Hansen's Scenario A wasn't a "business as usual", it's an exponential increase in greenhouse gas emissions coupled with no major volcanic activity. B and C were "business as usual", including volcanic events, up to about now, where C has the major reduction in emissions.
Hansen has had a tendency to go way over the top sometimes to scare people into listening to him - I wouldn't have put it past him to make Scenario A the bold line to make it the most prominent, even if he then went on to base the rest of his presentation on Scenario B. And notice the last point on his observed grant - an unfilled circle? That indicated partial data for the year. The actual number was about the same as the year before.
Will you calm down? I never said automatically trust anyone else either (including Hansen). I barely trust peer-reviewed science papers. I certainly don't trust blogs and British newspapers.
I went to the website and saw a blogged report from a British newspaper - and I know they're awful at science. So I checked up the statement, and found it showed a misrepresentation. Since you yourself have confirmed that Hansen showed three scenarios, surely you have to admit that picking one of the scenarios (particularly the alarmist one) as "his prediction" and then shouting he was wrong when it doesn't come true *is* a misrepresentation - it's the world of politics, not science.
And I didn't use "denier" to imply anything other than someone who denies something. I wanted to use a term stronger than skeptic, as a skeptic would have questioned Hansen's B scenario and accused him of being a drama queen with scenario A, rather than playing with straw men.
And if you really want to know my opinion on climate change, I tend to agree with Mike Hulme's comments of a couple of days ago.
Solar-powered ion propulsion would be used to get them from Earth to L1. You only need sudden oomph if you're in a hurry.
Sandia have already done much of the calculations on the energy requirements for launch.
And the concept of folding the damn things up for launch has already been mentioned. Heat shielding is again perfectly possible - you can dump the heat shield once you're out of the atmosphere.
Why exactly do you think they can't make the components for this to weigh 1/16th of an iPod Shuffle? Have you done any calculations, or do you just automatically think it is impossible?
Climateaudit.org shouldn't be trusted anymore than you can comfortably spit out a rat. For example, one of the recent articles states
In 1988, James Hansen, a climatologist, told the US Congress that temperature would rise 0.3C by the end of the century
No he didn't. In 1988 he presented three scenarios, A, B and C to Congress. Scenario A had exponential growth of greenhouse gases and no large volcanic eruptions. Scenario B had an increasing level of global warming and one large volcanic eruption in the intervening period and was labelled "most plausible" at the presentation. Observed temperatures since 1988 have been a reasonable match with Scenario B. Climate change deniers presented the graph with B and C erased.
Wrong. It's not "outwards explosion" that caused the damage, it's "structural collapse". The building's ability to sustain significant local damage and remain standing wasn't sufficient.
Ask any structural engineering specialist to review the media available, and they'll tell you it was a result of structural collapse due to the structural configuration of the building. Ask them the blast size required, and they'll tell you the equivalent of 4000lb of TNT was needed to initiate the collapse. There are plenty of peer-reviewed papers in the structural engineering field on the very subject.
You're getting the wrong answer because you asked the wrong people in the first place, got the answer you wanted, and stopped asking.
Well, it was a London court, so I'll explain in a UK centric way.
So they can try make the Brits pay more. As everyone else does as well.
Samsung BD-P1000 Blu-Ray Disc Player by Samsung : $999 from amazon.com
Samsung BD-P1000/XEU Blu Ray Multi Region Capable DVD Player: £999 from amazon.co.uk
i-Tunes track: $0.99
i-Tunes track: £0.77
1 dollar: £0.54
In other words, so they can rip individual customers off. That's why they don't want to give individuals the right to import.
Gun related murders in my home city (which has the reputation of being the gun crime capital of the UK) definitely still get reported in the national newspapers. The latest one (two weeks ago) was reported by the Guardian, Times, BBC News, Sun, etc. Similarly the one before that in March 2005 (yes, 18 months between gun murders, although a man shot at a policewoman in February this year, also national news)
The gun crime sparks the media interest to begin with. For the media to actually go up there and continue to focus on the story, continued interest is required - not a lot of point if the police know who did it almost immediately. The media need public appeals for interest.
As another UK TV viewer, I think I'm going to stick to watching the BBC, on the grounds that I already bloody paid for it so they don't need any more money through product placement.
Captain Morgan, Black Bart Roberts - Welshmen. Not Bristolians. Forget that showman Blackbeard, if you respect either sheer quantity of ships taken (Roberts) or getting away with it and drinking yourself to death and having a brand of rum named after you (Morgan), it's got to be the Welsh pirates.
Prior to car safety regulation, people were not any more likely to die in an auto accident than they are now
If you measure by the number of traffic deaths per thousand vehicles, or the number of traffic deaths per 100 million miles, then people definitely were more likely to die in traffic accidents prior to "car safety regulation" than they are now.
Also, the US auto market was already dominated by three companies when the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration was established in the 1960s. The US poor performance relative to the rest of the developed world currently is because countries like the UK, Canada and Australia are far, far safer now than before, while the US is a bit safer. This is not because the UK, Canada and Australia are completely lacking in regulation.
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm4818a1. htm for info - particularly figure 1.
The device don't know the speed limit of the road he's on. He can go 70 mph on a 20 mph road. The device won't know.
But if the parents have set a speed limit of 55mph, then it uses GPS to record both the speed and the position. The parents then look up the position on Google Maps, say "hey, I know that road, that's a little suburban street, not a freeway" and take the keys.
Dogs can not only understand the concept of 'pointing at something', they can follow the human gaze (wolves, on the other hand, can't unless they're raised by humans).
Hare, B., Call, J., & Tomasello, M. (1998). Communication of food
location between human and dog (Canis familiaris). Evolution of Communication, 2, 137-159.
Hare, B., & Tomasello, M. (1999). Domestic dogs (Canis familiaris) use
human and conspecific social cues to locate hidden food. Journal of
Comparative Psychology, 113, 173-177.
CNN.com? Oh come on. Surely, being a British newspaper, they'd pick bbc.co.uk.
Particularly since the BBC started online before CNN (1994 vs 1995), and if you judge by Alexa, these days bbc.co.uk is *bigger* - BBC ranked at 24, CNN at 30.
It's defined as "conduct which caused or was likely to cause alarm, harassment or distress to one or more persons not of the same household as him or herself". So no, sitting in your house on your own and not coming out does not count.
Actually, I'd say you've missed the point of the exercise.
Look at who's entering - not professors, not top researchers - students. It's an exercise to train them, not the technology. The end product of this isn't the car, it's the experience and training for the people.
Ayrton Senna's death wasn't due to the chassis, it was due to the front right tyre hitting senna on the head. The car was doing 193mph when it left the track, 135mph when it hit the wall. But if the tyre had missed him, he'd have been fine.
It's not the fact that the same theories and reasoning and 'researchers' told us that we were headed for an ice-age thirty years ago.
That's not a fact, it's a myth.
1974 National Science Board:
Judging from the record of the past interglacial ages, the present time of high temperatures should be drawing to an end... leading into the next glacial age. However, it is possible, or even likely, than human interference has already altered the environment so much that the climatic pattern of the near future will follow a different path. ..
In short, in the 1970s, they were questioning whether human activity would show a larger effect than what they suspected may be the natural trend at the time. The media decided to present half the story. The theory of global warming has been around since the 19th century (Svante Arrhenius). Scientists were not, in any way, shape or form in the 1970s in an overall consensus that global cooling was occuring - the majority were of the view that they didn't know what was going to happen. The 1970s global cooling hype is a favourite straw man of the anti-global warming theory brigade.
I think it's misleadingly phrasing (in the aim of a short heading) rather than chauvinism. The facts would tend to bear out the statement that the best universities tend to be in the US, even if he has merely relied on the opinion of a few professors rather than a larger study of opinion.
Most rankings of top universities are of course subjective, but they do tend to heavily list US establishments at the top - the top 10 from people such as the Times Educational Supplement (who ask 1600 profs worldwide) tend to show that the US have 8 out of the top ten in the world (Oxford and Cambridge being the others - this is based on all subjects, not just computing)
THES Top universities
Hmm, I put in the text of a paper I wrote a couple of years ago that has been reasonably well cited - it gets 93.7% authentic. I put in the one I'm writing at the moment - 32.6% authentic.
Which means either
1) I need to rewrite this paper, or
2) I've been replaced by a robot, but don't know this as I'm programmed not to.
American universities currently employ 70% of the world's Nobel prize-winners
Ah, there's a problem. That's 70% of the past winners. Not necessarily the future winners. They may be well past their productive peak, and hired just for prestige effect having done their Nobel Prize winning work overseas.
In an analogy - I was listening to the third Test between England and India this morning. In terms of total career runs in test matches, the Test Match Special commentators may beat the current England side quite comfortably. Doesn't mean you'd pick Gatting, Gooch or Boycott for the England side...
First thing I do when I see press releases like this is to stick the name of the group leader (in this case FL Degertekin) into a search on Google Scholar to get some scientific info (yes, I know Web of Science is better, but it takes a lot more clicks to get to any papers).
Slashdot Mirror
Hansen has had a tendency to go way over the top sometimes to scare people into listening to him - I wouldn't have put it past him to make Scenario A the bold line to make it the most prominent, even if he then went on to base the rest of his presentation on Scenario B. And notice the last point on his observed grant - an unfilled circle? That indicated partial data for the year. The actual number was about the same as the year before.
I went to the website and saw a blogged report from a British newspaper - and I know they're awful at science. So I checked up the statement, and found it showed a misrepresentation. Since you yourself have confirmed that Hansen showed three scenarios, surely you have to admit that picking one of the scenarios (particularly the alarmist one) as "his prediction" and then shouting he was wrong when it doesn't come true *is* a misrepresentation - it's the world of politics, not science.
And I didn't use "denier" to imply anything other than someone who denies something. I wanted to use a term stronger than skeptic, as a skeptic would have questioned Hansen's B scenario and accused him of being a drama queen with scenario A, rather than playing with straw men.
And if you really want to know my opinion on climate change, I tend to agree with Mike Hulme's comments of a couple of days ago.
But he's not saying "this is the solution", he's saying "if you were to do a solar shade, this is how I'd do it and how much I think it would cost".
Sandia have already done much of the calculations on the energy requirements for launch.
And the concept of folding the damn things up for launch has already been mentioned. Heat shielding is again perfectly possible - you can dump the heat shield once you're out of the atmosphere.
Why exactly do you think they can't make the components for this to weigh 1/16th of an iPod Shuffle? Have you done any calculations, or do you just automatically think it is impossible?
No he didn't. In 1988 he presented three scenarios, A, B and C to Congress. Scenario A had exponential growth of greenhouse gases and no large volcanic eruptions. Scenario B had an increasing level of global warming and one large volcanic eruption in the intervening period and was labelled "most plausible" at the presentation. Observed temperatures since 1988 have been a reasonable match with Scenario B. Climate change deniers presented the graph with B and C erased.
Have *you* checked you haven't been misled?
Wrong. It's not "outwards explosion" that caused the damage, it's "structural collapse". The building's ability to sustain significant local damage and remain standing wasn't sufficient. Ask any structural engineering specialist to review the media available, and they'll tell you it was a result of structural collapse due to the structural configuration of the building. Ask them the blast size required, and they'll tell you the equivalent of 4000lb of TNT was needed to initiate the collapse. There are plenty of peer-reviewed papers in the structural engineering field on the very subject. You're getting the wrong answer because you asked the wrong people in the first place, got the answer you wanted, and stopped asking.
Well, it was a London court, so I'll explain in a UK centric way. So they can try make the Brits pay more. As everyone else does as well. Samsung BD-P1000 Blu-Ray Disc Player by Samsung : $999 from amazon.com Samsung BD-P1000/XEU Blu Ray Multi Region Capable DVD Player: £999 from amazon.co.uk i-Tunes track: $0.99 i-Tunes track: £0.77 1 dollar: £0.54 In other words, so they can rip individual customers off. That's why they don't want to give individuals the right to import.
Gun related murders in my home city (which has the reputation of being the gun crime capital of the UK) definitely still get reported in the national newspapers. The latest one (two weeks ago) was reported by the Guardian, Times, BBC News, Sun, etc. Similarly the one before that in March 2005 (yes, 18 months between gun murders, although a man shot at a policewoman in February this year, also national news) The gun crime sparks the media interest to begin with. For the media to actually go up there and continue to focus on the story, continued interest is required - not a lot of point if the police know who did it almost immediately. The media need public appeals for interest.
As another UK TV viewer, I think I'm going to stick to watching the BBC, on the grounds that I already bloody paid for it so they don't need any more money through product placement.
Captain Morgan, Black Bart Roberts - Welshmen. Not Bristolians. Forget that showman Blackbeard, if you respect either sheer quantity of ships taken (Roberts) or getting away with it and drinking yourself to death and having a brand of rum named after you (Morgan), it's got to be the Welsh pirates.
Hare, B., Call, J., & Tomasello, M. (1998). Communication of food location between human and dog (Canis familiaris). Evolution of Communication, 2, 137-159.
Hare, B., & Tomasello, M. (1999). Domestic dogs (Canis familiaris) use human and conspecific social cues to locate hidden food. Journal of Comparative Psychology, 113, 173-177.
Particularly since the BBC started online before CNN (1994 vs 1995), and if you judge by Alexa, these days bbc.co.uk is *bigger* - BBC ranked at 24, CNN at 30.
They're stressing room temperature as most materials that are spintronic only work when they're really, really cold.
It's defined as "conduct which caused or was likely to cause alarm, harassment or distress to one or more persons not of the same household as him or herself". So no, sitting in your house on your own and not coming out does not count.
Actually, I'd say you've missed the point of the exercise. Look at who's entering - not professors, not top researchers - students. It's an exercise to train them, not the technology. The end product of this isn't the car, it's the experience and training for the people.
Ayrton Senna's death wasn't due to the chassis, it was due to the front right tyre hitting senna on the head. The car was doing 193mph when it left the track, 135mph when it hit the wall. But if the tyre had missed him, he'd have been fine.
That's not a fact, it's a myth.
1974 National Science Board:
In short, in the 1970s, they were questioning whether human activity would show a larger effect than what they suspected may be the natural trend at the time. The media decided to present half the story. The theory of global warming has been around since the 19th century (Svante Arrhenius). Scientists were not, in any way, shape or form in the 1970s in an overall consensus that global cooling was occuring - the majority were of the view that they didn't know what was going to happen. The 1970s global cooling hype is a favourite straw man of the anti-global warming theory brigade.What, you have a problem with Sanskrit?
Sutra: a short mnemonic rule in grammar, law, or philosophy, requiring expansion by means of a commentary
I think it's misleadingly phrasing (in the aim of a short heading) rather than chauvinism. The facts would tend to bear out the statement that the best universities tend to be in the US, even if he has merely relied on the opinion of a few professors rather than a larger study of opinion. Most rankings of top universities are of course subjective, but they do tend to heavily list US establishments at the top - the top 10 from people such as the Times Educational Supplement (who ask 1600 profs worldwide) tend to show that the US have 8 out of the top ten in the world (Oxford and Cambridge being the others - this is based on all subjects, not just computing)
THES Top universities
Which means either
1) I need to rewrite this paper, or
2) I've been replaced by a robot, but don't know this as I'm programmed not to.
John Dunlop was Scottish, not English!
First thing I do when I see press releases like this is to stick the name of the group leader (in this case FL Degertekin) into a search on Google Scholar to get some scientific info (yes, I know Web of Science is better, but it takes a lot more clicks to get to any papers).