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Siemens To Exit Nuclear Power Business

jones_supa wrote in with a link about the future of nuclear power in Germany. The story reads: "German industrial giant Siemens is turning the page on nuclear energy, the group's CEO Peter Löscher told the weekly Der Spiegel in an interview published on Sunday. The group's decision to withdraw from the nuclear industry reflects 'the very clear stance taken by Germany's society and political leadership.' Along with abandoning nuclear power, Germany wants to boost the share of the country's power needs generated by renewable energies to 35% by 2020 from 17% at present."

400 comments

  1. Lessor of two evils... by Frosty+Piss · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This kind of thought is too bad for the Earth, because baring fossil fuels, there is really no other source that can provide the need of our modern society. The actual unblemished truth is that the popular âoerenewableâ sources can not supply but a minority proportion of the worldâ(TM)s needs for energy. The truth is: Itâ(TM)s either coal / oil, or nuclear energy.

    And the sad thing is that today, as in right now, the nuclear technologies have never been safer, so much safer than any of the currently operational nuke plants, and much more relevant to this discussion, much more safe and indeed cleaner than any, ANY, of the alternatives.

    Simply the truth, folks.

    --
    If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
    1. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      âoerenewableâ...the worldâ(TM)s needs for energy. The truth is: Itâ(TM)s

      It's not just you, I see this all over, but just what is wrong with your keyboard? There's already a perfectly serviceable apostrophe, two even, both up and down versions, in the basic ASCII set. Yet somehow you've used non-ascii escapes for this trivial character. Why???

    2. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Probably because he writes in Word and pastes the result into his browser. Stupid "Smart Quotes".

    3. Re:Lessor of two evils... by GoodNewsJimDotCom · · Score: 0

      In other news FORD says it wished it got out of the business in 1910. Thousands of people could have been saved injury from unpredictable hand cranks on Model Ts. Sure today, starting your car became safe, but we can never calculate the loss of people who got injured to hand cranks when the technology was new.

    4. Re:Lessor of two evils... by SilverHatHacker · · Score: 0

      In a related question, why does anyone still do this? As far as I know, all the modern browsers have spell check built in and I can't think of any other reasons off the top of my head.

      --
      Funny may not give karma, but +5 Informative never made anyone snort coffee out their nose.
    5. Re:Lessor of two evils... by c0lo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The actual unblemished truth is that the popular "renewable" sources can not supply but a minority proportion of the world's needs for energy.

      [citation needed]
      TFA:

      Germany wants to boost the share of the country's power needs generated by renewable energies to 35 percent by 2020 from 17 percent at present.

      Seems that Germany thinks is possible to cover more than 1/3 of its energy needs from renewables, in only 8 years from now. This on top of Germany already producing less than half CO2/capita than some other developed nation.

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    6. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Arancaytar · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's good that you mention the word "truth" three times, because with your complete lack of sources I would otherwise have worried that your post might be bullshit.

    7. Re:Lessor of two evils... by diegocg · · Score: 1

      Renewable energy sources are more than enought to cover the entire world's energy needs. They are expensive, inefficient and their output is very variable, but they are certainly capable of producing 100% or the energy the world uses right now.

    8. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah, and I'm sure they won't have to rely on neighbouring countries to load balance once 1/3 of its energy is magically produced by renewable...

    9. Re:Lessor of two evils... by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 1

      there is really no other source that can provide the need of our modern society.

      Please define "need[s]" in this context.

      This confusion of wants with needs has perhaps been the cause of countless wars in the Middle East.

    10. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Gojira+Shipi-Taro · · Score: 1

      This confusion of wants with needs has perhaps been the cause of countless wars in the Middle East.

      You misspelled "Organized Religion".

      --
      "Oh my God. This is terrible. This is the end of my Presidency. I'm fucked."; ~ Donald J. Trump
    11. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Don't worry. Solar power is going to save us all, provided they get $0.30/kWh subsidies.

      China: Villagers protest at Zhejiang solar panel plant
      http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-14963354

      Oh wait, wind will save us all, provided it doesn't get too hot or cold or windy or calm. That gets wind power 30% efficiency.

      OK, hydroelectric will save us all. OK, that's maxed out already.

      And while we protest, record number of coal and natural gas power plants are getting built. Fraking and ground water pollution is the reality while the "environmentalists" bitch and moan over nuclear. Nuclear, a power source that is not 100% clean. That is not 100% safe. But its the only power source where we require the industry to manage its entire waste. Nuclear gives us the lowest impact on environment from any power sources.

      Heck, in avoidable incidents like Fukushima or even Chernobyl, we, the people, suffer almost entire impact of these events. While some are scared shitless of the word "radiation" and most try to avoid any contaminated areas, nature does not have these inhibitions and goes on. Almost any amount of radiation is vastly preferred by nature to birth control pills or plastics. Why? Because radiation is an equal -opportunity stressor.

      http://jscms.jrn.columbia.edu/cns/2008-02-19/cupido-birthcontrol.html

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Pacific_Garbage_Patch

      The "environmentalists" can't understand basic physics or biology. They don't get it. Natural world "re-routes" around low environmental stresses, like radiation. Provided an organism can reproduce, it will adapt. It is only people that can't really adapt because we do not want to pay the price of mutation/natural selection.

      The bottom line is, "environmentalists" are trying to protect people from minimal risks at a cost of the natural world, and hence eventually at the cost of future generations. Quite sad actually.

    12. Re:Lessor of two evils... by c0lo · · Score: 0

      In a related question, why does anyone still do this? As far as I know, all the modern browsers have spell check built in and I can't think of any other reasons off the top of my head.

      Using lynx without a spell-checker and being afraid of the grammar nazi?

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    13. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Sarten-X · · Score: 1

      In case you, without thinking, change the page and lose your whole post before it's finished. External editors can use auto-save.

      --
      You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
    14. Re:Lessor of two evils... by niktemadur · · Score: 1

      ...nuclear technologies have never been safer...

      That's a truism right there. At the same time, the solar energy industry has stagnated in Germany, I believe the topic was posted here on Slashdot about a week ago. So what's going on in Germany?

      BTW, interesting correlation between your user ID and chronological placement of comment.

      --
      Lil' Thindime, lilting a lacrimose lament, krashes the kwaint konfines of Kokonino Kounty
    15. Re:Lessor of two evils... by icebike · · Score: 0

      I rather suspect they are simply taking this opportunity (German sentiment) as an excuse to dump an industry segment
      that has been given a black eye due to the Iranian centrifuge hacking. Probably their controllers won't be trusted anyway
      in today's market, and it is likely to become very unprofitable.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    16. Re:Lessor of two evils... by benjamindees · · Score: 2

      35% is still a minority. What about the other 65% ?

      This graph of ERCOT wind production versus demand illustrates the major problem with renewables. Although it is summer, when wind production is low, this is a real power grid with a huge number of large wind turbines. Notice that peak demand coincides almost exactly with minimum production. Notice also that "minimum production" basically means "zero production".

      And while it's true that solar could fill the gap nicely, we will have to (optimistically) live through at least one more "lost decade" for the economy before solar becomes an economically beneficial alternative.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    17. Re:Lessor of two evils... by icebike · · Score: 1

      This on top of Germany already producing less than half CO2/capita [google.com] than some other developed nation.

      That won't last as they shut down the remaining nuclear plants. Nuclear power in Germany accounted for 23% of national electricity consumption.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    18. Re:Lessor of two evils... by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 1

      This confusion of wants with needs has perhaps been the cause of countless wars in the Middle East.

      You misspelled "Organized Religion".

      There have been many wars in the middle-east. I agree that some have been due to religious conflicts. But I also believe many would have not occurred, or at least not involved the Western powers, if it were not for an unwillingness to forgo cheap oil.

    19. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Lynx and Word together? Now that's an odd couple! :)

    20. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Pseudonym+Authority · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      I think that a better question is ``Why the fuck doesn't Slashdot support Unicode already?''. Oh right, because of the stupid, lame argument that people might use it to make look-alike names. Well shit CmdrTaco, why not only permit ASCII only in the name field? A good compromise, no? It will stop people from unnecessarily looking like idiots, and stop making /. the laughing stock of all the major websites that have had support for Unicode since 2000.

    21. Re:Lessor of two evils... by 517714 · · Score: 1

      Not to support the parent post, but 35%, while impressive, is still "a minority proportion."

      --
      The US government have made it clear that we have no inalienable rights; any we do not defend vigorously will be taken.
    22. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Move to New Zealand the. We're producing the vast majority of our electricity from hydro power.
      I think its about 70% renewable

    23. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      but we can never calculate the loss of people who got injured to hand cranks when the technology was new.

      Why are you comparing nuclear energy to a "new" technology? It's been around more than half a century and it's still expensive, filthy and dangerous.

      Siemens is getting out because nuclear energy has never been profitable without government subsidies and perhaps you haven't noticed, but not that many governments have money to burn ever since the corporations took over. Plus, the level 7 Fukushima disaster that forced 80,000 people from their homes and will probably cause the premature deaths of several times that number (see: guardian.co.uk) was not really great advertisement for the failed experiment that was energy from nuclear fission.

      Face it, like the hydrogen dirigible, fission energy is a technology that was almost really good except for the fact that it was really bad. As Maxwell Smart might have said, "It missed it by that much."

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    24. Re:Lessor of two evils... by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2, Informative
      Because many of these "First Post" responses are boilerplate content provided by advertising agencies. That's how they can get in so quickly with what appear to be cogent, well-reasoned articles.

      Phrases like "there is really no other source" "The actual unblemished truth" "The truth is:" "nuclear technologies have never been safer" are essentially meaningless tautologies or outright lies, but are presented here to deflect real discussion, such as why it was economically sensible of Siemens to stop building power plants with huge lead times and doubtful value.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    25. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So, the rebuttal to this notion is twofold. One: you are correct in that cost-per-mw there is little that can compete with nuclear power currently except fossil fuels, but the general concensus on alternate energy is still that with time and investments they will become competitive, they're all still in their infancy compared to the half-century long nuclear industry.

      Two: this is a hard pill to swallow. The defense of nuclear facilities is that "chances are nothing will ever go wrong". But you can't deny the chance that they can. Over an infinite period of time a chance they can becomes a fact that they will. The chances were nothing like Fukushima would happen, but they did. And chances are, they'll never happen again, but they will. And eventually either we'll stop playing russian roulette with nuclear power, or we'll be too irradiated to reproduce properly.

    26. Re:Lessor of two evils... by haruchai · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Solar PV pricing per watt has fallen dramatically in the last 2 years; at commercial scale it's at or near $1.20/watt. That's one reason why Solyndra folded as they were developing a non-silicon alternative but they can no longer compete on price. Germany installed a ton of solar back when the cost for PV was much higher.

      California has 8 GW on the roadmap ( http://votesolar.org/2011/09/who-says-solar-is-too-expensive/ ) slightly more than half of which will cost less than the natural gas equivalent.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    27. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      cleaner than any, ANY, of the alternatives.

      I would agree but there are two pesky comrades named half-life and disposal that just won't shup up about being unsolved problems.

    28. Re:Lessor of two evils... by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Talking about Fukushima, let's try to be more factual: the expected death toll is less than you'd expect from a major bus accident. So far we know of no deaths related to Fukushima.

      --
      It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
      Be yourself no matter what they say
    29. Re:Lessor of two evils... by petermgreen · · Score: 0

      Some discussion implementations (slashdot's D2 being one of them) make it easy to accidently lose a post by navigating away from the page or sometimes even by actions on the page. Thanks to the heavy use of javascript the auto-refilling of the text boxes that some browsers do when you use the back button doesn't work with D2 either.

      Yes one could use notepad but that doesn't have a spell checker.

      And not everyone uses a browser recent enough to have a spell checker.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    30. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Complaining that nuclear cannot be profitable without government subsidies is just a little ironic given that every "green" "renewable" source has the same fate.

      But that you say things like the governments have no money since the corporations took over, and joining that with actually trying to reference the Guardian... well, you're just a kook anyway.

    31. Re:Lessor of two evils... by icebike · · Score: 1

      In case you, without thinking, change the page and lose your whole post before it's finished. External editors can use auto-save.

      Oh come on. You get warned on any modern browser if you change away from comments. Who doesn't use tabs these days.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    32. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Barbarian · · Score: 1

      Complaining that nuclear cannot be profitable without government subsidies is just a little ironic given that every "green" "renewable" source has the same fate.

      But that you say things like the governments have no money since the corporations took over, and joining that with actually trying to reference the Guardian... well, you're just a kook anyway.

      Same goes for oil, gas, and coal--if it's owned by the people and held in trust by the state, as is typical for minerals and oil, but only a small fraction is charged in royalty to the extractor, that Is also a form of subsidy.

    33. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why are you comparing nuclear energy to a "new" technology? It's been around more than half a century and it's still expensive, filthy and dangerous.

      Because the nuclear plants in use today are using technology that's half a century old.

      ...perhaps you haven't noticed, but not that many governments have money to burn ever since the corporations took over.

      Oh, spare us.

      Plus, the level 7 Fukushima disaster that forced 80,000 people from their homes and will probably cause the premature deaths of several times that number (see: guardian.co.uk) was not really great advertisement for the failed experiment that was energy from nuclear fission.

      I hope you'll forgive me*, but I don't consider The Guardian an unbiased source of news on nuclear, and I certainly don't consider them qualified to actually understand the sources from which they pick and choose. As for fission being a failed experiment, it hasn't failed; it's been working quite well at producing our energy for decades. In fact the plant that's just down the road from where I live provides a few percent of the nation's electrical needs without incident, but you don't see The Gruaniad printed stories about that...

      *Though going by your post history I doubt it; humility does not seem to be one of your virtues.

    34. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That analogy is so fucking stupid you ought to be banned from this site.

      A hand crank is a danger to the person using it, and occasionally to bystanders. Nuclear accidents like Chernobyl and Fukushima, as well as the unsolved problem of waste disposal and the ongoing threat of terrorism, can threaten population regions hundreds of miles wide (at least) with cancer-causing contamination for decades. Not to mention a death sentence to many first responders to a nuclear disaster.

      Not saying this means nuclear power should be abandoned, but it comes with extremely serious risks.

    35. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well shit CmdrTaco, why not only permit ASCII only in the name field?

      I've got a pretty good reason why not. How about "CmdrTaco doesn't work at slashdot anymore"?

    36. Re:Lessor of two evils... by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 1

      The Guardian isn't a very good news source for science (nor is any other mainstream newspaper that I know of). However, when even George Monbiot supports nuclear you've got to wonder about who doesn't.

      --
      It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
      Be yourself no matter what they say
    37. Re:Lessor of two evils... by transami · · Score: 0

      Who told you this? The Truth is if we could harness all the sunlight hitting the Earth we would have over 11,000 times the energy needed to power the entire world today. If we put in the effort we could easily harvest .01% of that.

      --
      :T:R:A:N:S:
    38. Re:Lessor of two evils... by mywhitewolf · · Score: 2

      Why are you comparing nuclear energy to a "new" technology? It's been around more than half a century and it's still expensive, filthy and dangerous.

      well, first off, heat engines were around a lot earlier than the internal combustion engine, and we have been turning oils into heat and gas for a lot longer than turning heavy rocks into heat. unless your "new" technology is win turbines or solar power? in which the technology has been available somewhat for the last 100 years?

      secondly, your description of this "new" technology could be applied to any power plant.

      expensive : is a relative term, expensive compared to what? because the biggest cost of nuclear power is in regulation and administrative fees, but cost per fuel weight is very very low.
      filthy : nuclear is a clean power source, so i don't know why you think its filthy? and as the "filth" is so highly concentrated, its a lot easier to manage.
      dangerous : deaths per kw for nuclear in averaged over the last 10 years.. "0", deaths per KW per year for coal? 4000.

    39. Re:Lessor of two evils... by quokkaZ · · Score: 1

      To support what the OP says about the safety of nuclear power, this paper compares the mortality risk from a major radiation accident to that from other environmental factors including air pollution. It concludes that living in the Chernobyl exclusion zone poses a lower mortality risk that does living in the air pollution of central London.

      Are passive smoking, air pollution and obesity a greater mortality risk than major radiation incidents

      A rare nuclear accident is .... an accident. Air pollution is business as usual and it's not going to go away without abandoning fossil fuels.

    40. Re:Lessor of two evils... by GoodNewsJimDotCom · · Score: 1

      What is the Guardian?
      I was saying,"Nuclear Technology is going to keep getting better and safer. So why abandon it now when it only gets better as our science and engineering gets better?"

    41. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      I hope you'll forgive me*

      Of course I forgive you. I'm big that way.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    42. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Captain+Segfault · · Score: 1

      will probably cause the premature deaths of several times that number

      [citation needed]

      (see: guardian.co.uk)

      [lol]

    43. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1, Troll

      Nuclear Technology is going to keep getting better and safer. So why abandon it now when it only gets better as our science and engineering gets better?

      Science and engineering may be "getting better" (debatable) but corporate governance is certainly getting much much worse. As long as private industry is going to be involved in nuclear energy, it's only going to get more dangerous.

      If you want to talk about nationalized nuclear plants, we might come to an accommodation. But privately-owned and operated plants? Never.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    44. Re:Lessor of two evils... by mywhitewolf · · Score: 1

      just because something is radioactive, doesn't make it not "clean".

    45. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Kreigaffe · · Score: 0

      Not even plants can harness 100% of the sunlight hitting the earth -- and they've had millions of years to work on the problem. We're not going to do any better.

      2/3 the planet is covered with water. We just can't ever plan on putting solar over that. Besides, even if we could, the ecological impact would be immeasurable. Other things need that sunlight.

      In time, solar could probably provide a good source of energy. In time. That time is not today. All we're doing now is rushing out tech that is immature -- we are wasting energy on steam-powered cars for the good of horses, and retarding the emergence of more efficient tech, and blowing a ton of energy and money on crap that we'll just have to blow a ton of energy and money replacing sooner rather than later anyway.

      Meanwhile, everyone's upset over nuclear power because they don't like the designs that are 50 years old. If you're going by 5-decade-old tech, cars are a bad idea too. Fortunately, there's more modern designs. Unfortunately, NIMBYs don't really care about that, 'cause like, they know it's baaad, man. Nuclear has to be bad, because there's been, like, 2 or 3 serious nuclear accidents, man!

      DID YOU KNOW.. that with modern reactor designs, Fukushima wouldn't have really had any problems at all? Now you do. That's a fact. Modern designs output less quantity of waste, which is less radioactive, for a order of magnitude less time. Modern designs can continue circulating coolant through the reactor after a loss of power through *the natural convection* of the coolant, or they may have a control rod design which uses the magic of gravity to drop them in place if there is a loss of power. And hey, if it's the former, that naturally convecting coolant can circulate for 2 weeks without power -- and when it starts getting too hot, the increased temperature of the coolant changes it so that it begins to act as a neutron trap. That means it retards fission naturally and without any human intervention!

      Shocking, isn't it? 50 year old designs aren't as good as modern designs. News at 11. Nuclear tech works, it works now, it works better than it ever has before. Solar is not yet ready for prime time. We should not invest in the deployment of immature tech, and especially not when we have good and matured tech that will work. Solar, right now, is supported not for what it can do but for what it represents. That is foolish.

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    46. Re:Lessor of two evils... by scarboni888 · · Score: 2

      There is no single solution to the problem and what often gets left out of the discussion is curbing energy needs so that the false dichotomy of fossil fuels or nuclear appears to be the only choice. Just as no one is addressing the non-renewable aspects of fossil fuels in a serious way (I've only ever heard Buckminster Fuller address it in a realistic fashion) also no one seems to have a real answer in regard to storing the ridiculously long lasting radioactive by-products of energy produced by uranium fission reactors. Oh wait a minute - there was something about thorium reactors and how they are much safer but they don't produce nuclear weapons and I'm not sure what the storage situation is like with those but anyway they seemed to promise a more sane solution and were written off because they're not weaponize-able or something typical like that.

      Also we could leave nuclear waste disposal up to the mafia. Last I heard the rumour was they dumped all kinds of italian-sourced toxic sludge off the coast of somalia.

    47. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm gratified. Almost as gratified as I am for you proving my point about your lack of humility.
      Well done.

    48. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why are you comparing nuclear energy to a "new" technology? It's been around more than half a century and it's still expensive, filthy and dangerous.

      Ironically, cars were expensive, filthy and dangerous at about the same part of their development arc..
      I wonder if Siemens is getting out only of the whole plant delivery business, or is it about to end its component development as well. The latter would mean a loss for the future of any high performance energy source business at Siemens.

    49. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Old+Wolf · · Score: 1

      We do have a pretty high ratio of dammable rivers : population

    50. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      300000t of radioactive waste that needs to be sealed for at least 1000 years is neither clean nor cheap.

    51. Re:Lessor of two evils... by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      Siemens is getting out because nuclear energy has never been profitable without government subsidies and perhaps you haven't noticed, but not that many governments have money to burn ever since the corporations took over.

      Nor has coal, requiring government protections from lawsuits (a subsidy, even if not as easily measured) to remain profitable.

    52. Re:Lessor of two evils... by rossdee · · Score: 1

      "What is the Guardian?"

      In trhe UK it is a national newspaper. I presume this is what the gp is referring to.

      Although for millions of us around the world, The Guardian was Shoghi Effendi Rabbani (1897-1957) head of the Baha'i Faith 1921-1957

    53. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is great news! I am sick of all those entities who will only lease a single evil at a time—so much hassle to get a decent leased-evil base of operation that way.

      BTW, do they offer rent-to-own?

    54. Re:Lessor of two evils... by iggymanz · · Score: 0

      That so-called "spent fuel" isn't spent at all, it's a gold mine of breeding fuel stock. It can be fully "burned" to release many times more energy than has currently been extracted, and then will produce waste that decays in decades. Russia, China, India, South Korea are moving foward with this technology, while the dumb-ass United States sits on the sidelines wringing their hands

    55. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Environmentalists with their fake doom prophecies are why we still burn oil and coal instead of throwing research into nuclear, fusion, and technologies that will pay off. Yes, nuclear needs R&D, but the engine on the Prius could have never been invented had people said "OMG, a series of small explosions happening many times a second? Too dangerous to even contemplate! Lets stick with these horses and buggy whips."

      Had it not been for Carter who killed any chance of nuclear power for decades, we likely would be using oil for making plastics and joking about how wasteful that our fathers used it to power cars.

      As for the Greens in Germany, they managed to do one successful thing -- get Germany's national security subject to the whims of Russia. If the Bear decides to turn off the natural gas, Germans will be freezing to death by the hundreds of thousands.

      Great work, environmentalists. Now go get your check from the Big Oil/Big Coal company and continue your campaign.

    56. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 2

      Same goes for oil, gas, and coal--if it's owned by the people and held in trust by the state, as is typical for minerals and oil, but only a small fraction is charged in royalty to the extractor, that Is also a form of subsidy.

      How does the state decide who gets to be the extractor? If it's auctioned off (which is usually the case for oil), then that indicates that the resource in question is being sold at market rate, hence no subsidy.

    57. Re:Lessor of two evils... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 4, Informative

      Problem is that it takes more energy to produce a solar panel than the panel takes in over its lifetime.

      BULLSHIT

      http://www.ecogeek.org/content/view/794/

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    58. Re:Lessor of two evils... by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      Look up the World Almanac statistics for automobile fatalities in Manhattan from 1908-1912, over 250 people killed by hand cranked automobiles. Consider the total of those caused by civilian nuclear power plant radiation accidents: five. Good thing we no longer have the hand cranked automobiles, more dangerous than a nuke plant by far, eh? Even this year a guy was run over by a Model T at a car show, those killer hand-cranked machines still slaughtering.

    59. Re:Lessor of two evils... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      The thing is, there are Environmentalists and then there are "Environmentalists"...

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    60. Re:Lessor of two evils... by mad+flyer · · Score: 1

      Just the few first line:

      >>With the situation at the stricken reactors of Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant now relatively stable,

      Nope... sorry... 3 reactor are basically in unknown state of china syndrome. There is just no way to know how bad it really is.

      People touting the "no direct death" or "less death than coal" are just delusionnal cherry picking stats in the timespan of their coice, ignoring most of the collateral damage or just plain window licking morons... It's the same as the chernobyl death toll... Only the first repsonder death are considered most of the time, abotrion, malformation, people developping cancer are ignored for propaganda purpose. The same bull goes on with Fukushima except... for one HUGE difference. You can spot the idiots by their statement on the death toll number for 2 reasons... 1 it aint absolutely not over yet, 2 unlike plane crash, most death are much slower... /Live bit far from Fukushima but can reach by train //Sick and tired of the arrogance of Jgov and random pro nukes moron telling from the other side of the planet that all is safe (nimby is that you ?)

    61. Re:Lessor of two evils... by The+Second+Horseman · · Score: 1

      They're going to be owned by the Russians in no time.

    62. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure. and if we randomly selected 9 in 10 people to put to death, we could reduce pollution, non-renewable resource consumption, and greatly reduce human civilization's energy needs all in one fell swoop!

      I mean, yeah, its not practical, but apparently we don't care about practicality today. Just what is mathematically possible.

    63. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Plus, the level 7 Fukushima disaster that forced 80,000 people from their homes and will probably cause the premature deaths of several times that number (see: guardian.co.uk) was not really great advertisement for the failed experiment that was energy from nuclear fission.

      "Level 7" "disaster" is meaningless. Here, it just means that a lot of people were inconvenienced and some long term remediation has to occur.

      There are two things to note. First, Fukushima is at the same "level" as a nuclear accident which melts the entire Western hemisphere. One should wonder why the nuclear industry has a scale where the top rung of the scale covers such a vast range of accidents.

      Second, Fukushima wasn't a disaster in any sense. There's only been as I understand a few deaths tied to the accident. These come from either drowning during the flooding by the tsunami or industrial accidents afterwards. No deaths due to radioactivity occurred. Similarly, there's no evidence that the general population of Japan or any other country has been exposed to significant radioactivity. You would need that first, before they could die in any number from radiation poisoning or other adverse effects.

    64. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can you even imagine your hometown becoming uninhabitable?
      There are risks that are known which you can try to mitigate, and risks that aren't known.
      And in both cases *you* are choosing those risk on behalf of yourself and *many* future generations.

      And you're putting immense trust in companies and governments where greed and short-term thinking have shown more influence over science and truth over and over and over again.

      This is arrogant and foolhardy, and ultimately just selfish.

    65. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 2

      Science and engineering may be "getting better" (debatable) but corporate governance is certainly getting much much worse. As long as private industry is going to be involved in nuclear energy, it's only going to get more dangerous.

      There's an existing solution to the problem. If businesses are really getting more haphazard and dangerous, then enforce the regulation on the books. It's not complicated or a deep mystery.

      As to nationalized plants, they have a habit of cutting corners and waiving regulations. That's what happens when the same entity is responsible for operating the plant and vetting the safety and reliability of the plant.

      For example, there was a vast cleanup problem in the wake of the US nuclear program. Russia, Britain, and France all have similar problems with their military-side nuclear programs.

      It makes no sense to hand over private nuclear power to the very entity which is failing hard at enforcing existing regulation.

    66. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      uhhh.. no.

    67. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Here, it just means that a lot of people were inconvenienced and some long term remediation has to occur.

      Just so. As I said, negative advertising. Bad public relations.

      I'm sure you know as well as I do that perception trumps reality every time.

      No deaths due to radioactivity occurred.

      I don't believe you can say that with any real confidence. It took 25 years for the radiation from that Antarctica plant to kill people horribly. But it's the fear of that which will drive perception.

      The people who are pushing nuclear energy always talk about how the science and engineering is getting better. If that's the case, I vote we work toward a source of energy that won't require a heavily centralized corporate structure to control it. Let's skip the flawed fission energy. It's only a temporary solution in any case.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    68. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Nor has coal, requiring government protections from lawsuits (a subsidy, even if not as easily measured) to remain profitable.

      I agree absolutely. Coal is worse than fission.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    69. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Problem is that it takes more energy to produce a solar panel than the panel takes in over its lifetime.

      Hasn't been true for at least a couple of decades.

    70. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      If businesses are really getting more haphazard and dangerous, then enforce the regulation on the books. It's not complicated or a deep mystery.

      Impossible. As long as you put something as important as energy into the centralized hands of a few corporations, they are going to exert outsized influence on governments so that meaningful regulation never happens.

      Those corporations prefer byzantine, ineffective regulation which make it look like the government is being horribly hard on them, when in fact those regulations do little but cost the corporations chump change.

      Production of energy has to come out of the hands of private industry.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    71. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Just so. As I said, negative advertising. Bad public relations.

      I'm sure you know as well as I do that perception trumps reality every time.

      Wait, so your claim that Fukushima "will probably cause the premature deaths of several times that number" is just "negative advertising" or "bad public relations"?

    72. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Pseudonym+Authority · · Score: 1

      I realize, but he was in charge for about 10 years and it was his decision to keep it that way. This subject has been brought up repeatedly over several years. Also, I had to name someone and I don't know who else maintains the code.

    73. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bravo,

      I happen to be an engineer who works for a solar PV manufacturer. Myself and a couple of other engineers have looked at the numbers, and we realize our industry is a joke just waiting for the audience to laugh.

      No significant solar installation happens without serious government subsidies.

      Even if the panels were free, the cost per watt of the installation, batteries (you want power at night, right?) charge controllers and inverters makes it more expensive than buying a diesel generator and 10 years worth of Diesel fuel. Solar never reaches cost parity with coal or nuclear in the foreseeable future.

      Lastly, even if we did want to switch over to solar, it would take the entire world's production of solar panels for the next six hundred years to have enough panes just to power Los Angeles - and that's only during the day.

      This solar power engineer would like to say -- Let's get serious about Nuclear, now.
      (Just don't tell my boss.)

    74. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 2

      Impossible. As long as you put something as important as energy into the centralized hands of a few corporations, they are going to exert outsized influence on governments so that meaningful regulation never happens.

      Then do the "impossible". Also put in heavy penalties, such as jail time and huge fines, for those who would attempt to exert "outsized influence". As I said, the solution already exists. It's dumb to pretend that we're too helpless to implement it.

    75. Re:Lessor of two evils... by DemoLiter3 · · Score: 1

      Sadly, it's already in preparation, too. Russian Gazprom is actively looking into buying Germany's stricken electricity producers, so they can start directly selling electricity from gas.

    76. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PixetaledPikachu · · Score: 1

      In a related question, why does anyone still do this? As far as I know, all the modern browsers have spell check built in and I can't think of any other reasons off the top of my head.

      Spellcheck? yes Grammar correction? No

    77. Re:Lessor of two evils... by hairyfeet · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Riiight. You DO realize that everything he said is actually true, yes? That at our current rate of growth the ONLY choices are nuke, coal, and oil, yes? Because the only other choice is to lock ourselves into a level being used currently and refuse to add capacity. Then we can enjoy rolling black outs, perhaps weeks at a time with no power at all as the strain blows out parts of the grid, or maybe you'd prefer tossing our PCs and ACs and going back to ice boxes and a big fan to cool the whole house?

      Like it or not folks renewables simply don't scale up to the levels we are talking about, not without MASSIVE losses of land which with a growing population isn't really doable. Think the government is in your business now? How about if your wife has to piss in a cup monthly to make sure she is taking her pill as we put a Chinese style one child per couple rule in place?

      Solar? Uses massive amounts of land and the best ones, which cost a ton of money BTW, are looking at more fossil fuels to make them than you get back out in energy and are tops 20% efficient. Wind? doesn't blow all the time and certainly won't ramp up between 3PM-7PM when everyone gets home and turns their devices on. Geothermal? earthquakes. Wave tech? See wind.

      Its not like we have a choice here folks, and if the NIMBYs would quit acting like asses, which BTW I propose any NIMBY that blocks power creation? should be forced to be self sustaining. No power plant? Then no power FOR YOU. I bet that would make them STFU real quick. On the flip side i propose the owner of the plant has to live within 4 miles of the plant WITH his/her family, give them a reason not to skimp on safety huh? But with the new designs nuke can be a hell of a lot safer, cleaner than coal and oil, and can ramp up with need. Hell with the thorium design we could even get rid of transfer losses by building a mini reactor in each city above a certain size instead of running juice halfway across the countryside!

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    78. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not generally advocating smacking sense into people, but a Chernobyl liquidation survivor needs to smack you across your lying face.

    79. Re:Lessor of two evils... by arose · · Score: 1

      Nature doesn't give a shit about huge cancer rates, you probably would.

      --
      Analogies don't equal equalities, they are merely somewhat analogous.
    80. Re:Lessor of two evils... by ozmanjusri · · Score: 1

      Ironically, cars were expensive, filthy and dangerous at about the same part of their development arc..

      They still are.

      It's about as ironic as rain on your wedding day.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    81. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Shihar · · Score: 1

      The reason why the regulations are "expensive" is because when a nuke plant fails, it kills thousands and/or leaves huge swaths of nations uninhabitable. Regulation IS a part of the cost of running a nuclear power plant.

      The problem with a nuclear power plant is that while its failure mode is relatively rare, it fails in such a way that it becomes one of the worst flavors of industrial accident in existence. So, you are sitting there struggling to prevent an extremely rare failure that pretty much always happens in a way you didn't previously predict. You need to run around nailing down every one in a billion chance or coincidence that could possibly lead to failure. Your task is basically impossible, but you need to do your best anyways. So, you need regulate the hell out of that process. Not only that, but you need to police it like a Nazi or else all your regulations are for naught when some asshole decides to try and save a few bucks or gets lazy. Even then, there is not such thing as fool proof. Ram a 747 into a nuclear reactor, blow up a bomb, get whacked by an act of god, or suffer a series of highly improbably coincidences that result in a failure no one could have seen coming, it all comes down to the same thing. If you have a world covered in nuclear reactors, sometimes they are going to blow. Humans just can't make unsinkable anything.

      Personally, I don't think that nukes can survive. The problem is pretty basic. The cost of running a nuclear reactor is the cost of building it, running it in a highly regulated manner, disposing of waste, shutting the thing down and cleaning it up, and finally providing insurance against the rare possibility that it blows and renders a few hundred miles of land the nuclear power plant company doesn't own uninhabitable. My tax money shouldn't be underwriting all of the above because it is the cost of doing business. If it doesn't make any financial sense, it shouldn't get built. No nuclear power plant should EVER be built within spitting distance of New York City, because anyone who claims to have bought the insurance against NYC landing in a fallout zone is full of shit.

      I'm not completely against nuclear power plants, but I am utterly against using tax money to pay for running those things safely, disposing of the waste, and insuring against their failure. Frankly, I don't think that nuclear power plants can exist in a world where they actually have to pay the cost of all of their externalities.

    82. Re:Lessor of two evils... by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      Uh yes. The potential for currently economically accessible Wind power alone is five times the total energy currently used by mankind. At large scale, with intercontinental long distance DC power transmission variability problems reduce; at the same time simple storage solutions such as splitting water into hydrogen and oxygen will become possible. Solar power comes out similarly with solutions like molten salt providing a nice stable base-load type of power. If we invested something close to the amount we invest in Nuclear, many energy problems could probably go away.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    83. Re:Lessor of two evils... by hedwards · · Score: 1

      No, the reason why we're still burning coal and oil is because there's a lot of people out there that stubbornly refuse to contribute to finding an answer. Both oil and coal receive huge subsidies. And really we were on the right path to getting off oil in the late 70s, but stumbled when gas prices became affordable again.

      Blaming it on the environmentalists is just a cop out for the fact that there are a lot of people out there that are too short sighted to see where things are headed if we don't change.

    84. Re:Lessor of two evils... by BeaverCleaver · · Score: 1

      the radiation from what antarctica plant?

    85. Re:Lessor of two evils... by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2

      Its not like we have a choice here folks, and if the NIMBYs would quit acting like asses, which BTW I propose any NIMBY that blocks power creation?

      It's not NIMBYs that get in the way of nuclear power, it's bankers.

      The financial industry understands that constructing new reactors is not a good investment, which is why they charge a premium for loans. In the US, Congress uses public money to pay that bill (and further subsidies at the rate of 1.8 cents per KW-Hr for the first 3 years of operation), otherwise nobody would bother building them.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    86. Re:Lessor of two evils... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The same applies to Pacific Northwest in both US and Canada.

      Unfortunately, there's not enough space for us all to live there . Consider yourself lucky that your country has this resource, and doesn't have to choose between coal, nuclear, and the insanely expensive non-hydro renewables.

    87. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is hydro maxed out? I would think that Germany is in quite a good place to make more use of renewables than most places given how many mountainous regions it has. Plenty of high altitude lakes to pump water up to when the sun is out or wind is blowing.

      Am a big fan of nuclear, but it is expensive and if they can generate what they need with renewables then it makes sense to go that route.

    88. Re:Lessor of two evils... by mwvdlee · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Ctrl+A, Ctrl+C. Accidentally change page? Return to the page and Ctrl+V.
      Though if you accidentally change pages, your own comment didn't have your attention; why should we give it any attention? ;)

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    89. Re:Lessor of two evils... by kheldan · · Score: 2

      Slashdot doesn't support Unicode because they don't want the script-kiddie crowd screwing up the way pages display because some fucktard put strange Unicode characters in their post that makes the whole page print everything backwards and stuff like that, that's why.

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    90. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are expensive, inefficient and their output is very variable

      This information is based on which sources ?

    91. Re:Lessor of two evils... by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      Spellcheck? yes Grammar correction? No

      What about punctuation?

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    92. Re:Lessor of two evils... by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      I'm used to using emacs shortcuts, and ctrl-w doesn't generate any warnings before it closes the tab (well, not on FF 3.6.17, anyway)

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    93. Re:Lessor of two evils... by xenobyte · · Score: 1

      Not correct.

      I know that you can combine wind, solar and so on, but claiming that wind can do it alone is plain wrong. Well, if you put gigantic windmills all over the place, including in the streets in major cities and in all the agricultural fields, you might just get near, but the demand rises and will rise a lot more as the third world gets civilized, and then it's not enough. Now, assuming that the mills don't get significantly for effective or more quiet, and that we still need to eat, we can start removing possible locations. So no mills in the cities and in the densely farmed areas. Mills can be placed along the coasts, not too close (noise, visual pollution) and not too far out (too deep, too severe weather) and in desolate places, but that's about it. That amount of mills cannot deliver anywhere near a significant contribution to the 'energy pool' so they can help, but not do it on their own.

      The best prospect when it comes to renewable energy is geothermal. Not the old form as used on Iceland and similar where hot water from the underground is used directly, but a newer variation where the temperature differential between the surface and several miles down is used. It can be used almost everywhere, not just in hot spots. It is still in the development stages but the potential is gigantic. The power is unlimited (the core heat comes from long term radioactive decay and geological stresses from the tidal effect) and so abundant that even if we globally use a million times what we do know, the effect on the core heat would still be unmeasurable. The plants generate no noise or vibration when the deep drilling is done, and pose no danger of any kind when running. There's no waste, no major traffic and the plants can even be placed underground and thus inside major cities if needed. The output is continuous and unaffected by weather (wind and solar are greatly affected by weather) and thus reliable. Oh, and it produces no CO2 is case you care about that.

      --
      "For every complex problem, there is a solution that is simple, neat, and wrong." -- H.L. Mencken (1880-1956) --
    94. Re:Lessor of two evils... by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      Not even plants can harness 100% of the sunlight hitting the earth -- and they've had millions of years to work on the problem. We're not going to do any better.

      2/3 the planet is covered with water. We just can't ever plan on putting solar over that. Besides, even if we could, the ecological impact would be immeasurable. Other things need that sunlight.

      He said 11,000 times. Now, if we assume plant level efficiency; 11% (that's of total light); and we take your 2/3 we get that there is 806 times as much energy than we need. We would need less than a fifth of a percent of the available land area.

      We should note that the grandparent's number seems to be too low by a factor of 50 based on the statement "In 2002, this was more energy in one hour than the world used in one year" which I found in the literature via Wikipedia, but would include also energy that is absorbed before it reaches the surface. He's too low by a factor 25 even if we only take surface incident energy,

      In time, solar could probably provide a good source of energy. In time. That time is not today. All we're doing now is rushing out tech that is immature -- we are wasting energy on steam-powered cars for the good of horses, and retarding the emergence of more efficient tech, and blowing a ton of energy and money on crap that we'll just have to blow a ton of energy and money replacing sooner rather than later anyway.

      Full scale concentrated solar plants have now been built that are cost effective and efficient. Concentrated solar power with molten salt storage is already at a level of efficiency and usefulness that the Germans should be plastering the countries south of them; especially the large areas of desert in Northern Africa, with such plants. This is the obvious point to start buying up land in Greece in order to a) stabilize their government and b) get plenty of land for solar plants. This would be the ideal moment for such investment to make a real difference to the Environment of Europe, the economics of Northern Africa and Southern Europe. Have a look at the long term effect on the Dutch economy of their infrastructure investments of the 20th century.

      Meanwhile, everyone's upset over nuclear power because they don't like the designs that are 50 years old. If you're going by 5-decade-old tech, cars are a bad idea too. Fortunately, there's more modern designs. Unfortunately, NIMBYs don't really care about that, 'cause like, they know it's baaad, man. Nuclear has to be bad, because there's been, like, 2 or 3 serious nuclear accidents, man!

      Guess what; in 50 years time the current designs will also be 50 year old designs. The problem is not the engineering; the problem is that the engineers are under pressure to lie and have been shown to do so. Now I don't want to call for a total worldwide stop. Certainly a few large scale modern reactors should be operated on an experimental basis, but we need them to be run by people who have been shown to be seriously trustworthy and without serious budget pressures.

      DID YOU KNOW.. that with modern reactor designs, Fukushima wouldn't have really had any problems at all? Now you do. That's a fact. Modern designs output less quantity of waste, which is less radioactive, for a order of magnitude less time. Modern designs can continue circulating coolant through the reactor after a loss of power through *the natural convection* of the coolant, or they may have a control rod design which uses the magic of gravity to drop them in place if there is a loss of power. And hey, if it's the former, that naturally convecting coolant can circulate for 2 weeks without power -- and when it starts getting too hot, the increased temperature of the coolant changes it so that it begins to act as a neutron trap. That means it retards fission naturally and without any human intervention!

      How do you know when a Nuclear apologist is l

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    95. Re:Lessor of two evils... by justforgetme · · Score: 1

      Though if you accidentally change pages, your own comment didn't have your attention; why should we give it any attention? ;)

      Why isn't this post a +5 insightfull?

      --
      -- no sig today
    96. Re:Lessor of two evils... by justforgetme · · Score: 1

      you know what is worse than that?
      having a CEO called Löscher (german for eraser) :-)

      --
      -- no sig today
    97. Re:Lessor of two evils... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Yup, that's irritating. With the old comment system, I'd create a new tab to enter replies in. If I tried to close it, my browser would warn me. Now, I can accidentally hit cancel while typing a post and the entire text is gone.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    98. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      They are expensive, inefficient and their output is very variable, but they are certainly capable of producing 100% or the energy the world uses right now.

      None of what you wrote is really true.
      Expensive, in comparision to what? More expensive than coal right now? Yes. More expensive than an old existing nuclear plant, yes. More expensive than buidling a new nuclear plant? Certainly NOT.
      Inefficient? In comparision to what? A coal plant has an electric efficiency of roughly 42%. If the heat is used for chemical processing or house heating, the best plants have an efficiency of 65%-85% (That means, unlike a "normal" plant they don't put 58% of their heat to "no use" but sell it as steam to the industries or households). For a nuclear plant we have exactly the same situation: efficiency is 42%. So in other words 58% of the heat is wasted, or 58% of the fuel. How ever you wand to take it.

      So, what exactly makes a solar plant less efficient than a nuclear plant? Or what makes a hydro plant less efficient? Or what makes a wind plant less effcient? Do you realize the term "efficient" makes absolutely no sense in regard to those renewable plants?
      After all you don't even need fuel for them!
      They are 100% efficient by default. Now you can start claiming that a PV cell does not convert 100% of the sunlight to power. But, that is a missleading claim. PV cells are designed to capture a certain wavelength, and that they do with nearly 100% efficiency.
      Windmills are designed to operate in a certain range of wind speeds. And that they confert to nearly 100% into electric power (roughly 95%).
      Hydro electric plants are designed to operate at a certain level of water speed (either flowing along a river, or through a pipe at a dam) and again: they are nearly 100% efficient. Even a pumped storage hydro plant has an efficiency of over 85%

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    99. Re:Lessor of two evils... by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      Simply the truth, folks.

      But is this really the truth or just wishful, shadenfreude thinking? Honest question, would appreciate a sincere answer.

    100. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Shalcker · · Score: 1

      We, Russian People, welcome efforts of our German comrades to support our gas industry, as well as refusing to compete on Nuclear Plant Building business, which we also provide!

    101. Re:Lessor of two evils... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I suspect that this would not be the case if everyone moved to New Zealand...

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      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    102. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Mindflux0 · · Score: 1

      There are two things to note. First, Fukushima is at the same "level" as a nuclear accident which melts the entire Western hemisphere. One should wonder why the nuclear industry has a scale where the top rung of the scale covers such a vast range of accidents.

      You could say that for basically any accident scale. Whatever the last level is in any accident scale is going to include "melts entire hemisphere" because that's going to be so far beyond any expected disaster that they wouldn't make a category for it.
      In this case the level 7 rating is significant because the accident passed the most extreme level they had previously designated on the scale. That alone says something. Maybe they should have had some higher numbers in that scale. Seems pretty obvious that they should really. It's also pretty obvious why they wouldn't do that - once the disasters start getting worse than this they're really bad. Don't want to advertise that.

      Second, Fukushima wasn't a disaster in any sense. There's only been as I understand a few deaths tied to the accident.

      Ok... tell that to all of the people who've been forced from their hometowns for the better part of a year (and likely a lot longer). Then tell it to all the farmers who had to destroy all their crops and animals because they were irradiated. Then tell it to Tepco which is expected to be to be liable for many billions of dollars in damages.

      What's your tipping point for calling something a disaster? Plague? Holocaust?

      Meanwhile, I completely support nuclear power. This was a disaster but one that we can learn from. As a lot of people have been pointing out, when nuclear goes bad it goes really bad. That's a good reason to be extra careful and not a good reason to give up. Planes work under similar conditions. Should we give up on planes?

    103. Re:Lessor of two evils... by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Seems that Germany thinks is possible to cover more than 1/3 of its energy needs from renewables, in only 8 years from now.

      So let's hope it gets the remaining 2/3rds from French nuclear plants, rather than the coal plants it's currently building.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    104. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      So no mills in the cities and in the densely farmed areas.

      Of course Wind Mills are in the heavy farmed areas. After all each mill only needs a small percentage of a field, has free wind, no trees, can easily be served and maintained etc.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    105. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      OK, hydroelectric will save us all. OK, that's maxed out already.

      Hydro power is by far _not_ maxed out.

      Only the options for huge dams are now limited. But along rivers you can place flow plants, which right now are only utilizing perhaps 1% of the available river length.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    106. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I always wonder, how one can make such emotional strong comments, completely confident that every claim is right, but in truth is completely wrong?
      Did you ever look at wind map of the USA? If you would tap 1% of the areas with high wind yield you could power whole north america from it.
      Claiming sun only has 20% efficiency clearly shows that you don't even know what "efficiency" means.
      Or that is needs "the best land available" ... I was not aware that the deserts and prairies in the uSA are considered "the best land".

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    107. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Talking about Fukushima, let's try to be more factual: the expected death toll is less than you'd expect from a major bus accident. So far we know of no deaths related to Fukushima.

      Well then I guess Seimens must have done the sums and found that Nuclear power just isn't a cost effective way to produce energy. Don't worry though, I'm certain they will invest that same money in a more reliable means of producing power, like wind or solar.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    108. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I use IE 8 from work. Which has no spell checker built in or has it deactivated and the menu to activate it is configured away or something ...

      On my Mac every text input field has spell checking in 2 languages activated (except for Chrome, Chrome seems not to be able to hande the fact that I have 2 languages active)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    109. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "Windmills are designed to operate in a certain range of wind speeds. And that they confert to nearly 100% into electric power"

      100% of nothing is still fucking nothing if there's no wind blowing! And what do you supplant it with then? Solar power? What if its cloudy or at night? Get real.

    110. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not going to happen... I'm going through the emigration process now, it's intense and detailed - I've even had my scrotum felt up during a medical - THIS ALONE would stop 90% of men emigrating to NZ (but not me, I liked it).

    111. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 2

      Hi there. If you covered 2% of the uninhabited portions of the Sahara with solar PV, you could supply all of the world's energy requirements. Before responding, hairyfeet, stop and think about what that implies.

    112. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      There is always wind ... somewhere.
      And there indeed exist places where wind is all the time.
      And finally we live in an international supergrid. Somewhere is always enough energy produced.
      Solar power will be mainly heat based with salt storages, so they work at night and undre clouds as well.
      You are the one that should get real and get its head out of its arese and actully update your half a century old "half" knowledge.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    113. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      Yawn. Solar power is a mature technology. Wind as well. Both are cheaper than nuclear. Next!

    114. Re:Lessor of two evils... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      They are looking to solar thermal for large scale generation because unlike PV it works at night and on very dull days. The EU is trying to build solar thermal plants in northern Africa, and you can bet that Libya will be getting some in the next decade. There is more solar energy than Europe could ever need in just 1% of north Africa.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    115. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      There's an existing solution to the problem. If businesses are really getting more haphazard and dangerous, then enforce the regulation on the books. It's not complicated or a deep mystery.

      Apart from our previous interactions, I think this statement illustrates your naivety is exceeding your understanding of reality. You will have to work harder to correct this

      As to nationalized plants, they have a habit of cutting corners and waiving regulations. That's what happens when the same entity is responsible for operating the plant and vetting the safety and reliability of the plant.

      You mean the same way the regulations were bypassed by a private organisation at Fukushima, we've gone over it in the past

      For example, there was a vast cleanup problem in the wake of the US nuclear program. Russia, Britain, and France all have similar problems with their military-side nuclear programs

      Nice to see you're finally reading some of the links I sent you.

      It makes no sense to hand over private nuclear power to the very entity which is failing hard at enforcing existing regulation.

      Fortunately private organisations are realizing that it's just not economically viable and when democracies are allowed to speak on the subject, like Italy did, we see that Nuclear power doesn't have much support because the available evidence shows that it is unsafe. But until the Nulcear industry is wound down you can be comforted by knowing that Seimens funding for Nuclear will probably go to make Solar and Wind power more economically viable.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    116. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      at commercial scale it's at or near $1.20/watt.

      Is that installed cost or just the cost of the panels at the factory gate?

      Bear in mind also that in a lot of the world, load factors for solar PV are extremely low - well under 20%, perhaps nearer 10% for northern Europe.

    117. Re:Lessor of two evils... by foniksonik · · Score: 1

      Earthquakes happen, tsunamis happen. That they happened to a facility built ~30 years ago with a faulty design (it required an operational pump to maintain cooling, bad design) - that can be avoided.

      The fact that humanity still has aging nuclear facilities is a result of your kind of fearmongering. We work with more dangerous substances on a daily basis than you may imagine. Radioactive fallout is certainly one of the worst potential long term problems as compared to chemical spills, weaponized biotics, etc. yet it's death toll is minor. An airplane crash kills more.

      It's unfortunate that we've seen another setback to ubiquitous nuclear power - one that could have been avoided.

      --
      A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
    118. Re:Lessor of two evils... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      China: Villagers protest at Zhejiang solar panel plant

      They objected to the pollution from the factory. What does that have to do with solar? Plenty of other factories around the world produce PV panels without much pollution, and besides which the focus is on large scale solar thermal now anyway.

      Oh wait, wind will save us all, provided it doesn't get too hot or cold or windy or calm. That gets wind power 30% efficiency.

      A lot of people don't seem to understand that power generated is not directly proportional to wind speed. The blades adjust themselves to rotate at a constant speed, and work right down to very low amounts wind.

      Just like nuclear, coal and gas you need some extra capacity in the system to cover occasional down-time at one or more plants. Japan has just lifted its energy rationing, despite 90% of its reactors still being offline.

      OK, hydroelectric will save us all. OK, that's maxed out already.

      If you hadn't noticed there are vast unused areas of sea just off the coast.

      Fraking and ground water pollution is the reality while the "environmentalists" bitch and moan over nuclear.

      And cheap renewable and clean energy is the reality while the "pro nuclear" lobby bitch and moan over renewables.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    119. Re:Lessor of two evils... by ultranova · · Score: 1

      The people who are pushing nuclear energy always talk about how the science and engineering is getting better. If that's the case, I vote we work toward a source of energy that won't require a heavily centralized corporate structure to control it.

      Please be more specific: what energy source are you referring to? Because that step seems to be omitted from most "let's skip nuclear" -plans; they vaguely reference "renewables" without bothering to specify what to build, where, and how do you solve the associated logistical problems: energy transfer, energy storage, and the sheer amount of industrial output that needs to be devoted to building and maintaining thousands upon thousands of low-power windmills, solar power plants, etc.

      Let's skip the flawed fission energy. It's only a temporary solution in any case.

      There are no permanent solutions in an ever-changing world. Nor are there no flawless solutions in an imperfect world. And Earth is both.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    120. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Inda · · Score: 1

      CmdrTaco doesn't live here anymore.

      --
      This post contains benzene, nitrosamines, formaldehyde and hydrogen cyanide.
    121. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Then do the "impossible".

      While we're doing the impossible, lets just have an energy system that does not require centralized corporate control, OK?

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    122. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      the radiation from what antarctica plant?

      McMurdo

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    123. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      You could say that for basically any accident scale.

      No, that's incorrect. For example, earthquake magnitude is open-ended. Similarly, the area affected by a wildfire. Other metrices such as deaths from the disaster (which in the case of Fukushima is something like half a dozen or less).

      Ok... tell that to all of the people who've been forced from their hometowns for the better part of a year (and likely a lot longer). Then tell it to all the farmers who had to destroy all their crops and animals because they were irradiated. Then tell it to Tepco which is expected to be to be liable for many billions of dollars in damages.

      So what? A bad car accident can be a disaster for me without being a disaster for society. Also, a bad leak at a chemical plant can do what you describe above, and they don't usually call those "disasters".

      Then we look at what's being evacuated. It's land that's already been devastated by one of the largest earthquakes of modern time and a big tsunami. That's the real disaster. I think the burden on the evacuees is less than you realize.

    124. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Apart from our previous interactions, I think this statement illustrates your naivety is exceeding your understanding of reality. You will have to work harder to correct this

      It's amazing how people fail to follow their own advice. As I pointed out, if the problem is poor regulation of nuclear power, then fix the fucking problem. Don't waste my time talking about how naive I supposedly am. I have no patience with people who can't be bothered to go past step one like Poperatzo and unilaterally declare the problem "impossible".

      Fortunately private organisations are realizing that it's just not economically viable and when democracies are allowed to speak on the subject, like Italy did, we see that Nuclear power doesn't have much support because the available evidence shows that it is unsafe. But until the Nulcear industry is wound down you can be comforted by knowing that Seimens funding for Nuclear will probably go to make Solar and Wind power more economically viable.

      So what? This just indicates a problem with some democracies not with nuclear technology. If you're able to shut down nuclear because it's unpopular, then you can shut down anything that becomes unpopular. A society should have safeguards against that. For example, the US has its Constitution which prohibits a number of ways for a majority to shut down the work of a minority.

    125. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "And finally we live in an international supergrid."

      Ever heard of transmission losses? And who is going to pay to build pylons to ship power potentially thousands of miles?

      "Somewhere is always enough energy produced"

      What a load of hand waving crap. The details matter.

      "Solar power will be mainly heat based with salt storages, so they work at night and undre clouds as well."

      Really? So you think for example the UK with its notoriously cloudy weather and low sun and still air in the winter would be able to produce enough power for 60m people using wind and solar? Perhaps you think the entire english channel should be full of windmills since thats pretty much the number you'd need. You ever looked at how many wind turbines are required to substitude just for a SINGLE large 1GW nuclear plant? Let me help you out - the largest turbines are about 5MW. Realistically about 1 or 2. So you're looking at about 500 to 1000 of the things. The UK uses about 50GW of power give or take. So that would be 25 to 50,000 large wind turbines. Care to tell us where they're going to go? And where the cells for the solar backup will go when there's hardly enough land to build houses?

      "You are the one that should get real and get its head out of its arese"

      Sorry pal , you're just another hippie living on a cloud who doesn't want awkward real world details to get in the way of your idea of nirvana.

    126. Re:Lessor of two evils... by CubicleView · · Score: 1

      You seem to be a little biased. You touch roughly upon the current limitations of renewables (yes there are many) ignoring the fact that they're become more viable with every passing year, yet you're happy to prattle on about mini thorium reactors for every city as though they're the most trival thing in the world. You also seem to think that energy consumtion will increase forever and at the current rate, so renewables can never fill the gap. In your universe we'll eventually need some sort of planet sized heat pump to get rid of all the waste heat we generate. I happen to agree that nuclear is the way to go in the short term (relatively speaking) but renewables have to be the end game play.

    127. Re:Lessor of two evils... by CheerfulMacFanboy · · Score: 1

      Slashdot doesn't support Unicode because they don't want the script-kiddie crowd screwing up the way pages display because some fucktard put strange Unicode characters in their post that makes the whole page print everything backwards and stuff like that, that's why.

      So use a white-list.

      --
      Fandroids hate facts.
    128. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      ... Fukushima is at the same "level" as a nuclear accident which melts the entire Western hemisphere. One should wonder why the nuclear industry has a scale where the top rung of the scale covers such a vast range of accidents.

      How about classifying radiological incidents (note I didn't use the word 'accident') like this:

      Rating = log(number_dead + 1) + 0.1 * log((number_relocated * km2_polluted * yrs_polluted) + 1)

      This yields

      Fatalities Relocated area time rating
      0 80000 2827.4 km2 20 y 0.97 Fukushima
      64 350400 2827.4 km2 100 y 2.91 Chernobyl initial deaths
      4000 350400 2827.4 km2 100 y 4.70 Chernobyl lowest deaths
      60000 350400 2827.4 km2 100 y 5.88 Chernobyl middle deaths
      985000 350400 2827.4 km2 100 y 7.09 Chernobyl highest deaths
      7e9 0 0 0 9.85 Whole world killed
      0 7e9 5.1e8 100k 2.46 evacuate the whole planet

      Slashdot claims I'm using too many junk characters. Why is that?

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    129. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      "And finally we live in an international supergrid."

      Ever heard of transmission losses? And who is going to pay to build pylons to ship power potentially thousands of miles?

      Yes, I have. And I know how "small" they are, do you?

      "Somewhere is always enough energy produced"

      What a load of hand waving crap. The details matter.

      No, it is not. Because that is exactly how the grid works today. What do you think how germany is selling 30% of its power production to other european countries?

      "Solar power will be mainly heat based with salt storages, so they work at night and undre clouds as well."

      Really? So you think for example the UK with its notoriously cloudy weather and low sun and still air in the winter would be able to produce enough power for 60m people using wind and solar?

      Of course it is possible, the question is if it makes economically sense. For germany it perhaps did, for UK I don't know.

      Perhaps you think the entire english channel should be full of windmills since thats pretty much the number you'd need. You ever looked at how many wind turbines are required to substitude just for a SINGLE large 1GW nuclear plant? Let me help you out - the largest turbines are about 5MW. Realistically about 1 or 2. So you're looking at about 500 to 1000 of the things. The UK uses about 50GW of power give or take. So that would be 25 to 50,000 large wind turbines. Care to tell us where they're going to go? And where the cells for the solar backup will go when there's hardly enough land to build houses?

      Last time I checked countries like Wales and particular interesting Schottland also belonged to the UK.

      "You are the one that should get real and get its head out of its arese"

      Sorry pal , you're just another hippie living on a cloud who doesn't want awkward real world details to get in the way of your idea of nirvana.

      As I said, your facts and ideas are outdated since decades ;D
      Germany already produces roughly 25GW wind power. With peak power around 100GW (September 2009), meanwhile we have a few more GW installed, so peak power might be much higher now). Your "realisticly" about 1 or 2 is wrong. A turbine rated 5MW or 6MW is yielding under "normal" conditions 5MW - 6MW and not 1MW - 2MW, and on peak about 25MW to 35MW.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    130. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      While we're doing the impossible, lets just have an energy system that does not require centralized corporate control, OK?

      I don't understand your emphasis on this point. Even for nuclear power, one can't pack all of a major country's power generation needs into a single plant. There'd be no way to cool it, except perhaps if it were completely submersed in a deep ocean current. Even in Japan, nuclear power generation is spread out over the various islands and managed by several different providers.

      Yet at the same time, we do have a need for power generation which has a relatively small footprint. A considerable portion of demand is concentrated in cities and in industrial sites. Power generation close to these areas will be much more efficient than a distributed power system spread out over a large area.

      So there is demand for base load power of the sort provided by nuclear power.

    131. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1
      This looks reasonable. I'd measure the number of people and land evacuated in man-years and square km-years respectively since some regions will be abandoned longer than others. And scaling of the terms might be adjusted a little to taste.

      Slashdot claims I'm using too many junk characters. Why is that?

      Bad coding in response to troll posting.

    132. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Impossible. As long as you put something as important as energy into the centralized hands of a few corporations, they are going to exert outsized influence on governments so that meaningful regulation never happens.

      Then do the "impossible". Also put in heavy penalties, such as jail time and huge fines, for those who would attempt to exert "outsized influence". As I said, the solution already exists. It's dumb to pretend that we're too helpless to implement it.

      But, of course it's never your failing is it? "we're too helpless to implement it" inherently blames others for their inaction and absolves you from having to do anything because you've provided a "solution". How clever of you. You claimed on March 31;

      Wait a month and you'll see that we turned the corner about a week ago. yet I still see no evidence of this.

      So I call you on your bullshit. I've provided a letter so you can write a letter to your congresscritter and ask them to implement such things on all American Nuclear plant RIGHT NOW! Perhaps you can add to the letter and post it to this forum to show us your efforts at making Nuclear Power safe for everybody. Not Pro or Anti-Nuclear, Responsible Nuclear Advocacy.

      Here is a outline for you to follow, but by all means, do use your own creativity to its fullest extent and put that PhD to work on something useful.

      Dear Honourable congressperson such and such,

      I have recently learned of the appalling state of safety and regulation in the Nuclear Power Industry in my beloved home, America. I have learned that failure, by plant operators, to abide by the regulatory actions prescribed by the NRC have left many Nuclear Power plants vulnerable to the same kinds of failure that have occurred at Fukushima. This is unacceptable as Nuclear Power is a valuable National asset which must be operated safely by all operators at all times. American Energy security must be taken seriously and as such I call for;

      • The immediate upgrading of all safety regulations where Accident Sequence Precursors (ASPs) are enforced with a mandatory safety audit.
      • Plant operators are liable with jail time for ignoring or not reporting ASPs.
      • All US power plants be scutinised for new Basis Design Issues due to their age.
      • Energy company Directors and shareholders can be held financially responsible for Nuclear power accidents
      • The immediate audit of the San Onofre and Palo Verde Nuclear power facilities

      I am dismayed that the continuance of the Nuclear Power Industry in America relies on the existence of the Price Anderson Act. I call for a review of the Act under the premise that it has failed to deliver on its charter of legislation over its numerous extensions. I call for a time limit on the act on the basis that under the extensions of this temporary Act Nuclear power has not been able to develop adequate safety system therefore proving the act is invalid.

      Furthermore I call for the immediate establishment of a geologically stable spent fuel containment facility built into granite, as this is what the science supports as appropriate, and an infrastructure program to transport all stored spent fuel to such a facility as soon as is practicable. I see this as a necessary means to protect America from a Fukushima style disaster.

      Congressman, I realise what I ask for is ambitious but I submit to you that America is an ambitious nation able to overcome all sorts of adversity. I beleive that such a program is neccessary to to protect America's national and economic security and ask you to support introduction of such bills, and others you deem appropriate, that will implement positive steps to improving the safety of such a valuabl

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    133. Re:Lessor of two evils... by s122604 · · Score: 1

      Solar?..., which cost a ton of money BTW, are looking at more fossil fuels to make them than you get back out in energy

      simply a lie...

    134. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      But, of course it's never your failing is it? "we're too helpless to implement it" inherently blames others for their inaction and absolves you from having to do anything because you've provided a "solution". How clever of you. You claimed on March 31;

      Wait a month and you'll see that we turned the corner about a week ago.

      yet I still see no evidence of this.

      And I was right. Here's my exact words, to help you with the understanding process:

      And your "analysis" shows considerable ignorance of what really happened or risk management.

      Sure it released radiation, sure it looked scary for a while, but in the end, it's not just that bad a problem.

      Riiiigghhht, so three smoldering reactors and one, in all likelyhood, melting down is "not just that bad a problem". The *reality* is we are nowhere near the end of this catastrophe, this is just the beginning.

      Yes, this is correct. Wait a month and you'll see that we turned the corner about a week ago. You're running on bad information and your internal hysteria. I can't help you grow out of that. You'll have to do it yourself.

      So where's the meltdowns now? They've been steadily cooling off since and the last of the reactors will in a few months reach the "cold shutdown" status. There's the validation of my prediction.

      As to radioactive material release, we have yet to see a serious issue there. Sure, due to public hysteria, there will be a costly cleanup, but those fears haven't been borne out. And IMHO, that should be borne by the public, since it is their hysteria which is generating the costs.

      Finally, I can't support removal of the Price Anderson Act until the US nuclear industry is protected from the legal implications of this public hysteria. So far, the public trust put into nuclear via this act has been justified.

    135. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Apart from our previous interactions, I think this statement illustrates your naivety is exceeding your understanding of reality. You will have to work harder to correct this

      It's amazing how people fail to follow their own advice. As I pointed out, if the problem is poor regulation of nuclear power, then fix the fucking problem. Don't waste my time talking about how naive I supposedly am. I have no patience with people who can't be bothered to go past step one like Poperatzo and unilaterally declare the problem "impossible".

      Fortunately private organisations are realizing that it's just not economically viable and when democracies are allowed to speak on the subject, like Italy did, we see that Nuclear power doesn't have much support because the available evidence shows that it is unsafe. But until the Nulcear industry is wound down you can be comforted by knowing that Seimens funding for Nuclear will probably go to make Solar and Wind power more economically viable.

      So what? This just indicates a problem with some democracies not with nuclear technology. If you're able to shut down nuclear because it's unpopular, then you can shut down anything that becomes unpopular. A society should have safeguards against that. For example, the US has its Constitution which prohibits a number of ways for a majority to shut down the work of a minority.

      As usual another weak, flailing and impotent response, Your statement ignores constructs within the 2005 energy act which gives a minority the right to impose it's will on a majority. Look it up yourself, you have continously demonstrated inability to answer facts or argue based on evidence when supplied so what's the difference to you between heresay and fact when you have been provided with ample references and evidence that you continue to ignore.

      If Nuclear Power was safe why does the Price Anderson Act, a temporary act put in place until Nuclear Power proved itself safe and set to expire in 1967, still exist? If Nuclear power was indeed safe why is it necessary to continue to renew this act? No other industry needs such a construct. The act's continued operation and constant renewal suggests that Nuclear Power is not safe, viable or economical without such an artificial construct, quite diametrically opposing your notion that it is simply "unpopular", which it undoubtedly is.

      It is simple, just don't renew the PA act and Nuclear power just goes away leaving America with a toxic mess that will take hundreds of years to clean up and billions of peta-joules of energy to actually do. I let you attempt to wrestle with the notion of why the PA act remains that will demonstrate your naivety to yourself more powerfully than any words I can say to you.

      Don't talk to me about 'wasting your fucking time' when you have constantly demonstrated your mental laziness and sheer ignorance pertaining to these matters in many of the posting you have submitted here, Dr Khallow. I have no patience for people who make flaccid excuses to maintain the status quo, impose their dogmatically skeptical word view on others in the most arrogant and inaccurate way. That's why I am in your face, because you are rude and full of shit Dr Khallow. You lack imagination to solve these problems, so you just give up and fall back on what you think is the 'educated' response but all it does is demonstrate your limited insight and lack of substantive research on the topic, Dr Khallow.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    136. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      It is simple, just don't renew the PA act and Nuclear power just goes away leaving America with a toxic mess that will take hundreds of years to clean up and billions of peta-joules of energy to actually do. I let you attempt to wrestle with the notion of why the PA act remains that will demonstrate your naivety to yourself more powerfully than any words I can say to you.

      So sounds like a good argument to renew the PA act. We can all come up with legislative changes that are destructive to society. That's not a useful thing to do. I too would like to do away with the Price Anderson act, but you need something to replace it if only for a temporary time. Abruptly changing the risk conditions under which a large business has operated for many decades isn't fair to the business. I consider that more important than vague and probably imaginary benefits to public welfare.
      br. It's also worth noting that we've had technology in place for quite some time to recycle fuel rods and disposal of nuclear waste and eliminate the worst of the problems you cite above. Failing to use those technologies isn't the fault of the nuclear companies or regulatory law.

    137. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "Yes, I have. And I know how "small" they are, do you?"

      They're currently around 6 or 7%. And thats with power stations not more than a few dozen miles from where the power is used. Have a guess what it'll be like when the power has to travel thousands of miles.

      "No, it is not. Because that is exactly how the grid works today. What do you think how germany is selling 30% of its power production to other european countries?"

      No it doesn't. The seperate grids are connected but thats not the same as having one massive power generating plant transmitting power over very long distance to the consumer.

      "Of course it is possible, the question is if it makes economically sense. For germany it perhaps did, for UK I don't know."

      Go on then - tell me where the turbines and solar panels will go. No more vague handwaving - specify exactly the best location for them.

      "Last time I checked countries like Wales and particular interesting Schottland also belonged to the UK."

      You might want to read up on the serious number of public objections to windfarms in mountainous areas and beauty spots. Not to mention the wildlife eco hippies whinging about how they kill birds. Oh , and good luck getting solar power to work in scotland in the winter with 6 hours of sunlight.

      "Germany already produces roughly 25GW wind power."

      Thats installed capacity, not actual power being generated and it provides a miserable 7% of its power needs. Are they going to find enough space for have almost 20 times as many turbines? I don't think so.

      "A turbine rated 5MW or 6MW is yielding under "normal" conditions 5MW - 6MW and not 1MW - 2MW, and on peak about 25MW to 35MW."

      Bullshit. You're just making the figures up to suit your argument. There is no wind turbine in existence that can generate 25MW never mind 35.

    138. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1
      Rubbish, you continue to attempt to reframe your statement based on retrospective observations. Here's another one of your "predictions;

      Finally, "turn the corner" on a problem doesn't mean completely fixed a problem. It means the worst is over. My view is that sure, some degree of radioactive contamination of the environment will occur. Yet Japan now controls the reactors that melted down, the fuel ponds, and so on. Soon they'll be able to transition from merely controlling the situation to clean up. The harm that this accident caused and will cause is now strongly bounded.

      I see no "control" over this accident. I see barely under control. Now you reframe your 'turn a corner statement' again to suit new information and claim validation of your "prediction". More Dr Khallow Bullshit.

      I speak in Ground Acceleration, S, B and C class facilities and the regulations that apply to such. You, as usual, have provided no evidence. I cite references such as the World Nuclear Organisation to support my claims and you provide nothing but your overblown sense of self importance. I am fucking tired of people like you talking shit. Provide evidence and provide fact or STFU because you have no argument.

      As to radioactive material release, we have yet to see a serious issue there. Sure, due to public hysteria, there will be a costly cleanup, but those fears haven't been borne out. And IMHO, that should be borne by the public, since it is their hysteria which is generating the costs. Finally, I can't support removal of the Price Anderson Act until the US nuclear industry is protected from the legal implications of this public hysteria. So far, the public trust put into nuclear via this act has been justified.

      With such grace you lie to yourself. It must be a deep seated fear, I wonder what it is. You cannot stop making excuses Dr Khallow. Take the PA act out of the letter then, or is it too hard to remove a sentence for you. Most word processors had a delete function that you can use before printing the letter. But here we see the depths at which your paralysis grips you.

      Presented with reasonable action to your challenge you fold and fall back into chasing the tail of your own dogma yet again, coming up with excuse for inaction and blaming others. In the maze of your belief system all signs point to an exit but they lead you deeper into your own paradox. I imagine your mind is like an M.C Escher picture where you wander aimlessly repeating the patterns presented to you as if you have never seen them before.

      You are lost.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    139. Re:Lessor of two evils... by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      You are the idiot, the stupid Chernobyl design doesn't count as a valid argument against any running nuclear plant, just as Model T shortcomings have no relevance when discussing modern automotive safety. Every Chernobyl survivor is only the victim of a cascading chain of stupidity and nothing else. Impossible for that to happen elsewhere.

    140. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Toonol · · Score: 1

      But the first post was correct, which leads to the possibility that it was just posted by a smart, fast guy.

    141. Re:Lessor of two evils... by TheLink · · Score: 1

      Maybe they do and that's why Slashdot doesn't support Unicode ;).

      --
    142. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      It is simple, just don't renew the PA act and Nuclear power just goes away leaving America with a toxic mess that will take hundreds of years to clean up and billions of peta-joules of energy to actually do. I let you attempt to wrestle with the notion of why the PA act remains that will demonstrate your naivety to yourself more powerfully than any words I can say to you.

      So sounds like a good argument to renew the PA act. We can all come up with legislative changes that are destructive to society. That's not a useful thing to do. I too would like to do away with the Price Anderson act, but you need something to replace it if only for a temporary time. Abruptly changing the risk conditions under which a large business has operated for many decades isn't fair to the business. I consider that more important than vague and probably imaginary benefits to public welfare. br. It's also worth noting that we've had technology in place for quite some time to recycle fuel rods and disposal of nuclear waste and eliminate the worst of the problems you cite above. Failing to use those technologies isn't the fault of the nuclear companies or regulatory law.

      You still posess no understanding of the technology or the material technology required to solve the problem, still nothing new from Dr Khallow. still no understanding of the lifecycle of a Nuclear reactor or how to make it work and still no ability for you to listen to those who do try to seek an evolution of the technology. You are unable to evolve your argument, You are the biggest threat to nuclear power because your thinking is as obsolete as this industry is. Fortunately it's beyond your control, it must be tramatic for you. This way Dr khallow...what a waste, how disappointing, such a pity

      You are lost.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    143. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      They're currently around 6 or 7%. And thats with power stations not more than a few dozen miles from where the power is used. Have a guess what it'll be like when the power has to travel thousands of miles.

      No, it is actually roughly 8% over long distances as well as the voltage is much much higher ...

      Well, I spare my breath to debunk the rest of your points as you seem so many decades out of the "evolution of power generation" it is pretty pointless. Ah well, I give you one small link: http://www.agenda21-treffpunkt.de/daten/Windenergie.htm

      Sroll down to: Rekord
      Windstrom-Menge
      Weihnachten 2009

      I guess even when it is german the fat/bold numbers + the unit "GW" or "GW/h" is speaking for itself.

      Sleep well and dream on ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    144. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "No, it is actually roughly 8% over long distances as well as the voltage is much much higher ..."

      Its already high voltage. Or are you suggesting that the 400Kv already used in the USA or the 250Kv used in europe isn't high enough for your wind turbines? And it'll be a damn site more than 8% over a few thousand miles.

      "Well, I spare my breath to debunk the rest of your points as you seem so many decades out of the "evolution of power generation" it is pretty pointless. Ah well, I give you one small link: http://www.agenda21-treffpunkt.de/daten/Windenergie.htm"

      Give me a link in a language I can understand. English or french will do. And preferably one thats not linked to the wind power industry.

      I notice you didn't answer my question about where the installed base of wind turbines or solar power for the UK will go or answer to the problem of local objections to them being installed on land. Nice dodge, but then fairly typical of people like yourself.

      Emperors new clothes.

    145. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I did not dodge anything, you dodging all the time. 20GW is in english the same as in german ...

      Also your 6% - 8% loss number was not in relation to off shore wind parks but in responbse to me when I said we are connected in a very large grid, and somewhere always is power generated.

      And preferably one thats not linked to the wind power industry.

      This shows how far away you are from the topic of energy production.
      The numbers on the sheet I linked are actuall numbers about power fed into the grid. What could possibly be wrong with them?????

      BTW: what in my explanaition about produced windpower is so hard to get? I know what install base is and what power production is ... sigh but I'm tired to talk to "unbelievers".

      As I said before a typical turbine with a "6MW" base yield easyly can produce 5 times the power when the wind is accordingly. What is so damn hard in understanding that? You belong to the guys who calculates into the wrong direction. "If teh turbine is sold as a 6MW turbine I have to divide by 5 to get the actuall long term yield" Which is completely idiotic as the long term yield is the "rated yield" and for wind conditions above average you MULTIPLY ... which is clearly shown in the link I posted.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    146. Re:Lessor of two evils... by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Show me a SINGLE time even in depression that our energy use WENT DOWN. Just once will do. Go ahead, take your time because you'll find out it has never happened even once since the industrial revolution. Hell even during WWII when we made conservation a matter of nationalistic pride we only CUT DOWN, not stopped our domestic growth for power.

      Look at the math that the others posted above and you show me where they are wrong. The cheapest one, where the poster admitted he is giving you the panels at 1/4th the price assuming that economies of scale will suddenly cause you to be able to drop the price THAT far (Hint, they won't, at least not near term) and you are looking at over 5 trillion dollars and 66 years to build just to power the United States. And that is NOT counting maintenance, transmission losses, infrastructure to support it, cost of disposal, that is JUST the costs of the plants themselves.

      Look I'm not against renewables, and in small communities like places in the third world where the infrastructure hasn't been built yet? Like cell phones may be cheaper for them to go straight to solar thermal or wind. But the needs of someone who has never had electricity is a hell of a lot lower than for someone in the west that has AC units and cell phones and laptops and widescreens and kids that all have their own....you get the picture.

      But if you think I'm wrong, show me. The numbers are all laid out above you, you have the entire web at your command. you show me how you can power just the USA, not the planet, just the USA without reaching trillions of dollars and decades of construction. What are we supposed to do until then? Build mud huts? Look up the numbers, see for yourself. Even with a dead economy our power needs are CLIMBING as they have been every. single. year. for decades. This isn't bias, this is the ability to read a chart.

      But please don't waste our time spamming that desertec link, okay? They are government subsidized and haven't made a single dime, and even they admit they won't scale to the levels we are talking, they only speak of using their design as a supplement not a replacement for what we have. So you show us some real numbers that shows us you can build enough capacity even in 2 decades to give us just what we are using now, not counting what we will be using 20 years from now. Please, prove me wrong.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    147. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Viol8 · · Score: 1

      "sigh but I'm tired to talk to "unbelievers"."

      So you admit your position is an act of faith rather than fact.

      "As I said before a typical turbine with a "6MW" base yield easyly can produce 5 times the power when the wind is accordingly. What is so damn hard in understanding that?"

      I have no problem understanding it. It is however a complete lie. At BEST a turbine MAY go 30% over its rated value. 5 times? Bullshit.

      "Which is completely idiotic as the long term yield is the "rated yield" and for wind conditions above average you MULTIPLY "

      Most turbines can't cope with much above average wind conditions unless you're suggesting they're rated for 300kph winds which is what they'd need for that sort of power multiplication above their rated value!

    148. Re:Lessor of two evils... by mpe · · Score: 1

      The problem with a nuclear power plant is that while its failure mode is relatively rare, it fails in such a way that it becomes one of the worst flavors of industrial accident in existence.

      I don't recall that Union Carbide were operating a nuclear power plant in Bhopal.

      Ram a 747 into a nuclear reactor

      Yet just over 10 years ago Indian Point Energy Center did not have any planes crashed into it. Somehow WTC 1&2 were more attractive to terrorists than IP 2&3...

    149. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Beleglin · · Score: 1

      Germany could of course be producing 40% less co2 per capita like some other industrialized nation...

    150. Re:Lessor of two evils... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      I'm aware of the Desertec Project - it's great on paper but faces so many tech ( the least of their problems ), financial and political challenges, I have doubts that this will get off the ground while we have ample sources of cheap coal and while oil is still relatively affordable. The instability of the "Arab Spring" isn't helping.

      As to your point about dull days, there's some promise in that respect from Solterra that uses ( or will use ) panels made with quantum dots. Their site claims that absorption of solar radiation in the IF and UV bands is possible - I leave it to you to determine what "possible: means.
      http://www.solterrasolarcells.com/company_advantage.php?ID=22
      http://www.qdotss.com/

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    151. Re:Lessor of two evils... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Good question - a quick check suggests that's just the purchase price. Of course installation has to be in appropriate regions, especially when cost is high. As cost drops and (if and ) when thin film becomes cheap enough and efficient enough ( for varying values of "enough") then we should plaster up every surface that gets insolation with solar film.

      As I just posted in one of the other replies I got, the Solterra quantum dot tech, which looks to be a shipping product, claims use of the IF and UV bands as well so would be suitable for the low-light areas of the world (again, if it's good "enough").

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    152. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Johann+Lau · · Score: 1

      yeah, wind doesn't blow all the time. so... improve the grid, and research better ways to store energy. that is a good idea no matter the energy source..

    153. Re:Lessor of two evils... by CheerfulMacFanboy · · Score: 1

      Like it or not folks renewables simply don't scale up to the levels we are talking about, not without MASSIVE losses of land which with a growing population isn't really doable. Think the government is in your business now? How about if your wife has to piss in a cup monthly to make sure she is taking her pill as we put a Chinese style one child per couple rule in place?

      Solar? Uses massive amounts of land and the best ones, which cost a ton of money BTW, are looking at more fossil fuels to make them than you get back out in energy and are tops 20% efficient. Wind? doesn't blow all the time and certainly won't ramp up between 3PM-7PM when everyone gets home and turns their devices on. Geothermal? earthquakes. Wave tech? See wind.

      Nuclear? How many Nuclear Plants had to be shut down this year in the US for various reasons? How long did it take to get them back on line?

      As for "MASSIVE losses of land" for solar - how much land do you lose when you put solar cells on your roof?

      --
      Fandroids hate facts.
    154. Re:Lessor of two evils... by bored · · Score: 1

      Yah, all the greenheads screaming about renewable are basically voting for both massive increases in energy pricing, and natural gas.

      That is because the renewable sources need to be supplemented with some kind of backup or energy storage mechanism. This drives their cost up significantly. Furthermore, overwhelmingly the backup method appears to be natural gas generators because they can be spun up/down rapidly.

      Even worse is the fact that because you are locating your wind farms in windy areas, rather than near the load you incur large transmission losses, which significantly reduces their efficiency.

    155. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      As I said, you have no clue ... go ahead and stay like that ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    156. Re:Lessor of two evils... by bored · · Score: 1

      Seimens funding for Nuclear will probably go to make Solar and Wind power more economically viable.

      While I wish you were correct, solar is _NOT_ going to get more economically viable unless the Government bans coal or a major breakthrough in PV or similar happens. Even solar thermal which could scale, isn't going to get much cheaper.

    157. Re:Lessor of two evils... by afidel · · Score: 1

      Probably the most efficient way to deal with solar PV at this point for Germany would be to pay Spain/southern France a small lease fee on some very arid land with high insolation and use HVDC to bring it back to Germany. I know my employer is a very large provider of space for PV installations (we own shopping centers in the US, Puerto Rico, and Brazil) and our partner has definitely focused on developing our centers in more southern states (and states with incentives of course) in order to maximize the generated capacity per dollar invested.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    158. Re:Lessor of two evils... by bored · · Score: 1

      I call for the immediate establishment of a geologically stable spent fuel containment facility built into granite

      granite? Are you serious? My understanding was the salt is a much better solution.

    159. Re:Lessor of two evils... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Even for nuclear power, one can't pack all of a major country's power generation needs into a single plant.

      But it can be packed into a single corporation, or at least a very few corporations. And that's too much control.

      I'm talking about localized energy. Like on top of the house. No need for a power grid connecting everyone's house. No need for a "power company".

      Where is it written that the only kind of energy that can be taken seriously is the kind where a few people control the resource required to provide that energy? Three or four oil companies control nearly all the petroleum. A similarly small number control all the nuclear plants.

      I lived in a small town that operates its own energy plant. And the cost was less than half of the cost for the nearby towns that got their energy from the utility. I want to see it even more distributed than that. I was in a town in Finland that's almost already there. Between geothermal and solar and clean woodburning, there was house after house where there were no electric meters. No electric bill to pay.

      There is no reason to believe that we will never be able to have completely energy-independent houses in our time.

      I'm surprised that the US tea party, with their "independent" and "self-sufficient" and "liberty-loving" sense of "personal responsibility" doesn't embrace this idea and instead supports ongoing support of the big energy companies. Maybe it has something to do with the fact that the big energy companies are the ones that started the tea party and pays all of its bills.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    160. Re:Lessor of two evils... by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      Take a step back there mate. You both are ignoring the darn biggest problem with renewables. (although yeah - I'll believe any wind turbine numbers from a trusted 3rd party not the supplier (if the concept of 3rd party is not something you are familiar with, oh well))

      Biggest one: Shifting load. You don't care about what is your theoretical or average capacity, you care about supplying the demand NOW. Power line losses do make it fairly impractical (>500km or so) to rely on that solar panels installation in the neighbouring france or whenever, you need to have a strong base load provider (typically nuclear) with dynamic capacity that can accomodate daily fluctuations (typically hydro or gas/coal as the cycle is quicker to control in accordance with demand). I believe (please feel free to correct me) that even in Germany renewables are used only for the dynamic load as they cannot be relied upon to be available long term.

      Hoping that we will suddenly invent the energy storage mechanism that is efficient and scalable enough to enable renewables to power a medium sized city (and the capacity of such system shouldn't be measued in hours of typical consumption - rather like weeks given the weather fluctuations) is optimistic - I'd rather buy a lottery ticket.

      Cleanest energy setup long term is pretty clearly nuclear/hydro for base load, renewables for dynamic load as far as possible and finally gas coming online for the peak loads where renewables fail. Attempts to claim that renewables will ever supply more than 60% of energy (and this is in a very very very very utopian scenario perhaps in 80 years or so) and therefore down with nuclear/coal and I want my river back as well is pure fantasy.

    161. Re:Lessor of two evils... by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      You go and keep on believing that buddy ;) We need to keep the likes of you in the food chain to look good.

    162. Re:Lessor of two evils... by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      And where did we got the stuff from?

    163. Re:Lessor of two evils... by jmcvetta · · Score: 1

      Check out the Lazarus extension for Firefox... it's pretty nice to have if you (like me) are prone to accidentally closing tabs.

    164. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Pseudonym+Authority · · Score: 1
      That's a whole 10 characters. And if it they do? It doesn't make the whole page print backwards, it only makes whatever is in that

      tag reversed in all browsers, and only anything on that line in IE and Chrome.

    165. Re:Lessor of two evils... by c0lo · · Score: 1

      Or...

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    166. Re:Lessor of two evils... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      What can you tell me about these projects in terms of size, cost and power output?
      I've felt strongly for a long time that the US really missed an opportunity with solar.
      In my opinion, regardless of the cost 10-15 yrs ago, they should have put solar panels on every flat commercial roof in the southwest, made every large parking lot into solar carports and poured considerably more money into solar research. Unlike wind power, solar is much more consistent in the sunny states, its peak output is well-matched to demand, its quiet and mostly unobtrusive and rooftop solar eases strain on the grid since it delivers power close to the point of generation.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    167. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      I see no "control" over this accident. I see barely under control. Now you reframe your 'turn a corner statement' again to suit new information and claim validation of your "prediction". More Dr Khallow Bullshit.

      I have to reply to such rubbish. What do you think the control problem is here? It's simply removing the heat generated by the reactor core and its fission byproducts without exposing humans to significant radiation in the process. That's it. And as the heat generated by these reactors declines, the control problem becomes easier.

      I thought that was understood at the time I made the prediction.

      So yes, the reactors are under control. So what about the possibility of "barely" being under control? Well, you'd have to have a fair probability of the cooling effort failing or significant human exposure to radiation. But cooling systems are a simple affair and any leaked radiation would go in the ocean.

      Or perhaps it means that control is occasionally disrupted, say that the reactors heat up occasionally despite the effort to cool them. There was a bit of temperature rise in a couple of the reactors back in April, but that stopped long ago.

      For the record, that's two predictions correct out of two.

      Here's another prediction. Collective human exposure from the radiation released at Fukushima as measured in Sieverts will turn out to be at least two orders of magnitude lower than in Chernobyl. That's despite estimates that more radiation was released by Fukushima than by Chernobyl.

      Earlier, you accused me of being "lazy". That's absolutely correct. I used a relatively small amount of effort to defeat your arguments. But I also took risks, such as with my predictions. I'm a bit disappointed that you fail to recognize that they turned out true, but I guess you can't lead a horse to water.

      As to your letter, I'll have to think about it. I think though that there are two fundamental problems: first, nuclear power is already held to most of the standard you outline in the letter. For example, they have to report accidents and most "near misses" or else face criminal charges including jail time. They appear to already report "events" that were used for the Accident Sequence Precursor (ASP) project and have done apparently since some time in the late 70s or 80s.

      Second, that you treat nuclear power as somehow being different from other industries. Implementing corrective action for events that are thought to be one in a million likely to cause core damage (which includes other things than just core meltdown), probably isn't a good idea, unless the cost of the corrective action is at worst proportional to the risk. I doubt they go that far for any other industry with similar risks such as pesticide manufacture or oil transportation. Nor does it make sense to treat corporations which run nuclear plants differently (the financial liability for directors and shareholders).

      Phasing out old reactors and abolition of the PA liability protection depends IMHO on providing three things: a pathway for new plant construction, a means for disposing of highly radioactive nuclear waste, and a means for recycling used fuel rods (one doesn't need to describe fully the fuel rod life cycle to note that the recycling technology already exists). Society whether deliberately or not, is increasing the risk of nuclear power significantly by not having these in place. Society should bear the cost as a result.

      Fukushima demonstrates why that matters. The life of the plant was extended in large part because several new Japanese nuclear plants were nixed in the late 90s and early part of this decade. Several of The last of Fukushima's reactors were originally scheduled to be shutdown around the time of the earthquake. I think it likely that the accident would have been less damaging if the shutdown process had been underway.

      Second, fuel rods were stored on site, because there was nowhere else for them to go.

    168. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Shihar · · Score: 1

      I don't recall that Union Carbide were operating a nuclear power plant in Bhopal.

      What part of "one of" do you not understand?

      Yet just over 10 years ago Indian Point Energy Center did not have any planes crashed into it. Somehow WTC 1&2 were more attractive to terrorists than IP 2&3...

      Yup, they sure are dumb. In one of their last attempts of an attack on the US they managed to blow their junk off and then get the shit kicked out of them by civilians.

      Slamming a 747 into Indian Point would have been tens of thousands of times worse than knocking down two measly buildings. You don't need to crack the reactor core, just kick up radioactive junk by lighting a few fires and burning some stored waste. Cracking the reactor core or some how causing a melt down by destroying secondary systems is just gravy. Blanketing NYC with even low levels of radiation would cause the city to evacuate and collapse. That would be 17 million people or roughly 5% of the entire US population. The abandonment of NYC would lead to a world wide financial collapse the likes of which this world has never seen. It would make the financial hardships we have seen recently look like a little economic hiccup. It would utterly destroy the American economy and maul the rest of the world economy... and for what? To save a few cents on electricity if you close your eyes and ignore the massive costs inflicted on the tax payer when you include the cost of regulation and waste storage? Thanks, but fuck that. Indian Point sitting 40 miles from NYC is possibly the the stupidest fucking idea in the history of the US.

      OBL is a fucking idiot. He could have actually achieved his goals if he had hit Indian Point with a couple of 747s. Knocking down the WTCs was just annoying. Blanketing NYC in radiation, even low levels, could have very well collapsed the west's ability to project its power due to the brutal economic hardship the the abandonment of NYC would have caused.

    169. Re:Lessor of two evils... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Here's a video on the committee hearing on the Solyndra collapse - it seems that a major factor was the abrupt investment of nearly $30 billion dollars by China into their own solar facilities which was partly responsible for a 40% drop in silicon PV cost.

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsUR6vONawc

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    170. Re:Lessor of two evils... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I believe (please feel free to correct me) that even in Germany renewables are used only for the dynamic load as they cannot be relied upon to be available long term.

      See below:

      Power line losses do make it fairly impractical (>500km or so) to rely on that solar panels installation in the neighbouring france or whenever

      We already have those losses and can cope with them just fine. As I pointed out several time, we are in a very huge internatinal grid. And no one cares about "losses" in that grid.
      Regarding the "theory of baseload" which is repeated on /. every day I, I thought I had posted a lengthy comment a week ago, but can not find it. Perhaps my browser crashed during committing or something.

      Anyway, "baseload" is something roughly at 35% of peak load. Baseload is the "total" amount of energy that is alwys "produced" (not demanded by customer but produced by the power plants infrastructure).

      Depending on time of year, the lowest consumption is about 50% of the base load and the highest consumption is about 150% of the base load.

      Dynamic load is certainly not handled by "renewables" at least not by typical renewables. That is basically impossible except you count "switching off" and "on" (attaching to the grid and detatching again) as grid control (detaching from teh grid is done if to much wind power is generated e.g.)

      Grid control is done by pumped hydro storage and in a low extend gas turbines.

      Oh, I found the two posts, I thought I had them in my journal: http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=2421220&cid=37368820 and http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=2421220&cid=37369110

      They are ment to explain how a power grid works ... as most people here have no clue about that and have completely idiotic ideas ... e.g. regarding the mythical baseload.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    171. Re:Lessor of two evils... by Mindflux0 · · Score: 1

      You could say that for basically any accident scale.

      No, that's incorrect. For example, earthquake magnitude is open-ended. Similarly, the area affected by a wildfire. Other metrices such as deaths from the disaster (which in the case of Fukushima is something like half a dozen or less).

      Fair enough on the scales. Though you might question whether or not it would be reasonable to implement that sort of scale here.

      Ok... tell that to all of the people who've been forced from their hometowns for the better part of a year (and likely a lot longer). Then tell it to all the farmers who had to destroy all their crops and animals because they were irradiated. Then tell it to Tepco which is expected to be to be liable for many billions of dollars in damages.

      So what? A bad car accident can be a disaster for me without being a disaster for society...one of the largest earthquakes of modern time and a big tsunami. That's the real disaster.

      I think the burden on the evacuees is less than you realize.

      What exactly do you base that last statement on? Frankly I find it offensive. Maybe you are involved in the situation and/or are far more knowledgeable about it than I suspect, in which case my offense is misplaced. My suspicion however is that 100% of your knowledge comes from reading a few articles in your spare time.

      I live in Japan. Not by the power plant but I know people who did. Ask yourself this question: would you rather have your entire home and all your possessions dragged out to sea OR have your entire town irradiated and not be able to return for years. Did you think about that for any number of seconds? If so they are at least vaguely comparable. Whether or not one is worse they're pretty clearly both disasters.

      Again with my original question: what does it take to reach your definition of disaster? Plague? Holocaust?

      Misusing words like disaster may cheapen their meaning but the nuclear plant is a disaster by any reasonable consideration. Yes the quake was a bigger disaster (hell the nuclear plant is included in that event) but that's not reason to say it's not a disaster. If you want to specify "disaster for society." The nuclear plant still fits that by any reasonable definition. Living in southern Japan, the earthquake didn't really have any effect on my day to day life. I could make an argument based on that that it's not a disaster for society. It would be a bad argument.

    172. Re:Lessor of two evils... by CubicleView · · Score: 1

      I believe you either did not read all of my post, or you did not understand all of it. I'll assume it was the former though, which was quite rude seeing as how you decided to preach down to me afterwards.

    173. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      I thought that was understood at the time I made the prediction.

      My sides are hurt for how delusional you are, your prediction, if that's what it can be called consists of one line;

      Yes, this is correct. Wait a month and you'll see that we turned the corner about a week ago.

      You made that statement on the 31st March 2011, which means you claim all these things were done by 24th March 2011. It's not my fault that you made a lazy and vague point to make your grandiose statement. Your bullshit is on the record as is you inability to define what you mean by your statement and your subsequent attempts to backpedal and massage some meaning into your statement as new information becomes available and then claim that you were right all along to satisfy your sense of self importance and attempt to recover some dignity. You took a gamble that I didn't have any facts to present and that I would back down like everyone else you have bludgeoned with your arrogance, that is so sickening to watch, and you turned out looking like a fool.

      The *facts* I have presented for all to see remain as cogent as the day I presented them. They speak louder than anything you have presented to date. Your "predictions" are as reliable as chewing with a broken tooth. But since you have decided to entertain me more...

      Here's another prediction. Collective human exposure from the radiation released at Fukushima as measured in Sieverts will turn out to be at least two orders of magnitude lower than in Chernobyl. That's despite estimates that more radiation was released by Fukushima than by Chernobyl.

      I'm simply not that arrogant to make a prediction. History has demonstrated that when government don't want to know they simply don't allow the science to be done. No hard data collection effort was made after TMI, funding was cut for statistical health measurements for victims of Chernobyl. I certainly don't expect there to be any difference for Fukushima. There won't be a cover up, there just won't be any serious data collection effort thus claims such as yours will be supported by a *lack* of available evidence.

      When coupled with the existing interdiction order that the IAEA has over the WHO in all matters nuclear it makes for an altogether, a neat solution to a devastating political problem for the nuclear industry.

      Your prediction will however prove quite useful as a means to ridicule you even further and I predict that the likelihood of slashdot seeing repeat episodes of Dr khallow's arrogance in the future to be extremely high, Thank you for providing me with the probability of such enjoyable future entertainment.

      Earlier, you accused me of being "lazy". That's absolutely correct. I used a relatively small amount of effort to defeat your arguments.

      Well thats what you say, but the record shows something quite different. Your vapid statement to the contrary is merely your way to try and color other readers perceptions and claw back some self respect. What else do you expect as you have never brought any facts or evidence, for which to base reasoning on, to our interactions. Your claim infers you have defeated those facts and evidence yet still remain. You, again, are being ridiculous.

      Fukushima demonstrates why that matters. The life of the plant was extended in large part because several new Japanese nuclear plants were nixed in the late 90s and early part of this decade. Several of The last of Fukushima's reactors were originally scheduled to be shutdown around the time of the earthquake. I think it likely that the accident would have been less damaging if the shutdown process had been underway.

      Society *is*,

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    174. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      I call for the immediate establishment of a geologically stable spent fuel containment facility built into granite

      granite? Are you serious? My understanding was the salt is a much better solution.

      It's been discovered (CSIRO) that granite has the ability to trap transuranics and (potentially) actinides that are in ground water exposed to radionuclides. The swiss have built a test facility. There are other reasons to make the facility from granite but that speaks to the structure. Salt may still be appropriate as part of the containers in the facility.

      I'm certainly interested what you mean, is it with respect to salt as a moderator?

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    175. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yes, this is correct. Wait a month and you'll see that we turned the corner about a week ago.

      You made that statement on the 31st March 2011, which means you claim all these things were done by 24th March 2011. It's not my fault that you made a lazy and vague point to make your grandiose statement. Your bullshit is on the record as is you inability to define what you mean by your statement and your subsequent attempts to backpedal and massage some meaning into your statement as new information becomes available and then claim that you were right all along to satisfy your sense of self importance and attempt to recover some dignity. You took a gamble that I didn't have any facts to present and that I would back down like everyone else you have bludgeoned with your arrogance, that is so sickening to watch, and you turned out looking like a fool.

      Why don't you shut up and do step one. Show that my statement was false? I can wait.

    176. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Ask yourself this question: would you rather have your entire home and all your possessions dragged out to sea OR have your entire town irradiated and not be able to return for years.

      Neither, if I had the choice. But the latter is better from my point of view since it allows for the survival of anyone in the house at the time, allows me to recover my movable stuff at a later time (even if you can't live there, you can visit), and has someone to easily blame who can compensate me fully for the home plus a little extra (TEPCO and the Japanese government).

      Again with my original question: what does it take to reach your definition of disaster?

      Considerable deaths and/or evacuations on a significant regional scale. I consider, for example, Bhopal and Chernobyl to be disasters due to their effects. And Chernobyl really is only a disaster due to the criminal negligence of the Soviet government.

      Misusing words like disaster may cheapen their meaning but the nuclear plant is a disaster by any reasonable consideration. Yes the quake was a bigger disaster (hell the nuclear plant is included in that event) but that's not reason to say it's not a disaster. If you want to specify "disaster for society." The nuclear plant still fits that by any reasonable definition. Living in southern Japan, the earthquake didn't really have any effect on my day to day life. I could make an argument based on that that it's not a disaster for society. It would be a bad argument.

      Why do you think I complained in the first place? The word is heavily abused and I still don't think you use it appropriately in describing the Fukushima accident.

    177. Re:Lessor of two evils... by bored · · Score: 1

      I'm certainly interested what you mean, is it with respect to salt as a moderator?

      No I was indirectly referring to WIPP, which as I understand it, the salt traps water/etc so you don't have to worry about the waste migrating anywhere.

    178. Re:Lessor of two evils... by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      Electricity generation is not even remotely an economic consideration in the US, and certainly wasn't 10-15 years ago. We have enough coal and natural gas to last a hundred years. Gasoline, diesel and fuel oil, on the other hand, are considerations and were *huge* issues back then.

      Think about what you're saying exactly. Most businesses didn't even have ethernet 15 years ago. Which was more beneficial, telecommuting or photovoltaics?

      And before the US could even begin to move millions of people out of northern cities into the southwest (creating demand for air conditioning and photovoltaic electricity) there had to be, you know, houses there first.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    179. Re:Lessor of two evils... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      The US hasn't really given a damn about gas, oil and diesel except to bitch about how much they cost. If they truly gave a crap, pickup trucks would never have been the most popular vehicles and they wouldn't have the developed world's lamest overall MPG. How long ago was it that Europe started shifting to diesel cars? In NorthAm, only Volkswagen stuck with passenger diesel.
      America missed a (pun intended) golden opportunity by not accepting President Carter's challenge - if they had, they would have become the global solar champs, some of the breakthroughs might have been made a decade earlier.
      While many of the hot states are sparsely populated, there have been a hell of a lot of Californians, Texans, Floridians, etc for many decades.
      Telecommuting and solar power ( I mentioned PV but solar thermal works just fine also but that would be for utility scale, not rooftop) are not mutally exclusive.
      Here's my point: if way back then, the US had decided to aggressively pursue solar PV / Thermal and had put in place the following plan, they'd be soaking up the sunshine instead of just baking in it.
      1.) Incentives for electric utilities or similar companies to partner on solar installations on large rooftops ( warehouses, shopping centers, schools, etc) and parking lots , ie, solar carports , providing power to the business or community and shade for the vehicles and customers.
      2.) Residential rooftop solar cashbacks - solar PV is low-efficiency but is quiet, unobtrusive, matches peak demand in the sunny states and lasts for decades
      3.) Military installations - no shortage of these and adding solar to the US bases and other defense-related structures, like the Pentagon, would have been a better use of taxpayer dollars than the many multi-hundred-billion dollar boondoggles for which the DoD is justly famous.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    180. Re:Lessor of two evils... by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      I realize that tech research is not mutually exclusive, but we can only do so much. The average European has no idea how poorly developed the US really is. Many houses are uninsulated. Roads in many areas will quickly destroy your car (unless it's a truck). Until recently, home appliances were horribly inefficient. In the last year alone, in a single state, an area half the size of Belgium burnt in wildfires. Frankly, we have bigger issues to deal with than solar power.

      When an uneducated laborer can make middle-class wages framing houses, there's really little incentive to make speculative investments in unproven technology. And, like I said, electricity isn't really even an issue for the US. Liquid hydrocarbons are the issue. It was the same when Carter was in office. We've tried putting our lame auto manufacturers and airlines out of business, but our corrupt government keeps bailing them out. Frankly, if the rest of the world would stop giving us money every time our banks cause a financial crisis, perhaps we would have the correct incentives to do all the wonderful things you think we should be doing.

      But your idea of massively rolling out solar tech 10 years ago is still flawed. Photovoltaics were 5 times more expensive. Inverters were 10 times more expensive. Grid-tie was highly regulated. And, for what, exactly? A little less global warming? A leg-up in a new manufacturing industry? We don't want to make stuff here. We manufacture bullshit.

      And it's not like there weren't lots of incentives for solar, going back all the way to Carter. It's that it was spent on stupid shit like solar-powered road signs to tell us to "Drive Friendly". If the military had been involved, it would just have been an order of magnitude more stupid shit like solar powered lasers or something. None of that helps the consumer industry. Government spending on new tech just drives up the price and incentivizes the wrong things -- like in the case of photovoltaics we got high-efficiency flexible cells for satellites and unmanned spy drones rather than low-cost, low-efficiency cells for realistic power generation.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    181. Re:Lessor of two evils... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      True that PV and inverters were more expensive but you're forgetting the lessons of Henry Ford - economies of scale. It wouldn't have been doable in Carter's time, that was just the kickstarter, but let's say that Reagan had looked at the panels on the White House and said "this is the future, let's get to work", then with a PROPER plan and judicious investment, then by the middle of the Clinton years, all the pieces could have been in place for a mass rollout.
      It's not government spending that's the problem, it's the typical US political horse-trading that fucks things up. Governments can and do gets things right - and the US used to be pretty darn good at that.
      How long did it take to ramp up the manufacturing machine in WWII? How did the Interstates get built? The Hoover Dam? The cells for satellites weren't a bad thing, it just never got transferred to consumer product, which was dumb. If you can make high-efficiency, you can make it cheaper and less efficient. But cheap oil and no national vision killed what could have been a great head start.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    182. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Yes, this is correct. Wait a month and you'll see that we turned the corner about a week ago.

      You made that statement on the 31st March 2011, which means you claim all these things were done by 24th March 2011. It's not my fault that you made a lazy and vague point to make your grandiose statement. Your bullshit is on the record as is you inability to define what you mean by your statement and your subsequent attempts to backpedal and massage some meaning into your statement as new information becomes available and then claim that you were right all along to satisfy your sense of self importance and attempt to recover some dignity. You took a gamble that I didn't have any facts to present and that I would back down like everyone else you have bludgeoned with your arrogance, that is so sickening to watch, and you turned out looking like a fool.

      Why don't you shut up and do step one. Show that my statement was false? I can wait.

      First, I've already done that here.

      Second, looking back to June a sharp rise in radiation meant they couldn't even get near the plant. So almost three months after your claim it still hadn't "turned a corner"

      Third, Spontaneous criticality is still occurring at the sites, disturbingly, it is suspected that this is also happening in the spent fuel cooling pools. That's not even under control. The evidence; the site is still outputting radiocesium. Source Tepco report (June 20 – June 28: approx. 1 billion Bq/hr (1.0 x 109)) Jul/Aug/Sep data not available

      Fourth, Tepco's Official Plan for dealing with the accident has, ironically, has not achieved Step One "Maintain Stable Cooling" (So *you* can shut up now) Source; Japan Prime Ministers Office.

      Fifth, Overall, the situation at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant remains very serious. Source IAEA

      Sixth; Plant has not yet acheived a cold shut down - Source Japan Prime Minister report on Fukushima.

      Bloomberg, Reuters, Summary of Reactor Status (2 June 2011) - Presentation Transcript etc etc

      There is so much more that tells us the corner hasn't been turned yet, not even a cold shutdown has been achieved yet. The workers can't even get into the plant to assess the damage yet but you will likely come up with some word twist to justify your position. The worst thing about your position is you show no respect for the workers there who continue to risk their lives to bring the situation under control.

      You are lost.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    183. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1
      Your first point is merely a a reiteration of your highly biased remarks from the end of March and doesn't reflect the improvement in the situation from then. For example, you cite a study that claims hundreds of thousands of deaths for Chernobyl instead of more reliable studies that claim two orders of magnitude less deaths.

      Second, you misread the story from June. They didn't have to abandon the work site. They had to halt the particular cesium-removal operations they were performing because they were getting unexpected and dangerous results. So what happened since then? It's been more than a week.

      This story contains the only indication of how much control they have over the situation at the time:

      But a resumption, he says, is critical to deal with the highly radioactive water - officials say 110,000 tonnes, the equivalent of 40 Olympic swimming pools - is stored there.

      "Unless we can resume the operation within a week, we will have problems in disposing of the contaminated water," the official said.

      There's some unspecified but serious constraint driving this. Perhaps, as you claim, more cesium 137 was leaching into the water and the rising radioactivity would have inhibited worker movement. Perhaps, they would have to start dumping highly radioactive water into the ocean. That's still a lot more control over the situation than the days when they had to evacuate the site due to burning fuel rods and the core was still molten in places.

      Third, you have no evidence for spontaneous crticality since April. "Radiocesium" or CS 137 has a half-life of about 30 years. It's presence merely indicates that spontaneous criticality occurred sometime in the past few decades.

      Fourth, the Japanese government considers cold shutdown as the condition for stable cooling. TEPCO is only a few months away from achieving that.

      Fifth, of course the situation at Fukushima remains very serious. My predictions didn't claim that Fukushima would magically become perfectly safe overnight.

      Sixth, as mentioned earlier, TEPCO is a few months from achieving cold shutdown on the last of the reactors.

      That's an almost complete demolition of your six points. Please think about this.

    184. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      That's an almost complete demolition of your six points. Please think about this.

      I thought about it and came to the conclusion that you are incapable of answering any of my points or supporting your claims with your own hard data. You do twist words quite cleverly but, as usual, you haven't supplied any facts or evidence. You, again, demonstrate that you are completely outclassed in this argument so, instead, you resort to badgering. It's hard to take you seriously.

      In actuality, it's *your* claim so the onus is on *you* to defend *your* claim;

      Wait a month and you'll see that we turned the corner about a week ago.

      The facts remain and the information supplied to you was one to three months after your claim. It was constructed this way to give you no room to support your claims, rendering your potential arguments moot points. Some things are predictable. Pandering to your whim where I expended most of the energy gathering information and you claim 'demolition of my point' without any supporting data makes me wonder how you were able to defend your "qualifications", Dr khallow.

      You've never posed any argument for me to destroy because, simply put, you have never presented any arguments, facts or evidence to support your vague claims.

      Nothing you have said demonstrates that a corner was turned 24 March 2011, which was your original claim.

      You are lost.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    185. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      I thought about it

      It's clear you haven't. You uncritically quote the most negative studies you can find, you take minor setbacks (the story about TEPCO's issues with cesium extraction) as signs that March returned, you assume without evidence that my predictions of March were wrong (I gather because otherwise you'd have to admit that maybe I was right in other areas, such as my discussion of the time of your hysteria), you probably still have that stilted opinion that Fukushima should have had huge sea walls because of a 2001 research paper (as if the research were obvious fact and Japan's nuclear industry could turn on a dime), no evidence of recent spontaneous criticality has occurred, you seem to have the impression that knowing a few abbreviations makes you knowledgeable about nuclear power, and you think that ad hominem insults are evidence-based argument. I can't help you.

      And here's the prediction that seems to have you all in tangles.

      Wait a month and you'll see that we turned the corner about a week ago.

      Turns out I was wrong. Your blinders have kept you from seeing what really happened. All of your points have been easily addressed yet you still press on. I'll just finish by noting that 1) there has been no evacuation of Fukushima workers since March (you completely misread that June story), 2) TEPCO is on track to reach "cold shutdown" in early 2012, and 3) current radiation leakage appears to be modest. Further, this situation was already better in late April, when my prediction was set to expire. I see no reason to pull out more evidence because you have demonstrated that you ignore or distort evidence that doesn't fit your worldview.

      I find it remarkable that I made two predictions which came true and yet, you still argue on.

    186. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Turns out I was wrong. - khallow September 24 2011

      Mark this day on the calendar, perhaps we should have a public holiday.

      I can't help you.

      I re-iterate that I have never needed you help. Your help is not required.

      you seem to have the impression that knowing a few abbreviations makes you knowledgeable about nuclear power

      Dr khallow, what matters here is that I know more than you realise. I am certainly glad you have learned something but you are the type of advocate that the nuclear industry doesn't need because you seem unable to listen. What you need to realise is that the Nuclear industry needs to progress to deal with some of the serious issue that it has. Fukushima is another example of the political, regulatory and operational processes in the Nuclear Industry gone wrong. It's difficult to see what benefit you gain from defending the status quo.

      you think that ad hominem insults are evidence-based argument.

      Your tactics are to frustrate your opponent into capitulation. It's a childish and disappointing approach. Your belligerence leaves little alternative than to excoriate you to shake you loose from your dogma, if for a moment. I suspect you do it on purpose when you have nothing to offer in an argument except hyperbole. It actually left me wondering if you were a scientologist. For you though, ultimately, it will be unsatisfying. For your information few people who take this approach in real life are respected, sometimes they are hated. If you take the same approach with your personal interactions then I am certain this is how your colleagues feel about you.

      We may have made progress here, because you were able to admit that making predictions to prove a point is unwise. Seems like I was able to help you but I suggest you seek professional help to assist you with your communication skills so that you can frame them in a more positive approach.

      I see no reason to pull out more evidence because you have demonstrated that you ignore or distort evidence that doesn't fit your worldview.

      You have never 'pulled out' *any* evidence or links to support your claims thus you've denied yourself the opportunity to make that claim. I, again, welcome *any* actual information you have to present. On your points, 1) I never claimed there was, 2) Agree, 3) remains to be seen based on if hard data is actually gathered.

      you probably still have that stilted opinion that Fukushima should have had huge sea walls because of a 2001 research paper (as if the research were obvious fact and Japan's nuclear industry could turn on a dime)

      Um, yes, perhaps if it was there the Fukushima plant wouldn't be the wreck it is now. If it was written in 2001 they had ten years to act on it. Just how much time do you need to design, approve, budget and build a mound of rocks, instead they decided to take the risk on what is now and obvious, and unfortunate, fact. Seems to me more evidence of TEPCO's criminal negligence. Citation please.

      I find it remarkable that I made two predictions which came true and yet, you still argue on.

      I find it remarkable that the things I opined to be probable outcomes were ignored by you. That, more and more evidence is revealed that TEPCO is criminally negligent even with the hint of data you have suggested at. Coupled with the hard fact that S class facilities were compromised by the lose of a B class facility in line with the Seisemic design criteria for Nuclear reactors, documentation that I have provided link to in the past. If you can provide links to the *specific* point you mention, I'll assess the according to their worth.

      For now I won't say that you are lost, as you were able to admit your error.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    187. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1

      We may have made progress here, because you were able to admit that making predictions to prove a point is unwise.

      What makes you think I did admit this point? Perhaps you ought to read what I wrote. To the contrary, predictions are fundamental tests of whether one is right or not. I not only make predictions, I also participate in betting markets where making good predictions pays off and bad predictions fail hard.

      My mistake was in including your mental state in my prediction.

      Dr khallow, what matters here is that I know more than you realise. I am certainly glad you have learned something but you are the type of advocate that the nuclear industry doesn't need because you seem unable to listen. What you need to realise is that the Nuclear industry needs to progress to deal with some of the serious issue that it has. Fukushima is another example of the political, regulatory and operational processes in the Nuclear Industry gone wrong. It's difficult to see what benefit you gain from defending the status quo.

      The status quo is better than destroying another industry with poorly thought out regulation and barriers. For example, your letter sounds prudent, but it could just be a clever way to destroy the nuclear industry through application of heavy bureaucracy and unconstrained liability. Yes, I'm not knowledgeable enough to know the repercussions of various points of the letter or even if parts of it have already been implemented.

      I find it remarkable that the things I opined to be probable outcomes were ignored by you. That, more and more evidence is revealed that TEPCO is criminally negligent even with the hint of data you have suggested at. Coupled with the hard fact that S class facilities were compromised by the lose of a B class facility in line with the Seisemic design criteria for Nuclear reactors, documentation that I have provided link to in the past. If you can provide links to the *specific* point you mention, I'll assess the according to their worth.

      Well, sounds like the seeds of a viable prediction to me rest here. This accident is going to be deeply investigated. Any wrongdoing to any degree by TEPCO will be found and exposed because it will help exonerate (rightly or not) the Japanese government. I think wrongdoing and serious mistakes will be found (and you might have read threads where I predicted such in late March). Letting a cooling pond dry to the point that fuel rods caught on fire does indicate all was not well with TEPCO.

      My view is that the issue is whether TEPCO mismanaged the plant in such a way that they will be determined to be fully at fault for the accident or the fundamental fault will be blamed on the earthquake. For example, if the report claims that the accident would have occurred anyway even if TEPCO didn't make bad moves early on, that's an indication that the earthquake is getting the blame.

    188. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      What makes you think I did admit this point? Perhaps you ought to read what I wrote. To the contrary, predictions are fundamental tests of whether one is right or not. I not only make predictions, I also participate in betting markets where making good predictions pays off and bad predictions fail hard.

      In the context of our discussion what you do for a living is irrelevant. Insurance actuary or stock markets, whatever, unless you were using the same level of due diligence here as your employers demand without supporting data it means nothing. If you had the supporting data you would have presented it. As you have not it's unlikely you have applied the same standards. Therefore, in this context of this discussion, your casual predictions cannot be held to the same standard.

      I would be interested in your professional opinion if it were supported by actual data. Many other professionals have and their professional assessments have been unfavorable. I'll just stick with their findings, over yours.

      My mistake was in including your mental state in my prediction.

      You just can resist can you?

      The status quo is better than destroying another industry with poorly thought out regulation and barriers. For example, your letter [slashdot.org] sounds prudent

      If I wanted to destroy the Nuclear industry I would call for it to be dismantled and I would use my resources to convince others that it was necessary. As it stands I don't like it due to the blatant mis-management and would rather see standards improved so that it actually lived up to it's claims. You constantly accuse me of hysteria yet I am on the record for improvements to the Nuclear Industry at least as early as 2006 that are neither pro or anti nuclear. Pragmatically, I see structural issues that have to be addressed to avoid these incidents. Specifically I have called for the creation of a geologically sound spent fuel containment facility, in granite, to avoid these very situations. A reduction of the build up of spent fuel in cooling ponds at *every* nuclear reactor would significantly mitigate the consequences of accidents such as these.

      American Nuclear reactors contain far more spent fuel in the cooling ponds than Fukushima.

      Well, sounds like the seeds of a viable prediction to me rest here. This accident is going to be deeply investigated. Any wrongdoing to any degree by TEPCO will be found and exposed because it will help exonerate (rightly or not) the Japanese government. I think wrongdoing and serious mistakes will be found (and you might have read threads where I predicted such in late March).

      No you didn't. what you said was;

      In summary, I have shown that TEPCO, the owners of the Fukushima 1 nuclear plant, implemented safety systems and measures to mitigate the harm from earthquake and tsunami damage and that that these systems actually did mitigate the harm from a very large earthquake. Yet you continue your ignorant libel in the face of these facts. In your stunted view, not having high enough specs for safety systems is equivalent to all the crazy stuff that the Russians did at Chernobyl.

      But now I see you concede that this is a case of Criminal Negligence and that my sarcasm was justified whne I said "Fukushima shows that the Nuclear Industry really applied itself to learning the lessons of safety from Chernobyl" Well thanks for that Captain Obvious but that's not a prediction.

      Letting a cooling pond dry to the point that fuel rods caught on fire does indicate all was not well with TEPCO.

      What do you think "That, more and more evidence is revealed that TEPCO is criminally negligent even with the hint of data you have suggested at. Coupled with the hard fact that S class facilities were compromised by the lose of a B class facility in line with the Seisemic desi

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    189. Re:Lessor of two evils... by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      Henry Ford achieved economies of scale using an assembly line, because his product was labor-constrained. Most renewable energy is technology and materials-constrained. Scaling, even with an infinite amount of labor, won't make it economical. Just ask Solyndra.

      If you can make high-efficiency, you can make it cheaper and less efficient.

      Not really.

      But cheap oil and no national vision killed what could have been a great head start.

      I'm not sure how else to explain that the price of oil has nothing to do with electricity. This insane focus on replacing oil (in transport applications) did more to harm the development and uptake of solar photovoltaics than anything.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
    190. Re:Lessor of two evils... by khallow · · Score: 1
      There's no point to continuing this. Your six point argument was rebutted earlier in this thread. It contained really serious errors such as being completely wrong about a news article, bogus claims of spontaneous criticality, and ignoring the steady progress towards cold shutdown. You were demonstrated wrong at that point. Now you insist on misrepresenting what I say.

      I suspect that TEPCO will get the blame because the evidence is clear that the plant was mis-managed (back-up generators, sea wall, previous mishaps).

      Backup generators (which did work BTW for an hour before the tsunami) and too low sea walls (which met the regulations of the day) are not a sign of mismanagement. These were to spec, the disaster was out of spec. When the management is not responsible for the specification, then you can't blame out of spec disasters on mismanagement.

      Previous mishaps are, but the accident would have happened even if TEPCO didn't have the occasion mishap.

    191. Re:Lessor of two evils... by haruchai · · Score: 1

      Henry Ford achieved economies of scale using an assembly line, because his product was labor-constrained. Most renewable energy is technology and materials-constrained. Scaling, even with an infinite amount of labor, won't make it economical. Just ask Solyndra.

      Solyndra was looking for a way to get around the then-high cost of silicon. What hurt them is (probably) bad management and being undercut by China's recent investment of nearly $30 billion in solar alone. Had Reagan and subsequent administrations invested in solar at least to the extent that Carter envisioned, solar thermal and PV would have surpassed Hydro as the leading renewable form of electricity generation, possibly as long as 15 years ago.

      If you can make high-efficiency, you can make it cheaper and less efficient.

      Not really.

      Er, what? You get that I'm saying that if you have a way to make panels at a given efficiency, you should be able to make a cheaper panel that's less efficient, right?

      But cheap oil and no national vision killed what could have been a great head start.

      I'm not sure how else to explain that the price of oil has nothing to do with electricity. This insane focus on replacing oil (in transport applications) did more to harm the development and uptake of solar photovoltaics than anything.

      Check the historical percentage of petroleum-generated electricity - http://www.eia.gov/emeu/25opec/sld014.htm - 17% before the Arab Oil Embargo is nothing to sneeze at. Jimmy Carter is probably most responsible for the shift from oil to coal for electricity as for the interest in renewables, especially solar. Unfortunately, America did the 1st aggressively while only toying with the latter, until fairly recently.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    192. Re:Lessor of two evils... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Turns out I was wrong. - khallow September 24 2011

      Now you insist on misrepresenting what I say.

      You said what you said. Your discomfiture is that you made grandiose claims about March 24 a corner will be turned. All those six points show was, no a corner wasn't turned, whatever that's supposed to mean. Completely vague. That they were still trying to assess the situation. All you've rebutted is how those six point apply to NOW not to your March 24 claim. Yes they are making steady progress now, but your "prediction" was wrong then and still is. Just let it go khallow.

      Backup generators (which did work BTW for an hour before the tsunami) and too low sea walls (which met the regulations of the day) are not a sign of mismanagement. These were to spec, the disaster was out of spec. When the management is not responsible for the specification, then you can't blame out of spec disasters on mismanagement.

      So what you are saying is you know what the specification says? Because I have examined it and it quite clear about what the plant should be able to tolerate. You also claim "out of spec disasters" as a synonym for mis-management when the basis for this has already been trounced by data from, not me, but the reactors operator and manufacturers in this post. Also there are specific things that you say that indicate you don't have a deep enough understanding i.e, you say;

      Letting a cooling pond dry to the point that fuel rods caught on fire does indicate all was not well with TEPCO.

      but you have demonstrated you don't understand how it relates to

      Coupled with the hard fact that S class facilities were compromised by the lose of a B class facility

      Will only lead you to one place. Put it this way if I had to put my money on something I'd bet on GE over TEPCO.

      Previous mishaps are, but the accident would have happened even if TEPCO didn't have the occasion mishap.

      You are arguing against the facts.

      • The GE MI BWR cannot be operated above 70psi - [source cited previously ] Basis Design Issue 1
      • The spent fuel cooling pool seals require constant power to remain sealed or the water leaks out [source cited previously ] Basis Design Issue 2
      • S class facilities (reactor, cooling pool) cannot be compromised by a loss of a C class facility [source cited previously ]

      These are known design flaws with the reactor, that's why the operating parameters are set out by the manufacturer. The consequences were known and that's exactly what happened. TEPCO took a chance a tsunami that size would never happened and skimped on a sea wall big enough to protect the backup generators and lost. We all did.

      There's no point to continuing this.

      Yes, you are lost.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  2. That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Opportunist · · Score: 1

    It's not that they fear (or already know about) more security holes in their SIMATIC and the ensuing fallout from it. Nooooo...

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by diegocg · · Score: 1

      That's just stupid. SIMATIC is used to automate things, it's not designed to be used only in nuclear power plants. They aren't going to stop making these machines.

    2. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Arancaytar · · Score: 1

      ensuing fallout

      *RIMSHOT*

    3. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nothing nearly that modern is used in US power plants.

    4. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by flappinbooger · · Score: 1

      yeah, carry on all they want about "renewable resources" and other buzzwords about energy.

      This is about stuxnet.

      Or, rather, about their lawyers' assessment of the potential apocalyptic ramifications of Stuxnet and imitators.

      --
      Flappinbooger isn't my real name
    5. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Of course you can use that in other plants too. But let's be honest, what's the harm if somewhere a mail sorter doesn't work? So mail gets delivered a day late. Here's some money, shut up, nobody who mattered noticed anyway, and we'll cover the three complaints you'll get.

      It's kinda hard to hush up something like Fukushima. You do NOT want your name associated with the answer to the question "Now, how the HELL could something like that happen?"

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    6. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Sir_Sri · · Score: 1

      And who built Fukushima? Oh right, GE. Doesn't seem to have hurt their reputation any.

      I grant you, the public is stupid. But people with brains, call them 'european elites' if you want, or just the people who should actually be making decisions about these things realize a 40 year old set of reactors hit by a magnitude 9 earthquake and a tsunami is a very different problem than a reactor designed today.

    7. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is called "SieMatic" and your reasoning is full of shit.

      When Siemens drops nuclear energy as part of its business model the nuclear lobby in Germany has lost.

      End of story.

    8. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      SIMATIC is a product from the division Industry Automation of the industry sector of Siemens. Nuclear power generation is part of the energy sector of Siemens. The influence of this decision on SIMATIC is small as it is only a small internal customer compared to other internal and external customers. And the influence of the security holes on this decision is nil. If the nuclear power generation business would be viable, making it secure would be pocket change, which they have to do anyway.

    9. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Asic+Eng · · Score: 1

      I think more likely the reason is a hopeless business situation Siemens has maneuvered itself into. They used to have a partnership with French company Areva, then they wanted to ditch them in favour of Russian Rosatom. Areva sued and won, banning Siemens from competing internationally with their former partner and paying them EU 682 million in compensation. Together with basically the complete loss of the domestic market, Siemens had no options left. Source (German language).

    10. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      There is no doubt about that. Ok, allow me to reiterate properly so it becomes easier to grasp what I want to express. Maybe I didn't make myself clear enough.

      Siemens has currently a security problem in its SIMATIC SCADA. It's been shown (after a lot of delay due to NSA intervention) that an attacker can take control of a S7 system and reprogram it without the privileges to do so.

      Fukushima served as an example of a nuclear disaster. I do not think that using Siemens (or any) technology could have avoided it. Building a nuke plant next to the sea shore is kinda ... well, asking for trouble. What I wanted to express is that now everyone is asking "who is responsible". And yes, in this case, it was not the technology that was responsible. It was, as far as I can tell, a poor choice of location and a lack of proper maintenance. But the question remains: Who is responsible? And whoever is will get to feel the heat for it.

      Now imagine a terrorist attack on a nuke plant by using a security flaw in the control hard- or software. Who will be blamed? Of course the company that installed the flawed hard- and software. I think that Siemens just does not want to carry that risk, because even the newest reactor could blow if the control systems do not prevent it, or worse, are programmed to cause it.

      I do think that Siemens knows of even more security flaws than are actually already public knowledge, possibly refitting and patching would cost more than it's worth. And with the recent move of the German government to make a bold statement against nuclear power, I think they just saw this as the perfect excuse to withdraw themselves. It's a good PR move, showing that Siemens backs the German government and the general anti-nuke-plant movement that is gaining strength again while at the same time moving that elephant out of the room. They needn't admit their SCADA is flawed as a reason why they withdraw from nuclear plants, they can simply say that they want to do the "right thing" and follow the anti-nuke movement.

      Seriously, since when has any company cared about the politics of a nation as long as it doesn't affect them?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    11. Re:That's the reason. SUUUURE! by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      Arrggghh. Dammit; a leak of interesting facts polluting my Slashdot discussion.

      Thanks anyway.. I'm sure the brain mutations this causes will be for the best of the species anyway.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
  3. So what? by couchslug · · Score: 2

    Importing power from France is like importing it from one US State to another. The distances are short, Germany can be nuke-free, and can purchase electricity without building expensive infrastructure it doesn't need.

    Germany may as well pay France as dump billions into constructing and maintaining reactors.

    --
    "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    1. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or Germany may find ways to control power usage or even ration power.

      Making new power plants is the Red Queens Race (or Jevon's Paradox if you prefer) however changing the rules (this is all ya got and are gonna get) can allow for homeostasis. Also the German population will be shrinking sooner than later and will probably need less power anyway.

    2. Re:So what? by diegocg · · Score: 1

      That's not how the European Union works. Germany is not going to rely on France to provide them electricity, they are going to make plans to produce themselves all the power they need - and export to other countries, if they can.

    3. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A red queen's race is when you run yet stay in the same place - you are never ahead. As far as I can tell there is always electricity available when I turn on the light switch, so the metaphor doesn't apply. The situation we are in is that power use always increases, and it is perfectly possible to have production keep pace. The main problem with that is you end up with the dispersed pollution and CO2 from coal, gas and oil fired plants, or you end up with the erratic output from alternative energy. The one way so far to avoid the big problems is nuclear, so this story is sad.

    4. Re:So what? by couchslug · · Score: 2
      --
      "This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
    5. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      So how do they get power on a week where the sun is mostly blocked by clouds, the wind doesn't blow much and there are only tiny waves? They will buy it from France because solar, tidal and wind are not dependable. Unless you want blackouts, there must in total be enough capacity in dependable energy like oil, gas, coal and nuclear to power everything. All solar, tidal and wind can buy you is the ability to run your main power infrastructure at less than full capacity on sunny and windy days. Oil and gas will get more expensive at some point, so really it's down to a single choice: coal or nuclear. Which do you want? Nuclear is the obvious choice to me, and once you've got nuclear up and running, you might as well run it all the time since fuel isn't that expensive, so there's no point in alternative energy.

    6. Re:So what? by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 2
      Before the decision to shut down nuclear power in Germany, they were a major exporter of electricity with about 90 gigawats of domestic usage and producing 130 gigawatts. Taking away the 25 gigawatts from nuclear and they can just about meet their internal demand, if all goes to plan.

      This winter, Amprion predicts its grid will have 84,000 megawatts of electricity at its disposal, to provide 81,000 megawatts needed for consumption - an uncomfortably slim margin of safety, Mr. Vanzetta said. In prior years, electricity was readily available for purchase on the European grid if the price was right. But exported German power is what helped keep France glowing in winter.

      --
      It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
      Be yourself no matter what they say
    7. Re:So what? by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      Nope. They can't because:
      1) Demand is growing.
      2) Wind/solar power needs backup.

      And German industry knows it, that's why many new coal power plants are being built.

      That's why it's highly doubtful that 35% of renewable energy production will be sustained.

    8. Re:So what? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      They are not just ditching nuclear, they plan to build additional renewable capacity so they can continue to export and profit from it. It is seen as an economic stimulus and the technology developed by companies like Siemens will be exported all over the world. Germany actually exports more than China in value terms, and to maintain that they have to be at the forefront of technology and have the experience to set up and manage it in other countries.

      Their decision is not some reactionary anti-nuclear rhetoric as many on Slashdot seem to think, it is a plan maintain their position of leadership in this field.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    9. Re:So what? by Zoxed · · Score: 1

      > Their decision is not some reactionary anti-nuclear rhetoric as many on Slashdot seem to think, it is a plan maintain their position of leadership in this field.

      I beg to differ: as I understand it the SDP/Greens agreed to a) not build any new nuclear plants and b) shutdown the existing ones when they reached the end-of-life. The CDU came in and *reversed* that decision. Later came Fukushima, the press reacted, some state elections loomed which were going to be close for the CDU and so they suddenly reversed their own reversion !

    10. Re:So what? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      Nope. They can't because:
      1) Demand is growing.
      2) Wind/solar power needs backup.

      And German industry knows it, that's why many new coal power plants are being built.

      1) Demand is not gropwing, it is constant more or less and shrinking in the long run.
      2) that is an urban legend, germany is interconnected in a electriic grid spanning nearly half the planet. We don't need local "backup" for wind.
      3) The "new" coal plants are mainly build to replace old inefficient or dirty plants.

      That's why it's highly doubtful that 35% of renewable energy production will be sustained.

      There is noting to be doubt about this. If people who claim to have knowledge about generation three nuclear plants, would care to read a little bit about renewables the internet and especially /. would not be full with FUD.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    11. Re:So what? by the_other_chewey · · Score: 1

      1) Demand is growing.

      It really isn't.

    12. Re:So what? by ultranova · · Score: 1

      They are not just ditching nuclear, they plan to build additional renewable capacity so they can continue to export and profit from it.

      What they actually are building is coal plants.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    13. Re:So what? by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      So how do they get power on a week where the sun is mostly blocked by clouds, the wind doesn't blow much and there are only tiny waves? They will buy it from France because solar, tidal and wind are not dependable. Unless you want blackouts, there must in total be enough capacity in dependable energy like oil, gas, coal and nuclear to power everything.

      All solar, tidal and wind can buy you is the ability to run your main power infrastructure at less than full capacity on sunny and windy days.

      Ahh yes; because the tides stop whenever the wind goes away.

      Oil and gas will get more expensive at some point, so really it's down to a single choice: coal or nuclear. Which do you want? Nuclear is the obvious choice to me, and once you've got nuclear up and running, you might as well run it all the time since fuel isn't that expensive, so there's no point in alternative energy.

      Your whole post shows a major misunderstanding of the electricity supply system. A nuclear power plant is a more or less stable supply, though, due to the need for extreme safety mechanisms, it may well just suddenly drop of the grid at any time, but when running it has a more or less constant out put no matter what. This makes it a "base load" system. Once you have it heated you basically need to keep generating or you will have problems. In the grid, hower, there is not a constant single level of demand. Demand varies from day to day, from hour to hour and often (e.g. during an important commercial break) from minute to minute. You need a wide ranging mix of power sources. Understand this and you will see that alternative energy sources have some very nice characteristics. Wind power can be stopped in small numbers of seconds simply by adjusting the angle of the blades on the generators; it can be started again almost as quickly. Hydro is extremely quick and reliable to switch on and off which makes it useful to the extent that sometimes there are even systems which take the excess power which the Nuclear plant can't stop generating and use it to pump water back up the hill for later (look up "pump storage" - one of the technologies that I think we should be seriously investing in - as you do so, note that it was invented to make up for the problem of power plants being unable to vary their output).

      Really nice about alternative energy is that mostly sunny days tend to be opposite to windy days. In many hot areas, solar power almost exactly matches the need for air-conditioning; Geothermal will work slightly better at night (better cooling). Wave power tends to be noticably delayed compared to strong winds. Having said all that; it's clear that, for economic reasons (it's always cheaper only to handle the 99% case than 100%) you will have some times when energy output from all alternative energy sources falls below what's desirable. What do you want in this case? Well, these drops will be periods several hours long and will be predictable hours/days in advance. This fits the characteristics of Coal (for long periods of cloudy, windless, low rainfall weather with peaks happening at high or low tide) or gas (for shorter, less predictable periods).

      The real question is, how much space is there for Nuclear in this picture? To me it seems that the likely answer is "a little". However, the more that I see that every debate about Nuclear gets filled with a bunch of shills supporting the Nuclear industry at the same time as completely failing to get their facts even vaguely right, I think "with these idiots running it; none at all".

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    14. Re:So what? by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      http://hardware.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=2434012&cid=37448922

      Nice and sensible although I would like to point out that the 'base load' is not really just 'a little'. This is where your otherwise (for a renewables supported) suprisingly reasonable comment starts to fall apart.

    15. Re:So what? by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      1) What are your thoughts on electric cars, in example?

      "2) that is an urban legend, germany is interconnected in a electriic grid spanning nearly half the planet."

      That is an urban legend. Even assuming that electric grid that spans the whole of eurasia that's 10% of the planet at best it would be interesting if you could advise of a known system that could shift any useful electricity source from, let's say for the sake of the argument, Bejing? (otherwise why would you mention the size of this mythical grid)

    16. Re:So what? by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      My fundamental assumption is that wind and similar variable supply alternatives should be decisively over-provisioned (e.g. it should have to operate at about 20% of maximum capacity in order to supply it's average expected load), and that that, combined with things like geothermal and tidal should provide the base fundamentals of the grid; effectively the base load. The studies (by a "trusted 3rd party", Stanford) linked from Wikipedia say that you can use 33% of average capacity as baseload as long as you link together ten or more wind farms. At the point where this is done you don't need the large base load power plants of the past just fill in for peaks and/or rare periods where large amounts of your wind and solar falls at the same time and you don't have enough hydro to make up for it.

      I'd also add another thing that I believe is important, and is definitely coming. Chemical storage of energy. There are various processes for converting electricity into methane. This is a much better process than conversion into hydrogen for a number of reasons.

      • Methane can be transported in the same pipes as Natural gas.
      • Excess Methane can safely and easily be used to fuel vehicles
      • Methane is much easier to store than hydrogen; it doesn't leak away
      • Methane is more stable and safer than hydrogen
      • Methane can be used to make polyethene etc..

      Now think about a methane generating plant close to a Wind farm and a gas turbine power plant. The conversion plant is able to get really cheap energy from the wind farm when the wind is high (transmission capacity doesn't have to be built for all of the wind power available) and should be running most of the time with the exception of special times of low wind or moderate wind and high demand. If the wind speed collapses, then there's transmission capacity which makes the gas plant cheap to run. Excess energy can be converted into sellable fuel. By having a simple pipeline you can get fuel away when there's an excess and guarantee the gas plant can run when you have a non windy period or a moderately windy period and high demand from elsewhere.

      In other words, you have a combined power strategy which is (locally) carbon negative and which will provide proper base load power. Now imagine a Germany which has invested in this big time. Like 80% of their power needs. Suddenly they have gone from being an net energy importer to being an exporter of both electricity and natural gas.

      Does this rely on new / risky / difficult technology? I guess a there's a small risk with the methane generation (though hydrogen could be substituted without to many of the arguments changing). I think, though that it's mostly just an engineering and money question. The Germans are probably the right ones to pull it off though they'll probably have to get involved in some more windy/sunny countries to do so, and if they do it will be the French buying energy from them and not the other way.

      Next add the fact that there are a bunch of new ideas for energy storge (underwater high pressure air! / underground pump storage) and generation (advanced wave technologies; concentrated solar into molten salt) really starting to appear and we have a situation which should be exciting Slashdotters and making them ask "how would I work around that" and "what could I do to make that better". Instead we end up with a big pile of what is frankly whining about how the world doesn't understand how they understand Nuclear (and I'm not including your excellent post about base load there; knowing the problem is the first stage of working out how to fix it). What could you guys do to make consumers not mind a smart grid which reduced their electricity supply occasionally?

      Look to the future guys and gals.. There's going to be lots of jobs in Germany working this all out.

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    17. Re:So what? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If you mean half the planet in terms of "area" you are right. In terms of distance I would say 17,000 km from west to east (on the northern hemisphere) is half the circumference on this latitude.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    18. Re:So what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      that is an urban legend, germany is interconnected in a electriic grid spanning nearly half the planet. We don't need local "backup" for wind.

      It doesn't work like that quite yet. Plans to utilize Norwegian oversupply of water power are still, well, on the table for example. The European grid is not yet implemented due to various market conditions and legislative issues. Local grids need still some serious investment and fundamental rework on markets, software and usage models. I'm still waiting for that desktop computer implemented with asynchronous logic and MRAM.. ;)

    19. Re:So what? by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      That leaves the second part of the question. Distribution.

    20. Re:So what? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I don't get it, what exactly si your question regarding distribution?

      The grid already exists. If you build a new plant regardless what kind it is, you plug it to the grid, thats it ...

      The longest thinkable power line you need to build would be for an offshore wind park (40km or so ...) or for a solar plant in the middle of the deserts of Mongolia (500km perhaps).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  4. Not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What the guy says is they will continue to build power-generation equipment, just not be involved with paying for and managing nuclear operations. Looks like a case of general business fail and sour grapes more than something forced by Germany's decision to move away from nukular.

  5. On Germany.. by Renraku · · Score: 1

    I do not fault Germany for wanting to increase their reliance on renewable resources for power generation. However, I do fault them for wanting to phase out nuclear power, since it is really the only viable generating method for the future-at-large.

    Think about how much coal and how many coal plants will be required to replace their nuclear plants. I'd rather run the tiny tiny chance of an accident at a nuclear plant than the very large risk that I'll be coughing up black spit and dying at 35 from lung cancer when I've never smoked.

    France, on the other hand, will be making a killing selling their nuclear power to Germany..I bet they're scrambling to build a couple of plants for it right now..

    --
    Job? I don't have time to get a job! Who will sit around and bitch about being broke and unemployed then?
    1. Re:On Germany.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know... at least in Germany all the coal power plants have effective filters which remove dust. I think that became mandatory here 30 years ago. So I really have no clue why everyone is saying that coal plants poison people and why this is assumed to be unavoidable.

    2. Re:On Germany.. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Think about how much coal and how many coal plants will be required to replace their nuclear plants. I'd rather run the tiny tiny chance of an accident at a nuclear plant than the very large risk that I'll be coughing up black spit and dying at 35 from lung cancer when I've never smoked.

      Well, if you would live in germany you likely would think different. After all germany is more or less liek Japan very densly populated. If a plant goes boom here ... we can evacuate a quarter fo our country.
      Regarding your coal complaints: that is the reason why our plants filter the exhaust ...

      France, on the other hand, will be making a killing selling their nuclear power to Germany..I bet they're scrambling to build a couple of plants for it right now..

      France is not really selling power to europe. They more or less can manage to produce enough for their own use. They sell power during spring time, and import power the rest of the year, mainly from germany btw.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    3. Re:On Germany.. by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      If a plant goes boom here ... we can evacuate a quarter fo our country.

      You seem to be under the impression that modern nuclear power plants are built with the capability to explode as the most effective dirty bomb in history. Your impression is hilariously false.

    4. Re:On Germany.. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Lol,

      my impression is not false. Yours is. In germany we have no "modern nuclear plants" the youngest plant is 40 years old.

      Three easy steps to let it "go boom": cut it's external power supply, destroy its emergency power generators, wait till the molten core hits ground water ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:On Germany.. by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      I said "modern". I'm addressing your argument against building any NEW plants.

    6. Re:On Germany.. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      We are not discussing building new plants ^-^
      We are discussing abandoning old ones ... repeating myths about new plants wont help.
      Why do I call it myths? Because no country on the world is building new plants right now. But when germany decides to give up its old plants, everyone is shouting: let them build new ones (you are to scared to do it yourself, so why should we?).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:On Germany.. by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      no country on the world is building new plants right now

      Nonsense.

      you are to scared to do it yourself, so why should we?

      I'm in the UK, and we *are* building new plants.

    8. Re:On Germany.. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I'm in the UK, and we *are* building new plants.

      Care to point one out? Google yields exactly: ZERO.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:On Germany.. by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_the_United_Kingdom#2008_Go-ahead_given

      Admittedly it's still in the planning and politics phase.

  6. Russian gas by quenda · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Thats OK, The Germans can rely on their good friends in Russia for a cheap reliable supply of natural gas to fire their power stations for the next century or so while they work on alternatives. What could go wrong?

    1. Re:Russian gas by Hentes · · Score: 1

      Well for a start the Ukraineans can cut it every time they have a price debate with Russia.

    2. Re:Russian gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, not any more. Google Nord Stream Pipeline and you know why.

    3. Re:Russian gas by Josef+Meixner · · Score: 1

      No longer, the pipeline through the Baltic Sea is finished and the first deliveries of gas have started. So the next price dispute between Russia and Ukraine will have much less impact

    4. Re:Russian gas by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      . So the next price dispute between Russia and Ukraine will have much less impact

      Not if you ask Ukraine. ~

    5. Re:Russian gas by drolli · · Score: 0

      That is an exxageration. This was not about Germany exiting nuclear power (it is clear since a long time ago that there would be never a new nuclear power plant in Germany), but about Siemens deciding that the future prospects are bad and that they don't want to take the risks. It is unclear if even Japan as a very pro-nuclear nation will build many more power plants.

      If there is a regulation change due to Fukushima it may very well be that this happens a few years later (when everything is analysed in detail) and you dont want to be stuck in the middle of an big project, where you just allocated the money when you have to put it on hold for a few years to re-certify everything.

      If you have no backing from the government for military reasons for nuclear power, this is an financially extremely risky business.

    6. Re:Russian gas by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Same thing as always, the East European nations are accused of siphoning off the pipe and Russia shuts down the gas.

    7. Re:Russian gas by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 0

      What could go wrong?

      The same that could have gone wrong the last 45 years. You miss the fact we import gas from russia since ... ages?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:Russian gas by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      They are not just going to turn their nuclear plants off tomorrow, they have a decade to replace them. If the worst happens and for some reason they can't meet the target I'm sure they will just keep some running.

      Or do you think they are really that stupid?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    9. Re:Russian gas by data2 · · Score: 1

      Nope, we build and just finished a new pipeline exactly for this reason.

    10. Re:Russian gas by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Which countries does it run through?

    11. Re:Russian gas by 21mhz · · Score: 1

      Which countries does it run through?

      None. It starts in Russia, runs on the bottom of the Baltic Sea, and comes out in Germany.

      --
      My exception safety is -fno-exceptions.
    12. Re:Russian gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see this going to a very dark place, very dark indeed.

    13. Re:Russian gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not much. The Russians know the Poles are sitting on shale gas. They can outcompete the Poles (shale gas isn't cheap) but it does mean that they can't pull ridiculous stunts. And the EU then probably wouldn't mind putting an import duties of gas "for environmental reasons"; Poland as a fellow EU member of course doesn't pay them.

      No, the whole Nordstream gas pipeline (bypassing the Ukraine) shows what happens if you fuck around in this market. People will spend billions just to teach you a lesson.

    14. Re:Russian gas by KZigurs · · Score: 1

      Think of the kaboom you can do with a few kgs of TNT now. and the best bit - the whole thing will practically need to be rebuilt from the scratch :)

    15. Re:Russian gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know my good friend Krutov, but let's celebrate by smoking these fine cigars right next to a new petrol refinery while france's president is in town. Isn't it nice to know that nothing can go wro--*boom*

    16. Re:Russian gas by 21mhz · · Score: 1

      If I were into it, I'd go for an "accidentally" dropped anchor. Works with fiber optic cables all the time ;-)

      But seriously, I don't think splicing a ruptured underwater pipeline in shallow waters is that difficult. And surely they have protection for cutting off a major fire or explosion. Russia actually got a land pipeline sabotaged some years ago. The damage was localized.

      --
      My exception safety is -fno-exceptions.
    17. Re:Russian gas by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      You'd thinks so but they don't. That's the wonderful thing with gas as opposed to liquid. Once a long pipeline is pressurised even if a leak is instantly detected and isolated both sides a ruptured pipe could be spewing gas at pressure for days before it slows down to the point where it may not post a massive risk.

      This has actually happened in Australia off the coast of Melbourne. A ship's anchor actually did hit a gas pipeline. There ocean had a cloud of butane rising out of it for a long time before the pressure dropped.

  7. 90 % Chance parent is a closet homosexual by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Been spending alot of time looking at gay porn lately, fag?

  8. wow by Chewbacon · · Score: 1, Interesting

    At first I thought the German government lost it and were overreacting about Japan. But now a company who does business world wide is dropping nuclear power I'm asking myself: is there too much lead in the water over there or is the country just fucking crazy on their own?

    --
    Chewbacon
    The Bible is like Wikipedia: written by a bunch of people and verifiable by questionable sources.
    1. Re:wow by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

      At first I thought the German government lost it and were overreacting about Japan. But now a company who does business world wide is dropping nuclear power I'm asking myself: is there too much lead in the water over there or is the country just fucking crazy on their own?

      I take it you've never studied this past century's world history?

      --
      #DeleteChrome
    2. Re:wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Infected blankets for Indians, segregation, Versailles treaty, German American Bund, McCarthy, space race made possible by developers of German WMD, looking the other way as Chinese and Russians murdered more people than the nazis did, weapons & support for Saddam and mujahedeen, ...

    3. Re:wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's called Stuxnet targets Siemens reactors, and will likely not be able to sell more reactors to such "unfriendly" countries to the west such as Iran. Japan's issues are likely just lucky timing for them to save a little face.

    4. Re:wow by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, why don't you count the number of nuclear plants under construction world wide and try to estimate how much business Siemens could do there? If you think a little about it you realize: USA does not build nuclear plants, AFAIK right now no plant is under construction in Europe, Russian plants are build by russian companies. No plant under construction in Australia, Japan, South Africa ...

      So: what is your suggestion where a company like Siemens should make business? In China? India? Parkistan? Iran? Irak?

      is there too much lead in the water over there or is the country just fucking crazy on their own?

      Unlike other countries we have regulations and quality checks that prevent "to much lead" in water ;D

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At first I thought the German government lost it and were overreacting about Japan. But now a company who does business world wide is dropping nuclear power I'm asking myself: is there too much lead in the water over there or is the country just fucking crazy on their own?

      You just have no idea about German energy politics.

      The decision to abandon nuclear power dates back to ca. 2000 - the present (pro nuclear) administration had initially intended to extend the lifetime of nuclear plants past the limits set by its (anti nuclear) predecessor but decided against this step in the wake of the Japan incident.

      The Japan incident didn't change much about the existing plans (and laws) that set the exit from nuclear power into motion, it just prevented a planned dilution of those laws.

    6. Re:wow by foniksonik · · Score: 1

      I can see this as a way to bail out France from their banking crisis while spinning good PR in some camps, letting France save face, and increasing jobs for lower income workers. Hopefully it is a short term strategic maneuver.

      --
      A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
  9. German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by A+beautiful+mind · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If instead of trying to increase renewable capacity desperately - I'm doubtful about the execution of a very large ramp-up in renewable energy generation capacity in itself - the German government would try to decrease fossil fuel use, they'd save at least 25k lives per year as compared to shutting down nuclear plants and letting fossil fuel based ones operate.

    Based on deaths per TWh(which includes Chernobyl for nuclear), it takes about 160 lives to generate one TWh by coal and 0.04 lives per TWh by nuclear fission. Germany in 2008 generated 291TWh of electricity from coal, that's about 47'000 lives lost in one year.

    Keeping all the nuclear capacity and spending the ramp-up in renewables to shut down coal plants would save tens of thousands of lives. Shutting down nuclear plants forces Germany to open about 20 new fossil fuel based plants, because even with a substantial increase in renewable capacity they cannot meet demand.

    This is nothing short of mass murder through ignorance.

    --
    It takes a man to suffer ignorance and smile
    Be yourself no matter what they say
    1. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mass murder, perhaps, but not by ignorance. Mass murder by whatever means is going to become the standard in the next century or haven't you heard that, in order to create a sustainable world, we have to reduce the population of the world to 500 million by the end of THIS century (some say 100 million). Given that, we won't need nuclear, coal, oil or any of the other sources that are causing so many problems in someone or else's mind. Imagine the power requirements of the United States at the end of the century when the population has been reduced to about 20 million ( do the math, 7 billion down to 500 million distributed evenly across the planet means the current 300 million or so Americans gets reduced to about 20 million or so (what's a million here or there when there are hundreds of millions to be eliminated.).) and they're living in relatively small reserves rather than being spread out all over the place. A few windmills or solar collectors in the right places with some relatively simple backups like energy storage in molten salts or heavy gyros to take up the slack will be all we need.

      It's going to be a wonderful future. There just won't be as many of us to enjoy it. Ah, but that's the key to the wonderful future, fewer of us.

    2. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lol

    3. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by wronski · · Score: 4, Funny

      I didnt realize these plants generated power through human sacrifce. How does that work? I suppose that if you carve out someones heart and then Quetzaqual grants you a few gigajoules.

    4. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by rtaylor · · Score: 2

      Coal mining deaths are measured in workers per 100,000 ton and the world currently burns roughly 1 billion short-tons per year.

      --
      Rod Taylor
    5. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually, it's Huitzilopochtli that grants the gigajoules.

    6. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. The deaths by TWh chart has been to be proven absolutely false. Some elementary fishing around in a search engine can easily show you that.

    7. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by jhol13 · · Score: 1

      "There are no reactors in existence that are as unsafe as the Chernobyl reactor was."

      The problem is, that the study you give is totally bogus, not alone because of that one lie. Sure all reactors are safer than the one just blew - until they blow. Just check the "core damage frequency" - even the "official" number is a tad big (if all energy in earth is done by nuclear, one reactor will blow every 100 years - history has shown the number to be few orders of magnitude bigger).

      I have not heard of a single solar installation fatality - neither has the guy who did the "study". That is why he compared any "rooftop worker" to be equal to solar installation - WTF?
      Then the time scales are very different. Why not calculate nuclear research done during 40-50's for nuclear energy death toll? Because it would make it look horrible.

    8. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ..but I don't bother linking to any specific study or even a number of them because otherwise I'd have to defend them here.

      (But when I force the opponent to do the elementary fishing himself, I can always call a straw man when he picks a bad article. Cool, eh?)

    9. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by khallow · · Score: 1

      "There are no reactors in existence that are as unsafe as the Chernobyl reactor was."

      It's worth noting here that Russia still operates a small number of the reactors of this class. I gather the last one is scheduled to shutdown around 2020 or so.

      The problem is, that the study you give is totally bogus, not alone because of that one lie. Sure all reactors are safer than the one just blew - until they blow. Just check the "core damage frequency" - even the "official" number is a tad big (if all energy in earth is done by nuclear, one reactor will blow every 100 years - history has shown the number to be few orders of magnitude bigger).

      There are reactor designs that don't "blow". The fact that you treat all reactors as equal in their potential for disaster merely indicates that you don't understand the problem.

      I have not heard of a single solar installation fatality - neither has the guy who did the "study". That is why he compared any "rooftop worker" to be equal to solar installation - WTF?

      Nor would you. Someone falling off a roof isn't news.

      Then the time scales are very different. Why not calculate nuclear research done during 40-50's for nuclear energy death toll? Because it would make it look horrible.

      And it would be completely irrelevant to modern nuclear power since the designs have, despite your rambling to the contrary, improved greatly in safety. OTOH, the worker falling off a roof problem is a risk that could happen with each solar panel installation (or repair) and doesn't really change over time.

    10. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      haven't you heard that, in order to create a sustainable world, we have to reduce the population of the world to 500 million by the end of THIS century (some say 100 million).

      Really? Did they start signing people up for environmentalist death squads just yet?

    11. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by HKLE · · Score: 1

      Hi I think, that those statistics are not a good ground for discussion 1) The statistics forget about indirect deaths (how much deaths are attributed to the Tchernobly accident ????) I think, all counts on death rates after this are wrong and the estimations are unrealistic - on the low end and on the high end. 2) You forget about one inevitable follow up - even if death rate may be low - this is the uninhabitable area after such an accident. The Tchernobly area was not densely populated - and they even had to evacuated - how many ? - people ....; the situation would be totally different in densely populated central Europe. All states in Europe tend to place their nuclear power plants at less densely populated areas and/or near their state borders - but at the cost of neighboring countries. So - no chance to get out of this mess. So - in my opinion - nuclear power is an environmental crime commited by a few at the cost for all of us. Simply because the potential dangers involved are far greater than any other energy source currently available - even the dreaded coal plants. Statistics look back - as you have done in your post - but a simple personal risk evaluation would teach us otherwise. So - be cautious with such statements on mass murder. I personnally think, it is the other way round - the people promoting nuclear power are the - future - mass murderers.

    12. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Geez Louise, what's with Slashdot these days? There appear to be more lobbyists and shills than normal people.

    13. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didnt realize these plants generated power through human sacrifce. How does that work? I suppose that if you carve out someones heart and then Quetzaqual grants you a few gigajoules.

      They should really cancel that contract with the Druuge.

    14. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Keeping all the nuclear capacity and spending the ramp-up in renewables to shut down coal plants would save tens of thousands of lives. Shutting down nuclear plants forces Germany to open about 20 new [dw-world.de] fossil fuel based plants, because even with a substantial increase in renewable capacity they cannot meet demand.

      That is wrong. The new coal plants are under construction or in planning since a decade or longer. There is no relation to the current shut down of nuclear plants. They are mainly build to replace older inefficient or more dirty plants.
      Regarding lives safed: if we don't buy the coal, someone else will. There is no life safed in switching to or keeping nuclear power.
      Also keep in mind, even if it is cynical: people dieng elsewhere to coal is not the same as people dieing at home to nuclear.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    15. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fossil plants have one or more chimney, constantly spewing CO2, sulphur, heavily lung-damaging particulate dust matter and even coal-burn derived radioatcive aerosol all around the countryside. Before the german re-unificiation of 1990, the communist Eastern Germany (GDR) was famous for the acid rains it gave to Central-Eastern-Europe, because of the high-suphur content "brown coal" they used to burn in their fossil-based powerplants.

      Today the life expectancy of adult males in communist China is just 54 years, because they gain heart condition and eventual arrest due to the smog and dust that GDR-like coal-burning powerplants spew all around the chicom mainland. There was a reason why all factories within 3 days walk of Beijing had to be stopped already two weeks in advance before the 2008 summer Olympic Game. Sportsman would have died before the first quarter of the Marathon run otherwise.

      Reportedly US spysats have difficulty eyeing the new chinese large stealth attack plane prototype making its errands, not because the han people are hiding it, but because the hazy photochemical film constantly hovering in the chinese mainland airspace degrade the optical resolution over 3x times!

    16. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's spelled Quetzalcoatl

    17. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by jhol13 · · Score: 1

      There are reactor designs that don't "blow".

      Fukushima did not, apparently, "blow". I consider it did - I do not really care whether we get a "mushroom" (Chernobyl) or whether the uranium gets loose by earth quake/tsunami (or in post processing facility or ...).

      Sure, modern nuclear reactors are safer than old ones, but so is everything else and therefore his statistics (from 60's) are a blatant lie.

      Even the latest and greatest nuclear reactors (which exist only in paper ...) have, IMO, far too big CDF (core damage frequency). I do not give a flying fuck about theoretical CDF, I care what happens in real life. History has shown the theoretical CDF to be hugely underestimated and I see no reason to believe the future ones to be several orders of magnitude safer than current state-of-the-art ones like Olkiluoto 3.

    18. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by khallow · · Score: 1

      Sure, modern nuclear reactors are safer than old ones, but so is everything else and therefore his statistics (from 60's) are a blatant lie.

      Nonsense. You need to keep in mind that safety improvement is not uniform. For example, nuclear reactors had a lot of room for improvement and they have done so. While coal mining still had inherent dangers that simply can't be removed. Then add in that much of the mining is in the Third World, many places which don't achieve the safety standard of 60s era mines.

      History only has something like four examples of meltdowns in civilian power plants over a span of 60 years. Only one of those, Chernobyl, killed people. That may invalidate some of the more optimistic CDF estimates, but it does indicate that core meltdowns are very infrequent, and generally don't cause much damage when they occur.

    19. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by tokul · · Score: 1

      I didnt realize these plants generated power through human sacrifce. How does that work? I suppose that if you carve out someones heart and then Quetzaqual grants you a few gigajoules.

      Fraulen Muller from HR goes under name of Quetzaqual outside of office hours. If you stop those power plants, fraulen will delete 25k records from her payroll database.

    20. Re:German policy costs at least 25000 lives/year by jhol13 · · Score: 1

      You are very much lying now. In Fukushima there were fatalities - and will be in the future (e.g. people have eaten radioactive cow). The amount of leaked caesium has been underestimated. By how much, nobody knows, real value is very much unknown.

      According to "theory" there should have been far less than one core damage during last 60 years - in Fukushima alone there was four. From this we can deduce that CDF is underestimated by at least two orders of magnitude, and I'd be willing to bet it is intentional. In Germany there are no or very few fatalities from wind and solar combined - most of the solar is not rooftop (and the safety record of rooftop solar is much better than the claim - 60's does not count).

      In none solar or wind powered areas (material scavenging, power generation, wahtnot) there are no 10'000 year "prohibited areas", in nuclear we have quite a few. But maybe this is "not much damage" ...

  10. Greenwash by afabbro · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If they were making money hand over fist, they would not be exiting nuclear power. Because they decided to exit nuclear power, they take the opportunity to make it look like they're concerned about society.

    This is not much different than companies saying "we're going green" and getting rid of postal-mail bills. They're "going green" because it saves them money. If it it was more expensive to send email than paper, you can be certain they would still be sending paper.

    --
    Advice: on VPS providers
    1. Re:Greenwash by niftydude · · Score: 1

      Yes, this!

      Also like hotels that don't want to go to the cost of washing towels everyday - so write a long card justifying that it saves the environment - when really they are just doing it to save money.

      --
      You can never know everything, and part of what you do know will always be wrong. Perhaps even the most important part.
    2. Re:Greenwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Very accurate analysis. Think critical drones, less you be nerve-stapled.

    3. Re:Greenwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not true. I'm sure they ARE making money hand over fist. Put it together guy, this is directly related to Stuxnet. They can't guarentee that their systems can be secure against a threat like stuxnet, therefore they can't provide assurances against future nuclear disasters using their equipment.

    4. Re:Greenwash by LtGordon · · Score: 1

      They're "going green" because it saves them money.

      To be fair, they didn't necessarily specify which green they intended to save.

    5. Re:Greenwash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whatever gets siemens out of the nuke business is good for the world. As a former siemens employee (note the lack of capitalization? It's my way of showing my respect) the memories of management's insistence on cutting corners, covering-up shoddy workmanship and mistakes, use of substandard components (make that crapstandard), and questionable business practices (including but by no means limited to the outright purchase of their ISO9000 certification) coupled with alternating stupidity and naivety and hubris and arrogance made the knowledge they were involved in nookleer pow'r downright terrifying.

      Goodbye, siemens, and good riddance.

  11. Re:With a name like Siemens by mywhitewolf · · Score: 0

    your mildly interesting reply was ruined by you're own faggotry.

    fagot.

  12. This is Slashdot . . . by Idou · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Such posts will get 5 Insightful just because they support the nuclear industry. It has been a peculiar experience to see just how slanted the community is, especially since I was directly impacted by the Fukushima accident.

    Unfortunate, though. Slashdot is usually a great place to find opinions from those with first hand experience. However, when it comes to nuclear power, it might as well be a site for the nuclear lobby. Those with first hand experience are either too intimidated to post or accused of being liars when they do.

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    1. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by ArsonSmith · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or just far to few to be of any relevance.

      --
      Paying taxes to buy civilization is like paying a hooker to buy love.
    2. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by __aaqvdr516 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I have a combined power plant experience of just about 15 years. 11 of that was nuclear power, the rest has been coal. I live about 5 miles from a nuclear plant.

      In my personal opinion, we need more nuclear plants in the USA. Build the alternative power sources. Supplement what you can. Nuclear power is what we need right now until everything else becomes viable, if ever.

    3. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I am truly, and deeply sorry you're part of the tens of thousands affected by the Fukushima accident. It truly was one of those "acts of god" that is almost impossible to be prepared for.

      That said, we should start thinking of the BILLIONS of people that will be affected as energy prices continue to rise. Instead, we march on to gutting the planet of resources we're going to wish we had in a hundred years. If we're unable to build the tools necessary to capture "renewable" resources, it's not going to matter much.

      As caustic as it sounds, we need to think of the bigger picture, instead of the "not in my backyard!" alarmists.

    4. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by Idou · · Score: 1

      This is one of the nicer Anon posts I have ever received. However, though I lived North of Tokyo, there is evidence indicating contamination even Southwest of Tokyo. That would imply tens of millions of people will be impacted by this accident, though understanding the actual impact is years, if not decades, away.

      Furthermore, Uranium ore has to be gutted from the Earth just like every other non-renewable resource. The yields of uranium ore are certainly decreasing over time, just like oil wells are having to dig deeper and deeper.

      With the big picture in mind, I think we need to focus on adopting technologies that are more robust against "acts of God." Our world is more connected than ever, and we have only become more vulnerable to such shocks. We are quickly leaving the realm where something has to be in your backyard to adversely impact your life.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    5. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Slashdot is usually a great place to find opinions from those with first hand experience. However, when it comes to nuclear power, it might as well be a site for the nuclear lobby. .

      That's because nuclear power is so awesomely cool, and the people who are against it are stupid Luddites that deserve whatever they get. As for Fukushima, it's your own damned fault for using an outdated 1950s reactor design.

      For anyone in the "nuclear lobby" reading this, we love you guys. Keep doing that lobby stuff and pay off whoever it takes to let us build more awesome fission reactors. P.S. - can I have the fuel rods once you're done with them?

    6. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by Zoxed · · Score: 1

      Amen to that. I wish I could mod you up to 5 !

    7. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by ultranova · · Score: 4, Informative

      Unfortunate, though. Slashdot is usually a great place to find opinions from those with first hand experience. However, when it comes to nuclear power, it might as well be a site for the nuclear lobby. Those with first hand experience are either too intimidated to post or accused of being liars when they do.

      There has been two truly serious (someone gets hurt) accidents in the 60-year history of nuclear power: Chernobyl and Fukushima. Chernobyl killed 31 people; Fukushima has yet to kill anyone. Both were caused by a combination of corruption and exceptional circumstances. Contrast this with the 100,000 people who die yearly as a result of coal power working exactly as it's designed to: nuclear power wins hands down on pretty much every metric, even if we count the evacuees of Chernobyl and Fukushima as casualties.

      So, while "first hand experience" of things going wrong makes for nice propaganda for Greenpeace, there simply aren't that many people with it. Decisions should be based on actual statistics, not on who can come up with the most moving sob story. Unless, of course, you don't actually care about making the best or even a good decision, but only on adhering to your ideology (Greenpeace) or getting re-elected (Germany).

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    8. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by Viol8 · · Score: 0

      "There has been two truly serious (someone gets hurt) accidents in the 60-year history of nuclear power:"

      Hey, don't debate anti nuclear hippies with concrete facts, they HATE that because they have no comeback. Far better to use knee jerk emotion and unresoned argument then you're all on a level playing field.

    9. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by Pf0tzenpfritz · · Score: 1

      Is your bedroom, by any chance, located directly under a power line?

      --
      Oh, the beautiful gloss of greality!
    10. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by DrBoumBoum · · Score: 1

      Fukushima has yet to kill anyone. Decisions should be based on actual statistics.

      On the other hand, Fukushima could have been much worse; it looks like the Japanese have had some luck in this tragedy, in particular that the wind was mostly blowing eastward, towards the ocean, during the most critical few days of the accident. Would the situation have been different, the whole ordeal would have been much bleaker. Perhaps not more people killed, but a forced evactuation of the greater Tokyo area would indeed have been very bad for the country. Should we dismiss that worst possibility because it was avoided by sheer luck?

      Both were caused by a combination of corruption and exceptional circumstances

      Which are not going to go away anytime soon. Let me place a easy bet here: the next accident will be caused by the same factors.

      coal power working exactly as it's designed to

      Not sure what you mean here. I think coal could be a clean as nuclear, except probably on the CO2 asepct, provided the regulations regarding were as tight as with the latter. Ashes can be filtered from the exhaust and I think this is the case in most advanced countries.

      nuclear power wins hands down on pretty much every metric

      Nuclear wins easily if you're ready to disregard its drawbacks and ignore the reality of its deployment, i.e., basically if you're a nuclear nutty. Just like renewables win hand down if you disregard their limitations and ignore the reality of their deployment. Now if you truly want to understand the problem and decide for the best way to go it seems to me things start no to look so simple.

      Unless, of course, you don't actually care about making the best or even a good decision

      We should definitely do that but really it's far from obvious to me that you're in the right and your opponents in the wrong. I would love to be convinced but hasn't happened yet, despite the amount of discussions that have been ongoing on the subject lately.

    11. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by tryptogryphic · · Score: 1

      There has been two truly serious (someone gets hurt) accidents in the 60-year history of nuclear power: Chernobyl and Fukushima. Chernobyl killed 31 people; Fukushima has yet to kill anyone. Both were caused by a combination of corruption and exceptional circumstances. Contrast this with the 100,000 people who die yearly as a result of coal power working exactly as it's designed to: nuclear power wins hands down on pretty much every metric, even if we count the evacuees of Chernobyl and Fukushima as casualties.

      While I understand your point here...the potential damage, and type of damage ('genetic' damage being my focus in the case of nuclear power, which affects future generations of all species involved for a VERY long time) that can take place from nuclear power accidents / fuck ups is far more severe than that which is caused by conventional energy production accidents. We can't just 'ignore' this and say 'build more nuclear power plants because statistically they've done less damage so far'.

    12. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by rtfa-troll · · Score: 1

      Unfortunate, though. Slashdot is usually a great place to find opinions from those with first hand experience. However, when it comes to nuclear power, it might as well be a site for the nuclear lobby. Those with first hand experience are either too intimidated to post or accused of being liars when they do.

      There has been two truly serious (someone gets hurt) accidents in the 60-year history of nuclear power: Chernobyl and Fukushima. Chernobyl killed 31 people;

      FFS. The official, civilian only because soliders aren't people and don't die anyway, minimised to the hilt, death toll is 4000. Hell, 47 people died of acute radiation poisoning alone. Epidemiological studies have put death tolls up towards 1 million and there are studies that have suggested even more.

      That shit like this gets modded up to +4 informative shows either that the Nuclear industry accidentally put in two extra zeros in it's "shills on slashdot" budget or that there are a bunch of people who have a kind of anti-global warming; intelligent design; no facts can influence my thinking; total idiocy and just mod up anything which supports nuclear power.

      How can you expect us to take anything you say seriously if you are able to give numbers which are wrong by at least two (if we are being extremely generous) and up to more than four orders of magnitude???

      --
      =~ s,(.*),<sarcasm>$1</sarcasm>,g if any_point_you_wish();
    13. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by afidel · · Score: 1

      Rich Uranium ore hasn't been mined in years because the US and Russia dumped decades of supply on the market when they started decommissioning old bombs. There is no shortage of recoverable reserves, just in economically recoverable reserves because mining is competing against almost free already processed fuel at the moment. Uranium mining is dirty, and so is refining, but no more so than coal mining and it has the advantage of being highly localized and containable versus the potential of ruining the environment of the entire planet like coal and oil.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    14. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by afidel · · Score: 1

      From your own link:

      134 staff and emergency workers suffered acute radiation syndrome and of those 28 died of the condition
      and
      Of the several hundred thousand liquidators, apart from indications of increased leukaemia risk, there is no other evidence of health effects. In the general public, the only effect with 'persuasive evidence' is a substantial fraction of the 6,000 cases of thyroid cancer in adolescents observed in the affacted areas. By 2005, 15 cases had proved fatal.

      So according to the most unbiased report in the list (organization name does not contain concerned or prevent) there have been 43 attributable deaths to the worst nuclear disaster in 60 years of operating commercial plants. There have been many time that many coal miner deaths this year alone.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    15. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by kurish666 · · Score: 1

      There has been two truly serious (someone gets hurt) accidents in the 60-year history of nuclear power: Chernobyl and Fukushima.

      Um, no: Nuclear and radiation accidents

      • - 5 power plant accidents where someone was killed
      • - 11 radiation accidents where someone was killed
      • - Also worth noting: 19 power plant accidents with >US$100MM in property damage
    16. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by kurish666 · · Score: 1

      No comeback because it's bullshit. At least 16 nuclear/radiation incidents have resulted in deaths. See previous comment.

    17. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by Idou · · Score: 1

      Most of the reactors going forward will not be built in the U.S. or Russia, and I doubt that weapons grade Uranium will be sold to these countries (and if it were, it would be more profitable to be resold for nuclear weapons than used for power generation). The cold war, if anything, dramatically decreased the amount of high grade Uranium ore available for global power generation. Maybe this puts the U.S. and Russia in a good position, but this just makes nuclear power generation from a global perspective more expensive.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    18. Re:This is Slashdot . . . by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure how you are defining "someone gets hurt" but surely you'd need to include sites like Hanford. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanford_Site

  13. A step backwards... by Sasayaki · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'll add my voice to the chorus of people supporting nuclear power as the only currently viable solution to meet the growing energy needs of the future. It's just madness at this stage to suggest that any other technology can be:

    A) As environmentally friendly.
    B) As cheap.
    C) As reliable.
    D) As adaptable (goes anywhere in the world).

    --
    Check out my sci-fi book "Lacuna" at http://goo.gl/MVxX8
    1. Re:A step backwards... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The only reason why nuclear energy is cheap is the fact that nuclear power plants do not have to insure the risk. The liability is artificially capped at a ridiculously low figure. If they had to insure the real costs (with the experience from Tschernobyl and Fukushima), they would go out of business tomorrow.

    2. Re:A step backwards... by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Getting a bit of background information on nuclear power may change your opinion on all four points. B and D in paticular demonstrate that you have a lot to learn about this subject. The major clue for D is that since the point of nuclear is vast amounts of heat you then require vast amounts of cooling - not good or bad it just is how it works. That very strickly limits where you can put nuclear installions.
      Nuclear power is interesting stuff so I suggest you get the enjoyment of learning about it instead of just mindlessly singing it's praises and making silly mistakes in the process.

    3. Re:A step backwards... by inviolet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'll add my voice to the chorus of people supporting nuclear power as the only currently viable solution to meet the growing energy needs of the future. It's just madness at this stage to suggest that any other technology can be:

      A) As environmentally friendly. B) As cheap. C) As reliable. D) As adaptable (goes anywhere in the world).

      Nuclear power is ridiculously reliable, cheap, and environmentally friendly... in principle.

      In practice, nuclear power plants are built by large groups of humans who are laboring in the presence of perverse incentives. Therefore, a nuclear power plant built by humans will cost about as much as the nearest competitor (natural gas), will be reliable for the time period that the relevant VPs expect to remain at their current post, and will be environmentally friendly in the sense that uranium mining, refining, and disposal are all hand-waved away.

      Don't get me wrong, I am a pro-nuke zealot, and I want nuke plants built no matter what the risk. I am just pointing out that when it comes to this subject, you have forgotten your usual justified level of cynicism about humans.

      --
      FATMOUSE + YOU = FATMOUSE
    4. Re:A step backwards... by Zironic · · Score: 1

      No powerplant is forced to insure the real cost. Imagine what it would cost to run a coal power plant if they were forced to pay for all the damages and death caused by the pollution.

    5. Re:A step backwards... by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      and will be environmentally friendly in the sense that uranium mining, refining, and disposal are all hand-waved away.

      Uranium mining: minuscule amounts with newer IFR designs, and safer than coal mining or gas. Thorium may be able to be used instead.
      Refining: how is this environmentally unfriendly?
      Disposal: With IFR designs or thorium, there is very little waste, which isn't dangerous for more than a few hundred years, and which doesn't get spewed into the atmosphere but can be easily managed in small safe storage areas.

    6. Re:A step backwards... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think so, my brother is nuclear scientist:

      a)It generates the most poisonous of all materials to life with half live of thousands of years.

      b) Could you please inform yourself about what it really cost in materials(concrete , steel...) to make (and dismantle) a nuclear reactor? Do you know how much fuel the machines to make it will take. I suggest you make a visit to a nuclear reactor(it's free here in Europe) to really understand what you are talking about, because it is obvious that you had not.

      c) Being highly reliable as it is it is also its main flaw. You can't stop a nuclear reactor either adapt it short term to load demand.

      d) Goes anywhere where they are huge quantities of money to finance it, cheap energy to build them and huge amounts of water to refrigerate it.

      I believe nuclear is the future, but it needs to solve a lot of problems by the way. The actual design(based of what creates the best nuclear weapons in cold war) is obsolete as the inventor of the first reactor said long ago.

    7. Re:A step backwards... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A funny fact is, that in Germany there is no growing energy need. In fact the need may decline pretty soon.

    8. Re:A step backwards... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      E) You are a nuketard. Nuclear energy sucks.

    9. Re:A step backwards... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      B and D in paticular demonstrate that you have a lot to learn about this subject.

      That's actually an extremely common misconception and proves its you who has a lot to learn about the subject. Nuclear is actually extremely cheap. The only thing making it expensive is the nut jobs who crank up the rhetoric about how dangerous it is, and as as a result, the market forced both the prices and dangers higher. Basically, if you kill all the anti-nuclear morons, the world literally becomes safer and less expensive. Sad but true. Before the anti-nuke morons scared the shit out of the world, nuclear was very cheap - the cheapest in fact. Which says a lot given that, that was when oil was dirt cheap.

      Factually speaking, nuclear IS everything the gp post said it was. And it can be again if we can get the anti-nukers to shut the fuck up and stop endangering the world while forcing prices ever higher. Anti-nukers are literally one of the worst things to happen to the world since WWII. The sooner people begin to stop listening to them and start reviling them, as they deserve, the sooner the world would literally be a better place.

      Nuclear technology has dramatically improved over the last three decades. Sadly, anti-nuclear idiots prevent aging reactors from being replaced with newer, safer designs. And that's not to say the older ones are unsafe in of themselves. Rather, BECAUSE of anti-nuclear idiots, older reactors which are long past their expiration date are now forced to obtain extensions because replacing them with newer technology has become impossible because of anti-nuclear morons. Thusly, we can literally draw a line between less safe nuclear reactors and anti-nuclear idiots. Literally, anti-nuclear idiots make the world less safe.

    10. Re:A step backwards... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear produces as much heat as coal and oil. Natgas is a bit less, since natgas primarily uses a turbine, a more efficient heat engine.

      Not sure why this was +4, Insightful. Heat engines need a heat source, this is known to everyone who has taken a physics class that touched on thermodynamics.

    11. Re:A step backwards... by jafac · · Score: 1

      Can we please step forwards, into your back yard, with our thousands of tons of radioactive waste then?
      Thanks! Glad to have your full support!

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    12. Re:A step backwards... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heat engines need a heat source, this is known to everyone who has taken a physics class that touched on thermodynamics.

      Speaks loudly about the slashdot readership. Most slashdotters don't know their asshole from a hole in the ground. The biggest difference between the average slashdotter and your average idiot is that the average slashdotter will actually argue with you about how his asshole IS a hole in the ground and therefore you should go explore the depths of their cave.

      Sad. True. And +5 Informative.

    13. Re:A step backwards... by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      a nuclear power plant built by humans will cost about as much as the nearest competitor (natural gas)

      The nearest competitor is coal. Nuclear is cost-competitive with coal. Natural gas is about an order of magnitude more expensive, because it's nearest competitor is oil.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
  14. Siemens code by blahblah1984 · · Score: 1

    Bummer. All those SCADA exploits and default passwords in Siemen's products won't be available anymore to run the local power plant from home. Oh wait... maybe that means "nucular" power will be safer now along with more uranium available for the rest of the world. Win/Win.

  15. Or . . . by Idou · · Score: 1

    Maybe the German government and Siemens are privy to information you are not. Might be a bit more reasonable than to assume that they are all "just fucking crazy." But perhaps I am just fucking crazy for proposing a contrary idea?

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
  16. Yeah, ~35M people is far to[sic] irrelevant . . . by Idou · · Score: 1

    But thanks for supporting my point about Slashdot.

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
  17. No Problem - Helpful Information for Germans Here by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    This information will be *invaluable* for Germans as they enter their new era of energy:

    Oui, je vais pencher pour votre énergie nucléaire. Me pénétrer sans pitié. (Yes, I will bend over for your nuclear power. Penetrate me without mercy)

    Laissez-moi le plaisir de votre pénis grenouille. (Let me pleasure your frog penis.)

  18. Use nuclear power . . . by Idou · · Score: 2

    Or be accused of mass MURDER!

    Nuclear Slashdot propaganda at its finest . . .

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    1. Re:Use nuclear power . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's typical to see opposition to numbers based on emotion. That is typical from the anti-nuclear crowd. OP was talking about favouring fossil fuels instead of nuclear as being the reason why lives are lost. If Germany would have a different energy mix, it would still make sense to argue against fossil fuels.

    2. Re:Use nuclear power . . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your sarcasm doesn't make it less true.

  19. You are right, nuclear is expensive by Idou · · Score: 1

    But only when things go wrong. That is why companies get governments to "insure" them in case things go bad. With Germany pulling out, perhaps Siemens had to start internalizing some of the costs (especially, liabilities) they had previous assumed that the government would "help" them with back when the government was pro-nuke.

    It is funny how Slashdot has so much contempt towards the finance industry when the nuclear industry is so similar in structure. Both take on risks that require government "backing" when things go wrong (and could do enough damage to bring down entire nations). Both result in powerful lobbies that manipulate entire governments. Yet you find very few posts here fighting tooth and nail in order to defend the finance industry . . .

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    1. Re:You are right, nuclear is expensive by benjamindees · · Score: 1

      Siemens now has a banking license btw. Probably had something to do with their decision. No need to continue making stuff if you have a license to print money.

      --
      "I assumed blithely that there were no elves out there in the darkness"
  20. scared off by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Fukushima was a very unfortunate incident that was allowed to occur. People around the world are left thinking "well if the Japanese can't do nuclear safely, then nobody can".
    Fact is, those plants were shoddily maintained, of old design, and sited very poorly.

    In fact the location in which they were put, and both the design and location of the backup system beggars belief.

    TEPCO have done the world a great disservice.

    1. Re:scared off by Asic+Eng · · Score: 1

      Fact is, those plants were shoddily maintained, of old design, and sited very poorly.

      Which is the reason nuclear energy advocates were constantly pushing for upgrades and replacements of the Japanese plants. Hang on, no they didn't.

      Fact is: a high-tech country like Japan, which has a well-deserved reputation as a manufacturer of quality products still had nuclear power plants which were shoddily maintained, of old design, and sited very poorly. So the conclusion "well if the Japanese can't do nuclear safely, then nobody can" seems quite reasonable.

      Apart from that: Japan is in the Pacific ring of fire. That's just not a good place for a nuclear power plant. So much for siting.

  21. BAU Bias by Idou · · Score: 2

    Alright, I take your post as a legitimate testament for plants working within business as usual conditions. However, you have only established that nuclear is the cleaner energy when things go as planned.

    Unfortunately, things do not always go according to plan and your experience seems somewhat lacking in that department. How about I compromise and say that you are free to build all the nuclear plants you like, as long as the technology is deemed safe enough that you can actually get private insurance companies (without government intervention) to cover for potential accidents?

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    1. Re:BAU Bias by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Would we take your policy to all types of power generation, and shut down the fossil fuel plants when nobody wants to indemnify people for damage caused by the everyday planned emission of crap?

      Yeah, when nuclear goes wrong, it can go really wrong. But the fossil fuel power generation doesn't need anything to go wrong. It just shits all over the environment and the people every day it operates.

      If we just took your compromise, nothing much would change. If we took my counterproposal, we'd be ditching fossil fuels for nuclear about as fast (not very) as bureaucracy could make it happen. Because nuclear is just safer. Even the relatively old generation I light water reactors that make up the bulk of nuclear generation today are safer than fossil fuels. The latest generation of nuclear reactors which include reactors that preclude meltdowns by the laws of physics, not by active safety systems, are even safer.

    2. Re:BAU Bias by Idou · · Score: 1

      "If we just took your compromise, nothing much would change."

      Not a single nuclear plant could operate without government backing. No private insurance company could ever cover such risk. Nuclear plants are just like large banks and absolutely require government backing so that the whole country can share the pain when they screw up.

      Sorry, not willing to put much more time in a response to someone who did not even bother to create a Slashdot account. . . Why don't you create an account?

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    3. Re:BAU Bias by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately, things do not always go according to plan and your experience seems somewhat lacking in that department. How about I compromise and say that you are free to build all the nuclear plants you like, as long as the technology is deemed safe enough that you can actually get private insurance companies (without government intervention) to cover for potential accidents?

      Actually there is a solution for that - separate the nukes into individual stand alone corporate entities and insure what you can. If things go wrong - and the chances of that are really small, relative to the perceived risk, your only exposure is to the total value of the plant. (Unless you live nearby). Companies do that all the time with far greater risk exposure.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
  22. title goes here by Old+Wolf · · Score: 4, Funny

    Siemens always left me with a bad taste in my mouth

    1. Re:title goes here by alewar · · Score: 1

      I think you misspelled it.

  23. You've got that a bit wrong and here's why by dbIII · · Score: 1

    No, the advertising and PR has been better funded, so much better funded than ANY of the alternatives. The cutting edge on the US side is the Japanese derived 1990s design of the AP1000 - thus vast amounts more hype than substance.
    Elsewhere there is hope, but you've really been sold on bullshit instead of reality if you think nuclear stands way ahead of everything else in all situations. In reality a mixture instead of a monoculture works a lot better than some fanboy fantasy.

  24. Nope... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I'll support no nukes thanks. Not for any hippie bullshit reasons.. But just because the worst case failure modes for nuclear is so bad. And humans and nature have a long established history of fucking things up.

    Yeah coal is bad. Only because we refuse to clean the output or put any modern technology into mineing it. Another fine example of humans fucking something up. There's no reason coal mineing could not be 100% automated. And theres no reason coal output can't be 0 emissions output 100% clean. Except for costs.

    And if you're going to spend money... Why not spend it on wind, solar, tidal, geothermal, and work tward fusion too. You get more out of it than nuclear and then cleaning up a disaster maybe. And the hippies like it too.

    Until humans are smarter and less prone to fucking things up. And we can build things to withstand nature... Nuclear power is a bad option. We've just been damm lucky this far.

  25. Did... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did anyone know they were actually *in* the nuclear power business?

    This sounds like a case of bad PR...

    1. Re:Did... by DemoLiter3 · · Score: 1

      FYI: Siemens started building Busher NPP back in the 70's
      Current plant uses Russian reactor, but they fitted it for the infrastructure and other components built by Siemens back then.

  26. Shadow Subsidiary? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It will be interesting how Siemens will divest itself of their nuclear business assets. Dumping it all into an independent company that can be "retrieved" and reintegrated into the Siemens group later when Germans get fed up with Russian natural gas power plays is the obvious solution. Maybe force it into E.On under the stipulation that Siemens can get it back at firesale prices?

    If they dump it directly onto one of the other big players though (such as Westinghouse/Toshiba, Hitachi/GE, or even Areva)(possible political factor to guarantee gas prices is selling assets to Rosatom) that probably means they are out though. Real sellout is dumping to the Chinese conglomerates building the AP1000's from Westinghouse/Toshiba as a fuck you gesture to the rest of the industry, and certainly the chinese using this as a leverage point to commit to buying German and EU euro bonds would make this intriguing.

  27. Nuclear Fusion by backslashdot · · Score: 2

    Please, if we are going to have a witch hunt on fission .. let's at least put some money into nuclear fusion research. Yes Nuclear Fusion research has been progressing slow .. and yes some approaches to fusion have turned out to be much harder that previously anticipate (IEC, laser based fusion) however we shouldn't give up. There was a time when people who tried to build airplanes were ridiculed .. hell even one of the wright brothers sent a letter saying "airplanes will someday fly, but not for a thousand years" .. that was in 1901. Three years later, they built a working airplane.

    They didn't give up and they followed the science. Until the idea of nuclear fusion has been falsified by a consensus of scientists, basic research into it should be funded.

    Now you may ask why government should fund it and not private investors. It's because the huge development time involved doesn't make it feasible for private investors. For example, if they build a large tokamak or laser facility .. the design specifications would have to be based on parameters known today. So to ensure others cannot copy their invention (in case someone leaks the innovative ideas), they would have to patent it. But then the patent clock of 20 years will start today .. and by the time the plant is built they will only have 5 years to recoup their investment cost. Meanwhile others who didn't have to do all the hard research will be able to make great profits. Extending patent terms will not resolve this issue because then you have the issue of other people not doing work in the field and also you may be giving extended patent terms to technologies that are esential to fusion but may stifle advancements in other fields if their patents were valid for long periods --for example if the fusion plant required advanced magnets ... magnets are used in electric car motors as well. The other problems is that it provides a strategic advantage over enemy or potential enemy nations for the US to have leadership in all aspects of the technology. For example, the USA had to invest in rocket technology because the Soviet government was dumping huge amounts of capital into it --> and leadership in the space race was essential for victory in the Cold War. One other reason is that it's in the public interest that a corporation not have control of the fundamental technology.

    So there are plenty of reasons why the USA should invest in fundamental technology. However the USA should not invest in the commercialization aspect of the technology (unless it's in the form of a loan for a capital intensive project like building the first few fusion plants).

    1. Re:Nuclear Fusion by niftydude · · Score: 2

      The US is. There is great work going on right now. Check out https://lasers.llnl.gov/

      It has taken years to build, but it is currently being brought fully online, and we should see a successful fusion experiment later this year, or early next year, and with any luck - commercial reactors based on this design will start being built in the US within the decade.

      --
      You can never know everything, and part of what you do know will always be wrong. Perhaps even the most important part.
    2. Re:Nuclear Fusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ever heard about ITER ?

    3. Re:Nuclear Fusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Commercial designs from NIF are very unlikely, as there are major advances that need to be made in at least laser repetition rate and neutron proof optics.

    4. Re:Nuclear Fusion by xororand · · Score: 1

      Germany does invest in nuclear fusion research:
      http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,599211,00.html

    5. Re:Nuclear Fusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your argument is very nice, however, the EU is putting a shitload of money into fusion research (2.167 billion euros per year or the likes), despite expectancy that this research will not carry fruit in at least 50 years (according to the scientists working with it). So your kind of kicking in an open door.

      Furthermore, I find it rather short-sighted to, like most /.ers, be arguing for fission energy at all. If fossil energy was completely replaced by fission energy, the uranium wouldn't last more than a couple of decades. Furthermore, since uranium is a finite resource, we will see the same price increases as oil, and we have already seen them. Look at the price development per unit produced energy of nuclear energy and compare it to the price development of e.g. solar and wind.

    6. Re:Nuclear Fusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So...Germany is contributing to ITER and building its own Fission Reactor Wendelstein 7-X for research purposes.

    7. Re:Nuclear Fusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...
      But then the patent clock of 20 years will start today .. and by the time the plant is built they will only have 5 years to recoup their investment cost. ...

      Do you mean that other countries can build much faster than the USA? There really should be an international system in place to regulate building things that can poison large areas of the planet for decades/centuries. I don't think that patents are that system.

    8. Re:Nuclear Fusion by niftydude · · Score: 1

      Laser repetition rate seems to be on the way to being solved with the new move to semiconductor lasers that started recently.

      Don't know much about the neutron proof optics issue, but the NIF design seems modular enough that surely some sort of timed shutters could handle that?

      I am not a physicist, but the guys I've met that work there seem incredibly optimistic.

      --
      You can never know everything, and part of what you do know will always be wrong. Perhaps even the most important part.
    9. Re:Nuclear Fusion by ianare · · Score: 1

      I take it you have never heard of this little thing called ITER? The plan is to create a working fusion power plant, one that gives off more energy than is required to maintain the reaction. This is theoretically possible, but has yet to be achieved. We shall see in about 10 years whether they actually get it to work.

      Since the US is one of the partners in the project, presumably there will be technology transfers (there are several partners, including Russia and China). The US is also conducting its own experiment, the NIF, which uses lasers instead of ITER's magnets to contain the plasma. Since that facility is already built, it's possible they will achieve 1 Q before ITER does.

      In any case, none of these government funded efforts, even if more successful than planned, are intended for commercialization. It will be at least 20-30 years before the first commercial plants go online, in a best case scenario. Probably 50 years is more realistic, unless there is an incredible breakthrough. So we still need renewables and fission to ween us off fossil fuels until that time.

    10. Re:Nuclear Fusion by niftydude · · Score: 1

      Why the sarcasm? GP was talking about getting the USA to fund fission, while ITER is mostly run by the europeans (although the US does have a small stake), so I didn't consider ITER that relevant to the conversation.

      NIF on the other hand is completely US based. Which is why I supplied a link to the NIF site at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in my comment. Once NIF is complete, the follow up project (called LIFE: https://lasers.llnl.gov/about/missions/energy_for_the_future/life/) is intended to design a commercializable system.

      My understanding is that NIF is well on track, and that NIF will probably show a fusion reaction that gives off more energy than is required to maintain the reaction by the end of this year or early next year. So the current belief in NIF circles is that it will be only 10-20 years before the first commercial plants go online. Which is why I said construction might start in the next decade.

      I agree with your last statement - that we will still need renewables and fission to maintain our current standard of living until that time.

      --
      You can never know everything, and part of what you do know will always be wrong. Perhaps even the most important part.
    11. Re:Nuclear Fusion by ianare · · Score: 1

      I thought I was replying to the GP, oops ! No sarcasm intented.

    12. Re:Nuclear Fusion by niftydude · · Score: 1

      lol - your post makes sense now.

      --
      You can never know everything, and part of what you do know will always be wrong. Perhaps even the most important part.
  28. Bottom line: People are stupid by kheldan · · Score: 0

    Seriously. They don't understand that so-called "renewable" won't cut it right now, likely never will, but at the same time they won't want to cut their use of electric power. They'll whine about how the "government isn't doing it's job", but they will NEVER get it out of their heads that "nuclear power plant" != "nuclear bomb". Seriously, the average person is a complete retard when it comes to subjects like this.

    --
    Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    1. Re:Bottom line: People are stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am not sure about that. If asked many people are quite willing to cut power use a lot. Spendthrift California managed to reduce use by 3% and Kansas IIRC asked this of its people and power use dropped so much they had to raise rates to make ends meet.

      Also note the German population is aging and will soon be shrinking do to the low birth rates so less demand there. In addition, many technologies are coming to the point where they use less and less power. If all that fails, well rationing. If that still doesn't cut it, many nations are willing to sell nuclear technology and you know Germany can always change its mind too.

      And while yes Nuchttp://hardware.slashdot.org/story/11/09/18/2223249/Siemens-To-Exit-Nuclear-Power-Business#lear Plant =/= Nuclear Bomb,A Nuclear Accident can mean a big chunk of your country can no longer be used essentially ever. Given you know Chernobyl and Fukishima, no sensible person would want anything to do with Fission power.

    2. Re:Bottom line: People are stupid by headLITE · · Score: 1

      Siemens think they can, and in the light of recent political decisions in Germany, they see an opportunity for Siemens to make some money off non-fission power plants that *will* have to be built. What's so hard to grasp about this, it's almost like everybody here thinks Siemens want to get out of the fission business because they have concerns about the viability of nuclear power... they're a business, they'll do what makes them money, and right now fission doesn't fit the bill for a German company.

  29. Well, then stop complaining.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..and adapt.

  30. Not a big deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to IEA, nuclear amount to 6% of the worlds energy usage. Renewables are at 13%.
    (International Energy Agency (IEA): Energy Statistics Division 2010)

    Is it really so hard to believe that the other sources can be ramped up by 6% to replace nuclear?

  31. Fukushima Kneejerk to the Nth degree by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    It appears Siemens has been taken over by helicopter soccer moms.

  32. nucular rant by Compaqt · · Score: 1

    OK, so it's "nuclear".

    But is there any real reason it should be?

    Check out the etymology for nucleus:

    1704, "kernel of a nut," 1708, "head of a comet," from L. nucleus "kernel," from nucula "little nut," dim. of nux (gen. nucis) "nut,"

    Now compare to "nucule"

    Etymology
    From Latin nucula ("little nut")
    Noun
    nucule (plural nucules)
    A nutlet; a small nut.

    Since nucleus and nucule are both from nucula, how is nucular pedantically wrong? In fact, pedants being wont to go to "original" pronunciations and "back to the Latin", nucular should actually sound better than nuclear.

    Nucular is actually more faithful to the Latin than nuclear.

    Nucular power. Sic.

    --
    I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
  33. So how do you get power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    when the rivers you use for cooling your nuclear power station are running too low or too warm to work?

    And, unlike your scenario, we've actually had that. Ask France and San Diego.

  34. Investment? by mangu · · Score: 2, Informative

    If you covered 2% of the uninhabited portions of the Sahara with solar PV,

    How much would that cost?

    You need how many panels? Let's take this one, for example. $400 for 185W, 1.25 m2 surface. Those 2% of the Sahara will be covered by a total of 158 billion panels, costing a total of 63 trillion dollars..

    That's the cost for the panels alone. Now you must install them, they are spread over a wide area of desert. You need to build access roads, you need to maintain them. You need to build special fences to avoid sandstorms. How will you keep those panels clean? Wash them? Where do you get the water in the desert to wash the panels? Who will do the maintenance on 158 billion panels?

    And now, installation. Will they track the sun? I guess not, because then you would have the added cost of installation and maintenance of 158 billion tracking systems. How will you get power at night? You need batteries, plenty of them. How much will those batteries cost?

    Let's face it, solar isn't scalable. Without some future technology that's still several decades away solar is not the answer that will replace nuclear power.

    1. Re:Investment? by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      Please look at this: http://www.desertec.org/

    2. Re:Investment? by Johann+Lau · · Score: 1

      "How much would that cost?"

      how much does nuclear energy cost? remember, that waste has to be stored for a loooooong time, and SOMEONE will either pay for maintaining that, or die from not paying it.

    3. Re:Investment? by bored · · Score: 1

      Those 2% of the Sahara will be covered by a total of 158 billion panels

      Your right PV isn't scalable, in the desert or on peoples roofs. Solar thermal might be.. But no one seem particularly interested in that.

      Besides the main problem with these arguments is the loss due to transmission over long distances.

    4. Re:Investment? by bored · · Score: 1

      that waste has to be stored for a loooooong time,

      That is false, repeat after me.. There is no such thing as nuclear waste. IFR type designs burn everything down. The nice thing about the IFR design is that the existing "waste" stored at plants across the US could actually meet the US power needs for the next 100 years.

    5. Re:Investment? by Johann+Lau · · Score: 1

      well, "could" being the keyword. what's even nicer about renewable energy, is that you COULD power the whole world with it, and then COULD use resources to make things out of them, instead of turning them into heat which is plentiful anyway.

      I mean, why half-ass it. that's the real question here. sure, you need energy to, uhh, invent and build renewable energy, I'm aware of that. we can't just turn everything off and live on hopes and wishes. but in the long run, nothing else makes sense or is desirable. the sun is blasting incredible amounts of energy into space, hardly any of that even hits earth, and even the tiny fraction that does, could power our wildest dreams if only we could harvest it. and instead, some want to squeeze earth for fossil fuels of various sorts, like a toothpaste tube and burn stuff just because we can? just because that is already established. well no, that will go the way of the dinosaur. if in a few decades or a few centuries is no matter. either it goes, or we go.

    6. Re:Investment? by bored · · Score: 1

      Except that in the case of FBR's the technology works and has been proven. Its more a question of which design is safest. The biggest problems are human/political.

      Renewable on the other-hand are possible too, their biggest problems are more economic, mostly due to efficiency problems which are _REALLY_ hard to engineer around. Even if we chose to, it would be very difficult to convert 100% of our power to renewable over the next 50 years. Its a case of diminishing returns, you build the first few wind farms, in fairly windy areas close to the load. The next few end up farther away, resulting in a few percent higher losses, until your building wind farms with power capacities an order of magnitude larger than what the load demands to compensate for variations in the wind, and the distance from the load.

      Same with solar, sure you can buy cheap CIGS today, but once your ramping large quantities the limiting factor becomes your ability to mine rare earth minerals. Or you can build solar thermal, and deal with many of the issues like wind, plus the fact your plants will literally cover hundreds of square miles to power reasonably sized cities. So while you can share farmland with wind, the same isn't true of solar.

      So, in the end we will probably use coal until its to late, then we will end up building the nukes, unless there is some great breakthrough in renewable, which will continue to grow until the low hanging fruit is to high. Its the same with pumped hydro, a technology that is a fantastic pairing with solar/wind, except the number of places which have both high wind energy, a load nearby and a good place to install pumped hydro are rare.

  35. Good for them sticking to thier by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

    Good for them for being able to take a stand for what they believe in and show the world they are more then just what their past decrees them to be.
    I support fully the "not" use of nuclear products

  36. I think it implies by Quila · · Score: 1

    The world will be without power when it's night time in the Sahara, and that we'll lose most of our electricity any transmitting it to Hong Kong.

    The Sahara Desert contains 9,400,000,000,000 square meters. Two percent is 188,000,000,000 square meters.

    You can get decent solar in bulk for $200 per square meter, but I'll give you one quarter that for serious bulk (which is probably below cost, but I'm being nice). That's still $4,700,000,000,000. Add actuators, cabling, etc., and you're well over 5 trillion dollars.

    But the price tag isn't the hardest problem. The average panel is about 1.5 square meters, meaning installing over 125 billion of them. Okay, we need larger panels, say 14 square meters each (fit two side by side in a 40' shipping container to get them there quickly), 13,428,571,428 panels, If we have high-speed panels that last 25 years, you must install 537,142,857 panels per year, every year, for 25 years to make your target, and that many every year thereafter to keep production up.

    Install over 500 million solar panels installed per year indefinitely.That's one hell of a project. And then after year 25 years add 500 million solar panels uninstalled and disposed of per year -- that's a lot of industrial waste.

    1. Re:I think it implies by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      All of your answers can be found here: http://www.desertec.org/ We are absolutely drowning in energy.

  37. PR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ha. I believe they are getting out of the nuclear business because stuxnet ruined their reputation.

  38. DISPOSAL, RADIATION, E T C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just keep in mind that disposing of the radioactive waste, as well as the entire structure of a plant (which inherently is classified as radiation waste as well) will cost billions in the long run, and just with this in mind. It will make nuclear energy to be the most expensive form of energy harvesting ever. Not to mention the dangerous byproducts. Of course (I think) most power plant carriers aren't liable for the disposal/safekeeping of nuclear waste, so in their books, it is of course the cheapest form of energy currently available. I expected more from the /. crowd, than just mindless rants and praise about this form of energy. The American nation has brought quite a lot of havoc upon this world by "applying" nuclear energy. And yet people seem to still believe that that 20th century brainwash propaganda .. I'm from Germany and I'm glad that the Germans finally have come to realize (at least I do hope so), and that germany might come up with a new course for energy harvesting which will lead the world into a new future that could eventually solve our energy crisis, even to an extent when energy could one day be freely available and distributed for every human being. But I might just be a dreamer about that, who really knows what the future will bring.. But really, AMERICANS, FRENCH, wake up, think about the nuclear waste and the disposal of it. That stuff costs more than you could possibly imagine, just make up your mind and stop that mindless propaganda. tnx, and about Siemens, well .. I was never particularly fond of Siemens, since I think to recall that they were involved in exporting building obsolete/insecure nuclear tech equipment/plants which did not meet EU security standards into third world countries just to provide a basis for the greedy nuclear power energy politics of old and sad men. With that in mind, and how ruthless and irresponsible the people in this industry act, I think it's fair enough that we finally turn this ship around and find real solutions. Anyway.. We'll see what the future brings :> Post Scriptum, I have my fingers crossed for ITER, which is about the real tech stuff called fusion ;> Since the planet has enormous amounts of hydrogen and quite a few tons of, err what was it again, Lithium? http://www.iter.org/
    And yes, it is on its way! \o/

  39. picking-up-my-cooling-rods-and-going-home by 21mhz · · Score: 1

    That's the wittiest Slashdot dept. line I've seen in a while :)

    --
    My exception safety is -fno-exceptions.
    1. Re:picking-up-my-cooling-rods-and-going-home by treeves · · Score: 1

      It might be witty, but it's uninformed: there are no "cooling rods" in a nuclear plant.
      There are cooling systems, and *control* rods, that absorb neutrons, so that when inserted into the reactor core, the neutron flux decreases, and with it the nuclear reaction rate and the rate of power generation, but no "cooling rods".
      "Control rods" would have been so much better, especially in light of the fact that Siemens has their hands in all the "controls" stuff.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
  40. Stuxnet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The control systems that Stuxnet attacked were siemens- this really can't be a coincidence.

  41. Re:A step backwards... - on the contrary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A) As environmentally friendly.

    Sure, if you ignore the potential results of an accident, the environmental problems that uranium mining poses, and the fact that there is still no operational waste disposal facility for highly active nuclear waste. (And even though Finland is working on a kind of cemetery for it, nobody is really sure if the security concepts are really fit for the kind of time periods we're talking about here, i.e. up to a hundred millennia.)

    B) As cheap.

    Sure, as long as the taxpayer foots most of the bill for building the plants, disposing of the waste, and cleaning everything up.
    As it is, the taxpayer is the only "insurance agent" that is willing (well, not any more in Germany) to actually insure the risk posed by nuclear power plants. If companies had to fully insure their nuclear plants, nuclear power wouldn't be quite that cheap any more.

    C) As reliable.

    An atomic power plant is not per se more reliable than other plants.
    Case in point would be Krümmel, among others (down for maintenance from 2007 to 2009, had more incidents therafter and was shut down again for maintenance within two weeks, still down).
    Then there's also the question of "where do you get your fuel from", of course...

    D) As adaptable (goes anywhere in the world).

    Iran, for example, and if you are serious about using nuclear energy to solve the world's energy and environment issues, it should go to many other countries I'm not sure I want to see using nuclear power. Proliferation being a key concern here...

  42. You said photovoltaics by Quila · · Score: 1

    Their idea uses solar thermal plants. And no, the questions are not answered. Even they admit that more traditional sources of energy will be needed to keep a baseline load, since solar is not reliable 24/7, even with heat reservoirs.

    They mention Nevada Solar One as an example. That produces 64 MW nominal, or 134,000 MWh per year. World electricity consumption in 2007 was 17,780,000,000 MWh. That means you need 132,686 of these plants.

    Solar One took 16 months to build (remember, this is 182,000 mirrors and over 18,000 receiver tubes). Even if you shortened that to 12 months and had 2,000 installations going concurrently, that's still 66 years before they're all built. Even then, I'm not too sure world production of 364 million mirrors per year is possible. That's also over 35 trillion dollars, half the current world GDP.

    They state a hypothetical 250 MW plant that takes two or three years to build, let's say two, and a thousand people on the job. Nevada Solar One put out 24% of its rated capacity over a year, so it will probably put out 525,600 MWh per year. That requires 33,828 of these to be built. Let's say a million people on the job making 500 a year, that's 68 years to completion.

    And that doesn't even count for increasing energy needs. Our requirements will skyrocket once electric cars become the norm. It would be at least a hundred years and scores of trillions of dollars to complete this at these fantastic rates.

    Good luck.

    1. Re:You said photovoltaics by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      Why are you even arguing with me? It's going ahead no matter what you think. Yes it will take decades, but we'll muddle along through in the meantime.

      I see a lot of weeping and gnashing of teeth over Germany's decision to stick with coal power plants on this site, but oddly not a single mention of the fact that Germany has both large coal resources and a massive and well subsidised coal mining industry. Typically there is a lot more to the story than discussion on these sites brings up. Believe me the world is not going to end due to a shortage of energy - should such a situation arise, efforts will be ramped up accordingly.

    2. Re:You said photovoltaics by olau · · Score: 1

      Eh, you forgot that this does not have to be done by one country alone. Also, you seem to expect the price to stay the same when many of these industries are still in their infancy.

      The truth is that nobody knows how all the problems will be solved yet because it is going to depend on what's most economical in the long run, which is hard to predict beforehand given advances in technology. For instance regarding storage tech: once you have a big lump of almost free surplus electricity, building some sort of energy storage plant can become a very lucrative business, buying energy when it is in surplus and almost free and selling it again later.

      Of course, it will require advances in technology, but there are plenty of ideas out there just waiting for the market to show up.

    3. Re:You said photovoltaics by Quila · · Score: 1

      Also, you seem to expect the price to stay the same when many of these industries are still in their infancy

      Oh yes, the mirror industry is only about 6,000 years old.

  43. I assume this means... by loshwomp · · Score: 1

    ...they'll be focusing on all the new coal-fired generation that Germany is deploying to replace its nukes.

  44. Another link forged... by Hasai · · Score: 1

    ....to the up-coming "Freeze In The Dark" scenario....

    --

    Regards;

    Hasai

  45. Re:Yeah, ~35M people is far to[sic] irrelevant . . by Shatrat · · Score: 1

    There's a difference between being impacted and being scared. More people are impacted by coal and petroleum pollution, more people are scared of nuclear.

    --
    09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
  46. This is exactly how finance works . . . by Idou · · Score: 1

    And why it is inherently flawed. Making separate LVs just protects the stockholders and management from having to report when things go wrong (SPVs). It does not protect the citizens impacted by the damaged economy, or say, the Tokyo residents downwind from the plant. This is how "limited liability" is being used to destroy modern society.

    Instead, how about we do not allow banks to become too big to fail or power plants to become so powerful they can make large areas uninhabitable forever?

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    1. Re:This is exactly how finance works . . . by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      And why it is inherently flawed. Making separate LVs just protects the stockholders and management from having to report when things go wrong (SPVs). It does not protect the citizens impacted by the damaged economy, or say, the Tokyo residents downwind from the plant. This is how "limited liability" is being used to destroy modern society.

      I disagree - limited liability is what helped make modern society - if any enterprise was liable for any amount of damages it may (or may not) have caused no one would put any of their capital at risk. The last organization to do that, that I can recall, was LLoyd's, and they've backed away from the "shirt off your back" approach as well.

      Instead, how about we do not allow banks to become too big to fail or power plants to become so powerful they can make large areas uninhabitable forever?

      Sure. I'm all for letting corporations, no matter how big, fail; and not building Chernobyl style reactors.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
  47. The propaganda falters when it hits reality by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Nuclear is actually extremely cheap

    There's this thing called "capital cost" you really should look up before insulting the intelligence of people that know better than to just listen to a sales pitch from some English Literature graduate that works in advertising. Besides, the total lack of private investment in civilian nuclear power speaks for itself. As for your lovely strawman of complaining hippies driving the price up, why then is it still very expensive to build a reactor in China where they could have such complainers shot if they wished , or in France where they actually did shoot some of the protesters?

  48. To sum up: you can run nuclear hot so you do by dbIII · · Score: 1

    You could read up a tiny bit on nuclear power generation or thermal power generation in general, but I'll try to give you enough here to explain what I was writing about.
    To get the best bang for the buck nuclear is run as hot as it can without requiring truly ridiculously expensive materials everywhere in the steam loop. Oil and Coal would be run that way as well if they didn't have a lower hard limit with maximum flame tempertatures. Because nuclear CAN be run hotter it IS run hotter because the temperature difference in the steam determines how much energy you can get out of it. If you have lots of heating then you need lots of cooling which means you site nuclear plants on big freshwater lakes or rivers if you have them and seacoasts if you don't. Since a full scale nuclear power plant is so big you don't really need a lot of them anyway so that location constraint is not really a big deal. Thus point D above (goes anywhere in the world) is a demonstration of ignorance parroted from some advertising fool or something and not really important anyway - there is going to be somewhere within range of a HVDC transmission line where a nuclear plant could go since those things can run for thousands of miles with very little loss.
    It's just the way it works, large nuclear plants need vast amounts of water for cooling but all it does to the cooling water is warm it up a bit, it's still there to be used for other purposes later.

  49. So, does this mean Siemens pulled out... by icemanwol · · Score: 1

    Of the nuclear business for good?