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Chipmaker Nvidia's CEO Sees Fully Autonomous Cars Within 4 Years (reuters.com)
An anonymous reader shares a report: Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang said on Thursday artificial intelligence would enable fully automated cars within 4 years, but sought to tamp down expectations for a surge in demand for its chips from cryptocurrency miners. Nvidia came to prominence in the gaming industry for designing graphics-processing chips, but in recent years has been expanding into newer technologies including high-performance computing, artificial intelligence, and self-driving cars. Its expansion has been richly rewarded with a 170 percent stock surge over the past year, boosting its market value to $116 billion. "It will take no more than 4 years to have fully autonomous cars on the road. How long it takes for the vast majority of cars on the road to become that, it really just depends," Huang told media after a company event in Taipei.
X = something that may or may not happen in a few years.
sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
Way too many edge cases.
Man selling autonomous car parts says big things about autonomous cars.
Warning: Teh poster of this messaeg is lysdexic
Other than his cynicism in blatantly trying to raise his companies stock price self driving cars will never be fully automated until they have a good understand of human psychology as well as the rules of the road and laws of physics. Maybe driving in the nice wide roads and intersections in the US is relatively simple, but lets see these cars navigate a european or far eastern city where its very hard to get out of a side turn unless you push out, or streets that are 2 narrow for 2 way traffic and the automated car is coming down it but someone decides to come up the other way anyway.
And theres the true test - lets see one navigate itself around the l'arc de triomphe roundabout in Paris. Good luck with that Mr Huang!
Linux on the desktop!
AMIRIGHT?
CEOs love to make wild predictions and they're wrong most of the time. I seem to recall Bill Gates predicting that TCP/IP would fail to become the dominant networking protocol. Boy was he wrong!! That was an epic failure of foresight.
We have already passed the autonomous driving hype peak. Honda said four years ago that they by 2017 would have their first AD vehicles on the streets. Right.
We're heading right into the AD winter.
We've already passed the hype peak. We're heading into the AD winter.
It is official; Netcraft confirms: human-driven cars are dying One more crippling bombshell hit the already beleaguered human-driven cars community when IDC confirmed that human-driven car market share has dropped yet again, now down to less than a fraction of 1 percent of all vehicles. Coming on the heels of a recent Netcraft survey which plainly states that human-driven cars have lost more market share, this news serves to reinforce what we've known all along. Driving is collapsing in complete disarray, as fittingly exemplified by failing dead last in the recent Sys Admin comprehensive networking test. You don't need to be a Kreskin to predict the future. The hand writing is on the wall: Human-driven cars face a bleak future. In fact there won't be any future at all because human-driven cars are dying. Things are looking very bad for human-driven cars. As many of us are already aware, human-driven cars continue to lose market share. Red ink flows like a river of blood. Cars with steering wheels are the most endangered of them all, having lost 93% of their core engineerss. The sudden and unpleasant departures of long time factory workers Jordan Hubbard and Mike Smith only serve to underscore the point more clearly. There can no longer be any doubt: Human-driven cars is dying. Let's keep to the facts and look at the numbers. Ford Motor Co. leader Theo states that there are 7000 drivers of their cars. How many users of Honda cars are there? Let's see. The number of Ford versus Honda posts on Usenet is roughly in ratio of 5 to 1. Therefore there are about 7000/5 = 1400 Honda users. Toyota posts on Usenet are about half of the volume of Honda posts. Therefore there are about 700 people who manually drive Toyotas. A recent article put Ford at about 80 percent of the human-driven car market. Therefore there are (7000+1400+700)*4 = 36400 Ford drivers. This is consistent with the number of Ford Usenet posts. Due to the troubles of Detroit, abysmal sales and so on, General Motors went out of business and was taken over by the government who sells another troubled vehicle. Now they are also dead, its corpse turned over to yet another charnel house. All major surveys show that human-driven cars have steadily declined in market share. Human-driven cars are very sick and their long term survival prospects are very dim. If human-driven cars are to survive at all it will be among automotive dilettante dabblers. Human-driven cars continue to decay. Nothing short of a miracle could save it at this point in time. For all practical purposes, Human-driven cars are dead. Fact: Human-driven cars are dying
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Take your pick on AI limitations, government regulations, or customer reticence.
The rules of the road are easy. The problem is that the information input required to make decisions on those rules is visual. And computers still suck at vision. Fix the vision issue then autonomous car deployment should come quickly after that.
Easy to say, not so easy to do.
I don't know why people are so apprehensive about autonomous cars. We need this so badly. More than 600 people die on US roads every week! At this point its clear that people aren't meant to drive because they're too stupid, so this technology should be welcome by everyone.
I see dead people.
This is more fake 'AI' bullshit being said for the benefit of investors and stockholders, who apparently don't know the difference. We do not have REAL AI now and we won't in four years either so you can forget about 'fully autonomous' ANYTHING. Keep you license current, you're going to need it for the rest of your life.
Based on the Honda Sensing system on my 2017 Civic I'd say its more like 40 years away still.
Just yesterday it thought a dead cat in the road required it to apply the emergency braking....
It only detects lane departure about 50% of the time, and falsely activates it sometimes if there are black tar patches on the road.
The folks you should be afraid of is the NADA (National Automobile Dealers Association) as they'll fight self-driving (and potentially self-delivering) vehicles to their dying breath. Oh, BTW, they're one of the largest lobbying groups at both the state and national levels. Expect laws to enable self-delivery to be delayed a number of years due to this boneheaded lot.
We should try to create something like the internet superhighway but for cars :-)
Autonomous cars will be more successful if they can be partitioned away from the pesky human controlled cars. Creating special separted lanes for them would be a reasonable thing to do if we can assume that the flux in these lanes will rise or other benefits ensue (fewer accidents, more personal productivity leading to willingness to pay toll fees benefitting the highway system for everytone in return for not having to drive). If so then everyone, not just the elite early adopters of expensive self driving cars, will benefit from the special treatment of these vehicles in their own high bandwidth lanes.
later on, as these cars dominate, we can move toward integrated systems outside the highway sandboxes.
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
...General Motors chief executive officer predicted that we will have 10,000 x 10,000 resolution for PC video cards within four years.
Five years seems to a magic number....
https://www.pcworld.com/article/2010601/googles-brin-predicts-self-driving-cars-for-ordinary-people.html
I can climb in the back seat and go to sleep, and tell it to wake me when we get there, or take the kids to school.
Its going to have to be full-up AI to do that - converse with it and you don't know for sure if its a machine or not.
I'm thinking 30 years or more... just a guess, tho.
How could a self-driving car do any worse than the way most people drive right now?? I am literally THE ONLY person on the road in PDX who drives the speed limit!! The only one who follows traffic law!!! Yes, I'm the 2002 Odyssey van-- there is NEVER another vehicle that slows down for those speed traps on 99E into downtown Milwaukie, and then that other one on Grand going into downtown. If you've ever seen anyone going 30 at those points, you HAVE seen me. ;) Seriously, given the ridiculously stupid driving decisions that we all see about 387491798372189043217904321.pi times a day, how can a self-driving car possibly be worse than what we have now?
.. Should stick to GPU's.