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User: jd142

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  1. Re:Advanced alien civilization unlikely on Search for Terrestrial Intelligence · · Score: 2

    It would depend on the coin.


    You are correct. Right after I hit submit I said to myself, "Self," I said, "You really should have pointed out that you were assuming a standard coin with an equal probability of landing either Heads or Tails with no probability of it landing on its side."

  2. Re:Advanced alien civilization unlikely on Search for Terrestrial Intelligence · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If it knows that it lives in, say, slot #9, there is not still a 50/50 chance. Instead the probability is 90% that there only are 10 agents because of observational bias.



    Huh? Given the following results of flipping a coin, what is the probability that the next flip will be a H:

    HHHHHHHHHHH


    50%. Because only a 2^12 chance of having a sequence HHHHHHHHHHHH in a series of 12 flips, that is no greater or no less than any other sequence, such as HHTTHTHHTTHH. Just because you are in the 9th slot, that does not affect the outcome of the occupancy of the other 99 slots. Obviously, the first 10 are always filled in your example. So the fact that something occupies those slots does not in any way affect the probability that the other 90 will be filled, at least in your example.

    And in the real world, there's no way of knowing if even the other slots are filled



    Another probability exercise I've heard is which is more likely, that we are unique in the history of the universe and will continue to be unique in the future of the universe or that we are in the middle of the "bell curve" of life/intelligence distribution throughout the universe? Given that the universe has existed for around 12 billion years and will continue to exist for quite a number more, and that there are rather large number of planets now and were a rather large number in the past and that the odds are that there will be planets in the future, is it more likely that we are the rule or the exception?

    It is like the joke about the guy who always carried a bomb whenever he flew because the odds of there being two bombs on a plane were astronomical. There is no dependent relationship between the two acts, so he didn't affect the probability at all.



    Of course IANAPE (Probability Expert) so I'm willing to be shown the error of my ways.

  3. Re:uh oh... on TiVo To Support RealNetwork Formats · · Score: 5, Troll

    Yeah, I'll yell. RealNetworks is just plain evil. They make it almost impossible for the average user to find their free player. The last time I looked for someone, it was hidden on 1 line between two great big advertisements for 2 of their non-free players. They make it almost impossible for an average user to stop that *%^# Real Start Center from loading on boot. The warning messages make it sound like the computer won't work if you don't load start center. Plus that start center is the worst piece of software I've ever seen. If I have a user call in whose computer suddenly won't boot, odds are they just upgraded real player.

    Now I'm not against proprietary software and companies making money. But jeez, these people are as bad as the X10 ads.

    Their software is slow, resource intensive, buggy and ad ware.

    But let me tell you how I really feel. . . ;)

  4. Re:yawn on Fuel-Cell Power With Methanol · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Thanks, thought I remembered that and knew someone else would point it out. What I wonder is why it was moderated off-topic when the comment points to an obviously on topic article and ensuing discussion.

  5. Re:minor quibbles on Follow-up To Critique of BeOS & Mac OS X · · Score: 2

    you can copy *structured* text, tables, etc, with no difficulity at all



    Try copying a table from Microsoft Word into WordPerfect. Both support tables, right? It's a pita.



    The data gets put on the clipboard, but there's still no guarentee that the app will be able to correctly handle the data. I haven't done a lot of tests, but generally if you are talking about intra-app (within an app) c/p it works fine in both win and lin. It is only when you are looking at inter-app c/p that you run into problems, sometimes on both platforms.

  6. Re:minor quibbles on Follow-up To Critique of BeOS & Mac OS X · · Score: 2

    Well, I did try to copy and paste between Nautilus (a Gnome app), and GVIM (which is pretty close to vi and also a gnome app), Konqueror (which is definitely a KDE app), konsole, plain generic vi (The insert mode is a feature of the app, not of the os and it works this way if you run vi for windows as well.) within a konsole, xterm, and xedit and it all worked. That was from within KDE using the KDE default copy and paste method: select with left button to copy and click with middle button to paste. That is as consistent as it gets. Select then middle button. Worked everytime in every app. Go an app you'd like me to test?

    Yes, I was referring specifically to text copying and pasting, I should have made that clearer. But what I said still goes: text copy and paste works across many different kinds of apps under KDE. Don't know or claim to know about Gnome. But the apps don't need to be "KDE-ized" for the select/middle button to work.

    You are correct, the clipboard doesn't handle other data formats correctly at all. They need to work on that. You also can't select a file in Konqueror (as a file manager) and then paste it into a different directory in Nautilus. This doesn't seem like something a lot of people would want to do though. But I will give you the graphics objection.

  7. minor quibbles on Follow-up To Critique of BeOS & Mac OS X · · Score: 2

    Two comments from the articles stuck out at me.

    The first was copying and pasting in Linux. It has gotten *much* better in Mandrake 8.1 Gaming, where I'm at right now. I use KDE, so as a test I opened up Nautilus, copied the text from the address bar and pasted it into both vim and emacs, which would seem to be a pretty good test. With KDE, don't know about gnome, you even sort of get 2 clipboards. If you select text, you can paste it with the wheel or middle button. At the same time you can ctrl+c some other piece of text and ctrl+v it in, effectively giving you 2 clipboards.

    The other was using special characters with umlauts in Windows. I believe it is true that Windows itself doesn't support the simple ctrl+U, U to get an umlauted U, but I would swear you could do that in Word and maybe even Wordperfect; I'm not in windows right now, so I can't check to see if my memory is correct, I could easily be wrong. Not the same thing as having the os handle it so that the keystrokes work in things like a command prompt window or in notepad, but still close enough for most people.

    Other than that, a lot of the comments seemed to be along the lines of "this matches/doesn't match the way I prefer to work." Unfortunately there is no optimal way for all people to work efficiently. We can talk about mouse movements, clicks, keystrokes, etc., but a lot of it comes down to personal preference and whatever the user is accustomed to.

  8. Re:Here goes... on LinuxPlanet's Year In Review · · Score: 2

    I'm working under the assumption that I always use the best of everything. "Hah!" he cried in his best Mrs. Crabople (I've horribly messed up her name, I know) voice.

    desktop: KDE 2.2.1
    distro: Mandrake 8.1 Gaming
    text editor: vi/Kate. Depends on where I'm at.
    browser: Konqueror 2.2.1
    time-waster: Tie between KPat Grandfather and pysol Beleagured Castle
    fav project: Tie between OpenOffice / Transgaming

  9. buffy channel on New Years Marathons · · Score: 1

    What channel has the Buffy marathon? FX is just showing Welcome to the Hellmouth Pt I Tuesday afternoon/evening, and skipping part II. Part of their first episode day. Doesn't count as a marathon in my book. The second episode for Tues. according the the fx site is the Harvest Pt II.

    Or did someone get the season 1 dvd early?

  10. Re:To access this article without registering on The Year in Internet Law · · Score: 1

    Ok, this will cost me some mod points, but I'm really sick of the idiots that blast the nytimes. Make something up for Pete's sake. Jeez. Is it so hard? Do what I do, set up a spam account on hotmail with completely fake details and use that. Jeez. Who cares that Jeremiah Smith, age 46, employed by the government, visits nytimes.

    The way you people bitch you'd think the nytimes was asking for a dna sample everytime you visit their page.

  11. Re:Uniform look&Feel ?? on LinuxPlanet's Year In Review · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It is exactly this sort of consistency that will help linux make inroads as a desktop system in businesses.

    I spend my share of time on the help desk where I work (small office, we all do time). And I can't imagine the headaches that would arise if each user had a slightly different setup. The keyword for businesses is consistency. Everybody gets the same thing. For home use, pfft, I don't care. But if I have to remember that Joan uses a customized sawfish install while John uses Gnome with gmc instead of nautilus, multiplied by 200 users, I'll go nuts.

    These users are the ones where you have to remind them which button on the toolbar is the one to check their e-mail! Got to love academia.

  12. Age Discrimination is illegal on Handling Discrimination in the IT Workplace? · · Score: 1

    Talk to a lawyer who specializes in labor law. As with code, document, document, document. If your immediate boss is really on your side, get him to testify on your behalf, but mere speculation or rumors may not be enough.

  13. Re:Exciting times ahead for 'AI' on Evolutionary Computing Via FPGAs · · Score: 2, Informative

    The urban legend is actually that it is 10% of the brain, and the whole thing is simply false anyway. Hence the urban legend appellation.

    Here's a series of links to read up on this:

    http://www.urbanlegends.com/science/10_percent_o f_ brain.html

    http://pub3.ezboard.com/fxprojectforumfrm7.showM es sage?topicID=94.topic

    And finally, from the site for urban legend de-bunking, Snopes:

    http://www.snopes2.com/spoons/fracture/10percnt. ht m

  14. Re:Basic things need to happen first on 10 Linux Predictions For 2002 · · Score: 1

    First, there has to be a pretty GUI with nice looking fonts.

    KDE or Gnomelook just fine to me. Haven't tried the other wms yet though.

    Second, printing needs to be made as easy as Win.

    I clicked. Yes, read that again, I mouse clicked through installing an HP 2500c that was shared on our Novell network at work. I used the download edition of Mandrake 8.1 and cups. Click to install netware connectivity during setup, click to install cups, click to select HP color inkjet, browse and click to find printer. Reboot, login as my netware id, print test print. No problem. No harder than installing a networked printer under windows.

    Third, installing programs should never mean having to edit a script file, or tracking down all libraries needed. There should be a registry-like means of keeping track of what's on a linux box. Installing needs to be as mind-numbingly simple as on Windows. Uninstalling needs to be clean too.

    Take a look at Mandrake's urpmi program. Click to look for updates (you can define sources to get the updates from, like the bleeding edge cooker files or the stable security updates or a corporate ftp site with approved files). Click to select, click to install/uninstall.

    Fourth, full-retail apps must exist, which install and uninstall just fine without requiring various library installations.

    Howabout Borland's excellent Kylix program? Best IDE/RAD I've seen anywhere. Or, if you don't like Borland or programming languages, howabout all those Loki games? Or howabout Eric's solitaire? That's a must.

  15. Re:Computers are going to change (for the better) on 20 Factors That Will Change PCs In 2002 · · Score: 1

    I have around 40 gigs worth of mp3's. It was a cd christmas this year, and every cd that comes into the house goes right onto the hard drive. Hell, I've got enought music of my own, I don't need to make illegal downloads.

    MP3 Observer says I have 22 days, 4 hours and 37 minutes worth of music on my drive. And I'm running out of space on my drive. The 10 cd's we gave each other yesterday will take up my remaining space. :(

    What will happen when the all of Buffy comes out on dvd and i want to store them all on my hard drive? (Season 1 is out in a couple of weeks; 3 cd's but only 12 episodes that season.) Good thing I can add 3 more drives to my Promise card.

    Then, when I get my 5 or 6 megapixel camera, I'll need space for all those pictures.

    Too bad I can't just get a SAN with raid and hotswappable drives set up in the living room.

  16. Re:a problem waiting to happen on Adcritic Shuts Down · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why would a copyright holder have a problem? I can think of several:

    1) Ads for related materials that actually have the affect of diminishing both brands. McDonald's doesn't want a Slimfast ad associated with its product. They don't want people to think that fast food makes you fat.

    2) Ads for competitors. If adcritic (and I not saying they did this) showed a lame McDonald's ad and a really cool Burger King ad, McDonald's would be upset because it would appear as if the site were using McDonald's copyrighted material to both trash McD and advance BK.

    3) Old ads that are either inappropriate, out dated, or reference an item that no longer exists. Let's pretend that a year ago, you had an ad for your FlightSim game that showed people flying their simulated planes into the WTC? Or showed someone bursting into a cockpit to play with the real controls? Would you want that ad up and associated with your company now? How about an ad that promises premiums for proof of purchases for a promotion that expired a year ago? You don't want people sending in the junk and then being mad at you because the promotion is over (yes, people are this stupid and as a company, you have to protect yourself against stupid people). Or maybe there's a commercial that says "look for the bright blue bottle" only you changed to bright green 2 months ago.

    4) What if the adcritic site is really doggy and people think you can't afford a good server because your commercial doesn't run. Or worse yet, what if they call you for tech support when they can't see the picture. We all know the people who call tech support for even stupider things.

    I'm not saying adcritic did any of this or that these ads were there in this format. I'm simply pointing out that there are very good reasons for companies to want to control how their ads are presented to people.

  17. Re:Regarding Pet Peeve #2 on Emergence · · Score: 1

    Well, since some browsers let you right click on a link and add it to your favorites, I frequently see a link that I don't want to follow now, so I put it in a folder to visit later. That means I found out about PageB from PageA, but there's no way for PageB to see that PageA. I also copy and paste url's.

  18. Re:Will the extension of copyright continue? on Ask Lawrence Lessig About Life And Law Online · · Score: 2, Interesting

    And if so, would this constitute as a taking, so that the government would be responsible for re-imbursing the holder of the copyright for the loss in value.

    For example, let's say I hold the copyright on Mickey the Rat. Current law says that I have the copyright for 20 years (I know; this is an example). If I can get licensing fees of 1,000,000 dollars a year, I'll have 20,000,000. If the government reduces the copyright to 10 years, I only get 10,000,000, a loss of 10,000,000 dollars. And we'll assume that all experts in the field agree on that money amount. Should the government pay for costing the person money?

    If not, why not? Remember, if the government condemns your house to put a road through, they are supposed to pay you the market value of the property they take.

  19. Genius on Rendering Ultrasonic Imagery: The Sonic Flashlight · · Score: 5, Interesting

    One of the definition of genius is the ability to take existing ideas and put them together in a new way that hadn't been previously thought of. In one sense, that exactly what this does. There isn't any major leap here; it's not a tricorder or real x-ray specs. But it is a fundamentally new way of working, and that's the genius.

  20. Re:Car parts are entirely different on Win95 Lifecycle Draws to a Close · · Score: 1

    And yet I've been having trouble getting parts for my 1991 Ford Probe. When I add 10 to 1991, I get 2001, or are they counting years, so that 2000 was the last year? Luckily, Mazda uses the same parts. The car has barely 50,000 miles on it and is good condition, so it should easily last another 3 years.

  21. subscription software on EQ 'Shadow of Luclin' -- Pretty Graphics, Ugly Release · · Score: 5, Funny

    So basically, what you are saying is that there's a downside to subscription based software when the user has no choice about the upgrade? That the manufacturer of the subscription software can put out a buggy update and force you to take it, which means the software is useless until the fix is in. And you can be forced to upgrade your hardware instead of using existing hardware and existing software.

    Hmm. Why does this sound so very familiar.

    And you thought there wouldn't be an M$ bashing post under the evercrack story. Shame on you! This is /.

  22. Re:Govt should only do..... on Network Webcurity Wishlist? · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Replying at random to one of the many people who say gov't always gets it wrong and the public sector is where all the smart people are. Go read the comments to the article about project failure. Notice how many of them (like, almost *all*) are about private companies are filled with moron managers who couldn't make the right decision if it sprang full from their butt.

    People are people. You get idiots in the public sector. You get idiots in the private sector. Where you get people, you get idiots.

    Everyone is smarter than his or her boss. That makes the lowest person in the company the smartest.

  23. Re:Linux ready? on Constructing a Windows-Less Office · · Score: 1

    I don't want users on my network to install stuff on their office pc's. 75% of the time, a trouble call can be resolved by uninstalling the screen saver or cute e-card that the secretary just clicked on.

  24. Re:School on Constructing a Windows-Less Office · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Plus, for user management and the ability to set granular rights, Novell is far ahead of Linux. Try setting linux to give the following permissions to the file myreport.doc

    managers can read, filescan and change but not delete
    secretaries can read and filescan
    bob can read, filescan, change, and delete
    john can read, filescan, change, delete and assign ownership of the file
    jane can filescan

    filescan is the ability to see the file if you do a dir or ls. Sometimes useful. And yes, you can change a file so that it is empty, but that is different than deleting.

    Plus, got to love novell's salvage utility.

    Sorry, just trying to plug a good nos.

  25. Re:AT&T's replacement is worse than bad. on Most @Home Customers Still Connected -- For Now · · Score: 1

    Unless something drastic happens, which yes, I know did this time, you should renew the same dhcp assigned address if you computer is on all the time.

    Half way through your lease, your computer will attempt to renew the same ip address it has. Now no other computer should have been assigned that address, since you are using it and have half your lease to go.

    My computer has had the same address for the year and a half I've had it. Even during this mess, when others were saying that they release/renewed and got different subnets. And I turn it off every night.

    If you are doing mission critical apps from your home machine, then you really need to go to the next level of service. Otherwise just set a shell script to have your computer e-mail you every hour. Since you are on a networked computer, just read your mail and get your new ip address. Pretty simple and you'll never have to wait more than an hour before you get confirmation of your ip address. Half an hour on average, assuming you access your home computer at truly random intervals.