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Aging Process May Be Reversable, Scientists Claim (theguardian.com)

New submitter TheNinjaCoder writes: A new type of gene therapy is showing promise in reversing the aging process. The scientists are not claiming that aging can be eliminated, but say that in the foreseeable future treatments designed to slow the process could increase life expectancy. The Guardian explains the scientists' experiment in its report: "The rejuvenating treatment given to the mice was based on a technique that has previously been used to 'rewind' adult cells, such as skin cells, back into powerful stem cells, very similar to those seen in embryos. These so-called induced pluripotent stem (iPS) cells have the ability to multiply and turn into any cell type in the body and are already being tested in trials designed to provide 'spare parts' for patients. The treatment involved intermittently switching on the same four genes that are used to turn skin cells into iPS cells. The mice were genetically engineered in such a way that the four genes could be artificially switched on when the mice were exposed to a chemical in their drinking water. The scientists tested the treatment in mice with a genetic disorder, called progeria, which is linked to accelerated aging, DNA damage, organ dysfunction and dramatically shortened lifespan. After six weeks of treatment, the mice looked visibly younger, skin and muscle tone improved and they lived 30% longer. When the same genes were targeted in cells, DNA damage was reduced and the function of the cellular batteries, called the mitochondria, improved. Crucially, the mice did not have an increased cancer risk, suggesting that the treatment had successfully rewound cells without turning them all the way back into stem cells, which can proliferate uncontrollably in the body." The study has been published in the journal Cell.

148 of 253 comments (clear)

  1. Things to solve by NotInHere · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Congratulations! But even if you have the cure for aging you'll have to solve some (quite big) problems:

    * The danger of overpopulation. If old people don't die, and young people keep making babies, our planet will become overcrowded soon. Which system should be implemented? A policy where you need permit by the government to have babies? Will we make a gigantic ponzi scheme where we put those extra humans on mars, then on other plantes, colonizing the galaxy? What when the whole galaxy is colonized? Intergalactic travel outside of our local group is quite hard, as expansion of space will make those galaxies leave us faster than light before we can get to them.

    * The danger of cancer. Often when rejuveniating cells you put them in a mode where they like to multiply. You artificially increase the likelihood for cancer with this to an extent of almost certainity.

    1. Re:Things to solve by Empiric · · Score: 2

      Population growth has been over a billion people in the last 20 years.

      That means your "dealt with" plan involves moving 50 million people off the planet in rockets per year.

      Do you have a way to make achieving your stated goal remotely realistic, or is that not actually your goal?

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    2. Re:Things to solve by Rei · · Score: 2

      That's the one that got me. Generally, almost anything that reduces aging / induces regeneration / etc is also associated with cancer. That they're not detecting an increased incidence here is a huge finding.

      Hopefully the followup research will be just as promising.

      --
      Sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion.
    3. Re:Things to solve by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Doesn't matter, current population growth alone is already a severe problem.
      Mass extinction, deforestation, pollution, all manner of resource depletion, introduction of new virus / bacteria diseases.
      Humanity is currently far outstripping the ability of the planet to replenish itself at its natural rate,
      and humanity has no current 'greater rate' technologies or efficiencies in the pipeline that will offset that.
      Living forever isn't going to change that situation very much.
      Humans are fucking themselves over.

    4. Re: Things to solve by jxander · · Score: 1

      Generation ships, probably.

      Take a hundred thousand people, build a spaceship big enough to house them (with room to grow) find some way to synthesize food and water (soylent green, anyone?) and point them off into the stars.

      Rinse and repeat

      The other option would be terraforming, but that seems a bit far fetched, doesn't it?

      --
      This signature is false.
    5. Re:Things to solve by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Overpopulation can be dealt with by moving people to other planets"

      Or, we could just gradually lower our fertility rate as life extension catches on. This normally takes place anyway when an agrarian society industrializes and the five children per family become two.

    6. Re: Things to solve by NotInHere · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You people don't seem to understand how exponential growth works: you will always get to a limit. Whether its the limits of a planet or the limits of a galaxy, or some other limit isn't really relevant.

      You "point them off into the stars" method has a couple of issues: first, its expensive resource wise to build and maintain those ships. Space colonisation is much easier doable with spaceships filled with fertilized human eggs, with actual infrastructure to breed and raise those humans once the destination is reached. Second, you need something to target those ships to. Either you target them into nothingness, meaning the people inside the spaceship is almost certain to die (who wants to go on your spaceships then?), or you target them at actual promising locations. But even there it might turn out to be hostile to higher life.

    7. Re:Things to solve by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      The death rate isn't all it takes to keep human population in check. Since 1966 the number of births has outpaced the number of deaths by a wide margin.

      Immortality treatments will be expensive at first (slow rollout to 1% of the 1%), whatever adjustments are necessary for a world of immortals are already mostly necessary to keep the population 20B.

    8. Re:Things to solve by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      Brain cells, used and unused, die with EXPERIENCE. Those that remain form a better refined control system... up to a point.

    9. Re:Things to solve by skids · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Our species, it appears, has better tools for advancement than those that evolved naturally. When you start intelligently editing gene expression and genomes, you're kinda in uncharted territory.

    10. Re:Things to solve by skids · · Score: 2

      Not to mention, kids will be waiting around for their inheritance quite longer, and might defer on that extra child due to economics.

    11. Re:Things to solve by skids · · Score: 2

      It's pretty much a foregone conclusion that past some point, life extension will require forgetting some of your life and dealing with some personality changes, as there are limits to the brain. I guess that means Dr. Who got it kinda right.

    12. Re:Things to solve by NotInHere · · Score: 3, Insightful

      That will only work if there is something to inherit. For most people, there is nothing.

    13. Re: Things to solve by belthize · · Score: 4, Funny

      We could always sterilize the anonymous cowards. They seem to be breeding like flies.

    14. Re: Things to solve by thinkwaitfast · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You get to the limit with linear growth also.

    15. Re:Things to solve by Wycliffe · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Congratulations! But even if you have the cure for aging you'll have to solve some (quite big) problems:

      * The danger of overpopulation. If old people don't die, and young people keep making babies, our planet will become overcrowded soon. Which system should be implemented? A policy where you need permit by the government to have babies? Will we make a gigantic ponzi scheme where we put those extra humans on mars, then on other plantes, colonizing the galaxy? What when the whole galaxy is colonized? Intergalactic travel outside of our local group is quite hard, as expansion of space will make those galaxies leave us faster than light before we can get to them.

      * The danger of cancer. Often when rejuveniating cells you put them in a mode where they like to multiply. You artificially increase the likelihood for cancer with this to an extent of almost certainity.

      The summary specifically mentions that they found no increased chance of cancer and besides cancer and overpopulation are not reasons not to pursue it. If you could keep someone healthy to 150 and then just took them out in the streets and shot them that would be preferable to what we have now which is where a 100 year old is frail and decrepit.

      There are other problems too that need to be dealt with. Society changes because the older generation dies out. If you think the top .01 percent of the rich are bad now, imagine how much worse it would get if they never died and could continue to amass wealth and power indefinitely.

    16. Re:Things to solve by ranton · · Score: 1

      The danger of overpopulation.

      Easily solved. Just charge $25k/person/year. And wallah, negligible increased overpopulation.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    17. Re:Things to solve by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      It's pretty much a foregone conclusion that past some point, life extension will require forgetting some of your life and dealing with some personality changes, as there are limits to the brain. I guess that means Dr. Who got it kinda right.

      The brain compartmentalizes and prioritizes even during a normal life-cycle. This is why saying "oh yeh I forgot about that" is so common when talking about some old memories yet treating PTSD is so difficult even decades after the initial trauma

    18. Re:Things to solve by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nay-saying everything and bashing everyone over the head with your 'maturity' hammer is a form of childishness. You wanna be an adult? Make some effort toward forward progress instead of being a useless critic of everything.

      Attitudes like yours are what hold people back in fear of ridicule. It's the people taking risks on unknowns who what have made the most progress to the advancement of knowledge, not comfortable and safe scientific prediction.

    19. Re:Things to solve by Wycliffe · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "Overpopulation can be dealt with by moving people to other planets"

      Or, we could just gradually lower our fertility rate as life extension catches on. This normally takes place anyway when an agrarian society industrializes and the five children per family become two.

      Exactly. We need something like 2.2 children just to maintain the same number of people. Also, reversing aging really doesn't buy as much time as most people think. If you eliminate aging, the average life expectancy would jump from about 80 years to about 250 years even if everyone had the same probability of dying each year as a 25 year old does.

    20. Re:Things to solve by jandersen · · Score: 1

      ... imagine how much worse it would get if they never died and could continue to amass wealth and power indefinitely.

      Fortunately, the same law applies. There is always a limit to growth, and if history shows us anything, it is that the limit is quite often a lot closer than we like to imagine.

    21. Re:Things to solve by Coisiche · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think they might set the bar a little higher because that's probably in the grasp of hundreds of millions around the world. It'll definitely cost more and be carefully controlled.

      And no matter how much it costs you know who will always be able to afford it? Politicians.

      In fact I wouldn't be surprised if governments establish a rule that elected members, or non-elected like UK House of Lords, get rejuvenation therapy during their tenure. This would establish an even greater desire to maintain office, which would lead to blatant gerrymandering, changes to election rules and restrictions on voting rights.

      Sometimes something that looks like a good idea just doesn't turn out that way.

    22. Re:Things to solve by helpfulcorn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      * The danger of overpopulation. If old people don't die, and young people keep making babies, our planet will become overcrowded soon. Which system should be implemented? A policy where you need permit by the government to have babies? Will we make a gigantic ponzi scheme where we put those extra humans on mars, then on other plantes, colonizing the galaxy? What when the whole galaxy is colonized? Intergalactic travel outside of our local group is quite hard, as expansion of space will make those galaxies leave us faster than light before we can get to them.

      If overpopulation is really the biggest issue, why don't we just kill a lot of people? This isn't flamebait, I'm serious. If it truly is the worst possible problem, then let's just handle it, have a lottery or something.

      I hear this all the time and it's so stupid. Nobody complains about overpopulation thanks to vaccines, cleaner water, cleaner/better food, etc, but start talking about keeping people from getting old suddenly it's a big deal. Do you think people in horrific places in the third world say "well, clean water would be nice, but then less children would die, and that would mean overpopulation!"

      You can encourage birth control, you can send people to space eventually, you can encourage birth control, you can promote birth control, fucking birth control. And while we're at it, let's stop with this fantasy that children are a legacy as if we own vast farm land that need to be inherited.

      And nobody is stopping a bus from hitting you, or a car accident, or anything else, it will catch up to you eventually, and hell as you even say without any irony at all:

      * The danger of cancer. Often when rejuveniating cells you put them in a mode where they like to multiply. You artificially increase the likelihood for cancer with this to an extent of almost certainity.

      As opposed to now where it's damn near certain as you get older anyway? If anything this helps your overpopulation problem, why the hell are you complaining!?

    23. Re:Things to solve by arobatino · · Score: 1

      If old people don't die, and young people keep making babies,

      People in developed countries generally don't aspire to have as many children as they can before their biological clock runs out. They decide they want to have X children, for some fixed X, and stop after that. If people live longer, it probably means they'll have the same number of children, but over a longer time, which would reduce population growth. They might even put it off indefinitely (since their biological clock isn't ticking anymore) which would reduce it even more.

    24. Re:Things to solve by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

      And wallah, negligible increased overpopulation.

      Voila.

      Good rule of thumb: if you can't spell a word, you should avoid trying to use it in writing - it makes you look like someone trying to qualify for the B-Ark....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    25. Re:Things to solve by Kjella · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you eliminate aging, the average life expectancy would jump from about 80 years to about 250 years even if everyone had the same probability of dying each year as a 25 year old does.

      You must be refering to some third world country or you're off by an order of magnitude. Here in Norway 47/99369 die at age 25, starting from 100000 people at birth. That would make life expectancy about 99369/47 = ~2114 years.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    26. Re:Things to solve by dcollins117 · · Score: 1

      If you could keep someone healthy to 150 and then just took them out in the streets and shot them that would be preferable to what we have now...

      Try convincing that to the 150 year old guy. "OK, Charlie. We're just gonna tie you to a stake and put a bullet through your head. A small one, just to open it up a little bit. Maybe put some fire ants in there. Alright?"

    27. Re:Things to solve by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Overpopulation can be dealt with by moving people to other planets.

      No it can't. At current birth rates, you'd need to move about a million people off planet every week. To put that in perspective, every day roughly 100K people get on planes at London Heathrow. That means that your spaceport would have slightly more departures to space then Heathrow has to terrestrial destinations, every day. Most travellers at Heathrow have under 20Kg of luggage: you're talking about permanent emigration, where people would need a lot more. Let's be conservative and say 100Kg of baggage allowance per person, making a total of about 100Kg. The energy cost to geosync orbit is 50 MJ/Kg. Assuming that in your future world, you have a 100% energy efficient solution (and you have a magical space drive to take them somewhere else), that's 10,000MJ (10GJ) per person, or 10PJ per week.

      Now, to put that in perspective, that's about a tenth of the total world energy production currently, just to lift these people and a modest amount of baggage to orbit, using an unfeasibly efficient system and assuming that your magical space elevator is a sunk cost. This sounds almost feasible, but it has a number of unfeasible assumption. Current power beaming (the method of choice for powering a space elevator) is 0.5% efficient and scientists hope to get it up to 2%. That multiplies your energy cost by 50 and means that you're now talking about using five times the current total world power output just to lift people to orbit.

      Now, you might say, if you have a space elevator then you could power it using photovoltaics in Earth orbit. Okay, let's look at that. We'll assume 40% efficient solar panels (about the theoretical maximum for photovoltaics). That gives us 400W/m^2. To get our 500PJ/week, we need a constant supply of around 825GW, or a square of solar panels 45km on each side, along with all of the associated cabling and infrastructure. That might just about be possible to build, once you have the space elevator running (though assuming 1Kg per square metre panel, with estimated costs of space elevator operation, it would cost around $400bn in today's dollars, so not exactly a cheap project).

      And that's just to get people up to orbit. If you want to actually get them to another planet, you're going to need enough interplanetary ships to carry them somewhere else. And then there's the question of where you send them. Mars? Even if you terraform it, it has the same land mass as Earth, so even if you ignore the children of the colonists then it will fill up in about the time it would take the population of the Earth to double, so that's only going to buy you a few decades.

      Since we're talking future hypotheticals, let's say that we find exoplanets with a compatible biosphere and develop a faster-than-light drive (and we'll not even think about the energy costs of that). Unless you reduce the birth rate, the human population is still going to keep doubling every few decades, so all of those newly colonised planets are going to start exporting people soon too. You'll need to double the number of human colonies every few decades and unless human-friendly planets are startlingly common, that's not sustainable. And if you do manage to reduce birth rates to a manageable amount, then the need to export people from Earth goes away.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    28. Re: Things to solve by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      If you want to keep the population of the Earth steady, then you need to send off a hundred thousand people every day. Where do you want the resource for commissioning a generation ship (or even orbital settlement) every year to come from? And do you expect that the people in the ships will stop breeding?

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    29. Re:Things to solve by swillden · · Score: 1

      There is always a limit to growth, and if history shows us anything, it is that the limit is quite often a lot closer than we like to imagine.

      What history shows us that? Certainly not the history of human population.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    30. Re:Things to solve by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      "Nay-saying everything and bashing everyone over the head with your 'maturity' hammer is a form of childishness."

      Inability to differentiate between fact and fantasy is as well.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    31. Re: Things to solve by limaxray · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nonsense. You're still thinking with a 20th century mind. We're not that far off from being able to launch autonomous drones into space to harvest the asteroid belt and construct a dyson swarm - it's now more of an engineering challenge than a science challenge. As long as you get your materials outside the gravity well of a planet like Earth, constructing massive space based living platforms would be relatively trivial. No need to travel anywhere to be able to reach a carrying capacity many times that of Earth. And assuming we're never able to reach speeds greater than a fraction of the speed of light, we can still hop from star system to star system until we have engulfed every star in the galaxy. Even if we reproduced at premodern rates, we'd be more limited by the age of the galaxy than any carrying capacity we couldn't engineer around. But, as the standard of living increases and people find other sources of enjoyment in life, the rate of reproduction has dropped below 2 per couple. The galaxy is just so massive and our capabilities are so limitless that over population will never be a wide spread problem, as has been demonstrated time and time again.

    32. Re:Things to solve by khallow · · Score: 1

      * The danger of overpopulation. If old people don't die, and young people keep making babies, our planet will become overcrowded soon. Which system should be implemented? A policy where you need permit by the government to have babies? Will we make a gigantic ponzi scheme where we put those extra humans on mars, then on other plantes, colonizing the galaxy? What when the whole galaxy is colonized? Intergalactic travel outside of our local group is quite hard, as expansion of space will make those galaxies leave us faster than light before we can get to them.

      * The danger of cancer. Often when rejuveniating cells you put them in a mode where they like to multiply. You artificially increase the likelihood for cancer with this to an extent of almost certainity.

      I guess we'll have to solve those. Given that curing aging is a much harder problem and we've already solved overpopulation in the developed world, I'm not seeing much of a downside there.

    33. Re:Things to solve by khallow · · Score: 1

      Try convincing that to the 150 year old guy.

      You mean the guy who already decided more than 50 years ago?

    34. Re:Things to solve by Loves2spooge · · Score: 1

      First of all, none of the problems that would derive from a cure for aging won't need to be dealt with until the "cure" has becomed a reality. Second, the entire human population won't get access anytime soon after it has arrived, (even if 100 million people gets it, it's still a drop in the ocean). Third, cancer won't be a problem anymore, as there of course will be new ways to deal with by the time you have "cured aging" and of course that is only if the treatments does cause cancer as a sidefect. All of the problems you mention will only be significant WAAAAY into the future AFTER such treatments arrive, Likely something like 50 years after. I would assume you will have something like, if you get periodic treatments and thus rendered biological immortal, you are not allowed to reproduce. And of course preventing total overpopulation and reducing births should be done irregardless of whether aging is dealt with or not. Of course people will colonize the other planets and there are probably shortcuts through space that we can use to colonize other solar systems if needed.

      --
      AccountKiller
    35. Re:Things to solve by skids · · Score: 1

      Not really. We only have to have a vague idea of what we are doing to enter uncharted territory. The normal process of evolution is to just throw random mutations up against a wall and seeing what sticks. We're on the cusp of making those mutations rather less than random.

    36. Re:Things to solve by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      If you could keep someone healthy to 150 and then just took them out in the streets and shot them that would be preferable to what we have now...

      Try convincing that to the 150 year old guy. "OK, Charlie. We're just gonna tie you to a stake and put a bullet through your head. A small one, just to open it up a little bit. Maybe put some fire ants in there. Alright?"

      I wasn't saying that was a good solution. I was just saying I would prefer it to what we have now. Besides, it doesn't really matter. If you eliminate aging, the average life expectancy would jump from about 80 years to about 250 years even if everyone had the same probability of dying each year as a 25 year old does. So just because a person doesn't age doesn't mean they are going to live forever unless we also greatly decrease the odds of dying from random accidents.

    37. Re:Things to solve by peragrin · · Score: 1

      Forget those. Those are minor issues.

      The real issue of people living longer is that the old crotchety ignorant louts get to live longer too. Change only happens when old people step/fall/are pushed aside to make room for the younger generation who tend to be more accepting of new ideas and methods. By leaving those people around longer they will slow down and collapse progress on bigotry, equality, and in general caring for others that allows civilized society to function.

      Personally if you live to 75 I say we ship you off to a penal colony (Florida) and strip you of your right to vote or affect the lives of others.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    38. Re:Things to solve by Kjella · · Score: 2

      If the probability of dying any given year becomes 47/99369 from age 25 and onwards, then the probability of being not alive (i.e. dead) at age 250 is (1-47/99369) * (250-25) ~= 89.9%, plus whatever probability of dying one accumulated before turning 25. That does not make the life expectancy ~2114 years. Your math is broken.

      No, the math fail is yours, it's (1-47/99369) ^ (250-25) ~= 89.9% chance to be alive not dead. If you take the sum of the power series from zero to infinity you'll find the answer is 99369/47 = 2114 or the mean life expectancy. Note that the median life expectancy will only be about 1500, but you will have a very long tail with no drop-off. P.S. One point I forgot to add, a significant number of these are suicides. If those are more related to personality than circumstances and trends toward zero we might actually live many centuries longer.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    39. Re:Things to solve by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      unless human-friendly planets are startlingly common, that's not sustainable.

      Even if human friendly planets are common, if they have life on them then that life is likely already filling all the ecological niches. It would likely take years to evaluate a planet to make sure it doesn't have pathogens that can kill us and even if it doesn't, what if there is intelligent life? It's bad enough that we are destroying earth, now we are talking about hostile takeover of hundreds of planets. Terraforming would likely take hundreds of years and that's if you are able to find suitable planets without life that mother nature hasn't found yet. Honestly the most practical solution would likely be a ringworld type system where we stay in our current solar system and mine the resources here and create biodomes on the moon, venus, etc... In theory, this is possible. We could then put solar panels in space, biodomes in space, etc... The problem with this is this is currently extremely expensive. We increase the cost of the average dwelling several orders of magnitude. A 50k apartment turns into a 5M apartment in space. In the short term we would be better off building houses and farmland in the Sahara. There is a reason that we don't do this right now though and that is because it is too expensive but still cheaper than building out the moon. The only practical way to keep expanding is to continue to extract more and more energy and resources per person so we can expand into these more resource intensive areas which means that not only is the number of people expanding but also the resources required per person is also expanding. This is a bad combination.

    40. Re:Things to solve by GuB-42 · · Score: 1

      If we model growth as an exponential, and the factor is >1, not even space colonization will save us.

      Assuming zero death rate and a growth function n^x :
      - if n < 1, or less than 1 child per person per lifetime, or less than 2 per woman, we may be able to stay on earth as population will end up stationary.
      - if n == 1, it is a linear growth and we need space exploration to keep going
      - if n > 1, overpopulation will happen no matter what we do. The fastest we can colonize space is by going at the speed of light in all 3 dimensions, that's a polynomial function (x^3), and an exponential will always end up going faster.

    41. Re:Things to solve by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      If overpopulation was a big enough problem, I think we'd put more scientific emphasis into making self-sustaining other-world colonies.

      In all likelihood though we would never reach an unsustainable population even if you doubled the population on earth. In Africa alone there is enough arable land to feed 12billion people with current technology. (the problem is getting the money for distribution and modern farming there).

      Other resources, such as water might become problematic. So we would need expensive desalinization plants and pipelines. Oil might be an issue, and would force us to diversify energy production. We can fit a lot more people on this planet and get it to all work... It might make standard of living go down in general across the world- but we can certainly keep expanding until we have the technology to colonise the solar system.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    42. Re:Things to solve by gnick · · Score: 1

      In the short term we would be better off building houses and farmland in the Sahara.

      I won't take a WAG at the numbers, but terraforming the Sahara has got to be massively cheaper than terraforming Mars - For quite a few reasons. For the price of settlements on Mars, we could probably start populating sea beds.

      --
      He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
    43. Re:Things to solve by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      The polynomial function is (time)^3. At the speed of light, time is unchanging.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    44. Re:Things to solve by Locke2005 · · Score: 1

      You know, in the 60's we had sci-fi about computers that were just these huge video screens that you talk to... guess what I do every day now with Google Home and the ChromeCast attached to my large 4K TV? Yes, we can't move people off planet _yet_ . But, barring more people like Trump getting elected, there is a good chance it will become feasible by the end of the century. Whether or not it will be ECONOMICALLY feasible still remains to be seen -- I still don't have my flying car!

      --
      I've abandoned my search for truth; now I'm just looking for some useful delusions.
    45. Re:Things to solve by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      No, I mean the 150-year-old who draws a pistol on his would-be executioner.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    46. Re:Things to solve by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Wrong on both counts. Shortening of telomeres is likely a cause of aging, and there are ways to do some telomere lengthening.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    47. Re:Things to solve by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      You write of equality as if it were a good thing.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    48. Re:Things to solve by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Hm, around 1995/1997 there where probably about 10 companies on the internet announcing break throughs in life extension "technologies".

      Now you don't even find them with google anymore.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    49. Re:Things to solve by hattig · · Score: 1

      You can't deny that moving excess people to various floating deadly rocks doesn't solve the overpopulation problem on Earth. The technology will evolve to get to these places over time, although getting it to affordable rates may take a lot longer.

      It is likely that the birth rate would continue to drop as well, and with life expectancy extensions - in particular if women could stay fertile for longer (maybe difficult with the limited set of eggs they are born with, but I'm sure they can be kept around too) - it will likely extend even more, as people continue to stay children to older ages (both definitions of 'stay' apply here).

      People would still die too, but that would move from ~70-80 years old to ~100-~120 years old on average initially. The concern is that the prolonging therapy evolves over time to be repeatable, and more effective, meaning people will live to a very very long time, and people may already be alive who will benefit from this.

      I think there are strong arguments to society being stronger with new blood (to eradicate rich Trumps). So maybe forced exile to the stars once you hit a certain age is an idea. You've had a life, now continue it elsewhere building a new society from scratch, with all that experience you should have gained. And if it all goes tits up, hey, you did live a long time already, don't whine about it (not that your whines will be heard back in our solar system).

      Funding mechanisms for the massive cost to society of people hanging around longer will need to be found. Fit for work doesn't mean much work will exist in the future due to automation...

      That's if we're not all scrabbling for scraps in a post-Trump nuclear winter.

    50. Re:Things to solve by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      There are two kinds of people. People that know they can not spell a word correctly, and people that don't know.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    51. Re:Things to solve by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      (and as a side note) strictly speaking you spelled it wrong, too!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    52. Re:Things to solve by hattig · · Score: 1

      Most people currently live in a post-inheritance world - either they get funding from living parents, or unless the parents are particularly rich, retirement, health care, care homes, etc, grabs so much of what was built up in savings during life that anything that dribbles down to the children (who are already in their 40s to 60s by this stage) doesn't really pay for a lot so much so that many inheritances jump a generation now.

      So IMO if you are relying on an inheritance to get on in life in the future, then you may be disappointed.

      Note too that end-of-life treatment is the majority of the healthcare cost over a lifetime for most people. If this treatment can eventually be fairly cheap, then it may be better to always apply it to people rather than let them get close to dying and being costly. In that way, you will be hoping that rapid-death scenarios happen to keep some form of turnover in population - accidents, etc. Maybe older people bored with life will be encouraged to take riskier and riskier holidays...

    53. Re:Things to solve by greythax · · Score: 2

      We don't have to. The overpopulation question assumes that immortal people would be more likely to even want kids. In 2012, the birthrate in america was 1.88 per female. Less than that in Japan. As societies become more affluent, their breeding tends to reduce. Also, part of the "overpopulation" concern has to do with production vs consumption. If people are biologically healthy for hundreds or thousands of years, they will never retire.

    54. Re:Things to solve by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      A space elevator does not need power beaming.
      A long power line and a solar plant on top of it is enough.
      Or as soon as we are out of the atmosphere, a smaller solar plant every 100km.

      Beaming power to the "crawler/climber" is a SF concept that does not really make sense.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    55. Re:Things to solve by hattig · · Score: 1

      I'm guessing that floating cities, hyper-stilted cities (shallow seas), transformed deserts, etc, would all occur anyway in the next 50-100 years.

      Given a sudden lack of death in the world population (it would take a while in truth) that might buy a few decades on Earth.

      It'd be a lot cheaper to allow colonists to take only digital property, personal tech, and some clothes - everything else they can get at their destination. Some of these things could be made in space rather than be lifted too.

      Send the people who have lived a life, have extended it, and the price for extending it is being space colonists - Mars, Ceres, Titan, etc. Retire on Earth in a bungalow eating Soy-Lent watching NetFlix, or go into space rejuvenated by 20 years? They can build out space, and when disasters happen, at least the victims had already lived and understood the risk.

      Sadly that leaves the rich people on Earth with their life extensions, just sucking up more and more money like the worthless financial black holes they are. They'll still be eating beef and ruling, and trying to stop progressive options like the above.

    56. Re:Things to solve by hattig · · Score: 1

      If rejuvenation means fertility too (thank gawd there are a limited number of eggs in a woman), then birth rate per person may increase over time.

      Sure, 1 or 2 children is the western standard these days, but that's because of the small window of opportunity.

      There are going to be people, whose children left the nest, who get rejuvenated and who want a new child. If you live to 200, you might have children at 30-40, 60-70, 100-110, 150-160 (a 40 year gap!). OTOH maybe due to housing shortages having your 80 year old child hanging around home might put people off.

      If you live to 1000? Even if you settle on a child a century, that's a lot of children.

    57. Re:Things to solve by hattig · · Score: 1

      As I wrote elsewhere - immortals will spend their days evading capture by hunter-killer terminator robots.

      Nah, best bet is that at 150 you go into clinic for your next rejuvenation treatment unaware of the following intents: you're tranquilised, and then fed into 'the machine' (industrial grinder / furnace). Even better, make it religious, so they queue up for the machine. Sadly some upstart will likely find out and ruin it for everyone else.

      I just know that I'll have 40000 project that I've put off for another day that I suddenly feel motivated to finish around that time. Typical.

    58. Re:Things to solve by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      A space elevator does not need power beaming.

      A long power line and a solar plant on top of it is enough.

      What material would you make the power line from where the losses over 35,800 km are sufficiently small that it would deliver a useful amount of power? Actually, assume a power plant at the bottom as well, you only need resistive losses to be under 2% for 17,900km. For reference, the longest power transmission line in the world currently is a high-voltage DC line that is 2,385km long. Current HVDC lines have losses of about about 3.5% per 1,000 km, so that's over a 60% loss over half the length of the cable, but the weight of the line is such that it would be completely impossible to build.

      Or as soon as we are out of the atmosphere, a smaller solar plant every 100km.

      Do you have any idea how much weight that would add to the cable? You're talking about adding over 350 power stations along the length, each of which would be several tons. As with your first idea, that pushes the required strength of the cable far beyond anything that we can even model and predict the properties of, let alone produce in experimental quantities in a lab.

      Beaming power to the "crawler/climber" is a SF concept that does not really make sense.

      And yet it's the design that people investing in space elevator development (including NASA) are pushing.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    59. Re:Things to solve by bigfoottoo · · Score: 1

      I am amazed by all the negative, whining posts concerning life-extension. Don't any of you guys ever read? Don't you actually think!? Our technological progress is moving at an exponential rate. In 30 years or so humans will be augmented to the point of being meatware/hardware cyborgs. In some decades after that we will be hardware/software/etheral beings. I relish living into such an enhanced state, and I just hope I live long enough to start on that path. All this talk about overpopulation, etc. becomes irrelevant as we blast into this future. Dammit, we are technologists! We solve problems! My hat is off to the team at the Salk Gene Expression Laboratory. Great Work!

    60. Re:Things to solve by Wycliffe · · Score: 1

      I won't take a WAG at the numbers, but terraforming the Sahara has got to be massively cheaper than terraforming Mars - For quite a few reasons. For the price of settlements on Mars, we could probably start populating sea beds.

      I completely agree. Terraforming the Sahara or even Antarctica would be several orders of magnitude cheaper than terraforming Mars. The only advantage that Mars has over Antarctica is that there is easier access to raw native building materials (aka rocks) and less competition for those resources.

    61. Re:Things to solve by calzones · · Score: 1

      "License to Live"

      You can "apply" for a "License to Live" and it grants you, government-supported, up to an extra 100 years of healthy life extension, which includes government supported vasectomy or sterilization. Only people who have had no more than 2 kids are eligible to receive such a license. People who have only had o or 1 child can get up to 150 years of govt-supported life extension.

      Caveats:

      If you become unhealthy (heart disease, cirrhosis, cancer, etc) then you are only allowed to continue receiving treatments on the public dime if they are reversing your disease. If not, then you'r left to foot the bill if you wish.

      Buying your own life extension still requires the same basic child count and sterilization policy.

      When the public policy runs out, you can buy your own.

      People who want to have more kids can opt out and reverse their sterilization but will forfeit any legal means of life extension afterward.

      --
      Asking people to think is like asking them to buy you a new car
    62. Re:Things to solve by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      You can throw as many dollars and "science" at it, but you can't make a self-sustaining colony on another planet. Some things just aren't possible due to actual science.

    63. Re:Things to solve by jediborg · · Score: 1

      Completely missing a fundamental point of economics: Labor is a commodity. More people means more scientists to solve hard technical problems. It means more authors and artists to inspire humanity to reach greater heights. It means more welders, construction workers, programmers, and mission specialists to build the spaceships, fusion reactors, and other devices that will exist in the future that allow this planet to sustain even greater populations (in an environmentally friendly way) while at the same time making it economically feasible to populate and colonize the stars. Too many people buy into this fallacy of logic that more humans will always mean destruction of the ecology and a doomed future for humanity. I for one chant "bring on the babies!!!"

    64. Re:Things to solve by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Honestly, I'd be happy to be shot in my 80ies if I'd the health of a 25 year old guy until then. Getting old sucks.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    65. Re:Things to solve by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      I disagree, with a source of energy and a diverse native mix of natural resources, any body can be self-sustaining. We may not have the technology today but that doesn't mean we won't have the technology in the future.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    66. Re:Things to solve by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      What material would you make the power line from where the losses over 35,800 km are sufficiently small that it would deliver a useful amount of power? ...

      As with your first idea, that pushes the required strength of the cable far beyond anything that we can even model and predict the properties of, let alone produce in experimental quantities in a lab.

      Last I checked, that was a problem even with beamed power climbers. The tension on a 35,800 km suspension bridge is astronomical. If we're positing a material that can withstand that pull, plus the weight of some number of climbers, we're already into the realm of unobtanium. In which case the power line requirement is just as easy. All you have to do is add one more ridiculous requirement to the already ridiculous requirements: the material the elevator is made of must also be a room temperature superconductor. Given the properties of carbon nanotubes, this requirement might not be totally outrageous. But still, a usable elevator material is currently unobtanium.

    67. Re:Things to solve by JoeMerchant · · Score: 1

      It's one of the most common snake oil scams... live longer, healthier in your old age, etc.

      Doesn't mean that real progress isn't also being made - although life expectancy in the US took a bit of a dive over the last measuring period (was that a year, or 5 years? they say memory is the first thing to go, or at least I think that's what I heard.) Anyway, just because the peasants are dying younger doesn't mean that Ray Kurzweil won't make it to 120.

    68. Re:Things to solve by epine · · Score: 1

      I was just saying I would prefer it to what we have now.

      I don't agree. A single 149-year-old with a $500 billion war chest (by age 135, soon to become known as liver spot menopause, entering into a really high stakes poker game starts to seem like a pon farr caliber idea, in some gilded back-room of the Boao Forum)—such a person who then goes seriously ape shit could end human life on this planet.

      To refer to this as an "unintended" consequence would be too kind by half.

      Bright line. Flash point. So different, and yet so similar.

    69. Re:Things to solve by thomn8r · · Score: 1
      "Overpopulation can be dealt with by moving people to other planets."

      No, it can't

      Well, he didn't say moving them alive to other planets.

    70. Re:Things to solve by CSMoran · · Score: 1

      - if n > 1, overpopulation will happen no matter what we do. The fastest we can colonize space is by going at the speed of light in all 3 dimensions, that's a polynomial function (x^3), and an exponential will always end up going faster.

      You snuck in an assumption of infinite time there. We the exponential only have until the heat death of the universe, at most, to catch up with that O(x^3) with a very large prefactor.

      --
      Every end has half a stick.
    71. Re:Things to solve by khallow · · Score: 1

      Ok, so? Should we now argue whether this movie is better to watch on Betamax or VHS?

      It's a contrived moral situation, but with a point. A contrived Logan's Run situation after you've lived a healthy 150 years is considerably better than living to 100 years with a body steadily degrading all the while due to aging.

    72. Re:Things to solve by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      As space is relatively cold, cough cough, I would use a super conductor. Only the first few km need cooling then. Or the first few km can use ordinary cables.

      However you have a point regarding the weight of the power plants/cables. OTOH, the proposed carbon nanofibres are very good conductors anyway, so probably there are no extra cables needed?

      Perhaps at a certain point in height one could place one mobile power plant, basically a gondola for the payload.

      Anyway: considering that beaming basically means beaming light/probably a laser, the receiver will be a solar panel. Why not using that panel for sun/solar power instead?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    73. Re:Things to solve by whit3 · · Score: 1

      Our species DID evolve naturally...

      Yeah, partly naturally, but partly socially, too. Speech and writing and clothing and culture... we all inherit a LOT of stuff that isn't part of biological evolution.

    74. Re:Things to solve by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      As space is relatively cold

      Space isn't cold. Cold isn't a concept that exists in a vacuum. The cable will be in direct sunlight, receiving energy and warming, and will be unable to cool by radiating heat. For existing space stations and space craft, dissipating heat, not staying warm, is the big engineering problem.

      OTOH, the proposed carbon nanofibres are very good conductors anyway, so probably there are no extra cables needed?

      Only in single strands. Electricity flows along the tube, which is what makes them good conductors, but it also means that you can't make good wires by bundling them together. It also means that you can't easily tap the power anywhere other than the ends of the chains.

      Anyway: considering that beaming basically means beaming light/probably a laser, the receiver will be a solar panel. Why not using that panel for sun/solar power instead?

      Because the solar energy hitting is about 1Kw/m^2, the energy from the laser beam is an order of magnitude or so higher.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    75. Re:Things to solve by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Well, these two statements are not contradictory.
      I was in a way better shape when I was 30+ than when I was 25 because I've picked up sports. Nevertheless I felt better in my twenties, even when out of shape. Now, after an injury I can't cycle anymore and currently am in as bad shape as I was in my twenties, but feel much worse because I am way older. So, if I had the choice of being in a good shape or being young, I'd choose the latter any day because good shape is something one can acquire, being young not so much.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    76. Re:Things to solve by syntotic · · Score: 1

      I have the solution for those problems, through genetics, of course, but the people I sent the email with it seemingly did not notice it. Total solution to overpopulation, stable and gaugable including maximum sexual satisfaction for the species. Of course, I do want credit for arriving at it. 3;-D3 Should I post it here when my posts dissappear? Doh... But anyway, the solution to overpopulation and babies exists.

    77. Re: Things to solve by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      You "point them off into the stars" method has a couple of issues: first, its expensive resource wise to build and maintain those ships.

      He missed out the part where after 2 generations the ship comes back with a hold full of Soylent Green and a smell of fresh paint. Maybe some nice socks knitted from human hair and a few bars of dental amalgam.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    78. Re:Things to solve by Blaskowicz · · Score: 1

      The mutant Ninja Turtles had a mobile phone of sorts with video calls, and April O'Neill had one too, so that means we can have four anthromorphic turtle and a similar, sentient and talking wise rat?

    79. Re:Things to solve by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Space isn't cold. Cold isn't a concept that exists in a vacuum. The cable will be in direct sunlight, receiving energy and warming, and will be unable to cool by radiating heat.
      The cable will be in the shadows, so it is close to absolute zero cold.
      No one would build a supposedly super conducting cable in bright sun, that was a no brainer :D

      Because the solar energy hitting is about 1Kw/m^2, the energy from the laser beam is an order of magnitude or so higher.
      That would be factor ten, so easy achieved by a solar panel 10 times bigger.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    80. Re:Things to solve by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      The cable will be in the shadows,

      Uh, the shadow of what? Of Earth? No, because the Earth rotates. Of the support cable? Okay, so now the rest of the elevator is getting warm and needs to dissipate that heat somehow (most likely by achieving an equilibrium temperature and radiating).

      so it is close to absolute zero cold

      Nope, you seem to fundamentally misunderstand how thermodynamics works. The temperature is cold in the shade on Earth because you are surrounded by an atmosphere and heat convects away from you. This does not happen in space. Any energy that hits you must be radiated away to maintain a constant temperature. If the ribbon is in sunlight (which it will be for most of the time, only briefly being shaded in its entirety for a few minutes) then it must radiate roughly 1kW per square metre. You can work out the temperature that it'll reach at equilibrium yourself, but it definitely won't be cold enough for any existing superconductors (including ones that exist only in the lab).

      That would be factor ten, so easy achieved by a solar panel 10 times bigger.

      Even if it's only a factor of ten (it isn't), making it ten times bigger makes it (at least) ten times heavier, and now you can't support it on the ribbon (or carry it on the crawler).

      Please go and read some of the papers on space elevator design. The maths isn't that complicated and people have spent years thinking through some of these problems.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    81. Re:Things to solve by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      A cable in the shadows ... of what ever ... does not get any heat.
      So it has not to radiate away any heat.

      And all that has nothing to do with thermodynamics.

      I suggest to read wikipedia what thermodynamics is about. Space and vacuum has nothing to to with thermodynamics.

      So thank you that you are concerned about my lack of understanding of thermodynamics, it is not approbiated ;D

      Please go and read some of the papers on space elevator design. The maths isn't that complicated and people have spent years thinking through some of these problems.
      Those papers are pretty irrelevant.
      A working space elevator will be a MASSIVE construction, not a simple ribbon (as our currently running "contests" imply).
      Imagine an Eiffel Tower, 45000 times bigger as it is. Not a single asteroid/rock with a ribbon coming down.

      The idea that you can have solar panels and a laser on ground to power a crawler is utopic at best and most likely more idiotic.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    82. Re:Things to solve by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Fact: we have the technology to put people perminantly on the moon. The issue is financial and will, not technology.

      Fantasy: there will never ever be any scientific progress, we have done everything we ever will within science.

      Seperating fact from fiction is important to being a mature adult, thank you for reminding us all, so when will AC above grow up and stop denying all possibility of future progress because we don't have people living there now?

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
  2. Progeria mice by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The scientists quoted say 10 years away from any sort of human clinical application. One interesting thing to note is that these are progeria mice, who would normally age very rapidly from their condition. So it's more like making them age more normal, not extending their lifespan abnormally. Will be interesting to see if they can use this technique to actual reverse normal aging and extend a normal lifespan, not just one which was previously going to be cut very short.

    --
    The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    1. Re:Progeria mice by _Sharp'r_ · · Score: 1

      Right now their process requires changes in embryo, so you're already too old yourself... :)

      The 10 years is a hope for finding a way to do the same thing without genetic manipulation before birth.

      --
      The party of stupid and the party of evil get together and do something both stupid and evil, then call it bipartisan.
    2. Re:Progeria mice by skids · · Score: 1

      "In vivo reprogramming improves regeneration in 12-month-old wild-type mice" -- TFA ...which even though it may not extend lifespan, it could significantly delay senescence and thus allow people to have higher quality, more productive, later years. Combined with a lifetime of experience this could be a win-win proposition for both the economy and the individual.

      Also, the estimate is 10 years before clinical trials are possible. So, some number more years after that.

    3. Re:Progeria mice by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 2

      Well, in 10 years we'll all be old and ugly, so does the ageing-reverse process restore beauty as well?

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    4. Re:Progeria mice by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Obligatory XKCD: https://xkcd.com/678/

      10 years never means 10 years, it just means they have no clue.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    5. Re:Progeria mice by mark_reh · · Score: 1

      10 years assumes continued research and progress over that period. That requires funds. That requires a government that believes in science. That's not gonna happen in the US. 'Murica is in the final throws of civilization. We have become an idiocracy. Pay attention, rest-of-the-world, this is what failure looks like...

    6. Re:Progeria mice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "throes", not "throws". Please learn the difference as it makes you look foolish to bemoan the end of civilization with spelling errors...

    7. Re:Progeria mice by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Go back to school and learn the difference between throw and throe.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    8. Re:Progeria mice by mark_reh · · Score: 1

      Jeez, you guys proved my point. You can't think of anything else to say but to criticize an error in word selection. We really are doomed.

  3. Great News - I think by flatulus · · Score: 2

    But I'm too old to be sure I really understand this. Wish I could still think like a young man...

    1. Re:Great News - I think by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But thank you for not repeating the tired "but I feel better at 40 than at 20" horseshit denial you usually get from old people. I'm 40, and IT FUCKING SUCKS. Give me YOUTH *any day* over this agonizing slow death and decay!

    2. Re:Great News - I think by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I remember 40. That was nearly two decades ago for me. Good times. Not that times are bad now though. Anyway, have you sought counseling?

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    3. Re:Great News - I think by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      But thank you for not repeating the tired "but I feel better at 40 than at 20" horseshit denial you usually get from old people. I'm 40, and IT FUCKING SUCKS. Give me YOUTH *any day* over this agonizing slow death and decay!

      I legitimately felt better at 30 than I did at 20 because I lived a healthier lifestyle. Unfortunately by 35 started getting arthritis and various joint pains and it quickly got worse year by year, by 37 there was not a day I didn't have pain somewhere.. I suspect I'm going to be a mess by 50.

      Age reversing pills won't grow back cartilage either, so I'm screwed even if they come out with age reversing pills unless they find a cure for arthritis or I become a cyborg.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    4. Re:Great News - I think by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 1

      Sounds like you need to take better care of yourself. I'm 38 and I have all my hair (and still it's original color). I don't have daily pain, I'm not overweight, nothing creaks. My teeth are in great shape.

      Some is genetics, but a lot of it is daily exercise and being very careful with what I eat.

      I'm in my mid 50s. My few remaining hairs are grey, and I'm not likely to win any foot-races, but no pain, I'm slimmer than I was at 40, and have most of my teeth (soda addiction hurts me there). Certainly genetics (mom's alive & kicking at 82, aunt's not kicking but at least alive at 97!), but also exercise, and few harmful vices (other than the damn soda).

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
  4. Rather low bar by Empiric · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Genetic disorder mitigated by genetic manipulation. Yes?

    Instead of progeria-afflicted mice, why not attempt the technique on otherwise healthy mice? If that can be made to result in a 30% lifespan extension, that would be notable.

    --
    ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    1. Re:Rather low bar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      who's to say that's not the next goal? Advancements happen in small steps, the things that can be learned here are plentiful. This specific disease is the most likely place we know of to find answers to aging and is an excellent starting position.

    2. Re:Rather low bar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      1) "may", "claim"? I'd says it's far from "sensationalism".
      2) Considering they're not doing human trials the survival rate for humans is actually undefined not 0%
      3) Not sure what "entropy" has to do with any of this as you're the first person to mention it

      Finally maybe read the study "we demonstrate the amelioration of cellular phenotypes associated with aging by short-term induction of the Yamanaka factors in mouse and human cells" and you'll see how the research was used with respect to humans.

    3. Re:Rather low bar by starless · · Score: 5, Informative

      Genetic disorder mitigated by genetic manipulation. Yes?

      Instead of progeria-afflicted mice, why not attempt the technique on otherwise healthy mice? If that can be made to result in a 30% lifespan extension, that would be notable.

      "The team also saw improved organ health in normal mice but, because the mice are still living, could not yet say if longevity was extended."

      http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12...

    4. Re:Rather low bar by arth1 · · Score: 1

      3) Not sure what "entropy" has to do with any of this as you're the first person to mention it

      He used it as evidence for eternal life not being achievable.

      But there's little need to take the long entropy view, with the heat death of the universe. The entropy that the sun experiences every day is enough.
      If we consider the life span of Earth from life started until Earth no longer can support life because of the sun having grown too hot, life is already well into aging. In human terms, scaled onto a human life span of, say, 85 years, life on Earth is already 68 years old. Even if we manage to not exterminate ourselves[*], it seems unlikely that we'll be able to leave the solar system and arrive safely and flourish elsewhere. The best we may realistically hope for is to extend life by jumping outwards for a while after Earth becomes inhospitable. But that is just hospice care for a dying patient.

      [*]: Long odds, in my opinion. As we grow powerful enough to easily extinguish all life, we reach a situation where everyone has to refrain from doing so. Constantly. But it only takes a single event, whether malice or mistake, to go extinct. So long term survival seems like winning the lottery. Every day.

    5. Re:Rather low bar by Empiric · · Score: 1

      It does, by exactly the chain of reasoning I gave.

      You don't get to scope inference.

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    6. Re:Rather low bar by Empiric · · Score: 1

      My point is not to "tackle" biological aging, but rather to set the context of rational versus irrational interpretations of a populist clickbait Slashdot title. Review the sequence of the posts if that's unclear.

      If I save some people time realizing sooner rather than later that "reversing aging" and the open-ended implications that clearly tries to suggest, are plainly and irreversibly scientifically invalid, all the better.

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
    7. Re:Rather low bar by robi5 · · Score: 1

      > "The team also saw improved organ health in normal mice but, because the mice are still living, could not yet say if longevity was extended."

      Well, more accurately, perhaps the experiment hasn't been running long enough to even see if extended longevity kicked in. The animals don't actually need to die for the experiment to demonstrate life extension. In fact, the longer the animals are alive, the better :-)

      Slightly related I'm always appalled at published life expectancy numbers. The only solid measure is obtained when a population dies out, and statistics can be calculated on that basis. But most people who die were born 50-90 years ago. Moreover, to get good statistics, it's worth looking at birth years for which there are few or no surviving members, i.e. going back around100 years. When we talk about life expectancy for younger folks e.g. at birth or even at 40, the life expectancy of people who were born 100 years ago is quite irrelevant - different diet, habits, wars, medicine etc.

      I'm wondering if there are models and estimates for life expectancy in a forward-looking way, perhaps with alternative scenarios for future medical advances.

    8. Re:Rather low bar by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      I'd bet whoever makes life insurance actuarial tables knows how to take all of that into account.

    9. Re:Rather low bar by starless · · Score: 1

      Well, more accurately, perhaps the experiment hasn't been running long enough to even see if extended longevity kicked in. The animals don't actually need to die for the experiment to demonstrate life extension.)

      To quantify longevity median lifetime is often used, so to get that value you need half of your mice to die. But of course you can still get a lower bound on it before then.

      I'm wondering if there are models and estimates for life expectancy in a forward-looking way, perhaps with alternative scenarios for future medical advances.

      "The Lee–Carter model is a numerical algorithm used in mortality forecasting and life expectancy forecasting. The input to the model is a matrix of age specific mortality rates ordered monotonically by time, usually with ages in columns and years in rows. The output is another forecasted matrix of mortality rates."
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    10. Re:Rather low bar by Empiric · · Score: 1

      The empirical evidence you have a 0% survival rate is overwhelming, as is every other quite-scientific claim I have made.

      You're trying to shoehorn a failed stock argument into a statement that isn't there, that you choose to imagine is there wishing it fit. What is overwhelming proven by experience and all data is that you will die, and this and every position you have become completely irrelevant according to you yourself. I'll take it from there.

      Hitchens was ironically and appropriately eaten by his own DNA. Parroting his "razor" won't alter your outcome in the least.

      --
      ~ Whence do you come, slayer of men, or where are you going, conqueror of space?
  5. Well, hurry the fuck up! by thrillseeker · · Score: 1

    That is all.

  6. Always in mice by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Some day we're going to have super strong, super smart, mice that live forever and are immune to any disease. But after they conquer the world they probably won't have empathy for us humans for what we've done to them to getbthere.

    1. Re:Always in mice by rickyslashdot · · Score: 1

      Obligatory Reference - - - Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy - Intelligent species on earth
            1) MICE
            2) Dolphins
            3) Homo Sap.

      --
      redneck geek
    2. Re: Always in mice by anegg · · Score: 1

      "... and best-laid schemes o' mice an' men gang aft a-gley."

      There - fixed it for you.

  7. Treatments for Diseases by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    After reading TFA it seems that there might be other uses for this. some auto-immune diseases like cancer, rheumatoid arthritis and multiple sclerosis could benefit by reverting mis-behaving adult T- and B- cells back into pluripotent stems cells. If they are *truly* reverting all the way back to PSC's then they *should* be losing their auto-immune attack memory.

    It would certainly be a different way to attack these problems versus stem cell replacement therapy (risky due to the chemo) and immuno-ablation (risky due to reduced immune response).

  8. Re:I'd rather die by sgtsquid · · Score: 1

    than live with all these consumerist idiots.

    No doubt posted from an iPhone while driving your BMW to Starbucks!

  9. Bring It On! by Ferretman · · Score: 1

    I've got stuff to do.....

    Ferret

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
  10. Population can be dealt with one simple rule by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The rule is: if you have a child, your anti aging treatments stop
      penalty for breaking rule: death

  11. Treatment costs by belthize · · Score: 2

    Pick a number pretty much any number, double it, somebody will pay that.

    There won't be an overpopulation problem because only .001% of the population will be able to afford it.

    What there will be is huge black market that primarily consists of fake treatments that will kill you, probably. If the odds are a million to one that you get to reset to some lower age or die of old age people will roll the dice.

    1. Re:Treatment costs by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      The downside: if it works, Robert Mugabe will be president for 500 years.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    2. Re:Treatment costs by belthize · · Score: 2

      This already happens with drugs that only provide a chance at euphoria for a few hours. Not a real leap to think the same thing will happen at a larger scale if it adds years to your life.

    3. Re:Treatment costs by swillden · · Score: 1

      Pick a number pretty much any number, double it, somebody will pay that.

      There won't be an overpopulation problem because only .001% of the population will be able to afford it.

      Well, if the technique these scientists used is how it's done, the treatment won't be particularly expensive. It'll have to be done by genetic engineering of embryos, or even germ cells (eggs or sperm). The genetic modification process isn't that expensive, but the modified embryo will have to be implanted, etc., so the process will look almost exactly like in vitro fertilization, plus a little. That would put it easily within the reach of the middle class in wealthy countries, and assuming everyone who could afford it wanted to do it, economies of scale would probably drive that cost down to where nearly everyone in wealthy countries could afford it.

      I see absolutely nothing in the description of the process that would make it incredibly expensive, so why do you think it would be so pricey?

      The bigger barrier is ethical questions around human genetic engineering, but I expect we'll decide that this sort is a good thing.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    4. Re:Treatment costs by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Considering that the treatment in itself basically costs nothing, it will be hard work to keep the price up so high that only the number you mention can afford it.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  12. Re:What could go wrong? by thisisauniqueid · · Score: 1

    ... in other words, they didn't find cancer yet, in this study. But there is no promise that the same will be true for humans. Cancer cells *are* cells that have been reset to some early proliferative stage of development.

  13. A short story by MancunianMaskMan · · Score: 1
    From B. Brecht's "Stories about Herr Keuner" (translation is mine):

    A man, who hadn't seen Mr Keuner for a long time, greeted him with the words: "You haven't changed at all." "Oh!", said Mr Keuner, and went pale.

  14. The premisse is the title is flawed by ruir · · Score: 2

    There is little interesting in reversing the process of aging after the damage is done to bones and tissues. On the other hand, you want to slow it down after your late 20s.
    Obviously, if ever there is a public technology, they would be much more interested in spinning it down to older people that has more disposable income, however ultimately, it would be the ultra rich taking more advantage of it for a younger age.

  15. Now, lets solve... by confused+one · · Score: 1

    Cool. Now lets see if we can solve that pesky cancer problem.

  16. Re:What could go wrong? by robi5 · · Score: 1

    Oh because there's currently equality in aging. In some current societies 40 is ripe old age if one is lucky to live that long, while in others, some kids go to school, do no work, have no spouse or kids, live on the support of their parents or take on huge debt till they're around 40. I.e. what's decrepit age one place is the start of social adulthood at another. Still, no war b/c of that... ... though YES there are wars and they're often one reason why people there don't live that long, and wars are fought over control of resources which may lead to better economics so looking at it this way, there's ALREADY social consequences and it's well known, nothing new.

    Yes differences will get even more pronounced within specific countries too, but there's already large life expectancy differences according to socioeconomic factors, many decades even in adjacent neighborhoods. There's also the proliferation of tech too, now almost everyone in 1st world countries can have a supercomputer in their pocket.

  17. so many possibilities - by sheramil · · Score: 1

    - for this to go horribly wrong in an entertaining science fiction kind of way. "We left him in too long and he reverted to a mass of stem cells."

    1. Re:so many possibilities - by drunken_boxer777 · · Score: 1

      - for this to go horribly wrong in an entertaining science fiction kind of way. "We left him in too long and he reverted to a mass of stem cells."

      Basically. Although, you'd have to find a way to provide doxycycline (the drug that activates the genes in question) to all of their cells once the person couldn't drink. Submerging them in a vat of fluid, Matrix style.

      From TFA:

      Continuous induction of OSKM in 4F mice by administration of doxycycline in drinking water resulted in significant weight loss and high mortality after 4 days (Figures 3 A and 3B). This likely resulted from the dedifferentiation of cells in vital organs and subsequent loss of organ function.

      If you wanted to take it farther, you could use all of those stem cells to create clones of the original. Do dedifferentiated neurons lose memories? The connections will likely disappear, and the answer is probably "yes", but one could have fun with it in a story.

  18. How Will this Affect... by dcw3 · · Score: 1

    How will this affect those "lifetime" warranties?
    How old would you need to be to retire?...any pension not adjusted for inflation would end up being worthless over time.
    How old would you need to be to collect Social Security? There would have to be adjustments made.
    Could I still get the senior discounts at age 60?
    Would this reverse my baldness?
    Could I get it up again w/o Viagra?

    --
    Just another day in Paradise
    1. Re:How Will this Affect... by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      If you're worried about living expenses (retirement, Social security, senior discounts), you're not in the economic bracket to afford the treatment.

    2. Re:How Will this Affect... by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      If this is something that could be taken as a pill without the need of medical staff to administer to you on a regular basis then I don't think this will be for the wealthy only (if it doesn't require permanently scarce resources).

      This would have broad appeal across a wide range of people. R&D costs spread across the whole of humanity means the pill should be fairly inexpensive, especially when you consider economies of scale. (plus politics will make this important to get to the people).

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    3. Re:How Will this Affect... by hattig · · Score: 1

      Cost of production in the pharmaceutical industry has no correlation with the sale price.

      This will be sold initially for billions per treatment. Then hundreds of millions. Then tens of millions.

      Beneath this, it absolutely will have to make up for the loss of income from other age-related medications and treatments that this would kill, especially if it was available to all. Otherwise it would be an effective way for social governments to deal with the high medical cost of retirement aged people - eradicate the getting old part.

    4. Re:How Will this Affect... by Quirkz · · Score: 1

      How will this affect those "lifetime" warranties?

      I haven't met a lifetime warranty that was honored beyond 7 years. I've had some that didn't make it to 2.

    5. Re:How Will this Affect... by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      I had a buddy who bought a broke down '69 Camero with an old Sears battery...they came with lifetime warranties. Sears gave him a new battery, no questions asked. That battery had probably sat in the car for a dozen years. But, I get your point...it's extremely unlikely.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
  19. Article is misleading by zifn4b · · Score: 1

    This treatment can help rejuvenate you in the sense that it can make you look and feel younger but it doesn't "reverse the aging process". In order to do that, it would require our telomeres to recover length to allow more cell division. It is the telomeres that cause us to ultimately die because when the cells can no long divide things break down, you get sick and you die. I didn't see anything in the article that described what it does to affect the true aging process. At best, this can raise the quality of life in the latter years which is certainly a welcome improvement.

    --
    We'll make great pets
    1. Re:Article is misleading by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      There are other causes of aging. One is the accumulation of unremovable waste products. Another is the increased proportion of cells that no longer function properly. Yet another is decreased red blood cell production.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    2. Re:Article is misleading by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Pluripotent stem cells don't suffer from telomere loss, so the first generations you should be fine.
      Also we know which enzymes are needed to fix telomeres.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  20. Progeria isn't aging by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    I haven't done a ton of research, however progeria aging seems a pretty logical statement. Progeria may look like accelerated aging, it may even have shared cursors as aging. However it is not aging nor accelerated aging. Wiki uses the word "resembles" and that usage is probably very purposeful. So maybe their might be some take aways learned eventually that may help in corresponding aging process, but maybe (probably) not.

    What this research does "resemble" is work towards treatment of an incredible rare disorder that cuts the lives short of those that have it. That is the news here, that advances are being made in terms of potentially helping those with progeria. Framing it as a tonic for eternal life is kind of insulting really.

  21. Solutions by fyngyrz · · Score: 2

    That means your "dealt with" plan involves moving 50 million people off the planet in rockets per year.

    Or it means space elevators.

    Rockets are, as you intimate, not a good tool for this. They are expensive, polluting, risky, and only capable of small payloads.

    But a space elevator would serve well in all of those categories. The materials science, which is the primary challenge that must be overcome, is coming along. Once funded -- which is a huge deal, but not an insurmountable one -- space would become much easier to access. At that point, any assumptions about what we can, or can't, do will have to be revised.

    For a lot of people, space elevators seem impossible; but they aren't. It's just physics, and it's not unreasonable physics, either. It's just hard physics. Not as hard as fusion; not as easy as rockets.

    There are no other technologies in view that will serve. There's no current physics path to "anti-gravity" or "transporters", for instance.

    We have many reasons to go to space, most of them excellent. If we have to do it with rockets, it's going to be a very drawn-out, very expensive process. We'll almost certainly establish ourselves, even with rockets, but there won't be any mass transport of human beings going on if that's what we end up with for the long run. It's just too expensive, and the batches are far too small to send large numbers of people in what amounts to a casual manner. Likely any large population in space habitats or planetary settlements in a "we use rockets" environment will have to grow by reproduction rather than import.

    We have some tech for moving around in space that looks to be inexpensive; after all, there's no shortage of continuous low-level energy supply in space -- but not for getting there.

    Gravity is a bitch.

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
    1. Re:Solutions by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

      Even if you can build enough space elevators to move 50 million people a year, where are you going to move them to? Space elevators would move them into low-orbit, which isn't real hospitable to life as we know it.

      --
      Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  22. Re:What could go wrong? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    You've established that you'll murder out of jealousy. Is it you or a billionaire who is the worse person?

    --
    Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  23. It's why we have dictionaries, people. by Fromage10x · · Score: 1

    I think perhaps there should be a requirement at some point during scientist training that you learn what the word reverse means. Or maybe in tech journalism at least.

  24. Re:Now that these mice are immortal by pubwvj · · Score: 1

    An interesting question... Likewise you could ask, when will my toaster learn to talk? The answer is never. Merely living longer doesn't give the ability to do things that are outside their ken, their design specs.

  25. Start with the obvious by Red+Herring · · Score: 1

    Overpopulation can be dealt with by moving people to other planets.

    We can move the telephone sanitizers and marketing people off the planet first, of course.

    The rest of us will be right behind.

    --
    #include "standard_disclaimer.h"
  26. oh man by qQ7eBMsfM5gs · · Score: 1

    If also they find a cure for cancer we'll never get rid of baby boomers...

  27. SUPER anti-gerasone by samwichse · · Score: 1

    Why live forever at your current age, when you could live forever at a younger one?

    *Some cause some side effects to society

  28. Title is misleading clickbait by Xojo · · Score: 1

    Try this practical experiment in your car while driving on a highway. Slow down a little (decelerate and/or downshift). Now throw the gearbox into reverse. Do you detect a difference?

    --
    Regards, -- Chris Johansen