They didn't say there are improvements to be done...
But of course there are. "Ready" doesn't imply "perfect". They just need to be close enough to perfect to get the chances of killing somebody down to an acceptable level. To expect them to develop until there are no improvements left to be made is an impossible bar.
...practically every vehicle has a radio in it and most local stations offer streaming. The point is that you are a lot closer to a radio for much of the time than you think.
I'm aware that cars typically have radios. I'm in my car less than an hour a day. I'm next to my phone more than 20. If there's an impending missile strike, I'll likely be seeking out an emergency broadcast, but I probably won't jump in my car.
I spend a lot more time by my phone than I do watching TV/listening to radio. Twitter wouldn't have reached me unless DJT tweeted the all-clear, but since the alert reached everyone over their phones that does seem like the right vector for correcting it.
If we shared an account I don't think it would cause a problem. We don't, and it does. When I'm logged in from my account and try to watch video, I'm prompted to sign up for Prime. Free 2-day works fine. It could be that we could set things up differently and share the Prime video, but most of what I'd want from Prime video I can get just as easily from TPB so I've never been motivated to look into it. From their site:
Sharing benefits through Amazon Household requires both adults to link their accounts in an Amazon Household and agree to share payment methods.
We don't share payment methods, but sharing benefits still works half-way.
...savvy people will only subscribe for november (black friday) and july (prime day)
Or they'll keep piggy backing off someone else's subscription. I can't stream Prime video, but I get free 2-day shipping thanks to a family member who pays yearly. I can't be alone in this.
"Believing" very often means "accepting as true without evidence". Or even against all evidence of the contrary.
It can be used that way. Maybe that’s the way you use it. I don’t know if I’d say it’s used that way “very often”. Do you believe DJT? Depends on evidence from other sources, past experience, and bias. Do you believe CNN? Same answer. Do you believe your own eyes? Probably; that’s up to you. Do you believe in gravity? I do. Do you believe me? I’ve never been wrong. Nearly all of my beliefs are substantiated by evidence; I don’t understand why that’s a hurdle for you.
Accepting as true without verification is exactly what makes fake news and their spread possible.
Which has zero to do with believing things based on evidence.
Ready to be really upset? When I drop my pen, I have faith that it’ll hit the floor.
Are you saying that you don't believe in gravity? To "believe" is to "accept as true". When I drop my pen, I accept as true that it will fall to the floor. I know it'll fall. Why does the word "believe" distress you so much?
The definition of "believe" doesn't bother me. It works fine as-is. To "believe" is to "accept as true." What we need is a proper replacement for "y'all" and gender-neutral alternatives for "he/she" and "him/her". "They" and "them" are poor alternatives for "he/she" and "him/her" and, even though you can imply a plural "you", "y'all" is clearer but sloppy.
belief NOUN 1An acceptance that something exists or is true, especially one without proof. 1.1 Something one accepts as true or real; a firmly held opinion. 1.2 A religious conviction. 2 Trust, faith, or confidence in (someone or something)
If I drop my pen, I know it's going to fall. I believe in gravity. The pen falling is evidence of gravity. Knowing something and believing something aren't at all exclusive. You believe everything you know.
This is true for any "why" that isn't included in the metrics.
Being black is a useful metric for making an accurate prediction. We agree on that and agree that it should be ignored. The social inequality that causes blacks to have higher recidivism rates is interesting, but not part of the equation. The fact that blacks are searched more often is interesting, but we don't factor that in either. What's important when guessing whether a person will re-offend is whether he's black, not why blacks are more likely to re-offend. The reasons why black offender have higher recidivism rates are interesting and important, but the only thing important to factor into the prediction is if he's black.
I don't think I did. I said that including "unfair" metrics like race help get the most accurate prediction. They do. I didn't say that getting the most accurate prediction was the most important thing to do. I pointed out that the "why" is unimportant to the "if". This is true for any "why" that isn't included in the metrics. The "why" is interesting for other reasons.
Discarding racial data really does diminish the accuracy of the odds-of-re-offending calculation, but we should do it anyway.
Our AC troll presumably thinks that this proves that black people are naturally violent, or some such nonsense. Nope. The USA is very far from a colour-blind society, so the figures aren't all that surprising. Black Americans are far more likely to have the misfortune of growing up around violent gangs, etc.
The root causes are interesting and important to improving our society. They're not important when deciding the disposition of a prisoner. The only thing that matters in that case if if they'll re-offend, not why they'll re-offend. The likelihood of recidivism is biased by all kinds of "unfair" metrics like gender and race. I personally don't think metrics like race should be used in the determination, but it would be more accurate if they were.
Slashdot Mirror
They didn't say there are improvements to be done...
But of course there are. "Ready" doesn't imply "perfect". They just need to be close enough to perfect to get the chances of killing somebody down to an acceptable level. To expect them to develop until there are no improvements left to be made is an impossible bar.
...it would be fair to say that nobody can be studying it.
Speculation can be funded just as well as study if you phrase it just right. Happens all the time.
...they did not present any figures for the nicotine content of the non-smokers vaping.
I link to this elsewhere too. It says that vaping teens opt nicotine-free 2/3 of the time.
...hacking up phlegm, gasping for breath, and smelling like shit.
After I finish a cigarette, I smell like an ash tray. If you smell like shit, you're doing something very, very wrong.
...practically every vehicle has a radio in it and most local stations offer streaming. The point is that you are a lot closer to a radio for much of the time than you think.
I'm aware that cars typically have radios. I'm in my car less than an hour a day. I'm next to my phone more than 20. If there's an impending missile strike, I'll likely be seeking out an emergency broadcast, but I probably won't jump in my car.
Might not even be 66%. According to this, teens go non-nicotine about 2/3 of the time. I would have guessed otherwise, but what do I know?
If the highest ranking government official can't speak to the populace (or is it subjects?) without Twitter, then the US is doomed.
Blame the media. Twitter's the only way DJT can get his message to the people without having his facts corrected.
Try calling the radio and tv stations.
I spend a lot more time by my phone than I do watching TV/listening to radio. Twitter wouldn't have reached me unless DJT tweeted the all-clear, but since the alert reached everyone over their phones that does seem like the right vector for correcting it.
best tacos in the world
Them's fightin' words...
What is stopping you from doing that?
If we shared an account I don't think it would cause a problem. We don't, and it does. When I'm logged in from my account and try to watch video, I'm prompted to sign up for Prime. Free 2-day works fine. It could be that we could set things up differently and share the Prime video, but most of what I'd want from Prime video I can get just as easily from TPB so I've never been motivated to look into it. From their site:
Sharing benefits through Amazon Household requires both adults to link their accounts in an Amazon Household and agree to share payment methods.
We don't share payment methods, but sharing benefits still works half-way.
...the "free" shipping is just added on to the price of the item.
If they're still the cheapest alternative, who cares?
...savvy people will only subscribe for november (black friday) and july (prime day)
Or they'll keep piggy backing off someone else's subscription. I can't stream Prime video, but I get free 2-day shipping thanks to a family member who pays yearly. I can't be alone in this.
With nuclear, you still have to blow dust off the cooling towers.
A dusty cooling tower will do its job a helluva lot better than a dusty solar panel.
"Believing" very often means "accepting as true without evidence". Or even against all evidence of the contrary.
It can be used that way. Maybe that’s the way you use it. I don’t know if I’d say it’s used that way “very often”. Do you believe DJT? Depends on evidence from other sources, past experience, and bias. Do you believe CNN? Same answer. Do you believe your own eyes? Probably; that’s up to you. Do you believe in gravity? I do. Do you believe me? I’ve never been wrong. Nearly all of my beliefs are substantiated by evidence; I don’t understand why that’s a hurdle for you.
Accepting as true without verification is exactly what makes fake news and their spread possible.
Which has zero to do with believing things based on evidence.
Ready to be really upset? When I drop my pen, I have faith that it’ll hit the floor.
Are you saying that you don't believe in gravity? To "believe" is to "accept as true". When I drop my pen, I accept as true that it will fall to the floor. I know it'll fall. Why does the word "believe" distress you so much?
The definition of "believe" doesn't bother me. It works fine as-is. To "believe" is to "accept as true." What we need is a proper replacement for "y'all" and gender-neutral alternatives for "he/she" and "him/her". "They" and "them" are poor alternatives for "he/she" and "him/her" and, even though you can imply a plural "you", "y'all" is clearer but sloppy.
...the climate change movement as a religion predates Trump's Presidency...
Yes, but "Global Warming is a Chinese Hoax" is just as faith-biased as "Global Warming Will Kill Us All."
With a password manager they only need to get past one password to know everything.
If you decide to put all your eggs in one basket, WATCH THAT BASKET!
You cannot believe when you know. They are mutually exclusive.
Based on whose definition? Yours?
belief
NOUN
1An acceptance that something exists or is true, especially one without proof.
1.1 Something one accepts as true or real; a firmly held opinion.
1.2 A religious conviction.
2 Trust, faith, or confidence in (someone or something)
If I drop my pen, I know it's going to fall. I believe in gravity. The pen falling is evidence of gravity. Knowing something and believing something aren't at all exclusive. You believe everything you know.
...belief is opinion without evidence.
Huh? I believe all kinds of stuff, almost exclusively based on evidence. Maybe you're thinking of faith?
You left out:
This is true for any "why" that isn't included in the metrics.
Being black is a useful metric for making an accurate prediction. We agree on that and agree that it should be ignored. The social inequality that causes blacks to have higher recidivism rates is interesting, but not part of the equation. The fact that blacks are searched more often is interesting, but we don't factor that in either. What's important when guessing whether a person will re-offend is whether he's black, not why blacks are more likely to re-offend. The reasons why black offender have higher recidivism rates are interesting and important, but the only thing important to factor into the prediction is if he's black.
You've contradicted yourself.
I don't think I did. I said that including "unfair" metrics like race help get the most accurate prediction. They do. I didn't say that getting the most accurate prediction was the most important thing to do. I pointed out that the "why" is unimportant to the "if". This is true for any "why" that isn't included in the metrics. The "why" is interesting for other reasons.
Discarding racial data really does diminish the accuracy of the odds-of-re-offending calculation, but we should do it anyway.
Yes.
So what you're saying is 60% of the time somebody kills another person, they killed themselves.
I agree and so do I. Now get out of my head; it's crowded enough.
Our AC troll presumably thinks that this proves that black people are naturally violent, or some such nonsense. Nope. The USA is very far from a colour-blind society, so the figures aren't all that surprising. Black Americans are far more likely to have the misfortune of growing up around violent gangs, etc.
The root causes are interesting and important to improving our society. They're not important when deciding the disposition of a prisoner. The only thing that matters in that case if if they'll re-offend, not why they'll re-offend. The likelihood of recidivism is biased by all kinds of "unfair" metrics like gender and race. I personally don't think metrics like race should be used in the determination, but it would be more accurate if they were.
By adding to the total distance, driving to lunch pushed down the average dollar per mile cost, and likely actually saved the taxpayers money.
I apologize if that's a joke, but I don't think that's how math works.