Russian Hacker Conspiracy Theory is Weak, But the Case For Paper Ballots is Strong (facebook.com)
On Wednesday, J. Alex Halderman, the director of the University of Michigan's Center for Computer Security & Society and a respected voice in computer science and information society, said that the Clinton Campaign should ask for a recount of the vote for the U.S. Presidential election. Later he wrote, "Were this year's deviations from pre-election polls the results of a cyberattack? Probably not. I believe the most likely explanation is that the polls were systematically wrong, rather than that the election was hacked. But I don't believe that either one of these seemingly unlikely explanations is overwhelmingly more likely than the other." The Outline, a new publication by a dozen of respected journalists, has published a post (on Facebook for now, since their website is still in the works), in which former Motherboard's reporter Adrianne Jeffries makes it clear that we still don't have concrete evidence that the vote was tampered with, but why still the case for paper ballots is strong. From the article: Halderman also repeats the erroneous claim that federal agencies have publicly said that senior officials in Russia commissioned attacks on voter registration databases in Arizona and Illinois. In October, federal agencies attributed the Democratic National Committee email hack to Russia, but specifically said they could not attribute the state hacks. Claims to the contrary seem to have spread due to anonymous sourcing and the conflation of Russian hackers with Russian state-sponsored hackers. Unfortunately, the Russia-hacked-us meme is spreading fast on social media and among disaffected Clinton voters. "It's just ignorance," said the cybersecurity consultant Jeffrey Carr, who published his own response to Halderman on Medium. "It's fear and ignorance that's fueling that." The urgency comes from deadlines for recount petitions, which start kicking in on Friday in Wisconsin, Monday in Pennsylvania, and the following Wednesday in Michigan. There is disagreement about how likely it is that the Russian government interfered with election results. There is little disagreement, however, that our voting system could be more robust -- namely, by requiring paper ballot backups for electronic voting and mandating that all results be audited, as they already are in some states including California. Despite the 150,000 signatures collected on a Change.org petition, what happens next really comes down to the Clinton team's decision.
We have paper ballots in the UK still. It's made somewhat more interesting by the counts racing each other to see who can finish first. All the counts have TV crews, observers and so on. They're kind-of public. Why screw up a system that's worked so well for so long? Electronic voting is asking for trouble.
Trump already admitted to knowing the election was rigged. Who knew he meant it as a confession.
The first thing he is going to do is pardon himself for everything so he can't be impeached. Then he'll legally declare himself President for life, and appoint his son Barron as his heir and co-Emperor.
Bringing the glory back to the Imperial Rome.
And to think the black guy just handed him the keys. What a maroon!
we proved many times before the election that many elections machines could be hacked. the election officials said no, dont worry, it's not going to happen. now that people are not getting their way they are finding any dumb excuse.
If the polls were off in just a few critical swing states, the case for fraud would be stronger. But they were off by about the same amount in all states. Locations with electronic ballots were a bit more pro-Trump, but that may be explained by demographics, since areas with more minorities are more likely to use old-fashioned paper ballots.
Everything was rigged to make Hillary look better than reality, and it turned into one big liberal circle jerk. Just like when all the liberals read their Mother Jones / Upworthy articles, got so fired up, shared them amongst themselves, then wrongly presumed all Americans felt the same way. Nope, far from it.
Any of my non-liberal friends are afraid to speak up because most liberals have extremely vile personalities, and they think you are Satan's Little Helper if you aren't on the same page as them. The vast majority of them won't even listen to reason, just spouting off the rhetoric they read from their left-wing propaganda rags.
Nationalism is back in a big way. First was Brexit, Second was Trump, Next will be Le Pen.
It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
you need a paper copy that's easy to machine read, yet hard to damage when handling the forms (see 'hanging chads' from 2000)
You also don't want a paper copy that can be corrupted (an internal printout)
a printer is just one more thing that can go bad, even if the output is visible to the voter.
Scantron type ballots are easy to use, don't get damaged easily in a recount, and are easy to tally up for rapid electronic counting (or re-counting if needed)
Even here in California where we had a LOT of things on the ballot, they work well.
touchscreen and other pure electronic voting is a techie ego solution, far more complex than needed, and far more prone to failure or tampering.
Trying to shape the discussion by posting the expected opposite of this post? BOTH SHOULD BE modded as TROLL for that reason alone. WHO in the right or left mind would mod this as Funny?
Its quite remarkable that the same papers disregarded as a conspiracy theory before is now a story on the newspaper. I always thought this was an issue: https://politics.slashdot.org/...
Either way, lets hope that computerized ballots get abolished, and the voting system gets reformed, so that each state uses the system maine just agreed to use: https://ballotpedia.org/Maine_...
Or even better, abolish the electoral college and implement such a ranked system based on the popular vote, but that will probably be even harder to implement I guess.
The case for verifiable and reproducible ballots/votes is extremely strong and is entirely independent of the current Clinton/Trump issue. The only thing I question is why so many people think that this somehow requires "paper", as if it will somehow magically prevent tampering and beget accurate recounts and election integrity.
It's sad and beautiful to watch to people who couldnt even be bothered to fully read the article summary in action.
As stated ITFS the researchers dont even think this will change the election results. Meanwhile, those unhappy with Russian hacking attempts and the vulnerabilities that electronic voting machines introduce into our electoral system should be quite happy to see proper review done to ensure the reliability of the system and incourage faith in it.
I'm sure you felt great brainlessly bashing those with contrary political views then yours though.
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It's like someone's been lying to me to fit a political-media narrative.
I just don't understand why the Democrats insist on blaming things like the electoral system, hacks, counting errors, or in this case the physical ballot mechanism,
Pay attention. The Democrats are not claiming hacks, counting errors, or the physical ballot mechanism are the cause of Trump winning. Not. The Democratic party accepted the election result. The discussion in question is other people saying that the Democrats should audit the election, not Democrats contesting the election.
see for example many many news stories http://learningenglish.voanews...
when it's patently obvious that the Democrats would have gotten a landslide win if they had gone with anyone but Clinton.
This is not clear at all.
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
You young whipper snappers are talking about this like it's a new thing. 16 years ago when the same EXACT thing happened between Al Gore and George W. Bush and the same exact call for a recount happened after Al Gore conceded: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/.... That's the thing, Hillary ALREADY conceded. It's done and on the books. Why people keep ruminating about this is beyond me. Life goes on.
We'll make great pets
The reason you don't recognize it is because you're still in your media bubble. Rub some elbows with people in rural America.
HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
The best ballot system I've seen so far is computerized but it prints out a paper ballot which you can examine before you put it in a ballot box. This gives you the security of paper but also uniformity of computerized voting so that votes can be quickly scanned. Frankly, I wish there was a little bit of extra data encoded on the printout to prevent things like ballot box stuffing but it's still pretty good.
Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
1. $candidate loses. outrage ensues. this year outrage gets a +20 to property damage.
2. the electoral college is briefly and vigorously crucified as a source of corruption the likes of which not seen since the Crucifixion of Christ our lord.
3. $object is seriously flawed. during Bush, it was hanging chads. Now for Clinton, its "fake news." if only that cursed fake news hasnt existed then maybe we could have a good president.
paper ballots wont help us get past our weird and albeit rather skewed approach to counting votes in general. We need an open source solution to do this, and it needs to be independently monitored by a foreign coalition. 600 million votes cannot be hand counted.
now on to the ancillary matter I hope slashdotters will forgive me for being offtopic about. Hillary was a turd of a candidate who lambasted americans as deplorables and avoided campaigning in places like wisconsin. She was implicated in numerous scandals. She had a hard time identifying with regular americans like auto mechanics, welders, truck drivers and others. If Democrats had run Sanders, he would likely have won. He had a practical message that spanned conservatives and liberals for the most part, and was willing to tackle several of the populist issues Trump had championed. The key being, Sanders never alienated an entire segment of the US population just because they didnt wear Dior and drive a Tesla.
Good people go to bed earlier.
All I heard for months was shit about emails, crooked Hillary, Benghazi, and shut about her husband.
No one really liked her.
the only thing that gave her any positive light was Trump himself.
The 2008 and 2012 response was that the people in rural America were evil and the hopey changey shit would put all those old people out of the political calculus until the grave took them, because the Left won.
That didn't work out, did it?
HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
The fuck-all Obama ever did to try to reach the people who didn't like him.
HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
and challenges the election. Trump looks like Bush jr x 100 to me. Here's hoping we learned our lesson and fight this time...
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ok, I'll admit I'm a bit of a libtard troll. I make a bit of a game out of it. But I do actually believe everything I type, and I've noticed a libtard post that used to get me a guaranteed +5 insightful will shoot up and then get modded down to -1 troll.
/. it'd be one thing but when you've got pros doing it full time they're canvassing the web. /. is just one stop on their daily routine.
I'll just come out and say it: I think we've got professional trolls (Russian? Doesn't matter really) pushing a right wing nationalist agenda to destabilize our country. If they were just targeting
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been to a county in Michigan that didn't already use paper ballots. Did they specify which counties they had a problem with?
Non sequitur: Your facts are uncoordinated.
Correct me if I am wrong, but I have got an impression that president Obama and Clinotns are not going anywhere. They will govern still for a long time.
It seems to be the global trend, the queen of England and Norther Ireland, V. Putin in RF, Angela Merkel in Germany, A. Lukashenko in Byelorussia, etc.
I think the time of presidents who left power voluntarily, like Ronald Reagan, Jimmy Carter, etc. is over. Even though Donald Trump selects a team, he could be for a big surprise next year. He may well happen preside over a government in exile.
she won the popular vote by ~2 million, right? You also know what voter suppression is and that only 50% turned out, right?
Check what your house is made of (glass) before throwing stones please.
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I just want every state in the union checked for voter fraud. When I say voter fraud I mean, dead voters, districts with more votes than population, bussed voters, illegal aliens voting.
You know, all the things the Dmocrats have been fighting to prevent anyone so much as checking for the past 40 years.
What makes you assume that if we went by the popular vote we would have had the same vote totals? You change the method of elections, you also change the incentives of the voters and the candidates. With the electoral collage, what reason would a Republican voter in California even have to bother showing up at the polls? (Also true for Illinois, New England, New York, etc.) You switch to a popular vote, and suddenly Republicans in those states have a lot of incentive to vote! Not enough to flip the states, but if you're counting the national total, but quite possibly enough to overcome Hilldog's popular lead, which primarily came from California.
If you discount California, in the remaining states Trump won the popular vote by almost 2 million. Perhaps we should just let California decide who the president should be?
You've also changed the incentives for the candidates. Trump didn't spend a nickel or a minute in California. Do you think he would have ignored it if he knew that votes for him there would actually count for him?
Let's also keep in mind that "state" is not a synonym for "provence". Technically, the US is a federation, much as the EU is. The states are limited sovereigns. I'll buy that the US should decide national offices by popular vote when you can convince the EU to do the same. Good luck with that!
The whinging about "It's not fair! We was robbed!" Every time a Democrat looses an election is getting pretty tiresome.
Progressivism: Parasites helping parasites to help themselves - to other people's stuff.
That's just double-plus-unpossible! We all know that people who vote Democratic are inerrant in all matters scientific and factual! I read it in the NYT and the WP!
I'd like to see someone investigate the idea of using blockchain technology to create a read-only database of the election results. The entire point of a blockchain is to create a cryptographically signed set of transactions which can't be altered without compromising the database. Banks are investing in this technology, where trillions of dollars are at stake, and in which every penny must be accounted for. Why not voting data as well?
I'm baffled. What do you believe blockchain technology would do for voting? How would it make the system better?
The whole point of voting is that you need to make the votes anonymous: a particular vote can't be traced to a particular voter. Blockchain could give you a verified receipt for your vote... but what is the usefulness of that?
It seems to me to be a technology with no evident usefulness to the application.
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
we proved many times before the election that many elections machines could be hacked. the election officials said no, dont worry, it's not going to happen. now that people are not getting their way they are finding any dumb excuse.
Huh. I would have said exactly the opposite. Before the election many people, including people in government, were saying that we need to worry about hacking, that there were many organizations targeting this election (see here and here and here), but now that the election is over, people are saying don't worry, no problem.
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
"...we won". "You didn't build that" "That's the good thing about being president, I can do whatever I want." Or how about the one where he said health care aka Obamacare would become more popular with time.
Leave out the offensive policy actions even, the attitude was condescending and he offered people on the other side nothing at all.
HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
The Republican legislators would have been compelled to work with him on things if he had gone directly to the people and offered real solutions to their problems. But Jarrett and Emanuel and the rest were convinced that it was a Democratic moment and did all the partisan shit they could during the first two years when this was possible. "Don't let a good crisis go to waste"
And therefore created a self-fulfilling prophecy.
HBI's Law: Frequency of calling others Nazis is directly correlated with the likelihood of the accuser being Communist.
Pennsylviania -- evoting machines so old they aren't on any network and couldn't possibility be hacked
Just because they claim to not be on the network doesn't mean that they "can't possibly be hacked"!!
First, it turns out that some machines that the vendors say aren't on the network have, in the past, ooops turned out they actually did have undocumented wifi ports.
Second, machines have to be accessed to put the candidates into the machine. This requires access, and any time there's access, they can be hacked.
Third, the machines have to be accessed to get results out of the machine. This is another point at which that the results could be tampered with. Doesn't matter if the machine is reporting 1000 votes for Candidate X and 200 votes for candidate Y if the man in the middle alters that to 500 and 700 as it's transmitted.
Forth, just because a machine is "old" doesn't mean it's hack-proof.
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
Almost all of Hillary's lead in the popular vote is covered by Los Angeles County by itself. Basically, you're arguing that winning one small, compact geographically but dense population area is all you need to become President. Why would anyone campaign outside of NYC, LA, Chicago, Houston and Philadelphia? That's 18 million people in those cities. The rest of the US you could just get a wash or slight loss and still win.
Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
I think with modern technology the promise of an anonymous ballot being guaranteed is flat out dead. Unless you go through a metal detector like at the airport to screen out all electronics someone will easily bring a phone into the ballot box and with consumer go pros being able to be hidden in a shirt if someone is motivated they'll be able to attain proof that you voted as directed.
Also voter intimidation in this fashion is extremely risky and unsuccessful. It only takes one person giving an anonymous tip that they are being *offered* incentives to sell their vote and you're screwed. In order to sway an election you would inevitably solicit someone who will rat you out. If you are being blackmailed, then you'll be sufficiently motivated to conceal your tracks and with modern technology almost certainly find a way to succeed.
Technology for electronic voting confirmation is trivial but we exclude it because we inaccurately are defending an attribute that is dead and gone due to technological change. I can already track my mail-in ballot. What they should do is offer an independent random tracker to every ballot, then when the election is over you could confirm your ballot was counted properly. And many people could anonymously publish their vote and vote hash to news organizations for exit polling. And if you request enough random samples they should converge on the same result as the total. If Reuters samples 50k volunteers and the outcome of those samples is off from the official tally then you can investigate further. You would have to maintain two separate databases to both respond "correctly" to spot checks but also tally differently. And hashing the total vote database vs. the spot checks would guarantee the data had been tampered.
I do agree with this. If there is reforms to be done to the Electoral College, each state is quite capable of altering the way the electors are selected. If they wanted to go to a more proportional system, that would be up to each state. But seeing as big states like California and New York seem to have little desire to muck with how the EC functions within their jurisdictions, I see little incentive.
The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
If you really want to fix presidential elections, you need to convince most or all of the states to reform how electors are elected. Imagine if electors were chosen by ranked or proportional voting, as opposed to the winner take all of all but two of the states? It's possible that even under such a scenario Trump would have won, but it would have been a closer thing.
The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
Optical scan ballots are a bit better because the voter fills in the ballot himself, so doesn't need to verify it.
When on earth did I say uncovering fraud wouldnt be huge? Of course it would.
Please go back and read both posts, you're missing what is going on in the conversation.
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Basically the polls have been severely politicized. This is Propaganda 101.
US immigration is not being operated as legitimate melting pot. It is a meltdown fueled by welfare and by subversion - allowing literal enemies of the existing country that could never be allowed in under various laws.
I would not want to see Australia adopt electronic voting. Paper ballots which are properly secured and monitored is the safest system overall. I would never trust my vote to a "black box" that could easily be rigged. No thank you.
I'd like to know how many illegals, multiple personalities and dead voted in LA/CA. I'm sure they were overwhelmingly Hillary supporters.
Jill Stein is funding the recount.
https://jillstein.nationbuilde...
Remember kids, if you're not paying for the service, YOU ARE THE PRODUCT THAT IS BEING SOLD.
Photo voter ID - definitely
Too many people voted more than once. Too many non-citizens voted. Too many dead people voted.
For example: I know several people who retired to Florida from a northern state. They vote in person in Florida and vote by absentee ballot in their home state. If I know several, how many thousands are doing the same that I don't know about?
We need a nation-side system to identify registered voters to make sure they're registered in only one state. The system would also check to make sure they're not deceased.
There was zero evidence provided of hacking or tampering. Just a sketchy report.
We seem to be talking about different things.
The post I was replying to said that the Pennsylvania machines "couldn't possibly be hacked." You say that there is "zero evidence" that they actually were hacked.
I agree with that. The statement I was disagreeing with was that "the machines can't possibly be hacked."
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
answered the question "why not both". Because then you couldn't pull this kind of shenanigans...
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Small states do not gain influence via the Electoral College. They are utterly ignored. Nobody ever campaigns in Alaska or Wyoming in the general election, despite their voters being 3x more powerful than California voters (on an elector-to-population basis).
All of the large states are ignored, because their electoral votes can be predicted years in advance. CA's electors will be voting for the Democrat in 2020. TX's electors will be voting for the Republican in 2020.
The small states in the Northeast would gain the most from ending the Electoral College, since they're currently ignored but have some big cities. The out-of-power party in large states would gain the second most, since their votes would actually be relevant, and those states also have big cities. So those would likely fight for getting rid of the Electoral College.
The second-biggest loser in getting rid of the Electoral College would be the in-power party in large states, since they could no longer guarentee a large bloc of Electors to their party. Tempering that loss would be that (at least parts of) those states would actually be relevant in a presidential election.
The biggest losers would be states like Ohio and Florida, because they'd go from being all-important to just few important counties. They would fight like hell to keep the Electoral College....but there's a lot fewer of them than the states that would see an upside.
Not to say that the Russians have not been doing shenanigans with releasing leaked emails, fake news sites, etc. but that shit is a far cry from "Hacked Election!" PS - Voted for Clinton, but Bernie supporter.
So only Republicans are disenfranchised by the electoral system? That's preposterous. Roughly half the population of the country lives in Red states and Democrats are just as disenfranchised in them. Furthermore, disenfranchisement doesnt not happen just because your state is guaranteed to go the way you want. Plenty of democrats in California and New York don't feel their presidential vote has value given the guaranteed result. As a Californian that generally votes left I can tell you that if the only thing on the ballet was the presidential election it's good odds I wouldnt have bothered voting and for most people that's the only part of the ballot that brings them to the polls.
Also, Trump didn't spend a nickle in California? How profound. Neither did Hillary.
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The contards around Trump indeed claimed that the entire election is rigged, yet they gleefully accept the preliminary results without questioning it at all. If anything, the Trumpists should be on the forefront of recounts to stress their point. As usual, they don't give a damn about what they claimed and promised yesterday. Nothing but a bunch of opportunistic flip-floppers.
Would it have been closer, or would it have given him a greater lead, costing him some electors in some states but granting him electors in CA and NY from those congressional districts outside the big cities. The "By County" map is very, very red. But thanks to WTA, NY an CA were solid blue blocks of electors Hillary didn't even need to campaign for. Of course many of the solid red states would have sent her electors (TX, PA and the like) but based on the by county map I wonder if he wouldn't have won an even greater landslide in the EC.
I'm too lazy to compose a creative sig.
well, two of his advisors have publically talked about it following the election.
and another of his surrogates has publicly stated:
It’s so great our enemies are making themselves clear so that when we get in to the White House, we know where we stand. I would never judge anybody for exercising their right to and the freedom to choose who they want. But let me just tell you, Mr. Trump has a long memory and we’re keeping a list.
The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
except for Trump's actual corruption, actual profiteering off his foundation, actual profiting from office (and he's not even the office yet!), actual bigotry, actual complete policy incompetence, actual transition circus.
i mean, thank god we didn't elect that nerd who actually knows what she's doing right?
The guy who said the election was rigged won the presidency with the second-most votes.
with that whine? When are we going to get back to a nation united instead of this division crap that keeps going around. Everyone needs to pull up their big boy/girl/tumblr-gender underroos and look at the entire establishment and not just one person.
Yet Trumps win is not proof of a non rigged election in favour of the democrats. They could very well have tried to steal the election and whatever they did was not enough. SOros owns an electronic voting machine company, dont forget that.
Quit your bellyaching. The moderation system is fine. You're just mad it doesn't favor you!
As for the economic model, they have that too. You can create your echo chamber as desired:
Subscribers have the option to restrict posting access on their journals based on their Friends & Foes list.
You just prefer to complain.
Now, post your favorite fantasy in the header please..
“He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
She said she'd accept the results and she did. We know that places that they claimed might have been hacked were electronic and their demographics that match other areas in the state with those demographics and had paper had almost identical results. Even if she won all of these states, she still comes up short.
No, she's a loser and couldn't even beat a guy that she certainly should have been able to beat without a problem. I mean, this is industrial suckyness on Hillary's part. Be glad she lost. Be very, very, very, very glad. We dodged a bullet. I know people that know her personally, she's a very nasty person. She'd be a despot.
Moving on, so who the hell is going to be the next candidate? The Democrats really have NO ONE! They couldn't even fill their convention without hiring people to come to it to fill the seats (look it up, it's true). The Democratic party is a party in shambles. Obama has decimated it good. He's been the best thing for Republicans. They now hold more offices since reconstruction. More Governors, More legislatures, More seats overall. Question is, can they do anything better than the Democrats did.
Z^3
Freedom = (Meaningful - Coerced) Choice != (Speech | Beer^2), and sad sock puppets' bad mods avail them naught.