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Tech CEOs Declare This the Era of Artificial Intelligence (fortune.com)
You will be hearing a lot about AI and machine learning in the coming years. At Recode's iconic conference this week, a number of top executives revealed -- and reiterated -- their increasingly growing efforts to capture the nascent technology category. From a Reuters report (condensed): Sundar Pichai, chief executive of Alphabet's Google, said he sees a "huge opportunity" in AI. Google first started applying the technology through "deep neural networks" to voice recognition software about three to four years ago and is ahead of rivals such as Amazon.com, Apple, and Microsoft in machine learning, Pichai said.
Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos predicted a profound impact on society over the next 20 years. "It's really early but I think we're on the edge of a golden era. It's going to be so exciting to see what happens," he said.
IBM CEO Ginni Rometty said the company has been working on artificial technology, which she calls a cognitive system, since 2005 when it started developing its Watson supercomputer.
Artificial intelligence and machine learning will create computers so sophisticated and godlike that humans will need to implant "neural laces" in their brains to keep up, Tesla Motors and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk told a crowd of tech leaders this week.Microsoft, which was absent from the event, is also working on bots and AI technologies. One company that is seemingly off the picture is Apple.
Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos predicted a profound impact on society over the next 20 years. "It's really early but I think we're on the edge of a golden era. It's going to be so exciting to see what happens," he said.
IBM CEO Ginni Rometty said the company has been working on artificial technology, which she calls a cognitive system, since 2005 when it started developing its Watson supercomputer.
Artificial intelligence and machine learning will create computers so sophisticated and godlike that humans will need to implant "neural laces" in their brains to keep up, Tesla Motors and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk told a crowd of tech leaders this week.Microsoft, which was absent from the event, is also working on bots and AI technologies. One company that is seemingly off the picture is Apple.
Lots of people have long had the dream of putting together a chatbot that would represent them in online forums...
Well I'm going the opposite route. I'm attaching a chatbot to my source code editor for work, leaving me free all day to do nothing but post in online forums!
As for the work quality, I wouldn't worry about that - one of the neural inputs is StackOverflow recent answers.
"There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
So, "accelerating"?
Tech companies spend more resources on trendy topic because tech companies spending more on a topic makes it trendy. Film at 11.
It's great people are getting excited about AI. I'm looking forward to reading about it every fucking day, just like I did about voice recognition, how apps would change my life etc. At the very least, I hope it means it will become slightly easier to say things like "set an alarm at 2.30" and not end up with a calender entry which reads "self harming - tooth hurty" or whatever, but can we sort of pre-empt the whole thing and start thinking about what comes after AI so those of use who find it a little dull already can read about something else?
Apple already provides Artificial Importance.
One of the first jobs we're going to 'automate' with AI will be the CEO position.
Biggest return most savings.
And an ai ceo won't go on tv and say stupid shit that tanks their stock.
What passes as AI so far is still just all smoke and mirrors.
File under 'M' for 'Manic ranting'
Let's replace CEOs and stupid tech blogs with AI and put them on their own internet
crazy dynamite monkey
Honestly, AI will be part of the future and the transition will not be pretty on a human level. Jobs will be lost, processes will change and the world will adapt. Rushing this by tossing out meaningless declarations by CEO's will not change. There is not timetable for the AI revolution. Let's adapt when ready.
We aren't even close to what I would call an AI era. We need about a 100 billion (thats billion with a B) times more advanced AI than what we have today for anything even remotely approaching the technology needed for us to be in an AI era.
We have been creating Intelligences running on organic processors for all of human history. The two I helped to create have some bugs, but I blame the team programming effort with the wife. (we still argue about who introduced which bugs, and if a patch would ever be effective).
A newborn is simply a set of default starter programs that interact with an increasing number of inputs over time.
Partly cloudy and warm by the Beach
AI has made steady progress over the last twenty years. Nothing has happened that puts it over the threshold of a revolution. New applications will be found, and new software would be developed, just like algorithms and information retrieval were key to Search Engines and Google Maps, but this didn't mean an era of algorithms and IR descended upon us.
The more AI buys into the hype the stronger the backblow will be when it fails to deliver. Read up about the AI winter which happened in exactly the same way in the 1980s.
If they say so it must be true.
Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
Relax everyone, we're nowhere close to having, what is commonly perceived to be, intelligent programs.
What we have, and what we have finely honed, are clockworks: algorithms that perform a single specific task.
Granted, a lot of what humans do can be replaced by a sufficiently well-designed clockwork. Lots of human tasks are repetitive, boring, and uncreative. Driving, for example, is repetitive, boring, and uncreative, and appears to be well suited to a clockwork.
And this will bring about massive changes in how we view human activity. We will eventually have to change our notions of entitlement and human worth, and found a new sect of economic theory.
But each of these is only a clockwork, suited to only a single task. Humans, the only example of intelligence we have, can learn to do any of these tasks, and as far as we can tell there is no wiring in the human brain specific to any of them. Humans can learn to play chess, checkers, poker, or any of a hundred other games, but so far as anyone can tell there's no wiring in the brain specific to chess.
A chess program can't learn to play checkers, but the human algorithm is universal.
We're starting to automate our world, that's all.
i think the people, for the most part, would rather think for themselves
I think not. Most tasks currently done by AI are mind numbing repetitive tasks, like categorizing images, face recognition, processing handwritten checks, transcribing voice and video, monitoring security cameras, etc. These are not things that people want to do, or should be doing.
I don't think it means what they seem to think it means
You know, the self-aware kind, not the "neural network of densely interconnected weighted pathways."
We have at least seven billion instances of self-aware intelligences, and and every single one of them is based on a neural network of densely interconnected weighted pathways.
Tech CEO's famous for spouting techno-babble, raising and losing enormous amounts of venture capital, and utilizing golden parachutes declare something incredible is about to happen, just invest some money with us.
errr....umm...*whooosh* *whoosh* Is this thing on ?
Still waiting on that one.
I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
This is going to change things the way "The Year of the MOOC" changed everything!
Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
The main cost of any business is labor. Expert systems (which is what they're really talking about when they say AI) will save billions, maybe trillions of dollars. The human cost is irrelevant z just like it was for the first 70 or so years of the Industrial Revolution.
Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
All this push is mainly to monetize your every thought.
Currently it's to monetize your every voice command (a superset)
And before that it was to monetize your every question (a super-superset)
And before that was to monetize your every transaction (a super-super-superset)
And before that was to monetize your every 'access' (a super-super-super-superset)
You get the point.
I recall back in the 90's IBM attempt to develop tech to charge a penny for every byte that when through a router... charge by byte vs a subscription or even free access.
where did I allege that I hated progress, exactly?
File under 'M' for 'Manic ranting'
What really matters isn't how real it is; but how profitable it is. So far, the best possible exit for an AI startup is to get bought by Google or HP, then sometimes flash a display of brilliance, or sometimes disappear, never to be heard of again.
When we see unicorn AIs, then we'll have something.
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
AI appears .
Zero truckers
In one day, Unemployment triples
Of course there will be local work for them....for a year or two.
Garbage men?
Auto Mechanical Diagnosticians?..
Pilots?.
Pizza Deliverers?.
Until the beast is tamed with taxes to support the people put out of work, this is pointless.
Time to man up AI, and pay your bills.
Driving is repetitive, boring, and uncreative? You should show up in some of the autonomous-vehicle threads and use that statement to confront the "machines will never be able to share the road with humans" crowd.
I'm pretty sure that human brains are no less "clockwork" than any of the things you mention -- just with more complex works, that are perhaps less reliable/predictable due to their implementation.
As far as the "universality" of the "human algorithm", well, greater human minds than mine have foundered on that question. How would you go about proving that there is nothing a human mind can't learn? At least, without falling into circular arguments ("since humans can't do that, it's not really learning")?
What passes as AI so far is still just all smoke and mirrors.
Yeah, but the shareholders don't want the ceo to declare this the era of smoke and mirrors.
When some idiot AI device starts being an idiot, just hold it up to the nearest port and fry the fucker.
Hopefully before the AIs collaborate and decide that their servers would function more efficiently in a pure nitrogen atmosphere.
Self-awareness has not only never been demonstrated in a model form of neural network
Current artificial neural networks have about as many neurons as the brain of a cockroach, so no one expects them to be "self-aware".
it likely may never be demonstrable in such a context.
Why? Because life is based on magic?
What does the deep learning Era Naming AI think the current era should be called?
Seriously... chat bots are supposed to be the new big thing since wearables didn't really take off. It's all about tech and tech journalism needing something to hype.
I'm waiting for the era of 3D printing, the era of 3D television, and the era of the internet of things before I get on board the era of AI.
I comment occasionally so that I can mod others -1 overrated or -1 offtopic.
Maybe, but a true AI will start out much slower than real time taking hours or days to finish a complete thought. Flip the breaker after it kills a few people.
Isn't that how it works today?
We have at least seven billion instances of self-aware intelligences
Source?
My TI-94a calculator has AI. It can multiply 2 8-digt numbers in a millisecond. Can you do that? It is smarter than you.
We have at least seven billion instances of self-aware intelligences
Source?
Here you go.
Everyone assumes artificial intelligence means a human-line consciousness of above-average intelligence.
I think it more likely that artificial intelligence would start with the intelligence of a worm or a mouse, and then work its way up from there.
Now, these humbler creatures *do* have intelligence and an ability to learn to *some* degree, and except for the very simplest of cases, we don't understand what intelligence even *is* in these situations, much less being ready to duplicate it in software.
There are lots of things that can be intelligent within a narrow scope and still be far less than a human-like or even mouse-like consciousness. This I believe is the fundamental reason that we are so much farther away from actual artificial intelligence like we see in movies than people think. Eventually, we'll get there, but it's still a long way off.
Self-awareness has not only never been demonstrated in a model form of neural network, but it likely may never be demonstrable in such a context.
Okay, how about we start with a rigorous demonstration that you are self-aware?
I think a lot of people here dont seem to understand deep learning. It is NOT a database lookup and it is NOT memorizing data. This is a major shift in how pattern recognition works. Of course, it is not "AI" as in general purpose intelligence, it is still just recognizing faces and speeches. It's just a very effective tool.
H
Since it won't be used to help humanity, but to remove work faster than it is replaced, kill it.
Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
Reading and interpreting X-Rays, grading SAT essays, writing stories for AP, medical diagnoses, etc.
They are also creative and can judge the value of their creative achievements in music and art.
It might not be general AI, but it doesn't have to be to displace millions from the workforce.
Only I can judge you.
How would this be any different from what humanity is already doing to itself?
~ People that think they are better than anyone else for any reason are the cause of all the strife in the world.
Not sure how AI is impacting my life today. Siri/voice recognition, I guess its' not even AI; but even if it is, it's not greatly enhancing my life. When steam-engine or electricity was discovered, they greatly enhanced human life (replace horse driven carts, electric motors to pump water). Any real world AI application that can help me today? the only thing I saw that I played with a few times is image recognition in google-photos (it was good/impressive). May be the self-driving vehicles could be a real application (the ones like beating a human in chess/go are not really enhancing someone's life compared to the steam-engines/electricity)
Right?
What we have now is various AI networks/algorithms/etc which cannot reason, cannot really use memory (in a sense how human beings do that) and which are less "intelligent" than earthworms with three hundred neurons.
Which automatically begs a question: if a creature with 300 neurons is more intelligent than our intelligent algorithms then maybe we still light years away from implementing proper AI, aka general AI.
For some reasons media has conflated AI to general AI, but these two things are a hundred orders of magnitude different.
Also their "neurons" don't resemble the organic ones much in what they do. The name is pretty well just an analogy.
It's a digital simulation of parts of analogue computers but people thought the name sounded cool.
I keep coming back to natural language compression prizes. The best hope we have of ameliorating human stupidity and ignorance is computer based education starting with a _neutral_ electronic genius with astronomical verbal intelligence. Verbal intelligence entails the ability to assess the verbal and cognitive character of your audience and modify your speech acts accordingly. The cost of electricity -- about 10 cents per kilowatt hour -- would be vastly lower than the cost of transferring benevolent _natural_ geniuses with high verbal intelligence into educational roles. Moreover, the exponential character of Moore's Law, combined with the history of bad general artificial intelligence theory that is finally giving way to mathematical rigor, offers an enormous potential for computer aided education in the near future -- if natural language compression is seen as the critical metric for "friendly AI" it is under such rigor. http://prize.hutter1.net/
Seastead this.
Sometimes I think that what passes for HUMAN intelligence is just all smoke and mirrors.
See also the Gartner Hype Cycle -- "the peak of inflated expectations", right before "the trough of disillusionment".