Clinton Urged To Challenge Election Results Due To Possible Hacking [Update] (cnn.com)
Reader Bruha writes: After examining results in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin computer scientists have discovered Clinton averaged 7% worse in counties with e voting machines vs. counties with only paper or optical scan ballots.From a CNN report:The computer scientists believe they have found evidence that vote totals in the three states could have been manipulated or hacked and presented their findings to top Clinton aides on a call last Thursday. The scientists, among them J. Alex Halderman, the director of the University of Michigan Center for Computer Security and Society, told the Clinton campaign they believe there is a questionable trend of Clinton performing worse in counties that relied on electronic voting machines compared to paper ballots and optical scanners, according to the source. The group informed John Podesta, Clinton's campaign chairman, and Marc Elias, the campaign's general counsel, that Clinton received 7% fewer votes in counties that relied on electronic voting machines, which the group said could have been hacked.Halderman wrote more about it on Medium today in an article titled, "Want to Know if the Election was Hacked? Look at the Ballots"
Update: Green party candidate Jill Stein is asking for donations to fund a recount of her own in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, which are the states key to Hillary Clinton's surprising loss. Stein says she must raise $2.5 million by Friday 4 pm central time to proceed.
Editor's note: the story has been updated and moved up on the front page.
Update: Green party candidate Jill Stein is asking for donations to fund a recount of her own in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, which are the states key to Hillary Clinton's surprising loss. Stein says she must raise $2.5 million by Friday 4 pm central time to proceed.
Editor's note: the story has been updated and moved up on the front page.
Here we go, time to sit back and watch the show that is titled "America"
The DNC knows there was hacking because they've done it before and did it this election too. What a surprise.
Is this part of the fake news? Or is it actually real news? Or is it Clinton being a sore loser. The DNC and Clinton doesn't really have a leg to stand on though, especially after fixing their own primary to make sure she was the candidate.
Om, nomnomnom...
I am not an American, but I was wondering if Clinton Campaign can -- at least hypothetically -- really challenge the results? I mean, is it a thing?
Because Diebold et al have steadfastly refused to provide a verifiable paper trail, claiming it's too complicated, or incorporate any kind of audit log, we will never know if the votes which people cast were correctly recorded.
This applies to anyone during any election these machines have been in place, not only this one.
We will bankrupt ourselves in the vain search for absolute security. -- Dwight D. Eisenhower
The American political cluster-fuck continues. There's no end in sight. And away we continue, one and all.
This is like calling on the electors to not choose Trump, or come up with all sorts of far fetched plans that would somehow put Clinton on the big seat. Look at the county results map. Even if the DNC can somehow find a technicality to avoid a Trump presidency, the result will be more or less a civil war imo. There is no way that the actual people in those red counties are going to let 'the big city folks' put Trump aside.
I am not a big fan of him either. Nor of Hillary for that matter. But at this point it's gone so far that either he becomes president or you'll have riots from coast to coast.
Having read earlier reports of this analysis, I'm going to have to respectfully disagree.
From what I read, there was no attempt to find other explanations, like a demographic preference for e-voting over paper, or the local economic costs of maintaining one particular voting mechanism.
Nope, let's just just straight to assuming hacking.
You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
So what you're saying is if there's a hint of voting fraud we should as a nation just say 'fuck it' and not take a look?
Cause that's pants on head stupid.
Yep. When corrected for race, income, and other variables, the exit polls lined up with the actual vote counts. Butt-hurt Clinton crybabies, get over it. And stop with the whole "majority of the votes" shit. Neither trump nor Clinton wan a majority of the votes. Fucking morons.
"Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
It is not the democrats who are bringing this up. This is being brought up by a computer science professor who believes that he has evidence that the election was rigged. As of now, no officials of the DNC have even commented on this and are not currently pushing for an audit.
If independent experts also review this evidence and agree that something is fishy, then we SHOULD perform an audit of the results. If it turns out that there is nothing there, then so be it, but if there is evidence that suggests something fraudulent is happening, then our democracy at least deserves taking the time to investigate.
Were the stats adjusted for racial and income makeup of the counties examined? Clinton underperformed among poor white voters. The reason for this "discrepency" is probably a correlation between poor counties and use of electronic voting machines. The D's (who I normally vote with) need no excuse for losing other than the shitty campaign their candidate ran. #itshillarysfault.
That is all.
Even if we had a fully open and verifiable hardware and software architecture, it doesn't prevent someone from finding weaknesses. The only solution to this potential subversion of the people's will is to get rid of e-voting entirely and go back to paper ballots.
The crux of this is that scientists brought it forward. I would assume they'd sooner have Clinton but who knows. With the fact that it's so close, I wouldn't have an issue with checking them. I'd say the same if Trump was on the other end and was that close. I highly doubt it'll change the election but if there is evidence, why not audit it like any other election would?
Sort of...
It's also very disappointing that the polls and predictions were so wildly incorrect. That is highly irregular, though not indicative of foul play.
I'm not ambitious enough to find the article, but Nate Silver had an informative retrospective piece about how some of the most influential voting blocks ended up voting contrary to what they were assumed to do, while polls concentrated on getting accurate results in other areas more typically "on the fence".
Trump's campaign did a surprisingly good job of swaying typically-blue voters to his side, while Clinton's campaign focused on the traditional swing states. Ultimately, those states that Clinton won couldn't compensate for the masses that Trump won, so Trump won the election. Since the polls focused on those swing states as well, Clinton showed a lead there.
In the future, we'll need to have an analysis of the polls that considers their assumptions about who's important to poll. The reality is that every vote counts, even when you might not expect it to.
You do not have a moral or legal right to do absolutely anything you want.
You can point out a flaw in the system without agreeing with the flaw in the system...
I really don't understand this us/them mentality that people keep spewing. We all work together, we are family members, coworkers and fellow human beings with the same exact needs.
I work in a heavily republican environment. But they are all good people and I respect my co-workers. I don't believe in some of their choices, but who cares? Why should someone's choice for president make them the enemy? It's just stupid.
The only reason I can come up with is that it is in the best interest for those in power to keep the voting base divided. So all these "problems" are weaponized and sold to us as the bogey man coming to take our children.
My eyes reflect the stars and a smile lights up my face.
Reference please. This says just the opposite.
Wingus, Dingus! Listen up!
Yes. She can - or more properly her campaign can, on behalf of the slates of Democratic electors in the affected states. They would normally have to file for recounts and then challenge ballots one by one. In this kind of case...it would be a pretty new thing for the courts.
The truth of the matter is that in most cases the election results have already been certified, which pushes things to another level. You'd have to get some judge in each state to agree to let this happen, and then after that you'd have to expect to get appeal after appeal. Moreover, it'd have to happen in three separate states to change the election result. The margins in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are much larger than in Michigan, so they'd have to invalidate a lot of ballots to get there. Fail in one, and you lose anyway. Also, if you assume electronic modification of ballots, how do you identify the ones that are invalid?
This would not fail to provoke Republican counter-challenges in states like New Hampshire and Minnesota, so you'd have more states in play then.
This would also cost a mint (states charge on a per-ballot basis for recounts, varies by state). Stuff would be found that has been relatively secretive until this point - such as the dead vote and illegal alien voting. This would possibly - in fact probably provoke an armed response at this point. I'm not kidding about the armed response bit. Tempers are on edge here, and if you think the Democrats are the only ones angry, you're not taking into account that the Republicans are just more disciplined in general. Also, better armed.
Last point - the House would just vote Trump into office anyway if there were this disaster going on and no one were sure about the electors. Each state gets a vote, and each state's House delegation would vote internally on their collective vote.
HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
What's "pants on head" stupid is that the only time "fraud" is ever a serious concern is when Democrats lose. The same Democrats who belittle and pooh-pooh Republicans who point out actual, in the flesh fraud. Because, remember:
Fraud doesn't exist
I mean just ask Obama: “You are much likelier to get struck by lightning than to have somebody next to you commit voter fraud,” he said. “You’d win the Powerball.”
She lost in places that don't have the money to buy fancy electronic voting machines because the people are poorer.
No, she lost in places that do have the money to buy fancy electronic voting machines.
Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
And by using buzzwords and calling everyone who disagrees with you every -ism in the book, we know you're a Clinton supporter.
computer science professor who believes that he has evidence that the election was rigged.
I can count on one hand how many professors I've met who aren't Democrat and still have fingers left to pick my nose.
Meh, it's the standard difference between the parties' approach, and I'd be shocked if you didn't actually know why.
* Republicans focus on voter fraud because stricter restrictions on what people need to vote most often discourage or prevent youth and minority turnout.
* Democrats focus on disenfranchisement, not fraud, for precisely the same reason.
To be fair to Democrats, cases of confirmed voter fraud are exceedingly rare (31 cases between 2000 and 2014 - rarer than being struck by lightning), while cases of confirmed erroneous disenfranchisement are not (tens of thousands erroneously removed from the rolls). The reason that voter fraud (impersonation) is rare is because the risks vastly exceed the reward. You don't throw an election by casting one extra vote for your candidate at the risk of facing a $10k fine and jailtime if you're caught - per case. Even most of the extremely-reported cases of "dead people voting" in recent history have turned out to be clerical errors (e.g. wrong date on the death certificate). With millions of people dying every year, these sorts of errors will happen at a given rate every election.
As for the particular example of Voter ID laws: Not everyone in the US has a photo ID. Those who don't are proportionally younger (e.g. haven't registered yet, haven't gotten a driving license yet, etc), poorer (no money for a car so no driving license; not traveling so no need for passport, etc), often minorities, Native Americans, etc - groups that tend to be overwhelmingly Democrats. So it shouldn't be much of a surprise that Republicans support these laws and Democrats oppose them. The courts have generally gone against them because they proportionally disenfranchise certain groups, and more to the point were often explicitly planned to do so. In the case of North Carolina, for example, the legislature explicitly requested data on different methods of voting by race, and then explicitly crafted legislation to target African Americans based on that data.
If the US could get its act together and issue everyone a national ID, the situation would be different. But I know Americans are often against things like national IDs involving national databases and other scary things.
Wingus, Dingus! Listen up!
If Donald Trump had gotten 2 million more popular votes than Hillary Clinton and still lost the election, would he and his supporters have accepted it graciously and not claimed fraud?
Hell, Trump was claiming fraud before the election even took place.
You are welcome on my lawn.
You have a lot of hate in your heart. Maybe you should see a doctor.
As someone utterly terrified by a Trump presidency and the damage it's going to do I say she goes for it. The point isn't to win, it's to bog down the Trump administration to limit the damage he can do. The Repubs did it to Obama (though I'd argue Obama was actually trying to Govern where Trump is just the world's largest scam). As the saying goes, this is how the sausage is made.
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Hillary Clinton gave a concession speech. It was watched by millions of people. Learn to use Google--it's accessible via your Breitbart box.
Actually I didn't vote for Clinton, but I did listen closely to what Trump said.
Anyone with any modicum of reasoning could figure out pretty quick that he isn't cut out for being POTUSA.
We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
If Politifact rejects claims of rigging, then they just can not be true, can they be?
In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
And anyone who has followed politics in the last 2 decades knows that Clinton is in the back pocket of the corporations and wall street, same as her hubby was. You want the kleptocracy to continue?
"Transparent" is a shit show that trades on every stereotype going. A man in drag is NOT a transsexual.
No, I meant it. You have a lot of hate in your heart. You should be treated by a doctor.
Nope.
The p-value you "calculate" is not for the hypothesis "the election was hacked." It is for the hypothesis "counties with electronic-only voting machines vote differently than counties with paper-trail voting machines." One, but only one, explanation for why they might be different is that the electronic, but not the paper trail, voting machines were hacked. The other explanation, not ruled out, is that the type of voting machine is indicative of counties that are different in other ways as well.
Also, I note that you are "computing" p-values without actually looking at data-- basically, you're recycling rumors. What is the standard deviation by county for counties that have electronic-only voting, and what is the deviation for counties that don't? You don't have that data. So, you actually can't calculate statistics.
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
Actually, America's interests would be served by doing a recount of some portio of the ballots to verify accuracy. Quite apart from who won, it's valuable to check, check, and check again to verify if there is an error or tampering.
But, yes, it may not be in the Democratic Party's best interest. Although to be frank, they are already being labelled "sore losers" despite conceding the election and explicitly instructing their supporters to accept the results, so I doubt it would make any difference in how they are perceived.
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
> They are already being labelled "sore losers" despite conceding the election and explicitly instructing their supporters to accept the results
I'm sure SOMEBODY in the world called SOME Democrat a sore loser based on something they said. As one Slashdot's resident conservatives, I applauded Mrs. Clinton's concession speech. I post to Facebook about twice a year, and one of those was "Clinton showed some class this this morning". I thought it was worth bringing attention to her response to the election, which was more "statesman-like" than many politicians.
I'm not a "precious little snowflake". So go f' yourself. I have legitimate reasons to fear Trump, to wit:
.com bust as companies bring trillions of dollars back to the USA in the wake of Trump tax cuts letting them off scott free and promptly embark on the biggest Merchants & Acquisitions buying spree in history. Oh, and look forward to prices skyrocketing as competition basically ends.
1. Repeal ACA. I have friends who depend on the medicare expansion to live. One's a Type-1 diabetic who until Obamacare didn't have enough insulin. Almost died a few times. He's 8 years older now and probably gonna die the next time.
2. End of Roe v Wade. My daughter has several congenital problems that might some day necessitate an abortion. Mike Pence would rather see her flown into God's embrace than risk the sin that is Abortion. Yeah, I'm being flippant by putting it that way, but it doesn't make it less true.
3. Cash repatriation. Got a job? Got friends with jobs? Prepare for the biggest round of layoffs since the
I could go on and on. Trump supporters who aren't millionaires are all fucked, and they've dragged me and my family and friends along for the ride. If you see a train coming your way and you can't get out of the way because of a gaggle of morons any sane person would react with fear.
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Nate has since turned it into a full article:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/demographics-not-hacking-explain-the-election-results/
Republicans have been for a long time calling for voter ID, voting machines to be made only in the US for US elections, and open source code that can be independently reviewed for security and accuracy, along with an online validation system that ties your voter ID to the vote, so you can log on and verify that your vote has been properly counted. It is the Democrats that are the party of criminals (8:1, look it up) the party of dead voters, the party of voter fraud, the party of illegal alien voters, the party of pay to vote (a la free booze for homeless etc.), the party of busing mental deficients to polling places, the party of basically any kind of voter fraud you can think of, and some you probably couldn't. I am not a huge fan of Trump, but his message resonated: "I am just a guy, a successful business owner, who is sick of Washington politics. They are wrecking the country and destroying the middle class. Vote for me, warts and all and I will clean house and try to get the country back to where it was in 1985."
If you are paying attention, it already seems pretty clear from his changing positions that he is not a radical guy and he can be persuaded by reasonable arguments. Democrats need to stop believing their own propaganda. The election is over. Time to sack up and judge Trump's actions.
As far as the 7% differential, in a vacuum that is absolutely meaningless and is just a bunch of butt hurt losers. If you can find counties that voted only for Trump (like the counties that voted 100% for Obama in previous elections) or that every voting machine county voted EXACTLY 7% (hint, they didn't) or other real statistical anomalies, then you can allege hacking. The real headline should read: "Butt hurt Democrats unable to find any hacking in election machines, still bitching about losing."
If you disagree, please post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like
Isn't this the same group that assured all the voters that the election results could not possibly be manipulated when Trump suggest just that, prior to the election? And the same group that, given Hilary's higher popular vote numbers, are calling for the abolition of the Electoral College?
I think that Wolf Blitzer and the rest of the CNN crew and still grumpy that Hillary lost. Well get over it Wolfie - you got your ass handed to you. Despite your one sided reporting and thinly veiled rooting for Hillary you lost.
CNN and MSNBC and others are just pissed off that they have been exposed as surrogates of the Democrat party. I think that a lot of people have long suspected that is the case but now it is in full view. If you want to hear Democrat cheerleaders then go to CNN or MSNBC. If you want to hear Republican cheerleaders then go to FOX. If you want the actual truth, you know that thing that used to be called "news", then you are going to have to go to a variety of web sites and other outlets and try to filter out all the political BS. That's what the world has come to.
Here you go
1. She set up an email server with the intent to avoid document retention and freedom of information laws.
2. She used the server to store and transmit material with above top secret clearance. In violation of federal law and agreements she signed.
3. When legally subpoenaed for the email she destroyed the information. In violation of laws regarding obstruction of justice
4. She lied under oath about what she did and the circumstances around what she did. That's perjury.
That help ?
The first point is not a fact. Once you assign motivations you are engaging in supposition and are no longer dealing with facts.
Except it doesn't work that way once you are the POTUS.
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