China's First Lunar Lander To Launch Today; Manned Mission Planned By 2030
c0lo writes "A Chinese Long March rocket is scheduled to blast off to the Moon on Sunday evening at about 6pm UTC carrying a small robotic rover that will touch down on to the lunar surface in about two weeks' time – the first soft landing on the Earth's only natural satellite since 1976. China has been methodically and patiently building up the key elements needed for an advanced space programme — from launchers to manned missions in Earth orbit to unmanned planetary craft — and it is investing heavily. After only 10 years since it independently sent its first astronaut into space, China is forging ahead with a bold three-step programme beginning with the robotic exploration of possible landing sites for the first Chinese astronauts to set foot on lunar soil between 2025 and 2030. Prof Ouyang Ziyuan of the department of lunar and deep space exploration and an adviser to the mission commented to the BBC on the scale of Chinese thinking about the Moon. He said the forthcoming venture would land in an ancient crater 400km wide called Sinus Iridum, thought to be relatively flat and clear of rocks, and explore its geology. China.org.cn promised live coverage of the event."
Good for them. I wish them the best of luck.
I kind of hope this kicks off another space race. That would be so much better then a battleship arms race (see WWI) or a nuclear arms race (see cold war).
The [dividing] line between us and those other nations is surely being narrowed. After the Chinese shot down a satellite in 2007, I knew it was just a matter of time.
No wonder they are now challenging us in the east. To make matters worse, they own most of our debt
If nothing is done, we'll be a nation of no consequence in a few decades.
Instead of spending tax dollars on hiring people and companies to do the same, the government is choosing to give the money away for nothing in return...except votes. Well played, entrenched politicians.
I predict there will be dead Chinese Astronauts on the moon.
50% chance they will become stranded and die and 50% change they just crash and die.
I think I remember reading those were pretty much our odds too.
I predict there will be dead Chinese Astronauts on the moon.
That permanent presence will back their territorial claim over the entire satellite, followed by a declared "defensive identification zone".
A race when an opponent has reached the finish line in friggin 1969?
The equation is different now. There are resources to be mined on the moon. It's not a matter of if we will exploit the moon's natural resources, it's when. China already holds the cards on many basic materials of technology, they would like to hold more.
If you want news from today, you have to come back tomorrow.
for their first Crazy Climber.
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Technology has improved greatly. This doesn't mean it will be trivial to do, but we got people on the moon with computers far less powerful than an embedded Bluetooth controller.
With the advancement of unmanned space probes, the path to get men back on the moon is made far easier. Things like a blown oxygen tank can be just a blip on a sensor, not a major funeral or cause to build a monument. Of course, this doesn't downplay the effort it takes to get stuff to the moon, but mistakes which would be in the history books would be relegated to "just" money lost, and if there is one thing China has, it is capital.
China is breaking ground, but this isn't completely uncharted territory. They have all of Russia's experience (and mishaps) to start off with.
Googling slashdot over the past 15 years or so, it seems like China is always just ten years away from putting a man on the moon. Vaporware or hype? You decide:
http://science.slashdot.org/story/02/05/20/1224219/china-plans-moonbase
http://science.slashdot.org/story/07/10/04/2117217/the-new-moon-race
http://science.slashdot.org/story/04/05/18/1639246/china-scrubs-moon-mission-plans
http://science.slashdot.org/story/03/05/30/1227223/
But will they make you buy insurance in order to visit?
Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
In the old days of Soviet Union and iron curtain, there was a joke about Russians painting Moon red and Americans putting up there Coca-Cola sign after.
Today it looks more like Moon will be China-red and Coca-Cola sign written by them too....
If the US government thinks that another country is going to seriously land humans on the Moon then everything will change. It will become a second Space Race and US people will be the first to land there a second time.
We are Dead Stars looking back Up at the Sky
A new lunar crater!
Have gnu, will travel.
Will they plant their flag right next to the U.S. flag?
And the Russians - they came close but failed in the long run.
I'll be surprised if there aren't tourists on the moon long before 2030. SpaceX's next-gen "man-rated" Dragon capsule will be flying in a couple of years, and the gap between that and a lunar landing/return capability is pretty well understood territory. It's not quite "off the shelf" yet, but there are plenty of folks working on the necessary technology. And if, in the meantime, they get their Grasshopper RLV into service, that will slash the cost dramatically.
Hell, Elon expects to have people on Mars before that. AFAIK he hasn't talked much about a moon trip, but others have. It's just a matter of time.
XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
Pow! Zoom! Straight to the moon!
XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
Yeah, this, except I'll bet you five bucks that once they have their "lander" on the moon, manned or not, they'll try to claim the entire Moon as a Chinese territory.
Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
It's *IN* Sinus Iridum. Sinus Iridum is the "Bay of Rainbows".
General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
And it may be that any new lunar lander should use a similarly capable computer. If the urge to use newer hardware takes over, it won't be long before some asshole suggests the next lander be controlled by software written in Java running on Android. Ask the astronauts about the laptops they were given to control ISS systems. But only if you're prepared for an earful.
Add to that the fact that modern low voltage, tiny feature size hardware is much more susceptible to the affects of cosmic rays than the old gear. Once you leave the Van Allen belts, you're getting pelted with a lot more crap, and it's much easier to flip a bit in modern RAM than it was in the older stuff. If you want radiation-hardened chips, suddenly you're talking about 4 or 5 generations back, if you're lucky. Didn't Intel say they were going to stop making their radiation-hardened gear at all? So now you have to provide external shielding, and preferably multiple redundant tell-me-three-times systems, so if one of them loses its feeble mind during operations, the other two can agree to ignore it and still get you landed in one piece.
The problem remains nontrivial and expensive simply because nobody has been doing it much. There are no economies of scale beyond LEO and there are only any economies of scale to LEO now because of SpaceX. It won't be easy, for China or anyone else.
"The american government has repeatedly shown they have no real interest in space exploration "
How do you explain all the unmanned probes flying around and even flying out of the solar system? Or the various Mars landers which have been instrumental in testing the various technologies and capabilities needed for further space exploration? Or the X-37B reusable space plane that has been flying missions into orbit for the last 4+ years? Or the manned version of the X-37B currently being tested? Looks like someone in the US is still interested in space exploration and developing the technologies needed to expand space exploration. Add in the private companies willing to risk huge sums of money for potential profits well into the future and space exploration is being pursued quite vigorously. Also you may want to check into the Chinese defense budget a little closer. Their budget has been growing exponentially over the past 15 years and that is assuming that the budget numbers the Chinese government publishes. If they want to go to the moon good for them. The US has already been their a couple of times and discovered there really is not a whole lot to see other than some rocks. Maybe in the future it will be possible to build a base on the moon but there are still some technologies needed to protect humans for extended trips into space.
http://www.outofthecradle.net/archives/2008/06/25-good-reasons-to-go-to-the-moon-2/
"you have to wonder if it s just a question of money keeping us down, or if it s also a risk avoidance mentality."
Wait to send meat passengers until robots are perfected. Development of remote-manned systems can proceed faster, and as space is permanently and utterly hostile to human life we wil require robots to do almost everything outside the areas we will live in anyway. No an option, so sending meat first is not just silly but counterproductive as a use of resources if you wan to send meat later.
Human passengers have unwittingly become an obstacle to effective space exploration.
"This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
Fortuitously, this mission will let LADEE, NASA's recently-launched Lunar atmosphere mission, collect more data:
http://www.planetary.org/blogs/emily-lakdawalla/2013/11262206-change-3.html
The coincidence of Chang'e 3 arriving at the Moon after LADEE has begun observations has developed into a serendipitous occurrence for lunar science. Because we don't understand very well how exospheric gases are added to and removed from the Moon, what has landed in our laps is an unplanned (but controlled) experiment. A known quantity of gases - of known composition - will be added to the lunar atmosphere at a precisely known time, in a precisely known place. One could have not designed a better experiment to measure how this addition of material is distributed, how its distribution evolves over time, and how these expelled gases dissipate into cislunar space. Even better, LADEE will have almost a full month to monitor and characterize the lunar atmosphere before Chang'e arrives, thus allowing us to first observe the "natural" Moon and then the "contaminated" Moon and how the lunar atmosphere recovers from its defilement.
None of this was prearranged - the Chinese schedule their missions on the basis of their own time-table and programmatic needs (just as NASA's lunar goals have changed over the last 5 years). But because of a fortuitous alignment of schedules, we have a unique opportunity to observe in real time how the Moon works. Hopefully, the Chinese will provide us with detailed mass numbers of their spacecraft and exactly what variety of fuel it carries, but even if they don't, physics dictates a certain mass and volume of the exhaust gas and its composition will be measured by LADEE (allowing us to know the type of fuel used). China's December lander mission to the Moon will provide our U.S. mission with a welcome bit of "traffic exhaust," giving scientists the opportunity to learn more from LADEE than we'd originally envisioned.
Wait to send meat passengers until robots are perfected.
Why is it you are of the opinion that we can not do things in parallel?
Robot development is essential and critical. No one is arguing against that. But that is just one part of the whole thing. Robots don't need life support or as much of radiation protection. Are we thus should stop research into those two areas until robots get perfected?
Surely there are many scientists and engineers that have specialized in the area of human space presence, but do not have as much to contribute towards designing next generation of robots. They also need funding, launches and experiments to keep their field alive. We do not want to lose the experience that we have so painstakingly gained thus far. Continual human presence on the ISS is providing a lot of good data that will be very useful in the future.
But will they make you buy insurance in order to visit?
With Mooncare coverage (c), not only you get the necessary coverage to visit the moon, we will make sure that your tax dollars be funded into the development of a better Mooncare (c) website !
Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
there are only any economies of scale to LEO now because of NASA - FTFY
SpaceX has made what, five commercial flights? Using technologies and equipment developed by NASA and Roscosmos at that. SpaceX is doing interesting things, but let's not get ridiculous.
"Think about how stupid the average person is. Now, realise that half of them are dumber than that." - George Carlin
You mean like when we said "We came in peace for all mankind"?
NASA hasn't built a rocket in decades. Let's not get even more ridiculous. SpaceX is using manufacturing techniques NASA has never used. Nor is Roscosmos using them. That's where the economies of scale come from, and they are unique to SpaceX. Neither ULA partner does them either. Judging by the progress of the Chinese space program, they're not using them to build Long March rockets either.
The engineering may be NASA-derived, but the manufacturing is all SpaceX.
Yeah, go look at the Moon Treaty.
Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear
Progressives will of course tweet how much they hate China's treatment of Moon Labor....on their Moon built iPhones.
We (the U.S.) never had any intention of doing that. On the other hand do you know how much of a public relations nightmare it would have been here in the U.S. if they had planted a U.N. flag instead of a U.S. flag?
Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
We have thousands of years to send humans for entertainment, while we can more quickly send generations of robots for the same money. Resources are finite, and we need robots on Terra too.
Let countries other than the US send humans for vanity reasons. The world is rich and doesn't need US leadership. It matters that humanity get the tech, not necessarily that US oligarchs get the tech first.
"This post is an artistic work of fiction and falsehood. Only a fool would take anything posted here as fact."
The ideas still inform international norms.
Get thee glass eyes, and, like a scurvy politician, seem to see things thou dost not.--King Lear