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We May Not Have Enough Minerals To Even Meet Electric Car Demand (jalopnik.com)

Citing two reports from Reuters and Bloomberg, Jalopnik reports on the scarcity of metals necessary for electric cars. From the report: [W]hile demand for nickel keeps increasing, half the world's nickel supply is too low in quality to use for car batteries. All of which is going to have seismic effect on the world's suppliers. In short: There will be winners and losers, and the winners will be the ones with the highest-grade stuff -- not unlike, I suppose, the illicit drugs market. "Some of the biggest producers of the higher-grade ores, including BHP Norilsk Nickel, Vale and Sumitomo Corp, are moving quickly to take advantage and seal long-term supply deals with battery producers," reports Reuters. "Among those losing out would be lower-grade nickel mines like Cerro Matoso in Columbia, owned by South32 Ltd and Glencore's Koniambo in New Caledonia, as well as Anglo American's mines in Brazil producing ferronickel."

What of cobalt? Bloomberg sent a writer and photographer to Cobalt, Ontario, about 300 miles north of Toronto, to find out. The town, which began life as a silver town, also is believed to have some cobalt, though no one's really found much yet. The search for a new source of cobalt isn't taking place in just Cobalt, Ontario, of course, as mining companies worldwide try to capitalize on the our electric car future. But the search is ramping up as the world's biggest source of cobalt -- the Democratic Republic of Congo, where about half of all cobalt comes from -- is increasingly unstable, making car manufacturers nervous and cobalt all the more valuable.

341 comments

  1. Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Why is always the MOSLEMS do these attacks?

    The KORAN says JIHAD is a duty of ALL MOSLEMS. It does not make any exceptions, whatsoever. ALL MOSLEMS **MUST** do JIHAD. End of discussion.

    1. Re:Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Why is always the MOSLEMS do these attacks?

      The KORAN says JIHAD is a duty of ALL MOSLEMS. It does not make any exceptions, whatsoever. ALL MOSLEMS **MUST** do JIHAD. End of discussion.

      I had to do a double take on the article I was reading, somehow I think this thread is off topic but I will bite.

      You are correct and I understand why you are an AC. The Quaran does have some quite toxic stuff in it and well as some (bloody obvious) nice stuff as well.

      Rather than a rant how about a few Google searches.
      - european dark ages - pay attention to dates
      - mediterranean wars 600 AD
      - Hindu genocide
      - Armenian genocide
      - conversion by the sword
      - The jizya tax
      - Third Reich allies
      - East Timor genocide

      I will leave you to draw your own conclusions. Funny how Islam always likes to point to the Crusades which was a belated attempt to take back lands which were originally ruled over by the Romans/Christians. Again look it up don't fall for the propaganda and SJW apologists.

      It must be remembered that the majority of Muslims do not take the Quran as verbatim but if you are a Muslim and try to leave (ie. apostasy) you will face ostracization and possible death in some Islamic countries. The penalty for apostasy in the Quran is death. So much for a religion of peace. Again don't take my word look it up.

      BTW. Christians need not be smug since you can easily find plenty of genocide there although not as much as Islam.

    2. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      I voted up, so don't lie for everyone, you tolerant piece of shit.

      I voted it - and you - down, because I'm tolerant.

      Sorry tolerance works both ways and while westernized societies do try to be tolerant within reason many people who follow the Quran religiously are two-faced until they get an advantage. History has proven this, do some searches if you don't believe me.

      There is nothing wrong with tolerance, in fact, it is to be lauded but it is worthwhile learning from history because those who don't will repeat it. Education is the key but it is very difficult when repressive religions make it difficult and dangerous for people to break away from their teachings.

      There is a very good reason for posting as an AC on this off-topic topic since most don't want to put themselves or their families in danger. If it was Christianity then most would post under account names.

    3. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      Tolerance is fairly new to Westernized societies & judging by the rise of rightwing extremists since the 80s, things may be moving backwards.
      Timothy McVeigh & Anders Breivik were good white Christians & the AltRightWingNuts were only too pleased when Trumptards were trying to spread the rumor that Vegas mass murderer & good ol' boy with a bump stock Stephen Paddock was an ISIS agent.
      Not to worry, there's plenty of crazed murderous assholes to go around

    4. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      How did this 'comment' by an unnamed source' even get here? It displays no name, not even A. C., on my screen.

    5. Re:Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Well now, that all conveniently hinges on what you count as 'christian'."
      Since belief and religion are all a matter of "personal witness to the testament of the holy spirit", then it's all about what someone SAYS they are. So if Hitler SAID he's christian, he's christian. If the Unabomber says he's christian, he's christian. If Gandhi says he's christian, we can wonder if he's really Gandhi, but we have to accept that person says they're christian so they are a christian.

    6. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Pascoea · · Score: 1

      https://slashdot.org/~pdavisge...

      Hover over the UID. I thought this was a tech site?

    7. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by GLMDesigns · · Score: 0

      Nobody says that White people don't kill. But how many of the attacks that you mentioned were in the name of Christ?

      You may want to pin some anti-abortion murders on religion. OK. (I would quibble with that, but OK)

      But the question you should be asking yourself is why are muslims killing others?

      All they need to do is live their lives; raise their families, enjoy themselves, and follow the word of God. So why are they killing people? Why blow up markets? And run down people? Don't they want to live and let live?

      And, if their goal is not to live and let live - then what?

      --
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      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    8. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Green+Mountain+Bot · · Score: 1

      Why limit it only to muslims, though? Why not apply the same logic to all the murders committed by right-wing nationalist groups - which far outnumber those committed by muslims in America? Or those by lonely young white men with lots of guns?

    9. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Except I'm not limiting to the US - and why are you?

      London, Paris, Nice. wtf.

      There are always idiots and nutcases. There are always the Timothy Mcveighs and the guy who went after the congressmen who have a beef with the govt.

      But clearly there are a lot of people moving to Europe and the US who have nothing but contempt for us and hold on to really stupid ideas.

      I'm a pastafarian so I have no warm fuzzies for the religous nutcases of any stripe.

      --
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    10. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It shows nothing on mobile. No clicking. Not that it is much of a surprise as buggy as this site has always been. I thought this was a tech site.

    11. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Green+Mountain+Bot · · Score: 1

      Because I live in the US. I don't have some expectation that the US can have any control over what happens in the rest of the world. I DO expect that the US can have some control over what happens in the US. And in the US, muslims of any sort, and in particular radicals, have no political power at all. Right-wing nationalist groups, on the other hand, seem to feel very comfortable with the level of representation they currently have at the highest levels in this country.

    12. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      The issue was compatibility with existing cultures. You see muslims entering wine shops in france and yelling at the store keeper for selling wine on ramadan. And you think this simply "over there?"

      OK.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    13. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by Green+Mountain+Bot · · Score: 1

      I don't see muslims entering wine shops in France because I'm an American. I do see American muslims doing the same things as the rest of us every single day, though. I don't see any reason to think Islam is any less compatible with my culture than any other religion. I will say that I find fundamentalism of any stripe to be incompatible with my culture, but where I live, far and away the biggest offender is Christian fundamentalism, not Islamic fundamentalism. As I said, they have control of much of government here, including at the highest levels. Meanwhile, not a single Islamic fundamentalist holds office anywhere in this country.

    14. Re: Another terrorist attack by a Moslem by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If the store keeper is a muslim, they migt have a legit point.
      On the other hand they likely get complimented out, regardless what origin the store keeper has.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  2. Minerals? by arth1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    These aren't minerals, but elements.
    The ore which they elements may be extracted from are minerals - several different kinds, none of which are mentioned in TFS.

    The elements themselves are not rare. It''s just a matter of paying for the extraction. It won't make batteries hard to find, just expensive.

    1. Re:Minerals? by thesupraman · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If you can find a mine that produces any of these in pure elemental form, then I suggest you lay claim and get rich damn quick.

      Until that time, I suggest that what comes out of mines are minerals, and from those we extract purer forms, which can approach elemental purity at times, depending on requirements. This article is about the mines, so you are simply being a pedant, sorry.

      ' It''s just a matter of paying for the extraction. It won't make batteries hard to find, just expensive.'
      You think that is a useful comment? Hell, Seawater contains all of those elements! we could just extract from that!.
      Good mineral sources have order*S* of magnitude more economic value than 'an element is common' implies, as I am sure you are aware.

      The town of cobalt however is an odd inclusion - I suggest Bloombergs researcher needs up to strung up for that one.

    2. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are extracted as ore minerals. Neither cobalt or nickel are extracted as a pure atoms.

    3. Re:Minerals? by Desler · · Score: 1

      No one is saying cobalt and nickel are minerals. The “minerals” being referenced is the ore they are extracted from. Pedant fail.

    4. Re:Minerals? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Neither nickel nor cobalt is needed for lithium batteries. Tesla batteries contain both, but the Nissan Leaf uses manganese instead, and there are billions of tonnes of manganese reserves.

      We will likely find both better ways to extract ore, and better ways to build batteries. Just ask Paul Ehrlich about betting against human ingenuity.

    5. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      May I suggest words you pull from your ass are asserals then?
      How about we just use the words everyone has been using all along. Ore. Ore is mined in mines. It's not that hard to understand.

    6. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just ask Paul Ehrlich about betting against human ingenuity.

      Or ask the families of those that died on 9/11. Or the families of those that died in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
      Or...

    7. Re:Minerals? by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      I believe his point was that we're not going to run short on supply anytime soon; what we'll run out of is cheap supply. A bit like petroleum: while there's a big price spike when disruption occurs, there's a lot of supply out there that can be profitably produced if the long-term average price will stay up.

    8. Re:Minerals? by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      It's worse than that; neither of Jalopnik's "sources" make the claim that "We May Not Have Enough Minerals To Even Meet Electric Car Demand". Both of the sources are very upbeat about the market prospects, yet Jalopnik (which has long had an anti-EV lean, and particularly anti-Tesla) turns it into a doom story.

      More to the point, the sources say just the opposite of what Jalopnik is claiming. To not put too fine of a point on it:

      UBS estimates that 15 million electric vehicles will be on the road by 2025, lifting nickel demand by 300,000-900,000 tonnes, or by 10-40 percent of the current market.

      Got that? In 7 years, nickel supply only needs to grow by 10-40%. Which is nothing. I mean, great if you're a nickel mining company, but not exactly the plot of a post-apocalyptic movie.

      The Bloomberg article about cobalt, by contrast, was about how the rise in cobalt demand is bringing life back into a dying town. A feel-good story about the current market which, again, Jalopnik turned into doom.

      Here's the basic fact: cobalt is found pretty much everywhere nickel and copper are. In most places, they don't bother to recover it because the market demand hasn't been high enough; it just gets thrown out in the tailings. As the demand and price rise (and EVs manufacturers can easily outspend almost all other demand sources for cobalt, because that ~15% in their cathodes makes so much of a difference), the only thing that has to happen is the addition of more recovery processes to existing copper and nickel mines. Most cobalt today comes from the Congo because their nickel-copper ores have the highest cobalt fractions (although contrary to popular myth, under 20% of the Congo's cobalt comes from "artisinal" mines; most come from big mines from international firms which use modern equipment and processes). But nickel-copper ores pretty much anywhere else on Earth can also recover cobalt, and will to whatever extent is needed to meet demand (in addition to the new demand launching a new wave of cobalt exploration, like that which is happening near the town of Cobalt).

      How price sensitive are li-ion batteries to cobalt? Let's ignore, as ShanghaiBill mentioned, that there are entire chemistries that use no cobalt. Tesla's batteries have 0,22kg per kWh. Cobalt costs $60/kg (and this is during a time when speculators are trying to snatch up supply, so there's been a price spike). So that's $13,2 per kWh. Tesla's batteries currently cost about $180 per kWh; their primary goal is to get batteries down to $100/kWh. So although cobalt is the rarest element that goes into their batteries, it's still not that expensive of a component compared to what they can sell the batteries for.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    9. Re:Minerals? by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      That's Jalopnik's spin. Which is not at all what it says in the Reuters source. The Reuters source says nothing about difficulty to match the (rather meager) 10-40% growth in nickel output required by 2025. It says that only half of nickel producers will be able to cash in on it.

      Heck, the article actually has the opposite tone to Jalopnik's spin: it's full of discussion of nickel miners with mines shutdown or about to go bankrupt due to insufficient demand / too low market price, hoping that the increased demand for nickel from battery manufacturers will allow them to stay open / reopen closed mines.

      Within a few weeks, BHP unveiled plans to retool its Nickel West division to start shipping nickel to battery manufacturers beginning in April 2019.

      The announcement marked a turnaround for Nickel West, which two years ago was in its death throes, with its workforce of 2,000 told that their jobs would end in 2019.

      Eduard Haegel, division chief of Nickel West, expects demand for electric vehicle batteries to account for about 90 percent of the division’s annual output of 100,000 tonnes within the next six years.

      Meanwhile, Vale is looking for a partner in its loss-making New Caledonia nickel complex. It has been in talks with the Chinese battery maker GEM Co, the Financial Times reported.

      “If we are not successful, we’ll have to face the reality, which is this operation is holding the company back,” Luciano Siani Pires, Vale’s chief financial officer, said, referring to the New Caledonian business.

      Plants already shut may get a second chance, too.

      Two with shots at restarting are Brazil’s Votorantim Metais, and First Quantum Minerals’s Ravensthorpe in Australia, which at today’s nickel prices cannot compete but could be profitable if the market continues to climb.

      Par for the course for Jalopnik, mind you.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    10. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I literally came to the comments to talk about Nissan's use of manganese. Thanks for pointing it out.

    11. Re:Minerals? by freeze128 · · Score: 2, Funny

      After watching four seasons of "Silicon Valley", I put very little faith in anyone named Ehrlich.

    12. Re:Minerals? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      "If you can find a mine that produces any of these in pure elemental form, then I suggest you lay claim and get rich damn quick."

      Yea, it ain't that simple, really. Even if it's sitting on the surface as float, the gathering and processing itself can get pricey VERY quickly. *stares at roughly 5 tons of minerals on the patio and scattered about the living room and office and kitchen and bathrooms.*

      To boot, nickel and cobalt? Pfft. Lithium batteries demand either brine water extraction or extraction from lepidolite and pink tourmaline for the lithium, and silicon is ungodly abundant. We also tend to use more manganese, which is quite often found right alongside lepidolite and the associated tourmaline pockets which it tends to contain.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    13. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Got that? In 7 years, nickel supply only needs to grow by 10-40%. Which is nothing.

      Exploration, rights, and creating a new mine or dramatically expanding existing ones is not like deploying a few more VMs or updating your phone. Adding that much capacity isn't "nothing". The physical world is much more difficult, complicated, and bloody. It's a huge undertaking that will cost tens to hundreds of billions and that is assuming it's even possible with current mines.

      If we need new sources expect there to be shortages for the next fifty years. Expect thinly-veiled wars and a few million civilians to die all for a slightly more eco-friendly transportation option for those of us in the west. It's happened many times before in natural resource extraction and will happen again. Hell, it even happened with timber and damned beaver skins.

      Captcha: enslave. How apt.

    14. Re:Minerals? by geekmux · · Score: 2, Insightful

      To not put too fine of a point on it:

      UBS estimates that 15 million electric vehicles will be on the road by 2025, lifting nickel demand by 300,000-900,000 tonnes, or by 10-40 percent of the current market.

      Got that? In 7 years, nickel supply only needs to grow by 10-40%. Which is nothing. I mean, great if you're a nickel mining company, but not exactly the plot of a post-apocalyptic movie.

      Since you're clearly failing to grasp the big picture here, let me point out the fact that 7 years isn't shit. Mind telling me what the 30-year outlook looks like with that kind of demand? Mind telling me what the alternatives are when fossil fuels are depleted? The latter is the reminder of the apocalypse we're trying to avoid here, so demand is going to increase considerably for alternatives, and the minerals they require. We're quite good at underestimating too, and a 40% increase in nickel supply in less than a decade is considerable.

      Capitalistic Greed that has turned current mineral-dependent electronics into disposable objects with 18 month lifespans. At the rate of capitalistic Greed, the future is a disposable EV car replaced every 3 years simply because the manufacturer wants to sustain 60% profit margins. You'll need to take that into consideration too, especially as recycling programs remain optional at best.

    15. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most cobalt today comes from the Congo because their nickel-copper ores have the highest cobalt fractions (although contrary to popular myth, under 20% of the Congo's cobalt comes from "artisinal" mines; most come from big mines from international firms which use modern equipment and processes). Cobalt costs $60/kg (and this is during a time when speculators are trying to snatch up supply, so there's been a price spike). So that's $13,2 per kWh. Tesla's batteries currently cost about $180 per kWh; their primary goal is to get batteries down to $100/kWh.

      Ignoring the very rational basis for your argument, it's clear that AMERICA FIRST is losing TRILLIONS to JIHADDI THUGS and only CLEAN AMERICAN COAL #MAGA can save us. Electric cars use $13.2 per kilowatt! Coal is $0.08/KW! Stop giving BILLIONS TO DUMBOCRATS.! BUILD THE WALL! #FAKENEWS! #POTOS

      More seriously, thanks for doing the math. I was going to make a general comment about "and what proportion of a battery's cost is the raw material (cobalt)?" And you provided the answer of 7%.

    16. Re:Minerals? by rtb61 · · Score: 2

      It will also make recycling a matter of extreme importance. Spent billions mining the stuff, use it once and then dump in into a land fill, pretty fucking stupid. Reality is want valuable mine sites, look no further than rubbish dump. Of course really smart Americans dumped theirs into the sea because fuck fish that people eat and fuck recycling (quit dirty solution producing a quick dirty end). Sending those valuable elements back overseas because you didn't want to deal with the cost of recycling, well, look who looks stupid now.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    17. Re:Minerals? by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      The problems isn't the resources. There are plenty to manufacture all the electric cars you want. The problem is time, and time alone.

    18. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we get a nickel shortage - or a shortage of any material needed for EVs, then those EVs won't be "disposable.". Parts containing rare materials will get recycled - because there will be profit in such recycling.

      People don't throw away worn gold jewelry, they sell it and it get recycled into new jewelry. If extracting minerals from worn-out EV batteries gets cheaper than mining from very scarce resources - then recycling will happen because it is cheaper than mining. Not because recycling is 'green', but because of profit.

    19. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Read the analysis of your own link, Ehrlich could have easily won that bet if different years were used, a longer period of time, or other commodities chosen. IOW, your fapping to human ingenuity is unwarranted.

    20. Re: Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keep on word-wanking, forum-faggots. It's nearly all you've got.

    21. Re:Minerals? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      And, just like with any other mineral extraction, as the price goes up, more expensive sources become economical to mine. Capital becomes available for improving technology. Technology improves, bringing extraction and refinement costs down. And the band plays on.

      --
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    22. Re:Minerals? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Because mineral extraction companies don't go looking for rights for new sources until their existing ones are exhausted? It's common to have sourcing years worth of supply ready to go - just purchase the equipment and hire people to operate it. This plays into the old trope of "there is only 50 years worth of known Uranium reserves!" - that's not because there is only 50 years worth in the Earth, it's because they stopped surveying when they had 50 years worth of uranium at current usage rates, because it's not useful to find 100 years worth and keep it in a filing cabinet for 50 years.

      When the known sources even remotely dwindle, they send out the geologists. And look! More sources! Because Nickel and Cobalt are really common, to the point where Cobalt is often treated as a waste product from extracting other minerals it is found with.

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    23. Re:Minerals? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I wonder what the FUD stories said about lead supplies for lead-acid batteries before basically every car battery ever started getting recycled...

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    24. Re:Minerals? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Most car manufacturers would love to make 60% profit, it's a wild dream for them.

      Recycling is already pretty big and will get bigger because it is profitable. That's always been the case for anything that has significant value. Check how much wrecked Teslas and Leafs sell for, especially if the battery pack looks partially salvageable.

      --
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    25. Re:Minerals? by Ramze · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm not sure how to parse your word-salad.

      You do know that cars today are made mostly from aluminum -- which is almost 100% recycled. There's steel in there, too... which is also almost 100% recycled. EVs are currently dependent on Lithium Ion batteries. Pretty much every electronics store not only has a recycle bin for mobile electronics, but encourages you to use it, too. Why? Well, sometimes they're legally required to... but Lithium Ion battery recycling is the best thing since sliced bread to manufacturers who use them in their products. Ever crack open one of those iPhones or Samsung Galaxies? Most of what's inside by mass is the Lithium Ion battery. Recycling them isn't difficult. Do you have any idea how much cheaper it is to just re-use aluminum, steel, and lithium rather than dig it out of the ground as a raw material to refine?!?!?

      Teslas aren't made to be replaced every 3 years... most electronics aren't -- just phones and tablets as they evolved quickly... and they're just now starting to extend their expected lifespans. Computers used to be the same -- new every 2 years for every business... then every 3... then every 5... now, lots of places have 7 or even 10 year old PCs running Windows 10 just fine. The TREND is the opposite of what you describe. New technologies evolve fast, older ones tend to stagnate and flatten out growth curves and create longer-lasting products.

      Teslas have fewer moving parts and fewer parts that need maintenance, so your basic gasoline powered car has more throw-away parts. The Tesla's biggest expense and liability is its lithium ion battery packs... which they're improving & by entering the Li Ion battery business, they have a stake in improving the batteries and lowering their costs -- which will include recycling the lithium from the old batteries eventually as well. There's no reason a Tesla couldn't run for decades just fine with only swapping out older battery packs to be recycled and replaced with new battery packs.

        Further, the USA has barely scratched the surface of its mineral resources. We have confirmed rare-earth metals and lithium deposits we aren't touching -- because China is mining away just fine for cheaper than it'd be worth for us to bother... especially considering the environmental impact of mining in our own back yards. There is no shortage and no future shortage in sight -- just corporations staking claims to get the largest control over the current sources of raw materials... which is no different than any other time in history. If and when it becomes worthwhile, we'll dig for our own and make our own refineries.... but, more likely, we'll recycle what we have first -- just like with aluminum and steel... and to a lesser degree, copper and other precious metals. We do mostly send our electronics recycling (other than lithium) to China... where they use a nasty process to extract gold, palladium, platinum, and other precious or rare earth metals from motherboards. It's become more profitable to get some of those metals from electronics than from raw ore in mines already, too.

    26. Re:Minerals? by necro81 · · Score: 1

      We will likely find both better ways to extract ore, and better ways to build batteries.

      That was pretty much my reaction, too. When a scarce resource becomes expensive (because of, well, scarcity), we manage to find ways of using less in a product, finding new sources, or finding alternative materials to get the job done. As just one example, look at all the ingenious ways Nazi Germany managed to get around their limited supply of war materials: oil, rubber, steel, etc.

      This is more or less an axiom of economic theory. One would think the same magical-free-handers that say electric cars will never displace ICE cars would understand this applies to batteries, too.

    27. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder how close they're to plasma power plants fueled by trash. I watched a documentary on them a long while back. At the time, they focused on land-fills with low recycling rates so there was lots of paper and plastics to burn, but in theory, the plasma should be able to extract power from "normal" trash. One of the big benefits of this, other than cleanly burning rubbish, was the collection of minerals. It burns so cleanly than the waste is very much just left over minerals.

    28. Re: Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      thank you for speaking the truth

    29. Re:Minerals? by MightyYar · · Score: 1

      Well, it's self-evident that we're keeping more alive than we are killing.

      --
      W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
    30. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As just one example, look at all the ingenious ways Nazi Germany managed to get around their limited supply of war materials: oil, rubber, steel, etc.

      So, we'll just buy stuff from the Rockefellers with money financed by the Bushes? ;-)

    31. Re:Minerals? by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      > I wonder what the FUD stories said about lead supplies for lead-acid batteries before basically every car battery ever started getting recycled...

      Tesla was worried about our oil supplies when it came to petrol driven cars. The American founding fathers were worried about being wasteful with our natural resources.

      The idea that you should have something more than blind faith that the world will work out in your favor is hardly something new.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    32. Re:Minerals? by jedidiah · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      > Well you dumb Trump faggots say shit about stringing people up for being wrong or liars all the time, don't you? Until it's YOU.

      You're projecting.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    33. Re:Minerals? by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 0

      ...Further, the USA has barely scratched the surface of its mineral resources. We have confirmed rare-earth metals and lithium deposits we aren't touching -- because China is mining away just fine for cheaper than it'd be worth for us to bother... especially considering the environmental impact of mining in our own back yards.

      I hope you don't mean the ones in California. Mining is a real industry that produces more than electrons. That's just the kind of thing that California hates and has largely chased / exported to China. Illegals are welcome but industry is despised and pushed out. I suspect it won't end well.

    34. Re:Minerals? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      These aren't minerals, but elements. The ore which they elements may be extracted from are minerals - several different kinds, none of which are mentioned in TFS.

      The elements themselves are not rare. It''s just a matter of paying for the extraction. It won't make batteries hard to find, just expensive.

      The cited element Nickle, is easily purifiable. After the initial Extraction, they use a procedure called the Mond process. They cite 99.99 percent purity.

      http://nickel145.blogspot.com/...

      I couldn't get much further on the cited page in the article because of them blocking my ad-blocker, but it looks like petrofuel car site, which does give me an idea about where they are coming from.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    35. Re:Minerals? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Neither nickel nor cobalt is needed for lithium batteries. Tesla batteries contain both, but the Nissan Leaf uses manganese instead, and there are billions of tonnes of manganese reserves.

      We will likely find both better ways to extract ore, and better ways to build batteries. Just ask Paul Ehrlich about betting against human ingenuity.

      The whole story reminds me of the "Prius Problem" when detractors were claiming that Prius batteries were going to die at 40 K miles, and that you were going to lose any money you saved in gasoline to replace that battery pack. It turned out to be really wishful thinking be the petrofuel crowd.

      Batteries can last, and elements can be purified.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    36. Re:Minerals? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      We will likely find both better ways to extract ore, and better ways to build batteries.

      That was pretty much my reaction, too. When a scarce resource becomes expensive (because of, well, scarcity), we manage to find ways of using less in a product, finding new sources, or finding alternative materials to get the job done. As just one example, look at all the ingenious ways Nazi Germany managed to get around their limited supply of war materials: oil, rubber, steel, etc.

      This is more or less an axiom of economic theory. One would think the same magical-free-handers that say electric cars will never displace ICE cars would understand this applies to batteries, too.

      It's pretty easily explainable by nostalgia and inertia.

      I sort of understand it, as I have a visceral reaction when I walk into a garage and smell the combination of smells that bring back all my pleasant gearhead memories. But somehow these people became stuck in their desire for no change.

      The strange thing is now many Slashdotters now fall into that category. The number of people here who spew hate on Tesla and any power source not coming from coal or nuclear is a little disturbing. Especially when they side with folks who seem to think that you can't purify the element Nickle.

      I'd use the "L" word, but that summons old you know who.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    37. Re:Minerals? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      I believe his point was that we're not going to run short on supply anytime soon; what we'll run out of is cheap supply.

      Probably shouldn't be titled as "We may not have enough Minerals" and "seismic effects".

      If his point was that we're running out of cheap supplies, it might have made more sense to say just that.

      It's actually simpler to write this one off as lying for oil and having the lie serve some folks confirmation bias.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    38. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe the ones in Nebraska

      http://www.miningglobal.com/operations/niocorps-nebraska-rare-earth-mine-anticipates-profit-revenue-176bn

      The Elk Creek project is the highest-grade niobium project in North America, and the largest prospective producer of scandium in the world.

    39. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And Low-quality nickel? You concentrate it and get good quality nickel. Make do!

      Cap: predict

    40. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, you are probably sending your electronics to companies like Umicore Belgium for gold extraction (or maybe Chinese factories that use processes developed by Umicore).

      Those nasty processes are not super environment unfriendly are quite well under control as far as I know.

    41. Re:Minerals? by RogueWarrior65 · · Score: 1

      True but the unintended consequence is the energy required to extract said elements from said minerals. That is, if you can find them where they can legally mined in areas that haven't been placed off-limits by the same environmentalists who are pushing for electric vehicles.

    42. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Further, the USA has barely scratched the surface of its mineral resources. We have confirmed rare-earth metals and lithium deposits we aren't touching.

      As a Brazilian I feel your joy. Size matters. Nice to be a big country, eh? Greetings!

    43. Re:Minerals? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Lead? We used to burn the stuff in our fuel. Forget the tiny bit in the car battery. We consume a shitload of the stuff.

    44. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do know that cars today are made mostly from aluminum

      Are you sure? I've worked on a number of late-model cars, and they appear to be mostly steel (chassis/unibody, suspension, brakes, exhaust, exterior panels. Engine block, yeah aluminum.

    45. Re:Minerals? by Dr_Terminus · · Score: 1

      Well at least electric cars don't require any vespene gas, otherwise we'd really be in trouble!

    46. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >You do know that cars today are made mostly from aluminum

      No, they aren't. My stats are probably off a bit, but a few years ago, by mass, steel was about 60% of the average car. On average, today, aluminum is about 10-12% by mass...but it's definitely on the rise. Aluminum is fantastic for weight savings, but it's roughly 4x cost of steel.

    47. Re:Minerals? by networkBoy · · Score: 1

      That depends, what's the battery lifetime?
      If the battery lifetime is 7 years then those batteries are going to enter the supply stream same as ultra high grade ore.
      Pb-H2SO4 batteries are something like 98% recyclable (and most of that 2% is the casing). I presume that other metal chemistry batteries are similar in their recyclability, so the waste stream actually makes a very large portion of the supply stream once you're past the initial growth period and are in or near maturity.

      --
      whois gawk date unzip strip find touch finger mount join nice man top fsck grep eject more yes exit umount sleep dump
    48. Re:Minerals? by halfgaar · · Score: 1

      Do you have a source for your 100% recycling claims? I know people who worked with the car recycling industry, and they said quite the opposite. Recycled steal isn't allowed in the frames. and recycling is dang hard, not to mention an afterthought. They smash the car to bits and use eddy-current separation to get the metals, but that is by no means pure.

    49. Re:Minerals? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Tesla was worried about our oil supplies when it came to petrol driven cars. The American founding fathers were worried about being wasteful with our natural resources.

      The difference is that the metals used in a car battery aren't consumed. The batteries can be recycled at the end of their life, unlike the oil and other natural resources that are burned away.

    50. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lots of places have 7 or even 10 year old PCs running Windows 10 just fine.

      Nobody doing serious admin work "upgrades" a machine that came with Windows 7 to Windows 10 on purpose.

    51. Re:Minerals? by avandesande · · Score: 2

      It's not even that. There is a large very old copper mine https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... a few hours south of us that is regularly starting up or shutting down depending on the price of copper. The ore and infrastructure are all there it's just a matter of profitability.

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
    52. Re:Minerals? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      If you're making a 60% profit, watch your back, 'cause 'they' are all coming for your market. You'll have two new competitors inside the year, many more if you were in a less capital intensive industry.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    53. Re:Minerals? by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      "Animal, vegetable, or mineral?" "Neither, it's an element, stop playing these silly games!!"

    54. Re:Minerals? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Frames...WTF? Are you a time traveller?

      I know a guy that owns a junkyard. He wouldn't turn a profit without the revenue from Aluminum wheels. Hell, he suspected the hauler was ripping him off once, followed the truck at a discreet distance.

      Pretty much all Aluminum is alloyed and has to be realloyed after recycling.

      They also use magnetic separation after shredding.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    55. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When the known sources even remotely dwindle, they send out the geologists. And look! More sources!

      Thus why carrier pigeons are still on the menu and no wars about oil or land have ever been fought.

    56. Re:Minerals? by halfgaar · · Score: 1

      Second language mistake (frame vs chassis) and profanity aside, I still can't confirm the 100% thing. [1] is interesting though. Still not 'almost 100%', but the truth is, as usual, somewhere in the middle. [1] http://www.worldautosteel.org/...

    57. Re:Minerals? by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Nah, Ol' Musky will start up a new venture to find, travel to, capture, and haul back for processing a large asteroid with a bunch of nickel.

    58. Re:Minerals? by losfromla · · Score: 1

      That's done partly to chase away snowflakes like you. Off to the midwest with you and the other corporatist psychopaths.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    59. Re:Minerals? by losfromla · · Score: 1

      Probably not so joyful if you live in a Favela or a US Ghetto. Enjoy! If you're at least middle class, otherwise, rot and die!

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    60. Re:Minerals? by losfromla · · Score: 1

      True, but sometimes people doing work have to do what the infinitely wise* corporate bosses decree. Because the work may not be serious admin work but getting paid depends on doing what your dead-serious (if stupid) policy tells you to do.

      --
      Only I can judge you.
    61. Re:Minerals? by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Your own link says cars are 'almost 100%' recycled. Which is my experience as well. Cars end in junkyards, who are really good at extracting value.

      First useable parts, then larger pieces of valuable metals, then to the shredder, who will take another pass at extracting aluminum/copper etc.

      About the only leaks I can see are the cars sent to the third world. But I bet those are recycled 'even better'.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    62. Re:Minerals? by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      If you've got a good enough technological lead, and work hard at maintaining the lead, you might be able to pull this sort of thing off. I've seen it happen.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    63. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually any competent admin would not be deploying Windows 7, it goes EoL in just over two years which if far sooner then replacement rate. Your only options are 8 (terrible UI, requires too much user training), 10 (needs GPO work to manage consumer features, and Enterprise which EA customers will have), or abandon Windows.

    64. Re:Minerals? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We had half a century of The Mickey Mouse Club, and somehow people still trust "Donald"s.

  3. But do we have enough vespene gas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At minimum, to handle the increased grid transmission demand we'll have to construct additional pylons.

    1. Re: But do we have enough vespene gas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. That is so incredibly relevant that most will miss it.

      If only we could all see it like this maybe we won't actually end up destroying ourselves.

      Bravo to you Sir.

      Excuse me while I disappear.

    2. Re: But do we have enough vespene gas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What a subtle way to point out a thing. +1, funny

    3. Re: But do we have enough vespene gas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't need vespene gas to construct pylons, only a handful of minerals.

    4. Re:But do we have enough vespene gas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Steel pylons and aluminium wire. No shortage of either. People want more energy, so more construction work. Nothing new there.

    5. Re:But do we have enough vespene gas? by sucko · · Score: 0

      jet fuel would never be able to melt steel pylons.

    6. Re:But do we have enough vespene gas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed. We should get a cybernetics core down and a gateway to get a few stalkers out while also getting a nexus down on the natural.

  4. Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, too by rmdingler · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I know, I know, an odd parallel, but bear with me.

    We simply developed improved technology to recover and refine the oil that was left between the mantle and the surface, and future generations of humans may discover recoverable quantities of petroleum products in the mantle.

    All we know for sure, is that the earth's most intelligent species is ever more clever in a crisis.

    Short supplies of nickel and rare earth metals? Increased profit margins for successful innovation? We'll be roping asteroids at some future price point.

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

  5. Any other users of nickel? by shess · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I guess they expect that the groups mining the high-quality nickel will serve the battery industry *and* all other nickel-using industries? Because that seems dumb, like even a middle-schooler could probably figure out that the high-end nickel will go to expensive high-end uses, and the prices of low-end nickel will rise because the high-end nickel is no longer available for low-end uses.

    But that's just me, I'm some weirdo who doesn't even feel the need to tie nickel prices to illicit drugs for a headline.

    1. Re:Any other users of nickel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any other users of nickel?

      Nickelback and their fans?

    2. Re: Any other users of nickel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cheap costume jewelry might get more expensive

    3. Re:Any other users of nickel? by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      It's Ontario, we've got no shortage of it. The only reason we don't supply as much as we used to is because the mines were outpriced by cheaper mines in 3rd world countries. Ontario was up until the 1960's the largest producer in the world of high-grade nickle ore. Hell search the "ontario ring of fire" it's the remains of a metor impact, chalk full of RE's, cobalt, magnesium, well pretty much everything except bauxite. The current government(provincial liberals) have been wringing their hands over the resource extraction for over a decade with companies lined up and out the door to build mines there.

      Why you might ask? Because they'd rather have a service based economy and not a manufacturing/extraction based economy and have gone out of their way to fuck it all up. The number of companies that have fled to NY or MI to avoid high electricity prices and taxes is staggering. Hell, even with the price of high-grade steel rising the mills sitting in Hamilton wouldn't reopen because the costs are too high.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
  6. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's not going to be okay this time.

  7. Hydrogen. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Stop wasting this stuff (it might be useful for something more important in the future) on consumable car batteries and go straight for hydrogen. There's a massive supply of it in the wet stuff.

    1. Re:Hydrogen. by j-beda · · Score: 1

      Stop wasting this stuff (it might be useful for something more important in the future) on consumable car batteries and go straight for hydrogen. There's a massive supply of it in the wet stuff.

      Car batteries are hardly "consumables", you know. The recycling costs of these elements is certainly lower than the cost to dig them out of the ground and refine them. If their price increases enough to make a hydrogen system financially viable, the batteries already being used will be fairly "mined" for the valuable materials.

    2. Re:Hydrogen. by AaronW · · Score: 3, Informative

      If you think it's bad for batteries, how about the platinum they need for the PEM membranes in fuel cells? While the required amount has been reduced it has not been eliminated and as far as I can tell no suitable substitute has been found that reacts with both hydrogen and oxygen to catalyze the reaction. Also, over time the PEM membranes break down and lose platinum into the water. Hydrogen fuel cells are dead, except in Japan where the government is pushing it heavily. The materials used in batteries are not consumed and are readily recycled.

      --
      This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
    3. Re: Hydrogen. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who said you need to use a fuel cell?

    4. Re: Hydrogen. by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Ah, got it. So 1/2 to 1/3rd the wall-to-wheels efficiency of an EV isn't bad enough for you; you want 1/5th the wall-to-wheels efficiency with a hydrogen ICE.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    5. Re:Hydrogen. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Taiwan has been using Hydrogen fuel cells for a while. Fill them up at 7 Eleven stores.
      http://fuelcelltoday.com/news-archive/2012/november/80-apfct-fuel-cell-scooters-on-the-road-in-taiwan

    6. Re: Hydrogen. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hydrogen is a waste of effort and a waste of resources.

      The only way it becomes viable is after fusion power becomes viable.

      Without that, it's both inefficient and stupid. After that, it's just inefficient.

    7. Re:Hydrogen. by es330td · · Score: 1

      no suitable substitute has been found

      This is the big "gotcha" in technological advancement. Some of the things we do work solely because of some unique property of a particular element for which there is no substitute. This is where the laws of supply and demand break down. Normally increasing price causes additional supply to be produced, but what happens when there simply is no additional supply to be had no matter the price?

    8. Re: Hydrogen. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Innovation, war or first one and then the other.

    9. Re: Hydrogen. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Tesla is claiming closer to 75%

      0.90 (motor and drivetrain) x 0.95 (inverter) x 0.90 (battery) x 0.95 (charger) = 73%

      Electrical grid distribution is 7% in the USA according to wiki, dropping it down to ~68%. Quite a bit better than 33%-50%, but not including generation efficiency, but with more renewable, less of a discussion.

      If we were to include the efficiency of fossil fuel power plants, we'd be about the same or slightly better than a typical gas/petrol car engine. Strangely enough, your 33%-50% efficiency claim closely matches fossil fuel power plants, with the 50% being modern natural gas plants.

  8. Time to mine some asteroids? by MangoCats · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I have a hard time believing we are out of accessible nickel in the crust - maybe it's not economically competitive at this time, like tar sands weren't 40 years ago, but I think it's still there.

    However, as the cost of extracting high quality nickel from the crust increases, at some point it will be cost effective to source it from space rocks. Like solar power in the 1970s, we're not there... yet.

  9. Well then... by Blinkin1200 · · Score: 1

    Maybe a better thing to do is to have a diesel or gasoline engine in the vehicle to generate electricity for the motors that provide propulsion, like a train engine or cruise ship.

    1. Re:Well then... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trains normally draw their power from overhead lines.

  10. You require more minerals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good thing we'll have enough Vespene gas because even depleted geysers continue to produce.

    1. Re:You require more minerals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Too bad we're being zerg-rushed by spics and sand n1ggers.

    2. Re:You require more minerals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Try Australia, we're being zerg-rushed by fucking Chinese locust property investors, fucking the place up terribly.

      See Also: Vancouver, Toronto, Sydney.

    3. Re:You require more minerals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not just those places. The Chinese are buying real estate all over the world, mainly in the major cities (like capitals).

  11. sell dollars buy nickels by turkeydance · · Score: 2

    US nickels have an (illegal) melt value of $0.041...so store some. if nickel goes up, great. if not, still worth $0.05.

    1. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by rmdingler · · Score: 1
      --
      Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

      Ernest Hemingway

    2. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      US Nickels (5 cent coins) are 75% copper and 25% nickel.

      You'd need five ($0.25 at face value) to get just 5 cents worth of nickel at today's prices. I'm not going to hold my breath waiting for that price rise.

      And I have little doubt that the government would take them out of circulation and change the composition long before things reach the point that it becomes economical to melt them. Don't forget there are transportation and processing costs that aren't being considered. Shipping a couple tons (or tonnes) of coins around isn't cheap.

    3. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      Right, but... how are you going to make a profit? Unless you have hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of five-cent pieces - the sort of transaction that might raise a few flags at the Mint - you probably don't have enough potential profit to pay for melting them down and separating the metals.

      If you need a million-dollar bankroll to make a hundred dollars, you're in the wrong business.

    4. Re: sell dollars buy nickels by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Please take all my nickels (and pennies) and do something useful with them.
      They are useless and clog up my life.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    5. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      You seem to have forgotten that nickels (the coins) are 75% copper.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    6. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

      You seem to have forgotten that nickels (the coins) are 75% copper.

      A quick search for "nickel melt value" would have told you that $0.041 is based on the 25% nickel content.

    7. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by whoever57 · · Score: 2

      A quick search for "nickel melt value" would have told you that $0.041 is based on the 25% nickel content.

      Err, No!

      1. Calculate 75% copper value :
              (3.1026 Ã-- .00220462262 Ã-- 5.00 Ã-- .75) = $0.0256498
      2. Calculate 25% nickel value :
              (5.5036 Ã-- .00220462262 Ã-- 5.00 Ã-- .25) = $0.0151665
      3. Add the two together :
              $0.0256498 + $0.0151665 = $0.0408163

      Apparently, you either can't use Google or cannot read. Which is it?

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    8. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by Gussington · · Score: 1

      You seem to have forgotten that nickels (the coins) are 75% copper.

      His $0.041 valuation is based on a 5 cent coin (called a Nickel) being 25% Nickel at $0.026 and 75% Copper at $0.015.

    9. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      You have that back to front:
      Nickel value: $0.0151665
      Copper value: $0.0256498

      So the melt value of a nickel coin today is dominated by the value of the copper. Of course this could change.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    10. Re: sell dollars buy nickels by technosaurus · · Score: 1

      2 nickels + 1 (post 1982) penny = 12.5 grams of "german silver"

    11. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by geekmux · · Score: 1

      US Nickels (5 cent coins) are 75% copper and 25% nickel.

      You'd need five ($0.25 at face value) to get just 5 cents worth of nickel at today's prices. I'm not going to hold my breath waiting for that price rise.

      The only thing we need to take away from your clarification here is understanding just how much copper we're pissing away with nickel by minting fucking nickels. The sudden irony of "nickel and dime you to death" is like a slap to the face.

      And I have little doubt that the government would take them out of circulation and change the composition long before things reach the point that it becomes economical to melt them.

      I have little doubt that your confidence in the government is utterly false. If you thought pressing nickels was wasteful and pointless, might I remind you the government continues to lose money minting fucking pennies.

    12. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, we continue to mint cents and we also continue to print one dollar notes.

      In a time when many countries on the Euro have stopped minting one cent coins and encourage or allow, even require rounding on cash purchases; and countries like Canada, Australia, and the UK have stopped printing their $1 and £1 notes and replaced them with long lasting coins. Coins that cost a fraction, over their lifetime, of what it costs to keep notes in circulation.

      All the rubes and hicks in the flyover states force us to keep minting cents (and nickels) because of their irrational fear that if we force rounding by eliminating the cent that they might lose 15 cents over the span of a year. Never mind that fucking statistics says otherwise. And the sleaze bags force us to keep printing dollar notes so they can keep tipping strippers with dollar bills that, when adjusted for inflation, are barely worth 25 cents in 1980 dollars. Deity forbid they should tip those girls with $2 notes instead. Fucking cheapskates. That and keeping the Dalton paper company swimming in black ink supplying the paper for our currency. Who owns them these days. I bet it's the Koch brothers.

      So instead we keep flushing millions of dollars down the drain minting cents and printing dollars.

      Hint to rubes and hicks: If you don't want people to think of you as rubes and hicks, stop acting like fucking rubes and hicks. E.g. Learn some statistics. Also don't vote for Nazis and the KKK. You'll feel better about yourself almost immediately. I can pretty much guarantee it.

    13. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you respond to the wrong post? Because what you posted confirms what SlaveToTheGrind said unless I'm missing something. a 25% nickel, 75% copper nickel has a melt value of $0.0408, which rounds to 4.1 cents, as the GP said.

    14. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

      Apparently, you either can't use Google or cannot read. Which is it?

      You're deflecting, and understandably so. Let's review:

      1. GP said that nickels have a melt value of $0.041.
      2. You pointed out that nickels are 75% copper, apparently fancying yourself to be clever.
      3. I suggested you confirm for yourself that the melt value of $0.041 was based on 25% nickel content, not 100%.
      4. You did so and posted a link.

      Seems like we're all in agreement except for the you being clever part.

    15. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't have to do it yourself. If the price of nickel rises enough, people who DO have access to the facilities to recycle the coins will begin offering more than face value. If a foreign company can save money by using US coinage as a source of ore, they will.

    16. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      $0.041 was based on 25% nickel content

      That statement is either untrue or misleading, depending on how charitably one reads it.

      Your statement suggests that the melt value of $0.041 was due either entirely or mostly to the value of the nickel, when most of the value of the metals in a nickel is in the copper.

      To look at the context, one should look further back in the thread, where there was a suggestion to buy nickels and melt them down, expecting an increase in the value of nickel would give an increased value.

      My point was to highlight that any increased value of the metals in a nickel coin due to nickel price rises would be small, because, at present, the value of the copper dominates the melt value. You tried (and continue to try) to deflect from this point.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    17. Re:sell dollars buy nickels by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

      That statement is either untrue or misleading, depending on how charitably one reads it.

      Um, yeah. Look around the thread and note that the other person who didn't have turf to protect got it just fine. You're the only one feigning confusion, for reasons that are clear.

      To look at the context, one should look further back in the thread, where there was a suggestion to buy nickels and melt them down, expecting an increase in the value of nickel would give an increased value.

      Yup.

      My point was to highlight that any increased value of the metals in a nickel coin due to nickel price rises would be small, because, at present, the value of the copper dominates the melt value.

      Wow, all that from "[y]ou seem to have forgotten that nickels (the coins) are 75% copper." Talk about leaving your options open.

      In any event, you've now pivoted to attacking a straw man. OP never said the melt value would increase proportionately to the price of nickel -- simply that there would be an increase. That's true because... well, math.

      You tried (and continue to try) to deflect from this point.

      It's pretty tough to try to deflect from a point before you make it.

      Thus endeth the Critical Thinking 101 lesson for this thread. Happy trails.

  12. The Congo? by Templer421 · · Score: 1, Funny

    Would you really miss it? Can you point to it on a map?

    Just strip mine the whole thing, problem solved!

    1. Re:The Congo? by leonbev · · Score: 1

      Yep... it sounds like it's time for the US to "bring freedom" to the oppressed Congolese people, so we can get those lucrative mining rights before the Russians and Chinese do!

    2. Re:The Congo? by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Good luck militarily occupying a thick jungle the size of western europe that's already covered in brutal militant groups.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    3. Re:The Congo? by technosaurus · · Score: 1

      Where are those agent orange stockpiles again?

    4. Re:The Congo? by Opyros · · Score: 1

      King Leopold II, is that you?

  13. There is no country named Columbia by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Cerro Matoso is in Colombia.

  14. Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    It is like catalytic converters, another reason we need to get rid of internal combustion engines. The palladium and rhodium make them expensive and at some point will be a problem.

    Batteries have problems that cannot be solved, the primary are weight and time to recharge. A 200 mile range for a car is not so bad unless it takes a evening to charge. Then you really want a 400 mile range, a compromise for a days drive. Yes, there are technologies for fast change, but even these are measured in hours, not minutes.

    I suspect at some point we will have hydrogen fuel cells. The storage of the hydrogen is likely to be the killer app for carbon nanotech, as we don't want to substitute one waste of metals for another. The hydrogen can be generated in situ at home or the filling station with wind or solar power, so no dangerous tanks like with gasoline. One suspects will take longer to absorb the hydrogen in the substrate than simply fueling a car, but it could be get down to much less than an hour. And the substrate hopefully will be much more durable than a battery, so we won't be looking at paying the entire residual value of the car as is the case with batteries in a car.

    1. Re: Batteries are a bridge by orlanz · · Score: 1

      My bet is on Aluminum batteries for the long run. Nearly perfect charge storage. Plenty of it. Totally recyclable. Lightweight. Won't corrode the container. Doesn't lose charge over time (much).

    2. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

      Except that they don't take an evening to charge. The Model 3, for example, charges at about 420 mph in the bottom half of its SoC on Tesla superchargers. And according to EPA docs it's capable of taking up to 525A, which is more like 700-800mph peak.

      Yes, they take an evening to charge at home, but what does that matter? You take ten seconds to plug in, and then you don't think any more about it; your car is full the next morning.

      As for weight: the Model 3 SR is slightly lighter than average for its class. The LR is heavier than average but far from the heaviest. Either way, there's nothing excessively heavy about them.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    3. Re:Batteries are a bridge by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Batteries have problems that cannot be solved, the primary are weight and time to recharge.

      You statement is about as dumb as those of the article. If you take theoretical battery energy densities (theoretical maximum recharge rates are basically unlimited), you will find that are massively better than what is needed. If you look at batteries that can actually be manufactured at this time, they are below what is needed for many applications, but there is no sane reason to believe there will be no improvements. Your "cannot" only shows you have no clue what you are talking about. Now, if we had theoretical maximum energy densities and recharge times that were too low, you would have a point, but that is most definitely not the case.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    4. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many Amp/Hr is 420mph.

      Do you think as you type? Proof read before submit?

      Major failure between your ears.

    5. Re: Batteries are a bridge by Zone-MR · · Score: 1

      Miles per range per hour of charging?

    6. Re:Batteries are a bridge by DarkVader · · Score: 1

      Exactly. I'm not driving a full electric yet, but I used no gasoline today, and I'm charging at home from a 20A 120V socket. My car is already fully charged after today's driving.

      And it doesn't take 10 seconds to plug in, it's maybe three if I'm being slow about it..

    7. Re:Batteries are a bridge by blindseer · · Score: 1

      I suspect at some point we will have hydrogen fuel cells.

      What? We already have them. Oh, you mean in cars. That's not happening. Hydrogen is very difficult to store and transport, unless bound chemically to something else. I'll get back to that.

      The storage of the hydrogen is likely to be the killer app for carbon nanotech, as we don't want to substitute one waste of metals for another.

      The best way we have to store hydrogen now is when bound to something else. Water works well to "store" hydrogen, as in being bound to an oxygen, but that's not much for a fuel. Binding hydrogen to a nitrogen or carbon works well as a fuel though. There's a reason why there is so much research into fuel cells that can run on methane and methanol, it's easier to solve the problem of extracting the hydrogen from these chemicals than to store pure hydrogen. The great thing about storing hydrogen by binding it to a carbon, we've been using hydrogen bound to carbon as fuel for a very long time. If we can make hydrogen cheap enough to use as a fuel then we can bind it to carbon and use it immediately as a fuel, no fuel cells needed.

      The hydrogen can be generated in situ at home or the filling station with wind or solar power, so no dangerous tanks like with gasoline.

      If you think that handling hydrogen is easier and safer than handling gasoline then I'm staying very far away from you. The hydrogen tanks will not be eliminated, the car has one. The car will need one if the fuel cells are going to propel the car.

      Also, if you think that wind and solar is going to work for filling up a car for a daily driver then I suggest you check your math. Someone did do the math and it's not an easy problem to solve.
      http://withouthotair.com/

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    8. Re:Batteries are a bridge by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      I suspect at some point we will have hydrogen fuel cells.

      What? We already have them. Oh, you mean in cars. That's not happening.

      Hydrogen is a dumb fuel, but it's already happening. You can lease the Honda Clarity FCV in California and last I heard, they were giving away up to $15k in free fuel every year. Honda and GM have a partnership which is supposed to make hydrogen fuel cells affordable in the next generation. While Honda is putting vehicles on the road and getting acquainted with the issues involved in putting hydrogen fuel cell cars in the hands of customers, GM is putting their efforts into a military program involving modular vehicles with multiples of the same cells that will go into road vehicles. The military wants it because the vehicles are very quiet, and because our soldiers tend to spend most of their time in the desert and the fuel cell produces drinkable water, and GM's system is set up to capture that.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    9. Re: Batteries are a bridge by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      They'll probably also use some potato extract in there.

    10. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As for weight: the Model 3 SR is slightly lighter than average for its class. The LR is heavier than average but far from the heaviest. Either way, there's nothing excessively heavy about them.

      I would like to see a source for the average weight you compare to. Very few cars weigh more than 1600kg, typically only the large engine models of large cars.

    11. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      I try to be fair. For example, I don't say "it takes 1 minute to fill a gasoline car" because you have to factor in the time detouring to the station, decelerating, pulling into the pump, getting out, paying, waiting for confirmation, taking the gas cap off, getting the pump, then filling, then doing most of those steps in reverse to get back en route and up to speed toward your actual destination. Which makes gasoline filling times more like 5+ minutes. But if you're going to be realistic about all gasoline times, you also need to be realistic about all charging times, not just the actual time to connect the charge cable.

      (That said, 10 seconds is probably still too pessimistic on the EV side ;) )

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    12. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      I would like to see a source for the average weight you compare to. Very few cars weigh more than 1600kg, typically only the large engine models of large cars.

      That's precisely the point - the larger engine models. Most entry-level luxury vehicles - your BMW 3-series, Audi A4, Mercedes 350, etc - come in many variants. The lowest power gasoline versions? Yeah, they're usually around 1600kg. But when you start getting into the high power engine options, the TDIs, the hybrids, and on and on, you start adding a couple hundred kilograms.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    13. Re:Batteries are a bridge by cheesybagel · · Score: 4, Informative

      Hydrogen fuel cell cars are a boondoggle. You just need to read about it to know why it makes no fucking sense at all. Last I heard they weren't selling the Honda Clarity FCV to anyone, it's fricking expensive, they only rent it for experimental purposes to collect the user data.

      The technology the Honda Clarity FCT uses IIRC is basically compressed hydrogen gas storage in a composite wrapped tank, and a PEM fuel cell (which is made with platinum). The platinum content alone makes the car outrageously expensive to manufacture.

      You might say: "But cheesy, there are other fuel cell technologies." Sure. there are SOFC fuel cells, great for stationary applications, on a car they run too hot and are too brittle. Or Molten Carbonate fuel cells. Also terrific for stationary applications, but require minutes to heat up before they even generate power. It's a boondoggle. I won't even mention the hydrogen gas storage and transportation issues because, well, I don't feel like it. You can read about it in the web.

    14. Re:Batteries are a bridge by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      PS: Ok, I didn't know there was a 2016 model. So I guess it's available for sale now. But it basically still costs $60k.

    15. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 2

      When people think that getting 400 miles of range from a vehicle after one hour of charging, and consider this an "improvement", have a mental block on reality. I can "charge" my Ford truck in 5 minutes, and get about 350 miles from that.

      Yes, versus a couple seconds. Why you want to have to spend 5+ minutes detouring to a gas station, in whatever weather, paying high prices and breathing in carcinogenic evaporating gas drip fumes, rather than spending a couple seconds plugging in in the comfort of your own home, is beyond me.

      You clearly seem to only want to talk about long trips rather than your everyday life. Which is silly. But let's do that.

        * Trips shorter than the vehicle's range take.... a couple seconds to charge. Just a plug-in at the other end.
        * Trips a bit shorter than double the vehicle's range only take a single stop en route. We're now getting to the point of a half day's driving.
        * Only in "whole day driving" trips does the charge speed have a relevant effect on trip time.

      Except that, not really - unless you're driving like you're not supposed to. There's a reason why, for example, that European commercial drivers are legally required to have at least 45 minutes of breaks for every 4 1/2 hours of driving (split up as they choose) and can lose their license if they don't: it's not safe to drive all day with no or minimal stops. You're supposed to stop to get out and stretch / walk around a bit, to eat, to use the restroom, etc. At 420mph, a half hour meal break is 210 miles (three hours driving). At 700-800mph? Much less.

      But top reiterate: long trips are the exception for the vast majority of people, not the rule. In their everyday lives, EVs take vastly less of your time.

      Where it matters though is that I'd be tied to the range of my car on a single "charge" unless I can find a place to fill up.

      Welcome to late 2017, where global fast charging networks are a thing.

      With so much of our electricity from natural gas it seems logical to me to spend the money on getting the best of both worlds from natural gas.

      It's not. Power plants burn natural gas over twice as efficiently as a NG car (transmission / distribution / battery / motor losses are each minimal), emit much less per unit power, and buy the gas for a lot cheaper than you do at home. Natural gas also is a minority of your power generation (a large minority, but still a minority).

      People tend to park their cars at night and drive when the sun shines.

      It depends entirely on what type of charging station you're talking about. Even if you drive through a typical suburban neighborhood during the day and you'll see lots of cars out, and that's ignoring those in garages. But beyond that, there's also workplace charging, charging at stores / malls, charging at fast chargers (with battery buffers), and so on, all of which are generally done during the day.

      To accommodate this means charging up a battery during the day and then using this battery at night to charge the battery in the car.

      Are you under the mistaken impression that most people with solar installs are off-grid?

      Grid demand is highest during the day, lower at night. If you're providing excess power during the day and consuming more than usual at night, you're helping the grid.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    16. Re:Batteries are a bridge by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

      Then again at least in the UK it also seems to be lease only. Even for the 2016 model. So... What gives?

    17. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 3-series starts out at 1475 kg, the A4 at 1395 kg and the Mercedes 350 does not exist. The Mercedes-Benz C-class (a competitor to the 3-series and the A4) starts at 1395 kg. However, we are now unfairly comparing fairly luxurious cars with one that is extremely bare-bones in terms of equipment. Cars more similar to the Tesla Model 3 in terms of equipment and refinement rarely exceed 1300kg.

    18. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you ever been at an actual petrol station? Most of them are located right next to a motorway, with slip roads. A detour is rarely needed.

    19. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The M3 weighs about 3400 lbs if I recall correctly, it's about the most powerful version of a 3 series you're going to find. It's designed to be light, powerful and fast. And when I say fast, I don't mean away from a stoplight like the Teslas, I mean on a track. Isn't there that video of a Tesla getting smoked on a track by a ford fiesta or something similar because the Tesla batteries overheated almost immediately and the car put itself in to safety mode?

      When talking Tesla, never compare it to any high power option, it just isn't. It's impressive off from a stop light, but it overheats to easily to be any good in a race.

    20. Re:Batteries are a bridge by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Then again at least in the UK it also seems to be lease only. Even for the 2016 model. So... What gives?

      They are not sure that maintenance will not become a boondoggle, so they are only offering a lease. But they are offering it under excellent terms, so that there are takers. Maybe it will all come to nothing. I don't think so though, I have a higher view of Honda's competence if not GM's.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    21. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Exiting and re-entering the freeway takes a while, especially during commute traffic. Most Americans have long freeway-based commutes.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    22. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The time spent decelerating and driving to the pump and merging back in traffic on the motorway from the pump is small compared to the time spent pumping petrol and paying for it, though. I can't imagine that that would be any different in America.

    23. Re:Batteries are a bridge by blindseer · · Score: 1

      You clearly seem to only want to talk about long trips rather than your everyday life.

      No, I was talking about getting the advantage of filling up at home overnight for a daily commute AND still getting the ability to get a quick fill up on long trips. I can do that with natural gas and not have to bother with the complexity and cost of an electric hybrid. If for some reason a person is unable to get natural gas at home, such as people that live outside city limits, they can get an electric hybrid which has the electric range for the daily commute and still have the ability for fast refill on long trips.

      There's a reason why, for example, that European commercial drivers are legally required to have at least 45 minutes of breaks for every 4 1/2 hours of driving (split up as they choose) and can lose their license if they don't: it's not safe to drive all day with no or minimal stops.

      I'm not a commercial driver. Even then when I go on long trips I tend to not do so alone. We'll switch out drivers so no one is driving tired.

      Are you under the mistaken impression that most people with solar installs are off-grid?

      No, I was under the assumption that solar energy was supposed to be a major contributor to the electrical grid, as so many people keep telling me is "inevitable". If we assume that 1/3rd of our electricity is from solar, and electric cars are the norm, then we are going to see grid scale batteries being used to charge electric car batteries every night. That's a lot of batteries.

      Grid demand is highest during the day, lower at night. If you're providing excess power during the day and consuming more than usual at night, you're helping the grid.

      That helps until the wind doesn't blow, since we're having 1/3rd of our electricity from wind power now. This might help the grid but it's not helping the environment. Solar and wind need batteries, adding batteries means adding to the carbon footprint. If we want "green" electric vehicles then we need nuclear power. If you think nuclear power is going to be used to charge up these electric cars at night then perhaps we can agree on more things than we disagree. Lacking nuclear power we see that battery electric vehicles are not any more "green" than using fossil fuels.

      It's not. Power plants burn natural gas over twice as efficiently as a NG car (transmission / distribution / battery / motor losses are each minimal), emit much less per unit power, and buy the gas for a lot cheaper than you do at home. Natural gas also is a minority of your power generation (a large minority, but still a minority).

      That's assuming that the natural gas is being burned in combined cycle plants. If natural gas is the back up for wind and solar then it will be burned in turbines, which get 1/2 to 1/3 the efficiency of the combined cycle plants. In other words, in the ballpark of how much natural gas would be burned in the NG car compared to having to charge up a BEV car from those backup natural gas plants.

      The resources needed to build all these batteries means a HUGE carbon footprint. This is often overlooked on claims of solar power being green. When the claims of solar energy being unreliable is brought up the solution is always batteries but the carbon footprint those batteries have is not added in. Battery backed solar has a carbon footprint no better than natural gas. With natural gas cars we can have slow over night "chargers" at home, and quick fill "chargers" on long trips. The carbon footprint of these natural gas cars is half that of a gasoline burner (some claim as low as 20%), or about the same as a solar powered BEV.

      Welcome to late 2017, where global fast charging networks are a thing.

      They will never be as fast as fueling from natural gas, gasoline, or diesel fuel. You can make your claims on how this is irrelevant all you like but reality tells me that this is important to people.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    24. Re:Batteries are a bridge by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      The lowest power gasoline versions? Yeah, they're usually around 1600kg.

      Shave about 300kg off and you'd be right.

      Audi A4: 1295kg
      BMW 318i: 1300kg
      Mercedes: Well that one you quoted is 1600kg but at more than 100bhp more than the other cars you listed. The actual Mercedes with a low power gasoline engine is a C 180 which is 1350kg.

      All three of those cars or the lowest power ones from their respective manufacturers too. You don't define luxury by "difficult to reverse parallel park"

    25. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, they take an evening to charge at home, but what does that matter? You take ten seconds to plug in, and then you don't think any more about it; your car is full the next morning.

      Said the Progressive who thinks everyone has a nice comfy garage for their precious. Apartment dwellers hope and pray that the cord hasn't been unplugged by some asshole or if there's even a plug available.

    26. Re:Batteries are a bridge by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      Unless you're extremely (un?) lucky there is a gas station between home and the freeway entrance (in one direction or the other). I'm a 2 minute drive from the interstate yet there is a gas station on each side of the road in that distance.

    27. Re:Batteries are a bridge by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Lacking nuclear power we see that battery electric vehicles are not any more "green" than using fossil fuels.
      Why are you writing nonsense like this?

      the carbon footprint those batteries have is not added in. Battery backed solar has a carbon footprint no better than natural gas.
      Care to explain which law of ohysics or chemistry causes that?

      How can you be such an idiot? It is beyon me!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    28. Re:Batteries are a bridge by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Hiw many kilograms of platinum are in suhc a car, and how much is that in dollars?
      Are you sure it is more than in your combustion engines exhaust scrubber?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    29. Re:Batteries are a bridge by blindseer · · Score: 1

      How can you be such an idiot? It is beyon me!

      Ah, I see my favorite forum stalker is back. Still using insults, bad typing/spelling, and no citations, in his posts.

      Tell me something, what is the carbon footprint of solar with storage? I lost my references so I sadly cannot provide my citations until I find them again. If solar with storage does in fact have a lower carbon footprint than natural gas then you have something to refute my claim, no?

      Care to explain which law of ohysics or chemistry causes that?

      It's more than just "ohysics" and chemistry but we'll start there. Making solar collectors and batteries takes a lot of energy, not much way around that, and currently that means burning a lot of coal to get that energy. Perhaps in the future we will have an energy infrastructure in the future that does not release so much CO2 to make the solar collectors and batteries but until then this means solar with storage has the carbon footprint of natural gas. One way to lower CO2 for making batteries right now is to use natural gas, because if we only cut CO2 output in half then at least we can save on money. Another is to use nuclear power, even with the need for natural gas for peak loads it's better than solar with storage on CO2 output and cost. Lastly we can spend piles of money on building solar with storage in the hope prices come down and someday, perhaps decades later, we have enough solar and storage that we hit a tipping point where we are actually lowering our CO2 output.

      This "law" that keeps solar with storage from saving on CO2 is economics. If we have batteries that are cheap enough to use on a grid scale then the utilities aren't going to use expensive solar to charge them up, they are going to use cheap and reliable coal, nuclear, and natural gas. If there is savings on CO2 from solar with storage then the savings comes from the storage, not the solar. Running natural gas boilers uses 1/3 to 1/2 of the fuel for the same energy output as turbines. We'd save on costs and CO2 by combining natural gas with storage. Using coal with storage means getting to use real cheap coal and still being able to load follow with the storage, no expensive turbines needed. Coal with storage might not save on CO2 output but electricity would get real cheap. Combining nuclear with storage means CO2 output lower than solar, costs lower than solar, and no reliance on expensive CO2 spewing natural gas turbines either. Add some cheap wind anywhere in this and prices stay low because wind is cheap so long as people choose their locations wisely, and CO2 will still be low.

      The CO2 footprint of the storage is all based on the source of the energy to make it. It's a bit of a catch-22. We can't use solar to make batteries with a low CO2 output because without low CO2 batteries solar is just a proxy for cheap natural gas and coal, meaning it's not "carbon free" in the least. If we use nuclear to make those batteries then solar not only looks redundant, since there's no cost or CO2 savings on throttling nuclear down when the sun shines, but once the batteries are made, which are required to make solar reliable, then you have batteries to allow nuclear to load follow.

      If we could just leap into solar with storage then it might, maybe, perhaps, make sense economically and in reducing CO2 but to get there means transitioning to nuclear or natural gas. Once that infrastructure of natural gas, nuclear, and batteries exist then solar power offers nothing.

      Maybe if solar got real cheap, and I mean something like 1/3 the price of nuclear and natural gas, then solar with storage might make sense. But solar is not 1/3 the price of nuclear and natural gas. It's more like double or triple.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    30. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      I literally don't have the time to look up all of the vehicle curb weights right now (I've done it on many other threads), but just as an example: Audi A4 is 3626 pounds base curb weight (1644kg), not 1295. 318i is a smaller vehicle than Model 3, and poorer performing. Even the Mercedes doesn't perform as well as the Model 3 in its base version.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    31. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I literally don't have the time to look up all of the vehicle curb weights right now (I've done it on many other threads), but just as an example: Audi A4 [caranddriver.com] is 3626 pounds base curb weight (1644kg), not 1295.

      The website you linked to only lists the large engine options. The 1.4 TSI (the base model petrol engine) is ignored completely.

      318i is a smaller vehicle than Model 3, and poorer performing.

      You brought it up. Moreover, it only performs worse in one metric that is completely irrelevant in everyday driving (straight-line acceleration). In other ways, it is a much, much better car. The same is true for the Mercedes C180.

    32. Re:Batteries are a bridge by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The amount of energy needed to make solar cells isn't that significant. It can't be. Energy costs money, and therefore energy used in manufacture all the way back along the line has to be accounted for in the sale price of the solar panel. If a solar panel will pay for itself fairly fast, that means it generates a lot more electricity than was used in its manufacture.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    33. Re:Batteries are a bridge by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Audi A4 TFSI 1.4 Kerb weight 1295kg from Audi's own website. Look it up.

      and poorer performing

      Oh I thought you said "lowest power gasoline versions". Must be hard to play sports with those goalposts running around the field.

    34. Re:Batteries are a bridge by blindseer · · Score: 1

      If a solar panel will pay for itself fairly fast, that means it generates a lot more electricity than was used in its manufacture.

      I don't dispute that. Now, go look at what it would take to get 24/7 power from an energy source that produces power for something like 6 to 8 hours per day. That means very large batteries. If one is lucky enough to have access to climate and geography suitable for pumped hydro storage then, congratulations, you just might be able to get your 24/7 electricity with low CO2 and low cost.

      One problem I foresee is that the best places for a dam will also get a lot of rain. Rain clouds and solar panels don't go well together.

      I emphasized "solar with storage" because without storage solar is next to worthless. A community cannot maintain a modern society with unreliable power. Of the few places where I saw an honest analysis of solar with storage the price was just sky high and the carbon footprint not much better than the far cheaper natural gas.

      Again, the carbon footprint of the storage depends on the source of the energy to make the storage. If we have access to reliable low carbon energy, at a price cheap enough to make these batteries worth making, then what do we need solar energy for? At that point we solved the problem without solar collectors.

      Unless solar power is considerably cheaper than anything else, and it's not, then there is no economic incentive to use it. In places like Hawaii, where solar is competing with electricity from expensive oil it makes sense, but that's an island without access to cheap coal. The part where solar meets storage is the large tanks of oil, they are "storing" solar energy by not burning the oil.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    35. Re:Batteries are a bridge by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I call you an idiot because you are an idiot.
      Again: which laws of physics or laws of chemistry force me to produce solar cells, batteries, transport them, interconnect them, with a CO2 producing energy source?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    36. Re:Batteries are a bridge by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Again: which laws of physics or laws of chemistry force me to produce solar cells, batteries, transport them, interconnect them, with a CO2 producing energy source?

      I answered your question, nothing. Nothing prevents you from producing solar cells, batteries, etc., from a CO2 neutral energy source. That source of energy currently exists, nuclear fission.

      With that out of the way, economics will make it pointless to actually go through the effort of making those solar cells and batteries. Solar cells are currently very expensive considering how much energy they can produce, then adding the storage needed to make that solar energy last through the night will make it even more expensive, meaning solar with storage will be much more expensive than any other power source available to us right now.

      If you want to claim that solar cells will get cheaper and more efficient in the future then that's fine. As it is right now though solar with storage is expensive and has a carbon footprint no better than natural gas. If we wish to reduce our carbon footprint today, and not see our energy prices rise, then we need a mix of nuclear, natural gas, and where appropriate wind, hydro, geothermal. Solar being as expensive as it is, and being reliant on storage or fossil fuels to last through the night, there is no profit or CO2 savings from putting solar power on the grid.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    37. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      I brought it up? The 3-series comparable to the Model 3 is the 330i, not the 318i. Which has a curb weight if 1618kg.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    38. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      I am looking it up and getting different numbers than you. So rather than insisting that the numbers I'm finding are wrong, how about you back up your claim?

      As for performance, we're comparing to the lowest powered Model 3. If it can't even keep up with that (and it's way behind), it makes one wonder if it should even be considered in the same class.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    39. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I brought it up?

      You made the following claim:

      Most entry-level luxury vehicles - your BMW 3-series [..] The lowest power gasoline versions? Yeah, they're usually around 1600kg.

      Only the models with the largest engines are that heavy. The lowest-power petrol versions are hundres of kilograms lighter.

      The 3-series comparable to the Model 3 is the 330i, not the 318i

      The Tesla Model 3 isn't comparable to any BMW 3-series. It may have a lot of power, but it isn't as sophisticated or well-built. A more honest comparison would be against one of these bare-bones American market cars with huge engines.

    40. Re:Batteries are a bridge by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      www.audi.nl Go your hardest

    41. Re:Batteries are a bridge by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      So, you are taking back your claim, that solar panles (PV) are not CO2 neutral?

      Your idea that nuclear power will be cheaper in future than solar is hillarious :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    42. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      Again, you failed to back up your claim. Try linking to actual numbers, as I have.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    43. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      You made the following claim:

      Yes, I foolishly assumed you'd compare to the right 3-series, aka a car of equivalent size. Stupid me. I should have known that of course you'd deliberately pick a smaller car to try to bias the comparison. Shock of all shock, if you make a car smaller, it gets lighter!

      The Tesla Model 3 isn't comparable to any BMW 3-series.

      Try again.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    44. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, I foolishly assumed you'd compare to the right 3-series, aka a car of equivalent size. Stupid me. I should have known that of course you'd deliberately pick a smaller car to try to bias the comparison. Shock of all shock, if you make a car smaller, it gets lighter!

      Ah, I should have tacitly assumed that you meant the much heavier 3-series Gran Turismo that only exists on paper rather than the saloon or the estate that everyone means when they say '3-Series', because it happens to be a couple of hundred kg heavier, despite the fact that the Tesla Model 3 is also a saloon and thus most similar to the lightest 3-Series. Of course.

      Try [electrek.co] again [slashdot.org]

      Wow, a website ran by a Tesla fanboy with the aim of positively influencing his investments in Tesla thinks Tesla's new product is better than another product from another manufacturer. Who would have thought?

    45. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You haven't. You have only linked to some third-party website that only lists the largest and heaviest petrol engine available in the A4 as a so-called source for the minimum kerb weight.

      You seem to have a very strong urge to spread misinformation. Are you by any chance Elon Musk?

    46. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      Ah, I should have tacitly assumed that you meant the much heavier 3-series Gran Turismo that only exists on paper

      Are you blind? I wrote, right above: "The 3-series comparable to the Model 3 is the 330i, not the 318i"

      Wow, a website ran by a Tesla fanboy with the aim of positively influencing his investments in Tesla thinks Tesla's new product is better than another product from another manufacturer.

      It's a feature-by-feature comparison. If you disagree, point out where it's wrong. Ad hominem is not a valid method of debate.

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    47. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Rei · · Score: 1

      What the hell is wrong with you that you can't provide an actual link to information that you're claiming contradicts what I wrote?

      --
      The human body can be drained of blood in 8.6 seconds given adequate vacuuming systems.
    48. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you blind? I wrote, right above: "The 3-series comparable to the Model 3 is the 330i, not the 318i"

      The 330i is neither larger than the 318i nor does it have the base model engine you originally mentioned.

      It's a feature-by-feature comparison. If you disagree, point out where it's wrong.

      The 'feature comparison' consists of mentioning a few driver assistance features that the Model 3 happens to have, either as an option or standard. Driver assistance options aren't very meaningful when the primary selling point of one of the two cars compared is the way its handling and how driving it feels. Even more so if the quality and convenience isn't actually discussed or compared. Outside a few basic dimensions (put in units nobody understands, for some reason), the article doesn't discuss anything that would be remotely relevant to a person who would be considering to buy either of the cars 'compared' in the article.

    49. Re:Batteries are a bridge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here it is. You could have very easily found it yourself in under a minute if you hadn't been so busy making up facts and accusing others of all kinds of nonsense.

    50. Re:Batteries are a bridge by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      If you want to be spoon fed go ask your mother.

  15. Alarmist bullshit. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 5, Insightful

    half the world’s nickel supply is too low in quality to use for car batteries.

    1. There is plenty of nickel in the planet's crust.
    2. Since nickel is an element, it can be refined into pure nickel with the application of chemistry.
    3. All the elements in batteries can be extracted and reused, it's just a matter of chemistry.

    Consider aluminum for a moment: despite being extremely abundant, it's rarely found in it's elemental state (which is why it used to be valued more than gold). Then we figured out how to extract it and now it's dirt cheap.

    This is just click-bait alarmist bullshit.

    --
    Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    1. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    2. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'd say it is fake news for the purpose of stock manipulation for financial gain.

    3. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by DivineKnight · · Score: 1

      Thank You.

    4. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Trailer+Trash · · Score: 1

      This is just click-bait alarmist bullshit.

      Isn't that about the only reason to hit /. these days?

    5. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed. The author is so clueless, it is really amazing.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    6. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by gweihir · · Score: 1

      That would be the only rational explanation for this nonsense.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    7. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by geekmux · · Score: 1

      half the world’s nickel supply is too low in quality to use for car batteries.

      1. There is plenty of nickel in the planet's crust. 2. Since nickel is an element, it can be refined into pure nickel with the application of chemistry. 3. All the elements in batteries can be extracted and reused, it's just a matter of chemistry.

      Consider aluminum for a moment: despite being extremely abundant, it's rarely found in it's elemental state (which is why it used to be valued more than gold). Then we figured out how to extract it and now it's dirt cheap.

      This is just click-bait alarmist bullshit.

      Perhaps what is truly alarming is your assumptive ignorance.

      We can reuse today. We don't, because we humans happen to suck at recycling. That's not because we suck at chemistry. It's because we suck at policy and enforcement.

      And we suck at predicting the future, so multiply demand predictions by 5x.

      Oh, and we also suck at estimating the bloodlust of Greed N. Corruption, so multiply future nickel refinement costs by 20x. Perhaps then we can start estimating the practical feasibility and cost of EV solutions in 20 years, in the face of depleting fossil fuel demand and the warmongering that fucking Greed will ultimately create.

      Perhaps you're right. These alarmist asshats act like we're wasteful or some shit. Back to our regularly scheduled program of pissing away a few million metric fucktons on disposable electronics and minting pennies and nickels...

    8. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      We can reuse today. We don't, because we humans happen to suck at recycling. That's not because we suck at chemistry. It's because we suck at policy and enforcement.

      I agree with that. However, to begin flailing about the amount of nickel we have now is far more likely to undermine far more important efforts like moving people over to EVs. When we run begin running into supply issues then we can address them far more easily because there becomes a monetary incentive for doing so. When the price of X increases efforts to reuse and reclaim it from old Y will also increase. Landfill mining is a real thing because metals are easy to reclaim.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    9. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by swb · · Score: 2

      Are you discounting the resources involved in refining low-grade nickel into high-grade nickel? I don't know what's involved in nickel production, but I can't help but feel that "the application of chemistry" is factually correct but so lacking in detail that it might mask hard problems.

      Like what's the multiple of required mined low-grade ore to get high-grade nickel? Are you having to mine 2x, 4x, 10x tons more ore? Is the ore refined at the mine or does it have to shipped to smelters to get refined and are we counting the same multiple of ore extraction into multiple shipping costs to get to the smelter?

      What exactly is involved in the "application of chemistry" required to refine the ore? How many reagents are required in this refinement process? How much extra energy is required both to produce the extra chemistry required and to run more involved refining?

      And what of the cost of this nickel given the added energy and resource inputs? Just because the industrial process is phyiscally possible doesn't mean the end result is valuable enough to attract the capital to produce it.

    10. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      Just because the industrial process is phyiscally possible doesn't mean the end result is valuable enough to attract the capital to produce it.

      If we are truly going to "run out" of nickel that we need then the rising price of nickel will solve that problem.

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    11. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is just click-bait alarmist bullshit.

      You spelled "Jalopnik" wrong.

    12. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we get the Socialist utopia that Progressives want, the price of nickle will be controlled for one reason (feeling) or another. With profit gone, there will be no producers and nickle will "run out".

    13. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by swb · · Score: 1

      Obviously, but if it raises the price beyond the economic level at which people will pay for the product (ie, batteries), then it doesn't really matter.

      Market forces will keep us from actually "running out" of oil or nickel or whatever, but they may also push the price so high that they are defacto unavailable for the use case we want them for.

      Hopefully the side effect will be development of substitutes (batteries or nickel alternatives), which is usually what markets excel at.

    14. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      Obviously

      Well if it's a self-solving problem then it's not really a problem and thus it's alarmist bullshit. Thanks for agreeing! :)

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    15. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by swb · · Score: 1

      Eh, not really. Raising the price to a level that makes the proposed product economically non-viable protects the supply of nickel, but it actually hurts the battery availability problem.

      Even if people decide they want batteries with nickel a lot, you have the side effect of crowding out other uses for nickel. Stainless steel becomes much more expensive, for example.

    16. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Gravis+Zero · · Score: 1

      Nope, you already agreed with me! No take-backs! ;)

      --
      Anons need not reply. Questions end with a question mark.
    17. Re:Alarmist bullshit. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And we suck at predicting the future, so multiply demand predictions by 5x.

      Oh, and we also suck at estimating the bloodlust of Greed N. Corruption, so multiply future nickel refinement costs by 20x.

      ... These alarmist asshats

      Oh yes. Those other people are the alarmist asshats.

  16. Tikamowa by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's assuming we will never invent different kinds of batteries or even wireless electricity which eliminates the need for huge batteries, not even counting the ways we can't even imagine right now.

    Think blockchain, but for batteries.

  17. What nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nickle is going to be in much greater demand, so sign long term contracts now, especially for the high grade stuff???
    Mining companies aren't that stupid. The truth is the big mining companies are shutting down nickle mines to put pressure on supply and force the price higher. Only after the prices rise will those mines re-open and be much more profitable than before. Only chumps, or very low quality mines would be signing long term contracts at these prices, knowing there is massive increased demand coming.

  18. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They said that too in the 70s. You're just repeating the cycle fool.

  19. All carbon batteries are on the way by ka9dgx · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Robert Murray-Smith has an interesting Youtube channel where he's doing all sorts of amazing things with graphene and other forms of carbon, including building an all carbon battery.
    We might not need any metal (not even for the plates) in a few years time.

    1. Re:All carbon batteries are on the way by Khyber · · Score: 1

      10 second charge, 2 minute operation time on an inductive motor. That's not bad. Micro-drones would fucking LOVE this. LED lights would fucking LOVE this.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  20. Fuck electric cars. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We need to generate that power. We don’t build nuke plants any more in the us, coal nat gas and other fossil fuel will still pollute and solar? You’d have to cover how many acres of ground with panels to power one big city parking and charging garage? And what about a rainy day or night time?

  21. Wait, Nickel? What about Lithium? by vossman77 · · Score: 1

    I thought we moved from NiMH batteries to Lithium ion in cars. Only the lowly no EV range hybrids use nickel. Correct me if I am wrong.

    1. Re:Wait, Nickel? What about Lithium? by vossman77 · · Score: 1

      I found a better article on the elements that go into batteries. The Tesla CTO is quoted as being worried more about Cobalt. Though the Tesla batteries do contain Nickel, but the Nissan Leaf does not.

      https://electrek.co/2016/11/01...

    2. Re:Wait, Nickel? What about Lithium? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      Actually some nickel chemistries have great promise, the problem is their whiskering tendency, which makes them have utterly shit charge/discharge cycle counts.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    3. Re:Wait, Nickel? What about Lithium? by Frederic54 · · Score: 1

      I'm surprised the Tesla S is using 80% nickel in its battery, it's not NiMH however but LiNi

      --
      "Science will win because it works." - Stephen Hawking
  22. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by darkain · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Now if only battery manufacturers would think of this now and start building rockets and planning longer ranged space missions...

  23. Columbia? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As in District of Columbia? You mean they're going to dig up the nations capital? COOL!

    1. Re:Columbia? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not our fault your country can't spell. :P

    2. Re:Columbia? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't worry, I would expect Slashdot editors to misspell "United States" too. Or whatever country they happen to live in. This isn't exactly the place for high quality journalism.

    3. Re:Columbia? by No+Longer+an+AC · · Score: 1

      Es una tradicion en los Estados Unidos escribir mal el nombre de su pais.

      It really is. I probably see it misspelled more often that not.

  24. Plant Crackers needed. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Welp. It's time to make space ships to go mine for resources off asteroids and planets. Dead Space becomes a reality?

  25. Landfills by wonkavader · · Score: 1

    While it doesn't make sense to mine landfills for just this stuff, it might make sense to mine landfills for this and other materials. Pity we really kinda suck at recycling.

    1. Re:Landfills by blindseer · · Score: 0

      Pity we really kinda suck at recycling.

      What? We do just fine at recycling. Imagine this, you have two piles, a pile of old lead-acid batteries and a pile of high grade lead ore. If it takes $1000 to get the lead out of the ore and $2000 to get the lead out of the batteries then where is the incentive to recycle the batteries? I'm assuming the batteries are in a place, jut like the ore, where neither pose health risks to the public where there would need to be anything expended to mitigate things like ground water contamination.

      I could argue that the USA recycles far more than makes sense. I had a chemistry professor that in one lecture told the class how recycling plastics was a terrible idea. His argument was that we had a perfectly functional waste burning power plant not far from campus that could burn the plastic for energy rather than ship the plastic to some far off place to try to melt it down into something useful again. Just go make more plastic if we need more plastic, we know how to do that chemistry very well.

      Recycling most metals makes perfect sense, that's something that is easy to recycle. Recycling paper and plastics are a bad idea, just burn them for their energy content and go get more. Between those two extremes are things like concrete where sometimes recycling makes sense, sometimes not, or recycling options are limited. Iron and aluminum can almost always be recycled from a high quality product into another high quality product. Concrete, even in the highest quality, is not likely to be recycled into another high quality product. Recycling might mean putting that high quality concrete (such as from a building) in a lower quality product (such as aggregate for a road). Recycling again might mean using it for the road bed, after that it's probably only good for landfill.

      High quality paper (books and office paper) might be recycled into a lower quality paper (newsprint), and maybe again into a lower quality paper (insulation), and after that it's only good for burning or burying. I have to wonder if paper recycling makes sense at all after taking a tour of a paper recycling plant. The guy giving the tour mentioned the difficulty in separating the paper from all the junk that comes with it. He didn't say it outright but I got the impression that it was something they did only because if they did not they'd have people with torches and pitchforks outside chanting, "Reduce! Recycle! Reuse!"

      I've learned that we are not only very good at recycling but we recycle more than we should. Dump the stuff in a landfill, if it makes sense to recycle it then we know where to find it.

      Oh, one last thing. I was helping my brother with a plumbing project (he was a plumber and I was a college student on break in need of cash) and when we were done we had more than 200 pounds of cast iron pipe that we tore out of the house we worked on. I called a local recycle center on what they'd pay us for it. After I got off the phone my brother said we were taking the iron to the land fill. Even taking in the landfill fees into account it cost us less to landfill the pipe than to drive the iron to get recycled. If you think that iron needs to be recycled then I'll you where to find it.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    2. Re:Landfills by swb · · Score: 1

      I think it's a fairly poorly kept secret that most recycling is "wish-cycling" -- it winds up getting landfilled because the demand for the materials is too low to make it economically viable. Municipalities require it because politicians gin up the public's environmental sentiments and everyone feels good filling up the bins with cans and bottles, but a large percentage of it just gets landfilled.

      And nobody mentions the environmental costs of a completely separate recycling truck to pick up the recyclables or the back-end energy consumption moving the collected recyclables around.

      I'd actually like to see an energy/carbon calculation of recycling vs. landfilling all the way through materials reclaiming and virgin material generation. I have to believe that the energy consumption involved in collection, separation and refining of recycled materials into something usable is more than making virgin materials and has a lot to do with why recycling winds up being economically non-viable.

      I'd wager aluminum is the one material where it makes the most sense, but it's probably also the one that's economically viable now and why it gets done.

    3. Re:Landfills by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I have to believe that the energy consumption involved in collection, separation and refining of recycled materials into something usable is more than making virgin materials and has a lot to do with why recycling winds up being economically non-viable.
      And why do you believe nonsense like that instead of googleing for facts?
      How should smelting 1 ton ready steal from a recycled car be more costly in any terms than refining it with coal (koks) from a few dozen tons of ore?
      Why is everyone in the developed world recycling? You obviously not ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:Landfills by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Now work the problem again for colored glass and paper.

      You too could have googled 'the facts', chose to be a cunt instead.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    5. Re:Landfills by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Recycling is cheaper for basically everything, especially paper and glass.
      And I'm rather called a cunt than being an idiot like you.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  26. What's wrong with Canadian Nickel? by mykepredko · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm surprised that the Sudbury region of Ontario isn't mentioned - the town was built on nickel (there's even a giant Canadian nickel coin monument).

    Does this mean that the Ontario nickel isn't high enough quality? Couldn't it be refined to meet the needs of the battery manufacturers?

    1. Re: What's wrong with Canadian Nickel? by sound+vision · · Score: 2

      Probably the refining is cost-prohibitive (requiring more energy and/or materials) when compared to better mines. When the better mines are sucked dry, then they move on to Canada, and the price goes up for everybody.

    2. Re:What's wrong with Canadian Nickel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That giant nickel alone must contain enough material for several million car batteries.

    3. Re:What's wrong with Canadian Nickel? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      They tried to fool us once with bacon. I aint havin none of that again.

  27. You've not enough minerals by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 2

    Better build more probes.

    1. Re:You've not enough minerals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must construct additional pylons

    2. Re:You've not enough minerals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I went to every fucking system in that game!
      Every one!

  28. Not enough minerals. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    We require more minerals.

  29. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by jemmyw · · Score: 1

    > all warming is a result of data manipulation by IPCC

    Are you suggesting the IPCC controls the climate via spreadsheets?

  30. Maybe a good thing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No cobalt might be a good thing. No need to worry about the infamous cobalt bomb.

    1. Re:Maybe a good thing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I bet you think you're smart.

  31. So use dimes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Duh!

  32. OMG, we are going to die! by gweihir · · Score: 1

    In other news, the author of the article is full of it and really, really clueless of how things actually work. He seems to be completely unaware that technologies get refined over time and that this happens particularly when there is high demand for a good produced by a technology.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  33. Nickel not required by pcjunky · · Score: 2

    Nickel is not required for many Li-Ion formulations. It makes batteries that have the highest power density however it's not the most durable formulation.

    Lithium Iron Phosphate ("LFP", LiFePO4) is the formulation used in the Segway. Note the complete absence of Nickel.

    Lithium Manganese Oxide ("LMO", LiMn2O4) is another used for electric vehicles that has no Nickel.

    I have seen sponsored posts on FB for companies trying to sell investments in Nickel with this same threat that it's needed for electric vehicle market. It's not. Scam.

  34. What about recycling used batteries? by Streetlight · · Score: 1

    The elements in used batteries won't evaporate to nothing. Of course, as more and more batteries are needed as the number of electric cars increase, some of the supply of the necessary elements can be obtained from recycled batteries. Recycled batteries may never meet demand, but after a long time the supply may meet much of the demand. Look at the recycling of lead acid batteries to provide the necessary lead to make new batteries.

    --
    In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act. George Orwell
  35. The rare Earth elements are not for batteries... by sidekick2 · · Score: 1

    But for the electric motors. https://www.greencarreports.co...

  36. I don't see what the big deal is by rsilvergun · · Score: 0

    I've got a whole jar of nickles. Heck, I sometimes see one on the ground and don't even bother picking it up, and I'm not even Bill Gates.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  37. Columbia? by Saija · · Score: 2

    A little offtopic, but: Columbia? WTF? The name of my fucking country is Colombia! with an O

    --
    Slashdot ya no es que lo era! ;)
  38. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, he's right. The global temperature is going to continue to increase, we've already passed the point of no return on that.

    We'll get past any battery material issue, of course. But we need to cut the CO2 emissions to almost zero at this point to even stop the problem, and as long as political events keep putting scum like Drumpf in seats of power, we're thoroughly fucked.

    There is no such thing as clean coal OR clean oil.

  39. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by phantomfive · · Score: 1, Insightful

    That's exactly what Elon Musk is doing.............

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  40. Jalopshit by Khyber · · Score: 2

    They don't know how to read these articles and understand the words that aren't directly-related to the vehicle itself. They are essentially board-level grease monkeys, not component-level grease monkeys. And this type of reporting demonstrates it very clearly.

    --
    Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  41. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Once a company acquires a large enough stake in a mineral or other resource, the first thing for them to do is say how rare it is. This will send prices soaring and profits will too. Basic scam tactics.

  42. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The oil thing was a political stunt"
    No. In the early to mid 70's it was the OPEC boycott stunt and subsequent manipulation of output to raise prices. Of course now OPEC has lost the ability to manipulate US actions in the ME. The US currently has the ability to double it's oil production output and knock prices down so low that OPEC, Venezuela, and Russia would go bankrupt. And don't think for a moment that the US government would subsidize it's domestic oil production to make sure the pumps keep pumping. The winners in this scenario would be the US and China. US domestic energy prices would fall which benefits the consumers and businesses. And since China imports the bulk of it's oil they would end up paying lower energy prices which benefit their manufactures. A stronger relationship between China and US could dominate the world economy.

  43. Cars are stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It is so stupid and pointless how many millions of hours of human lives are wasted shuffling back and forth, how many magajoules of energy to take 2 tons of metal with them, how many lives are lost due to this dangerous activity, how much money spent and worn down vehicles, collision repair, and so on. COMPLETE FUCKING WASTE.

    1. Re:Cars are stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is so stupid and pointless how many millions of hours of human lives are wasted shuffling back and forth, how many magajoules of energy to take 2 tons of metal with them, how many lives are lost due to this dangerous activity, how much money spent and worn down vehicles, collision repair, and so on. COMPLETE FUCKING WASTE.

      Said the complete waste of a millennial that rarely leaves mom and dad's basement, plays video games all day, never had a paying job, never paid a nickle of income tax, etc.

    2. Re:Cars are stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually I'm a Gen X business owner. My 8 employees all work remotely. Dumbass.

  44. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by mhotchin · · Score: 2
  45. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by blindseer · · Score: 1

    I also believe that we will not run out of oil any time soon. One reason to believe this is because we are seeing more efficient uses of it worldwide. One example is not burning it for electricity when there are other sources of energy far more suited for it, saving the oil for transportation. Saudi Arabia has learned this.
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/sau...

    Saudi Arabia plans on building more than 17 GW of nuclear energy capacity by 2032. That's roughly 100 MW of nuclear power capacity built per month for a nation, from a nation with roughly 1/10th the population and economic output of the USA. For the USA to do this means 1 GW of nuclear power capacity built per month. If they can do that then we can do that.

    The interesting thing about that 1 GW per month calculation is that this is also about the same electrical capacity we'd need to add to keep up with planned closures of current nuclear and coal power plants. That's not adding capacity, that's just (barely) keeping even.

    Natural gas is cheap now, which is the primary source of added electrical capacity now in the USA. What happens when natural gas isn't so cheap any more? Are we going to start building nuclear power plants like Saudi Arabia?

    I know someone is ready to come back with a reply that we can go to wind and solar for our electricity, and that we can use batteries to make these unreliable energy sources reliable. Then we just get back to the problem pointed out in the article, a shortage of materials for making batteries. What happens when batteries start to get expensive? Are we going to go to nuclear power then?

    What materials do we need to build a nuclear power plant? Just about the same materials for coal or natural gas, or about 1/10 the materials needed for the same capacity of wind or solar. If we have the material to build enough wind and solar to meet future energy needs then we have enough material to meet our future energy needs 10 times over with nuclear power.

    America won't run out of coal, oil, or natural gas because we will have moved a large part of our energy production to nuclear long before we run out of them. If we don't move to nuclear power then we will be buying oil from a nuclear powered Saudi Arabia, which is just saying we'll be using Saudi Arabian nuclear power to power the American economy. Of all the places on Earth to build solar power I'd think Saudi Arabia would be very high on that list. I'm sure they have been and still will use solar power, but they are jumping in big on nuclear power now. That should be a clue for Americans that think we should avoid nuclear power here.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  46. But we can just use garbage instead. by technosaurus · · Score: 1

    It's no "Mr. Fusion", but a brit by the name of Robert Murray-Smith has a series of processes to turn everyday trash into carbon, graphetize it and turn it into cheap batteries that rival lithium ion.
    Here is his latest update https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

  47. not so quick read it all by aepervius · · Score: 1

    "However, since 1993 on a rolling decade basis if the same wager had been repeated for subsequent decades, Ehrlich would have won the bet"

    There are physical (energetic) and chemical limits to human ingenuity. Between "it runs out" and "it will be there forever" there are multiple shade of grey, e.g. one of them being "the cost of extracting more become unbearable, and thus extracting that resource is a limiting factor to all economies" as an example.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  48. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Whooooooooooosh!

    A rocket just flew by over your head!

  49. DRC about to get some freedom ASAP by poity · · Score: 1

    Looks like the Democratic Republic of Congo is going to need to be liberated through aerial bombing and troops on the ground real soon.

    --
    your thin skin doesn't make me a troll
  50. Duh! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Been saying this shit for over a decade, after i thought how cool it would be to run everything off hydrogen. Then I learned how utterly ridiculous the notion of using it for fuel would be, but most telling was that the worlds supply of platinum is pitiful.

    Back then I took the estimated mass of the platinum content of earth, broke it down by density, and then gave it the Olympic swimming pool treatment. It wouldn't even touch your ankle.

    The next step in our technological evolution is going to have to be novel methods using cheap and abundant materials, because we have and are wasting the good stuff on horseshit products we just throw away. Nb4 moron says recycle. Too late for that; the barn door should have been designed with a spring, but the bean counters needed to save a nickel.

  51. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All we know for sure, is that the earth's most intelligent species is ever more clever in a crisis.

    Not more clever, just willing to take bigger risks.

    A risk, if it works out, will seem incredibly clever in retrospect. If it doesn't in will just seem retarded.
    Of course you will not hear the story from someone who is dead so there is a certain amount of survival bias there.

  52. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by geekmux · · Score: 1

    They said that too in the 70s. You're just repeating the cycle fool.

    You know what fools also say often?

    "Oh, don't worry. That will never happen."

    Ironically, this will also be the epitaph of humanity.

  53. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by cheesybagel · · Score: 1

    Just like Stalin said, it isn't your vote that matters, it's the people who count the votes that matter.

  54. Money is money. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Niobium alloys are almost expensive but better properties.

    Try to do more chemistries.

  55. Sometimes I wonder by mbierenfeld · · Score: 1

    how people could ever lived without cars and build all this (cities, cathedrals, castles ....). In Munich were I live the living areas till the 1970s where all green. This place has been converted into parking space since then and is filled with tin now. Wide Avenues have been converted into 4 lane roads sacrificed on the Altar of individual car traffic.

    People are becoming fatter and fatter. Diseases cause of the lack of movement and air polution... this list is endless. tldr;

    we paid much more for the false "freedom" of individual traffic than we gained from it. Just my 2 cents

  56. if i had a nickel by sucko · · Score: 0

    for every time slashdot posted something stupid...

  57. fake news!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    as a chemist I really do not know what this article is talking about. Nickel can be purified using the Mond process, so as long as the nickel content in the ore is high enough to make extraction economically viable there is no such thing as resulting "low grade" or "high grade" nickel. The same thing goes for the sulphate. There is no reason why the sulphate shoud actually achieve a higher market price. Actually you need only about 400 kilograms of expensive nickel to produce a ton of it. (sulphuric acid is one of the cheapest industrial chemicals, so its price does not really matter here). I can not help but wonder why they are spreading such misinformation.

  58. So not eough to meet ICE car demand either. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder where we'll get minerals for new cars now that the demand for cars is beyond our resources capable of building them with... I guess we'll all just walk until god makes some new minerals for us. Who would have guessed we would run out of minerals for cars with zero years of warning? I'd like to know why the hell geologists and minerologists were left sleeping on the job until today to see if there were enough minerals to make cars for the next year!

  59. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by rmdingler · · Score: 1

    I, for one, am not that thrilled with the notion that the Saudi Kingdom is building reactors in the middle east and we are politically hamstrung against advancing the technology here in the U.S. Saudi Arabia may have the outward appearance of stability, but they're not as far removed from constant conflict as it seems.

    Great point that the conservation of petroleum resources due to efficiency improvements is a large factor in stretching reserves.

    Combining the likelihood of improved techniques for recovery with inevitable leaps in the efficiency of the relatively nascent battery technology seems to suggest that current mineral scarcities will be overcome.

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

  60. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "reply that we can go to wind and solar for our electricity, and that we can use batteries to make these unreliable energy sources reliable. "
    And they'd be right. Moreover, the nuclear power stations are unreliable. That is one reason why the USA has a higher than world average uptime (nowhere near as much as claimed, though): they have old and well understood designs that they know when to take down and how to put back up after checking for any new developing failures. When the USA has new designs, the uptime for those drop to the world average, because they haven't learned how they fail yet and when to take them down before they fail.

    And guess what? That makes the power from them unreliable too.

    And nobody is building batteries for the 3 month backup for a major engineering refit in one of them.

  61. You should take a 20 min break every 150 miles. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At highway/motorway speeds, every 150 miles you should take AT LEAST a 20 minute break. That means 450mph recharge is more than enough.

    1. Re:You should take a 20 min break every 150 miles. by blindseer · · Score: 2

      At highway/motorway speeds, every 150 miles you should take AT LEAST a 20 minute break. That means 450mph recharge is more than enough.

      I agree. There's a problem with that though. If I'm on a trip with an EV then I'm stuck watching the car charge for 20 minutes. Unless the place I stop also has a place to eat, and food I'd actually want to eat, then I'm watching the car and then going further down the road to eat.

      If I have a gasoline car then I'm filling up in a few minutes and gone to find somewhere to eat. If I have a hybrid then I'm filled up in no time and I still have something that will charge up overnight for my daily commute. If I have a natural gas car then I can fill up at home overnight, and I can still fill up in minutes while on long trips.

      If I'm traveling with someone then I can stop every 100 to 200 miles to switch drivers, top off the tank, take a piss, and grab some food to eat on the way. That's just a few minutes, not 20, and no one is driving tired. Can't do that with an electric.

      People tend to buy what they need for all occasions. They need something that can be a daily commuter and also be able to take the kids to go visit Grandma once a month or so. When there is a married couple with small children they are not going to want to stop for 20 minutes to recharge the car. They are going to stop, top off the tank, and switch drivers if one is tired. Can't do that with an electric. Maybe they'll have a hybrid so at least the commutes are electric only. Maybe they have two vehicles where during the week he drives the sedan and she drives the minivan, on long trips everyone piles in the one that burns hydrocarbons.

      Electric cars have a LONG way to go before they can replace hydrocarbon burning vehicles.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    2. Re:You should take a 20 min break every 150 miles. by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 2

      I agree. There's a problem with that though. If I'm on a trip with an EV then I'm stuck watching the car charge for 20 minutes. Unless the place I stop also has a place to eat, and food I'd actually want to eat, then I'm watching the car and then going further down the road to eat.

      Not to mention, very few people want to eat a meal every 2 hours (150 miles / 75 mph).

      Watching a sitcom on a streaming service during charging breaks would become a thing (Netflix & Charge?).

      A better solution which only works if people could be trusted around high voltages - overhead lines over one roadway lane, and a pantograph to reach it, so you can drive and charge (sortof like trackless trolleys). Just remember to drop the pan before exiting the lane.

    3. Re:You should take a 20 min break every 150 miles. by blindseer · · Score: 0

      Not to mention, very few people want to eat a meal every 2 hours (150 miles / 75 mph).

      Who can average 75 mph for two hours? Where you driving, Nebraska? I was thinking of more like 3 hours, 180 miles @ 60 mph. Breakfast at about 8 or 9 AM, stop about noon to eat lunch. At 3 or 4 PM stop for ice cream, a coffee and a donut, or other kind of snack. Then stop for supper about 6 or 7 PM. If this isn't the destination and one is willing then this can mean another couple hours before stopping to find a place to sleep for the night to repeat same the next day.

      Watching a sitcom on a streaming service during charging breaks would become a thing (Netflix & Charge?).

      If the charging station has a nice lounge and a solid WiFi system then this might be something people actually do. If they have to sit in their car and use up precious cell phone data then not so much.

      A better solution which only works if people could be trusted around high voltages - overhead lines over one roadway lane, and a pantograph to reach it, so you can drive and charge (sortof like trackless trolleys). Just remember to drop the pan before exiting the lane.

      How well will that work at 75 mph on an interstate through Nebraska? I can't imagine anyone slowing down for that unless they really really have to, they are driving through Nebraska you know. Then again, if it saves them from actually having to stop in Nebraska, then I could see that.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    4. Re:You should take a 20 min break every 150 miles. by PrimaryConsult · · Score: 1

      Who can average 75 mph for two hours?

      Masspike or any interstate in Upstate NY. Speed limit 65 + standard 9 over, no traffic for hours. Average would come out as 73MPH. Hell I-88 is so dead the cops pull you over for going 1-2 over the speed limit (must be hiding something!) and ignore people flying by at 80MPH.

  62. Economic Cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Between the 70's and now, though, environmental law has gone from permissive to deliberately anti-industry and anti-progress. Good luck getting any new mines ceritfied.

    1. Re:Economic Cost by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      People like to gloss over the fact that building "clean energy tech" is dirty nasty business. We don't get any of this stuff for "free". It all has a pollution overhead you really can't get away from.

      It's just that some people are happy to kid themselves as long as they aren't seeing the diesel fumes and breathing them in.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    2. Re:Economic Cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It makes them feel good and smug. For Progressives, it's all about their own feelings. Open pit nickle mines? Don't even give it any thought, because batteries for my Prius!!

    3. Re:Economic Cost by umghhh · · Score: 1

      These diesel fumes are not what they used to be and there are ways to address the reminder to the point of not having a problem with it too. But diesel is evil which means that while we are waiting for affordable and feasible electric (or whatever - who said we HAVE TO use electric only - there are other ways we can explore) go to gasoline and gasoline hybrids. So we live with old diesel engines already around, remove the new cleaner ones from the picture and use ore of less efficient gasoline based ICE? Sounds like a reasonable thing to do.

  63. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by blindseer · · Score: 0

    I, for one, am not that thrilled with the notion that the Saudi Kingdom is building reactors in the middle east and we are politically hamstrung against advancing the technology here in the U.S. Saudi Arabia may have the outward appearance of stability, but they're not as far removed from constant conflict as it seems.

    That list of wars on Wikipedia includes many before the modern nation of Saudi Arabia even existed. I'd think that anything that predates WWII is far enough in the past that it has little relevance on today's political climate. I know that the echoes of the era before 1930 or 1950 influence what happens today but the people fighting before then are dead or senile now. The wars after that were mostly of the kingdom defending itself from outside aggressors. Again, not completely true but for the most part the nation itself is quite peaceful and prosperous.

    They are peaceful and prosperous enough that they can expend the resources needed to plan for a future where the oil that they've been using to prop up their economy might not be there any more. They are now working on a transition. They had roughly a century of living off of the fruits of their oil resources. They'll likely enjoy another century of transition until the oil income is so low, and income from other sources so great, that there is not going to be fights over oil any more. There will still be wars, no doubt of that, but future wars are much less likely to be over oil.

    Combining the likelihood of improved techniques for recovery with inevitable leaps in the efficiency of the relatively nascent battery technology seems to suggest that current mineral scarcities will be overcome.

    I doubt that there will be any more "leaps" in battery technology. We'll probably make them safer and cheaper but I have my doubts on making them carry more energy per weight and volume. We might see energy density double, maybe even get to be as high as ten times what we have now. To get beyond that the battery will need resources outside of the battery for the chemistry, an "air breathing" system or something. Having a battery that requires external resources for the chemistry adds complexity, like the air filters we have on current gasoline burning cars to keep out road dust, and is also pushing the definition of "battery". Needing the fuel and oxidizer in a sealed container puts a hard limit on the chemical energy it can store in a given mass and volume. Extending this energy density with external resources means that any convenience for not having to add fuel to the vehicle is now lost, no more driving past filling stations.

    We're going to hit a hard limit on battery energy density real soon now, assuming we haven't hit it already.

    What is a nascent technology is nuclear energy. We can squeeze a lot out of that yet once people get motivated to do so. I have to wonder if the kingdom of Saudi Arabia have a plan to continue in the energy business, past the days of oil. I believe it would be very wise for them to plan on making nuclear energy research part of the plan for their future.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  64. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ACTUAL measurements show more warming. The Urban Heat Island effect, which you deniers used to claim was the reason for AGW, is overcorrected and reduces the trend too far in the adjusted data. So we can go with "ACTUAL" data, but AGW is worse in that case than the IPCC reports.

  65. Told you so! by p51d007 · · Score: 0

    "EV's" have a larger environmental footprint, than gas powered vehicles.

    1. Re:Told you so! by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      "EV's" have a larger environmental footprint, than gas powered vehicles.

      You are going to need to provide an accurate citation for that.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  66. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only their measurements of the climate. ACTUAL measurements show no warming.

    Citation needed.

  67. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh my, your fetish for nuclear power is growing so much you're relying on the Saudis as an example?

    C'mon, they're not going to do it anymore than the US will, you might as well be praising them for their ice-berg plans, and we know how those worked out.

  68. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by jedidiah · · Score: 0

    > and as long as political events keep putting scum like Drumpf in seats of power

    You mean nonsense like the other party trying to crown an old first lady Queen? Yeah, it would have been nice to have a real Democratic candidate in the last election.

    Don't assume an unhinged media narrative will get people to vote your way. If anything, that kind of thing should make people deeply suspicious.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  69. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by jedidiah · · Score: 1

    Actually, it's the 800lb gorilla of OPEC that's keeping prices down right now. Our ability to engage in fracking has nothing to do with that. It's actually that 800lb gorilla in the ME that's tanked our own domestic fracking industry because of the afforementioned manipulation of global oil prices.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  70. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by jedidiah · · Score: 2

    > I'd think that anything that predates WWII is far enough in the past that it has little relevance on today's political climate.

    "Ancient history" is relevant to both our region and theirs. The state of politics in both reflect political traditions with very deep roots. That entire region suffers from the fact that it's the remnant of the Ottoman Empire. It suffers from wars, ethnic strife, and a tendency towards tyranny due to the democratic traditions it DID NOT develop since the time of Mohammed.

    --
    A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  71. Hmm... by thomn8r · · Score: 1

    The Democratic Republic of Congo, where about half of all cobalt comes from -- is increasingly unstable, making car manufacturers nervous and cobalt all the more valuable.

    Sounds like someone needs a dose of "Freedom"

  72. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

    We live in a scarcity-controlled society. The truth of the matter is that we have much better sources of energy than petroleum and much better ways of harvesting petroleum and virtually limitless petroleum at our current rate of consumption, but that the imposed scarcity ensures only people with lots of wealth can get at and control it. That scarcity cascades in turn into every industry/product and allows for control of the population because suddenly money is a useful concept and with that comes the means to control labor. Now you have every idiot under the sun chasing fiat currencies for the sake of increasing the labor they themselves can control because it prevents them from looking for alternative ways to control labor, which would itself detract from the labor which is already controlled by others. It's all about control, in truth there are resources for everyone but then you'd just have several billion people all doing their own thing, which is no good for sociopaths who gauge their standing on how many people they control.

  73. Electric will die before that happens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My own belief is all electric vehicles will die because of lack of capacity and range before they get popular. We will eventually realize a severe growing pain with all electric and discover that we cannot possibly deal with even 20% of all vehicles having to use infrastructure to charge their vehicles. The ease at which we buy fossil fuels is going to prevent many from embracing all electric. We may even see those that want to use it, finally admit its just not practical.
    Nobody I have talked to see's any breakthrough in capacity, charging time, or massive interest in car owners abandoning gasoline. Mostly because people love big vehicles, they love to drive long distances, and they want the convenience of spending 5 minutes filling a tank and driving 400 to 500 miles.

    1. Re:Electric will die before that happens by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I only have to fill up my car every 1-2 weeks. I think I can find time to plug in an electric car when I get home to keep it topped off. The average American only travels 30 miles per day. Short of trip, which I would rent a car, I see no reason I need more range or faster charging. Speaking of renting. The going rate around here is about $100 for a week to rent a nearly brand new car with insurance and unlimited milage. This is how I travel around the midwest. Less worry about breaking my own car.

  74. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by rmdingler · · Score: 1

    Well, if you're correct, then it seems the fear associated with losing our jobs to robots is quite overblown.

    --
    Happiness in intelligent people is the rarest thing I know.

    Ernest Hemingway

  75. Did someone freeze science? by Neuronwelder · · Score: 1

    Science marches on. It doesn't stop with nickel or anything else. Do you actually think that we are going to stop at Lithium?? Expand your minds, please!

    1. Re:Did someone freeze science? by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Do you actually think that we are going to stop at Lithium??

      Uh, yes, actually, it stops with Lithium. It's the lightest group 1 metal, and therefore has the smallest nuclei, making it the most mobile ion and it the highest electrochemical potential. There's nowhere else to go, chemically.

      Now what you use to move the lithium ions around, that will change. There are already three different lithium chemistries that are mainstream, and if John B. Goodenough's team in Texas actually has something, there will be a fourth and best: lithium metal.

      Manganese, cobalt, phosphorous, these are all subject to change. Lithium is here to stay.

    2. Re:Did someone freeze science? by Neuronwelder · · Score: 1

      Reminds me of the patent office around the the 1890's when one guy said: "Well all the patents to be invented have been made. We might as well close the patent office".

  76. This is physically impossible by luis_a_espinal · · Score: 1

    We May Not Have Enough Minerals To Even Meet Electric Car Demand

    Putting extraction costs aside, this is physically impossible. I mean, sweet Jesus, we are sitting on a planet with a fuckton of elements and ores. We already recycle a number of materials, countries are already exploring mineral extraction from sea beds, etc.

  77. Get me that list of Near Earth Asteroids!!! by Loyd_G · · Score: 1

    Invest in the next mining boom while there is still time. Stake that claim early pardner!!!!

  78. Where is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Columbia? Is that a state in the US? I know of the South American country called Colombia but never heard of this other one. Any help would be appreciated.

  79. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by idji · · Score: 1

    And here's how they could do it. This electric mining truck generates MORE electricity driving down the mountain with a load of ore, than the truck uses going back up the mountain empty "free" electricity "free" refining...
    https://electrek.co/2017/09/17...

  80. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by jbengt · · Score: 1

    "Recoverable quantities of petroleum products in the mantle"
    This gets modded up to 5? Really?

  81. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by jbengt · · Score: 1

    The US currently has the ability to double it's oil production output and knock prices down so low that OPEC, Venezuela, and Russia would go bankrupt.

    Actually, though the US producers have the capacity to knock prices down with oversupply, it is the US production that can't compete on price with most of the OPEC countries. Drawing oil out of the Saudi reserves is much cheaper than fracking. Over-production would put the US fields out of business, not the OPEC producers. As it is, the OPEC countries have been trying to limit output, but still the 'low' current prices make US oil production borderline profitable, and many fields have been idled. Although I have no doubt that Venezuela will probably go bankrupt anyway, even with high oil prices, and Russia isn't doing too well economically, either..

  82. I call BS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry guys who believe that resources are so limited, but there are huge deposits of nickel, cobalt, and virtually every other industrial metal. The only big hurdle is the low commodity prices. If the value were to double or triple, all of a sudden so many new sources could be economically mined. Nickel laterites are mostly untapped because nobody wants to put up a multi-billion dollar operation at today's ROI. We have been hearing about the Malthus' inaccurate views for over two hundred years despite overwhelming proof that he doesn't understand technology. The world's population will start to collapse from small family size long before we run out of natural resources.

    Instead of whining and complaining, plz make more babies.

  83. Sounds like Hydrogen combustion is the way by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We already have the material to make combustion engines. Changing the fuel to hydrogen may be the way to do.

  84. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    You're confusing fracking with oil tars/sands. BTW We've been fracking for 100 years, the greenies just recently started to demonize it.

    It's production that's keeping prices down. Most large exporters, including russia, are largely one trick ponies economically. Saying 'OPEC' is sort of true, saying 'American production' is sort of true.

    It's all of it, including Europe reducing its demand because 'fuck Putin'.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  85. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    You don't truck ore down the mountains. You pump it down a slurry pipe. If you don't have water you use a train.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  86. What demand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Elon doesnâ(TM)t have enough sales to demonstrate an electric car demand.

  87. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by sexconker · · Score: 1

    No, he's right. The global temperature is going to continue to increase, we've already passed the point of no return on that.

    Does that mean you and your ilk will shut up about it and take the L?

  88. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

    http://i.imgur.com/axJmn.gif

    That was an epic woosh. I had to quote it and post just so I can be sure to find it again someday, in my own post history.

  89. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    Saudi is (their claim anyhow, books are not open) the world's 'low cost producer'.

    But only if you IGNORE the obligatory government spending that is funded out of oil revenue. Once you include the price of welfare, princes and haj, they become a high cost producer.

    The real shit end for Saudi. They can't cut those costs by shutting down production. They, more or less, have to pump or die.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  90. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    How does someone fudge uptime for gigawatt power plants in AC land? Exercise bike and alternator?

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  91. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fudge the figures, look the other way, same as anywhere.

  92. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Do you really know what 'low cost producer' means?
    Hint, it's not the cost of the entire economy, just the cost of producing the oil.

  93. Most Cobalt comes from Congo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's also not enough Lithium either. A calculation was done 10 years ago: if you switched ALL US ICE sales to lithium battery EVs, there isn't enough lithium on the entire planet between known reserves and suspected reserves to even supply 1 years worth of sales volume.

  94. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    Your realize there are actual engineers involved in running a power plant and grid? You might be stupid, but they aren't.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  95. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    When your entire economy is dependant on funds extracted from oil revenue, that definition is very convenient.

    The fact remains that the Saudis _have_ to pump or die. It's worse than if the costs were actual pump costs.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  96. Nickel = Sudbury, Canada (You're welcome) by LinuxLuver · · Score: 1

    This bogus article doesn't mention the biggest source of nickel of them all: the huge asteroid buried under Sudbury, Canada, that crashed to Earth long ago. We've been mining it for decades. As for cobalt, we buy oil ffrom Saudi Arabia. They don't come much worse than that. We are well used to paying thugs fior things we want. We've been doing it for a century.

    --
    Only boring people are ever bored.
    1. Re:Nickel = Sudbury, Canada (You're welcome) by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      This bogus article doesn't mention the biggest source of nickel of them all: the huge asteroid buried under Sudbury, Canada,

      Canada (including Sudbury, and minor others) produces about a quarter million tonnes of nickel/ year. Russia (including the Norilsk cumulates deposit) also produces about the same. The Philippines produces approximately as much as Canada and Russia put together. Sudbury is far from either the biggest, or the highest quality, nickel deposit in the world.

      Yes, it's certainly associated with a meteorite impact structure. Whether the nickel is from the meteorite, of from mantle material brought up into the crust by the impact is not so clear. Most non-trivial impacts of course, vaporise both the impactor and the impact site, and spread them around the planet, thinly. Problem is, there's not a lot of character to differentiate terrestrial nickel from meteoritic nickel.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  97. Shortage of minerals causing Electric Car prices by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    True enough if no other innovations come along, for example:
    Aluminum Storage Breakthrough Hydrogen Economy now possible
    The accidental discovery of a novel aluminum alloy that reacts with water in a highly unusual way may be the first step to reviving the struggling hydrogen economy. It could offer a convenient and portable source of hydrogen for fuel cells and other applications, potentially transforming the energy market and providing an alternative to batteries and liquid fuels.
    https://www.newscientist.com/article/2142693-nano-aluminium-offers-fuel-cells-on-demand-just-add-water/#.WYU4xugiRsM.facebook
    And don't forget China's advances in materials! Expect much larger, higher voltage high current super capacitors.
    Lithium is king perhaps only for a short spell.

  98. Peak Min by geowash01 · · Score: 1

    What? We've already reached peak mineral? Excellent--let's get back to petrol.

  99. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Like how the US petro dollar is the dominant global currency. So all the constant wars the US keeps starting forcing countries to use dollars, we count that as what manufacturing? Having a big navy we count as exports, wouldn't have any without it. Where do we put being global policeman?
    If you want to start adding in all sorts of other things, why not reversing global warming and all those pollution externalities. Everyone gets to be a high cost producer then. Na much better to just use common sense and just use the cost of producing as the production costs.

  100. hahaha by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thats your 'argument' engineers cant lie?
    LOL

  101. Re:Yeah, in the 70's we were running out of oil, t by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    Seek help. You're unhinged.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  102. typical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When your entire 'argument' is based on making up your own alternate definitions for common words, of course you have nothing to say when called out on it.