Microsoft's 'Cannibalistic Culture'

theodp writes "In the provocatively titled Microsoft's Downfall: Inside the Executive E-mails and Cannibalistic Culture That Felled a Tech Giant, Vanity Fair offers a teaser for a story that will appear in its August issue on Microsoft's Lost Decade, which promises an unprecedented view of life inside Microsoft during the reign of Steve Ballmer. 'Every current and former Microsoft employee I interviewed — every one — cited stack ranking as the most destructive process inside of Microsoft, something that drove out untold numbers of employees,' contributing editor Karl Eichenwald writes. 'If you were on a team of 10 people, you walked in the first day knowing that, no matter how good everyone was, 2 people were going to get a great review, 7 were going to get mediocre reviews, and 1 was going to get a terrible review,' says a former software developer. 'It leads to employees focusing on competing with each other rather than competing with other companies.' Also discussed is the company's loyalty to Windows and Office, which induced a myopia that repeatedly kept Microsoft from jumping on emerging technologies like e-readers and other technology that was effective for consumers. Having seen an advance copy of the full piece, GeekWire offers its take on what it calls an 'epic, accurate and not entirely fair' tale."

Comments

"Microsoft's Downfall"

[DesScorp]

That may be the mother of misleading book titles. Microsoft has lost a step in some areas (as much due to Apple's ascendence as anything MS did wrong), but this sounds like one of those apocalyptic books you see about finance ("The Coming Great Depression" and stuff like that). It's essentially a tabloid headline on a book cover.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[thetoadwarrior]

Yeah Microsoft will be like all those big brands like Nokia and Kodak and live on forever.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[RazorSharp]

Of course. People will always need Office just as they will always need film. Oh, wait. . .

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[theRunicBard]

Oh, "Downfall" is more accurate than you think. Microsoft won't last unless it changes significantly. There are several things working against it: Programmers hate Microsoft. Every university, every professor, everyone works on a unix-based system. This leads them to Linux/Unix. Ballmer then slams those and calls them parasistes (look up his views on the GPL). So where do these really talented programmers go? Unless they can't help it, not Microsoft! So now you have unskilled workers. The best go to Google, then facebook, then amazon, then startups, etc, and Microsoft gets whatever is left. Is it any wonder their technology isn't as good as Google's? It's gotten so bad that even their own employees notice. Do you know what a Microsoft employee uses at home? Linux/Mac. Do you know what they use to listen to music? Maybe a Window's Phone but just as likely an iPhone. What do they read their books on? iPads. How do they send their personal emails? Gmail. An employee at Google would take a bullet for the company. An employee at Microsoft is wondering how long until the next iPad comes out. This might not be a completely fair review on my part, but it sums up my views. And the way I see it, a company like this just CAN'T compete with the rest. The only thing they have going for them is that mixture of Steve Ballmer's bottomless money bag and the fact that the average computer user will just use whatever OS comes with their box and that's going to be Windows. But that's not a solid business plan and they need to change.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[DesScorp]

Yeah Microsoft will be like all those big brands like Nokia and Kodak and live on forever.

Or IBM, remember when they used to be a going concern? Oh wait, they still are. Companies can adapt, and Microsoft is, far and away, the number one provider of operating systems and office software in the word... still. Like I said, they seem to have lost a step, but so what? Ford lost a step with the Edsel. It didn't kill them. Predicting doom for Microsoft at this point is just stupid.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[cpu6502]

Yeah it would be more accurate to say "Microsoft's Stagnation". They were the #1 desktop/laptop OS in the 90s and still are today. The problem is that they didn't expand beyond that paradigm, and missed the boat on the cellphone and MP3 player OSes (currently dominated by Google and Apple respectively).

Oh well. BTW Microsoft has never been an innovative company. Never. They won the PC-DOS contract in 1981, overlaid it with Windows GUI 4 years later, and that was about it. It was other companies like Atari, Commodore, and Apple that were doing the innovating..... constantly pressing forward with new ideas like music-quality sound, video-quality graphics, multitasking, mouse-based interfaces, and portable computers. MS just say by and watched.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Anonymous Coward]

Yes, but look at the decline. It's shocking, especially if you factor in iOS devices. If you factor in Android, it's even worse.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[LordLucless]

You're missing the OP's point. He's not saying Microsoft isn't going to fall, he's saying it hasn't yet and publishing a book entitled "Microsoft's Downfall" is making a prediction that isn't based on any actual fact, but just sounding portentous and drumming up controversy.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Trashcan Romeo]

If you factor in profitability, it's cataclysmic.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Billly Gates]

Why is this funny?

It is exactly what is happening. Once consumers start buying more of these devices than PCs the software will start to be ported over and be gradually as good as the desktop versions. Then corporations will notice and leave ship too next.

I admit we are far from that at the office but businesses are 6 to 7 years behind consumers. The lockin is gradually going away and even if Windows 8 catches on MS will be screwed because they do not control the w3c standards like they once did and these apps can be ported over to Andriod and IOS fair easily.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Anonymous Coward]

But 2013 will be the year of the linux desktop, after the downfall of Microsoft!

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[dido]

If you are old enough to remember what Microsoft was like around the late eighties and up until about the early-2000's, you would realize that they are no longer the force to be reckoned with that they were back then. Yes, they are still a very wealthy and profitable company, and will probably remain so for decades more, but they are no longer the force to be reckoned with that they were in the time I speak of. Back in those days Microsoft inspired such fear into the hearts of those in the software industry that before beginning a software venture people would ask: "What would Microsoft do in response to this?" and even the vaguest hint that Microsoft was getting into some field would be sufficient to dissuade the faint of heart from even getting started and risking competing with Microsoft head-on. Those days are long gone, and now the companies that have sort of inherited that mantle are Apple and Google (but it seems that even put together they don't have even half of the kind of terrifying aura Microsoft exuded back in those days). Their loss of this kind of power does not mean that Microsoft will cease being profitable or even that they'll stop growing, far from it. It simply means that they've become irrelevant to the leading edge of the software industry, just another stable, stolid, boring company like IBM or SAP.

This is what Paul Graham meant when he wrote that Microsoft is Dead.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[TENTH SHOW JAM]

Who needs office anymore?
I need to create the odd document which I can do on the wiki we have at work.
I need to create the odd database report which I do with various database tools and then export them to html.
I need to send and receive email, again, a web interface seems to do the trick.
Sometimes I need to present something to a group of people. I use a whiteboard. (I tend to prefer the smart boards)

The reason people use Office suites these days is more from tradition than need. Microsoft will not die, but they will recede. Metro will probably speed up the process.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Anonymous Coward]

I work there, and I can tell you don't have a clue. The biggest problem MS has with hiring is competing for those few people that learned to program in C/C++ instead of Java, or some other interpreted language. We get summer interns that are good all the time, some get offers and work out well, other wash out in less than 4 years. Its not because of stack ranking though, its because of lack of desire or capabilities, Those that perform their job well and consistently get promoted quickly. Some long term employees get to a certain level and then stagnate, and when they're shown the door they blame the stack ranking process because their peers passed them by.

Also note the higher in level you are the broader the ranking becomes. Many of the people in the Vanity Fair article were stack ranked division or corporate wide, not within their own team. Then were let go as part of the dead wood trimming during the layoffs when the economy went south.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Anonymous Coward]

Back in their glory days, Microsoft was a very "Fast Follower", so while they were rarely the first with a piece of tech, they were very often right behind. They were very agressive at ensuring no market segment escape them, often using old IBM "vaporware" tactics to chill interest in the competition, as well as underpricing them. They were absolutely paranoid that someone was going to do to them what they did to IBM.

Compare this to modern Microsoft where Ballmer completely dismissed the iPhone and their mobile division sat on their thumbs for two long years.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Belial6]

That joke keeps getting told, and it has been a fair jab so far. It also is not entirely impossible. 2013? Probably not. 2014? Maybe. Android is advancing fast. On average Google is releasing 2 versions of Android per year. Tablets are already powerful enough to run 90% of the software that 90% of the users need. When Google decides to release a version of Android that works as a desktop, Linux will be showing up on a lot of desktops.

If you will accept the dropping of the word "desktop", we are already way past the 'Year of Linux'. Most people have more Linux devices in their homes than Windows devices.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Gorobei]

Nice charts, and on the money.

Microsoft, like RIM, is basically doing unloved corporate infrastructure at this point. They are seriously 3 iPhone apps away from becoming a non-entity:

Mail: I get 1000+ messages a day. I ignore and/or delete.
Calendar: Still useful, but not as a real calendar, I have triple booked time slots.
Powerpoint: Mostly just a tool to get the pacing of a talk right.
Excel: When's the last time you saw a what-if scenario in excel? This is now just a data presentation tool.

There are N startup ideas that can grab $1B from microsoft in a few years. When the young crowd are ignoring them, and us old-timers have our PAs deal with the tools, you gotta figure they are hurting.

Seriously, the last hot person I saw using a Microsoft OS had taped "INTP" over the logo on their laptop. Microsoft == ConEd.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Sir_Sri]

Right, but not even 20 years ago they were a bit player in the office products business, and not a player at all in the game console business.

Times change, companies evolve. Microsoft has the cash to turn itself into a car company if it wants to (I'm not sure why it would want to, but it can do pretty much whatever it wants). Whether or not they will latch on to a successful strategy in the future remains to be seen. Right now they're riding their giant piles of free money from Windows and Office to experiment with other areas (gaming, mobiles, various corporate computing tools etc.), if one of those strategies pans out they may jump headlong into that rather than PC's.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_operating_systems gives a good breakdown. (note that the chart there samples from different places at different points so it can't be used as a value over time measure, but Windows is still somewhere in the 70-85% use range as of april/may of this year). Which is not far off from where it was for the last 10 years with Mac and linux picking up ~10% of the market.

I know it's hard to fathom, but windows is HUGE. The iphone sold about 35 million units each quarter this year. Microsoft moves 35 million units of windows on new PC's in a month. And most of those iphone users have windows.

The other question is whether or not microsoft ever really needs to abandon the PC market. It probably does, but that's not universally true. GM has been making cars for 100 years, and even though there are other car makers and so on they've never really needed to branch out into unrelated businesses, probably they could have had some presence in the aircraft business if they were so inclined (the way GE and rolls royce and SAAB etc. did). It's possible, however unlikey, that the world will keep selling 450 or so million computers a year, and MS will own most of that market indefinitely and everything else will orbit around windows rather than ever meaningfully compete to replace it.

MS came very late to the game to game consoles, and it took them a while to find their footing, but they've managed to move a lot of 360's and make a lot of money. I wouldn't be surprised if they manage something similar with mobile and tablets. Windows 8 might bomb due to the amount of change. But windows 9... that I wouldn't bet against yet.

Granted Ballmer could go crazy, fling a chair at someone important, land himself in jail and then the place suffers a massive leadership crisis and goes out of business. Stranger things have happened.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Tough Love]

Linux was slowed down in the desktop space mainly because of Microsoft's illegal monopoly control of OEM preinstalls. However notice that a number of the players that Microsoft was able to cow into dropping their advertised preinstalls are once against shipping with Linux preinstalled. When Microsoft's grip loosens just a little more the numbers will go exponential. Because there's no Microsoft tax, lowering the price of a typical desktop by 10%. Meanwhile, Microsoft never had a ghost of a chance to block Linux on phones and tablets once Google weighed in. Which helps a lot with Linux pentration on desktops: 1) customers get used to alternate interfaces 2) it's Linux 3) it weakens Microsoft 4) it's Linux. Next baby step is Android on desktops, after that most probably QT based gui on Android on desktops.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Grishnakh]

IBM's doing pretty good these days, but back in the 90s their future looked very uncertain. They were very strong in the 60s, 70s, and into the 80s, but they made some really bad decisions, and ended up downsizing the company greatly. They managed to avoid collapse, and have built themselves up a lot in the last decade. But they easily could have failed, ending up like Kodak instead.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[GaratNW]

Excellent point, but the headline is not entirely inaccurate. As someone who worked there from 1998 through to 2004, and with a large number of friends still there, the company has gotten really bad. It has a shadow of the potential that it used to. Not because there aren't amazing elements in some of their products (Metro, love or hate, is a pretty remarkable UI evolution - Please, no posting to that retarded AOL image or whatever it is; plenty of other examples of good ideas surrounded by bad; Forcing metro by default in the desktop, for instance), but the company is its own worst enemy. VPs fighting VPs, a culture that started as productively competitive that has turned into destructively competitive - I'm not talking about the market, I'm talking about internal competition and non-stop backstabbing and product infighting.

To paraphrase the Joker, "This company needs an enema.". And the first step is flushing Ballmer. People often underestimate how much of the culture stems from the top down, even at a 70,000 person comapny, but Ballmer, despite being a brilliant business man, is a horrifically bad visionary and leader.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Beryllium Sphere(tm)]

An anecdotal data point backing this up is that one of my business contacts goes to meetings at Microsoft and when the MS people pull out their cell phones, 6 of 7 are iPhones.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[fuzzyfuzzyfungus]

The parallel is actually pretty apt: Kodak had a fuckload of R&D, and patents, in digital imaging and the managed to throw more or less all of it away through a myopic focus on their legacy business.

Similarly, this story isn't about how Microsoft has nothing but morons(they don't); but how they managed to take the good ideas generated by a decade plus of having all the smart people that gigantic bucketloads of money can buy, and suffocate them because they didn't look sufficiently like Windows, or interoperate in an obvious way with Office.

That's the real trick. Any moron can become irrelevant because their core product comes under some sort of unstoppable structural pressure. It takes talent to ensure that you squander your good ideas(and, in some cases, years-long leads on the competition) on the altar of your core product, and then become irrelevant because your core product suffers structural pressures...

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[west]

Most companies would beg to have 1/100th of Microsoft's revenue stream, and that revenue stream isn't going anywhere fast. If MS fails absolutely everything, it will still be 20 years before it's actually losing money.

There is no other tech company even a quarter as secure as MS. Apple is exciting, but it's a consumer electronics company now, and their longevity is.... questionable. Apple's been able to throw many cards in the air and have them all turn into aces, and I am in awe of them, but a few big missteps and Apple's 1/10th its current size.

Windows and Office, on the other hand, are a license to print a steady stream of money. Not stock-market exciting because revenues aren't doubling every year, but rock steady.

I'd buy MS an income trust, no problem. It just needs to realize it's Exxon, not Apple.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[catmistake]

The parallel is actually pretty apt: Kodak had a fuckload of R&D, and patents, in digital imaging and the managed to throw more or less all of it away through a myopic focus on their legacy business.

Completely false. Kodak did nearly the exact opposite of what you're claiming. What killed Kodak wasn't "myopic focus on their legacy business," as they developed a decent plan with foresight for a shift to digital (Kodak's first digital camera was 1975). What killed them was low margins in the commodity market of digital photography. Had they recognized the wave of competition in digital and the commodization of digital cameras, and instead of shifting to low end competitions with manufacturers of cheap equipment and focused on the higher-end large margins in the commercial market (as IBM did with computers), they might have survived. Kodak is a casualty of the speed of technological innovation in a low end market, unlike Microsoft in every way, which is an arrogant behemoth in comparison. Unlike Kodak, Microsoft never innovated anything ever... their modus operandi is to purchase or copy innovation, and force their smaller competition out of business by flooding markets with inferior product.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[lilfields]

Don't worry, if actual Microsoft employees dismiss this story, they will be dismissed by Slashdot. All hail Linux! You see Slashdot has this post ranking system where they...ah shit.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[fullback]

Microsoft is the McDonald's of the desktop. They'll both be around a long time, serving up crap.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Sir_Sri]

Right, but a lot of that android market is competing in a low value market that they don't care about. Microsoft was never bothered by sybian selling 10's of millions of phones even though it could do various office and web browsing task.

The chart I linked is illustrative. Just because people have android phones doesn't mean that's translating into usage share. If people who have linux phones still do 80% of their computing on Windows it's not really going to hurt microsoft any, in the same way that microsoft doesn't care what brand of refrigerator you own, virtually everyone with a computer also has a refrigerator, but they are not overlapping markets. Now, I grant you, I would have expected mobiles to be a much more overlapping market with PC's, but thus far that doesn't seem to be the case.

Also, your opening line

Actually for every 2 new windows 7 machines there is 3 new machines running Linux. Or about 600 thousand windows and 900 thousand Linux (a large part of that is android) every day.

Fails basic maths. There are 900k android activations a day, which is just under 30 million a month. So about the same as windows. Who are up in the 30-35 million a month range. So it's closer to 1:1. But a lot of those droid devices are cheap phones with a browser (not that there's anything wrong with that particularly, but there's nothing there really competing with windows market share).

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Old97]

RIM's revenues and market share peaked in 2008, a year after the iPhone was announced. No problems at RIM. Just keep on a truckin'. Today's profits and profit margins are not the best indicator of future performance. The fact is that Microsoft has been floundering for over a decade. They've not repeated their Windows success. Office rode on Windows. What is next? Their enterprise business is doing well, but software wise they are competing with the most inept companies on the planet - IBM, SAP and Oracle - so that's not a measure of excellence. They've got time to turn it around, but it's growing short.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Old97]

I think that it is YOU who doesn't know what they are talking about. IBM's internal politics started killing them in the 1980's. Their System 3x versus PC versus 43xx versus 39x versus 9xxx versus their office division (e.g. Displaywrite). I had IBM sales guys in my office trashing other IBM divisions for God's sake. They were a mess. Internal competition denied them the synergies they could have gotten if they would have worked together. Finally they brought in an outsider (Gerstner) who cut through a lot of that and saved their company. Their middleware still sucks and they ruin every product/company they buy, but they now market to the clueless suits as one company and do quite well financially.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[theArtificial]

Microsoft has never been an innovative company. Never.

They came up with AJAX and prior to that Iframes, maybe you've heard of those?
Microsoft had the first console to feature an internal HD eliminating the need for memory cards for save games among other things.
Intellisense is amazing (it's an example of auto completion done well).
The scroll wheel on a mouse. The first optical mouse.
The first mouse featuring backwards and forwards buttons.
First mainstream ergonomic mouse.
While not the first, they're responsible for ergonomic keyboards (due making them affordable, just like PCs)
Teraserver (1998 a precursor to Google Earth)
Involved in the creation of the browser useragent
Video codec innovations which led to VC-1 being the premier codec for HD-DVD and BR discs.
Helped establish TrueType
ClearType
The Taskbar
Ability to alter compiled code while debugging it
Dynamic HTML desktops
Lots of small innovations in .NET that when combined equal large cumulative innovation.
XNA
Alt tab to switch between applications
Photosynth
Microsoft OneNote
First OS to have a 3D Sound api for games
Shadow Copy
Certainly that should qualify as an innovation.

They won the PC-DOS contract in 1981, overlaid it with Windows GUI 4 years later...Apple that were doing the innovating.....

By giving Xerox a bunch of stock in their company for access to their GUI technology, essentially buying technology just like Microsoft?

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Tough Love]

Do you sometimes wish that you actually understood what P/E means?

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[mabhatter654]

but the flip side is that all Windows and Office have done was allow them to piss away VAST quantities of cash not getting anywhere. Sure, it's nice to be able to LOCK business purchases into a guaranteed 15-20% purchase increase (to maintain licensing discounts) but what has Microsoft DONE with that money? Those divisions are 85 cents on the dollar PROFIT. Sure companies would kill for that kind of cash... they would also FIRE managers that only managed to eek out measly 20% or so they actually post each year.

Microsoft has VAST amounts of WASTE internally. They aren't growing their stock in the last 10 years. They could easily be posting several dollars a share every quarter dividend and be a value stock that puts that money into stockholder's pockets. Compare them to Apple sure, but Apple's headcount isn't spiraled out of control like Microsoft's. Apple has grown sales and profits but kept their headcount down (outside opening more retail shops) by ruthlessly nixing products that don't make the cut.

Microsoft philosophically CANNOT do that. They don't have expertise to separate the winners from the fluff like Jobs did. Microsoft operates more like a VC fund... throw money at a lot of things, try to have fingers in everything, and see what sticks. It's an OK model, but the customer end is tired of it. This is where if the court HAD broken them up, there would be one or two really strong companies from the "monopoly" and the others would have died and the tech staff would rebuild something new... without having to compete with Bill and Steve and the piles of money. The joke is that they have spent 10 years focused on dodging regulators rather than releasing new stuff (outside Xbox). Apple and Google cleverly "moved the cheese" and spent the last 5 years being laughed at... now the giant is going over the edge on it's own and it can't change course. It's own bags of money keep it from moving.

of course Microsoft isn't GOING anywhere. They need a serious overhaul. They would have had it if they were broke up, now they have to essentially do the same thing 10 years later and it won't be pretty. Somebody has to man up and break out the AXE. The problem is that the HEAD needs chopped off, so the baby chicks can do their own thing. Microsoft has soaked up 20 years of talent and done NOTHING with it.

The WORST part of all, when they start firing, they will create the biggest competitor know to the tech industry. If they slashed 20% those employees would be joined by a good share of Apple and Google workers that are also ready to do something GREAT again. The bloodbath of cash involved would ramp up some serious VC funding too.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[mabhatter654]

IBM aggressively restructures itself every few years. They are constantly cutting, snipping, buying and selling whole divisions that are only in the trade presses. In the new IBM, at any given time about 10% of the employees are "on the chopping block" and have to interview to switch to other projects inside the company. Of course they are rapidly losing their "legacy" of "slow and steady" advances when they kept labs around doing research at the "20 year" time frame. The IBM where product line executives worked their way up in a division from wielding soldering irons is just about over as those old timers are pushed out of the company.

I work with the Midrange lines a lot and there have always been lots of people that wrote microcode in the System 36 days, still managing the next release of the OS for POWER8 hardware. Those are going away rapidly in the new IBM.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Fjandr]

Windows: Enjoy doing whatever you want on an essentially stable botnet.

They've all got problems. That's Windows' particular weak spot.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[catmistake]

Who needs office anymore?

...The reason people use Office suites these days is more from tradition than need.

Long time Microsoft enemy here, and I have to strongly disagree. There are few packages that do what Exchange does... which boils down to, apparently, integrating calendar and mail. You're thinking too individually... an individual can find software that they like better that works better than Office, but when you add 2K - 10K collaborating users to the mix, there's nothing competing with it (there are a few alternatives, Zimbra is one ... but Exchange doesn't seem to be going anywhere even with the few actually free alternatives, and the alleged popularity of outsourcing to Google apps). Exchange admins can fuck off all they want and never worry about losing their job, and if they do, never worry about finding work... there's always an Exchange server somewhere in crisis.

The reason people use Office is because that's what their company uses because there are few alternatives, and it came with their home computer. I have to give credit where credit is due... Exchange works pretty well, even with its lockout pitfalls and instability after not having any maintenance for a few months while corporate tries to find the rare individual that is competent at administrating the thing and isn't a complete jerk.

Windows might be the worst thing to come out of Microsoft, and Office is probably right there with it if you aren't collaborating (except, I think, for Excel 2003... Word and PowerPoint are crap, but I've never seen a spreadsheet application as nice as Excel, before all the new needless bells and whistles they added in 2009/11... so I don't think 2003 Excel is bad software at all), but Exchange sits up with the best of Microsoft's products, along with Active Directory and XBox (and someone told me they made a good mouse).

Whenever anyone asks me for something in a .doc format, I always ask if .txt or .pdf will do, because, I tell them, .doc is not a standard but a proprietary format, and I neither own nor use Microsoft products (unless someone is paying me to).

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[mabhatter654]

it's about "eyeball time" kids. Outside work, I spend nearly Zero time on a Windows computer. I have two Macbooks and spend only about 10% of my time there. It's all iPhone/iPad for browsing and light media, and Apple TV/Roku for online videos. For kids now, their Android phone has replaced competing with time on Dad's shared computer. When the 7" android tablets really hit their stride the average person won't hardly TOUCH a PC (or Mac) except for work and school purposes and maybe to manage their home network or someplace to hold a big fat hard drive for their stuff (because nobody has done a good job of a dumb "storage tank" for your home network yet).

So yes, everyone will still buy a Windows PC (because it's the only thing stores sell) but everybody buys Microwave Ovens and TVs too... there's no MONEY in those items anymore though.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[mabhatter654]

it wouldn't matter because MS Word was originally written for the original Mac... then ported over to PC.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[hairyfeet]

The problem MSFT has is it can't simply kill support to older titles and they have to give the OEMs and customers what they want NOT what MSFT wants to sell. Cases in point, Vista and most likely win 8, not to mention their recent failures to gain any share in mobile with Zune, Kin, and WinPhone 7.

Somebody at MSFT simply needs to accept that things will NEVER be as they were during the heady days of the MHz wars, where one had to toss a PC every 2 years because it would struggle to run the latest software. hell thanks to the consoles even games don't really stress the monsters we have now, my ancient HD4850 still gives me over 30FPS on modern games with plenty of bling so the drive to constantly replace just isn't there.

While they can coast for awhile what they can NOT do is piss off their partners like the AAA game houses and the OEMs because frankly without them most would be happy to stick with what they have. We may just get to see how far MSFT can push it with Win 8 but I have a feeling they are gonna get a wake up call and find out they simply can no longer lead and expect people to blindly follow. You'd have thought they'd have gotten that with Vista but I guess not.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[oiron]

MS skunkworks is truly amazing! Surface (both the original table and the new tablet), Photosynth,... Some of that stuff is revolutionary!

But they seem to have this problem of bringing things to market. I don't know if you remember the number of features announced and then cancelled for Vista; WinFS, for example...

I think this article shows us why - the individual divisions are very innovative. But they compete with each other, distracting them from actually doing anything in the market.

Perfect example of why companies shouldn't be allowed to grow into obesity! It's interesting to note that breaking up MS would probably have been a good thing for the market.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[mabhatter654]

but it's all from "forced" service contracts where they make OEMS and companies buy "15% more" every year or the price per unit skyrockets. At one point the OS/Office division was 80% profit! So while the numbers keep going up, how much is that as percentage of the overall pie?

More importantly, how many "dead horses" are they beating just so "somebody else" can't have them? XBox was a calculated choice to break into a new market that was a duopoly at the time. Losing THAT much money what what it took to hold ground against Sony and Nintendo. But outside that, almost everything they do is reactionary and they are just throwing money on the board to "block moves" rather than to play their own moves. Out of the whole Windows 8 movement on Phones, tablets, and PCs, nothing is pushing me to buy anything. There's not even anything officially FOR SALE YET!

Microsoft is still resting on the days when a new OS was released and OEMs drummed up the sales for it. Granted, they can bully OEMs in to buying millions of units up front to have those big release day numbers for the press... that then take MONTHS to sell through. That's not going to fly this time and everybody knows it. Microsoft's hardball tactics with OEMs are already under fire... if this round doesn't cash out for OEMs, then OEMs are going under, they're all broke... and Microsoft will get the blame for sinking them. In reality, the public opinion about the Win8 stuff is going to be more demanding than the business end of it.

Microsoft need one of Steve Jobs famous "One more thing.. " speeches that have the unwritten "go forth and buy today" at the end. The public hasn't had one yet.

Blood is in the water. Everybody knows Microsoft can bleed now... the Win8 release will find out just how much blood is in the water and how many baby sharks want to try for a bite.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[hairyfeet]

I think there is an even better comparison...AOL. For awhile AOL practically ruled the consumer Internet market but even when they got products like WinAmp that were insanely popular they smothered them to death because EVERYTHING had to tie into "the service" and it got to the point everyone working there either quit or just quit giving a fuck.And just like MSFT AOL found themselves in charge of a market that simply stop growing and although it won't just die as dialup did it'll never be as big as mobile is ever again.

You look at everything MSFT is doing right now and its the same thing, they just keep trying to tie everything into Windows and Office even if it doesn't make any sense. i mean including Office on WinARM when they haven't even included AD or GPO support? Its a fricking consumer OS, it makes no damned sense! But some PHB said it HAS to tie in, hence Office.

Sadly looking back I'd have to say the best damned thing that could have happened to MSFT would have been if the courts would have split them up, because with so many groups fighting among themselves and so many things being pushed to tie into the two sacred cows of MS Windows and Office they really are backed into a corner there. If mobile would have been split off from Windows maybe they wouldn't have given us a decade of teeny tiny start buttons on WinCE devices, nor would we be seeing Ballmer taking a crap on the desktop just so he can try to gain a couple of shares in the smartphone arena.

Anyway you look at it while MSFT has a steady revenue with their sacred cows there is just no growth there and with the corporate culture its looking more and more doubtful they will be able to branch out.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[aristotle-dude]

Involved in the creation of the browser useragent

That was entirely self-serving. They wanted a mechanism to allow webpages to target IE specifically rather than the standard HTML features.

Video codec innovations which led to VC-1 being the premier codec for HD-DVD and BR discs.

Early codecs were based on Quicktime code stolen by a sub-contractor from Apple. VC-1 is inferior to H.264, HD-DVD lost the format war and many BR discs with the best video quality use H.264.

Helped establish TrueType

Did you even read the page you linked to? I quote: "TrueType is an outline font standard originally developed by Apple Computer in the late 1980s as a competitor to Adobe's Type 1 fonts used in PostScript."

ClearType

They were copying ATSUI.

The Taskbar

A copy of the NEXT dock and other systems.

Ability to alter compiled code while debugging it

NEXT had that in the 90's with the predecessor to X-Code and Objective-C.

Lots of small innovations in .NET that when combined equal large cumulative innovation.

The .NET framework borrowed ideas from Cocoa and Java.

XNA

Most high profile games that are multi-platform use C/C++ code rather than XNA.

Shadow Copy

A backup on the same hard drive? That is not a backup. It is idiotic.

Certainly that should qualify as an innovation.

Nope.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[aristotle-dude]

If they do, corporate America is dead. MS is baked into its IT DNA. Competitors might score brand new technologies, but consumer tech is not going to replace the base IT infrastructure that supports 99.9% of all businesses. If MS mysteriously died, most IT divisions would collapse shortly thereafter.

I don't think you actually have worked in a large fortune 500 company. They use windows desktops but many have a lot of infrastructure running on various flavours of commercial UNIX and Oracle databases.

I work for a fortune 500 company.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[hairyfeet]

Actually the chart is telling, but not in the way you think. Look at the peak, between 2004 and 2006, what happened then? The end of the MHz war because of the thermal barrier and the rise of the multicore, that's what.

I know plenty of folks and even plenty of businesses on first gen Phenom Is and Core duos, are they poor? Nope there is just nothing they do that stresses those chips which are now over 5 years old. look at that chart again and see how quickly it was climbing when AMD and Intel were topping each other in speed with every release, then look at how much faster it drops around 2007 when multicores became cheap for the masses.

In the end the reason why those numbers simply aren't keeping up with Apple is there is no reason to replace PCs anymore whereas Apple is going through their OWN MHz race in the mobile sector. Also thanks to the switchover to intel nobody has to choose "either/or" anymore so they can just pick up a copy of OEM Windows and run bootcamp (which your chart doesn't figure in, only new PCs sold) while still having the hipness of the frankly nicer looking Apple hardware.

Mark my words if you produce a chart for ARM 5 years from now you'll see the same thing, as i predict they will run into their own wall in less than 3, only instead of thermal it'll be battery life. Then just like with PCs people will simply keep them until they die, although naturally their sales will be a little higher as its easier for your dog to eat your phone than your desktop.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Gumbercules!!]

"...Microsoft was never bothered by sybian selling 10's of millions of phones even though it could do various office and web browsing task...".

Hilarious typo.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sybian

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[inasity_rules]

What? Sarcasm? Most people I know love their outdated android phones. I run a Symbian Nokia, but I made the mistake of buying an iPad. It good hardware, but the app store is hopelessly crippled in my country. All the interesting stuff requires me to be be in America with an American credit card. I would never buy an iPhone for that reason alone. Bottom line; consumers will only tolerate lockin if they can get what they want, and apple is in the business of screwing their non US customers. Also the ui sucks. I think based on this, outside of the US, apple will lose a lot of ground.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[west]

I get it, but where's the analogy to the iPhone. It's not as if another mainstream OS and office package is eating Microsoft's lunch.

They'll own the PC until the end of time, and unless you are actually predicting the end of PC (which is going nowhere for most of the world and *especially* business), Microsoft is going to be around for a long, long time.

No, they haven't got any real winners in the pipeline, but then, owning the PC market, they scarcely need it to be a viable company. They just aren't the technical and stock market darlings of yore. But then, neither are most companies that produce a dependable, but not vastly growing stream of income.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Belial6]

No they don't. Saying that people hate their Android phones doesn't make it so. Watch this. People hate their iPhones. Talk to almost anyone who isn't an Apple fan and they will tell you that they'd rather have and Android. That doesn't make it true. Both Android and iPhones are widely available, and both can be had as a pack in to the phone plan. People using iPhones generally prefer iPhones, and people using Android phones generally prefer Android.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[west]

Of course they use a lot of different technology. But pretty much every single employee get a PC with Windows and Office. Name any other company that's pretty much guaranteed to get paid for every corporate employee in North America. More to the point, almost all the high-end infrastructure has competitors. You can replace Oracle with DB2 or a dozen others. You can replace one flavor of Unix with another.

Nothing replaces Windows and Office. And unlike other infrastructure, you pay for it for every employee.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[shutdown -p now]

There are plenty of quite capable people that are screwed by stack ranking. Just because you don't know any (or have convinced yourself that they aren't actually good), does not actually make it so.

The flaw in stack ranking is quite obvious - it's a system that, when you have a team consisting of Steve Wozniak, Linus Torvalds and John Carmack, says that one of them must be ranked as "good", one as "average", and one as "bad". Needless to say, when someone that good is ranked in the lowest bucket and has an embarrassing "talk" with his manager (which is actually often more embarrassing to the manager, since they have to give some humane explanation for the ranking - and often there simply isn't any), they get pissed off and quit. Heck, even if they were actually just average, why tell them they're bad? There's this inane idea that by stack ranking you get to keep the best and the brightest while getting rid of the "deadweight". But in practice all it gives you is the constant churn of people who aren't quite geniuses, and every now and then it makes a genuinely good guy to quit (not always because he falls victim to the system; smart people tend to see the flaw in it, and quit while they're the king of the hill rather than wait for the bucket to be passed to them).

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[TheRaven64]

Sales aren't nearly as important as installed base. For a lot of desktop users, 1GHz was the point at which 'fast enough' happened and they stopped upgrading unless something broke. My mother is in this category and is still using a computer from about a decade ago. It's much harder to find someone using a 10-year-old mobile phone, smart or otherwise. Look on eBay and by the time a smartphone is two years old its resale value drops to almost nothing.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[TheRaven64]

"C++" (which, as I understand it, is also hated by most who use it)

Not true, a kind of Stockholm Syndrome seems to affect C++ programmers. There are self-help groups available, but first they need to admit that they have a problem and most are still in denial. Even then, their dislike of the language is nothing compared to the raw hatred experienced by those of us who have implemented the abomination and know exactly how much of it is undefined or implementation defined...

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Hognoxious]

only managed to eek out

Presumably we're talking about the division that produces mice?

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[sjames]

Where are these people who hate their Android device? I haven't met them. I have met plenty who are annoyed about some aspect, just like iPhone. I have met people annoyed they can't get the latest Android goodness on their existing device because of a brain-dead carrier, but it's not Android or the device they hate.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Hognoxious]

but Kodak is a casualty to technology.

That's one of those things that everyone knows ... and it's baloney.

Kodak pioneered digital imaging. They invented the CCD.

Unfortunately they were so worried about cannibalizing their existing film based business that they failed to exploit it. The problem with that logic is that if you don't, someone else will. And boy, did they!

Kodak were a casualty of strategy - mainly their own.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[buglista]

"The first optical mouse."
Bollocks. I was using a SUN optical mouse way before MS came out with anything.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[cyber-vandal]

Careful, that's heresy around here. You'll get patronised to death by people telling you everything runs in the browser now, even though it doesn't.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[Lehk228]

But enough about RIM

Sent from my Blackberry

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[west]

That's exactly the analogy. IBM *still* owns the mainframe. The only thing that killed IBM (although it changed business models to become very successful today) is that the market itself disappeared.

If you believe that the general purpose PC (I include Macs in this) is going to die, then MS is in trouble. But that's not happening. PC sales are stagnant, after all, it's already owns the world, but the PC in business (and a good number of homes) is pretty much like a utility like oil or electricity. It's not going away.

The phones and pads may supplement, but we're not seeing any substantial replacement.

Re:"Microsoft's Downfall"

[catmistake]

Meanwhile, the consumer market was flooded with inexpensive snapshot cameras

yes, the point I keep trying to make... Kodak delved into this market, and that was a mistake-- inexpensive snapshot cameras wouldn't exactly produce the margins Kodak needed to survive unless they were the only manufacturer... but there were literally hundreds of competing companies overseas flooding the domestic market, all after these minuscule margins. While the overseas worker could be exploited, and I think likely still is, most of Kodak's labor force was in the US. No one cares if a cheap camera is made by higher quality (and more expemsive) domestic labor.

Re:With downfalls like that, who needs successes?

[Trashcan Romeo]

There's one number that isn't bigger than last time: the amount Microsoft is charging to upgrade to the new version of Windows.

What does that tell you?

stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[ffflala]

...and it has the same results. Law schools grade this way. It simply adds a very real incentive to undermine those in your group. It forces competing against one another for individual gain, often to the detriment of group progress.

It sort of makes sense for law students whose focus will be litigation, since they are training for an adversarial environment. It also ensures that the lowest performers are consistently swept out.

However it rests on the assumption that the lowest performers are necessarily and always detrimental to a group overall. This of course isn't true, since every single group will have a highest and a lowest performer. The other downside is of course that it promotes individual interests over group interests.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[Anonymous Coward]

Mostly, stack ranking makes employees focus on butt kissing. Reviews are subjective so the manager's favorites get the good ranking regardless of actual performance or value to the company.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[lennier]

Law schools grade this way. It simply adds a very real incentive to undermine those in your group.

And that one fact explains so much about Western culture today that it's scary.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[jo_ham]

This is the first time I've heard of stack ranking (you can tell I haven't worked in a corporate environment) and it strikes me as the most stupid, ineffective, counterproductive load of nonsense I have ever heard.

It is instantly obvious that it's a shit idea when you realise that you are obligated to have a set number of results at each grade level, so it will fail the minute you get a team that doesn't fit that perfect theoretical curve (many more good than bad, or all bad etc).

"Seven of you scored well enough to get the top grade, but I'm only allowed to give out 3 top grades, so I randomly picked those top three or simply chose the best ass kissers"

The four who don't get it are now disgruntled and lose motivation, and perhaps start looking for somewhere that appreciates them.

I can't believe this utterly retarded system got past the "throw us a crazy idea!" stage at a management meeting. Oh, management... of course. All is explained.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[cpu6502]

I like how one MS employee put it: They advertise for Internet Explorer's team..... they want the best 4.0 level talent on that team. Problem: Once that talent arrives only three out of ten will actually get the 4.0. The rest will get a mediocre 3.0 which makes them feel unappreciated. And the bottom two will be shown the door, even if they truly are top talent. (Probably headed off to google and chrome development.)

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[Anonymous Coward]

Stack Ranking made sense back when it was introduced at places like General Electric. Those big Fortune 500 companies previously had no mechanism of getting rid of under-performers, and accumulated huge amounts of dead weight. (One company I worked at had dozens of "Directors" and "Senior Managers" with no direct reports and very little responsibility.)

The funny thing is that companies like Google also use a form of stack ranking and nobody criticizes them for it. The problem at Microsoft is more incestous corporate politics, and the ranking system is just an outcome of that.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[Anonymous Coward]

AMD does the same thing (forced curve), and it's rolled up at each management level and adjustments are made between teams under the same director, and again under the same senior director, etc etc.

it's pretty lame because a team of 5, awesome people will still have to have 1 grade-A employee and 1 D if not F, and maybe the rest can be 2 Bs and 2 Cs. the one that gets the D/F might be so good that in the larger group (taken as a whole) he could be a B++, but at best he'll get a mid-evel C.

the reason is that each level of rollup involves the managers arguing for their team, and often taking turns at who gets to make their people As, or who has to "take one for the team" and make theirs the low grades. and then the higher level managers can't know everyone on a 100+ person org, so they defer to their favorite managers, make capricious decisions... it's pretty lame.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[b4dc0d3r]

The reasons behind these decisions often make sense, in theory. And as we all know, practice is not theory.

I've worked at Fortune 150 to Fortune 10 companies. This type of ranking comes in when someone at the top is cost cutting, and wants to drive away the worst performers. Forced ranking makes it easier to tell managers to rank people, then later ordering the bottom person gone for all teams above a certain number. That way managers don't have to decide who goes, in the same way as if they were ordered to choose one person.

When the company recovers, employee surveys (and exit interviews) cite this as the reason for leaving, and this system goes away.

I'm not sure we can trust the specifics, but if this plan were in place 5 years or more, it points out a management who is completely unconcerned as to why people leave the company. Microsoft has raise concerns about poaching - maybe they legitimately believe other companies are just making overly high offers to get talent, rather than people leaving because of a hostile workplace.

I think over the past few years this has gone out of style in many places, but it does take a while for the shared MBA pool of knowledge to trickle down as new graduates replace outgoing ones, or someone makes a 20 year stagnant career in the same position, refusing to change their ways.

Which is one reason large companies push career development. If you don't aspire to get a promotion, you are going to eventually get fired - this is the message. Pushing people to move around voluntarily means you can count on at least a few new opinions introduced, But when you push the great architect into a mediocre middle manager, you've hurt the company twice - losing the architect and gaining bad middle management.

Good ideas always have a downside, and good management knows when to recognize when the cons outweigh the pros. Half of the managers are at or below average, so I wouldn't expect much more than following orders.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[gnasher719]

Now imagine the lowest two of your ten people team just left. Who would you want as replacement? Certainly not anybody who is better than you at their job.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[x3CDA84B]

Exactly. It's as if MS' management are deliberately trying to prevent anyone from actually having an all-star team. They're also completely failing to understand that psychologically, for most people rewarding top performers will produce better results than punishing low performers, even though if you look at it as a math equation, they can be identical.

This stupid way of managing people is one of the main reasons I would never in a million years work at Microsoft, or other companies that use similar methods (Amazon, etc.).

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[Dunbal]

That way managers don't have to decide

Except, isn't that what managers are paid to do? It's like the judge who says "I have no choice". Why bother even having a judge in that case.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[NotSanguine]

Exactly. It's as if MS' management are deliberately trying to prevent anyone from actually having an all-star team. They're also completely failing to understand that psychologically, for most people rewarding top performers will produce better results than punishing low performers, even though if you look at it as a math equation, they can be identical.

This stupid way of managing people is one of the main reasons I would never in a million years work at Microsoft, or other companies that use similar methods (Amazon, etc.).

I've been reading these critiques of "stack ranking" and, as a former MS employee, I understand why MS does "stack ranking" even though it's ultimately detrimental to the organization. Microsoft is a sales focused organization, not a technology focused one. When managing sales people, you want to keep the highest performers happy (and selling as much as possible). Nothing motivates a salesman more than knowing that if they don't produce, out the door they go.

Since Microsoft has always been run by salespeople (Billy G. included and Ballmer is the quintessential salesjerk), it makes sense that they should use sales management techniques within the organization. the problem, of course, is that just because you're not one of the top developers on a dev team, it doesn't mean that you suck. It means that you have colleagues that you can learn from and improve your skills -- potentially making a good developer a great developer.

Stack ranking is a piss-poor way to evaluate development groups. It has also created an atmosphere at MS where personal relationships are more important than performance. It has also created an environment where being seen as being involved in "the next big thing(TM)" causes employees to ride the waves of high-profile projects and then jump ship when their visibility is reduced. I saw so many good ideas die while I was at MS just because something newer and shinier appeared and those upwardly mobile types just dropped the ball without looking back. It was kind of sad to watch, actually.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[Mr. Shotgun]

Now imagine the lowest two of your ten people team just left. Who would you want as replacement? Certainly not anybody who is better than you at their job.

Spot on, and what makes it even better is the ramp up time for the 2 new and less skilled hires ensures that they will be mediocre in comparison to the established team. Therefor earning them low marks in the next review and booting them out the door taking their years salary and training overhead with them. Looking at it's logical conclusion there would be a high turnover rate in the team under this stack ranking system leaving that money to walk out the door with no return on investment and maybe a bad rep from the recently fired.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[Tough Love]

Seems to me, this whole misbegotten idea was invented at GE. Let's see how that worked out for them.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[rtb61]

I find the whole process of stack racking fascinating in a Machiavellian point of way. It really points to incompetent management who have no idea how to motivate staff, how to create effective productive teams and of course how to create a healthy working environment. Basically it screams we have no idea what we are doing so we are going to introduce dog eat dog, into the work environment and let itself sort itself out and blame everything on middle management and take credit for any success.

I would look at stack racking in employee evaluation as a solid indication that a company has psychopathic corporate executives in charge. They enjoy the carnage that results, they revel in the benefits of favouritism, include gifts and sexual favours, the enjoy the ego boost of being able to destroy more competent people and they thrive in the hostile environment created. Insane people driving insanity in order to make themselves appear normal. This certainly explain a lot about M$'s failures in new product lines. No one willing to take risks, top to bottom favouritism and ensure the job permanence of current graders. A top to bottom scheme to ensure the survival of Ballmer and nothing else.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[ppanon]

Exactly. Stack ranking is pretty similar to how Jimmy Pattison car dealerships used to (and may still) work for car sales - the lowest performing salesman each month gets let go and someone new is hired. It's effective if you're dealing with unskilled labour and there's a huge supply of the labour you're looking for.

However if you're dealing with a labour force where you claim there's a shortage of skilled workers and you're trying to hire the cream of the crop, telling the majority of those workers they're marginal and telling one of them they suck (even if they may still be part of the top of their field) is bad for morale and retention. If you're trying to hire the top tier and retain them then that's not the way to do it. In the end, the result is that the average replacement hire is at least as likely to perform as badly, but you also need to train them in the corporate culture and you've spent a lot of money on the hiring/firing process. It's good empire building for clueless HR managers who get to have more reports to deal with the churn, but in the long term it's destructive to the competitiveness of the company.

A lot of companies have deadwood, and there's a need to have merit-based processes to deal with that, but stack ranking is like grading on the bell curve. It can help compensate a little for the effects of bad teaching/management, but it's not necessarily a great indicator of competency/desirability. However properly evaluating how your employees are performing, not just within their small group but relative to the company or the industry as a whole, is bloody hard when your worldwide headcount is nearly 100,000 because processes that work well for smaller companies just don't scale up to that size. Punting on that problem by using a skewed bell curve on a sample size of 10 has to cause more problems than it solves, and whoever thought of that one should be required to take remedial stats for social scientists before they're ever allowed to come close to HR policy-making authority again.

On the gripping hand, Microsoft apparently has an attempt at a merit-based system with a transparent enough process (even if it is tragically flawed and easily manipulated) that employees can critique its flaws. How many companies don't have even that much and just promote based on networking and nepotism?

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[bertok]

This kind of stupid shit happens because management is not a science!

Just like how before chemistry we had alchemy, and before medicine we had blood letting, you're seeing the pre-scientific version of management. It shouldn't be surprising that it's a joke.

I've read a bunch of management books and the whole time I was screaming "CITATION NEEDED" inside my head. They're full of unscientific but plausible sounding mumbo-jumbo, and ridden with weasel words. No numbers. No studies. No control experiments to demonstrate an improvement relative to the existing gold standard. Probably because there aren't any standards to begin with.

Take stack ranking for example: how would you even begin to measure the effectiveness of such as technique, relative to other employee review systems? What units would you use? How would you run this experiment? I bet you can't answer this. I bet the person who came up with stack ranking can't answer it either.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[tlhIngan]

I've been reading these critiques of "stack ranking" and, as a former MS employee, I understand why MS does "stack ranking" even though it's ultimately detrimental to the organization. Microsoft is a sales focused organization, not a technology focused one. When managing sales people, you want to keep the highest performers happy (and selling as much as possible). Nothing motivates a salesman more than knowing that if they don't produce, out the door they go.

Since Microsoft has always been run by salespeople (Billy G. included and Ballmer is the quintessential salesjerk), it makes sense that they should use sales management techniques within the organization. the problem, of course, is that just because you're not one of the top developers on a dev team, it doesn't mean that you suck. It means that you have colleagues that you can learn from and improve your skills -- potentially making a good developer a great developer.

True, but the big reason why it sucks is obvious. When you have a group of more than 1 person, there will ALWAYS be a better performer in the group. Even if you took two identical people, with identical training, depending on how you evaluate, one of them will perform better than the other. Of course, change how you evaluate, and you'll find the roles reversed.

In every group, there will always be a top performer, and a lousy performer. The issue is that lousy performer may be the top performer in another gorup, or change the criteria by some insignificant thing and the rankings can easily change.

Heck, take 10 groups of 10 people, and take the top performer of each to form anew group. Well, one of the top performers will be on the failing edge.

Or shuffle the tasks around and the top performer on Windows might become toe lousiest performer on Office, and switch again and the mediocre guy on Office might be the top guy on Xbox.

It's a great way to lose top talent - just because in the current evaluation they're the worst of the group. Hell, you might be dismissing someone you could objectively measure (on say, 1-100) 99.9999999999 vs. 99.9999999998.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[hawk]

Nah, there's worse.

remember Hawkins' Second Law: There is no lower bound to human intelligence.

I had a student a ew years ago who worked for a company that overdosed on 80/20. They ranked their customers by sales volume, and informed the bottom 20% that they could take their business elsewherere, as their orders would no longer be accepted.

Uhm, now how do you get new customers, since their starting volume will be below your threshold. And of your, uh, surviving customers, doesnt 80/20 still apply? So dump some more?

I wish I was making this up, but i spent a lot of time with this student.

hawk

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[shutdown -p now]

Direct managers actually hate stack ranking, because 1) they are the ones having to play the game of "kick the other guy down to promote your own", and 2) they have to explain people why they have an "underperformed" rating when they actually worked quite well in the review period, just not as well as someone else on the team.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[shutdown -p now]

Sadly, Google's own "calibration" system is basically a carbon copy of Microsoft's. I'd suggest some other destination.

It seems pretty common for people to jump ship several times, in a round robin fashion. So it's MS -> Google -> Facebook -> MS -> .... For some reason, it's often easier to get a raise that way (when you "come back") then by actually working your way through.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[shutdown -p now]

if this plan were in place 5 years or more

Stack ranking has been practiced at MS for almost 10 years now.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[jo_ham]

I used to run a small but profitable business and we thrived on those customers - the ones treated like crap by the big boys because they were deemed too much hassle or inconvenient because their purchasing power was low, or simply didn't need much. When you start to feel like you're a burden on the company you're buying from, such that they give off the impression that they're doing you a favour because you're "hardly worth the effort of putting out an invoice for such small numbers" then you quickly start looking for other options.

I've seen it first hand - thousands and thousands of pounds of lost business, that we happily welcomed onto our books.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[gnalre]

There is another reason why such a system suck. It ignores the fundamentals of team dynamics in a development environment. In a team you have innovators, those guys who are always coming up with the new ideas. You also have the consolidators, those guys who do the dull stuff, like maintaining legacy code, documentation. If you have a team full of innovators they will always be looking at the next great thing and want to work on maintaining the present work. If you have a team of consolidators, you will get a static stale development team. The right mix is a combination of both.

One of the problem with stack is system is it emphasises one side over the other, usually the innovators, who tend to shout loudest anyway, and ignore the guys in the background who provide the support to those guys.

I firmly believe that there is no individual merit system that cannot be gamed and is not counter-productive to a team. If you wish to implement a merit system, rate the team, not the individuals. In the end a badly performing team will force out the poor performers themselves if there promotion/raises are based on the teams performance.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[eennaarbrak]

The thing I find most interesting about stack ranking is, even if the theory is sound (it isn't, but let's run with it), it's self-refuting. Let's say all companies decide to stack rank. Then, at the end of the year, 10% of the worse performers are automatically fired. In order to replace them, you have to hire from the bunch of work seeking individuals in the market - which are the 10% under performers of other companies that have just been fired.

All you are achieving is to exchange under performers. And now you have under performers that need to be trained up and integrated into your company from scratch.

The theory of stack ranking only makes sense if you are the only one doing it. The more companies adopt it, the more costly it becomes for everyone.

Re:stack ranking sounds like the strict curve

[wanax]

Having read "The Smartest Guys in the Room" about the Enron debacle, I think a large part of the Enron collapse story was essentially a fallout of stack ranking -- a form of which they employed -- the remarkable thing, though, was that Skilling in particular and the other top managers were such libertarian wackos that they thought fostering internal competition within teams and between business divisions was a good thing. And then they combined this with a system where bonuses were paid based on deal sizes based on mark-to-market accounting, so the originator got a bonus and there was virtually no monetary incentive to actually service the back-end of the contract (and thus actually get paid and maintain a revenue stream.. but that's a different story).

Some of the behaviors that came out of that culture are hard to believe..
-The trading desks in different divisions taking opposite sides of the same position with leverage, guaranteeing the company loss (but not the division that won the trade)
-New MBAs were hired all the time, but not initially assigned to a team. They essentially had to shop themselves around, and were more or less allowed to transfer between teams at any time early in the process. Near the end this led, essentially, to something like 20% of the Enron workforce being shuffled around from team to team near evaluation time to take the 'bad slots' in the evaluation.
-They set up an entire subsidiary, Enron Energy Services, that would only be financially viable in the long term if deregulation in California succeeded, and became a national model... while having a division who's entire performance/bonus criteria was dependent on how badly they could exploit loopholes in the deregulation to make a short term profit from trading.

I think the bottom line is that if you let this type of Machiavellian culture take hold, it essentially means that you don't have a functional leader -- they've abrogated there responsibilities to the political abilities of their subordinates. If you look at Northern Italy and the northern part Holy Roman Empire, the former had no leader, de facto or de jure, while the latter had one de jure. Neither of those areas managed to centralize authority until 1860 and 1870 respectively, about 200 years after England, France and Austria managed to do so from more or less the same feudal starting point (they had leaders that were willing to intervene decisively in baronial disputes).

It's really obvious

[WiiVault]

MS has always hired some of the best and brightest, but for years the output has been unable to match. So if you have top people, but you can't produce stuff people want than what is the issue? Management. Duh. I know, and I'm sure many others do too plenty of smart people in the biz. The difference between the Apple, Google, and MS guys is slim at best. But what gets produced is obviously not favorable to MS in quality or innovation. Innovation to Balmer seems too "out of box" and scary to be worth it, so instead he comes late to every. single. party. in the last 10 years.

Re:It's really obvious

[UnknowingFool]

Steve Jobs led Apple in the direction he wanted. People can disagree with that direction but it was clear who was in charge. Ballmer manages MS so that it doesn't lose their monopolies. That's the big difference I see. If Jobs was in charge, I don't think the Vista Ready/Compatible disaster would have happened. The crux of it was a lower level exec made a decision to reverse course on key hardware requirements that left many consumers with PCs that were not really fully Vista capable but it wasn't clear to consumers what that meant. Ballmer just let it happen instead of stepping on someone's toes.

Re:It's really obvious

[Princeofcups]

MS has always hired some of the best and brightest, but for years the output has been unable to match. So if you have top people, but you can't produce stuff people want than what is the issue? Management. Duh. I know, and I'm sure many others do too plenty of smart people in the biz. The difference between the Apple, Google, and MS guys is slim at best. But what gets produced is obviously not favorable to MS in quality or innovation. Innovation to Balmer seems too "out of box" and scary to be worth it, so instead he comes late to every. single. party. in the last 10 years.

That's true, as did Gates for 20 years before that. Microsoft NEVER innovated, never risked, always claimed that emerging technology was a fad and whatever market they already dominated was the only way to go. They let other companies develop technologies, and when the times is right, Microsoft swoops in and buys them out, and rebrands the products as their own. The difference is that Gates was good at this form of evil. Ballmer not so much.

Not a new idea..

[gallondr00nk]

They had very similar performance reviews at Enron

Re:Not a new idea..

[Anonymous Coward]

Except it's nothing like that. Getting into the top three in the Olympics is the entire point. It's why they train day after day after day. If you come in fourth or twenty-third the world may think you are a turd, but to your home country, you are probably still the best they have at that sport and #1 in their book - you may even still get endorsement deals. Those guys you are competing against? They are your actual competition!

In MS's case, those guys you are competing against are your teammates! It would be like a volleyball team ranking themselves against themselves rather than against opposing teams. And not be judged by their merits.

We had something like this.

[Anonymous Coward]

We had something like this where I worked for a couple of years. It's gone now (at least, nobody talks about it), everyone hated it from the middle managers on down. It was based on the "lifeboat", which they mention briefly in the article. The term I got from the article "learned helplessness" is so perfect I wished I'd known it when this was going on.

The first year they ranked everyone in the same "grade" together. If your manager tried to do what HR said and rank people then there would be a few other managers who said everyone on their team was perfect, and therefore you'd get pushed to the bottom of the list for raises. Also, unpopular or inexperienced managers would get their entire team screwed.

The second year it was just among members of your team but the managers HAD to have some percentage who sucked (who would get the ranking you were normally given before you got fired). It didn't matter if that person was productive or not... their thinking was every team must have a slacker who can be fired. Small teams were the worst off here.

HR sucks everywhere.

Re:With downfalls like that, who needs successes?

[gabebear]

They might not be going out of business, but they've had no growth over the last decade(they stopped really making money in 2000).

Go to

• https://www.google.com/finance?client=ob&q=NASDAQ:MSFT

and set it to 10yr, Google even lets you compare it to the Nasdaq and Dow Jones averages (putting your money into a fund that tracked the Nasdaq over the last 10 years would have netted you 100% more money than MSFT stock).

How Time Was Spent On MS teams That I Worked On

[Anonymous Coward]

As a former Microsoft exec, my observation was that most blue badges above level 62 spent 30% of their time on work and 70% of their time maneuvering

Re:How Time Was Spent On MS teams That I Worked On

[Tough Love]

You really think they spend as much as 30% of their time working?

stick to your knitting

[mister_dave]

Also discussed is the company's loyalty to Windows and Office, which induced a myopia that repeatedly kept Microsoft from jumping on emerging technologies like e-readers and other technology that was effective for consumers.

They'd be foolish not to be loyal to windows and office. Those were/are two fabulously successful products.

I think there is a strong case for MS ignoring any options for broadening their product range, and just focussing on their existing winners.

Re:stick to your knitting

[b4dc0d3r]

Like the buggy whip makers? Sure, stick with your strengths. But the consumer is fickle, and when they decide to move on you either give them something to move on to, or stagnate. From the article, Microsoft has repeatedly rejected any opportunity which might lead them to having a strength other than Windows and Office.

I almost mentioned their effort with XBox, but my dashboard is upgraded to have a billion ads, Bing search, Windows Media. It's a crapfest, and it's bringing the XBox closer to the core Windows strengths, rather than giving gamers something useful. The "media center" idea, starting with XP media center edition, is either unwanted by consumers, or badly botched by Microsoft. "All your media in one place", including DVR and streaming, is a solved problem. But MS can't make it stick, and instead just piles on more Windows integration.

stack ranking is a version of rank and yank

[Wansu]

This concept was foisted upon the world by former GE CEO Jack Welsh. It has ruined one company after another and is an example of the cure being worse than the disease. Watch out when your company hires in HR people from places like GE, IBM, Microsoft, Nortel, AT&T, etc.. They will try to get a promotion by implementing a slightly different version of this which will have about the same results.

Re:stack ranking is a version of rank and yank

[slew]

...a Fortune 500 company with very little respect for their IT department......the whole thing melted down in under 2 years and resulted in the department being gutted and replaced almost entirely with H-1B workers.

I think you have your answer right there. They probably got the result they were looking for and it took less than 2 years...

post-modern news

[PopeRatzo]

A summary of an article about a story about an as-yet-unpublished article.

What a wonderful world.

Stacked ranking at HP

[hamster_nz]

We had the same at HP - if you got the bottom ranking twice in a row you were asked to leave. We had a stable team of 10 engineers, all of which were good at their job but one had to be ranked as incompetent.

We working through the list alphabetically, so everybody got it once in a while but never twice in a row.

Re:Stacked ranking at HP

[Osty]

But then you all have a black mark on your record, making it harder to move teams. And compensation is directly tied to review ratings, so for the review period where you get the short straw you may get nothing -- no raise (not even cost of living/inflation), no bonus, no stock. Just an uncomfortable discussion, a bad mark on your review record that will send up a red flag to other teams, and the hope that your manager doesn't get replaced with someone else who doesn't follow the previous manager's rotation and will pigeonhole you based on your previous bad review.

Jack Welch implemented stack ranking at GE when the company was over-sized and performing poorly. It was intended to be a short-term (couple year) measure to identify and weed out underperformers. It was not intended to be a long-term business standard. Filtering out 5-20% of your work force every year is not sustainable (why do you think Microsoft complains about the lack of H1-B visas?), and the system is ripe for exploitation. Your manager exploited the system in an arguably good way (making the best of a bad situation), but plenty of managers will use stack ranking to get rid of people who are competent but have somehow rubbed the manager the wrong way, or in a misguided attempt to retain talent (give them a good review and they will leave to better things, but give them a bad review and no other team will take them and they're left with the choice of staying where they're at or leaving the company entirely), or as an exercise in empire building (make your way up the corporate ladder by bringing along people below you to push you up at the expense of others who may be more competent but less willing to play politics).

Part of the problem is that stack ranking is so pervasive in the software industry. All of the major companies do it. Smaller companies do it because the big companies do it. Every now and then you'll find someone unique like Netflix, but if you leave Microsoft for Google, or HP for Amazon, you're just going from one stack ranking system to another. The individual details may be slightly different, but the overall system is the same.

Re:With downfalls like that, who needs successes?

[nanoflower]

It tells me that they don't care about making as much money off of upgrades because they have new ways to monetize their customers. What with all of the apps they are providing customers for free in the hope of them using them instead of other apps (like Gmail.) Then you add in the integrated application store and there's a potential for making a lot of money. Apple certainly does quite well with their app store so Microsoft hopes to do the same. Especially if they can provide apps for their phones, tablets and PCs from the same source (where they get a cut of every purchase.)

Eval process kills another company

[bbbaldie]

I worked at a place that manufactured snack cakes with a cute little girl as their trademark. I worked there 13 years as an hourly employee, then got promoted into their IT department.

It was great for five years or so, then the third generation of this family-owned started flexing their muscles, invoking a new unsaid policy that unless you could prove otherwise, the assumption was that you were a lazy goof-off who should be demoted or fired.

Thus was born the semiannual evaluations from hell process.

I would typically spend 20-40 hours applying loads of manure to my evaluation in an effort to be spared the axe. So would every other salaried employee in the billion-dollar company. This was time that could have been used in improving our production numbers via technology (I was an intranet developer). Instead, we had to slather our way though an incomprehensible eval process that forced us to make predictions based on absolutely no data. Basically, we had to try to read the minds of a couple of dysfunctional family members who now found themselves in officer positions.

They probably couldn't get warehouse worker jobs for Wal-Mart, thank God (for them) that they were members of the family.

I've been gone about a year now, others are going over the wall as other jobs make themselves available. The company has managed to grow in a bad economy, but when things get better, I predict a Microsoft-like turn for the worse, as folks who can afford Hostess or Dolly Madison snack cakes leave in droves.

I'm not saying that the psychotic salaried evals are causing the downfall of the company, but they certainly are a barometer of how things in general are going. Just like Microsoft.

Microsoft is practicing "Decimation"

[Steve1952]

According to Wikipedia: Decimation (Latin: decimatio; decem = "ten") was a form of military discipline used by officers in the Roman Army to punish mutinous or cowardly soldiers. The word decimation is derived from Latin meaning "removal of a tenth".[1] A unit selected for punishment by decimation was divided into groups of ten; each group drew lots (Sortition), and the soldier on whom the lot fell was executed by his nine comrades, often by stoning or clubbing

OK a valid if harsh form of management, but note the critical distinction that the Romans reserved this very harsh technique for unusual events. They were not dumb enough to do this to every unit on a routine basis!

Re:Microsoft is practicing "Decimation"

[Wansu]

  "... the Romans reserved this very harsh technique for unusual events. They were not dumb enough to do this to every unit on a routine basis!"

Neutron Jack was right about companies accumulating dead wood. They can and do. Used on a one time basis to get shed of non-productive workers, Rank and Yank is highly effective. But then they keep doing it on a routine basis. On subsequent iterations, they get rid of good people. They become so fixated on this process, it becomes an end in and of itself. I wonder whether Welch knew what he had set loose upon the world.

Re:Microsoft is practicing "Decimation"

[NilleKopparmynt]

I think your parable is very apt. I worked for Microsoft for five years and for three of those I was put in the 10% bucket. The worst was not to be singled out as the poorest employee. The worst was not that it was totally unfair, fundamentally wrong and without any proper motivation. The worst was the bullying that ensued. The managers had nothing that they could motivate it with, since there was nothing wrong with my performance, so they reached for every straw that they could find to try to motivate why I was the bottom performer. Besides pinning other peoples mistakes on me the most popular blame was to give me a really hard time when I did my job really well. Since I worked as a tester (SDET) this was really easy. Every time I found a really good bug (you know, the ones that companies like Google now give out cash rewards for) I got blamed for finding it too late and that it fundamentally was my fault that the bug was there in the first place.

The absolutely biggest regret I have is hanging in there for so long. It is so utterly destructive on your motivation, confidence, happiness and competence to twice per year getting it on paper that you suck and being bullied in between. You can ignore it for a while but in the end it gets you deeper than you could imagine.

One thing that is a bit surprising is that Google evaluate its employees four times per year compared to Microsoft's two. I wonder what consequences that will have...

As a Microsoft employee

[Anonymous Coward]

The stack ranking wouldn't be a destructive process, if management used it correctly. It should be a template on where the team member is placed because they perform at a certain level of execution. Not a tool to make sure the list has a certain amount of 1s, 2s, ... 5s.

On my team there are employees who are there to collect a paycheck and coast; they deserve lower rankings because of their mediocre to poor performance. We have guys that do what they are told (and that's it), they get average reviews (3s). Sounds about right? It does work there. We also have politically savvy individuals that deliver nothing and guys that actually perform and do a lot of work. Guess who gets the higher numbers? Management claims it's not political; to the point where they have to have HR in the room to ensure it's not political. It doesn't, hasn't and never will work. (It really burns me when someone with a bunch of hot hair gets a 1; when you work your tail off and get a 2...)

The example given, 10 employees, and only 2 with awesome reviews creates a competitive atmosphere. Management is always on the look out for faults in an employee that have been used for years against someone. It kills moral, makes people self-pontificate way to much (and say nothing) while doing little to self promote how great they are. If they used the number system as a template to rank employees and not force a bell curve, Microsoft would have happier and more innovative employees.

Prevents retirement

[symbolset]

Your odds of surviving thirty years of this is approximately zero. Everybody has an off year eventually. Once people realize that, their commitment also goes to zero.

Re:Prevents retirement

[Tough Love]

The thing is, the rankings actually have very little to do with performance. The opposite, more like it. If you're good, somebody above you feels theatened.

Re:With downfalls like that, who needs successes?

[blackraven14250]

1 stock in 2002 != 1 stock in 2012

What's the market cap? What's the total shares outstanding over that time frame? Price/earnings ratio? There's a 2:1 stock split during that time frame, and quite a few dividends. Your very simplistic measure is outright wrong in its interpretation of facts. You can sit at a $30 stock price over 10 years, while doubling the number of total outstanding shares, but your measure and accompanying interpretation takes that as "they didn't grow at all".

Perverse management incentives

[hibiki_r]

When using a review system like this, few things are more valuable to a manager than some really terrible employees.

Imagine I have 2 amazing developers in my team and 3 very good ones, and the ranking system is going to force me to give one a bad review: It will not only make that one very good developer mad, but sour things for the other two, that have to keep beating the poor sob I randomly chose as the one getting the bad review. However, what if I transfer one of my very good developers to a different team in exchange for a worthless chump? Give the chump nothing important to do, and then the rest of your team can continue unhindered and unafraid of getting an awful review just because they are associated with a competitive team.

I used to work at a place like this. If a new hire was just way too good, he was moved to a different team that had lost a top performer, and team quality was kept relatively even: We had to protect the good developers we had. Any team that was too good just had to be split up, or they'd quit anyway.

Re:With downfalls like that, who needs successes?

[Tough Love]

What does that tell me? That they are planning on selling more copies making a smaller amount per copy?

The way Windows 8 is shaping up it seems more likely to be, fewer copies making a smaller amount per copy.

Google has stack ranking too

[Anonymous Coward]

But somehow it just works here. This is probably because we rely heavily on peer feedback and tractable facts about employee performance (i.e. what the employee has actually done, as expressed in launched products, features, changelists, design docs and so on). And engineers participate in perf reviews to a much greater extent. And the lowest ranked person doesn't have to be fired, because as a rule Google's lowest ranked employees would often be superstars just about anywhere else.

MS review process, on the other hand, makes one feel that no matter what you do, you're going to get reamed in the ass anyway. And if you do well, it's often arbitrary and unexpected. I did not expect three out of my five promotions there, and was passed over for a promo once simply because I brought up some uncomfortable truths which made the product unit manager (PUM in MS lingo) look like a fool.

Disclaimer: I do currently work for Google (3 years), and I have previously worked for Microsoft for nearly a decade.

Re:With downfalls like that, who needs successes?

[jbengt]

MS had a consistent growth in stock price until around 2000, they've been flat since then (which is not far off the performance of the generaly economy - but ideally you'd like your investments to grow faster than the economy, or else you could just stick your money in the bank). As another poster already mentioned, the chart takes into account the splits. The reason they finally starting paying dividends is because their stockholders were complaining about not getting a return on their investment. It's not like no other companies give dividends, so that's already taken into account in the stock price, also. And their market cap is right there in the chart. The fact that Apple recently overtook them in that measure is also not a good sign.

US Military does this too

[AntiBasic]

The military uses a system very close to this. The most common evals give are EP (Early Promote, the best), MP (Must Promote, the one nearly everyone gets) and P (Promotable). But as we're locked in contracts and it's quite hard to get fired, the number one thing commanding officers are graded upon is retention. So what happens when you've got a very high performer who makes it known he won't be reenlisting? He'll be given that MP or dreaded P. What happens to that fuckup who swears he loves the Navy and will reenlist? He gets that EP no matter what.

Rather than being a system which rewards the most able, it only entrenches more anger and dissatisfaction with this false meritocracy.

The Cannibalistic Culture

[Taco Cowboy]

To be fair to Microsoft, the "Cannibalistic Culture" is alive and well in many other corporations

However, this does not mean M$ does not suffer any damage because of it

I'll just take one example - Michael Abrash

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Abrash

He is the author of the book "Zen of Assembly Language Volume 1" published in 1990.

Mr. Abrash worked for Microsoft, twice - and at both times, had come face to face with the cannibalistic culture inside Microsoft

FYI, Mr. Michael Abrash is not a run-of-the-mill programmer

This guy is a super top notch programmer

He could have contributed much more of his talent to M$ had the cannibalistic culture is not so prevalent there
 

Re:The Cannibalistic Culture

[Maxo-Texas]

They started this at our company last year.

The net result was loss of a lot of middle people. Where they felt secure before, now they find it makes more sense to go to a different company with better pay and shorter hours.

We can't even use decimals.
Basically you are outperforming (promotable), performing (you are average), or you are under performing (shape up or be fired).

As the job market tightens up with the boomers and older chinese retiring or quitting for less stressful jobs, companies are going to have to treat workers better or be left out cold.

Oh.. and we also lost our top performers too. Too many hours and the pay is better at other places for top performers.

Re:With downfalls like that, who needs successes?

[zippthorne]

Doesn't google finance already factor splits into the graph, though? I'm pretty sure that $30 share price right before a 2:1 split and a $30 share price after the split actually mean that the price was $60 right before the split - the price they show is, I believe, normalized to the current price and accumulated splits.

Stack Ranking...real bad

[Harry in the Soup]

I left a company in the UK becuase of this. I put together a team selected from the top IT professionals in the company and all of whom got top reviews and pay hikes. When I reviewed them 12 months later I gave them all top marks but the HR dept said I could only put 2 at the top, 6 in the middle and 2 at the bottom. They just could not see why this was wrong and said it was Company Policy...this was not an IT specific company btw. Anyway after a fuss I left and so did 7 of the others when they found out what was going on.

BALLMER is the bottom 10% that should be sacked

[Anonymous Coward]

AJAX is just asynchronous calls brought to Javascript, HD in a console? i.e. they couldn't fully eliminate the HD from the computer they made into a console,

Scroll wheel on a mouse? Logitech trackball in a mouse 1983
http://www.google.com/patents/US4562347

Seriously, you're scraping the barrel to find anything you can interpret as invention, and its very similar to the comments scraping the barrel to make Ballmer sound like a good CEO.

Jack Welch of GE said "sack the bottom 10% of your workforce" not "sack 10% of each team whether successful or not", the winning teams must spend a lot of time infighting needlessly when they're winning. Ballmer is just raising the prices of products each year and it will kill Microsoft quicker than the competition will. He needs to be replaced sooner rather than later.

BALLMER is the bottom 10% that should be sacked.

Re:But they kick ass in the enterprise domain

[mabhatter654]

but there's little GROWTH in those markets anymore. Those are tired of getting constantly beat up to buy stuff they don't want or need just to make Microsoft's sales increases for the year. It's a great gig, but trying to FORCE your customers to buy 20% more every year isn't sustainable. For all that technology, Microsoft is more like American Standard... you know the guys that make sinks and toilets that are everywhere. Does anybody in the stock market CARE about toilet makers? Even if they did clear nice profits, they won't clear 20% growth numbers unless they have a wing dedicated to food poisoning and fiber sales.

A company that focuses on maintaining profit margin on established products acts much differently to attract sane investors. They focus on sustainable profits and getting things shipped on time, done right... their goal is to be as NOT FLASHY as possible because that is how the VAST MAJORITY of companies make their money, slow and steady like the tortoise not the hare.

In short, EVERYTHING Microsoft is doing is WRONG for their Enterprise customers.

Try peer reviews

[ShanghaiBill]

Mostly, stack ranking makes employees focus on butt kissing. Reviews are subjective so the manager's favorites get the good ranking regardless of actual performance or value to the company.

The last place I worked, we did peer reviews. Everyone ranked everyone else on their team. So butt kissing is detrimental because your co-workers may ding you for it. We had an outside consultant come in and conduct the reviews, so it would all remain anonymous. There were a few people that gave each other good reviews, but those "paired up" outlying reviews were easy to spot and were weeded out. Overall, I thought the process worked pretty well.

Re:Try peer reviews

[Inda]

We had this at our place. I even wrote the software for it.

The funniest thing was it was truely anonymous; not even I could tell who had reviewed who, but the amount of coffee bought for me during those few weeks made me buzz like a jackhammer. People were desperate to know who had said that one snide comment about them.

It was dropped the year after. Probably because the boss had no way of telling who was calling him a cunt.

It was me.

Personal Experience

[Anarchduke]

I spent a year supporting Exchange Server for business/premium customers. Unlike any other place I've worked, I've never had to double-check every suggestion I get to make sure it wasn't a way of sabotaging the repair. Also, if you make a mistake, your manager will throw you under the bus. I got let go for fixing a mysterious issue with a beta installation that was causing a loop in network traffic. Why was that a mistake? Because apparently fixing a problem in beta, even if you fully document the issue, is forbidden to the support guys. Only the beta team is allowed to actually fix a problem in a beta program, even if it is at 3 am and not a single fucking member of the beta team would answer repeated calls or pages (yes, we still used pagers back then).
But am I bitter about that? Well, yes, I kind of still am. Fuck Microsoft.

Getting rid of employees is the point

[beachdog]

Writing computer software and doing things in the computer business has a huge labour content. It has been really difficult (in the past) to figure out how long a software project would take. Projects have been repeatedly dumped because there have been volcanic explosions as new, startlingly cheap and stunningly attractive technologies have replaced the beautifully crafted heavy metal business machines and software of the last decades.

Stack ranking is an ugly way to force employee turnover.

So I propose what is going on at Microsoft is that Stack Ranking is Microsoft's way of forcing employee turnover. The business idea is "manage the company to reduce costs before the employee has a future interest or stake in the company".

There is a theme of love-it/hate-it between American big businesses and American workers. Consider General Motors. In the late 1950's General Motors began paying a pretty good wage to it's unionized labour force. By the 1990's the result was a lot of automobile workers that needed their benefits (working on an assembly line is physically demanding, over 20 years) and an entire manufacturing and marketing structure that spiraled downward when gasoline prices went past what was it ... $2 dollars a gallon?

The shifts in market are much faster in the computer software and hardware business. There is no union and no guarantee of continuing employment these days. So in this setting, labour is a commodity but what the labour produces is extremely difficult to measure. Into the fog of software and support Stack Ranking is not-unfair to the lucky 9/10 of the employees.

Re:I guess they never got Demming.

[lpq]

It's not just about blame and scapegoats -- it's about a system that takes
some percentage of the best, then ranks them from high to loser.

That loser is still higher than 70% of the population...That's the insane part...

The people you higher for being in the top 30%, or top 10...whatever your
company aims at -- they don't want to suddenly be in a dog-eat-dog ratings game where work doesn't matter, but perceptions do...

All of silicon valley operated this way, Microsoft was an exception before the Balmer decade?...