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China Set To Surpass US In R&D Spending In 10 Years

dcblogs writes "China is on track to overtake the U.S. in spending on research and development in about 10 years, as federal R&D spending either declines or remains flat. The U.S. today maintains a large lead in spending over China, with federal and private sector investment expected to reach $424 billion next year, a 1.2% increase. By contrast, China's overall R&D spending is $220 billion next year, an increase of 11.6% over 2012, a rate similar to previous years. This finding is shared by the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. 'China's investment as a percentage of its GDP shows continuing, deliberate growth that, if it continues, should surpass the roughly flat United States investment within a decade,' it said in a report last month."

233 comments

  1. maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Do the math. Or look at a map. China will, at some point, overtake the US in any given metric for the same reason the US overtook England 100-150 years ago. But 10 years? There's a lot of bubble and there will be a lot of pain when it pops.

    1. Re:maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      look at a map??? china is 50000sq/km smaller than the US. What conclusions am I suppose to draw from that?

    2. Re:maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      meant sq mi not km.

    3. Re:maybe by cheesybagel · · Score: 3, Informative

      1) A lot of that US land area is Alaska.
      2) Population is more relevant to GDP as Japan can amply demonstrate.

    4. Re:maybe by gnutrino · · Score: 1

      That you're looking at the wrong sort of map, they don't just have to show geographical features you know.

    5. Re:maybe by AK+Marc · · Score: 2

      1) Yeah, what of it, punk.

    6. Re:maybe by Smauler · · Score: 1

      So the OP's point to "look at a map" was a little pointless then. Russia and Canada are the two biggest countries in the world.

    7. Re:maybe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And a lot of the Chinese landmass is comprised of various deserts and the Himalayas. Not exactly prime land.

      In the end, it will always come down to population. Russia has a vast amount of land (still), but its population is declining. Very soon, China will be taking parts of Russia in the quest for "lebensraum". It's natural and part of human history. You're free to judge it as "good" or "bad", but the forces of history and the migrations of peoples will go on regardless.

  2. Why not? by gelfling · · Score: 3, Insightful

    America has become an anti intellectual society. Particularly when talking about STEM. All the pundits like to scream how we need to hire eleventy zillion teachers and then turn around and pout and scream that they're not all social workers focused on bullying, eating disorders and special needs. And if anyone so much as suggests that all the MFA's in Italian poetry pay more in tuition to offset the cost of the courses in engineering we're told we're all redneck knuckledragging philistines.

    Someday, soon, a bunch of Federal grant wielding puppeteers will put on a show in Esperato about how we used to have fire but the inventor died.

    1. Re:Why not? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 5, Insightful

      America has become an anti intellectual society

      That much is obvious even to the densest dim-wits since the appointment of a "Christian Scientist" as the head of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    2. Re:Why not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Merry Christmas to you too!

    3. Re:Why not? by thomasw_lrd · · Score: 1

      At least we won't have to worry about those space aliens that are chained in the mountain, or on our bodies, or whatever those whackos believe.

    4. Re:Why not? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      If those beliefs are anti-intellectual themselves? Hell, yes!

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    5. Re:Why not? by Patch86 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Just to be clear, he wasn't just saying "a scientist who is a Christian". Lamar Smith is a member of the sect called "Christian Science", which is an anti-science movement. Among other things, they believe that researching into disease is one of the main CAUSES of disease- that the way to reduce disease is to reduce the number of doctors and medical researchers in the world. They teach their members to avoid medicine and surgery at all cost, and to rely instead on the power of prayer and psychic healers to cure illness.

      Lamar Smith isn't one of these by accident of birth; he wrote for the church newspaper, and is married to a "practitioner". His religious beliefs are directly related to his ability to do his job. If your job involves figuring out the national strategy for funding scientific research, and you believe that scientific researchers are the cause of all the world's ills, you may just have a small conflict of interest.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lamar_S._Smith
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christian_Science

    6. Re:Why not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's something "intellectual" to ponder - is the phrase "anti-intellectual" a euphemism for being religious, or vise-versa?

      -- Ethanol-fueled

    7. Re:Why not? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      Using social science and liberal arts as your examples of anti-intellectualism shows that you are, yourself, an anti-intellectual. Have fun with that.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    8. Re:Why not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your description of Christian Science is wholly inaccurate in every respect. It is not anti-science. I know many scientists (physicists, etc) who are members of the church.

      Your description of what they believe is really far off the mark.

    9. Re:Why not? by gelfling · · Score: 1

      The British society of anthropologists declared in 2010 that anthropology is no longer a science.

    10. Re:Why not? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      I'm sure that in your mind, that's relevant to the main point, somehow.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    11. Re:Why not? by gelfling · · Score: 1

      Social "sciences" while interesting avocations don't float your economy. And as the article mentions we're not interested in that so we are now free to churn out all the philosophers we need to drive cabs.

    12. Re:Why not? by shadowofwind · · Score: 2

      I think it's worth drawing addition attention to the predatory nature of the Christian Science theology. It's not just that they believe in 'mind over matter', which can be a defensible position if sensibly qualified. They set it up so that top church members grow rich from the fear and suffering that their theology causes among their followers. When you're seriously sick, believing that the cause of your sickness is your faith in doctors, they'll pray for you, but for a fee. Ostensibly the fee is a 'gift', but the church even has standard rates per prayer 'treatment'. Becoming wealthy through faith is also a core part of their teaching though - belief in limitation is what stands between you and 'abundance'. So through that lens, the I'll-gotten wealth of top members is evidence of their righteousness.

      Christian Science is deeply anti-science. To quote their founder, 'matter is error'. She taught that the only thing that stands between what you and you want is the belief that nature is anything other than a mistake. With that outlook it makes no sense to study how nature works, the only thing that matters is holy will.

      Nobody can embrace a theology that is that deeply and starkly at odds with reality without being conflicted. So of course there will be Christian Scientists who are not wholly against science. But their teaching is diametrically against science, as well as being immoral. I think the fact that they choose to call their outlook 'scientific' says more about how dishonest or brainwashed they are than it says about their regard for science. But then L. Ron Hubbard used the word science a lot also.

    13. Re:Why not? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      Right. And what the hell does that have to do with your original complaint about anti-intellectualism?

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    14. Re:Why not? by flayzernax · · Score: 1

      I agree that its poor to judge based on religion, but this guys religion is not the problem so much as his associations and general disregard for others not of his religion.

      I would like to buy a politician without biases one day, but sadly I don't think they will ever exist.

    15. Re:Why not? by CodeBuster · · Score: 1

      Particularly when talking about STEM

      The politicians like to talk about STEM and how we need more of it, but once again they ignore the basic economics. A STEM profession requires years of rigorous education and training and very often an advanced degree which means several more years at the minimum of post-graduate education. Most students who begin such a program don't complete it. Indeed, the graduation rate for undergraduate degrees in STEM is below 50% of students beginning the program and even then it often takes more than four years to finish. This is not an insubstantial risk for those taking out student loans that must be repaid whether a degree is earned or not. What is the reward for all of this? Maybe a research job, or perhaps an industry position if it's a practical engineering degree, that generally pays much less than 100k per year. There's also the issue of substantial foreign competition and outsourcing which further increases the labor competition and drives down salaries even more, especially in the long run. If you're a smart young undergraduate who cares about financial success, you'd have to be crazy to major in STEM unless your degree is somehow directly transferable into finance as an analytical geek or 'quant' and even then you will still struggle to find respect amongst the traders and other Wall Street types who look down their noses at techies who only make 150k per year and don't get the real bonuses.

      scream that they're not all social workers focused on bullying, eating disorders and special needs.

      In theory, the same amount of money that's spent bringing special needs students up to standard is also supposed to be spent advancing the gifted students so that they achieve their fullest potential. However in practice what happens is that the special needs kids use up all of the money, and then some, leaving nothing for the advancement of the gifted students. It's then up to the parents to spend their own money, after already paying their taxes which were supposed to cover appropriate schooling for their child, on private tutors to provide the necessary and proper enrichment. Unfortunately, not every gifted child is born to wealthy parents and those parents with the temerity to demand the promised resources for their gifted child are viciously attacked by the teachers and special needs advocates who argue that your kid will meet the standard without additional help and that they cannot waste resources advancing them while other students are still falling behind. It should be noted that No Child Left Behind has reinforced this line of thinking amongst many educators who are rewarded for class averages that meet or exceed the standards and punished when they don't. I suppose that's understandable, but it's still regrettable.

    16. Re:Why not? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, America has become an anti-WHITE society, I think that's what you meant to say.

      Africa is a third world hellhole because of Africans. Mexico is a third world hellhole because of Mexicans.

      Duh - I wonder what will happen as the population of Africans and Mexicans in America increases?

    17. Re:Why not? by khallow · · Score: 1

      The Christian Scientists have been kicking around since the 19th century and they're off shoots of even older anti-scientific religious groups which can be traced back to the Reformation in Europe.

      People should be asking "What changed?" since then. As I see it, a lot of society requires vast amounts of knowledge, some with a short shelf life. And humans haven't gotten a whole lot better at learning. So I think a big part of what's going on is that people are creating sub-societies with a lower knowledge requirement. Toss in insecurity from the resulting power differential and I think you have all the ingredients for an anti-science movement.

    18. Re:Why not? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      It's not a euphemism, it's a hypernym.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  3. Focus on science and science education by girlinatrainingbra · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sadly, the USA is not focusing on science and engineering education, except for paying lip service to the concept of STEM courses in college. There are even proposals to tie tuition payments to the popularity of courses: charge more for engineering courses and less for liberal arts (which is the opposite of the right way to influence it if you're trying to coax people into the sciences and into engineering). The idea seems to be that majors which will earn more money should have a higher tuition associated with it. China sends more scholars over here. Meanwhile we have been making it harder for the best students in the world to come here for political reasons and visa bias when it would make more sense to encourage the best of the best to come here to learn and to stay here and innovate!

    1. Re:Focus on science and science education by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Sadly, the USA is not focusing on science and engineering education, except for paying lip service to the concept of STEM courses in college."

      I think you mean "thankfully" instead of "sadly." The job market for STEM is horrible and has been for years...outside of /.'s primary audience of programmers. I couldn't tell you how many friends and coworkers have quit science because there are a hundred applicants for every job.

    2. Re:Focus on science and science education by tbid18 · · Score: 1

      There are even proposals to tie tuition payments to the popularity of courses: charge more for engineering courses and less for liberal arts (which is the opposite of the right way to influence it if you're trying to coax people into the sciences and into engineering).

      I haven't heard anything like that, and in fact it seems to be the opposite:

      Down in Florida, a task force commissioned by Governor Rick Scott is putting the finishing touches on a proposal that would allow the state's public universities to start charging undergraduates different tuition rates depending on their major. Students would get discounts for studying topics thought to be in high demand among Florida employers. Those would likely include science, technology, engineering, and math (aka, the STEM fields), among others.

      link Perhaps this is true in fringe cases, but it doesn't seem to be the norm.

    3. Re:Focus on science and science education by Pleski · · Score: 1

      Are you aware of a field besides medicine where that's not the case?

    4. Re:Focus on science and science education by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      I haven't heard anything like that, and in fact it seems to be the opposite:

      When I attended Texas A&M, the engineering department charged lab fees that made their classes more expensive than any others. And the lab fees included almost nothing. A little time on the Cray (access to it, any actual time was still billed separately) and other things like that, mostly useless. Well, that and access to the engineering store, where they sold bread boards and components for profit.

    5. Re:Focus on science and science education by khallow · · Score: 1

      Put it this way. If you're going for a job that doesn't require a STEM degree, then why put the extra effort in? Most people don't get an education for the education, but because the degree is a gateway to higher quality jobs and thereby, better income.

    6. Re:Focus on science and science education by noobermin · · Score: 1

      Why is this bad!? Less gubermient spending is good; I mean the large amount of gubermient subsidies always hurts the very sector they are trying to help! With China doing all this spending, surely their R&D will go down the drain (as it has), while with the US having less gubermient spending than them, the extra push from the invisible hand will bring us back to the forefront of innovation.

    7. Re:Focus on science and science education by jess_wundring · · Score: 1

      I'm flabbergasted that your cogent comment has been moderated down to a negative, when there are so many comments on this same story that have all the attributes of a typewritten fart and yet have a positive moderation score....not zero but POSITIVE.

  4. China by Animats · · Score: 3, Informative

    Well, of course. China has 3x the population of the US.

    • First in steel production
    • First in auto production
    • First in electronics production
    • ...

    And the interior provinces aren't even fully industrialized yet. That will change rapidly as the expressway and high speed rail networks are built out.

    1. Re:China by Kergan · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Well, maybe.

      Trouble is, they're building ghost cities, they build railroads with subpar concrete (hint, since it's not explicit in the NYT article: to make proper high speed rail concete you basically need a derivative of volcanic ash, and the amount thereof produced per year is lower than the amount needed to fit the needs of China's yearly consumption, which dwarves the consumption by that of all other countries; in other words, their railway infrastructure's lifespan is roughly 10-20 years, vs 50-100 in developed countries), they need to rebalance, and so many other things can go wrong...

    2. Re:China by cheesybagel · · Score: 2

      More like 4.39x. But your point still stands.

    3. Re:China by dbIII · · Score: 1

      I think you can get that sort of ash from fly ash as well (pozzolanic), but it's been a couple of decades since I read a decent text on concrete. Emerging technologies tend to get away with cutting corners drasticly anyway, so if you are right in ten years they'll be facing a huge bill to try to do it all again with the extra complication and expense of doing little bits at a time between trains or something.
      Where's our high speed rail? I'd be very happy with something like Japan had in the 1960s, it doesn't have to be as good as what the French or Chinese have or the Japanese have now.

    4. Re:China by Kergan · · Score: 1

      If you are right in ten years they'll be facing a huge bill to try to do it all again with the extra complication and expense of doing little bits at a time between trains or something.

      Liu Zhijun got sacked precisely because these complications were already there insofar as I've been following.

    5. Re:China by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      Chinese territory will fragment. War within China will start. Good for business.

    6. Re:China by BigSlowTarget · · Score: 2

      China has had 4+ times the population of the US for a very long time. The real reason they haven't been ahead of the US in production for many decades is that the productivity of the people was squandered by political forces within the country. It was corruption at the highest level, trading the productive potential for political stability.

      We have corruption too. Bad politicians who do sweetheart deals with contributors, crappy patent or copyright laws, lawsuits over unreasonable things with unreasonable settlements and banking malfeasance are all examples of our elements of corruption and there are many more. I think it's relative corruption that will decide if one population is a dozen times as effective as another. That means it will decide who's economy runs things in the 21st century.

    7. Re:China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey dude, I appreciate you gathering engineering data from financial sites of mostly tabloid journalism quality and some *cough* NYT, are straight up western propaganda bullshit for the most part.

      It wouldn't surprise me if the Chinese may be cutting corners, but let's face it, corner cutting happens everywhere.
      How about the launch directors who let Challenger loose when the engineers objected to freezing temperature effects on the rocket seals?
      Let's face it, the Space Shuttle design was compromised from the drawing board; whodathunk rock hard insulation foam would do damage to the shuttle when they routinely break off at supersonic speeds.

      The McDonnell Douglas DC-10 had a rear hatch that the design team knew ahead of production failed in pressure testing, but it took a number of spectacular crashes before the hatch was finally re-designed.

      And Japanese pilots, may they rest in peace, have to love Japanese plane designers of WW2. Armor protection is for weaklings devoid of the spirit of Bushido.

      Given some guy got sacked like two years ago, I'm thinking the Chinese have subsequently upgraded things? Or not? Who knows?

      I don't know what ghost cities have to do with anything.
      I've seen exactly ONE in western propaganda. The Chinese also built a solar city. I think they are planning a green city, ...

    8. Re:China by Animats · · Score: 1

      I think you can get that sort of ash from fly ash as well (pozzolanic), but it's been a couple of decades since I read a decent text on concrete.

      Fly ash (which is a byproduct of coal-burning power plants with pollution control gear) has been widely used in US concrete since the 1970s. Currently, Texas reports a shortage because of cheaper natural gas replacing coal, while China, which is building and operating many new coal-fired power plants, is producing about twice as much as they can use.

      Bad concrete is a generic problem in construction. It requires constant testing and hard-ass inspectors to keep concrete quality up.

      Emerging technologies tend to get away with cutting corners drasticly anyway, so if you are right in ten years they'll be facing a huge bill to try to do it all again with the extra complication and expense of doing little bits at a time between trains or something.

      The US Transcontinental Railroad had exactly the same problem. The original 1870 trackage, built in a frantic hurry, was of terrible quality. When Harriman took over the Union Pacific in 1898, he started some rebuilding, and around 1909, the whole line was rebuilt with heavier rail, better roadbed, and heavy steel bridges, allowing much bigger and heavier trains.

      China has been doing that to its freight rail system. The high speed lines get all the press, along with the rather fragile line to Tibet, but the 100,000km of track in China is mostly used for freight.

    9. Re:China by jcr · · Score: 1

      have to love Japanese plane designers of WW2. Armor protection is for weaklings devoid of the spirit of Bushido.

      More like, they decided that speed, rate of climb, and maneuverability were a greater advantage in combat than being able to absorb more enemy fire. That was the right bet for the first couple of years. When American planes were able to match their speed, it was a different ball game.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    10. Re:China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Helped with the range too.
      But it's a compromise nevertheless.
      The designers made the choice to dispense with armor for performance advantages.
      This along with lightweight non-sealing tanks meant that even if the attack missed the pilot, you probably lost the plane/pilot anyways due to fuel exhaustion from leakage.
      Heavy Allie planes however did translate to superior dive speeds, which gave one the the upper hand provided one had altitude advantage and also saved some Allie bacon until more advanced designs came online.
      Near the end of the war, the Japanese engineers belatedly went western.

      If the Chinese decided that they don't mind putting up with 10 year recycling period, that's their decision.
      Assuming any of these figures from sketchy websites are accurate. The Chinese have no problems making very good products when they need to.

    11. Re:China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      However, not designing self-sealing fuel tanks, which would not have added very much more weight, was a severe oversight that caused Japanese planes to catch fire much too easily when they were hit and thus greatly reduce their survivability in combat.

    12. Re:China by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      We see no evidence of this. especially since most of China is very sparsely populated.

      --
      This is blinging
    13. Re:China by Seeteufel · · Score: 1

      Exactly, that will promote desintegration.

  5. it only makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    There no point for the US investing in R we get everything we need from China.

    Better focus on what we're really good at: creative financing

    1. Re:it only makes sense by manu0601 · · Score: 2

      There no point for the US investing in R we get everything we need from China.

      Better focus on what we're really good at: creative financing

      You are the doctor that suggests waking up the patient to give him sedative drugs

      Financial economy without a real economy beneath is the problem, not the solution

    2. Re:it only makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and guns, and religious nut jobs.

    3. Re:it only makes sense by Pollardito · · Score: 1

      Actually it's more like "all the money we were spending on R&D was producing technology that China was stealing anyway"

    4. Re:it only makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually it's more like "all the money we were spending on R&D was producing technology that China was sharing anyway"

      Copyright infringement is not stealing.

    5. Re:it only makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Better focus on what we're really good at: creative financing

      And then the Chinese will take that over too.

    6. Re:it only makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Long term U.S. federal debt is projected to require interest payments of nearly $550 billion by 2016. China holds nearly 1/3 of U.S. treasury debt. Now I know that we don't pay for their military expenditures, and there isn't conservative alive in this country that would ever let any of this money go toward "entitilements," so that means "we" are paying for nearly the entire Chinese R&D budget.

      But take heart, if the education lobby is correct, most the PhD's doing this work were educated in this country, and they've most assuredly internalized American values, since we all know that academia is a bastion of left wing zealots. So if it's correct that we're getting everything we need from China (via globalization and Walmart), then we've effectively outsourced R&D without having to incur the administrative overhead, the drain of FICA or the responsibility of determining the appropriate level of retained stockholder equity.

      How's that for 'creative financing?'

    7. Re:it only makes sense by Pollardito · · Score: 1

      Actually it's more like "all the money we were spending on R&D was producing technology that China was stealing anyway"

      Copyright infringement is not stealing.

      This thread isn't about downloading the latest pop album. I was talking about Chinese companies stealing hardware and software technologies in order to resell them or to use them to outcompete the original developer in the market. Most people (even on Slashdot) would regard that as stealing

  6. Does not compute by slashmydots · · Score: 0

    That's extremely surprising considering everything they make is crap.

    1. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You mean like the iPhone? Have to agree.

    2. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's extremely surprising considering everything they make is crap.

      That's only because you're thinking of 'Research & Development'. In China R&D stands for 'Reverse-engineering & Duplication'.

    3. Re:Does not compute by Kergan · · Score: 0

      That's extremely surprising considering everything they make is crap.

      That's only because you're thinking of 'Research & Development'. In China R&D stands for 'Reverse-engineering & Duplication'.

      If you put it like that, they've surpassed the US and the EU combined a very long time ago.

    4. Re:Does not compute by blanchae · · Score: 2

      I remember in the 70s, that attitude was the same for "made in Japan" then Japan became one of the technological leaders in the world. China is doing things that the States can't even dream of considering its economic situation. They are making most every thing that you buy now under as name brands as most manufacturers out-source the actual assembly to China. We can start with the iPhone, pretty much every apple device, computer, stereo, television, network equipment, etc.. Keep your blinders on because you don't want to see the reality of the world where the States aren't the techno king anymore.

    5. Re:Does not compute by ahabswhale · · Score: 2

      How is the iPhone crap?

      Keep in mind that if it weren't for the iPhone, you'd probably still be using some piece of shit Samsung flip-phone right now.

      --
      Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
    6. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > That's extremely surprising considering everything they make is crap.

      As opposed to the U.S. ... where everything that they make is imaginary (copyright, finance, etc).

    7. Re:Does not compute by slashmydots · · Score: 2

      I'm going to take a wild guess that Apple's US R&D designed it, China just builds it.

    8. Re:Does not compute by slashmydots · · Score: 1

      Well, that's true and it is cheaper, lol.

    9. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How is the iPhone crap?

      You're better off not invoking fanboy masturbation. Ask, rather:

      "How is every piece of high-end electronic equipment you own crap?"

      China is like any other place. You get what you pay for. If you buy cheap Chinese shit, you get cheap Chinese shit. If you pay a premium for good Chinese merchandise, you get good Chinese merchandise.

    10. Re:Does not compute by slashmydots · · Score: 1

      Keep your blinders on because you don't want to see the reality of the world where the States aren't the techno king anymore.
      Oh bullshit, the last 10 techno remixes I listened to on Youtube were made in either the US or Europe.

      Also, no, their quality standards are crap. They're like a 12 year old kid showing off or an inner city Asian person ricing out their Honda. They'll build the world's biggest _____ or fastest ______ just to say they have it but it's a hastily made, poorly designed piece of crap that doesn't function correctly. They just designed it for their own egos and to make their crappy country look better as a propaganda statement. For example, their bullet trains.

    11. Re:Does not compute by Funky+Jester · · Score: 2

      "Give us a product at the lowest possible cost so we can maximize our profit. Damn the consumer." ...They make crap because American corporations ask them to make crap.

    12. Re:Does not compute by Runaway1956 · · Score: 0

      Today, almost everything is crap. Given another decade, they'll start getting things right. People are people, after all. A Chinese who does the same job for years and years is going to get better and better at his job, just as anyone else does.

      Maybe what you're missing is, the government involvement. Government in China is pushing people to invest, learn, and improve. Our own government, in contrast, encourages welfare ghetto kids to sing rap music, sell drugs, and set up elaborate con schemes.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    13. Re:Does not compute by Have+Brain+Will+Rent · · Score: 1

      No intelligent person would accept that statement. They make very good optics (once upon a time not so but now very good) - go buy a good telescope in the USA - it is most likely made in Mainland China or Taiwan.

      They make all sorts of good electronics, do circuit fab etc at very low prices.

      Over the last month I ordered more than 100 different component assemblies from 100+ different suppliers for a little project of mine - so far it all works, seems well designed etc.

      Bury your head in the sand if you want but if you do then hold on tight to your butt because it is going to get steamrollered.

      --
      The tyrant will always find a pretext for his tyranny - Aesop
    14. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are sadly uninformed. US manufacturing output is 21% of the world's total (a smidge over 1/5th), whereas China represents 15%.

      America never stopped manufacturing goods; our factories just keep using more and more robots, automation and computer controlled devices, which means fewer workers needed to manufacture those goods. Our once good-paying jobs aren't really going overseas so much as evaporating entirely because of progress.

    15. Re:Does not compute by readin · · Score: 1

      No intelligent person would accept that statement. They make very good optics (once upon a time not so but now very good) - go buy a good telescope in the USA - it is most likely made in Mainland China or Taiwan

      Well which country makes the optics? If Taiwan then it is irrelevent to the discussion. Although Taiwan was a colony of China in the 1800s the two countries are now very different places. You can't claim China is advanced simply because a colony 100 years ago makes good optics!

      --
      I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    16. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My sister works in a large firm, in the department that deals with the Chinese manufacturers. Apparently the process is like this. Western R&D designs the product. The design is shipped to China. The Chinese make a batch of 5 or so prototypes. The prototypes are checked. They are perfect. Management says "Cool, we'll take 500,000 units" 500,000 pieces of crap arrive. Sales goes nuts. Legal get informed, China gets called. Firm's gone out of business, but here's another firm with a low bid, that is really, completely, absolutely not the old firm with a new letterhead. Revised design gets sent off and back comes a batch of perfect prototypes...

    17. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so true.

      Think about it for a second, where are cost savings really possible for most electronics. It isn't in the QA and manufacturing, by the time a product has arrived at QA a bunch of money has already been spent.

      I visited a power tools factory in China a few years back. Like most big factories I've been to, it was run with military precision. A bit messy on the outside, but clean, lean and super organized on the inside.

      They were making a lot of tools for big western brands* and they were making 3x the quantity in cheap no name style chinese brands tools.

      Same factory, same workers, same design team.

      Design itself aside, the production lines, QA and tooling quality was identical for both the low quality stuff and high. The difference was in the components and the quality of the plastics.

      Cheaper products need more effort to make all the crap parts work together for just slightly longer than the warranty period. They spent a bunch more time and effort designing the low cost stuff. These people really knew how to make stuff and design stuff to be made.

      I get that super cheap electronics will exchange good industrial design and fasteners with less than liberal use of a glue gun. But in the end it comes down to the components not the manufacturing itself nor the people doing it. The decision about the total BOM cost of a cheap ass power tool comes from the market not the factory boss.

    18. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's a classic and now fairly dated situation when engaging a chinese manufacturer, most western companies have wised up. I suggest they either find a professional agent in China to do the deals for them (yep it costs more), or station a laowai at the manufacturing partner in China to keep an eye on things (and put that in the contract).

      http://www.chinalawblog.com/2012/11/china-manufacturing-payment-terms.html

      one of no doubt many articles on the subject.

    19. Re:Does not compute by Have+Brain+Will+Rent · · Score: 1

      Sigh... read what I wrote, they *both* make excellent optics. As for your characterization of Taiwan you should talk to some Chinese about that.

      --
      The tyrant will always find a pretext for his tyranny - Aesop
    20. Re:Does not compute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should at least keep your mouth shut, instead of making it clear you are a wilfully ignorant idiot.
      China makes crap, yes, but that crap sells. Why'd they refuse to sell crap? They also make quality goods (e.g. Apple stuff. Apple is evil, but their electronics are of excellent quality), and as the cost of their labor goes up chances are more quality goods will be made (while cheap goods will be build somewhere else, like India if they solve some of their infrastructure problems). And, despite the international crisis, China's still growing - they must be doing something right.
      Japan used to only export crap. Idiots, like yourself, thought the Japanese could only build crappy products and, as you know, have been proven wrong as Japan now builds quality electronics. It's the exact same shit with China - they started with cheap stuff and are working their way up.

    21. Re:Does not compute by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      As for your characterization of Taiwan you should talk to some Chinese about that.

      It's irrelevant what mainland Chinese think about Taiwan: like it or not, they've been under entirely different governments for the last six decades, and have followed much different courses of political and economic development.

    22. Re:Does not compute by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

      That's a point well missed. After a trip to China, one of the people I met asked me to help translate something. She was a translator, and the Lewisville Lizards sent a sample they wanted mass produced. "cheapest material possible" The problem is that people in the US have a problem understanding how cheap that is. I'm sure they'll get the un-soft stuffed mascots I've seen so often. When, for $0.10 each more, they'd have something people might want two of.

    23. Re:Does not compute by jcr · · Score: 1

      China just builds it.

      Not exactly. Final assembly is done in China. Parts are made in the USA, Japan, Korea, and many other countries.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    24. Re:Does not compute by jcr · · Score: 1

      Don't get too smug about that belief. It's what people used to say about Japan, too.

      There are a lot of people in China, and they have the same proportion of extremely smart people as any other country.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    25. Re:Does not compute by jcr · · Score: 1

      China makes crap, yes, but that crap sells.

      China makes crap, and they also make world-class products. You can get whatever quality you're willing to pay for from Chinese manufacturers.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    26. Re:Does not compute by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Android was announced before the iPhone. Apple wasn't the only one working on smartphones at the time, they were just the first to release.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    27. Re:Does not compute by readin · · Score: 1

      And six decades ago they only shared a government for 4 years. Prior to that they were separat governments going back to 1895.

      --
      I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    28. Re:Does not compute by Have+Brain+Will+Rent · · Score: 1

      Yes I'm sure that it's irrelevant what 1.5 Billion directly involved people think... your opinion must be the correct one. lol!

      --
      The tyrant will always find a pretext for his tyranny - Aesop
    29. Re:Does not compute by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      Yes I'm sure that it's irrelevant what 1.5 Billion directly involved people think...

      You can probably dig up dozens of examples in the present day alone where large numbers of citizens of one country think they should be able to order around the citizens of another country because of some asinine historical claim. The Chinese have lots of strange ideas like this; so do the Russians. And tens of millions of Americans thought (and probably still do) that Iraq was involved in 9/11. But wishing something, however passionately, does not automatically make it true. Until at least 1980, mainland China's economic policies had nothing to do with the rapid growth and wealth of Taiwan in the late 20th century (well, except to the extent that Maoist incompetence meant one fewer competitor), and for the time being, the Taiwanese continue to make their own destiny (except for whatever effects PRC threats have) . No amount of fictitious posturing on either side changes the fact that Taiwan has been de facto independent for more than 60 years.

  7. It's not just money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China may soon equal the US in R&D spending, but that doesn't mean they'll equal the US in R&D. There are some significant problems with Chinese academic/research culture that, unless addressed, will mean that they never get close to the bang-for-buck that the US gets.

    1. Re:It's not just money by darkHanzz · · Score: 2

      that they never get close to the bang-for-buck that the US gets.

      Quite true, but what happens when China spends, say, twice as much on R&D ? They will overtake US at some point, if the current trends in both US and China continue.

    2. Re:It's not just money by houstonbofh · · Score: 2

      We are going backwards, and they are going forwards... The rate does not change the end result, only the time to get there.

    3. Re:It's not just money by blanchae · · Score: 3, Interesting

      They are spending more than twice now if we compare wages. Their $200 billion gets a lot more R&D then the States $400 billion. There is such an inequality in wages in the order of 10 to 1, that I would guess that they are actually getting the equivalent of $2 Trillion in State's R&D.

    4. Re:It's not just money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep - the US has those thingies that accelerate progress immensely..

      As an example: Software patents makes everything cheaper and relieves company's spending more money to lawyers than to R&D. It makes starting a new software company inexpensive because you only have to licence about 12543217723324 patents to make a game like tic-tac-toe or a simple phone OS..

      Those things China is lacking, so the progress will be a lot slower...

      Oh... wait...

  8. Just think... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Think of all the wonderful things the USA could afford to do if we weren't so busy destroying capitalism. We've got record numbers of people out of work and on government assistance and an administration who only knows how to grow Washington DC in response. We are in a death spiral because we treat our elections like another episode of American Idol. We have a blueprint of how to be free and prosperous, but nobody pays attention to it anymore.

    1. Re:Just think... by ahabswhale · · Score: 1

      How exactly are we destroying capitalism?

      --
      Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
    2. Re:Just think... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      "We are in a death spiral because we treat our elections like another episode of American Idol."

      ...and because the rest that doesn't go to elections at all treat American Idol like another round of elections.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    3. Re:Just think... by houstonbofh · · Score: 1

      Get ready to be modded troll for posting a completely correct but unpopular view.

    4. Re:Just think... by readin · · Score: 1

      Think of all the wonderful things the USA could afford to do if we weren't so busy destroying capitalism. We've got record numbers of people out of work and on government assistance and an administration who only knows how to grow Washington DC in response. We are in a death spiral because we treat our elections like another episode of American Idol. We have a blueprint of how to be free and prosperous, but nobody pays attention to it anymore.

      The administration did spend some money on R&D. It gave the money to a company that did some R&D and was then sold, presumably along with the R&D, to China. ( http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/09/us-a123-sale-confirmation-idUSBRE8B80I420121209 )

      --
      I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    5. Re:Just think... by readin · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Well there are so many ways it is hard to remember all of them. Certainly the debt is a problem. But let's go with one we all remember and that is generally given favorable press coverage: the auto company bailout. One of the key features of capitalism is that failures are destroyed to make room for success. For example, when an auto company doesn't perform it should go out of business. If unions were a large factor in pushing it to fail, the unions involved should suffer and be discredited. However, when the government steps into undermine contracts rather than enforcing them, giving money to political backers (i.e. the unions) rather than following the rule of law, and treating a company as "too big to fail", it damages capitalism (not to mention society at large).

      --
      I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    6. Re:Just think... by ahabswhale · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What does debt have to do with capitalism? There is nothing about debt that precludes capitalism.

      Had we let the auto companies fail, what would have been created in its place? Nothing. The expense of setting up a new car company is unbelievably expensive. All we would have gained by letting them fail was the loss of over one million jobs and the death of the American auto industry. I fail to see how that helps capitalism.

      You make a point of singling out unions but fail to mention all the banks that were too big to fail and have no unions. Should we have let them fail? By your logic, we should have. But by all accounts we would have entered a full blown depression (ala 1939). Keep in mind we were losing over 700,000 per month at the time. Are you pro capitalism at the cost of a depression? I hate to tell you this but unrestricted capitalism is what caused the problem in the first place. Saving the banks (as disgusting as that feels) is what saved capitalism. The reason social programs like medicare exist is to save capitalism. Study history and you'll understand why.

      What most capitalism purists fail to get is that there are no pure systems and that includes the economic system of capitalism. Do you think the stock market is a free market? Not even close. Such things just don't exist.

      --
      Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
    7. Re:Just think... by TarPitt · · Score: 1

      So we are destroying capitalism to be overtaken by the People's Republic of China, the largest nation run by a Communist Party? Where the Party in effect controls the economy and capital is an arm of the government?

      A country that destroyed capitalism in 1948 (if it ever had it)?

      --
      If your children ever found out how lame you are, they'd murder you in your sleep
    8. Re:Just think... by gutnor · · Score: 1

      Note that you assume that there is a free market behind. Which is probably fair enough for the auto industry but is not exactly the case everywhere. Let's see for example rare earth. Well, it could have been useful to bail out the mines considering that the competition was using state sponsored dumping. Also there are strategic sector. The world is not quite happy poney world yet and you cannot rely on other countries for stuff like food and anything that would prevent you maintaining the infrastructure and military of your country. At least, you want to hedge your bets and that requires assisting some industries from time to time.

      With regard to the union and auto-industry, there is a question of social stability involved. You cannot afford to have whole region shutdown entirely, you would just create a refugee situation within your own border. Union are easy scapegoat when looking at the industry today, but it really started sinking a decade or more ago, and you have to look for problem at that time (hint: the US get their ass kicked by Japan and Germany, not exactly third world hell-hole with slaves at 1$/day)

    9. Re:Just think... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Here is some food for thought. There are more than 3 automakers in the United States. Only 3 of them are unionized.

      Only 3 of them got in serious trouble with the credit crunch, and all 3 of them were the ones battered by union demands for more than the 'decade' you elude to.

      Did these automakers make bad choices? Sure. The question is, how much influence did the unions have in those choices? Clearly the UAW is one of the most powerful unions in the country, and has extremely significant influence.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    10. Re:Just think... by Pseudonym+Authority · · Score: 1

      The entire comment can be summarized as ``Wahh! My guy didn't get elected so the people are morons who don't know anything and are destroying the fabric of society!!!''. If he gets modded troll (rightfully it should be flamebait though), it's because he's an stupid child with a persecution complex. He perfectly presented it though, so people not unlike yourself who are unable to see this crap will mod him to (Score:6, Terrific!).

    11. Re:Just think... by happyhamster · · Score: 1

      You are a free market nutjob. Capitalism is what destroyed the U.S. industrial might and prosperity of 40s-60s. Especially the extreme unregulated capitalism as practiced since saint reagan. You still keep blaming the government when now-international (started in the U.S.) corporations openly loot American economy by offshoring wealth and jobs.

    12. Re:Just think... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Volkswagen (and Germany as whole) has one of the strongest unions in the world, and look at their serious trouble... oh wait...

    13. Re:Just think... by roman_mir · · Score: 0

      What does debt have to do with capitalism? There is nothing about debt that precludes capitalism.

      - it's a weird notion. Capitalism is predicated upon accruing savings, which are derived from over-production and under-consumption, it's not fake money that builds businesses. It MAY be credit, but somebody somewhere has to under-consume and over-produce in order to allow for this credit to exist.

      What USA (and the rest of the countries today) are doing is creating fake money out of nowhere, that's because since 1971 the world has been moved off of real money (the dollar was tied to gold and the rest of the world was tied to dollar, thus 'reserve currency').

      Once the money is completely fake, its amount in the system and its value are only dependent on the confidence in the ability of the system to create enough wealth to offset the creation of the fiat money. Look at it carefully, was USA in debt before? Yes. USA used to borrow money from Europe, in 19th century USA was probably the largest borrower in the world. However in the 19th century USA developed its industry, it was private sector that built the industry, built infrastructure for the industry, built the cities around that infrastructure, around industrial hubs.

      Eventually over the 19th century USA became so productive, that it could pay back all of its debts and no longer was a debtor. USA became the largest creditor nation on the planet. Really it was still a creditor up until Reagan time actually, when USA stopped being a creditor and became a debtor.

      Actually being a debtor is FINE, it is not against capitalism in any way to borrow. Being debtor to consume is NOT fine. Yes, you can consume on credit somewhat and really you are only limited in your credit consumption by your creditors. If they decide that you cannot pay the debts back, your 'debt ceiling' will not be up to you to raise, it will be imposed upon you by the creditors. Nobody will lend to you (well, they may, if the interest rates go up by a large amount, but then again, that just may mean you cannot borrow anyway).

      Consuming on debt is a short term exercise. Using debt to build up production is a useful investment strategy. Guess what, USA is NOT building up production for all that debt that it is collecting. That's because the government is crowding out all of the credit, there is no credit available to the businesses at acceptable interest rates, that's because gov't is getting all the credit for free basically. Actually it's debt monetisation (inflation), the Fed now buys 90% of all newly issued US Treasury debt. The Fed 'loans' to the commercial banks at 0, they buy Treasury debt at 2-3%, the spread is their revenue.

      The Fed is lying that they can at any time raise interest rates and exit this downward spiral of currency destruction via debt monetisation, they can't, because the moment they allow interest rates up by no longer buying US Treasuries, the interest rates go up and all the banks are completely bankrupt, because their debt to the Fed is immediately many times what their revenues are from the Treasury, and they can't liquidate any of their holdings.

      The Fed is lying that there is an exit strategy. Who is going to buy all those Trillions of dollars worth of US paper? At what price? At what interest rate? Of-course for the last 1.5 years the reality is that all that debt to the Federal reserve is actually on the books of the US Treasury as well.

      Beside this, except for the 16Trillion outstanding public debt there is a little issue of 222Trillion of unfunded liabilities towards the pensions, Medicare and such. Then of-course there are all the contingency liabilities, that become real ones when the bubble bursts.

      You think a bankrupt bank can pay out its deposits? FDIC has all that liability, student loans, whatever mortgages and other loans..... It's a disaster that will hit ALL AT ONCE. That's going to be USA 'Greek moment', except there is no Germany big enough to bail out USA.

      Yes,

    14. Re:Just think... by khallow · · Score: 1

      But by all accounts we would have entered a full blown depression (ala 1939).

      You mean a la 1929. 1933 happened anyway.

    15. Re:Just think... by Qzukk · · Score: 1

      Did these automakers make bad choices? Sure. The question is, how much influence did the unions have in those choices? Clearly the UAW is one of the most powerful unions in the country, and has extremely significant influence.

      Did these homeowners make bad choices? Sure. The question is, how much influence did the banks have in these choices? Clearly Citi is one of the most powerful banks in the country and has extremely significant influence.

      Now, tell me how homeowners who signed contracts for mortgages they couldn't afford is different from companies who signed contracts for labor they couldn't afford?

      --
      If I have been able to see further than others, it is because I bought a pair of binoculars.
    16. Re:Just think... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Now, tell me how homeowners who signed contracts for mortgages they couldn't afford is different from companies who signed contracts for labor they couldn't afford?

      You mean something different besides the fact that the UAW spends millions of dollars annually in order to get what it wants?

      You mean something different besides the fact that the UAW actually actively lobbies to maintain the bankruptcy laws that allows home owners to get out of their debts?

      Citation not needed

      Yeah.. these things are exactly the same.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    17. Re:Just think... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Had we let the auto companies fail, what would have been created in its place? Nothing.

      Nonsense.

      Had we let the auto companies fail, their assets would have been bought up at fire sale prices and their employees hired by new enterprises with a focus on efficient competition. Perhaps struggling innovators like Aptera motors could have found the resources they needed to bring their vehicles to market, or growing companies like Teslas could have taken advantage of the opportunity to more rapidly expand. But the truth is that probably none of the big three would actually have outright failed anyway. Ford most likely could have weathered the storm without any assistance, GM and Chrysler would have gone through chapter 11 reorganization and then recovered -- but after the bankruptcy their creditors would have demanded more efficient operations and greater competitiveness. Most likely, the bailout has served the American public by propping up inertia at the expense of innovation, and the result will be that we'll get to bail them out again in a few years.

      You make a point of singling out unions but fail to mention all the banks that were too big to fail and have no unions. Should we have let them fail?

      Yes.

      There would have been some short-term pain, but by bailing them out we've just created more pain in the long term. Again, not all of the big banks would have failed; some actually tried to reject the bailout money because they didn't need it, but were required to take it so their competitors didn't look bad. Why the hell wouldn't we want mismanaged institutions to look bad?

      Markets depend on the incentives provided by potential profits and potential losses. Remove the threat of loss and even outright failure and you eliminate the incentive for caution and conservatism which is crucial to all big businesses, and especially to big banking and finance. You can be certain that after having bailed the banks out once, we'll have to do it again in the future. We can try to counter that by imposing increasingly burdensome regulations, to force responsible behavior, but it won't work, and it will stifle innovation that could have provided better allocation of capital to businesses and industries that could have created new jobs.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    18. Re:Just think... by swillden · · Score: 1

      I think the US will avoid going the way of Greece, but you're right that the massive accumulation of debt, and the resulting "sea anchor" drag on the availability of investment capital and credit is going to be very painful to escape. One reason it won't be as painful for us as for Greece is that we do control our own currency, so at the end of the day we can inflate our way out -- which is also going to be very painful, but less than having bond markets simply lose all faith in US treasuries.

      And you're absolutely right that we need, desperately, to allow our major industries to restructure themselves into effectiveness. It would be a little bit painful in the short term, but not doing it means that they'll fail again just when we really need them to be powering us out of our government's deepest troubles.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    19. Re:Just think... by roman_mir · · Score: 0

      I don't believe that USA can avoid currency collapse, that is exactly what will happen BECAUSE USA is able to print the USD, not despite that fact.

      Greece was forced into the situation by the fact that they could no longer borrow and thus they could no longer afford to buy imports. You think that USA can escape that because USA can print the dollar forever, but you are missing my entire point then. By printing the dollar USA will come to the same conclusion as the Greeks.

      You see, Greeks were forced to face their real problem sooner and in reality their debt is much too small to matter to the outside world. This is not the case with USA.

      USA will not be forced to face its problem sooner, but rather it will keep doing the same thing that USA is doing (and what the Greeks were doing), living on credit.

      But the problem is, you believe that USA can do it indefinitely because it can print money. My point is that the real investment capital left and what is remaining of it is leaving USA and the manufacturing sector left some time ago and now the trade deficit is 40-50Billion USD / month and it cannot be brought down by anything except basically export of raw resources and energy. USA is now delegated to be an energy and raw material exporter to the rest of the world, this is not a good position for a former manufacturing power-house to find itself in.

      Here is why USA will be Greece (but without a Germany to bail it out), it's because to fix the problem USA has to cut spending right now. It has to slash government spending so that the government is no longer crowding out private businesses from getting credit, so that the interest rates go up, so that there are real savings accumulated eventually.

      However that very fact is politically impossible in USA. You see, there are too many people on the dole and the politicians are not statesmen (the ones that are cannot be allowed to power, because they promise to cut spending, and that's what the USA public does not want, thus it's political suicide to talk about dismantling SS, Medicare but even stopping the wars seems to be impossible at this point, so much of the remaining USA economy depends on the government contracts and thus on all this fake money).

      No, it will be a dollar collapse, it will be a dollar collapse and a bond collapse and it will happen BECAUSE USA can print dollars.

    20. Re:Just think... by ahabswhale · · Score: 1

      ROFL...wow, you're completely fucking clueless. Yes, Ford would have survived but the others would have ceased to exist. There was NO FUCKING CREDIT. PERIOD. The only one who could have funded them was the government. Also Aptera and Tesla couldn't get any fucking credit to buy those operations even if they wanted them. Apparently your head was in the sand the whole fucking time because the news made almost daily reports about the credit crunch.

      The reason for the bank failures was deregulation. We ditched Glass-Stegall and to add insult to injury, we let the banks institute bullshit insurance in the form of CDSs. Prior to that we had a very stable banking system (albeit with much more modest profits). And seriously, go fuck yourself. It's easy to sit in your air conditioned house and talk shit about how we should have allowed a depression but when your ass is homeless and your begging for food, you would have a very quick attitude change. Pure capitalism begets massive economic swings. It's very Darwinian but history has shown that people don't like that. They prefer less crazy growth in exchange for greater stability.

      If you want to prevent this shit from happening again, fully reinstate Glass-Stegall and outlaw CDSs. Problem solved.

      Your problem is you believe in ideology rather than pragmatism. Ideology is great when you're in college but at some point you have to grow the fuck up. This whole country has become utterly obsessed with ideology over the last couple of decades to the point that reason no longer applies.

      --
      Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
    21. Re:Just think... by ahabswhale · · Score: 1

      My bad...thanks for the correction.

      --
      Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
    22. Re:Just think... by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Had we let the auto companies fail, what would have been created in its place? Nothing. The expense of setting up a new car company is unbelievably expensive. All we would have gained by letting them fail was the loss of over one million jobs and the death of the American auto industry. I fail to see how that helps capitalism.

      You have a good point. Taken to its logical conclusion though, it just means that those who caused the failure to begin with will not change (no penalty/feedback) and they will fail again. Does that help capitalism?

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
    23. Re:Just think... by ahabswhale · · Score: 1

      True but there's another way to fix it without letting the economy self-destruct...

      Reinstate Glass-Stegall (which would kill CDOs) and outlaw CDSs (fake insurance). We had stable banking for decades until some extremely poor choices were made in the deregulation frenzy of the late 90's.

      These regulations provide stability and eliminate the boom and bust cycles associated with unrestricted markets.

      --
      Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
    24. Re:Just think... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Yes, Ford would have survived but the others would have ceased to exist. There was NO FUCKING CREDIT. PERIOD.

      Utter nonsense. Granted that the deficit means treasuries have soaked up a large portion of available investment capital, but that's far from saying none was available. None was available to the automakers in their current form, because investors quite rightly recognized that it would be throwing good money after bad (as was the federal bailout money). But automakers forcibly restructured into greater efficiency would have been a different issue.

      (BTW, using obscenities doesn't add strength to your arguments... quite the opposite. Facts and logic work much better.)

      The reason for the bank failures was deregulation. We ditched Glass-Stegall and to add insult to injury, we let the banks institute bullshit insurance in the form of CDSs.

      LOL. You do know that CDSs, and various other mortgage-backed securities existed and were growing in popularity before the end of Glass-Steagall (note the correct spelling, BTW). The most that economists (actual economists, not media talking heads) agree upon is that GLBA probably accelerated the banking crisis. Many, however, think that's probably a good thing since delaying the crises would have made it worse.

      Here's a question for you: Which specific investment banking practices which led to the sub-prime lending collapse would have been curtailed had Glass-Steagall remained in effect? If you find something and document it well you'll have a publishable econ research paper.

      If you want to prevent this shit from happening again, fully reinstate Glass-Stegall and outlaw CDSs. Problem solved. ...Your problem is you believe in ideology rather than pragmatism.

      Pot, kettle. There is no evidence that the same problem wouldn't have happened without GLBA, and to believe that banning one very particular form of financial instrument will save us all... that's pure ideology.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    25. Re:Just think... by ahabswhale · · Score: 1

      First, I apologize for the obscenities. It was uncalled for. My only excuse is that this topic really grinds my gears.

      On with the discussion...

      I'm sorry but there's no way the auto companies could possibly have restructured in time to be saved with a loan. And credit was, in fact, nearly non-existant. Find me a single credible source that would indicate that they could have gotten credit for the nearly $20 billion they needed to stay alive during the worst credit crunch in modern history and we'll talk. It just wasn't going to happen. Who would have given them the money? The investment banks that were shitting their pants at the time? Or the commercial banks that were busy learning how royally fucked they were due to all their garbage real-estate CDOs? For the record, I'm not for the government getting in the car business (or any other business) as a rule of thumb but given the situation is was the best option of a bunch of bad ones.

      (I should state that when I refer to GLBA going forward, I'm referring to a series of legislative attacks that have been passed to de-fang Glass-Stegal over decades. GLBA was just the last straw.)

      Yeah, CDSs existed before the passing of GLBA but it took a long time before they really took off. Now they account for 10s of trillions of dollars in basically fake bullshit. It allowed these companies to say they were covered for their losses even though the company(s) covering the amount didn't have to have even a single dollar in reserve. This helped promote the high risk attitude that inundated Wall Street. This whole notion that economists think that GLBA was a good thing and just accelerated the inevitable is ridiculous. GLBA (et. al.) made it possible. Prior to GLBA there were no real estate CDOs. Why? Because it wasn't legal (commercial banking and investment banking were required to be separate). Glass-Steagall was passed to prevent exactly this kind of problem. The government passed it after learning a harsh lesson during the depression. Repealing it was one of the stupidest things the government ever did.

      So, I just don't get how anyone can say this would have happened without GLBA. I'm not saying there could not have been some other kind of crisis (like a minor recession) but GLBA enabled a failure of world shaking, galactic proportions that simply would have not been possible without it because there would never have been real-estate CDOs.

      Real estate CDOs and CDSs are the root causes of the financial crisis. You need to really research those instruments if you want to have understanding about what ultimately destroyed the world economy.

      Ultimately, the banks were given too much freedom, greed took over (as it always has and always will), and the inevitable ensued.

      --
      Are agnostics skeptical of unicorns too?
  9. Nonsense... by Kergan · · Score: 1

    China will slow down or have crashed by then.

    1. Re:Nonsense... by oodaloop · · Score: 2

      Exactly. Just like how the USA slowed down after the 1929 Stock Market Crash. It's a shame they never recovered from it.

      --
      Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
    2. Re:Nonsense... by Kergan · · Score: 2

      They eventually did, after a world war that destroyed half of the world's production capacity -- the other half being, for all intents and purposes, in the US. I dearly hope that such a scenario isn't on the table today.

    3. Re:Nonsense... by readin · · Score: 1

      Even if China tops out at a per capita GDP only half of what the US has, they'll still have an overall GDP nearly twice that of the America with all the capability for spending on R&D and military that that implies.

      Some people like to point out that Japan eventually slowed down, which true, but only after it had a per capita GDP that was comparable America. The top developed nations aren't that far apart when it comes to that number. You can put up great growth numbers while catching up, but once you build your factories and educate your workers it is hard to really break out from the pack. Japan, with a population roughly half that of America, caught up and found its total GDP limited. China, with a population roughly double that of America, will go a lot further in terms of total GDP if they come anywhere close to the developed world in per capita GDP.

      And China has a strong sense of resentful nationalism (alarmingly similar to what Japan and Germany once had).

      --
      I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    4. Re:Nonsense... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So very true. It's the "resentful nationalism" that is the most dangerous aspect of China's rise. I think most in the US don't really care if China is successful. It's when we start to realize that we're no longer able to throw our weight around in the Western Pacific that we'll probably say "Hey, this kinda sucks!"

      Regardless, our #1 policy goal should be to avoid a war with China. It will be utterly destructive and we will likely lose. You think we're bankrupt now... :)

  10. That is not a fair comparison... by blanchae · · Score: 2

    China's labor is 1/10 the cost of the USA so in comparison, China is spending 5x times as much on R&D as the US or $2 billion if we compare actual wages. China and the US are in an economic war and the US is losing. Free trade with no tariffs is causing the economic collapse and closure of manufacturing due to the unfair wage difference between China and the Western world.

    1. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by blanchae · · Score: 1

      Screwed up my math, in comparison they are spending $2 TRILLION not $2 billion.

    2. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by marcroelofs · · Score: 1

      We'd better start using the Renminbi as an international currency and dump the US$

    3. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by the+gnat · · Score: 2

      China's labor is 1/10 the cost of the USA so in comparison, China is spending 5x times as much on R&D as the US or $2 billion if we compare actual wages.

      That's only true if you assume that the entire R&D budget goes towards pay wages. In some cases this may be true, but there are an awful lot of technologies required for certain fields that don't magically get cheaper in China. Biotech equipment and consumables are good examples: a lot of these simply aren't produced anywhere besides the US, Japan, and Europe, and they're incredibly expensive. My favorite example is BGI, AKA the Beijing Genomics Institute, which has probably the largest sequencing capacity of any single site worldwide - using technology created entirely in the US and UK. Those sequencers were a huge initial investment, and excluding staff costs, these machines aren't cheap to run either. This isn't the only example: the Chinese supercomputer which was briefly at the top of the Top500 list was made using NVIDIA chips.

      Of course the Chinese could eventually learn to make their own technology - if past precedent holds, they'll simply copy the western designs, which is what they're now doing for supercomputers. But they're not necessarily doing that either: in BGI's case, they're trying to simply buy one of the US companies that makes sequencing equipment, and making processors based on the Alpha chip.

    4. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by cheesybagel · · Score: 2

      There are other examples like advanced lithography or other machine tools.

    5. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by readin · · Score: 1

      Free trade with no tariffs is causing the economic collapse and closure of manufacturing due to the unfair wage difference between China and the Western world.

      What is this "free trade" you speak of? Look into China's trade practices and you won't find much freedom. What you will find is a lot of Chinese government pressure on foreign companies both politically (try speaking out against China in America and then trying to do trade with them) and for money (build a factory with cool new technology, then lose it to the party officials' children).

      --
      I often don't like the choices people make, but I like the fact that people make choices. That's why I'm a conservative.
    6. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Overall China's labor is a tenth the cost of US labor, but that is not the whole picture. Engineers and Scientists tend to be expensive labor, they are likely cheaper in China, but the price differential won't be nearly large. The quality of that labor is also very important. Read any of the reports of many papers in Chinese journals being faked? The US needs to watch out, but this isn't doesn't mean the US is gong to lose dominance.

    7. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      The reference to "free trade" means that China faces minimal barriers to trade with the US - i.e. exports can flow freely into the country, and there's no punishment for companies offshoring their manufacturing (or R&D, for that matter). Reciprocity isn't necessarily part of the deal.

    8. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by ADRA · · Score: 1

      Unfair? Who were the guys who removed tariffs? You know the opposite of free trade? You say it like china has all the control and you're just riding yourselves to the bottom. No. Ther US deliberately weakened their controls over trade balances in order to encourage trade. Well, now you have it and you're finding that there's lack of value that you're bringing to the world markets... troubles ahead me thinks.

      --
      Bye!
    9. Re:That is not a fair comparison... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This.

      Huawei produced exceptional switches for half the price of Cisco's, and the US claimed they're a threat to security, without any proof, LOL.

  11. Correct for economic value by marcroelofs · · Score: 1

    I think the 200B$ they currently spend already is worth more in local economic units than the 400B$ is in the USA.

    1. Re:Correct for economic value by blanchae · · Score: 1

      I agree, I figure it's worth about $2 Trillion in comparison.

  12. Looper already predicted this by MadMike32 · · Score: 1

    Joe: I'm going to France. Abe: You should go to China. Joe: I'm going to France. Abe: I'm from the future. You should go to China.

    1. Re:Looper already predicted this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Joe: I'm going to France.
      Abe: You should go to China.
      Joe: I'm going to France.
      Abe: I'm from the future. You should go to China.

      The reason for that wasn't because of any economic foresight, Looper was partially funded by the Chinese Government.

  13. Where's Cheney these days? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Over in China buying a prime cave in anticipation of the US collapsing into anarchy?

  14. They've already surpassed the US by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    $220BN probably gets a lot more done in china than it does here so they're already ahead. But so what? Good for them.

  15. yep by RedHackTea · · Score: 1

    more research for more machine learning techniques to prevent people from bypassing the Great Firewall...

    --
    The G
  16. Re:R&D Stealing by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    Uhh, how about both? They steal all the R&D possible, but at the same time, their economy is growing, while ours is shrinking. I clicked the link, just to ask, "This is news?" Of course China will overtake the US in genuine R&D sometime soon. We've lost what it takes to lead the world in much of anything.

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  17. Discriminate or Die, America! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Twenty-two years of the H1B visa has had the net effect of discouraging native-born persons having no citizenship options elsewhere from pursuing careers in STEM. STEM jobs must be made a critical national security priority. It is a compelling government interest to discriminate against persons who have or can get citizenship elsewhere.

    We do not want history to come away with the beehives and anthills winning. If individual liberty perishes, the human species forfeits its right to exist.

  18. Their problems isn't research spending by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It is cheating. Basically the culture in China right now is one of do whatever you want to get ahead. Cheating, lying, all ok, expected even. So it goes on in research all the time. Straight out fabricated results and such. The problem is, as Feynman said, Nature cannot be fooled. So you can have all kinds of results that say X causes Y, but if X doesn't in fact cause Y it isn't helpful.

    It is a societal thing that will need to change before they start to produce more useful research.

    1. Re:Their problems isn't research spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is cheating. Basically the culture in China right now is one of do whatever you want to get ahead. Cheating, lying, all ok, expected even.

      And that is any different from the "greed is good" culture in the US? Oh, yeah, in the US, once you got rich enough, you only get a slap on the wrist even if you got caught cheating. Even better, if you are part of a corporation, the government will bail you out to the boot, too!

    2. Re:Their problems isn't research spending by WGFCrafty · · Score: 1

      Is that from his lecture on "cult cargo" science, in which natives see people waving sticks by a flat strip of field, and planes land. So to get in on that action they clear a strip of land and wave sticks the same way and nothing happens? Brilliant stuff, that Feynman guy, he also knew how to have fun!

    3. Re:Their problems isn't research spending by Vadim+Makarov · · Score: 1

      Care to cite examples? In my field there are good respectful results and no scientific forgery from China.

      --
      17779 eligible voters in a district, 17779 'vote' as one. This is Russia.
    4. Re:Their problems isn't research spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let me publish my results on a better ab cruncher for the new TV ad (paid for by the ab cruncher guy) - then I'll tell you why we are better

  19. Re:R&D Stealing by Kergan · · Score: 2

    Methinks you're fantasizing. China needs the US and the EU as much as the US and the EU needs China for cheap wares. If the the US and the EU go down and crash, China will crash even more. They've no interior market/consumption to speak of, and need to rebalance.

  20. Still have them beat on military spending by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But we will still have them beat on military spending: "Hooah!"

  21. Re:R&D Stealing by Runaway1956 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Fantasizing, you say? Whatever. The fact is, the wealth of the world is being redistributed, and the US and EU are coming up losers. China is gaining. The real catch to all this redistribution is, the world's central banks are reaping the lion's share of the profits. For each ten dollars we lose, China gains a dollar, and the banks steal nine dollars.

    But, the situation with the central banks don't affect the fact that China is ascending, while we descend.

    China may be dependent on us today, but what happens in fifty years, or a hundred? We're selling off our great grandchildren's future.

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  22. Re:R&D Stealing by dbIII · · Score: 2

    No interior market? That's actually where a lot of their growth has been and why they didn't go completely belly up when the US economy sneezed a few years ago.

  23. Can't Compare by hhawk · · Score: 1

    Until the cost of living and the cost of labor in China is at parity with the US you can't compare $$ for $$; you also have to assume that the R&D talent (Engineers, Project Managers are equal); assuming that the talent is of a high quality.. if the talent costs less over there, than they don't have to spend the same $$$ to get the same results.

    IF the talent is equal and the cost is 1/2 to 1/3 cheaper than they are probably already at parity. If the talent isn't equal than no amount of $$ can really get to parity (e.g., bad technology leadership can waste a lot of $$). If the talent is better and equal or cheaper in cost then this game is over; although there is always an other round to play for the next generation..

    --
    http://www.hawknest.com/
    1. Re:Can't Compare by the+gnat · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If the talent is better and equal or cheaper in cost then this game is over

      I guess the next question is "does this game actually matter?" Germany's population is about the same fraction of the US population as the US is of China, and presumably their R&D budget is much smaller than ours. But you never hear the Germans wailing about how the US has surpassed Germany in R&D spending; indeed, Germany's economy is one of the strongest in the world (especially Europe), with a large manufacturing sector and excellent technology, despite relatively high labor costs. Which doesn't mean that Germany is perfect or doesn't have problems - just that being overtaken in R&D spending doesn't automatically turn you into a third-world country.

    2. Re:Can't Compare by hhawk · · Score: 2

      This maybe stereo typing but I think in general German engineering is really top quality in terms of building products to a set specification in a reliable and predictable manner. Given that they have been able to hold onto manufacturing jobs is also a plus..

      --
      http://www.hawknest.com/
    3. Re:Can't Compare by TubeSteak · · Score: 1

      Given that they have been able to hold onto manufacturing jobs is also a plus..

      You can't talk about German manufacturing without talking about unions.
      And you can't talk about German unions without mentioning the positive and cooperative relationship that management has with them.

      The USA could emulate the German model, but it'd require a seismic shift in the way private business interacts with unions.

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    4. Re:Can't Compare by hhawk · · Score: 1

      I know in Japan that Union management is more aligned with company management.. is it similar in Germany?

      --
      http://www.hawknest.com/
    5. Re:Can't Compare by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Or maybe we should be happy that investment in scientific research is going up, and put petty patriotism behind us.

      Remember that we are first citizens of the world, though we divide ourselves into countries as a matter of practicality.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    6. Re:Can't Compare by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      Or maybe we should be happy that investment in scientific research is going up, and put petty patriotism behind us.

      Except that one of the main reasons why we invest in scientific research is that it helps advance our economy. Obviously everyone benefits to some degree, but typically the country responsible for a new innovation benefits the most. As a citizen of the USA, I want our country to make new discoveries and technologies first, not because of petty patriotism, but because I will (probably) personally benefit from the expansion of our economy, far more than I would from the expansion of the Chinese economy. I'd rather not have to move to Shenzhen to find suitable employment.

      In addition to that, the attitude of the Chinese government towards, well, pretty much everyone except Syria, Iran, and North Korea, does not inspire much confidence in their future benevolence. In fact, their foreign policy often seems to be adopting the very worst characteristics of the US in recent years: pointless aggression, tone-deafness, and an almost deliberate tendency to offend the rest of the world for no apparent reason. I'm fully aware that the US has done lots of shitty things around the world (I expect to be reminded of this anyway, as inevitably happens on Slashdot threads), but as a US citizen I at least have some control over what my government does. I have zero control over the actions of the Chinese government - neither does anyone else, their own citizens included. So it's a little difficult for me to trust in their good faith, or to be entirely optimistic about their continued growth. It's great that the lives of Chinese citizens are steadily improving, but I'm not very optimistic about the idea of China as the dominant superpower - again, not because I think the US is so great, but I live here and have to deal with it.

    7. Re:Can't Compare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unless you are an American who lives and dies by 'American exceptionalism' you can take comfort in this: while China is certainly set to pass the American economy (and military?) in all relevant measures during the next 20 years, it will be far more difficult to pass the combined resources of the West. The United States, the European Union, Canada, Australia, Japan, S.Korea and many other countries have many differences, but many more similarities.

      The 'West'* as diplomatic allies, trading partners, military allies, technological partners, etc... is a significant bloc. China will certainly become the single largest country/entity in every conceivable metric, and it will increase greatly in influence and importance. The United States will decline in influence and importance as a single entity. However the 'West' isn't falling out of dominance quite so quickly, if at all. And the United States will remain a very strong voice in that bloc. The disadvantages of our fractured/de-centralized bloc can be overcome with closer co-operation on matters of mutual interest (I'm looking at you NASA - work closer with the ESA - I don't care if everything has only our flag on it). Large, highly centralized, single-party countries have their own disadvantages that are less easy to overcome (although the Chinese have certainly learned from _some_ of the Soviet mistakes).

      I share some of your unease, but I'm much less worried that it will spell doom and gloom. The research and development by the 'West' is still unmatched, and probably will be for a reasonably long time. Fostering closer ties within this bloc is essential of course (such as the US emphasis pivoting to the Pacific - and strengthening ties with S.Korea, Japan, Australia, and others).

      * Obviously Japan and S.Korea citizens may not consider themselves as part of 'the West', but they have much stronger ties to US/Europe than China for the purposes of this discussion. Even Russia may return to relatively stronger ties with the West. That's a huge bloc either way.

      ** At some point India is going to eventually harness the chaos of their sub-continent to become the undisputed #2. Eventually the countries will take their rightful economic rank based on their population. As many others have noted, that's what caused the US to pass our European brothers and sisters. At that point, would we see a tripolar world with China, India and the 'West'? Or a four-polar world including the Islamic states (although the chaos there outmatches India).

    8. Re:Can't Compare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, and before someone from one of my favorite countries, Brazil chimes in... there are obviously many other strong economies I did not mention... they just aren't large enough to compare to China directly... and don't fit well into a bloc that is large enough. (Although I think South America as a bloc is going to be one of the economic successes of the next century).

    9. Re:Can't Compare by khallow · · Score: 1

      and put petty patriotism behind us./quote> Too bad that doesn't work both ways. At the sociopathic international level, nobody else will look out for your interests. If someone else is doing all the research, then you can bet good money, assuming you have any, that will work out to your detriment sooner or later.

    10. Re:Can't Compare by Eli+Gottlieb · · Score: 1

      Is "the world" going to give me a post-doc?

    11. Re:Can't Compare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Try being proud of your country for once instead of auto-apologizing for the US.

      The world will not like the taste of Chinese leadership and will pine for the days of Pax Americana. Too late, suckers. You helped to bring down the US from its pre-eminent position... enjoy the consequences.

    12. Re:Can't Compare by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      No, but it will give you all the knowledge you are willing to work for.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  24. Re:R&D Stealing by craigminah · · Score: 1

    Since China owns so much of the USA you could argue the R&D the American companies the Chinese own should be added to the Chinese total R&D. BTW, I'd like to buy some punctuation Pat.

  25. Re:R&D Stealing by Kartu · · Score: 1

    Something will prevent them form digging a big big hole and throwing good into it, instead of selling it at dumping price to EU/US?

  26. You get what you pay for by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    A large proportion of everything that's sold in the US is made in China, from the best to the worst. They can manufacture anything, and the quality you receive depends on the amount you pay, just like for every other country and manufacturer.

    If you're complaining that the vast majority of Chinese goods you see are crap then you need to look for the reason closer to home. Your typical importer is more concerned with his profit than with obtaining quality products for his customers.

    And it's doing our reputation no good either. Undoubtedly they're amazed at the crap we're willing to buy.

  27. Grasshopper vs Ant by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Grasshoppers always come up with new excuses to procrastinate and not do anything - it's what they live for.

    They'll always be saying "So What?"
    For them, it will never be time to pull up the socks, roll up the sleeves, and get to work.

    That's why the Chinese are narrowing the gap, and will pull ahead.

    Success comes from attitude first. With the grasshoppers, their attitude is 180 degrees in the other direction.

    The main thing is to be able to recognize who's a grasshopper, so that you don't waste your time listening to them.

    1. Re:Grasshopper vs Ant by Johann+Lau · · Score: 1

      That's because grasshoppers eat grass, which grows without them doing anything, and ants don't. A grasshopper acting like a ant doesn't have a great attitude, it's a confused grasshopper.

      That's why the Chinese are narrowing the gap, and will pull ahead.

      That's exactly the problem. With such a financial system (always more debt than money; how are you going to outrun *that*, teacher guru guy?), and such mental models of the world prevailing, it's not going anywhere anyway.

      Why the fuck do you care if someone else is richer? Without the brokenness of the system, it would mean zero threat, would just be something to be happy about. I mean, how else are we intending to have a world without poverty, as long as we're talking about "gaps"? What kind of Nazi shit is this?

      What matters is how fucked up your country is without comparing it. You know, highest prison population in the world, hugely in debt, presidents pulling one after the other on you, while the military industrial complex flourishes. If you cannot even figure THAT out, why even show up to the whole "let's show China!" thing? Likewise, as long as the Chinese have their party of old dumb men ruling them, what is their money and success worth? Wake me up when they produce another Confucius. Or even just a good song or something, ANYTHING mentally stimulating. Yeah, they can work allright. So can robots. Or ants. Slavery does that to people. Being brainwashed peasants makes slavery seem like generosity. You aspire to that? Good luck, and enjoy the rationalizations of people who don't join you as being slackers.

      I don't recall who said it, but, "the trouble with the rat race is, even if you win it, you're still a rat." Same goes for ant hills. Sure, you can have the highest ant hill. But who would want to be an ant? You, apparently. They, obviously. Any other takers?

      This isn't an excuse to "not do anything". This is pointing out that just doing something stupid for the sake of doing something is worse than doing nothing. You could call it an excuse to do "anything but that" haha. "We" didn't come this far to throw it all away because someone else has shinier gadgets. Food, shelter, education. If you can't do that in-country, don't think what you can export, get to work. If you have food, shelter and education, fuck what anybody else is doing.

      Of course, this is mighty hard for a country which used its superiority to conquer and destroy. Of course you are afraid China will do the same to you once you're no longer the superpower. Well, I can't help you with that; figure it out yourself or live in fear.

  28. Never gona happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have heard this pitch before (that china is going to overtake the US). First, it was the military. It was predicted that by the end of this century, China will have a larger and more agile advanced military than the US. As we both know, this never happened. Second, around 2002, it was predicted that it will take less that 10 years for china to topple the US economy, this again has not happened. The latest prediction I remember was in 2008 where they said that in 5 years china will be publishing more in science related subjects than the US, again, looking at the current research in major journals, this flies in your face as not true. I wish I could get the links for the above predictions.... I believe that for a nation to be a super power and leader, there are some basic things that have to be set at the foundational level, that I just do not see the chinese embracing soon. At the very basic level is democracy, which encourages innovative thinking. Authoritarian governance stifles innovation and hampers growth. The second interesting thing is explored in this link: http://www.kurzweilai.net/michio-kaku-explaining-americas-h1b-visa-declining-skilled-worker-population-domestically. More than just the VISA, I think the US has a conducive environment that encourages R&D. In a nutshell, all I say to the naysayers is: Never gona happen.

    1. Re:Never gona happen by lightknight · · Score: 1

      Hmm. The approach being taken towards free speech these days, in the States, is likely to put a damper on R&D. You simply can't have it both ways -> you can't have people designing your next generation weaponry, all while forbidding them from discussing its elements with their colleagues.

      What more, our approach to Iran is somewhat whack at the moment. We're making it harder for people to come here to learn, people who (often-times) even up living here for the rest of their lives. At university, I knew of one decent chemist, an Iranian girl, who probably wouldn't be here if our borders were any tighter. And that's the point -> for every one 'terrorist' that slips through, we get ten thousand non-terrorists; just normal people, looking for a decent education and a good job; normal people who are considered the intellectual elite of their home country; if your goal was to prevent their home country from advancing as quickly down a weaponized route, then sending their best and brightest back to them (or never letting them leave to begin with) would probably have an opposite result.

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    2. Re:Never gona happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      around 2002, it was predicted that it will take less that 10 years for china to topple the US economy, this again has not happened.

      Where have you been for the past 7 years?

      The US economy is fucked, and will remain fucked so long at the 1% holding the purse strings make more money by shipping jobs overseas than they do by building things here.

      We need to roll back to pre-Regan Era tax level that forced the 1%s to spend it or pay tax on it.

  29. Re:R&D Stealing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since China owns so much of the USA you could argue the R&D the American companies the Chinese own should be added to the Chinese total R&D. BTW, I'd like to buy some punctuation Pat.

    China own 'bout 8% of US debt. That's it.

  30. Sorry, other priorities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    US has other priorities for spending now. Obamacare and all the other redistribution schemes will require all the money and there won't be any left for stuff that isn't controlled by political juice.

  31. Re:R&D Stealing by fast+turtle · · Score: 2, Insightful

    and it's got absolutely nothing to do with spending. Instead the problem is with our educational system preferring to not teach our kids how to think for themselves. The continual dumbing down of America is happening each and every day in our schools when they refuse to teach Civics, Geography, Math - when so called high school grads working at McDonalds can't even count back change w/o the damn computer telling them how much of what type of change to give back. Hell I've watched the same kids getting their change and they don't even know how to count it anymore.

    --
    Mod me up/Mod me down: I wont frown as I've no crown
  32. The continuing culture of fear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If i understand correctly... their rate will equal USA in 10 years... and maybe 20? years after that you will both have equal stockpiles?(They'll have to exceed the USA rate just to catch up).
      So this article is about China being equal to USA military in 30 years? I guess then it will be harder to invade countries with "bad intel" as the justifications?
    Wow, not very scary at all.
    I thought USA was home of the brave?

  33. We'll blame ourselves in the end. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The real problem is how most countries, in their interest to grow more wealthy, is feeding the root of all evil: The Chinese government. It's not a government held in check by its people, but one that can turn quite cruel to its own to further its ambitions. If it can do that to itself, then what more to other countries? This geopolitical farce has got to end.

    Its people are becoming rabidly nationalistic due to its susceptibility to propaganda. Why question the new prosperity when it is easier to lash back at foreign countries critical of their government's practices? Look at the reaction to territorial disputes with Japan and the ASEAN countries and you'll know what I mean. It's a dangerous context that's getting more dangerous the richer China gets out of everyone's money.

    And that's how to curb it's power in the future. The U.S. can't do it because it's labor force is too expensive and will not give up any of it's hard-won privileges and rights. But developing countries can by matching the tradeoffs China brings to international business: cheap labor and profit taken away from the bargain than doing business with other countries. The ASEAN, for example, can form more than trade agreements and put out unified policies to make their territories akin to the EU in terms of collectiveness but also match or do better at what the Chinese offer. Everyone will see a significant portion of business be taken away from China to be fed into these, more tolerable, locations. While infrastructure will need to catch up to the level of China, it will happen as revenue comes in. If Africa can only quell it's turbulent states, the economic benefits to all surrounding areas like the EU and the Middle East would be enormous; again supplanting Chinese influence.

    Countries should curb their appetite for greater trade with China to lesser trade somewhere else and develop these other places to one day catch up to doing business in China. I would go as far as to suggest that national governments control the amount of trade that goes into the coffers of the Chinese government. it needs to be done as some countries, like Japan, have China as their #1 trading partner, which we can see is dangerous as it has no qualms in cutting off trade for geopolitical reasons (see the recent territorial conflict over just 1 island).

    For such Chinese that's about to react to this in a wrong way, I have no objections to the Chinese getting ahead in life, I object that the world is empowering a dubious superpower. Change the government to one that is for its people and the good of the world then there will be no objections. The U.S. is by no means such a country but better the devil you know. I know I'm rambling as I just woke up but I really feel strongly about this. The world will only have itself to blame by empowering China the way it is now. It's like pumping gasoline into a wildfire, and all for greed.

    I mean come on, I know a lot of people feel the same way in that they feel a little negativity when they read so much "Made in China" on the shelves but end up buying the stuff anyway. Sheeeesh.

    1. Re:We'll blame ourselves in the end. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well said.
      I wish I had mod points. Furthermore, I wish I had an account.

    2. Re:We'll blame ourselves in the end. by Dozy+Lizard · · Score: 1

      You lost me at "root of all evil."

  34. Re:R&D Stealing by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    They are getting there. And they are moving towards rebalancing every day, while the US is moving away. Part of the point of this is that China is getting better every day, and the US is getting worse every day. But we are OK with that, because as long as the political process lets us pick the order in which we get worst first, we have control over the process. Yay USA.

  35. Amazing what a decade or more ... by david614 · · Score: 1

    of blatant stealing enables. I, for one, wish the best to our putative overlords. They may find that piling up the winnings "higher and deeper" doesn't necessarily deliver predictable results.

    --
    ELITISM: It's always lonely at the top. Uninvited company is rarely welcome.
    1. Re:Amazing what a decade or more ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      of blatant stealing enables. I, for one, wish the best to our putative overlords.
      They may find that piling up the winnings "higher and deeper" doesn't necessarily deliver predictable results.

      Yeah, as amazing as how the US stole all the German war criminal scientists back in WWII and kept them in the US to create the Apollo project.

  36. Re:R&D Stealing by Runaway1956 · · Score: 0

    I think the problem there is, we use the metric system for money. Maybe if we switch to pence, shillings, and pounds, they'd get better at counting change. /sarcasm

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  37. This is why the US needs robotic workforce by Su27K · · Score: 1

    It's the only way to compete with China's cheap labor. It's strange that when robotic manufacturing and military robots come up as a topic in /., tons of people worry about it will take away jobs or laugh at it; but when topic like this comes up they run around scared.

  38. There is a difference by Su27K · · Score: 1

    It's the difference between 19th century capitalism and today's, same economic system, but vastly different in terms of consumer protection, worker's rights, etc.

  39. Re:R&D Stealing by Smauler · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The fact is, the wealth of the world is being redistributed, and the US and EU are coming up losers.

    The wealth of the world being rebalanced so everyone has more equal wealth is a good thing, in my opinion. I'm not sure how it isn't, in any way at all.

    Now, if you're saying that corporations are taking most of the money, and distributing the wealth unequally, that's a different issue, which is a result of our current system, which they've adopted to some degree.

    More equal wealth will allow manufacturing and farming to actually exist in the west without subsidies, too. At the moment we're clinging on to high tech specialised manufacturing, but I doubt that will last for that long.

  40. Re:R&D Stealing by arbiter1 · · Score: 1

    Last original invention they had was gun powder.

  41. Re:R&D Stealing by cartman · · Score: 1

    The fact is, the wealth of the world is being redistributed, and the US and EU are coming up losers. China is gaining.

    The wealth of the world is not being redistributed. China is making more money because they are manufacturing more, not because the money is being redistributed from the US or EU.

    the fact that China is ascending, while we descend.

    We are not descending. The US and EU economies have continued growing (albeit slowly) during China's ascent. The reason is because the world economy is not a zero-sum game, and wealth is not being transferred from the US or EU to China.

    China may be dependent on us today, but what happens in fifty years, or a hundred?

    China, the US, and the EU will all have first-world living standards, most likely.

    We're selling off our great grandchildren's future.

    We are not selling any important assets to the Chinese. ...The only thing the Chinese are "taking" from us are exhaustible, expensive, internationally traded commodities. such as Oil. Our great grandchildren wouldn't have had too much of that anyway.

  42. R&D of what? the next XBOX \ iPhone ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's all been going down hill ever since the wall collapsed and software patents got approved. Once you account for the US throwing ungodly amounts of money on entertainment technology and junk academic research you come to realize the US has been stagnating for the last 20-30 years. Basically, ever since the Russians kicked the bucket every ounce of American innovation once invested in the military, has been diverted into mass entertainment.

    With some luck this Chinese threat will drive some sense into the lawmakers to put a stop to the corporates's patent warfare and drive investor to put their money into real R&D and not Apple and Google.

    I for one, miss our potential Communist overlords.

  43. More of an issue of GDP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When you GDP growth is around 10%, it's not such a big deal to increase R&D by 11%. When their GDP growth inevitably slows, you'll see the same in R&D spending increases. This isn't about a difference in philosophy, it's about China bringing its country out of poverty. And good for them. What's up with the Anti-China bias in this topic? Is it not a good thing that they're joining us on the quest to improve society through science?

  44. How dare they? by G3ckoG33k · · Score: 1

    When the US surpassed Europe - How dare they?
    When the China surpasses US - How dare they?

    Of course they dare. It is their 'obligation' to try. And if they win out big we won't hear about those embarrassing inbreds from Alabama and Kentucky discussing evolution any more. From what I have understood, Chinese are more pragmatic than any Bible reader, or?

  45. Look at the numbers. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just look at where the federal government spends its money:

    Defense: 24%
    Health care: 24%
    Pensions: 23%
    Welfare: 11%
    Everything else: 18%

    Source: http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/federal_budget_pie

    That speaks volumes. We have become a war-waging welfare society. How will that make us competitive with China?

  46. Value for Money by sociocapitalist · · Score: 1

    $424 billion USD in the US buys much, much, much less than $220 billion USD in China.

    If you had a value for what 1 USD is worth in China with regard to purchasing power, relative to what 1 USD is worth in the US then you could make a realistic comparison.

    China passed the US in R&D and military spending long ago.

    --
    blindly antisocialist = antisocial
  47. Re:R&D Stealing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This Christmas I got you a present! A giant "FUCK YOU" for being one of the biggest and oldest Linux zealots on the Internet. Happy holidays, you fat, lying piece of shit!

  48. Re:R&D Stealing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China own 'bout 8% of US debt. That's it.

    And significant shareholder positions in all sorts of corporations, a whole lot of real estate, and so on...

  49. well out side of the usa health care is not tied j by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    well out side of the usa health care is not tied to your job and well out side of the usa health care is not tied to your job and they have less overhead as well.

    also they don't have the big loans for schools as well.

  50. The US needs more tech / trade schools to free up by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    The US needs more tech / trade schools to free up the us universities for real higher edu / research

  51. Not worried by paiute · · Score: 1

    Have you seen Chinese research? Have you ever tried to reproduce some of their results? I have, and I would guess that even though spending might be equal, the quality will not catch up for a long time after that.

    --
    If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
  52. dept of irony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ha! Roman_mir replied to a comment with a subject of "just think". Being as he hasn't had an original - or even a shared rational - thought since joining up with his current religious movement, the irony score of his comment is at least 11,000 out of 10.

    I'd wish you a merry christmas, roman_mir, but I'm not sure if that holiday is observed on your church's calendar. Perhaps August 20th is your high holiday instead?

  53. You REALLY have to Ask ?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am gracious and assume you are not a bankster. That is how you Americans and Brits do it:

    1.) Financial sector is badly controlled by government

    2.) Banksters decide to become full-scale bankrobbers and set up elaborate schemes for legally stealing from everybody else.

    3.) Government has to rescue the depleted banks/insurance companies and other "vehicles" "to protect the whole economy". Plus they have to pump massive money to the people affected by the financial crisis.

    4.) To finance step 3.), the central bank has to pump insane amounts of money into the system. Government has to go into insane debt.

    5.) Inflation from 4.) and 2.) means everybody will have insane expectations about salaries, cost of housing, cost of expensive goods and so on. Formally speaking, Pricing Information is being destroyed. People here are all saying that earning less than 80000 dollars per year amounts to being poor. Now think about what 80000 dollars were just ten years ago !!

    6.) Real-world (read: non-financial) industries don't take financial gyrations and excessive wage expectations lightly. They will simply crumble under this shit and/or move to saner places (GM, GE, IBM, HP and many other manufacturers). These companies are as much losers of the shit game of the financial industry as the average American or Briton. These are capitalists in the traditional sense; people and companies who use massive capital and make massive amounts of useful stuff. But their capital is being destroyed by the banksters in NY. That is how capitalism is being destroyed.

    As a side note, maybe you can now understand why nasty Mr Hitler came to power. Disenfranchised people knew they couldn't lose by voting for Mr Hitler, because he was the only one who would reign into the craptastic actions of the elite. The common German man was essentially told to expect to eat less tomorrow because the banksters of that time had fucked up. So he said "to hell with civilization, I need to eat now, let's vote Hitler. We will deal with Hitler's war later".

  54. 10 years is too long to predict by NewYork · · Score: 1

    "The significant problems we have cannot be solved at the same level of thinking with which we created them." --Einstein

  55. +1 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    +1

  56. Don't be so bitter, $hill by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am sure you got a nice Windows 8 laptop from Mr Ballmer as a Christmas present. I hear it weighs 3kgs and fries your balls while depleting battery in 2.5 hours.

  57. Re:R&D Stealing by spasm · · Score: 1

    "The fact is, the wealth of the world is being redistributed"

    The wealth of the world is not being redistributed; this is not a zero-sum game. The wealth of the world is *increasing* as large, formerly underindustrialized countries become industrialized, and the bulk of that *new* wealth is going to those same countries. The US and the rest of the 'west' are not getting poorer so the Chinese can get richer.

  58. Re:R&D Stealing by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

    Biggest and oldest? Please, you give me to much credit. Of course, I can understand how it might look that way to a twelve year old whose mother won't allow him to cross the street alone.

    --
    "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
  59. Bullimous Armed Forces, Still by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    America could use its armed forces to basically run a protection scheme on the rest of the world. Some people say, they already do.
    "If you want to continue buying oil from Saudi-Wahabistan, you better buy insane amounts of our worthless debt !"

    That's why China's navy buildup is 100% rational - they need to defend their global interests against a broken US who will "consider their options". That's why India and Brazil are actively buying and developing advanced arms. Also why Russia develops and fields said arms.

    If you don't have nukes, submarines and capable fighters these days, you are 100% subject to blackmail from Washington and their little dog London.

  60. Re:R&D Stealing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your usual America-bashing contribution. Way to stay in character on ever single topic!

  61. Harder to copy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To me this means that whoever else is inventing stuff will make it *that* much harder for the chinese to copy. Culturarly the chinese don't like to invent new things. And from what I've experienced first hand, they won't invest in R&D unless they KNOW that they will be selling the thing in the short term. Many US firms invest in R&D and come up with stuff that will never see the outside of the lab, some will turn out the be commercial failures and a select few do make some degree of success. Not the Chinese, they are more of the "tell us what you want, we will make it for you", they're never ever first to the Market ut anything but they can play the catch/up game rather fast (though not the best quality output).

    Disclaimer: When I say I know this first hand, I mean I work for (well, more like I'm employed at) a big chinese tech company...if you can call it that.

  62. Obligatory XKCD by OneAhead · · Score: 1
  63. Barking Up Wrong Tree by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    States are made and broken by controlling or not controlling finance. On that account, China appears to have excellent marks, contrary to the US.

    Problems of rail lines can be fixed, if you have trillions in savings to be dispatched. Of course you need industry, labour, engineers and even some scientists. That, they all have. Plus, as I said, they have proper finances.

  64. All the Warmongering by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..appears to come from USG and its halo these days. I think you Americans should stop having so many "visions". China has historically been much, much less belligerent than America. They know about the risks of military adventures since the time Americans were dwelling in some caves in Germany, Norway, France and so on.

  65. Re:R&D Stealing by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    Everyone knows, the truth has a liberal bias.

  66. +1 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why did they mod you down ??

    Of course you are engaging in a "scary vision", but I totally agree that you vision has a likelihood of more than 10% to realize in the next ten years. I think it is called "denial" or "shoot messenger".

    Indeed, America has to slowly wean itself off credit. The war industry, the medical industry, the financial industry must be reigned in with an iron fist. It would actually be the right thing to nationalize all relevant financial actors and put everybody in that industry on a 50k/year salary; not bonuses allowed whatsoever. A Khodorskovsky-style incarceration of a major finance crook in Guantanomo would also be very helpful to get the message across.

    But as Mr Obama himself said, "I am a member of the 1%". Which is of course crap, he is just A Puppet Of 1%. Washington is deeply corrupt and there is a very real chance the American state is not up to the challenge of fixing itself.

    I for one welcome The Lord President-Protector Of America, Oliver Cranewall !

  67. Are You A NY $hill by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Very nice bla-bla about "markets" and "efficiency". Very nice propaganda to cover what they really do in NY. They have grown into bankrobbers who want to rob the public until there is nothing left and all industry destroyed. Just so that each of these narcissists has his little castle with golden doorknobs and an expensive bathroom. Plus a Porsche SUV.

    If you bail out NY to the tune of 500 billion and more, it is entirely OK to bail out Detroit for 100 billion. At least they do *something* useful in Detroit. And if you look at reduction in wages and benefits in Detroit and compare that to the crooks in NY, I do think Detroit got hit much more.

    And yes, the UAW are big-time monkeys as compared to German Unions (who can have nasty and insane rhetoric, too).

    1. Re:Are You A NY $hill by swillden · · Score: 1

      If you bail out NY to the tune of 500 billion and more, it is entirely OK to bail out Detroit for 100 billion.

      Both are stupid and counterproductive decisions which do long-term damage to our economic prospects.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
  68. Well by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I do think the "ant" meme could be interpreted as "don't look for getting rich quick scheme all the time, American". Too many Anglosaxons have grown into admirers of the crooks that populate NY and London. You admire people who hurt your nations enormously. "Because they are so filthy rich".

    The truth is that everybody will be a poor fuck if the whole economy is based on outfoxing somebody else. On the other hand, if the economy is based on useful cooperation, everybody can grow reasonably wealthy.

    The banksters will paint China as the worst place on earth, as they can't easily operate there. You have eaten their "freedom" propaganda entirely. What they mean when they say "freedom" is Freedom To Destroy Your Economy.

    1. Re:Well by Johann+Lau · · Score: 1

      The truth is that everybody will be a poor fuck if the whole economy is based on outfoxing somebody else. On the other hand, if the economy is based on useful cooperation, everybody can grow reasonably wealthy.

      My beef exactly. Thanks for putting it so succinctly.

      I'm not an expert in economics; but here's a simple thing that's hard to argue away: there is more debt in the world than there is money, and thanks to interest that won't change, rather it gets worse. Technology and slavery help obfuscate it: we're "better off than ever", yet a few hundred years most people were independent, now it's the other way around.

      That's a hole in the boat right fucking there. Just saying "Row harder!" is well-meant by some, from others it's just evil fucking charlatenery. No, fix the boat. Then you have the CHOICE wether to grow or "stagnate". Our system is based on infinite growth, but we have limited time, space and resources; people get trampled as a result.

  69. That's Why Americans Are Despised Of by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your propaganda is so nasty that whoever knows it, can only hate you.

    Where are the sources for your Assortment Of Shit Arguments ?

  70. People were saying this about Japan in in the 1980 by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

    http://mycourselinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/ellis-bret-easton-american-psycho.pdf

    Thursday night I run into Harold Carnes at a party for a new club called World's End that opens in a space where Petty's used to be on the Upper East Side. I'm with Nina Goodrich and Jean in a booth and Harold's standing at the bar drinking champagne. I'm drunk enough to finally confront him about the message I left on his machine. Excused from the booth, I make my way to the other side of the bar, realizing that I need a martini to fortify myself before discussing this with Cannes (it has been a very unstable week for me - I found myself sobbing during an episode of Alf on Monday). Nervously, I approach. Harold is wearing a wool suit by Gieves & Hawkes, a silk twill tie, cotton shirt, shoes by Paul Stuart; he looks heavier than I remember. "Face it," he's telling Truman Drake, "the Japanese will own most of this country by the end of the '90s."

          Relieved that Harold is, as usual, still dispensing valuable and new information, with the addition of a faint but unmistakable trace of, god forbid, an English accent, I find myself brazen enough to blurt out, "Shut up, Carnes, they will not." I down the martini, Stoli, while Cannes, looking quite taken aback, stricken almost, turns around to face me, and his bloated head breaks out into an uncertain smile. Someone behind us is saying, "But look what happened to Gekko..."

    What happened to Japan? Property bubble burst and they had twenty years of poor growth.

    China has a property bubble too, and unlike Japan is likely to go through a lot of political pain if the economy ever stumbles. Aka a bloody revolution against the swine that run the place. The LDP spent a couple of periods in opposition but bounced back quickly - the CCP will likely go down to bloody defeat Tiananmen style and then explode into factions. Actually there's a fair chance of a Yugoslavia style transition to an authoritarian nationalist regime in an attempt to keep Tibet and Xinjiang from seceding.

    The CCP's legitimacy is solely due to the fact it has presided over economic growth, and if that stops I think things will get very bad, very fast.

    --
    echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  71. No, unmoderated -1 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why did they mod you down ??

    He wasn't moderated down. His karma recently went to negative numbers because he is a trolling arrogant asshole. He has all the discussion and personal graces of a wombat but without the charming good looks and sound judgment.
     
     

    Of course you are engaging in a "scary vision", but I totally agree that you vision has a likelihood of more than 10% to realize in the next ten years. I think it is called "denial" or "shoot messenger".

    Read further into roman_mir's comments (read also the comments from his sock puppet, udachny). He isn't here to share a scary vision - he is here to recruit members to his religious movement.
     
     

    It would actually be the right thing to nationalize all relevant financial actors and put everybody in that industry on a 50k/year salary; not bonuses allowed whatsoever.

    Roman_mir's religious leader would have you executed without trial for even suggesting such a restraint be placed on the glory and beauty that is the free market. Just be glad that person never had a realistic chance of becoming president as he had no regard for anyone and would have implemented a new kind of American fascism that would have made Pol Pot blush.

  72. Re:People were saying this about Japan in in the 1 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The *** legitimacy is solely due to the fact it has presided over economic growth, and if that stops I think things will get very bad, very fast.

    Well it's pretty bad States side here right now.
    And your prediction of the nigger lynching party is when?

  73. Interesting. Our US-based group was tapped by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    by China for information on how to deliver effective STEM education. Apparently both China and the US are claiming to be deficient in STEM education. The extent to which both countries simply suck at STEM education, vs. posturing to spur competitiveness, isn't entirely clear.

  74. Sad but true by lucser · · Score: 1

    The fact is that, at least in EU the political behaviour became more idiotic day by day. There are generations of "leaders" totaly disconected from the daily reality. The production in every sector (materiels, electronics, mechanics etc). is going down as there is no way to compete with Chine. Is like a box match where a player has both hands tied, a chemical protectiv suit on it, some hevy load on his back and ruber boots and the other being lightweighted, with sharp weapons and not forced to respect any rule. I'm far from having comunist or socialist views but still the acumulated capital in any present economy is clearly not fair. Nevertheless is our daily reality. The problem is that companies or persons after they built their capital are moving it out leaving comunities and countries without the colateral benefits that otherwise were to compensate the present unfair profit distribution. At the end of day only one or several persons are in benefit ond entire communities are slowly going in trouble. Now we reach a point that China has so bic investing capital potential that they could support themselves and invest also in other places but stil the policy is to atract the foreign capital resources for a fast and short term profit. The target for them is not the capital anymore. They have enough. The target is the know-how and technology. Even if is a relatively slow process EU countries and posibly US will be drained of their Technology and know-how and the fact that will depend on chinese produts will be the less worry as the potential of technological development will be gone. Is really strange that politicians don't figure out that still living companies are moving their activities and capital towards China, the chinese capital are slowly buying out the ones that gradually became weakened in their country of origin. And you know what? The ones that are investing in China are actualy not owning anything as acc. To Chinese law foreigners are not allowed to have more than 49% of any business or other kind of property. So in the end slowly but steady China will win. We can continue our confortably sleep for a while then .....

  75. Do the math right by FreedomFirstThenPeac · · Score: 1

    Idiocratic journalists don't even ask the first order correcting question let alone the second. The first is, how much is their spending per capita compared to ours (duh, about a factor of 4 or 5 there), and second, how much is their spending per engineer/scientist (or whatever subgroup that actually needs that spending). Again, duh, about a factor of 3.5-4? Of course, we ARE producing the worlds most educated baristas, busquers and bloggers.

    --
    "There is no god but allah" - well, they got it half right.
    1. Re:Do the math right by FreedomFirstThenPeac · · Score: 1

      Ooops, the 3.5-4 was suppposd to be a [WAG]3.5-4[/WAG]

      --
      "There is no god but allah" - well, they got it half right.