Adults Make Riskier, More Inconsistent Decisions As They Get Older, Study Finds
schliz writes "People aged over 65 make poorer financial decisions and more inconsistent choices than younger individuals with the same IQ, an international research group has found. The study (abstract) had 135 healthy participants aged 12-90 make a series of decisions: for example, choosing between gaining $5 and the chance to win $20 in a lottery. On average, over-65s earned 26-39% less than all other age groups, including adolescents — a finding that could partially explain their susceptibility to problem gambling and scams."
and they have to get rid of it somehow.
Are you supposed to wait until after you're dead to blow all your dough?
Do they get paid for their "findings"? I'd like to get paid to make common sense observations, where do I sign up?
...someday you say to yourself "Look, for my entire life I've done the 'right thing' and even now it doesn't help my joints stop aching or buy me a bowel movement, so what the hell, let's try something else."
Someone had to do it.
That's what my dad used to call it when it happened to grandpa. Grandpa went from being a shrewd businessman to being someone we had to keep an eye on at all times (he would fall for every con artist who showed up at his door). That why "Travellers" in particular prey on older people.
The cow says "Moo." The dog says "Woof." The Timothy says "Thanks, valued customer. We appreciate your input."
Might as well bet the farm.
"Each participant were faced with 320 decisions: for example, choosing between gaining $5 and the chance to win $20 in a lottery."
After a few dozen questions like that, I'd be so bored that I'd start choosing randomly without thinking about it just to get it over with. There's no way in hell I would seriously think about each and every question out of a list of 320.
If you figure you only have 5 to 10 more years left why not take a little more risk. When you have 50 years left to regret the choice it makes more sense to take less risk.
On average, over-65s earned 26-39% less than all other age groups, including adolescents — a finding that could partially explain their susceptibility to problem gambling and scams."
Or maybe it could be that they are retired and living off of their savings, supplemented by a very small fixed income?
It makes sense to say "feck it!" and live whats left of life to the fullest. Young people would have it in their mind that they are going to be around for another 50-100 years. As I get older myself I find it more and more tempting to try something just to see what happens. When you are young you start off nice and naive and with little to lose so you make risky decisions, spend a couple of decades as a boring risk-averse PHB type who worries about absolutely everything but then after a while you will get tired of that too.
The world is ruled by grey-haired folk who are still a good bit away from retirement, have lots to lose (career, assets, life). Which explains why the world is getting more boring by the day.
I may get flamed for this but screw it. This would explain a lot of the issues we see from the Congress Critters.
Prime example if old fart way passed their mental prime.
That explains the current partial shutdown of the American Government and the state of politics in many countries.
Unfortunately, all people reach a point in our lives where we were obsolete. Once we got to that moment we realize that as the business world beyond us and must give way to the youth and retire honorably.
there are plenty of old ass dudes who are good with money...this is just more ageist bullshit from people who want to put the baby boomers out to pasture.
Maybe it's just that the olders have more to lose (and more experiences, good/bad/otherwise, to pull from) so the risk goes up.
My father's newfound obsession with guns.
My dad is an engineer and has an MBA. He's 79 and been retired for a while. He could be the case study for this article. He has made horrible financial decisions for the past 15+ years despite a career of doing exactly the opposite.
Old people? Those late-nite ads for the new-style bidding web sites ate scams directed at young people. They are mathematically indistinguishible from gambling and should be treated as such.
Pay a dollar to bump up the price by 1 penny? Oop, someone else bumped it up another penny. You still lose your dollar. Guess who keeps all the dollars?
(-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
I was reading this in my car on the way to the payday loans place and I got so outraged that I drifted out of my lane and hit a parked gasoline tanker. So I figure I might as well park here and finish reading the thread. There's a lot of smoke but with the windows rolled up it isn't too bad.
Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
This sort of thing is in the general class of cognitive biases. Another example of this class is the Dunning Kruger effect.
Cognitive biases have a large negative effect on the financial performance of the general public. In particular if you want to be a successful investor it's very important to be aware of this issue.
Daniel Kahneman (a psychologist) won the 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics because of his pioneering work in the field of Behavioral Economics.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Kahneman
No fucking shit, because once you get past a certain point in life you realize you won't always have until tomorrow to find something better.
Did nobody learn anything from Breaking Bad? The principled or honest stand will only get you fucked by the end of your life, but if you can walk the thin line between dishonesty and criminal conduct you can become a weathy pharmaceutical magnate with everybody loving you and lots of 'paltry' philanthropic expenses which make everybody love you like you're freaking Jesus come to Earth.
While the previous paragraph was mostly intended in jest and not as a path to a successful life, I'm sure plenty of you know people RL who fall into the Gretchen and Elliot mold: wealth by screwing those closest to them. And the benefits quite often outweight risks.
I really think a bigger factor is education and how long since they've been in education. Consider the worst cast in the study, a 90 year old. They (on average) graduated from high school 72 years ago in 1941. Statistics and probability curriculum probably wasn't what it is now, especially pre-Sputnick (1957). Not to mention the 72 to years spent not using those skills. That is, if you hypothetically had someone who was locked at 18 and didn't age, you would still expect them to forget those skills after 72 years. So in the end, I'm sure aging plays a factor, but I suspect other factors play a bigger role.
I read about another study where they found financial ability peaked, on average, at 53. Before that you don't have enough experience. Then cognitive decline sets in. YMMV of course.
For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
Maybe this TED talk of James Flynn about why we could have higher IQ than our grandparents is relevant. What about the financial decisions of those old people when they were young?
Also all individuals always act rationally and in their own self interest, thus this study is invalid.
But their /. control agents were considered non-essential.
So once again a behavioral study whose subjects all came only from developed First World nations, and likely only those whose first language was English? What could go wrong?
How much is one's peace of mind worth? What is a "rational" depreciation factor? I would much rather have $10,000 now than $100,000 in ten years because I don't know if I'll still be around then, and if I am I will probably have inherited by then so I won't need the money. Whereas now it makes a huge difference whether I have to work for other people to earn money, or whether I'm free to do what matters to me. Go ahead, call me irrational.
This is just the difference between short and long term investment strategies. When one is young, it makes sense to use long term strategies that minimize risk and go for gradual growth. When one is elderly, long term investment makes no sense anymore. Look backward and see missed opportunities; look forward and see an approaching dead end. The chance to make it big gradually is gone, and the only hope one has left to live one's dreams is explosive growth. It's now or never, so short term, high-risk strategies dominate. Shouldn't this be obvious?
It's the equivalent of the question "What would you do if Earth was going to be gone tomorrow?" Even young people would be unlikely to reply "Invest in 20-year bonds."
Heck when I turn 75 I think I might try heroin, start smoking cigarettes again, and have unprotected sex with 28 year old hookers. Why the hell not?
Operator, give me the number for 911!
And you realize that you've worked your whole life for the man, paid your exorbitant taxes, got fuck-all in return for them and generally just got fucked out of every other dollar you thought you had earned and save by your corrupt government and so you make one last ditch effort to try to get something other than cat-food for your next 10 years worth of meals.
Some of it could be due to attitudes changing after retirement. Before retirement the idea of having to put back savings for retirement and be careful not to blow your money because you're going to need it later colors your thinking. After retirement you don't need to save up for retirement, and you become very aware that you do not have an entire lifetime ahead of you to worry about anymore. That changes your evaluation of risk.
I guess that's why we see SO MANY elderly car surfers and base jumpers!
Is nowhere near the world of today. Seriously, do we expect everyone to adapt perfectly to our rapidly changing way of life? No forces in nature tell us how to juggle with health insurances, tiny fine print, and purposeless paperwork.
I hardly believe it's an age issue. You would have to demonstrate that the same person made different decisions at different points in their life. It would be like saying, "The older you get, the more likely you'll not know how to use a cell phone." It's just not true.
The reality is that you have generational cultures. For example, I'd bet older people smoke more too. Doesn't mean I'm going to do it when I get old. I know better now than they did at my age.
Where's the post score filter? I love being able to hide or semi-hide all posts below a certain threshold.
Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
That's just stupid. I do not make any "poorer decisions".
Now stay on my lawn!
that's kind of a small sample, isn't it? especially since the elderly part of the U.S. pop (yes, U.S.-centric here) is increasing...
Why our IRAs/401Ks perform so poorly. They're almost all invested and managed by over 65 folks.
As you get older every system in your body suffers some degree of degradation. We know people suffer cognitive decline starting in their 40s, so it's really no surprise people over 65 don't display the same ability to make intelligent choices they did when they were younger.
It's not that they make poor decisions; it's that their financial know-how is antiquated.
"Get off my lawn or I'll file for bankruptcy!"
Table-ized A.I.
As we get older we start realizing that we have less opportunities left to succeed and less time to suffer the consequences of failure. We also come to realize that losing isn't as painful as we always thought it would be, and in the worst case we could end up dead - in which case we won't care. It just makes sense to take more risks. Falling for scams comes from a host of other age-related factors that include both physiological changes and changes in attitude.
You never really know how close to the edge you can go until you fall off.
The study's methodology is flawed. The results are absurd.
Yes, Breaking Bad was a good TV series, but it's over now. Do they really need free advertising on Slashdot?
Woof. The example problem FTFA implies that, of the two choices "definitely lose $5" and "50% chance of either $0 or lose $8" the old folks choose the latter. But the expected value for that outcome is $(0+-8)*50%, or -$4. Which is greater than -$5. Which means the old fogeys got it right. Stupid young whippersnappers.
--Sent from my LeapFrog
Have gnu, will travel.
As a person on the tail end of the boomer generation, I saved a lot of money from my paychecks, I retired at 56, and am living quite comfortably.
We get surely a lot of hate. We're Selfish, entitled, and now foolish. Bloody fucking hell - I don't even collect SS for many years yet. I am not costing you poor abused, persecuted, and robbed of your entitlement everyone elses a damn thing, You want my fucking bank account or something?
Perhaps a different perspective is in order.
I started my career, back in the 70's, and immediately began saving. Pretty conservative investments. A lot of people I worked with at the time said that was pretty stupid. I had people making 3, 4 times as much who saved nothing, Whatever.
Young people have their chance to do the same as long as they have a job . But many don't want to. Just like many of the folks I worked with way back then. Right now interest rates are not that good. But history shows they will eventually go back up. Inflation was the big excuse not to save when I was young. Now it's interest rates. Ignore that. Save. You'll be an idiot for a few years. After that, not so much.
Now for a dose ot truth.
We are at the point, where people who haven't planned well, or people who don't really intend to plan well, resent and hate those who did. But if you are successful in your efforts to make those of us who did plan well poorer, that will not make you wealthy. You'll still be poor, you'll just have more company.
So if you really really gotta hate on us, go ahead. Tha'ts the only thing you'll have though - your hate, and the prospect of trying to live on Social Security. Save your money - no one owes you anything.
The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
Offer $50 or a chance to win $200 on a lottery.
$5 or $20 means nothing in 2013. If you already have your budget planned, $5 or $20 won't make a big difference. The $5 doesn't even cover the additional cost of eating at a salad buffet instead of a cheap pizza buffet for two people. $20 however can mean eating steak tonight.
$50 however means a much better month. $200 is better, but $50 as a sure thing is the best.
... possibly because the summary does a very poor job of representing the article, by leaving out the most important part of it.
The elderly are not overall more willing to take risks, it is just that the risks they are taking are different and less consistent. If faced with potential earnings, they'd rather take smaller guaranteed earnings than larger and riskier earnings; exactly the sort of stereotype of the cautious elderly you'd expect.
But if faced with losses they'd rather take the risk of a much bigger loss than the guaranteed loss.
My interpretation is that they are so afraid of losses they'll do anything to avoid them, even irrationally gambling to avoid loss. This sort of fits with the stereotype of keeping money in your mattress to avoid losses in bank charges and taxes, despite the fact that one single fire or robbery would ruin you.
OR, old people that were born a long time ago are better educated about finance than they were when they were younger, but not as well educated as the young people of today, who were born into a finance-obsessed age and one with many more complicated products and choices. These young people in turn might be even better at making financial decisions when they get older.
Financial know-how might be positively correlated with age and also strongly positively correlated with date of birth. Since age and date of birth were very strongly negatively correlated for the participants in this study, the researchers didn't control for date of birth, and so we'll never know.
consistently fail to report that a study is fairly meaningless, it is through repeated study that we get at the truth, giving further evidence that clicks and unit sales are more valued than journalistic integrity, the public good or science.
Sorry if it doesn't sound politically correct to you but ethnicity and culture go hand in hand and, therefore, is perfectly possible to define an ethnicity as criminal (by others' standards): Huns, for instace, were definitely criminals by everybody else's standards. Do you find that to be unreasonable?
One... Where does it say that ethnicity and culture "go hand in hand"?
What does that even mean? In like... you know... scientific terms?
That there is a strong positive correlation between one's ethnic background and one's cultural leanings?
An entire culture and an entire ethnic background have leanings to certain actions or objects?
So Irish people are predestined to be potato-eating, jig-dancing, bar-fighting terrorist drunks?
Second... You seem to imply some... deeper, more general relation there. Cause you're ascribing that bullshit to an ENTIRE ETHNICITY.
HOLY SHIT! Generalize much? Like in your spare time?
When you're not busy performing whichever it is nasty stereotype that fits your ethnic heritage?
And seriously? Huns? 4th century CE nomadic tribe is your standard for cultural attributes?
Well, shit! Then you have to include that by EVERYONE ELSE'S 4th century CE standards (and for a long time after that) - Africans are complete savages.
And so are American Indians. Australian Aborigines too. Same goes for Asians.
And let's not even start with those fucking Vikings.
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
Sorry, but when I see, say, a pretty girl with a Roma appearance in a major european city approaching tourists, the odds are heavily in favor of her being a pickpocket. You might call that ethnic profiling, I call it reality.
Ah... Ye olde "excrement is in the eye of the beholder" situation.
I'm gonna make a wild guess here and make an assumption or two.
One, you can't really describe that many cases of what you are mentioning there. The whole schtick. Girl. Gypsy. Tourist. Pickpocket. You. Witness. For realz.
And two, you have acted in some way, whether by stopping the said criminal act, calling the police or by informing the tourist in... shall we say... oh... NEVER.
Just a guess.
Please, if I'm wrong, do provide an extensive list of your encounters with tourist pickpocketing gypsy girls.
I'm sure everyone would love to read about that. Particularly all those cases where you didn't inform the police immediately.
Something-something failure to report something-something.
Then later on, we're gonna have a fun example of what "the odds are".
Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
I used to know everything, now I don't. But I still have to make decisions, believing the same things that caused problems. Therefore, I doubt the old certainties. Therefore I get more inconsistent. Maybe more on target, maybe not.