Google Has Stopped Developing Its Own Self-Driving Car - Report (techcrunch.com)
Google has reportedly shelved its long-standing plan to develop its own autonomous vehicle in favor of pursuing partnerships with existing car makers. From an article on TechCrunch: The Information reports that Google's self-driving car unit -- known internally as Chauffeur -- is working with established automotive names to develop cars which will include some self-driving features, but won't ditch the steering wheel and pedal controls. The firm is already working with Fiat Chrysler, per a partnership announced in May, and that could be the start of others to come. Google first set out to do away with the steering wheel and pedals approach, but this backtrack is from Alphabet CEO Larry Page and CFO Ruth Porat who found the original approach to be "impractical," according to the report. That's despite Google's autonomous vehicles clocking over two million miles of tests on public roads.
Like everyone is going to abandon a well-proven UI just like that, on Google's say-so.
Yep. Ditching the steering wheel and the pedals would be really, really dumb. It would mean that if the car had a problem it would be stuck where it is.
Steering wheels are useful.
http://www.geoffreylandis.com
Google abandoned a project?! No!
I worked for them for three years.
Behind the scenes it's a fucking catastrophe of half-assed and half-finished projects, with literally thousands of abandoned services that nobody knows anything about, because all the hot-shot college hires moved up or out after proving how badass they were to get hired by Google.
Nobody there wants to maintain anything, and their age discrimination practices prevent them from finding anyone who comprehends what that entails.
Fuck em.
Nothing takes a crap on creativity more consistently than age plus success.
Because the hard bit of building a car is building something that drives in the first place, and the easy bit of building a self-driving car is the car itself.
When the inputs are reduced to accelerator, brake, left, right, it quickly becomes two projects - build a car, and make a car autonomous.
Doing both simultaneously is stupid and expensive and without advantage. Doing them separately means you could just use any car, without the hassle and worry.
But doing either still needs the autonomous control, computer vision, "AI" bits, and those are almost unaffected by what the car is or how it works (even if the wheels turn all the way round to park sideways, the decisions behind the steering logic barely change).
As stuntmen the world over have proven, controlling a car with a computer isn't hard. That's the easy bit. It's a remote control and a few actuators.
But deciding WHAT to do to control it is much harder and complicated by anything else.
That a multi-billion dollar company doesn't realise this is pretty much stupid. Build the AI, when that works put it into an existing car, then integrate the AI and car. Trying to do both at once is stupid, costly, and a waste.
To be honest, though, if they've got this far, I'm going to suggest that they are having their funding cut and the easy part to get rid of while keeping the project alive is the car. If the AI doesn't start performing soon, or a suitable business model found at all, they're going to be ditched.
All these self-driving cars and the only model actually on the road (sorry, that's "not self-driving", but "automatic pilot", right, Tesla?) is getting bad press everywhere? Either you have to come up with something fabulously different, or you lose your market before you even start.
How many self-driving cars went into tunnels and stopped when they lost GPS and Internet connectivity?
None. They cache the GPS + map data for several miles in all directions for this type of scenario.
>> The firm is already working with Fiat Chrysler, per a partnership announced in May, and that could be the start of others to come.
You think that will lead to MORE partnerships? More likely, Alphabet (you know, the holding company Google built to spin off its non-core businesses) will sell the division to Chrysler.
ditto
Probably none. (Couldn't find any news articles on it happening anyway.) GPS only provides a reference, the Internet just updates software and other references. The actual direction of the control is derived from a myriad of other sensors by sophisticated on-board software using historical information about the environment. That pre-loaded data, combined with cameras, LIDAR, RADAR, inertial sensors etc. are used to calculate the cars position, direction, environment, obstacles, traffic controls, etc.
So there are projects around that aren't in a finished state. Sounds like things someone can find opportunities for.
That's to be determined court case by court case. Not much different than before.
I said a long time ago that there will never be commercially available self driving cars on the roads. There is no such thing as "AI" or "autonomous cars", just marketing. We aren't even close to the level of technology required to build them. And now that Moore's Law is ending, we may never see it unless we come up with some other breakthrough beyond digital processors. Google investors are the winners here. That was a money pit.
And more to the point, a self-driving car is not going to be reliant on a single technology to operate. Sure it uses GPS, but it also actively looks at the damn road and presumably would expect GPS to cut in and out, so it would simply keep following the road for a predetermined amount of time as it anticipates re-establishing GPS. Arguably it would only need to observe GPS signals intermittently anyway since it should understand its bearing and odometer to know how far it's driven and in what direction, using GPS to help maintain calibration.
Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
Does any of those except youtube make money?
There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
I saw a short TV report about Volvo's autonomous car program. The idea is that the car will drive itself when driving is boring, and under good conditions. Roads in Sweden are usually very well marked BTW. They are actually testing a significant number of cars in Gothenburg.
When conditions merit human control the car will signal the driver to take control. If this does not happen in a reasonable amount of time the car will pull out of traffic and stop. The stated goal is zero deaths in Volvos by 2020. Also the CEO said that the liability issue was simple. Volvo would take full responsibility. He added that any company unwilling to own the consequences of this tech had no business making it. The interior of the car was modified so that the driver could do other stuff during the "boring" bits. I remember this because I cannot wait for autonomous cars to really start saving lives (Maybe my own). Thirty thousand dead in car crashes every year in the US alone. Let me count the ways. Okay. Maybe not right now.
"No fear. No envy. No meanness." Liam Clancy
Google has reportedly shelved its long-standing plan to develop its own autonomous vehicle in favor of pursuing partnerships with existing car makers.
This should surprise no one. The notion that Google was going to get into the low margin car manufacturing business was always preposterous. Google has no expertise in manufacturing nor any competitive advantage. Even if they did develop some self driving tech that was marketable they would still have to build and sell a car which is an expensive and low margin endeavor. And self driving cars is a completely new market which nobody really understands the economics of at all right now. There was no way Google would go from getting 25% net margins to 10% net margins in an industry they have no experience in. Google can't even be bothered to take manufacturing a smartphone seriously and we were supposed to believe they were going to get into automobile manufacturing? Google is a software company. Building cars was always going to be a bridge too far for them.
First off, how many actually want this
Everyone that will be buying them. That is no longer the individual consumer. The F150 isn't the best selling truck in America because a bunch of individual owners buy them it's because of fleets.
Uber, Lyft and all of the rental car companies are going to be buying self driving cars by the lot. Younger consumers have shown they don't want to deal with car ownership. They'll still have the 'old models' for those home buyers that insist on it but they're going to put less and less engineering effort into those since they won't be as profitable.
How many will stand for a self driving vehicle that mopes along.
I would buy a self driving car that took twice as long to get somewhere if it meant I could spend that 'twice as long' doing something else. Pour a beer, fire up my IDE and code on the way to grandma's house.
How do you cache the GPS? I didn't know Google could predict the future.
Sure, cached maps, but you're not caching GPS, you're switching to a dead-reckoning system or turning the auto-pilot off.
-Chris
That might mean the project is approaching commercial feasibility, that they'd do research projects and concept cars by themselves is fine but I never believed Google would become a car manufacturer. You can't compare Chromebooks or Chromecast to the engineering complexity of a car, to start from the ground up like Tesla they'd need forever both in time and money. OTOH there's no reason to start partnering until you're really close to something so you have to mate the sensor grid with a particular car design. Let's get this show on the road :)
Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
How many will stand for a self driving vehicle that mopes along.
As many as stand for buses and trains that may take more time to get to your destination than driving would. Judging by my personal experience, that number is pretty high.
I saw a self driving Google Lexus SUV taking a left turn on to a busy 2 way street just Thursday morning last week, and I've seen at least two or three other self driving cars around Mountain View in the last two weeks. If anything they've stepped up their testing in the last month, not stopped it. Actually for the first time, I saw two Google Self driving cars in line at a stop sign, at the same time. Usually you're lucky to see just one a week in my neighborhood.
moox. for a new generation.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
Sig ?
That's fine, I'll stick with buying my own self driving car and not have to deal with sitting in someone else's vomit or jizz.
Come visit parts of the midwest, we leave the Amish well enough alone.
Gonna need a source on all of that.
There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
I should think that Google now owns a whole raft of patents on various aspects of self driving technology. Over the next two decades, licensing fees will likely recoup them their investment ... and then some.
You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
YouTube was a separate company that Google acquired.
Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
What a lot of people fail to take into consideration about self-driving cars is that driving (in a city) is a deeply social activity (well, for good drivers at least). There are many signals that a person can read (vehicle type and condition, their occupants, the environment, time and day, pedestrians etc.) that do not fall into the standard list of signals you might associate with driving speed, turn signals etc. A lot of these can be very area-specific and require local knowledge. It will be difficult for software to ever match a human in these tasks. Having said that, computers excel in other areas, such as reaction time, so a hybrid approach where both the human and the computer are used should yield the best results. For really mind-numbing stop and go highway driving you can be on full auto. For city driving you switch to manual plus assist...
Besides, after a few years your on-board computer will stop receiving OTA updates and the required APIs will be discontinued so you will need that full-manual capability.
Except that you're required to take over at a seconds notice,
Why? I'm not going to buy a model that I still have to pay attention to.
Waymo
Indded. We'd be committing everyone - poor, old, rich, young - to constantly rebuy cars on a schedule that automakers decide. They could obsolete cars at will. Or set up subsciption services - brake control, GPS maps, charge us for our own surveillance.
What is unbelievable is they think that cars are retired every five years or so, so obsolence won't be a problem. They know perfectly well that people keep cars for ten - fifteen years because, well, they're bloody expensive. They want that option gone. We'll be on an upgrade cycle like PCs, and enormously profitable one.
Cars, esp. electric cars, can easily last twenty years. Change the batteries, the motor bearings, seals, and it can keep going. That is a huge problem for car manufacturers. Computer controlled everything fixes all that for them.
Seriously, they started a great project and now they are killing it. Sadly, they have been doing this to a number of innovative ideas.
I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
It's worked for software because nobody ever tried pinning big enough problems to a flaw in a piece of software to sue. You would think maybe medical equipment software, but https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... and others mention no lawsuit, either succeeding or failing. Strange.
https://www.bing.com/search?q=...
I see Google "podcars" on my way home from work everyday. I drive on Central Expressway between Palo Alto and Santa Clara. These podcars are slow as shit, typically doing about 20mph in a 50 and holding up lots of traffic. They are over cautious and have their safety thresholds dialed way too high, as I've had numerous occasions to "play" with it by invading its personal space; good fun by the way, highly recommended.
From what I've seen with Google podcars, we're a long way off from having these all over. And I mean a loooong way off.
Like marking you on a side road / forage road and not the highway that you are on?
Saying that you are on the overpass when you are really on the road under it?
Run into out of date map data?
Needs to have a criminal case where the NDA & EULA are killed by an hard ass judge like the one in my cousin vinny. A few days in a local jail for contempt of court will fix BS like that or lead to the prosecutor they have used there system of contractors and sub-contractors to cover up code faults and logs. Can lead to a jury convincing.
even with them just selling self-driving tech they will still get sued.
We are going to sue!
Google
The car manufacture
The manufacture of the cameras
The providers of the map data.
The state
The fleet owner of the auto drive car.
The renter of the auto drive car.
They NY Times (maybe paywalled) reports that Google is spinning off its automous car group as Waymo.
It's common knowledge. Google sells ads - it's really their only successful business. There's enough common infrastructure that the marginal cost of operating something like gmail is small compared to the ad revenue. YouTube is the exception, because the bandwidth costs are relatively high - http://www.wsj.com/articles/vi...
Android is a bit of an odd duck, and profits were total guesswork outside of Google until the court case: https://www.bloomberg.com/news...
Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
Like everybody else says, none. But none had the sense to open up 700 ponies and burn the tires off ether.
John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
I've read various estimates that it takes a human somewhere between 5 and 17 seconds to take over from a self-driving car when notfied, when they were concentrating on something else.
So this poses an interesting design dilemma. If you put in a steering wheel and manual brake pedal etc, and have a situation requiring emergency rapid action, and the automation system is in the middle of taking the action it computed is best, how do you PREVENT the human from providing contrary control input which in all likelihood will mess up the overall response to the situation, especially since they are very likely coming in way late.
In what circumstances do you keep the human input disabled, for reasons like mentioned above, and in what circumstances or after what delay do you let them take over. A combined control-input situation would be disastrous, like having the "backseat" driver sitting beside you grab the wheel in panic while you're in evasive driving.
Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
Your description of the mechanical path is correct, but most manufacturers who care still allow the driver to sense some of the torque being applied to the steering axis of the tire. That is to say, if I plot unassisted SW (steering wheel) torque vs latacc, compared with assisted torque vs latacc, the EPAS removes a large, but not all, the torque, even when parking which is where the most assistance is used.
Various companies do intentionally or unintentionally get rid of all the Mz (torque on the tire about the vertical axis) feedback to the driver.
Of the other forces/torques on the tire it is reasonable to say that most manufacturers tend to try and eliminate steering wheel torque as a response. For instance, torque steer, single wheel bumps, braking on unequal mu surfaces, should all ideally be isolated from the SW, although I must admit in the latter case I don't mind a bit of feedback via the SW.
How's life in the hypocrite lane?
So they decided to develop it as a feature addon to existing cars? I'm not understanding it here. The Waymo promo video definitely looks like they're developing this themselves, would be interested to see them partner with others. Waymo Promo Vid: https://youtu.be/uHbMt6WDhQ8