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Why String Theory Is Not Science (forbes.com)

StartsWithABang writes: Earlier this month, a conference was held devoted to the question of whether untestable scientific ideas like string theory and the multiverse are actually science or not. While many opinions were stated and no one changed their mind, the answer is apparent: unless you're willing to change the definition of science to include "this thing that isn't science," then no, string theory is not science. It's a theory in the sense of a mathematical theory — like set theory, group theory or number theory — but it isn't yet a scientific theory. Of course, it could become science, but that would require that it actually do the things a scientific theory does: make testable predictions that can be validated or falsified.

288 comments

  1. Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    So it's like Climatology?

    1. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Didn't take long for the peanut gallery to weigh in.

    2. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, climatology can be tested... Just wait awhile and then review the global weather records...

    3. Re:Climatology by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Informative

      No. Climatology, even if you are the biggest skeptic, makes testable predictions all the time. For example, predictions that the earth will be two degrees warmer in 100 years. That is completely testable: it will take 100 years to test it, but that's irrelevant.

      An untestable theory is one that can never be tested, even with infinite time and resources. For example, "the universe was created as-is five minutes ago." Maybe that's true, but there's no way to test it. Even if you had a time machine, it still couldn't be tested. There is no experiment that can be imagined to test this.

      In the case of string theory, the author claims that string theory makes no predictions that distinguish it from the standard model. That is, if you perform an experiment, you will not know if it is supporting string theory, or if it's just a natural result of the standard model.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    4. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Aye, there's the rub. First, only one planet. Second, difficulties with the "awhile" parameter. Make it too short and you're just testing long-range *weather* forecasts which is not where the controversy is. Make it too long and the theory changes so that the argument becomes "that's an old model, we know better now". Do they really know better, or are they just moving the goal posts?

      I think climatology is in a grey area in this regard. In theory, it's testable and thus science. In practice, it's political, not well tested, and thus not living up to its potential as science.

    5. Re:Climatology by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      No. Astrology, even if you are the biggest skeptic, makes testable predictions all the time.

      Do you see what I did there?

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    6. Re:Climatology by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes. Astrology makes valid, testable scientific predictions. Therefore it is a scientific theory (or hypothesis, if you like it that way).
      It is unfortunate that it has been proven false many, many times, but not every scientific theory has to be true.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    7. Re: Climatology by davester666 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Somewhere on Earth, it's cold. Therefore global warming can't be happening. If it was happening right now, it would be warm everywhere. QED

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    8. Re:Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      Yes. Astrology makes valid, testable scientific predictions. Therefore it is a scientific theory (or hypothesis, if you like it that way).

      It is unfortunate that it has been proven false many, many times, but not every scientific theory has to be true.

      Astrology is falsifiable yet it is not in any way shape or form a scientific theory. Therefore falsifiability is a necessary yet not sufficient condition to characterize a scientific theory.

    9. Re:Climatology by chthon · · Score: 1

      Conflating hypothesis with theory

    10. Re:Climatology by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The definitions of the two are conflated by English. Hypothesis is kind of clear, but theory has many definitions in acceptable use.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    11. Re: Climatology by lgw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You're joking, but that is actually what a "Warm Earth" (i.e., not an ice age) looks like: no year-round ice anywhere. It doesn't get much warmer at the equator, but it gets a lot warmer at the poles.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    12. Re:Climatology by NoOneInParticular · · Score: 1

      You might have missed the implication that the purpose of a falsifiable theory is that you can forget about it once it is, indeed, falsified. Astrology is a fine scientific theory that has been shown to be wrong. Many more reputable scientific theories have gone that way.

    13. Re:Climatology by istartedi · · Score: 2

      The problem with judging climatology based on average temperature after X years is this: All you have to do is come up with a hand full of models in a reasonable distribution around where we already are. The more models, the better chance you have of being "uncannily accurate". See the problem? It's just like the old stock market trick of finding 256 analysts who make buy/sell recommendations on 8 stocks. Then you interview the "genius" who made 8 correct calls.

      In the case of climate, the model is much more convincing if you judge it based on more data points. We want to see a model that has a very close match to the *curve* of the actual data.

      In the case of stock-market analysts you want to see enough picks over a long enough time frame so that the odds of the analyst being lucky as opposed to good are astronomically low.

      --
      For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
    14. Re:Climatology by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      That's a difficulty for sure. It's just a difficulty though, the predictions are still testable.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    15. Re: Climatology by plopez · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Once exposed it was corrected. Unlike the the Koch brothers shills.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    16. Re:Climatology by whoever57 · · Score: 2

      For example, predictions that the earth will be two degrees warmer in 100 years. That is completely testable: it will take 100 years to test it, but that's irrelevant.

      Actually, the 100 years is very important. The actual prediction is more likely to be something like: "if we continue to burn fossil fuels at the same rate, then ...". The prediction relies the values of other factors, which are not controlled. An experiment in which all the variables are not controlled is not a valid experiment.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    17. Re:Climatology by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Yeah, you are right, it's more complicated.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    18. Re:Climatology by trout007 · · Score: 1

      The problem with your stock analogy is that you assume there is a way to beat the averages long term. Replace the stock market with flipping a coin. If you have a room of 1024 people that all pick different permutations of heads and tails you will get one person that picks 10 in a row. Are they good at it? No, the odds are still even on each toss. This is the problem with finding a stock picker. You can find someone with a perfect record but as soon as you invest with them they have no better odds at picking stocks than anyone else.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    19. Re: Climatology by davester666 · · Score: 1

      What's really sad is that people in Congress have actually said (basically) my post with a straight face as an argument against global warming.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    20. Re:Climatology by ChrisMaple · · Score: 0

      Climatology cannot make valid testable predictions because it can neither control for nor measure all critical inputs. The particular variable most egregious in this regard is the heat released by the Earth's core.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    21. Re:Climatology by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You have misunderstood the meaning. This comment may help you.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    22. Re:Climatology by shaitand · · Score: 1

      More reputable? I certainly doubt that. Some form of astrology was a valid hypothesis either causing or associated with natural behavior believed by almost every member of civilization at one point. That sounds pretty reputable to me. Astrology isn't even gone, we still utilize our study of the stars and their behavior to explain how things work and came to be here on Earth and Astronomy is a direct descendant. Astronomy is Astrology what Alchemy is chemistry, or what plate tectonics is to continental drift, or relativity is to Newtonian physics.

      The people who practiced astrology and alchemy in their day were people who would practice science either theoretical or applied today and it could be argued that without their pursuits the scientific method would never have been devised.

      Astrology and Alchemy aren't science but they are most definitely pre-science and the pre-cursors of science. If you follow the scientific method you are doing science, but nothing which predates that method could possibly have followed it. Further not all aspects of astrology were ever reached and/or tested within the framework of the scientific method.

      We shouldn't go back to them but we shouldn't spit on the graves of those who came before us just because someone finds it entertaining to read what some nut wrote down for their daily horoscope in the newspaper.

    23. Re:Climatology by shaitand · · Score: 2

      "Astronomy is Astrology what Chemistry is to Alchemy, or what Newtonian Physics is to Relativity."

      Whoops I flipped the ordering around somewhere in the middle here and fixed above. You got the point anyway ;)

    24. Re:Climatology by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Not necessarily because the stock market is not random. If someone has a strong enough record their predictions can become self fulfilling prophecies as millions of people buy when they buy and drive up the price of whatever they bought and then sell when they sell.

      As long as enough people with enough dollars believe in the prophet his prophecies will come true. Of course at some point the whole thing mathematically becomes a pyramid scheme that comes crashing down.

    25. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...the Democratoc shills are so much less slimed, right. Go away with your rhetoric

    26. Re:Climatology by reboot246 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Nah, climatology is more closely related to astrology, phrenology, and palm-reading.

    27. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      YES :)

    28. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not quite true. Newtonian physics works quite well for macroscopic objects. Alchemy and astrology, not so much.

    29. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...the Democratoc shills are so much less slimed, right. Go away with your rhetoric

      Except that climate change is not just a USA thing. Scientists all over the world are on board with it. Surely you aren't proposing that the US democratic party influences the entire world scientific community.

    30. Re: Climatology by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Weather isn't the issue. Climate is. You can't predict a roll of the dice, but over time you can get a pretty good prediction of a pattern. And when those patterns start changing, it isn't the weather on any given day that's the issue.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    31. Re: Climatology by Vitriol+Angst · · Score: 2, Informative

      Everything you said just annoys me.

      Liberals don't receive any more money from government than do Conservatives. I can't speak for everyone, but WE don't ask for "bigger government" just to get more -- a lot of us might not get welfare. We just have a bigger tribe; meaning, we care about things beyond our family, team, church, country. People. None of us want "more regulations" -- just the RIGHT ones. You know who sponsors most of the regulations? Big companies. You know who does MOST of the Medicare fraud? About 70% or more (if memory serves) by large institutions. "Big" government means nothing. There are about 1 million people employed due to Bush (OK, half of them, maybe) who are in the security, intelligence, and other cloak and dagger organizations. I want that to shrink because MY THEORY of human behavior is the best security is being fair to people and they will not blow you up because they have a shared future and a stake in the community they are now a part of. It's not 100% perfect, but it's a lot better (with historic justification) than the security via intimidation and heavy handed law enforcement.

      "view it as a humanitarian crisis so you can convince yourselves (ie rationalize) you are doing the right thing despite fleecing citizens through idiotic taxes, regulations, etc." None of those whine points have much to do with each other. How is Climate Change NOT going to cause a humanitarian crisis? People who can't eat or who are displaced by rising tides or drought will go where they can survive. Not being able to live is a Humanitarian issue, a million people migrating is a crisis. Regardless of "Liberalism" or "Democrat" -- it's going to happen.

      "idiotic taxes, regulations, etc. whose costs get passed down to them despite being levied on evil oil companies."
      So by this logic, no taxes and no regulations would make things great. I don't like idiotic taxes. Government pays 54% of the bill for medical care in this country, and we spend about 4 times more per person than Germany. I'd much rather pay about 10% more in taxes and stop fearing sickness or retirement. So we pay MORE to get crap. Your co-pay usually is the real value of the service, and the Insurance companies negotiate and pay, then charge the doctors and hospitals more for insurance and pay radio show hosts to talk about torte reform. If they were good for the system; why would they have incredibly huge profits? Paying less than you paid for the insurance is how you make profit. It's an idiotic system. Hospitals also can vary over 9 times in cost for the same procedure -- the competitive market to lower costs is not in effect.

      What's idiotic is those Republicans who think they can have two Santa Klaus's. They can get stuff which they happily take advantage of, and not pay for it. Patriotism and fairy dust solves everything. So while you might hear about this or that wasteful boondoggle -- just understand those are tiny fractions of the budget, and usually it's due to a politician paying back a supporter on the country dime. Like the Republicans just in office paying 10X more for mercenaries and failing consultants to provide services that the military provided. That raked in a lot of cash. Just tell us where you would cut the budget to reduce the stupid. Would you let seniors die of starvation or go homeless? You want to shut down the military? How about roads and water? Education? Law enforcement? I mean, seriously, can you just look at a budget sometime and not see that things are allocated for things you get a benefit from?

      "costs get passed down to them despite being levied on evil oil companies."
      If something costs a certain amount, and every company gets charged the same amount, it becomes the cost of business. IF the costs get passed on, then people will need higher wages, companies that depend on Oil or whatever will raise prices. It's been shown that over time, it creates no real burden as the market adjusts to the higher prices of whatever good. Less oil might be used.

      On the other hand, if th

      --
      >>"ad space available -- low rates!!!"
    32. Re:Climatology by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 0

      No. Astrology, even if you are the biggest skeptic, makes testable predictions all the time.

      Do you see what I did there?

      Taken the first step of a testable hypothesis.

      So let's take the theory of Astrology. It's based on the hypothesis that the position of the Stars at your moment of birth determines your personality, and furthermore your life is predetermined by those stars and planets.

      So first off, what is the physical mechanism of the stars on your personality? Right away, we have a problem. But that can all be ignored for the moment, if we like.

      So now the first test that we can do something about. Finding people born at the exact or very similar time. A study of these folks should show virtually identical personalities, and as long as they followed the same horoscopes every day, there should be remarkable parallels in their lives.

      I'd love to see the experiment performed. Given all the people I've met and know, I have an idea how it would turn out. I suspect not many astrologists would want that one performed.

      Now on to climate.

      We start off with a very simple hypothesis. That gases in a a gaseous mixture will retain more or less energy based on the particular gases and their concentration.

      Repeated testing shows this to be as close to a fact as any scientist would ever claim, and any rational non-scientist would consider it to be absolutely true.

      So the basic concept has been proven.

      Next is the question of scaling. The experiment takes several forms. There are non-earth planetary experiments that might serve to use as an experiment.

      Venus is anomalously hot, or would be except that it's atmosphere is around 97 percent CO2. And with a surface temperature of around 730K, why would that happen? The sulight heats the land, the CO2 stores much of the energy given off by the warmed land's infrared radiation, and the result is that at 730K, a sort of equilibrium is reached as the energy escaping is at the same rate as the energy coming in.

      Here's a description should you care to look:>p> http://ircamera.as.arizona.edu...

      Mars on the other hand, has shown some other interesting matters on Greenhouse and other warming effects Early Mars might have been warmed by a combination of CO2, and interestingly enough H2 The H2 would hav ebeen contributed byvolcanic outgassing of CH4, which would have degraded to CO2 and H2, allowing early Mars to be fairly warm, even taking the dimmer sun at the time into account. Today, after most of Mar's atmosphere is gone, while CO2 is the main component of the atmosphere, it is in too small amount to contribute to any warming, and th planet is pretty cold.

      http://www.nature.com/ngeo/jou...

      So we have that confirming evidence from experiments in assessing extraterrestrial planets.

      So now we have an effect that has been proven on other planets as well as earth.

      Now there are many experiments that have been performed, and they also do not refute the theory that the so called 'Greenhouse gases" act to retain heat.

      Measurements bear it out as well. The "evidence "against it includes cherry picking for any anomalous data, then introducing a false dilemma by saying an anomaly kills the entire concept. Also eliminating years of data to claim that no warming has occurred, or my favorite, claiming weather is climate.

      If that were true, I was outside today in shorts and a T-Shirt in the Northeast of the US. waddya think? I'll just claim it is anomalous weather for Christmas, and not claim "So much for So much for Global warning"

      See what I did there?

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    33. Re:Climatology by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 0

      You might have missed the implication that the purpose of a falsifiable theory is that you can forget about it once it is, indeed, falsified. Astrology is a fine scientific theory that has been shown to be wrong. Many more reputable scientific theories have gone that way.

      You aren't getting it. Astrology is not scientific at all. Science has been used to prove it wrong. Don't confuse the two.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    34. Re:Climatology by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 0

      Hypothesis is kind of clear, but theory has many definitions in acceptable use.

      True. But I tend to use the word that means what the word means within the context of the discussion. Claiming a scientific theory is the equivalent od a "wild assed guess", when it means a framework for research that is believed to be true, is intellectually dishonest.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    35. Re:Climatology by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      ok, I have no problem when you use words the way you want to.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    36. Re: Climatology by mi · · Score: 0

      Except that climate change is not just a USA thing. Scientists all over the world are on board with it.

      Because all over the world scientists are overwhelmingly paid by governments and thus are always inclined to support an idea, that increases the government's power.

      The bottom line remains, however — climatology is not (a successful) science. By the same principle — it is yet to make a successful prediction.

      Try it yourself — try putting together a list of pairs: one element in each pair shall point to a prediction, and the other — to it coming true within 80% of the predicted value (if applicable).

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    37. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The insurance industry is on board.

    38. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Kinda sounds like you don't know very many scientists either. They hate to shill and they hate those who promote lies. Scientists are also overwhelmingly ethical people.

    39. Re:Climatology by thephydes · · Score: 1

      Sad you were taken as a troll. The science is as clear as it can be - we are emitting more CO2 than ever before - CO2 is a greenhouse gas - measured temperatures are rising. No other thoroughly investigated possible link to measured warming is viable except rising levels of CO2. Geez some people here are scientific fuckwits. Some of you fuckheads need to read some real science, not the crap poured into the media by fox etc. who inform the blogs of non-scientists. Do you actually believe that Mockton has something useful to say? Frankly he's a fraud who - amongst other crap - claims to be a member of parliment when he cannot be because his peerage is inherited.

    40. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'm a liberal and I'm not asking for big government at all.

      Also you are speaking of a larger "tribe" as if you have some greater humanity than others. Well I don't trust you. I'd rather we have a society that has collectivised the protection of individual rights and doesn't require armchair warriors to bleat in comment sections to keep us safe or focus on causes to affect change.

      You're not a liberal and are misusing the term.

    41. Re:Climatology by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Welp... They're all passed out and you've now given me a good idea. I am going to go downstairs, lay on my comfy couch, and go to sleep with Wonders of the Universe playing on an actual television. (I ripped it and can stream it from my house.)

      Thanks! Merry happy.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    42. Re:Climatology by KGIII · · Score: 1

      To be fair, presumably there are some people for whom astrological predictions will be right. Science would actually collect *that* data, normalize it, and say that "Astrology, for unknown reasons, is accurate __% of the time, with this, that and the other things, and is an entirely idiotic way to make predictions because it's as good or worse than an equivalent placebo in which we wrote randomized predictions based on the position of the stars and then tracked the results. We also did a test with participants who were aware of the predictions and those who were unaware of the predictions and this ____ is our result."

      (And more...)

      See? I mean, if we're gonna be pedantic about what is and isn't science then I suggest we be intellectually honest with ourselves. And someone's probably already done that study. But, it *could* be studied in a much more rigorous manner than you indicated. We don't have to know how it works - we can simply start by seeing if there is any correlation and, if so, we can investigate further for causation or make some predictions as to why there's causation (if there is some of any meaningful amount). By which I mean we can probably say the correlation and predictions made by astrologers are worse than a controlled group and, perhaps, a double blind study. (I'm kind of assuming that's how the results would be - I've done no research on this.)

      Point being, we can test for this. Do certain types get along better than others? Is one more inclined to favor a flower? Does one have a number that has had significance - that they've noted? Etc... Hell, I'd be kind of surprised if nobody has studied this. Unfortunately, Google is so very far away and I am lazy. And mildly intoxicated. Also, I should be sleeping.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    43. Re: Climatology by KGIII · · Score: 1

      Then the damage done to science in general is irreparable and people turn towards superstition and religion instead of leaning towards rational thinking.

      --
      "So long and thanks for all the fish."
    44. Re: Climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      A proper analogy would be to roll dice with hundreds of surfaces, only 3 of which you can actually see. You don't know how many surfaces there are or how big each surface is. You make predictions (getting government grants to do so of course) into the future and continually go back (hind cast) to make sure your model looks like it has skill) as actual results come in. When the model you made 10 years ago is compared to empirical data, you find it fails.

      Oh dear.

    45. Re: Climatology by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      [climatology] is yet to make a successful prediction.

      1. Polar amplification.
      2. Stratospheric cooling

      You now have two well known examples of large scale natural phenomena first observed in climate models, there are many more, google is your friend, my community service is done.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    46. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It SNOWED last Winter. Therefore global warming is obviously a MYTH!

    47. Re: Climatology by khallow · · Score: 1

      Most scientists are in fields where there is little, if any, net reward for unethical work. When you look at fields where there are such rewards, like climatology, economics, or pharmaceuticals, then the behavior changes.

    48. Re: Climatology by Gr8Apes · · Score: 2

      Seems they have been doing predictions for a while, and the time frame is set: Transitions between glacial and warm climates — and back again — might come in a matter of only a few centuries if not faster. So as you can see we have not even approached a single test's time frame, although the effects of the predictions appear to be happening more or less.

      --
      The cesspool just got a check and balance.
    49. Re:Climatology by dryeo · · Score: 2

      Actually some of the basic premises of astrology have been proven correct.
      Premise number one is that you can use the stars as a calendar, I doubt that anyone would deny that now.
      Premise number two, that the time of birth affects someones success in life. Originally the idea that someone born in times of plenty (varies in region and livelihood) will have more success then someone born in times of famine such as late winter. Not sure of studies on this but it seems reasonable and worth studying. Presently there has been studies that show that children born closer to the beginning of the school year have more success then those born towards the end of the school year. So time of birth does affect success in life.
      Premise number three, that the stars are causative in the success in life department. This is where astrology fails but the premise was worth following given numbers 1 and 2 above.
      There was also the predicting the movements of planets that astrology got good at and predicting the future which was mostly a failure though the calendar part did allow some climate predictions such as colder in winter type of predictions.
      So mostly astrology failed due to mixing up causation and correlation.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    50. Re: Climatology by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      do you have any proof that a majority of models fail? And if they do fail, how? because failing because it didn't predict the severity of empirical data is not a 'failure' in terms of predicting climate change...

      Climate prediction is certainly a complex issue, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't try.

      But back to models, please show us that a majority of models overstate climate change effects...

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    51. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps we need to distinguish between science , expertise, abd consultant. I too have paid on and off attention to climate since I was a kid. Lots of people let moral judgements override proper claims on correlation and causation. The current prediction set with error bars on water level and temperature seem a sure bet if we simply assume we are in a natural interglacial period with a linear increase in water level and temperature over the past say 10000 years. Yet the AWG concentration actually understates the issues facing us. Enjoy.

    52. Re:Climatology by Aristos+Mazer · · Score: 1

      Astrology *was* science at one time. A huge number of early scientists circa 1800s were into astrology. And it has its footprints in a lot of earlier work that became modern science. Astrology made a lot of predictions. Eventually, we discarded it. It is an _invalid_ scientific theory. It is one of the dead ends of science research, but that doesn't invalidate the history.

    53. Re: Climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      Proof? A simple sanity check, comparing the ensembles to actual measured data is more than enough. The models run consistently hot. Of course they do. They're parametrized to run hot.

    54. Re: Climatology by JBell4 · · Score: 0

      JR Christy? Surely you could pick an actual contrarian and not an idiot? -- However, once he sows the seeds of doubt into the minds of his audience, Dr. Christy proceeds to argue, similar to Dr. Lindzen, that recent warming could simply be due to the internal variability of the global climate. Dr. Christy argues that this is a plausible alternative explanation to man-made global warming because "we", as he puts it, are finding that the climate is not sensitive to greenhouse gases, and he claims that observational data is not consistent with climate model predictions. Thus, Dr. Christy concludes, reducing greenhouse gas emissions will have little impact on the climate. As you can see, this is a very similar alternative hypothesis to that put forth by Dr. Lindzen. In fact, when Dr. Christy says "we" are finding that the climate is insensitive to greenhouse gases, he refers exclusively to studies by Dr. Lindzen and Dr. Spencer. Virtually all other climate science research has found that the climate is indeed quite sensitive to greenhouse gases, and the work of Dr. Lindzen and Dr. Spencer concluding otherwise contains numerous errors. And as with Dr. Lindzen's alternative hypothesis, every single one of Dr. Christy's arguments is directly contradicted by the observational data (as illustrated in the links above). Thus unfortunately we once again find that even the arguments by climate scientist "skeptics" that we need not worry about global warming or greenhouse gas emissions are scientifically unsound. There's an important distinction to be made here: human-caused global warming is a robust scientific theory which is supported by a vast body of evidence and has withstood extreme scientific scrutiny for many decades. The alternative hypotheses like that of Dr. Christy, on the other hand, have quickly been falsified by ongoing scientific research. Additionally, another critical point which Dr. Christy neglects is that even aside from climate change, our carbon emissions are also causing ocean acidification (another major environmental problem which we refer to as "global warming's evil twin"), and there are numerous other issues with our continued reliance on fossil fuels (i.e. peak oil, air pollution, reliance on foreign energy sources, etc.). It's unfortunate that Dr. Christy and his two "skeptic" colleagues continue to present this misleading and scientifically unsound information to the general public and policymakers, because the more we listen to them and the longer we wait, the worse the consequences will be. www.skepticalscience.com/examining-christys-skepticism.html

      --
      Oh, they have the internet on computers now
    55. Re: Climatology by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1
      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    56. Re: Climatology by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      the question was your claim that the models are overstating effects. You do or do not have supporting arguments that a majority of models do this?

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    57. Re: Climatology by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Newtonian physics is the precursor to Relativity and therefore the relationship holds. Astrology actually does successfully track and predict the movements of the sky quite well. It was astrologers who learned to predict eclipses for instance. The same can be true for much of chemistry. The only difference is that these arts were pre-science and therefore when the scientific method came about they were tested and the parts that fit the models were then contained within scientific models whereas Newtonian Physics was not developed post science.

      Astrology, Alchemy, and Newtonian Physics can all be used to make predictions which are good enough for some purposes. They are also ALL known to predict inaccurate and therefore incorrect predictions. You are going to have a hard time explaining the functional calendars of ancient cultures developed in a time when all study of the sky was astrology and there was no such thing as astronomy while still claiming astrology fails to predict the behavior of macro objects. All early astronomical models are actually astrological models.

    58. Re: Climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      I honestly don't care who he is or what he believes. Is his graph correct or not?

    59. Re: Climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      Seriously? The idiotic study that didn't take into account tuning of the models with past data? How do the models do if you take today's data and hindcast? The Guardian, Post and SA are heavily vested in the paradigm. Of course they're going to big up that paper. Why wouldn't they?

    60. Re: Climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      What, you mean apart from the fact that the IPCC has continually adjusted its measure of sensitivity to Co2 downwards?

    61. Re: Climatology by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      Still waiting for your showing that the majority of studies are flawed. data that shows it....or don't you actually have that?

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    62. Re: Climatology by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      From this and your other responses, pretty sure you don't have any evidence. One last chance. You saying something means little. Show peer reviewed studies proving your claims...

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    63. Re: Climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      I mean 10 years ago it stated a different, higher temperature increase in future for a doubling of CO2. Today that temperature is far lower. They lower it with each report. Why? Because actual data confounds their previous predictions. Eventually they'll find the minima and I expect that to be between 1 and 1.5C. Note: this is not a catastrophic temperature increase.

      Now more importantly the debate is so political today especially in the US (I'm from the UK where although it is political, it's not quite so left-right) that it's very hard to disambiguate the truth from the gigantic wall of bullshit erected by every pressure group, vested interest (there are plenty on both sides), institutional press-release (spin) and outright fraud. Cook's 97% paper for example, was an absolute disgrace yet it's quoted by pretty much everyone from the President of the United States to the ignoramuses writing comment columns in national newspapers. When the truth eventually emerges, how much damage will have been done to public trust in scientific integrity? I suspect quite a lot.

      I'm already reeling from being told eating a boiled egg every morning isn't going to kill me, or that over 75% of all psychology papers cannot be replicated.

    64. Re: Climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 2

      Who's going to study or publish papers rubbishing this stuff? Someone who wants tenure? Someone keen to attract government money to his institution? It's interesting, isn't it, that most sceptics (Judith Curry and Richard Lindzen are rare exceptions) are retired academics.

      With respect to models not matching the actual temperature rise, here's a paper. Does that sate your lust, or are you going to find a reason to dismiss it because it goes against your already strongly held opinions?

    65. Re: Climatology by Vitriol+Angst · · Score: 1

      I'm certainly not a Liberal, because I remember growing up with them and they were very tactful, never spoke in sweeping generalizations, and were polite. I'm just not happy enough nor educated enough to be a true Liberal. I don't quote Keats nor do I have one sweater vest (OK, just the one).

      I'm a Progressive. I'm a pissed of Liberal who believes in Democratic Socialism and enough to make sure nobody slips through the cracks but not centralized planning or a perfectly level playing field that Communism requires (note: Communism does not require central planning). I know we have to guarantee rights and I think going back to stronger restrictions on corporations, as the Founding Fathers intended, is an absolute necessity.

      If you did not intend the meaning that your words implied, I apologize, But what I said still applies to what impression most people would construe by your post.

      Socialism is the only path right now for America if we want to avoid the dystopian world I believe we are headed for -- and ending the "dollars = votes" lobbying system. Do people honestly think most people will be able to have a decent income in the labor force 10 years from now? Self-driving cars means self-driving trucks and taxis. We can't even count on fast food burger flipping. Free education and healthcare aren't even enough to deal with the indentured servitude we will be facing.

      PS.
      I'm not sure why I'm making these comments in a discussion of String Theory.

      --
      >>"ad space available -- low rates!!!"
    66. Re: Climatology by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      Kinda sounds like you don't know very many scientists either. They hate to shill and they hate those who promote lies. Scientists are also overwhelmingly ethical people.

      Obviously you don't know many scientific people. I guess I'm a bit jaded, I've seen scientist after scientists caught red handed by NSF with bullshit studies. But don't take my word for it, open a newspaper sometime. Plenty of examples.

      As for MMGW, that's a load of crap. You can go back to the 14th century and read how Venitians were trying to keep the Adriatic out of the city. It's been rising for well over 1000 years. Plenty of other scientific proof what we're experiencing is Weather. Nothing to do with man. It's just man trying to make a buck off of other (stupid) men.

    67. Re: Climatology by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      You made a claim, I've simply been asking for you to back up that claim. After MULTIPLE requests you finally respond with a single source. Something, but nothing near 'most models overstate climate change'.

      So the content of this study is irrelevant ....but here goes -

      The author Patrick Michaels has been pretty thoroughly wrong about climate for a while now
      link 1
      link 2

      Here's debunking of your two authors climate change opinions

      here's another posting by your authors Watts Up With That
      And here's another debunking.

      So no I don't throw out the paper due to any preconceived ideas, I do tend to discount it because MULTIPLE SCIENCE professionals provide examples of why it's authors have been full of shit on this topic and are paid shills for the CATO institute - a well known political entity with obvious agendas to push.

      Unlike you, science doesn't have agendas. Perhaps individual scientists, or 'people', do but science is data and it rules above all else.

      Note the deepclimate article above, where it shows your authors clearly cherry picking which parts of a study to quote and what they leave out is the part about how it's easy to be disingenuous if you cherry pick data. Just WOW.

      And one more thing - you perhaps noticed Ted Cruz claiming there's been no warming at all for the last 18 years. Funnily it does pan out that 1998 and 2015 are very similar in temps. What's that 18 year period though, seems like a random number right? Well that's the ONLY date range that shows his claim because 18 years ago was one of the hottest on record.

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    68. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sarah?

    69. Re: Climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

      Unlike you, science doesn't have agendas

      How sweet. Also extremely naïve and a complete straw man. Science cannot have an agenda. It's a noun. However, people and institutions can have agendas which range from simply needing to pay their mortgage or gain tenure, to promoting a political position (activism). This is the basis of the complete misnomer that is the skepticalscience website. A real sceptic can be found here for example, or here. The former is the guy who debunked Michael Mann's statistical shenanigans that made the medieval warm period "disappear".

      And Ted Cruz? He's a politician. Too slick by half. I doubt his authenticity. He has an agenda.

    70. Re: Climatology by pixelpusher220 · · Score: 1

      ClimateAudit.org, run by a fossil fuel company exec. Oh yeah, that's not biased at all.

      Judith Curry - thoroughly discredited by numerous sources. Same as your other link.

      You do know you can google people to find out about them right? or are you just regurgitating the FOX news/Koch Bros koolaid with understanding it doesn't stand up to serious critique?

      Ted Cruz is espousing the exact same position as your 'experts'. Perhaps they have an agenda too?

      --
      People in cars cause accidents....accidents in cars cause people :-D
    71. Re: Climatology by mi · · Score: 1

      google is your friend

      Nope, that's not, how debating is done. You make an argument, you provide evidence. Until then your claim remains unsubstantiated. Here it goes again:

      list of pairs: one element in each pair shall point to a prediction, and the other — to it coming true within 80% of the predicted value (if applicable)

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    72. Re: Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's what happens when you bring a potato to a nerdfight.

    73. Re: Climatology by dywolf · · Score: 2

      since when have you ever cared about substantiated arguments?
      especially on the topic of the climate, where you repeatedly make unsubstantiated, and even well disproven, statements, even within this very thread ?

      no choice but to throw the BS flag on that play.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    74. Re: Climatology by mi · · Score: 1

      within this very thread

      The burden of proof is not on me in this thread. It is on the people, who want me to change how I live "for the sake of the planet". If they want me to believe them, they have to substantiate their arguments.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    75. Re:Climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, sorry, theory has one and ONLY one accepted definition when applied to the scientific method (which is what we are discussing).

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_theory

      And you well know that, english be damned. So stop trying to be cute.

    76. Re: Climatology by dywolf · · Score: 1

      again: they already have been, but your typical response to all the proof in the world is to ignore it.
      you have never given one flying fuck about substantiated arguments, not truly, thus you are full of shit, and all your pleas for proof, for arguments, are nothing but a smokescreen to mask you own willful blindness.

      you are the man who doth protest too much:

      "oh where oh whre is the proof?"
      here it is, in front of your face.
      "no the real proof, substantiated arguments"
      they are substantiated, backed by years of research, and collectively peer reviewed until this in the consensus of the community
      "no, that's not it."
      well then you're a fucking idiot, cause youve already been given exactly what you want. we can lead you to water, can even put in a bucket for you, but if you're too goddamned willfully ignorant to drink it, you can fucking die of thirst.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    77. Re: Climatology by dywolf · · Score: 1

      and at this point, the burden of proof is not, and has not been, on the climate scientists arguing AGW's existence.
      the mountain of proof is so high, so interconnectingly reinforcing, that the burden of proof is on the idiots like you who would deny its very existence.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  2. Why this is so hard to grasp... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hint:

    You're missing an element in an essential position. The upper left-hand side of your table is flawed. When this is fixed, there will be realignment of the table, and everything will really start to make sense.

    The neutron is not your enemy. It's your friend, so long as you can contain it.

  3. Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The condition for science is that it has to be testable in principle, NOT that it has to be testable within the limits of current technology. When Higgs came up with his theory there was no accelerator capable of testing it (although we did not know that at the time). So would that make the Higgs mechanism non-science until the 21st century when we built the LHC? Clearly not. So, unless String theory is completely untestable in principle, regardless of potential future technological advances, it is science albeit science which is currently impossible to test with current technology.

    1. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, String Theory has testability issues today (but maybe not tomorrow).
      But, more seriously, ST has uselessness issues. In other words, what has it figured out?

    2. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      But, more seriously, ST has uselessness issues. In other words, what has it figured out?

      It has figured out how to obtain grant money.

    3. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      What if their goal isn't to make a testable prediction that diverges from the current best theory, but merely to explain more elegantly what's already explained? Shouldn't that count as scientific progress too?

      After all, heliocentrism didn't make any prediction that a sufficiently elaborate theory of epicycle couldn't explain, it merely stated that the equations of motion were simpler if you put the Sun at the center.

    4. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by hey! · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The classic example used by logical positivists in the early 20th century was any conjecture about the far side of the Moon. Until we developed spacecraft any statement about the half of the Moon we can't see would have been untestable in practical terms, but it would have been testable in principle.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    5. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      But is string theory actually simpler? We have to have world class mathematicians working on it and they're not getting anywhere. I would also add that explanations need to have the quality of excluding certain results. Does string theory adequately exclude anything? It seems it is still at the stage where the mathematics can be massaged to include anything not yet proven or disproven by current physics.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    6. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Venus' phases are predicted by heliocentrism, but not epicycles. They absolutely depend on Venus sometimes being between the Earth and the Sun, and sometimes farther from Earth than the Sun.

      This was how Galileo proved heliocentricity.

    7. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      The uselessness issue is the same problem as the testability issue, and so the same argument against it is similarly invalid.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    8. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      So, unless String theory is completely untestable in principle, regardless of potential future technological advances, it is science albeit science which is currently impossible to test with current technology.

      That is what the article claims to be. It mentions that if we could test for Super-Symmetry it would support String Theory, but that String Theory is not the only theory that predicts it. The author claims that there is no test that can be done that would prove String Theory true as opposed to other theories.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    9. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by sjames · · Score: 4, Interesting

      But that's not what string theory does. Instead, it predicts everything. No, not everything we have observed, EVERYTHING. No negative or positive finding tests string theory, it just suggests more knobs to twiddle. The one shining hope is that if we don't find supersymmetry, it is dead as a theory since it cannot accommodate a universe without.

      It could be forgiven all of that if it made things more tractable, but it doesn't.

    10. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're wrong. Venus's phases can be explained by adding a 1.0-AU-radius, 1-year-period epicycle to its 0.72-AU-radius, 0.62-year-period orbit, and assuming that it is being lit by the Sun.

    11. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      It is.

      That is not my understanding. If we could build an accelerator that could reach the Planck scale then we could test quantum gravity and study the emission of gravitons, quantum decay of black holes etc. which I understood String Theory made predictions for. Certainly with the Large Extra Dimension theories which the LHC looks for the different theories can provide different signatures in particular circumstances for effects leading up to Black Hole formation.

    12. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by phantomfive · · Score: 1
      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    13. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      If string theory is untestable in principle, how do you explain the existence of tests?

    14. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by losfromla · · Score: 1

      They are getting better at insanely complicated math though...

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    15. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      There are predictions out there that will need to be made. If string theory predicts them, then it is (up to that point) accurate. If it doesn't do a better job than some other theory or model, then it's still accurate (to that point) but then a decision needs to be made about what is the better model or theory to move forward with.

      In the end, most competing theories are either going to be wrong or exposed as a more complicated way of saying the same thing. In practical terms, if we really believe that we're wasting time and effort on String Theory, then perhaps we decide the most simple means of moving forward practically, and then maintain String Theory (or others) in reserve if the path we decide on reaches a dead end later.

      The real problem here is not the proper way to go forward, it is the egos and more to the point, the careers of the people who have been working on String Theory. Mothballing or maintaining string theory in maintenance mode until we hit a testable point, is a practical solution in the big picture, but it does have real implications for the lives of certain researchers and mathematicians. This is where the scientific method and the profession of scientific researcher is going to have inevitable friction.

    16. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, in so far as every one of the dozens of particles is explained by a harmonic in a string. It may be no better than the holographic principle, but it simplifies things.

    17. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by mbone · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The condition for science is that it has to be testable in principle, NOT that it has to be testable within the limits of current technology. When Higgs came up with his theory there was no accelerator capable of testing it (although we did not know that at the time). So would that make the Higgs mechanism non-science until the 21st century when we built the LHC? Clearly not. So, unless String theory is completely untestable in principle, regardless of potential future technological advances, it is science albeit science which is currently impossible to test with current technology.

      String theory is arguably not science not because it makes predictions we cannot test, but because it basically makes no predictions at all. Originally, when people realized the importance of 10-dimensional manifolds (i.e., of theories with 6 compact dimensions), there was a lot of excitement as people thought (and confidently said) that there would be one and only one suitable such manifold, which would have led to concrete (if maybe hard to test) predictions. But, now, there is a huge number (order 10^500) of such manifolds known, each basically allowing for a separate theory, and we have no idea which could be the right one.

      Also, there is the pesky fact that predictions have been made about the foundations of string theory (that, for example, the LHC would detect the supersymmetric partners of existing particles), and they have not been born out by experiment,

      Having said that, my personal feeling is that string theory is science, but science that is unlikely to be fruitful. Eventually, unless this changes, something else will come along, and it will cease to be the center of attention for theoretical physics.

    18. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Fragnet · · Score: 2

      You don't mean everything, you mean anything.

    19. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by PvtVoid · · Score: 1

      The condition for science is that it has to be testable in principle, NOT that it has to be testable within the limits of current technology. When Higgs came up with his theory there was no accelerator capable of testing it (although we did not know that at the time). So would that make the Higgs mechanism non-science until the 21st century when we built the LHC? Clearly not.

      There's a difference: it was possible long before the LHC to test the Higgs theory for consistency. The Higgs made predictions about how other particles (not the Higgs) would interact with each other. Those could be tested in accelerators which were not energetic enough to produces the Higgs directly.

      String theory? Not so much.

    20. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      We have to have world class mathematicians working on it and they're not getting anywhere.

      But they are making progress! Every couple of weeks, someone adds a couple of new dimensions, to improve the model.

      I think we should just cut to the chase scene, and decide that we are living in an Abstract Hilbert Space of infinite dimensions, and be down with it.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    21. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are talking about mathematics here. The difference between anything and everything is the difference between asserting a number or a set.

    22. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Link to a few please.

    23. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      By that logic:

      * The Big Bang Theory is not Science,
      * hell, most of Astrophysics is not science either

      Science is nothing more then Applied Philosophy.

      What makes the Philosophy (of Science) interesting is in the trying to Apply it. If we tossed out every scientific philosophy simply because we didn't have a way to (yet) test it, Science would remain an incredible narrow domain. Science is supposed to be about Truth. Once we start artificially limiting how the Truth is arrived at you have a cult / dogma.

      Belief is not the problem. The String Theory Model is an interesting one. But I would hate to label it as Non-Science simply because we are still trying to explain problems with The Standard Model

    24. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by plopez · · Score: 1

      "If we could build an accelerator that could reach the Planck scale"

      That's a big if. And until testable it is not science.

      --
      putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    25. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As opposed to people like military contractors who use money to build shit that blows people up.

      Sorry, but I'd rather have my money "wasted" on science, even if it's to help prove a theory.

    26. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The condition for science is that it has to be testable in principle, NOT that it has to be testable within the limits of current technology. When Higgs came up with his theory there was no accelerator capable of testing it (although we did not know that at the time). So would that make the Higgs mechanism non-science until the 21st century when we built the LHC? Clearly not. So, unless String theory is completely untestable in principle, regardless of potential future technological advances, it is science albeit science which is currently impossible to test with current technology.

      What a bunch of bullshit. So if I had a physical theory that needed the whole of the universe and 10^70 atoms to be testable it would be ok ? Of course not. Testable in principle means jack shit. Testable in physics is not some kind of eternal property. It is contextual to a specific time and place.
      And to be clear, physicists went along with the Higgs mechanism because although it was an ad hoc mechanism inserted by force in the standard model, it was still an indirectly testable hypothesis. And had the LHC not found the Higgs boson it wouldn't have destroyed the standard model. Just this particular mass generating mechanism. So no, physicists didn't flock to the Higgs mechanism just because it was testable in principle.

    27. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which means, again, that the Higgs prediction wasn't science until the LHC came on-line, which seems a bit unfair really.

    28. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by shaitand · · Score: 2

      You realize this is exactly the same problem higgs had. Just because we don't have the tools to perform the experiment yet doesn't stop it from being science. It doesn't magically blossom into being science when build the equipment to test it.

    29. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by MouseTheLuckyDog · · Score: 1

      Uhh.
      The holographic principle comes from string theory the strongest indications of it, AdS/CFT is a part staring theory.

    30. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by lgw · · Score: 2

      As I understand it, String Theory has one fundamental (and very odd) premise: that all particle masses are integer multiples of the Planck mass, with all known particles having a rest mass of 0, plus a bit of rounding error (OK, it all sounds fishy to me, so maybe I don't quite have that right). Anyhow, the discovery of particles with about 1 Planck Mass (obviously not point particles) would be an experimental triumph. And who knows what dark matter is - maybe there's a surprise waiting.

      But other than that exceedingly far-fetched idea, I don't see any way string theory won't be abandoned at this point.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    31. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by ChunderDownunder · · Score: 1

      And remember it wasn't until the 2012 documentary Iron Sky that we had conclusive proof of a Germanic military installation.

    32. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Creationism could make the same argument. Just because we don't currently know how to test for a creator (other than tingling in the spine from prayer), the future could change that.

      Maybe every quark has a little label "Made by God" that we haven't found yet because our microscopes are not yet good enough, for example.

    33. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Ramze · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The problem is that its equations are quite elegant and simple -- because its goal was to unify the fundamental forces... and by doing so, created so many variables, functions, and possibilities, you can describe just about any universe that might exist. Each particle exists in 11 dimensions with varying degrees of freedom -- and we have few hints at the shapes of those hidden dimensions. Pinning it down to our universe is hard -- really hard. Like 10 ^ 99 possibilities hard. And, there's still the possibility that it's wrong, but there are a very long list of possibilities to go through before they can figure that out. Even if they find one that matches perfectly, just because the math agrees doesn't mean it says anything about how the universe really works -- just that the math works.

      But, say you want to describe fundamental forces -- easy... the equations for light, gravity, strong force, and weak force look identical in string theory except for a function tacked on the end -- same for particles and their properties. (Also, as the energy level reaches a certain point, the forces converge towards a point where they are all equal.... as if they are all aspects of the same force that split into different dimensions.)

      The same sort of thing was done to predict the Higgs. Equations were written as if all particles were massless plus some function based on interaction with the Higgs. Without the Higgs, the equations were ugly and none of the equations for the particles looked alike, but factor in the Higgs, and they all fall beautifully into place as identical plus some Higgs function. So much was based on this math, that it was understood that it HAD to be right -- years before the particle from the field was discovered.

      The irony is -- string theory is a bit like creating epicycles to make the Earth the center of the solar system in the sense that string theory was created to unify the forces -- and in doing so, necessitated the creation of multiple curled up dimensions. It made some things very easy by postulating something strange. Einstein described gravity as the curvature of spacetime, and this gave string theorists the initiative to do the same with the other forces. It may be right -- it's probably right... it looks right in how elegant the math is... but... there's no way to test it -- yet. The theory says more about what can be rather than what must be, so it'll be a while before it matures enough to be called true "science."

    34. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by DrJimbo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      What if their goal isn't to make a testable prediction that diverges from the current best theory, but merely to explain more elegantly what's already explained? Shouldn't that count as scientific progress too?

      An excellent question! Yes, more elegant explanations of existing phenomena are definitely a big part of science. The unification of electricity and magnetism is an example . But that unification led to new predictions that the non-unified models did not. Yet, even if string theory was able to make the same predictions as the standard model and no new predictions then, hell yeah, it is would be science. The problem is that it makes no predictions. Well, to be more accurate, it makes way too many predictions which is pretty much the same thing.

      You see, explaining what has already been explained involves making testable predictions. String theory does not do this which is why it is not science. That doesn't mean it is worthless to pursue.

      --
      We don't see the world as it is, we see it as we are.
      -- Anais Nin
    35. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Ramze · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Problem is, supersymmetry (SUSY) is the only theory that even attempts to explain why the masses of particles are as small as they are -- including the Higgs particle. Without SUSY, the Higgs, W, and Z bosons become nearly infinitely massive due to loops in their feynmen diagrams. It's the SUSY that cancels out infinities in a lot of equations to make the string theory results make sense.

      Many expect SUSY particles (sparticles) to start showing up at a multiple of the Higgs mass -- say... close to the Higgs mass or an order of magnitude higher, but not much higher. Sparticles are a good candidate for dark matter, but they're unlikely to be detected by the LHC.

      Also, we know that string theory can give the same answers as other quantum theories for known values... so it's not "wrong" so much as it's a different way to do the same math... but ST requires SUSY because it's a necessary result of the math. If you compute a universe that allows both bosons and fermions, then for each boson, there is complementary fermion and vice versa -- only SUSY predicts that they have the same mass, but clearly they don't -- so the symmetry is broken.

      If no sparticles are found at higher energy levels, then someone will have to explain what's wrong with particle physics in general -- because the math works.... so, what is it about the math that is correct that we're incorrectly interpreting as reality? Even if string theory is discounted in favor of another theory... you can wipe out the theory, but not the math. The math is just a different formulation of a problem to get the same answer. If I say 3 + 2 = 5, and the 2 is the sparticle in my theory... then when we find sparticles don't exist, what the heck is it that I'm adding to 3 to make it 5 ?!?!? There must be some unknown physics that string theory is describing as super particles that may actually be something else we don't understand. We don't even know why the symmetry is "broken" in the current theory to begin with.

    36. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by lazy+genes · · Score: 0

      We are taking the ST path because it is right in front of us and it's the path of least resistance. The maths that will come out of this work will lead us onto the next path. IMO it won't be long before they realize what they have found. I feel others have sorted it out...its all about the patterns you get when you look at all the dimensions. It leads you back to the beginning where you finally see and understand the flaws in the theory. The problem now, is that many others must see the same thing..... Big advances in science come after funerals.

    37. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 1

      The big bang theory isn't testable, but that doesn't mean we can't make predictions that ARE testable by observation, giving weight to the theory.

      --
      "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
    38. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      There's nothing wrong with theories that talk of things we can't yet test. That's how we know what technology to develop for use in science.

      The problem comes when we create theories that presuppose untested theories are going to pan out and especially when we then use the aforementioned theories on top of theories to create another layer of theory and keep going like that. If any of those theories are wrong, contain errors or don't work as we expect there's a ton of work that's been wasted. If we're lucky there's been some new mathematical methods created to solve the problems, but that's about it.

      Just because the math is there and checks out does not mean anything for practical applications. If it did, nobody would bother having test pilots working on prototype equipment because it's cheaper to just do the calculations than actually test the machines. Math is perfectly fine slamming an entire plane full of passengers into an orphanage and then having the orphanage explode in a ball of flames killing an entire brigade of firefighters.

    39. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about homeopathy? Water clearly has memory which is NOT within the limits of current tech.

    40. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After all, heliocentrism didn't make any prediction that a sufficiently elaborate theory of epicycle couldn't explain, it merely stated that the equations of motion were simpler if you put the Sun at the center.

      Perhaps with respect to an observer on Earth, but would epicycles be consistent with observations made from Mars?

    41. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      with all known particles having a rest mass of 0

      Do protons have a rest mass of 0?

    42. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by sjames · · Score: 2

      The math happens to produce known correct answers if you twiddle it right, but so what? There are many incorrect equations that when constrained tightly enough happen to give a few right answers for all the wrong reasons. Given a set of data points, you can always construct an equation that contains all of them. What's 11-6? AHHA!, it's 5, that's exactly the number we were looking for!

      You don't need anything so exotic as string theory to have the math suggest odd reflections of reality. I've seen it in a simple high school physics problem. Find the roots of a simple equation to decide if you must brake or accelerate to avoid the train and when must you do it. You get a positive and a negative real root. You toss the negative one since time travel is disallowed in this test. But it does satisfy the equation, doesn't it? So do the imaginary roots, but what do they even mean?

      Not to mention the FFT with it's reflections and imaginary parts everywhere.

      The mathematics of string theory MIGHT prove to be a toolbox for expressing an actual theory symbolically, but don't get the symbols confused with the theory or you'll end up in numerology like Pythagoras did.

    43. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      String theory is arguably not science not because it makes predictions we cannot test, but because it basically makes no predictions at all.

      It makes no predictions at all at low energy. However if by some miracle we figured out how to build a Planck-scale accelerator tomorrow and went to the String Theorists asking for predictions of what we would see I expect that we would immediately get predictions for phenomena which would start to rule out the possibilities. The String Theorists I've asked about predictions have all indicated that the problem is making predictions of low energy phenomena and not at high energy. This is not surprising given the huge difference in energy scale - in some ways it would probably be like trying to use the Standard Model of particle physics to explain low temperature superconductors. In theory this should work but in practice it would be hopelessly complex and almost impossible to use to come up with any sensible predictions for observable phenomena.

    44. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      So if I had a physical theory that needed the whole of the universe and 10^70 atoms to be testable it would be ok ?

      No, because that would make it untestable in principle since the person running the test would be part of the test. Plus with the accelerating expansion of the Universe parts of the universe we can see today are now causally disconnected from us (or will be in the future) which completely prevents us from interacting with them to set up such a test.

      And had the LHC not found the Higgs boson it wouldn't have destroyed the standard model.

      Actually yes it would have because we had an upper limit set on the Higgs mass, about 1 TeV/c^2, above which the SM violated the unitarity bound without the Higgs i.e. the calculated probability of an event happening would have exceeded 100%. When that happens your model is broken. However you are right than just being testable was not the reason physicists love the Higgs mechanism: the reason we love it is because it is an extremely elegant solution to the problem of particle masses.

      To be a useful, interesting scientific theory you need something which, with the right technology, is testable and which also explains a problem with current understanding. Without the former you have a story, not a scientific theory, and without the latter you might have a scientific theory but nobody will be interested in it and so want to test it.

    45. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      Creationism could make the same argument.

      No it cannot because it has no constraints on what is possible. String Theory does. For example if there is no SUSY then there is practically no possibility for Sting Theory. So if we ever get up to the Planck scale with future accelerators and still see no sign of SUSY then String Theory is probably toast. There is no equivalent possibility for creationism because the answer "god made it that way" can be used to answer anything.

    46. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      What about homeopathy?

      Homeopathy has been shown not to work (read the third paragraph) so any theory which explains why it does work is clearly wrong because one of the predictions of such a theory (that homeopathy works) has been proven wrong.

    47. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by tlhIngan · · Score: 1

      The classic example used by logical positivists in the early 20th century was any conjecture about the far side of the Moon. Until we developed spacecraft any statement about the half of the Moon we can't see would have been untestable in practical terms, but it would have been testable in principle.

      And the problem with String Theory is, the stuff may not be testable, ever, because of physics. Measuring stuff at the scale of String Theory invokes the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle, which means that if String Theory makes a prediction, you can't test it, ever because no piece of equipment will be able to measure it.

      And that's where things get interesting. The technology required is impossible to build, ever, barring some fundamental shift in physics as we know it today.

      Of course, I suppose it's possible to try to extend its predictions to larger objects and do it by induction, but things get complex and much more variables come into play.

    48. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by hene · · Score: 1

      I think creationism could be treated as scientific theory and since it has been proven impossible it can be forgotten, but it is valid theory.

      I always think science as process that leads to increase of knowledge from our existence or surroundings. Science can be divided to subcategories as models and theories but it is all science for me. Since it's all semantics options are either redefine science to include models that can not be tested or use some other word. Despite everything here String Theory has potential being important as is and as part of the scientific process it is definitely important.

    49. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by radarskiy · · Score: 2

      "Expanded solar-system limits on violations of the equivalence principle" James Overduin, Jack Mitcham and Zoey Warecki, Classical and Quantum Gravity, Volume 31, Number 1. IOP: http://m.iopscience.iop.org/ar... arxiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/1307.1202

      "Four-Qubit Entanglement Classification from String Theory", L. Borsten, D. Dahanayake, M. J. Duff, A. Marrani, and W. Rubens
      Physical Review Letters 105, 100507. APS: http://journals.aps.org/prl/ab... arxiv http://arxiv.org/abs/1005.4915

      "Permutation orbifolds and holography", Felix M. Haehl, Mukund Rangamani Journal of High Energy Physics 2015:163 Springer: http://link.springer.com/artic... arxiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/1412.2759

      "Quest for the Perfect Liquid: Connecting Heavy Ions, String Theory, and Cold Atoms" Barbara Jacak, John E. Thomas, Clifford Johnson, Symposium at tahe AAAS Amual Meeting 2009 https://www.bnl.gov/aaas09/per...

    50. Re: Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You use words that don't mean what you think they mean. You can predict anything (after the fact) by introducing ad hoc modelling assumptions, but to predict everything (before it is even discovered to exist) requires a model that explains reality.

      Apples and oranges, learn the difference.

    51. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by tsa · · Score: 1

      If it isn't tested for whatever reason, it's a hypothesis, not a theory.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    52. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Until we developed spacecraft any statement about the half of the Moon we can't see would have been untestable in practical terms, but it would have been testable in principle.

      And until it's testable, you're not doing science. You're only doing the first part, imagining things. You're not doing the sciencey part, just the imagination part. It's not irrelevant, but it's not science.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    53. Re: Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by bigjocker · · Score: 1

      Wish I had mod points. Most informative comment in a long time.

      --
      Life isn't like a box of chocolates. It's more like a jar of jalapenos. What you do today, might burn your ass tomorrow.
    54. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      "The big bang theory isn't testable"

      Is it about making 'testable predictions' or about being testable

    55. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have heard disturbing rumors that the documentarians didn't really travel to the moon, and they faked the whole thing on a movie set and within computer models.

      In fact, several people have already admitted to being part of the conspiracy to produce the fraud. The question is whether or not they're lying, as part of another conspiracy to trick us into incorrectly believing that Iron Sky was a fraud.

    56. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by BarbaraHudson · · Score: 1

      In other words, you just repeated the second half of my statement, slightly paraphrased. So what was your point?

      --
      "Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
    57. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Aristos+Mazer · · Score: 1

      At the moment, no string theory that I know of proposes and testable theory, with current or future technology. There's nothing within the model that would let us discriminate at a macro layer whether it is true or not. Same is true with multiverse at the moment -- if another universe were to collide with ours, we might spot its signature, but in the absence of such an event, there's no test that can be run to rule multiverse in or out thus far. If someone comes up with a way to do such a test, then it becomes a theory.

    58. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by lgw · · Score: 1

      Do protons have a rest mass of 0?

      Measured in units of Plank mass, damn near: 7.7 x 10^-20. We don't know very precisely what the rest mass of quarks are, but the proton mass is about 1% from matter, as 99% of a proton's mass is binding energy. And we don't have any theory explaining why the rest mass of quarks is what it is - so it's possible we'll discover it's much lower, and there's some other sort of binding energy involved at a lower level.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    59. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by gstoddart · · Score: 1

      The technology required is impossible to build, ever, barring some fundamental shift in physics as we know it today.

      Which, arguably, pretty much says "this is not and cannot ever be considered science because it's just shit you make up which can't be tested".

      String theory has always had the ring of stuff people make up to sound cool at parties but which is otherwise completely meaningless drivel.

      Color me surprised by this.

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    60. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Each particle exists in 11 dimensions with varying degrees of freedom -- and we have few hints at the shapes of those hidden dimensions. Pinning it down to our universe is hard -- really hard. Like 10 ^ 99 possibilities hard.

      Easier way to explain it: "It's the Perl of scientific theories."

    61. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes they would. To predict the position of Jupiter from Mars, you'd compute 2 orbits and 2 epicycles and combine them correctly.

    62. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't the Planck mass around 21 nanograms? All the subatomic particles I know of have much less mass than that...did you mean fractional instead of multiples of the Planck mass?

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planck_mass

      In physics, the Planck mass, denoted by mP, is the unit of mass in the system of natural units known as Planck units. It is defined so that
      m_\text{P}=\sqrt{\frac{\hbar c}{G}} 1.2209×1019 GeV/c2 = 2.17651(13)×108 kg

      The Planck mass is nature’s maximum allowed mass for point-masses (quanta) – in other words, a mass capable of holding a single elementary charge. If two quanta of the Planck mass or greater met, they could spontaneously form a black hole whose Schwarzschild radius equals their Compton wavelength.[citation needed] Once such a hole formed, other particles would fall in, and the black hole would experience runaway, explosive growth (assuming it did not evaporate via Hawking radiation). Nature’s stable point-mass particles, such as electrons and quarks, are many, many orders of magnitude lighter than the Planck mass and cannot form black holes in this manner. On the other hand, extended objects (as opposed to point-masses) can have any mass.
      Unlike all other Planck base units and most Planck derived units, the Planck mass has a scale more or less conceivable to humans. It is traditionally said to be about the mass of a flea, but more accurately it is about the mass of a flea egg.

    63. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by localman · · Score: 1

      No, it wasn't just simpler. The heliocentric model explained the orbits more precisely. Check out Kepler.

      If we were to go by the idea that elegant explanations with no predictive power were science, then I propose a "theory" which by gravity is conveyed by magic invisible elastic bands that are attached to everything in the universe. And I'll write equations and come up with rules that will make the behavior identical to what we see observed. If you find a problem, I'll just update my equations accordingly. We could do that back-and-forth forever and I can hold on to my "theory" forever.

      No, to find out if my theory has any merit, we need to show some way in which looking at the world through my theory provides a better understanding, a more precise model, and not just an appealing idea. Elegant ideas can provide useful inspiration for scientific exploration, but if they don't make any testable predictions they are just dreams, no more true or false than fairies. The foundation of science, as opposed to every other system of knowledge is it's brutal testing of ideas against reality.

      String theory, as far as I've read, provides no insight into the behavior of anything, and thus we simply can't tell if it's real or not. It might as well be fairies.

    64. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by lgw · · Score: 1

      No, really, integer multiples of Planck mass. That's why it's an interesting prediction. The "all current particles are 0, more or less" bit is typical useless String Theory handwaving, but the discovery of a particle of about 1 (or n) Planck mass would be something. We still haven't built a successful dark matter detector, so the possibility is still real.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    65. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      For the sake of argument, suppose we were living in a created universe. Your rule suggests that science couldn't determine that and the cause of creation could never be scientifically known.

    66. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by doom · · Score: 1

      UnknownSoldier wrote:

      By that logic: * The Big Bang Theory is not Science, * hell, most of Astrophysics is not science either ... If we tossed out every scientific philosophy simply because we didn't have a way to (yet) test it, Science would remain an incredible narrow domain. Science is supposed to be about Truth. Once we start artificially limiting how the Truth is arrived at you have a cult / dogma.

      Yeah, you've got it: there is no Definition of Science that doesn't exclude a bunch of stuff that certainly seems like science. And no, Virginia, Popper's falsification is not accepted by actual scientists as the fundamental principle of science: Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, Wikipedia.

      In the case of String Theory we've got a bunch of smart folks working very hard at making inferences pushing the limits of what's known and what's knowable. If it was easy to do experiments to settle these issues, then they'd have been done already and the frontier would be somewhere else. It doesn't follow that no one is ever going to come up with relevent experimental data, and scientific theories don't actually come with expiration dates, like, "must be verified by Christmas".

      Arguably these guys were working on a quickie experiment to settle an aspect of string theory (though I expect someone to jump in with a dogmatic definition of string theory that excludes the theory that the universe has a distributed information character to it in the same manner as a hologram).

    67. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by doom · · Score: 1

      mbone wrote:

      Also, there is the pesky fact that predictions have been made about the foundations of string theory (that, for example, the LHC would detect the supersymmetric partners of existing particles), and they have not been born out by experiment,

      I don't claim to be an expert on String Theory, but that doesn't reflect my understanding of it at all. String theorists do a lot of calculations assuming supersymmetry, but it's essentially just a mathematical simplification: it's understood that the actual universe we're living in is not supersymmetric. They're exploring the "landscape" of possible universes, and hoping that understanding the supersymmetric case will help with the non-supersymmetic ones.

    68. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by doom · · Score: 1

      Anonymous wrote:

      Testable in principle means jack shit. Testable in physics is not some kind of eternal property. It is contextual to a specific time and place.

      But I want my proof and I want it now. It makes me all squiggy and uncomfortable to live with uncertainty. Science is supposed to be the font of absolute knowledge, if they can't give it to me, then what business do they have calling themselves Scientists! What a bunch of con-artists. I may have to go back to EST or AKB48 or something.

    69. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      uh... engineering?

    70. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      Not sure, my comment made sense.

      Also not sure that ST is testable or that it makes testable predictions.

    71. Re:Only if you Exclude Technological Limits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      DO I understand well? One manifold for this little pinky, one manifold for the toe... Say, one manifold for the physical world (level 0), one manifold for the physical world (level 1), ..., one manifold is Human History, another one is Human Conscience, another one is Ecosystems (say), etc. You imply we just have to choose which manifold then break heads til we find how to test it, but confronted to a diversity of choices, they ought to have different meanings; the implied assumption is always that physicality rules, so we MUST be able to go continuously from Physics into Chemistry into Biochemistry into Biology into Economics... root each level on the last one (PER FORCE, pun), and reach true (scientific) conclusions, and it is ALL inside the same physical universe. As you put it, String theory as multiple manifolds DOES SEEM to be such over encompassing theory, only you are insisting in that it can ONLY be used to represent physics. I took some ideas from string theory and in fact Human History does seem to follow and be rules by the same structure! When you DO base Human History on one **single** physical fact, actually, brain to brain communications. Can you locate which manifold (seems to be) is the Afterlife and where do Nymphs live? Considering the atomic theory was around for two thousand years before something clearer came out on it, this discussion is just premature. Though I still think History can be re-expressed as a form of string theory and TESTING may still be located elsewhere in the superstructure. - djb

  4. ... all they've got are string theorists. by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

    Obligatory: Unscientific

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    1. Re:... all they've got are string theorists. by michelcolman · · Score: 1

      Or this one.

  5. Sophistry by mschwanke97402 · · Score: 1

    Hypothesis is proposed science and theory is more tested and proven science. Whatever. A reasonably well developed hypothesis is still science.

    1. Re:Sophistry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As long as it supports the development of experiments that can potentially disprove it. Yes. If it does not, then it is not a "reasonably well-developed hypothesis", and in fact reasonability doesn't seem to be a factor. Just falsifiability.

    2. Re:Sophistry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there is no such thing as proven science

    3. Re:Sophistry by narcc · · Score: 1

      Nonsense.

    4. Re:Sophistry by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1
      The "Baloney Detection Kit" stuff is mostly baloney. Even his page about ad hominem is highly debatable.

      Example:

      A: "All rodents are mammals, but a weasel isn't a rodent, so it can't be a mammal." B: "You're an asshole."

      B's reply is not necessarily ad hominem. There is no evidence that's his abusive statement is intended as a counter-argument. If it's not an argument, it's not an ad hominem argument.

      Utter nonsense. It is quite obvious that B's statement is intended as counter-argument, because it was stated as reply to A's statement. Further, insult has replaced any logical argument, but it's still being used as an argument. So it most certainly is ad-hominem, according to the definition.

      If B had said instead: "I'm not going to argue with you because you're an asshole," THEN it would be merely insult and not ad-hominem.

      I'm not expecting everyone to agree with me, but I do think I have a valid point. Which was: "Your Baloney Detection Kit Sucks" is mostly emotional, opinionated hyperbole and itself does not constitute logical argument.

    5. Re:Sophistry by shaitand · · Score: 1

      When you are talking about something like the standard model you do have to make a certain amount of allowance in that testing for the standard model has ruled out a rather massive number of experiments.

      Propose string theory 200 years ago and it would be the leading model today as it would have made lots of predictions and all the experiments used to prove the standard model would have instead been used to prove the string model.

    6. Re:Sophistry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi. You don't seem to be replying to the comment you are underneath. Could you cross link pls.

    7. Re:Sophistry by narcc · · Score: 1

      I'm not expecting everyone to agree with me,

      That's sensible.

      t I do think I have a valid point. Which was: "Your Baloney Detection Kit Sucks" is mostly emotional, opinionated hyperbole and itself does not constitute logical argument.

      Try reading it again. Your reply seems to indicate that you didn't quite understand it. It's as though you're replying to what you think it ought to be about, rather than what it is about.

      I should probably also point out that the majority of the "logical fallacies" the intellectually lazy are always going on about have absolutely nothing to do with logic. The ad-hominem being a prime example. Rhetoric and logic are, quite obviously, very different things. That the two are so often confused no longer surprises me, but I still find it deeply troubling.

  6. Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by fred911 · · Score: 1

    a theoretical physics model?

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    09 F9 11 02 9D 74 E3 5B - D8 41 56 C5 63 56 88 C0 45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    1. Re:Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by nashv · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exactly. It is a model. It might even be a useful model with some explanatory power. But the same can be said of many belief systems. The only difference is that the other belief systems have been shown to be inaccurate by showing their contradictions with reality. With string theory, we are not aware of any specific such contradiction yet.

      I don't think we should have any problems with models, as long we understand very clearly that they are only models. Like Newton's laws - they are strictly inaccurate but as approximate models of reality that are valid under some limited set of conditions, they remain useful.

      --
      Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem.
    2. Re:Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      Science is all models, so if it is a theoretical physics model then it is science.

    3. Re:Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by losfromla · · Score: 4, Informative

      There are too many floaty numbers inserted and whenever the numbers don't work more floaty numbers and dimensions are added in to make the "theory" work. Books written about this "Not even Wrong", "The Trouble with Physics". There may be others, those are just two I am familiar with.

      http://www.amazon.com/Not-Even...
      http://www.amazon.com/Trouble-...

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    4. Re:Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      a theoretical physics model?

      There is no way to salvage String-M-Brane theory. It will die when its proponents pass away in the multiverse.
      And then finally a renouveau of high energy/cosmology theoretical physics can begin.

    5. Re:Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by nashv · · Score: 1

      So you have a problem with the mathematical hypothesizing that is involved in string theory? Hypothesis generation is an integral part of science.

      The fact that the degree of adjustment required in string theory is unsatisfactory to you is perhaps indicative of the fact that string theory is a poor model of reality. On the other hand, it could indicate that reality is actually rather messy.

      It is true that simplicity and elegance often seems like characteristics of correct models of reality. However, "messiness' and "beauty" are subjective human perceptions. Continuing the former example, Einstein's relativity might be thought of as unnecessarily complicating simpler equations by bringing in shifting time frames and speed of light everywhere. You only see that its elegant when you think of the bigger picture. Turns out that the reality of length and time is messier and more 'relative' than Newton thought.

      As such, the floaty hypothetical numbers have no bearing on whether a model is useful or correct. String theory is a hypothetical model until it is contradicted or tested. That is all.

      --
      Entia non sunt multiplicanda praeter necessitatem.
    6. Re:Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Hypothetical, like any fantasy book, yes.
      I have no problem with mathematical hypotheses, I am sure they are quite fun for those who play with them. The only issue I have is when any fancy thoughts like pretending they somehow are linked to reality come up. From what I gather, very good math progress has been made when attempting string theory work. Sort of like Disaster Area Tax returns, they advance the state of the art.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    7. Re:Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by shaitand · · Score: 1

      The same can certainly be said of the standard model as well.

    8. Re:Wouldn't it be more properly referred to as by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Please elaborate as I think the same cannot be said of the standard model which actually models/predicts reality quite well. String theory doesn't close on anything concrete regardless of the manipulations and contortions.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
  7. Does it Matter? by Number42 · · Score: 1

    String theory, or any idea, for that matter, should not have its merit determined solely by how scientific it is. Science is a good hammer for testable hypotheses, but not everything is a nail, and claiming that everything not a nail is irrelevant will have us missing out on two of the three types of knowledge.

    1. Re:Does it Matter? by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      If something is not testable (ie, has explanatory power), in what way is it "knowledge"? At most, it is knowledge of a story which has barely any relevance to anything outside of a story. It's just remembering stuff.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    2. Re:Does it Matter? by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Yes, but in this case it does matter since String Theory is a scientific theory (or at least claims to be).

    3. Re:Does it Matter? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Well, there's math. It doesn't inherently explain anything. But if you can match up the preconditions of some bit of math with reality then the consequences follow.

    4. Re:Does it Matter? by Number42 · · Score: 1

      Yet even a story can hide wisdom in allegory. Knowledge is not limited to certain (or currently accepted) answers to the question "how." Take aesthetics, for example. Since you can't exactly test what the "right" way of doing something is (i.e. derive an "ought" from an "is"), you have to throw around random ideas and refine them through debate, checking for internal consistency, etc. into something that intuitively "feels right." Knowledge of the purely physical should be testable, but you'd have a hard time doing the same for abstract concepts.

    5. Re:Does it Matter? by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      But stories with allegories only have wisdom insofar as that they have testable real world consequences. Stories whose allegories are neither here nor there have no knowledge until an actual link is shown.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
  8. String.....wut??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Most people don't have a clue that string theory is even a thing, so whether or not the high priests classify it as "science" or "something less" really has very little significance compared to such questions as "will the human race (and its "things") survive global warming?"

    1. Re:String.....wut??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Classic false dichotomy. Focus on one aspect of science (terminology) does not trivialize another. Stay off /. you moron.

  9. This Does Not Make Any Science! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So since our ideas and theory frameworks which are selected and deselected based on observations are no science, we shouldn't create them anymore and stop using our imagination in order to call ourselves scientists? The science of physics is larger than the sum of its experimental, theoretical, computational and data-driven parts (to honor Jim Gray). It's the interconnectedness of those parts that drives the scientific progress forward.

  10. String Theory is Science by Ralph+Spoilsport · · Score: 1
    It's just IRONIC science, per John Horgan.

    RS

    --
    Shoes for Industry. Shoes for the Dead.
    1. Re:String Theory is Science by SmaryJerry · · Score: 1

      The difference is the Higgs Boson fit within existing physics. It was always testable but prohibitively expensive to built, and took more than a university or even a single country was willing to spend to test.

  11. Jesus still loves you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    He chuckles at all your little "theories", but in the end He is entertained by us little humans trying to figure out His creation.

    Just enjoy your time in this blessed ant farm of ours, my friends!

    1. Re:Jesus still loves you. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you are laughing at the way science has discovered reality that your stone age myths could not manage and you think that the silent laughter is Jesus, not you?

      Laughable.

    2. Re:Jesus still loves you. by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Well, that arrogant and condescending fucker has not place in my universe. As for you, just like anybody else with some marbles missing upstairs, I can just ignore you.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  12. There is no string theory. by MouseTheLuckyDog · · Score: 1

    First, there is no string theory. There are a bunch of theories we call string theory. There are a bunch of theories that we call string theory, abut no basic priciples that are clearly laid out yet.

    Second, even if we had a specific theory, we still do not know how to make calculations.

    Third, general relativity was in the same situation. For a long time all it predicted was Mercury's perihelion precession and that could be done with alternate theories of gravitation or even extra planets. It wasn't until Eddington that relativity was really tested.

    The reason that general relativy was largely untested was basically the same reason string theory is untested. The calculations are hard to do and the experiments are difficult to preform. It is conceivable that a race with an average IQ of 1000 and sufficiently advanced technology could in test string theory.

    So we say string theory is not a physical theory because of our shortcomings?

    That being said, string theorists have brought it on them selves. I think they spend too much time chasing their own tail and are crowding out other avenues of research.

    1. Re:There is no string theory. by chthon · · Score: 1

      Is string theory really a theory? I would submit that after more than thirty years it is still a hypothesis.

    2. Re:There is no string theory. by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Oxford Dictionary:

      hy.poth.e.sis
      a supposition or proposed explanation made on the basis of limited evidence as a starting point for further investigation:

      What is the limited evidence?

  13. Counterpoint by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lubos' thoughts on this topic. http://motls.blogspot.co.uk/2015/12/string-theory-is-as-much-science-as.html

  14. This has been known for a long time by Karmashock · · Score: 1

    There are a lot of pseudo scientists out there and it is not helped by masses of typically arrogant people that think they know what science is in the first place.

    People confuse POLITICS with science. Bring up something about science and they'll say stupid things like "well X number of people agree with me" which isn't science. That is politics. Or you'll see something along the lines of "look at my nifty idea... all the numbers add up"... great... still not science... not unless you want to include Dungeons and Dragons min max builds in "science"... because there is a tautology in any formal logic that doesn't root itself in empirical evaluation. And then you get people that say "well, I can't provide evidence because its really hard... so I don't have to."... Not my problem.

    Point being... ANYTHING that can't be tested is merely a hypothesis and that is fine... have your hypothesizes... that's super. It remains not science until its been tested with methodology that is pessimistic, cynical, skeptical, and exhaustive. That is... you propose a hypothesis... then you try to disprove it. DISPROVE. When you FAIL to disprove it... look for any fallacy in your position with the intent to find one. If you can neither disprove the position nor find a fallacy in your argument... THEN you submit it for peer review giving your peers full access to everything you did and how you did it so they can find problems if they exist.

    When it has surpassed all that... you pretty much have science.

    What we often get is nothing resembling that which is why it isn't science.

    Pretty math? Sure... slow clap for that. But the reason this sort of science generally never does anything useful is because as Richard Feynman said... "It looks like science except it doesn't work". That is the issue here.

    Cargo Cult Science:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    Not science anymore than a guy with coconuts on his head is a tower control operator.

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    1. Re:This has been known for a long time by vux984 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think cargo cults are pretty science-ish.

      The observed a correlation between airports and cargo planes arriving.

      The formed a hypothesis that constructing something that looks like an airport and control tower would bring the cargo airplanes.

      They tested the hypothesis, by building the airport etc. It didn't work.

      They (correctly) knew that something made the cargo planes come; so they tried to improve their emulation of the airport operations etc.

      Sure if was fundamentally wrong. But it WAS the scientific method in action. Observation, hypothesis, experiment...repeat.

      Its no different than heliocentric astronomy. We kept trying more complicated and elaborate constructions to predict the planetary motions, but it just kept failing because it was wrong.

    2. Re:This has been known for a long time by chthon · · Score: 1

      I think that epicycles worked for a large part. But what happened is that they were an incomplete model, that was always more and more incorrect due to more precise observations. It would be like trying to compute a sine wave by simple algebraic functions. It works up to a certain precision, but then it breaks down.

    3. Re:This has been known for a long time by Karmashock · · Score: 2

      Except it doesn't work.

      Watch the video again. Cargo cult science "looks" like science... only it doesn't work.

      You can't get around that. This is what ultimately stopped sophists from dominating western philosophy. Stoic Empiricism.

      It. Does. Not. Work.

      You can spin your theories till your head spins off... it won't work if you don't do it properly. And if you don't do it properly then it isn't science.

      And because I'm sure you're going to presume to nitpick me here and thus miss the entire point... let me be very clear... sure, you can run an experiment to test something and have that test come out negative and that is still science. However, the point with both cargo cult science and cargo cults is that they didn't stop. They had "faith"... and that faith made it not science because when the evidence came back that the hypothesis was bunk... they just doubled down.

      What you see in pseudo science is the same thing... they start saying things like "well we can't get that evidence so we don't need it" or "well other people agree with us so we don't need evidence" or some other excuse as to why evidence isn't needed or even contrary evidence should be ignored.

      No. You either have the evidence or you have no evidence. That is the tautology of that situation. A lack of evidence is a lack of evidence. End of story. Period. Good day, sir.

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    4. Re:This has been known for a long time by vux984 · · Score: 1

      They had "faith"... and that faith made it not science because when the evidence came back that the hypothesis was bunk... they just doubled down.

      What evidence? Failure to succeed is not evidence that the hypothesis is bunk; especially if there is room in the hypothesis for additional refinement.

      Science does this all the time. Consider the 'planet vulcan', which many (if not most) scientists believed existed, and searched for. And the repeated failures to find it were attributed to calculation errors, inadequate instruments, etc... but they kept trying. Building better instruments, refining the calculations... until General Relativeity explained the phenomena they were seeing with Mecury's orbit, without needing the gravity of a hypothetical Vulcan.

      Was the search for vulcan science? Were the scientists looking for equivalent to a cargo cult? I'd have to say yes to the first, and no to the 2nd. No question.

      Today we have 'dark matter'. Which might turn out to be another vulcan and we'll discover new physics to explain what is going on; or maybe we'll actually "find" dark matter. Either way... we keep looking for it, and keep not finding it... and its still science. But all we have are observations that suggest it "must" be there.

      Cargo cults ... they knew the planes existed. They'd seen them. They'd seen them fly by, circle, and land -- they just had a much to rudimentary understanding of why to replicate it. But nevertheless their attempt was a science... they were trying to recreate the conditions under which they had observed a phenomena to reproduce that phenomena. That's science. Not working doesn't make it not science.

    5. Re:This has been known for a long time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem with epicycles is that they can predict pretty much ANY set of planetary motions- they're just a Fourier transform of the actual motions. You can actually get arbitrarily close to the true motion by adding more and more and more epicycles. You can't come up with an observation that doesn't contradict the overall theory, since every observation can be followed by tacking on more epicycles.

    6. Re:This has been known for a long time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And, with Vulcan, it was "found" at least once by various astronomers.

    7. Re:This has been known for a long time by colinrichardday · · Score: 1

      Its no different than heliocentric astronomy.

      Perhaps you meant geocentric astronomy?

    8. Re:This has been known for a long time by colinrichardday · · Score: 1

      But what if we also observed planets from Mars? Could we fit those observations with epicycles?

    9. Re:This has been known for a long time by vux984 · · Score: 1

      -sigh-

      yes, perhaps I did. :)

    10. Re:This has been known for a long time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Watch the video again. Cargo cult science "looks" like science... only it doesn't work.

      Wow, did you ever miss the boat on that comment. Just because the expected result was not observed does not mean that the scientific method was not used. In fact, science leads to as many negative results as positive ones, and the better scientists know how to construct experiments to quickly reach those negative conclusions so that they don't have to build the larger experiments for the larger positive conclusions until they have better support for them.

      The only thing anyone gained from your comment being moderated up was you provided support for the notion that you are not the only person on slashdot who has no understanding of science in spite of claiming the contrary. However, this hypothesis was already well supported so you only provided support, rather than initial demonstration.

    11. Re:This has been known for a long time by Karmashock · · Score: 1

      ... In a nobler era you would be expected to fall on your sword in disgrace.

      You have brought great shame on your ancestors!

      I followed that statement with this:

      ""
      And because I'm sure you're going to presume to nitpick me here and thus miss the entire point... let me be very clear... sure, you can run an experiment to test something and have that test come out negative and that is still science. However, the point with both cargo cult science and cargo cults is that they didn't stop. They had "faith"... and that faith made it not science because when the evidence came back that the hypothesis was bunk... they just doubled down.

      What you see in pseudo science is the same thing... they start saying things like "well we can't get that evidence so we don't need it" or "well other people agree with us so we don't need evidence" or some other excuse as to why evidence isn't needed or even contrary evidence should be ignored.

      No. You either have the evidence or you have no evidence. That is the tautology of that situation. A lack of evidence is a lack of evidence. End of story. Period. Good day, sir.
      ""

      *waits for anon to get on his knees, disembowel himself, and then out of mercy... I will swing the great killing sword to remove his silly head.*

      --
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  15. What is a frickin STRING??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, they are just "tiny little vibrating strings".
    So are they cotton strings, hemp, nylon?
    Does a string have an associated particle?
    Did they unravel from Ed Witten's jockey shorts?
    Can they be quantified in terms of Plank scale?
    Or are they just used to fly kites?

    1. Re:What is a frickin STRING??? by phantomfive · · Score: 1
      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:What is a frickin STRING??? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Can they be quantified in terms of Plank scale?

      You can - you're as thick as two short ones.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  16. "It's a theory... like ..." No. It's not. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It's a theory in the sense of a mathematical theory — like set theory, group theory or number theory — but it isn't yet a scientific theory.

    No, it's not.
    All of those theories are based on sound, logical axioms.
    String theory is a pile of bogus sh!t piled onto an ever-growing foundation of illogical, arbitrary, nonsensical "axioms".
    String theory doesn't even get the meaning of a dimension correct. It's not just not science, it's not even math either.

    Here's an entertaining read explaining it much better than I ever could: http://milesmathis.com/string....

  17. We're not discussing relevance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Science is a good hammer for testable hypotheses, but not everything is a nail, and claiming that everything not a nail is irrelevant will have us missing out on two of the three types of knowledge.

    The claim is not that "everything lacking testable hypotheses is irrelevant", but that "everything lacking testable hypotheses is not science". And this is of course a 100% accurate claim which verges on being tautological, since the scientific method is what defines science.

  18. Re:Others joining this group are by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    psychology

    Undoubtedly.

    control systems (excluding a few topics, most are un-applicable and highly theoretical)

    Control theory is the application of mathematics to feedback control. As such, it appears to be fairly well founded. Lyapunov, Nyquist, Bode, Shannon, Pontryagin all were contributors to the theory. I grant you that the sociological equivalent is rather unscientific (why the blazes do social "scientists" keep appropriating terms from real science for their own nefarious purposes).

    behavioural science

    Undoubtedly. Similar to psychology.

    statistics

    Statistics is a branch of mathematics. It is an applied mathematics, for sure, but along the lines of astrophysics. You might look up the statistical representation of the singular value decomposition, among others.

    economics (more of a snake oil)

    Snake oil. Hisses a bit.

    climate science

    The jury is out on this one. Politicians politicized it to argue their points.

    any theoretical disciplines
    and the list goes on...

    Don't get me wrong.. I am a man of science. As of late, word "science" is used and abused quite badly. For me, it is always the "scientific method" that counts. Body of knowledge is always contestable, unless it has survived the test of time.

    One time, someone asked me "why science can't answer XYZ?".
    My answer was "Science is a methodical way of exploring the natural world, and not a corpus of answers for all questions out there".

    Yup. It''s a method of producing approximate answers.

  19. Does explanation have a role in science? by UpnAtom · · Score: 3, Informative

    David Deutsch argues that it is core:
    https://www.ted.com/talks/davi...

    Also, string theory is surely as testable as quantum mechanics. It's just currently impossible to say which is more valid.

    1. Re:Does explanation have a role in science? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Also, string theory is surely as testable as quantum mechanics. It's just currently impossible to say which is more valid.

      Been a while since your last QM class, I take it?

      If you were more up to date, you would understand that QM is the most extensively tested branch of science, in existence. There has been a huge amount of experimental confirmation. Every high speed, high density computer we make today depends on our understanding of quantum mechanics: it's the foundation for the field known as solid state physics, and becoming increasingly important as device sizes get smaller. For example, charge can tunnel across insulating boundaries if the boundaries are thin enough. This can be both a bad thing (e.g. traps, degradation of the crystal matrix) and a good one (tunneling is the basis for programming 'floating gate' circuits), depending upon what one is trying to do.

      In communications circuits, shot noise (quantized noise) is a well understood phenomenon. Quantum mechanics is also fundamental to understanding of optics (including fiber optics) and lasers.

      We don't necessarily understand why a lot of things happen the way they do in QM, but the testing of the fundamental ideas is quite solid. Like almost any field, of course, there are unresolved issues.

      String theory, on the other hand, is not science. It doesn't currently make testable predictions. It's a set of hypothesis, essentially an exercise in philosophy, nothing more. At some point, it might become science.

    2. Re:Does explanation have a role in science? by UpnAtom · · Score: 1

      Unless I'm missing something, all those experiments demonstrated string theory just as much as they did QM.

  20. The original meaning of begging the question by radarskiy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They start with the premise that string theory is untestable, and come to the conclusion that it is untestable.

    1. Re:The original meaning of begging the question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More to the point that a nigga can't call string theory science but a nigga can call Star Wars science fiction.
       
      SMMFH.

  21. Re:The sad state of climatology by radarskiy · · Score: 2

    You seem to be confused about which side is taking a lot of money to fudge the data.

  22. No difference = equivalent by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 4, Informative

    The author claims that there is no test that can be done that would prove String Theory true as opposed to other theories.

    Unfortunately the author has proven many times that he does not understand particle physics in previous posts. The problem with String Theory is that there are far too many possible theories to consider (last count I heard it was around 10^500) to make detailed, concrete predictions. The second that we get an experimental signature for something like String Theory that number would collapse and theorists would be able to start studying the detailed predictions of a vastly smaller number of models. This would undoubtedly lead to some clever theorist coming up with signatures unique to String Theory which other, competing models would not have.

    If you can't come up with ANY difference it would mean that the theories must be mathematically equivalent for all situations which are possible. We have had this happen in physics before. Matrix mechanics and wave mechanics are both different ways of doing the same Quantum Mechanics. Nobody worries about which is the "right" way because both make mathematically equivalent predictions.

    1. Re:No difference = equivalent by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The second that we get an experimental signature for something like String Theory

      What sort of thing would you do to get an experimental signature for String Theory?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:No difference = equivalent by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      Build an accelerator that can reach the Planck scale which is about 10^15 times higher in energy than the LHC.

    3. Re:No difference = equivalent by Tijaska · · Score: 1

      That's right, there are more String Theories than their are subatomic particles in the Universe. If you divide the money invested into String Theory research by the number of theories that it has produced you will find that it has yielded far more bangs per buck than any other other form of research ever undertaken. And if it isn't strictly science, it can surely pass muster as mathematical recreation.

    4. Re:No difference = equivalent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [..]there are far too many possible theories to consider (last count I heard it was around 10^500) to make detailed, concrete predictions[..]

      Then the article is correct. String theory is not science now. It is mathematics since it deals with a bunch of abstract systems which may, or may not, have some relation to reality.

      [[..]This] would undoubtedly lead to some clever theorist coming up with signatures unique to String Theory which other, competing models would not have.

      In which case String theory will become science at that point.

      There's nothing wrong with mathematics, apart from that the funding can tend to be lower. What, exactly, is the problem with saying that string theory is not (yet) science?

  23. Re:Others joining this group are by losfromla · · Score: 1

    I submit the answer to the theoretical basis of control systems is fuzzy logic, which happen to be very robust and pragmatic.

    --
    Only I can judge you.
  24. I thought this was obvious! by SmaryJerry · · Score: 1

    String theory and multiverse theories are far from science. The comparison to religion is a good one. "You can't prove god doesn't exist." They are at best guesses of how multiple universes and dimensions could work, if they ever did exist. As far as I am concerned there is more concrete evidence of ghosts than string theory. Adding a little math into something made up doesn't make it real.

    1. Re:I thought this was obvious! by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      "You can't prove god doesn't exist."

      You also can't prove that He does. Yes, there are proofs that he exists but they all depend on the reader already believing that He does. That's because the question isn't one that can be proven by either logic or scientific examination; either you believe or you don't. String theory, however, is intended to be provable by experiment and/or observation. That doesn't, of course, mean that we can currently test it, it just means that its proponents hope to come up with a testable prediction.

      --
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    2. Re:I thought this was obvious! by SmaryJerry · · Score: 1

      These theories are just speculation, not even speculative math, but the entire process/science/physics/reality it is trying to explain is speculation. It's saying, if it did exist, it could exists with this math behind it. So yea, there is a billion ideas explaining it and there will never, ever, be a forefront string theory that any scientist agrees is the closest one to the truth.

    3. Re:I thought this was obvious! by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

      Er, the existence of God can absolutely be proven scientifically. All that has to happen is that He has to show up and unequivocally say He does indeed exist, or in some other unequivocal way manifest His existence.

      I'll leave it as an exercise to the reader to speculate as to why there is a lack of unequivocal scientific evidence that God exists.

      --PM

  25. String theory is gibberish by jetkust · · Score: 1

    Tiny vibrating strings? That explains everything! But why not tiny vibrating llamas? I bet the math would still work out, plus that would make the theory somewhat interesting.

    1. Re:String theory is gibberish by painandgreed · · Score: 2

      Tiny vibrating strings? That explains everything! But why not tiny vibrating llamas? I bet the math would still work out, plus that would make the theory somewhat interesting.

      Step 1: Assume string shaped llamas.

  26. Re:The sad state of climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Government grants to institutions + the money available to speculators like Goldman Sachs through trading idiotic carbon credit schemes, makes it pretty one-sided. And then of course the energy companies themselves get in on the act, hovering up huge subsidises (again from the tax payer - notice how it's always muggins who pays the bill?) for "clean energy" and we have a winner.

  27. Hypothesis by JBMcB · · Score: 1

    In that case wouldn't it be a hypothesis? It's untested and, beyond filling some gaps in quantum theory and relativity, it hasn't been mathematically proven.

    So it's a hypothesis, right?

    --
    My Other Computer Is A Data General Nova III.
  28. Nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not a fan of string theory, but this is just idiotic. There have been plenty of areas of science that were untestable when they were first theorized. If someone comes up with a way to test string theory, it won't magically become science then. It just has to be open to the possibility of being disproven. So yes it is science. It might be a dead end. It might be a pointless theory. But it's still science.

  29. The concept is often unscientific by Kjella · · Score: 3, Funny

    For example, the theory that all matter is made up of small, indivisible bits (atomos) is unscientific. Whenever you find a new smallest building block (atom) there's a chance you'll find they're built by even smaller blocks (a core of protons and neutrons surrounded by electrons) and that protons again are made from even smaller particles (quarks). And maybe the quarks are built from superstrings. And maybe the superstrings are build from something we don't even have a name for yet. That doesn't make them bad ideas to guide scientific research and design experiments. Just like causality is a rabbit hole with no end, even if we could explain the whole formation of the universe back to the Big Bang we'd always be looking for what caused the Big Bang. And what caused that which caused the Big Bang. Scientific exploration is an educated guesswork, you take some observations and try to find a system or pattern or formula and if the results don't contradict reality, great. It's obviously even better if you can predict something new, but if I find that E = mc^2 and show a few reproducible examples it's up to the rest of the scientific community to find a contradiction where E != mc^2. I feel it's a bit like that with superstring theory, if we got multiple theories that both come to the same results then either they're different formulations of the same model or there will be distinct differences that are at least hypothetically testable.

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    1. Re:The concept is often unscientific by colinrichardday · · Score: 1

      You are either conflating modern atomic theory with Democritean atomism, or you are taking "atom" too etymologically. A gold atom is not absolutely indivisible, but it cannot be split into two pieces of gold.

      As far as empirical evidence for atomic theory, there was the observation that elements only combined in certain ratios, observations on the polarization of light, and observation of Brownian motion.

  30. I Never Really Understood that Prediction Thing by wisnoskij · · Score: 1

    It worked great when we really did not understand anything about the Universe. But now when quite a lot is already known, there is a hell of a to less you can predict. Like all the current accepted theories, they predicted things, but now their predictions are just known facts, so if someone come up with the theory of tectonic plates today, it could never be a science, as all predictions you can make with the theory are already known facts. It just seems wrong, that if a prediction is not made in time, then an entire branch of what could of been science, is now a pseudo science that can never really be proven.

    --
    Troll is not a replacement for I disagree.
  31. Ad Blocking - how to work around? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Seems that Forbes is blocking people who use ad-blockers (funny - I don't block ads, just scripts and tracking). Wonderful given that at least twice this year they have served up malware. Anyone have any specifics about how they are detecting ad-blockers and how to fix the check so that it doesn't see me as having an ad blocker.

    1. Re:Ad Blocking - how to work around? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      how to fix the check so that it doesn't see me as having an ad blocker.

      Use the Firehose and downvote Ethan's clickbait/blogspam before it gets to the front page.

  32. Best way to convert a "non-science" stickler by doug141 · · Score: 3, Funny

    If you find yourself talking to a person who dismisses talk of multiverses or string theory as no better than talk of the supernatural, just ask them what a person would see while falling into a black hole. They will proceed to tell you their version. Then ask if someone outside the hole can ever verify anything they just said. They will say no, communication won't work from inside an event horizon to the outside. Then ask, if everything they said is all based on conjecture and extrapolating known laws, and can't be experimentally verified, why do they feel it merits discussion?

    1. Re:Best way to convert a "non-science" stickler by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      And they respond "Because you asked me to expound upon my imagination." Glad to see you believe string theory and multi-universe don't merit any more discussion than someone's imaginings though.

    2. Re:Best way to convert a "non-science" stickler by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't seem to have understood exactly how unfalsifiable string theory is.

      Let's say that I have a theory (extrapolated from general relativistic gravitation) which says that the guy falling in to a (large) black hole will experience time dilation an then gradual destruction via gravitational tidal forces. Let's say now that we find out that new quantum gravity theories force there to be a firewall at the event horizon which will destroy the guy before he enters the black hole.

      If we find something which proves that the new quantum gravity is more right (covers more experimentally tested situations) than the relativistic gravity and we haven't falsified it otherwise then we change our description of falling into the black hole. Although the actual situation we project to hasn't been tested, the rules we are using to project to that situation have been tested and can be falsified changing our explanation of the situation.

      There seems to be no situation where string theory has made such a useful testable prediction.

    3. Re:Best way to convert a "non-science" stickler by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And when you're finished with your autistic rhetorical device, they'll still think Multiverses and String Theory are bullshit. Your methods only work on the people already fooled by this euphoric horseshit.

  33. The Atom was Just a Theory. by BrendaEM · · Score: 1

    I think we have to be careful here, as the atom was only a theory for over a hundred of years.

    There is also an issue that classical physicists would not want to believe that their theory fits into anything larger, as Newtonian physicists likely did not want to believe in relativistic physics, as religious types did not want to believe....

    --
    https://www.youtube.com/c/BrendaEM
  34. Evolution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    I think that this would apply to evolution too... it's a theory but not a scientific theory. It can not be proven or falsified. It's a good theory given the evidence that we see but it can never be proven because until we get time machines we can't actually go back and observe when life actually began. Even if science proves a mechanism that could possibly create life spontaneously from the raw materials, that doesn't mean that is exactly what happened. So it will always remain a theory.

    1. Re:Evolution by Oligonicella · · Score: 4, Informative

      You do not understand what evolution is. "Create life" is not in the description.

  35. Re:The sad state of climatology by plopez · · Score: 2

    The coal industry, natural gas industry, oil industry, big agriculture, real estate agents who sell ocean front properties or places where hurricanes are common, etc.

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
  36. This is of course true by Bruce66423 · · Score: 2

    The fact that the unthinking moders of /. have reduced this to zero is a sad reflection of the lack of understanding of what constitutes science. The reality is that most of geology and palaeontology are on the same level as history, as being theories about recorded facts, rather than 'science'. This doesn't make them worthless - as a hard scientist who is now working for an MA in history I've got a dog in this race - but their claim to be 'science' is dubious.

    1. Re:This is of course true by Oligonicella · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Straw argument. You can study evolution with no references to geology or paleontology at all by just studying soft tissue in the lab.

      You're correct though, that's historic evidence of evolution. Those phenotypes were modified by changes in the gene sequences like those we've seen happen in labs. And some of those gene sequences we've extracted, mapped out and compared to living organisms. So evolution is a proven.

    2. Re:This is of course true by Kjella · · Score: 2

      The reality is that most of geology and palaeontology are on the same level as history, as being theories about recorded facts, rather than 'science'. This doesn't make them worthless - as a hard scientist who is now working for an MA in history I've got a dog in this race - but their claim to be 'science' is dubious.

      Everybody knows history can't be independently reproduced and verified in the lab, but I think you're underestimating the value of scientific research to lend credibility to a particular version of it. Like if a woman claims you made her pregnant, a DNA test would be a good start. Of course she might have stolen a tissue from a hotel room where you entertained yourself. Or she's got a genetics lab that can create a sperm cell from a strand of hair. It's not absolute proof and even if it were written down, the next historian can only read about it being done but not reproduce it. Maybe the recorded facts are a falsification. But if you're talking about a theory like that a gigantic asteroid killed the dinosaurs, well then finding and investigating the impact crater, estimating the age and size and composition, simulating the environmental impact and so on is what makes it a lot more credible that this was an extinction level event than saying "Big boom. Dinos die. Least that's what me thinks."

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    3. Re:This is of course true by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Genetics is proven in this case and not evolution. The fossil records do not show a single instance of one type gradually changing into another. In fact evolution has been proven wrong.

  37. Gödel's incompleteness theorems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Enough said.

  38. More like you shifting the burden by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No one starts with the premise that a hypothesis is untestable. Part of coming up with a hypothesis is the burden of coming up with tests that could disprove it. If a string 'theorist' can't or won't provide tests of their hypothesis, it is by default untestable. It is not someone else's responsibility to come up with tests for your hypothesis.

    As a string 'theorist,' one must ask the questions: How would a universe where matter is made up of 'strings' differ from a universe where matter is made up of particles? How would one go about detecting/testing this difference? If one can't come up with differences, then what is the use of the 'theory?' If one can't detect/test the differences, then there is no way to determine (and no reason to believe) that matter is made up of 'strings.'

    As an example of how this process is supposed to work, check out the Tests of General Relativity. Even when one is making extraordinary predictions that can't be tested with the technology of the time, one still has to come up with tests/predictions that could show that one's hypothesis is wrong.

    As for string 'theory' as science, the basic scientific method is: observe, hypothesize, test. If you can't test your hypothesis, I would tend to agree that what you're doing is not science.

  39. Evolution by glitch23 · · Score: 0

    Sounds like evolution isn't science based on this criteria. Evolution doesn't make predictions for new species. Note that small mutations (micro evolution, if you must call it that) do not make new species.

    --
    this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom. -- Lincoln, Gettysburg Address
  40. A better term to describe String Theory by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Speculative Mathematical Physics

  41. Re:The sad state of climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

    Hurricane activity has fallen over the last 30 years. Unlucky.

  42. Re:The sad state of climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Because each hurricane is getting much bigger.

    http://arstechnica.com/science...

    Wow, almost as if something the size of a planet can be ... complex!?

  43. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  44. Re:Others joining this group are by shaitand · · Score: 1

    Approximate yes, but in theory the approximation diminishes until such time as it is indistinguishable from the actual answer.

    Our short lives and limitations do cause us to have attachment to things that have stood extremely tiny tests of time and perspective though. Relativity has been around for how long again? Could you show me how big that mark is on even the tiny geologic timescale let alone the believed age of our universe? Measurements of radiation seem to match it? Cool. But the timescale we believe that represents it is itself part of the model and instruments used to do the testing were built with the model. Does it all still work if we keep measuring on a relatively small sample like over the course of a million years from multiple points 100 million light years apart?

    We can't help how little time we've actually been around and the even smaller amount of time we've been doing science. We can't help that currently we are limited to doing it from a relatively tiny perspective in a massive space. But what we can do is acknowledge those things are true and that we do not even have the perspective to comprehend a statistically relevant sampling how things work so our attachment level to the best we've found so far should be no more or less than playing a devil's advocate role of criticism.

    Are our models wrong? The answer is almost certain that they are wrong but at least in the near term are useful.

  45. Re:The sad state of climatology by Dcnjoe60 · · Score: 0

    Don't forget to fudge the data if it doesn't match your predictions. It isn't science, but it sure makes some people a lot of money.

    Of course, that is also true with things like dark energy and dark matter and many other scientific predictions, so what's your point?

  46. Of course it is science by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Or would the OP claim that mathematics is not science? That would be rather stupid. String theory, as a mathematical theory, is very obviously science. Mathematical theory does not care about applicability to any real universe. String theory as a possible model of the physical universe is science as well. What string theory is not is a known-good model of the physical universe due to the lack of verification of its applicability. That this verification may be impossible has no impact of its status as science.

    Sure, if verification is actually not possible at all then it is not science that has useful applications, because that also would mean it cannot be used for predictions (that being one of the ways to verify whether a model does apply to reality).

    I should also point out that both Quantum Theory and Relativity, the two foundations of modern phsics, are neither complete nor completely verified to be accurate. In fact, history would suggest that at some time in the future, both will have to replaced by more refined theories as there is a good chance that when trying to verify the currently unverified aspects, effects will be found that do not quite fit into them as they currently are. That does not make them useless. Classical mechanics is known to be wrong, yet very useful. You just need to known under which conditions it becomes inaccurate enough to matter.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  47. From a falsifiability test to what exactly? by JimToo · · Score: 1

    From 1959, a subtle but well defined and reasonably commonly understood test. There are not a whole lot of philosophical razors that have been this sharp for this long. And we are moving to what exactly? A gap for string theory to slip into. What else will slip into this gap? Could we ever trust scientists again?

  48. Supersymmetric Corrections by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2

    Problem is, supersymmetry (SUSY) is the only theory that even attempts to explain why the masses of particles are as small as they are -- including the Higgs particle. Without SUSY, the Higgs, W, and Z bosons become nearly infinitely massive due to loops in their feynmen diagrams.

    Not quite. Only the Higgs is affected since it is the only scalar particle. Its mass does not become even vaguely close to infinite they just get dragged up to the Planck-scale at 10^19 GeV. SUSY is not the only possible explanation: Large Extra Dimensions solves the problem by reducing the Planck scale to ~10 TeV or so (but introduces other problems like why do protons appear stable).

    Sparticles are a good candidate for dark matter, but they're unlikely to be detected by the LHC.

    Only the lightest sparticle is good candidate for Dark Matter and, if produced, it can be detected at the LHC by the missing momentum which is carries which is a typical signature in almost all SUSY searches. However to confirm that it is Dark Matter we need the underground experiments to see it as well since all the LHC will be able to tell is that it lived long enough to escape the detector i.e. about 50ns if travelling close to the speed of light. However to be Dark Matter it needs to be stable enough to last ~13.8 billion years without appreciable decay.

    If no sparticles are found at higher energy levels, then someone will have to explain what's wrong with particle physics in general

    That depends. Suppose I tosh a coin and keep getting heads. How many heads in a row do I need to get before you become suspicious that something is not right (e.g. that I'm lying or tossing a two headed coin)? 10 heads in a row? 20 heads? Even if you are suspicious how many heads do I need to tosh before you are certain that something is wrong? This is the problem that the Standard Mode faces. It is not impossible that the light Higgs came about by really phenomenal luck but the chance of that happening is about the same as tossing ~110 heads in a row. In my subjective opinion that means that there must be some physics we are missing but this is a subjective opinion and you still cannot completely rule out that it could be just down to phenomenal chance.

  49. Has anything been definately proven by ST? by See+Attached · · Score: 1

    Science is undertaken to advance our ability to make life better - in the many ways it might. Has all the money/man-years we've invested as a culture in ST yielded any benefit outside the realm of ST itself? As a tax payer who indirectly funds such esoteric endeavors, I want to know what this is doing for science. Hey.. Sheldon even left the field...

    --
    Time for a new Political party in the US (or two!) One is off the rails Other cant pony up a leader.
  50. Hypothesis? by countach · · Score: 1

    The author suggests it's not a theory but a hypothesis. But isn't having an hypothesis part of science? How far would science get without them?

  51. Re:The sad state of climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    "The researchers were also interested in understanding the magnitude of this trade-off between hurricane intensity and frequency associated with increased global ocean warmth. They found that each 1 m/s increase in average wind intensity led to 4.7 fewer hurricanes over the past 30 years."

    30 years is a thing now? Why not use all available data which goes back much more than 30 years?

    Did they predict an increase in cyclone intensity and fewer cyclones? The answer is no - they're now just trying to fit the theory to the data and making it seem like they know what's going on. If the next 30 years cyclonic activity increases and wind intensity decreases, what then?

    This is the problem - they make predictions, which are then falsified and then come up with assertions as to why their predictions failed, because you know, this time they'll get it right...

  52. Re:The sad state of climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 1

    Caused by warming seas, not a warming atmosphere. Given the oceans have 1000x the heat capacity of the atmosphere, the idea that the latter is driving the former is kind-of laughable.

  53. Re:The sad state of climatology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hurricane activity has fallen over the last 30 years.

    Tell that to the people in the Pacific.

  54. Re:The sad state of climatology by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

    Government grants to institutions + the money available to speculators like Goldman Sachs through trading idiotic carbon credit schemes

    And in the other corner we have the most powerful economic force on the planet, the fossil fuel industry, can anyone even think of another industry that can bring a superpower's military machine to it's knees?

    However, political/economic muscle will never let the facts get in their way, so why adopt them? Forget political/financial arguments, they are aimed at your emotions and as such only have a 50/50 chance of being right. Find out HOW the scientists know what they claim to know.

    BTW: Government grants to institutions have very little effect on the conclusions of researchers. If they did, the science would change whenever the government changed. (Hint:it doesn't).

    --
    And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  55. Re:The sad state of climatology by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

    "Given the oceans have 1000x the heat capacity of the atmosphere, the idea that the latter is driving the former is kind-of laughable"

    Yeah, right, kind of.

    Not.

  56. Re:The sad state of climatology by Fragnet · · Score: 3, Informative

    I have studied what the scientists say about this for ten years. But I've also made a point of studying what the sceptics say, looking at the model results compared to actual reality and squaring the science with the hyperbolic press and political statements. Let me tell you, there's a huge discrepancy here. It's almost as if the science is (on the whole) being manufactured to order. This isn't new. It happens in social "science" all the time.

  57. It is science by MaxSmoke · · Score: 1

    Just like math is science. But it is not physics. It is a physics ispired math.

  58. Contradiction by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

    No negative or positive finding tests string theory, it just suggests more knobs to twiddle. The one shining hope is that if we don't find supersymmetry, it is dead as a theory since it cannot accommodate a universe without.

    You just contradicted yourself there. There is a negative finding which tests String Theory: not finding SUSY would exclude it as a viable model. That is the one test which we know about so far but the problem is that String Theorists are overwhelmed by the number of possible models and also lack the tools needed to extrapolate from the Planck-scale down to the LHC-scale.

    This is why there are no concrete signatures indeed last I heard there were no candidate theories which even generated the know physics of the Standard Model because they had no way to figure out how the models look at low energy. Once they have the maths to do this the number of possibilities will rapidly reduce and we can start on whittling away the rest.

    1. Re:Contradiction by sjames · · Score: 1

      It is the one and only thing testable. Anything else and it will go on twiddling knobs to accommodate completely surprising results. It still cannot be tested against any other theory that predicts SUSY in any form. In that sense, it is superfluous.

      A certain amount of reading between the lines is helpful in this informal setting.

    2. Re:Contradiction by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 1

      It is the one and only thing testable.

      It is the one thing so far. The String Theorists themselves cannot even "predict" the Standard Model yet so how on earth can you possibly know that every other phenomena is explainable by just "twiddling knobs" in String Theory when we don't even know if the Standard Model is compatible with String Theory?

    3. Re:Contradiction by sjames · · Score: 1

      No, it is the only thing testable. String theory makes no other testable prediction at all. I don't mean we don't have the technology needed to test the other predictions, I mean there are no predictions to test.

      the problem is that String Theorists are overwhelmed by the number of possible models and also lack the tools needed to extrapolate from the Planck-scale down to the LHC-scale.

      Right, they've got nothing. Without a way to decide between the models, there is no prediction.

      I hereby predict that tomorrow, there might be fog or rain or snow or clouds or sunshine (perhaps a combination). Perhaps windy, perhaps not. The high temperature will be between 100 and -100 C. There will almost certainly be gravity. There could be tornadoes, dust storms, or a hurricane (but probably not). Perhaps a flood. I don't even know where you live but I bet I'm right (or at least not wrong). Have I told you anything useful? Go ahead and print my forecast up. How many consecutive days will it need to be correct before you agree that my model(s) is/are correct? Once you do, will you know anything you don't know now?

    4. Re:Contradiction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once you do, will you know anything you don't know now?

      We'll know he doesn't live on Venus! Just sayin.

  59. Silly notion. by hemod · · Score: 1

    Since is a process, not a state. Some ideas might be not testable or verifiable yet, but formulating such ideas does not make den nonscientific if their goal is to explain 'the way things work'.

  60. "" falsifiable" by johncandale · · Score: 1

    " falsifiable" is sophomoric criteria that people pick up early and repeat. It has a lot more criticism at higher levels then is known in public circles

  61. Save Science and Create space for Peace by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sub; Save Science and Create space for Peace
    Now look at philosophy of Cosmology- on you tube by Martin Rees- 2014 trying to to justify Big-bang at the cost of misleading Science!
    Where do you end up ? Boomerangs on body-mind and Spirit
    Science at cross roads -2004. Now Science at cross-functional de-spirit by all theories
    Big-bang, Singularity, LHC with Unwanted High-Energies, neutrinos under ill-conceived logic, String theory, Super-massive Black-holes
    where do Science stand up ? Promoting Anarchy, Chaotic state and Cosmic Confusion
    Unable to comprehend super-novas, Herbig-Haro jets,Milky-way stability or even the function of van-allen belts and Space Data ??
      and unable to digest . Earth to ionosphere under mis-use ?
    Now one sees minds-under filtration-Ego prevails- misleads go to test permissive society without Regulation or Discipline index ?
    Ultimately science Credibility is at stake? Save Earth Planet and life support
    Energy from the SUN core travels 200,000 years to reach the outer layer- How many Steps ?
    Scale it up as a link to 200,000 Light years- one reaches Heart and Center of the Universe .
    How is it connected ? Search origins-cosmology vedas interlinks. Science in philosophy can halp in time.
    Paradigm shift means Think-tanks- Wisdom to lead scienific spirit with an orderely modes derived from nature and Philosophy.
    Cosmology is a subject that needs best of brains Trust- origins- Cause-Effect- vedas- interlinks- vIsible-invisibble comlex,
    Universe as part of multi-Universe and Cosmos.
    Cosmic conscious spirit ceates the neessity-Demand-curiosity-Sustain - space Cosmology vedas interlinks.
    Revise the Cosmos quest - Nature-Philosophy-to create awareness of Dimensional Knowledge Base Culture-base concepts in scientific
    spirit to interlink prime Functional concept- cosmological index.vidyardhi nanduri [independant Research]
    your ref : Why trust a theory ?http://www.whytrustatheory2015.philosophie.uni-muenchen.de/program/index.html#gross

  62. Re: The sad state of climatology by spkay31 · · Score: 1

    As Bullwinkle said, "This time for sure!"

  63. It's just like the japanese and their whaling... by iq145 · · Score: 1

    In a letter to Japan, published in the NY Times, sponsored by the World Wildlife Fund, 21 scientists declared: "Japan's whale research program fails to meet minimum standards for credible science. Also, their whaling is not designed to answer questions relevant to the management of Whales, and Japan refuses to make the information it collects available for independent review. Its research program lacks a testable hypothesis and performance indicators needed for acceptable scientific standards." "While Japan claims the hunt is purely for research purposes, they return to port with hundreds of tons of whale meat PACKAGED and ready for the country's commercial markets. This vividly shows Japan's determination to maintain a "commercial" whaling industry under the guise of science in an internationally protected sanctuary. (Antarctica, established through the efforts of U.S. Vice-President Gore). We can not allow them to continue to flout such international agreements." http://www.stopwhalingnow.com/

  64. Just because you can't doesn't mean it isn't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just because you can't test your prediction, doesn't mean it isn't science

    Just because you don't know what prediction to even make, again, doesn't mean it isn't science.

    Science is a very simple process

    Observe -> Question -> Hypothesize -> Predict -> Test -> Collect Data -> Theorize -> Observe

    Just because the limits of our technology and brain matter may currently prevent one or more of these steps does NOT mean it isn't science.

    You want something that isn't science, go look at religion.