The problem with spreadsheets is that there is no way to audit the results. It's very easy for a spreadsheet to become corrupted through inattentive programming or random unintended manipulation. Anything beyond a few hundred cells should be looked on with suspicion. It's scary to think of the decisions which are being made with these flaky tools.
Microsoft is a monopoly (certified by Federal court). It has used it's monopoly position in computer software to take over additional markets. No reason to believe they won't try the same thing here. (Microsoft has been able to establish a monopoly in "open" markets. You don't need regulatory mandates to establish a monopoly.)
California has been able to force VW to do much of your agenda. - Forced VW to buy back the diesel cars at pre-scandal prices - Forced VW to pay extra compensation to owners - Forced VW to spend $800 million dollars to build an EV charging network in California VW will be making EVs to use the charging network. https://www.arb.ca.gov/msprog/...
You're right about CO2 but the problem with diesels is NOx and particulates. These give people lung and heart disease and lead to thousands of premature deaths. OTOH, electric vehicles don't emit CO2 or NOx or particulates directly. Depending on the source of the electricity, they are usually much cleaner. In most of the US, the electric grid provides electricity which gives EVs a CO2 footprint equivalent to a 80 mpg car (and negligible NOx and particulates).
I live in California and frequently complain about the traffic but I recently visited the East coast and drove around NY, NJ, PA for two weeks and I can categorically state that the traffic was much worse than any I have encountered in California. Plus, you have all these toll roads which don't seem to do anything to reduce congestion but do make it more expensive to drive ("free market" capitalist road policy failure). I think the problem of "bad policies" is national. We are dependent on automobiles. Suburban sprawl is a symptom. Better policies might encourage mass transport and intelligently designed cities with higher density housing.
I live in snow country and I keep my cars for 20+ years. Never had any problems with any of the things you list. My older cars have had power train problems: engine and transmission seals, radiator, top end of the engine, transmission rebuild, lots of emission control problems (O2 sensors, air pumps, exhaust and catalytic convertor problems).
Fuel cost alone is EV=0.03 cents per mile and ICE = 0.20 cents per mile. (YMMV) Also, EVs have low maintenance cost. Tires are about the only cost. Brakes last forever; no oil changes; drive train has a few thousand fewer parts to wear and break. The more you drive, the more you save.
It will cost you more to drive your old fossil car than an EV... so the economics of shifting to EVs will be compelling to most people. There will always be "enthusiasts" who are willing to spend more.
EVs will have lower TCO in just a few years. You can keep driving your V-8 but it will cost you dearly. Even cheap fossil fuel is more expensive than electricity and, of course, maintenance on that aging V-8 will cost a lot. EVs, OTOH, are cheap to run (equivalent to gas at about 50 cents a gallon) and due to the fact that their drive trains have several thousand fewer parts than and ICE car, are much more reliable... not to mention much better performance than any V-8.
The good news: there will be a huge glut of used ICE cars on the market and cheap prices The bad news: Even cheap car prices and cheap oil will make ICE cars more expensive to run than EVs.
I've had a Nexus 5 for three years. Still works fine and does everything I need. Runs all the current wireless protocols and software. My wife's Nexus 5 finally succumbed to being dropped too many times. I found a "refurb" Nexus 5 for $79. I replaced the battery in mine for $9 even though it still had reasonable run time. Phones reached "peak functionality" several years ago. Everything now is just bells and whistles. I'll wait until there is some real advance that I must have... but I don't anticipate it coming anytime soon.
I am already rich and have no need to take your money so I will not accept your bet. You, OTOH, might find cause to divest from oil and fossil cars after reading these reports. It might save you some money.
Slashdot Mirror
Telephone Sanitizers
(HHGTTG ref)
No. All of it.
No
Nobody loves horse shit...or cow shit...and lots of people are appalled by the thought of eating dead animals.
Pink slime
This report is from a hard headed investment firm, not a bunch of tree huggers.
This report will only discredit deniers further.
The problem with spreadsheets is that there is no way to audit the results. It's very easy for a spreadsheet to become corrupted through inattentive programming or random unintended manipulation. Anything beyond a few hundred cells should be looked on with suspicion.
It's scary to think of the decisions which are being made with these flaky tools.
Microsoft is a monopoly (certified by Federal court). It has used it's monopoly position in computer software to take over additional markets. No reason to believe they won't try the same thing here.
(Microsoft has been able to establish a monopoly in "open" markets. You don't need regulatory mandates to establish a monopoly.)
Good news! A new monopoly player wants to take over from old monopoly players.
I just don't see how this will help anybody but the monopolists.
California has been able to force VW to do much of your agenda.
- Forced VW to buy back the diesel cars at pre-scandal prices
- Forced VW to pay extra compensation to owners
- Forced VW to spend $800 million dollars to build an EV charging network in California
VW will be making EVs to use the charging network.
https://www.arb.ca.gov/msprog/...
You're right about CO2 but the problem with diesels is NOx and particulates. These give people lung and heart disease and lead to thousands of premature deaths.
OTOH, electric vehicles don't emit CO2 or NOx or particulates directly. Depending on the source of the electricity, they are usually much cleaner. In most of the US, the electric grid provides electricity which gives EVs a CO2 footprint equivalent to a 80 mpg car (and negligible NOx and particulates).
I live in California and frequently complain about the traffic but I recently visited the East coast and drove around NY, NJ, PA for two weeks and I can categorically state that the traffic was much worse than any I have encountered in California. Plus, you have all these toll roads which don't seem to do anything to reduce congestion but do make it more expensive to drive ("free market" capitalist road policy failure).
I think the problem of "bad policies" is national. We are dependent on automobiles. Suburban sprawl is a symptom. Better policies might encourage mass transport and intelligently designed cities with higher density housing.
Yes... it's 3 cents per mile for EV and 20 cents per mile for gas. My error.
Lots of Teslas in Norway where it's very cold in Winter. They work just fine.
Real world experience has Tesla batteries going 200,000 miles with only 6% degradation.
Not a problem.
I live in snow country and I keep my cars for 20+ years. Never had any problems with any of the things you list.
My older cars have had power train problems: engine and transmission seals, radiator, top end of the engine, transmission rebuild, lots of emission control problems (O2 sensors, air pumps, exhaust and catalytic convertor problems).
Fuel cost alone is EV=0.03 cents per mile and ICE = 0.20 cents per mile. (YMMV)
Also, EVs have low maintenance cost. Tires are about the only cost. Brakes last forever; no oil changes; drive train has a few thousand fewer parts to wear and break.
The more you drive, the more you save.
It will cost you more to drive your old fossil car than an EV... so the economics of shifting to EVs will be compelling to most people. There will always be "enthusiasts" who are willing to spend more.
EVs will have lower TCO in just a few years. You can keep driving your V-8 but it will cost you dearly. Even cheap fossil fuel is more expensive than electricity and, of course, maintenance on that aging V-8 will cost a lot.
EVs, OTOH, are cheap to run (equivalent to gas at about 50 cents a gallon) and due to the fact that their drive trains have several thousand fewer parts than and ICE car, are much more reliable... not to mention much better performance than any V-8.
The good news: there will be a huge glut of used ICE cars on the market and cheap prices
The bad news: Even cheap car prices and cheap oil will make ICE cars more expensive to run than EVs.
Now both France and the UK will ban ICE cars by 2040
Britain to ban sale of all diesel and petrol cars and vans from 2040
https://www.theguardian.com/po...
I put open minded in quotes because those were your words.
However, from your response, it's clear that you are not open minded.
Sounds like a lot of problems.
Best to go with dilithium crystals.
I've had a Nexus 5 for three years. Still works fine and does everything I need. Runs all the current wireless protocols and software.
My wife's Nexus 5 finally succumbed to being dropped too many times. I found a "refurb" Nexus 5 for $79.
I replaced the battery in mine for $9 even though it still had reasonable run time.
Phones reached "peak functionality" several years ago. Everything now is just bells and whistles. I'll wait until there is some real advance that I must have... but I don't anticipate it coming anytime soon.
As an "open minded engineer" you should read these reports.
https://www.ing.com/Newsroom/A...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news...
https://www.iea.org/publicatio...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news...
http://inhabitat.com/stanford-...
I am already rich and have no need to take your money so I will not accept your bet.
You, OTOH, might find cause to divest from oil and fossil cars after reading these reports. It might save you some money.