On one hand, such networks allow extremely violent people to create an echo chamber and reinforce one another till some one or the other goes over board.
On the other hand, banning such networks only drives them underground where no one can monitor them, creating an even bigger louder more resonant echo chamber.
If it is possible for such people to openly express their views, however disturbing they might be, while at the same time remove the perverse incentives for others who make money or leverage political power off them it would be better than banning them outright.
But it is very difficult to come up with such a solution where there are so many different players and enforcement is very difficult.
That malicious, evil gyro chose a perfect moment to act up. Just when Elon was pre-occupied with the end of the quarter in Tesla,
Just as Elon was designing a new fail safe gyro and a rocket to take it to the Hubble and a robotic arm mount it, these impatient NASA engineers, with insatiable urge of self promotion, rushed in a fix. If they had simply collected the government salaries and sat on their butts like quiet boys they are supposed to be, anytime now we would have an amazing new gyro, even more amazing telescope repairing rocket and robotic arm. Just the other day the TV reporter on an invited tour caught Elon's laptop registering Orbital Mechanics 101 on line course, and the browser was downloading the SDK from SpaceRobotsRUs.com ! Lost a golden opportunity to advance space science! History will not forgive these short sighted NASA engineers.
First we need to stop thinking of these businesses as job creators. The pizza joint is NOT the job creator. At any given night there are about 200 or 300 people willing to buy pizza nearby, they are the job creators. Demand for goods and services are the job creators. If any pizza joint owner struts around being the job creator, we need to puncture his/her ego. There are enough people with money and resources willing to start a pizza joint, if A balks, let A walk away, there is always someone else willing to start that business and "create" those jobs.
When minimum wage goes up by a buck, the pizza joint owner knows his pay roll is going to up by 2000$ per employee per year. But all the people who buy pizza from him, their income goes up by 2000$ too. At 20$ a sale, if 100 more pizzas per employee get sold per year the payroll increase has been met. This is two additional pizza per week! Instead of asking, "would you pay your employees 1$ more per hour?" if you ask, "Would you like all your customers to get 1$/hr pay increase?" they might answer differently.
But the small business people are extremely cautious. Especially the ones that inherited their business. The ones who started from scratch are less risk averse. The only certainty is the payroll going up. Customers might buy 2 more pizza a week, or they might affluent and go the steak joint once a while and his sales might not go up. So they discount any positive outcome that might happen due to increased purchase power of the customer base, and oppose minimum wage increases.
Small increases, gradually done, automatically going up to account for inflation would be the way to introduce it. Real wages have been declining in America since the 1980s. Slightly higher than inflation adjustment, something like 3 or 4% every year, year after year, would help the economy.
You can infer production rate. That is speculation on your part. Why would they investigate Tesla for your speculation?
It is illegal if they made X cars but reported X+Y cars.
It would be illegal to give an inflated forecast about production rate knowingly. It would be very hard to prove Tesla knew it is going to miss production deadlines and still misrepresented the issue. With all that talk about production hell, and sleeping in the factory etc, they made no effort to conceal the problems they had in production.
Tesla never releases any official production number. It is so tight with information about production. What little it reveals is in the quarterly earnings call. Bloomberg actually built an "estimator" for the production using some crowdsourced info gathering.
It does not release monthly figures, it does not give country wide break up...
That was a claim by Tesla. They did not provide citations.
The last Monroe tear down (the second one where he blasted Tesla for a dumb design of the body, that would cost 2000$ more to manufacture compared to others) said that the battery pack innovations (gluing cells to the wall of the cooling conduits etc) and the fully integrated mother board, and the wiring that allows charge current to be rerouted dynamically, individual cell level monitoring etc are way ahead of the competition.
Last time I saw the plots, battery costs are trending low for all, with about a seven year half life, for all. The curves are parallel. But Tesla is shifted down by a constant amount. Since the curve is very flat, almost horizontal, it gives Tesla a three year lead over others.
Tesla claimed 130$/kWh at pack level and 100$/kWh in the last quarter call. It has suggested breaking the 100$/kWh barrier any time soon. But did not say whether time scale is our time scale or Elon(gated) time scale:-)
The bears have to make a hard choice. They were hoping a cash crunch of debt payment in Q4 2018 and Q1 2019 of about 1.5 billion will choke the company. It was already burning through cash at some prodigal rate in Q1 and Q2. They seem to have miscalculated. Last reports from S3 Partners was that there was some 32 million shares outstanding. Wondering how many covered when the price crashed to 250 and got out with some profits. How many are still holding out waiting for Tesla to go bankrupt.
Elong said Tesla goes 4 miles per kWh, while the competition barely manages 2.6 miles/kWh to 3. (I think he is using Jaguar IPace not Bolt and Leaf). That allows him to get greater range using smaller battery. And Tesla makes batteries cheaper than anyone else (I think about 25% cheaper) that gives Tesla the edge and competitiveness.
Elon also said "I begged the other companies to invest in battery capacity and charging networks" according to some live blogging site. And some thing along the lines of if they make an adapter he will let them use Tesla super chargers. Not sure if he really said that or these guys are putting words in his mouth.
It is so funny Timothy McVeigh believed the Feds had implanced a chip on him and were controlling him. So he went and made a fertilizer bomb and killed 160 people! Now people voluntarily line up to have one implanted!
Well, pretty soon even precocious 10 years olds who could assemble protocol droids in their sparet ime wont be able to build a scanner to find these implants.
Republicans own all the branches of the government. Democrats have absolutely no power to stop anything. Why haven't they made it possible to catch the criminal employers of the illegal immigrants?
I tell why. They want it this way. They want illegal immigrants working for a pittance working the hands to the bone. All the smoke and mirrors about the border wall is to fool the people. The Republicans want illegal immigrants to come in and work for low wages, That is the truth.
Do that. Dont say that anonymously in some website.
Demand politicians to say it and do it. I dont see of the politicians being strong on employer side enforcement. So I conclude it is all vote gathering technique.
It is not a flood coming in indiscriminately. It is people seeking jobs, the way ants seek sugar.
Prosecute the employers, who are criminal by the very act of employing illegal immigrants. Simple civil prosecution, fines, make cost of employing illegal immigrants more expensive than hiring legal immigrants and citizens.
Ahhh. You wont do it. Because these criminals are white and affluent. You would rather fight the weak, poor, people willing work harder than any one for a pittance.
I came in legally. I will remain distinct. At least Latin America is Christian. I am a graven image worshiping heathen/pagan. But legal. 100% naturalized. I intend to exercise ALL rights granted to me under the constitution. Freedom of Expression,. Freedom of Relgion. And yes, second amendment too.
America is a salad bowl, not a melting pot.
English first? Our motto E Pluribus Unum is not English. It is Latin.
Go back, learn about America and then talk to an immigrant like me.
If you dont clean up the sugar spilled on the middle of the floor and spend all your time putting ant shield around the house you would be called an idiot.
But... all the outrage shown by these people against illegal immigration is fake. They want cheap strawberries and cheap fast food and cheap lawn mowing and cheap home construction. If they are really against illegal immigration they will prosecute the employers.
There are two parties committing a crime. And you focus on only one party.
It is illegal to employ an illegal immigrant. There are people who employ them. All your anger seems to be at the illegal immigrant and not the employer.
Logically the employer has a business, and has a lot to lose if prosecuted. Prosecution is civil not criminal. If we spend 10% of the resources spent on the border enforcement on the enforcing the criminal who employs these illegal immigrants, the jobs will vanish and the illegal immigration will stop. Cold.
Just by employing that illegal immigrant the employer becomes criminal. Even if otherwise he/she is running a legitimate business and pays taxes. I am sure you will go through all kinds of justification why the criminal who employs the illegal immigrant should not be prosecuted.
On the other hand, the life is so bad in their home country, the people are willing to risk death crossing hostile countries, criminal gangs, fatal desert to come to USA. You want to deter these people who have nothing to lose. How? How much effort would it take to stop people who are willing to die in an attempt to come here?
Compare that enforcement effort with what it would take to round up the employers, fine them, make the cost of employing illegal immigrant not worth it.
The criminal employers are largely white. Largely affluent. Politically connected. The criminal employees are largely hispanic. Largely poor. Other than the sporadic support from the powerless Democrats they are not much of a political force.
I just report the facts. You decide if you are a racist or not.
T-Mobile was the first one to break the 2 year contract and "free" phone scam of other carriers.
Moto is probably the first to break the forced upgrade by sealed battery, unrepairable designs of cell phones. Pretty soon the reviews will include robustness, reliability, durability, repair costs, total cost of ownership etc. All the other metrics like resolution and features are pretty much common. It has to happen. Glad it has finally happened.
Basically when you install the App, the app gets your unique device id. That ID is trackable all the time.
They can still track you and pelt you with unwanted ads with the knowledge you were dumb enough to install their app at some point in time.
Even if these OSes did not support push notification, they can always make their app call home and update usage stats. When the usage stat is missing for a while they can mark it as uninstalled and pelt you with a different set of ads.
Once you have uninstalled it, the dynamics are different. They have lost you and they can try increasingly difficult and painful techniques and even act maliciously ruining your phone or launch what would be tantamount to denial of service attack. It is like dating a psychopath. Once you get involved there is no way to really get out without serious damage.
More so, you are not thinking what it would take to switch to all-electric. We will need to completely rebuild power grid, we will have to drastically increase power generation capacity (probably natural gas or coal).
The base load on the grid is 33% of the peak capacity. The peak usage is around 900 GW. The base load, the lowest usage happens at night between 10 PM and 6 AM. The usage is 300 GW. There is 600 GW of unused capacity available at night. Let us take out the peaker plants that are started and stopped on demand, these gas turbine power plants out. Using high efficiency steam turbines usually fired by coal or natural gas, they have about 400 GW of capacity unused at night. The electric cars are going to be charged at night. We have the grid capacity to charge even if ALL the cars become electric tomorrow.
An average car puts on about 12,000 miles a year. 1000 miles a month. 35 miles a day. Tesla gives 4 miles/kWh. Bolt, Leaf are more efficient. 9 kWh per car per night. Charging two cars per household is like running an electric coil stove (3 kW) for six hours per night. USA has the grid capacity. All homes have the service connection capacity that can take the load. Airconditioners are more powerful than 3kW. They run for more than six hours during summer afternoons. All the homes in a service area run their A/C simultaneously on summer afternoons. And the grid generation and distribution can take it.
The claim "We dont have the grid capacity to do it" is misinformation. We can disagree on unknowables. But this is simple basic fact. See if you can accept this. If we cant even agree on facts, we are wasting our time talking about other things.
Car making is capital intensive. Capital markets are very conservative and they are quarterly number obsessive. They work slowly and methodically. They know the technology today and design cars based on that. For example, start with "how many HP?", "How much a power train of that power would weigh?", "How much would it cost?", "What would be its MPG rating?" "How much would it sell for?" , adjust numbers iterate and finish with specs. Then take two years to do prelim design, one more year for detailed design, one year for tooling and vendor arrangements, and get the car out in four years.
On the other hand, cellphone makers don't operate like that. Their design process would be, "what would be the power/weight ratio 4 years from now?" "What would that ICE cost to make in four years?". These are baked into the design. Processor power, net work bandwidth, battery cost, touch screen display all go through rapid changes in 2 years, they design cycle time for phones.
Tesla is working like that. It predicts the kWh/Kg $/kWh of batteries in four years and design and price the car based on that.
All the safety standards, anti lock brakes, backup camera, airbags are mandatory for the EV too. Only break they get is in the emission controls. Because they dont emit pollution where the car is used. You can argue they merely outsource pollution to a distant location. On the other hand utilities are better equipped to handle pollution mitigation and you dont really have lug the anti-pollution devices around in your car.
We will not give any break and reduction in pollution standards. If ICE can't meet it, it can die. It is no big loss. Getting rid of diesel and gasoline vehicles will do wonders top world peace. We will stop pumping a trillion dollars to the middle east. Once the money is gone, they will calm down and sort it out in some fashion among themselves. Even if they, don't we dont have to care. That alone is reason enough to kill the ICE vehicles. Even if it costs more to use battery vehicles.
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On the other hand, banning such networks only drives them underground where no one can monitor them, creating an even bigger louder more resonant echo chamber.
If it is possible for such people to openly express their views, however disturbing they might be, while at the same time remove the perverse incentives for others who make money or leverage political power off them it would be better than banning them outright.
But it is very difficult to come up with such a solution where there are so many different players and enforcement is very difficult.
Just as Elon was designing a new fail safe gyro and a rocket to take it to the Hubble and a robotic arm mount it, these impatient NASA engineers, with insatiable urge of self promotion, rushed in a fix. If they had simply collected the government salaries and sat on their butts like quiet boys they are supposed to be, anytime now we would have an amazing new gyro, even more amazing telescope repairing rocket and robotic arm. Just the other day the TV reporter on an invited tour caught Elon's laptop registering Orbital Mechanics 101 on line course, and the browser was downloading the SDK from SpaceRobotsRUs.com ! Lost a golden opportunity to advance space science! History will not forgive these short sighted NASA engineers.
When minimum wage goes up by a buck, the pizza joint owner knows his pay roll is going to up by 2000$ per employee per year. But all the people who buy pizza from him, their income goes up by 2000$ too. At 20$ a sale, if 100 more pizzas per employee get sold per year the payroll increase has been met. This is two additional pizza per week! Instead of asking, "would you pay your employees 1$ more per hour?" if you ask, "Would you like all your customers to get 1$/hr pay increase?" they might answer differently.
But the small business people are extremely cautious. Especially the ones that inherited their business. The ones who started from scratch are less risk averse. The only certainty is the payroll going up. Customers might buy 2 more pizza a week, or they might affluent and go the steak joint once a while and his sales might not go up. So they discount any positive outcome that might happen due to increased purchase power of the customer base, and oppose minimum wage increases.
Small increases, gradually done, automatically going up to account for inflation would be the way to introduce it. Real wages have been declining in America since the 1980s. Slightly higher than inflation adjustment, something like 3 or 4% every year, year after year, would help the economy.
It is illegal if they made X cars but reported X+Y cars.
It would be illegal to give an inflated forecast about production rate knowingly. It would be very hard to prove Tesla knew it is going to miss production deadlines and still misrepresented the issue. With all that talk about production hell, and sleeping in the factory etc, they made no effort to conceal the problems they had in production.
It does not release monthly figures, it does not give country wide break up...
At least Rei is not an anonymous coward.
The last Monroe tear down (the second one where he blasted Tesla for a dumb design of the body, that would cost 2000$ more to manufacture compared to others) said that the battery pack innovations (gluing cells to the wall of the cooling conduits etc) and the fully integrated mother board, and the wiring that allows charge current to be rerouted dynamically, individual cell level monitoring etc are way ahead of the competition.
Last time I saw the plots, battery costs are trending low for all, with about a seven year half life, for all. The curves are parallel. But Tesla is shifted down by a constant amount. Since the curve is very flat, almost horizontal, it gives Tesla a three year lead over others.
Tesla claimed 130$ /kWh at pack level and 100$/kWh in the last quarter call. It has suggested breaking the 100$/kWh barrier any time soon. But did not say whether time scale is our time scale or Elon(gated) time scale :-)
The bears have to make a hard choice. They were hoping a cash crunch of debt payment in Q4 2018 and Q1 2019 of about 1.5 billion will choke the company. It was already burning through cash at some prodigal rate in Q1 and Q2. They seem to have miscalculated. Last reports from S3 Partners was that there was some 32 million shares outstanding. Wondering how many covered when the price crashed to 250 and got out with some profits. How many are still holding out waiting for Tesla to go bankrupt.
Elon also said "I begged the other companies to invest in battery capacity and charging networks" according to some live blogging site. And some thing along the lines of if they make an adapter he will let them use Tesla super chargers. Not sure if he really said that or these guys are putting words in his mouth.
Well, pretty soon even precocious 10 years olds who could assemble protocol droids in their sparet ime wont be able to build a scanner to find these implants.
So it is no big deal.
Republicans own all the branches of the government. Democrats have absolutely no power to stop anything. Why haven't they made it possible to catch the criminal employers of the illegal immigrants?
I tell why. They want it this way. They want illegal immigrants working for a pittance working the hands to the bone. All the smoke and mirrors about the border wall is to fool the people. The Republicans want illegal immigrants to come in and work for low wages, That is the truth.
Demand politicians to say it and do it. I dont see of the politicians being strong on employer side enforcement. So I conclude it is all vote gathering technique.
Prosecute the employers, who are criminal by the very act of employing illegal immigrants. Simple civil prosecution, fines, make cost of employing illegal immigrants more expensive than hiring legal immigrants and citizens.
Ahhh. You wont do it. Because these criminals are white and affluent. You would rather fight the weak, poor, people willing work harder than any one for a pittance.
I came in legally. I will remain distinct. At least Latin America is Christian. I am a graven image worshiping heathen/pagan. But legal. 100% naturalized. I intend to exercise ALL rights granted to me under the constitution. Freedom of Expression,. Freedom of Relgion. And yes, second amendment too.
America is a salad bowl, not a melting pot.
English first? Our motto E Pluribus Unum is not English. It is Latin.
Go back, learn about America and then talk to an immigrant like me.
But... all the outrage shown by these people against illegal immigration is fake. They want cheap strawberries and cheap fast food and cheap lawn mowing and cheap home construction. If they are really against illegal immigration they will prosecute the employers.
It is illegal to employ an illegal immigrant. There are people who employ them. All your anger seems to be at the illegal immigrant and not the employer.
Logically the employer has a business, and has a lot to lose if prosecuted. Prosecution is civil not criminal. If we spend 10% of the resources spent on the border enforcement on the enforcing the criminal who employs these illegal immigrants, the jobs will vanish and the illegal immigration will stop. Cold.
Just by employing that illegal immigrant the employer becomes criminal. Even if otherwise he/she is running a legitimate business and pays taxes. I am sure you will go through all kinds of justification why the criminal who employs the illegal immigrant should not be prosecuted.
On the other hand, the life is so bad in their home country, the people are willing to risk death crossing hostile countries, criminal gangs, fatal desert to come to USA. You want to deter these people who have nothing to lose. How? How much effort would it take to stop people who are willing to die in an attempt to come here?
Compare that enforcement effort with what it would take to round up the employers, fine them, make the cost of employing illegal immigrant not worth it.
The criminal employers are largely white. Largely affluent. Politically connected. The criminal employees are largely hispanic. Largely poor. Other than the sporadic support from the powerless Democrats they are not much of a political force.
I just report the facts. You decide if you are a racist or not.
Moto is probably the first to break the forced upgrade by sealed battery, unrepairable designs of cell phones. Pretty soon the reviews will include robustness, reliability, durability, repair costs, total cost of ownership etc. All the other metrics like resolution and features are pretty much common. It has to happen. Glad it has finally happened.
My phone is dying and was already looking at Moto as the replacement, very favorably. This seals it. I am buying X4.
They dont ruin the phine. they track you and post ads specifically targeted to you wherever you go
They can still track you and pelt you with unwanted ads with the knowledge you were dumb enough to install their app at some point in time.
Even if these OSes did not support push notification, they can always make their app call home and update usage stats. When the usage stat is missing for a while they can mark it as uninstalled and pelt you with a different set of ads.
Once you have uninstalled it, the dynamics are different. They have lost you and they can try increasingly difficult and painful techniques and even act maliciously ruining your phone or launch what would be tantamount to denial of service attack. It is like dating a psychopath. Once you get involved there is no way to really get out without serious damage.
They copied the idea from Volkswagen.
More so, you are not thinking what it would take to switch to all-electric. We will need to completely rebuild power grid, we will have to drastically increase power generation capacity (probably natural gas or coal).
The base load on the grid is 33% of the peak capacity. The peak usage is around 900 GW. The base load, the lowest usage happens at night between 10 PM and 6 AM. The usage is 300 GW. There is 600 GW of unused capacity available at night. Let us take out the peaker plants that are started and stopped on demand, these gas turbine power plants out. Using high efficiency steam turbines usually fired by coal or natural gas, they have about 400 GW of capacity unused at night. The electric cars are going to be charged at night. We have the grid capacity to charge even if ALL the cars become electric tomorrow.
An average car puts on about 12,000 miles a year. 1000 miles a month. 35 miles a day. Tesla gives 4 miles /kWh. Bolt, Leaf are more efficient. 9 kWh per car per night. Charging two cars per household is like running an electric coil stove (3 kW) for six hours per night. USA has the grid capacity. All homes have the service connection capacity that can take the load. Airconditioners are more powerful than 3kW. They run for more than six hours during summer afternoons. All the homes in a service area run their A/C simultaneously on summer afternoons. And the grid generation and distribution can take it.
The claim "We dont have the grid capacity to do it" is misinformation. We can disagree on unknowables. But this is simple basic fact. See if you can accept this. If we cant even agree on facts, we are wasting our time talking about other things.
On the other hand, cellphone makers don't operate like that. Their design process would be, "what would be the power/weight ratio 4 years from now?" "What would that ICE cost to make in four years?". These are baked into the design. Processor power, net work bandwidth, battery cost, touch screen display all go through rapid changes in 2 years, they design cycle time for phones.
Tesla is working like that. It predicts the kWh/Kg $/kWh of batteries in four years and design and price the car based on that.
We will not give any break and reduction in pollution standards. If ICE can't meet it, it can die. It is no big loss. Getting rid of diesel and gasoline vehicles will do wonders top world peace. We will stop pumping a trillion dollars to the middle east. Once the money is gone, they will calm down and sort it out in some fashion among themselves. Even if they, don't we dont have to care. That alone is reason enough to kill the ICE vehicles. Even if it costs more to use battery vehicles.