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Chipmaker Nvidia's CEO Sees Fully Autonomous Cars Within 4 Years (reuters.com)
An anonymous reader shares a report: Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang said on Thursday artificial intelligence would enable fully automated cars within 4 years, but sought to tamp down expectations for a surge in demand for its chips from cryptocurrency miners. Nvidia came to prominence in the gaming industry for designing graphics-processing chips, but in recent years has been expanding into newer technologies including high-performance computing, artificial intelligence, and self-driving cars. Its expansion has been richly rewarded with a 170 percent stock surge over the past year, boosting its market value to $116 billion. "It will take no more than 4 years to have fully autonomous cars on the road. How long it takes for the vast majority of cars on the road to become that, it really just depends," Huang told media after a company event in Taipei.
X = something that may or may not happen in a few years.
sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
Way too many edge cases.
Man selling autonomous car parts says big things about autonomous cars.
Warning: Teh poster of this messaeg is lysdexic
Other than his cynicism in blatantly trying to raise his companies stock price self driving cars will never be fully automated until they have a good understand of human psychology as well as the rules of the road and laws of physics. Maybe driving in the nice wide roads and intersections in the US is relatively simple, but lets see these cars navigate a european or far eastern city where its very hard to get out of a side turn unless you push out, or streets that are 2 narrow for 2 way traffic and the automated car is coming down it but someone decides to come up the other way anyway.
And theres the true test - lets see one navigate itself around the l'arc de triomphe roundabout in Paris. Good luck with that Mr Huang!
We've already passed the hype peak. We're heading into the AD winter.
I seem to recall Bill Gates predicting that TCP/IP would fail to become the dominant networking protocol. Boy was he wrong!! That was an epic failure of foresight.
And yet people still found it cheaper to buy a TCP stack for Windows 3.x from a third party than to switch operating systems.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
Pay? Everyone used Trumpet Winsock which was shareware though very few people paid.
https://tech.slashdot.org/stor...
And of course when Windows 95 came out it had a built in TCP/IP stack.
echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
Pay? Everyone used Trumpet Winsock which was shareware though very few people paid.
There were several stacks, including software from TGV and Chameleon. Trumpet's was by far the worst-performing. It was OK for SLIP or PPP, but total garbage if you were doing Ethernet.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
I only ever used it over a modem, and only really to pick up emails. Back then emails were plain text and probably only a few KB each. So Trumpet wasn't the bottleneck in that case.
echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
For home users that's probably the dominant case. For business users the standard was an IPX network, usually Novell. Novell offered IP-in-IPX tunneling, so you didn't have to use an IP network to get internet access. Microsoft eventually offered their own TCP stack, which gave acceptable performance, but not great. TGV made the fastest stack. Cisco purchased them and had them developing an alternate stack for Windows 95, but they must have figured out that Microsoft was planning to eventually bring NT to the home desktop because they shitcanned that project and turned the developers into cable modem firmware developers, and TGV into their cable modem lab.
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
The folks you should be afraid of is the NADA (National Automobile Dealers Association) as they'll fight self-driving (and potentially self-delivering) vehicles to their dying breath. Oh, BTW, they're one of the largest lobbying groups at both the state and national levels. Expect laws to enable self-delivery to be delayed a number of years due to this boneheaded lot.
We should try to create something like the internet superhighway but for cars :-)
Autonomous cars will be more successful if they can be partitioned away from the pesky human controlled cars. Creating special separted lanes for them would be a reasonable thing to do if we can assume that the flux in these lanes will rise or other benefits ensue (fewer accidents, more personal productivity leading to willingness to pay toll fees benefitting the highway system for everytone in return for not having to drive). If so then everyone, not just the elite early adopters of expensive self driving cars, will benefit from the special treatment of these vehicles in their own high bandwidth lanes.
later on, as these cars dominate, we can move toward integrated systems outside the highway sandboxes.
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
Yeah, I remember when I got out of uni and started working there were still a few IPX and NBF networks. You had Dos machines with a network redirector that allowed you to access networked file servers and network printers.
It was all kind of remarkable actually. Because MS didn't have a viable server OS NetBios was peer to peer. And getting network access to work inside a Dos interrupt handler must have been a nightmare. Bill Gates went crazy at the 64K low memory footprint and so Larry Osterman got it down to less than one KB with some clever code.
https://blogs.msdn.microsoft.c...
https://blogs.msdn.microsoft.c...
echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
...General Motors chief executive officer predicted that we will have 10,000 x 10,000 resolution for PC video cards within four years.
Five years seems to a magic number....
https://www.pcworld.com/article/2010601/googles-brin-predicts-self-driving-cars-for-ordinary-people.html
I can climb in the back seat and go to sleep, and tell it to wake me when we get there, or take the kids to school.
Its going to have to be full-up AI to do that - converse with it and you don't know for sure if its a machine or not.
I'm thinking 30 years or more... just a guess, tho.