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Earth's Population To Hit 7 Billion This Year

MikeChino writes "The UN Population Division just announced that the world's human population will hit 7 billion by Halloween 2011. The increase of one billion people in the past 12 years is worrying, especially since the global population only reached one billion total in the early 19th century. In the next 20 years, our population growth is predicted to rise to 8 billion people as our demand for food increases by 50 percent, water by 30 percent and energy by 50 percent." Not everyone finds it to be worrying per se.

461 comments

  1. 7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Concern · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This only ends one way, and any fool can see it.

    But sure, argue both sides. Have as many kids as you want. I couldn't guess their odds of living to 70, but I am willing to bet that this is that "magic" generation, and they will see suffering and mass death unprecedented in all of human history.

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    1. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No other generation in history has ever made that prediction...

      What I don't understand is going from 7 to 8 billion people increases food requirements by 50%? I guess they're looking at obesity as a problem spreading to the third world.

    2. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This only ends one way, and any fool can see it.

      With increased energy generation, food production and water purification?

    3. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by RazzleFrog · · Score: 0

      Well considering we reward people who have 8 or more kids with TV show deals I can see how easy it will be to get to 8 million. Personally I believe people should have mandatory sterilization after they produce two offspring but I guess that may come across a bit draconian.

    4. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by improfane · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Population control.

      We cannot sustain this a constant growing population.

      Call me immoral but people should stop having as many kids as they are.

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    5. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      That'll be US consumption alone, no doubt. These people are getting massive, and tend to eat more in one meal than I do all day - both in caloric intake and sheer volume. It's pretty gross.

    6. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 2

      What I don't understand is going from 7 to 8 billion people increases food requirements by 50%? I guess they're looking at obesity as a problem spreading to the third world.

      It's obvious. Chewbacca is going to move from Endor to some place in the third world.

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    7. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 1

      This only ends one way, and any fool can see it.

      But sure, argue both sides. Have as many kids as you want. I couldn't guess their odds of living to 70, but I am willing to bet that this is that "magic" generation, and they will see suffering and mass death unprecedented in all of human history.

      Doooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooom!!!!

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    8. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Population control.

      We cannot sustain this a constant growing population.

      Call me immoral but people should stop having as many kids as they are.

      I hate to say it but I agree. Something has to be done.

    9. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by tmosley · · Score: 1

      We don't have to. The fearmongering article/summary left out the part where 8 billion is the peak, then demographics shift, and our population falls to between 6 and 7 billion, and stays there.

    10. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by osu-neko · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This only ends one way, and any fool can see it.

      Indeed. Considering the lack of imagination and thinking skills required to only see one possibility, it's unsurprising that any fool sees it that way. Intelligent people, on the other hand, see many possibilities, because they keep thinking even after seeing the first one.

      But sure, argue both sides. Have as many kids as you want. I couldn't guess their odds of living to 70, but I am willing to bet that this is that "magic" generation, and they will see suffering and mass death unprecedented in all of human history.

      Welcome to the vast club of people who've made this same determination over the millennia.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    11. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by captainpanic · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This only ends one way, and any fool can see it.

      With increased energy generation, food production and water purification?

      Currently, we still experience exponential growth. Even the quickest growth figures of the UN and other institutions do not predict that to continue for much longer. Either we slow it down ourselves to our own people (in peace), or we;ll do it to other people (in war)... or mother nature will to it to us.

      Maybe we can double the number again... if we carry on on the exponential curve, that might be already in 50-60 years. Then we would have 14 billion people. That would mean 1000 extra cities the size of New York or LA.

    12. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by RsG · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, from an article on energy production I read a while back, the current projection is for the population to stabilize at 9 billion by midcentury.

      (Source) It's mostly about energy sources, but it cites population projection figures in the third paragraph.

      The reason given is rising standard of living. People living in abject poverty (and I don't mean first world slums, I mean abject poverty which is something most slashdotters have never seen firsthand) have lots of kids. Raise them out of poverty to a standard of living that includes such luxuries as medicine, clean water, adequate food and shelter and they have fewer kids. This is human nature, and it's as true for the western world as it is elsewhere. Our population growth didn't slow until our conditions improved, so why should we expect otherwise elsewhere?

      Further to this, it is not necessary for the first world to elevate the developing world in order to accomplish this. They're doing that by themselves. We tend to have a very nineteenth century attitude to the rest of the planet, believing that it is only through our guidance that they can rise above savagery, but the reality is that with the exception of countries held in poverty by war, corruption or constant disaster, most of the developing world is quite capable of elevating themselves, and are doing exactly that. Note the qualifier about "war, corruption or disaster" preventing this; the Congo remains a bloody mess as do many of it's neighbours, but they aren't the only type of developing nation.

      So we will eventually hit population stability. Now the catch is that the global demand for energy will more than double in the process. Given that many of our energy sources are either environmentally disastrous or finite, this is going to become a problem, as is competition for other natural resources. So we're not out of the woods, but Malthusian predictions about population growth are as wrong now as they were when they were new.

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    13. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      OK ... do something, pull out gun, and remove yourself from the population.

    14. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yea, just a bit draconian. Not to mention the fact that this would cause a massive drop in global population which would disproportionally affect food production to the point where it'd be a bigger problem than continued population increase.

    15. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "No true Scotsman...."

    16. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do realize that the first world tends towards a stable or decreasing population so what you're implying is that we run around Africa and rural Asia sterilizing the "natives", right?

    17. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by captainpanic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      OK ... do something, pull out gun, and remove yourself from the population.

      Please note the slight difference between not making a child at all, and killing one.
      We are discussing the "not making so many children", and you try to kill the discussion by implying murder or suicide is the only option.

    18. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by captainpanic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hitler and Stalin were geniuses ahead of their times.

      Please note the slight difference between not making a child at all, and killing one.
      We are discussing the "not making so many children", and you try to kill the discussion by implying murder or suicide is the only option.

      (Yes, the same response as to the other anonymous coward who suggested pulling a gun).

    19. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by todrules · · Score: 1

      If something's not done, then it will come down to something even more draconian - war.

    20. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Colourspace · · Score: 1

      Yes, please won't somebody think of the children!

    21. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by jrumney · · Score: 3, Informative

      Suffering and mass death has a lot of precedent in human history. Why do you think it took so long to reach the first billion?

    22. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Urban+Garlic · · Score: 5, Insightful

      So this is where I am compelled to insert my rant about population -- there is a very well known, almost fool-proof scheme for reducing the birth rate of any society, but it is at odds with may cultures' traditional values, and it has a generational lag-time, so it requires both courage and vision. For this reason, it is not widely adopted.

      The strategy is this: Send girls to school.

      If women are empowered culturally, and have expectations of building their own lives and careers, their preferences regarding children change. If they are taught to think independently, they will choose partners with similar preferences, and the birth rate will fall.

      Every first-world country has already completed this trajectory, and in many cases, it was wrenching, and the social costs were high, but in the end, these societies attained a very high standard of living with a low birth rate.

      The good news is, in most societies in the world, this is already underway. Increasing wealth and the perpetually-rising middle class helps a lot with this. It's likely that, in 100 years, we will be wringing our hands over how to continue to grow the economy in the face of a shrinking global population.

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    23. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by EraserMouseMan · · Score: 1

      Please enlighten us. Which "people" are you referring to? Which races and which countries?

    24. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      well at least slashdot crowd is not to blame..

    25. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by mark-t · · Score: 1
      It's far more tractable to end the life of someone who is living than it is to attempt to prevent people from ever living in the first place... breeding is a natural human instinct, and absolutely nothing that anyone can possibly do could ever hope to suppress it at the scale that would be necessary to make any real difference.

      If people are simply killed, then the choice to breed is no longer an option, so it is a much more effective way to guarantee population control.

    26. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      9 billion, actually, according to projections. But yeah.

    27. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Actually, according to UN projection, the population should stabilise at around 9 billions. If the so-called first world is any indication, the population will then start to decrease.

      http://www.gapminder.org/videos/reducing-child-mortality-a-moral-and-environmental-imperative/

      Also, wars are no good to cull populations. Never were, never will be -- unless we all die.

    28. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by RazzleFrog · · Score: 1

      You do realize that it wouldn't be some instant massive drop. People won't start dying tomorrow if they don't have 3 or more kids. It would be a gradual decrease - assuming it could actually be enforced worldwide.

      At the end of the day - it is irresponsible to have more than 3 kids and should be illegal to have more than 5. People who have 8 or more should be forced to clean prison toilets with their tongues.

    29. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      It's not sustainable. It creates a vacuum that will be filled. Witness the vast immigration from south America into North America and Muslims to Europe. At the current rate, both population groups are expected to explode in population faster than they can assimilate into their new hosted nation. Within the span of a few generations, America and Europe will be redefined or be replace entirely. If the later occurs, the concept of "Women's Rights" might be rendered obsolete via population and culture shift.

      --
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    30. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by improfane · · Score: 1

      This is a very good idea. While independent entrepreneurial women are on the rise (just watch The Apprentice and British television) there is a significant problem with teenage prenancies in the UK.

      That is 16 year olds (and sometimes younger) having children and living off the state as single mothers.

      There's a massive page on Wikipedia dedicated to it.

      We're frankly overrun. You go to a coastal town and you will see young girls with babies everywhere: Cleethorpes, Ramsgate, Margate. It's horrific.

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    31. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by improfane · · Score: 1
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    32. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're thinking too small. If we start populating other worlds the human race will start expanding exponentially.

    33. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by tverbeek · · Score: 1

      There's nothing immoral about saying people should stop having so many babies. Not even Catholics are opposed to it in principle (though they seem intent on making it difficult). The question is how to accomplish it.

      I think we've seen that China's approach (a heavy-handed "one child" policy) has serious problems. I'm not a big fan of forced sterilization, either. The standard Western approach to discouraging things we don't want to ban (tax large families) is something that the Religious Right the Fiscal Right and the Social Welfare Left would unite in opposition to.

      But for this problem, it isn't even the US and Europe that are to blame; their current population growth is ecologically sustainable for the foreseeable future. The problem lies in the "developing world", where people over-reproduce for economic (and to a lesser extent, cultural) reasons. There's a lot of things that go into it, but put simply: it's because they are poor. So the way to fix (most of ) the over-reproduction problem is to fix that. Easy peasy.

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    34. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by tverbeek · · Score: 1

      No need for that; I'll die of natural causes with no offspring before we rich critical population levels. :p

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    35. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      An interesting logical offshoot of such predictions, will the masses hold religious organizations responsible for the reckless promotion of boundless reproduction? Will people demand the Pope's head on a stick after watching million die a miserable death knowing the dead and dying would have never suffered had responsible sanity been promoted rather than reckless, illogical, and outright dangerous concepts of sex and reproduction?

    36. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by tverbeek · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The pre-requisite to sending girls to school in most of these societies is giving the family the financial security that they can risk losing that girl as either a worker (e.g. on the family farm) or as a future source of dowry income.

      "It's likely that, in 100 years, we will be wringing our hands over how to continue to grow the economy in the face of a shrinking global population."

      Why? The only reason we need to continually "grow the economy" is because the population is growing. If we had a stable population, we could have a stable economy and relax a bit.

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    37. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by LingNoi · · Score: 1

      The wikipedia page you linked to not only says that conception rates are lower then previous years it also says that abortion rates are higher. I fail to see the problem there apart from the fact that the poor are uneducated (who'd guessed!).

    38. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by haruchai · · Score: 1

      What's your sentence for the Duggars, of "19 and counting" fame?

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    39. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

      breeding is a natural human instinct

      So is staying alive. Come try and end my life, and I'll demonstrate the concept.

    40. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

      So this is where I am compelled to insert my rant...

      They have pills for that.

    41. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by gnick · · Score: 1

      Have to nit-pick a nerd foul. Chewy never lived on Endor, he just visited for a little bit to get some chores done. Not positive about any ground-based home for Chewy, but his family lives on Kashyyyk.

      --
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    42. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by m.ducharme · · Score: 1

      Could you provide some links? My Google-fu has failed me.

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    43. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What I don't get is why all the people who think the planet is so horribly overpopulated are still alive to complain. Isn't that kind of selfish?

      (Oh wait, they're just staying alive because someone has to point out how horribly overpopulated the planet is and show humanity the wrongness of its sexy ways.)

    44. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by BlueKitties · · Score: 1

      Oh for bullocks sake. "Requires both courage and vision" ? Oh yeth, soooo courageous and progressive! DARING! A tour de force of epic proportions! Cry me a bleeding serious-as-a-heart-attack river. Right, because educated men just want to make tons and tons of children, but if you make the women smart the population problem goes away because they refuse to be baby factories. Bullocks. The reason it improves society is because well treated girls make for healthier, happier, and more caring mothers, which means the next generation has better parental care. Women being bold and progressive with more rights has little to do with it -- it's just a means to an ends (better upbringing.) And there's absolutely nothing "Daring" or "Courageous" about treating girls well. It's not because the third world "lacks vision" that they aren't sending their girls to school, it's because they're too busy fighting mass starvation and disease. Give them stability, and the rest will follow.

      --
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    45. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

      and absolutely nothing that anyone can possibly do could ever hope to suppress it at the scale that would be necessary to make any real difference.

      I doubt that anyone could possibly know this for certain.

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    46. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Obviously it is sustainable, as it keeps growing. When it stops growing, that means it is no longer sustainable.

    47. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by fishbowl · · Score: 1

      Uh, won't that achieve the same end result of reducing the population by one?

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    48. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not the solution. Better to pull out a gun and remove as many OTHERS from the population as possible. This is the way it has always been done. And don't stop having children. Have as many as you think you can raise to your standards. And do your best to make room for them in the world by clearing out excess other people.

      Only a complete idiot would remove THEMSELVES from the population, unless they thought they were too good for life or something. Then again, maybe they would be right in that case..

    49. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These "enlightened" first world countries require unenlightened labor elsewhere in the world to exist. The fact is that population will go up until resources are limited and then population will go down. Some people think it's a genuine question to ask weather humans are more intelligent than yeast. I think asking that question demonstrates the massive denial we all participate in.

    50. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by ShavedOrangutan · · Score: 1

      The strategy is this: Send girls to school.

      If women are empowered culturally, and have expectations of building their own lives and careers, their preferences regarding children change.

      It's also substantially more difficult to procreate after devoting earlier years to education and career. A couple starting out in their mid thirties aren't going to have seven kids. One or two if they're lucky.

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    51. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by ProfBooty · · Score: 1

      I'd be curious to know the religons makeup of countries which are experiencing high population growth. I don't think that india and china are anywhere near majority catholic. On the otherhand north america and south america had roughly equal population sizes in the 1950's and south america has had rapid growth.

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    52. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by anonymousNR · · Score: 1

      Your suggested strategy sounds great, and also may be its a very good milestone.
      However according to Hans Rosling it is child mortality we need to focus on. We reduce child mortality considerably the population will stop growing. He has some interesting statistics and estimations on this. They are available on his website too

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    53. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by digitrev · · Score: 1

      The GP was clearly being facetious. It's called rhetoric, and it's usually a pretty good way of both making your point and, in this case, mocking how people tend to overlook the simpler options.

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    54. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Evtim · · Score: 1

      Until we meet the aliens, who either

      - behave like us (virus) and kill us all as competition

      or

      - are clever to sustain working multi species relations that preserve all and they kill us because we are a plague and want to take all the fucking Universe for ourselves.

      Sure there is the infinitesimal chance that we are the first species in space. I am not counting on that.

      In fact I believe that Nature imposes a kind of cosmic censorship. You need long time and plenty of resources to colonize. Very likely you need to expand and use your solar system not only one planet. But to reach that point you inevitably must pass the test of sustainability. I also think that evolution is universal process which means that every technological species must have their wild period when power is used most unwise. This is what we have now - rampant destruction and waste and total refusal to take responsibility for our deeds. We took the power, but avoided the responsibility. We will pay for our lack of vision:)

      It's the economy though, not some flaw in human nature or some original sin....
         

    55. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      The developing world is developing. As their standard of living increases, people eat more because they starve less.

    56. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by atrain728 · · Score: 2

      Obligitory Idiocracy reference.

      Unfortunately, this only applies to slowing the breeding of the intelligent, industrious members of society. Perhaps we can grow the size of the population of those members of society, but by encouraging them not to breed it seems unlikely.

      Meanwhile, those less industrious, less intelligent members of society continue to pump out babies till the cows come home...

    57. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      NO. Human population is already reaching a plateau. The reproduction rate of Japan, US and Europe is at or below the replacement rate and falling. It is only by immigration that we can achieve population stability. As the rest of the worlds standard of living improves, their reproduction rate will fall as well. Human population will not rise over 10 to 12 billion.

    58. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      Um no, the single best mass contraceptive in existence is a modern western lifestyle full of material excess. The US, Europe and Japan are below the replacement rate.

    59. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Radtastic · · Score: 1

      National Geographic has been running a good series on this: http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2011/01/seven-billion/kunzig-text

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    60. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Nadaka · · Score: 1

      No, it is mostly because many strains of religion which are most popular in the developing world demand that women be treated as property and have less opportunities than men.

    61. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

      Ssssh! Don't give away his surprise!

    62. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by penguin_dance · · Score: 0

      Population control.

      We cannot sustain this a constant growing population.

      Call me immoral but people should stop having as many kids as they are.

      And that's what Hitler said....

      Enviably someone then pipes up and says, well we shouldn't stop educated people from having kids, because they're needed. No we need to stop the undesirables (insert definition here____) from breeding idiots that don't contribute society. Such arguments led to Planned Parenthood, btw.

      Slippery, slippery slope!

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    63. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by improfane · · Score: 1

      I wasn't aware that Hitler advocated contraception like condoms or abortions. Even just financial incentives are a way to control populations.

      One day you might break your legs jumping to conclusions.

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    64. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Cimexus · · Score: 1

      While I agree that that is what will probably occur, the question needs to be asked: are we even capable of even getting to that peak without massive problems (famine, war, disease).

      As you say all first world countries - North America, Europe, Australia and NZ, Japan and Korea etc. - already have negative population growth (not including immigration), and places like China are likely to get there too before too long. India is a bit more of a concern. But most projections I've seen do see us plateauing off within the next 100-150 years somewhere between 10 and 14 billion. But do we have the resources to (even temporarily) cope with those numbers? It's close to double what we have now (and the strain is already showing in some ways).

      I think humanity has the knowledge and technology to cope with those numbers, personally. But they may not have the political and personal will to make necessary (and perhaps difficult) changes that will be necessary. There are so many societal, religious and political factors in play here across the world's various cultures that I honestly am not particularly optimistic. Even in the West, it seems like even comparatively minor changes draw uproar from one segment of the community or another, so politicians just play it safe and shy away from major reform (because they know that change is politically unpopular).

    65. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2

      Of course, genocide is the only way of population control know to man. That's how the highly developed countries are doing it internally, right? Whenever I read bullshit like this - and it invariably pops up in every discussion regarding population control - I get the feeling that the respective poster works from a perspective of "Well, given the opportunity, I'd absolutely, positively love me a decent genocide, if I only could get away with it" and then ascribes his warped perspective to others.

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    66. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Scarletdown · · Score: 1

      Have to nit-pick a nerd foul. Chewy never lived on Endor, he just visited for a little bit to get some chores done. Not positive about any ground-based home for Chewy, but his family lives on Kashyyyk.

      The GP was actually making a South Park reference. I'm not 100% familiar with it myself, but it was something called the Chewbacca Defense (most likely in the link GP included).

      Oh, and you forgot to mention Chewie's family: his father Itchy, his wife Molla, and his son, Lumpy.

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    67. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Sectoid_Dev · · Score: 1

      I can swear I've heard this argument before.

    68. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Capt.DrumkenBum · · Score: 1

      I have been demanding his head on a stick for decades, not that it has done any good.
      Of course anyone who takes birth control advice from an unmarried, celibate, man in a dress needs to have their head examined.

      --
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    69. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Someone needs help with basic arithmatic and it's not the GP post (hint it's you). 1.3% rate increase (current growth rate for the world) will have a person on every square foot of dry land in a mere 700 years. In fact, it'll turn that 7 billion into 14 billion in a mere 50 years. But people like you don't think 1.3% is very much, do you? I mean we haven't run out yet, have we? It will never happen?

      The inevitable consequence of continued growth is always, 100% of the time, running out. That's what continued growth means. At some point growth will stop, whether we stop it ourselves or let nature (and our own barbarism) take its course is up to us. I suspect we'll take the sit back approach since most folks seem to be planted in your camp.

    70. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by compro01 · · Score: 1
      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    71. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But Chewie never moved from Endor. IIRC, the defense was that it didn't make sense that a wookie was on Endor, not that a wookie lived there.

    72. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The answer to energy is thorium. It's also the answer to water, since desalination takes lots of energy. Food isn't as big a problem as it's made out to be, and it can be solved by genetic modifications.

      Our real problem is corporations and the lack of accountability.

    73. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by iceaxe · · Score: 1

      That sounds pretty good to me. Can you provide some sources, so I can judge whether you're just making it up?

      (Seriously, I want this to be true.)

      --
      WALSTIB!
    74. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by compro01 · · Score: 1

      1. Liberia - 4.5% growth, 80% Christianity, 12% Islam
      2. Burundi - 3.9% growth, 69% Christianity (62% Catholic), 10% Islam
      3. Afghanistan, 3.85% growth, 99% Islam
      4. Western Sahara, 3.72% growth, 99% Islam
      5. East Timor, 3.5% growth, 97% Catholic
      6. Niger, 3.49% growth, 98% Islam
      7. Eritrea, 3.24% growth, 50% Christian (Mostly Oriental Orthodox), 48% Islam
      8. Uganda, 3.24% growth, 84% Christian (42% Catholic, 36% Anglican), 12% Islam
      9. Democratic Republic of the Congo, 3.22% growth, 96% Christian (30% Catholic, 33% Protestant)
      10. Palestinian territories, 3.18% growth, 75% Islam, 17% Jewish

      With regard to India, their population growth rate is dropping like a stone. Their total fertility rate has fallen by 0.3 in just the past 5 years. They're going to be below replacement rate shortly.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    75. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by RsG · · Score: 1

      No, the problem with energy isn't finite nuclear fuel. Thorium will do for that, but so will breeder reactors. Or fusion, if we can make it work before peak uranium kicks in.

      The nuclear problem is jointly one of cost and public acceptance. Cutting corners on cost raises a different problem - safety. But even if nuclear wasn't faced with a whole series of severe PR nightmares, it wouldn't be enough by itself.

      Transportation fuel is a more finite resource than fuel for generating electricity. You could get rid of coal fired power plants by building nuclear ones, and frankly I think we ought to, but you can't replace gasoline with thorium, uranium, deuterium or anything else along the same lines.

      And the problem isn't one of meeting current demand, which we can do, it's meeting twice that level of demand in forty years time.

      (Note: Thorium is still a good idea as one part of the solution, but it isn't "the answer to energy" as you put it. I'm all for it, but I'm realistic about where our deficiencies are/will be.)

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    76. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Why more than 3? At that rate of 3 your doing more than replacing yourself. Why not limit it to 2? Can I buy child credits (like carbon credits) from someone who doesn't want to have kids? My country has a negative growth rate. Why should they enforce any kind of maximum on the number of children? There countries with high birth rates tend to have many more problems to police than telling people how many kids they can have. Granted in many of those cases they would solve some problems this way, but they got bigger problems anyway. For the record, I have 3 kids and we aren't having any more. However, I think that this problem really can't be fixed because the countries with the problems really don't want to be the ones dealing with enforcing it.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    77. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by FlavaFlavivirus · · Score: 1

      I am jelly donuts?

    78. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      Why? The only reason we need to continually "grow the economy" is because the population is growing. If we had a stable population, we could have a stable economy and relax a bit.

      No, the reason is to support the global banking cartels of the elites and government financing that it supports (and which in turn supports the banks.) Deflation is the absolute scourge of the banker, as the entire basis of their wealth and control is inflation. And now that currency (including the US dollar, used as the international reserve currency) is nothing but fiat money, the importance of having economic growth and inflation is even more pronounced. When cheap labor starts becoming scarce, it will spell real trouble for the international elites.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    79. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by BlueKitties · · Score: 1

      Are you sure? Because there are plenty of feminist twits who say that sort of thing all the time and mean it whole heartily.

      --
      "Sorrow is better than laughter, for by sadness of face the heart is made glad." [Ecclesiastes 7:3]
    80. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by fritsd · · Score: 1

      You're thinking too small. If we start populating other worlds the human race will start expanding exponentially.

      Yes, but that is only possible for a small elite, I think: the costs of moving off-planet are largely fixed by the enormous energy necessary to overcome Earth's gravity in a small tin can suitable to transfer colonists to, say, geostationary orbit.
      And currently we grow by approx 70 million people per year, how much does it cost (expressed in terms of renewable energy) to launch them all?
      Earth is a thermodynamically open system in the sense only that it gets renewable energy from the Sun. We've got enough carbon (and to spare, see global warming) and water for the kerosene-oxygen fuel so we'd need to recycle the steel of the launchers (maybe import some from the asteroids).
      But talking about thinking too small: I don't think 70 million people will *ever* be launched per year; much cheaper to just invent teleportation and construct their "receiver" bodies outside of a deep gravity well ;-)

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    81. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by mark-t · · Score: 1

      I shouldn't have to... unless one is willing to commit suicide to solve the problem of overpopulation, then they must admit that they are part of the problem and that they aren't willing to take matters into their own hands to try to solve it in the only way they can that doesn't infringe on anybody else's rights.

      Fwiw... I know I'm part of the problem...

    82. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      OK ... do something, pull out gun, and remove yourself from the population.

      Please note the slight difference between not making a child at all, and killing one.
      We are discussing the "not making so many children", and you try to kill the discussion by implying murder or suicide is the only option.

      Technically, he didn't say it was the only option, just an easy one for the poster he was responding to.

    83. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      Uh, won't that achieve the same end result of reducing the population by one?

      Yes, but the "wrong person" would die. See, the ones who live need to be the enlightened ones so they can continue the crusade.

    84. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      This only ends one way, and any fool can see it.

      I dunno what fools see, but how this will likely end is that the developing countries populations stabilize as their standard of living rises, after which the global population will slightly decline.

      No, the real challenge waiting human race is the looming energy crisis: can we produce enough energy to bring a high standard of living to everyone without completely destroying the environment in the process? Or, in other words: can we get over our fear of nuclear power in time?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    85. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by cartman · · Score: 1

      What I don't understand is going from 7 to 8 billion people increases food requirements by 50%?

      The world population is getting wealthier rapidly. Wealthier people consume more meat, which requires us to feed animals, which requires higher food production to feed the same number of people. Let me explain.

      Meat production is not calorically efficient. It takes 5+ calories of grain (fed to an animal) to produce 1 calorie of meat. Beef is particularly bad; a cow must eat 10 calories of corn to yield one calorie of beef. Therefore, if we all ate nothing but beef, we would have to produce 10x the amount of grains per day for the same number of beef calories.

      As people get wealthier, they eat more meat, which causes a greater caloric loss, which requires much more grain production to feed the same number of people.

    86. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by ProppaT · · Score: 1

      And the second that any rational person suggests this, even in passive forms such as tax benefits for those who undergo voluntary sterilization, people start calling you a Nazi baby killer.

      Seriously. No one's saying stop having kids, but think about the fact that we're living longer than we used to before you have more than one child. Especially before you have more than 2. We're past the days where you have 4-5 kids to help work on the farm. We're in the days where you make a significant impact to the environment when you start adding to the population, especially in first world countries.

      --
      Wise men say, "Forgiveness is divine, but never pay full price for late pizza."
    87. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 1

      But Chewie never moved from Endor. IIRC, the defense was that it didn't make sense that a wookie was on Endor, not that a wookie lived there.

      FYI...

      Cochran ...ladies and gentlemen of this supposed jury, I have one final thing I want you to consider. Ladies and gentlemen, this is Chewbacca. Chewbacca is a Wookiee from the planet Kashyyyk. But Chewbacca lives on the planet Endor. Now think about it; that does not make sense!

      --
      Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
    88. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by tverbeek · · Score: 1

      I was challenging a widely-held assumption, not asking for someone to give a tired rant about the banking system.

      --
      http://alternatives.rzero.com/
    89. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's an implicit "beyond the short term" in these comments that seems to be escaping your understanding.

    90. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Transportation fuel is a more finite resource than fuel for generating electricity. You could get rid of coal fired power plants by building nuclear ones, and frankly I think we ought to, but you can't replace gasoline with thorium, uranium, deuterium or anything else along the same lines.

      Once you have plentiful energy, couldn't you just rebuild oil from atmospheric carbon and water? The plants do just that, after all.

      Perhaps gene-manipulated algae, grown under solar lamps powered by nuclear power - or perhaps we should bite the bullet and turn seas into fuel farms?

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    91. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Deflation is the absolute scourge of the banker, as the entire basis of their wealth and control is inflation.

      Deflation helps the banker just as much as everyone else, if not more; after all, his money gains value with no risk just like everyone else's, and he has more of it.

      No, the real problem with deflation is that people are less willing to invest, since you need a higher return on investment to justify doing so when the alternative is just sitting there and letting your buying power increase on its own.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    92. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Why? The only reason we need to continually "grow the economy" is because the population is growing. If we had a stable population, we could have a stable economy and relax a bit.

      Given a stable population, the economy will still continue growing, because people keep on inventing new things and more efficient ways of doing old things. What we can get rid of with stable population is trying to accelerate the pace of the growth with artificial "bubbles", and rather invest in real growth through science and technology, or knowledge and skill if you prefer those terms.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    93. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      I was challenging a widely-held assumption, not asking for someone to give a tired rant about the banking system.

      I don't accept your premise that it's a widely-held assumption. I assert that it's a meme intentionally propagated by the (compromised) mainstream media.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    94. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by RsG · · Score: 1

      Yeah, that's either biofuel or synthetic fuel, depending on whether organisms were used. The problem is more that the sheer amount of energy needed in order to produce a few million litres of petroleum-equivalent fuel makes it prohibitive. It might come to that if we start to run low enough on oil, or if biofuels derived from non-agricultural sources take off, but I wouldn't bet my life on it.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    95. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by tverbeek · · Score: 1

      "I don't accept your premise that it's a widely-held assumption"

      Then you're not just out of touch with the general public, you're out of touch with reality. Thanks for stopping in.

      --
      http://alternatives.rzero.com/
    96. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by tverbeek · · Score: 1

      "Growing the economy" doesn't mean "doing new things". It means creating more jobs, more goods produced, more money circulated, etc. You only need that if a) there's a current shortage of jobs/goods/etc, or b) the population is growing.

      --
      http://alternatives.rzero.com/
    97. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by izomiac · · Score: 1

      Personally, I don't trust any prediction about humanity past about twenty years. Linear or exponential extrapolation is easy, predicting the future is hard. The equation size for population size given carrying capacity assumes that K (the carrying capacity) is a constant. For humans, it has been anything but. It took 66 years from the Wright Brothers' first powered flight to Neil Armstrong's stepping on the Moon. I'm inclined to believe that the next 66 years will enable us to tap the practically infinite resources of space. Assuming we don't boondoggle with unmanned probes for another 40 years, of course. =)

    98. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Wandering+Idiot · · Score: 1

      breeding is a natural human instinct, and absolutely nothing that anyone can possibly do could ever hope to suppress it at the scale that would be necessary to make any real difference.

      You're apparently unfamiliar with birthrate trends in modern idustrialized societies. You're also kind of an idiot, for making such definitive statements when talking out your ass.

      Honestly, it takes real effort and drive towards the goal to be as wrong as you are.

    99. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Wandering+Idiot · · Score: 1

      Are you just congenitally incapable of reading your own links, or what?

      "Births to teenagers increased during the 1960s and peaked in 1971 at 50.6 per thousand of the population. Since 1971 they have gradually fallen to their lowest level since the mid Fifties."

    100. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by terjeber · · Score: 1

      We don't have a problem of a "constant growing population". Read up on the topic.

    101. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by terjeber · · Score: 1

      Nope. Since the world will probably never hit 10 billion with the current population growth measures, we don't have a problem. TFA is just fear mongering bullshit.

    102. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Dilaudid · · Score: 1

      Thank you for making this point so eloquently.

    103. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by kattisch · · Score: 1

      YOU ARE THE REAL FOOL! Did you know the entire population of the earth could fit into the state of Rhode Island? Or that if you gave every man, woman, and child on this earth a plot of land the size of 33' x 33' everyone on the face of this earth -- all 7 billion -- can fit within the state of Texas. A family of 4 would have a pretty decent size plot and could live quite comfortably. You are propagating a global elitist eugenicist plot to remove 6 billion people from the earth (See Georgia Guidestones). Wake up and DO THE MATH!! You are repeating your pavolian response just like the globalist want you to. You have learned your training well. See OverpopulationIsAMyth dot com!

    104. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by bryanbuckley · · Score: 1

      The reason given is rising standard of living. People living in abject poverty (and I don't mean first world slums, I mean abject poverty which is something most slashdotters have never seen firsthand) have lots of kids. Raise them out of poverty to a standard of living that includes such luxuries as medicine, clean water, adequate food and shelter and they have fewer kids. This is human nature, and it's as true for the western world as it is elsewhere. Our population growth didn't slow until our conditions improved, so why should we expect otherwise elsewhere?

      So we will eventually hit population stability. Now the catch is that the global demand for energy will more than double in the process. Given that many of our energy sources are either environmentally disastrous or finite, this is going to become a problem, as is competition for other natural resources. So we're not out of the woods, but Malthusian predictions about population growth are as wrong now as they were when they were new.

      True. The real doom and gloom is that more people are coming out of poverty thus consuming more resources and the corollary of negatively impacting the environment. Some people would rather have 4 billion impoverished than 2 billion with an order of magnitude better standard of living. Of course in other domains there is plenty of money to be made by increased standards of living.

    105. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by KingBenny · · Score: 1

      past few years there's been a trend here , the ageing populace encourage the younger generations to have more children, otherwise there won't be enough people to take care of them, there won't be enough working people to fund their pensions ... ever since i have been thinking this is fundamentally flawed since having more children now means you will have to have even more later for each one you pop out now. Also, exactly WHAT kind of job will all these kids be doing when they grow up. Jobs are scarce as it is and unless we get another krieg and the need to rebuild from scratch (let's hope not) i don't see that changing. Am i the only person who sees it like this ? Imo birth control is the one and only option we have barring colonization of another planet.

      --
      Free speech was meant to be free for all... how can anyone grow up in a nanny state ?
    106. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lack of modern farming techniques limiting food production and lack of modern transport to get it to the people.

    107. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      So - what discovery is going to allow a "stable" population of 9 million? As population increases the effects of any disruption in critical resources like food are likewise increased.Too often we look at numbers like the difference between as 7 billion and 9 billion people are like the difference between 7 and 9. But it isn't - it's 2 billion people.

      So unless some new technology comes along, like maybe zero point energy, I'm estimating that a world of 9 billion people will be largely subsisting on algae grown in huge factories. We might even be able to reach 10 to 15 billion people that way. If humans can adapt to using a lot less energy, it is possible. It might be a sort of techno-banana republic dark ages royalty/serf sort of world, with a very few extremely wealthy folks, and most of the rest of us subsisting on that algae.

      I'd rather Malthus be right than live that kind of "life".

      Plus Malthus being wrong absolutely does not mean that the earth does not have some sort of upper limit on how many humans can live on it.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    108. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by penguin_dance · · Score: 1

      When I read comments like yours, I realize why no one posts on Slashdot anymore.

      --
      If you've never been modded as "flamebait" or "troll," you've never tried to argue a minority viewpoint here!
    109. Re:7 billion? No wait, 8? 9? by improfane · · Score: 1

      Go back to Digg.

      --
      Slashdot needs Geekcode | Can anyone recommend any good SCIFI? My tastes: Foundation, Startide Rising, CITY, Ringworld,
  2. and still no one loves me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    :(

    1. Re:and still no one loves me by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I 3 u

  3. Doug got it right a long time ago. by GNUALMAFUERTE · · Score: 4, Funny
    --
    WTF am I doing replying to an AC at 5 A.M on a Friday night?
    1. Re:Doug got it right a long time ago. by EnsilZah · · Score: 1

      Damn for a moment there I thought I missed the malthusian themed episode of Doug .

    2. Re:Doug got it right a long time ago. by GNUALMAFUERTE · · Score: 1

      Nah, there is only one George, one Bill, and one Doug (Carlin, Hicks, Stanhope)

      --
      WTF am I doing replying to an AC at 5 A.M on a Friday night?
  4. please donate now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Voluntary Human Extinction movement needs all the help it can get.

  5. Unsustainable growth by improfane · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I must be old and grumpy and cynical.

    Humans consistently underestimate exponential growth. If you have a bigger population, it will grow faster.

    Who honestly thinks humans are immune from population cycles of the animal kingdom? of overpopulation killoff? We're due for a war soon. War is just human's way of normalizing the population for resources.

    I don't want kids and it annoys me when I see massive families. What does that make me? A dead end in genetic material or "Idiocracy" in the making?

    --
    Slashdot needs Geekcode | Can anyone recommend any good SCIFI? My tastes: Foundation, Startide Rising, CITY, Ringworld,
    1. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know. War rarely kills off that many people, especially these days. More likely, disease will be the major killer that wipes out a good fraction of the Earth's population. Flu is a pretty likely suspect, for example (even with our best medicine, the wrong mutation in a novel flu strain will easily kill 10-20% or more of the world's population).

      Although I suppose war also does tend to bring along with it lots of disease.

    2. Re:Unsustainable growth by jo42 · · Score: 2

      What does that make me?

      Someone with a brain that actually uses it.

      Humanity has to limit the explosive population growth and the raping of the planet's finite resources -- if it wants to survive past the end of this century.

    3. Re:Unsustainable growth by Ephemeriis · · Score: 2

      I must be old and grumpy and cynical.

      Humans consistently underestimate exponential growth. If you have a bigger population, it will grow faster.

      Who honestly thinks humans are immune from population cycles of the animal kingdom? of overpopulation killoff? We're due for a war soon. War is just human's way of normalizing the population for resources.

      I don't want kids and it annoys me when I see massive families. What does that make me? A dead end in genetic material or "Idiocracy" in the making?

      This annoys the everloving hell out of me.

      We are genuinely looking at exponential growth. More people = more mating pairs = faster population growth. And it is only going to get worse.

      I'm not yet at the point where I'd advocate mandatory sterilization or zero population growth policies...

      But, at the same time, I think it's downright asinine that we're still encouraging people to be fruitful and multiply. Assorted churches are still against birth control. Assorted fundamentalist groups are trying to outlaw abortion and eliminate sexual education and shut down groups like Planned Parenthood. We've got plenty of television shows that celebrate irresponsible parenting.

      --
      "Work is the curse of the drinking classes." -Oscar Wilde
    4. Re:Unsustainable growth by paziek · · Score: 1

      It makes you into example as to how evolution eliminates those that aren't fit. And you are helping it by yourself. Kudos to you.
      I also see that there is a lot more people than it was 100 years ago, but there is still plenty of food that is thrown away, just to not over-saturate market; or limits in how much you can produce, fined if you fail to comply. At least here in EU. There are places that don't use any modern technology in crop cultivation, so there is room for improvement too. We don't know what future technology will bring either. Maybe we will go into space and start living in domes on Mars? Or maybe we die... but you can't be sure and if people would just let it go if any doubt would arise, then we would be still using rocks for hunting.

    5. Re:Unsustainable growth by tmosley · · Score: 2

      My God there's a lot of death worship going on around here.

      If you read between the lines, you would see that 8 billion is predicted to be the PEAK. Humans aren't dumb animals. We don't breed when resources are rare. Further, we aren't even going to be resource limited. We also cut back on breeding when children cost to much, as is the case in advanced nations. More nations are becoming that way, shifting from rural subsistence agriculture (which requires a lot of children), to urban division of labor.

      People with a lot of kids make the news because they are so RARE, not because they are common. Christ, get a grip, people.

    6. Re:Unsustainable growth by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 2

      We are way past sustainable resource usage due to our population already. Of course we breed when resources are rare. We have been doing it for decades.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    7. Re:Unsustainable growth by shellster_dude · · Score: 1

      Excellent point.

      All these doomsayers always point to their exponential growth charts which have all but been debunked, when you look at how humans adapt in the face of adversity. We stop or severely curtail our growth when resources are rare, and/or more expensive. The other thing we do, is invent our way out of the situation. In spite of all this...in spite of the fact that the earth's population is getting older (which while a good thing for longevity; it's bad for reproductive means), every other day we have a new doomsayer claiming that we'll be eating each other in 20 years.

      "Economic Protectionist" is a fancy way of saying Eugenics and Communism. The easy at which people except the false choice of Eugenics or eating each other, is truly frightening.

    8. Re:Unsustainable growth by Dog-Cow · · Score: 1

      It makes you a moron. If you don't have kids, why the fuck do you care about population growth? It's not going to affect you, and you don't have any progeny, so let the world blow itself up in a 100 years. Why does it bother you at all?

      Or it's possible that you're just extremely selfish and want the world to last just long enough for you to pleasure yourself. Either way, make it simple and kill yourself off.

    9. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The latter. People who are smart enough to know better should be the ones having the kids. Every intellectual needs to stop cutting their balls off and start using them.

    10. Re:Unsustainable growth by Dog-Cow · · Score: 1

      If you read between their lines, you will see that these people are worried that all Hell will break loose before they have finished getting their pleasure. They are just selfish assholes and nothing more.

    11. Re:Unsustainable growth by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 0

      OK, the same group who made this statement, also, predicts that human population will peak at 9 billion and then start to decline. This prediction is based on current demographic trends. That is, currently, the number of children that adults have is declining in almost all parts of the world. In developed countries, the number of children born is not enough to replace the existing population, so populations are declining (unless this is being made up for via immigration). Even in the majority of developing countries the number of children being born relative to the existing population is declining (and has been for several generations).
      Finally, the average daily caloric intake in developing countries has been increasing for quite some time. In the 1960s, the average daily caloric intake in developing countries was below the minimum to avoid stravation (by a lot). The last report I saw on this subject indicates that the average daily caloric intake in developing countries is now at the level considered necessary for survival or marginally above it. My recollection is that in the 60s the average daily caloric intake in developing countries was somewhere aroung 500 calories, while today it is somewhere around 2800 calories. I don't remember exactly, but those numbers are in the ballpark of the real numbers.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    12. Re:Unsustainable growth by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      We are way past sustainable resource usage due to our population already. Of course we breed when resources are rare. We have been doing it for decades.

      What resources are rare? We throw away more food than we eat. We have energy so cheaply we take joy rides for fun. Aside from a few very densely populated areas, the majority of the planet is largely uninhabited. People have been worrying about a scarcity of resources for decades, but none have actually become scarce yet, much less actually been rare for decades.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    13. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Humans aren't dumb animals. We don't breed when resources are rare.

      Have you ever been to Africa ? Humans are just as dumb as every other animal species regarding the survival of the whole mankind (and not only the survival of their own lives).

    14. Re:Unsustainable growth by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Who is "we"? The winners of the Great Resource Grab of the last century? What percentage of the world population is "taking joyrides for fun"? What percentage is throwing away more food than they eat? Seen the oil prices lately? They are gonna stay there - and go up further. Production has been on a plateau for years and that is not because demand has gone down - as shown by the price trend. You are aware of the declining availability of fresh water in large areas of the world? You are aware that fisheries are collapsing all over the place?

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    15. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah, just colonize the moon, mars, and orbit for more space. Think about the surface area of solar emissions at 1AU. The Earth receives about 0.001356% of that (186 million mile circumference and 7926 mile diameter of earth). Space stations could be built and launched periodically in a Horseshoe orbit until we've created a Dyson ring. If the sun's energy is enough for Earth, there is enough solar energy at 1AU to support 5 trillion people in the same orbit.

    16. Re:Unsustainable growth by Ephemeriis · · Score: 1

      Humans aren't dumb animals. We don't breed when resources are rare.

      You really believe that?

      Further, we aren't even going to be resource limited.

      Yes we are. Maybe not at 8 billion... But eventually we will be.

      For the time being, we're pretty much limited to the resources on this planet. And they are finite. Give it a little more time and a little more technology, and maybe we can gather resources from the rest of the solar system - but they're also finite. Breed enough people, and you will hit those limits. It's just a matter of timing.

      We also cut back on breeding when children cost to much, as is the case in advanced nations.

      I must not live in an advanced nation then...

      People with a lot of kids make the news because they are so RARE, not because they are common.

      I did not single out people with a lot of kids. I specifically said "irresponsible parenting". It isn't just the Octomom, and all those other big families - but also folks who show up on shows like 16 and Pregnant or Teen Mom.

      I don't worship death. And I'm not even advocating for any drastic policies at this point. But I'm not naive enough to think that we're going to automatically limit ourselves to whatever is sustainable.

      We may very well limit ourselves, and it may all turn out just fine... But it won't happen because some herd mentality kicks in and we all stop procreating because we're putting too much of a strain on the environment, nor will it happen because we all become rational and realize that we can't afford these kids... It'll happen because of studies like this, and the discussions they spur, and the policies that are eventually created in response to them.

      --
      "Work is the curse of the drinking classes." -Oscar Wilde
    17. Re:Unsustainable growth by improfane · · Score: 1

      Congratulations. A hypocrit, on the internet.

      I think ahead, long term, not just about myself. You might only think about your life and not the impacts of your actions on the future, I do. That makes me selfless.

      It's not feasible for me to have children. You should start thinking about the consequences of your actions. The more people like you, the more Idiocracy comes true.

      --
      Slashdot needs Geekcode | Can anyone recommend any good SCIFI? My tastes: Foundation, Startide Rising, CITY, Ringworld,
    18. Re:Unsustainable growth by grimmjeeper · · Score: 1

      So, where are we going to get the material to build the Dyson Ring?

    19. Re:Unsustainable growth by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      I must not live in an advanced nation then...

      You apparently don't live in Europe or North America, since what he's said is a fact in those places. Some European countries have already slipped into negative population growth. The US is heading that way but it's still a couple decades out.

      ... nor will it happen because we all become rational and realize that we can't afford these kids...

      Then your explanation for the fact that this is already happening in places with high costs of living is... ?

      It'll happen because of studies like this, and the discussions they spur, and the policies that are eventually created in response to them.

      See, now that is naive...

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    20. Re:Unsustainable growth by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      Who is "we"?

      Humanity as a whole. If you consider subgroups only, you can find exceptions to what I said, but I was being all-inclusive. To the extent there are scarcities in any of these things mentioned, it's a distribution problem, because we have more than enough for everyone at the moment. That can't continue indefinitely, but it's certainly false that any of these things have been rare in general for decades.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    21. Re:Unsustainable growth by hamburgler007 · · Score: 2

      On the contrary, humans breed the most when resources are at a min

    22. Re:Unsustainable growth by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      Seen the oil prices lately?

      Just have to add... yes, I have, and they're still pretty cheap. I know they're pretty cheap because I have friends debating whether they should continue to live out in the boonies and commute to work every day or move closer to the city. If oil wasn't still cheap, there would be no debating this. It's not as cheap as it used to be, but it's still cheap. Arguably, too cheap, if you would like to see it phased out for something less destructive...

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    23. Re:Unsustainable growth by mypalmike · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Humanity does not make decisions. People make decisions. Just as overpopulation in other species leads to resource starvation (typically food and/or water), so it has been happening and will continue with humans. 18 million humans starve to death each year. The parents of those 18 million quite clearly did not adjust breeding patterns to match available resources.

      --
      There are 0x40000000 types of people: those who understand 32-bit IEEE 754 floating point, and those who don't.
    24. Re:Unsustainable growth by improfane · · Score: 1
      --
      Slashdot needs Geekcode | Can anyone recommend any good SCIFI? My tastes: Foundation, Startide Rising, CITY, Ringworld,
    25. Re:Unsustainable growth by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      I completely agree that at the moment, we are facing mostly distribution problems - definitely when it comes to food, not so certain when it comes to oil. In the case of oil, it seems that production can't keep up with demand. My concern, however, is that this status quo is only held up by the consumption of finite resources, some of which have already peaked, some of which are about to peak. This obviously means that the status quo is not sustainable and has to be changed. The question is, can it be? That actually is a bundle of question with different answers for every single resource - is the resource in question replaceable with something equivalent, how expensive is the transition, is the supply with other resources tied into this one, does the EROI change by the transition? The main problem here is oil - easily replaceable for electricity, probably even affordable to do so, not so easily replaceable as transportation fuel, which will require massive infrastructure investments and quite some technological advancement. That's where the problems lie.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    26. Re:Unsustainable growth by jimrthy · · Score: 1

      War doesn't really have much impact on population. Starvation and disease are the real brakes.

    27. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We should be encouraging anal sex... that will make pregnancy less likely. Oh and encouraging our children to become computer dorks, computer dorks choose to mate with their computers and so far have none have produced any offspring.

    28. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow.

      That is the stupidest comment I have read here is quite a while. And that is not exactly a low bar to jump either.

      40% of the world's population live in exactly TWO countries. And those 2 countries are doing quite well these days. That leaves 190 + countries for the other 60%.

    29. Re:Unsustainable growth by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      We're due for a war soon.

      You mean those dust-ups in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Yemen, and Somalia don't count? Besides that, the most horrific war so far in human history killed about 75 million people, which is a mere 10% of 7 billion people.

      There are 2 real solutions to the problem:
      1. Government policies making it difficult-to-impossible for parents to have lots of kids (the Chinese approach). The biggest drawback of this is that societies with a strong sense of gender roles may engage in infanticide in order to ensure they end up with a male child (which also creates a large pool of sexually frustrated men)
      2. Economic development. Societies with a highly developed economy make birth control readily available and make having children more expensive. That reduces population growth. For instance, many European countries have been contending with negative growth rates for a long time now.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    30. Re:Unsustainable growth by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Personally, you can leave behind two forms of legacy after your death.

      1. Children
      2. Knowledge.

      Spawning children is ok so long as the give back to their community in a positive way for the rest of humanity. They also have the capability to contribute to the pool of knowledge.

      Knowledge. It may be in the form of wealth creation, education, research, etc. But an individual such as yourself can make up your shortcomings with knowledge in place of having a large family. If you feel confident that your contribution to humanity is worthy, then the idea of having a large family or not shouldn't be a concern.

      Now, whether or not your knowledge and contributions will be carried on for future generations can never be guaranteed. That's just the roll of the dice with nature. We all play by the same set of rules in this regard.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    31. Re:Unsustainable growth by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Besides that, the most horrific war so far in human history killed about 75 million people, which is a mere 10% of 7 billion people.

      Oops - obvious math error: Make that 1% of 7 billion people.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    32. Re:Unsustainable growth by improfane · · Score: 1

      Yes.

      I find knowledge more important than children. My aspirations are mental, not physical.

      --
      Slashdot needs Geekcode | Can anyone recommend any good SCIFI? My tastes: Foundation, Startide Rising, CITY, Ringworld,
    33. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. We are most certainly not looking at exponential growth, because humans and other complex animals do not have a behaviour model like bacteria. Go back to school and take a class on the subject, seriously.

    34. Re:Unsustainable growth by CPTreese · · Score: 1

      Mod the parent up!!!! Finally, someone that's a little calmer. Here let me sum up the majority of the previous posts:

      DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! mandatory sterilization!!!!!!!! Abortion!!!!!

      When did we become the master's of other people's fates? Did you ever stop to consider that if your parents espoused your beliefs you might not exist? Are you so advanced and superior that you deserve to determine other people's fates? Yes, we should be deeply concerned with resource efficiency. The two primary concerns will always be energy and food. Have some faith that ingenuity will continue to advance our capabilities and resources.

      How is it that so many on this site demand privacy and freedom in the technological realm yet demand external controls on such basic private decisions like fertility and family size? Do you honestly believe that freedom can be compartmentalized? Will a government that has the right to determine family size choose not to also control every other facet of it's citizen's lives?

      --
      If there is no God then free will is an illusion.
    35. Re:Unsustainable growth by Rockoon · · Score: 3, Informative

      I suppose when only 40% of India's population (thats over 400 million people!) lives below the international poverty line (thats US$1.25 per day) that they are doing quite fantastic....

      You are fucking full of shit. The population of India is not "doing quite well these days" .. quite the fucking opposite, asshole. Over 400 million people are pretty much completely fucking destitute in that "doing quite well" country.. if thats "doing quite well", what the fuck does "doing badly" look like?

      The World Bank, citing estimates made by the World Health Organization, states that "About 49 per cent of the world's underweight children, 34 per cent of the world's stunted children and 46 per cent of the world's wasted children, live in India." Heres a fucking citation.

      Your bullshit is the problem with most westerners. You have no fucking idea how bad it is elsewhere, or the scale of the problem. With 400 million fucking people destitute in Inida, it puts all your other complaints about the world to shame. Global warming? Terrorism? Privacy? Put in perspective, and assuming we actually give a shit about making the world a better place with the countless billions of dollars that we are throwing around, the ONLY thing we should be doing is fixing India... until its fixed.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    36. Re:Unsustainable growth by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

      Humans aren't dumb animals.

      I'd say that the majority are.

      We don't breed when resources are rare.

      That depends on the person.

      --
      Filthy, filthy copyrapists!
    37. Re:Unsustainable growth by EXrider · · Score: 1

      Oil is much more heavily tied to modern civilization than most people realize. Not only does it provide energy for transportation, it's absolutely depended upon for the manufacture of fertilizers, plastic, rubber, lubricants, etc. Massive amounts of people would starve without the fertilizers produced from oil, that's only the tip of the iceberg.

      --
      grep -iw skynet /etc/services
    38. Re:Unsustainable growth by ddegirmenci · · Score: 1

      Well, I live in Turkey and we buy a liter of gasoline for $2.80 here (diesel is $2.30). Considering the minimum wage is around $500, I wouldn't call that cheap at all.

    39. Re:Unsustainable growth by oursland · · Score: 1

      We don't breed when resources are rare.

      It is funny you say that as the highest birth rates are in places such as Sub-Saharan Africa and India where resources are indeed rare.

    40. Re:Unsustainable growth by MaWeiTao · · Score: 1

      We're looking at exponential growth? Really? First of all, that's never going to happen because it simply isn't sustainable. If sustaining exponential growth were possible we should be utterly overrun by insects by now given how rapidly they reproduce.

      But more importantly, a social component needs to be factored in. The more affluent a culture the less likely they are to reproduce. There has been marked population decline in virtually all nations with high standards of living, be they in Europe, the Americas or Asia. Japan and Taiwan have amongst the lowest birthrates in the world. Even China is starting to grow concerned about this as their population ages. Europe has seen population declines for decades now. Parts of Europe, like the US, have only seen growth because of an influx of immigrants. The native population is not reproducing at a sustainable rate.

      The high birthrates of impoverished countries is offset by low life expectancy. But as conditions improve there their populations will begin stabilizing.

      What I can't fathom is how people continue to believe that the world is going to be overrun with people when the numbers show otherwise.

    41. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Humans aren't dumb animals. We don't breed when resources are rare.

      Go to Yemen or Somalia or Ethiopia. Yemen is literally about to run out of water yet the TFR is the highest in the Arab world.

    42. Re:Unsustainable growth by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Neither of the world wars killed a statistically significant portion of even the European population. In the second world war, 60 million were killed, out of a world population of over 3 billion, over a period of meaning that less than 2% of the population died, about 4% of the population of participating countries. These were predominantly men, who don't have a significant impact on the reproductive capability of a population. The war was then followed by the baby boom, where almost 80 million people were born in the USA alone. Overall, the human population increased as a result of the second world war.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    43. Re:Unsustainable growth by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      No one seems to be using Jupiter at the moment...

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    44. Re:Unsustainable growth by grimmjeeper · · Score: 1

      So you want to make the Dyson ring out of... gas?

      I think I see a minor flaw in your theory.

    45. Re:Unsustainable growth by jonamous++ · · Score: 1

      $500 over what period of time? A week?

    46. Re:Unsustainable growth by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

      Well .. The average human is too stupid to reach the same conclusion.

      --
      Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
    47. Re:Unsustainable growth by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

      Humans aren't dumb animals. We don't breed when resources are rare.

      ...Really? In my country, many people have 5, 8, 10 children when they could only sustain one or two. And why they do this? The response is "Porque Deus quer assim" (from portuguese to english: "because God wills it.")

      --
      Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
    48. Re:Unsustainable growth by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

      Well. The majority of humanity thinks like you, and because of that we are moving towards our own doom. Very well done.

      --
      Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
    49. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you sure? What exact metric did you use? I hope this assertion did not materialize out of your asshole.

    50. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What resources are so rare we should stop breeding? Food, Water or Chicken McNuggets?

    51. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the problem with planned parenthood is that its original mission is now loaded with misandric feminist garbage. it's become a front for funding feminist political agendas. unfortunate.

    52. Re:Unsustainable growth by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Brains, intelligence and the ability to keep up with current news, obviously.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    53. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow. Just... Wow.

      Who's to say the baby boom would not have happened without WWII?

      Maybe we should have WWIII so we can have another baby boom in the US and replenish our domestic labor force.

    54. Re:Unsustainable growth by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      So, where are we going to get the material to build the Dyson Ring?

      Assteroids

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    55. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree and find it scary at the path we are on. The worst part is if you instate a "one child per couple" policy, then people pull all this human rights bulls***. We'll see how much human rights fills your stomach or keeps you warm at night after the collapse of unsustainable production to meet such unregulated and irresponsible growth. Next stop: Soylent Green.

    56. Re:Unsustainable growth by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 1

      We're due for a war soon.

      You mean those dust-ups in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Yemen, and Somalia don't count? Besides that, the most horrific war so far in human history killed about 75 million people, which is a mere 10% of 7 billion people.

      There are 2 real solutions to the problem: 1. Government policies making it difficult-to-impossible for parents to have lots of kids (the Chinese approach). The biggest drawback of this is that societies with a strong sense of gender roles may engage in infanticide in order to ensure they end up with a male child (which also creates a large pool of sexually frustrated men) 2. Economic development. Societies with a highly developed economy make birth control readily available and make having children more expensive. That reduces population growth. For instance, many European countries have been contending with negative growth rates for a long time now.

      Good point. The single most successful programs for eliminating population has been governments' killing or starving their own people. More people have died at the hands of their own governments than any other cause.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    57. Re:Unsustainable growth by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      India is going to have to fix itself.

      If we or anybody else tried to 'fix them' the screams of 'imperialism' would drown out Mumbai traffic.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    58. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're letting facts get in the way of a feel good story.

    59. Re:Unsustainable growth by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      I doubt it's gas all the way down.

    60. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      no.. no one's worshiping death. just because we stop breeding when resources run dry doesn't mean the process is painless. a bit of preemptive strategy here can avoid a lot of it.

    61. Re:Unsustainable growth by damnfuct · · Score: 1

      Humans aren't dumb animals.

      Bad assumption ;)

    62. Re:Unsustainable growth by damnfuct · · Score: 1

      (actual facts)

      you better slow down or you might make my day

    63. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ok, 500 calories a day and you are dead within a month

      2800 calories a day and you are an obese american

      it MIGHT have been 1000 calories in the past and 1500 today. BTW 1500 is sufficient for most human beings to thrive on provided the nutrition is good.

    64. Re:Unsustainable growth by damnfuct · · Score: 1

      I also see that there is a lot more people than it was 100 years ago, but there is still plenty of food that is thrown away, just to not over-saturate market; or limits in how much you can produce, fined if you fail to comply. At least here in EU.

      But you have to appreciate that you have a distorted world view due to where you are and were raised. Not saying that distorted is bad, it's just not the whole picture; it's like saying that the whole Earth is only land because you've never seen an ocean

    65. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you actually read the chart legend? The only place that is growing (2+ kids) by that graph is around Africa.

    66. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No we don't, we try to out reproduce and kill our competitors. Don't be dense.

    67. Re:Unsustainable growth by Macrat · · Score: 1

      If you read between the lines, you would see that 8 billion is predicted to be the PEAK. Humans aren't dumb animals. We don't breed when resources are rare.

      You should get out of your parents basement and go talk a walk in the real world.

      the poor are usually the biggest breeders.

    68. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The worst part is if you instate a "one child per couple" policy, then people pull all this human rights bulls***.

      How is the choice to have many children different from other unsustainable choices like eating meat or driving an SUV? Our planet could support considerably more people if we were all vegan and took public transportation. If we're going to limit reproduction, shouldn't we also be limiting other unsustainable freedoms?

    69. Re:Unsustainable growth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Check your facts, people tend to reproduce more when they have less resources not less...

    70. Re:Unsustainable growth by Wandering+Idiot · · Score: 1

      Oh look, it's an Internet Sociopath (TM)! Hi, Internet Sociopath (TM), yes, you are very tough and super rational, and everyone is in awe of your hard-nosed, simpleminded self-interest!

      Now go away, Internet Sociopath (TM), the grownups are trying to talk.

    71. Re:Unsustainable growth by swilver · · Score: 1

      And the problem is that it is actually nature. In nature, animals have lots of offspring to ensure some survive. Many will die of starvation, but having lots of offspring means that you are more likely to have some that makes the cut.

      Same goes for humans, except when 18 million humans die of starvation it's suddenly a problem and not nature.

    72. Re:Unsustainable growth by jsvendsen · · Score: 1

      Interesting anecdotal baloney, but you can at least console yourself (based on the vague information you provide) that the average number of births per woman in your country is either well below the rate of replacement or trending heavily downwards.

    73. Re:Unsustainable growth by AP31R0N · · Score: 1

      "We don't breed when resources are rare."

      History and current events disprove that claim handily, unless you're talking about some other humanity. We are dumber than animals. We breed LESS during abundance (modern US, Europe) and more in times of hardship (the US and Europe before key scientific advances). Africa and all the other slum nations are breeding at an alarming rate. Even within the US we see this on the smaller scale. Educated, affluent people have few children if any. They're too busy enjoying life. Our poor otoH, crank out the babies with great frequency.

      The more of your post i read the more i think you're trolling or going for funny mod points.

      --
      Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
    74. Re:Unsustainable growth by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      Your bullshit is the problem with most westerners. You have no fucking idea how bad it is elsewhere, or the scale of the problem. With 400 million fucking people destitute in Inida, it puts all your other complaints about the world to shame. Global warming? Terrorism? Privacy? Put in perspective, and assuming we actually give a shit about making the world a better place with the countless billions of dollars that we are throwing around, the ONLY thing we should be doing is fixing India... until its fixed.

      If you care about the people in India, especially those who live close to sea level, global warming should be a pretty fucking important topic to you.

    75. Re:Unsustainable growth by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Uhh, yeah. Africa is agrarian, dumbass. Agrarian societies require large amounts of children. Agrarian societies do NOT use large amounts of resources. On the contrary, they PRODUCE resources. They have plenty of resources. They just have terrible autocratic thieving and murderous governments.

    76. Re:Unsustainable growth by tmosley · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, another person totally unable to read between the lines. In advanced societies, children are a burden. They CONSUME resources. They have to be fed, clothed, given their own room, and schooled. In agrarian societies, children are a resource. They allow for better exploitation of the land. They PRODUCE resources.

      Humans are economic calculation machines. These demographic trends make LITERALLY PERFECT sense, at least to someone with more than two brain cells to rub together.

    77. Re:Unsustainable growth by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Sure, because people that already have NOTHING cannot easily walk away from rising sea levels. What an ignorant douche you are.

      You idiot global warming fuckers living in your cushy western palaces have no fucking concept of reality. You just have this pet theory and cry and cry because nobody takes that unimportant bullshit seriously when there are problems in the world that put even your nightmare global warming scenarios to shame.

      You know whats evil? Your fucking inaction.

      Pink Floyd wrote a song about you.. On the Turning Away.

      You know what carbon dioxide emissions do? THEY LIFT PEOPLE OUT OF POVERTY, ASSHOLE.

      Here is my citation, ignorant eco-dipshit. Watch the whole fucking thing, This world renowned man has even visualization software available. Use it for at least an hour. Now, after doing all that.. GO SIT IN YOUR BEDROOM AND CRY ABOUT HOW BRAINWASHED AND IGNORANT YOU HAVE BEEN.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    78. Re:Unsustainable growth by ddegirmenci · · Score: 1

      Month.

  6. divine retribution! by justforgetme · · Score: 1

    Well, since humanity's `welfare infrastructure` insists on curing and feeding the idiot's and the sick I think that this is a consequence we have to live with...

    --
    -- no sig today
    1. Re:divine retribution! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      > idiot's

      No more medicine or food for you.

    2. Re:divine retribution! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      No more *FREE* medicine for him I think is what you mean. In which case you should stop charging him that portion of taxes. Which will be to his direct benefit, because he can then go get a cheaper rate for medical services by paying cash, and not have to pay for some bureaucrats salary in addition to the medicine he needs.

      Socialized medicine is like trying to fill up the shallow end of the pool by taking water from the deep end with a leaky bucket.

      But of course, the fascist medical system we have now isn't good either: http://mises.org/daily/4276

    3. Re:divine retribution! by CRCulver · · Score: 1

      Which will be to his direct benefit, because he can then go get a cheaper rate for medical services by paying cash.

      I wouldn't be so sure. Private insurance is even cheaper in Spain, where it coexists alongside a public system available to anyone, than in the US, which lacks has little public healthcare to speak of. When there is a public system and the private sector has to compete with it, that can push prices down.

    4. Re:divine retribution! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Socialized medicine actually can do wonders so long as it isn't underfunded despite being overtaxed. Unfortunately, this is what happens most of the time.

    5. Re:divine retribution! by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      No more *FREE* medicine for him I think is what you mean. In which case you should stop charging him that portion of taxes. Which will be to his direct benefit, because he can then go get a cheaper rate for medical services by paying cash, and not have to pay for some bureaucrats salary in addition to the medicine he needs.

      I think you meant "more expensive rate". Or are you living in that fantasy world where the nation that mostly runs this way doesn't have the most expensive medicine in the world (and by a huge margin at that)?

      You always have to pay some bureaucrats' salaries. Whether these bureaucrats works for a government or a for-profit corporation does not alter that basic fact.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    6. Re:divine retribution! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No more *FREE* medicine for him I think is what you mean. In which case you should stop charging him that portion of taxes. Which will be to his direct benefit, because he can then go get a cheaper rate for medical services by paying cash, and not have to pay for some bureaucrats salary in addition to the medicine he needs.

      Socialized medicine is like trying to fill up the shallow end of the pool by taking water from the deep end with a leaky bucket.

      But of course, the fascist medical system we have now isn't good either:

      Spoken by someone who has never had to buy his own health insurance and has no medical conditions.

      Oh right, we are supposed to let everyone with an existing condition just die.

    7. Re:divine retribution! by iceaxe · · Score: 1

      I'm going to assume that you, like me, are in the US, as nobody else in the world thinks of health care in quite the way we USians do, or so it seems to me.

      People who use loaded terms like "socialized medicine" (not to mention "fascist") usually also say that they are in favor of things that "make good business sense". Now, I won't put words in your mouth, so I'll just express this from my own point of view. I definitely think that basing decisions on a continual process of evaluation and adjustment (which is what successful businesses do) and the adoption of established "best practices" (also what successful businesses do) is a good way to proceed.

      So, let's start by looking at the healthcare systems that produce the best overall outcomes, and see how we can apply those practices to our situation. Then adjust as the results become known, because there is no one perfect solution - there will always be room for improvement.

      Now, having said that, I will posit that the "best overall outcomes for healthcare" may not be the same as "most profit for healthcare related businesses". In fact, looking at the results from the countries with the best health, I'm pretty sure they are not.

      Then we have a moral decision to make. Which is more important, the health of our people, or the profits of the healthcare industries? So far, we have come down on the side of profits, thanks in no small part to the fact that those profits fuel the campaigns of those who make the decisions. And I include the recent "reforms" in that category, as they are largely a handout of money to the entrenched industry, with a thin veneer of useful provisions overlaid to make it seem like something helpful.

      To return to the topic at hand (population growth) it seems readily apparent to me that we will either bring it to some sort of balance, or it will correct itself in less pleasant ways. The decisions we will make will determine which, and how miserable will be the fate of those at the 'balance point'. I genuinely hope that humanity will be smart enough to find an equilibrium that allows for a good quality of life, but humanity doesn't have a good track record on being smart.

      --
      WALSTIB!
    8. Re:divine retribution! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      I guess you have never been to a private practice doctor's office before. You know all those ladies that sit in the front office? They are tasked mainly with filing insurance paperwork, including Medicaid. Practices that only take cash have ONE person out front to greet patients, answer phone calls, and deal with the money.

      Also, you are an idiot. Any and all medical practices that don't take insurance have lower rates. Look at the cost of cosmetic surgery, or Lasik and related eye surgeries. The prices go down EVERY YEAR. There is a reason for that. But you don't want to see it, because you are just another mouth breathing government worshiping sheep.

    9. Re:divine retribution! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      I pay for my own insurance. I don't want to have insurance, but my employer forces me to. I used to just have catastrophic coverage with a health savings account. That paid me to shop around for the lowest price, and allowed me to pay the (much lower) cash rates, but my employers new insurance policy doesn't carry those types of plans.

      The question you should ask yourself is "Why am I so fucking ignorant of the way the world works?" Then ask "What is a charity?" Then you can ask "what is the real cause of rising medical costs?" "Why could my grandfather afford to have a doctor that made house calls on a plumber's wage with no insurance, but now no-one can afford to go in to their offices without government assistance or extremely expensive plans?" Then ask "what does a bureaucracy do?"

      But you won't ask yourself any of those questions. You would prefer to rail on and on against the thorns, while never bothering to look for the root.

    10. Re:divine retribution! by tmosley · · Score: 1

      The best way to destroy any industry is to set profit against the welfare of the customer. That is exactly what the fascist US health care system has done, and what the socialized healthcare systems are doing. The only way to make a sustainable system is to align the interests of both parties. In the US, the way to do this is to open up the process for certifying doctors. This will drastically shorten the amount of time they have to spend in school, drastically reducing their student debt load, and drastically increasing the numbers, drastically decreasing the costs. This is the way it was in the US and the rest of the Western world a hundred years ago. ANYONE could afford a doctor.

      I suspect that a similar procedure would need to be followed in those nations that have socialized healthcare, though that likely won't happen until after their entire system collapses in on itself (like what is happening now in the US).

      And yes, fascist is the correct word, because private companies, in this case the AMA, also known as "the rich old doctors association", gets to set "guidelines" that are given force of law in the US. They use these "guidelines" to continually squeeze the numbers of new doctors, to prevent competition. It is a merger of government and corporate power, and it has devastated US healthcare access. They use advancing technology as an excuse, but that is BS. Technology makes treatments CHEAPER, not more expensive. Sure, some things that were untreatable before might have new expensive treatments, but free market forces would soon bring them down, just as they have brought down the costs of cosmetic surgery, and of Lasik eye surgery.

  7. Add this to the mix and there could be trouble by allanvarrette · · Score: 1
  8. Population decline by Compaqt · · Score: 5, Informative

    Given decreases in TFR, it's possible the world will experience a population decline this century.

    The total fertility rate is below replacement level for many countries of the world. The main exception is sub-Saharan Africa.

    Most of the Anglo- and Eurosphere is in decline. The US is in decline natively, and only growing due to immigration.

    --
    I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    1. Re:Population decline by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Population decline by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The total fertility rate is below replacement level for many countries of the world. The main exception is sub-Saharan Africa.

      And Asia. India, for example, is increasing rapidly. They really need to get a handle on it because it is ultimately keeping people there poor. The tradition is to have as many children as possible, but that only reduces the resources available to each one and pushes up the infant mortality rate.

      Europe and the US have been lucky enough to peek early thanks to increasing prosperity, but we never had massive over-population problems.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Population decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll believe that when it happens. In the meantime we are now turning into bacteria. Wait until we exhaust our petri dish.

      The US is in decline natively, and only growing due to immigration

      Actually hispanics are still increasing via birthrates so they are making sure overpopulation stays on track. They and the Duggar family.

    4. Re:Population decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      7-8 children in Africa... and they're supposedly starving? How about having less kids? Fuck, my kids would be starving, too, if I had 8 kids.

    5. Re:Population decline by Compaqt · · Score: 4, Informative

      India's TFR is declining as well. Granted population continued to increase due to previous high TFRs, but it also seems headed toward 2 or below.

      "The government said that the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) across the country had declined to 2.6 in 2008 from 2.9 in 2005." From one of the first hits on Google.

      That's a huge decrease in just a few years. 0.3 points in 3 years. The same link says half the Indian states are at replacement level (2.1).

      Also from the 1st Google SERP, 7 Indian states are below replacement level.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    6. Re:Population decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When you say Asia, I am curious where you mean. China has had the one child per family law in place for decades making it very difficult for families to potentially support more than one child. Japan and South Korea, though they have no mandating laws, have also seen one child per family averages. In Japan particularly this is becoming a massive problem because the sharp decline means that there will not be enough young people to support the aging generation.

      Now India is another story...

    7. Re:Population decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not an expert on radiation or infants but it seems to me that it is a bit early for infant mortality to show up in the statistics. I find it unlikely that it would show this early and I doubt that it will be measurable in the U.S. at all. (Compare with for example Chernobyl where adjacent countries which were much closer to the incident than the U.S. is to Japan and where infant mortality were not higher.)

      Also, from the links you posted:

      Sherman and Mangano have cherry-picked their statistics to make it appear that there is a post-Fukushima increase in infant mortality. They just used the four weeks prior to Fukushima, because those four weeks had a downward fluctuation in infant mortality relative to the running average. If you look at the data from the whole year up to Fukushima and after Fukushima, the rate of infant mortality barely changes at all.

      So, alas, this is not the truth. It’s lying with statistics.

    8. Re:Population decline by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      I'm not an expert on radiation or infants but it seems to me that it is a bit early for infant mortality to show up in the statistics.

      Babies are born every day.

      I find it unlikely that it would show this early and I doubt that it will be measurable in the U.S. at all. (Compare with for example Chernobyl where adjacent countries which were much closer to the incident than the U.S. is to Japan and where infant mortality were not higher.)

      Uh hello, Jet Stream?

      All the statistics are lies, in that none of them are the precise truth...

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    9. Re:Population decline by gubers33 · · Score: 0

      If I had mod points I would Mod this up because I literally laughed out loud reading it.

      --
      Just because you are wrong and I called you out on it doesn't mean I am a Troll.
    10. Re:Population decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Ah, I remember in high school where I was taught that they had kids *because* they were starving. I really couldn't wrap my head around it, perhaps because I just can't understand a mindset that keeps churning out kids just to watch them starve in the hopes that one of them won't die so they can have free slave labor and a genetic legacy. It struck me as completely fucked in the head.

      And yet, somehow they still blamed overpopulation on the First World, where we can't even sustain our numbers. Damn white people! Including the Japanese white people!

    11. Re:Population decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The only solution to this problem is to sterilize the world from having babys, then provide the means for a small pocket of population to have children. I'm sure scientists are already working on some virus that will infect the world's population to make women infertile. You have to force people from having babys because humans are too stupid to know better.

    12. Re:Population decline by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      When I say say Asia I mean Asia and Asians, people natively from that continent. I know that Americans think of Japan as being in Asia, but we think of it as the Far East or Orient. Japanese people themselves do not consider themselves Asian.

      What do you call races native to Asia? By that I mean dark skinned natives of places like India, as opposed to Orientals and Caucasians who have moved in from either side.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    13. Re:Population decline by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      By that logic the British (yes that includes the Irish) aren't Europeans.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    14. Re:Population decline by gutnor · · Score: 2

      They are *actually* starving, and yet they live in one of the richest place on earth. Lack of education, mass rape, continuous war, very low life expectancy, chaos at every level (state, infrastructure, law, health) ... They are not having kid for pleasure, they are having kids as a form of basic survival instinct.

    15. Re:Population decline by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      European isn't a race. We are natively Caucasian.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    16. Re:Population decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      There's a few factors working here, it's not as simple as you're making it sound.

      • A high child mortality rate means they have more children to combat that.
      • Low contraception use (contraception use is discouraged by the Pope and his evil army of Missionaries, and religion can be a pretty strong force in a developing country), lack of family planning and sexual education services
      • High rates of rape of women can increase birth rate
      • In some countries, like India, people have children so they can have someone to look after them when they're old or unwell, and to bring more money into the household. These countries don't have Social Security; old people are screwed unless they have kids or made enough money when they were younger to save some of it (not common except among the upper classes)
    17. Re:Population decline by gubers33 · · Score: 1

      Dear Moderator, This was not modded up when I wrote it, thus how is it redundant? Stop being a mod troll and modding stuff down to make yourself feel special.

      --
      Just because you are wrong and I called you out on it doesn't mean I am a Troll.
    18. Re:Population decline by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Asian is a race now?

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    19. Re:Population decline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No bullets for unordered lists? The fuck, Slashdot?

    20. Re:Population decline by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Yes, always has been.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  9. Morning downer by LighterShadeOfBlack · · Score: 1

    This is by far the most depressing thing I've heard in a while.

    --
    Spelling mistakes, grammatical errors, and stupid comments are intentional.
    1. Re:Morning downer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here have some more:

      http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article14756.html

      LighterShadeOfBlack, ey? You are an optimist!

  10. Hey I'm in Egypt by arcite · · Score: 1

    They add about 2 million to the population here every year. Africa's population is set to double in 30 years. My advice, buy land. Food will be worth more than gold.

    1. Re:Hey I'm in Egypt by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      And land will not give you any sufficient food, as we are already deep in overshoot regarding a sustainable food production - to keep up our production rates, we deplete fossil aquifers, we burn 9 kJ of our declining fossil fuel reserves for 1 kJ of food produced and we deplete our soils, leading to an increasing need for limited resources (cv. phosphate depot depletion) to keep the soil chemistry going. To top it off, fisheries are in massive decline, with many local collapses already having happened. Fun times ahead.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    2. Re:Hey I'm in Egypt by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      The thing that analysis leaves out is the fact that we don't need to do all those things. Like most of the things we do, we do it that way because it's the cheapest way to do it, not out of necessity. If we can't continue to do things stupidly, inefficiently, and destructively, then we won't. (But as long as we can, and there's economic incentive to do so, we will -- point being, you can't project future behavior under different conditions by simply projecting the present behavior under present conditions as if nothing will change other than scale.)

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    3. Re:Hey I'm in Egypt by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      The whole "green revolution" is fueled by these things. We didn't need to do it back then, but now that our population exploded because we chose to do so, we are pretty much trapped in it. I see at least a quite unpleasant transition period coming while we try to extricate ourselves from this trap.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    4. Re:Hey I'm in Egypt by Veetox · · Score: 1

      And land will not give you any sufficient food, as we are already deep in overshoot [sic] regarding a sustainable food production

      You're freaking out about the abuse of phosphate resources, and farm runoff. However, this is something that can be fixed. And we can (as a population) easily find methods to reclaim phosphates from waste and overflow. Phosphorus doesn't disappear - it doesn't sublime and float into space after a farmer dumps fertilizer on a corn field. Somewhere down the road, a biological population uses it. ...Couldn't we take advantage of that?

      The global population is not a real problem. The real problem is changing industry and global economy to be more efficient, produce less waste, reclaim valuable resources that are lost, and to take more risks regarding emerging economies. If we are still capable of producing fifty-inch plasma screen televisions, then I'm sure we have the resources (including Phosphorus) available to tackle future population growth.

    5. Re:Hey I'm in Egypt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hope you have a private army. The Native Americans had lots of land too. That didn't work out too well.

    6. Re:Hey I'm in Egypt by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Well, yeah, sure - that the population as such is not a problem at the moment is a bit trivial. As you say, the problem is that industry and economy are currently not geared to provide for this population in a sustainable way - and for many problems, we don't have a clue how to fix them. As for phosphate - a lot is washed into the oceans, creating dead zones, getting diluted and vanishing in the sediment in concentrations that are not economically recoverable. Entropy is out to get us...

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  11. Are You Listening Pope Benedict? by Ganty · · Score: 1

    Seven Billion is about two Billion too much, a fact that Pope Benedict should bear in mind the next time he speaks against contraception. Still, I don't suppose he will ever go hungry or thirsty.

    Ganty

    1. Re:Are You Listening Pope Benedict? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      To be fair, it's really, really hard to get little boys pregnant, and he did run on a pro-diddling platform.

    2. Re:Are You Listening Pope Benedict? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Seven Billion is about two Billion too much, a fact that Pope Benedict should bear in mind the next time he speaks against contraception. Still, I don't suppose he will ever go hungry or thirsty.

      Ganty

      Citation needed. Not your wild ass guesses oh great leader.

    3. Re:Are You Listening Pope Benedict? by Dzimas · · Score: 1

      The trouble is that the pope has no sway over the countries where population is growing at a rate of almost 4% per year - Liberia, Afghanistan, East Timor, etc. At this rate, their population will double in under 20 years. It's a function of lack of education and extreme poverty that's to blame in those nations. In comparison, Sweden and France have a growth rate of about 0.5%, and countries like Germany, Russia and Lithuania actually have negative growth.

    4. Re:Are You Listening Pope Benedict? by dargaud · · Score: 1

      I've seen studies that predict sustainable population limits anywhere from 500 million to 20 billions. And the most recent analises tend to favor the FORMER.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    5. Re:Are You Listening Pope Benedict? by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

      Religion and logic are mutually exclusive

      --
      Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
  12. OK, show me how by Concern · · Score: 3, Funny

    The world waits with baited breath for your solutions for increasing energy generation, food production, and water purification.

    Oh and all this while we are about to run out of the millions of years of solar energy we just burned up in the form of fossil fuels.

    Oh, you expected someone else to figure these things out. I see.

    --
    Tired of Political Trolls? Opt Out!
    1. Re:OK, show me how by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      baited breath? eww...

    2. Re:OK, show me how by Ozeroc · · Score: 1

      Although the odor of the chocolate truffle you just ate may be irresistible bait to your beloved, the proper expression is “bated breath.” “Bated” here means “held, abated.” You do something with bated breath when you’re so tense you’re holding your breath.

      --
      ...
    3. Re:OK, show me how by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      So you drank the kool-aid, and joined the hand-wringers imagining there is some kind of shortage of anything on this world. Use your brain a little more. We only have engineering problems with known solutions. Fresh water? there is no shortage of water on this planet, it is already known how to make and distribute fresh water, and the planet will not run out. Farmland: no shortage, only distribution problems. The planet can grow crops sufficient for almost twice the current population, look it up. Energy? what a laugh, no shortage of any kind of energy. Not fossil fuel, coal supply sufficient for centuries exists, and we can change coal into any liquid hydrocarbon fuel that is cleaner than the crude based ones. We have natural gas reserves sufficient for over a century. Not nuclear fuel, the existing spent fuel can be bred into many times the original yield, and we ahve thorium supply sufficient for centuries. Not "rare earths", which are not rare at all, we only have closed mines because it's cheaper for China to produce that at the moment. Not even helium, despite the recent slashdot articles, just alarmist shill nonsense to raise prices, as helium is mostly wasted as wells are vented, and it also can be extracted from liquid air.

      In short, quit trying to be a Roman catholic monk with so much self-loathing he feels the need to beat himself with a whip in the closet, you have some imagined false guilt, a psychosis.

    4. Re:OK, show me how by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Yep. Keeping up exponential growth in a finite world is just an engineering problem. Also, in short, a discussion strategy that boils down to stating a bunch of contrafactual claims and concludes with calling your discussion partner psychotic, is no discussion strategy at all, but a sign that you have no argument at all. Next.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    5. Re:OK, show me how by jonamous++ · · Score: 1

      +1, Parent, wish I had mod points. For thousands of years, there has always been an end-of-the-world crisis. The human species is quite resilient and innovative when motivated properly. :)

    6. Re:OK, show me how by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      prosperous human populations have negative growth rate, that's a fact.

    7. Re:OK, show me how by Scarletdown · · Score: 1

      Although the odor of the chocolate truffle you just ate may be irresistible bait to your beloved, the proper expression is “bated breath.” “Bated” here means “held, abated.” You do something with bated breath when you’re so tense you’re holding your breath.

      What about the cat that ate a chunk of cheese and is now sitting by the mouse hole waiting for the mouse to appear? There is your baited breath. :D

      --
      This space unintentionally left blank.
    8. Re:OK, show me how by fritsd · · Score: 1

      Use your brain a little more.

      Ok!
      Earth has a land surface of 148,940,000 km^2. That's 1.5 * 10^14 m^2.
      Let's say we can fit 8 people on a surface a meter squared, if they are not too fat (obviously I'm ignoring buildings of more than 1 floor here).
      That gives us a carrying capacity of 1.2 * 10^15 people on all the land surface on Earth. I'm ignoring for now that those people are composed of CHON + Calcium, Phosphorus, Iron, Sulphur etc. and if we have enough resources.
      That number divided by the 7,000,000,000 we have now is approx 172000. Earth is full if we have 172000 times as many people as now (unless they can swim really well).
      If the annual population growth rate were large such as 3%, we would stand belly-to-belly in 2419.
      (That's exponentials for you)
      If the annual population growth rate were 2%, like in the 1960s, we would have until 2620.
      If the annual population growth rate stays at 1%, like now, we would have more than a thousand years until 3223.
      There's a saying: if something can't go on forever, it won't.
      I still have to see if I can buy John Brunner's "Stand on Zanzibar" one day, no doubt I've made mistakes in my calculation.
      I invite you fellow Slashdotters to do the calculation for yourself:
      To calculate the number of years do the following: growth factor = (1 + growth rate % / 100 %) ^ number of years
      where number of years is the unknown so rewrite it by taking the logarithm: log(growth factor) = number of yeasr * log (1 + growth rate % / 100 %) <=> number of years = log(growth factor) / log (1 + growth rate % / 100 %)
      fill in for 2%: log (172000) / log (1 + 0.02) = 609 years (add 2011 to that)
      It doesn't matter what you take as the base of your logarithm, 10 or e or whatever.
      And how did you guess that I considered becoming a Roman catholic monk when I was a boy? The mind boggles...
      For other fun catholic-monk-like activities aside from autoflagellation, visit http://www.pgdp.net/c/ (safe for work most of the time). Crowdsourcing projects benefit from increased population too!

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    9. Re:OK, show me how by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      They also have a living standard that depends on depleting finite resources. We are good at that. Where will that prosperity go when the oil with a decent EROI is gone, the fossil aquifers depleted, the soils leached out, the fisheries destroyed? We are working on each of those. I am not saying that our standard of living is unsustainable - it might be, but not by the means we are employing now, and I don't see any viable alternatives coming up.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    10. Re:OK, show me how by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      depleting? all the resources we "use", excluding the fossil fuels, are still on this earth. And we have sufficient supply for viable replacement for sweet crude to last centuries. No problems but engineering and distribution ones, and the "overpopulation" solves itself. Prosperity is the key, not being a man-hater.

    11. Re:OK, show me how by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      growth rate of prosperous population, -1%. Looks like we have a solution.

      By the way, I did not mean to imply becoming a monk of any religion was bad in itself, but rather saying a certain mindset is bad when coupled with devotion to an ideal.

    12. Re:OK, show me how by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Stop burning strawmen about man-hate, which you completely pull out of your ass, as again, you have nothing to back you up. What would those replacements be, giving a comparable EROI to light sweet? How are fossil aquifers not depleted to fuel our agriculture? How are the fisheries not collapsing? What's the replacement for those? Classic cornucopianism, but you know that, else you would argue and not resort to name-calling.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    13. Re:OK, show me how by damnfuct · · Score: 1

      (unsubstantiated claims)

      Just because you say something is true does not make it so. You're going to need some heavy references if you're going to be making claims like "no resources we use are scarce." Just because it's there doesn't mean we can get at it, and just because we can get at it doesn't mean that it makes sense to do so. Most of the time, it's a matter of energy; the more you spend the more you can get at. The more places you use extra energy, the more the demand goes up; if supply stays the same (energy that is economically attainable, not some pie-in-the-sky, "it's there so we can get at it" mentality), then our market causes the price to blow up. The problem is that increasing the cost of energy increases the cost of everything due to some massive ripple effect. "Not enough fresh water? Oh we can make some from the ocean water, all we need is energy. Those crops there could put out more if we used more energy."

      There is nothing wrong with anticipating problems and acting accordingly; it's ridiculous to charge into problems with closed eyes under some massive case of denial and figuring there are no problems if you just don't acknowledge them.

    14. Re:OK, show me how by haulbag · · Score: 1

      I totally agree. Every time I drive anywhere in the western US, I see thousands of acres just sitting there doing nothing. When my family moved from Texas to the Salt Lake Valley in Utah, most of what we passed had received no human influence at all. There were several small settlements created by Native American tribes, but for the most part they were underdeveloped and falling apart. It wasn't until we reached areas that the Mormon pioneers settled that we saw luscious farmland, well-built towns, and signs of progress. The pioneers made it that way by creating irrigation canals, roads, schools, and factories. It was all desert before they got here.

      Even there, though, much of the State of Utah is undeveloped arid steppe and doesn't support human farming or industry. I can't help but think that it is only that way because nobody has done anything about it yet. The land is just waiting. There is SO much unused space here and throughout the rest of the US. Even in areas lush with vegetation, like western Washington and Oregon states, most of the population exists around existing cities, leaving 80% of what you drive past undeveloped. We could easily squeeze in thousands more cities into those spaces. Why don't we? Because nobody has the vision or leadership required to do so. Everyone just wants to make one suburban development after another, which only tends to increase the traffic problems. Most of the cities of Utah, Idaho, Nevada, and Arizona were pretty much established because Brigham Young simply asked people to go build towns away from where everyone else had already settled. That took shared sacrifice and hard work. It took vision. Where is that vision today?

      This world isn't even close to being fully utilized, and that includes the arid regions of the Middle East and Africa. Simple things can make such a difference. For example, just placing some fist-sized or bigger rocks in fields of dry, sterile, unproductive soil can prevent most of the rain water from draining off and can turn hard-baked clay into productive farmland. Adding charcoal from burned plants into the poor soil of the Amazon plains can turn it into rich farmland. We are coming up with more techniques every year for improving sustainable crop yields in the poorest of places. We can meet the challenges of the future if we put our minds to it.

      We have barely scratched the surface of what the Earth can produce. Population controls are for the pessimists of the world.

    15. Re:OK, show me how by tverbeek · · Score: 1

      And here we have an example of the pot calling the kettle psychotic.

      --
      http://alternatives.rzero.com/
    16. Re:OK, show me how by ultranova · · Score: 1

      The world waits with baited breath for your solutions for increasing energy generation, food production, and water purification.

      Nuclear power.

      Oh and all this while we are about to run out of the millions of years of solar energy we just burned up in the form of fossil fuels.

      No problem, nuclear reactors are far more efficient per unit volume or mass than either the Sun or fossil fuel engines. They also don't pollute, except in extreme disaster cases.

      Oh, you expected someone else to figure these things out. I see.

      It would be sufficient for the rest of you to stop getting in the way. We could solve global warming right away if you simply let engineers and scientists to work. But no, people first ask for an efficient new power source and then go "wah, it's powerful, I'm scared!".

      The worst enemy to the preservation of either nature or humanity in this world is Greenpace.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    17. Re:OK, show me how by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      I have decades on known solutions to all our major resource problems to back me up. Clean hydrocarbon fuels from coal and natural gas have been done for over a hundred years, and many countries now getting on board with doing it. We have centuries of supply.

      Making fresh water from salt water is a trivial problem with trivial solution, in fact it's ideal solar power application - infrastructure engineernig and distribution issue only.

      The solution to the fishing problem is simply management, to be farming not plundering/hunting as we do now.

      Known solutions, the cure to nearly all of mankinds problems. Even the AIDS virus can be made nearly extinct in one generation by a simple device that has been in use for over two thousand years.

    18. Re:OK, show me how by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      You are covering the material side of things, not taking into account the thermodynamics. What are the energetic costs of those measures? You are also not taking into account the economic costs - can we afford that transition. Not to speak of the climate impact of transitioning from an oil based system to a system based on coal-derived liquid fuels with an EROI and therefor emissions worse by a factor of 3-5. A look at the real world quite clearly shows that your "trivial" solutions are not implemented for a variety of quite nontrivial problems.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  13. 7 Billionth POST!!! by wesleyjconnor · · Score: 1

    i honestly tried to resist

  14. Modern humans are immune from population cycles by arcite · · Score: 1

    We created anti-biotics, pesticides, irrigation, the agricultural revolution. We have the ability to completely transform any habitat to suit our own. We chop down the rainforest (the earth's lungs) to plant millions of acres of soy, sugar, and other cash crops. We divert the mightiest of rivers and dam them, laying waste to natural cycles that held true for thousands of years. When all environments are covered with humanity, we will move to the oceans to harvest what is left of their bounty. Even if we have massive famines, there will still be billions of humans. Diseases such as plague, flu, virulent TB, ebola ect... are able to be defeated through modern methods of intervention. No...the population will continue to rise, and the planet is set to become much more crowded. Your choice to forgo your evolutionary birthright will be but a blip among the billions of humanity.

    1. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      And every single thing you listed is fueled by oil. Seen the prices for that lately? Seen the effect of that on the economy, on food prices? And they ain't gonna go down. Oil has peaked, production is on an undulating plateau for a couple of years now, with the major producers being in decline. Oil fueled our decoupling from natural population cycles, with the cheap oil being depleted, we'll be back where we started pretty damn soon.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    2. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They will invent something new instead of oil

    3. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      And every single thing you listed is fueled by oil.

      Currently fueled by oil. None of them need to be, indeed most of them haven't been for most of their history. They're currently fueled by oil because it's currently the cheapest way to do it, but as you yourself point out, that won't last forever. For a completely unexplained reason, however, you assume "we'll be back where we started" afterwards, as if going back is the only option. We can't stay where we are now, but I think most people would rather we go forward instead of going back.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    4. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      You assume that there is anything to go forward to, anything that gives the same EROI that cheap oil used to give us when we built the whole system. You also assume that the transition comes with no significant cost - what percentage of the world population will be able to afford it at all? Those who can't will be back where we started. Maybe not all of us.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    5. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by maxume · · Score: 1

      Oil isn't particularly expensive. 50 years ago, westerners spent far more of their income/productivity on energy than they do today.

      Compared to gold, oil is about the average of what it has historically been (current prices for oil put it at about 0.07 ounces of gold per barrel):

      http://www.globalfinance.net/2009/charts/oil-and-gold-chart-1900-2009/

      Of course gold is not money, but given that you are panicking about things driven largely by lag in our accounting system (cash), it provides some counterpoint.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    6. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by jimrthy · · Score: 1

      I can't tell whether you're being deliberately sarcastic or just incredibly stupid. So, kudos if it's the former.

    7. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by EXrider · · Score: 1

      Currently fueled by oil. None of them need to be, indeed most of them haven't been for most of their history. They're currently fueled by oil because it's currently the cheapest way to do it, but as you yourself point out, that won't last forever. For a completely unexplained reason, however, you assume "we'll be back where we started" afterwards, as if going back is the only option. We can't stay where we are now, but I think most people would rather we go forward instead of going back.

      How do you plan on making the plastic and rubber components needed to manufacture modern machinery without oil? How do you suggest we lubricate the machinery without oil? How can we mine for metals, develop and refine nuclear fuels or manufacture massive quantities of fertilizer without oil? How does all of this work in your oil-less fantasy world of the future, just wondering?

      --
      grep -iw skynet /etc/services
    8. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      To reiterate a point that needs reiterating - we spend on average 9 J worth of oil on 1 J worth of food produced. That is where it really gets ugly.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    9. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by damnfuct · · Score: 1

      To reiterate a point that needs reiterating - we spend on average 9 J worth of oil on 1 J worth of food produced. That is where it really gets ugly.

      So what you're saying is we need to figure out how to eat oil directly...

    10. Re:Modern humans are immune from population cycles by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      I'll stick with extra-virgin olive oil in that case, though....

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  15. The Answer is Obvious by Barrinmw · · Score: 1

    Start colonizing other worlds, encourage more and more birth rates, turn the Earth into a Hive World and then spread across the galaxy, we have to do something otherwise the Orks, Eldar, Tyranids, Tau and all the others will wipe us out.

    1. Re:The Answer is Obvious by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      That's a good idea for its own reasons, but is in no way an answer to population issues. We don't have the amount of metal or energy resources to build and power a massive fleet of spaceships capable of removing people from the planet even a thousandth as fast as they're being born.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    2. Re:The Answer is Obvious by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First we need to get the Omnissiah to grant us the Warp drive and the we have to clear out the Tech barbarians. All hail the Emperor of Man!

    3. Re:The Answer is Obvious by Jorth · · Score: 1

      Burn the Heretic! Kill the Mutant! Purge the Unclean!

  16. Carbon Tax = Consumption Tax by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Easiest solution short of genocide or mass sterilization:

    -- Make everything artificially more expensive, and don't subsidize children. Literately make the cost of having more than 2 children prohibitive so we stop getting welfare whores popping out babies so they don't have to work. --

    More specifically, make it expensive from the consumption side. Having 8 children probably means you have to buy huge land yachts for automobiles, and go through thousands of dollars in food per month.

    In theory (just like communisim) it could work, but in practice what will more likely happen is that governments won't have the balls to eliminate to cut entitlements on child tax credits.

    In countries like China and India, they have to get over "must have a boy", I actually think the problem will over there will resolve itself if we do nothing, the excess men will adopt all the children that the breeders produce. In North America and Europe this won't happen.

    1. Re:Carbon Tax = Consumption Tax by m.ducharme · · Score: 1

      Easiest solution short of genocide or mass sterilization:

      -- Make everything artificially more expensive, and don't subsidize children. Literately make the cost of having more than 2 children prohibitive so we stop getting welfare whores popping out babies so they don't have to work. --

      Overpopulation isn't a problem in nations that can afford a welfare state: those countries are running negative population growth rates, and most of them are bringing in immigrants to make up the difference and encourage economic growth. Where the population is still growing, the governments don't much go in for welfare.

      Having 8 children probably means you have to buy huge land yachts for automobiles, and go through thousands of dollars in food per month.

      For most people in the world, having eight children means you're probably already starving or malnourished, and you consider the children to be assets. The first few can be put to work to increase the family income, the next few are around in case the first ones die, and any remaining can be sold into slavery (this seems terribly cold and brutal, but hunger can make people do terribly cold and brutal things). A big part of the current problem is that people in the developing world are having lots of kids as a response to their dire conditions, but at the same time those conditions are getting better (less kids dying early). The prediction is that as things continue to get better in the developing world, people will have less kids, and the population will level off. The problem is that by the time this happens, there will be 8 or 9 billion people in the world all living a first-world lifestyle.

      In theory (just like communisim) it could work, but in practice what will more likely happen is that governments won't have the balls to eliminate to cut entitlements on child tax credits.

      Maybe true, but not for the reasons you think. It'll be the "Them dirty immigrunts took ar jerbs!" contingent that will push politicians to maintain policies favourable to increasing the numbers of children born in Western countries. Any government could end child tax benefits right now and ramp up immigration, but I'm not holding my breath.

      --
      Rule of Slashdot #0: You and people like you are not representative of the larger population. - A.C.
  17. Review your math.... by Mathinker · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The second derivative of the world population has been negative for a while now. In other words, this will end with the population stabilizing at some level. Quite possibly (but, of course, not certainly) without any catastrophic natural or human-made disaster.

    Probably not what you were thinking?

    1. Re:Review your math.... by BlackPignouf · · Score: 1

      Nice way to pull a "theorem" out of your ass and try to impress mods.
      Take logarithm as an example :
      log' is positive and log'' is negative.
      Do you see logarithm "stabilizing at some level"?

      Probably not what you were thinking?

    2. Re:Review your math.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That second derivative hasn't shrunk nearly as fast as it would have otherwise due to plentiful fossil fuels. We're not replacing those fuels and have used up likely more than half of the total fossil fuelds worldwide in less than a century. Modern farming is the science of turning oil (and coal) into food, what will you do for food when the oil gets too expensive to use for farming? The US oil reserves hit peak oil in the 70s, you saw what happened, what happens when the Iraq reserves do it (20% of the known oil left in the world). When this happens you won't have the 10 years to replace these energy sources (which is what it would likely take) and of those 7 or 8 billion people many will starve.

    3. Re:Review your math.... by Mathinker · · Score: 1

      Bravo, you get a brownie point for your math badge! You'll have to excuse me for not expounding all of the necessary conditions for a smooth function to have an asymptote. Somehow I thought I'd spare the non-interested...

      Actually, the stabilization I was talking about wasn't based on the math, but rather the biology. So yes, it's not a "theorem". My post merely points out that there's more than "massive catastrophic death" as a possible outcome. The post it replied to implied there was only one possible outcome, while only looking at the fact that the first derivative of the world population with respect to time is positive.

      So, now tell me what "theorem" makes the post I replied to necessarily correct?

      I agree however, that even if I'm talking about biology, it's not clear that world population will stabilize w.r.t. time. So yes, I was wrong (but not in the way you thought). It might very well be chaotic on time scales much smaller than the life of the Sun or the Universe.

    4. Re:Review your math.... by Mathinker · · Score: 1

      Thank you. While you're at it, could you please tell what the winning lottery numbers will be next week, also?

      It still amazes me that in this day and age of such accelerated change that I often find it hard to evaluate whether the report of a change I've heard about is actually a true report, some people still think that they can predict the future with accuracy.

  18. What gives? by hansraj · · Score: 2

    The US census bureau projects March next year to be the time when world population hits 7 billion.

    1. Re:What gives? by Alomex · · Score: 2

      The UN Population Division predictions are usually overly pessimistic. This allows them to meet regularly in posh places to issue a (downward) revision. They have been doing this for nearly twenty years.

    2. Re:What gives? by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      I think you've just described large parts of the UN.

    3. Re:What gives? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The UN Population Division predictions are usually overly optimistic. This allows them to meet regularly in posh places to issue a (downward) revision. They have been doing this for nearly twenty years.

      FTFY. Also, go kill yourself now to save the earth.

  19. Nice fearmongering touch! by blackbeak · · Score: 1

    Nice touch having the 7 millionth arrive on Halloween! Wouldn't be nearly so scary if it was say, in the middle of September. Anyway, I demand a recount!

    --
    Everything and its opposite is true. Get used to it.
    1. Re:Nice fearmongering touch! by blackbeak · · Score: 1

      Ooops, 'billionth'!

      --
      Everything and its opposite is true. Get used to it.
  20. Worms will be happy by Pouic · · Score: 1

    they will have plenty of food!

  21. And... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Welcome to the vast club of people who've had their head in the sand since the dawn of humanity.

  22. Immoral by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Call me immoral but people should stop having as many kids as they are.

    But don't take me wrong. The immorality is probably not where you think it is, but in the double measure you are applying. Most of the families with high number of children are located in 3rd world countries. Today, having more than 3 kids is something pretty uncommon in 1st world countries. I was raised in a country who moved from extremely poverty to great wealth in a couple of generations, and what it was common with my grandgrandparents (7 or more kids per family) now is reduced to 1 or 2 kids in average. The population increase in most European countries is due to immigration.

    What I mean is that the number of kids is something that tends to autocontrol itself. Once a certain wealth level is achieved, the number of kids per family is reduced.

    So, yes, your message is immoral, because what is needed is not severe population control measures, but wealth balancing measures. Erradicate the so called 3rd world, and you will find that the population will stabilize itself.

    1. Re:Immoral by Arlet · · Score: 1

      Once a certain wealth level is achieved, the number of kids per family is reduced.

      This is only a temporary phenomenon at best. Any gene that promotes large families despite high wealth levels will grow exponentially, until it takes over the entire population.

    2. Re:Immoral by mldi · · Score: 1

      Once a certain wealth level is achieved, the number of kids per family is reduced.

      This is only a temporary phenomenon at best. Any gene that promotes large families despite high wealth levels will grow exponentially, until it takes over the entire population.

      But at this point, it seems to be more a cultural mindset than a genetic deficiency.

      --
      If you aren't suspicious of your government's actions, you aren't doing your job as a responsible citizen.
    3. Re:Immoral by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any gene that promotes large families despite high wealth levels will grow exponentially, until it takes over the entire population.

      As a counter-example, while not technically genetic, Catholicism promotes large families, is basically passed from parents to children ala genes and hasn't taken over the entire population yet.

    4. Re:Immoral by RsG · · Score: 1

      Evolution does not work that way, and no credible biologist teaches otherwise. You've been getting it from science fiction writers.

      Actual human behaviour is not coded into single genes. A gene codes for proteins. The sum total of your genome affects your behaviour, but because single genes don't code for single behavioural functions, a single gene or group of genes "growing exponentially", as you put it, would invariably lead to other factors governed by those same genes.

      To give you an example related to reproduction, a group of genes might govern mating and reproductive behaviour in a given species. They might also govern a few hundred other things, including embryonic development, non-reproductive behaviour or who knows what else.

      Now, a simplified view of evolution tells you that if a mutation arose that favoured higher reproductive rates, it should "take over the entire population". Except that mutation is in a cluster of genes governing other stuff. Maybe that mutation affected embryonic development, leading to higher rates of birth defects, and lowering the incident of the mutated gene in later generations. Maybe that mutation caused more aggressive risk taking behaviour, removing the carriers from the gene pool before they can breed. Hell, maybe the mutation causes something seemingly unrelated to reproduction to change (genetics is best described as "jury rigged"; related functions often seem nonsensical).

      The point is, if the mutation is reproductively beneficial in one respect, but carries with it a cost to the organism's long term reproductive success, it won't proliferate.

      And since the current human genome dates back to our hunter gatherer days (anatomically modern human remains can be found dating from tens to hundreds of thousands of years ago), you can bet that any likely mutation has occurred before. Which should cause you to question why a given hypothetical change hasn't proliferated already. Usually there's a reason.

      So, in short you can't expect real life human genetics to work like a simplified thought experiment, especially not ones that link complex behaviours to single genes, or that imagine one gene serves one purpose.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
  23. Oil, who needs oil? by arcite · · Score: 1

    The next frontier will be natural gas. There is plenty of natural gas in the middle east (and else where). After that there is coal. Electric cars will proliferate over the next 20 years. Even Solar power plants are picking up steam. Don't forget about nuclear. Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and others are in the advanced stages to build dozens of nuclear power plants. Some people might get hungrier, but they won't breed any less.

    1. Re:Oil, who needs oil? by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Well, in non-human biological systems, populations rarely crash because fertility goes down, but rather because mortality skyrockets. And that's what is going to get us - what part of the world population can actually afford to transition away from a completely oil-addicted system?

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
  24. Bad summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "In the next 20 years, our population growth is predicted to rise to 8 billion people as our demand for food increases by 50 percent, water by 30 percent and energy by 50 percent.""

    That seems to imply that the INCREASE in population over the next 20 years, ie more than double.

    The obvious solution is to ban sex (between men and women) and encourage homosexuality.

  25. Earth self-regulates by AlexiaDeath · · Score: 3, Interesting

    We wont even need a war that becomes inevitable once resources get scarce. No, nature will take care of it first. The more there are people, the more densely populated the world, the more likely is a proper pandemic. People go every day from one end of the world to another. All you need is a germ that is highly contagious, lethal and has a 3 day latency period and most of that 7 billion will drop dead and it wont even take very long. This is bound to occur within this century. All the highly sterile environments we insist on keeping are perfect breeding grounds for such a disease.

    1. Re:Earth self-regulates by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      War will self-regulate. Once there becomes shortages in everything, particularly Land, Water, Food, Energy, people will start to get a bit antsy for war.

    2. Re:Earth self-regulates by SecurityGuy · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. While I'd agree the scenario you raise is possible, it's not at all "bound to occur", let alone within this century. The last time anything like that occurred was over 600 years ago, and the medicine, as such, didn't really exist at all. So, add to your doomsday scenario "untreatable". We also didn't have public health services, who, upon seeing people dropping like flies, are going to institute dramatic quarantine measures to compartmentalize the damage.

      We also have very few "highly sterile environments", unless you're talking about places like hospital operating rooms, or the inside of an autoclave or ethylene oxide sterilizer. They are terrible breeding grounds for any disease because they are...sterilized. I'd actually worry a lot more about routine antibiotic use on livestock or patients who take their prescriptions until they feel better then quit before completing the full course for generating the next superbug.

    3. Re:Earth self-regulates by AlexiaDeath · · Score: 1

      600 years ago? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1918_flu_pandemic Put that into modern globalized world. Medicine takes time to catch up and if there is something that has a rapid spread and 3 day latency most of the infection would be done by the time people understand something is wrong. And for a killer bacteria to develop only one needs to survive sterilization and breed and yes of course there are people who drop their antibiotics way too soon and use all sorts of aggressive cleaning techniques on household surfaces or do other stupid things.

    4. Re:Earth self-regulates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All you need is a germ that is highly contagious, lethal and has a 3 day latency period and most of that 7 billion will drop dead and it wont even take very long. This is bound to occur within this century.

      That can't really happen. A virus must infect and destroy your own cells in order to reproduce and spread. And to be airborne, it must infect your respiratory tract, as well as be symptomatic (coughing, sneezing). You need to inhale someone else's cough to become infected. Viruses don't ooze through your skin and spread magically. About the worst it can get is a bad outbreak of influenza, which we've shown we can already effectively quarantine and vaccinate against. More virulent diseases tend to kill off their hosts before they get a chance to spread very far. It's a nice self-limiting mechanism.

      I thought humanity's response to H1N1 was incredible - the first time we've beat a new dangeous virus outright. An earth immune system.

    5. Re:Earth self-regulates by gr8_phk · · Score: 1

      We wont even need a war that becomes inevitable once resources get scarce. No, nature will take care of it first. The more there are people, the more densely populated the world, the more likely is a proper pandemic. People go every day from one end of the world to another. All you need is a germ that is highly contagious, lethal and has a 3 day latency period and most of that 7 billion will drop dead and it wont even take very long. This is bound to occur within this century. All the highly sterile environments we insist on keeping are perfect breeding grounds for such a disease.

      So what's your point? We don't need to do anything, the problem will take care of itself? I think the point of people worrying about population growth is that we should do something deliberate about it before nature does something about that we have no control over. Or people will do something deliberate but undesirable. That disease you speak of may well kill you or me, not just the people overpopulating :-)

    6. Re:Earth self-regulates by roman_mir · · Score: 1

      More people simply create more demand for more products and more new services, so if a pandemic hits, this is just another reason for many new businesses to start working on looking for a solution to that problem, as providing the solution can be profitable.

      Of-course once they find the solution and present it to the market, they'll become rich, and thus automatically will become the "enemy" in today's society, because clearly, they are dirty capitalist pig-dogs, just stealing from the state and keeping the common man down.

      (yeah, that was sarcasm.)

    7. Re:Earth self-regulates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For the purposes of tracking epidemics, 1918 effectively was modern. You don't need present day jet travel routes when it's a flu that lasts a whole year; the trains/roads/ferries were enough to do it in 1918, plus one hop across the atlantic.

      Note that the flu's total toll was 3-6% of the global population, and that was with the entire world hit, no real way of treating it, and a very high infection rate. "Medicine takes time to catch up" is thus not really relevant when we're using an example for which there was no medicine at all.

      10% total global death rates today would be 700 million people... which, according to the summary, was less than 12 years worth of growth. So while on one hand it'd be a horrible devastating loss of life, on the other hand it'd be almost complete insignificant to the total population growth over time. After all, look at how little effect the 1918 flu had in the long run. Even if there was no growth rate spike afterwards - in other words, if the current trends in slowing growth rates continued - we'd still probably make it back up to 7 billion before hitting equilibrium. And that's still a difficult place to be.

      What securityguy probably meant was the really bad stuff, like http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bubonic_plague . That killed 30-60% of the population, and came in repeating waves. It's still 1-15% fatal even if you get modern treatment within the first 24 hours. A comparably fatal global plague would do major things to the long term growth rate; even if we'd learned nothing at all from it, it would set the population clock back about 30-60 years.

  26. Becker/Posner are for growth, with caveats by coldsalmon · · Score: 3, Interesting
    1. Re:Becker/Posner are for growth, with caveats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This blog is full of it and glosses over how much modern agriculture is directly reliant on oil. There will not be enough food for 10 billion people because at some point we'll start on the downward curve of oil production. And all those "solar" tractors you're imagining in your head right now don't just magically appear when you need them, nor do the alternative energy transport ships and semis to move the food. No ethanol won't save you, you see, you need oil to produce ethanol.

      So he's right, it's unlikely we'll hit 10 billion, just not for the reasons he says.

  27. Old story by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People have been using this to justify power grabs for centuries.

    This summary is absurd on its face: the 7->8 billion person increase of 14% will increase water demand by 30% and food demand by 50%? Bullshit. We currently overproduce food, and we pay farmers not to produce. Moreover, future generations will work with what's available, innovate, and find ways to provide for themselves. Humans have for thousands of years. Nothing will change.

  28. God's Plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nothing to worry about. God wants us to use up everything and trash the fucking planet. Then Jebus can come back!

  29. Complex issue: TFR, Life expectancy and Pooverty, by marjancek · · Score: 1

    The population growth is a really worrying issue I think we failed to nail in the last decades.
    With a world average of 2.58 children per woman it doesn't sound too bad, but add to it the increase of life expectancy and it's then no surprise that we are still growing so fast.

    We need to bring family planning to the poorest countries which hold the greatest birth rates as soon as possible. That will solve two problems with one shot: reduce population growth and poverty. Since giving them the opportunity to achieve economic stability before having children, and having less children to feed would give those families a lot more possibilities.

    Second step would be education, to give them the chance of economic growth.

  30. The solution is easy. Nuke China down to bedrock. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That'll free up about 1.5 billion from the surplus population.

    If you can get India and Pakistan in there too, you'll cull another 1.4 billion.

    Taking 41% out should alleviate the population pressure problem quite nicely.

    And it's a lot more humane then invading those countries, killing all the babies, disemboweling the women and cutting off all the mens' penises.

  31. News for nerds? by digitig · · Score: 0

    It's hardly likely to be slashdotters doing it, is it?

    --
    Quidnam Latine loqui modo coepi?
  32. no by justforgetme · · Score: 1

    "Earth that was could no longer sustain our numbers, we were so many. We found a new solar system, dozens of planets and hundreds of moons. Each one terra-formed a process taking decades, to support human life, to be new earths. The Central Planets formed the Alliance. Ruled by an interplanetary parliament, the Alliance was a beacon of civilization. The savage outer planets were not so enlightened and refused Alliance control. The war was devastating, but the Alliance's victory over the Independents insured a safer universe. And now everyone can enjoy the comfort, and enlightenment of your civilization."

    Josh Whedon will be proud!!!

    --
    -- no sig today
    1. Re:no by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Even though hoards geeks with pictures of Summer Glau, Jewel State, Gina Torres and Morena Baccarin cry when this is mentioned, Serenity is NOT an instructional video.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:no by justforgetme · · Score: 1

      Awww....

      --
      -- no sig today
    3. Re:no by BranMan · · Score: 1

      No you are right. Burn Notice is the instructional video. 8-)

  33. Pornography will save us by retroworks · · Score: 2

    With the rapid growth of the internet, and free hi-def porn, males will increasingly re-interpret Onan and his 'seed' in Genesis 38:9-10. At least, I give the porn industry as much of a chance of solving this as Al Gore. You do have to give Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter credit for both having one-child and making it ok for men to lust in our hearts at babes.

    --
    Gently reply
    1. Re:Pornography will save us by AP31R0N · · Score: 1

      and peanuts.

      --
      Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
  34. Yeah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Now he is a subject all you devils can appreciate. Lets just decide who is worthy of living and who isn't after all this web site is full of people who think they are smart. Key word is think!

  35. This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Targon · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know I'll get down rated for this, but with the concerns of global food supplies not being enough, and the growing global population, should we REALLY be trying to save people from starvation who will never be able to provide for themselves? Starvation is the thing that keeps societies from growing faster than the increase in food production, so why encourage third world countries to continue to increase their populations when they can't feed themselves?

    There is a basic concept, if you have a resource, trade it for a resource you do not have, and that includes money. If there is an entire nation that has no resources to trade and they are not capable of growing their own food, then the population will starve, the population will go down, and things balance out. Helping rebuild after a natural disaster is one thing, but if after 20+ years a country can't recover, then why should we continue to help? The world as a whole does not need money pits, and the world as a whole does not need a "food pit" that will never be able to trade resources for food.

    Helping people in your own country would make far more sense, since if you can elevate THOSE people out of poverty, they may be able to become productive and to add value to society as a whole. If you want to adopt people and bring them into your own country, then fine, bring them in, and make them productive.

    1. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Starvation is the thing that keeps societies from growing faster than the increase in food production

      Interesting theory. So why is it the western world grown faster than the increase in food production?

    2. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

      Well said, sir. Political correctness be damned.

    3. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by jamesh · · Score: 1

      should we REALLY be trying to save people from starvation who will never be able to provide for themselves?

      Possibly... if you consider the desperate measures a starving country might use to get food. Especially if they put a religious loony in charge who makes great promises if only the infidel can be cleansed from the planet.

      But you're right in that throwing food at them isn't really solving the problem... but it's definitely worth educating the population of such a country about basic economics, birth control, and how to live life sustainably.

    4. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

      Because it's about trading value for value, not goods for identical goods.

    5. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The right idea is giving them contraceptives, not food !

    6. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by vlm · · Score: 1

      Helping rebuild after a natural disaster is one thing, but if after 20+ years a country can't recover, then why should we continue to help?

      To build a political powerbase? Given the choice of "vote in my support at the UN about something you don't really care about anyway" vs "no soup for you"...

      Works on a smaller scale too, from an engineering standpoint New Orleans should be abandoned, but as long as there's voters there, thats not gonna happen.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    7. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know I'll get down rated for this, but..

      That old trick! Mods, you still fall for this? Wow.

    8. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Ryxxui · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I might agree with you it it wasn't for the fact that every part of the world that actually has abject poverty (the kind you talk about, where the country on a whole has no resources) has that poverty because the West (Europe and later the United States) caused it. We invaded them, and tried to force cultures on them that they didn't want, need, or understand. Then we took everything they had, told some of them that they were in charge and that we'd back them up if anyone tried to screw with them, and came back periodically to keep making things worse. The world is shit because people made it shit and we have to fix that before we can move forward. Stop thinking that people are poor just because they want to be and try actually thinking about how things got like this.

    9. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [...] should we REALLY be trying to save people from starvation who will never be able to provide for themselves?

      Yes, but we should also sterilize them so they don't make the problem worse.

      why encourage third world countries to continue to increase their populations when they can't feed themselves?

      Ask the Pope the next time he's in town. The "no condoms" rule Catholics have has caused enough AIDS and overpopulation.

    10. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there's plenty food, it's just that almost half of it goes to waste, and also more and more is used to make biofuels etc.

    11. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by aeortiz · · Score: 2

      This is fine unless you or your loved ones are the ones who are starving. Remember Jonathan Swift's Modest Proposal?

    12. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by AlexiaDeath · · Score: 2

      Birth control is the key. A country that cant feed itself probably has a shortage of medical services too. And without modern medicine giving birth is dangerous business, so any female would be very much interested in limiting the birth rate in a way that wouldn't depend on the males who only get the fun bits and none of the pain of giving birth. Giving away free 5 year birth control implants for example would save the world from many an extra mouth.

    13. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If there is an entire nation that has no resources to trade and they are not capable of growing their own food

      But why hold off on that investment (in a third-world economy) when the net result is that they are deeply indebted to you for generations? Most of the places you refer to are productive and fertile. The problem is that through the operations of IMF, World Bank and others, the produce of the land is required to be exported in order to produce currency to service debts, instead of reduce local hunger and increase local health.

    14. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      your thinking is totally wrong. It would be offensive if you reached these conclusions after being properly informed. I will assume for your benefit you simply do not realize the shift in global growth we have seen this century. You seem tied to ideas from the 1950s. Ideas that are not supported by the demographic data. See any one of many Hans Rosling's recent talks. In short, modernization is not following the same pattern in developing countries as it did in the west. Developing populations are curbing their own growth (smaller families) via marginal gains in technology and health. Development/industrialization is occurring after this stage. This is the complete opposite of the west and the complete opposite of the thinking that leads to your ideas. There are only a few countries on earth (afghanistan, DRC, and a few others) that are mired in the pattern of the past and it is mainly due to perpetual conflict. In short, our aid programs are working *if* conflict can be avoided. In light of the data of the last 30 year, your solutions are unconscionable.

    15. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Clearly you don't know what it's like to be a black man in a white man's world. If you did, you would be a lot more sensitive to those underprivileged like myself.

      It's not my fault that I wasn't born in a land full of resources. Learn to help another man in need.

    16. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by spectral7 · · Score: 1

      As countries develop, birthrate goes down. More specifically, birthrate and family size trends down as women are educated and child mortality goes down. Not exactly starvation, but keeping poor nations poor is a problem, not a solution.

    17. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by rgviza · · Score: 1

      You mean as long as the government keeps letting them re-insure their property (flood insurance) that's not gonna happen. Next time it happens it's time to say "Ok here's the payout for the house you lost. Now go build the new one somewhere else because we aren't going to let you insure a house in a sinking swamp again. "

      --
      Don't kid yourself. It's the size of the regexp AND how you use it that counts.
    18. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by 3seas · · Score: 1

      Well then help with your solution... kill yourself. To each his own...

      Money is not a resource, its an abstract representation of value which has been greatly manipulated and distorted to the point of no longer honestly representing honest real value. Or maybe you can show me the less than zero value all the negative numbers in debt causing bailouts represent in real value?

    19. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by rastilin · · Score: 1
      As other posters have pointed out, many nations are poor because economic factors are set up to keep them that way. One of the reasons that Cuba fought so hard to push out capitalist industry was because wages and living conditions were kept artificially low by multiple companies working together; a situation that's occurring in many other places across the globe right now. It's not that these countries are at their limit, they are starving because they cannot use their own resources to their fullest extent. Once every country is fully developed and we are still running out of food, that will be the point when someone can legitimately bring up mass starvation as the possible solution to anything.

      Not that such a point will come around. With 7 billion people working to solve the resource problem, we will find solutions that seem to be impossible with our current brainpower.

      There is a basic concept, if you have a resource, trade it for a resource you do not have, and that includes money. If there is an entire nation that has no resources to trade and they are not capable of growing their own food, then the population will starve, the population will go down, and things balance out. Helping rebuild after a natural disaster is one thing, but if after 20+ years a country can't recover, then why should we continue to help? The world as a whole does not need money pits, and the world as a whole does not need a "food pit" that will never be able to trade resources for food.

      The UN and other countries aren't working now. Keeping people in camps, selling food that undercuts the local farmers and deploying troops that end up raping the locals but cannot be charged due to immunities isn't helping. There's no political will to actually work to fix these problems because the solutions don't look particularly appetizing from a moment's look. For example, if the UN worked to shoot the warlords and bandit kings causing destruction by rampaging through their respective countries, the first thing those warlords would do is scream about how the west was imposing their oppressive cultural values onto them against their will, much like how you are doing right now. Likewise if the UN had harsh and immediate penalties for soldiers caught taking advantage of the locals in their battalions the countries providing those soldiers would likely withdraw support from the UN and make a fuss about their rights being violated.

      Helping people in your own country would make far more sense, since if you can elevate THOSE people out of poverty, they may be able to become productive and to add value to society as a whole. If you want to adopt people and bring them into your own country, then fine, bring them in, and make them productive.

      This argument has been around a long time for everything from the space program to R&D. So has it's counter. "You didn't do shit for those people before we started doing x, and you're not planning to do shit for them if x stops, so cut the crap."

      What's my solution? Laws need to be passed that prevent corporations from taking advantages of countries that they outsource to; these laws need to have teeth. Corporations always complained about new labour laws, from equal pay to child exploitation legislation; they're going to cope just fine. More importantly the influx of capital will allow the countries being outsourced in to more fully develop their economies. The UN should make an effort to sell food at just a higher price than local farmers in poor countries in order to insure that the local industry doesn't go bankrupt every time they visit. Free surgery is good, but no one's going to start any farms as long as you're going to pop by and undercut them on a bi-yearly basis. The UN army needs to be disciplined properly to prevent the current abuses against the people they're supposed to be protecting and then cut loose to deal with the bandit problems. There's local culture and then there's mass murder and we need to have a global understanding that the second is not just a funny thing that those people do but a blight to be stamped out brutally. Those suffering nations are quite capable of having the same food production as western nations.

      --
      How do you kill that which has no life?
    20. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by ignitionxvi · · Score: 2

      Spirit of Christmas Present: My time with you is at an end, Ebenezer Scrooge. Will you profit from what I've shown you of the good in most men's hearts?

      Ebenezer: I don't know, how can I promise!

      Spirit of Christmas Present: If it's too hard a lesson for you to learn, then learn this lesson!
      [opens his robe, revealing two starving children]

      Ebenezer: [shocked] Spirit, are these yours?

      Spirit of Christmas Present: They are Man's. This boy is Ignorance, this girl is Want. Beware them both, but most of all, beware this boy!

      Ebenezer: But have they no refuge, no resource?

      Spirit of Christmas Present: [quoting Scrooge] Are there no prisons? Are there no workhouses?

    21. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by 3seas · · Score: 1

      It has been exposed that Israel has kept the Gaza strip on the bring of economic collapse. This is the reason for the flotillas and other protest from around the world. Now where else has such manipulation over money and otehr forms of trade via military power have kept a peoples unable to sustain themselves? How about Haiti? read its history and maybe even visit google earth to see the damage of the land so bad it can't maintain the people. Where the real solution direction would be of the likes of the Civilian Conservation corps and the ongoing question of why its not being done. It'd certainly bring healing to both the land and the people from very long running abuse.

      Or Perhaps you think they deserve to starve, due the abuse they have suffered at the hand of other men.

      And again, help with your solution... kill yourself,.
         

    22. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by nitehawk214 · · Score: 1

      You mean as long as the government keeps letting them re-insure their property (flood insurance) that's not gonna happen. Next time it happens it's time to say "Ok here's the payout for the house you lost. Now go build the new one somewhere else because we aren't going to let you insure a house in a sinking swamp again. "

      Uhh, that isn't how flood insurance works. If you are living in a designated flood zone you pay tons extra, to cover for the disasters that are bound to happen. In fact if you are in a flood zone, you MUST buy the insurance, lenders will not lend to you otherwise. (and are likely not allowed to) It isn't a free handout from the government, the people living in the flood zone are paying for it. However, if the area you live in is not a flood zone, but you get a flood anyhow (usually due to extraordinary flooding), then you are screwed and get nothing from insurance. This is when people beg for free money.

      This is why people who live in a "border line" flood zone are desperate not to be declared be in the flood zone, so they are not forced to pay the coverage. If their house gets destroyed, and it inevitably will, they can either walk away from the mortgage or get free money. The flood insurance system was supposed to encourage people to pay the insurance, but it ends up doing the opposite.

      --
      I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
    23. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same reason me feed, cloth and provide medical care for our grandparents long after they were productive members of society.

    24. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      How about letting those same people immigrate to a country that has plenty of food, like (probably) yours and mine? Is it better to let them starve? It's not like there's some divine law that if you were born in some specific deprived country, you have to stay there. Your lack of imagination is a little sickening.

    25. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In practice the opposite is true. When people have enough food they don't worry about their children starving to death, so they have fewer children.

    26. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know I'll get down rated for this, but with the concerns of global food supplies not being enough, and the growing global population, should we REALLY be trying to save people from starvation who will never be able to provide for themselves?

      Yes, we should try to save people. We should go even further and try to help them raise their standards of living, because there's the well-known demographic effect that birth rate goes down once a society is moderately wealthy (which includes the relative certainty that all your children will survive into adulthood instead of starving or dying from other poverty-related causes, so you can afford to have fewer).

      Starvation is the thing that keeps societies from growing faster than the increase in food production, so why encourage third world countries to continue to increase their populations when they can't feed themselves?

      Because starvation leads to crime, wars and overall instability. The lack of stability in many third-world countries is certainly a major obstacle to an increase of food production through investments in farm equipment, infrastructure and better qualified agricultural workers.

      Increasing food production is possible, at least to some extent, and clearly more desirable from both an economic and a humanitarian point of view than a starving population. But good luck trying to increase food production when your farm trucks are taken away by some warlord for military transports, your irrigation pipes are dug up and sold for their metal by people who desperately need to buy food, and the children who you were trying to educate to become productive workers die from starvation.

      If there is an entire nation that has no resources to trade and they are not capable of growing their own food, then the population will starve, the population will go down, and things balance out. Helping rebuild after a natural disaster is one thing, but if after 20+ years a country can't recover, then why should we continue to help? The world as a whole does not need money pits, and the world as a whole does not need a "food pit" that will never be able to trade resources for food.

      Random "natural" feedback cycles may "work", but besides the nasty side effects on human health and happiness (not that you seem to care), it also takes ages to reach reasonable results this way. It took a millenium with a constant cycle of high birth rates balanced by starvation, wars and plagues, known as the dark age and middle ages, for Europeans to reach the current level of development. And you suggest giving up supporting a country after mere decades as a lost cause?

      Helping people in your own country would make far more sense, since if you can elevate THOSE people out of poverty, they may be able to become productive and to add value to society as a whole. If you want to adopt people and bring them into your own country, then fine, bring them in, and make them productive.

      Helping people in your own country makes a lot of sense, and if your country doesn't have social security and healthcare for every citizen yet, you should help to fix that. However, you shouldn't do this instead of helping people in less developed countries, if only for a simple reason: Helping the latter is usually more cost-effective, since even the cheapest of measures (e.g. in the healthcare sector) have often not yet been implemented in these countries.

    27. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Indeed, think of all the money we could also save if we got rid of welfare and unemployment insurance as well! Those people are clearly not fit enough, as Herbert Spencer would say. Onward to the perfect society!

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    28. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Never EVER pay an extortionist. It only makes your enemy stronger and you weaker and postpones the day of reckoning to their benefit. Aid to a friend is something different, but it should be commensurate to the WORTH ( utility ) of the friend you are aiding.

      There is a war that has been being fought for billions of years. It's a war to survive and procreate. Fight well and be victorious or cease to be. Do NOT stop having children. Have as many as you think you can, and raise them to your standards. In the first world, your standards are likely to be high, so that will not be many unless you are rich.

      There is no place on Earth for those who would shirk their duty to live, and no penalty except nonexistence.

      If you think life is worth living fight ruthlessly. If you don't, then self sacrifice, and try to make life more humane, but be honest with yourself, and realize what you are really doing and do it out of a spiteful heart.

      If life is a prize take it, if it is a curse then give it to others.

    29. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While I understand your viewpoint from a strictly logical perspective, there is far more to the human race than a logical conclusion of "you can't feed yourself, so good riddance." A person is more than just the level of their "productivity" and we should have more compassion for our fellow humans than that.

    30. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Paying people to get sterilized is way more humane.

    31. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Having population growth but not the resources to feed them is amoral in the extreme. Personally, I rate people that produce children when it is quite clear that most of them will starve close to murderers. At least they have not least bit of ethics to compensate for their uncontrolled egoism. Incidentally, providing food for one generation of these people so that just a lot more can starve in the next one is not better. If you cannot feed yourself, stop breeding.

      Come to think of, here is one point that the west can really feel superior about: There is no population growth.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    32. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're a good man with a great heart and good logic. However, there are countless people who don't get this and will be responsible for much more misery and starvation, simply by trying to feed these people who don't control the size of their population and breed mindlessly. These kind of people will go to slander and insult you because they still need to develop a moral and humanitarian character.

    33. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, when your parents get to old to be "productive", will you stop caring for them, as well?

    34. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There was a comedian who once used to wonder why we spend so much resources sending food to areas of starvation. The punchline was, don't live somewhere there isn't food.

      It's the whole teach a man to fish principal.

    35. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People have somehow supported themselves in those areas which today "can't support themselves" for thousands of years. The problem is that foreign corporations own all the land in those areas and use it to grow cash crops for export, not food for the populace.

    36. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by evil_aaronm · · Score: 1

      This is a good point. Triggers the thought of how non-Native Americans were continually amazed that the Native American population didn't flourish after being confined to reservations. Yes, Native Americans are human, but they didn't give a shit about houses, mortgages, property ownership, etc. We tried forcing them to fit our expectations. One size - "modern man" - does not fit all.

      Leave them the fuck alone and they'll be fine. They existed just fine, before.

    37. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But emotional people will then respond that you are a terrible person for using cold logic.

      Frankly, I agree with you. Make the recipients of benefits work for the benefits and contribute to a productive society. But that is not the way it works, is it?

    38. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know I'll get down rated for this, but with the concerns of global food supplies not being enough, and the growing global population, should we REALLY be trying to save people from starvation who will never be able to provide for themselves? Starvation is the thing that keeps societies from growing faster than the increase in food production, so why encourage third world countries to continue to increase their populations when they can't feed themselves?

      You don't have a rats ass worth knowledge about "Third world" countries. And I am pretty sure you are not even talking about the "Third world". You want to talk about the situation in war torn countries like Congo or Afghanistan (well you started the war here yourselves, take care of your shit).

      There is a basic concept, if you have a resource, trade it for a resource you do not have, and that includes money. If there is an entire nation that has no resources to trade and they are not capable of growing their own food, then the population will starve, the population will go down, and things balance out. Helping rebuild after a natural disaster is one thing, but if after 20+ years a country can't recover, then why should we continue to help?

      Well to tell you the truth, we are helping ourselves, and we can do that pretty well and efficiently. Thanks but no thanks, we would like you to stay out of our business.

    39. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Better yet, let's mark out the places in the USA that produce food, then stop exporting to other counties and states, and let areas with no farming die.
      Idiot.

    40. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      that's an excellent argument for colonization and empire-building, would be the best thing that ever happened to the shitholes of the world

    41. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by tknd · · Score: 1

      You're solving the wrong problem.

      What typically happens in impoverished nations is people have too many babies. The extra babies creates more demand for food until there's not enough food to feed everyone. Since there isn't enough food, someone starves.

      So if you just let people starve, this cycle will happen over and over again because you're just letting the resources dictate population. Since the birthrate goes uncontrolled, the population will grow till the food supply can't support more people. But since everyone needs to eat, most of the resources go back into food so the top demand item is always food and most of the population just works to grow food.

      If you want to solve this problem, the solution is in controlling the birthrate. When you control the birthrate, you can actually reduce or stabilize demand for food. Since there are fewer people to feed, the extra resources can now be poured into luxuries OTHER than food.

    42. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by steelfood · · Score: 1

      Two reasons:

      Rising standard of living reduces the amount of children born (as stated above).

      Rising standard of living stabilizes the region, which in turn reduces regional conflicts. It's not conducive to the overall human population, but such considerations become academic when your neighbor's war spills over into your country and you find yourself facing the wrong end of an AK-47.

      Thus it is in everybody's interest to raise the standard of living everywhere. Although, to be honest (as said above by the same person), there's no real need to actively help because people will do raise their own standard of living just fine on their own.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    43. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by chrb · · Score: 1

      Starvation is the thing that keeps societies from growing faster than the increase in food production

      Kind of, but also note that people in starving societies tend to have high birth rates, coupled with social instability which ultimately is a driver of wars. People have lots of children because they know that some of them won't make it to adulthood - and because having children is generally a financially advantageous thing to do (who cares for you in your old age?).

      Helping people in your own country would make far more sense, since if you can elevate THOSE people out of poverty, they may be able to become productive and to add value to society as a whole.

      Small world thinking. We live in a globalised economy now. What do you think starving young people are going to do - stay on the land that isn't providing for them, or go elsewhere? More starvation leads to increased migration and wars.

      Why do you limit your "let them starve" argument to people outside of "your country"? Is it because you would actually feed starving people within some imaginary made-up-by-humans geographical boundary? Why not let the people in your neighbouring town or state die if they are starving? Why does your argument not apply in this case? And what about groups of nation states like the E.U.? Should the British let the Spanish starve if there is a crop failure? What about the French? Should the English help the Scots?

      if you can elevate THOSE people out of poverty, they may be able to become productive and to add value to society as a whole

      And what if you can't elevate those people out of poverty? You should just let them all starve to death? This is exactly the kind of situation that results in civil war.

      The only solutions that have ever been shown to work in the scenario where the land can't support the growing population of people are increased food production, mass migration, or lowering the birth rate by increasing the standard of living. You are not the first to have the "Let them starve" idea - it has actually been tried once or twice in history - and it did not go down well; e.g. the German Hunger Plan to increase food production through war and starvation of occupied populations.

    44. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We grow crops in developing countries and exploit their large cheap work force so that we can have cheap and plentiful food and non-seasonal food in the developed countries. Which is nice. So these increased populations who can't feed themselves are a result of our trading policies.

      If they could store some of the food that was grown that'd be fine, but it's owned by global corporations who want to sell it for profit. They think it's our taxes that should be used to save their starving work force, not their profits.

      And then there's problems like the current famine across east Africa. That might be a result of (human-caused) climate change which is caused by the biggest polluters - definitely not African nations.

    45. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      his is why people who live in a "border line" flood zone are desperate not to be declared be in the flood zone, so they are not forced to pay the coverage. If their house gets destroyed, and it inevitably will, they can either walk away from the mortgage or get free money.

      The smartest people pay for the cheaper, but not required flood insurance and buy the foreclosed houses (now vacant land) of those that fell for the false assurance of no flood zone designation = no floods.

    46. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by ProfessionalCookie · · Score: 1

      If there is an entire nation that has no resources to trade and they are not capable of growing their own food, then the population will starve

      Speaking as a volunteer at a children's center in Northern Mozambique even people in destitute poverty may have many children, especially in a culture where transient sexual relationships are often encouraged. I don't mean to sound too much like I'm not a robot, but watching babies, children, teenagers and adults starve until the population reaches equilibrium because of some imaginary lines in the sand is a pretty insane plan. I think there is potential to be more creative. Other than that, you're pretty much right.

    47. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by sercero · · Score: 1

      Actually what is most important is education. Starvation should not be allowed, instead what is needed is for the society to develop and in time it will reach an education level where people will just have fewer kids. One of the firsts posts talked about this. The world is not in a phase where the population is increasing exponentially because the birth rate is reaching the replacement rate in most of the wolrd. That means that the birth rate is decreasing, I was worried about overpopulation until reading an article from The Economist where it talked about this very issue. In fact my way of thinking was very much like yours but now I see that it is best when nations help each other.

    48. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by jamesh · · Score: 1

      The risk to mother and child associated with childbirth is precisely why the birth rate needs to be high in such countries. In a world where a lot of kids die before reaching adulthood you need to have a lot of backup children so that some make it to be old enough to keep the farm/village/tribe/whatever going.

    49. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by AlexiaDeath · · Score: 1

      That just summs up to a very late variant of birth control. Less kids would leave more resources and thus better chances of growing into adulthood for those that are born. World is a zero sum game.

    50. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by schlachter · · Score: 1

      Most of us don't want to sit around and do nothing when innocent people die...largely by factors that are beyond their control, regardless of the logical arguments. Ever heard of Karma?

      --
      My God can beat up your God. Just kidding...don't take offense. I know there's no God.
    51. Re:This is why trying to save people is a bad idea by Targon · · Score: 1

      People die all the time, in ALL countries, not just third world countries. If you want to save people who are starving, how about starting in your own country with communities that are poor? The USA has many regions, including rural upstate New York, and areas of the deep south as well as others where things are not much better than what you see in third world countries, yet too many people are more worried about the people in other countries than people in THIS country who are in the same situation.

      I am not saying that nothing should be done to stop the wars that cause starvation in third world countries, but when the conversation is about "global food supplies" and overpopulation of the planet, then is it a good idea to encourage population growth in places that can't even grow enough food to feed their current population? The USA has resources to trade for food that we don't produce here. Japan has resources that they trade for things they don't produce, so why should the third world, which has been getting aid for many decades and which has no resources to export get a free handout.

      I'd rather not see people in the USA starve because people insist on giving food to third world countries that can't support their own populations and don't put in the effort needed to grow more food.

  36. Population growth pressures society change. by 3seas · · Score: 1

    This will be the third time population growth caused a major change in society.

    The first time happen when population grew larger than the bicameral mind state of man could handle. We created Consciousness, the ability to create and use higher level abstractions. Higher than the base level animals share. In doing so we gave up the benefits of the bicameral mind in its ability to be in touch with nature (i.e. how crabs know to move inland before a hurricane makes landfall, Monarch butterflies every fourth generation know to go back to one location in Mexico, from the three generations before them traveling as far a Canada, etc..) But there was effort of man to keep a connection to the bicameral mind state via the job of oracles. The Tower of Babel is more a metaphor for an event that happened around the world of this population driven breakdown of the bicameral mind movement to the creation and use of higher level abstraction (consciousness) than it is a religious event. From it came introspection, the first recorded suicide and by error or intent we discovered deception and how it can be used for advantage of oneself at the possible disadvantage of another. Julian Jaynes work covers this transition of mind state Origins of Consciousness through teh breakdown of the bicameral mind

    The second major change in society population growth drove was of mathematics, the abstract tool set used. The Roman Numeral system did not lend well to accounting after the population grew beyond the limits of roman numeral mathematics. The Hindu-Arabic decimal system with its zero place holder (Only a fool would think "nothing" could have value) took three hundred years to overcome the roman numeral system, though it was much easier and more powerful to use. Population growth was the motivating factor. Today the Hindu-Arabic decimal system is the universal language of society, for it defines economy.

    The build-up of population pressure today is doing what? Well its become very clear our numerical abstractions which are supposed to represent value in the economy, as a tool of trade called money, have become far to manipulated and distorted to anymore be an honest representation of value. For it to be an honest representation it would be required to be able to show the less than zero real value existing for which the massive negative numbers around the world are suggesting.

    Recap: we created higher level abstractions to overcome growing problems in society due population growth. Then we created a specific set of abstraction to again deal with society issues caused from growing population.Today we again are dealing with population growth issues, but this time its the breakdown of the honest use of the abstract tools we have created.

    The breakdown of these abstract tools, money and language and society really beginning to fight back has and will continue to be in the news. Bank bailouts, real estate bubble burst, the trillion dollar bet, 9/11 (world trade center), Tunisia, Egypt, Wikileaks, Anonymous, Rupert Murdoch etc.

    Society has gotten tired of the crap of the LESS THAN 1% screwing the rest of us... 7 BILLION.... Things are going to change...
    We Do NOT Forget, We Do NOT Forgive, Expect US!
    The Anonymous of a 7 billion Society...

    I suspect we'll find the honesty of the bicameral mind and honest advantages of the tool of abstraction...
     

    1. Re:Population growth pressures society change. by geoffrobinson · · Score: 1

      "We created Consciousness"

      How did unconscious people go about creating that?

      --
      Except for ending slavery, the Nazis, communism, & securing American independence, war has never solved anything.
    2. Re:Population growth pressures society change. by 3seas · · Score: 1

      You seem to not understand what consciousness is. It is not just being awake and aware of your surrounding.

      Abstraction works this this:

      word = definition.

      Now if you want to define consciousness a just being awake and aware then you can do that, but you limit your ability to go beyond this definition you have,
      Abstraction only works as well as the agreed upon meaning by the parties using such abstraction. Double speak, triple speak and out right lying are all misuses of the abstract communication tool.

      For a definition of the word consciousness as I have used it, refer to the work of Julian Jaynes or simply understand that being awake and aware does not mean you are capable of creating and using higher level languages. Examples of being awake and aware can be found plenty in your surroundings with teh animals you encounter or have as pets. They cannot comprehend anything we communicate beyond what they can directly attach some action to.

      To be productive we need man power, knowledge and natural resources. We do not need the abstract tool of money. No other animal uses such a high level of abstraction to represent value exchange, and if that's not enough to understand, then show me an animal who plays the totally abstract game of the stock market.

      Julian Jaynes explains how we can develop a society of quite a complex nature, while being totally in a bicameral state of not (as opposed to a conscious state of unicameral mind.)

    3. Re:Population growth pressures society change. by 3seas · · Score: 1

      The biological ability (brain capacity) and need, driven by pressures to solve growing society problems.

      correction, should read- ....Julian Jaynes explains how we can develop a society of quite a complex nature, while being totally in a bicameral state of MIND (as opposed to a conscious state of unicameral mind.)

    4. Re:Population growth pressures society change. by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      Through the timecube of course.

    5. Re:Population growth pressures society change. by BeanThere · · Score: 1

      do not need the abstract tool of money. No other animal uses such a high level of abstraction to represent value exchange

      Um, sure, but other animals still sleep in the dirt, get wet when it rains, die of basic diseases, and no other animals have advanced medicine and technology and such sophisticated division of labor. I'm not sure how 'no other animal' uses it, is an argument against it. Without money, meaningful division of labor would be impossible; without meaningful complex division of labor, we would not have been able to progress much. How would someone be able to specialize in, say, treatment of neurological disorders, or how would newton have been able to specialize in researching newtonian mechanics and lenses, for example, if there was no such thing as money? He would have had to either grow his own food, or would have had to trade his services directly with a farmer, which makes no sense.

      Now if you want to define consciousness a just being awake and aware then you can do that, but you limit your ability to go beyond this definition you have,
      Abstraction only works as well as the agreed upon meaning by the parties using such abstraction. Double speak, triple speak and out right lying are all misuses of the abstract communication tool.

      Yes, and this is how "they" use grammar to control our minds!

  37. Good Sci-Fi? by Ozeroc · · Score: 1

    Hyperion Cantos - Dan Simmons

    --
    ...
  38. Population control, whether we want it or not. by grimmjeeper · · Score: 1

    A lot of the projections on population growth assume that nothing will change in the birth and death rates. Two things will change as population density increases, both deriving from the abject poverty brought on by overpopulation in 3rd world countries.

    First will be war. A bunch of desperately poor people with nothing to lose are easy to whip up into a frenzy. Despots will have no trouble building an army that will march off to take what little his neighbors have. Conflicts are already flaring up. The scale will only get bigger. And they're not going to just swoop in and take the resources, they're going to kill each other off. We will see more genocide between warring factions. It's only a matter of time.

    Second will be disease. People packed into slums living in complete squalor will breed disease. I doubt we'll see a huge super bug that wipes out 90% of the population of the earth overnight. However, simple diseases will proliferate and wipe out whole towns at a time. An influenza strain alone could wipe out hundreds of millions of people in a year. Reports of outbreaks will only get more common as the population grows. As we cure more diseases, they'll evolve into new strains. Any disease that's hideously deadly will probably burn itself out too fast to wipe out the world's population, but we'll still see new and nasty diseases that wipe out large numbers of people.

    We can talk all we want about educating women so they don't want to have so many babies. But we don't realize how much it's going to take to actually make that happen. Cultural issues have to be overcome. Someone has to provide that education to a growing population. That's not going to be cheap. We can talk about how third world countries will build themselves up out of the poverty. But that completely ignores the fact that there are some significant impediments to that happening in many parts of the world. Somalia is a good example of how some countries have actually regressed in recent years. (i.e. last 20-30 years) I don't want to say that those things will never happen or won't help. I'm just being pragmatic. It's an uphill battle and there will be many casualties along the way.

    1. Re:Population control, whether we want it or not. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope you realize that no amount of education is going to stop man and women, intelligent and humble/poor/other side of scale, from mating and having kids. You scientists and nerds think you're on top of the world and that everyone is like you when the reality is you are all just a small blip in the world's population. Fortunately, you guys have great and powerful connections with your vast, godly, all powerful intelligence; the strongest survive and the weakest die. We should worship and beg you to spare our lives, knowing that you hold the psychological, financial, political, educational, and biological keys in controlling and manipulating the masses to your desires.

      Sincerely,
      Scoffer

  39. 7 billion and counting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The population will soon be at 7 billion and then 8 billion in 20 years. The industrial nations of the world have a relatively stable population. But for the rest of the world, who think they can overbreed indiscriminately, food will get scarcer, water will be in short supply, oil will be harder to get. I want to be the one selling guns. Let them fight it out. Darwin at the finest. May the best survive.

    When butter is in short supply, make guns.

  40. Gee is that all? by DarthVain · · Score: 3, Informative

    We just have to raise Africa out of poverty? That should be easy right?

    Considering it was just last week I saw a report on the news about the refugee camps in Kenya. There is now 500,000 people in those camps. Half a freaking million. Also many of the camps have been around for 20 years. Twenty freaking years. There was a story about people that were BORN in the refugee camps, and are still there as adults!

    Am I the only one that sees this and goes "WTF!"

    On the whole Africa is one messed up place, between war, famine, corruption, exploitation, genocide, plague, lawlessness, lack of anything infrastructure, education, health care, dictators, racial hatred, etc... the place is about as messed up as a place can possibly be. It has been receiving aid from both countries and individuals for decades and decades and there has even been some UN "interventions" (though not nearly enough in my mind).

    Anyway I am not offering up any solutions, as if I had one I would be trying to do something about it. That assumes there are "solutions" to this sort of thing. People have been trying to fix Africa for a long time with no success. The fact that they have so many kids, seems crazy to me (but of course it hard to judge never having been in that situation). So ya, I'm not going to hold my breath for an African solution to population issues.

    1. Re:Gee is that all? by Amouth · · Score: 1

      they way i view the problems in Africa - you can only help people who want help and care.

      Sadly the ones that do want help get over powered by the greedy.

      Too many people there and here are Short sighted (look at most large corps now days) everyone wants instant gratification..

      To bring Africa up and to make our own world better we need long term vision and commitment.. we need people doing things for the sake of society not for them selves.

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    2. Re:Gee is that all? by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      I think it is also one of those chicken and the egg arguments. Part of the problem with Africa is they they have too many kids. They cannot feed their population. They already fight over land and resources. In order to solve the world population problem by solving Africa's problems, one of those problems is having 14 kids without any way to support them. No jobs, or education, or food leads to joining up with the local warlord and causing even more havoc.

      I have to say religions like Catholicism isn't helping matters either with their prohibition on contraception.

      Some of the aid is also counter productive also, where basically the free food stuffs arriving from America and the world, basically make it impossible for an African farmer to make it at least in the capitalism sort of way, because they are constantly undercut by subsidized competition. Of course that is assuming they have a currency or government or laws that make that possible anyway. So it is a disincentive on top of all the other problems they have to deal with.

    3. Re:Gee is that all? by corbettw · · Score: 2

      the place is about as messed up as a place can possibly be. It has been receiving aid from both countries and individuals for decades and decades

      Wow, so giving people free money and food doesn't help them out of poverty? Imagine that.

      Let Africa fix their own problems. They're adults, they can handle it. The sooner we stop babying them and pretending that all of their problems are everyone else's fault instead of their own responsibility to deal with, the better off they (and the rest of the world) will be.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    4. Re:Gee is that all? by RsG · · Score: 1

      Is there something wrong with your reading comprehension? I don't mean that sarcastically - I think you may be speed reading or skimming fast enough to completely misread what's in front of you. For instance:

      ...it is not necessary for the first world to elevate the developing world in order to accomplish this. They're doing that by themselves. We tend to have a very nineteenth century attitude to the rest of the planet, believing that it is only through our guidance that they can rise above savagery, but the reality is that with the exception of countries held in poverty by war, corruption or constant disaster, most of the developing world is quite capable of elevating themselves

      We just have to raise Africa out of poverty? That should be easy right?

      ^This here?^ This is what I wrote and what you replied. I trust you can see what's wrong with your post? What I'm saying and what you think I'm saying don't match up in the slightest; in fact they're almost total opposites.

      I even went so far as to single out the Congo, possibly the least pleasant part of Sub-Saharan Africa, as an example of where the kind of development I was talking about doesn't happen, here:

      ...with the exception of countries held in poverty by war, corruption or constant disaster, most of the developing world is quite capable of elevating themselves, and are doing exactly that. Note the qualifier about "war, corruption or disaster" preventing this; the Congo remains a bloody mess as do many of it's neighbours, but they aren't the only type of developing nation.

      Meaning you either didn't read that part, or read it and disregarded it.

      I'd be perfectly happy to engage you in civil debate, but only if you actually read what you're replying to.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    5. Re:Gee is that all? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      It is impossible for a farmer anywhere to make a living using 15th century agricultural methods. Just as true in central America as Africa. The only exception is the first world, where the 15th century type crops get labeled 'Organic' and sold to rich fools.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    6. Re:Gee is that all? by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      You generalize the "developing world" while singling out Africa. Then use a Congo example of how it is not happening.

      What I was trying to say is if you posit that the population problem, hinges on Africa, and bringing them out of poverty, then what makes you think that can happen. Has anything in the past lead us to believe that this is a possible solution, or even something that we can have any influence in. As you go on to say with the EXCEPTION of those in the thrall of corruption, war, and disaster, and I was trying to point out that Africa seems to be in a perpetual state of corruption, war, and disaster.

      So I wasn't trying to answer all you points, or even argue you on a point by point basis. Trying to insinuate that I have some sort of reading comprehension issue is simply lame.

    7. Re:Gee is that all? by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      I guess what I am saying, is that hypothetically even if given the tools and training to have a modern farm (ignoring the whole climate, lack of water, etc...) they could still not make it work. As why the hell would you produce grain at 20$ a bushel (arbitrary number) if the going market rate is 2$ a bushel because of the aid imports from the USA which is subsidized heavily by the government simply to keep the farms going in the first place. You can't compete.

      Subsistence farming is OK if you don't even have the 2$, but you aren't going to solve any big issues that way.

      The trouble is, they are caught in a catch 22, where you don't want to stop the aid, as people will starve, but at the same time it is killing any chance of actual recovery.

      Ideally, you wean off aid, and actually subsidize actual African farming not American. However that will never fly as most US aid is not money but food, which is subsidized by government, which keeps US farms going and employed. Aid is simply the excuse.

    8. Re:Gee is that all? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Wow, so giving people free money and food doesn't help them out of poverty? Imagine that.

      Not when the local warlord keeps on stealing it all because there's no strong central goverment stopping him.

      Let Africa fix their own problems. They're adults, they can handle it. The sooner we stop babying them and pretending that all of their problems are everyone else's fault instead of their own responsibility to deal with, the better off they (and the rest of the world) will be.

      Cool. Now this may surprise you, but adults often run into things they can't handle, such as illness, bad luck, the aggression of other adults, etc. That's why adults have this thing called "society", which is a kind of mutual support system - everyone pays taxes, and the collected funds are used to develop and maintain infrastructure that helps everyone, and also to help those who need it directly.

      Now, Africa's problems are nobody's fault but their own, because colonialism ended decades ago and most other former colonies are doing just fine; but it makes sense for us to push the idea that one should help those in need, because that way we increase the likelihood that we get aid should we ever need it. Also, helping Africa to get its act together also increases the chances that they'll contribute to the wellbeing of the human race, which includes us. Finally, doing so opposes the idea of "everyone for themselves", which is the cornerstone of laissez-faire capitalism, which has caused tremendous damage to our economies over the last couple of decades, culminating in the current financial crisis.

      In short, both cold utilitarian reason and bleeding-heart humanitarianism seem to agree that helping those in need makes sense; and Africa sure needs help.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    9. Re:Gee is that all? by RsG · · Score: 1

      You generalize the "developing world" while singling out Africa.

      Ah, I think I see the problem.

      Most of the population of the developing world is in the Indian subcontinent or Southeast Asia. I took it for granted that anyone reading my post would read "developing world" that way. You clearly thought I was singling out Africa as the major portion of the developing world, which it isn't, but a lot of people think it is. My bad for not specifying.

      Africa, or more specifically the more violent bits of Sub-Saharan Africa, is the major exception to the rule that developing nations are making progress on their own. That was why I singled out the Congo, because I surmised that if I just said "the developing world is modernizing of it's own accord" someone would shoot back "yeah, tell that to the people in the Congo" (or words to that effect).

      So, in summary, I generalized about the developing world and specifically singled out parts of Africa as being the exception. If that was unclear, then I'm prepared to admit the problem was poor wording on my part rather than poor comprehension on yours.

      if you posit that the population problem, hinges on Africa, and bringing them out of poverty, then what makes you think that can happen. Has anything in the past lead us to believe that this is a possible solution, or even something that we can have any influence in

      The population problem doesn't hinge on Africa.

      India, Bangladesh, China and the entire Middle East are much more important to the discussion. And they're modernizing. South America, Eastern Europe, Russia and Africa also matter, but they aren't as densely populated. That's not to say that only the most densely populated regions matter, but rather that if those regions raise their standard of living, then a significant source of population growth stabilizes. My point is, most of the developing world raising their standard of living is "good enough" to prevent runaway growth; there will remain a few holdouts (like the Congo).

      And I specifically said that we can't help the developing world, that they can and will help themselves.

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    10. Re:Gee is that all? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      FYI most US farm aid is in the form of payments not to grow crops (as a price support).

      US crops would be cheaper and more plentiful without government actions.

      Market prices for crops have nothing to do with their price once shipped to Africa as humanitarian aid.

      Under normal conditions African farmers need to produce crops for less then First world prices + shipping costs. They don't need to directly compete.

      Rhodesia was the bread basket of Africa, Zimbabwe can't feed itself now. It's climate has not changed.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    11. Re:Gee is that all? by Macrat · · Score: 1

      the place is about as messed up as a place can possibly be. It has been receiving aid from both countries and individuals for decades and decades

      Charity is big business.

      If the donations actually went to solving the problem, all of these professional fund raisers would be out of work.

    12. Re:Gee is that all? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyway I am not offering up any solutions, as if I had one I would be trying to do something about it. That assumes there are "solutions" to this sort of thing. People have been trying to fix Africa for a long time with no success. The fact that they have so many kids, seems crazy to me (but of course it hard to judge never having been in that situation). So ya, I'm not going to hold my breath for an African solution to population issues.

      Just because something hasn't been done yet, doesn't mean it can't be done. It DOES mean it might be incredibly difficult, an idea we've never thought of, or impossibly expensive. Personally I'd imagine a workable solution would be to do the Iraq solution. Go in there on shady reasons, conquer, and rebuild. Then move out to the rest of the African continent imposing our will.

      Sort of worked in South Korea and to a certain extent North Korea for China/Russia too. We'll see how Iraq works out in the next decade or so.

      And they breed a lot because their children normally die at young ages. A way to keep the population high is by constantly breeding. For ourselves, we understand that child mortality rates are low, so we breed at lower rates.

      The worst part will be if we DO raise their standard of living enough that their mortality rates drop. For a generation or two they'll have a boom of population because they'll still be breeding at the old rates despite the new rates of child mortality. Then again, at that point they could start on becoming the new place where we get our cheap labor. China/India version 2!

    13. Re:Gee is that all? by randyleepublic · · Score: 0

      In such a situation as these people find themselves, having as many children as one can manage to is embracing hope and rejecting despair. The fact that such a huge majority of westerners fail to empathize with this fundemental expression of human nature is profoundly disturbing. One begins to understand why some westerners find such enthralling fulfillment by embracing, e.g. African cultures, in some sort of beneficial role - not so much, one strongly now suspects, for the satisfaction due to whatever beneficial accomplishments accrue, but more likely in truth from abandoning the soul sick society from which they came, to immerse themselves in an a fundementally different society, which, while cruely perilous in the extreme, at least understands what "humanity" truly implies.

      --
      Social Credit would solve everything...
    14. Re:Gee is that all? by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Re-read your original post. Not sure where I got Africa from, other than you mentioned Congo. I am pretty sure I responded to the wrong post if that makes any sense (or why this conversation doesn't entirely). Its close enough that it kinda does.

      Anyway the argument I was countering was that lifting Africa out of poverty won't be easy (if even possible), and is likely not to solve all our problems. You were actually making much the same argument, a slightly different way. Anyway I am pretty sure I got your post confused with someone elses, yet the topic is closely related enough to make it hard to tell without close inspection...

      Really I was just trying to be flip in that it was like, "oh you mean all we have to do is fix Africa, well that should be a walk in the park, whats next..."

    15. Re:Gee is that all? by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Market prices for crops have nothing to do with their price once shipped to Africa as humanitarian aid. .

      Market prices in US don't matter, demand in Africa does. Are you going to get the free grain, or the stuff that costs money?

      US crops would be cheaper and more plentiful without government actions.

      I do see how you can figure that. it is counter to common sense. citation needed.

      FYI most US farm aid is in the form of payments not to grow crops (as a price support).

      I am not sure what you mean by that. You mean for US not to grow crops? because that would be aid towards US farmers not US aid. (I think the word "aid" is just confusing things.

    16. Re:Gee is that all? by corbettw · · Score: 1

      Not when the local warlord keeps on stealing it all because there's no strong central goverment stopping him.

      Europe used to be besotted with local warlords, too. But those same warlords were forced to give up some power over time and now the whole continent are thriving democracies. And Africa should be able to make that transition in less time than it took Europe because most of the kinks have already been worked out of the system.

      And has it never occurred to you that the warlords are the central government in some areas? A strong central government isn't the panacea you imply it is. Not when it's one based on might-makes-right and corruption, at least.

      As to the comment about society helping those in need: that's all well and good, but a social safety should never be a lifestyle. We (the developed world) have been pouring money into Africa for generations now. At some point, we need to let go and let them sink or swim on their own. Keeping them in a permanent state of dependency isn't helping them in the least little bit.

      If you want to help Africa, education is the about the only resource we can give them that they can't give themselves. Free food only discourages farmers from growing their own. Free goods and money discourages entrepreneurs from starting their businesses. Even free medicine (with the exception of vaccine programs, as long as the CIA stays the hell away from them) undermines their local doctors. But building schools, donating books, and helping the kids learn how the world works would do far more to clamp down on the power of warlords (in the long term) than anything else. It wasn't force of arms that overthrew most of the warlords in Europe, it was the printing press.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    17. Re:Gee is that all? by RsG · · Score: 1

      Well, no harm done. And yeah, we're in agreement about the problems in Africa - positive change there will take longer than the natural lifespan of anyone reading this. Which is not to say it'll never happen, because "never" is such a long time, but it'll happen slowly and it hasn't really gotten started yet (or at least the positive changes have been checked by negative ones, I suppose it could have gotten worse).

      --
      Erotic is when you use a feather. Exotic is when you use the whole chicken.
    18. Re:Gee is that all? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      The American Government supports most crop prices by limiting the number of acres dedicated to crops.

      It does this by paying farmers to let their fields lie fallow (not used). This reduces the crop surplus and raises the price.

      None of this means anything in Africa as the food is free in the port, then sold for local market price by the kleptocrats. Local market price can vary widely during a famine.

      A more common case is not free food, but cheap food, putting local farmers out of business. Happens everywhere they don't farm very well. Not much to do about it but build ag schools.

      Good cheep wine from CA and other places it putting small French grape growers out of business. They sat on their ass, making Vin Ordinare the same way their fathers did, growing on small plots and maintaining a steady buzz while the rest of the wine world studied the chemistry of wine making. Now they are screwed and their is no putting it back the way it was. Not even a Frenchman will spend twice as much for bad wine with flies in the sediment, just because it is French.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  41. Earths population growth is not exponential by mark-t · · Score: 1

    It is logistic growth... the earth is finite in size, and therefore has a limited capacity to sustain a population. The population may very well continue to grow, but can only asymptotically approach that threshold, rather than there ever being an abrupt change in population growth caused by exceeding the earth's population capacity too rapidly.

    The actual value of this asymptote will become clearer as we actually do approach the population threshold. Some claims currently are that this threshold lies somewhere in the 9 to 10 billion range... which, if correct, we should be able to know for sure quite soon.

    1. Re:Earths population growth is not exponential by Arlet · · Score: 1

      A more likely scenario is that the population will oscillate rather than smoothly approach an asymptote.

      When there are plenty of resources, people get plenty of children. As these children survive into adulthood when the resources run out, they start to kill each other to survive. Also, some of the renewable resource (e.g. trees, fish, and topsoil) take a while to recover, causing the population to drop much lower before it can start to grow again.

      A very simple model between two species is described by the Lotka-Volterra equations: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lotka%E2%80%93Volterra_equation

    2. Re:Earths population growth is not exponential by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Very probably, yes... but the actual approach to that threshold will still be far more gradual than the rate the population is currently growing... mimicking the appearance of an asymptote on the overall graph, although not being necessarily mathematically equivalent to one.

    3. Re:Earths population growth is not exponential by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 1

      Population growth is actually exponential, and will try to overcome the "threshold". Only when that happens of course there will be no resources to support everyone, so we will have mass deaths from starvation, global war for resources, disease, mass ... I hope not get to see it.

      --
      Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
    4. Re:Earths population growth is not exponential by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Incorrect... as the threshold is approached, the death rate will start to increase due to lack of sufficient resources, and the population's approach to this threshold will be far more gradual than continued exponential growth would be. This increase in death rate will not be abrupt.

      You cannot approach a capacity at an exponential rate... it is always approached more or less asymptotically. At most, what will happen is that the population growth will simply oscilate around the threshold... but again, the changes in birth and death rates will always be gradual, barring exceptional exterior influences.

  42. Re:The solution is easy. Nuke China down to bedroc by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't really care much for China, but I'd rather see Africa nuked.

  43. For anyone not from the US by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When is it "Halloween"?

    1. Re:For anyone not from the US by treeves · · Score: 1

      That'd be October 31st.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
  44. Ne sutor supra crepidam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Holy fuck, /.-ers, keep your commenting and moderation to tech-related topics. This topic is a poster child for less engineers in decision making; both in business and the world in general.

  45. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  46. Count to 7 Billion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I tried to wrap my head around 7 billion people, so i broke it down by counting by ten. You can imagine 10 people in one room easily. Now if you count those 10 people every second for about 21 years straight without sleep, you'll hit 7 billion.

    1. Re:Count to 7 Billion. by nirgle · · Score: 1

      You can imagine 10 people in one room easily. Now if you count those 10 people every second for about 21 years straight without sleep, you'll hit 7 billion.

      Without sleep? Make it 6,999,999,999.

  47. Not to worry ww III around corner rat's ass by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good way to cull the herd. Of course world wars may cull the herd to extinction but what the hey.

    I don't give a rat's ass.

  48. Don't worry about the population. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The oil is supposed to run out in 50 years, no idea when the affordable oil will run out. The industrial revolution starting with coal is what allowed us to grow from 1 billion on the planet to 7.
    When the affordable oil runs out the food will not get created or transported... Problem solved.
    The most awesome thing is that the survivors, after watching 6 billion people die will have learned nothing about responsible reproduction.
    We aren't going to space, we aren't headed towards immortality, we killed ourselves for babies.

  49. more explicitly by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Methods for population increase is described more explicitly here- www.porntube.com

  50. per se by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Not everyone finds it to be worrying per se."

    I followed the link, and not only does Caplan find it worrying, but he also finds it not worrying!

    (I do not think 'per se' means what you think it means.)

  51. Look on the bright side by BeanThere · · Score: 1

    By 18 years from now, that 1 billion increase over 10 years will constitute an extra half a billion sweet 18-year olds to potentially tap.

    OK, seriously, why not just have kids anyway? So they might live through an overpopulation kill-off, so what? These things happen, and it won't kill overyone; I'd rather my offspring be around and survive a great die-off, than some other random chump's offspring be around and survive a great die-off. Plus, it's nice to have kids around. Shit happens, at some point you just have to let go and stop taking things seriously and let the chips fall where they may.

    1. Re:Look on the bright side by damnfuct · · Score: 1

      (the root of overpopulation problem)

  52. and then free them from drudgery by Shivetya · · Score: 1

    Watch the video on youtube by Hans Rosling about the magic washing machine

    http://youtu.be/BZoKfap4g4w

    So yes I agree that educating girls would go a long way to reducing population growth. However we can do a lot in these countries by giving them the free time to gain an education. Far too much of their time is taken up by daily chores to include washing clothes and preparing food. So providing means to cover those two important areas would give them time to get that education when it is available,

    The third area is harder, overcoming religious belief.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  53. The Limits to Growth ... again. You should read it by advid.net · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The slashdot crowd should definitly read "Limits to Growth" !
    Twice a month there is a /. topic for which the most insightfull answer would be a key point from this book, but I barely see any reference to it.

    Yes... it is sometimes called Club of Rome report and usually one think he knows what it is about after having read some random rant about it, written by people who haven't read the study either... Please, trust me: people really need to understand what it is about.

    I do have read "Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update", the 3rd edition of this report written by Meadows' team.

    The point is that they were remarkably right in their first report (1972).

    If you don't have much time, at least read the book introduction and/or the abstract of this short study: A Comparison of `The Limits to Growth` with Thirty Years of Reality.

    Contrary to popular belief, The Limits to Growth scenarios by the team of analysts from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology did not predict world collapse by the end of the 20th century.

    The whole book is very interesting, it has many facts about humanity Earth "burn rate".

    What you should keep in mind: even with VERY optimistic discoveries, a good deal of technical breakthroughs, wise politics... in the very next decades we will face a growth halt and a decrease of average well being, production, etc. We could have maintained the well being and the population if we had done the right thing in 1990, but it is too late now to avoid this decrease.

    We're in overdrive since the 90's, has many over studies show, often stated as "1,5 Earth needed". And no matter how optimistic you are, how strong your faith is in technical advances, this won't make ocean fish replenish as we fish more and more with advanced techniques, this won't make available oil fields expand as we discover less than we pump out (even with more advanced techs), this won't make damaged farmlands heal as we over-exploit more and more lands, etc.

    The analysis shows that 30 years of historical data compare favorably with key features of a business-as-usual scenario called the "standard run" scenario, which results in collapse of the global system midway through the 21st century.

    So where the point here ? This discussion is about Earth population but without any reference to this Earth simulation where all scenarios show that we're heading to a population decrease in the next decades.
    I think the point is worth enough to be mentioned, to the least.

  54. chill out by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We have plenty of hypocritical liberal parasites in the west here that want to "grow" our economy by opening the floodgates to unabated immigration from all these third world shitholes with cancerous growth in populations.
    We're all going to be just fine.
    Trust me.

  55. pets as a replacement by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My aunt never had kids but she has dogs as a replacement.
    How many dogs to make a human?

  56. Growth rates differ dramatically around the globe by Dzimas · · Score: 1
    There's a brilliant page that splits out population growth rates by country on Wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population_growth_rate

    The important thing to note is that countries like the UK, Canada, United States and Sweden have relatively low growth -- below 1%. Even at current levels, their populations will double in approximately 100 years (give or take). Countries like Liberia, Burundi, Afghanistan and East Timor will see their populations double within 20 years. So, much as it's comforting to see people in the comments suggest that *we* stop breeding like rabbits, it won't necessarily stop the global problem. The solution to that one is politically distasteful -- *we* would have to share knowledge, money and education to help the citizens of war-torn and impoverished nations.

  57. enough for everyone by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We have enough resources for everyone. They are just unevenly distributed.

  58. "Not everyone finds it to be worrying per se." by tverbeek · · Score: 1

    "Not everyone finds it to be worrying per se."

    Note: It isn't necessary to provide equal time to ideology-driven-"scientists". They have their own web sites and news channels.

    --
    http://alternatives.rzero.com/
  59. Unsustainable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Right now 7 Billion people may only equate to 3 Billion consuming Electicity, Fuel, and other non renewable resources. The real problem is when 7 Billion people have a car, electricity, and purchasing bi-products (plastic, metals, etc.). We would need 3 Earths to sustain that many people. Humanity is falling off a cliff, it's just a mater of time before we hit bottom.

  60. A wild TMOSLEY appeared! by GameboyRMH · · Score: 0

    TMOSLEY used PLAINLY WRONG STATEMENT BARRAGE!

    Humans aren't dumb animals. We don't breed when resources are rare.

    We also cut back on breeding when children cost to much

    People with a lot of kids make the news because they are so RARE, not because they are common.

    (Hint: We're not all highly educated first-world residents, and there are a lot of third-world hellholes out there that don't make the news)

    Hit 3 times!

    TMOSLEY'S CREDIBILITY greatly decreased!

    FIGHT/PKMN/ITEM/RUN

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  61. Did people forget about the boomers? by Pandanapper · · Score: 1

    The baby boomers that is? The sheer number of them that will be kicking the bucket in the next 10-20 years will actually drop our population. If anyone ever bothered to check out the birth rate in the world they'd see births being lower. Fewer and fewer families are having more than 2 kids, women are focusing on careers instead of families, and again the boomers are about to die. Sure we'll hit 7billion, but in 20 years don't look shocked when we're back down to 4-5billion. Remember as well that China has a one child only policy. So that 1 billion population will be almost halved in 20 years as well. If you check, all the first world countries populations are actually going to decline. It's the 3rd world populations that are still having 3+ kids per family. But then again they still have a lot of problems medically than we do in first world countries. I'm not worried about the world population at all. The world will still be around and those that survive even the most catastrophic global collapse will re-up the population to stable levels. I just think all the doomsayers need to off themselves if they really think it'll be that bad.

  62. Jimmy Carter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do have to give Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter credit for both having one-child

    President Carter has four children: three sons and one daughter.

  63. Growth is Good by Jarwulf · · Score: 1

    Population growth should be seen as an extremely powerful tool with obstacles to overcome rather than an inherently bad thing. A larger vibrant population of (intelligent productive) people means more science, technology, goods, art, and everything else we need as a society and most importantly survival. A shrinking or stagnant population will lead to doom.

    1. Re:Growth is Good by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      A large population is good until it reaches the point where it's unsustainable, and we may have passed that point already. There's nothing wrong with a shrinking or stagnant (I'dd prefer the word "stable") population, in fact if we are past the point of sustainability, a shrinking population would be a good thing.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    2. Re:Growth is Good by Jarwulf · · Score: 1

      Obviously no one wants a population will kill everyone but its debatable whether we truly are there. But if we could overcome the environmental obstacles a bigger population with productive people is certainly better than a smaller one. So we should ultimately be working for a population that can sustain growth rather than one that simply shrinks.

  64. Halloween Costumes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder how many Hitlers and Stalins are walking down the street, having no sex in Halloween..

  65. Whoopty-do - let us leave Earth, then. by StupidKatz · · Score: 1

    The US sent men to the moon in 1969. Six decades later, and the best we got from NASA was a fancy sewer pipe in space along with a now-discarded orbiter system.

    Worried about overpopulating the Earth? For this reason, and many others, get the hell out of the way of individuals who want to figure out how to leave this ball of rock you're so worried about.

  66. So since when are humans a liability? by roman_mir · · Score: 1

    When did humans become a liability exactly?

    Having a larger and growing market is good for the market place, because it allows the market place to find solutions to the new problems, creating more wealth in the process. This type of thinking, that humans are a liability, is closely tied to the stupid idea that more demand from growing markets increases prices for products and resources, while in reality it creates incentive for more production and increases production, thus allowing new economies of scale to bring the prices down.

    That's why oil as at all time low in price, gas is cheapest that it has ever been on in US, as a gallon now only costs a dime. Of-course that's a silver dime - real money, as they used to mint before 1965.

  67. So Essentially... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The most resourse efficient thing, is to eliminate North America.

  68. Wear a condom for Christ's Sake by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Exactly. How many decades of external monetary relief have poured in from other countries? Yet these people still f@#k like rabbits and produce more offspring than they can take care of?

    Screw all the relief and assistance and support for Africa. These people just don't get it.

    For a continent called the birthplace of mankind, to which all human races can trace back their ancestry, how can this continent be so f@#king far behind?

    You would think that if human populations expanded from Africa to the rest of the world that Africans would have some superiority to show for it (technologically or otherwise) Most of the people starving and dying cannot even find water? Good Grief! All the nomadic ancestors that left Africa developed further intelligence and learned how to manipulate their surroundings to their benefit - in flood ravaged areas, in arctic temperatures, in rock-ridden infertile lands - What the hell is wrong with these africans?

    All of the greatest discoveries and developments this world has ever seen are not in Africa (were developed by people who left the continent). The people who stay are dumb as hell and can't even survive on their own. Does the sun cook their brains?

    I say screw 'em. We can't fix their problems, and they are too dumb to learn.

  69. colonize the moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And send all the kikes and niggers there.
    You're welcome.

  70. Agent Smith had it right :) by Cito · · Score: 1
    Agent Smith: I'd like to share a revelation that I've had during my time here. It came to me when I tried to classify your species and I realized that you're not actually mammals.

    Every mammal on this planet instinctively develops a natural equilibrium with the surrounding environment but you humans do not. You move to an area and you multiply and multiply until every natural resource is consumed and the only way you can survive is to spread to another area.

    There is another organism on this planet that follows the same pattern. Do you know what it is? A virus. Human beings are a disease, a cancer of this planet. You're a plague and we are the cure.

  71. Water is the biggest issue. by BlueCoder · · Score: 1

    The biggest consumer is farms. The immediate solution for the next hundred years is hydroponics with which you can cut water consumption by two thirds. Hydroponics is also easier to farm and produces more in a smaller area. Simply construct large scale sealed transparent tents; i.e. large scale green houses. Smaller versions of the old idea of the bubble cities. A closed environment can be constructed to be very green and you are only out the initial cost of the system. You can also put them in both hotter and cooler environments so you wind up with more useable land. You also don't need to be as worried about pests as you normally would and wouldn't need to use pesticides.

    Bathrooms need to use less water. We also need to adapt to urinals and bidets for both sexes in bathrooms at home and promote lather and rinse instead of a continuous shower.

    Another issue is we need an aqueduct system in the United States to move excess water from east to west.

    For power we need a redundant superconductor network to make the location of power production irrelevant. It will just take the same kind of effort to build as it took to build the railroads and the highway system.

  72. without any catastrophic natural or human-made... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As long as you don't think of people dying from violence, starvation and disease in wars, refugee camps, floods and earthquakes as catastrophic...

    The death of a thousand cuts...

  73. Morality. by jellomizer · · Score: 1

    Most of our classic religions are rooted back in the days where human population was Low, perhaps dangerously low. So either a higher power, or just some intelligent people came with a code of ethics to follow that will help keep the human population going... A lot of religions classic Immoral acts are focused around keeping human animal nature controlled so a safe and expanding their civilization can continue.
    It worked, too well.
    We now need a new moral system which allows for sustained continuation of our population without much more over population.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  74. Problems don't respect borders by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Wow, so giving people free money and food doesn't help them out of poverty? Imagine that.

    Nope, though it does tend to ward off the worst possible effects of starvation. Helping people out of poverty is a whole different kettle of fish.

    Let Africa fix their own problems. They're adults, they can handle it

    The problem with that logic is that in a global society, Africa's problems have an annoying habit of becoming other people's problems. Problems in Nigeria or Libya affect global oil production. Lack of government in Somalia results in piracy and terrorism. The AIDS epidemic in Africa doesn't respect national borders. Government upheaval in Egypt threatens Middle East stability and major shipping routes (i.e. the Suez Canal). Africa's vast natural resources are needed in other parts of the world but African problems make that difficult.

    The world isn't so simple anymore that the rest of the world can simply ignore Africa until it gets its act together. You are correct that ultimately, African nations will have to find their own way to prosperity but in the mean time ignoring the problems in Africa would only make the problems worse. The real question is "what is the best way to help"? I'm not sure anyone has figured that one out yet.

  75. Smart people do dumb things by sjbe · · Score: 1

    If you read between the lines, you would see that 8 billion is predicted to be the PEAK.

    There have been countless predictions of the peak for human population and so far there has been little reason to believe any of them. You don't know when/if human population will peak and neither does anyone else.

    Humans aren't dumb animals.

    That doesn't mean they can't do some very dumb things. Humans also are very selfish, egotistical, and have a strong sex drive. Add in the fact that they are easily convinced of completely irrational things (see religion), and you are set up for some serious problems.

    We don't breed when resources are rare.

    Umm, actually we do. Look at any chart of income versus reproduction rates and you'll notice an inverse correlation. Income (resources) goes up and breeding goes down. We DO breed when resources are rare.

    People with a lot of kids make the news because they are so RARE, not because they are common.

    In parts of the world large families aren't rare at all. Look at the population boom in the Middle East? A huge percentage of the population is under the age of 25. Families with more than 2.5 children aren't remotely rare for much of the world.

    1. Re:Smart people do dumb things by tmosley · · Score: 1

      WTF are you talking about? There have NOT been "countless" predictions of a peak to human population. There has been one, and it will occur around 2050. Rather, what there have been countless numbers of is predictions of peak RESOURCES, none of which have materialized.

      Further, you miss the point when you use income as your only variable. Those lower income people are FARMERS. For farmers, children are a resource. That is, by having more children, they are better able to work their land. Those children don't use gasoline, they don't buy ipods, hell, they don't even buy food from the market. They aren't using up ANY resources. They PRODUCE resources.

  76. t-shirt? by rickintx · · Score: 1

    Does the 7 billionth baby get a t-shirt?

    "I'm the 7 billionth human on this planet and all I got was this damn t-shirt!"

  77. Population by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to the UN we produce food for 12 billion. So whats the problem? Obviously the distribution is blocked somewhere; and, as with all matters regarding the distribution of wealth (food in this instant) the hip pocket nerve dominates...

  78. 4 choices by minstrelmike · · Score: 1
    Assuming the goal is a sustainable (1000-year+) civilization world-wide, we have four choices.
    1. Go extinct as a species
    2. Maintain a stable population of humans and hope the weather assists in growing food for us
    3. Maintain a dynamic population of humans competing and dying for resources (the current approach).
    4. Move into outer space and learn to live off the resources there
  79. india and china by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

    lets take a look at the 2 biggest culprits..... i am sorry , but if we do not find a way to stop them from reproducing when they can not even supply their own people, which means they will need resources from other countries, then we have a serious problem. how about every 2nd male is snipped to disallow procreation, this way that slows the population increase to half in those countries.....and this would be done inside the hospital without the parents knowledge as this would be a country enforced rule....thereby giving random chances.....but of course this could become corrupt as politicians take bribes into preserving the family line for someone who paid enough cash!.....

  80. Re:without any catastrophic natural or human-made. by Mathinker · · Score: 1

    And how many more (or less) such deaths occured this week compared to last week?

    Admit it, you have no idea what is the absolute quantity, no the rate of change.

  81. unbelieveable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Shouldn't we be focusing on getting back down to 6 billion rather than increasing up to 7? come on people, i thought by now you'd realize the more people exist, the less we can have for ourselves. And dont give me that "dont be greedy" crap. We got 6 billion other mouths to feed, we're past the point of being "greedy". We need to insure our survival!

  82. Re:The Limits to Growth ... again. You should read by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

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