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User: ShanghaiBill

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  1. Re:Union on Amazon Workers Facing Firing Can Appeal To a Jury of Their Co-Workers (bloomberg.com) · · Score: 4, Informative

    So the odds of anyone surviving the performance improvement plan are likely fairly low.

    My experience is that people never survive the "improvement plan". If they were too incompetent to do their job before, that is not going to change. If they just lack motivation and effort, that is going to get even worse.

    The "probation period" is mainly a way to may the firing process less psychologically stressful for the manager. Most managers do not like firing people and tend to delay the process beyond the best interests of the company.

  2. Re:Maybe there's a twist? on Amazon Workers Facing Firing Can Appeal To a Jury of Their Co-Workers (bloomberg.com) · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Isn't that about the same as forced arbitration?

    Not really. You can lose in arbitration. But she can't lose in this process. She has three choices. If she chooses the 3rd, and the "jury" votes against her, she can still go back to option 1 or 2. So if she wants to keep her job, picking option 3 is a no-brainer.

    However, I have found that when people are fired for cause, their co-workers are generally not very sympathetic. Peers are usually more aware than management of who is deadweight. Often the prevailing sentiment is "What took so long?"

  3. Re:Training is not AI on OpenAI Built Gaming Bots That Can Work As a Team With Inhuman Precision (qz.com) · · Score: 0

    An intelligence is self emerging, it knows what to do without training. Having to train something means it is not intelligence, so by extension not an artificial intelligence.

    From TFA: The bots learn from self-play ...

    No human told the bot what to do. It "trained" by playing against itself.

  4. Re:IBM acquires companies, fires acquired employee on Layoffs at Watson Health Reveal IBM's Problem with AI (ieee.org) · · Score: 2

    ... and chasing plastic surgery patients ...

    It is ironic that you mention cosmetic medicine as a reason for runaway costs. Actually, the opposite is true. Cosmetic medicine is one area that has NOT seen costs skyrocket, and for many treatments prices have declined. The reason is that cosmetic treatments are generally not covered by insurance so patients are paying out of their own pocket. Prices are listed upfront, and the prices are often openly published in advertisements, something that is not done in almost any other area of medicine. It is one of the few areas of healthcare with a functioning free and competitive market.

    Another area that has seen dramatic declines is corrective vision treatments. I paid $3000 for LASIK back in 1999. Today, the same clinic charges $299 per eye. This is another area generally not covered by insurance, and with upfront pricing.

  5. Re:And why talk about it? on Layoffs at Watson Health Reveal IBM's Problem with AI (ieee.org) · · Score: 1

    What possible benefit could there be to talk to the media about this?

    Humans are social creatures. They have a need to talk, interact, and solicit empathy, especially when undergoing stressful changes, such as losing a job.

    What possible benefit could there be to posting on Slashdot? Yet you are doing it.

  6. Re:IBM acquires companies, fires acquired employee on Layoffs at Watson Health Reveal IBM's Problem with AI (ieee.org) · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The problem is that they focused on the wrong industry. Healthcare in America is bloated and inefficient at 18% of the economy, double any other country. But, while many other industries are "bottom heavy" with plenty of powerless assembly line workers or clerks whose jobs can be automated away or shipped overseas, healthcare is "top heavy" with a vast number of professionals represented by powerful organizations.

    Decades ago it was obvious that many doctors could be replaced, since a nurse using a paper checklist could diagnose with the same accuracy. This is exactly what was done in many countries, with nurses or PAs handling the routine cases, while referring the difficult cases to MDs. But in America, we instead got an institutional resistance to any reform that could reduce profits. There are no incentives for doctors, or patients, or insurance companies to control costs. It is no surprise that IBM was not able to change this. What is surprising is that they thought they could.

  7. Guys like the poster think that is going to continue forever. But it won't (and hasn't).

    Nobody said it will "continue forever". He just said it is not dead yet, and it isn't. Single thread CPU speed has stalled, but transistor density is still increasing.

    Why do you have so much invested in insisting that "Moore's Law is dead" anyway? You go to every discussion about this topic and post the same nonsense over and over. You do the same thing in every discussion about AI or machine learning, insisting that AI isn't "real" because it doesn't match what you see in the movies. Maybe you should see a psychiatrist and find out what is driving your weird obsessions.

  8. It won't die, but it will need to find new markets in order to continue growing like investors demand.

    Intel has a PE below 15. The S&P average is over 25. So investors aren't expecting much growth.

  9. Guys like you are delusional and think that CPUs are continually going to get faster and faster.

    Moore's Law does not say CPUs will get "faster", only that transistor density will increase.

  10. Wouldn't a gun bring an insurmountable amount of the sound sensitive animals to an area?

    The animals/aliens have armor that bullets don't penetrate.

    Haven't actually seen it

    It is a good movie. Some movies are ruined by silly dialog, but A Quiet Place has no dialog (other than a few whispers).

  11. Re:Doomed business on MoviePass is Going To Start Charging More For Popular Movies Next Month (qz.com) · · Score: 1

    Sometimes, in order to grow a business to a sustainable level, some losses must be taken.

    That makes sense when you are losing money on fixed capital expenses and overhead, which are reduced as a fraction of expenses as you scale up. As Tesla scales from 1000 cars a week to 5000, their revenue goes up 400% while their expenses go up far less.

    But for MoviePass, their capital investment is negligible, and there is little overhead. They are simply losing money on nearly every customer. "Scale" does not benefit them in any way other than increasing the bleeding.

  12. Re:The real issue: on WHO Gaming Disorder Listing a 'Moral Panic', Say Experts (bbc.com) · · Score: 1

    I wouldn't allow my 25 year old kid to play out that game if I felt that they weren't fully capable of knowing the difference between a game and real life.

    A two year old knows that pixels on a screen are not real life.

    If GTA was really as harmful as you claim, there would be evidence to support your claim. There isn't.

    Since computer games became widespread, youth crime has DECLINED DRAMATICALLY. So there is no broad correlation. Specific studies have failed to find any causal effect.

    Proper parents know and practice evidence based reasoning. So should you.

  13. Re:Great business decision.... on Warner Bros Is Cracking Down On Harry Potter Festivals (apnews.com) · · Score: 1

    am I infringing on the use of their Snow White trademark if my Snow White looks nothing like the Disney Snow White?

    No. Disney does not have a universal trademark on the phrase "Snow White", since it was already in the public domain long before Walt was even born. They have a narrow trademark on a particular depiction and use of the phrase and character.

    Disclaimer: If you are actually planning to make such a book/play/movie, you might want to get a second opinion before proceeding.

  14. Re:And when they are right? on Think Your Body Is Infested With Insects? You're Not Alone. (nationalgeographic.com) · · Score: 2

    Approximately 50% to 70% of adults have eyelash mites.

  15. Re:The real issue: on WHO Gaming Disorder Listing a 'Moral Panic', Say Experts (bbc.com) · · Score: 5, Insightful

    When children play role-playing games, they aren't learning about real life.

    Children also are not learning about real life when they listen to pop music, watch sitcoms on TV, or play with Legos. Nothing in real life is as simple and logical as Legos.

    Most children don't have fully competent parents, apparently.

    Competent parents don't join in moral panics. There is no evidence that video games are particularly harmful. I use "positive parenting", so my kids have a list of required things (homework, chores, enrichment activities) and not a list of prohibited things. Their free time is their own.

  16. Re: Great business decision.... on Warner Bros Is Cracking Down On Harry Potter Festivals (apnews.com) · · Score: 2

    People also associate Harley Davidson motorcycles with bikie gangs

    A Harley bike gang rented my house on Airbnb. When they left, it was spotlessly clean, they cleaned and folded all the sheets and towels, and they left me a five star review.

  17. Re:Great business decision.... on Warner Bros Is Cracking Down On Harry Potter Festivals (apnews.com) · · Score: 5, Interesting

    They could also "defend" it by offering an inexpensive licensing deal for small festivals.

    Disney does this for school plays. For a small fee you get scripts, rent-a-costumes, and plans for props for "Show White", "Cinderella", "Beauty and the Beast", etc.

    Disclaimer: Yes, I am aware that these stories are centuries old, and Disney does not actually own them. But they do own trademarks for many of the characters, and people are far more familiar with the Disneyfied version of these stories than the originals, which tend to be darker and more violent.

  18. Re:Great business decision.... on Warner Bros Is Cracking Down On Harry Potter Festivals (apnews.com) · · Score: 1

    Honest question - do you have examples of this happening? I'd be interested in reading about it.

    List of lost trademarks

    Most of the trademarks on this list were lost through dilution or genericization. But some, such as "Asprin" and "Heroin" were confiscated from German companies in the aftermath of WW1.

  19. Re:Great business decision.... on Warner Bros Is Cracking Down On Harry Potter Festivals (apnews.com) · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You missed his point: you don't dilute a trademark by using it for the trademarked product.

    You missed the point: The trademark is being used for OTHER PRODUCTS. Specifically, a commercial festival that is not endorsed or affiliated with the owner of the trademark.

  20. Re:Great business decision.... on Warner Bros Is Cracking Down On Harry Potter Festivals (apnews.com) · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Nomative use is not considered to dilute a trademark.

    Except that is not what is happening. These "fan festivals" charge fees, sell merchandise, are promoted with paid advertising, and are clearly commercial activities.

    It is disingenuous to spin this as WB cracking down on kids playing in their backyard.

  21. Re:Natives and Gypsies on Can Two Injections of Tuberculosis Vaccine Cure Diabetes? (fortune.com) · · Score: 1

    Native tribes and gypsies are not known for excessive cleanliness. So the germophobia link is likely pure BS.

    The Native Americans get Type 2. The lack of germs causes Type 1.

  22. Tesla calls it an "autopilot". "Auto=automatic". So its all automatic.

    That changes nothing because all cars are "auto"mobiles. And in Germany, the "auto"mobiles drive on the "Auto"bahn.

    So everyone already believes cars don't need to be driven ... or perhaps people aren't as stupid as you think they are.

    Number of Tesla drivers who have claimed an accident wasn't their fault because they thought they didn't need to drive the car: 0.

  23. Re:Liability... on Tesla Autopilot Safety Defeat Device Gets a Cease-and-Desist From NHTSA (autoblog.com) · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think the answer is for the goddam artificial intelligence to be fucking intelligent.

    Until then, don't beta test the goddam thing in production.

    Get some perspective. 3000 people a day die in human caused traffic accidents worldwide. If by rolling out Autopilot and collecting real world data, they bring forward the transition to SDCs by even a single day, they will have saved a thousand lives for every one lost in beta testing.

    This is the same as The Trolley Problem, except instead of throwing the switch to save five by sacrificing one, we save thousands, or perhaps tens or hundreds of thousands.

    The needs of the many out weigh the needs of the few.

  24. Re:Big Pharma might not allow it on Can Two Injections of Tuberculosis Vaccine Cure Diabetes? (fortune.com) · · Score: 4, Informative

    I suspect this might be a flaw in the free market solves all ills school of thought...

    You might want to pay more attention to that school of thought. A "free market" is a market with full transparency of information, and no barriers to entry for either sellers or buyers.

    Medicine has huge barriers to competition, and buyers have almost no information, since doctors don't post prices and often don't even reveal them at the time of delivery. Buyers also have little ability to compare providers for quality. Even review sites like Yelp tell you far more about the rude receptionist than the outcome of the treatments. Furthermore, the "buyer" is insulated from the price, and usually only pays indirectly through their insurance company.

    Healthcare in America is about as far as you can get from a free market. Perhaps this is an area where socialism actually makes sense, but we could do it with no net increase in government by de-socializing tasks the free market can do just fine, like package delivery.

  25. Re:Type 2 help? on Can Two Injections of Tuberculosis Vaccine Cure Diabetes? (fortune.com) · · Score: 1

    A few years ago the same thing could have been said about type 1.

    I don't think so. It is widely accepted that early stimulation of the immune system can head off autoimmune disorders, including Type 1 diabetes. The only thing new here is that the stimulation occurred when the patients were older.

    But Type 2 is not an autoimmune disorder, so there is no known mechanism for stimulation of the immune system to have any effect, and no evidence that it does.