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Some Electric Car Drivers Might Spew More CO2 Than Diesel Cars, New Research Shows (bloomberg.com)

bricko shares a report from Bloomberg with the caption, "Making batteries is a mess": Beneath the hoods of millions of the clean electric cars rolling onto the world's roads in the next few years will be a dirty battery. Every major carmaker has plans for electric vehicles to cut greenhouse gas emissions, yet their manufacturers are, by and large, making lithium-ion batteries in places with some of the most polluting grids in the world. By 2021, capacity will exist to build batteries for more than 10 million cars running on 60 kilowatt-hour packs, according to data of Bloomberg NEF. Most supply will come from places like China, Thailand, Germany and Poland that rely on non-renewable sources like coal for electricity.

An electric vehicle in Germany would take more than 10 years to break even with an efficient combustion engine's emissions. "We're facing a bow wave of additional CO2 emissions," said Andreas Radics, a managing partner at Munich-based automotive consultancy Berylls Strategy Advisors, which argues that for now, drivers in Germany or Poland may still be better off with an efficient diesel engine. The findings, among the more bearish ones around, show that while electric cars are emission-free on the road, they still discharge a lot of the carbon-dioxide that conventional cars do. Just to build each car battery -- weighing upwards of 500 kilograms (1,100 pounds) in size for sport-utility vehicles -- would emit up to 74 percent more C02 than producing an efficient conventional car if it's made in a factory powered by fossil fuels in a place like Germany, according to Berylls' findings. Yet regulators haven't set out clear guidelines on acceptable carbon emissions over the life cycle of electric cars, even as the likes of China, France and the U.K. move toward outright bans of combustion engines.
It all has to do with manufacturing. According to estimates of Mercedes-Benz's electric-drive system integration department, manufacturing an electric car pumps out "significantly" more climate-warming gases than a conventional car, which releases only 20 percent of its lifetime CO2 at this stage. "Just switching to renewable energy for manufacturing would slash emissions by 65 percent, according to Transport & Environment," reports Bloomberg. "In Norway, where hydro-electric energy powers practically the entire grid, the Berylls study showed electric cars generate nearly 60 percent less CO2 over their lifetime, compared with even the most efficient fuel-powered vehicles."

267 of 469 comments (clear)

  1. Does not seem to take into account grid improvemen by JoshuaZ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This doesn't seem to take into account that many grids are rapidly improving in terms of how much solar and wind they have in the grids. If an electric car hits breakeven compared to a highly efficient diesel car given 5 years given current rates for example, then in practice we should expect that to happen even earlier. Moreover, electric cars have very long potential lifespans since they contain few moving parts (there's correspondingly less maintenance on an electric car than on an ICE car). Of course, the most efficient thing to do is still to not have a car, and use public transport; unfortunately for many people that isn't a practical option.

  2. Bizzarro world by MMC+Monster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just goes to show you how frightened some people are regarding electric cars. I don't see why so many people (that are not in the gas-powered car industry) are scared of them.

    Obviously it's better to concentrate all the emissions at the factories that produce batteries and mitigate the pollution concerns there, rather than at the tail pipe of all the cars that are coming out of the factories.

    ObXKCD: https://xkcd.com/437/

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    1. Re:Bizzarro world by burtosis · · Score: 2

      I don't think people are frightened so much as refuse to pay or simply cannot pay double price on a very expensive item. Improve battery technology so that instead of just the battery costing the same as an entire econobox car, it's only 500-2000 USD and it will be hard to find people who still want gas powered cars.

    2. Re:Bizzarro world by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Some used electrics can be had for cheap. I got a used 1.1 gen Volt for $12k. It's not a full electric but it goes damn far on electricity and is much more fuel efficient than just about anything in that price range. Add to this the reliability of these vehicles is legendary with some folks having gone 120K miles+ requiring only 2 oil changes and a new set of tires for maintenance. Myself, I drive mine hard and get an annual oil change. Why so cheap? The tax rebate was used by the original owner, it had 40K miles on it, and the newer generation is even more efficient.

    3. Re:Bizzarro world by enjar · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There are plenty of used full electric and plug-in cars on the market now. Plenty of used Volts and Leafs out there, at prices very comparable to other used small sedans. In a few years we will have used Bolts and Model 3s coming into the used market when people trade them in at the 3-5 year mark.

      Battery prices continue to drop, but the more I hear the "OMG THE BATTERY IS SOOOOO EXPENSIVE", the more I'm convinced it's ignorance, FUD, or some combination of both. No one says "OMG REPLACING MY ENGINE OR TRANSMISSION WILL COST THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS", they expect the engine or transmission to last the useful lifetime of the car. The battery in an EV is designed to do the exact same thing. There was tons of this when the Prius came out, but the widespread failure of Prius batteries never materialized. Even better, there are now companies who will sell rebuilt / remanufactured batteries at lower cost. Some people even will replace failed battery modules.

      EVs also beat the tar out of ICE in terms of operating cost and simplicity. There is "car stuff" that can go wrong -- you smack a curb in an EV and you are going to have to replace stuff. But you don't have an exhaust system, spark plugs, air intakes, emissions controls, multi-speed transmissions, etc. An EV's motor has one spinning part. The transmission is one gear. Brakes largely go unused because of regenerative braking. You don't have to change the oil, and so on and so forth. A friend of mine who has a Leaf had to replace tires and wiper blades, that's it.

      I have a Volt I got used, it's fantastic. It's very likely that my next car will be a full on EV. The driving experience is so much better than any of the ICE cars I drove before it. It's only when the battery runs out of range and it switches to hybrid mode am I reminded of the ICE. Driving my wife's van just feels like a step backwards, I need to wait for torque to happen and it makes all this noise, unlike the no noise the Volt makes when in EV mode.

    4. Re:Bizzarro world by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      The battery in an EV is not designed to last the life of the car. The battery drops to 70% capacity after as few as 500 charging cycles.

      I like the idea of EVs and I hope to own one in the next few years. But the budget for it will have to include a new battery pack every 3-4 years, and it will be evaluated on that basis.

    5. Re:Bizzarro world by enjar · · Score: 1

      Your information is incorrect. I drive a 2014 Volt. It still has the same range as I had at the start of ownership (6K miles) as today (50K miles). By your logic I would be replacing the battery pack. I'm not. Not even close. Chevrolet also provides a 8 year/80K mile warranty on the drivetrain -- including the battery. Would GM offer a warranty that would require two replacements of the battery on average? There are at this point more than 70 EVs at my office from a range of manufacturers. I'm in touch with a lot of that community. No battery replacements. There are longevity tests conducted by Idaho National Labs (a US DOE testing facility) that show the battery of an EV will last hundreds of thousands of miles. A nice summary with backing data for the Volt is presented here Tesla owners have gathered real world data to show 10% degradation at 160K miles There are many other such studies in this vein. Batteries are also to some extent like hard drives. They are sold with extra capacity to allow for failure of cells over the vehicle lifetime. Hard drives and SSDs also have this same capacity with blocks/sectors the user cannot access but are remapped as others fail. So even if a battery drops 10% of its capacity, the range presented may not change. Or in the case of the Volt, a 10% change in capacity would present itself as the loss of a couple of miles of range.

    6. Re:Bizzarro world by nightfire-unique · · Score: 1

      The battery drops to 70% capacity after as few as 500 charging cycles.

      Ah, you're thinking of Lithium Manganese Oxide (LMO) batteries, commonly used in laptops, cell phones, etc.

      Luckily, electric vehicles use a different chemistry - Lithium Iron Phosphate. While not as energy or power dense as LMO, they're far more stable, and with proper battery management (which is on all electric vehicles) lose closer to 10% over many thousands of cycles. If you've ever used a quality modern cordless tool (Dewalt, Milwaukee, etc), they use similar technology.

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    7. Re:Bizzarro world by nightfire-unique · · Score: 1

      what's obvious to you, isn't obvious to others. And who knows where you live. It just goes to show you how frightened you are of the ICE. Where I live, I need to travel 1000km in the middle of the winter. There's no pullover to spend an hour or eight to charge a battery. And when shit happens, its a whole lot easier to bring a jerry can of fuel, than a 500kg battery. EV's don't solve all the problems. They are an alternative, but the takeaway is that it isn't ALL obvious!

      So, yours is an extremely niche use case. About 90% of drivers don't fall into your category.

      While electrics/hybrids make little sense for you, they are an obvious solution to the majority of drivers in North America.

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    8. Re:Bizzarro world by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      Electric cars require power to operate too, and in many cases the power to operate them comes from coal power stations.

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    9. Re:Bizzarro world by MMC+Monster · · Score: 1

      The battery in an EV is not designed to last the life of the car. The battery drops to 70% capacity after as few as 500 charging cycles.

      I'm skeptical of that fact.

      I have a Tesla Model S I bought in 3/2014. I've put (as of today) 100k miles on it and plug it in every single night since I got the car. (A heck of a lot more than 500 charge cycles)

      The battery is almost exactly 99% as efficient as on day one. I base that both on the estimated mileage at full charge as well as the estimated mileage at the end of my work day (driving ~70 miles to and from work).

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  3. The environment has too little CO2 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WDWEjSDYfxc

    According to the co-founder of Green Peace, Dr. Patrick Moore, the environment does not have enough CO2. The planet has been starved of CO2 in recent geological history, to the point that all plant life was on the verge of dying off. If we had not been burning coal like we had then we may have run into the problem of not having enough CO2 in the air to sustain life.

    CO2 is plant food, with more in the air plants can grow more quickly, produce more food, and therefore support a large human population. We need more CO2 in the air, so keep buying those electric cars!!

    1. Re:The environment has too little CO2 by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What has been happening however is that plants are getting bigger from the increases in CO2, and their nutritional value has been rapidly decreasing, which has a knock-on effect.

      That is only half the story. - and the scare-mongering side at that.

      Yes, increasing CO2 does decrease nutritional value per unit volume by about 8%. However, increasing CO2 also cuts water use by 5-20% and increases plant volume by 40%.

      So yes, you need to eat 8% more to get the same nutritional value, but you end up with 40% more to start with, so it's not an issue. You can, in fact, feed more people (approximately 28% more people) and also increase your freshwater reserves significantly as well. A higher CO2 level would, in fact, provide a solid food/water bump for the world.

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    2. Re:The environment has too little CO2 by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Nonsense. At no point was "all plant life on the verge of dying off", regardless of Moore's unsupported claims. CO2 has dropped as low as 150 ppm in the past (currently over 400) and plants happily survived that. C3 plants can readily adapt to low-CO2 conditions (in as few as 5 generations), as Gerhart & Ward (2010) describes.

      CO2 levels have been fluctuating between 180 and 300 ppm over the last 10 million years, as ice ages pull CO2 into the ocean then release it again when they end. And this could have had some effect on plant growth, along with the lower temperatures, decreased rainfall etc - but only where growth wasn't already limited by other factors. Increasing CO2 only helps plant growth when they also have plenty of water, sunlight, soil nutrients etc.

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    3. Re:The environment has too little CO2 by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Thank you for providing citations. It's worth noting that the study actually says photosynthetic rates were boosted by an average of 40% (at 475-600 ppm), not plant volume. Dry matter gains were more modest, at 17% for above-ground plants and 30% for below-ground plants. Harvestable yields of wheat, rice and soybean all showed increases of 12–14%.

      I agree that increasing CO2 levels are likely to enable greater food production in the long term, all else being equal, but in the shorter term the changes to rainfall patterns and optimal farming locations will have a more negative effect, with growing adaption costs, and drops in crop yields already being evident. For example, reports are showing that as of 2010, maize yields have dropped 7-8% in China and Brazil, with 14% drops in wheat yields in Russia. Other mitigating factors include high daytime and nighttime temperatures, and increased ozone production associated with CO2 emissions that has also harmed crop yields.

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  4. Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

    All the internal combustion engines and any other combustion-based whatever generate CO2. The more they burn, the more CO2 they generate. Under equivalent conditions, diesel engines are more efficient than gasoline ones and, consequently, generate lower CO2 emissions. Other than that, all the IC engines should be considered similarly bad for the environment. Both diesel and gasoline engines output pretty nasty stuff.

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    1. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by burtosis · · Score: 2

      It dosent help that in many regions of the world the electric grid is powered substantially by fossil fuels. If we are talking CO2, electric car mileage is only as clean as the electricity you use, powering it from a coal plant doesn't generate much or perhaps any CO2 savings. Throw in the fact 5 to 40 tons of CO2 go into manufacturing traditional vehicles, and electrics tend to be even higher, and the actual CO2 savings isn't as much as most people want it to be. You can still save in emissions, but where I live the power is so dirty I'd get 35-45mpg (depends on time of day) equivelant unless I went solar so I'd need to drive that electric for a heck of a long time to break even.

    2. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      OK. I pretty much agree with what you say. I think that electric is the future, but it is still quite far away and will certainly not be a magical solution. The point of my post was highlighting that diesel isn't the only environment-unfriendly engine. In fact, CO2 isn't even the main concern when trying to reduce emissions from ICE cars.

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    3. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 2

      Although you might be correct, the usual proceeding for comparisons of this sort is referring to the worst case ("even the dirty diesel..."). Also I understood that they implicitly took diesel as the paradigm of all what is bad for the environment, as opposed to everything else including gasoline. Because you know... current trends (of ignorance).

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    4. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by blindseer · · Score: 2

      I think that electric is the future

      I believe that synthetic liquid fuels are the future of transportation. We won't have electric airplanes. We won't have transoceanic shipping. We might be able to electrify trains but that requires lots of infrastructure which requires lots of costs. Trains will be running on diesel fuels for a very long time. Personal commuter cars are just a part of our transportation needs. Lots of people and goods move by long haul trucks and buses, and those won't be running on electricity any time soon. Electric trains cannot solve this either because trains need rails and a truck needs only a beaten down track of dirt.

      In fact, CO2 isn't even the main concern when trying to reduce emissions from ICE cars.

      We've got fuels that are very low in sulfur so that's not much of a concern. Catalytic converters and other technology means there's little particulate or carbon monoxide emissions any more. There might be some NOx but I have to wonder how much even that is a concern.

      Then there's increasing evidence that CO2 isn't all that great of a concern. I'm sure that comment will get me modded down. Whatever, the debate is not over no matter how much Al Gore says it is.

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    5. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      I believe that synthetic liquid fuels are the future of transportation. We won't have electric airplanes.

      Sorry for not having been clear enough. I meant for cars and light transportation in general. Replacing heavy-duty engines (trucks, ships, power plants, etc.) with electricity is, at this point, very difficult. There might appear other alternatives in the future. In any case, oil-based burning doesn't look like a good (very) long-term approach.

      We've got fuels that are very low in sulfur so that's not much of a concern. Catalytic converters and other technology means there's little particulate or carbon monoxide emissions any more. There might be some NOx but I have to wonder how much even that is a concern.

      Directly-harmful-for-health pollutants are a major concern for both legislators and engine manufactures. In fact, pollutants are one of the most relevant factors constraining the design of an engine/vehicle. All the ICE will always generate dangerous emissions, because they are an unavoidable output from the physical/chemical conditions under which these engines have to operate. Reducing them is possible, but very difficult; at least, when trying to not affect performance much. There is no way to reduce CO2, other than by making the engine more efficient. Caring about all this has always been and will always be very important, like in any other industrial activity generating dangerous outputs. BTW, the most dangerous/worrying emission from diesel engines is soot/particles.

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    6. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If we are talking CO2, electric car mileage is only as clean as the electricity you use, powering it from a coal plant doesn't generate much or perhaps any CO2 savings.
      And how do you come to that idiotic idea?

      Skipped school early?

      ICE have an efficiency of 20% or less. Power plants have an efficiency of ~45%. if all power comes from coal, that makes a battery powered car twice as efficient / half as polluting as an ICE car ...

      Wow, that was easy.

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    7. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      There is no way to reduce CO2, other than by making the engine more efficient.

      Not true, we can synthesize the fuels, recycling the CO2 in the air.
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      Synthetic fuels are the future. Synthetic fuels from nuclear power.

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    8. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Most Europeans haven't got much horsepower, and wouldn't have any place to use it if they did. While they continue to be a major source of the street cars with lots of it, especially the Germans, those types of vehicles are in the minority. And Europeans are much more willing to drive a vehicle with a little bit of horsepower as long as it has plenty of torque, i.e. small turbo-diesels. Small diesels have gotten pretty ballsy of late, though, so that's actually less of a penalty than it used to be.

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    9. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      Not true, we can synthesize the fuels, recycling the CO2 in the air.

      You know the typical situation where CO2 capturing (what this video is about) is done right? Power plants. One of the reasons might be that they have lots of available space and a pretty stable layout. Not exactly the kind of conditions that you can find at the exhaust pipe of a car. Actually my statement was intrinsically wrong because "reducing CO2" doesn't mean what I intended, but something like this. A better version would have been "reducing CO2 levels", and even better "reducing CO2 levels from car ICEs".

      Note that the levels of other emissions can be reduced by affecting the operating conditions of the engine, the fuel properties, by adding external elements like filters, etc. Nothing of this is applicable to CO2, as far as it will always be directly related to the amount of burning fuel no matter what you do. Some times, there are many potential solutions for a problem, but you should better focus on the ones which make sense in that specific context. And in the car context, there is only one methodology that allows to reliably reduce CO2 emissions: burning less fuel. What can be accomplished in different ways like having a more efficient combustion/engine, driving more efficiently or not using the car at all.

      Synthetic fuels are the future. Synthetic fuels from nuclear power.

      Well... many things to say there too, but I think that I have already explained a lot.

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    10. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by blindseer · · Score: 1

      And in the car context, there is only one methodology that allows to reliably reduce CO2 emissions: burning less fuel.

      False. Burn a fuel not derived from carbon, that would reduce CO2 emissions. Burning a fuel derived from carbon taken from the air would reduce CO2 emissions, because that's not CO2 from long sequestered sources in the ground.

      There are many many ways to reduce CO2 without having to burn less fuel, stop telling me otherwise because I know what you assert is not true.

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    11. Re:Why referring to diesel when talking about CO2? by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

      There are many many ways to reduce CO2 without having to burn less fuel, stop telling me otherwise because I know what you assert is not true.

      I have never said that there aren't other ways. I said that this is the approach which is suitable for car engines. Exactly the same that I am not saying that you get certain emissions every time that you burn a given fuel no matter what. The IC engines are tremendously optimised devices, working under extremely demanding temperature/pressure conditions and placed inside one of the most unstable and not-much-available-space locations that there is. Additionally to all that and without wanting to start a discussion here about what should/shouldn't be more important, the industry/regulations have traditionally focused most of their efforts on minimising other species. And I know all that because I worked in that field some years ago. If everything has completely changed since then, there are now lots of work on reducing CO2 in car engines and you can provide a reliable reference to all this, I would be more than happy to recognise my mistake. Otherwise, I don't see the point of continuing this discussion.

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  5. I did the math on that actually by blkhawk · · Score: 5, Interesting

    For a diesel Volvo vs a Tesla model S, assuming the average 2015 power mix in Europe the break even point is about 28.000Km.

    I did take some big shortcuts tho. I compared 100kwh worth of Panasonic LiPo batteries + power to the diesel fuel needed to drive the volvo the same distance using Tesla Model S power usage figures.

    There are way to slew this in one or the other direction - for instance I did also add CO2 Equivalent for refining the diesel.

    Considering where Berylls Strategy Advisors is located and the fact that the German car companies still have no mass-market ready electric car my guess is that this is fake news and can be disregarded.

    1. Re:I did the math on that actually by dehachel12 · · Score: 1

      Did you take into account maintenance?

    2. Re:I did the math on that actually by blkhawk · · Score: 1

      No, Its not a significant factor for CO2. I really just wanted to have a result in the probably right ballpark / magnitude. Thats why the "10 years" from that agency is bonkers.

    3. Re:I did the math on that actually by blkhawk · · Score: 1

      Uhm, yes it doesn't. VW sold 1,985 Cars in January across *ALL* of Europe. And that is the No 1 sold electric car. That Article is about electric cars only.

      For comparison 15,631,687 Cars were sold in 2017 in the EU. That would be 1.3 million a month. I don't have figures for January but I don't think its much off.

      2000 cars is NOT mass market.

    4. Re:I did the math on that actually by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      So the demand from the mass market for electric vehicles is really soft, then... eGolf dominated, and it was just 2000 units. I guess we can say electric vehicles may be ready for the mass market - but the mass market doesn't want them.

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    5. Re:I did the math on that actually by blkhawk · · Score: 1

      Well they are priced in such a way that you only sell that many. This Price isn't totally justified in Production costs but has partially by strategic considerations having to do with production capacities and model planning. Also they are currently still at the point where the company would rather not sell you an electric car if you buy a regular one instead. FUD articles like the one linked above are meant to temporarily flatten demand for electric cars a bit until they are ready to produce more without having to suffer losses in the regular product lines.

      After that the Story will change 180 and you will read about how an electric car will produce less CO2 even if the electricity was created in a soviet era brown coal power plant.

      Originally the Plan was tho sell clean diesel cars for the next 15 years and then to switch to hydrogen. Hydrogen mostly because it is so familiar because you still fill it up at a gas(hydrogen)station. With the diesel scandal diesel cars have become a very hard sell and Hydrogen never ever made sense (Embrittlement for direct combustion, Hydrogen Fuel cell cars _Are_ electric cars just more complex/expensive, Hydrogen is inefficient to produce). So they are sorta scrabeling while also in in damage control mode atm.

      In short the market is only a tertiary factor in this and due to the limited number of players would only fully correct on the scale of a decade or more.

  6. The point of electric cars is missed - again by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm admitting that I just looked at the summary. So assuming it's accurate...

    Why is it that so many people misunderstand the purpose of electric cars? I don't know why for years now on Slashdot we keep getting posts about articles that nitpick about electric car manufacturing. "Ooh, at one place in your manufacturing chain for 1 second you involved coal, so the whole idea is trash." No it's not. First of all, electric cars don't burn gasoline. Big win there. Reducing petroleum use is a Good Thing. Second, with time electricity sources to both charge said vehicles and produce the batteries could come from renewable sources. The fact that we aren't there today doesn't mean we won't be there soon enough. Having production lines in place to make these vehicles is smart and when the production sources are from renewable energy, what will they complain about next?

    1. Re:The point of electric cars is missed - again by RedK · · Score: 1, Informative

      No one misunderstands the purpose of the electric car.

      People question the value of paying a premium for a supposedly "green" solution.

      You're sold a reduction of emissions. Governements subsidize a reduction in emission. If you're not actually reducing emissions, that's a whole lot of money getting spent on things you're not receiving.

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    2. Re:The point of electric cars is missed - again by dehachel12 · · Score: 1

      You're forgetting that the problem isn't only CO2.

    3. Re:The point of electric cars is missed - again by quantaman · · Score: 1

      I'm admitting that I just looked at the summary. So assuming it's accurate...

      Why is it that so many people misunderstand the purpose of electric cars? I don't know why for years now on Slashdot we keep getting posts about articles that nitpick about electric car manufacturing. "Ooh, at one place in your manufacturing chain for 1 second you involved coal, so the whole idea is trash." No it's not. First of all, electric cars don't burn gasoline. Big win there. Reducing petroleum use is a Good Thing. Second, with time electricity sources to both charge said vehicles and produce the batteries could come from renewable sources. The fact that we aren't there today doesn't mean we won't be there soon enough. Having production lines in place to make these vehicles is smart and when the production sources are from renewable energy, what will they complain about next?

      Well what is the purpose then?

      The way I see it, if you're going to get a new car then buying an electric vehicle pushes the technology along and may be slightly better for the environment.

      Though, if you're looking to minimize your environmental impact (while still driving) then the old advice is still the best advice, get a smaller used car and run it into the ground.

      Which is just a version how the best advice on how to reduce your environmental impact in general, the less money you spend the smaller your environmental impact.

      The new trick that people are trying to figure out is how to reduce the environmental impact while spending a lot of money and getting nice things. The electric car is part of that game.

      --
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    4. Re:The point of electric cars is missed - again by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      If your primary goal is to be green then why stop at buying the car?

      Switch electricity provider to one that only buys renewable energy. Get some solar panels. If you live in one of these few places were somehow electricity production is even dirtier than diesel cars it's not like there isn't anything you can do about it.

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    5. Re:The point of electric cars is missed - again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      No, the only selling point for an EV is when it's energy use is cheaper than fossil fuels. There are entire sources of bio-diesel, and alcohol-blended gasoline that can reduce the input carbon value, but they still put out carbon. EV's do not put out carbon, so the more EV's there are replacing non-EV's, the less carbon there is being put out on a daily basis, but if the entire world switched to EV's overnight, the Energy capacity to charge the vehicles would increase carbon from having coal/natural gas/etc as energy generation sources in higher-cost energy markets, not just the battery production market.

      A zero-carbon solution will likely not exist as long as Coal, Natural gas, and Nuclear remain as energy generators. While Coal and Natural gas actually emit carbon, there are also similar carbon costs in the construction and destruction of Nuclear plants, and Nuclear plants can't be recycled, they are just buried for future generations to unintentionally irradiate themselves with. Nuclear plants, like Coal and Natural gas, also use up fresh water supplies. Hydro-electric is effectively the only power generator that ticks all the boxes except one "environment impact", as they destroy fish habitat and typically put farmable land under water, never to be recovered. That's an easier pill to swallow than all other generation sources, including Solar, Wind and Geothermal. But Hydroelectric has a limited number of locations that it can be placed with low impacts to fish and freshwater sources.

      Solar and Wind have the same carbon costs as all other energy generation sources, and in fact Solar has the exact same problem as EV batteries, they're being produced with dirty energy. Geothermal, like Nuclear, Natural gas and Coal, all consume fresh water supplies to create steam. Steam is a greenhouse gas too, but it's a recoverable one with weather.

    6. Re:The point of electric cars is missed - again by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 2

      You can bust up used radioactive stuff and split it down to something safe. It just costs a lot of more energy and money.

      In some hypothetical future, with very cheap energy, they can tackle this. Sam with using robots to sort landfills for recycling, which many will live to see.

      I'll even bet some will whine how this or that city sold off their landfills to robo-companies for pennies on the dollar!

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    7. Re:The point of electric cars is missed - again by fatwilbur · · Score: 1
      I think most people misunderstand the scope and effect of electric cars. Two things:
      • 1. Electric cars will not completely replace the need for ICE vehicles, and convenience/capability wise, still have a long way to go to fully compete. There are certain, but limited, current use cases electric makes great sense for and it will have to start there.
      • 2. Even if all domestic vehicle transportation moved to electric, this will not significantly reduce our oil consumption.

      On use cases, when it comes to cold weather or long-distance applications, we don't have a good replacement for ICE. Personally, I don't commute to work (the best electric use case), and use my vehicle mostly for camping or road trips. I'd still choose ICE over electric given current options.

      For oil consumption, reducing it's use for vehicles will simply allow the oil to be used for other more valuable purposes. People forget oil is just a carrier of what we're really after, energy, and it contains a massive amount of that. Energy is what drives all aspects of our quality of life, and we are only ever going to increase that. Technology will make it's use more efficient, but we will always be hungry for every energy source we can get. Going back to basic economics, imagine that electric vehicles do cause a massive drop in demand for oil; this will commensurately drive price down. When price is driven below a certain point, it will again become the most economical energy source for more applications. It's never going away until we use the last drop.

    8. Re:The point of electric cars is missed - again by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Why is it that so many people misunderstand the purpose of electric cars?

      Willful ignorance and/or useful idiots. (for some definitions of useful)

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  7. Re:Known for some time by XXongo · · Score: 5, Informative

    Hasn't it been known for some time that most CO2 is produced during a vehical's manufacturing rather than during use

    Except that's not correct. The average car emits six tons of carbon dioxide per year. A medium-sized car produces 17 tons of carbon dioxide in manufacturing. That is not negligible! But once you've kept your car for three years, then no, more carbon dioxide is produced in driving the car than in making the car.

    and the most low carbon approach is to keep trying the same vehicle for as long as possible rather than buying a new electric car.

    Maybe. This site https://www.greencarreports.co... says not, but it depends on how you analyze the numbers.

  8. Re:Easy fix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    You mean like from nuclear power? Lowest CO2 energy source we know of, safest energy source we know of, and as "renewable" as solar power because there is enough thorium and uranium on Earth that we'd never be able to burn it all before the sun consumes the planet.

  9. Germany's strange power strategy by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

    Germany is going all in on renewable sources, you see solar power all over. Which is strange for a fairly cloudy country. It certainly worked this year, since the had the hottest, driest summer on record. But after the Fukushima disaster, they closed down all their nuclear power plants. To make up for it, they have to expand the use of coal and buy electricity from nuclear power plants in France, which has plants right across from the German border.

    1. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by Luckyo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      This is false. Germany still runs majority of its nuclear plants. Less than half was closed after Fukushima (8/17). The current plan is to phase them out as their useful life span ends, and not upgrade/build new ones. This phase out is ongoing and is being constantly postponed at this point as reality of having no chance of meeting CO2 targets with all the coal fired plants they have to run to compensate is starting to dawn on non-crazy parts of environmentalist movement.

      The problem is that those closed plants alone accounted for a sizeable chunk of energy, so Germany went from net exporter to net importer overnight, while having to fire up all of its mothballed coal plants, and import from Poland which built up a lot of coal power near German border with correct expectations that Germany will need it.

      Thing is though, coal power is still a lot cleaner than gasoline/diesel automotive ICE in almost every metric. A LOT cleaner. Even in just the CO2 aspects, without getting into the whole "particulates, NOx, etc" brouhaha, which is close to zero on modern coal fired plant, but significant and emitted at surface level by automotive ICEs. Which is still one of the major causes of harm to humans in more congested areas that has nothing to do with global warming.

    2. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      But after the Fukushima disaster, they closed down all their nuclear power plants. To make up for it, they have to expand the use of coal

      This is false, the decrease in nuclear output has been more than adequately followed by an increase in renewable generation.

      and buy electricity from nuclear power plants in France

      This is also false, Germany has actually shifted into net exports.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    3. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by afidel · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Even in just the CO2 aspects, without getting into the whole "particulates, NOx, etc" brouhaha, which is close to zero on modern coal fired plant

      Not sure where you get that idea, using 3mi/kWh and the average coal plant in my region I figured out that the NOx emissions from an EV running on coal are several times worse than the current EPA standard for passenger vehicles, about as dirty as the dieselgate VWs in fact. Particulates are harder as the PM2.5 and PM5 are going to be in places with low population densities which is probably an overall improvement for health. For CO2 it's close, a hybrid is cleaner than a 3mi/kWh EV when running on coal. But put a reasonable amount of renewables into the mix and use natural gas instead of coal and the EV wins by a large amount.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    4. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by GuB-42 · · Score: 1

      It is all about economics. I suppose that Germany found that importing nuclear electricity from France is cheaper than producing their own.
      Germany is very good at peak load, with all its coal plants. Good for absorbing the variations from all its renewable, good for exporting at high price. When the load is low, they buy cheap excess nuclear power from France.
      Nuclear power simply doesn't fit Germany's strategy.

    5. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by blindseer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      But after the Fukushima disaster, they closed down all their nuclear power plants.

      What did Fukushima have to do with nuclear power in Germany? Fukushima was hit by an earthquake and then a once in 500 year high wave. Are these German nuclear power plants prone to earthquakes? Are they even close enough to an ocean to even have the possibility of a once in a thousand year wave?

      Fukushima had nothing to do with nuclear power in Germany. All it did was give an excuse for the already anti-nuke politicians to shut them down. A very weak excuse. If Germany was serious about reducing their CO2 output then they'd keep their nuclear power plants open and build more of them for the future.

      The German government has already announced that they'd fail to meet their CO2 reduction goals set during the Paris Agreement. If they kept their nuclear power running then they might have been able to meet their goals.

      No nation that wants a modern economy will be able to get one or keep it without nuclear power. That includes Germany.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    6. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I get that idea from knowing how modern burners function. NOx and SO2 require certain temperatures to form. Modern burn control allows for such accurate manipulation of burn process, that these temperatures are never present at any location within the burner.

      Older plants still have this problem obviously.

    7. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      But after the Fukushima disaster, they closed down all their nuclear power plants.
      No, we did not. Only roughly half are shut down so far.

      they have to expand the use of coal and buy electricity from nuclear power plants in France,
      Most of the time France is a net importer from Germany. Especially in summer. Germany is a net exporter to the rest of Europe, so it does not really matter if one year we import more from France than we export back.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      This phase out is ongoing and is being constantly postponed
      That is wrong. The retirement dates for all plants are set.

      at this point as reality of having no chance of meeting CO2 targets
      That is wrong, too. Germany exceeds all CO2 reduction targets, except the ones it set its own!

      so Germany went from net exporter to net importer overnight,
      That is wrong, Germany exports 30% of its power production.

      while having to fire up all of its mothballed coal plants
      That is wrong, Germany did not recativate any mothballed coal plant.

      and import from Poland which built up a lot of coal power near German border with correct expectations that Germany will need it.
      That is wrong, too. Poland did not recently build new coal plants. Why would they?

      You are an idiot.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      This is also false, Germany has actually shifted into net exports.
      Germany is a net exporter since decades.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    10. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      For the record, this is the guy who thinks Germany controls wind.

    11. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      For the record: you are a troll.
      Question is if you are payed by someone or simply utterly stupid.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    12. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, but while you do think yourself some kind of wind wizard, this world isn't a high fantasy realm, and trolls aren't real.

      Seek help.

    13. Re:Germany's strange power strategy by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I feel honoured that you call me a wind wizard.
      What are my specs and what spells can I do?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  10. standard FUD by ganv · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is standard FUD. Of course you can do twisted calculations where you penalize battery production for the fact that existing electricity and transportation systems burn coal and hydrocarbons and claim that we can't build new electric transportation infrastructure because it requires energy. But their option of sticking with hydrocarbons is a long term disaster, both because of CO2 and because it keeps getting more expensive and energy intensive to extract hydrocarbons. If you also penalize hydrocarbon burning for the waste and pollution produced by oil extraction, batteries still end up ahead in the current US or European economies (on emissions, not yet on cost). If we as a global society plan to shift to sustainable CO2 emissions, we have to switch to driving less, and using renewable electricity for the driving we do.

    1. Re:standard FUD by enjar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's remarkably similar to the FUD that traces electric power back to the generation source to criticize EVs, but then assumes gasoline magically appears in underground tanks below the gas pump. No mention of the cost of erecting extraction platforms, transporting crude around the globe, cracking it to make gas/diesel, then putting it in trucks to deliver to the tank. The FUD also assumes the dirtiest coal plant from the era of Charles Dickens is generating the power.

    2. Re:standard FUD by ganv · · Score: 1

      The reason this article is deception and FUD is not that there is no logic in it. Of course, if you want to minimize CO2 output, you should use renewable energy to make your new low carbon technologies. But it is FUD because it argues that right now it is better to stick with diesel cars implying that this is better for the environment, when every serious long term study shows this is wrong. If we hope to get to a low carbon future, we have to use our current energy sources to make infrastructure for a low carbon future. We can't just wait until we have enough renewable energy to make the infrastructure with renewable energy. If you confuse people enough, they will keep doing what they have been doing. That is standard FUD tactics.

  11. Use renewable sources by XXongo · · Score: 5, Informative
    Having driven both, I like electric cars. The technology is finally right up there equal to, and in many ways superior to, internal combustion cars.

    The solution is relatively obvious; manufacture electric cars using energy from solar arrays or other renewable sources. The cost of solar arrays has dropped so much in the last decade that this is practical now; it does mean you'll want to site car manufacturing plants (and more notably, battery manufacturing plants) in locations with abundant solar energy, but that seems doable-- stay out of Seattle, go for Las Vegas. Wait, that's where Tesla's battery plant is sited.

    1. Re: Use renewable sources by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually, France, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Washington, Idaho, Oregon, with nukes, hydro, and Geothermal, would be the best places to locate battery plants. They are already clean. Tesla is having to spend a fair amount of money adding solar, to get it clean /cheap. Those prior locations are already cheap/clean.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Use renewable sources by glenebob · · Score: 1

      Washington State has lots of hydro power, and quite a bit of wind power, so Seattle wouldn't be such a bad area in that regard.

    3. Re:Use renewable sources by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      stay out of Seattle, go for Las Vegas. Wait, that's where Tesla's battery plant is sited.

      I think there's still some space left...

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    4. Re:Use renewable sources by Rei · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The solution is relatively obvious: don't spread BS (the article in the Slashdot headline).

      Whenever I see claims that amount to "science says...", I immediately check to see:

        * In what journal was it published?
        * What is that journal's reputation?
        * How does it compare to the overall corpus of research on the topic?

      In this case, the "study" fails at the first bar: there's no study at all. The source of this article is "Berylls Strategy Advisors". There is no peer review. It's simply "take the word of a company that describes its business as "modern premium automotive consulting" and works for major established automakers, primarily "Dieselgate" German automakers". And we're supposed to ignore the (contradicting), actually peer-reviewed research in the process. Most of the latter of which is regardless rapidly obsoleted regardless by the ongoing wave of battery manufacturing energy improvements, which comes hand-in-hand with battery cost reductions.

      It's "Swedish Battery 'Study' Part Deux".

      But indeed, as you noted, the solution is to manufacture using solar. Which is actually a very popular solution among EV manufacturers. Tesla has started installing the solar roof that will entirely power Gigafactory, for example - but they're hardly alone in this regard.

      --
      "What is the difference between a Ponzi Scheme and an Investment Bank?" -- Jon Stewart
    5. Re:Use renewable sources by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      "Just switching to renewable energy for manufacturing would slash emissions by 65 percent, according to Transport & Environment," reports Bloomberg.

      But, hey, let's spend another trillion dollars on "defense" this year.

      We certainly needed all that military capability last, year, right?

      (And the year before. And the year before that.)

      --
      No sig today...
    6. Re: Use renewable sources by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 2

      You forgot Canada. Ontario and Québec are mostly hydro-powered too.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    7. Re: Use renewable sources by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

      Geothermal is not clean, but at least nobody can blame us.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    8. Re: Use renewable sources by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yup. Sorry. You guys, like iceland, have an excess of cheap electricity.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    9. Re: Use renewable sources by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The best place to locate EV battery factories would be BC or Quebec in Canada, or Iceland, as they use all green energy. However if you really get into it, the entire continent is connected. So even though BC, Washington, Idaho and Oregon might be green, they are connected to states in the Western Energy Grid that are not, and there are interconnects to the rest of the continent. Likewise with Quebec, Ontario and the New England states.

      The goal really needs to be reduction of fossil fuel consumption in the places that produce the EV batteries instead of trying to move the EV battery factories. This is what carbon taxes were designed to do, but politically untenable.

      If Trump wanted a real win with NAFTA 2.0, he should have thrown away his "climate change is a hoax" narrative and used it as a beating stick against China with "Chinese goods are only cheap because they produce so much more greenhouse gases that destroy our way of life"

    10. Re: Use renewable sources by Spamalope · · Score: 1

      West Texas with all the sun you want, and the huge wind farms if you're looking for clean power.

    11. Re:Use renewable sources by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Also, what happened to this? Did the 50% carbon TCO reduction disappear? Who cares about the small increase caused by battery manufacturing when the total decrease is so much greater?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    12. Re: Use renewable sources by Rei · · Score: 1

      Thanks for pointing that out. Next time, we'll try to harness geothermal energy in some way other than "forcing volcanoes to erupt" ;)

      (There are actually some CO2 emissions associated with geothermal power, but while they vary by orders of magnitude, they average way less than from fossil fuels. There's also work ongoing toward CO2 reinjection as part of the generation process; we've had great success with the pilot project at Hellisheiði)

      --
      "What is the difference between a Ponzi Scheme and an Investment Bank?" -- Jon Stewart
    13. Re: Use renewable sources by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but again, clean cheap energy.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    14. Re: Use renewable sources by c6gunner · · Score: 3, Funny

      I've decided to stop buying sunscreen because every year I've had the stuff, I've never gotten a sunburn or skin cancer. Clearly it's just not worth it.

    15. Re:Use renewable sources by Ailicec · · Score: 1

      And whoever made up the summary hit the loaded language mark too - you see "spew" in a lot of pollution stories to let you know which conclusion you should draw before reading the rest.

    16. Re:Use renewable sources by Zorro · · Score: 1

      Reno. Reno is nowhere near Las Vegas.

    17. Re:Use renewable sources by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      stay out of Seattle, go for Las Vegas. Wait, that's where Tesla's battery plant is sited.

      Tesla's plant is near Reno, not Las Vegas.

      Las Vegas gets its power from Hoover Dam, which is a problem because global warming is reducing the rainfall in the watershed. The water level in Lake Mead is only about 40% of capacity.

    18. Re:Use renewable sources by srmalloy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The article doesn't claim that electric vehicles aren't cleaner in the long run. It categorizes electric vehicles according to the country of manufacture and the country of operation to compute when, in the life of the car, the total CO2 expenditure to build and power the electric vehicle begins to beat the total CO2 expenditure to build and power a high-efficiency diesel vehicle. In countries like Germany, where the primary power grid is still largely coal powered, building and operating an electric vehicle can take ten years before being a net CO2 reduction over a diesel vehicle. In countries with a higher percentage of renewable power, this point is going to be sooner. It's an unavoidable consequence of the production of the power system of an electric car being more energy-intensive than making an IC engine and drivetrain. It does raise another consideration regarding electric vehicles -- if the expected functional lifespan of the battery pack is less than the break-even point, it makes electric vehicles less competitive in this regard, because of the jump in CO2 'cost' for replacing the batteries. This points up the fact that the batteries are the critical design factor in EVs, and that making more efficient and longer-lasting batteries using more efficient production methods is going to be what brings the CO2 footprint of EVs down to a point that makes them clearly superior to IC vehicles at any point in their functional life.

      TL;DR, it doesn't demonstrate that EVs are worse than IC vehicles, but that both the production methods and power generation for EVs are fundamental factor in making EVs a more 'environmentally friendly' vehicle -- just buying an EV and thinking that you're immediately doing your part to reduce CO2 emissions may not be true for quite a few years after the purchase, depending on what the power generation in your driving area looks like.

    19. Re:Use renewable sources by blindseer · · Score: 1

      Maybe someone should consider putting a nuclear power plant next to Hoover Dam. Use the dam for load balancing to offset that the nuclear reactor not being able to do so, and use the water behind the dam as a heat sink. Nuclear power is the lowest CO2 producing energy source we have today, that will reduce the climate effects of global warming.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    20. Re:Use renewable sources by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      Having driven both, I like electric cars. The technology is finally right up there equal to, and in many ways superior to, internal combustion cars.

      The solution is relatively obvious; manufacture electric cars using energy from solar arrays or other renewable sources. The cost of solar arrays has dropped so much in the last decade that this is practical now; it does mean you'll want to site car manufacturing plants (and more notably, battery manufacturing plants) in locations with abundant solar energy, but that seems doable-- stay out of Seattle, go for Las Vegas. Wait, that's where Tesla's battery plant is sited.

      Actually, stay away from Las Vegas. Las Vegas is in the middle of a desert. They have to import water for their current needs, so a big manufacturing plant there isn't going to help.

    21. Re:Use renewable sources by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

      And we're supposed to ignore the (contradicting), actually peer-reviewed research in the process.

      A task made even easier by you declining to actually cite any. I see you did take the time to paste in a "look at something cool Tesla is doing" link, though.

    22. Re:Use renewable sources by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      In countries like Germany, where the primary power grid is still largely coal powered, building and operating an electric vehicle can take ten years before being a net CO2 reduction over a diesel vehicle.

      The question is if electric vehicles should be even counted into average consumption, which is what coal generation in Germany is feeding into. Given that an electric vehicle's battery is a buffer for electricity on its path from the generator to the vehicle's motor, electric vehicles are the obvious outlet for any peaks of intermittent renewable generation. This may be especially pressing in Germany which already has significant contribution of intermittent renewables on its grid. At that point, inferring a ten year period of CO2 payback from the average percentage of coal electricity in German grid becomes meaningless because the marginal percentage of coal electricity, which would be applicable to the electric vehicles in an opportunistic charging scenario, will be vastly lower.

      if the expected functional lifespan of the battery pack is less than the break-even point

      I wouldn't be afraid about that. According to a paper I linked elsewhere in this thread, there's already a 50% total CO2 reduction after 180000 miles driven by a full-size vehicle, which means that the break-even point comes *way* sooner. Meanwhile, you have Tesla model S cars (which are still probably the state-of-the-art in full-size BEVs, battery-wise, and even more importantly, they're the vehicles of this type that have been on the roads for the longest time in decent numbers) with <10% degradation at over 200000 miles, so it's definitely technically possible to do even better than 180000 miles.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    23. Re:Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      Having driven both, I like electric cars. The technology is finally right up there equal to, and in many ways superior to, internal combustion cars.

      They aren't as much fun as rowing through the gears, but open roads are vanishing anyhow. Bumper-to-bumper commute 30MPH in the rain? Might as well take advantage of an electric drivetrain.

      The current offerings are still relatively expensive, though. Maybe that's just the Tesla aesthetic, but they don't have much going for them beyond the drivetrain. Still not so useful for rural life, either.

      . The cost of solar arrays has dropped so much in the last decade that this is practical now; it does mean you'll want to site car manufacturing plants

      Heavy industry in general isn't a great candidate for Solar. Car manufacturing (final assembly) maybe, as there are a lot of low-energy processes, but creating the steel and aluminum inputs is still mostly "primary thermal power", that is, they don't use electricity in the first place. Still, if battery manufacture in particular were more green, people could feel more smug about their smugmobiles.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    24. Re: Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      The legitimate problem with geothermal is that it doesn't scale. It's great where it's naturally concentrated, but across the Earth's surface it averages about 1/10,000th of solar influx.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    25. Re:Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      You'd have to hire someone to sweep the bums off the solar panels every morning.

      Nah, just add spikes to the panel the way they do to the benches in Seattle.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    26. Re:Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      And whoever made up the summary hit the loaded language mark too - you see "spew" in a lot of pollution stories to let you know which conclusion you should draw before reading the rest.

      You can also play the "old-school media drinking game". Drink a shot whenever you see a headline or first sentence that reads "Republicans Seize" or "Republicans Pounce", to let you know they're dangerous animals. Be be responsible and stop before you die of alcohol poisoning.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    27. Re:Use renewable sources by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      ... and use the water behind the dam as a heat sink.

      Many species in the Colorado River are already threatened because of high temperatures caused by the reservoirs. The last thing the river needs is gigawatts of additional heat.

      This, of course, is in addition to all the other economic, technical, legal, and political reasons why trying to build a nuke on the Arizona-Nevada border is completely idiotic.

    28. Re: Use renewable sources by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      They don't actually build it on the surface. They dig a hole.

    29. Re:Use renewable sources by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      stay out of Seattle, go for Las Vegas. Wait, that's where Tesla's battery plant is sited.

      Well, it's in Reno, not Las Vegas. I guess you could consider that "North" Las Vegas, if you ignored the 430 miles between the two cities...

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    30. Re: Use renewable sources by larryjoe · · Score: 1

      The current big players in the car battery are in East Asia, with China rapidly becoming the dominant manufacturer. Some projections have China with 70% of the worldwide market within two years. With government subsidies and other cost advantages, batteries and especially EV batteries will be sourced largely from China. That other locales with cleaner energy exist won't matter that much. The question is how quickly China will ramp up their renewable energy availability. Estimates of renewable/nuclear energy production range from 20% to 50% by 2030.

    31. Re: Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      They don't actually build it on the surface. They dig a hole.

      The total energy of geothermal outflux is about 1/10000th of the total energy of solar influx. That's what you've got to work with with any approach.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    32. Re:Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      Patenting it! First to file BIATCH!

      Got there first with my patent application on adding solar panels to the benches! Just to make the Seattlites feel guilty every time they sit down.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    33. Re:Use renewable sources by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

      Having driven both, I like electric cars. The technology is finally right up there equal to, and in many ways superior to, internal combustion cars.

      The solution is relatively obvious; manufacture electric cars using energy from solar arrays or other renewable sources. The cost of solar arrays has dropped so much in the last decade that this is practical now; it does mean you'll want to site car manufacturing plants (and more notably, battery manufacturing plants) in locations with abundant solar energy, but that seems doable-- stay out of Seattle, go for Las Vegas. Wait, that's where Tesla's battery plant is sited.

      Actually, at my large corporate workplace, the solar panels in Oregon return more energy than the ones in Arizona because the rain cleans them often. In AZ, the dust is a factor. Perhaps solar panels should come with automated wipers.

      --
      I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
    34. Re:Use renewable sources by jbengt · · Score: 1

      . . . but creating the steel and aluminum inputs is still mostly "primary thermal power", that is, they don't use electricity in the first place.

      Steel, and recycling, maybe, but aluminum is made from ore using electricity, which is why so many aluminum smelters are located near hydro-electric power.

    35. Re: Use renewable sources by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

      The Google-funded SMU study in 2011 showed that the technical potential for geothermal in the US is about 10x the power generated by all the coal plants in the US.

      That's a pretty good start, given that the power generated is 24/7 i.e. easily supports base load requirements.

      That's more than enough to supply current electrical power needs AND the vast majority of transportation and heating energy too.

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    36. Re: Use renewable sources by careysub · · Score: 1

      Does an actual summary report exist? I did a bit of Googling but all I could find were links to a geothermal map of the U.S. on the SMU website or as a Google Earth file. I don't need, or want, a map -- I want an analysis of what that data tells us.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    37. Re: Use renewable sources by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      Why are you repeating the number? The thing you said it measured is just a straw man. Are you now trying to claim that it measures something different than what you said?

      I'm going with, you tried to cherry-pick a number, but you didn't even know if it was relevant and fell on your face.

      If you don't think digging a hole makes a difference as to heat exchange, you're not ready to talk about geothermal power plants, you're not even ready to talk about using heat exchangers under the lawn for home heating/cooling!

      If you look at a basic cut-away model of the planet, like from elementary school, you should be able to figure out that depth is going to matter when it comes to temperature.

    38. Re: Use renewable sources by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

      http://pubs.geothermal-library.org/lib/grc/1029452.pdf

      A wider ranging summary by NREL: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy12osti/51946.pdf

      --

      Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
    39. Re: Use renewable sources by demonlapin · · Score: 1

      It’s supplying something, or it wouldn’t be there. My guess would be Dallas, which is also a much better place to put your manufacturing - population is there, excellent transportation links. The big farm along 287 between Wichita Falls and Amarillo... there is a reason almost nobody lives there.

    40. Re:Use renewable sources by tomtomtom · · Score: 1

      Assuming that the balance of renewable energy production vs non-renewable production in the world isn't itself affected by the decision of where to site these plants (which isn't always true of course but unless you're building your own generation it's close enough) - this is the wrong way to think about it. Instead, it makes much more sense to locate manufacturing facilities in such a way as to reduce the transport-miles involved in manufacturing since this results in a reduction in the total system energy usage ("the global economy" is the system), which should result in lower CO2.

      So, use inconveniently-located but very low CO2 sources like hydro to power things like datacentres, which can be sited more or less anywhere. For anything else, there's a trade-off to consider between the two. But in the mean time focus on reducing the CO2 emissions in power generation globally, by extending grids, and focusing new-build generation on lower-CO2 sources.

      Fortunately, we already have a machine which can help us balance this trade-off - the price mechanism of the economy. All that's required is that the cost of the externality (CO2 produced) is correctly factored in everywhere in the world, via either a cap and trade scheme or a carbon tax.

    41. Re:Use renewable sources by paraax · · Score: 1

      Clearly the answer is to install a vast array of solar panels which are tasked with generating the power to cool off the reservoir that is heated by the nuclear reactor that is backed by the damn! (Tongue firmly in cheek, I'm sure there is a reason why no amount of solar could possibly be used to cool a reservoir such as where do you put the heat, etc.)

    42. Re: Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      I assumed "digging a hole" was a joke. Humans don't dig holes that are significantly deep, in comparison to the radius of the Earth.

      The heat from the Earth's core is transported out through the surface at a certain rate. Convection in the mantle brings a certain amount of heat to the crust. That's all the energy we can get out of geothermal. Realistically, trying to consume a non-trivial percentage of that heat would have unpredictable effects on techtonics.

      Wikipedia says that the total outflow is 0.03% of solar, or 3/10,000ths. If we look at heat lost through land vs ocean, that's about 1/10,000th so my memory wasn't too far off.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    43. Re:Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      Sort of: aluminum smelting is a two-step process. Bauxite -> Alumina -> Aluminum. The former process requires heating to >1000 C, the latter is electrolytic (the input is heated to a bit under 1000 C, but I assume that's heated electrically since the electrical power is right there). But then, I don't know how often these are done separately, vs on the same site where you might as well use an electric furnace for the first step a well.

      In any case, Solar still presents a challenge as you need uninterrupted power to keep the aluminum molten in the cells. I supposed with good enough energy storage that could be overcome, but I doubt it will be an early convert. Still, wherever hydro is working, it's working.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    44. Re: Use renewable sources by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is clean-enough. As long as it's a modern negative coefficient ireqctor design and isn't operated by idiots , the environmental risks , even in its failure modes, are pretty low.

      Obviously Solar , hydro, and wind are preferable environmentally but nuclear is bulk, clean and there.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    45. Re: Use renewable sources by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      and that has what to do with the fact that all geo-thermal wells are far more concentrated in energy than is ANYWHERE on earth WRT solar?
      AND geo-thermal can be used to obtain minerals/elements for next to free.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    46. Re: Use renewable sources by lgw · · Score: 1

      It has to do with scaling. Like I said, geothermal is great where it works, but it won't scale (to humanity's future needs). Only solar and fusion (but I repeat myself) will. Most geothermal hotspots are along the ocean floor, and likely more difficult to access than "orbital solar", which is saying something. But, hey, if you're Iceland, dig in!

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    47. Re: Use renewable sources by Aighearach · · Score: 1

      So, you've simply never heard of the technology involved in geothermal. You only heard of the big word. You asked, "What is under the well head?"

      Just fucking look up Puna Geothermal Ventures. Even many of the ones in Iceland are done that way.

      You're using a grade-school mental model of the Earth, where the crust is of uniform thickness, and there aren't any magma intrusions. No, that isn't really how it works. That's first of all. Second of all, it isn't like the crust is cold, and the mantle is hot. The reason there are different zones is because of different behavior at different pressures, not because there is a neat stack of stuff. It gets hotter and hotter as you go down. It isn't cold cold cold and then you get to a transition and now it is hot. LOL the lower part of the crust is only a tiny increment cooler than the mantle.

      And, what keeps you from just digging however deep you want? Heat. It gets too hot to go deeper. There might be some relevance here to the prospect of extracting heat, too. Hmmm.... lololol

      And stop making up numbers. They're excessively round, and you have no idea how they relate to your supposed conclusions. In context, they're made-up. Whenever you don't know what a number really means in the context you use it, then it is a lie that you are sharing a math-based conclusion.

  12. This seems like FUD by b0bby · · Score: 4, Insightful

    OK, I read this article and it seems like the definition of FUD. The headline is "The Dirt on Clean Electric Cars", and there's a lot of largely-irrelevant charts and statistics. The most damning statement they make is:

    An electric vehicle in Germany would take more than 10 years to break even with an efficient combustion engine’s emissions

    Yet further down, they have to admit:

    To be sure, other studies show that even in coal-dominant Poland, using an electric car would emit 25 percent less carbon dioxide than a diesel car

    So basically, on the worst emitting grids, today, an EV might have about the same emissions as the cleanest diesel; everywhere else they are clearly lower. And the grid in most places is getting steadily cleaner; a diesel made today will not be getting better emissions in 10 years.

    1. Re:This seems like FUD by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Did you even look at their "research"? (No, because it's behind a login, so you can't see what bullshit they did to get those numbers.)

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    2. Re:This seems like FUD by b0bby · · Score: 3, Interesting

      No, you're right, I didn't. It does reflect what the Union of Concerned Scientist's calculator shows; in certain areas, an EV currently is not much cleaner than a Prius. In lots of other areas, however, they are quite a lot cleaner.

      https://www.ucsusa.org/clean-v...

      So an EV is not as clean as riding a bike, but if you are going to be driving a car in an area with a reasonably clean grid and want to get the most efficient car you can, you should get an EV.

  13. Bloomberg by Major+Blud · · Score: 1

    Isn't this the same Bloomberg that hasn't shown any evidence that SuperMicro boards were hacked?
    https://www.businessinsider.co...

    --
    If you post as Anonymous Coward, don't expect a reply.
  14. Nope by WindBourne · · Score: 5, Insightful

    U should have read the article and listened. It all depends on Where and how the battery is made. For example, we own a model S. The cells came from Japan. Ok clean. Not great, not bad. However, the model is in not just in Nevada, BUT Tesla is adding massive solar to power the manufacturing of the cells and batteries, and about 1/2 of the drive train. Supposedly, they have added batteries to run the plant at night ( also get cheap charge and help in daytime ). The model 3 is not only the cleanest made car, but likely one of the cleanest made product.

    And yes, most of the rest are produced in China in some of the worst locations. To make matters worst, all the lead-acid and li-ion batteries made in China is some of the most polluted on the planet. As such, wind and solar do not play a part for them. So when Tesla goes to China, those batteries will be made/used in China. Compared to a new clean ice vehicle, the Tesla may never fully recoup the massive co2 added

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Nope by Namarrgon · · Score: 4, Informative

      Even that is not the case.

      From TFS, a "conventional car ... releases only 20 percent of its lifetime CO2 [during manufacturing]", so if an average ICE vehicle produces 24 tonnes of CO2 over its lifecycle, that's 4.2 tonnes for manufacturing and 19.2 tonnes while driving. If a BEV requires 75% more emissions during manufacturing, that's only 3.15 tonnes more.

      According to the DoE, an average BEV powered in West Virginia (95.7% coal power) would emit 4.29 tonnes a year, compared to an average ICE emission of 5.19 tonnes/year, a difference of 0.9 tonnes. So the ICEV emissions would exceed the BEV even in the worst-case power mix after just 3.5 years.

      This is borne out by numerous other studies.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    2. Re:Nope by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Depending on the chemistry, it takes 250-500 kwh just to take processed li-salt to a cell level
      For Tesla, that means 21-42 mwh worth of electricity to produce the 85 kwh battery in most MSs. Even at that low-end, it is STILL a lot of energy.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  15. Government mandate by JudeanPeople'sFront · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "Every major carmaker has plans for electric vehicles to cut greenhouse gas emissions". Not because the market demands it or because their customers want it.

    For people who want electric cars, they have their Priuses, Volts, Teslas, etc. That market is served by several manufacturers and it expands as the demand grows. However *every* manufacturer has to comply with government regulations like CAFE and such. So everyone makes at least one "compliance" model to reduce the average fleet emissions to within regulations. Otherwise - fines, more expensive cars, consumers pay more or the company can't compete and goes bankrupt.

    Even a driver-friendly company like Mazda, recently had to kiss the ring and announce "compliance" models. Which no customer of their usual fast-and-fun-to-drive cars wants. So these models fill fail in the market and the costs will be paid by the customers.

    1. Re:Government mandate by XXongo · · Score: 4, Informative

      "Every major carmaker has plans for electric vehicles to cut greenhouse gas emissions". Not because the market demands it or because their customers want it.

      Tesla Model 3 is now the best selling luxury car in America (ref: https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/04... ), and is likely to be the best selling car in America, period, by the end of the year. So it seems that the market does demand it.

  16. Nuclear: yes, maybe. [Re:Easy fix] by XXongo · · Score: 2

    You mean like from nuclear power? Lowest CO2 energy source we know of, safest energy source we know of, and as "renewable" as solar power because there is enough thorium and uranium on Earth that we'd never be able to burn it all before the sun consumes the planet.

    I'd like to see somebody start making thorium-fueled nuclear power plants; the hype sure makes it sound like a good solution. But so far it's not being done.

    Uranium fueled plants, on the other hand, actually have a pretty limited amount of fuel available-- not a problem with the world currently using only about 2% of its power from nuclear sources (*), but if we went to 100%, there's only about 5 years (!!) of fuel.

    Some data:
    https://phys.org/news/2011-05-...
    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-long-will-global-uranium-deposits-last/
    https://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/Publications/PDF/Pub1104_scr.pdf

    This can be solved by reprocessing spent fuel, and by going to breeder reactors. But governments don't want to do that because of fear of nuclear terrorism.

    *(nuclear generates 14% of the world electrical production, but electricity is only a small fraction of the world energy use)

    1. Re:Nuclear: yes, maybe. [Re:Easy fix] by technosaurus · · Score: 1

      The reaction time for thorium makes it much more difficult than uranium. The candu reactors can even use un-enriched uranium (by using heavy water as the moderator) Unless your country is a nuclear nation sitting on piles of thorium (read India), there is no compelling reason to switch.

    2. Re:Nuclear: yes, maybe. [Re:Easy fix] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      This can be solved by reprocessing spent fuel, and by going to breeder reactors. But governments don't want to do that because of fear of nuclear terrorism.

      They fear terrorism more than global warming?

      Good God, yes!

      A handful of nuclear bombs could seriously damage the Earth, and right now.

      Global warming, on the other hand, is a long term effect.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    3. Re:Nuclear: yes, maybe. [Re:Easy fix] by laie_techie · · Score: 1

      This can be solved by reprocessing spent fuel, and by going to breeder reactors. But governments don't want to do that because of fear of nuclear terrorism.

      They fear terrorism more than global warming?

      Things which are approaching sooner are a higher priority. What do I care about 10 years in the future if I'm uncertain about next year? This is the problem of the lower middle class in America - the cost of living is so high that they don't have money left over to save for retirement. Terrorist attacks are happening nearly every year, while measurable effects of climate change are decades out. Add previous misstatements about climate change in the past and people get tired of "scientists" calling wolf.

      For what it's worth, I would like to see one or two new nuclear plants in the US on a yearly basis. By building so slowly we give ourselves time to learn and improve designs without having to retrofit a bunch of older plants. Also, it means that we will only need to retrofit one or two plants per year when these plants get older. We do need a long-term solution for spent fuel storage. I don't like the idea of spent fuel cells traveling by train thousands of miles.

    4. Re:Nuclear: yes, maybe. [Re:Easy fix] by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      It's not terrorism. Not directly.

      The same technologies that reprocess nuclear waste are used to separate weapons grade plutonium from stuff that isn't weapons grade plutonium. The argument is that spreading this technology is tantamount to spreading nuclear weapons, as nuclear weapons aren't technically hard to create once you have the material; getting the material without anyone knowing is the hard bit.

      The spread of nuclear weapons means that there are more weapons that need to be secured from non-state actors that would want to use them. Thus, indirectly, because terrorism!

      It's left as an exercise for the reader to decide if it's all horseshit or not.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  17. I don't get it... by azcoyote · · Score: 1

    Didn't I read on Slashdot that Germany was a world leader in renewable energy? So why does this article seem to indicate that Germany is particularly bad for producing cars using fossil fuels?

    --
    Incipiamus, fratres, servire Domino Deo, quia hucusque vix vel parum in nullo profecimus.
    1. Re:I don't get it... by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Renewable energy is not that green and produces significant emissions during the totality of its lifecycle..... Additionally Germany slashed its nuclear energy use causing a MASSIVE spike is greenhouse gas emissions. Germany has been like a child these last 20 years, jumping from one green fad to another without implementing the slow-untrendy-yet effective changes.

    2. Re:I don't get it... by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      The dissonance is caused because this article is written by an "automotive consultancy" that is being paid by companies with no EV in their lineup. So, they're going to reeeeeeealy emphasize the bad parts of an EV and play with the numbers as much as they can to make those bad parts appear worse.

      Germany is installing a massive number of solar and wind farms, which is where that "world leader" claim comes from. They still use coal for a lot of their energy and import electricity from coal plants in Poland because that's what's available at this moment. It'll shift as the renewable installations continue.

    3. Re:I don't get it... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Additionally Germany slashed its nuclear energy use causing a MASSIVE spike is greenhouse gas emissions.
      There is no such spike. Like to show us a link?

      jumping from one green fad to another without implementing the slow-untrendy-yet effective changes.
      Interesting that we are more or less world leader in (new installed) renewables nevertheless. With close to 40% contribution by renewables in 2017 and probably even close to 50% in 2018.

      You are simply an idiot.

      Here, play around a bit, if you grasp how to use the tool, that is. http://energy-charts.de/

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:I don't get it... by plague911 · · Score: 1

      https://www.reuters.com/article/us-german-nuclear-carbon/german-nuclear-cull-to-add-40-million-tonnes-co2-per-year-idUSTRE74U2Y220110601

      "Deutsche Bank analysts estimated an extra 370 million metric tons of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions through 2020, compared with Societe Generale’s extra 406 million metric tons."

      https://www.mcc-berlin.net/fileadmin/data/pdf/Publikationen/Knopf_Pahle_Joas_Edenhofer_Germanys_nuclear_phase-out_2012.pdf

      See that nice blue line on page 12. See how that is about 1/3rd lower than the other options? The irresponsible nuclear turnoff if 2012 caused a similar 1/3 spike upwards in the emissions per unit of energy Germany produces.

      http://www.world-nuclear.org/press/briefings/germany-to-miss-emissions-target-because-of-nuclea.aspx

      Germany in all things is fashionably liberal vs practically liberal. Doing the cool trendy things that in reality have little utilitarian impact, while ignoring the actually impactful actions it could take.

    5. Re:I don't get it... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      And which point do you want to make?

      Obviously we produce more CO2 than we would if we had not switched off half the nuclear power plants.

      And? What is exactly wrong with that? After all we are world leader in CO2 reduction ... now give us a damn break.

      Your links have to be taken with a few grains of salt anyway ... our nukes are base load plants, not made for load following. We simply don't need them anymore. Then again the links are outdated, while we slow down in expansion of our solar and wind installations, we still put more renewables online than estimated 10 years ago.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:I don't get it... by plague911 · · Score: 1

      "our nukes are base load plants, not made for load following. We simply don't need them anymore"......................you....... don't think you need......base load????????????Dear god that is fantastically uniformed

      "After all we are world leader in CO2 reduction "

      By what metric? the "I like to make up things metric?"

      https://knoema.com/atlas/Germany/Energy-intensity?compareTo=US,IE,FR,DE

      This graph doesn't seem to agree with you.

      https://yearbook.enerdata.net/total-energy/world-energy-intensity-gdp-data.html

      Nor this one. Poland has made much more progress as both a percentage and absolute number. Maybe that's just because they are a less developed nation? Lets go with the UK? Ooo looks like they beat you as well. Back in the early 90's their economy was slightly less carbon efficient per GDP unit. Now they are moderately more efficient than Germany. This is because Germany makes truly awful, trendy decisions instead of thought out rational ones. Global warming is a true problem Germany needs to treat it that way instead of pretending they are. Hell in the U.S. half our population doesn't even believe in global warming and we are doing a much better job of emissions reduction than you.

    7. Re:I don't get it... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      By what metric? the "I like to make up things metric?"
      By the metric of reduction by percent.
      You go from 100% to 40% ... that is a reduction by 60% ... plain and simple.

      Global warming is a true problem Germany needs to treat it that way instead of pretending they are.
      As we are the world leader in treating that problem, you addressing the wrong ones.

      Hell in the U.S. half our population doesn't even believe in global warming and we are doing a much better job of emissions reduction than you.
      No you don't. You did in the last 3 years. And we do since 30 years. The total amount of CO2 we did not produce is probably 50 times higher than your reduction in recent years.

      There is no program in the US reducing heating costs for houses by financing or supporting or subsidicing insulation ...

      In Germany it is law that you have to insulate your house to cut down heating costs, in CO2, by a factor of ten or more.

      Go home idiot.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  18. Re: How about diesel production by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    That is why science does actual studies, while you are just making up BS. Real studies are showing that co2 from the diesel production is still much lower than using 80+% coal for electricity.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  19. EV production = ~2 years of tailpipe emissions by ottffssent · · Score: 4, Informative

    BNEF has access to good research and should have written a better article. Instead they've constructed a clickbait article full of gibberish that obscures rather than illuminates what data they do deign to present:

    1. An average EV is less polluting, per mile, than even the best gasoline or diesel vehicle.
    2. If that EV were built with dirty power, and charged throughout its life with dirty power, it would still be a net win, albeit a small one verging on a tie, on lifetime emissions.
    3. We're projected to be be building a whole lot of new EVs.

    And there's no mention of the obvious objections to this sort of facile analysis:
    1. The average new EV probably displaces a purchase of an average new gasmobile, so the comparison with the most-efficient gasmobile is unrealistic. If the average new EV driver is particularly eco-conscious, and would otherwise be buying a highly-efficient gasmobile, that new driver is probably also sourcing the power from cleaner-than-average supplies, so calculating as if it were charged from the average local grid is unrealistic.
    2. Grid carbon intensities are dropping worldwide, and the speed of this drop is accelerating as renewables get cheaper and cheaper relative to fossil-fueled plants. New renewables are cheaper than new thermal power plants almost everywhere, and we're only a few years away from new renewables being cheaper than continuing to fuel an already-built thermal plant in some parts of the world. Over a 15-year lifespan, EVs will keep getting cleaner per-mile, whereas gasmobiles will wear out and become less efficient.
    3. While the article focuses on manufacturing emissions, their own graphs show that these correspond to only about 2 years worth of tailpipe emissions. A worthwhile target for reduction, for sure (and one that will happen naturally, as large manufacturers consistently seek to reduce their power costs by buying cheap renewable energy), but not the big target that we should be focusing on. The running costs dominate lifetime emissions, so we should tackle them first (especially as cleaning up electricity generation world-wide would also significantly reduce manufacturing emissions).

    BNEF usually produces much better analysis than this. I'm disappointed in them.

    1. Re:EV production = ~2 years of tailpipe emissions by ottffssent · · Score: 1

      > Batteries like this are almost 100% recycled into new batteries when they reach the end of their useful life.

      That is not currently true, but is becoming more true as time goes on. Recycling rates for lead-acid batteries are quite high, and there's a reasonably robust supply chain from your local batteries plus or what have you, all the way back to building new batteries from reclaimed materials. The corresponding industry for the various LiIon chemistries is still in its infancy, but will grow rapidly as the supply of end-of-life lithium cells starts to boom in the coming years. We'll work out a reasonably optimal schedule of primary use, second-life use (eg EV battery packs refurbished / reused for stationary storage), and eventually recycling.

      Lead-acid battery recycling has a fairly uniform product to be handled, both in terms of size and chemistry, whereas LiIon chemistries vary widely and individual cells range from the 0.1AHr range to the 100AHr range for big pouch cells. I'm not a battery expert so I'm not sure how big a problem that is from a recycling perspective. I suspect efficient and scalable battery disassembly is currently a larger problem than sorting the different electrodes for potentially-different processing afterward. Perhaps someone who actually knows something about this can comment further.

  20. Look at the Source by mwfischer · · Score: 4, Informative

    All the article is saying is if you make dirty batteries, you get a dirty product. The spin on it was impressive saying fuck electric cars. (disclosure - telsa owner)

    After some google and linked in stalking, all the partners at the firm Berylls Strategic Advisors are a mouthpiece for the big oil think tank part of the Oliver Wyman firm.

    However the partner of Berylls (whom came from Audi and OW) is saying buy diesel cars instead.

    We all know German diesel cars are totally very much extremely only the best people clean. re: audi, vw

  21. Garbage comparisons by plague911 · · Score: 2

    Just to build each car battery -- weighing upwards of 500 kilograms (1,100 pounds) in size for sport-utility vehicles -- would emit up to 74 percent more C02 than producing an efficient conventional car

    10 years to break even Meaning that you know since cars last more than 10 years..... electric cars would beat ICEs under even the most pro ICE environment......

    .

    1. Re:Garbage comparisons by plague911 · · Score: 2

      The real comparison should be the net effective release per mile driven over the lifetime of a vehicle with comparable size for an average vehicle. IE an EV over 15 years driven 200,000 miles with one or two battery replacements and energy use, vs an ICE over 15 years driven 200,000 miles with about 60 oil changes, filter changes, fuel changes and a transmission replacement.

  22. Re:The only people surprised are the lazy libs by omnichad · · Score: 2

    Yeah, I think that vehicular homicide is not something to brag about.

  23. Easy answer: buy the tesla model 3 ... by ahowlett · · Score: 1

    Battery pack and cells manufactured at the Nevada gigafactory. Power from solar panels on roof plus plans to add geothermal. Their goal is to be completely powered by renewables. Anyway, ignoring the Elon hype, why would anyone buy an electric car from an ICE vendor. Tesla is so far ahead of them with worldwide supercharger deployment. Will take at least ten years to catch up.

  24. Re: It's not only the manufacturing... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    You assume 100% coal, and old plants. A NEW coal plants from china actually gets around 55%. Transmission lose is around 7%. Everybody charging to wheels lose is less than 10%. So 38% and that is based on 100% new coal plant. Note that other emissions from plant , lead, Mercury, etc are much higher, but in China ...

    As to grid in most of west, less than 60% from fossil fuels. In America, coal is less than 30%. So with 40% clean energy ( and growing ), and 30% Nat gas ( was growing, is slowing down ), and 30% coal ( dropping ), an ev fully made and ran here will be much much cleaner.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  25. the transition period by goombah99 · · Score: 2

    The problem is in some ways worse than stated since they are front loading the CO2 emissions now rather than later.

    However, the same is true of corn ethanol. That too doesn't actually reduce CO2 since about as much petroleum energy goes into raising and drying corn as you get out of it.

    The argument for Corn Ethanol is NOT that is it less polluting but that it is the leading edge of a transition to other sources of ethanol that are not yet on the market but consume less petroleum. For example, cellulosic ethanol from switchgrass or poplar.

    You need to start transitioning a fleet about 30 years before you want the full transition because that's how long it takes to build the infrastructure, economics benefits to accrue, and to replace the vehicles.

    So starting out with Lithium and Ethanol made inefficiently but competitively isn't a terrible idea. And since the numbers of units sold is also low at the start it also isn't a big impact on total CO2.

    On the otherhand, Ethanol is probably a lousy idea compared to either Algal fuels or Electric cars. But alagal fuels are not ready for mass production yet.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:the transition period by afidel · · Score: 1

      Corn ethanol has an EROI of 1.5-3:1 so it does reduce CO2 slightly.

      --
      There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
    2. Re:the transition period by lgw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Corn ethanol makes no sense other than as a subsidy to corn farmers. It's just about the worst choice for a biofuel.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  26. Re:Known for some time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    But buying and using a used car is so anti American!

    Says someone that is obviously not from America.

    It's a long living trope in American culture of a young man or woman declaring that they are now an adult by buying a cheap rusty piece of shit used car. This usually coincides with another milestone of being an adult, like getting a job, going off to university, or getting married.

    Of course the next milestone is being able to buy their first new car, or rather having paid off the loan on the new car.

    The least American thing to do is not own a car.

  27. Re:Known for some time by jellomizer · · Score: 2

    Way more complicated then what people think.
    When we think global warming we normally think about our Car. Because we have to pay for around 10-20 gallons a week we regularly see thousands of cars, and when the weather get cold we see the exhaust coming from the pipe. The automobile is the symbol of pollution.
    However it is a major polluter it isn't the biggest one. Even for your personal carbon count. Normally your home is #1 if you are using Oil heat (using that because it is a popular form of heat that is most similar to gasoline) You car may use 1000 gallons a year, while if you live in the north east with oil heat you can burn 1400 gallons of oil a year. Then combine your home electricity your home which most people only use 1/3 of the time. is spewing more carbon then your car.

    I have switch my home to wood pellets, and to keep my home warm for the winter I need 4 tons of pellets. Over the year at best I probably have 10 lbs of Ash. the rest is exhausted out of my home and polluting the air.

    Now all that said. Moving cars to Electric will not stop global warming or even slow it down, because the extra carbon needed to make them, will offset the normal life of the car. However we have begin to shift the pollution hard to regulate areas (your own stuff) to centralized locations, which can be better regulated, and upgraded over time to more green methods.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
  28. Got a good laugh by nospam007 · · Score: 1

    "According to estimates of Mercedes-Benz..."

    Well, well, well, if that isn't one of those companies who defrauded their clients and killed thousands of people and still only a handful managers are in jail.

    Shouldn't they better shut the fuck up?

  29. Blinded me with (pretend) SCIENCE! by XXongo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    That is why science does actual studies

    In fact, science does do actual studies... but this isn't one of them. This is an article in a business magazine, which cites a study from Berylls Strategy Advisors, which they list as "a Munich-based automotive consultancy".

    So, no, this isn't a scientific study; this is an advocacy piece disguised as a scientific study.

  30. So tired of this narrative by MikeWhoIsTall · · Score: 1

    The idea is that long term the factories that make the batteries should be powered by renewables. Yes, there is a transition period and not every facility can do this overnight. It doesn't invalidate the technology or the long term necessity. Just an ICE industry piece to sow doubt.

  31. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It's also only looking at CO2, and ignoring the other pollution. Diesels put out a lot of harmful particulate matter right where people live and breathe.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  32. Re:Known for some time by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    He didn't. Where did he assume that?

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  33. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by awe_cz · · Score: 1

    This really depends on which emission standard are we talking about. If you compare EURO6 diesel car with similarly sized electric car in Germany, you might end up with more harmful emissions (NOx, HC, PM) from coal portion of the electricity needed. Yes, it's being produced somewhere else than city centre, but still it's far from ideal.

  34. Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by XXongo · · Score: 1

    However if you really get into it, the entire continent is connected. So even though BC, Washington, Idaho and Oregon might be green, they are connected to states in the Western Energy Grid that are not, and there are interconnects to the rest of the continent.

    They are connected, yes, but in fact you don't wheel power over distances of more than a thousand kilometers or two; transmission losses are just too high.

    Superconducting transmission could solve that, but it's not implemented yet.

    http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/182278-the-worlds-first-superconducting-power-line-paves-the-way-for-billions-of-dollars-in-savings

    1. Re:Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Buried superconducting conduits might make sense in some niches, but for the long haul stick to HVDC.

      HVDC would survive solar storms by design too, not that retrofitting the existing grid to be solar storm immune would be all that costly ... but no one is doing it, because there is no profit motive to do so.

    2. Re:Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      transmission losses are just too high.

      HVDC has transmission losses of about 3% per 1000 km.

      The world's longest HVDC runs 3300 km from Xinjiang to Jiangsu. It transmits 12 Gw of power at 1.1 megavolts, with transmission losses of less than 10%.

    3. Re:Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by WindBourne · · Score: 1
      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by Trongy · · Score: 1

      That article doesn't mention any technical problems with HVDC transmission lines. It's about political and planning problems. The political problems stem from conflict between the central and regional governments.

      It seems that China doesn't have a fully national electricity grid, rather a collection of regional grids that are partially connected. Some regional governments are acting to protect their region's local generation in the face of cheaper imported electricity. As a result there's a high rate wasted solar and wind power and new renewable projects have slowed.

    5. Re:Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      but in fact you don't wheel power over distances of more than a thousand kilometers or two; transmission losses are just too high.
      Losses depend on voltage. Bottom line the losses are neglectible.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      HVDC would survive solar storms by design too,
      No it would not ...

      not that retrofitting the existing grid to be solar storm immune would be all that costly
      You would need a faraday cage shielding for every power line ... good luck.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    7. Re:Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 1

      The magnitude of the effects of solar storms are massively exaggerated, it's not a nuke EMP. The ability to spark across some telegraph equipment doesn't mean the voltages are high enough to do much to transmission line equipment. What damages the grid is the relatively small induced DC current in the circuits, which saturates the transformers. Just disconnecting the grid protects it (a complete grid black start is not part of its design though). If you want to spend a little more you could put DC power supplies inside the circuit to offset the induced voltage from the storm.

      For HVDC a solar storm's effect on the transmission lines just presents a tiny bit of extra load or a tiny bit of extra generated power.

    8. Re:Transmission losses [Re: Use renewable sources] by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      They are not exagerated.

      The problem is that solar storms can "compress" the magnetic field of the earth.

      If the storm suddenly loses power, the magnetic field springs back into its old shape instantly. That causes millsios of ampere induction current into powerlines and communication lines.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  35. Re: Does not seem to take into account grid improv by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Battery pack replacements may not be as common as people expected them to be. When you have a Nissan Leaf dropping to a top range of 60 miles, then you do need to replace the battery pack. However, if your Chevrolet Bolt EV drops to only 60% of its original range, you still have more than 140 miles of range. Might not be your choice for a cross country trip, but you still have 50 more miles of range than most of the Leafs on the road today.
    I donâ(TM)t see myself replacing the battery pack in my Bolt EV for a very long time, if ever. I make sure to not leave it at high State of Charge, which damages the battery more than recharging it often. By the time capacity drops enough to be a bother, I expect there to be many more DC fast charge stations available. Iâ(TM)ll just fill up as needed. Even if it only had a range of 140 miles, it would fit my daily driving needs,

  36. Re:Known for some time by alvinrod · · Score: 2
    I'll assume the AC meant to say CO2 producing energy, as not using energy at all seems rather silly. However, it's right in the middle of the previous post:

    That is not negligible! But once you've kept your car for three years, then no, more carbon dioxide is produced in driving the car than in making the car.

    It's likely better to have all of the energy generation for electric cars done in a central location, even if it's all done with coal power, but simply having an electric car doesn't meant that running it is CO2 free. You wouldn't claim that having an electric car is a good green alternative if the person who owned was charging it with a diesel generator every day.

  37. Don't be disappointed by Comboman · · Score: 1

    Don't be disappointed. Hydro power requires flooding an entire valley of oxygen-producing, CO2-sequestering trees. Nuclear is better, at least in terms of greenhouse gas emissions.

    --
    Support Right To Repair Legislation.
    1. Re:Don't be disappointed by jeremyp · · Score: 1

      Except nuclear power stations are usually built from vast quantities of concrete, the production of which creates enormous amounts of carbon dioxide.

      Actually, I suppose a lot of hydro dams also use vast quantities of concrete. As you were.

      --
      All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
    2. Re:Don't be disappointed by blindseer · · Score: 1, Troll

      Except nuclear power stations are usually built from vast quantities of concrete, the production of which creates enormous amounts of carbon dioxide.

      Actually, I suppose a lot of hydro dams also use vast quantities of concrete. As you were.

      Nuclear power also produces enormous amounts of electric energy, more than enough to offset the CO2 produced and make it far lower CO2 than any other energy source we have today.

      http://cmo-ripu.blogspot.com/2...

      Nuclear power is also far safer than anything else and uses far less material resources compared to the energy produced.

      If CO2 production concerns you then you'd be supporting nuclear power. If we are going to see any meaningful reduction in CO2, without driving prices through the roof, then we need nuclear, wind, and hydro. Solar costs too much, is inherently unreliable, takes too much materials, and really isn't all that great on CO2 when compared to wind, nuclear, and hydro.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    3. Re:Don't be disappointed by lgw · · Score: 1

      As solar and energy storage get better, the need for large centralized fission plants will fade. Heavy industry will still need thermal power, but fission isn't really appropriate there either (avoiding steel-melting temperatures is sort of a design goal of a nuke plant, after all). Fingers crossed on fusion not being "just 20 years away" one of these decades.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    4. Re:Don't be disappointed by blindseer · · Score: 5, Insightful

      As solar and energy storage get better, the need for large centralized fission plants will fade.

      Until that happens we need nuclear power today.

      I keep hearing on how we need to act RIGHT NOW on lowering CO2 but when nuclear power is brought up the response is how solar and batteries will be better than nuclear in 5 or 10 years. Well, can we wait for this to happen or do we have to act RIGHT NOW? If we can wait then let's wait, and shut up already on having to act RIGHT NOW. If we can't wait then stop coming up with excuses on why we can't use the safest and lowest CO2 producing energy source we have today.

      Oh, but it takes 10 years to finish a nuclear power plant build? Well, then what are we waiting for? Even if we get this new solar technology on the time frame it is promised it will still take years for it to be brought to market and deployed. In the mean time we'll be building an electricity source that can power the factories that will be building these next generation solar collectors.

      Here's what I'm suspecting on why solar and wind advocates oppose nuclear power, they can't compete against nuclear power.

      I have no problem with wind and solar power, only the people that say we need to use these and not even try with nuclear power. We have seen the US government issue only a handful of permits to build a new nuclear power plant in the last 40 years. Before then they were issuing dozens per year. It's not that people weren't asking for permits, applications were still being submitted. The government simply stopped issuing permits. There's nuclear power plants that have been under the application process for decades and still did not get a permit. Stop this madness, fix the process, and issue some permits already.

      Whatever problem one can raise opposing nuclear power is nothing compared to global warming. If global warming is the threat that it's claimed to be then any problems nuclear power might cause are nothing by comparison.

      At this point if you oppose nuclear power then you are denying the catastrophic effects of global warming. If we should fear nuclear power more than global warming then global warming cannot be all that bad.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    5. Re:Don't be disappointed by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      yes, "toxic" stuff like silicon and aluminium for the frame

      https://www.quora.com/Which-ty...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    6. Re: Don't be disappointed by Type44Q · · Score: 1

      Except nuclear power stations are usually built from vast quantities of concrete

      Wow.

    7. Re: Don't be disappointed by Cmdln+Daco · · Score: 1

      I don't right now. I don' t even have 15 of them.

    8. Re:Don't be disappointed by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      And if said valley has no trees? The few trees in such a valley are a grain of salt in an ocean anyway ... why are people so bad with numbers?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:Don't be disappointed by strikethree · · Score: 1

      Dude. You are beginning to sound like a nutcase.

      You are absolutely right about nuclear power being a major part of the solution. It could be. It should be.

      People are fucking weird. You aren't convincing them. You won't convince them.

      Let it go.

      Blame Jimmy Carter for banning breeder reactors.

      Oh. Thorium and molten salt reactors are not viable.

      --
      "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  38. Re:Known for some time by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Having an electric car is not CO2 free, but even the current mix of electricity in the US ensures it's about 50% cleaner in total. See figure ES-2 in this document. With low-carbon sources spreading, it's going to get even better.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  39. Re:Known for some time by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    This usually coincides with another milestone of being an adult, like getting a job, going off to university, or getting married.

    Or an alien robot invasion?

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  40. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    That's extremely unlikely, especially considering that Germany has been replacing coal plants with newer, less polluting ones. Plus with the huge amount of solar installed in Germany it's quite likely that if you wanted an electric car for emissions reasons you could get solar PV to charge it too.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  41. making diesel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Did they even take into account that 40% of CO2 from ICE cars comes from pumping/refining/transporting the fuel. Tailpipe emissions are only a part of it. And did they really compare an electric SUV with a fuel efficient car? This article is a joke.

  42. Re:CO2 does not cause global warming by freak0fnature · · Score: 1

    I always found it fascinating that CO2 levels moving from 200ppm (0.0002) to 400ppm (0.0004), a change of 0.0002, is the cause of all this warming.

  43. did Elmer FUD write this article? by jlv · · Score: 2

    "Some ... might ..."

    Just more FUD from the petro and ICE mfgs showing how EVs are bad for everything. Sigh.

    A slightly better read:
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/e...

    (disclaimer: I've only driven an EV for almost 5 years. We've got over 60K combined miles on our LEAF and Model S)

  44. Queue Elon Musk... by bferrell · · Score: 1

    It's the short sellers!!!!!

    1. Re:Queue Elon Musk... by bferrell · · Score: 1

      picky picky picky :)

  45. Good information, but missing the point by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The biggest advantage of electric cars is not the 3x efficiency, it's not the incredible acceleration, and it's only partly the lack of post-purchase carbon emissions. It's that everything is much more fungible. I do not delude myself that my electric car is not polluting, I get my power from the texas power grid, which is 34% natural gas and 30% coal . The 3x efficiency combined with getting 28% from less polluting sources is a big step forward, but ultimately just part of the solution.

    The main advantage is that it is easier to pressure ERCOT to change their ways than it is to cause millions of texans to change their ways (and buy new vehicles, which itself is pretty nasty for the environment). If the major source of carbon emissions for electric cars is the manufacturers, we can get after them. These entities are capable of working with their governments to come up with a timeline, and a way of managing the expenses to make change happen. Joe Sixpack in his 1967 pickup is unreachable, possibly couldn't afford to fix it if he wanted to, and might not comply if he didn't.

    As long as people are driving around with combustion engines, we can pass laws and scream and yell and nothing will change.

  46. Re:It's not only the manufacturing... by Whorhay · · Score: 3, Insightful

    An ICE tops out around 30% when it's running at it's peak efficiency. That requires an immaculately maintained engine and operating it within a very narrow part of its functional range. Whenever your ICE vehicle is doing anything other than cruise control at its most efficient speed it is way off that efficiency number. Power plants will spend much more of their lifetime operating at or near peak efficiency than an ICE in a car will. Electric motors are also far more efficient with a much broader functional power band than any ICE. Of course we use transmissions in ICE vehicles to try and get more use out of the narrow operating range, but that adds more moving parts that need maintaining as well as more power losses.

    There is also the matter of the amount of energy that goes into processing petroleum so that it can be used as a fuel in a car. The fossil fuels used in most power plants, coal and natural gas, don't require nearly as much processing. There is also a lot of value in centralizing, or outsourcing as you say, the CO2 production. Because the CO2 is being generated at one place instead of thousands of individually maintained tailpipes, it is much easier to control and maintain.

    Which brings up the fact that most people don't do much for maintenance on their cars. They might get the oil changed regularly. I knew one guy that had never changed the oil in his Taurus that had over 150K miles, just added a quart here and there. For the most part people only take their cars to a mechanic for a tuneup if something is obviously wrong and interfering with their daily use.

  47. Another stupid bloomberg article ... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Germany and Poland that rely on non-renewable sources like coal for electricity.
    Germany does not rely on coal.
    We produce 40% of our electricity with renewable and ~10% with nuclear power.
    So coal and gas is less than 50% ... how many other countries manage that?

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    1. Re:Another stupid bloomberg article ... by blindseer · · Score: 1

      So coal and gas is less than 50% ... how many other countries manage that?

      France. Tell me, where do they get the bulk of their electricity?

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    2. Re:Another stupid bloomberg article ... by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 1
      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    3. Re:Another stupid bloomberg article ... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the link!
      And what is your point?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:Another stupid bloomberg article ... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      France is one country.
      So again, how many countries manage that?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:Another stupid bloomberg article ... by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 1

      That there are, indeed, other western countries with very little reliance on non-renewables.

      Hell, up here in Canada, milk comes in bags, and electric power is commonly referred to as 'hydro,' as in 'we just got the hydro bill' or 'after that bad storm, there was a four-hour hydro outage.'

      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    6. Re:Another stupid bloomberg article ... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      At some places we still get milk in bags, too.
      Unfortunately mostly replaced by tetra packs :(

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  48. Missing the point by Mirvnillith · · Score: 1

    Being that we need to thoroughly clean up our energy production regardless of how that electricity is used!

  49. Bewildering by cshark · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This is a terrible argument, and a poorly written article over on Bloomberg. The writer got themselves so flustered that they couldn't be bothered to proof-read, or make a coherent point that doesn't stretch credulity. I would call this, "panic journalism."

    You can't do statistics this way because methods of generating power are shifting. Coal plants are dying off across the world. Part of the problem with this article, not to defend coal, is that there is no one way to measure coal emissions. It depends largely on when the power plants were constructed, what the local regulations are, and the size of the plant. You can't just run an average on it, and hope to be close to the truth of the matter. Even comparing Poland to Belarus is silly. And it gets sillier when you start talking about Germany and France.

    But even that is mundane when you put it in the terms stated. Europe, as we all know is working hard to solve the power problem. They're doing it in ways that are a lot more radical than anything we've seen in the US. To start talking about carbon footprints, as they stand today, before the industry has even taken hold is throwing away the baby with the bathwater.

    Of course, when it comes to panic journalism, that's kinda the point, so I can't fault them for that.

    --

    This signature has Super Cow Powers

  50. Evaporite deposits [Re:Use renewable sources] by XXongo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This doesn't address the fact that they are raping the earth for the minerals to build these batteries.

    Huh? Lithium comes mostly from evaporite deposits. Don't see why you would "rape the Earth" to get at evaporites, which generally don't require deep mining. You want to see what "raping the Earth" means, look at coal mining: https://grist.org/business-tec...

    Steel and Aluminum now are some of the most recycled materials there are. And there is plenty of the product left to recycle.

    Well, lithium is one of the most easily recycled materials there is. And, of course, not just internal combustion cars, but electric cars are also made out of steel and aluminum.

    Not saying Electric is bad, I just prefer honesty when promoting them.

    1. Re: Evaporite deposits [Re:Use renewable sources] by nightfire-unique · · Score: 1

      Man, gettin' old sucks. ;(

      I don't know if it's my lack of reading comprehension or failing vision, but I couldn't find where OP indicated that he believed lithium batteries were constructed purely of lithium. If you don't mind, can you quote where he did so?

      --
      A government is a body of people notably ungoverned - AC
    2. Re:Evaporite deposits [Re:Use renewable sources] by mapkinase · · Score: 1

      >they are raping the earth

      I usually stop reading at that sentence.

      --
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  51. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

    Diesels put out a lot of harmful particulate matter right where people live and breathe.

    No more than diesels do. And if they're cars without a catalyst, like my 1982 300SD or my lady's 2006 Sprinter, then the soot they DO emit is much larger than the soot that gassers spew out. In fact, nearly all of it is large enough for cilia to sweep it out of pockets in your lungs, and for it to be removed during normal sputum production and expectoration. It's only diesels with catalysts which emit primarily PM2.5 and smaller.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  52. So what? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Just to build each car battery -- weighing upwards of 500 kilograms (1,100 pounds) in size for sport-utility vehicles -- would emit up to 74 percent more C02 than producing an efficient conventional car if it's made in a factory powered by fossil fuels in a place like Germany,

    So what? Less than a third of a vehicle's lifetime CO2 emissions occur during production. If I'm doing the math right on the back of this envelope here, that means that EVs are still way out ahead of everything else.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  53. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by afidel · · Score: 3, Informative

    Second the improvements in the grid often take place on the decades scale,
    Not really, the US went from 58% coal to 23% coal in the last decade, so the improvement is pretty rapid and with wind, solar, and battery tech really hitting the ramp phase in the mass production cost reduction scale it's likely to accelerate globally. As far as replacement battery cost, Tesla is already down to ~$100/kWh at the pack level so future replacement packs aren't going to be anywhere near $30k unless you're talking a medium duty truck. Also, other than the Leaf which lacks active thermal management almost every EV has way better battery degradation than originally feared.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  54. Tyndall discovered it in 1859 [Re:CO2 ...] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I always found it fascinating that CO2 levels moving from 200ppm (0.0002) to 400ppm (0.0004), a change of 0.0002, is the cause of all this warming.

    Yes, isn't it fascinating? The fact that small fractions of trace gasses can dominate the atmospheric infrared absorption was discovered by John Tyndall in 1859. https://earthobservatory.nasa....
    We now know that this is because the tightly-bound diatomic molecules don't have vibrational modes in the infrared energy range, of course, but at the time, it was indeed quite fascinating that miniscule amounts of water and carbon dioxide could absorb more than the vastly larger concentration of oxygen and nitrogen in the atmosphere.

    Tyndall was quite an amazing man. He's also the person credited with coming up with the first reasonable answer to the question "why is the sky blue"? https://www.bbvaopenmind.com/e...
    (his answer was "scattering", which is right as far as it goes, but of course it took the mathematics of Rayleigh scattering fifty years later to understand the actual details.)

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  55. No shit. by bistromath007 · · Score: 1

    The point has never been total reduction of emissions. You can't do that by putting dirty power in a battery. What you can do is centralize the emissions so that capture and cleaning are effective solutions.

  56. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Informative

    "Every so often" is a bit non-specific.

    Kia and Hyundai are offering unlimited mileage warranties on their batteries in the US, or 200k km in other regions. Leaf batteries have proven to be good for 350k km+.

    Consumer Reports puts the average lifespan of a car at 250k km (150k miles). Obviously there will be outliers either side. So realistically few people will be wearing out their batteries, and for them the most economical and green option will be to get a used pack from a written off car.

    The used packs are also highly recyclable.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  57. Re:It's not only the manufacturing... by jeremyp · · Score: 1

    Are you factoring in the energy losses from extracting, refining and transporting the ICE fuel?

    Or the costs involved in digging the coal out of the ground.

    Personally, I think this whole argument misses the point. Manufacturing cars of any sort costs a lot of energy and resources. Having everybody owning cars costs a lot in various ways. Hundreds of people die every day thanks to our obsession with personal transport. We sit for hundreds of hours in traffic jams because everybody else won't get out of our way. All this leads to stress, frustration and in some cases violence. None of these downsides change very much if the cars are electric. We should be concentrating on finding ways to reduce the need for people to own and use cars at all.

    --
    All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
  58. Prius [Re:Government mandate] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

    Prius is not an electric car, you fucking idiot.

    The Prius Prime (aka "Plug-in Prius") is.

    It has an internal combustion back-up for long trips, but unless you do long road trips, it's pure electric.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  59. California electricity by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    Electric cars are REALLY powered by coal. Especially in California. California just imports the electricity made from coal in many plants in UTAH.

    Even accounting for imports, California electrical power is only 4% from coal. In fact, California electricity is mostly natural gas. Figures are here
    https://www.energy.ca.gov/.

    Then they just smuggly think they are green. Those solar plants don't REALLY make that much energy.

    About 10% solar, and another 9.4% wind generation. Actually, now that I look up the numbers, I'm impressed-- that's more than I'd expected. Graph here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_California#/media/File:California_Electricity_Generation_Sources_Pie_Chart.svg/a?

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
  60. Propaganda: change discussion to messengers by bussdriver · · Score: 1

    This should be clear propaganda to you readers!
    Next step is to discuss the SOURCES! You can't trust sources that are either incompetent or corrupt that they feed you this rather simple scam! The original author has to be seriously examined because I can't see how they are not just a scammer. The news repeaters hardly do any serious editing and review so you can put them down for incompetence.

    We need some kind of reputation system to rank the sources and repeaters of information. Like a facebook like system but not so stupid; and we really need to weigh experts higher somehow because popular shouldn't beat informed.

  61. yeah right.. by SuperDre · · Score: 1

    We've all driven behind a diesel car, and even the newest diesel cars once in while blow out a hefty black cloud. That cloud might not contain CO2, but it's a dust of fine particles that's not good for your health, and contains other pollutans..
    Also it might that those batteries are created with polluting electricitygrids, those big plants are easier to replace than all those small cars.
    And I'm pretty sure if you dive into the funding of this 'research', you'll find it was backed by a few big oil companies and others that have an interest for keeping diesels on the road for the time being..When I look at the name of the company that did the research, it all smells like BS..

  62. Nuclear bombs can solve global warming by ghoul · · Score: 1

    When it gets too hot just have a few Tsar bomba go off in Siberia and you will have a nuclear winer. Problem solved

    --
    **Life is too short to be serious**
    1. Re:Nuclear bombs can solve global warming by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      When it gets too hot just have a few Tsar bomba go off in Siberia and you will have a nuclear winer. Problem solved

      Turns out not. The "nuclear winter" scenario assumed over a hundred city firestorms lifting ash into the stratosphere. I'm not sure how flammable Siberia is, but you probably couldn't get enough burning to sustain the kind of massive firestorm needed.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    2. Re:Nuclear bombs can solve global warming by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      When it gets too hot just have a few Tsar bomba go off in Siberia and you will have a nuclear winer. Problem solved

      Turns out not. The "nuclear winter" scenario assumed over a hundred city firestorms lifting ash into the stratosphere. I'm not sure how flammable Siberia is, but you probably couldn't get enough burning to sustain the kind of massive firestorm needed.

      What you mean is the nuclear winter scenario used a rigged model that Sagan fudged to support his politics.
      It's a nice little allegory about the dangers of thinking because you do one thing well, your expertise extends to everything.

    3. Re:Nuclear bombs can solve global warming by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

      Not sure why you credit the paper by Turco, Toon, Ackerman, Pollack, and Sagan to just "Sagan". Since you don't seem to even know who wrote the paper, I can scarcely pay much attention to your other opinions on it.

      It was an interesting paper. Turns out it was a bit optimistic about the amount of ash that can be injected into the stratosphere by firestorms, but I don't think you could call it "fudged"-- it was an interesting analysis.

      --
      http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    4. Re:Nuclear bombs can solve global warming by Crashmarik · · Score: 1

      Not sure why you credit the paper by Turco, Toon, Ackerman, Pollack, and Sagan to just "Sagan". Since you don't seem to even know who wrote the paper, I can scarcely pay much attention to your other opinions on it.

      It was an interesting paper. Turns out it was a bit optimistic about the amount of ash that can be injected into the stratosphere by firestorms, but I don't think you could call it "fudged"-- it was an interesting analysis.

      Really, maybe it's because Sagan was the only author making the national news at the time pushing an agenda ? Reasonable people might think the person pushing a political cause with science owned the distortions that came with it.

      Anyway, you must have a real hard time with people that refer to the Calculus of Newton or Leibniz, Einstein's relativity must have you positively up in arms.

  63. Re:Known for some time by laie_techie · · Score: 1

    "This site https://www.greencarreports.co... [greencarreports.com] says not, but it depends on how you analyze the numbers."

    See, my 2002 car gets 55mpg on long runs; 45 on short. But his numbers start with "say your old car gets 30mpg". What heap of shit gets 30mpg?

    Based on family size, I need a larger vehicle for when we all go together. Based on where I live and work, I need a vehicle with a certain range. Because of my economic situation I cannot afford one vehicle for work and another for family use. I ended up with a van which uses gets approximately 25-30 mpg and has a 450 mile range per tank of gas. Once a year or so we do a 1000+ mile road trip (each way), but on a near-weekly basis we do a 100-200 mile (each way) roadtrip. Everyone's situation is different so do your own comparisons. Based on my numbers, a single van getting 30mpg would be better than taking 2 cars getting 50mpg.

  64. mod parent up by bussdriver · · Score: 1

    Parent nailed it! I can't believe they overtly used the worst battery SUV against the best car forgetting to call them both cars... what kind of propagandist are they?

    They ignore that dirty grid power is on the way out. In 10 years it'll be a whole lot cleaner as well. Recycling batteries will become a much bigger thing too (and re-purposing worn batteries.) New battery tech--- we're sold plenty of hype on next gen power that never happens for OLD tech like nuclear and coal; but batteries are actually delivering ... going from 100 years of no progress to huge leaps within the last 25 years - it has only recently began to get large investments. The whole industry is going to change with rental services thanks to internet, AI and a generation who can't afford to waste time/money on car ownership... lower cost and higher profit alternatives are coming.

    It's HARD to compare something new and evolving to something old and dead where they are trying to squeeze the last bit out of the concept after 100+ years.

  65. Re: They certainly spew more BS by saloomy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is for shitty cars by traditional companies that are based in those places where the grid is shit.

    Tesla's, no matter what you have to say about them, make their batteries in Reno. That's where the gigs factory is, where solar is king. So, this argument doesn't apply to them. They are also the largest installer of batteries on the planet, so this makes me think this article is oil company FUD.

  66. "Externalilties" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is the ultimate result of going down the rabbit hole of, "externalities".

    1. Re: "Externalilties" by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

      You have to follow that rabbit hole or you'll never get the whole picture

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
  67. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    While that statement in itself may be true, they do need the battery pack replaced every so often. And the production of those batteries is actually one of the most polluting aspects.

    While this is true (the electrolyte is non-recyclable in virtually all cases, though the metals are aggressively recovered) this will actually improve over time as both manufacturing methods and battery chemistries advance.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  68. What we need to do: by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Regardless of the validity of TFA, there are steps we need to take, as a species, if we want any hope of not continuing to create our own extinction-level event.
    1. Phase out all fossil fuel use. Do what you have to, to develop alternatives for all forms of transportation.
    2. Develop safe nuclear power plant design. In parallel, continue to develop and refine battery technologies.
    3. Tell the NIMBYs to STFU, and make that stick. (Yes, I'm saying: shove it down their throats. Too fucking bad for them, our species is at stake here.)
    4. While 2 and 3 are in progress, continue to develop and deploy 'renewables' (solar, wind, etc). Mandate rooftop solar on new homes, provide incentives for existing homes.
    5. While 4 is in progress: tell power companies who whine and cry about it to STFU, and make it stick. Yes, shove it down their throats, too.
    6. Stay calm, and carry on.
    7. Human race survives (i.e., profit!)

    I have no doubt the above will pain many and produce all sorts of hate and complaints. Tough shit, I say. A little pain now is much easier to deal with than the wars over resources and liveable land later, when it's too fucking late to do anything about the mess we've made for ourselves.

    Likelihood of this all happening according to my rough outline? Not gods-be-damned likely. But many of you know I'm right. Unless someone comes up with a way for me to survive to be several hundred years old, I'll never know if we, as a species, wises up soon enough to save itself. But I have to say it all anyway. Good luck, humans, you're going to need it.

  69. Re:Totally irrelevant by afidel · · Score: 1

    LOL, NO. Shipping contributes about 4% of total GHG emissions annually, it's a non-trivial percentage but transportation is 14% in total so non-shipping is 10% or 250% of the shipping emissions. Now if you were talking about acid rain, then yes, currently due to dirty fuel shipping is a huge contributor but starting next year bunker fuel is being restricted to .5% sulfur content (down from 5% today) which will greatly decrease their contribution to acidification.

    --
    There are 4 boxes to use in the defense of liberty: soap, ballot, jury, ammo. Use in that order. Starting now.
  70. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by blindseer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Second the improvements in the grid often take place on the decades scale, not necessarily in time to make a large change to vehicles bought today.

    The longer we wait to start those improvements the longer it will take to complete.

    I remember having a conversation where oil drilling in ANWR came up. I argued that we know that there is oil there, lots of it, and if we went to go get it that would lower energy prices. The person I was conversing with said that drilling in ANWR was pointless because it would take years for oil to flow and make prices go down. Five years later oil price reached record highs. Would oil have still peaked at that point if we drilled in ANWR five years prior? We can't know for sure but it is unlikely to have made it worse.

    You want to see CO2 emissions lower in 20 years? Then start building lots of nuclear power plants today. I don't care if it takes 10 years to build a reactor because by not building them we are placing all our faith in solar and wind to save us. That's waiting at port for a ship that might not come. We know we can build a nuclear power plant in less than 5 years because we did this regularly decades ago. The reason it takes so long to build a nuclear power plant today is politics, not technology. Get rid of the politics and make it happen.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  71. Re:CO2 does not cause global warming by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

    I always found it fascinating that CO2 levels moving from 200ppm (0.0002) to 400ppm (0.0004), a change of 0.0002, is the cause of all this warming.

    If you compressed the atmosphere to a layer of equal density, it would be about 8 km thick. If you're walking outside in the sun, wearing 2mm thick sunglasses, the ratio of sunglass to atmosphere is 0.25ppm.

    Do you find it fascinating that 0.25ppm worth of sunglasses blocks most of the light ?

    If we moved all the CO2 from the atmosphere to a single pure layer, then 200 ppm would mean a layer of 5 feet, and 400 ppm would be 10 feet. IR works as a "sunglass" for IR.

  72. Re:Known for some time by jeff4747 · · Score: 2

    I have switch my home to wood pellets, and to keep my home warm for the winter I need 4 tons of pellets. Over the year at best I probably have 10 lbs of Ash. the rest is exhausted out of my home and polluting the air.

    In terms of CO2 from your pellet stove/furnace, it isn't pollution.

    The CO2 was in the air a year or so ago, became part of a tree, and you released it back into the air. Net result: A slight reduction in atmospheric CO2 from the carbon in the ash.

  73. "Some Electric Car Drivers Might Spew More CO2" by TheDarkener · · Score: 1

    Incorrect and misleading headline:

    1) Drivers do not "spew more c02" than any car.

    "Oh, ha ha" you say...

    2) Electric cars do not "spew more c02" than diesels. It's during the manufacturing process.

    This has been well known for a while. You've got to start somewhere. Batteries will get more efficient, manufacturing processes will be refined. Why complain about the attempt to improve a globally dire situation? Would sitting on your thumbs and complaining that your beachfront house is underwater be a better option?

    --
    It is pitch black. You are likely to be eaten by a grue.
    1. Re:"Some Electric Car Drivers Might Spew More CO2" by mark-t · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I was looking for a comment like this, and if I hadn't found one I was going to point it out myself. And of course, as you suggest, the manufacturing processes can be refined over time, there is no inherent need that they remain just as polluting as they are currently, and as cleaner methods are discovered, they can be utilized incrementally, meanwhile the vehicles themselves remain entirely emission-free.

  74. That's quite the accusation ... by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

    I remember when South Park accused the drivers themselves of creating "smug", but what is the basis behind the drivers actually spewing more CO2? Are they hyperventilating? They might want to see a doctor about that ...

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    1. Re:That's quite the accusation ... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      TFA covered that. The emissions created by manufacturing the battery exceed emissions spewed by some hyper-efficient internal combustion engines over the same timeframe as the expected life of the battery. (To paraphrase.) As I said in a different thread, this is the difference between "zero emissions" (which no vehicle truly achieves) and "zero point emissions", which means that the vehicle itself doesn't expel significant amounts of carbon while in use.

      Personally, I'd like to get a second opinion on quantities, but the basic framework of the argument is sound. Making the battery causes pollution, and how much pollution depends in part on where it's made and by whom, and in what quantities. Total end-to-end pollution of a given mode of transport needs to take this into account.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    2. Re:That's quite the accusation ... by damn_registrars · · Score: 1
      I was making a joke about the title here, as it says

      some electric car drivers might spew more CO2 than diesel cars

      (emphasis mine), as it can be read to suggest that the CO2 is coming directly from the drivers themselves rather than from their vehicles or the processes that make and run them.

      --
      Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    3. Re:That's quite the accusation ... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

      I was making a joke about the title here, as it says

      some electric car drivers might spew more CO2 than diesel cars

      (emphasis mine), as it can be read to suggest that the CO2 is coming directly from the drivers themselves rather than from their vehicles or the processes that make and run them.

      Ah. Right. Zoom. That was that feeling of my hair flapping about as that went over my head. Sorry for ruining the joke.

      --
      Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
    4. Re:That's quite the accusation ... by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

      Ah. Right. Zoom. That was that feeling of my hair flapping about as that went over my head. Sorry for ruining the joke.

      No worries. It wasn't that great of a joke, and it doesn't look like many people were reading this thread by the time I wrote it.

      --
      Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  75. Re:Known for some time by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

    You just inferred that all electric cars use dirty energy to recharge, which is not the case.

    What a fun game, putting words in other people's mouths!

    --
    Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  76. Re:Known for some time by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

    The diesel generator is likely to be more efficient per unit of volume, due to being able to run the diesel engine at the optimum RPM for extracting the most energy from the fuel. Varying RPMs and running all the other crap that runs off a car's engine (power steering, air conditioning compressor, losses from gearbox, etc.) all represent energy being lost.

    --
    Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  77. Re:Known for some time by Aighearach · · Score: 4, Informative

    About the same amount of CO2 is released from the wood if it decomposes on the surface as if it is burned. Much of it comes from waste, or fast growing hybrid poplar trees.

  78. Re:Known for some time by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

    And there's no way that your 2002 whatever (funny that you posted anonymous and didn't include the make / model to back up your claim) might be an outlier to the average MPG of the in-use vehicle fleet?

    Hint: average MPG of vehicles in use is

    Also, your car probably got 55 MPG brand new, 16 years ago. Likely not to be the case today due to reduced efficiency of worn parts, etc. That's my unsubstantiated claim that counters your unsubstantiated claim.

    --
    Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  79. Re: They certainly spew more BS by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    "so this makes me think this article is oil company FUD." - certainly is, its the manufacture that's the problem not the cars themselves.

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  80. Re: They certainly spew more BS by Rob+Y. · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Unless I'm misreading the summary, the statistics here are kind of dodgy too. It seems like they're saying that the percentage reduction of CO2 won't be so impressive if the car is manufactured using dirty energy. That's not to say that an electric car won't produce way less CO2 in operation than a diesel one - only that operation is only part of the CO2 footprint of a car. So what? Sure, we need to clean up our power generation grids too. But that's no reason not to be reducing the actual CO2 emissions of the car itself.

    And, at the risk of sounding like I'm mixing my liberal rationales, dirty power generation doesn't render us 'powerless' to criticize Saudi Crown Princes who assassinate and dismember their critics willy-nilly. There are other reasons than carbon reduction to wean transportation off of oil...

    --
    Posted from my Android phone. Oh, I can change this? There, that's better...
  81. Re: They certainly spew more BS by Ravaldy · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    Not oil company FUD. Conservative voter thinking FUD. There are people out there that cling to old ways. Plenty of proof to go around and that way of thinking won the republicans the last election. Coal, de-regulation, closing free trade. These are old ways of thinking way past our current time but it still gets pushes by individuals that don't care to dig into issues and take guys like Tucker Carlson at face value.

  82. Re:Known for some time by jbengt · · Score: 1

    What heap of shit gets 30mpg?

    Really. My old cars get around 20 to 26 mpg, and got 30 when brand new only in ideal conditions.

  83. Re:No it's ignorance by presidenteloco · · Score: 1

    So you obviously do both. Switch to EVs and decarbonize the electricity supply.

    If you have to do (A and B) to succeed, dissing A, and trying to slow the momentum of A is not helpful.

    Instead, be an advocate of A and of B.

    As they say, lead, follow, or get out of the way.

    --

    Where are we going and why are we in a handbasket?
  84. perhaps self-serving, but... by roc97007 · · Score: 1

    The report might be self-serving, but it does serve to illustrate the difference between "zero emissions" and "zero point emissions".

    --
    Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
  85. Re:CO2 does not cause global warming by freak0fnature · · Score: 1

    so does water...which holds more IR and would be 1000 feet thick in the atmosphere using the same analogy...and is miles thick as a liquid currently.

  86. "some drivers" "might" equals click bait article by EnOne · · Score: 1

    The article is more click bait than actual science. The science behind the article is also flawed. Their biggest assumption is false that the diesel fuel used by the cars is magically transported to the gas station
    By doing this they assume
    1. There is no CO2 involved in getting the oil out of the ground
    2. there is no CO2 involved in getting the oil to the refinery
    3. there is no CO2 in refining the oil to diesel
    4. there is no CO2 in getting the diesel to the gas station

    The article also states that people take three and a half years to drive 30,000 miles? I live 5 miles from work and I drive more than 30,000 miles every year.

    --
    Calvin:Do you believe in the devil? Hobbes:I'm not sure man needs the help.
  87. Horse Pucky by Doc+Right · · Score: 1

    This line of thinking can be applied to the manufacture of just about everything in the world. To apply it to electric vehicles, and more specifically lithium ion batteries, then twist it to say it makes them more polluting than ICE vehicles, is utter nonsense. You can apply the same logic to the manufacture if ICE vehicles, as those parts are also made in the very same places in the world. Stick that in your exhaust pipe and smoke it.

  88. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by arth1 · · Score: 1

    The problem is that the warranties don't kick in before the batteries have deteriorated enough to significantly affect range. For at least some users who require the range, that means they will have to swap out the batteries before then.

  89. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by arth1 · · Score: 1

    It's also only looking at CO2, and ignoring the other pollution. Diesels put out a lot of harmful particulate matter right where people live and breathe.

    And the cobalt in Li-Ion batteries isn't exactly healthy either, not to mention the strip-mining in Congo where most of it comes from.

  90. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by burtosis · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure where you are getting your data, but we went from 1045 million short tons for electricity in 2006 to 664 in 2016, a reduction of 1/3 and we had a corresponding rise in natural gas for electrical generation which offsets some of these losses. The CO2 per kwh has not dropped by much in the last decade. Secondly, the Tesla battery is sold at a loss and is not anywhere near 100 usd/kwh yet. They are on track for the cells to hit that price this year and maybe packs by 2020. The only thing keeping the costs down are the fact Tesla uses and advanced smart battery architecture with long lifespan cells and carefully controls the temperature and charge cycles at all times making them viable for use as storage after they are no longer useful in cars. Sorry if the facts aren't as rosy as you like them to be, but that's reality.

  91. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by blindseer · · Score: 1

    Wind and solar are already hitting some very real limits already on replacing coal. Any national grid is a delicate balance of supply and demand, and unreliable energy sources like wind and solar interfere with this balance.

    Wind and solar are legally protected energy sources. Kind of like the law "thou shall not kill a bald eagle" there's "thou shall not refuse energy from wind power". Well, that is you will be punished for killing a bald eagle unless you did so with a windmill. It's apparently okay to kill a protected species of bird with a windmill, because reasons.

    So utilities must treat wind power like a "negative load", something that shows up on their demand side of the equation with a negative sign in front. They have to work the control levers on the supply they can control, like their coal and natural gas, but only with larger swings given the wind and solar power they cannot control or refuse service. As more wind and solar is added to the grid then these swings get larger. This comes with a cost. Part of that cost is fuel, because turning fossil fuel generators on and off takes fuel and there's no electricity generated at these times.

    Ah, but you mentioned batteries. Well, unless there is some requirement that these people that put up the windmills and solar collectors also bring the batteries with them then we will continue to see rising costs.

    The problem is that the laws dictate a method and ignore the result. The goal should be reductions in CO2, not a contest on how quickly people can put up windmills. Nuclear power is a low CO2 energy source but it is not recognized as such in any CO2 reduction calculations I've seen. If a windmill goes up but produces no power then that is counted as a "win". A new nuclear power plant, or upgrades on an existing plant, is not counted as a "win". It's not counted as a "loss" either but that's of little consolation because when a nuclear power plant gets no zero emissions credits, and has to reduce output when the wind blows strong, then it's simply priced out of the market even though the unsubsidized costs are half that of wind power.

    Wind and solar are not going to get a ramp up like it has in the past. The laws on the books might make it beneficial for now but the laws of physics will make it clear sooner or later that growth will fall off quickly.

    Batteries won't save wind and solar because the batteries don't care where the electricity comes from. Pair a battery bank with a nuclear power plant and just watch your demand for natural gas turbines fall off a cliff. We can build nuclear power plants very quickly if we want. We saw more nuclear power come online in 2016 than all of wind and solar, because of just one nuclear reactor. Let's build just 10 reactors per year, I know we can if we just tried in the least bit.

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  92. Alarmist bullshit by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    The whole argument "Just producing $TECHNOLOGY_I_DON'T_LIKE already involves large amounts of carbon" is another fake static argument based on the amount of carbon released by industrial processes (mining trucks, say) and materials (concrete) at the time the argument is made. By playing with nations of origin and production numbers, it is possible to make any technology look like a bad choice based on carbon emitted during manufacture. By cherry-picking nations and processes, you could make the same argument against PV cells.

    In the real world, a steady effort to reduce carbon throughout industry means that production carbon numbers will shrink over time as carbon is wrung out of the economy. The mining trucks will at some point be electric and powered by a local dam, diesel-chugging ships from Filthystan might be replaced by trains bringing product from some cleaner place, snd so on.

  93. Their current clenliness doesn't matter. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    Actually, [...] with nukes, hydro, and Geothermal, would be the best places to locate battery plants. They are already clean.

    Their current clenliness doesn't matter.

    What matters is the clenliness of the power supply capacity they ADD to run the new loads.

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  94. Re: Does not seem to take into account grid improv by tomtomtom · · Score: 1

    Battery pack replacements may not be as common as people expected them to be. When you have a Nissan Leaf dropping to a top range of 60 miles, then you do need to replace the battery pack. However, if your Chevrolet Bolt EV drops to only 60% of its original range, you still have more than 140 miles of range.

    I think this is the result of two things

    (1) range not being big enough to start with. People who bought an EV where 230 miles was "enough" range for their specific use case probably won't replace the battery if it drops from 230 to 140, because they're both "enough" for the purpose they bought that vehicle for - i.e. if 140 miles isn't enough, 230 miles probably doesn't move the needle enough for many people. If range started at 600 miles and dropped to 360 miles, I suspect there'd be a greater replacement rate.

    (2) You can easily finance a new car but not a repair. So people would rather replace the car than the battery because the upfront cost is much more manageable.

  95. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by tomtomtom · · Score: 1

    And all modern cars - petrol, hybrid, diesel, EV, etc result in quite a lot of particulates being produced in the form of rubber wear from the tyres. I think this is probably underappreciated in terms of human health impact but unfortunately there isn't a huge amount of research into this.

  96. Re:oh balogna by nightfire-unique · · Score: 1

    the engine hasn't required any work in 300K miles

    You're lying. Full stop.

    --
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  97. Or...Or... by AndyKron · · Score: 1

    Kind of like solar cells needing more energy to manufacture than they will ever output. Or thinking corn derived ethanol has any business in a car engine. Or... I know what we need: A war on nuclear fusion! Not because it's easy but because its hard.

  98. Re: They certainly spew more BS by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

    > Sure, we need to clean up our power generation grids too. But that's no reason not to be reducing the actual CO2 emissions of the car itself.

    And this is a double-whammy. If we clean up the grid, it lowers the CO2 in the manufacturing AND the operation. And it cleans the operation for cars already on the road.

    But hey, I'm all for building the batteries in Quebec too. I'm not at all sure why they don't already (FYI, it's all hydro and its CHEAP).

  99. And some diesel cars spew out many times rated! by KreAture · · Score: 1

    Come on! If you want to you can charge a electric car by burning used tires.
    This does not change their potential for lower emissions vs gas/diesel!

    I am sure someone can come up with a way to run a diesel car on rendered penguins if they so wanted, it doesn't make it news.

  100. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by commodore64_love · · Score: 1

    > It's also only looking at CO2, and ignoring the other pollution

    Take a look at Greenercars.org which measures a car's entire pollution from manufacturer to disposal. They have found a modern Chevrolet Cruze Diesel with NOx neutralization and Soot filters is just as clean as a Tesla Model S (but not as clean as smaller EVs like the Leaf or BMW i3).

    > Diesels put out a lot of harmful particulate matter

    They USED to do that, but since 2010 the EPA has required diesel cars to have NOx neutralizers and PM filters that bring the output to near zero. (Except of course for Volkswagen which refused to install the NOx filter and got caught.)

    Some bureaucrats now want to use the same technology on Gasoline cars, for the same goal (drop NOx and PM to zero).
    .

    --
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  101. Re: They certainly spew more BS by aphelion_rock · · Score: 1

    so this makes me think this article is oil company FUD.

    The last gasp by the oil companies IMO
    We here in Australia, are grappling with the problem of what to do with all the excess solar power https://www.abc.net.au/news/20... as so many people have put solar panels on their roofs that it is becoming a problem when they are at work and not using this energy.
    Simple - use it to charge up cars.
    The batteries, whilst still expensive, are getting cheaper, will fill this gap.
    In the new electricity grid, all homes will have a battery and probably solar. These batteries will all be charged up during the day and the energy drawn on at night. It will take time to get there.

  102. Re:Known for some time by kiminator · · Score: 2

    This kind of trade-off may not be something you'll have to consider in the relatively near future. There are already some hybrid-electric vehicles available which do precisely what you're suggesting here (e.g. Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid). They'll typically get much better gas mileage than a similar gas-only vehicle, and if they're a plug-in hybrid like the Pacifica, they'll also have enough range to use little to no gas for shorter trips.

    To provide a personal example, I have a 2017 Chevy Volt. It gets 40mpg when running in hybrid mode (almost independent of driving conditions), and has about 400 mile total range. On a full battery it gets between 40-60 mile range (it depends upon the weather: more in summer, less in winter, as the heating system eats up the battery). Most days, I'm able to use electric-only, as my work commute is well within the battery range. Depending upon how many longer trips I take, I can often go 1,000-2,000 miles between refills of the gas tank. Also, because it has a fully-electric drive system (the gas motor is an electric generator and isn't connected to the wheels in any way), the car has tremendous torque making for a very fun driving experience.

    Hybrids like this are still fairly expensive. But I probably won't ever want to go back to a gas-only vehicle again. I doubt I'll shed the hybrid for electric-only, either, as electric-only vehicles seem like serious headaches on longer trips. Maybe someday, but not with current technology.

  103. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by commodore64_love · · Score: 1

    I've had to replace the battery in my Honda Insight 3 times in 180,000 miles (I eventually jury-rigged the car to run on 12 volt without hybrid assist). They simply are not lasting as long as promised.

    > Leaf batteries have proven to be good for 350k km+.

    No they have not. In fact Nissan *bought back* many Leafs due to their batteries not lasting as long as promised. I'm kinda surprised you never heard of this issue:

    Note this is just article of many. I don't have time or room to list all ~100 of them: https://www.greencarreports.co...

    --
    "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
  104. Huh? by Yaztromo · · Score: 1

    manufacturing an electric car pumps out "significantly" more climate-warming gases than a conventional car, which releases only 20 percent of its lifetime CO2 at this stage.

    Is the article trying to spin this as a good thing? What this is basically saying is that over the lifetime of a conventional car, it emits 80% of its emissions just from driving

    I'd expect an electric car to have higher manufacturing emissions as a ration of its lifetime emissions -- that's rather the point -- they are zero emission vehicles. Emissions during manufacturing should be extremely high, as emissions during the rest of the lifetime of the vehicle are comparatively low (particularly in countries with a high percentage of renewable and nuclear energy)

    Yaz

  105. Making Lithium-Ion Batteries is Dirty? Oh MY! by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    I'm glad to see high school interns at Bloomberg, Niclas Rolander, Jesper Starn, and Elisabeth Behrmann reporting only half a story. Maybe their supervising team lead would let them report on the current emissions of gasoline and drive train systems and usages for over 3 years? Maybe they can report this next year when they're in the 10th grade.

  106. Re:It's not only the manufacturing... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Power plants will spend much more of their lifetime operating at or near peak efficiency than an ICE in a car will.
    No they won't. Only the base load plants, if you still have some, are like that.
    And: it is irrelevant anyway. The load has basically no influence on plant efficiency.

    --
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  107. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by magzteel · · Score: 1

    So realistically few people will be wearing out their batteries, and for them the most economical and green option will be to get a used pack from a written off car.

    Reusing a battery from a car that was in an accident may present safety issues.
    Certainly they can be recycled though.

  108. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    There was a specific issue with the Honda hybrid system. They tried to correct it with a software update that practically disabled the hybrid power, and people sued them over it.

    The early Leafs had some issues (note that your article is from 6 years ago). They were fixed. There are taxi companies in the UK using them hard, at least one rapid charge per day and 100% charge overnight, 200k miles on the clock and still >80% capacity left.

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  109. comparing manufacturing by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    Should not they be comparing total emissions = during the making of the car + during operating the car for 10 years?

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  110. Re: CO2 does not cause global warming by JoeRobe · · Score: 1

    That's correct, and water is also a greenhouse gas. Current estimates are that it accounts for about half of the temperature rise that we are seeing.

    https://www.giss.nasa.gov/rese...

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/m...

    Also, regarding how such a small amount of CO2 can make a big difference, here's a great article about it.

    https://www.scientificamerican...

    --
    The best way to predict the future is to invent it.
  111. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by rsborg · · Score: 1

    I've had to replace the battery in my Honda Insight 3 times in 180,000 miles

    I'll counter your anecdote with my anecdata: My family has owned 3 HEVs (Prius) and they lasted 5, 7 and 13 years. One had it's battery replaced (for free) at 9 years. It seemed to be doing great, I suspect Toyota wanted test data for their battery program.

    All of our Priuses died due to being totaled in a crash (mom was never a good driver) None had MPG lower than 48 avg (and that's because the usage pattern was for short, local trips).

    I now own an EV (Ford Focus EV 2017) which accelerates faster than a Boxter, and has had near-zero battery degradation in the ~2 years I've owned it. Oh and it cost me $17k out the door with discounts, state and federal incentives. Oh and no oil changes, smog tests, or even going to the dirty-as-sin gas station. I just plug in @home.

    If the usage pattern is light, a used EV can be had for $6k. These make great grocery grabbers, and with the reduced usage you can just plug them into your an unmodified 110v charger.

    About the only problem I see is that while EVs are on the cusp of dominating, the parking garages / carports /etc often don't even have the 110v (ie, level1) chargers. We need a wave of renewed interest in mass-charging (not free, to make it sustainable) to spur the revolution.

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  112. Re:Does not seem to take into account grid improve by rsborg · · Score: 1

    Hey I support Nuclear and Solar and Wind.

    We need to diversify our energy portfolio, and coal is dirtier than all of them (coal puts out more radioactives - in the air where you will breathe them - than nuclear reactors per MW).

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  113. most trips are short [Re:Prius] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    Most car trips are under 6 miles. 75% of all car trips are under 10 miles.
    https://247wallst.com/autos/20...

    So, a car that does short trips all-electric but has a gas engine for back-up is, for most trips, an all electric car, but one that also works for longer trips.

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