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How President Jimmy Carter Saved The Space Shuttle (blastingnews.com)

MarkWhittington writes: Eric Berger has published an account in Ars Technica about how President Jimmy Carter saved the space shuttle program. The article is well worth reading for its detail. In essence, around 1978 the space shuttle program had undergone a crisis with technical challenges surrounding its heat-resistant tiles and its reusable rocket engines and cost overruns. President Carter was not all that enthused about human space flight to begin with, adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe. His vice president, Walter Mondale, was a vehement foe of human space flight programs, maintaining that money spent on them were better used for social programs.

237 comments

  1. Carter was a great President! by EzInKy · · Score: 5, Funny

    If it weren't for pussy weakling Republicans willing to sellout to Iran he would have had a second term and our great Nation would be on a solid progressive course.

    --
    Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    1. Re:Carter was a great President! by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      A good actor followed, then.

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    2. Re:Carter was a great President! by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      This guy?

      http://forgottenhistoryblog.co...

      Seems trustworthy to me.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    3. Re:Carter was a great President! by tsotha · · Score: 2

      That is quite possibly the dumbest thing I've read today.

    4. Re:Carter was a great President! by EzInKy · · Score: 2

      You must not read much then. Reagen created the "rust belt".

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    5. Re:Carter was a great President! by guises · · Score: 1

      Sellout to Iran? The Republicans certainly used the hostage crisis to campaign against Carter, but they didn't really do anything special to get the hostages released. Apparently the Iranians just didn't like Carter.

      It's the best example that I know of of a foreign power successfully choosing an American president (or anti-choosing one, this was anti-Carter rather than pro-Reagan). But the point is: this wasn't the Republicans selling out to Iran, it was Iran giving them a gift and they just ran with it.

    6. Re:Carter was a great President! by EzInKy · · Score: 2

      it was Iran giving them a gift and they just ran with it.

      A gift they could've have refused.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    7. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "sell out". "sellout" is a noun.

    8. Re: Carter was a great President! by Rei · · Score: 1

      Yes, but Reagan didn't win the coveted "giant swimming rabbit" vote.

      --
      Hourglass says she knows a kid in Iowa who grows up to be president.
    9. Re: Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, wrong, reread the real history of those days. Here is my take. The prisoners were supposed, by agreement with Carter's representative, supposed to be released in July, they were held till January. After Regan's deal. For arms. No harm no foul? The end sent representative s to Iran to undermine Carter's deal. And I believe that was with the support of several generals, why else would they send unqualified unusable equipment for a rescue attempt? Why would they? Peace without Kissinger? Plus, add in the Iran contra connection to the timeline, notice the names, a coup in the military command, a attempted overthrow of the presidency, by mic, and people wonder why we have perfumed princes?

    10. Re: Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Carter was inept but he loved his country. Good man after presidency ended, however.

    11. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's early. You haven't seen nuthin yet.

    12. Re: Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whoosh! You must be super fun at parties!

    13. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Iranians held the hostages because they didn't like Carter? Wow. You wanna-be political talking heads really know how to revise history to your little pathetic party addictions. Go fanboy someplace else.

    14. Re:Carter was a great President! by gtall · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well, possibly. I tend to think they were frightened about Reagan would do. After he'd been elected and before inauguration, I believe in January, he was getting into a vehicle and a reporter shouted a question: would the Iranians be better off waiting until you are president before dealing on the hostages. Reagan, without missing a beat, looked over his shoulder and said in a rather icy tone, "I wouldn't if I were them."

      Reagan scared the crap out of a lot of the rest of the world. Carter's canoe was attacked by a swimming rabbit. That summed up the election right there, Americans didn't want another 4 more years of someone who could be attacked by a rabbit.

    15. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ha.

      No.

      The end of the Iran hostage situation was NOT an accident. The Republicans were very much involved in it.

      I have no idea why people don't understand that yes, Republicans are that treasonous.

    16. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The Iranians held the hostages because the Republicans promised them weapons. They got them with Iran-Contra.

    17. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What are you talking about? Reagan did sell to Iran. Remember Iran-Contra? That was Reagan fulfilling his promise to repay Iran for holding hostages until after the 1980 election.

    18. Re: Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was a killer. I looked into its eyes.

    19. Re:Carter was a great President! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      If it weren't for pussy weakling Republicans willing to sellout to Iran he would have had a second term and our great Nation would be on a solid progressive course.

      Yeah, but there was a lot of money to be made by selling arms to Iran and the Contras afterwards.

      That's the best thing about them - they won't let little things like enemies of the US or violating laws get in the way.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    20. Re:Carter was a great President! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Sellout to Iran? The Republicans certainly used the hostage crisis to campaign against Carter, but they didn't really do anything special to get the hostages released.

      Better check with Ollie North and Casper Weinberger about that statement.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    21. Re:Carter was a great President! by number6x · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That is the image that Ronald "we will not deal with terrorists" Reagan projected.

      The truth is that President Reagan and his staff cut a deal with the Iranian terrorists. In order to negotiate the release of American hostages held by Lebanese terrorists who were backed by Iran, Reagan was willing to sell the Iranian terrorists arms so they could spread terrorism and threaten more people. These arms weren't shipped directly from the USA to Iranian terrorists. That would have been illegal. Reagan's team worked out a deal where the arms were sold through third parties to the Iranians.

      Not satisfied with just supporting and spreading Iranian terrorism, Reagan's team wanted to also support a bunch of narco-terrorists, called the Contras. Monetary and material support for the Contras was prohibited by law. The Republican administration didn't like the left leaning Sandinista government of Nicaragua and wanted to support a right wing revolution so a puppet government could be installed. Similar to the support for the Shah's puppet government in Iran that lead the Iranian people to hate America so much.

      American intelligence officials syphoned some of the money made selling arms to Iranian terrorists, to the drug trafficking Contras in Nicaragua who opposed the left leaning government there. The Republicans called these drug trafficking scum 'Freedom Fighters'.

      The Iranian revolutionary terrorists were completely aware of the arms deal Reagan had made with them, although the American people were not.

      So when the Iranians saw President Reagan give the icy stare and say those scary words, the Iranians were in no way frightened. The Iranians knew Reagan was a liar with no morals. A man who would sell out his own principles in order to gain power and high office. They labelled him "The Great Satan" because of his skill at lying.

      The American people were unaware of the deal that Reagan had made to give arms and money to the Iranian terrorists, and were unaware that the freedom fighters were really drug traffickers sending poison to the streets of America and spreading terrorism throughout Central America. The American people saw Reagan as a tough guy who would never deal with terrorists and never waiver on truth, justice and the American way.

      So once you read up on the Iran Contra affair, you will realise that the tough talk and that icy stare threatening the Iranian terrorists was one of Ronald Reagan's best acting jobs.

    22. Re: Carter was a great President! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 5, Informative

      No, Iran contra was half a dozen years later. Do you idiots even wiki this shit?

      Iran-Contra was discovered some years later. Specifically, getting arms to an enemy of the united States and to another group via an end-around in order to circumvent the Boland amendment was started as a way to attempt to get some hostages held by Hezbolla in Lebanon.

      Now might such a thing have happened in the goings on in the 1980 election? Who knows? But a group that is wiling to give aid to enemies of the US, it is at least plausible that a very similar thing happened a few years earlier, merely undiscovered.

      In the meantime, it was interesting that this whole thing included a metric shitload of illegal actions, like destroying classified evidence to avoid prosecutions, removing classified materials under cloathing, selling arms to an enemy of the US and violating laws passed by congress.

      In the end? Acquittals and pre-emptive pardons, and the party of the moral high ground was pleased.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    23. Re:Carter was a great President! by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      The Republicans certainly used the hostage crisis to campaign against Carter, but they didn't really do anything special to get the hostages released.

      Other than sell weapon parts, probably violate the Logan Act, and lay the seeds for the IranContra scandal.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    24. Re:Carter was a great President! by guises · · Score: 1

      You're talking about the wrong hostages.

    25. Re:Carter was a great President! by gestalt_n_pepper · · Score: 1

      And even more money to be made by selling Iran's oil and stopping all those silly profit-eating conservation and energy independence programs. Better to sell our national security for a few bucks. The oilies figured that if things got bad in the states, they'd just move elsewhere.

      Just like now.

      --
      Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
    26. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      >So when the Iranians saw President Reagan give the icy stare and say those scary words, the Iranians were in no way frightened. The Iranians knew Reagan was a liar with no morals. A man who would sell out his own principles in order to gain power and high office.

      That's some trick, "knowing" about the Iran Contra affair (that took place in his second term) before his inauguration.

      >They labelled him "The Great Satan" because of his skill at lying.

      They called the United States "The Great Satan", not Reagan. How does this crap get marked "Insightful"?

    27. Re:Carter was a great President! by MobSwatter · · Score: 1

      Ha.

      No.

      The end of the Iran hostage situation was NOT an accident. The Republicans were very much involved in it.

      I have no idea why people don't understand that yes, Republicans are that treasonous.

      Not just the repubs that are treasonous. At election time; at they end of the day, it's a friggin bankster seated in the oval office and it has been that way since 1864.

      When it comes to a space program, well the banksters are just not interested. What destroyed CIA SR and the OXCART program which was destined for NASA didn't have anything to do with the JFK hit, was nothing more than a repeat crime by mafia in north Tahoe/Reno ripping off between 4-6 million of Children's Hospital fund raiser money wired into CIA SR that never made it, and a guy name Arthur Hoenig (33rd degree Mason and earned that as his act of kindness to humanity putting Children's Hospital and Shriners together) killed in a plane crash immediately following that. This was per Jack Branham (CIA SR 'Radar Man') in 1992 before he died in '96 and in '97 the SR-71 was put into the hands of NASA by Clinton who played with it until '99 and mothballed it. A 1960's product of the OXCART program made it to NASA, but the program never did because they ripped off and killed the guy that had the program in his head. When I was 9 years old I had a set of initials pointed out to me on an underground river plug beneath a museum in Virginia City, NV and I showed them to my father, he said it was a Master Mason ancestor of mine that never made it back to Wisconsin. Now what kind of asshole would rip off Children's Hospital money? Same kind of asshole that would toss a guy in the lake because they didn't want to pay him during the same era they were tossing Asian rail workers in there for the same reason. My great uncle Jack showed NASA the SR-71 back in the 70's but they had already started fabrication of the shuttle airframe and were stuck on the rockets only thought process of design, this is where the Russky's won the space race through endurance as we have had to depend on them for over a decade as a taxi service to orbit which is why I have offered to go play ball for them, their basically the only game in town for a space program anyway and the only interest there seems to have been around here is ripping off and killing the folks that were trying to make all that happen.

    28. Re:Carter was a great President! by Solandri · · Score: 1

      You make it sound like Reagan was duplicitous from the beginning. He started out hardass on terrorism. Do you know what caused him to secretly reneg on his "no negotiating with terrorists" pledge?

      He met with the parents of one of the hostages and listened to their sob story. That's right. He developed a bleeding heart.

    29. Re:Carter was a great President! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      You're talking about the wrong hostages.

      True, I was making a general statement, and it would not surprise me at all to learn that in some FOIA relase years from now, they used the same tactic to get the ones you are talking about released. I suspect it did, and the second time was when they were caught.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    30. Re:Carter was a great President! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      And even more money to be made by selling Iran's oil and stopping all those silly profit-eating conservation and energy independence programs. Better to sell our national security for a few bucks. The oilies figured that if things got bad in the states, they'd just move elsewhere.

      Just like now.

      And if they are successful in this pecuniary extraction phase, they'll find another prosperous country to wreck.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    31. Re:Carter was a great President! by number6x · · Score: 1

      My guess is that after the assassination attempt in 1981 on President Reagan, his dementia symptoms accelerated. I don't think he was really all there for about 6 of the 8 years in office. He wasn't really some great leader ordering these things. Lots of bad actors in the Nixon-like neo-conservative right wing of the administration had always played these kinds of games in the third world.

      Plenty of this stuff kind of happened under Kennedy and Johnson as well.

      I think Reagan, was less aware of some of the bad actions people working for him were engaged in. And, when these things came to light during his second term, he took full responsibility because it happened on his watch. His administration fought the investigations, destroyed and withheld evidence. If the Democrats in Congress had attempted to impeach him, it would have been much bigger than Clinton and Lewinsky. The democrats knew how the game was played (again Kennedy and Johnson did not have clean records in the third world), and members of Congress weren't as short sighted as the politicians today, just thinking of the next election.

    32. Re:Carter was a great President! by number6x · · Score: 3, Informative

      Thanks, I didn't mean to imply that but the way I wrote it sure does.

      Probably better to say that when Reagan made a deal with terrorists over the hostages held in Lebanon, having said those words with his icy stare previously, the Iranians knew he was a liar.

      The Iranian hostages were released in on January 20th, 1981 (the day Reagan was inaugurated) because the US and Iran had negotiated the release and signed the Algiers Accords of January 19th, 1981. Part of the Algiers accords had the Iranian revolutionary government releasing the hostages as part of its terms. It was the Carter administration that secured the release of the hostages as the last act of the Carter administration, bringing and end to the crisis that plagued his term in office. Carter had promised to bring them home, by any means. That would include dealing with the terrorists. The US was first referred to as the great satan, Iblis. Severeal western leaders, including Regan, have been compared to Iblis as well. The Iran Contra affair came to public attention in 1986, Reagan's second term. However, the actual events trade deals and shipments took place over several years during the first and second terms.

    33. Re:Carter was a great President! by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      I was born in the Nixon Administration. I can truthfully say that from a morality standpoint, every president in my lifetime has been significantly worse than the one before, and with Trump and Hillary as Presumptive Candidates, that trend is absolutely guaranteed to continue, as both are significantly worse than Obama.

      Nixon went to the moon, then resigned because he was about to be impeached. Ford Pardoned Nixon, but was otherwise a nice guy. Carter saved the shuttle program- but for what- unlike OP, it's pretty clear to me that robots are better for exploring space. With Reagan we got the for what- shuttles used to fake the Star Wars Defense Initiative and put the Soviet Union into bankruptcy- but we also got the Iran Contra Affair. Bush I's banking buddies from Kuwait got invaded and he had to bail them out- we're beginning to accelerate down the slippery slope even faster. Clinton got blow jobs in the White House and going after Bin Laden, blew up tents in the desert with million dollar cruise missiles. Bush II tried to get bin Laden after allowing him to attack America, but being functionally illiterate, apparently couldn't tell the difference between Pakistan and Iraq. Obama accelerated that mistake with adding Syria and Libya and Egypt to the list of toppled regimes run by bad guys we could at least count on to be sanely bad, only to be replaced by the Big Bad ISIS, but finally got bin Laden, maybe, or at least some random Pakistani millionaire was killed and his body dumped in the Indian Ocean without even an autopsy or positive identification, and now the robot drones are back but they're blowing up wedding parties with hellfire missiles.

      Can't wait to see what the crooks currently running have planed for January 2017, it will be spectacularly stupid.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    34. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > left leaning government there.

      They were a soviet client state. They could have been teabaggers, there were still a problem in our sphere of influence. Even then, Carter was a big fan of them; he even tried to give them $60m in aid, though that was stopped when we figured out they were funding rebels in neighboring countries. Naturally, those other rebels were good guys and not nacro-terrorists, yes? It's all about your team, isn't it?

    35. Re: Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It started after the bombing of the Marine barracks, not three years earlier during the election.

      You realize Japan and the US were enemies once too? Can we please drop the simpleton view of world politics. It's like high school.

    36. Re:Carter was a great President! by wyHunter · · Score: 1

      Unless, of course, the USSR took over which was looking very likely in 1980.

    37. Re: Carter was a great President! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      It started after the bombing of the Marine barracks, not three years earlier during the election.

      You realize Japan and the US were enemies once too? Can we please drop the simpleton view of world politics. It's like high school.

      Jaan - now an ally, and a good friend of the USA hasn't been an enemy since 1945. Same with Germany.

      However, Iran was at the time these matters happened was an active enemy.

      It would be like the Obama administration selling arms to Isis, or the Bush administration selling arms to the Taliban or to pre shack and awe Iraq. Active enemies. If it were Demacrats doing this, you'd demand blood and massice death for traitors. With Republicans, it was just sensible foreign policy.

      And about that Barracks bombing - wasn't any to do about that either. Funny how times change.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    38. Re:Carter was a great President! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's wrong on so many accounts that I don't even know where to start... I suggest you start by reading up on what they really were, and really stood for. And stands for to this day.

      Please note that these are the kind of hard core "communists" that when they lose a free election, they hand over power without any fuss. Hardly "soviet" in their outlook. They even appointed their political opponents to their revolutionary council.

      All the while the Contras of course opposed the reforms of the Sandinistas by attacking schools and health centers. Really shining beacons of what is right and true with the western way of life.

      The only "problem" they were in your sphere of influence were that they demonstrated that there was/is an alternative to the repressive and violent US puppet right wing dictator/junta that is par for the course in latin america.

    39. Re:Carter was a great President! by number6x · · Score: 1

      That is a fantastic story about meeting the parents. Amazing the human touch it brings to history!

    40. Re: Carter was a great President! by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Look, that rabbit's got a vicious streak a mile wide! It's a killer!

    41. Re:Carter was a great President! by number6x · · Score: 1

      The original Iranian hostages were released on January 20th, 1981 the day after the new Iranian revolutionary government and The USA signed the Algiers accords. The Algiers agreement negotiated the hostage release, and set more details on the international embargo against Iran. The accords were signed on January 19th, 1981. Previous deals attempted earlier during the hostage crisis had never completed, dragging out the stand off.

      It was the Carter administration's last act to secure the release of the American hostages, by dealing with the Iranian revolutionaries.

      January 20th, 1980 was also the day that Ronald Reagan was sworn into office. There have always been rumours that Republican appointed officials in the US State department and intelligence agencies had dealings with the Iranians to make sure that the hostage crisis would continue to plague the Carter administration. Although the later Iran-Contra affair did show that the Reagan administration did have contacts within the Iranian revolution that they were dealing with, there has never been any proof of delaying the original hostage crisis so the Republicans would benefit in the 1980 election. There certainly wasn't any need for it. The economy continued to be terrible during the Carter administration as it was in the Nixon/Ford. It took almost no effort to beat Carter. Carter had a difficult time re-gaining the nomination within his own party.

    42. Re:Carter was a great President! by number6x · · Score: 1

      Those were different hostages. The Iran-Contra thing was to get 7 or 8 hostages held by Iranian backed terrorists in Lebanon freed. That was a couple of years later.

      The Original Iranian hostage release was negotiated as part of the Algiers Accords signed by the US and Iran on January 19th, 1980. Those original hostages were released the next day January 20th. The 20th also happened to be the day Reagan was sworn into office.

      Freeing the hostages was the last substantial act of the Carter Presidency, but Reagan gets all the credit.

  2. Since discredited? by nekosej · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Star Trek is fiction, you realize. That ship taking pictures of Jupiter right now? Kirk isn't on it.

    --
    Never pet a burning dog.
    1. Re: Since discredited? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Because there aren't any chicks on Jupiter.

    2. Re: Since discredited? by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

      Because there aren't any chicks on Jupiter.

      How do we know if we don't go ?

    3. Re: Since discredited? by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 3, Funny

      Probe Droids. Even the Empire uses them.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    4. Re: Since discredited? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Probe Droids. Even the Empire uses them.

      Only because they can't be everywhere at once.

  3. Since discredited by jemmyw · · Score: 5, Insightful

    adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe.

    Since discredited by what? I think there might be some bias in the reporting there, because it should say "since credited by 4 decades of remote robotic exploration"

    1. Re:Since discredited by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      I don't see anything like that in the Ars[e] article, so it looks like either the submitter or BeauHD made that bit up.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    2. Re: Since discredited by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah, it's hard not to just come out and say manned exploration has accomplished exactly squat in the last 40 years. Heck, if we'd stopped with the robotic probes already on their way in Carter's time (Voyager) the bots would still have humans beat by several orders of magnitude.

    3. Re:Since discredited by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't see anything like that in the Ars[e] article, so it looks like either the submitter or BeauHD made that bit up.

      "President Carter was not all that enthused about human space flight to begin with, adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe."

      A bait race.

    4. Re:Since discredited by finlayson · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Since discredited by something that the OP pulled out of his ass...

    5. Re:Since discredited by tsotha · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If anything has been discredited it's the idea we need a manned space program for exploration.

    6. Re:Since discredited by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I had mod points they would be yours

    7. Re:Since discredited by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      The claim isn't that robots have no use or that humans are better for exploration. Strictly speaking it only claims that there is some exploration that only humans can do well. If that is true, I don't know.

      Suppose we could put a couple of scientists on Mars, with tools, a rover, and lab equipment, and let them work for a few weeks (in reality they need to stay for a few months IIRC to get a feasible return trajectory to home). In those weeks, what would they be able to do in terms of science that a robot couldn't do? (The robot might take much longer but that doesn't matter as long as the battery and solar panels last). I've no idea.

      What humans are good at is adapting to new circumstances. If something new and unexpected is found on Mars, humans are much better equipped to get the most out of their limited time and equipment to get to the bottom of it.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    8. Re:Since discredited by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Check his posting history - seems he's a bit of a space nutter.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    9. Re:Since discredited by alexhs · · Score: 1

      It's in the blastingnews article, the one linked next to the story's title. Still forgetting to check that one ? I do, too :)
      And the submitter actually cited that bit.

      --
      I have discovered a truly marvelous proof of killer sig, which this margin is too narrow to contain.
    10. Re:Since discredited by bkmoore · · Score: 1
      This is /., we never editorialize our summaries.

      A lot of manned-space advocates don't seem to understand that it's far better to send an expendable unmanned probe or robot now than it is to wait around decades or even centuries until we can send a manned mission. If we solely relied on manned space flight, we would never have had a close up look at the outer planets, at least within our life times.

    11. Re:Since discredited by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Since discredited by what?

      Self driving cars! Oh no wait never mind.

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    12. Re: Since discredited by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That's not the appropriate figure of merit. Ask instead what could have been accomplished with the same amount of money.

    13. Re:Since discredited by JoeMerchant · · Score: 2

      Editorial license, if the notion of robotic probes being inadequate to explore the universe is discredited, we have yet to accomplish anything concrete in the restart of manned exploration - Orion is on a slow track to early cancellation.

    14. Re:Since discredited by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What humans are good at is adapting to new circumstances.

      Which is why driverless cars will never be safe. Amiright?

    15. Re: Since discredited by jemmyw · · Score: 1

      That only makes sense of we had done those things. We haven't put people on Mars with tools, therefore we haven't discredited unmanned missions being the best way to do science in space.

    16. Re:Since discredited by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      No, the answer is that we should be doing both.

      Automated space probes are certainly the best choice for doing early science reconnaissance for outer planets and really just about anything: Pluto, Jupiter, etc. Sending people to Pluto to take photos and collect some data would be silly when we can send a probe to do it, especially considering how long it takes to get there with current technology (New Horizons took 10 years to get there).

      Manned exploration is for close-up stuff where 1) you've already done robotic exploration so you have a good idea what the humans will encounter there (radiation, etc.), and 2) you're ready to do stuff that robots just aren't that good at. A team of geologists can do a lot more geological work on-site, and far faster, than waiting for communications with a probe that has limited abilities. And if you want to do stuff like try out growing things in Martian soil and setting up artificial habitats, you really need humans on-site to do that stuff.

      Even when we sent humans to the Moon, we followed this pattern: our first landings on the Moon weren't human, but were (very primitive) remote-control probes. Here's a list of them. NASA sent a bunch of Ranger and Surveyor probes before attempting a manned landing. The Surveyor missions in particular were in support of the upcoming manned missions.

    17. Re: Since discredited by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What humans are good for in space is putting things together. I don't think humans can do better science in space than robots (currently) because the equipment is so limited and there are no facilities to fabricate new equipment. But say you want to build a solar panel assembly line on the moon. You're not going to launch the whole thing in one piece. So you launch it in many pieces and then send humans to put it together (drill new holes to make things fit, level it with moon rocks, etc.). I think this is the way forward. It's a fine goal to send people to space, just do it in a way that is useful rather than the "useful theater" we do today. A medium term goal of a moon base meets that requirement.

    18. Re:Since discredited by painandgreed · · Score: 2

      The claim isn't that robots have no use or that humans are better for exploration. Strictly speaking it only claims that there is some exploration that only humans can do well.

      Yes, we could get lots of science done fairly quickly by putting a couple of people on Mars for a few months. However, it still comes down to that for the resources it would take to do that, we could put hundreds of robots on Mars that could work for years, each doing their own little specialized job, and do more science and get the results sooner.

      I hope we do send men to Mars but I seriously think people do not realize how much that will actually take to do and how long it will take. The ISS is the most expensive project mankind has worked on and it hasn't even left orbit. It's resupply missions don't have to leave orbit. It doesn't have to deal with deep space radiation. It doesn't have to support it's own independent landing and launch facilities. etc. etc. etc.

    19. Re: Since discredited by Jhon · · Score: 1

      "Yeah, it's hard not to just come out and say manned exploration has accomplished exactly squat in the last 40 years."

      It's not hard to say 'the sky is green'.

      At the absolute minimum, we've learned how to keep people alive in space for increasingly extended periods of time. We've learned about how various living things (plants/animals) can live/survive in micro-gravity. We've learned how embryos developed in micro gravity. Why is this important? If we want to get off this rock and increase our chances of not being killed off either by each other or a space rock then we need to know how to MOVE us through space for long periods of time.

      Yes, we don't NEED humans to go to Mars to learn about what makes up Mars -- but we NEED humans to go to Mars to learn how humans can SURVIVE on Mars.

    20. Re:Since discredited by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Oh shit, I forgot about the camouflaged links. Thanks for pointing it out (again). Good thing I rarely read TFAs.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    21. Re: Since discredited by colinwb · · Score: 1

      the "useful theater" we do today - reinforcing that, an extract from Beyond the Fringe, The Aftermyth of War

      Commander (Peter Cook): Perkins - The war's not going very well. War's a psychological thing, Perkins, rather like a game of football. You know how in a game of football ten men often play better than eleven. Perkins, we're asking you to be that one man. Perkins, I want you to lay down your life. We need a futile gesture at this stage. It'll raise the whole tone of the war. Get up in a crate [RAF slang for an aircraft] Perkins, pop over to Bremen, take a shufti [slang for a look], don't come back. Goodbye Perkins. God I wish I was going too.

      Perkins (Jonathan Miller): Goodbye sir - or is it au revoir?

      Commander: No, Perkins.

    22. Re: Since discredited by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And it'll all have been a giant waste. Kudos, humans, you've got the knowledge to survive elsewhere- too bad you no longer have the resources to use that knowledge.

    23. Re: Since discredited by lucien86 · · Score: 1

      The reason they need to send humans to Mars is to allow and do a lot more science and have a level of flexibility that todays robots just cant do.. Of course there are many many places in space where a robot is the best and cheapest solution - Voyager, Juno, New Horizons, Surveyor, Opportunity and Spirit, etc. At a minimum you send robots to a place before you send humans there..

      Besides the tech to send humans to Mars can also be used to send far bigger more capable robots out to places like the moons of Jupiter or Saturn. What kind of machine do you need to bore through 100 miles of ice? a big nuclear powered one.

      --
      Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
    24. Re: Since discredited by Jhon · · Score: 1

      " At a minimum you send robots to a place before you send humans there.."

      Yes. I didn't think it was necessary to make that point -- but it's a good point. I was just countering the claim that the last 40 years of humans in space produced nothing.

  4. What "discredited notion"? by wonkey_monkey · · Score: 5, Insightful

    the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe

    Hah. What? Robotic space probes are bloody brilliant for exploring the universe, and they've done far more of it than could have been achieved if we'd had to send a meatbag along for the ride.

    --
    systemd is Roko's Basilisk.
    1. Re:What "discredited notion"? by gweihir · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Indeed. There is basically no human-based "space exploration", except for a few brief visits to the moon a long time ago. No, there is nothing to explore in low earth orbit, so the ISS does not count as "space exploration". All I see in the non-robotic space is grand and usually stupid and unworkable plans, while in the robotic space I see mars rovers going strong long after they were expected to, deep space probes still being useful after decades and so on.

      Anybody that thinks the notion of robots being the way to go in space exploration is "discredited" is a moron.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    2. Re:What "discredited notion"? by gtall · · Score: 2

      Yeah, sending a meatbag to Pluto would have been a real thrill for the meatbag. That last craft took 9 years. And that's only because we were able to chose the optimum orbital positions for Earth and Pluto. So, what, we gonna send Mr. Bag out for 9 years, assume he's not lost his mind on the journey and able to perform experiments for several months, then return Mr. Bag. Of course, with that kind of investment, we couldn't be sure Mr. Bag might not develop a sudden death along the way what with the radiation that tends to permeate space, we might consider sending more than one Bag.

      Let's assume we choose 3 bags. Now we'll be wanting to feed them for 18+ years otherwise they'll get cranky due to low blood sugar. We'll also need a bigger ship than the small thing-a-bob we did send. That will require more fuel for speeding up and slowing down because whizzing by Pluto probably won't leave a lot of time for experiments.

      There is also the problem that lack of gravity will tend to make muscles like the heart atrophy, so we'll be wanting to pack Mr. Gym-in-a-Box into the spacecraft.

      There are the space rocks in the asteroid belt to consider. Admittedly, the probability of being hit is small. Then again only a small pebble will doom the craft.

      We'll need to advertise for "subjects" to go on the mission: Wanted - three suicidally insane hearty individuals to go on a roughly 20 year mission to Pluto, be sure to see a lawyer to get a Last Will and Testament BEFORE you leave.

    3. Re:What "discredited notion"? by jbmartin6 · · Score: 1

      I call it the "monkeys in a can" approach to space exploration

      --
      This posting is provided 'AS IS' without warranty of any kind, implied or otherwise.
    4. Re:What "discredited notion"? by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      Mr. Meatbag would have been long dead from radiation sickness, given current technology.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
  5. Given that the shuttle program... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... held back usable, affordable space flight for several decades, this was one program that was not worth saving.

    Unless, of course, all you care about in space flight is the feeling of awesomeness while getting exactly nowhere. Then the 250mn per "reusable space vehicle" flight might be well worth it?

    1. Re:Given that the shuttle program... by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      Absolutely right. In Carter's position I would have made the same call, because I'm sure somebody at NASA would have convinced me that reusable must be inherently cheaper eventually, and that we need to go through these growing pains to debug the technology. But in hindsight it was the wrong call, and it set space exploration into a malaise from which is has not yet emerged.

    2. Re:Given that the shuttle program... by slew · · Score: 1

      Absolutely right. In Carter's position I would have made the same call, because I'm sure somebody at NASA would have convinced me that reusable must be inherently cheaper eventually, and that we need to go through these growing pains to debug the technology. But in hindsight it was the wrong call, and it set space exploration into a malaise from which is has not yet emerged.

      Well, SpaceX and BlueOrigin are crowing about "resuable" being the future of space flight, you might argue that in abstract, idea of the Space Shuttle program wasn't wrong, it was just the wrong architecture**, executed all over a huge geography to get funding instead of efficiently (kinda like Airbus Planes), and managed like a huge bureaucracy (like any other govt program).

      I would argue that even theoretically, you could have only fixed 1 out of the 3 issue, and the biggest problem is that it inevitably (because of the funding) became too big to fail which means once it gets to the wrong direction, it's too late making it nearly impossible to fix a wrong architecture.

      However, the "malaise" of space exploration isn't really a function of the shuttle. Perhaps it set manned exploration back a decade or so, but space isn't going anywhere. The "malaise" is really because there's no immediacy to the problem (e.g. beat the Russians). Remember, the "space" budget is really a jobs-and-kickbacks budget that happens to to spent of space *stuff*. It's 100% discretionary spending (like a household budget for Netflix or a vacation in Greece).

      Sometimes, you want to spend your discretionary money on Netflix, sometimes you want to take a trip to Greece with your money because your friends say it's the best vacation. Maybe your family debates that and makes a decision. However, sometimes you make the executive decision to spend that money to climb Kilimanjaro not because it is easy, but because none of your friends have gone there before and you want to be the first to take a selfie from space (oops, I mean Kilimanjaro, Virgin Galactic isn't operational yet) . To help sell that Kilimanjaro idea, you agree to make a stop-over in Miami for a couple days where your wife's family was from and you agree to buy the kids a new ipad for the trip. Congratulations, you get the trip, but long after the trip, when the selfies have scrolled off the bottom of your Facebook timeline, lament you've been missing out on House of Cards and regret sets in as you open your credit card bill.

      If you made the other decision, you would probably still regret it watching House of Cards, trying to forget your friends Instagram pictures from Greece and save up for a trip next year, but really, just get over it, like all discretionary spending, it's never totally satisfying to rehash regrets unless they materially affect your life.

      If things are more *immediate* (e.g, you thought your kid had 6months to live), maybe you'd choose to max out your credit cards to take that Greece vacation now (and do the Netflix too). Taking trips around the globe might be a more exhilarating way to live, but probably less sustainable.. China and India are probably spending far less than the US did for their space exploration programs because they effectively waited for the technology curve was more favorable. Space ain't going anywhere anytime soon and maybe we need a bit more "malaise" from our discretionary government spending programs.

      **the Shuttle architecture (like others) is only nominally "resuable": SRB is toasted, a recovered external fuel tank needs rework, as does the shuttle engines. Similarly, Falcon has second stage which is toasted, a recovered first stage which needs rework and the Dragon is theoretically about as reusable as the shuttle. Not too different abstractly, but arguably a better architecture.

    3. Re:Given that the shuttle program... by legRoom · · Score: 1

      Similarly, Falcon has second stage which is toasted, a recovered first stage which needs rework and the Dragon is theoretically about as reusable as the shuttle. Not too different abstractly, but arguably a better architecture.

      The most important difference between the SpaceX system versus the Space Shuttle, is that SpaceX designed theirs for what it will actually be used for: moving people and a modest amount of cargo to and from LEO. The Shuttle was a horrific waste of money because it combined too many functions into one: crew launch, temporary space station, science lab, satellite launch, and satellite recovery.

      That last one dominated the entire design, and pretty much ruined any possibility of economical operation all by itself. It was driven by the military, not NASA. The irony is, I don't think they ever even used it...

  6. Interesting quote in article by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

    “You’d have to be an idiot to get up in front of people and say, ‘I’m now going to trash $5 billion even though we’re that close to the finish line, and I’m going to quit human spaceflight.’
    Carter was not such an idiot.
    It would take Baby Bush to be that idiot and leave manned flight to the Russians.
    Maybe Obama is also an idiot for not trying to revive a gutted NASA while the capability was still there, but he would have had to fight being blocked all the way.

    1. Re:Interesting quote in article by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Insightful

      O is the one that has kept the CCDev going while the GOP wanted it dead. GOP did not want new space going, ESP. SPACEX.
      OTOH, O has kept the fundings flowing to CCDev, though it has been a battle all the way. Once we have human flight going, and allow new space to compete, we will see space costs plummet. This will allow us to not only do human flights, but also a lot more automated flights further in the solar system.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Interesting quote in article by dbIII · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The extra costs associated with starting up again instead of incremental progression are the price of stupidity.
      Also having even China ahead of us will make it difficult to "compete". The big deal about private space is a distraction - it was always as much private space as it is today. Grumman built the Eagle lander that first touched onto the moon and not NASA.

    3. Re:Interesting quote in article by Crashmarik · · Score: 2

      The Misconception: You make rational decisions based on the future value of objects, investments and experiences.

      The Truth: Your decisions are tainted by the emotional investments you accumulate, and the more you invest in something the harder it becomes to abandon it.
      Sunk Cost Fallacy: https://youarenotsosmart.com/2...

      How many people died on shuttle flights ? How much more expensive was the program than expendable launch vehicles ?

      The finish line was an expensive and dangerous vehicle that was more a hindrance to getting into space than a help. Hell we would have been better off just using the 5 billion to restart Saturn V production. The knowledge and materials were considerably more available back then.

      Obama, you're kidding MR "Nasa should be about Muslim outreach" ??

    4. Re:Interesting quote in article by jonwil · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The biggest problem is that the idiots in congress (or more specifically those that represent specific parts of the country) have been forcing NASA to use space shuttle parts in its projects (Constellation and now SLS) even when those parts aren't the right parts for the job.

      That's a big part of why Congress doesn't like the "commercial crew" program, namely the fact that the new lightweight companies like SpaceX, Blue Origin, Sierra Nevada etc dont provide all that pork in key congressional districts the way the old guard like Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Orbital ATK etc are doing.

    5. Re:Interesting quote in article by Rei · · Score: 2

      Restarting Saturn V production wasn't a reasonable choice either, unless you also had the budget to fund the sort of missions that the Saturn V was designed to launch.

      The Shuttle was a classic case of the hazards of ignoring TRL. It should have been designed as a small-scale tech deliverable, which may or may not also prove to provide great economic advantages in spaceflight as only a secondary objective - not as a giant vehicle designed from scratch to be the cornerstone of all launch business in the western world. It's just way too risky to try to make huge jumps like that. We would have gotten just as much useful data from a mini test-shuttle as we did from the big expensive one.

      I think the Apollo program gave exactly the wrong lesson (that the best things come from giant leaps). Maybe if you can dedicate a percent or two of your GDP to the thing, sure, but otherwise, that's just too dangerous of an approach. You don't learn to crawl by running a marathon.

      IMHO one of the biggest problems with NASA is the fact that it ever came into being. The NACA model, where the agency was an entity for funding basic research and cooperative collaboration with external entities toward the advancement of the state of the art, rather than a body for carrying out congressional megaproject-mandates, seems much more desirable.

      --
      Hourglass says she knows a kid in Iowa who grows up to be president.
    6. Re:Interesting quote in article by Megane · · Score: 2

      The difference is:

      Old Space = "cost plus" contracts - Whoops, we've gone over the budget, but keep paying us until we're done!

      New Space = fixed-price contracts - Whoops, our rocket went RUD from a bad strut, now we have to launch another one without you giving us more money! *

      (Yes, I know they lost some expensive cargo, even if they had enabled the Dragon capsule to pop its chute. The final resolution was to add four new launch missions at a discounted price.)

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    7. Re:Interesting quote in article by GoChickenFat · · Score: 1

      Obama wouldn't have had to fight anyone when he took office since his party controlled congress. How do you think we got Obama care? Every progressive idea for the last several decades could have been pushed through when he first took office - higher taxes on the rich, gun control, spaceships, free everything!. Why do that when you can use your "ideas" to beat people over the head with for decades.

    8. Re:Interesting quote in article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Both of you need to settle down on this. Neither party (as a whole) has been all that keen on the space program for decades. Just as it was in the 60s, the space program is kept around as a token of how "forward thinking" each administration is in the name of science and engineering.

      It's utterly amazing that some people are such goosesteppers to their political parties that they can't see them for what they are. They agree on just about 90% of everything and the fact that NASA's budget has been stagnant since the last manned lunar mission proves that neither party is really interested.

      So bicker all you want but every combination of D and R has done nothing to help the space program and voting for them under that pretext only makes you look like a buffoon.

    9. Re:Interesting quote in article by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      âoeYouâ(TM)d have to be an idiot to get up in front of people and say, âIâ(TM)m now going to trash $5 billion even though weâ(TM)re that close to the finish line, and Iâ(TM)m going to quit human spaceflight.â(TM)
      Carter was not such an idiot.

      How much cheaper would it have been to throw that thing away and use rockets for our launches, instead? How many less lives would have been lost? Carter was an idiot to save the shuttle.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    10. Re:Interesting quote in article by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      “You’d have to be an idiot to get up in front of people and say, ‘I’m now going to trash $5 billion even though we’re that close to the finish line, and I’m going to quit human spaceflight.’

      Sunk cost fallacy. How much was spent is irrelevant to the decision to stop or continue. It's spent and you aren't getting it back, so the only question is "can we afford the cost to make Shuttle viable as a spacecraft?"

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    11. Re:Interesting quote in article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Calling him "Baby Bush" is an insult to all babies, bushes, and people nicknamed "Baby ---" the world over.

    12. Re:Interesting quote in article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Obama wouldn't have had to fight anyone when he took office since his party controlled congress.

      You'd be surprised.

      How do you think we got Obama care?

      Lots of work and negotiation, to get a right-wing version implemented. And even they, they managed to get you to think it was all liberal and progressive, for some reason!

      Every progressive idea for the last several decades could have been pushed through when he first took office - higher taxes on the rich, gun control, spaceships, free everything!.

      Man, you sure believe the GOP line, don't you?

      Why do that when you can use your "ideas" to beat people over the head with for decades.

      I don't know, why are we still suffering from trickle down and deficit spending?

    13. Re:Interesting quote in article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Carter was an idiot to save the shuttle.

      No, he wasn't. I was watching this with interest at the time after being sad about the cancellation of the Saturn V, and here is how it went down from the perspective of a random member of the public:

      It is true that the Shuttle ended up extremely expensive, dangerous, limited in capability, and generally not a good way to go about launching humans into space. However, Carter made this decision in the 1970's. Think back to this era for a minute - sure, everyone now has the clarity of hindsight, but the program was being sold at the time as God's gift to space exploration. The picture presented by NASA itself to politicians and the public was one of launches every week or two, a dramatic reduction of costs per kg to orbit, and a sea change in ease of access to space. It was going to revolutionize space travel! That was the story all around in the popular press at the time, too.

      None of that was actually true, some for technical reasons and some for political ones, but Carter didn't know that. He believed the information presented to him and he trusted his underlings, which in most cases is the mark of a good leader.

    14. Re:Interesting quote in article by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      It would take Baby Bush to be that idiot and leave manned flight to the Russians.

      To be fair to Shrub, it became hideously difficult for Congress to fund rational gov't programs. The Russians aren't enemies, and in this case, a really cheap case of outsourcing an outdated technology. Be honest. What manned space flight? Its only a couple of launches a year, and its below the Earth's Van Allen belts. Hardly worth continuing to blow billions of dollars per year.

      Maybe Obama is also an idiot for not trying to revive a gutted NASA while the capability was still there,

      No, in this case, you would be the idiot. The best thing the US gov't could do is get NASA out of the way, and support private endeavors to commercialize space. NASA's only utility is robotic exploration, and hugely expensive human research programs that the private sector would not touch. We're (probably) not going back to the Earth or Mars with this US Congress, so cut the Obama shit, and lay blame where it really belongs. (The important point being that NASA doesn't have a "capability" for Apollo style manned space programs anymore.)

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    15. Re:Interesting quote in article by thrich81 · · Score: 1

      "The NACA model, where the agency was an entity for funding basic research and cooperative collaboration with external entities toward the advancement of the state of the art, rather than a body for carrying out congressional megaproject-mandates, seems much more desirable." -- interesting idea that has merits but in the absence of NASA, the Air Force would have certainly taken over crewed spaceflight in the US in the 1960s. I don't think that would have turned out so well; at least under NASA the military astronauts had to pretend to be supporting "science, peaceful exploration, etc". And there would be the same mega-project problem, as there already exists with the Air Force. The robotic probe side of NASA would likely have ended up with the National Science Foundation, which may have been better by not competing directly with crewed spaceflight in the same agency but I think space exploration would have been too large a program for NSF to absorb in comparison to the rest of its budget and space would have eaten the budget for other sciences there at NSF or died over there.

    16. Re:Interesting quote in article by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      Yes, I know they lost some expensive cargo,

      Didn't matter. The payload was either already insured, or not worth insuring.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    17. Re:Interesting quote in article by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      The US Government is so fucked up now, not being able to fund/run important programs, not managing the banking industry, and throwing away money on the military, I don't see any point in bitching about how the US has dropped the ball with space programs.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    18. Re:Interesting quote in article by werepants · · Score: 1

      The difference is:

      Old Space = "cost plus" contracts - Whoops, we've gone over the budget, but keep paying us until we're done!

      New Space = fixed-price contracts - Whoops, our rocket went RUD from a bad strut, now we have to launch another one without you giving us more money!

      Slight correction - on fixed price contracts, the contractor doesn't have to pay when a launch fails - that's covered by insurance either way.

      The important thing is that on a fixed price, the launch provider gets more profit if they reduce launch costs and schedules. On cost-plus, the provider is incentivized to have cost overruns and schedule slips.

      And more important than all of that is that we have ideologically driven billionaires competing to make space cheaper - SpaceX is tremendously affordable (~25% the price of competitors) not just because of COTS, but because Musk is trying to build all the infrastructure for a Mars colony in his lifetime. A more pragmatic company would be 90% of the competitor's price, and would be sitting back and enjoying the profits rather than dumping them all right back into develpment of insanely ambitious new vehicles.

    19. Re:Interesting quote in article by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      first off, Grumman BUILT the lander, but it was designed by NASA. Just like the shuttle.
      Secondly, if you noticed, I said NEW space, not private. The new space companies are aggressive and doing what old space USED to do back in the 60s, i.e. R&D on their own.
      Sadly, old space (Boeing, L-Mart, ULA, etc) are ran by MBAs that make sure that their executives and stock holders get every single penny that come there way, rather than invest into their company.
      Look at ULA. They fought to keep RD-180 claiming that it was their only rocket, while ignoring the fact that they have the Delta (all American). Can Atlas compete against F9? Nope. NOT EVEN CLOSE. ULA has been heavily heavily subsidized by us, and yet, they did NOTHING.

      Where new space is going to make changes, HUGE CHANGES, is that they are making things CHEAPER.
      It dawned on me that even Cygnus is a rip-off. Bigelow can actually make an inflatable disposable unit that is lighter, more volume, and cheaper than cygnus.
      NASA has been treated as a Jobs program by CONgress (BOTH parties). The GOP attempted to kill off competition, esp. SpaceX, to their monopolies, such as ULA. BUT, once new space is up and fully running (BA, along with BO, and SpaceX; hopefully, SNC), this will allow NASA access to the solar system for a fraction of the costs. That will also mean that NASA will be able to do a great deal more including on robotics.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    20. Re:Interesting quote in article by chispito · · Score: 1

      “You’d have to be an idiot to get up in front of people and say, ‘I’m now going to trash $5 billion even though we’re that close to the finish line

      And another kind of idiot that crosses a finish line triumphantly without realizing it is nowhere near the line he was supposed to be aiming for.

      --
      The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    21. Re:Interesting quote in article by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      you obviously did not read what we wrote. He and I were actually saying mostly the same thing.
      You are correct that neither party has been all that keen on Space/NASA. Sad. I would argue that the GOP has been the worst, though at times, they have had leaders that pushed it.
      BUT, Dems have been fine with funding NASA. In fact, every program that comes along, they want to fund. The idea of CUTTING would not make sense to them, EXCEPT, when they have a PERSONAL project that they want to have more money. THe dems who backed the GOP on going after new space was Barbara whats-her-name who backs the new telescope. That nightmare is so over budget and yet, she continues to pour money down its throat. WHy? Because it is in HER backyard.

      BUT, again, it is O that has had the foresight to keep going with a COMPETITIVE launch env that we have not seen sine reagan became president. Shortly, we will have not only competitive launch, but competitive space stations, combined with new space going for the moon with a base. And this is all in the next 5-6 years.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    22. Re:Interesting quote in article by swillden · · Score: 3, Informative

      The important thing is that on a fixed price, the launch provider gets more profit if they reduce launch costs and schedules. On cost-plus, the provider is incentivized to have cost overruns and schedule slips.

      I have several good friends who work for ATK, maker of the shuttle boosters among lots of other aerospace components. They say the old and new approaches are radically different... so different that ATK is having a hell of a time making the transition. The old organizational structure was enormous, with tremendous amounts of fat and redundancy at every level, because cost management was not a concern, at all. At best they basically ignored costs, at worst they actively worked to increase costs, because that boosted profits. Learning how to operate like a real business has required a complete restructuring of their world, including massive layoffs not just to cut costs but to remove all of the people with decades of "cost plus" methodology ingrained into their thought processes.

      Old space and new space are both largely private, but they're dramatically different, even aside from Musk's ambitions.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    23. Re:Interesting quote in article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "big deal about private space is a distraction"

      I think ULA and Ariane would disagree. Both have began major cost cutting measures and development efforts to try to remain somewhat competitive with SpaceX and the other upcoming launch companies. ULAs launch costs had nearly doubled since their inception in 2006 to a cost of around $450 Million per flight, after SpaceXs entry into the launch market with the Falcon 9 and successful push for at least a chance at the military launch market their demeanor changed drastically. Cost is of course not everything, but its a pretty big part. Currently we're limited to launching extremely small, extremely expensive satellites/probes/craft due to the cost of launches ($62-$450 Million). As costs come down that can change to heavier/larger/cheaper/more complex satellites/probes/craft which have far more capabilities. For example even under the most conservative estimates for the development of SLS (cost plus contract) we're looking at $20 Billion, even before factoring in economies of scale and their fledgling reusability program you could launch over 300 Falcon 9 rockets, or about 8k tones of cargo into orbit (a naval frigate is about 5k tones).

    24. Re:Interesting quote in article by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're a good little buffoon. Thanks for your vote.

      -O

    25. Re:Interesting quote in article by werepants · · Score: 1

      ATK, ULA, Orbital, AR, and many others are struggling to adapt to the new market. The thing is, though, for the purpose of these companies, Newspace basically is SpaceX - in a few years the situation may be different with Blue Origin and others, but currently SpaceX is the one and only company that's actually launching payloads for serious customers.

      My point is that what separates Oldspace from Newspace isn't just the COTS, fixed-price model. That's a step in the right direction, but what really sets these new companies apart are their ideology - all the older companies exist primarily to turn a profit, and selling aerospace hardware is how they do it, whereas many of the new companies (or at least SpaceX, Blue Origin, and Planetary Resources) exist primarily to make space accessible to the masses, and profit is a means to that end.

    26. Re:Interesting quote in article by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      You are right that SPaceX CURRENTLY is the only new space in terms of actual production.
      However, once Bigelow gets approved for adding to the ISS and then building our their own space station, this will enable lots of human launching.
      At the same time, BO is hard at work on creating cheap ORBITAL rockets, so, they will also be able to take advantage of this.
      Boeing, L-Mart, Northrup, ULA, etc. etc, i.e. old space, have to make massive changes. As new space takes over, those companies will see their money gutted and will be forced to dump the MBAs that run those companies now.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    27. Re:Interesting quote in article by swillden · · Score: 1

      I wasn't disagreeing with you, just pointing out that even without SpaceX, et al, the approach to space has changed dramatically, much more than it might appear to someone who doesn't look closely and just says "Oh, well, it's still NASA contracting to private companies".

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    28. Re:Interesting quote in article by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      How many people died on shuttle flights ? How much more expensive was the program than expendable launch vehicles ?

      Not as much more expensive as you might think - even though a single Shuttle flight cost much more than an expendable, it could carry a great deal more than an expendable. (As many as eleven crew while still carrying up to 60k lbs of payload.)

      And that's what drives me to distraction in these discussions. Everyone compares costs but they never bring up capability. What you're buying matters every bit as how much you're buying it for. A subcompact car (a capsule) may cost much less than a full sized crew cab pickup (the Shuttle), but only a complete fool would confuse one for the other.

    29. Re:Interesting quote in article by dbIII · · Score: 1

      And more important than all of that is that we have ideologically driven billionaires

      Paid by the taxpayer.

    30. Re:Interesting quote in article by dbIII · · Score: 1

      first off, Grumman BUILT the lander, but it was designed by NASA

      Who told you that? They were lying.
      A few minutes looking around the internet will confirm it. Starting with Grumman's website on the topic will save time.

  7. Not impressed by tsotha · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The shuttle was a terrible program. It set the space program back thirty years by cementing in the public mind the idea manned spaceflight must always be far more expensive than the value of any possible benefit.

    And the idea Carter is some sort of hero because he was too weak to say "Let's not throw good money after bad..."? Ugh.

    1. Re:Not impressed by Richard_at_work · · Score: 2

      If you want to read a thrilling, in-depth and well researched background to the Space Shuttle, including its links to the Manned Orbital Laboratory program, then read "Into the Black" by Rowland White - excellent commentary on the Airforce/NASA relationship (its often construed that the Airforces requirements crippled the Shuttle, when in-fact it was highly likely that the Shuttle would have been cancelled completely had the Airforce not been forced to be involved), spy satellites, the MOL program and the Shuttles first mission.

    2. Re:Not impressed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With respect 99% of the world disagrees with you. And the other 1% are in insane asylums.

    3. Re:Not impressed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, almost anybody familiar with exactly what the shuttle was agrees it was a terrible idea. There is a bit of hindsight but it's not entirely because even by the late 90s there were jokes how Russia's shuttle was nothing but a copy of the American shuttle, but the difference between the Russians and the Americans was that the Russians had the good sense to see it as the enormous money waste it was and cancel it long before the Americans did.

    4. Re:Not impressed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      sadly true; the space shuttle was a colossal waste of money. AWESOME TECHNOLOGY THOUGH!

      robots are much more effective than humans for space exploration. fuck they'll probably be more effective for space colonization. I don't know why everybody is so fucking hot to trot to go to mars as long as there is 1 square inch of undeveloped land left on earth. Antarctica is more habitable. send the robots first to build everything and call me when Utopia is ready.

    5. Re:Not impressed by Solandri · · Score: 1

      The Shuttle looked good on paper because the expectation during design and the accounting analysis was 1 launch a month, eventually ramping up to 1 launch a week. That would allow them to amortize the cost of all the personnel and facilities needed to maintain and operate the program over more launches, bringing down the cost per launch to less than for single-use rockets. That's why the program got the green light.

      It never lived up to that hope. For one thing, those damn heat-shielding tiles kept popping off. And each one was unique - every single one of them. When one popped off, someone had to figure out exactly which number tile it was, someone would have to go back to the plans and look up the exact shape to have a duplicate made, scrape off any remaining adhesive and residue, and glue the replacement tile in. Then someone would have to test it to make sure it was glued in right.

      That and lots of little things that come with operating the most complex machine ever made caused the turnaround time to prep a shuttle to balloon from the target 1 month, out to 4 months. Instead of 4 shuttles being launched 1 a week, we got one launch a month if everything went right. Not everything went right, so the actual launch rate was closer to one every 2.5 months. That caused a ten-fold increase in the payroll and facilities costs per launch - instead of being amortized over 50 launches a year, they were being amortized over 4.4 launches per year.

      That's what made it the most expensive launch system ever. The idea of reusing parts of the spacecraft is a fiscally sound one - SpaceX is doing just that to help drive down launch costs. It just never materialized with the Shuttle due to unforeseen design complexities. Without 20/20 hindsight, you cannot simultaneously criticize the Shuttle while applauding SpaceX (unless you're in the libertarian anti-government program camp).

    6. Re:Not impressed by k6mfw · · Score: 1

      Not really, Dale Myers explains in this 2005 MIT Open Course Ware video in 1971 he was faced that last Skylab flight for 1973 could have been the last manned spaceflight for the US. At that time Apollo Soyuz was not scheduled. Myers and other high level NASA officials were aware of inherent limitations of the Shuttle. The STS program could have easily not occur if 1972 was not an election year and Nixon had to get delegates from California and Florida (even though McGovern was trailing way behind). Listen to Dale Myers explain, he was there: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      This is one of 15 videos on systems engineering were MIT brought in several key people of the STS program. Including Kraft (I think) describing Frosch's meeting with Carter, "How much you need? Frosch, "$600 million." Carter, "I will get it." I was pleasantly surprised to see this story get more exposure. Though a partner like Mondale didn't help Shuttle but yet this is worth noting.

      Many other fascinating aspects in this video series (gets me thinking ISS must have a whole host of stories of the good, the bad, and the marginal). Aaron Cohen describes how his friends showed the 747 can ferry the orbiter when they built a RC model. Cohen said this made so many things in design much easier (no need for jet engines on orbiter, 747 can carry orbiter from many places including those if orbiter had to make emergency landings). Other aspects like orbiter goes through 15 different flight regimes during entry (no way a human can manually pilot it from Mach 25 to subsonic), also several tons of lead were placed in aft of orbiter for CG control. Yep, several tons of "useless mass" was brought up and down on 135 flights.

      --
      mfwright@batnet.com
  8. Jimmy Carter saved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    poor choice of words.

  9. Robots are discredited? News to me... by gweihir · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In fact, when I look for any successes in space exploration (and no, low earth orbit does not count as "exploration"), all I see is robots and what I see is that many of them are wildly successful.

    It seems the story writer is an idiot.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re: Robots are discredited? News to me... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know, right. C3PO would be so offended, and to discredit R2D2 just adds insult to injury.

      Now as for robot assassin thing in Texas, and dumb robot guard at that mall hurting children, I guess that's in the present, and the other past, and also in another galaxy, but I digress...

    2. Re:Robots are discredited? News to me... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Eric Berger is not an idiot. He wrote for the Houston Chronicle covering Space and Meteorology for years before taking the post at Ars Technia. He also started Space City Weather which is the go-to site during hurricane season.

      For what it's worth, I'm a huge space nerd and plan to go to JSC today. -T

  10. Carter: An Aerospace legend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    As President Jimmy Carter cut the B-1 bomber program for a new and very superior but also very secret technology called "Stealth." Because it was secret no one was allowed to tell the public. As a presidential candidate Reagan knew about "Stealth" and that it was the reason for the B-1 cutbacks, but he attacked Carter over the B-1 cutbacks anyway. Carter couldn't come out and say why. Well he could have, but he would have been an asshole. Carter was no asshole. As for the other guy... https://www.vice.com/read/list...

    1. Re:Carter: An Aerospace legend by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Carter leaked information about the stealth bomber for political gain.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    2. Re:Carter: An Aerospace legend by Mike+Van+Pelt · · Score: 1

      Carter leaked information about the stealth bomber for political gain.

      Some people want to drop that down the memory hole, but I remember the controversy at the time. (Yes, I'm old. Ooooold.)

      Compare with the Johnson/Goldwater campaign in 1964. Goldwater advocated bombing the Ho Chi Minh Trail to block North Vietnamese resupply of their forces in South Vietnam. LBJ went off on a "OMG reckless irresponsible gonna start WWIII WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!" tear, complete with TV ad of little girl picking daisies getting vaporized because of Barry Goldwater.

      Even though LBJ was, in fact, bombing the Ho Chi Minh trail, and Goldwater knew it. But the fact that it was being done was classified Top Secret, and Goldwater honored his commitment to not reveal what he'd found out in a classified briefing. And may well have lost the election because of it.

      An interesting question is, who this Top Secret classification was intended to keep the information from. It was not exactly a secret to the Cambodians or the NVA supply convoys that they were getting bombed. They were unlikely to keep this a secret from the Russians. No, the only people kept in the dark by this were the U.S. public.

  11. Wow, that's some serious spin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First, Jimmy as a non-fan of space, chokes the shuttle rpogram for cash for three years. Then one year out from re-election when his opponents were already accusing him of being weak on national security (disclaimer: I was in the US Navy and IMHO he was appallingly weak - half our ships were sailing unarmend) he needs the shuttle to claim he will be ableto verify an arms treaty he knows his opponents will use against him as the latest example of his weakness. To be clear: Carter did not "save the shuttle" as a supporter of NASA - he did it as a fig leaf for his horrific weakness on national security. This was about in the same time frame that he tried to cover for his obvious neglect of the US Air Force be leaking to the press that he was funding an "invisible plane" (most presidents fund military R&D that will reach usefulness after they are gone, but most do not leak it for political benefit. In fact Eisenhower and his V.P. Nixon kept their mouths shut about ICBM stuff during the 1960 campaign as JFK, then a Senator with a security clearance who KNEW better was running around campaigning on a "missile gap" he knew to be untrue and knew Nixon and Eisenhower would be unwilling to debunk).

    Second, his Vice President (Walter Mondale) was a life-long nasty opponent of NASA specifically and government science programs generally. In the immediate aftermath of the Apollo 1 fire, Walter (then a Senator) sought to use that disaster as a weapon to de-fund NASA and shift the money to his buy-votes-from-poor-people programs. Even Hollywood had to admit this, and you see it (portrayed mildly) in the HBO series "From The Earth to The Moon". Tom Hanks who did the series, as a lefty himself, is certainly not guilty of trying to have his actor portray Walter unfairly. The portrayal is mild but none-the-less unflattering.

    Some Democrats have done amazing things for NASA and space flight, but Jimmy is not one of them. LBJ (somebody I am politically inclined to oppose) was half of the team (with President Eisenhower) that wisely created NASA, and LBJ was a spectacular supporter of it. JFK was an enthusiast and famoulsy aimed it at the moon. What's less known is how he personally enjoyed updates on its progress, there's an interview with Jackie after Jack died where this is exposed. Senator Barbara Mikulski has been a fierce defender, though arguably becase Goddard is vital to her politics. Obama and Clinton clearly care/d little. If one wants to like a Democrat for space, Carter's not your boy. It's probably LBJ at #1 and JFK at #2.

    The Republicans have been quite a mixed bag. Eisenhower created NASA but wasnot interested in manned spaceflight - as a WWII general he wasmostly concerned about space for weather and strategic intelligence. Nixon liked NASA but wanted it on-the-cheap (which is how we got a shuttle cheaper to develop (on HIS time in office) but more expensive and risky to operate, for his successors to suck on). Reagan loved NASA and the shuttles, seeing them as symbols of American capability and resources for the American economy, diplomacy, etc. Bush41 just did not get "the vision thing" as he put it. Bush43 was offered the opportunity to (and was heavily lobbied to) kill NASA in the aftermath of the Columbia loss, but instead announced that NASA should send humans into space, but on missions whose risks made it worthwhile. He announced and started the program to go back to the moon and then on to Mars, before getting bogged-down in the middle east and underfunding it. He gats a good B+ for vision and a D- or worse for comittment and follow-through. It's probably RR at #1 and a tie between Ike and Bush43 for #2.

    1. Re:Wow, that's some serious spin by Eunuchswear · · Score: 2

      half our ships were sailing unarmend

      You may or may not have been in the Navy, but you are a lying bullshitter.

      --
      Watch this Heartland Institute video
    2. Re:Wow, that's some serious spin by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'm glad he stated that in the first paragraph. It relieved me of the necessity of reading the rest of his essay.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  12. Just so you know.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Enthused" is a verb. "Enthusiastic" is the word you were looking for.

  13. Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Crashmarik · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    As bad as the shuttle was we did get something back.

    "Social Programs" is code speak for graft corruption and patronage. Would have been better to stack up the money and burn it.

    1. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Black Science guy would beg to differ.

    2. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck you.

    3. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 0

      Spending on social programs is never wasted as it goes directly to the people who need it most.

      Do you have any evidence that it actually *helps* those people? I have nothing against feeding the hungry, but at some point wouldn't self-sufficiency be a loftier goal?

    4. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So the technology that makes up all those cell phones that black people use just sprung up from nowhere, right?

    5. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Beyond_GoodandEvil · · Score: 0, Troll

      The US space program is essentially a gigantic playtoy for white males
      I liked this better the first time I heard it. As for this bit, Spending on social programs is never wasted as it goes directly to the people who need it most. Yeah, that is an awfully big assumption, no corruption or misdirection of funds?.

      --
      I laughed at the weak who considered themselves good because they lacked claws.
    6. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then how do you explain this?

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=soXkFMO4ixI

    7. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by DarkVader · · Score: 0

      Social programs and the space program are both worthwhile things to spend money on.

      What we need to do is fully fund both, and cut the useless military and law enforcement spending.

    8. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Positing that food and water are the primary scarce resources that sustain life. You could live in a lean-to next to a tree if you had to, and wipe with leaves, but you must have food and water. We'll assume access to fresh water, as in most of the world, if you dig a deep enough hole, you'll find water. In some climates, heating fuel would also qualify as a required scarce resource, but it could follow the same model as food.

      Feeding the hungry goes against all notions of self-sufficency. That said, modern society is broken inasmuch as urban and suburban dwellers would be hard pressed to feed themselves on the tiny lots that they own, if they own any at all. So we obviously depend on others for food, if one lives in such a place, which most of us do.

      Normally, food is acquired in exchange for money, a measure of the value of labor. This is fine in an environment where labor is readily available, but what happens when it isn't? Do we let the excess population starve? This hasn't been where society has come down at any point, except in some notable cases like Nazi Germany, Ukraine in the 1930s, Mao's China - in other words, cruel totalitarian states. In Rome, and all Roman cities I am aware of, food distributions were common - mostly bread. But in that world, if you were truly starving, you could (mostly) find a place to homestead and grow your own food. Roman slavery (for that matter, also African slavery - ie, that practiced in Africa itself) was another way around this problem - you'd enslave yourself to be fed and clothed.

      The opportunities for homesteading aren't large today, due to lack of land to homestead on. So we need another solution. One solution that used to work was church-related charity. This would feed and clothe people, but in a haphazard manner, as in the soup kitchens of the 1930s. You could still fall through the cracks and starve. Governments decided to take over the process to make it more orderly and humane. So now here we are today.

      The options are either to feed the people or make them starve. I think you want them to work, which is a nice goal, but if there are no jobs for them, what are they going to do? Everyone says there are millions of jobs available for people like this, but that's not what I see on the ground. The US, at least, is mostly fully staffed up aside from the usual churn.

      Now, if you are suggesting a CCC style jobs program in exchange for food, luxuries and some job experience, I am all ears.

      Mind you, i'm possibly the most conservative person posting on this site.

    9. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      I always thought it would be better to enable people to create wealth than to hand it to them.

      social programs == mostly making people be parasites

    10. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      "The US space program.. inspires ... white supremacy" - DNS-and-BIND ( 461968 )

      Ah, there's a good reminder that some people are simply crazy and disconnected from reality.

      Frankly it's good to have these sort of people. Imagine if we censored him. Every post you'd see would have SOME semblance of truth. It's like that sanitary paradox. Kids gotta get a little dirty to develop an immune system. People have to come into contact with sheer balls-in-the-blender levels of crazy just so they maintain a certain level of skepticism.

    11. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      How many billion/year are we spending treating obesity related health issues among the 'poor'?

      There is a simple fact lost on many: You can either be poor or fat. If you are fat you are not poor.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    12. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Starving people don't make wealth. They break it.

      Social programs == mostly making people not starve.

    13. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      DarkVader to his wife one night, just before she left him: "What we really need to fund in our family is titties and beer, and fuck the useless food and housing."

    14. Re:Well Mondale was the bigger idiot by rubycodez · · Score: 1

      merely feeding starving people breeds a useless class of society

      They must be put on the path of wealth creation or the society will fail

  14. Discerdited notion? by Eunuchswear · · Score: 0

    adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe.

    What idiotic space cadet wrote this?

    What part of the universe has manned spaceflight explored since the 1980's?

    And what have unmanned probes done?

    --
    Watch this Heartland Institute video
  15. Pres carter by sunnydelight · · Score: 1

    Pres carter won the nobel peace prize for his work in the hospital/carter centre. he might get the international prize for aviation/travel, hopefully we get a mars exploration centre ready soon!

  16. Hindsight is 20/20 by sjbe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... held back usable, affordable space flight for several decades, this was one program that was not worth saving.

    That's obvious in hindsight. For those of us old enough to remember the shuttle when it was new I can tell you anyone who thought that about the shuttle at the time was mostly keeping it to themselves. Yes it was a dead end but it took a while to realize that. That happens sometimes. At the time the shuttle seemed like the next logical evolution of spaceflight.

    Unless, of course, all you care about in space flight is the feeling of awesomeness while getting exactly nowhere.

    Manned spaceflight has had tremendous benefit to humanity. The amount of technology development that has come from the manned program has been tremendous due to the challenge of the task. The information value of manned spaceflight is easy to overlook but it should not be. We've probably gotten more economic benefit from manned spaceflight than from probes and I would argue that the scientific value has been at least equal.

    The argument of probe vs manned space flight is an idiotic one. We need both. Probes can tell us things that would be hard to learn or take MUCH longer and are quite economical for many mission profiles. But there are many things we can only learn though manned spaceflight and the technology and economic side benefits tend to be bigger as well. We need both and to present it as an either/or really is doing all of us a huge disservice in the long run.

    1. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Gavagai80 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The reason manned spaceflight developed better technologies is that more money was thrown at it. Give robotic space exploration an Apollo-sized budget and we might see even greater technological advances. Imagine the tech we'd have to develop to drill into Europa, make submarines for Titan, construct rovers that can survive on Venus, or reach other star systems.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    2. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes it was a dead end but it took a while to realize that. That happens sometimes. At the time the shuttle seemed like the next logical evolution of spaceflight.

      I say realising that took a mite longer than necessary. Which isn't too surprising because the politics surrounding most anything of such size tends to focus entirely on the pork barrelling aspect. I'd call that criminally short-sighted behaviour of the people whose jobs it is supposed to be to represent and keep an eye on the big picture, not just look out for well-paying "friends".

      Manned spaceflight has had tremendous benefit to humanity.

      Be that as it may, that doesn't change that a lot of money was spent in ways that got poor returns, with too little eye for whether the returns were good enough, n'mind whether they could be better should the money be spent differently toward the same goal.

      I see you're conflating "space shuttle" with "manned space flight", which was not ment in the GPP (I know, for I wrote that); the point was and is that the space shuttle as a thing was massively overpriced. It wasn't the consolidation of the manned beachhead in space it was supposed to be, and as such it didn't deliver. As such it blocked, rather than enabled, follow-on development with its associated boons and benefits. From that naturally follows that the thing was a boondoggle.

      Seeing the anguish and the wailing when the thing finally got killed, the problems really weren't those of objective observation. I contend that it has long been obvious for those who chose to do the math that the thing was an over-priced under-performer, but as you say, nobody with anything to say in the matter wanted to see it. And from that we know the answer to the earlier question, nevermind that it was rhetorical.

    3. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      For those of us old enough to remember the shuttle when it was new I can tell you anyone who thought that about the shuttle at the time was mostly keeping it to themselves.

      Not really.

      http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/835107/posts

      Honest people with conviction (ie, not space nutters) knew the thing was a boondoggle.

      Manned spaceflight has had tremendous benefit to humanity. The amount of technology development that has come from the manned program has been tremendous due to the challenge of the task.

      Invert the premise and result. Technology progressed FIRST, *THEN* we used it in space. There is almost nothing about manned space flight that benefited humanity. WWII benefited humanity more, despite the death toll.
      WWII brought us digital voice encryption, radar, electronics, rockets, jet engines, atomic weapons, all which led up to the Space Age. Not the other way around. So sorry.
      Putting a bunch of test pilots in diapers into a metal tube full of kerosene accomplished very little overall.

      Oh and before you throw a fit about digital voice encryption in WWII:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SIGSALY

      Half the planet was already well underway to being computerized before Apollo. IBM is International Business Machines, not Space Machines.

      Space? It's a distant last in terms of benefits...

    4. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The reason manned spaceflight developed better technologies is that more money was thrown at it."

      By that logic, the Strategic Defense Initiative ... oh wait, that produced sweet fuck all. Sorry, some things just basically make no sense and will never, ever happen no matter how many B-52s full of cash you throw at it.

    5. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 0

      Right that explains why monkeys where in space first. Give it up douche bag. There is NO SCIENTIFIC VALUE in sending humans in space. The technological advances were gained in developing probes and rockets that can send probes into space. Look at the latest Juno probe. Look at the technological advances made there!

      It's ass-hats like you that set science back.

    6. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meh. One story in Washington Monthly, a center-left contrarian opinon 'zine with a circulation of about 20,000, is not really a movement. They weren't criticizing the shuttle because they thought it wouldn't lead to frequent low-cost spaceflight, they were criticizing the shuttle because it was government spending, period.

    7. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "That's obvious in hindsight."

      It sounds like it was obvious in foresight as well, as even at that time it was seeing major cost overruns and technology issues. To be fair you do have to expect some overruns/difficulties in a new technology development, but not by orders of magnitude. NASA estimated the shuttle to cost $43 Billion to develop and $54 million per launch (both 2011 inflation adjusted), for a total program cost of about $50 Billion. It ended up costing almost $200 Billion, 4 times the original estimate. That's a little like going in for an oil change that that has "All oil changes done for around $50" but when you come back you're met with a $200 dollar bill.

    8. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by chispito · · Score: 1

      We've probably gotten more economic benefit from manned spaceflight than from probes...

      The most economic benefit we've received from anything spaceflight related is from satellites.

      and I would argue that the scientific value has been at least equal.

      I don't think this is even close. From the Voyager program to climate satellites, we've learned far more from unmanned missions.

      --
      The Daddy casts sleep on the Baby. The Baby resists!
    9. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by rubycodez · · Score: 2

      Wrong, we have not had manned exploration of another world for over four decades. Almost all tech for the space program was developed for unmanned flights, before and after the moon program.

      The argument for manned space flight at this point in time is an idiotic one, only in the far future could there ever be any kind of benefit. The way we support human life at the present is too primative, prolonged habitation of any space craft or the ISS causes massive damage to the human body. It's not the right way

    10. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are missing the fact that the space program, both manned and unmanned, drew many into STEM. Education benefitted greatly.

      I am proud of the things America accomplished 30-40-50-60 years ago.

      Go back to your retard ranch and start over please.

    11. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      SDI financially broke the USSR you dolt.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    12. Re:Hindsight is 20/20 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh boo hoo, the bad man made fun of your worship of engineering failures that kill people.

  17. Exploring close to home and far by sjbe · · Score: 2, Informative

    low earth orbit does not count as "exploration"

    Disagree. With the caveat that it is exploration as long as you learn something. And we've learned a lot from our activities in nearby space. It doesn't have the pretty pictures we get from planetary probes but the technology and economic benefits we get from spaceflight are almost entirely from our activities in low to geosync orbit as is virtually all of what we have learned about biology in space. Those probes we send to Jupiter and Pluto have their technology developed and proven in our low earth orbit activities. What we are doing there is definitely exploration unless you are using a needlessly restricted definition of the word.

    It seems the story writer is an idiot.

    Saying robotic probes are "discredited" is clearly wrong. They have clear and substantial scientific value and they account for a large portion of our understanding of our solar system and astronomy data.

    1. Re:Exploring close to home and far by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By that logic, I can learn a lot by staying in my room for 18 months and ordering pizzas every day.

    2. Re:Exploring close to home and far by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

      Good lord go educate yourself. The majority of our knowledge about space comes from sending probes into space. Human exploration was a PR stunt. It was meant to divert people's attention away from the cold way and the fact we we were trying to weaponize space.

      You can stop dick riding human exploration. Not one scientist supports the preposition that human space exploration has any scientific value. Not too mention you overlook the ethical implications about sending people into space - since it will be a one way flight.

      A scientist you are not. We do not fan boys like you. We need serious minded individuals.

    3. Re:Exploring close to home and far by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed. You could even do space exploration!

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    4. Re:Exploring close to home and far by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed. The one thing we may eventually have is some manufacturing and mining capability in space, maybe even something like a permanent moon-base, but humans will play a small role in that, if any. Humans are mostly useless in space or on the moon (but it is a big problem to keep them alive and healthy), while robots are becoming more and more useful there every day.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  18. robotic probes discredited? by SkunkPussy · · Score: 1

    Why are robotic probes discredited?

    Getting humans into space is ok, but we can probably get shit loads of robotic probes all over the solar system for a fraction of the cost to get 1 human to mars...

    One thing that will help with humans is for us to come up with a commercial reason to have people living on the moon, as once its profitable then we'll find ourselves with a rapidly expanding colony (which will be amazing).

    --
    SURELY NOT!!!!!
  19. Both manned and unmanned spaceflight by sjbe · · Score: 2

    The reason manned spaceflight developed better technologies is that more money was thrown at it.

    R&D doesn't work quite like that. More money thrown into research does not automatically equal better results. It helps but the relationship isn't causal. The relationship is more of a correlation. You can throw a LOT of money into R&D and get very little to show for it sometimes. Similarly you often can get very good results without spending a fortune. What technology you get out of the R&D depends heavily on the problem domain. Some areas of research are more fertile ground for technology spinoffs than others. I have no doubt that more money thrown into space R&D (manned or unmanned) would result in better and faster advances but the reason manned spaceflight developed (generally) better tech had probably more to do with the problem domain and the ease of transfer to commercial applications than it did the budget.

    Give robotic space exploration an Apollo-sized budget and we might see even greater technological advances.

    We almost certainly would see greater advances. No argument there. But the thing is that the manned program necessarily develops technologies that are generally more transferable to human needs. The reasons for this should be obvious. Furthermore the Apollo budgets ended 40 years ago and despite substantially reduced budgets for manned spaceflight it has continued to be a treasure trove of valuable research and technology advances. I'd love to see both robotic and manned spaceflight go back to Apollo era budgets but to be frank that kind of misses the point. Whatever we do it is important to do both manned and unmanned space exploration. We would be negligent if we neglect one or the other.

    Imagine the tech we'd have to develop to drill into Europa, make submarines for Titan, construct rovers that can survive on Venus, or reach other star systems.

    And imagine the tech we would have to develop to GO to Europe or be in that submarine on Titan. You seem to have missed the point. I'm not arguing for manned or robotic spaceflight. I'm pointing out that we get a huge amount of benefit in the form of technology from our manned program AND our robotic programs and we'd be idiots to neglect either one. The benefits from each are different but I don't see one as more important than the other.

    1. Re:Both manned and unmanned spaceflight by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 2

      Unless you mean Tang there is nothing that resulted only from manned space flight that had any benefit on man-kind. It's a loss leader.

  20. Exploring the universe? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    First of all, define "explore". The ancients looked up with the NAKED EYE and figured out we had other planets! They didn't even know for sure about the atom or even mastered basic high school chemistry!
    Then we had people with telescopes who figured out these planets had moons of their own. All while sitting in their field stone houses in Medieval Europe.
    The universe is billions of light years across, we "explore" it by taking pictures.
    Sometimes we take better pictures by sending cameras in a box on top of a rocket.
    Once in a while, we need to make a big fireworks spectacle to scare the neighbors so we send test pilots on the Moon, or more test pilots to fly around in a tin can.
    So what?
    Manned space exploration has always been about sitting on your chair and thinking.
    Space emotion has always been about test pilots in orange jump suits and Depends.

  21. credit to the Empire by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Star Wars uses cheap probe droids. Star Trek uses expensive ships, with human crews.... Star Wars seems more realistic. Advanced robotics, but still poor people in the backwater planets. Use of limited AIs for slave duty.... Maybe Starfleet is really like the military industrial complex of the US, seeking to extract wealth if possible.

    1. Re:credit to the Empire by TemporalBeing · · Score: 1

      Star Wars uses cheap probe droids. Star Trek uses expensive ships, with human crews.... Star Wars seems more realistic. Advanced robotics, but still poor people in the backwater planets. Use of limited AIs for slave duty.... Maybe Starfleet is really like the military industrial complex of the US, seeking to extract wealth if possible.

      Gene Roddenberry would have a fit over that one. He wanted Star Fleet to be the Utopia provider of Peace - and represent everything the US was not. Star Trek was as much political in that nature as anything else.

      Star Wars? Lucas didn't have any kind of big political agenda - he was too fresh out of college for that; he was just a story teller having fun. Things tended more towards realism (life) and fantasy (the force) as a result.

      --
      Truth is like the sun. You can shut it out for a time, but it ain't goin' away. - Elvis Presley (source: imdb.com)
  22. manned space flight is a tiny market by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In 2015, only 12 people went to outer space on 4 Soyuz flights. There are 2 operational astronaut rockets & capsules in the world right now: The Russian Soyuz-FG, and the Chinese Long March 2F with Shenzhou. India is developing their own capusle. The United States has a modified Dragon, the Orion, and CST-100... Me thinks America should be willing to buy capsules from China, and later India, and use criminals...

  23. Saved the space shuttle, killed the metric system by mark-t · · Score: 2

    Pretty amazing what a fella can do with only 4 years to do it in.

  24. FTFY by Snufu · · Score: 1

    'discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for convincing Americans to fund NASA on a grand scale.'

  25. Since discredited? Been to Mars lately? by number6x · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Since discredited? Been to Mars lately?

    Mars is a planet entirely populated by robots.

    We built the robots and sent them there, but it is still a planet entirely populated by robots.

    1. Re:Since discredited? Been to Mars lately? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And that was already true in the 70s - the Viking landers were surprisingly long-lived.

    2. Re:Since discredited? Been to Mars lately? by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Mars is a planet entirely populated by robots.

      ...and so it starts.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  26. Carter's True Legacy by Baldrson · · Score: 1

    So it was Jimmy Carter that delayed the privatization of commercial launch services by decades?

    What a legacy!

    1. Re:Carter's True Legacy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Surprised you were able to let go of Elon's cock long enough to post that. Commercial launch services are a joke, but not because of anything related to NASA or any other government space agency. Nice trolling, though.

  27. Reagan trading arms for hostages by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    No, Iran contra was half a dozen years later. Do you idiots even wiki this shit?

    The scandal was revealed later. The Reagan administration started trading arms for hostages somewhat earlier (exactly how much earlier depending on which sources you think reliable). Their public posture was "no negotiating with hostage takers." Their private position, however, was "do anything it takes to avoid major public relations failure, so keep all negotiations with hostage takers secret."

    There are people who say that the Reagan administration was negotiating arms to Iran as early as 1980-- here, for example: www.nytimes.com/1991/04/15/world/new-reports-say-1980-reagan-campaign-tried-to-delay-hostage-release.html

    This is sometimes called the "October Surprise Conspiracy Theory":
    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_Surprise_conspiracy_theory

  28. Spinoff technologies by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Unless you mean Tang there is nothing that resulted only from manned space flight that had any benefit on man-kind. It's a loss leader.

    First off, Tang didn't come from the space program. It was developed by General Foods in 1957. It was used in the space program which popularized it but NASA had nothing to do with its creation.

    Second, you couldn't be more wrong that nothing came out of the manned program. Here are just a few of the highlights from the manned program: Infrared ear thermometers, ventricular assist devices, advanced artificial limbs, LEDs in medical therapies, invisible braces, temper foam, enriched baby food, portable cordless vacuums, water purification, pollution remediation, improved food safety, lightweight breathing systems, safety grooving on runways, scratch resistant lenses, remote controlled ovens, and the list goes on and on.

    1. Re:Spinoff technologies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please describe the causal link between having to put a man into a metal tube and your list of supposed spinoffs?

      How much cheaper would it have been to subsidize students or engineers directly?

      It's a pretty convoluted way to develop things, don't you think?

      And how did people invent things before rockets?

  29. Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in article] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

    I will suggest instead that the problem with the shuttle was that it was kept in service so long.

    In the 1960s, we went from launching humans on Redstone, to Titan-II, to Saturn 1B, to Saturn V. Four generations of human launch vehicles in ten years.

    In the 1970s, we developed: shuttle. One vehicle in a decade.

    In the 1980s, we developed-- nothing new.

    The problem isn't that the shuttle didn't turn out to be as cheap and as reliable as it had been expected to be. The problem is that we stopped the practice of try something, learn what works and what doesn't, and then design something new.

    You learn by doing. It's no flaw if something doesn't work as well as you hoped... that's the way to find out, to try it. But that only works as long as you can learn from it and design something better the next time.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  30. Space Shuttle TRUCK by p51d007 · · Score: 0

    Worst mistake NASA ever made. The Space Shuttle, as DESIGNED would have been much safer that what actually came about. The biggest issue, was the shuttle DID NOT EXPLORE. We'd just come off the moon program, the F-1 engines in the Saturn V launch vehicle were so damn good, out of all of the flights of the Saturn V (each booster had 5 engines), only ONE failed during flight. Had development continued, we would have explored the moon like we should have, established a "base" for research and could possibly used it as a jumping off point for Mars, but, once we "beat the Russians" to the moon, the public pretty much turned a blind eye to space, dealing with Vietnam, the Watergate scandal and on and on. Nasa took a backseat, and wanted something "exciting". Talks of building a space station, using the shuttle banded about. It's a shame the Apollo program was left to die on the vine, the potential was very good, we'd have a permanent station on the moon now. I was 10 years old when we landed on the moon...just wonder what might have been.

  31. But... by uncle+slacky · · Score: 1
    --
    Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it.
  32. this is all that's wrong with bleeding hearts by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 1

    Walter Mondale, was a vehement foe of human space flight programs, maintaining that money spent on them were better used for social programs.

    Real science, not to be confused with sociology much less various protected group studies, results in so much return on investment that it boggles the mind that the government doesn't do more of it. Social programs on the other hand tend to beget more social problems. Particularly as they are formed to suppress a disliked group and elevate a protected class. I have no problem with safety nets. I have huge problems with people being idle and unproductive.

    1. Re:this is all that's wrong with bleeding hearts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Russia beat you into space. Where are their returns on investment? Oh wait... They had a different *social model*? Huh.

  33. Hindsight is 2020 by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    There is a bit of hindsight

    You got it. Hindsight is perfect.

    but it's not entirely because even by the late 90s there were jokes how Russia's shuttle was nothing but a copy of the American shuttle, but the difference between the Russians and the Americans was that the Russians had the good sense to see it as the enormous money waste it was and cancel it long before the Americans did.

    The Russians cancelled Buran in 1993. If it had been obvious without the clarity of hindsight that the shuttle had been a bad idea, they wouldn't have started the program in the first place. Cancelling Buran in 1993 is no evidence that it was obvious in 1976 that the shuttle would be a terrible idea.

    If you're suggesting that it was obvious that it was a terrible idea in 1976, you need to show this using what was known in 1976.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Hindsight is 2020 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, four eyes, how's this for "hindsight"

      http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/835107/posts

      I know in your cozy little echo chamber populated by nothing but arrested adolescents and adult man-children you probably never read that. It came out in 1980.

    2. Re:Hindsight is 2020 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's not true. It isn't necessarily the concept of a shuttle was a bad idea, it was the STS implementation of that idea. The Russians avoided many of the problems that made the shuttle expensive and heavy. The Buran was 9% lighter than the STS, which was 20% over the specified weight. The Buran only had small onboard engines without highly toxic propellant. The Buran didn't have solid fuel boosters. And the Buran didn't have each and every aerospace company involved.

      Even without hindsight, the STS program was a terrible idea. Already in 1970, people had doubts and criticism, but it had already grown too big to stop it. Here's at least one link to back that up:

      https://www.technologyreview.com/s/423731/one-small-misstep/

    3. Re:Hindsight is 2020 by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      Interesting article, but hardly good evidence that the shuttle was clearly a bad idea viewed from the vantage of 1976. Writing forty years after the decision it is discussing, the article concludes: "So was the shuttle the right path or not? That’s debatable."

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    4. Re:Hindsight is 2020 by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      I like the way he says "he Russians had the good sense to see it as the enormous money waste it was". It was more like the Russians had the good sense to run out of money.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    5. Re:Hindsight is 2020 by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      You complain about an echo chamber, yet you link to one?

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    6. Re:Hindsight is 2020 by tsotha · · Score: 1

      You might try actually reading the link. It's a reprint from Washington Monthly.

    7. Re:Hindsight is 2020 by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

      Then why not link to the actual source?

      --
      Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
    8. Re:Hindsight is 2020 by tsotha · · Score: 1

      A google search doesn't turn up a source. It's an article from 1980 that doesn't appear to be on the WM site.

  34. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The problem is that you hit material and physical limits. That's the end of the space fantasies, you neck-bearded virgin. Look at air travel, same thing there too, a lot of development in a short period, then... coasting. We don't even have the Concorde anymore, you four-eyed sci-fi writing nerd.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_function

    I'm sorry you're so emotionally invested in dead fantasies and metal boxes that go into space that you can't see the reality that's right in front of you.

    And in case you don't get it, here are those realities:
    1) Manned "space exploration" is a joke, it always was. Vannevar Bush knew it, why don't you?
    2) Space is a dead end, it's a deadly empty radiation-blasted vacuum with less in it than a vacuum tube.
    3) There are no space spinoffs, the technology came first.
    4) It's over, finished, done. The Space Age fantasies will never, ever happen. Ever.

  35. His worst mistake by cellocgw · · Score: 1

    Disclaimer: I voted for him both times.

    It isn't even a matter of manned vs. unmanned exploration. The Space Shuttle was the Universe's most cost-overridden project ( until the F35 came along). The original promise was that the materials scientists would produce a monohull insulating layer. The moment they gave up and announced it would take 70-zillion separate, custom "bricks" , the program should have been shut down. Heck, it would have been cheaper to shoot astronauts 3 at a time on Sat-Vs, shoot up some payloads & return vehicles (modded Apollo3s) etc. than what it cost to build and maintain the shuttle fleet.

    --
    https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
    1. Re:His worst mistake by slew · · Score: 1

      Disclaimer: I voted for him both times.

      It isn't even a matter of manned vs. unmanned exploration. The Space Shuttle was the Universe's most cost-overridden project ( until the F35 came along). The original promise was that the materials scientists would produce a monohull insulating layer. The moment they gave up and announced it would take 70-zillion separate, custom "bricks" , the program should have been shut down. Heck, it would have been cheaper to shoot astronauts 3 at a time on Sat-Vs, shoot up some payloads & return vehicles (modded Apollo3s) etc. than what it cost to build and maintain the shuttle fleet.

      But think of the *jobs*, I mean think of the the *children* supported by those *jobs* (don't you remember the booming job market in the 70's)...

      Don't kid yourself, they didn't burn the money, the money was spent to create jobs, not a space shuttle. Unfortunately, the government isn't very efficient when spending money to create jobs (lots of it gets lost in pockets along the way), but that's something you can't fix with money. Well, maybe campaign money is arguably what makes it inefficient, so maybe you can fix the government with *less* money.

      I think retrospectively, Shuttle program and the Airbus A380 and A400 programs are probably the most comparable here... The F35 is an order of magnitude above these...

  36. ugh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    saving something not worth saving is not worth praising.

    the shuttle was fail writ large.

  37. Discredited? Really? by duckintheface · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe." Uh, forgot a source for this one. :) Not only are robotic probes "adequate" but they are essential, since humans are fragile bags of water that can't withstand heat, cold, radiation, or lack of oxygen.

    I wonder how much more knowledge about our solar system we would have if we hadn't wasted so much money and political capital on human space flight. And please don't tell me we are going to send humans on a generation ship to Wolf 1061c. (maybe frozen embryo's to be raised by an AI but that's it)

    --
    "He took a duck in the face at 250 knots." -- William Gibson, Pattern Recognition
  38. He was the kind of pres people THINK they want. by hey! · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Reagan scared the crap out of a lot of the rest of the world.

    Which only a fool thinks is a good thing. But there are a lot of fools who fantasize about other people being submissive toward them because they're scared. The problem is that scared people don't necessarily act submissively. They often respond aggressively as well.

    Put in a Cold War context, the Soviets and the US were in a Mexican standoff, with both sides having their hammers cocked and fingers on the nuclear trigger. In that situation you don't want to alarm anyone, but that is exactly what the senile fool did.

    That summed up the election right there, Americans didn't want another 4 more years of someone who could be attacked by a rabbit.

    I voted in that election, and I remember it well. You capture the way people were thinking accurately, but not critically. Anyone can be attacked by a (possibly rabid) animal; it wasn't a real issue. There were three actual substantive things people were reacting to in the election: (1) stagflation, (2) the Iran hostage crisis, (3) the energy crisis. While Carter's leadership style might leave a lot to be desired, it's hard to criticize his actions in any of these situations.

    (1) Stagflation was the result of his and Paul Volker's successful attempt to ward off imminent hyperinflation by a combination of austerity (reducing the federal debt-to-gdp ratio of 3.3%) and sky high Federal Funds rates. Economic growth resumed pretty much in sync with the reductions in Fed interest rates, in fact under the last Carter budget (Presidents in their first year govern under their predecessor's last budget). Arguably milder steps might have done the job without causing the recession, but the fact that inflation continued even as the Federal Funds rate hit 20% suggest that weaker measures wouldn't have worked.

    (2) Carter's handling of the Iran crisis is probably what brought his presidency down, but it came down to this: the military was still dealing with the aftermath of the Vietnam war and couldn't execute the rescue mission successfully. Contrary to popular myth Carter actually raised military spending, from 282 billion under the last Ford budget to 303 billion under the last Carter budget. Yes, some big programs were eliminated or trimmed, but ironically operations and maintenance was a major area of increased spending in Carter's budgets.

    (3) The second oil crisis was caused by the Iran Iraq War. In response Carter deregulated oil prices, which caused domestic production to rise and imports to fall.

    In short, Carter was the kind of president people think they want: honest, prudent, and responsible willing to do unpopular things because they were right. Had two of the eight helicopters in Operation Eagle Claw failed instead of three, he'd be remembered very differently.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    1. Re:He was the kind of pres people THINK they want. by lars_stefan_axelsson · · Score: 1

      Had two of the eight helicopters in Operation Eagle Claw failed instead of three, he'd be remembered very differently.

      Well, that's not necessarily true. Eagle Claw was a horribly complex affair that probably wouldn't have worked anyway. It's highly probable, that with more helicopters available it would just have failed later, with more spectacular casualties.

      As a matter of fact, the failure led to sweeping changes in the US special operations community, leading directly to the establishment of SOCOM. This wouldn't have happened if the operation had failed just because of a couple of helicopters with poor maintenance record. Instead the powers that be could no longer ignore the glaring problems and lack of capability at all levels of the US military establishment when it came to operations like this, and a whole command was established to deal with them.

      --
      Stefan Axelsson
  39. Most current NASA programs were funded by Bush by CrashNBrn · · Score: 1
    Juno was a success—but there is precious little coming after it

    Advisor claims Obama "revitalized" planetary science, but the opposite is true.

    Casey Dreier, director of space policy for The Planetary Society

    "Now the Obama legacy is, unfortunately, going to be that NASA’s presence in the Solar System is going to be diminished, particularly in the outer Solar System," Dreier said. "When Obama leaves office, every mission in the outer Solar System except for New Horizons will be ending in 2017. Juno, Cassini—those are done in 2017. Dawn ends, too. New Horizons is way out in the Kuiper belt. And that’s it. It’s the first time the United States hasn’t had a presence in the outer Solar System since 1972 when they launched Pioneer 10."

    1. Re:Most current NASA programs were funded by Bush by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      First off, New Horizons and Juno are pretty much the ONLY missions that were funded out of W's admin. And even that was barely. W's ppl did NOT want either of these, esp. New Horizons. They wanted all of the money to go to Constellation.
      OTOH, Obama has had to not only deal with everything being underfunded at NASA under W's admin, but, they ignored many of the REAL needs. For example, W's admin blew 10s' of billion on Constellation and had NOTHING to show for it due to being a job's bill.
      In addition, it was shown that we would not be able to do anything with Constellation as it was way too expensive to launch.
      Then we had the issue of running out of Pu-238 for radioisotope thermal generators. So, it was O that had to push this over BOTH the GOP and Dems (mostly dems though).
      in fact, Obama had to take from planetary exploration to keep CCDev going. Personally, I love automated exploration. BUT, the issue is that we need to lower the costs to explore space. With FH coming soon, along with Dragon V2, we will be able to see more science to ANY LOCATION IN THE SOLAR SYSTEM for a FRACTION OF THE COSTS NEW HORIZON OR JUNO.
      Yes, FH will be able to send 14 tonnes to Mars for that 120M. IOW, for less than 1/3 of what it costs us to use DIVH, we will send 2x as much cargo. THat is a great trade.
      BUT, it still gets better. Red Dragon is being built and will be able to put 2 tonnes on the surface of Mars. And this is for 200M TOTAL (FH and Red Dragon).
      If this is truly accomplished, that means that we can send 2-3 missions to Mars, Jupiter, etc for less than what it costs to do Juno.
      The ability to land 2 tonnes on Mars, OR multiples tonnes on one of the Jupiter moons, OR put multiple tonnes on Cerres is huge.
      In fact, combined with the MMRTG, a red dragon should make the ideal lander for numerous areas throughout the solar system.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Most current NASA programs were funded by Bush by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      In a nutshell, because of first W, and then O, funding new space, I think that we are about to witness an explosion in growth in space that we have not seen since the 60s.
      If BFR really will lift 200-250 tonnes to LEO for less than 300 million, that will also change things even more. Oddly, to keep its costs down, it had to be launched at least 1 / quarter, if not 1/month. For all intents and purposes, that means that we will go to the moon because it is cheap. That will then lead to going to Mars.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  40. Tech transfer by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Please describe the causal link between having to put a man into a metal tube and your list of supposed spinoffs?

    Go research it yourself. There is a great article on wikipedia to get you started regarding NASA spinoffs.

    How much cheaper would it have been to subsidize students or engineers directly?

    It wouldn't be cheaper. It would be substantially more expensive because the research was undirected. Spinoffs come from solving one problem and finding a use for the technology elsewhere. If you don't solve the original problem you don't develop the technology to spin off. It's not the only way to do things but undirected research is difficult to fund and justify. Engineers don't go around solving problems at random as a general proposition. Students rarely solve serious engineering problems at all.

    It's a pretty convoluted way to develop things, don't you think?

    Not at all. It's exactly how it is done in pretty much all universities and government research labs and it works tremendously well. Go talk to anyone at a technology transfer office at a university if you need clarification.

    And how did people invent things before rockets?

    Rather a stupid question I think. Not going to bother with this one either.

    1. Re:Tech transfer by bigdavex · · Score: 2

      It wouldn't be cheaper. It would be substantially more expensive because the research was undirected. Spinoffs come from solving one problem and finding a use for the technology elsewhere. If you don't solve the original problem you don't develop the technology to spin off. It's not the only way to do things but undirected research is difficult to fund and justify. Engineers don't go around solving problems at random as a general proposition. Students rarely solve serious engineering problems at all.

      The proposed alternative to directed engineering for space flight is directed engineering for other stuff, not random engineering. I think space exploration is neat, but I reject the argument that it's uniquely justified because it's hard and creates spin-offs.

      Curing cancers is hard. Building fusion reactors is hard. Detecting gravity waves is hard. If those things are more important (and they arguably are), then do those things and hope they accidentally apply to the space program.

      What idiot would argue that the trying to cure cancer would be more likely to advance rocket design than trying to design better rockets? Why is the inverse considered a serious argument? It's just propaganda for people who don't think space exploration is neat.

      --
      -Dave
  41. You have no facts, just insults by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I was there. In 1978 my ship had to arm at Seal Beach CA with weapons on the way out on westpac from a returning ship disarming as it reached the west coast.This was unusual in the good sense for that time. Many ships includng ones aboard which I had friends, were returning to Pearl Harbor from Subic Bay, from Japan, and from other westpac activities, unloading their ordnance there and returning to CONUS unarmed. Outbound ships between CA and Hawaii were often unarmed, picking up the ordnance they were sharing when they got to Pearl. This included air-launched ordnance, surface-to-air missiles and vulcan ammunition. When you added the unarmed ships in the pacific between Pearl and the west coast to the ships on the west coast undergoing maintenance, training, etc this meant a huge part of the fleet was unarmed and would have been caught flat-footed had war broken out. It was a distater in the making. Morale also was awful and drug use aboard ships was rampant. I was still in the Navy when Reagan took over and things changed rapidly. People hooked on hard drugs were drummed-out. People just using pot but otherwise clean were allowed to get off the drugs if they wanted to stay in. by the middle of the 1st Reagan term ships had enough ordnance to go around. I will NEVER forget the amazing transormation and no runt in mommy's basement trying to re-write history will convince me to believe his revisionist lies based on the flinging of a single expletive. Sorry, bubs.

    Given the choice between my own two Mk.I eyeballs, and the insult of an internet troll, I choose my eyes.

    There were GREAT Democrats on defense who were serious about defending this nation and the west generally, but the last of the good ones was JFK who modern Democrats would despise for his muscular foreign policies and massive nuclear weapons arsenal. LBJ was strong, but more derailed into Vietnam than Bush was in Iraq. Jimmy Carter was an absolute nightmare. The man plunged the economy into double-digit unemployment, double-digit interest rates, double-digit inflation, his foreign policy was so bad we had gas rationing (you could only get gas for your car on certain days based on your license plate number). There is NO stat by which Obama inherited something worse from the feckless Bush43 than what Reagan inherited from the moron Carter. If you are defending that total bozo, you were clearly not there, or you are the sort who cheers at car crashes, plane crashes and train wrecks. There is a REASON why Reagan was re-elected in 1984 in a 49-state landslide (trouncing Mondale, the NASA hater coincidentally). Think about it.

  42. Probes are discredited? by HeckRuler · · Score: 2

    how President Jimmy Carter saved the space shuttle program.

    I like Carter. But I guess no one is perfect.

    tl;dr: They told Carter that the shuttle would help spy on and verify Russia's compliance with arms treaties.

    President Carter was not all that enthused about human space flight to begin with, adhering to the since discredited notion that robotic space probes were adequate for exploring the universe.

    ...what? Robotic space probes are most certainly adequate for exploring the universe. At least they are now. In 1978, they had just launched Voyager 1, which was a huge success, right? So it was looking pretty true THEN as well. Jimmy was right on the ball. Just how and when was this crazy notion of sending tools into space discredited?

    But ANYWAY, the space shuttle program was a bit of a boondogle. It wasn't worthless, and it achieved a great many things. But all in all, there were better solutions and it never delivered on it's big selling points:

    - It wasn't cheaper and faster

    - It never captured Russian satellites and brought them back to earth for reverse engineering

    Back in 1970, to win Department of Defense support at the program’s outset, NASA had redesigned the shuttle to launch national security payloads. Now, that decision paid off

    ...Why put the payload inside of the shuttle on top of rocket and not just put the payload on top of a rocket like before and after the shuttle?

    1. Re:Probes are discredited? by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      " Robotic space probes are most certainly adequate for exploring the universe." qft.

      I've found some interesting conversations from various commenters (as usual), tangentially related (as usual), but, TFS tells me that someone is trying to sell an agenda, so I'm not going to follow the click-bait (as usual).

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  43. Re:Saved the space shuttle, killed the metric syst by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You have no idea . . .

    As in, you have no idea how much I love to see that be such a fucking thorn in your side!!

    [ROFL on floor laughing]

    Fuck you and your metric system. We ain't changin'.

    Trump 2016.

  44. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Rei · · Score: 1

    One word in response to you:

    Diazepam.

    --
    Hourglass says she knows a kid in Iowa who grows up to be president.
  45. Complementary by sjbe · · Score: 1

    The most economic benefit we've received from anything spaceflight related is from satellites.

    Fair point. However bear in mind that manned spaceflight has been an integral part of many of those satellites. Hubble not the least among them. Servicing a satellite in space (currently) often requires a manned mission so it's not as if they are neatly on one side of the ledger or the other. A lot of that value from satellites would never have been realized without a manned space program. Furthermore some of the potentially most valuable things we might ever do in space will probably require humans to actually go there. It will take humans longer to get to someplace like Mars but once we are there we will be able to do far more than most machines. We are the most adaptable "machines" we have access to even if we are comparatively fragile.

    Again, I'm not trying to argue in favor of one or the other. I think both are necessary and both are valuable. Having both makes us better off than choosing just one or the other. They complement each other.

    and I would argue that the scientific value has been at least equal.

    I don't think this is even close. From the Voyager program to climate satellites, we've learned far more from unmanned missions.

    Completely disagree. We learned a VAST amount from the Mercury, Gemini and Apollo missions as well as later manned missions and arguably much of the most valuable information came from learning how to keep people alive in space. We learned many things that we would never have learned from just sending up probes and satellites. To pick a random example I would argue that something like learning about the effects of prolonged zero-g on the human body is every bit as valuable as something like pictures of Pluto and it may have a lot more potential application back here on Earth. It's hard to compare the value of random bits of science but I take strong issue with the notion that the science we've gathered from our manned expeditions is any less valuable than what we've gotten from probes.

  46. Hubble and Spy Satellites by tomhath · · Score: 2

    The shuttle was never about science.

    The reason for the shuttle was to launch, repair, and recover spy satellites. It was also used to launch and repair the Hubble (which is nothing more than a spy satellite looking up instead of down).

  47. Usual Ars crap by Badlight · · Score: 1

    As usual, the Ars Technofools have completely and totally missed the point:

    The shuttle program should have been canceled. It was a wasteful boondoggle with no purpose other than the one-up the Soviets; unless you want to add it to the Cold War strategy of forcing the USSR to spend money on similar boondoggles, but look how that turned out.

  48. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    The problem is that you hit material and physical limits. That's the end of the space fantasies, you neck-bearded virgin. Look at air travel, same thing there too, a lot of development in a short period, then... coasting. We don't even have the Concorde anymore, you four-eyed sci-fi writing nerd.

    Wow. I'm flattered that you actually went to the trouble of reading my bio. If I had mod points, I'd mod you up one just for that (except obviously I can't, since I've already commented in the thread.)

    Yeah, in my own 20-20 hindsight, I now wish I'd managed to take a trip on the Concorde back when it was still flying. Talk about the glorious but un-economical engineering dreams of the '70s!

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  49. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here's one for you: Haldol. It comes in subcutaneous form, you can get rid of your space voices for 6 months at a time!

  50. Re:Discredited? Really? by coastwalker · · Score: 2

    Agreed robotic space probes ARE adequate for exploring the universe. The only reason anyone sends meat sacks into space these days is to do experiments on low orbit space stations. Going anywhere further requires wasting money at a rate that only politicians flattering their own vanity can afford. The last time humans were part of the space race was in the 1970's.

    --
    Facts are history now plebs have politics for religion on social media.
  51. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Talk about the glorious but un-economical engineering dreams of the '70s!"

    But the vastly more impractical, unrealistic and utterly non-viable space fantasies, those are great, huh?

    Oh, and the Concorde was many things, but it was not a dream; it was, unlike your brain-rotting space pablum, actually built!

    You want dreams from the 1970s that were never, and will never, be built? O'Neill habitats.

  52. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What is the source of all of this anger on your part? And is it an "Oh, I'm so goddamn angry!" sort of rage, or a "I am a righteous sword of truth, you all suck and I'm great!" sort of rage?

    This is a genuine curiosity, as I don't quite understand how a person like you thinks.

  53. instantaneously discredited by epine · · Score: 1

    That would be the story submission, instantaneously discredited by the Slashdot effect, in vitro. Wish that happened more often.

    What a buffoonish POV shill to stick in there.

  54. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A person like me thinks like this: When I was a child/teen, I also believed all the emotional nonsense that NASA wrapped around space. Then, as I grew up, I saw it as the ridiculous facade it is. Then I realized the time and energy I wasted when I was young, and I don't want YOU to waste that time either.

    Now what *I*'m curious about, is why do you see anger?

  55. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 1

    What is the source of all of this anger on your part? And is it an "Oh, I'm so goddamn angry!" sort of rage, or a "I am a righteous sword of truth, you all suck and I'm great!" sort of rage?

    This is a genuine curiosity, as I don't quite understand how a person like you thinks.

    *nod* This seems to be the case with all the self-proclaimed "anti-Space Nutters". And yet, according to these folks, those of us who attempt to take a rational view of the issue are the "obsessives". Projection much?

    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  56. Re:Saved the space shuttle, killed the metric syst by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do realise that nearly every other country on the planet uses it, and that US companies bear the costs for conversion, right?

  57. Re:Discredited? Really? by lucien86 · · Score: 1

    Depends on whether you have tiny primitive space programs like what we have today or something far more. The joke is that our stuff is so primitive that we can only fly it once then its thrown away. In comparison to what is or may be possible we're just space cavemen.

    --
    Below the speed of light Special Relativity is one of the most accurate theories in physics - above the speed of light..
  58. Re:Shuttle, Saturn [Re:Interesting quote in articl by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So it's more sort of a "disappointment that what I wanted to see when I was older hadn't happened" sort of thing?

    Now what *I*'m curious about, is why do you see anger?

    The constant name-calling? Including to people who have hardly even commented on the topic that you're mad about? In case you didn't notice, but nobody else here is doing that. Because that's not how adults generally behave unless they're in some sort of rage.

  59. Re:Saved the space shuttle, killed the metric syst by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Whoop-d-fucking-do.

    See the look of concern on my face?

    Yeah, me neither. Cuz it ain't there.