Did you take the time to look up how many countries consider laws at home to apply to their citizens when they're abroad?
I'm Swedish - smoking cannabis is illegal (very much so, it's considered to be the same as shooting heroin) here. However, if I get stopped on the streets of southern Sweden and taken in for a urine test, all I have to say is that I was recently in Amsterdam and smoked it there.
You see, the laws of Sweden applies... well, in Sweden. When I'm in another country I'm expected to follow the laws there.
"If you go back thousands of years, you see that droughts can go on for years if not decades, and there were some dry periods that lasted over a century, like during the Medieval period and the middle Holocene [the current geological epoch, which began about 11,000 years ago]. The 20th century was unusually mild here, in the sense that the droughts weren’t as severe as in the past. It was a wetter century, and a lot of our development has been based on that.
If you look at the archaeological record, you see that the Native American population in the West expanded in the wet years that preceded those long droughts in the Medieval period. Then during the droughts, they were pretty much wiped out. There was the so-called Anasazi collapse in the Southwest about 800 years ago. In some ways, I see that as an analogy to us today."
I support the Pirate Party, but I'm wary of any "news service" run specifically by any political party.
Thank you for your support, it's much appreciated. However, Falkvinge's news service isn't in any way affiliated with the Swedish Pirate Party (or any other Pirate Party as far as I know). Interests and viewpoints might of course overlap regardless.
Or did you actually personally hear Al Gore et. al. speak?
I did. Web 2.0 Summit, San Francisco, in 2008. He claimed (and quoted scientists) that the arctic would be free from summer ice in five years. Recorded video here:
(Oh, and he was way off on claiming it's "been there" for three million years. It didn't exist during the last interglacial, the Eemian, and a growing body of evidence suggests it didn't during the beginning of our own interglacial, during the Holocene Optimum, either)
Yes, but those transitions usually take place within thousands or tens of thousands of years.
Wrong. Why do you believe something with absolutely no scientific support?
Until a few decades ago it was generally thought that all large-scale global and regional climate changes occurred gradually over a timescale of many centuries or millennia, scarcely perceptible during a human lifetime. The tendency of climate to change relatively suddenly has been one of the most suprising outcomes of the study of earth history, specifically the last 150,000 years (e.g., Taylor et al., 1993). Some and possibly most large climate changes (involving, for example, a regional change in mean annual temperature of several degrees celsius) occurred at most on a timescale of a few centuries, sometimes decades, and perhaps even just a few years. The decadal-timescale transitions would presumably have been quite noticeable to humans living at such times, and may have created difficulties or opportunities (e.g., the possibility of crossing exposed land bridges, before sea level could rise)
Humans remember about thirty years back. Anything that's different today from thirty years ago we feel to be "unnatural". Most processes on earth work over much longer time scales than that - while still being completely natural.
The holocene, our current interglacial, is ~12000 years old. During that time the climate has both been a lot warmer (the Holocene optimum) as well as a lot colder (the Little Ice Age) than now. What we don't really know is how the climate has changed regionally during these thousands of years. We have some insight (the Sahara desert was a lush savannah around 8000 years ago) and there's a lot of research into how the rise and fall of civilizations might be correlated with natural regional climate changes much more than the popular image portrayed by, for example, Jared Diamond.
We do have written records from the last 2000 years (se the linked PDF). It's fascinating read into how heat waves, droughts, extremely cold winters and hot summers etc have affected our forefathers in a way I think we have problems grasping today. If anything, it seems the climate has been unnaturally stable over the last century - even including the famous dustbowl in the US.
Yeah, it does make a difference in people who see where this is heading (and fast) actually do their job as voters. The two Swedish politicians who were voted into the European Parliament under the Pirate Party flag made an enormous difference while they were there, and the German Pirate Party MEP who succeeded them has continued to do so being the rapporteur for the parliament's review of the Copyright Directive - something that's happening right now.
Add to that the Icelandic Pirate Party who are making a difference in their national parliament, and are currently polling as the largest party in nation.
The Pirate Party movement is represented in over 70 countries all over the world. The "only" thing that needs to happen to counteract the stupidity of Big Media and Authoritarian Government is for people to do their jobs while at the voting booths.
= best practice is to know and understand that the old bugs will resurface. I.e, there's a cost to do the rewrite (no matter if you call it refactoring or not) that will affect the business for some time after deployment.
Your Software Engineering education seems to be a bit lacking.
I am "in Software" since ~25 years. I also hold a degree as a Software Engineer.
People who obsess about rewriting old code just because it's old tend to forget that in that old code are many bug fixes for edge cases found over the years. It was well documented and part of my education to know and understand that rewriting often caused those same bugs to surface again.
Best practice is to run both the old and new software in tandem for a while and verify the results. In reality no organization besides NASA will do that.
No, there's no reason to treat error bars differently in climate science compared to any other branch of science.
At least if climate science aspires to be a science. If it doesn't - then by all means pretend that measurement errors don't affect the reliability of the calculations.
The correct answer is no, you cannot infer anything about rapid changes from low resolution proxies. It's quite unphysical (and anti-science) to claim otherwise.
If you know of high resolution proxies, please let us know.
Slashdot Mirror
Why do you believe that?
(The science is still out as to what triggers re-glaciation from an interglacial)
If you want to talk about paleo-climate, realise that the industrial revolution looks like an asteroid strike in the fossil record.
Yes.
Mostly due to the difference in resolution between the proxies used for paleo-climate and today's instrumental measurements of course.
No, they most definitely don't all do - and yes, not passing a drug test is illegal in Sweden.
Did you take the time to look up how many countries consider laws at home to apply to their citizens when they're abroad?
I'm Swedish - smoking cannabis is illegal (very much so, it's considered to be the same as shooting heroin) here. However, if I get stopped on the streets of southern Sweden and taken in for a urine test, all I have to say is that I was recently in Amsterdam and smoked it there.
You see, the laws of Sweden applies ... well, in Sweden. When I'm in another country I'm expected to follow the laws there.
You don't get Wuala - yet client side encryption was precisely their thing.
Yes. And then Seafile (http://seafile.com) open source encrypted cloud storage to access it.
"If you go back thousands of years, you see that droughts can go on for years if not decades, and there were some dry periods that lasted over a century, like during the Medieval period and the middle Holocene [the current geological epoch, which began about 11,000 years ago]. The 20th century was unusually mild here, in the sense that the droughts weren’t as severe as in the past. It was a wetter century, and a lot of our development has been based on that.
If you look at the archaeological record, you see that the Native American population in the West expanded in the wet years that preceded those long droughts in the Medieval period. Then during the droughts, they were pretty much wiped out. There was the so-called Anasazi collapse in the Southwest about 800 years ago. In some ways, I see that as an analogy to us today."
http://news.berkeley.edu/2014/...
Anyone who wasn't expecting a multi year drought in California obviously didn't study history.
It isn't common for prosecutors to go to a foreign country to interview
Yes, it is. We do it all the time here in Sweden. It's standard procedure and not having done it already is outside of the norm.
I support the Pirate Party, but I'm wary of any "news service" run specifically by any political party.
Thank you for your support, it's much appreciated. However, Falkvinge's news service isn't in any way affiliated with the Swedish Pirate Party (or any other Pirate Party as far as I know). Interests and viewpoints might of course overlap regardless.
the graph of arctic ice extent is your counterpoint?
Yes. It's the actual science that refutes the anecdote you quoted.
No, they didn't. Here's a reputable source:
http://nsidc.org/images/arctic...
The rapid climate transitions mentioned in the research I linked have nothing to do with super volcanos or large asteroid impacts.
Why is it important for you to deny science when it doesn't fit your preconceived notions?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W...
Or did you actually personally hear Al Gore et. al. speak?
I did. Web 2.0 Summit, San Francisco, in 2008. He claimed (and quoted scientists) that the arctic would be free from summer ice in five years. Recorded video here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...
(Oh, and he was way off on claiming it's "been there" for three million years. It didn't exist during the last interglacial, the Eemian, and a growing body of evidence suggests it didn't during the beginning of our own interglacial, during the Holocene Optimum, either)
Yes, but those transitions usually take place within thousands or tens of thousands of years.
Wrong. Why do you believe something with absolutely no scientific support?
Until a few decades ago it was generally thought that all large-scale global and regional climate changes occurred gradually over a timescale of many centuries or millennia, scarcely perceptible during a human lifetime. The tendency of climate to change relatively suddenly has been one of the most suprising outcomes of the study of earth history, specifically the last 150,000 years (e.g., Taylor et al., 1993). Some and possibly most large climate changes (involving, for example, a regional change in mean annual temperature of several degrees celsius) occurred at most on a timescale of a few centuries, sometimes decades, and perhaps even just a few years. The decadal-timescale transitions would presumably have been quite noticeable to humans living at such times, and may have created difficulties or opportunities (e.g., the possibility of crossing exposed land bridges, before sea level could rise)
http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projec...
That's an awesome defense for The Piratebay.
thepiratebay.bit is registered but is currently pointing to an old IP.
http://explorer.namecoin.info/...
Humans remember about thirty years back. Anything that's different today from thirty years ago we feel to be "unnatural". Most processes on earth work over much longer time scales than that - while still being completely natural.
The holocene, our current interglacial, is ~12000 years old. During that time the climate has both been a lot warmer (the Holocene optimum) as well as a lot colder (the Little Ice Age) than now. What we don't really know is how the climate has changed regionally during these thousands of years. We have some insight (the Sahara desert was a lush savannah around 8000 years ago) and there's a lot of research into how the rise and fall of civilizations might be correlated with natural regional climate changes much more than the popular image portrayed by, for example, Jared Diamond.
We do have written records from the last 2000 years (se the linked PDF). It's fascinating read into how heat waves, droughts, extremely cold winters and hot summers etc have affected our forefathers in a way I think we have problems grasping today. If anything, it seems the climate has been unnaturally stable over the last century - even including the famous dustbowl in the US.
http://www.breadandbutterscien...
Yeah, it does make a difference in people who see where this is heading (and fast) actually do their job as voters. The two Swedish politicians who were voted into the European Parliament under the Pirate Party flag made an enormous difference while they were there, and the German Pirate Party MEP who succeeded them has continued to do so being the rapporteur for the parliament's review of the Copyright Directive - something that's happening right now.
http://www.europarl.europa.eu/...
Add to that the Icelandic Pirate Party who are making a difference in their national parliament, and are currently polling as the largest party in nation.
http://arstechnica.com/tech-po...
The Pirate Party movement is represented in over 70 countries all over the world. The "only" thing that needs to happen to counteract the stupidity of Big Media and Authoritarian Government is for people to do their jobs while at the voting booths.
... thus "very few organizations besides NASA".
A lot of people seem to miss the point on how the ideal lab condition doesn't carry over into real world organizations.
"unless a mistake"
"should be preserved"
= best practice is to know and understand that the old bugs will resurface. I.e, there's a cost to do the rewrite (no matter if you call it refactoring or not) that will affect the business for some time after deployment.
Your Software Engineering education seems to be a bit lacking.
I am "in Software" since ~25 years. I also hold a degree as a Software Engineer.
People who obsess about rewriting old code just because it's old tend to forget that in that old code are many bug fixes for edge cases found over the years. It was well documented and part of my education to know and understand that rewriting often caused those same bugs to surface again.
Best practice is to run both the old and new software in tandem for a while and verify the results. In reality no organization besides NASA will do that.
No, there's no reason to treat error bars differently in climate science compared to any other branch of science.
At least if climate science aspires to be a science. If it doesn't - then by all means pretend that measurement errors don't affect the reliability of the calculations.
We have air samples of ocean pH levels?
The correct answer is no, you cannot infer anything about rapid changes from low resolution proxies. It's quite unphysical (and anti-science) to claim otherwise.
If you know of high resolution proxies, please let us know.