of them will produce nothing at all. Another 40 will probably basically just produce some interesting information. 9 of them will give you an interesting concept you might develop when conditions change, or that is useful for an exceedingly limited purpose, and 1 of them will produce a product that will actually go to the general market.... But guess what? Its totally worth it. And, in the end, not very expensive.

    11. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Amen! Preach it brother! Down with Palin; vote for Stalin!

    12. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you implying that the Chinese should use their IP to defeat US imperialism?

    13. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 0

      They are many arguments for why "Communist Russia" fell and many of them have to do with Qualities of Stalin matching those of Bush and Palin. But to be honest you would not understand them. Which is why you are you. And we would not want it any other way would we? Why be informed when you can blindly follow what your preacher/McCarthy told you in the morning about the evil Russian empire and its love for unicorn blood.

    14. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Wow.. Way to shoot the messenger and ignore the message. Kudos to you. You will be lifted on the shoulders of 10,000 idiots in remembrance of your great deed here today. In fact, some area already hailing you as a hero.

      Try picking apart his points which as far as I can tell are valid. If there was a profit opportunity here, the greedy corporations would have seized the day with them and used it to cut their costs while continuing to rape the consumers while being protected through inordinate amounts of regulation making real competition near impossible hidden under smoke screen of protecting the people. This is little more then shelling out taxpayer money to those closest to the current government who aren't afraid to be seen sucking on the government tit in public.

      And yes, I like my tea served cold and unsweetened. sometimes with a slash or rum in it.

    15. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by FishTankX · · Score: 2

      I suppose that the construction of the interstate should have also been dropped in favor of individual private corporate entities constructing it and charging tolls to make their money back?

      Ditto for the railroads, (why should the government have given bonds to the railroad companies when they should've been able to do it themselves)?
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Transcontinental_Railroad

      Ditto for rural electrification. The companies should do what's profitable for them, not rely on the government to prop them up! Rural electrification was merely propping up the electric companies too, right? Probably the same for rural telephone access.
      (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rural_electrification#United_States)

      The point i'm trying to make, is that ALL of these projects, at their outsets, was "centralized planning or rent-seeking under a government unlawfully propping up its supporters with taxpayer money". "free-market competition under the same legal regime of equality under the law, absent political bribery and ransom" would have eschewed putting together a committee to study rural electrification, resulting in a massive delay in getting power to the boonies, which would've delayed dairy refrigeration, irrigation, etc. The government had to step in and offer loans (which probably cost taxpayers money) in order to spur development.

      Sometimes government funding is necessary to carry out projects which corporations won't take up because they are short sighted or oblivious to anything but profits. We all used public infrastructure that are the result of centralized planning, or supported with tax payers money. Why do you have the right to say that we should draw a line at energy research? I suppose you say we should ax Nasa too, because it's rent seeking under a government?

    16. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Why be informed when you can blindly follow what your preacher/McCarthy told you in the morning about the evil Russian empire and its love for unicorn blood.

      Funny :) As a centirist, atheist, Canadian citizen originally born into a communist nation, I can honestly say that the willful pig-headed ignorance of the Tea Party is only eclipsed by individuals such as yourself.

    17. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by pspahn · · Score: 1

      I'm down for another civil war. Are you?

      --
      Someone flopped a steamer in the gene pool.
    18. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by khallow · · Score: 1

      This is just total BS. The vast majority of advances in engineering and science in the history of mankind have been funded by the government or the church at one level or another.

      So is business government or religion? And of course, there's the usual ignorance of opportunity cost. Just because it is convenient for a researcher to take government funding over private doesn't mean that it is better to do things that way.

      But guess what? Its totally worth it. And, in the end, not very expensive.

      In other words, Other Peoples' Money is free money.

    19. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 2
      There is no message worth speaking of or responding to. These "people" have no information and are simply doing as their preacher tells them to. Arguing/ speaking with them is a joke.

      The motivation of these techologies is not a profit motive thus there is little incentive for mega corporate entities to suck them dry. If any thing it is to counteract the effects of externalities previously unaccounted for. A large part of this will result in lower corporate profits and better living conditions for the average person.

    20. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Sherman is one of my personal heroes. Too bad they did not let him finish the job

    21. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      First problem is that most all new techs were helped by govs.. THat is true in just about every nation.
      The second problem is that I am a huge beliver in free market. It really works great once a line is established. The problem is that China is NOT free or fair. They have their money fixed, their subsidies increasing, they dump on the markets,etc. The purpose of our trading with other nations is to help EVERYBODY. The idea being that as a nation comes into its own, that their money rises against others. But with China, there is nothing free or fair. There is really no reason to trade with them.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    22. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by jovetoo · · Score: 3, Informative
      Routing power is a bit more complex than routing a packet.

      For one, a packet is a discrete amount of information, while power is a complex analog phenomenon. You can put a packet on a link and hope it gets there, you can't just put a kilowatt on a power line...

      A more conceptual difference is how demand is distributed. A network client talks to a few distributed servers on the Internet. A power client just demands power and does not care where it comes from or if the server cannot deliver it. When a server gets overloaded, the clients just have to wait. If a power plant gets overloaded and the power cannot be gotten elsewhere, the service of the whole network goes down (voltage drops) unless some of the load is cut. If a certain network link is overloaded, packets get dropped. If a power line is overloaded, (hopefully) circuit breakers pop and ALL power transfer is interrupted.

      Some practical problems you will run into with power switching:

      • power conversion - the power grid is not uniform. There are several types of high-voltage lines and power needs to be converted to route power between them. Those conversions introduce losses and have capacity limits.
      • transport losses - each length of power cable introduces loss.
      • power plant characteristics - each power source has its own characteristics. For example, the output of a nuclear power plant is more or less constant and cannot adjusted to changing demand.
      • changing demand - power demand changes drastically over the course of a day, both in level and geographically. During office hours, power is needed in office buildings, during the evening in households, ...
      • load characteristics - inductive load vs capacitive load. In ideal situations, you would combine them to get a resistive load as much as possible as this leads to optimum power efficiency.
      • politics - which, I have read on the Internet, is one of the major sources of blackouts in the US.

      As an aside to the last point, I wonder why blackouts happen so regularly in the US while the are exceedingly rare in Europe. I am in Belgium and I get a "blackout" once every decade or something. I do sometimes experience glitches where you see the lights dim and computers with lousy power supplies reboot... once every few years or so. It suggests to me, whatever the problem is, it isn't technical...

    23. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 1

      I cant mod you up right now so this will have to do. Good job

    24. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Its neither. Its some dude sitting in his underwear thinking "I have a 1/2 chance of dying and a 1/100 chance of saving the world. I like siting in this chair i'm not going to work for the good of the nation" Its the cowardly corporate way out. and its the way republicans want the nation to act as a whole.

    25. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Its totally worth it. And, in the end, not very expensive.

      You're contradicting yourself. If it's totally worth it and not very expensive, private corporations could pick up the tab.

    26. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 4, Insightful

      At what point does the bankrupt government stop spending money? Every dollar has defenders, so there's no way to get rid of any of it. Clearly the answer is to continue until it all falls over. Obviously anyone who points this out is a moron teabagger who sleeps with Dick Cheney 6 inches deep in his ass. And really, what's 130 million between friends? A few billion for this, a few billion for that... it's nothing. Somewhere along the way, the rich people will pay for it. Yeah, that's it.

    27. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tell that to Aperture Science, buddy!! They aren't just banging rocks together out there.

    28. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Last I checked, the victory flag over Reichstag was red with hammer and sickle, not stars & stripes.

    29. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by oliverthered · · Score: 1

      The problem with the Chinese is simply that we (as consumers)....

      as CONSUMERS..... have no morality what so ever and still by the crap.

      Quit bitching, by local or preferably grow your own.

      --
      thank God the internet isn't a human right.
    30. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, Ayn Rand called, turns out she's a retard and so are you for blindly following her elitist philosophy.

    31. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by khallow · · Score: 2

      Its neither. Its some dude sitting in his underwear thinking "I have a 1/2 chance of dying and a 1/100 chance of saving the world. I like siting in this chair i'm not going to work for the good of the nation" Its the cowardly corporate way out. and its the way republicans want the nation to act as a whole.

      There's a word for this: bullshit. Stupid accusations of cowardice (I also see no sign that you have a clue what "good of the nation" means) and a pathetic bash of Republicans too (golly, a whole party of people who disagree with you!). Further, I find it remarkable that you think bravery or cowardice has any meaning in government funded research. It's sure money. Most of the business world would love to have that luxury.

    32. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

      IANAEE but I understand your points. I don't think we need fully "internet style" power routing at the national scale, but it seems much more feasible at a neighborhood level, assuming a range of micro-power installations by individuals. For example, there's generally a transformer hub in most neighborhoods, if some kind of storage capacity can be installed at the same level, then the various windmills and solar panels in the area can all contribute. Sending power "upstream" to other neighborhoods or regions would be nice too, but is harder to do for all the reasons you cite. I like the "smart grid" concept, but clearly it's not on the shelf just waiting for deployment. In the meantime, it's nice to see the micro-power trend gaining momentum.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    33. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by arkenian · · Score: 2

      In other words, Other Peoples' Money is free money.

      This is just insulting. When I said 'cheap' I meant it. In general R&D is just expensive enough on the scale of the individual to make self-funded research very difficult, but cheap enough by the standards of business or governments. The vast majoirty of government-funded research projects are under 1 million, and most are SIGNIFICANTLY under. That is, by the way, significantly less than businesses usually invest when they get to the point of investing, a VC investment is usually 10-85 million. As to it "just being easy" no, its because really that's all there is. I'll also note that R&D isn't easy for business people either, to make first-stage (i.e. 'high risk') R&D a good investment, while any individual project is cheap, you have to invest in LOTS of them. I've worked the VC side, and I've done government research, and I've helped administer government research. Just to be clear, by the way, the people administering government research, with the exception of the dollars they're forced to waste by earmarks, probably care more about getting good value for your tax money than the average VC does. And work at least as hard for it, in my opinion, at least in DoD, can't speak for other government organizations.

    34. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by SuricouRaven · · Score: 2

      Better: "I have $100,000 to spend. If I put it into research, there is a 99% chance I'll lose the lot, and a 1% chance I'll make millions off it. If I invest it in conventional bonds and such, I'll end up with maybe $200,000. Much as I like millions, I just can't risk spending on something so unlikely to pay off."

    35. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Gadget_Guy · · Score: 1

      If it's totally worth it and not very expensive, private corporations could pick up the tab.

      Overall it may be inexpensive, but on an individual project basis it can be quite expensive to fund R&D development that doesn't end up in a saleable product. That is the problem with relying on the private sector - they do not want to be the company that funds the failed research.

      Anyway, just because the private sector could do the research is not a reason to stop the government from doing it instead. The only difference is that it ends up with technology that can be used by all companies instead of just one.

    36. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by pablo_max · · Score: 1

      Actually that is not quite right. It was the fact that America had built up its manufacturing base to build tanks, planes and trucks to defeat the Nazis that allowed it to quickly take advantage of being the only country left with the ability mass produce and globally ship products. It was simply a byproduct of the war that no one was around to say anything while you used what ever IP you wanted.

    37. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      There is no message worth speaking of or responding to

      as I pointed out, the guy raised several points that you ignored. If they aren't worth responding to, then I'm confused to why you responded in some vein attempt to shoot the messenger instead of the message.

      These "people" have no information and are simply doing as their preacher tells them to.

      I'm not sure what it matter if their preacher tells them something or not. You are still ignoring the points made and attacking the person saying them instead. In enlightened circles, this generally points to a flaw in your own reasoning, not the guy repeating what the preacher told him.

      Arguing/ speaking with them is a joke.

      How do you know this? Have you ever tried? I mean seriously, you neglected the experience here and all I have to go by is your obvious religious ferocity in hating someone because their preacher told them something.

      The motivation of these techologies is not a profit motive thus there is little incentive for mega corporate entities to suck them dry. If any thing it is to counteract the effects of externalities previously unaccounted for. A large part of this will result in lower corporate profits and better living conditions for the average person.

      So the guy was right after all, this is not anything to make anything more efficient or productive, but to punish corporations and reduce efficiency on the whole by forcing it onto the public. It's no wonder why you neglected to address his points and attempt to shove it off as his preacher telling him something rather then your own.

      In fact, after considering your admissions of guilt here, I'm tempted to consider his entire post as not only accurate, but insightful. But before you close me off and some member of his church and not yours, please allow me to explain a bit.

      You see, he said to the parent who made the comment that it would improve the economy that he shouldn't "confuse corporate welfare or a fascist economy for economically productive R&D." Now by your own admission, it's not intended to be economically productive R&D and it intended to be fascist in imposing costs onto the market. But he goes on with "If such technologies can be profitably developed within our current regulatory economy, then entrepreneurs will create start-ups, and funders will give funding." which again, by your own admission is not the intention so he's right again.

      But it gets even better, "This wasteful exercise of $130 million is a political, not an economic, decision, and rent-seekers with the closest ties to the government will satiate themselves at the public trough." Well, outside of injecting the opinion that it's wasteful, I'm not sure this disagrees with yout comment or position as stated either.

      So we are left with the closing of his points in that he said "If you want to rebuild the economy, the answer is not centralized planning or rent-seeking under a government unlawfully propping up its supporters with taxpayer money, but free-market competition under the same legal regime of equality under the law, absent political bribery and ransom." And again, it appears that rebuilding the economy is not the intended steps this is supposed to create according to you. He does make some accusations about unlawfulness of it but I think they might have built in enough loopholes to which that could be incorrect even though it seems to match the spirit of laws against it. Of course the free market aspect is a proven winner when the markets remain free. That doesn't seem to happen naturally in our current environment so some regulation is required from time to time to apply the principles behind a free market.

      In all, I think you actually agree with the man even though your bias has showed extremely well how competent you are in pretending otherwise without ever touching the points made.It's almost that you know he is right but don't like the fact that he is right so you attack him for pointing it out.

    38. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Something tells me we'll advance in science much faster WITHOUT the protectionist xenophobia.

    39. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by rmstar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In other words, Other Peoples' Money is free money.

      I know you will get a tantrum over this, but hey. You are part of a society, and to some extent, your belongings belong also to society. It is not "other peoples money". It is our money going into research.

      Not that you have to worry. As soon as it is understood well enough to be profitable, it will be privatized, and someone with good connections will make a formidable amount of money on the back of the effort we, as a society, invested in risky research.

    40. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by jovetoo · · Score: 1

      We can not really store power at the levels we consume. One of the best ways we have to store power is to pump water uphill to some storage basin and then later generate power from having it flowing downhill again... not very efficient, limited in capacity depending on location and not feasible in all locations.

    41. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      When companies do blue-sky R&D, they typically make a killing. Look at Xerox PARC, for example. The money Xerox made from the invention of the laser printer was vastly more than the total cost of funding PARC for its entire existence. The made another huge amount when they sold the Apple shares that they got for allowing Steve Jobs to visit PARC and use their ideas. Not sure if they got anything from licensing Ethernet, but I suspect that they did, and the same with the mouse.

      One successful R&D project can easily pay for 100 failed ones, but you have to fund a few hundred project to get the guaranteed return. This is something that only very big companies or governments can afford to do.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    42. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by SunTzuWarmaster · · Score: 1

      As an aside to the last point, I wonder why blackouts happen so regularly in the US while the are exceedingly rare in Europe. I am in Belgium and I get a "blackout" once every decade or something. I do sometimes experience glitches where you see the lights dim and computers with lousy power supplies reboot... once every few years or so. It suggests to me, whatever the problem is, it isn't technical...

      Posting from Florida, most (all, I think) of the blackouts that I've experienced in my life (25 years) have been the result of a minor disaster tearing down a line. Usually this is in the "lightning hit a tree and it fell on a power line"-type of disaster, but includes the occasional tornado/hurricane. Keep in mind, we have significantly-above-average lightning strikes here. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Global_lightning_strikes.png

      I experience 2-3 blackouts yearly, which last no longer than 4 hours or so, and usually occur after 7PM (when the daily rainstorms come through). I get a power flicker (brown out, alarm clocks die) every month or so, related to the same issues as above.

    43. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Where have you read politics causing blackouts and where are you reading about blackouts in the USA?
      The last time that I had a blackout was in '78 in northern ill. when a massive snow storm struck. Now, we have had power outage for up to 30 minutes, but that was due to cars hitting transformers or lines (normally a lose of life). I do know that part of Denver had a blackout, but that was due to a LARGE transformer going out. The issue is that Xcell (our power company) not doing their maintenance. But that is not politics.
      The only black-outs that I have heard elsewhere was due to American snowstorms(snowstorms in locations that occur once every half century), coastal hurricanes, midwest/southern tornadoes, midwest storms (ferocious; rooms with small windows will be lite up brighter than 150 watt bulb for 5 minutes at a time, while the room will be lite up like a 40-60 watt bulb all night long; thunder rattles house all night ), or western earthquakes. But I do not think that you can call that politics.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    44. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, compressed air is considered the cheapest and the best at this time. Thermal is really where we want to be.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    45. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      could and will are two different things. There are established companies that would rather move production to cheaper nations and simply disregard any new invention that will compete against them.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    46. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, she is not. A free and open market DOES make a difference. The problem is that we no longer have free markets. We are look at oligopolies that have lost competition in its blood. GE would much rather move production to China, lowering their costs and produce the same large coal plant. OTH, with storage and routing, it will compete against that once this goes into place. Basically, it will gut their coal operations. Instead, Nukes and AE will overtake it quickly. In addition, with storage, there is no call for building new plants.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    47. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Even a bankrupt government cannot afford to stop spending money. We need to increase revenues and cut spending until we have a surplus and start paying off the debt. Clinton did this for us in the 90s, but Bush's tax cuts without matching cuts in spending put us back in a deficit.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    48. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      where are you reading about blackouts in the USA?

      We have blackouts for days in areas around the lake here (and keep in mind I'm super close to the geothermal plant at The Geysers) because trees take down lines just in the ordinary seasonal rain. Not on my street, though; somebody important lives here, which is why my bumfuck back road is paved and is repaired more often than many roads with an order of magnitude more traffic.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    49. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, 130M barely pays 13 (or so) CEOs bonuses. Who's going to pay the engineers?

    50. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by locallyunscene · · Score: 2

      Why is it going to fall over this way? Because the party that's supposed to be for fiscal responsibility, including the Republican co-opted Tea-Party, in this country nickels and dimes small fry programs while actually adding to the deficit. They cut funding to the IRS which makes a return on that investment by finding tax cheats. They cut funding for early start and school lunch programs which make for more successful and productive citizens later in life. They then turn around with that "saved" money and continue to fund more money than any "socialist pork" program on defense contractors and wars to maintain the American Empire. And for good measure give it back in tax cuts to pay homage to trickle down economics which has never worked to solidify their power base.

    51. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by FrankieBaby1986 · · Score: 1

      Do you have above- or below- ground powerlines? Below ground tends to be a lot more stable. Many blackouts I experience are due to downed power lines from wind, car crashes, etc.

      --
      ERROR: SIG NOT FOUND (A)bort, (R)etry, (F)ail?:
    52. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Posting from Florida, most (all, I think) of the blackouts that I've experienced in my life (25 years) have been the result of a minor disaster tearing down a line. Usually this is in the "lightning hit a tree and it fell on a power line"-type of disaster, but includes the occasional tornado/hurricane. Keep in mind, we have significantly-above-average lightning strikes here. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Global_lightning_strikes.png [wikipedia.org]

      Agreed. I live in NOLA. I can't think of the last time we had a power outage that wasn't caused by a storm of one sort or another. And I'm a lot more than 25 years old.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    53. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by ravenscar · · Score: 1

      I agree with all of your points. As for blackouts in the US, my experience says they are typically caused by storm damage to lines and, less frequently transformers. Admittedly, there are brown-outs in certain areas due to demand exceeding available supply.

      In regard to the former, I'd say these are more frequent in the US than in Belgium primarily because of size. The US covers 9,826,630 square kilometers. Much of that has extremely low population density (but still receives power). As a result, line installations have typically been 'above ground' as those line runs are far cheaper to install. I've also heard power companies say that above ground runs are easier to maintain in certain cases. The example I recall is that, on long, underground runs it's very difficult to find and fix a problem. The same is very easy on above-ground runs. You can fix many above ground issues for the cost of one below ground fix. While this makes sense to me, I can't vouch for the validity. I read it in a local publication after below ground installation was proposed as a solution to long outages in rural areas after large storms.

      Belgium, on the other hand, is very small and has the second highest population density in Europe. I'm guessing that, with relatively short runs and a small area to cover, most of your infrastructure is underground. This is most comparable to the major cities in the US. I honestly can't recall the last time the power was out in Downtown Seattle.

      In regard to the latter, that's a legal and bureaucratic nightmare that few people besides regulators and ex-Enron employees could hope to truly understand.

    54. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      Clinton did this for us in the 90s,

      Umm, no. If you bother to check, you'll find, on the Treasury's website, a listing of the national debt from year to year.

      The last time the national debt actually decreased was in 1956.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    55. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      It was simply a byproduct of the war that no one was around to say anything while you used what ever IP you wanted.

      Which would probably be why the US Army paid a license fee to the Mausers so that they could use a couple of Mauser patents on their service rifle.

      And several to the French so they could use a couple of French artillery designs....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    56. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Sure, but other than your road paving, that has nothing to do with politics. The blackout issue is about economics.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    57. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by DCFusor · · Score: 1

      Better yet -- I have 10 million. I put 9 of them into bonds/stocks (not risk free either), and one into research on high risk but high payoff stuff. It's called diversification.

      And in fact, those numbers are true of myself, a retired successful inventor. I trade the markets for my income on the 90%, and put the other 10% into very risky but potentially high payoff fusion research, self directed, and done on the premises. And it's promising, but who knows? I do this not for the money, but because someone has to or the world is going to be a much sicker puppy than now, and no one else is really doing serious work on anything other than tokomaks in any other situation than "big, committee and politics driven science" which is doomed to failure even if one of those smart dudes has the crucial idea -- he'll just be voted down and things will go on making no progress until even governments decide it's a waste of money (like now).

      Whereas a self-directed and self-funded researcher has no such problems. When I find a new thing, or an unexpected thing, I can change direction in less time than typing this sentence. No go in big science on that one.

      Today, if someone had brought Fleming a contaminated petri dish, he'd toss it in the trash, yell at them to get it right next time, and write a downgrade on the lab assistants performance review. We'd not have penicillin if science then was like it is today.

      --
      Why guess when you can know? Measure!
    58. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by DCFusor · · Score: 1

      All you have to do is remove the vote from anyone getting government money, which simply makes sense anyway, as they'll vote themselves bread and circuses till it DOES fall over, and have in every empire in history so far.

      Of course, that's not going to be a popular idea, and one of the tricks of the left (and no, I'm not on the right, they're just as messed up, but differently) is to make sure that no one doesn't get some sort of support/bribe/dole so that can't ever happen as it would be end of game for them and their ideas.

      I didn't think of this. Robert Heinlein did. It's the answer. It's obviously right that those who net-pay should decide what that money goes to. But try selling that idea to the huge percentage who are just takers -- but who have the vote.

      --
      Why guess when you can know? Measure!
    59. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I don't know that you can separate the two, either. We have some mafia[esque?] road repair service that does a crap job year by year. Some streets seem to get worse each time. And some roads seem to come under construction at times when it would be convenient to have a checkpoint; in this case, they simply have a choke point. The same is presumably true of power line tree clearing, and for that matter, power line routing. I have far fewer blackouts now that I live further from the power plant. My phone line is crap, but you can get DSL way down at one end of my road (I live near the middle of a back loop road which parallels the old stagecoach trail.) The fact that my low-volume road is better maintained than many roads with far higher volume, and by better I don't just mean that it tends to be in better condition but that they work on it more often and do a better job when they do, implies that at least some infrastructure decisions are not economic at all. Or at least, if they are, they are driven by back room, under-the-table economics and not by the financials which are written down on paper and declared to stock holders. The system exists for the benefit of the rich; in a capitalist society you simply cannot separate economics and politics. Ever.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    60. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      A number of states can not run them unground. For example, Florida is way too wet to run them underground. As such, most are above ground. Then you have places like Texas, NM, AZ, Nv, Southern cal in which the ground is HARD and expensive to cut. As such, they string them up.
      Regardless, all transformers are above ground. That makes them prone to car crashes.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    61. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The difference is in the US, we "excuse" storms causing the shitty infrastructure to fail. In other places, they expect it to work even when the weather is bad.

      It's not like the North Sea doesn't get storms. In fact, what we call a hurricane, they call "Tuesday." But their stuff keeps operating better than our stuff does.

    62. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      Shhh, we're still giving Bill Clinton credit for misleading accounting tricks and booking tax revenue based on an overheated stock market in the midst of a speculative bubble. Somehow this makes him an economic genius.

    63. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 1
      Economics 101. Proft != Economic efficiency. I admitted a side effect of properly allocated research funding would likely be lower corporate profits for some mega corporations this is true and I am indifferent to this effect (I have stock in big and small firms I am not blindly anti corporate). If you would actually read what was said you would realize that was not the main goal and that "to counteract the effects of externalities previously unaccounted for" was the goal that does = Economic efficiency.

      "If such technologies can be profitably developed within our current regulatory economy, then entrepreneurs will create start-ups, and funders will give funding." That is fundamentally incorrect. Man made financial instruments are massively risk adverse. Not to mention the economics of scale needed to realize the value basic research.

      Sometimes the messenger does deserve to be shot. That was the point of my original message and I admit that. I like to discuss topics with people who will actually contribute some valid back and forth however there are valid political reasons for simply attacking the messenger. Discussion on politics is often academic at best. By now the sides are far too entrenched to move the bases. I admit I am part of that and gladly so, I have my reasons for this . These "arguments" are classic handed down talking points. If you are pushing them you are already lost to one side any debate over the hard line talking points is silly as they have been debated ad-nauseum..

    64. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Economics 101. Proft != Economic efficiency.

      Your right. But more efficiency equals more profits and we know profits is what business is about.

      I admitted a side effect of properly allocated research funding would likely be lower corporate profits for some mega corporations this is true and I am indifferent to this effect (I have stock in big and small firms I am not blindly anti corporate). If you would actually read what was said you would realize that was not the main goal and that "to counteract the effects of externalities previously unaccounted for" was the goal that does = Economic efficiency.

      Externalities are already paid for in the savings of cost of the product.

      "If such technologies can be profitably developed within our current regulatory economy, then entrepreneurs will create start-ups, and funders will give funding." That is fundamentally incorrect. Man made financial instruments are massively risk adverse. Not to mention the economics of scale needed to realize the value basic research.

      There are plenty of risk takers out there as well as complete idiots will to throw a ton of money at something as long as someone can communicate some envisioned great reward from it. If there weren't, you would not hear about the plight of the greedy people who sunk all their retirement into high risk investments because the payout was better and lost it all. This is somewhat of a common theme in today's society. Don't discount the stupidity of greed and think risk is some untouched avenue.

      Sometimes the messenger does deserve to be shot. That was the point of my original message and I admit that. I like to discuss topics with people who will actually contribute some valid back and forth however there are valid

      I disagree. Of course the less they say, the easier it is to refute them which can sort of seem like shooting the messenger. But if you expect to maintain any legitimacy, then the message needs to be addressed- else you have become what you claimed of them.

      Discussion on politics is often academic at best. By now the sides are far too entrenched to move the bases. I admit I am part of that and gladly so, I have my reasons for this .

      That's because politics is largely opinions. Some opinions have more sound reasoning then others, some do not.

      These "arguments" are classic handed down talking points. If you are pushing them you are already lost to one side any debate over the hard line talking points is silly as they have been debated ad-nauseum..

      IT appears that there would be no debate if you had your way. And no, you cannot delegate me to one side simply because I read a few points put forward that you completely ignored. That does not make me biased, it makes me able to comprehend what is being said. The failure is on not addressing the points made or putting them into the proper prospective. Just becuse I followed his line of reasoning and your was essentially, I don't like you, does not mean I'm in any camp.

    65. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 1
      "Your right. But more efficiency equals more profits and we know profits is what business is about." If your talking about the social profit or social "surplus" than yes. However most wealth is not enumerated on the balance sheets of the Forbes 500. + Even if it is, if everyone is dead who is there to enjoy it (thats not expected but hyperbole depicting the declining utility of wealth being concentrated in the few).

      "Externalities are already paid for in the savings of cost of the product." That would be theoretically possible however just about every bit of research ive seen have put the costs at high multiples of current prices . In fact I have not seen any works Id consider reasonable that says that total net prices are any way near half the net externalities alone.

      not that I give much credence to the hippies but the following link gives an intro to the economics. http://www.environmentforbeginners.com/content/view/47/51/

      There have been multiple international studies put together by leading experts in their fields all concluding to massive external costs which are not being properly accounted for. I cant find the more important ones at the moment but http://www.deepdyve.com/lp/emerald-publishing/external-cost-of-air-pollution-from-thermal-power-plants-case-of-X3B0iiXTKr

      This one concludes that there is over a 1 billion a year of damage to Greece alone. Which is fraction of the size of the US. Using that figure to extrapolate the net world wide loss in productivity is easily within the low/mid 100's of billions a year. Which is on the low end of what I remember seeing. External costs range from poor health / more sick days / the walls of buildings needing to be painted and rebuilt more often (the chemicals in the air help erode the building materials/ cars break down more often (same effect and more crap in the air filters) etc etc.

    66. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      "Your right. But more efficiency equals more profits and we know profits is what business is about." If your talking about the social profit or social "surplus" than yes. However most wealth is not enumerated on the balance sheets of the Forbes 500. + Even if it is, if everyone is dead who is there to enjoy it (thats not expected but hyperbole depicting the declining utility of wealth being concentrated in the few).

      First of all, profit and wealth and nto the same thing. Second, I made a statement about companies goals, not your preference or something that can only be measured by guesses. Lets not confuse the world with how it is compared to how you want it to be.

      "Externalities are already paid for in the savings of cost of the product." That would be theoretically possible however just about every bit of research ive seen have put the costs at high multiples of current prices . In fact I have not seen any works Id consider reasonable that says that total net prices are any way near half the net externalities alone.

      Net prices doesn't matter. IT's the net savings and it will change with the costs assigned to the externality. Most externality figures of cost are arbitrary anyways.

      not that I give much credence to the hippies but the following link gives an intro to the economics. http://www.environmentforbeginners.com/content/view/47/51/

      YEah.. There is a reason why that type of market is not commonly in place and why people dogpile tackle, kicking and screaming trying to avoid it.

      There have been multiple international studies put together by leading experts in their fields all concluding to massive external costs which are not being properly accounted for. I cant find the more important ones at the moment but http://www.deepdyve.com/lp/emerald-publishing/external-cost-of-air-pollution-from-thermal-power-plants-case-of-X3B0iiXTKr

      And as I said before, that is accounted for in the savings to the consumer. If a consumer did not want cars spewing Co2 into the air, they would stop driving them. But since they are not, they are accepting the externality by accepting the activity at the reduced cost.

      ones at the moment but http://www.deepdyve.com/lp/emerald-publishing/external-cost-of-air-pollution-from-thermal-power-plants-case-of-X3B0iiXTKr

      This one concludes that there is over a 1 billion a year of damage to Greece alone. Which is fraction of the size of the US. Using that figure to extrapolate the net world wide loss in productivity is easily within the low/mid 100's of billions a year. Which is on the low end of what I remember seeing. External costs range from poor health / more sick days / the walls of buildings needing to be painted and rebuilt more often (the chemicals in the air help erode the building materials/ cars break down more often (same effect and more crap in the air filters) etc etc.

      Again, they are accepting that cost completely by demanding cheaper products. That is accounted for in their savings. And that's not even getting into the entire concept of it costing some country money (because it isn't).

    67. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi Belgian, put down your fries for a second. Now recognize that there are multiple cities in America each with more people living there than in the entire nation of Belgium. I think the problem is that the load demands placed on the American electrical *grids* dwarf the minor electrical consumption Belgium's single grid requires. And hey, if y'all split over petty differences like we almost did in the States you'll have even less of a problem with blackouts!

    68. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by locallyunscene · · Score: 1

      Better: "I have $100,000 to spend. If I put it into research, there is a 99% chance I'll lose the lot, and a 1% chance I'll make millions off it. If I invest it in conventional bonds and such, I'll end up with maybe $200,000. Much as I like millions, I just can't risk spending on something so unlikely to pay off."

      "I can spend my money on a risky, but long-term productive goal or I can put it in the free money machine which produces 'liquidity'". You proved his point exactly.

    69. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by jovetoo · · Score: 1
      You have a point about the size of Belgium and weather. We do use above-ground lines but we have rather dull weather...

      The fact that I live within 10km from the nearest nuclear plant probably doesn't hurt either...

    70. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by jovetoo · · Score: 1

      Interesting, can we store power on that level with compressed air?

    71. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 1

      They are accepting the externalities. But thats due to imperfect information one of the prime reasons for market failure. and savings implies that it somehow costs more to do it the other way. The net total cost is much lower for many non fossil fuel based sources.

    72. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Imperfect information is not a reason for market failure, it's a disadvantage someone can use to exploit others. But it's not a reason for market failure, the failure generally happens when someone exploits that problem or over regulates the market in some attempt to fix it.

      Savings is a matter of paying less. as for future costs due to externalities, that's all subjective and opinionated bs that the completely ignores the concept of evolution.

      The fact is that the costs inured are long down the road and evolution as well as the theory of it will take care of those costs as they start to rise. It naturally becomes normalized with time.

    73. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by plague911 · · Score: 1
      http://www.econport.org/content/handbook/Market-Failure/Imperfect-Information.html

      Imperfect information IS a reason for market failure

      "that's all subjective and opinionated". No its not. 100's of millions a year are spent on QUANTITATIVE evaluation of these things. and BILLIONS a year are spent as (a large part by insurers) based off these quantitative models.

      "The fact is that the costs inured are long down the road and evolution as well as the theory of it will take care of those costs as they start to rise. It naturally becomes normalized with time."

      Again the costs are occurring NOW/YESTERDAY and tomorrow. They have gone to little villages near sources of damage and measured how long it take for paint to peel , how many times a year people are ill how long a car's air filter last etc etc etc and compared these to locations without as significant exposure. The results of this is that there is MASSIVE damage NOW. I have not even mentioned global warming etc which is another MASSIVE although estimated cost. These other costs are NOT estimated they are measured.

      The CURRENT costs each year caused by the growing terrain slowly drifting due to climate change in the US has been estimate to reach the billions of dollars level.

    74. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Blackouts should be normalized either wrt people or power generation or sizeof the grid etc
      Simply saying that there are more blackouts in US in a decade vs say in Belgium is not a good indicator of anything

    75. Re:Good, but there is always an issue by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      "that's all subjective and opinionated". No its not. 100's of millions a year are spent on QUANTITATIVE evaluation of these things. and BILLIONS a year are spent as (a large part by insurers) based off these quantitative models.

      Don't confuse a competitive market with the market in general. They are not the same, one is an aspect of the other and imperfect information does not cause a market failure, it causes an aspect failure that can be exploited by others to create market failures.

      "that's all subjective and opinionated". No its not. 100's of millions a year are spent on QUANTITATIVE evaluation of these things. and BILLIONS a year are spent as (a large part by insurers) based off these quantitative models.

      Just because you spend lots of money forming your opinion does not negate the fact that it's an opinion and largely subjective. To show the differences which I'm not sure yu will get anyways, it's like a study that shows unmarried people are in more accidents then married people. That does not mean you will get into an accident because you are not married. It means on the whole, probably because the majority of most people's lives are spent unmarried, those people get into more accidents.

      Again the costs are occurring NOW/YESTERDAY and tomorrow. They have gone to little villages near sources of damage and measured how long it take for paint to peel , how many times a year people are ill how long a car's air filter last etc etc etc and compared these to locations without as significant exposure. The results of this is that there is MASSIVE damage NOW. I have not even mentioned global warming etc which is another MASSIVE although estimated cost. These other costs are NOT estimated they are measured.

      You pain peeling is no concern of mine. It happens because of the paint you purchased at the price you purchased it at. You enjoyed the savings just as I did. If the costs of everything imaginable was built into the cost of everything, those villages would not exist, and those people would be dieing from malnutrition if they were even alive. They benefit more from cheaper prices.

      The CURRENT costs each year caused by the growing terrain slowly drifting due to climate change in the US has been estimate to reach the billions of dollars level.

      And the majority of that is made us crap. Besides, evolution will present a way yo deal with it over the long length of time needed for it to show. Why is it that you do not trust in evolution?

  4. $130mil? Wowzers~ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Oh boy, $130million to create new energy solutions. That about what the computer systems in an SR-71 Blackbird costs. Guess the DoD will have to go without until next year's budget. Seriously though this is pathetic. $130million isn't shit. It's a laughable sum for any kind of major research project, let alone what is arguably the most important human challenge being faced today. Even $130bn would be too little spent in my opinion.

    1. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by ColdWetDog · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Oh boy, $130million to create new energy solutions. That about what the computer systems in an SR-71 Blackbird costs. Guess the DoD will have to go without until next year's budget. Seriously though this is pathetic. $130million isn't shit. It's a laughable sum for any kind of major research project, let alone what is arguably the most important human challenge being faced today. Even $130bn would be too little spent in my opinion.

      Yep. About as much as it costs to run a Nimitz class aircraft carrier for half a year. A truly outstanding commitment to energy research.

      I am dissapoint.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by ArcherB · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, we could change $130 million to $130 Billion if we could work out some sort of compromise. For example, we could drill ANWR, which is federal land (meaning federal oil), and mandate that the feds set aside $10 for each barrel of oil sold for investment into "green energy".

      Oh, wait. We can't do that. A Caribou may have to have sex five miles from where he had it last year. Nevermind.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    3. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately we don't have billions to give, we don't have millions. We don't even have hundreds.

      We are broke. Either we cut spending, across the board with NOTHING being exempt, or we go bankrupt. Since no one wants to give up their pet project, I think bankruptcy is the only option.

    4. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 2

      The reason ANWR is useless is because there isn't much there. Estimated recoverable oil is only about 1 year's worth at today's usage levels. Say we split that over 20 years for production. That's 5%. Lowers gas prices a whopping $0.40 for twenty years and then is gone, and we have a BP oil spill in the arctic where we can't even go to clean it up half the year.

      It's not worth it.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    5. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 2

      Your an idiot. Your household budget doesn't work like the governments and shouldn't. We don't have money to spend on stupid things, but we can print our own money and people are still lining up to lend us money.

      If we keep playing political games with the deficit and the debt limit though, they won't keep lending us money because they'll see we're completely taken over by a crazy party (GOP).

      If you could spend $100,000,000 and get back $160,000,000, would you spend it? or would claim we are broke and not spend the money to make that $160 million?

      Food stamps, unemployment insurance and infrastructure spending all return more money into the economy than they cost. Tax cuts do not.

      So we can invest in our economy and country and grow our way out of this, or we can cut to the bone and just keep sinking lower and lower. We have some things to reform, but our budget was close to being balanced a decade ago. The only thing that changed was massive debts run up by the GOP.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    6. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by plague911 · · Score: 1
      I would not mind doing that. Except for the fact that current leases on federal land are vastly under used.

      Why would we open this up to drilling when current leases are around only 50% used.

      I'll be blunt. The reason why the oil companies want this is so they can stake their land grab before oil prices explode in the coming years. The government in the future will most likely have this information tossed in their face so they would be able to charge much higher royalties for the use of a good currently owned by the American People as a whole. Its not stupid of the Oil companies to want this. Its just immoral and underhanded for them to try and argue its for any other reason.

    7. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by bunratty · · Score: 1

      We can't just print money and use it to pay off the debt. For each extra dollar we print, we make every other dollar in existence worth less. This means is takes more dollars to be worth a particular value, so prices go up. This is called inflation.

      In any case, the argument that the GP gave that we can't spend money on X because we're broke only applies to things that the person making the argument doesn't like. You'll never see them admit we don't have any money to spend on the military because we're broke. If we can spend over $600 billion per year on the military, surely we have a couple of billion per year to develop the energy sources we're going to need this century. If we spend a few billions of dollars every year on alternative energy, who knows, maybe we can spend tens of billions less on the military because we don't need to make sure the spice^Woil flows.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    8. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by JoeCommodore · · Score: 1

      I dunno, I wouldn't underestimate the productiveness of a lean funded project compared a heavily funded one. Low money might make the project teams think a bit more creatively.

      --
      "Enjoy what you're doing! If it becomes drudgery, you're doing it wrong!" - Jim Butterfield
    9. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Well, we could change $130 million to $130 Billion if we could work out some sort of compromise. For example, we could drill ANWR, which is federal land (meaning federal oil), and mandate that the feds set aside $10 for each barrel of oil sold for investment into "green energy".

      Oh, wait. We can't do that. A Caribou may have to have sex five miles from where he had it last year. Nevermind.

      ANWAR solves nothing it's strictly about oil company profits. I believe Obama pointed out that we could provide as much oil as is in ANWAR by keeping our tires inflated properly. The Republicans made fun of him but neglected to point out that he was right. We can relive more pressure faster and cheaper through conservation and that is a fact than opening up all public lands to drilling. Set car average MPG at 50 and minimum at 30 which is doable and you'll save as much as 10 ANWARs and it can happen in a fraction of the time. The problem is conserving doesn't line corporate pockets and that's why it's not an option.

    10. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      We can't just print money and use it to pay off the debt.

      I love how your next 2 sentences explain how we can do exactly that :) Not a great idea, but inflation is exactly how you make your debts worth less and therefore cheaper to pay off. Do T-bills get adjusted for inflation? Outstanding 'debt' is priced in dollars, if we inflate our currency that doesn't change the 'amount' we owe people.

      As I said this is not a good idea, especially radically fast, but inflation over time causes the original debt to be worth less and thus now easier to pay off.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    11. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      If we can spend over $600 billion per year on the military, surely we have a couple of billion per year to develop the energy sources we're going to need this century.

      Yeah, and if you can afford to spend $20,000 a year on rent, utilities, and food, you can afford to give me $5,000 so I can do ... stuff.

    12. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by bunratty · · Score: 1

      It's more like if you can afford $40,000 for a new car every two years, you can afford to save $3000 per year for your retirement. What would you say to someone who says they can't save any money when they're always driving a new, fancy car?

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    13. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by ratnerstar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm not sure I understand you. Are you advocating a targeted $10 per barrel tax only on oil drilled from ANWR? That seems silly, plus you must be aware that taxes on oil production are a political non-starter. It would be easier to get environmentalists to agree to drilling than to get the GOP to agree to taxes. And I don't even want to think about the economic distortions that would accompany taxing one area of production but not others...

      On the other hand, it kinda sounds like you're calling for the Federal government to get into the oil drilling & selling business.

      --
      Just because you sold your soul to the devil that needn't make you a teetotaler. --The Devil and Daniel Webster
    14. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by c6gunner · · Score: 0

      I agree - you don't need a new car, so the US obviously doesn't need a military. Please disband it. We promise to protect your borders for you.

          - Sincerely, Canada

    15. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, ANWR isn't even close to closing the gap we have between what we consume and what we import. It's more valuable as a reserve than it is to use at this moment.

    16. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by blindseer · · Score: 1

      We don't drill in ANWR because it lowers the price of gasoline by $0.40 but because it creates revenue for the government without raising taxes, creates domestic jobs, and reduces dependence on foreign sources of energy.

      All this research in alternative energy is nice, and quite possibly necessary. The problem is that until we have airplanes that run on something other than kerosene we will need to drill for oil. With modern airframes lasting about three decades I suspect we will need to drill for oil for at least another three decades, assuming there is not some earth-shattering breakthrough in science before then.

      You say that we will be able to pump oil out of ANWR for "only" twenty years. With unemployment being as high as it is right now it would seem that creating jobs for Americans should be a priority for the government. Employing people in oil drilling, even if it is for "only" twenty years, would mean that a lot of Americans will have their lives suck a lot less during that time. That would also likely mean a lot of Americans can afford to send their kids to college. These college educated Americans can then research ways to extract more oil from ANWR and ways to get energy that does not require more drilling for oil.

      It is practically inevitable that we will run out of oil that we can profitably extract from the ground. Before that happens we will see more money, public and private, being spent on ways to get energy that does not require drilling for oil. In the mean time I see no reason to not drill for oil in our own country. We need oil now and for many decades to come. Producing it here can only benefit us.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    17. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Osgeld · · Score: 1

      NASA first

    18. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We need oil now and for many decades to come. Producing it here can only benefit us.

      Spoken like the true addict that we are :) Actually it can harm us. If we use it now while oil is cheap we won't have it available when peak oil hits and it gets really expensive. 'Conserving' your resources is better than just using them up as fast as possible.

      Now the other argument to be made is that if we don't start drilling right here right now, it won't be online when peak oil hits. A fair argument, except for the fact that the 'drill here drill now' people also claim peak oil is either a myth or hundreds of years away...thus invalidating their argument for doing it right now.

      Better to do what this article is about and start spending that money on alternative sources so that they are ready to pick up the slack when peak oil hits.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    19. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by plague911 · · Score: 1

      "We can't just print money and use it to pay off the debt. For each extra dollar we print, we make every other dollar in existence worth less. This means is takes more dollars to be worth a particular value, so prices go up. This is called inflation." We cant print money and inflation is good for debtors (99% of the US pop the Govt) and bad for billionaires with large piles of cash (1% of the population and China) . This is an easy choice if you dont have your head up your ass.

    20. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Pseudonym+Authority · · Score: 1

      I cannot believe that anyone can be this stupid naturally. You simply must be a troll.

    21. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by FormOfActionBanana · · Score: 1

      Wait, you do understand why bugs, plants and animals are important to us, right?

      --
      Take off every 'sig' !!
    22. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      if America shifted its policy from world police to world help the borders might protect them selves. Except for Mexico, but that's a different kind of border. Hammers, nails and, shovels cost less than guns, bullets, and grenades.

    23. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      we could drill ANWR, which is federal land (meaning federal oil), and mandate that the feds set aside $10 for each barrel of oil sold for investment into "green energy".

      How about saving the last drops of reasonably accessible oil for future generation or two? You know, they may want that resource..

      There are much later problems that simply running out of oil China, 3rd largest coal reserves at over 110 billion tons. Unfortunately they will run out in about 2-3 decades considering they are using it up at 3.3 billion tons per year as of 2010 and climbing FAST. 50% of ALL coal mined in the world is mined and burnt in China to make stuff for rest of the world. Think about that number.

      A REAL investment in technology would be investment in nuclear power, like fusion research. ITER could use funds for material research. They need high strength steel or steel-like materials that will withstand large neutron flux for long period of time (30-50 years). This is actually one of the largest problems with fusion. The plasma bit has been nailed down, more or less. ITER will demonstrate sustained plasma, but commercial reactors are not practical if internal parts have to be replaced every 2 years.

      This is where R&D money needs to go, not some "make power routers like Internet" without realizing that the problem is not analogous (pun intended!). Power transmission is an analog network. IP datagrams are digital network. To transmit power like the digital network would require routers to be massive capacitors (buffers) that also have ability to destroy large amount of power. There are many problems beyond this. Basically power grid is a giant electric-field-wave-guide. That's it. It's not digital. It's analogue. Converting power to digital routing is bizarre. Sounds good, but I don't believe it is practical.

      It would be akin of treating radio waves as digital. They are not. They are analogue, always. Digital signal of course can be transmitted on top of that analogue, but the antenna and receiver - all analogue. And they all follow analogue signal propagation, signal to noise ratio, etc. etc..

    24. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by t2t10 · · Score: 1

      How is throwing more money after bad money (subsidized air travel, investments in inefficient modes of transportation) a good idea?

      And drilling in ANWR is a drop in the bucket for unemployment. If you want to lower unemployment, we need to make more of what we use domestically, and the only way to do that is to devalue the dollar.

    25. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by khallow · · Score: 1

      If we use it now while oil is cheap we won't have it available when peak oil hits and it gets really expensive. 'Conserving' your resources is better than just using them up as fast as possible.

      Except the same excuses for not using the resource still exist. And the infrastructure for extracting the oil still doesn't exist.

    26. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by khallow · · Score: 1

      If you want to lower unemployment, we need to make more of what we use domestically, and the only way to do that is to devalue the dollar.

      Keep in mind that we can also reduce the cost of doing business in the US. For example, reducing regulation, cutting Social Security, eliminating the mandates on employer health insurance, etc.

    27. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by khallow · · Score: 1

      I believe Obama pointed out that we could provide as much oil as is in ANWAR by keeping our tires inflated properly.

      The callous disregard by using a non sequitur is remarkable. So why aren't we drilling in ANWAR then, if we can create so much value by doing so?

      We can relive more pressure faster and cheaper through conservation and that is a fact than opening up all public lands to drilling.

      So why aren't we drilling in ANWAR then?

      We can relive more pressure faster and cheaper through conservation and that is a fact than opening up all public lands to drilling. Set car average MPG at 50 and minimum at 30 which is doable and you'll save as much as 10 ANWARs and it can happen in a fraction of the time.

      So why aren't we drilling in ANWAR then?

      Here's the thing that certain people don't get. Conservation is not a perfect benefit. There are tradeoffs. That's why we don't optimally consume oil or any other resource. In addition, oil production is completely tangential to the problem of just how much oil we could save, if we chose to do so to the exclusion of every other human activity. So drilling in ANWAR is something we can do in the near future and which does not depend on conservation or its lack.

      It also has an obvious economic benefit such as creating jobs and generating economic activity. And all it requires is the President to stop making smug, clueless remarks.

    28. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am dissapoint.

      Yes, you certainly are.

    29. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      So why aren't we drilling in ANWAR then?

      For good, sound, economic reasons. Oil prices are going up, and they're likely to keep going up for a few decades as oil becomes more scarce. In this situation, the best strategy is to buy oil from other people now, and save your own reserves for when it becomes really expensive or, worse, when the supply from abroad is not available.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    30. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Lowers gas prices a whopping $0.40 for twenty years and then is gone, and we have a BP oil spill in the arctic where we can't even go to clean it up half the year.

      don't worry, we won't even try to spill it up, we'll just spray dispersants on it and kill everything beneath it for a decade.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    31. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      "We can't just print money and use it to pay off the debt. For each extra dollar we print, we make every other dollar in existence worth less. This means is takes more dollars to be worth a particular value, so prices go up. This is called inflation." We cant print money and inflation is good for debtors (99% of the US pop the Govt) and bad for billionaires with large piles of cash (1% of the population and China) . This is an easy choice if you dont have your head up your ass.

      That's not how the system works. At all.

      When inflation hits (it's starting up rather quickly right now - oil prices are up primarily due to the devalued dollar), labor costs are one of the last things to catch up - skilled labor especially. With the unemployment rate still historically high, that's not likely to change.

      Inflating money by printing it works by creating debt from the central bank to the large banks, to investment houses, and eventually to big businesses, smaller businesses, and finally consumers. That means that the people that get the money first get it while the value is higher, and the people that get money last get it after it's already devalued (so it buys less).

      Inflation benefits billionaire bankers and investors and hurts the middle class and the working class the most.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    32. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      If we really needed Biokerosene ASAP there are a lot of research programs which could be brought into production relatively quickly. IMO with moonshot or Iraq war type funding the US could be energy independent in 2 decades.

      Or it could piss away that kind of money on a war in Iran ...

    33. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Direct monetization doesn't funnel money through the bond market, it goes directly to government coffers ... who can decide how to divide it through fiscal policy and outlays.

    34. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by radtea · · Score: 1

      Your an idiot. Your household budget doesn't work like the governments and shouldn't. We don't have money to spend on stupid things, but we can print our own money and people are still lining up to lend us money.

      This, I'm afraid, is nothing more than the warm assurance of a person falling from the sky that everything is going great so far.

      People are still lining up to lend you money, true. But at some point, no matter what Keynes says, they are going to expect to get paid back in constant dollars, or interest rates are going to go through the roof. In the long run, your children will pay your debts.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    35. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      If you think we'd be better off with a worldwide economic depression of the kind we've never seen (i.e. US defaults on its debt) versus deficit spending now so the economy can grow and start to actually pay things back, well more power to you.

      To use your example, you are that person falling from the sky in a jet with stopped engines saying we just have to hit the ground at full speed, rather than trying to adjust the glide slope to give us more times to restart the engines.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    36. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Direct monetization doesn't funnel money through the bond market, it goes directly to government coffers ... who can decide how to divide it through fiscal policy and outlays.

      The US doesn't do "direct monetization" (whatever you think that means). It borrows everything from the private central bank (the Federal Reserve), at interest. US debt is mostly short-term, too, so when the rates go up, so does the cost of that debt to the government. Continuing to borrow and pay on that debt is unsustainable, no matter how much printing of money you think the Federal Reserve can do.

      In case you think there can be no point of diminishing returns on all this borrowing, I would direct your attention to this chart.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    37. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      If you could spend $100,000,000 and get back $160,000,000, would you spend it?

      We're already past the point where that works, and are now headed into a spiral of debt and monetization that will screw the entire economy to the wall. There has to be something real to back up all that imaginary money you want to create.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    38. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      We still seem to have high unemployment. That means that both unemployment payments and food stamps will still be effective at stimulating the economy. Certainly more than tax cuts will be. Infrastructure spending *has* to be done or we can't have a modern economy. Something like 75% of all our bridges are at or about to be at expected lifespan (50 years). Funny how things will grind to a halt when you can't move stuff around.

      The debt and the deficit are different things and need different solutions. The debt, all the world has to see is reasonable action towards financial sanity. They don't need to see it erased in 5 years. It's about confidence and not absolute numbers. Granted with the Tea Party 'patriots' driving us to a shut down/default, the world is rightly concerned that we don't have leadership they can have confidence in. Hence why there is panic in the financial markets towards the future.

      The deficit is perfectly solvable provided we account for things we spend and actually pay for them unlike the GOP of the last 10 years. 'Tax and spend' is an epithet against the Dems, and yet it also is the very definition of fiscal responsibility. Funny how the GOP claims the Dems actually do what the GOP says they are better at.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    39. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The US does monetization indirectly through banks, banks buy US bonds at auction and then the Fed buys it off the banks through "open" market operations. US government doesn't borrow anything directly from the Fed at the moment. It probably should though.

      Almost all proceeds from the central bank end up back with government, so interest payments on bonds owned by the Fed are irrelevant. If the intent of "borrowing" is just to inflate the money supply to soft default, the productivity on debt is entirely irrelevant ... the Fed doesn't need it's money to be productive, it can just print more after all.

    40. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by khallow · · Score: 1

      For good, sound, economic reasons. Oil prices are going up, and they're likely to keep going up for a few decades as oil becomes more scarce. In this situation, the best strategy is to buy oil from other people now, and save your own reserves for when it becomes really expensive or, worse, when the supply from abroad is not available.

      The rebuttal: time value of money. Come on. A resource decades old, which will still have the same obstacles to its exploitation and for which it still has not been developed, simply is not as valuable as a resource used now. When the supply from abroad becomes less available, then that is the time to switch to alternative systems rather than finally exploit resources that we shouldn't have kept around in the first place.

    41. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      We still seem to have high unemployment. That means that both unemployment payments and food stamps will still be effective at stimulating the economy.

      The EB payments for UI is essentially done, the rest is states borrowing more money from the DOL because they have exhausted the trust funds that are paid into by employment taxes. Those taxes, by statute, now have to be raised, in order to pay the loans and restore the trust funds. With inflation hitting food prices as it has been (and signs are that it will accelerate), there is little hope that food stamps will keep up, without throwing more debt at them. So both of those programs are a greater drag on GDP than a help. Part of the continuing death spiral while Keynesians like you continue to ignore the fiscal certainties.

      The debt and the deficit are different things and need different solutions. The debt, all the world has to see is reasonable action towards financial sanity. They don't need to see it erased in 5 years.

      Tell me how to get to something better than adding a trillion dollars to it every year, then? It's already close to GDP right now, and at $1.7 trillion extra every year, it will be way beyond sustainable. That's not reasonable action. Nobody (except Rand Paul) even has a plan to balance the budget in 5 years, much less address the debt.

      Granted with the Tea Party 'patriots' driving us to a shut down/default, the world is rightly concerned that we don't have leadership they can have confidence in. Hence why there is panic in the financial markets towards the future.

      You're right that they're concerned we don't have the leadership - because no one will deal with the fiscal mess in spite of the demands of the Tea Party, the IMF and World Bank, a hand full of reps like Warner, Paul, and Coburn that are demanding some responsible action. A future backed by greater abundance of useless fiat money and an economy that cannot make the promised payments is what would panic any creditor. With spending almost double revenues, and a 0.02% cut being blocked by one party as "draconian", they worry that we won't have the will make the hard choices.

      The deficit is perfectly solvable provided we account for things we spend and actually pay for them unlike the GOP of the last 10 years. 'Tax and spend' is an epithet against the Dems, and yet it also is the very definition of fiscal responsibility. Funny how the GOP claims the Dems actually do what the GOP says they are better at.

      There is no party that is blameless in producing the current fiscal mess. It has taken a lot more than 10 years to get here, and while it seems a Republican congress and a Democratic president do a little better and keeping the budget in check, the trend is steadily toward greater deficits and debt, and has been since Eisenhower left office. The last 3 years has seen the debt increase more than in the previous 10. Quite an accomplishment.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    42. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Almost all proceeds from the central bank end up back with government, so interest payments on bonds owned by the Fed are irrelevant.

      You're just talking about operational profit from the Fed, which is irrelevant, and has nothing to do with the public debt and the treasury's obligations.

      If the intent of "borrowing" is just to inflate the money supply to soft default, the productivity on debt is entirely irrelevant ... the Fed doesn't need it's money to be productive, it can just print more after all.

      Of course the Fed's debt is irrelevant - it doesn't have any. The chart is about the US Government's debt vs. the GDP of the country. How far in debt can the US go for "investment" in government programs until it is actually a drag on the economy? Less debt than it currently has, according to the chart. Which means the debt is too high, the deficit is almost double revenues, and it's time to cut spending or the country will die.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    43. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Actually the Progressive Caucus in the house has a plan to balance the budget in 10 years...by doing just such progressive types of expenditures and tax reforms. Nobody else even comes close to that, Obama or the GOP.

      Food stamps are a net gain for the economy, for every dollar you put in you get $1.60 of economic output or there abouts. Unemployment payments are likewise positive budget factors. You get more out than you put in because of economic cascading effects. That is actual studied and proven by the CBO. The worst way to 'stimulate' the economy? tax cuts to the wealthy.

      My point is that people aren't going to just stop lending to us overnight or for the foreseeable future - Defaulting on the debt, will cause them to stop lending to us pretty damned quick. So one step is guaranteed to cause financial disaster, the other might in time. Why the hell would you choose defaulting on the debt of those two options.

      Investing in our country (and in others) so we can compete globally is the only way to grow ourselves out of this, we simply can't cut enough to solve the problems we face. It's funny how the GOP conservatives who usually 'rah rah' the American small businessman, seem to think they can't grow enough to help so we must cut our way to budget balance.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    44. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      Interest payments on bonds are part of the Fed's operational profits. Monetized sovereign debt held to maturity on the central bank balance sheet isn't like normal sovereign debt, it permanently increases the money supply (hurting existing creditors and helping existing debtors with locked in rates) without increasing the debt burden for government. When a government with a traditional central bank wants to soft default it needs to fund a significant part of it's expenditure through sovereign debt put on the central bank balance sheet. Stimulus/government investment is not necessary for the purpose of the soft default, government can just give tax cuts as well ... just as long as it runs a large deficit.

      As for the country dying from devaluation, FDR didn't kill it when he devalued ... his success/failure is debatable, but he didn't kill the country with his overnight devaluation of the dollar.

    45. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by haruchai · · Score: 1

      What sort of false implication is that? What does an individual's choice of personal transportation have to do with a country's need for a military - unless you're implying ( again falsely) that buying fewer new cars reduces the need to secure oil supply.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    46. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by ArcherB · · Score: 2

      I'm not sure I understand you. Are you advocating a targeted $10 per barrel tax only on oil drilled from ANWR? That seems silly, plus you must be aware that taxes on oil production are a political non-starter. It would be easier to get environmentalists to agree to drilling than to get the GOP to agree to taxes. And I don't even want to think about the economic distortions that would accompany taxing one area of production but not others...

      On the other hand, it kinda sounds like you're calling for the Federal government to get into the oil drilling & selling business.

      It is estimated that it will cost between $30 and $50 a barrel to extract oil from ANWR. Oil is currently trading at over $100/barrel. The owner of the mineral rights owns the oil. That owner is the US Government. That means that it will be the US Gov't selling the oil at roughly $70/bl profit. Take $10 from every barrel sold and invest that into "green energy". Take a portion out of environmental maintenance, another portion out as an environmental disaster insurance, and the rest goes into the US Gov't general fund.

      No additional taxes required.

      --
      There is no "I disagree" mod for a reason. Flamebait, Troll, and Overrated are not substitutes.
    47. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      failed national energy policy is failure

    48. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by breeze95 · · Score: 1

      I believe Obama pointed out that we could provide as much oil as is in ANWAR by keeping our tires inflated properly.

      The callous disregard by using a non sequitur is remarkable. So why aren't we drilling in ANWAR then, if we can create so much value by doing so?

      We can relive more pressure faster and cheaper through conservation and that is a fact than opening up all public lands to drilling.

      So why aren't we drilling in ANWAR then?

      We can relive more pressure faster and cheaper through conservation and that is a fact than opening up all public lands to drilling. Set car average MPG at 50 and minimum at 30 which is doable and you'll save as much as 10 ANWARs and it can happen in a fraction of the time.

      So why aren't we drilling in ANWAR then?

      Here's the thing that certain people don't get. Conservation is not a perfect benefit. There are tradeoffs. That's why we don't optimally consume oil or any other resource. In addition, oil production is completely tangential to the problem of just how much oil we could save, if we chose to do so to the exclusion of every other human activity. So drilling in ANWAR is something we can do in the near future and which does not depend on conservation or its lack.

      It also has an obvious economic benefit such as creating jobs and generating economic activity. And all it requires is the President to stop making smug, clueless remarks.

      Geo-politics. Think global. Why should we drill in ANWAR when there is cheap oil in other places? We are going to use up the cheap oil from other countries and when it runs out we have ANWAR to fall back on. ANWAR is like having money in the bank. Also, we are not about to let China have access to cheap (Middle East) oil. If we allow that then in 15 years instead of our aircraft carries in the China Sea their aircraft carries will be in the Caribbean.

    49. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      You'll never see them admit we don't have any money to spend on the military because we're broke.

      Complete and utter bullshit.
      The people who've have seriously talked about making significant cuts (think Rand, not Ryan), have absolutely and unequivocally called for serious reductions in military spending, including, but not limited to, closing foreign bases. They're called nutjobs for putting forth a reasonable argument, ie. we should mind our own damn business.

      Meanwhile, the man-child-in-chief, is sending $1,000,000 cruise missiles to blow up $100,000 tanks in a civil war that does not affect us, as the Republocrats cheer from the sidelines. And here we go with people asking why we're not getting involved with Syria.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    50. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      What would we do then, when France, Britain and the other NATO members came crying when "the US is not doing enough" in places like Libya, Bosnia, Rawanda and any other place where THEY have a national interest that they want us to protect?

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    51. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Actually the Progressive Caucus in the house has a plan to balance the budget in 10 years [house.gov]...by doing just such progressive types of expenditures and tax reforms. Nobody else even comes close to that, Obama or the GOP.

      Paul Krugman likes it, so it must be based on his ideology, which is a proven failure.

      Tax all capital gains and qualified dividends as ordinary income

      That will not only reduce investments, it will also result in a reduction in revenue. That's proven and has even been acknowledged by the Obama administration.

      Tax U.S. corporate foreign income as it is earned

      How hilariously naive.

      Raise the taxable maximum on the employee side to 90% of earnings and eliminate the taxable maximum on the employer side

      So that's where most of the money is coming from. That will not only raise unemployment, but will put a huge burden on the self-employed.

      Energy Independence With only 3% of the known oil reserves in the world, the United States cannot become energy independent or measurably affect the world price of oil simply by drilling more within our borders. We need to set loose the clean energy industry that is ready to take hold if we make the public investments in transportation and storage. Our budget will unleash American ingenuity and talent to build a new clean energy economy in which the United States will regain its rightful place as a world leader, move energy independence and address our global warming challenges.

      Translation: A miracle happens here! (Oh, and we'll tax the crap out of it)

      Bringing Our Troops Home and Reducing Defense Spending

      Okay, I can get behind that. It should be part of EVERY budget proposal, we can't afford NOT to do this.

      All the wealth redistribution in the plan is bad enough, but does it have to be a global redistribution, too? It even perpetuates Head Start. I mean, I know the goal is to start the "global village" indoctrination as early as possible, but can anyone even acknowledge that it is a proven failure for improving educational outcomes (unless your goal is "dumbing down", of course).

      My point is that people aren't going to just stop lending to us overnight or for the foreseeable future - Defaulting on the debt, will cause them to stop lending to us pretty damned quick.

      Maybe not, but they could certainly start demanding higher rates. And that will eat up the budget really fast paying higher rates on nearly $15 Trillion in debt. How high will that debt be in 10 years, again?

      So one step is guaranteed to cause financial disaster, the other might in time. Why the hell would you choose defaulting on the debt of those two options.

      And who is advocating defaulting on the debt? That seems to be the go-to fear tactic by the "raise the ceiling" advocates - claiming that cutting spending in any significant way requires defaulting on the debt. It's just fear-mongering.

      we simply can't cut enough to solve the problems we face

      We can't TAX enough to solve the problems, either. We have to do both. It's going to be painful for everyone, but some people don't want any pain for themselves, and just want to point fingers.

      Investing in our country (and in others) so we can compete globally

      But you want to take all the investment opportunities away and use it to feed and clothe the idle. How is that going to grow anything. I don't know what the CBO is smoking, but you're not going to get growth by having a few businesses that cater to a bunch of people feeding at the public trough.

      You still haven't come up with what actually, real assets are supposed to be backing up all that imaginary money that you are going to give away - even if it's true that more imaginary money magically appears as a result.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    52. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      As for the country dying from devaluation, FDR didn't kill it when he devalued ... his success/failure is debatable, but he didn't kill the country with his overnight devaluation of the dollar.

      The US actually produced stuff back then. It imports it all now. Big Difference.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    53. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1
      Ah, the tried and true last gasp deniers mantra:

      "The CBO is just wrong."

      Funny how supply side proponents loved it when it endorsed the Bush tax cuts grudgingly (having forced the sunset in that the GOP held the middle class hostage with when it came time to actually sunset them).

      We can't TAX enough to solve the problems, either. We have to do both. It's going to be painful for everyone, but some people don't want any pain for themselves, and just want to point fingers.

      What part of reforming medicare and social security to offer fewer benefits is not taking 'pain' for the middle class/poor? Asking the rich to actually pay the same rates as everybody else is only fair. As for capital gains taxes, yes make them 'normal' income. What sort of pain are you asking the rich to accept? I don't see that in your answer. And only one side has proposed both cuts and taxes....and it ain't the GOP.

      But you want to take all the investment opportunities away and use it to feed and clothe the idle.

      Yeah, see here's the difference. You view anyone as being involuntarily unemployed the same as the bum who won't work. They aren't the same. Morever, giving money to these people *will* increase demand because they actually spend a higher percentage of their now reduced income. Sure they can blow through savings, but hey, they don't deserve a future because their lazy idle bums.

      By keeping the 10% unemployed actively spending even at reduced rates, you keep jobs that would be lost and create new ones, rather than having the downward spiral of layoffs to reduced demand to more layoffs.

      As for your criticisms of the Progressive Caucus' budget, I understand you don't like it. That doesn't mean it won't work.

      You still haven't come up with what actually, real assets are supposed to be backing up all that imaginary money that you are going to give away - even if it's true that more imaginary money magically appears as a result.

      Here you show your ignorance. Money is not based on actual real assets. Hasn't been for decades. You may like the Gold Standard, but it doesn't work in today's economy.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    54. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by t2t10 · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that we can also reduce the cost of doing business in the US. For example, reducing regulation, cutting Social Security, eliminating the mandates on employer health insurance, etc.

      We could, but why would we want to? The benefits of having decent health care are much larger than the benefits of paying $5 for an imported Chinese-made T-shirt instead of the $10-$15 we should be paying.

    55. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      As for the country dying from devaluation, FDR didn't kill it when he devalued ... his success/failure is debatable, but he didn't kill the country with his overnight devaluation of the dollar.

      Ah, I pine for the days when the dollar was actually worth SOME amount of gold! It's all fiat money now, of course, backed only by the willingness of the US taxpayer to continue working and paying taxes.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    56. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      "The CBO is just wrong."

      I never said that!

      What part of reforming medicare and social security to offer fewer benefits is not taking 'pain' for the middle class/poor? Asking the rich to actually pay the same rates as everybody else is only fair.

      According to the plan you posted, SS would get RAISES, and Medicare would not see any cuts at all. The rich already pay a higher percentage, and you haven't defined "rich" (I assume it's anyone that makes more than you). You can't fix the problem with class warfare, period. The top 5% currently contribute about 40% of federal revenues. The top 10% contribute 60%. The "rich" in the 50's were people making around $4 million a year, but somehow it's 1/20th of that now. When that doesn't work, it will be people making even less - there is no end to this cycle. People in the US (even the poorest of the working poor) are still among the top 1% of earners in the world, and about $500 billion is current spent for wealth redistribution from the US to the third world - so everyone will get swept into this eventually.

      Yeah, see here's the difference. You view anyone as being involuntarily unemployed the same as the bum who won't work. They aren't the same. Morever, giving money to these people *will* increase demand because they actually spend a higher percentage of their now reduced income. Sure they can blow through savings, but hey, they don't deserve a future because their lazy idle bums.

      NO! That is a completely wrong and twisted interpretation of my viewpoint, full of incorrect assumptions designed to lead you to spout off the talking points the socialists have taught you to use.

      I see dependence as a state that causes many problems. People should aspire to succeed - it's how we all prosper. Failure is a typical outcome of human endeavor - it should not be punished, but it should also not be rewarded. The poor should be uncomfortable in poverty, to encourage them to try again to reach their full potential. People shouldn't be made to feel helpless, that they need government to support them forever - they should be empowered and encouraged to try again, and again, and again. And most importantly, success should be rewarded. The worst thing for an individual, and everyone around them, is to make an attempt, and to be comforted in failure to the degree that no further attempt is made.

      Frankly, this is a difficult issue. Because I, like you, do not want to see people starve, and live in the streets and to despair to the point that they feel their life is worthless. But I feel dependency perpetuates this state. There is no dignity in dependence! There are also those that will take advantage of the system, and expend all their energy in obtaining "something for nothing", avoiding having their talents and abilities judged at any cost, even that of their own self-esteem.

      Here you show your ignorance. Money is not based on actual real assets. Hasn't been for decades. You may like the Gold Standard, but it doesn't work in today's economy.

      You miss my meaning. Yes, it's fiat money with no backing (other than the willingness of the US taxpayer to continue working and paying taxes). But here you show your own ignorance. What is "money"? An exchange medium for goods and services, yes? Anything else? What happens when nobody produces anything to buy? Or what if so little is produced that it takes a wheelbarrow full of fiat currency to buy it? If you print enough, it's worth nothing. It's only good because people are producing things to obtain it. There still has to be actual goods produced, labor performed, and some common agreement on the worth of the Federal Reserve notes in somebody's hand.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    57. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1
      "I never said that! "

      I don't know what the CBO is smoking

      Same difference, or did mean something positive with that statement?

      The rich already pay a higher percentage

      Utter bullshit. They may have a higher 'rate', which frankly surprised me, but they don't actually pay that much. E.x. General Electric, billions in profits, ZERO in taxes. The rich also have much more access to cap gains 15% since they have more money in which to invest.

      The poor should be uncomfortable in poverty, to encourage them to try again to reach their full potential.

      If you think living on unemployment is in any way 'comfortable' or not an incentive to actually find a job, not sure what else can be done.

      Frankly, this is a difficult issue. Because I, like you, do not want to see people starve, and live in the streets and to despair to the point that they feel their life is worthless. But I feel dependency perpetuates this state. There is no dignity in dependence! There are also those that will take advantage of the system, and expend all their energy in obtaining "something for nothing", avoiding having their talents and abilities judged at any cost, even that of their own self-esteem.

      Here is where the brass tacks come home to roost. How do you deal with these situations? You acknowledge the problem but don't offer any solution. THAT is exactly what we're dealing with as a country right now. I offer them a helping hand, you seem to want to wave at them from across the street and keep moving.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    58. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      I don't know what the CBO is smoking

      Same difference, or did mean something positive with that statement?

      Only that I don't feel like finding the report you are talking about, digging through the details, and pointing out the flaws. Suffice it to say that the returns on distributing tax revenues to unproductive members of society (regardless of the reasons they are unproductive or whatever efforts they have made to be productive - they are only receiving that assistance because they are currently unproductive) can only produce any kind of returns in an economy where they are a small minority.

      Here is where the brass tacks come home to roost. How do you deal with these situations? You acknowledge the problem but don't offer any solution. THAT is exactly what we're dealing with as a country right now. I offer them a helping hand, you seem to want to wave at them from across the street and keep moving.

      Well that's an issue that we will ALWAYS be dealing with, and it's not a major one right now. We are prosperous enough and have a pretty decent social safety net. Frankly "people dying of hunger in the streets" is not something you see happening these days. When it is - well what kind of mental problems or perfect storm of errors can happen in this country that can cause that now?

      I only point out that the current system, by it's very nature, produces more harm than good by being unable to develop human potential, and providing assistance in such a way as to create a dependency culture. It's wrong. And, yes, I know that handing out a check to the indigent is cheaper than working with them to help them gain self-confidence and become self-sufficient, but it's still wrong.

      What you are offering, to me, is not a "helping hand", but a "hand out" that perpetuates a dependent culture, resulting in a loss of self-esteem and a cycle of helplessness. Your system only wants to pay them off, and tuck them away where you don't have to look at them.

      And please stop talking about "unemployment", because that is nothing but a temporary assistance program, paid for by employers, to work with people to find gainful employment. It's not what you seem to think it is. It's an insurance program funded by the businesses that hire workers. I happen to work in the Employment Security office - and our job is to help people transition to new work, NOT to pay out benefits. That being said, there are deadbeats that will milk the system, because they do not want to work. More than once I've heard of people offered jobs that asked if they could start some weeks or months later, because that's when their UI benefits ran out. That's difficult to deal with when I hear it, because the people they are asking this of are the people that pay all the bills for the Unemployment Insurance.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    59. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      Recent history shows that cheap oil breeds irresponsible use. Those Hummers that try to drive right over you, and 80 pound lady in an Escalade or Excursion vehicles just prove that people will neither use petroleum wisely, not will they fund AE while they burn as much of the petroleum in as short a time as possible.

      So no, I don't support drilling in ANWR to enable foolish and wasteful use. It's nice to know it's there as a emergency reserve, but we don't play intelligently with it.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    60. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by khallow · · Score: 1

      We could, but why would we want to?

      Because I think most people in the US don't want to live in a former developed world country.

      The benefits of having decent health care are much larger than the benefits of paying $5 for an imported Chinese-made T-shirt instead of the $10-$15 we should be paying.

      Uh huh. Since we're talking about how much we "should" be paying for things, when are we going to pay less for health care? The very reason I mention cutting the mandates for employer health insurance is to start cutting the incentives to inflate health care costs.

    61. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by t2t10 · · Score: 1

      Because I think most people in the US don't want to live in a former developed world country.

      Well, if we follow your prescription ("reducing regulation, cutting Social Security, eliminating the mandates on employer health insurance"), that's exactly what will happen: the US will become just like a developing nation again.

      Uh huh. Since we're talking about how much we "should" be paying for things, when are we going to pay less for health care? The very reason I mention cutting the mandates for employer health insurance is to start cutting the incentives to inflate health care costs.

      Employer mandates likely have little impact on health care costs; you need some kind of mandate because otherwise people will simply not get insured.

      The real driver behind health care costs is that people expect everything possible to be done to heal them and prolong their lives. But at some point, we can't afford that anymore.

      If you look around the world, the way to keep health care costs in check is through more regulation, not less: in particular, you need to require everybody to receive basic health care, but at the same time you need to limit mandatory health care only to those interventions that make financial sense (if people want fancy features, they need to pay for that themselves).

      Obama got it wrong by basically mandating gold-plated plans, while the Republicans got it wrong by trying to solve the problem through deregulation; neither works.

    62. Re:$130mil? Wowzers~ by sznupi · · Score: 1

      "We need oil now"? Who is that "we"? There are more pressing priorities than "theyr takk'n our jubbs!" of small spoiled part of human population, consumed by... consumptionism

      "Many decades" is a dream when we already use 3 million years worth of oil in 1 year. And BTW, jets could work on algae / etc. fuel, generally one which is produced using other energy source.

      Then let us not forget about all the unaccounted externalities of burning fossil fuels, and how much we "invest" in welfare of oil giants.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  5. It'll work THIS TIME by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    All those previous game-changing energy projects have worked out so well over the years...

    1. Re:It'll work THIS TIME by blackfrancis75 · · Score: 1

      "I have not failed 1,000 times. I have successfully discovered 1,000 ways to NOT make a light bulb." - Thomas Edison

  6. Moon Movie by android.dreamer · · Score: 1

    Do you think they would finance NASA if we could mine the top layers of the Moon for He3?

    1. Re:Moon Movie by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      Who needs He3? B11 + p is is aneutronic. ( -> 3x He4, with the occasional neutron or other crud from side-reactions). The Alphas come out at well-enough defined energies that you can capture well over 80% of the fusion energy as DC at a couple megavolts by decelerating and capturing them.

      Lots of B11 and H1 around. If Polywell, Focus, or some other ignition system works out we're home free.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    2. Re:Moon Movie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really want to use a Polywell geometry where the fusion cross section is already the virtually (and probably also actually) insurmountable barrier and apply it to a B11+p reaction? Good luck with that.

      Dreaming is nice, but at some time waking up should be considered - you don't want to stay comatose for too long, America.

  7. another funny-money Obamination by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Way to waste our money Obamessiah
     
    Isn't enough with cramming your electric car(government motors volt) down our throats

    1. Re:another funny-money Obamination by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Way to be an ignorant dittohead!

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
  8. 0.004% of the total budget? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm glad to see gov't prioritizing this so highly.

    1. Re:0.004% of the total budget? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Wait until the Republicans take their budget axe to it and give the money to their corporate and banker cronies.

  9. 1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by MyLongNickName · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Hi,

    Imagine if we had an extra12 Trillion to spend on green energy. We could put $10,000 solar panels on 100M houses - almost every freaking house in the US. I am not saying it is a wise decision. Just saying that is the power of 1 Trillion dollars. That is also about HALF what we will pay in interest on our debt over the next six years.

    Just a friendly reminder that the U.S. is getting itself closer and closer to insolvency. Between a grossly over-funding military, entitlements out the ass and a belief that the rich should get more and more tax cuts, we are getting closer to not being able to pay our bills.

    Depending on how you look at the budget, we spend 780B to 900B on defense related funding (depends on whether veteran benefits are military or entitlement)
    Social Security is 750B
    Income Security is 570B
    Medicare is 500B
    Health is 400B
    Interest is 250B
    There is about 600B in miscellaneous other areas. And we will run up a tab of $1.6Trillion in the process. Grand total of around 16Trillion in debt.

    I am all for funding science. This is an area that has an investment effect in the economy. The military has almost no payback relative to the investment. Other areas listed about don't either.

    Yet with the exception of the military you won't see any of the above numbers drop (and military might not either). Interest paid out is expected to double by 2015. So where does science funding end up? It doesn't take a rocket scientist (I see what I did there) to figure it out. Other countries will be able to fund scientists and I surely expect the brain drain effect to take place. The US will lose (continue to lose?) its best and brightest to countries who value science.

    If you are a Democrat, you are an idiot. Sorry. This is the truth. If you are a Republican (as I was once a Republican) you are even dumber. The Republicans brag about cutting 40B out of the budget when we are running $1,600B deficits. Democrats cry that we just need to raise income tax on the rich (or return to where they were a few years ago) and things will be hunky-dory. Republicans swear that if we increase taxes, the US will go to hell.

    The reality is we need to cut back spending. If we increase taxes, it will cover about 1/3 of our deficit... but we need to return income taxes to pre-Bush levels. We need to seriously evaluate how much we want to spend on social programs and then we need to fund our future. And it should not be in the form of an IOU to China.

    If you want to see science funded, we need to get serious about balancing our budget.

    --
    See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    1. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by MyLongNickName · · Score: 0

      Imagine if we had an extra12 Trillion

      Not sure how the typo got there.... 1 Trillion, not 12 Trillion

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    2. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by aekafan · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Amen to this. Democrats think we can balance the budget by taxing more, and spending more. Republicans think we can balance the budget by cutting welfare programs, while ignoring the biggest welfare program of them all, the US military. These indicate that there will be no possible political solution. An economic solution will happen, but people might not like it. I am not even sure that taxing more and spending less will work, because there is no political will to do so. Science is and always will be a back-burner issue, sadly.

    3. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If you are a Democrat, you are an idiot....Democrats cry that we just need to raise income tax on the rich (or return to where they were a few years ago) and things will be hunky-dory.

      You do realize the Dem's have agreed to reforms of Social Security and Medicare right? They aren't saying taxing the rich will fix everything just that it's crazy to give them tax cuts when cutting other major pieces of the budget.

      If you think providing a social safety net is 'stupid', well I don't have a lot of sympathy for you. Your parents use it or will use it, just the same as Medicare. These are *necessary* programs for the health of our society. Imagine how bad the economy would be if everybody was saving to buy private insurance when they are 65+. It's ridiculously expensive to buy insurance when you're healthy, let alone when you're elderly. How about retirement? Again lots more money out of the economy as people have to save for their entire retirement.

      Next, what do you do with people who lost their savings in the recession? They don't have any money to pay for health insurance or retire. If you say 'tough', well I have no sympathy for you.

      Being in favor, and paying for, social programs is not stupid. It's the fabric that keeps this the best country in the world.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    4. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by bit+trollent · · Score: 1

      The last President that balanced a budget was Bill Clinton, a Democrat.

      It would have been possible to balance the budget if not for the tax increases that Clinton and the Democrats passed over massive Republican opposition. Budget cutting compromises with Republicans also helped balance the budget. Thoughtful compromise is necessary. Republicans never compromise.

      Who did you vote for in the last election?

      "Both parties are stupid" is a very common way of distracting idiots, keeping them from voting for the politicians who really are fighting for their future.

      If you didn't vote in the last two elections, you are an idiot. If you voted republican, then please stop voting to for the party that regularly threatens to shut down the government or default on the debt if we don't pay their ransom.

    5. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As long as we're imagining extra money, I'm going to go with the $12 trillion. :)

    6. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by theunixbomber · · Score: 0

      The problem as I see it is that the US government, democrats and republicans managed to mix up a single word in the first chapter of the constitution. They are here to "promote the general Welfare". Some where along the line they decided to "provide for the general Welfare" rather then promote it.

      Medicare and Social security and most of the other social programs come from the wrong idea that the the government should be providing for my welfare. This simply is not the case. The government should be passing laws that make it easier for me to provide for my own welfare.

      If the government didn't spend so much time and money attempting to provide for me with these types of programs, perhaps the we wouldn't be in the financial situation that we're in.

    7. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by hedwards · · Score: 1

      I assume you mean wouldn't have been possible.

      That's the thing, you can't increase spending and decrease revenue and expect for the invisible hand to balance things for you. It doesn't take a PhD in economics to know that if you cut taxes and increase spending that you get ballooning deficits in pretty much every case. The only exceptions being if you had an obscene tax stream to begin with.

      Even Reagan, the man that apparently never raised taxes, raised taxes his second year in office when it became obvious that they had gone too far. The taxes were still lower than the 73% or so that they were when he took office, but they were raised as a part of trying to manage the budget.

      It's not the tax cuts alone that get you, it's when you spend it on stupid things that gets you. Investments in education, science and developing the country are foolish to cut as a means of balancing the budget. A balanced budget requires cutting things like farm subsidies and defense. The extra defense spending on Iraq and Afghanistan alone would have been enough to pay for health care reform and plenty of investment in infrastructure.

    8. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 2

      And if you break you leg the first day on the construction job? You haven't had time to 'provide' for yourself yet. What do you do?

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    9. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      The military is one of the few things the federal government does that it is actually empowered to do. I don't know where all this domestic law enforcement or social entitlement or education management came from, but I can't find any of it in the Constitution anywhere.

      Funding science, while perhaps laudable, is similarly nowhere to be found.

      It's not like the Constitution matters anymore, of course, since people are totally willing to ignore it for their pet purposes. You just can't expect any of it to matter if you get to ignore the parts you don't like.

    10. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      It was balanced with accounting tricks, on the back of a speculative stock boom. You might remember all that dotcom stuff? It wasn't real.

    11. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      More questions for you:

      Would a for profit insurance company even bother to insure elderly people? They cost the most, so why bother, better to insure healthy people for the bottom line right? Even if they did, obviously the costs would be very high. Free markets don't work when you have to cover 'everybody'. Same reason Fedex doesn't ship everywhere but the Post Office does. Companies will drop unprofitable clients - which sucks when it's Grandma.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    12. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2

      That's what I love about you guys. You are giving me a good laugh every time. Don't even think about whether something makes sense, no, Sir, that would be unamerican. The only thing that matters is whether it is "in the constitution". Fapping off to your version of the holy scripture.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    13. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by bit+trollent · · Score: 1

      It was balanced with accounting tricks, on the back of a speculative stock boom. You might remember all that dotcom stuff? It wasn't real.

      The dot com bubble gave us the internet era.

      Some of he 1990s companies failed, but better companies have taken their place while revolutionizing the whole world.

      I worked for a failed startup that failed, but was in an industry that aonther company won. My hats are off to LinkedIn.

      Now I work for a top tier interactive ad agency. Its obvious how I got where I am. The internet revolution.

      The 90's had a bubble of bad companies, but an even bigger bubble of great ideas and software. That legacy continues to lead the country in job creation and pay, while proving that late 90s skeptics would just have to wait a few more years for the internet to change everything.

    14. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The military is one of the few things the federal government does that it is actually empowered to do.

      There is a distinction between "can legally do" and "reasonable to do". It is perfectly legal for the Feds to pour as much as they do into military every year, but it is utterly insane considering the deficit.

      I don't know where all this domestic law enforcement or social entitlement or education management came from, but I can't find any of it in the Constitution anywhere.

      It's called "general welfare clause". Being vague as it is, there are many ways to interpret it - and the interpretation that includes law enforcement, education and social welfare is not the most unreasonable.

    15. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      I agree that our military expenditures are insane, deficit or otherwise. Well out of line with any form of reason.

      I totally disagree on the general welfare clause bit, but I guess that's neither here nor there. Clearly I'm in a tiny minority who realizes the danger in taking wildly broad interpretations of two words - even though those dangers stare us in the face every day.

      I do think funding education makes sense under that clause, but not managing it. Because of that line of thinking, we've ended up with the standardized testing regime that I don't think many people on Slashdot support, but I could be wrong. Perhaps it's considered a massive success and I've missed something. I can see equalizing funds, though.

      Anyway, what's 14 trillion between friends? Certainly I'll never be responsible to pay it, so why should I care to try and reign in the sort of thinking that produces such a bizarrely large number?

      Let's not even think about the dangers of concentrating so much power into such few hands - only silly jackasses like me would rather have that power spread out amongst hundred and thousands of entities so that no one could dominate it. Concentration of power works so much better. It's never abused at all.

    16. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      You're preaching to the choir here. Personally - despite the fact that, by and large I'm center-left (see sig), I do believe in decentralization. I see no reason why social welfare and other such programs that I believe to be necessary cannot be implemented on state level. To that extent, I would prefer a narrow interpretation of general welfare clause, and other similarly vague provisions in US Constitution (such as commerce clause). The problem is that they permit broader interpretations. If we learned anything from the history of US constitution and its interpretation, is that any grants of power should be as specific and unambiguous as possible - if they can be interpreted to say "we can do whatever the hell we want", they will be interpreted that way.

      As a side note, to demonstrate that it's possible to have both social welfare and state rights... It seems that very few people either in US and Canada are aware of the fact that "socialist" health care in Canada is managed by the provinces, and not by the Crown. It actually started as a purely provincial initiative by Saskatchewan, with other provinces following shortly. Sometime after, the Crown, with provincial approval, stepped it and established a program of payment transfers, largely to equalize the level of healthcare between provinces, such that poorer ones are not disadvantaged. While all provinces are members, and consequently have to implement their health care programs to the requirements set up by the Crown (e.g. the fairly broad prohibition on private healthcare services), membership is, in fact, voluntary, and any province could, in theory, withdraw and set up its own independent system with whatever limits it sees fit - they just choose not to. So in Canada, the feds partially fund healthcare in provinces, but actual provision of services is fully under provincial control.

      A very similar arrangement exists for education - feds fund part of it, but actual provisioning (including setting the curriculum etc) is an entirely provincial matter.

      Ironically, this whole peculiar arrangement is in place because Canadian constitution (Constitution Act, to be specific), subject to judicial interpretation, explicitly gives almost all power over healthcare provision to the provinces, and this is fully respected by the Crown. US sure could learn something there...

    17. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Vaphell · · Score: 1

      isn't the constitution the supreme law of the land? And what about politicians taking offices swearing to uphold the constitution?
      If you don't like it, amend it, not wipe your ass with it.

    18. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

      Yes, of course - if in doubt, amend it. I just get pissed off by people carrying "The Constitution" in front of them like their version of scripture. It can and should be reviewed occasionally.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    19. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by jmac_the_man · · Score: 1

      Yes, of course - if in doubt, amend it. I just get pissed off by people carrying "The Constitution" in front of them like their version of scripture. It can and should be reviewed occasionally.

      What good is reviewing it if you don't act on what it says?

    20. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by theunixbomber · · Score: 0

      The answer to both of your questions... from the Government's perspective is that they shouldn't do anything. Before there was welfare and social security, and subsidized housing people got along some how. They lived with family members until they could get on their feet, went down to their local church or community soup kitchen for assistance. They didn't ask the government for handouts because they were not in the business for giving handouts.

      Perhaps with your grandma, health insurance question, I'd say that the government should pass laws that make it, at least harder if not impossible for insurance companies to drop the elderly once they reach that age. But in my mind, this would be "promoting" not "providing" for the general welfare. Now, if grandma didn't have insurance in the first place, that might be a different story.

    21. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

      You know, reviewing as in checking if it actually does it job anymore or needs to be changed because it olds you back? Are you willfully obtuse here?

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    22. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the Democrats compromised when they owned both houses, and the President? Riiiight. Look up hypocrisy. It applies here. I also note that Obama spent (with permission and help from congress, the real budget policy makers) the largest deficit budget ever, despite our economy being terrible. All in the name of improving the economy. Nothing happened that wasn't already going to happen. The economy has always swung up and down. All we succeeded in doing was lining the pockets of friendly contractors, giving more handouts to the people dragging the country down, and proceed into the unrecoverable debt levels at a much faster pace.

      I look at FACTS. WTF are you looking at?

    23. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The problem with implementing it at a state level is that with free commerce and a single currency it will cause beggar thy neighbour behaviour between states, they can not use monetary or trade policy to remain competitive with better working conditions and welfare conditions (ie. greater redistribution). Social security, minimum wage etc. belong at the federal level as long as you have free commerce.

      If you want to see what you get with free commerce and a single currency but without an unified fiscal policy look to Europe. Germany "wins" by treating it's workers the worst.

    24. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by jmac_the_man · · Score: 1

      If it needs to be changed because it holds you back, then you should amend it. If you're not going to amend it, you should do what it says.

    25. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the Democrats compromised when they owned both houses, and the President?

      Uhh... yeah.. the Democrats passed health care reform without a public option.

      They also compromised with conservative democrats and Republicans on just about everything else they did. Their aren't even any semi-liberal Republicans anymore, so there is no comparison on willingness to compromise.

      I look at FACTS. WTF are you looking at?

      You aren't looking at the facts. If you would take your head out of your ass for long enough to look at the facts, you would see what a horrible impact Republicans are having on the recovery that Democrats have finally managed to kick-start.

      But we both know you have no interest in looking at the facts...

    26. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by benhattman · · Score: 1

      The reality is we need to cut back spending.

      Actually we just need to balance spending to revenues. The right approach will have to be some combination of spending cuts and tax increases.

    27. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by MyLongNickName · · Score: 1

      The reality is we need to cut back spending.

      Actually we just need to balance spending to revenues. The right approach will have to be some combination of spending cuts and tax increases.

      Wow. I wish I had thought of that...

      "The reality is we need to cut back spending. If we increase taxes, it will cover about 1/3 of our deficit... but we need to return income taxes to pre-Bush levels. We need to seriously evaluate how much we want to spend on social programs and then we need to fund our future. And it should not be in the form of an IOU to China."

      --
      See my journal for slashdot ID's by year. Mine created in 2005. http://slashdot.org/journal/289875/slashdot-ids-by-year
    28. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by LearnToSpell · · Score: 1

      Being in favor, and paying for, social programs is not stupid. It's the fabric that keeps this the best country in the world.

      Well said. Spoken like a true Canadian.

    29. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Married to one, but born and raised here in America 'Land of the Corporations'. That's not a compliment...

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    30. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Terwin · · Score: 1

      And if you break you leg the first day on the construction job? You haven't had time to 'provide' for yourself yet. What do you do?

      Same thing you would do if you accidentally crashed your car and could not afford another one out of pocket:
      Get a loan to fix things based on the income you will earn once things are fixed.

    31. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      And if you don't have a credit rating to get a loan? How about if your leg was cut off? Not likely to get a loan since you're construction industry future is pretty bleak now...

      My point is that you can say the 'market' will take care of it, but it won't. The 'market' simply casts off those who it finds inconvenient or costly. That's not a society I want to live in.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    32. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      More questions for you:

      Would a for profit insurance company even bother to insure elderly people? They cost the most, so why bother, better to insure healthy people for the bottom line right? Even if they did, obviously the costs would be very high. Free markets don't work when you have to cover 'everybody'. Same reason Fedex doesn't ship everywhere but the Post Office does. Companies will drop unprofitable clients - which sucks when it's Grandma.

      So instead of grandma and rural people bearing their own cost, they get to externalize those costs to the rest of us in the same way that BP gets to externalize the cost of an oil spill to the rest of us? The same way that a coal plant gets to externalize their pollution costs to the rest of us?

      Maybe if the US government wasn't taking 27% of the GDP, people would have the money to pay their doctor directly, and we could save all of the friction of paperwork necessary to have the government pay my doctor when I get the sniffles.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    33. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Speculative stock boom.
      Major capital equipment replacements investments due to purchases to avoid year-2000 bugs.
      Huge reductions in military spending due to the ending of the Cold War.
      Massive reductions in social spending due to welfare reforms pushed through by a REPUBLICAN Congress (remember New Gingrich and that Contract with America the Democrats hated so much?)

      And even then, the budget wasn't balanced. There wasn't a surplus. There was a PROJECTED surplus, based on the assumption that the economy would continue to grow based on a curved influenced by two disruptive technological changes.

      Please take your Clinton worshiping back to your Democratic Church of Other People's Money until you learn a little history.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    34. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      You know why you want to subsidize Grandma? because you have a Grandma and you will be elderly one day. Go price insurance for 65+ with a few medical problems and you won't be so glib about making people fend for themselves.

      The Liberals don't want to pay for the BP cleanup, we don't want them drilling period. GOP gets the blame for gutting regulation on such matters.

      You know what would save you all that paperwork? Single Payer Government health care. No paperwork at all, you just get service when you get the sniffles. And it would be cheaper per capita than paying yourself.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    35. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only way you're going to have any real effect on the nature of politics in America is by participating in the primaries of the Democratic and Republican parties. Anything else is a pipe dream and sitting outside of both parties calling everyone names serves no one.

    36. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 0

      Is there something lost in translation here? That's what I am saying. I am only pissed off by people treating it as the Holy Word that can and shall not be changed, because it has been handed down from Heavens by The Exalted Founding Fathers. If a law doesn't work - change it. And if (that's a big if, because it is basically some nutcase interpretation) the constitution does not allow science funding but only military funding, well, it is a piece of shit only worthy to wipe your arse with. Might be time to change it then.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    37. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by tsm1mt · · Score: 1
      If we eliminated Medicare and health insurance in totality, our health care costs would plummet, because we would have far less people utilizing them.

      Would our mortality rate climb with it? Perhaps.

      So many people think they should put $100 into their Health Insurance and get $10,000 in benefits out. If we all thought that, it wouldn't be sustainable - kind of like Social Security or Medicare.

      If you're healthy, why have health insurance?

      If you're not healthy, who is fool enough to offer you "insurance" when it's pretty certain you're going to cost more than they bring in? Just us tax payers.

      BTW, don't the rich already pay more in taxes than the poor?

      When you look at the tax brackets, it doesn't start at 25% for the poorest and drop to 5% for the richest, does it?

      Or are you saying that a poor person's $1,000 taxes on $20,000 in income is "more" than a rich person's (even in a parity situation) $5,000 on $100,000?

      As I see it, $5k is more than $1k, and 5% of income is equal to 5% of income, so where is it that rich pay "less" taxes than the poor?

    38. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1
      I appreciate that you're willing to postulate that lowering access to health care would increase mortality and other negative health care outcomes. Most commentators aren't willing to do that.

      So many people think they should put $100 into their Health Insurance and get $10,000 in benefits out. If we all thought that, it wouldn't be sustainable - kind of like Social Security or Medicare.

      Not quite. Medicare and Social Security are different animals and need to be treated as such. Your example of $100 in $10000 out is applicable to Medicare as it is to any insurance program. Not everybody is going to need expensive health care solutions. So everybody pays $100 and the small percentage that need the $10000 out can get it. Everybody is covered for it, but simple probability dictates that not all will need it so the model does work. The $100 buys you piece of mind that you'll be covered. It's what every insurance policy is really about at its heart. I pay a small monthly price so that I get a large payout under the proscribed conditions.

      Social Security is a bit different. It is not a pay for benefit insurance plan. It is having current generation workers pay into the plan so that retirees will receive their pensions. Worked fabulously well when there were more workers than retirees. Now it does face the reverse situation of more retirees than workers so it is less and less sustainable over the coming decades. Unrelated, the fed gov't has been taking the yearly surplus of SocSec to make the yearly deficits smaller and putting IOUs in the trust fund. This bad bad bad and both parties have done so, though I think it was Johnson (D) who first unified the budget and started this mess. So we need to reduce the number of recipients of SocSec relative to the available workers. Since we aren't likely to see a vast influx of new workers (not even the Mexican illegals are enough!), that means fewer recipients. One way to achieve this is to make SocSec benefits 'means tested'. Basically we don't need to pay Bill Gates or Warren Buffet their SocSec. They have plenty and fully agree they shouldn't be paid. But they will because it's the law. How about we set a level at which people no longer receive SocSec payments, graduated for income. We do this for every other aspect of the tax code, it's completely doable. That will reduce the number of people to which we have to pay out SocSec benefits.

      SocSec may not be balanced entirely in this way so there may be a need to reduce payments or increase the retirement age. Reasonable solutions to the problem that don't require massive reforms.

      If you're healthy, why have health insurance?
      If you're not healthy, who is fool enough to offer you "insurance" when it's pretty certain you're going to cost more than they bring in? Just us tax payers.

      But what if you told an insurance company they had to cover everybody but we'd guarantee the healthy would participate. Now you have the young low cost healthy people subsidizing the older high cost people. As long as everybody participates more people pay in than take out and so it works financially, no suckers required. And yes, this is exactly what ACA does.

      But but, everybody gets old! Yes they do. But not every young person gets old. So more pay in than pay out. You also price things based on average life expectancy so that costs even out. More young people paying a higher amount means you can cover more old people. On top of that, universal health care leads to healthier populations since nobody is worried about paying uninsured prices which are heavily inflated before going to the doctor. This means that even when old, these people will cost less money than people who don't take care of themselves.

      BTW, don't the rich already pay more in taxes than the poor?

      No they don't. Sure they pay more actual dollars but they make more of the money and they pay a

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    39. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not going to argue D vs R on this, but your argument makes no sense at all.

      Imagine how bad the economy would be if everybody was saving to buy private insurance when they are 65+.

      Again lots more money out of the economy as people have to save for their entire retirement.

      You argue that saving money for retirement (including insurance during retirement) sucks money out of the economy and causes it to be weaker.
      This is somehow an argument in favor of entitlements.

      This obviously ignores the fact that entitlements are paid for with tax money, which is also sucked out of the economy. So the money will go into investments for the future, or it will go directly into entitlements. Either way it doesn't really leave the economy. Investments fund projects within the economy. Entitlements fund healthcare etc, which is also part of the economy. If anything, the investment does more because it funds some enterprise now, then turns around and gets spent on the same things as entitlements in the future. Double bang. But that's debatable. The money will get cycled around the economy three times a year either way.

    40. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by bit+trollent · · Score: 1

      You are such a fucking moron.

      It's people like you that are causing the decline of the USA.

      You deny reality and build an alternate reality to support your terrible ideas.

      Then you tell people that they are mis-informed, when it is you who are either mis-informed or misinforming people about import budget deficit facts.

      Bill Clinton had a real budget surplus in 1999 as this article from September of 2000 documents.

      I wonder if the people who lied to you about the Clinton surplus are as dumb and naive as you are.

    41. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      You argue that saving money for retirement (including insurance during retirement) sucks money out of the economy and causes it to be weaker.

      No I'm saying that removing Social Security and Medicare will cause *more*, lots more, money to go out of the consumer economy and into savings.

      Of course it doesn't leave the economy, but like your crazy uncle Bob, it doesn't get out much and there doesn't circulate creating revenue.

      That will mean a lot less 'demand' as people reduce their discretionary spending.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    42. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by tsm1mt · · Score: 1

      I appreciate that you're willing to postulate that lowering access to health care would increase mortality and other negative health care outcomes. Most commentators aren't willing to do that.

      It only stands to reason. And it would most likely do something to curb the population growth, which should be something the more aggressive environmentalists sign on for.

      But what if you told an insurance company they had to cover everybody but we'd guarantee the healthy would participate. Now you have the young low cost healthy people subsidizing the older high cost people. As long as everybody participates more people pay in than take out and so it works financially, no suckers required. And yes, this is exactly what ACA does.

      Right, if you get everyone to participate, the unhealthy benefit, and the healthy suffer.

      But but, everybody gets old! Yes they do. But not every young person gets old. So more pay in than pay out. You also price things based on average life expectancy so that costs even out. More young people paying a higher amount means you can cover more old people.

      At the same time, aren't the young the people most likely to ill afford higher (or any) insurance premiums? You've already stated that the poor or less likely to afford a $15k (car or care?) item than the rich. Would you not agree that, on average, the young earn less than the old, thus making a higher proportion of young people "poorer" than older people?

      So shouldn't the "richer' older people pay more in insurance than the poor young people (in good health)?

      Yes I am saying exactly that. Lets say you make $20000 and have to buy a car. Is your $15000 worth more to you than $15000 for a $100,000 earner? You better believe it is. Because buying that care means you no longer have enough for rent. The rich person still has plenty left over.

      Isn't that why the rich buy $65,000 SUVs, to maintain parity? :D

      If we say we implement a flat tax of 15%. Is it really reasonable to make a homeless guy on the street pay $0.15 of that $1 handout he got? If you say yes you're a wonderful heartless bastard. If not, then there is a income floor below which we don't tax because it's not feasible or productive to the people in question. This latter condition means there is a progressive tax; i.e. the poor pay less because they have less to pay and basic life expenses hit them harder.

      My fear is that a "progressive tax" ends up being manipulated so that the net result is everyone is on an equal footing.

      You would have the $100k earner maintain a similar standard of living to the $50k earner to the $10k earner, which drives away all incentive to excel and become a $100k earner.

      I the minimum wage is $5/hr and I make $10/hr, I'm earning double the minimum wage, which allows me to enjoy a higher standard of living. I most likely got that $10/hr by being a better-than-average employee. Now they increase the minimum wage to $7.50/hr, a 50% "raise" for everyone at the bottom. Did I get a 50% raise to go with it? No, what I got was income evaporation. My "good job, star employee" wage of $10/hr is no longer double the "warm body" rate, and so the purchasing advantage I used to enjoy has disappeared.

      Worse, if I had worked my way up to $7/hr, and now everyone around me, including me, gets bumped to $7.50, I'm even more upset, since the other guy got the 50% increase, and I didn't.

      I realize I've wandered off here.. but now apply that to the tax code.

      $10k person pays $1k in taxes. $20k income pays $5k in taxes. $100k income pays $70k in taxes. The margin of difference keeps dropping, and the incentive to work to better myself is less desirable. Why go for that raise, when it's just going to put me into a higher tax bracket and lower my net income?

      My sister just had a co-worker quit her job, because s

    43. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kids today... As far as facts are concerned, MyLongNickName, you're not incorrect. As far as attitude is concerned, you're kind of obnoxious, calling everyone an idiot. I understand you're (probably) at home, alone, and thus have no feedback to adjust your social skills, but there's such a thing as tempering your tone in order to be listened to. Unless you want to be Alone, and Right. In that case, being insulting is probably the way to go. I know that there are few feelings more delicious than Righteous Indignation.

    44. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      If you'd pull your head out of Rachel Maddow's ass for a few minutes, some air could get to that vestigal appendage you call a brain and maybe you'd come to realize that Bill "I didn't have sex with that woman" Clinton making a claim isn't proof of anything. He yanked some money out of the Social Security 'trust fund' and claimed to have a surplus. A clear explanation is at http://www.craigsteiner.us/articles/16, though I doubt you could understand the article with all the multiple syllable words that are used in it.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    45. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      You know what would save you all that paperwork? Single Payer Government health care. No paperwork at all, you just get service when you get the sniffles. And it would be cheaper per capita than paying yourself.

      Because bureaucracies around the world are known for their lack of paperwork.

      And how the hell could it possibly be cheaper when you have the added friction for administrators and paper-pushers of the single-payer system?

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    46. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Because bureaucracies around the world are known for their lack of paperwork.

      The response was for paperwork by the consumer which would be reduced since you don't have to 'justify' your sniffles.

      And how the hell could it possibly be cheaper when you have the added friction for administrators and paper-pushers of the single-payer system?

      Billion dollar profits? Sales costs? The list goes on. A 'private' insurance company has incentives, hell their fiduciary *duty*, to reduce the costs and make more money. There is no such requirement to provide 'better' service. Sure it's nice and maybe counterproductive to provide bad service, but when you have a gov't granted monopoly like health insurance co's, what's the downside? No one can compete against you.

      You can regulate such monopolistic markets, but the GOP clearly doesn't like any regulation because it hurts companies profits.

      Medicare is far cheaper per person than private industry because they simply don't have the overhead costs a private company does.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    47. Re:1.6 Trillion Dollar Deficit by bit+trollent · · Score: 1

      That's a very interesting link.

      It's particularly interesting that social security revenue doesn't count against the deficit.

      It's particularly interesting because social security is seen as one of the programs that contributes most signficantly to our long term deficit. Unless something is done about it. Like raising taxes..

      Anyways, that was an interesting read, but doesnt match up with the way debt and deficit is even being discussed to day.

      Even though Medicare and Medicaid are specially funded, through payroll tax, we still count them as part of the deficit. So why wouldn't they count towards the surplus?

      I mean, aside from denying a great President his signature achievement to distract from the fact that the Republican party single-handedly exploded the deficit with tax cuts, unfunded wars, and an unfunded cronyish expansion of the government.

  10. Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Kohath · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Since we have no shortage of energy but we have a desperate shortage of funds in the Treasury, these types of projects should not be funded. Let a less bankrupt country fund them.

    These types of grants tend to be direct monetary payback for political support and campaign donations anyway.

    1. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by PvtVoid · · Score: 1

      Since we have no shortage of energy but we have a desperate shortage of funds in the Treasury, these types of projects should not be funded. Let a less bankrupt country fund them.

      The U.S. isn't bankrupt. We're just unwilling to pay for anything. Big difference.

    2. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are willing to pay for lots of things.

      130 million dollars for example, could pay for like 2 whole hours of operations in Iraq. Or a single tomahawk cruise missile.

      The US simply doesn't want to pay for anything that doesn't involve ethically questionable military strikes.

    3. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Kohath · · Score: 2

      The Treasury is empty and we're $14 Trillion in the hole. If we weren't so recklessly willing to pay for anything, we'd only be $12 or $11 Trillion in the hole.

    4. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by artor3 · · Score: 1

      Since my household has no shortage of food but we have a desperate shortage of funds in the bank, our budget for gas to get to work should not be funded. Let a less bankrupt person take my job.

      What could possibly go wrong?

      (For the obtuse: you need to spend money to make money.)

    5. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Urza9814 · · Score: 1

      The Treasury is empty and we're $14 Trillion in the hole.

      ...yet we have no trouble finding a few trillion to go kill or imprison brown people in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Mexico, etc..., as well as here in our own country..

    6. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Have you never heard of a rolling blackout? Again your little redneck hole in the wall does not reflect what the rest of the civilized world experiences.

    7. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Kohath · · Score: 1

      And you have to transfer money to your political cronies to get them to donate part of it to your reelection campaign.

      This isn't gas or food money. These projects are 100% discretionary, nonessential, and speculative.

    8. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Software+Geek · · Score: 1

      Since we have no shortage of energy but we have a desperate shortage of funds in the Treasury, these types of projects should not be funded. Let a less bankrupt country fund them.

      These types of grants tend to be direct monetary payback for political support and campaign donations anyway.

      To address your points one by one:
      1) Bankruptcy
      Cutting this research would reduce the federal budget by about 0.0025%
      The United States has a serious decision to make whether to: Cut military spending, Cut Medicare spending, Raise taxes, and/or Go bankrupt.
      No other budgetary changes that the US can make will make any difference to the crisis we find ourselves in.
      Trying to solve our budget problems by cutting research spending is just a way of denying the real problem.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amdahl's_law

      2) No shortage of energy
      The resources used by our current energy technologies will be exhausted in a few decades. All of the replacement technologies being considered will take at least a few decades to deploy on the required scale.
      Energy is THE scarce commodity in our economic system. A discovery that halved the price of energy would double the standard of living of every person on earth.

      3) Corruption/Inefficiency of government funded research
      If government does not fund this research, who will? Private companies tend to fund R&D that will make them rich, not basic research that will make future generations rich.
      Is it better to do the research inefficiently or not do it at all?

      The following discoveries were brought to you by US government funded research:
      Nuclear power, Communication Satellites, The Internet

    9. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Kohath · · Score: 1

      1. Everyone with a favorite policy says that, so nothing will be cut.

      If we're serious about saving the country from bankruptcy, we'll cut stuff like this. If it makes sense, we can add the funds back when the budget is under control.

      2. False. New fossil fuel extraction methods are being used. We have larger reserves than ever.

      Meanwhile, solar power projects out in the desert are getting stopped by environmentalists because they don't want the power lines to bring the power from the wasteland to the people who would use it. If solar power isn't safe from obstruction by environmentalists, why should we believe any new power source will ever be allowed to be built?

      3. No one? Why fund boondoggles? You seem to be advocating routine corruption because something good might somehow get built in the process.

      Besides, we weren't bankrupt when nuclear power and satellites were discovered.

    10. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Nonsense, we have plenty of money, it's just that the GOP won't support the tax increase to the wealthy and the cuts to the actual problem areas of the budget. Additionally, they're fighting tooth and nail to defend homophobic policies rather than just let it slide, granted it's only a few million and normally not worth worrying about, but it's a blatant waste of tax payer resources. And don't forget about health reform which will make a significant impact on our ability to pay our bills, with 25% of our GDP going to pay for health care, that's a huge place to go looking for waste.

      If you don't believe me, just look at the GOP's "budget." They make steep spending cuts and privatize medicare in order to grant huge tax breaks to the wealthiest Americans and a windfall to insurance companies. The privatization might be tolerable if they were actually spending the "savings" on paying down our debt.

    11. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Ah, the deep fear of the conservative that tax money should be used for something other that military-industrial pork. God forbid that we do something useful for a change. It might actually benefit society as a whole and that would be SOCIALISM. Can't go there....

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    12. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keeping on digging is really, really easy.

    13. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by KillaBeave · · Score: 1

      Keeping on digging is really, really easy.

      +1 ... So long as someone will let you finance a shovel.

    14. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by PvtVoid · · Score: 1

      The Treasury is empty and we're $14 Trillion in the hole.

      Which is about equal to the amount of wealth created in the U.S. every year. The treasury is empty because the American people are unwilling to apply a sufficient fraction of that wealth to paying for the operation of their own government. Remember the last time we had a surplus? It was under moderately higher tax rates than we have today, which we could easily reinstate. Anybody who claims to be serious about deficit reduction but refuses to consider tax increases (on everybody, not just the wealthy) is a liar and a charlatan.

    15. Re:Bankrupt government funds boondoggles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, utterly wrong on every point. Are you retarded, or just a republickcunt?

  11. electrcity internet router? by Dr+Max · · Score: 1

    We have already discovered this technology its called the bus bar (big copper / alloy strips we feed power through), tap off as many connections as you want. If you want a network switch then its a bit more complicated but basically a substation. Unless they want to share power all over the world in which case a world wide electricity gird is a lot more important.

    --
    Rocket Surgeon.
    1. Re:electrcity internet router? by bunratty · · Score: 1

      It's called the smart grid.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:electrcity internet router? by Dr+Max · · Score: 1

      Dude i support the smart grid, hell i represent the smart grid. I work in remote real time metering, and we can already turn off and on different parts of the network from control, and supply from different feeders (that's why we don't have to work live here). My point was its a stupid analogy, everybody already has an electricity internet router on the corner of their street up a pole or underground.

      --
      Rocket Surgeon.
  12. Re:Sam I am. by nschubach · · Score: 1

    I thought "rare earth" metals were not so rare, but China is pretty much the only place mining them at scale. Instead of finding alternatives, why not just start mining? Wasn't there some in Canada, eh?

    --
    Every time I start to have faith in humanity, I ruin it by driving to work between 7 and 8 am.
  13. Progressive new technologies? by poity · · Score: 4, Funny

    Really? As opposed to regressive new technologies?

    --
    your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
    1. Re:Progressive new technologies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't worry, we're funding those too.

    2. Re:Progressive new technologies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't dismiss my high efficiency whale oil lanterns, you insensitive clod!

    3. Re:Progressive new technologies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They wanted to clarify that it wasnt, the usual,
        Pointless New technologies

  14. As long as we have oil lobbying in DC... by spagthorpe · · Score: 1

    ...nothing that really challenges our dependence on petroleum will happen. I really like to believe that we are forward thinking, and would through whatever resources were needed to make sure that our energy needs were met, but then I wake up and remember that the almighty $$$ controls everything that happens. If someone managed to genetically engineer a gasgrass, you can bet it will never show up until the last barrel of oil is pumped out of the ground. Even then, know that the oil companies will have a patent on it by the time you can buy it.

    --

    WWJD -- What Would Jimi Do?
    (Smash amp, burn guitar, take home the groupies)

  15. Game changers: BTDT by RavenManiac · · Score: 5, Interesting

    We played that alternative renewable energy game 30 years ago. Quietly. Saved an extra +$100k to do better things than to heat or cool our house, like paying tuition, paying off our mortgage early and finding good naturist beaches.

    Conservation and passive solar can replace more than 50% of the energy you--not ME--waste. Easy. High Energy Advanced Thermal Storage (HEATS) -- BTDT ca. 1980. We even have almost free air conditioning from long underground pipes.

    Research? Make a list of what's already been done and change the building codes to require more insulation, air-to-air heat exchangers, solar hot water, PV panels, credits for being good [with energy]. This is OLD tech. We got our $3300 tax credit and turned it into a +3000% return. Pretty sweet!

    1. Re:Game changers: BTDT by russotto · · Score: 2

      We played that alternative renewable energy game 30 years ago. Quietly. Saved an extra +$100k to do better things than to heat or cool our house, like paying tuition, paying off our mortgage early and finding good naturist beaches.

      $100,000 over 30 years is $277/month. You saved $277/month? What were you heating and cooling, a mansion?

    2. Re:Game changers: BTDT by kanweg · · Score: 1

      In the Netherlands the building code has targets for upcoming years. So, houses built in the future will have to be more energy efficient. Everybody knows this NOW, so technology is being developed because companies there will be a market (and if they don't develop, they won't have the technology to build).

      This will probably be more complicated/require a bit more elaborate code in the US, with its various climate zones. But still, as you point out, air conditioning doesn't need to be energy intensive and you can have separate regulations for that.

      And of course the same can be done with fuel efficiency requirements for cars. The change will be gradual, everybody (buyers of cars and producers of cars) know what to expect. It is where having government is very useful. If it acts, of course.

      Bert

    3. Re:Game changers: BTDT by silas_moeckel · · Score: 1

      You mean look at things besides counter tops and other such bright shinny bits when buying a house? You mean keeping a house for more than a handful of years? These are easy requirements order fanny and freddy to no longer subsidize mortgage's unless they meet x y and z specs about local code and require that they keep the house for n years or move into a home that's at least as old to avoid penalties.

      --
      No sir I dont like it.
    4. Re:Game changers: BTDT by radtea · · Score: 1

      Conservation and passive solar can replace more than 50% of the energy you--not ME--waste

      Please don't tell me what you think I waste.

      Those of us who have already invested in conservation, passive systems and (secondarily) renewables have been reaping the benefits for a long time, although I am not sure what this "air conditioning" stuff is that you're spending money on--must be some weirdly unnecessary tech that you--not ME--waste money on while I spend more time frolicking naked on the beach.

      Simple changes to billing (pay-as-you go, for example) are known to result in significant (>10%) reductions in demand. Every kWhr we do not have to generate is a) free and b) has zero environmental impact and c) free.

      But governments subsidize centralized power generation like crazy and do almost nothing that resembles sound public policy around conservation, passive systems and renewables.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    5. Re:Game changers: BTDT by Doctor+Faustus · · Score: 1

      Old house? Our gas/electric bill is $200-$250 per month (I forget the exact -- my wife pays the bills), and we don't have central air.

      What we do have is an old gravity fed furnace, converted from coal in 1949.

    6. Re:Game changers: BTDT by RavenManiac · · Score: 1

      Around here it costs well over $400 a month for heating and cooling. House is 2200 sf. Electricity and propane have been very expensive for years. We don't have PV panels yet, but may get them soon, unless we decide to build a wind generator [ maybe]. Or the 'powers that be' will OK building the offshore wind farm that we've been promised for years and don't see yet.

    7. Re:Game changers: BTDT by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      I would go even simpler. Requiring that yearly energy expenditures be taken into account when estimating the value of a home would do more to drive energy efficiency than anything else. My wife was a real-estate agent for several years. A comparative analysis consisted of adding up the square footage then mutiplying that by a dollar price per square foot, which was an average of three houses that were sold recently in the same area. Small adjustments were made for exceptional amenities, but mostly the price was based almost exclusively on square footage.

      Modify the analysis so that the R rating and power generation capacity had a direct driving influence on the home value, and you can bet your bottom dollar that builders would start including something beyond the minimum insulation required by code.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  16. Darn, was expecting Adiabatic CAES by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Darn, was expecting Adiabatic CAES :/

    The HEATS description is so vague

  17. Re:Not shortsighted enough for this Repub Retard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You can't fool us, you're not really a Republican, they're not that honest.

  18. But it's not chump change for the cronies. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Seriously though this is pathetic. $130million isn't shit It's a laughable sum for any kind of major research project ...

    But it's a tidy sum for a crony of the government administrator who decides who gets it.

    And it's also a major boon to the crony who's actually trying to go to market - in competition with some non-crony who had to raise his capital himself. $130 million in free money is a big competitive advantage.

    Let's bring out the Corps of Engineers' bulldozers and tilt the playing field - like about 45 degrees. ; THEN let the market decide. Yeah, right.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by plague911 · · Score: 1
      No one but complete simpletons could even begin to jokingly consider the invisible hand a valid argument at this point.

      You like your internet? TV? Velcro? Microprocessors? All of these were developed in the US as a direct result of federal government research. The reason why this technology was developed in the US and not some random other nation was the direct funding and research of these products by the US government.

      Go f off wingnut

    2. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      You're basically delusional if you think that those things were developed purely as a result of government research. The protocols that formed the predecessor to the Internet, OK, sure, that was ARPA. A microprocessor in some form may have been funded by the Air Force, but it wasn't made public until the late 90s. Intel had by 1971 created their own, so you don't get that one. The television wasn't even invented in the US, so that one is straight from your ass. Velcro similar was not invented in the US.

    3. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      And what if, perhaps, the energy research resulted in public open research papers and expertise which could be employed by ANY free market funded investor? Not just the 'crony'.

      And with this kind of stuff, I'd prefer that a "crony" if necessary tries to bring it to market rather than nobody.

    4. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by plague911 · · Score: 1
      never heard of

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Francis_Jenkins

      "Charles Francis Jenkins (August 22, 1867 – June 6, 1934) was an American pioneer of early cinema and one of the inventors of television, though he used mechanical rather than electronic technologies."

      Nope I did not think so.

    5. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      You ever hear of Paul Gottlieb Nipkow?

      And it's cute that you got snarky about it, considering you one half-addressed one of my three rebuttals - nothing indicates that Charles Francis Jenkins invented television on the government dime. And saying you half-addressed it is me being generous - he is given credit for introducing it in America, but he wasn't the first to create it.

    6. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by Black+Parrot · · Score: 2

      Seriously though this is pathetic. $130million isn't shit It's a laughable sum for any kind of major research project ...

      Especially when you consider how much we "invest" in welfare for the oil giants.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    7. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by plague911 · · Score: 1

      I half assed my answer because your answer was also a half assed one. I present one example to discredit your general statement (Dont expect more than you give) . I more or less flubed on the velcro but I stand by the other three and to go beyond direct invention there is compleatly and utterly no way any of these would have been invented without the massive government research into E&M in the 20's 30's etc and to be honest I do care to elaborate more. If you dont see the utility of this when presented with at least three examples with varying degree's of clarity you are not going to become informed and its not worth my time.

    8. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 1

      You presented one that didn't actually rebut anything... so I'm not sure how you're counting that as a win.

      But cool by me. You're pretty clearly just talking out of your ass at this point, so you have fun with that.

    9. Re:But it's not chump change for the cronies. by Nimey · · Score: 1

      How many days of our Short Victorious Wars would that pay for? I'm guessing one, maybe two.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
  19. public domain research by pikine · · Score: 1

    All is well, as long as the result of the research belongs to public domain. It still may be patentable, but the patent should be compulsorily licensable royalty free to the public.

    --
    I once had a signature.
    1. Re:public domain research by hedwards · · Score: 2

      I'm back in school and it's really discouraging how much research is only available by paying fees to gain access. It might be worthwhile if you're working, but it gets really hard to write research papers when most of the sources want $30 for a copy of a paper which may or may not be of any value to me.

      Granted it's their right to do it, but it stifles innovation and artificially limits the amount of access that people have to the information needed to innovate. Granted when it's private research, they have a right to do it, but if it's being funded by tax payer dollars it should be mandatory that it be available for free under the normal rules of citation and use.

    2. Re:public domain research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Normally your school should have subscription to journals and conference proceedings, so if you access them from your school, you shouldn't need to pay for the access separately (it's part of your tuition). That applies for most recent publications post 1990 or so. I've personally had to fish for hard copies of a paper from library or interlibrary loan for old papers from the 1970's because the school doesn't have electronic subscription for old papers and I didn't want to pay for it.

      Depending on your field, computer science papers (especially recent ones) are remarkably easy to find online on the author's own website. My department also publishes all journal and conference papers as technical reports that can be accessed for free.

      Of course, being able to access the paper is one thing. The author may decide the idea is patentable and obtain a patent for the result of his/her research that is funded by public money. Worse yet, the school that has nothing to do with funding the research, short of adding administrative overhead, wants to take a share of the patent royalty as well. This is something you should keep in mind when you come across a patentable idea.

      I think NSF and DARPA should own all the intellectual property of the research funded by them, including patents, with the option of patent buyback if the researcher later wants to buy their own research back from the public domain. At least the money would be more like a loan, and if the research does not end up belonging to the public, the public will get their money back.

    3. Re:public domain research by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have to pay for access to research papers then it means your library does not have a subscription. Also, check out the many open access journals that now exist, they are free. If you publish anything you should also publish your work in these journals.

    4. Re:public domain research by hedwards · · Score: 1

      Not if you go to a small school, the one I'm going to doesn't have a library because it's so tiny. Consequently we don't pay for access. Same goes for the other options I had for my certificate, none of them are large schools and none of them have their own libraries either.

  20. SR-71 was retired in 1999 by Kohath · · Score: 1

    So the computers don't cost anything. Perhaps you are confusing present day with 20 years ago?

    Planes get old, but uninformed Internet chatter is evergreen.

  21. how about the US spending real money instead by Dan667 · · Score: 1

    just end the oil subsidies and use that for these projects. It would actually be a significant amount instead of this pittance.

    1. Re:how about the US spending real money instead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever considered the real price of ending the oil subsidies? As much as I hate the term 'too big to fail' this would turn the entire planet on its ear. In most likeliness you'd be bitching up a storm from all the unforeseen consequences dropping the oil industry would have on your life.

      Why don't you write to your leaders and let them know that you'd instead like to see a gradual and comprehensive defunding of all profitable ventures. Give them 10 years. Of course, you'll be laughed at but it's much more forward thinking then your plan.

    2. Re:how about the US spending real money instead by bunratty · · Score: 1

      The oil companies aren't profitable enough as it is? I'm sure Exxon-Mobil can get by just fine without any subsidies.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    3. Re:how about the US spending real money instead by $RANDOMLUSER · · Score: 2

      Ex-Shell CEO Says Big Oil Can Live Without Subsidies

      Although it doesn't matter, because Republicans in the House voted UNANIMOUSLY to keep sending TENS OF BILLIONS of dollars in subsidies to Big Oil. And yet somehow this thread has attracted all kinds of bitching about $130 million. Talk about hypocrisy!

      --
      No folly is more costly than the folly of intolerant idealism. - Winston Churchill
    4. Re:how about the US spending real money instead by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Talk about hypocrisy! The Democrats had control of BOTH Houses, AND the Presidency, and yet did nothing to reduce the subsidies or cut military spending. In fact, they didn't consider a budget AT ALL.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  22. Re:Swarovski Outlet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Swarovski Crystals bring you the fresh feelings!

    Holy cow, that's hilarious!Here let me try one.

    "New Swarovski Crystals -- they dissolve in your bathroom bowl instantly, leaving a dazzling shine and a clean, fresh smell reminiscent of bayberry and lavender! Your precious bottom will never before have felt so pampered, nor possessed of such a remarkably delicate odour.

    Swarovski Crystals -- sure they cost more, but by golly they're worth it!"

  23. Re:Sam I am. by hinesbrad · · Score: 1

    I believe the largest sources found of the rare Earth minerals we needed were discovered in..... Wait for it...... AFGHANISTAN!

  24. Invest in LFTR! by Vasheron · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    A potentially truly game-changing technology is Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molten_salt_reactor). This was a technology developed during the Cold War that uses thorium to breed uranium for nuclear fission in order to generate electricity. It has most of the advantages and almost none of the disadvantages of traditional nuclear power generation. The technology has been tested and a reactor was build and run at Oakridge National Labs for a number of years. Unfortunately it wasn't developed initially due to the emphasis on building weapons - the thorium fuel cycle isn't ideal for nuclear weapons - and the technology faded into obscurity. Recently, however, a group of engineers, scientists, and concerned individuals has taken a serious interest in this technology and is advocating restarting research on LFTR with the goal of developing a commercially viable reactor. You can find more information at http://energyfromthorium.com/.

    1. Re:Invest in LFTR! by greg_barton · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Ah, another kindred spirit. Glad to know there's another LFTR groupie on slashdot. My grandfather worked on the MSR experiment at ORNL.

  25. It's called "market forces", dude. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 2

    When fuel is cheap, and likely to stay that way, why invest a bunch of money developing more expensive energy sources that won't pay off for decades?

    When existing fuels are about to get expensive it may make sense to develop these pricey alternatives - IF the fuels will STAY expensive once they're developed.

    Of course no investor in his right mind will invest in the research if the government is going to hand out millions of bucks to their cronies so said cronies can take over the new market.

    Such winner-picking handouts are what we've been seeing for a couple decades now in the renewable energy industries. This handout-to-cronies is just the latest example.

    Want cheap energy alternatives to burning fossil fuels? Figure out how to make the government STOP handouts such as this, STOP putting regulatory barriers in the way of deployment, and make this hands-off behavior BELIEVABLE and DEPENDABLE for the decade or so it will take to devvelop, deploy, and profit from an oil replacement.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by bunratty · · Score: 1

      Because fuel keeps becoming more expensive. Because we obtain much of our fuel (oil) from an unstable part of the world. Because burning fossil fuels results in higher concentrations of greenhouse gasses and is acidifying the oceans. If we don't start investing in alternative energy sources until it becomes profitable, we'll be paying dearly for energy. Let's start investing now, so the price of alternative energy comes down and we can switch to them before energy prices skyrocket.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    2. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by sqrt(2) · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You're starting from the assumption that energy production and distribution should be, or must be, the domain of private enterprise alone. This isn't the only way things can work. It's simply too dangerous (look at Japan), dirty (look at the Gulf of Mexico), and important to put in the hands of a capitalist framework that is willing to cut corners to make more profit. I'd rather have the entire sector in control of an entity run by experts with the full resources of the nation at their disposal and no board of directors or shareholders to answer to but only the people, and the nation that they too are part of and wish to see prosper. There is no such thing as a patriotic corporation, nor a corporation interested in protecting the environment or public safety. To the extent that they do is only because they are compelled to by The State or public outrage--and the later only after some terrible calamity has stricken our geography or population.

      --
      If you build it, nerds will come. Soylentnews.org
    3. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Americium · · Score: 1

      There is something the government could do. They could force GM to release the Ovonics battery patent that they aren't using. This is really the only thing that could make a difference RIGHT NOW.

      They could also provide small incentives to switch over to natural gas. The taxes made on profits from using natural gas could be used to pay for the incentives. Yes, it's a protectionist strategy, but I don't see anything wrong with being protective over the entire liquid fuel structure we rely on. They should do the same for any other locally produced alternative energy source for automobiles/trucking, it's revenue neutral and nonbiased, which is the only way not to distort the market in a negative way.

    4. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let's start investing now, so the price of alternative energy comes down and we can switch to them before energy prices skyrocket.

      My point is that, as long as the government does the investing - in the form of picking their cronies as the winners, we WON'T get private investment. Meanwhile government cronies on the dole put on a big show of doing the development but always manage to avoid bringing anything to market - unless it's to kill some competition for a while. Government programs like this just about ALWAYS fail.

      WITHOUT the government winner-picking we'd likely ALREADY HAVE affordable alternatives. Investors are very good at figuring out where the money will be coming from in a few years and positioning themselves to sell whatever will get them some.

      But they're ALSO good at figuring out that the government will steal some particular cash cow once it's giving milk. So when that's a big risk they don't breed it in the first place.

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    5. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by hedwards · · Score: 2

      It's called the paradox of efficiency, and that's why the government is supposed to step in and make sure that gains in efficiency aren't reflected in the price. If there weren't externalities involved and running out was the only issue, I'd say don't bother, but as it is, there are other compelling reasons for us not to use gas, other than supply problems

    6. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Gerzel · · Score: 1

      Fuel is cheap?

      Ok how much did oil cost 20 years ago? How much does it cost today? How about compare how much it cost 100 years ago compared to today?

      Either way look at the trend-line it is getting more expensive. You are seeing a massive amount of new demand coming from India and China and other countries. Why do you think it is cheap or that it will stay at or below the current price?

      There are also other advantages to new energy sources than simple cost. Availability for one. Solar you can get anywhere you have access to the sun. Why shouldn't we work to improve existing energy sources? How do you know, even if you are right about the cost of oil that a breakthrough won't come?

      Yes it is unlikely that any particular study will lead to a breakthrough, but what is known is that the country that leads with the breakthroughs will be the dominant country. Basic science is not something that is funded privately but is what allows for new breakthroughs to occur. It is vital for our competitiveness.

    7. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by mbkennel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "My point is that, as long as the government does the investing - in the form of picking their cronies as the winners, we WON'T get private investment."

      Because, uh...um...they'll get cooties?

      "Meanwhile government cronies on the dole put on a big show of doing the development but always manage to avoid bringing anything to market - unless it's to kill some competition for a while"

      Gee. If these supposed government-funded morons don't ever bring anything to market---then how do they kill competition? And if they actually bring something to market, then .... isn't that at least OK?

      If these supposed uber-brilliant capitalists know all the government-funded stuff is bunk---why does it matter? How does it possibly get in the way of the super profitable solution? Why are they so (supposedly) afraid of this miniscule government R&D?

      And why shouldn't this super brilliant capitalist milk the government and *then* bring this magic technology to market and make a few billion?

      Back in the real world of R&D, there is about 20-25 years of very hard work between the discovery of the basic phenomenon or engineering principle and commercial application. Capitalist investors are quite effective at funding the last two years of this. They go almost nothing beyond this.

    8. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by mbkennel · · Score: 1

      "Want cheap energy alternatives to burning fossil fuels? Figure out how to make the government STOP handouts such as this, STOP putting regulatory barriers in the way of deployment, and make this hands-off behavior BELIEVABLE and DEPENDABLE for the decade or so it will take to devvelop, deploy, and profit from an oil replacement."

      That's why all the vehicles in Africa run on magic fairy dust from cold fusion reactors.

    9. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by SumterLiving · · Score: 1

      Holy crap...I'm moving to Africa for a cold fusion reaction buzz.

    10. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by phantomcircuit · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox something most people spouting off about efficiency dont understand, congratulations on being smarter than those people.

    11. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

      Don't forget that the cheap sources of oil are running out. As the easily-extracted oilfields run dry, the only way to get more will be to drill deeper and in less accessible places - which means it's going to become more expensive no matter what political or economic solutions are tried. You can fiddle with treaties and numbers all you want, but a kilometers-thick layer of rock between you and the precious black liquid remains just as hard to get through.

    12. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by pablo_max · · Score: 2

      Yes, I am sure big business will solve the problem for us.
      BTW, how are you enjoying that Internet, jackass? You know who paid for it? You think it was big business. It is amazing how many F-Tards out there think that corporate America will solve every problem, even though it was corporate America who has gotten the entire world into a shit storm.

    13. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd rather have the entire sector in control of an entity run by experts

      And you turn to the government why??

    14. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by drsquare · · Score: 1

      When fuel is cheap, and likely to stay that way, why invest a bunch of money developing more expensive energy sources that won't pay off for decades?

      Because it might be easier to develop new technologies whilst energy is cheap?

      Market forces would have us using up every last drop of oil and every last fleck of coal, then when it runs out wondering what the fuck we're going to do.

      It's quite clear that capitalism is incapable of seeing further than the nearest quarter, or seeking anything other than the biggest profits in the shortest time period, and damn the consequences.

    15. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1

      Let the private industry pay the full cost of the energy. Like all wars to secure the oil supplies should be funded by a tax on oil. All costs of pollution in the production and in the use of these fossil fuels should be paid by a tax on the fuel. When we tax payers are bearing the burnt of pollution and wars to secure oil, we have these people who are drinking the industry supplied cool-aid mouthing off platitudes.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    16. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Lonewolf666 · · Score: 1

      If these supposed uber-brilliant capitalists know all the government-funded stuff is bunk---why does it matter? How does it possibly get in the way of the super profitable solution? Why are they so (supposedly) afraid of this miniscule government R&D?

      And why shouldn't this super brilliant capitalist milk the government and *then* bring this magic technology to market and make a few billion?

      Back in the real world of R&D, there is about 20-25 years of very hard work between the discovery of the basic phenomenon or engineering principle and commercial application. Capitalist investors are quite effective at funding the last two years of this. They go almost nothing beyond this.

      Government-funding for stuff that ends up being the property of a single corporation seems just stupid to me. Better pay for research that goes into the public domain, so more than one investor can bring it to market and competition can drive down prices.

      --
      C - the footgun of programming languages
    17. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Lonewolf666 · · Score: 1

      There is something the government could do. They could force GM to release the Ovonics battery patent that they aren't using. This is really the only thing that could make a difference RIGHT NOW.

      That one will solve itself in two ways soon:

      First, the battery patents in question seem to be from the early 1990s, which means they will run out soon. Quote from Wikipedia: In 1994, General Motors acquired a controlling interest in Ovonics's battery development and manufacture, including patents controlling the manufacture of large NiMH batteries. Unfortunately, I could not find more detailed information on the quick.

      Second, lithium-ion batteries, especially the LiFePO4 variety, are becoming more affordable and offer even better energy density than NiMH batteries. I think it is only a matter of time now until the Ovonics battery patents are worthless either way, because lithium-ion beats NiMH anyway.

      --
      C - the footgun of programming languages
    18. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean... like the post office? Or other programs which are run by the government?

      Let the government regulate this, strictly... definitely. Let them own it? NEVER! You're a nutjob to even suggest an idea. Keep this much power out of one single point of failure. What kind of tech are you?

    19. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, because if a government takes charge of the energy/transportation/health sectors they will all run smoothly and cheaply.

    20. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by mbkennel · · Score: 2

      I hear there's a new drilling technology that can bust through the craziest rocks like phasers: the drills are tipped with pieces of Objectivist cranium

    21. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      A simple example of the problem he is talking about is the government mandating ethanol is gasoline and subsidizing such ethanol being made from corn. This means that someone attempting to make fuel ethanol from another source must make it not only cheaper than corn based ethanol, but than corn based ethanol with a government subsidy (a subsidy that might increase if they succeed).

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    22. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can we stop the government handouts to the oil industry first? Billions in tax breaks on top of billions in subsidies. Once we stop that, then I would worry about the millions going to green alternatives.

      Also, I think your caps lock key is malfunctioning.

    23. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Yes, I am sure big business will solve the problem for us. BTW, how are you enjoying that Internet, jackass? You know who paid for it? You think it was big business. It is amazing how many F-Tards out there think that corporate America will solve every problem, even though it was corporate America who has gotten the entire world into a shit storm.

      Yea because $1.5 billion in government funding TOTALLY OVERWHELMS the $2.5 Trillion in private investments made since 1991.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    24. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, let's have the government run everything for us. Do you ever use critical thinking before posting something that suggests the government go outside of it's role as defined in the constitution. Expanding government reign and involvement is not the best answer to almost any question.

      BTW, there is no such thing as a patriotic government, either. The government is for "the people" and by "the people", but not actually run by them. Example: vote for whomever you wish, for president. The Electoral College will still vote amongst themselves, and can and HAVE ignored popular vote, appointing the next president.

      I don't want, and certainly don't need bigger government. They act the EXACT same as corporations, but the difference is that they TAKE money from us at whatever rate they can get away with. Don't go stating or believing that they are using that money as WE see fit, either. Don't look at rhetoric, look at facts.

    25. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What evidence do you have that government is less likely to cut corners?

    26. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I guess what you're saying could happen, but imagine the huge downside to a government controlling energy production: sovereign immunity. In the U.S., former military installations are among the most polluted areas in the country because they were not required to operate within the environmental standards that private industry had imposed on them.

    27. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by rochberg · · Score: 1

      My point is that, as long as the government does the investing - in the form of picking their cronies as the winners, we WON'T get private investment.

      You're under the mistaken assumption that all of government funding and investment works like defense contracting. Believe it or not, there are some segments of the federal government that are very good at funding research based on its merits, rather than political connections. Groups like DoE and NSF have excellent procedures, where proposals are peer-reviewed by experts in academia, industry, and government. And, contrary to your assertion that government involvement interferes with private research, many funding proposals for government research investment comes from private industry. Want some evidence of how government investment can lead to private investment? You can read about the origins of the research that created the foundation for this little company.

      You are a living, breathing example of sqrt(2)'s point that, "The people saying we should do nothing are doing so mostly out of an ideological mistrust of government doing anything [emph. added]." You simply make blanket statements about how government programs like this ALWAYS fail and we WON'T have private investment, despite the fact that you have no idea how scientific research funding actually works.

    28. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, when things went wrong in Japan. The executives of the company did not step up to go in and get a dose of radiation fixing the problem. They asked for volunteers from the firefighters to go in and fix the problem. So long as there are no real consequences for screwing up or acting without honor, nuclear will always be unsafe.

    29. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Gerzel · · Score: 1

      It's also the reason government regulation on markets is a good idea dude, because if market forces can't moderate themselves in the sort term for long-term success then markets will fail in the long term. If we allow ourselves to be strictly driven by market forces then we will fail.

    30. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by kaiser423 · · Score: 1

      Exactly.

      Don't forget that it was the US cutting off oil exports to Japan that really created the situation where Japan either had to give up fighting their wars, or to attack us during WWII.

      The military has put in a serious effort into making their bases locally and world-wide self sustainable, including solar plants, wind farms, etc. They recognize that energy is the lifeblood of their forces, and they can't just rely on municipal power or diesel generators, and some bases here in the US are slated to have some of the largest alternative energy build outs in the next decade precisely for this reason: Not doing it would be a threat to national security and autonomy.

    31. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by benhattman · · Score: 1

      WITHOUT the government winner-picking we'd likely ALREADY HAVE affordable alternatives.

      We already do have affordable alternatives, depending on your definition of affordable. Oh, wait, I get what you're doing there. In your hypothetical libertarian paradise the unfettered market has already produced energy too cheap to meter. There's no possible way that such policy would allow entrenched business (hydrocarbons) to manipulate the market through acquisitions, disinformation, and price manipulations to destroy alternatives.

      Here's what's wrong with your approach. It doesn't admit that there might be several ways to skin a cat, and that certain cats require different methodologies. The free market is an incredible tool for solving all kinds of problems. Sometimes it's even the best tool. Sometimes, it's at least a good first approach to the best tool. But it is not the only tool and it is not always the best tool. Socialization is sometimes a better approach. Sometimes, a regulated free market is best. Sometimes, combining the free market with publicly agreed upon manipulation is best (if we don't like pollution we can tax it severely and allow the market to devise a solution). And sometimes a centralized directed solution is best.

      So long as you're picking your ideology and rallying against any alternative approaches, you're going to be wrong as often as you're right.

    32. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      The US government already runs the highway system, and has a huge fund to bankroll it. The fund comes from taxes place on motor fuels (gasoline and diesel). Can you explain why we have bridges literally falling down? There are no shareholders to answer to.

      Would you consider that your hypothesis needs revision?

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    33. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Minnesota bridges collapsing? A corporations was responsible for that little piece of public safety. Right?

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    34. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by GlassHeart · · Score: 1

      When fuel is cheap, and likely to stay that way, why invest a bunch of money developing more expensive energy sources that won't pay off for decades?

      Indeed.

      Want cheap energy alternatives to burning fossil fuels? Figure out how to make the government STOP handouts such as this

      ...in which case we'll be back to the first problem you identified: no one willing to invest until it's probably too late. I agree that governments should generally keep out of healthy markets, but this obviously isn't a healthy market.

    35. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Africa is back-water poor, exactly because of what the GP said. Investing in most of the countries there is a gamble of if you can win the race between positive ROI vs "nationalization". I put that in quotes, because the nationalization usually amounts to being taken over by whoever happens to be in control of the military at the time. The GP was talking about market uncertainty due to government meddling.

      Just like in the late 90's, developers did not want to start a project in an area that Microsoft might be looking to get into. They knew that they'd get plowed under regardless of the merit of their solutions. People don't want to risk making a large investment with the prospect of having it ripped away from them.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    36. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by gtbritishskull · · Score: 1

      Wow! There have been 2.5 Trillion in private investment in R&D in the internet!!!

      There has been all of that investment in INFRASTRUCTURE because the GOVERNMENT took the risk to invest in the IDEAS. You are comparing apple seeds to apple orchards to try to confuse the conversation. The fact is that without government investment in the internet it would not exist as it is today.

    37. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by hedwards · · Score: 1

      I knew that there was a better term for it. And yes, that's precisely the point, one of the reasons why the fleet efficiency is so high in Seattle compared to the rest of the country is precisely for that reason, between oil industry gouging and high state taxes, it's more affordable to increase the efficiency than to just pay for the extra fuel.

      Even better if you use the tax revenue used to maintain the price on renewable energy.

    38. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Slime-dogg · · Score: 1

      The driving force of capitalistic development is competition and future market ownership. This is present in the pharmaceutical industry - private companies pump loads of money into research so that they can dominate the extremely specific markets created by new drugs.

      When government becomes involved, the inclination for investment dries up, because there is no sense in competing with a government-chosen company. It doesn't matter whether that company succeeds or not, they've essentially been hand-picked to dominate whatever market it is that the government is trying to push.

      At the same time, there is next to no incentive right now for the market to develop new energy sources. Energy is still cheap, and as a result, the dollar points at fossil fuels. It is for this reason that it's necessary for government to step in and dictate a new direction. This is similar to NASA, and the incredible number of products created by our efforts to reach the moon. It also is evident in the old government-sanctioned monopoly named AT&T, and all that Bell Labs gave to us.

      The market currently revolves around the biggest bang for the buck. It rarely follows the idealistic path of long-term growth, which is what would be necessary for market-driven research. The short list of examples are where a company sees the writing on the wall, and realizes that it must shift gears to stay afloat - a good example of which is Microsoft.

      --
      You need to restart your computer. Hold down the Power button for several seconds or press the Restart button.
    39. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Slime-dogg · · Score: 1

      I'd rather have the entire sector in control of an entity run by experts with the full resources of the nation at their disposal and no board of directors or shareholders to answer to but only the people, and the nation that they too are part of and wish to see prosper.

      This is a nice sentiment, but highly idealistic and very improbable.

      --
      You need to restart your computer. Hold down the Power button for several seconds or press the Restart button.
    40. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by LunaticTippy · · Score: 2

      There are a few major reasons the highway system is deteriorating:
      The federal highway tax hasn't been raised in nearly 20 years and is a fixed amount per gallon. Gasoline has tripled in price but the tax is the same.
      Raw materials such as concrete, steel, asphalt, fuel, and labor have increased several hundred percent.
      There is a lack of accountability from contractors. Partly corruption, partly incompetence, partly bureaucratic inertia, it results in shoddy overbudget work in too many cases.

      These are tough problems to solve. Localities are oddly protective of their dysfunctional transportation infrastructure industry, opposition to tax increase, even to keep pace with the cost of materials, is fierce, and much of the interstate system is reaching the end of its design life at the same time.

      I don't see any easy answers. Perhaps high profile disasters will spur investment, but the sad truth is we all pay every day for the poor state of our roads in increased maintenance cost, accidents, impaired fuel economy, higher cost to transport goods, etc.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    41. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Somehow you think that the government will cut fewer corners than private industry. I don't understand this thinking.

      There is no such thing as a patriotic corporation, nor a corporation interested in protecting the environment or public safety.

      By the same logic, there is no government interested in protecting the environment or public safety.
      Both statements are obviously flawed.
      If consumers care more about price than they do about quality or safety or sustainability or whatever, they pressure corporations into reducing costs.
      If voters care more about price than they do about quality or safety or sustainability or whatever, they pressure government into reducing regulation.
      A monopoly or a dictatorship may not be subjected as much to these forces, but then they are still motivated to reduce costs in order to maximize their profits. As long as demand is more price-driven then safety-driven, or ecologically-driven, or whatever, you will see everything else suffer. That is true if the industry is privately-, publicly-, or government-owned.

    42. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by KingBenny · · Score: 0

      investing in rooftop solar panels just caused energy prices to rise as high as 10% here. The company blames it on other companies abusing the law that makes it profitable to install them. Corporations just used the law as it was written. The employers (the people, how do you say that ?) get to pay the bill. A little fuss is made about it, nothing changes except for the fact that all these people with solar panels now have a little energy for free and the others pay the difference in profit back to the energy company?
      It's confusing, except for the fact that it's not

      --
      Free speech was meant to be free for all... how can anyone grow up in a nanny state ?
    43. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I'd rather have the entire sector in control of an entity run by experts with the full resources of the nation at their disposal and no board of directors or shareholders to answer to but only the people,"

      Yes, until the Oil Directorate or whatever it gets called has enough money that suddenly they are only responsible to the fractional minority who directly profit from being part of that government program.

      Haven't the examples of Egypt and Libya taught you anything about the dangers of state run money making?

    44. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Phoghat · · Score: 1

      When fuel is cheap, and likely to stay that way, why invest a bunch of money developing more expensive energy sources that won't pay off for decades?

      Because fuel keeps becoming more expensive. Because we obtain much of our fuel (oil) from an unstable part of the world

      My answer is: maybe it would just e satisfying to piss them off by not having to buy any more oil. Maybe they wouldn't have the money to build mile high sky scrapers, 10 Rolls Royce at a clip. or any more such folderol.

      --
      Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.
    45. Re:It's called "market forces", dude. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your argument is absurd from the start and only goes downhill from there. I will take the capitalist system any day over the State system and all mess that causes which makes the Japanese problem pale in comparison. The dirt Gulf oil spill...problem a year later is no one can find the oil and freeloaders are busy trying to get the remaining unspent funds before anyone wakes up and halts the stupidity.

      If you want your money spent that way fine. I will not sit idly by while you try and force me to spend my money on your project I disagree with by using the power of government to force me.
      Even the Europeans are waking up (finally) and rolling back the socialist tide that brought them to a standstill and almost destroyed their countries.

  26. If you want to be taken seriously by johncandale · · Score: 1

    If you want to be taken seriously never use the word 'game changing;' in a article, even if you are talking about a video game.. Especially if you are taking about a video game

  27. Re:Sam I am. by Americium · · Score: 1

    So we could open mines there that could produce enough money to rebuild the entire country, pay for the war, and provide millions of low skilled Afghanistan workers jobs. Well we definitely won't do that, it just makes far too much sense.

  28. Re:Sam I am. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 2

    I thought "rare earth" metals were not so rare, but China is pretty much the only place mining them at scale. Instead of finding alternatives, why not just start mining?

    China is the main source right now because they were selling it cheap. Now they're hanging on to it for their own industries and the price is rising. So it makes sense to reopen existing mines.

    Wasn't there some in Canada, eh?

    There's a bunch just West of Ely NV. And they're starting up a mining operation right now. Nice boost to the town's economy. (My wife and I noticed this when passing through there last fall.)

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  29. Re:Sam I am. by The+End+Of+Days · · Score: 2

    Yeah there you go, lets improve the quality of life in Afghanistan by putting them to work in the mines...

  30. Re:Sam I am. by Americium · · Score: 1

    Well then let them not work in the mines, I saw it as something they would wanna do. We could always let Americans work in the mines, they are plenty willing, and they live in the USA. There would still be plenty of profits left over to help them out.

  31. Re:Sam I am. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    your recent posts getting modded down... one I see has a _hint_ of troll (but at the same time, not really), but this one? mods lose humor?

  32. Game changing? SRSLY? by macraig · · Score: 2

    I think my high expectations must be getting the better of me again... because to me "game changing" would be orbital solar, non-deficit fusion, superconducting motors... or a Dyson Sphere.

  33. Pocket change. by kuzb · · Score: 1

    So, they threw pocket change at 5 separate programs? While it's nice that they're at least putting some money in to it, it really isn't a whole lot. Especially when you consider it's 5 separate projects.

    --
    BeauHD. Worst editor since kdawson.
    1. Re:Pocket change. by radtea · · Score: 1

      While it's nice that they're at least putting some money in to it, it really isn't a whole lot. Especially when you consider it's 5 separate projects.

      Over five years, so it's a little over 5 million per program per year. A relatively small lab can easily burn half a million a year, so this is funding for maybe ten small labs per program or a couple of larger ones.

      What each program is getting on a yearly basis funds the imperial war machine for just about 5 minutes.

      This is actually a useful number to remember: 600 billion a year comes out to about a million dollars a minute. So when you hear $130 million you should think, "Wow, two hours of military spending!"

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  34. How about a game changing energy *policy*? by n6kuy · · Score: 1

    If we wanna get off foreign oil dependence, then let us extract our own natural resources.

    --
    If you disagree with me on social issues, then it's pretty clear that you are a narrow-minded bigot.
    1. Re:How about a game changing energy *policy*? by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Have you ever studied economics? The oil supply is limited. We are using it daily. Meaning the price should go up daily. (Which it pretty much is) Not using ours now means we are saving it for later (making money on our investment). Using our oil supply now is like taking out a second mortgage to buy a vibrator. "Not a good idea unless you want to get screwed now and in the future"

    2. Re:How about a game changing energy *policy*? by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Newsflash - they don't exist in any meaningful way. The USA does not have the oil reserves to get off foreign oil at a reasonable price tag.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    3. Re:How about a game changing energy *policy*? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really expect one of the "drill, baby, drill" crowd to be able to coherently plan for something more than 6 months off???

    4. Re:How about a game changing energy *policy*? by kf6auf · · Score: 1

      If we pumped our own oil at the rate we are consuming oil, we would run out in ~10 years and then we'd either be out of oil or need to import ALL our oil instead of 2/3rds of it.

  35. Re:Sam I am. by haruchai · · Score: 3, Interesting

    It looks like the Mountain Pass mine in California - the largest, richest single-site deposit of rare earth minerals will be back online the end of this year. Problem is that there's considerable expertise needed to process the ores and, thanks to a combination of market forces and stupid shortsightedness, most of that expertise is in China. So it'll be a couple years before the mine is fully independent, once the ore-processing facility is completed and they get the hang of efficient extraction

    --
    Pain is merely failure leaving the body
  36. Only 130 million? by blanks · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm sorry, but are we supposed to be impressed by the 130 million on ENERGY? This is almost 1/10th the cost of a stealth bomber.

    Energy is one of our biggest problems in this country and is one of the scariest things we have to look forward to in the future. 130 million will not solve any problems or come up with any new solutions and will barely line the pockets of which ever friends of friends were given government contacts that will receive this money. We need to start coming up with massive amounts of money to not only put into R & D but as basically bribery to the current oil industries (cars/aircrafts) to really pull out heads our of our asses and move on from our current primitive situation.

    If our country really wanted to try solving the worlds energy problem we would be spending 130 BILLION. That is a number that will solve problems.

    1. Re:Only 130 million? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With 130 billion the US Govt could build 10-13 nuclear plants and sell the energy to the public at cost. That would be awesome! Great idea!

    2. Re:Only 130 million? by Nimey · · Score: 2

      Because killing brown people and enriching the military-industrial complex is more important. Because it would threaten our existing energy industry.

      Because Republicans just don't give a shit.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    3. Re:Only 130 million? by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      You do know that it is a Democratic President that just sent bombs over to kill brown people without bothering to get permission from Congress first, right? Of course you did.
      But, I guess that is ok, because those brown people were threatening FRANCE's energy industry.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  37. LFTR by greg_barton · · Score: 0

    Why don't we just fund the development of the Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor?

    energyfromthorium.com

  38. Same old sequence by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

    1. Article talks about Project X, the "game changing" new idea
    2. Nothing is ever heard about it again
    3. Random post to tech site 5 years later asks "whatever happened to Project X"

  39. If you don't give them the jobs they go home with by dbIII · · Score: 2

    If you don't give them the jobs they go home with the tech. To an extent US universities are teaching useless MBAs in shouting to the locals and selling engineering and science degrees to people from overseas who would really like to stay but immigration rules mean they can't. They go home and take the technology with them - and if they are lucky they get a short term visa to come back, work on a bit of US technology and then get sent home with that when it's cheaper to hire someone more junior.
    Then there's the situation where a very large portion of US technological development over the last half century was due to people coming from all over the world to where they could get the funding for their startup. Those days are gone due to immigration and financial reasons. Now instead of the best ideas available in the world you're stuck with whoever made it through a declining education system and didn't move off into real estate, law, finance and the many other more certain ways to make money in the USA other than technology.
    We didn't allow China to take it. We threw it away and they picked it up.
    Our solid science base is getting old so we need to take steps while it is still there. For one thing a big chunk of NASA is probably going to get laid off now the shuttles are gone and if there is nothing else the best will go to China to get a paycheck. It may well end up like a slower version of the science and technology exodus out of the USSR when it fell apart.

  40. Re:Sam I am. by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

    As the above commenters said: There are non-chinese deposits, but they don't have mines yet. The reason for this is just economics - China was always a far cheaper source, due to a combination of it's ready supply of expendable workers and very lax environmental laws. It's a very dirty process, extracting rare earth metals, and the more toxic byproducts you can dump in the nearest river the less you have to spend money to clean.

  41. free business registration by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

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  42. Re:Sam I am. by Joce640k · · Score: 2

    $1.3 trillion for a personal vendetta in Iraq/Afghanistan
    $1 trillion to fix the economy after it was wrecked for personal gain
    $0.000125 trillion for something which could help fix the planet and ensure long-term financial stability by fixing the price of energy.

    --
    No sig today...
  43. Re:Sam I am. by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2

    While mining might be a dangerous job, it is usually well paid and sure beats goat herding, doesn't it? The main thing would be to assure that the profits stay in the country, and that I seriously doubt...

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  44. Re:Sam I am. by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

    Yep. And the usual suspects whine about the 0.000125, while being perfectly fine with the rest. Tells you all you need to know about the state of society, doesn't it?

    --
    Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  45. Re:Not shortsighted enough for this Repub Retard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I lol'd.

  46. Yeah, such as... by LongearedBat · · Score: 1

    ...carbon capture that's supposed to allow us to continue burning fossil fuels.

  47. Re:Sam I am. by TheLink · · Score: 1

    Where'd you get the 1 trillion figure from?

    Seems to be way more than that: http://www.google.com/search?num=100&q=trillion+federal+reserve

    Might be another reason why prices are going up world wide (lots of stuff is bought and sold in USD).

    I doubt there was actually that many US dollars in the world before they suddenly "loaned" those trillions from "thin air"/taxpayers/"future generations".

    --
  48. Rubber trees? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One project is breeding plants for biofuels. There are a few questions about that.

    Why fuels? Why not things that run without fuel: horses, bicycles, sailboats, elephants, ... Or things that save vast amounts of fuel, like building good enough public transit that cars become less common?

    However, if they want a plant that produces an approximate replacement for gasoline, take a look at rubber trees. Decades back, I talked to an organic chemist who had worked on synthetic rubber, made from petroleum. He said all the science needed to go the other way and produce gas from latex was known; all the problems were engineering or economic.

  49. Re:Sam I am. by rally2xs · · Score: 0

    "$1.3 trillion for a personal vendetta in Iraq/Afghanistan"

    G I'm tired of you lefty/commie/pinko/fags whining about this.

    Sure, we should have just sat back and done nothing about being attacked, having 2 buildings knocked down, and losing approx 3K citizens and others to a direct attack on our country. Can't think of a better way to encourage another one. Oh, BTW, "doing nothing" == "not kicking someone's ass." The bad guys _have_ to get their asses kicked or they will do it again, and again, and again...

    My only hope is that all you whiners are at ground zero for the next attack that you are responsible for if we ever do simply discontinue defending ourselves...

  50. Re:If you don't give them the jobs they go home wi by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2

    Then there's the situation where a very large portion of US technological development over the last half century was due to people coming from all over the world to where they could get the funding for their startup. Those days are gone due to immigration and financial reasons

    Yup, when I was growing up people were complaining about the brain drain - intelligent people were lured to America with the promise of huge amounts of funding for their research. Now? Getting a visa to work in a US university is relatively easy (but still not guaranteed), but getting one to work in a private US research institution is really hard. On the flip side, every few months I get emails from Chinese universities asking if I'd be interested in a job, with a guaranteed visa and funding to create a research group larger than the university department that awarded my PhD.

    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  51. Re:Sam I am. by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    a) What did all those lies about WMDs have to do with 'defence'? How many Taliban terrorist cells were based in Iraq?

    b) How often has a war against an ideal ever resulted in victory? Martyrs usually make ideals stronger. Are there more or less Taliban now than in 2001?

    Questions, questions...

    Clue: We're not saying you should do nothing. We're saying you're doing it very wrong.

    --
    No sig today...
  52. Aggressive MPG requirement on federal funded roads by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Radical? I'll tell ya radical. On roads and highways supported by federal funds, no cars under 40mpg with in 5yrs. No cars under 50mpg within 10yrs. No cars under 60mpg within 15yrs. Or better yet, an even more aggressive time table. No long haul trucks. Get back to rail. Sure it takes longer, but saves on fuel. Local delivery trucks have an aggressive mpg time table too since they need to be licensed.

  53. Re:Sam I am. by jmac_the_man · · Score: 1

    Are there more or less Taliban now than in 2001?

    Neither. There are FEWER Taliban now than there were 10 years ago though, and the ones that are around don't have the capability to hide terrorist masterminds, which is what our main beef with them was.

    Clue: We're not saying you should do nothing. We're saying you're doing it very wrong.

    What should we have done, then?

  54. You are kidding, right? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    This is the EXACT kind of R&D that used to put America in the TOP SLOT. The reason is that it is taking on currently estalished companies that do not want to change. Routing power and storing energy will enable AE, but it will also make today's power companies VERY EFFICIENT. Right now, they have baseload and demand generators. The demand Generators are inefficient to run. With cheap storage, then we can pick up energy during the night and meet demand during the day. Heck, last year, we wasted something like 4-10 GW of power. WHy? Because we had to feather wind generators because other fossil fuel generators were on-line. If we have storage AND ROUTING, then we can separate energy production from delivering electricity, which would allow us to have SMALL monopolies. That means true free markets.

    But you think that gov. has no place? Aviation? Trains? Roads? Water? Telecommunications? Rockets? POWER COMPANIES? All of these were developed by gov. directly and indirectly. The research on Aviation, rockets, and telco came dominatly from gov. grants.

    This kind of R*D is good. It just needs to stay here, or at least in nations that have true free economic competition. Allowing another nation to manipulate their money and the situation while they are bound by treaty not to, is BS.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  55. Re:Sam I am. by rally2xs · · Score: 0

    "a) What did all those lies about WMDs have to do with 'defence'? How many Taliban terrorist cells were based in Iraq?"

    There were no lies, and the defense started in 1991 when the tyrant in question began his quest to corner the middle east market in oil. Had we not acted, he would have invaded Saudi Arabia, etc. and after that, could have had us paying $7 a gallon. The 2003 action was just a continuation of the 1991 action. The fatal flaw was not in 2003, but in 1991 when we didn't finish the job.

    BTW, $7 a gallon isn't just an incomvenience, it would wreck us. Just 'cuz the Euros can pay it, and drive around their geographically compact countries that are festooned with alternatives in public transporation doesn't mean we can do it in a country 3000 miles "wide" and about 2000 miles "high" that doesn't have much more than freight rail except for some extremely limited passenger rail that is totally inadequate to service the population in place of even air travel. When the city of Chicago was virtually shut down with snow last winter, I checked the AmTrak train schedules on Sunday and they were sold out thru Friday. We just don't have that sort of service, and won't, because it won't make a buck and would be far too expensive to lay new, non-freight rail to actually make fast trains work. And, people won't ride the slow trains except in dire situations.

    Anyway, every major intelligence agency on the planet thought that this kook had WMD, and that he would be at least capable and desrious of having it used in the USA, and would do so if he found the right terrorists delivery methods. Taking him out was unavoidable if we didn't want to live day-to-day under a threat of attack that could kill 100's of thousands, not simply 3K people and a couple buildings.

    "b) How often has a war against an ideal ever resulted in victory? Martyrs usually make ideals stronger. Are there more or less Taliban now than in 2001?"

    We don't have to be victorious, we just have to remove their capability to attack us.

    "Clue: We're not saying you should do nothing. We're saying you're doing it very wrong."

    Yes, you are, you are sayng we have to do it without kicking their asses. We absolutely, positively have to kick their asses, or they will simply do it again, and again, over and over until we physically stop them.

    I'm sure you want something you consider innocuous, like the Iraqi economic sanctions that killed 100,000 Iraqi children per year it was in effect from basic things like not being able to buy chlorine on the open market, and therefore rendering the Iraqis unable to purify their water so their kids got sick and died, but of course your sort would have kittens if a cluster bomb killed 3 kids while knocking down a couple dozen terrorists. I know where your coming from, and it is not enlightmenment, it is all emotion and gut reaction, and it is wrong.

  56. Re:Sam I am. by avgjoe62 · · Score: 1

    the ones that are around don't have the capability to hide terrorist masterminds...

    Really? I wasn't aware that we had found Osama Bin Laden recently.

    Bush totally mis-characterized Al-Qaeda and the Taliban supporters. Instead of looking at 9/11 as an attack and having the military handle the response, it should have been characterized as a crime and the FBI should have taken the lead. If the Taliban refused to hand over Bin Laden, then the FBI asks the military nicely to get this guy for them and we invade Afghanistan. FBI agents would have traveled with the military to handle prisoners and ensure that we brought those murderous bastards to justice in American Courts.

    Instead, we glamorize and elevate what those murderous thugs did and grant them a status as prisoners of war that they were never really entitled to. They were criminals, plain and simple, that murdered thousands of innocent lives. They should be treated as such and no more. We invented a war, when we should have been pursuing criminal cases instead.

    As for Iraq, well, that was personal for the Bushes, but invading a country to get your father's portrait off the floor of a hotel is not a good reason for millions to die.

    --

    How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

  57. The US gov is funding it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The US government is funding it? I'd give their chances of success to be close to 0. Private enterprise is just as interested in cheap energy as the government is. The difference is that the private sector functions on its own dime.

  58. Re:If you don't give them the jobs they go home wi by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    What you describe are multiple issues wrapped up in one. For starters, the science/engineering students vs. nation is because we make available the same grants to foreign students as to American. China comes along and simply adds to the top of that, so that Chinese students here make double what an American does. Total BS. That needs to stop.
    However, once we educate these ppl, and they have learned our culture, we should offer up green cards. Many times we do not.

    Now, as to China taking our tech, yes, that is what is happening. Regularly, we have tech in the university that goes to a company which China then approaches and offers up all sorts of deals. Total subsidization. That is how they obtained the LED work. The same is true of solar and wind. When we cracked down on direct investment, China simply did an end-run by buying investment companies.

    As to the shuttle, well, we both know that it was dead. However, much of the real tech resides not in the 3000 that will be laid off buy ppl in L-Mart, Boeing, and PWR. In addition, we have the ability to say no to tech. transfer. Hopefully, we will run away from SLS and will instead put forward a COTS-SHLV, in which we get two SHLV of 130-150 tonnes for a fraction of the price that SLS will cost to build and operate.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  59. Re:Sam I am. by VVrath · · Score: 1

    Sure, we should have just sat back and done nothing about being attacked, having 2 buildings knocked down, and losing approx 3K citizens and others to a direct attack on our country. Can't think of a better way to encourage another one.

    It worked for Gandhi...

  60. Re:Sam I am. by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    Not trying to be a prick, but the FBI is for domestic crimes and domestic enforcement. The CIA is for external crimes (threats); among other things. Contrary to movie crap, it would be the CIA, not the FBI, which is exactly why the CIA has always handled such issues.

  61. Re:If you don't give them the jobs they go home wi by dbIII · · Score: 1

    However, once we educate these ppl, and they have learned our culture, we should offer up green cards

    I think that's a major part of the problem. The students and guest workers are set up to make a contribution to the country and they want to stay but are instead thrown away. Meanwhile the aging science and technology workforce is not replaced in time to pass on what they know. Without a healthy manufacturing sector there is little to feed back to engineers involved in design so most of those jobs will go to where there is a healthy manufacturing sector. With a diminishing supply of jobs you get few apart from the overseas students that want to study in the fields of science and technology, and even they will go elsewhere as education continues to decline. It's a bit of a deep hole to slide into and it's going to take a lot to stop the slide and try to get out of it.

  62. Re:Sam I am. by rally2xs · · Score: 0

    "It worked for Gandhi..."

    Ghandhi was willing to risk and lose everything including his life for his cause. We are not willing to risk and lose our country just to avoid kicking their asses, which also works.

  63. Re:Sam I am. by cavreader · · Score: 1

    China is also the main source cause they don't give a damn about contaminating the environment. The US mines shut down because environmental measures raised the cost and it was cheaper to buy from others. US on land oil drilling and shale processing has never taken off for the same reason. The costs are greater than buying foreign sources. But never fear when the US finally gets fed up with financing China and the wonderful folks we buy oil from we still have a ready supply of fossil fuels until we figure out how to move off them for good. And it finally looks like the government and private sector is workin towards alternate energy sources. It won't happen fast but it is happening. It takes a long time for awareness and reality to take hold in a population as diverse as the US but it finally is.

  64. Re:Sam I am. by cavreader · · Score: 1

    Oh I forgot about our neighbors to the North. We do buy a lot of oil from them good folks but if you take a good look at their operations you have to wonder how the oil sands projects even got off the ground giving the toll on the environment and water use it takes for extraction.

  65. Re:Sam I am. by avgjoe62 · · Score: 1

    The crime was committed on US soil, therefore it is a domestic crime and thus the FBI's jurisdiction. If often happens now that criminals that flee the US are hunted down and brought back by the FBI, usually with help from local law enforcement and wheels that are greased by the CIA. That is why there are FBI field offices in foreign countries.

    Remember to that the CIA is not a law enforcement agency - it is an intelligence agency. It's job in 9/11 was to prevent the attack from happening. Once the crime was done on US Soil, the FBI takes the lead, apprehends the criminals and brings them back for trial. Not saying the CIA wouldn't have had a hand in tracking down those the FBI was interested in, but the ultimate responsibility for catching and bringing those guys to trial should have rested with the FBI, not the Defense Department.

    --

    How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

  66. You mean Brazilian Sugar Gas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh right, because burning down the rainforests to plant sugar (which you burn to harvest.. at least that's the time-honored-low-tech way of doing it) is SOOOOO much better?

  67. Re:Sam I am. by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    every major intelligence agency on the planet thought that this kook had WMD,

    Nope. That's been thoroughly debunked. The CIA told GW Bush that there were no WMDs in Iraq. The Bush administration then created a false report to take to the UK to convince Tony Blair that there were. The speech given by Colin Powell to the UN shortly afterwards was also a pack of lies.

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2007/sep/07/turningtruthintolies

    Why did Bush invade Iraq? I think he told the truth to Jacques Chirac when he went to France to sell his war agenda:

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/andrewbrown/2009/aug/10/religion-george-bush

    We absolutely, positively have to kick their asses, or they will simply do it again, and again, over and over until we physically stop them.

    Huh? You're not fighting anything physical so how can you 'kick its ass', exactly?

    Terrorist attacks are carried out by nutcases. No amount of murder in Iraq/Afghanistan will ever rid the world of nutcases (in fact it makes them more likely).

    The war in Afghanistan might refocus the nutcases' attentions onto the soldiers there instead of going to the USA to wreck stuff, sure, but that just means you have to keep their attention indefinitely, i.e. the 'war' has to last forever. Are you up for that? Are you even enlisted in the Army?

    --
    No sig today...
  68. Re:Sam I am. by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    your sort would have kittens if a cluster bomb killed 3 kids while knocking down a couple dozen terrorists.

    So far the ratio is the on wrong side of 3 terrorists per dozen civilians...just saying.

    --
    No sig today...
  69. Re:Sam I am. by fifedrum · · Score: 1

    b) How often has a war against an ideal ever resulted in victory? Martyrs usually make ideals stronger. Are there more or less Taliban now than in 2001?

    ww2, global war against general European fascism, German Nazism and Japanese Imperialism. Seems like it was pretty successful.

    Cold War, global war against communism, brought down the Soviets after a while, though the jury is still out on the cost of this one.

  70. Bloombox, EEStor, yadda yadda yadda by tekrat · · Score: 1

    I'm constantly reminded of the opening to the "The Road Warrior" where the narrator proclaims that 'While the gas ran out, our leaders talked and talked 'til the machines ground to a halt. Civilization crumbled.'

    I seen a zillion scams posted on slashdot, where some company claims to have invented some new scheme to magically get energy out of thin air.

    Bloombox for example, has a fuel cell that they can "print" and they are talking a $3000 box that will run your house, just feed it natural gas, and it will efficiently create electricity. We're not going to see this in our lifetimes.

    EEstor keeps talking about an Ultracapacitor. While not being able to create energy, if it was to work, we'd have super efficient electric cars that can charge up in 5 minutes and run for 300 miles. We're not going to see this in our lifetimes.

    Heck, I'd settle for the 30% more efficient, super-cheap solar cells we were promised in 5 years, 5-years AGO. Well, where are they? Can I cover my roof in 'em for less than $25,000? Apparently not. We're not going to see this in our lifetimes.

    The point is: The oil is running out, and our leaders talk and talk, and worse, corporations that spring up to supposedly solve the energy crisis are just scams, there don't seem to be any REAL solutions. They are just taking money from suckers.

    Which means our post-apocalyptic film-making friends in Australia were right on the money. So start building your "last of the V-8's" with two 50-gal drums in the back while you roam the wastes in search of guzzeline.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
  71. Re:Only 130 BILLION? by tekrat · · Score: 1

    Just to put that in perspective $130 Billion is still only 1/4th what we spent to bail out the banks 2 years ago. It's only 1/5th what we spent in Iraq ALONE.

    And frankly, if that money had not been spent on a useless war, and not spent on bailing out corrupt banks who's CEOs gave themselves big fat paychecks for bankrupting the country, we'd HAVE that money to spend on energy.

    Just imagine what kind of development towards new energy sources we'd have by spending almost TWO TRILLION DOLLARS.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
  72. Drop in the bucket by GAATTC · · Score: 1

    $130 million dollars for 8 projects - this is truly a drop in the bucket (if it is even that much). Consider the fact that the government essentially insures nuclear plants against disasters Price Andersen act. With a disaster (3 in the past 30 years) bound to happen again in this country, and given a possible cost of a nuclear disaster in the trillion dollar range if it occurs close to a major city, $130 million dollars is peanuts. Consider the direct tax subsidies for oil exploration and extraction - in the billions of dollars per year (oil subsidies). The sad fact is that the only reason that this kind of funding is news is that our energy policy is so incredibly beholden to entrenched interests that it is a miracle that there is any funding for alternative energy sources.

  73. Re:Sam I am. by GooberToo · · Score: 1

    Normally, the FBI is only sent when they require an investigation. Example, US embassy blown up. In this case, there wasn't so much a need for investigation as there was intelligence gathering. Again, not really a job for the FBI. Furthermore, there is a long documented history of the CIA performing enforcement actions - legal,means of local forces, US military, or otherwise.

  74. Re:Sam I am. by jmac_the_man · · Score: 1

    the ones that are around don't have the capability to hide terrorist masterminds...

    Really? I wasn't aware that we had found Osama Bin Laden recently.

    OK, but the Taliban isn't hiding him in Afghanistan. He apparently fled to Pakistan, which we aren't sending troops into for other, political, reasons.

    If the Taliban refused to hand over Bin Laden, then the FBI asks the military nicely to get this guy for them and we invade Afghanistan. FBI agents would have traveled with the military to handle prisoners and ensure that we brought those murderous bastards to justice in American Courts.

    For the record, we tried this. We offered them the opportunity to hand him over. The FBI doesn't get to "ask nicely for invasions." The President, as Commander in Chief, asks Congress nicely for an Authorization for Use of Force. (That happened.)

    The terrorists declared war on us as early as 1998. They put out a literal declaration of war. They see it as a war, and have attacked military targets. Yeah, they're not following the Geneva Conventions, while we mostly are. There's rules in the Geneva Conventions that cover what you're supposed to do with "Unlawful Enemy Combatants." (I bet you thought Bush made that term up.) We've mostly been more generous by holding people in POW conditions where we should be holding them as UECs, and we can argue about whether that will help. But we're being attacked by people who think they're at war with us. The way to deal with that is the military.

  75. Re:Sam I am. by VVrath · · Score: 3, Insightful

    And that rock you are holding is doing a great job of keeping tigers away.

    Seriously, the people who committed the 9/11 attacks are dead; they blew themselves to shit along with 3000+ innocent people. You can't "kick their asses"; their asses are scattered all over Manhattan, Virginia and Pennsylvania.

    You can't maintain the pretence that getting rid of Saddam Hussein had anything to do with 9/11 - it's simply laughable. And the so-called war-on-terror in Afghanistan has only served to piss off the majority of the Afghan public, and given the Taliban more fodder for their propaganda machine.

    I'll tell you what's kept the US safe from terrorist attacks like 9/11 for the last 9.5 years: An attack like that could never work again. Before 9/11 if someone tried to hijack your plane, you co-operated - The hijackers would generally want to negotiate and in the vast majority of cases everyone went home in one piece. 9/11 changed the rules. If someone tries to hijack a plane now, the passengers are going to "kick their ass" - there's nothing to lose.

    Finally, you claim the US is "not willing to risk and lose [the] country just to avoid kicking their asses". If you look at the number of bad laws that have been passed as a result (e.g. the PATRIOT act), you'd see that you've already lost the country. I thought the US was supposed to be the "land of the free and the home of the brave". By implementing such draconian legislation, you've become a land of fear and oppression. The rest of the western world thinks you already let the terrorists win./p

  76. Let the market do this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Companies use to have R&D that could be used as a competitive edge against competitors. There are still some but most are gone. It seems to me that when the government interfered with this it lowered the competitiveness and greatly reduced the amount of R&D. I say let the companies that will use these technologies fund the R&D. As more people buy from companies that did the research it will fund itself if its worth it. Why should public money be squandered on dead end technology. If its not dead end it would make it in the capitalist system.

  77. Re:If you don't give them the jobs they go home wi by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    I could not agree more. That is a SERIOUS issue and we have stepped deep into it.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  78. Re: wrong deficit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Imagine if we had an extra12 Trillion to spend on green energy. We could put $10,000 solar panels on 100M houses - almost every freaking house in the US. I am not saying it is a wise decision. Just saying that is the power of 1 Trillion dollars. That is also about HALF what we will pay in interest on our debt over the next six years.

    The US has had a $600-700 billion TRADE deficit for the last number of years. That is markedly worse problem than a simple budget deficit that can be fixed by increasing taxes and cutting spending.

    And it should not be in the form of an IOU to China.

    That is a false statement. The IOU to China is via the trade deficit, not the fiscal deficit. Fiscal deficit is not IOU to China - it is China wanting to buy the long term IOUs (read: BONDS) from the US with their short term IOUs (read: CASH).

    Trade deficit with US is giving IOUs to China in exchange for goods. Fiscal deficit is more or less irrelevant in comparison. After all, you can't buy US Treasuries with the Chinese yuan!

    Now, China has had huge amount of US cash from huge trade surplus. But China's trade surplus are wilting away. China has recently even posted a net trade deficit! So where is China spending all the IOUs it is receiving. Think Saudi Arabia. Think Iran. Think OIL, copper, uranium, RESOURCES. China needs all these resources in order to continue to function as an economy. So what is the result? - USD and more USD from China is driving oil prices higher thanks to peak oil.

    Anyway, all of this is about to end (within a few decades, for certain) as energy supplies dwindle. Hell, China has 3rd largest coal reserves on the planet and they will effectively mine out all that coal within 3 decades. Never mind oil which is already at its peak. And switching from oil to gas will cost huge amounts of money, destroy large section of land and groundwater and result in no-energy scenario 10 years down the road anyway.

    So, US has a much larger problem. Trade deficit problem which mostly goes to 2 places - OIL and China. And in comparison to OIL, China is a small fry.

  79. Or perhaps its more like this... by ganjadude · · Score: 1

    No I think what he is saying is that it is better to wait, and see what we can do about a problem that is 300 years down the road OVER TIME, as to not disrupt our current way of life to any large extent. There is a HUGE difference in your sensational claim of "well fuck the future right" and what I read into his statements of "Technology and knowlegde will increase over time, and a better solution may be viable with better long term planning, rather than rash changes now"

    --
    have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    1. Re:Or perhaps its more like this... by Nimey · · Score: 1

      That's the same logic that leads Congress to keep raising the debt ceiling while doing nothing substantial about fixing the deficit problem. Just kick the can down the road, future generations will figure it out.

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    2. Re:Or perhaps its more like this... by khallow · · Score: 1

      That's the same logic that leads Congress to keep raising the debt ceiling while doing nothing substantial about fixing the deficit problem.

      Once you normalize debt versus national GDP, you see that eternal deficits are not in themselves harmful, as long as the deficit doesn't increase debt faster than GDP grows and the overall debt is a small portion of GDP. Today's bout of deficits 10% of GDP are vastly unsustainable and something will have to give. But most of the past expenditures haven't been that bad (with recent Republicans being less responsible than recent Democrats).

    3. Re:Or perhaps its more like this... by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      To a degree I see your point. But than again there is a difference in doing things right from the beginning and using a long calender and what happened in washington with the debt.

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
  80. The DOE cannot investigate Tesla's vision by nido · · Score: 2

    There are people who share Tesla's dream of extracting energy from the aether. They don't grok physics like Tesla did, and there is active resistance from the devotees of materialist-based science, which is why progress has been so slow. The Pure Energy Systems wiki is the best place to go if you want to get a better idea of what innovations dreamers are thinking up. I saw my acquaintance's truck on the front page one day... :)

    Here's an article that's on the PESwiki front page right now, about Tesla Coils unleashing the aether.

    What's most interesting to me is how many people, who've been trained in the Heaviside/JP Morgan version of electromagnetism and science grounded in materialist philosophy, are allergic to the idea that thermodynamics is just a special case & that the universe also has organizing principles. Science was switched to assume that "matter is all there is" sometime in the early 19th century by 2 or 3 guys in their 20's (I'm sorta trying to figure out who these three men were, but I don't really care that much - maybe I'll write the speaker).

    Hence the search for a "smallest" particle / building block of matter. The alternate view is that matter's fundamental nature is not something "hard", but simply interacting force fields. Conventional Science already knows that atoms and protons and neutrons are mostly "empty space", and E=mC^2, so the leap is very, very small at this point.

    I don't grok aether physics but know at least two people who do, and two more who would be up for sainthood if they'd lived 600 years ago in Europe (after they'd been burned at the stake, of course).

    All the evils of the switch to a materialist-based philosophy of science have been unleashed in the world today. The only thing left in Pandora's box is "hope". The heirs to JP Morgan won't allow the DOE to invest in fundamentally "game changing technology" that would make the hydrocarbon-based energy economy completely obsolete, but there is still hope that the forces of Tesla's vision of energy will be unleashed. As soon as I figure this all out I'm going to revise my domain, . :)

    --
    Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
    www.teslabox.com
  81. Why rare earth research? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From what I understand, rare earth metals aren't rare at all. Mining is concentrated in China, because they undercut other producers to the point that they went out of business. If prices are going up 300-700%, per TFA, it's likely due to China using their monopoly to manipulate prices. Other producers may be hesitant to restart production for fear that China will undercut them again, but a quick look at teh Google indicates some are re-opening. Before the Chinese monopoly, California had one of the largest rare earth mines in the world. Wouldn't it make more sense to provide them some sort of price protection than to invest in alternatives? Or do both?

  82. Read more: locksmith by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Read more: locksmith

  83. Obama Regime is just playing silly games.... by SkipStein · · Score: 1

    This is a ridiculous pittance. The Omaba Regime and team aren't serious. $130 million is chump change, we need more like $130 BILLION to provide an alternate to Middle East Oil and to begin to drive toward true energy independence. Don't let these idiots fool you. They love keeping us dependent so their cronies can reap huge profits. Otherwise we would be drilling like mad!

    --
    Skip Stein Free Agent Management Systems Consulting, Inc. http://www.msc-inc.net www.linkedin.com/in/skipstein