'Bitcoin Could Cost Us Our Clean-Energy Future' (grist.org)
An anonymous reader shares an article: Bitcoin wasn't intended to be an investment instrument. Its creators envisioned it as a replacement for money itself -- a decentralized, secure, anonymous method for transferring value between people. But what they might not have accounted for is how much of an energy suck the computer network behind bitcoin could one day become. Simply put, bitcoin is slowing the effort to achieve a rapid transition away from fossil fuels. What's more, this is just the beginning. Given its rapidly growing climate footprint, bitcoin is a malignant development, and it's getting worse. Digital financial transactions come with a real-world price: The tremendous growth of cryptocurrencies has created an exponential demand for computing power. As bitcoin grows, the math problems computers must solve to make more bitcoin (a process called "mining") get more and more difficult -- a wrinkle designed to control the currency's supply. Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day. And miners are constantly installing more and faster computers. Already, the aggregate computing power of the bitcoin network is nearly 100,000 times larger than the world's 500 fastest supercomputers combined. The total energy use of this web of hardware is huge -- an estimated 31 terawatt-hours per year. More than 150 individual countries in the world consume less energy annually. And that power-hungry network is currently increasing its energy use every day by about 450 gigawatt-hours, roughly the same amount of electricity the entire country of Haiti uses in a year.
Lots of computing is done, and few people complain about the energy consumption. It's only when it's computation for the sake of expensive computation that it becomes offensive. Is there any way to do some kind of real work in the process of generating this data, or would that inherently compromise the security of the system (or render it impossible?)
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
controlled currency, it will be worth the struggle. A day when no government can create or destroy money is a win for the world.
Mike @ The Geek Pub. Let's Make Stuff!
The only value they have, is the value you place on them. Sure, you can say the same about any currency, if you're willing to ignore governments. So you're ultra rare gold hologram charazard card might be worth a lot today (lets pretend those words make sense), but you're a fool if you think that will be the case tomorrow. Just look at Beenie Babbies.
"Have you ever thought about just turning off the TV, sitting down with your kids, and hitting them?"
Greed... uh, finds a way.
No, it won't "cost us our clean-energy future." As the article points out itself, the growth rate in the energy cost of bitcoin is unsustainable. Eventually bitcoin transactions are going to become more and more infeasible.
I can't see how anyone expects that Bitcoin will be able to maintain its value if you can't transfer it to other people. And if its value goes down, then so will the demand for energy to keep it running.
How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
Greed really is the plague of the new humanity. Once and indispensable personnality trait for survival in the savage, barbarian world we evolved from, it has now become the cancer of civilization.
Problem is, it is so deeply entrenched in our genetic make-up that we'll fight it in vain for thousands, if not millions of years to come, if our species lasts that long.
If you actually do the comparison, you see that bitcoin transaction costs (per $1,000 equivalent) is CHEAPER than dollar. It wouldn't work any other way.
Citation, please? I can hand someone $1000 without electricity. What numbers are you talking about?
Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
"Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
Soon mining will stop. End of problem.
They also don't understand: -- Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day-- Ummm no, each mined coin might take a large amount of energy, but the transaction costs are pretty much fixed and are nowhere near as onerous.
Is it any worse than the sheer amount of horsepower it takes to load a page on any modern web site? In addition to all the scripts that load from a thousand third party domains for tracking and embeds, you have all the responsive design code and giant images. It may not be much for one PC, but when you consider how many machines are out there grinding away parsing web sites, it adds up. The end result still doesn't present much more meat and potatoes information than the web of yore.
And why exactly can't Bitcoin miners and networks run on clean energy?
You fuckers never stop consuming.
More and more people are using Rube Goldberg logical arguments to derive some kind of statement that X is Bad.
The argument usually has an excessive number of premises, each premise depending on the previous, and bordering on, if not explicitly, being a non sequitur.
Somewhere, someone probably has created a proof that shows that the likelihood of an argument being correct diminishes with the number of premises it requires.
When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
Could we get this compared to the amount of power used for computers standing around in offices being idle because the tasks they run don't even use 5% of the CPU's power 99% of the time, and how those offices could lower the power footprint by way more than the bitcoin miners use?
Could we then also see the power footprint of the global light pollution, especially during times like Christmas where everyone feels the urge to put enough light into his garden to divert planes because they think you're the airport?
Just to have a perspective, ya know?
Yes, it's the usual whataboutism. In the end, though, if you're really worried about power consumption and the transition away from fossil fuel, I'm pretty sure we have bigger fish to fry than bitcoins.
That's Matt 7:3 for you Bible guys.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
https://digiconomist.net/bitco...
The above link is mind-blowing.
Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
"Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
Where is the economic calculation that includes the American Empire which is founded on the USD as the world reserve currency, which costs trillions of dollars a year, and including the well-accepted fact that the USG is the world's largest polluter?
This whole "we only look at first-order effects" trend in economic analysis is boring and a waste of everybody's time.
My God, it's Full of Source!
OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
From your bank account to his bank account? Via the internet. Beyond country borders?
I doubt so.
I like to nitpick, too.
But at some point it is simply much to far out of context.
Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
<eom>
I can also hand someone 1 bitcoin without electricity. Put a wallet with exactly 1 bc on a cheap USB stick, presto.
I kinda predict that something like this, along with a quick and easy way to verify that there is actually a bc on the stick, will surface soon.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
Ummm no, each mined coin might take a large amount of energy, but the transaction costs are pretty much fixed and are nowhere near as onerous.
The mining takes a tremendous amount of energy (.296 Watts per GH/s), and the transaction costs are the opposite of fixed: they grow higher with every transaction, by definition.
Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
"Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
Depending on the denomination ,the cost of printing a US dollar note is between 5.4 cents and 15.5 cents:
https://www.federalreserve.gov...
The summary seems to spend a lot of time lamenting and whining when there appears to be a straightforward solution: proof of space
Filecoin appears to be taking this route. So if you care about this issue, use something like Filecoin instead of something like Bitcoin.
Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
Yes it makes sense, although I have not done the calculations.
There is a lot of mining going on and relatively few transactions.
>Bitcoin wasn't intended to be an investment instrument. Its creators envisioned it as a replacement for money itself -- a decentralized, secure, anonymous method for transferring value between people.
Bitcoin was a marginally successful experiment in creating a trustless secure distributed public ledger. It was initially used for a few fun purchases, then the crazy cryptoanarchists and libertarians took up the banner and it just started getting weirder. But hey, I'm pretty sure the mining craze drove improvements in gaming video cards, so we did get that out of it before it morphed into an 'investment' pyramid scheme.
However secure the ledger itself may theoretically be... in practical use Bitcoin is about as secure as having a wad of cash hanging out the back pocket of your pants. It's only anonymous until a person can be linked to a ledger entry, and then it's the least anonymous way in the world to transfer wealth.
And Bitcoin was never going to replace money, which quickly became obvious once you looked at the scaling issues. I'm sure the original coder was well aware of that and didn't worry about it because they never expected it to grow beyond a small circle of friends using it for shits and giggles. Or not.
Bitcoin was also never going to replace money because it enforces some basic economic policies on its use that have been proven disastrous by history; the coder was obviously neither an economist nor a historian.
As an investment, Bitcoin's a lottery ticket. If you're lucky and you get in and out at the right times, Bitcoin may still make you some money - but odds are pretty good it won't. Just ask the last round of people who invested in tulips or beanie babies.
Sorry, no, that's the equivalent of coin MINING. We are talking about the TRANSACTION costs right now.
.000125 house-days per transaction. The numbers I have access to indicate that each BTC transaction uses 8.5 house-days per transaction.
USA Today fluff piece indicates that a Visa payment processing center uses 50,000 house-days of power every day, but they use that to process 400 million transactions per day. That works out to
Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
"Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
Average transaction fee for Bitcoin is currently around $6, but peaked at $19 just a month ago. If you compare that to the amount of electricity that you can buy for that money, it seems a pretty close match.
How many millions of man hours are lost each day to Facebook addiction? How may YouTube data centers running 24/7/365 warehouse nothing but the digital equivalent of cat videos? How many millions have been pissed away every year by the US Mint who still mints pointless pennies at a loss?
Hard to pin the blame on bitcoin when we have so many examples of pointless waste today.
Bitcoin is a malignant development because Greed is a disease. Stop supporting valuations based on hype and bullshit. This applies to every industry. Being reasonable about valuation will likely send bitcoin values plummeting, which would curb the absurdity of the bitcoin mining addiction.
Now we're adding more conditions which I clearly didn't anticipate from the GPP.
:)
I'm sure I can find a way to meet your conditions though for less than 250 kWh...
But, yes, I understand that most of the conditions under which BTC excels are the primary use case. I have no problem with BTC as a hobby, but many people treat it as their current Multi-Level Marketing Project/Scheme.
Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
"Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
I think that the power is small per transaction, but the *distribution* of that transaction is another kind of drain. Some site says that it's at about 136GB right now. Multiply that by the number of times that it is stored and transferred all over the internet, sucking up bandwidth and hard drive space. It's like someone is having a joke on us. "Hey look, watch this! I can make people use a ton of various fixed resources like Electricity, HD space and Internet bandwidth, and it will only get worse the more people use it!"
Lovely.
Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day ...
Sorry, we all know that mining is energy intensive, and transactions are not that cheap
But the number above makes no sense at all.
A lot of the numbers in the summary (no, I didn't RTFA) make no sense. 31 terawatt hours per year is slightly less than 85 gigawatt hours per day, but it is apparently increasing at a rate of 450 gigawatt hours per day?
No, that's more like giving someone the permission to access to a bank account with money in it
To use the BTC, they still have to perform a transaction.
Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
"Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
If one thinks, one sees how foundationless this A/Câ(TM)s argument is. But hay! Being Still Born is the first thing A/Câ(TM)s have to accept.
Depending on the denomination ,the cost of printing a US dollar note is between 5.4 cents and 15.5 cents: https://www.federalreserve.gov... [federalreserve.gov]
Some things to take into consideration:
1: The cost does not scale linearly. $50,000 does not cost 50,000 times as much as $1. With bitcoin, it does scale linearly.
2: Most of the US dollars are never printed, but only exist as numbers in banks. Loro clearing houses haven't operated by sending truckloads of bank notes for a long long time.
3: This is production cost, not environmental cost. In some cases, there may be a correlation, but I do not believe this is one of them.
4: Transaction costs are enormously higher with bitcoin. If I give you $10, the cost is minimal. If I transfer $10 in bitcoin to your wallet, the computational costs are staggering.
You can do the same with Bitcoin: make some of these, or print off a few paper wallets from here. Load them with value. Hand them off to people, who can either hand them off to other people or redeem them for their stored value.
20 January 2017: the End of an Error.
How do you put the bitcoin wallet on the USB stick without using electricity?
If you think I voted for Trump because of this post, you're wrong. I voted for Dr. Jill Stein of the Green Party. Again.
If it creates a worldwide non-government controlled currency, it will be worth the struggle. A day when no government can create or destroy money is a win for the world.
Its not really on a path to do so. Yes it was designed to do so but designs often lose to reality. The reality of bitcoin is that we do NOT have decentralized mining.
In 2014 a mining pool reached 50% of the hashrate, IF they made it to 51% and had bad intentions there could have been a successful attack on the blockchain.
Today Chinese mining pools control 70% of all the hashrate, that seems vulnerable to the wishes of a single government.
Bitcoin was designed so that individuals and their computers did the mining. Instead we have mining performed by exotic and expensive ASIC hardware that it under the control of only a few. Even when individuals "own" the hardware they often have it colocated somewhere where there are inexpensive fees and low cost electricity. Their bitcoin mining rig is not really under their control and may be in a different country.
2) The reason bitcoin mining is necessary is that we need record keeping to prevent fraud in financial transactions.
LOLWUT? Mining and the blockchain do precisely dick to prevent fraud in financial transactions. If anything, it enables more fraud.
4) You need to compare bitcoin energy costs to dollar energy costs, not merely look at bitcoin alone. If you actually do the comparison, you see that bitcoin transaction costs (per $1,000 equivalent) is CHEAPER than dollar. It wouldn't work any other way.
5) Conclusion, if we switch entirely from bitcoin to dollar, we will SAVE money and save energy.
What comparison did you do? It seems that you pulled this information out of your ass. TFA says it takes the same amount of energy to power 9 US homes for a day to complete a BTC transaction. Traditional electronic payments require miniscule amounts of electricity, cash and cheques probably use the most when they're shipped in vehicles.
"When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
But cash would cost nothing...of course, goods must be in the shops and you must go there, so you've got to account for transport costs.
And how can the recipient verify you don't have another copy, which you are going to move before they have a chance?
Unless they, too, hand the stick to the next person. Because, well, how do you "use" a bitcoin? Why, you transfer it to someone. Which is exactly what happens when you pass on the stick.
It's more like handing over cash, and if you want to wire it to someone, you first have to put it into an account. With the difference that this might actually still be faster than putting money into your account and then transferring it...
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
That portion of the deal of course still needs electricity. As does any verification.
Gimme a few hours to work on the idea, I just had it, ok?
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
To be clear, while bitcoin has many design flaws and problems and may very well be displaced by a different digital currency in the not so distant future, the blockchain is likely here to stay. But the blockchain and bitcoin are two very different things. Bitcoin is nothing more than one user of blockchain technology, blockchain technology could care less about bitcoin or any particular cryptocurrency.
If we colonize Antarctica, not only will we be able to use the miners to heat the place during the northern summer, we can use it year round - and it would better than a heat pump because there is no heat to pump.
They have made the mistake of failing to compare...The reason bitcoin mining is necessary is that we need record keeping to prevent fraud in financial transactions.
And you've made the mistake that those profiting the most from financial fraud want that "problem" corrected. They don't.
...If you actually do the comparison, you see that bitcoin transaction costs (per $1,000 equivalent) is CHEAPER than dollar. It wouldn't work any other way...Conclusion, if we switch entirely from bitcoin to dollar, we will SAVE money and save energy.
Again, you assume those profiting from dollar transactions and energy want the "problem" of more expensive transactions corrected. They don't.
Mining isn't separate from transactions.
There's no way to actually calculate a "per transaction" energy usage, so what they have done here is said "OK, the entire network uses X electricity per day, and on average there are Y transactions per day, therefore each transaction uses X/Y electricity."
Of course the reason the network uses so much electricity is that the vast majority of the machines on the network are competing to try and mine coins. Processing transactions is essentially just a side-business to them. Combine that with the fact that transaction volume is pretty low, and you end up with scary looking "house-days" numbers.
And why exactly can't Bitcoin miners and networks run on clean energy?
There is not a surplus of clean energy to allocate to bitcoin. Note that as Europe shut down nuclear power plants they have had to increase their usage of coal despite their massive investment in renewables. Last year coal exports from the US to Europe doubled.
Easiest way for this would probably be some kind of RasPi (or similar) device that allows you to do pretty much what you do now when trying to figure out whether a coin is genuine.
Something like this will eventually come. The details are of course still to be worked out, but eventually I'm quite convinced we'll see cheap sticks (or just for-purpose made roms holding coins) being used. All it takes is a simple way to verify that the stick/rom/whatever is genuine, and that's far from impossible with current technology.
We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
Bitcoin wasn't intended to be an investment instrument.
They created a cash analog and didn't think it would be used as an investment vehicle? Then they are (as I suspected) imbeciles with little understanding of economics and less of people. Kind of like the programmers in the early days of networks that failed to secure their networks because they naively trusted other people's incentives to match their own.
Its creators envisioned it as a replacement for money itself -- a decentralized, secure, anonymous method for transferring value between people.
It's not a replacement for money because it IS a form of money for all practical purposes. Just because it isn't a fiat currency doesn't change that fact. But like any asset (including currency) it will be used both for transactions and as a mechanism to profit directly through trading of that asset. If there is a profit to be made you can be sure someone will try to make it.
Simply put, bitcoin is slowing the effort to achieve a rapid transition away from fossil fuels. What's more, this is just the beginning. Given its rapidly growing climate footprint, bitcoin is a malignant development, and it's getting worse. Digital financial transactions come with a real-world price: The tremendous growth of cryptocurrencies has created an exponential demand for computing power
Exponential? Let's grant that for the sake of argument. Even if true it doesn't mean it is appropriate to extrapolate naively. Just because it might be experiencing fast growth today does not imply that it will continue to do so tomorrow. You have to give some reason why it MUST be expected to continue to grow at that rate which this article fails to do.
Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day.
Oh bullshit. That's just preposterous on the face of it unless you are using an incredibly stupid (and faulty) form of accounting and assigning all the power costs for every computer involved in the transaction and presuming it does nothing else.
And that power-hungry network is currently increasing its energy use every day by about 450 gigawatt-hours, roughly the same amount of electricity the entire country of Haiti uses in a year.
Again, I call bullshit. This sounds like hollywood accounting to me to try to scare people. I think bitcoin is kind of idiotic but I would need a LOT of serious evidence before I seriously believe this sort of outlandish claim.
More than 1/1000th of world electrical consumption being used on a horrifically inefficient and wholly unnecessary digital currency should indeed make us shit ourselves. Thank you for helping to make clear just how severe the problem is.
"When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
This will only be a problem until the world is well populated with digital coinage. Eventually, it will cost more in fuel than it is worth to mine. I have no idea what the timeline or carbon-line looks like though. Someone should do that math. Of course, the modeling of digital-currency-to-national-currency exchange rate would have to be a WA-WA-WAG.
So the claimed electricity cost is a tolerable 1.5% of capitalization...
That's assuming that Bitcoin is in addition to created capital, and not just a shift in investments. A charge of 1.5% to move investments is high.
You call that a non-story?
"When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
The energy wasted on computing new bitcoins is growing so large that it's wasting energy that could have been used for more useful purposes.
Imagine if banks worldwide suddenly prohibited exchange between bitcoins and hard cash.
If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
The heat pump is more efficient than resistive heating down to about -10F (-23C). Many units *also* have an auxiliary resistive element that can kick in around 35F to assist in heating.
If it creates a worldwide non-government controlled currency, it will be worth the struggle.
You say that as if it is somehow axiomatic. I reject your framing of the argument. If you can provide some airtight argument that government involvement in currency has some fatal flaw then please provide it and collect your Nobel prize. But frankly I don't buy the argument that bitcoin or any analog of it really fixes any problems in any form of government issued currency without creating new and potentially worse ones in the process. If you distrust governments as a philosophical position I can understand that but it doesn't automatically follow that because governments aren't perfect that a solution that doesn't involve them will necessarily be better.
Then of course there is the problem that there is absolutely no way that governments are going to allow a currency that they have no influence over. Even if government leaders honestly and earnestly wanted to not be involved with the currency the first moment there is a dip in the market there will be people screaming for the government to do something about the problem. The governments would HAVE to be involved in regulating currency even if they didn't want to. Not to mention that truly unregulated markets tend to crash and burn hard. There will never be a currency market without government regulation no matter what the mechanics of the currency might be.
You made a mistake in your calculations. Bitcoin uses 0.14~0.16% of the world's electricity, as calculated by others in this thread. That is a truly frightening number.
Also it's not that hard to maintain anonymity between a wallet and a person, thousands of black hats do it every day. Ransomware and darknet markets would not be a thing if Bitcoin were not anonymous.
"When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
You're absolutely right. If you've ever watched a group of two or three year old kids, one or two kids tend to be leaders/bossy. The others follow the leader(s). The same happens in any business meeting after a few minutes. It's basic human nature. Mammal nature, actually - other mammals do the same.
Even it it weren't human nature, when a bunch of people get together, conflicts happen and rules are needed to resolve and reduce conflicts. Those rules need to be enforced. Rules for large groups are also known as "laws".
There WILL be leaders, and there WILL be laws. The only question is how leaders are chosen and laws are determined. In the absence of any designed process for choosing leaders, you get the way animals do it - fighting, and the biggest, strongest guy wins.
The fact is the increased need for computational power, which makes profit for the company (why do it if no profit), actually drives the companies to solar, wind and other "free" energy sources. If you are making $10000 a day and your only non capital cost at $1000 a day is electricity it suddenly becomes a lot more worthwhile to invest in solar panels and more efficient processors.
[The Universe] has gone offline.
People always show up, and when enough people have arrived, they need to be governed.
What you say is absolutely true. However, given that Bitcoin is governed by an algorithm the question now is can governments be replaced to some extent by agreed algorithms? After all, that is what laws are at some level: an agreed upon algorithm that if you do X then Y will happen. So this is not a non-government but potentially a new type of government. Even a partial replacement in limited situations would be something rather new and untried.
I can also hand someone 1 bitcoin without electricity. Put a wallet with exactly 1 bc on a cheap USB stick, presto.
Which he/she can't use (or even verify?) while the power is still out. I suppose you'd be happy getting cash in a sealed envelope with the caveat that you can't open / spend that cash until sometime later - after I've gone? (Not picking a fight, just point out a few pitfalls in the scenario.)
It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
Or even just the cost of depositing cash. We pay 30 cents per hundred minimum to Bank of America to get them to accept our cash. Otherwise, they scream at us and call the police to have us thrown out. My boss thinks it's wrong for BoA to refuse to accept cash, but the local police that gave him a bloody nose disagree.
Notice I said minimum. They'll usually charge 30 cents to count a single $100 bill. If you have smaller bills, and especially change, they'll steal even more from your cash as a fee.
> This true for all currency. It only has value because you believe it does.
At the end of the day, for most US citizens with some type of income, if you don't acquire some dollars the government will take your stuff and maybe throw you in jail. Taxes can only be paid in dollars, and most people need to pay taxes in order to avoid rather unpleasant consequences eventually. The IRS may only send letters for five years or so, but eventually they get serious. That makes dollars valuable.
Even if you personally take the risk of not paying taxes, Alice and Bob both pay taxes, so they want dollars. They'll give you stuff if you give them dollars. That makes dollars valuable to you, because you can use them to get stuff from Alice and Bob, who will use the dollars to pay their taxes.
How big does the array need to be before it can power a cluster big enough to recoup your investment in the array, cluster, and the land upon which it all resides?
And can it scale with the increasing cost of mining bitcoin?
Transaction costs and mining costs can't be separated because they are the same thing. The work of miners is used to verify transactions. The cost is not fixed at all. The cost basically scales with the combined computation speed of all the miners since the total transaction rate is fixed (at a fairly low value). Granted, the creators of bitcoin couldn't be expected to foresee it's popularity, but limited transaction rate is fundamentally broken.
Optimistically, the number of miners will go down once it becomes not worth it to mine anymore, and the difficulty will scale down to a point where the transaction costs are somewhat reasonable. The system may fall into some equilibrium where the transaction cost is high enough that few people want to make transactions (settling to the limit of ~1700 transactions/10 minutes) and the number of miners will fall into an equilibrium such that it's worth it to mine at the new difficulty.
Pessimistically, the whole system will crash and burn. I think this is much more likely. Maybe another crytocurrency will take its place or maybe not.
How many bitcoin do you want to bet that far more power gets wasted doing useless things like FB Status posting, being a twit, and the "like" than goes into bitcoin mining?
Guns don't kill people; Physics kills people! - John Lithgow as Dick Solomon on Third Rock From The Sun
You must use the system to transfer the funds, to ensure the person giving you the USB stick didn't just go and spend the BC as well, in addition to "giving" it to you.
You can hand someone a BTC wallet on a USB drive, but the receiver doesn't know until they process it if they have been double-spent on or not until they run the transaction, which can take days. With cash, a quick check ensures that the bills are not counterfeit or otherwise bogus, and this can be done offline.
I will say that BTC is an excellent "v1.0" crypto currency. However, there needs to be one that is far cheaper to process transactions, perhaps without having to download all 150+ gigs of a blockchain, and a better mining system, so it can handle more people getting in the game. Some added protection against 51% attacks, and some anonymity baked are a must as well. Hopefully someone can make a "v 2.0" currency which addresses BTC's shortcomings.
"each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day."
That is the most mind blowing part of the entire article.
Sadly, people who've made an investment into cryptocurrencies aren't going to let something like saving the world stand in their way of making more money. That just isn't natural.
Wouldn't bitcoin be driving faster, lower power computing? Doesn't that help everyone, including, maybe, climate modeling?
And why do electric cars get a pass?
Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
Finally got out of emu farming, no one willing to pay me 2000$ for a breeding pair of emu, and gotten into this bitcoin thing.
Now this is also unsustainable!
What can a hardworking upright scammer to do? The society is leaving me with no option other than to rob banks.
sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
Nothing else,
It's used by drug cartels, for ransomware, tax evasion, massive corruption in third-world countries, human trafficking, and any other means of washing cash clean of where it came from - nearly always being profits from the economic benefits of victimization (or at the very least, allowing the mega-wealthy to pretend that they're a lot poorer than they are to as to pay a tiny fraction of their wealth compared to the poor and middle class).
The bottom will fall out of it as soon as governments pass laws to de-anonymize it, which they have every right to do.
Until then, the question is, do you want to profit from such a scheme? Probably for many, the answer is "why not"? But not from me.
> we'll fight it in vain for thousands, if not millions of years to come
That's one option. The Soviet communists decided to try fighting against greed and force people to share equally, to work hard at making great stuff, with no personal reward for themselves. It didn't work that well.
The other option is to recognize that "people want stuff, lots of stuff" as a fact, and then use that fact to accomplish worthwhile ends. In economics, there is a system designed along these lines:
The easiest way get lots of stuff (money) for yourself is to make stuff that other people want.
The more people like the stuff you make for them, the more money you get to keep.
So for example some guys named Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, and Sergey Brin all wanted lots of money. The way to gets lots of money, in this system, is to make lots of cool stuff for other people, stuff that everybody likes. Mobile gadget stuff was popular at the time, so they all tried to make better mobile gadgets than the other guy, and get them in the hands of lots of happy users. to see who could make the best stuff. Users hated the mobile stuff Bill and his team made, so his team wasn't rewarded with money to satisfy their greed. Steve Jobs's team made stuff people liked, so their greed was quenched by them getting lots of money. Then it was time for another round, to see who could make the best stuff for the most people again. All the teams are greedy and want lots of money, so they are trying really hard to make cool stuff for us.
In politics, people are greedy for power. In one system practiced for a thousand years or so, whoever was greedy for power would kill the other people who wanted power, and whoever was alive at the moment had some power, until they got killed. In the late 1700s a different system was designed. Like most systems, there was a top leader, but he would only have *some* powers. Other powers were given to an elite group of leaders, two from each state. Still other powers were given to a broader group of community leaders. Here's the trick to this system - the president can increase his appointment power and other powers mostly by taking over powers currently held by the Senate, a bunch of really rich guys who are power hungry and won't give their power away to the president easily. So the system is designed to use the Senate's hunger for power to keep the president's hunger for power in check. When the Senate tries to increase their power, such as by trying to initiate a tax bill, the House sends them a blue slip saying "no you can't do that - that's OUR power." In order for the House to keep their power for themselves, they have to keep the Senate in check. All these checks and balances without violence - the House just sends a blue slip telling the Senate "you can't do that" - nobody gets shot. Senators have their own blue slips they use to limit the President's appointment power.
These systems recognizes that that people's greed for money and power is a fact and it's unlikely to ever change, so they use people's desire for money and power and put those desires to work doing something useful.
When someone gives you money, it might be fake. The same might be true for such a btcnote, but I shall claim that it's much more difficult to fake USD than btcnotes :).
In fact, you can have a 100% "genuine" btcnote, but it might be spent, and you cannot tell until you access the Bitcoin data.
So once you receive one, you should make a transaction to your account as fast as you can, and then destroy the note. Not quite the same how you deal with plain old money..
It seems like you aren't the first to think of this.
https://curecoin.net/
http://www.gridcoin.us/
http://foldingcoin.net/the-coi...
I haven't bothered to look at any of these in detail, but I'm not sure if they actually use the scientific work as the proof of work, but the idea is out there.
I don't think you quite understand how crypto-c works.
How does that 1 BTC get into that wallet? (hint: a blockchain transaction)
Then there's the individually small but communally large cost of buying, transporting, and exchanging those USB sticks to make those transactions. AND unless you have an awful lot of trust in people, the only way to ensure that BTC remains yours would be to transact it out of that wallet and into one that only you know the private key for.
There's some exception to that where physical coins were loaded with keys for BTC but the keys aren't exposed until you do something destructive (scratch-off) but those come from the days were people in crypto didn't scam because ... well who would bother for 50c or $1?
You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
Did you, for moment, forget most of human history, all the kings and queens, lords and ladies and all of that?
Compare Europe a couple hundred years ago, and over the last 2,000 years, to today. It's amazing. Suddenly just recently the paupers are mostly watching HD Netflix on their giant screens, rather than dying of malnourishment as they have through most of history.
More at
https://slashdot.org/comments....
There are multiple levels of foolishness and ignorance in your post.
Maybe you're a kid, maybe you're an idiot... either way, it's really convenient to put people on a /. 'Foe' list and now I'll never again waste my time reading one of your comments!
I actually linked my cited source, which is the source of the "house-days" measurement.
Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
"Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
I completely disagree with the premise and argue it will have the exact OPPOSITE effect.
With cryptocurrencies helping draining the fossil fuel reserves there is even MORE incentive to research "green energy", LENR (Low Energy Nuclear Reactions), and ZPE (Zero Point Energy).
Fossil fuels are not going to last forever. The sooner we get OFF of them and onto to renewables the better for everyone in the long term.
While last century the test was if we could produce enough energy, the challenge this century is Sustainability. Without a focus on sustainability all our efforts are for naught. We need to start looking at the long term, and not the short term.
Ironically, cryptocurrency might actually help us to shift our POV. It is _already_ re-defining the whole concept of money. It isn't a stretch to see that it just might be a catalyst for alternative energy.
Answers.
LOLWUT stupidity: Why do you think the people that invented bitcoin allow anyone to mine? Because in addition to mining coins, the exact same mining software verifies that when someone gives you a piece of software that claims to be a bit coin, it actually is a bitcoin, rather than an encrypted copy of their fan-fic story about Spock seducing Captain Kirk.
As for costs of dollar transactions, it isn't what you think. The article made the mistake of looking at the actual cost of energy per visa transaction, vs the TOTAL cost of bitcoin mining divided by the number of bitcoins transactions. Technically the actual bitcoin cost of energy per bitcoin transaction is 0, as the energy is spent on mining. You need to make a fair compairson.
To make a fair comparison you have to look at the total cost of visa transactions vs the bitcoin total, then divide each by transactions.
Total cost of VISA transactions is not just energy run by their computer but also includes every single bit of profit VISA reports, plus every single employee wage, etc. etc. etc.
To be truly fair, you should also look into economies of scale and see if VISA or bitcoin get any advantage because of their relative sizes, but that's another point entirely,
excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
How is Bitcoin a lottery ticket?
then
This is something brand new and nobody can predict its behavior.
I think the odds are pretty good right now in Bitcoins favour, but it's not yet a sure thing by a long shot. The current run up might well be due to wider adoption, but it is also quite likely to see a severe correction in the next year. If it does, it might recover as it has done many times in the past. Or it might not.
Bullshit!.
Normally I would try to justify my comment, but I think my statement covers it just fine.
I read at +2. If your post doesn't reach that level I will not see or respond to it.
If you actually do the comparison, you see that bitcoin transaction costs (per $1,000 equivalent) is CHEAPER than dollar. It wouldn't work any other way.
Come again? I don't even understand what the unit of measure you're proposing means, but I can already tell you that if you want to understand the cost of transactions, we don't measure them "per $1,000 equivalent". We measure them per transaction.
According to these researchers, each Bitcoin transaction currently costs the equivalent of 9 days worth of energy for an average US household, with that number growing over time as more resources are added to the system. The average US household consumed 10,766 kWh annually in 2016, which we'll assume hasn't shifted much in the last year. The average residential price was 13.30 cents/kWh in September, which we'll assume is comparable to today. Taken together, they suggest that the average US household pays about $1431.878 annually for electricity, or about $3.92/day. As such, a single Bitcoin transaction currently costs the world $35.28 in electricity to process. Other places put the current cost closer to $72-77 per transaction.
In contrast, the cost to process a cash transaction is the amount of time it takes someone to recognize that the dollar bill is now in the seller's hand instead of mine. Or, put differently, effectively zero. That's why we can use cash to purchase everything from a stick of gum to an entire estate.
From those numbers, we can say a few things:
1) Bitcoin is (currently) unviable for small transactions. In fact, if you look at the average transaction value, you'll see that it correlates to the average transaction fee, suggesting that as fees go up, the system becomes unusable for day-to-day purchases, making it unsuitable as a cash replacement. A system only works as a cash replacement when it is capable of scaling from our smallest purchases to our largest purchases while maintaining a cost per transaction that is FAR less than the value of the transaction.
2) Transaction fees don't cover transaction costs. Note that the fees listed in that last chart are far lower than the costs listed in the earlier chart. This is an example of an externalized cost (and explains how the system can work contrary to your claim that it can't work any other way), where someone else is paying for something you're doing. In the case of Bitcoin, it's the miners who are paying the remainder of the costs for each transaction (i.e. their electric bills), but they're paying those electric bills in USD, EUR, GBP, and similar currencies, rather than BTC, which means that their electric bills don't track with fluctuations in the value of BTC. This isn't a problem when BTC valuations are high, since additional miners join in to take advantage of the imbalance (this is more or less a form of arbitrage, exchanging cheap electricity for more valuable BTC). Unfortunately, when BTC valuations slide against the other currencies this becomes a major problem for those miners. Their rigs become sunk costs that are incapable of producing a return on their value and can only be sold for a fraction of what they cost.
3) Transaction costs can exceed their benefits. If you want to buy $15 in groceries and are told every transaction has a $75 fee to confirm your purchase, you won't buy those groceries. You'll wait until you need a lot more before you make the purchase. That's both a good thing (the system discourages wasteful activity) and a bad thing (why are small transactions wasteful in the first place?). If, however, you're told that the cost to confirm the transaction is merely $7.50, you
Answers.
LOLWUT stupidity: Why do you think the people that invented bitcoin allow anyone to mine? Because in addition to mining coins, the exact same mining software verifies that when someone gives you a piece of software that claims to be a bit coin, it actually is a bitcoin, rather than an encrypted copy of their fan-fic story about Spock seducing Captain Kirk.
That's not an anti-fraud measure, that's an anti-counterfeiting measure. Fraud can flourish without counterfeiting and vice-versa.
As for costs of dollar transactions, it isn't what you think. The article made the mistake of looking at the actual cost of energy per visa transaction, vs the TOTAL cost of bitcoin mining divided by the number of bitcoins transactions. Technically the actual bitcoin cost of energy per bitcoin transaction is 0, as the energy is spent on mining. You need to make a fair compairson.
To make a fair comparison you have to look at the total cost of visa transactions vs the bitcoin total, then divide each by transactions.
Total cost of VISA transactions is not just energy run by their computer but also includes every single bit of profit VISA reports, plus every single employee wage, etc. etc. etc.
To be truly fair, you should also look into economies of scale and see if VISA or bitcoin get any advantage because of their relative sizes, but that's another point entirely,
Fair points, but without all of this data I find it ludicrous to baselessly assert that a bitcoin transaction could be cheaper than a traditional electronic payment for $1000 equivalent in the face of this data about the amount of energy required just for computation in each BTC transaction.
"When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
Are you actually getting any referrals for your link spam?
...which is true regardless of which payment system you use, hence why no one bothers accounting for those transportation costs when discussing the differences between payment systems.
https://blockchain.info/charts...
Sorry, what were you saying?
With transaction fees over $20, there is no reason to use Bitcoin for anything other than speculation.
So instead of offering some intelligent conversation you choose to stick your fingers in your ears.
Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
I can also hand someone 1 bitcoin without electricity. Put a wallet with exactly 1 bc on a cheap USB stick, presto.
By "presto", you're referring to the way that you just managed to double the cost of that transaction, right? Because now there are two transactions: one to move the BTC to your USB wallet, and a second to move the BTC to the seller's wallet after you hand the USB drive to them. Rather than saving electricity, you just made things worse.
I'm not about to dig into the math (just don't care that much) and I'm highly dubious of what I've read regarding power consumption but if bitcoin is truly that power hungry and inefficient then it is doomed to failure. It simply will cost more than the alternatives and that matters greatly. Sure some people can make some profits playing a game of who's the greater fool but that is a bubble that will pop sooner or later. It's just another tulip craze. It has to have some economic advantage over other currencies to be worth the bother in the long run to most people.
Basically some people are spending a huge amount of money trying to convert energy into bitcoin and bitcoin transactions in the hopes that the price will rise enough to make it worth the investment. Might work in the short run but there is a LOT of risk there.
stopped reading right there
That's not even wrong. Exponential describes the relationship between two variables, like bacterial population and time, where the rate of change is proportional to the value itself. It makes no sense to say a single variable is exponential.
If something's big there's a word for that.
Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
Transaction costs are NOT fixed. They grow as the system grows. Perhaps you're thinking of transaction fees? They grow too, but they don't cover all of the transaction costs.
The portion of the costs that the fees don't cover is borne by miners via their electric bills, since validating transactions is a large part of what they do when mining. They'recompensated for their efforts by receiving BTC. In practice, this is more or less a form of arbitrage as they exchange cheap electricity for valuable BTC, and it works fine when the value of BTC remains high against whatever currency they use to pay their electric bill. When the price of BTC slides against traditional currencies, however, those electric bills become outsized compared to the value gained, leaving them holding the bag with mining rigs that are significant sunk costs incapable of delivering a return on their value and that can only be sold at a fraction of what they cost.
In contrast, whether the dollar is strong or the dollar is weak, the cost to validate a cash transaction remains the same: within a rounding error of zero.
Spread a few million dollars worth of Iron Oxide in the South Pacific and it will generate a new ice age, use less than a few million dollars worth of Iron Oxide and get a nice cool climate. Shit isn't rocket science, embrace your Humanity: the first step is to stop bitching and moaning; the second step is to do something useful. Regulating vast industries and enacting idiotic bans is not progress, it is anti-progress under the guise of "saving the planet" when we have well proven and much cheaper methods to not only reverse any warming, but to outright cool shit down so we can burn more coal if we want to. Stop being a bunch of reactionary retards lead around by globalist control freaks with financial skin in the game using you to quell their competition and gain dominance, this is not a complex problem.
In AC's favor, it seems like they're actually just using the dollar-transaction fee and determining how much electricity it costs to make that much BTC. Not exactly the same measurement as they're purporting. Mea culpa.
Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
"Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
Mind-blowingly alarmist maybe.
Bitcoin mining represents .14% of global energy consumption at a cost of $1.5M USD while producing BTC worth $10M USD. (well, based on their info) And a 700% ROI (minus capex) is pretty sweet.
So bitcoin is a rounding error.
The USA along consumes a bit under 300TWh/yr for *street lighting* vs ~30TWh for bitcoin globally. Interesting? Sure. Mind-blowing? Not to me at least.
You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
I don't like saying "I told you so". So I won't. I'll just sit back and quietly shake my head.
This is *exactly* the future us tech-savvy people saw for bitcoin from the moment of its launch.
"Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
If we're taking "hand" literally then yes, the cost of producing the cash must come into it.
Not entirely without electricity, but these days it's easy to just "hand" over money at home with your online banking and a couple of milliwatt-hours of electricity.
"Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
Bitcoin was designed so that individuals and their computers did the mining. Instead we have mining performed by exotic and expensive ASIC hardware that it under the control of only a few.
If this site is still News For Nerds (and not Echo Chamber For Morons), then there won't be a single person here who didn't see that logical conclusion coming from the very start.
"Nine times out of ten, starting a fire is not the best way to solve the problem." - my wife
If instead of a USB stick one used something easily readable by a smart phone, the verification part could likely be fully streamlined and automated.
There are plenty of places online you can feed in a wallet hash to query the balance from the blockchain.
I'm just not sure what hardware would be suitable.
Programmable NFC tags I've used hold anywhere from a few bytes up to a couple kb, which wouldn't be enough.
Even things like QR or blot codes weren't really intended to hold a hundred or more KB, not to mention that would be one heck of a QR code!
I suppose for smartphones that support OTG/USB, going with a flash drive would be OK, but it's a bit clunky still.
But scan the root of the removable drive for wallet.dat, verify the checksum, get the hash, and submit to some of those balance checking services. Some basic sanity checking on differing results to show a warning or something would also be useful.
There's got to be a better type of hardware that functions as block storage and can be used with a USB interface and something else more fitting for a mobile to talk to...
As bitcoin grows, the math problems computers must solve to make more bitcoin (a process called "mining") get more and more difficult
Sorry.... the article contains an outright lie, and an outright deception that traditional Banking networks don't have energy costs. The mining problem does not become more complicated or require more computing power "As bitcoin grows" (Or because) ----- the difficulty of mining scales with the available hashrate, and the current hashrate is AMPLE for the needs of the network. Instead there's an Incentive for miners to stand up additional compute as the VALUE of 1 BTC increases relative to their costs of energy.
The hashrate thus the required compute stops growing when it becomes non-profitable to turn up new mining operations due to competition. In other words: the hashrate of BTC does not grow indefinitely ---- it's totally bogus to attribute a specific amount of energy to a transaction, the mining growth reaches a plateau when standing up more miners is no longer profitable, and increase in the number of transactions in BTC would not mean that electricity usage skyrockets.
The increase in mining observed is not because Bitcoin grows among people using and transacting in it, but when MINING becomes more profitable due to the dynamics of BTC value and energy prices --- in the long run the reward from mining will drop.
Actually, it does not. Not even for a country like USA where electricity is super cheap.
You want to tell me, 9 households together pay $9 in a month?+
Ha, ha ha
Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
The story is about the cost of transactions.
Not about the mining costs. Or did I miss a point?
Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
Also how do you know your USB stick has the only copy? You don't. That is why you must use a Transaction to transfer the coin into another wallet, that you trust is secure because you created it. And now we're right back where we started. Because the same guy that just gave you that USB stick in exchange for something can go right on giving out copies of it over and over again. And you can "verify" them all you want, and they will all show that that wallet contains that coin. Until one of his dupes (or himself) decides to transfer that coin out.
A USB stick with bitcoin wallet on it is only worth something if you can transfer it to another wallet. That is the only "verification" that is valid. And the amount of electricity consumed to do that is what the article is talking about.
I just heard Homer Simpson exclaim, "D'Oh!" in my head. Thanks for the laugh!
If you actually do the comparison, you see that bitcoin transaction costs (per $1,000 equivalent) is CHEAPER than dollar.
Um, NO.
Transaction cost: Fail
Blockchain size: Fail
Environmental cost: Massive fail
Bitcoin is lauded for being decentralised but soon the only people willing to host the blockchain will be big businesses.
Waterfox - a Firefox fork with legacy extension support, security updates and better privacy by default.
Producing bitcoins takes increasingly MORE energy; the cost is exponential, otherwise the price (in USD) would be constant or decreasing.
Think of it as mine tailings, with more tailings per unit of production as the ore runs out. B-b
Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
I can agree with almost everything that was presented on the argument, minus the conclusion extrapolation and title.
Put simply, it's a one side analysis of costs that cryptocurrency has. Which I agree with - cryptocurrency mining and maintenance demands computational power.
Now, let's put this in perspective with the title claims: "Cost us our clean energy future".
Here's the problem I personally have with this: cryptocurrency is there replacing something - a system, a service, a trade, the embodiment of a will... something, as it's an abstract concept. And I mean cryptocurrency, not Bitcoin, Ethereum or some other application of it.
Bitcoin mining can be seen as a side effect, or a component part of the application of the concept.
So, for such a claim, we'd need to imagine - without cryptocurrency, or more specifically Bitcoin, would we be using less power as a whole? What effects other than the draw in computer power did Bitcoin had? Because, you know, mining is just part of it. What is the future of it, and it's implications.
Personally, I don't know. It could be a complete waste of time, money and power, or the beginning of something that we'll be using in the future, perhaps not in it's current form.
And it's a one sided analysis because it's not looking at the entire effect as a whole, which is admitedly hugely complicated to do. Let's pick another one sided aspect of it: Bitcoin basically fuels an entire black market economy in the dark web. What was the power consumption of the methods it replaced?
Which is to say, the title claim seems presumptuous. Most of the content is ok though.
Stretching some parallels here, but just to make myself clearer - is nuclear fusion research costing us our clean energy future too?
No, slightly more than 1/10,000th, but way less than 1/1000th of world electrical consumption. And again, the article cited no sources and just asserted it as bare fact, with no reference as to how the number was arrived.
Are you disputing the 0.14% number? If not, check your math. 0.14x1000=140. It's well over a 1/1000th, it's about 1/714th to be more precise. Here is how the energy consumption was calculated:
https://digiconomist.net/bitco...
https://digiconomist.net/bitco...
And if you're looking at horrifically inefficient and unnecessary uses of electricity, start with Slashdot. Then tackle gaming. Survive trying to kill those and you can think about restricting what people do with their resources.
Now here some numbers are being pulled out of thin air, and it's you who's doing it. But we can make educated guesses. So why would you guess a relatively lightweight site like Slashdot might use more energy than a system that pegs data centers full of GPUs and ASICs 24/7/365?
Gaming worldwide could indeed approach the total energy usage of the BitCoin network. But I don't think it's as bad because it's less wasteful. It's not crunching on insanely difficult math problems just for the sake of running a digital currency whose only notable advantage over much more efficient payment systems is an ability to jump through legal loopholes. Most of that energy goes directly into making games look good for people's enjoyment.
"When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
... if Bitcoin is cryptographically safe, then transfer and validation at a mass scale will be so expensive that one might as well ditch the crypto part entirely and validate with simple crypto against some neutral central system.
Building something of such a digital currency including the infrastructure needed to handle it at mass scale would be cheaper faster and maybe even safer, considering how many parts of the distributed system are losing Bitcoin due to hacks and failures.
We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
"Today, each bitcoin transaction requires the same amount of energy used to power nine homes in the U.S. for one day."
I have trouble believing this... Can someone shed a light on this please?
The beat starts here!
Wondering how long it'll take before governments decide it's a threat and round up all the servers (because their location isn't a secret) at the same time and destroy them. I'm talking Hillary Clinton's e-mail type destroy them (no fuckin' way you'll get it back, they're bleached good)!
Poof, all gone. "crypto currencies", which aren't really crypto currencies are gone for good.
Not really. If e-commerce parcels are driven to neighborhoods on a truck where many are delivered in the same area, versus everyone in the neighborhood driving to the shopping center, there's less fuel actually used by ecommerce parcels.