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US Scientific R&D Could Face Fiscal Cliff Doom

The tough economic times have had a huge effect on scientific research and development funding. The looming "fiscal cliff" may be the last straw for many programs. "The American science programs that landed the first man on the moon, found cures for deadly diseases and bred crops that feed the world now face the possibility of becoming relics in the story of human progress. American scientific research and development stands to lose thousands of jobs and face a starvation diet of reduced funding if politicians fail to compromise and halt the United States' march towards the fiscal cliff's sequestration of federal funds."

403 of 609 comments (clear)

  1. America's hand is being forced... by mrbluze · · Score: 2, Interesting

    into armed conflict by private banks, who, through their monetary policy are exerting undue political influence on the White House. It matters not which party sits in power, they have very little choice but to do what they are doing.

    --
    Do it yourself, because no one else will do it yourself. [beta blockade 10-17 Feb]
    1. Re:America's hand is being forced... by fnj · · Score: 1, Insightful

      And who created the Federal Reserve monstrosity? That's right, Congress. It was in structure an ordinary act of Congress (though in its details and effect an extraordinarily bad one). Don't tell me they now "have very little choice". What Congress has done, Congress can modify or undo.

    2. Re:America's hand is being forced... by c0lo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      into armed conflict by private banks, who, through their monetary policy are exerting undue political influence on the White House. It matters not which party sits in power, they have very little choice but to do what they are doing.

      Armed conflicts? You mean... like those toxic home loans offered to people that couldn't ever repay them?

      I'd rather say this is the victory of the "basic human right to credit" over the research. If this is the American dream, I'd say "Wake up, people. It's a nightmare".

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
    3. Re:America's hand is being forced... by hlavac · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That only works if you are winning hands down. Once the war comes to homeland, it stops being such fun and profitable experience you all think it is.

    4. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Solandri · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I've posted this so many times on /. I feel like I'm pounding my head against a brick wall. I know it goes against people's political inclinations here, but it's the truth so here it is again.

      Wouldn't it be great if there were a non-partisan government body which went over all the government accounting books and figured out what's causing the budget to blow up out of control? Guess what? There is. It's called the Congressional Budget Office. Every year or two they put out a long-term budget outlook where they outline where we're headed, and what's causing the problems, and how changes we can make to the budget can change that course. Please read it, or at least read the summary if you can't read the whole thing.

      For the last 12 years, they've pointed out over and over that the primary cause of our budget woes is Medicare/Medicaid and to a lesser extent Social Security. The historical average for federal tax revenue is about 18% of GDP. Did you know that on our current course, Medicare/Medicaid will grow to consume 18% of GDP some time around 2050-2070? That's right, 100% of tax receipts will go to pay for Medicare/Medicaid and nothing else. We're not being driven to bankruptcy by banks or the military industrial complex. We're being driven to bankruptcy by voters wanting stuff in their old age without having to pay for (most of) it.

    5. Re:America's hand is being forced... by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are pounding your head against the wall because you are a loon as much as the rest of them. Your facts are incomplete and they point the finger at a problem which ISN'T the problem. Do you understand what the core meaning of "Social Security" is?

      Social - Of or relating to society or its organization
      Security - The state of being free from danger or threat


      Social Security is there to ensure better living for society as a whole. That is its purpose. On paper, it looks like a money pit, but only if you are willfully ignorant. Speculate what would happen if we just stopped taking care of those who depend on such a system. It would be bad for EVERYONE

      --

      "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
    6. Re:America's hand is being forced... by fustakrakich · · Score: 5, Insightful

      ...the primary cause of our budget woes is Medicare/Medicaid and to a lesser extent Social Security.

      Yes, it would seem that way when you use Hollywood accounting methods. The CBO is not non-partisan. It is bi-partisan. It conforms to how both parties want to to steal our pensions. What they want to call entitlements is much more correctly labeled earned benefits. And that money was outright stolen from underneath our noses. Put the tax rates back to what we had in the 50s, bring our work force AND our troops back home, and watch the shortfalls evaporate. We are being robbed in broad daylight, and when mass media screams, "Hey! Look over there!", we fall for it every time.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    7. Re:America's hand is being forced... by serviscope_minor · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I've posted this so many times on /. I feel like I'm pounding my head against a brick wall.

      You are.

      . I know it goes against people's political inclinations here,

      Some, certainly.

      but it's the truth so here it is again.

      Ah and there's the brick wall...

      Did you know that on our current course, Medicare/Medicaid will grow to consume 18% of GDP some time around 2050-2070?

      (xkcd alert:) Is your hobby extrapolating?

      We're being driven to bankruptcy by voters wanting stuff in their old age without having to pay for (most of) it.

      No, Medicare is expensive because of the insane medical system in the US, with its insane regulatory structure. Somehow most European countries manages to have a social security safety net, and a public health system without spending more than their entire tax revenues on it.

      The solution isn't to slash social security, it's to stop companies creaming off most of money for themselves.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    8. Re:America's hand is being forced... by RaceProUK · · Score: 1

      If 100% of tax revenue goes to Social Security, then where's the money to invest in basic infrastructure? Social Security is useless if you can't deliver power to homes and hospitals, or if you can't ship goods across the road/rail networks.

      --
      No colour or religion ever stopped the bullet from a gun
    9. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Ozoner · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Absolute crap.

      The problem is threefold.
        - These Social programs are under-funded because the taxes and contributions which were originally put aside have been stolen by Congress.
        - Medicare/Medicaid is being used as a cash-cow by big business. It needs to be community operated on a non-profit basis as it is in other countries.
        - Insufficient taxes are raised to pay for these essential services and the rich are allowed to opt out.

    10. Re:America's hand is being forced... by mellon · · Score: 3, Informative

      Straw man. 100% of tax revenue _doesn't_ go to Social Security. A lot of tax revenue goes to paying the national debt, a significant portion of which is owed to the Social Security Trust Fund. But a lot of it goes elsewhere, like to the defense budget, which is essentially welfare for the rich. Oh, and the deficit has dropped in the past three years...

      But let's not talk about that. Let's just foam at the mouth hysterically and give the bankers our retirement savings.

    11. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Entrope · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Hollywood accounting methods"? Are you talking about the Social Security and Medicare "trust fund" gimmick? If so, that supports Solandri's point: Because people were willing to pretend that FICA are not ordinary taxes, and that payroll taxes went into some special pool of money, it was easier to use FICA surpluses to subsidize deficits in the rest of the budget. If you're talking about something else, perhaps you should be more specific.

      If you think that Social Security or Medicare are "earned benefits", that boat sailed 50 years ago; the Supreme Court disagreed with you in 1960 (Flemming v. Nestor). Recently, President (George W.) Bush wanted to give each worker a real retirement account where the worker would have ownership, but your side threw an epic fit over the proposal (for transparently bad reasons).

      If you think 1950's-style tax rates would be an effective solution, you've been reading too much Paul Krugman without engaging your brain. If you think bringing one or two hundred thousand deployed servicemen and servicewomen back home -- given the general economic climate, with the likely effect of dumping either them or others into unemployment -- would solve the budget deficit, you again haven't given the matter enough thought.

    12. Re:America's hand is being forced... by RaceProUK · · Score: 1

      The first word of my post was 'if', though as it's a small word, I'll allow for you missing it.

      Also, for context.

      --
      No colour or religion ever stopped the bullet from a gun
    13. Re:America's hand is being forced... by TFAFalcon · · Score: 2

      And is that the fault of Social Security or the rest of the government? What if the surplus SS had all those years had been saved/invested, instead of being spent by other parts of the government?

      And stop talking people wanting something for nothing - the people that want SS to pay them are the same people that have been paying into SS their entire lives. Why is it ok to criticize them, but not, for example, people holding government debt.

      What is the difference between abolishing/cutting SS, and defaulting on the rest of the debts?

    14. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Rockoon · · Score: 2

      Ah yes, security at any cost.

      SS and MC can be for both "better living for society as a whole" AND an obvious money pit at the same time!

      Good intentions don't magically fill in the pit. I'm sure that it makes you feel good though..

      The problem isnt simply that we dont currently have sustainable projections, the problem is that the projections show such an enormous shortfall when it comes to these programs that the solution cannot possibly be more taxes, that the only solution besides radical reform is slaves at gunpoint working for that precious security of yours.

      We are talking about a hundred and twenty trillion dollars, over half of the entire worlds net worth. The unfunded liability of the U.S. Social Security and Medicare is currently 60% of the entire worlds net worth. That percentage goes up every year that we dont radically reform these programs, every year that people like you blather on and on about "security" and "think of the old people", paving the road all the way to hell with your good intentions.

      That is the fact that I think the progressives don't understand. They really do not realize that more taxes isn't a solution at all, that they have let these numbers grow so enormous that there arent any solutions left that they can sign off on for lack of any "feel good" in them. They let the numbers grow while they had their fingers in their ears saying "thats not true thats not true thats not true" as if the act fo saying it makes it true. Guess what. It's true and worse than ever because of people like you.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    15. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

      missed one

      BIg places like walmart just there workers on to Medicare/Medicaid at the same time upper management getting payed a lot. Now upper management can take a small pay cut so that all walmart workers can get a real Health Care Plan.

    16. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Rockoon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Somehow most European countries manages to have a social security safety net, and a public health system without spending more than their entire tax revenues on it.

      The fact you are missing is that we too currently have these nets in place without spending more than our tax revenue. That does not change the fact that the population pyramid is flipping upside down here, and there,

      The average EU country would need to have 434 percent its current annual gross domestic product earning interest at the EU government’s borrowing rates, in order to fund current policies indefinitely. They don't. They are net negative on these savings just like us.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    17. Re:America's hand is being forced... by BlueStrat · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Speculate what would happen if we just stopped taking care of those who depend on such a system. It would be bad for EVERYONE

      We don't have to speculate. We have history!

      During most of which in the US, there was no Social Security, Medicare/Medicaid, Federal Reserve, or Fannie/Freddie. No food stamps. Or income tax and IRS either, for that matter.

      And guess what?

      During that time we came from a backwater colony to a major world power in every sense of the word, and became the beacon of freedom and opportunity that practically everyone in the world wanted to immigrate to There were no masses of homeless poor. Communities, and their churches and charities, with contributions from wealthy local people and businesses, as they didn't have to send a large percentage of their wealth to the government, took care of their neighbors and people in the community that fell onto hard times.

      Then, the Progressive movement took hold in the US and gave us Social Security, Medicare/Medicaid, the Federal Reserve, Fannie/Freddie, Food stamps, and income taxes and the IRS.

      Now, we're here. On the brink of economic and social collapse.

      But I'm sure many will say those things are unrelated. They'll try to nitpick semantics, engage in ad hominem attacks, etc etc, trying to discredit and attack me personally in an attempt to discredit and distract from what I've posted.

      I suggest doing your own historical research as I did. And no, simply looking shit up on Wikipedia or reading blogs is not researching

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    18. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Entrope · · Score: 2

      Your -UK suffix is showing. In the US, Social Security is collected by the federal (central) government. That government writes contracts for approximately none of the "basic infrastructure" you describe. Yes, it subsidizes road construction by the states, but things like power generation and delivery are mostly performed by private companies with oversight by state regulators; private rail freight companies subsidize the national passenger rail company; and so forth. States (and localities such as counties, towns and cities) collect taxes independently of the federal government, and the federal government has no real ability to collect money directly from state or local governments.

    19. Re:America's hand is being forced... by JWW · · Score: 2

      I am so fickin pissed about this kind of sentiment. As if all old people are poor.

      The real fact is that the elderly are the RICHEST segment of the population.

      But any time you bring up the fact that we're paying for Warren Buffet's health care and have been writing him a monthly Social Security check for a few decades, the progressives are "lalalalalal I can't hear you!". Instead they insist on raising capital gains taxes on everyone because because Buffet.

      Means testing solves this problem, right now. It also hits the "evil rich" too. But progressives don't want to stop handouts to the rich, they just want more taxes. The magic of more taxes will save us -- Bulllshit.

    20. Re:America's hand is being forced... by RaceProUK · · Score: 1

      Is there no equivalent of the UK's National Grid in the US?

      --
      No colour or religion ever stopped the bullet from a gun
    21. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Jetra · · Score: 1

      Spreading paranoia will not fix this problem. We were attacked twice and look what happened: Two bombs were dropped on Japan and we're currently invading a Middle-eastern country to force a political system as well as to take their resources for ourselves.

      America are not the police. While I don't condemn the actions of WWII, it's history now and I must look to the present. bin Laden's extremists blew up the twin towers and we finally killed him. Why are we still there, having innocent soldiers die for a political cause rather than a noble cause of self defense? The thing Americans need to realize is that pulling out isn't always a defeat. I mean, how long before they figure out that all our men are out in another country, leaving the homeland about as safe as a kitten surrounded by meat grinders?

      Stop with the propaganda s**t and start thinking about the country rather than the money made off from starving others.

    22. Re:America's hand is being forced... by JWW · · Score: 1

      But the SS surplus was spent over the course of 40 years. Now we have to replace that over a span of less than 40 years. That will require very large tax increases for everyone.

    23. Re:America's hand is being forced... by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      We're being driven to bankruptcy by voters wanting stuff in their old age without having to pay for (most of) it.

      "I hope I die, before I get old!" -- The Beatles

      "I hope you die, before you get old!" -- The Government

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    24. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Sponge+Bath · · Score: 1

      We have history!

      Yes

      There were no masses of homeless poor.

      I guess you missed that part of history called The Great Depression.

      Now, we're here. On the brink of economic and social collapse.

      No, we are not. Claims of impeding doom have been used to scare people into dismantling safety nets since the safety nets were put in place. But we are still here.

    25. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Teancum · · Score: 2

      In theory yes, but realistically? I doubt they really could, even if there was a desire to. Do you honestly see any other way out of this mess other than war? The scientists would at least be offered jobs in the dubious role of finding clever and new ways of killing.

      I hope it doesn't end up as open warfare, but the free ride that many people have getting from the government is going to end... not just in Greece but in America as well. Confiscating the wealth of other nations to feed bad habits in America simply needs to stop somehow, and there is going to be some real pain for a great many people simply because some prudent steps were not taken in the recent past.

      Bailing out the big banks was perceived as a bad thing, and it may be seen soon how bad of a move it really was. Ditto with massive public spending as "stimulus"... perhaps even more so. We'll see just what a bankrupt nuclear power will look like.... again.

      If warfare happens though, it will be ugly because it will be at home. Killing off your own citizens is not an effective way to balance the budget and tends to do things like destroy factories and resource extraction areas. And you want to know what led to the collapse of the Roman Empire?

    26. Re:America's hand is being forced... by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Because of course you know far more about the budget of the US government than the Congressional Budget Office. I wonder why they don't just get you to do all their research and write all their reports?

    27. Re:America's hand is being forced... by thoth · · Score: 1

      We're not being driven to bankruptcy by banks or the military industrial complex. We're being driven to bankruptcy by voters wanting stuff in their old age without having to pay for (most of) it.

      Here's the deal: the money for the spending COMES from the people that eventually expect benefits. They PAYED for them. Saving a bunch of moron bankers from their own shitty decisions (yes, some people screwed up and got in over their heads. When the entire banking system collapses that's a sign of massive incompetence in their risk models and so on) with PUBLIC money is terrible decision.

    28. Re:America's hand is being forced... by imikem · · Score: 1

      That first quote would be from the Who, "My Generation."

      --
      Perscriptio in manibus tabellariorum est.
    29. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Teancum · · Score: 4, Informative

      Is there no equivalent of the UK's National Grid in the US?

      Not really. There are some regional power grids that are operated by quasi-public-private organizations (organized by state governments in cooperation with major utility companies), but there isn't even really a "national grid". What the federal government does for highways is mainly establish national standards.... basically a stack of books written by and for civil engineers that explain signage, pavement, dimensions, and color standards that should be followed by the various states when their highways are being built.

      Federal highway taxes are also extracted from fuel purchases and redistributed to each state depending on what member of congress happens to be cutting a sweetheart deal to pass some piece of legislation, but those tend to be "block grants" where each state can pretty much spend that money however it sees fit. Each state also raises its own taxes to pay for a great many of these things.... including I might even add military expenditures as well.

      Local governments (municipalities and counties... it varies from state to state on the degree) also get involved in highway construction and usually are much more heavily involved with public utilities like electricity, sewer, natural gas, garbage, and water distribution. Most things like natural gas and petroleum pipelines are almost always privately owned by some entrepreneur who sees a way to make a pile of money.

    30. Re:America's hand is being forced... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      We're not defaulting, we are printing money.

      Printing money is worse. It hurts everyone, not just bondholders.

      The only remote upside of printing money is it will eventually force China to give up it's currency manipulation. Which is the recent root cause to all this mess.

      I look forward to SS benefits being means tested, and shortly thereafter SS being as well funded as other welfare programs.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    31. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why were you in Afgahnistan during the Cold War?

      It was to check the Soviets, but the stupidest thing America did afterwards was pull all it's funding and foreign aid from the country, and ensure that a few decades of impoverished rule by the Taliban would eventually lead to the rise of the new terrorist cells which carried out the attacks on the twin towers.

      Pretending the US can pursue isolationist policies after being highly interventionist, and expect to be left alone, is ridiculous. Doubly so when your entire economy depends on the price of oil, and which in turn depends on global supply regardless of your interest in other countries or not. Suddenly withdrawing security and support is not a consequence free action. You take a bunch of people you're making promises to, or who are depending on you, and throw them to the wolves. That breeds resentment - the next generation, their children, grow up hearing their parents lament about how you can't trust Americans, grow up seeing American drones and helicopters bombing middle eastern countries (and with no education system, are very pliable as to ideas on why that's happening), and sure enough, two decades later when they're in their 20's, you get a brand new terrorist cell filled with young people utterly convinced America needs to be taught a lesson of some sort.

    32. Re:America's hand is being forced... by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Note however, that the only countries in a downward spiral now are those that chose or were forced into excessive austerity when the financial crisis hit.

    33. Re:America's hand is being forced... by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

      You all are being so conned. Wall Street has never been so well off, and we are the ones that are supposed to sacrifice and give even more money to them.

      I'll grant you your post war prosperity bit (maybe that's a big reason for the wars we engage in now, and we are busting the EU's balls. Only this time we're getting some competition from Russia and China), but you should note how the rules changed in the 70s and 80s that completely debased our currency and let the banks gamble it all away, and that's in addition to giving tax breaks to those who move our work force offshore. This whole thing is no coincidence.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    34. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Also, dismantling social safety nets, for all but the upper class - is the effectively actual doom to a great many people. Those who depend on them, those who will wind up depending on them in the depression, and those who are going to the victims of the rising crime rates caused by putting people into poverty.

    35. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Teancum · · Score: 1

      One of the things that unfortunately did not happen with the Obamacare debate was to really address deep down on the issues surrounding public health policy and rooting out the real issues that are causing health care costs to go up faster than inflation, thus becoming a major area of spending for everybody involved. Previous attempts to address public health policy have all been temporary quick-fix solutions that take care of minor areas and in the long run actually drive up costs... thus turning it into that cash cow for big businesses supplying services to government agencies and other organizations involved with health care. Turning medical students into effective slaves by driving up their tuition costs doesn't help either and is feeding the problem as well as driving out talented people who might even be willing to help.

      I'm not saying that I know an easy fix either, but it is sad that when the time came to really address the issue, Barack Obama blew his one opportunity to really make a difference in a key part of American life. Instead, Obamacare is going to feed those large businesses and provide rationale for billion dollar salaries of their CEOs in a multi-trillion dollar industry.

    36. Re:America's hand is being forced... by mellon · · Score: 2

      Yes, our military spending is a huge jobs program. But in fact a great deal of that money does go into the pockets of wealthy people. So it's an insanely inefficient jobs program. We could just take all that money and give everybody a guaranteed minimum income, and we'd probably save money.

    37. Re:America's hand is being forced... by N!k0N · · Score: 1

      Thing is (well, at least with "Social Security" ... IIRC from high school) that the programs were built to drag our country out of the Great Depression. The trouble is that they have probably outlived their usefulness at this point, and it's difficult to reform them to be something more along the lines of "sustainable".

    38. Re:America's hand is being forced... by fnj · · Score: 1

      Parent is not a troll and neither was my reply. Get a grip. Resubmitting to counteract spectacularly stupid moderation.

      into armed conflict by private banks, who, through their monetary policy are exerting undue political influence on the White House. It matters not which party sits in power, they have very little choice but to do what they are doing.

      And who created the Federal Reserve monstrosity? That's right, Congress. It was in structure an ordinary act of Congress (though in its details and effect an extraordinarily bad one). Don't tell me they now "have very little choice". What Congress has done, Congress can modify or undo.

    39. Re:America's hand is being forced... by mellon · · Score: 2

      I read your earlier post. I was responding to the attitude of hysteria. Yes, if we do nothing, Social Security and Medicare are d00med. So let's do something about it.

      And I don't think the CBO has pointed out that the _cause_ of our budget woes is Social Security and Medicaid. What they've pointed out are the facts that you gave, not the conclusion you drew from it. The _cause_ of our budget woes is that taxes are too low and that we went to war when we needn't have, at extraordinary expense. And that instead of spending on infrastructure and education, we spend on destruction and incarceration.

      We are an insanely productive, wealthy society. There is no reason why we shouldn't be able to keep the elderly out of poverty and provide medical care for all our citizens. The reason we fail to do so is because we budget and spend badly, not because we can't afford it.

    40. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Teancum · · Score: 1

      missed one

      BIg places like walmart just there workers on to Medicare/Medicaid at the same time upper management getting payed a lot. Now upper management can take a small pay cut so that all walmart workers can get a real Health Care Plan.

      Upper management can have their pay confiscated so workers can get an additional bottle of pain reliever each year.

      Fixed that for you. While from a public relations perspective it looks bad for "upper management" to be making seven and eight digit incomes, compared to the costs involved for paying their ordinary employees you can literally confiscate all of the money going to "upper management", where its redistribution among ordinary workers in that same business would amount to just a few bucks more per year.

      It is a total lie that a "small pay cut" in upper management (say something more realistic like 50% pay cut... if you think that is small) would amount to any improvement in a health care plan for an ordinary "Wal-Mart associate".

      Health care costs are going up much faster than inflation. That is the real issue that needs to be addressed, not some sort of envy that you don't have what it takes to be in upper management. The other issue is that tax laws and regulations are explicitly set up to ensure that new businesses don't start up and that groups of merchants can't compete against Wal-Mart and other megacorporations.

    41. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Bucc5062 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      every year that people like you blather on and on about "security" and "think of the old people", paving the road all the way to hell with your good intentions.

      And yet, each and everyone of us will be one of those "old people" looking for some security as we age.

      That is the fact that I think the progressives don't understand. They really do not realize that more taxes isn't a solution at all,

      And cutting taxes has worked out real well...

      I figure you for someone who's pretty well off, have a good retirement fund, maybe some kids (or the glimmer down the road) to help as you age. Life is pretty good so what is everyone else's problem? You most likely don't pay any attention to the janitor that cleans the office building you go to, limited education, limited income and certainly limited options when (or if) he/she retires. Maybe one day you might go over to the Janitor and tell them to go crawl in a hole and die, because YOU don't want to provide any safety net for him or her. YOU secretly would love to have most of the impoverished, unfit, and uneducated just some how magically disappear as you have no desire to help provide some modicum of assistance they themselves cannot provide.

      In the US, when tax rates were above 70%, we had some pretty good domestic growth. Please do not try to tell me that raising taxes is the death knell of innovation and business. As one small business owner told me recently, if taxes went up he would consider hiring to (1) expand his business because (2) instead of the Government getting his money from his profits, he would rather pay a worker. A tax cut would do nothing...nothing to inspire him to expand. He would just buy more goods, mostly made outside this country.

      The fact that fundamentalists like you don't get is that when you have a population of 300 million, you cannot just make them go away and if you cut to much to fast; well look at Greece to see how well that is going. If you could get the idiots out of Washington then a formula of raising taxes, raising revenue through job creation, reducing spending waste, and then cutting spending wisely may turn the financial direction of this country. First we need to change the Moral and Ethical direction and your comments sadly reflect the wrong direction.

      tldr; When the population is starving and desperate, when they have nothing to lose they will look to those who put them there and it wont be pretty. When the population is comfortable, reasonably secure and hopeful for a future, they don't give a damn what the Gentry does. I prefer the latter.

      --
      Life is a great ride, the vehicle doesn't matter
    42. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Teancum · · Score: 1

      If Social Security was treated as an actual retirement savings account rather than some sort of group insurance plan, it would be held to a higher standard for fiscal management.

      Younger workers simply will get tired of supporting so many older people that want to live an active lifestyle with the current situation. If the political system (aka voting in elections) doesn't accommodate their viewpoint to get things changed, they may just try alternative ways to vent their frustration. That should be of significant concern.

    43. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Ironhandx · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Funny, Canada has a balanced budget and we have a more robust welfare system(that less people are forced to take advantage of prior to old-age because it is robust and includes education and sometimes FORCED education programs.

      We also spend 10% per capita on health care of what you spend and get LONGER life expectancies. Emergency treatment isn't as good(but only for SOME things, generally rarer things/situations that a country with 10% of your population base isn't going to have a very large absolute number of people needing attention for), but preventative measures are used in every possible case where they can have a strong benefit.

      Most americans are so fucking narrow minded its mind-boggling. Even some american friends who I would otherwise consider relatively intelligent just can't see the fucking forest because they get hung up on one or two trees.

    44. Re:America's hand is being forced... by serviscope_minor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Have you been paying attention to what is happening in Europe over the last two years?

      No, I've been keeping my eyes firmly shut, my ears closed and have been navigating the tube entirely by feel. Sarcasm aside: yes of course I have seeing I am a UK citizen.

      Countries in Europe are one by one reaching the point where the cost of government services (including and mostly involving, that "social security safety net") are exceeding tax revenues to the point where no one wants to loan them money.

      Last I checked the UK still had an AAA credit rating, along with Germany, Norway, Switzerland, Finland, The Netherlands and Denmark. All of those countries have an extensive social safety net.

      blah

      So that fact that it's failed some places due to widespread corruption means that it's impossible to make it work elsewhere?

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    45. Re:America's hand is being forced... by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      The fact you are missing is that we too currently have these nets in place without spending more than our tax revenue.

      Replying to the GP means I have to dispute his "facts". Please don't confuse those with things that I recognise as facts.

      , in order to fund current policies indefinitely

      What current policies? All these policies are heavily under debate right now because the problem of the population pyrimad is looming. In fact, the UK has a legislated increase in the retirement age. It's going up, slightly slower than realtime, but it is rising.

      The solution is fairly straightforward in as much as if the retirement age is raised then the number of people working is vastly larger than the number of people retired.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    46. Re:America's hand is being forced... by RaceProUK · · Score: 1

      What they've pointed out are the facts that you gave, not the conclusion you drew from it.

      I posted no conclusions, only a hypothetical. This post isn't mine, it's from Solandri.

      --
      No colour or religion ever stopped the bullet from a gun
    47. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Ironhandx · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "In the US, when tax rates were above 70%, we had some pretty good domestic growth. Please do not try to tell me that raising taxes is the death knell of innovation and business. As one small business owner told me recently, if taxes went up he would consider hiring to (1) expand his business because (2) instead of the Government getting his money from his profits, he would rather pay a worker. A tax cut would do nothing...nothing to inspire him to expand. He would just buy more goods, mostly made outside this country."

      This. 1000000x this. There is a comfort level for business owners. Once the comfort level is attained they strive for nothing more than acquiring more personal wealth to ensure they have some sort of legacy. When taxes go up, businesses are forced to do MORE. They're forced to grow, hire more employees, train staff and do whatever it takes to achieve this comfort level and then acquire more wealth.

      Taxes are on PROFIT, and a tiered tax system based on amount of profit encourages less massive companies that can monopolize or have massive industry-wide ramifications. The only companies that should be so large are manufacturers and R&D companies because there is simply no choice.

      If you make say 200k net profit before taxes this year and end up with say 170k of it in your pocket after tax, then you project you'll make 250k net profit before taxes next year and would end up with say 200k in your pocket because you've been bumped up another tax bracket. 170k is a comfortable place for you, and you could use some extra help. You hire an employee at 40k/yr(including benefit costs yada yada for simplicities sake) which gets you down to 210k profit before taxes, but drops you down a tax bracket(which for arguments sake we'll say the limit is at 220k) However since you're down the tax bracket you end up making 178.5k. Thus the total cost of that employee to you wasn't the 40k you're putting into the economy, it was the difference between 200k and 178.5k. Which is only 21.5k. You've hired yourself a mid-level employee at a total cost of something barely above minimum wage plus some minor benefits.

      40k/yr is a fairly solid middle class job in a lot of places. This tax scenario creates a situation where middle class jobs start piling up fast from a LOT of different businesses. You can apply the same(15% and 20% for increasing tax brackets) in many business areas and the exact same thing will happen. The government ends up with MORE money because the individuals tax rate is probably a few % higher than the business tax rate is. Even if they don't just from the income tax portion, they will end up with more tax money, and zounds more tax money from the transactions and other services this guy consumes that are also taxed.

      Yes, Higher taxes CAN STIMULATE an economy. They can be used to create an artificial pressure for companies to increase local expenses. Which puts more money back into the economy and the cycle continues. The largest periods of growth in the U.S. in particular vastly support this theory. Higher taxes = more growth. Bill Clinton raised taxes. Low and behold, middle class got stronger. Every country runs on its middle class. Without a strong middle class, the rest of the country is screwed.

    48. Re:America's hand is being forced... by TheNastyInThePasty · · Score: 1

      You forgot the masses of homeless poor during the Great Depression. You also forget that we didn't really become a "world power in every sense of the word" until a couple of decades after the Great Depression, when we had those safety nets. I'm curious if you even did any research beyond just reading blogs, I don't even know if you bothered to read Wikipedia.

      --
      The best thing about UDP jokes is I don't care if you get them or not
    49. Re:America's hand is being forced... by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      First of all, the Depression doesn't change his basic point. You can't say that even ten really bad years means that we'd end up in a depression without those programs. His real point is that for the huge balance of human history, there was not anything like Social Security or Medicare. What did what those programs do now is private charity, run by the same churches and rich people that we are blaming all our problems on now. We also had stronger and more extended families that helped maintain security for their members as well.

      I'm not going to tell you that the government can never run a welfare or retirement program that works, especially in the short term of under a century or so. Indeed, Social Security *should* work because all it should be is enforced savings. The problem is that these programs were not created with an understanding that you can have generational collapse, slowing of economic growth, and they were definitely not created in a way to insulate them from government meddling and being turned into a slush fund for other programs.

      The reason the government is a bad steward for these programs is that the government only exists to perpetuate itself. Kings want to remain kings, and fight wars to increase their power, democratic leaders want to get votes. They are all looking for money to keep themselves in power, as well as keep the government running for the unpopular tasks that it cannot avoid. Governments do not have to fail, but their tendency is to eventually fail at this task because they are based on power politics and everything will be sacrificed for that end.

      Other organizations, such as churches and private aid organizations do not have these imperatives to be elected or run a government. Their only job is to provide charity, and throughout human history they have done that. Indeed, you won't generally go into a non-profit if you're looking to get rich. It can happen for high-level executives, but the huge proportion of those people aren't in it for the money. That is one reason why churches and charities are not taxed. There is an understanding that it is counterproductive to tax charities since they are doing the work of feeding the poor.

      In any event, the failure of SS or Medicare is not the end of History. However, if it is not reformed, it could be the end of the United States as a solvent entity and that could become the source of great pain and danger for those people in the future. And we need to act *now* before the necessary austerity programs become too onerous for us to be able to bear them without extreme danger of upheaval.

    50. Re:America's hand is being forced... by operagost · · Score: 2

      Thanks for raking out a bunch of hyperbole instead of suggesting a solution to the problem. The fact is that 100% of GDP will be taken up servicing the elderly and disabled by 2050, and the left is busy attacking the messenger or throwing out useless "solutions" like "taxing the rich". This is reality!

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    51. Re:America's hand is being forced... by operagost · · Score: 1, Insightful
      We recently passed a bill called the ACA that actually encourages business to SHRINK, reducing their full-time staff. Instead of recognizing that problem, the left attacks the business owners who (in an admittedly public, jerky manner) announce plans to do so.

      Bill Clinton raised taxes. Low and behold, middle class got stronger.

      Post hoc, ergo propter hoc. Ronald Reagan cut income taxes, EVERY class got stronger.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    52. Re:America's hand is being forced... by operagost · · Score: 2

      You're attacking a straw man. No one is trying to get rid of Medicare or Social Security; we just need to reduce the expense. It needs to become cheaper and more efficient; waste and corruption is making it far more expensive than it needs to be. Ignorant Canucks who belittle the situation are not helping.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    53. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Bucc5062 · · Score: 1

      First, if you are going to challenge others to do research, please be so kind as to show yours to back up your statements. So far what I've read from you has been almost all vague fundamentalist opinion.

      The world you speak of where people were so altruistic and helpful, where villages came together to help each other out is exactly what those progressives and liberals have been trying to bring back. The problem with looking back and trying to compare it to today is that the numbers just don't work. The United States of America is not a small country anymore, it has grown into a very large country with very large and real global issues. You cannot run a large country like a small one. Population density has dramatically changed since times when small towns had to be somewhat self reliant. (population density from 1790) Life expectancy has risen rather dramatically as well.

      So you have a growing population, longer life...how do you propose we take care of all these people? Hopeful charity? Part of the role of Government is to smooth out the dips during rough times. it is also to help promote beneficial rises to "fill the coffers" so to speak for the next dip. It is very hard for a community to invest in helping the poor and needy when they don't have the capability to do so.

      If we are on the edge of social collapse, it is more because the government did not perform its role in protecting society from economic threats. People or business that cared little about the population of the country, but just took its monetary resources and left it wounded. Government, at its best, should limit the effect of greed on society; channel it, use it to protect the Society, grow the Society, and allow the Society to be free enough to live with dignity, freedom, and happiness.

      Unfortunately, Greed won.

      --
      Life is a great ride, the vehicle doesn't matter
    54. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Elldallan · · Score: 1

      No pulling out is not always a loss. But you do have an obligation to the people living in the countries that you invaded to at least try to leave them with a working country(this is written into the Geneva convention to which the United States is a signatory and hence bound to follow).

      If the US just invaded and then hightailed it out of there I think the US would deserve the same sanctions and import/export restrictions that is currently being leveraged against Iran and more.
      The Twin Towers is the result of a longstanding US foreign policy to topple foreign governments and use the CIA or military forces to meddle in other countries business where you have no legitimate reason to meddle.

    55. Re:America's hand is being forced... by operagost · · Score: 2

      The US entered economic downturns that started off as bad as the Great Depression. The difference was that in 1920, 1873, etc. the federal government did not attempt to intervene as Hoover and FDR did. None of those downturns lasted as long as the Depression, and yet progressives have the GALL to claim that their programs worked when it took WWII to end the stagnation.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    56. Re:America's hand is being forced... by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      If you think that Social Security or Medicare are "earned benefits", that boat sailed 50 years ago; the Supreme Court disagreed with you in 1960 (Flemming v. Nestor).

      If the wiki summary is correct, that found that you weren't in a legal contract for social security, so legally you can't sue to get it back. That doesn't mean you didn't earn it from working, in the sense that in a sane world it SHOULD be yours.

      Recently, President (George W.) Bush wanted to give each worker a real retirement account where the worker would have ownership, but your side threw an epic fit over the proposal (for transparently bad reasons).

      I'm being lazy and not googling it, but I thought he was talking about putting social security money into the stock market. I also thought I remembered hearing that had he done that, in hindsight with the recession, some retirees might be doing better, but most would have seen a significant decrease in their funds already, as opposed to social security still continuing.

      If you think bringing one or two hundred thousand deployed servicemen and servicewomen back home -- given the general economic climate, with the likely effect of dumping either them or others into unemployment -- would solve the budget deficit, you again haven't given the matter enough thought.

      I thought he was referencing how much we're paying for them to be over there, not implying we suffer from a shortage of workers. Though I'm not sure what the "workforce" bit was about.

    57. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Which is also a solution but not one that's going to be implemented quickly and easily, and you're still left with the long-tail of policy gone by. It's also not the only concern: when you're a big power, you'd like to have airspace access and bases around the world, or maybe some checks against foreign expansion. US bases in Korea aren't really about stopping the North Koreans - they're about making sure you have to go through a US base to get to South Korea.

      You could argue all that stuff isn't needed if you don't need oil, but it's not the only resource in the world, and of course, it's not like pure expansionism isn't an unidentifiable threat - watching a bunch of your trading partners get knocked over by an alliance of dictators who you know will then just waste everything fighting each other - or even due to the sheer morality of genuinely wanting to promote democracy - is a good reason to remain engaged.

    58. Re:America's hand is being forced... by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Are you talking about the Social Security and Medicare "trust fund" gimmick? If so, that supports Solandri's point: Because people were willing to pretend that FICA are not ordinary taxes, and that payroll taxes went into some special pool of money, it was easier to use FICA surpluses to subsidize deficits in the rest of the budget.

      The reason the "trust fund" matters: If the general fund refuses to pay back to the SSA the funds that it borrowed from Social Security, then the US government has defaulted on its debt for the first time in its history. Those T-Bills owned by the SSA are regularly traded on the open market, and are in no way different from the T-Bills owned by China, Goldman Sachs, or anyone else, and you could reasonably expect those creditors to respond by selling off their T-Bills, driving interest rates the US government has to pay through the roof, and otherwise making our lives miserable.

      In other words, it's less painful to cut back the number of toys the military has than it is to balance the general budget by cutting Social Security.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    59. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      What you dont understand is that the people calling for reform here are synonymous with the people that ALREADY REFORMED YOUR SYSTEM.

      But we have these partisan pricks that argue against any reform and use a stereotypical progressive con-job to convince liberal people (note that progressive is not synonymous with liberal) that those that propose reform are just trying to kill old people, deprive people of medical treatment, and so on. There are also progressive con-jobs that convince conservative people of bad policy too (security theater, and so forth), but thats a subject for another day.

      The key evil is the idea that more spending is always better than any alternative no matter what, so here we are with $120 trillion dollars in unfunded liability tied directly to our safety net, and as you so astutely point out.. Canada has a comparable, arguably better, safety net without the looming problem.. one of the few countries that can say it. You should be cheering for the reform of our various systems.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    60. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      And yet, each and everyone of us will be one of those "old people" looking for some security as we age.

      So go right back to appealing to emotion when the numbers make it impossible to accomplish the thing you are appealing to?

      Yes.. great logic...

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    61. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Bucc5062 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      " Ronald Reagan cut income taxes, EVERY class got stronger."

      Hows that work. Did a little digging, granted these are gross numbers, but in 1979, just before RR someone in the 20th percentile made @ $19,274. Halfway through RR term he then made $17,927 and by the end of RR term he was back to 19,830. Net increase of wages in 8 years, $2,000. Amazing.

      Reagan's tax cuts ballooned the deficit while at the same time he was waging a spending war with the USSR. GHB may have killed his political career by raising taxes, but he was smart enough to see that cut and spend was killing this country...quickly.

      Clinton raised taxes. He also overhauled welfare and worked very hard as a world leader to keep us out of large military conflict, by using diplomacy and when needed, targeted action to contain threats to the US. He had increased revenue enough that even had there been a slight recession in 2000, the government could have smartly spent its way out by putting the surplus back into the country through stimulus and R&D.

      GWB, well he cut taxes, income for our 20 percentile drops back to pre-Clintion levels (less tax revenue as well), he engages in not one but two very costly wars and not only turns a budget surplus into a major deficit, he once again balloons the national debt. Net loss to the 20th, down $2000.

      Please do not state that Ronald Reagan did good by this country, because he cut taxes. Instead state that he did good by this country when he realized his mistake and began to raise taxes again. If even one Tea Party member or politician raises the specter of Reagan they need to take a long look at his whole presidency. In today's world, he would be denounced as a RINO and run out in a primary. Other then the bump that was GHB, Nixon was the last sane republican President in this country (and I can't believe I'm saying that but for what he can be compared to today).

      --
      Life is a great ride, the vehicle doesn't matter
    62. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Lluc · · Score: 1

      You all are being so conned. ... This whole thing is no coincidence.

      So do you think this is all being planned by some government or extra-governmental organization?
      It seems more likely it is just natural evolution of human greed and the US government: greed from the top with investors and fund managers pulling down "1%" salaries by manipulating huge retirement funds and greed from the bottom with US voters demanding more and more free stuff from the government.

    63. Re:America's hand is being forced... by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      What if the surplus SS had all those years had been saved/invested, instead of being spent by other parts of the government?

      It is saved / invested, in US Treasury bonds. Some people would like to pretend that those bonds don't exist and not pay them back.

      If we'd saved / invested in the private sector instead of US government debt, then Social Security would be in far worse shape, for two major reasons:
      1. The government would effectively control the entire stock market, by being able to put trillions of dollars into anything it wanted to. The opportunities for corruption are giant and obvious.
      2. Social Security wouldn't be insulated from all of the bumps in the markets, and would experience massive losses exactly at the time that their recipients need the help the most.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    64. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Bucc5062 · · Score: 1

      Unless you've figured out a fountain of youth formula, I was not referring to emotion but fact. Fact, each and everyone of us will get old(er) and/or are already at the age where outside care may be needed. None of us can escape death, it is the mark of a society as to how we take care of the elderly and how we handle death.

      The numbers are not impossible, they just don't conform to the Military-industrial, gentrified government we've created. We are happy to cut medicare, create gaping holes in the social security net so thousands or more can die possibly painful, undignified deaths, yet pour billions, billions into security systems that have not save one extra life. We seem okay with letting people starve, or perhaps bring back indentured servitude so we can pay for increased military machines that do little in fighting an urban, intrenched enemy force.

      In 1945 we ended War on two fronts, brought home more then a million soldiers and put them to either work or education through programs like the VA Bill or Works programs that help build th American infrastructure we have today. There is not a nation on this planet (and I mean nation, not gang) that could attack us with out having major retribution occur with the current military we have today. We spend more then the next 11 countries in national defense...and those countries are our allies. We fight terrorists in a way that just breeds more terrorists, yet we justify the need to spend more money on new toys. I am all for a strong, but smart America, not the fat, bloated pig we've become.

      The numbers are impossible, because you believe the only way the US can be "Number One" in the world is to let Greed run rampant and have the ability to crush fire ants with a bulldozer.

      --
      Life is a great ride, the vehicle doesn't matter
    65. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Jetra · · Score: 1

      So, basically you're for the New World Order under the rule of the American Government? Remove all threats to the nation simply because we're cowards afraid of monsters under our bed? Even when a country is going Democratic under it's own power America still has to oversee it to ensure their insurgent gets elected, forcing the nation to abandon it's history and adopt one that may not be the best, but because America has all the nukes, it's the safest?

      Screw World War III, that's kiddie stuff compared to the war that will happen when everyone turns against each other.

    66. Re:America's hand is being forced... by blind+biker · · Score: 1

      The problem is threefold.
          - These Social programs are under-funded because the taxes and contributions which were originally put aside have been stolen by Congress.
          - Medicare/Medicaid is being used as a cash-cow by big business. It needs to be community operated on a non-profit basis as it is in other countries.
          - Insufficient taxes are raised to pay for these essential services and the rich are allowed to opt out.

      Quoted for truth. Yours is the best post in this topic/story, because it's entirely accurate and yet concise.

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    67. Re:America's hand is being forced... by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      I am so fickin pissed about this kind of sentiment. As if all old people are poor.

      Most of the geezers I know are either poor or middle class, only a few are rich. Much like the general population.

      But any time you bring up the fact that we're paying for Warren Buffet's health care and have been writing him a monthly Social Security check for a few decades

      His SS check (if he's actually getting one) would be the same size as someone who earned $75k per year before retirement. What I'd like to see is to have Buffett pay the same percentage as I do while working, but have a cap on the monthly amount that could be collected after retirement.

      As to paying for his health care, if we adopted a Canadian/European health care system, the Medicare/Medicaid problem would go away completely. The only ones who would lose would be insurance companies.

    68. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Ironhandx · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We're not ignorant. Most Canadians I know are better informed on the US political situation than most of those living in the U.S.

      It needs to be reformed, but your right-wing nut-jobs just want to cut benefits and call it done. The programs need reform that may actually increase spending in the short-term but get people OFF of social security altogether in the long term.

      Also "Cheaper and more efficient" in the U.S. has become synonymous with "Privatize it" with some large segments of the population. Theres an entire cultural problem down there right now. We're not belittling the situation, we're stating outright that its totally fucked on a very grand scale.

      You have no political will to actually do things correctly. It may come across as belittling but as our largest trading partner many Canadians KNOW that the health and well-being of the U.S. as a country is directly tied to our own health and well being. We are pointing at ourselves as an example of "doing it right" in an attempt to generate more attention and hopefully some additional popular support in the U.S. for properly reforming your health care and social security systems.

      #1 you need to raise taxes. #2 you need to reform the programs. Health care needs to become a single-payer federal system. Part of the reason for Canadas current efficiency of health care is because there is a giant health board that all of the individual provinces work with. The provincial boards have direct control over thier own affairs but cooperate on larger issues such as emergency heart care etc.

      Since things are different down there the only effective way to implement it would be as a seperate federal department for each state that then runs within a larger federal board that functions purely to liase between the various states departments and perform audits now and then to keep everyone honest. This also reduces the potential for corruption because there isn't one giant federal board. If someone wants to issue bribes to get something they'd have to bribe too many people to make it worthwhile. It may seem like a logistical nightmare, and the states may even need to be broken up into groups to make it work better, but it is doable,

      Social security.... education programs need to be implemented. Workfare programs, therapy benefits... anything that can help to get these people back to being productive needs to be done. Spending an extra 30-40k on education while they're on social security for 3 years is much better than spending an additional 300+k(not to mention the tax revenue loss since they're not paying any taxes at all). over the course of another 15-20 years or more.

    69. Re:America's hand is being forced... by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      You're right . . . my memory is fading . . . I must be getting old . . . where's my government money?

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    70. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Azghoul · · Score: 1

      So the tl;dr version:

      We are interventionists so we have to keep being interventionists, because.... derp.

    71. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      What "forced" those countries into austerity? Oh yeah, that was the only condition under which other people were willing to lend them money. You know, people were only willing to lend those countries money on the condition that they change the way they spent money so that there was a chance that the people lending the money might get paid back someday.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    72. Re:America's hand is being forced... by ixidor · · Score: 1

      More than 100% of tax revenue goes to "mandatory spending" and "interest payments". see http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EW5IdwltaAc&feature=g-hist for an explanation. if all we had right now were taxes, SS, medicare, medicaid, TARP, and interest payments, we would still be going into debt, not to mention spending for the government and military...

    73. Re:America's hand is being forced... by TFAFalcon · · Score: 1

      Again, the same as with other debt the government has. Why treat it differently?

    74. Re:America's hand is being forced... by butchersong · · Score: 1

      Why was this modded down? It's a well thought out post with absolutely no attacks in it against one side or the other. I've listend to several think tank / washington debates on this topic and people on both sides of the aisle agree that entitlement spending is unsustainable and the main cause of concern for the budget long term. Democrats want to see more revenue sure but the problem is mainly entitlement spending. Even Harry Reid today spoke of needing to comprimise with Republicans on Medicare reform and being willing to do so in revenue is increased a bit.

    75. Re:America's hand is being forced... by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Have you been paying attention to what is happening in Europe over the last two years? Countries in Europe are one by one reaching the point where the cost of government services (including and mostly involving, that "social security safety net") are exceeding tax revenues to the point where no one wants to loan them money.

      Have you been paying attention to what is happening in the whole world over the last four years? We've been in a bad worldwide recession. Greece has a 25% unemployment rate. Ireland is 15%. Spain is 25%. When one in four workers is out of a job, your government is going to have to borrow money or you're going to have riots.

    76. Re:America's hand is being forced... by moeinvt · · Score: 1

      "we didn't really become a "world power in every sense of the word" until a couple of decades after the Great Depression"

      Nonsense. The USA became a military and industrial super power during the 19th century, and especially during the late 19th century. It was during the bad old days of the gilded age that U.S. GDP per capita overtook and surpassed that of all the European nations. This was also a period of amazing growth in industrial and agricultural output. All with a government that was about 5% of GDP.

      The economic growth of the 1950s was only possible because the industrial infrastructure of Europe and Asia had been obliterated by the war. It's easy to have a prosperous economy after you've destroyed the competition.

    77. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      But any time you bring up the fact that we're paying for Warren Buffet's health care and have been writing him a monthly Social Security check for a few decades, the progressives are "lalalalalal I can't hear you!". Instead they insist on raising capital gains taxes on everyone because because Buffet.

      Means testing solves this problem, right now. It also hits the "evil rich" too. But progressives don't want to stop handouts to the rich, they just want more taxes.

      It's not "la la la", it's "pull your head out and stop being such a dumbass."

      You wouldn't go and tell a rich person who got in a car accident that he's not entitled to the insurance coverage he paid for just because he's rich, would you? Of course not, that would be asinine. Then why are you telling the same rich guy that he's not entitled to the Social Security benefits that he paid for?

      "Means testing" turns earned benefits into social welfare, and then people like yourself will be demanding that we eliminate welfare. Or was that your idea all along?

    78. Re:America's hand is being forced... by TheRealMindChild · · Score: 1

      It makes quite a lot of sense. Perhaps its implementation needs some work, but the underlying principle is a valuable one; take care of those who can't take care of themselves, because you don't want them roaming the streets with nothing to live for. It is in everyone's interest, except those who think they can live in a walled city, to never see these people

      --

      "When life gives you lemons, don't make lemonade. Make life take the lemons back!" -- Cave Johnson
    79. Re:America's hand is being forced... by moeinvt · · Score: 1

      "Those T-Bills owned by the SSA are regularly traded on the open market..."

      Wrong. The federal government took the surplus SS funds and left a non-negotiable IOU in their place. The SSA cannot sell these IOUs on the open market.

      This is how the Clinton-era "surplus" was made possible. The government borrowed funds from SS and did not count them as debt.

    80. Re:America's hand is being forced... by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      The problem in Afganistan is nearly the same as in Iraq - we took a functioning country and broke it apart. We can leave it in a broken state which will eventually devolve into something like Somalia with warlords and continuous civil war or we can try to put it back together. Sadly, American efforts at putting it back together aren't going so well - but having created the groundwork for another Somalia do you not think we bear some responsibility for putting thing right?

      Currently, I think the US administration is barely teetering on the idea of just abandoning the place to become another Somalia. It would seem to be a popular idea but once people figure out what is going to happen post-US involvement it is going to get really unpopular. So the only question is would it collapse within the next four years? If it can hold out longer than that, it becomes the next administration's problem.

    81. Re:America's hand is being forced... by moeinvt · · Score: 1

      Yes, there were many poor and sick people in the USA.

      Then we had a "New Deal" and a "Great Society" and a "War on Poverty" and Medicare, Medicaid, AFDC, food stamps, EITC, etc. etc.

      Now that government has successfully eliminated sickness and poverty, we should be able to cut back.

    82. Re:America's hand is being forced... by butchersong · · Score: 1

      I don't really follow most EU countries very closely but I've read of many people making the case for downgrading the UK credit rating to as much as A+ from AAA. I know the worst case scenarios that we all like to discuss for topics like climate change, collaps of EU/US etc. rarely come to pass and we'll probably never agree on this today... so I guess we'll give it 8-10 yrs and see where we are.

    83. Re:America's hand is being forced... by JWW · · Score: 1

      It can't be treated the same as other debt because, as one poster has noted, the total liabilities of Social Security and Medicare amount to Hundreds of Trillions of dollars -- an order of magnitude larger than our current debt.

    84. Re:America's hand is being forced... by JWW · · Score: 1

      His SS check (if he's actually getting one) would be the same size as someone who earned $75k per year before retirement. What I'd like to see is to have Buffett pay the same percentage as I do while working, but have a cap on the monthly amount that could be collected after retirement.

      Can't say I'd disagree with that. It has means testing kind of built in.

    85. Re:America's hand is being forced... by JWW · · Score: 1

      As mentioned before, he didn't put money into an account that was owed to him by the government.

      The Supreme Court decreed Social Security taxes to be taxes. As such the Congress can choose whatever they want to do with them (see raiding the "trust fund") and they can choose who to pay SS benefits to or not.

      If Social Security is t be lauded as a great safety net, then lets make it a safety net, not a handout to everyone over a certain age.

    86. Re:America's hand is being forced... by butchersong · · Score: 1

      Social security takes 12% of the pay of every eligable worker. It takes 12%!... If you allowed me to have that money on top of 401k to invest as I like I could retire at 35 so I don't find it especially impressive that they are only a little insolvent. That is never going to happen so personally I think we should meet current obligations for those over 60 or so, cut in half what we take from citizens for SS and then deny it to anyone who is not living in abject poverty. The reality is that it is a tax and it is welfare. Middle income people resonably well off have their pensions and 401k to lean on.

    87. Re:America's hand is being forced... by bravecanadian · · Score: 2

      Canada does not have a balanced budget.

      We did have a small surplus which was used to pay down debt or as a rainy day fund until the "conservative and fiscally responsible" government took over. Promptly, they cut taxes (GST) because a surplus obviously means taxes are too high!

      Then the economy fell off the cliff and they have been running large deficits ever since. Not that I disagree with government spending during recession. It does help blunt the damage but the trick is getting back to the black afterwards. They have recently pushed their target for doing so out another year.

      That all being said, we are still in better shape than many countries at the moment, due in large part to the previous govt having the political capital to rein in the deficits left by the previous "conservative and fiscally responsible" government.

      Ontario is also running a very large deficit as are some other provinces.

    88. Re:America's hand is being forced... by kqs · · Score: 1

      Nope. Social Security is nicely-designed program. It won't grow indefinitely; once the baby-boomers die off it will go back to solvency. And since it is paid for by payroll taxes, the worst it will get is about a 20% deficit each year. And it's only so bad because we've kept on stealing the surplus rather than investing it.

    89. Re:America's hand is being forced... by bravecanadian · · Score: 1

      The US entered economic downturns that started off as bad as the Great Depression. The difference was that in 1920, 1873, etc. the federal government did not attempt to intervene as Hoover and FDR did. None of those downturns lasted as long as the Depression, and yet progressives have the GALL to claim that their programs worked when it took WWII to end the stagnation.

      WWII essentially equals Keynesian type government spending at an absurd scale (out of necessity in this case).

      So.. you're contradicting yourself.

    90. Re:America's hand is being forced... by rk · · Score: 1

      Health care costs are going up much faster than inflation.

      I think a lot of that is because it is almost impossible to be an informed consumer of health care goods and services in the US, unless you have no health care plan at all, and then unless you are quite wealthy the bulk of your knowledge is "you can't afford it." My doctor orders tests for something. Do those tests cost $100, $1000, or $10,000? I went to a pain clinic two years ago and had those electro-tests for nerve damage: over $2,000 was the contract price with my health care plan. I only had to pay $30, but I wouldn't have seen this number at all if it weren't for a mistake with my co-pay where someone dropped a zero on my copay and charged my card $3.00 instead of $30 and I wound up getting a statement from them. Diagnosis? Mild carpal tunnel, sort it out with PT. Would it have been cheaper for my plan to have me try PT for my wrist first, or did we need the diagnosis? I don't know which is the most sensible decision; I didn't go to med school. My doctor did, but does he make more money this way? He's got medical school, an office, and malpractice insurance to pay for. I can't blame him (much) if he orders some high margin test to partly CYA and partly to get some cash flow.

    91. Re:America's hand is being forced... by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      We are going into an energy shortage, and we are seeing the beginnings of the end of middle eastern oil (production hasn't risen for ~7 years now, aside from a few random movements). What happened was a result of their governments being forced to no longer increase spending (delayed by a few years of ridiculous lending - you'd think in a culture that places the death penalty on lending money the government would not be trillions in debt - you'd be wrong).

      Give it 2-10 more years and the oil production will be in freefall across most of the middle east. What do you think will happen ?

      The middle east doesn't export oil because America is holding a gun to their heads, they export it for the money. They're about to lose the vast majority of their money, and it will happen in less than a decade. Of course it will all be the fault of America and Israel, but fact of the matter is that without oil, middle eastern states -aside from Israel and Lebanon- aren't capable of providing enough water for their population, not to mention food.

      The cause behind a lot of middle eastern problems used to be religion, it is however rapidly changing to energy shortage.

    92. Re:America's hand is being forced... by thoth · · Score: 1

      We don't have to speculate. We have history!

      Yeah but we need history from this world, not the fantasy bullshit land you evidently looked up.

    93. Re:America's hand is being forced... by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Not really.

      America is interventionist because without doing that America would lose the ability to do international trade over the high seas. Either because nobody else would police the world, or -worse- because someone else would. We have to create the future - or others will do it for us.

    94. Re:America's hand is being forced... by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      The Twin Towers is the result of a longstanding US foreign policy to topple foreign governments and use the CIA or military forces to meddle in other countries business where you have no legitimate reason to meddle.

      Funny, the perpetrators were kind of proclaiming loudly and to everybody who wanted to hear it that it was because America is not submitting (in the military sense) to muslims. I guess you're better informed than they are - I am sorry.

    95. Re:America's hand is being forced... by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      We are NOT productive, as far as tax receipts go. 46% of Americans pay no income tax, and all we talk about are going after the "1%", which would get us less than 10% toward the goal. WE HAVE A SPENDING PROBLEM.

      Yes, but stopping or even reining in that spending will mean depriving people with no other source of income of their last dollar. In more than a few cases it will mean depriving Americans of medical treatments that are keeping them alive.

      So, of course it's not fair taking this away, once you've given it. It's impossible.

    96. Re:America's hand is being forced... by olau · · Score: 1

      Same in Denmark, it's being raised gradually.

      It's also quite silly to look at how much the governments are borrowing at the moment with a crisis going on. For many of the countries, money is cheap now, and sorely needed. When the good times hit again, you start paying back, also to avoid overheating the economy.

    97. Re:America's hand is being forced... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      During that time, other countries in the world didn't have public healthcare and other forms of social security net, either. So you didn't have one to compete. Now you do.

      Also, there are some good reasons why late 19th century - the pinnacle of the time period that you seem to be so enamored with - is called "Gilded Age". And why there were massive social protests at that time, culminating in worker and socialist movements, not just in US, but everywhere in the developing world - protests which, in some other countries, ended with socialist revolutions. Guess why those protests had such widespread support?

    98. Re:America's hand is being forced... by TFAFalcon · · Score: 1

      But that's just it, It's not insolvent - the rest of the government owes it plenty of money. What all the panic is about is that it's going to have to call in some of that debt to fund pensions for the baby boomers. Any tax increases that might be needed would be to fund the repayment of this debt and all of the OTHER programs that have been leaching from SS.

    99. Re:America's hand is being forced... by TFAFalcon · · Score: 1

      But they also have a lot of assets - the problem is that these assets are in the form of debt from other parts of the government. It can easily continue to pay pensions and medicare for decades, but it will have to call in some of that debt to do it.

    100. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      Budget was balanced, once tax cuts are reversed it will be again. GST was a stupid cut, benefitted no one except massive companies.

      Also all provinces(not territories, but provinces, territores don't count) are running small deficits or balanced budgets. Newfoundland is running a significant deficit but its due to capital spending that is going to more than repay itself within 10 years and have income beyond that.

      Ontario was in the shitter, but Ontario seems to be a bit of a Canadian microcosm of the U.S. They're not spending into the industries and they're trying to lower taxes to promote growth and its all failing miserably. They need to tax and spend and they're cutting and cutting.

      As the old joke goes:

      Whats the only thing you can you get a man from BC, a man from Alberta, a man from Quebec and a man from Newfoundland to agree on?

      People from Ontario are all fucking retarded.

    101. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      I should clarify that Territories don't count for the purpose of any of them having a balanced budget. They're all essentially giant native reserves propped up by the feds and none of them have had a balanced budget since their inception with a brief exception in the yukon where they had more money than they knew what to spend it on for a little while. They quickly came up with new things to spend it on.

    102. Re:America's hand is being forced... by shmlco · · Score: 1

      Are you on Social Security? Medicare? Are you unemployed? A student? A veteran? Disabled? Do you work, but make so little that you're below the line and pay no Federal Income Tax? Are you a member of a family with two kids, one job, a mortgage, but make less than $45,000 a year?

      Then you're part of the 47%.

      Besides, income tax is not payroll tax. It isn't property taxes. It's not sales tax. It's not excise taxes. People pay plenty of taxes, even if they're not paying income tax.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    103. Re:America's hand is being forced... by shmlco · · Score: 1

      Yep. We need to fire all of the teachers, police, and firemen. We need to fire health and safety inspectors.

      Why? Because they're on the government payroll.

      But, under no circumstances, can we fire all of the people working at the defense contractors, who make weapons and develop other systems that even the Pentagon doesn't want.

      Even thought those people are also paid with taxpayer dollars.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    104. Re:America's hand is being forced... by shmlco · · Score: 1

      "No one is trying to get rid of Medicare or Social Security."

      Uh huh. Tell that to Ryan.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    105. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      The numbers are not impossible

      The numbers grow larger than the GDP.

      Also known as impossible...

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    106. Re:America's hand is being forced... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Yes but how many of those 46% are paying Social Security/Medicare taxes? How many of them also pay state and local sales and income taxes? What would be the point of forcing them to pay federal income tax if you just have to turn around and offer them federal assistance anyway?

    107. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      When the good times hit again, you start paying back

      When has that ever happened?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    108. Re:America's hand is being forced... by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      The US entered economic downturns that started off as bad as the Great Depression. The difference was that in 1920, 1873, etc. the federal government did not attempt to intervene as Hoover and FDR did. None of those downturns lasted as long as the Depression, and yet progressives have the GALL to claim that their programs worked when it took WWII to end the stagnation.

      WWII essentially equals Keynesian type government spending at an absurd scale (out of necessity in this case).

      So.. you're contradicting yourself.

      No, he's not.

      A large influx of money from government spending does, in the short term, stimulate economic activity.

      The problem is that it's like heroin.

      It only keeps working while the spending is going on, and every new influx needs to be bigger than the one before to get the same results, and eventually, the dosage reaches a toxic level as the government spending sucks all the capital away and burdens the economy with unsustainable levels of debt.

      It's really not rocket surgery. It's just that some people want everyone to believe it is in order to further their own ideological and political agendas, wealth, and power. Whether one is an individual, family, city, State, multinational mega-corp, or nation; If you spend more than you make, even if others will loan you money at first to cover your excessive spending, you'll eventually go bankrupt if not halted in time.

      And, even if halted before an economic meltdown, there will be a lot of hard work, economic pain, and widespread suffering before things return to anything approaching "normal". Just like a drug addict finally recovering, only to face all the debts incurred supporting his addiction.

      Also just as with a drug addict, the longer we wait to break the government-spending addiction, the harder and more painful it will be, possibly even being fatal, and the longer that painful and difficult recovery will be.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    109. Re:America's hand is being forced... by volmtech · · Score: 1

      Canada, 9 people per sq mile, U.S., 84 per sq mile. That's nine times the wealth producing natural resources per person. Take away the African decedents with their genetic health problems and the poor immigrant population and our life expectancy and infant mortality rates are about the same.

    110. Re:America's hand is being forced... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Once you start means testing for Social Security it becomes a welfare program rather than an insurance program. That just makes it easier to attack.

    111. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      Thats supposed to be a good argument?

      At 9 people per square mile we should be less efficient since we have a much broader tract of land to cover. We're TEN TIMES more efficient. It doesn't actually matter about our natural resources, that is a complete straw man argument. All I'm talking is efficiency. If you were getting our efficiency rates not only would current medicare funding be sufficient, one years funding would be sufficient to run the entire country on universal health care for TWO YEARS.

    112. Re:America's hand is being forced... by mellon · · Score: 1

      Those members of the 46% who work pay no tax because their income is so low. Why is it so low? Because taxes are so low on extremely high incomes that there's none left for people who actually work for a living. So yeah, we do need to tax those of the 46% that you mention who actually have jobs. But in order to do so, they have to earn a living wage.

    113. Re:America's hand is being forced... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The sad news is that it has never worked out well for them

      Really, it didn't? If you compare the life of an average American worker at the end of 19th century, and for most of 20th, I'd say that it worked pretty damn well for them. We all still enjoy the numerous achievements of the worker movement of that time, 100 years later. Unfortunately, they are being taken away slowly, one by one, by "useful idiots" of today who are convinced that laissez-faire is superior - despite it having being tried already and resulting in misery for most of the population. It is, indeed, convenient to forget.

      Oh, and I'm certainly not advocating for violent radical revolution. I was merely pointing out that, when you put sufficiently many people into misery from which they cannot hope to recover (as it happened at the beginning of the 20th century), they might just get desperate enough to take up arms in the cause that they deem will rectify that situation. Even if it doesn't work, a lot of people end up dead, as you rightly note. So why, then, are you promoting economic measures that will inevitably spark another such violent outburst?

    114. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Xifer · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the federal government is a failed experiment by the states which does not seem to be able to deal with any of the problems with which it is presented and we need to call a section V constitutional convention and spend time in designing a new constitution or amendments to limit the powers we will allow it to have. Certainly we have already cited some of the forces that prevent the cooperation needed to do the important planning for such a complex system as this nation. Certainly i cannot see paying congressmen or supreme court justices who are only acting in the short term interests of their corporate overlords who probably are supported by non citizen or even hostile powers. And i certainly cannot see any reason to pay them for stonewalling the process. If they don't cooperate, bang their heads together and fire them and get someone who well. I nominate the team of engineers who put the Nuclear Dune Buggy on Mars with all the cameras. At least they were capable of planning and finding solutions to their persistant problems.

    115. Re:America's hand is being forced... by fearofcarpet · · Score: 1

      If you make say 200k net profit before taxes this year and end up with say 170k of it in your pocket after tax, then you project you'll make 250k net profit before taxes next year and would end up with say 200k in your pocket because you've been bumped up another tax bracket. 170k is a comfortable place for you, and you could use some extra help. You hire an employee at 40k/yr(including benefit costs yada yada for simplicities sake) which gets you down to 210k profit before taxes, but drops you down a tax bracket(which for arguments sake we'll say the limit is at 220k) However since you're down the tax bracket you end up making 178.5k. Thus the total cost of that employee to you wasn't the 40k you're putting into the economy, it was the difference between 200k and 178.5k. Which is only 21.5k. You've hired yourself a mid-level employee at a total cost of something barely above minimum wage plus some minor benefits.

      Just to be clear, because a shocking number of people do not understand this concept; you aren't "bumped up to another tax bracket." The tax system is progressive; if taxes go up on earnings above 250k, then you only pay higher taxes on the amount of money above that threshold. e.g., if you earn $250,001 you will only pay higher taxes on $1.

      --
      Actually, I wrote my thesis on life experience.
    116. Re:America's hand is being forced... by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      And you want to know what led to the collapse of the Roman Empire?

      Christianity.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    117. Re:America's hand is being forced... by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      If 100% of tax revenue goes to Social Security

      Then you're either paying too much out in benefits, or you're not collecting enough in tax. While people on benefits struggle to feed and clothe themselves, and billionaires squander another couple of hundred million on yet another yacht, I know which I'd say was more likely.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    118. Re:America's hand is being forced... by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      Is there no equivalent of the UK's National Grid in the US?

      Don't be stupid, that's socialism.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    119. Re:America's hand is being forced... by tehcyder · · Score: 1
      So, in short, you would like to return to the time of the original Industrial Revolution?

      You make Russians who yearn for the return of Stalin look positively wishy washy.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    120. Re:America's hand is being forced... by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      The USA became a military and industrial super power during the 19th century, and especially during the late 19th century.

      It may have been an industrial super power, but it certainly wasn't a military one. At the time, the US had relatively limited imperial pretensions, and only got involved in WW1 to a fairly limited extent. It was only after WW2 that the US truly became a super power.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    121. Re:America's hand is being forced... by tehcyder · · Score: 1
      The point is, that if you set up the rules so that anyone paying the correct contributions would get their guaranteed benefit at the end of it (in the UK we have a nominally separate National Insurance fund for this) then it is inequitable to change the rules and say that because you're rich you don't get the benefit.

      In actual fact, the whole lot should just be treated as part of the taxation system, then it would be much more reasonable to means test it and not pay multi-billionaires the same state pension as a retired dustman.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    122. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Entrope · · Score: 1

      The US has defaulted on sovereign debt a number of times in the past. However, it's not likely that the government would do something default-like regarding the "trust fund" bonds. Among other not-default mechanisms, the government could cut or even eliminate benefits in those programs so that SSA and CMS never need to redeem them; that was the point of Flemming v. Nestor.

      As a side note, you could eliminate all US military spending from the budget and still leave a sizable deficit. Social Security is getting close to the size of the military budget, as is Medicare. Those slices of the budget are growing rapidly -- and with no real end in sight, which is why entitlement reform is critical to controlling the deficit.

    123. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      No, I'm actually talking about a bracketed tax system identical to the one we have in Canada. It is entirely possible to get a raise and see no benefit from it here, but it has to be something along the lines of someone making 72k/yr and getting a 2% raise getting them up to 73.44k/yr but going up a tax bracket at approximately 73.4k. This only happens towards the higher end of salaries however as the % tax climb gets steeper the higher you go. That said its still worthwhile to get the raise because the next one will be most all beneficial. Of course we have a fairly comprehensive tax credit system for Joe and Jane average so its usually easy enough to find something to claim to get you down from the next bracket up.

      Progressive tax systems would not work quite as well and are harder to utilize to accomplish what I have described.

    124. Re:America's hand is being forced... by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      The right not to starve or freeze to death should not be dependent on the whims of Robber Barons and Fascists, so fuck you and all your right wing nutjob cronies.

      I agree.

      I don't think they should be dependent on "Robber Barons and Fascists" either.

      That's why I want the government out of it, because government is exactly where robbers and fascists are, and where they operate best. After all, fascism is a form of _government_ not religion, and tax collectors are government-sanctioned robbers.

      Churches generally look after their own, or people they consider the "deserving poor."

      Bullshit. I've lived and worked in many places across the US. In almost every single place, there was a homeless shelter and soup kitchen. Every single one was funded by a church, not any government agency.

      My band and I have done charity fund-raiser shows many times over the years to help these shelters raise money to operate on, as well as money to pay for compliance costs for the ever-growing list of new laws and regulations they are confronted with every single year (government doesn't like competition...they want to be the only game in town, even when it comes to charity).

      These church-run shelters and soup kitchens don't care what race, religion (if any), ethnicity, etc the people they help are. They take care of those that don't qualify for (or don't want anything to do with) government programs, and even many that do receive some government help, but not enough.

      If you want to see the pure evil that reliance on fucking charity involves, try reading a few Dickens novels...

      Why not try putting down the Kindle, walking up mom's basement stairs, and walk outside and experience the real world the rest of us live in? Hint: We aren't living in Dickens' world of "Oliver Twist", so you won't need to wear those 19th-century schoolboy-shorts you've been hoarding.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    125. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Teancum · · Score: 1

      And you want to know what led to the collapse of the Roman Empire?

      Christianity.

      As an utterly simplistic answer, you may be somewhat right. But what of Christianity led to the collapse of the Roman Empire?

    126. Re:America's hand is being forced... by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      Why were you in Afgahnistan during the Cold War?

      It was to check the Soviets, but the stupidest thing America did afterwards was pull all it's funding and foreign aid from the country, and ensure that a few decades of impoverished rule by the Taliban would eventually lead to the rise of the new terrorist cells which carried out the attacks on the twin towers.

      Pretending the US can pursue isolationist policies after being highly interventionist, and expect to be left alone, is ridiculous. Doubly so when your entire economy depends on the price of oil, and which in turn depends on global supply regardless of your interest in other countries or not. Suddenly withdrawing security and support is not a consequence free action. You take a bunch of people you're making promises to, or who are depending on you, and throw them to the wolves. That breeds resentment - the next generation, their children, grow up hearing their parents lament about how you can't trust Americans, grow up seeing American drones and helicopters bombing middle eastern countries (and with no education system, are very pliable as to ideas on why that's happening), and sure enough, two decades later when they're in their 20's, you get a brand new terrorist cell filled with young people utterly convinced America needs to be taught a lesson of some sort.

      ===
      If you do not mind, download the latest US government financial statements for 2010 or 2011. Here is what you will see.

      The the interest on the outstanding debt exceeds the amount of revenue possible from collecting taxes. That is right. Forget about the military, Congress and the whole federal government and the revenue from taxes will not pay the interest of the USA debt to the citizens. So, is the government is going to have to wipe out its obligation to pay off the debt? Will it be that if you bought bonds, well too bad, it's charity and you will not get your money back.

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
    127. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      I'm being lazy and not googling it, but I thought he was talking about putting social security money into the stock market. I also thought I remembered hearing that had he done that, in hindsight with the recession, some retirees might be doing better, but most would have seen a significant decrease in their funds already, as opposed to social security still continuing.

      As with all things, if it was implemented in a retarded way, that was possible. In truth, if Lifecycle funds were implemented, none of the imminent retirees would have been impacted because all their funds would be sitting in safe low risk investments. And everybody else would have recovered their losses as the market bounced back (just look at the stock market today). It was a great idea, except that scaremongerers on the left made everybody believe "the Republicans are out to get your benefits!!!", the same way they're doing in current reform attempt dialogue. And so we will NEVER see any real reform in the system.

    128. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      "Means testing" turns earned benefits into social welfare, and then people like yourself will be demanding that we eliminate welfare.

      Except it's not earned benefits because he has no ownership over them at all. The government could end the program, change the rules, go insolvent, or do any manner of things to fuck over the retiree because it isn't his money -- it's a check from the government. This is why many are pushing for mandatory retirement accounts instead, because then at least the money would be YOURS and the government couldn't raid it to pay for their own petty personal crusades. If it's going to be left the way it is, it should be a welfare program, because it's far too poorly designed to stand up as a long-term retirement plan (socking money away into assets that can't even keep up with inflation over a 40 year period is a terrible way to invest for your future).

    129. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      ne of the things that unfortunately did not happen with the Obamacare debate was to really address deep down on the issues surrounding public health policy and rooting out the real issues that are causing health care costs to go up faster than inflation, thus becoming a major area of spending for everybody involved

      Are you really surprised? It goes down this way every time an entitlement discussion goes down. Dems couldn't give a damn about costs _or_ the impact on the economy/jobs market -- they just want to make sure everybody gets their free cake. That's why children got extended benefits as did the pre-existing condition market and so on and so forth. He had no intention of doing anything to reduce costs -- if he did, he would have been talking to and/or compromising with Republicans. Thank god Clinton had the sense to find some middle ground with Republicans -- else Welfare would be a budgetary mess now as well.

    130. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      1. The government would effectively control the entire stock market, by being able to put trillions of dollars into anything it wanted to. The opportunities for corruption are giant and obvious.

      If you believe this is true, why isn't the government cornering the market with the Thrift Savings Plan, which serve as a 401k for all federal employees? Secondly, it is braindead easy to limit the vehicles of investment if such a road were pursued (namely index funds).

      2. Social Security wouldn't be insulated from all of the bumps in the markets, and would experience massive losses exactly at the time that their recipients need the help the most.

      If we implemented Lifecycle funds (also as implemented in the TSP 401k), yes it IS insulated from all the bumps of the market (as long as the market doesn't tank for a 30-40 year period, at which time I'd say we have bigger problems on our hands). When people need their funds the most, they'll already be sitting in low risk assets that aren't affected by market movement.

    131. Re:America's hand is being forced... by oamasood · · Score: 1

      Thanks, the best comment on /. on the subject I've read in a while.

    132. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Except it's not earned benefits because he has no ownership over them at all. The government could end the program, change the rules, go insolvent, or do any manner of things to fuck over the retiree because it isn't his money -- it's a check from the government.

      Nonsense. How many times have Social Security recipients been screwed out of their retirement by the government? Zero. How many times have Social Security checks bounced because there wasn't money to pay for them? Zero.

      Compare that to how many times investors, pensioners and retirees have been ripped off by brokers and investment banks.

      This is why many are pushing for mandatory retirement accounts instead, because then at least the money would be YOURS and the government couldn't raid it to pay for their own petty personal crusades.

      You realize you're contradicting yourself, right? Once you force the worker to hand over a portion of his income to an investment bank - which is textbook fascism, btw - then the bank is free to piss away your money. And what happens if the bank goes bankrupt, as all the major banks would have done by 2009 if they hadn't been bailed out by the feds?

    133. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. How many times have Social Security recipients been screwed out of their retirement by the government?

      It's happening right now -- every single pitched idea to "solve" the Social Security (and Medicare as well) problem involves either reducing benefits or pushing back the age at which you can receive benefits. If I went my whole life planning for a certain level of money to be available at a specific time of my life, and some jackass decided to just arbitrarily move the yardstick, that's seriously impacting my life.

      You realize you're contradicting yourself, right? Once you force the worker to hand over a portion of his income to an investment bank - which is textbook fascism, btw - then the bank is free to piss away your money. And what happens if the bank goes bankrupt, as all the major banks would have done by 2009 if they hadn't been bailed out by the feds?

      The banks don't own your money, and the common man is FDIC insured against loss (to a level that pretty much fully covers everyone except millionaires)

    134. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. How many times have Social Security recipients been screwed out of their retirement by the government?

      It's happening right now

      How much meteor insurance do you have on your house? Sure, the chances of actually being struck by one are astronomical, but it could happen! There are millions of people out there trying to win the Powerball jackpot, because it could happen!

      Wingers like yourself have been coming for Social Security since it was created. But it hasn't happened. Since Cato started peddling their "Social Security wont be around for me" propaganda in the 80's, there have been three major market collapses. First in '87, then with dot-com, then with the mortgage credit bubble in 2008.

      Meaning Social Security has an infinitely better track record than the fascist for-profit retirement accounts you would force workers to join.

      The banks don't own your money, and the common man is FDIC insured against loss (to a level that pretty much fully covers everyone except millionaires)

      I would ask how you manage to backflip between your positions that fast without shattering your spine, but maybe the cognitive dissonance lends you extra flexibility? Banks can and have pissed away the retirement funds and pensions of millions of people. You want to force everyone to buy into their shitty 401k's when that money can go up in smoke in the next asset bubble to come along, but dismantle the system that has never missed a payment or cracked a nest egg.

      Are you like willfully dense? Obama JUST gave everyone a "payroll tax cut"

      Are you? You're arguing a one-time payroll tax cut is the status quo when that's obviously not the case. Even if Obama and his successor manage to keep extending it after it soon expires, that's an indictment of Obama and his successor. Not Social Security.

    135. Re:America's hand is being forced... by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      How much meteor insurance do you have on your house?

      Many home insurances cover practically all "acts of God", so to speak. And why shouldn't it? What's the point of having home insurance if there's caveats that prevent you from ever using it?

      Meaning Social Security has an infinitely better track record than the fascist for-profit retirement accounts you would force workers to join.

      Except that it doesn't....It has never kept up with inflation, poorly tracks population growth, doesn't track life extension, and is horribly invested. It continues to grow as a percentage of GDP every single year and people like continue to turn a blind eye to it.

      Banks can and have pissed away the retirement funds and pensions of millions of people.

      Cite? That's called theft.

      You want to force everyone to buy into their shitty 401k's when that money can go up in smoke in the next asset bubble to come along, but dismantle the system that has never missed a payment or cracked a nest egg.

      Long term investing is immune to bubbles, particularly life cycle investing.

      Are you? You're arguing a one-time payroll tax cut is the status quo when that's obviously not the case.

      Who gives a shit WHAT the status quo is? You just acted like Social Security lives in some kind of budgetary bubble where it is isolated from all other budgetary matters. My example, one time or not, proves that is not the case. We are taxed by some amount to pay for things. The government spends some amount to pay for things. How it is allocated on a tax form does not change the fact that it's the same freakin' pool of money.

  2. Wow, 3% = doom? by bradley13 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    From TFA: "1,082,370 U.S. citizens employed in the life sciences, such as biology and genetics, as well as physical and social sciences. Of these, approximately 31,000"

    Wow, those are some massive cuts. An entire whopping 3% of the people may lose their jobs!

    People just don't get it. The US government does not need to cut its budget by 3%. It needs to cut its budget by 50% or more. Many programs and federal departments need eliminated entirely. It's not even about the $16 Trillion debt. If the government ran honest accounts, it's about the $200 Trillion debt.

    Don't worry, citizens of America. That's only some $650,000 per person that the government has borrowed on behalf of each and every one of you. No problem, right?

    --
    Enjoy life! This is not a dress rehearsal.
    1. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Mitreya · · Score: 5, Insightful

      People just don't get it. The US government does not need to cut its budget by 3%. It needs to cut its budget by 50% or more.

      It really isn't that simple, though. The process has to be gradual or everything will implode. Cut the budget by 50% and the economy will take such hit that US collected taxes will drop more than 50% (presumably necessitating further cuts, and so on). Not to mention how many people might starve without foodstamps while you are doing this.

      Anyway, a good start would be to force our politicians to keep all wars IN the budget. Iraq and Afganistan are staying outside of the budget in "emergency appropriations" or whatever they are called.

    2. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Mitreya · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sorry, the US electorate just finished voting in President Santa Claus who's mandate was "give us more free stuff" you won't see that budget cut of 50%,

      Pure bullshit. Obama was chosen by the US electorate because he has promised to increase taxes to, you know, bring in more revenue. He is quite willing to cut spending, though to a lesser degree than Republicans. The budget can be balanced by either cutting spending, increasing income or, most likely by a combination of the two (one can argue where the balance lies)

      Let's be realistic though. You guys are fucked, plain and simple and you're heading for a screaming doom much like Europe is unless you figure out that trying to spend your way out of debt is a bad idea.

      Where are you based, anyway? How is your country managing? Got any good suggestions?

    3. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by fnj · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Um, there is a little detail you may have missed. The President doesn't have the AUTHORITY to change the tax structure. Congress does; yet - gee - the same electorate returned who returned Obama also returned a Republican majority in the all important House of Representatives.

    4. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Mitreya · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Um, there is a little detail you may have missed. The President doesn't have the AUTHORITY to change the tax structure. Congress does;

      Well, no, he does not -- but he was leading the negotiations between D and R earlier and the only reason these negotiations fell apart is because the ratio of 80% spending cuts and 20% tax increases was still not acceptable to the tea party.
      I think they were seriously hoping to negotiate to 100% and 0% compromise.

      yet - gee - the same electorate returned who returned Obama also returned a Republican majority in the all important House of Representatives.

      Not sure what your point is. Representatives are not a single unit (like the President). There is a significant ratio of incumbent retention, mostly due to gerrymandering. Barely 5% of the races tend to be competitive or even in doubt (unless the incumbent retires). I wouldn't read into this at all.

    5. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by DarkOx · · Score: 1

      I think everyone understands that. They big thing the economy needs is to know what to expect. So you don't cut the budget 50% in year one, but what you do is plan 50% cuts and say in year X buget A will be...

      That way everyone knows where they need to make adjustments.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    6. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by fnj · · Score: 2

      You said Obama was elected because he "promised to increase taxes". He can't make that promise except cynically, because he doesn't have the AUTHORITY to implement it. I rather doubt he did make that promise. I expect he promised to work toward getting tax increases approved. Fine. So far, he has expended close to zero political capital toward that end.

      You really are "not sure what my point is" about the Presidential and the House results taken together? I generally disengage when somebody starts to cast a discussion into a series of "points". I'll go against my better judgement and try to explain the statement to you. The same electorate who went to the polls and gave Obama a narrow edge in the popular vote also gave Republicans a more substantial edge retained in the House. Which action constitutes a mandate? Could it possibly be that they want Obama to continue smiling, uttering platitudes, handing out mosly inconsequential candy that doesn't cost much, and not starting any new major wars, and at the same time they want the Representatives to dig their heels in and basically stop anything else changing? Because that's what it looks like.

      Yes, the Representatives are not a single unit. So? They are 435 individual units, and every single one of those units stands for re-election every two years. The races are just as competitive as the electorate wants them to be. If you think you can explain the results away by gerrymandering, I'm not buying it. You can't wave away the validity of the results that easily. There have been huge changes in the House overnight in the past; notable 1994. That election it went from 258-176D to 230-204R. Gerrymandering is as old as the hills, but it didn't "work" that time.

    7. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Seeteufel · · Score: 2

      There is no real issue in Europe, just a reshaping of the order that is delayed by politicians playing stupid and crying "austerity" for reasons of populism. Debt does not need to be "paid off".Unlike in the US we are not into "quantitative easing" (= pinting money). The eurocrisis could be solved at any time by eurobonds but that would be suicidal unless the regulatory foundations are laid.

    8. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Mitreya · · Score: 1

      You said Obama was elected because he "promised to increase taxes". He can't make that promise except cynically, because he doesn't have the AUTHORITY to implement it. I rather doubt he did make that promise. I expect he promised to work toward getting tax increases approved. Fine. So far, he has expended close to zero political capital toward that end.

      Yes, you are correct. Obama promised to work towards getting tax increases approved. He did block (promised to veto and stopped for the time being) Bush tax-cut extensions. So he had done _something_ towards his promise
      Perhaps even more accurately, Romney promised to work really hard to cut taxes further (and I believe him on that).

      You really are "not sure what my point is" about the Presidential and the House results taken together? ... The same electorate who went to the polls and gave Obama a narrow edge in the popular vote also gave Republicans a more substantial edge retained in the House. Which action constitutes a mandate? ... Yes, the Representatives are not a single unit. So? They are 435 individual units, and every single one of those units stands for re-election every two years. The races are just as competitive as the electorate wants them to be. If you think you can explain the results away by gerrymandering, I'm not buying it.

      Choosing a President can be seen as a mandate (though, even here, we are talking about 58.7 million vs 56.1 million votes). With house of representatives, I think the results are even more diluted. Plenty of other reasons to vote for R or D, the vote is often affected by how much voters hate the competing representative in the same district or some other issues. So I am not certain how much of a mandate one can draw from these results

      I don't understand why you are not buying gerrymandering. I looked up the breakdown and it is 156 solid Democrat districts vs 193 solid Republican districts. The gains actually seem roughly proportional, wikipedia says it's 190D vs 240R (and 5 vacant) as of now. Is +34 Democrat wins vs +47 Republican wins say "mandate" to you? That's a 13 seat advantage out of 430 currently occupied ones.

    9. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Weezul · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I'm happy if we tax the rich more, but our real problems are :

      (1) Spending money on wasteful harmful shit, i.e. warfare (DoD, CIA, etc.), police state (FBI, NSA, etc.), drug war (DEA, etc.), etc.

      (2) Permitting the financial industry to extract such insane rents on everything by not regulating them.

      (3) Subsidizing established industries, especially oil, nuclear, and agricultural subsidies.

      We could cut taxes by massive amounts if we halted all that waste, corruption, and exploitation.

      --
      The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
    10. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by gallondr00nk · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The US government does not need to cut its budget by 3%. It needs to cut its budget by 50% or more. Many programs and federal departments need eliminated entirely. It's not even about the $16 Trillion debt. If the government ran honest accounts, it's about the $200 Trillion debt.

      Or what? The sky will fall in and the US will go bankrupt? Civilisation will cease?

      You've been fed the biggest, most damaging lie of the last four years, which is government debt works the same as personal household debt. It doesn't.

      Deficits aren't the issue here. They go up, they go down, they have always been with us and always will be. That is the nature of the beast. Keynes taught us that deficits are structural, and more or less look after themselves. The key is to keep growth as high as possible. That means investment and government spending during bad runs. Eventually, the ratio of deficit to GDP stabalises. This happened here in the UK post 1945, where government spending hit something like 70% of GDP. The sky didn't fall in then, and it sure as hell won't now.

      The US is recovering a shedload faster than the Eurozone and the UK because so far it hasn't bought into the austerity argument. Austerity will do nothing except destroy the fragile recovery. The austerity idea that the private sector will bridge public sector spending cuts is an outright lie.

      The budget cut argument is nothing more than a mechanism to transfer wealth to the rich. It is their argument and their ideas that you are parroting, for their benefit. To the rest of us it causes nothing but harm.

    11. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by mellon · · Score: 1

      You keep saying that, but you are wrong. He can veto any extension of the Bush tax cuts. Taxes will automatically go up. He doesn't have the authority to _arbitrarily_ raise taxes, but he most definitely has the authority to raise taxes.

    12. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by mellon · · Score: 1

      Huh, I read that blog post. It states that the debt is $200 trillion, and does some hand-waving to justify that position, but no actual details. Just fear mongering. Who knows, maybe they are right, but they made no effort at all to prove to anyone except an innumerate conspiracy theorist that they are right.

    13. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by ohnocitizen · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually the budget needs to be cut by 0%. Austerity has failed horribly in Europe, and those pushing it here are insane or corrupt. What we need is an increase in revenue. Some of that will come from tax increases and closing loopholes, but most of it will come from generating jobs and investment. Cutting funding to research programs that lead to new economic activity down the line is poorly advised.

    14. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by fnj · · Score: 1

      No, as a matter of fact he actually doesn't have the authority to raise taxes. It doesn't matter how many times you claim otherwise. If the taxes do automatically go up, it will be because of a process enacted into law last term by Congress and the President. He couldn't stop that process on his own authority, and he won't be triggering that process on his own authority. Do you understand?

    15. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      You are not printing money because the Eurozone made it impossible. Greece, Italy, and Spain would not be in trouble if they stayed out of the zone... they could monetize their debt if it wasnt for that.

      England is clearly the brightest country in the EU, having the foresight to stay out of the zone of doom.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    16. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by fnj · · Score: 1

      My reasoning was, House seats after this month's election, 234-201R. Every one of those seats was voted on this month. That's a pretty fair margin of 33 out of 435, or 7.6%R. I'll give you that if you look at the aggregate House vote, it actually went the other way: 57,350,592-57,125,465D, which is 0.2%D.

      Presidentially, we have 332-206D electoral votes. That's a margin of 126 out of 538, or 23.4%D. And we have 64,498,468-60,298,998D popular votes, or a margin of 4,199,470 out of 124,797,466, which is 3.4%D. All most people look at is the popular vote, even though it does not matter at all for electing the President.

      I don't happen to buy the concept of "safe" seats. It sounds too much like hubris to me, and at the same time an overanalytical way of evaluating an election. I also find a disquieting parallel with the USSR system where every single office was formally made safe for the only allowed party; the Communist Party. They even disallowed factions within the single party.

      I'm probably in the minority in this view.

      There are a lot of ways of looking at it, but one fact remains. The electorate had its say, and we are still divided.

    17. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by swilde23 · · Score: 1

      The house is controlled by the GOP, because the house drew the new district lines (from the 2010 census). If you look at the popular vote for the house (the number of people who voted for Democrat candidates vs those that voted for Republicans), you might be surprised to learn that MORE people voted for democrats. Gerrymandering FTW!

      --
      There are 10 types of people in the world. Those that understand this sig, and those that beat up people who do.
    18. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by RNLockwood · · Score: 1

      "People just don't get it. The US government does not need to cut its budget by 3%. It needs to cut its budget by 50% or more."

      We are in a recession/depression. Hundreds of thousands have lost jobs, lost their homes, lost businesses, their children their hopes of college, etc. In this financial state we are cutting down on government spending, thus causing thousands to loose jobs directly and suppliers to fire workers. It's been working so well that (snicker) that many want it expanded. This will result in more foreclosures, etc. But don't worry this is the road to prosperity; Greece and Spain, for instance, have had fiscal austerity forced on them and are watching their economy spiral down the drain. We should follow this model?

      Governments role is to try to preserve jobs during fiscal downturns; if cutting government spending is needed it should be done in good times when the effects of this economic poison is diluted.

      --
      Nate
    19. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It failed in Europe? Huh, how?

      The countries that have acted responsible and not overspend are the ones that have no problems at all (still AAA economies unlike the US). Now the irresponsible EU countries are copying their example (some less voluntarily than others). So saying it has failed is nonsense, it has succeded and is spreading its succes.

    20. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 2

      Austerity measures are a failure because of implementation. The percentage of the GDP spent by the federal and state governments needs to be reduced over time, as does the percentage of the GDP spent on healthcare. (Two birds with one stone.) Without that happening, we will keep ending up with a system that at best just redistributes wealth.

      I am all for a safety net, and because of the nature of hiring and firing in the corporate world today I think much of that needs to be fortified. At the same time, I am not convinced that spending billions widening freeways offers the same economic value as investing in better rail systems, or that the accounting requirements to comply with FAR really add value commensurate with the benefits. Likewise, the amount of money required for filings, accounting, etc., for small businesses distracts from the value they provide.

      My company is a certified "women owned" business. Three different agencies certify us! Why? What is the logic of paying taxes to the feds, state, county, and city instead of streamlining the accounting and having it broken up in one fell swoop? Why should the federal government be giving money to the state government at all? Why do government employees have better retirement benefits than anyone in the private sector?

      There are plenty of places where the processes can be improved. The starting point is making a 50-year plan and working towards that every year. You update the vision statement every four or five years, but you stick with it.

    21. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Alioth · · Score: 1

      It's not England that stayed out of the Eurozone, it's the United Kingdom. The four countries of the UK - Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland along with England (the constituents of the United Kingdom) all use the pound sterling.

    22. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by JWW · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ironically the only reason your company is a certified "woman owned" business by the government(s) is so that you can do business with the government(s).

      In the private sector no one gives a shit who owns your company, they just care about what and how you provide your goods/services.
         

    23. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Thank god for gridlock. It's the only sane vote.

      People will point out that my view leads to the fiscal cliff. I say good. They need a shock.

      Can you imagine the nightmare that ether party getting it's way would be?

      Also note: The last time a budget compromise was reached. Grahm-Rudman, (under Reagan). The deal was; increased taxes 'now' for promises of decreased spending in the future. Decreased spending never happened. Before we give the bastards any more money, lets make them fulfill the Grahm-Rudman spending decrease promises.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    24. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by mellon · · Score: 1

      Right, he has very limited authority. But it is within his power to prevent the tax cut from being extended, if he so chooses, unless the Senate manages to override his veto. Which, if you had actually read what I wrote instead of getting offended that I didn't agree with you, would have been pretty obviously what I meant by "authority."

    25. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      They _are_ printing money and are trying to get their southern members to slow the fuck down. Little luck so far.

      Europe's problems are worse then the USA's for precisely that reason. Too many printing presses in the hands of nations with different wants.

      We've got very similar demographic problems. Underfunded retirements.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    26. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by footNipple · · Score: 1

      (1) Spending money on wasteful harmful shit, i.e. warfare (DoD, CIA, etc.), police state (FBI, NSA, etc.), drug war (DEA, etc.), etc.

      Are you suggesting the US just eliminate these organizations or that politicians should adjust their directives through policy and doctrine? Because if it's the latter, then you're likely not going to affect any real savings as a percentage of the budget.

      (2) Permitting the financial industry to extract such insane rents on everything by not regulating them.

      I'm in the financial industry, neck deep in it, and we operate under oppressively redundant regulations; the cost of which we pass on to our clients who pass them on to you and the federal government through tax deductions. The problem is that regulations were written to benefit the largest and most politically influential banks.

      In fact, Mitt Romney discusses this scenario very elegantly in his book. Too bad more people didn't read it, as this election will really have some consequences. :-)

      (3) Subsidizing established industries, especially oil, nuclear, and agricultural subsidies.

      Solar energy subsidies dwarf the above by near orders of magnitude. Do you think those subsidies should cease as well?

      We could cut taxes by massive amounts if we halted all that waste, corruption, and exploitation.

      We could do the above for the common good, but it is not enough *significantly* cut taxes. To do that would require cutting or eliminating entitlement spending. And besides, once a tax is levied, the imperative is to spend that money, not return it.

      The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell

      Apparently Bertrand Russell was a fool. Who knew?

    27. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by swilde23 · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, but it doesn't change the intent of my original post. More people voted for Democrat representatives than Republicans.

      Saying that "Oh, the GOP controls the house! Clearly they have a mandate" is wrong.

      --
      There are 10 types of people in the world. Those that understand this sig, and those that beat up people who do.
    28. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Compared to the problem areas of the Eurozone America has always been austier.

      1/3 of Greeks 'work' for the government. America would have to go on a drunken spending spree to waste money like the Greeks.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    29. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Svartalf · · Score: 1

      Austerity failed because the bunch getting the freebies got pissed off and basically all they did was cut services and increase taxes- that's NOT austerity.

      How does revenue increase by increasing taxes, which is a net DRAG on revenue? You say it'll come from generating jobs and investment. You clearly have a bad disconnect with reality here. Those come from less taxes and less spending on the Government's part. Remind yourself...TAXES ARE A NET DRAG ON EVERYTHING.

      --
      I am not merely a "consumer" or a "taxpayer". I am a Citizen of the State of Texas
    30. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      It really isn't that simple, though. The process has to be gradual or everything will implode. Cut the budget by 50% and the economy will take such hit that US collected taxes will drop more than 50% (presumably necessitating further cuts, and so on). Not to mention how many people might starve without foodstamps while you are doing this.

      Anyway, a good start would be to force our politicians to keep all wars IN the budget. Iraq and Afganistan are staying outside of the budget in "emergency appropriations" or whatever they are called.

      That is why this is called a fiscal cliff and not just a budget shortfall. Cutting the budget by 50% and increasing taxes simultaneously still won't solve the current problems.

      I hate to be cruel here, but people are going to need to starve if they can't survive without food stamps, the troops will need to come home from not just Iraq and Afghanistan but also from Japan, Germany, Italy, and South Korea too. Highway construction will need to stop, and perhaps even the US Postal Service will need to be eliminated as well. A hard re-thinking of what the real priorities of what the government should be actually doing may need to happen.

      This might have been solved by a more gradual paring down of expenses in the past, but that time has come and gone. Congress was busy spending like there was no tomorrow, and now the sobering reality is that tomorrow is now today and the bills are due with no money left in the bank and maxed out lines of credit. Printing money (what the federal government currently is doing to "solve" this problem at the moment) only causes inflation. That is the next shoe to drop, and IMHO the only real option left and not a very good option at that.

    31. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by rastoboy29 · · Score: 1

      I looked at your link.  I see no evidence for this claim of $200 trillion.  Do you have it?

    32. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by nedlohs · · Score: 2

      If you run a deficit during growth years then you are ignoring what "Keynes taught us", you can't just grab the one bit you happen to like.

      It is not inevitable that deficit to GDP stabilizes, numerous countries have collapsed in the past rather than stabilizing. With collapse meaning many things from people starving to standards of living plummeting to civil war.

      And somehow the country that was probably worst affected by that financial crisis and has best fixed things up - Iceland - went the austerity route. It cut government spending by a massive amount in real terms.

    33. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      How do you really get that "increased revenue"?

      The money simply isn't there. Those you are trying to claim are not paying taxes simply will quit working altogether.

      Go ahead, close loopholes, simplify the tax code so we can put thousands of accountants and lawyers out of work. I'd love that as a realistic solution as those accountants and lawyers could be put to work doing more productive things in our economy. But claiming that all you need to do is to confiscate at the point of a gun more money from those who are already tired of paying too much money into people who would steal from them isn't going to work.

      Raising taxes is only going to screw things up even worse.

      I do agree that there are some people who game the system and somehow weasel their way out of paying "their fair share of taxes". Some of those loopholes are deliberate though as it was tax policy (and a whole bunch of lobbying in the halls of Congress and state legislatures in the form of *cough* bribes [called campaign contributions]) to put them into place, but that is how the tax system is set up. If you don't like loopholes, push for and encourage tax code simplification where the whole tax law can be on a couple pieces of paper in understandable English.

      Regardless, enough people are already paying taxes that closing those loopholes is going to be minor and insignificant... and in fact those "loopholes" are what gives already high tax rates some sanity.

      Besides, is it really the point of government to be maximizing tax revenue at all?

      I would dare say if you are younger than 70, you likely don't know what real austerity actually is. Perhaps some people in eastern Europe know, but not in North America or western Europe.

    34. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Other businesses really don't care who owns the company... at least if they follow the typical corporate charter of "maximizing profit and increasing shareholder equity". Such agreements, if they were not mandated by the government, would actually be contrary to the principles of the corporate charter and could be grounds for dismissal of the corporate executives who engage in such contracts.

      That there may be some people running businesses that show some prejudice toward some ethnic, gender, skin color, sexual preference, or other sort of arbitrary standard that has nothing to do with making a profit, a business which doesn't care about such things and simply finds people who can efficiently do their job tends to be the business which maximizes its profit... aka is the one growing and returning more revenue for its shareholders.

      The point of the grandparent post is that the government can and does screw that up a whole bunch. Perhaps that is good for "society", as government doesn't have the same kind of charter as private businesses, but that is a political debate and not one based upon economics and how a company is managed.

    35. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by avandesande · · Score: 2

      Can you cite a historical instance to support your position? Is there a civilization that has ever successfully borrowed themselves to prosperity?

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    36. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      I know the answer to why private sector employees don't get better benefits-- employers can't afford it. Employers pay 7.5% to Social Security, and we also provide 5% as an employer match to 401k. That is about the ceiling of what you can provide, and only that much when the long-term risk is shifted away from the employer. Pensions worked because it shifted responsibility down the road, but I would be curious to find statistics on what percentage are actually paid by employers rather than through bailout insurance, etc.

      Our overhead costs are about 70-75% of per-employee salary, which is pretty typical of most organizations I have worked for. Our revenue per employee is about 2-2.5x salary; under ideal conditions it hits 3x. That puts you at about a 12.5% gross profit margin.

      To actually fund a pension plan, you would need to set aside about 12-15% of salary for 40 years, which would leave you with a 5-6% profit margin and huge long term liabilities. Not much of an incentive to hire anybody.

    37. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by littlewink · · Score: 1

      "The budget cut argument is nothing more than a mechanism to transfer wealth to the rich. ... To the rest of us it causes nothing but harm."

      More massive government spending in support of housing, mortgage banking, infrastructure development will also transfer wealth to the rich - but do it faster.

      Don't buy into the "We need to spend." argument. Throwing money at a problem will not cure it, not even a fiscal problem.

    38. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      That used to be the case. Now government employees make quite comparable wages to the private sector in general terms. It is public information; I would suggest taking a look.

    39. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Bananenrepublik · · Score: 1

      If you think you can explain the results away by gerrymandering, I'm not buying it. You can't wave away the validity of the results that easily. There have been huge changes in the House overnight in the past; notable 1994. That election it went from 258-176D to 230-204R. Gerrymandering is as old as the hills, but it didn't "work" that time.

      Of course gerrymandering cannot explain all of the results, and Democrats do it too, but Democrats won the popular vote and still in terms of seats they are behind by a 15% margin. To explain how this can happen, see two of the most egregious examples:

      Ohio: 53:47 Rep:Dem in terms of votes, 11:3 seats (i.e. 79:21 percent of seats)
      Wisconsin: 48:51 Rep:Dem in terms of votes, 6:4 seats (i.e. 60:40 percent of seats)
      Pennsylvania was also bad, but I don't have the numbers around any longer.

      "Correcting" the results from OH (7:7 seats, say) and WI (4:6 seats, say) shrinks the republican majority by a third. Now imagine that voters don't vote in elections where the result is predetermined (why go there anyway?), and you see how badly gerrymandering affects the legitimacy of elections.

    40. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Congress does; yet - gee - the same electorate returned who returned Obama also returned a Republican majority in the all important House of Representatives.

      Fun fact about that: More people voted for a Democratic congressman than a Republican congressman. The entire House Republican majority is due to gerrymandering, because key state legislatures were controlled by Republicans from 2010-2012 (Democratic legislatures given the same opportunity would probably do the same thing).

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    41. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      The US government does not need to cut its budget by 3%. It needs to cut its budget by 50% or more. Many programs and federal departments need eliminated entirely. It's not even about the $16 Trillion debt. If the government ran honest accounts, it's about the $200 Trillion debt.

      Or what? The sky will fall in and the US will go bankrupt? Civilisation will cease?

      You've been fed the biggest, most damaging lie of the last four years, which is government debt works the same as personal household debt. It doesn't.

      Deficits aren't the issue here. They go up, they go down, they have always been with us and always will be. That is the nature of the beast. Keynes taught us that deficits are structural, and more or less look after themselves. The key is to keep growth as high as possible. That means investment and government spending during bad runs. Eventually, the ratio of deficit to GDP stabalises. This happened here in the UK post 1945, where government spending hit something like 70% of GDP. The sky didn't fall in then, and it sure as hell won't now.

      The US is recovering a shedload faster than the Eurozone and the UK because so far it hasn't bought into the austerity argument. Austerity will do nothing except destroy the fragile recovery. The austerity idea that the private sector will bridge public sector spending cuts is an outright lie.

      The budget cut argument is nothing more than a mechanism to transfer wealth to the rich. It is their argument and their ideas that you are parroting, for their benefit. To the rest of us it causes nothing but harm.

      Tell that to the Greeks? Your own Margret Thatcher has a quote. Socialism only works until you run out of other peoples money. The US is over 100% GDP and Greece was 130% when all hell broke loose.

    42. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by DeadCatX2 · · Score: 1

      The President doesn't have the AUTHORITY to change the tax structure

      I totally agree with you, the executive doesn't have the constitutional authority to change taxes or issue budgets. So I wonder, why is the Speaker of the House begging Obama to do all of the hard work for his caucus?

      http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/09/days-after-victory-obama-faces-fiscal-cliff-as-budget-office-warns-recession/

      House Speaker John Boehner on Friday put the ball in President Obama's court over the so-called "fiscal cliff," calling on the president to step up with a solution to avert the double-whammy of spending cuts and tax hikes that threatens to trigger another recession.

      ---

      the same electorate returned who returned Obama also returned a Republican majority in the all important House of Representatives.

      As others have mentioned, many state legislatures gerrymandered the ever loving shit out of state districts, packing as many Democrats as possible into a single district that is usually won in excess of 70%, and then spreading the rest of the Democrats thinly enough in other districts that the Republicans will still win.

      For example, Obama absolutely crushed Romney in PA, yet only 5 of the 18 districts went for Democrats. Obama also won Ohio, not by as much but he still won, and yet Democrats only won 4 of the 16 districts.

      http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/11/07/how_ridiculous_gerrymanders_saved_the_house_republican_majority.html

      In fact, more people voted for Democratic representatives in the House than Republican representatives. The actual popular vote figure across the country is 48.8% Democrat, 48.5% Republican - and yet the GOP still has a 30+ advantage.

      http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/11/09/democratic-house-candidates-winning-the-popular-vote-despite-big-gop-majority/

      --
      :(){ :|:& };:
    43. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      Ok so what would happen if Greece and Spain did not agree to austerity?

      What would happen next would make the 1930s look like child play. The countries would collapse! Then the banks would collapse! THen peoples savings would be gone. I would let you use your imagination what Europe would look like next. A hint it would not be Europe anymore. It would be a bunch of tribes with no money or jobs rioting and warlords trying to take any resource it can find for its people. Unless you expect the military and governments in the EU to work for free? Actually if they got paid it wouldn't matter as the currency would be worth nothing as no bank would exist etc.

      That is economics and finance 101. That money belongs to everyone else in forms of debt that get hot potatotoed to each other. One someone drops the potato everyone losses their capital.

      So yes debt does matter and it MUST BE paid off!

    44. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      You want to see a depression? I mean a REAL DEPRESSION.

      Just sit and wait and do nothing like we are now then. We are much larger than Greece.

      Before you point to Greece as the soul reason why austerity doesn't work, ask yourself why are they doing it? The answer is because they didn't do it sooner. FYI state goverments have cut trillions of GDP in the last few years. Yet we are recovering and the great recession has been over for 2 years. What is happening now is the most recent unemployed have all been state workers as their constitutions prohibit deficits. It is now time for the federal government to do its part.

      No we can't keep on spending other peoples money! If it becomes so big a point will happen where the investors will get jumpy and want their returns back. Then what? Oops we can't pay them as we use other debt to pay for existing debt. That is what happened with Greece and Spain.

      It is never a good time to cut jobs and raise taxes but now is the perfect time. Jobs are coming back, GDP is growing, and it wont get any better as too much debt both public and private is preventing any real recovery anyway. So fix the debt and the problem goes away.

    45. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Jessified · · Score: 1

      It sounds so callous when you put it like that.

      "I'd like to buy two wars please."

      "I'm sorry, sir, but it looks like you only have enough money for one."

      "Aww fine. I'll put the other one on my Christmas wishlist."

    46. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Kjella · · Score: 1

      Keynes taught us that deficits are structural, and more or less look after themselves.The key is to keep growth as high as possible.

      And how exactly do you do that when the main reason investors are fleeing are doubts about your solvency? You're correctly identifying one evil circle - spending cuts leads to tax income cuts and unemployment so you need more spending cuts - but the other evil circle is spending increases leading to more investors fleeing leading to an even more tanking economy so you need even more spending increases. Greece is so neck deep in debt they can not afford to pay interest, who do you think will extend them credit to spend more now?

      That means investment and government spending during bad runs.

      Yes, but it requires that the government hasn't maxed its credit cards in the good times when banks were willing and the interests low. If you've had the pedal to the metal the whole time you have no reserves, no extras and you can either drive straight off the cliff or hit the emergency brake at 200 mph for equally disastrous results. Greece hit the emergency brakes then crashed and burned, those that didn't now say "well that was the wrong choice" but that's assuming there was a right one. I'd say the jury is still out on that one.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    47. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      That is why resistance to fiscal discipline (which was already agreed prior to the Euro) is stupid and engravates the crisis of these nations, nations which anyway wont jump off the cliff.

    48. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      Cut it by 0 and the bankers won't loan us anymore money. The US is about to be downgraded again by Fitch unless something passes!

      Austerity works as it is the only thing keeping a global collapse right now. Investors are not going to be buying treasuries unless they know they will see their money again.

      It has been stated time and time again government does not create jobs. Only takes away. Same is true with tax cuts. They do not create jobs neither. Economists point to for every job created 1.2 to 2 jobs are destroyed depending on which mathematical model you use.

      We should be in boom times with all this government spending right! We are not. Japan has 150% GDP to assets ratio and experienced a loss decade. Sony is prompted by the government and so is every grocery store chain. Do you see HUGE economic rivals NO. It is the lost decade.

      You need demand. Debt makes the situation worse as it is safer for investors to invest in bonds than the private sector. Eventually what will happen is even that will no longer be viewed safe like in Greece and investors will just horde their cash and buy gold. Wait, that is happening right now!

      Pay back the debt and the markets will be flooded with excess capital to invest in the private sector again and people who are savers will have more disposable income again to buy things. Right now debt and 0% interest rates encourages people to hold on to what they have.

    49. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by kqs · · Score: 1

      Census lines are drawn up state-by-state, and both parties play the gerrymandering game, but yes, the Republican state congresses are far better at it than the Dems and have drawn districts to be insanely in their favor. Because you can best prove your patriotism by designing the system to ignore the will of the voters.

    50. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Actually the budget needs to be cut by 0%. Austerity has failed horribly in Europe

      Indeed, right when a recessed economy is getting back on its feet is no time for government cutbacks. As you say, generating jobs is the answer. Nor should we raise taxes on anyone whose tax rates will have an effect on their spending; i.e., tax the top 2% as much as you want, but leave the rest of us alone. If my taxes go up, I can't afford to spend as much, but if Warren Buffet's taxes go up it won't affect his spending or investment in the least. He has an insightful quote in a NY Times piece:

      SUPPOSE that an investor you admire and trust comes to you with an investment idea. âoeThis is a good one,â he says enthusiastically. âoeIâ(TM)m in it, and I think you should be, too.â

      Would your reply possibly be this? âoeWell, it all depends on what my tax rate will be on the gain youâ(TM)re saying weâ(TM)re going to make. If the taxes are too high, I would rather leave the money in my savings account, earning a quarter of 1 percent.â Only in Grover Norquistâ(TM)s imagination does such a response exist.

      Between 1951 and 1954, when the capital gains rate was 25 percent and marginal rates on dividends reached 91 percent in extreme cases, I sold securities and did pretty well. In the years from 1956 to 1969, the top marginal rate fell modestly, but was still a lofty 70 percent â" and the tax rate on capital gains inched up to 27.5 percent. I was managing funds for investors then. Never did anyone mention taxes as a reason to forgo an investment opportunity that I offered.

      Under those burdensome rates, moreover, both employment and the gross domestic product (a measure of the nationâ(TM)s economic output) increased at a rapid clip. The middle class and the rich alike gained ground.

    51. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Keynes taught us that deficits are structural, and more or less look after themselves.

      Keynes wrote a book containing an argument (that many economists, but not all, disagree with). Keynes certainly did not provide data to back up his hypothesis in a scientific fashion.

      The big question about government debt is when does it get to be too much? It will be too much when government debt buyers decide that the government will become unable to pay back the debt in the future without default (including inflation). This in large part depends on future private growth of GDP, which in turn a constant government tax rate turns into rising government revenue.

      Post-WWII era US and UK were economies mending from the blows of the Great Depression and WWII. Everyone believed that the countries would be able to make use of the peace to have significant private GDP growth.

      The question is whether the US today has the same opportunity for significant private growth as it did post-WWII. Some would argue that our economy is now too regulated, has too few highly-skilled workers, has too little legal immigration, and other reasons why private economic growth might never return to above 3% levels. I believe we could work on many of the causes.

      Getting back to maximum debt levels, clearly many investors decided that Greece did not gave the capability of private economic growth required to pay off their debt, and thus Greece's borrowing costs went up dramatically.

      "Austerity" is a silly term. Money spent by a government, although it shows up in total GDP, does not represent a true investment in capital that would raise future growth. A new road may be an investment, but its payback time could be so long that it actually has a negative NPV. Taxing a productive person in the middle of their life so that a non-poor retired person can receive Social Security may also be a negative investment (due to the deadweight loss of taxation).

      One should also consider Keynesian economist Robert Samuelson's writing in "Full Employment after the War," in S.E. Harris, ed., Postwar Economic Problems, 1943:

      When this war comes to an end, more than one out of every two workers will depend directly or indirectly upon military orders. We shall have some 10 million service men to throw on the labor market. We shall have to face a difficult reconversion period during which current goods cannot be produced and layoffs may be great. Nor will the technical necessity for reconversion necessarily generate much investment outlay in the critical period under discussion whatever its later potentialities. The final conclusion to be drawn from our experience at the end of the last war is inescapable--were the war to end suddenly within the next 6 months, were we again planning to wind up our war effort in the greatest haste, to demobilize our armed forces, to liquidate price controls, to shift from astronomical deficits to even the large deficits of the thirties--then there would be ushered in the greatest period of unemployment and industrial dislocation which any economy has ever faced.

      Well, it turned out that despite the massive decrease in US government spending after WWII, the private economy was ready to come back and did replace the government spending, and lead to significant private and total GDP growth.

    52. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by TheSync · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Here is the deal: According to the Tax Policy Center, if we cap itemized deductions at $50,000 and keep tax rates as they are today, we would raise $749 billion in tax revenue over ten years.

      Moreover, according to the TPC's distribution table, 96.2% of the extra revenue would come from the top quintile, with 79.9% from the top one percent.

    53. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Greece, Italy, and Spain would not be in trouble if they stayed out of the zone

      So imagine Greece inflated its currency to pay off its debts...

      1) It would still become more expensive for Greece to borrow because bond buyers aren't dumb, they will want the extra return to make up for the inflation, and in fact they will be spooked by significant inflation because they may think it could lead to hyper-inflation.

      2) If domestic spending remained at current levels, it means real domestic spending decreasing, the same thing as decreasing today's nominal, non-inflated currency, so the unions would be out on the streets anyway.

      3) Unless current domestic spending is inflation-protected (which I suspect but can't confirm), thus it would mean even more nominal spending at inflated values, which Greece can't afford either.

      You can't print yourself real money. A politician may be able to sell inflated currency to his/her people better than non-inflated currency spending cuts, but it is the same thing in real terms.

      When butter is $100 per stick and government employees are still paid at $20/hour, people will notice.

    54. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      Then what is your solution then?

      I gave a likely answer if we continue the norm and not care. Your savings will be gone and so will your employers revenue which they keep in a now bankrupted bank. You will be out of a job and have no money as will 90% of the population with it. That is not extreme at all as debt uses other debt as co-lateral creating a so called falling domino effect.

      You can't put a gun and force banks to buy back these scary Greek bonds. The interest covered would go up again where more debt would be required just for the minimium payment. See the problem?

      Austerity a failure? More like a savior as the alternative could be far far worse. If you are a Europen go to wikipedia and search "The Great Depression" or 1929 stock market crash? These hurt Americans more but it was the same problem in the private sector. Debt in which was paid for by more debt. 30,000 American banks failed in the 1930s! It took 15 years before Americans were employed again. That my friend is what the Eurozone will start turning into FAST once the bank failures start.

    55. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      The trick is to lower the interest rates, the borrowing costs. That means you need a system of fiscal discipline. Then you could pour money into the nation and quickly resolve the issues.

    56. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that Warren Buffet has a lot of unrealized equity gain. That greatly reduces his tax burden even if we take heed of his tax advice and raise taxes on the wealthy. And keep in mind the unspoken alternative: you think it's a great idea and implement it in a country with cheaper labor and more generous taxation policies.

    57. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Cutting the budget by 50% and increasing taxes simultaneously still won't solve the current problems.

      Actually, that would fix the US government deficit problem and go a long way towards fixing the US government liability problem. Not that it'll ever be on the table.

    58. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Teancum · · Score: 1

      This organization, the Tax Policy Center, is making the assumption that those people who will be taxed will actually have that money available to be put into the treasury instead of working to find other ways to avoid paying those taxes... including simply not working at all or cutting back on their pay in lieu of other forms of payment.

      It is a nice fiction here, but I think reality would bite this off by quite a bit. It would take some time for people to adjust to the new tax rules, so for the first few years of such a plan there is no doubt that people would pay the tax rather than do the "alternative payments" in various ways (off shore accounts, perks of various kinds, stock instead of wages, and other ways to get around even the new rules.

      This is playing whack-a-mole in terms of trying to close loopholes, not to mention huge payments that would be made to political campaigns to poke holes in any such plan that would be rendered useless anyway. As a practical matter, it wouldn't happen regardless of popular support, and if it was actually enacted there would still be ways around this sort of cap.

      In the long run, especially with closed loopholes, most millionaires would simply stop working and stop investing. They would take their pile of money they earned previously and just kick back and bide their time encouraging their kids and grandchildren to simply leave America altogether with as much of their money as they can take across the border to elsewhere.

    59. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by chrismcb · · Score: 1

      And how is that statement in conflict with the OPs statement?
      In the private sector no one cares who owns the company... unless you are dealing with government contracts. You claim that a number of private enterprises are bound by one agreement or another... Where do you think those agreements originate?

    60. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by hawkingradiation · · Score: 1

      A lack of tax cuts doesn't seem to negatively affect the economy and since we have to either raise revenue or cut services, which will have a corresponding circular effect of giving people less money to spend , and so on, generating more revenue i.e. taxes seems to be the best option. Besides isn't that how most corporations have been run to into the ground in the US, by cutting expenses instead of a focus on generating new revenue?

      --
      Society use your Sciences
    61. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      ...also returned a Republican majority in the all important House of Representatives.

      That was largely because of gerrymandering. There were 549,597 more votes cast for Democratic Representatives (50.26%) than Republican Representatives (49.74%) around the nation in the recent election out or 107,354,883 votes cast. If the house were apportioned by party vote it would essentially be split 50-50.

    62. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by tehcyder · · Score: 1

      I hate to be cruel here, but people are going to need to starve if they can't survive without food stamps

      Once a significant number people are literally dying of starvation in the world's richest and most powerful country, you will soon get to know what real revolution is about. Despite the warped priorities of most slashdotters, it's not copyright or anti-privacy laws that will get people onto the streets and attacking the rich with a variety of the easily available firearms in your country, it's the lack of something to eat.

      --
      To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
    63. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by fearofcarpet · · Score: 1

      From TFA: "1,082,370 U.S. citizens employed in the life sciences, such as biology and genetics, as well as physical and social sciences. Of these, approximately 31,000"

      Wow, those are some massive cuts. An entire whopping 3% of the people may lose their jobs!

      People just don't get it. The US government does not need to cut its budget by 3%. It needs to cut its budget by 50% or more. Many programs and federal departments need eliminated entirely. It's not even about the $16 Trillion debt. If the government ran honest accounts, it's about the $200 Trillion debt.

      Don't worry, citizens of America. That's only some $650,000 per person that the government has borrowed on behalf of each and every one of you. No problem, right?

      Not all, but many of those 1,082,370 US citizens invested about a decade in their education before entering these fields. (I am a physical scientist and for me it took 12 years of education before I could enter the work force.) When you put pressure on people willing to devote that much effort into education just to prepare for a job, you will create a brain drain. So much of the remarkable leaps in science and technology in the US during the 20th Century were the result of reverse brain drain where, for example, soviet countries weren't willing to invest in science, driving their best and brightest to the US. Also, in this case "lose their jobs" does not mean the same thing as it would to, for example, a software engineer. When Apple cuts back its work force, people lose their jobs at Apple, and then find employment elsewhere. When you gut research funding, people lose their jobs, period. They are then forced to compete in other fields where they are 1) over-qualified (on paper), 2) competing with people much younger (the decade of education), 3) paid less, and 4) wasting the decade of education that was in all likelihood partially funded by taxpayer dollars to begin with. And, over time, the result will be fewer new technologies, less innovation, and less economic activity that would otherwise have been derived from said technologies and innovation. The ROI of government research dollars over time beats anything Wall St can cook up. For an obvious example, look at what the space program did for plastics, composites, and other "space age materials." The materials in Tiger Woods' driver got their start with government investments in research 50+ years ago.

      The US government absolutely does not need to cut its budget by 50% or more, that assertion is unadulterated lunacy. First of all, it would induce a total economic collapse from which the country would never recover. Think of the downstream job losses just from the defense contractors that would go out of business. Second, the government needs to reduce the difference between revenue and spending, which can happen by increasing revenues (in the form of increased economic activity or higher taxes/fees/tariffs/etc) and/or by cutting spending. Also, "borrowing on behalf of each and every one you" is an intellectually dishonest over-simplification of what sovereign debt actually means in the post gold-standard era. The economy is debt-driven; without fractional reserve lending and other debt-creation processes there would be no capital with which to drive the economic engine. The discussion should be over what is a healthy ratio of debt to economic activity.

      --
      Actually, I wrote my thesis on life experience.
    64. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by quenda · · Score: 1

      1) It would still become more expensive for Greece to borrow because bond buyers aren't dumb,

      Then how do you explain people buying US T-Bonds at such low yields?

    65. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that Warren Buffet has a lot of unrealized equity gain.

      Yes, and I would abolish capital gains taxes and tax capital gais as income. The 15% CGT is an abomination.

      And keep in mind the unspoken alternative: you think it's a great idea and implement it in a country with cheaper labor and more generous taxation policies.

      Which are only a part of profits. If your workforce is more productive it offsets taxes and cheaper, less productive labor. Also is regulation -- move your operations to Bangladesh and you can burn a hundred people to death with impunity, move to China and you can pollute to your heart's content. I was alive before the EPA was established, you can't believe how toxic the air was back then. You couldn't fish in most lakes they were so dirty, and rivers actually caught fire from the pollution. Let India and China have the industries run by unpatriotic sociopaths that don't mind killing people.

    66. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by TheSync · · Score: 1

      This organization, the Tax Policy Center, is making the assumption that those people who will be taxed will actually have that money available to be put into the treasury instead of working to find other ways to avoid paying those taxes... including simply not working at all or cutting back on their pay in lieu of other forms of payment

      What would happen with deduction limitation is that there would be a reduction in loophole-preferred private spending, such as financing very large houses with debt (mortgage interest deduction), and charitable spending.

      The economic effects of deduction limitations would be very different than an increase in the marginal tax rate on labor or investment income (the latter would specifically make labor or investment less attractive).

      Don't get me wrong - deduction limitation is only part of the solution. Gradually but significantly raising the age of eligibility for Social Security and Medicare would need to occur as well. And maybe we should have fewer useless wars.

    67. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Then how do you explain people buying US T-Bonds at such low yields?

      The US is not expanding the total money supply much (at the "M3" level). Although the Fed is buying securities and pumping out money in that way, the Fed is also paying interest on excess reserves of banks held at the Fed, and banks are keeping most of their money at the Fed or on bonds.

      Thus little of the new Fed produced money is making it into bank loans (which is the most "high powered" money through multiplications of money loaned out, then loaned out again, etc.) Loans are tough to get right now and not many are being made.

      Thus US inflation is under control (for now).

      The long-term fiscal situation of the US government is not sustainable under current law, but I believe that most US government security buyers believe that the 14th Amendment will be held up with regards to payment of government debt.

      There is also plenty of wealth in the US to still tax if push came to shove (compared to Greece for example). US future entitlement problems are easy to fix in theory, and the political forces in the US are far more likely to solve them than say the political forces in continental European countries.

      But the truth is that as of March, the Fed was buying 61% of new US debt, so perhaps that is part of the reason for low rates as well...

    68. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by highphilosopher · · Score: 1

      Never trust any organization with the word Tax in their name.

      Either way, as a not-in-the-top-quintile person, I'd rather your didn't tax them more. Let's try leveling the playing field alittle bit. Here's a thought. Instead of spreading the wealth around, let's spread the tax burden around.

      The only reason politicians want to tax the rich is that it's a smaller portion of their base. If they raised taxes on the middle and lower classes, we'd put them out of office.

    69. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by Hatta · · Score: 1

      Are you suggesting the US just eliminate these organizations

      Yes.

      The problem is that regulations were written to benefit the largest and most politically influential banks.

      The answer is not deregulation, but better regulation.

      Solar energy subsidies dwarf the above by near orders of magnitude. Do you think those subsidies should cease as well?

      No, because Solar is not an established industry.

      We could do the above for the common good, but it is not enough *significantly* cut taxes.

      We don't need to cut taxes. Taxes are at historical lows, and the economy has boomed under much higher tax rates. Taxes should be, at a minimum, what they were under Clinton.

      Apparently Bertrand Russell was a fool. Who knew?

      The only foolish part of his statement was limiting it to Christians. It's not just the Christian religion, not just religion in general, but magical thinking that is prevents progress.

      --
      Give me Classic Slashdot or give me death!
    70. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by hawkfish · · Score: 1

      Yes, the Representatives are not a single unit. So? They are 435 individual units, and every single one of those units stands for re-election every two years. The races are just as competitive as the electorate wants them to be. If you think you can explain the results away by gerrymandering, I'm not buying it. You can't wave away the validity of the results that easily. There have been huge changes in the House overnight in the past; notable 1994. That election it went from 258-176D to 230-204R. Gerrymandering is as old as the hills, but it didn't "work" that time.

      And yet the GOP lost the popular vote in the house. Kind of hard to turn that into a 30 seat majority without a little ah "help", no?

      --
      You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
    71. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Government employees toward the lower end of the wage scale do make pretty good wages compared to the private sector but as you get toward the higher end that's not so true. Compare what a private practice lawyer can make compared to a government lawyer for instance. The President only makes something like $400,000/year. The President/CEO of a huge private company generally makes at least 10's of millions of dollars.

    72. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Not that much in the grand scheme of things.

    73. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Rome died, but civilization didn't.

      It took about a millennium for most of the regions that made up the former Roman empire to reach the sort of achievements that Romans took for granted such as public sanitation.

      But governments aren't individuals. There is no inherent goodness to ensuring its continued existence (especially if you buy into the extreme libertarian position that government is evil and can do no good). Being attached to particular governments is nationalism and patriotism. It's petty irrational emotional attachment.

      It's not being stupid. Government like anything else is infrastructure. If the infrastructure has negative value, say because the government is oriented towards enslaving and killing you, then sure, ending the government has net benefit. But deliberately accumulating debt and dissolving a government in order to avoid paying that debt is just a rather destructive form of default and already fits into the "personal household debt" model in the case where the person burns the house down in a murder-suicide.

      One doesn't need "irrational emotional attachment" to avoid patently stupid and self-destructive behavior.

      No, the end result is not the same. If a private household (individual) collapses, there's no replacement.

      Sure, there is. Bankruptcy is the way.

      Sticks and stones man. History backs Keynes up. All the great empires, empires that accomplish things worth writing about, tried to keep growth high. Climb over a mountain of corpses if you have to (Empires often did). Even if the mountain collapses and you come crashing down after, the important thing is to aim higher and higher.

      Well, then start naming examples. As I see it, Keynesian economics is just a fad of the 1930s that continues to be political useful because it rationalizes unsupervised public spending. And for the record, I already consider the empires that collapsed by "aiming higher and higher" to be counterexamples to your lofty, but fatuous idealism.

      Businesses should operate the same way. Just replace "growth" with "profit". There is no such thing as not enough profit. Always push for more. Push and push until you cannot push no more. If the business collapses, close it down and start again. Likewise, if government collapses, just start a new government.

      Business should "operate" the same way even if that means considerable loss of profit? I'd like to subscribe to your newsletter.

      No, there is tremendous long term benefit. Again, governments come and go. Austerity is driven by an emotional attachment to keeping one particular government (or set of political parties - the Ds and Rs in this case), prolonging it instead of letting it fail gracefully so a new - and better - government can replace it.

      I get the impression you think that getting a new government is like peeling a few more sheets off a roll of toilet paper. When one changes a government, there is squandering of infrastructure, wealth, and often lives. How does that advance your economy? At the very least, all that debt is defaulted on and the lenders get screwed. There is no "graceful failure".

    74. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by khallow · · Score: 1

      If your workforce is more productive it offsets taxes and cheaper, less productive labor.

      Well, what makes US labor more productive? It's not the massive costs and regulations that the US has put on employing people. Fair taxation and less inequity doesn't do it either.

      I was alive before the EPA was established, you can't believe how toxic the air was back then.

      Or how much the US economy grew before the days of the EPA?

      Let India and China have the industries run by unpatriotic sociopaths that don't mind killing people.

      In other words, let India and China have the future.

    75. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      The crossover point is actually pretty high though. I did a few comparisons for UC Davis "professional" categories that I knew private sector equivalents, and the government positions were generous up through $275-300k. Above that, sure you can make more in the private sector, but we are talking about how many total positions-- 0.5%? At that level, you work for government for different reasons than salary or retirement benefits.

    76. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Government is not a luxury, it's a necessity. If the government is weak or non-existent then before too long you will have warlords and other strongmen enforcing their own form of authority on the majority of the population. Anarchy is a nice ideal but it presumes that enough people buy into it and work effectively to make it viable. I don't think that can ever happen.

    77. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I suspect that the UC system is a bit more generous than most but ok. I was thinking more in terms of the management, legal and financial types than PhD scientists.

    78. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Or how much the US economy grew before the days of the EPA?

      Ever hear of the great depression? Ever hear of the Eisenhower recession? Ever hear of the Clinton boom? Apparently not. From the end of WWII to the start of the EPA, half of that time we were in recession. The economy didn't grow much at all under Eisenhower.

      In other words, let India and China have the future.

      The future does you no good if you've been burned up in a fire. The future is bleak if you're working 12 hours a day, seven days a week, in sweatshop conditions. But I agree, the future FOR THE RICH is much brighter in those countries.

    79. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? by rastoboy29 · · Score: 1

      Yeah but...that's like for forever, for the rest of the century or something.  It totally ignores the fact that the gov't will have more income as well.

      It's as if everyone in the country demanded all their Social Security checks all at once, even at age 20.  Certainly that's nonsense?

      Looks to me like an author making a sensational claim to sell books.

  3. Decline of western civilisation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    "The Wire is the story of the decline of western civilisation... disguised as a cop show" - David Simon
    The Ascent of Man (credited as the inspiration for Carl Sagan's Cosmos) discusses this from a scientific perspective.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYq4p3z_WXA

    Civilisations rise and fall, it"s a sad fact, We must strive to preserve the light of knowledge for future generations who
    might actually appreciate and choose to do good with it.

    1. Re:Decline of western civilisation by Smivs · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We are not witnessing the decline of Western Civilisation, what we are seeing is the decline of a once-great Nation that has badly lost its way.
      The financial problems of the US (and consequently the rest of the World) were caused by greed and stupidity - banks lending too much money to people who had no realistic prospect of paying off the loans, which in turn became 'toxic' debts.
      The US has also got itself into the ridiculous situation of pissing-off half the World and as a result is now commited to spending un-sustainable ammounts of money on the Military.
      As for science and science spending (which this thread is supposed to be about), well what do you expect. In a Nation where it seems half the population don't believe in Global Warming and the other half don't believe in Evolution, and science/technology is based on patenting curved corners then profiting from the resultant litigation, what chance does 'real' science stand?

    2. Re:Decline of western civilisation by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      Real science probably won't prosper by funding. I found the US arctic station very interesting.

  4. Right idea, wrong target by TheDarkMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The problem is not the cut itself, but where the cut is being made. Remember news reports that the U.S. government spends more on air conditioning for troops in Afghanistan than the entire budget of NASA?

    Does not that then suggests that the government should cut back on military spending? But no, they prefer to cut NASA's budget. After the priority is to blow people and clog the banksters with money.

    --
    Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
    1. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Mitreya · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Does not that then suggests that the government should cut back on military spending? But no, they prefer to cut NASA's budget. After the priority is to blow people and clog the banksters with money.

      Don't forget the TSA monstrosity that has done absolutely nothing to stop a single terrorist in 11 years (and counting). That's an easy place to start cutting.

      Also, much of the Iraq/Afganistan war spending was funded through "supplementary spending" bills, thus these expenses were never in the budget to begin with! Clever, n'est pas?

    2. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Solandri · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Please, for a moment put aside everything you hear your peers say and ask yourself with an open mind: "what if military spending isn't the problem?" Read the link. The vast majority of the $200 trillion is unfunded entitlements (net difference between estimated outlays vs receipts).

      This matches with what the Congressional Budget Office reports have been saying for 12 years now. Social Security and especially Medicare/Medicaid are driving us to bankruptcy. That's not saying we have to get rid of them, but they need to be seriously overhauled to keep their costs within realistic levels (e.g. raise retirement/benefit ages to keep pace with life expectancy).

      Military spending is a red herring. Yes it can be cut. But even if we completely eliminated it we'd still be on a path to bankruptcy due to the above entitlements. The only route to fiscal solvency is entitlement reform. The longer people refuse to listen to what the CBO has been telling us for over a decade because it's inconvenient to their political ideology, the worse it will get.

    3. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Seeteufel · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Look at the data, what ratio of military spending per citizen different nations afford. Compare the US military budget with China. Universal healthcare is common in all Occidental nations, for more than 100 years. It didn't get them bankrupt so far. (*)

      On the other hand the soviet union overspent on the military side which lead to its bankruptcy and collapse.The fact is that military spending it Keynesianism, it injects money into the economy and keep people employed and busy. Military does also not interfere with the normal market as citizens tend to buy no tanks.

      It is also well known that entering WWII spent the US out of the Great depression, war keynesianism that is.

      (*) in fact is demonstrates the lack of cohesion and ethnic union in US society that makes difficult to build the solidarity to support universal healthcare protection.

    4. Re:Right idea, wrong target by fustakrakich · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Jesus! That Wall Street jizz tastes mighty good, doesn't it? Those 'entitlements' were fully funded before the banks robbed them blind to finance their stock market fraud. Restore the Pre-Reagan tax rates and make the Federal Reserve stop subsidizing the derivatives markets. Eliminate the social security tax cap. Tell big business to use domestic labor, or lose their corporate charters and tax give-a-ways. Ending the wars is a gimme. Abolish prohibition. These are just some of the ways to put an end to this nonsense.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    5. Re:Right idea, wrong target by prefect42 · · Score: 1

      Add to that war loans to the UK which were actually repaid in full eventually which netted you quite a pretty penny. I'm not complaining here, as I believe the US offered to write those debts off at one point but we declined the offer, and the deal was far from unfair.

      --

      jh

    6. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Trepidity · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's not saying we have to get rid of them, but they need to be seriously overhauled to keep their costs within realistic levels

      Something needs to be done, surely, but I'm not sure it requires lower benefits. I live in Denmark, which has better social programs than the United States, but less debt. Why? Two things mainly: 1) The programs are run much more efficiently, with competent administration by technocrats, and some use of private-sector contracting where appropriate; and 2) taxes are set at a level sufficient to pay for the programs.

    7. Re:Right idea, wrong target by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      How much do you bid for my dragon repelling pebble?

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    8. Re:Right idea, wrong target by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      medicare/medicaid is not universal health care. So the fact that other countries manage to fund universal health care says exactly nothing about whether the US can afford to fund its bizarre setup.

    9. Re:Right idea, wrong target by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      "what if military spending isn't the problem?"

      Yes it can be cut. But even if we completely eliminated it we'd still be on a path to bankruptcy

      Of course it isn't the problem. It's a problem, one of many, the same way that EVERY expense out of the budget is a problem. And every source of income is a (partial) solution.

      And of course we can't simply axe it all. We NEED a military. The same way that we NEED to pay our debts and to educate our young. Doing without would be disastrous.

      Also, I love how foxnews and the old folgies bitch about the "entitlement generation", but the term they decided to use overlaps with the congress's budget entitlements. Which consists mainly of:
      1: Debt. ie, people and nations investing in the USA. And earning interest. By definition, the wealthy.
      2: Social Security. ie, old people. Retiring baby boomers aren't dying at 67 like they used to when they made this system.
      3: Everything else that the wealthy old people want to cut out so they can continue to take their SS check and invest it in bonds.

      But yeah, we'll have to trim back who gets SS. And it'd help a lot of we sorted out the clusterfuck that is our medical system. But it would also help if we trimmed back the military. Duh.

    10. Re:Right idea, wrong target by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Here is a picture that illustrates what you are failing to see. It doesn't matter if we cut military completely, we are still in trouble financially. Also, the picture has gotten worse since that graph was made.

      Fiscally it is impossible to fix our budget problems solely by cutting the military. That's math.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    11. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      How do they calculate figures for 2030 and 2040?

    12. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      The strange thing is that the US are an advanced economy but their health care system does derive from common standards.

    13. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      The level of total debt does not decrease.

    14. Re:Right idea, wrong target by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      We know who is alive now, and how old they are, so we know how many of them will be collecting medicaid by 2030, and 2040.

      Of course it is possible that healthcare costs could go down, or up. You can use that graph as a baseline for inventing other scenarios. If GDP increases dramatically, then the cost won't be a problem.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    15. Re:Right idea, wrong target by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Dang it, switch medicaid with medicare in that first sentence.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    16. Re:Right idea, wrong target by khallow · · Score: 1

      It is also well known that entering WWII spent the US out of the Great depression, war keynesianism that is.

      The "war keynesianism" that reversed a lot of remarkably bad FDR policy such as ending most state enforced oligopolies and curbing the granted powers to labor unions? That "war keynesianism"?

      It's interesting how often "well known" facts aren't actually facts, but myths embraced by one group or another. What I mentioned above is another "well known" interpretation of what happened in the Second World War. A third "well known" interpretation is AC's observation that in the postwar period, the US had the only intact developed world economy.

      And you also commit the error of confusing short term economic activity with long term economic benefit.

      Military does also not interfere with the normal market as citizens tend to buy no tanks.

      Only if you ignore that wealth, resources, and labor devoted to the building of tanks isn't then available for the normal market. A bit of steel put in a tank could have been used for a bridge. An engineer who designs a new tank could have designed a new car for the private world. The wealth from taxes that went to developing, constructing, and maintaining those tanks could have been used for all sorts of private sector activities. The value derived from the tank may well outweigh the alternative uses for what went into that tank. But it would be foolish to ignore that there are opportunity costs for that tank.

    17. Re:Right idea, wrong target by khallow · · Score: 1

      (*) in fact is demonstrates the lack of cohesion and ethnic union in US society that makes difficult to build the solidarity to support universal healthcare protection.

      Ever wonder how that lack of cohesion came about? I'd say it was created through policies such as the current health care changes, which pits groups against each other. You can't have unity in games where defection and non-cooperation is rewarded more than cooperation.

    18. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Loudog · · Score: 1

      Denmark is an awesome place I'm sure. It's also about half the population of the greater San Francisco Bay area, which isn't the largest metro area in the USA. You also have a relatively homogeneous culture (with a strong work ethic) and can't project military power very far beyond your borders (to protect your trade). You could drive anywhere in your country in less than a day.

      Apples != Oranges.

    19. Re:Right idea, wrong target by khallow · · Score: 1

      The secret of medical insurance is to sell it to people who don't actually use it.

      Health care != health insurance.

    20. Re:Right idea, wrong target by highphilosopher · · Score: 1

      So, you're #2 err your #2 (sheesh)

      up to 51% tax plus a 25% VAT?

      Great social programs, but do you have any money left in your pockets?

    21. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      Democracy comes from "demos". It is difficult to socially engineer a "demos".

    22. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      From a Keynesian perspective ideally you have one team that improves roads and a second team that hits holes into the road. "Only if you ignore that wealth, resources, and labor devoted to the building of tanks isn't then available for the normal market." misses the point. In war industrial production is determined by military objectives, a command economy. War keynesians is high public investment in the armed forces and the production of war. That stimulates the economy.

    23. Re:Right idea, wrong target by khallow · · Score: 1

      From a Keynesian perspective ideally you have one team that improves roads and a second team that hits holes into the road.

      In other words, a deeply flawed perspective that ignores a large opportunity cost. Why should we take "war Keynesianism" seriously?

      War keynesians is high public investment in the armed forces and the production of war. That stimulates the economy.

      That tactic simulates to some degree the part of the economy that produces war gear. It doesn't simulate parts of the economy that don't. It's also worth noting that the war part of that particular activity helped kill millions of people and turn Europe and the Far East into rubble.

    24. Re:Right idea, wrong target by khallow · · Score: 1

      It is difficult to socially engineer a "demos".

      And why try when it's not in your interests to do so?

    25. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      War keynesianism, WWII was what took the United States out of the Great Depression. The nazi investment programmes were what put them out of economic crisis.

    26. Re:Right idea, wrong target by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      When a demos exists, it's no real problem to create solidarity within society.

  5. Everything does need to be on the table by fnj · · Score: 2

    Vital, down-and-dirty national spending and revenue decisions have been put off for GENERATIONS. We are staring doom in the face. Can salvation be found solely in science spending? Of course not. But does every single budget item and all tax policies and rates need to be on the table and without any sacred cows? HELL YES. And then the specific choices should be wise ones.

    Without firm specifics at hand, I still feel very confident that there is 3% of utterly useless fat that could be trimmed from science funding. That's all we're talking about here.

    P.S. - I admit that I see no sign whatsoever that seriously addressing the general situation is anywhere near the radar of the fools leading the nation - fools that WE installed. Profound differences over what needs to be done exist. FINE. OF COURSE they exist. But these losers won't even engage. That represents the most disgusting, reprehensible behavior which is possible to imagine.

    1. Re:Everything does need to be on the table by c0lo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But does every single budget item and all tax policies and rates need to be on the table and without any sacred cows? HELL YES. And then the specific choices should be wise ones.

      Without firm specifics at hand, I still feel very confident that there is 3% of utterly useless fat that could be trimmed from science funding. That's all we're talking about here.

      Well, if you are so confident on year after year budgets, please compute what percentage the US research budget will be after 10 years of 3%/pa "fat reduction".

      Then see how long 'til China overtakes US, given that 2011 saw China's R&D budget increasing 9.2% on a year-to-year basis.

      --
      Questions raise, answers kill. Raise questions to stay alive.
  6. Isn't it ironic by Chrisq · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The financial parasites that don't actually do anything or produce anything useful have recovered their massive bonuses already, but we are cutting back on people who actually produce thins that improve the quality of life.

    1. Re:Isn't it ironic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You add the productive folks in with the working poor who do all the distasteful, oftentimes dangerous jobs and you start to wonder why exactly we keep the "managerial class" around

    2. Re:Isn't it ironic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The financial parasites that don't actually do anything or produce anything useful have recovered their massive bonuses already

      They provide liquidity you insensitive clod!

      /s

    3. Re:Isn't it ironic by Lisias · · Score: 1

      you start to wonder why exactly we keep the "managerial class" around

      Managing us, what else? =P

      Keep in mind, *we* made the managers the same way *we* made the politicians. They're not extra terrestrials invading our business, but people like us that managed to get results from us.

      They're the right tool to do the right job. Blame your colleagues every time you boss screws you without consequences. He does it because this is the way that works with your team.

      --
      Lisias@Earth.SolarSystem.OrionArm.MilkyWay.Local.Virgo.Universe.org
    4. Re:Isn't it ironic by ChristW · · Score: 1

      ... and you start to wonder why exactly we keep the "managerial class" around

      Put them on the B-ark!

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    5. Re:Isn't it ironic by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Ironic? No, entirely expected: Corrupt governments, no matter what their form, always protect their rich and powerful regardless of the costs to the population as a whole, and the US government is without question extremely corrupt.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    6. Re:Isn't it ironic by Billly+Gates · · Score: 1

      Yep, it is called debt!

      It is why it is such a bad thing and causes depressions rather than recessions. People argue the government is not like a household when it comes to debt, but I disagree. The net result is the same with someone with a credit card. The interest will kill you and you end up working for free being broke perhaps working a 2nd job if things get even more tight while the bank sits back and gets paid for free.

      The government is doing the same with tax cuts for the wealthy and welfare freebies for the poor. Something has to give as one dollar spent by not working for it has to be spent by someone else working for it and not having it. That is where the bank comes in.

  7. Correction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    "The German science programs that landed the first man on the moon" - Corrected

    1. Re:Correction by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 1

      "whitey on the moon", indeed!

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    2. Re:Correction by WGFCrafty · · Score: 1

      That is still only partly true. Yes, the first head of NASA was an SS leader (more by political expectations than sympathetic feelings) and basically created the foundations of rocketry.

      You leave out the meat of the "facts," that without the U.S. understanding the asset they held, followed by decades of funding for research in ballistics and propulsion, the people who were 99% of Apollo (or even NASA plus DOD) were NOT German.

    3. Re:Correction by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      the main engineers were nazis, the nationality of the beaurocrats and grunts you mention don't matter. ditto for the soviet space program's founding.

  8. We Don't Have To Cut... by rally2xs · · Score: 1, Interesting

    a D thing!

    What we have to do is to reindustrialize America. That is, get the jobs back from overseas. How do we do that? First, we have to recognize that jobs did NOT go overseas because of work-for-peanuts foreign labor rates. No, no, no. They went overseas because of... taxes! Specifically, income taxes are toxic to industry in any amount. We should get rid of them.

    _The_ answer is the Fair Tax. The Fair Tax calls for the complete repeal of all income taxes, every last one of them: individual, corporate, alternative minimum, self employment, estate, gift, social security / medicare, capital gains, etc. etc. Income taxes are essentially a tax on prosperity, and like RR said, "If you want less of something, tax it." Boy does that work great with income tax. We have waaaaaaay less prosperity than we could have.

    The Fair Tax taxes consumption. That is, it is a sales tax. Stop with the knee-jerk "regressive" reaction, already, the income taxes are already incredibly regressive, with the Social Security / Medicare tax taking the first 15.3% of _every_ person's wages from the 1st dollar they make, it not mattering a whit that such person is only making $11,000 / yr. And if that isn't regressive enough, the Social Security / Medicare tax is capped in the $100K range, meaning the really rich people pay far LESS percentage than the poor person.

      The Fair Tax taxes consumption, and "prebates" the amount of tax you pay on the amount of money you spend up to the poverty level. That is, if the poverty level is $11K per year for you if you are single, then the government sends you the amount of tax on $11K, in 12 equal monthly payments, so if you're poor you don't pay a penny of Fair Tax, it is paid for you.

    What this does is make the USA the worlds newest, bestest tax shelter for industry to produce goods and services tax free. That is huge, since, according to Fair Tax researchers, approximately 22% of the selling price of everything produced in the USA is composed of industry expenses caused by income taxes. That is, a $40,000 SUV built in this country has about $8,800 of income tax expense in it. By contrast, it only takes about 30 - 33 labor hours to build the $40K SUV, and at the industry-stated rate of $78 / hr expense of labor to the the car companies, that is only $2,500 labor expenses to build the SUV.

    Want to fix the economy permanently? Pass the Fair Tax, get unemployment down to 3% in about 2 years, killing about $100,000,000 of unemployment expenses and $70,000,000 of food stamp expenses to the gov't, and increase gov't revenues due to the huge expansion in the economy. Then, when full employment is achieved, wages start going up because of a labor shortage. That is when we can decide to let anyone that wants to immigrate to come here without restriction other than criminals and people with dread diseases, who we can also provide with good jobs and high wages, which.... generates more revenue from their spending. That, plus the fact that the Fair Tax broadens the tax base by including, for the 1st time, criminals that use the money stolen from the public via illegal means to buy their luxuries which will be taxed, as well as the idle rich that have no income but will be taxed heavily when they buy that $70M yacht, and, BTW, the rich contribute far more to the tax base than they do now simply because of their spending on luxury items.

    We can do this, or continue with the income taxes sucking the lifeblood out of our economy, and be forced into austerity, and eventual 3rd-world existence because we'll be forced to lower wages to the work-for-peanuts foreign worker equivalent, while the gov't takes taxes from the wrong places, and forces jobs to continue to flee the USA and end up in places like India and Bangladesh.

    1. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by hattig · · Score: 2

      What rate would you set this Fair Tax at so that you would raise enough money to fund all the programmes you need to fund?

      Would you have different rates for different classes of goods? E.g., gas/electricity, baby clothes, food, luxury goods, cars, ...

      What about the problem that rich people simply don't spend all their money, therefore a fair tax could actually just mean they pay even less money than they do now on their earnings (tax avoidance notwithstanding). There's only so many sports cars you can buy.

      There is an argument to introduce VAT whilst reducing corporation tax - corporations are offshoring more and more of their money in order to avoid tax, so you should just get the tax at the point of sale instead.

      In reality governments merely tweak the tax rules because doing a major change will be highly disruptive.

    2. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by rally2xs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The Fair Tax is described in detail at www.fairtax.org, and I support that. The tax rate, effectively, is 30% as most people calculate taxes, although the Fair Tax info describes it as 23%, which is the amount of tax on the total price+tax amount.

      The Fair Tax is designed to replace the amount of revenue raised by the current income tax, although the happy situation is that the income tax revenues have fallen lately, so the Fair Tax would actually generate more revenue than the income taxes do now.

      The Fair Tax gets its strength from growing the economy. We would be so knee-deep in industrial activity that, eventually, we would be able to fund everything without cutting anything. That sort of projection isn't at the website, but just something that seems logical from the highly unusual situation in having an industrialized country with no income tax. We'd be the only place on the planet like that, and, with that being such a good deal for industry, we'd be a gigantic industrial magnet. I believe the projections for the success of the Fair Tax are greatly understated, and that the Fair Tax is _the_ answer for our economic problems.

    3. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Fuck Fair Tax forever, and other sales taxes too. They're inherently regressive. I know, you've said it's not, but you've only really demonstrated that you don't understand the meaning of the word or the underlying concept.

      It would make the US the world's new top sweatshop destination, I'll give you that, and it would bring the Bangladesh slum lifestyle too.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    4. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      So, what's your definition of a progressive tax?

      With the Fair Tax, if the poverty level is a wage of $11,000 per year, and a person spends $11,000 per year, then their tax is $0. If the person makes $22,000 / yr and spends it all, their tax is $2,530, which is 11.5%. If the person makes $33,000 / yr, and spends it all, the tax is $5,060 which is 15.3333%. If the person is Nick Cage, and make and spends $8,000,000 / yr, then the tax is $12,837,470 and the tax rate is $22.968%. And remember, with the Fair Tax, only NEW items for sale are taxed, and tuition is not taxed at all.

    5. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      In testimony before Congress, Fair Tax experts testify that the rich are going to experience a very large increase in what they pay simply because of their level of spending. For example, remember that $70,000,000 yacht that John Kerry and his wife own? The tax on that would have been $21,000,000. In contrast, if you look up John Kerry's and Teresa Heinz Kerry's income taxes on line, you find that they only pay something like $1,800,000 a year, so they would pay, on that one purchase, as much tax as they pay in about 12 years of income taxes.

      That's how the Fair Tax gets the major portion of its revenue from the rich.

    6. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      The Fair Tax dramatically raises the tax that the rich pay due to their much higher level of spending.

    7. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      This _is_ the silver bullet...

    8. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      Aw, nuts, Nick Cage's tax would be $1,837,470, and 22.968%.

    9. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      It's only progressive assuming the rich spend more, which they don't have to and certainly wouldn't prefer to do in a location with such a tax system. This would cause a massive offshoring of wealth to places with minimal sales tax, giving the rich the best of both worlds. In terms of taxes that you would be practically forced to pay on necessities, it's regressive.

      And even with the best attempts to hack a regressive tax into a progressive one with the "prebate" system, at best it's even less progressive than the current tax system:

      http://www.factcheck.org/taxes/unspinning_the_fairtax.html

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Distribution_of_the_FairTax_burden#Progressive_.2F_regressive_debate

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    10. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Every time they spend their money. If they never spend it then sure they don't get taxed on it. Then again that means they aren't actually getting any benefit from it. And of course with an income tax system they'll pay 0% on it - since they already have it so it isn't income.

    11. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      A sales tax with a fixed rebate isn't inherently regressive. In fact it's inherently progressive. A sales tax without a fixed rebate is inherently proportional. Are you sure it's not you who needs to look up some word meanings?

    12. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by ThosLives · · Score: 1

      The "Fair Tax" .... isn't

      There is no such thing as a "fair" tax other than a simple per-capita fee. Taxing income isn't "fair" because it's essentially a limited form of slavery (a portion of one's labor is forcibly appropriated by someone else). Taxing consumption isn't "fair" because consumption is a different fraction of wealth for different populations.

      But people don't really want a "fair" tax; they want a "tax everyone else more than me" tax.

      A much better system is probably something like an income tax based not on income, but on accumulated wealth. So an organization (individual or corporation or trust, etc.) with zero assets would have zero tax, but if there are equivalent assets of $10M per person, the income tax should be close to 100% (after all, $10M is enough for $100k for 100 years!)

      Such a system would help the poor, would help address income equality issues, and is inherently progressive since taxation is not in any way related to consumption. When applied to corporations it would result in lower costs for everything or higher incomes for employes, as companies would have less incentive to simply accumulate massive profits. It's also self regulating, since if you have zero income then the taxes decrease each year as the assets are utilized (for instance, if you are drawing down savings). This system also doesn't tax activity - which is what any income or consumption based tax does. Instead, it taxes accumulation.

      Now, this is a radically different system than anyone has ever implemented, so will probably find no support - especially not among the rich who will scream that it affects them negatively (and they'd be right; this is not a "fair" proposal).

      --
      "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
    13. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by dywolf · · Score: 1

      except the rich didnt get rich by spending money willy nilly. and most fair tax proponents dont know what they are talking about. you can cherry pick examples of big purchases but the simple truth is those are the exception, not the rule. most rich people got rich by NOT buying these things. if they do have them, they either rent it, share it some time-share mechanism, or its provided as a perk from the company they own or work for. these mega purchases are the exception, not the rule. theyare few and far between.

      meanwhile the basic cost of living would increase. the minimum amount needed to survive and feed your kids, now plus sales tax. sales taxes -always- hit lower income peoples disproportionately, because there is a minimum cost to living. the lower your income, they higher proportion that cost is out of your income.

      which generates more tax revenue? the tax on a once in a lifetime power yacht purchase that most rich people dont even buy? or the consistent day to day tax revenue from basic need-it-to-survive items that everyone buys every day?

      stop trying to sell the fairtax on the basis that it makes the rich "pay their share"...it doesnt.
      and it wont.
      and if implemented you would only see more renting or sharing of the "big toys" because they arent stupid, and if they can avoid paying a massive sales tax they will.

      I know i would; its both logical and intelligent, and how you get "rich" in the first place (by not spending what you dont have to).

      (and damnit, "rich" is too vague a word to use; start delineating what is and isnt rich)

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    14. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by dywolf · · Score: 1

      math: 5$ in food per person every day. reasonable amount given the breakdown in what people eat and how, between eating out, special needs (baby, eldery), quantity and quality, etc. and not everyone spends wisely (most dont).

      so 5$ per person per day.
      350million people.
      1,750,000,000$ spent on food per day. 1.75 Billion with a B.
      30% sales tax: $525,000,000 sales tax every day, average. just from food.
      That's 191,625,000,000...191.6 BILLION....a year from Fair tax sales tax on food.

      Even if you knock it down to 1$ a day per person, you're seeing 105million a day, 38.3billion a year, just from sales tax on food. still WAAAY more than you get from the supposed mega purchases of the rich that the fair tax is supposed to get "the majority of its revenue from".

      And that (5$ day/person) is a low, conservative number!
      And that's just food! Havent even included hygiene supplies, gasoline, mortgage/rent, clothes, etc etc etc.

      Just using food, the notion that the mega purchases of the rich is where the fair tax is supposed to get "the majority of its revenue from" is proven to be total BS.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    15. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      I've seen the factcheck stuff before, and it is garbage. They don't understand the Fair Tax.

      The wikipedia entry, OTOH, sums it up nicely in this sentence: "The Beacon Hill Institute at Suffolk University concluded in a 2007 study that "replacing income and payroll taxes with the FairTax would make the United States federal tax system more progressive than it is now".[23]" That's what I'm saying. Additionally, the included bar graph in that article also shows the Fair Tax to be more progressive than all the rest of the listed taxes except the gift & estate taxes, which are lumped together for reasons that I don't understand, and suspect that reason to be that doing so would result in a desired "better-than-fair-tax" progressivity. And I'm pretty sure that even this graph is not taking into account the new estate tax that goes into effect next years, and will herald the death of the family farm, which, when 25 million dollars worth of prime soil is taxed, will result in the heirs of the farmer that has been working it owing $11,250,000 in tax. Nobody gets that rich farming, even a 25 million dollar farm.

      BTW, the rich that spend outside the country STILL OWE the Fair Tax on their purchase, and a customs agent will be happy to collect it when they bring their bauble back so they can enjoy it at home.

      Is your problem that the rich don't _have_ to spend their money? Why are you worried about that? We have data that show that the rich _do_ spend their money quite profusely, and will power the economy better than they do now. Addiionally, the idle rich, living on saved money and not earning any - IOW, they don't have incomes, are taxed by the Fair Tax, but not by the income tax. I'd suspect you'd be happy about that.

      And why all this concern with the rich? What if the rich were taxed $0, and the rest of us, due to the broader net that the Fair Tax casts and snares criminals, shadow economy participants, and even foreign tourists that the income tax doesn't even touch - what if our taxes were lower because these people's taxes were higher now? Would you be happy, or simply jealous that the rich got off with $0. I only care that my taxes go down, and all the other working people's taxes go down, and those that are cheating - the criminals, the shadow economy tax evaders, are finally getting whacked with some well deserved taxes. And, BTW, the illegal aliens don't get the prebate, only people here legally get the prebate. (Of course, after we achieve full employment, we can make 'em citizens without raping the economy trying to support 'em 'cuz they can't pay healthcare expenses and consuming public assistance like food stamps, etc. - they'll have good jobs too, like everyone else. Hey, make 'em citizens then...)

      If you want to go on worrying about what the rich get away with or don't get away with, be my ghost. All I care about is that with the Fair Tax, _my_ taxes will decrease, and everyone I know will have their taxes decrease (since I don't know any criminals or shadow economy participants, which are just different criminals whose crime is tax evasion). If the rich get socked with much more taxes than they do now, as is predicted by the Fair Tax researchers, I don't care. If the rich get off with $0 taxes, I don't care. But trust me, the rich are going to get socked via the Fair Tax...

    16. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      The wikipedia entry, OTOH, sums it up nicely in this sentence: "The Beacon Hill Institute at Suffolk University concluded in a 2007 study that "replacing income and payroll taxes with the FairTax would make the United States federal tax system more progressive than it is now".[23]" That's what I'm saying.

      That argument compares an ideal, theoretical view of the FairTax with the awful reality of the current tax system. Do you really think everyone is going to be a good sport and play fair? Might as well go with communism if you think so.

      BTW, the rich that spend outside the country STILL OWE the Fair Tax on their purchase, and a customs agent will be happy to collect it when they bring their bauble back so they can enjoy it at home.

      Who said they'll bring it back? I said "offshoring of wealth to" not "importation of products from." Some already use this kind of arrangement, spending more than 6 months in the jurisdiction with favorable taxes.

      And if the rich paid zero taxes and mine dropped I'd still be upset. A flat tax would be harsh enough, but an upper class taking in the lion's share of wealth and doing nothing to support society wouldn't upset you at all? It would upset me.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    17. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Maybe I should have said "effectively regressive" instead. Strictly from a numbers standpoint you're technically correct (the best kind of correct!) but context matters, and lower-income earners have to spend most of their income on necessities, while as income goes up the fraction that must be spent on necessities goes down...the "prebate" helps in the case of the FairTax, but sales taxes are effectively regressive.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    18. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by hattig · · Score: 1

      Yes, it will encourage locking up of savings on the short term (i.e., until said fair tax gets repealed and they can then spend their 0% taxed savings) or until their (grand)children inherit it and spend it all on drugs and sports cars.

      There's a really really frickin' good reason why taxes are applied at multiple points - to spread the effect, to catch income (income taxes), expenditure (VAT / "fair tax"), capital gains, and so on and so forth. Take a bit at every point rather than create a single point of avoidance tax.

    19. Re:We Don't Have To Cut... by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      Sure, if you determine taxes paid as a percentage of income. But it's a consumption tax, so that makes little sense as a percentage of consumption is the metric that makes sense.

      If someone is earning $2,000,000/year but only spending $50,000/year then sure they are paying the same dollar amount of taxes as a person earning $50,000/year and spending all of it. But they are also living the same lifestyle - they are spending the same amount on food/rent/mortgage/etc after all. If they want to collect currency a hide it under the mattress, then good for them. It'll get taxed when they do spend it and if they never spend it then it never did them any good anyway so there's no "fairness" issue anyway.

      Of course they're more likely to invest it and earn even more money. But the same thing applies - if they are just collecting ever increasing amounts of bonds/stocks/etc then it isn't doing them any good until they actually spend it (and pay taxes on it with no income versus capital gains garbage). And of course taxes get paid by the company that issued the bonds when they spend the money and pay the sales tax.

      In fact that's a key feature of sales versus income taxes. Loans are taxable which would help short circuit property bubbles - one idiocy of ever increasing house valuations is the ability to take out home equity loans which are effectively tax free income (until the bubble bursts).

      I happen to think a no-deduction/no-rebate progressive income tax is a better idea - but I do see that a sales tax system is significantly less complex to run.

  9. Big difference between US and Europe by trout007 · · Score: 1

    A huge percentage of our spending is in maintaining the empire. Bring all of the troops home and cu all payments to foreign governments would solve this problem overnight.

    If we could give up the $1T+ empire we would be fine.

    If you then default in the debt we would be in great shape. You could even pass a law to make those bond losses count as earned income over the next 10 years to minimize the harm to citizens. Plus nobody would lend us money and we would automatically balance the budget.

    --
    I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    1. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by rally2xs · · Score: 3, Interesting

      We just kicked the president of Egypt in the teeth by threatening his pipeline of money via "Foreign Aid" into doing the right thing in this war between Israel and the Palestinians, resulting in the continued existence of our only really friendly country in the middle east, and in our not having to get involved militarily ourselves to achieve that. Without "foreign aid", we'd either have to abandon Israel to annihilation by the Muslim Hordes, or come to their aid with troops.

      IOW, we're getting a lot of bang for our "foreign aid" buck, or more properly renamed, our "bribe to behave" which is what foreign aid really is.

    2. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by gtall · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Maybe it would help if you looked at the budget. Of about $3.5 trillion for 2012, approximately 2/3 is for social programs and entitlements. The other 1/3 is discretionary. The military is in the discretionary side. So "maintaining the empire" isn't the problem, it never was (and given how the rest of the world effects the U.S., having a strong military is likely worth the expense). Oh, and only about $700 billion is military, and much of that is spent in the U.S., so cutting it means less industry, less employed people, etc.

    3. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by rally2xs · · Score: 1

      So you want to kill them all? That's what'll happen if Israel is defeated militarily.

    4. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by Lisias · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Oh, and only about $700 billion is military, and much of that is spent in the U.S., so cutting it means less industry, less employed people, etc.

      The GP is right. You must be blinded by "imperialism syndrome" to address 700 BILLIONS of Dollars with the adverb "just".

      A lot of the problems USA faces today is the result of the very same policy you're defending as if means "more industries, more employed people, etc".

      We must talking about efficiency. USA took 10 years and 2 TRILLION Dollars and something just to kill a single man. USA is clearly holding, I mean, doing something very wrong.

      Granted, I'm not saying everything is wrong, neither that all the military expenses are unnecessary...

      --
      Lisias@Earth.SolarSystem.OrionArm.MilkyWay.Local.Virgo.Universe.org
    5. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by trout007 · · Score: 1

      How does military spending on making weapons in the US help US citizens? The contractors bid up prices on all materials and capital that could be put to use building things people want is instead going to build weapons to blow up things an kill people overseas. We would be much better off with all of those employed in the MIC working in other industries.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    6. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > resulting in the continued existence of our only really friendly country in the middle east, and in our not having to
      > get involved militarily ourselves to achieve that. Without "foreign aid", we'd either have to abandon Israel to
      > annihilation by the Muslim Hordes, or come to their aid with troops.

      So lets cut them loose. Honestly, Isreal has done nearly everything they reasonably could to deserve it. They build settlements in areas that are internationally recognized as Palestinian, then, in the rare occasion when they do have to leave, demolish all of the buildings, extra effort and cost, just so as to leave nothing behind for the people whose land they were trying to steal? Fuck them. Let them get pushed into the sea they are asking for it with some of the shit they have been pulling.

      Honestly, we don't need them, we could normalize relations with Iran a lot more easily than I think most people realize. We have a long history of cross cultural exposure with them, they are very westernized, and only through accident of revolution and some seriously bad policy on our part that really put us in the situation we are in now.

      Few things are as useful to the "towel heads" (as one of my Iranian friends so affectionately calls the clerics) as sanctions and a general adversarial posture.

    7. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Demolishing the buildings is a sensible middle ground though. You avoid giving the perception to the settlers being removed that "their" hard work is being given away to others. It's materially wasteful, but I suspect, socially useful.

    8. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by TheGratefulNet · · Score: 1

      how ignorant. but posting as AC, it goes with the territory, I guess.

      so, you are ok with one group of people wishing for the absolute death of all others who are not like them.

      are YOU like them?

      little known secret: you are not their friend, either. how long do you think the caliphate will take and how long will your dhimmitude last for before they kill your ass?

      friends with moslem countries are only temporary. but as a fox news viewer, I bet you didn't really understand this complex issue at all.

      --

      --
      "It is now safe to switch off your computer."
    9. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      our only really friendly country in the middle east

      That's an oft-repeated but false claim. Some counterexamples:
      Turkey - NATO ally since 1952.
      Saudi Arabia - US ally since at least the 1980's.
      Kuwait - allied since we went to war on their behalf in 1991.
      Yemen - effectively allied with the US government versus terrorists operating in their country.
      Oman - fairly friendly diplomatic and trade relations with the US going back to the 19th century.
      United Arab Emirates - friendly relations for decades.

      The only way you get to the conclusion that no other Middle Eastern countries are friendly with the United States is by assuming that all majority-Muslim countries are always enemies of the US and are only being nice to us so they can stab us in the back later on.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    10. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      So you want to kill them all? That's what'll happen if Israel is defeated militarily.

      So how many times a week do you sleep with your mother? That's what happens when you put words in people's mouths, i.e. straw men.

    11. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Maybe it would help if you looked at the budget. Of about $3.5 trillion for 2012, approximately 2/3 is for social programs and entitlements.

      Maybe you could follow your own advice, as Social Security has nothing to do with the Federal Budget, as it has it's own dedicated revenue stream. Hell, SS has been propping up the budget for decades as politicians borrow from the trust fund to keep taxes low for the rich.

      Oh, and only about $700 billion is military, and much of that is spent in the U.S., so cutting it means less industry, less employed people, etc.

      Oh, but the real figure is double the advertized sum. The real war budget is at least $1.2 trillion. They arrive at the smaller number by pretending things like the VA, interest on past war spending, and the Department of Energy managing our nuclear weapons don't count as war spending when they obviously do.

    12. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by TheSync · · Score: 1

      IOW, we're getting a lot of bang for our "foreign aid" buck, or more properly renamed, our "bribe to behave" which is what foreign aid really is.

      Perhaps we should just stop paying everyone "protection money" and let them work out their own problems...

    13. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by TheCarp · · Score: 1

      > so, you are ok with one group of people wishing for the absolute death of all others who are not like them.

      Never said that. What I said was that the current policy is keeping those people in power, Isreal, through its actions, is helping to keep those people in power.

      > friends with moslem countries are only temporary

      Maybe its just me, but every Iranian I meet tells me how much better it would have been if their country was still Zoarastrian. Frankly, the place has a LONG history of tolerance for many religions (of course, they have a long enough history to have a long history of many things, including intolarance too). There is no such thing as "moslem countries". There are countries with moslem majorities (which will, eventually, include Isreal btw), there are countries which claim to run under some manner of Islamic law, however, I doubt there is any place that if you actually were able to survey people's private thoughts, you would find so much uniformity on religion. There are closet atheists, doubters, and believers in other faiths everywhere....banning them just drives them under ground.

      Iran, being a rather well educated country (relatively anyway), I suspect you will find far more atheists there than anyone can admit.

      > but as a fox news viewer, I bet you didn't really understand this complex issue at all.

      Fox news viewer? Well no wonder you think muslims are all one big happy family that hates everyone else. Try upgrading to NPR and RT, much better news sources.

      --
      "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
    14. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by trout007 · · Score: 1

      Side effects? What was the side effect of US intervention in WWII joining Russia and China defeat Japan and Germany? Oh just a couple hundred million people killed by their own government.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    15. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by bungo · · Score: 1

      our "bribe to behave" which is what foreign aid really is

      Well, it's cheaper than the alternative way to make a country to what you want - war.

      Really, it's more cost effective than what's being spent in Afghanistan.

      --
      "The best part? I became an ordained minister while not wearing pants." -- CleverNickName
    16. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      Maybe you could follow your own advice, as Social Security has nothing to do with the Federal Budget, as it has it's own dedicated revenue stream.

      Phew, and I thought it came out of my taxes. It's a good thing Social Security expenditure is decreasing too -- I mean it had to have decreased because my payroll taxes decreased for the past year. It's so fantastic that some a budget item lives in a vacuum like that such that we can ignore it entirely in the greater picture of the budget. Maybe a few decades down the road, when mandatory spending is 150% of GDP, you'll get your head out of your ass.

    17. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Phew, and I thought it came out of my taxes.

      Phew, and I thought you were smarter than pond scum. Yes, they come out of your taxes - you payroll taxes. Now, try to keep up, but that would be the "dedicated revenue stream" that I was referring to.

      Maybe a few decades down the road, when mandatory spending is 150% of GDP, you'll get your head out of your ass.

      Pull your head out of your ass. Do your best Bart Simpson impression and write this over and over again until it sinks in:

      Social Security costs have nothing to do with the Federal Budget.

      Social Security costs have nothing to do with the Federal Budget.

      Social Security costs have nothing to do with the Federal Budget.

    18. Re:Big difference between US and Europe by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      Phew, and I thought you were smarter than pond scum. Yes, they come out of your taxes - you payroll taxes. Now, try to keep up, but that would be the "dedicated revenue stream" that I was referring to.

      Are you like willfully dense? Obama JUST gave everyone a "payroll tax cut" for the specific purpose of stimulating the economy and/or giving everyone a tax break. This tax cut had NOTHING to do with the amount of spending or required funds of the Social Security program. And as a result, the Social Security shortfall is even LARGER than it was prior to this year. That shortfall is being covered by the GENERAL BUDGET -- this is why people continue receiving social security checks even after we shaved a significant chunk off the incoming revenue by cutting their social security TAXES. You're seriously deluded if you think you can treat the "income/expense" of Social Security and the "income/expense" of "all other government functions" as different entities that exist in some kind of mystical void. NO ONE, including every politician since the beginning of fucking time, has treated them as such. In fact, the Social Security fund has REGULARLY been raided to pay for whatever pet projects or budget shortfalls they were having at the time (and vice versa)

  10. Lets be real for a moment by Karmashock · · Score: 5, Informative

    I don't know if it's even possible for most people to be rational on this issue but I'll make a stab at it.

    Is it scientific spending that is bankrupting the US government?

    No it is not.

    This is NOT where the cut should come. The cut should be everything else.

    I won't state what should be cut because things are so ideological and people are so irrational on the subject that their eyes will roll back into their heads and start foaming at the mouth. But I think we can all agree that it isn't scientific spending that is generating the US debt.

    Very well. Cut what is driving spending up.

    --
    I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    1. Re:Lets be real for a moment by dywolf · · Score: 1

      problem is the "fiscal cliff" wasnt supposed to be logical. it was just across the board, lets put a gun to heads and threaten to pull the trigger and kill the economy, type cuts.

      and the further problem is that its a weak threat, beucase the congress, red or blue it doesnt matter, will gladly drive this bus over the cliff without hesitation.

      Why? Because it doesnt affect them; they get paid regardless. And they'll reelected regardless because they will all just blame it entirely on the other side, taking no resposnibility themselves, and the people who voted for them will all buy it and also blame it all on the evil other side (again, red blue, whichever it is for that person, doesnt matter), andhappily reelect the same people back into congress again.

      and again.

      and again.

      It's win/win for the politicians either way.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    2. Re:Lets be real for a moment by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      The US Senate has not even voted on a budget in the last four years. Understand, this isn't a question of one side or the other voting it down. It hasn't even been voted on or proposed. The Senate outright refuses to even look at a budget proposal.

      This is probably the most important thing the US senate does. It is one of the few things they're constitutionally required to do... and they won't do it.

      What is the US budget? They keep passing patch work spending proposals to keep the ball rolling backed on debt from the Federal Reserve.

      Do you know where that money comes from? They devalue the US currency every time they "create" more money. They do it by dividing the pie into smaller and smaller slices. And that pie is anyone that owns US dollars.

      Why won't the Senate pass a budget? The House has passed several budgets even though they're technically not allowed to start budgets. Budgets must originate in the Senate. And they won't even look at a budget.

      Why? That is why the fiscal cliff is there. It's a dead line.

      Time to stop stalling and compromise. That is going to mean cuts. You want Clinton level taxes? Fine. Give me Clinton level spending and you have a deal. That will balance the budget quickly. And guess what wasn't cut during the clinton years... science spending. What was cut? I won't say it... I don't have to say it.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    3. Re:Lets be real for a moment by tlhIngan · · Score: 1

      problem is the "fiscal cliff" wasnt supposed to be logical. it was just across the board, lets put a gun to heads and threaten to pull the trigger and kill the economy, type cuts.

      and the further problem is that its a weak threat, beucase the congress, red or blue it doesnt matter, will gladly drive this bus over the cliff without hesitation.

      Why? Because it doesnt affect them; they get paid regardless. And they'll reelected regardless because they will all just blame it entirely on the other side, taking no resposnibility themselves, and the people who voted for them will all buy it and also blame it all on the evil other side (again, red blue, whichever it is for that person, doesnt matter), andhappily reelect the same people back into congress again.

      The fiscal cliff was designed like that because it was assumed when it was passed that the two sides would agree to set aside their differences and hammer something out. Instead, it seems each side decided digging in was better.

      And yes, it does hurt them indirectly because the budget custs are especially deep for the bigger spending - I think defense gets slashed a whopping $1T across the board - a lot of contracts and such in a lot of states will probably get delayed and cancelled. And a lot of those military contractors pay a lot of money to their representatives.

      The big problem though is the politicians have dug in for ideological reasons (no tax increase for the rich! no cuts to social services!) and are basically unwilling to compromise at all. And yes, taxes will be going up because the tax break stimulus is also part of the fiscal cliff - it's gone.

    4. Re:Lets be real for a moment by hey! · · Score: 1

      Is it scientific spending that is bankrupting the US government?

      It behooves us to be precise here, otherwise we risk just parroting talking points. If we use words purely for their emotional impact ('bankruptcy'), we'll just create *new* problems we didn't have before.

      Bankruptcy is when you run out of cash. Investors are *eager* to buy US treasury instruments -- to give us cash in other words. In fact they're willing to take interest rates lower than inflation, which means they're willing to *pay us* to hold onto their money for them. So it's simply not the case that the US government is facing bankruptcy, unless politicians choose *deliberate* insolvency. Making desperate moves based on the fear that the government is going bankrupt only creates a new, totally artificial problem: "the fiscal cliff".

      The "fiscal cliff" isn't anything like a cliff we're being forced over, at least by financial circumstances. It's simply a massive austerity program that will take huge amounts of money out of the economy due to reduced spending and increased taxation.

      Exactly what is forcing us to this desperate situation? Politics. We did *not* have a debt crisis like Greece, as the interest rate the market accepts clearly shows.

      Which is not to say that we shouldn't be cutting some expenditures, but the question "which expenses are a waste of money?" It makes no sense to ask "which expenses are bankrupting us?" because if you ask that *no* expenses will be cut.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    5. Re:Lets be real for a moment by dywolf · · Score: 1

      Exactly. And everytime they do this, even when its both sides fault, they blame the other guy. And get political mileage out of it cause their core of constituents dont pay attention, but ignore their own guy and go along with blaming the other side

        thats why i say the dems and reps both have a hand on teh wheel keeping it pointed straight at the cliff, pedal to the floor, happily driving it over, blaming each other the whole way.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    6. Re:Lets be real for a moment by dywolf · · Score: 1

      i dont think a successful compromise was assumed at all.

      i think it was sold to the american people that way.

      but i believe that both sides did it knowing full well they can walk right over the cliff and still emerge politically victorious.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    7. Re:Lets be real for a moment by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      US bonds are selling well because the Federal Reserve is buying them. Not because the free market is snapping them up.

      And where does the Federal Reserve get the money to pay for these bonds? They devalue the money in your pocket.

      That is what is keeping this going. The US dollar is devaluing at about the rate at which the Federal government is spending more then gathers in revenue.

      This process starts out fairly slowly at first because the currency has more value.

      But like a turd circling the drain it spins faster and faster as it nears the vortex.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    8. Re:Lets be real for a moment by hey! · · Score: 1

      It's normal for central banks to invest in US treasuries, and the US Fed isn't the only one. About 40% of US treasury securities are purchased by foreigners in the last month we had figures for.

      I understand your concern about savings losing value, but inflation has been running lower this year than last year ever since march. It looks like we'll be ending the year with an annual inflation rate just a tad below average for the last ten years. While your scenario is worth considering, we aren't seeing any evidence that it's actually happening.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    9. Re:Lets be real for a moment by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      The uptick in commodity prices is evident and not due to shortages of those commodities. Furthermore, the appreciation of rival currencies against the Dollar is also telling. One must of course exclude economies with poorer fiscal management then the US. But the US dollar has taken a pounding over the last few years and every time there is a major "easing" by the Federal Reserve there is a corresponding fall in the US dollar.

      Nothing is free. The money the Federal Reserve is giving the Federal government does not come without cost. Value is being taken from one place and being given to another.

      It is a tax. A stealth tax. It isn't voted on by congress. It isn't acknowledged on balance sheets. It is ignored by practically everyone while at the same time it's effects touch everything.

      It is not something you can dismiss.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
  11. Actually, he doesn't need the power by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The whole "fiscal cliff" doom the fox network is spreading (check who owns redneck eh discovery) just means that if congress digs in its heels and does nothing the President gets his way by default because tax breaks that the repubicans want to extend and increase for the rich will END!

    Obama can just sit back and relax if he has the balls, he can get far more taxes by simply waiting out the republicans then trying to bargain with them. The smarter republicans know this (both of them) and are not at all please with their redneck counterparts trying to create a crisis that only exist in republican eyes.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by fnj · · Score: 1

      I give the President more credit than that. He wants the government to get together and implement the details of spending and taxation by intelligent policy, not by letting arbitrary automatic hammers that nobody really thinks are intelligently conceived come down. Obama definitely does not want a large middle class tax hike, but that's what the hammer stands to saddle him with.

      I think the Republicans want the same thing, and of course their idea of the details of the policy to implement are widely divergent from the President's, and even from each other's.

      The cruel part is that neither side is engaging in meaningful debate or willing to enter into any joint decision process. Both are playing a cynical game of not answering the phone, hoping that when the hammer comes down, the other side will get the blame for the devastation. I think both sides will end up sharing the blame, and the rage may be a lot more than either expects.

      That's if they have not already all secretly agreed to compromise on December 31.

    2. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by mellon · · Score: 1

      Do you really think that once the fiscal speed bump hits the Republicans won't try to make deals to save their precious military budget increases?

    3. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by fnj · · Score: 1

      Have I given any indication whatsoever that I might believe that? Um, that's a no, since you ask.

    4. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by mellon · · Score: 1

      Yeah, sorry, I don't know what in your message I was replying to. Possibly I replied to the wrong message.

    5. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      Do you really think that once the fiscal speed bump hits the Republicans won't try to make deals to save their precious military budget increases?

      I think the Republican politicians don't really care about the military except as the visible implement which protects Americans from "the thing they're telling you to fear".

    6. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      ~50% of Americans pay an effective federal tax rate, so they're the ones who'll see a tax increase. Maybe. Seeing as how it depends on the specific minutiae of their deductions, entitlement benefits, the detail very much depends on individual circumstance and the size of a tax increase depends on the specific tax bracket and how far into the tax bracket they are. Being 50c a week worse off while your country avoids bankruptcy is hardly a bad trade.

      You might want to check your insults before you start calling people ignorant, because "98% of taxpayers" at minimum is not "98% of Americans".

    7. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      The whole "fiscal cliff" doom the fox network is spreading

      NPR has been touting the term as well and preaching about how bad it's going to be.

    8. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      You make up 50c a week and use it as an arguing point for raising everyones taxes, and then you dont want to be insulted?

      You dont deserve kid gloves because you dont want a fair argument. The tax revenue shortfall from the Bush cuts is $2.6 trillion dollars over 10 years (2011 to 2020), or $260 billion per year... 5 billion per week. Are you imagining that there are 10 billion people in the United States, therefore its only 50 cents per person per week? Its $43.86 per week per taxpayer on top of what they already pay.

      There is this amazing thing called math. You can use it so that you don't have to make numbers up. An added bonus is that you can be right instead of completely wrong. Now stop being a partisan cunt.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    9. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      You make up 50c a week and use it as an arguing point for raising everyones taxes, and then you dont want to be insulted?

      You dont deserve kid gloves because you dont want a fair argument. The tax revenue shortfall from the Bush cuts is $2.6 trillion dollars over 10 years (2011 to 2020), or $260 billion per year... 5 billion per week. Are you imagining that there are 10 billion people in the United States, therefore its only 50 cents per person per week? Its $43.86 per week per taxpayer on top of what they already pay.

      There is this amazing thing called math. You can use it so that you don't have to make numbers up. An added bonus is that you can be right instead of completely wrong. Now stop being a partisan cunt.

      It's $43.86 per week per taxpayer but the US has a progressive taxation system. It is not uniformly distributed over taxpayers, and taxpayers are not uniformly effected. A great many people in the tax system (as I said - almost half of Americans don't pay a net bill to the federal tax office) are unlikely to be effected at all. Many more will pay small nominal increases (i.e. those on the cusp of taxable income brackets), and those at the top will pay more - and will, it should be noticed - be effected in terms of lifestyle and disposable income very differently to all those other groups.

      Not really unearning the tag "ignorant" by failing to understand your own country's tax system.

    10. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      Your problem is that the Democrats have been telling you that the Bush tax cuts were a "rich thing" for so long that you now believe it. The Bush tax cuts were pretty much across the board, rich, poor, middle class.. everyone got a cut.

      The "across the board" cuts were not distributed equally.
      When times were good, the 2% got outsized tax cuts.
      Now that times are bad, they should get outsized tax increases.

      The facts and math are fairly straightforward.
      The only thing that isn't straightforward is the Republican Party's rearguard action to maintain a link between tax cuts for the 2% to cuts for the 98%.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    11. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by dkleinsc · · Score: 2

      Your problem is that the Democrats have been telling you that the Bush tax cuts were a "rich thing" for so long that you now believe it. The Bush tax cuts were pretty much across the board, rich, poor, middle class.. everyone got a cut.

      Technically true, and misleading: If you look at the numbers, Bush tax cuts were about 2.5% for poor and middle-class people, and over 6% for upper-class people. Those in the richest 1% got approximately 85% of the value of the tax cut. So yes, it is mostly a "rich thing", because their $60K annual savings were much bigger, even as a percentage, than the average family's $1K cut (or the poor family's $100 cut).

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    12. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      To quote the NY Times, "Robert Greenstein, executive director of the left-leaning Center on Budget and Policy Priorities..."
      To quote Time Magizine, "As the liberal Center on Budget and Policy Priorities put it, if Ryan's budget were enacted, ..."

      Neither of these news articles is favorable to Republicans, but both are claiming that the organization that you just cited is biased towards the left.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    13. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      The only thing that isn't straightforward is the Republican Party's rearguard action to maintain a link between tax cuts for the 2% to cuts for the 98%.

      Are you suggesting that the 28% tax bracket wasnt lowered to 25%? or the 31% bracket lowered to 28%? or ....

      ..are you also suggesting that the Alternative Minimum Tax exemption wasn't increased?

      Just to be clear, are you suggesting that I do not pay less in taxes on my median income now because of the Bush tax cuts? Are you willing to pay the difference when the tax cuts go into sunset, because clearly you insist that there isnt a difference?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    14. Re:Actually, he doesn't need the power by toddestan · · Score: 1

      I'll gladly pay my meager part of the tax "increase" if that means the rich will have pay their larger part of the "increase" should the tax cuts be allowed to expire. The Bush Tax cuts are one of the major reasons we are in this mess right now.

      What really amazes me is how many lower and middle class Republicans you can get on board with massive tax cuts to the rich, so long as you throw them a bone. I mean, they literally don't care if it's going to bankrupt the government so long as their tax bill is decreased by some nominal amount. It's kind of like Romney's 47% comment, except instead of entitlements substitute tax cuts.

  12. Re:Wow, 3% = doom? Thanks for reminding me. by RoboJ1M · · Score: 1

    Woo Hoo!

    Welcome back, former British colony of Virginia. :)

  13. Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by Going_Digital · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How about withdrawing tax benefits given to religious groups and instead tax Churches like any other business and use the money to fund tax breaks for science. As far as I can see science has done many things to make our lives better in recent years where as religion has just stood in the way of the progress of science.

    1. Re:Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by cheekyjohnson · · Score: 1

      which would cause this tax scheme to run afoul of the constitutionally-mandated separation of church and state.

      I'm not seeing how taxes would stop anyone from worshiping any god. But maybe if I claim to be a believer of the flying spaghetti monster and that the flying spaghetti monster says it is a sin to pay taxes, I'll be able to avoid paying taxes...

      Also, organized religious communities provide a great many benefits to their members and to the community at large, including help for the poor, food kitchens, etc.

      Then the church a way to acquire the necessary money to pay the taxes. If everyone else has to, I don't see why they shouldn't.

      --
      Filthy, filthy copyrapists!
    2. Re:Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by Going_Digital · · Score: 1

      Also, organized religious communities provide a great many benefits to their members

      And there you have it, tax benefits should only be given to organisations that benefit others, so genuine charities like the red cross that help others and don't act a social club for its members are deserving of tax incentives.

      ...including help for the poor, food kitchens, etc. Go into the inner city and see who is sponsoring many of the charity efforts that help people there - it's not NASA.

      There are plenty of non-religious charitable groups helping the community without the obligatory preaching that goes with it. Churches are out to gain members and what better way to do that than to target vulnerable people with their marketing message in a time of need. It is no different to how any business works in identifying a target group and promoting themselves. This blatant self promotion should not be given tax privileges. This is not to say that the individual people who volunteer to help with these things have anything but a desire to help people in need, the church on the other hand knows full well what they are doing.

    3. Re:Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      Do you honestly think this is why the US is in debt? Honestly?

      I won't say what is causing the debt because I assume you know already and can't handle it... but this isn't what is bankrupting the US.

      Furthermore, most of these religious organizations are technically charities... so if you nuked their exemption you'd nuke the exemption for charities... which includes Green Peace, PETA, The Red Cross, Salvation Army, etc... Seriously... think. No really. Stop and give it a good five minute think. This is not what is killing us.

      What is bankrupting us? Okay. Stop doing that.

      --
      I've decided to stop wasting my time responding to AC trolls/sockpuppets... so if you want a response from me... login.
    4. Re:Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by dywolf · · Score: 1

      the (usually) liberal equivalent of conservatives threatening to cut PBS and Big Bird out of their whole 0.0000017% of the budget.

      also the question would be, in what way is a church a business? what products are sold? and how would you expect to get re-elected for taxing monies meant to be given to the poor or otherwise spent on charitable work?

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    5. Re:Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by dywolf · · Score: 1

      Because churches dont help others. and somehow their main drive is to "get members" because thats all that matters and that somehow makes "them" better.

      no wait, it makes them richer, though who it is that actually gets that money is vague and somehow not mentioned...

      it must be cause churches just collect money from each just to give it back to each other and all get richer or something. or they blindly just let the head priest collect it all for himself? oh wait, if they're catholic they send it back to Rome.

      and everyone knows its happening, that they're being defrauded, but they dont say anything. ever.

      dude. you're a fool.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    6. Re:Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "What is bankrupting us? Okay. Stop doing that."

      There is a question that comes before that: are we being bankrupted? We have budget deficits, we have debt. We are also able to finance that debt, when adjusted for inflation, at no cost. A 20 year treasury bill doesn't beat inflation, and a 30 year bill just barely does. So for the short and medium term there is zero risk of bankruptcy. For the long term we will need to make adjustments. However basic economics tells us that you do not cut spending in a depression unless you want to crater GDP and revenue, exacerbating the debt problem. Europe is providing yet another proof of this fact right now. So really what the USA should be doing is spend, spend, spend, and spend some more. Our infrastructure could use trillions just to get it back to 1st-world standards. The time to do it is when labor and materials are dirt cheap, like during a depression, like right now.

    7. Re:Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by SirGarlon · · Score: 1

      As far as I can see science has done many things to make our lives better in recent years where as religion has just stood in the way of the progress of science.

      And when was the last time you saw a church from the inside? Do you have any idea what churches actually do?

      --
      [Sir Garlon] is the marvellest knight that is now living, for he destroyeth many good knights, for he goeth invisible.
    8. Re:Stop giving tax benefits to religion. by oamasood · · Score: 1

      "Christianity", not "religion". There is a difference.

  14. No pay for Congress = fixed by morning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Whoever makes the budget gets paid last.

    It's just that simple.

    If there's no money left, then Congress should get no pay until the situation is fixed.

  15. Don't forget China next year! by Tagged_84 · · Score: 1

    Analysts are predicting that next year China will overtake the US as the leader in scientific output.

    Wonder if that might be a big enough blow to the US ego to consider a reverse in funding cuts?

  16. Sounds bad but... by TheCarp · · Score: 1

    Good programs can always be rebuilt, if not by us, then by someone else. At least the fiscal cliff will cut military programs...and cutting them is far more important to me than any science program. Other countries can have science programs and educate their people....we need to stop being such warmongers first.

    --
    "I opened my eyes, and everything went dark again"
  17. Duke Nukem Run-on-the banks by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Personally, I'd rather see Financial Crisis Quake.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  18. Human progress by MrKaos · · Score: 1

    The American science programs that landed the first man on the moon, found cures for deadly diseases and bred crops that feed the world now face the possibility of becoming relics in the story of human progress

    Wow, human progress is becoming a relic of human progress. Those humans must be a bunch of oxymorons!

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  19. Isn't this what we wanted? by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    I mean, we're the electorate, and we consistently vote for representatives who are short-sighted, self-interested, and frankly, stupid.

    I don't care WHICH side of the political fence you're on. Both parties have full rosters of idiots, and we seem to be listening more and more to the histrionic extremists and punishing the moderate centrists.

    BOTH parties seem entirely focused on maintaining their own partisan grip on power and enriching their supporters, rather than actually doing their jobs.

    Instead of having a reasonable cross-spectrum discussion about meaningful subjects like the role of government in the 21st century, we seem to be satisfied with an educational system that churns out 'citizens' with only a faint grasp on basic concepts of math or reading (to say nothing of civics, history, or art), and who are thereby easily swayed by entertaining but vapid emotionalist demagogues from both extremes.

    To the OP: assume you have a budget planner who can't do basic math, and continues to budget your spending for far, far more than you make every year. Then, when things get tough, he does things like whine that "you need to just make more money" and cut off your long term investments instead of making the needed choices about maybe not buying a new gun this year, or cutting off some of the freeloading relatives who could probably get a job anyway (mainly because the guy you buy guns from takes him on junkets, and the freeloading relatives keep recommending that he's the guy for the job, respectively).
    Wouldn't you FIRE him immediately for gross incompetence, if not have him outright prosecuted?

    Some of us had the 'excessively sympathetic friend' in high school. The friend that, whenever something went wrong, they always 'helped us' by figuring out someone else to blame for everything. Didn't get the library book in on time? It was the LIBRARY's fault for being closed on Sunday (not you, for waiting until the very last moment to return it...). Girlfriend dumped you? She was a controlling harpy (it certainly had nothing to do with you cheating on her, that was just a mistake...). Failed calculus? Of course it was because the teacher hated you (and nothing to do with the fact that you got stoned instead of doing your homework). It was always someone else's fault.

    Those are the talking heads on both sides.
    They are entertainers. They are employed because they are entertaining blamers. Not because they're reasonable, not because they're wise. And we keep listening to them - the Limbaughs and Colters, the Maddows and Mahers. These are the people that make us feel better because everything is "someone else's fault".

    WE are the ones who keep returning 95%+ of politicians to their seats.
    WE are the ones who are ultimately responsible for putting them there.
    WE have nobody to blame but ourselves.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:Isn't this what we wanted? by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      What he said.

    2. Re:Isn't this what we wanted? by argStyopa · · Score: 3, Insightful

      BTW, the first mistake is assuming you are in the center.
      We - and by this I mean everyone, including myself - need to depart from this simplistic, Ptolemaic political universe where we assume we each are at the middle, and everything swirls around us. The first point in figuring out where you're going is understanding where you are to start with.

      Don't be Pauline Kael.

      Try to understand that there is a broad spectrum of political opinion - even our idiom tends to betray us here as it's rarely as simple as a spectrum, although we tend to distill political issues down to (at best) a collection of 1-dimensional lines. You are somewhere on that spectrum and probably NOT in the center.

      (Further, politically indecisive also is not ipso facto 'centrist'.)

      This is incredibly difficult, because we naturally tend to circulate with friends of common opinion. It's very easy to say "I'm moderate" when in fact making such a statement is meaningless in any broader objective sense as it rarely means more than the implied "...among my friends."

      Of course, all of this takes thought, personal candor, intellectual integrity, and hard thinking. Usually, one will find that at least a few of our gut-derived political positions turn out to be logically inconsistent and it requires courage to take those ideas apart and reassemble them. You might even change your mind.

      --
      -Styopa
    3. Re:Isn't this what we wanted? by N!k0N · · Score: 1

      wish I had mod points today... agree completely.

    4. Re:Isn't this what we wanted? by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

      Actually, I know I am on the left. For the last thirty years, I have watched government be pushed to the right by a shift in the Overton Window. And now you believe that the solution is for me to "moderate" myself? I think not.

      If anything, it is the right that needs to moderate. We on the left have had no economic effect but a steady erosion of the social safety net, an incredible increase in wealth inequality, and a concomitant increase in bellicosity and militarism over the past thirty years - something that the right has had as a gain.

      Tell us on the left to moderate when we actually see some gains.

      --
      That is all.
    5. Re:Isn't this what we wanted? by TheSync · · Score: 1

      We on the left have had no economic effect but a steady erosion of the social safety net

      The truth is that Federal entitlement spending has been continuously increasing, however the entitlements are not just going to poor people as much any more. Over half of all entitlement spending flows to the elderly and around 40% is spent on health care. Around 10% of entitlement spending goes to the richest fifth of Americans, 60% to the middle three-fifths, and only 30% to the poorest fifth (source).

    6. Re:Isn't this what we wanted? by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      I don't believe I made ANY prescriptive statements there about what people's beliefs SHOULD be.

      If you're left of center, my point is, recognize that and accept it.
      If you're right of center, my point is, recognize that and accept it.

      To me, too many political discussions start from a fundamental point of dishonesty (whether it's that or willful ignorance, who can say?) in that too many people start with the belief that "I'm a centrist moderate" when they plainly aren't. I'm fairly right-wing in my views, so it would be dishonest to assert I'm a centrist; moreover, recognizing my own biases makes it easier for me to understand the bulk of proposals are going to look left-wing to me and that despite smelling so, they may in fact be a moderate compromise.

      I'm just saying "know thyself". If you're on the left and recognize it, that's cool. From that point, we both know where we stand honestly and can try to have a constructive discussion.

      To your points about the cultural 'shift rightward' I'd cheerfully disagree with you, but that's for another discussion. Cheers.

      --
      -Styopa
  20. Medicare and defense by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For the last 12 years, they've pointed out over and over that the primary cause of our budget woes is Medicare/Medicaid and to a lesser extent Social Security.

    Forgetting about a couple of unfunded wars are we? Or a military that outspends the combined budget of the next 15 largest militaries combined for no obvious reason? Medicare and Defense are the big budget problems. Social Security not so much.

    Social Security is not funded like Medicare or Defense. It was only last year that expenses exceeded non-interest income and it won't be until 2021 at present funding that total expenses exceed total revenues. Social Security is fully funded and what funding problems it has are fairly easy to fix. Of the biggest government expenditures Social Security is quite literally the least of our problems. Extend the age to receive benefits and a few other simple tweaks to funding and it will be fine.

    1. Re:Medicare and defense by sheddd · · Score: 1

      Social Security is fully funded and what funding problems it has are fairly easy to fix

      In the SSA's 2012 Trustees report they admit at present they're 31% underfunded; it's going to get much worse quickly due to age demographics unless something significant changes.

    2. Re:Medicare and defense by operagost · · Score: 1

      Since yo claim to know more than the CBO, I'm eager to see your numbers. Hint: they also call the wars a big problem, but at least those are slated to end while our future unfunded liabilities GO ON FOREVER BY DEFINITION.

      --

      Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
    3. Re:Medicare and defense by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Social Security is fully funded and what funding problems it has are fairly easy to fix.

      This is the most depressing thing. Right now, Social Security is fixable. Ten years ago, it was easily fixable. Ten years from now it will be a more painful problem.

      The longer we wait, the harder it gets. The solution is simple, and yet for all this time we haven't been able to come up with a fix. If we can't solve this, how are we going to solve the other problems?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re:Medicare and defense by Magius_AR · · Score: 1

      Social Security is not funded like Medicare or Defense.

      Oh, so we _aren't_ taxed on Social Security and it isn't a budget item? Phew -- for a second there, I thought we had a real spending problem.

  21. Isn't it ironic by sumitkhurana38 · · Score: 1

    The financial parasites that don't actually do anything or produce anything useful have recovered their massive bonuses already,

  22. Amen, but.. by Weezul · · Score: 1, Insightful

    We should let congress drive over the fiscal cliff so that republicans take the blame for their intransigence on perpetuating the untenable Bush tax cuts.

    --
    The Christian religion has been and still is the principal enemy of moral progress in the world. -- Bertrand Russell
    1. Re:Amen, but.. by Q-Hack! · · Score: 1, Insightful

      We should let congress drive over the fiscal cliff so that democrats take the blame for thier inability to see that the Bush tax cuts don't even come close to paying for the deficit, current or projected.

      How about instead of killing the economy with the uncertanty of this on again - off again tax cut, why don't we simplify the tax code completey and permanently.

      --
      Some days I get the sinking feeling Orwell was an optimist.
    2. Re:Amen, but.. by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Says someone who didn't look at the numbers. You take out the tax cuts and the wars, and we wouldn't have had a deficit until the financial crisis hit. If that had been the case, we wouldn't have had an enormous debt sitting over us as we tried to address the worst economic situation in almost a century.

      Keynesian economics works, and it's not Obama's fault that all our potential for stimulus was wasted during an expansion.

    3. Re:Amen, but.. by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      We should let congress drive over the fiscal cliff so that democrats take the blame for thier inability to see that the Bush tax cuts don't even come close to paying for the deficit, current or projected.

      How about instead of killing the economy with the uncertanty of this on again - off again tax cut, why don't we simplify the tax code completey and permanently.

      Seeing as how people use deficit and debt interchangeably, I'm not sure what you're referring to.

      The deficit is the year to year shortfall in the budget. The debt is the volume of outstanding loans. The former is a problem to be dealt with at the moment, the latter needs to be managed but does not have to magically be paid off over some fixed timeframe.

      The world, currently - and for the foreseeable future - loves US debt, and can't buy enough of it. It's buying it so voraciously that at various points over the past few years, US treasury notes have had negative yields. People were literally paying the US for the privilege of loaning it money, because on the macro-scale, the US is a stable place to invest and you ultimately have to invest somewhere. The US, for the foreseeable future, will be able to refinance it's debt in perpetuity - the current situation is that doing nothing, would whittle the debt down to nothing even faster then inflation because of the aformentioned periods of "being paid to be loaned money" situation.

      Now why is all that important? Because it effects how you view deficits, and their causes. Deficits go on the debt pile, and the debt pile is only a worry if it grows at an average rate that's higher then US GDP growth (or specifically: US tax revenue growth from GDP). The US never has to repay the debt. It simply takes out new debt - possibly at lower interest rates - to refinance it. You can do this indefinitely if you're an immortal country, and GDP growth and inflation whittle the debt away without needing to do anything. The debt pile can keep growing, but provided your GDP keeps pace, it'll never affect your ability to fund your year-to-year budget. Of course, a well-managed country also chooses to strategically reduce it's debt to keep it manageable when - like now - the deficit has to rise due to poor economic conditions, or if it wants to stabilize it's budgeting further against global conditions.

      Which is where this graph comes in. The US deficit, is being driven principally by the Bush tax cuts, by the bailouts necessary due to the GFC, the wars, with the rest made up of the usual increased spend a downturn brings in welfare (people out of work = more welfare payouts). The US is not terminally in deficit, it's not being sunk by the welfare system, it's being sunk by idiotic fiscal policy (and probably a fair amount of graft and corruption between government contracts to big business backers like Halliburton).

      If you really want to see terminal damage to the economy, watch what happens if you dismantle social welfare further. Convert the joblessness due to the downturn into permanent unemployment and then homelessness, and take a huge chunk of the productive workforce out of the workpool forever and into your policing and hospital emergency room spending instead - because they won't just disappear.

    4. Re:Amen, but.. by butchersong · · Score: 1

      So if you assume the same economic gains from the tax cuts (and subsequent tax revenue generated) and at the same time add the money from the cuts back into the pot you don't have a deficit? That's wouldn't be a suprise.

    5. Re:Amen, but.. by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Not by any sort of functional economic model, no.

  23. Re:It's easy, but nobody wants to do it. by MrKaos · · Score: 2

    Stop declaring war and sending money overseas. You'd get back about $500-750bn a year instantly.

    It's because there has been this perception that money on wars boosts economies. That may have been true when the countries were building production capacity and put every scrap of resources into doing so but now the production capacity exists governments take loans our to operate that capacity for political purposes.

    Science and innovation is not as sexy to uninformed populations so even though it creates jobs by building industry all that science stuff is just confusing so people don't support it. It kinda sucks how once you let it go it's a downward spiral. War is more important than innovation, except when the innovation is killing.

    Think about the entities who lobby your congress critters, do you think they want their business models disturbed by some disruptive technology created by *cough* scientists?

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  24. Only Medicare and Defense matter by sjbe · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It needs to cut its budget by 50% or more. Many programs and federal departments need eliminated entirely.

    The only programs that truly matter as far as the deficit is concerned are Medicare/Medicaid, Defense and Social Security. Those three together account for about two-thirds of the US budget. Get those programs under control and the problem is solved. All other discretionary spending combined accounts for less than 20% of the budget. Either we need to raise taxes to fully fund the programs we seem to want or we need to cut those programs to a level of taxation we are willing to accept. Either way will work but any argument about anything beyond Medicare and Defense (Social Security is easy to fix and self funding) is either naive or political pandering.

    That's only some $650,000 per person that the government has borrowed on behalf of each and every one of you. No problem, right?

    A meaningless statistic. As big as the debt is as a percent of GDP, we've had larger debts in our past that have been dealt with just fine, most notably after WWII. That doesn't mean it isn't serious but your attempt to frame the issue doesn't really address how the debt would be dealt with. Corporations pay quite a lot of tax and can be made to pay more if need be. A relatively small percentage of the population has a vast portion of the nation's wealth. Furthermore all the debt the US government has is denominated in US dollars which can be created at will (with some fairly serious negative effects).

    1. Re:Only Medicare and Defense matter by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      The only programs that truly matter as far as the deficit is concerned are Medicare/Medicaid, Defense and Social Security. ... All other discretionary spending combined accounts for less than 20% of the budget.

      This implies that Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security are discretionary spending, but they're not; they're mandatory spending.

    2. Re:Only Medicare and Defense matter by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      For now. Wait until they are means tested. Then they will be discretionary spending.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    3. Re:Only Medicare and Defense matter by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      How so? Medicare is already means-tested and it's still mandatory spending. That is, it isn't part of the "discretionary spending" budget.

    4. Re:Only Medicare and Defense matter by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      How well funded is the typical welfare program?

      Medicaid is means tested. Medicare is for old folks. Which is part of the 'third rail' of American politics?

      The reason SS and Medicare is untouchable is that _everybody_ old or stupid thinks they are entitled to it. Make it means tested and watch it's support evaporate.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  25. We already fell off by Charliemopps · · Score: 2, Interesting

    We jumped off this cliff in 1971 in order to pay for the the Vietnam war. We've been falling ever since. It just hasn't looked like we're falling because we're all boxed up inside a Fiat currency. Now that we're nearing the bottom and bouncing off a few jagged boulders, people are starting to realize we might be screwed. I love how this "Fiscal cliff" they've invented is designed to scare everyone, even scientists, into letting them raise taxes and reduce services even more. Hilarious.

    1. Re:We already fell off by Lluc · · Score: 1

      I love how this "Fiscal cliff" they've invented is designed to scare everyone, even scientists, into letting them raise taxes and reduce services even more. Hilarious.

      Are we suppose to write conspiracy theories in monospaced font now? Who is they and how did they get so smart/powerful so that they could pull off a huge, international economic conspiracy involving the last 40 years of the Western world?

  26. 20% of budget by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Military spending is a red herring. Yes it can be cut. But even if we completely eliminated it we'd still be on a path to bankruptcy due to the above entitlements.

    No it is most definitely NOT a red herring and your argument could apply equally to Medicare or Social Security which. Each of those three programs account for around 20% of the federal budget. You could apply your exact same argument to Medicare since it accounts for close to the same amount of cash as the Defense budget. If we accept your argument, even if we eliminated Medicare completely (ignoring the obvious devastation that would cause) it wouldn't balance the budget at current taxation levels. Some combination of cuts to Defense and Medicare are inevitable unless we significantly increase taxation. (I'm less worried about SS since it can easily be fixed and still is self funding)

    1. Re:20% of budget by khallow · · Score: 1
      I ran across this particular red herring with respect to Medicaid earlier today. And I have to say that a lot of people truly don't get it. All of the big budget items are going to need to be reduced significantly.

      (I'm less worried about SS since it can easily be fixed and still is self funding

      It's not self-funding in any sense (it started losing money in the "pay as you go" sense back in 2010). And if one considers actual liabilities of the program, it's probably been losing money by the far more realistic accounting viewpoint, since the 70s.

  27. Suicide Pacts by ExecutorElassus · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The problem with the sequestration deal is that it was essentially a suicide pact: if Congress can't agree to a more-balanced budget, then savage austerity measures take effect, crippling government functioning across the board.

    That's great as a motivator, except that one party is motivated by an ideology that actually wants that kind of austerity. In short: it's not a very good suicide pact if one side already has a death wish.

    Also, don't worry about it being a mutual self-immolation: the Republicans will demand that only social spending (and not military) gets cut, and the Democrats will cave at the last minute in the name of compromise.

    1. Re:Suicide Pacts by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      It's going to be funny when 'government functions across the board' are crippled and the world works better without them.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Suicide Pacts by dywolf · · Score: 1

      dude. no. you're saying already that its all the red's fault. its not. its both. it will always be both.

      the problem with the "cliff" is that the congress, red or blue, it doesnt matter, will gladly drive this bus over the cliff without hesitation. both sides together.

      Why? Because it doesnt affect them; they get paid regardless. And they'll reelected regardless because they will all just blame it entirely on the other side, taking no resposnibility themselves, and the people who voted for them will all buy it and also blame it all on the evil other side (again, red blue, whichever it is for that person, doesnt matter), andhappily reelect the same people back into congress again.

      and again.
      and again.
      It's win/win for the politicians either way.

      and you're already blaming it all on the "other" side.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    3. Re:Suicide Pacts by ExecutorElassus · · Score: 1

      Well, in the sense that the Republican party - or, more to the point, the supply-siders and teabaggers - have the dismantling or the New Deal, and the managed decline of the federal government as an explicit platform of their domestic policy. Since, in their argument, goverment is inherently dysfunctional and harmful, it really doesn't matter *how* they burn it down, so long as the objective is achieved.

      However, I'd agree with you to the extent that the only substantial discussion going on right now in Washington is how fast and drastically social spending is to be slashed, since the Democrats have completely abandoned their core principles (namely, that government plays a positive role in the well-being of a society) in favor of the Republican position.

    4. Re:Suicide Pacts by TheSync · · Score: 1

      he supply-siders and teabaggers - have the dismantling or the New Deal, and the managed decline of the federal government as an explicit platform of their domestic policy

      Then why did the GOP support the expansion of Medicare with the Medicare Prescription Drug program in 2003? Why has Federal spending gone up from 18% of GDP in 2000 to 24% of GDP this year? Can you name one New Deal program that has been canceled in the last decade?

      You may be correct that GOP forces have been trying to sell Americans on a smaller government, but in truth they have not been delivering such a thing.

    5. Re:Suicide Pacts by butchersong · · Score: 1

      Isn't the fiscal cliff basically what everyone has been moaning that they want to see from the democrats and republicans? Democrats want tax increases and republicans want spending cuts. Both sides need to give... If they were to compromise, how is the fiscal "cliff" all that different from that result?

  28. Let it happen... by DoctorBonzo · · Score: 1

    I suspect it isn't such a big deal, really. "Fiscal cliff" has started to sound like fingernails on a blackboard to me.

    What would probably happen can be found here (caution - graphs with data).

  29. There is no cut in spending coming by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 4, Informative

    Despite the rhetoric on both sides, there is no cut in federal spending coming any time soon. Even if Congress and the President do not come to an agreement (a not unlikely possibility) all that will happen is that spending will not increase by as much as projected. That is the situation at it stands is this. The law as passed last summer says that if Congress does not pass and the President sign (or Congress pass over the President's veto) some law changing things the amount that all parts of the Federal government will be allowed to spend next year will be 10% less than the amount that was projected to be spent in the last set of comprehensive "budget" documents passed by Congress and signed into law by the President. That is, they are not going to take how much Congress approved to be spent this year and reduce it by 10%. They are going to take the amount that Congress guesstimated they were going to spend next year (which includes a sizable increase from this year) and cut that by 10%.
    Most people think that when they talk about cutting spending by 10% it means that if they spent $3 million this year on a program, next year they are going to spend $2.7 million. It doesn't. It means that they are going to spend $3.6 million rather than $4 million next year (numbers chosen for ease of calculation).

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    1. Re:There is no cut in spending coming by TheSync · · Score: 1

      [Parent should be modded down]

      Under the Budget Control Act of 2011 there would be a year-over-year 0.25% reduction in Federal discretionary spending from 2012-2013 should the cliff happen. It is an actual reduction in overall spending.

      [By the way, I think that would be a fine idea]

  30. UK national grid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    No, there is not.

    All the distribution and transmission facilities are owned by utility companies. Some of them (e.g. TVA,BPA) were created by the government, but they have independent lives, and have no taxing authority. There are government regulators of utilities (Generically Public Utility Commission (PUC)) as well as things like CAISO (California Independent System Operator.. the folks who provide the coordination of generation and transmission among the various entities in California). Much of the non-retail aspects of electricity is fully de-regulated (e.g. generation) and subject to the swings and roundabouts of market forces (for instance, Enron playing games)

  31. Re:And the value of those loans were what? by nedlohs · · Score: 1

    Given that those home loans happened before Obama was President how does that possibly make it "Obama's fault"?

    Given that the poor people weren't the ones offering the loans how does the offering of them make it "the poor ones who did it all"?

  32. Re:And the value of those loans were what? by tnk1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You do realize that the derivatives that you are speaking up consisted of mortgage-backed securities, which were created to monetize otherwise high risk loans, right? In turn these mortgages were pushed by certain loan programs to give mortgages to people who would not otherwise receive them.

    Yes, actual foreclosures caused by the mortgages were a small amount of money compared to the derivatives, but those bad mortgages not only provided the basis for some of the worst of the derivatives, but foreclosures are an extremely demoralizing event, not only for the family itself, but for the whole market. When you see foreclosures, you see people losing their homes. That affects everyone, and that is why you want to keep them low, because when everyone feels poorer, everyone IS poorer. That's how the economy works these days.

    Needless to say, blaming greed is always the right answer for issues like this, but having worked for one of the companies that did provide those securities, I saw that there was also another greed working as well, a greed for more popularity and votes by making people think that you were giving them something that they otherwise would not qualify for. I saw it in pretty, glossy, nearly tabloid sized literature that had company officers and various politicians shown handing keys to people. It was a nice warm fuzzy feeling, until you realized just how they were actually profiting from loans that they otherwise wouldn't be able to collect on.

    If those people in those pamphlets were renting today, having never "owned" a house I can say they would have been objectively better off now than those who got to "own" a house they couldn't pay for, and then lost it. That's why you don't decree that you have to pay loans to people who can't afford them. You're not dealing with corporate greed, you're starting to fight against the smart people who use math and research to determine who is a reasonable risk for a loan. And when you stop listening to those people, corporations start turning to the sorts of people who promise they can turn straw into gold and create things like mortgage-backed securities based on garbage.

  33. Re:It's still blamed on Obama. by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

    Don't forget all the greedy union teachers that crashed the economy. They're lauding all the way to the bank, as they drive by in their Tercels and Suburus.

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
  34. Re:And the value of those loans were what? by mcgrew · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Given that the poor people weren't the ones offering the loans how does the offering of them make it "the poor ones who did it all"?

    The truth is, the poor were scammed by the rich. The banks had a win-win situation before the housing bubble burst. Talk poor Joe Sixpack who doesn't have an MBA into believing he can afford the house, and when gas prices quadruple as they did betwen 2000 and 2008 and he misses a single mortgage payment, the bank makes it nearly impossible for him to ever recover and finally forecloses, then sells the house at a tidy profit after collecting mortgage payments for a few years. And if the unthinkable happens and home prices sink, the bank has insurance to cover it. There's no possible way for the bank to lose money on a home loan under those conditions.

    It was legalized theft, with the rich legally robbing the poor.

  35. Uh, so your saying by Shivetya · · Score: 1

    that if the budget cut is extreme that somehow the money just vanishes? That is not how it works. The problem is that the US Government combined with the states and various local governments, are taking too much money out of the economy as it is. Worse, they are wasting a good amount of it.

    Plus, take away the standard scare tactic. Politicians abuse the poor all the time with such tactics as "they will take your food stamps". Why do you think so many were giddy over the ACA? Because they have a new fear tactic. After all, tell me what a politician threatens to cut first?

    a) Education
    b) Police
    c) Fire
    d) Research into fruit flies
    e) A new library named after their mother.
    f) a bridge to nowhere?

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    1. Re:Uh, so your saying by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      What do you think the various governments do with that money? Do they just pile it up and burn it? No, they spend it into the economy or give it to people who spend it. Even if they are wasting it they're still buying products from the private sector and paying salaries with it. If you want to start another recession cut "entitlement" spending by 50%. Then all of those people receiving those entitlements, the vast majority of who spend it almost immediately cut their spending drastically. As tehcyder mentioned above if you make those peoples lives miserable enough you're just fomenting revolution.

  36. Re:You're right, in a way. by Teancum · · Score: 1

    If you are the CEO of a company who is running a budget deficit (aka running at a loss), you do have two choices: raising revenue or cutting costs.

    Often in larger companies there are many employees who are doing redundant tasks where doing a 50% reduction in staff (just to throw out a number) won't result in a 50% decline in productivity. In fact many businesses depend on that happening, as hopefully they get rid of the low-performing employees and those who are perennial screw ups. If you work and live in the real world, you know who those are... and sometimes they are you so it hurts even mentioning it. In that case, they are hoping that by firing 50% of the work force, the company may be able to provide about 75% of the services or products that they were able to provide earlier (to give an arbitrary number.... but that is the philosophy).

    One problem with cutting staff is that a great deal of that "waste" is actually training people in the future to take over for the current cadre of experienced people. The hope for a well managed business is that you can get through the lean times with experienced people, so when times are better you can put them into a position to train those new recruits before they retire or simply die of old age. The other problem is that often it is hard to identify who you should cut or due to labor contracts of various kinds and some laws, you need to get rid of people who you should otherwise be hanging onto in such cuts of staff.

    Raising revenue is the opposite side of things, where you hope that by increasing sales (or in the case of government you are raising tax revenue) that you can have your existing employee base simply be doing more things than they were in the past. That works to a point, assuming you haven't saturated your market or in the case of tax revenue you haven't taxes the citizens to the point they will stop working because they simply refuse to pay more taxes or can't afford to pay those taxes.

    None of this is easy, and often managers of companies or government leaders choose the wrong path to go or at least would have been better off trying a different approach to the problem.

    The ugly side is that a company which simply fails altogether to chart a reasonable path to balance its books will simply go bankrupt and stop being in business. A government, on the other hand, simply can't go bankrupt or when it does the results are a bit more catastrophic and result in civil war, inflation, or worse.

  37. Re:It's still blamed on Obama. by nedlohs · · Score: 2

    Whereas I read that as those offering the loans doing it, since the offering is what is being mentioned not the accepting.

  38. Re:And the value of those loans were what? by butchersong · · Score: 1

    Since when does having an MBA qualify you for anything? People know when they're overextended. I guess you could argue that poor people are so incompetent they need to be protected from themselves. Poor people do tend to have more of the instant gratification types in their ranks and they make poor decisions... as a rule that's why they're poor. I still find it a contemptable position to take but I guess I see where you're coming from.

  39. Fearmongering by degeneratemonkey · · Score: 1

    There is no fiscal cliff. Moving on...

  40. Re:And the value of those loans were what? by Applekid · · Score: 1

    The point being that not everyone is going to be an expert in real estate and mortgages and all that stuff. That industry is an army of employees, all trained, doing this every fucking day, and they're going to understand it all way better than a person who might go through it once or twice in their entire lifetime.

    The system is just plain stacked against the average person.

    --
    More Twoson than Cupertino
  41. %%%%%%%%%% :The magic wand of finance by SimplexBang · · Score: 1

    The obvious thing about economic subjects like this,
    is that , allthough physics does not claim to be even analytically able to solve a three body dynamical evolution ,
    when budgets are involved , everyone is suddenly the expert.

    And the instrument everyone is using is the holy grail of all arguments .... : the percentage %

    All talk boils down to this amount x percentage , compared to that percentage y

    All the world is suddenly describable within a scale from 1 to 100

    It's funny , but totally wrong.

    Its the totem of finance ,

    And everyone wants to weild that magic wand

    %%%%%%%%%%%%%

    Kind of silly is it not ?

    --
    Avoid your fears , or wonder at the past
  42. Mod parent up. by bussdriver · · Score: 1

    One does have to remember the dollar is a farce and is inflating at high rates which they no longer report (but to be fair most the world is tracking along with it because we are their biggest consumers. ) So regular budget increases are necessary. While parent is generally correct, there is an impact just like a CUT but it is just not as big of a CUT in budget as it sounds. Ask anybody who understands their wage freeze knows it is actually a pay cut!

    I want the crazies to drive us "off the cliff" and shutdown the government a few times. Obama needs to show some guts.... Gov shutdowns over budget fights have been going on more since the class war escalated in the 70s (and not coincidentally also the propaganda cover. A core issue in human history, now off limits.) Obama shouldn't fear having the 18-19th shutdown... and this "cliff" isn't as big of a deal but he can't even risk that... The echo chamber is making it a big deal; along with the unconstitutional debt ceiling fight (read the 14th and think how much more of a crisis that was.)

    1. Re:Mod parent up. by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      You complain about hidden inflation because the government creates money out of thin air, then you recommend that Obama shut down the government rather than agree to reduce government spending so that the government can stop creating money out of thin air to pay its bills.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    2. Re:Mod parent up. by moeinvt · · Score: 1

      "government creates money out of thin air, "

      It's even worse than that. Private bankers create the money out of thin air and then the government borrows that money and pays interest on it. It's called "Quantitative Easing".

    3. Re:Mod parent up. by bussdriver · · Score: 1

      Government spending is a problem but that whole concept is loaded up with so much propaganda it is not worth addressing. Other factors are every bit as important. We've had a deficit since Bush and a depression and THAT causes a huge decrease in funds - a bigger problem then previous spending levels in social programs. The increases in wasteful spending can be manageable if you have enough revenue. WE PRIMARILY HAVE A REVENUE PROBLEM. The tax cuts created a larger revenue problem, with the same argument (presented differently) that cutting revenue would increase income and that would fix the debt long term if we can just accept a short term debt (decade+? naturally, it never was active long enough to show promise and many think it would never turn around.) This scheme created a bigger debt problem than our spending, both times it was tried. People who claim that the recent debt was achieved by spending are likely misinformed or spewing propaganda because when looking at the numbers the revenue is clearly the biggest factor.

    4. Re:Mod parent up. by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      We do not have a "revenue problem". Historically, no matter what the tax rates, the federal government has collected between 18-19% of GDP in tax revenue. Currently the federal government is spending just shy of 25% of GDP. That is a spending problem, not a revenue problem. The fact is we have had a deficit since before I was born, not just since Bush.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    5. Re:Mod parent up. by bussdriver · · Score: 1

      Well, I don't think you are worth the time: The difference between deficit and debt is extremely important. If you do not realize this to the point of confusing them...

    6. Re:Mod parent up. by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      If you don't understand that your debt does not increase unless your spending exceeds your income(the definition of "deficit"), then you should really not be allowed to vote.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  43. Re:It's still blamed on Obama. by GrimShady · · Score: 1

    well they did manufacture the dumb people that took the loans sooo...

  44. Meanwhile by TheSkepticalOptimist · · Score: 1

    Funding has increased for Honey-Boo-Boo and Doomsday preparation.

    America, the newest 3rd world country. Even Foxconn is looking to set up shop there.

    --
    I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
  45. Point of information by whitroth · · Score: 1

    Back in the sixties? seventies? It was noted in a lot of places in the mainstream media that the amount of money needed to create one job in the military would create 22 jobs in the civilian sector.

    That's TWENTY-TWO civilian jobs. (Please insert all your stories of $722 toilet seats and $1024 hammers here, please.)

    And do you really think that's gone down since then?

                    mark

  46. Re:And the value of those loans were what? by shmlco · · Score: 2

    “In 2007, the total volume of home sales in the United States was about $1.7 trillion—paltry when compared with the $40 trillion in stocks that are traded every year. But in contrast to the activity that was taking place on Main Street, Wall Street was making bets on housing at furious rates. In 2007, the total volume of trades in mortgage-backed securities was about $80 trillion. That meant that for every dollar that someone was willing to put in a mortgage, Wall Street was making almost $50 worth of bets on the side."

    "Lehman Brothers had a leverage ratio of about 33 to 1, meaning that it had about $1 in capital for every $33 in financial positions that it held. This meant that if there was just a 3 to 4 percent decline in the value of its portfolio, Lehman Brothers would have negative equity and would potentially face bankruptcy."

    Nate Silver, The Signal and the Noise

    Build derivatives and CDOs and trade at 50-to-1. Leverage those trades at 33-to-1. Get the rating companies to give those securities AAA ratings, despite having nothing on which to base those estimates. Then add in hedge funds and trades like Magnetar, where brokers deliberately packed tranches with toxic loans and then made money when securities deliberately setup to fail actually failed.

    The housing industry was lead to slaughter not by government, but by Wall Street. It's hard to generate trillions in CDOs if you don't have enough of the loans on which those securities are based.

    --
    Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
  47. RD funding by volmtech · · Score: 1

    Isn't it time for the rest of the world to fund their own R and D. India's middle class is as large as the U.S.'s. China has a growing middle class and many billionaires. The Euro zone still has resources. Let all of them develop the next generation of advances. We can than ride their coat tails for a while and expand social programs for Americans with the savings. Or do you think Americans are much smarter than those foreigners?

  48. Re:And the value of those loans were what? by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

    It was legalized theft, with the rich legally robbing the poor.

    Ignorance sure is expensive, isn't it? Maybe people shouldn't sign financial papers that they don't understand? Nah, that would be asking too much, right? If you're making a large purchase, like a home, isn't it worth a few hundred or even a few thousand dollars more to get the opinion of an attorney or a CPA that you pay directly and can trust to look over the paperwork on your behalf?

  49. Re:And the value of those loans were what? by mcgrew · · Score: 1

    isn't it worth a few hundred or even a few thousand dollars more to get the opinion of an attorney or a CPA

    The people who bought these houses couldn't afford attorneys or CPAs, nor did they know they needed them.