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Tesla On Track To Turn a Profit This Year (cbsnews.com)

Thanks to gains in Model 3 output, Tesla's second-quarter revenue grew by more than $1 billion. Unfortunately, the company's net loss rose dramatically as a result. In a statement, Tesla said it achieved its target of producing 5,000 Model 3 vehicles per week and that it aims to make 6,000 per week by the end of August. It's expect to produce 50,000 to 55,000 Model 3 vehicles in the third quarter -- a sharp increase from the previous quarter.

"It took 15 years to execute on our initial goal to produce an affordable, long-range electric vehicle that can also be highly profitable," Musk and Chief Financial Officer Deepak Ahuja wrote in a letter to shareholders. "In the second half of 2018, we expect, for the first time in our history, to become both sustainably profitable and cash-flow positive." Tesla has only turned a profit in two quarters. CBS News reports: The electric vehicle company founded by billionaire Elon Musk reported an adjusted net loss of $717 million for the period on revenue of $4 billion. Tesla went through $739.6 million in cash between April and June, less than the $900 million Wall Street analysts had forecast. In another boost, the automaker said it has trimmed its capital spending by manufacturing the Model 3 on existing assembly lines, rather than building new lines. Although Tesla is burning through less cash, it continues to lose money. The company reported an adjusted net loss of $3.06 per share, more than analysts expected. The loss more than doubled from the same quarter a year ago. Slashdot reader Rei adds: After the release of Tesla's Q2 results and followed by the investor call, Tesla's stock surged around 9% in aftermarket trading today. Among the main drivers: automotive gross margins rose to 21%, Model 3 gross margins turned positive (before the start of sales of AWD and performance variants, which are making up half of all new orders), and the reiteration and reinforcement of guidance for sustainable profitability from Q3 onward. [...] While no longer using a reservation system in the U.S. for first-production orders (retaining it only for less expensive Model 3 variants and overseas orders), new North American first-production orders are making up a large portion of current orders; consequently, no changes are announced for timing of overseas orders. The average selling price is expected to remain high "for several quarters" due to "a richer mix in the initial wave of Model 3 deliveries to Europe and APAC"; the "normalization of the Model 3 average selling price" is anticipated in the second half of 2019, and is not expected to impact gross margins, due to improved production cost efficiency over time. On the conference call, Musk sounded tired and admitted to getting too little sleep. He apologized twice, but was told by an investor: "Don't let the trolls get you down, but we do like it when you tease the trolls a bit."

271 comments

  1. Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroyed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    There are a lot of very big investors short Tesla. The carnage will be felt intensely.

    1. Re:Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroyed by Rei · · Score: 5, Funny

      From r/wallstreetbets:

      I'm holding 4 $305p 8/3s at 16.98ea. The fourth contract was bought on margin by accident during the fiasco this morning. I'm going bankrupt.

      Tesla up 9%, I officially have no f***** idea how the stock market works

      LOOOOOLLL.. My wife is going to kill me after I get margin called off these puts

      WHY CANT I MAKE ONE F****** TRADE OMG IM SO BAD AT THIS S***, ELON YOU F******* NOODLE HEAD

      What in the everliving f***

      i hope the conference call just f***** up the call holders - please dear god elon say the n-word

      "First options trade ever, 8/17 put at 250. Do I just assume my money is gone or can I recover some of this?" "LOL Musk would have to commit a mass shooting at the Fremont factory for this put to be worth anything."

      That page is a schadenfreude laugh riot right now ;)

      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
    2. Re:Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroyed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Market can stay irrational longer that you can stay solvent. Also with shorts downside is unlimited and most people (including me) don't know how to trade them. But ultimately chickens will come home to roost and TSLA could be wiped out.

    3. Re:Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroyed by sexconker · · Score: 1

      I'm holding 4 $305p 8/3s at 16.98ea. The fourth contract was bought on margin by accident during the fiasco this morning. I'm going bankrupt.

      How does it result in him going bankrupt?
      TSLA is 349.54. If he's short 4 at $305 a piece with a date of 8/3 that he paid $16.98 each for the privilege of, then he stands to lose:

      4 * (349.54 - 305 + 16.98) = 246.08 tomorrow if the price stays the same.

      Am I just not parsing his line correctly? Or is he a clown that can be wiped out by such a small loss?

    4. Re:Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroyed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have fallen and i cannot get up.

      YOU THOUGHT YOU WOULD SHORT TESLA ON A Q earnings??? ooooooo man, you need to check their stock first and understand how it works!!!!

      YOU SHORT WHEN THE STOCK WILL LOSE VALUE (aka you GET MONEY)

      You PUT when the stock will GAIN VALUE. (aka you GET MONEY)

      you dont short a stock going up, and visa versa. IF YOU KNOW THE COMPANY will LOSE STOCK VALUE, SHORT THE CRAP OUT OF IT!!!

      Dont you ever put 250 on a short on tesla unless you have some inside info, or you just know shit. please do not waste money on ignorance

    5. Re:Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroyed by Eloking · · Score: 1

      BeauHD was told by his Arab overlords which own the parent company of Slashdot to post this story. Why? They are curious how much leverage they still have on the buy/sell algos scraping news sites. But now that everyone has fled Slashdot because of fake news, no one bothers tuning algos for this site, so it was moot to post this story to begin with.

      Either that, or BeauHD is a naive 19-year-old ladyboy.

        YOU DECIDE!

      Wow...so you made a fake BeuHD account to write two message to discredit BeauHD?

      Did he insulted your mother or you have *that* much spare time in your hands?

      --
      Elok
    6. Re:Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroyed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sometimes, and this might not be the case here, traders leave off the "thousands" in quantities. The quote author may have been referring to holding 4 thousand 8/3s at $16.98, which would mean he stands to lose $246,000.

      On the other hand, that person's assets outside of the Tesla short may be 38 cents and a can of beenie-weenie, but the dropped "thousands" seems more likely.

    7. Re:Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroyed by bdo19 · · Score: 1

      He bought 4 put contracts (100 shares each) with a $305/share strike price, for which he paid $16.98 per share, and which expired worthless on 8/3.

  2. Well of course by olsmeister · · Score: 1

    Didn't you hear? They're adding Atari games to the in-car display. That's money.

    1. Re:Well of course by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they install a coin slot, they can make more money every time they service it.

  3. Don't let the trolls get you down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Don't let the trolls get you down, but we do like it when you tease the trolls a bit."

    1) He's a billionaire, if he cares about trolls, that's on him.

    2) Does calling someone a pedo because they one-upped you and live in a beautiful tropical country with a rich culture count as trolling?

    1. Re:Don't let the trolls get you down? by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      Where you live, perhaps that's a defensive way of describing 'other parts of the world.'

    2. Re:Don't let the trolls get you down? by Highdude702 · · Score: 1

      Las Vegas.. its pretty shitty.

    3. Re:Don't let the trolls get you down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Translation: Third world shithole

      Clearly you haven't actually been there.

    4. Re:Don't let the trolls get you down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, they haven't been out of their own state.

    5. Re: Don't let the trolls get you down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No one knows WHY Musk called him that... but chances are Musk has a LOT more *connected* friends than you or I... and good fucking luck hiding pedophilia from TPTB...

    6. Re:Don't let the trolls get you down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, where pedo-man lived, is ground-zero for pedophiles. But you should know that already. You are probably trolling from there.

    7. Re: Don't let the trolls get you down? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No one knows WHY Musk called him that

      Au contraire, we know very well why, because the guy called the attention whore out, and called her out with good arguments. And the attention whore felt she had to respond, and, for lack of arguments, she responded with slander and vitriol. Because that's who she is.

  4. Huh? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Tesla On Track To Turn a Profit This Year

    Unfortunately, the company's net loss rose dramatically as a result.

    So sales are up, losses are up - but they're on track to make a profit? Really? Something's not adding up... Losses for Q1 2018 were 17.5% of revenues. Losses for Q2 2018 (just announced) were 17.9%. Increasing losses as a percent of revenue does NOT lead to profit.

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    1. Re:Huh? by iggymanz · · Score: 2, Funny

      you must be one of those "trolls" the summary talked about, with that dated notion that a company must make more money than it spends or it'll go out of business.

      Pshaw! I say. Hype, hooplah, and happy feelings are the currency now.

    2. Re:Huh? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Funny

      Silly me and my antiquated notion of profit!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    3. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      But they make it up in volume.

    4. Re:Huh? by Freedom+Bug · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The big difference is that much of the "loss" for this quarter is due to the fact that they stockpiled a bunch of cars. They wanted to make sure they didn't hit the 200,000 EV milestone in Q2 so their customers could enjoy the tax rebate for a little bit longer.

    5. Re:Huh? by sjames · · Score: 1

      Unless those were one time expenses related to ramping up production...

    6. Re:Huh? by Aighearach · · Score: 4, Informative

      If you can understand the story, losses were high on purpose, because of capital investment, and now capital investment will be slower and production will result in profits. Production done using the equipment represented by said capital investments. Simple.

    7. Re:Huh? by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      First off, here's the full post I submitted. It goes into much more detail:

      After the release of Tesla's Q2 results and followed by the investor call, Tesla's stock surged around 9% in aftermarket trading today. Among the main drivers: automotive gross margins rose to 21%, Model 3 gross margins turned positive (before the start of sales of AWD and performance variants, which are making up half of all new orders), and the reiteration and reinforcement of guidance for sustainable profitability from Q3 onward. Q3 production rates are expected to be around 4k/wk average while achieving a 6k/wk line speed, and a Model 3 gross margin of 15% is expected (25% is targeted in Q1-Q2). Some lines are on track to reach 10k/wk before the end of the year, but achieving that rate with all lines and suppliers is not anticipated until next year. Sales in Q3 will be boosted as the current delivery backlog clears, while restructuring and severance costs, realized in Q2, will reduce expenses starting in Q3. Cash on hand in Q2 declined from $2,66B to $2,23B; no ZEV credits were claimed during this period. While no longer using a reservation system in the US for first-production orders (retaining it only for less expensive Model 3 variants and overseas orders), new North American first-production orders are making up a large portion of current orders; consequently, no changes are announced for timing of overseas orders. The average selling price is expected to remain high "for several quarters" due to "a richer mix in the initial wave of Model 3 deliveries to Europe and APAC"; the "normalization of the Model 3 average selling price" is anticipated in the second half of 2019, and is not expected to impact gross margins, due to improved production cost efficiency over time.

      On the conference call, Musk sounded tired and admitted to getting too little sleep. He apologized twice, but was told by an investor: "Don't let the trolls get you down, but we do like it when you tease the trolls a bit"

      Secondly: your Q1 number is wrong. Loss attributed to shareholders in Q1 was 20,8% of revenues, not 17,5%.

      But again, companies aren't valued based on past revenue. They're based on the present value of future revenue. A past balance sheet may draw your attention to a company (for good or bad reasons), but it does not substitute for modeling the company's fundamentals. Which includes what margins they'll be getting on sales in upcoming quarters, what production numbers will be in upcoming quarters, etc, as well as properly handling deferred revenue and one-time costs. And as noted above, Q2 was full of them, all of them to the benefit of Q3 and beyond.

      If you don't understand why the market is up over 9% after this report, you probably shouldn't be investing in this stock. The numbers in this report make it quite clear that Tesla is highly likely to be profitable in Q3. And this is the result of years of capex, R&D, and a long-hard scaleup slog. You pay, then later you reap the rewards. Not simultaneously.

      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
    8. Re:Huh? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      I'm using data from Yahoo, and using operating income/loss, especially since Tesla loves to talk about non-GAAP and operating income/losses only. Or are these different numbers?

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    9. Re:Huh? by Rei · · Score: 1

      *** present value of future profits. Not revenue.

      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
    10. Re:Huh? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      ok, I guess I was wrong, this is a financial website.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    11. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla's been "ramping up production" for 10 years like that and still can't make in a year what Toyota makes in a day. So yeah, it is totally like that.

    12. Re: Huh? by balsy2001 · · Score: 1

      Havenâ(TM)t you noticed many people on here believe anything Elon says. He said on the call today they were still going to make money this year so it must be true.

      --
      GENERATION 27: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation.
    13. Re:Huh? by sjames · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You do realize Toyota has been at it a few decades longer, don't you?

    14. Re:Huh? by Rei · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Would you rather some nerdier colour from the conference call? Okay, here's one.

      We all know the story of how Tesla's original plan for GA3 (General Assembly 3) was to have an automated conveyor belt system transport parts from the warehouse to each of the assembly workstations. Unfortunately, it just didn't work; they had to tear it out and do the transport manually. However, when general assembly became a bottleneck, they built a whole new line (GA4) in a Sprung structure, partly out of scrap - including said conveyor system, which now transports the cars down the line as they're assembled.

      What we found out today, however, was that they had a problem with the conveyor system in the engineering phase: since it was designed for transporting parts, not whole cars, it wasn't up to the job. It could hold a car fine, but the motors weren't strong enough to move it reliably. Their solution? Let gravity give them a boost. The GA4 line is built at a 1% downward grade, which reduces stress on the motors to within their design tolerances.

      Interestingly enough, the Sprung structure solved the warehouse transport problem on its own. Since it's a long, narrow structure surrounded by roads, trucks could just back up to each workstation and unload their boxes of parts right there - no centralized warehouse needed, and no redundant unloading / reloading work

      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
    15. Re:Huh? by Katan · · Score: 1

      If you can understand the story, losses were high on purpose, because of capital investment, and now capital investment will be slower and production will result in profits. Production done using the equipment represented by said capital investments. Simple.

      Don't know if you have been in the business world, but capital is depreciated over the usable life of the investment. Wheeling out a ton of cash now in the build up for something in the future would be a footnote on current earnings. Now the accountants can be playing games with writedowns and accelerated depreciation, but I think you are missing the point - a loss is a loss in Wall Street reported earnings. Special one time stuff is often very well called out.

      I truly admire this (or any other EM) company's ability to say "look over here, don't look at reality".

      --
      K
    16. Re: Huh? by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Yes, that is better :)

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    17. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lynnwood gets it, when this fake profit pops the shorts will be laughing all the way to the bank. Take advantage of this now! It's not too late! If you miss this opportunity you will hate yourself! Short Tesla!

    18. Re:Huh? by Solandri · · Score: 1

      and now capital investment will be slower and production will result in profits. Production done using the equipment represented by said capital investments. Simple.

      Tesla's market cap is about the same as GM's. GM produces about 8,000 cars per day (averaged over the year), or 56,000 cars per week. An order of magnitude more than Tesla. If Tesla wants to justify its market cap, they need to spend about 10x more capital investment on production equipment as they spent just to get to 5,000 cars per week. If they now slow down investing in production equipment as you're theorizing, they're basically saying "Our stock should only be priced at $35 a share."

    19. Re:Huh? by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      Capital purchases don't have a huge impact on profits in the short term, although they do directly affect cash.

      The cost of capital purchases are usually amortized over some period of time.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    20. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Go eat your shorts.

    21. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering Toyota had been in business for about 50 years in the late 80s, I'm not sure you have the slightest clue what you are talking about.

    22. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Unaudited

      I don't trust Musk, the charlatan also claimed the big battery Model S will go 300+ miles, but real world is 200 miles max with high anxiety, hyper-mileage driving.

    23. Re: Huh? by AlanObject · · Score: 3, Funny

      If they were concerned about the environment they wouldn't be "investing" in a company that makes $60,000 cars!

      Right. Because a car's degree of compatibility with the environment can be fully determined by the price of the car.

      Reality? how does it work again?

    24. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      On planet logic, 13,000 cars is hardly valourware.
      Enjoy your losses sucker.

    25. Re:Huh? by Peter+P+Peters · · Score: 1

      So sales are up, losses are up - but they're on track to make a profit? Really? Something's not adding up... Losses for Q1 2018 were 17.5% of revenues. Losses for Q2 2018 (just announced) were 17.9%. Increasing losses as a percent of revenue does NOT lead to profit.

      There is not enough information to say either way. Any new industry generally loses big before it can possibly make big.
      They could equally continue to lose, but losing now is not enough to be a predictor of future state.

    26. Re:Huh? by Corbets · · Score: 1

      You might be right in your end results, I don’t know, but your rationale is not... rational. Number of units produced has no direct linkage to where market cap should be; rather, market cap *should be* (and I’m not saying *is*) linked to expected profits.

      If GM’s margins are 2% of what tesla’s are, then this could still make sense.

      In any case, I’m a believer in this company. I have no problems with them recording losses in the mid term due to capital investment in order to have a long term payout. Whether it’s truly worth its current share price, I’m uncertain.

    27. Re:Huh? by sjames · · Score: 1

      Yes, based on 50 years of experience and profits from several plants in production, they were able to ramp up a new plant much faster.

      You did know Toyota had been around since the 1930's, didn't you?

    28. Re:Huh? by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Tesla rose $28 in after-hours trading. It might be an interesting morning for the shorts.

      If GM took EVs seriously starting when they produced EV-1 and kept going until now, there would be no need for a Tesla. The fact that GM discarded any lead they might have had is more meaningful than how many internal combustion cars they can make.

    29. Re:Huh? by sfcat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      and now capital investment will be slower and production will result in profits. Production done using the equipment represented by said capital investments. Simple.

      Tesla's market cap is about the same as GM's. GM produces about 8,000 cars per day (averaged over the year), or 56,000 cars per week. An order of magnitude more than Tesla. If Tesla wants to justify its market cap, they need to spend about 10x more capital investment on production equipment as they spent just to get to 5,000 cars per week. If they now slow down investing in production equipment as you're theorizing, they're basically saying "Our stock should only be priced at $35 a share."

      Sure, GM makes a lot of cars. But, there is no growth story for GM. There is no real reason to think that GM will be making 2x the revenue in 2 years. But with Tesla, that's not just a possibility...its likely. That's the difference and why there is a difference in the market cap (really a different multiple). The other thing is that people actually want Tesla's cars. GM's cars aren't nearly as desirable to the public and aren't sold with even close to the same margin. Tesla makes about 3x what GM makes per car of profit on the Model S and by the end of the year make that much on a Model 3.

      No other auto maker will be able to mass produce an EV in the next 5 years (BWM is the closest and won't be there for about 4 1/2 years at the earliest). The reason for this is while the auto makers can make cars, they can't make the EV batteries. Also, they don't have secured supplies for the Li and other rare earth metals they need. Finally, they don't have the knowledge of the battery chemistry to make those batteries efficient enough to sell them (or the EVs that contain them) at a profit.

      This is why Tesla has a huge multiple. Because even the most ardent Tesla Bear will admit that many people want an EV and will be buying them in the next 5 years. Because the EV market will be in the millions by most projections in the next 5-8 years. During that time, Tesla will have the only option on the market. The question is can they hold that lead. Most say yes for a variety of reasons: 1) Auto makers hate EVs to the very core of their soul 2) Dealerships hate EVs because they mess with their business model 3) you need to be the world's largest producer of batteries (Tesla) to make EVs profitably.

      --
      "Those that start by burning books, will end by burning men."
    30. Re:Huh? by whoever57 · · Score: 1

      GM isn't the greatest example of a well run company.

      GM sold its European operations to PSA recently. GM Europe had lost money for a long time. PSA has turned it around and it is now profitable in about a year.

      The potential profits from Tesla may be higher than those of GM. Revenue isn't profit. GM has a much higher revenue and today, actual profit, but investors are betting on Tesla making lots of profit in the future. GM is just one large increase in gas prices away from bankruptcy.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    31. Re:Huh? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      but if you are heading into profit and profit on a day to day basis, the losses reduce. Maybe the accounting year will be a loss but following years will be better if they are in profit. Yet again, more unrealistic expectations from you, one quarter profit should equal monster profit for a company still in growth, get real or forever be a troll

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    32. Re:Huh? by Barsteward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      if you want to be stupid enough to compare Toyota and Tesla, compare Tesla with Toyota's first 10 years in the business

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    33. Re:Huh? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      "but capital is depreciated over the usable life of the investment" - that does not mean that its useless and thrown out after this period. You don't rebuild a factory for the hell of it.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    34. Re:Huh? by Barsteward · · Score: 2

      "GM is just one large increase in gas prices away from bankruptcy AGAIN". - fixed that one for you :)

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    35. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "What we found out today, however, was that they had a problem with the conveyor system in the engineering phase: since it was designed for transporting parts, not whole cars, it wasn't up to the job. It could hold a car fine, but the motors weren't strong enough to move it reliably. Their solution? Let gravity give them a boost. The GA4 line is built at a 1% downward grade, which reduces stress on the motors to within their design tolerances."

      This is bullshit squared. If motors are not strong enough to overcome friction, how is the deal with acc-decceleration ? Vibration, dynamic loads etc etc.
      And 1% downward means that 300meter long line is 3meters higher in one end. Floors etc, casting, building. Sorry, bullshit.

    36. Re:Huh? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      mileage depends on the size of the battery pack you buy with your car and how much of an idiot you are driving. You can empty a tank in a ICE Ferrari within 50 miles if you drive like an idiot.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    37. Re: Huh? by Barsteward · · Score: 2

      Rei has more knowledge on the subject than you'll ever have. He just destroys the the crap put out by the trolls with real knowledge on the subject.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    38. Re: Huh? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      says a troll.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    39. Re: Huh? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      All i've ever seen him do is give out facts to counter the non-facts put out there by the ignorant trolls like you.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    40. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Considering this was Toyota's first try at a production facility in the US, in an environment with everything from business practices to workforce characteristics to finances and accounting very different from Japan, I'm really not sure what you base your claim to "clue" on. Musk's position was infinitely better, but he is just not in the car manufacturing business.

      He's a junk stock peddler.

    41. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "GM produces about 8,000 cars per day"
      GM is only still around to make that many cars because of a massive bailout and they got to shed $100 BILLION in debt
      Pick another example.

    42. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fine, let's compare the first 10 years of each, for Toyota, 1933 to 1943, for Tesla, 2003 to 2013.

      Toyota founded its automobile business in 1933. Tesla was founded in 2003. During its first 10 years, Toyota's automobile startup was operating in a Great Depression world, with the world sliding into war and automobile demand uncertain. Tesla was operating during the biggest boom of the century, within a huge and well-developed market with estimated large demand for electric cars.

      Toyota designed and released its first model in 1935, two years after it was founded. Tesla managed to begin selling its first vehicle (built by a 3rd party, Lotus, if memory serves) almost 6 years later, and its first self-manufactured one 9 years later.

      By 1936, 3 years after its automobile business began, Toyota was manufacturing cars that compared favorably in features and price to their American competitors, who had by that time decades of experience and an infinitely larger supply of capital, trained work force and what not. By its third year, Tesla has not yet produced even a single car.

      By 1943, Toyota was producing 4 or 5 sedans and three or four light truck models in all price segments of the market. That DURING A WAR, which has severely strapped Japan of resources and money. By 2013, Tesla was selling one model, manufactured by someone else, and was talking of introducing a second one, under the most favorable market and regulatory conditions, while being showered with billions from the Obama administration and the state of California.

      So, yeah, comparing their first 10 years, Tesla is still a miserable failure.

    43. Re:Huh? by haruchai · · Score: 1

      "If GM took EVs seriously starting when they produced EV-1 and kept going until now, there would be no need for a Tesla. The fact that GM discarded any lead they might have had is more meaningful than how many internal combustion cars they can make"

      Toyota cucked themselves, too. If they worked diligently at making the Prius approach the RAV4 EV battery pack capacity over the past 2 decades and made it plug-in capable a decade sooner, they would OWN the EV market.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    44. Re:Huh? by Freischutz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      No other auto maker will be able to mass produce an EV in the next 5 years (BWM is the closest and won't be there for about 4 1/2 years at the earliest). The reason for this is while the auto makers can make cars, they can't make the EV batteries. Also, they don't have secured supplies for the Li and other rare earth metals they need. Finally, they don't have the knowledge of the battery chemistry to make those batteries efficient enough to sell them (or the EVs that contain them) at a profit.

      It's not that Tesla is the only company that has any knowledge of battery chemistry, or that US companies have a monopoly on battery chemistry tech, not even close. There are plenty of batter manufacturers in Asia and Europe who can compete there. It's more that there has been a race to secure the existing Li supply and the early birds (like Tesla) got the worm. People who decided to "wait and see if this electric vehicle fad leads to anything" are now having trouble obtaining Li for battery production. Estimates I've seen are that it will take something like 10 years to *begin* ramping up mining operations to extract the amounts of Li required to supply an electric vehicle (and grid storage/battery wall) duck curve. Those who made long term contracts for Li supplies have a huge head start.

    45. Re:Huh? by sjames · · Score: 1

      Actually, I am more or less neutral WRT Tesla. Toyota was already a huge corporation with it's own resources and an established investor base when they built a factory here and they already had factories up and running with the bugs out elsewhere. It is easier to copy than to start afresh.

      It did make things a bit easier for Toyota that they ran on gasoline and so filling stations were already ubiquitous. They didn't need to also build them.

      So how deep are you into your short position?

    46. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, I am more or less neutral WRT Tesla., followed by So how deep are you into your short position?

      Yep, not a Musk shill and cocksucker at all, just quoting from the same memo.

    47. Re:Huh? by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      About those storage and wall batteries: That Tesla Wall thing isn't cheap as it uses just about the most expensive type of batteries on the market. Wouldn't it be a lot more economical to use cheaper but bulkier batteries, since space and weight are much less of an issue in that application?

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    48. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, and Tesla-paid fake persona shills who spend 24 hours a day, 7 days a week on several websites doing nothing but regurgitating talking points are not trolls. Thank Musk!

    49. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This shit is webscale

    50. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, small, crap, exceedingly basic 50s Toyota's are incredibly similar to 2018 electric cars.

    51. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, depression era economics are incredibly similar to 2018 economics. The market for cars in general was, of course, incredibly similar. Having the EMPIRE OF JAPAN sponsor you is incredibly similar to how Tesla operates.

    52. Re:Huh? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Tesla was operating during the biggest boom of the century

      So you're saying that the best years between 2001 and 2013 were the years 2003 to 2013? How unexpected!

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    53. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, depression era economics are incredibly similar to 2018 economics.

      You can claim your Nobel in economics for this piece of "genius" alone :)))

      The market for cars in general was, of course, incredibly similar.
      [citation needed]

      Having the EMPIRE OF JAPAN sponsor you
      ditto.

    54. Re:Huh? by sjames · · Score: 2

      Perhaps it's just that that memo is closer to the 3rd party objective position than the one you read. And so now you're confused.

    55. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rei has more knowledge on the subject than you'll ever have

      But of course! That's precisely what I'm saying, on the subject of Tesla talking point memos, "Rei" will always have"more knowledge" than me, because they are being paid to distribute it. Day and night, 24x7, year after year, on several sites.

      It isn't even one troll, it is a whole Russian bot factory.

    56. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep, sure, Toyota was producing 1950s cars in a plant they made in 1985. Tesla shills - as stupid as they are desperate for attention.

    57. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla was founded in 2003. The years between 2003 and 2007 were a boon for new companies, as money was available almost for free, thanks to Mr. Greenspan senile management.

      Then there was the crisis of 2007-08, which Tesla weathered easily thanks to government subsidies.

      Tesla had its IPO in 2010, when the market has largely recovered, and the market has been on the rise since.

      So, yeah, excluding the Bush crisis, 2003-2013 in the US were pretty good, and much better than 1933-1943 in Japan.

    58. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, we're down to "you're stomping it wrong."? So typical of the relationship between cult followings and their leaders.

    59. Re:Huh? by Rei · · Score: 1

      And 1% downward means that 300meter long line is 3meters higher in one end.

      Correct. Wow, you can do math.

      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
    60. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was indeed looking for this kind of info.
      BTW where did you get it?
      In the post it was said that Tesla had limited capital spending by "by manufacturing the Model 3 on existing assembly lines, rather than building new lines.".
      That seems to contradict your story??

    61. Re:Huh? by Rei · · Score: 1

      If you have interest in Tesla (and regardless of how it turns out, it really is the financial story of the decade, with such passion and huge bets on both sides of the aisle - and will be talked about for many decades to come), you should read the quarterly newsletters and join the investor calls. All of this comes from there. Old conference call transcripts are kept public at Seeking Alpha (you can probably find audio of them on YouTube), and you can find the quarterly newsletters here. There won't be another one until three months from now, of course.

      The Slashdot summary was a bit off. The actual quote from Tesla is: " We believe that increasing capacity by improving utilization of our existing lines and making selective improvements to address bottlenecks rather than creating entirely new duplicated lines will be the most capital efficient approach. "

      It's a forward-looking statement, not a past looking statement. I'm actually surprised that you haven't heard about GA4. The Sprung structure that they built has commonly been called "The Tent" in the media, although that gives a misleading impression; Sprung structures are rated to withstand major earthquakes and have survived category 5 hurricanes, can be fully climate controlled, and are used from the tropics to the high arctic (I definitely recommend going to Sprung's website and reading about them, they're rather cool). Also, a common misnomer is that there's only one; there's actually several at the Tesla factory, this is just the largest.

      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
    62. Re:Huh? by bgarcia · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Silly me and my antiquated notion of profit!

      Yes, you don't go straight from "I have an idea for a business" to "profit". There's the part called "investment" that happens in there, and it takes a LOT of money to create a new car company.

      Tesla's goal is to switch the world to sustainable energy. They're doing that buy becoming an automobile manufacturer. This is an old, well-established market where it's more likely that an existing company dies than for a startup to succeed. Now, you could plan on being a "boutique" manufacturer, like Lamborghini. Make a few, very-expensive cars, sell them to rich people, have a profit, and call it a day. But selling $200k roadsters isn't going to switch the whole world to sustainable energy. For that, you need to sell less expensive cars, and you need to make a lot of them.

      The short-term goal is to gain a ton of market share. All revenue is shoveled back into additional development of even more vehicles. If you're trying to grab a big piece of the market, you better borrow as much money as you can so that you can develop additional vehicles more quickly.

      This isn't the "local pizza shop" business model you learned in Econ 101. This is the Amazon model. Grab the entire market, damn the costs.
      Some references:
      Amazon Never Makes Money But No One Cares
      Amazon’s epic 20-year run as a public company, explained in five charts

      --
      I'm a leaf on the wind. Watch how I soar.
    63. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good god, does anyone else know about this? Alert the press, the Tesla investors, the SEC! Make way, everybody, this generation's Woodward and Bernstein has arrived!

    64. Re:Huh? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So sales are up, losses are up - but they're on track to make a profit? Really? Something's not adding up...

      Yes when you remove several variables and then conflate equations with two different times you will typically find your math doesn't add up.

      But hey if entire business reports were able to be condensed into 2x 4 word statements then you wouldn't need accountants or financial reports the size of a decent novel.

    65. Re:Huh? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Toyota was making more ICE cars in the same plant

      What same plant? Just because Telsa bought the plant doesn't make it the same plant. The insides are completely gutted, the production completely different, and surprise surprise the end product is different too.

      The only thing Tesla and Toytoa share in common is the roof.

      You should stop comparing to a company that isn't even selling the same product. Maybe look to those who are. e.g. The problem Porsche is having ramping up production of the Taycan.

    66. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't rebuild a factory for the hell of it.

      No, you build a tent in a parking lot when your factory isnt working...

    67. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla On Track To Turn a Profit This Year

      Unfortunately, the company's net loss rose dramatically as a result.

      So sales are up, losses are up - but they're on track to make a profit? Really? Something's not adding up... Losses for Q1 2018 were 17.5% of revenues. Losses for Q2 2018 (just announced) were 17.9%. Increasing losses as a percent of revenue does NOT lead to profit.

      The headline is ignorant. They will not turn a profit for the year.

    68. Re: Huh? by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 1

      Enron was the 'financial story' of a different decade.

    69. Re:Huh? by The+Cynical+Critic · · Score: 1

      Considering that they've been investing pretty heavily into expanding their production capacity with the increased production they're buying more components, which obviously don't come out the other end as revenue exactly overnight, it's completely to be expected. We're talking both their loss and revenue being within 5% of analyst predictions so there's even less to be surprised about.

      When a company invests into additional production the costs of that always show up on the balance sheet months before the additional revenue really comes in. In this case Tesla got to the 5k Model 3s per week figure those investments were made to reach by the last week of the quarter. Hence the real impact of the additional investments won't really start to show on their balance until the next quarter.

      --
      "Why should I want to make anything up? Life's bad enough as it is without wanting to invent any more of it."
    70. Re:Huh? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      So is the fabled $35,000 Model 3 still going to be $35,000 even without the tax rebate?

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    71. Re:Huh? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      LG seems to be their main competitor at the moment. The packs they are making for Hyundai, Kia, Nissan and GM are cheaper per kWh and have better warranties than the Panasonic/Tesla ones.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    72. Re:Huh? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Strange that they thought the warehouse was a good idea, most other manufacturers moved to the just-in-time delivery model they ended up with long ago. The Honda plant in the UK, for example, has 15 minutes of stock on hand and it's all on the assembly lines, with the same set up where trucks deliver directly to where the parts are needed. It's well established, tried and tested.

      I'd love to know what drove that decision. Maybe they just felt it might help them ramp up since they didn't have the experience to simply build a high capacity line right off the bat.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    73. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The question is can they hold that lead. Most say yes for a variety of reasons: 1) Auto makers hate EVs to the very core of their soul 2) Dealerships hate EVs because they mess with their business model 3) you need to be the world's largest producer of batteries (Tesla) to make EVs profitably.

      1) American auto makers hate EVs for some reason. Automakers Huyndai & Nissan crank out EVs alongside gas & diesel cars. No hate, just another model with a different driveline. Then there are the german automakers, with their slow-start approach.

      2) Tesla sell directly to customers. Other automakers with EVs sell through dealerships as usual. Sure, the dealer will now need to learn something about battery service - but each new model brings something new anyway. EVs needs customizations, brake service, washing fluid, tires, new seats & broken glass repair like any other vehicle.

      3) Wrong. Others already makes EVs with a profit. Smaller than Teslas, not so interesting for the US market, but filling the niche in Europe/Asia.

    74. Re: Huh? by Rei · · Score: 1
      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
    75. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The $35000 model was cancelled.

    76. Re:Huh? by GNious · · Score: 1

      When I was in Automotive, convincing US manufacturers that JIT/JIS was the way to go was neigh impossible.
      Pretty much the whole world uses it, but I can think of only a few places in the US who went to a full JIT (let alone JIS) setup.

    77. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla is no Amazon. Amazon has always been able to deliver on its orders, has rarely, if ever, slipped in delivering the solutions they promised to, Besos has never bailed out his other failing businesses with Amazon money, and he isn't the attention whore Musk is. So, totally different companies with totally different leaders - Besos building businesses, Musk - selling fantasies to idiots and getting angry when justly criticised.

    78. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First, Toyota and Tesla make the same product - automobiles. Second, when Toyota moved in, they replaced even the roof, yet they were making 6k cars/wk, sustained, in the first year. Mr. Pedo isn't able to make more than 3k sustained, scratch that, 2k sustained on a yearly basis. Third, as I've heard many times before, making an EV is apparently easier and cheaper than making an ICE car.

      So, the comparison is on target, and it shows Tesla to be a failure.

    79. Re: Huh? by Eloking · · Score: 2

      Rei has more knowledge on the subject than you'll ever have

      But of course! That's precisely what I'm saying, on the subject of Tesla talking point memos, "Rei" will always have"more knowledge" than me, because they are being paid to distribute it. Day and night, 24x7, year after year, on several sites.

      It isn't even one troll, it is a whole Russian bot factory.

      Said the AC.

      Complain as much as you want, I've always found that /. was the nest of three flocks. Programmer, Engineer and scientist. Elon Musk have every reason to be a center of interest of the whole lot.

      You may prefer article about the

      latest Red Hat version

      but as an engineer and a (pretty) old 6 digits (5 digits if I weren't lazy), after years of member arguing about Who Killed the Electric Car this is a breath of fresh air.

      You think Rei is "paid" to "share the good news"? You have a very high respect of slashdot influence to think someone will be paid full time to write a few comment here.

      --
      Elok
    80. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla has nothing in common with Amazon. Amazon has been able to deliver on its orders, deliver on its product development promises, control its costs, satisfy its customer base, it never purchased worthless shares from other Besos investments, and has a business model that does not depend on magic and calling other people names.

      Try again, shill.

    81. Re:Huh? by Straif · · Score: 1

      Technically the model wasn't cancelled but the price was removed from the ordering page so no one knows if it will actually be $35,000 when it's available in 9 months or not. There were stories that some of the expected cost savings from production scaling aren't appearing so it's anyone guess if it will ever arrive at that price point.

      Of course that doesn't prevent reviewers from reviewing the $35,000 model 3 from Tesla, and then almost as an afterthought mentioning that the actual version their testing is actually the $53,000 or $64,000 model.

      --
      Of course that's just my opinion...... you could be wrong!
    82. Re:Huh? by slashdice · · Score: 1

      To save money, they're replacing leather seats with velour. They're also replacing the entertainment system with an 8-track and Atari 2600. Fuzzy dice hanging from the rear view mirror are also available on the Model 3 Disco DeLuxe version, as is an 8-track of Disco Inferno. Perfect for when your Model 3 autopilots itself into a parked fire truck and internal combusts.

      --
      Copyright (c) 1990 - 2014 Dice. All rights reserved. Use of this comment is subject to certain Terms and Conditions.
    83. Re:Huh? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Ah, that explains it then. It's just a cultural thing, I guess part manufacturers in the US aren't set up for making deliveries that way either so it's hard for a relatively small outfit like Tesla to convince them to start.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    84. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And in no way could a one-time charge related to a 9% cut in the workforce skew the numbers at the incredibly un-nuanced level you are looking...

    85. Re: Huh? by Eloking · · Score: 2

      So...much...mistake...in so...few..words......can't resist...

      It is basically a cult. Rei is a huge cult member.

      A little exaggeration here? May I help you with the definition of a cult?

      It makes no sense to be so devoted to a company

      Let's see... /. have always be the nest of Programmers, Engineers and scientists and Elon Musk portfolio kinda fall in all three categories. And in case you didn't noticed, he make an "American Space" company that make an rocket that land on the very own launch pad, a new "American Car" company that created the very first successful electric car, an Online Bank to pay for your stuff and a few others.

      So, yeah, it really doesn't make any sense that folks here like the guys and his companies.

      especially one that makes toys for the 1%

      I see you failed to recognize the pattern. Let me draw this for you :

      2008 : Roadster were released. Now ~2,500 Roadsters at ~100,000$
      2012 : Model S were released. Now ~200,000 Model at an ~90,000$ average
      2018 : ~60,000 Model 3 made already at a ~50,000$. And I've read that there's about 500,000 reservation.

      Now come on. You can do it. Read the number.

      If they were concerned about the environment they wouldn't be "investing" in a company that makes $60,000 cars!

      Considering that transportation is the main source of greenhouse gas, I would say it help "pretty much".

      These people are out of touch with reality.

      Yeah....or maybe that you are out of touch with the reality of about everyone here (except maybe a few AC).

      --
      Elok
    86. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Umm, supercruise, you know the auto drive system that hasn't killed anyone. And they are heavy into all sorts of stuff like maven and autonomous.Just because GM doesn't tweet about it all the time doesn't mean they aren't doing stuff. As an example while Elon was touting his stupid child submarine and then got butt hurt when no one used it, a GM employee was one of the divers who actually was part of the rescue. Bet you didn't know that either.

    87. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, small, crap, exceedingly basic 80s Toyota's are incredibly similar to 2018 electric cars.

    88. Re:Huh? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      It would if the business plan weren't to use old EV packs once there's enough of them available.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    89. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no "3rd party objective position" in any of your posts, just dumb shilling.

    90. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, small, crappy, exceedingly basic and obscenely expensive model 3 is incredibly similar to the 80s Japanese cars in every aspect but the price.

    91. Re: Huh? by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      Havenâ(TM)t you noticed many people on here believe anything Elon says. He said on the call today they were still going to make money this year so it must be true.

      Anything he says on investor calls or in SEC filings, yes, of course. It's possible that his predictions won't come true, but lying to investors or the SEC does nothing but make you a target for the SEC Hammer (TM).

    92. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yep. And that is why I have never been bullish on Tesla. I have always thought that it would be easier for the big, experienced, existing automakers to change to electric drive-trains than for Elon Musk to transition from a niche market manufacturer to mass-market production.

    93. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Using end of year 2017 data in a conversation Q2 2018 results is typical of the lack of rationality to your Tesla posts. And, as you've shown when you bring in this same, exact, misinformed argument in every single thread remotely related to Tesla, you still don't understand what this data means.

      Before you bring it up again, I'd like to point out yet again that capital expenditure is part Cost of Revenue.

    94. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      GM producing cars wasn't really the issue in that sense. The issue was that they were producing so many of them that they couldn't sell all their inventory without going into deep discounts. Plus, the vehicles they were producing weren't what the customers were wanting at that time as they were expensive and weren't very fuel efficient.

      Had they had better management that would have had a different mix of vehicles that bailout likely wouldn't have happened.

    95. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It may not be strictly cultural, it may also be somewhat out of necessity. I'll be the first to admit I'm no expert in logistics, but being from the US and having spent a lot of time in Europe, it does really seem a lot of Europeans really have trouble fathoming realities of the US. They visit cities and see they aren't all that different than European cities and assume that everything is similar, but the US is big. Really big. And sparse. And we have some of the worst extreme weather in the world (Something like 80% of all tornadoes on earth occur in the US). So I imagine a combination of size and inclemental weather makes it really hard to logistically allow JIT manufacturing. A tornado comes through, rips up I-70, it's a 24 hour delay for that shipment to reroute to I-80. The winter hits where you've got to get stuff across the rocky mountains and a snow storm comes through, the passes are all closed, that can be several days delayed.

      I imagine logistics in Canada are similar to the US, but worse seeing they're even bigger and even sparser, though from what I understand, their weather isn't quite as extreme (extreme as in shuts things down, I know what we in the US call cold as fuck, they call a mild cool day).

    96. Re: Huh? by bozzy · · Score: 1

      I think it has to do with how much energy you've consumed mining the bitcoin used to pay for the car....

    97. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Technically, if something isn't available for purchase and timely delivery, it doesn't exist.

    98. Re:Huh? by torkus · · Score: 1

      Oh man, I try not to feed the trolls but ...

      You realize you're referring to two quarters where they very heavily invested in building out their plant? You know...where massive capital and opex investment resulted in a working volume production line that they have today?

      Oh wait, you don't. You just want to look at whatever information suits your point in a complete vacuum so no other relevant information can possibly intrude. Kudos for getting me to reply, but 0/10 actually having a defensible point.

      Maybe after Q3 you'll come back to tell us how the numbers are just a quirk and won't last? And after Q4 you'll point out how other manufacturers will overtake them any moment and crush them? And some time in late 2019 you'll explain how Musk is actually Satan and been fooling us all with cooked books. Then around 2025 you'll explain how you're driving your very own tesla just so you can 'honestly' speak about all it's horrible faults. Sound about right?

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    99. Re:Huh? by torkus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's not even that business model.

      It's called operating at a loss while you build out your infrastructure and develop your product. Granted, most companies don't spend 15 years doing that but most companies don't jump head-first into something so unique and difficult and heavily regulated.

      Never mind they've had multiple successful products over those years and this was literally Musk's plan from the very beginning.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    100. Re:Huh? by bigpat · · Score: 1

      It's not that Tesla is the only company that has any knowledge of battery chemistry, or that US companies have a monopoly on battery chemistry tech, not even close. There are plenty of batter manufacturers in Asia and Europe who can compete there.

      Competition sounds good for consumers.

      Tesla has demonstrated they can't meet demand for electric cars so there is plenty of demand if manufacturers want to step up and accelerate their plans to offer more and better electric cars... and incidentally Tesla have also demonstrated it isn't trivial to set up a supply chain, manufacturing line, distribution and sales channels to produce tens of thousands of cars each year on a completely new type of platform. So there is that.

      The alternative to this "there are plenty of companies that could do it" view is that there are plenty of companies that haven't done it and choose instead to get as much value out of their existing and proven design and manufacturing capabilities without taking the risk of making major capital and R&D investments since they aren't sure they can make work.

      It is the old problem of how to balance getting the most from old investments and the risk of making new investments. Plenty of examples of companies that successfully leveraged their previous success into new successes, plenty of examples of companies that decided to play it safe and had many years of steady revenue and profits, plenty of examples of companies that missed the boat on technology they themselves could have brought to market... Xerox Palo Alto is the classic case study of inventing much of modern computing and then deciding that it would undermine their paper printing business, and to underlie the real risk of making big new capital investments there are plenty of examples of old successful solid companies with new management deciding they need to leverage the company to make some huge new capital investments to remake the company only to fail to grow revenue spectacularly and be eventually crushed by their debt load.

    101. Re:Huh? by torkus · · Score: 1

      Wow you're naive. Market cap is fuzzy money, not cash-in-hand.

      The reason TSLA is worth so much is because of the outlook. It's at the forefront of what many analysts expect cars will be. Their IP, their brand, their business model, their cars are all cutting edge and very much an industry disruption.

      Market cap doesn't really represent the cash-out value of a company today, but the speculative value in the longer term...which is one of the fundamental principles of the stock market.

      Besides, EM has flat out told people to F off and not buy their stock. They aren't trying to push their stock higher at the expense of...well, anything like most companies. The fact that their stock is so high shows the backing of many people with a lot more insight (and money) than you or I.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    102. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Tesla makes about 3x what GM makes per car of profit on the Model S"

      Geez, apples and oranges much. Compare the margin on the Corvette Z06 and Model S while we're at it. For the market segment of the Model S, it's nowhere near the higher margin end.

    103. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Regardless what your âoethoughtsâ are on the subject (and thatâ(TM)s being generous), Tesla doesnâ(TM)t NEED to price their cars at $35k until the [impotent] competition offers something comparable for $36k (now THEREâ(TM)s an amusing thought!).

    104. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet it's not even half way to recovering from it's price a month ago. The big shorts aren't looking at such short periods. If anything, the upswing has been smaller than otherwise expected.

    105. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You apparently like to masquerade as a moron while logged-on as AC... Iâ(TM)m guessing thatâ(TM)s not too hard a role for you to play...

    106. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You think Rei is "paid" to "share the good news"? You have a very high respect of slashdot influence to think someone will be paid full time to write a few comment here.

      Rei:
      >he/she claims to be from Iceland
      >post frequently at 0200-0500 local Iceland time (in this thread he posted 0213, 0216, 0220, and 0304 local time)

      either he's not from Iceland, or he's losing sleep for pay (I certainly wouldn't shill at 0304 for free)

      he/she also posted in youtube under "karen peese" (same stock picture as "KarenRei")(changing your username willy nilly when you wanted to be taken seriously?)

    107. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about truck nuts? Does model 3 get them, and for how much?

    108. Re:Huh? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      Take a look at the quarterly tab. You're welcome.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    109. Re:Huh? by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      So, yeah, excluding the Bush crisis, 2003-2013 in the US were pretty good, and much better than 1933-1943 in Japan.

      C'mon, everyone KNOWS that real estate dropping 10% and the resulting credit crunch and inability to buy a new car every year and afford three daily soy lattes is WAY WORSE than a war and daily firebombings of your cities!

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    110. Re:Huh? by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      What the fuck is valourvare?

      It's British for "valorware", of course.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    111. Re:Huh? by torkus · · Score: 1

      Warranty: Tesla's older packs have already proven far more durable than expected. This is not a major concern anymore.

      Cost: You need to put cost in perspective. Cost per kwh ... or per kwh/kg or kwh/m^3 are more important. Same for battery life (irrespective of warranty), current rating, charge cycles, etc. Within reason, quality is much more important than cost.

      I'm not familiar with LG's battery plant(s) but Tesla is focused on one cell to rule them all...at least for their applications. They can and have focus all their RD and plant capacity in one place and reap significant economy of scale. Last I heard, they're producing significantly better Li cells than anyone else while remaining competitive on price.

      They're also actively pursuing a reduction in the costly metals that go into both batteries and motors. Something they've already achieved substantial success on. Look at their latest electric motor, a partial-PM-SRM. Substantial savings in cost with a very healthy boost to performance and efficiency.

      So yah, LG may be sellling cheaper packs and backing them with a longer warranty but that doesn't make them better in ANY functional sense.

      --
      You can get rich if you own a politician, but you have to be rich to buy one in the first place.
    112. Re:Huh? by bgarcia · · Score: 1

      Tesla is no Amazon.

      Agreed. I'm just saying that they're following the same strategy. Worry about growth, not profit.

      Amazon has always been able to deliver on its orders, has rarely, if ever, slipped in delivering the solutions they promised to,

      Completely irrelevant. Tesla is following the same plan, regardless of how "well" they are following it.

      Besos has never bailed out his other failing businesses with Amazon money,

      Solar is going to be huge. There is a great synergy between Solar panels/tiles and Powerwalls. That's not a bailout - that's Tesla tacking advantage of another company's short-term misfortunes to position themselves to be a dominant player in the long term.

      --
      I'm a leaf on the wind. Watch how I soar.
    113. Re:Huh? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The first car using their 64kWh packs is the Hyundai Kona. Well, for a start it's 64kWh usable, the pack is more like 68-70kWh.

      Unlimited warranty on the battery. Same 70% threshold as Tesla. Excellent range and efficiency, so it doesn't appear to be particularly heavy and it's about the size you would expect.

      The car is cheaper than the Model 3 SR which is only 50kWh.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    114. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Karen Pease
      or
      KarenRei

      who to follow? tough choice...

    115. Re:Huh? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      This is an old, well-established market where it's more likely that an existing company dies than for a startup to succeed.

      Like GMC should have?

    116. Re:Huh? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      "If GM took EVs seriously starting when they produced EV-1 and kept going until now, there would be no need for a Tesla. The fact that GM discarded any lead they might have had is more meaningful than how many internal combustion cars they can make"

      Toyota cucked themselves, too. If they worked diligently at making the Prius approach the RAV4 EV battery pack capacity over the past 2 decades and made it plug-in capable a decade sooner, they would OWN the EV market.

      Did the patent encumbrance of large prismatic NiMH batteries have anything to do with that?

      Tesla or anybody else would have had to wait for either the patents to run out or for an alternative technology like lithium rechargeable to become economical.

    117. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm just saying that they're following the same strategy.

      They are not.

      Worry about growth, not profit.

      Tesla is squandering growth by not being able to deliver. Amazon has always been able to deliver.

      Completely irrelevant. Tesla is following the same plan, regardless of how "well" they are following it.

      Execution is the only thing that is relevant, because "following the plan" means executing all parts of it. Tesla executes the easy parts ("no profits") but fails at the hard parts ("no missed delivery").

      Or, as that guy said in that movie, there's a difference between knowing the path and walking the path.

      Solar is going to be huge. There is a great synergy between Solar panels/tiles and Powerwalls.

      Solar is already huge, and Tesla is not part of it. It has left that market, because it cannot deliver. Their "solar" offerings are vaporware, and you cannot buy them. Meanwhile, you can already buy a full 8kW installation for about $10k from Ali Express.

      That's not a bailout

      Not of the business, no, it will still be shut down. It was a theft, Musk buying his own stock with his investors' money. With their approval. Which shows how "smart" they are.

    118. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Regardless of your trolling and wet fantasies about replacing Grimes, accepting money for a preorder creates a real legal responsibility to deliver it. If you don't, that makes it a swindle.

    119. Re:Huh? by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      In other news, Duralast sells tools with the same warranty as Snap-On, and a much lower price. And yet.

      I remember about 20 years ago somebody pointing out that many Craftsman brand tools had the same warranty, and if you're not a business customer it was easier to replace because you just go to any Sears store.

      I can trade in a Duralast at Autozone for a new one. No hassles. But I do have to trade them in for new ones.

    120. Re:Huh? by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      ...capital is depreciated over the usable life of the investment. Wheeling out a ton of cash now in the build up for something in the future would be a footnote on current earnings.

      In a world where cash is not king, it might even be true. *rofl*

    121. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe that's what they can do to earn money, install a bitcoin miner in every head unit.

    122. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now, that's a strong comeback... Factual, logical, well-argued. Also, almost readable.

    123. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They aren't trying to push their stock higher

      Wow, you're naive. Pushing their stock higher is Enron Musk's daily job.

    124. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With something like 10 or 15% of the stock being traded, it is quite hard to say which way the price will go. Tesla is, like every other Musk "enterprise", a stock scam.

    125. Re:Huh? by bgarcia · · Score: 1

      Amazon has always been able to deliver.

      How quickly we forget Amazon's missteps. Do you not remember the little bug they had in their website that allowed you to "choose your own price" for whatever you bought? That was fun. $100 books for however many pennies you wanted to pay.

      Tesla executes the easy parts ("no profits") but fails at the hard parts ("no missed delivery")

      The goal isn't to meet arbitrarily-chosen deadlines. The goal is to sell as many cars as possible. And they're able to sell every last car they can build. Without paying for any advertising at all. They are supply-constrained.

      But if this is rubbing too much salt in your TSLA-short portfolio, I guess I can stop here.

      --
      I'm a leaf on the wind. Watch how I soar.
    126. Re:Huh? by Eloking · · Score: 1

      If GM took EVs seriously starting when they produced EV-1 and kept going until now, there would be no need for a Tesla. The fact that GM discarded any lead they might have had is more meaningful than how many internal combustion cars they can make.

      It seem you watched "Who killed the electric car". But I don't agree.

      Most of the statement is that EV-1 owner loved they car. Truth is, the car is is a huge pile of crap that wouldn't have been successful to anyone beside EV enthusiast : https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      --
      Elok
    127. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla has nothing in common with Amazon. Amazon has been able to deliver on its orders, deliver on its product development promises,

      Hmm, then what are these cars I see with Tesla written on them if not delivered orders? What is this model 3 except a product they developed? It might be late, but they've delivered on both.

      I really hope you're not talking about the huge demand for an un-advertised product with hundreds of thousands of customers lined up and waiting to buy them, because there isn't a business in the world that would consider that a bad thing.

      satisfy its customer base,

      Agreed, it hasn't increased it's ranking in customer satisfaction in years! Of course, it's a bit difficult to increase your ranking when you're number 1 three years in a row.
      https://www.consumerreports.org/car-reliability-owner-satisfaction/car-brands-ranked-by-owner-satisfaction/

      and has a business model that does not depend on magic and calling other people names.

      Oh, the four models, 1300 supercharger staions, enormous battery plant, and assembly lines they've made were created by magic? I thought it was investment-funded massive industrial and engineering effort. Silly me.

      control its costs,

      Yes, the reckless spending on development, manufacturing facilities, and infrastructure must stop. That's no way to run a business.

      it never purchased worthless shares from other Besos investments,

      SolarCity was a completely worthless company for Tesla, unless you count the solar cells sold on Tesla's website, the clear integration strategy with their Powerwall, and the obvious relationship between the two industries. All investments must be profitable immediately, or they're worthless.

    128. Re: Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If by "reading from the same script" you mean using actual facts instead of specious arguments, then yes, we are all reading from the same script.

    129. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What we found out today, however, was that they had a problem with the conveyor system in the engineering phase: since it was designed for transporting parts, not whole cars, it wasn't up to the job. It could hold a car fine, but the motors weren't strong enough to move it reliably. Their solution? Let gravity give them a boost. The GA4 line is built at a 1% downward grade, which reduces stress on the motors to within their design tolerances.

      Yes, they certainly made some incredibly stupid mistakes before a little bit of common sense kicked in and allowed them to just about salvage things.

    130. Re:Huh? by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Actually, I know an EV-1 owner, in fact it's his vehicle that is in the National Museum of American History. You can read his comments about it here. Whether the EV-1 owners liked their cars, and whether it was a successful vehicle, are irrelevant. After all, it was the first model they made and computer folks know about "1.0" versions. The point was that GM had the technical lead, and discarded it.

      And besides, these days people really like their Teslas. So, whatever was wrong with EV-1 wasn't an indictment of the electric car in general.

    131. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How quickly we forget Amazon's missteps.

      Yeah, let's compare a few inevitable bugs with a history of incompetence and inability to deliver a product. Because these two are the same...

      They are supply-constrained.

      Tesla is not "supply-constrained". Tesla's costs per car increase consistently with the volume of sales. They are constrained by the diseconomies of scale that result from their inability to execute. That is, from the incompetence of Musk and his board. Or, rather because his competence is elsewhere - in peddling worthless stock to gullible idiots.

      But if this is rubbing too much salt in your TSLA-short portfolio,

      Yep, that's the strongest "argument" you can shit out of the empty space between your ears when faced with hard facts.

      You better stop here indeed, before you make even more of a laughing stock of yourself.

    132. Re:Huh? by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      Telsa shill spotted.

      Tesla never has been profitable. There is no reason to suspect they will ever make a profit.

      Short term goal...hah...there is no long term plan or way to profit.

    133. Re:Huh? by haruchai · · Score: 1

      The Prius had a 1.3 kilowatt battery from its early years on.
      What about that is not "large format"? How exactly could Chevron justify allowing packs of that size to be made and sold in ever greater numbers but not larger packs made by combining them?
      That's like having the patents on a AA battery and allowing devices that use ONE of them to be made but not any that use 2 or more.

      If Toyota had any balls they could easily have taken Chevron to court and won.
      Elon Musk may be a long way from a saint or even a nice guy but he would have fought this and not bent and greased up like Toyota did.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    134. Re:Huh? by haruchai · · Score: 1

      "or for an alternative technology like lithium rechargeable to become economical

      Or for a bunch of corporate crooks to get caught.
      From 2000 - 2011 there was price fixing collusion between Sanyo, LG, Hitachi, Panasonic, Samsung SDI and Sony that kept Li-on battery prices artificially high.
      Since then, prices have fallen from ~$1000 / kWh to about $150 / kWh at the cell level.

      --
      Pain is merely failure leaving the body
    135. Re:Huh? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      "or for an alternative technology like lithium rechargeable to become economical

      Or for a bunch of corporate crooks to get caught.
      From 2000 - 2011 there was price fixing collusion between Sanyo, LG, Hitachi, Panasonic, Samsung SDI and Sony that kept Li-on battery prices artificially high.
      Since then, prices have fallen from ~$1000 / kWh to about $150 / kWh at the cell level.

      This was earlier.

    136. Re:Huh? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      The Prius had a 1.3 kilowatt battery from its early years on.
      What about that is not "large format"? How exactly could Chevron justify allowing packs of that size to be made and sold in ever greater numbers but not larger packs made by combining them?
      That's like having the patents on a AA battery and allowing devices that use ONE of them to be made but not any that use 2 or more.

      If Toyota had any balls they could easily have taken Chevron to court and won.

      "Large format" refers to a large rigid prismatic cell design which is not spirally wound. They resemble the old style flooded cell NiCd or NiFe. Figure 9 in the link below shows an example:

      http://www.mdpi.com/2313-0105/...

  5. You conflated REs and NREs by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 4, Informative

    So sales are up, losses are up - but they're on track to make a profit? Really? Something's not adding up...

    What's not adding up is that you're conflating recurring and nonrecurring expenses (NREs).

    If all the money being spent now were recurring expenses - the money you spend on making a car in Q2 that you'll have to spend again to make another car in Q4 - then you'd be right.

    But a LOT of that money is being spent on putting together the plant to make the cars. You do that once. Then you don't have to do it again (beyond maintenance as stuff wears out and the like).

    Or at least you don't have to do it again until you EXPAND the plant to INCREASE PRODUCTION or BUILD ANOTHER TYPE OF CAR. (Guess what Tesla has been doing...) That's why companies have to spend a lot of money - that they get from investors - when starting up, that they don't earn back right away.

    Their balance sheet for the quarter includes both the REs and NREs. If you allocate it ALL to the current production of cars, and project that into the future, you'll be 'way low on the bottom line once the NREs have been paid off and the plant is still making cars.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:You conflated REs and NREs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You do that once. Then you don't have to do it again

      Musk has rebuilt his factory for each new model. This is not only in the news, this is also visible by the readily observable and consistent increase of variable costs per vehicle since their second model, something you can check easily.

      But keep trolling.

    2. Re:You conflated REs and NREs by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

      Musk has rebuilt his factory for each new model.

      Speaking as someone who worked in the Detroit auto
      industry during the 70s and 80s: ALL auto companies do a substantial rehack of their factories for each new model.

      Detroit auto companies scheduled model changeover to coincide with deer hunting season, giving their workers (except for the plant engineers, electricians, and millwrights) time off to go chasing Bambi through the woods - or have a beer party in camp.

      The changeover also gave those worthies a chance to fix all the stuff that had broken during the model year and patched up to keep limping along until the next break. (Typical example: An intermittent ground fault in some machine. You could see the balance indicator lights on the power bus flash every time it cycled as the 3-phase feed went off-center. This would work fine for months - unless two machines on the same bus would develop ground faults on different phases and happen to activate them simultaneously. Then you'd get the fireworks.)

      But keep trolling.

      Yes, you really should. As we used to say on Netnews: "If [somebody like you] didn't exist, we'd have to invent him."

      Trolls are really handy as straight men, raising the strawman arguments and thus giving people like me an opportunity to post the real story.

      Somebody who actually believes the popular misconceptions works much better than a sock puppet, because he's much better at getting the language right on the bogus argument that needs to be exposed. B-)

      --
      Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  6. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Somebody below 40 on slashdot? Thatâ(TM)s impossible!

  7. Not Invented Here by damas · · Score: 1

    Mr. Musk, Given that Tesla has burnt through over 3 billion dollars wouldnâ(TM)t it have been cheaper to buy a small auto plant (or even a whole company) instead of re-inventing the assembly line from scratch?

    1. Re:Not Invented Here by AlanObject · · Score: 1

      wouldn't it have been cheaper to buy a small auto plant (or even a whole company) instead of re-inventing the assembly line from scratch?

      The NUMMI plant was a complete building when Tesla occupied it, operated by GM and Toyota from 1984 to about 2010. Is that what you meant?

      As for the assembly line itself, it was two generations older and set up for a different type of car. Tesla's investment is not only for the car design but the process to build it.

    2. Re:Not Invented Here by damas · · Score: 2

      Fact check: Tesla purchased the NUMMI factory building in Oct 2010; no expertise was transferred. Toyota's most valuable equipment had been shipped out in April/May 2010, after the plant was closed; other on-site equipment was auctioned off In June 2010. Tesla purchased the "left-overs" parts and equipment worth 15M in Oct 2010, while the tooling cost of a new auto plant is around 1 billion...

      I wouldn't say they purchased a plant, just the building.

    3. Re:Not Invented Here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or contract it out to someone who knows what they're doing, like Jaguar did with the i-Pace

    4. Re:Not Invented Here by msevior · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Or contract it out to someone who knows what they're doing, like Jaguar did with the i-Pace

      No one knows how to build EV's at the scale Tesla does. They're working it out as they going along too.

    5. Re:Not Invented Here by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      even if they'd bought a "plant", they still have to throw out the old ICE lines to create a modern line to cater for the new EV - so a sensible idea to just to buy a building.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    6. Re:Not Invented Here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla's first car was the Roadster, and it was built by Lotus, because Tesla did not know how to build cars then. Now they've learned to build low-quality expensive cars, at low volumes. Still ahead: volume production, better quality, low cost. The same situation they had 10 years ago.

    7. Re:Not Invented Here by Rei · · Score: 1

      Correct. The factory was gutted except for some small equipment purchases.

      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
    8. Re:Not Invented Here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What? This may come as a surprise to you, but EVs are 90% identical to ICEs. The drive train is different. And isn't the drive train supposed to be much simpler in EVs?

      Also, I'd argue Nissan has it pretty well figured out, or is Nissan now considered "no one".

    9. Re:Not Invented Here by Thelasko · · Score: 1

      Or contract it out to someone who knows what they're doing, like Jaguar did with the i-Pace

      I always wanted an all electric vehicle from "The Prince of Darkness"!

      --
      One of our competitors trademarked the term "hypothesis". From now on, we will call them "boneheaded ideas".
    10. Re:Not Invented Here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Electric cars aren't special unicorns. From a manufacturing perspective, they're about the same as other modern cars.

    11. Re:Not Invented Here by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry, Tesla is not the scale leader. The numbers have probably changed since then, not in Tesla's favour.

      https://www.forbes.com/sites/bertelschmitt/2017/05/01/who-is-the-worlds-leading-ev-marker-no-its-not-tesla/

    12. Re:Not Invented Here by samwichse · · Score: 1

      5000 cars/week isn't volume production?

      I mean, it's far less than GM, but that's still approximately 1/4 million cars per year.

  8. Aurthur Andersen lives! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It’s called Fraud.

    Pump and Dump is the name of the scheme. Lol. Electric cars when big oil and big military are in the whitehouse.

    Musk is dusk.

  9. Re: Tesla bad for environment and econony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, nuclear is greener than coal and NG. But even with coal, power plants are greener than ICE engines. Your post is disingenuous at best.

  10. Re:Tesla bad for environment and econony by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    yeah, right. a report from an opponent of renewables who reports of behalf of major utility and fossil fuel interests like Exelon; Occidental; Duke Energy; and FirstEnergy to name a few

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  11. Chickens have come home to roost already by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    Turns out they are really healthy and churning out delicious eggs at an increasing rate.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:Chickens have come home to roost already by Rei · · Score: 1

      Chefs have been raving over the eggs, too :) Demand is so high that European chefs don't even get any until next year :P

      --
      Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
  12. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes because all the huge wall street traders post their trades on Reddit... *eyeroll*

    Congrats on finding some bottom feeders who know nothing about anything on reddit. Obviously that was hard to find on a site like reddit where all the smartest wall street money posts their trades and whine about accidentally buying the wrong thing because that happens all the time to the high end professional trades.

    Oh wait, no none of that is true. You are just a fan boi of your nerd-god.

    https://nypost.com/2018/07/21/elon-musk-is-a-total-fraud/

  13. There is no time to explain -let me sum up by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

    TSLA shorts were all betting Tesla could never make cars at volume with any margin. Turns out Tesla figured out production while still keeping a large margin....

    So Tesla is the obvious Apple of cars now. This is roughly equivalent to the point when the first iPhone came out.

    So, TSLA shorts are fucked, seriously fucked, like federal prision child sex offender fucked.

    And there as so many shorts, it will take a long time to complete the fucking with some absurd things to come because of that.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:There is no time to explain -let me sum up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Turns out Tesla figured out production

      When did that happen? They still can't output 5000 cars/wk for two weeks in a row. Come to that, they can't do this for two weeks a week apart.

  14. Tell this to Amazon by DrYak · · Score: 1

    Yep, you should have told it to Amazon (AMZN), that they should have started making profit from year 1, instead of them losing money by stupidly spending it on useless stuff like expanding their infrastructure (and basically becoming THE CLOUD since then)~~

    I'm sure, If they had listen to you they would have been successfuly instead of going down crashing and flaming as Tesla motors (TSLA) is going to do any moment soon !~~

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
    1. Re:Tell this to Amazon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amazon may have had losses, but they aren't known for massively missing deliveries, for overestimating and underdelivering on their business plans, and for irresponsibly using investor cash to bail out the failing businesses of Besos's poor relatives. Also, Besos has not made most of his executive team quit in acrimony.

      So, it ain't like Amazon and Tesla are similar in anything that matters.

  15. Re:Tesla bad for environment and econony by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yeah, right, when we can't touch the arguments, let's attack the messenger. Shilling a wee bit too much, aren't we?

  16. Re: Tesla bad for environment and econony by blindseer · · Score: 0

    Yes, nuclear is greener than coal and NG. But even with coal, power plants are greener than ICE engines. Your post is disingenuous at best.

    No, that's not true. An electric car charged from the grid in an area of the country that relies heavily on coal will have increased CO2 emissions per mile as compared to a gasoline burning car.

    https://www.theguardian.com/en...

    Graff Zivin, along with economics researchers Matthew Kotchen and Erin Mansur, waded into this contentious territory in a 2014 paper. Zivin concluded that a plug-in electric vehicle, such as the Nissan Leaf, always produces less carbon dioxide emissions than a hybrid electric- and gas-powered car - but only in selected regions that rely on less coal, like the western United States and Texas. Charging from the coal-dependent grid in the upper midwest of the US at night could generate more emissions than an average gasoline car. And, in some US regions, plugging in at different times of day could even double an electric car's emissions impact.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  17. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Rei · · Score: 1

    Tesla: NY Post article accusing Elon Musk of fraud is a total fraud

    That article has been ridiculed so many times. Want more examples? Let me know when you're done with that one.

    But golly gee, you're right about him being our God! Why, it's the ONE TRUE RELIGION! We have far more proof of our savior than any other religion, you know! (/snark)

    --
    Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
  18. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We have far more proof of our savior

    Yep, a true savior. Like, when he saved those Thai children from that pedo. On the Internet.

  19. LOL by mark-t · · Score: 1

    It took 15 years to execute on our initial goal to produce an affordable, long-range electric vehicle...

    If you want to call costing twice as much as conventional vehicles that are otherwise in the same or similar class based on size and general exterior asthetic "affordable"... sure.

    1. Re:LOL by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      It took 15 years to execute on our initial goal to produce an affordable, long-range electric vehicle...

      If you want to call costing twice as much as conventional vehicles that are otherwise in the same or similar class based on size and general exterior asthetic "affordable"... sure.

      And what class is that? The Model 3 is in the same class as the BMW 3, which costs roughly the same amount. The Model 3 isn't in the same class as a Civic or Camry.

    2. Re:LOL by Green+Mountain+Bot · · Score: 1

      Comparing within the class isn't a good way of looking at it. An electric supercar that competes with a Koenigsegg Regera, but costs only a quarter as much is not actually affordable, as most people can't afford a half million dollar car. Similarly, I don't think a car that sells for a minimum of 49,000 qualifies as "affordable" in the real world. That's nearly twice the median personal income in the US.

    3. Re:LOL by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Actually, the Tesla model 3 starting price is nearly 50% more than the BMW 3, and going by general appearance, and size, is actually not significantly different from the Ford Fusion, whose price starts at just over a third of the price that the Tesla model 3 starts at.

    4. Re:LOL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dragonslicer:

      The Model 3 isn't in the same class as a Civic or Camry.

      Sandy Munro:
      you're damn right(*).

      (*)

      ...I thought that this(Model 3) was one of the worst fit and finish I've seen in decades...

      ...these are flaws(Model 3) that we would see on a Kia in the 90s...

    5. Re:LOL by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      Actually, the Tesla model 3 starting price is nearly 50% more than the BMW 3

      The Internet says that the base price for the BMW 3 is about $35,000, which is the expected base price for the Tesla Model 3. I would reasonably assume that adding features increases the price of a BMW the same way that it increases the price of a Tesla Model 3.

      and going by general appearance, and size, is actually not significantly different from the Ford Fusion, whose price starts at just over a third of the price that the Tesla model 3 starts at.

      Going by the classifications on the US News site, the Ford Fusion is listed as a "midsize car", along with the Camry and Accord. The Tesla Model 3 is classified as a "luxury small car", just like the BMW 3.

    6. Re:LOL by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Well.... prices up here in Canada are somewhat higher than in the USA... and this might reflect my evaluation. Up here, the Tesla model 3 starts at $64.1k, while the BMW3 sedan starts at $48.9k. The Fusion, which in terms of size and overall appearance is (IMO) subjectively comparable, starts at $22k. I was basing car class not on any official designation per se, but more in terms of what the car simply looks like in terms of size and general overall appearance. Obviously a luxury car is not technically in the same class as one that is not, but if they look to be roughly the same size and have at least a similar visual aesthetic, then at least by that metric, they should be comparable.

      As for the Tesla and BMW3 being a luxury car, yeah.... but if one is willing to accept that it's a luxury item in the first place, why is anyone trying to that it's also supposedly affordable?

      The Tesla is an amazing car, and I certainly don't judge them harshly on that count by any means... but I'd never in a million years think that they are somehow priced "affordably".

    7. Re:LOL by Dragonslicer · · Score: 1

      I was basing car class not on any official designation per se, but more in terms of what the car simply looks like in terms of size and general overall appearance.

      The "luxury" car class is usually more an indication of performance and interior features (leather seats, fancy electronic toys, etc.) than size or general appearance.

      As for the Tesla and BMW3 being a luxury car, yeah.... but if one is willing to accept that it's a luxury item in the first place, why is anyone trying to that it's also supposedly affordable?

      The Tesla is an amazing car, and I certainly don't judge them harshly on that count by any means... but I'd never in a million years think that they are somehow priced "affordably".

      At $35,000, you'd be looking at somewhere around $600 per month. It's certainly not cheap for a car, but it's definitely affordable for an upper-middle class family.

    8. Re:LOL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hi Mr. Dragon, I agree with you 100% that your brand new Toyota Corolla with (leather seats, fancy electronic toys, etc.) is the epitome of "luxury".
      But how do you respond to shorts and haters like international experts Sandy Munro that impugns the Tesla Model 3 has the quality of a 1990 era Kia?(As you well know, Tesla has gone full fake leather so Sandy isn't completely off base).

  20. Re:Tesla bad for environment and econony by blindseer · · Score: 1

    yeah, right. a report from an opponent of renewables who reports of behalf of major utility and fossil fuel interests

    Is it really? I took a look at the Wikipedia pages of each company to see what kind of investments these companies have.

    like Exelon;

    They sold off their holdings in coal. They have huge investment in nuclear and hydro. Bought up a bunch of wind and solar projects. Stands to benefit greatly from carbon cap-and-trade.

    Occidental;

    Sold off all their holdings in coal 25 years ago. Produces a lot of natural gas, which would be needed as backup power for wind and solar, and therefore would benefit from expanded wind and solar investment and government subsidies.

    Duke Energy;

    Does own a lot of coal generation. Owns a lot of nuclear, including a site for which they were issued a license for a new plant in 2016. Owns a lot of hydro, including pumped hydro storage. Just completed a big solar power farm in 2017. Is in a good position to gain from carbon cap-and-trade.

    and FirstEnergy to name a few

    Has large investments in coal and nuclear power. Filed for bankruptcy and asked for federal intervention to prevent closure of some of its coal and nuclear power plants. Announced plans to close a large coal fired power plant as well as several nuclear power reactors. Of the companies you mentioned this appears to be the only one that has any reason to oppose renewable energy. Even then it's been trying to "greenwash" it's image by converting coal plants to biomass, made investments in experimental carbon sequestration, and made plans to re-power nuclear power reactors.

    All these companies would see more profit from increased electricity usage from electric cars. Occidental stand to profit either way since they have investment in oil and natural gas. First Energy would be the biggest loser from reduced electric vehicle subsidies as they risk going out of business if people aren't buying enough electricity to keep their nuclear power plants open. It seems odd for companies that rely so heavily on low carbon electricity for their income to fund a report that encourages people to buy fossil fuel burning cars instead of electric ones, discourage government subsidies in energy from wind and sun, and highlights the benefits to air quality from improved internal combustion engines.

    I'd expect these companies to want a report that goes into detail on how to reduce CO2 and air pollution from investments in electric vehicles powered by new nuclear, extending the life of existing nuclear, expanded use of wind and solar, and the need for pumped hydro storage and clean(er) natural gas to moderate the intermittent nature of renewable energy.

    I'll put it another way, do you have a better report I should read?

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  21. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    that Tesla PR piece accusing the NY Post article accusing Elon Musk of fraud of fraud is a total fraud.

    it has been ridiculed many times

  22. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  23. Not unusual by sjbe · · Score: 2

    So sales are up, losses are up - but they're on track to make a profit? Really?

    I haven't looked carefully at their financial statements but situations like that happen pretty often. What I suspect in this case is that Tesla has a lot of one time expenses during the quarter during ramp up which will not repeat in future quarters. So it makes the financials look worse during the current quarter than is expected for future quarters. There also are issues of inventory - you make the product and then deliver it but until Tesla gets paid for the car they have tied up cash (costs) in inventory. Cash flows in companies are very often quite lumpy and costs do not always track neatly with revenues.

    Remember that there are a lot of fixed costs to running an assembly line. Fixed in this case means that they have to pay the same large amount regardless of how many vehicles they produce. A fixed costs is the same regardless of whether you make 1 unit or 1 million. So Tesla incurred a large fixed expense in building the Model 3 production system but until they can get the run rate high enough they cannot amortize this over enough vehicles to make a profit. As their production rate climbs their unit cost per vehicle will fall. Basically Tesla has to increase their gross margin on the Model 3 which will happen naturally if they can continue to increase their production rate and increase efficiency of the production lines. In the mean time their losses will look short term larger but should in future quarters behave exactly as Tesla indicates - IF they can execute the plan, which isn't a trivial concern.

  24. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Fun fact: Tripp has denied both knowing how to code or use any sort of hacking tools. Funny story, people dug into his claims and found his Stack Overflow account, Adafruit acccount, Scribd, etc, and found that not only does he know how to code, he was even helping answer coding questions for others.

    Trip responded by deleting all of his old accounts.

    Fun fact #2: Want to take a guess as to the only other thing on his Scribd account apart from docs on packet sniffing tools and the like? If you guessed "NRA gun documents, you win a prize!" When asked about this, he had the most hilarious alibi ever: why, he was only had the NRA gun docs to trade for Kansas guitar tabs! Because that's a totally normal internet trade commodity, dontchaknow!

    Fun fact #3: Tripp has gone back and deleted all of his old alibi tweets, and the tweets where he admitted to having Tesla property.

    --
    Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
  25. Amortization of fixed costs. by sjbe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Don't know if you have been in the business world, but capital is depreciated over the usable life of the investment.

    Accountant speaking here. No capital investments are decidedly NOT always depreciated. In fact most companies prefer to avoid depreciating assets when they can avoid it. (depreciation does not always accurately reflect economic reality) Plus even if you do have a large amount of capex with depreciation attached there often are current period expenses attached to it that are not depreciated. For example if I buy a large press I would depreciate the press but I might not depreciate the cost of the riggers to place it, the upgrades to the electrical system to run it, the training of the labor to operate it, the slow productivity at first while we figure out how to use it, the extra workers hired to operate it, the engineers time to get it working, etc. It's not uncommon to have more costs that aren't capitalized (and thus depreciated) than the ones that are capitalized.

    I think you are missing the point - a loss is a loss in Wall Street reported earnings. Special one time stuff is often very well called out.

    This isn't special one time stuff for the most part and if you actually read their financial statements you would know that.

    Wheeling out a ton of cash now in the build up for something in the future would be a footnote on current earnings.

    Have you actually read Tesla's financial statements including the footnotes? They actually talk about issues relating to gross margin which basically are amortization of fixed costs from the assembly line and productivity improvements. They have this new and expensive assembly line which A) isn't running at full speed yet and B) costs a lot to operate no matter how many vehicles they make. Until they can amortize the fixed costs over enough cars per unit time they are going to lose money.

    I truly admire this (or any other EM) company's ability to say "look over here, don't look at reality".

    You might actually consider figuring out what reality actually is before making judgements about it. Tesla's situation isn't an uncommon one, just more high profile than most.

  26. Good for them! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Good for Tesla! It only took $4.9 billion in government money to turn a profit!

    I don't think I could shovel money into a fire that fast, and apparently it turned out to be too large a task for Tesla as well!

  27. Tesla is a good company and a bad stock by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Number of units produced has no direct linkage to where market cap should be; rather, market cap *should be* (and I’m not saying *is*) linked to expected profits.

    There is no plausible scenario whereby Tesla will make enough profit in the next 5 years to justify their current market cap by any reasonable valuation. I'm not saying they won't be worth that amount someday. But currently their market cap is detached from their economic reality. You just can't rationally expect a decent ROI on the stock if you buy it today at the current price. You're just gambling, not investing. Tesla having a market cap larger than GM is basically saying that you expect the net present value of all future Free Cash Flows to Tesla to exceed GMs. There is no rational basis to make this argument today given the ambiguity of cash flows further than 5 years out from today.

    In any case, I’m a believer in this company. I have no problems with them recording losses in the mid term due to capital investment in order to have a long term payout. Whether it’s truly worth its current share price, I’m uncertain.

    I feel similarly about the company but I'm quite certain that while it may be a good company it's a terrible stock at current valuation on a risk adjusted basis. You can have a great company that isn't a good investment at this moment in time. If you buy it today you are basically betting that an almost certainly overpriced stock is going to get even more overpriced in the near future. Maybe it will but you have no rational basis to justify that happening.

    1. Re:Tesla is a good company and a bad stock by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no plausible scenario whereby Tesla will make enough profit in the next 5 years to justify their current market cap by any reasonable valuation.

      I'm a huge fan of Tesla & I totally agree with this statement. AFAIR, so does Musk.

      You're just gambling, not investing.

      IMO, most of the stock market is gambling, people are deluding themselves if they think otherwise.

  28. Ford was profitable in its first quarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You do realize Toyota has been at it a few decades longer, don't you?

    Ford was profitable in its first quarter in business And Henry was the one who invented the movable assembly line.

    1. Re:Ford was profitable in its first quarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you really comparing the earliest fords to teslas?

      TDS should stand for tesla derangement syndrome. not trump.

    2. Re:Ford was profitable in its first quarter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is more difficult, coming up with calculus in the 16th century, or coming up with the string theory at the end of the 20th?

      Ops, sorry, you stupid Tesla bots don't even know what these are...

  29. Incorrect. Quick ratio sucks. Shorts are fine. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They're based on the present value of future revenue.

    That is completely incorrect. It's based on future PROFIT.

    And businesses can only grow so fast and so much.

    And after making and selling those cars - he booked the revenue - he lost MORE money?!?!

    And looking at the cash flow statement, Tesla is still bleeding cash from operations. Even when you factor out the costs of capitalizing the plants, it SUCKS!

    And looking at its current ratio, Tesla gonna have a HUGE cash crunch REAL soon! (Musk will have to raise cash - debt, equity, sell his sperm to fangirls who want his baby....)

    And skimming the other fancials, Tesla is a house of cards ready to be blown down.

    Sorry, but Tesla is nowhere near worth over $300/share - nor will it ever be - Tesla cannot grow fast enough to justify its current share price - ever.

    I could go on for 87 pages about all problems with Tesla: manufacturing, sales, power and storage, management, implementationand especially the finances. (Elon Musk is an incompetent CEO. Maybe a great entrepreneur, but incompetent in day to day running of things. At least Richard Branson knows when to hire the middle aged guys with the bow ties to take over - the ones who know what they're doing.)

    Tesla is not a sustainable company in it's currrent state. Part of the reason is because of that idiot purchase of Solar City.

    Tesla, considering the massive risk involved, should be trading at less than $30/share. THEN it would be worth going long.

    Now, if Musk actually someho makes those 500,000 cars he promised for the end of well, THIS YEAR (LOL!!!), then maybe he miiiiiigght make it.

    tldr; The shorts are nice and cozy.

    *Yes, I know most of this post went over the heads of all but 3 people here and it'll get mod'ed down because - OH MY GOD! - I said something critical of Tesla and his Almighty Musk.

  30. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Greenlight Capital is down 18% on the year, due in large part to a short play on TSLA. You were saying?

  31. Profit? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hahahaha. They have a long long way to go. Their financials or horrible. They will have to raise more cash to stay afloat next year.

  32. Producing EVs by sjbe · · Score: 2

    Sure, GM makes a lot of cars. But, there is no growth story for GM.

    Probably true but there is a strong cash flow and dividend story from GM. It's hard to make a huge company a lot bigger in a short time period. But GM kicks off a LOT of profit and cash and the dividend yield right now is pretty good. A company doesn't have to grow at 20% or more per year to be a good investment.

    But with Tesla, that's not just a possibility...its likely.

    Sure, growing from tiny to bigger is a lot easier. But the value of a company should be roughly the net present value of all future free cash flows. There is no plausible scenario whereby you can make a rational claim that Tesla is going to kick off more free cash than GM within any time period not measured in decades. Even if Tesla has the best profit margins in the business (around 10% net) starting tomorrow it's still going to take them a LONG time to get anywhere close to a company the size of GM. Just because a company is a growth story doesn't mean we chuck all rationality out the window about its likely future prospects.

    No other auto maker will be able to mass produce an EV in the next 5 years

    I have a Chevy Bolt sitting in my garage that says otherwise. Nissan has sold over 300,000 Leafs to date. If that's not mass production I'm not sure you understand the term. Pretty much every major auto company already has put serious money into electrification but there still is a huge market (much larger than the EV market) in ICE vehicles for them to serve too. EVs are coming and I'm a true believer in them but it's not going to happen overnight and your claim that no automaker could mass produce an EV in the next 5 years is just clearly not true.

    The reason for this is while the auto makers can make cars, they can't make the EV batteries.

    There are plenty of battery companies and Tesla doesn't really make their own batteries either. Panasonic does the heavy lifting for Tesla on batteries. You were aware that Panasonic is the one that made the majority of the investment for the gigafactory right?

    Finally, they don't have the knowledge of the battery chemistry to make those batteries efficient enough to sell them (or the EVs that contain them) at a profit.

    You have your facts wrong on that. The big auto companies are working closely with battery makers and in many cases have strong partnerships. Tesla doesn't have the advantage here you seem to think they do at least not at the moment. Plus the state of the art in battery tech is progressing rather quickly so a lead today can evaporate tomorrow.

    This is why Tesla has a huge multiple. Because even the most ardent Tesla Bear will admit that many people want an EV and will be buying them in the next 5 years.

    I'm not a Tesla bear but there aren't nearly enough people likely to buy an EV in the next 5 years to justify Tesla's current market cap. Not even close. And I'm a huge fan of EVs and even own one. Tesla's stock price is based on hype and overinflated expectations. It happens sometimes. There was a lot of this during the dotcom boom circa 1999-2000. Eventually Tesla's stock price will come to reflect some sort of realistic expectation of their profit potential. But currently it is arguably a good company but a hugely overpriced stock.

    1. Re:Producing EVs by sfcat · · Score: 2

      I have a Chevy Bolt sitting in my garage that says otherwise. Nissan has sold over 300,000 Leafs to date. If that's not mass production I'm not sure you understand the term. Pretty much every major auto company already has put serious money into electrification but there still is a huge market (much larger than the EV market) in ICE vehicles for them to serve too. EVs are coming and I'm a true believer in them but it's not going to happen overnight and your claim that no automaker could mass produce an EV in the next 5 years is just clearly not true.

      The reason for this is while the auto makers can make cars, they can't make the EV batteries.

      There are plenty of battery companies and Tesla doesn't really make their own batteries either. Panasonic does the heavy lifting for Tesla on batteries. You were aware that Panasonic is the one that made the majority of the investment for the gigafactory right?

      You have a Bolt. How nice...I have a Volt (its my second one). Neither are mass produced cars. Each sell about 2,000 units a month. The Model 3 sells about 2.5X of that in a week. The Leaf sells in similar numbers to the Volt and Bolt. Also, the Bolt is a chastity belt on wheels. If you think the Bolt proves that GM loves EVs, then you don't understand cars at all. If GM had really wanted to sell a lot of Bolts, they would have given it nicer styling and not made it look like a golf cart. The Bolt is a car designed to fail. Also GM looses about $9,000 per car for both the Volt and Bolt.

      The battery chemistry used in the Telsa are special to Tesla and not owned by Panasonic or used by Panasonic's other customers. The main reason for this is that the Tesla batteries (by design) need to be kept at a constant temp all the time and wouldn't be suitable for laptops or cell phones. This is different from pretty much all other battery makers who make batteries designed to deal with the stresses of a laptop or cell phone and that makes the batteries more expensive.

      --
      "Those that start by burning books, will end by burning men."
  33. Model S sales. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You nor anyone else here noticed the Model S sales.

    Model 3 sales are cannibalizing some of the 'S's sales.

    Meaning, folks are saying, "Gee I'd rather have the 3 than the S"

  34. Depreciation by sjbe · · Score: 2

    Capital purchases don't have a huge impact on profits in the short term, although they do directly affect cash.

    That's routinely not true. Capital purchases even when subject to a deprecation schedule can easily affect near term profits both directly and indirectly. For example a few years back our company bought a press for about $100,000. We then had to hire an employee costing about $50,000 to operate it, train the employee (more $), install the press (more $), reconfigure work flows and rearrange floor space, hire riggers, add electric service, add engineering time, and more. Even though we depreciated the cost of the press itself and some tooling, there were very substantial additional costs than cannot be depreciated that go with it.

    Plus depreciation schedules vary and some of them are quite short which is often preferred by companies because deprecation schedules often don't very accurately reflect real world economic reality. If I outlay a bunch of cash for a machine then I'm out a bunch of cash for a machine and that should in many cases result in a hit to current period earnings even if GAAP dictates otherwise. I've often joked (semi seriously) that only an accountant would be foolish enough to think that inventory is an asset - in practical terms it's more akin to a liability because it ties up cash and other resources.

    The cost of capital purchases are usually amortized over some period of time.

    Capital purchases of tangible equipment are depreciated, not amortized. Functionally the same thing really but just being pedantic about the proper words. You would amortize an intangible asset like a patent purchase. Why they make the distinction has never been entirely clear to me since functionally it is the same activity. Finance and accounting are weird that way.

    1. Re:Depreciation by Green+Mountain+Bot · · Score: 1

      Capital purchases of tangible equipment are depreciated, not amortized. Functionally the same thing really but just being pedantic about the proper words. You would amortize an intangible asset like a patent purchase. Why they make the distinction has never been entirely clear to me since functionally it is the same activity. Finance and accounting are weird that way.

      Don't forget depletion! Same concept applied to natural resource extraction (mines, wells, etc.)

  35. Folks are so gullible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Letâ(TM)s see. Tesla loses almost a billion, have a little more cash than expected and say they will be profitable next quarter. Investors going wild! What happens when they arenâ(TM)t profitable next quarter? The snake oil salesmen strikes again.

  36. Let's see! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tesla burned through yet more cash from operations - meaning the company is not sustainable.

    It made more cars an LOST more money?

    It's quick ratio is pathetic. It has only $2.2 billion in cash. It's gonna start getting hard to pay the bills soon. It's probably going to need yet another cash infusion.

    Model 3 sales are cannibalizing Model S sales. Model S sales are down looks like it's going to be around a 50% decline since last year.

    It has $500 million in accounts receivables but over $3 billion in accounts payable.

    And the rest is just pathetic. The fact remains that Musk should step aside and hire someone who knows that they are doing for day to day operations and he should just go off and have super models lick caviar off of his balls and stay out of Tesla's way.

    But go ahead and believe that the shorts are running scared.

    Speaking of which, the guy who called the housing crash is now short in Tesla.

  37. Affordable? by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

    It took 15 years to execute on our initial goal to produce an affordable, long-range electric vehicle...

    It's going to take a lot more than 15 years because at those prices, "affordable" does not apply.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
    1. Re:Affordable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The recent German tear-down found that the lowest-priced versions are still comfortably profitable. Are you claiming that their target price is not affordable? Because they can deliver at that price today. They're currently going through backlog of the higher-end versions, because it makes more financial sense to do those first.

    2. Re:Affordable? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      and yet, the average price of a new in America is ~$35K. Yes, the $35K model 3 is on hold, but should be starting around the end of the year, into early next year.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    3. Re: Affordable? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That isn't what affordable means. And you admit yourself you can't even buy at that price anyway.

  38. Re:Best of luck to them, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    No, you'll get flamebait for the second part of your post all by it self... why? cause its obviously flame bait.

  39. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    people dug into his claims and found his Stack Overflow account, Adafruit acccount, Scribd, etc

    You mean common criminals doxxed him? Neat, that's something to be proud of.

  40. What of the externalities? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    New report issued estimates the environmental damage from BEVs.
    https://www.manhattan-institute.org/sites/default/files/R-JL-0518-v2.pdf

    BEVs increase SO2, NOx, and particulates. There's a small reduction in CO2, but not much. Subsidies for electric cars and solar panels mean a tax burden on the poor and money for the wealthy that can afford a new car and solar panels on their roof.

    There is hope though, if there's more natural gas, nuclear, and wind power then BEVs like Tesla can clean the air.

    It's easier to make a profit if you don't have to pay for the environmental damage caused by mining for materials.

    https://www.theguardian.com/sustainable-business/2017/aug/24/nickel-mining-hidden-environmental-cost-electric-cars-batteries
    https://rctom.hbs.org/submission/tesla-and-the-environmental-impact-of-lithium-ion-batteries/

    Lots of people give coal a hard time for their profit from dumping ash into lakes and CO2 into the air. Electric car makers are guilty of their own environmental dumping. Are we going to have some kind of tax on these companies for cleaning up the mess they leave behind?

    At least internal combustion engines are made of highly recyclable, and quite plentiful, steel and aluminum. They don't have to run on fossil fuels, it's just something we can dig up easy. Run the ICEs on ethanol, methanol, ammonia, or hydrogen instead. Photovoltaic panels have their environmental problems too, but we can use concentrated solar thermal as a power source to synthesize fuel. The bonus to this relatively low tech approach is that it's something developing nations can get quickly. They aren't going to be building silicon wafers in Africa all that quick, but they can figure out how to polish some mirrors to focus the sun and boil some water. As low tech a steam engine might sound it's how a lot of our electricity is produced today. Windmills and water wheels are low carbon, low tech, low pollution, and low cost energy too.

    I'm really interested in seeing algae fuel come to market. Exxon thinks they can make that happen.
    https://www.fastcompany.com/40539606/exxon-thinks-it-can-create-biofuel-from-algae-at-massive-scale

    Algae fuel looks like another option for a fuel with low environmental impact, and something that could be expanded quickly through low tech means. Can Tesla stay profitable if people figure out how to make cars with cheap and locally sourced materials? Seems like mining lithium ore in Australia, shipping it for refining in China, then shipping it again to California, so Tesla can make difficult to recycle batteries, leaves a big footprint on the environment. Refurbishing an old VW Golf to burn algae juice or soybean oil seems far more green than what Tesla is doing.

  41. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Rei · · Score: 1

    Doxxing is digging into someone's personal info in order to attack them in real life. Googling their name and seeing that they have been programming for quite a while when they tell you they don't know how to hardly rises to that standard.

    --
    Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
  42. Nothing is too big to fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "GM is just one large increase in gas prices away from bankruptcy AGAIN". - fixed that one for you :)

    I believe this government policy of "too big to fail" left us all in a worse spot, Tesla included. The federal government had it backwards, GM is so big it must fail. If a failed GM could have brought down the economy then the federal government should have demanded that GM be broken up, much like they did to Bell, before writing them a check.

    As I recall Tesla was just waiting for GM to go bankrupt so they could come in and buy up GM assets, hire the former GM workers, and get some new production facilities and experienced auto workers on the cheap. I don't know if that would have solved their production problems but it's unlikely it would have hurt.

    How many times has GM gone bankrupt now? Next time (and there will be a next time) if we're lucky the government will dispense with the "too big to fail" nonsense and force GM to clean up their act or go out of business forever.

  43. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LOL, that's a new definition of doxxing that I and wikipedia hear for the first time, but you can still run and edit that page. But let's accept it for this discussion - how is a swatting not an "attack in real life", paid shill?

  44. EV-1 by sjbe · · Score: 1

    If GM took EVs seriously starting when they produced EV-1 and kept going until now, there would be no need for a Tesla.

    Maybe. The EV-1 tends to get looked at with some rose colored glasses today and almost certainly was not a viable mass market car when it was available. I know it had some fans but it was the very definition of a niche vehicle and GM was losing a substantial sum on each one sold. The biggest problem was the battery tech simply wasn't there yet. The first commercial Li-Ion battery was released around 1991 and they weren't really ready for vehicle use when the EV-1 was in production. The lead-acid and later NiMh batteries in the EV-1 really weren't good enough. Battery tech is easily the most important thing when it comes to EVs and 20 years ago it just wasn't quite there. It's kind of unfair to GM to expect them to continue to produce a vehicle with little realistic chance of being a commercially successful vehicle. Not to say GM didn't bungle the whole affair (they clearly did) but I'm not convinced the EV-1 was the answer many people remember it to be. It wasn't at all obvious at the time that continued investment in EVs was worthwhile. It really only made sense as a technology development platform and needed to have a longer term outlook than GM is probably capable of.

    That said, I agree that GM could have and probably should have continued to take the technology of EVs more seriously than they did. I own a Chevy Bolt and it's a terrific little car but I have to wonder how much better it could have been if GM had been working on it for another decade... Ironically if GM had just held out a few more years Li-Ion batteries became viable just a few years after the EV-1. I think the biggest mistake was probably in them going after a mass market car first rather than taking an approach closer to what Tesla ultimately did.

    The fact that GM discarded any lead they might have had is more meaningful than how many internal combustion cars they can make.

    That remains to be seen. Your argument is plausible but we won't know how important it will be for a few more years yet. Just because Tesla seemingly has the lead at the moment doesn't mean they will maintain that lead indefinitely. Lot of smart people work for companies not named Tesla and Tesla has seemingly proven that there is money to be had in EVs.

    1. Re:EV-1 by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Yes, I know that the EV-1 was meant to satisfy a California requirement that enabled them to sell their I.C. cars, rather than to be a cost-effective vehicle for the company. It's been interesting to see Phil Karn KA9Q's old EV-1 at the National Museum of American History. Kind of cool that it belonged to a friend of mine.

      If GM had enough of a future vision back then, they would own the lithium battery technology now, not Panasonic. They could have developed it with what would have been chump change for GM.

      Sort of like when John Scully fired Steve Jobs because he wanted to spend too much money on developing liquid crystal displays. They could have owned all cell phone display tech.

    2. Re:EV-1 by Agripa · · Score: 1

      The EV-1 tends to get looked at with some rose colored glasses today and almost certainly was not a viable mass market car when it was available. I know it had some fans but it was the very definition of a niche vehicle and GM was losing a substantial sum on each one sold. The biggest problem was the battery tech simply wasn't there yet. The first commercial Li-Ion battery was released around 1991 and they weren't really ready for vehicle use when the EV-1 was in production. The lead-acid and later NiMh batteries in the EV-1 really weren't good enough. Battery tech is easily the most important thing when it comes to EVs and 20 years ago it just wasn't quite there. It's kind of unfair to GM to expect them to continue to produce a vehicle with little realistic chance of being a commercially successful vehicle. Not to say GM didn't bungle the whole affair (they clearly did) but I'm not convinced the EV-1 was the answer many people remember it to be. It wasn't at all obvious at the time that continued investment in EVs was worthwhile. It really only made sense as a technology development platform and needed to have a longer term outlook than GM is probably capable of.

      That said, I agree that GM could have and probably should have continued to take the technology of EVs more seriously than they did. I own a Chevy Bolt and it's a terrific little car but I have to wonder how much better it could have been if GM had been working on it for another decade... Ironically if GM had just held out a few more years Li-Ion batteries became viable just a few years after the EV-1. I think the biggest mistake was probably in them going after a mass market car first rather than taking an approach closer to what Tesla ultimately did.

      I always thought GM had other motives or received an offer they could not refuse.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    3. Re:EV-1 by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      If GM had enough of a future vision back then, they would own the lithium battery technology now, not Panasonic.

      Highly unlikely.

      Consumers of yesteryear thought that the big battery companies were Duracell and Energizer, but by the 1980s it was already mostly Panasonic doing the R&D and licensing it to the companies specializing in the consumer marketing. That's why the name brand batteries all had exactly the same performance, with the same improvements from one year to the next.

      GM is way too big a company to shoulder into that specialized a non-core R&D area without spending a bazillion dollars; if they hadn't had all their other drama over the past couple decades, it would have still required them to bet the company on it. A smaller company could easily do it.

      It isn't like Panasonic is getting the business because they got lucky with a Tesla contract. If you buy a battery, Panasonic got paid.

  45. Economies of scale by sjbe · · Score: 1

    About those storage and wall batteries: That Tesla Wall thing isn't cheap as it uses just about the most expensive type of batteries on the market. Wouldn't it be a lot more economical to use cheaper but bulkier batteries, since space and weight are much less of an issue in that application?

    Not currently no it wouldn't. Tesla is trying to get the unit cost of batteries much lower and to do that you need to make and sell as many of them as possible. The Powerwall just provides another sales channel to help them do this. In the long run it might not make sense to use Li-Ion batteries for this application but only once we've reached some sort of supply constraint. As long as Tesla can sell all the batteries they can make and don't run into resource constraints on the supply side it makes all the sense in the world to use the same battery cells everywhere they can.

    1. Re:Economies of scale by swillden · · Score: 1

      In the long run it might not make sense to use Li-Ion batteries for this application but only once we've reached some sort of supply constraint.

      In the long run Li-ion batteries will be the obvious choice for this application... because we'll use old EV batteries.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    2. Re:Economies of scale by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tesla is trying to get the unit cost of batteries much lower

      You mean, like they produced that cheap electric car?

  46. Mostly true, partly fiction by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

    It took 15 years to execute on our initial goal to produce an affordable, long-range electric vehicle

    True - if you play fast and loose with the definition of "affordable"... The base model is only "affordable" (under standard guidelines) to the 70th percentile (of average household income) and above. Basically, still a vehicle for the upper crust rather than one for the masses.

    1. Re:Mostly true, partly fiction by WindBourne · · Score: 1
      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re: Mostly true, partly fiction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And you see gas guzzling SUVs and trucks increasing sales and Increasing emissions.

    3. Re:Mostly true, partly fiction by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Of course, that is only if you look at the buying price. Once you add in the full costs of ownership

      Banks determine loan eligibility by the purchase price - not by cost of ownership. By that criteria (I.E. the standard one), Tesla loses badly.

    4. Re: Mostly true, partly fiction by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      which these do not compete against Tesla. Yet.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re: Mostly true, partly fiction by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course not. Tesla only competes in a very small niche.

      Why trolls like you think they will save the world are the 2nd coming of jesus is quite astounding.

  47. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Solar city is committing fraud now too.

  48. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destro by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2018/07/3-ex-solarcity-employees-claim-company-oversaw-bogus-sales-to-inflate-valuation/

  49. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How do I apply for your job? I post facts about Tesla for free. I would post better pro-Tesla bullshit than you if I got paid like you do. They are not getting their moneys worth from you.

  50. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Rei · · Score: 1

    I and wikipedia hear for the first time

    "Doxing (from dox, abbreviation of documents[1]) or doxxing[2][3] is the Internet-based practice of researching and broadcasting private or identifiable information (especially personally identifiable information) about an individual or organization"

    Finding posts on public forums is in no way "digging up private or identifiable information".

    how is a swatting not an "attack in real life", paid shill?

    There was no "swatting". They received a threat that Tripp - a guy who had just sabotaged their systems, and had been repeatedly written up for anger issues - was dangerous. They reported it to the police. The police investigated and decided it wasn't at present a threat, and closed the case.

    Every single party involved did their job correctly. Tesla security would have been utterly negligent not to report it. The police would have been utterly negligent not to investigate it.

    And "shill"... I like the sound of that! I'd like to know where I can collect my check, though. I guess I am "paid" in the fact that as your short selling run collapses, my TSLA stock rises :) In that regard, I'm paid from the money you lost. How does that make you feel?

    Guess a 9% rise last night wasn't good enough. Up to nearly 12% now :)

    --
    Assuming ethanol comes from murdered children and the hydrogen from magic, hydrogen saves 132% more lives than ethanol.
  51. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your counter article is crap. It is chock full of lies but my favorite is the claim to be the leader in solar roofing. Hello? Solar city disaster?

    Did you even read your own propaganda or just post it because you liked the headline and assumed no one would click through because this is slashdot.

    You are a liar and so is your nerd-god employer.

  52. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    LOL, you're desperate. Digging up and linking online data in the hope of bullying someone is doxxing by definition.

    They received a threat that Tripp... was dangerous. They reported it to the police. The police investigated and decided it wasn't at present a threat, and closed the case.

    In other words, they lied to the police about a "danger". Which is, again, swatting by definition. Thanks for playing.

    as your short selling run collapses

    Wut? My "short selling run"? You're so pathetic, that you resort to adhominems and fantastic stories. Or you have not had your shorts pulled off in a while and are desperate.

    I'd like to know where I can collect my check, though. I

    It ought to be in your contract, shill, go check it. Signing things without reading them is always dangerous.

  53. Special blends by sjbe · · Score: 1

    You have a Bolt. How nice...I have a Volt (its my second one). Neither are mass produced cars.

    Strange. I thought I had actually stood on an assembly line in Lake Orion Michigan where they were made. Must have been imagining that. And unlike the Tesla assembly line, it's fully functional and they aren't scrambling to figure out how to make cars or making them in tents. The Bolt has installed and functional production capacity for theoretically as many as 90,000 vehicles per year right now. A car doesn't have to sell in F150 numbers to be mass produced. Your argument is ridiculous.

    The Leaf sells in similar numbers to the Volt and Bolt.

    The Leaf sold just over 3700 units per month last year and has a new and improved model out this year. It will be interesting to see what Tesla's sustained sales will be once they get through the initial bolus of orders. Hope they can keep it going but I think you'll see a bit of a slowdown.

    If GM had really wanted to sell a lot of Bolts, they would have given it nicer styling and not made it look like a golf cart.

    While I do think that Tesla has designed nicer looking cars, I disagree that the styling on the Bolt "looks like a golf cart". It's a hatchback and a decent looking one as far as those go. You're entitled to your opinion but people but your opinion on the aesthetics isn't universal. Personally I think the Bolt EV is quite sharp looking.

    If you think the Bolt proves that GM loves EVs, then you don't understand cars at all.

    I don't care if GM loves EVs or not. What it does prove is that GM can make a decent EV and that they have the ability to make more and that they are investing in electrification. What this will translate to in the long run remains to be seen. In the mean time I can get a Bolt TODAY from GM but if I want a comparably priced Model 3 I'm going to be waiting the better part of a year to get it in the best case. I'm a fan of Tesla but I'm not a blind fanboi either.

    The Bolt is a car designed to fail. Also GM looses about $9,000 per car for both the Volt and Bolt.

    And Tesla loses money on every car they sell thus far. What exactly is your point? The Bolt is basically a mass market test bed. Were you under the illusion that it was something else? It would only be a failure if GM ultimately fails to follow up with more and better EVs in the coming years. Whether or not GM makes a financial killing on the Bolt (and Volt) is almost irrelevant.

    The battery chemistry used in the Telsa are special to Tesla and not owned by Panasonic or used by Panasonic's other customers.

    Other companies use other chemistries and just because Tesla has their own special blend doesn't guarantee them market success. Tesla's strategy is sensible but it's not yet clear they can get enough of an advantage for it to make a difference in the long run. I hope they succeed but they do not have an insurmountable cost advantage at present and new battery chemistries could render whatever advantage they do establish meaningless almost overnight if they can't keep the pace.

  54. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    These have $10b in assets. Even assuming that the 18% is, indeed, "due in large part to ashort play on TSLA", a factoid, which you just pulled out of your ass, that's a pretty small fish. Not even in the top 20 of the US hedge funds, and not even close to a percent of the hedge fund AUM. Try again.

  55. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fun fact: Tripp has denied both knowing how to code or use any sort of hacking tools. Funny story, people dug into his claims and found his Stack Overflow account, Adafruit acccount, Scribd, etc, and found that not only does he know how to code, he was even helping answer coding questions for others.

    Trip responded by deleting all of his old accounts.

    Fun fact #2: Want to take a guess as to the only other thing on his Scribd account apart from docs on packet sniffing tools and the like? If you guessed "NRA gun documents, you win a prize!" When asked about this, he had the most hilarious alibi ever: why, he was only had the NRA gun docs to trade for Kansas guitar tabs! Because that's a totally normal internet trade commodity, dontchaknow!

    Fun fact #3: Tripp has gone back and deleted all of his old alibi tweets, and the tweets where he admitted to having Tesla property.

    Fun fact: No matter how much you worship this fucking STEMlord freak, he's still planning to leave you behind when he fucks off to Mars.

  56. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fun fact: Tripp has denied both knowing how to code or use any sort of hacking tools.

    Here's a fun fact, he made no suck claim.

    And even if it was true it doesn’t justify musks attempted murder of him.

  57. Re: Short sellers are going to be nuclear destroye by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fun fact: Musk ain't going to Mars.