Instead of DVD rentals there's gonna be a new distribution medium for renting films. It's gonna be some sort of NVRAM and allow you to watch the film once over the course of say an hour longer than the film. This will let you pause for mugbus or whatever. The box with the NVRAM will be reset by the video store when you take it back. You won't need a player because the box will do the playing. It's only gonna have a output connector and the movie store will need a specialized bit of hardware to reload the boxes through this connector. It's sort of a one way valve at your end or perhaps it might have two one way valves. One for loading and one for watching. What's the output gonna look like. Well the HDTV folks have already succeeded in fixing the landscape so that it's damn near impossible to record the broadcast and cable stuff. So, the video box will put out an HDTV RF signal that sits on one of the cable channels, or at baseband if that's popular for HDTV(I don't know what with no more than a 13" and rabbit ears).
It's a no-brainer to get into the market place. Just make the films available on the box a couple of weeks ahead of any other home playable media.
The biometric things a dead end because it means either new players now and new players later for HD rentals or waiting until later. The market place won't accept new, non-HD players at this time so it's wait. If it's wait, then why not something totally different?
does a great job with WiFi reception from a km away.
It's radio. It's not held back by windows. The 'good stuff' happens in the 'big guys' office. His office is high in the building with the nice view. The view goes both ways. The new Athlon 64 box is damn fast!
No mandate that FOSS originate in China! No mandate that NGO or citizens must buy home grown software.
Only the requirement that, 'outside' software firms, selling to the Chinese government, must meet the 51% Chinese citizen ownership rule that is already a defacto requirement for almost any company wishing to set up manufacturing in China. On the face of it, China's rules are still less restrictive for software than for say noodles, dildo's or 'possum farmers.
An email address is, well an email address. It's a bit of data. Displaying it, parsing it, sorting it, messing around with pointers to it, keying it to a pointer to other information that's related to it, hashing it, putting it in a fancy database, assigning it to a variable, calling it monkey brain soup, I just don't get the patent.
Perhaps because I do not understand what an 'object' is or what makes it so special. I always thought an object was just a variable that one decided would hold a certain sort of data, or pointer to a certain sort of data.
I'm serious here, I've just never been able to get my brain lump wrapped around the concept of an 'object' in programming.
If one of you guys who is adept at concise lucid explanations of programming stuff would help me out here...
It's gonna be just like Donald Sutherland in Invasion of the Body Snatchers, when the last fool you thought had bought into such idiotic corporate drivel points at you and screams, "DeBeers".
Man made beer is better than natural beer. Man made bread is better than natural bread. Man made acid is better than ergot extract. Man made shoes are better than tying dead possums to you feet with some mulberry bark.
Back before they instituted minimum cabin pressure requirements for commercial airliners I flew LA-Sydney in a 747SP at 45,000 feet(cabin altitide 10,000 feet). Let me tell you, it's pretty cool. In the middle of the day, the sky is dark and the horizing had a LOT of curve to it. Thank you Pan Am
it's not about controlling copyright infringing P2P as it exists today.
it's about controlling the right to control distributed distribution of your own damn stuff!
eventually, the broadcast to consumer model of media distribution is going by the wayside. it will be replaced by artist to audience distribution over a distributed network of nodes whuch is run by the audience.
If an artist chooses to limit the distribution of his work to a 'paying' audience, he's gonna need some tool or other. if the tool is patented, then he's back in the 'pay some asshole' mode he's stuck with now.
Imagine that. A patent to make it more difficult for someone to profit from his copyright!
back in the 1800's there was a period of solar activity that was so extreme that aurora was seen in the Carribean and telegraph operators had to disconnect or reverse their batteries!
"all the input and output going into the brain should be able to be intercepted and controlled. By doing that, a person could be transplanted into any artificial body desired"
I disagree. That rapid and total integration of electro-mechanical prosthetics into the 'self' has been observed, coupled with the whole self awareness thing being something that is learned through interaction with the environment, suggests ratehr strongly that there will be no distinction between an electronic or bio replacement for learning-memory function and personal awareness 'location'. If you buy into the 'brain as an organ, self awareness is the brain doing what the brain does' view of human physiology, than it's a logical consequence that the mind exists where the mind happens.
in texas, just like everywhere else, there is the law, the interpretation of the law, and the enforcement of the law
the speed limit remains, not for your safety and not to serve some 'ideal' of the law, but because it puts the law enforcement people in control and keeps them there. It allows them to circumvent other 'laws' that protect your right in the name of safety.
Cops don't enforce the speed limit on the open empty road. They use the speed limit because it gives them discretion and control over who they can stop and search. The maority is allowed to speed merrily along while the kid from Florida, or the van load of Mexicans can be 'legally' pulled over and searched in the name of enforsing the speed limit.
It's the huge fear of losing control over distribution. Without control of distribution on one side, there can be no control of artists on the other. It's the frigging middle man getting squeezed out of the picture and fighting for his life scenario.
Wake up folks. It's not about their stuff, it's abotu your freedom. Why the hell do you think you don't have enough upstream bandwidth to support an ad-hoc, real time distributed distribution system?
I'll tell you. Because the TeeVee, radio, and theatre middle men would become extinct....The artists? They'd thrive because the demand for material is independent of the mode of distribution.
1)TSA agents aren't allowed to squeeze breasts. 2)Some breast implants can be installed and thenenlarged over time by injecting additional saline solution 3)The chemicals required to make nitroglycerin are freely available and here's the recipe.
Give me a break! It's more $ down the rathole is ALL it is.
You want to take out an airliner? Pick a plane flying into HongKong and bribe a baggage handler to pour a jug of olive oil on the brakes.
Hire some Nigerian heroin mules and substitute explosives in the condoms they swallow.
Ship a large dog with 20lb of dynamite surgically implanted.
comes from the broadcast mindset. "We are in control, you will consume."
You want a revolution the likes of which will blow away the $ figures of the early dot bomb era?
Increase the frigging upload speeds.
With 5mbit up, 'distributed distribution' becomes practical. Everyone will be able to relay multiple channels and a cornucopia of virtual of virtual networks will evolve.
You want your friggin inflection Cringer? It's the congruence of cheap, quality, direct to video recording coupled with inexpensive editing tools. It's TV by and for the masses.
Right now there's a smattering of porn and music swapping going on but the friggin upstream bandwidth limitations have a stranglehold on the emergence of distributed video networks. Imagine when you can make a 'film' of something that interests you, distribute it for FREE(well for $50/month) to those who would are interested. It's the WWW all over again but in video!
I am working on an novel approach to making the offerings easy to find, in the transition, but in the end, when bidirectional high speed access is available, the TIVO model will work best. A sort of AI that looks for stuff that's liek what you like.
No, everyone won't become an author, director, or producer, but the stuff will have a route to viewers.
MPAA and those who control distribution are fear this day like the fucking plague. That's why we are seeing consolidation of IP traffic control with those who wish to control distribution, Namely the cable companies and the telcos. They are of the broadcast mindset. An acto of congress would change the whole paradigm of video distribution but it would not put these A$$holes out of business. They just don't see it. Hell, the slick, LCD based, vdeo will always hold the largest audience. But, it will have to be a hell of a lot better than it is now, to compete with what could be...
Don;t tell me it's a technological problem, I KNOW how DOCSIS 2 works and the costs involved. The problem is FEAR of losing control on behalf of...
Well I already said that.
Googles cache? Well if they can handle the bandwidth, they are on the right track, and I agree with Mr Cringle. Otherwise, it's just so much fluff and IMO there is no way they can generate the return to pay for it in a few to many network.
1)Rent server space in USA or other country where folks may speak their minds.
2)Boot Knoppix on the local machine and SSH to the server.
Can boot from CDROM, USB device, floppy to bootstrap parallel port connected device. Floppy to boot from some other server out on the internet. It's probably not a good idea to boot from where they publish;-)
"Dr. Phatak's dream is to see a resurgent India catching up with the world using Information Technology as the spring board. He hopes to make IT work for the millions of Indians so as to enable them to lead an honorable, comfortable and peaceful life full of love and harmony."
But best of all, under P^2's 'hobbies': " Giving unsolicited advice to unsuspecting individuals and groups."
best results will acrue if early anti-drug propaganda is emulated
just like marijuana and LSD you want to tell the kids MS is BAD for them through saturation advertising. to illustrate HOW bad it is, show them films of happy, laughing, zoned out, windows heads with the occasional BSOD accompanied by scary organ music, frowns, gnashing of teeth, and fork in the eye action by the formerly gleeful windows heads.
FOr the real HARD CORE MS stuff like Office, borrow from the anti-LSD propaganda. SHow them all the beautiful things one can do with Office and then bring in the organ again to accompany a 'file not found' error and forks in BOTH eyes.
Just like the drug propaganda, the kids who don't know about MS products will become aware. They'll pay attention because it's supposed to be BAD for them. They'll get off on all the psychedelics and won't believe that such things as BSOD and 'file not found' could possibly exist. From their POV it's 'don't do this kids' PROPAANDA after all and the BAD stuff hasn't happened to anyone they know.
natural language interface so they don't have to glom a bunch of buttons and a big display on it!
Other than the excellent styling of the ipod (not shared by the mini, (that was a boner move, not using the same deziner, stevie) IMO, it's not all that innovative, in and of itself.
The killer product is the shuffle. I don't know a kid out there who doesn't love the shuffle's elegence of execution and utility. Let's see Mr Bill put a cell phone in that puppy and sell it for $99.
Failure doesn't cost much. Considering this, the return in terms of the percentage who take the risk is much smaller for youth than for older experienced doods. It's only natural, they haven't had the experience.
Paul misses the boat big time though. The boat load of older experienced doods who can't afford to take the risk carries a hell of a lot more talent and ability. It was hined by the attempts when failure didn't mean no college money for the kids, no insurance for the family, and no money to pay the taxes on the house.
The company that frets over missing the brilliant youth and focuses on catching the next one is not so much different than the compulsive gambler who always makes the high stakes bet.
What companies should focus on is removing the risk associated with failure for those employees who want to try something new and different. It's go to be hell to sell the boss on a good idea and then get your ass fired when it doesn't pan out.
you know, build themselves, grind up their own dead bodies, recycle the materials obtaining additional as neede through exploration, mining, processing, and collect the energy required to do this, I'm not impressed.
Hell, a fire can build copies of itself all day long, as long as someone keeps giving it the materials it needs.
pan out if copyright were done away with completely. But that's not gonna happen.
So, creator retains and good for 50 years or lifetime whichever is longer. If death prior to 50 years, balance goes to estate. Copyright can not be sold, only licensed.
As far as terms of use, that would be entirely up to the copyright holder. Holder defines fair use. Holder defines conditions on reproduction. Holder can not change terms after the fact for copies distributed under prior terms. The market will sort things out.
As for sales of material, from a consumers POV, I would be very happy with a pay once scheme. If my media becomes degraded or the technology changes, I do not like having to purchase the same material a second or third time. I strongly suspect that this is how things would evolve if left up to the market. The guy who sells me the right to enjoy his material will have a much easier sale if I know I have purchased my copy, once and for all.
Because India has such a large, rural, near subsistance level population while the USA is dominated by 'middle class' the per capita GDP numbers in the USA are much closer to middle class income levels than per capita GDP numbers in India are to middle class income in India.
If look only at middle class salaries the percentage of income required to purchase one of these PeeCees is a good bit less than your analysis suggests. Also you have to consider cultural and economic differences between the USA and India. Comparing a single items cost is meaningless. The comparison has to be in the context of personal spending priorities.
India is much more complex and interesting than the page in the CIA factbook might relate.
Slashdot Mirror
No, here is what's gonna happen.
Instead of DVD rentals there's gonna be a new distribution medium for renting films. It's gonna be some sort of NVRAM and allow you to watch the film once over the course of say an hour longer than the film. This will let you pause for mugbus or whatever. The box with the NVRAM will be reset by the video store when you take it back. You won't need a player because the box will do the playing. It's only gonna have a output connector and the movie store will need a specialized bit of hardware to reload the boxes through this connector. It's sort of a one way valve at your end or perhaps it might have two one way valves. One for loading and one for watching. What's the output gonna look like. Well the HDTV folks have already succeeded in fixing the landscape so that it's damn near impossible to record the broadcast and cable stuff. So, the video box will put out an HDTV RF signal that sits on one of the cable channels, or at baseband if that's popular for HDTV(I don't know what with no more than a 13" and rabbit ears).
It's a no-brainer to get into the market place. Just make the films available on the box a couple of weeks ahead of any other home playable media.
The biometric things a dead end because it means either new players now and new players later for HD rentals or waiting until later. The market place won't accept new, non-HD players at this time so it's wait. If it's wait, then why not something totally different?
AFAIK I am not allowed to export goods from the USA if I know they will end up in Cuba. So what loophole does Mr. Softie exploit?
"Adrian David Cheok".
Reporter Lakshmi should really appreciate the additional 'touch' capability!
does a great job with WiFi reception from a km away.
It's radio. It's not held back by windows. The 'good stuff' happens in the 'big guys' office. His office is high in the building with the nice view. The view goes both ways. The new Athlon 64 box is damn fast!
Now all I need is some surplus 'camo' paint.
No mandate that FOSS originate in China! No mandate that NGO or citizens must buy home grown software.
Only the requirement that, 'outside' software firms, selling to the Chinese government, must meet the 51% Chinese citizen ownership rule that is already a defacto requirement for almost any company wishing to set up manufacturing in China. On the face of it, China's rules are still less restrictive for software than for say noodles, dildo's or 'possum farmers.
An email address is, well an email address.
It's a bit of data.
Displaying it, parsing it, sorting it, messing around with pointers to it, keying it to a pointer to other information that's related to it, hashing it, putting it in a fancy database, assigning it to a variable, calling it monkey brain soup, I just don't get the patent.
Perhaps because I do not understand what an 'object' is or what makes it so special. I always thought an object was just a variable that one decided would hold a certain sort of data, or pointer to a certain sort of data.
I'm serious here, I've just never been able to get my brain lump wrapped around the concept of an 'object' in programming.
If one of you guys who is adept at concise lucid explanations of programming stuff would help me out here...
It's gonna be just like Donald Sutherland in Invasion of the Body Snatchers, when the last fool you thought had bought into such idiotic corporate drivel points at you and screams, "DeBeers".
Man made beer is better than natural beer.
Man made bread is better than natural bread.
Man made acid is better than ergot extract.
Man made shoes are better than tying dead possums to you feet with some mulberry bark.
Back before they instituted minimum cabin pressure requirements for commercial airliners I flew LA-Sydney in a 747SP at 45,000 feet(cabin altitide 10,000 feet). Let me tell you, it's pretty cool. In the middle of the day, the sky is dark and the horizing had a LOT of curve to it. Thank you Pan Am
So, if you can do the balloon thing, GO FOR IT!
wake up and smell the horseshit!
it's not about controlling copyright infringing P2P as it exists today.
it's about controlling the right to control distributed distribution of your own damn stuff!
eventually, the broadcast to consumer model of media distribution is going by the wayside. it will be replaced by artist to audience distribution over a distributed network of nodes whuch is run by the audience.
If an artist chooses to limit the distribution of his work to a 'paying' audience, he's gonna need some tool or other. if the tool is patented, then he's back in the 'pay some asshole' mode he's stuck with now.
Imagine that. A patent to make it more difficult for someone to profit from his copyright!
back in the 1800's there was a period of solar activity that was so extreme that aurora was seen in the Carribean and telegraph operators had to disconnect or reverse their batteries!
is bad on many levels.
Anything with a sauce using chopsticks is proble(leading to typo)matic
I imagine the Pr0n industry has it's own set list...
"all the input and output going into the brain should be able to be intercepted and controlled. By doing that, a person could be transplanted into any artificial body desired"
I disagree.
That rapid and total integration of electro-mechanical prosthetics into the 'self' has been observed, coupled with the whole self awareness thing being something that is learned through interaction with the environment, suggests ratehr strongly that there will be no distinction between an electronic or bio replacement for learning-memory function and personal awareness 'location'. If you buy into the 'brain as an organ, self awareness is the brain doing what the brain does' view of human physiology, than it's a logical consequence that the mind exists where the mind happens.
fucking zero tolerance dweeb...
in texas, just like everywhere else, there is the law, the interpretation of the law, and the enforcement of the law
the speed limit remains, not for your safety and not to serve some 'ideal' of the law, but because it puts the law enforcement people in control and keeps them there. It allows them to circumvent other 'laws' that protect your right in the name of safety.
Cops don't enforce the speed limit on the open empty road. They use the speed limit because it gives them discretion and control over who they can stop and search. The maority is allowed to speed merrily along while the kid from Florida, or the van load of Mexicans can be 'legally' pulled over and searched in the name of enforsing the speed limit.
Jeez dude, wake up!
It's the huge fear of losing control over distribution. Without control of distribution on one side, there can be no control of artists on the other. It's the frigging middle man getting squeezed out of the picture and fighting for his life scenario.
Wake up folks. It's not about their stuff, it's abotu your freedom. Why the hell do you think you don't have enough upstream bandwidth to support an ad-hoc, real time distributed distribution system?
I'll tell you. Because the TeeVee, radio, and theatre middle men would become extinct....The artists? They'd thrive because the demand for material is independent of the mode of distribution.
1)TSA agents aren't allowed to squeeze breasts.
2)Some breast implants can be installed and thenenlarged over time by injecting additional saline solution
3)The chemicals required to make nitroglycerin are freely available and here's the recipe.
Give me a break! It's more $ down the rathole is ALL it is.
You want to take out an airliner? Pick a plane flying into HongKong and bribe a baggage handler to pour a jug of olive oil on the brakes.
Hire some Nigerian heroin mules and substitute explosives in the condoms they swallow.
Ship a large dog with 20lb of dynamite surgically implanted.
comes from the broadcast mindset. "We are in control, you will consume."
...
You want a revolution the likes of which will blow away the $ figures of the early dot bomb era?
Increase the frigging upload speeds.
With 5mbit up, 'distributed distribution' becomes practical. Everyone will be able to relay multiple channels and a cornucopia of virtual of virtual networks will evolve.
You want your friggin inflection Cringer? It's the congruence of cheap, quality, direct to video recording coupled with inexpensive editing tools. It's TV by and for the masses.
Right now there's a smattering of porn and music swapping going on but the friggin upstream bandwidth limitations have a stranglehold on the emergence of distributed video networks. Imagine when you can make a 'film' of something that interests you, distribute it for FREE(well for $50/month) to those who would are interested. It's the WWW all over again but in video!
I am working on an novel approach to making the offerings easy to find, in the transition, but in the end, when bidirectional high speed access is available, the TIVO model will work best. A sort of AI that looks for stuff that's liek what you like.
No, everyone won't become an author, director, or producer, but the stuff will have a route to viewers.
MPAA and those who control distribution are fear this day like the fucking plague. That's why we are seeing consolidation of IP traffic control with those who wish to control distribution, Namely the cable companies and the telcos. They are of the broadcast mindset. An acto of congress would change the whole paradigm of video distribution but it would not put these A$$holes out of business. They just don't see it. Hell, the slick, LCD based, vdeo will always hold the largest audience. But, it will have to be a hell of a lot better than it is now, to compete with what could be...
Don;t tell me it's a technological problem, I KNOW how DOCSIS 2 works and the costs involved. The problem is FEAR of losing control on behalf of
Well I already said that.
Googles cache? Well if they can handle the bandwidth, they are on the right track, and I agree with Mr Cringle. Otherwise, it's just so much fluff and IMO there is no way they can generate the return to pay for it in a few to many network.
1)Rent server space in USA or other country where folks may speak their minds.
;-)
2)Boot Knoppix on the local machine and SSH to the server.
Can boot from CDROM, USB device, floppy to bootstrap parallel port connected device. Floppy to boot from some other server out on the internet. It's probably not a good idea to boot from where they publish
and harmoniously."
/.er...
"Dr. Phatak's dream is to see a resurgent India catching up with the world using Information Technology as the spring board. He hopes to make IT work for the millions of Indians so as to enable them to lead an honorable, comfortable and peaceful life full of love and harmony."
But best of all, under P^2's 'hobbies':
" Giving unsolicited advice to unsuspecting individuals and groups."
He's a natural
as long as this feature is prominantly displayed on the packagfing and all adverts.
yep, get 'em young.
best results will acrue if early anti-drug
propaganda is emulated
just like marijuana and LSD you want to tell the kids MS is BAD for them through saturation advertising. to illustrate HOW bad it is, show them films of happy, laughing, zoned out, windows heads with the occasional BSOD accompanied by scary organ music, frowns, gnashing of teeth, and fork in the eye action by the formerly gleeful windows heads.
FOr the real HARD CORE MS stuff like Office, borrow from the anti-LSD propaganda. SHow them all the beautiful things one can do with Office and then bring in the organ again to accompany a 'file not found' error and forks in BOTH eyes.
Just like the drug propaganda, the kids who don't know about MS products will become aware. They'll pay attention because it's supposed to be BAD for them. They'll get off on all the psychedelics and won't believe that such things as BSOD and 'file not found' could possibly exist. From their POV it's 'don't do this kids' PROPAANDA after all and the BAD stuff hasn't happened to anyone they know.
natural language interface so they don't have to glom a bunch of buttons and a big display on it!
Other than the excellent styling of the ipod (not shared by the mini, (that was a boner move, not using the same deziner, stevie) IMO, it's not all that innovative, in and of itself.
The killer product is the shuffle. I don't know a kid out there who doesn't love the shuffle's elegence of execution and utility. Let's see Mr Bill put a cell phone in that puppy and sell it for $99.
As for youth...
Failure doesn't cost much.
Considering this, the return in terms of the percentage who take the risk is much smaller for youth than for older experienced doods. It's only natural, they haven't had the experience.
Paul misses the boat big time though. The boat load of older experienced doods who can't afford to take the risk carries a hell of a lot more talent and ability. It was hined by the attempts when failure didn't mean no college money for the kids, no insurance for the family, and no money to pay the taxes on the house.
The company that frets over missing the brilliant youth and focuses on catching the next one is not so much different than the compulsive gambler who always makes the high stakes bet.
What companies should focus on is removing the risk associated with failure for those employees who want to try something new and different. It's go to be hell to sell the boss on a good idea and then get your ass fired when it doesn't pan out.
you know, build themselves, grind up their own dead bodies, recycle the materials obtaining additional as neede through exploration, mining, processing, and collect the energy required to do this, I'm not impressed.
Hell, a fire can build copies of itself all day long, as long as someone keeps giving it the materials it needs.
pan out if copyright were done away with completely. But that's not gonna happen.
So, creator retains and good for
50 years or lifetime whichever is longer.
If death prior to 50 years, balance goes to estate.
Copyright can not be sold, only licensed.
As far as terms of use, that would be entirely up to the copyright holder. Holder defines fair use. Holder defines conditions on reproduction. Holder can not change terms after the fact for copies distributed under prior terms. The market will sort things out.
As for sales of material, from a consumers POV, I would be very happy with a pay once scheme. If my media becomes degraded or the technology changes, I do not like having to purchase the same material a second or third time. I strongly suspect that this is how things would evolve if left up to the market. The guy who sells me the right to enjoy his material will have a much easier sale if I know I have purchased my copy, once and for all.
Because India has such a large, rural, near subsistance level population while the USA is dominated by 'middle class' the
per capita GDP numbers in the USA are much closer to middle class income levels than per capita GDP numbers in India are to middle class income in India.
If look only at middle class salaries the percentage of income required to purchase one of these PeeCees is a good bit less than your analysis suggests. Also you have to consider cultural and economic differences between the USA and India. Comparing a single items cost is meaningless. The comparison has to be in the context of personal spending priorities.
India is much more complex and interesting than the page in the CIA factbook might relate.