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Google, Detroit Split On Autonomous Cars

An anonymous reader writes in with this story explaining the contentious history between Google and Detroit automakers over the future of self-driving cars. In 2012, a small team of Google Inc engineers and business staffers met with several of the world's largest car makers, to discuss partnerships to build self-driving cars. In one meeting, both sides were enthusiastic about the futuristic technology, yet it soon became clear that they would not be working together. The Internet search company and the automaker disagreed on almost every point, from car capabilities and time needed to get it to market to extent of collaboration. It was as if the two were "talking a different language," recalls one person who was present. As Google expands beyond Web search and seeks a foothold in the automotive market, the company's eagerness has begun to reek of arrogance to some in Detroit, who see danger as well as promise in Silicon Valley.

236 comments

  1. detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Really? Perhaps the folks from Detroit would perhaps learn something if they didn't act like they knew *EVERYTHING* about making cars. Have you seen the infotainment systems Detroit has stuck in their cars? Seriously? You guys should be listening to Google, Tesla, etc.

    1. Re:detroit vs SV? by alen · · Score: 2, Interesting

      those ugly systems are easy to learn and use while driving so you can keep your eyes on the road
      they aren't there to watch the game or a movie or text while barreling down the highway at 70mph

    2. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      perhaps if during this perhapsing they perhapsed a little bit more, then perhaps what is happening wouldn't happen. perhaps.

    3. Re:detroit vs SV? by Iniamyen · · Score: 2

      Do you specifically mean the American marques that have crappy infotainment systems? I've owned both 2007 Toyota and 2011 Subaru infotainment/navigation systems, and as far as the software/UI goes, they were perfectly useable and functional.

    4. Re:detroit vs SV? by NotDrWho · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Maybe Detroit was a little reluctant to put themselves in a position of being wholly dependent on Google for such a critical system, or allowing Google to collect all that location data on all their customers completely unchecked. I can't blame them.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    5. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      those ugly systems are easy to learn and use while driving so you can keep your eyes on the road
      they aren't there to watch the game or a movie or text while barreling down the highway at 70mph

      Having just spent 4 days driving a new Cadillac, I beg to disagree. To GM, I have this to say: faggots, faggots, FAGGOTS. ...

      Yay for homophobia.

    6. Re:detroit vs SV? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      To GM, I have this to say: faggots, faggots, FAGGOTS.

      Why, is the interface based around a pink and lavender floral motif? Did the car whisper navigation directions to you as sweet nothings in your ear, through moustachioed lips? Perhaps it was the way the seat cushions cupped your ass cheeks.

      Touch screen controls are pretty awful if they aren't massive, though. Almost everyone gets that horribly wrong. AFAICT Tesla is the only company to actually put a decently-sized display into a production car. I'd still rather have normal controls.

      Audi wants people to trace letters on a touchpad now. Yowza. I consider myself to be fairly bright, and I'm pretty sure I would find that distracting even while driving a car with radar cruise control and lane detection.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    7. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      IMHO, Detroit has a lot to learn. Their track record hasn't been that great, and the only reason why two of the big three are still around is due to being on the dole, and one of them is now based out of the Netherlands.

      I also rented a similar model as the parent poster, and a model from Ford in the same category when on various trips. The Ford didn't have some of the cute features, but it was a lot better designed with a very usable screen.

      I used to chastise people that they should buy a car from the country where they want the jobs to be at. However, with GM tending to "badge engineer" Daewoo and other import brand vehicles [1] and Dodge being almost a figurehead name, the only two quality vehicle makers here in the US are Ford and Tesla.

    8. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      those ugly systems are easy to learn and use while driving so you can keep your eyes on the road
      they aren't there to watch the game or a movie or text while barreling down the highway at 70mph

      Having just spent 4 days driving a new Cadillac, I beg to disagree. To GM, I have this to say: faggots, faggots, FAGGOTS. ...

      Yay for homophobia.

      Well, he did say he was driving a Cadillac!

    9. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cars were better when the user controls weren't computers. The car companies know nothing about creating a user interface for a computer. They could barely make one for a car.

    10. Re:detroit vs SV? by TWX · · Score: 2

      Then perhaps they should make a concerted effort to get such systems up and working themselves, before they're forced through future government regulation to take someone else's system that they don't care for and use it because they lack one.

      Automakers don't do anything unless they are forced to. This is the big difference between them and tech companies; automakers change only when either their products don't sell, or when the law requires changes. We wouldn't have new fuel economy standards, strong emissions standards, and strong safety standards if the automakers weren't compelled to change through outside pressure.

      And I agree, automotive interfaces SUCK. They should NEVER require sight to use them, with the exception of the backup camera, and possibly with the view of the map in certain circumstances. The interface should be entirely tactile and easy to learn or intuitive to use. Taking one's eyes off the road to do a basic thing like turning down the volume on the stereo is ridiculous.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    11. Re:detroit vs SV? by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 1

      Maybe Detroit was a little reluctant to put themselves in a position of being wholly dependent on Google for such a critical system, or allowing Google to collect all that location data on all their customers completely unchecked. I can't blame them.

      More likely they were concerned with who would be accountable if there were an accident.

    12. Re:detroit vs SV? by HornWumpus · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Last I heard, Areal Atoms are built in Virginia. But I think the bastards took away their VINs. So you can't license the new ones for street use.

      They don't sell quite as many cars as Tesla, but they make up for by selling much better cars.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    13. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The amazingly widespread failure in automotive UI design, one that I've never understood, (some cars don't suffer from it, so it's clearly not a fundamentally intractable problem) is the tendency to force the user to putz around with 'intensity of heat/cold coming out of the vents' rather than just providing a thermostat.

      I don't want my car to be "Turn the little dial with waves on the left, strips of bacon on the right, all the way toward the bacon, then, once you start to feel heat coming out, turn the dial all the way from empty-outline-of-stylized-fan-blades to fully-shaded-stylized-fan-blades, until it starts to get too hot, then twist the fan dial down to empty outlines again and the bacon dial to midway between waves and bacon..." I want it to be the comfortable temperature of my choosing. Let hot, cold, and hysteresis be a machine's problem...

    14. Re:detroit vs SV? by onepoint · · Score: 1

      That's part of the entire issue. Who's to blame when 2 auto's go bump.
      While 2 compatible communication systems should not crash or even bumps, what do you do when you got a chunk of metal barreling down the road in the left lane and the driver falls asleep. While it's obvious to us that sleepy head should bear all the blame, the dispute will be fought in court.

      Not only that, I would think that this would force all the manufactures of auto's to open new companies to avoid the legal liability to the main brand. IE: ford auto drive group, licensed to use the designs...

      --
      if you see me, smile and say hello.
    15. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Same goes for the Toyota Avalon. WTF is up with having overly sensitive touch controls? Shit, what just changed? I have no idea?

    16. Re:detroit vs SV? by Lumpy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Fact: Detroit knows nothing at all about cars. They cant design them they cant build them. It's a dead town with a dying industry that does not realize that the dirt is being poured in the hole on top of them.

      They cant make anything decent anymore, and even the highest performance car made, the Corvette, is an utter joke to the rest of the world. It's built cheaply and does not impress.

      Why has this happened? Because the big 3 refuse to fire all of their management and start over with people that have real skills and engineering background and experience.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    17. Re:detroit vs SV? by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      This is a difficult problem, though. Do you want the thermostat to control the temperature of the car or the temperature of the air coming out of the vent blowing all over you? Will you automatically adjust things when the passenger, who is sitting in the shady side, closes their vent? Sometimes a simple "I'm too hot" or "I'm too cold" knob is the way to go.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    18. Re:detroit vs SV? by Zenin · · Score: 2

      There are plenty of cars now with thermostats. And they suck big, fat donkey balls.

      Give me old fashioned fan speed and air temp knobs any day.

      The issue is that the environment instead a car just isn't stable enough for a simple thermostat to be effective. The small size and large number of strong temperature influencing features (windows, hot seats, your body, external air every time a door or window opens) mean that maintaining a single temperature throughout is incredibly impractical. To do so would require a massive amount of over-engineering (far more insulation than a car typically receives and a massively larger heating/cooling system to counter the still large external temperature influences).

      And then why is 76 degrees or whatever "comfortable"? If I'm getting into a car after being under a bright sun and 100 degree heat, nothing short of 50 degree air blowing powerfully on me is going to be comfortable. Yet, that won't be the case three minutes later where I'll want it to ease up. That is...unless I'm doing a bunch of errands and so I'm frequently going back out into that 100 degree heat.

      Car environment systems have completely different problems to deal with and needs to satisfy than building environment systems.

      --
      My /. uid is better then your /. uid
    19. Re: detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "... easy to learn and use while driving ..."? I used on in a new Cadillac recently. It was totally non-intuitive, non- responsive, and non-ergonomic. It was the worst UI I have ever seen in any situation.

    20. Re:detroit vs SV? by gtall · · Score: 1

      And the use of GM's touchscreen controls brings out the homosexual slurs in you? Why?

    21. Re:detroit vs SV? by gtall · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That reluctance to change probably has to do with if you intend to sell several million of something, and you produce several million of that something, you'd better be damn sure you will sell several million of said something. Try taking those gambles with the toy systems that Google produces.

    22. Re:detroit vs SV? by epyT-R · · Score: 1

      Actually, that's what they suck at. They use touch panels and menu systems in place of tactile controls, forcing you to look at the panel instead of keeping your eyes on the road.

    23. Re:detroit vs SV? by Nite_Hawk · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I have to disagree. We bought a 2012 volt and other than the terrible central console interface absolutely love it. Of all of the cars we've owned over the years (A mix of domestic and imports) it's by far the best. I imagine if we owned a tesla model S we would love that even more, but our Volt cost us roughly what a nicely appointed Camry or similar vehicle would have cost. Chevy did a really good job.

    24. Re:detroit vs SV? by epyT-R · · Score: 1

      He has a point. Car interiors (and exteriors) are eyebleedingly effeminate these days..

    25. Re:detroit vs SV? by TWX · · Score: 1

      It's not quite that straightforward though. It's a reluctance to make a fundamental change even when the need has already smacked you between the eyes. The "Electronic Lean Burn" ignition system in one of my late seventies cars, along with the shoddy engine design that accompanied it is proof of that. Rather than fundamentally improve the engines to meet new emissions standards they hobbled them. They lowered the compression, they reduced the duration and lift on the cam, they added a pseudo-computerized feedback system to attempt to advance spark with more consideration than the old systems, but they didn't go so far as they should have. They should have introduced TBI fuel injection in the seventies and then EFI and SMFI in the early and mid eighties respectively, but they refused to let go of carburetors even after it was shown that fuel injection made more sense.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    26. Re:detroit vs SV? by PRMan · · Score: 1

      My 10-year-old Acura touchscreen was 10 times easier to use than my new Mercedes click-wheel. Also, most features now take multiple clicks where they were 1-2 clicks on the Acura So they are getting much worse.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
    27. Re:detroit vs SV? by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      I don't know maybe he was just looking to redefine the word.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    28. Re:detroit vs SV? by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Seriously, Google and others should also not act like they knew everything about everything.

    29. Re:detroit vs SV? by afidel · · Score: 1

      Try taking those gambles with the toy systems that Google produces.

      You mean like the billions of Android powered devices out there?

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    30. Re: detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. Billions of toys. Which people mostly have to use as phones. And play games on. And fool around on social media.

    31. Re:detroit vs SV? by profplump · · Score: 1

      A thermostat still provides a simple "I'm too hot" and "I'm too cold" control. It just means that variations in engine temperature don't require me to adjust the climate setting. Likewise cars could still provide multi-zone control, both with their own thermostats, to accommodate the scenario you note above.

    32. Re:detroit vs SV? by afidel · · Score: 1

      They cant make anything decent anymore, and even the highest performance car made, the Corvette, is an utter joke to the rest of the world.

      Really?

      $64,000 question - what's it like to drive?

      In a word: stunning. What the 'Vette team has managed to achieve with the C7 is nothing short of astonishing. You basically get three cars in one. It will comfortably cruise all day, mopping up bumps, sipping fuel and generally letting you go about your business without getting in the way. You'd be happy commuting in it. Equally it has the performance - and luggage space under the rear hatch - to handle long journeys with ease. But the really special bit is, without touching anything more than the chassis set up dial, you can take it to a track and have hours of fun, too. topgear

      and

      Forget all previous Corvette generations - here is the new one. It brings the best Corvette ever produced. A U.S. superstar. A piece of American identity. But most of all she is after 60 years of intense maturity and evolution of one of the most stunning sports car in the world. autozeitung via google translate

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    33. Re:detroit vs SV? by profplump · · Score: 2

      First, the problems you describe exist in build HVAC systems as well. When you enter air conditioning from someplace hot it would often be nice to have a couple of minutes of cold air blasted at you. And there are lots of building spaces with very high throughput both in terms of people and airflow, but we don't just throw our hands up and say "thermostats can never work here".

      Second, it sounds like you're asking for a smarter thermostat than the 20s technology in many homes. That's a perfectly reasonable request, but not nearly as exotic as you make it out to be. Even sub-$50 home thermostats do things like predictive pre-heating/pre-cooling to meet scheduled setpoints, control of multi-stage or multi-element systems (i.e. support for a single air handler with multiple heating or cooling elements, or a multi-speed air handler), and have the ability to override automated regulation with manual inputs when desired. It's all well within the realm of possibility for car, and has been for years, it's just poorly done which was the original complaint.

    34. Re:detroit vs SV? by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      A thermostat still provides a simple "I'm too hot" and "I'm too cold" control.

      You turn on the car after it has been sitting in the sun. It is hot as hell. You open all the windows, but mostly you just want ice cold air ASAP. So far, no problem, the thermostat will be pumping the car full of the coldest air it has. But like 5 minutes into your journey, the car is still far from the ideal temperature, but you really can't stand any more ice cold air blowing on you, so you turn the mixer so that the air temperature isn't so arctic. A thermostat would not do this - it would just keep pumping cold air until the car came to temperature. You could put a separate mix control thermostat in the ductwork, but now the controls are quickly approaching the complexity that you are bemoaning in the first place.

      Multi-zone would indeed help the passenger, but now you are talking multiple air handlers/fans/baffles, which is certainly going to cost more. I've seen this in luxury cars, but it's not something that I would spend money on.... I'd just tell my passenger to close the damn vent! :)

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    35. Re: detroit vs SV? by Redbehrend · · Score: 1

      I agree and many are still failing even after huge bailouts and having debt wiped. They really need to take their head out of their asses and listen to people. I don't think I can take any more excuses why people arnt buying their cars... The interiors of cars and UIs just seem to be getting worse. After all this saving them and merging of companies they still think they are experts and don't need to listen to anyone.

    36. Re:detroit vs SV? by BasilBrush · · Score: 2

      Losses due to collisions will be paid for by insurance companies just like now, the money coming from premiums paid ultimately be the car owners. Whether car owners pay directly to the insurance companies, or indirectly via higher prices for the cars is just a detail to be legislated around.

      That sounds worse than it is, given that autonomous vehicles good enough to be approved will have less collisions than ordinary cars.

    37. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sometimes a simple "I'm too hot" or "I'm too cold" knob is the way to go.

      Not in my experience. The problem with the simple "I'm too hot" or "I'm too cold" knob is that it's completely dependant on the coolant temperature - which is ice cold when you first start the engine and changes significantly as you drive through hot and cold zones during the day (because modern auto manufacturers undersize the radiator to save dollars per vehicle). Dual-zone air conditioning with temperature controls is not hard - the Honda CRV does it brilliantly so why can't everyone else?

    38. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Didn't they use Tesla patents on the volt? I can't find a citation but I swear I read that on slashdot

    39. Re:detroit vs SV? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      He has a point. Car interiors (and exteriors) are eyebleedingly effeminate these days..

      I get what's effeminate about a new beetle with a bud vase, but there's lots of cars that come off as being male. Most of them are German, of course.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    40. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Licensed copies are built in Virginia. Ariel builds them in England.

    41. Re:detroit vs SV? by rioki · · Score: 1

      Funny you say that, Mercedes has multi zone thermostats and fan controls with an auto setting. Getting this right is not that hard. They have been doing this since the 90s and it works quite fine even in their lower end cars. The only thing that boggles my mind is that they think you can have one side of the car at 18C and the other at 25C. I always put them at the same setting. Now that they are digital (HW knob & LED display) they could offer a sync option...

    42. Re:detroit vs SV? by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      I think it is a hard problem - I think you underestimate the effort that goes into such a system. But mostly I will point out that you picked a German luxury brand :)

      Cadillac has done this for ages, too. And someone else pointed out certain Hondas.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    43. Re: detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The use is inconsequential. I could just as well claim cars are being used to drive to the cinema and impress shallow girls while smartphones are being used to topple regimes in third world countries.
      The point is the risk investment in hardware that's difficult and expensive to recall.

      The only real excuse for the auto makers is that their liabilities are much higher (crappy cars can kill people), but then again so are their margins.

      The reality is that car manufacturing is steeped in a culture of low risk tolerance. This has historical reasons - one one hand car manufacturers have benefited from strong local government support because brands are seen as standard bearers for the local area, and factories tend to employ a lot of voters. On the other, despite the fact that the car market seems to be competitive, there's a lot of cooperation between manufacturers and an established tit-for-tat relationship between them - It's understood that no one will rock the boat.

      This is why they're so scared of Tesla and why Tesla is eating their lunch. The SV culture of risk taking and fast technological iteration is something traditional manufacturers simply can't understand.

      Posting anonymously since I used to work in the industry.

    44. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I doubt it.

      I wonder how many of these google people actually have any experience at all, let alone extensive experience in the automotive industry. Really, do they understand/have knowledge of the horrendous amount of regulations, the amounts of testing and evaluation that most auto companies do WHILE working on even just incremental updates to existing vehicle models let alone a major update and/or entirely new model?

      After having worked many years in the auto industry myself, I can't but help but believe that their is a SIGNIFICANT amount of truth to this:
      “We’d say, ‘Well you don’t really know that much. And we’re not going to put our name on a project like that because if something goes wrong, we have a lot more to lose.’”

      The no steering wheel/accel/brake is just a non-starter to begin with, I'm afraid. If that's what they want they need to go see golfcart makers as that's where that sort of thing belong for quite some time. Somewhere it can't do much damage when the things that will inevitably go wrong will and the lack of accepted controls and override would have minimal impact.

    45. Re:detroit vs SV? by chuckugly · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of cars now with thermostats. And they suck big, fat donkey balls.

      The one in my mid-range sedan works like a champ.

    46. Re:detroit vs SV? by lsatenstein · · Score: 1

      Really? Perhaps the folks from Detroit would perhaps learn something if they didn't act like they knew *EVERYTHING* about making cars. Have you seen the infotainment systems Detroit has stuck in their cars? Seriously? You guys should be listening to Google, Tesla, etc.

      Sinister me says...
      Self driving cars have no accidents, and only wear out. What is going to happen without fender benders, with no loss of life due to car-car or car-other fatalities? The spares business is super profitable. That is where the money is made. Major accidents mean new cars to be sold for the write-offs.

         

      --
      Leslie Satenstein Montreal Quebec Canada
    47. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're currently singing that tune, until you get the recall notice to go along with the rest of the 27M+ cars that have been recalled from GM.

    48. Re:detroit vs SV? by bitingduck · · Score: 1

      Many of those ugly systems are horrible to learn while driving. I have a Ford with Myford Touch and it's ok. I rent cars for work pretty regularly and Ford's Sync without the touch is a major pain. As are both the Dodge and GM systems. All I want to do is get into a rental car, pair my phone, and then start music and directions. Often the phone pairing is hidden in some obscure and non-intuitive menu path that you have to sort through with a screen that shows only one or two lines at a time.

      As for navigation, the automakers can't come close to keeping up with Apple or Google for development or system updates. The hardware has to be selected a year or more before the first cars of a model hit the street, and then it can't be changed, ever. And they try to make a system that they can use across multiple models and a few years at a time without a major update. You then have to pay a bunch to keep updating the maps. Smartphones get faster, and their software better, on a timescale of a year or two. Until recently I was driving a 1998 Saturn with a 2013 Nav and phone system (iphone). Now I'm driving a 2013 Car with a 2013 Nav system (still the iPhone). As the car ages, I can update regularly and easily. Cars are long overdue for just providing a touchscreen and steering wheel interface to the computer and software in your phone or tablet. The reason they don't is that the markup and subscription charges on those systems add up to a lot of profit for them.

    49. Re:detroit vs SV? by bitingduck · · Score: 1

      My 2013 model car (and not an expensive one--~$22.5K) has at least four ways to set just about everything, two of them without taking your hands off the wheel:
      1) touch controls on the wheel with screens to the left and right of center where gauges have always been in cars
      2) touch screen in the top center of the console between driver and passenger
      3) traditional buttons and knobs in the places that buttons and knobs have always been, low on the center of the console where driver and passenger can reach them
      4) voice command that actually works pretty well.

      I find that #1 is the most effort, and 2 through 4 are about the same amount of distraction as setting the controls on a '73 Dodge Dart.

    50. Re:detroit vs SV? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Second, it sounds like you're asking for a smarter thermostat than the 20s technology in many homes.

      ?

      What GP was asking for was perfectly, unambiguosly clear:

      Give me old fashioned fan speed and air temp knobs any day.

      Third, it sounds like you hear only what you want to hear.

  2. Ego by Cornwallis · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The entire Detroit car scene has never been about transportation. It is a sales vehicle (sorry) for egos. I think Google, much as I dislike them, are looking at cars as transportation. Too mundane for the Detroit crowd... but much more practical.

    1. Re:Ego by TonyJohn · · Score: 2

      I'm not sure what Google's business plan really is. Is it to make cars, or at least make money by supplying software for cars? Most of their other software they give away for free. Or do they want to free us up from driving so that we can make use of online services (and therefore adverts) instead? Or do they want all the data about where we go and when to be able to connect into the rest of our online lives and help advertise to us better? J

      --
      Owl tried to think of something wise to say, but couldn't.
    2. Re:Ego by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      I think your last two points hit the nail on the head. It's the same reasons they decided to make an operating system for phones. They want people to be using their online services all the time. If autonomous driving ever really starts working, to the point where we don't have to pay attention to the road, then they will have reached their goal. We'll be able to browse the web while our cars drive us to work. The may even have a device in the car like a tablet. They can sell us more apps, books, music, movies as well.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    3. Re: Ego by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think their plan in general is to solve a problem with some technical innovation and once the solution is popular they think how to make money with it.

    4. Re:Ego by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This is the future of cars anyway. The days in the US of Highway 666, the open road, and such have long since given way to having to struggle through traffic, find parking lots, high MPG numbers, a decent entertainment system while stuck in the parking lots, and safety when a texter hits your vehicle. Torque and horsepower were useful in the past, but other than to accelerate enough to make a gap, what is more needed are vehicles that are intended for city cores, not highways.

      Detroit needs to focus on this. Look at the Jetta TDI and its 65 MPG. Those things are extremely common on the road. They are slow, but the only time you need speed is to get into the correct lane before a SUV cuts you off. 60-0 braking matters far more these days than 0-60 acceleration.

      If Detroit doesn't... well, VW and other foreign firms will.

    5. Re:Ego by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      The same goal can be accomplished with better public transportation. If every city > 500k population had a well designed rail system, many more people would be able to use their phones while commuting. I wonder if Google went into that field, would they have less opposition? A "google subway" would also make a great network of tunnels for running fiber...

    6. Re:Ego by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      The problem with that is that you have to get your plans approved by 300 separate city councils. By going the other way and getting a car that works on all roads, they don't have to ask the cities for permission. Building a quality rail system is actually quite expensive, especially if the city was badly designed in the first place. Plus, there's a large number of people who don't want to take public transit even if it is good. The car is a sunk cost. The will own the car regardless of whether or not the public transit is available. The cost of public transit for the end user is cheaper than owning the car, but often times isn't cheaper than the incremental cost of driving the miles if you're already paying for the car. Most people will choose to take their own car even if it's just 5 minutes quicker than public transit, or if they have some other reason to justify it, like making it easier drop by the grocery store after work for a copy things they need.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    7. Re:Ego by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure what Google's business plan really is. Is it to make cars, or at least make money by supplying software for cars?

      they want in cars for the same reason they want in phones, on your wrist, on your desktop, on your thermostat, and so on. they want you using google services, and thereby looking at google ads.

      cars will be web / internet enabled. they want to control that experience. even if they aren't showing you ads in the car, they want to you using google maps (or whatever) in the car so you'll be more likely to use google maps, and other google services everywhere else. e.g., they make some money from licensing google apps for android, but it's really about getting / keeping people using google search.

    8. Re:Ego by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The same goal can be accomplished with better public transportation.

      That's the beauty of it. Once autonomous cars become the norm, you won't have to buy your own any more.
      It'll be much cheaper for everyone for there to be a number of those cars around so that you can just call one when you need it.

      Autonomous cars will become public transportation.

  3. Google should talk with Tesla by Firethorn · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As Google expands beyond Web search and seeks a foothold in the automotive market, the company's eagerness has begun to reek of arrogance to some in Detroit, who see danger as well as promise in Silicon Valley.

    Danger to their present business models, you mean.

    Personally, I think that Tesla would be an excellent company to talk with. Elon Musk speaks their language.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla is probably too small for what Google wants - however they may just be the right size.

    2. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm sure the buggy whip manufacturers thought Henry Ford was arrogant, too.

    3. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by SenatorPerry · · Score: 2

      As Google expands beyond Web search and seeks a foothold in the automotive market, the company's eagerness has begun to reek of arrogance to some in Detroit, who see danger as well as promise in Silicon Valley.

      Danger to their present business models, you mean.

      Personally, I think that Tesla would be an excellent company to talk with. Elon Musk speaks their language.

      I think the problem is that Google missed their opportunity to buy GM outright during the crash. My impression is that the only way to drag GM to the future is through eliminating the people that would say "Yahoo does well enough, why do we need a new search engine?". The second question to ask is whether the people that worked for GM for 25 years would be willing to work for Google-GM. My guess is that the answer is yes...

    4. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They weren't wrong, though.

    5. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      No, I think the car companies are right, the tech for fully autonomous has no been proven and is far from ready.

      It's all well and good having multiple HD feeds, lasers etc but if the recognition system can't tell the difference between a car and a big fish then it is not ready.

      3D recognition might be good enough to play games on Xbox but it's not good enough to maneuver cars, trucks etc.

      Go watch the videos and you'll see how clunky the recognition systems are.(note the difference between the pre-programmed maps and what is being recognised)
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      The mileage that google says the cars have done - it has said that these miles were on quiet extensively digitized areas and it now needs to test the cars on more difficult busy roads. IE it has barely started.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    6. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 2

      It is not arrogance if you can do it. Ford was arrogant in the same way that he was successful, he had every right to be. Buggy Whip Makers were arrogant, the people looking for government protections for their failing industries are arrogant. They think they have a RIGHT to entrenched markets when new technology appears.

      But rather than learning from history, we are doomed to repeat it.

      My guess, Tesla will work with Google, as will companies like Elio. And taxi drivers will be pissed and demand protection ....

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    7. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by shadowrat · · Score: 1

      No, I think the car companies are right, the tech for fully autonomous has no been proven and is far from ready.

      It's all well and good having multiple HD feeds, lasers etc but if the recognition system can't tell the difference between a car and a big fish then it is not ready.

      3D recognition might be good enough to play games on Xbox but it's not good enough to maneuver cars, trucks etc.

      I've been wondering why we are jumping right to autonomous cars and not implementing autonomous trains on a large scale instead. It seems like an far simpler problem set. Your navigation options are pretty limited. the area that could contain obstacles is pretty limited. There have been some serious accidents caused by negligent locomotive operators. Why are we going right for the hardest level of autonomous navigation in the most chaotic environment?

      After trains, why are we not working to automate tractor trailer trucks? again, they don't operate on the entire road system so it's probably a simpler problem to solve. I suppose the answer is simply that truck drivers would lose their jobs. (but clearly, they are today's blacksmiths. 20 years from now, truck drivers are only going to be seen at ren-faires)

    8. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by jellomizer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I expect it is an issue of conflicting arrogance from Google and Detroit.
      Tech companies do things fast, if it doesn't work, well it was worth a shot now for the next project.
      Car companies need to make sure the car lasts for years, a ton a regulations are on them to make sure the car runs and is safe. Every glitch can mean you have to go to a congressional hearing.
      Recalls cost a lot of money and it isn't just a software patch. In general things in Detroit are much harder then Google probably expects.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    9. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by HornWumpus · · Score: 3, Informative

      GMs pension liabilities are huge. The company as currently constructed is, more or less, a non-profit structured to pay pensions.

      If you had Google type capital and wanted to enter the car market you would be insane to buy GM. Start from scratch, leave the deadwood behind. Honda B-engine VTEC should be out of patent protection. Just copy it (with racy parts) and bolt it up mid engine, modern trans and carbon fiber body. Woot. You won't be the first to found a company on a straight copy of Honda engine (Hyundai), but you could be the first to do it right.

      Quick Google: GM has about 114 billion in unfunded pension liabilities (104 billion white collar, 10 billion union which is relatively well funded). http://online.wsj.com/news/art...

      GM has a market cap of 58.73 billion. A number which no-doubt reflects the future expenses (not so much, it reflects recent performance, velocity, advertising to investors etc).

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    10. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by smaddox · · Score: 1

      That's a valid point. However, there's nothing stopping Detroit companies from having small experimental releases. They're just more interested in marketing and maintaining their buyer base than in improving technology.

    11. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Shadow99_1 · · Score: 1

      The reason it's not trains (or other forms of rail) is for two reasons:
      1. Need to buy huge tracks of land in roughly straight lines.
      2. Up front cost to actually build a rail system.

      America is horribly bad when it comes to modern rail, because it's been effectively dead for decades outside of a handful of Amtrak commercial runs and industrial tracks. So any effort to really make use of rail is going to need to build new rail. Even short runs of light rail track these days costs billions and can take decades to build. You also have some really big players like GE which build most of the locomotive engines in use today and a single locomotive engine costs millions of dollars to build. In comparison one self-driving car only costs hundreds of thousands at most.

      --
      we are all invisible unless we choose otherwise
    12. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      GMs pension liabilities are huge. The company as currently constructed is, more or less, a non-profit structured to pay pensions.

      Quick Google: GM has about 114 billion in unfunded pension liabilities (104 billion white collar, 10 billion union which is relatively well funded). http://online.wsj.com/news/art...

      GM has a market cap of 58.73 billion. A number which no-doubt reflects the future expenses (not so much, it reflects recent performance, velocity, advertising to investors etc).

      Inflation alone will make a $60B marketcap worth $120B in less than the 20 years when those amounts are due, but let's put this into simpler terms. For comparison, how do you stack up against that metric? Is your personal pension liability to yourself a million? Two million? Do you have that much in net worth today?

      I know I don't have enough money today to fund the rest of my hoped for life without further earnings. If you are between 30 and 60, you are also in the middle age of your life, unless you plan on living past 90. Why would you expect a company to be able to pay for future debts out of current earnings? That's the entire point of having debts - to pay them off over time.

      The US process of letting certain entities shed certain debts while locking others (student loans in particular) is a completely different issue.

    13. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason it's not trains (or other forms of rail) is for two reasons:
      1. Need to buy huge tracks of land in roughly straight lines.
      2. Up front cost to actually build a rail system.

      America is horribly bad when it comes to modern rail, because it's been effectively dead for decades outside of a handful of Amtrak commercial runs and industrial tracks. So any effort to really make use of rail is going to need to build new rail. Even short runs of light rail track these days costs billions and can take decades to build. You also have some really big players like GE which build most of the locomotive engines in use today and a single locomotive engine costs millions of dollars to build. In comparison one self-driving car only costs hundreds of thousands at most.

      The US is bad at rail, or more specifically mass transit, because of entrenched interests, not real costs. Otherwise we'd just make certain roads one way and run additional buses on them during peak times. Making them one way mostly eliminates stop and go traffic and lets you put doors on both sides (so buses can run on both sides). You can have local buses do their stop every block thing and express buses stop every 10 (or whatever multiples works in your community).

      Anything municipal passenger rail can eventually do in ten years for ten billion, buses can proportionately do in ten days for ten million. I say this as a fan of the NYC subway and Amtrack NE corridor rider. Heavy freight rail is another matter and I'd support a few hundred billion for that, along with some big steel/aluminum wiring for a national electrical grid while the crew is out there.

    14. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Unlike me, GM is at, more or less, steady state.

      They already have a pipeline full of retired workers as well as workers still owed retirement. Many of the youngest contingent have, more or less, standard 401Ks.

      Also note: Pension liabilities already include a present value calculation. Expected inflation is baked in and doesn't really help in any case. Cost of living etc.

      Company growth would actually help. Not much chance of that.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    15. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by afidel · · Score: 2

      You seem to be ignoring the fact that Google has already done well over 1m miles of real world testing with their system without any problems caused by their recognition.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    16. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is not arrogance if you can do it.

      Yes it is. Whether you are arrogant is unrelated to whether you are right.

    17. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 2

      Vancouver's train for public transport is fully automated.

    18. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by BasilBrush · · Score: 0

      Personally, I think that Tesla would be an excellent company to talk with. Elon Musk speaks their language.

      They already have had talks. And Musk thinks Google's approach is too expensive. Which is quite damning considering the prices of Tesla's existing cars.

    19. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the idea would be self driving freight trains that run on the existing tracks. No need to build new tracks for them, other than some test tracks for Google. There are plenty of freight rail traffic in the US to automate.

    20. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Huh, never heard that. Any citation on Musk saying that?

      Tesla's existing cars are actually reasonably priced for their luxury/performance envelope.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    21. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Mal-2 · · Score: 1

      Google might want to look toward Mazda then instead. They always seem to be a little bit cash-strapped, and their Skyactiv-G engines really are poised to change the game. About the only thing wrong with them is their need for free-flowing exhaust systems, which makes them harder to fit into smaller engine bays. (Not impossible, merely harder.)

      --
      How is the Riemann zeta function like Trump rallies? Both have an endless number of trivial zeros.
    22. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      You seem to have missed the last line of my post.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    23. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by MrL0G1C · · Score: 1

      without any problems

      Where did you hear this? The testers had to take control of the car on many occasions.

      --
      Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
    24. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by BasilBrush · · Score: 1

      http://www.teslamotors.com/it_...

      I agree, they are not expensive for what they are. But they are far from mass market so far.

    25. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There were plenty of folks lined up to buy GM. In every single case the government sided with the Unions, who told the buyers "The only way you can have this plant, or that plant, is if you agree to use Union Labor.

      Flint Michigan has many large, modern manufacturing plants that sit idle - while the work force there suffers an extremely high unemployment rate, particularly amongst blacks, women, young people, and the middle class - because the government stepped in and stopped the sale of those factories - favoring the Unions, the largest contributor to the Democratic Party.

      In Michigan, the Unions, the Democrats, and the Mafia are indistinguishable from one another. That's why I am posting as coward.

      Of course the official story is that millions of jobs (and the whole industry was saved). The truth is that a few rich fat cat Union bosses were saved, along with their contributions to the Democrats. The workers, Detroit, Flint, and much of Southeast Michigan were sacrificed for this. The end result a few years later is that one of the most blue states now has a Republican Governor, Right to work laws have been put into place, Detroit is bankrupt, and the only Auto company that's left standing financially is Ford, who politely told the Obama Administration to f*** off.

      So one wonders why left wing Google, coming from the looney left coast, would not be welcome in Detroit? Surely you jest. Michigan has been bled dry by the new Democratic party. We don't want them here anymore.

      Those of you who are so smart about all these things and don't live here, don't see it every day... please go away. We won't meddle in your town if you quit destroying ours.

    26. Re:Google should talk with Tesla by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Car companies need to make sure the car lasts for years

      Erm... kind of. They make sure their cars are built for years of large maintenance fees.

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  4. Detroit calls Google arrogant? by disposable60 · · Score: 5, Informative

    This is the Detroit that didn't take Japanese brands seriously until it almost killed them.
    The Detroit that needed 30+ years to bring a small, efficient, powerful engine to the US.because they knew best what American wanted (big V8s for drag racing).
    The Detroit that hides the fact that Mitsubishi (Chrysler), Toyota (GM) and Mazda (Ford) built their small cars for 20-some years.
    But Google is arrogant.
    Right.

    --
    You're looking for quotes? See my journal.
    1. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Shatrat · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Is this a republicans vs democrats thread in disguise? Just because one side of the discussion is arrogant doesn't mean the other is not. Google has a long history of failed projects because they're not afraid to over promise and blindly charge into a project. I think the ignition recall is a good illustration that the automotive industry doesn't have that luxury. My Google TV appliance, which is now an abandoned project, isn't going to kill me. An abandoned self driving car project might, even if it's not my car.

      --
      09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0
    2. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Completely agree. The automotive industry is completely unwilling to advance or change, yet they want the American taxpayer to bail them out when they run into trouble financially.

    3. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Drethon · · Score: 2

      Anything that costs the share holders their daily profit is highly "arrogant".

    4. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 5, Interesting

      This is the Detroit that didn't take Japanese brands seriously until it almost killed them.
      The Detroit that needed 30+ years to bring a small, efficient, powerful engine to the US.because they knew best what American wanted (big V8s for drag racing).
      The Detroit that hides the fact that Mitsubishi (Chrysler), Toyota (GM) and Mazda (Ford) built their small cars for 20-some years.
      But Google is arrogant.
      Right.

      Actually, Google is arrogant. The company culture deliberately and intentionally breeds a brand of arrogance, always encouraging its people to look for revolutionary rather than incremental changes, to bring 10X or 100X improvements, and works to convince them that they can succeed. Everyone is fully cognizant of the fact that if you swing for the fences you'll miss most of the time, but they figure that's okay because the successes will make up for it. And, of course, the Google-X crew is the elite of Google, people who have previously had fantastic success, built products used on a daily basis by hundreds of millions of people. So have Detroit automakers, of course, but they've built up slowly over the course of a century, while Google is still shy of its 17th birthday.

      For that matter, although we've talked about it enough for the last two or three years to make it seem less insane, there's a good argument that even attempting to solve a problem as hard as a fully automated car requires tremendous arrogance. Except that they actually seem to be succeeding, which I guess changes it from arrogance to confidence.

      So, I'd say it's kind of a given that when the old-breed, "we've been doing this for generations" brand of arrogance meets the upstart "we've literally changed the world in a little over a decade" brand of arrogance, sparks are going to fly. And the fact that the upstarts have working technology to do what the old breed still isn't sure is possible isn't going to help one bit.

      From a cultural perspective, Tesla seems like a much easier fit. That said, if Google and Detroit can find a way to work together, the disparity of backgrounds and cultures should actually make the results much better. But that's a big, big "if".

      (Disclaimer: I work for Google, but on phones, not cars, and I definitely don't speak for Google.)

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    5. Re: Detroit calls Google arrogant? by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      which they do with barely a whimper and certainly without action - so Detroit is wise to assume they will again, continue producing crappy cars, and give themselves fat bonuses.

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
    6. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by wiggles · · Score: 1

      >Is this a republicans vs democrats thread in disguise?

      Isn't every thread on Slashdot a political one these days? I swear, sometimes I think this place has become a cesspool of political mudslinging. I miss the old days before politics took over.

    7. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Actually, Google is arrogant.

      Well, I've seen a little evidence of that here and there, but nothing major. What's yours?

      The company culture deliberately and intentionally breeds a brand of arrogance

      You mean like practically every company ever, whose mantra is "we can do it better than the next guy so you should give us your money"?

      always encouraging its people to look for revolutionary rather than incremental changes

      Holy shit, not progress. That would be terribly forward-thinking. We must remain in the past!

      to bring 10X or 100X improvements

      Wow. I mean, when you said progress, I had no idea you meant orders of magnitude of improvement. That would be really, really terrible.

      and works to convince them that they can succeed

      ...when what they should be doing is setting them up for failure because that would be less arrogant.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    8. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Japanese didn't almost kill them, their over-reliance on SUVs as well as their overproduction is what almost killed them. They'd produce so many vehicles that they'd have to deep discount them in order to clear inventory.

      The Japanese brands were a bit of a nudge towards extinction, but with their poor planning practices it would have happened on its own.

      In this case, I think that it's unrealistic for a bunch of outsiders to presume to know how long it's going to take. If you look at the prototype it's got some serious issues. For example, no manual controls. Planes have had autopilot systems capable of doing basically everything for years, but they still have manual controls. In fact there's a system for delivering things to the ISS that's almost completely automatic, and they still have the ability to override, even though it can do basically everything on its own.

      Just look at what the Hindenburg disaster did to the airship industry. A few self driving cars crash or have failures and it could well set the industry back many years. This isn't like a web app that crashes, in this case if things aren't perfect people can easily die.

    9. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Arrogant pacifist whiner !
      Oooops, sorry, you are **correct**.

    10. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by phantomfive · · Score: 2

      Reading the article, I don't think it's a matter of arrogance, it's a matter of differing levels of safety concerns.

      Remember that the CEO of GM just had to appear before congress and have a recall over a small little ignition switches that caused 31 crashes over a decade. They have been on the losing side of lawsuits, and want to be careful.

      Google doesn't really worry about all that......they figure as long as it's safer than a human driving, then they are happy. That's something like 400,000 deaths in a decade. So there's several orders of magnitude difference in what these groups are thinking in terms of safety. That seems to be the main problem.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    11. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by i+kan+reed · · Score: 1

      I don't think you need to go digging for hidden motivations to explain American antipathy towards our corporate "friends"

    12. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When was that? I remember a lot of politial mudslinging on here in 1999.

    13. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      A lot of people posting here are not from the US and don't give a shit about either of your parties. If you think every thread is about your politics, maybe it's because YOU are obsessed with politics. Look outside! Life is beautiful and full of wonder!

    14. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Japanese didn't almost kill them, their over-reliance on SUVs as well as their overproduction is what almost killed them.

      How old are you? Back during the Reagan bailout years, no one had every heard the term "SUV". Detroit's products were shit compared to the Japanese brands.

      Damn know-it-all young punks these days...

    15. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by wiggles · · Score: 4, Funny

      > Look outside! Life is beautiful and full of wonder!

      Typical Euro-socialist garbage. :)

    16. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Wansu · · Score: 1

      This is the Detroit that didn't take Japanese brands seriously until it almost killed them.
      And then they blamed the unions.

      The Detroit that needed 30+ years to bring a small, efficient, powerful engine to the US.because they knew best what American wanted (big V8s for drag racing).
      And in the meanwhile, put whimpy, underpowered straight 6s into full size "body by Fisher" cars and trucks and wondered why their sales fell off a cliff.

      The Detroit that hides the fact that Mitsubishi (Chrysler), Toyota (GM) and Mazda (Ford) built their small cars for 20-some years.
      The '89 Ford Fiesta was one of the best Mazdas on the road.

      I wouldn't trust Detroit to build an autonomous car.

      --
      Wansu, th' chinese sailor
    17. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      This is the Detroit that didn't take Japanese brands seriously until it almost killed them. The Detroit that needed 30+ years to bring a small, efficient, powerful engine to the US.because they knew best what American wanted (big V8s for drag racing). The Detroit that hides the fact that Mitsubishi (Chrysler), Toyota (GM) and Mazda (Ford) built their small cars for 20-some years. But Google is arrogant. Right.

      While Detroit has a long history of missing trends and stupid decisions, I think this may be as much a case of very different POVs and culture crash.

      Detroit, coming from a manufacturing POV, is probably asking themselves:

      1. What liabilities am I assuming if I do this? How many, and how expensive, lawsuits will result from this?

      2. How do I sustain this in terms of support and parts over the life of a vehicle?

      3. What will it cost?

      Google is coming from a technology POV:

      1. We can do all this cool stuff, don't worry if it's all beta we can iron out the bugs as we go.

      2. If it doesn't catch on we can kill it and move on.

      3. Don't worry about the support infrastructure, that will eventually come about.

      As long as each has a different set of needs, wants and POV discussions will be difficult at best.

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    18. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by userw014 · · Score: 1

      This might be urban vs. exurban.

      Google's existing autonomous prototype is limited to 25mph. If Google could make a production vehicle that'd go as fast as 35mph, that'd satisfy my daily commute (90% of my driving) and shopping (another 9% for a total of 99% of my driving.)

      But that assumes I'd still own the car and not use it most of the time. (I.e.: park it at home or at work 23:15 hours per. day.)

      I could save money by using public transportation. I'm urban. However, most of the population of SE Lower Michigan (where I and I presume "Detroit"s designer/engineers live) is exurban, driving from one suburb (or exurb) to another for their jobs.

    19. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They were doing fine in the '90s. Damn punk geezers, the problems that led them to the brink may have started before, but it was their decisions during the '90s that were primarily to blame for the near collapse of the industry later on.

    20. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Japanese brands were a bit of a nudge towards extinction, but with their poor planning practices it would have happened on its own.

      Maybe this is an age thing, but as a mid-40s American I have been trained for decades by experience, into thinking of American cars as being garbage. What trained me to think this? Japanese cars.

      I'm not sure it's even true anymore (my wife has less-than-10-year-old American car, and it's ok, though still not as good as a cheap Japanese car), but the prejudice is now well-ingrained.

      If it weren't for Honda's and Toyota's excellent cheap cars (I just fucking love the Civic and Corolla), I might think of American cars and normal/average. Japan raised the bar. If America has caught up, I think that's great, but let's not pretend that the past didn't really happen.

    21. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by RobinH · · Score: 1

      For that matter, although we've talked about it enough for the last two or three years to make it seem less insane, there's a good argument that even attempting to solve a problem as hard as a fully automated car requires tremendous arrogance. Except that they actually seem to be succeeding, which I guess changes it from arrogance to confidence.

      I don't think there's any evidence that Google has actually "succeeded" in coming up with a car that's marketable to the general population. It's easy to say you're succeeding when you've solved 90% of the problems, but if the 10% remaining include nearly insurmountable obstacles without some more technological breakthroughs, then I don't think we can call it success. It won't be success until regular people are "driving" them.

      --
      "I have never let my schooling interfere with my education." - Mark Twain
    22. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      Google has a long history of failed projects because they're not afraid to over promise and blindly charge into a project.

      Google also has a long history of successful projects for the same reasons.

    23. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1
      --
      That is all.
    24. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by NetNed · · Score: 1

      Who exactly didn't know this? It was common knowledge that Mazda was 4 cylinder building engines for Ford everywhere in Michigan. Heck they had a plant in Michigan that was a Mazda plant that built only Ford engines for a while. The Numi plant in California was a Toyota/GM(Pontiac) plant till Pontiac ceased to be and that was no secret. I don't recall any of that being "hidden" or misrepresented in any way. It's been out there for a while. If you as a consumer didn't pick up on it or missed it, then that's your deal. You also have it pretty wrong in regards to who "built" the cars. Components of the cars were done by other manufacturers, but final assembly was done by the actual maker of the cars unless you are talking about europe. In the state, even in the Numi plant, Toyota workers built the Toyota and Pontiac workers built the Pontiac.


      I think, considering they have been making cars for a LONG time, automakers have all the reason in the world to blow off google. It would be like patient telling a Doctor what technique he should use for an operation.

    25. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

      So, I'd say it's kind of a given that when the old-breed, "we've been doing this for generations" brand of arrogance meets the upstart "we've literally changed the world in a little over a decade" brand of arrogance, sparks are going to fly. And the fact that the upstarts have working technology to do what the old breed still isn't sure is possible isn't going to help one bit.

      Working technology? Well, sort of.

      I'd like to see how comfortable these cars are to operate as random folks seeing the LiDAR unit on top of the car swerve suddenly towards the car to see how it responds. Hell, I'd do it once or twice to see if I could make it flinch and I'm a pretty mild guy in his 50's. I'd love to see what a few teenagers could do with your "smart" car. And I figure replacing a broken LiDAR unit would be a lot more expensive than replacing a couple of slashed tires. Yes, I can see many scenarios where you might be tossed out of autonomous mode quite frequently or incur higher costs, making this "feature" not particularly cost effective.

      Think about Google Glass and think how well some early adopter with an automated chauffeur (one that might be slowing down traffic) would fare - that's all I'm saying.

      --
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    26. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Mitsubishi didn't build all of Chrysler's small cars, just the good ones.

      There were a few exceptions, the Shelby turbo Colt for example. Too bad they almost all died, engine computer blows when the O2 sensor goes. Fucking mopars.

      I'm pretty sure that GM and Ford built their own small junk too. I would touch ether.

      GM got small cars from much farther afield then that, Korea, Germany, Australia and IIRC France (spit). I'm sure I've forgotten someplace. We're luck they never re-badged a Trabant, guess the EPA is good for something. You know they would have, if they could have.

      Didn't ford move Maverick (you remember, the upsized Pinto) production to Argentina, where the fools are actually proud of the POS.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    27. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1

      Wait, when did stopping work on old projects become arrogant?

      Jesus. If that's now arrogance then I must be far more arrogant than I ever realised, as I've worked on many projects over the years and presently work on just one or two ...

    28. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, but to date, none of googles successes will kill me if they don't work correctly.

    29. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the 80's, Detroit cars were shit...they survived into the 90's by improving their product so that the Japanese would not destroy them...

    30. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Krishnoid · · Score: 1

      And I figure replacing a broken LiDAR unit would be a lot more expensive than replacing a couple of slashed tires.

      Not knowing anything about LiDAR, my first assumption was that it was pretty much like any mass-produced electronic system -- a few printed circuit boards and a power supply, and with enough sensors and emitters on it, may not even need any moving parts. Or is that wrong?

    31. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by smaddox · · Score: 1

      [citation needed]

      Unless they are going 25 mph on all of the highways they drive on, you are clearly misinformed.

    32. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by userw014 · · Score: 1

      I was trying to express the idea that an urban-only vehicle that only needs to go 5-10 miles per. trip might not need to achieve highway speeds. Detroit might not be willing to build and market a car that satisfies 95% of people's needs - and that could make them vulnerable to someone (like Google) who would - and might consider Google arrogant for contemplating such an idea.

    33. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      They're both arrogant, detroit has just had more experience with it than silicon valley.

    34. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Clueless pot calls a**hole kettle black

    35. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nah, just a regular cesspool.

    36. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Well, I've seen a little deliberately and intentionally bred arrogance

      Wow, I can misquote too. Google claims to have a great idea, asks automakers to bankroll it and take all risk. What's the worst that could happen? If it fails, Google will update the code. The automakers will be liable for deaths. I wonder why they have different perceptions, he rhetorically asked.

      In other news, I think I've found a great new organic fertilizer made from salt water! It only works in high concentrations though, so be sure to spray it on your entire farm all at once. What's the worse that could happen?

    37. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Dins · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure it's even true anymore (my wife has less-than-10-year-old American car, and it's ok, though still not as good as a cheap Japanese car), but the prejudice is now well-ingrained.

      It apparently is still true. My brother runs an auto repair shop and he says he barely sees Hondas or Toyotas at all compared to American cars - they just don't break down - and he works in a decent sized city, so it's not just that there are no foreign cars there. And of the American cars he does work on, he says he sees more Chrysler products than any others.

    38. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Rob+Bos · · Score: 1

      What bloody slashdot were you reading in 1999?

    39. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      encouraging its people to look for revolutionary rather than incremental changes, to bring 10X or 100X improvements... built products used on a daily basis by hundreds of millions of people... "we've literally changed the world in a little over a decade"

      I find that an astounding set of points. When I think of Google, I have trouble thinking of anything both successful (used by hundreds of millions) and revolutionary. Everything that achieved widespread acceptance either was acquired, or was a fairly minor improvement over an existing solution.

      Not that there are not interesting projects that Google does. Not that the back end of Google's infrastructure is not impressive. But nothing customer-facing.

      For the record, I'm thinking of the major Google products as

      • YouTube(acquired)
      • Search (improvement over Yahoo!)
      • Android (competitor with iOS, maybe better, maybe not, but not revolutionary.)
      • GMail (fairly standard antispam measures, just applied to a large scale of incoming data; increased mailbox size)

      Everything else seems to be a research project (Glass, Dart) or a failure (Wave, Go). Note, I may have Dart and Go backwards.

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    40. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Rich0 · · Score: 2

      While I think it makes an interesting ethical debate, I find it rather sickening that our legal system would probably come down on the side of having a pile of 40k bodies each year vs just automating things at the risk of a few people ending up dead.

      It is just the trolley problem in another guise, except instead of one person on one track and 10 on the other, it is probably a few on one track and 40k on the other. Heaven help the guy who wants to flip the switch.

    41. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      I'd like to see how comfortable these cars are to operate as random folks seeing the LiDAR unit on top of the car swerve suddenly towards the car to see how it responds.

      I'm sure it edges safely away and slows, just what any cautious driver would do. Actually a human driver may overreact, but the computer won't, since it has vastly higher reaction speeds and more precise measurements, so it will respond faster, but in control. Also, it always knows exactly what is on the other side of it, so it knows how far it can safely move aside.

      And I figure replacing a broken LiDAR unit would be a lot more expensive than replacing a couple of slashed tires.

      At present the LIDAR units are expensive. Not because there's anything about them inherently expensive, though, but because they're low-volume items normally only sold to militaries. When production is scaled up, they won't be particularly expensive. Plus, the most expensive parts are the electronics which are inside the car, not the spinning emitter on top.

      I can see many scenarios where you might be tossed out of autonomous mode quite frequently or incur higher costs, making this "feature" not particularly cost effective.

      Google is not planning to have a non-autonomous mode, and has committed to assuming liability for damages caused should the car malfunction.

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    42. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      Google doesn't really worry about all that......they figure as long as it's safer than a human driving, then they are happy.

      I don't think that's accurate, since Google has said they believe the maker of an automated vehicle control system should be liable for any damages caused by its malfunctions. I think they do have quite a bit of confidence in their technology, though, and in the ability of the data stream it generates to clarify fault and liability.

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    43. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In the case of Ford, Ford saved Mazda, not the other way around.

      Mazda and Ford still build each others cars globally. Ford builds Mazda's pickup in South Africa, and Mazda builds Ford's pickup in Thailand. Those aren't "small cars." Until recently Ford built the Mazda 6 in North America (maybe a little murky that particular relationship).

      Let's look at engineering, though. That same pickup comes from Australia. The Fiesta is built by Ford in Europe and North America, Changan-Mazda in China, and Ford in the rest of Asia. Mazda did the early platform engineering, Ford Europe did the upper body.

      I choose Ford in this example because it wasn't an arms-length relationship like Toyota/GM and Mitsubishi/Chrysler. For a long time, Mazda was a part of Ford (via huge stock ownership).

    44. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      Actually, Google is arrogant.

      Well, I've seen a little evidence of that here and there, but nothing major. What's yours?

      A few years of close-up observation as an employee of Google.

      The company culture deliberately and intentionally breeds a brand of arrogance

      You mean like practically every company ever, whose mantra is "we can do it better than the next guy so you should give us your money"?

      No, it's different. At least it's different from any place I've seen in 25+ years in the industry, which included lots of consulting, during which I saw a lot more corporate cultures than most who don't take the consulting route.

      always encouraging its people to look for revolutionary rather than incremental changes

      Holy shit, not progress. That would be terribly forward-thinking. We must remain in the past!

      Indeed. Which doesn't mean the progress-seeking attitude is common.

      to bring 10X or 100X improvements

      Wow. I mean, when you said progress, I had no idea you meant orders of magnitude of improvement. That would be really, really terrible.

      Who said I thought it was terrible? I think it's fantastic.

      and works to convince them that they can succeed

      ...when what they should be doing is setting them up for failure because that would be less arrogant.

      I have a feeling you seriously misunderstood my post. That may have been my fault.

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    45. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      Well, all of the cars tooling around Mountain View without anyone driving are pretty good evidence.

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    46. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      Well, for one, search was such a massive improvement over Yahoo (hand-curated bookmark lists) and other search engines like Lycos and Altavista that it immediately and totally buried all of its competition.

      Rather than addressing the others on a point by point basis, let me just ask if you can name another company that went from nothing to hundreds of millions of daily users in little more than a decade. Hundreds of millions of daily users in multiple product spaces. You don't do that through small, incremental improvements over what came before.

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    47. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      I don't think that's accurate, since Google has said they believe the maker of an automated vehicle control system should be liable for any damages caused by its malfunctions.

      See, that's another example of Google not understanding the risks.......as the article points out, it's not Google who gets to decide who is liable, it's the judge and jury.

      --
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    48. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      let me just ask if you can name another company that went from nothing to hundreds of millions of daily users in little more than a decade.

      Well, first, I'd contend that its an unfair challenge. Absolute numbers ignores population growth. And "daily users" as well as rapid spread both ignore the advantages that software have in unit cost and usage patterns. But even given that, it's kinda trivial to find enough companies that meet your challenge that I have to cull them to get around Slashdot's lameness filter.

      • What's App
      • Twitter
      • Instagram
      • Snapchat
      • Facebook
      • Mozilla
      • Opera

      Break included for lameness filter.

      • Macromedia
      • Microsoft
      • Dell
      • Apple
      • Amazon

      Break included for lameness filter.

      • Wikipedia
      • Reddit
      • Skype

      And that's just new companies. If we count what happens once a company decides to start a new division or pivot to a new space... well..

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    49. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's why I rarely bother to visit anymore much less log in.

    50. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ford: this one I know for a fact, the probe e.g. was a Ford design and re-badged under Mazda. Mazda had very few of their own vehicle designs at the time and were basically a subsidiary of Ford, who owned a large percentage of Mazda. As a matter of fact the probe and the mazda variant were made at the same plant in Flat Rock.

      GM/Toyota: that was a very long time ago, as I assume you mean the shitty little 4banger nova that they had in the late 80s/90s?

      Chrysler: no idea. Stick to Jeeps myself, preferably with the large muscle v8.

      pension: as I recall they started pushing out pensions for salaried employees in the 80s, and by the time that I was out for my first job pensions for salaried workers were long since history, so it was 401k or FOAD. Only the unskilled labor and skilled trades(i.e. union) still had those unsupportable pensions, well along with every fucking gubbermint employee who have even more cushy pension plans.

    51. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Wootery · · Score: 1
    52. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by NetNed · · Score: 1

      Maverick was around before the pinto and was actually quite a good running car and cheap to maintain. Once the car was made in BRAZIL, no models of it were sold in the US.

    53. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Chatterton · · Score: 1

      I have seen an article saying that the current LiDAR they use cost around 70.000$ and they hope that the mass production of vehicles will reduce its price.

    54. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Okay, so having not bothered to answer why Google's search was less revolutionary than you think, I still took the time to write a fairly long and woefully incomplete list of other companies that meet your criteria. And I didn't get a response.

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    55. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      The point is that it's clearly not the driver (because there isn't one), which means it's between the maker of the vehicle and whoever else is involved when the judge and jury allocates liability. Not to mention the fact that if Google says "we'll pay" it will never get to court because everyone else involved will say "Okay". It only goes to court when the parties are all arguing they're NOT liable. Google has said up front that if the facts say the self-driving car caused the accident, then Google will pay rather than fight.

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    56. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      I haven't been on line. I'm still connected only with my phone. https://plus.google.com/111463...

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    57. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Ah, sorry. Enjoy your vacation.

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    58. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the fact that if Google says "we'll pay" it will never get to court because everyone else involved will say "Okay".

      GLWT

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    59. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the fact that if Google says "we'll pay" it will never get to court because everyone else involved will say "Okay".

      GLWT

      ?

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    60. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      If you don't know what it means, you can find out here. Urban Dictionary has a good collection of such things.

      --
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    61. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      I knew what the initialism means. What did you mean by it?

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    62. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      I meant, just because Google promises to pay doesn't mean the litigants will be happy with that. There are so many ways that can go wrong

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    63. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by swillden · · Score: 1

      I meant, just because Google promises to pay doesn't mean the litigants will be happy with that. There are so many ways that can go wrong

      They'll want to pay?

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    64. Re:Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are they still building cars in Detroit? I thought all the car building had been moved to Mexico? No?

  5. It's the Tucker Torpedo all over again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I'm only familiar with the dramatized version that was shown in the movie. But Preston Tucker had put in a lot of innovative stuff into his Torpedo cars and the Big 3 in Detroit practically drove him out of business because it was cheaper than trying to catch up. So much that some of his innovations from 1948 took many years, even decades, to become common in cars.

    I guess it could also be said they were speaking a different language back then.

    I'm guessing Google and Detroit could have disagreed on anything from car features to the actual business model on how they would sell them or, possibly, how they would split the profits. Everyone got along in the first meeting when they didn't talk about that; but then they did and it wasn't pretty.

    OR they did talk about it and everyone in the meeting agreed, but then someone else heard the news and asked "but what if ____?" and people on that side backed out.

    OR... there can be so many different scenarios here. Google isn't one to be too public about its inner workings, and Detroit is no stranger to keeping secrets.

    1. Re:It's the Tucker Torpedo all over again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Detroit has always had problems with change. In the early 70's (yes, I am older but not stupid or dead) when there were increasing demands to improve the performance of the engines to reduce emissions, Detroit refused to change. From an article I read back then, what Detroit needed to do that would be the simplest and least expensive long term change would be to build their engines to tighter tolerances. This would have required retooling their 1940 era engine manufacturing plants to late 1960's capabilities. It would require changes in the way they did things and they would have to make capital investments. Both of those are bad ideas to entrenched manufacturers that are publicly owned as their stock price goes down. So what did they do? The added a pile of marginally functioning external equipment to the engines to reduce emissions. Eventually they had to make the changes to their manufacturing processes because they couldn't add any more junk and get improvements. As proof of this, I owned a '79 Saab that was not built for California as it had no catalytic converter; it exceeded the U.S. auto emissions standards without a catalytic converter which was a California mandatory requirement. The car's power train was just built better.

    2. Re:It's the Tucker Torpedo all over again by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Everybody always brings up Tucker.

      Never did understand how he expected to make money with a car that required a Helicopter engine to work. That engine cost more then a car at the time.

      There is a chance that the scammer narrative was actually true. After the movie, the popular culture has decided, but the case is not clear. He built 100 prototypes in a rush. No production or potentially profitable vehicles.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  6. US car companies have shifted their focus from by mark_reh · · Score: 1

    attempting to make quality products (too hard, expensive) that can be driven to making financial assets that can be sold (easy, cheap). They are now finance companies that happen to make cars. Anything that doesn't enhance their ability to sell packages of auto loans to investors is of little interest. What Google proposes adds cost to the cars without enhancing the ability to sell loans.

  7. Not Surprising by organgtool · · Score: 1

    Whenever two established giants in different industries require collaboration to bring a new product to market, there is always going to be power struggles and dick-waving. In this case, it is exacerbated by Google's eagerness to go right into full-blown autonomous cars instead of the incremental approach that the car companies want. This make sense since all of the responsibility of any issues that arise in this technology will be placed squarely on the shoulders of the auto makers. In any event, I think Tesla would make a better partner since they're a bolder company who isn't afraid to jump in with both feet.

  8. Until there is Tort reform... by dmgxmichael · · Score: 1

    ...there will be no automated car. The legal system is so screwed up right now no company, even one 100 times Google's size, could hope to absorb the lawsuit costs.

    1. Re:Until there is Tort reform... by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
      I disagree. You are assuming that we will have the same number car accidents. The majority of car accidents are caused by human error. Specifically the error of thinking "I am not drunk."

      First there will be test runs. When the test runs do not have car accidents, taxi companies will start using them. Be honest, people would rather trust a computer than the kind of guy that drives taxis in NYC.

      Then rich people will be getting them for their elderly parents - AND their children (Why sure I will get my alcoholic, drug using reprobate of a child a car - just one they can't drive.).

      By then we will have huge records of a huge decrease in accidents by computer. The fact that the computer based cars will have video recordings of the few accidents they do get into, which will for the most part blame the humans in the other car will be the final tipping point

      Then suddenly, car insurance rates will drop to almost nothing - if the car is computer controlled. At the same time, car insurance rates for human controlled vehicles will skyrocket.

      Finally everyone will get a computer controlled car.

      The whole process should take less than ten years from the introduction of the first commercially available 'no need to have a driver's license car', till the majority of new cars sold being computer controlled.

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    2. Re:Until there is Tort reform... by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Think, what a few well publicized bugs will do to your trend. E.g. failing to recognize Children's toys in the road, and the subsequent bug fix and emergency stops for blowing leaves.

      You sound like a marketer. You should put together a Power Point presentation with your prognostications.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  9. Find a different partner? by nine-times · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maybe Google should be working with a company like Tesla instead. It seems like Google would need to find a partner that a background in manufacturing cars, but was a little more innovative and forward-thinking than the big guys in Detroit have historically been.

    Along with everything else, my guess is that if this technology really becomes commonplace, it will be disruptive and it will likely result in fewer people actually owning cars. In cases like this, sometimes getting businesses with entrenched interests onboard is not only difficult, but counter productive.

  10. The obvious question: by Kokuyo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Why don't Google and Tesla cooperate? Both are very innovative companies that have, more or less, similar attitudes, I think.

    Also, wouldn't an all electric car fit the futuristic idea of a self-driving vehicle much better than a gas guzzler?

    1. Re:The obvious question: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Similar attitudes? I dunno, Tesla seems to be building luxury EVs and google want's to turn your car into a self driving spam box since you can focus your attention on ads during your commute time.

      That's probably going to be fine for mass marketed cheap crap, but probably not if you are trying to sell 80k+ luxury cars.

    2. Re:The obvious question: by Nidi62 · · Score: 2

      Similar attitudes? I dunno, Tesla seems to be building luxury EVs and google want's to turn your car into a self driving spam box since you can focus your attention on ads during your commute time.

      That's probably going to be fine for mass marketed cheap crap, but probably not if you are trying to sell 80k+ luxury cars.

      The Ford Model T cost $850 in 1909. The average hourly wage in 1909 was 22 cents per hour. That is a luxury price for a car. 5 years later as demand rose and production capacity expanded the price cut in half. The successor to the Model T was the Model A which, almost 20 years later, cost $500. Building luxury cars gets you a brand name, it brings in capital, and it lets you develop and expand production capacity. As your costs go down you can lower prices and expand into more economically priced models.

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  11. Who's hungriest? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

    Even assuming that tooling up mass production Just Isn't Doable, because reasons, this seems like Google's game to lose: Google is better at writing software than the automakers are, and all they need is one automaker to crack, admit that their software blows, and start OEMing for Google. The first hit might even be free...

    Unless they really manage to alienate people, or stagnate to the point where the incrementalists overtake them, game over, man.

  12. Why doesn't Google just buy one of them? by RelaxedTension · · Score: 1

    Problem solved. The others would be scrambling to catch up after that.

    1. Re:Why doesn't Google just buy one of them? by Tailhook · · Score: 1

      Those companies are a nightmare. GM is a lender and healthcare provider with car manufacturing as a side business. Between the Treasury department, the NLRB and DOT the domestic manufacturers are practically quasi-government, and the part that isn't government is run by employee unions that do their level best to ensure failure every day.

      People like Brin and Page want nothing to do with these legacy hell holes. They went to the meeting, got a big whiff of the stench, and walked away.

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  13. Different priorities by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
    Google etc's priority is to create the new market. It's all about innovation and beating the other guy to the market.

    The auto industry (the US in particular) priority is not to have a Recall. They are all about playing it safe. That's why Japan got the first practical hybrid.

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    1. Re:Different priorities by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know about you, but I like not dieing in a fiery wreck when I go out for a drive.

      Japan got hybrids before the US in large part because hybrids are more practical for typical Japanese people than they are for Americans. Americans don't typically spend as much time in traffic and tend to live further away from their businesses than the Japanese do. What's more, there's large parts of the US where hybrids are difficult to drive because of the weather conditions being tough on batteries.

  14. US car companies are NOT finance companies by sjbe · · Score: 1

    attempting to make quality products (too hard, expensive) that can be driven to making financial assets that can be sold (easy, cheap).

    You think so? GM's finance division had net income of $566 million on revenue of $3.34 billion in 2013. GM had net income of $6.9 billion on revenue of $155 billion. And you think they are a finance company? Their finance division accounts for 2% of their revenue and 8% of their profit. So no, GM is not a company focused on selling financial products.

    How about Ford? Ford Financial had a net LOSS of $1.2 billion on revenues of $7.8 billion in 2012 versus the parent company making a profit of $6.25 billion on revenues of $133 billion over the same period. That means financial products are 5% of their revenue and actually were a drag on profits. So no, Ford isn't a financial company either.

    I don't know where you got the idea that these companies are primarily finance companies but you could not be more wrong. Financing is a nice piece of the picture but it's manufacturing and car sales that makes or breaks them. Financing at best just pads the bottom line a bit.

    What Google proposes adds cost to the cars without enhancing the ability to sell loans.

    What Google is working on is nowhere close to being ready to put in production automobiles. It is a research project and will remain so for some time to come. Just because Google has developed some impressive prototypes doesn't mean it is even close to being something that Ford or GM could put in a car that gets sold to you or me. If Google wants to get into the automobile business they are welcome to try but I think if they do the phrase "shareholder lawsuit" will not be far behind. Just because Google has a bunch of smart people working for them doesn't mean they understand the business of selling cars.

    1. Re:US car companies are NOT finance companies by koreanbabykilla · · Score: 1

      "Just because Google has a bunch of smart people working for them doesn't mean they understand the business of selling cars."

      Just because Tesla has a bunch of smart people working for them doesn't mean they understand the business of selling cars.

      hmmmmm.......perhaps you may want to rethink that last part?

    2. Re:US car companies are NOT finance companies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You think so? GM's finance division had net income of $566 million on revenue of $3.34 billion in 2013.

      Prior to the mortgage crash, GM's finance division (GMAC) advertised heavily on TV. You might even recognize their ads' tagline: "Lost another one to ditech.com"

      After the mortgage crash, GM's finance division became Ally bank, mostly by sacrificing their manufacturing hobby in order to suck up enough assets to certify as a bank and get a TARP bailout. I recommend you check Ally's filings to determine what income and revenue they had in 2013.

    3. Re:US car companies are NOT finance companies by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      GM exists to finances it's pensions. GM's unfunded Pension liabilities: 114 billion $US. GM's market cap: 59 billion. http://online.wsj.com/news/art...

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    4. Re:US car companies are NOT finance companies by PRMan · · Score: 1

      And a couple years ago, I read that the only profitable division of GM was GMAC and the only profitable division of GMAC was Ditech.com. So not because of cars at all.

      --
      Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
  15. Google needs Detroit... by Simon+Brooke · · Score: 1

    Exactly as much as Henry Ford needed horse-buggy makers, and no more.

    --
    I'm old enough to remember when discussions on Slashdot were well informed.
    1. Re:Google needs Detroit... by Andrio · · Score: 1

      It's going to be fascinating to watch the decline of automakers. Most people don't need or technically want a car, they want need/want the ability to travel quickly from point A to point B. The rest of the time, the car is just sitting there doing nothing.

      A fleet of automated cars will solve the automotive needs of the vast majority of people. Car sales will plummet, as well other associated industries: mechanics, automotive stores, oil change places, etc.

      It's going to be crazy. The panic we saw from Microsoft when tablets arrived; the music industry when MP3s appeared on the internet; Apple's lawsuit war when Android started outselling it, auto dealers getting Tesla showrooms banned; etc etc. It's all going to be dwarfed by this. I expect to see automakers try everything: mass litigation, lobbying, even widespread propaganda. Anything they can to try and stop the automation of cars.

      If they're smart they'll sign long-term agreements now while this tech is still "new." I expect Elon Musk will be be quite victorious in this, chances are it'll be his batteries that will be going into these cars.

      --
      The Internet King? I wonder if he could provide faster nudity.
    2. Re:Google needs Detroit... by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      Ford relied on them. They built the car bodies for most of the car industry well into the last century.
      All of the big coach builders worked hand in hand with Ford and the other car makers.

      Hell until the 80's most Oldsmobiles had the Fischer Coach emblem on the door sill.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    3. Re:Google needs Detroit... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So Google will need them to make the carriages then and they'll make them think and run. So exactly as OP said, as much as and not a bit more.

  16. Google's intent by rlwhite · · Score: 1

    1. Patents on tech that will have consumer demand, which Google can profit from licensing to automotive manufacturers.
    2. How will the consumer use new-found free time while captive in a self-driving car? Google's internet services and mobile devices!
    3. The navigation needs of a self-driving car will dovetail nicely with the robotics businesses that Google has acquired. Eventually autonomous robots may free up more of your time to enjoy Google and their advertisers' products.

    1. Re:Google's intent by farble1670 · · Score: 1

      1. Patents on tech that will have consumer demand, which Google can profit from licensing to automotive manufacturers.

      considering how much they are spending in R&D, and that the are building and using real prototypes, they deserve patents. this isn't someone patenting shapes and colors.

  17. Google + skyTran = WIN! by msc.buff · · Score: 1

    Why doesn't Google skip the obsolete car and support skyTran?

    http://www.skytran.us/intro/

    Self driving cars are pointless. They do NOT solve the traffic problem. They do NOT solve the crappy road problem. Hauling a ton of steel & plastic along with a few hundred pounds of flesh from point A to point B is NOT very efficient.

    Now, imagine if Google helped build a skyTran network in any major city. A new fiber/power/gas/wifi network could be easily added to the build-out to break the last mile strangle hold.

    1. Re:Google + skyTran = WIN! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A car can go from where I am to where I want to be. Not the "skytran". I guess this thing could replace public transportation (mainly subways) for places where there's not enough passengers to build a big mass transit system, but not cars.

      Maybe Shelbyville will be interested?

    2. Re:Google + skyTran = WIN! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Imagine if Google funded my Trebuchet and parachute commuting system.

      IMHO all the technical problems are solved. The only remaining issue is collision avoidance during rush hour. That and the really long range trebuchets, which will require carbon fiber arms tuned to commuter weight and wing suits. Nothing a few billion won't solve.

      I should start a kickstarter project. I'll pay myself all the money as CEO salary...

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    3. Re:Google + skyTran = WIN! by mythosaz · · Score: 1

      To be fair, a bunch of cars driving well, not tailgating, speeding, changing lanes unnecessarily does help solve the traffic problem.

      Roads could handle many more driverless cars (communicating in mesh to boot) than manually driven cars.

  18. No different than any other industry by Anubis+IV · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you go back and listen to executives from the music or film industries talk about when they started to get approached by folks from Apple, Amazon, or others from the digital era, you'll hear similar stories. There was a lot of distrust between the sides, and what was needed was someone who could bridge the gap, speak both their languages, and help each side appreciate the problems of the other. People in many other industries think that technology is magical and that anything is possible, so they won't accept excuses or explanations to the contrary. People in Silicon Valley have a tendency to think that everything else is trivial, and fail to recognize the value in doing things in a different way...kinda like physicists.

    This isn't about arrogance or bad attitudes. This is simply about two companies from different worlds, trying to get on the same page, and it's no surprise that they'd have these sorts of difficulties. They'll eventually start talking to each other, it's just a matter of when and under what conditions.

    1. Re:No different than any other industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People in Silicon Valley have a tendency to think that everything else is trivial, and fail to recognize the value in doing things in a different way...kinda like physicists.

      Reminds me of the "antibiotics" episode for Sliders: Prof Arturo says something like "This confirms my opinion that biology is what you do if you don't have the maths for real science."

  19. largely expected, for good reason by nimbius · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Google made a radical change in that it never consulted any automaker during its initial trials with Lexus, Toyoya and Audi vehicles but simply chose to retrofit and augment the existing vehicles with their own technology. It also never sourced an american vehicle in its tests, which may be why among other reasons like competing technologies american automakers didnt take kindly to the event.

    to make this a production system, something people can buy in meatspace, google needs a manufacturing partner with automotive chops and recognition from the federal government. safety systems, traction and handling, transmission and engine control systems are all critical components of the vehicle that would take google another 10-12 years to design if they went and did it on their own (just ask tesla.) the ability to strap light radar,software and a 64 laser vision system to the top of a golf cart or existing car is all they have.

    Test tracks are one thing, but US and foreign auto makers pace their vehicles through some of the most rigorous and grueling testing imaginable. Lexus uses a multi-million dollar driver simulator to engineer vehicles around a person, and GM owns what amounts to an entire test city for their vehicles. for google thats an incredible asset to be granted access to. Having a team of automotive engineers with a century of experience among them to stand by and say, "that might work in a city, but on a rural route you'll kill your passengers" is what i suspect google really wants. Access to proprietary crash data and performance analytics would let google use any auto manufacturer who consented to the partnership as a step ladder to skip all the monstrously difficult work of designing and manufacturing a car, and what i believe most auto manufacturers are concerned about is seeing the lions share of their efforts go unrewarded, not to mention the decades of autonomics work they themselves pioneered being purloined by a tech giant.

    --
    Good people go to bed earlier.
    1. Re:largely expected, for good reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Google has been using self driving cars on actual roads for years.

    2. Re:largely expected, for good reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Actual Roads" in one of the tamest environments in the world, weather-wise. Show me their autonomous car driving in a north-east winter storm. Automakers test their cars in these conditions, but Google is not. Until they do, the Google autonomous car is just another Silicon Valley pipe dream.

    3. Re:largely expected, for good reason by sinij · · Score: 1

      They are not a pipe dream in Silicon Valley, and may not be a pipe dream on dedicated highways that only allow automated cars.
       
      You are mostly correct, any Google car that lacks manual controls will be grounded during bad weather and/or novel conditions since 'autonomous' parts heavily relies on detailed mapped and predictable environment.

  20. Telsa is the only hope by denisbergeron · · Score: 1

    they should team up with telsa because it's the only American's car maker that will be able to understand where the car industry have to go in a near future.

    --
    Ceci n'est pas une Signature !
  21. Google is an advertising company by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Problem solved. The others would be scrambling to catch up after that.

    Google is an advertising company that is good at writing software. They have NO special expertise in running a manufacturing company, particularly one the size and complexity of GM or Ford. Furthermore the profit margins on car sales are much lower than Google's core advertising business. Not to mention the company cultures are NOTHING alike. I honestly can't think of anything dumber Google could do with their cash. The level of management distraction alone that this would cause is more than you can possibly imagine.

    Manufacturing is NOTHING like writing software. I've done both and I run a manufacturing business as my day job. As smart as the folks at Google are they are not set up to be a manufacturer. It's not in their company DNA and it would kill them if they tried.

    1. Re:Google is an advertising company by RelaxedTension · · Score: 1

      That's why they would buy a company that already has that expertise as well as supply and distribution chains. They would also be buying that production expertise, plus enough patents and patent licenses to allow them to actually move forward. Google is not completely without experience in this kind of situation.

      Given the likely intractability of the big car makers to Google's advances (they want the whole pie for themselves, they do not like to share), there may be little alternative if they want to go big at a faster pace than starting a car company from scratch would allow.

    2. Re:Google is an advertising company by king+neckbeard · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the question is how could Google do all that much worse?

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
  22. Who will take the heat? by CrAlt · · Score: 1

    When an android phone crashes its no big deal.
    When a car crashes people die. You can't just rush a system to market and call it "beta".

    I can understand Detroit's reluctance to be the ones stuck holding the bag when these android cars start going all SKYNET and running people down.

    --
    I have to return some videotapes...
  23. Not Google's Business Model Either... by Thinking+Tom · · Score: 1

    "I would imagine that this is probably different than just making more time for people to click on web sites," --director of Google's self-driving car group quoted in article.

    I'm sure he just meant that Google's standard business model won't apply--they will need to actually have people pay to either own or license the technology, rather than freeing time for them to use Google's traditional revenue sources. I imagine the interviewer had to ask a pretty silly question...

    Freeing up time is enough to sell billions of dollars worth of these cars--more, to make people spend billions of dollars *more* on cars than they otherwise would--in New York and Los Angeles alone.

    Also, the automakers are used to living in a litigation-averse culture; self-driving cars are going to make it a *lot* easier to determine who is at fault in court cases.

  24. Slow Industry by Sentrion · · Score: 1

    Audio jacks, such as the original 14 in (6.35 mm) version date from as far back as 1878, when it was used for manual telephone exchanges. But I never saw audio jacks included as a standard item with any car stereo until just a few years ago, long after USB ports where being installed on just about every appliance imagined. Fry's still sells devices that make it possible to connect an MP3 player to their car stereo system via an adapter that takes the form of a cassette tape.

    I don't follow automotive trends closely as it is such a slow changing and dull industry when you factor out the fashionable aesthetic designs that change from year to year. But to my knowledge cars still don't come with USB ports. How can we get such a slow moving industry to get on board with some seriously disruptive technology, such as autonomous operation?

    1. Re:Slow Industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My 2011 Chevy Equinox has a USB port, it doesn't take USB drives or interface with the music on my Android phone, but it plays music from my iPod just fine.

    2. Re:Slow Industry by captbob2002 · · Score: 1

      Not all of us toss out our automobile when the newest model with its whizz-bang new options comes around. I'm still working on the third 100,000 mile cycle on my 1991 chevy truck. If I haven't gotten rid of it yet I won't be doing it just to get a USB port. Cars cost too much to replace due to fashion....unless you buy into (ha) the permanent car payment scam known as leasing.

  25. This is Two Years Old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Whats happened between 2012 and now, has progress been made since?

  26. Detroit is not always wrong. by sinij · · Score: 1

    Traditional car makers (e.g. Detroit 3) are not always wrong and in this case Google should not be simply assumed to be correct. Since I was not part of these meetings, I can only form my opinions based on what was reported. Still, there are some things that concern me with Google/Tesla approach to autos:

    * Unwillingness to finalize the product is part of Silicon culture. When I buy a car, I expect final product with very rare instance of patching (e.g. recalls) and no instances of altered or added functionality. The fact that when you buy Tesla you are subjected to "patch Tuesday" tinkering greatly worries me.
    * No defined model years. With traditional cars you usually know that parts from years X-Y models A-Z are interchangeable. Not so much with Tesla - where mid-model changes are commonplace. What going to happen when 10+ year old Tesla needs a new part? Always buy new, because no two of them are ever the same?
    * Used car market. For electric cars it doesn't exists. This means that depreciation on these is largely unknown.

    1. Re:Detroit is not always wrong. by Lumpy · · Score: 1

      "Used car market. For electric cars it doesn't exists. This means that depreciation on these is largely unknown."

      The hell it dont. There are lots of Used Nissan Leaf and Chevy Volt's available. It's a car you can find these used on used car lots.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    2. Re:Detroit is not always wrong. by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      I actually consider the fact that Tesla continues to upgrade the software to be a bonus. There is of course the added minor risk that they will make a change that I don't like but the only example I've seen of that so far was the ride height change.

      Mid Model changes is a valid complaint I suppose but it isn't unprecendented in the industry. I owned a 1985.5 944 once, which meant that every time I bought a part I had to double check to make sure it was the correct part. Hopefully as they improve their design skills we will see less and less of this. Currently though they are selling relatively few cars, so it isn't a big deal. As they sell more and more making these changes will become more costly for them and they'll cease to be so frequent. On the positive side the very nature of electric cars means that there are a lot less parts to wear out or break.

      The Used market is of course much smaller than it is for ICE powered cars. But that will change with time as more are produced. And if Electric cars prove to last longer than ICE cars, other than eventual battery replacement, they may end up retaining value much better. There really isn't a whole lot to wear out on an electric car when you compare it to an ICE.

  27. GM CEO hearings by QuietLagoon · · Score: 1

    ...As Google expands beyond Web search and seeks a foothold in the automotive market, the company's eagerness has begun to reek of arrogance to some in Detroit, who see danger as well as promise in Silicon Valley.

    All one has to do is watch the GM CEO testifying in the Congressional hearings, and read the reports about GM's safety failures, to see the arrogance is not with google, but with Detroit. The folks in Michigan are afraid of google in the same manner that auto dealerships are afraid of Tesla's direct sales. The current, cozy, entrenched business interests are going to be upset for the benefit of the consumer.

  28. Auto insurance and accident rates by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The majority of car accidents are caused by human error.

    True.

    Specifically the error of thinking "I am not drunk."

    Demonstrably false. The majority of auto accidents in no way involve alcohol. That's not to say the number of alcohol related incidents is insignificant but it clearly is not the majority.

    First there will be test runs. When the test runs do not have car accidents, taxi companies will start using them.

    That is a HUGE assumption. One that is entirely unsubstantiated at this time. You are presuming that automated vehicles can be programmed to navigate real world conditions with zero errors or unexpected conditions or human interference. In the real world accidents will happen simply because there will be times and conditions that the vehicles cannot accommodate for.

    Then suddenly, car insurance rates will drop to almost nothing - if the car is computer controlled.

    Ha! Let me guess, you aren't an actuary are you? There is more to auto insurance than collision insurance. Even if you are correct and accidents by some miracle dropped to a good approximation of zero, you still have theft, liability, incidental damage, etc. I'm optimistic that computer aided/controlled driving can reduce accidents but enough to cause car insurance rates to drop to "nothing"? Not in my lifetime I think and going by the averages I have a good 40 years or so left.

    The whole process should take less than ten years from the introduction of the first commercially available 'no need to have a driver's license car', till the majority of new cars sold being computer controlled.

    And which orifice did you pull that "ten years" number from? That's a pretty bold claim and I'm pretty sure you can't back it up. First off the average time people in the US own a car is now almost 11 years. That's the AVERAGE meaning roughly half keep their cars longer than that. An expensive and unproven new driving technology isn't going to cause a precipitous decline in time of ownership on the second most expensive asset most people own, no matter how much it drops insurance rates.

    1. Re:Auto insurance and accident rates by gurps_npc · · Score: 1
      I exaggerated when I referenced alcohol. But is is one of the major causes of accidents.

      I did make some assumptions. But that is in fact the game here. But the Assumption I made there is not huge. Yes, the first runs will have issues. But google has already proven the concept works. Most importantly, the AI cars can cut accident rates by the simple act of reducing the speed. Taxis in particular will not be adverse to having a set speed limit of 35 mph, particularly in city driving. The cars don't need zero errors, they just need to be better than humans, which is VERY easy to do. Have you seen taxi drivers?

      I am not an actuary, but I was talking about car accident insurance, not theft, etc. Liability and incidental are relatively small contributors. Theft will also decrease when the car can call the police or simply drive away from the thief. Insurance rates for AI cars will be much lower than human controlled cars. Please note that even if cars in general are human controlled, the AI driven cars will have MUCH cheaper car insurance rates.

      As for ten years, I looked at the introduction of cellphones. Please note I was talking about the majority of new cars being sold So the lifespan of the old cars is irrelevant. The lifespan of old cars does not affect the new cars sold.

      Your arguments are flawed, particularly the last one. I stand by the general sentiment of all of my claims, and the exact wording of the major ones.

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    2. Re:Auto insurance and accident rates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, his argument isn't flawed, yours is. First off, insurance rates for stuff like hail, people damaging my car while it's parked, basically all the stuff that I have insurance for that doesn't involve an actual car accident makes up like half my total premium. And the AI stuff dropping rates further, that hasn't been demonstrated yet. My cellphone can tell the police exactly where it is, but have you seen how much they charge for cellphone insurance? The reason is, theft isn't the big cost for insurance. Rocks through the windows, weather, idiots running into stationary objects (I'm talking bicycles, not cars, not that that matters as there's still going to be tons of human controlled cars), these make up a lot of insurance claims. As for majority being sold being computer controlled within 10 years? You are aware that not one of them has been approved for general sale yet, right? How long will it take being stuck in bureaucracy before they can even legally be sold? You also seem to forget, these cars haven't been so much as tested in NYC or LA rush hour traffic. Once one of these can manage doing a 4 lane change within half a mile to hit it's next exit during rush hour at 70 MPH, then I'll say it's close to ready to sell, but until then, not even close.

      That's one I have to wonder, you hear about idiots driving into lakes because the GPS told them to, will these cars be able to avoid that? How do you differentiate between heavy rain causing water on the road and a lake is the GPS system can't be trusted?

  29. The obvious question: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why don't Google and Tesla cooperate? Both are very innovative companies that have, more or less, similar attitudes, I think.

    Also, wouldn't an all electric car fit the futuristic idea of a self-driving vehicle much better than a gas guzzler?

    You buy the car from Tesla on the internet and it delivers itself to your home?

  30. Too bad. by wcrowe · · Score: 1

    This is not a surprise. Detroit makes it's money from marketing cars that are: a)"fun to drive" b)"tough" c)"stylish" d)"pretentious or class-conscious" e)some combination of the above. Safety, functionality, and reliability are boring (didn't Lee Iacocca once say, "safety doesn't sell"?).

    This is unfortunate, because I think Detroit is missing out on a great opportunity. Somebody, somewhere is going to start making autonomous cars, and people will start buying them. Detroit will find itself playing catch-up, or get relegated to irrelevancy.

    Personally, I think if autonomous cars can be proven to be safe and reliable, there will be a virtual tsunami of adoption by the buying public.

    --
    Proverbs 21:19
    1. Re:Too bad. by captbob2002 · · Score: 0

      Personally, I think if autonomous cars can be proven to be safe and reliable, there will be a virtual tsunami of adoption by the buying public.

      The lemmings can have them. What is the real push for autonomous cars? It is not safety. It is so you can be trapped in a metal and glass bubble and pay FULL attention to your infotainment system which will be delivering advertisements to you for the bulk of your ride. No thank you.

  31. Who they should be partnering with... by See+Attached · · Score: 1

    Hate to say it, but the autonomous vehicle folks should seriously confer with the legal profession to ensure that the devices that they make / retrofit will be not fully depleted by the gamers that love to make money off folks with deep pocketses. The number of DWI's will decrease, and the number of sleepy driver issues should fall.There will be some considerations, as the responsible party shifts from John Doe to the Corporate Programmer.

    --
    Time for a new Political party in the US (or two!) One is off the rails Other cant pony up a leader.
  32. Google is not a car company and won't ever be one by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Just because Tesla has a bunch of smart people working for them doesn't mean they understand the business of selling cars.

    Tesla has a bunch of automobile and manufacturing experts working for them. They didn't just tell a bunch of programmers that tomorrow they were going to start designing axles. Tesla was a new company started from the ground up to be a car company. Google is nothing of the sort and would be foolish to try.

    hmmmmm.......perhaps you may want to rethink that last part?

    Nope. Tesla and Google are very different companies. The fact that they both have their roots in Silicon Valley is about as close as they get. Cars and advertising/software are two businesses that could not be more different. Furthermore, Tesla is still a very small company in the automotive world. They are doing some of the most interesting stuff in cars but their long term survival is hardly a foregone conclusion.

  33. Re:Detroit is not interested in innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're full of it Look at the current lineup of vehicles and compare them to similar cars or trucks 20 years ago. Engines, suspensions, electronics and safety have made considerable improvements. It's just that they tend to be incremental, evolutionary rather than revolutionary.

  34. well.... by argStyopa · · Score: 1

    I guess Detroit would clearly know what arrogance smells like, that's true.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:well.... by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      indeed, fuck Detroit. over half of U.S. cars are made by foreign owned companies. Start the discussion there, and we can further beat Detroit down. they became arrogant in the 1970s, building uneconomical cars the public didn't want ("they HAVE to buy whatever me make!"), and so the floodgates of foreign cars and foreign car companies opened

  35. Google is an advertising company by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe that's why they're shopping around for a manufacturer that already exists.

  36. Detroit calls Google arrogant? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The number 1 reason that American Car companies decided to focus on larger vehicles and trucks is because the US government gave trade protections for those higher margin vehicles. So, when your freshly minted business school types looked at which cars to invest money in R&D and development... you guessed it... they saw a bunch of cheap imports on the low end without any tarrif protections and low margins and then they looked at trucks and SUVs where they could make higher margins and had a built in competitive edge thanks to Uncle Sam. So, they were hurt by the insideous anti-competitive effects of the very protections they had lobbied for. As trade barriers eased on trucks and larger vehicles, the American companies had already long ago ceded the small car market without apparently realizing that they were putting themselves years behind and two decades worth of entry level customers had chosen the cheaper better made imports. When those customers got older and were looking for those higher end cars now or needed a truck, then they started going for with the same companies that had made their small reliable entry level cars like the Honda Civic and the Toyota Corolla.

  37. 20 years at least by sjbe · · Score: 1

    I exaggerated when I referenced alcohol. But is is one of the major causes of accidents.

    Yes it is. Roughly 1/3 according to the CDC.

    Yes, the first runs will have issues. But google has already proven the concept works.

    A research project is a LONG way from a working production vehicle. It's not even clear if the technology Google is using is technologically or economically viable on a production basis. I have over 15 years in the auto industry as an engineer and an accountant. It takes a long time for technology like that to get into production vehicles. Longer when you are talking about something that takes over the actual driving of the vehicle. This isn't like some fancy new GPS. Get automated driving wrong and people die. So it is going to take a long time - much longer than 10 years in all likelihood. I honestly think even 20 years is wildly optimistic baring some sort of unbelievable technology breakthrough.

    I am not an actuary, but I was talking about car accident insurance, not theft, etc.

    Fair enough. You still have NO evidence regarding what accident rates might be because nobody knows. Might be close to zero as you are suggesting or it might be higher than it is now. Nobody knows and anyone who claims they do is simply making stuff up. The only thing I'm sure of is that the accident rate will be higher than zero.

    As for ten years, I looked at the introduction of cellphones.

    Cellphones are not automobiles. The economics and design cycles of the two products are completely different. It's a specious comparison.

    Please note I was talking about the majority of new cars being sold So the lifespan of the old cars is irrelevant.

    The average time people own new cars right now is just shy of 6 years. This means that even if the technology didn't add a penny to the cost of the vehicle (which will not be true), and if everyone who bought a new car had this technology on it (which they will not), and every car suddenly had the technology available in the same year (which will not happen) you might get past half the first owner cars on the road to be automated within 7-8 years in an absolute miracle case. In the real world you're probably looking at a 20 year introduction if not longer. Even if the technology works great right out of the gate and there are no incidents that scare people off of it (both unlikely), its not going to be available on more than a few cars at first for simple economic reasons.

    Car redesign cycles are about 4-6 years typically, sometimes longer but seldom much shorter. This means that it will take around 6 years before most new vehicles even have access to the technology at absolute minimum. Even if Google were to announce tomorrow that they had a working consumer ready technology, it would be years before car companies could put it on most vehicles. (fyi that is exactly why the electronics in vehicles tends to be years behind the state of the art) Some cars aren't going to take it on the first cycle so it will be at least 2-3 design cycles before most cars have the technology even in the best case. That's 12-18 years after product introduction even presuming it works well and is affordable which is an ENORMOUS assumption. I'm not sure you really appreciate how unlikely the timeline you are suggesting is given the economic realities of the auto industry.

    I do actually appreciate your optimism on the technology and I probably hope it comes to pass as much as you seem to but I've worked a long time in auto manufacturing. It's going to take a long time for this to happen. Much longer than 10 years unfortunately. You'll see spinoff technologies like adaptive cruise control, heads up displays and other cool stuff sooner but full computer control of vehicles is a long way off as a mass market product.

  38. Detroit likes gradual, planned change by golodh · · Score: 1
    It's their preferred modus operandi, for two reasons:

    Planned obsolescence and a huge vested interest in current technology.

    By keeping change gradual, Detroit can make consumers pay for every step along the way by selling them model after model that's just different enough to generate sales and yet not different enough to require big investments in new technology (manufacturing or otherwise). In doing so they make sure they can write off any investments in existing technology after they have been recouped. This is known as planned obsolescence.

    With revolutionary changes however, Detroit's car makers will have no chance to slip a line of intermediate models and, say, a 10 year transition period, between the current model and the future one. So they leave money on the table. Big money.

    And of course they won't do that if they have anything to say in it.

    Google on the other hand has no vested interest in existing car technology and is only looking to monetise their current, developing, tech. Of course they want to see it implemented asap, with as little intermediate models as possible.

    Given those two positions, can anyone be surprised they didn't hit it off?

  39. Who will take the heat? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Android phones aren't designed to be fail-safe, any company with any sense (and desire to avoid lawsuits) will engineer multiple fail-safes into a autonomous car. There will of course still be malfunctions, but nowhere near the failure rate of a phone and probably even nowhere the failure rate of human drivers (falling asleep, drunk driving, distracted driving). You can be pretty certain that for at least the first decade owners will be told to keep track of the cars driving and there may even be a big "STOP" button in the center console.

  40. So they had a bad meeting. by Animats · · Score: 1

    So they had a bad meeting. It happens. It's even worse across language barriers. Most successful business teams get over that.

    Google gets that automatic driving can kill people. The guys from social pushing "Cruise" put shiny plastic on lane keeping and adaptive cruise control and call it automatic driiving. They're right in the middle of the "deadly valley" - it's good enough you can take your hands off the wheel, but not good enough you can trust it. Those guys are going to be a problem.

    GM is in serious legal and PR trouble right now because they have an ignition switch problem which causes cars to stop if people have a keychain with too much stuff on it. 13 GM people have already been fired. Google has never faced having to take responsibility like that.

    The software industry is used to being able to dump its product liability on the customer. This will not work in the "Internet of Things".

  41. Slow Industry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "still sells devices that make it possible to connect an MP3 player to their car stereo system via an adapter that takes the form of a cassette tape"

    Hey! I still use one of those to play songs from my little $7 MP3 player in my car. I think the adapter cost more than the MP3 player.

  42. I want I want I want I want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's all us humans need in our way is a bunch of self driving cars texting and video taping everything as they run around on tax paid for streets and highways for no good reason using precious resources, driving up the price of fuel and automobiles and insurance rates.

    On a brighter note, it took the auto makers about 60 years to implement seatbelts. It took them another 20 years to implement air bag safety. Google wants to put automobiles on public highways without drivers in them in about 5 years, guessing?

    Come on.

  43. Detroit Sucks In Time by JimSadler · · Score: 1

    The motor industry just can not mentally change quickly enough. That is why they fear Tesla and people like Google. Just about every inch of every car made needs to be replaced with more modern ideas and materials. Detroit is stuck making metal frames and body panels that have no real reason to exist these days. And with gasoline as expensive as it is we can say that gasoline and diesel also need to be cast out. The Detroit mindset is to put a new look on a vehicle and really change little at all. They haven't even put a decent ignition lock on a car in all of automotive history. Detroit has earned its demise by clinging to past designs and ideas that never were practical to begin with. People are so fed up that bicycles and scooters are taking over in many cities.

  44. Work with tesla and elio by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Seriously, they would do well to work with start-ups that are ran by ppl that want to make a change.
    Detroit does NOT want to make a change. They simply want to dominate in the USA.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  45. largely expected, for good reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    while automakers make test cities out of wood and concrete, google procedurally generates them and integrates it into its mapping software.
    my guess is that well have robot drivers before we have automated vehicles.
    at least the robots can then at least help you bring your groceries back to the car among other things ;) he he he

  46. largely expected, for good reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    not only that but robot drivers would grab a much wider market not only as personal assitants and treat your wounds, security detail, old age help,
    retail and fast food... deleveries from the drone docking stations around town, grow crops, drive trucks, fight wars.. are you kidding me?
    the auto industry will just come up with interfaces to let the robot have more control.
    there will be no auto driven cars.

  47. Screw autonomous cars anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't want 'em, don't need 'em. Screen people for driving skills more stringently, keep the losers off the roads and in buses, taxis, trains, or whatever instead if they need to get somewhere.

  48. largely expected, for good reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    the only thing robots will not be able to do is code.

    essentially robots are code. and code cant create code.
    yeah there are code generators but humans still need to operate them to get a finished product out the door.

    in the future you will have everything automated for you and have every amenity including basic health care to keep you looking 30 until you are 300.
    Humans will just sit around until the system breaks and chaos ensues.
    Otherwise things will be great on wednesday of your 4 hour work week doing your volunteer part to keep the system going.
    Be content with the apartment you can morph into different looks until you get bored... going anywhere outside of your zone will be really easy but cost you a pretty penny.

    the new tech elite will live on the moon and mars and smoke the best dope.

    while the uneducated non coders former service workers will be sitting at thier stoops staring into the sky pissed off they dont get to go to mars.

  49. woop tee doo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Do you post on Slashdot just to brag about the amount of money you have? I don't have the time to look up all of your posts but it seems like every week you're dropping the name of some big dollar car. According to you, it sounds like you own about 20 different cars. I'm not impressed.

  50. censorship is stoopid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you're gonna say nigger, then don't bother bleeping out the asshole. Nigger.

  51. Utility vs. enjoyment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Google cars = tin boxes for people who treat a vehicle as merely a utility. They don't want to deal with anything about a car, but they need transportation. They don't care how fast the car goes, what color it is, or how quiet it is inside (well maybe a little). Google and its special people fit this mold very well. Why would any automaker want to help this concept along? There is no growth opportunity in self-driving cars for automakers.

    Google's business model is trading privacy (information) for convenience. They have plenty of money, let them just buy an automaker. Any one of their choosing. Let them figure it out on their own.

  52. Let's see, Detroit or Google? by buybuydandavis · · Score: 1

    I don't think it's hard to decide who to bet on here. The US industry that almost entirely went backrupt (except for Ford), or Google, which already has a better autonomous car than any of those bozos.

    If those guys had any brains, they'd saddle up with Google as fast as they could.