Slashdot Mirror


Why Letting Your Insurance Company Monitor How You Drive Can Be a Good Thing

Hugh Pickens DOT Com writes "Kim Gittleson reports at BBC that car insurance firms like Progressive are trying to convince consumers that letting them monitor their driving behavior is actually a good thing. They say that the future of car insurance is not just being able to monitor individual drivers to give them lower prices, but also to make them better drivers. 'Now that we can observe directly how people drive, we think this will change the way insurance works,' says Dave Pratt, who says that Progressive has more than a trillion seconds of driving data from 1.6 million customers. '18-year-old guys pay a lot for insurance, but some 18-year-olds are really safe drivers and they deserve a better deal.' Better big data technologies, like the telematic driving data collected by car companies (PDF) or even information gathered from social media profiles, can help augment that risk profile. 'If I'm a driver that doesn't drive that frequently, and I have a pattern that would indicate that I drive more carefully than an average person with my profile, then I may be able to save 30-40% on my car insurance, and that's pretty significant,' says Joe Reifel. For now, using big data analytics for insurers is still in the early stages. Only 2% of the U.S. car insurance market offers an insurance product based on monitoring driving, but that proportion is projected to grow to around 10-15% of the market by 2017. And other countries, like Italy and the U.K., are already using the data to analyze not just risk profiles but also to determine who is at fault in car accidents. The future, most analysts agree is create a continuous feedback loop between insurers and consumers, so that consumers will react to the big data analyses that insurers perform and change their behavior accordingly. 'Bad drivers will at some point need to improve their driving or accept [having] to pay for the real risk they represent,' says Jacques Amselem."

83 of 567 comments (clear)

  1. Huh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    > They say that the future of car insurance is not just being able to monitor individual drivers to give them lower prices

    So look, I've got this bridge I've been trying to sell...

    1. Re:Huh by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No kidding. The whole article feels like it should come with the heading "This message brought to you by the Insurance Industry, looking out for our^H^H^Hyour interests!"

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    2. Re:Huh by cayenne8 · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Whew...God forbid them monitor my driving.

      I'd have to either start actually looking at the speedometer, or lose all hope of ever driving again...

      :O

      But the bigger picture is, I'm trying desperately to not give personal information to the govt or private companies....not voluntarily giving it to them!!!

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    3. Re:Huh by CubicleZombie · · Score: 3

      1. You get a discount for using the device.

      2. You pay more for not using the device.

      One sounds good and the other sounds bad, but both statements are actually the same.

      The transition is when you look around and realize ALL insurance companies have the recorder. Kind of like the grocery store "discount" card. It seemed like a great idea at first.

      --
      :wq
    4. Re:Huh by TheNastyInThePasty · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes because we all know that speeding always leads to accidents. Meanwhile the oblivious woman driving while talking on her cell phone while eating a hamburger with a bunch of screaming kids in the back is considered a safe-driver by these devices because she's got cruise control on and she's going exactly the speed limit.

      --
      The best thing about UDP jokes is I don't care if you get them or not
    5. Re:Huh by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Funny

      Reminds me of a story. Many years ago (okay, about 20 years ago) I worked for a very small company that set up networks for point of sale systems; so small it was just my boss and me.

      One evening we were heading back to town after being onsite since about 6am. Needless to say, we were both tired, so my boss was gunning it. Then comes the flashing lights. Cop stops us, and asks my boss "Do you know why I stopped you?" My boss replies "I suppose I was speeding." The cop nods. "Yes you were, sir. And did you happen to glance at your speedometer to see how much over the speed limit you were driving?" At that point, I caught a mischievous look in my boss's eye.

      "God no!" my boss exclaimed. "Traveling that fast, I didn't dare look down at my dash!"

      Fortunately the cop had a good sense of humor, we all had a laugh, and my boss got a ticket.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    6. Re:Huh by jellomizer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The total cost is usually the same. We are just splitting the currency of the Cost.
      There is Cost in United States of America Standard Dollars, and the cost in loss in privacy. You want more privacy you pay more, you want to pay less money you give up some privacy. The cost is about the same, it is just how we decide to pay for it.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    7. Re:Huh by icebike · · Score: 2

      Personally I wouldn't mind it as currently implemented (my insurance company doesn't offer it so I haven't done it) because they don't monitor you 24/7. With Progressive, they send you a device in the mail and you keep it in your car for a few weeks to pick up actual driving metrics, and then send it back.

      If it could make my insurance cheaper, then perfect (though that is kind of hard - my car insurance is about $40 a month) I just won't visit the meth lab or the bath house during that time.

      Few weeks?
      Are you sure? How about when it starts being 24/7/365, send it in when your payment is due.

      Is the data subpoena-able?
      Will I get a ticket by mail for 5 over the speed limit, with no court appeal because my device already testified against me?
      Is it location coded?

      Today, they claim they only measure a few things according to the Progressive FAQ

      What driving habits impact my potential savings?
      How often you make hard brakes, how many miles you drive each day and how often you drive between midnight and 4 a.m. can all impact your potential savings.
      What other information do you collect?
      Once you plug in the Snapshot device, we'll collect your Vehicle Identification Number and take note of whether the device stays plugged in, so we can alert you if it gets disconnected. The Snapshot device doesn't track your location or whether you're speeding, and it doesn't contain GPS technology.

      But there is no way to monitor that, and with modern cars putting ever more data on the CAN bus, an open and extensible standard used in cars, almost all of that information is already on the bus. Especially speed.

      If you buy into this, does your insurance company next insist on you wearing a body monitoring device?

      Risk Pools have a purpose. A pool of one is not a pool.

      Camel's Nose under the Tent.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    8. Re:Huh by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is just to reel in some customers. As soon as it gets popular they'll start requiring it 24/7 to avoid people gaming it.

      --
      No sig today...
    9. Re:Huh by skids · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Risk Pools have a purpose. A pool of one is not a pool.

      I think you nailed it succinctly there. While it's a popular idea that responsible customer A should not have to pay for irresponsible customer B, and certainly it is good to encourage less risky behavior, insurance is supposed to work as a protection against risk. The finer the analysis done to create these micro-pools, the more likely it is that instead of being insured for a risk, you get blamed for it instead, even in cases where it really isn't your fault.

      Example: you're driving on the highway and encounter a dangerous situation for which the safest solution is to speed up way past the speed limit -- e.g. you are beside a the first of a tandem trailer, the truck driver doesn't see you, and he starts to change into your lane. So you do, and you may get on "Flo"'s shit list for it, or not, depending on how some coder tuned some Kalman filter or whatnot.

    10. Re:Huh by drakaan · · Score: 2

      They have you keep it in the car long enough to make most people forget that it's there. There are probably a small number of people who can maintain a level of awareness about being monitored long enough to not have their "real" driving noted, but I'm guessing that's a pretty small number.

      I've been a pretty conservative driver since not long before my 30's, when I realized I wasn't really in a hurry, and I'd rather watch somebody else do something stupid and get in a wreck. I leapt at progressive's offer (and got something like 22% knocked off my "normal" rate after a few weeks of monitoring).

      --
      "Murphy was an optimist" - O'Toole's commentary on Murphy's Law
    11. Re:Huh by Jstlook · · Score: 2

      The concept of insurance is just broken. Given the mandate to have "insurance", this really boils down to combining extortion [take your money], behavior modification [to eliminate their risk], and profit [selling your metadata].

      --
      ---jstlook ---For that is the way of Elves, for they say both yes AND no, and mean every word of it. --- J.R.R.T.
    12. Re:Huh by zlives · · Score: 4, Insightful

      shouldn't they care about the actual insurance part... like having no accidents/claims for the 20+ years of driving? what does it matter if i accelerate fast in my sports car or not...

    13. Re:Huh by somarilnos · · Score: 4, Informative

      It actually evolved entirely the opposite way. I'm a former employee of Progressive. They started out piloting it by having it in 24/7 (it was called MyRate at the time). They determined that largely, the behavior that they saw in 30 days was a good enough picture of someone's actual driving habits (i.e., it's exceedingly difficult to represent yourself as an amazing driver if you're not). That's why they switched to the current model and named it SnapShot. It costs money monthly to operate the device (SMS service), so if they can get the information without continually monitoring, it makes sense to operate with the current model.

    14. Re:Huh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Or you live in Memphis, TN, and are driving within the 40mph speed limit. A carload of gangbangers tries to box you in with the help of a second car full of gangbanbers. You tromp on the gas, accelerate briskly to 55mph and escape this pincer tactic to cause you to stop and let them jack your car (and your wallet and probably your life).

      The above happened to me regularly the last few years that I lived in Memphis. The acceleration that my V-8 provides saved a variety of insurance companies a ton of money--car, home, medical, life insurance companies. A Flo-bot in car would have cancelled my car insurance. Without a Flot-bot, my rates actually went down when I moved away from Memphis.

    15. Re:Huh by icebike · · Score: 2

      I would have modified your first line to have a period after:

      The progressive model doesn't have GPS. Theoretically,

      With many modern cars having built in GPS, that data is (or can be) available on the CAN Bus, which is what Progressive plugs tap into.

      Further, OnStar equipped cars were already collecting that information and saving it for sale to insurance companies. When this became known, the backlash caused them to roll back this decision, but their initial announcement of this is still available on the web, but no longer on GM's site.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    16. Re:Huh by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 2

      That might well be... the whole point... :)

    17. Re:Huh by t4ng* · · Score: 5, Interesting

      This is the same weird logic used in health care insurance, which also wants to charge more or less based on individual risk. So if we follow their logic...

      • They increase their accuracy in predicting who will be in an accident and change them more.
      • They increase their accuracy in detecting good drivers and charge them less.

      Extrapolating this out, they eventually end up charging each individual exactly what it will cost the insurance company to pay each individual's claims plus their profit margin. At that point, the insurance company is a useless middle man and everyone may as well be self-insured.

    18. Re:Huh by Penguinisto · · Score: 2

      The total cost is usually the same. We are just splitting the currency of the Cost.
      There is Cost in United States of America Standard Dollars, and the cost in loss in privacy.

      I did notice one other cost...

      My wife had one of those devices in her car (the State Farm one, not Progressive) - I borrowed her car for travel (mine gets better mileage, so she used it instead), and I parked it at airport long-term parking. I came back two weeks later to find the battery completely dead. Everything in the car was off, except for that stupid fob sticking out of the under-dash ECM port. I called the company's support number for it, who was nice enough to say (post facto) that yeah, you shouldn't leave it plugged in if your car is parked for more than a couple of days.

      Currently, the damned thing is sitting in the glove box, where it belongs - I'll send it back later.

      TL;DR: I'd rather pay the extra $5/mo on the insurance than pony up $75 for a battery jump at a near-empty airport parking lot late on a Tuesday night.

      --
      Quo usque tandem abutere, Nimbus, patientia nostra?
    19. Re:Huh by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      UK insurance companies require that you have the device installed all the time. If you say on your insurance that you commute in your car and it doesn't get used during the week your insurance gets invalidated. If you have an accident and it wasn't running at the time your insurance is invalid.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    20. Re:Huh by dalias · · Score: 2

      I completely fail to understand the willingness of anyone to use one of these things for any discount. Even for a 100% discount I wouldn't do it. Insurance is cheap (I pay $280 a year); you'd have to be either too broke to buy gas, or a complete idiot, to sell your privacy for such a low price.

    21. Re:Huh by tibit · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What the fuck is wrong with rapid acceleration?! People repeat this stupid mantra over and over like it was a law of nature or something.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    22. Re:Huh by LunaticTippy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's great if you don't have any assets. If you have a house or significant investments, those are at risk. One accident, it doesn't have to be 100% your fault, and the lawyers are gonna come sniffing around. If you're in an accident and have assets, expect somebody or other to come after them.

      Insurance companies also take care of all the legal BS with real lawyers so you don't have to waste a lot of time navigating courts or hiring lawyers.

      Sadly, those who have the money to self insure are the ones who need insurance.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    23. Re:Huh by vux984 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      but the simple statistical fact is that people who habitually exceed the speed limit by a considerable margin do have more accidents.

      Cite please.

      This says that driving faster absolutely increases the odds of an accident. The faster you are going the less time you can react, this is intuitively true and no one disputes this. If we all drove 10mph, there would be fewer accidents, virtually nobody would be injured in them when they occur.

      And that speed differences between drivers leads to more accidents. In other words, overtaking is dangerous, and lane changes are dangerous. Again, I don't think there is any disagreement here.

      http://erso.swov.nl/knowledge/content/20_speed/speed_and_accident_risk.htm

      This next link however is really interesting:

      Although changes in vehicle speeds were small, driver violations of the speed limits increased when the posted speed limits were lowered. Conversely, violations decreased when limits were raised. This does not reflect a change in driver behavior, but a change in how compliance is measured, i.e., from the posted speed limit.

      http://www.motorists.org/speed-limits/effects-raising-lowering

      Read that again, they raised and lowered the speed limits in places, and found that drivers for the most part did not change their speed by very much (although did record that it went up slightly when the limits went up and down slightly when speed limits went down). But primarily there were simply more people speeding when they lowered them, and fewer people speeding when they raised them.

      Accident rates were not affected.

      Thus there are plenty of indications that driving too fast for the conditions (just excessively fast, or significantly faster (or slower) than the cars around you) is dangerous and leads to more accidents.

      However it strongly refutes the idea that exceeding the posted speed limit is itself a significant predictor of accidents. As you can lower the speed limit 10mph, and suddenly a lot of people are speeding, and the accident rate doesn't move.

    24. Re:Huh by Albanach · · Score: 2

      Yeah. Though insurance companies _really_ worry more about the breaking.

    25. Re:Huh by gnasher719 · · Score: 2

      Example: you're driving on the highway and encounter a dangerous situation for which the safest solution is to speed up way past the speed limit -- e.g. you are beside a the first of a tandem trailer, the truck driver doesn't see you, and he starts to change into your lane. So you do, and you may get on "Flo"'s shit list for it, or not, depending on how some coder tuned some Kalman filter or whatnot.

      Fact is that hitting the brakes will change the speed of your car an awful lot quicker than hitting the gas pedal. Another fact is that a good driver will avoid situations that have the potential to become dangerous. If you think otherwise then you have an awful lot to learn until you become a good driver.

    26. Re:Huh by gnasher719 · · Score: 2

      While that may seem unsafe, for a race car driver who has a reaction time and muscle memory far faster than the average motorist, those actions would be completely safe. But he would get dinged because his driving habits do not match the slower reactions of the average driver.

      Racing driver, behaving like a jerk when he is surrounded by people who are not racing drivers and don't expect people to race, deserves to get dinged.

    27. Re:Huh by mbuimbui · · Score: 2

      Extrapolating this out, they eventually end up charging each individual exactly what it will cost the insurance company to pay each individual's claims plus their profit margin.

      That would be the case if the universe was 100% deterministic AND insurance companies figure out the laws of nature to know who will have an accident at what date, at exactly which minute and second. More than likely both of those conditions will never be true, so the best any insurance company can do is figure out the percentage chance that you will have an accident this year. If you are a really bad driver with say a 10% chance of having an accident it will still be easier for you to pay 10% of the cost of that accident and have other people in your bad driver pool cover your ass by paying the remaining 90%.

    28. Re:Huh by davester666 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That's just it. Going down this road, it stops being insurance and switches to being a payment plan, because you stop being part of a group, spreading the risk among all of the group, instead you are being rated as an individual.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    29. Re:Huh by KingMotley · · Score: 2

      Good, then I can stop paying for all the asshat drivers out there that are texting on the cell phone while beating their kids in the back seat.

    30. Re:Huh by green+is+the+enemy · · Score: 2

      Don't forget to look at the ethical implications of this technology. If it does not lower the accident rates, it is unethical. Why? If accident rates stay the same, the insurance premiums will also stay the same in aggregate (or average). The only effect of this technology for the society is that some people lose some privacy due to the monitoring device. This is a net negative effect. We need the data on whether this technology really does decrease accident rates. Then we need to make a value judgement on whether the reduced accident rates (and insurance premiums) are worth the loss of privacy. It might actually make sense to ban this technology if statistically significant accident rate reduction cannot be observed.

  2. I guess what is comes down to ... by easyTree · · Score: 5, Insightful

    ...is who decides what is safe driving?

    1. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by easyTree · · Score: 2

      i.e. is safe driving, ponderously slow driving that may indeed reduce ones own collisions but enrages everyone else around, causing their accident rate to increase. Hopefully not.

    2. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 3, Interesting

      This is the problem. They've decided that safe driving is smooth driving with no sudden accelerations, decelerations or quick turns.

      You know who drives like that? All those awful oblivious drivers who everyone else is dodging. And the people doing the dodging look like maniacs.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    3. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by Hartree · · Score: 2

      85th percentile speed drivers are often going above the posted limit. So, on most highways they would be giving a rate break to those who speed and penalizing those who obey the speed limit?

      That'll be fun to hear them argue in court during the inevitable class action suit.

    4. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by ackthpt · · Score: 2

      This is the problem. They've decided that safe driving is smooth driving with no sudden accelerations, decelerations or quick turns.

      You know who drives like that? All those awful oblivious drivers who everyone else is dodging. And the people doing the dodging look like maniacs.

      You mean this 85-year old drivers, who are just fine until a split second of confusion sends their Crown Victoria through a crowd because they hit the gas instead of the brake.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    5. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by easyTree · · Score: 2

      Yay \o/ doubly-nested reply to myself :S

      It occurs to me that previously, there was a feedback loop in operation; that crashes are an unambiguous indicator of unsafe driving; whereas, now, will it be enough for the insurance company to say "nu-uh, your driving is unsafe" and thus break the loop, setting them free to be more imaginative when setting premiums?

      Having said that, my insurance premiums are already a work of creative and greedy minds fiction - I've been driving for twenty-five years and am way safer now than I was when I owned my first sporty car. I now drive a far more sedate car yet my premiums are over THREE times what they were back then, this ignoring the effects of inflation. What's more, there is no significant variation in premiums between insurers and third-party-fire-and-theft premiums are essentially the same as fully-comprehensive; I feel as though I'm a fish, compelled to be in a barrel (we're required to have one of the two types of insurance), around which stand the heads of the various insurance companies with infinite-ammo shotguns :S Isn't there supposed to be *competition* in the marketplace?

    6. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by Valdrax · · Score: 2

      Studies have consistently shown that the safest drivers are around the 85th percentile by speed, so they really just need to measure how fast you go and charge more for the slower and faster drivers.

      Note that that's people doing at or under the 85th percentile of speed on the road. You don't start really getting dangerous slow drivers until you're several MPH under the average speed, which not the 85th percentile speed.

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    7. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by Valdrax · · Score: 2

      You know who drives like that? All those awful oblivious drivers who everyone else is dodging. And the people doing the dodging look like maniacs.

      They are, typically. If you have to "dodge" in way that might make you "look" like a maniac and can't make a smooth, well-signaled transition into the next lane to go around, then you're not a good driver.

      The road isn't a racetrack, and you don't score points for being the lead.

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    8. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by Dahamma · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Also, if this is just a device that monitors speed, acceleration, driving distance etc it's not going to know about some of the stupidest/most dangerous driving decisions - running red lights, talking on a cell/texting/eating while driving, cutting people off, tailgating, road rage, etc. I assume it won't even know about DUIs or other seriously stupid decisions.

      Speeding or accelerating "too fast" are probably some of the *least* dangerous acts in themselves (unless they are blatantly reckless, which is rare), and only really indicative of bad driving when combined with the kinds of dumb actions a GPS device can't detect...

    9. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by jellomizer · · Score: 2

      I know I tend to be the cause of the outrage on my commute to work. Why because I drive the road all day and I know how much more hazardous it is more then the others who dive it less. I have seen a bunch of car accidents on that road, from driving 10mph over the speed limit. While it seems like a straight road that you can go 70mph on, there are are spots where you can get into some real hazards.

      The the guy who passes me and gives me the middle finger, if he makes it safely further down, I usually drive right behind him at the first stop light.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    10. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Informative

      "Brakes", the word is "brakes"...

      --
      No sig today...
    11. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by Reverand+Dave · · Score: 2

      No, no you misunderstand. They pull in front of you and shatter into a dozen pieces.

      --
      I got here through a series of tubes
    12. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by adolf · · Score: 2

      I have seen a bunch of car accidents on that road, from driving 10mph over the speed limit.

      And you know that these accidents were caused by going 10mph over the posted speed limit...because you personally investigated these particular accidents using direct observation and science, or because of your biased opinion that this was the cause?

      (Some people also know that Jesus exists. Maybe Jesus caused those accidents.)

    13. Re:I guess what is comes down to ... by adolf · · Score: 2

      I think he was talking more about highways (and said as much), while you're talking about more local roads (and said as much).

      Regarding your own commentary: Yes. Timing a red light correctly is a boon for both expediency and economy (unless rushing into a well-timed intersection that just turned green for you results in an accident with cross-traffic chasing a yellow or running a red, in which case all gained efficiency is lost, and St. Peter might be on the horizon).

      It saves on braking, it saves on acceleration, and average speed can remain very high indeed, with similar positive results on fuel economy.

      But again, I think you two are talking about two completely different things: My reply was referring to his made-up accident data, and you are referring to a mild form of hyper-miling.

      Please remember, when timing a red light, that cross traffic might not be paying any attention at all: Perhaps the light was green when they last looked up from their cell phone, and is now red, but now they're T-boning you while you're doing 25-30 and they're driving however fast they're driving.

      EVEN IF YOU'RE RIGHT, and the accident is legally not your fault, that can be still construed a dickish move. All legality aside: Every intersection should be approached with caution and care, especially one that just changed states. It's your own life on the line.

      (My own scale of efficiency tends to cause me to preclude being in accidents, and not worry so much about how others around me are driving unless I can help them on their way. If they're driving too slow, I pass them when safe. If they're driving too fast, I let them go. Sometimes, when safe, I drive well above the "speed limit"; other times, I'm at it or well below it when the situation dictates. It depends on the conditions.

      Whatever the case, I don't keep score: I just drive safely, which includes staying out of other people's way.

      Why are you keeping score?)

  3. Trust the industry, what could go wrong? by ackthpt · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Never mind they'll see you regularly drive 10-15 over the limit and think you're a risk. How about those clowns who sit in the left lane, going up hill and don't maintain speed, so everyone jockeys to get around them in the right lane(s)? You don't see that in their data stream.

    Lots more examples, which I predict this thread will include.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    1. Re:Trust the industry, what could go wrong? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 2

      I don't like it either, but I was asking for objective evidence for a reason. What percentage of collisions are left-to-right lane merges with the right-hand driver in the blind spot? How does that compare against right-to-left changes? How often does passing on the left versus passing on the right happen on a given stretch of freeway?

      You can allege something is a problem, you can even firmly believe in the rectitude of that assertion, but you will never know how much of a problem it is that way.

    2. Re:Trust the industry, what could go wrong? by 14erCleaner · · Score: 2

      Here is a 2008 report with statistics from NHTSA about accident causes. The number of ways they break down accident causes is kind of overwhelming, but there are a few interesting things you can extract. One of them is that "other vehicle encroachment from adjacent lane" is the "critical pre-crash event" in only 0.5% of accidents, while "travelling over the lane line" accounts for 10.8%."Turning or crossing intersection" accounted for 36.9%, and "travelling off the edge of the road" accounted for 22.2%.

      --
      Have you read my blog lately?
  4. A trillion seconds? by Antipater · · Score: 5, Informative

    Progressive has more than a trillion seconds of driving data from 1.6 million customers.

    Using a gigantic amount of very small units tends to make the whole thing meaningless. In more meaningful terms, Progressive has about 174 hours of data per customer.

    --
    Everything is better with chainsaws.
  5. No recourse? by Waccoon · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Insurance rates (and prices in general) as set according to market statistics. I don't see how monitoring individual people will help those people.

    Too much potential for individual people to get screwed, with no real benefit to the public as a whole. Forget it.

  6. if you have nothing to hide by Gothmolly · · Score: 5, Insightful

    then you have nothing to fear, Citizen.

    While I agree you're within your rights to let them track you for the associated discount, the premise behind this and the assumed acceptance by the privacy-less Generation is disturbing.

    --
    I want to delete my account but Slashdot doesn't allow it.
    1. Re:if you have nothing to hide by trout007 · · Score: 3, Funny

      This made me a worse driver. They had the data plotted online for you to monitor.
      So I thought it would be fun to use my car to make patterns. I would get on a stretch of highway and then lower and raise my speed in intervals with my cruise control to make sawtooth patterns. So ever 5 seconds I'd bump it up 1 mph. Then down.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
  7. The numbers don't add up by cowwoc2001 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Without analytics, low-risk 18 year olds pay a lot of money to cover high-risk 18 year olds. With analytics, low-risk 18 year olds pay less (though not nearly as low as they should be paying) and high-risk 18 year olds are uninsurable. Why? Because you're going to have to substantially raise the price on those high-risk 18 year olds now that low-risk ones aren't covering the bill.

    Now extend this logic to health care. Why is it okay to preach universal health-care and group insurance where low-risk cover the bill for high-risk, but the same isn't true for auto insurance? It's a slippery slope!

    1. Re:The numbers don't add up by bob_super · · Score: 3, Interesting

      +1

      You can't make high-risk populations pay the whole bill for their risk. That's not how insurance works.

      In the case of driving you could say: "well then they can drive better". But that doesn't cover all the risk, whether you're too young, too old, or have a pet/kid/alcohol/disease distracting you this morning.

    2. Re:The numbers don't add up by nharmon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      By identifying the high risk teenaged drivers we can target them with additional training and restrictions that will reshape their driving behavior and make them lower risk. And we could mandate that the insurance companies pay for some of that additional training.

      This would similar to health insurance companies being mandated to cover preventative health services.

  8. No F#$KING way by Bucc5062 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What are the parameters that define a "good" driver. Going below the speed limit on a highway in the left lane. Being lucky when you don't look right or left making a turn onto a street? Taking way to long to brake?

    I've been driving for decades, I've put over 300,000 miles under me, but I bet those damn things would label me a bad driver for I accelerate firmly coming onto a highway, I don't brake forever coming off a highway, I tend to exceed the posted speed limit by a few miles when in the left lane and certainly when passing and i do my best to maintain situational awareness when behind the wheel.

    These devices will do nothing to bring about "safe" driving because that term is still relative to skill, conditions, and environment. Flo can take her device and shove it somewhere dark, just not in my car.

    --
    Life is a great ride, the vehicle doesn't matter
    1. Re:No F#$KING way by intermodal · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The thing about safe driving is, nothing these machines do can measure it. This tracking is the automotive equivalent of polygraph in terms of accuracy.

      --
      In SOVIET RUSSIA... erm...NSA AMERICA, the Internet logs onto YOU!
    2. Re:No F#$KING way by bmajik · · Score: 2

      I'm inclined to agree with you. I have a fair bit of race track driving experience and have instructed other drivers at high performance driving schools.

      I personally maintain my vehicles to a high standard and operate them according to their varying capability (I own everthing from a stripped out BMW racecar to a full-size schoolbus), and I of course vary my driving significantly based on my own mental/physical limitations and the prevailing road conditions.

      But I'm not at all typical.

      Once upon a time, I was told that my credit history negatively impacted my insurance premium. That's because I had no credit card usage to speak of. I had no debts of any kind, which didn't mean I was intrinsically risky, what it meant was that I fell outside of the model parameters that the actuaries and underwriters used.

      So it is with my driving habits. I have reason to believe that, on the occasions when I drive 95mph, I am being at least as safe as the drivers who are going 75 but who take their vehicles and driving much less seriously than I do. I speed selectively when conditions are appropriate (high visibility, incredibly low traffic density, I'm wide awake and not otherwise mentally distracted, I know the vehicle condition/capabilities, etc).

      Contrastingly, most people set the cruise at 75mph and then park in the left lane while they chat on their cell phone -- without a handsfree kit.

      This little black box has no way of knowing that you just got in a fight with your spouse, or just got told bad news by your boss. Mental distractions like these are typically bigger accident factors than a naÃve measurement of vehicle speed.

      So who's the bigger accident risk? An engaged me or a distracted average? I contend -- not me.

      Will my insurer see things that way? Certainly not. So I'll expect to pay a higher premium because I understand I am atypical. And I'll avoid having one of these boxes as long as I can afford to do so :)

      --
      My opinions are my own, and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
  9. It can't possibly be accurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    I live 2 miles up an unmaintained private logging road. An accelerometer would go nuts on all the bumps and make it look like I'm driving terribly, when in reality I'm creeping over holes, ruts and rocks at 5mph, in middle of nowhere, with nothing to hit except a moose.

    Yeah... NFW am I getting this.

  10. Insurance Companies Are Not Interested In Reducing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don;t care what you heard. I don;t care what your independent-insurance-agent-father told you. I don;t care what any insurance industry flak says. I don;t care what the industry advertisements and propaganda say.

    Insurance companies are NOT interested in reducing premiums. EVER!

    If you hear it, it's a lie. Lowered car insurance premiums is a lie.Lowered health insurance premiums(ACA) is a lie.

    If you don't know this, you are a fool!

  11. How can this work? by jbmartin6 · · Score: 3, Informative

    How can cutting the premiums of safe drivers work in practice? Isn't the idea of insurance that the premiums of those who don't file claims is what pays for the claims of others? If they cut all the premiums of the safe drivers, where is the money for the claims of the unsafe going to come from? My guesses: they are not paying out many claims since they just drop unsafe drivers, or perhaps they will simply recoup the money by raising the premiums of any driver who files a claim. In the latter case at least, your 'insurance' is perhaps no more useful than a credit card.

    --
    This posting is provided 'AS IS' without warranty of any kind, implied or otherwise.
    1. Re:How can this work? by NJRoadfan · · Score: 2

      Buried somewhere on Progressive's website is a sob story of how for every $1 in premiums the car insurance industry collects, $1.02 is paid out in claims. Yet, every company seems to have a large advertising budget to drill in that they can save you "XX or more" on car insurance.

      On the opposite end of things, there are car insurance companies that solely insure high risk drivers in some states. A friend of mine was dropped by a company because he was "too safe a driver". Yes, that was the official reason. Not surprising, a few months later the company went bust.

  12. Re:Safe = Slow = Low? by ackthpt · · Score: 2

    Assuming their telemetry system is limited and that "safe = slow = low prices". That isn't always the case!! Slow may very well = dangerous in many occurrences.

    Too true. I have a pretty long commute every day and have regularly seen people putting on Make Up, phoning, having animated discussions (lots of hand gestures, sudden jerks of the vehicle back to the middle of the lane after hitting some bot dots*, the driver who suddenly doesn't want to be passed - speeding up to prevent you changing lanes, etc.

    *plastic dots aside lanes or road shoulder which are often reflective, which result in a BUDDUMP-BUDDUMP-BUDDUMP when your wheel goes over them. Common in places where regular road plowing doesn't take place.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  13. Huge discounts by smooth+wombat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    we think this will change the way insurance works,

    So if they find I'm a good driver, never getting in any accidents, maintain a good distance between myself and other vehicles, don't get any tickets, they'll give me a huge discount, at least 50%, from what I'm paying now, right?

    *crickets*

    Insurance company: We're sorry, we don't operate that way.
    Me: Yeah, thought so. Just another scam to hand over my money to a private company.

    --
    We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
    1. Re:Huge discounts by jonnythan · · Score: 4, Informative

      I got a 30% discount on one of my cars and an 8% on the other. This is a discount applied over the regular rate that I pay.

      So..... it might not be 50%, but the answer to your question is "yeah, pretty much" instead of "crickets."

  14. Taking the insurance out of insurance by guises · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The health insurance industry did this about twenty years ago (ish. I don't remember exactly). Instead of binning people by risk and associated cost, they starting looking at people on an individual level and simply denying those who might not be profitable. It sounds good when you're angry at irresponsible drivers, and it certainly makes money for the insurance companies, but it doesn't work when you're dependent on cars on driving to make your infrastructure work and when insurance is an integral part of that (required in many states).

    1. Re:Taking the insurance out of insurance by Anubis+IV · · Score: 2

      There's a big difference between the two industries. In one, a good chunk of the factors that influence your insurability are out of your control. In the other, they are almost entirely within your control. If I'm told that it's going to cost an arm and a leg to insure my car, I can improve my driving skills appropriately by working at them privately. If I'm told that it's going to cost an arm and a leg to insure me because my health is poor...what's my recourse? Get better first? That'd be a nice catch-22. There's really no way out of it.

      Just because the idea isn't a good fit in the one industry doesn't mean that it isn't a good fit for the other.

  15. What makes me a safe driver? by dwillden · · Score: 2

    But what makes me a "safer driver" I've been in two accidents in my 26 years of driving. Rear ended once at a traffic light, and the other one the guy spun out across four lanes of traffic to slam into my truck, after I'd had time to come to a complete stop. And I haven't had a speeding ticket in over a decade. But I still have a lead foot, and tend to drive above the speed limit. Would I qualify as a "Safe Driver"? I have a car chip and monitor my vehicle for performance and maintenance issues, it lets me see the kind of data they would collect: average speed, highest speeds, acceleration profiles (rabbit starts, something I try to resist for fuel efficiency reasons but often realize I've done after the fact) hard breaking events etc. . .

    Okay maybe for an 18 year old male to maybe get a lower rate. But otherwise, hell no.

    My safe driving status should be based on what really makes for safe driving, and they haven't yet made the ODBII compliant device that monitors how alert and aware I am of the traffic around me. Of how often I check my mirrors and blind spots, of how I look ahead to anticipate problematic intersections or road conditions. Until they can monitor those, they can't really monitor safety. Speed is not a safety factor. Hard breaking may be, but it's still missing a ton of variables that explain the cause. Any insurance co that asks for this is losing a customer. I have a monitor on my vehicle already, but for my personal use and only my use.

    --
    I'm too lazy to compose a creative sig.
  16. Offer lower rates? by Overzeetop · · Score: 4, Informative

    When ever someone offers you the opportunity for lower rates by providing more information, what they are really offering is the opportunity to either eliminate you from their liability pool or raise your rates. Insurance is, in an efficient market like auto insurance, a zero sum game. Those whose rates get lowered must be offset by those with higher rates unless the overall claims volume is reduced.

    Bad drivers already are in a feedback loop from their insurers. Anyone who has received a moving violation or been in an accident feels the pressure of insurance premiums. It's the only reason I get concerned about a speeding ticket - $150 for getting caught doing 12-15mph over on the freeway is annoying; having my premiums go up $400/year for 2 or more years is far more punishment than the courts are doling out.

    --
    Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  17. Clueless. by JustNiz · · Score: 2

    So basically, even though many studies have shown speeding alone is mostly not a cause of car accidents, as long I stick below the speed limit, the insurance companies will reward me for being a good driver, regardless of how many people I cut off, how many lanes I swerve between lanes, how little I use my turn signals, or how much I update my facebook status and generally piss off other people while driving, not to mention how drunk or high I am while doing so.
    Great idea there guys.

  18. Did it, saved money... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    and the devices are temporary.

    The wife and I currently use Progressive and we did their little driver-monitoring program a year or so ago. Our vehicles were only monitored for a couple months.

    We ended up saving some money (Progressive was already lower than all the competition we had scoped out, but the program made it even a little lower).

    Of note were the reasons given:

    1. The devices were able to confirm our relatively low miles-driven.
    2. The devices found that we drove during "safe" times of day (if I remember right, it's the wee hours of the morning that are the "unsafe" times, probably due to increased rates of drunk driving).
    3. My wife saved a little more than me, due to my slightly higher incidences of "rapid stops." Apparently I should've punched through those yellow lights to save time AND money.

  19. This is stupid by girlintraining · · Score: 2

    Insurance isn't supposed to be about profit, it's supposed to be about cost-management. Say that for every 1,500 people, one of them will be in a car accident each year. The average cost of a car accident in terms of legal costs, replacement, etc., we'll say is $50,000 -- or about $136.98 per day. Let's add a 15% administrative cost -- that is, the cost to hire people and collect the funds. That's $157.53 -- Now divide that by 1500 and multiply it by 30.5 (the average length of a month) you get $3.20 per month per person.

    And that's how insurance is supposed to work: Distribute the costs so that the one poor bastard that would otherwise be broke, bankrupt, and his life ruined, avoids that fate because the risk is distributed over a large number of people. The administrators take home a reasonable profit -- that is their salaries plus maybe 5%, which is about average profit for a successful business, and you call it a day. Then you only need to manage the edge cases -- that 1% that gets in lots of accidents for no apparent reason. And those should be pretty easy to detect... since, you know, they're getting in accidents a lot. Set a threshold beyond which it's statistically improbable it could be random chance just kicking one guy's ass, and you're all set.

    There is no need for any of the rest of this. The reason they put it in, is the same reason our health care went to absolute and total shit: They're determining risk based on the individual, not the group, and maximizing profit. That is, insurance today has become about avoiding risk, not absorbing it.

    --
    #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
  20. Re:Safe = Slow = Low? by jonnythan · · Score: 5, Informative

    That's not how it works, actually. Progressive's Snapshot discount doesn't take speed into account at all.

    The three things they look at are:

    1) How often you drive (miles)
    2) What time of day you drive
    3) Number of hard stops

    I noticed that driving with a Snapshot for 6 months I became a lot more careful of hard stops. I gave other cars more space and drove much more defensively, even though I'm a very defensive driver already.

    I think it's safe to assume that an insurance company is interested in metrics that actually correlate well to safe driving, since their business literally depends on it. They want to give the discounts to people who are actually less likely to get into accidents.

    Progressive isn't the government. They don't want to just look like they're doing something about a problem. Their bottom line actually depends on it.

  21. The Fifth Element by ThatsNotPudding · · Score: 2

    "You now have one point remaining on your license."

  22. The biggest irony of the monitoring devices... by ZorinLynx · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Someone I know has a Progressive monitor plugged into her ODB-II port. It beeps to "berate" her when she is driving "badly".

    Apparently slowing down to stop at a red light is driving badly.

    Also, slowing down quickly to avoid an accident is also driving badly.

    She wants to throw it out the window, because the only time it ever "complains" is when she either stopped at a red light, or avoided crashing into someone who cut her off.

    If insurance companies want drivers to use these things, they really have to come up with a better definition for "bad driving" than "slowing down quickly".

  23. They're tracking me they're tracking me OMFG!! by ElementOfDestruction · · Score: 3, Insightful

    OK. Enough of the FUD; I use Progressive and I got the 30% discount.

    I drive, on average, 10-15 MPH above the posted speed limit. But I leave - minimally - 2 seconds of stopping time in front of me. I'm more likely to merge going 65mph in a 60mph than 55mph, unlike many other drivers - it vastly helps traffic flow when you merge going at the same ambient speed as other drivers. Definitely not a leadfoot. Just observant.

    They track when you drive, and number of "hard" stops. I had the beeper go off ONCE - when I was cut off by a driver. People will have sudden stops - deer crossings, other drivers. One or two isn't an automatic penalty. I was with another driver, and he had THREE "beeps" while stopping. Reason is he tailgates during normal driving. If the car in front slams on the brakes, he does too. It just measures the delta D over delta T, and if the ratio is too large, it determines it was a "hard stop". Like I said - you are allotted a certain number of these based on normal driving procedures.

    The other part of the discount comes from when you drive - I had a second job during second shift, and drove back during the "cautionary" zone more nearly 3 times a week. I still got full discount.

    Before everybody goes SCREAMING about how they're getting reamed a new asshole because Insurance Company X will know if they've gone 1.5 mph over the posted limit, settle the fuck down.

    How about this? What about a sensor in front of the car, measuring current speed and distance to car in front? If you spend 0-5% of the time within 2 second stopping distance, you get 0 discount; all the way up to 90-100% of the time getting a (max) discount. That's about what the Snapshot was measuring. Jesus Christ the sky is falling!!!

    Relevant link from Progressive

  24. Re:Safe = Slow = Low? by Shakrai · · Score: 2

    The hard brake (defined by them as deceleration of >=7 mph/sec) is the metric they care the most about. I logged only four of them in my six month evaluation period and received the full 30% discount in spite of a daily mileage average of 61 miles, back when they supposedly wanted to see an average of <=30 miles/day.

    A large number of hard brakes would seem to suggest a driver who is frequently distracted. An attentive and defensive driver should be able to avoid the majority of them, even in traffic and even when other drivers do something stupid. There are a few occasions that will be unavoidable but they're the exception, not the rule. Only one of mine was unavoidable (deer ran in front of me), the rest were caused by my own failures.

    --
    I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
    We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
  25. Re:Insurance Companies Are Not Interested In Reduc by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

    Obviously they are interested in lowering premiums, just as long as they can maintain their profit. Lower premiums attract more customers, improve customer satisfaction.

    The way they want to reduce premiums is by reducing risk. That way they can keep profit levels the same.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  26. Good drivers create bad drivers by holophrastic · · Score: 3, Interesting

    So, I'm cruising along the highway at normal/safe/legal highway speeds. There's an on-ramp just ahead, with a car about to merge onto the high-speed roadway.

    The merging driver should be going the full speed of the roadway. But he isn't. Because he's not actually a good driver. Instead, he's still travelling at on-ramp speed -- 20% below the highway limit, not at merging speed.

    The safest thing for me to do is to accellerate much faster to get past the merge area before he gets to it. I have the room in-front of me, not behind me. The surface is safe, the visibility is safe, my car is safe and capable, and I'm very alert. So I accellerate to 30% over the limit for the 4 seconds it'll take.

    You show me the insurance company that notices my excessive speeding as the safe driver and the slower merging car as the unsafe driver. I sped, to a speed that on paper is dangerous, illegal, and inappropriate. I just avoided a potential high-speed collision -- likely between the merging car and a third car behind me who couldn't see anything.

    Had police unwittingly pulled me over, I'd have appeared before a judge, plead "guilty with a reason", and the judge would have agreed. Meanwhile, my insurance company would have done what, exactly? Would they have even asked me why I was speeding?

  27. How about it uses much more fuel by Marrow · · Score: 2

    Rapid acceleration wastes fuel.

  28. Re:no sovereignty in your own car by epyT-R · · Score: 2

    scale out a bit and you'll see it's really 'no sovereignty over your life.' This thing with car 'insurance' is just one piece of it..

  29. More propaganda I see over the horizon by DrStoooopid · · Score: 2

    ...this is nothing more than a leftist agenda and then trying to convince a free-thinker that it's a good thing, and the benefits thereof, and how they outweigh the fact that someone is tracking everywhere you go, everything you do, and every move you make. "Oh but it's really a good thing, because we said it's a good thing"

    --
    There are 2 groups of people you can make fun of on the Internet without fear of attack. The illiterate, and the Amish.
  30. More surveilance by WildCat1968 · · Score: 2

    Insurance company surveillance only adds another arc to the open circle of government control, and further deplete our liberties and rights. For instance, I am not a speeder when I am the only one or of few on the road, but during rush hours everyone has a personal agenda, maybe as simple as a full bladder or rectum, and the daytime speed limit does not apply. If I want to not be run over, I have to go with the flow. Insurance companies have imposed themselves over every area of our lives. There are insurance offers for every thing, and insurers decide your quality of life, how much of your money you get to keep, and what share they get to claim every month while writing the rules. No, enough of that already. Insurance is another form of government sanctioned thuggery and extortion. Now insurance companies want to monitor how I drive so they can regulate their portion. People should be required to keep a certain amount in an Insurance escrow account and the money belongs to group members individually. The money in escrow always belongs to the insured unless there is a claim. Large claims are paid out of the group, which the persons who were judged at fault have to repay to the group at 1.0% interest. If the insured fails to repay, they lose their driving and car ownership privileges and can pay someone to drive them around or take public transportation until they repay their damages amount. There always will be money to pay damages and good drivers are rewarded by having access to their escrow premium money in full plus 1% when they surrender their driving privileges. There always will be people maturing into the group. Insurance is about money, control, regulation, punishment and duress. People need to begin forming self-insured unions, or coops and defy insurance companies and regulators. That's all I'm saying. Unless I am provoked into saying something else.