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Australia Cuts 110 Climate Scientist Jobs: "The Science is Settled."

An anonymous reader writes: With an ax rather than a scalpel, Australia's federal science agency last week chopped off its climate research arm in a decision that has stunned scientists and left employees dispirited. Why? Because the science is settled, there is no need for more basic research, the government says. No doubt many will experience a case of schadenfreude as they see those who have long claimed "the science is settled" face the inevitable and logical consequence of that stance.

568 comments

  1. The basic question is answered...but still... by sbaker · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sure, we know the answer is "The world is getting hotter and it's all our fault" - but there are still a heck of a lot of questions that need to be answered. "How Fast?" and "Will the extra CO2 help crops or weeds grow faster?" and "What can we do about it?" and "Will such-and-such course of action have enough effect to avoid such-and-such consequences?"

    We need those guys even more than we did before the original question was answered.

    --
    www.sjbaker.org
    1. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We need those guys even more than we did before the original question was answered.

      Climate scientists aren't qualified to answer most of those questions; you need to hire economists and agronomists.

    2. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by bytesex · · Score: 2

      When you hire a consultant to tell you what's wrong with your organization, it's bad practice to hire the same people to do the cleaning up; it creates a perverse incentive.

      --
      Religion is what happens when nature strikes and groupthink goes wrong.
    3. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Question is, are those same guys qualified to answer these new questions. I would think so but i don't understand the details of what is being asked to really make that assessment.

    4. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      No one in climate science is interested in answering those questions. It's all "X is caused by global climate change", where X can be literally anything, and "X is going to be even worse than we thought" with pictures of polar bears in the background.

    5. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by XXongo · · Score: 5, Insightful

      but there are still a heck of a lot of questions that need to be answered. "How Fast?" and "Will the extra CO2 help crops or weeds grow faster?" and "What can we do about it?" and "Will such-and-such course of action have enough effect to avoid such-and-such consequences?" We need those guys even more than we did before the original question was answered.

      Climate scientists aren't qualified to answer most of those questions; you need to hire economists and agronomists.

      Many of these questions are going to need to start with climate models, to answer things like "what will be the effect at different latitudes, what will be the effect on precipitation, what will be the effect on storms"

    6. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The juxtaposition of your sig and the laziness of your thinking is priceless.

    7. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Mr+D+from+63 · · Score: 5, Funny

      "what will be the effect at different latitudes, what will be the effect on precipitation, what will be the effect on storms"

      We know already. Just read the headlines we see all the time. Its all going to be catastrophically bad, everywhere, for everyone. Cold snaps will be colder. Dry places will be dryer. Wet places will be wetter. Floods will be bigger. Hot places will be hotter. Shorelines will be underwater. Extinctions will be accelerated. Heck, even earthquakes will be quakier.

    8. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We don't need Those Guys.
      We have other Guys.

      In the USA, there is unemployment payments, Medicaid for unemployed uninsured, Food Stamps for hungary unemployed, education for ignorant unemployed.
      In the USA, we feel your pain.

      When an industry matures, as the Australian Government has noted, certain types of jobs disappear.
      Usually, other types of jobs, usually newer, generally appear at the same time.

      Plus, as the old adage says, there are plenty of jobs in education for those with degrees and without jobs.

      W00t! W00t!

      (Don't you just hate when you win the argument and lose your job?)

      LOL!!!

    9. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Yes, but none of that is "basic science". Presumably, they'd be keeping the specialists. Or these scientists will simply need to apply for a new specialist job that will be opening up.

      Hard to say what this means, but if all they're doing is cutting the scientists who are trying to prove that it is real, then yeah, they're redundant.

      When you've won the war, you send the soldiers home. Keeping a standing army like that has a tendency to cause people to find uses for it and make work.

    10. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, they've finally found a way to start their rapture?

    11. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Just because a theory has been confirmed in a "larger picture" fashion hardly means there's no work left to do. It's not like cosmology is finished because General Relativity has been largely confirmed, or Proto-Indo-European studies is finished just because we know a large number of languages descended from a common ancestral tongue about 5,000 years ago.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    12. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And economists and agronomists are going to be able to continue to develop climate models?

      It's amazing, no matter how the wheel turns, people still have this desire to shoot the messenger.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    13. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps the politicians in Australia have seen the foot steps on the mud, thrown their towels to dingoes and kissed a poisonous toad in their frustration over the reality: the continent is getting drier and they can't do anything about it.

    14. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by MightyMartian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      This is more akin to firing the consultant about half way through their analysis, declaring "Yeah, you told us some things were wrong, so we don't need you tell us any more."

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    15. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1, Interesting

      When at least some portion of General Relativity was confirmed by the 1919 eclipse, did that mean all the cosmologists could go home, their work done?

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    16. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by ledow · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Most importantly:

      Will the impact of whatever we do be more or less than the impact of doing nothing?

      Because nobody's really accounted for that yet. Sure, if we cut power, move to renewables, make cars compliant, etc. then we will reduce emissions. But what effect could that have? And if the sea is still going to rise anyway, displacing pretty much the same people as it would have, was it worth doing all that?

      I've said all along the answer to "Is it human-caused?" is just trivia. The answer to "Is it happening?" is easily measured. The answer to "What can we do about it that is less worse than the predicted effects anyway?" has never been properly found.

      Honestly, if we have to cut all the coal-burning and move to renewables and live more efficient lives and whatever else... how many people is that going to kill, put out of work, push into poverty, etc.? And how certain are we that our fixes will do what we think, and that the effects won't hit us as bad if we do all this?

      Because otherwise, it's like arguing about who's fault the car crash is going to be as you drive head-long into another car. And nobody has considered whether going round (left or right?!), or slamming the brakes on, or sounding the horn is actually going to work best. And nobody has considered that the accident might be unavoidable anyway, or that our actions might make it worse (e.g. skidding onto the pavement and taking out a few pedestrians AFTER hitting the other car anyway).

      No, we're all too focused on "Who's fault is it?" and nobody has properly considered "What do we do about it?" Maybe because that's a difficult question without a simple answer, that requires lot of science and research and money to answer sensibly.

      But, hey, at least our scientists LOOK busy and are on the news predicting doom every night...

    17. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
    18. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      but there are still a heck of a lot of questions that need to be answered. "How Fast?" and "Will the extra CO2 help crops or weeds grow faster?" and "What can we do about it?" and "Will such-and-such course of action have enough effect to avoid such-and-such consequences?" We need those guys even more than we did before the original question was answered.

      Climate scientists aren't qualified to answer most of those questions; you need to hire economists and agronomists.

      Many of these questions are going to need to start with climate models, to answer things like "what will be the effect at different latitudes, what will be the effect on precipitation, what will be the effect on storms"

      First you going to have to start with convincing the masses that The Man above isn't just having a bad day.

      (Remember there are a shocking number of people on this planet who truly believe a "God" has a hand in all this. Literally.)

    19. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They did go home didn't they? In their place are now comedians making up crazy stuff about dark matter, strings, and other stuff worthy of a two drink minimum.

    20. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by NotDrWho · · Score: 0

      We're all gonna die!!!!!!!!!!

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    21. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So tell me, what do yuo consider science?

    22. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      We already know what we can do about it and asking "how fast?" is like a fat person keeping up with their current diet to see how much weight they're gaining. From the science end of thing we know enough that if we still do nothing about it we know it won't matter how much we know anyway.

      Cries like these remind me of obese people not exercising because they're not sure if it's better to ride a bike or jog to lose weight.

    23. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Many of these questions are going to need to start with climate models, to answer things like "what will be the effect at different latitudes, what will be the effect on precipitation, what will be the effect on storms"

      And those climate models have been created and are available as software. It's now just a question of applying them.

      Nobody is saying "fire all climate scientists", but clearly, nowhere near as many are needed anymore. Good for Australia. The US should do some house cleaning as well.

    24. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Longjmp · · Score: 1

      It wouldn't be so bad IF they hired new people to address the problems.
      For some reason I doubt that however.

      --
      There are fewer illiterates than people who can't read.
    25. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by AchilleTalon · · Score: 3, Informative
      Did you even RTFA? That is exactly what they will do. Switch the staff from the "Is the climate warming?" question to "What can we do about it? How can we mitigate the effects?"

      From TFA:

      Marshall wrote in the memo that climate change is now settled science, and basic research is no longer needed.

      “The question has been answered, and the new question is what do we do about it, and how can we find solutions for the climate we will be living with,” he wrote.

      CSIRO would now focus on a path where “climate and industry can be partners, now we must walk that path to prove our science.”

      --
      Achille Talon
      Hop!
    26. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "what will be the effect at different latitudes, what will be the effect on precipitation, what will be the effect on storms"

      We know already. Just read the headlines we see all the time. Its all going to be catastrophically bad, everywhere, for everyone. Cold snaps will be colder. Dry places will be dryer. Wet places will be wetter. Floods will be bigger. Hot places will be hotter. Shorelines will be underwater. Extinctions will be accelerated. Heck, even earthquakes will be quakier.

      Cats and dogs living together.

    27. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by TsuruchiBrian · · Score: 1

      This was certainly my reaction as well, but to be fair, I have no idea how many scientists they had to begin with. There is probably some optimal number of scientists, and I would guess we are probably under that number, but I honestly don't know what that number is.

    28. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Or agronomists and a magic 8-ball...I'm only half joking.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    29. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But we'll be deader.

    30. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by MightyMartian · · Score: 0, Troll

      What's really fun is to watch morons and psuedoskeptics going around bandying made up statistics and literally denigrating an entire field of research as populated by liars.

      Grow the fuck up. The laws of physics don't owe your fucking SUV any favors.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    31. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by alvinrod · · Score: 3, Informative

      The climate models developed thus far have generally been worthless in terms of prediction after more than a few years. We've got a long way to go with climate science before we can create models that are useful for the types of situations you're describing.

      Now we obviously still need to do some funding to reach that point, but if you're country has other needs you can let other countries subsidize all of that learning for you.

    32. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Skip the economists, they can't really answer questions about anything

    33. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tell us something we DON'T know!!!!!!!!!!

    34. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Funny

      you need to hire economists

      Absolutely not. Economists are not scientists. They are data-free advocates for a world-view. They're the last people you want around any discussion of solutions to a problem.

      Better to have parapsychologists than economists. At least the parapsychologists have a little bit of rigor in their discipline.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    35. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Kohath · · Score: 1
    36. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 1

      The science may be settled in many peoples mind, but strangely even on /. we keep seeing people challenge those basic assertions in stark opposition to overwhelming evidence to the contrary. Is it wise to dismiss the authorities on the matter? It seems kind of like halting a vaccination program after achieving 95% eradication.

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    37. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by JoeRobe · · Score: 4, Informative

      I work in the field, and I don't know any climate scientist out there whose sole job is to prove it's real - the measurements have been out for years empirically showing that the global warming is real. But "real" is a low-level, qualitative conclusion. Right now it's all about understanding and quantifying the causes and consequences, given the empirical data we have and the models we choose to employ.

      The models generally agree on certain things (like warming), but there is a huge amount of variation between them in other ways. If anyone doubts that, I invite them to take a look at the abstracts from the most recent Fall meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU), or even better, attend it. There's no "right" model, and certainly no "right" + plug-and-play model. IMHO I don't see that happening for a very long time.

      --
      The best way to predict the future is to invent it.
    38. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Funny

      Take money away from the people who earned it so we can spend it on ourselves and our friends. Obviously.

      Yes, that's what climate scientists are trying to do. They want to take your money and give it to their friends.

      It must be a burden for you to have such brilliant insights in the face of all the stupid, stupid scientists.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    39. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You kind of have it backwards. Existing global climate models are useless to predict a few years but are the best thing we have to predict what the long term averages for climate will be. Like any model in science they're never perfect and there's always room for improvement.

    40. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Kohath · · Score: 2

      ...in the face of all the stupid, stupid scientists.

      They're not stupid. They're a huge success. Their plan has been working great for many years. It's very lucrative.

    41. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're a fucking idiot.

    42. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by rcamans · · Score: 1

      I remember Quake. Fun game.

      --
      wake up and hold your nose
    43. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by ultranova · · Score: 2

      Climate scientists aren't qualified to answer most of those questions; you need to hire economists and agronomists.

      Economists aren't really useful for anything except propaganda, because you can always find one who'll tell you what you want to hear, no matter how stupid. The combination of nigh impossibility to isolate variables and high economic stakes makes the whole field a bad joke.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    44. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whoosh

    45. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Hylandr · · Score: 1

      Or rather lets not have scientists challenging the current chicken-little population with real science that points out hypothesis contrary to current popular income models.

      You can call it what you will but there is one truth;
      So long as there is money to be made climate change will exist.

      --
      ~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
    46. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      Yep, that's why those climate scientists are all driving their Ferraris around Monaco before relaxing on their private yachts.

    47. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, quite the opposite, it became a very popular field especially among young women. There are tons of hot 20-something cosmetologists on Tinder.

    48. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by ultranova · · Score: 1

      When you hire a consultant to tell you what's wrong with your organization, it's bad practice to hire the same people to do the cleaning up; it creates a perverse incentive.

      What's almost always wrong with a dysfunctional organization is that people are either afraid and thus focus on covering their asses rather than working or in worst case sabotaging each other to make themselves look better, or just plain hate you.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    49. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by budgenator · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It would help if any of the climate models demonstrated some degree of predictive ability. The difference between model projections and reality have grown to ridiculous proportions.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    50. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they can't predict a few years, why on earth would we trust a long term average - or trend?

    51. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Are you implying the science isn't settled, what's to develop?

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    52. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The way I see it, global warming can't come fast enough. Thin the fucking herd. If that means I don't make it or my kids don't make it, we didn't need to be here anyway. Bring it on!

    53. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "all our fault" thing isn't the right answer.
      It's partly our fault, but how much of a percentage is still under debate. Is it 90% our fault? 10% our fault? The answer makes a huge difference in where effective money would be spent to prevent bad things from happening.

    54. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      You just know your on shake statistical ground when you send out over 3,000 surveys , then claim 85 out of 87 constitutes a 97% agreement.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    55. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by lgw · · Score: 1

      There's no reasonable climate prediction than can be made simply from first principles. It amazes me how often people dismiss "deniers" without ever understanding what the debate is about, yet still claim they're fans of science, not religion.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    56. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because statistics and probability. Natural variation averages out over long timeframes. I can't predict the outcome of the next coin flip, or even short term trends, but on a long enough timeframe it will be 50:50.

    57. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      When at least some portion of General Relativity was confirmed by the 1919 eclipse, did that mean all the cosmologists could go home, their work done?

      Certainly not. But again, if their major focus of study was to determine if Relativity was to make sense or not, then perhaps they were done in 1919 and they could move on to its applications.

      In this case, there are grants given to determine certain things. In this case the grants or the programs ended.

      No one is saying that we don't need climate scientists anymore, no more than anyone is saying you don't need soldiers any more when the war is over.

      However, you do generally move them back home or at least back to their bases, release a lot back to obtain employment elsewhere, or alternately employ them in other capacities under different budgets.

      In this case, the government is doing what it should, ending programs that have achieved their goals. While it means that climate scientists have lost a job, it doesn't mean there are no jobs for them elsewhere.

    58. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by FatAlb3rt · · Score: 2

      Hush you. Such gibberish makes you sound like A DENIER! Read the headline - the science is settled.

    59. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      This depends on what the scientists were employed by the government to do. We need to separate the usefulness of Climate Scientists in general from the specifics of their grant or of the program that they were employed by. It may be that the program was not created for the purpose of going further than settling the science and they believe it can now be picked up by someone else or at least some other program.

    60. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Funny

      Technically, the climate scientists are the "friends" here, of the politicians who have latched onto this as the latest excuse to take your money and give it to their friends.

      Wait. Let me try to wrap my head around this argument. You're saying that global warming is an excuse for politicians to steal our money so they can give it to climate scientists? Because climate scientists are their buddies?

      I'm speechless. Gobsmacked. Utterly bereft of words to express the stupidity of this argument.

      Let me read what you wrote again, in case I missed something and have got it wrong:

      Technically, the climate scientists are the "friends" here, of the politicians who have latched onto this as the latest excuse to take your money and give it to their friends.

      Nope. That's what you said. I think I need to sit down. This level of stupidity is giving me vertigo.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    61. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That was my favorite line in the movie

    62. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I guess that just goes to show you that if your prediction is supported by observational confirmation, you tend to keep your job. if you predict sea levels are going to rise by meters and it rises by millimeters, you tend to ask people "Do you want fries with that?'

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    63. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by nytes · · Score: 1

      Sure, we know the answer is "The world is getting hotter and it's all our fault" - but there are still a heck of a lot of questions that need to be answered. "How Fast?" and "Will the extra CO2 help crops or weeds grow faster?" and "What can we do about it?" and "Will such-and-such course of action have enough effect to avoid such-and-such consequences?"

      We need those guys even more than we did before the original question was answered.

      One question was addressed many (I think about 25) years ago, at least on a small scale.

      Some scientists saturated a field with CO2 for several months to observe the effects. (Thus, contributing to global climate change :) )

      What they found was that the plants grew significantly larger, but they were also much less nutritious. This, in turn, led to bugs having to eat more plants.

      --
      -- I have monkeys in my pants.
    64. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by SoftwareArtist · · Score: 1

      That's like saying, "It's settled science that diseases kill people, so we don't need any more scientists working to study diseases." The argument sounds totally ludicrous to anyone who hasn't already decided that climate science is worthless. It's not even that it's a bad argument, it simply doesn't make any sense at all. It simply provides a glaring illustration of the biases of the person trying to make it. If climate change is a serious problem, and human activity is responsible for it, then of course we need the clearest understanding we can get of what's happening and how our actions affect it. And no, economists and agronomists are not even vaguely qualified to answer those questions.

      --
      "I'm too busy to research this and form an educated opinion, but I do have time to tell everyone my uninformed opinion."
    65. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      At least they aren't as bad as economic models.

    66. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Hire economists? Astrologists with crystal balls are as accurate but way cheaper.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    67. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Tell them to go to their church and pray really hard.

      That way at least they don't get in the way of people who're doing something useful.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    68. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      You obviously never had an ISO certification.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    69. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      It's easy to find good answers if you're allowed to decide which questions to ask.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    70. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by shaitand · · Score: 2

      Sample size. Which is a major problem for climate science models in general.

      Yes the earth is getting warmer, that much is clear enough. But we haven't had anywhere near the kind of time scales to measure to validate model for a climate system that spans billions of years.

      Yes, we look at ice cores and sediment layers but we work on assumptions that these things pack on layers and grow in ways that are consistent our predictions of how they developed and our observations during a statistically insignificant period of time.

      There is a very strong correlation between global warming and human activity... of course, there is also a very strong correlation between our monitoring sample and human activity.

      In the end it doesn't really matter though. We are past the point where "going green" can solve the problem even if human activity is the source. We've set the ball rolling to so speak. At this point you need engineers because we need a massive engineering effort to sequester greenhouse gases on a globally significant scale NOW.

    71. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dogs and cats are already living together, I have proof from the interwebs:

      http://www.runningjackalope.com/2010/06/dogs-and-cats-living-together-mass.html

    72. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by lgw · · Score: 0

      Yep, that's what I said. Most research scientists of any stripe are effectively government jobs (try keeping any such job without bringing in NSF or equivalent funding). Certainly anyone working for an oil company can't really be a "climate scientist", right?

      So the hand-off from the politicians to the serfs laboring in the data fields is small - grants to fund the work - but it's real. The field wouldn't exists without government grants for the research. TFA is a counter-example: call me cynical, but I'm just assuming politics is at the bottom of the staff reduction, because the researchers weren't friends of the new politicians.

      * Politician wants an excuse to tax something new, to have new money to give to his friends
      * Hey, climate science, we can use that!
      * Grants approved, except any grant questioning the premise denied (as has been true for 20 years)
      * Politician: Alarm! Disaster! Catastrophe! Sacrifice for the common good! Ka-ching.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    73. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Affordable and perfectly lifelike sex slaves and immortality. Once we get those two crossed off the list I'm good with ending the pursuit of science.

    74. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      The field wouldn't exists without government grants for the research.

      Are you suggesting that only private industry should be allowed to fund research? That would mean only research that could result in profits would be funded. That can't possibly be what you're saying, but considering your other notions, I can't rule out the possibility that's what you think.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    75. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by khallow · · Score: 1

      Natural variation averages out over long timeframes.

      Unless they don't. That's the problem with making assertions that can be false. Here, variations or in other words, error, can accumulate rather than average out.

    76. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "If climate change is a serious problem, and human activity is responsible for it"

      It actually doesn't matter if human activity is responsible for it. Human activity may or may not be what has tipped the scale but relative to natural processes human contributions to greenhouse gases are a drop in the bucket. Assuming human activity did indeed tip the scale that doesn't make correcting human activity the most efficient and effective way to solve the problem. From my understanding if we all stopped and went 100% greenhouse gas free tomorrow it is already too late to reverse climate change.

      This area IS an utter waste of time. The only thing worth doing now is accepting that climate change is occurring and that it would be bad for us. We now need to focus not on whether human activity contributes to climate change but rather on whether or not we can engineer a solution to the problem. If we are going to try to reduce emissions it would be the far more massive natural sources of greenhouse gases we need to take care of. We could take advantage of massive open space that is the ocean and engineer a rapidly reproducing algae highly optimized to consume carbon and grow massive natural blooms. Something we can gather up, barrel, and sink to the ocean floor. We could engineer gut bacteria that processes methane has some sort of natural advantage spreads rapidly and effectively and possibly begin by intentionally giving our cows e-coli enimas.

      We need to start focusing on the solution and not the problem. And no, that solution need not produce some sort of saleable or useful byproduct. If you can have your sequestering technology produce little carbon flakes we can start using in cement so be it but otherwise we just need them to be relatively stable and sinkable in an ocean trench.

    77. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Shorelines will NEVER be underwater. Shorelines are, by definition, formed by where the land meets the water, wherever that may be. It's when they do.

    78. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by lgw · · Score: 1

      No, just pointing out that researchers work at the pleasure of the politicians. Usually, the politicians don't care one way or another about the results, but look at economics to see the fun when they do care. Once research results become a political football, funding gets hitched to one crowd* of politicians or another being in power.

      *Is there a group noun for politicians? I propose "a taxation of politicians".

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    79. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      Find a field that is not corrupted by politics.

      Police, medicine, education, finance, law, military...
      war on drugs, prison industries, bailouts, industrial complexes, unions....

      Why do you think 'science' will be any different?

      The more science gets involved in politics, the more it will be corrupted, just like every other field in all kinds of ways.

      Are 'scientists' any more moral than the priesthood, police officers, teachers, lawyers, bankers, military members...?

    80. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Technically, the climate scientists are the "friends" here, of the politicians who have latched onto this as the latest excuse to take your money and give it to their friends.

      Wait. Let me try to wrap my head around this argument. You're saying that global warming is an excuse for politicians to steal our money so they can give it to climate scientists? Because climate scientists are their buddies?

      No. But the businessmen profiteering from climate change are their buddies. The people with business plans for "super-green, energy-efficient, carbon-neutral" energy are their friends. They are getting huge grants and then when it turns out they didn't have what it took to make their products a reality, the money is spent and they are gone. Look at Solyndra, look at the California "bullet train" and tell me they are not clear-cut cases of graft.

    81. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by plover · · Score: 1

      Every single argument I've ever heard from the "deniers" is based on either a real lack of understanding of science, or they've assumed an argumentative position based on their political leanings. They don't understand the difference between weather and climate. They don't understand trends or statistical sampling. They don't understand the difference between tolerances and allowances, accuracy and precision, or how averages are computed. They don't understand how data from ice cores is calibrated and tested. They don't understand how geologic climate data works. They make faulty assumptions about CO2 data collection methods.

      And you know what? That's OK. Not everyone can be expected to learn all that. But if they can't, then they at least need the honesty to either try to learn from people who do understand, or at least refrain from echoing arguments made by others - because those others aren't making those arguments out of pure stupidity. They are making them to advance their political agenda, or to at least delay someone else's agenda.

      In any collection of people, there will be some "deniers" who will not listen to reason, meaning we will never see unanimity. The trick is recognizing when enough rational people have accepted the arguments. Once the percentage of "deniers" drops far enough below the population of rational people, it's time to stop trying to convince everyone and moving on to accomplish tasks. We have to know when the delays have run their course, because nothing will ever get done if we wait for every last denier to come into accordance.

      As far as your argument goes, there are 50 years of science, 150 years of direct climate measurements, thousands of years of indirect climate measurements, and geological evidence going back much further. I think climate science is a lot further along than still trying to establish first principles.

      --
      John
    82. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Kohath · · Score: 1

      I see. You think any amount of money that doesn't buy you a new Ferrari every year is just pocket change.

    83. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So when the economist wants to know which of the dozen or so options they've costed will give the best result for dollar spent (eg plant x trees or reduce emissions by y) where will they go for the expert, unbiased advise they need? That's right... a climate scientist.

    84. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      The models suck, their accuracy level wouldn't pass muster in even a Christian private schools high school science class and that is definitely a low bar. The sample they are drawing on is, and this is stretching it, less than 200 years of any form of record. The ice cores and sedimentary layers they look at make a very bold assumption of consistent deposition and conditions over billions of years which we assume look more or like what we've seen during that 200 year period we've been looking. 200 is not a statistically significant sample out of billions.

      There is a strong correlation between increased human activity and increased temperature, unfortunately our entire measured sample period also correlates with increased human activity. This makes arguments attempting to claim the correlation is causation the weakest possible arguments. What we definitely know is that human activity is a drop in the bucket next to the natural release of green house gases into the atmosphere.

      Those are some of the biggest problems I see. Unfortunately, there is nothing we can do to improve our sample size relative to the timescales we need to know about. We have no way to gather a sample that doesn't correlate to human activity either, so there is no better evidence to be had here.

      What we do know, with a fairly strong degree of certainty is that climate change is happening. The Earth is getting warming, the most probable cause is changes in atmospheric composition, and if it gets too warm our ecosystem is pretty much screwed our weather can and will go crazy (how fast and to what degree are debatable but it will definitely happen) and if unchecked anything ranging from a serious disaster for our quality of life to our extinction is on the reasonable probable list.

      Given that information, it doesn't hurt to switch to an electric car but even if everyone goes 100% CO2 neutral tomorrow there is nothing predicating that will stop climate change anymore. We need to drop this holy war on terror engagement in the crusade and conduct in a war on greenhouse gas. This means a hell of a lot more than changing human activity. We need to engineer large scale solutions to sequester these gases immediately. Some ultra blooming CO2 eating algae deployed in the ocean and methane processing gut bacteria spread far and wide will be a good start.

      No ladies and gentlemen. The time for being gentle keepers and avoiding tampering with the ecosystem are past. If we want to live we need utilize our human intelligence and engineer some very large scale and intentional changes to the ecosystem because the worst thing that happens is we fuck up and wipe ourselves out and that is what is going to happen if we fail anyway.

    85. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Kohath · · Score: 1

      That's denialist reasoning if I've ever heard it. Shame!

    86. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      No. But...

      Why are you answering for someone else? I'm certain lgw can speak for himself.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    87. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Are 'scientists' any more moral than the priesthood

      What was the last time you heard about widespread child abuse by scientists?

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    88. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by GodelEscherBlecch · · Score: 1

      * Politician wants an excuse to tax something new, to have new money to give to his friends
      * Hey, climate science, we can use that!
      * Grants approved, except any grant questioning the premise denied (as has been true for 20 years)
      * Politician: Alarm! Disaster! Catastrophe! Sacrifice for the common good! Ka-ching.

      OR...

      * Politician wants money
      * Petrol / auto / industrial / coal / etc gives it directly to him

      Occam's Razor calls bullshit on your little conspiracy theory. The 'denier' money tap flows a hell of a lot faster than the roundabout silliness you are postulating. There is no denying that financial incentives and egos drive agendas all the way around this issue, but your logic for framing this as conspiracy of politicians / scientists is ridiculous. You can't make a 'follow the money' argument that completely ignores the side that actually has it all.

      Certainly anyone working for an oil company can't really be a "climate scientist", right?

      Using your same line of reasoning vis a vis $$$, how could you possibly trust them?

      Using a sane person's line of reasoning, yes they are climate scientists. As we have learned in the last year, they are climate scientists who spent the better part of 30 years producing some very troubling findings on climate change, which were then promptly squashed by their employers, you know, because of money.

    89. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by lgw · · Score: 1

      Yes, or that. There's more than one party of politicians you see, and more than one strategy of getting money. It's fairly rare for research results to get caught up in this whole mess, but do you really think there's something a politician wouldn't do for money?

      No conspiracy here, just politicians latching on to research that can be turned into an excuse for taxation - and there's always a party willing to latch onto anything that can be used as an excuse for new taxes. Doesn't mean the researchers aren't sincere, but you can't for a moment believe the politicians are sincere. Can you?

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    90. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by JWW · · Score: 1

      Recently at a meeting that was centered around observing the Earth and Earth sciences, someone noted that "all the money is going into modeling the climate, what about funding for figuring out more about how the Earth's climate system operates?"

      This was a very insightful observation, and the danger of that line of thinking is seen here. Be careful how staunchly you claim to have the only possible viable definitive answer. Because when you have that, why would you need to be funded to ask any more questions?

    91. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by plover · · Score: 1

      No, we're all too focused on "Who's fault is it?" and nobody has properly considered "What do we do about it?"

      We know exactly what to do about it: move to less convenient fuels (excuse me, "renewables") , adopt less comfortable living conditions (aka "reduce energy consumption"), reduce the amount of disposable consumer goods in our lives, etc. And those of us in the developed world have to cut enough from our carbon budgets to make allowances for the populations of the developing nations who want to better their standards of living, a move that is guaranteed to build resentment on both sides of the equation.

      What you're missing here (either honestly or deliberately) is that the problem is ongoing, and that because it's caused by economic activity, the people who are profiting from it want to continue to profit from it, and they are actively working to derail efforts to correct or even acknowledge the problem.

      And those of us in the developed world are not too excited about fixing it. The benefit we get from fossil fueled energy is great and immediate; the impact we feel from CO2 emissions is so low we have to be 40 years old before we have enough experience to notice the impact on our own lives. Rising water levels on a few tropical islands is a long way from stepping on a gas pedal in North Dakota.

      So yeah, we need to do both: stop the people who are encouraging the growth of the problem, and we have to accept some sacrifices as a result. Neither is fun, so ... you first.

      --
      John
    92. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Mengele

    93. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by lgw · · Score: 1

      Those 150 years of direct climate measurements didn't show much warming until they were "adjusted", but that's really beside the point.

      The point of the debate is: what human action will make the life of humans better. Do we know enough to do a cost-benefit analysis on various plans? No. Do we know enough to know whether the climate will become warmer or cooler (not the bias introduced by humans, which is clear, but the total system behavior)? No, we don't.

      Yes, yes, everyone understands what CO2 does, that's really not the issue. The complex system of feedback loops, many positive and many negative, that is our climate isn't well understood, and isn't yet successfully modeled. The atmosphere itself is a chaotic system, but no one would model just the atmosphere - the oceans are a far more powerful driver for climate, even for CO2 levels.

      But, really, the single largest factor in determining "warmer or cooler" isn't human activity, or the atmosphere, or the oceans. It has driven quite dramatic climate shifts throughout the Earth's history, likely including extinction events, and including a 100k year cycle that we're at the peak of, and it's not well modeled and only modestly understood.

      So, no, no one's debating how CO2 works. But that's a small part of the story, and not enough to inform policy.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    94. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      No, I think that a worldwide conspiracy to fraudently conduct an entire scientific field just to keep modestly paid academic jobs is one of the less believable conspiracy theories I've seen, and that's up against some stiff competition. Do all that rather than just go into private industry for more pay and better security?

    95. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      Incidentally, moving from academia to industry is exactly what I did (not in climate science though). It's easier and better paid, though less interesting.

      I now work in the oil industry, so have more reason than most to want to argue against climate science. But there's such a thing as intellectual honesty.

    96. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by SoftwareArtist · · Score: 1

      Citation needed.

      The latest IPCC report included predictions about future climate change for six different scenarios, ranging from "no further increase in atmospheric CO2" to "ongoing rapid global development, mainly powered by fossil fuels." The different scenarios led to radically different predictions, with the expected temperatures in 2100 differing by more than 3 degrees between the best case and worst case scenarios.

      So please, don't go around spouting nonsense about, "relative to natural processes human contributions to greenhouse gases are a drop in the bucket." It's simply not true. If you don't know what you're talking about, either look up the facts (it would have taken you all of about three minutes), or else remain silent. But don't make things up and then spread disinformation online.

      --
      "I'm too busy to research this and form an educated opinion, but I do have time to tell everyone my uninformed opinion."
    97. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly, the usual dumbfuck shill deniers are lining up for their usual ignorant stupid claims.
      Personally, I listen the the experts, not some moronic Slashdot right wing libertarian assholes in denial.

    98. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "We're only going to die of our own arrogance." We need computer generated models to alter the data we have on record because the actual data disproves the theory. Yet, somehow "the science is settled". Furthermore, we postulate that our condition is man made, and are absolutely sure that we have all of the data required to prove that and come to a logical and accurate conclusion. All we need to do is invest more money in politicians, scientists, and government programs that will fix this "crisis". What better way to solve a problem than to solve one that never existed in the first place? In 50 years from now when climate goes on doing what it's done for thousands of years everyone can congratulate themselves on saving us from certain doom. #gimmeafrigginbreakalready

    99. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Kohath · · Score: 0

      Tenured academic jobs are usually easier and often pay considerably more than private sector jobs.

      And it's not a "fraud". It's a field that reached a conclusion with a very high degree of uncertainty. The conclusion is true. There's a real phenomenon. It either means a lot or a little.

      Then billions were taxed and spent by power-hungry people based on the possibility that it means "a lot". If it means a lot, then that opens the door for power-hungry elites to micromanage the lives of everyone else, just like they've always wanted to do.

      Scientists are incentivized to hype one side versus the other. The high degree of uncertainty allows for a defense of any particular claim. If you want to study something, you can make a defendable claim, raise the alarm, and often get funded to study it.

      No wacky insidious conspiracy needed. (But people "conspire" all the time. They discuss a how to present ideas. It's an ordinary thing to do.)

    100. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps it's bong you've been smoking. The OP isn't all that far off. I'm not sure I'd say buddies with the politicians, but I'll leave you with this:

      1) Government funds your study and provides your grant
      2) Government wants a particular result from your study
      3) Government does not renew your grant when the study does not prove what they set out to prove

      Gee I wonder why all of the scientists still in the game are saying the same thing. This is being driven from the UN. It spans multiple countries, and there has been some significant dissent from other scientists that have been blackballed, silenced, jailed, and in some cases murdered to keep everyone on the same page. Why go to all that trouble if we're talking about a real issue?

    101. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by scamper_22 · · Score: 1

      well the guy below mentions Nazis, but gets downvoted because of the extreme example I'm assuming... but here's a quick google of more
      'regular abuse by scientists'

      http://www.thestar.com/news/ca...

      http://www.documentary.org/mag...

      And heck, I'd be willing to wager that scientists as a whole working with children... perhaps in anthropology or sociology abuse children the same as priests, UN peace keepers... And I'd also wager, their colleagues turn a blind eye to it just as every other group.

      Scientists are pretty regular people.

    102. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      You know, you can't just handwave evidence away with "It's a complex system."

      If increased CO2 levels are increasing the absorption of solar energy, which you don't seem to deny, then pray tell where the fuck is that energy going, if not into the lower atmosphere and the oceans? Come on, Mr. Smarty Guy, fucking explain how "complex systems" make energy magically fucking disappear. Go on, get to it. Show how "complex systems" somehow allow violations of thermodynamics.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    103. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      What you see is irrelevant. What precisely is your special ability to determine veracity of any statistical model?

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    104. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If 3/4 of CSIRO's climate scientists were tasked with confirming that global warming was happening, that was a terribly misguided agency in the first place....

    105. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by magarity · · Score: 1

      Absolutely not. Economists are not scientists. They are data-free advocates for a world-view

      As an economist I got a really high utility from your amusing comment.

    106. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by magarity · · Score: 1

      Yes indeed, according to salary websites astrologists only make $39K while an economist averages almost $74K.

    107. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Sir+Holo · · Score: 1

      The climate models developed thus far have generally been worthless in terms of prediction after more than a few years...

      I know I'm feeding a troll, but here it goes anyway.

      This is the nature pf predictive modeling. For example, models trying to

      * Predict stock markets,
      * Predict Superbowl winners three-years-out,
      * Predict highway traffic patterns, or
      * Predict who is going to commit a crime (AKA pre-crime)

      are all worthless over more than short time-scales.

      Without a continuous stream of good data (measurements), there will be nothing for any refined models to be tested against. The point is so fundamental as to be "obvious".

    108. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by lgw · · Score: 1

      Is "warmer" better or worse? By how much? Are we returning to glaciation in the current ice age, and CO2 emission is our only method to prevent glaciers covering Europe? Are we exiting the ice age we've been in for millions of years, and our CO2 emissions are a trivial part of the huge coming problem? The answers are about the Sun, not the atmosphere.

      Bigger questions aside, you simply can't asses the cost/benefit of any proposed policy without solid modeling of this complex system (ocean mixing is a big part of it - most of the CO2 not in rocks is in the ocean, and feedback loops there could go wild in either direction with CO2 levels when some threshold is crossed).

      Also, you add nothing to the quality of discussion by being an asshole, though you do come across exactly like the religious whackos of my youth did - same tone, same certainty, same unwillingness to actually discuss anything with heretics.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    109. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they can't predict a few years, why on earth would we trust a long term average - or trend?

      You have this thing called probability theory. I've got a coin. Can you a) predict for me the next 10 outcomes of my flipping a coin in order? b) estimate the number of heads flipped after 1 million tosses of the coin?

      If you can't predict the next ten flips, why on earth would I trust your estimate over 1 million flips?

    110. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      If they can't predict a few years, why on earth would we trust a long term average - or trend?

      The issue is the signal to noise ratio. Natural variability and weather from year to year (noise) has a greater magnitude of variation than the underlying temperature trend (signal) from year to year. It takes time for the signal to emerge from the noise.

    111. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I downloaded the last 50 years of temperature data from a local NOAA recording station. The first thing I did was plot a graph of the average highs and lows for each day of the year. The thing that really stood out was that there is a HUGE amount of variation. I expected a graph of the averages for 50 years to be pretty smooth, but it wasn't. It looked more like a seismic chart readout.

    112. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by thesupraman · · Score: 1

      Great, Fantastic!

      Perhaps now you would like to clear up why the models running on supercomputers with find global grids and highly complex systems interactions, you know, the ones the CLIMATOLOGISTS work on, are hugely divergent and out of agreement with both other models and observations?

      No? But I thought you just told us a high school physics student can do it. I wonder what those advanced researchers are spending their tens of millions on?

    113. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 1

      We need those guys even more than we did before the original question was answered.

      Climate scientists aren't qualified to answer most of those questions; you need to hire economists and agronomists.

      Particularly when they're consultants for Koch Industries and the like, they're guaranteed to provide clear, unbiased advice.

    114. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by TheRealHocusLocus · · Score: 1

      Heck, even earthquakes will be quakier.

      Cue the music!

      Earthquakes, keep on quakin' ... Records, keep on breakin'
      Cold snaps, keep on snappin' ... 'Cause it won't be too long
      Disaster, keep on comin' ... Humidity, keep on hummin'
      Albedo, keep on shinin' ... 'Cause it won't be too long

      I'm so darn glad the climate's going to hell
      'Cause bad times news is really easy to sell
      Armageddon tired of what people are sayin'
      If it don't happen... they'll be seeking higher ground

      Heat waves, keep on wavin' ... Volcanoes... keep on vapin'
      Floods... keep on floodin' ... 'Cause it won't be too long
      NOAA, stop adjustin' ... NASA, get back to thrustin'
      Mankind, just keep evolving ... This shit's gone on way too long

      LESS CONTROVERTIAL AVIAN VERSION

      Pigeons, keep on pidgin' ... Crows, keep on crowin'
      Chicks, keep on chicken ... 'Cause it won't be too long
      Ducks... keep on duckin' ... Gooses, keep on goosin'
      'Terns... keep on turnin' ... Cause it won't be too long

      I'm so darn glad I have a tiny little brain
      'Cause the hairless apes are completely insane
      I'm so glad I have these beady little eyes
      Gonna see you dyin' till I reach my highest ground

      Puffins, keep on puffin' ... Grackles, keep on gracklin'
      Herons, keep on herring ... 'Cause it won't be too long
      Thrashers, keep on thrashin' ... Sparrows, keep on sparin'
      Swallows, keep on gulpin' ... Cause it won't be too long

      --
      <blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
    115. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Don't worry this change has nothing what so ever to do with climate. This is all about "science that can be easily commercialized". So basically they have stuck a typical right wing dick head fuck wit in at the top and if doesn't produce commercialised profit ie government pays for the research, corporation buy the patent on the cheap and then sell rights to that patent for maximum profits, it won't get researched.

      So take vermin control. No research on natural programs that control the problem with limited expenditure by Australians and 100% research of chemical agents that can be patented and the patents sold to foreign corporations who will then charge Australians top dollar for it. No fucking way can you invest in research only to effectively give it away for free, that is crazy, just ask any right wing idiot. They hired a right wing fuck wit and it is down to business, forget about Australians saving money, it is all about making the maximum possible corporate profit out of Australians, fuck curing any problems, lets just focus on treating the symptoms for ever, profit first, profit last and everything in between profit (yeah, I have a pretty low 'opinion' of what is going on and those involved).

      So the new CSIRO is not about preventing climate change but all about how to profit out of everyone's suffering, sick, sick, sick.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    116. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by turbidostato · · Score: 1

      "The issue is the signal to noise ratio."

      Well, there are a lot of issues. The signal to noise ratio is one that would only mean a problem to joe-sixpack/armchair debater.

      But there's also the public focus on results more than paradigms. We know almost for certain than human activity is strong enough to be significant. We know that most of the impact of human activity comes from greenhouse gases. We know quite a lot of the "bricks" that enter into the equation: greenhouse effect, overall energy in the atmosphere, ability of oceans to buffer carbon emissions, impact of big ocean currents in climate, albedo... but we still lack deep knowledge about how this all integrates in an holistic manner and how each part's dynamics impacts the others so when scientists can say "something big is about to happen, and it'll be due to our human activity" politicians, the press and, as a consequence, Joe Average insist on "don't tell me how the team is playing, tell me the score" and of course they pay a lot more of attention to the one selling a score than to the one saying our defensive game is awful and we should invest more on it.

      Of course, those that are happy with the statu quo use all this to muddy the waters so the statu quo remains for as long as possible just like creationists use the holes in the fossil record to negate evolution or tobacco or oil companies did in the past abusing discrepancies on cigarettes or lead impact on health to completely negate the issue.

      And to make things even worse, there's also people that see something to gain misrepresenting as "scientific facts" what scientists didn't really say whenever they see they could also climb to the top (it's not only big oil companies the ones deserving sucking society, do they? After all, if joe sixpackers are gullible enough to pay attention to the stupid things oil corps say to protect their business they'll surely be gullible enough to send money in my general direction too, won't they?)

    117. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by BoogieChile · · Score: 1

      So an agronomist can tell me if I'll still be able to grow wheat strain A at latitude X in country Y in 25 years?

    118. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Falconhell · · Score: 1

      The elephant in the room is the incredibly stupid capitalism idea of relying on never ending growth in a limited environment.

      Our planet is giving us lots of warning signs.

      If we continue to abuse the environment, and use up precious resources by burning them, dumping rubbish in them and polluting them,
      there is little hope that nature will not dispassionately reduce our population in some way or other.

      If people like Slashdot posters, whom one would assume were of reasonable intelligence, can for example put up arguments, such as "the scientists are corrupted in climate science" , then without awareness of the apparent irony, promote Nuclear because "the scientists say the new reactors are safe" it's cognitive dissonance of the most extreme kind. I've been here long enough (16years) to remember the same denial crew saying solar/battery would never work. :)

        The problem is worse in the US, UK and Australia as the denialist propaganda technique is enthusiastically promoted by the Murdoch press, and extensively funded by the Oil companies who have so much to lose. It's also caught on with those who tend to believe conspiracy theories, bringing with it the usual nutbagery.

      Consequently, the funding of the development of renewables in those countries is less, let's face it, on the most basic level, renewable energy totally makes sense as an investment in the future of our species.

      Several states and countries have already achieved days of total renewable energy use, the Aust state of South Australia has actually generated enough to export power to the grid. With the economies of scale now feeding the rapidly growing home battery market, and home solar we are on the brink of a genuine energy revolution. It's important that we help the poorer countries use renewables rather than fossil fuels at our western rate of use, defeating the reductions we are making.

      You know it makes sense.

      Falconhell, posting anon due to mods.

    119. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Falconhell · · Score: 1

      Ooops. Not anon then. Never mind.

    120. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Sadly he's probably correct, divide the globe into 5 degree cells, run a hundred calculations on each cell for a half hour time slice, keep going for a 30 year simulation and the round-off error alone would make the results less reliable than a one line simple model. Monckton et. al. said pretty much the same thing.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    121. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by KenHansen · · Score: 1

      We're all gonna die!!!!!!!!!!

      Yes we will.

    122. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      1) Government funds your study and provides your grant
      2) Government wants a particular result from your study
      3) Government does not renew your grant when the study does not prove what they set out to prove

      And...

      1) Private industry funds your study and provides your grant
      2) Private industry wants a particular result from your study
      3) Private industry does not renew your grant when the study does not prove what they set out to prove
      4) Private industry tries to censor any study that has results that embarrass private industry

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    123. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Scientists are pretty regular people.

      True. But priests are not.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    124. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 0

      As an economist I...

      Admitting the problem is the first step.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    125. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by stoborrobots · · Score: 1

      Rod Quantock: ... Just to give you a bit of my background, I probably am the only comedian in Australia and I think I'm quite rare in the world who actually devotes all of his comedy shows to issues around climate change, but particularly things like peak oil. But to get to that point takes an awful lot of work. And I spent a lot of time being a political comic, and I have the advantage that most of you don't have; I've got nothing to do during the day. I work for an hour or two hours at night, and the rest of the time is my own. And I spend that time reading what you don't have time to read. And I've had people come to me at the end of a show about politics and people say to me, 'I love coming to your shows every year because it means I don't have to read the newspapers for a year.'

      So when I got involved in climate change I applied for what used to be called a Keating Fellowship and Howard changed that very quickly to an Australia Council Fellowship. And I applied for it because I was broke, a condition which is with me constantly. And I thought, well, I've been around a while, I deserve some money. So I was about to turn 60 and I thought, well, what I'll do is I'll apply to them to do a project about the world from the day I was born. I was born in [mumbles], and I just look at the world, where it came from and how it got to where it was, contemporaneous with this application.

      So I did that, and I began in 1948, the declaration of human rights, the division of Israel and Palestine, North and South Korea, Velcro was invented in 1948, the first Holden rolled offâ¦you know, the roots of our contemporary world are there and a lot of it is still festering today. I'm not what you'd call a bright person but I'm methodical, and I did it chronologically. And as I went through I started to see things like the impact of chemicals in our environment. I'd been aware of that, but as you march back through time and then push your way forward, these become more and more apparent.

      And then I hit the 1973 oil shock when the world economy collapsed through lack of oil. So I got interested in peak oil. But as I got closer and closer to the day, I saw climate change looming and looming and looming larger in discussions. So I took that and I really knuckled down and I read everything there is to read about it, and I came to the conclusion that we are all going to die. That's it.

      Now, I have a preconditioned attitude to apocalypse. By the time I was 10, I'd seen black-and-white footage of the Hiroshima bomb, I'd seen black-and-white footage of the Holocaust, I'd seen black-and-white footage of Japanese prisoners of war, I've seen the worst that humanity could do to one another. And so it was very clear to me that climate change is something we weren't going to stop because it's not in our nature to be intelligent and clever about these things.

      And then you throw in peak oil and you suddenly realise that the brick wall is approaching very, very quickly. So I thought, what do you do? And I thought, well, you tell people about it, that's what you do. So I did a show called Bugger the Polar Bears, This Is Serious, because people were always thinking it's about polar bears. And I did shows called The People We Should Eat First. I actually have a list of people we should eat first. And when climate change really hits, I want you to remember that the person sitting in front of you is made of protein. Just keep that in mind. And as a general warning to you all, try not to look delicious. I actually used to be 18 stone but I'm trying to get less and less a source of food.

      But it's a lot of work to understand it. The basics are simple. CO2 is a greenhouse gas and there's lots of it, more in the atmosphere, so we are heating up. But the consequences, the flow-ons, the shift changes in the state of our environment that can happen very, very suddenly, those sorts of things you've really got to study. And I got to a point where I thought it's all over.

    126. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by LabRatty · · Score: 1

      Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling!
      Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes...
      The dead rising from the grave!
      Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together... mass hysteria!

    127. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The big picture is that "Climate change/ Global warming" is a political "Take Over The World"-scheme launched by the US Democratic party (100% politics).

      The US Republican party has it's own "Take over the World"-scheme, now with Democratic president, this is not driven very hard, it is the TTIP's (and the variants, it is also 100% politics).

      After the history of occupying Philippines with water torture etc. the schemes became more indirect. The method of choice now is "lawfare" i.e. get your laws enforced abroad and you own the place. The locals can appear to rule but in secret they have to pay big companies money compensations for practising democracy.

      But historically it is nothing new, just US-flavor of old European colonialism. Anybody familiar with the Pinky and The Brain comics should see this easily. ;-)

    128. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by digitig · · Score: 1

      We're all gonna die!!!!!!!!!!

      True enough. The question is whether the process will be accelerated.

      (Thinks: if only we could put project managers in charge of human mortality; they'd never deliver early.)

      --
      Quidnam Latine loqui modo coepi?
    129. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Does MANN?

      He's has been told multiple times by experts in statistics that his calculations are a pile of garbage and still not corrected his mistakes!!!

      He couldn't spot that he used one set of data with values inverted!!!.

    130. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Heck, even earthquakes will be quakier.

      Those quakier quakes are so peaceful and communal. In order words, they hit the major cities and leave only peaceful silence in their wake.

    131. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but there are still a heck of a lot of questions that need to be answered. "How Fast?" and "Will the extra CO2 help crops or weeds grow faster?" and "What can we do about it?" and "Will such-and-such course of action have enough effect to avoid such-and-such consequences?" We need those guys even more than we did before the original question was answered.

      Climate scientists aren't qualified to answer most of those questions; you need to hire economists and agronomists.

      Many of these questions are going to need to start with climate models, to answer things like "what will be the effect at different latitudes, what will be the effect on precipitation, what will be the effect on storms"

      The science is settled so they can just use the climate models they already have.

    132. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Take money away from the people who earned it so we can spend it on ourselves and our friends. Obviously.

      Yes, that's what climate scientists are trying to do. They want to take your money and give it to their friends.

      It must be a burden for you to have such brilliant insights in the face of all the stupid, stupid scientists.

      YES! I know a climate scientist. He and 15 others got an all expenses paid 3 month vacation to Antarctica. He said 15 guys got shit faced drunk and played poker every day while 1 guy actually went out and did some measurements.

    133. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And economists and agronomists are going to be able to continue to develop climate models?

      It's amazing, no matter how the wheel turns, people still have this desire to shoot the messenger.

      Why would you need continued development on climate models when the science is already settled?

    134. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moderate regions will become even more moderate, possibly hitting extreme levels of moderation.

    135. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Existing global climate models are useless to predict a few years but are the best thing we have to predict what the long term averages for climate will be.

      That's a joke, right? The models are no good when tested against the data we have, but those same models are the best for data we don't have yet!

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    136. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      The idea that there are over 110 climate scientists needed to make models in Australia alone is preposterous. Model making consists of little more than taking data sets and making correlations, then checking for internal consistency. Until new data becomes available, nothing more can be done.

      This is a job for one person, maybe with a secretary. Anything more is evidence of a political machine.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    137. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Parapsychologists fall into 2 categories: suckers and people out to fleece suckers. For the second class look at the early scenes of Dr. Peter Venkman.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    138. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's be fair about it. By definition, it's only the homosexual or bisexual priests that are diddling the little boys. You can admit that, right? Or are you too much of a coward to follow through on your own shit-slinging to find out that some of your own baby unicorns are getting hit by your wet, black, cold hateful shit?

    139. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Let's be fair about it. By definition, it's only the homosexual or bisexual priests that are diddling the little boys.

      Except for the ones who are diddling little girls.

      http://www.newsweek.com/sex-ab...

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    140. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Parapsychologists fall into 2 categories: suckers and people out to fleece suckers

      Don't fall into trap many pseudoskeptics fall into of simply parrotting anything your favorite aging TV magicians post on facebook. There's been a big change in the field of parapsychology ever since a psi effect was proven to exist. The research being done now is ridiculously rigorous, thanks to the positive effects of decades of ridicule. I don't really have an interest either way, but I was surprised to learn this recently.

      Guys like this are being taken very seriously:

      http://www.parapsych.org/users...

      This move towards better design of para studies and stricter peer review criteria was covered in Steve Volk's 2011 book, Fringeology.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    141. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No
      That comes later down the road once the planet becomes uninhabitable.
      Just wait, you'll see ..

    142. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Will such-and-such course of action have enough effect to avoid such-and-such consequences?"
      Uh, Australia puts out 1.6% of the global CO2 output. 1.6%

      This means Australia CANNOT statistically have any affect on global CO2.
      So why the hell do they need to waste money on mitigation attempts? It won't (it can't) do shit.
      Christ people.

    143. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      What makes you think models are no good when tested against data we have? And you need to show your work.

    144. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      We're all gonna die!!!!!!!!!!

      True enough. The question is whether the process will be accelerated.

      For which question, you need climate scientists.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    145. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're all gonna die!!!!!!!!!!

      Well, aside from Wowbagger The Infinitely Prolonged, yes.

    146. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      And worst of all, Siberia will become a friendly and welcoming place with a mild climate!

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    147. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      While the climate in the past saw changes on a larger scale than visible currently, it never faced them at this pace. They were changes spanning many decades.

      2015 was not only the top record hot year in history of weather reports. It was also the record-breaker by the highest margin relative to any prior record-breakers, and with a good margin on top of that. And it's forming a trend with the previous years, not a one-odd.

      Not only the *value* of yearly temperature is growing.
      Not only the *value growth* is increasing (speed).
      The *increase of value growth* is growing too (acceleration)

      That means the third derivative is non-zero. We're facing a growth that is at least of order of t^3, It's definitely not something Earth has seen in the past.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    148. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      For this particular case the science is settled. Yes, it will.

      Higher derivatives are a work in progress, though it seems third derivative (jerk) is non-zero already, so even the acceleration will be accelerating. Exponential progress seems like a likely model.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    149. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      Joke all you want, thermal stresses of tectonic plates are a thing. If the temperature 50m deep was consistently 4C throughout all seasons, and it grows to 5C, things WILL quake.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    150. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      Because extremes are hardly indicative of anything - they are coincidence of a set of momentary conditions.

      Plot the yearly averages, you'll see the trend.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    151. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In this case, the government is doing what it should, ending programs that have achieved their goals.

      Well, that would be fine if the Australian government wouldn't ignore what the scientists say.

    152. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you look at all at the science you will see that the models don't hindcast or forecast any of these. You might ask yourself if the models don't model precipitation, winds, humidity or anything else then how can they model temperature? Good question but for those that think the question is settled don't bother yourself with little logical problems like that. Just keep believing Hansens 30+ adjustments to the temperature record that one researcher computed a one in a billion chance of being right.

    153. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More abortions, more car accidents, more cigarette smoking, more bankruptcies and more people falling off buildings, more small heads, ugly people, big heads and amazingly one consequence of global warming bigger belly buttons. By 2100 our belly buttons will be as large as our heads.

    154. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I did a simple google spreadsheet model that uses the unadjusted temperature record. I couldn't make it work with the highly adjusted record. But with the unadjusted record or the satellite record or the balloon record or the sea record I could make it work. With a TCS = 1.2 and PDO/AMO fluctuation of 0.23C every 60 years and 0.1C for soot and 0.1C for solar during peak times I was able to hindcast the temperature with almost 0 error for 120 years much better than the multi-billion dollar computer models with thousands of researchers. My simple model which takes 0.01 milliseconds for goggle to compute compared to the years of compute time for the gridded GCM models produced 1/20th the error in hindcasts and predicted a 0.3C higher temperature in 2100.

      I'm sure I'm wrong because these multi-billion dollar efforts and the billions spent correcting the data and the billions spent on computer time for these ultra sophisticated models must be right. It is probably another 10 or 20 years before Hansen finds all the sneaky adjustments that are hiding from us that will make the temperature record match these sophisticated super intelligent computer models of theirs that we've spent billion upon billions of dollars on.

      Whew. Keep up the good work gents.

    155. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by budgenator · · Score: 1

      They are as bad as economic models, because they show scenarios based on CO2 emission estimates, which are tied to economic activity.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    156. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In other words we're all going to die so what difference does it make. Some will drown some will freeze some will bake and some will dehydrate into dust.

      I live about 45 miles from the Atlantic Ocean at about 1000 feet above sea level, so I am really looking forward to owning really cheap ocean front property soon.

    157. Re: The basic question is answered...but still... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sod off Quontoch, the only sense you ever made was in the captain snooze ad.

    158. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      Special ability? I don't recall a plea for authority in my argument so stop attacking the messenger.

      Since the bulk of my post was an argument for aggressively engineering active sequestoring technologies did you actually have any content to add to the discussion?

    159. Re:The basic question is answered...but still... by shaitand · · Score: 1

      This (your premise)-

      "The latest IPCC report included predictions about future climate change [www.ipcc.ch] for six different scenarios, ranging from "no further increase in atmospheric CO2" to "ongoing rapid global development, mainly powered by fossil fuels." The different scenarios led to radically different predictions, with the expected temperatures in 2100 differing by more than 3 degrees between the best case and worst case scenarios."

      Provides no support for or against this (your conclusion) -

      "So please, don't go around spouting nonsense about, "relative to natural processes human contributions to greenhouse gases are a drop in the bucket." It's simply not true. If you don't know what you're talking about, either look up the facts (it would have taken you all of about three minutes), or else remain silent. But don't make things up and then spread disinformation online."

      Your argument is a non-sequitor.

      But at the end of the day I can't really puzzle it out. As I pointed out it doesn't really matter if human emissions are the source or not. Is it that you are a climate change denier or that you think it is more feasible to get billions of people in the many nations throughout the world to change their behavior in ways that cost more and reduce their quality of life than to engineer solutions to actively sequestor greenhouse gases?

  2. What else would you have them do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Obviously we know what has to be done. That money will be better spent doing it than flogging a dead horse.

    1. Re:What else would you have them do? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      It depends where you want to spend your money. The cost of adaptation is greater where there is large uncertainty. You need to prepare for the worse case. If you can narrow uncertainty you can typically eliminate many of the worst case scenarios. Australians have a choice to either pay more for adaptation or further reduce uncertainty. Of course further research could potentially identify an unknown unknown that you wouldn't otherwise have prepared for.

    2. Re:What else would you have them do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The cost of adaptation is greater where there is large uncertainty.
       
      Cite?

    3. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Australians have a choice to either pay more for adaptation or further reduce uncertainty.

      False dichotomy. For the most part, they have chosen a third option: ignore the issue and expect it won't be much of a problem.

      My money is on the third option. I don't think a lot of "adaptation" will be necessary.

    4. Re:What else would you have them do? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      If you expect between 1-8 feet of sea level rise then you need to plan for 8 feet of sea level rise. If you expect 2-6 feet of sea level rise then you need to plan for 6 feet of sea level rise. Planning for 6 feet is cheaper than planning for 8 feet.

    5. Re:What else would you have them do? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      I don't think a lot of "adaptation" will be necessary.

      You also think that Obama faked his birth certificate and that 911 was an inside job. I've learned not to put too much stock in what you think.

    6. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      You also think that Obama faked his birth certificate and that 911 was an inside job. I've learned not to put too much stock in what you think.

      Pure libel. I never wrote either of those things. In fact, I straightened you out on BOTH of those issues, right here on Slashdot, just a short time ago. So there is absolutely no excuse for your libel. You knew, or should have known, those statements were false when you made them just now.

      For the sake of others, not you, I will repeat what I told you earlier: I have no idea where Barack Obama was born. The document on the White House website IS an altered graphic, which anyone with good graphics skills can download and check for themselves. They hardly need to take my word for it. However, as I also clearly told you before, there could be a number of legitimate reasons for that.

      Second, I did not claim 9/11 "was an inside job". That's a blatant lie. My only claim was that we were not told the whole truth about it. and there are more than 2400 professional architects and engineers who agree with me.

      Neither I or they did claim or now claim it was "an inside job". That's a deliberate lie. I.e., libel.

      Now I have some questions for YOU. Please do be a good boy and try to answer them honestly:

      (A) Why did you respond to a perfectly civil comment with insults and deliberate lies?

      (B) Why do you quote "Khayman80" so much? No "conspiracy theory" here, just an honest question. I am not claiming you are the same people, but they way you write and the way you behave are remarkably similar, and you even quote each other rather surprisingly consistently and often.

    7. Re:What else would you have them do? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Now I have some questions for YOU

      Errrr. I never asked you any questions.

    8. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Errrr. I never asked you any questions.

      I didn't say you had. But I certainly noticed you didn't answer mine. So will everyone else.

    9. Re:What else would you have them do? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      I hope that it's clear that I have no interest in carrying on a 'conversation' with a birther and truther. That way leads to madness.

    10. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      I hope that it's clear that I have no interest in carrying on a 'conversation' with a birther and truther. That way leads to madness.

      Since I have made it abundantly clear, more than once, that I am not even remotely a "birther", and those you call "truthers" are on the side of overwhelming evidence and the professional consensus, I am curious to know what your real reason is. After all, I thought you supported expert consensus views.

    11. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      You know. Scientific, expert consensus and all that.

      I think I detect a strong whiff of hypocrisy.

    12. Re:What else would you have them do? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      You're citing a truther page? As I said, not interested in discussing your crazy.

    13. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      You're citing a truther page? As I said, not interested in discussing your crazy.

      I don't really give a damn what you call it. I cited a website which has been signed off by over 2400 professional architects and engineers as being factually accurate.

      That *IS* the expert scientific consensus on the matter. You have now confirmed your hypocrisy, and demonstrated that you don't care what the evidence is: if you don't like it you just put a pejorative label on it and deny it.

      I knew that before, because I've seen you do it many times. But it's nice to have such crystal clear confirmation.

      And why do you feel it necessary to lie? You still haven't answered that question.

      Strange, isn't it? 4 years ago someone else accused you of lying by "quote-mining" out of context. It is very clear that is exactly what you did. And there is no doubt it was you, because it's the same Blogger account and others referred to your account here on Slashdot by name.

      Isn't it interesting that I pointed out exactly the same behavior here, long before I knew that page existed? I wonder. Is it just some bizarre coincidence? Or a pattern? Maybe we should ask others to vote on it.

    14. Re:What else would you have them do? by Layzej · · Score: 1

      Was any of that meant to convince me that a conversation with you would be in the least bit fruitful? I am no more inclined to engage with your crazy.

    15. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Was any of that meant to convince me that a conversation with you would be in the least bit fruitful? I am no more inclined to engage with your crazy.

      I didn't expect to convince you of anything. I did want to show other people what kind of person you are, and that I was right about you all along.

      To put your lying-via-cherry-picked-out-of-contexting in context, as it were.

      Thanks for so easily handing me the opportunity.

    16. Re:What else would you have them do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I didn't expect to convince you of anything. I did want to show other people what kind of person you are, and that I was right about you all along.

      According to Lonny Eachus, that's dishonest. You don't want Lonny Eachus to think you're a dishonest woman, do you?

      Thanks for so easily handing me the opportunity.

      The opportunity to show that your accusations are just blatant psychological projection?

      And why do you feel it necessary to lie? You still haven't answered that question. Strange, isn't it? 4 years ago someone else accused you of lying by "quote-mining" out of context. It is very clear that is exactly what you did. And there is no doubt it was you, because it's the same Blogger account and others referred to your account here on Slashdot by name.

      Fascinating! Jane accuses Layzej of lying by quote-mining out of context and claims "no doubt" that was Layzej's comment because others referred to his account here on Slashdot by name. And yet Jane can't bring himself to quote the comment which referred to Layzej's account and led Jane to his "no doubt" conclusion. Odd, isn't it? Especially since Jane's entire accusation revolves around quote-mining out of context. Let's see that comment:

      As Al points out below, layzej reads like a “false flag” comment, an attempt to post lies about WUWT in hopes that others will take the bait, and then be used to discredit the climate realist community. There is a layzej at slashdot who seems to be a climate realist – I suppose this “layzej” here could be a spoof meant to discredit the original as well.

      Possibiity B is that layzej decided what’s an acceptable strategy for the Romney campaign is good for everyone else to do. That would be a mistake, but it’s interesting that a comment to a blog post is being held to a higher ethical standard than the campaign for the likely Republican nominee.

      Isn't that fascinating! The comment that led Jane to "no doubt" that Layzej is quote-mining out of context actually says "this “layzej” here could be a spoof meant to discredit the original as well."

      Jane, are you trying to show everybody that your accusations are just blatant psychological projection, or are you just so far gone that you can't even recognize that that's what you're doing?

    17. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      According to Lonny Eachus, that's dishonest. You don't want Lonny Eachus to think you're a dishonest woman, do you?

      Nonsense. Now you're just plain making shit up. And man... you sure do like to link to your own old statements, no matter how ridiculous they are. You make Narcissus look like a heavyweight.

      While still not having the cojones to post under your own name. Guess what... that's dishonest. When you have an account but hide behind Anonymous Coward.

      The opportunity to show that your accusations are just blatant psychological projection?

      Nice try. "Turnabout" may be "fair play", but you have to actually make it work. That, on the other hand, was just lame.

      Fascinating! Jane accuses Layzej of lying by quote-mining out of context and claims "no doubt" that was Layzej's comment because others referred to his account here on Slashdot by name. And yet Jane can't bring himself to quote the comment which referred to Layzej's account and led Jane to his "no doubt" conclusion. Odd, isn't it? Especially since Jane's entire accusation revolves around quote-mining out of context. Let's see that comment:

      That's not what I referred to. The comment I referred to was on a different site. But that's really immaterial. There's a big problem with your idea: that site requires (and has required) a login with a WordPress account in order to post a comment. For someone to have posted that comment, they would have had to have access to the same email account(s) and password(s) as the real Layzej. The site does not allow you to post under a different name.

      While it's remotely possible someone else had access, it's hardly likely. "Layzej" has posted all over the internet on sites related to climate change, using the same Blogger and WordPress accounts. Anybody who wants to can spend a few minutes on google and easily see for themselves they were obviously made by the same person.

      So... sorry, your misdirection isn't going to fly.

      Why, by the way, are you trying so hard to defend against people knowing plain, clear facts about this Layzej person? Enough to be willing to attack other people over it? I find that very interesting.

    18. Re:What else would you have them do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While still not having the cojones to post under your own name. Guess what... that's dishonest. When you have an account but hide behind Anonymous Coward.

      Fascinating. If Jane/Lonny weren't a psychopath, he might be able to recognize that not logging when debating someone who desperately tries to suppress speech he doesn't like is (at least) less dishonest than a man logging in as a woman and trying to convince everyone that he's a woman. But Jane/Lonny can't recognize that, can he?

      "The psychopathic tendency to not care about the consequences of their actions, no matter how badly they affect others, can be linked to their "remarkable ability to rationalize their behavior,"

      And why do you feel it necessary to lie? You still haven't answered that question. Strange, isn't it? 4 years ago someone else accused you of lying by "quote-mining" out of context. It is very clear that is exactly what you did. And there is no doubt it was you, because it's the same Blogger account and others referred to your account here on Slashdot by name.

      That's not what I referred to. The comment I referred to was on a different site.

      Where? Link?

    19. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Fascinating. If Jane/Lonny weren't a psychopath, he might be able to recognize that not logging when debating someone who desperately tries to suppress speech he doesn't like is (at least) less dishonest than a man logging in as a woman and trying to convince everyone that he's a woman. But Jane/Lonny can't recognize that, can he?

      Wow. That comment above is one of your biggest collections of libel yet. I'll be sure to make a record of it.

      Where? Link?

      It really doesn't matter, since as I already pointed out, whoever made that comment had access to the username and password for the "Layej" account. An account that was used to post about "climate change" all over the internet, and which in fact was used again recently.

    20. Re:What else would you have them do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since you refuse to provide evidence to back up your accusation, do you have to intellectual integrity to retract your accusation that "there is no doubt it was you, because it's the same Blogger account and others referred to your account here on Slashdot by name."?

    21. Re:What else would you have them do? by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      Since you refuse to provide evidence to back up your accusation,

      Wrong again. Why do you have such problems with plain, un-nuanced English? Or even remembering what you're arguing about?

      It wasn't an "accusation" you asked me for a link to, it was a comment that Layzej posted in other forums under the same name.

      As I have already pointed out, the only evidence I need is that the site in question requires the username and password of the WordPress account, and that the same WordPress account has posted all over the internet about "climate change", before and since. And so has the same Blogger account. Anybody can look them up for themselves, and prove it to their own satisfactions.

      Nothing else is required. And no retraction is warranted. Even if I were wrong about the comment I made (I wasn't), the other evidence is plenty sufficient.

      Now get lost. Replying to your seemingly incessant trolling and illogic is tedious in the extreme.

  3. If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Science is NEVER "settled".

    Science is based in SKEPTICISM and PROOF.

    Anything else is a de facto RELIGION.

    1. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Which is why I test gravity every day by jumping off of the Empire State Building.

      At a certain point you have to get off the shitter and act on the information you have. Sitting around while you go from 99.99% certainty to 99.999% certainty is inefficient.

    2. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sorry, "smoking leads to lung disease" isn't dismissable as religion, and simply denying it isn't 'skepticism'. The current crop of oil-company-shill climate denialists are no different than the tobacco company liars of a generation ago.

    3. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Informative

      Proof is for mathematics and liquor. The fact that you don't know that shows you know fuck all about science.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    4. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by XXongo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Science is based in SKEPTICISM and PROOF.

      That's true... but what I've noticed is that far too often, the people who call themselves climate skeptics aren't skeptical at all; they are absolutely credulous-- to anything they hear that denies the reality of global warming. Garbage articles that could be debunked in two minutes of thinking get picked up and passed along with notes of "see? it's all a HOAX!"

      One-sided skepticism isn't skepticism at all. Skepticism doesn't consist of "I don't care what you say, I won't believe it, but I'll believe anything the other guys say, no matter how goofy." If you want to say you're a skeptic: be equally skeptical of both sides.

      Real science doesn't consist of repeated skepticism, in fact; that goes nowhere. Real science consists of getting better data and improving understanding.

    5. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 0, Troll

      When the answer to "it is settled" is based on "consensus" and not actual facts, then there is a problem. Once upon a time, Piltdown Man was "consensus" (and considered fact) science. The problem is that Science isn't consensus, it is fact based.

      Now, go and look at the Actual facts on AGW propopents, and you'll find all sorts of arbitrary and politically motivated "adjustments" to climate models whenever they break. Like the 15 years of "no global warming" (and counting) and the whole slew of predictions gone wrong. With a track record of failures why should we believe the GW proponents?

      IMHO the Science isn't settled, because science isn't consensus.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    6. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Gravity, from our understanding of Newton's laws, we now know Newton was wrong (technically) but close enough (approximately correct). We know this because Einstein's models are more accurate (and yet .. still not correct). The problem with science is that it evolves as we gain understanding. AGW has so many different variables in it, that it is bound to be wrong, and we can't even tell how wrong it is.

      This is why people use terms like "consensus" instead of "proven", because quite frankly it is still hypothesis and not even a very good one.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    7. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by IgnitusBoyone · · Score: 1

      A much easier test is to look up every-time you drop something.

      --
      Momento Mori
    8. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by IgnitusBoyone · · Score: 1

      Very well said.

      --
      Momento Mori
    9. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Old R. Feynman joke.

      'Quantum mechanics says there is a chance it will fall up, When it does, I don't want to miss it.'

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    10. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by david_thornley · · Score: 3, Informative

      All models are wrong. Some are useful. All climate models are wrong, particularly since this is really complicated stuff we don't understand as much as we'd like, but we can make some predictions fairly reliably and have confidence that they'll happen more or less as we predict.

      There is no such thing as proven science. The best we can get is science sufficiently solid that the overwhelming consensus of involved scientists would be astonishment if it were to break, and we've had that happen before. If we speak of settled science (which is relative, not absolute), we speak of science that has a pretty much universal consensus.

      AGW is a theory, not a hypothesis. It's not only a collection of observations, but has explanatory power and ties into other well-established science. Like any other scientific theory, it's got holes and almost certainly has some wrong assumptions. We know that the planetary surface is warming up, and we know that we're causing a lot of that, and therefore AGW is happening. We're fuzzy on a lot of details.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    11. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by turbidostato · · Score: 3, Interesting

      " I'd also suggest that if you really want to find out what's going on, follow the money. There's lots and lots of grant money out there for people in that field, but only if their results match what the politicians need to push their agendas."

      I really find astounding this argument appears once and again. It's like... hippies hold all the money, not the big oil corps.

      I imagine in the seventies was more or less the same: health problems with tobacco? It's an hoax. Just follow the money. There's lots and lots of grant money out there for people in that field, but only if their results match what the politicians need to push their agendas.

      The money and therefore, if any, the politicians being bought is in the side of the oil corps.

    12. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Actually, smoking leading to lung disease is a religion. A small portion of life lpng smokers will ever get lung disease but a large portion of people with lung disease smoked and signs point to unique qualities associated with lung diseases caused by smoking.

      There are even sets of people and genetic markers identified that will not show negative effects of smoking at all in the lungs.

      http://www.independent.co.uk/l...

    13. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Just like government power over people leads to mass murders and genocides. The big government fanboys are like tobacco company executives telling people to smoke more and more, even today. (Not every smoker died from smoking, after all. Not everyone who experiences big government will get massacred or oppressed. But to make an omelet, you have to break a few eggs.)

    14. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So rather than pointing to all of the accurate predictions made by the climate models and all of the historically significant (variations in global temperature outlying those over the past 250,000 years), everyone who disagrees with you is a shill for an oil company... Really?!? Get your head out of your ass, you fool. If you have no evidence to support your side, and can only try to damn the source (logical fallacy), you are up shit creek without a paddle, which is why the percentage of the general population that believes in man made global warming is actually on the decline, along with the percentage of people who believe climate "scientists" who have been running screaming for the hills about first global cooling, then global warming, now climate change, all the while carefully ignoring the historical temperature data for the last 250,000 years which certainly occurred before fossil fuels were discovered and also ignoring the glaring inaccuracies of their models as the years unfold and prove them dramatically wrong time and again. The only people at this point who believe in man made global warming are the useful idiots with a high school level understanding of science, politicians who want more taxes or to erode property rights, and the professors who want fat grants without any real science to be done.

    15. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Kjella · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Most skeptics couldn't tell good science from bad science if their life depended on it, they're just borderline conspiracy theorists who has decided that the establishment or mainstream media are pushing an agenda with cherry-picked data, flawed models and spurious reasoning to give a false, but plausible impression. And because they've found some whack jobs contradicting it they think they're part of a small elite who haven't bought into the lies. They're just as much sheep as the sheep they despise, just going in the opposite direction of the herd.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    16. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry, "smoking leads to lung disease" isn't dismissable as religion, and simply denying it isn't 'skepticism'. The current crop of oil-company-shill climate denialists are no different than the tobacco company liars of a generation ago.

      WOOOSH!!!!!

      You forgot to include "heretic" and "blasphemer".

    17. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Anything else is a de facto RELIGION.

      Preach it. Those astrophysicists who are going on about the Earth being round and orbiting around the Sun need to be put in their place.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    18. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AGW can't be wrong if it can't be falsified
      Global warming can't be wrong as long as you keep manipulating past data

    19. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anything else is a de facto RELIGION.

      Preach it. Those astrophysicists who are going on about the Earth being round and orbiting around the Sun need to be put in their place.

      You can't even get a strawman correct.

      Astrophysicists question EVERYTHING about how the universe works, which is entirely unlike what we see in climate "science".

      Astrophysicists do not have to go back to decades-old data and "correct" it so gravity works "better" today. But climate scientists sure do have to correct old data in order to make the 15-year pause in warming disappear.

    20. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Bearhouse · · Score: 2

      Well said.
        Oblig. Winston Churchill quote, "A bigot is someone who can't change his mind and won't change the subject"

    21. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by ultranova · · Score: 1

      Just like government power over people leads to mass murders and genocides.

      I agree. That's why I find it extremely worrysome that the 1% now holds over third of all economic power in the US, wields it unelected and answering to nobody, and is getting more powerful by the moment. Do you have any specific ideas on how to adress this threat before it extinguishes the last remnants of freedom?

      But to make an omelet, you have to break a few eggs.

      Indeed. The for-profit industrial prison system holds more victims than any country in the world. Even Comrade Stalin and his gulags have been superceded.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    22. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a distinct difference between the model of Relativity being "possibly 0.0000001% wrong for large-scale applications, and wrong for quantum applications" vs. "this climate model's primary purpose and predictions are off by 50% and the entire curvature of its scope is the wrong type so its discrepancies with reality will only increase as time goes on, but shut up, I'm a scientist."

    23. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      General Relativity is correct, it has survived every contact with experiment. It is mathematically complete, and has exactly one free parameter. Studying it leads to exact and precise predictions of observables, and its track record has been exceptionally good from its origin; moreover, physical solutions to the EFEs combined with observation and direct experiment variously constrain the free parameter or reduce the uncertainty of the other parameters. The area that requires further study is the mechanisms that generate the metric tensor, and in particular what restricts the production of actual gravitational singularities, CTCs and other challenges to causality.

      Newtonian gravitation is demonstrably wrong very close to Earth; if Newton could have used precise clocks and accelerometers and rocketry that could reach a few hundred km above the surface, he would have rejected his own theory. We can reject Newtonian gravity on the order of metres given modern ultra precise frequency standards; there are already informal corrections to BIPM Circular T based on atomic fountain clocks on different floors of the same building. Precessions of polar orbits around rotating masses are everywhere in the sky and are a huge nail in the coffin of Newtonian gravitation, and are a direct prediction of GR (indeed, the precession of Mercury's orbit, which is harder to spot because it's not in polar orbit around the sun, was the first clear and direct observational challenge to GR, which predicted it exactly well before the transit observations).

      GR can still be wrong. So far though that has not happened. GR is very difficult mathematically, although numerical relativity has made astonishing advances in the 21st century. Additionally, the dualities conjectures have been highly useful for recovering analytical solutions from numerical ones (thanks, string theory!). GR poses difficulties for approximate value surface formalisms, however that's been improving too. It's unclear whether the fact that GR's inability to be renormalized under the powerset implies a complete non-renormalizability; there is lots of RNG flow work being done on GR and semiclassical gravity that may wipe out that particular complaint about the futility of translations between fully classical GR and systems with more than three loops of gravitons.

      By comparison the Standard Model has about 20 free parameters, it is mathematically incomplete (there are problems with the group theory in the strong sector and in the presence of chirality), its predictions are far from exact or precise (really clearly so in recent muon studies), successful predictions of new symmetries increase the free parameter count, it requires a background fixing which is manifestly unphysical (and that is the source of incompatibility with GR in strongly curved spacetime; TSM simply cannot explain the previously mentioned constraints on the metric), experiments are ongoing to try to reveal BTSM physics, only some of which is expected to produce a non-increasing effect on the number of free parameters, and the work lacks a reasonable equivalent of PNPF analysis for extensions to TSM (and thus all the fighting about what SUSY actually *is*, for example).

    24. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by phantomfive · · Score: 0

      That's true... but what I've noticed is that far too often, the people who call themselves climate skeptics aren't skeptical at all; they are absolutely credulous-- to anything they hear that denies the reality of global warming. Garbage articles that could be debunked in two minutes of thinking get picked up and passed along with notes of "see? it's all a HOAX!"

      Most people who are worried about climate change are absolutely credulous-- the read garbage articles that could be debunked in two minutes of thinking and they pass it along.

      You can tell that most people aren't looking at the science because of how cleanly opinion is divided along political lines. I'll bet I can guess which political side you favor, too.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    25. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      We know that the planetary surface is warming up, and we know that we're causing a lot of that

      How do we know?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    26. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then gravity can be disproven by letting go of a helium-filled balloon.

      "Huhhrrrr, things fall down!" isn't "Gravity", dumbass, and watching things fall down doesn't prove "Gravity". Things fall down BECAUSE of gravity, and please, do tell, what *causes* gravity? Is it the slight pull that binds neurons and protons together to form an atom? Is it the slight magnetic pull that binds hydrogen atoms to oxygen atoms to form a molecule? Is it the repelling force of Ether that pushes atoms toward one another? Is it caused by the constant spinning of electrons or is it caused by quarks? Is it only 3-dimensional or is it possible to track it across a 4th dimension? How are you going to glean any information regarding The Theory of Gravity that by jumping off of a fucking building?

    27. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Just to be fair, 99.9991% of Slashdot posters are NOT climate scientists. They simple cut and paste talking points from their favorite websites that support their personal view.

      There is never a Climate Science "debate" on Slashdot. It's a bunch of amateurs tossing around bits and pieces of what they largely don't understand, calling each other names. Useless.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    28. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by barc0001 · · Score: 1

      > Actually, smoking leading to lung disease is a religion

      Oh bullshit. And there's a small percentage of people who have natural immunity to HIV turning into AIDS but it's not "religion" to suggest the unprotected sex with HIV+ people is almost certainly going to shorten your lifespan.

      For the VAST majority of people smoking is an activity that leads to a great increase in the possibility of lung cancer. Period.

    29. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by dywolf · · Score: 0

      no different from the small population of woman identified in Africa who are effectively immune to HIV.

      that however doesn't make HIV research a religion any more than the small group of smoking related lung disease immunes dismantle the link between smoking and lung disease, and allow it to be called a religion.

      your comment is completely idiotic.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    30. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You aren't real clear about what a theory is.

      Theory:
        . Certainty, evidence, verification, repeated testing
        . Based on a very wide set of data tested under various circumstances.

      AGW doesn't have that. It isn't even to the point where the models correctly predict the outcome.

      Something like relativity is a theory. It has survived a barrage of testing and the math works every time.

    31. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by dywolf · · Score: 1

      the people who say the things you just said are the ones who don't truly understand science.

      if I have a giant mountain of proof for A on one hand, then before I will replace A with B, B needs to come up with an even bigger mountain of proof.

      is it possible that we will at some point overturn evolution, gravity,global warming, or any other long held theories?
      yes.

      is it at all likely?
      no.

      its 'possible' in the sense that winning the powerball is possible.
      its an extremely low probability event, and it it only gets lower the more we dig into these topics.

      are they 100% settled?
      no. but they are 99.999999% settled.

      there is no serious evidence against these theories, every new bit of research instead only serves to further cement them.
      which I why they are "settled" and no one seriously questions them other than cranks and those who don't actually understand science.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    32. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by XXongo · · Score: 1

      That's true... but what I've noticed is that far too often, the people who call themselves climate skeptics aren't skeptical at all; they are absolutely credulous-- to anything they hear that denies the reality of global warming. Garbage articles that could be debunked in two minutes of thinking get picked up and passed along with notes of "see? it's all a HOAX!"

      Most people who are worried about climate change are absolutely credulous-- the read garbage articles that could be debunked in two minutes of thinking and they pass it along.

      The "garbage" article that pretty much all the climate scientists refer doubters to is this one: http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/... Which part of this do you think can be "debunked in two minutes of thinking"?

      You can tell that most people aren't looking at the science because of how cleanly opinion is divided along political lines. I'll bet I can guess which political side you favor, too.

      OK. In American politics, my side is that I hate pretty much all the politicians. If there's a side that's pro-nuke, pro-solar, pro-space, pro-technology, and pro liberty in general, that's my side.

    33. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The people saying "global warming" are all paid to say "global warming" to get/keep Government funding, so that government can dictate to everyone (except rich n powerful) that we need to give up every technology that makes the world run.

      The fact is, ever number has been fudged to get the results they are wanting, to prove what they need to prove, to keep getting funding to support something that has no basis except "consensus"

      When every major prediction has failed, the the consensus cannot be right. I remember all those predictions of "worse hurricanes" followed by "almost no hurricanes", and "Polar Ice caps disappearing" only to have "polar Ice caps expanding (which is now the new "proof" of global warming), on down the line.

      not to mention the Greening of Africa, when it was supposed to be getting drier and more desert like: http://news.nationalgeographic...

      The problem isn't Global warming, it is that EVERYTHING is blamed on it. Ice growing or shrinking .. GLOBAL WARMING, more snow GLOBAL WARMING, more rain and greening in Africa GLOBAL WARMING!

      In fact, global warming may in fact be good for the planet, even if it isn't good for Humans. ;)

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    34. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hope that you feel good when 99.999% of your revenue will be re-distributed from you to someone else with the hope of making 0.0001% of one degree C of a change to the average temperature of the world, whatever that is.

    35. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      There's lots and lots of grant money out there for people in that field, but only if their results match what the politicians need to push their agendas.

      I see this claim again and again. Why hasn't someone actually done the work to determine how true it is? Information about most grants from the federal government are available. Someone needs to analyze them and show how skewed the grant process is (or not as I suspect they'd find).

    36. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
    37. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 1
    38. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I promise you: every drop of easily recovered fossil fuel will be burnt. Climate change be damned. Money trumps giving a shit about polar bears and some low lying countries. Polar bears would rip you to shreds and eats your liver if given the chance, let them swim! And of course you Luddites know this so you make videos of the whole world flooding or turning into Venus (both of which zero scientists claim) to further scare the sheeple. Development will go on!

      And there is a number that isn't presented to the public, because just the existence of the number reveals that this isn't Newtonian Mechanics (and that the idiot masses are hopelessly misguided as usual), and that number is the error in the projections. This is utterly crude guesswork far from the reliability of Physics and Chemistry - but the people don't know that, yet blindly (and aggressively) follow, so maybe they deserve to be led to hell, so fuck them and the polar bears.

    39. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      You may be right. However, I'm not thinking about how the conditions on the grant are worded, I'm thinking of how they're interpreted. As an example, a grant to study long-term trends in the global climate is nice and even-handed, but if it's never awarded to anybody expressing a contrarian opinion (Please note: this is a made-up example.) the effect is to fund scientists who accept AGW while making it hard for others to test their ideas. I'm not saying that it is happening, but we all know that most politicians are more interested in things that fit their idea of how the world works than in finding out if it does or doesn't.

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    40. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ah, the calm voice of reason... disguising utter bullshit.

      "fairly reliably" - oh really? what success have we had making predictions like this for more than next week? zero.

      and the models themselves generate both probabilities of events and probabilities of the probabilities being accurate on top of that - but yeah, don't tell anyone, or they might realize that this isn't the 'science' that makes their cellphones.

      Democracy is like competitive deception of the utterly blind idiot vicious masses.

    41. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Look it up.

      Only about 20% of smokers develop lung disease. Over 80% of people with lung disease are thought to have gotten it from smoking.

        http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11...

    42. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Your lack of knowledge does not make my comment idiotic.

      http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11...

      I suggest you read all of it before replying.

    43. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      How about instead of hypothesizing that climate scientists are conspiring to make a pause in warming disappear you actually do the science to show that their adjustments were unjustified.

      It hasn't been until the last few decades that temperature stations have actually taken the needs of climate science in to account. Before that Time of Observation has changed, new instruments were introduced, urban heat islands have built up around temperature stations or they were moved to a new location. In measuring ocean surface temperatures the methods have changed from throwing a wooden bucket overboard to a canvas bucket to the intake pipes of ships to the current ARGO buoys. All of those changes have to be accounted for and corrected to get a relatively accurate contiguous record.

    44. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      Why would I give you my data when you are only going to try and find something wrong with it? - Phil Jones.

    45. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The "garbage" article that pretty much all the climate scientists refer doubters to is this one:

      And you haven't read it. You're like every other moron that thinks they know something but is really just following the crowd. Good job.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    46. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I imagine in the seventies was more or less the same: health problems with tobacco? It's an hoax. Just follow the money. There's lots and lots of grant money out there for people in that field, but only if their results match what the politicians need to push their agendas.

      And in the 50s, when it was discovered that leaded gasoline was exposing all the children in America to a potent neurotoxin. "Big Lead" spent literally 25 years spreading lies and doubt through a handful of paid "scientists" before TEL was finally banned from gasoline in 1973, at which point literally every person in America was suffering from lead poisoning induced brain damage.

      It took 40 years but average blood lead levels are FINALLY dropping close to the no-detectable-damage threshold.

    47. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe true, but all I know is right now this is hilarious. Suddenly a lot of people who I've personally witnessed using the line "the science is settled" in regards to AGW on this forum to defend calling others idiots are suddenly changing their tune.

    48. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The people saying "global warming" are all paid to say "global warming" to get/keep Government funding, so that government can dictate to everyone (except rich n powerful) that we need to give up every technology that makes the world run.

      The fact is, ever number has been fudged to get the results they are wanting, to prove what they need to prove, to keep getting funding to support something that has no basis except "consensus"

      And let me guess, the so-called "doctors" and "scientists" were just saying that smoking is bad for you to get/keep Government funding, so that government can dictate to everyone that we need to give up smoking?

      And the so-called "engineers" and "scientists" were just saying that tetraethyllead in gasoline is contaminating everything with toxic levels of lead to get/keep government funding, so that government can dictate to everyone what additives get put into fuel?

      And the so-called "scientists" and "chemists" were just saying that CFCs were destroying the ozone layer to get/keep government funding, so that big government can dictate to everyone what refrigerants we're allowed to put into our cars and home AC systems?

      Just because you can't imagine that anybody in the entire world could possibly seek to understand objective reality and lack an evil, self-serving ulterior motive, doesn't mean we don't exist. And it's remarkable how every time, they're exposed as evil money-stealing cynics when their findings indicate that business as usual needs to change.

    49. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Lots of mass murders and genocide has happened without government involvement. History of the Americas is full of it, starting with Columbus's third voyage, driven by having to pay back the investors.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    50. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by dywolf · · Score: 1

      sock puppeting yourself and modding down dissent doesn't make you right either.
      your name is still appropriate.
      and smoking DOES increase the risk of lung disease.
      that isn't a religion but established fact.

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    51. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any facts to back up your statements? They seem like opinion and I would recommend using facts when arguing about how much you distrust science. The whole problem is folks like you spout your opinions and then start believing them as fact. There is more money spent proving AGW is wrong than right, so feel free to grab that grant money and prove all those greedy scientists wrong.

    52. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Polar Ice Caps: http://www.forbes.com/sites/ja...

      Hurricane Lull: http://www.livescience.com/507...

      Greening of Africa: http://news.nationalgeographic...

      These are "facts", and the "speculation" from the "Global Warming" nuts is also clearly documented. Here are a few good articles on exaggerated claims that never panned out:

      http://wattsupwiththat.com/201...

      http://www.thenewamerican.com/...

      http://dailycaller.com/2014/03...

      Please go ahead and make excuses as to why nearly 97% of all Global Warming Projections are wrong : http://www.westernjournalism.c...

      Or perhaps you'll simply parrot someone else who doesn't actually know anything, or continue to believe "consensus = Science"

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    53. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      CORRECT! Both sides are FULL OF SHIT!
      The Trillion dollar question to be answered is: What is the optimal temperature of the Earth?

      Waiting...

    54. Re:If it's "settled", it ISN'T "science" by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Lol.. i don't have enough free time to sock puppet accounts and mod people.

      Yes, smoking increases your risk of lung disease hugely. But that is not what was said and not what I was disputing.

  4. Should have kept the debate going by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 0

    They should have take lessons from the diet/exercise industry. If diet and exercise products worked in 6 months and you kept the weight off after that, you wouldn't need their product anymore and they lost a customer aka revenue.

    1. Re:Should have kept the debate going by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      So... we should fix our ecology, then fuck it right up again?

      I mean, ok, it works for the economy, too, but... I kinda like this planet, ya know?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  5. Malcolm Turnbull by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    He got into power, they explained that Australia could not meet the CO2 targets, so he would be labelled a failure, so he loosened CO2 targets to be the same as his predecessor, and now is removing the measuring of CO2 emissions and atmospheric CO2.

    So now he's not a failure, he's a success! Well at least nobody can scientifically show his failure!

    He's a slimey politicians, but they all are.

    [Trump/Palin 2016 make America grate again!]

  6. Re:TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership)? by gtall · · Score: 1

    Errr...you mean the U.S. government that recently signed on to the latest climate protocol by the U.N. The government headed by Obama who has been warning about global climate warming? Is that the government you are thinking about? Stop watching TV, it is bad for you.

  7. Re:TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership)? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I know. And today it snowed in the Washington D.C. area. Coincidence? I don't think so.

  8. Funny... by Lab+Rat+Jason · · Score: 1

    I'm surprised that /. would like to the definition of schadenfreude. It seems like every slashdotter is WELL acquainted with that principle.

    --
    Which has more power: the hammer, or the anvil?
  9. The science is not settled by mysidia · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Anyone that tells you the science is settled is not a scientist.... they are a politician wanting to shutdown inquiry on an issue and install dogma in its place.

    Science is not dogma, and if someone who is a scientist tells you that "The science is settled"; that is really just their personal opinion on the topic, And it should be taken to assume that the research results they produce might be accidentally (or maliciously) biased to reflect results consistent to the bit of science they would claim to be "settled".

    1. Re:The science is not settled by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Here are some things science is settled on:

      The earth being round.
      The earth orbiting the sun.
      Space time can be curved.


      Science IS settled on a lot of issues. AGW is a new one, but something we can do something about (well, 10 years ago).

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    2. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a turn of phrase in this case, but we know that man's emissions cause some aspect of the climate change we're seeing.

      This is an announcement of cuts to a program, not a general scientific thesis

    3. Re: The science is not settled by Hardhead_7 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We evolved from apes. The science is settled. The Earth goes around the Sun. The science is settled. Anthropogenic Warming is happening. The science is settled.

      The scientific method means any theory can be overturned in principle. But in practice we know some won't be. Anyone telling you the science isn't settled on Evolution because nothing is ever settled in science is being just as disingenuous as you are.

    4. Re:The science is not settled by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Anyone that tells you the science is settled is not a scientist....

      I agree.

      they are a politician wanting to shutdown inquiry on an issue and install dogma in its place.

      Or they are someone who, as somebody who is *not* a scientist, as you have noted above, does not believe that further scientific study in the area would add any further understanding of value, and so the money is, in their view, more wisely spent elsewhere. They could be entirely wrong in this view, but they have it nonetheless.

      Do not attribute to malice what can easily be explained by ignorance.

      There is no doubt in my mind that this decision will eventually come to bite them in the ass.... hard..

    5. Re:The science is not settled by geekmux · · Score: 1

      Here are some things science is settled on: The earth being round. The earth orbiting the sun. Space time can be curved. Science IS settled on a lot of issues. AGW is a new one, but something we can do something about (well, 10 years ago).

      It's the year 2016, and the Flat Earth Society still exists...as in humans who still believe the Earth is flat, in the face of the ISS orbiting above us, and pictures from our Moon.

      It's hard to call things "settled" around humans. We tend to be a rather ignorant lot.

      More proof you say? Well, there is this "new one" we call religion...

    6. Re: The science is not settled by cbeaudry · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And you equating evolution and the Earths orbit with climate science, as it pertains to how "settled" those sciences are, is disingenuous.

    7. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Here are some things science is settled on:

      The earth being round.

      For a very unscientific definition of "round."

      The earth orbiting the sun.

      No, the two-body formula for the earth and sun revolves around a common gravitational centerpoint (barycenter) that is within the volume of the sun. In an absolute scale, everything orbits everything.

      Space time can be curved.

      While that is the dominant explanation for how mass/energy affects the pathways nearby, tests to attempt to discern the greater curvature of the universe have concluded that aside from gravity wells, space/time is flatter than we have the theoretical capability to test.

      Science IS settled on a lot of issues. AGW is a new one, but something we can do something about (well, 10 years ago).

      Science settles as a precipitate in a solution. Slowly, over time, as the agitators and doubts fade. Ten years is not enough to settle anything scientific, especially not with models as bad at predicting the present as AGW use (not to mention the issues of possibly modified historic data that the models are based on).

    8. Re:The science is not settled by Anon-Admin · · Score: 0

      Here are some things science is settled on:

      The earth being round.

      The earth is not round http://www.scientificamerican....

      The earth orbiting the sun.

      Technically, the earth does not orbit the sun. It orbits the central mass of the solar system.
      http://www.realclearscience.co...

      Science IS settled on a lot of issues. AGW is a new one, but something we can do something about (well, 10 years ago).

      Just because there is a preponderance of evidence that our explanation of an observed phenomenon is correct, it does not mean the science is settled. It means that we have a good explanation. If a better explanation comes along and it fills in areas where the first did not, we adjust our understanding of the universe and the accepted scientific belief is changed.

      Ill add that if you are getting your science from grade school or the news outlets, then you need to realize that you are not reading the science and are instead reading an opinion.

    9. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We don't understand why ANY of those are the case, actually. Climate science is "settled" because everyone knows that man, in his arrogance, has angered the climate gods, and we must make a vast sacrifice to them via their great and holy priests to save us from the no major hurricanes in the Atlantic for 9 years.

    10. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We tend to be a rather ignorant lot.
       
      Yes you are.

      Not every single person has to agree on something for the science to be settled. Science isn't a democracy and your understanding of it as a social condition is a distraction from real issues.

      Even if there honestly are flat eathers... umm.... who cares? Not everyone agrees with you and your lifestyle. Does that mean that you or anyone else should hold out for anything? Aside from that, if you're talking about public science outreach, you're much better off going after the low hanging fruit and not wasting your breath on loons.

      With that in mind, I'm moving on.

    11. Re:The science is not settled by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Settled science: Energy is supplied to our planet from the sun. The entire planet loses energy to space. Our atmosphere dictates the rate at which this energy is lost.
      Not Settled Science: What is the rate at which this energy is lost, and what is the quantitative change to this rate when CO2 concentration is increased or decreased.
      Not Settled Science: What are all the effects, good and bad, that an increase of CO2 in our atmosphere will have.
      Not Settled Science: Increased CO2 and a warmer atmosphere are a bad thing and should be prevented.

    12. Re: The science is not settled by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

      Your point would be so much better expressed if you understood the difference between having a common ancestor and evolving from.

      Here's a handy infographic to help
      http://www.iupui.edu/~mstd/a10...

    13. Re: The science is not settled by rahvin112 · · Score: 2

      We did NOT evolve from the great apes. We evolved from a common ancestor. Though we share much of our DNA with Chimpanzees and other great apes our lineage diverged from theirs a LONG time ago. They have evolved independently from us for that same amount of time. The common ancestor we share looks nothing like either humans or great apes (speculated to look much like a Lemur).

    14. Re:The science is not settled by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      You'll never get 100 percent on any subject. If that's your standard nothing will ever be settled.

    15. Re:The science is not settled by danbert8 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That last one is pretty key. For some reason that is the primary focus of all anti-CO2 actions despite that being the least tested hypothesis. The geologic evidence is the exact opposite being that the warmer periods of the planet have had the most prolific life and the coldest periods have had most of the mass extinctions.

      What makes people think the climate of pre-industrial humanity is the "ideal" climate? Transitioning may be hard, but shouldn't we determine what the optimal climate is before spending resources trying to control it? Wouldn't those resources be better spent on transitioning if a warmer planet is indeed better for life?

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    16. Re: The science is not settled by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      Considering the Earth orbiting (roughly) the sun is something we can measure and use to refine and improve orbital models is a prime difference between it and climate science. Give the Earth a few more climate cycles that we can judge against the models we have developed and then maybe I'll put more stock into climate change predictions.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    17. Re: The science is not settled by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      Your point would be so much better expressed if you understood the difference between having a common ancestor and evolving from

      Well, you're both a little wrong. Humans ARE apes. Specifically, we belong to the taxonomic classification that includes all Great Apes. Strictly speaking non-human apes and human apes both descended from apes. And even if you use the common meaning the the word "ape" to mean only non-human apes, humans still descended from apes, just not the extant species of modern non-human apes. (If GP had said humans descended from monkeys, on the other hand, you'd have a valid point.)

    18. Re:The science is not settled by LeadSongDog · · Score: 1

      Or they are someone who, as somebody who is *not* a scientist, as you have noted above, does not believe that further scientific study in the area would add any further understanding of value, and so the money is, in their view, more wisely spent elsewhere. They could be entirely wrong in this view, but they have it nonetheless.

      Or as a scientist examining different questions, they see bigger returns on money spent elsewhere.
      Or as an established scientist examining the question, they see further study by others as potentially conflicting with their own findings.
      Or as a scientist examining the question, they see no testable predictions (string theory anyone?) and therefore reject the field from characterization as a science. But in this simple case, a politician funded by big coal finds an organized group armed with inconvenient evidence, then eliminates the messenger before the evidence gets any stronger.

      --
      Oh, I'm sorry sir, I thought you were referring to me, Mr. Wensleydale.
    19. Re: The science is not settled by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      Exactly my point.

    20. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Anyone that tells you the science is settled is not a scientist...

      Oh bullshit. Over 99% of the scientists voted that it is settled. You're a kook and an outsider if you don't believe it is settled. Why argue against the facts?

    21. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here are some things science is settled on:

      The earth being round.
      The earth orbiting the sun.
      Space time can be curved.

      Wow, I seriously hope not. The first two are obvious and at least empirical. That space-time "can" be curved is a theoretical mathematical model, and should honestly be light years (see what I did there?) away from being "settled" in any way, shape or form.

    22. Re:The science is not settled by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      To rely on pedantry as an argument displays that you really don't have an argument.

      Oxford Dictionary:
      round: 2) shaped like or approximately like a sphere:

      So yes, the Earth is round. And if you look it up, you'll find that *none* of the adjective definitions are technical in nature.

      As for orbit, you yourself admit the pedantry.

      You're conflating common and technical usage of words simply so you can criticize.

    23. Re: The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We evolved from apes.

      How was this measured? You have an equation? Is the experiment repeatable? If we leave a bunch of apes on a planet to fuck for the next 10 million years, will humans appear as their offspring or will it just be more apes?
      Oh, you have a handful of bone fragments, that wouldn't fill a breadbox, and a narrative? Then it's not science. It's mythology.

      The Earth goes around the sun, you say? Do you have any equations? Any charts? Do you have repeatable experiments?
      Oh, you can run the numbers at any local observatory, view the charts made over thousands of years, and it all points to the mathematical practicality that our planet orbits the sun, and the sun orbits something even bigger. That sounds closer to a scientific proof.

      Anthropogenic Warming is happening? Do you have any repeatable experiments, charts, equations?
      The charts can't make a prediction stronger than a coin flip, CO2 experiments showing it to be a true "greenhouse gas" are notoriously unrepeatable, and the equations are "too complex" meanwhile the means to measure temperatures have been improving and changing and the data gathering methods have changed and improved, and all of that is compared with the non-improved data? Hm... you know what they would do to me, in my company, if I pulled reports/business plans like this? They'd staple a pink slip to my forehead and I'd be thrown out of the closest window. That's not science. It's augering, palm-reading, and crystal ball gazing. It's on the same *scientic* level as Miss Cleo telling me that I'm going to get a raise this year.

    24. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whoa whoa whoa, slow down there cowboy. That's no way for the government to tax us on stuff in the name of global warming. There is good money to be made in this, regardless of the truth of the situation.

      Why don't we talk about any of the other greenhouse gases? Methane is a much more threatening greenhouse gas then co2, but it doesn't seem to be causing us to eat less beef.

      We could go all electric but we also can't decide the best way to generate electric. I forget, but is nuclear suppose to be awesome or absolutely terrible?

      The human problem tends to obfusicate everything.

    25. Re: The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, we did not evolve from apes. They are a parallel species. Humans and apes evolved from another common ancestor. I forget it's name at the moment.

    26. Re:The science is not settled by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      It's the year 2016, and the Flat Earth Society still exists.

      And for the record, the Flat Earth Society is extremely skeptical of claims of anthropogenic global warming.

      That should tell you something.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    27. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, the earth is not round. It is more round than flat, but it is an oblate spheroid. You are showing off your high school education there... The earth orbiting the sun is a tautology, that is the planets orbit the sun, and that defines the word orbit, thus you are not describing science, but defining the word. If you mean that the earth revolves around the sun as opposed to the sun revolving around the earth, you are describing a physical fact, not a scientific one. Science defines the law of gravity, the application of science only deduces that the earth revolves around the sun.

      Space time can be curved AS FAR AS WE KNOW. This is where you get into real science. Your statement is very similar to the statements made by Newtonian physicists. We might learn tomorrow that this only appears to be the case and there is some other, deeper fundamental behavior. That is how science works. This is why we have theories about everything, instead of laws, because even Newtons laws have caveats thanks to our understanding of general relativity. If you are closing the door on further investigation, it is not science, it may be politics or religion, but not science.

    28. Re:The science is not settled by wwalker · · Score: 1

      Jebus Christ on a stick! The Earth isn't round, it's an oblate spheroid. The Sun also orbits the Earth, just not as much. It's called a Solar *System* for a reason. Also, if you pick Earth as the center of your coordinate system, then Sun does orbit the Earth. It's just the rest of the planets will have much more complicated paths. The devil is in the detail. Saying "science is settled" is like saying there is nothing left to learn about something, which is practically never true.

    29. Re: The science is not settled by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      We are "AN APE" a particular type of APE. We are not several species of APE.

    30. Re:The science is not settled by XXongo · · Score: 1

      Anyone that tells you the science is settled is not a scientist....

      Science is settled, up until new measurements or better data or new models mean that the science needs to be revisited.

      Gravity is pretty well settled science: nobody is suggesting that next week Earth's gravity might very well turn off tomorrow and we'll all float off into space. But if new measurements come in suggesting a new way to explain gravity, the science gets revised.

      That's the way science works.

      Right now there are no hypotheses for explaining the effect of atmospheric gasses on the thermal balance of the Earth that haven't been ruled out by measurements, except for the greenhouse effect, which indeed predicts human-emitted carbon dioxide (just like natural carbon dioxide) causes warming. Right now, until somebody comes up with a hypothesis that fits all the data that does not predict greenhouse warming, that will continue to be settled science. If new data, or new models, come by that casts doubt on what we currently know: well, at that point the science will not be settled.

    31. Re:The science is not settled by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Saying that the science is settled is not only saying that we know everything that we simply are able to know about something right now, it is also saying that there is nothing else that we ever even *CAN* learn about it.

      Which is not true.

      Not about climate change, not about gravity, which as you put it, is also "settled" science.

    32. Re: The science is not settled by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      No one asked how settled it is. The fundamental question of are we causing climate change has been answered by the overwhelming majority who are in agreement on the issue. Just because there's a flat earth society doesn't mean we need to check again if the earth is still round.

      Now you turning a yes / no question into a sliding scale of "settledness" is disingenuous.

    33. Re:The science is not settled by XXongo · · Score: 1

      Nope.

    34. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sort of how the common and technical usage of "climate change" is fiddle-faddled by the Church of Global Warming? :)

      Yes, climate changes. Always has, always will.

    35. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Theory (the Science) explains the observations. It is not the observation itself.

    36. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You'll never get 100 percent on any subject. If that's your standard nothing will ever be settled.

      Speaking of percentages, the majority of humans believe an invisible deity floating above us created all of this.

      Because of this, Celsius, God of Temperature and Lord of the Thermostats, would stand to reason with them far better than any scientist.

    37. Re:The science is not settled by dywolf · · Score: 1

      you are being willfully ignorant of what "the science is settled" means and refers to.

      your statement is an ignorant and disingenuous as response as those who respond to "black lives matter" with "all lives matter".

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    38. Re:The science is not settled by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      For a very unscientific definition of "round."

      What's unscientific about it? It's not a mathematically perfect sphere, but it is absolutely round.

      No, the two-body formula for the earth and sun revolves around a common gravitational centerpoint (barycenter) that is within the volume of the sun. In an absolute scale, everything orbits everything.

      It orbits a point inside the sun, or in other words, it orbits the sun. I think you said "no" as if you were thinking he said the earth orbited the exact center of the sun (either geometrically or center-of-mass), but nobody said that.

      aside from gravity wells, space/time is flatter than we have the theoretical capability to test.

      In other words, space time can be curved.

      Ten years is not enough to settle anything scientific, especially not with models as bad at predicting the present as AGW use (not to mention the issues of

      Global warming was not thought up ten years ago. Seriously?

    39. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      DO NOT STEP.

      While that is the dominant explanation for how mass/energy affects the pathways nearby, tests to attempt to discern the greater curvature of the universe have concluded that aside from gravity wells, space/time is flatter than we have the theoretical capability to test.

      0[a]. No solidus in spacetime. A hyphen sometimes. Nobody will take you seriously with the slash there.

      0[b]. No solidus in mass-energy. A hypen usually. Nobody will take you sseriously with the slash there.

      1. Space is flat at the largest scales.

      2. Spacetime is dramatically curved at the largest scales; the big bang, cosmic inflation, and the metric expansion are all examples of enormous spacetime curvature. Indeed, it's hard to conceive of the Hubble Flow in flat spacetime.

      2[a]. "Flat spacetime" is really that, even though it's common to talk about Minkowski space (rather than Minkowski spacetime), or the flat space metric.

      3. You cannot have "gravity wells" in flat spacetime. If you have a gravity well, spacetime is curved, period. It might be asymptotically flat at spacelike infinity in a vacuum black hole solution, for example, but it's still not flat. Also the visible universe has a lot of visible matter, so it cannot be flat.

      4.

      For a very unscientific definition of "round."

      Haha, pot, kettle, 0.5 K blackbody spectrum.

    40. Re:The science is not settled by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      You'd think, wouldn't you?

      You have NO idea.

      (the first few are mostly sane because they contain the debunking to it, la-la-land starts somewhere around the 5th video, reaching "outright batshit insane" at the 10th video mark).

      So in case you wonder "who the fuck votes those idiots into power", realize this: These people can and do vote.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    41. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are using a 6-th grade level understanding of science to make a point in a way that's ridiculous. You are using the phrase "it's settled" as "it's settled with 100% complete and total, not even 0.000000000001% chance of being wrong" way and that's stupid. Clearly what is meant it "it's settled to a reasonable degree and current consensus is unlikely to be overturned" and it no longer makes sense to keep testing it without more specific goals.

    42. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Earth is not round. Round describes geometry in two dimensions. Perfect spheres are not round, they are spherical. The Earth is not a perfect sphere, or topological maps of Earth would be very boring. The Earth is an oblate spheroid with minor local variations. That is not settled, it is agreed upon.

    43. Re: The science is not settled by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      We are "AN APE" a particular type of APE.

      Assuming there is more than one human in the world, we are "apes" not a [single] "ape."

      We are not several species of APE.

      Never said we were. But the entire human species includes more than one exemplar of "ape." I was using the plural in that case to refer to individuals (and because it was grammatically more convenient), not to imply that humans are more than one species. Sorry for the confusion.

    44. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      +1. If I had the time, I'd make a list of all the "settled" topics which turned out to be wrong. But let's just remember that everyone (scientists of the time) said Pasteur was an idiot.

      The beauty of science is that your opinion does not matter, only what you can demonstrate.

    45. Re: The science is not settled by Hardhead_7 · · Score: 1

      I didn't say from modern apes. But our ancestors were definitely apes. I'd actually say we still are.

    46. Re:The science is not settled by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      No, nothing like that. Climate does always change; people are talking about the current Climate Change because the evidence suggests that it is unusually quick and projected to change an amount that will have significant impact to civilization, depending on whether we take steps to curb it.

      That's *nothing* like claiming the Earth isn't round.

    47. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The first two are in no way obvious. The obvious beliefs are that the Earth is approximately an infintie plane, and either the Sun orbits the Earth, or possibly there is a new son shot out of the Eastern sky at a rate of once/day. It turns out that the weight of evidence is against that in the sort of human affairs people engage in on a daily basis.

      The last is extremely well tested. It's settled. You want to overturn that you need damn good evidence.

      As for space time being curved, yes it's a mathematical model -- so is orbital mechanics, and so is roundness in geometry. You can propose a different theoretical model that achieves the same results, and it doesn't make the existing mathematical model any less true -- and it is true for an enormous domain. Just falls apart subatomically because it relativity assumes a continuous universe and we find quantization at small scales.

    48. Re:The science is not settled by mysidia · · Score: 1

      Space time can be curved.

      This is not settled science. Scientists are generally in agreement with it. However, there are times in the past in which things everyone generally agreed with, turned out to be incorrect, or requiring revision.

      The possibility that 'space time can be curved' relies on predictions from complicated models regarding what space time is. It is possible that new experiments, observations, and evidence, will require later changes to those models. The necessary revisions might eliminate the possibility that space time can be curved; a phenomenon we have observed may have another better explanation which is more-predictive of important things observed in reality and not currently understood.

      The earth orbiting the sun.

      Again, practicing scientists have come to a general agreement in principle that the earth orbits the Sun, there are plenty of observations and evidence to support this, and it is generally accepted. However, it is possible that some point in the future, new evidence will come to light, showing that the earth actually is not in perfect orbit around the sun, and it is also in loose orbit around some other object, or has movement varying between orbiting the sun and following a different path at different times.

      The earth being round.

      The general public and practicing scientists generally are all in agreement that the earth's shape is roundish.

      That does not mean the science is settled however. It is possible that new work will be done and new evidence will come to light regarding earth's shape that will give an alternative to it being round.... perhaps semi-round.

    49. Re:The science is not settled by mysidia · · Score: 1

      You'll never get 100 percent on any subject. If that's your standard nothing will ever be settled.

      Newtons laws of motion were ironclad seeming truth for hundreds of years, until Maxwell and Einstein's work demonstrated they were wrong, and provided new frameworks.

      If you think you are 100 percent about any subject in basic science, Then you probably have almost certainly have errors or flaws in what you think on that subject.

      And for the record, the Flat Earth Society is extremely skeptical of claims of anthropogenic global warming.

      The Flat Earth Society is not a scientific organization.... they are not taking observations or performing any experiments that could be used to prove their own society wrong or revise their beliefs to make them more accurate. If they do prove themselves wrong, they are not prepared to listen to the result. Their organization should have dissolved itself by now if they were scientific..... so there is something strangely religious and dogmatic about them; Flat Earth Society is more like a cult than a legitimate scientific or academic entity.

    50. Re: The science is not settled by labnet · · Score: 0

      You sound like a nutter.
      Evolution is not testable in the true scientific sense. Evolution has not been able to explain away chirality or irreducible complexity. Evolution claims to increase information due to random mutations due to natural selection. It is disingenuous to believe that the ratio of beneficial mutation to non beneficial mutation has produced the exquisite complexity and order we see today.

      --
      46137
    51. Re:The science is not settled by mysidia · · Score: 1

      What's unscientific about it? It's not a mathematically perfect sphere, but it is absolutely round.

      The gist of the shape is understood, and detailed measurement calculations and topological information are available regarding much of earth's surface.

      Describing the observation shape in detail has become more of a mathematical classification question than a scientific problem.

      Of course, we know that locally, the planet is not very round over short distances... it is not tightly curved at a scale which humans can ordinarily imagine on a daily basis.

    52. Re: The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did not the earth warm BEFORE humans evolved - I thought that science was settled.

    53. Re:The science is not settled by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      I think you need to read this, first of all: http://chem.tufts.edu/answersi...

      Actually, the earth is not round. It is more round than flat, but it is an oblate spheroid. You are showing off your high school education there...

      Actually, the Earth is round. If you're going to claim that an oblate spheroid isn't round, then I'm going to claim that the sandcastle I built has taken the Earth from being an oblate spheroid to a sandcastle-surfaced oblate spheroid.

      Somebody with a post-high school education can surely look up the definition of round: "shaped like or approximately like a sphere.". The Earth is approximately an oblate spheroid, and approximately a sphere.

      The earth orbiting the sun is a tautology,

      No it isn't. Seriously? People got burned at the stake over this.

      Okay, it's disputed whether they were burned over this, whether the most prominent proponents just *happened* to get burned at the stake for unrelated reasons, but still.

      that is the planets orbit the sun, and that defines the word orbit

      For it to be a tautology, Earth would have to be, by definition, a planet. But we Earthlings concluded that Earth is a planet because the Earth orbits the sun.

      Note though that we say the Earth orbits the Sun because that's a much simpler model than epicycles, but you *can* come up with an entirely consistent set of orbital mechanics where the Earth is defined to contain the center of the solar system. It's just not worth doing, so we say prefer to say the Earth orbits the sun. Planets are defined in the sense that is most convenient, without all the epicycles.

      If you mean that the earth revolves around the sun as opposed to the sun revolving around the earth, you are describing a physical fact, not a scientific one.

      Meaningless. Physics is science. Physical facts are scientific facts.

      Science defines the law of gravity, the application of science only deduces that the earth revolves around the sun.

      I don't understand the use of the word "only" in that sentence, but regardless, you seem to be contradicting yourself.

      Space time can be curved AS FAR AS WE KNOW.

      That's what SCIENCE IS.

      Your statement is very similar to the statements made by Newtonian physicists.

      So...correct?

      You have to realize, if there's something deeper than General Relativity (and there is, because it's not fully unified with Quantum Mechanics, at least not in a settled way), it has to converge to the same results as General Relativity, within the very small margins of error we have, for every test we've ever had of General Relativity. The same as General Relativity converges on Newtonian Physics. Newtonian Physics is correct, so long as you aren't dealing with quantum-scale things or situations where space-time's curvature comes into play.

      We might learn tomorrow that this only appears to be the case and there is some other, deeper fundamental behavior.

      Yep. But the ground doesn't cease to be flat as far as the eye can see when we discover that the round-Earth model is the best explanation for why you can walk due east from a given point and never head West, and ultimately end up back where you started.

      Curved space-time is the difference between General Relativity and Newtonian Physics, and the difference is there.

      This is why we have theories about everything, instead of laws, because even Newtons laws have caveats thanks to our understanding of general relativity.

      No, it's not. Theory doesn't mean a law we aren't sure of. It's not a hierarchy. The difference is somewhat fuzzy but as a rule of thumb, if you see a mathematical statement with an equals sign, it's a law. If

    54. Re:The science is not settled by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      Every time somebody claims the Earth isn't round because it's an oblate spheroid, a devil gets his pitchfork.

      Every time somebody claims that it's inaccurate to say that the Earth orbits the sun, a flesh-eating zombie rises from his grave.

      If the difference between "Climate Change" is settled science and the reality of climate change is the same as the difference between the Earth orbiting the sun and the Earth orbiting the Sun-Earth barycenter (which is to say, a difference of precision, not accuracy), then we wouldn't be having any arguments today.

    55. Re: The science is not settled by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      Ape refers to individuals of an ape species. Humans are an ape species, and they are several apes.

    56. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here are some things science is settled on:

      The earth being round.

      And yet we still launch satellites to refine our models of the earth's geoid.

      The earth orbiting the sun.

      And yet we still refine our models of the earth's orbit.

      Space time can be curved.

      And yet we continue to test general relativity with increasingly precise experiments.

      Being 'settled' does not mean that there's no more research to be done.

    57. Re: The science is not settled by Your.Master · · Score: 1

      You're confused. Humans *are* great apes (aka hominids, a taxonomic family). Our common ancestor with other apes was itself a great ape. Chimpanzees are more closely related to humans than either are to Gorillas, even though all three are great apes, because the common ancestor between Chimpanzee and Human is a descendant of the common ancestor between the three and Gorilla.

      Look here: http://www.evolutionarymodel.c...

      Here's the study on what the last common ancestor between humans and extant non-humans probably looked like: http://www.sci-news.com/others...

    58. Re: The science is not settled by mysidia · · Score: 1

      We evolved from apes. The science is settled.

      I think you just proved my point by quoting a fact that the science does not support. Humans did not evolve from apes or any currently living species of primate.

      If by settled, you mean that no new evidence can ever arrive to replace those theories, then also false.

      The Earth goes around the Sun. The science is settled. Anthropogenic Warming is happening. The science is settled.

      The Earth goes around the Sun can be plainly observed. ONE OF THESE THINGS IS NOT LIKE THE OTHERS

      Note that your description is not very precise though, which also tends to limit its usefulness in terms of making predictions.

      Also, there is a great deal more reasonable doubt regarding Anthropogenic Warming. Both in the Science.... and see Stefan Molyneux on reasons to doubt the work-product of climate scientists. The problem is both accidental/unintentional and intentional political manipulation of the outcome of Scientific results on a broad scale.

      And, we as a civilization have need for much more truly independent work on the subject of environmental issues, with no incentives or disincentives (including fame/popularity) of scientists to come up with specific answers........

    59. Re:The science is not settled by mysidia · · Score: 1

      Science is settled, up until new measurements or better data or new models mean that the science needs to be revisited.

      Settled does not mean 'dormant' or 'waiting for better data'; settled implies beyond reproach. If it's capable of being revisited, then obviously it was not really settled in the first place....

      Settlements, at least in court, reflect a permanent condition. e.g. You paid such and such debt and agree to never speak of the matter again.

      They occur when all potential claimants or opponents sign in blood to other side's view. But the work involved with science is multi-generational, so in 20 years, some new guy could always come up with a new idea, and disprove the earlier theory with an experiment.

    60. Re:The science is not settled by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Ha! Way to out pedant the pedant :)

    61. Re: The science is not settled by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      We evolved from apes. The science is settled. I think you just proved my point by quoting a fact that the science does not support. Humans did not evolve from apes or any currently living species of primate.

      Humans did not evolve from modern apes. They did evolve from prehistoric great apes. While the exact common ancestor between humans and the closest other species is still under debate, evolutionary biologists firmly agree that that common ancestor was an ape -- just not a species still around today.

    62. Re:The science is not settled by mysidia · · Score: 1

      you are being willfully ignorant of what "the science is settled" means and refers to.

      I believe that the only Science that has ever been formally claimed to be "settled" by media is the "Climate Change" and other politically charged topics, which, are in fact, by no means settled.

    63. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here are some things science is settled on:

      The earth being round.

      The earth orbiting the sun.

      Space time can be curved.

      Science IS settled on a lot of issues. AGW is a new one, but something we can do something about (well, 10 years ago).

      In certain contexts many people "may" be on the same page and agree to simplistic but often technically useless statements of "settled".

      To use your first example as an example:
      The earth is not really round like a circle, it is very roughly spherical shaped - very roughly. For many surface navigation purposes, it is plenty accurate to treat the earth as a flat plane. Most people commute based on a basic flat earth model every day.

      Saying the science on anything is settled is usually a gross simplification of any thing generally accepted as science (with political science being expressly excluded). Basically you are saying "Shut Up Morons!" while putting on a facade of politeness.

    64. Re:The science is not settled by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      What makes people think the climate of pre-industrial humanity is the "ideal" climate? Transitioning may be hard, but shouldn't we determine what the optimal climate is before spending resources trying to control it? Wouldn't those resources be better spent on transitioning if a warmer planet is indeed better for life?

      The Earth itself doesn't give a damn about an "ideal" climate. It will keep soldiering along regardless of what happens. Life will adapt but if the change is drastic enough it takes many thousands of years to do that.

      But over the past several millennia we have built up a world spanning civilization based on the climate that has existed during that time. There is no guarantee that the cost of adapting our civilization to anthropogenic climate change will be less than the cost of mitigating the problem. In fact most studies I've see say the cost of mitigation is less than adaption.

    65. Re: The science is not settled by AthanasiusKircher · · Score: 1

      The common ancestor we share looks nothing like either humans or great apes (speculated to look much like a Lemur).

      While the common ancestor may look quite different from modern humans or modern great apes, the common ancestor of both most certainly would be classified as an ape according to evolutionary biology taxonomy.

      Furthermore, lemurs split off into a separate taxonomic Order nearly 65 million years ago. Apes separated from monkeys from 25 million years ago. Great apes separated from lesser apes 15 million years ago. Estimates are that human ancestors separated from chimp ancestors only about 7 million years ago.

      Bottom line -- human ancestors were "apes" and "great apes" long before they separated from other species. While evolutionary biologists debate the exact last common ancestor between humans and other species, there's little doubt that that common ancestor was very much a "great ape."

    66. Re:The science is not settled by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Of course it is.... if you "settle" it, then that action closes even the very possibility that further data might actually get discovered in the first place that would allow you to refine your scientific model to more accurately reflect reality. You've closed the book. You're done. If you are actually willing to revise your model later to reflect new data, then the matter isn't really settled at all. Of course, if you just gone and laid off everybody that would have even been able to provide any future data, then you're not likely to get any new data in the first place, and so you remain in ignorance.

      The debate on climate change can be settled, but the science should *NEVER* be thought of as such.

    67. Re: The science is not settled by cbeaudry · · Score: 1

      It is unfortunate that seemingly educated and smart people would believe such a subject is a yes / no question.

      That you would reduce the whole of climate science importance down to a yes / no question, just shows how much the media have managed to educate so many into thinking it is so simple.

      I am at a loss of words to express how wrong your perception of the subject is.

    68. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If anyone is paying attention, the listed 'settled' items are observations. They are not science in the way the climate models are trying to be science.

      Why is the earth round? That would be science.

      Why does the Earth orbit the Sun? That would be science.

      Why can space-time be curved and what curves it? That would be science.

      Just observing facts is not science.

    69. Re:The science is not settled by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 1

      But that''s because they'll have to admit the Earth is a globe. Maybe if we called it Anthropogenic Discal Warming.

      --
      Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
    70. Re: The science is not settled by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      Speaking scientifically you are correct. But the problem is that plain language when mixed with scientific taxonomic classes can cause confusion. Chances are when someone says humanity evolved from apes they will be confused to be talking specifically about the existing great apes. We did not evolve from chimpanzees or other great apes and it's important to draw this distinction because the confusion between the scientific speech and layman speech is exploited by creationists. By using speech that indicates humans evolved from apes the layman implication is that humans evolved from the existing great apes because those are the apes that the layman knows. This breeds confusion and such statements should be avoided even if taxonomically correct.

      Where these statements are made it's important to draw the distinction that humans did not evolve from the great apes, if for no other reason than to avoid confusing those not familiar with the taxonomic classifications for primates and more importantly because it reinforces that evolution is a branching tree, not a straight line. The weakness of evolutionary understanding in the US is partly because of these lazy uses of words that confuse the layman.

      BTW I never said humans evolved from Lemurs, I said that current evidence indicates the common ancestor looked kind of like one as far as size of body and structural similarities.

    71. Re:The science is not settled by XXongo · · Score: 1

      Science is settled, up until new measurements or better data or new models mean that the science needs to be revisited.

      Settled does not mean 'dormant' or 'waiting for better data'; settled implies beyond reproach.

      Maybe in law.

      But that's not the way science works.

    72. Re:The science is not settled by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      You are right, the planet doesn't care. Life isn't easy to maintain and it will suck in the future. But it also sucked in the past and we still managed to build up that world spanning civilization. The climate may have helped to a certain degree, but despite different climates, humans have managed to settle across most of the horrible environments the world has to offer from tropical places filled with disease to deserts with practically no water, to the arctic reaches. I'm not to worried about a few feet of sea level rise or a degree or two of warming on average.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
    73. Re:The science is not settled by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      Infidel! Fahrenheit is the one true God of Temperature, Lord of all the Thermostats. All others are false and those that worship them will perish!

    74. Re:The science is not settled by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      I suspect the Flat Earth Society is really a comedy group in disguise.

    75. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      HA HA HA, fucking stop posting, it hurts laughing this much at idiots!!!

      If you think the "past several millennia" has had stable climate then your more deluded or higher than I ever considered!!!.

      The real data tells us that the extra warmth (the tiny bit we have had!) is actually beneficial, crop yield has gone up, places in Africa have "greened and flourished", sea level increased at the same rate, less hurricanes.

      no need to spend on mitigation, or adaption, good news for all!!! you should be happy.

    76. Re:The science is not settled by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      Looking at history, when they want to put people in jail as those telling us it's man made GW and it's settled - they know they're wrong. No doubt about it. That's why they want to jail anyone that points this out. Sadly, people haven't learned that from history. Still believe in MMGW. Who knows, maybe the tooth fairy too.

    77. Re:The science is not settled by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      If you think the "past several millennia" has had stable climate then your more deluded or higher than I ever considered!!!.

      The Earth's climate has been remarkably stable and so have sea levels for the past 6,000 years or so. Last I heard that is several millennia.

      But I do live in Oregon where weed is legal now so you never know ;)

    78. Re:The science is not settled by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Of course the driving force behind building up our civilization has come from the more temperate zones of our planet. People living in the "horrible" environments of the world are mostly subsistence survivors living off the land.

      You may not be worried about a few feet of sea level rise or a degree or two of warming but what makes you think that's the end of it? What do you think your children (or your relatives children) will have to contend with after you're gone? Current worst case scenarios show around 6 feet of sea level rise and 4-6 degrees C of temperature rise by 2100.

    79. Re:The science is not settled by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the year 2016, and the Flat Earth Society still exists...as in humans who still believe the Earth is flat, in the face of the ISS orbiting above us, and pictures from our Moon.

      It's hard to call things "settled" around humans. We tend to be a rather ignorant lot.

      Yes, some idiots will believe anything. Just because someone believes something earnestly doesn't mean we shouldn't dismiss it. If it's dumb, it's dumb.

      The science is settled. Idiots may not accept that.

    80. Re:The science is not settled by Layzej · · Score: 1

      The Flat Earth Society is not a scientific organization.... they are not taking observations or performing any experiments that could be used to prove their own society wrong or revise their beliefs to make them more accurate. If they do prove themselves wrong, they are not prepared to listen to the result. Their organization should have dissolved itself by now if they were scientific

      Likewise climate "skeptics".

    81. Re:The science is not settled by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't those resources be better spent on transitioning if a warmer planet is indeed better for life?

      That certainly would be wonderful if politicians in the US would start debating the cost benefit analysis of something like:

      1. 5 meters of Ocean rise, plus the US breadbasket is now in Canada, plus ocean currents change dropping the average temp in England and parts of Europe 10 degrees, plus, etc.. etc.. ect.. all the predictions and their known error bars. Not necessarily all those, but you get the picture.

      versus

      2. 20 years of transitioning to cleaner fuel sources, redoing the electric grid with better storage and 'smart' tech, capturing and storing some of the CO2, incentives to industry and car makers, etc..

      But we haven't even started that debate. 100% of the Republican congress members state publicly that they do not belief climate change is happening...or if it is, it isn't man made.

      " if a warmer planet is indeed better for life?" - but on that point specifically, back when the Earth was warmer and had high Co2 levels, their were no humans. And if I'm thinking of the same period millions of years ago that you are, reptiles ruled the earth, not mammals. That might be telling...

    82. Re:The science is not settled by danbert8 · · Score: 1

      Are you saying that if the climate gets warmer we would devolve? Reptiles were the advanced form of life at the time and they ruled the earth. But mammals were just becoming a thing and as it turns out were much better at adapting to changing climate and managed to survive whatever catastrophe killed the dinosaurs.

      --
      Yes it's an anecdote! Were you expecting original research in a Slashdot comment?
  10. So Much For the Enlightenment by surd1618 · · Score: 1

    The Turnbull government would have pulled the plug on Newton's silly academic musings and set him up to slave away at the mint.

  11. Interesting bit from article by Diss+Champ · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Yes, I know you're not supposed to read the article. You find out all sorts of interesting things like the fact that noone was actually fired, they were re-assigned to other stuff. You also find out why some of the stuff they were doing was interesting.

    But the thing that caught my attention with shades of "we have to pass the bill before we know what it does" was that one of the reasons given not to transfer the people was that they were needed to figure out what the recent climate agreement actually meant.

    So apparently the climate agreement was so badly expressed that the several people who were not transferred away from basic climate research are not sufficient to figure out what it actually meant?
    Didn't Kerry block the language change that would have made it require anything?

    1. Re:Interesting bit from article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Obviously you didn't read the article, or you would know that 110 people were fired from the atmosphere and oceans division and another 120 people were fired from the land and water program and another 350 staff will be moved into new roles unrelated to their specialty.

    2. Re:Interesting bit from article by Diss+Champ · · Score: 2

      Quoting from the article
      "Marshall has said that no one would be fired and the staff would be redistributed."

    3. Re:Interesting bit from article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      #feelthebern

    4. Re:Interesting bit from article by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Without looking at it, I doubt the agreement was so complicated as to require a major research effort to figure out what it means. It covers a complicated subject, and it may well require a major research effort to figure out what it implies, or the best way to meet treaty requirements, or something like that.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    5. Re:Interesting bit from article by The-Ixian · · Score: 1

      I also don't understand this:

      “The situation is very bad here,” the scientist said. “Eighty percent of our climate capability will be gone; it is clear that climate modeling will be cut completely.”

      So.. by laying people off, you are going to break your climate?

      Perhaps that has been the problem all along... we need to make more jobs to increase our climate capability!

      --
      My eyes reflect the stars and a smile lights up my face.
    6. Re:Interesting bit from article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are being reassigned away from hard science and into fields that will generate income. The CSRIO is being reconfigured as a government-funded research business instead of a peak science body.

  12. Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by XXongo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No one in climate science is interested in answering those questions. It's all "X is caused by global climate change", where X can be literally anything,

    If you read what actual climate scientists say, and not the hype in the press, they in fact don't say "It's all "X is caused by global climate change", where X can be literally anything," Over and over, they say things like, no particular storm can be attributed to global warming-- it's a long term global effect. Over and over and over. But the press likes disaster stories. They'll keep looking until they can find a way to write the story that makes it a disaster story, and bury the "other scientists caution that there's not enough data to attribute X to climate change" on page 2.

    with pictures of polar bears in the background.

    I've read a lot of papers by climate scientists, and never seen one with "pictures of polar bears in the background." I think I can safely say that if what you're reading has pictures of polar bears in the background, you're reading the popular press, and not a scientific paper. Even the paper (one paper-- count it, one) that talked about dead polar bears in the arctic didn't have pictures of polar bears in the background.

    1. Re:Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by Jason+Levine · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Obligatory PHD Comics: The Science News Cycle.

      At their most specific, the scientists might say that Climate Change means we'll be more likely to get stronger storms more often, but the media reports it as "Scientists say Current Storm X is directly caused by Climate Change!!!"

      --
      My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
    2. Re:Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by david_thornley · · Score: 2

      I like the IPCC report summary of effects. Each and every claim had an attached confidence level. That's the sort of thing I want to see with predictions. Of course, it makes for really crappy sound bites. "New York will wash away" sells more clicks than "We're pretty sure that sea level will rise by X meters or more over Y time".

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    3. Re:Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by ooloorie · · Score: 0

      I've read a lot of papers by climate scientists, and never seen one with "pictures of polar bears in the background."

      Yes, climate scientists are great at keeping their message ambiguous and targeting different audiences differently, banking on journalists sensationalizing their message while still not having said anything technically wrong. Something like "There is no evidence that a disaster will happen or is even possible." can be turned into "Well, our scientific results suggest that a disaster is possible, and the only known way to avert it is to take immediate action." Both statements can refer to exactly the same state of the world.

      And when it comes to popular messaging, scientists very much engage in fear mongering. Joseph Romm's "Climate Change" book has flooded taxis on the cover. Gavin Schmidt's book has cracked, dried earth in the desert on its cover. James Hansen talks about the "coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity"; he is going so far as to claim that earth will become uninhabitable due to a runaway greenhouse effect.

    4. Re:Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by qeveren · · Score: 1

      Soooo... you complain if people make specific predictions, and you complain if people don't make specific predictions.

      --
      Don't just stand there, get that other dog!
    5. Re:Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by MrNaz · · Score: 1

      So now it's the scientists who are manipulating journalists into sensationalizing the stories, rather than journalists being incentivized by their editorial managers who demand attention grabbing headlines?

      Next you're going to blame scientists for manipulating species into extincting themselves in order to support their wild unbelievable hypotheses.

      --
      I hate printers.
    6. Re:Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      So now it's the scientists who are manipulating journalists into sensationalizing the stories, rather than journalists being incentivized by their editorial managers who demand attention grabbing headlines?

      Journalists sensationalize things because their companies want to sell newspapers. Some scientists take advantage of it for political or career purposes. There is no "so now" about that (it's been going on for years), nor do all scientists do it. Is that so hard to understand?

    7. Re:Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by ooloorie · · Score: 1

      Soooo... you complain if people make specific predictions, and you complain if people don't make specific predictions.

      Yes, quite right. I complain when people make specific predictions that aren't backed up by data. And I complain when scientists speculate in their papers ("don't make specific predictions"). Both behaviors are unscientific. Scientists should neither speculate publicly, nor make specific predictions that aren't backed up by data. The only predictions they should make are those that are specific and clearly backed up by data.

    8. Re:Ignore the hype, pay attention to the science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps. But in your original post, you said this: "Yes, climate scientists are great at keeping their message ambiguous and targeting different audiences differently, banking on journalists sensationalizing their message while still not having said anything technically wrong."

      Backpedaling now doesn't save your previous post from being a steaming pile of shit.

  13. Short sighted by jenningsthecat · · Score: 1

    ...Turnbull’s government has also emphasized science that can be easily commercialized...

    It seems to me that climate scientists would be a key part of any strategies, techniques, and technologies that are developed to either counteract or accommodate global warming. Future work in this area will be heavily commercialized, just as wind and solar power and electric vehicles are commercialized today. Sounds like Turnbull is thumbing his nose at a big economic opportunity. Not to mention that, in some sense, he seems to be selling out his fellow human beings for a bit of short-term political capital. Way to make your country's economy more durable, Mr. Turnbull!

    --
    'The Economy' is a giant Ponzi scheme whose most pitiable suckers are the youngest among us and the yet-unborn.
    1. Re:Short sighted by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Harper did the same thing in Canada by making our research focus on things that were more commercially viable rather than longer term science. Doing basic R&D is the proper way to grow the economy in the long term. But business wants help to put out new products in the near term and so that's what governments are doing. I haven't heard any announcements from the new Trudeau government reversing this business oriented stance though I haven't been looking at everything they've announced so I may have missed it.

    2. Re:Short sighted by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      At least Trudeau took the gag order off the scientists that required them to get approval from their government minders before talking publicly.

  14. Nothing more to learn by ITRambo · · Score: 1

    Once again ignorance has decreed that all that needs to be known is already known, in a field. New knowledge must be heresy in that case. This is so stupid.

  15. 110 climatologists' next job prospect... by Bob_Who · · Score: 1

    "Do you want fries with that?"

    Suddenly global warming is the least of their problems....

    1. Re:110 climatologists' next job prospect... by techno-vampire · · Score: 1

      We're talking about Australia here. I think the word you want is "chips."

      --
      Good, inexpensive web hosting
    2. Re:110 climatologists' next job prospect... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they are working at McDonalds it's still "fries".

      If they are working at KFC they are "chips".

  16. Okay, assume the climate science is settled by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    If it's settled that human-emitted carbon is warming up our climate that might mean fewer jobs for climatologists, but it will mean a lot more jobs for reactor builders and people who can assemble and pilot supertanker loads of iron dust.

    1. Re:Okay, assume the climate science is settled by budgenator · · Score: 1

      If it's settled that human-emitted carbon is warming up our climate that might mean fewer jobs for climatologists, but it will mean a lot more jobs for reactor builders and people who can assemble and pilot supertanker loads of iron dust.

      If the global were actually warming and the warming was caused by anthropogenic CO2 then ocean fertilization by supertanker loads of iron dust would logically reduce or eliminate the warming, that's why Ocean Fertilization is illegal; only methods that are ineffective and cause massive human suffering are allowed.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  17. Inevitable and logical consequence? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "No doubt many will experience a case of schadenfreude as they see those who have long claimed "the science is settled" face the inevitable and logical consequence of that stance."

    Seriously? So, your position is that anything that science has a decent understanding of should not be further investigated? It's this kind of ignorance that shows not only your bias in posting, but a total lack of understanding of how the scientific method proceeds.

    The process of science means that *any* understanding can be revisited for further investigation in light of new data. We are still working on basics like how antibiotics actually work, and which of Newton's insights apply at various scales, and a huge variety of other investigations going on into what can be definitely described as "settled science". (Settled - There are antibiotic compounds that kill germs, and Newtonian physics is deeply useful in engineering on a human scale.)

    The idea that an accepted understanding in a field of study warrants no more study, as an "inevitable and logical consequence" of that understanding, is stunningly anti-science and violates the methods we've used successfully since the Enlightenment to understand the world around us.

    1. Re:Inevitable and logical consequence? Really? by Alypius · · Score: 1

      Politics, dogma, and money have replaced science in this field. When people start spouting "the science is settled" and getting misty while considering how to criminalize "deniers," you really do need to stop research. Otherwise, new data and models might reveal, "Oops! Never mind! We're gonna be fine after all, folks!" thus threatening the elites' power and money train.

    2. Re:Inevitable and logical consequence? Really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck you.

      The "Science is Settled" argument IS being used to shut down dissent, and in some wacked out places even being criminalized.

      So what you are really saying is the the science is settled for some but not for the people on the government Gravey Train.

      Did I say Fuck You yet?

      No, well, Fuck you.

  18. What we don't know; everything by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's a turn of phrase in this case, but we know that man's emissions cause some aspect of the climate change we're seeing.

    "Some aspect" where the exact amount is undefined.

    Oh, and the total amount of warming we'll see is undefined.

    Oh, and the amount of warming that is harmful is undefined.

    Oh, and the benefits to the world from a warmer climate are undefined.

    Oh, and the mechanism that triggers an ice age is undefined.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re: What we don't know; everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you agree that we need MORE research in these areas? Or are we just too dense as a species to ever understand the complexity of the environment we live in?

    2. Re:What we don't know; everything by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Pretty much, yes, although "undefined" here doesn't mean "we don't know anything". That's why we need more research.

      The warming is mostly caused by human activity, but there's lots of other small effects. The total amount of warming we'll see is likely to be within certain limits, but there's a lot of stuff we don't know. There will be some benefits, including some we don't suspect yet, and some problems, and we have strong reason to think that it's going to net out as seriously harmful. That, in more detail, is why we need more research.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    3. Re:What we don't know; everything by XXongo · · Score: 1

      It's a turn of phrase in this case, but we know that man's emissions cause some aspect of the climate change we're seeing.

      "Some aspect" where the exact amount is undefined.

      Over a time scale of years, natural variations dominate. Over a time scale of decades, there aren't any other hypotheses that can explain the observed rise in temperature-- all the other proposed explanations have been ruled out by data. So, the answer to the "exact amount" of "some aspect" is "the temperature rise on a scale of decades is due to human emissions."

      Oh, and the total amount of warming we'll see is undefined..

      Known to within current error bars of plus or minus fifty percent (3C per doubling, plus or minus 1.5. See http://www.ipcc.ch/publication... ). The largest uncertainty is how much carbon dioxide and methane we will emit in the future, not what the effect will be.

      Oh, and the amount of warming that is harmful is undefined..

      Yep. That needs more work, including better bounds on the definition of "harmful".

      Oh, and the benefits to the world from a warmer climate are undefined.

      Yep. That needs more work.

      Oh, and the mechanism that triggers an ice age is undefined.

      Nope. That was unknown years ago, but now is pretty well established to be Milankovitch variations.

    4. Re: What we don't know; everything by hsthompson69 · · Score: 1

      "need" vs. "want"

      The question really becomes, are there more important things for us to research - like say, thorium reactors, or IoT, or the perfect action movie screenplay.

    5. Re:What we don't know; everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How do you know that it's mostly caused by humans? What if there are other factors making it look that way but haven't been considered either because it fails to prove the theory or simply because we don't know? I have a hard time definitively saying that it's cause by humans. I don't see where that has been proven at all.

    6. Re:What we don't know; everything by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      This is science, which means nothing is actually proven. In fact, climate scientists have looked at all the other factors they could think of, because if somebody in the field came up with an alternative explanation for the warming they'd get a big-impact paper and a big reputation boost out of it, and the rewards of publishing academic papers are typically reputation. What I can say is that lots of smart people have looked at this carefully and found no alternative explanation that works, and the currently accepted solution has a sound theoretical basis, which is pretty much the best you can say of any scientific theory, although with varying degrees of confidence.

      We have known for well over a century that increasing the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will warm things up. The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere has gone up. So has the temperature. Every other explanation that people have looked at just doesn't work. Solar input is an example: we're pretty sure that the Sun supplies almost all of the heat in the atmosphere, so we watch how much energy we get closely. It varies over geological scales, but there are changes that match the warming data.

      We can check how much CO2 gets into the atmosphere by various means, including human burning of fossil fuels. We see that we're definitely putting enough CO2 into the air to cause this, and nothing else seems to. Volcanoes put out relatively little compared to what we do. We can also look at the isotopic composition of the CO2. Remember carbon-dating? Atmospheric CO2 has a certain amount of the radioactive isotope carbon-14, which decays over time, and so we can check how much CO2 in the air is from fossil fuels and the like, and that checks out.

      So, to summarize, we know how to raise temperatures, and we're doing the right things to do that. The increase and isotopic composition of the CO2 in the air suggests that we're doing it, and the observed temperature rises are more or less consistent with that. (The details get way complicated pretty fast.) There are no other known causes that could be causing this particular warming. So, the planet is warming up in a way consistent with our actions, and not consistent with anything else. If the warming in fact had another cause, we'd have to figure out why our increase in CO2 isn't causing it.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    7. Re:What we don't know; everything by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure what you mean by undefined.

      The reports I've read have +/- error bars for X degrees of temp change, sea level change, etc..

      Insurance companies use error bars to make predictions about how much X is going to cost them all the time. They have to to stay in business.

      Pretending that we don't know enough to do any sort of cost-benefit analysis and reach any policy conclusions is a view either based in ignorance, or ideological motivations.

  19. Wait just a minute! by Brett+Buck · · Score: 3, Insightful

    With no "climate scientists", when every single prediction from the models come out wrong again, who will go back, adjust the models, and then retro-predict real life?

    1. Re:Wait just a minute! by Alypius · · Score: 0

      Celebrities have been doing that since the 70's. I'm sure the Goracle and DiCaprio will keep us informed from their private jets.

    2. Re:Wait just a minute! by Kohath · · Score: 1

      Hollywood

    3. Re:Wait just a minute! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You've just described the process of learning how the world works (ie, science), but with a strong sense of disdain.

    4. Re:Wait just a minute! by dywolf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Myth: The predictions/models are always wrong.

      Reality: Global surface temperature measurements fall within the range of IPCC projections. Models successfully reproduce temperatures since 1900 globally, by land, in the air and the ocean.

      You seem to lack understanding of the relativeness or kinds of wrong.

      IE, you seem to equate "wrong" with anything less than 100% accuracy and precision.
      That's not how science works, particularly data driven science. A key concept here is the meanings of Precision and Accuracy, which are not the same thing:
      http://withfriendship.com/imag...

      You can be completely wrong (or 'not even wrong'): "gravity is from unicorn farts!"
      You can be partly wrong but still on the right track: "we predicted of rise of 0.5, but found only 0.4"
      You can be right, but for the wrong reason: "we predicted a rise of 0.5 because unicorn farts, but it turned out to be from CO2"
      You can be totally right and have the perfect outcome.

      You appear to only recognize last possibility, and demand that anything else be discarded out of hand.
      But that isn't reality or proper scientific understanding.

      Posts such as yours are not insightful, nor does it show any actual understanding of what takes place, let alone is it all reflective of reality and what the scientists have actually been doing.

      I guess in summary what I mean is: you're an idiot.

      https://www.skepticalscience.c...
      https://www.skepticalscience.c...
      http://www.latimes.com/science...
      http://climatenexus.org/debunk...

      --
      The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
    5. Re:Wait just a minute! by mfearby · · Score: 0

      No, he described what's actually going on. For decades now we've had computer models thrust into our faces ad nauseam, and yet when they are proven wrong years later, nobody wants to talk about it. They just fiddle with the figures and churn out a new (equally worthless) "model" and dial up the hysteria.

      We've had a long record of alarmist rubbish now to show that more "climate science" is just a waste of OUR money. No thanks.

    6. Re:Wait just a minute! by Maow · · Score: 1

      Liberals can do that very efficiently in their heads. It's called "doublethink" and they are very, very good at it.

      You know why modern conservatives are rarely in movies?

      Because they can only "act" angry and butt-hurt, and they're all projectors.

    7. Re:Wait just a minute! by Brett+Buck · · Score: 1

      It's cute when you can't win the argument and start calling names.

                BTW, I have probably looked at more simulation data than all climate scientists put together and had plenty of opportunity to check simulation results against real life. If the predictions fall out 6-sigma low - which the best-case (lest warming) model did a few years ago - the simulation is wrong, period, back to the drawing board.

    8. Re:Wait just a minute! by Maow · · Score: 1

      It's cute when you can't win the argument and start calling names.

      It's cute when you don't read the name-calling I'm replying to.

      Butt-hurt victim of nasty name calling, boo-hoo.

      BTW, I have probably looked at more simulation data than all climate scientists put together

      Do try to be less transparent in your lies - ALL climate scientists put together? Bull-fucking-shit.

      and had plenty of opportunity to check simulation results against real life.

      You have your own global set of temperature sensors and have examined ice cores, etc? Impressive.

      And I'm curious; how do you deal with the 19th century discovery that CO2 is a green house gas?

      If the predictions fall out 6-sigma low - which the best-case (lest warming) model did a few years ago - the simulation is wrong, period, back to the drawing board.

      There's more than one simulation (model), they've mostly been conservative in their predictions, and you're 100% full of shit since you didn't know that.

      Learn something about climate models when you've finished digesting the fact that CO2 has been known to be a green house gas since ~1850.

      Start with an independent review of climate models:

      Steve Easterbrook, a professor of computer science at the University of Toronto, has been studying climate models for several years. “I'd done a lot of research in the past studying the development of commercial and open source software systems, including four years with NASA studying the verification and validation processes used on their spacecraft flight control software,” he told Ars.

      When Easterbrook started looking into the processes followed by climate modeling groups, he was surprised by what he found. “I expected to see a messy process, dominated by quick fixes and muddling through, as that's the typical practice in much small-scale scientific software. What I found instead was a community that takes very seriously the importance of rigorous testing, and which is already using most of the tools a modern software development company would use (version control, automated testing, bug tracking systems, a planned release cycle, etc.).”

  20. Ah yes, the meeting of Politics and Science by bobbied · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Seems the lessons of history must be learned over and over. Mixing up politics and science, religion and science or even politics and religion is generally always a bad idea. How soon we forget and each subsequent generation repeats the same mistakes..

    Well, at least we know what to expect..

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    1. Re:Ah yes, the meeting of Politics and Science by bigwheel · · Score: 1

      The lesson to be learned is that it works well for the politicians and religious leaders. It also works well for the scientists who support those leaders.

      It is only bad for everyone else -- i.e., those don't matter. And very bad for the scientists who don't go along with the status quo.

    2. Re:Ah yes, the meeting of Politics and Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Smart scientists who don't go along with the status quo become Nobel prize winners. It's the cranks that run into problems because they're proposing things that have already been debunked. The sad reality that Republicans support cranks because they think evolution is a liberal plot, has made them think that cranks should be protected and celebrated.

    3. Re:Ah yes, the meeting of Politics and Science by radarskiy · · Score: 1

      Clearly, politics should be devoid of any scientific input.

    4. Re:Ah yes, the meeting of Politics and Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seems the lessons of history must be learned over and over. Mixing up politics and science, religion and science or even politics and religion is generally always a bad idea. How soon we forget and each subsequent generation repeats the same mistakes..

      Well, at least we know what to expect..

      Oh please let's bring religion into this, shall we?

      I can't wait to hear the one where God forgot to turn down the Golden Thermostat. Let me get my popcorn...

    5. Re:Ah yes, the meeting of Politics and Science by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Other lessons of history not learned: How long was action on the dangers of smoking tobacco delayed by big tobacco and their paid scientists? How long was action delayed on the dangers of lead in gasoline and paint delayed by those who had a financial interest in them?

  21. The germ theory of disease is settled, too. by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    So I guess there's no reason to spend any more money on microbiology or antibiotics research.

    1. Re:The germ theory of disease is settled, too. by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      Actually, that's what we need to be spending our money on and we don't seem to be doing that at all in the "climate science" area. The propaganda machine has been whining that the sky is falling. Once you embrace that, it's simply time to move on. You move on how to fix the problem or survive it.

      Chicken Little becomes irrelevant the moment that people start listening to him.

      There's some well regarded English figurehead of some sort that's basically been saying this for a long time now. "OK, we're fucked. Now what?"

      We have graduated from the "yeah, germs do exist" phase of this particular calamity.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    2. Re:The germ theory of disease is settled, too. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > The propaganda machine has been whining that the sky is falling

      Saying something like that about the people who are warning us about a real danger that malicious people want us to ignore makes it seem like you got caught up in Conservative LARPing, but the rest of your post is reasonable, so that's an odd mix. The propaganda is from the lunatics who are making life hard for our kids and grandkids.

    3. Re:The germ theory of disease is settled, too. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climate scientists aren't the right ones to fix AGW. You need climate engineers for that. Also, they already figured out how to do it for $20 million dollars. But it doesn't get rid of the CO2 so huckster "scientists" and communist "environmentalists" aren't interested. The goal is to continue to get money for research forever, and to shut down industry worldwide and implement global communism.

    4. Re:The germ theory of disease is settled, too. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      malicious people want

      And there ya go.

      "People disagree with me, so they are malicious."

      Judith Curry and many other well regarded scientists are "malicious ", eh?

      Fucking retards like you are what drives people to dismiss any real science going on here as just the rantings of partisan assholes like you.
       

  22. Occam's Razor - Things are about to get very bad by hattig · · Score: 1

    Bah, I feel like stirring up some nutty X-Files level conspiracy shizzle...

    Why would you do this? You're reassigning the scientists, not firing them. It's not about costs.

    So basically, those in ultimate power, the ones pulling the strings, expect things to get much much worse, far far quicker than even the science to date has suggested.

    In order to keep control, to keep the status quo as long as possible, they have decided that it is too risky to risk the science getting more accurate results that would expose the real situation. That might risk profits!

    So they've cut the climate change funding completely. This isn't head-in-sand ostrich politics, this is happening for a real reason, and that's to cover up a worse reality than even the current state of climate science suggests.

    Everyone knows there is more to learn, more accurate models to build, more precise future situations to demonstrate, , so the only reason to transfer these people away from those roles is to stop people from learning what that is.

  23. ExxonMobil is hiring by L.+J.+Beauregard · · Score: 1

    All the propaganda outlets assure me that Gore-Bull Warming is all a conspiracy to keep those evul scientists rolling in dough. Well, all they have to do is start working for the other side.

    --
    Ooh, moderator points! Five more idjits go to Minus One Hell!
    Delendae sunt RIAA, MPAA et Windoze
  24. What we know is that the world is getting hotter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and it is man's fault. But there is still a lot to learn. And the most important issue is how to reduce the effect. The firing is to get rid of the scientist so that the world can continue its suicidal climb. The fossil extraction industry must continue making profit even if doing so dooms mankind. The action is to intimidate and silence the Climatologists.

  25. Conspiracy test by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    This may test the conspiracy theory that scientists lie or exaggerate to get more government funding. Let's call it the Handout Bias Theory (HBT).

    If you get fired when you "prove" it, then proofs should now stop. Scientists would come to nebulous conclusions so as to keep their jobs, under HBT. "We need more research & funding to really know..."

    However, the conspiratorial types are likely to replace one conspiracy with another when evidence goes against the original. I don't know what they'll dream up yet to replace HBT, but conspiracies can wild-card explanations almost as well as Creationism: "God did it that way because he simply wanted do." Maybe they'll claim scientists want to shut down operations to hide their dirty deeds now that The Patriots are on to them.

  26. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

    And, since we know Mars and Venus are also getting warmer, it must be the Martian's fault.

    Well, given that we don't know that Mars and Venus are getting warmer we don't have to look for causes for that nonexistent warming.

    How much of the change is likely to be caused by which of the several known factors, and potentially unknown factors?

    If there are unknown factors causing the warming then there are also unknown factors causing cooling that happens to exactly balance the unknown factors causing warming, since the observed warming fits pretty damn well the known factors that can cause warming. Or maybe we should just use Occam's razor?

    What is the long-term temperature trend, based on long-term actual data (as opposed to COUGH corrections COUGH made up on the spot and added to the data).

    The long term temperature trend is slightly cooled the corrections that are carefully considered. You might like to see a doctor about that nasty cough.

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  27. Fundamental counter argument by ExXter · · Score: 1

    Asking a rhetoric question since everyone knows the answer.

    "If the weather science is settled, why then, are weather scientists still unable to predict weather than my coin throwing each morning?"

    You loose Australia...

  28. Aussy Gov Reduces Its Research Carbon Footprint by fygment · · Score: 0

    Climate scientists were only too willing to play the political game with their science. Well, guess they didn't really think it through.

    Importantly, they can can with 100% certainty conclude that their firing is man's fault.

    --
    "Consensus" in science is _always_ a political construct.
  29. Unsuprising is it Really? by buffet_caterer · · Score: 1

    With the economy slowing down following on from the Chinese, in their major export earner, New Zealanders packing their bags back home and Brits choosing less to travel, someone has to pay the price in any effort to lift things up in the country... manufacturing and mining have to take centre stage once again... scientists pay the price.. same old politics

    --
    Well lived, well enjoyed
  30. Australians by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    Australians can spell "axe" properly.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    1. Re:Australians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who axed you?

    2. Re:Australians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A nigger, by the look of it.

      Do they say 'I got a tax to do, and when I'm finished I can bax in the sun and drink my flax of orangeade?'

  31. ZOMG Crisis! by Alypius · · Score: 1

    I'll start acting like it's a crisis when the people who say it's a crisis start acting like it's a crisis.

  32. Silencing science by diodeus · · Score: 1

    So, when did Canada's former Prime Minister Stephen Harper move to Australia?

    1. Re:Silencing science by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Just a few months ago, actually. It's the new guy, Malcolm Turnbull. He's not quite a denialist, exactly, but the Liberal Party is the rough equivalent of Canada's Conservatives. ("Liberal" and "Conservative" mean different things in different places.) They've been kinda lukewarm on climate change (pardon the pun); his predecessor acknowledged it and even praised Obama's efforts to do something, but those efforts are heavily hamstrung by a Republican Congress and what he can do is heavily influenced by that. The new guy had made some noises in the same direction but is apparently being pushed in a Harper-like way.

    2. Re:Silencing science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A week after Justin Trudeau started advising Australia on science.

  33. Australians!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I expect crap like this from New Zealanders... but Australians?!

  34. We need climate engineers by monkeyxpress · · Score: 2

    I agree, but we need more than that - climate engineers who can figure out how to modify the system to prevent the worst effects. I think it's great that among the general population the narrative is to reduce emissions and environmental destruction, but nothing about the nature of humans convinces me that we won't eventually end up having to use engineered solutions to the problem.

    Just look at the US elections. Every four years I see a bunch of politicians turn up in some coal town and spout on about how clean coal is the future. The mindset in these places is so hard to change, made especially so by the fud spread by vested interests. Given the rise of solar and electric, it might be possible to wean rich westerners off fossil fuels over a 30-50 year period, but I can't see how we will convince developing countries to do the same, especially when the price for fuels falls through the floor.

    What really scares me is if a nation that starts suffering the effects of climate change first, gets desperate and takes matters into their own hands. It doesn't take many aerosols pumped into the atmosphere to potentially cause a lot of effects on the planet, and if we don't know what those effects are it could be a massive disaster in a very short time frame.

  35. The "Schadenfreude" will get stuck in your throat. by burni2 · · Score: 1

    "Die Schadenfreude wird Dir im Hals stecken bleiben."

    Schadenfreude will get back at you.

    Is a term deeming the people that experience "Schadenfreude" to be susceptible for the upcomming or imminent threat to experience also a same of a kind situation from the opposite side.

    Because people that experience "Schadenfreude" tend not to concentrate on their own problems.

    (Example: A car driver laughs about the owner of a broken luxury car, and does not concentrate on the car driving in front of him, where the driver does same thing plus braking to get a better view. Result tail bump and the "Schadenfreude" got back at you.)

    In this case it's climate scientists have worked out that the climate is anthropologically influenced on a large scale.

    But that influence is what we experience just right now and not what could happen in the future, these predictions with their various scenarios are essential to at least have an idea for example where settling could be dangerous or economically unfeasable.

    All prediction on the future also need to take into account a changing behaviour and energy production landscape.

    And this is how Schadenfreude has the tendency to get stuck in your throat and choke on you if you enjoy it for too long.

  36. Take that, smartguys! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, you wanted to be all sciencey and so smart and now look where it got you: no more sciencey things for you, the fast food beckons! You will be smartest dishwashers ever! Flip those burgers, science boy! And where are my fries, boffin? Take that mop and go clean the vomit upstairs, prof cleanitup. :)

  37. The devil is in the details by XXongo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Many of these questions are going to need to start with climate models, to answer things like "what will be the effect at different latitudes, what will be the effect on precipitation, what will be the effect on storms"

    And those climate models have been created and are available as software. It's now just a question of applying them.

    The global climate models are there, and are getting pretty well validated-- although you do know that the error bars are still plus or minus fifty percent, right? But the more you want fine-grained data, though, the more you're still going to need to do a lot more work.

    "Overall, things are getting slightly warmer at a pace we know to within a factor of two"-- that's something we know. "Australia is getting hotter"-- that's slightly harder to say with certainty: Australia is not the world. "These detailed results will be the result"-- that's getting very hard to predict.

    The devil is in the details.

    1. Re:The devil is in the details by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      But the more you want fine-grained data, though, the more you're still going to need to do a lot more work.

      To get more data, you don't need more climate scientists with PhDs. You just need to deploy more sensors.

    2. Re:The devil is in the details by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and where you deploy those sensors matter too. When you move one from under a shade tree and install it in the open on blacktop you're going to get different temperature readings. These are the kind of games that are being played, and it's irritating that most people don't bother to look into the details and just run off with "the smart people say we're all gonna die!!!!"

    3. Re: The devil is in the details by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really think that in 100 plus years of temperature taking there isn't a designated way to scientifically place a thermometer for proper record keeping?What a tool.

    4. Re: The devil is in the details by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there is but very few actually match the requirements.

      and weirdly the number of stations have gone down overtime, so we are now less able to produce good data.

    5. Re: The devil is in the details by SharpFang · · Score: 1

      Lots of them were made redundant by satellites. There are increasingly fewer climate-related measurements that require local presence instead of a satellite measurement.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    6. Re:The devil is in the details by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Invalidated would be more accurate. Recent study (last week) said models couldn't hindcast anything. The article even took the risk of asking the question if they don't hindcast anything that goes into temperature how can we trust the temperatures? Oh I don't know because we believe al gore?

  38. What scientists do by XXongo · · Score: 4, Informative

    So tell me, what do yuo consider science?

    Taking data, analyzing data, making models, verifying models, refining models, taking more data, taking more data.

    All the stuff that climate scientists actually do, and climate deniers don't.

    1. Re:What scientists do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That sounds like engineering, or accounting. Where is the hypothesis part of the equation?

    2. Re:What scientists do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is actually statistics and mathematics. None of that is actually science.

    3. Re:What scientists do by lgw · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Except that "verifying models" step. None of the climate models are making better predictions than the null hypothesis, or for that matter than the "lgw blindly asserting it's getting colder" model. Global temperatures have been remarkably steady for the past 19 years or so, and while that's within the error bars for most of these models, it's better predicted by the null hypothesis, and within the error bars if you take any of these models and put a "-" in front on their predicted temperature change. So, yeah, the negative of the models predicts as well as the models right now.

      Not an argument that they're all wrong, but an argument that there's no reason to think any particular one is right, either. The "science" part is ongoing, but hasn't verified any of the models.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    4. Re:What scientists do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Horseshit. CO2 is rising. By simple laws of radiative physics this must result in warming. What alternate possibility do you imagine exists? You're not allowed to discount physics and just say, "Probably nothing is happening, guys." We have ruled out the alternatives for over 100 years now. Frankly I don't even want to hear what you think might be happening, the only possible answer to certain facts is delusion.

    5. Re:What scientists do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What about this scientist http://www.drroyspencer.com/ ?

    6. Re:What scientists do by lgw · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Horseshit. CO2 is rising. By simple laws of radiative physics this must result in warming. What alternate possibility do you imagine exists?

      No one is debating how CO2 works. What's the cost-benefit analysis on human action going forward? What are the feedback loops, in both directions, and how much does this matter? What's the dominant factor in determining future temperatures on Earth? (Hint: it's yellow)

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    7. Re:What scientists do by Sir+Holo · · Score: 1

      So tell me, what do yuo consider science?

      Taking data, analyzing data, making models, verifying models, refining models, taking more data, taking more data.

      All the stuff that climate scientists actually do, and climate deniers don't.

      Small correction. The scientific process runs basically like this:

      01 -- Conjecture.
      02 -- Develop into Hypothesis.
      03 -- Test it (run an experiment —Probe and Measure to see if its Prediction is accurate or not).
      04 -- If results do not conflict hypothesis, you probably go Test it in a different way.
      05 -- Publish the Work, so others can Test it.
      06 -- Over time, develop a Model based on Results of Tests (experiments – probing and measuring).
      07 -- Extend or Refine the Model.
      08 -- Test it again.
      09 -- Repeat.
      10 -- Once the Model has survived Testing of many types, it can now be considered a Theory.
      11 -- Theories result from an array of verified predictions relating to a greater whole.
      12 -- Publish it!!! Everyone continues to Test it.
      13 -- Scientists in the discipline Refine the Model and its Theory over time.
      14 -- One day, eventually, a Breakthrough Discovery will be Reported. This really excites scientists!
      15 -- Apply the above steps to any Reported Breakthrough. In the end, Truth will win out.

      The Australian government's decision is akin to someone saying, 150 years ago, "Everything has been discovered already. There is nothing new to be found."

    8. Re: What scientists do by GodelEscherBlecch · · Score: 1

      What's the dominant factor in determining future temperatures on Earth? (Hint: it's yellow)

      Are you suggesting that changes in the sun's output will cause more temperature variability than changes in the thermal retention of our atmosphere over the next 100 years?

    9. Re:What scientists do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Horsepiss?

    10. Re: What scientists do by lgw · · Score: 1

      Yes. Not just me, actual climate scientists have put forward the idea that the fact that all the models have been running hot for the past 19 year is due to solar variance (claiming it will soon return to normal and validate their models, of course, but they don't model the Sun).

      We are as certain as we are of anything climate-wise that solar variation drives the 100k year glaciation cycle of the current ice age. And these changes happen fast, relative to the 100k year cycle. The relative stability of the climate for the past 10k years is an unexplained anomaly in the temperature record (check out the ice core data, if you like looking at real data).

      The point is, no one knows why the glaciers have retreated for so long. Where I sit has been under kilometers of ice for most of the past 2.5 million years, with fairly brief ground exposure every 100k years. But the past 10k years were unique in the ice core data - temperatures didn't drop after spiking.

      Are we overdue for a massive, rapid drop back to normal? Are we leaving the ice age? In either direction, solar activity is a bigger driver than the CO2 levels we're talking about, and changes seem to happen quite fast: just a few centuries. (It doesn't take much: a 6% drop in solar activity is hypothesized to have caused the "snowball Earth", where the entire Earth, excepting a few geothermal spots, was under ice - the biggest extinction event since the oxygen catastrophe).

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    11. Re: What scientists do by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      6% is massive. Peak-to-peak solar variation is on the order of .1%. The trend during the so-called "Pause" was down, not up. Solar output over the time we have been able to measure it has been constant. Try again.

    12. Re: What scientists do by lgw · · Score: 1

      Yes, the trend was down. That's what I said. The explanation for "the Pause" was that Solar output fell, and that matched the amount the CO2-based warming rose. That's my point above: that Solar changes can be bigger than CO2-driven changes, to judge by the historical data of the past 800,000 years.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    13. Re:What scientists do by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      No one is debating how CO2 works. What's the cost-benefit analysis on human action going forward? What are the feedback loops, in both directions, and how much does this matter?

      Concisely summarized.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    14. Re:What scientists do by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      What's the cost-benefit analysis on human action going forward?

      You are right. We need politicians to actually start making policy decisions based on cost-benefit analysis, using the error bars that scientists provide them. Just like insurance companies have been doing concerning climate change for the last 20 years.

      However, it is really hard to get politicians debating what, if anything, to do about our increasing levels of CO2, when people say things like this, with no context:

      Global temperatures have been remarkably steady for the past 19 years or so

      https://www.climate.gov/news-features/climate-qa/why-did-earth’s-surface-temperature-stop-rising-past-decade

  39. I see no reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    why the Australian government should fund the opposition under the guise of science. Great move Australia!

  40. Climate Denialism funded entirely by Koch by WOOFYGOOFY · · Score: 0

    The fact is that the world and the US DID have a consensus regarding human-induced climate change prior to the Koch brothers injection of denialism into the public discussion. You have only to read some of the eexhaustive and authoritative books available to you : Dark Money, Merchant of Doubt Doubt Is Their Product and The Hockey Stick And The Climate Wars to understand therehas been a deliberate coordinated attack on climate science and climate scientists for the express purpose of deferring and delaying action on climate change. The Koch brothers own study told them the mainstream science was correct, and they buried that study.

    http://thinkprogress.org/clima...

    Alright then. What are we really looking at? We are looking at a group of terrorists who have built and set off a bomb called global climate warming with the specific intent of handing the world's governments- which governments they have openly called for the desmantling and destruction of- a problem so large they will not be able to cope with the fallout. They have set off a bomb which they believe will cause the collapse of the United States Government. In this they have been aided by anti-government conservatives, conservative moevements, conservative think tanks, other conservative billionaires, all stripes of conservative publications, editors writers and bloggers. Each and everyone of is a terrorist or a supporter of terorism and the result of those terrrorist activities is hundreds of millions dead and condemend to death the permanent destrcution of the habitiblity of large portions of the Earth , mass envrionmentally caused political upheaval, population dislocation wars and diseases taking the lives of yet hundrends of millions more.

    Those are crimes. Those are crimes so vast, the criminals believe they can never be charged with them. The criminals believe they will not be held accountable. The criminals believe there are too many of them to be prosecuted and their actions resemble too closely mere opinion offering to ever be labled as crimes.

    I'll give them this- their plan to radically deconstrcut then reconstrcut the American government is going to suceeded beyone their wildest dreams. Because under our pre-Global Warming system of government, they would have gotten away with everything. But as we the afflicted, the destroyed, the people forced to live under the New Koch-Inflicted Reality, we the victims of Scalia and Thomas and Americans for Prosperity and the Wall Street Journal and Scaife and Murdoch and Norquist and all the tens of thousands of other organizations and individuals who together joined to systematically destroy our species common heritage, our ability to sustain life human civiliation on this planet, take power they will meet a very different United States Government. They won't be facing corporate water-carrying bitch boys and and fucking house niggers like Holder and Obama. No, it'll be more like the full Black Lives Matter treatment, joined by Yellow Lives Matter and Red Lives Matter and While Lives Matter and All Lives Matter. They'll be facing real justice courtesy of the United States Government and in accordance with the United States Government's laws, served up hot and they'll be no limit to scope of their assets we'll seize, or the nooses the United States Government's courts of law will sentence them to swing from.

    In the pre-Global Warming American government, no mere opinion maker would have been put on trial for his life for "opinions" he offered. Under the post Global Warming American Government, they're very lkely find that the tolerance for mass-murder via mass-lies has been exhausted and, just as the world will witness unthinkable climatic and ecological and social events, so too the world will witness the trial of "average" citizens for Crimes Against Humanity. Let them tell the court and the wo

    1. Re:Climate Denialism funded entirely by Koch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did the Koch brothers funding also cause 18 years 8 months of no global warming?

    2. Re:Climate Denialism funded entirely by Koch by Virtucon · · Score: 1

      Blah Blah tl;dr and those pushing the fucking Climate Change agenda have their own motives, specifically to redistribute wealth globally. This has nothing to do about saving the planet it has everything to do with money.

      --
      Harrison's Postulate - "For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism"
    3. Re:Climate Denialism funded entirely by Koch by moeinvt · · Score: 1

      Damn! Why didn't anyone ever tell me that global warming *cough, cough* "CLIMATE CHANGE" was going to cause the collapse of the USA Federal government? For years I've been focused on making environmentally responsible lifestyle choices. Now you tell me that all of my time and effort has only served to prop up the government? That seriously ruins my day.

      Well, better to learn late than never. Guess I'm going to the grocery store and buying a bunch of food that has been imported from far, far away (mmmm, bananas & coconut). Next, I'm going home and cranking my thermostats up from 50F to 75F and covering up my solar panels. This weekend I'll go looking for a full sized pickup truck and start planning my first overseas vacation in 15 years.

      I was sort of the fence before, but now I am 100% convinced that global warming *cough* "CLIMATE CHANGE" is a complete hoax.

    4. Re:Climate Denialism funded entirely by Koch by WOOFYGOOFY · · Score: 1

      http://davidappell.blogspot.no...

      So, defendant Anonymous, are you familiar with the term "cherry picking?". Why don't you tell the court what you understand the the phrase "cherry picking" to mean?

      Defendant Anonymous, do you turn to the internet for information about climate change? You do? Since you know what cherry picking is and you have already described yourself as highly engaged with the topic of climate change, did you ever consider the possiblity that this statistic was itself cherry picking? Did you actively seek out disconfrirmatory evidence for this statistic?

      Defendant Anonymous, I refer you to your posting on Slashdot Mar 2012 where you directly accused a poster of cherry picking his statistic. So you were well aware not only of the concept fo cherry picking but that cherry picking was used in the climate change debate....

      Defandant Anonymous, I present to you a graph posted by a fellow poster WoofyGoofy in rebuttal to a comment you made describing "no climate change in nearly 19 years", do you recognize that graph? Would you say that that graph describes an instance of cherry picking? Speka up Defandant Anonymous.

      Defendant Anonymous, were you aware of what people said the consequences of global warming would be upon hundreds of millions of people, if it were true? Speak up so the court can hear you Defendant Anonymous. Yes you were? And yet, you continued to post statements as facts , statements which a reasonably prudent person who did not possess a wanton disregard for the truth, would have rejected as likely falsehods. Isn't that right Defendant Anonymous? By your own measure, the statements you made were most likely false, weren't they Defendant Anonymous?

      Ladies nad Gentlemen of the jury, we have here nothing more than the very description of the law under which Defendant Anonymous has been charged- Gross Negligence and a Depraved Indifference For Human Welfare With Special Circumstances.

      Ladies and Gentlement of the jury, Defendant Anonymous and millions more just like him are precisely and individually culpable for the destrcutive falsehoods they either knew or should have known they were spreading through the years 1990-2020. These were years in which the Great Climate Crisis still could have been averted save for the actions of Defendant Anonymous and his ilk, actions which displayed a Depraved Indifference to Human Welfare. Actions which they knew or shoudl have known would contribute to the millions of deaths and political upheavals we see nightly on the news. ladies and Gentlemen of the jury, the Supreme Court in 2025 had already found that each citizen, individually has and always has had an implicit, unshirkable obligation to be honest and to act in good conscience in their utterances and writings when the fate of other human beings rests in the balance of those utternaces, no matter how small a part their individual utterances and writings may have played in the ultimate fate of those fellow humans. That same ruling found that each individual can be charged with the totality of the crime to which they contributed, and that theories of so called "proportional guilt" serve only to thwart a justice which must not be thwarted.

        What we have before us here in the public postings of Defendant Anonymous is nothing less than a criminal act of the highest order, Because of Defendant Anonymous, and others soon to be tried, the Earth is where it is and there is no going back.

      Ladies and Gentleman of the jury, I submit that there is one verdict which wil serve justice, a verdict of guilty on the charge before you. Defendant Anonymous knowingly and with malice aforethought made utterances and wrote statements which he himself knew or should have known were likely false. Bring back a verdict fo guilty, and may God have mercy on his soul.

    5. Re:Climate Denialism funded entirely by Koch by WOOFYGOOFY · · Score: 1

      Know what the real difference betwen people like me and people like you is? In my worst imaginings, I give you a trial. In your best actions, you mass-murder hundreds of millions of innocent people and , thanks to the amount of Koch Libertarian crack you've shoved up your fucking nose over the years, in your life long role as a fool for billionaires' greed and indifference to human life, you aid and abet the worst crime any group of humans has ever inflicted on humanity and call it "Fweedom".

    6. Re:Climate Denialism funded entirely by Koch by WOOFYGOOFY · · Score: 1

      https://deepclimate.org/

      You know you're lying. Just admit it. Just admit that you'd rather billions of people die than you have to admit that you're a bitch boy for billionaires, a fool and the sort of low information braying self and other destructive jackass you like to proclaim others to be Admit you'd rather destroy the entire world than be shown to be wrong, because you're , you know ego-dysfunctional, weak and basically a sociopathic predator with onlya loosely-defined grip on reality, basically, you're a subhuman piece of shit.

      Just , you know, admit it. You'll feel better.

    7. Re:Climate Denialism funded entirely by Koch by Alypius · · Score: 1

      Did no one else accept your manifesto for publication? Apparently it's meds-free day on /. again. "Global warming":"Climate change"::"Comcast":"Xfinity" and for exactly the same reason.

  41. Hahaha this is great by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's nice to see the climate science fraudsters beaten at their own game. I don't even mind that they won the argument on faked and adulterated data. It's enough to me to hear someone say "fine, you keep saying the debate is over. So, I guess we don't need you anymore!" :-)

  42. I know what'll be on the Science Show by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

    I guess Robin Williams will be having a spot about this on his radio show this week. It's a pretty good show from the Australian Broadcasting Corporation and can be found at http://www.abc.net.au/radionat....

  43. Re:...and they wonder why Slashdot is dying by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You kidding? Give this article a full week and come back and look at it again. This is going to get tons of people to respond. Your geek crap like that overclocking article will hardly be at 20% of the total number of clicks and comments that this one will gain.

    Political ramblings, religion bashing and fanboy traps is what pays the bills around Slashdot. Real tech is nice to see but hardly even keeps this site above water.

  44. What if the change is changing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Even if the change (non-zero temperature derivative) is accepted,
    the change could be changing (2nd derivative)...

  45. Own opinions, not ignore facts. Mars ice caps melt by raymorris · · Score: 2

    The fact is, the ice caps are Mars are indeed melting. Look at the data yourself. You're entitled to your own opinion about what we should do about that, if anything, but the fact is each time we send a probe to Mars, the ice caps there are smaller. The principal investigator for the Mars Orbiter Camera, Michael Malin, says the martian polar ice cap is shrinking at "a prodigious rate." You can look for yourself and compare the pictures even from 1999-2005; it's visibly noticeable even in that short time frame.

    We also know that Jupiter, Titan, and Pluto are warming.

    So again, the question is "how much of the long-term trend on earth is attributable to the same causes that are occurring throughout the rest of the solar system?" the best estimate I know of is "probably about 30%, but maybe half that, maybe twice that."

  46. What is, what isn't known by XXongo · · Score: 1

    Settled science: Energy is supplied to our planet from the sun. The entire planet loses energy to space. Our atmosphere dictates the rate at which this energy is lost.

    Yep.

    Not Settled Science: What is the rate at which this energy is lost,

    That's extremely well known.

    and what is the quantitative change to this rate when CO2 concentration is increased or decreased.

    Error bars on that are currently a factor of plus or minus fifty percent.

    Not Settled Science: What are all the effects, good and bad, that an increase of CO2 in our atmosphere will have.

    Right. That is a much harder question than global average temperature, and the more detail you want, the more this question needs work.

    Not Settled Science: Increased CO2 and a warmer atmosphere are a bad thing and should be prevented.

    "bad" tends to be a judgement call-- you could call this an engineering trade-off, but it's not really a science question. And "should" is a social (which is to say, political) decision, not science at all.

  47. schadenfreude by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >No doubt many will experience a case of schadenfreude as they see those who have long claimed "the science is settled"
    > face the inevitable and logical consequence of that stance.

    Brainwashed, anti-scientific Conservatives may choose to respond with glee, but that's just because they're deeply stupid, and participate in a subculture that wants so badly for their propaganda to be true, that they find knowledge repulsive.
     
    This destroyed the wingnut talking point that scientists are just in it for the grant money, so we should trust oil-company shills instead.

  48. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    And, since we know Mars and Venus are also getting warmer, it must be the Martian's fault.

    If I'm getting warmer because of a fever, and the chicken breast in my oven is also getting warmer, they must be related or neither is really getting warmer. CHECKMATE AL GORE!

    Delete your account you stupid fuck.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
  49. Re:Occam's Razor - Things are about to get very ba by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To be more precise, there are enough scientists around that describe a worse situation, but the government is removing support for the ones it had more control over because it fears a paradigm shift that lets it loose control. Now I really wonder why Australia should be like a large Florida, it can hardly get more dry.

  50. If not Australia, then who? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The only thing that is settled is that a majority of scientists agree that the surface atmosphere is getting a bit warmer and mankind is partly responsible.
    This leaves the big question of understanding the system and planning a course of action other than the green's knee jerk reaction of going back to the stone age.

    Building the models to understand this requires continuous measurements over long periods of time.
    Unless you wish to move to another planet, this seems like table stakes for living here in the style to which we are accustomed.
    Sadly, some short sighted folks in Australia decided that this is not something worth doing, because there is no immediate commercial gain.

    If not Australia, then who else?
    The choices for folks able able to step up to the plate and do this work in the Southern Hemisphere seems limited.
    On the other hand, the actual number of scientists involved may be small enough so that another country can take this on?

  51. What do you think is the cause? Why not earth? by raymorris · · Score: 1

    What, exactly, do you think would cause the other planets to warm, and not have the same effect on earth?

    > Delete your account you stupid fuck.

    I certainly understand that it can be quite uncomfortable, once you've picked a team and become a fan, to have clear, indisputable facts get in the way of your team's political puffery; you've invested some significant self-esteem into the idea that Al Gore was telling you the truth. Unfortunately, facts are what they are.

    If -something- is warming the other planets, is there any reason earth should be special and be unaffected? Or is it more likely that earth, just like the rest of the solar system, is affected too, and a politician exaggerated the human-caused portion for -gasp- political purposes.

    I kind of feel for you, for what you'll likely go through soon, because I think you're too smart to be a lemming to Gore and now Hilary. I don't think they'll keep you fooled for much longer, because you're not stupid. That will be painful, though, coming to accept that just as Santa Claus doesn't exist, Gore and Clinton are just another pair of wealthy politicians, who say whatever polls well with the masses.

    1. Re:What do you think is the cause? Why not earth? by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

      Are you actually serious that you can't think of anything that can cause one planet to warm without causing other to follow suit? It seems like just 10 seconds of thought is all that is needed to think this through, so you must be trolling. Perhaps I am just falling for a subtle troll then.

      Imagine this. . . Mars is approaching its perihelion (the point in its orbit where it is closest to the sun). Then Mars would get warmer, but if Earth was leaving its perihelion then it would be getting colder at the same time.

      With quick thought you might also come up with volcano action, greenhouse effects, radioactive elements, bombardment by astroids, or world-wide wild fires. It isn't that complicated!

      --

      -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  52. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    And, since we know Mars and Venus are also getting warmer, ...

    Oh please, cite the data that shows Mars and Venus are getting warmer. All I ever hear is the claim without any data to back it up.

  53. OK, science is settled, now do something about it by blindseer · · Score: 1

    Let's assume that the claim is true, we've studied the problem sufficiently to the point that we understand the problem and therefore our need for people to work on climate models and so forth is diminished. Let's also assume that while we can do away with some climate studies we cannot end it completely since we will need to monitor progress and guide policy.

    So, what should we do? It seems that many of the people in positions of power talk a lot about doing an "all of the above" approach. This means doing anything and everything that can possibly reduce our carbon output. We've seen PSAs telling us to turn off the lights in rooms we aren't using and to turn off the tap while brushing our teeth. We've seen government subsidies for solar panels, windmills, corn ethanol, and electric cars. What's missing here? IMHO, we've got government support for every tactic to fight global warming except the one that has the best chance to reduce our carbon output with the least cost and smallest impact on our daily lives.

    That solution is nuclear power.

    Any politician that claims that the government needs to fund this and support that and ignores nuclear power is not serious about the problem. This tends to lead me to think that global warming is not the problem that they claim. It also doesn't help that they'll chide me for driving my light truck while they fly in jet planes all over the world. They have a meeting of the world powers on how to combat our carbon output, flying all these people there to meet, and all they've agreed to do is meet again in five years to talk about it some more.

    I thought global warming was the greatest threat this nation, and this planet, has ever faced. Yet these people don't seem to be acting like it is.

    I'm not convinced that global warming is a problem based only on the actions of the people with the ability to have the greatest effect on the carbon our modern society produces. If these people were convinced on the problem we faced then we'd see them talking about nuclear power. If they cannot bring themselves to bring up nuclear power as part of the "all the above" strategy to fight global warming then I can only conclude that they fear losing votes more than they fear the end of civilization. A true believer would not be concerned about the next election, they'd be concerned about the next century.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  54. Economics is a social science by sjbe · · Score: 0

    Economists are not scientists.

    Careful there. Some economists can very accurately be called scientists because they use the scientific method and economics is quite properly categorized as a social science. These economists establish hypothesis, build models, conduct experiments against these models, etc. That IS science. The fact that it relates to human interactions does not change that fact, nor does the fact that some of their research involves difficult to analyze phenomena. Now there are also economists whose work has little or nothing to do with the scientific method but you shouldn't paint with too broad of a brush.

    Better to have parapsychologists than economists. At least the parapsychologists have a little bit of rigor in their discipline.

    I'm guessing you don't actually know any real economists.

    1. Re:Economics is a social science by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Some economists can very accurately be called scientists because they use the scientific method and economics is quite properly categorized as a social science.

      If this is enough for you to say Economics is a science, then it is the softest science of all. Parapsychology (and I'm absolutely serious about this), is based more on data and scientific rigor than economics. Psychology is many times more rigorous than Economics. Fucking Gender Studies is more rigorous and data-based than Economics.

      I'm guessing you don't actually know any real economists.

      I am probably the only Slashdot user who has actually taken a course from Milton Friedman. My views on the pseudoscience of Economics is based on 30 years experience having economists as colleagues, friends, neighbors and lunchmates. I have played in a weekly poker game with economists. I lived next door to a Nobel-nominated economist for years back in Chicago. I watched Superbowl XLI with him and had to explain what it means to arbitrage a point spread that has moved 10 points.

      Plus, if you read any Economics articles, you will find that their math is very unimpressive, and even suspect.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    2. Re:Economics is a social science by lorinc · · Score: 1

      I'm guessing you don't actually know any real economists.

      I suppose you don't consider Friedrich Hayek as a real economist, even though he got the nobel. Because, you may have noticed many of his bold predictions are now revealed for what they were: a political agenda and not actual science.

    3. Re:Economics is a social science by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      In the same vein the TV weatherman is not a climate scientist, in many cases they are not even a meteorologist, and some of them are women!

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    4. Re:Economics is a social science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's what happens anytime you get into the theoretical and out of the tangible. The details have to come from somewhere and so we suppose what we don't know from what we do. Sometimes that supposition is correct, but often times it isn't because we don't know what we don't know.

    5. Re:Economics is a social science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Freshwater economics (e.g University of Chicago) is very different from saltwater economics (e.g. MIT).

    6. Re:Economics is a social science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Non-winning Nobel nominees are not revealed for 50 years. http://www.nobelprize.org/nomination/economic-sciences/index.html

      The first award in economics was 1969. So you're at least exaggerating your expertise. More likely that you're entirely full of it.

    7. Re:Economics is a social science by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Non-winning Nobel nominees are not revealed for 50 years

      I know the people who nominated him.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    8. Re:Economics is a social science by alexgieg · · Score: 1

      Because, you may have noticed many of his bold predictions are now revealed for what they were: a political agenda and not actual science.

      Even if they aligned pretty well with political agendas, that doesn't by itself make them false. Keynesianism aligns well with political agendas. Marxism aligns well with political agendas. Climate change aligns well. Climate denialism aligns well. Anything in science can align or misalign well.

      So, what did those predictions come to? Did they hit? Or did they miss? That's the only question that matters.

      By the way: von Mises predicted 70 years in advance the results of the Russian economic planification experiment. His predictions aligned with libertarian political agendas. They came right all the same. If anything, that (and Hayek's) suggest libertarian political agendas have something more to them.

      --
      Conservatism: (n.) love of the existing evils. Liberalism: (n.) desire to substitute new evils for the existing ones.
  55. (jumps in) by CaptnCrud · · Score: 1

    ...and leon's getting LLarrrrrgerrrrrrrr..(jumps away)

  56. Reducing the carbon footprint... by zkiwi34 · · Score: 1

    By reducing the number of people hitching a ride on the gravy train. Heh

  57. Science reporting by sjbe · · Score: 2

    But the press likes disaster stories.

    Yes they do and in general the popular press is REALLY bad at science reporting. I've had a few direct interactions with science reporters for our local paper and holy cow they were a bunch of idiots. They mostly have NO training in the scientific method, their knowledge of technology and science is severely lacking, and they ask incredibly stupid questions and misunderstand the answers. Worse they often come in with an agenda about what they are going to report about and will twist any facts you give them to suit their narrative. The only exceptions I've run into is if you get one of the reporters for a big paper like the New York Times or (obviously) one of the actual science journals. But that's rare. Local TV news are the worst of them all. Bunch of borderline retarded talking heads them...

    I used to work at a tech center where we had all sorts of cool machines. Lasers, rapid prototyping, CAE, engine dynos, virtual reality, etc. Very cool stuff and visually interesting too. So they wanted to take pictures which is great. One of these idiots points at the wall where he sees a bunch of blinking lights and asks what that machine does because he thinks it would be a cool picture. We gently mentioned that, ahem... our air conditioning control panel was about the least interesting thing in the building. The guy didn't even have the brains to act embarrassed.

    1. Re:Science reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, for a "Funny AND Insightful" moderation...

  58. Dogma by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    comes in all forms. :(

  59. Since the Science is Settled by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

    Since the science is settled, now we can look to see the Australian government start slashing spending on fossil fuels, getting rid of bureaucracies and governmental subsidies that enable and support the mining, production, distribution, and sale of fossil fuels and taxing the fossil fuels industry to death. It is a glorious day in Australia, unless of course they plan on ignoring the settled aspect of the science for all but the fired scientists and continue on with business as usual.

    One can't help but wonder with so many questions still remaining in climate science as to how hot, how fast, where and who will be first to affected, by how much, etc., whether this is just a shameless ploy to limit the visibility these scientists and the science they pursue so that business as usual can simply continue without adverse publicity. Then again, perhaps it's just an effort to make sure that Australian science lags behind that of other nations and to encourage their best scientists to leave for positions abroad.

  60. Re:OK, science is settled, now do something about by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

    "and smallest impact on our daily lives"

    Yeah, I'm sure the folks living next to Fukushima and Chernobyl all feel the same way. I say scrap fission power that has no future because of the costs of the screwups (both in lives and in currency) and put any subsidies for nuclear into research into fusion power. It looks as if the Chinese, at least, have the sense enough to take this approach. In the meantime tax fossil fuels to death and use the money to implement alternative energy solutions (solar, wind, tidal), which are far more cost effective and far less politically destabilizing when total costs are considered.

  61. Settled? by MichaelKaiserProScri · · Score: 1

    Climate change is partially cyclical and partially influenced by human action. How much is which? It's unknown. We've only been observing it for 50 years or less. We've already made changes. Cleaner cars, factories, etc. How much has this helped? We don't know yet. Don't we need the answers on this to judge our progress?

  62. NASA.gov, with pics of Mars polar ice caps by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Here's some information from NASA. (Nasa.gov link below.) Many people are rightfully concerned about measuring the polar ice caps on earth. When reductions were measured in the north* that was considered major evidence of global warming. Here NASA talks about the same thing happening at a much faster rate on Mars. NASA measured the reduction at 3 meters per Mars year.

    http://mars.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...

    Again, because I think peoples passions make it hard for them to actually pay attention to what they read: this solar-system-wide phenomenon seems to account for perhaps 30% of the warming on earth, not all of it. You can still feel good about recycling paper bags.

    * on the other hand, 30% MORE ice at the south pole means nothing at all, some say. Pay attention only to the one that supports your team's politics. ;)

    1. Re:NASA.gov, with pics of Mars polar ice caps by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You can still feel good about recycling paper bags.

      No way! Burying paper bags in a landfill is how I sequester carbon from trees. I'm doing my part for the environment!

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:NASA.gov, with pics of Mars polar ice caps by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      In your link there are two observations from 1999 and 2001, about 1 Martian year apart. What about since then? Has the erosion of the Martian south polar ice cap continued? What other evidence is there in the past 15 years?

    3. Re:NASA.gov, with pics of Mars polar ice caps by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Weather is not climate.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  63. The earth orbits the sun? by mveloso · · Score: 1

    I thought that was more of a convenient frame of reference that makes things easier. The sun does not actually go around the sun, it's just more convenient to assume that the earth orbits the sun.

  64. Re:OK, science is settled, now do something about by blindseer · · Score: 1

    On a deaths per joule comparison nuclear power wins over them all by a large margin. Do you think that people don't fall from windmills and rooftop solar panels? People die.

    Also, people in Fukushima got more radiation by flying from the area than if they stayed. Chernobyl was barely a first generation reactor, it didn't have modern safety features like a containment dome. The answer to this problem is not to stop building nuclear power plants but to build more so that we can afford to decommission power plants like those at Fukushima.

    Japan shut down all their nuclear power plants for a while but were forced to restart them. This is because without nuclear power they had to resort to dirty, unsafe, and expensive coal. Wind, solar, and tidal power would cost us more in money and lives then even building more Chernobyl type power plants.

    Thankfully we don't have to build another Chernobyl, Fukushima, or Three Mile Island to keep the lights on. We can build fourth generation nuclear power, reactors that are safer, cheaper, and more reliable than even the already very safe, cheap, and reliable first and second generation reactors that caused us so much panic.

    At a minimum we should at least have some government funded research in nuclear power like we have government funded research in wind, solar, and tidal. We have much to learn on nuclear power, and claiming we cannot harness that power safely is like claiming we should not invest in Tesla motors because the Model T and Pinto were unsafe. A modern nuclear reactor would not be built like those at Fukushima.

    We can build much better nuclear power plants but we've held ourselves back because of failures of completely unrelated designs. Failures that, BTW, involved very little cost in lives and cleanup when compared to the alternatives.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  65. Controllability by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, at least you are getting to the crux of the matter. Controllability. To what optimal would you control climate over the whole globe? Climate cannot be ideal everywhere. Happy polar bears may mean drought in the Sahara. What you really need are enormous machines that belch or absorb massive amounts of CO2 on a planetary scale. But you have only crude, indirect tools of coercion through political structures. I hope this helps you see how truly crazy the whole notion of 'climate action' is.

  66. Neither logical nor inevitable by dywolf · · Score: 1

    "No doubt many will experience a case of schadenfreude as they see those who have long claimed "the science is settled" face the inevitable and logical consequence of that stance." ????

    Neither logical nor inevitable.
    The part that's settled is that its happening and at human hands.
    That doesn't mean you can just stop taking measurements, refining models, or continuing basic research.

    Stupid summary is stupid.

    --
    The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
  67. If they acted like they believed it.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The current Australian government hasn't previously acted like it believed the climate scientists. It's reasonable to be asking if there might be another motive for them to want to fire these scientists when their first action upon getting into office was to rescind a carbon taxation scheme. Saying that you believe them, while acting like you don't.. Starts to ring hollow.

  68. Re:Own opinions, not ignore facts. Mars ice caps m by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Based on experiments (with gas in tubes and lights shining through them), a doubling of CO2 will result in a ~0.9 degree increase. This is not controversial, and even skeptical climatologists accept it. It's also not very scary.

    The reason some climatologists predict a 6-12 degree warming is because of feedbacks (warming melts ice leaving dark earth behind, and dark earth absorbs more heat, etc). These feedbacks are significantly more controversial, but also more scary.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  69. Data [Re:What scientists do] by XXongo · · Score: 2, Informative

    Except that "verifying models" step. None of the climate models are making better predictions than the null hypothesis,

    About all I can say to that is "sorry, but you are wrong.".

    or for that matter than the "lgw blindly asserting it's getting colder" model. Global temperatures have been remarkably steady for the past 19 years or so,

    Sorry, but you are wrong. Here is the data from four groups on three different continents: http://www.giss.nasa.gov/resea... temperatures have not been "remarkably steady for the past 19 years or so" - they have been rising. and while that's within the error bars for most of these models, it's better predicted by the null hypothesis, and within the error bars if you take any of these models and put a "-" in front on their predicted temperature change. So, yeah, the negative of the models predicts as well as the models right now.

    Not an argument that they're all wrong, but an argument that there's no reason to think any particular one is right, either. The "science" part is ongoing, but hasn't verified any of the models.

    1. Re:Data [Re:What scientists do] by lgw · · Score: 1

      Notice from your graph that temperatures are about the same as they were 19 years ago? That's what people call "the Pause". All of the climate models run hot - the Pause wasn't predicted by any of them (but it's within the error bars, just as it's within the error bars of the null hypothesis). Data from before the models were created means nothing when it comes to verifying the models.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    2. Re:Data [Re:What scientists do] by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 1

      temperatures have not been "remarkably steady for the past 19 years or so"

      They have been compared to the previous century.

      http://woodfortrees.org/plot/h...

      Highly inconvenient, I know.

    3. Re:Data [Re:What scientists do] by XXongo · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but you are wrong. Here is the data from four groups on three different continents: http://www.giss.nasa.gov/resea... temperatures have not been "remarkably steady for the past 19 years or so" - they have been rising.

      Notice from your graph that temperatures are about the same as they were 19 years ago? That's what people call "the Pause".

      what, in the graph I linked? That's very clearly a single high data point in 1998. Tell me true, do you really look at that graph and think it's not rising? Or are you just pretending to think that?

      the Pause wasn't predicted by any of them (but it's within the error bars, just as it's within the error bars of the null hypothesis).

      Huh? It's not even close to the error bars of the null hypothesis-- the null hypothesis would be that the temperature rise is a statistical fluke, and it will drop back down to the baseline. The error bars are 0.1C, and it needs to drop by 0.6C to make the null hypothesis plausible.

      Data from before the models were created means nothing when it comes to verifying the models.

      Data from before the models were created is unnecessary to comparing the model to the actual results.

    4. Re:Data [Re:What scientists do] by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Notice from your graph that temperatures are about the same as they were 19 years ago? That's what people call "the Pause"

      If "the people" redefine a trend over time as the difference between the endpoints, and then don't even realize that the later endpoint is higher than the earlier - why would I care what those idiots think?

  70. Re:TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership)? by sycodon · · Score: 3, Informative

    The "Government" didn't sign it. Obama did.

    Without enabling legislation or ratification as a treaty, it's fancy toilet paper from a legal point of view.

    --
    When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
  71. Time to buy land by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All you need to do is figure out how MUCH the oceans will rise, and then invest in 'beach front' property at this new height. Sure, its a long term investment, but I'm betting there are some rich people who are quietly doing this now (along with setting up rescue bunkers for their families and friends).

    If I had money, this is what I would be doing now.

  72. 50C temps in major Australian cities by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    And you literally have no idea what that means.

    Sure, cut research. And then watch as your other budgets literally burn in massive fires.

    Morons.

    Stop exporting coal. There's your answer, Australia.

    Fossil fuels are dead. Fini. Over.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  73. Don't believe the hype by ferret4 · · Score: 2

    Obviously this has nothing to do with climate change science - it's an excuse for the government to justify the massive budget cuts they've forced on the CSIRO, an excuse the CSIRO are happily repeating as they know everyone will be outraged.

  74. Predictions, so far, have been accurate by XXongo · · Score: 5, Informative

    It would help if any of the climate models demonstrated some degree of predictive ability. The difference between model projections and reality have grown to ridiculous proportions.

    Let's look at that. The very first numerical greenhouse effect model was Manabe and Wetherald 1967-- That's the classic, the model from which pretty much all current climate models stem. Since the paper was submitted in 1966, that's 50 years ago-- definitely long enough to see how well the prediction worked. They predicted that the climate sensitivity to CO2 (assuming constant relative humidity) was 2.3C. Comparing that to the actual carbon dioxide, for the rise from 320 ppm to 400 ppm (here) using the Arrhenius relation, we get 0.74C for the temperature rise from 1966 to 2015. The measured temperature rise (here) is 0.7C, with the error bars in the figure 0.1C.

    Looks like not merely a good prediction, but an outstandingly accurate prediction.

    For comparison, the current IPCC 5th Assessment report estimate of sensitivity is that it is the range 1.5C to 4.5C with "high confidence", so Manabe and Wetherald's value of 2.3 is still is the range of current estimates.

    1. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by shaitand · · Score: 0

      "Looks like not merely a good prediction, but an outstandingly accurate prediction."

      Outstandingly accurate prediction? That isn't even accurate to a single decimal point over a period of merely 50 years. We are talking about a model of a system that works on geologic timescales, think billions of years. 50 years is hardly a significant sample and accuracy that didn't even extend to a single decimal place would get you laughed out of essentially any branch of real science.

      If the time shift on satellites in order had been off this much relativity would have been proven serious flawed. Last I check you need at least eight decimal places and statistically significant sample not to be laughed out of most fields.

      Pick a number between 1 and 10... any mentalist can tell you that 7 is the most likely to be picked number. So what you are telling me is that almost all models are based on a model which over a statistically insignificant timeframe, got only one digit right and that digit is the one people would have been statistically most likely to guess without even knowing what they were picking a number for.

    2. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, climate models have projected ENORMOUS warming over the last 20 years - and the empirical data does not support that, so there is a flaw in the models, perhaps an overestimate of Co2 related warming or the earth's sensitivity to Co2. Overwhelmingly the models have been demonstrably wrong.

    3. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.drroyspencer.com/

    4. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by rahvin112 · · Score: 2

      He went a little quick, as I misunderstood his statement at first too and had to reread it a couple time. Let me extract the relevant data and using that go back and re-read what he said and it might make more sense.

      The 1967 prediction for warming generates an ultimate warming value 2.3C, taking that value and using the PPM they predicted you can extract a PPM/degree C. Using that equation over 50 years where the now known change in PPM of CO2 was 320ppm to 400ppm you end up with a calculated change of 0.74C. The measured temperature rise over the same period was 0.7C, with a difference of 0.04 degrees C.

      Given that a prediction of 2.3C for the ultimate warming in the 1967 paper coincides with a current prediction of 1.5C to 4.5C, the prediction is a bit at the lower end of the error bars but it's still well within the predicted range demonstrating very good science.

    5. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by TapeCutter · · Score: 1
      Look up "polar amplification" or "stratospheric cooling", these are phenomena that were seen in models before they were observed in nature. There are about a dozen such phenomena that have been discovered via climate models.

      BTW: Climate models are based on finite element analysis, AKA numerical integration. Statistics doesn't come into it until you compare the results to historical data (hindcasting). Hindcasting is the standard method to test any FEA model, doesn't matter if you are modeling the casting of an engine block or the earth's climate.

      Last I check you need at least eight decimal places and statistically significant sample not to be laughed out of most fields.

      In cosmology and astrophysics getting a result that is within a few orders of magnitude is considered "accurate". In archeology a radioactive dating result with 10% is considered a "good result". Science isn't all about measuring the width of a proton, other than particle physics, there are actually very few scientific fields that "demand" eight decimal places of accuracy.

      The problem I have with critiques of climate models like yours is they are non-sequiturs and born from ignorance, they don't make any sense because they are sourced from MSM articles that (for political reasons) aim to convince you that modeling physical phenomena is some kind of scam that scientists are using to make money. If you want to critique the models then write a paper explaining why you need "eight nines" to convincingly demonstrate to others that the north pole is melting. There are lists of rebuttals to these fake critiques on the web, skepticalscience is one of the better ones, I'm sure you will find a few of your favorite talking points torn to shreds on that page..

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    6. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by budgenator · · Score: 1

      I have to tell you I'm suspicious of the Columbia temp chart, I think somebody has adjusted the hell out of the 1930's, probably hiding the decline there.

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    7. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The technique of refusing to believe all data that contradicts you is a good one if you want to make sure you never have to change your opinions.

      (In any case, the 1930s has nothing to do with the prediction, which is 1967 forward.)

    8. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Still, though, with an error bar of 0.1 C compared to a 0.7 C base that's almost 15% variance. That's an insane level of unpredictability.

    9. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by Stuarticus · · Score: 1

      You are so far beyond deluded that is is actually amusing if you expect it to be possible for us to build a model accurate over the next billion years. You may have noticed these strange multi celled creatures walking around since the last billion year forecast was made. Or maybe you don't believe in evolution so you think it's OK to assume everything will be the same then?

      --
      If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
    10. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2.3C? My god, that will mean we'll be up to almost 7C below the average of the last 300 million years! How will life survive?

    11. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by shaitand · · Score: 1

      "The problem I have with critiques of climate models like yours is they are non-sequiturs and born from ignorance, they don't make any sense because they are sourced from MSM articles that (for political reasons) aim to convince you that modeling physical phenomena is some kind of scam that scientists are using to make money."

      Woah, that is a number of rather fantastic leaps.

      First you claim my argument is a non-sequitur. My argument is that the model is not accurate enough to qualify as hard science. My premises are that the sample size of 50 years is not a statistically significant sample of billions of years of behavior. That premise does indeed seem to relate to my conclusion in that demonstrates the evidence supporting the model is not statistically significant. My next premise is that the model proved to be accurate to only a single decimal place meaning there was a 10% chance of having reached an equally correct answer by purely random number generation or guessing. That premise also supports my conclusion. My final premise was that the answer the model predicted, 7, is also statistically the answer most likely to be guessed by random laymen meaning an actual human being making a guess had a far greater than 10% chance of giving a result as accurate as this model. Now, you may attack my premises but the argument present is valid and of correct structure therefore not a non-sequitur.

      "Hindcasting is the standard method to test any FEA model, doesn't matter if you are modeling the casting of an engine block or the earth's climate."

      Indeed, and in the case of climate what you lack is a sound statistically significant sample of reliable historical data. Your examples of other areas of science where massive variance is still considered an accurate result share this common problem they all lack a statistically significant set of reliable data upon which to base their models. Just because it's the best you can do with what you have to work with and can be better than nothing or even useful for some purposes doesn't mean you start pretending the results of those models or any model in those fields shouldn't be taken with greater skepticism than more exact sciences. Some fields are vast enough that there are both flavors of science within them with certain types of models providing very exact results and other models being best effort so far but you shouldn't exactly go killing your child to prevent a more horrible consequence predicted by one.

      Your own argument is a non-sequitor. I have no idea what "MSM articles" refers to. I have not stated any sort of political agenda in this thread although in others I've stated that rather than trying to convince everyone to behave differently climate models indicate it is too late for this to resolve the issue whether humans are the cause or not. So elsewhere I have suggested this should be treated as an engineering problem and we need not only combat the largest sources of greenhouse gas emissions (which are natural) for the biggest bang for the buck but we must engineer mass scale sequestering technologies which likely means GMOs. Introducing methane processing GMO gut bacteria in livestock also seems like a reasonable action to me. Why do I suggest taking these actions when I think our climate models lack a high degree of certainty? Because they still remain the best guess we have and the risks of heeding it are low while the consequences of failing to do and it proving to be any level of correct are devastating.

      "If you want to critique the models then write a paper explaining why you need "eight nines" to convincingly demonstrate to others that the north pole is melting."

      Why would I do that? That is a strawman, I'm arguing you need greater precision to demonstrate the validity of your model before it can be trusted with a reasonable degree of certainty. Climate models aren't needed to show the poles are melting or that the earth is getting warmer.

      Demonstrating that the Earth's climate is changing and the poles are meltin

    12. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by budgenator · · Score: 1

      Go to IPCC 5th Assessment report, chapter 9, page 28, graph (a) Observed and CHIMP5 Simulated Global Mean Surface Air Temperature, you'll see that there is at least a .3C difference between the CHIMP5 model mean and HADCrut4 and GISTEMP. Most consider the period of 1951 to 1980 to be the global average temperature baseline which has a value of 14 degrees Celsius and 2015 has warmed a supposed 0.98C that gives 0.3/0.98*100= 30.6% error!

      I have problems excepting a 30% errors as predictive value

      --
      Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
    13. Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate by XXongo · · Score: 1
      Thanks for actually quoting real data! Nice to see a discussion based on the actual science.

      Go to IPCC 5th Assessment report, chapter 9, page 28, graph (a) Observed and CHIMP5 Simulated Global Mean Surface Air Temperature, you'll see that there is at least a .3C difference between the CHIMP5 model mean and HADCrut4 and GISTEMP. Most consider the period of 1951 to 1980 to be the global average temperature baseline which has a value of 14 degrees Celsius and 2015 has warmed a supposed 0.98C that gives 0.3/0.98*100= 30.6% error!

      I have problems excepting a 30% errors as predictive value

      Wow, first I have to say, your catachresis is absolutely brilliant. "I can't accept the error, because it would except the error."

      The quoted error bars on the climate prediction are plus or minus 50 percent. So, you are just saying that the quoted error bars mimic the difference in models.

      Yep. The graph you refer to compares the results of 40 cases from 23 different models. The overall trend is clear-- up-- but different models vary on how much.

      When people agree with the science of global warming, that is not excepted: the error bars are part of the science.

  75. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    mars and venus both have climates driven by completely different mechanics than the earth.

    venus is a runaway greenhouse effect, with an atmosphere composed of something like 99% CO2, at a pressure many times that of earths atmosphere.

    mars is also a mostly CO2 atmosphere, >95%, but its atmosphere is less than 0.001% the volume of earth's. its atmospheric content is not the driving factor in its climate. rather its the dust and planetary albedo.

    on earth we have a totally different mechanic where the biggest factor in climate is water vapor, that exists in a perpetual equilibrium cycle as it evaporates out of the oceans and condenses into precipitation. Water vapor is the single biggest greenhouse gas in out atmosphere, but it general exists in equilibrium. what we've found though is that other GH gases can affect that cycle causing a feebback loop that results in more and more water vapor trapped in the atmosphere further retiaing more heat in the atmospehere.

  76. Umm, yeah, they sure seem to want that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The IPCC papers cannot go more than a few sentences without throwing in something about income inequality, rich country vs poor countries, redistribution...

    Climate change may be a serious issue, and it may impact people (countries) with differing income and wealth differently, and it is obviously intertiwned with economic issues--i.e., developed countries produce more carbon dioxide than undeveloped ones--but the climate change science is rapidly taking a backseat to the goals of SJWs.

    One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy.

    (OTTMAR EDENHOFER, UN IPCC OFFICIAL): That will change immediately if global emission rights are distributed. If this happens, on a per capita basis, then Africa will be the big winner, and huge amounts of money will flow there. This will have enormous implications for development policy. And it will raise the question if these countries can deal responsibly with so much money at all.

    (EDENHOFER): Basically it's a big mistake to discuss climate policy separately from the major themes of globalization. The climate summit in Cancun at the end of the month is not a climate conference, but one of the largest economic conferences since the Second World War.

    (EDENHOFER): First of all, developed countries have basically expropriated the atmosphere of the world community. But one must say clearly that we redistribute de facto the world's wealth by climate policy. Obviously, the owners of coal and oil will not be enthusiastic about this. One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has almost nothing to do with environmental policy anymore, with problems such as deforestation or the ozone hole.

    http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports...

    Economic development in B1 is balanced, and efforts to achieve equitable income distribution are effective. As in A1, the B1 storyline describes a fast-changing and convergent world, but the priorities differ. Whereas the A1 world invests its gains from increased productivity and know-how primarily in further economic growth, the B1 world invests a large part of its gains in improved efficiency of resource use ("dematerialization"), equity, social institutions, and environmental protection.
    A strong welfare net prevents social exclusion on the basis of poverty.

    http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports...

    The distributional dimension of global poverty was illustrated vividly by the Human Development Report 1989 (UNDP, 1989), in the form that has come to be known as the champagne glass (Figure 1.4). This representation of global income distribution shows that in 1988 the richest fifth of the world’s population received 82.7% of the global income, which is nearly 60 times the share of the income received by the poorest fifth (1.4%). More recent statistics indicate that inequality has widened further since then and that in 1999 the richest quintile received 80 times the income earned by the poorest quintile (UNDP, 1999).

  77. Comedy by alexibu · · Score: 2

    "Because the science is settled, there is no need for more basic research, the government says." Before enjoying your schedenfraude, realise that this has been organized by political forces who think 'climate change is crap' and have dismantled as many government agencies with responsibilities in this area as they can. Justifying these cuts with 'the science is settled' is disingenuous to a comic extreme.

  78. Some missing detail.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The CSIRO well retain the same number of staff and scientists, they are simply culling one department and expanding others.

    The oceans and atmospheric global warming department is only getting cut by 35 and will retain over 300 employees. They are cutting jobs that were focused on research for "awareness" of global warming and "psychological study" (often about of deniers etc.).

    The cut jobs are being replaced them with field jobs. For example they are massively increasing the number of scientists at Antarctic research stations and other fields science stations. They are also increasing tech research into green technology and other mitigation techniques.

    The howling from universities is because many departments have used "awareness" as an excuse for existence for a long time, and many of the people in global warming departments don't do anything involving measuring, forecasting, or mitigating warning. Rather they ate involved in purely awareness activities and other social sciences about the public perception of warming.

  79. Re:Own opinions, not ignore facts. Mars ice caps m by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "My greenhouse is warmer than the outside. But the outside is also warmer than it was last night. Therefore, the greenhouse isn't doing anything"

  80. Shark attacks in New York by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  81. TL;DR - the Why of it by tgrigsby · · Score: 4, Informative

    It isn't until you get to the last paragraph that TFA finally gives you the underlying cause of this astonishingly shortsighted and imminently disastrous decision:


    • “Climate science becomes secondary to business; business comes first ,” Spash said. “The interests of the corporate sector, of the mining and resource extraction industry, are primary in Australia.”

    So there you have it. The ability to make money trumps EVERYTHING. Kind of answers the question of why we never see aliens. If all intelligent species tend towards a capitalist society, they all end up committing environmental suicide.

    --
    *** *** You're just jealous 'cause the voices talk to me... ***
    1. Re:TL;DR - the Why of it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, that's what happens when you put a fucking venture capitalist in charge of the CSIRO.

  82. bwhahahhaha by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I call this karma, cosmic justice is served, how does it taste you corrupt bastards?

  83. Go nuclear by XXongo · · Score: 1

    That solution is nuclear power.

    Any politician that claims that the government needs to fund this and support that and ignores nuclear power is not serious about the problem. This tends to lead me to think that global warming is not the problem that they claim.

    Barack Obama (October 2007, before becoming president): ”It is unlikely that we can meet our aggressive climate goals if we eliminate nuclear power from the table.“
    (2009, after becoming president): "We must harness the power of nuclear energy on behalf of our efforts to combat climate change.” (citation)

    James Hansen (probably the most famous of the climate activists), 2013:
    "We call on your organization to support the development and deployment of safer nuclear power systems as a practical means of addressing the climate change problem... in the real world there is no credible path to climate stabilization that does not include a substantial role for nuclear power." (citation)

  84. Australia matters little in the big picture. by dsmatthews9379 · · Score: 1

    The probability of less that 25 million people coming up with anything so good or so bad that it has a significant impact on the lives of the other +7.1 billion is small.

    So leave them to deal with their financial problems as they see fit and worry about what the rest of humanity is, or isn't doing because the actions of those vast masses will be far more influential.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    http://www.treasury.gov.au/Pub...

  85. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by budgenator · · Score: 1

    A) How much of the change is likely to be caused by which of the several known factors, and potentially unknown factors?

    You will never find out with the present crew of Climatologists, everybody wants a mention in the big game, an IPCC Assessment Report, and the IPCC's mission is to access anthropologically caused global change through CO2 release anything else is outside their purview.

    --
    Apocalypse Cancelled, Sorry, No Ticket Refunds
  86. look on the bright side by superwiz · · Score: 1

    If the science is solid, then if a new set of scientists look at the same inquiry in the future, they'll come up with the same results. I mean, Galois theory is valid despite Galois getting killed in a political duel. If the theory can be rediscovered by people not mentored (and thus biased) by the original discovers, it will have that much more scientific footing.

    --
    Any guest worker system is indistinguishable from indentured servitude.
  87. We no longer have scientist looking if earth is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Flat.

  88. Re:OK, science is settled, now do something about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's funny how nuke fan deniers can so readily accuse independant scientists of corruption due to grants, then in the same breath claim no clear is safe because scientists employed by nuclear industries told them so.
    Laughably hypocritical.

  89. Politicians following the native inhabitants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Politicians seem to be following the native inhabitants by sticking the heads in the sand, maybe if you ignore the problem it will go away.

  90. dumbass politicians by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    Too stupid to have understood the basics of this science when it was realized 30-odd years ago.
    Too stupid to have acknowledged the scientific consensus til it (and fires, droughts, cyclones) was hitting them over the head.
    Too stupid to manage their own government science program, believing there was only one simple question, and it's answered already.
    Dumb. Dumber. Dumbest. Are these the only choices we can elect?

    Why is that exactly?
    Why is above average intelligence and knowledge with a tinge of reality-bias not a prized attribute when we select our national leadership?

    Do we follow some principle of not wanting to elect someone smarter than ourselves because, who knows what they might get up to that would just go right over my head? Instead, we seem to be way more comfortable electing "Joe nice bloke down the pub. Solid handshake on 'im.". What gives?

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  91. This is nothing to do with the science... by aXis100 · · Score: 1

    and all about the politics.

    This is just another salvo in our current (right wing) government's attacks on science and environment in this country. It's hard to fathom why, existing projects were doing great research and delivering profitable discoveries.

    Over past two years there have been massive cuts across the technology sector, including:
    - $300 million cut to Sustainable Research Excellence at universities
    - $115 million cut to CSIRO
    - $75 million cut to Australian Research Council
    - $107 million cut to Cooperative Research Centres
    - $8 million cut to Australian Institute of Marine Science
    - $28 million cut to Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation
    - $16 million cut to Geoscience Australia
    - $120 million cut to Defence Science and Technology

    Over 1400 jobs have been lost at the CSIRO (the guys who invented the main technologies behind WiFi), and to add insult to injury we didnt even have a Science Minister in our government cabinet for several years there.

    And on the environment:
    - abolished the carbon tax
    - wound back renewable energy targets
    - abolished the Climate Commission
    - attempted to abolish the Clean Energy Finance Corporation and the Renewable Energy Agency, and recently prevented them investing in mainstream wind / solar
    - defunded the environmental defenders office

    Meanwhile, they repealed a mining tax and wanted to drop the company tax rate. They also wanted to sink $244 million into a non-secular school chaplain program, but the high court ruled it was invalid.

    You can see where this is going yeah?

  92. This is AWESOME by MakersDirector · · Score: 0

    WTG Australia!

    I mean that in the kindest way.I could not agree more with your decision!

  93. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mars briefly got warmer because a global dust storm turned up the surface dirt making mars darker, I don't know where you got Venus from, Pluto was the other planet climate change denies like to reference, which is just dumb, Pluto's orbit goes in and out of the orbit of Neptune, so yes its been getting warmer because it been at its closest to the sun. If the sun was responsible for the extra heat then all or most of the planet/minor planets should be getting warmer not just a cherry picked 2, Uranus has been getting cooler, for reason nobody knows.

  94. Thanks for the info by raymorris · · Score: 1

    That's interesting, thanks.

    1. Re:Thanks for the info by phantomfive · · Score: 1
      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  95. A Clear & Simple Explanation for Everyone by Sir+Holo · · Score: 1

    FACT: Reading a thermometer is not 'theory". It is a Reading, producing a Fact (a piece of Data).

    Scientists have made such temperature Readings millions of times, over many, many years (more like 10E5 years). Plot that data and it is still not a "theory" – just the display of a Collection of Facts.

    Observing the Plots requires no "theory", either. Anyone can see that the surface of the Earth has been getting hotter, exponentially. We're still in the realm of Facts here.

    THEORY: A set of well-Tested Predictive Models, based on Facts. This Results from extensive Testing and Refinement of Predictive Models. Test them enough times (like, kazillions), and a general consensus will eventually emerge that the Theory, despite its "being just a theory", has withstood vigorous Tests and Experiments intended to Challenge it, for a long time. Yes, there is Uncertainty, but by this stage, that Uncertainty (or "disagreement among scientists", as the Press like to call it), is generally around the 99.99999999999% Confidence Level. So certain that it's generally accepted as Fact. (But scientists never shut the door completely. Ever. To avoid re-repeating Tests with known outcomes – boring! – we accept strong Theories as Fact, and explore new things that build on the Known.)

    QUESTION: Are humans Causing Global Warming?

    Yes.

    I refer you to any book on Thermodynamics – the Collection of Theories concerning thermal phenomena (like closed-systems, steady-states, and so on). There have been many completely different approaches and/or starting points variously taken, and they've all ended up in extremely close agreement (see above). (To us, it's fact within any conditions we will ever encounter. Theoretical physicists dream-up exotic situations where things can vary, or we observe extreme conditions like black holes merging, but I'm not planning a trip to visit one.)

    SO WHY KEEP TESTING AND REFINING MODELS?
    And what is this "disagreement" among Climate Scientists?

    ANSWER: We cannot see into the future. Better models will help us deal with the issues of Climate Changes induced by the overall heating of the Earth's surface.

    SIMPLER ANSWER: We don't know whether we're all doomed by 2050 AD, or by 2300 AD. :-)

    PS — To anyone still on that "only a theory" hobby-horse, I have a brick and a ladder for you. Please use them to test the "only a theory" status of Gravity, and have your mortician get back to me.

  96. NASA 2005: Mars ice caps "at a prodigious rate" by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Yes, the Mars orbiter from 2005 has data and photos of the same areas as the 1999 data. The principal investigator for the Mars Orbiter Camera, Michael Malin, says the martian polar ice cap is shrinking at "a prodigious rate."

    I've gotta run, but I'm sure you want have too much trouble finding tabular data if you want, NASA has a Mars section on their site. Also, various people arguing global warming have cherry-picked data points and argue about them, but I prefer NASA.

    As I've mentioned earlier in this thread, it seems like whatever is affecting the other planets (the sun) would probably explain about 30% of the warning on the earth. That's a really rough estimate it could be 15% or 60%; we can reasonably say it's significant, but not the sole cause.

      Add in what we know about C02 and the two probably explain the observed trends pretty well. Of course the C02 data varies wildly, with "highly respected" organizations estimating global C02 by measuring it ON A VOLCANO that's spewing tons of C02, but anyway we know C02 has an effect, and we know there's an effect that's more than just on earth.

    1. Re:NASA 2005: Mars ice caps "at a prodigious rate" by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Here is an interesting article on the warming on Mars, 1999-2005. It implies the shrinking of the Martian southern ice cap is a regional phenomenon rather than being global. The comments following the article are interesting too including several rebuttals by the article author.

      Yes the Mauna Loa observatory has the longest continuous record of atmospheric CO2 starting in 1958 but since then dozens of other observatories around the world have been measuring CO2 and not all of them are located next to volcanoes (La Jolla pier being one of them). Their results match the curve of the Mauna Loa observations so it doesn't appear that volcanic emissions of CO2 have had any effect on their measurements. There is a slight variance of CO2 levels by latitude with CO2 levels at the South Pole being a few ppm less than in the Northern Hemisphere but the general rise in atmospheric CO2 is evident in both places.

  97. Oh, all the other planets have forest fires. Ok by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Okay, so you're explanation is that all of the other planets have big forest forest fires over the last few decades. Okay.

    Or are you saying that the rest of the planets (and their moons) have volcanoes, which cause them to warm up? Which do you think best fits the data?

    1. Re:Oh, all the other planets have forest fires. Ok by dryeo · · Score: 1

      In the case of Mars, it is dust storms, which are the main driver of weather on Mars. Jupiter (and Saturn and Neptune) generates its heat internally and has massive weather systems that transfer the heat upwards. I can't find any evidence at all about Titan warming up though Neptune and Triton are entering summer (in the southern hemisphere in the case of Neptune) changing the luminosity which some have jumped to the conclusion means warmth. Doesn't seem to be any other evidence n their case. Uranus, the one outer planet that does not create its own warmth, has not been warming up.
      The Sun itself recentest peak in output was about 1960, dipped about 1970 peaked again about 1980 and has been on a downward trend since, possibly partially explaining why warming slowed down.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  98. it seems that most people are missing the point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is not about science at all, but about money.
    Australia is close to broke. Rather than face that fact the Neanderthals who are currently in power are appointing those of like mind to positions where they can scrape a few dollars together to buy the next round of drinks ( or whatever they do in Canberra.) by digging into the petty cash box and the like. Those institutions that still have a few employees are prime targets; get rid of those few and you can spend their wages on more important things like booze.
    It seems that the main requirement in any potential applicant for one of these positions is that his/her tail doesn't show when making public statements; from the performance to date, there are certainly no intelligence requirements.

  99. Re:Own opinions, not ignore facts. Mars ice caps m by dryeo · · Score: 1

    Do you have any citations for any of your claims excepting Pluto? All my Google Foo can come with is simple comparisons of weather mistaken for climate except Pluto where it is summer.

    --
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  100. It's Australia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Australian government is one of the world's most vitriolically opposed to acknowledging anthropogenic climate change. It is probably not entirely coincidental that, for the past 15 years or so, the Australian economy has been riding high on sales of coal to China.

    Those sales are now flagging, and the Australian economy is flagging with them. Cutting these jobs out of sheer spite is exactly how petty I would expect the current Aus federal government to be.

  101. NASA.gov has good Mars info by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Mars is of course getting a lot of attention lately, so the Mars section on NASA.gov is pretty good. Most of it in the Mars is pretty straight, without arguing about global warming, adding adjustments to make the data fit the model or whatever.

    I'm sure you can find your way around mars.jpl.nasa.gov, but here's one page to start with. Many people are rightfully concerned about measuring the polar ice caps on earth. When reductions were measured in the north* that was considered major evidence of global warming. Here NASA talks about the same thing happening at a much faster rate on Mars. NASA measured the reduction at 3 meters per Mars year.

    http://mars.jpl.nasa.gov/galle...

    Note again I'm not saying this effect accounts for ALL or even MOST of the warming on earth. It seems to account for between 15%-60% of it, probably close to 30%. The majority is very likely carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide, with deforestation being a problem we should keep in mind.

    * Some say we should ignore the 30% INCREASE in polar ice on the south pole. Polar ice only matters when it fits your campaign pitch, perhaps.

    1. Re:NASA.gov has good Mars info by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Yes, I poked around on there. Mostly it seems to deal with weather, changes from one year to another while climate, at least on Earth, is usually considered to be 30+ year trends. The orbit of Mars is much more variable then Earths which does lead to long term climate changes.
      The number I've heard about Solar driven climate is about 30%, which considering that the Sun has been outputting less heat then usual, may help explain the slow down in warming. I do worry about what will happen when the Suns output goes above normal.
      There's so much conflicting information about the Antarctic ice. Is it volume or just area? Is the increase in one area more then the decrease in a different area. How much has precipitation increased? Warmer weather often brings more precipitation and if it still below freezing, that increases the amount of snow. If it is rain, or more melt, that lowers the salinity of the surface or the ocean and raises the freezing point leading to more ice. I'm not qualified to judge.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    2. Re:NASA.gov has good Mars info by Eunuchswear · · Score: 1

      Note again I'm not saying this effect accounts for ALL or even MOST of the warming on earth.

      What effect? Some observations seem to show that the Martian icecaps are shrinking. No cause has yet been found. We know it's not the sun -- there has been no increase in solar output.

      [the "effect"] seems to account for between 15%-60% of [warming on earth], probably close to 30%.

      Where do you get these figures?

      If there is some mysterious "effect" that is causing (part of) the warming on earth there must be an equal and opposite unknown effect that is causing cooling, too, otherwise there would be no match between the observed warming and the known cause for that warming (CO2 increase).

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
  102. Game over by XXongo · · Score: 1

    The "garbage" article that pretty much all the climate scientists refer doubters to is this one: http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/...

    And you haven't read it. You're like every other moron that thinks they know something but is really just following the crowd. Good job.

    I notice that, although you claimed you could debunk it in two minutes... you didn't.

    Game over.

    1. Re:Game over by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      I said (quote): "Most people who are worried about climate change are absolutely credulous-- they read garbage articles that could be debunked in two minutes of thinking."

      You didn't actually read that link.
      Keep up with the group-think though: maybe someday you'll have an original thought.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  103. look up what that means by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Look up what that means before you say it again. Are you using the "random Al Gore quote machine"? You picked a rather irrelevant quote. Hint - weather systems are SMALLER than solar systems.

    1. Re:look up what that means by dryeo · · Score: 1

      Never heard of solar weather?
      Seriously, my local meteorologist is always reminding people that climate involves at least 30 year trends and I'd assume the same applies to other planets with a year perhaps defined as the time the planet revolves around the Sun.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  104. Thoughtful post, thanks by raymorris · · Score: 1

    I just ripped on your other reply to me (GP to this one), so I should say this post is thoughtful. Thanks.

  105. Smoking! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The science is settled, there is no longer any doubt about the link between smoking and cancer ... so lets cut 90% of funding for cancer research.

  106. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    depend if you and the chicken are in the oven? togeather?

    That example is so fucked up, you should take your own advice, "Delete your account you stupid fuck."

  107. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and like most idiots, you forget that the increased cloud causes an albedo change which reduces heat absorption!.

    It's way more complicated than the fucking idiots we have employed as climate scientists can work out!.

  108. Game over. You lost. by XXongo · · Score: 1
    Again:
    1. you said the "garbage articles" passed along by people who "worry about climate change" could be debunked in "two minutes of thinking."
    2. I posted a link to the source that people who pay attention to climate science most commonly reference: this one, http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/...
    3. you did not debunk it. You didn't debunk any part of it. You didn't even try to debunk it.
    4. Instead, you moved to an ad hominem argument. Nice try. I have, in fact, read it, but you can now change to a "yeah? prove it!" argument, which effectively changes the subject and nicely covers up the fact that you failed.
    5. You said you could debunk it in "two minutes of thinking," but in fact, it has real facts, real data, and actual critical thinking. You can't debunk it-- not in "two minutes," not at all: you're afraid to even read it.

    You failed. Game over.

    1. Re:Game over. You lost. by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      You're dumb as a brick. Do you really think only people who are "on your side" post good articles? Or is it only people on the other side? Clearly that is what your original post suggested.

      And you're wrong. People who are skeptics also refer to the IPCC report. As I said earlier, there are morons who don't understand the science on both sides, who have merely chosen a side, and then only see good on their side, and bad on the other side. That is clearly you.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    2. Re:Game over. You lost. by XXongo · · Score: 1
      You said you would debunk it in two minutes. You couldn't.

      You lose.

    3. Re:Game over. You lost. by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      ? You have a one-sided worldview, you follow the crowd, and you can't see the good in other people's arguments. You lose at life.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  109. Re:What scientists do WRONG! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Horseshit. CO2 is rising. By simple laws of radiative physics this must result in warming. What alternate possibility do you imagine exists?

    No one is debating how CO2 works. What's the cost-benefit analysis on human action going forward? What are the feedback loops, in both directions, and how much does this matter? What's the dominant factor in determining future temperatures on Earth? (Hint: it's yellow)

    Wrong! It's GREEN as in money.

  110. Then, the money grow in the trees now by info6568 · · Score: 1

    I am an entrepreneur with engineering and music background.

    Of course that I want my business to flourish, who not? However I am clever enough to understand that without a continuous development in basic science we won't have future enterprises.

    The sad on this is that it is not the first time in modern history that this type of decisions destroy innovative companies (worst in government area). It is simple, you can't create richness from the air, it is important to create the basement for that.

    Could be possible that all politicians and government officials around the world need to have some history courses? At least for not to repeat the obvious mistakes.

  111. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    so it makes more sense to suggest that earth has a fever and mars is being baked for dinner?

  112. Re:And, will the Martians stop driving? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bzzt. Clouds also trap heat, and the Earth is not 100% covered by clouds and never will be, whereas it is 100% covered with CO2/water vapor. So even if clouds did not contribute to warming, they would still have to have a smaller effect than the CO2 and H2O. The Earth is also already a pretty cloudy place, so you need a hell of a lot of clouds to try and get rid of the ~1 degree C minimum forcing per doubling (which is not argued even by Watts) and the projected 4-6 degrees of feedback forcing. Good luck with that one.

    Your argument has been seriously considered by climate scientists. Climate contrarian Richard Lindzen has proposed this exact same theory, and it has been refuted. Google "Iris hypothesis".

  113. Political science by h8sg8s · · Score: 1

    I see this as the inevitable consequence of political science becoming more acceptable in climate study than, well, science. When lemming-like behavior is all that remains among climate scientists because all of the dissenting views have either been fired, unfunded or shunned into silence, you get a gestalt of sameness. Science is the messy pursuit of all theories in the effort to explain observed data. No mess, no science - no science, no scientists..

    --
    Organization? You must be joking..
  114. USA! USA! USA! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    An article about Australia. Source: scientificamerican.com

    Keep up the great work, /.

  115. "Australia's federal science agency" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So, is Australia's federal science agency called AFSA, or what?