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DirecTV CEO Scoffs At Competition From Apple TV

theodp writes "In a move that evokes memories of Steve Ballmer's initial pooh-poohing of the iPhone threat, DirecTV Chairman Michael White downplayed the Apple TV hype, expressing doubts that 'Apple's interface will be so much better than DirecTVs' that people will be willing to pay for an extra box. So, will White's statement — 'It's hard to see (it) obsoleting our technology' — come back to haunt him?"

53 of 264 comments (clear)

  1. Irony alert! by King_TJ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    While DirecTV's Chairman is crowing about his viewers lacking an interest in paying for an "extra box" on top of what he provides? Viewers will continue to drop DirecTV service completely, once they use boxes like AppleTV and realize they're saving a lot of money by streaming video content and doing "pay only for what you want to watch" with iTunes store movie or TV series purchases/rentals. So yeah, he's right... They only want one set-top box. Increasingly, it won't be his.

    1. Re:Irony alert! by __aaltlg1547 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But I consider the per-view charges of AppleTV very expensive. They're OK for movies, but for weekly television episodes, they're higher than I'm willing to pay.

    2. Re:Irony alert! by rockout · · Score: 4, Interesting

      If you only watch 2 or 3 TV shows regularly, is it more expensive than a DirecTV package?

      --
      I've learned that they're worthless, so I don't read AC comments anymore.
    3. Re:Irony alert! by fiziko · · Score: 2

      True, but that's largely due to Apple watching the market. Most people weren't "renting" TV shows, so they dropped the pay-per-view model for individual episodes. Instead of paying $0.49-$0.99 to rent an episode, you buy it for $0.99-$3.49 (all prices based on what I've seen in the Canadian store for shows I'm interested in; YMMV) per episode to watch as often as you like. It's expensive pay-per-view for TV episodes because that's not quite what they are selling, because that's not what most people were buying.

      As someone with a collector's impulse, I like the prices. When I had cable, I'd pay each month for the HDTV feed, download episodes to the PVR, and felt that any show worth watching was worth owning, so I bought the DVD/Blu-Ray set later. Now, it amounts to paying for the DVD/Blu-Ray set up front and just watching the episodes when I get around it. Instead of finding storage space for one season after another, I found storage space for a 3TB external hard drive for the laptop and stream it all from there. By the time that puppy fills, a far larger hard drive will be available at a lower price, I'm sure. Even with the slightly limited offerings in Canada, I find the combination of AppleTV and Netflix covers everything I've wanted to watch in the past year with the exception of the Academy Awards. (Caveat: I have no interest in local news broadcasts or sports. As far as I can tell, cable is still king for those, although that is also rapidly changing.)

      --
      - W. Blaine Dowler
      http://www.bureau42.com
    4. Re:Irony alert! by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 4, Informative

      I use my Apple TV mainly for playing music off my main iTunes library, but I looked at the video and saw $2.99 per episode for TV shows? I have Amazon Prime streaming and see similar stuff: $1.99/episode for a 4 year old How It's Made.

      Everyone is talking about the merits of different technology, but the real road block to adoption seems to be an insanely broken pricing scheme. I saw that Dish pays around 0.25/month per subscriber to Comedy Central. Yet somehow it's reasonable to ask 2 bucks for a single episode of a single show from that channel?

    5. Re:Irony alert! by mjwx · · Score: 2

      While DirecTV's Chairman is crowing about his viewers lacking an interest in paying for an "extra box" on top of what he provides? Viewers will continue to drop DirecTV service completely,

      This is inevitable, broadcast services are dying a slow death as multi-cast and on-demand services become more prevalent.

      once they use boxes like AppleTV .

      This made me laugh. Apple has had no success with AppleTV and for good reason, they are trying to follow the same "micropayment" model that is killing the other companies, when you look at it, paying $2 per episode is no different then pay-per-view. AppleTV has completely failed to take off and unlike Microsoft they are unable to bundle it with their other offering due to the fact it's a bit of hardware.

      This "Direct TV" guy (they don't exist in Oz) is right about that, people don't want another box, his or Apple's. They want this shit built into their TV sets and not have it controlled by someone else. This is why Napster and Bit Torrent is such a huge success, not because it's free but because it provides people with what they want.

      Apple TV is a failure. A successful on demand service will integrate with what people already have and provide access to what they want without asking for payment every single time.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
    6. Re:Irony alert! by SomePgmr · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I worked the math on this for my usage not so long ago. I could do Netflix, Hulu, Amazon Prime and pay to watch something like 2 regular shows assuming one show per week, and it was still less than I was paying for TV. The exercise was to see what I could get legally for what TV costs... no torrents.

      That was with AT&T though, and when I asked about cancelling my TV service they were quick to remind me that my internet service would get more expensive. And now they're capping usage. Those folks know what they're doing.

    7. Re:Irony alert! by gstrickler · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I saw that Dish pays around 0.25/month per subscriber to Comedy Central. Yet somehow it's reasonable to ask 2 bucks for a single episode of a single show from that channel?

      Multiply that by the number of subscribers (not actual views) and you'll find that CC is getting a hefty check. Even people who never watch CC are paying that monthly fee. Compare that to the actual revenue from episodes sold (and "sold" is a 1 time payment, not monthly or per view), and I think you'll find it makes sense. Also, episodes "sold" generally don't include commercials, so they're giving up that revenue stream too. Completely different business models.

      Rental is yet another business model, one that's closer to the cable/satellite model.

      Cable/satellite = all you can consume, but only as long as you maintain your subscription. When your subscription ends, all access ends with it. Pay the same whether you watch 1min or 500hrs per month.
      Per show rental = Pay per view (or a window of xx hours). Access ends after xx hours (or one view).
      Per show purchase = Pay more per show, but pay only once, and watch it whenever you choose, as many times as you choose.

      Either way, the content creators and/or distributors will want to make ~ the same amount of revenue. So, you will pay more up-front for a purchase, but you don't have the recurring fees.

      --
      make imaginary.friends COUNT=100 VISIBLE=false
    8. Re:Irony alert! by milkmage · · Score: 2

      actually, that's not PPV.. Apple killed rentals (for TV shows) last year because nobody was renting.
      http://www.macworld.com/article/1161983/apple_axes_tv_show_rentals_for_itunes_apple_tv.html

      so when you consider it a sale, it's about the same as getting the discs with the added benefit of getting the latest episode the day after it airs. (except for really popular shows like Game of Thrones)

      Apple season pass for Sherlock S2 is 19.99 (vs. 6.99 per), the DVD from amazon is 19.96, amazon (digital) season pass is 15 bucks (no freebies for Prime).
      PBS is also streaming Masterpiece Mystery if you haven't seen S2 yet.

    9. Re:Irony alert! by Lije+Baley · · Score: 2

      It doesn't matter who delivers it, Hollywood will eventually get $100 per month out of you. It happened with cable, then later with satellite, and in another few years it will happen with streaming. Just wait and see.

      --
      Strange things are afoot at the Circle-K.
    10. Re:Irony alert! by __aaltlg1547 · · Score: 2

      Either way, the content creators and/or distributors will want to make ~ the same amount of revenue. So, you will pay more up-front for a purchase, but you don't have the recurring fees.

      Correction: each way they want to make AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE.

    11. Re:Irony alert! by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      I've never used the iTunes store but I wonder if the price difference is due to the downloadable/steamable shows not having (as many) ads.

      I'd like to know how much the people making the shows get per viewer. I bet is is close to what we are willing to pay.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    12. Re:Irony alert! by rockout · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It makes sense from their perspective, in a weird "let's-not-give-customers-what-they-want" kind of way. If they provide you with enough of a disincentive to drop their TV service while you keep internet, they feel like they're (at least temporarily) delaying the inevitable march that consumers are making towards the pay-for-what-you-want-to-watch model of content delivered across the net. It's short-sighted, but then again, when's the last time media companies adopted a smart long-term strategy?

      --
      I've learned that they're worthless, so I don't read AC comments anymore.
    13. Re:Irony alert! by jedidiah · · Score: 2

      If you watch only 2 or 3 TV shows regularly, then what are you doing with ANY cable service?

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    14. Re:Irony alert! by Xrikcus · · Score: 4, Informative

      I tried to drop comcast TV last year and they told me it was cheaper to have internet + basic cable than internet alone. Of course it was... until 6 months later that specially discounted package ran out and my bill jumped. You have to keep an eye on it.

    15. Re:Irony alert! by RKBA · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yes, that was what happened to me. My package discount ended and Comcast raised my monthly charge. I called and told them it was too expensive and that I had to cancel something or cut back on services, and asked how much I would save by cancelling television service from my "Triple Play" package. They transferred me to some sort of "Customer Downgrade Department" (Yes, Comcast actually said they have a department called something like that, although I'm not sure of the exact name). The "Customer Downgrade Department" person was the one who told me that Comcast had reinstated my package discount (and I hadn't even asked them to do it, hooray!), and because of that it would cost me more each month without TV included in the package than with it, so overall the end result was that the telephone call did save me some money even if their policies do seem insane.

    16. Re:Irony alert! by sir-gold · · Score: 4, Insightful

      When the original Boston tea party happened (1773), there weren't armed guards and locked doors protecting the cargo, and there weren't security cameras recording everything with the police only a phone call away.

      Damaging Telecom property (as much as I would love to) is probably an considered an act of terrorism, at which point you don't even get due process, you just "disappear" to gitmo

    17. Re:Irony alert! by jedidiah · · Score: 2

      iTunes is fine if it has what you watch.

      That's a pretty big if. Same problem applies to Netflix and Amazon.

      That is why the CEO of DTV is not worried. There are far too many holes in what iTunes offers. Even if you wanted to cut the cord, you might find that it simply isn't possible without making some serious compromises.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    18. Re:Irony alert! by tsotha · · Score: 2

      Nah, there's no double bank shot reasoning going on here - your cable company charges you more because they lose money when you drop basic TV. There are channels for which people are willing to pay extra, like ESPN or HBO. Those broadcasters charge the cable company money for each subscriber. And then there are channels (like HSN and travel channels) that nobody would pay for, so they pay the cable company to be delivered to customers on a per subscriber basis. They're basically 24/7 advertising channels, after all. Because you have internet you're already in the billing system, and the wire to your house needs to be maintained, and you'll still use up some amount of customer service time, so the incremental cost to deliver basic cable in addition to internet is basically zero. When you drop TV the cable company loses the income you brought in from the advertising channels, so they charge you enough to make up the difference.

  2. "Extra box"? by danaris · · Score: 3, Informative

    Given all the rumours, it sounds more and more likely that Apple will be releasing an actual TV set of one sort or another. That wouldn't be an "extra box," it would just be a replacement TV.

    I wonder what Mr. White would think of the chances of that sort of "Apple TV"?

    Dan Aris

    --
    Fun. Free. Online. RPG. BattleMaster.
    1. Re:"Extra box"? by danaris · · Score: 2

      He'd probably think the market of people who want to pay for a whole new TV isn't all that big.

      Except that X thousand people buy new TVs every year. Sure, it's not a growing market like smartphones and tablets, but it's not like a TV is a "buy once, use forever" thing.

      And if Apple's TV set offered something especially compelling—like enough content deals with the major providers that you could cancel your cable or satellite service, and still get all the shows you liked as they aired, for a competitive price—then people might find reasons to replace their old TVs with one.

      Not saying I have any particular reason to believe that Apple has achieved that, just that it's the kind of thing I would expect them to consider necessary and sufficient to release such a TV.

      Dan Aris

      --
      Fun. Free. Online. RPG. BattleMaster.
  3. Talking to your Apple TV by Flector · · Score: 2

    I could be wrong, but laying on a couch and talking to your TV for hours on end has the potential to be a soul-deadening experience.

    1. Re:Talking to your Apple TV by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I could be wrong, but laying on a couch and talking to your TV for hours on end has the potential to be a soul-deadening experience.

      As if laying on your couch and simply watching your TV is the pinnacle of Western Civilization?

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  4. DirectTV scoffs by asmiller1950 · · Score: 2

    He should be VERY careful about what Apple initiatives he dismisses so blithely. A lot of giants have fallen with such an attitude and we're all better for it.

  5. RIM by codepunk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    RIM thought the very same thing until Apple handed them their ass.

    --


    Got Code?
  6. I'm the one he's not worried about. by __aazsst3756 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    At one time hooked to our TV was a DirecTV box only. Today we have (in order of usage):

    - Apple TV. This is what the kids hit first when looking for something to watch. Mostly Netflix cartoons, our Vimeo home videos, and our Photo Stream. We have never purchased or rented a program from Apple!

    - XBox with Kinect for a gaming fix.

    - Old re-purposed Dell. This is full of all the DVD's I did not want my kids destroying (locked safely away, and yes we do own them), and a way to access anything on the net the first two don't.

    - A real antenna. Sports look horrible on my friends HDTV with all the compression! (needs fed through the computer... someday).

    I would be OK with just the first two if Apple would open the interface up for more content. I would happily pay a small ($1-5) monthly fee for channels such as Discovery, Science, etc. I'm guessing this will only happen once these channels are replaced by new content producers that are 'net only.

  7. Re:Kind of reminds me of by paiute · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The "PC" guys figured out that the best phone wasn't a complex phone but a small screen computer. Maybe they are also figuring that the best TV isn't a complex TV but a big screen computer.

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
  8. Re:Idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    You know, I don't own any Apple products, and I don't particularly have any plans to at this particular moment. (Not that I have anything against it.) But is there seriously no other company in the industry competent enough to step into a market and kick everyone in the ass in the way Apple has been doing? Music players, phones, tablets, ultrabooks, etc., and now potentially TVs. Where will the industry go after TVs? Or will Apple have to hold everyone's hands in that adventure too?

  9. Re:heh by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2, Funny

    "TV, I'd like to watch 'Boardwalk Empire'"

    "Mobile Tata - I don't understand boardwalk empire."

    "TV, play 'Boardwalk Empire'"

    "I couldn't find 'Boardwalk Empire' in your music, Mobile Tata.

    "Oh fuck it, make me some popcorn"

    "I'd blush if I could"

    Somehow, I don't see this as working out too well
    (Dialog pulled directly from yeah-but-it's-still-a-beta Siri)

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  10. haunt him? no by optimism · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So, will White's statement — 'It's hard to see (it) obsoleting our technology' — come back to haunt him?

    Short answer: No.

    The CEO of DirecTV obviously has better intel about the TV/video distribution market, than any slashdotter posting here.

    Is AppleTV a threat to them? I don't know, and it really doesn't matter. For the sake of argument, let's pretend that AppleTV is a huge threat, and that DirecTV is doomed, and one man, even the CEO, cannot effect the sweeping market changes to reverse this course.

    White's motivation, as with any CEO of a publicly-traded company in the Wall St system, is to maximize his income. He does that by keeping the stock price as high as possible, for as long as possible, even in the face of a known inevitable demise. Then when profitability is clearly compromised, he can collect large compensation for sticking with a "troubled company". Or just jump immediately to the next company. Rinse, repeat, retire.

    This is the way the current system works. The CEO is not an "idiot" for not publicly recognizing threats that he/she absolutely knows about. Quite the contrary. His behavior is "smart". It's the overall rules of the system that are "dumb".

    1. Re:haunt him? no by Anubis+IV · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think you're missing the obvious: poor insight on their part can sink their careers. Rather than comparing what he's saying to Ballmer, I find it more apt to compare it to something said by Ed Colligan, the former CEO of Palm, about two months prior to the iPhone's announcement:

      We’ve learned and struggled for a few years here figuring out how to make a decent phone. PC guys are not going to just figure this out. They’re not going to just walk in.

      After being ousted as Palm's president and CEO, he ended up with the investment group that had sunk money into Palm. That didn't go too well, last I checked, and I haven't found any evidence of him being an executive anywhere else. His failure to recognize the threat to his business, despite having better info than the usual slashdotter, wasn't merely a public facade. His career has never been the same, and that's why his quote has doubtless come back to haunt him. The same may be true here if DirectTV's CEO is in denial of a credible threat. Putting on a strong public face is fine, so long as behind the scenes he's actually working on something to counter the threat.

      That said, you are absolutely correct that until we see what's announced, we have no way of knowing if it's an actual threat or not. As such, the smart thing for him to have said would have been, "We don't comment on hypothetical products." Anything more than that and he's setting himself up, in the case of Apple entering the market and succeeding, to be derided as someone who was caught with their pants down and their head in the sand. That's not an image that makes for healthy careers.

  11. Well lets see by Cute+Fuzzy+Bunny · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...I've been a directv subscriber since around 1994 when they had 50,000 customers and have their current HD DVR technology.

    Pro's: nice picture quality, lots of channels, plenty of downloadable shows.

    Cons: Cant stream anything except youtube from a search. No netflix. No hulu. Have to download all shows which can take quite a while and can only start viewing when you have buffered a lot. Most hardware platforms are slower than molasses going uphill on a cold monday morning, and if your brand new HR24 craps out, chances are they'll ship you a replacement HR 20/21/22 that are basically too slow to use. You hit a button on the remote and a while later something happens. Completely opposed to and unsupporting of anything coming through the box that isn't directv supplied and branded.

    In short, unacceptable for 2012, poised for a major faceplant from someone elses set top box. Obstructionism and protectionism only work until someone has something as good for less money that works better. I don't think thats Apple TV because I can't see anyone seriously spending a couple of bucks per tv show. Netflix and hulu are incomplete. But as soon as someone puts out a streaming package with full sports, all local broadcast and pretty much everything I can get from directv minus the big dish and tons of wires and little boxes for under $100...directv will start hemorrhaging money and subscribers.

    Having had the chance to speak to a number of directv senior and middle management, they consider the customer a barely necessary evil and have absolutely no idea as to how to treat customers. When you're the best show in town, you can get away with that.

  12. ZOMG! Rly? by Lumpy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If Michael White is that stupid then it explains a lot. The Direct TV UI is completely horrid in every way. The guide sucks the menus suck, the remote sucks. It's better than the garbage that Comcast has, but only marginally. All of the Cable or Satellite providers have the crappiest UI possible on their boxes. Because they refuse to spend any money on them so they have the box engineers simply slap one together for the least possible cost.

    Apple is going to wipe the floor with them. If apple finds a way to have a $45.00 a month subscription to most of the desired channels out there but in a On demand form, They will utterly destroy Dish and the others.

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    1. Re:ZOMG! Rly? by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      If Apple manage to offer that overseas, they might have a winner; I for one would be all over it. I am hoping that one party will come along with enough marketing cloud to convince the content guys that global on demand is the future.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
  13. More channels = comfort by erp_consultant · · Score: 2

    DirecTV, along with cable, have this model where you have to buy channels by the package not a la carte. So out of 200 channels maybe there are 10 that you watch regularly. Not only that but the default setting on DirecTV is to also show you the channels that you DON'T get to entice you to get them. This all plays in to the prevailing American mentality of "more is better". Big house, big SUV, big refrigerators, big everything. This is why Costco is so successful. Why buy 2 rolls of paper towel when you can buy 50? What does this have to do with DirecTV you might ask? I believe that there is a psychological comfort that people get with 200 channels even if you don't watch most of them. If it got pared down to just the channels you want I think that many people would feel cheated. "What...only 10 channels? But my buddy has 200!!". Unfortunately the wasteful-hoarder mentality works against the just-get-what-you-need mentality. I see this time and time again. People driving down the street in 9 passenger vehicles alone. People in the grocery store with enormous carts full of food. People buying big houses only to have several of the rooms never used. I'd love to see a la carte programming but I just don't see it catching on for the reasons above.

  14. Re:What is he supposed to say???? by gstrickler · · Score: 2

    No, but he should take Andy Grove's advice, "Only the Paranoid Survive". It's a book he should read.

    --
    make imaginary.friends COUNT=100 VISIBLE=false
  15. Re:you can't get HBO on it's own and not IPTV only by cayenne8 · · Score: 2

    ...you can't get HBO on it's own...

    Currently...true.

    But what's to say that Apple isn't courting HBO and the like to be able to stream them through and AppleTV or like device?

    As long as HBO get's their money, and potentially more customers...why would they not jump at this opportunity?

    --
    Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
  16. Re:AppleTV may have to deal with ISP and data cost by blahbooboo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What this is fucking free ride you are mumbling about? I paid for my pipe, and though it may be shared with my neighbors, it's none of your fucking business where I suck down my content from.

    You are an idiot.

    You had a nice rebuttal. The name calling was unnecessary and makes you look like the idiot. Try and just stick to your argument, youll get much farther in life...

  17. Continue to drop? by Kohath · · Score: 2

    Wikipedia says:

    Year Subscribers
    1994 320,000
    1995 1,200,000
    1996 2,300,000
    1997 3,301,000
    1998 4,458,000
    1999 6,679,000
    2000 9,554,000
    2001 10,218,000
    2002 11,181,000
    2003 12,290,000
    2004 13,000,000
    2005 15,000,000
    2006 15,950,000
    2007 16,830,000
    2008 17,620,000
    2009 18,081,000
    2010 19,200,000
    2011 19,890,000 (DTV was hurt by the NFL lockout in 2011)

    And they are expanding their service into Latin America.

  18. Re:TV is not UI-driven by blahbooboo · · Score: 2

    I somehow think (and expect) that Apple knows this and has more "up it's sleeve" than what any of us are guessing...

  19. comcast 300GB and then $10 per 50GB by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 2

    Comcast 300GB and then $10 per 50GB.

    HD IPTV can burn cap fast and haveing HSI without cable tv costs more then HSI with cable tv.

  20. Re:you can't get HBO on it's own and not IPTV only by Sloppy · · Score: 2

    As long as HBO get's their money

    Hi, welcome to the 21st century. I see you have just arrived. I know this will seem very strange to you 20th century visitors, but here's the deal: HBO doesn't give a damn about getting their money, except maybe in terms of discouraging it from happening. None of the media companies do. Their main business model is that whenever a customer comes to them and waves money in their face, the media company's response is "Fuck you! Get that fucking money out of my fucking face."

    HBO is only going to be interested in this, if it comes with some assurance that customers will be unhappy, and will have increased motivation to stop sending their monthly checks.

    The video industries know what Apple did to the poor bastards in music, who were all trying to go out of business but are now burdened with so many accursed sales directly trackable to Apple's store. Forewarned MPAA companies are not going to have their suicides sabotaged the same way -- they're not that oblivious.

    --
    As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
  21. Need a new phrase by ilsaloving · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Something like, "If Apple focuses on your market, you better focus too". Apple has an unequivocal track record of being a major disruptive influence on any consumer market they choose to enter. Music players. Music industries. Phones. They may not dominate any given market, but they sure as hell disrupt it.

    I have to say that I'm actually glad for this. All these markets have essentially been static and stagnant with the incumbents doing the same crap without any real innovation. Then Apple waltzes in and suddenly everything gets really interesting. The phone arena is particularly interesting, because we get to watch the relatively long-lived incumbents (eg RIM, Nokia) thrash, crash and burn in slow motion while everyone looks on and says to themselves, "Wow, I can't believe we put up with the crap they've been peddling for so long!"

    1. Re:Need a new phrase by TheBiGW · · Score: 2
      Wish I had upvotes - but instead I'll reply. The TV industry globally is in dire need of this kind of thing. The impossibly slow menu systems of most SAT/Cable TV systems are bad enough. Then you look at the awful impenetrable remotes with buttons everywhere. I can easily imagine a company like Apple magically hiding the complexity behind a veneer of smooth touch screen goodness that automates 95% of the crap and demos amazingly well. A TV app store optimised for Apple's TV remote control interface would be revolutionary for most people used to the incumbents. The TV market is prime hunting ground.

      And I'm not even an Apple fan! Given all the unix based TV operating systems out there (Samsung I'm looking at you) this could have happened long ago given the right investment. Clearly they've all had it coming.

      --
      Build a man a fire and he'll be warm for an hour. Set him on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life.
  22. Oh puhleeze by WindWhale · · Score: 2

    How else is he supposed react to not only a product that doesn't exist, but one that hasn't even been announced? Panic? People (not necessarily here) mocked Jeff Bezos when he dismissed the threat of the iPad and iBooks to his Kindle business. And guess what? A couple years into it and Bezos was right. Furthermore, let's be honest with ourselves, Apple knows how to do R&D: fail as often as you succeed but when you win, win big. They have had notable failures. Look no further than, well, Apple TV. Their desktop business never got traction. iBooks is basically a failure. They screwed up the nano and backtracked. So their successes we all know about and think about, but they have felt what failure feels like too. Now, maybe this new "doesn't exist thing" will change the world but maybe it won't. HDTV sales have completely stagnated in the US. Penetration is high and the need to upgrade a 4 year old 50" tv is small. I don't think an updated UI is the difference, nor is the ability to rent on demand. As for DirecTV, I have it and enjoy it. I'm not married to it, but nothing about paying Apple's fees is particularly compelling. I get my free Amazon Prime Instant Video as well as the choice to rent stuff not free. And DTV has NFL Sunday Ticket, which is the bees knees for an out-of-town fan. I like FIOS too. I'd rather chew ground glass than go back to Comcast though. For me to spend $1500 in replacement costs, it's going to have to be a whole lot more than widgets, streaming and a slick UI. YMMV.

  23. Re:Kind of reminds me of by jedidiah · · Score: 2

    DirecTV is the player that has all the pieces.

    It's Apple and the rest of the cabal that don't have all of the pieces. ALL of them are at the mercy of content owners that may not want to cooperate and network owners that may not want to cooperate.

    Those are also the same companies that are the incumbents.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  24. Re:heh by jedidiah · · Score: 2

    No. But a full blown AppleTV can be dismissed as a toy for not being able to tune or decode a TV broadcast, play a raw DVD or BD file, or play your very own home videos just pulled off your USB camera or smartphone.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  25. Re:Idiot by Man+On+Pink+Corner · · Score: 2

    But is there seriously no other company in the industry competent enough to step into a market and kick everyone in the ass in the way Apple has been doing?

    Apparently not. From my reading of the Steve Jobs biography by Walter Isaacson, who appears to be a detached, more-or-less objective outsider with no dog in the fight, it appears that media industry executives really are the overpaid imbeciles that we've always suspected they were. Or, more accurately and less facetiously, they're the laziest fuckers this side of Mars.

    On both the production and distribution side, the media companies are run by overgrown fratboys who could just as easily have gone into fast food franchising or insurance underwriting. Without some messianic figure to tell them where to go, what to do, how to do it, and how to zip their pants up when they're done, they really are completely hopeless. You can count on these people to behave self-destructively in the absence of adult supervision.

    It apparently took every hand-waving, smoke-blowing, reality-distorting trick in Jobs's repertoire to get the music people on board with iTunes, and to keep Disney from destroying Pixar. Tim Cook is OK at the business of running Apple, but he is no Steve Jobs, and it's not clear who is going to pull the media companies' asses out of the fire this time.

    For a while I thought Reed Hastings might be the one to step in and drive the necessary changes. But he's more like Steve the Grey than Steve the White. Jeff Bezos? Who knows.

    I wouldn't count on anything to change soon.

  26. Swiss Army Knife Three Trick Pony by nastav · · Score: 2
    Apple TV does a few things well:
    1. Good living room version of iTunes-as-an-appliance. Streams music from iCloud, does iTunes Store stuff (renting, buying videos)
    2. AirPlay
    3. Netflix, and some other less interesting services.

    There are other devices that do much much more. Roku is the Swiss Army Knife of such appliances - and integrates popular services like Netflix, Hulu, Amazon Video as well as less popular stuff like MLB.TV, Crackle and several dozen others. It's silly that White thought of comparing himself with Apple TV, when the true competition he ought to have been comparing himself with is Roku. In the long run, it's inevitable that White will be proven wrong. In the short to medium run, I think he will continue being right. It will take some time before content owners become comfortable with streaming options. For now, we are stuck with nonsensical paywalls like the one set up by HBO GO, but eventually the types of Netflix and Hulu, and PPV systems like iTunes and Amazon Video will slowly take over. In another generation (or two), the new breed of users will see online as normative, and that will accelerate the demise of DirectTV and Cable companies. I expect Cable companies be hold out longer than DirectTV, because they will continue owning valuable copper that also supports internet services.

    --
    -- obligatory (but true) caveat: my comments my own, and don't reflect my employer or colleagues' positions.
  27. Re:heh by whisper_jeff · · Score: 2

    A $1,500 50" TV is not likely to sell like hotcakes. If Apple holds to their current pattern he's got time to react.

    Some people thought the same thing in regards to the iPhone. Ask a couple companies, RIM first among them, how that worked out.

    If they aren't already reacting in some way or another, it's already too late.

  28. Re:heh by jedidiah · · Score: 2

    You are talking about one heavily subsidized comm device versus another one.

    I bet you like to whine about how "Android devices are cheap" too.

    People generally do not pay full price for phones and there is no one to subsidize the cost of a TV.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  29. Very few holes now by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Interesting

    iTunes is fine if it has what you watch.

    As far as TV goes, there is very little you cannot get between iTunes and Netflix.

    Even HBO is present, though on substantial delay (1 year wait for game of thrones on iTunes).

    But if you are simply wiling to wait a while for TV shows there is almost no gap. And even for current stuff if you throw in Hulu you'd probably only be missing HBO.

    So basically, all Apple has to do is bribe HBO, and get Hulu working with Apple TV to give users a box that should make DirectTV worry... that and support either OTA HD or some other way to get live sports (the real gap at the moment between the hell of cable/satellite TV boxes and freedom).

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley