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Report: Space Elevators Are Feasible

Daniel_Stuckey writes "It's the scourge of futurists everywhere: The space elevator can't seem to shake its image as something that's just ridiculous, laughed off as the stuff of sci-fi novels and overactive imaginations. But there are plenty of scientists who take the idea quite seriously, and they're trying to buck that perception. To that end, a diverse group of experts at the behest of the International Academy of Astronautics completed an impressively thorough study this month on whether building a space elevator is doable. Their resulting report, 'Space Elevators: An Assessment of the Technological Feasibility and the Way Forward,' found that, in a nutshell, such a contraption is both totally feasible and a really smart idea. And they laid out a 300-page roadmap detailing how to make it happen."

374 comments

  1. Flying pigs by arisvega · · Score: 0, Troll

    Flying pigs are also doable.

    That does not mean that they are a good idea, or that they are easy to make.

    --
    The three laws of thermodynamics:(1) You can't win. (2) You can't break even. (3) You can't even quit.
    1. Re:Flying pigs by Firethorn · · Score: 5, Interesting

      As bigjarom mentioned, what's holding us back right now from cheap lift via skyhook is that we haven't quite gotten our carbon nanotube strength up high enough. It's theoretically quite possible.

      After that, it's just a question of how do we get enough materials and probably some sort of ribbon* making facility into GEO to actually do the laying. One idea I have is that rather than having to ship all materials to GEO, only to drop it towards the earth, you have a descending constructor that you supply. Though the orbital mechanics of resupplying it can get quite hairy...

      *Modern design philosophies has the cable being more of a flat ribbon than circular.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    2. Re:Flying pigs by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      they have a young scientist named Peter Parker working on it.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    3. Re:Flying pigs by gIobaljustin · · Score: 0

      That might be the case, but it might also not be the case.

      --
      Thank you Dave Raggett
    4. Re:Flying pigs by lazy+genes · · Score: 0

      If it was feasible, ancient aliens would have built one.

    5. Re:Flying pigs by YoungManKlaus · · Score: 1

      Actually, its very easy to make (though depending on your definition of "flying pigs" and if the pig has to be alive in the end; i.e. can we use a cannon or a plain or does the pig have to do its own thing) and might have some good uses.

    6. Re:Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh you mean the Good Doctor Parker!
      I heard a rumour in the FAS backoffice that 250 pages of the roadmap were plagiarized from his research, and he may well be re-assigned.
      Apparently the Good Secretary Kerry has a position available for him to doctor-up the Palestine Roadmap. It`s expected that the development of Palestinian fundamental infrastructure, provided no further obstructions by the Israelis, could commence next week and have a National Thouroughfare (highway network), State-water-and electrics, and an independent National Central Bank before next spring. GDP would rise by a minum of 35% this year, and in 2-3 years exponentially. That is, provided, the israelis and aipac do not continue to interfere and violate the Palestinian Struggle to join the league of nations.

      FAS is not unaffected by aipac, however not listed as a foreign agency

    7. Re:Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What do you think the pyramids were for?

    8. Re:Flying pigs by macson_g · · Score: 1

      What do you think pyramids are foundations for?

    9. Re:Flying pigs by VernonNemitz · · Score: 4, Informative

      I've always liked the idea of space elevators, but I've also been bothered by a problem that I've never seen addressed, "micrometeoroid erosion". Sure, you can build one. But how long is it going to last, with nothing to protect the main cable/strands/shaft/whatever-you-want-to-call-it from a near-endless --though admittedly low-rate-- series of impacts by speedy dust particles?

    10. Re:Flying pigs by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 1

      First floor perfumery, stationery and antimatter......

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    11. Re:Flying pigs by lisaparratt · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Protective polymer coating, topped up every time the car passes over it?

    12. Re:Flying pigs by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 1

      Don't worry, Monsanto genetic engineers are working on it...

    13. Re:Flying pigs by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      Not a space elevator, as it has to be located at the equator to be able to rotate with Earth.

    14. Re:Flying pigs by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Perhaps it hasn't been addressed much, but from what I've seen part of the 'protection' is that you would be more or less continously extruding new cable(on the order of a couple miles a day!), so as time goes by the cable WOULD be refreshed.

      Besides that, if you're sensible you're going to orient your ribbon so it's the narrow end that's facing most probable impacts, highly limiting it's cross section. Then you have to factor in that this material will be the strongest material used in space to date; it should be quite resistant to those effects.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    15. Re:Flying pigs by StripedCow · · Score: 1

      Make sure the contra-weight is large enough to attract an atmosphere.
      There's always a neat solution.

      --
      If Pandora's box is destined to be opened, *I* want to be the one to open it.
    16. Re:Flying pigs by y5t3m · · Score: 1

      They were before the crust shifted, same thing happened on Mars, look at the crater distribution of the red planet and you can see how the crust shifted 90degrees.

    17. Re:Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMG, you mean they are going to make Earth hairy?

    18. Re:Flying pigs by gbjbaanb · · Score: 1

      and when they realised their mistake, they started building those pyramids in Central America and Polynesia instead.

    19. Re:Flying pigs by taiwanjohn · · Score: 2

      how do we get enough materials and probably some sort of ribbon* making facility into GEO to actually do the laying.

      There's no way this will get built with materials launched from Earth, it will have to use resources mined in space. Just the segment from terra to GEO will have to be 23 thousand miles long; even just for a single "strand" we don't have a vehicle that can lift anywhere close to that much material. Lifting all the "strands" necessary would take many thousands of launches.

      OTOH, once SpaceX gets its reusable boosters working, it will be much cheaper to get up there. That will speed up the development of space-based industries (such as asteroid mining) that would make this project more feasible. It's not inconceivable (barely) that such a project could be undertaken in my lifetime, but I rather doubt it.

      In the meantime, a rotating skyhook seems much more viable, especially for the moon.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    20. Re:Flying pigs by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Cairo is almost dead on the equator.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    21. Re:Flying pigs by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      They feed pigs with wild hemp in Bhutan, does that count?

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    22. Re: Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This has been addressed for over a decade. Basically, tThe cable is a ribbon made up of smaller redundant cables connected to each other at regular intervals. Micrometeorites will take out a few strands in a section between the bridging connector, but the remaining strands will continue to carry the load until repairs can be made. The climber vehicle would inspect the cable during every ascent/descent, flagging areas that need repair. Repairs of this kind of damage would need to be ongoing, and would require specialized equipment that can get out of the way of the main climbers

    23. Re:Flying pigs by YoungManKlaus · · Score: 1

      thinking of the pig from sinfest :D
      http://sinfest.net/archive_pag...

    24. Re:Flying pigs by 6Yankee · · Score: 1

      Forget Pizza Hut drones, where's my pork chop cannon?

    25. Re:Flying pigs by Kz · · Score: 1

      Cairo is almost dead on the equator.

      huh?

      https://www.google.com/search?...

      30.0500 N, 31.2333 E
      Cairo, Coordinates

      --
      -Kz-
    26. Re:Flying pigs by budgenator · · Score: 1

      If you think flying pigs are hard, you obvious have had a Roadrunner cartoon defincency since childhood.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    27. Re:Flying pigs by bondsbw · · Score: 1

      if you're sensible you're going to orient your ribbon so it's the narrow end that's facing most probable impacts

      That's what she said.

      --
      All my liberal friends think I'm a conservative, all my conservative friends think I'm a liberal.
    28. Re:Flying pigs by joshuao3 · · Score: 1

      So turn it sideways so that one slightly non-tiny object can destroy the entire ribbon? :-)

      --
      Monitor bandwidth usage on IIS6 in real-time: http://www.waetech.com/services/iisbm/
    29. Re:Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They should build it so it is constantly replacing the ribbon as it moves cargo up and down. Sort of like double-buffering, you use one cable while replacing the other. It just spools itself out from the Earth-side. Actually, that sounds expensive, so maybe a better idea would be to constantly inspect the second cable, and repair/replace when needed

    30. Re:Flying pigs by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I recall seeeing a youtube video where a scientist set a pile of carbon nano-tube fibers on a surface and flashed them with a typical photo-strobe, and after a few seconds sparks were visiable in the fibers and a few more the pile burst into flames! So appearently the plan is to take one of the highest conducting non-superconducting materials we know of, attach it to the Earth at the equater where almost daily rain and thunder storms occure due to the moisture and static generated by the Trade winds and have machines shinny up and down the worlds biggest lightning rod that is likely to burst into flames if lightning even gets near it; man I would love to see that!

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    31. Re:Flying pigs by jcochran · · Score: 2

      Actually in a design I saw some time ago, the cross section of the ribbon would be more like an arc of a circle. No straight line path of a micrometeorite would be capable of severing the cable.

    32. Re:Flying pigs by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      making facility into GEO to actually do the laying.

      Facility? laying?

      You launch up a spindle of ribbon. You take the loose end of the ribbon, and you chuck it towards earth and unwind the spindle. Gravity takes over and pulls it's end down.

      (You also take the other end of the ribbon and throw it out away from earth, centripital force takes it and pulls it up.)

      There's really no "laying" of the ribbon. But hey, sure, putting some sort of station at GEO with the ribbon is probably a good idea. Something with thrusters that can make corrections and, I dunno, store all the crap they send up there. But initially, the thing that does the unspooling is just whatever vehicle that carried it there.

    33. Re:Flying pigs by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      You are correct up to the fourth word.

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    34. Re:Flying pigs by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      Then you have to factor in that this material will be the strongest material used in space to date; it should be quite resistant to those effects.

      I don't have the numbers handy, but I'm thinking the ribbon material is a couple orders of magnitude at best stronger than conventional materials, while impact energy is MANY orders of magnitude higher than the "strength" in question.

      To put it another way, if an impact dumps enough energy to raise several cubic millimeters of material to a five-figure Kelvin temperature, the "material strength" becomes somewhat irrelevant. Vapor/plasma doesn't resist tension very well.

      In fact, I'd think that stronger materials would receive more transferred energy from an impactor as it's punching through. You'd just have to count on having enough material left to hold things together.

    35. Re:Flying pigs by BlackHawk-666 · · Score: 1

      Cover it with a good thick layer of whale oil...say Minke or Blue Whale, still got plenty of those left!

      --
      All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.
    36. Re:Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Make sure the contra-weight is large enough to attract an atmosphere.
      There's always a neat solution.

      I hear Venus isn't doing much these days, maybe we could borrow it? While we're at it, we could terraform it too and then have two whole planets with inexpensive transportation between them. Not sure if tides will be a problem though. We should get on this, seems like it could be done pretty quickly*.

      * I'm a geologist.

    37. Re:Flying pigs by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Why, the equator doesn't rotate independently of the rest of the planet? We might assume that having the center of pull ouside of the diameter of the cable would cause concerns about the cable being strong enough, or it would give the cable an "Up and Down" side would be bad. The cable would of course have to be "landed" on or above the equator,but then it could be towed to its intended attachment site.

      Additionally when we think of the term equator, most of us you the geographic definition of a fixxed line half way between the poles or at right angles to the axis of planetary rotation, yet we'd need an astro-physists's definition because the planet isn't of homogenous density, and there are tidal forces from the Moon and Sun tugging various changing eccentricities into the system so the differnce in the cable landing at a site micro-radians from the moving equator and one 20 or 30 degrees from the equator is quantitative not qualitatiive; a cable 52,398 miles long is going to amplify an error a lot.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    38. Re:Flying pigs by eth1 · · Score: 1

      I've always liked the idea of space elevators, but I've also been bothered by a problem that I've never seen addressed, "micrometeoroid erosion". Sure, you can build one. But how long is it going to last, with nothing to protect the main cable/strands/shaft/whatever-you-want-to-call-it from a near-endless --though admittedly low-rate-- series of impacts by speedy dust particles?

      I imagine they'd do something similar to how some of the new suspension bridge cables are designed. The main cables are actually cable bundles, and they're made so that individual strands can be replaced if necessary.

    39. Re:Flying pigs by sexconker · · Score: 2

      Then you have to factor in that this material will be the strongest material used in space to date; it should be quite resistant to those effects.

      I don't have the numbers handy, but I'm thinking the ribbon material is a couple orders of magnitude at best stronger than conventional materials, while impact energy is MANY orders of magnitude higher than the "strength" in question.

      To put it another way, if an impact dumps enough energy to raise several cubic millimeters of material to a five-figure Kelvin temperature, the "material strength" becomes somewhat irrelevant. Vapor/plasma doesn't resist tension very well.

      In fact, I'd think that stronger materials would receive more transferred energy from an impactor as it's punching through. You'd just have to count on having enough material left to hold things together.

      Correct.
      Stronger materials are worse in structure impact scenarios because they transfer nearly all of the energy to the structure. You need flexible materials, a non-rigid design, and break-away failure modes. This all then necessitates a very redundant (and thus large) structure. If your carbon nanotube cable/ribbon takes a high-energy impact, the issue isn't the entire cable/ribbon surviving, it's preventing the energy from transferring to the structure (the anchors and the payload).
      I say build it with 3 times as many cables as needed, and install electronic sensors to measure impacts on each cable. When a sensor detects an impact, it can signal to the anchors to cut its cable. Since the cable isn't perfectly solid, the sensor has a good chance of telling the anchors to cut the cable before the energy from the impact reaches the anchor. The cable becomes slack and can't transfer the impact energy to the structure in anywhere near as direct a fashion as if had remained under tension by both anchors. You could incorporate this into the elevator car, too, so it has the option of cutting a cable. You just need to have sensors spaced strategically so you can reliably signal and execute the cut before the energy reaches the structure.

    40. Re:Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What happens when lightning strikes it?

    41. Re:Flying pigs by Zalbik · · Score: 2

      Then read the study

      They address micro-meteorites, lightning, induced currents, radiation exposure, and a whole host of other objections. The biggest problem they identify is the obvious one. We don't have any materials to build the tether with yet.

      They "project" that such materials will become available in the 2020's, which is good....that's a whole 14 years before nuclear fusion!

    42. Re:Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      why is there no mod for "completely fucking wrong"?

    43. Re:Flying pigs by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      There was a proposal a few years ago that looked at construction in detail. If you could get an adequate strength material (which is hard enough to make on the ground, making it in orbit is going to be even harder) you don't really need to lift that much of it to get started. I think they were talking about a half dozen shuttle launches or something.

      That gets you an elevator with a low lift capability. You use it to lift more cable to make the elevator stronger. Most of the mass of the final tether is lifted efficiently with a space elevator rather than rockets.

    44. Re:Flying pigs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Protective polymer coating, topped up every time the car passes over it?

      In other words, he recommends lubing the shaft before you use it.

      I'd take his advice wisely. This is Slashdot. Some here have doctorate degrees in that particular field of lonely study.

    45. Re:Flying pigs by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Considering all the atmospheric forces on the cable, plus the length, having the anchor point even 100 miles from the equator probably wouldn't make a significant difference. That 100 miles is the short side of a very long triangle. In fact I could see having two (or more) cables anchored a hundred or two hundred miles apart, converging above the atmosphere somewhere. If each is strong enough to hold the thing together in an emergency, then even if one is damaged by something the other(s) can take up the slack, prevent the entire thing from falling down/apart, and provide continued service to allow repair machinery and materials to continue to be transported. In normal times the multiple cables would provide additional capacity.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    46. Re:Flying pigs by rusty0101 · · Score: 1

      The question would be, what is the effect of an impact on a ribbon, and it's detachment from it's anchors, going to do for any load going up or down that ribbon? My feeling is that it's not particularly healthy to be riding that ribbon, unless your elevator car is actually able to transfer to another ribbon even after it's anchors have detached. Might be a good idea to not be under any likely fall paths from a given spot on a strand either.

      From the perspective of over-engineering the project, I would suspect that what you would want to do is have elevators using some combination of 3 or more ribbons, oriented in different directions, with the ability of the load to be handled on any single strand, but with the expectation that at any given time the loss of no more than one strand would be acceptable, and passengers would be expected to evacuate (with appropriate suits and chutes) and cargo loads would be "aimed" at uninhabited areas. (Agreed that may be "interesting" at certain altitudes....)

      --
      You never know...
  2. Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The main thing stopping us is funding and lack of materials of the right tensile strength.

    1. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by fustakrakich · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, the plastic they use for retail packaging should be strong enough.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    2. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Problem is that plastic's extremely porous and fragile until it gets to its actual destination. And since the Elevator is effectively always in transit....

    3. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by Cryacin · · Score: 3, Funny

      Problem is that plastic's extremely porous and fragile until it gets to its actual destination. And since the Elevator is effectively always in transit....

      I believe the plastic in question is the kind of plastic that semi-permanently entombs your purchase in a chrysalis so touch that you need a diamond tipped super electro buzzsaw or a weapons grade baloneyum industrial laser to burn through it.

      BestBuy packaging - toughest stuff known to man.

      --
      Science advances one funeral at a time- Max Planck
    4. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by AudioEfex · · Score: 5, Interesting

      And the desire of anyone with the ability or funds to do it to go to space regularly enough to need it. When I think back to being a kid and how space felt like the future, it makes me sad that typically it seems like no one besides researchers gives a shit anymore. I used to watch Star Trek and knew it wouldn't happen in my lifetime but it felt like that was the eventual goal and the direction we were heading in. Now I see it as the fantasy it is, because without some compelling financial gain in taking trips up there for anything besides tourism for the super-rich, I think we are going to stay stuck on this rock.

    5. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by no1nose · · Score: 3, Funny

      My kingdom for mod points. This is sad but true. If we do ever leave it will be to mine unobtanium like in the movie Avatar, not to further mankind in general.

      Picard tries to explain to Ralph Offenhouse from the 20th century that there would be no need for his law firm any longer: "A lot has changed in three hundred years. People are no longer obsessed with the accumulation of 'things'. We have eliminated hunger, want, the need for possessions." (TNG: "The Neutral Zone") - http://en.memory-alpha.org/wik...

    6. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by asmkm22 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Financial gain may be the most likely reason for advancement now, but it won't take more than another 50 to 100 years for it to become a necessity due to any combination of pollution, population, warfare, and resource depletion. Humans have always been really crappy at innovating unless we absolutely have to. When we aren't faced with some kind of crisis, we tend to get really good at perfecting known technologies and ideas, but that's about it.

      So yeah, space exploration is pretty much out of the question as long as people (both investors and consumers) are more interested in mobile phone games and reality TV. As soon as shit hits the fan again -- and it will -- we'll see another big leap in advancement.

    7. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe you didn't realize it at the time, but in Star Trek the only people going to space were scientists, politicians or the military. And only a handful of them. The bulk (99.9999%?) of the population was stuck in their native rocks, even in the utopian world of Star Trek.

    8. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Everything seems doable as a kid.

    9. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      "Now I see it as the fantasy it is, because without some compelling financial gain in taking trips up there for anything besides tourism for the super-rich, I think we are going to stay stuck on this rock."

      What a silly thing to say.

      There are already real commercial proposals to mine the moon. There are also private, commercial proposals to mine asteroids. Sure, neither one will happen tomorrow but the important thing is that it's beginning to look feasible.

      Further, just because Obama is myopic and wants to ignore the moon, that doesn't mean other nations are. Which is just yet another strike against him. Get a President with a head on his shoulders in office, and maybe we'll be back there within a few years.

    10. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by YoungManKlaus · · Score: 1

      afaik this is getting fixed as we speak. eg. for carbon nanotubes there is some minimum length to make using them feasible (because you have to knot a whole lot of them together), and these lengths were first reached around a year ago or so iirc (according to the the awesome german space-blog "raumzeit")

    11. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by captainpanic · · Score: 2

      And the desire of anyone with the ability or funds to do it to go to space regularly enough to need it.

      It's like proposing to the East India Company to build a modern mammoth tanker. They would not understand why anyone would want to transport such quantities of material across the ocean. You can't really blame people for not having a clear vision of the future though.

      When I think back to being a kid and how space felt like the future, it makes me sad that typically it seems like no one besides researchers gives a shit anymore. I used to watch Star Trek and knew it wouldn't happen in my lifetime but it felt like that was the eventual goal and the direction we were heading in. Now I see it as the fantasy it is, because without some compelling financial gain in taking trips up there for anything besides tourism for the super-rich, I think we are going to stay stuck on this rock.

      I disagree.
      Firstly, we have some exciting missions to planetoids. Pluto and Ceres are about to be visited (spacecraft is already on its way).
      Secondly, the ISS is a great success of global cooperation. And now it is being supplied by commercial parties, at lower cost than ever. And the fact that it's up there (it's huge in comparison to anything else we've put in space) is a sign we're moving forward.
      And then the Chinese are breathing down the necks of Western space agencies, and catching up quickly. Thereby ensuring that we don't get lazy.

      And finally, I really believe that this idiotic Mars One program can be a success. The global budget for advertising is simply insane, and if they would only capture 1% of the advertising money, they can totally build a Mars mission. It needs to gain popularity, but in this modern age, that is not rocket science.

      Sure, the massive budgets of the golden days of the space race are over. It's all a bit more sensible now. Until the entertainment industry steps in!

    12. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      Or construction workers (somebody had to build those spaceships and space stations, after all). Or traders/merchants/shippers/etc. since interstellar, much less interplanetary, commerce was very much a thing that people were doing. Or technicians, to keep that infrastructure running. Or colonists, off to settle other worlds. Or emigrants, moving to one of those colonies after the initial settlement. Or tourists, heading to Risa (or any of the other pleasant parts of the galaxy reachable by warp drive). Or any of surely many more classes of people...

      Sure, the show focused on scientists and military (although it might be more accurate to describe the Enterprise's mission as exploration rather than true science, even though they certainly had scientists aboard). But there were lots of other people out there. Even the original series had some of that. The later shows expanded on it a great deal. The Enterprise D had families aboard; it was more like a mobile city than the exploration ships of old.

      Also, you don't know that people were stuck. That was never claimed, that I can recall. Many people may never have felt the need to leave - planets are big places, after all, and an impulse-speed shuttle can get you from one side to the other in a matter of minutes (it would be seconds, but you ought to get out of the atmosphere before lighting off a fusion drive) even if you can't just use a transporter - but I'll bet plenty of people would have had families or friends on Mars or something, and gone to visit them (a voyage of minutes from earth if you can even reach warp 1, hours at worst if limited to impulse).

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    13. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      My, how awful for you, being "stuck on this rock" for the rest of your life...

      So you think outer space is a more beautiful place to live than on the very planet your species evolved on? Why?
      So you can't appreciate the sheer beauty of nature all over this planet? Well done, aren't you a genius.

    14. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by lisaparratt · · Score: 1

      The planet's lovely, but there're all these shitty people to contend with...

    15. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      I believe the plastic in question is the kind of plastic that semi-permanently entombs your purchase in a chrysalis so touch that you need a diamond tipped super electro buzzsaw or a weapons grade baloneyum industrial laser to burn through it.

      I bought one of those, but I can't open the package it's in.

    16. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Adam+Jorgensen · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm not sure Star Trek should be considered in the same sentence as talk of viable space exploration the future.

      Utopian thinking is nice but it's an ideal not a potential reality.

    17. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by meglon · · Score: 1

      I believe the plastic in question is the kind of plastic that semi-permanently entombs your purchase in a chrysalis so touch that you need a diamond tipped super electro buzzsaw or a weapons grade baloneyum industrial laser to burn through it.

      BestBuy packaging - toughest stuff known to man.

      Now wrap that with duct tape and we have our preferred material.

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    18. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by myurr · · Score: 1

      The reason is risk. When our backs are against the wall we take far greater risks, both financial and in risking human life. We'll try everything no matter what the cost and see what sticks. When things seem all peachy we lack the motivation to take that same level of risk, and are completely against anything that may involve personal risk to the humans involved.

    19. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or some merkin would keep pushing the button for every stop

    20. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ST:E (we know how you feel you don't need to kick off again) had many human warp-capable traders.

    21. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As soon as shit hits the fan again -- and it will -- we'll see another big leap in advancement.

      That's the optimistic way of seeing it. It could just as easily happen that shit will *really* hit the fan (e.g, large scale nuclear war, or large scale global climate change) and we'll enter another dark age.

    22. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 1

      You don't even need high tensile strength material. You can just increase the thickness of the cable as you ascend to account for the increasing weight it must carry. The cables increase as you go upwards, in inverse analogy to rocket boosters on the ground. I think Arthur C. Clarke wrote an article about this.

      That said, I personally am very skeptical on the basis that the counterweight dynamics do not seam obvious/feasible to me. Admittedly a space elevator would eventually be of huge benefit, but in order to construct and use one, you need to develop efficient rocketry first to accomplish the very same thing.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    23. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by gsslay · · Score: 1

      "Technically feasible" != "Feasible"

      You can't just ignore all the other hurdles regarding money, politics, security and risk.

    24. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by gbjbaanb · · Score: 3, Insightful

      what it'll take it for China to start weaponising space, "for their own defence" and then funding will immediately be made available to get other countries weapons system up there.

      Why else did the US go to the Moon - it was because there was a chance the Russians might have found a way to put missiles on there of course, all dressed up as exploration and "good of mankind".

      So c'mon China - we're bored of terrorists, we need a new 'enemy' to spend vast sums defending against! you guys are the only ones with enough cash to do anything.

    25. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Muad'Dave · · Score: 1

      And Harry Mudd and his mail-order brides. And the space hippies. And all the miners hanging with the Horta. And Kodos the Executioner and his troupe. And all the settlers exposed to Berthold rays.

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    26. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      So you think outer space is a more beautiful place to live than on the very planet your species evolved on? Why?

      It's the wrong shape.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    27. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      The minimum length for a space elevator is about 50,000km with an asteroidal counter-weight. With a more realistic counter-weight you are looking at around 80,000km.

      When we have mere 1km lengths of nanotube ribbon in practical use on Earth (say, in bridges), we can start to talk about whether we might one day be able to build a space elevator. Until then, we do not have any materials sufficient for a space elevator, and such speculation is just nerd SF play.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    28. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      The weight of the cable is significant as to how long it can be, I'm pretty sure they would have worked out the ideal width to length ratio for existing materials and come up short of what's required. A tapered cable with the tick end up might be useful as a built in counterweight

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    29. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by YoungManKlaus · · Score: 1

      I am not making up some random crap. Look at http://raumzeit-podcast.de/201... . I can at least quote some guy from ESA, what are your sources?

    30. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Sure you can, that's what "technically feasible" means, also other ideas may be "politically feasible" or "economically feasible" but technically batshit crazy..

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    31. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      The world.

      Show me any application of continuous nanotube material beyond trivial length. Just one example. Not some guy pontificating in a podcast, but an actual example of use.

      A space elevator requires tens of thousands of kilometres of cable or ribbon at close to the theoretical maximum strength of nanotubes.

      From what I've seen, the longest true lengths outside a lab are millimetres. The longest lengths of usable "thread" are metres, but are made of a tangle of sub-millimetre nanotubes not a continuous length, and so are well below the theoretical minimum strength required for a space elevator, let alone the much greater practical engineering strength required for a real one.

      No-one is making macro lengths of nanotubes. No-one is making macro lengths of any material at close to the strength required for space elevators.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    32. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Evtim · · Score: 1

      Both are true. I can ogle nature all day long and will not get bored. I can look at a leaf for hours.

      However, if you can bring me just on the other side of the moon, no further, so I can see the starts without light pollution and atmosphere I think the first time I'll just freeze from awe....now that I live in the Netherlands where clouds and sky are the same thing and even if they weren't this country has one of the worst cases of light pollution I truly miss the night sky. Really, I am not exaggerating.

      What about an "outside" view of a Galaxy [that we can see only in movies] or a glimpse towards the Galactic core. How about planets and moons. Rings, great spots, Io's volcanoes and so on and so on...? I'll cry my eyes out...

    33. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by MrNemesis · · Score: 1

      Oblig. Penny Aracde brought to you, appropriately enough, by Space Devil.

      --
      Moderation Total: -1 Troll, +3 Goat
    34. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      Ah yes. We turn to space when we start running dangerously low on oil and rocket fuel.

    35. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Financial gain may be the most likely reason for advancement now, but it won't take more than another 50 to 100 years for it to become a necessity due to any combination of pollution, population, warfare, and resource depletion. Humans have always been really crappy at innovating unless we absolutely have to.

      What crisis led to the discovery of the transistor? What crisis created penicillin? The telephone? The car? Was there a heart disease epidemic threatening to wipe out humanity leading to the first heart transplant? I'm not buying your assessment that we're unable to innovate unless required.

      It's not necessary for pollution, population, warfare, and resource depletion to be long term problems even if we remain on Earth. I do agree that we'll need to do some innovating, but it doesn't have to be of the "find a way to abandon Earth" variety. It could just as easily be along the lines of solving the problems you listed instead of running from them. I'm actually pretty fond of this blue marble we live on and I think those problems are both solvable and worth solving even if going to space were cheap and easy. We can scrub pollutants from our atmosphere and oceans. We can shift nonrenewable resource usage to renewables and increased recycling or reuse. Population growth is not a given either, most developed countries see a dramatic slowing of population growth and a declining population may actually be more of a concern in the future. We've had the capacity for 50 years now to destroy civilization and make Earth a very unfriendly place to be. That we haven't speaks volumes of our capacity to avoid self-annhiliation through warfare.

      Right now we have a better understanding than we ever have before of the state of the world. We can see looming problems further in advance and better prepare for them. No, we're not perfect, but I do believe we're always getting better. I worry about how we can better assess and improve the health of elderly people and those with movement disorders. I don't know all the things that could be problems, or what we might do about them, but I'm sure there are many many other people out there worried about the many other problems, and working just as hard to solve them.

      Financial gain seems like a petty motivation, but if not for externalities there's only financial gain in building things that society likes (makes us happier, healthier, safer, etc). If resources can be mined more inexpensively on the moon, then we all get more and less expensive "stuff" here on Earth. If solar power can be more efficiently harvested from orbit, then again we get cheaper and more plentiful electricity. If we build a solar power satellite and it's *not* more efficient, just because we can for the noble goal of "space," then we end up with more expensive electricity instead and people start scratching their heads.

    36. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by TangoMargarine · · Score: 1

      We'll just keep appreciating the (deteriorating) beauty of nature until we all get wiped out by the next Extinction-Level Event, then.

      Say, has anybody checked on the Yellowstone Supervolcano lately?

      --
      Unity? Screw that: XFCE. Slashdot Beta? Screw that: SoylentNews. Australis? Screw that: Pale Moon. UX developers DIAF
    37. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Why else did the US go to the Moon - it was because there was a chance the Russians might have found a way to put missiles on there of course, all dressed up as exploration and "good of mankind".

      The original intend was the point that if you the "oomph" to get a satellite into orbit, you were domonstrating you had enough "oomph" to get a nuclear warhead from one continent to another; the "oomph" and mojo to go to the moon and back meant you had the "oomph" and mojo to put MIRVs where you wanted. Now that Russia is no longer a mortal enemy, the need for space exploration as a proxy for Global Thermonuclear War has gone a way and we're all missing that testosterone fueled scientific one-ups-manship.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    38. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by locopuyo · · Score: 1

      True story. A coworker bought a scissors and couldn't get it open without a scissors, but there wasn't a scissors in the office which is why he bought one.

    39. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      It's not just space. Everything is like that. Everyone is so focused on making a quick buck that basic research has dropped off to a fraction of what it was. When we finish exploiting all the things people discovered in the 60s and 70s we'll hit a wall.

    40. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2

      Don't worry, China is willing to take risks and try unorthodox ideas to defend themselves against the US, which spends utterly insane amounts on weapons.

    41. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Financial gain may be the most likely reason for advancement now, but it won't take more than another 50 to 100 years for it to become a necessity due to any combination of pollution, population, warfare, and resource depletion. Humans have always been really crappy at innovating unless we absolutely have to. When we aren't faced with some kind of crisis, we tend to get really good at perfecting known technologies and ideas, but that's about it.

      So yeah, space exploration is pretty much out of the question as long as people (both investors and consumers) are more interested in mobile phone games and reality TV. As soon as shit hits the fan again -- and it will -- we'll see another big leap in advancement.

      Uh, that "shit hits the fan" scenario that you speak of here would be an asteroid wiping out humanity.

      And yeah, we'll have another "leap" in advancement alright. Right between ice ages.

      Cute theory you've got there, but totally invalid in this scenario when the problem we now face is getting the hell off this rock. We're sure as hell not gonna save it, or survive staying here, because we've always done one thing better than anything else; fuck shit up.

    42. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by garyebickford · · Score: 2

      True story. A coworker bought a scissors and couldn't get it open without a scissors, but there wasn't a scissors in the office which is why he bought one.

      Scissors is an interesting word. Apparently derived from the latin word for chisel => a pair of chisels.

      Wikipedia:

      The noun "scissors" is treated as a plural noun, and therefore takes a plural verb ("these scissors are"). Alternatively, it is also referred to as "a pair of scissors". In American English, "a pair" is singular and therefore takes a singular verb ("this pair of scissors is"). In British English, "a pair" does not take the singular ("this pair of scissors are"). The word shears is used to describe similar instruments that are larger in size and for heavier cutting. Opinions vary geographically as to the size at which 'scissors' become 'shears', but this is often at between six to eight inches (about 15 to 20 cm) in length.

      And yet, Wiktionary says

      (countable, plural in form, usually with a plural verb) A tool used for cutting thin material, consisting of two crossing blades attached at a pivot point in such a way that the blades slide across each other when the handles are closed.
      Those scissors are sharp. (indicating singular or plural scissors)
      That scissors is sharp. (less commonly to indicate singular scissors)
      Scissors are used to cut the flowers.
      Use a scissors to cut them if you don't have proper shears.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    43. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Fear not, do not despair. Instead check out SpaceTechExpo, NewSpace2014, Space Frontier Foundation, International Space Development Conference, and others. Go to some of the conferences. There are a lot more people working to make commercial space happen that you could imagine, but they don't get much press. My associates are working on financial tools to support companies that are building space-related stuff. Check out Nanosatisfi, making cubesats for educational research; look up cubesats, several of which are now getting launched from the ISS with almost every supply mission, doing interesting experiments. Zero Gravity Solutions is a biotech company using microgravity to help develop new biologicals, and has run six experiments on the ISS (disclosure: I have a small position in ZGSI).

      The ISS is now a designated National Laboratory, just like NIST, Los Alamos, Lawrence Livermore, etc. and has designated an independent organization (CASIS as the gatekeeper for ISS-based research. If you have a reasonable proposal and can build an experiment (and jump through the necessary hoops), NASA will fly your experiment to the ISS and will run the experiment, free. (It will still cost about $100K to build your experiment, qualify it, etc.) With the advent of private ISS delivery vehicles, the turnaround time for experiments has dropped from three years to a few months, allowing much faster and more productive research. Numerous companies are beginning to take advantage of this opportunity, and I will be surprised if this does not result in a huge number of new products and technologies. I have some hope that it will be as productive as the R&D tax credit of the early 1980s, which was instrumental in creating Silicon Valley.

      In the longer term, economists have done the research and concluded that commercial space development has the potential to improve the standard of living of everyone on Earth by a factor of 10. Others are less optimistic, but few deny the potential is there. Two somewhat belabored examples: space solar power (which I myself am somewhat skeptical of for various reasons) could replace every power plant on Earth; and (a bit more interesting) Planetary Resources hopes to reduce the cost of platinum group metals by a factor of 100, from the $1000+ per ounce level to $10+ per ounce. These metals have a huge array of industrial uses that are presently impractical due to cost. There are many other examples, these are just two.

      Bottom line: There are perhaps 30,000 people around the world presently working full time or nearly so on making space development happen. Another, larger group are working in general space and most of them are advocates in one form or another. Several million at least are 'fans' and subscribe to space-related activities, magazines, etc. And not least are the huge numbers around the world - I'll guess at least 500 million - who are inspired and encouraged every time they see a news story about a space success. My associates are working hard to provide a way for these folks to participate in making it happen, through financial vehicles. Would you invest $1000 in space, and let it ride for 10 years or more? We hope to make that a possibility. That 10 year thing is one of the biggest roadblocks - most space startups have timeframes to first profits (or even revenues!) of 10 or more years, while few VC funds are willing to wait that long for an exit.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    44. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Yep, all designs I'm aware of are tapered, the fattest point is in the 'middle' (where the middle is depends on the counterweight mass.)

      I'll just add that the Liftport folks are now focusing on a lunar elevator, which doesn't require exotic materials. It doesn't use the Moon's rotation (since it only rotates once each revolution), but runs through one of the LaGrange points, either L1 or L2. This means a much longer ribbon (60,000 km IIRC) but much less required strength. It would be anchored to a triangle of points on the Moon.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    45. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      I forgot to say - their estimated cost is under $1 billion. Also they are running some climber experiments this summer, I believe.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    46. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      A lunar space elevator could be built using 1970s technology, with kevlar as the tether fiber.

      Funding and a lack of political will.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    47. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Build one on the moon using kevlar.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    48. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by duhjim · · Score: 1

      Build the elevator first and the reasons will land on our door step. We are explorers of worlds not bean counters.

    49. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      Minimal length for a lunar elevator is about 80,000km, assuming a large counterweight. Longer if you are only using the deployment-system itself as the sole counterweight. Your gravitational "mid-point" is L1, about 60,000km from the moon. So you have to have a sufficient balancing mass (ribbon+counterweight) beyond 60,000km. A "true" elevator (ribbon only, no counterweight) is over 200,000km, or more than half way from the moon back to Earth.

      The industry required to built that suggests you already have low cost access to space, and enough lunar surface activity to justify it. Which means you must have already solved the problem the lunar elevator is intended to solve. A space elevator doesn't get you "there", you already have to be "there" to justify (or afford) a space elevator; and if you are already "there", why do you need a space elevator?

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    50. Re: Why would it be infeasable? by DougF · · Score: 1

      Transistor: Space Race w/Soviets, and Cold War? Penicillin: Millions of people dying from horrible infections? Telephone: Acid burn on Alexander Graham Bell? (OK, that's a stretch...but the telegraph was just so early 19th Century) Car: Horse poop? Transplant: Heart disease is the number one killer?

      --
      Impetuous! Homeric!
    51. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by samwichse · · Score: 1

      I think it's because when you use it like "...a scissors to cut..." it is implied that you are saying "... a [pair of] scissors to cut..."

      It'd be funny if people did this with pants though.

      Hold on, let me go put on a pants!

      Sam

    52. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Mr. Pearson's calculations show the total infrastructure mass below 1e6 kg, or about 1000 tons. The climbers are another 5e5 kg, or about 50 tons.

      For comparison, the ISS has a mass of 2e4 kg, or about 20 tons.

      With the assumed cost of $5m per ton launched to LEO, that's only about $10B to get this thing launched. According to Forbes, there are at least 100 individuals that could each fund this with their own personal fortunes. Carlos Slim could fund the launch of seven of these himself. Of course, actual launch costs could be much lower. Currently, SpaceX's Falcon 9 v1.1 only costs about $3.7m per ton to LEO. If their VTVL Grasshopper performs well, launch costs would be further reduced.

      Additionally, I'd like to point out that the lunar space elevator is not going to provide low cost access to space. It serves a different purpose. Even if you have space elevators on both Earth and the moon, lunar materials would still be much cheaper to deliver to space. The moon has only 1/6th the gravity, which makes it that much cheaper to lift things off of it. Additionally, the lack of lunar atmosphere decreases losses inherent to the climbers (power delivery, drag, etc.). In LEO, moon rocks will still be cheaper than Earth rocks.

      Also, when undertaking a project this ambitious, a lunar elevator as a first attempt makes much more sense. First, it's much easier. There's no atmosphere, no weather, no magnetic fields, no security concerns. Additionally, the gravity is considerably weaker, meaning we could do this today (or even 30 years ago) without any advances in materials science.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    53. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      Mr. Pearson's calculations

      Keep reading until you get to the list of operational requirements.

      As I said, you have to have an industry in place in space so large that you must have already solved the problem you are trying to solve with a space elevator (or the sort of autonomous in-situ manufacturing that would have already replaced the entire manufacturing industry on Earth if it was possible with current technology).

      [Space elevators are a bit like He3 mining. While the claims might technically be right, by the time we are capable of performing the task, the assumptions underlying the entire equation would have changed. Therefore, outside of nerdy what-if thought-experiments, there's really no point "planning" them today, nor using them to justify any kind of advocacy.]

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    54. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      I thought Pearson's 1978 paper claimed it was possible even at that time, over thirty years ago. His 2005 feasibility study confirmed this. Are there some operational requirements that he and NASA missed?

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    55. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      Missed? No, they are right there in the report. Ie, technologies that we do not have, which would individually be a major NASA program, and which are the minimum requirement for a space elevator of any type. (The robotic repair systems alone are probably beyond the current state of the art of robotics, IMO. But the ground station, the "tramway" tower construction (let alone ISRU fabrication), the L1 ribbon deployment system, the actual elevator "cars", even the single use "tramway" cable tow-vehicle, etc etc etc. Possibly within current technological limits, but each hideously expensive to develop.)

      A single 1km lunar tower construction would be the largest (and most expensive) project NASA has even done, even if the parts were already sitting in crates on the lunar surface. Pearson needs over 50 of them (more if they are smaller). And they are a small side-part of his proposal.

      Likewise, a lunar facility which could produce tower-parts from lunar materials would be the most technologically advanced research project NASA has attempted in decades, even without the actual construction of towers. Much more demanding than anything going on at the $3b/yr ISS, or any of the $3b/yr SLS development, or the $9b JWST. And that's just something capable of taking regolith and outputting a small number of tower components; not something capable of actually producing a full 1km tower's-worth, let alone 50+. Just being able to produce the required types of parts at all. And ignoring that it has to be mobile and capable to tracking from the equator to the poles. (Or have a fleet of delivery vehicles capable of relaying parts to and from the construction sites. Each of which would be the largest and most advanced vehicles ever produced by NASA. Making the Mars Curiosity rover look like a toy.)

      There's probably a thousand other technologies of similar difficulty and expense that I'm missing, too. These few just jumped out at me. Components which would individually be multi-decade multi-$billion/yr Agency-wide flagship programs. The 180,000km ribbon itself is beyond me to even speculate over the difficulty or cost, plus the ribbon's deployment system...

      It's the difference in the definition of "Feasible". A lot of impossible/difficult/expensive proposals are deemed "feasible" by NASA standards. "No show-stoppers" as they say. Venture Star was "feasible", NASP was "feasible", Freedom Space Station was "feasible". Hell, SLS is considered not just "feasible" but "low-risk". Similar reports in the seventies of giant space-stations (Stanford Torus, Bernal sphere, or O'Neill cylinders) were considered "technologically feasible". And they likewise required impossibly huge projects as small sub-sets of their development (such as mining, processing, and giant mass drivers on the moon just to supply the raw materials for their construction.)

      Pearson's elevator, while simpler than an O'Neill cylinder, would nonetheless make the Apollo program look like NASA's Christmas video.

      [Aside: My throw-away comment in last post "or the sort of autonomous in-situ manufacturing that would have already replaced the entire manufacturing industry on Earth" is unclear. I meant if you had the technology to automate the construction of 1km lunar towers from nothing but lunar regolith and solar power, the same technology would have already revolutionised and replaced the majority of manufacturing and especially construction if used here on Earth. Imagine being able to construct, say, concrete and steel buildings or bridges by feeding iron ore, limestone, coke, water, etc, into an automated (solar powered) construction system.

      Further aside: BTW, we should be developing lunar and asteroidal ISRU technologies. But proposing a giant space project which treats this radical and revolutionary technological advance as if it's already proven and mature... Hence, "you have to have an industry in place in space so large that you must have already solved the problem you are trying to solve with a space elevator."]

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    56. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Well said, and thanks for clarifying.

      I agree with nearly everything you've said. However, I do agree with NASA's assessment that SLS is indeed feasible and low-risk. The only risk is funding, or lack thereof. I also believe that it should be scrapped, as it's already several decades late to the party.

      I didn't mean to suggest that we could go to Walmart for some parts and have a lunar elevator running by next week. Obviously, a tremendous amount of work (and money) would be involved, and it doesn't help that the political will just isn't there. I'm just saying that it's feasible (by NASA's standards), and that if we threw enough money at the problem (which we won't), it would be solved. This is in contrast to other ideas that are often mentioned alongside a lunar space elevator, like an Earth-based space elevator, faster-than-light travel, Dyson spheres, or other ideas which are currently not feasible, even by NASA's standards, regardless of political will or funding.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    57. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      and that if we threw enough money at the problem (which we won't), it would be solved.

      No. "Feasible" doesn't mean it's just a matter of throwing money at it. A lunar elevator could still turn out to be impossible with existing materials/technology, even with an unlimited budget. (As I said, I think the repair systems alone are beyond the state-of-the-art in robotics. Not just that the specific equipment doesn't exist at Walmart, I mean it's beyond the available or reasonably projected level of AI. That's without allowing for them operating in space, in full chip-killing radiation...) It might be possible with an unlimited budget and unlimited time to allow science to advance enough to catch up.

      There's a bunch of stuff required for the lunar elevator which might be possible given enough money, but there's also likely to be a whole bunch which, in spite of being theoretically "feasible", are probably in reality beyond our current scientific ability to create even with if you threw the entire US GDP at them.

      For a more limited example of "feasible but...", the Orion capsule is "feasible... but" it's now likely to be so heavy that it may exceed the ability of the Navy to recover it onto an aircraft carrier after it splashes down. That doesn't mean you can't design a dedicated recovery ship for it, or more likely adapt another ship such as a amphibious or semi-submersible ship. But that wasn't the intention, so Orion was clearly "unfeasible" as originally conceived: You can't make the capsule they proposed, at the mass they wanted, with the technology available.

      Likewise, the SLS is "low-risk" according to NASA definitions... but if it aborts too early during launch, the expanding cloud of solid-fuel particles from the SRBs would still be burning if the capsule descends back through that region, setting fire to the abort-parachutes and causing the crew to fall to their deaths. (See the random path of the shuttle SRBs before they were detonated, during the Challenger explosion. There's no way to eliminate the chance of the SRB's detonating under the descent path of the capsule.)

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    58. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Regarding the repair system: Why would AI be required? We've already demonstrated the capability to launch humans to the moon and get them back in one piece. Presumably any repairs could be conducted by astronauts (at prohibitive cost). Alternatively, the moon is close enough for Robonaut to function as a remotely operated astronaut surrogate. Are you saying the repair system would be so advanced that it couldn't even be implemented by human (or human-controlled-humanoid) labor?

      I guess we just have different thresholds of feasibility. You seem to tend towards "practical", whereas I tend towards "possible".

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    59. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      The proposal is to automate as much of the operations as possible. So I assumed that. (Human astronauts spending that long in space would require breakthroughs in radiation shielding (or some kind of medical breakthrough.))

      Teleoperation is easier in theory, but even designing a teleoperated repair 'bot of the complexity required is be beyond current robotic state-of-the-art. To get the dexterity/flexibility you need, the thing would still require highly advanced controls and sensors. (In the same way you've got nerve cells in your body, not just your brain.) I used "AI" as a short-hand for all that.

      Radiation in space would quickly kill anything advanced enough to operate such a robot (even if the "higher functions" were remotely guided by humans on Earth). Space-hardened electronics is dumber than what is used for high end robotics, and the requirements for ribbon repair (amongst other systems) are beyond the capability of any robotic system in the lab today, so sufficiently adaptable and space hardened 'bots are multiple generations away. Technology might advance enough to allow such systems one day, perhaps even fully autonomous systems, but we don't know that it will.

      It's the same with ISRU production for the towers. It might be possible, but it's currently well beyond the capability of any system on Earth. It's not just a matter of adapting technology to a more difficult environment of space, there's nothing there to adapt. I sincerely hope it becomes possible one day, but today it isn't, and we don't know that it ever will be, or what it'll look like when it arrives.

      747s exist. We know they are possible. But the Wright Bros could not build a 747, no matter how much money you gave them. But most importantly, and something I should have said three or four posts ago but honestly I only just thought of it, the Wright Brothers couldn't even understand how to design the very concept of a 747, so they likely would have gone off on in the wrong direction, chasing something that actually isn't possible, even with 2014 technology.

      Many of the technologies required for the lunar elevator are things we don't even know if they are possible. They seem likely; mere extensions of things we're already working on. But... well, you only need to read any old futurism article about what technology would be like today.

      That's why people focus on things like the ribbon material. That's just physics. Materials either are, or aren't, strong enough. Possible, or impossible.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    60. Re:Why would it be infeasable? by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Excellent post.

      I do think Robonaut is both rad hardened (or suitable rad hardened replacement components have been identified) , as it's specifically intended for operations in space, and of sufficient dexterity/flexibility, as it is built with dimensions comparable to an adult human and nearly as many degrees of freedom. It can use tools designed for humans, like screwdrivers and drills. The idea is that it will function as a teleoperated human surrogate. A human back on Earth dons a head-mounted display for visual feedback (first person Robonaut view) and a motion capture system enables any torso-and-above operator motions to be mimicked by Robonaut. Having watched a demo of this firsthand, I can't see how any task that can be performed by a gloved, legless human would be beyond the capabilities of Robonaut.

      Aside from that, Pearson did a lot of work as far as ISRU production goes as well, as far as putting forth a proposal for making "bricks" out of lunar regolith, using a minimal amount of conventional technology, right there on the moon. Sure, it hasn't been done yet, but there's no indication that it we lack the capability, based on what I've read. Of course, then there's the small matter of turning bricks into unimaginably tall towers, which I haven't read much about, but that doesn't strike me as an insurmountable problem, since people have been building towers out of bricks for a while here on Earth (and the moon has no wind, no tectonics, and a lot less gravity).

      I suppose we'll just have to wait and see. Also, hilarious link. Perhaps in the future, space elevators will be like airships, and we'll have figured out a much better way of getting things out of gravity wells. Or maybe everything will go full steampunk and we'll be launching chemical rockets from airships. Interesting times we live in.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
  3. Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevators by bigjarom · · Score: 5, Informative

    For anyone interested in the concept of the space elevator, The Fountains of Paradise (1979 Novel) by Arthur C. Clarke, is a must-read!
    It's a very well-written novel that focuses on many of the technical aspects of building a space elevator.

  4. Arthur C. Clarke said it best by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "It will happen - probably about 50 years after everybody quits laughing"

    1. Re: Arthur C. Clarke said it best by Nodsnarb · · Score: 0

      Ha! Ha! (Damn!)

  5. Plenty of scientists by Buck+Feta · · Score: 1

    Perhaps it is true that "plenty of scientists take the idea seriously" - but the summary links to a book commissioned by the International Space Elevator Consortium.

    --
    I am Audience.
    1. Re:Plenty of scientists by phantomfive · · Score: 1, Interesting

      And as far as I can tell, it costs $9.95 to even look at their ideas. I'm going to hypothesize this isn't worth taking seriously.

      Which is really too bad. I was looking forward to seeing how they would handle the problem of harmonic resonance in the cable, and wind blowing the cable, and cable breakage (which would be a matter of when, not if), and what technique they were proposing to get the cable up there in the first place.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:Plenty of scientists by icebike · · Score: 1

      Perhaps it is true that "plenty of scientists take the idea seriously" - but the summary links to a book commissioned by the International Space Elevator Consortium.

      Well to be fair, it says:
      This study was conducted under the auspices of the International Academy of Astronautics (IAA) and benefited from review and comments by numerous members of the Academy, as well as the International Space Elevator Consortium.

      I've never heard of this IAA, but the wiki page says they have been around since 1960:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I...

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    3. Re:Plenty of scientists by Wolfrider · · Score: 1

      --I would love to see a space elevator happen in my lifetime, but I'm also concerned about terroristic threats. All it takes is a few maniacs to decide they're willing to fly some planes into the cable, or bombing the base of it. Vidgame Halo 3 had a few scenes where the space cable had come down after a Covenant attack and debris was lying all over the landscape for miles. What kinds of safeguards do you put in place for contingencies?

      --
      .
      == WolfriderV6 == I'm willing to admit that *I just might* be wrong... Are you??
    4. Re:Plenty of scientists by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      One interesting thing to think about, if you cut it within the bottom 20 miles (well beyond anything a plane could do) most of the cable would fly off out into space, not to earth.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:Plenty of scientists by satuon · · Score: 1

      The profits from the book will be used towards building a Space Elevator.

    6. Re:Plenty of scientists by Spottywot · · Score: 1

      A very wide no fly zone, strictly enforced by air to air missiles. And also employ the TSA to confiscate large scissors.

      --
      In a cybernetic fit of rage she pissed off to another age...
    7. Re:Plenty of scientists by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      Really, getting your disaster scenarios from a sci-fi shooter videogame? This meme really needs to die. It's used over and over again in sci-fi stories that want to have some big catastrophe happen, but it's complete bullshit that has been debunked repeatedly. The ribbon (not cable) has *extremely* low mass per unit length. It will basically *drift* to the ground, some of it probably burning up in re-entry. Sure, if enough of it tangles up and lands on something there could be localized damage, but the odds of that are pretty low... especially since the obvious place to put it is in the middle of the ocean, a region noted for a lack of things to damage. Unless a good pile of it literally fell on you, the worst you'd probably have to deal with (aside from running a new ribbon, and the loss of whatever was on the old one) is a bunch of CNT drifting on the wind and possibly getting inhaled by people who would rather not.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    8. Re:Plenty of scientists by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      If you flew a plane into a space elevator cable a little bit of it would fall down, almost certainly not hurting anything, and you'd reel down some extra length from the geostationary point and re-anchor it. It would be inconvenient for everybody and terrifying and fatal for anyone who happened to be on a car below where the plane hit, but that's about it. You'd be WAY better off flying your hijacked plane into the airport it came from.

      If someone managed to get up to geosynchronous orbit with a big enough bomb to destroy the elevator then you'd have to replace the whole thing. The falling cable would almost certainly not hurt anyone (most of it would burn up on reentry). But actually replacing the ribbon probably wouldn't even be THAT big a deal since you would have already built all the infrastructure.

    9. Re:Plenty of scientists by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      You do trigger an important thought - the terminus at geostationary orbit should be quite massive (eventually) compared to the mass of the ribbon and the counterweight. This would help prevent the system from dragging itself off into space (or a higher orbit) too quickly if the lower section got cut off, and vice versa if the upper section got cut off. If that terminus had enough thrust (and fuel), it could maintain station until repairs could be made.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    10. Re:Plenty of scientists by Pikoro · · Score: 1

      Ahh, but say the ballast asteroid cut loose, or the cable was severed above the center of mass, the remainder of the cable would still be attached to the earth. The rotation of the earth would impart some lateral velocity to what was left. The end of the cable would immediately begin to accelerate and would either burn up in the atmosphere (which shouldn't happen at the strengths of materials needed to build such a cable) or hit the ground at hyper velocity speeds devastating anything within kilometers around the line of impact. On the positive side, we would get a nice line on the equator, kinda like what we have on maps now :)

      --
      "Freedom in the USA is not the ability to do what you want. It is the ability to stop others from doing what THEY want"
    11. Re:Plenty of scientists by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      Ahh, but say the ballast asteroid cut loose, or the cable was severed above the center of mass, the remainder of the cable would still be attached to the earth.

      Okay, I'm with you so far...

      The rotation of the earth would impart some lateral velocity to what was left.

      The Earth has been rotating for some time. Presumably, prior to the "cutting loose", the tether would have been connected to the Earth. Any way I look at it, the rotation of the Earth would have been imparting some lateral velocity to the elevator from the moment it was first erected. Also, "lateral" velocity? Is your frame of reference rotating with the Earth, or are you a member of the Flat Earth Society?

      The end of the cable would immediately begin to accelerate and would either burn up in the atmosphere (which shouldn't happen at the strengths of materials needed to build such a cable) or hit the ground at hyper velocity speeds devastating anything within kilometers around the line of impact.

      Due to the Earth's rotation (and the ballast's orbit around the Earth), the cable would have been accelerating from the moment it was first erected. That's the whole idea behind a space elevator. That's why the elevator doesn't just go flying off into space in a straight line. Acceleration keeps it in orbit around the Earth, much like any other type of satellite. When the tether is severed, the "upper" part flies off into space, and the "lower" part falls to Earth. This happens regardless of where exactly the tether is severed. The only difference that makes is how much flies off into space, and how much falls to Earth. Nothing will hit the ground or even travel at "hyper velocity speeds" due to terminal velocity being rather low for objects with low mass and high surface area (which are inherent properties of any tether that would work on Earth).

      On the positive side, we would get a nice line on the equator, kinda like what we have on maps now :)

      There would be no line, because there would be no damage. But, even that aside, this would likely be in the middle of an ocean, so the copious amounts of liquid water would probably wash away any line in short order.

      Also, all of these safety concerns have been addressed for some time now.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
  6. Rockets won't be loved at by billyswong · · Score: 1

    How else are you to land and/or launch from a new planet/moon? We still need rockets. Unless stargate

    1. Re:Rockets won't be loved at by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      How else are you to land and/or launch from a new planet/moon?
      We still need rockets. Unless stargate

      How much volume does the ribbon/cable part of the space elevator have to take and can it be folded or rolled up? If the volume is manageable and it can be fit into a nice shape for transportation it seems like it would be feasible for all spaces elevators after the first to be designed to be deployed from space. All future landings could then use these deployable space elevators to land on and return from the surface of planets and moons. No rockets needed.

      Some complicated math would need to be done to keep a deploying elevator in a relatively stable orbit until it's anchored and the line is taught, but we'll need something for all the former rocket scientists to do anyways.

    2. Re:Rockets won't be loved at by cbhacking · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I've seen proposals that talk about using a ribbon that is only just barely larger than is needed to support itself for the initial strand. Send it up in a conventional rocket (at the time this was discussed, they talked about using a Saturn V or possibly even the Space Shuttle; these days a Falcon 9 Heavy would probably be enough or even more-than) to geosync and have it unspool in both directions from there. Grab the lowered end as it reaches earth. Then, send up a small climber, carrying another, possibly even smaller strand of ribbon. Join it to the first one. Now you have a stronger ribbon. Repeat (potentially with increasingly large builder-climbers) until you have a strong enough ribbon for whatever you want to do (send up people, or ISS modules, or other satellites, or parts for a Project Orion-style nuclear pulse rocket to be constructed in space... you get the idea).

      I don't know how feasible all the steps there are, but it's worth considering as an alternative to sending up the entire thing all at once.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    3. Re:Rockets won't be loved at by HyperQuantum · · Score: 2

      Now that would be a good use for the term 'bootstrapping'.

      --
      I am not really here right now.
    4. Re:Rockets won't be loved at by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, the entire ribbon is stronger, but each ribbon can barely hold its own weight.

      I've one the calculations on weight alone. A space elevator is NOT feasible. Remember, when you build any such object, you MUST put in a "safety factor". For an aerospace application, that SF should be at least 2.5, probably 3. (Common residential construction uses SF 2.) That means the thing has to be 2.5 to 3 times stronger than your load putting a breaking point on it. And the weight alone of the material puts the material into equality at SF 2.5 or so. In other words, at best each ribbon could only carry a tiny added load. You'd need a LOT of ribbons added to the cable... and each time you run it, it's about 36000000 m. What manufacturing process is able to run 36 million meters of material at a crack, all 100% inspected, and then repeat the process thousands of times?

      My calculations show a 1.3g/cc carbon-nanotube material that's 1 meter wide by 1nm thick (1-10 nm is the commonly stated goal for such a ribbon) has to endure 70 N at the top connection point. That doesn't sound like much, but it's so thin that it becomes 70 GPa when applied to the cross-section. Apply the SF of 2.5 and you need a material that's 175 GPa strong. That's just a fantasy. Strengths like that haven't left the lab by any stretch of the imagination. And that's not taking into account the load due to cargo... that's weight of the cable alone.

      The math for these forces isn't difficult. Weight, centrifugal force, cargo load, wind load, and "pulse" loads that tend to travel long cables. I dare anyone to stop clouding the issue and just show the math and numbers for those. To date, I don't see the guys touting space elevators keeping it simple like that. They have to know the stresses are just impossible. 300 GPa is really the maximum possible material made by mortals, based on the double-covalent bond of carbon atoms. There's no way to obtain a stronger material.

    5. Re:Rockets won't be loved at by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Rockets are a LOT easier if you can lift them (and their fuel and payload) out of the atmosphere before turning them on. Interplanetary rockets are even easier if you can lift them past geostationary orbit. And the rockets you'd use would be quite different than the ones we're familiar with.

      Heinlein said that low Earth orbit is halfway to anywhere.

    6. Re:Rockets won't be loved at by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      Except, we're pretty sure we *can* get CNT to nearly 300 GPa and then weave them together (preserving upwards of 80% of the tensile strength). 5/4ths of 3 * 70GPa is 262.5 GPa; we can probably manage to mass-manufacture CNT at that strength if we put the money into it. Not now, today, of course. Probably not for some years to even begin serious production, decades to complete it. Whatever. That's still within my lifetime. My children would grow up observing the greatest project the human race has ever undertaken. Every single estimate of the economics of space (and of long-distance Earth travel, for that matter) would need to be re-evaluated. The economic advantages of such a thing would be astonishing, to say nothing of the purely scientific and exploratory capabilities it would grant. (It would also potentially have a tremendous military impact, as it would make lofting materials for precision kinetic strikes quite easy...)

      And you want to say we can't do it, because you ran the numbers and concluded that an acceptable margin of error on safety is... too close to the theoretical maximum?

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  7. Great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The elevators in my building are slow and get stuck once a week. I can just imagine getting stuck on the 1,200 floor. No thanks.

  8. Laughable what? by Rosco+P.+Coltrane · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's the scourge of futurists everywhere: The space elevator can't seem to shake its image as something that's just ridiculous, laughed off as the stuff of sci-fi novels and overactive imaginations.

    I've first heard of space elevators decades ago, and not once have I read or heard anyone saying it's a ridiculous or laughable idea. All I've heard is that it'd be a really great, smart and economical way to access space, if only a strong and light material could be found to prevent the cable from being several miles across in diameter at the base and collapse under its own weight. Where did the story's submitter get that from?

    --
    "A door is what a dog is perpetually on the wrong side of" - Ogden Nash
    1. Re:Laughable what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >if only a strong and light material could be found to prevent the cable from being several miles across in diameter at the base and collapse under its own weight.
      >Where did the story's submitter get [that it's a ridiculous or laughable idea] from?

      I've never seen anyone self-whoosh before; this might be a new first for Slashdot.

      "If only your aunt had wheels, she'd be a wagon."

    2. Re:Laughable what? by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      and not once have I read or heard anyone saying it's a ridiculous or laughable idea.

      It is a ridiculous or laughable idea.

      Even if we had a material suitable, a space elevator is a hideously wasteful design. Much (much) shorter lengths of tether would be able to deliver all of the benefits at a fraction of the cost, and eliminating most of the problems (such as slow transit through the Van Allen belts, meteorite erosion, and powering the elevator cars). More importantly, such tethers become possible at material strengths below that necessary for a space elevator. (And again, at vastly shorter lengths.)

      For the length of tether you need for a single Earth space elevator, you could build a robust network of rotating tethers across half the solar system. And unlikely a space elevator, we could start today, with current materials.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    3. Re:Laughable what? by IrquiM · · Score: 1

      Some might think that "it is not feasible at the moment" menas that we're laughing at it...

      --
      This is blinging
    4. Re:Laughable what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd have more fear of riding on a structure that isn't rigid, than a giant gauss cannon as a launching platform. Just doesn't seem as safe strangely enough.

      I'm sure the gauss cannon would be easier to build, but more expensive and may make the planet lopsided. There are very few engineering companies I'd trust to make a space elevator that wouldn't either fly away, wasting effort, or crashing down, do to some unforeseen failure from lax inspections. I think SpaceX maybe the only company I'd put trust in to make a proof of concept that wouldn't kill some one.

      Also, a giant cannon is one of a man's romance. Need to figure out how to equip the elevator with a train, and then it would get more support.

    5. Re:Laughable what? by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      Where did the story's submitter get that from?

      My guess is the loser made it up. :)

    6. Re:Laughable what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I understood the concept of a space elevator about 10 years ago or so. While I myself have always viewed it as the first key step on furthering human expansion into space, I have read enough reports on it that say it is laughable and unrealistic. A great idea that simply wasn't possible with today's technology and might not be in the near future (or ever, as some have claimed). I never believed it, while there are an extraordinary number of obstacles and variables to account for, no real study has ever been done on it's feasibility. Many of the statements I've read, came from single scientists or engineers or people who were sharing their opinion/best conclusion.

      Either way, I'm glad that there's finally been a real study done and they've found it to be economically feasible and possible with today's technology.

    7. Re:Laughable what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a line from Arthur C. Clarke's book, "The Fountains of Paradise".

    8. Re:Laughable what? by dentin · · Score: 1

      Actually, materials with high enough strength to weight ratios have been commercially available for years, and the cable gets wider at the top, not at the bottom. The big problems haven't been strength to weight ratio, they've been resistance to radiation damage, resistance to wear and tear, and figuring out how to get something to climb the cable.

      --
      Alter Aeon Multiclass MUD - http://www.alteraeon.com
    9. Re:Laughable what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's feasible, but it would be crazy expensive. And not just to build, but also to maintain and operate on a day-to-day basis. And here's why.

      Every single object that is in an orbit lower than geostationary is _guaranteed_ to hit the elevator eventually. When it does, even an object the size of a pebble would explode violently. There is so much tensile energy stored in the elevator that even a tiny pinprick could cause a catastrophic failure (think of pricking a balloon with a pin). The lower section of the elevator would then come crashing down to Earth, and the upper section would float away.

      The only way to fix this problem is redundancy. Build the elevator out of separate ribbons, connected to each other by periodic support struts, in a way that if one of the ribbons fail, the others have a large enough margin of safety to keep the broken ribbon propped up for repair.

      Now if you do the math, it turns out once you take into account the weight of support structures and redundancy, it pushes the limits of even the theoretical strength of the best possible carbon nanotube/graphene cable. There is only a very small safety margin. This means that any possible injuries to the elevator - even ones that you have to look at through a magnifying glass to see - have to be repaired as soon as possible. Along over 100,000 km of elevator. You need a constant maintenance team going up and down monitoring it for defects and fixing them as they are found, and chances are you will get countless thousands of such defects per day, owing to the sheer amount of destructive debris, dust, and fast-moving particles that exist above the atmosphere. Oh, and you also need to periodically replace portions of the cable because of the intense radiation damage. And each time some derelict satellite or forgotten soviet fuel tank hits the elevator, the elevator goes out of commission until that portion of ribbon is repaired.

      These costs will mount. Trying to estimate these costs today is ridiculous because even the basic technology does not exist yet. But I'm willing to bet that we'll find that building the elevator would be only a small fraction of the operating cost.

    10. Re:Laughable what? by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      I like coilguns. I especially like the idea of a coilgun in Ecuador, running up the Andes. It's not an ideal 45 degrees, but it'll do. 100 km coilgun with 3G acceleration, gets you to around 2500m/s (5600 mph) IIRC, which is about 1/3 orbital velocity and essentially replaces the entire first stage of a rocket stack. Exit altitude is a bit low for that speed though.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  9. "Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable". by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    One of the things I don't see discussed much is the potential failure modes for such a system.

    My wife is a physical oceanographer, and one of the failure modes for instruments deployed on cables from a ship is a 'wuzzle' -- a large tangle of steel cable. Given the nature of the stuff, a length of cable that fits nicely in a spool on deck can twist itself into a knot larger than the ship.

    So one thing I'd like to know is what are the potential hazards a couple thousand miles of elevator cable falling to the Earth's surface? Could we end up with tangles miles in diameter?

    I think a space elevator is a great idea if it's feasible, provided that in the criteria for "feasible" we include being prepared for the conceivable ways the project could fail.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  10. No, they're still laughing by DerekLyons · · Score: 0

    This basic concept hasn't changed much since Arthur C. Clark's 1979 novel The Fountains of Paradise first popularized the idea of an elevator to spaceâ"though no one took it seriously. Decades later, in 2003, Clarke stated, "The space elevator will be built ten years after they stop laughing ⦠and they have stopped laughing."

    If they've stopped laughing, it's only because they stopped paying attention. Otherwise, we're still stuck where we have been for decades - we barely know how to make promising materials at laboratory test quantities, let alone in the kiloton lots that a space elevator will require. Presuming of course that one of the many "promising materials" turns out to actually work, rather than falling by the wayside like so many others. Like fusion power, elevators have been "a decade away, maybe two" for decades.

    1. Re:No, they're still laughing by noh8rz10 · · Score: 2

      i say let's get fusion right first, then invest in SETI programs, then make contact with another intelligent force, then see how they approached the space elevator problem. Then we can apply alien civilization best practices to leap-frog the current space elevator timeline.

    2. Re:No, they're still laughing by dadelbunts · · Score: 2

      SETI as fun as it is seems pretty pointless to me, at least in its current form. I doubt any advanced civilization would use radio communications for more than 200 years. IMO we would be better off looking for other signs, such as Dyson Spheres.

    3. Re: No, they're still laughing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ETI says "WTF we thought YOU were going to invent the space elevator!"

    4. Re:No, they're still laughing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      One would have thought that the odds of SETI succeeding were lower than mankind successfully building a space elevator.

    5. Re:No, they're still laughing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seems like you are familiar with one overrated part of popular culture and completely whooshed by another.

    6. Re:No, they're still laughing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I say we get AI right first. Once we reach the singularity, we can let a computer figure out all those other things.

    7. Re:No, they're still laughing by dbIII · · Score: 1

      we barely know how to make promising materials at laboratory test quantities

      We don't even know that much, but we may be getting close.

    8. Re:No, they're still laughing by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 2

      We have both people worried about space elevator cables crashing to earth if an airplane hits one and people concerned about SETI not picking up incidental radio leakage from alien civilizations on the same story.

      Can I get somebody to please express concern about the LHC creating a black hole on Earth so I can go home for the day?

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  11. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by phantomfive · · Score: 2, Informative

    Or, just read the linked report by a team of ACTUAL scientists instead of a SCIENCE FICTION story written 35 years ago.

    You can't, unless you want to pay for it.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  12. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by icebike · · Score: 0

    Yeah, a whole 10 bucks for the Kindle version.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  13. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I assume you are NOT denigrating SCIENCE FICTION, but just to be sure, I will point out that Clarke also wrote about using geosynchronous communication satellites long before anybody had launched one.

  14. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like maybe one of those unexpected asteroids or meteors happening by ... ?

  15. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Awesome point. I recall calculating the tensile strength required as a project assignment in mechanical engineering undergrad 20 years ago, but do not recall discussing how to deal with the fallout of failed attempts.

    Now just wondering, at a certain point, would the tangle fall up? Presumably the cable is in tension once set up.

    http://xkcd.com/697/

  16. Spoiler for "Red Mars" by Kim Stanley Robinson by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 2

    In the above book, a Martian space elevator fails (more specifically, is induced to fail by the deliberate application of high explosives.) The result is highly destructive. The Martian equator is no longer an imaginary line, but rather a prominent physical feature.

    --
    Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
    1. Re:Spoiler for "Red Mars" by Kim Stanley Robinson by dargaud · · Score: 1

      I've read this excellent book. But the outcome of a failure highly depends on the construction mode. It's more likely that the 'elevator' would look like a thin tape. In case of failure it would be akin to drape falling. No big deal even if there's lots of it, the middle part simply burning up in the atmosphere, the upper part getting in orbit.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    2. Re:Spoiler for "Red Mars" by Kim Stanley Robinson by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      That is a (one of several, but in my opinion one of the more regrettable) unfortunate failure to do his homework, frankly. The cable he envisioned was hard, durable, dense stuff. That's not what you want, though. The only real criterion is tensile strength, and density is actually the exact opposite of a desirable property. Dense materials (I believe his cable used diamonds, which are notable for hardness more than for tensile strength) simply increase the tension the cable is under, making it harder yet to find a material strong enough.

      A *real* cable would actually be a ribbon, thin and of extremely low mass per unit length. The total mass of the ribbon would still be considerable, of course, but it would be spread out over a huge (mostly long, actually) area. In the event of a break, the effect would not be a whip wrapping around the equator so much as it would be a thousands-of-miles-long silk scarf undergoing re-entry. Depending on the material's characteristics, it's possible that a considerable amount of it would survive re-entry and even crash to earth in a tangle large enough to have significant impact, but for that to happen it would need to be very concentrated in one area. Far more likely, most of it would be buffeted by the wind and land relatively gently (think about what might happen if an airplane could trail a thousand-mile-long sheet of paper behind it, then let it go midair). Probably not something you want to be standing under, but neither is a kid dropping rocks off a bridge. It's not going to cause global devastation and turn the equator into "a prominent physical feature".

      Most of that trilogy was good, but that part was either pure research fail or was intentionally done wrong for the sake of artistic license to create a catastrophic event in-story.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    3. Re:Spoiler for "Red Mars" by Kim Stanley Robinson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, this ribbon that is light as paper, but strong enough to support its own weight + elevator + cargo ... is is made out of unobtainium?

      The Pandoran aborigines might raise a stink if you try to mine enough for your elevator.

    4. Re:Spoiler for "Red Mars" by Kim Stanley Robinson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      is is made out of unobtainium?


      No- Carbon nanotubes.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_nanotube#Structural

    5. Re:Spoiler for "Red Mars" by Kim Stanley Robinson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really? Please let us read your novel where you got everything right. It must be a fascinating read.

      More seriously, WTF dude? "Failure to do his homework" and "pure research fail"? Really? The writing of KSR has always been strong with respect to people and their motivations, not just about the hard science. In the fictional universe of the Mars trilogy, it's perfectly conceivable that the humans chose a non-ideal vehicle for their space elevator and catastrophic results were experienced when it failed. That's what happens in the real world - we learn from it and eventually get it right. Why can't that happen in a fictional world as well?

    6. Re:Spoiler for "Red Mars" by Kim Stanley Robinson by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      This provides a perfect excuse for an experiment / prank I've always wanted to do - hang a roll of toilet paper out of a plane and let it spin out and fall. Today's version would be to take a balloon to the top of the atmosphere and drop a ribbon to the ground, then let the top go. Make it out of something fish can eat, and do it over the ocean, so it doesn't pollute too much and you don't have to worry overmuch about wrapping it around someone's house 50 miles away.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    7. Re:Spoiler for "Red Mars" by Kim Stanley Robinson by AdamThor · · Score: 1

      Why would the middle part burn up? Asteroids and satellites burn up because they have large velocities relative to earth surface and atmosphere. The space elevator specifically does not. It could fall at terminal velocity, but lots of things do that without catching fire. There's that dude that sky-dove from near orbit, right? He even had thin atmosphere to go through to get going good and fast, but no flames.

      --
      -- "Oh. This guy again."
  17. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by phantomfive · · Score: 0

    Have you read it? Let me know if it's any good. To me, it just looks like a scam to get people's money.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  18. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Harlequin80 · · Score: 2

    If the break is below the half-way point it will go up if the break is above the half-way point it would come down.

    Also the process that seems to most likely for construction would be to deploy from the mid point of the cable and then spool in both directions at once. This way the overall forces remain in balance.

    Also everything I have read about planned space elevators has it based in the middle of an ocean. This allows some movement if necessary to avoid something large in space but also gives some safety in the event of a failure. If the cable broke below the mid point controlled explosions all the way along the cable would reduce most of the damage with the a large % of the resultant bits burning up in the atmosphere or landing in the ocean. It would probably be much worse for things in orbit than things on the ground.

    Taking space elevators to their logical conclusion though would see them being the bases of super towers that reach into space. The cables end up being the foundation supports of the tower.

  19. Re: Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevat by AudioEfex · · Score: 1

    You are confusing a space elevator with BitCoin.

  20. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by macraig · · Score: 4, Informative

    Or, just read the linked report by a team of ACTUAL scientists instead of a SCIENCE FICTION story written 35 years ago BY AN ACTUAL SCIENTIST.

    FTFY.

  21. land prices by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I see land prices fall for people living under that cable fall direction..... demonstrations on horizon, or they could build it far in the desert

    1. Re:land prices by rossdee · · Score: 1

      Apart from Ecuador or Africa, the equator is mostly ocean

    2. Re:land prices by cbhacking · · Score: 2

      Ocean, actually. We have rather a lot of it, especially around the equator.

      Sigh. This whole "the cable could fall and kill us all!" bullshit has been debunked again and again, but still people keep pulling it out of their asses like they have any idea what the fuck they're talking about. Do at least a little research before spouting your mouth off, OK? For starters, ribbon, not cable. Think silk scarf, not suspension bridge.

      Oh, and as for the idea that where you built it would matter for people living "in the cable fall direction"... you really don't get the scale of this thing, do you? The Earth's circumference is less than 25000 miles. The distance to geostationary orbit - which is the shortest such a ribbon could be, realistically it would be about twice that - is more than 22000 miles. If it *did* fall, and somehow survived re-entry and came down in one continuous piece, it would probably wrap around the equator. But that wouldn't happen, because any material which could survive such a fall would be completely impractical for use as ribbon material in the first place!

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  22. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Bite+The+Pillow · · Score: 4, Funny

    Clarke had 256 pages and apparently conveyed the general ideas. Paying for 300 pages seems like a stupid thing to do if you want a general idea.

    If they cannot communicate how it is feasible in an elevator speech, I don't expect to learn much in the manifesto.

    3 pages has sufficed to explain the Higgs (excluding cartoons); I expect to understand the space elevator, in big boy words, in 2 or less. Anything else is hiding something, or so poorly written it cannot be trusted.

    Superfluous vocabulary is ostensibly a plausible alternative, however a great many potential readers may find themselves sidetracked by such unnecessary verbosity. As such, I have expectations of a concise manner of thought conveyance as would be warranted by the writers. Vis a vis- said writer probabilistically desires their audience foremost not fall immediately into slumber.

  23. Just... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Make a so called "elevator", that's actually a super powered magnetic slingshot, and swing spacecraft into orbit with it... At least you won't have to deal with the structure failing... just the extreme Gs the passengers will be subjected to.

    1. Re:Just... by edibobb · · Score: 1

      Why do we need a Space Elevator if we have Transporters?

    2. Re:Just... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      'Transporters' theoretically have very high energy requirements (read up on energy to matter conversion mechanics, or our limited understanding of them for a very limited number of particles - and you'd get a vague idea of how complex and energy consuming it'd likely be to materialize arbitrary objects).

      A correctly engineered space elevator has construction costs, and minimal power related costs that are theoretically much less than that required to launch a shuttle into space (which is something we already do regularly enough).

    3. Re:Just... by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      A well engineered space elevator would be a new source of power, producing more than it would cost to maintain it. Assuming that some form of mass (captured asteroid, lunar regolith, etc) could be delivered to the geosynch platform.

      Regenerative braking on material moving down the elevator would produce power. A particularly elegant system would launch cannisters of regolith from the lunar surface to the geosynch platform with a railgun, then the cannisters are "dropped" down the elevator with regenerative braking moderating the descent. At a way station in the stratosphere the cannisters are offloaded to gliders that then ship the regolith to its points of use: as low cost aggregate in road building and construction. Most of the cost of concrete is in transporting the aggregate from quarry to point of use; this approach eliminates those costs and is environmentally benign.

      So long as the mass moving down the elevator is sufficiently large, there would be a surplus of power.

      There is probably something basically wrong with this; it seems to simple. But I like the idea of seeing buildings in my neighborhood built of Moon rock.

      --
      Will
    4. Re:Just... by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      This probably would be possible but not worth doing. With direct space access, the cost of space-solar power goes down to practically nothing, and it would be easier to beam a steady stream of energy via microwaves then try and capture surges from decelerating payloads (i.e. trains do this, but the energy is just loaded through resistors elsewhere - its a way to keep subway tunnels cool).

      The real benefit is just access to space-borne resources. We'd have such a large new playground to take whatever we wanted from, without affecting the Earth's biosphere one bit. The drive for space industrial development would be huge the second it was demonstrated even barely break even.

  24. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by spitzak · · Score: 1

    I believe everything below the break point will fall to the ground and also in a path that wraps around the earth. Everything above will go up and stop at a new higher equilibrium point, still straight and under tension.

  25. Scorge of Futurests? by Irick · · Score: 1

    Really? I was always under the assumption that space elevators were considered a good design and that we were just waiting for materials to present themselves that would be ideal for the conditions.

    1. Re:Scorge of Futurests? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So for you, a "good" design is based on materials that don't exist? Um, you're stupid. There's just no polite way to put it. And the fact you can't even spell a word that's written in the submission just proves my point.

    2. Re:Scorge of Futurests? by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      I'll just note that the X-window system was designed and built for systems much more powerful than the ones it was built on. The designers knew the capabilities would be available 'soon'. That's not a great example but indicative. Doing thought experiments of this kind is not stupid, just hopeful. Leonardo Da Vinci designed a simple airplane that was proved to be workable in the last decade or two. Da Vinci couldn't have built it because there were no motors to drive it at that time.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    3. Re:Scorge of Futurests? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Yes, because processing information is JUST LIKE the real material world!! Classic Space Nutter argument: "but computers got better, therefore anything is possible!" Good, good, your puppet masters must be proud of you, but you'll have to step up your game, son.

      (Just because hard drives got a thousand times bigger, nothing else in the material world evolved that fast. How long did it take 747 to cross the Atlantic in 1969? How long today? So?)

  26. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by icebike · · Score: 2

    Well you might also remember that Clark predicted FTL drive in your rush to find a pedestal tall enough.

    And maybe you should actually READ the study before dismissing it because it has too many big words.?

    Oh, wait, this is Slashdot, we don't do that, do we.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  27. weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing down by SethJohnson · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Think about a foundation strong enough to withstand the pressures of a 100-200 mile high tower pressing down.

    Connected to a platform in space, the mass of the platform is to spin with the Earth's rotation. Centrifugal force is actually pulling on the elevator 'cable'.

  28. The Tall Tower by Required+Snark · · Score: 1
    What's the tallest thing we could build right now?

    Neal Stephenson and Keith Hjelmstad who is at Arizona State University have looked into this. The thought is to build a structure that reaches the stratosphere and then launch rockets from the top.

    The Tall Tower

    I have no idea if this is easier or harder then a fulls space elevator. I would guess not as hard. Sadly, the web site has little activity since I firsrt saw it. Still, it's interesting in the context of a space elevator.

    --
    Why is Snark Required?
    1. Re:The Tall Tower by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Best known materials have sheer and compression strengths in the low GPa region, while carbon nanotubes could in theory reach 300GPa tensile strength. This means it's orders of magnitude easier to build a hanging, flexible structure such as a tether than it is to build a rigid, upwards structure of a given length.

    2. Re:The Tall Tower by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Probably not a lot cheaper. And thats the problem.

        We are always on the verge of something better and cheaper.

        Look at Spaceship2. It gets a lift up to 16 km, and then launches from there. Whiteknight2 is a heck of a lot cheaper than a 15 km high tower. And with hypersonics on the way you might be able to get the carrying craft up to 25 km at a launch velocity of 6000 kmph. Or maybe get a hypersonic craft to go directly to orbit.

        We can build a space elevator today. Just not on earth. We can build one on the moon today, with existing technology. But would it ever be viable? Why not just use rockets, or rail guns or hypersonic aircraft.

        Space elevators will never be used for humans, who wants to take a week to get to orbit! Sitting in the radiation belts for days!.

  29. Re:No, they're not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    upper atmosphere elevator

    I get the impression that you don't quite understand how a space elevator would work.

  30. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by asmkm22 · · Score: 1

    I don't think these elevators would operate like a normal elevator, where you have cables pulling a structure up, so you wouldn't have to worry about a spool of anything getting tangled. Most designs have the structure actually "crawling" up the cable.

  31. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Given the nature of the stuff, a length of cable that fits nicely in a spool on deck can twist itself into a knot larger than the ship.

    lol that's kind of hilarious

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  32. The super-rich are just paying to be first ... by perpenso · · Score: 2

    The super-rich are not the only potential market, people of modest means engage in tourism as well. All the super-rich are doing is helping to pay for the necessary r&d and initial infrastructure. Costs will come down with improved technology and greater experience. Even **IF** tourism was the only potential space industry there would still be a potential market of millions of travelers. Its just a matter of time as costs work their way down the willingness-to-pay curve.

    That said, I do not believe the commercial utility of space is limited to tourism. And whether we are dealing with tourism, scientific research or industrial application there will be a point where getting the resources locally will make more economic sense than lifting the resources from earth. That will open up even more commercialization of space.

  33. Never gonna happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All it will take is 1 guy with an RPG and it's game over.

  34. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Falling to Earth? Why would it? The elevator itself is in geosynchronous orbit. It won't fall like a tree, or fly away like a kid's balloon. Severing it close to Earth might make a few miles deorbit due to air resistance, but you'd have to read something on space elevators for more details. Literally anything, this question is raised in every discussion I've seen about space elevators because it's the first question most people ask, and I'm certain the linked report discusses this scenerio ad nauseum.

  35. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Have you read it? Let me know if it's any good. To me, it just looks like a scam to get people's money.

    No money involved, they give it away for free if you know where to look:
    http://www.virginiaedition.com/media/spaceelevators.pdf

    Archived here:
    http://www8.zippyshare.com/v/72888832/file.html
    http://www.sendspace.com/file/16c8xj
    http://wikisend.com/download/118300/spaceelevators.pdf

  36. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well fuck... we ran out of cable to finish the job

  37. Predictions by jklovanc · · Score: 1

    Nanomaterials are strong and light enough, but the rub is that scientists can't get them to scale yet. Luckily, billions of dollars are being poured into this area of research. The report predictsa suitable material will be ready by the 2020s.

    Materials are the sticking point and they can predict anything they want. Will those predictions come true? We will only know if and when it happens. I think it is doubtful. From what I can find they have made carbon nano tubes about 130cm long. Extending them to 62,000 miles might not be possible.

    Saying something is feasible based on prediction of scientific progress is dubious at best.

    1. Re:Predictions by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      You don't need to extend them 62,000 miles. You just need to get the tensile strength of each strand such that 80% of it is above the tensile strength that would support an elevator cable. Beyond that it's unnecessary to have more, since you can weave fibres in various ways which achieve - you guessed it - about 80% of the tensile strength of the underlying fibre (this is how Kevlar is made, for example).

    2. Re:Predictions by cbhacking · · Score: 1

      Also, where the hell does 62000 miles come from? Equator to GEO is about 22236 miles. A no-counterweight space elevator ribbon (one that uses the ribbon itself as the counterweight, by extending it past GEO) would be twice that. 44472 miles is a lot, of course, but it's a lot less than the numbers you're tossing around...

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    3. Re:Predictions by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 1

      No idea. I just took the number quoted and ran with it.

    4. Re:Predictions by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      The 62,000 miles comes from the quoted article;

      What made people stop laughing? Nanotech. Carbon nanotubes were developed in the 90s and promised to be the uber-strong, light, flexible supermaterial needed to build the kind of 62,000-mile cable that could transport humans into space. By the end of the 90s, NASA had released its report on the technological progress:

    5. Re:Predictions by jklovanc · · Score: 1

      Care to cite anything that states one can take any fiber and make a cable out of it with 80% of the fiber's yield strength? The issue with a weave is that the limiting factor is no longer the strength of each fiber but the adhesion between each fiber. The strength of a carbon nano tube is so high that the fibers will start sliding against each other long before the nano tubes break.
      Take a look at this

      For high specific strength, carbon has advantages because it is only the 6th element in the periodic table. Carbon has comparatively few of the protons and neutrons which contribute most of the dead weight of any material. Most of the interatomic bonding forces of any element are contributed by only the outer few electrons. For carbon, the strength and stability of those bonds is high compared to the mass of the atom. The challenge in using carbon remains to extend to macroscopic sizes the production of such material that are still perfect on the microscopic scale (as microscopic defects are most responsible for material weakness). The current (2009) carbon nanotube technology allows growing tubes up to a few tens of centimeters.

      Notice they refer to the difficulty in making carbon nano tubes more more than "a few tens of centimeters" long.

      (this is how Kevlar is made, for example).

      Kevlar is a para-aramid synthetic fiber and works completely differently than carbon nano tubes. Take a look at this. Notice how the molecules of Kevlar join with other molecules of Kevlar by hydrogen bonds to create long chains? This makes it possible to create very long fibers from short molecules. Carbon nano tubes do not have these kinds of bonds therefore methods that work with Kevlar will not work with carbon nano tubes.

  38. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by AbsGeekNZ · · Score: 2

    If engineered correctly, the total force applied at ground level could be "up" rather then "down".

  39. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by blackraven14250 · · Score: 2

    I almost feel bad whooshing someone with a 5 digit ID. Almost.

  40. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The concept is to hang the cable from space, not build up.

  41. Specifications - Discuss by 12WTF$ · · Score: 1

    Length: 100,000km, anchored on the Earth with a large mass floating in the ocean and a large counterweight at the top end, called an Apex Anchor.
    Width: One meter
    Design: Woven with multiple strands to absorb localized damage and curved to ensure edge-on small size hits do not sever the tether.
    External Power: The power must be external as the gravity well is extreme and lifting your own power is a non-starter.
    Dr. Edwards’ approach was to use large lasers pointing up to the climber with a “solar panel like” receiver on its nadir position.
    Cargo: The first few years will enable 20ton payloads without humans [radiation tolerance an issue for the two week trip] with five concurrent payloads on the tether for the two-week trip to GEO. [Currently, the plan is seven concurrent payloads for one-week travel.]

    What could possibly go right?

    --
    Cryonics - Keep cool and carry on.
    1. Re:Specifications - Discuss by cbhacking · · Score: 2

      A counterweight always seemed kind of silly compared to just extending the ribbon as far in the other direction. That way you can also "build" the elevator by unspooling cable in both directions from GEO. You also get the ability to use the upper portion as a launch platform for interplanetary travel (at the end of the ribbon, you'd be experiencing a strong acceleration *away* from earth, just let go at the right time for the direction you want to travel).

      Laser-delivered power is one good option. There are a few others, and you might want to supplement it with power collection on the "roof" of the climber (either to collect solar energy directly, or to collect beamed power from a midpoint station) as ground-based lasers would become inefficient above a certain point.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    2. Re:Specifications - Discuss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't want a cable extending as long outward as downward... It would be ok for launching things out of the solar system, but otherwise nearly useless - and cause more tidal stresses. There WOULD be some extension... but not 22,000 miles of it.

      A counterweight is cheap. A small asteroid would work (or just carry up a bit of water) - and they are planning on a capture of small asteroids already.

  42. Red Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Read Red Mars by Kim Stanley Robinson.

    He describes a scenario in great detail where a space elevator (on Mars, natch) is sabotaged and it falls to the ground. Because of the length of the cable, it winds its way around the planet several times; at first, quite slowly; by the time the end of the cable hits the ground, it's falling at greater than the speed of sound, and causes an impact crater that completely destroys the cable and anything underneath, a kilometres-wide path of destruction around the planet's equator.

    It was an amazing passage to read.

  43. Bible story makes it too scary! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tower_of_Babel

  44. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

    "You can't, unless you want to pay for it."

    And quite a bit. Around $30 is a lot for a "report".

    Makes me think this is yet another attempt to sneak in an ad disguised as a discussion piece. We've been seeing an awful lot of those lately.

  45. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Informative

    Yeah, if you want a materials strength nightmare, forget about the elevator cable.
    Think about a foundation strong enough to withstand the pressures of a 100-200 mile high tower pressing down.

    Why don't you think about familiarizing yourself with the concepts behind the space elevator? There won't be anything like that. The end of the cable "floats" in the receptacle. It hangs from its anchor asteroid.

    Oh wait! Lemme get my unobtainium!

    Why don't you instead get a quick education in the topic we're discussing before you flap your yap?

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  46. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by redback · · Score: 1

    In a novel by Frederik Pohl, one of the heechee series, terrorists set off a bomb at the ground terminal of a space elevator and it causes the rope to fall to the ground.

  47. Re:No, they're not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think you wooshed by the prerequisite.

  48. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Informative

    Someone found a free copy of the report. Enjoy.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  49. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by phantomfive · · Score: 2
    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  50. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Falling to Earth? Why would it?

    Because the cable would break as a result of fatigue from the massive strains placed on it. Seriously, we're talking about a 22,000 mile cable where a single fault could cause the whole thing to come crashing down.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  51. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by icebike · · Score: 1

    And thus another duplicate ID is outed.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  52. Radiation shielding not feasible by nomaddamon · · Score: 3, Informative

    Using the elevator for transfer of goods - will work but the goods will get a huge dose of radiation

    Using it for transfer of organic matter (i.e. humans) above LEO is not feasible due to the speed/shielding needed

    The worst part of Van Allen belt is about 19000km wide and starts at around 7000km high. Apollo moon missions passed trough it at roughly 15km/s, spending roughly 2*21 minutes in it.
    The astronauts received roughly 1rem of radiation through 3 layers of thick aluminum radiation shielding.
    That is 1/5 of the yearly the limit in US for people working with radiation.
    At reasonable speed (~200m/s) the elevator would take ~26h to pass through the belt, meaning it would need at least 75x more radiation shielding than Apollo did and that the lift would need 15m thick aluminum honeycomb walls (using 70's technology).

    Even with todays technology the shielding will be way too bulky/heavy for elevators to be viable alternative to rockets for above LEO human transfer.

    1. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 1

      Even with todays technology

      Luckily, by the time we're really ready to build a space elevator, we'll be using tomorrow's technology.

      --
      systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    2. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 2

      Why would the elevator be limited to ~200m/s?

      Once it is out of the atmosphere, there is no drag and over the distance to the Van Allen belt a 1 G acceleration would bring it up to very high speed. There would be plenty of time after leaving the Van Allen belt to slow back down, again with mild acceleration.

      What is it that I'm not seeing here? Would we not use some form of railgun technology to accelerate and decelerate the capsules? We might need a transfer platform above the atmosphere to change from a "crawler" capsule to a "bullet" capsule, but I think that is well within our technology.

      --
      Will
    3. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That is with pasive shielding.
      The radiation there is all in the form of charged particles.
      Active shielding based on electric/magnetic fields similar to those proposed to protect lunar settlers may be a better option for the task.

    4. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

      Using the elevator for transfer of goods - will work but the goods will get a huge dose of radiation Using it for transfer of organic matter (i.e. humans) above LEO is not feasible due to the speed/shielding needed

      Activating radiation? (i.e neutrons?) Or just electromagnetic radiation?

      Because if the latter, awesome. Food irradiation built in! ;)

    5. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Soralin · · Score: 4, Informative

      Simple solution for the Van Allen belts: remove them.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      High Voltage Orbiting Long Tether, or HiVOLT, is a concept proposed by Russian physicist V.V. Danilov and further refined by Robert P. Hoyt and Robert L. Forward for draining and removing the radiation fields of the Van Allen radiation belts[29] that surround the Earth.[30] A proposed configuration consists of a system of five 100 km long conducting tethers deployed from satellites, and charged to a large voltage. This would cause charged particles that encounter the tethers to have their pitch angle changed, thus over time dissolving the Van Allen belts. Hoyt and Forward's company, Tethers Unlimited, performed a preliminary analysis simulation, and produced a chart depicting a theoretical radiation flux reduction,[31] to less than 1% of current levels within two months[32] using the HiVOLT System.

      If you're going to be building a space elevator, getting rid of the Van Allen belts is a relatively easy task in comparison.

    6. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      You wouldn't try to make the elevator pass through the belt, it would stop in earth orbit somewhere and transfer any equipment destined for the moon into a spacecraft of some kind. It's going to have to do that anyway to land it on the moon. Obviously you need fuel for the spacecraft but fortunately you have a space elevator to get it up there cheaply.

      Getting to LEO and back again is the really expensive, hard part. Once you are up there with fuel moving around is relatively cheap and easy. A space elevator would cover the most expensive and dangerous part of any mission, and allow for spacecraft that don't need things like re-entry heat shielding or complex folding deployment mechanisms.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by nomaddamon · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately space elevator would have to extend quite far above GEO in order to be stable. It's center of mass would have to be on GEO orbit (or a little below it) for the elevator to be stable.
      This is probably the reason why rail-gun type launch systems have attracted more research in last few years.

    8. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Pumpkin+Tuna · · Score: 1

      Umm. I'm thinking that just MIGHT have some unintended consequences.

    9. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Such as...?

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    10. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by mattr · · Score: 1

      No more disinfectant bio-barrier between Earth and the rest of the Galaxy.
      Like turning off your firewall, what could possibly go wrong?

    11. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      There's a torque force on the tether due to Coriolis. Because it causes a moving bend in the cable, it's a nastier effect than the simple linear forces on the cable. The faster the car travels, the more severe the force, the sharper the bend. (From an engineering standpoint, it's like a shockwave travelling up the cable. Go above the speed-of-sound-in-the-material, and it's a supersonic shockwave inside the tether. But even below the speed of sound, it's a nasty effect.)

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    12. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Yes, you extend the cable way beyond LEO and anchor it, but the actual car doesn't have to travel all the way to the end. It stops in LEO and transfers cargo to another vehicle.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    13. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is with pasive shielding. The radiation there is all in the form of charged particles. Active shielding based on electric/magnetic fields similar to those proposed to protect lunar settlers may be a better option for the task.

      That proposal was even less feasible than a space elevator. Sure it got good press on Slashdot, but it was a laughably incomplete (aka impossible) idea.

    14. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bear in mind that gravitational pull is inversely proportional with the square of the distance to the planet's centre. So at 7000Km high, the weight of the shielding is less than 1/4 of the value at sea level, and it drops to less than 1/16 by 19000Km (the equatorial radius of the earth is 6300 Km).

      So instead of having a very heavy climber, you could leave successive layers of shielding parked in mid-orbit: the climber would collect them on the way up, and shed them on the way down. The apparent drop in climber weight would allow you to accumulate more and more shielding mass without loosing speed.

    15. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could use a magnetic field for shielding

    16. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even if high speeds turn out to be unfeasible (lift/cable stability?) or undesirable (passenger comfort?) then it still may not be a huge problem. Who's to say the destination is inside or higher than those belts? Geostationary is long way up. Maybe the cable itself would go up that high, but there is no reason for passengers or cargo to do the same. Why not have a space station attached to the cable somewhere above the atmosphere, but below the belts?

    17. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      If you're going to be building a space elevator, getting rid of the Van Allen belts is a relatively easy task in comparison.

      Umm. I'm thinking that just MIGHT have some unintended consequences.

      Not much. It would eliminate the aurora borealis, but that's all. It wouldn't eliminate the belts themselves, which are a magnetic phenomenon emanating from the planet. It would remove all the particles chasing around those field lines, but the fields would remain intact, ready to capture more particles. The fields generated by the HiVOLT system are microscopic in size relative to the belts, generating only a very local distortion in the fields, not counteracting them completely.

      The HiVOLT system would have to remain permanently in operation, or the particle burden of the belts would simply accrete again. The particles come primarily from the solar wind, which isn't going away any time soon.

    18. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      That doesn't work. You don't have orbital velocity at that elevation. You essentially have 0 velocity relative to the Earth, until gravity starts to pull you down. So you'd still have to have some large amount of thrust to get you moving at 7-9km/s horizontally. Now you _could_ go to say, 2x LEO and start falling while you accelerate. But that's still a lot of fuel etc.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    19. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      Thanks! You've given me something to study up on.

      That's what keeps me coming back to Slashdot. Every once in while, somebody slaps me upside my head with some chunk of the Universe I was completely unaware of. Keeps a guy kind of humble.

      --
      Will
    20. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      The short version is that horizontal velocity of the surface of Earth at the equator is about 800 m/s. The horizontal velocity of GEO is 3000 m/s. The car has to gain that horizontal velocity as it climbs (and lose it as it falls), and it does so by stealing it from the cable, this causes that section of the cable to "lag" behind as it passes the loss to the ground (eventually stealing the energy from Earth's rotation). That creates the moving kink in the cable.

      Sayeth the wikipedia...

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
    21. Re:Radiation shielding not feasible by delt0r · · Score: 1

      The mass/strength ratio of the currently non existent material will have a very high speed of sound. At least in the ~km/s range. The bend is really small (easy to calculate) since the tension is huge, and the mass of the car is quite small compared to the cable. There can be waves in the cable of course but again nothing that hard to deal with.

      The problem is still a material that has a high enough strength to density ratio.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  53. Re:No, they're not by black3d · · Score: 1

    >>You loons haven't even built an upper atmosphere elevator
    Right, because an "upper atmosphere elevator" is completely infeasible. A space elevator would have to be taken into space in pieces, constructed there, and the cables rolled "down" to earth from an anchor point a hundred thousand miles out. The science behind it is perfectly sound - unfortunately we lack the material necessary for the "cables", at least in any manufacturable form.

    But an "upper atmosphere elevator"? The science behind that is not sound. Besides making a pyramid with a base of 10,000 square miles, there's no way to stabilize a structure at that height without something anchoring it in place from the space end.. you'd need... a space elevator to do that. :p

    --
    "The true measure of a person is how they act when they know they won't get caught." - DSRilk
  54. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Platinumrat · · Score: 1

    Arthur C. Clarke was actually a scientist who wrote science fiction. The actual bulk of his work was science education.

  55. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by dbIII · · Score: 2

    One of the things I don't see discussed much is the potential failure modes for such a system.

    Probably because it's best modelled as a lot of little chunks each with different gravitational force on them and forces from the elements above and below - and that's not trivial if the thing has a break in it somewhere.

    The simplest mode of failure is if the thing is under a huge amount of tension and somebody cuts it off at the base - as in at least one movie. In that case the entire thing flies off into a high orbit (for the counterweight, trailing the ribbon behind it) or escapes entirely. Having a huge amount of tension make sense in keeping it straight, but of course constraints of reality would get in the way if we finally have a real material that comes close to having the right properties for an Earth based space elevator.

  56. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Not so simple. Gravity varies with distance along the length of the beanstalk. Also whether it snaps in two unequal lengths or fragments depends on a few things. Being designed to fragment and burn up (like your suggestion) sounds like a good idea, and it's likely without explosives since there's not likely to be any room for overdesign. Large stresses from other then the direction it's designed to take it are going to rip things apart if it's something like carbon nanotubes.

  57. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Easy - you have it pulling up.
    Then you have a different nightmare :)

    People who live within a few hundred kilometres had better not be scared of spiders.

  58. Single point of failure by Framboise · · Score: 1

    A robust system should not totally break because of one point of failure. A single elevator is fragile because any natural (meteorite), man-made (space junk) or intentional (war) cause acting anywhere along the 100'000 km long cable can totally destroy it with dramatic consequences on Earth when parts of the cable impact the surface. The elevator design could be made more resistant by building a network of cables, not a single cable.

    1. Re:Single point of failure by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      That makes all kinds of sense. There must be something wrong...

      Separate cables for going up and going down, with redundancy. That would be the way to build the things.

      --
      Will
    2. Re:Single point of failure by cbhacking · · Score: 2

      Sigh... your numbers are wrong, your science is wrong, and your concept is questionable.

      Let's start with the basics: GEO is 35,768 KM from the equator. You need twice that much, at most, ribbon (not cable. Cable is dramatically less feasible and stupid besides). No idea where you got 100,000 KM from...

      Now, about that ribbon. It's a few feet (maybe around one meter) wide at the base, where tension is low. It's several times that at GEO, where tension is highest. It's got a thickness comparable to paper and a mass per unit length even lower. The part that falls, in the event of a catastrophe, will mostly burn up in the atmosphere, the rest will drift back to earth with a very low terminal velocity. It might kill a few unlucky people who happen to have a tangle of it fall on their heads; it's *not* going to "impact the surface" "with dramatic consequences".

      But, to consider the meat of your proposal. First of all, you understand that the thing is under tension along its whole length, right? The primary limitation on our ability to build one is finding material of sufficient tensile strength. The middle (at GEO) will be under particularly bad tension; we *think* we can make materials strong enough to be feasible for that. You want to turn this thing into a *network* (implying interconnections)? Where do you plan to obtain the additional tensile strength for the extra mass hanging off the tensioned parts, pray tell? Oh, you can (and probably would) put multiple cables next to each other, allowing climbers to pass one another and providing redundancy, but each one would basically be its own space elevator that happens to be next to a few others. A single attack, if big enough, could still take them all out... but so it goes.

      --
      There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
    3. Re:Single point of failure by geekoid · · Score: 2

      You post is mostly wrong and stupid.

      ". It's got a thickness comparable to paper"
      What do you base that one? It has to be able to carry an elevator, you know for the space elevator

      " will mostly burn up in the atmosphere"
      Do you even have a clue what cause things to burn up in the atmosphere?

      Why do you ignore the fact that the counter weight is going to fly off, do a figure eight, and the come back to earth?
      When something strike the counter weight, it' will have a different angle of momentum and push it out of orbit, which will cause it to swing closer to earth, out of it's orbit and begin wrapping the planet becasue it will be pulled closer by the leash the attaches it to the planet.

      I have yet to hear a proposal on how to avoid that from anyone who actually can do the math.

      Of course, the idea s to get into space cheaper, but we need more then that. What will we do once we can get into space cheaper? IT won't mkae leaving the solar system that much easier. History has shown that when simple gets easier to get to, the general public and corporations really screw it up.
      We have a pretty large problem with space debris right now.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    4. Re:Single point of failure by Zalbik · · Score: 1

      You know...you could actually bother to read the paper where many of your concerns/objections are discussed.

      But I guess it's much more satisfying for you to come here and call people wrong and stupid. What a pleasant person you must be IRL.

      You should really attempt to learn more about topics you attempt to discuss before mouthing off on them. The GP post is mostly correct.

    5. Re:Single point of failure by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's a Space Nutter. No rational discourse is possible. Abandon now.

    6. Re:Single point of failure by Framboise · · Score: 1

      > Sigh... your numbers are wrong, your science is wrong, and your concept is questionable.
      ?? You might read at least Wikipedia on the topic before looking like a pretentious person.

      > Let's start with the basics: GEO is 35,768 KM from the equator. You need twice that much, at most,
      No, for equal length ribbons on both sides of the GEO forces are unequal ! Gravity force decreases like 1/r^2 you know,
      and centrifugal force increases like r^1.

      > ribbon (not cable. Cable is dramatically less feasible and stupid besides).
      In the topic people have used the words cable, ribbon and tether, this is irrelevant to the problem of fragility, so I guess you are trolling.

      >No idea where you got 100,000 KM from..
      Ah, you don't know the Wikipedia article, which will give you a link to a book where you will find this value.
      But in more detail I did calculate the force on both sides (integrating along the radius) supposing a linear mass density decreasing
      linearly with the distance to GEO, with zero endpoint values. My result for the highest point is 98178 km from Earth center.

      This is probably enough food for a t... as you don't even deign to consider that a single cable/ribbon is a fragile concept.

  59. Money, politics - tech is the least problem by petes_PoV · · Score: 2

    the desire of anyone with the ability or funds to do it to go to space

    Not only the desire to go, but some destinations ("space" is not a place) are necessary, too. I would expect that the main use of this device would be for freight, not people. For a start the safety requirements are much less stringent (apart from if it collapses on top of people) and therefore the implementation costs would be less.

    There's also the little matter of geography. A space elevator would have to be built on or near to the equator. At present none of the equatorial countries have the will, means or need to build one. In the past the imperial powers have created global infrastructure, but there are no more imperial powers and there is not sufficient political stability for others to want to risk 10's or 100's of trillions of <insert name of preferred currency here> in some tropical location outside of their control.

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    1. Re:Money, politics - tech is the least problem by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 2

      If you're going to build a space elevator an anchored/oil rig like floating platform isn't much of a stretch.

    2. Re:Money, politics - tech is the least problem by dryeo · · Score: 1

      I've also heard that there are only a few (3?) spots on the equator that are gravitationally smooth enough for an elevator to be practical.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    3. Re:Money, politics - tech is the least problem by ceoyoyo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No more imperial powers? Seriously? You know where the European Space Agency launches their rockets from? French Guiana, which is a French territory in South America. Then of course there's the 800 lb gorilla. The US has actual territories around much of the world, from the Atlantic to the western Pacific, occupied or controlled countries around the rest, and military bases pretty much everywhere.

      If a major nation wants to have an equatorial space elevator base they'll pick an appropriate country, throw some money at them, and get it.

    4. Re:Money, politics - tech is the least problem by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Kenya has a space program. I think Ecuador also. I'd love to see someone build a magnetic launcher up the slope of the Andes. A 100 km launcher could provide about 1/2 the necessary velocity to orbit at around 3G, essentially replacing the entire first stage, and cost a few dollars in electricity. This could cut the cost of space launches by 70% to 90%, for all equatorial launches.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  60. Before you lecture others by dbIII · · Score: 1

    Why don't you instead get a quick education

    Sadly, my slow education shows that you need some as well since the material is still currently unobtainable. Not beyond hope but we can't get it now - hence "unobtainable"

    1. Re:Before you lecture others by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But not for the reasons the parent was saying, so he is taking down the whole discussion with an unnecessary side discussion, while a discussion about the feasability of the strength of the cable material would be far more interesting.

    2. Re:Before you lecture others by dbIII · · Score: 1

      discussion about the feasability of the strength of the cable material would be far more interesting

      Not really. It had been done to death even before carbon nanotubes turned up as a promising class of materials. It will get more interesting if someone fabricates one of those large enough to confirm some of the expected physical properties. Until then the discussion goes around the same loop of "if only we had something good enough".

    3. Re:Before you lecture others by RKThoadan · · Score: 1

      A minor correction to that. We don't have adequate materials for a space elevator from Earth. There are several existing materials which are strong enough for a Lunar Space Elevator (including kevlar). If we want to settle the moon and get experience building space elevators it's an excellent option. Here's wikipedia's page on it: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L...

      I'm not finding any calculations for what it would take on Mars, but since it's only about 1/3rd Earths gravity it should be more feasible there as well.

    4. Re:Before you lecture others by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Mars, but since it's only about 1/3rd Earths gravity it should be more feasible there as well.

      Considering how hard it is to land anything softly there (and the moon) that's not such a bad idea.

      However people seem to be taking the "if we build it they will come" attitude with an Earth based beanstalk. The vast amount of mass required to build a beanstalk, even if we can get a handy near Earth object into place as a counterweight, would require such a huge amount of launch capacity that you would only get the savings in future launch capacity if it was part of a truly immense project. It makes sense as part of a massive space colonisation effect or widespread zero-G industry but seems pointless for anything less.

  61. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by dbIII · · Score: 1

    That's overload. Fatigue is lots of little overloads making cracks grow over time.
    Also whether it goes down, or up, and then bits of it down later, depends on a lot of things, like how much tension is on the thing. Even if it snaps off at the top end the forces of re-entry are likely to break it up a lot as bits of it decelerate at different speeds and pull on each other. Then will it burn up or stay intact like the graphite crucibles used with molten iron? We don't know enough about the properties of what's likely to be used, apart from the obvious of the minimum strength to weight ratio for it to work at all.

  62. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by narcc · · Score: 1

    Read the study? I'm impressed when someone here takes the time to read the summary!

  63. Its less than the cost of a lousy hamburger by crovira · · Score: 1

    And definitely less than I spend in beer when I go out. Don't be so cheap that you're left behind... Buy it!

    --
    MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
  64. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by tlambert · · Score: 1

    If the break is below the half-way point it will go up if the break is above the half-way point it would come down.

    Actually, everything below the break falls down, and everything above the break falls up, no matter where the break occurs. The centripetal acceleration is capable of holding the entire mass of the cable plus the weight of all the cars, plus some force to tension the cable. The falling down is also generally not that catastrophic, for the most part, since the max speed of the falling cable will be less than or equal to 50% of terminal velocity for a naked cable due to transverse forces based on the pull from the rest of the falling cable. If you don't assume a naked cable, but a cable with periodic airfoils, the remainder of the cable could be guided to a safe fall shadow.

  65. It's just a background special effect by dbIII · · Score: 1

    My problem with that is it assumes infinite strength of the cable and a simplistic 1D model of the forces - HOWEVER THAT DOESN'T MATTER IN THE CONTEXT. It's just a background special effect and not important to a story where any disaster would do and I doubt the author looked into it in as much detail as many on this thread.
    I had a long and boring discussion with a bunch of arts students some years ago about that example when they insisted it was what would really happen (which is not a line the author took - just those students) instead of a nice neat fictional disaster to move the plot along. As soon as I started drawing diagrams and mentioned that the pull of gravity will vary over the length of the cable they got very hostile.

    A real answer would be more complicated and messy and there would likely be chunks of cable raining down on people's heads over a wide area of the planet for weeks. however that would mean a different and probably far less interesting plot.

  66. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

    Cool! Thanks!

  67. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Stellian · · Score: 1
  68. The worst part of that trilogy, IMO by cbhacking · · Score: 2

    It was also, sadly, complete bullshit ("sadly" because it's one of the worst research failures in the series, which is otherwise fairly good hard sci-fi). The material he envisioned making the cable out of was not only wildly impractical, it was apparently chosen explicitly because of several characteristics it exhibited that are exactly opposite of what would be desirable. You need a material with an extremely low mass per unit length. You do not need a highly durable material, certainly not on the scale of diamond hardness. You also want a ribbon, not a true cable. That gives the climber more surface area to grip for a given amount of mass per unit length.

    The result would be more akin to a silk scarf a few feet wide (at the base, several times that at geosync) and many thousands of miles long slowly falling to earth. Some, possibly much, would be burned up in the atmosphere. Some more would flutter to the ground, buffeted by the winds but no more harmful than if some airplane unspooled a bunch of tissue paper in the high atmosphere and then let it go. Some places it might tangle and fall to the ground in a knot, but even then it would have a fairly low terminal velocity and relatively low mass. You might destroy a building or two in the worst case; you would not wreck the entire circumference of the planet

    The very concept of building the ribbon out of anything that could contain the energy needed to produce a "kilometres-wide path of destruction" without harmlessly burning up in the atmosphere is as idiotic as it is unrealistic.

    --
    There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  69. Elevators are old news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm still waiting for scotty to beam me up!

    1. Re:Elevators are old news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm still waiting for scotty to beam me up!

      So are we.

  70. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by kamapuaa · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Arthur C Clarke was not what most people would think of as a scientist (a job leading scientific research for a university or company or so forth). Nor did his scientific speculations revolve around applying the scientific method, which is a good description of what a scientist does in a very broad sense.

    --
    Slashdot: providing anti-social weirdos a soapbox, since 1997.
  71. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

    Think what you will, accuracy be damned.

  72. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 0

    Think about a foundation strong enough to withstand the pressures of a 100-200 mile high tower pressing down.

    Connected to a platform in space, the mass of the platform is to spin with the Earth's rotation. Centrifugal force is actually pulling on the elevator 'cable'.

    Actually, pulling up is much worse than pressing down... The cable would just rip the foundation out from the bedrock. So you'd need to drill really deep to suitably anchor this beast.

  73. Sounds like a great idea by korbulon · · Score: 4, Funny

    Main problem I foresee is what happens when someone presses all the buttons.

    1. Re:Sounds like a great idea by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

      There's only three buttons.

      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  74. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    which is not surprising, seeing the fact that he invented the geosynchronous orbit in the first place. ;-)

  75. It would be feasible in a world without Islam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    It would be feasible in a world without Islam. As it stands one of those nutters will decide that blowing it up will "sock it to the west", or that reaching for the heavens is some type of blasphemy.

    1. Re:It would be feasible in a world without Islam by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 2
      --
      Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  76. Re:No, they're not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Well, the finances of me making 6000000$ an hour is perfectly sound, it's just algebra.

    The rest is just details. To the stars, fellow Space Nutters!

  77. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Nope, it is pretty easy to balance it in such a way that it will float. This is done by making the end longer/heavier to get it to pull more or shorter/lighter to make it pull less.

  78. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not any less dangerous than a truck on the highway with it's breaks suddenly failing. It's going to splatter any fleshy creature it comes into contact with if it fails, no doubt, but considering the risky activities we engage every day for much less significant rewards, a space elevator has a pretty low risk-to-reward ratio.

  79. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You don't know what Clark did.

    He researched communications - radio, radar, satellite, developed hardware as an engineer.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arthur_C._Clarke

  80. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by cbhacking · · Score: 1

    Yet another example of sci-fi authors completely failing to consider the "sci" part of sci-fi. If you bombed the base of a space elevator, the ribbon would fly *in to space*. The bottom is an anchor, holding the ribbon (not "cable" or "rope") to Earth. Ideally it's not under much tension - the high-tension part is the middle bit which sits at geosync, balanced between the pull of gravity and the centrifugal force of the upper segment/counterweight - but it's almost certainly under some (much like a ship's anchor chain, actually). How the fuck would cutting a ship's anchor cause it to sink? That's about the level of stupidity in what you just said.

    --
    There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  81. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

    If they cannot communicate how it is feasible in an elevator speech

    Depends on the elevator... a space elevator speech could last hours, if not days. ;-)

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  82. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by cbhacking · · Score: 1

    *SIGH*

    Nope! Wrong again.

    The ribbon (not cable) is balanced such that at the base point, gravity counteracts centrifugal force, and the tension is near-zero. If the tension is any higher than that, that means the whole ribbon is subject to more tension than it has to be. It also means your counterweight (which is probably just an equal length of ribbon *above* GEO to counteract the length below) is heavier than it has any reason to be, which would make launching the whole thing more difficult.

    The base could easily be placed on a barge in the middle of the ocean. In fact, that's just about ideal; it can move around relatively easily, if the ribbon needs to dodge out of the way of something. It's also easier to control access for the sake of security, and may have a handful of political advantages too. Oh, and the base of the ribbon? Kept under tension by means of winches. The ribbon will actually rise and fall a bit, as climbers go up and down it (climbers near the bottom tug the whole thing downward, reducing tension at base to possibly negative unless you take up the slack). That's OK.

    --
    There's no place I could be, since I've found Serenity...
  83. The Girl from Ipanema by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Girl from Ipanema... on a permanent loop...
    Space elevators are therefore infeasible.

  84. Re:No, they're not by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I get the impression you don't quite understand how materials, physics, engineering, and humor would work. I'm quite well aware of the dozen or so engineering miracles that would be required for your Space Totem to be built, but by all means, do tell.

  85. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by ArsenneLupin · · Score: 2
    If cars on the lower part of the ribbon are pulling it down, this means that slightly less ribbon will be above GEO point, leading to less ribbon available for counterbalancing the lower part. Which means an unstable equilibrium.

    So, in order to prevent the whole thing from crashing down, there has to be a safety margin of extra ribbon above GEO, meaning some extra tension in the wire, even at ground level. That barge can't be too light-weight, or else it'll turn into a space-barge...

  86. oscorp? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is Oscorp funding this?

  87. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Sez+Zero · · Score: 1

    If they cannot communicate how it is feasible in an elevator speech....

    Ah, but you forget, a space elevator speech is a lot longer ride!

  88. speed of light by goombah99 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Speed of Light: 299,792,458 m/s (meters per second)
    Great Pyramid Grand Gallery: 29.9792458N Latitude

    coincidence?

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:speed of light by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      Juuuuuuuuuuust in case someone takes this seriously, one is deliniated in base 10 units, the other is delineated in base 360 fractions.

    2. Re: speed of light by bazmonkey · · Score: 2

      No, the Egyptians knew that a distant tribe of barbarians would one day become the French and invent the meter, and chose the location of Cairo to match the speed of light with their latitude, which they also realized would not be counted in a decimal way.

      Of course it's a coincidence.

    3. Re:speed of light by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, because the Egyptians used metric measurements

    4. Re:speed of light by Behrooz · · Score: 1

      Technically, 29.9792458N Latitude constitutes a ~1cm band around the northern hemisphere. The Grand Gallery is oriented roughly north-south, and at 46m long in itself occludes 0.00043 latitude-- so you'll miss almost all of it.

      Fortunately, there is a much more useful application for random decimal numbers associated with SI constants. If you happen to be flying over Africa and become lost, follow your GPS to the scientific notation of the Planck constant degrees east, then fly north, and you'll eventually reach Mohamed Boudiaf International Airport in Algeria.

      --
      "We have to go forth and crush every world view that doesn't believe in tolerance and free speech." - David Brin
    5. Re:speed of light by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes

    6. Re:speed of light by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Speed of Light: 299,792,458 m/s (meters per second)
      Great Pyramid Grand Gallery: 29.9792458N Latitude

      coincidence?

      Our coordinate system is completely arbitrary. Of course its a coincidence.

  89. Over-estimating weight by Firethorn · · Score: 2

    Lifting all the "strands" necessary would take many thousands of launches.

    Not from what I'm seeing. At least one source says that a 'starter' cable can be had as light as 9 metric tons. Another says 20.

    A Falcon Heavy can lift over twice that to orbit, though maybe not all the way to geosync...

    After you get the first thread down, you use that thread to lift more mass to increase capacity.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Over-estimating weight by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

      Interesting. Thanks for the correction.

      --
      XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
    2. Re:Over-estimating weight by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      In order to keep the centre of mass stationary (otherwise the thing will fall down!), you have to extrude your ribbon down and UP at equal rates.

      Effectively you climb UP the ribbon to GEO, then climb DOWN the the ribbon to the whip end for a nice gravity boost.

      Dropping a strand and then building up from the ground will simply pull the whole thing down unless balancing force is applied at the other end.

      It's doable, but you need an Orion(*) class launcher to get enough material to GEO to build the first one.

      (*)The one based on nukes, not the pissant NASA design.

    3. Re:Over-estimating weight by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      It's doable, but you need an Orion(*) class launcher to get enough material to GEO to build the first one.

      Citation? I provided two sources that estimated the first cable would weigh between 9 and 20 metric tons. Regular heavy lifters can do that today.

      Also, while a full length cable is the most useful for gravity launches, you don't need it if you stage your 'center' station an appropriate bit past the center. Included in one of the sites I found when doing research was a calculation on how long to make the outside cable, with a mass on the end rather than just more cable, on the basis of cost per kilogram to lift the end mass and cost per kilometer of ribbon. The longer the ribbon, the less mass you need, but if ribbon is 1000X as expensive as the endcap mass(which is effectively just the launch costs), then the cheapest system will still have a short outside ribbon.

      Of course, once you have an extensive enough space presense in Earth Orbit and you start looking to visit elsewhere, the math changes as avoiding launch costs for those missions justifies extending the ribbon.

      As for building from the ground up, I'd presume that the 'starter cable' would include enough mass on the opposite end to balance things out while you drag up more supplies. Obviously you can't just haul up another unless it's absolutely tiny - the 20 ton seed cable is only capable of lifing 600 kg. It also depends on how you end up constructing the cable - can the climbers 'weld' new ribbon to the existing or not? Or would it be better to have a special station up in GEO that can perform a complicated/touchy 'welding' process to actually increase the length of cable? What if you don't even bother connecting the ribbons, and have any climber connect to some or all of them individually?

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    4. Re:Over-estimating weight by stoatwblr · · Score: 1

      The cable can be lifted, if you think that's 100% of the payload to GEO. By the time you wrap infrastructure around it, plus enough fuel to go from LEO to GEO you're at or over the capacity of existing launchers.

      You've also nailed the issue of the seed cable - one is not enough. You'll need enough of them (plus a sfaety margin) in place to be able to lift another seed cable.

      Yes, it can be done with existing launchers if you don't mind having dozens of them. The cost benefit and safety sides of things start coming down in favour of something capable of putting 30,000+ tons of _net_ payload into GEO in one go.

    5. Re:Over-estimating weight by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      By the time you wrap infrastructure around it, plus enough fuel to go from LEO to GEO you're at or over the capacity of existing launchers.

      Depends on the extent of the infrastructure, and I'll point out that the ISS was built modularly as well, so if you need 2-3 launches so be it. I'm thinking seed earth side, seed farside, and center station(which does things like control ribbon length for deployment). Once you have that initial cable you start lifting more cable and supplies as necessary.

      The cost benefit and safety sides of things start coming down in favour of something capable of putting 30,000+ tons of _net_ payload into GEO in one go.

      Are you proposing an orion drive? Or did you meak 30k kg or 30 tons? Right now, from a risk assessment point I'd vote for staggering the launches - launch the station first, followed by the seed cable, then depending on the weight and placement of the station maybe a third for the balance cable/mass.

      You've also nailed the issue of the seed cable - one is not enough. You'll need enough of them (plus a sfaety margin) in place to be able to lift another seed cable.

      Every proposal I've seen has the first couple years of establishment of the seed cable being primarily lifting more cable. You don't need to be able to lift another whole seed immediately. Instead you lift 'strands' that are individually a lot less capable than the seed.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
  90. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One of the things I don't see discussed much is the potential failure modes for such a system.

    My wife is a physical oceanographer, and one of the failure modes for instruments deployed on cables from a ship is a 'wuzzle' -- a large tangle of steel cable. Given the nature of the stuff, a length of cable that fits nicely in a spool on deck can twist itself into a knot larger than the ship.

    So one thing I'd like to know is what are the potential hazards a couple thousand miles of elevator cable falling to the Earth's surface? Could we end up with tangles miles in diameter?

    I think a space elevator is a great idea if it's feasible, provided that in the criteria for "feasible" we include being prepared for the conceivable ways the project could fail.

    And nobody tends to think of harmonics. Certainly a static cable will be enough of a challenge to build, provided we can discover materials stronger than anything we've ever observed. Add to that the challenges of having a very long suspended string (much like the string of a piano). It will vibrate, and that means undulating with stresses both far above and below the average load. Certainly it could be dampened, but not by traditional means, as there's nothing to push against for dampening at the free end, and no effective bracing near the middle to attach dampening equipment.

  91. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Chas · · Score: 1

    Wow. NONE of you actually read the post I replied to.

    Taking space elevators to their logical conclusion though would see them being the bases of super towers that reach into space. The cables end up being the foundation supports of the tower.

    I was specifically talking about a tower, as opposed to merely a cable-based elevator.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
  92. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Think about a foundation strong enough to withstand the pressures of a 100-200 mile high tower pressing down.

    Connected to a platform in space, the mass of the platform is to spin with the Earth's rotation. Centrifugal force is actually pulling on the elevator 'cable'.

    Actually, pulling up is much worse than pressing down... The cable would just rip the foundation out from the bedrock. So you'd need to drill really deep to suitably anchor this beast.

    We also have a lot more experience with compressive forces than with tensile forces. The early suspension bridges were plagued with lots of new issues. A space elevator would be no different.

    This isn't like building the Chunnel. That was a monumental effort doing something we've done for over a thousand years one more time albeit at a very grand scale. To stretch the analogy, this will be like digging the first tunnel, and odds are excellent that some learning (via mistakes) will occur along the way. If the mistakes are catastrophic, then the learning will come at a very high cost (in lives and dollars).

  93. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The cable itself should be relatively neutral to the ground anchor. The centrifugal force countering the effect of gravity to as near a null as possible.

    In most scenerios: you have a station in geo-syncronous orbit. It extends a cable in two directions (one towards Earth, one away) such that they counter-balance each other.

    Once connected to the anchor, I would imagine you would want some pull (remember: this material is chosen for strength, not rigitdity; it must be under some strain to stay taunt, especially given that you are going to move a mass up and down it), but it's not like the entire mass of the elevator is going to be pulling up on the anchor either... just enough to ensure it doesn't collapse back down to Earth)

  94. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

    You are contradicting yourself. If a single car is sufficient to pull a "balanced" tether out of orbit, then only a similarly small outward force is necessary to counter the force of a car, therefore even a small base-mass (such as a ship or barge) is sufficient to counter that outward force. Ie, if a one tonne car pulling down at 1.5g would pull the tether out of orbit, then you only need a few tonnes outward force (measured at the base) to prevent that. And thus only a few tonnes beyond that to sufficiently anchor the tether down.

    Therefore you do not need to "drill really deep into bedrock to suitably anchor this beast".

    (In reality, you'd want an outward force a full order of magnitude higher than the cargo capacity. And an anchor-mass another order of magnitude higher than that. So a 1 tonne payload, a ten tonne outward force, a 100 tonne base. Double or triple for reserve. Well within the capability of even a small ship or barge.)

    A bigger problem is actually the sidewards torque due to Coriolis as the cars rise and fall. This creates not only additional pull on the cable/ribbon, but specifically bends or crimps the ribbon as the car passes. This will stress the material well beyond the simple linear forces.

    --
    Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  95. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by hubie · · Score: 1

    I'd like to see a stability analysis on this kind of system. I suppose it would be a nice exercise for the student, so maybe I'll give it a whirl when I've got some downtime.

  96. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by SlippyToad · · Score: 1

    Clarke also invented the communications satellite. Or, the idea of it.

    --
    One day I feel I'm ahead of the wheel / the next it's rolling over me / I can get back on / I can get back on
  97. still needs a miracle or two by Goldsmith · · Score: 1

    Like everyone else looking at this, they assume we'll have to use a carbon nanotube tether. They propose a spun tether of nanotubes, but use the strength of individual nanotubes in their model. Nanotube yarn is about 1/10 the strength of the raw material (which is insufficient). Growing the raw material directly would only take a few thousands of years more than the four they plan on using.

  98. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by SlippyToad · · Score: 1

    Nor did his scientific speculations revolve around applying the scientific method,

    You don't actually know anything about Clarke's work, do you?

    http://scifi.stackexchange.com...

    --
    One day I feel I'm ahead of the wheel / the next it's rolling over me / I can get back on / I can get back on
  99. clarke quote... Re:Arthur C. Clarke by Fubari · · Score: 1

    During a speech he once gave, someone in the audience asked Arthur C. Clarke when the space elevator would become a reality.

    "Clarke answered, 'Probably about 50 years after everybody quits laughing,'" related Pearson. "He's got a point. Once you stop dismissing something as unattainable, then you start working on its development. This is exciting!"

    Makes sense to me; original link here.

  100. warning for ESL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    DO NOT GIS that word!
    wow.

  101. BAZINGA! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Those nerds haven't fixed the elevator in their building after seven seasons. You expect them to build one that goes to orbit?

  102. Carbon Offsets and Reductions by fast+turtle · · Score: 1

    We need to develop extremely high strenght carbon fibers not only for a Space Elevator but for vehicles and such because it's a great way to offset all of the extra carbon being released. Hell if we can use enough of the free carbon, we can cool the earth and gain quite a bit of arable land back from the oceans plus with a quad set of Elevators and a connecting ring, we could move most if not all of our farming to orbit. Lots of possibilities there and I would love to see such before I release my keyboard/mouse from my cold dead hands.

    --
    Mod me up/Mod me down: I wont frown as I've no crown
  103. Wholly unnatural. by Rambo+Tribble · · Score: 1

    If God had intended man to elevate, he would have given him counterweights.

    1. Re:Wholly unnatural. by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Hence butts.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
    2. Re:Wholly unnatural. by Rambo+Tribble · · Score: 1

      An intriguing proposition, but upon reflection, I'm left to conclude that, at least in the case of certain politicians, the Divine Architect assigned that function to the cranium.

  104. what's the total carbon in the biosphere? by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    yeah, building a 13 GT space elevator from carbon nanotubes seems like a great idea -- until the nanites come looking to use the carbon from your body.

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  105. Not even a 1/10 of the current Space-X price! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Their estimated price is $500/kg which is a ridiculous price.

    Today a falcon 9 can launch 13150kg to LEO for $50million.
    The projected elevator can lift 13150kg to LEO for $6.6million.

    A nice improvement until you consider that a reusable falcon 9 launch will cost perhaps $500,000.
    Which means Space-X with a little luck can reach $38/kg.

    It is not hard to imagine that with modest success at re-usability Space-X can drop the cost from $50million to $5million with just a reusable first stage, which would make the Space-X price $380/kg.

    That makes space elevators uneconomical before they are even built.

    Now a careful reader will note I am arguing GEO vs LEO prices. Once in LEO a ion engines can be used to make the transition to a higher orbit with all of the same efficiencies of an elevator and they already exist.

    I fail to see the economics of a technology with a huge up-front cost and that it looks like a much less expensive investment in rocket technology can devastate.

    1. Re:Not even a 1/10 of the current Space-X price! by DangerousDriver · · Score: 1

      I have to spend $29.95 ($9.95 for Kindle) for the paper referred to in TFA which is a ridiculous price.

  106. of course its feasible, but what happens by geekoid · · Score: 1

    when it come down? Having something that can wrap around the globed several times may not be such a great idea when it breaks at the anchor point.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  107. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

    Seriously, we're talking about a 22,000 mile cable

    No. It's at least double that. A space elevator doesn't just go up to GEO, it's "balanced" at GEO, there's an entire outward arm. (And in reality it would be under tension, so the outer arm would be more massive than the inner, the balance point would be well below GEO.)

    where a single fault could cause the whole thing to come crashing down.

    No fault could cause the "whole thing to come crashing down". Only the portion below the break could fall. And since it's a known failure mode, you'd have built-in separation points at various lengths. When there's a failure, you release a piece of cable/ribbon at the top and/or bottom ends of sufficient mass to allow the centre section to go into a stable orbit. This allows recovery and repair.

    --
    Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  108. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by kamapuaa · · Score: 1

    Conversely, you don't know what scientists do, do you?

    They don't write down neat ideas in single page essays that get no scientific review. Maybe you could say he was an inventor?

    It was a neat idea, but Clarke wasn't the first person to come up with the idea, nor was his short essay widely disseminated, nor did it influence the actual development of geosynchronous orbits.

    --
    Slashdot: providing anti-social weirdos a soapbox, since 1997.
  109. Re:No, they're not by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

    Actually there are proposals that take the properties of modern super materials (carbon composites) and calculate the maximum height of a (compression) tower. And, depending on your assumptions, you can actually get above 100km. Even steel towers could theoretically get to 10-15km using modern designs.

    There are also designs for rotating orbital tethers which have a tip-velocity equal to the Earth's surface velocity, dipping into the atmosphere to pick up airborne payloads. (Or tower-borne if you combined it with the 100km carbon-tower.) From an engineering and economic standpoint, these are much simpler than a full space elevator, since they require much less strength in the materials, and are built at much shorter lengths.

    There are also proposals for neutral buoyancy towers which are... theoretically... possible. (Essentially a series of hydrogen-filled balloon toruses stacked on top of each other, creating a net lift sufficient to hold another tower on top, above the bulk of the atmosphere.)

    --
    Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  110. We don't need no stinking space elevator! by n2hightech · · Score: 2

    At one time I believed that the space elevator was the only way we would ever be able to move into space on an economic basis. All rocket based methods were just too expensive. That was until I read what Elon Musk had to say about it http://www.spacex.com/news/201.... The real reason that space exploration is expensive is that we throw away the spacecraft after a single use not the fuel used to get there. Space elevators are very energy efficient and would have great longevity, however, the practical and economic problems of building a 30,000 mile long cable is vastly larger than the problems of solving reusability of spacecraft. SpaceX is well on the way to solving the reusability problem. They have a practical road map and are executing it in spectacular fashion. They have already tested and proven vertical rocket powered landing technology and on their next Space Station resupply mission they will be testing booster landing leg deployment and engine restart to try and achieve a soft splashdown in the ocean. There last attempt of restart was successful however the descent became unstable and they had to abort. It is believed that the landing legs will provide extra aerodynamic stability allowing for a successful soft splashdown. I believe it is only a matter of a few years until they have a fully reusable system. This innovation will drive down the cost of space travel by a factor of 100. In 10 years the average upper middle class American will be able to afford a vacation in space. Travel to Mars will still be expensive but not unattainable for many.

  111. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, if you want a materials strength nightmare, forget about the elevator cable.
    Think about a foundation strong enough to withstand the pressures of a 100-200 mile high tower pressing down.

    Why don't you think about familiarizing yourself with the concepts behind the space elevator? There won't be anything like that. The end of the cable "floats" in the receptacle. It hangs from its anchor asteroid.

    Oh wait! Lemme get my unobtainium!

    Why don't you instead get a quick education in the topic we're discussing before you flap your yap?

    Regardless of your basic understanding, remember we're ALL discussing a theory and vaporware here, nothing more. Comments from the peanut gallery are unwelcome, especially when the fucking peanut gallery doesn't even know if they're right or wrong. Tread lightly, and wise up.

  112. First an artificial ring, then several elevators by Pro923 · · Score: 0

    I feel strongly that the next step to our advancement is to build an artificial ring around the Earth. It would serve multiple purposes: First, build a thin ring - like the thickness of a pipe that extends around the equator of the planet somewhere up in orbit. Then you can make 'nodes' at points around the ring - space stations, satellites, etc - the advantage being that they're held in place by the ring itself. Then you can pave the exterior of the ring with solar panels for the constant generation of power. Then you can drop these space elevators from the nodes. Spacecraft would no longer be designed to have to escape the gravity of the earth - they'd begin their flights from the ring, and you could easily hoist supplies/fuel up to the spacecraft via the space elevators. This could completely revolutionize the way we design and build our spacecraft - spacecraft would stay in space, and never deal with escaping gravity wells. I feel that this would be a significant game changer.

  113. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was wondering how long it would take for the thing to run into one of these:
    http://www.wired.com/images_blogs/dangerroom/2009/10/312934main_image_1283-9461.jpg

  114. beanstalks versus skyhooks, and other speculation by Immerman · · Score: 1

    Actually, unlike a beanstalk, skyhooks are potentially viable using nothing stronger than common carbon-fiber - you really only need a thousand miles or so of cable to make a tumbling skyhook that can transfer you between atmospheric-speed sub-orbital and near-moonshot orbits. Still some serious challenges in making a strong enough cable that can span the US, much less getting it into orbit and keeping it from being destroyed by orbital trash, but theoretically at least it's well within the limits of current technology.

    Of course it's not quite as sexy as taking an elevator directly from the surface into orbit, but those Airship-to-orbit folks seem to have solved most of the major issues with surface-to-dark sky airships, which could be the ideal platform for rendezvousing with the (locally) slow-moving tip of a skyhook above any potentially problematic weather. And a tumbling skyhook would be far faster and more energy efficient than either a second-stage airship or any beanstalk climber possible with existing technology.

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
  115. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So basically they are saying 'a space elevator is possible and a great idea, if only we had a material with high enough strength/weigth ratio'. That's what about everyone already knew 10 or 20 years ago. The only 'news' is that these researches say they expect such a material to be available within 'a reasonable timeframe'.

  116. Feasible in more ways than one by Baby+Duck · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Unfortunately, it's also highly feasible as a terrorist target. How are you going to patrol the entire span of the cable for kamikazes?

    --

    "Love heals scars love left." -- Henry Rollins

    1. Re:Feasible in more ways than one by delt0r · · Score: 1

      Find a cave and go live in it. Then you will be safe from terrorists and we can get on with life rather than fear.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  117. Buy our report now! by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The space elevator can't seem to shake its image as something that's just ridiculous

    Maybe because it IS ridiculous. It's a cool idea but it is science fiction and will remain so for the foreseeable future.

    But there are plenty of scientists who take the idea quite seriously, and they're trying to buck that perception.

    Plenty? No there aren't. We do not have the technology to build this and will not have said technology anytime soon. I know someone will say "but carbon nanotubes!" and they are still in the realm of science fiction when it comes to uses like this. Even if we did have the technology, the economic case for it is far from clear. This thing would be hugely expensive, potentially incredibly dangerous (imagine it breaking), requires technology we aren't even close to having, have an uncertain economic payback, be a target for terrorists, etc. Maybe in a few hundred years it will be possible but it isn't going to happen in the lifetime of anyone reading this.

    To that end, a diverse group of experts at the behest of the International Academy of Astronautics completed an impressively thorough study this month...

    Which you can buy in hardcover for just $29.95. Perhaps if they were really serious about it they might not be trying to sell the report for a profit.

  118. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by Suffering+Bastard · · Score: 1

    If they cannot communicate how it is feasible in an elevator speech, I don't expect to learn much in the manifesto.

    It's a space elevator speech. You'll have plenty of time.

    --
    "Molest me not with this pocket calculator stuff."
    - Deep Thought
  119. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by hardluck86 · · Score: 1

    If they cannot communicate how it is feasible in an elevator speech, I don't expect to learn much in the manifesto.



    It IS an elevator speech - a SPACE elevator speech - that takes three days to get to the top floor...
  120. We lack many more things than just the cable by sjbe · · Score: 1

    unfortunately we lack the material necessary for the "cables", at least in any manufacturable form.

    That is just the tip of the iceberg of things we lack. The cables are just the most obvious missing technology. You need things like power, HVAC, orbital debris removal, meteor defense, terrorist defense systems, a base strong enough and heavy enough to hold on to it on both ends, elevator systems, servicing equipment, some way to actually construct the darn thing and equipment to do it, vastly more advanced robotics, and much much more. These things might be more mundane but they are no less important and all of it would have to be developed. Many of the problems are probably solvable but that doesn't make them trivial.

  121. Aluminum sheilding bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I recall that the aluminum interacted with the incoming cosmic rays and actually made more dangerous secondary particles that were more damaging to the astronauts. http://www.adl.gatech.edu/research/tff/radiation_shield.html

    1. Re:Aluminum sheilding bad by garyebickford · · Score: 1

      Yes, metals are bad. Water (source of hydrogen = protons) is the best shield, or so say Those Who Know Such Things.

      --
      It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  122. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by TangoMargarine · · Score: 1

    Yeah, because we're totally sure that FTL will never ever ever be possible.

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  123. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by icebike · · Score: 1

    Talk to a physicist.

    The point is that Science Fiction authors have to simply assume some things into existence, usually without a lot of explanation or examination of the actual science behind it. They need a hook to allow stuff in their stories that can't be done, either at the time or ever.
    That they get lucky sometimes, and something actually comes true is always attributed to huge omniscience and foresight.

    Clark was no different. He was just more well read than most. He didn't even invent the concept of a space elevator. A couple of Russians did.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  124. Yes, some are laughing by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    Where did the story's submitter get that from?

    Even its biggest proponent acknowledged that some people laugh at the idea. In response to the question "when will the space elevator be built?" Sir Arthur C. Clarke said "about 10 years after everyone stops laughing."

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  125. Big tangle, tiny ballistic coefficient by GPS+Pilot · · Score: 1

    Could we end up with tangles miles in diameter?

    Maybe, but it would be a very low-density object with lots of surface area. With such a tiny ballistic coefficient, the atmosphere would slow it down to a very low terminal velocity and it would hit the ground (or more likely, the ocean surface) gently.

    --
    That that is is that that that that is not is not.
  126. WILLIAMSBURG DOESN'T NEED A SPACE ELEVATOR! by Morky · · Score: 1

    The Space Elevator Will Mean: Less Parking, Weird Ribbon Thing, Constant Loud Whirring Noise, Increased Space Elevator Truck Traffic. Developers have submitted plans to build a massive space elevator in Williamsburg! This monstrosity, completely out of context with existing development in the neighborhood, will be accessible only to the wealthy, forcing thousands of average Williamsburgers from their homes and live-work spaces! Jobs the elevator will generate (operators, repairmen, astronauts) are certain to go to non-residents! Don't sit idly by and let this elevator cast its impossibly long, cold, and very narrow shadow over our homes! CALL 311 AND TELL THEM 'I JUST DON'T NEED THIS SPACE ELEVATOR!'"

  127. Re:First an artificial ring, then several elevator by Pro923 · · Score: 0

    Can someone comment on this? I'd like to hear an opinion on whether it's as good an idea as I think it is...

  128. feasible ... fusion power is feasible... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    did they come up with some new material while I was sleeping with 10X the theoretical and practical strength to make this possible???

    The problem is its not just that super strong material with tensile strength for the 40000 mile long cable, its the shear stength required to have something attach and pull its way up and down the thing day in and day out for years and under the severe space and terestrial environments.

    Its like the graphite in epoxy they make high performancce planes and other things out of - you cant have just the high tensile strength grapgite fiber, there has to be the other stuff that stabalizes it against other forces -- a material that windes up weighing much more than the graphite that carries the weight. Same thing for this Space Elevator cable - the materials you wrap around the carbon nanotubes or whatever add to the weight which makes it not able to state together (it cannot hold up its own weight).

    This problem is nothing new, so what has changed (if anything) to have someone talk of it again ??

  129. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

    That depends on the science fiction. The classic hard SF writers (like Clarke) tried to outright make things up as little as possible, and then only when necessary. Fountains of Paradise, for example, didn't really make anything up except a material strong enough to make a space elevator out of. As you pointed out, the concept itself was worked out before, and, assuming the materials and some way to get them up there, the concept is sound. Much of hard SF is aimed at considering the implications of the technology that is likely to result from existing science.

    Many hard SF writers are actually physicists, engineers or astronomers of some type. Clarke had a degree in physics and mathematics, worked on RADAR during WWII and wrote technical papers for the British Interplanetary Society regarding geostationary telecom satellites (another idea he "assumed into existence" in his books).

  130. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

    Most people don't know what scientists do, including many people who call themselves scientists. People who develop technology are engineers, although that title is claimed in a lot of places to mean someone who can take responsibility for designing and/or building something (like a bridge or a twinkie package). Applied scientist is a weird term that is often used to get around that, but applied science often isn't much like the science you're thinking of.

    Clarke did various things typical of an applied scientist or engineer. That's presumably what the OP was thinking of when he said "physicist."

  131. Red Mars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    so? in a novel by Alan Dean Foster (credited to George Lucas) people can use a mystic "force" to target missiles into a small port on the surface of a space station, maybe look up the definition of the word "fiction"

  132. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

    Three possibilities, depending on where the break is:

    1) cable being flung out into interplanetary space

    2) pretty reentry effects and most of the cable burning up

    3) somewhere between zero to a dozens of kilometres of lightweight cable falling to the ground.

  133. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

    The magnitude of the Coriolis force depends on how fast you go. The first space elevators will probably be cargo only, with climbers that take weeks to make the trip. We might decide that space elevators simply aren't a good option for people or rapid transport at all. Or maybe the rapid transit cars need to have small lateral rockets to compensate.

  134. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by hey! · · Score: 1

    That's not engineering, it's wishful thinking. Which is not to say it is *wrong*, just unjustified.

    The system is designed to be in static equilibrium, so it is by no means guaranteed that the kind of results you are envisioning are the only possible alternatives.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  135. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Sleepy_Bozo · · Score: 1
    Why would you want to make the cable wet? That's what dampen means. I believe the word you're looking for is "damp".

    Certainly it could be damped, but not by traditional means, as there's nothing to push against for damping at the free end, and no effective bracing near the middle to attach damping equipment.

    FTFY

    --
    "They have gun control in Cuba. They have universal health care in Cuba. So why do they want to come here?"-Paul Harvey
  136. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by Harlequin80 · · Score: 1

    Sorry that was what I meant - just put it terribly.

  137. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

    You didn't actually say anything in your post. Do you have another reasonable failure scenario? If so, spit it out and we can talk about it.

  138. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by garyebickford · · Score: 1

    He's also the one who first wrote about geostationary satellites. :)

    --
    It's easier to be a result of the past, but more fun to be a cause of the future! http://www.spacefinancegroup.com/
  139. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by AdamThor · · Score: 1

    In reality, you'd want an outward force a full order of magnitude higher than the cargo capacity.

    The number of people talking about the issue of balancing the elevator makes me think perhaps I have misunderstood. I figure I'd probably put a counterweight mass on a climber above geostationary. Geostationary is where things balance, right? The mass above geostationary (at angular velocity of 360 deg / day) wants to fly away, and it holds up the ribbon. Want to put a heavy load on the ribbon bottom? Send a signal to have the counterweight climb further up (which, past geostationary, feels like down to it, right?), increasing the amount it pulls up. Perhaps the distance necessary to apply this effect is substantial, but heck we're already going to geostationary, right?

    And from a message further up:
    The base could easily be placed on a barge in the middle of the ocean. In fact, that's just about ideal; it can move around relatively easily...

    Well, you've basically got a pendulum that is 35,000+ Km long. That's going to be a pretty long period to make it do anything, I bet. Maybe easier would be to just detach it from your barge and roll it up into the sky at the balance point if you need to get out of the way of some terrestrial event.

    --
    -- "Oh. This guy again."
  140. Maybe we shouldn't save the species... by murkwood7 · · Score: 1

    I read Arthur C. Clarke's stuff when I was young (and no, this was not last week!). As well as Heinlein, Asimov, PJ Farmer, and many, many others. I was enthralled and entranced. The spirit of exploration has been deep seated within me since those days.

    When I read the comments for this topic, I am struck by:

    1) The number of people who share my love of exploration, discovery, and maybe a chance to save the species. This number is woefully small.

    2) The number of people who have no sense of awe, excitement of discovery, no desire to look past their own immediate universe. people to whom the horizon marks the end of the universe. This is, then as now, too many.

    If we (the rest of us) listen to the nay-sayers, we will still be sitting, fighting over the girls and land, on this wore-out world, when the sun goes nova. And that will be sad.

    I'm not trying to insult anybody. And my conversation style, grammer and spelling, tend to leave a lot to be desired.

    --
    - X/Y -
  141. Re:Arthur C. Clarke introduced me to space elevato by AK+Marc · · Score: 1

    It's behind a paywall. No, I won't read it before commenting on it. It's not worth the money or time. I presume it says it's possible but not practical, unless done by a government or world consortium. The return is too long and too risky.

  142. Re:weight of elevator is pulling up, not pushing d by FatLittleMonkey · · Score: 1

    The number of people talking about the issue of balancing the elevator makes me think perhaps I have misunderstood.

    Different emphasis depending on what you are trying to explain. The system is almost in balance. The amount of tension at the ground is completely arbitrary. So when discussing payload movement, it's the "almost" that's important. When explaining how the concept works to someone (Chas) who thinks it's a billion-tonne "tower" pressing on the ground, it's the "balance" that's is emphasised to them.

    Want to put a heavy load on the ribbon bottom? Send a signal to have the counterweight climb further up

    That would work, but IMO if the ribbon is capable of handling the force from the climber+payload, then why not use a base-anchor heavy enough to handle the tension when there isn't a climber? Ie, leave the system in permanent tension.

    For early versions (small ribbon, no GEO station), apparently they want to have winches on Earth feed out excess ribbon to increase tension, or pull it back to reduce it. The idea is to keep the tension on the ground-station roughly constant, and fairly light. This is because they assume the first version will be at the very edge of possible, and kept as small and light as possible in order to be able to build it at all. For example, the counterweight would be the rocket-stage and drum from the original deployment. You start in GEO and let out the ribbon, the drum naturally moves outwards to balance the descending arm. [Rather than the usual image of a central deployment at GEO feeding out two arms in balance.]

    Re: wobbling versus retracting.

    It would also take a long time to winch up and redeploy it each time, during which the the system is useless. Given the number of satellites (especially in LEO) and orbital debris that it would have to dodge out of the way of, it wouldn't spend enough time in operation to justify its existence. During a ship-driven "wobble", otoh, it can still be launching and retrieving climbers.

    --
    Science is all about firing a drunk pig out of a cannon just to see what happens.
  143. Re:"Feasible" doesn't necessarily mean "Advisable" by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Comments from the peanut gallery are unwelcome, especially when the fucking peanut gallery doesn't even know if they're right or wrong. Tread lightly, and wise up.

    I note that you posted anonymously so that your hypocrisy would not be attached to your name. Why don't you tread lightly, and fuck off?

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  144. I have one freakin question about the space lift by bobvious · · Score: 1

    How the hell do they propose to keep satellites and whatever other space junk there is from hitting the space "cable"? I've never seen this addressed.

  145. Astronautics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, that's not helping the perception.

  146. Never Work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This will never work for 3 main reasons: inadequate tensile strength, inadequate shear strength, differential heat loading causing material; strength inconsistencies, radiation pressure, and finally low natural frequency making it uncontrollable. The gravitational field is a conservative field, meaning there is no free lunch. Just as much energy will be required to life the payload up the ladder as it would be to throw it (rockets are just a fancy way to throw something) into orbit. We haven't even considered friction, drag etc.

    In the early 90's (when I worked on the STS program) a bunch of experts convinced the government to spend many millions on a space tether. The space tether was a 3 mile long cable and a coil. The idea was that the motion of the space shuttle through the earth's magnetic field would produce usable electricity in the coil sent back to the shuttle up the 3 mile cable. I was in a meeting when this was mentioned. I said 'that will never work, the cable will snap and they will never even get it deployed. Why? Material non-linearity. I was told to shut up, be a positive team player, etc. I spent all of 60 seconds analyzing the problem. They deployed it, it snapped before getting properly extended and all those millions burned up in the atmosphere as predicted. People got mad at me as if my attitude caused the problem.

  147. Elevators a bad idea- Nuclear Rockets the Solution by lucien86 · · Score: 1

    Besides all the innumerable other problems with space elevators, at the end of the day they don't actually get you into orbit unless you go right up to the top - a 50,000 km (ish) journey. At 200 Km/h 50,000 km will take 10 days for each trip up and that will also severely limit the elevators total mass capability. Anyway the problem here is that to reach a stable orbit at lower altitudes requires huge sideways speeds, space elevators cant provide any of that sideways motion.

    Closely related but even more serious is that due to conservation of momentum the vertical upward translation of a space elevator car creates a negative (backwards) lateral force on the elevator cable. (ribbon string?) This creates at two really big problems. Firstly the sideways force adds extra dynamic tension creating problems for stability with the car and increasing the overall load so requiring a stronger cable. Secondly and more importantly the sideways force pushes the whole structure backwards tending to destabilise its orbit and actually push it out of orbit. - And the great irony here is that the only solution ends up being a rocket attached to the counterweight - one almost equal in power to the rocket that would be needed to deliver the cargo to geosynchronous orbit directly from the ground. No elevators are almost COMPLETELY useless.

    As for orbital rings, yes some of the technology looks formidable but they are at least easier than elevators and should have much better ability to deliver heavy cargos to Earth orbit - ie they might actually work. There are plenty of other ideas that are probably even better - like the idea of the Loftstrom loop https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... .
    However at the end of the day the best solution is simply bigger and better rockets - say using gas core closed cycle nuclear rocket engines. A ship using these could get to orbit with one stage, deliver heavy cargo's then use retro braking to return to Earth - making it fully reusable, far cheaper, far safer, and vastly more capable than current tech. -
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    When you look at the kinds of rockets needed to get (anything substantial) out to the other planets or to most asteroids anything other than nuclear rockets is simply a joke - getting into Earth orbit is the easy bit.

    --
    Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
  148. A way to publicise a book? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, i love the idea of a space elevator.
    But....
    The fact that the topic autor links a page that does not explain the subject, simply links a "buy this book for $29.95 USD or download for $9.95 USD here" makes me kind of sad..

    This was a simple publicity stunt to sell a book.....
    In fact, if the autor of the book is trying to make ppl change their view about space elevators it would not be in a 10 USD book that no one will buy, it would be in a public release.
    And why no one will buy it??? Because there is something called wikipedia.

    Daniel_Stuckey post again when you got something to show that does not involve paying.

    And a word to ppl that grade topics on slashdot: This is one of those to put down.