UK weather forecasts have become much more accurate over the last few decades as the computers that do the forecasting have become more powerful. This new machine will continue that trend.
For many years we have verified our forecasts by comparing forecasts of mean sea-level pressure with subsequent model analyses of mean sea-level pressure. These comparisons are made over an area covering the North Atlantic; most of western Europe, and north-eastern parts of North America. From this long-term comparison an average forecast error can be calculated.
The graph shows how many days into a forecast period this average error is reached compared to a baseline in 1980. This graph shows that a three-day forecast today is more accurate than a one-day forecast in 1980.
I'm a working scientist. I have a Mac at home for playing, but work is all Linux. OS X has a very slow filesystem, no working package manager (or rather it has at least four, none of which are much good) and only runs on relatively expensive hardware. Good luck building a compute cluster from imacs. Windows is even worse, of course.
NASA and its climate partners (like GISS, NCDC) have been saying that. I don't know who else is saying that, unless they're quoting those sources.
For a long time I think NASA had the only satellite that could measure ice mass accurately. ESA launched their one a couple of years ago, quite a bit fancier than the NASA one, and it's showing the same thing:
West Antarctica continues to lose ice to the ocean and this loss appears to be accelerating, according to new data from Europe's Cryosat spacecraft. The dedicated polar mission finds the region now to be dumping over 150 cubic km of ice into the sea every year. It equates to a 15% increase in West Antarctica's contribution to global sea level rise.
Antarctic ice recently set a historic record. And not just sea ice, either. Satellite data has been showing the land volume to be growing too.
Are you sure about that? People usually say the sea ice is increasing in extent, but that the land ice (the bit that might raise sea levels) is shrinking rapidly. For example:
Gravity data collected from space using NASA's Grace satellite show that Antarctica has been losing more than a hundred cubic kilometers (24 cubic miles) of ice each year since 2002. The latest data reveals that Antarctica is losing ice at an accelerating rate, too.
/. had a recent story on this too, based on data from the same satellite:
The big problem with the Windows model is that everyone can directly modify the registry and one badly-written installer can really mess it up.
OS X's solution is for programs to simply declare (for example) what associations they'd like (there's a small XML file called info.plist in the app bundle), and then for the file manager to update the associations for them as programs are installed and uninstalled by being dragged around.
Because the list of associations is being managed by one (hopefully) sane program, the chances of some random installer causing havoc are removed.
I agree the gnome3 dynamic workspaces are annoying, but fortunately there's an option to turn them off. You can turn off the top-left-corner gesture too. I use ctrl-f1 - f8 to switch workspaces, it's nice.
I suppose you could argue that the defaults are not great for experienced users, but most experienced users would expect to have to customise their desktop a bit, I think.
Here's a terrific animation from NOAA putting the current CO2 levels in the context of the last million years or so. It takes a few minutes to watch, but see it to the end.
Actually the smoking / cancer link is very hard to really prove. How can you conclusively link an act (smoking a cigarette) to its consequence (getting cancer) when the two are separated by perhaps 40 years of possibly related health events?
Smoking / cancer is proved by careful statistical analysis of very large studies. Or rather, you repeatedly do large studies, narrowing confidence intervals each time, until you reach a point where things seem to tip over in people's minds from "unproven" to "proven".
It's really very like climate change in many ways.
Global cooling was NOT a big thing in the 70s, this is a myth. There was some speculation, and some chatter in the pop science magazines, but it was not scientific consensus.
Global cooling was a conjecture during the 1970s of imminent cooling of the Earth's surface and atmosphere culminating in a period of extensive glaciation. This hypothesis had little support in the scientific community, but gained temporary popular attention due to a combination of a slight downward trend of temperatures from the 1940s to the early 1970s and press reports that did not accurately reflect the full scope of the scientific climate literature
Your two questions are good ones and the science seems to say that action could help slow or even prevent some of the worst effects.
Whether change is politically possible (or desirable) is an even tougher question and not one science can really speak to. This is where the debate should be now, I think.
Read down a little further, he compares an MBA and a Surface Pro 2 running anad's wifi web browsing benchmark. The hardware is very similar, but the MBA lasts about twice as long.
Gnome-shell is very customizable, you can use tweak tool to turn off dynamic workspaces and turn on files-on-desktop, for example. A range of nice extensions are available too.
After only a modest amount of tinkering I have a very fast, functional, attractive desktop.
There are safeguards. There are home office guidelines that the police must follow (they must only detain people suspected of involvement in terrorism, for example) and there's an independent reviewer who oversees the application of the law.
At least after a quick glance it seems that the police ignored (or took a very broad interpretation of) the guidelines and that the independent reviewer will be holding a triple-cunting when he meets the Metropolitan Police Service. One can hope.
Schedule 7 has been revised (no more than six hours of detention, "suspect" must have a lawyer) and the new version is going through parliament now, so that's something.
Furthermore, in addition to the original feature set, VideoLAN has added more ways to synchronize media (upload over Wi-Fi, native Dropbox integration, support for third-party apps through the Share dialog, and via Web download), support for network streams, video filters, passcode lock, background audio playback, and playback speed manipulation. There is also support for subtitles (including Closed Captions and complex SSA), native support for multiple audio tracks, and playback on external screens or AirPlay.
I don't think that's correct. If I had a range of other measurements and cherry-picked the ones that agreed with mine, thinking the others were outliers, that would be confirmation bias.
What we have here is a large set of independent measurements that all agree. Where is the bias? There is none.
Fortunately for science the Mauna Loa readings are in good agreement with those taken at hundreds of other sites around the globe.
Here's a great animation from NOAA showing global CO2 distribution and putting recent changes in the context of the last million years or so. It takes a few minutes to watch, but it's worth seeing to the end, in my opinion.
I'm not sure you're right on the 30% stake being their interest. App stores do not make large amounts of money and MS know that.
Instead, they think the future is mobile, and that they MUST have a competitive product. A mobile product needs a good app selection, a good app selection needs a lot of developers, and developers need a market to sell to, or they'll work on another platform.
Metro is a way to create a market for phone apps without having (yet) a significant phone product. For it to work it must be thrust in the face of desktop users.
I do both: I get a delivery every two weeks of bulky and heavy dry goods, and I walk/cycle to the supermarket every other day to get fresh fruit and veg. It works well for our family anyway.
To expand on your tribal point: politics becomes part of your identity. You start to think of yourself as a republican / liberal / libertarian, not as a supporter of policy X. In fact, the specific set of policies that comes with that identity are, for many people (and many politicians lololol), rather fuzzy.
This is why it was so easy to flip people in this experiment. The experimental subjects were not asked to change their identity, just their specific policy opinions.
You can do this the other way around too. Changing someone's mind on a difficult issue like global warming or abortion is very, very difficult, because these large single issues do become part of someone's identity. They think of themselves as a "warming sceptic", or a "pro-choicer" or whatever. To make someone move on an issue like that you have to somehow make the person see themselves in a different way.
Oh I agree, "Leftism gone mad" etc. is a very loaded and crude way to talk about the politics back then. I was responding to the [citation needed] in the dead-on-the-streets post.
Slashdot Mirror
UK weather forecasts have become much more accurate over the last few decades as the computers that do the forecasting have become more powerful. This new machine will continue that trend.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/image/7/2/capIndPlot-600.jpg
I'm a working scientist. I have a Mac at home for playing, but work is all Linux. OS X has a very slow filesystem, no working package manager (or rather it has at least four, none of which are much good) and only runs on relatively expensive hardware. Good luck building a compute cluster from imacs. Windows is even worse, of course.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2014/09/02/global_warming_cryosat_observations_show_rapid_greenland_antarctic_ice_loss.html
For a long time I think NASA had the only satellite that could measure ice mass accurately. ESA launched their one a couple of years ago, quite a bit fancier than the NASA one, and it's showing the same thing:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-27465050
West Antarctica continues to lose ice to the ocean and this loss appears to be accelerating, according to new data from Europe's Cryosat spacecraft. The dedicated polar mission finds the region now to be dumping over 150 cubic km of ice into the sea every year. It equates to a 15% increase in West Antarctica's contribution to global sea level rise.
Are you sure about that? People usually say the sea ice is increasing in extent, but that the land ice (the bit that might raise sea levels) is shrinking rapidly. For example:
http://climate.nasa.gov/news/242/
Gravity data collected from space using NASA's Grace satellite show that Antarctica has been losing more than a hundred cubic kilometers (24 cubic miles) of ice each year since 2002. The latest data reveals that Antarctica is losing ice at an accelerating rate, too.
/. had a recent story on this too, based on data from the same satellite:
http://news-beta.slashdot.org/story/14/09/30/2351213/antarctic-ice-loss-big-enough-to-cause-measurable-shift-in-earths-gravity
The big problem with the Windows model is that everyone can directly modify the registry and one badly-written installer can really mess it up.
OS X's solution is for programs to simply declare (for example) what associations they'd like (there's a small XML file called info.plist in the app bundle), and then for the file manager to update the associations for them as programs are installed and uninstalled by being dragged around.
Because the list of associations is being managed by one (hopefully) sane program, the chances of some random installer causing havoc are removed.
I agree the gnome3 dynamic workspaces are annoying, but fortunately there's an option to turn them off. You can turn off the top-left-corner gesture too. I use ctrl-f1 - f8 to switch workspaces, it's nice.
I suppose you could argue that the defaults are not great for experienced users, but most experienced users would expect to have to customise their desktop a bit, I think.
Here's a terrific animation from NOAA putting the current CO2 levels in the context of the last million years or so. It takes a few minutes to watch, but see it to the end.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/history.html
tldr: current CO2 levels are about 40% higher than the maximum levels seen in the last ten ice age cycles.
Actually the smoking / cancer link is very hard to really prove. How can you conclusively link an act (smoking a cigarette) to its consequence (getting cancer) when the two are separated by perhaps 40 years of possibly related health events?
Smoking / cancer is proved by careful statistical analysis of very large studies. Or rather, you repeatedly do large studies, narrowing confidence intervals each time, until you reach a point where things seem to tip over in people's minds from "unproven" to "proven".
It's really very like climate change in many ways.
I mean the idea that global cooling was a serious concern in the science community in the 70s is a myth. I was there too.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_cooling
Your two questions are good ones and the science seems to say that action could help slow or even prevent some of the worst effects.
Whether change is politically possible (or desirable) is an even tougher question and not one science can really speak to. This is where the debate should be now, I think.
Yes, ps4 plays DVDs and Blu-rays fine, and has been able to since launch.
Read down a little further, he compares an MBA and a Surface Pro 2 running anad's wifi web browsing benchmark. The hardware is very similar, but the MBA lasts about twice as long.
There's a "suspend" item, on the top-right menu, same place as always.
You can configure what you want to happen on lid close in the power settings (press the win key, type "pow", press return).
Gnome-shell is very customizable, you can use tweak tool to turn off dynamic workspaces and turn on files-on-desktop, for example. A range of nice extensions are available too.
After only a modest amount of tinkering I have a very fast, functional, attractive desktop.
There are safeguards. There are home office guidelines that the police must follow (they must only detain people suspected of involvement in terrorism, for example) and there's an independent reviewer who oversees the application of the law.
At least after a quick glance it seems that the police ignored (or took a very broad interpretation of) the guidelines and that the independent reviewer will be holding a triple-cunting when he meets the Metropolitan Police Service. One can hope.
Schedule 7 has been revised (no more than six hours of detention, "suspect" must have a lawyer) and the new version is going through parliament now, so that's something.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-23763625
From the linked article:
Go around a university library and see what the students are using. Here at Cambridge it's about 50% mac, 25% win, 25% pen and paper.
MS have lost the next generation of consumers.
I don't think that's correct. If I had a range of other measurements and cherry-picked the ones that agreed with mine, thinking the others were outliers, that would be confirmation bias.
What we have here is a large set of independent measurements that all agree. Where is the bias? There is none.
Fortunately for science the Mauna Loa readings are in good agreement with those taken at hundreds of other sites around the globe.
Here's a great animation from NOAA showing global CO2 distribution and putting recent changes in the context of the last million years or so. It takes a few minutes to watch, but it's worth seeing to the end, in my opinion.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/history.html
I'm not sure you're right on the 30% stake being their interest. App stores do not make large amounts of money and MS know that.
Instead, they think the future is mobile, and that they MUST have a competitive product. A mobile product needs a good app selection, a good app selection needs a lot of developers, and developers need a market to sell to, or they'll work on another platform.
Metro is a way to create a market for phone apps without having (yet) a significant phone product. For it to work it must be thrust in the face of desktop users.
I do both: I get a delivery every two weeks of bulky and heavy dry goods, and I walk/cycle to the supermarket every other day to get fresh fruit and veg. It works well for our family anyway.
A friend of a friend made this:
http://www.printcraft.org/
Make something in minecraft on this (free) server and it emails you a 3D printer file of your object when you disconnect.
To expand on your tribal point: politics becomes part of your identity. You start to think of yourself as a republican / liberal / libertarian, not as a supporter of policy X. In fact, the specific set of policies that comes with that identity are, for many people (and many politicians lololol), rather fuzzy.
This is why it was so easy to flip people in this experiment. The experimental subjects were not asked to change their identity, just their specific policy opinions.
You can do this the other way around too. Changing someone's mind on a difficult issue like global warming or abortion is very, very difficult, because these large single issues do become part of someone's identity. They think of themselves as a "warming sceptic", or a "pro-choicer" or whatever. To make someone move on an issue like that you have to somehow make the person see themselves in a different way.
Oh I agree, "Leftism gone mad" etc. is a very loaded and crude way to talk about the politics back then. I was responding to the [citation needed] in the dead-on-the-streets post.