After a trip with Gates, Warren was asked if he invested in Microsoft, and he answered something to the effect that he 'didn't understand the long term viability of software as a business model.'
Warren is FAR more understanding of core business issues than techies give him credit.
We have been going through these issues for years. These problems are not created by consumers, but by the companies that want to legitimately take their funds in return for goods, yet the consumers wind up having their share of problems from this.
At some point facial, iris, thumbprint readers (of pattern or blood vessels) or something is going to have to be implemented.
Given that most computers/cellphones have cameras now, when will it happen?
MacWorld demos are not what most buyers of Mac products see. Hence, I don't think Steve Jobs will even mildly affect Apple when he retires, shall we say.
Schiller was right that the Apple stores' traffic is monstrously higher than MacWorld, and that visible symbol of Apple & it products is where most new buyers look for products (& certainly the online Apple store).
WWDC is probably the geek show where the 3rd party people will get the motivation and confidence to move on with products that support Apple.
But what about new hardware announcements? Given that Apple will likely announce a half dozen hardware item models/upgrades each year at a minimum, it is easy to see why a once-a-year show doesn't cut it now that Apple is growing, as they may soon have a dozen models a year to announce. They will likely have a "Mini-Mac Show" at Cupertino every month or two, where the press will show for a low cost product intro.
As the Chinese have noted, Change = Opportunity.
Using the iPhone to control your MacBook Keynote presentation is a harbinger of things I could see coming the day the iPhone launched. I immediately thought that the iPhone will spell THE END OF TV REMOTES.
I still think there is a reason for MacWorld, however. Apple could have a perfunctory booth if it wanted, but MacWorld always has been for me a place to see unexpected hardware and applications which I would not otherwise run into, and to be able to get specific information from vendors in a few cases.
Companies that do NOT figure out how to keep a large cushion of cash, can NOT put large chunks into development of new technology.
With the collusion of all the parties in the unions at the big 3 auto makers, the excess cash was drained out into bennies for the workers, leaving nothing of substance for the companies to work with to weather downturns and technology development (they buy batteries as far as I know, and thus are not out there developing better batteries, or electric motors.
Apple, on the other hand, concentrates only on profitable product markets, and has amassed a $20B plus reserve fund to allow it to keep funding R&D and acquisitions even in a recession.
The Democrat party, in particular, sought to make sure the unions had enough power to get their way in negotiations, and get large numbers of voters to support the Democrat party candidates, and as such sealed the fate of the auto manufacturers. As such, the "Big 3" are virtually gone. There is so much excess auto production capacity in the automobile world, that the only thing which will make sense is a reduction in the number of plants. That means that one or more companies will go BK. Politicians will not like it, but they can't simply pour money into those failed economic business models forever, or there will be a voter revolution at some point.
The alternative is to shove $100-$200 Billion into all 3 companies, Ford, GM & Chrysler, and hope they can both pay the unions big $s and innovate their way into the future. I do NOT think this will work. The whole mindset of entitlement that exists in the Detroit area from the Big 3 management, Unions & political leaders is unsustainable. There is no such thing as "entitlement". You either make a profit, and develop long term solutions out of that profit, or you fail.
It is obvious where this who auto thing is going, and unless some serious recognition ocurrs along with a "bailout" they will fail anyway.
It is possible to file a document with prior art you have found to challenge an issued patent for a small filing fee to the US Patent & Trademark office.
ANY teacher who is ignorant of Linux, has ceased to LEARN, even a smidgen of an overview of what has been going on for over a decade in computing as reported constantly by the media.
And by media, I mean the tech sections of magazines and newspapers and then just overview sites on the web, ala Wired & Technology Review amongst hundreds and hundreds of sources.
Home remedies, hot "stuff", xyz "vitamins", doctor "recommended" is little more than what was called "snake oil" when I was young. Quite a few studies showing harm from vitamins in people have popped up recently.
Hence, I wouldn't "recommend" anything that can't or hasn't been proven in the self medication arena.
On that thought, there are easily a dozen common things that are known to cause brain rot. You can name them, and most could be self-avoided.
Surveys have shown that around 50% of hospital admissions are due to self-imposed conditions as a way of putting that.
What is left to help? Good food, good company, stimulating avocation & good exercise, which may be most important of all. Elderly people who don't move much deteriorate far more quickly than those that do physical tasks and/or exercise each day.
Where is it on this earth where governments are going to play their proper role in making sure the playing field is level and participants are not deceived?
Government's roles are to provide rule of law, not bending of laws, & adherence to meanings of words, not redefining them in advertising to suit a malicious manager.
People who want to know and those who have to know to make their work better will take the arrows and learn early and figure out how best to use them... or not.
That is just the way it always is.
I will get one/them, hammer them and know what I can do early on.
IP comes in a lot of forms including trade secrets, customer database, brand names, trademarks, copyrights & patents, but it is real, and it is the job of every company to maximize its value for shareholders.
If you basically don't go along with the concept of creating shareholder value, then you don't belong in the private sector, where employees must remain committed to contributing to the formation of a better and ultimately more valuable company, which ultimately provides more benefits for the employees that support the company.
Have you actually listed all the things Gates and Balmer promised to deliver?
"Industrial Strength Computing" on the desktop was promised for Window in the early 90s, plus at least a dozen other "revelations" from El-Presedente.
How many have even come close to what was promised (Longhorn, Zune)?
Why does anyone believe ANYTHING that comes out of Balmer's mouth?
I know some want to believe, but I think Microsoft would be better to announce things after they are developed. Whoa, wait, Balmer just announced he is going to emulate Apple by concentrating on the 'whole user experience'.
Come on now. If a bad ass programmer wants either fun or profit he can put in an exploit which can act as a back door. If it isn't caught, he can later decide to use it one way or another.
How about some serious automated debugging routines, known error and bug checks that are documented and a mandatory human based coding review in a systematic way that tells a how well the coding is being done from the start.
With a half pound more and a FireWire flash key (from Micromat) you can boot the MacBook Air with reliability & speed and a 13" screen, and an internal hard drive to use however you want (encrypted data or take it out).
There are new things coming and I think these options are good.
I think Mid-Tech items will lead to transformations, where the scientific & engineering leaps get commercialized without consumers being aware of the technology...unless they watch TED, read Slashdot and scientific and engineering journals.
Small & micro sensors and imagers integrated into new devices in unique ways & often operating wirelessly and autonomously use "HIGH TECH" but are easy to miss. They put an incredible amount of knowledge on top of the micro-sized sensing, letting even common devices do what would be almost unthinkable 10 years back.
As noted above, "Not that I think there is no place for research into new pharmaceuticals and microchips and superconductors etc, but they will bring, at this stage in our history, incremental gains to welfare, and only for the rich.", I think history has shown that technology has increased the birth rate in the world dramatically, along with the lifespan of people in almost all countries. Whether that is "good" or not depends on how you define "good".
Birth rate leads to other "problems" though, until better food production is developed, & then the final issue when countries can't figure out what to do with unemployed youth that begin to dominate their country. That occurs when about 40% of the population of Iran is 15-29, and unemployment of men is very high because those countries can't generate jobs fast enough. Unemployed youth in underdeveloped countries = war and insurrection.
Right now European & Japanese cultures are committing self-genocide with birth rates that have collapsed. Population bulges of youth in Africa & the Mid-East are "an issue".
Maybe the biggest technology surprise will be whatever allows developing countries to put their underemployed youth to work productively? But then maybe that just leads to, well, another population boom of larger proportions. Then again, they could become wealthier and drop their birth rate like "modern westernized" countries.
DOESN'T QUALIFY: I've been to the JPL open houses and discussed the tin whisker problems and looked at the photomicrographs and JPL has been designing spacecraft circuitry with an eye to avoiding this problem for a long time.
Anyone who doesn't know about this is not in the military electronics or satellite business.
Applies not only to anyone using a personal computer, but to companies, ICANN & others who "oversee" the Internet structure who should have been creating new structures to prevent these sort of things proliferating. It is not just drugs but a never-ending blast of promos.
It is not like we haven't seen this coming for years. Where are the responsible ISPs, who should literally shut off any personal computer that is sending spam? Doing that alone, and dialing out China, Russia and others on email programs would severely limit the ability of these nogoods to do their work.
Microsoft is part of the blame here. I still have a friend who's HP computer at home is buzzing with activity from a Bot (3 kids in the family), sometimes taking 70-80% of his CPU cycles. He knows he is infected. Why won't he reinstall the OS? He doesn't know how, and figures he would be in for days of work, and if he can't do it, he will just have to fork out for a new desktop.
Intertia, fear, loathing, and no fear of retribution for running a bot compromised CPU are behind his activities. All the same things ICANN, Microsoft, ISPs, and others seem to have in abundance.
Sheesh.
Slashdot Mirror
After a trip with Gates, Warren was asked if he invested in Microsoft, and he answered something to the effect that he 'didn't understand the long term viability of software as a business model.'
Warren is FAR more understanding of core business issues than techies give him credit.
We have been going through these issues for years. These problems are not created by consumers, but by the companies that want to legitimately take their funds in return for goods, yet the consumers wind up having their share of problems from this.
At some point facial, iris, thumbprint readers (of pattern or blood vessels) or something is going to have to be implemented.
Given that most computers/cellphones have cameras now, when will it happen?
2nd highest in the industrialized world behind only Japan, as I recall the most recent article.
California has the highest or 2nd highest corp. (and other) taxes and has a net outflow of population compared to inflow.
You don't think taxes has something to do with economic decisions?
Think again.
MacWorld demos are not what most buyers of Mac products see. Hence, I don't think Steve Jobs will even mildly affect Apple when he retires, shall we say.
Schiller was right that the Apple stores' traffic is monstrously higher than MacWorld, and that visible symbol of Apple & it products is where most new buyers look for products (& certainly the online Apple store).
WWDC is probably the geek show where the 3rd party people will get the motivation and confidence to move on with products that support Apple.
But what about new hardware announcements? Given that Apple will likely announce a half dozen hardware item models/upgrades each year at a minimum, it is easy to see why a once-a-year show doesn't cut it now that Apple is growing, as they may soon have a dozen models a year to announce. They will likely have a "Mini-Mac Show" at Cupertino every month or two, where the press will show for a low cost product intro.
As the Chinese have noted, Change = Opportunity.
Using the iPhone to control your MacBook Keynote presentation is a harbinger of things I could see coming the day the iPhone launched. I immediately thought that the iPhone will spell THE END OF TV REMOTES.
I still think there is a reason for MacWorld, however. Apple could have a perfunctory booth if it wanted, but MacWorld always has been for me a place to see unexpected hardware and applications which I would not otherwise run into, and to be able to get specific information from vendors in a few cases.
The world moves on, no harm no foul!
Companies that do NOT figure out how to keep a large cushion of cash, can NOT put large chunks into development of new technology. With the collusion of all the parties in the unions at the big 3 auto makers, the excess cash was drained out into bennies for the workers, leaving nothing of substance for the companies to work with to weather downturns and technology development (they buy batteries as far as I know, and thus are not out there developing better batteries, or electric motors. Apple, on the other hand, concentrates only on profitable product markets, and has amassed a $20B plus reserve fund to allow it to keep funding R&D and acquisitions even in a recession. The Democrat party, in particular, sought to make sure the unions had enough power to get their way in negotiations, and get large numbers of voters to support the Democrat party candidates, and as such sealed the fate of the auto manufacturers. As such, the "Big 3" are virtually gone. There is so much excess auto production capacity in the automobile world, that the only thing which will make sense is a reduction in the number of plants. That means that one or more companies will go BK. Politicians will not like it, but they can't simply pour money into those failed economic business models forever, or there will be a voter revolution at some point. The alternative is to shove $100-$200 Billion into all 3 companies, Ford, GM & Chrysler, and hope they can both pay the unions big $s and innovate their way into the future. I do NOT think this will work. The whole mindset of entitlement that exists in the Detroit area from the Big 3 management, Unions & political leaders is unsustainable. There is no such thing as "entitlement". You either make a profit, and develop long term solutions out of that profit, or you fail. It is obvious where this who auto thing is going, and unless some serious recognition ocurrs along with a "bailout" they will fail anyway.
It is possible to file a document with prior art you have found to challenge an issued patent for a small filing fee to the US Patent & Trademark office.
ANY teacher who is ignorant of Linux, has ceased to LEARN, even a smidgen of an overview of what has been going on for over a decade in computing as reported constantly by the media.
And by media, I mean the tech sections of magazines and newspapers and then just overview sites on the web, ala Wired & Technology Review amongst hundreds and hundreds of sources.
This is what has happened to our schools, sadly.
Home remedies, hot "stuff", xyz "vitamins", doctor "recommended" is little more than what was called "snake oil" when I was young. Quite a few studies showing harm from vitamins in people have popped up recently.
Hence, I wouldn't "recommend" anything that can't or hasn't been proven in the self medication arena.
On that thought, there are easily a dozen common things that are known to cause brain rot. You can name them, and most could be self-avoided.
Surveys have shown that around 50% of hospital admissions are due to self-imposed conditions as a way of putting that.
What is left to help? Good food, good company, stimulating avocation & good exercise, which may be most important of all. Elderly people who don't move much deteriorate far more quickly than those that do physical tasks and/or exercise each day.
Where is it on this earth where governments are going to play their proper role in making sure the playing field is level and participants are not deceived?
Government's roles are to provide rule of law, not bending of laws, & adherence to meanings of words, not redefining them in advertising to suit a malicious manager.
I figured I would read it first and then click OK (knowing I couldn't understand it all).
After about 15-20 minutes I realized their server had timed me out & I lost my connection to their server.
Never tried again after that.
...along with Public-Private Key.
Yup, lots of work.
It does stop NON-HUMANS.
Then my computer, car, home and business can open for me without keys or captchas.
Yeah, there has to be smarts to eliminate photos. Not hard with a living person.
Everyone who does anything gets scanned. Your scan matches or it doesn't.
You can state that the materials can be reproduced as long as the copyright note is maintained showing authorship.
People who want to know and those who have to know to make their work better will take the arrows and learn early and figure out how best to use them ... or not.
That is just the way it always is.
I will get one/them, hammer them and know what I can do early on.
IP comes in a lot of forms including trade secrets, customer database, brand names, trademarks, copyrights & patents, but it is real, and it is the job of every company to maximize its value for shareholders.
If you basically don't go along with the concept of creating shareholder value, then you don't belong in the private sector, where employees must remain committed to contributing to the formation of a better and ultimately more valuable company, which ultimately provides more benefits for the employees that support the company.
Have you actually listed all the things Gates and Balmer promised to deliver?
"Industrial Strength Computing" on the desktop was promised for Window in the early 90s, plus at least a dozen other "revelations" from El-Presedente.
How many have even come close to what was promised (Longhorn, Zune)?
Why does anyone believe ANYTHING that comes out of Balmer's mouth?
I know some want to believe, but I think Microsoft would be better to announce things after they are developed. Whoa, wait, Balmer just announced he is going to emulate Apple by concentrating on the 'whole user experience'.
Sheesh!
Come on now. If a bad ass programmer wants either fun or profit he can put in an exploit which can act as a back door. If it isn't caught, he can later decide to use it one way or another.
How about some serious automated debugging routines, known error and bug checks that are documented and a mandatory human based coding review in a systematic way that tells a how well the coding is being done from the start.
Ahem...I misstated in a FireWire flash key. Indeed you need to use a USB key on the MacBook Air.
FireWire Flash key is used on my Mac Book Pro.
With a half pound more and a FireWire flash key (from Micromat) you can boot the MacBook Air with reliability & speed and a 13" screen, and an internal hard drive to use however you want (encrypted data or take it out).
There are new things coming and I think these options are good.
That is where nuclear waste ought to be buried.
Yup, I know it wouldn't be easy, but it would be "permanent".
I think Mid-Tech items will lead to transformations, where the scientific & engineering leaps get commercialized without consumers being aware of the technology...unless they watch TED, read Slashdot and scientific and engineering journals.
Small & micro sensors and imagers integrated into new devices in unique ways & often operating wirelessly and autonomously use "HIGH TECH" but are easy to miss. They put an incredible amount of knowledge on top of the micro-sized sensing, letting even common devices do what would be almost unthinkable 10 years back.
As noted above, "Not that I think there is no place for research into new pharmaceuticals and microchips and superconductors etc, but they will bring, at this stage in our history, incremental gains to welfare, and only for the rich.", I think history has shown that technology has increased the birth rate in the world dramatically, along with the lifespan of people in almost all countries. Whether that is "good" or not depends on how you define "good".
Birth rate leads to other "problems" though, until better food production is developed, & then the final issue when countries can't figure out what to do with unemployed youth that begin to dominate their country. That occurs when about 40% of the population of Iran is 15-29, and unemployment of men is very high because those countries can't generate jobs fast enough. Unemployed youth in underdeveloped countries = war and insurrection.
Right now European & Japanese cultures are committing self-genocide with birth rates that have collapsed. Population bulges of youth in Africa & the Mid-East are "an issue".
Maybe the biggest technology surprise will be whatever allows developing countries to put their underemployed youth to work productively? But then maybe that just leads to, well, another population boom of larger proportions. Then again, they could become wealthier and drop their birth rate like "modern westernized" countries.
Isn't this just what foreign governments would love to have to manipulate, say, our armed forces?
DOESN'T QUALIFY: I've been to the JPL open houses and discussed the tin whisker problems and looked at the photomicrographs and JPL has been designing spacecraft circuitry with an eye to avoiding this problem for a long time.
Anyone who doesn't know about this is not in the military electronics or satellite business.
Applies not only to anyone using a personal computer, but to companies, ICANN & others who "oversee" the Internet structure who should have been creating new structures to prevent these sort of things proliferating. It is not just drugs but a never-ending blast of promos. It is not like we haven't seen this coming for years. Where are the responsible ISPs, who should literally shut off any personal computer that is sending spam? Doing that alone, and dialing out China, Russia and others on email programs would severely limit the ability of these nogoods to do their work. Microsoft is part of the blame here. I still have a friend who's HP computer at home is buzzing with activity from a Bot (3 kids in the family), sometimes taking 70-80% of his CPU cycles. He knows he is infected. Why won't he reinstall the OS? He doesn't know how, and figures he would be in for days of work, and if he can't do it, he will just have to fork out for a new desktop. Intertia, fear, loathing, and no fear of retribution for running a bot compromised CPU are behind his activities. All the same things ICANN, Microsoft, ISPs, and others seem to have in abundance. Sheesh.