I distribute a moderately popular software for windows (simple call recording tool for Skype called Call Graph). But from my stats, only 10 % of my users are on Vista.:)
Only the smaller carriers are ready to embrace the open gardens approach of the internet. The bigger ones, the Vodafone's and Verizon's of the world will still fight tooth and nail to preserve their walled garden. Its their cash cow, and nobody is taking it from them. Not yet.
They will do that only when they see that their subscriber base diminishing. And the data services will not entice users to these one's: the voice services will. The phone is still primarily used for talking, not surfing the web or viewing TV. Over an unmanaged network, VoIP will never be as good as plain old circuit switched voice calls.
The disruption will happen only when a VoIP service arrives which gives you a guarantee of quality. The telcos. know that and they will keep watching till somebody comes up with that killer service.
With Wireless USB http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wireless_USB based on MB-OFDM on the way and backed by big names like Intel, I dont think it stands a chance. The days of proprietary technologies are over. Nobody wants to pay licensing fees anymore.
What they have released is thier wrapper of WebCore and JavScriptCore. The S60 browser UI is still propreitary. Which means that someone wants to change his UI, he'll have to build a new UI himself.
Another point is how are they mixing BSD with LGPL? Is that leagal?
The silicon valley itself will spawn new ones where there is the critical mass of nerds and rich people. Israel and India are the next two destinations. The VCs are smart people. They have sensed the trend.
1) The GSM/GPRS/EDGE baseband needs a specific hardware (eg a digital DSP and a RF). The chipset makers Ti, ADI, etc. have it. But before they allow you to work on it you have to sign up for an NDA!
2) The Protocol Stack itself has to go through an certification process before they can be used on a commercial network. And they are very expensive. The certification process is a business in itself. Its too much of investment required and would be difficult to recover if you make it open source.
3) Any radio device has to go through the approvals process before it be used. And thats expensive as well.
Even if you get past these, the Telcos. will most probably outlaw you. They dont want the hardware to open up and get commoditized. That will disrupt the whole pecking order in the market existing right now.
the second internet will be formed by peer to peer networks which use mesh networking as thier backbone. once mesh networks spread, there will be no role left for the telcos!
Even Sloka is a WiMAX equipment provider (www.slokatelecom.com). And it provides equipment cheaper then Alvarion.
WiMAX has been delyaed because of the politics in the standardisation process. IETF working groups have been plauged by it and is more evident in the MANET group. But if you go by the quote of the major telcos. they are dismissive of it. To my mind, they are also a bit apprehensive. Once the deployment starts, maybe all the telcos will releaise that they need to include it in thier services.
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I distribute a moderately popular software for windows (simple call recording tool for Skype called Call Graph). But from my stats, only 10 % of my users are on Vista. :)
Only the smaller carriers are ready to embrace the open gardens approach of the internet. The bigger ones, the Vodafone's and Verizon's of the world will still fight tooth and nail to preserve their walled garden. Its their cash cow, and nobody is taking it from them. Not yet.
They will do that only when they see that their subscriber base diminishing. And the data services will not entice users to these one's: the voice services will. The phone is still primarily used for talking, not surfing the web or viewing TV. Over an unmanaged network, VoIP will never be as good as plain old circuit switched voice calls.
The disruption will happen only when a VoIP service arrives which gives you a guarantee of quality. The telcos. know that and they will keep watching till somebody comes up with that killer service.
Can it be reflashed? TFA does not mention it. Will the firmware for the baseband and the AGPS be provided along with code?
With Wireless USB http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wireless_USB based on MB-OFDM on the way and backed by big names like Intel, I dont think it stands a chance. The days of proprietary technologies are over. Nobody wants to pay licensing fees anymore.
There goes Flash OFDM. Will it ever see the light of day? Dont think so.
Qualcomm definately missed a trick regarding the standards. The times had changed.
What they have released is thier wrapper of WebCore and JavScriptCore. The S60 browser UI is still propreitary. Which means that someone wants to change his UI, he'll have to build a new UI himself.
Another point is how are they mixing BSD with LGPL? Is that leagal?
The silicon valley itself will spawn new ones where there is the critical mass of nerds and rich people. Israel and India are the next two destinations. The VCs are smart people. They have sensed the trend.
There are few roadblocks for it actually.
1) The GSM/GPRS/EDGE baseband needs a specific hardware (eg a digital DSP and a RF). The chipset makers Ti, ADI, etc. have it. But before they allow you to work on it you have to sign up for an NDA!
2) The Protocol Stack itself has to go through an certification process before they can be used on a commercial network. And they are very expensive. The certification process is a business in itself. Its too much of investment required and would be difficult to recover if you make it open source.
3) Any radio device has to go through the approvals process before it be used. And thats expensive as well.
Even if you get past these, the Telcos. will most probably outlaw you. They dont want the hardware to open up and get commoditized. That will disrupt the whole pecking order in the market existing right now.
you forgot to mention the book publishers :). for an excellent writeup head to
o ving-middleman-part-1.html
http://mobileopportunity.blogspot.com/2006/01/rem
the technology to cancel out interference is already there. in fact, you can use the interference to your benifit!
the second internet will be formed by peer to peer networks which use mesh networking as thier backbone. once mesh networks spread, there will be no role left for the telcos!
how about firefox or lynx on it?
Cisco is prolly thinking about home networking. Its the area every tech. major thinks is the way to acheive the "Third Paradigm". http://witopia.blogspot.com/2006/03/ubicomp-rumina tions.html
Check out what wikipedia has to say about FUD http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FUD#Non-computer_uses
Even Sloka is a WiMAX equipment provider (www.slokatelecom.com). And it provides equipment cheaper then Alvarion. WiMAX has been delyaed because of the politics in the standardisation process. IETF working groups have been plauged by it and is more evident in the MANET group. But if you go by the quote of the major telcos. they are dismissive of it. To my mind, they are also a bit apprehensive. Once the deployment starts, maybe all the telcos will releaise that they need to include it in thier services.
The bandwidth of the wireless services are limited. As more and more users are multiplexed the user experience will deteriorate. WiMAX would be a better solution. http://witopia.blogspot.com/2006/02/mobile-routers .html
does anyone see a parallel?
Its just creating the market for an Open Source DRM! http://witopia.blogspot.com/2006/02/amazing-drm.ht ml
virtual identity? how about combining virtual profiles and blogs. one day once 3D web becomes a reality, the profiles will be your your credit score.
can we load linux on it? Does it support iTunes? Does it have see through functionality. Nah.. i'm not going to be interested.
Does this spell doom for WiMAX? What if noone's really bothered about it? Scary thought.
there are lots of other meaningful uses of mesh networking. http://wifinetnews.com/archives/005910.html look beyond 3G and there are lots of possiblities.