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Seattle's $15 Minimum Wage May Be Hurting Workers, Report Finds (usatoday.com)

As companies look for ways to cut costs, Seattle's $15 minimum wage law may be hurting hourly workers instead of helping them, according to a new report. From a USA Today article: A report (PDF) from the University of Washington (UW), found that when wages increased to $13 in 2016, some companies may have responded by cutting low-wage workers' hours. The study, which was funded in part by the city of Seattle, found that workers clocked 9 percent fewer hours on average, and earned $125 less each month after the most recent increase. "If you're a low-skilled worker with one of those jobs, $125 a month is a sizable amount of money," Mark Long, a UW public-policy professor and an author of the report told the Seattle Times. "It can be the difference between being able to pay your rent and not being able to pay your rent."

292 of 511 comments (clear)

  1. Typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If goes from "The science is settled!" to "may be doing something" when the results don't fit the popular narrative.

    and you wonder how people can be skeptical? Geesh.

    1. Re: Typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Thomas Sowell (based Harvard / Stanford economist and academic) has researched this to death using actual data, minimum wage creates fewer jobs. Listen to his explanation https://youtu.be/6TGkfjaxFWs. He started as a Marxist until he actually did some research.

      Please watch the video or even read his research, this isn't the answer.

    2. Re: Typical... by rdelsambuco · · Score: 2

      Agreed. Lowering the minimum wage may help workers to secure longer hours and higher monthly wages. We really should be discussing a maximum wage for unskilled labor - for their own good, of course.

      --
      I comment occasionally so that I can mod others -1 overrated or -1 offtopic.
    3. Re:Typical... by Njorthbiatr · · Score: 2

      If you read the study its exclusion criteria is so bad it can't consider the results anything other than exploratory.

    4. Re: Typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The solution is obvious to pay workers nothing, thus guaranteeing infinite work.

    5. Re: Typical... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      It depends on what that 5 bucks would buy, I guess. But the erroneous assumption here is the word "everyone". This isn't about "everyone" making minimum wage. There has to be entry level jobs with room to improve, else where do beginning employees start?

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    6. Re: Typical... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Why don't you stick it to the man and demand that everyone gets $100.00 / hr. That'll show them.

      /sarc

      Here's the f**king problem - reformulating the minimum wage to being a "living" wage hurts those with a low skill set.

      Part of keeping a job is

      - showing up every day
      - showing up on time every day
      - showing the will to this day in and day, week in and week out
      - being clean and reasonably well groomed
      - following directions
      - being personable

      You may take these "skills" for granted but they need to be developed. This is one of the invaluable benefits of minimum wage jobs. It's the first rung on the ladder. It's not meant, nor intended to be, a role that one can have to support ones family. It's the f**king MINIMUM.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    7. Re: Typical... by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      "Greedy corporate overlords"? Do you realize that virtually every single small business in the country is a corporation? The guy cutting your grass is a corporation (if he's legal). The guy washing your car is a corporation (if he's legal). BS class warfare nonsense like that is how we got Trump.

    8. Re: Typical... by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      Liar.

    9. Re: Typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      if you're putting in 40 hours a week to a job, then you have every expectation to be able to live off said job.

      Not live well mind you, but you should be able to house, clothe, and feed yourself.

    10. Re: Typical... by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      Hey I want $100/hour to come clean your house. What? Too expensive? You will not hire me? You greedy bastard!

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    11. Re: Typical... by guises · · Score: 1, Informative

      He started as a Marxist until he actually did some research.

      If you say so. The video is just an excerpt from an audiobook, so I went looking for something a little more substantial in video form... which I did not find. I did find a lot of articles though, and this guy is partisan as shit. If he "started as a Marxist," it was a very long time ago.

    12. Re:Typical... by interkin3tic · · Score: 1
      Who said the "science" was settled on the issue of minimum wage?

      If you're talking about people who aren't economists, yeah, this just in, sometimes people say things that are wrong. If you're looking at professional economists who aren't regarded as cranks, I'm skeptical you'd find many saying "FACT. MINIMUM WAGE ALWAYS GOOD."

      Slashdot, undergoing a fox news regression, likely prefers researchers who do their research and then politely refrain from making anything more than timid suggestions that are convenient for republican politicians to completely ignore. So I expect we'd label Paul Krugman as a "crank" given he (gasp) appears to have opinions and expresses them outside dry journal papers no one reads. So we'll take him as an example of someone who must be screaming absolute faith in minimum wages. Yetthis article was labeled "opinion" at the top, and I can't find anything like the straw man argument you're presenting. The closest I could find

      Until the Card-Krueger study, most economists, myself included, assumed that raising the minimum wage would have a clear negative effect on employment. But they found, if anything, a positive effect. Their result has since been confirmed using data from many episodes. There’s just no evidence that raising the minimum wage costs jobs, at least when the starting point is as low as it is in modern America.

      Evidence this and evidence that. He doesn't include the usual disclaimer of "more research is needed" that current researchers usually use to indicate the studies are not done and you should still pay them to do more research on the subject. But it's not claiming it as dogma that is proof unto itself.

      So... who said it's settled?

    13. Re: Typical... by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      I'm seriously worried what our education system is putting when these neosocialists can't grasp basic economics.

    14. Re: Typical... by e3m4n · · Score: 2

      well I'm torn on the issue. I dont want people to get shit wages, but raising minimum wage wont solve the issue. Raising minimum wage amounts to forced inflation. If people still have a hard time understanding why, look back 5 yrs when we had $4/gal gas. How many things started going up in price as a result of the increase cost of fuel and energy? It got so bad that some countries started rioting because they had to chose between eating and paying rent. The prices of consumables went up 150% in some cases. 80/20 ground beef skyrocketed to $4.50/lb (now back down to around $2 - $3). Milk got as high as $3.20/gal (now back just below $2) etc. When expenses go up, for any reason, thats going to ripple back out into the cost of goods sold. The things we consume the most of, are often staffed by low wages to keep costs down. I would hate to see how much a cup of starbucks coffee costs when the cheapest employee is $15/hr. Most likely they'd cut staff and force everyone else to work 3x as hard to offset the expense, less a single cup of coffee might actually cost $15 as well.

      Frankly I think the real approach should not be focused on wages (as that is a relative number and only matters in its proportional relationship to expenses), but instead focus on spending power. Driving down costs of consumables can also have an impact on someone's spending power without having to change the income ratio. This is why someone making the Peso equivalent to $20/day sounds horrible here, but there it gets them everything they need.

      On the flip side, there is Bezos; who seems to get this; but also gets vilified for wanting to automate all these positions to avoid wages in order to keep the cost of consumables down. Im not a Bezo's cheerleader; but I have to admit I have benefited from many of his methods. I, and many in my area, are still in this void of not having received a pay raise since at least 2006 (sometime before things went to shit). The fact that I am now 46 working in a very technical industry only hurts my changes even further. I see fresh-out-of-college people starting out at wages most of my peers took 10+ yrs to achieve. Had it not been for this 'increase in spending power', things could have been a lot worse for us.

      This makes situations like cheap Chinese manufactured goods such a difficult subject. On one side it hurts things here a lot, but on the other side, its the only thing allowing most used-to-be middle-class a shot at a secure enough lifestyle that their kids still get the stuff they need for school and can grow up somewhat unaware of the struggles people face each day.

    15. Re: Typical... by Train0987 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If minimum wage has a negligible effect on employment then why not raise it to $100 hour? Serious question.

    16. Re: Typical... by Bartles · · Score: 1

      A very small percentage of full time workers make only minimum wages. And for those that do, it is a very temporary situation as they get raises and climb the employment ladder.

    17. Re: Typical... by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Yes but this is research on effectively doubling the minimum wage. The Federal minimum wage has a small effect because the vast majority of workers make more than the minimum wage as it is.

    18. Re: Typical... by Dorianny · · Score: 4, Informative

      30% of the entire U.S labor market is low-wage service jobs and that number has been steadily climbing. There just isn't enough jobs up the "ladder" for everyone that works hard and plays by the rules. FYI research shows a strong correlation between higher minimum wage and lower rates of turnover, something about people getting a decent wage makes them more likely to appreciate their jobs. Who knew

    19. Re: Typical... by e3m4n · · Score: 4, Insightful

      agreed, but there is always 2 sides of an equation... if you dont work both sides it wont balance, you just drive up costs. You said it yourself : "to be able to support themselves". Lets say that it costs $1000/wk to support yourself, your wife, and your kids living a meager lifestyle. You work for $400/wk and your wife works for $400/wk. Now one approach could be to raise minimum wage, but run the risk of the cost to support everyone increasing to $1100/wk, or you can focus on lowering the cost of living down to $800/wk. A lot less discussion ever happens about the latter yet we see examples of that sort of thing actually happening from time to time.

      Not that I would count most things in the tech industry as essentials, but look at things like cell phone plans, internet plans, etc over the last 10yrs. Just the talking and texting part of cellphones has fallen all the way down to $15/mo for unlimited talk and texting. In 2003 sprint was selling 1000 minutes of air time for $100/mo. No texting included. This just illustrates that its entirely possible to lower the costs of essentials perhaps easier than it is to raise wages.

      What is killing everyone, despite everyone insisting its good for the economy, is property booms. Before the big 2008 crash, my real estate area had experienced a 30yr trend where property values doubled every 10 yrs. No increase in wages but the cost of property doubling every 10yrs is a recipe for the poor house. Increase property values work against the affordable living scenario.

    20. Re: Typical... by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      You may take these "skills" for granted but they need to be developed. This is one of the invaluable benefits of minimum wage jobs. It's the first rung on the ladder. It's not meant, nor intended to be, a role that one can have to support ones family. It's the f**king MINIMUM.

      I don't know who decided it's "meant" to be a stepping stone to real jobs, but a good number of people in the parenting age do appear to be stuck there. They're going to be a drain on the system when they're too old to work but can't retire. Their kids aren't getting an equal start either.

      As a bleeding heart snowflake liberal, this upsets me sure, and it might not upset you. But you're nuts if you think you won't be paying for their care through taxes if they can't live on a minimum wage.

    21. Re: Typical... by jeff4747 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      That stopped being the case about 30 years ago.

    22. Re: Typical... by jeff4747 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Because it has a negligible effect on employment at approximately it's current level.

      At it's current level, raising the minimum wage causes a nearly one-for-one increase in consumption. That increased sales offsets the expense of the higher wage.

      If it jumped to $100/hr, that would no longer hold true. Well, at least until inflation turned that $100/hr into the equivalent of $10-15/hr.

    23. Re: Typical... by Train0987 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Not at $15/hr. In many parts of the country skilled labor is making that and living comfortably. Once the low-skilled minimum wage in their neighborhood for unskilled labor increases to the same level as their skilled labor what do you think will happen?

    24. Re: Typical... by Train0987 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sowell isn't so much partisan as economic conservatives have adopted his theories. Before being brainwashed into dismissing anyone your betters have labeled for you, maybe read his work for yourself and make up your own mind? They label him because his theories are very difficult to dispute and they desperately don't want you researching it for yourself.

    25. Re: Typical... by interkin3tic · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No one said food. Childhood poverty, education performance, and crime later on in life are a whole mess that is not my field, but it does seem plausible that if you let one in five kids grow up poor, as we appear to be doing now, you might get a lot more criminals later on. You're going to be paying for their food, sure, but that's among the least of the costs of law enforcement and prisons that you as a taxpayer will be paying for.

      We don't let poor, old, and/or sick people die in the street. They won't have preventative care or retirement, but they'll get emergency treatment for their medical emergencies. If they skip out on the bill or go bankrupt, the hospital pays it, passes it onto insurance companies who pass it onto you.

      Or you could potentially pay more now in terms of welfare and maybe higher minimum wages, both of which have potential other benefits, like more people with money = healthier economy for everyone else since they can buy stuff.

      I dunno, but I do know "MONEY MINE! NO TAXES!" is not a very sound economic theory.

    26. Re: Typical... by edx93 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      One thing I've learned in social science is never trust research -- or at least give it a good read before making any comments. In fact, I actually left the econ PhD a decade ago after seeing that pretty much all research done in this field is a giant form of confirmation bias: "Keep working on it until it makes sense", they'd tell me. Or "Make sure the results are in line with what you'd expect and consistent with literature" and so on. I have yet to see someone confirm someone else's economic theories -- only their own. And it wasn't my school either: I wish I could remember the details, but I recall reading a paper way back when from Princeton that had methodological errors in it that I was amazed it was even taken seriously, much less published.

      Personally, The reason that I like Hayek and Sowell is that it's based on logic and reasoning. Then again, I am biased, so there's that...

    27. Re: Typical... by Dorianny · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately much if not most of the savings from automation/offshoring/outsourcing have gone in the pockets of executives/shareholders and the Companies warchest (Apples 40Billion horde comes to mind) instead of being returned to consumers in the form of lower product prices

    28. Re: Typical... by GrumpySteen · · Score: 3, Insightful

      For the same reason that drinking an extra liter of water per day has a negligible affect on your health, but drinking an extra 100 liters of water per day is a terrible idea.

    29. Re: Typical... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      That stopped being the case about 30 years ago.

      In 2014, only 19% of minimum wage workers were the sole income for their household. It makes more sense to target that 19% with EITC, which is based on total household income, rather than raising wages above the market rate for teenagers looking to earn gas money.

    30. Re: Typical... by swillden · · Score: 2

      A ton of research has been done on minimum wage and the consensus is that is has negligible effect on employment.

      That's a serious misstatement of the minimum wage research. There has been a lot of research, and it has found that small, cautious increases in minimum wages tend to have negligible negative effect on employment. This isn't because minimum wages have no negative effect in general, it's because governments tend to avoid raising it so far that it becomes damaging.

      This study shows that Seattle has gone too far.

      It's also worth pointing out that past studies may have less relevance in the future, as much larger swaths of the unskilled labor market become vulnerable to automation. If employers are already considering automating minimum wage jobs away, even a mild increase in labor costs may cause them to make the switch.

      I'm not generally a fan of minimum wage laws anyway, but I think right now is a particularly bad time to raise them. I think we're already just a few years away from a massive automation-driven economic restructuring, and while the overall impact of automation is going to be tremendously positive, it's also going to force a very tough adjustment on a lot of people. The faster that change comes, the harder it will hit and the harder it will be to deal with. Government should avoid economic manipulation that will accelerate it.

      OTOH, though it's too radical for implementation in the very near future, eliminating the minimum wage and other welfare programs in favor of a universal basic income would lower labor costs and thereby delay automation. It wouldn't prevent it, but it would slow it down, and it would also make the transition much less painful.

      --
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    31. Re: Typical... by guruevi · · Score: 1

      Using technology as an example of cost reduction is a poor idea. True essentials have risen in cost, it's the measure people often used to compare 19xx dollars with 2017 dollars. I used to buy bread from a fresh bakery at $0.50, now a fresh baked bread from a bakery is a luxury and will often be $7+ But even mass produced is $2.50

      --
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    32. Re: Typical... by guises · · Score: 1

      Well I did read some of it, that's why I wrote what I said above. What convinced me that he was partisan though, was not the fact that his economic beliefs line up with party dogma. What convinced me was that everything else I read by him also seemed to go that way - he's a climate denier, for example. He loves charter schools and Betsy DeVos, he talks about "the left" and how horrible they are, many articles about how much he hates Obama, etc.

      If he's not a partisan shill, then he's indistinguishable from a partisan shill.

    33. Re: Typical... by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      And in the real world...

    34. Re: Typical... by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Yes, Europe has it so rough, with better health outcomes, and even better infant mortality rates, for chrissakes.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    35. Re: Typical... by MightyMartian · · Score: 5, Interesting

      How many of them have these things? Go on, give me a percentage of people living in economic poverty who have these items. Surely you must have an actual statistic, right? I mean, you wouldn't just be making it up for effect, right?

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    36. Re: Typical... by amiga3D · · Score: 2

      I could support myself on minimum wage. It'd be a bare existence but I could exist on it. In South Georgia. I have no idea how people in San Francisco live on three times that. Or NY City for that matter. The only jobs here I know of that pay minimum wage here are fast food or some part time jobs. I know one guy that does construction and he pays teenagers 10 bucks an hour just to pick up trash on the job site.

    37. Re: Typical... by supremebob · · Score: 1

      Shit... my family income is in the six figures, and I still think that XBox Live isn't affordable. Of course, it doesn't help that I live in Connecticut and half of my money goes to paying taxes of one sort or another.

    38. Re: Typical... by psycho12345 · · Score: 1

      So what shall we do with said fuckups?

      1) Kill them? Unethical, but probably cost effective

      2) Do nothing? So wait until either they kill someone out of desperation, or do other actions that can drag everyone around them down. Respects them, but not cost effective, and relatively preventable.

      3) Help them? Best option, but a fair number of people can't help (too poor themselves), or won't (for the same reason you would not). Which ends up being option 2.

      Basically, unless you are willing to let people die in the streets (which by the way, who cleans up the corpses?), you will have to do SOMETHING, even if it killing them and tossing their corpse into a trash compactor.

    39. Re: Typical... by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      SF and surrounding bay McD's pays something like $12-15/hr because no one (not even the kids) will work for less due to the insane cost of living.

      --
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    40. Re: Typical... by rahvin112 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Absolutely conclusive evidence until you read the rebuttals. Like the fact that his data excluded all restaurants (almost 35% of minimum wage jobs), excluded any business with more than one location, etc, etc, etc. Just remember, figures never lie but liers can figure.

      The data set the researcher used was substandard at best, someone might even argue the data set was cooked to extract the desired result.On top of that he refuses to provide the data to outside users and reviewers making his "research" a fucking black box. But he was at least honest and listed all the problems with the data, just didn't include why excluding more than a 1/3rd of low wage jobs in the study area was a good idea.

      https://www.washingtonpost.com...

    41. Re: Typical... by networkBoy · · Score: 4, Informative

      When I was starting my family out my neighbor was section8 + all the other social support.
      She was the stereotype to a T. Three kids by three different men, all spaced 5 years apart (First 5 California), had cable, had a car, had a cell phone.

      She needed help with her paperwork one day and asked me to help, so I saw all the numbers. I did a P&L for her and compared it with a P&L for me and you know what? I was working my ass off for $13/hr (1999) and she was bringing home about $100 per month more than me sitting at home doing nothing. Hugely frustrating to me, but of course if she actually got a job it would be min wage and she'd lose at least twice as much in benefits as she'd have earned. The system is desperately broken, but I haven't the foggiest how to fix it.

      Now, where I live public transit is shit. Jobs are spaced out. A car is kinda needed. A low end cell phone on a cheap plan is cheaper than a land line now. I get it, but the system still keeps people dependant.

      --
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    42. Re: Typical... by guruevi · · Score: 1

      It could also indicate a reduction in available jobs. You can see the true cost of increasing the minimum wages in the service industry. The reason you have those little tablets on every table right now is not because they're cheap, they're far from cheap, running about $1000/table/month. But they can reduce your workforce by about 10-25% because you're reducing the perceived wait times for your customers.

      This trend of digital signage and table-side engagement, the push for restaurant apps, delivery/carside pickup etc is totally counterintuitive to the industry where you want to reduce the amount of time spent per seating so you can have more customers, yet we are now seeing a push to increase dwell time while reducing perceived wait times just because the cost to employ between health care, minimum wage increases and other regulations has become too heavy to remain profitable.

      --
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    43. Re: Typical... by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Furthermore, when minimum wage first began under FDR, it was 25 cents an hour. Adjusted for inflation, that is $4.25 an hour today.

      Most economists don't even like the concept of a minimum wage at all, and that includes famous Democrat economists like Paul Krugman.

      Anyways, if you look in my post history, I personally predicted exactly this, and was downmodded as a troll post.

      I told you so, slashdot.

    44. Re: Typical... by aussie_a · · Score: 1

      I pay $0.85 AUD for bread. Sure it's the generic brand and is the cheaest. But that is the essential and is comparable to your $0.50 USD bread.

    45. Re: Typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Cell phones and cars are not really optional in much of the US. The rest of the items you list are cheap entertainment. They are way, way cheaper than, say, going to the movies even once a month.

    46. Re: Typical... by pslytely+psycho · · Score: 1

      That $0.50 US bread was thirty years ago...It's now in the $1.50 to $2.50 range today. (depending on location and store)

      --
      Donald Trump, on a crusade to make Nixon look respectable
    47. Re: Typical... by javaman235 · · Score: 1

      I think a lot of all businesses are sole proprietorships or partnerships. Incorporating is a legal process that takes some time and money.

      --
      -The art of programming is the pursuit of absolute simplicity.
    48. Re: Typical... by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

      If you equate "make only minimum" with "making barely more than", you're an idiot.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
    49. Re: Typical... by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      I think there was a movie about this. (Note: I'm not saying this is a good idea; it's a horrific idea. I'm just taking this thought experiment to its natural and grisly conclusion.)

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    50. Re: Typical... by javaman235 · · Score: 1

      The issue with that downward trend - everyone on low wages - is that its only projected to continue. What should strike you when you see those charts of wealth inequality growing, is actually the rise INCOME EQUALITY for everyone who isnt rich: we're all headed toward the same low wages. The 'free market' is signalling we're all the same. Whether brilliant or dull, lazy or hard working, we're the same. Its a weird communist arrangement that should have alarm bells ringing.

      --
      -The art of programming is the pursuit of absolute simplicity.
    51. Re: Typical... by dgatwood · · Score: 3, Insightful

      In fact, there are many potential jobs that are worth less than a living wage, and there are people who don't need a living wage who would like to have those jobs.

      But are there, really? I can only think of two groups of people who don't need a living wage: People who get paid disability by the government (e.g. people with serious mental disabilities) and high school students. The problem is that most high school students don't really want a job, and more importantly, can't do a job during the most critical part of the workday except three months out of the year. So depending on them is not a viable way to sustain any sort of business.

      Ostensibly, you could extend that to recent high school grads living with their parents, but the problem is that eventually those folks have to be able to move out of their parents' houses, which means they need additional education, which costs money—way more than a basic living wage if you want to afford even a basic two-year community college degree. And if you they don't earn enough money for that, then you've effectively created a permanent underclass that can never move out of their parents' houses, who thus eventually end up homeless when their parents retire and can no longer afford to pay their rent. This is simply not sustainable, either.

      The notion of a group of people that doesn't need a living wage is, frankly, absurd. What you're really arguing is that there is a group of people who don't have enough clout to demand a living wage and/or don't understand that they're getting screwed. And that's not the same thing as not needing to make ends meet.

      (Well, okay. Pedantically, there are a fair number of independently wealthy people who have enough money that they can afford to work for less than a living wage and still make ends meet. But they also don't need the money, and sure as h*** won't work for less than minimum wage, which makes that moot.)

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    52. Re: Typical... by jpablo1 · · Score: 2

      Yes, standards of living are relative. Deal with it.

    53. Re: Typical... by interkin3tic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That's quite a false dichotomy. Either the kids are saying "My parents have under the poverty line therefore I think I will join a gang" or money has nothing to do with neighborhood or parenting skills whatsoever.

      Poor people can't afford to live in lower crime areas or spend as much time with their kids.

    54. Re:Typical... by interkin3tic · · Score: 1

      I'm awful sorry I hurt your republican feelings there, snowflake.

    55. Re: Typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      This isn't really a conversation about people at minimum wage though. If the minimum wage goes up to $12/HR then that increases something like 30% of people. 30% of people make less than the proposed increase. Talking about people "who make minimum wage" and ignoring people that make $0.25 more is deliberately disingenuous

    56. Re: Typical... by dgatwood · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Furthermore, when minimum wage first began under FDR, it was 25 cents an hour. Adjusted for inflation, that is $4.25 an hour today.

      Well, that really depends on what things you factor in when adjusting for inflation. I would argue that the primary metric when setting minimum wage should be based on the cost of getting an education to allow someone to move beyond a minimum wage job. In 1938, tuition at Harvard was $420 per year. Using that as a metric, minimum wage should be $25.76 per hour today, or about $54,000 a year.

      Other possible metrics range from significantly less than minimum wage to significantly more:

      • Median house price: $12.10
      • Average movie ticket price: $8.73
      • Average cost of fuel: $7.50
      • Price of eggs: $4.08

      That first one is pretty important, because both that and the cost of education are solid indicators of whether someone can possibly make enough money to make a crucial leap in personal financial development—from minimum wage to better wage, from renting to home ownership. When low-end wages fail to keep up with inflation in those areas, even though the day-to-day survival items remain affordable, it means that the people at the bottom are more likely to be kept permanently at the bottom with no opportunity for advancement, effectively growing the divide between rich and poor and eroding the middle class. This, in turn, leads to much more serious societal problems.

      And there's also another critical number that this ignores: 15. That's the improvement in years of life expectancy since 1938. In 1938, on average, people lived only about 63 years, which means most people never reached what we would consider retirement age. Now, they live for more than a decade after retirement, on average, and those years are significantly more expensive in terms of average healthcare costs.

      I can't find average healthcare cost statistics for the 1930s, but if we compare against 1958, the cost has roughly quadrupled after adjusting for inflation. So if we used the cost of healthcare in 1938 as the metric for computing inflation, I could easily see thirty or forty bucks an hour as a reasonable minimum wage.

      Really, minimum wage is way too low. Way, way too low. And if that means that there are jobs that aren't worth what businesses have to pay, they will have to adapt—either by finding more efficient ways to use personnel or by adding automation to replace personnel with machines. And the result will be that certain categories of jobs will cease to exist. And it will ultimately be the government's responsibility to find a way to subsidize the cost of their education so that they can be qualified for jobs that pay more. But that's really the only realistic future. We simply cannot continue to live in a society where a sizable percentage of workers can never realistically afford to go to college.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    57. Re: Typical... by Baleet · · Score: 1

      Well, you and I, through our tax dollars. Then, if you are displaced from the workforce, I will contribute to your welfare. That's part of living in a society, providing for the common welfare and all that.

    58. Re: Typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Cell phones are required to keep or even get a job nowadays. In fact employers have gotten highly accusatory if people don't answer, like, say, because they have a landline and weren't there. It hasn't been "oh, we tried to call you in for tonight but you weren't home" in at least a decade; it's "you skipped work and refused to answer us"

      Similarly, a car is a requirement in many cities. While it's possible in some of the larger ones to get to and from work/home with public transit, this is not always the case elsewhere. The time required may also force non-public-transport, such as if one must pick their children up from school as soon as they're done working. Both of these are necessities even outside of the US.

      As for the Xbox/Playstation and satellite TV, these are very low expenses when spread out over a single expense per several years (such as the consoles themselves; not everyone goes around with an xbox-live gold account). You're basically claiming here that people should not have any sort of entertainment or relaxation in exchange for working 40 hours a week, even though such lack would cause them to be ostracized from their peers at school and work, or at the very least lead to situations where they finally snap from stress and go postal.

      You worked minimum wage through highschool in a time decades ago where just working a summer could pay your entire college year. Nowadays the stagnant wages compounded by actual cost increases mean that working minimum wage 60 hours a week for an entire year may not even be enough to cover tuition and having a roof over your head in certain states, to say nothing of having to eat and buy the bloody books. Oh, and an internet connection, because some courses are gonna have you do this stuff online.

    59. Re: Typical... by Trickster+Paean · · Score: 2

      By 1940, the average income was $1,368. Someone making minimum wage ($.30 by 1940) would earn about $600 per year at the minimum, working 40 hours a week for 50 weeks per year. It also means the minimum wage increased 20% in the first two years.

      In 2015, median household income in the US (according to census figures) was $56,516. Working 40 hours a week for 50 weeks for $4.25 would earn just $8500. A yearly income of $24787.72 would be a similar multiple of the average income, which would yield an hourly wage of $12.39.

      It should likely be higher. The average household income is much higher, $72,641, which would yield a comparable hourly wage of $15.93. Inflation isn't the only factor to consider on how much the minimum wage should be raised.

      A simple Google search proves you wrong about Paul Krugman, who has come to support raising the minimum wage. Saying that most economists don't like the concept of a minimum wage is completely overstating the case.

      And you should still be downmodded as a troll, one: for being pointlessly wrong, and two: for saying I told you so.

    60. Re: Typical... by dehachel12 · · Score: 1

      ... or we could finally start becoming friendlier with other countries. LIKE WE DID BETWEEN GERMANY AND FRANCE.

    61. Re: Typical... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you predicted this, then perhaps you can answer this question:

      If it's possible to reduce the hours of all of your low-skill workers without impacting your business's competitiveness, then why did so many managers not do so before this? Reducing your labour costs by 9% would have a huge impact on most companies' bottom lines, yet apparently they were happy to waste this money until minimum wage went up.

      And, on a related note, why do the managers that were wasting 10% of their payroll on inefficiency (that apparently can be trivially addressed) for years all still have jobs?

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    62. Re: Typical... by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Why not just make them work for free. Surely overseers and whips would be cheaper than paying a living wage.

      Reality is, when a worker does work that is meant to be worthwhile, they should be paid a living wage for that work, end of story. No fucking bullshit about nothing.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    63. Re: Typical... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      If a small bump to your head has a negligible effect on your health how about I hit it with a sledgehammer?

      See how silly it sounds when I substitute something you have no idea about with something you do?

    64. Re: Typical... by Entrope · · Score: 1

      Even cheap entertainment is much more costly than going outside or to a public library, especially when you consider the benefits you can get from those alternatives.

    65. Re: Typical... by chuckr30 · · Score: 1

      I'm new here. How do I give you an upvote? Do I have to have upvotes myself first like on Liveleak?

    66. Re: Typical... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Really? Like they were in 2008?

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    67. Re: Typical... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 2

      You misunderstand the logic. If the value an employee adds to the business is $10 an hour, that business will likely be competitive paying them up to about $8 an hour. However, that would only apply in certain very special edge cases, most of the time an employer will want their employees to add MORE value than the cost of employing them. When it becomes necessary to pay an employee who adds $10 of value an hour $9 an hour it is no longer profitable to employ that person. It is important to remember that an employee costs more than their base wage to employ. That is why employers will often be willing to pay existing employees double time for overtime rather than hire another person.

      Rephrasing the point I made in the first paragraph: if a task adds $10 an hour of value an employer may be willing to pay up to $8 an hour to someone to perform that task, If it becomes necessary to pay someone more than $8 an hour to perform that task, the task will cease being done (these tasks will often end up being assigned to employees who perform high value tasks which are intermittent).

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    68. Re: Typical... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Incorporating takes very little money. I worked for a guy who started an incorporated business AFTER he had run a sole proprietorship so far into the hole that it was cheaper to start a corporation than to file for bankruptcy and took less time. His decision to incorporate his second business was more about gaming the system to protect his new business from his former business' debts than about protecting himself from his new business' debts.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    69. Re: Typical... by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      Compared to, forced to work in a labor camp or sent off to a gulag because you said "my back hurs"t? Quite the choices we have

      Indeed! Is it impossible to come up with an economic system that actually benefits the majority of a population? Are our only choices oppressive Communism and exploitative Capitalism? It seems both systems primarily benefit a chosen few.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    70. Re: Typical... by kilfarsnar · · Score: 1

      Minimum wage jobs are for teenagers living with their parents.

      Or for adults that didn't give a shit when they were in school, dropped out or whatever. Fuck em. Let them live the life they formulated for themselves. I'm god damned tired of Progressives trying to make everyone have the same outcome in life no matter what level of fuck ups they've become.

      Right, because people should pay of their mistakes for the rest of their lives. We all have full knowledge of the consequences of our actions, and what our future holds. No one's judgement is ever clouded by anger or frustration. So there is no excuse for not getting things right the first time.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    71. Re: Typical... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The only way to fix this is to make work significantly more attractive. Some people try to do that by making it impossible to live on benefits, but all that does is punish the innocent children and ensure that they don't get a good upbringing and education and become the next generation living off the state.

      If work pays a living wage, if it will make their lives better (not just in monetary terms, in terms of dignity and prospects for career advancement, and in the US also healthcare) then many people will choose that. It's also important to recognize the traps that push people into this lifestyle. Maybe she didn't plan to have the first kid, and once she did was unemployable and the childcare was more than she could earn per hour anyway.

      I'm not excusing her behaviour, not at all. But I'm not blinded by rage and condemnation either. I just want to fix the situation.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    72. Re: Typical... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Restaurants do not pay minimum wage. At least they do not pay minimum wage consistent with other businesses. They have a carve out. For example at the federal level restaurants are allowed to pay servers only $2.13 an hour vice $7.25 for everyone else. Some states require that tips at least equal enough to match state minimum wage for everyone else, but that is almost unenforceable. So yes it makes sense to exclude restaurants when talking about regular minimum wage.
      Also it make sense to exclude chains, especially chains that are multistate entities, because they often have standard pay scales across the enterprise, rather than paying differently at each location. Also a multi-location business can prop up a specific location that is unprofitable for a variety or reasons, one of which is hoping for eventual profitability, but others which include image or public relations.

    73. Re: Typical... by dougdonovan · · Score: 1

      $15 hr x 40 hrs per week = ouch. good luck with life in general. get your masters.

    74. Re: Typical... by OfMiceAndMenus · · Score: 1

      What about paying off exorbitantly high student loans for the degree that got you a job that pays enough to clothe, house, and feed you?

      Because that entry level job or even some "skilled trade" jobs based on manual labor are not going to pay enough to cover basic expenses, let alone education repayment. Most places offering a proper, livable salary are going to require at least some college, which adds even further to the cost of living and the wages you need to earn.

    75. Re: Typical... by Organic+Brain+Damage · · Score: 1

      Maybe $0.25 / hour in 1934 wasn't a living wage. Relying on "Most Economists don't like/like X" is a weak argument strategy. In 1850, most Physician's didn't believe in washing their hands before performing surgery. That the majority believed it, did not make it true.

    76. Re: Typical... by conquistadorst · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Furthermore, when minimum wage first began under FDR, it was 25 cents an hour. Adjusted for inflation, that is $4.25 an hour today.

      Well, that really depends on what things you factor in when adjusting for inflation. I would argue that the primary metric when setting minimum wage should be based on the cost of getting an education to allow someone to move beyond a minimum wage job.

      Usually I try to be respectful of other people's opinions but no, I'm sorry it's not. I think it's very sympathetic to the plight of the lower classes but overall it's a terribly misguided idea to track inflation to education costs and only education costs. You can't pretend the rest of economy and society doesn't exist. Not everyone in poverty is capable/interested/planning on obtaining a post secondary education. So what happens if education costs go down and they can't afford other basic living expenses? Oh, they should all just go to college? Really? No, minimum wage should track the whole basket they use today for measuring the CPI because these are things people need to live everyday.

      That first one is pretty important, because both that and the cost of education are solid indicators of whether someone can possibly make enough money to make a crucial leap in personal financial development—from minimum wage to better wage, from renting to home ownership. When low-end wages fail to keep up with inflation in those areas, even though the day-to-day survival items remain affordable, it means that the people at the bottom are more likely to be kept permanently at the bottom with no opportunity for advancement, effectively growing the divide between rich and poor and eroding the middle class. This, in turn, leads to much more serious societal problems.

      The truth is, already education is free in the US. You don't have do anything to obtain except show up. I have to assume you're talking about post secondary education? If so, you're making it sound like all you have to do to get into the middle class is go to college. Sounds a lot like today's problem of kids obtaining college degrees and not being able to find gainful employment afterwards... Yes having a degree is a good indicator of your place in society. Yes, it'll raise your odds, statistically speaking. However there are still NO guarantees on this. The nuances are much more complex. Location, type of degree, you as a person, life skills, all of these details are important but more challenging to track and measure. As time goes on, society is beginning to realizing that post secondary education is neither an autopilot for success nor is it always even necessary to do well. Sure it's anecdotal, but just ask my plumber/electrician/landscaper/contractor. You don't need a college degree to be in the middle class. You just don't. The solution to "fix" society is not sending everyone to college. The really difficult question is how do you built up a society in such a way that everyone strives and works hard to obtain meaningful and gainful employment. It's a really, really hard problem to solve. Especially if you already have existing paths for people to do so, but they aren't doing it. Altering minimum wage is very easy and yet ineffective way of solving this problem. You can put more and more carrots in front of people to persuade them to go where you want them to go. But when do you stop adding carrots and instead figure out why they're not chasing the carrots?

      Besides, post secondary education is way overpriced right now for all the wrong reasons compared to Harvard 1938. If you could break down the cost of your college bill, you'd be surprised how much of it is not even academic in nature. No way in hell we should be pegging something bloated like that as a measure for minimum wage.

    77. Re: Typical... by cayce · · Score: 1

      Inflation does not paint the whole picture.

      Average new house in 1938 was 7.5 years worth of minimum wage. A new house in 2016 is 23-27 years (median, average).
      Yearly Harvard tuition was 0.80 years of m.w., today it is 4 years worth.
      Average rent went from 0.60 to 0.95 of a m.w. a month.

      Cost of living has not increased linearly with inflation. Other than movie tickets (steady around 1 hour of m.w) and a significant decrease of food and clothing costs, mostly everything has gone up at a rate way higher than inflation.

    78. Re: Typical... by haibane · · Score: 1

      Furthermore, when minimum wage first began under FDR, it was 25 cents an hour. Adjusted for inflation, that is $4.25 an hour today.

      Well, that really depends on what things you factor in when adjusting for inflation. I would argue that the primary metric when setting minimum wage should be based on the cost of getting an education to allow someone to move beyond a minimum wage job. In 1938, tuition at Harvard was $420 per year. Using that as a metric, minimum wage should be $25.76 per hour today, or about $54,000 a year.

      Other possible metrics range from significantly less than minimum wage to significantly more:

      • Median house price: $12.10
      • Average movie ticket price: $8.73
      • Average cost of fuel: $7.50
      • Price of eggs: $4.08

      That first one is pretty important, because both that and the cost of education are solid indicators of whether someone can possibly make enough money to make a crucial leap in personal financial development—from minimum wage to better wage, from renting to home ownership. When low-end wages fail to keep up with inflation in those areas, even though the day-to-day survival items remain affordable, it means that the people at the bottom are more likely to be kept permanently at the bottom with no opportunity for advancement, effectively growing the divide between rich and poor and eroding the middle class. This, in turn, leads to much more serious societal problems.

      And there's also another critical number that this ignores: 15. That's the improvement in years of life expectancy since 1938. In 1938, on average, people lived only about 63 years, which means most people never reached what we would consider retirement age. Now, they live for more than a decade after retirement, on average, and those years are significantly more expensive in terms of average healthcare costs.

      I can't find average healthcare cost statistics for the 1930s, but if we compare against 1958, the cost has roughly quadrupled after adjusting for inflation. So if we used the cost of healthcare in 1938 as the metric for computing inflation, I could easily see thirty or forty bucks an hour as a reasonable minimum wage.

      Really, minimum wage is way too low. Way, way too low. And if that means that there are jobs that aren't worth what businesses have to pay, they will have to adapt—either by finding more efficient ways to use personnel or by adding automation to replace personnel with machines. And the result will be that certain categories of jobs will cease to exist. And it will ultimately be the government's responsibility to find a way to subsidize the cost of their education so that they can be qualified for jobs that pay more. But that's really the only realistic future. We simply cannot continue to live in a society where a sizable percentage of workers can never realistically afford to go to college.

      So if you raise the minimum wage, how do you propose to offset those that were making more than minimum wage (technical skill, skilled labor, managers etc...) I know several places where people with a 2 year degree start out at 15 an hour. I know managers that make between 15-20 an hour, and I know that skilled labor jobs (welder, electrician, etc...) makes around the same as managers. Does this then require we bump their wages to offset their skill over the unskilled minimum wage worker? After this we are pushing into teachers wages. Should we increase theirs and therefore the cost of education?

    79. Re: Typical... by kilfarsnar · · Score: 4, Informative

      Working hard and playing by the rules has never been a recipe for anything but modest success at best

      Yet this is the delusion under which a large number of Americans labor, and the ruling class perpetuates.

      --
      "What the American public doesn't know is what makes them the American public." -Ray Zalinsky (Tommy Boy)
    80. Re: Typical... by pastafazou · · Score: 1

      Your summary is asinine. Not all businesses make huge profits. Many are borderline profitable, or losing money. Increasing minimum wage forces these businesses to make cuts in order to stay viable.

    81. Re: Typical... by Scroatzilla · · Score: 1

      People working in unskilled jobs at the higher minimum wage will not live comfortably for long, because the increase in cost for their low-skill labor will push costs up for whatever service they are providing or product they are creating. In addition, if there is an opportunity to replace unskilled labor with automation, those jobs will simply disappear.

      I wouldn't classify the consequences of "fight for 15" as "doom and gloom" as much as harmful government intervention that ends up having not only unintended consequences, but also the exact opposite effect that was intended in the first place.

    82. Re: Typical... by Anon-Admin · · Score: 1

      If you are young, cute, willing to be naked while you clean, and don't mind me fucking your brains out multiple times while you do said cleaning.

      Then $100 an hour sounds very reasonable.

    83. Re: Typical... by KingMotley · · Score: 1

      But what I really want to know how someone on $15/hr buys a 4K UHD TV or iPhone every year/two years, plus new car every 4 years.

      Why? I don't own a 4k UHD TV, nor do I buy a new iPhone every two years. Don't need them, and I make considerably more than $15/hr.

      I'll buy a 4k UHD TV when one of my TVs dies. I still have an iPhone 6 Plus (almost 3 years old now). I buy a new car every 10-12 years, not every 4. Why would you advocate that these are necessities for a MINIMUM wage worker, when someone comfortably upper middle class doesn't have them (or want them)?

    84. Re: Typical... by apoc.famine · · Score: 2

      If it's possible to reduce the hours of all of your low-skill workers without impacting your business's competitiveness, then why did so many managers not do so before this?

      For lots of fabulous reasons. Reasons like preferring open floor plans to offices with doors that close. Reasons like calling a meeting to determine the agenda for the next meeting that you're going to have. Reasons like asking IT to fix the temperature in the office because the thermostats are technology.
       
      You seem to believe that managers and the C-level and HR folks work on logic and evidence. They have in maybe 5% of the organizations I've either worked in or have become familiar with. (Current one is actually one of those places, and I'm throwing away a fair bit of money by staying here.) How do you calculate the hour reduction? How do you do this fairly without other employees crying foul? How do you do this in compliance with state laws around benefits? How do you fire an employee without a lawsuit because they claim you didn't let them work enough to get their job done? How do you attract employees who are looking for full-time work?
       
      Are all of these easily solvable problems? Yes. But they take effort to solve. And brainpower. And data.

      ....why did so many managers not do so before this?

      There's your problem. My current place wants to see that the work gets done. Wants bodies around vaguely between 10am and 3pm, because that's when face-to-face things happen. I've got 6am-3pm colleagues, and 10am-6pm colleagues. And normal hours ones that go to the gym for an hour in the middle of the day. And some that show up and leave it seems like every fucking hour. But the constant is that they all get their work done, get everything done outside of work they need to get done, get some sleep every night, and are generally the most productive people I've worked with.
       
      I've never been somewhere before where management had the wisdom to be ok with this.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    85. Re: Typical... by Chordonblue · · Score: 1

      On top of your point - college isn't for everyone. Not everyone can or should go to college.

      --
      "...Well, there's egg and bacon; egg sausage and bacon; egg and spam; egg bacon and spam; egg bacon sausage and spam..."
    86. Re: Typical... by inhuman_4 · · Score: 1

      The effect on employment is relative to the increase. So a jump to $100 would have a huge increase in unemployment, while a jump to $15 only a small one. Historically the key behind minimum wage increases is to make the increase small enough that the unemployment is unnoticed, while still being large enough to convince people to vote for you come election time.

    87. Re: Typical... by MrSome · · Score: 1

      The really difficult question is how do you built up a society in such a way that everyone strives and works hard to obtain meaningful and gainful employment. It's a really, really hard problem to solve. Especially if you already have existing paths for people to do so, but they aren't doing it. Altering minimum wage is very easy and yet ineffective way of solving this problem. You can put more and more carrots in front of people to persuade them to go where you want them to go. But when do you stop adding carrots and instead figure out why they're not chasing the carrots?

      You made an assumption there, which shows your true opinion.

      You feel that people aren't striving and working hard. The old "work harder" FOOLosophy. Unfortunately, there will never be any information to support that claim. So why bother using it as a reason for doing or not doing something?

      But play a game with me for a minute. Flip your scenario around... let's instead assume that the majority of people are working and striving hard, spending their money wisely, educating themselves. Everything you say they should be doing. Let's assume they are doing that, but still can't make enough to get by?

      What's the problem/solution then?

    88. Re: Typical... by MrSome · · Score: 1

      Those who automate, will be perpetuating their own demise. Automate the jobs away... nobody will have a jobs... nobody has money... nobody can buy your goods/services... your automated whatever shuts down.

    89. Re:Typical... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      I find it very interesting that I've read articles on both sides of the fence from a single study. Both proof that raising minimum wage doesn't cost jobs and proof that raising minimum wage DOES cost scheduled hours. Perhaps they are both right.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    90. Re: Typical... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      https://solidarity-party.org/platform/

      When there are jokers to the left and thieves to the right, sometimes the only place to be is along the watchtower.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    91. Re: Typical... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      The real problem being that there is zero reason to pay more to anybody with RARE skills. Those are minimum skills, and only deserve a minimum wage, yet they are the best most people have to offer.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    92. Re: Typical... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      What raises? Businesses stopped giving raises back in the 1970s. I have to job hop to get a raise.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    93. Re: Typical... by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Have you ever worked full time for minimum wage?

      I can't even find one of those jobs when I look.

    94. Re: Typical... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Not for the past 25 years, but I have friends that still do. I had been working minimum wage since the 1980s until I graduated from college and started my unstable career. I bettered my skills and job hopped instead of continually begging for more hours.

      Friends in their 70s and 80s who have to thanks to the stock market meltdown of 2007. I know of entire industries that work full time minimum wage- one big one here in Oregon is gas station attendants, the ultimate fallback position.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    95. Re: Typical... by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      (1) yes, it could be a full time job, and yes children shouldn't suffer for parent's mistakes. I found it interesting that her kids were all just about 5 years apart though... (bypassing the dark bit).

      (2) and this is why I have no clue how to fix the system that I clearly can see is broken.

      *mind, I despise the current system, not the (majority) of the people caught in it.

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    96. Re: Typical... by AlejandroTejadaC · · Score: 1

      Thanks for posting a link to this informative video.

    97. Re: Typical... by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Of course there is reason to pay more - you want their service.

      Try hiring a day laborer for minimum wage. They'll laugh in your face (at least here in NYC they will). You will have no chance of getting someone to paint or carry garbage downstairs to the dumpster for minimum wage. Then try getting someone to hang drywall or tape for minimum wage. Ha! Now try it for tiling, or plumbing or electrical work. It ain't happening.

      Why? Because other people are willing to pay them more to work for them.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    98. Re: Typical... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1
      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    99. Re: Typical... by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      These 10 degrees are pretty much tickets to the middle class in 2017:
      https://www.thepennyhoarder.com/jobs-making-money/career/jobs-with-an-associates-degree/

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    100. Re: Typical... by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Up to a certain dollar amount ($1,170 per month, or $1,920 if you're blind), working doesn't cause you to lose disability benefits. That's almost full-time at minimum wage (or more if you're blind).

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    101. Re: Typical... by swillden · · Score: 1

      Those who automate, will be perpetuating their own demise. Automate the jobs away... nobody will have a jobs... nobody has money... nobody can buy your goods/services... your automated whatever shuts down.

      Nonsense. We just need to restructure the economy, which we can and will do, and we'll all be better off for it as the marginal cost of production falls to nearly zero. We just don't want it to happen too fast, because restructuring is hard.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    102. Re: Typical... by KingBenny · · Score: 1

      i think what you refer to is called sucking dick and rolling over ... you probably are also still under the impression that all you have to do is look b/c work is everywhere and i suppose you dont live in europe but thats not my initial reaction my initial reaction is more like $15 is a minimum??!? ... living in hellgium which is about the 2nd most taxed and probably equally expensive country in europe, my last "job" ... i spent 10-11 hours a day on the road to get four hours of work at under €10 per hour making non-stop scripted phonecalls o but thats just easy callcenter bs have you tried it yourself? well in that case, a few years ago i had an "outdoor job" (i hate that word "job" it sounds biblical as in poor, working for someone else which will never get you anywhere) where i did about anything between 10-16 hours a day (first months i wasnt paid for being on the road) cleaning greenhouses with fluoric acid (diluted ofcourse) in anything from minus 5 to plus 30 degrees celcius 5 (mostly 6, sometimes 7) days a week ... the legal barema as the mofo called it was €12 do the math and you check on how expensive life in belgium is, dont look up the average wage on wikipedia ... thats always skewed to the right by the 10% who make actual money , the real average wage would be between €1200 - 1500 a month ... its kinda hard to find anything larger than one room under €400-500 a month (not necessarily including water, electricity and the likes) and i dont want to attack you personal and i definitely dont lack skill in mind but the situation is such that people with one or more uni degrees get to do cashier work in supermarkets (making it kinda hard for the low eds to get even that) SO ... i dont know where you live, but its not that simple im sorry

      --
      Free speech was meant to be free for all... how can anyone grow up in a nanny state ?
    103. Re: Typical... by MooseMiester · · Score: 1

      Uber progressive Seattle does the Uber Progressive thing and raises the minimum wage, then contracts the University of Seattle - another uber Progressive institution - to prove to the world that their uber progressive doings really, really work...

      And lo and behold it turns out that it failed at $15/Hr but worked pretty decent a little lower than that.

      And right here on /. you see the uber progressive ideological hacks saying no, no, no we are right and everyone else is wrong. And you wonder why Trump got elected... Because he's not an ideological hack that's married to talking points no matter what the evidence suggests DUH

      I'm no die hard anything, social progressive, fiscal conservative but people, for crissakes, learn to ADAPT and CHANGE nothing is fixed in stone.

      Ranting aside kudo's to /. for printing this I was going to submit this story with an I DARE YOU TO PUBLISH THIS headline...

      --
      Murphy was an optimist
    104. Re: Typical... by MooseMiester · · Score: 1

      The research was contracted by the City of Seattle who most certainly wanted the results to make them look good. I'm sure the WaPoo spun it into the exact opposite.

      --
      Murphy was an optimist
    105. Re: Typical... by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Well, here in Wisconsin where people are allowed to pump their own gas, and attendants aren't the product of a make work program, they make well above minimum wage.

    106. Re: Typical... by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Interesting point. Now I'm wondering what will be the intersection of automation and UBI, since I don't foresee these increases in minwage being viable in the face of automation.

      OT, and my real excuse for replying: What's the source of your sig? One of the most bloody insightful quips I've ever seen.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    107. Re: Typical... by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      In 2014, only 19% of minimum wage workers were the sole income for their household.

      So you went even further back in time to when there was one breadwinner per household?

    108. Re: Typical... by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      Way way too high you mean.

      Here's a comparison in today's money from how it was in the past - http://money.cnn.com/interacti... . Face it, you're wrong. I know, I know, it's CNN and we know they lie, like hell. However this seems to be right. According to that slider, you cannot make an argument for it being any more than $10/hour.

    109. Re: Typical... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      His argument was that the CPI isn't a great calculator for inflation, truly, as it applies to the lower classes in terms of mobility, for reasons he listed that seem reasonable. I didn't verify them, but they sound like a good opening salvo for an argument.
      You then claim he's wrong by showing CPI calculated inflation.

      You hurt my brain, sir.
      Whether he's right or wrong, all you've done is shown you can't actually formulate an argument.

    110. Re: Typical... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      It's not so bad. I did it for years. I make roughly triple that now, and I'm not entirely sure I feel much wealthier. I just have shinier shit, now.
      I will say, not having had health insurance would have really, really, really changed that math.
      Or just a little bad luck in general.

    111. Re: Typical... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      LOL- you are so flippantly full of shit.
      I lived that life, friend. There aren't netflix, and playstations for all. I did have a cell phone, I'll give you that. And a car. Cost me $600 bucks, and took roughly a quarter of my income to keep running. Don't act like those people live it large. Ya, they're not third-world poverty, but they're not spending their food stamps on video games or whatever other right-wing drivel you're going to spew next. You're a twat.

    112. Re: Typical... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      My personal income is, and you're right- it fucking isn't.
      I live in Seattle though, and 80% my money goes to fucking gas, tolls and Starbucks. Ok, I really can't bitch.

    113. Re: Typical... by conquistadorst · · Score: 1

      His argument was that the CPI isn't a great calculator for inflation, truly, as it applies to the lower classes in terms of mobility, for reasons he listed that seem reasonable. I didn't verify them, but they sound like a good opening salvo for an argument. You then claim he's wrong by showing CPI calculated inflation. You hurt my brain, sir. Whether he's right or wrong, all you've done is shown you can't actually formulate an argument.

      Trying to understand your criticism is hurting my brain. All you've done is shown you prefer criticizing instead of trying to understand and you expect other people to formulate arguments in your personal preferred style. So let me try dumbing it down it for you instead.

      First paragraph: can't have such a narrow view of benchmarking minimum wage to class mobility. Sure, it has the best of intentions in mind but it's naive and completely ignores actual daily needs.

      Second paragraph: blindly throwing post secondary education at everyone is not a silver bullet. People still need to choose a successful path on their own, many paths exist that don't require post secondary education. This is a hard problem because it's also societal, not just financial.

      Third paragraph: commentary regarding exploding education costs spiraling out of control, much of the added costs are for purely non-academic reasons

    114. Re: Typical... by conquistadorst · · Score: 1

      These 10 degrees are pretty much tickets to the middle class in 2017: https://www.thepennyhoarder.com/jobs-making-money/career/jobs-with-an-associates-degree/

      This does touch on a point I missed. It's not terribly hard to make it look easy to get a cheap degree that will let you find a job that not only pays well but also has healthy demand. Unfortunately people often pick the wrong degrees. In my previous post I spent more effort on trying to explain not everyone needs a degree at all. Like many (not all) of listed here: http://www.lifehack.org/articl...

      Point is, people need to get better at picking realistic careers.

    115. Re: Typical... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1
      Perfect! Then you agree that

      Way way too high you mean.

      Here's a comparison in today's money from how it was in the past - http://money.cnn.com/interacti... [cnn.com] . Face it, you're wrong. I know, I know, it's CNN and we know they lie, like hell. However this seems to be right. According to that slider, you cannot make an argument for it being any more than $10/hour.

      Was a ridiculous reply!

    116. Re: Typical... by MrSome · · Score: 1

      Nonsense? Hardly, you just haven't thoughtfully played out the scenario in your head.

      Please elaborate on your new economy and how it allow an infinite number of people to acquire money without jobs. Remember that we don't limit the number of babies people can have... so assume the population continues to grow, while the number of jobs continues to shrink.

    117. Re: Typical... by kaybee · · Score: 1

      Bernie Sanders pays interns $12/hr (http://www.snopes.com/sanders-interns-minimum-wage/). Many interns get paid nothing. These people want to work at less than a "living wage".

    118. Re: Typical... by kaybee · · Score: 1

      Do you have a source for any or all of this?

    119. Re: Typical... by kaybee · · Score: 1

      It depends on the worker. I'd suspect that most minimum wage workers have more time than money, so working 9% less for 6% less money isn't a good thing for them. For me it would probably be just fine.

    120. Re: Typical... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure what you're getting at. When I entered the workforce, minimum wage was $1.60/hour, and I was getting $1.45/hour through a high school work program as I was not yet 18 (California law at the time allowed employers to pay minors in a work program less than minimum wage).

      At the time of my first job, I could afford to make $1.45 an hour because at 16 I was still living with my parents. I wasn't trying to feed a family of four. That's not what minimum wage jobs are intended to accomplish. Besides spending money, I got an education on arriving on time, learning and following procedures, following through on detail, and finishing my work. Having that job on my resume helped me get another, higher paying job in college, which paid my part of the rent and helped with school expenses. That job led to another, even higher paying job, and I could afford my own apartment. By then I was making substantially more than minimal wage.

      Six years after that first, $1.45/hour job, I was making $26/hour as a lab tech. At that time, minimum wage was $3.10/hour. The difference was that I had graduated high school, put myself through college (a combination of loans and working to pay my own way) and had learned a useful skill that was in demand. I also had a resume that, although not in the field, at least illustrated that I knew how to get and keep a job. I really recommend this as a way to improve your bottom line, rather than waiting for the minimum rate to increase.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    121. Re: Typical... by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      Looking back at what I responded to, I have to wonder WTH you are talking about. Sounds like I was way beyond you? In just a few sentences and a reference to a definitive graph that shows a comparison to the past, which is precisely what he was arguing, I showed he was wrong. It's even adjusted to today's dollars. I even showed it going all the way back to FDR's day, which was his base argument. IMHO, anyone can understand it if they try. Pull up the web site, grab it and you can go back and forth and see the minimum wage in dollars at the time and how much in today's dollars it is as adjusted. You'll see that even as adjusted, you're not going to get anywhere near $15/hour in today's money.

      I supposed you could say I was showing how ridiculous he is. I stand by what I said, he's wrong.

    122. Re: Typical... by ArmoredDragon · · Score: 1

      Absolutely conclusive evidence until you read the rebuttals. Like the fact that his data excluded all restaurants (almost 35% of minimum wage jobs), excluded any business with more than one location, etc, etc, etc. Just remember, figures never lie but liers can figure.

      First of all, restaurants typically don't even pay minimum wage, they mostly rely on tips, which typically put actual wages well above the minimum. If you do include restaurants, then THAT IS THE LIE. Sure, I could see it happening that if a minimum wage hike increases the money supply, and therefore people do nice things more often, like eating out, and therefore tips go up.

      Second of all, there's actually a very good reason to exclude multi-site businesses. Some 60% to 70% (varies over time) of the economy consists of small businesses. Small businesses get hit HARD when minimum wages increase. Meanwhile, the very large businesses with minimum wage employees are able to deal with it much easier. Therefore, small businesses are more likely to reduce the working hours of their employees than multi-site businesses, and therefore, the employees make less. And, given small businesses make up the lion's share of the economy...

      In other words, UW actually made a sound effort to normalize the data, whereas UCB made very little effort towards that end. Likewise, I think the UW report is more reliable.

    123. Re: Typical... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      Looking back at what I responded to, I have to wonder WTH you are talking about. Sounds like I was way beyond you? In just a few sentences and a reference to a definitive graph that shows a comparison to the past, which is precisely what he was arguing, I showed he was wrong.

      No, you showed that you didn't understand what he said.
      He specifically argued that CPI adjusted inflation was a shitty measurement. That the minimum wage shouldn't be pegged at it as a comparison. That it should be higher than simply CPI adjusted inflation equivalent.
      You then used CPI adjusted inflation to show he was wrong. You basically entirely ignored his argument, and then gave a detailed graph of his first already given data point. It's not that complicated.

      He makes argument that CPI adjusted inflation as an anchor for minimum wage vs. more historical levels makes the true minimum necessary to survive far too low.
      You makes argument that a graph showing CPI adjusted inflation would make the minimum wage even lower means he is wrong.

      It was facepalm worthy. I'm still unsure how you don't understand.

    124. Re: Typical... by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

      Okay, but what constitutes a living wage? One that lets a single person live with shelter, food, gas, clothing (normal expenses)? Or do you mean a living wage where you can also support a family?

      --
      Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.
    125. Re: Typical... by kaatochacha · · Score: 1

      No, they do not.
      When interest rates lower, housing prices invariably rise, thus leading to roughly the same monthly mortgage payment.
      The problem is, these prices tend to be sticky, and when interest rates rise, the housing prices only slowly lower.

    126. Re: Typical... by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      Looking back at what I responded to, I have to wonder WTH you are talking about. Sounds like I was way beyond you? In just a few sentences and a reference to a definitive graph that shows a comparison to the past, which is precisely what he was arguing, I showed he was wrong.

      No, you showed that you didn't understand what he said.

      He specifically argued that CPI adjusted inflation was a shitty measurement. That the minimum wage shouldn't be pegged at it as a comparison. That it should be higher than simply CPI adjusted inflation equivalent.

      You then used CPI adjusted inflation to show he was wrong. You basically entirely ignored his argument, and then gave a detailed graph of his first already given data point. It's not that complicated.

      He makes argument that CPI adjusted inflation as an anchor for minimum wage vs. more historical levels makes the true minimum necessary to survive far too low.

      You makes argument that a graph showing CPI adjusted inflation would make the minimum wage even lower means he is wrong

      It was facepalm worthy. I'm still unsure how you don't understand.

      It wasn't facepalm worthy. Honestly, I don't think you understand what either of us is saying and why. I have a feeling that it flew right over you.

      He's trying to use minimum wage and adjust it such that anyone can go to college. He beats around the bush and then he says it in his last sentence. He says exactly that. So he's not interested in what's right, or what a minimum wage really is for. Neither are you it seems. The best way to school you would be to put you in charge of a business for a week, and you have to pay everyone. I bet when you're spending your own money instead of someone else's your tune will change considerably. To the point, why should I pay a kid, a high school kid "a living wage?" You're lucky if they'll even show up to work. If they do, you're often lucky if they do work. Don't believe me? Ask any retail manager. You may get an earful, some managers have some incredible stories. Now for college, how much is that? Way too many people are going to college these days. It makes finding trade people a bitch. Minimum wage was never meant to be a college wage. It was never meant to be a "living wage." It's the least you can pay some dumbass off the street. At one point, I was that dumbass off the street so I know about it. Not for long, I was promoted right up fast. I often doubled my hourly rate every time I moved. For years.

      Let me put something in perspective. One of my college professors told me about India (this occurred in the 1980s). He said at the age of 12 they are given a test. That test determines if they will receive any more education. I asked grade 12 or 12 years old. He said 12 years old or about the 5th grade. Flunk that test and you're effectively done in life. By US standards, hit yourself in the head with a rock done unless you like to drink dirty water and have close to nothing for the rest of your life. We have no clue what poor really is like in the US. In the US we have education available to us until the 12th grade and a lot of kids act like it's a prison. My Son just about resented being sent to college. Sure seemed that way. Until I cut him off at 21. That was a real oh-shit moment for him. Point is, be careful what you wish for. Today we have colleges (college within a University that is) that you have to have a 4.0 average to get in, sometimes even higher they have so many people applying. At some point we'll have to cut people off. Used to do that with money. Do we really want politics to decide that? Where it has been tried, it never works. You have to want it. Just like business, you have to want it or you'll fail. I put myself through college. Graduated debt free. Then I had to pay my wife's loans off because she could get a loan. I couldn't. Being a woman it was automatic. Then we could discuss how much women actually use their college degree. Different (heated) discussion I suppose.

    127. Re: Typical... by DamnOregonian · · Score: 1

      You've made the same damn mistake.
      I can't argue the merits of his argument whether or not minimum wage *should* account for those things.
      I leave that to you, you seem to have thought it through a lot more than I did. You cannot however show a graph of CPI based inflation to disprove his argument he's arguing that CPI based inflation is insufficient.

  2. This has already been proven bunk by rsilvergun · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    they're working less hours. They got a $5/hr raise. No $hi1 they're working less hours. Hours worked != Quality of Life. Who knew?

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Train0987 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      They aren't just working more hours, many have been laid off altogether while many small employers just closed and moved outside the city limits. For the restaurant/service industry there's also been an increase in the number of illegals hired and paid even less than before under the table.

    2. Re:This has already been proven bunk by TheSync · · Score: 1

      The paper states "we conclude that the second wage increase to $13 reduced hours worked in low-wage jobs by around 9 percent, while hourly wages in such jobs increased by around 3 percent."

      The paper's definition of "low-wage" is up to $19 per hour, so not all of the "low-wage" workers received a legally required raise due to the higher minimum wage.

    3. Re:This has already been proven bunk by TheSync · · Score: 1

      To be clear, for those making $19 per hour or less "total payroll fell for such jobs, implying that the minimum wage ordinance lowered low-wage employeesâ(TM) earnings by an average of $125 per month in 2016."

    4. Re:This has already been proven bunk by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

      The benefit is that you can work on a second job with the "less hours". I would take that deal (equal money for fewer hours!)

    5. Re:This has already been proven bunk by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      There's a part of me that wonders if one could actually do better "under the table", at least on the short term (lack of healthcare would eventually trip you up) due to the employer's lower overhead. (No payroll taxes, no insurance, etc.)

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    6. Re:This has already been proven bunk by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Fascinating how some people can't do the math of clocking out earlier for the same paycheck.

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    7. Re: This has already been proven bunk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Most people know they don't possess the skills to open a plumbing shop, or a computer repair shop, or even a dry cleaners, etc.

      But everyone thinks they have the skills to open a restaurant.

      Most don't.

    8. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Train0987 · · Score: 2

      $19/hr in Seattle IS a very low wage.

    9. Re:This has already been proven bunk by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      Making stuff up?

      "For the restaurant/service industry there's also been an increase in the number of illegals hired and paid even less than before under the table."

      The report says at least twice that the restaurant/service industry is seeing the exact same number of workers and the exact same number of hours worked.

    10. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Rockoon · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Fascinating how the article notes lower payrolls, which means the paychecks are somehow smaller or that there are fewer people employed. Do you want to defend either?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    11. Re:This has already been proven bunk by TFAFalcon · · Score: 1

      That sure sounds beneficial for the worker - they work less and get the same.

    12. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      There are fewer restaurants in Seattle today than there was before the min wage was increased. How can that stat be true? Are they only counting restaurants that haven't closed?

    13. Re:This has already been proven bunk by William+Baric · · Score: 1

      A lot of low wage jobs are in competition with automation. My guess is the "less hours" was due to investment with automation which became more profitable than paying employees. The consequence of this is no availability of a second job.

    14. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      Except now they have to pay higher prices with the same paycheck.

    15. Re:This has already been proven bunk by WrongMonkey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      [citation needed]

    16. Re:This has already been proven bunk by mrclevesque · · Score: 1

      "How can that stat be true? Are they only counting restaurants that haven't closed?"

      They're counting overall number of jobs and hours worked, so I guess as is usual for restaurants there's a lot that close and a lot that open.

      "There are fewer restaurants in Seattle today than there was before the min wage was increase"

      Any reference? But if more have closed than opened then as a result of that it could mean that the ones that are still open are more busy and took on more workers.

    17. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Actually, even with randomized lesser hours you can do more online home odd jobs work.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    18. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      For the restaurant/service industry there's also been an increase in the number of illegals hired and paid even less than before under the table.

      Sounds like somebody needs to hold them liable.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    19. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Jhon · · Score: 1

      Yes -- but the the point is that using $19 an hour skews the data. How many people earning $14/hr lost their job when the min wage went to $13? Probably a lot closer to zero than the guys making $10/hour getting bumped to $13.

      So, the question would be, what are the REAL numbers? I would expect if you looked at JUST those workers who received mandated raises that 9% would be much higher.

    20. Re: This has already been proven bunk by Tanktalus · · Score: 1

      And how's that working out in Venezuela?

    21. Re:This has already been proven bunk by roc97007 · · Score: 2

      I understand, and you don't even have to be an "undocumented worker". Years ago I spent a couple years as a private contractor and chose during that time not to have medical insurance at all. My salary at the time was fairly high, and I was in general good health, so it seemed a safe bet.

      Then, it so happens I had to have some procedures done. Some precancerous growths removed, dental work done, nothing critical but still potentially spendy. The interesting thing is that as a cash customer, I was charged a significantly lower price than if I had insurance. Apparently there's a lot of overhead involved in doing business with insurance companies, and doctors are willing to pass some of the savings on to cash customers. The other thing is that as a cash customer, I could go pretty much anywhere for medical or dental care, without worrying about what's "in program" or "out of program" and the care providers realize that.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    22. Re:This has already been proven bunk by denzacar · · Score: 1

      Who said anything about the article? I'm pointing at the cowardly retard above.

      As for the article... wouldn't bother with it.
      Either study the study itself or don't bother commenting on the topic at all.
      And I don't have the time for that right now only so I could argue with idiots who can't add or bother to analyze the study.

      --
      Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    23. Re:This has already been proven bunk by TFAFalcon · · Score: 1

      Higher prices? You mean prices rise when people buying things have the same amount of money and the employers are paying them the same?

    24. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Trickster+Paean · · Score: 1

      I know everyone isn't going to read a 63 page NBER Working Paper (even I only skimmed it), but there is a good reason to use $19/hr as where to draw the line. That's because they're trying to find a point on the wage line where above that amount, there appears to have been no impact caused by the minimum wage increase. They are conservative in adopting $19/hr as the dividing line, because if there is any effect on employment overall, it should be caught by that level. They could have just as easily adopted something just above the minimum wage, and the numbers wouldn't have been much different.

      How many people earning $10/hr lost their job? Can't answer that question. What I can answer is this: Was there a net loss of jobs due to the minimumw age increase? Here's the quote: "Our finding of zero impact on headcount employment in the restaurant industry echoes many prior studies."

      Zero impact. No net loss of jobs. And there was almost no effect period from the first minimum wage increase to $11/hr. Only with the increase to $13/hr were they able to claim effects of any statistical significance. This is a good study, but the headline doesn't tell the whole tale.

    25. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Trickster+Paean · · Score: 1

      Did you read the paper? Or even just Table 3 on Page 45 of the paper?
      "Our finding of zero impact on headcount employment in the restaurant industry echoes many prior studies."
      Essentially, fewer people are employed at lower wages, but headcount employment has not decreased, and actually increased.
      The effects of the minimum wage increase to $11 were minimal, and not statistically significant. The increase to $13 was statistically significant, and may have demonstrated employers adjusting by adopting any of a number of strategies, either finding or training more skilled, experienced, or efficient workers and paying them a higher wage, automating the tasks in some cases, or just not having the work done at all.
      So all of these effects they have seen are distributional effects, and only really on the second increase.

    26. Re:This has already been proven bunk by sabbede · · Score: 1

      No, they're making $125/month less. If I recall, when the minimum went to $11/hr, hours weren't cut so they made a little more. If I'm wrong, then that was where hours were cut a little but it did balance out.

    27. Re: This has already been proven bunk by sabbede · · Score: 1

      Most restaurants fail within six months or so. I think it usually takes about two to start being profitable.

    28. Re: This has already been proven bunk by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      It's not that weird -- it's the cost of money. If it takes a vendor a significant time to get paid after rendering the product or service, the vendor loses the use of that money during that time period. Interest is a way to compensate for that.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    29. Re:This has already been proven bunk by TheSync · · Score: 1

      Zero impact. No net loss of jobs.

      No net loss of jobs, but some low wage workers lost their jobs (or at least hours). And I suspect that the people who lost their jobs are more likely to be younger, less experienced, racial minorities, and in poverty than those who replaced them.

      The minimum wage is a horribly targeted anti-poverty program. Better to have more EITC, or frankly, anything else that directly addresses people in poverty.

    30. Re:This has already been proven bunk by Trickster+Paean · · Score: 1

      There isn't any data that shows that low wage workers lost their jobs because of the minimum wage increase. And the fact that the data does not demonstrate statistically significant effects from the first minimum wage increase indicate that a modest raise in the minimum wage will have minimal effects. From the data in Seattle, it appears that even raising the current federal minimum wage by 50% would have little to no effect.

      Better to have more EITC, or frankly, anything else that directly addresses people in poverty.

      The EITC is a good idea! You know who supported the largest expansion of the EITC? Reagan did in 1986. Every President since Gerald Ford (who enacted it) has helped expand the EITC. Who supports expansion of the EITC today? It isn't part of anyone's agenda in Congress.

      And that's because the EITC costs money to implement, and it costs tax money to pay out. Every time it has come before Congress recently it has been slapped down. Because the Republican Congress doesn't believe in it, and today's conservatives don't believe in it. Because to fund increases in the EITC, taxes would need to be raised. So, theoretically, an EITC would be better. A negative income tax would be even better. But we live in a world with actual policies and politics and economics, not a theoretical one. And in the actual world, only a minimum wage increase has been able to be enacted, and only in localities. And I don't hear anyone in Congress clamoring for a negative income tax.

    31. Re:This has already been proven bunk by TheSync · · Score: 1

      The EITC is a good idea! You know who supported the largest expansion of the EITC? Reagan did in 1986

      Yep, Trump is no Reagan!

  3. Bullshit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The company cut each workers wage by $125 because that's the amount they needed to save. If the minimum wage was lower, then they would still have cut their wages by $125, it's just that they could have demanded more work for it.

    Given the higher minimum wage, at least the workers got shorter workdays for the same amount of money.

    1. Re:Bullshit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      and thinking from a different point of view, I would call BS on your response.

      the business has profit and costs. if you increase those costs and cannot cover it by gaining more profit, with the same human resources but now less capital, well the money has to come from somewhere. cutting hours or people makes the most sense and is the easiest to do in the short term. keep in mind without the shirt term, a small business may not have a long term

      when you arbitrarily raise wages and the other associated costs with them, in Canada, I am thinking that also the CPP and EI costs per person go up as well - the money has to come from somewhere. unless the government is going to lower taxes on the business to counter increasing the cost of doing business, well, it is called...math. it has to balance out

    2. Re:Bullshit. by bws111 · · Score: 1

      All expenses are either for your own labor and profit, or your suppliers (and their suppliers, etc) labor and profit. There is nothing else. And before someone gets the bright idea to say 'taxes!', taxes are to pay for the governments labor.

    3. Re:Bullshit. by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      Why not increase the minimum wage to $100/hr then?

    4. Re:Bullshit. by suutar · · Score: 1

      How do rent and/or mortgage payments fit in to that "everything is labor or profit" model? I'm willing to believe that it does fit in, I just don't quite see how.

    5. Re:Bullshit. by Rockoon · · Score: 2

      You increase prices to cover the added expense.

      Sure, because the price wasnt already what the market could bear.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    6. Re:Bullshit. by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      Increase prices means everything costs more. If the price of goods/services increase proportionally to the increased forced wage, doesn't that nullify the whole purpose of the forced wage increase? Now factor in the number of businesses who will close because the market cannot support those increased prices and what do you say to the people who just lost their jobs because of it?

    7. Re:Bullshit. by bws111 · · Score: 1

      They go to pay the labor of building the structure, and the labor of getting the materials for the structure, and the profit to the landlord or mortgage holder.

    8. Re:Bullshit. by suutar · · Score: 1

      Ah, that makes sense. Thanks!

    9. Re:Bullshit. by sabbede · · Score: 1

      You can't will away economics. The relationship between supply, demand and price is unavoidable fact. If you raise the price of labor, less will be demanded. There's some wiggle room because businesses can pass some costs on to consumers by raising prices (the supply curve moves to the right), but not much if they don't want to drive away customers.

    10. Re:Bullshit. by sabbede · · Score: 1
      To a point. The demand curve takes much longer to move in response to higher wages than the supply curve, so businesses can only raise prices a little bit before losing customers.

      When Seattle raised the minimum wage to $11/hr, hours weren't cut (or at least net wages stayed the same). $13 was clearly too much.

  4. Crisis management government by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The problem is that for years governments ignored the lagging behind of entry level wages. But clearly raising them significantly with a sweeping increase can also be just as damaging. Most people with any common sense would have guessed that businesses would react negatively even if on the surface they support minimum wage increases. Its also unrealistic to expect some jobs to be good paying primary incomes for people. The skill level and available workers means it cannot sustain the wages some people expect.

    1. Re:Crisis management government by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      Illegal immigration has decimated the availability of those entry-level jobs.

    2. Re:Crisis management government by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Illegal immigration has decimated the availability of those entry-level jobs.

      No, its the minimum wage that did it. Illegals wouldnt have an advantage attaining these low skill jobs if they didnt also have an advantageous wage.

      This shit keeps repeating. The sour of these dumb minimum wage increases will grow more and more apparent and will take minimum wage increase policies off the table of support-of-the-ignorant for a decade or two, until a new generation of ignorant people is raised to replace the ones lost to reality.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    3. Re:Crisis management government by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      Landscaping and roofing where two trades where one could make a decent living before illegal immigration took those jobs away. And yes, there are PLENTY of unemployed in California who would do the agricultural jobs if not for illegal immigration undercutting those wages as well.

    4. Re:Crisis management government by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      No, its the minimum wage that did it. Illegals wouldnt have an advantage attaining these low skill jobs if they didnt also have an advantageous wage.

      No, it was the abolition of slavery that did it. Slaves had a guaranteed job with food and shelter. Now their descendants are unemployed because they're so uppity that they refuse to be whipped. Fortunately illegals can be exploited at near-slavery levels with no pesky regulations, and even bought and sold by human traffickers, so we have a decent replacement for slavery at last. If unemployed people want a job, they should renounce their citizenship and become illegal migrants to join that highly successful labor market.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    5. Re:Crisis management government by psycho12345 · · Score: 1
    6. Re:Crisis management government by I'm+New+Around+Here · · Score: 1

      Where I grew up, fruit picking was one of the main jobs for high school students. And for migrant farm workers.

      --
      If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
  5. UW study contradicts... by Uncle_Meataxe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The University of Washington study comes to a very different conclusion than a UC Berkeley report.

    How a Rising Minimum Wage Affects Jobs in Seattle
    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/0...

    1. Re:UW study contradicts... by Train0987 · · Score: 4, Informative

      The Washington study considers MANY more data points.

    2. Re:UW study contradicts... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The UCB study was paid for by the Mayor after he saw an early draft of the UW post. Check the Seattle Weekly article on the topic. The UCB report is pure BS.

      http://www.seattleweekly.com/news/seattle-is-getting-an-object-lesson-in-weaponized-data/

    3. Re:UW study contradicts... by DRJlaw · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The UCB study was paid for by the Mayor after he saw an early draft of the UW post. Check the Seattle Weekly article on the topic. The UCB report is pure BS.

      I'd order another study myself if I was given UW's pure BS. From your own cited source:

      "Among other things, the UW study did not include multisite businesses in the study, which the UW researchers argued produced a cleaner data set but which Berkeley researchers said meant a huge portion of Seattleâ(TM)s low-wage work force was left out of the study. "

      "Cleaner" as in is necessary to show the purported effect?

    4. Re:UW study contradicts... by Uncle_Meataxe · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Interesting point, but the UCB report is not "pure BS." Actually, it's a pretty difficult problem to address and economists have been working on it for years. Like previous studies, it appears that the UW study has its own methodological problems. You probably quit reading before you got to this point in that seattleweekly.com post:

      "Berkeley’s Reich did not return a phone call seeking comment, but in a memo released Monday he blasted the UW report, saying it was full of red flags.

      Among other things, the UW study did not include multisite businesses in the study, which the UW researchers argued produced a cleaner data set but which Berkeley researchers said meant a huge portion of Seattle’s low-wage work force was left out of the study. Reich also notes that many of the UW team’s most dire conclusions fall outside what even highly critical research would suggest."

      “The unlikely UW estimate of large negative employment effects likely results from the problems noted above. Their findings are not credible and drawing inferences from the report are unwarranted,” Reich wrote."

    5. Re:UW study contradicts... by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

      The University of Washington study comes to a very different conclusion than a UC Berkeley report.

      So the CEO of a company needs a new CFO and has narrowed his choice down to three candidates: An Engineer, A Mathematician and an Economist. So the CEO asks the Engineer, "What's one plus one . . . ?"

      The Engineer types that in his smartphone and shows it to the CEO, "There! One plus one is two!" So the CEO asks the Mathematician, "What's one plus one . . . ?"

      The Mathematician scribbles something on the wall and shows the CEO, "There! I have proved that one plus one is two!" So the CEO asks the Economist, "What is one plus one . . . ?"

      The Economist leans forward and whispers to the CEO, "How much do you want it to be . . . "

      I think there is a South African version of this joke where the Economist is named "Van der Merwe".

      Kurt Gödel also postulated, for a given finite set of mathematical rules and a finite set of data . . . there is an infinite set of mutually contradictory correct conclusions can be calculated as answers to the same questions.

      Apparently, in private, Gödel chuckled about this when describing the behavior of competing academic camps of thoughts. He once said, "You know . . . it is normal for those of us in these academic groups to vehemently disagree with each other. In the Science of Mathemetics, the tempers run so high, because the stakes are so small. Imagine creating a theory that not only contradicted the work of others . . . but implied by its very definition that the work of others could even exist in the first place . . . ?"

      How a Rising Minimum Wage Affects Jobs in Seattle https://www.nytimes.com/2017/0...

      Oh, I see . . . you're posting pay-walled links because you get a "piece of the action" from the New York Times.

      "What's the Turk paying you to set up my father, Captain?"

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    6. Re:UW study contradicts... by epine · · Score: 2

      Actually, it's a pretty difficult problem to address and economists have been working on it for years.

      It'll never be settled. Basically as soon as minimum wage is implemented, both sides mark a future date in their respective calendars to write up a victory lap (victory condition for the negative side is an employment mushroom cloud).

      All this supported by impeccable data, on both sides.

      I personally think that a UBI regime is far better than a livable minimum wage, but UBI hasn't got the miles on it yet to "definitively" conclude one way or the other.

      Plus the interaction of the two where minimum wage remains in effect make pilot studies of UBI almost worthless.

      Like minimum wage, there's a huge problem with UBI where the gets and get-nots find themselves living on opposite sides of some arbitrary political demarcation line. Probably worse than interstate sales tax.

      (In Canada, Alberta was long a tax-dodge for neighbouring communities. Regulated marketing in Canada is good for animal welfare and pandemic aftermath compliance, but the higher prices involved lead to an epidemic of cross-border shopping. We don't drive to the corner store. We drive from Windsor to Detroit.)

      There can hardly be a news story with less reliable "news" content than research group A (or B) publishes report finding that minimum wage does (does not) benefit society.

    7. Re:UW study contradicts... by semper_statisticum · · Score: 1

      Cleaner likely refers to the fact that they only conducted a standard OLS regression, rather than a hierarchical model in which the commonalities between the multiple sites are properly modelled.

      It's lazy, but fairly common in the social sciences: if the repeated identical dimensions aren't properly modelled (i.e., are left as unique repetitious observations) the standard errors for each of the effects being estimated are shrunk, leading to Type 1 (false positive) errors.

      --
      The Spanish Inquisition of Psychometrics; Burning all the heretics.
  6. Special Advisory on invalidated study by sgt_doom · · Score: 3, Informative

    Negative --- Forbes just came out with the counter-argument that this study was invalid since they didn't research all the workers, just 60%. Must cover all the workers or at least 95%.

    1. Re:Special Advisory on invalidated study by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      and I disregard anything Forbes says since I can't read any of their articles without risking a malware infection

  7. Since the "report" excluded the target by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 4, Informative

    Multi-national and nationwide chains are excluded from the study by NBER.
    Surprise!
    Those are the target audience of tax-supported employers
    Worthless "Study"

    1. Re:Since the "report" excluded the target by AutodidactLabrat · · Score: 1

      When "Mom and Pop" are the only one's burdened,you'd have a point
      It is the STUDY, not the wage, which is exclusive of the profit centers already minimizing labor costs which is false.
      ASSUMING Capitalist theory is correct, a burden equally shared will not reduce Mom and Pop's share of the business and THEREFORE not reduce their income UNLESS the cost of labor dominates the cost of goods...which we know is false in every minimum wage industry

  8. Biased study generates intended result by DRJlaw · · Score: 4, Informative

    If you exclude all the employees from businesses that have multiple locations, then focus only on single-location businesses that are under pressure by the excluded businesses, you're pretty much guaranteed to get that result.

    1. Re:Biased study generates intended result by DRJlaw · · Score: 1

      So the complaint that the study doesn't include enough people then quotes a study that includes even less people?

      It doesn't matter how large your study population is if your selection process is biased.

      Using confidential payroll data from the Washington Employment Security Department, the researchers compare employment, hours and wages of workers in Seattle and various other parts of Washington both before and after Seattle began raising its minimum wage.

      Ok. So what about that data means that they have to exclude data for workers at businesses that have more than one location? Nothing. Run the analysis on the whole data set.

    2. Re:Biased study generates intended result by tlhIngan · · Score: 1

      If you exclude all the employees from businesses that have multiple locations, then focus only on single-location businesses that are under pressure by the excluded businesses, you're pretty much guaranteed to get that result.

      But consider what it means. It means if you're a larger multinational or corporate franchise, you're likely just going to pay up because you can - everyone still visits their starbucks, for example.

      But if you're a mom and pop coffeeshop, or other small business with one location, then the minimum wage is hurting your employees because you're forced to cut back on hours (and basically the owners work for free to make up for it).

      In other words, the higher minimum wage helps you, if you're a larger corporate entity that can absorb it into the system (i.e. raise prices to compensate). If you're a small business, it's likely to hurt you - both your employees suffer (less hours) and you the owner suffer (more hours worked)

      So it can be true that the "living wage" requirement both helps and hurts. If you're big enough, the employees benefit. If you're a tiny operation, everyone suffers. More starbucks, more chain stores, less individual boutique stores. Move over tiny coffeeshop, you're obsolete, make way for the starbucks train because you cannot survive.

    3. Re:Biased study generates intended result by geoskd · · Score: 2

      But if you're a mom and pop coffeeshop, or other small business with one location, then the minimum wage is hurting your employees because you're forced to cut back on hours (and basically the owners work for free to make up for it).

      Another way to say it is "The small mom and pop store only has a viable business model if their employees are giving them labor at below fair wages..."

      Or another way to say it is that if we had slave labor, far more local stores would be able to stay in business with otherwise unworkable business plans.

      --
      I wish I had a good sig, but all the good ones are copyrighted
    4. Re:Biased study generates intended result by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      In other words...raising the minimum wage helps large corporations at the expense of small business. Further consider the fact that numerous studies have shown that the overwhelming majority of job growth comes from these small businesses.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    5. Re:Biased study generates intended result by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      In other words, the majority of job growth comes with really crappy pay. Is this a trend we want to encourage?

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    6. Re:Biased study generates intended result by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Well, I guess not if you are one of those people who want to live life as a corporate/government drone. There is a reason why authoritarian governments prefer big corporations.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    7. Re:Biased study generates intended result by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      Impressive leap to that conclusion. I'm saying that we should prefer a situation where better jobs open up rather than worse ones. As it happens, I work for a living.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  9. Only Temporary by Sir+Holo · · Score: 1, Insightful

    This is only temporary.

    Lower management sought to bring costs "back to where they were before the wage increase." How? They cut hours, which means fewer person-hours per day to do the job. Quality or quantity will suffer.

    Middle management will see the drop in gross sales –due to lower quality. Upper management will breathe fire down upon them for the lost of brand prestige or drop in quarterly profits.

    Middle management will instruct lower management to staff-up in order to fix it. Workers will have schedules adjusted, then, to bring them back up to the same number of person-hours as before.

    Where they will cut instead is anybody's guess. My guess: "deferred maintenance".

    1. Re:Only Temporary by ageoffri · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or as is more likely, any business that can will move outside of the city limits and pay the prevailing wage that is lower.

      --
      -- Slashdot, making the Left look conservative since 1997.
    2. Re:Only Temporary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It's humorous you think there's so many levels of disconnected management in small companies employing minimum wage workers.

    3. Re:Only Temporary by Train0987 · · Score: 2

      You act as if these companies are huge conglomerates. In reality the vast majority of businesses this impacts are small businesses with a small number of employees and small margins. Paying everyone $15/hr eliminates those margins and puts the shop out of business.

    4. Re:Only Temporary by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      Or as is more likely, any business that can will move outside of the city limits and pay the prevailing wage that is lower.

      Well, they're doing that anyway as rents continue to skyrocket.

    5. Re:Only Temporary by Train0987 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, your "living wage" fantasy is what's not viable. You can't even define a "living wage". Put a number to that. Why not raise the minimum wage to $100/hr? Seriously, why can't anyone answer that question?

    6. Re:Only Temporary by Train0987 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Obamacare saw to it that all those jobs were cut to part-time years before the current $15/hr minimum wage mandate, which is killing them even more now.

    7. Re:Only Temporary by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of definitions of living wage. A good rule of thumb is that a living wage should be three times the cost of renting an apartment with a roommate. The cheapest neighborhood in Seattle is Mount Baker. The average two-bedroom apartment there rents for $1400/month. So if you shared with a roommate, rent would be $700/month. Most landlords ask for income verification, so you would need to earn about three times that. Which works out to be about about $15/hr. QED

    8. Re:Only Temporary by Jhon · · Score: 2

      "A good rule of thumb is that a living wage should be three times the cost of renting an apartment with a roommate."

      Move someplace where rent is cheap enough to afford on a minimum wage job -- and seek employment there. Maybe rent in Seattle will go down, too if enough people follow this suggestion.

    9. Re:Only Temporary by Bartles · · Score: 1

      Do shut up. We know they are all multinationals owned by white bald guys who sit in front of fireplaces in leather armchairs, smoking cigars lit by burning hundred dollar bills, while peering at tickertapes through gold rimmed monacles.

    10. Re:Only Temporary by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      There are a lot of ways to deal with a high cost of living. You can raise wages. Or you can build more housing. Or you can drive out all the poor people. The voters of Seattle have made our decision on how were going to deal with this for now. If live in Seattle and you disagree, then there is an election coming. If you don't live in Seattle and you disagree, then who cares? Why are you wasting everyone's time complaining about places that you don't live?

    11. Re:Only Temporary by psithurism · · Score: 1

      Why not raise the minimum wage to $100/hr?

      IANAEconomist, but I 'll take a shot at explaining it:

      • Most easy to get jobs inevitably pay at or slightly above minimum wage, so this will represent a large portion of the population and the job pool.
      • Our goal is to maximize the happiness of the population which will be composed largely of people who hold these jobs.
      • Happiness that altering minimum wage will be something like: free_time*income in some sort of units that probably work out to 120hours*$15/hour is awesome.

      When we increase minimum wage, workers make more money for the hours they put in, but hours available begin decreasing as businesses can't afford as much labor:
      At $100 (or probably even $25) per hour, no business can afford to pay that, free_time*income=doesn't_matter*0=0=unhappy.

      Seriously, why can't anyone answer that question?

      Because it seems so obvious, that only the nerdiest among the news for nerds crowd would put math to it.

      The other reason that people avoid the question is that the other side works out equally bad, but they're concerned that you aren't considering it.
      When Minimum wage decreases, people have to put in more hours to make a living, because most easy to get jobs inevitably pay at or slightly above minimum wage, but more jobs and hours become available since businesses can afford them.
      Set minimum wage to zero and we are back to child laborers paid in script: free_time*income=0*0=0=unhappy.

      You can't even define a "living wage". Put a number to that

      Somewhere in this curve is a happiness maximum. IANAE and I've never visited Seatle, so I can't give you a number on a "livable wage", but I hear the cost of living is huge and the weather is so dismal that not only is it impossible to be homeless, but people suffer from year round seasonal affect disorder. I wont move there for less than $60/hour and under 50hours/week.

    12. Re:Only Temporary by Sir+Holo · · Score: 1

      It's humorous you think there's so many levels of disconnected management in small companies employing minimum wage workers.

      If the chain is not on the franchise model, then this is the structure:

      Bottom:
      Restaurant Manager
      Associate Manager
      2–5 Assistant or Shift Managers

      Middle:
      Regional Managers (usually two layers)

      Top:
      Corporate Managers at the HQ.

      Now wasn't that easy?

  10. Easy answer: the study is a BS by Cyberax · · Score: 5, Informative

    The UW study is a BS. Instead of just looking into the actual data (it's not compatible with the aim of the study as it shows improvements in wages and jobs) they created a "fantasy Seattle". Then they compared the growth of wages and employments in this "fantasy Seattle" with the reality. Then they tweaked the model to produce the numbers they want - they omitted minimum-wage workers from chain franchises.

    And lo and behold! The model shows slightly more growth than the real Seattle.

  11. Let me get this straight... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Implicit in this study's conclusion is that the company cited had actually kept employees on the clock for longer than they needed them. Most businesses do not pay someone to work unless there is work that needs to be done.

    Now, if we can accept that as being true, the only logical conclusion one can draw is that these companies cut the hours of their employees solely to create hardship for them in an attempt to claim that it was the rise in minimum wage that caused this action.

    A local pizza establishment has a sign on their menu which states the reason why they raised the price of their pizzas $1.50/each was due to an increase in our local minimum wage law. And given that there are rarely more than two employees working at any given time, one can only assume that they only sell two pizzas per hour - or so they would like us to believe.

    1. Re:Let me get this straight... by Train0987 · · Score: 2

      That's ludicrous. If those employees were kept on the clock then they would've been paid for those extra hours. Do you really believe small business on a tight margin have loads of extra cash laying around to blow on making the minimum wage law look bad???

    2. Re:Let me get this straight... by omnichad · · Score: 1

      these companies cut the hours of their employees solely to create hardship for them in an attempt to claim that it was the rise in minimum wage that caused this action.

      Ding! Ding! Ding! We have a winner!

    3. Re:Let me get this straight... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Most businesses do not pay someone to work unless there is work that needs to be done.

      We are talking about minimum wage... aka retail and service industries. Somebody needs to be behind the register even if nobody is in the store you idiot. Now apparently its more often the manager, since payrolls decreased.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    4. Re:Let me get this straight... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      No, these companies had tasks which were worth about $15 an hour to perform, with the increase of minimum wage to $13 an hour the cost to have someone perform those tasks has exceeded that $15 an hour value so the company now does without having that task performed.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  12. Sounds like a win for employers by hawguy · · Score: 2

    If employees are given 9% fewer hours and getting less overall pay and are presumably doing the same jobs they were before the wage increase, then they must be 9% more efficient and saving businesses money.

    I bet businesses around the country are going to push for higher minimum wages now -- they'll save money and get more efficient workers.

  13. Bad research by nicolaiplum · · Score: 1

    The subjects are from a small range of people, and the statistical analysis is dubious.

    Someone bent this data until it gave a result, perhaps even the result they wanted.

    Don't trust this study.

    --
    "For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled"
  14. WaPo has links to several studies by mhkohne · · Score: 1

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/posteverything/wp/2017/06/27/seattles-higher-minimum-wage-is-actually-working-just-fine

    According to the stuff they quote, Seattle's doing just fine, thank you very much. With an unemployment rate of only 2.6 percent, I'm inclined to believe them. As mentioned by others, the study excludes workers at businesses that have more than one location, making it pretty damn meaningless in this age of the multi-national corporation and a Starbucks on every corner.

    --
    A thousand pounds of wood moving at 300 feet per minute. Don't get in the way.
  15. orly? by slashmydots · · Score: 1

    No wonder these morons are working minimum wage jobs. They sure as hell can't do math and don't know how economics or business math works.

  16. Seems like bad solution by Presence+Eternal · · Score: 2

    I've always been in favor of ratio based minimums. E.g. The CEO can't earn more than 10x the lowest paid employee or contractor. That's an illustration, yes it has to be a bit more complex. I feel like no one ever talks about it though. It's just minimum wage this and that, and even then not discussed in the context of being pegged to inflation. Wouldn't it be nice for the boss's success to be everyone's success, just as the myth of the job creator dictates? "The boss doubled his paycheck! We all get a raise! Woohoo!"

    1. Re:Seems like bad solution by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      The main problem with your solution is its trivial to work around. "I don't have any employees, I subcontract that to "fry cooks and cashiers LLC." I mean, companies already use cleaning services.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    2. Re:Seems like bad solution by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      They're not independent contractors. They are fully controlled employees of FryCooks LLC, who have very demanding requirements, which FryCooks LLC had imposed on them by RealCo. It's just a different entity, so the multiplications don't work.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
  17. Statistics are hard by Daetrin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The math on this wasn't making any sense to me, an 18% or 32% wage increase (depending on whether you count one or both increases) ought to more than compensate for a 9% decrease in hours. So i dug through TFA a little and eventually found this:

    "Seattle data show - even in simple first differences - that payroll expenses on workers earning under $19 per hour either rose minimally or fell as the minimum wage increased from $9.47 to $13 in just over nine months."

    So they're including people making more than the new minimum wage, up to 46% more, in their calculations. Given the discrepancy noted above it seems likely that the higher wage employees are bearing the brunt of the reduction in hours

    Most likely the wage increase helped the people it was directly targeted at but had a negative impact on others who were making above minimum wage but not enough above the minimum to escape the "low-wage" classification.

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    1. Re:Statistics are hard by Jhon · · Score: 1

      "Seattle data show - even in simple first differences - that payroll expenses on workers earning under $19 per hour either rose minimally or fell as the minimum wage increased from $9.47 to $13 in just over nine months."

      I don't think that's the result. I'm thinking that the guys making over $13/hour are pretty much unchanged as far as employment and hours and looking at $19/hour is hiding the negative impact on those bumped up to $13.

  18. Re:Captain obvious by Train0987 · · Score: 1

    You're seriously trying to compare Norway and Sweden to the US economy? Good grief you can't be helped.

  19. making ends meet by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    These are illuminating in regard to any discussion of the economic impact of the minimum wage:

    http://thehill.com/homenews/ho...

    "Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) said Monday that House and Senate lawmakers should receive a $2,500 per month housing allowance — something he explained would help ease housing costs for members who can’t afford two mortgages or rents."

    And this:

    https://boingboing.net/2017/06...

    "Rep Jeb Hensarling [R-TX/+1 202 225-3484/@RepHensarling] is the sponsor of HR 10, the Financial CHOICE Act of 2017, which will ban investors from putting petitions to the shareholders and board of publicly traded companies, except when investors own more than 1% of the company for at least three years."

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:making ends meet by meglon · · Score: 1

      Personally i think the feds should buy up a couple of the huge condo complexes there, give each congress person one to stay in while they're in office (like a dorm room), and cut their pay down to no more than twice the average income.

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    2. Re:making ends meet by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Personally i think the feds should buy up a couple of the huge condo complexes there, give each congress person one to stay in while they're in office (like a dorm room), and cut their pay down to no more than twice the average income.

      That's good. I'd prefer if they built some low-cost housing complexes for congressional representatives. And while we're at it, force them to have the same health care that they're voting for the rest of us.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    3. Re:making ends meet by meglon · · Score: 1

      ...and for them and their families to drink bottled water that barely meets the drinkable index for pollutants from the EPA.

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
  20. Perfect! by Seth+Morabito · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Oh cool! Now we have two reports that draw opposite conclusions, so we can just pick whichever one we already agree with and ignore the other. Sweet!

  21. Complacent by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    Everyone be complacent to the ruling elite and things will be ok.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  22. Who could of guessed? by Murdoch5 · · Score: 1

    Ontario is also going to a $15 / min wage and it will cause nothing but problems. If people already can't get a full week of hours at $11, do they think they'll get more when the employeer is forced to pay them more? This will only cause wages to fall as hours get cut, to keep up with the fact that employeers are being forced to pay low / no skilled workers high wages, at least for what they do.

    1. Re:Who could of guessed? by Train0987 · · Score: 1

      Not to mention what this does to every other industry that was paying skilled employees what is now the forced rate for unskilled workers.

    2. Re:Who could of guessed? by Murdoch5 · · Score: 1

      Exactly, if non-skilled labor gets a secured 27% hike, then shouldn't all skilled labor positions?

  23. Expected result, because $15/hr is not a panacea by OrangeTide · · Score: 2

    If there is work to be done, you will have to pay someone to do it, and that minimum will be $15/hr. If your business cannot afford that, then you will adapt and find some way to eliminate the need for such work. It's pretty simple, businesses trim up when payroll costs rise.

    If you needed to guarantee that every person has a basic income, then you have to work out a social program to provide that because minimum wage never promised to do that. Minimum wage only increases the bottom end of the amount of money labor gets per unit of work, it does not promise a chicken in every pot.

    Free market and businesses are incapable of feeding and clothing every person. If that's your only goal here, then minimum wage was the wrong tool. That people get their hours cut doesn't negate the fact that thousands of people have earned more money for a unit of work.

    There are only so many hours in a day. If you make more per hour, even if you can't fill every one of those hours with work currently you at least have those hours available to look for work or try to arrange for ways to save money. Working 10-15 hours a week at $15/hr and not having to spend money on childcare is probably better than working 20-30 hours a week at $7.25/hr and almost certainly needing to work out some arrangements for childcare.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  24. Re:On purpose by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    So say we're talking about a coffee shop, and the price of coffee goes up. Do they suddenly realize they were buying more coffee than they needed so start to purchase less of it? Or do they accept it as part of the cost of business, raise prices a couple ticks, and move on? This is nothing but sour grapes.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  25. Articles Critical of the UW Study by LionKimbro · · Score: 1

    The New York Times, "How a Rising Minimum Wage Affects Jobs in Seattle": https://www.nytimes.com/2017/0...

    Washington Post, "Seattle’s higher minimum wage is actually working just fine": https://www.washingtonpost.com...

    EPI.org, "The “high road” Seattle labor market and the effects of the minimum wage increase": http://www.epi.org/publication...

    Seattle Minimum Wage Policy: http://murray.seattle.gov/mini...

    We are mid-2017, and on January 1st, Schedule 1 employers with >500 employees and w/o providing medical benefits, now have a minimum wage of $15.00/hr, up from $13.00/hr (in the period that the UW study most recently concluded on.) Schedule 2 employers (w/ $13.00/hr. So by looking at the data for the next few years, we should get a clearer picture on the effects, since whatever effects there may have been, if they were systematic and attributable to the minimum wage increase, they should deepen and be more visible.

    Time will tell.

  26. Re:Reduce hours reduces service by omnichad · · Score: 1

    then you should have done that BEFORE the wage increase. Otherwise you were wasting your money.

    But to prevent getting the backlash themselves, they wait until they have someone else to blame (rising wage costs). For bonus points, if enough businesses do this, maybe the minimum wage change will get rolled back.

  27. Re:Captain obvious by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    Yes, how DARE HE suggest a country with 18 Trillion GDP provide at least as much for its citizens as two countries with 1 Trillion between them.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  28. get rid of most illlegals by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Seriously, it is long past time to do a compromise bill dealing with illegals in America.
    1) For those that were brought here, and raised in our school, give them a green card, and allow them citizenship for military or vista service
    2) those that brought those kids, OR came here as adults and have American kids here, give them a pink card in which they have no social benefits such as SSI, Medicare, Medicaid, and no citizenship.
    3) send all others home, which is around 80% or more of the illegals. And yes, there are a load of illegals in Seattle
    In doing this, it keeps those that re-invest their money here, while sending back those that are basically outsourcing jobs that can not be outsourced.

    This solves the whole issue up there in seattle.Raising the minimum wage is fine and actually smart. We have way too many ppl on unemployment and all sorts of gov support. Far better to get them working. And yes, it takes an HONEST wage to accomplish that.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  29. Who funded the research by redcliffe · · Score: 1

    Who funded this research? What was the criteria? Did they measure how happy the workers of Seattle were about it?

    1. Re:Who funded the research by Raven268 · · Score: 2

      City of Seattle.

  30. experiment by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

    The states are all supposed to be independent economic experiments, one of the states should try something like dropping the state minimum wage to whatever the federal minimum is, institute state-wide single payer basic healthcare, and promote it all as a business-friendly measure.

    After all payroll costs will drop, medium sized businesses can get out of the burden of being health care managers altogether, a lot of skilled numerate people will be available who would otherwise be filling medical insurance claims (businesses claim they are looking for good people these days), larger businesses can still offer "Cadillac" health insurance top-up plans with claims processing via their own HR departments at lower cost because some of the bases are already covered, and man-on-the-street gets health coverage so does not need to stiff the ER via bankruptcy whenever things go bad.

    Pay for it all with mix of state personal and corporation taxes pitched at a point that makes it attractive to move something better than a McJob into the state.

    --
    Nullius in verba
  31. Lesser of two evils? by GameboyRMH · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm thinking that "don't work at all" may be the lesser of two evils: A sub-livable wage exploits workers and amounts to an unorganized form of corporate welfare. If you keep people from working for such low pay, even if it means less income for them, it cuts off the corporate welfare stream that was available to all companies paying sub-livable wages and ensures that those who still have jobs can support themselves.

    As for those who can't find work anymore? Well, what to do with the ever-increasing number of ever-more-skilled people our lovely capitalist system has no need for is another question, and we won't answer it any faster by papering the problem over with sub-livable-wage jobs...

    --
    "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
  32. A bit more discussion by Raven268 · · Score: 1
    First off, this is from the Evans School at the University of Washington, a well-regarded social science research school, and not obviously partisan, though some of the researchers might be. On the other hand, it is is a non-peer-reviewed NBER report; a preliminary study, not definitive work.

    The report has issues. For a look at some of them, look here https://sccinsight.com/2017/06....

    Also the report focused on small local businesses – the cafe on the corner, rather than the big restaurant chain. Two problems here: big restaurant chains are profitable minimum wage employers and leaving them out is likely to skew the results of the study. But a second one is that the corner cafe is very sensitive to any shift in the economic winds, and Seattle rents have been rising dramatically in a boom.

    So it's really hard to evaluate this work. The objections above, as well as contradicting many prior results may indicate problems. On the other hand, it might be that it is valid. I make the researchers (thought I am not a professional these days) usual plea for peer review and more study.

    The Evans School web page which covers the report is here: https://evans.uw.edu/policy-im...

  33. Re:Captain obvious by Train0987 · · Score: 1

    With tiny, culturally homogeneous populations in comparison.

  34. Re:Companies may be hurting workers by Train0987 · · Score: 1

    They'll have to increase their prices to offset that increase in labor costs, thus negating the reason for the min wage increase in the first place since those workers will be forced to pay more for goods/services.

  35. Re:Slanted headline by Train0987 · · Score: 1

    Except they don't have more buying power as the costs for everything increases to support it!

  36. Re:On purpose by Train0987 · · Score: 2

    What's the point of increasing wages if the cost of everything else increases at the same rate to pay for it?

  37. Re:Expected result, because $15/hr is not a panace by Train0987 · · Score: 1

    Why not increase the minimum wage to $100/hr?

  38. Solution by mysidia · · Score: 1

    "If you're a low-skilled worker with one of those jobs, $125 a month is a sizable amount of money,"

    OK, we done screwed up with the minimum wage increase to $15... let's fix this.
    Let's create a Minimum hours offering requirement - Minimum wage shall be $30 instead for an employee's first week of work with a new employer --- employers must allow employees to work at least 32 hours a week and may not interfere with or penalize an employee for working all 32 hours.

    The minimum wage for an employee will increase from $15 to $20 per hour if during any given month, their average hours per week is less than 32, and if an employee works less than 32 hours per week average during a given calendar month, that employee's minimum wage will be increased by $1 times the difference between 32 and the average hours each employee worked for that entire month, and the employee must be paid that increased minimum for every hour worked during that month;
      if the employee works less than 25 hours/week average, then an additional $1 is added to the minimum wage for the entire month for every hour they worked less than 25; if the employee works less than 20 hours, add another $1, etc....

    Allow 50% of the hour-based increase to min. wage to be waived for work-at-home and autonomous/unsupervised jobs only, Or when the employer contributes for employee health insurance, disability insurance, life insurance, and pension accounts (Defined benefit plan) meeting requirements.

  39. More free hours available. by normanjd · · Score: 1

    A possible positive would be that workers might now have enough free hours to work a 2nd job, IF THEY CAN FIND ONE... The net effect would be more money at the end of the month, but its a big if...

  40. Re:Companies may be hurting workers by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    That doesn't even make sense, unless there is some theoretical business that only minimum wage workers use. Otherwise the impact will be spread out across the economy,

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  41. Re:Captain obvious by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    You know what I tell my kids in this situation? Stop making excuses.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  42. Win, but not the way you think by Solandri · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For service employers who interact with customers (e.g. fast food register operators), this basically means customers have to wait in longer lines. Having more employees working the registers means customers get faster service, but it also means you have more employees sitting idle when there aren't enough customers. Having fewer employees working the registers means customers have to wait longer, pushing some of those customers into time the employees would otherwise be sitting idle. Thus efficiency (in terms of reduced time employees spend idle) is increased.

    For service employers who don't interact with customers (e.g. maids), it just means their hours were reduced. The office decides to have cleaning services come in every other day instead of every day. The floors are a bit dirtier, but it's considered preferable to the higher price of cleaning service. Thus efficiency is increased.

    For production employees, they simply moved production out to someplace with a lower minimum wage. Thus efficiency is increased.

    1. Re:Win, but not the way you think by twistedcubic · · Score: 1

      Yet still your example suggests that customers, not employers, suffer, which boosts the GP's argument. Sorry, but businesses should be rejoicing about the higher minimum wage since this study claims they get more money. But we all know this is bullshit.

    2. Re:Win, but not the way you think by houghi · · Score: 1

      From the customer side, it would mean not going there any more., So that means either getting more people and a bit less for the CEO, or letting the competition get bigger and you go broke.

      Because the work still needs to be done. This is not "Another Brick In The Mall" game.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    3. Re:Win, but not the way you think by Scroatzilla · · Score: 1

      Thus, prices on products and services rise, so the short term wage hike is quickly offset. Thus, low-skilled jobs are replaced with automation where possible. Thus, government interference in the economy has the opposite effect of what was intended. Thus, the "fight for fifteen" folks up their congnitive-dissonance-based rhetoric.

  43. Re:On purpose by fluffernutter · · Score: 1

    Only the cost of products that rely entirely on minimum wage workers, in which case the cost was artificially low anyway. Also many people who make more than minimum wage will also be paying it. People who probably won't even notice the cost increase. I know I don't track the price when I go to a coffee shop. I already know I'm paying way too much.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  44. Minimum wage is a lie by blindseer · · Score: 1

    There is no such thing as a minimum wage. First is that there are enough exceptions to every minimum wage law that someone will find one if they bother to look hard enough. Second is that a minimum wage law only affects those that report their wages, there is such a thing as black market labor.

    One exception to the minimum wage is contract work. If I tell someone I'll pay them $100 to dig a ditch and they grab a shovel and spend a week doing it then this is contract work and not covered by minimum wage laws. If I do the same to someone else and they use a backhoe to dig the ditch and it takes them an hour they still earned the $100 because that's what value I see in having a ditch where there was not one before.

    I was once in some sort of on the job training program where I was to build a webpage and I was given a set weekly rate for showing up three days a week. I once sat down to figure out how much I actually got paid per hour and stopped halfway through once I started to realize just how little I got paid. People in a kind of internship don't have to get paid minimum wage, the employer just has to fill out the right kind of paperwork to get away with it. Then there were the people that expressed astonishment that I actually got paid at all for this work. Unpaid internships are still a thing and people volunteer all the time to do work. I guess I should feel blessed I got paid at all.

    If the first option to avoid minimum wage is finding an exception in the law, and the second is keeping the job off the books then is there another option to avoid the minimum wage law? Sure, the third option is to hire nobody. This means the job does not get created, it's done by some sort of automation, or generally a lot of people are out of work.

    Minimum wage laws are stupid. Why not just declare the minimum wage $1000/hour and then everyone can be a millionaire?

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  45. The bottom line: 3.1% by Gavagai80 · · Score: 2

    The bottom line is that the unemployment rate in Seattle is 3.1% (compared to 5.2% in Washington as a whole), and has actually been going down as the minimum wage increases have taken effect. Clearly the high minimum wage is not leading to massive unemployment as the service industry shutters all businesses and people beg for jobs on the street.

    --
    This space intentionally left blank
    1. Re:The bottom line: 3.1% by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

      It is true people beg on the streets, but for housing or for drugs/alcohol.

      That happens no matter where you live in America.

      --
      -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    2. Re:The bottom line: 3.1% by Rolgar · · Score: 1

      If you read the story, it explains how employers are using part time on call employment, and individuals who are working part time are no longer considered unemployed, so their are less unemployed, because instead of hiring full time employees with benefits, employers have switched to hiring more part timers. If you do the math on all of the people who are making the minimum wage, there are fewer total hours being worked such that individual employees are working less and making less even after the increase of hours.

      If your pay goes up 20% but your hours go down 20%, you end up worse off than before. (compare 40*10=400 v 32*12=384)

    3. Re:The bottom line: 3.1% by AnalogDiehard · · Score: 1

      The bottom line is that the unemployment rate in Seattle is 3.1% (compared to 5.2% in Washington as a whole),

      Please provide the definition of "unemployed" used to generate that number. If the definition does not include those who are no longer collecting unemployment due to their benefits period having expired, then those are far from accurate numbers. Progressives have conveniently omitted this crucial detail for decades to paint a rosy picture. As of this past May, there are over 90 million people in this country who are not in the work force.

      --
      Eternity: will that be smoking, or non-smoking? I Corinthians 6:9-10
  46. Multiple jobs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    But if they are working less, they can get more jobs with that extra time.

  47. Re:Captain obvious by Bartles · · Score: 1

    Sweden and Norway don't have minimum wages, ignoramus.

  48. Re:Expected result, because $15/hr is not a panace by OrangeTide · · Score: 2

    Why not increase the minimum wage to $100/hr?

    Because we'd all get laid off and the economy would go into a recession (or depression).

    When most jobs are fully automated, maybe we should work for around $1000/hr, and work 1 hour a week. In the US we'd need about 125 million jobs to fill for full employment, if half (or more) of the jobs are automated we have some options on how to address that. A minimum wage increase with lots of part time would be one.

    It's easiest to consider labor to be a commodity. It's not entirely accurate, but in terms of market price it has many parallels. It's not unusual for certain commodities to be protected with minimum prices by the government like corn, milk and eggs. And again, the parallels for commodity labor would find benefits to some price control. Of course pure economic analysis of the problem of labor cost is flawed, as it ignores the social cost. Labor is people, human beings, and they create all sorts of complex problems if they aren't employed (labor supply exceeds demand). Humans are not like excess milk that can be dumped to avoid a market crash when you have produced too much.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  49. Re:Reduce hours reduces service by Jhon · · Score: 2

    "Look, if your business can reduce hours without significantly lowering the quality of customer service, then you should have done that BEFORE the wage increase. Otherwise you were wasting your money."

    Increase costs make a business owner look at recovering those costs to something that were acceptable before. You are right -- maybe they could have done this before. Maybe their profit margin was working for them so they didn't bother doing a full analysis of their business to determine if that was the case. What does it matter?

  50. Re:Cheating the system by bws111 · · Score: 1

    McDonald's CEO has total compensation of about $15M. If you cut that to zero and distributed it to the 375,000 people that work for McDonalds, you would give each of them a $40 raise. Not $40/hour. Not $40/week. Not even $40/month. $40 per YEAR. That is not going to get anyone out of poverty.

  51. Wage Deniers by nicoleb_x · · Score: 1

    Looks like the wage change economists need to remind the deniers that this is settled economics. There isn't any room for dissension now that the wage change models have shown the hockey stick effect: as wages increase so does income and general happiness.

  52. The articles I read said it was cut hours by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    and very few layoffs. As for moving out of the city, they can go. There's no shortage of people that want do do business in Seattle and can do so profitably. I keep hearing about these Job Creators creating jobs and how we have to bend over backwards for them. But what's the point if it's shit jobs that border on slavery?

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:The articles I read said it was cut hours by T.E.D. · · Score: 1

      I keep hearing about these Job Creators creating jobs

      That's a common misconception. The word they are actually saying isn't "creators", its "craters". Its an easy mistake; the words sound very similar. But you can always tell from context that they are really saying "Job Craters".

  53. Re:Reduce hours reduces service by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

    There is another article that indicates that while the study was going on employment dropped below 2% forcing wages above the minimum wage level so that the increase had almost no effect because wages had already grown above that point. The UW study had NUMEROUS flaws which were immediately shown right after the researcher went blabbing all over about his cooked results.

  54. As I walk down the street in Seattle by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    I see store after store with Help Wanted signs.

    Sometimes for just one job.

    Sometimes for two jobs.

    Sometimes for 3-5 jobs.

    yeah, sure, we believe you ... NOT!

    (study done in six neighborhoods of Seattle, but not done amongst the super-rich gated neighborhoods which tend not to have any stores)

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  55. Re:Expected result, because $15/hr is not a panace by Uberbah · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Why not bring back child labor and bring back lead paint? As long as this is Ask Stupid Questions day.

  56. Re:Expected result, because $15/hr is not a panace by meglon · · Score: 1

    Way to be a fucking idiot. The choice isn't $15 or $100, and you'd have to be a complete fucking idiot to suggest $100... which, congrats, you are. It doesn't make your argument any better, it just makes your stupidity that much more pronounced.

    --
    Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
  57. Re:On purpose by mark-t · · Score: 1

    If it's illegal to pay less than $15 for an hour of labor, what the hell do people who don't generate $15/hr in value do? They lose their job.

    In practice, no... what happens is that because of an increase in the lowest rate wages, those were below the new wage enjoy a larger amount of disposable income each pay period, which they spend, and in turn infuse the economy, spurring business growth, which in turn enables the companies to more readily pay the higher wage.

    There is a limit to this effect, however... The increase needs to be kept fairly modest for this to occur. Occasional larger jumps in lowest tier wages are okay, as long as they are sufficiently infrequent such that the annual average increase is still quite small. The long term impact of this tends to produce a net benefit to society and does not result in mass unemployment, as frequently predicted by people who look at the data only very superficially.. It is true that there are some who lose their jobs right away, but most will find alternative work within a few months at an increased rate of pay, so in general, more people are still better off in the long run.

    The study to which this slashdot article refers is one of the only studies I've heard of that contradicts this. That doesn't mean it's come to incorrect conclusions based on the data that it analyzed, but I think the method of this study's analysis needs to be examined carefully, because there are many more studies that are saying almost exactly the opposite to this one, and which have repeatedly held up under objective scrutiny.

  58. Re:Or maybe not by Trickster+Paean · · Score: 1

    I did read the UW analysis. And the UW analysis isn't damning at all. It says there was no statistically significant effect for the first minimum wage increase to $11. There was no effect on headcount. Only with the increase to $13 was there a significant effect, and that may have been increased by the timing (at the beginning of the year, when spending and employment decrease after the holidays). And what was the final conclusion? "We estimate an effect of zero when analyzing employment in the restaurant industry at all wage levels, comparable to many prior studies."

    This study didn't prove any of the things you said about the minimum wage. The minimum wage at $11 didn't hurt people, and at $13, there aren't signs that it is hurting people either. You would need to drastically raise the minimum wage before it would seriously begin to affect employment. What this study has shown are small, barely statistically significant distributional effects. Seattle hasn't made a mistake at all.

    The only one going full retard is you.

  59. Flipping Burgers is an Entry Level Job by jasontromm · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Minimum wage is not supposed to be a "living wage." McDonald's and the like are supposed to be the first job a person gets, not a lifetime career. You're supposed to learn a work ethic in a minimum wage job so you can move on and get a better job. $15 / hour prevents people from getting that first job because they have no skills and have to be taught everything. I might be able to support a minimum wage if there was a lower "training wage" for people with no skills in their first job.

    --
    "Politicians always tell the truth, when they're calling each other liars."
  60. Re:Expected result, because $15/hr is not a panace by Waccoon · · Score: 1

    Free market and businesses are incapable of feeding and clothing every person.

    Well, in superpower nations, at least, they certainly can. Whether they should, or whether there's enough wealth distribution to ensure that happens, are different stories.

  61. Re:Cheating the system by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    Except that most "McDonalds' employees" do not actually work for the company which pays the salary of the CEO of McDonalds.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  62. There's more than one recent study by haapi · · Score: 1

    The WaPo article on this was pretty detailed. There are a lot of variables that could be weighted differently, especially lack of survey of large employers and controlling for the "what if Seattle's economy wasn't booming?" question.
    A Berkeley study was also released a week earlier that basically said, "working as designed", so I wouldn't take this study as definitive as opposed to informative.

    --
    Well, apparently, you only have to fool the majority of people for a little while.
  63. $125 by midifarm · · Score: 1

    That's the water level that for which your boss is willing to sell out your livability. #Merica

  64. Economics will prevail - like it or not by pdfsmail · · Score: 1

    This was expected. Focusing on one part of the problem isn't going to fix it, but that way of thinking is a problem in itself that needs to change if you are going to make any reasonable progress in this area.

    Besides, many progressive areas cause this themselves by making the cost of living in these places very high (in one way or another) so naturally they see minimum wage as too little.. Seattle, San Francisco, Denver/Boulder... and yes, it is WAY more expensive, from my own personal experience. Add more government services? Taxes go up, waits get longer because more people use them and quality goes down.

    Furthermore, just because companies make money, it is not their duty to give it away to people they don't need to work for them, while some companies have found effective ways to do this, it just doesn't work everywhere. If you don't like it, come up with a working plan and execute it yourself. I would be just as thrilled as you are to see that happen and I would give you kudos for it, but the chance of it working everywhere? meh.

    You don't have to like the idea of economics, but every change you make will have another impact that, if not thought out well, will be unexpected (or you won't want to believe). Add more government services? Taxes go up, waits get longer for them because more people use them and quality goes down. Is that the quality service you want like other countries and locations, it has been studies, but tends to be ignored until it is implemented and they realize it is an issue. Rent caps? People will get places bigger than what they need leaving less places for larger families and companies won't want to build new homes / apartments because it isn't profitable.. yes it has happened and is proven. Honestly, this issue came up when the wage idea was being debated, did we really think that large conservative corporations were going to really like the progressive idea of forking out more money? Many companies I have worked for JUST make enough profit to pay their employees and keep running, not all are money hoarders. Assumptions like that are dangerous.

    Just keep in mind there is a balance to everything, both sides of that balance matter. Increase wages, employers pay more, they increase costs, in turn citizens (which now have higher wage) also spend more of their wage to buy things.

  65. Unemployment rate contradicts the study by comet63 · · Score: 1

    The unemployment rate in Seattle has fallen from 6.7% in Jun 2012 to 2.9% in May 2017. As noted in the NYTimes, a plausible reason that people are working less hours in minimum wage jobs is that the tight labor market has forced a lot of companies to pay more than minimum wage. That may make the food industry, which the UC Berkeley study says were benefiting important, since those are exactly the sort of jobs that probably are last to benefit from a tight labor market.

  66. You don't say by strikethree · · Score: 1

    A report (PDF) from the University of Washington (UW), found that when wages increased to $13 in 2016, some companies may have responded by cutting low-wage workers' hours.

    So things are never simple and more things are entwined than expected? It is almost as if all of the actual money has been removed from the economy and all that raising minimum wage is doing is rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. Almost.

    I wonder what epic fail is coming that will open up more people's eyes? For me, it was an American Interstate Highway System bridge collapsing and killing people. For some unknown reason, I had always believed that those bridges were the best in the world and properly maintained. The concept of one collapsing would require an astoundingly huge earthquake... but no. It just fell. And now I see the American government in the same light: a fragile, barely working system that is teetering on the edge of collapse because people can only use it to extract more power and wealth for themselves.

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    "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  67. incentive minimum wage increases by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

    Make it a function of maximum compensation, and watch how fast the maximum compensation grows!

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  68. Re:Expected result, because $15/hr is not a panace by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Another answer, one that I think will also appeal to Libertarians and anarchocapitalist, is that $15/hr minimum wage is not a problem for business, because the free market will adapt.

    If the free market is such a pillar of strength of people who hold a libertarian philosophy, then why are they so scared that it will collapse by a slight adjustment? Sure $15/hr is twice the federal minimum wage, but many regions already have $10/hr or more, especially in urban areas. So instead of a doubling (100% increase) of minimum wage, we're really talking about a significant but least extreme increase (33%-50%).

    Would the market adapt if we set it to $100/hr? Probably, but it might take a long time for everything to stabilize (reach equilibrium).

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  69. Re:Expected result, because $15/hr is not a panace by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    if it's a free market, then no, they are not capable. Because not everyone has money in a free market. Not everyone is employed, and not everyone is capable of providing work valuable enough to the free market to be paid enough for the basic necessities.

    There are certainly enough resources in a wealthy nation to feed and cloth everyone. But that cannot occur without some sort of redistribution of wealth, which is something outside of the scope of a free market.

    socialism for the most vulnerable + free market for skilled, able-bodied, and employable is a compromise that is reasonable to most people. But it's the socialism that shores things up to get you to 100%, and not the free market.

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    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  70. Re:Teenagers looking for gas money by Anonymous+Cow+Ward · · Score: 1

    I don't think it's about teenagers having extra money - it's that teenagers are often less productive and have fewer skills or less experience than adults. They tend to be worth less. Making someone pay them a living wage for an adult living by themselves, or a living wage to support more than one person, just means that most teenagers won't get hired at all, and will have to wait later in life to start getting experience.

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    Examine even your most deeply held beliefs. Nobody is always right.