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Scientists Sequence Black Death Bacteria

First time accepted submitter Quince alPillan writes "The bacteria behind the Black Death has a very unusual history. Its ancestor is an unassuming soil bacterium and the current strains of Yersinia pestis still infects thousands of people annually, but no longer causes the suite of horrifying symptoms associated with the medieval plagues. The radical differences, in fact, had led some to suggest that we had been blaming the wrong bacteria. Now, researchers have obtained DNA from some of London's plague victims, and confirmed that Y. pestis appears to be to blame. But the sequences also suggest that the strains of bacteria we see today may be different from the ones that rampaged through Europe."

265 comments

  1. I have to do it by slartibartfastatp · · Score: 2, Funny

    Blackteria

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    1. Re:I have to do it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      African-Americanteria

    2. Re:I have to do it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      bacteria of color

    3. Re:I have to do it by 2names · · Score: 1

      Great name for a soul food restaurant. And, yes, I *love* soul food. So back the hell up.

      --
      "I'm just here to regulate funkiness."
    4. Re:I have to do it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And, yes, I *love* soul food. So black the hell up.

      FTFY

    5. Re:I have to do it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How racist! It's colored bacteria! Much more neutral in connotation.

    6. Re:I have to do it by slartibartfastatp · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I'm brazilian - I don't get racism. Or why we should withold humor on serious matters.

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    7. Re:I have to do it by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      I feel so dumb - I thought this was an article about "The cloud"....

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  2. The Black Death isn't coming back by elrous0 · · Score: 4, Informative

    the Black Death was ugly. Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years. Nasty business that.

    But, that said, people really should take a more reasoned approach to disease alarmism these days. All this "This latest pandemic is going to kill us ALL!!" Chicken Little shit gets tiresome. The Littles always cite the Black Death and 1918 pandemic as if that's what we could expect from a pandemic today--all without noting the MASSIVE improvements in sanitation, medical science, vaccine research, etc. that make this scale of pandemic highly unlikely in the modern era.

    The Black Death could have been stopped in its tracks if those 14th-century peasants had even an inkling of the basic medical/sanitation knowledge that even the biggest idiots among us know today. Basic stuff like "Wash your hands regularly," "Cover your mouth when you cough," and "Don't let your goddamned flea-infested farm animals wander around through your living area, moron" are surprisingly recent bits of common sense that the developed world today takes for granted. Of course, there are still some third-world shitholes where people think that a witch-doctor rubbing feces on an open wound will ward off the evil spirits. But even those places usually have a FEW among them with some basic sense (and soap).

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    1. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by phrackwulf · · Score: 4, Informative

      There is a legitimate point to considering the technological ability to both communicate more rapidly about a highly infectious disease and approach a new and lethal strain with modern decontamination and medical systems. That doesn't rule out the possibility of certain very specialized and nasty toxins such as Bacillus anthracis and other hybrid biological weapons. The real danger is in a strain of bacteria that can infect a host, cause relatively mild and temporary symptoms, then reinfect and spread after a period of time leading to a lethal toxicity in the effected patient and the people they have probably come into contact with. Obviously, the really virulent diseases like Ebola Zaire are so nasty that they burn themselves out fairly rapidly because the infected population dies before they can spread the virus. As our knowledge of DNA sequencing and protein structures increases though, we start to arrive at a set of tools that could lead to truly frightening weapons and bacterial/viral hybrids. Diseases that can switch on and off based on environmental triggers. Or how about a bacteria that multiplies rapidly and uncontrollably under a certain PSI of air pressure in one's lungs?

      --
      What would Richard Feynman do, if he were here right now? He'd do some math and he'd follow through!
    2. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Rob+the+Bold · · Score: 3, Insightful

      All this "This latest pandemic is going to kill us ALL!!" Chicken Little shit gets tiresome. The Littles always cite the Black Death and 1918 pandemic as if that's what we could expect from a pandemic today--all without noting the MASSIVE improvements in sanitation, medical science, vaccine research, etc. that make this scale of pandemic highly unlikely in the modern era.

      I don't think I read the same summary and article as you did.

      --
      I am not a crackpot.
    3. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      I'm sure you know this but for those that don't, they didn't bury the bodies, they burned them. Too many bodies to dispose of in a timely manor. That, and the stench was unbearable.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    4. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by mr1911 · · Score: 2

      All this "This latest pandemic is going to kill us ALL!!" Chicken Little shit gets tiresome.

      Yeah, but your favorite news anchor coming on saying, "a few people got sick on the other side of the world and there is absolutely nothing for you to worry about and it is nonsense we are even covering this story anyway" does not translate into a full news program for people to stay glued to and soak up all of those advertising minutes and associated dollars back to the network.

      News is about advertising and profit, not news.

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      Any offense taken to this post is at your sole discretion.
    5. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by mcmonkey · · Score: 5, Funny

      the Black Death was ugly. Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years. Nasty business that.

      But imagine the morning commute. Or finding a parking spot at the mall. Getting a last minute table at your favorite restaurant.

      Just saying.

    6. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by EdZ · · Score: 1

      They did both. Many bodies were cremated, but there were certainly mass graves, and probably open mass graves (I'm sure after the first few times you uncover the body pit you just give up on covering it until it fills up).

    7. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by cmdr_klarg · · Score: 1

      All this "This latest pandemic is going to kill us ALL!!" Chicken Little shit gets tiresome.

      Firestone's Law of Forecasting: Chicken Little only has to right once.

      Yes, we should stop freaking out everytime someone gets a sniffle, but at the same time let's not treat it as a "boy who cried wolf" situation either.

      --
      THE SOFTWARE, IT NO WORKY!!!
    8. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by ByOhTek · · Score: 1

      I started reading your post, and halfway through the first line, I expected to read an annoying article on chiropractic care, and subluxations. Obviously, didn't look at the author, just the text.

      I was pleasantly surprised when no such garbage came up.

      *ahem*
      Anyway, people do panic a bit much these days. As far as hygiene back then goes - people didn't have a good reason, or their culture, the experiences, needed to provide them with the knowledge that such hygienic behavior is important.

      --
      Self proclaimed typo king, and inventor of the bear destroying coffee table (patent not pending).
    9. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...there are still some third-world shitholes where people think that a witch-doctor rubbing feces on an open wound will ward off the evil spirits.

      2 girls 1 cup?

    10. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by aliquis · · Score: 1

      "Cover your mouth when you cough"

      Hey! It may be 700 years later but some gross somewhat old dude cough.. and cough.. and cough.. and cough.. while I was just really wishing that the cashier could hurry up and finish of with my goods since he was behind me.

      Then I started to do it. Got a pulse of pain coming every now and then in the left side of my head and was in quite poor condition. Was diagnosed pneumonia which antibiotics solved. Earlier the coughs was very dry and my speak broke up after a couple of words because I got so dry in my throat. But even now 2-3 weeks later I still cough every now and then for no obvious reason. ... also I got another infected now, in the shape of a 8x8 cm inflammation under the skin or something such. Hurray for me!

      Anyhow. I think you give the idiots too much credit ;D, single persons may not be that sanitary/hygienic either.

    11. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by cmdr_klarg · · Score: 1

      Forgot to add:

      Yes, sanitation and medical knowledge has made great leaps in effectiveness, but we have also greatly expanded on how far and fast we can spread disease due to advances in transportation. Other than that I pretty much agree with elrous0.

      --
      THE SOFTWARE, IT NO WORKY!!!
    12. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      basic medical/sanitation knowledge that even the biggest idiots among us know today. Basic stuff like "Wash your hands regularly,"

      Interact with society at all much?

      Judging by public restrooms, very few people understand basic stuff like "wash your hands regularly".

    13. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      speech
      became so

      I know ..

    14. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by robthebloke · · Score: 3, Funny

      Very true. To recover the corpses of the plauge victims, they dug up some ash, unburnt it to get back to original bodies, and were able to extract samples of the original bacterium from that. It's remarkable what technology can do these days don't you think?

    15. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by H0p313ss · · Score: 1

      Very well said sir. Never a mod point when you need one.

      --
      XML is a known as a key material required to create SMD: Software of Mass Destruction
    16. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Are you kidding?

      I'm waiting with baited breath for good ol' Bob to show up and tell us how the Blakinstein bacteria (that's frenkentein blakteria) these scientist are making will escape the lab and spread subluxations to the world. But don't worry because a vegan diet and Chiropractic can stop these synthetic microorganisms, where big pharmo will fail.

    17. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by dkleinsc · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Of course, there are still some third-world shitholes where people think that a witch-doctor rubbing feces on an open wound will ward off the evil spirits.

      I'm not sure where you got that image of how those sorts of shaman/healer types do their jobs. They'll usually go with attempts at herbal treatment that have a chance of working that is slightly better than a placebo, based on learning from previous generations who figured out that rubbing feces on wounds was a good way to cause the patient to get even sicker and die. They tend to pick their herbs for apparent effectiveness, and often have chosen things with the right chemical compound or physiological effects, just not at as high a concentration or as good a delivery system as Western medicines.

      Those healers from isolated tribes today, and our cavemen before us, were the brainy folks in their societies, and there's no reason to think they were any stupider than we are. They are just working with very limited tools, and are quite ignorant.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    18. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by jfruhlinger · · Score: 2

      the Black Death was ugly. Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years. Nasty business that.

      While the psychological trauma must have been horriffic, in aggregate economic terms Europe actually went through an upswing in the generation after the Black Death, believe it or not. Daily life improved for peasants in particular, who suddenly found their labor in great demand (both because there were fewer of them and there was a sudden surfeit of unclaimed land).

    19. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dog-Cow · · Score: 3, Funny

      I think I saw that on an episode of CSI:Miami!

    20. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dunbal · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      The real danger is in a strain of bacteria that can infect a host, cause relatively mild and temporary symptoms, then reinfect and spread after a period of time leading to a lethal toxicity in the effected patient and the people they have probably come into contact with.

      You then went on to talk about Ebola, which is a virus - so fair game: The REAL danger is a virus that infects people and shows virtually no symptoms for many years, and then kills them. Oh wait, we already have one, it's called HIV. Do you have HIV? No? How do you know? When was your last series of tests? Better yet, there is no cure, only treatment. Which means you can go on and potentially infect people for the rest of your life-span provided you can afford the treatment. This way you get a mortal disease that is endemic within the population. It's only a matter of time before we are all infected. Conspiracy theories aside, "big pharma" must be excited as hell.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    21. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by CapuchinSeven · · Score: 1

      Also, don't kill cats because you think they are the devils creatures, they are killing the rats. Poor 'puds.

    22. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by mlts · · Score: 2

      We have had some victories over disease -- the "swine flue" for example was slated to be a pandemic on the order of SARS. However, through quick action, it had less of an effect than the generic flu does each year.

      However, we are losing the front in other ways. Take bedbugs for example. After WWII and DDT, they pretty much were removed from our existence until 2-3 years ago. Now they are back with a vengeance, and there are no real effective bedbug treatments. Of course, there is the good old flu which hits every year and nothing has stopped that. Flu shots mitigate the effect, but preventing it from spreading every year hasn't been done yet.

      If a virulent strain couples itself with a long incubation period (which means that quarantine controls take longer to get in place), there is a good chance that we could get a deadly pandemic.

      Of course, this all is assuming an infection is natural. Man-made is another story -- it doesn't take much other than guaranteed power to have the ability to have a bug farm, and there are a lot of psychopathic nation leaders out there who would love to test their research should their power be threatened.

    23. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by bberens · · Score: 1

      Okay, so I didn't see what your name was, but I was totally expecting your second paragraph to discuss the benefits of chiropractic care with respect to the immune system. Dr. Bob has trolled me one too many times. :(

      --
      Check out my lame java blog at www.javachopshop.com
    24. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Shhhhhhhh! People will be on to where Nescafe comes from.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    25. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm no historian, but I really doubt your thesis that people were idiots in the 14th century. I think people knew they didn't want to be around filth just as much back then as they do now. There just wasn't much they could do about it. Plumbing wasn't available, at least not to the average person, and even today people can have a hard time getting rid of pests in their house. And where do you get clean water to wash your hands when everyone has to dump their filth in the streets or in gutters that will eventually flow into the waterways?

      See for instance: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-12847529

    26. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

      You had me up until "unburnt". My god I have never laughed so hard at work. Well done.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    27. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, it's hypochondria.

      There's no known cure, and most patients diagnosed with hypochondria have only about ten to twenty thousand days left to live.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    28. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years.

      How would I ever notice? Less litter around the trash cans? Foul smells from the stairway? Longer search times for a match setup in Starcraft II?

    29. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But what about Groupon?!? OH EM GEE!!!

    30. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Do you have HIV? No? How do you know?"

      I know because I don't have butt seks or shoot stuff into my veins. Simple, really.

    31. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by CPTreese · · Score: 1

      love your sig! I've doing my best by holding my breath in longer and longer intervals

      --
      If there is no God then free will is an illusion.
    32. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      HIV is transmitted through bodily fluids. So there are a dozen different ways you can become infected, not just by the two you mentioned, though those are the most common.

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    33. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      No, only certain demographic groups have the rising incidence of infection. For example, if you are white male who doesn't engage in homosexual activity (e.g. taking it in the ass with a penis), your chances of getting AID are mighty slim.

    34. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Bucky24 · · Score: 1
      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    35. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dr.+Gamera · · Score: 1

      The Littles always cite the Black Death and 1918 pandemic [wikipedia.org] as if that's what we could expect from a pandemic today--all without noting the MASSIVE improvements in sanitation, medical science, vaccine research, etc. that make this scale of pandemic highly unlikely in the modern era. Black Death -- bacterial -- likely not a big deal in the age of antibiotics. 1918 pandemic -- viral -- the healthier you are, the more likely it is that your own cytokine storm will kill you -- might be even more of a big deal today, especially with jet airplanes helping to spread the disease.

    36. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by aliquis · · Score: 2

      all without noting the MASSIVE improvements in sanitation, medical science, vaccine research, etc. that make this scale of pandemic highly unlikely in the modern era.

      Except you use antibiotics in your animals over in the US.

      I read that around half your meat and poultry Staphylococcus aureus which is quite awesome and well protected as is. But what's worse is that half of those was the Methicillin resistant variant.

      I'm not educated enough for in fast new vaccines can be made for viruses and if they can for all. Considering how far they have come with HIV I guess it's not always that easy.

      I read antibiotics had increased our average life span by decades. But what do you do when they don't work against the bacteria?

      So fucking retarded to over-use them, though rather convenient to use them when you need them, but it's always a risk for the future efficiency.

    37. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by cdrguru · · Score: 2

      Ha. The Black Death seems to have mutated somewhat or humans have become more resistant in the last thousand years or so. It is clearly much less of a threat than it was in 1350.

      However, today we have far less isolation than we did in 1350. It was possible for a community to simply close itself off from the world for a period of time. It was also possible that in some parts of Europe there just weren't any infected visitors coming to call. Not so today.

      I recently read a book where there were three outbreaks of an infectious disease in three widely separated parts of the US. Given air travel today should that really happen with anything as communicative as the Black Death we would be looking at a global catastrophe. Read The Stand by Stephen King? Yes, it is a novel and a fantasy but it clearly outlines what could happen with a flu-like virus that kills and is in no way out of the question. It could happen.

      If "bird flu" turns into a deadly pandemic we are unlikely to fare as well as 1918. Between the increased travel spreading an infection widely before it is even recognized and the interdependence of communities it is very unlikely that there will be any spot on Earth that isn't touched by such a pandemic. There simply are no places where nobody goes any longer - they are going to get deliveries because they are not independent any longer. Should something get loose (and the odds are it will happen sooner or later) we better hope for better management than anyone has so far predicted either as a government study or in fiction.

      I'm laying odds on huge mismanagement myself.

    38. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by rossdee · · Score: 1

      "But don't worry because a vegan diet and Chiropractic can stop these synthetic microorganisms, where big pharmo will fail."

      But what happens when the diease spreads to Vega?

    39. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      Separating the reanimation bacterium dna from that of the black plague proved the most troublesome step, but fortunately they were able to contact an experienced undead dna sample collector in the housewares section of a local department store. His methodology included:

      *cocking lever action carbine* C'mon she-bitch, let's go!

    40. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the Black Death was ugly. Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years. Nasty business that.

      But imagine the morning commute. Or finding a parking spot at the mall. Getting a last minute table at your favorite restaurant.

      Just saying.

      Image if the virus only preyed on people with an IQ less than 100. Or religious nutjobs? Or {insert group here}?

    41. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by ivoras · · Score: 1

      The Black Death could have been stopped in its tracks if those 14th-century peasants had even an inkling of the basic medical/sanitation knowledge that even the biggest idiots among us know today. Basic stuff like "Wash your hands regularly," "Cover your mouth when you cough," and "Don't let your goddamned flea-infested farm animals wander around through your living area, moron" are surprisingly recent bits of common sense that the developed world today takes for granted. Of course, there are still some third-world shitholes where people think that a witch-doctor rubbing feces on an open wound will ward off the evil spirits. But even those places usually have a FEW among them with some basic sense (and soap).

      Unfortunately for the peasants and the third-worlders, there are some huge technological prereqisites:

      • You need clean water to wash hands and wounds with - the majority of surface water in "black africa" is contaminated - not by Evil Western Chenicals but by feces and germs
      • Covering your mouth when caughing is well and good but to have any resemblance of general care and isolation (i.e. hospitals) you need something to cover your mouth *with*, ranging from clean cloth (see previous issue) to gauzes, bandages and sterile equipment
      • Animals in Europe were in houses often for very simple reasons: a) they are warm (remember, the "warm Europe" trend basically started with the 20th century) and b) that was the only option to keep them away from thieves

      Basically, I agree with you, but want to emphasize that the ideas need infrastructure.

      --
      -- Sig down
    42. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by CPTreese · · Score: 1

      It's only a matter of time before we are all infected.

      When I was in the Army I got tested every year, still clean. Where in the world did you get the idea that it's only a matter of time? If you have a monogamous relationship with someone and don't stick random needles into yourself it's damn near impossible to get infected not "inevitable."

      I tried doing some research on Magic Johnson to find out about his current status. From what I can tell, if he still has HIV, it is so minute that it is undetectable. It seems to be circular reasoning to say that HIV is incurable therefore since Magic was infected he still has it because it's incurable. Perhaps I don't understand the disease well enough, but if someone doesn't have a detectable instance of virus x can it still be said that he/she still has the virus x?

      --
      If there is no God then free will is an illusion.
    43. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by xs650 · · Score: 1

      You are definitely a "the cup is half full" type of person

    44. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You forgot one thing. You also have to be circumcised to prevent the unsustainable spreading of AID. It just kills the US budget!

    45. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While I agree that a massive, deadly pandemic is quite unlikely today, I doubt the peasants could have done much to prevent the Black Death even if they had the basic knowledge we all have now. My understanding is that it was carried by rats, which the peasants had practically no control over. When the rats died, the fleas jumped host. Even with knowledge, about the only thing they could have done is fled as soon as they noticed the rats dying.

    46. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not the eighties anymore, dude. In the west, HIV is more prevalent in females than males.

    47. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because women don't get HIV. right.

    48. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by elrous0 · · Score: 2

      But imagine the morning commute.

      Actually, many historians argue that the Black Death did actually help a lot of former serfs and peasants finally own land and actually advance themselves quite well in the aftermath.

      On second thought, everyone stop washing their hands.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    49. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by starless · · Score: 1

      I think people knew about basic sanitation in 1918.
      Also, we still don't have very good vaccines against flu.

    50. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by tgd · · Score: 1

      There are five to six billion people living in parts of the world without the kind of care you are talking about.

      And, we have jets.

      The reality is, a disease that rapidly kills and spreads easily (like Black Death) could easily wipe out hundreds of millions of people today. BD killed so quickly that infections were self-limiting. Now, it can spread far further than your local village before people even start showing symptoms.

    51. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Keep up the good work. And remember, photosynthesis is overrated.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    52. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by slackbheep · · Score: 1

      Ignorance is bliss, I guess.

    53. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by slackbheep · · Score: 2

      Wasn't this part of the storyline to a Douglas Coupland book? I don't feel like Googling or poking through my bookshelf but I believe it was ' All Families are Psychotic '

    54. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by tgd · · Score: 1

      Thats because he a) didn't read it and b) doesn't know what he's talking about.

      Both points are obvious to those who a) did and b) do.

    55. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by jimicus · · Score: 1

      However, today we have far less isolation than we did in 1350. It was possible for a community to simply close itself off from the world for a period of time.

      They didn't do a very good job of it. It's estimated that 30-60% of Europe's population was killed.

    56. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by canajin56 · · Score: 1

      It's actually pretty basic. When you burn something, you add heat and then you end up with ash and smoke. So to unburn something, you need to take ash and smoke, and then add a spark of cold (not absolute zero cold, which is just a lack of heat, but actual cold, the opposite of heat) to ignite the unflames. The problem is to get completely accurate unburning results you need the original smoke, which is hard to pull off after so long. But usually you can just burn a pig and use that smoke. Not as accurate an unburning but it's better than nothing. And the other poster is mistaken, the technique was featured on CSI:New York, not Miami.

      --
      ASCII stupid question, get a stupid ANSI
    57. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

      Image if the virus only preyed on people with an IQ less than 100. Or religious nutjobs? Or {insert group here}?

      ... Slashdot users who don't read the articles?

      --
      #DeleteChrome
    58. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by sgt+scrub · · Score: 1

      Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years. Nasty business that.

      Wouldn't that depend on where you live and if you care about the people? Try, "Imagine half the population of your entire congress dying off in 1 or 2 years". I'll bet you get more than a few cheers.

      --
      Having to work for a living is the root of all evil.
    59. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by element-o.p. · · Score: 1

      Meh.

      The transmission method of HIV is also pretty well known, so assuming that you have an ounce of common sense in your head, it's not terribly difficult to remain at least somewhat protected from the disease. No unprotected sex outside of monogamous relationships, hospitals screen blood before performing transfusions, use rubber gloves when potentially coming into contact with bodily fluids, etc. It's not 100% safe (what is?) but it's a far, far cry from your hysteria-inducing "It's only a matter of time before we are all infected" claim.

      --
      MCSE? No, sir...I don't do Windows. Yes, I am an idealist. What's your point?
    60. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      My complete lack of sexual life, drug use and blood transfusions makes me immune!

      Also makes me sad :(

    61. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by bityz · · Score: 1

      Basic stuff like "Wash your hands regularly,"

      It is easy to be flippant about this, but even washing your hands is difficult when you don't have clean water. If you want to save lives, step one is clean water.

    62. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by jpapon · · Score: 1

      How about an airborne pathogen that remains dormant in it's host for 2 years, then suddenly goes wild and kills the host? I'd say that, according the Bacon's law, most of humanity would die off quite rapidly after the first death occurred. You can't take measures against a disease you don't know exists...

      --
      -- Let us endeavor so to live that when we pass even the undertaker shall be sorry. -- M. Twain
    63. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Abstrackt · · Score: 1

      Come to think of it, I could really go for a cup of Joe.

      --
      They say a little knowledge is a dangerous thing, but it's not one half so bad as a lot of ignorance. - Terry Pratchett
    64. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by hierophanta · · Score: 1

      oh you mean like AIDS? (seems to like preying on the poor / destitute [by percentage of infected population])

    65. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Riceballsan · · Score: 1

      While ludicriously unlikely, that does not fall into the lines of imposible. Play any sports ever, even going to a store etc... Someone infected could get a nose bleed and sneeze on you, are you 100% certain of the path your food has taken every inch of the way before it got to you. Maybe an infected butcher cut his hand while slicing the food to prepare. Now admitted, all of these thoughts are about as probable to infect you and happen to you, as multiple lightning strikes, or a volcano in the living room, but immune or imposible is inaccurate of a statement.

    66. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Raenex · · Score: 1

      I agree, it's only a matter of time before something horrific pops up and gives the modern world something comparable to the Black Death.

    67. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      The black death as it exists isn't coming back. That won't stop a new strain from popping up due to antibiotic use(including Triclosan and cousins) from dooming us all. And yes, triclosan and other products will doom us all unless you fuckwits stop using it. I've posted the studies before, you can use google on your own time and read the papers showing that products like it, push bacteria to develop a natural immunity to antibiotics.

      Though in the black death thing, you're pretty much fucked unless you're lucky to have natural immunity to it. I guess I'm lucky, I have a natural resistance to it through my mothers side.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    68. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      However.... while they say familiarity breeds contempt, I think it is hardly the case. Familiarity breeds acceptance.

      If your city has been ravaged by plague before, maybe you have seen it...maybe your parents just told you the horrors of when it last happened. We got "ring around the rosies" from it... if it seems common, people come to accept it.

      It has been noted, for example, that the drop in child mortality rates seems to have also sensitized people to it. Now, if your child dies early and sudden, you may be the only person you know that this has happened to, maybe, one of the very unlucky few, at best. With rarity, we have more alarm.

      Who questions that crime is "bad these days"? Few seem to. I hear people make comments about how crime is "these days" as if, it is somehow worst than in the past, but, by all objective measures, its been on the downswing (here in the US) since the 1980s...and a huge downswing too. The less of it there is, the more news it becomes, the less familiar the reality of it becomes... the more scared people get.

      Taking it back to the plague.... I think people are so afraid for a few reasons. First is the gambler's fallacy. It hasn't happened for a while, therefore we are "due". Like this...

      The most famous example happened in a Monte Carlo Casino in the summer of 1913, when the ball fell in black 26 times in a row, an extremely uncommon occurrence (but no more or less common than any of the other 67,108,863 sequences of 26 balls, neglecting the 0 or 00 spots on the wheel), and gamblers lost millions of francs betting against black after the black streak happened. Gamblers reasoned incorrectly that the streak was causing an "imbalance" in the randomness of the wheel, and that it had to be followed by a long streak of red.[1]

      Millions of francs lost because.... people were fooled by this sort of thinking.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    69. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Bengie · · Score: 1

      Or large amounts of money injected strait into your blood.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tonsil_Trouble

    70. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anomalyst · · Score: 1

      That talking head anchor critter is NOT providing information, It is not even DATA, it is NEWS, of little use or consequence to a thinking being.

      --
      There is no right to feel safe thru security vaudeville at the expense of everyone's freedom, privacy and tax money.
    71. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 1

      infects people and shows virtually no symptoms for many years, and then kills them. Oh wait, we already have one, it's called HIV.

      Ever heard of Acute Retroviral Syndrome?

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    72. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by oldmac31310 · · Score: 1

      Swine flue? Pig chimney!

      --
      http://www.acetonestudio.com
    73. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course, there are still some third-world shitholes where people think that a witch-doctor rubbing feces on an open wound will ward off the evil spirits. But even those places usually have a FEW among them with some basic sense (and soap).

      Feeding patients with a wide range of stomach and gut problem with faeces (through a tube down the throat) from people with a healthy gut flora have cured many. This is done by modern western physicians, in modern western hospitals.

      Like most Swedes, I eat "fil" (sour milk) that contains gut bacteria every morning. The gut-bacteria kind is not a traditional sour milk product, but have quickly (since the late 1980's) become what most Swedes eat for breakfast. There is also fruit juices and pills with gut bacteria to buy. The pills are, by the way, very popular among Swedish tourists to countries with poor food standards and many strains of micro-organism that are resistant to antibiotics and disinfectants, like USA, because they can quickly kill of a diarrhoea infection (we all now what country (USA, duh!) have created almost all antibiotics resistant micro-organism by a foolish and abundant use of antibiotics and disinfectants, seriously, medical grade disinfectants is not a good thing to put in a tooth paste or a hand-soap and ordinary antibiotics don't cure virus infections, like a cold, don't use such products so foolishly!).

      When I was a kid, there was folk-medicine practitioners that cured skin and wound infections that ordinary doctors couldn't cure, by introducing a new infection (that could be cured) that killed the first infection (and then the new infection was killed either by the patients immune system or with antibiotics, the folk-remedy kind). Even if this was in the 1970's, Sweden could hardly be called a third world country at that time (in fact, Sweden was the country with the worlds highest living standard in the 1960-70's, thankfully, many countries in the world have improved since then and, although the living standard of Sweden have improved since the 1970's, some have even surpassed Swedens current living standard). I don't know if this is still practised and I don't now if faeces was ever used, but I wouldn't be surprised if they were.

    74. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by oldmac31310 · · Score: 3, Funny

      What happened was labour was in short supply so the peasants got to name their price for the work they did. Previously they were considered lucky to have a roof over their heads and enough to eat.

      --
      http://www.acetonestudio.com
    75. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Where in the world did you get the idea that it's only a matter of time?

      Math.

      If you have a monogamous relationship with someone

      That's the problem. Everyone claims to have a monogamous relationship, yet somehow this virus keeps spreading. Save belief for your religion. Reality is reality and there's no arguing: Most people cheat but don't admit it to anyone. Therefore we go back to my previous point: math.

      Perhaps I don't understand the disease well enough

      I do, since I'm a physician. If the virus is undetectable that means there is no free virus or viral particles detected in the bloodstream. However the virus still exists - as a retrovirus it splices itself to your DNA. You will never be rid of it. The medication prevents the production of viral sub units or their assembly. However this only happens while you take the medication. If you forget your medication and skip doses, you go right back to being infected again.

      Now in theory if your disease is inactive then it's hard (but I won't say impossible) to infect someone else. However the people with inactive disease are the people who a) can afford the medication all the time, at $1000+/month; b) have the stamina to put up with the side effects all the time and c) have the willpower to never, ever forget a dose. This is not most people. This is a very select group of people we're talking about that fit in all of the above categories.

      Bearing that in mind that you have HIV for life whether it's active or not, and bearing in mind that not everyone is rich enough and strong enough to maintain the optimal medical scheme for the rest of their natural life, then necessarily there will always be a pool of infected individuals out there ready to infect the unwary. Once you're in the HIV pool (no pun intended) the only way out is by dying. So as this pool grows its ability to infect others also grows, until eventually almost everyone has it because you are more likely to hit an infected partner than a non infected one. If the pool shrinks then the disease is no longer viewed as a threat and people fall back to irresponsible behavior, which causes it to grow again.

      Hell there are many diseases that are far easier to cure than HIV (example gonorrhea - no one walks around for months with gonorrhea active because it hurts like hell and produces an obvious, embarrassing discharge (possibly not safe for work, gonorrhea infected penis) - people usually come running to see the doctor pretty quick. One shot or a couple pills later and you're cured. Yet we still have gonorrhea and we will always have gonorrhea. Now imagine HIV, where you can walk around with it for years without even knowing you have it.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    76. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Em+Adespoton · · Score: 1

      There is one other thing... we now have advances in technology that allow us to communicate without physical proximity. This means that while every city with an airport is literally next door to every city with connecting flights, it is possible to gather and collate significant amounts of information about disease movement without the people doing the studying being on-site and at risk.

    77. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by haruchai · · Score: 1

      The ultimate money shot.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    78. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Xacid · · Score: 1

      I seem to recall fairly recently (past year or two) a few instances of "nope, no cholera here" and "we dont want your devil's magic (western medicine)".

      And the ever popular "fuck a virgin and get rid of your AIDS".

      So while I'd generally agree with you - there are certainly still some crazy fools out there.

    79. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Hangtime · · Score: 1

      +2 for the Bruce Campbell reference!

    80. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Doesn't matter. The chance of getting HIV from penetrative sex with a vagina are vanishingly small. I'm not suggesting you go and have vaginal sex with infected women: I'm simply stating that for all the morons that actually DO that, they don't get infected much. Meanwhile, the women have a higher chance of infection. In more females being infected is exactly what you would expect in this situation- the comperably few infected males each infect many women, who in turn do not infect many men.

      So yes, if you are a straight male, your odds of getting AIDS even if you are a true idiot and never use a condom? They are low.

    81. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Yes I have heard of it. And if you read what you cited you'll find out the symptoms are pretty much like the 'flu. Hands up who runs out to get tested for HIV 4, 12 and 24 weeks (this is the standard ELISA protocol to rule out false negatives which can be as high as 15% with just one HIV test) after and every time they get a cold? You are a pedant and your argument fails to disprove my point.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    82. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by caluml · · Score: 1

      Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years.

      Yep. I'm waiting for Bird Flu to mutate. If I survive, it'll be the only way I can afford to be a house owner.

    83. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      I agree that if you lock yourself in a room and never have sex with anyone and never need a transfusion or organ transplant or share a dirty needle or are born from an infected mother, then it's pretty much impossible for you to get the disease. Now who lives like this? Yes HIV and its transmission is well known - in more educated countries. How about in rural areas? How about in poor countries? How about when there is war, and people are busy worrying about other things?

      Africa has proven that this disease has the potential to spread rapidly, quite explosively as a matter of fact, when the conditions are right. It's all very well to sit in your air conditioned office somewhere in the west and say "it won't happen to me" - because if you live long enough then the socio-economic conditions of your country will change. Look at what's just happened in the middle east and north Africa. Don't kid yourself into thinking "that will never ever happen here". It's happened in the US before when it erupted in a civil war, and it almost happened again in the 1970's. The disease, however, is not ever going away. So it's just going to sit there waiting until the conditions are right. I'm not fear-mongering, I'm just a guy who understands how disease works. HIV is with us forever, and therefore the danger is with us forever.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    84. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's 2 examples.

      In Africa, genital mutilation as well as dis-information that condoms exascerbate HIV is still going on. Yes, people are trying to stamp it out, but this kind of bullshit needs to die and die fast.

      Oh, and as a parting shot?! The CHURCH, see religion of choice doing 'charity work', has been a major problem with the above 2 attrocities. They inform with bible in hand only, rather than educate people on the real problems going on amongst their society!

    85. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Macrat · · Score: 1

      We have had some victories over disease -- the "swine flue" for example was slated to be a pandemic on the order of SARS. However, through quick action, it had less of an effect than the generic flu does each year.

      What quick action was that?

      It spread everywhere. It just turned out to be less of a problem than the regular flu.

    86. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by DaveGod · · Score: 1

      I suspect you're a little over optimistic about the hygiene and other habits in effect today. There's also far greater potential for spread and acceleration of infection due to the vastly greater and faster transportation of people, foods and other goods.

      Consider how widespread many virulent infections are, such as the common cold or flu (basic sanitation should keep those at bay too). Or how about:
      - 1 in 6 Americans carries herpes.
      - "An estimated 2.8 million [Chlamydia] infections occur annually in the U.S."
      - Over a million Americans have HIV.

      True, you are right to point out the probability of a fast-killing pandemic being low, especially relative to the alarmists. But risk is a combination of the probability and the severity of the outcome. It is logical to be more concerned about a 1% lifetime chance of decimation than the annual 99% chance of a minor drop in productivity such as caused by flu.

      The response to a small potential for pandemic also has to be excessive. Acting swiftly and severely is vastly more effective. The reminders also help encourage people to practice that basic sanitation.

    87. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 1

      From Wikipedia.

      Nigerian Muslims feared polio eradication campaign was actually a secret sterilisation campaign.
      http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/2070634.stm
      http://www.nytimes.com/2006/03/20/international/asia/20polio.html?pagewanted=2

      Cholera. Not too sure what you're thinking about.
      Perhaps the claim of Haitians following the earthquake that UN peacekeepers from Nepal brought cholera with them?
      An investigation of the source and and examination of the Haitian strain's DNA actually showed that was probably true.
      http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-11943902

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    88. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by NiceGeek · · Score: 1

      I'm not in total disagreement with you, but another factor to consider is the ease at which we can move from place to place. Someone could contract a disease half a world away and spread it before anyone even knew they were infected.

    89. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by osu-neko · · Score: 2

      It's only a matter of time before we are all infected.

      ...

      Most people cheat but don't admit it to anyone. Therefore we go back to my previous point: math.

      If you don't understand the difference between "most" and "all", I'm afraid you're not very good at math, as the difference is kind of essential in set theory.

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    90. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by fatphil · · Score: 1

      The Black Death as a pandemic, or even an epidemic isn't coming back, but as an extant disease it never even went away.

      I had the pleasure of chatting to the "JM" mentioned in the arstechnica article just last week, and he told me that there are about 70 deaths per year in the US alone. It's still a killer. And in the faeces-rubbing parts of the world (lovely image, by the way), I'm sure it's way higher.

      --
      Also FatPhil on SoylentNews, id 863
    91. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by osu-neko · · Score: 1

      I agree that if you lock yourself in a room and never have sex with anyone and never need a transfusion or organ transplant or share a dirty needle or are born from an infected mother, then it's pretty much impossible for you to get the disease. Now who lives like this?

      Most people, assuming you exclude the "lock yourself in a room" part, which is not essential but just a bit of ridiculous hyperbole you threw in because your statement is obviously absurd without it, and insert the word "infected" after "anyone".

      --
      "Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth than lies."
    92. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 1

      You are a pedant and your argument fails to disprove my point.

      Yes, I am and no, it doesn't. What you've wrote meant HIV infection is asymptomatic, while you should have written the symptoms are unspecific. Additionally, usually the persons in the risk group will know what to look for and, given they have means, will get tested, often earlier than the ARS can present itself (PCR shows viremia even as soon as 3 days after exposure.

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    93. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Pharmboy · · Score: 1

      In rural areas, there is less opportunity to spread because of math: there are less hosts. Additionally, there would be less prostitution since it is less profitable of an occupation in an area where there are 2 people per km2. As for the other places, there already is higher HIV in Africa but not as much from a lack of information as the populations not believing the information they are given.

      And HIV isn't with us forever anymore than smallpox is. It is with us until we find a way to eradicate it, then it will only be in test tubes in select labs. Until then, keep your dick wrapped and stay away from high traffic partners.

      HIV is relatively easy to contain since it isn't airborne and actually requires some effort to spread, although it does take a little personal responsibility. It might be 100 years or so until it is gone from the human race, but for someone who "understands how disease works" you seem to have forgotten your history about how far we have come in the last 100 years with other diseases. Just imagine where we will be in another 100.

      --
      Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!
    94. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 1

      Oops, sorry for my grammar. I meant "what you've written."

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    95. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 1

      Here's the news cluster on the cholera DNA thing (I noticed the report in the BBC article was more about the epidemiological and physical evidence)

      http://news.google.com/news/story?pz=1&cf=all&ned=en&hl=en&ncl=dZRaoK_eab_5VWM2dLwR4Fc2j5y9M

      --
      -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
    96. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 1

      Dentist.

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    97. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's another difference between now and then - geographic isolation is no more, I am not a doctor but methinks this will hasten disease spreading, no?

    98. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 1

      Also, if you test positive, you're required (and in some countries legally bound) to inform your past, present and future sexual partners about the fact. So, there goes your "argument." Bye.

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    99. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Larryish · · Score: 1

      Enhance... enhance... enhance... enhance...

    100. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But imagine the morning commute. Or finding a parking spot at the mall. Getting a last minute table at your favorite restaurant.

      Just saying.

      Also imagine the salary you could negotiate for.

    101. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A major political party seems desperate to return to the 14th century, and you say the Black Death isn't comming back?

      "Tea party queen and Republican presidential candidate Michele Bachmann is convinced that America is sinking into tyranny. Why? In a remarkable profile of the candidate appearing in the Aug. 15 issue of the New Yorker magazine, the artistic flowering of the Italian Renaissance takes a beating for having done away with the god-fearing Dark Ages."

      http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/culturemonster/2011/08/michele-bachmann-is-worried-about-the-renaissance.html

    102. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      It is indeed 2011, and my post is absolutely accurate. I did not mention female incidence of AIDS at all, did I?

    103. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by DigiShaman · · Score: 1

      Speaking of bedbugs, I'm surprised we haven't had an Ask Slashdot article on how to get rid of these damn things. I've personally run into these in hotels and other people's apartment complexes (they migrate between units through the walls). Nasty little fuckers. And they stink when you crush em. Next time you're bored, take a trip to a local apartment complex and count the number of mattresses and box springs in the dump areas. All I know is this. If you're unemployed, there's a shit-ton of money to be made here in cleanup and mitigation. If there was ever a parasite to be paranoid and freaked out over, it's bedbugs. Good news, they're not known to spread diseases. Most likely because of their feeding and moulting cycles.

      And before any of you start to pass judgement on those that had an infestation of bedbugs, keep in mind that does *not* mean the victims were dirty bastards. It's not uncommon for 4 and 5 star hotels to get infested. As a precaution, please look up the place of residence at http://bedbugregistry.com/ for more info. If you live in an apartment or other shared dwelling, you're fucked. Sorry, but you will eventually get bit. The only advice I have is that you use white sheets (to monitor potential blood stains) and keep the bed at least 1ft from a wall. Check the bed once a week and wash the sheets (all of them) at least twice a month. A huge PITA for even the most clean among us, but necessary. They detect people at night via heat and CO2, so having a ceiling fan on at night should help confuse the critters enough to not take notice as they move at night from one apartment unit - through your bedroom - and over to someone elses unit.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    104. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by lennier · · Score: 1

      This way you get a mortal disease that is endemic within the population.

      We already have that, it's called "life".

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    105. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Xacid · · Score: 1

      This is the Cholera outbreak I was thinking: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008%E2%80%932009_Zimbabwean_cholera_outbreak

      And dang, I'd hate to be the one who brought Cholera over to that place...

    106. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Your model does not correlate well with observed facts.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    107. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Additionally, there would be less prostitution since it is less profitable of an occupation in an area where there are 2 people per km2.

      Yeah there are no prostitutes. Just everyone goes to pay Widow Mary a visit, and of course a gentleman has to be courteous like and leave her some money afterwards, poor thing. Actually you could argue that in a rural area there is more of a probability that a given gentleman will come into contact with, call her the "town slut", than in a city.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    108. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      Imagine HIV spreading like the flu, currently it requires some pretty invasive activities to spread, if it could spread by a cough then that is the REAL danger.

    109. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 1

      facts

      You keep using that word. It doesn't mean what you think it means.

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    110. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Oh, so there aren't millions of people infected with HIV then, because in your world everyone tests immediately and tests are flawless and everyone informs everyone else. Fact.

      I'm done playing the fool and arguing with a troll. I feel better. Do you?

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    111. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahhh. Libertarians.

    112. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 1

      Firstly, your picture says "epidemic," when it's pandemic.

      Secondly, you have shown here that you don't have the mental capability to understand epidemiological data.

      Facts:

      Oh, remember when I said, "given they have means, will get tested"?

      Now fuck off and die, shithead.

      --
      Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    113. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by godel_56 · · Score: 1

      Speaking of bedbugs, I'm surprised we haven't had an Ask Slashdot article on how to get rid of these damn things. I've personally run into these in hotels and other people's apartment complexes (they migrate between units through the walls). Nasty little fuckers. And they stink when you crush em. Next time you're bored, take a trip to a local apartment complex and count the number of mattresses and box springs in the dump areas. All I know is this. If you're unemployed, there's a shit-ton of money to be made here in cleanup and mitigation. If there was ever a parasite to be paranoid and freaked out over, it's bedbugs. Good news, they're not known to spread diseases. Most likely because of their feeding and moulting cycles.

      http://www.usbedbugs.com/Bed-Bug-Barrier-Passive-Monitor-Glue-Trap_p_42.html

      The above link refers to a $6.99 bug trap (4 needed) that you stand the legs of your bed into. It contains a non-toxic glue that stops them making it up from the carpet onto your bed. The traps need to be replaced once a year or so..

      To disinfect a mattress or room, use heat. Either just seal the room and crank up a heater (50-60 Celsius for 6 hours or so), or disinfect the mattress by itself. Wrap the mattress in black plastic or a black plastic bag, then put that in an outer clear plastic bag, seal it and leave it in bright sun light all day. The plastic will act as a mini-green house and cook the hell out of the little f'ckers.

    114. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 1

      "Sanitation, medical science, vaccine research, etc." didn't save us from "Swine flu". It was only the fact that swine flu was no more lethal than ordinary flu that saved us.
            We didn't get nothing for our science. Initial quarantine attempts slowed the spread by a little bit, and a vaccine was eventually produced. Had swine flu been as lethal as 1918 flu, the vaccine would have saved many millions, and the slightly delayed spread would have amplified this.
          The global infection rate for the 2009 swine flu was 11% to 21% (Kelly H, Peck HA, Laurie KL, et al. PLoS One 2011 Aug 5;6(8)). The mortality rate of the 1918 flu was 10-20%. Had the 2009 flu been this lethal, it would have killed 1% to 4% of the world population, or about 65 to 260 million people. (Although maybe we'd have been able to lower this by a bit, as we'd have fought it harder had it been so lethal. We might also have been able to keep some of the infected people alive better than in 1918, but given how overwhelmed the medical services would have been, I'm not confident on this.)

      --
      Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
    115. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by fremsley471 · · Score: 1

      I have to reply to this as there will be some poor, frightened, person wondering if sex is a death penalty. You're talking pure and simple rubbish.

      An example. The UK has 60 million people. Nearly a million people per year have an explicit HIV test in a clinic. Many, many more have implicit ones when donating blood. 6,000 people a year are newly diagnosed with HIV. This leads to an estimated cumulative total of those with HIV, including those unaware of it, of 86,500. Of those, 36,427 were gay men and 30,188 were black African. This is unfortunate for both groups, but with clear, clinical reasons. However, current HIV/AIDS death rates are 1%, which is equivalent to the back ground rate and so isn't the death sentence of 25 years ago.

      All those sums leave a cumulative total of 20,000 people out of a sexually active population of about 40 million. That includes intravenous drug users and high risk lifestyles (prostitutes); the latter are also the main source of gonorrhea clusters.

      So, even taking the INCREDIBLY STUPID idea that you can extrapolate infection rates from high risk groups across the whole population, you'd have to live to be over 6,000 years old before you're more likely to have HIV than not.

    116. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by GNUALMAFUERTE · · Score: 1

      The death of half of the population would be the best thing that could happen to any city in the world.

      --
      WTF am I doing replying to an AC at 5 A.M on a Friday night?
    117. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by rednip · · Score: 1

      Yes, the world seems so easy when the Connecticut Yankee enters King Arthur's Court, but reality just doesn't operate that way, sorry.

      --
      The force that blew the Big Bang continues to accelerate.
    118. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe you should come to understand that there will never be a time that an AIDS patient can legally skip explaining their health status to prospective partners. Such talk simply encourages infection, the question is why?

    119. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "Don't let your goddamned flea-infested farm animals wander around through your living area, moron"

      Common sense? Millions of people allow flea-infested animals to wander around their living area. Or were you hating on farm animals in particular for some reason? Dogs, Cats, and other flea-infested mammals make for excellent disease carriers. The upside is that when thy start spreading the next plague it will only be natural selection at work.

    120. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HIV doesn't kill people its actually harmless. There was a doctor who made the argument that correlation doesn't equal causation and injected himself with HIV to prove the point.

    121. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I remember seeing a documentary about the black death, and there was a tiny village that avoided it altogether. They were isolated by a bridge over a river and they refused to let anyone over the bridge. They carved wells in the stone railings of the bridge which they filled with vinegar. Anyone that wanted to buy food from the village had to put their coins in the vinegar, then retreat from the bridge while the villagers collected the money and left the food.

    122. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Lots of weird grammar there :D

      • "... meat and poultry contained/carried SA. Half of which was MRSA."
      • "If it's always possible to develop a vaccine and especially how quickly it can be done."

      It was the vaccines which had increased our life-span by decades, not antibiotics. Though I assume antibiotics are quite awesome to :)

      Anyway. The less they are used to more likely they will keep on being effective. So why waste them on animals who may not need them (or any animals except humans?)

    123. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Reservoir+Penguin · · Score: 1

      All of the conditions for an epidemic still exist today in slums around any major African, Asian or Latin American city.

      --
      US-UK-Israel: The real Axis of Evil
    124. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mosquitos?

    125. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Rubinstien · · Score: 1

      I was a roommate for a week with an HIV researcher during a medical seminar, in the late 1980's or early 1990's. We were both working for the seminar (I was doing A/V, I don't remember what he was doing). I asked him if it was possible to contract the disease from a mosquito that had bitten an infected person. He said it would be unlikely but it was certainly possible. He said it was unlikely because the virus likes to be kept warm, and blood in a mosquito cools down rapidly. But if you were in a crowd with mosquitoes zipping about quickly from person to person, certainly possible. Since then, I have always wondered what effect induced, controlled hypothermia might have on the virus in HIV patients (assuming that cold means it dies rather than going dormant).

    126. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by evilviper · · Score: 1

      the Black Death was ugly. Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years. Nasty business that.

      I can't imagine... Why, there'd be abandoned houses all over the place, like living in a ghost town. Overgrown yards indicating the sudden departure of thousands of people. It would probably be pretty difficult for people find work, what with all the turmoil. Thank god we live in the future.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    127. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Plenty of people including, sadly, doctors don't wash their hands when they go to the toilet. Plenty more don't cover their mouths when they cough, not that that does much to prevent the spread of aerosols. Of course in the Dark Ages people couldn't fly half way around the world in a few hours, exposing nearly everyone on the same aeroplane in the process. Meanwhile they send hospital patients home as soon as possible, because the longer they stay the more likely it is that they'll pick up an infection that doesn't respond to any known treatment, So it's just as well they get the message out, because there are plenty of fools like you who think its impossible in this day and age

      By the way, quinine comes from the bark of a tree, and you'll never guess where they get aspirin from. They've recently 'discovered' the use of feaces to replace gut flora that have been lost during an illness. This has been part of Ayurvedic medicine for centuries if not millenia. Stupid shamen...

    128. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by catmistake · · Score: 1

      Obviously, the really virulent diseases like Ebola Zaire are so nasty that they burn themselves out fairly rapidly because the infected population dies before they can spread the virus.

      As a typical slashdotter, I'm not all that biologically or mechanically oriented... so nothing here is obvious... but I thought I understood evolution, and the fact that viruses like these exist really puzzles me. How does something evolve that kills its host and thus kills itself? You'd think that evolutionary pressure would have eliminated all paracitic life that, as a matter of course of its life cycle, kills itself... that just the sheer volume of replication would cause mutation in such organisms such that it doesn't kill its host, allowing its population to build.

    129. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by HornWumpus · · Score: 0

      The true idiots get the worst punishment of all.

      A baby by a manipulative psycho bitch they hate but fucked while drunk.

      Then they complain.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    130. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Xest · · Score: 2

      I think you and him are talking about different people.

      You're talking about the people who did figure out new methods of healing through the years, whilst ignoring those who did manage to fuck up and kill more people than they helped.

      He's talking about the shit crazy "witch doctors" who still exist in places like Africa who claim they can produce cures, but first they need the limb of an albino African...

      http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/nov/16/tanzania-humanrights

      You're both right- you're right about the people you're talking about, but you're not talking about the people he's talking about- the people who, to this day, think they can cure people through things that have quite the opposite effect, they do exist, and they have always existed- not every "witch doctor" through history has been good or sensible. Humans are quite good at believing their own bullshit, and many such healers through history will have decided "Yes, this'll cure it" and stuck with it no matter how badly it went wrong, using the age old excuses of "Oh, god must've just wanted that one to die", or "He was too far gone, there was nothing that could be done for him" and the like.

      There is any number of documented tragic cases in Africa still going on right now where people claim they can heal through things that are far more harmful to the "patient" and others around him.

      What about cases like this where he's claiming he can cure AIDs, the people beleive they're cured, and then go and spread it? -

      http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/africa/6323449.stm

      Or this:

      http://www.truthorfiction.com/rumors/a/aids-virgins.htm

      I don't think his view of many third world "healers" is particularly mistaken. Many are just people making up false claims to elevate their status in society, to make people look up to them. Just like faith healers in fact.

    131. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by ultranova · · Score: 1

      What happened was labour was in short supply so the peasants got to name their price for the work they did. Previously they were considered lucky to have a roof over their heads and enough to eat.

      So what you're saying is that bacteria are better at solving economic problems than the US Congress?

      I guess that credit rating downgrade was warranted...

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    132. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Kashgarinn · · Score: 1

      Our brain (as a species) has been the same for about 100.000 years, it has taken us this long to realize and truly understand our surroundings, given another 100k years, what incredible potential lies ahead.

    133. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Methuseus · · Score: 1

      But the people holding your company together may die so you don't have a morning commute. At least not to the same job.

      The chef at your favorite restaurant may have died in the epidemic.

      I know it was a joke, but you have to think about these things!!

      --
      Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity, though I'm not yet sure about the universe. - A Einstein
    134. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Nyder · · Score: 1

      .... Imagine half the population of your entire city or town dying off in 1 or 2 years. ...

      I do, I do. But the time frame is usually a lot quicker then that.

      --
      Be seeing you...
    135. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I seriously doubt that we humans will be able to devise something more terrible than mother nature, especially when we consider that she's been at work for BILLIONS of years. If she can take primordial soup and turn it into us, doncha think she would have already created this super-ultra-mega-death-bug that we are all so scared about?

      don't get me wrong, I don't want to throw caution to the wind and start bathing in sewer water, but worrying about a mega-sickness makes about as much sense as worrying about creating skynet while coding your latest iphone app. actually, it makes even less sense.

    136. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by jecblackpepper · · Score: 1

      How does something evolve that kills its host and thus kills itself?

      It will be fine as long as it can reproduce before it kills its host/itself.

    137. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      While it is true, penetrative anal sex, while the most transmissible sexual route, is still not all that likely. The highest studies put it at 1.7%, for unprotected receptive anal exposures. So, even if you are in that demographic, it is still pretty slim when you figure the transmission rate and the number of infected people.

      Of course, as we all know, AIDS is natures punishment for our toleration of unnatural sexual practices...specifically...monogamy

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    138. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Great post.

      Many people don't realize that the phrase "Cleanliness is next to Godliness" came as a result of lessons learned during the Plauge. Prior to that, it was seen as a Holy attribute to become filthy.... you were showing you had abandoned your Sinful Earthly Flesh.
      The practice of saying "Bless You" was also a result of the Plague. The Catholic Church, in an effort to stop the spread of the disease, began to allow (in fact, mandated) non-ordained people to pass along the Blessing where previously only the Clergy were allowed to do so.

      A slightly more well known remnant from the Plague was the still-common children's ryhme, "Ring around the Rosie" which describes the symptoms of the Plague and the only known method of stopping the spread of the disease. Posies were thought (incorrectly) to ward off the disease, and burning the bodies (ashes, ashes) was the only known way to prevent the corpses from spreading it further. Of course, they didn't realize it was primarily the fleas which were the problem at the time.

      There was also a rash of anti-Jewish sentiment as a result. The Jews had their own tradition of cleanliness already in place, and so were relatively unaffected by the Plague. This is probably where the association of Witches and Cats came from, as they usually kept felines to kill vermin... but the Church of course demonized them as "Witches" and claimed they were immune because they were causing it.

      And what many people don't realize, is the Plague is not actually dead and gone. Every few years a case crops up somewhere. There was a guy back in the late 90's in Montana who died from it after taking claws (as trophies) from a dead Mountain Lion he found while hiking. If he'd have gone to the hospital sooner he'd probably have lived, as antibiotics work pretty well against it.

    139. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Syberz · · Score: 1

      This is why I'm eagerly awaiting the zombie apocalypse, plus you have the bonus of being able to shoot random people (great stress reliever) and its harder to get infected (as long as you don't rub zombie over an open wound that is).

      --
      ~Syberz
    140. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by CPTreese · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the info, although I'm not sure your math is flawless since the number of people infected has been decreasing since 2004. I think you aren't taking into account the fact that in sub-Saharan countries where the infection rate is highest, death occurs rapidly after infection thus decreasing the overall "pool".

      Also I would love your input on your above quote "it splices itself into your DNA". As far as I know I don't have "DNA" my cells have DNA, a retrovirus infects the cell then splices into the DNA to replicate itself. If replication is not occurring wouldn't that retrovirus be considered gone? I know I'm missing something here and I have a feeling it has something to do with t-cells but I'm not sure.

      --
      If there is no God then free will is an illusion.
    141. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by catmistake · · Score: 1

      How does something evolve that kills its host and thus kills itself?

      It will be fine as long as it can reproduce before it kills its host/itself.

      No... it won't. It kills the entire host population (like an isolated village) and burns itself out... so... when did it have time to evolve? It may have initial opportunity to reproduce prior to the population being eliminated... but eventually, its not reproducing anymore because there are no more hosts.

    142. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by _0xd0ad · · Score: 1

      *facepalm*

      You've got to be kidding me. He's blaming the AIDS epidemic on the people who don't have it? Because they're not going out and screwing random people in bars? Which would almost certainly result in them contracting AIDS, eventually, if they keep it up long enough?

      Because that's exactly how the AIDS epidemic started. It started slow, when few people had it. In spite of the fact that a small fraction of the population had it, it still spread, until it became what it is today. His solution is temporary, short-sighted, and reveals profound ignorance.

      Bad analogy time. That's like a guy with a flu blaming people who don't have the flu for not sneezing on people more often, so you'd be statistically less likely to catch the flu if you got sneezed on. That's not going to stop the flu from spreading. The only way to stop it is to keep infected people from infecting uninfected people, i.e. stop HIV-positive people from spreading the disease to uninfected partners. (And they really shouldn't be spreading their particular strain to other HIV-positive people, either, since being infected with two different strains pretty much means you go downhill quickly. At least from what I've read.)

      Even worse analogy time. It's like saying that the way to solve an epidemic of deaths caused by Russian roulette is by spreading the same number of bullets into more guns, so that more people who didn't play can participate.

      And I don't think he knows the meaning of "monogamy". It doesn't mean going out to bars and screwing random people less. It means going out to bars and screwing random people never.

    143. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by _0xd0ad · · Score: 1

      It could have been a single mutation that changed a benign, symbiotic relationship into one that spread rapidly and killed its host. Or it could be that a small fraction of the population are carriers of the disease (having it, and spreading it to others, but experiencing no symptoms). Or it could be that other species are carriers of the disease (either being affected less severely, or having no symptoms at all), but it's deadly in one particular species. Or, since viruses typically can only infect one species, it could be that one species carries a common, benign variant of the disease, but a mutation gives it the ability to jump to a different species in which it's deadly.

    144. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Theovon · · Score: 1

      Before people knew about germs, what were germaphobes afraid of?

    145. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      Almost certainly? Rotfl are you even paying attention? Almost certainly get them herpes maybe... but that is them and around 1/3 of the population in general (over 80% for oral infections... with the oral strain also accounting for a large percentage of genital infections...) but HIV? Highly unlikely.

      And your analogy is terrible. Its more like.... if people more people who were in the habbit of washing their hands started cooking food. The larger number of responsible people (washing hands, using condoms, getting tested) would dillute the population of irresponsible people who don't wash their hands, use condoms, get tested, whatever being responsible means in the context.

      Also, monogamy is an amusing concept....its the mostly widely practiced thing that isn't widely practiced. If it means "never" having sex with anyone else, then I defy you to show that it is widely practiced with the numbers on infidelity.

      Sure, monogamy is a very nice, neat answer.... except, that the same answer has been given for so long now, yet, we have never seen it practiced on a wide scale. The numbers on infidelity make any talk of monogamy laughable.

      It is the simple and elegant solution that would work great if only you could just get everybody to buy in, completely, for their entire lives. Good luck with that, its never happened, never will.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    146. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by _0xd0ad · · Score: 1

      The larger number of responsible people (washing hands, using condoms, getting tested) would dillute the population of irresponsible people who don't wash their hands, use condoms, get tested, whatever being responsible means in the context.

      That is a reasonable approach to controlling AIDS. The one proposed in the article you linked to was not.

      [monogamy] is the simple and elegant solution that would work great if only you could just get everybody to buy in, completely, for their entire lives. Good luck with that, its never happened, never will.

      Oh come on. I'll grant you that it's not "widely practiced", even that it's not as widely practiced as people claim, but I won't grant you that it's "never happened, never will".

    147. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      Lets say that Alice is infected, and she can choose bob or chris for a sexual partner. If she chooses Bob, he will insist on condoms, and get tested, and has few sexual partners. If he finds himself positive (which is less likely), he will probably die with it, and infect nobody else due to his being responsible.

      If she chooses chris, he will not insist on condoms, and has many sexual partners, doesn't get tested. If he gets infected, he may never know, and will likely spread it to multiple other people.

      Now, lets add Dianne into the mix. Diane, is like chris.

      So if Alice chooses Bob, he may get infected, and that is bad for him, and potentially the handful of people he sleeps with.

      If she chooses chris, then its just as bad for him as it is for Bob, but... its worst for everyone else that he sleeps with, since he has a higher likelyhood of spreading it...and to more people. The worst case situation here is easy to see.... if chris is connected to Diane!

      Adding a lot more people like Bob to the pool dillutes the pool, decreasing the rate at which people like chris and dianne meet eachother.

      He isn't suggesting that people be irresponsible and fuck everyone they meet, he is saying.... we need a lot more people who are responsible and take on the occasional new lover, in a responsible manner.

      Clearly this isn't monogamy, but, monogamy is just.... one extreme.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    148. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by _0xd0ad · · Score: 1

      He isn't suggesting that people be irresponsible and fuck everyone they meet, he is saying.... we need a lot more people who are responsible and take on the occasional new lover, in a responsible manner.

      There are clubs for that sort of thing, I hear. He doesn't really need any more people, he just needs to be responsible himself, because no matter how widespread the problem is, you're pretty much able to avoid contracting the disease simply by being responsible.

      Responsible is unrelated to monogamous. Someone who is responsible is unlikely to contract the disease, whether they're monogamous or not. Claiming that monogamy is to blame for irresponsibility is unfounded. And saying that promiscuity is the solution to irresponsibility is just adding fuel to the fire... unless you deal with the irresponsibility you'll just make matters worse.

    149. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      > There are clubs for that sort of thing, I hear.

      There are, though, its not really what most people are into...they are...another extreme. Though, they can be quite a good party.

      >He doesn't really need any more people, he just needs to be responsible himself, because no matter how
      > widespread the problem is, you're pretty much able to avoid contracting the disease simply by being responsible.

      Well.... yes but, thats totally missing the point of what he is talking about. The whole point is that a change in social dynamics (less monogamy, more responsible promiscuity) can lead to counterintuitive outcomes. That is...an increase in overall levels of promiscuity leading to a decrease in disease transmission rates. Relatedly, some of the models that disease researchers use, predict the same effect.

      In fact, the whole "counterintuitive effects" angle is pretty much the thesis of his entire book, of which this essay is the title bearing chapter. It is not an attack on monogamy as a personal lifestyle choice, it is an attack on the idea that monogamy as an overall social dynamic has positive effects in stopping the OVERALL transmission of disease. Why is that not worthy of investigation and discussion?

      > Responsible is unrelated to monogamous. Someone who is responsible is unlikely to contract the disease, whether
      > they're monogamous or not. Claiming that monogamy is to blame for irresponsibility is unfounded.

      Now here you have a very valid objection. Monogamous does not, actually, mean responsible. It is a total red herring, tossed in to be a bit sensational and raise eyebrows. I figured that was pretty obvious. Down towards the end he drops the monogamy social dynamic and talks a bit about how to give incentive to the responsible, without giving it to the irresponsible.... subsidize condoms.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    150. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by _0xd0ad · · Score: 1

      The whole point is that a change in social dynamics (less monogamy, more responsible promiscuity) can lead to counterintuitive outcomes. That is...an increase in overall levels of promiscuity leading to a decrease in disease transmission rates.

      That has nothing at all to do with less monogamy and everything to do with more responsibility by the promiscuous people.

      Monogamous does not, actually, mean responsible. It is a total red herring, tossed in to be a bit sensational and raise eyebrows. I figured that was pretty obvious. Down towards the end he drops the monogamy social dynamic and talks a bit about how to give incentive to the responsible, without giving it to the irresponsible.... subsidize condoms.

      Well... yes, it was a red herring. I didn't read that far. Perhaps that's my fault.

    151. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by __aaacif3008 · · Score: 1

      the thing is, animals here in the us DO need them. they are grown in living conditions which practically guarantee that diseases will spread among them (standing knee deep in their own manure, eating foodstuffs that they cannot properly digest, and being packed by the hundreds into dark, damp areas where they can hardly move without running into one another. they need to have antibiotics pumped into their food supplies just to keep them alive long enough to be slaughtered, and even then a large number of them don't make it. why do you think there have been so many outbreaks of dangerous food contaminations so recently (namely, things like Escherichia coli)? maybe because the food industry is feeding chicken manure to cattle, which then produce heaping mounds of faeces, the run off from which contaminates water supplies and nearbye produce farms...

    152. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Ok then. So grow peas. I've never heard of peas on antibiotics?

      Though maybe there's an opening for Monsanto! ;D

    153. Re:The Black Death isn't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      )

      Sorry, just couldn't let that dangling parenthetical go on forever.

  3. First pestis? by maroberts · · Score: 1

    Or not?

    --

    Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
    Karma: Chameleon

  4. Stopping the black death by maroberts · · Score: 1

    Would not have been as easy as you say - the livestock had to be in the towns and cities for the simple reason that refrigeration wasn't around, so any meat that wasn't riddled with worms, flies and mold had to be from fresh kills. That obviously leads to dung and stuff, which before modern day sewer systems, roadsweepers and refuse collection didn't go away

    (Yes I know the Romans had sewers and refuse and dung collection, but most medieval cities found the volume of shit and refuse simply overwhelmed them).

    As far as I know a decent 'flu pandemic (and I'm not talking about bird 'flu) would have almost the same effect as the 1918 one, assuming it struck during say a major worldwide depression and had a decent number of weakened population as a transmission medium,

    --

    Donte Alistair Anderson Roberts - hi son!
    Karma: Chameleon

    1. Re:Stopping the black death by gnick · · Score: 2

      Just as a point of interest, we STILL haven't stopped the Black Death. Sure we know how to treat it and how it spreads to help slow it, but there are still cases in New Mexico every year. And that's the US - Not where the Plague was really partying. It's a tough little bug and probably worth studying even if it isn't the huge threat it once was.

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    2. Re:Stopping the black death by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      It's normal flora on armadillos and some other critters, if I recall correctly. You have as much chance eradicating it as you do getting rid of "Staphylococcus epidermidis".

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    3. Re:Stopping the black death by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      nonsense, the knowledge of how to preserve meat for months has been around for thousands of years. Salt, jerky, smoking, etc.

    4. Re:Stopping the black death by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Bubonicon 43 just wrapped up here in Abq.

      Land of the Flea; Home of the Plague.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    5. Re:Stopping the black death by wagnerrp · · Score: 1

      Would not have been as easy as you say - the livestock had to be in the towns and cities for the simple reason that refrigeration wasn't around, so any meat that wasn't riddled with worms, flies and mold had to be from fresh kills.

      Drying, salting, and smoking have been around for millennia, and were well understood during the Middle Ages. Refrigeration is not the only way to safely store food.

    6. Re:Stopping the black death by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      True, but people still wanted fresh meat - and that had to be close. Nothing against salted pork, corned beef, air dried pata negra, a decently made beef jerky - but every now and then you want a roast from fresh meat.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    7. Re:Stopping the black death by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These processes are generally labor and or resource intensive and would restrict meal options. While from our point of view it's an obvious decision, it probably didn't seem worthwhile to the average farmer or what have you.

    8. Re:Stopping the black death by gnick · · Score: 1

      Here's the first hit off google talking about the first human case this year in Santa Fe. A week in the hospital - Could be worse.
      http://healthland.time.com/2011/05/10/first-case-of-bubonic-plague-in-2011-appears-in-new-mexico/

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    9. Re:Stopping the black death by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Bubonic plague != pneumonic plague. It's the same organism but a different infection route. Pneumonic plague spreads like wildfire - that's the real "Black Death". It's still treatable but it's one of those diseases where by the time you realize you have it, you've already infected other people, and by the time you're sick enough to seek help it's probably too late. Only thing that will work here is prophylactic antibiotics for anyone who has been in contact with an infected person, aggressive treatment of the infected and lots of luck.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  5. The trees aren't coming back by Tsingi · · Score: 1

    If humanity is to survive, we must pledge to eliminate all carbon dioxide from our atmosphere by 2030

    Isn't that going a bit far?

    Trees breathe it in, we breathe it out, we aren't going to get rid of ALL of it, nor do we want to.

    Or perhaps you were trying to be funny?

    1. Re:The trees aren't coming back by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps you were trying to be funny?

      Ya think!?

      Sherlock Holmes is in awe.

    2. Re:The trees aren't coming back by Tsingi · · Score: 1

      Or perhaps you were trying to be funny?

      Ya think!?

      Sherlock Holmes is in awe.

      Sherlock Holmes doesn't live on the eastern seaboard. If he did, he wouldn't think your jokes are any funnier than I do.

    3. Re:The trees aren't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These days it isn't as obvious as it ought to be.

    4. Re:The trees aren't coming back by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      This is slashdot. Generally if a sig is something really obviously stupid like that then it's meant as sarcasm. Generally. There are some stupid people on here.

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    5. Re:The trees aren't coming back by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      I wasn't making a joke.

    6. Re:The trees aren't coming back by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Actually, generally, if a sig is something really obviously stupid like the one in question, it is meant as a straw man attack. At least these days on /.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    7. Re:The trees aren't coming back by Tsingi · · Score: 1

      That was how I took it. Sarcasm always has a point behind it, you don't have to agree with it.

    8. Re:The trees aren't coming back by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Hm, guess you got a point. Sarcasm and straw men are indeed on orthogonal axes.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    9. Re:The trees aren't coming back by Anomalyst · · Score: 1

      Hm, guess you got a point. Sarcasm and straw men are indeed on orthogonal axes.

      Which me must grind carefully.

      --
      There is no right to feel safe thru security vaudeville at the expense of everyone's freedom, privacy and tax money.
    10. Re:The trees aren't coming back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, plants also breathe in O2 and breathe out CO2, but the process of Photosynthesis converts CO2 -> O2 about 50 times faster than they breathe.

  6. Actually, even that doesn't do it justice by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    Actually even that description doesn't do it justice. Imagine that up to 80% of your town dies, and within weeks at that. Mortality differed from place to place and outbreak to outbreak, but generally, the tighter packed a place was, the bigger the casualties. At the larger scale of villages mortality was lower -- though even there, many villages were COMPLETELY wiped out -- but in cities, getting casualties between 50% and 75% of the total population in an outbreak wasn't unusual.

    Oh, and in excruciating pain at that, as it caused the necrosis of some very sensitive spots. We have description of people listening to their town scream in agony all night, and people jumping off bridges or rooftops just to end the incredible pain. And, yeah, they didn't even have ipods to cover that constant soundtrack.

    Also imagine that that happens every few years.

    And that its first symptoms are something as common as sneezing. So, yeah, just being around someone with an allergy could cause you to shit your pants in terror each time they sneeze, because it COULD be the start of such a horrible epidemic.

    Also imagine that you know that if you catch it, the only treatment known at the time was to board your doors and windows for two weeks and leave you to die in there, one way or another.

    Yeah, it was very nasty business.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:Actually, even that doesn't do it justice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      For an excellent (science-)fictionalized account of living (well, kinda) through the Black Death, see Connie Willis's Hugo and Nebula winning The Doomsday Book. Connie does excellent research, and is a wonderful writer. If you want facts and figures, there are plenty of sources. If you want to feel what it was like (admittedly, from a 21st century influenced point of view), read Doomsday Book.

      - Alastair

    2. Re:Actually, even that doesn't do it justice by ShakaUVM · · Score: 1

      >>see Connie Willis's Hugo and Nebula winning The Doomsday Book

      Yeah, it was an absolutely terrifying book, but very well written.

      That said, don't read her 2011 Hugo award-winning Blackout/All Clear. Same cast of characters from the Doomsday Book, but they're written like crap.

    3. Re:Actually, even that doesn't do it justice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well said.

      I think it's very dangerous, albeit in a subtle way, for so many people today to have a sanitized, cartoonish mental image of what life was like at various periods in human history. I'm not, in any way, suggesting that we should teach kids about every horror of ignorance or lack of technology or exuberant ideology from bygone centuries, complete with gory details. And I would be the last to suggest that people should "be happy with what they have because we used to have so little"; if anything, I want them to appreciate just how close utter chaos lurks so that they will do far more to create a fairer and more humane society, instead of obsessing endlessly over so much of the porn -- consumer electronics, sports, at least 90% of what's on TV, and even real porn -- that consumes our lives.

    4. Re:Actually, even that doesn't do it justice by Macrat · · Score: 1

      And that its first symptoms are something as common as sneezing. So, yeah, just being around someone with an allergy could cause you to shit your pants in terror each time they sneeze, because it COULD be the start of such a horrible epidemic.

      ring around the rose-y (description of the sores)
      pockets full of posies (to hide the smell of the wounds)
      a-choo a-choo (sneezing)
      we all fall down (death)

  7. Academic consensus on the causes. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The authors conclude that this provides a clear indication that a single type of bacteria has been responsible for the Black Death and several other plague outbreaks, and is still causing modern diseases."

    That's an interesting claim. As I understand it, the verdict is still out on what caused the Black Death. There's undeniable evidence that plague was present at the time, and they certainly found marks on bones in mass graves to indicate that some of the dead suffered from it. However, as I understand it, there's concern about whether that adequately explains the Black Death. Supposedly the epidemic swept through Europe in several phases, targeting different populations and with slightly different symptoms, and it moved very quickly, crossing borders and water at an alarming pace. That doesn't seem to describe the profile of plague, and as I understand it the academic consensus in recent years has been that there may have been something viral at work, or several different factors involved. Plague alone doesn't seem adequate here.

  8. Fun with sigs... by Tsingi · · Score: 1

    The greatest trick the devil pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist -- Verbal Kint

    The greatest trick a god ever pulled was convincing the world that he did exist. -- Tsingi. (aka, the devil)

    1. Re:Fun with sigs... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      I've always wondered about that quote, too. The only people who believe in the Christian version of the devil also believe in the Christian version of God. I find it very hard to believe that there are a lot of Christian-God believers who simultaneously don't believe in the Christian devil. Thus, the devil is not very successful at making Christians believe he doesn't exist, and non-Christians don't get into heaven anyway.

      Of course, in this case the quote comes from a stupid movie, so that should be my answer - but something like it has been said for a much longer time. And all the while, the number of Christians has grown, so it's complete BS.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    2. Re:Fun with sigs... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>non-Christians don't get into heaven anyway

      That's not true at all. Christians believe that God decides - there is no absolute prerequisite according to the bible. Simply put - the decision is in God's hands, and not our own.

    3. Re:Fun with sigs... by Schemat1c · · Score: 1

      The greatest trick the devil pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist -- Verbal Kint

      The greatest trick a god ever pulled was convincing the world that he did exist. -- Tsingi. (aka, the devil)

      God pulling tricks, that puts an odd image in my mind.

      --

      "Nobody knows the age of the human race, but everybody agrees that it is old enough to know better." - Unknown
    4. Re:Fun with sigs... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Hmmm, well let's just say that there seems to be diversity in this opinion. I was told by a minister that I couldn't enter heaven unless I was baptized, but your mileage may vary.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    5. Re:Fun with sigs... by Tsingi · · Score: 1

      Of course, in this case the quote comes from a stupid movie.

      Sure, it's a stupid quote, but it's a great movie.

      You take that back or Keyser Soze might just appear at your door. THEN you'll be sorry.

    6. Re:Fun with sigs... by Bucky24 · · Score: 1

      Personally I believe the same, but a lot of "hardcore" Christians like to think that they're the only ones who will get in.

      --
      All the world's a CPU, and all the men and women merely AI agents
    7. Re:Fun with sigs... by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      Verbel Kint was just messing with you. Considering the movie's twist ending, it's "in character."

      I find it very hard to believe that there are a lot of Christian-God believers who simultaneously don't believe in the Christian devil.
      No one said that belief was always going to be easy. Perhaps your faith in the Christian concept of the "Church Universal" is being tested.

    8. Re:Fun with sigs... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Well, the "Christian" devil is a very thin concept, theologically speaking. Quite a lot of the more liberal denominations don't take it that serious - it is, after all, quite illogical, going from the almighty, all-knowing, all-good God premise. An "adversary" doesn't quite fit into that. Then again, not much does, but hell... Anyway, the more liberal theologists take it more allegorical, together with the fall, as a metaphor for the quite observable general fucked-upness of human nature.

      The "non-Christians don't get into heaven"-thing also is not that common - it stems from the absolute rejection of work ethics - i.e. being saved by doing good works - by some of the more fundamentalist American evangelicals.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    9. Re:Fun with sigs... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Perhaps your faith in the Christian concept of the "Church Universal" is being tested.

      Ahhh, touche!

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    10. Re:Fun with sigs... by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      God pulling tricks, that puts an odd image in my mind.

      He punked Job pretty good. But then, he would probably say the devil made him do it.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    11. Re:Fun with sigs... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Loki, Coyote - there's a lot of precedents. The "trickster god" is not a particularly uncommon concept. No wonder, given the state of the world.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    12. Re:Fun with sigs... by slackbheep · · Score: 1

      This varies widely by denomination. You'll find there is a relatively short list of beliefs that "Christians" all share.

    13. Re:Fun with sigs... by treeves · · Score: 1

      Wrong. Christians believe that salvation/eternal life/entrance into God's Kingdom/heaven comes through faith in Jesus Christ alone (that's why the word "Christ" is right in "Christian"). Faith that He died for our sins and was resurrected and is Himself God, and that we are set right with God through our acceptance of Christ's sacrifice on our behalf. That is the sole prerequisite.
      God does decide who will have faith, but there is debate about that point within Christianity (Calvinism vs. Arminianism)

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    14. Re:Fun with sigs... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Quite a lot of the more liberal denominations don't take it that serious

      Ah, so those are the ones that the devil defeated :)

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    15. Re:Fun with sigs... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      I had that one coming.... ;)

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    16. Re:Fun with sigs... by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Christians believe that God decides"

      Well, yes. But Christians also believe that God made His rules quite clear and that He is not a cheater so as long as you abide to His rules, you are in the safe side.

      "there is no absolute prerequisite according to the bible."

      There is: you are not baptised, you don't go into Heaven. You die in mortal sin, you don't go into Heaven. You renounce or apostatize of the true faith, you don't go into Heaven.

    17. Re:Fun with sigs... by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "Personally I believe the same, but a lot of "hardcore" Christians like to think that they're the only ones who will get in."

      My bet is that there no such a thing as "hardcore Christians" but just Christians and those that pose as one without being so.

      After all, it is God Himself the one that stablished the whole lot, both what a mere human thinks important and what he thinks it isn't, so it is not the human being the one in the position to say "this I'll abide to, this I won't" and still expect a good end for it.

      Think about it: If God Himself, comes to you to say "You Shall Burn In Hell If You Dare to Kill Your Neighbor... Oh, And You Shall Burn In Hell Just The Same If You Forget Going To The Sunday Mass", who are you to say one thing is important while the other not so much?

    18. Re:Fun with sigs... by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "it is, after all, quite illogical, going from the almighty, all-knowing, all-good God premise. An "adversary" doesn't quite fit into that."

      Dont' think (catholic) theologists haven't thought of it. Devil is not "God's adversary", it's you in the mirror. And Hell, it is the Eternity without God (already in the days of Dante that was a done thing: the souls of those condemned were *wanting* to go there, were all hope should be abandoned).

      "The "non-Christians don't get into heaven"-thing also is not that common"

      Given that the christian population is considered to be about 2.2 billions and the Catholic Church 1.1 billion, that means that at least one out of two christians or one out of six people in the world are bound to believe that "non-Christians don't get into heaven", so I wouldn't say that to be "not that common".

    19. Re:Fun with sigs... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      If that's how it's going to be, my neighbor had better not make say a word about me not going to church on Sundays.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    20. Re:Fun with sigs... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Gah! "Make say" - stupid typo. I must stop trying to edit sentences in mid-stream-of-consciousness, just erase and start over.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    21. Re:Fun with sigs... by Mindcontrolled · · Score: 1

      Well, the "you in the mirror" is pretty much what I meant - as I said, an allegorical distillate of fucked-up-ness. Same regarding hell. I haven't been arguing from a catholic PoV, by the way - I am an atheist lutheran. However, the catholic theologians have a habit of being quite logical - that's why they present the same point as you, instead of a literal, seducing, adversarial Devil - which, after all, would be more of a Demiurge, a quite heretical one.

      --
      Ubi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.
    22. Re:Fun with sigs... by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      Also, try this argument on for size:

      Keyser Soze (the devil) is a criminal mastermind, responsible for quite a lot of worldwide crime. If people knew this, and knew who was working for him, they might be able to ally themselves together to destroy his crime syndicate. If people think he's a myth, they won't see the larger conspiracy. They'll just think themselves unlucky.

      Suppose Satan exists, and the whole of human existence can be viewed the rebellion of Lucifer against God-- with God trying to preserve "free will", and the devil trying to take it way from humans and replacing it with sin. (It's akin to having a heroin addiction-- you might want to live a full and free life, but just making it through the day requires that you have your fix-- so you are forced into doing things that most people would shy away from--like larceny). So under this view of things, the evil that men do is not merely the bad actions of independent men, but the influence of the big bad. If you can somehow recognize the satanic conspiracy for what it is, you might be able to identify those minions of satan-- and somehow drive the devil out of them-- bring them back to Christ. Once that's done, there will be a lot less evil and the world, because there will be a lot less sin in the world.

      But if Satan is forgotten, then we are doomed to suffer through the evils of this world, without the hope of ever stopping it.

      And so the argument goes. It's a bit naive to think that murder and mayhem are all due to the machinations of one supernatural being, but I guess some people are comforted by the thought. Poor deluded fools.

    23. Re:Fun with sigs... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      You could save them with the blessings of Christ or just build millions of prisons and incarcerate the satanic bastards :)

      And all the prisons could be staffed by good Christians.

      So you'd reduce unemployment by locking up a substantial number of unemployed and employing a bunch of Good Christians.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    24. Re:Fun with sigs... by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      So you'd reduce unemployment by locking up a substantial number of unemployed and employing a bunch of Good Christians.

      Satan applauds your devious plan.

    25. Re:Fun with sigs... by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      After all, it is God Himself the one that stablished the whole lot, both what a mere human thinks important and what he thinks it isn't

      um, which God is that? there are a lot and they all say different things, its hard to keep track.

      My bet is that there no such a thing as "hardcore Christians" but just Christians and those that pose as one without being so.

      Hardcore Christians are the ones who describe other Christians as "not real Christians" because the other Christians interpret the bible differently. you have no divine authority to decide how genuine someone elses faith is because they don't ad-hear to your schedule & religious observations. (in fact, i think there might be a passage about judging others?).

      IMO, any hardcore christian is any religious person who takes their faith too seriously without basing some of their wordy observations on reason and logic (think evolution, existence of dinosaurs, "spiritual healing", prayer achieving more than actions, etc.)

      And us atheist sit back and laugh because you're squabbling over a fantasy... that is until you tie us to a stake and burn us alive that is...

      Think about it: If God Himself, comes to you to say "You Shall Burn In Hell If You Dare to Kill Your Neighbor... Oh, And You Shall Burn In Hell Just The Same If You Forget Going To The Sunday Mass", who are you to say one thing is important while the other not so much?

      You'd be no one, but that's more because you would be crazy then because of any divine reasoning.

    26. Re:Fun with sigs... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      ...if he existed!

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    27. Re:Fun with sigs... by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      Now now, if he didn't exist, it would probably throw your whole rationale for theological reeducation camps out the window.

    28. Re:Fun with sigs... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      I could come up with another rationale :)

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    29. Re:Fun with sigs... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Clear as mud.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    30. Re:Fun with sigs... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Not that kind of trick. God the $20 whore.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  9. The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by wisebabo · · Score: 0

    While everything you said is true about the vast improvements in sanitation, public health etc. you're missing two points.

    1) Some of these improvements may have made our environment TOO CLEAN, we are not exposing ourselves to enough natural pathogens to challenge our immune systems and build up resistance. I've heard that one possible reason why the incidence of asthma has soared in the developing world is because children no longer play so much in dirt and get exposed to the bacteria there. Then, their immune systems become hyperactive. (I also seem to remember an article in Sci-Am about how Polio paradoxically became widely spread due to the clean drinking water or something. Hence the pictures of all those kids in "Iron Lungs" before the development of a vaccine).

    2) If the scientists who sequenced the genome put it on the Internet (or if it stolen), that could be enough to build a good biological weapon. Now that Craig Venter has demonstrated the ability of creating life FROM SCRATCH isn't it feasible to create a new bacterium from the code downloaded from the Internet? Perhaps with some changes to make it more "effective"? It is no longer enough to physically sequester the pathogens in a secure location as the U.S. and Russia have done with smallpox, now just the data itself could lead to a virulent agent. (Or, knowing what to look for, it is probably much easier for a third party to duplicate these scientists' research). Perhaps, in the future, scientists who resurrect or create such dangerous micro-organisms will be required to create, as part of their work, complementary anti-bodies or iRNA sequences or something so that we would have a running start in preparing a biological defense if things got loose.

    1. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by Dog-Cow · · Score: 1

      From the sheer paranoia in your second point, I think you've already been infected with something. I hope it's not contagious.

    2. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by vlm · · Score: 1

      I've heard that one possible reason why the incidence of asthma has soared in the developing world is because children no longer play so much in dirt and get exposed to the bacteria there. Then, their immune systems become hyperactive.

      Hmmm. I donno about that. Went thru quite a bit of contaminant analysis when my son had "an allergy" but we couldn't figure out what. (turned out to be wheat, verified via blood test; why they couldn't run the blood test first before analyzing our environment mystifies me) Look at what spews out of a smokestack, or a decrepit diesel bus exhaust, or the literal stench of curing plastic inside a new particle board kitchen, then get back to me on the environment being too clean. The air inside an average house, or even outside a non-rural house, is pretty stinking filthy compared to a rural environment a century ago...

      Add in plenty of "intentional" contaminants like unventilated kitchens, spray paint, smoking various substances, strange paint chemistries that didn't exist just decades ago...

      Another example, I think I inhale more plasticizer fumes in a day, than people did in a lifetime just a century ago.

      --
      "Science flies us to the moon. Religion flies us into buildings." - Victor Stenger
    3. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 2

      Venter didn't create life from scratch. His team rebuilt a bacterial genome out of pre-existing parts and threw them into a pre-existing chassis. To provide out an ever-faithful computer analogy, he basically installed Gentoo on some Mycoplasma genitalium. It wasn't that exciting, just more laborious.

      Which brings me to the second point: that much DNA synthesis and construct assembly is absurdly expensive. Even to transfer the dangerous parts into another bacterium via a plasmid vector would be unwieldly labourious, mostly because you'd have to figure out what the parts are, first.

      Which brings me to the third point: it is infinitely cheaper just to buy more traditional forms of weaponry than to swallow the startup cost for biological warfare. Even to poison an entire town's drinking water with lethal amounts of Brevetoxin would be cheaper. You can basically chill out now.

      P.S., Caucasians probably have serious herd immunity against the most famous strains by now and don't even know it. Even if you get the work perfect, its reliability would still be a bad gamble.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    4. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      Asthma incidence has strong correlation to having parents who smoke. Allergy incidence to those who were not breastfed but consumed formula.

      Craig Venter did NOT "create life from scratch", he put a modified Mycoplasma genitalium genome into a mycoplasma. His team "stripped down" the genome to find a minimal set that would support life, then added some "nonsense" like encoded people's names and a web site address. Then they sythesized that sequence and injected it. To put it another way, just because you download a kernel from kernel.org, rip out everything that won't support your particular machine, compile and install it...doesn't make you a Linus who "built his own kernel from scratch".

    5. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by wisebabo · · Score: 1

      Thanks, I'm not a biologist. Probably read too much science fiction though!

    6. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by slackbheep · · Score: 1

      OP seems to be talking about bacterial infections and other biological issues, rather than air contaminants from paint fumes or what have you. This is not to suggest modern air pollution is less dangerous, simply that it's not the same thing as an infection. While there's probably more junk in the air, it seems that less of it is biological.

    7. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In 2008 Venter didn't have all the parts. I wonder if he will soon have them. Also, the evolutionary/cell theoretic perspective, that is the bootstrap process to use your analogy, is quite interesting from a layman's point of view.

    8. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by Dogtanian · · Score: 1

      To provide out an ever-faithful computer analogy, he basically installed Gentoo on some Mycoplasma genitalium. It wasn't that exciting

      I dunno, even *that* doesn't sound particularly exciting given that someone already managed to
      install VuDu Linux on a dead badger several years ago.

      --
      "Slashdot - News and Chat Sites Deviant". (Click "homepage" link above for details).
    9. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by Walkingshark · · Score: 1

      I'd think it would just be cheaper to buy your WMDs from the US, like Iraq did. All you have to do is wave a little oil under their nose and the pigs in Washington will roll over and let you suckle at all the teats simultaneously.

      --
      The world you experience is only a close approximation of reality.
    10. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

      If I've learned anything from how the CIA operates, you don't "buy your WMDs" from the US; the US picks you to sell WMDs to. We only hear about these things when they mess up.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    11. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by Walkingshark · · Score: 1

      Or when they send Donald Rumsfeld over with the bill of lading to glad hand your dictator. :)

      But yeah, generally if you're getting them it's because you're going to use them on people the US wants targeted, or because it's going to destabilize your country so they can put in someone more useful to American interests.

      --
      The world you experience is only a close approximation of reality.
    12. Re:The Black Death might be BROUGHT back by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      I'm confused, who's Linus in the analogy, the FSM?

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
  10. Painfully obvious? by geekmux · · Score: 1

    "...But the sequences also suggest that the strains of bacteria we see today may be different from the ones that rampaged through Europe."

    Uh, "may" be different? Is there anyone in academia even remotely questioning this? Bacteria replicate in a matter of hours. How many generations of bacteria have turned over(read mutated) in the last few hundred years? This should not come as a surprise to anyone really.

  11. Re:That's racist! by cpotoso · · Score: 1

    And think about what the aztecs thought of those bearded hippies coming and killing 90% of them (small pox)? Intolerance at its worst :)

  12. Re:That's racist! by Lieutenant_Dan · · Score: 1

    Well, these guys didn't think it was racist:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Death_(American_band)

    --
    Wearing pants should always be optional.
  13. Not necessarily by Moraelin · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Well, the actual question is: exactly how different. Yes, it's clear that some mutations are inevitable, but unless there's some clear evolutionary pressure, you may still find a bacterium that works by and large just like its ancestors.

    Now it may seem that for a parasitic bacterium, not killing its host would be an advantage. And indeed in some other bacteria we can see a sort of a survival-of-the-sickest kind of selection.

    But this is a soil bacterium. If it ends up in some host and kills it, worst that can happen is that it ends up back in the soil. It has nothing to lose by killing its host, and in fact everything to gain, since once the host is dead there's no more immune system killing the bacteria.

    This kind of bacteria that have nothing to lose by killing the host are the most deadly and dangerous. Not just this, but see for example cholera too. That's a bacterium that not only has nothing to gain by peacefully staying inside you and not killing you, but is actually trying to get out of your body ASAP. Whether you live or die in the process, meh, it makes no difference for that one.

    Additionally, for Y Pestis, the capability of clotting blood and forming colonies that plug blood vessels actually helped it spread too. The same mechanism makes it plug the stomach of fleas. The flea then will literally starve to death no matter how much blood it sucks, and driven by hunger, will go infect another host too.

    So we have a bacterium for which the plasmid that kills its host:

    1. isn't detrimental to the bacterium, since it can live just as well in a dead host or in soil, and

    2. is actually beneficial to the bacterium, since it makes fleas spread it around.

    That's one tough combo to evolve out of. There is no real survival benefit in losing those genes.

    So while, yes, you would expect that bacteria can and will mutate in time, but it's not clear at all why this one would change in exactly that aspect.

    Yet something seems to have changed. What and why? Those are the questions.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:Not necessarily by Samantha+Wright · · Score: 1

      I would probably vote for obsolescence. If the bacteria aren't being picked up en masse by silly humans who don't clean their food properly when they pull it from the fields, then the pressure for maintaining the human-killing equipment is pretty mediocre. It simply falls into disrepair and mutates into pseudogenes and non-functional gene products.

      --
      Bio questions? Ask me to start a Q&A journal. Computer analogies available for most topics!
    2. Re:Not necessarily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yet something seems to have changed. What and why?

      For one, pretty much everyone alive today (of European, Asian or North African descent, at least) descended from ancestors who survived the Black Death. It may well be us that changed, more than Y pestis.

    3. Re:Not necessarily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My vote is that it was a side branch and that the modern bacteria are not direct descendents of the Black Death bacterium but of a predecessor, and that the Black Death went extinct for some reason. Could the mutation involved have caused problems for the bacteria? (For example, caused something important in long-term survival to not function?)

      It seems much easier to theorize that the Black Death mutation proved unfit over time, resulting in the survival of a predecessor, than to assume that multiple mutations came in and then rolled out.

    4. Re:Not necessarily by michael_cain · · Score: 1

      There's also the hypothesis that "success" for an infectious organism is to maximize the number of people that get infected. In that case, it is possible for a disease to be too virulent: if too many victims die too fast, the spread eventually peters out. If that's a valid argument, then it's possible that a Y. pestis variant that is not so lethal would eventually crowd out the Middle Ages' version. Proponents of the hypothesis usually point to rhinoviruses as being nearly ideal. They're highly infectious, but don't kill the victim, so they can spread to very large numbers of people.

    5. Re:Not necessarily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You need to do some travelling. There are many parts of the world were there are people "en masse" doing exactly what you call silly.

    6. Re:Not necessarily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who needs to travel to see silly human behavior? Communal dishes, unknown methods of harvest and slaughter, importation of produce from the above-mentioned silly places... we're no better.

      And while these aren't THE silly action you just mentioned, humanity acting silly's everywhere:

      We shop on price even if it means exporting manufacturing jobs to save a few cents per product,

      We each have our own political insanities driving our voting decisions (and who among us doesn't think the other side is either evil or silly for falling for the other side's arguments),

      The US isn't exactly a bastion of excellent work-life balance (and it seems pretty silly to me that we waste our lives accepting this imbalance),

      We eat things that are bad for us, We smoke and drug and drink ourselves to death with stunning regularity, etc. We drive like lunatics.

      (... And don't even get me making comparisons between religions.)

    7. Re:Not necessarily by Moraelin · · Score: 1

      That's the "survival of the sickest" idea I mentioned in that message. And, yes, it makes perfect sense for purely parasitic bacteria. It however breaks down completely for bacteria which survive just as well in soil (e.g., Y Pestis) or for bacteria which don't want to be inside infected people in the first place (e.g., cholera kills you when those bacteria try to get OUT of your gut ASAP, not to be in people.)

      I mean, if it kills its host too fast and ends up in the soil instead of infected people... yippee. It was a soil bacterium to start with. The disadvantage of that is exactly none.

      --
      A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  14. It's not even that easy by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    It's not even that easy. The bug was not carried by dung or flies, but by fleas and rats. Even if you had a modern sewage system, rats were and still are not extinct. In fact, their populations seems to have grown with the human population.

    What seems to have finally killed the plague in Europe was that the vulnerable and once dominant species of rat was also handicapped enough by it to be replaced with a better rat. (Yeah, sometimes nature makes a better mouse trap, and then makes a better mouse to defeat it;))

    Sanitation, washing hands, etc, didn't have much to do with it.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:It's not even that easy by Mephistro · · Score: 1

      I must disagree. While washing your hands wouldn't probably do shit in preventing the spread of the Plague, other factors surely would. Frequently washing clothes would reduce greatly the amount of fleas and flea eggs, hence lowering the infection rates. Ditto for taking frequent baths. A sewer system wouldn't make rats disappear but it would keep them away from most humans. In the middle ages there was plenty of food in the streets for rats -garbage, dung, animal corpses...- which made it impossible to isolate rats from the population. And, lastly, the plague could also be transmitted by air, in droplets of body fluids in the victim's breath. Those funny face masks that were so fashionable during the Swine Flu outbreak would have helped a lot in this context.

  15. Doomsday Book by Dr.+Gamera · · Score: 1

    So Kivrin Engle would indeed survive? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Book_(novel)

  16. odd coincidence by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

    I just spent a week running from earthquakes and hurricanes, then got home to feel like ... black death. Convenient that the sequence is now complete so I can confirm my suspicion of the most interesting vacation ever.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    1. Re:odd coincidence by tyme · · Score: 1

      welcome to the nation's capital?

      --
      just a ghost in the machine.
  17. Just for fun by Daetrin · · Score: 1

    Seanan McGuire has summed up the reasons why some people believe (or believed now?) that the Black Death may have been caused by something other than Yersinia Pestis in lyrical form. (Unfortunately there doesn't seem to be any recordings of her performing it on YouTube.)

    This latest bit of research may have disproved the theory but it's still a fun song, and how often do you get to hear someone singing about epidemiology? :)

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  18. Fixed it for you. by TiggertheMad · · Score: 1

    The greatest trick the catholic church ever pulled was convincing the world that god did exist.

    --

    HA! I just wasted some of your bandwidth with a frivolous sig!
    1. Re:Fixed it for you. by UltraZelda64 · · Score: 1

      Not really; people are so fucking god damn dumb in general, many are bound to believe it. Also, consider that these people were from a completely different time period, what, thousands of years ago? Humans were probably barely above monkeys back then in intelligence. Okay, many still aren't all that bright here in 2011, but still. But the point I'm trying to make is, there's centuries (millennia?) worth of tradition in these bizarre, fucked up beliefs in some god and devil, and apparently it's hard to shake that off... especially if a person's parents are religious and are made to go to church every Sunday, forcing their beliefs onto them. I was lucky to have never been forced into these weekly brainwashings... er, I mean church visits, and I look at Christianity as a fucked up cult, occult-type superstitions. It's all bullshit.

      I own The Satanic Bible, and all I can say is... now *that* is some common sense stuff in there, for the most part. I don't necessarily have to "believe" in the book itself; it turns out that as I read it, it just further described my own beliefs that I've developed over the years since I was a kid. If I'm anything, I'm a Satanist. Before reading that book, I would have probably considered myself an atheist and Christian hater. Iin fact, I still *am* an atheist and Christian hater, LMAO...

  19. Little Ice Age disease susceptibility by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

    The Little Age was still in its early phases, but less unclouded sunshine from shorter growing seasons probably meant less calories and vitamin C for less healthy bodies, along with even lower immunity from even more inadequate vitamin D levels. Overpopulated areas were no doubt tinderboxes, waiting for the slightest bacterial innovation.

  20. Sounds like a Witch to me! by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    Burn her!

  21. Stupid Peasants! by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    I know I watched a show that basically was saying that the environment we lived in was so bad back then, that it was the big difference, particularly the water.

    In London, everyone just tossed their garbage, piss, and shit in the street, that combined with all the industrial runoff, and animal waste to fester in the river. The river that everyone drank from.

    Some study was done with numbers collected from the time, showing that certain areas had far less victims. It was suggested that these areas, which all seemed to be around breweries and the like, were because people that drank beer instead of the water were so much better off, because the beer was all boiled which killed all the bacteria. The stupid peasants of the time not know anything about bacteria or that boiling water kills them...

    To that end, I try to drink as much beer as I can. Just to be safe. That way in 100 years from now, no one will be calling me a stupid peasant.

  22. Actually, shit does play a role in traditional med by Derek+Pomery · · Score: 2

    While there's some truth to that, it is hardly foolproof and the feces thing is actually still true in some cases. Traditional medicine made (and makes) many errors.

    "Tetanus of the newborn occurs through contamination of the umbilical stump (and occasionally as a complication of circumcision). Neonatal tetanus is common in some cultures that have practices that encourage infection. Some tribes in the Loralai district of Pakistan practice 'bundling,' in which the lower abdomen of the newborn is smeared with cow dung and then the child is wrapped in a sheepskin blanket. The Masai have a high neontal death rate in part due to the custom of packing the umbilical stump with cow dung."

    -- The vaccine controversy: the history, use and safety of vaccinations By Kurt Link. pp71

    Goes on to mention some other practices.
    This sort of thing isn't unique in traditional medicine, either.

    --
    -- perl -e'print pack"H*","6e656d6f406d38792e6f7267"' /. ate my old sig. Bastards.
  23. The sound of inevitability by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The Littles always cite the Black Death and 1918 pandemic as if that's what we could expect from a pandemic today--all without noting the MASSIVE improvements in sanitation, medical science, vaccine research, etc. that make this scale of pandemic highly unlikely in the modern era.

    "Highly unlikely"? Try virtually inevitable. If you lived near me I'd be happy to introduce you to countless doctors, including infectious disease specialists who would tell you that you could not possibly be more wrong. Unless you have the letters MD attached to the end of your name I think you should actually pay attention to people who actually know the subject matter.

    I worked in a hospital infectious disease group a few years ago. Every infectious disease specialist thinks a pandemic like the ones you mentioned is virtually inevitable. Vaccines take months to years to develop and we only have them for a relatively limited number of diseases. There are countless pathogens for which we have no effective treatment other than palliative care. Bacteria and viruses are evolving quite rapidly. Our over-use of antibiotics has actually accelerated the process. Ever get a flu shot? That vaccine simply combats a handful of the strains of influenza that the CDC expects to be most problematic in the coming year. By the following year new strains have developed and previous years vaccine is close to useless. Even when we do have effective treatments for diseases, economic and geopolitical reality often make it impossible to effectively treat vast populations. We know how to eradicate polio and yet decades after having an effective treatment it still exists. Take a fast mutating pathogen like influenza and with the right mutations and our healthcare systems will be overwhelmed.

    In the event of a serious pandemic the primary tool we have to combat such an event is quarantine. In other words for a huge number of pathogens we have NOTHING that is better than we had 100 years ago. There is no question that there will be pandemics in the future, the only question is how bad will they be.

  24. HUGE numbers and random chance by sjbe · · Score: 1

    So while, yes, you would expect that bacteria can and will mutate in time, but it's not clear at all why this one would change in exactly that aspect.

    Pure random chance. You have to remember that bacteria exist in absolutely enormous number. Trillions upon trillions of them. Numbers so big it defies imagination. They are mutating all the time just by random chance. Most of the time these mutations are harmless and inconsequential. It is exceptionally rare that a single bacteria develops exactly the right set of mutations necessary to be problematic to humans. The problem is that when you multiply an extremely rare even times a huge number of opportunities, you actually get a fairly routine occurrence. These sorts of evolutionary mutations usually occur because of large number of opportunities for very rare events to occur. Influenza continues to be a problem because it mutates quickly. Vaccine developers are stuck playing a game of whack-a-mole with a bug that manages to evolve around any treatment we have been able to develop so far.

    Making things worse, we are creating some evolutionary pressures on them through over use of antibiotics. Several of our oldest antibiotics are now effectively useless. Bugs like MRSA are very difficult to treat and literally were not a significant problem 30 years ago.

  25. Moronic fact from epSos.de by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Black Death was caused by a demon or a witch of some sort, becasue Hollywood said so.

    This investigation is undermining the statements of the Catholic Church that burned thousands of medieval people to free us from witches and demons.

    Was it all in vain now ?

  26. Gene Sequencing and Weaponization by docwatson223 · · Score: 1

    For the sake of argument, let's say they are successful in recreating the *exact* sequence of Y. pestis that caused the Black Death. From that point, let a Bad Guy get their hands on a DNA sequencer and then figure out a way to buff it up and weaponize it for delivery so that it would even defeat the Delta 32 resisters. Oh, and create a specific antibody for it that only a select group could use. Well, F--k us all. ; \ This research needs to be TS/SCI and shoved down a deep, dark, concrete-filled desert hole somewhere.

  27. Article is bad science by Xest · · Score: 1

    "This latest bit of research may have disproved the theory but it's still a fun song"

    Actually, it may not. In a rare moment of good reporting when this was on the news last night here in the UK they had another scientist on pointing out that they've not really gone about this particularly scientifically. They haven't for example used the same technique on bodies that were around 100 years before the black death to see if the bacteria exists there too, which would hence suggest that it isn't necessarily the bacteria they're looking for.

    In other words, it seems they've basically looked at some black death bodies, found this bacteria and said "Yep, that's conclusively the bacteria to blame that is!" when it might in fact well not be.

    The story here is really the technique used, not that spin on it that they've found the bacteria responsible for black death- that latter part is still just sheer speculation right now.