Domain: wp.com
Stories and comments across the archive that link to wp.com.
Comments · 125
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Re:Bias: but for them - not me!
Why not. I'll go into a little more detail since this isn't clear to you for some reason.
Tamino says: "Assuming global warming continues without slowing down, we would have expected this," with an accompanying graph that extrapolates the long-term trend from 1970.
Then he says: "This is what actually happened," with an accompanying graph clearly showing a long term trend-line from 1970-2015. The point is clear: the recent pause has not affected the long term trend.
He says the recent data fits the long term trend "just about as closely as one could have imagined." He can only be comparing the two long term trends since the recent 15 year trend is less than half that of the previous 30 years. Far from a fit that's as close as "one could have imagined".
Where does he specify how he came up with these graphs and trend-lines? He talks about "the global-warming-continues-without-slowing-down pattern", but that's about as technical as he gets. Most of the post is just a rant.
The title of his blog post is "It's the Trend, Stupid". The whole point of the post is to show how the "pause" hasn't affected the 45 year trend; that it's practically the same as the 30 year trend from 1970-2000.
At the end of the post he writes: "They just don’t seem to realize that the real embarrassment to their precious “pause” is the trend." Again, he is contrasting the 15 year "pause" to the long term, 45 year trend.
In the comments section Zeke Hausfather of Yale Climate Connections says "Looks like we both had the same idea; I made a very similar figure over the weekend for Yale Climate Connections" On the referred Climate Connections post Zeke writes: "While the trend over the past decade is fairly flat, there is a danger in over-interpreting short-term trends in long and noisy time series, as this illustration shows." It's the same theme: the recent pause doesn't effect the 45 year trend.
His illustration looks just like Tamino's and Gavin's: https://i0.wp.com/www.yaleclim... It clearly shows a trend-line from 1970 to 1999 and a trend-line from 1970 to 2015. It does not show a recent trend-line which would look "fairly flat", as he acknowledges above.
Gavin Schmidt's graph, Tamino's graph and Zek Hausfather's graph all look like this: http://www.woodfortrees.org/pl...
None of their graphs look like this: http://www.woodfortrees.org/pl...
Does that help clarify things?
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Re:Not surprised
My favorite things to laugh at were:
- The do-it-yourself NECKpro home traction device
- The laser scalp-stimulating helmet, to help reverse hair loss.
- The giant wooden airplane propellers
- The wall-sized crossword puzzle
Well, among everything else in there. It seems that SkyMall has moved on from these favorites. But, they were reliable point-and-laugh items when I was flying regularly a few years ago.
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Re:Wife has the money
You know, I wonder if that isn't just a smart business move on his part...
Let's review, shall we?
Mrs. Dotcom:
http://i0.wp.com/www.whaleoil....Mr. Dotcom:
http://assets.hightimes.com/ki...I bet when the money is gone, she will be too...
The lovely couple:
http://bilder.bild.de/fotos/bu... -
Re:needs rebranding
I just typed it. But Slashdot simply "disappears" thorn characters, which is annoying.
Bárðarbunga is full of eye candy. I can point to abundant examples including no shortage of videos on Youtube / Vimeo.
As for pronunciation: Á is said "ow". BOWR-dthar-BOON-ka. The R is an alveolar tap or trill. If that's too hard for you, you can also call it Holuhraun (HOLE-ih-HROYN), Nornahraun (NORDN-uh-HROYN), THorbjargarhraun (THOR-Byardg-ar-HROYN), or a bunch of other names (the TH should really be a thorn, but again, Slashdot silently eats thorns). Among the many proposals for names was Holuhraunshraunshraunshraun, which was suggested because it would be fun watching foreigners try to pronounce it
;) It was never actually a serious contender, but I wrote an article poking fun at the concept on Uncyclopedia at one point ;) -
Imperial / Metric Unit Conversion
Why would anybody want to go back to this?
Stop the bickering about how the meter is defined and attempt to understand the strength of the metric system.Unit conversion and arithmetic is as simple as it can be!
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Re:Indeed...
operating costs for 61 nuclear sites in 2012. The average came to $44/MWh
Add to that construction costs, decommissioning costs and nuclear fuel reprocessing / storage costs and you've got one very expensive method of producing electricity.
http://www.world-nuclear.org/i...
Why aren't there more nuclear fuel reprocessing plants? Because it's horrendously expensive.
http://belfercenter.ksg.harvar...Cost of building maintaining, removing new Wind farms?
Less than $36.5 per MWh
Wind Technologies Market ReportWith the numerous ways of matching and storing wind energy,nuclear can not compete
Wind power is continuously getting cheaper, solar power is continuously getting cheaper and there is good reason for that to continue. Storage technologies are also getting cheaper. Solar is set to become the 2nd cheapest form of energy, after Wind.
http://cleantechnica.com/2014/... -
Re:So why is 60GW needed?Okay, I'm gonna explain this really in short steps for you:
- German wind production is known to periodically drop to essentially zero during the day. Here's the facts showing that.
- Including solar doesn't help this either, as total production from both together varies by as much as 25x. Fact.
- German daily peak power demand is around 80 GW. Again, fact.
- The goal is 80% renewables at latest 2050. Fact.
- 80% of 80 GW is about 60 GW (I stress the word "about" here - these are ballpark figures).
- As such there will be days when Germany hits peak or close to peak demand with essentially the bulk of the REE resources being unavailable, hence the 60 GW figure.
- Your proposal was to import this shortfall from other places where the wind blows, as it always blows somewhere (I didn't dispute that). However, this carries several problems: (1) there's no such large-capacity transmission infrastructure and any expansion projects are being heavily opposed by land owners, (2) this requires installing surplus capacity at remote locations, (3) dealing with the transport losses and complex line control (oversized lines introduce severe problems with lots of reactive power, etc, and finally (4) being willing to absorb the political risks of having the power come from out of the land on really short terms.
You might counter that a portion of that energy can come from hydro & biomass. Hydro is unfortunately already nearly maxed out (*) and biomass has problems with cost and repurposing of lots of farm land for energy crop production (and questionable CO2 benefits due to the excessive use of industrially produced fertilizers and use of heavy agricultural machinery running on fossil fuels; though there is room for improvement here, so no biggie). Still, this requires installing extra capacity, which must be counted against the cost of RE sources of energy. The alternative is to install energy storage on a massive scale to smooth out the intermittent sources and deliver power when needed - not an easy proposition either.
(*) Source: "23% of total technically feasible hydropower potential is exploited in China, 82% in USA, 65% in Canada, 73% in Germany"
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Re:Experience shows otherwise
Portugal reached 100% renewable energy.
I'd prefer a 100% nuclear powered grid (and electric trains and cars, nuclear powered ships, synfuels for the remaining transportation needs, ammonia from nuclear powered SSAS plants for fertilizer) over that renewable pipe dream.
Well then you are really going to hate the future because sooner or later it is going to be 100% renewable.
http://www.renewableenergyworl...
http://dqbasmyouzti2.cloudfron...
http://i0.wp.com/cleantechnica...
Let's face it, no-one knows where to put nuclear waste and that doesn't look like it'll change anytime soon.
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Re:Hamas Is 100 Percent of the Problem
How do you distinguish a "terror tunnel" from the many tunnels used to smuggle food, clothing, potable water, and basic construction materials?
A smuggling tunnel connects one Palestinian area with another Palestinian area. A terror tunnel connects a Palestinian area with an Israeli civilian population center.
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Re:Wait for it...
What is the "will of hundreds of thousands of people in Ukrainian East", exactly? We heard demands of wider autonomy, making Russian an official language. These things are going to be granted with the new constitution and reforms, and it has been promised by a new-elect President Poroshenko on numerous occasions. It is also, as it happens, something plenty of people are waiting for here, in Odessa. Waiting peacefully, no guns, no killings, no kidnappings, bank robberies, rape, organ trade, etc.
Let's continue with a proof by picture.
Typical Maidan protesters: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wi...
Typical "eastern Ukraine protesters": http://i0.wp.com/cyprus-mail.c...Are you going to argue that the latter do not, in fact, represent a covert intrusion of armed special forces, criminals, ex-military from a nice peaceful country to the East? Which is not known for annexing another part of Ukraine just recently, waging war in Georgia in 2008, destroying most parts of it's own Chechnya region in two wars 10 years ago?
Truly failing is one thing, being perceived as fallen by a biased is quite another, isn't it?
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Re:I have a better idea
Hmm, that's an interesting point. So, you don't feel that these graphs are something worth talking about?
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Re:Solar still not cost effectiveSolar is not 'maybe going to take off in the next decade,' it is taking off as we speak. Where I live (New Mexico) it is easily noticeable, you see them all over.
Personally, the main thing holding me back is deflation. If they keep getting cheaper, my payoff might be sooner if I wait a couple years to get them. But then the subsidies may well decrease, so maybe not...
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DOA
All these headsets are dead on arrival. Just like the virtuaboy was. Why do these always fail?
This is why: http://i2.wp.com/www.roadtovr....
One lonely dude sitting in the corner by himself. He can't interact with those around him... if his mom tells him to come to dinner he likely cant hear her and he definitely cant see her so he'll finally find out she's pissed when she slaps the headset off his head.
VR will become a thing when they figure out how to put the display free form in the air in front of you... or the headsets are transparent like Google glass. As long as they resemble the blast helmet Luke Skywalker used to practice Jedi magic, there is no chance these will become truly popular.
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Re:treat Netflix like a television network
Yeah, that's fucking brilliant. Let's package Netflix along with 105 other online services we'll never use, all for only $125 a month.
Moron.
Behold: someone's already thought of that: http://i0.wp.com/leadershipfor...
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Re:Good.Solar power production is exploding as we speak.
My neighbor just put them up and figures payoff in 5 years. That is with heavy subsidies though, so I do think the GP's figures are too optimistic for now. But again, look at the numbers in that link. It is happening.
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Re:Michigan
It sits on the "trailing edge" of its time zone. The clocks are out of kilter with the sun, by almost two hours during DST. Time zone borders should be moved to the white areas between the red and green of this graphic and then kill DST. Solar noon should never happen before the clock strikes 12.
Boston is on the leading edge of it's time zone. I always look forward to DST. If we didn't change the time the sun would come up at 4:30 am here and go down at 7:30 pm during the summer. I'm a night owl and the sun coming up that early would kill me plus it wouldn't leave much time for summer evening activities during week nights. Boston really should be on the Atlantic time zone, but that wouldn't go over well with business because of ties to the NY stock markets, etc.
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Michigan
It sits on the "trailing edge" of its time zone. The clocks are out of kilter with the sun, by almost two hours during DST. Time zone borders should be moved to the white areas between the red and green of this graphic and then kill DST. Solar noon should never happen before the clock strikes 12.
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Re:Too pricey, odd shape?
I think this is appropriate here:
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Re:weather report
But it's about cute cats!
Do tell. What is so cute about flying feral cats? I don't want this flying at me. Do you? Or how about this fluffy fellow?
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Re:That's unfortunate
While AGG is one of the most cleanest and high quality 2D rendering APIs, it's improbable that AGG will be accepted by the c++ committee, Herb Sutter works for microsoft, and AGG's author is very critical of many graphical features of windows, like the sub par font rendering. An example of this is the the dialog window for enabling high dpi font scaling.
http://i1.wp.com/www.istartedsomething.com/wp-content/uploads/2006/12/dpi480_3_l.jpg -
Re:Q.E.D.
Concept is correct, but your example is backwards.
Anyone who wants to carry ESPN down their wires has zero room to complain about the rest of the chaff getting delivered. The people with beef should be those who just want to watch Nickelodeon, Cartoon Network, Comedy Central, Spike TV and a few other networks. See this chart Granted it's from 2009, but I can't see a major shift in prices in the last few years. ESPN hasn't become any less popular, nor has the popularity of those other networks skyrocketed.
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Re:Better plots?
Depends on what you mean by group outings, sports and exercize.
http://i0.wp.com/pennsicwp.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/pennsic37_ammo_wagon.jpghttp://thebeatofyounglosangeles.blogspot.com/2011/04/check-it-quidditch-comes-to-la.html
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Yet it still lists all the obvious permissions
I don't get it, if the malware has the ability to "exploit vulnerabilities in Google’s mobile operating system to extend the application’s permissions on the infected device" then why does it need to ask for a bunch of obviously suspicious permissions?
Seems like whatever vulnerability they're discovered must be relatively minor or they wouldn't need to ask for any additional permissions.
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Re:Totally misleading statistics and premise
I'll be the first to say it!
Carmen Ortiz for president!
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Re:Conspiracy to Censor