Out of curiosity, what is your understanding of what Occam's razor really states? Because it can't really be "wrong." All it says is that "all things being equal, the simplest explanation tends to be the right one." (Actually it states that there is to be "no multiplication of entities without necessity," which is, in my opinion, subtly different.)
So when you say it is often wrong do you mean that it is often the case that the simplest explanation tends NOT to be the right one?
And I'm not just singling out the originator of the post to which I'm replying; a lot of posts mentioning Occam's razor seem to be misapplying it. It is not a hard-and-fast rule; more like a rule of thumb.
I think you are referring to "the stinkeroos." From James Gifford's RAH FAQ:
The so-called "stinkeroos" (Heinlein's own term for them) are three short stories, all dating from the first phase of his writing career, prior to World War II. With one exception, they have never been reprinted since their original pulp appearances. Heinlein refused reprint requests and never included them in any of his own collections, and his literary executors continue this policy. It is unlikely that any of them will ever be reprinted.
Depending on how much use you anticipate for the phone, check out TracFone (http://www.tracfone.com/). It's a prepaid plan, but they have pretty simple phones available. Mine is just a phone, no camera or anything. One disclaimer, though: I almost never use my phone, so I end up paying less than $100 per year and am quite satisfied. YMMV.
"The Warren Commission "identified" the individual as Billy Lovelady, a fellow Book Depository employee. (...) Billy Lovelady died of a heart attack Jan 1979."
comes to the conclusion that this may be what Kutaragi wanted all along.
The article I read on this topic yesterday made mention of the fact that Kutaragi had wanted to retire at age 50 (i.e. 6 years ago). Assuming that's true, yeah, this isn't much of a shock...
>Any word if he was an engineering student that may have snapped or anything?
Actually, they're now saying he was an English major. Not that it really matters, I guess.
I guess I should point out before several angry posts are directed my way that I am not taking a stand on either side of this issue (at least, not in this particular discussion). I just want to emphasize that there still are two sides.
Interesting. But it should be pointed out that he states that he was hoping that the documentary would be an opporunity to declare that "the statements at both extremes of the global change debate [are] distasteful." It does sound as though he's not happy with how his view was represented, but that doesn't mean he's firmly in the other camp. Not that you implied this in your post, but just to be complete.
Personally, I found the documentary to be interesting primarily because it highlighted that there does not exist the near-universal agreement on the subject that seems to be assumed.
I posted the link of a Google video URL where this same documentary could be seen. I am unable to verify the link as I am at work, but hopefully it's still good. Actually, I posted it twice, so I think I will refrain from doing it a third time here.:)
So seriously, show me a single professional scientist who says we don't need to do anything to stop global warming,
I posted this link at another point in this thread, but I don't think it can be repeated enough (sorry, but I can't verify the link; hope it's still good):
I don't necessarily buy 100% of the arguments presented in this documentary, but this myth that "everybody" agrees on the cause of gloabl warming needs to be addressed.
Not sure how "550, vs 700 for a PS3" is "about 200 cheaper," either. I mean, I wouldn't ask for exact numbers down to the dollar (don't have a problem with "299+250 = 550," for example), but come on! At some point it stops being an estimate and starts becoming exaggeration.
True, but the alternative would be to have a cable protruding from the user's head. If my choices were a) being totally blind; b) being able to see (to some degree) but having to worry about my vision being possibly interfered with; or c) being able to see (to some degree) but having to worry about getting an infection of or near my brain... I would probably pick b).
How are those counter-arguments? The original poster said that he would be willing to wait if the extra time were taken advantage of. From what I hear, this is not the case with Duke Nukem. Please clarify if I'm misunderstanding your post.
Slashdot Mirror
No, because even for two equal claims, Occam's razor only says the simpler one TENDS to be correct. It is not an absolute statement.
So when you say it is often wrong do you mean that it is often the case that the simplest explanation tends NOT to be the right one?
And I'm not just singling out the originator of the post to which I'm replying; a lot of posts mentioning Occam's razor seem to be misapplying it. It is not a hard-and-fast rule; more like a rule of thumb.
The so-called "stinkeroos" (Heinlein's own term for them) are three short stories, all dating from the first phase of his writing career, prior to World War II. With one exception, they have never been reprinted since their original pulp appearances. Heinlein refused reprint requests and never included them in any of his own collections, and his literary executors continue this policy. It is unlikely that any of them will ever be reprinted.
The stinkeroos are:
"Beyond Doubt" (Astonishing Stories, Apr 1941)
"'My Object All Sublime'" (Future, Feb 1942)
"Pied Piper" (Astonishing, Mar 1942)
Depending on how much use you anticipate for the phone, check out TracFone (http://www.tracfone.com/). It's a prepaid plan, but they have pretty simple phones available. Mine is just a phone, no camera or anything. One disclaimer, though: I almost never use my phone, so I end up paying less than $100 per year and am quite satisfied. YMMV.
It says right under the picture:
"The Warren Commission "identified" the individual as Billy Lovelady, a fellow Book Depository employee. (...) Billy Lovelady died of a heart attack Jan 1979."
The article I read on this topic yesterday made mention of the fact that Kutaragi had wanted to retire at age 50 (i.e. 6 years ago). Assuming that's true, yeah, this isn't much of a shock...
What's weird is that I never even noticed he was an orangutan...
Actually, they're now saying he was an English major. Not that it really matters, I guess.
Sorry, should have previewed.
>Any word if he was an engineering student that may have snapped or anything? Actually, they're now saying he was an English major. Not that it really matters, I guess.
Wow... a FLT joke. Don't see those every day. ;)
I guess I should point out before several angry posts are directed my way that I am not taking a stand on either side of this issue (at least, not in this particular discussion). I just want to emphasize that there still are two sides.
Personally, I found the documentary to be interesting primarily because it highlighted that there does not exist the near-universal agreement on the subject that seems to be assumed.
Shy Gypsy slyly spryly tryst by my crypt
There is no possible way.
I posted this link at another point in this thread, but I don't think it can be repeated enough (sorry, but I can't verify the link; hope it's still good):
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-452066547 4899458831
I don't necessarily buy 100% of the arguments presented in this documentary, but this myth that "everybody" agrees on the cause of gloabl warming needs to be addressed.
Ooh, I'm sorry, but I think this actually disqualifies you from posting here.
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-452066547 4899458831
Sorry, I can't check if the link is still good since I'm now blocked from accessing it at work...
The PS3 actually will cure cancer?
Not sure how "550, vs 700 for a PS3" is "about 200 cheaper," either. I mean, I wouldn't ask for exact numbers down to the dollar (don't have a problem with "299+250 = 550," for example), but come on! At some point it stops being an estimate and starts becoming exaggeration.
Ramen!
True, but the alternative would be to have a cable protruding from the user's head. If my choices were a) being totally blind; b) being able to see (to some degree) but having to worry about my vision being possibly interfered with; or c) being able to see (to some degree) but having to worry about getting an infection of or near my brain... I would probably pick b).
How are those counter-arguments? The original poster said that he would be willing to wait if the extra time were taken advantage of. From what I hear, this is not the case with Duke Nukem. Please clarify if I'm misunderstanding your post.
Considering that most of the PCs I've run into in the past few years don't even have a drive to read them... perhaps it's for the best.
In before jokes that the PS3 won't be around that long!
Woosh!
Sounds like something you might get with a Happy Meal...