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Unmanned (But Armed) Aircraft Experiments In 2001

John Warden, architect of the Gulf war air campaign, believes that by 2025 90% of combat aircraft will be unmanned. Next spring, the first armed aircraft without pilot, the X-45A UCAV will make its maiden flight. Replacing the pilot by a ground controller cuts the price of each unit by two-thirds, and makes it easier to transport. The Economist has more, and states 'the decision to fire weapons should be made by a human, to reduce the risk of "friendly fire."' This is not logical: Since the planes can be networked and thus know each other's relative positions, preventing friendly fire is a much simpler problem than the visual recognition required to determine what to shoot at, unless you don't mind hitting non-military targets. I wonder what Asimov would think.

156 of 449 comments (clear)

  1. Law enforcement by QuantumG · · Score: 2

    wow.. can we say robocop.. just found this over at navy.mil.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  2. Unmanned Air Combat Vehicles by Life+Blood · · Score: 2

    Alrighty, i've seen some presentations on these kinds of things. The basic problem in current aircraft design is that aircraft can handle multiple times the acceleration the human body can. The F-16 can already take g-loads that would have its pilot's brain squishing out his/her ears. And thats still a 4th generation fighter mind you, not the 5th generation like the F-22 which probably can outperform the pilot even worse...

    Once you remove the pilot a lot of interesting ideas become possible since you just ditched about 25% of the aircraft's weight and a majority of the physical requirements. Entirely new designs become possible because you don't need a cockpit etc...

    This is a great idea then except for one thing. The Air Force is expecting the next generation of air combat to be quieter than the previous generation. The F22 can fly in passive mode and at least locate (if not target) enemy aircraft from the noise they put out (like their active radar, radio chatter etc). Things like IFF are ariel bulls-eyes in these cases. Also a continous transmission like the UCAV would put out isn't going to be much better. There is a great benefit to having a self contained fighting aircraft in this case which is something a UCAV is not and most likely never will be. AI is nowhere near where it needs to be for these things to be fully autonomous instead of simply unmanned.

    As for men pulling triggers being unneccessary, dream on. One of the most important parts of combat is making sure the enemy doesn't know where you are. Would it be wise to create a remotely accessible database (which could conceivably be hacked) showing where all your aircraft are at any given time? It would be a target list if the enemy got a hand on it and could exploit it. Think security here.

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    So far I've gotten all my Karma from telling people they are wrong... :)

  3. Re:Incorrect assumption by Sanchi · · Score: 2

    It is very hackable, thats why we dont use it during attack missions.

    Sanchi

    --
    "They said we couldn't do it [Athlon]... but we built it, we shipped it... and we didn't have to recall it." Rich Heye
  4. Shades of Gundam Wing by einhverfr · · Score: 2
    I find this trend disturbing. As war becomes more mechanized, we lose touch with the human cost of war-fare. Time may come when a rutheless enemy born of oppression only part-intentional will be able to turn such weapons against the current major powers of the world.

    Am I alone here in thinking that the contemporary cartoon show "Gundam Wing" is an interesting critique of mechanized warfare which is valid today, though marketed to children?

    --

    LedgerSMB: Open source Accounting/ERP
  5. Re:Incorrect assumption by w3woody · · Score: 2

    Plus remember, even if the force the gun is pointed at is an enemy, the decision to pull the trigger is often political as well, based on rules of engagement which are formulated before engagement takes place. Combine this with the possibility of the enemy capturing a robot plane and using it as a "robot shield" to trick out the sensors, and you have a potential problem.

  6. Re:Does anyone remember that Star Trek episode... by ParamonKreel · · Score: 2

    was that the 72nd or 73rd episode?

  7. Re:Disturbing Trend by istartedi · · Score: 2

    This reminds me of a story I heard out of The Gulf War. I'm not sure, but I think the general was Colin Powell. Maybe somebody else knows for sure.

    Anyhow, this reporter asks the general "what are your plans for the enemy". He responds: "we're going to find them and kill them." The reporter was shocked. Surely he meant "neutralize", "terminate", "subdue" or some other euphemism. When pressed again the general reiterated: "we're going to find them and kill them. That's what war is all about."

    To me, this was almost as funny as that bit on Saturday Night Live where they were making fun of the reporters during that war, who were essentially asking the generals to reveal their battle plans before action. If the aforementioned incident really occured, it was an excellent way for the general to answer the reporter's question without revealing any secrets.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
  8. Re:Absolutely wrong by ErikZ · · Score: 2

    >IFF is not very useful. Do you perhaps remember a few years back when the air force shot down two army helicopters in the Iraq northern no-fly zone? They misidentified them.

    Yeah, AND THEY HAD THEIR IFF TURNED OFF.

    Later
    Erik Z

    --
    Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
  9. Re:Incorrect assumption by Sanchi · · Score: 4

    Please, learn something before you spew your nonsence. First some background on me. I work on the computer program that runs on AWACS. I have seen what the system can do. The F-22 will not run any active systems when on an attack run. All of the detection is left up to us (awacs). and the radar system on it sucks, its only an plainer two pass (hard to explain).

    And IFF is used by every single airplane in the air, not just NATO.

    Sanchi

    --
    "They said we couldn't do it [Athlon]... but we built it, we shipped it... and we didn't have to recall it." Rich Heye
  10. Incorrect assumption by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 5
    This is not logical: Since the planes can be networked and thus know each other's relative positions, preventing friendly fire is a much simpler problem than the visual recognition required to determine what to shoot at, unless you don't mind hitting non-military targets. I wonder what Asimov would think.
    Ok, so they won't shoot each other. But what about other friendly forces? Sure, put a location beacon on them, too. Then the enemy either a) tracks in on the frequency and shoots them, or b) jams them and watches chaos ensue. Humans will always point the trigger, if only so that the brass knows who to point the finger at later.
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    Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    1. Re:Incorrect assumption by Throw+Away+Account · · Score: 2

      First of all, why would you be shooting at something that looked anything like a refugee camp

      Because you might be being shot at from near it. Remember the Kaykusha rocket attacks on Israel? In one case the Israeli computer accurately aimed at the location from which the rockets were launched -- from just outside the fence of a Palestinian refugee camp. Refugee camps are used by guerilla groups as arms transfer points, recruiting centers, refuges, etc.

      --
      There's no "we" in team, only "me"
    2. Re:Incorrect assumption by sconeu · · Score: 2
      I second that. I work on artillery control systems. It's not just something you can hack out. Guys, if you make a mistake, you don't just get a BSOD. If you make a mistake, people DIE. The wrong people. Not the bad guys.

      I find it hard to believe that /.'ers would accept that AI is sufficient to:

      control a plane, AND

      determine targets AND

      identify friendlies

      all while in combat. Of course a human is going to be pulling the trigger. If these things are remote control, fine. But don't BS me and say that a computer will do all that.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    3. Re:Incorrect assumption by Wellspring · · Score: 2

      That depends on what the robofighters would consider to be friendly.

      An automated, networked system, a kind of Sky Net, if you will, would be a threat to all of humanity. It would rapidly attempt to take over the work and destroy all of humanity.

      If the mysterious destruction in the mid-eighties of an LA police station, the more mysterious destruction ten years later of the CyberDyne Systems building, or the rampage that hit the Itchy and Scratchy Themepark doesn't convince you, I don't know what will. Robots will, inevitably, turn on their masters. We would be fools to ignore the evidence that Television gives us.

      Just wanted to let you all know. When the nuclear holocaust hits and the HKs and Terminators start rounding us up for disposal, I'll be there to tell you I Told You So.

    4. Re:Incorrect assumption by tbo · · Score: 3

      Ever heard of IFF (Interogate Friendly or Foe)? It's a transponder system used by all sorts of NATO vehicles and aircraft to avoid friendly fire. Also, the F-22 can apparently identify the specific type of vehicles (both friendly and enemy) with 99% accuracy by radar signature. With newer technology, we should be able to do even better.

      The humans-must-pull-trigger rule is just a feel-good safeguard to avoid Terminator 2 scenarios. I imagine computers will soon surpass humans in accuracy in making those kinds of decisions (if they haven't already), but it will take much longer before people will be comfortable with the idea of machines that have the sole discression of using deadly force.

    5. Re:Incorrect assumption by sconeu · · Score: 2

      But in real-life combat, your computer does not know the exact location of the enemy.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    6. Re:Incorrect assumption by SEWilco · · Score: 2

      If you have a network of planes chatting with each other with radio, someone will toss at your network some missiles which fly at any radio transmitter. (Someone will come up with a cute acronym for a HARM which is designed for this job)

    7. Re:Incorrect assumption by Sinical · · Score: 5

      As someone who works in the defense industry,
      let me just say that weapons systems are *hard*.
      You do not have the luxury of going "dang, a bug"
      when your missile just decided to blow up
      friendlies by mistake

      Now, I work entirely on missiles, which have a
      fairly small operational scope (kill *that*),
      and I know how many hours (read, YEARS) missiles
      spend in development, how much testing is done,
      how many simulation runs are made, and the idea
      of trying to build algorithms that try and decide
      whether a *human* *being* should DIE is not
      something I would relish or encourage.

      IFF sytems break, they are destroyed in combat,
      and maybe they are jammed. Allied systems aren't
      compatible, or a wire gets loose, or whatever.

      In my very not humble opinion, only PEOPLE get
      to decide when people die. Remember, KISS,
      and AI fire systems are most definitely not simple.

    8. Re:Incorrect assumption by Veteran · · Score: 2

      The real problem with 'Terminators' is that they make war too easy. Fortunately war is horrible and difficult - if it weren't we would have far more of them. Anyone building devices that make war easy is an enemy of all of humanity. Any person who does that needs to be killed immediately; before he kills the rest of us - which he absolutely will.

    9. Re:Incorrect assumption by mpe · · Score: 2

      And IFF is used by every single airplane in the air, not just NATO.

      As well as other things such as SAMs, AAA, Warships, Tanks, etc, etc.

    10. Re:Incorrect assumption by mpe · · Score: 2

      First of all, why would you be shooting at something that looked anything like a refugee camp (military camps would have lots of metal munitions and weapons, which refugee camps would presumably lack)?

      And no human commander is ever going to try and make a military camp look like a refugee camp???

    11. Re:Incorrect assumption by drix · · Score: 2

      You're missing the point. I'm assuming that by "newer technology" you are alluding to Taco's idea of a network of airplanes, each of which knows the other's location. Stop and think about this for a minute - anyone with a semester's worth of high school physics can tell you that once you have an object's velocity and direction (i.e. vector), hitting it with, oh, say, a missile, becomes as trivial as solving a math problem. It's quite obvious, really, that such a system won't exist until the military can be absolutely sure (110% in MilSpeak) that no one could intercept such data. And that will be a long time coming.

      --

      I think there is a world market for maybe five personal web logs.
    12. Re:Incorrect assumption by jason_aw · · Score: 2

      > don't just kill allies

      Somebody might want to mention that to the American military at some point.

      "Hey, that tank has a big sign marking it as British..."

      "Fuck it. Bombs Away!"

    13. Re:Incorrect assumption by drix · · Score: 2

      It has been done, and it's called the Phoenix missile. Each of the things you mention (topographical recognition, GPS guidance) exists in the guidance computer of the Phoenix. You can nuclear-tip them, too, so any disparity b/t the firepower of a guided missile and a bomber is, erm, mitigated, I suppose.

      --

      I think there is a world market for maybe five personal web logs.
    14. Re:Incorrect assumption by mpe · · Score: 2

      What the hell are my allies doing supplying my enemies with equipment?

      Maybe your enemy was your ally. An obvious senario would be a revolution where the US, Russia, France, UK, etc shows up to support the people they regard as the "legitimate government".

    15. Re:Incorrect assumption by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 2
      Perhaps laser relays
      It's too early in the morning to be sarcastic and scathing.
      • battlefield smoke
      • rain
      • clouds (being air units, at least
      • problems stabalizing the lasers
      I could go on, but I won't.
      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    16. Re:Incorrect assumption by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 2
      I strongly suspect that any actions against mobile ground units will be carried out by humans.
      Actually, you'll notice that the only 'AI' weapons the US Army really has are X to ground missiles; they don't track in on targets, they track in on geographical locations. In other words, they don't try to find targets, they go to a predetermined point and blow up. That's interesting.
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      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    17. Re:Incorrect assumption by mpe · · Score: 2

      Forget about jamming, if you are actively transmitting a signal, everyone who has passive radar on (witch is eveyone in a air battle) will be able to pick you up.

      Even worst they are likely to think of integrating passive radar into AAA and missile fire control systems.

    18. Re:Incorrect assumption by tbo · · Score: 2

      How, exactly, do you propose tagging the refugee camp and everything in it?

      I don't. First of all, why would you be shooting at something that looked anything like a refugee camp (military camps would have lots of metal munitions and weapons, which refugee camps would presumably lack)? That's what radar signatures are for... Tanks look different than starving people on radar...

      remove the human, and the first really major f*ckup will cause a huge uproar

      Exactly. Even if the machines are more accurate than people, there will be an outcry the first time they screw up.

    19. Re:Incorrect assumption by guran · · Score: 2
      I second that. I work on artillery control systems. It's not just something you can hack out. Guys, if you make a mistake, you don't just get a BSOD. If you make a mistake, people DIE. The wrong people. Not the bad guys.

      A story here: A friend of mine did his military service in the artillery. During a sharp weapons exercise, they drove their howitzer into the indicated position, assembled it, entered their and their targets coordinated in their military number cruncher, pointed the barrel in the indicated direction AND DID THE REGULATED DOUBLE CHECK.
      Imagine the pale faces when it turned that some guy had mixed up north and south and the Bofors Howitzer m/77 (range > 20 km) was pointing 180 degrees wrong.

      After they got back, they did a quick check to see where they were first aiming. Smack in the center square of a nearby town...

      --

      All opinions are my own - until criticized

    20. Re:Incorrect assumption by mpe · · Score: 2

      Fixed ground units will most likely be destroyed in an automated fashion. These aircraft are also extremely unlikely to be put in a mode (or even have a mode) where their objective is to destroy anything that isn't a friendly.

      What advantage does "roboplane" have over a cruise missile here? Having to recover the plane is additional hassle.

    21. Re:Incorrect assumption by mpe · · Score: 2

      The motivation is probably to create a 'reusable' cruise missle (i.e. an unmanned craft that drops bombs) and save tons of money. I would be rather upset if my expensive missle delivery device was a one time use item (such as the tomahawk)

      You need to factor in the cost of recovery, servicing, repairing, etc.

    22. Re:Incorrect assumption by ErikZ · · Score: 2

      Actually, I always though the biggest strike against war, thoughout history, was cost.
      No one really cared about people dying in the old days, they just did it. Kings would send out their armies if they could afford it, and the rewards were good enough. No "Gosh, I'd hate to inflict the horrors of war on everone."

      Human life just isn't that sacred to many people. Did you see that link to the Chechen war in the Los Angeles Times?

      Later
      ErikZ

      --
      Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
    23. Re:Incorrect assumption by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 2
      It is very hackable, thats why we dont use it during attack missions.
      I'll reply to most of your posts here, Sanchi. Thanks for proving my point. The article isn't discussing current military technology, but future. It's talking about networked units. I'm well aware of what AWACS is, and how well it works. However, it's also a single point of failure. And possible one of the only reasons it works is because it's never been in a serious 'war' situation. What would happen if a solid phalanx of HARM anti-radiation missiles were launched at it? It'll either die, or shut down and evade. Either situation more or less destroys American air superiority. You yourself point out that doing actual communication, instead of just pumping out millions of watts of radar and letting the planes pick up the return, is too dangerous. Which it is. I'm reminded of Tom Clancy's Red Storm Rising, a good stab at a conventional WW3. One of the tricks used by the Sovs in that book is to take a bunch of old missiles; Kelts, I think, and fix them up with radar transponders, so that they look like long-range bombers to radar. Then, they sent them towards a carrier battle group. The Tomcats, of coursed, engaged BVR, wasting a shitload of Phoenixes on some missles, while the real bombers came in from a slightly different direction. Or another such novel, where a helicopter avoids detection by an AWACS by following a train. Or the fact that the AWACS may be up today, but a cruise missile strike against it's airfield will prevent it from being up tomorrow. The only reason America is king shit is that they've been able to have far better military technology. It's now easier than ever to come across military technology through means fair or foul; one of these days America is going to go to war with it's usual arrogance, realize that it can no longer fight two and a half wars, and either a) repeat Vietnam against a guerilla enemy, or b) be overwhelmed by hordes of Chinese infantry, or possibly c) lose to an information war; it would be an interesting exercise to get an EMP weapon close to an AWACS, to keep the conversation topical.
      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    24. Re:Incorrect assumption by drinkypoo · · Score: 2
      Ok, so they won't shoot each other. But what about other friendly forces? Sure, put a location beacon on them, too. Then the enemy either a) tracks in on the frequency and shoots them, or b) jams them and watches chaos ensue.

      I strongly suspect that any actions against mobile ground units will be carried out by humans. Fixed ground units will most likely be destroyed in an automated fashion. These aircraft are also extremely unlikely to be put in a mode (or even have a mode) where their objective is to destroy anything that isn't a friendly.

      The hypothetical enemy won't have anything that looks (on radar) like one of these babies for quite some time, so you don't even need the IFF gear to stop them from shooting each other. We also know they can identify other aircraft by radar signature, much like current manned air superiority fighters can. Hell, the F-14 can track six targets at once, and launch seperate missiles at each of them, but then again it still has one of the more sophisticated radar packages in use today in a fighter, since it has more room for it.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    25. Re:Incorrect assumption by Christopher+Biow · · Score: 2
      Since the planes can be networked and thus know each other's relative positions, preventing friendly fire is a much simpler problem than the visual recognition required to determine what to shoot at, unless you don't mind hitting non-military targets.

      Sorry, but that isn't even wrong. Combat ID is much, much more difficult than that. We're just about at the technology point where we can do effective networking of a few dozen devices, within feet of each other, in a benign electronic environment.

      Now try it with thousands of air and surface platforms, over hundreds of miles, while minimizing electronic signature, in the face of active electronic opposition.

      JTIDS (Link 14) is the least bad form of air-to-air networking we have, and it's nowhere near being sufficient to prevent manned aircraft from hosing friendlies.

      Another serious limitation of unmanned aircraft is vision. In air-to-air and air-to-ground combat, we remain a long way from replacing the acquisition and identification capabilities of the human eye, optic nerve, and brain. Electro-optics have their place, but also their limits.

    26. Re:Incorrect assumption by Iron+Monkey · · Score: 4

      I agree. One place that computers still haven't surpassed humans is dealing with complex scenarios with insufficient information. Putting IFF on everything in sight may seem reasonable at first, but then someone might jam them. Put in swanky image recognition software, and the enemy repaints their planes to look like your allies... and so on.

      Basically, any method you use to try and ensure no screw-ups occur can be broken by the enemy.. Find me a computer that can deal with situations as complex as identifying friend vs. foe in a heated battle situation - with very little time, and when the enemy is actively trying to decieve it, and I'll show you a human brain.

      Perhaps a computer like this lies somewhere in the future.. I hope so, quite frankly. But I firmly believe that until then, humans are the best thing we have - by a long shot.

      One other thing, regarding the ethical situation. Sure, there are losses to friendly fire in every war - these are likely inevitable. But risking large amounts of human life based on some new program or machine is potentially very stupid, given just how well tested the human being is in combat.. a very safe bet over the latest technological development.

      --
      If my enemy's enemy is my friend, what happens if my enemy is his own worst enemy?
    27. Re:Incorrect assumption by SuiteSisterMary · · Score: 2
      A UCAV is simply applied technology, just like the jet engine.
      How difficult would it be, in real terms, for a single man to hump a stinger missle pack somewhere where they could take a shot at an AWACS? hardened against EMP
      Hardened, not invulnerable. :-) I remember one little debate when American scientists took apart a (I think) MiG 29 and found the radar was tube based; couldn't decide if it was a fiendish defense against EMP, or a pathetic display of old technology.... I'm surprised somebody hasn't, for example, made smart flechettes; take something the size of a coke can, put on something that can point it at a radar emitter, and have a single-shot rocket pack that will boost and burn out. Pack a bunch into the warhead of a missle, and shoot some at the AWACS. It gets close enough, bursts open, these things spray out, point at the AWACS, and boost. Stuff like that. As we always learn as kids, the expensive toys are often broken by the cheap toys. :-)
      --
      Vintage computer games and RPG books available. Email me if you're interested.
    28. Re:Incorrect assumption by ttyRazor · · Score: 2

      Assuming everything on a particular battlefield is a clearly marked friendly or enemy asset is a very bad assumption. How do you deal with an occupied territory where you have enemy equipment mingled among occupied cities? Or when both your allies and enemies are using the same type of equipment? Suppose you only have enough payload for one particular objective? Can a computer tell if one target needs to be taken out immediately because it's about to fire on something else? As soon as you have a situation where more discretion than simple friend or foe is required, a completely automated system is of very limited capability. You can't just hit the reset button or send out another drone when it makes those kinds of mistakes.

    29. Re:Incorrect assumption by vheissu · · Score: 4

      For some reason, this discussion seems to have focused on the idea that we have only two choices: A) Machines picking targets with little or no human intervention, but with the powers of radar, IFF, radiation counters, video cameras, etc. or B) People controlling the machines without any sort of electronic back up. This is ridiculous. People and machines have different strengths and weaknesses. Even if an IFF works 100% of the time, it still needs a human to determine whether an enemy should be targeted, ignored, or avoided. And that is one of the easier problems for a machine. On the other hand, people have problems too--we're relativly fragile, get tired, need heavy life support, and can't detect radio signals. What this system does is exactly what makes sense--it allows the people to control the machine remotely and make the hard decisions, while the machine gets up close and personal.

      --
      /* This post not warrantied for mission critical applications. */
    30. Re:Incorrect assumption by jafac · · Score: 2

      been there, done that, Cruise Missle, Serbia, Chinese Embassy.

      Next?

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    31. Re:Incorrect assumption by jafac · · Score: 2

      . . . another really great application of this technology would be to add it to a normal human-piloted plane, in case the pilot is incapacitated by enemy fire, or maybe, needs the AI to take-over if he has to pull a high-g turn to evade fire, and blacks out. Better than nothing, right?

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    32. Re:Incorrect assumption by jafac · · Score: 2

      "Or another such novel, where a helicopter avoids detection by an AWACS by following a train."

      Wouldn't the JSTAR be able to tell the difference?

      I remember one incident in the Gulf War where an Iraqi helicopter was hiding among some buildings at low altitude, and a JSTAR directed an F-15 to drop a laser guided bomb on it. Not an air-to-air missile, not even a radar guided one. It helped that the helicopter wasn't moving though. . .

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    33. Re:Incorrect assumption by DrgnDancer · · Score: 3

      SEAD: Suppress Enemy Air Defense. It actually focuses more on ground based enemy AA. Tadio controled planes would be fairly good for that if you could make them accuratly target AA emplacents. Usually the biggest danger to the US during tacical air to groud attacks (Close air support or CAS) is enemy ground based AA. Artillery is often tasked with SEAD, but an accurate plane capable of detecting ground to air radar and acting as CAS to the CAS, would in some ways be more effective. Basically it would be like the Vietam era Wild Weasels, but without the insane risk to human life. I do not think these plane would be effective against other enemy planes. Humans are still better combat pilots than computers. Think about Quake, who's worse to play against a person or the comuter?

      --
      I don't need a million points of light, just two points of multi-mode fiber and a 10 Gig-E router.
  11. Re:Disturbing Trend by TheDullBlade · · Score: 3

    From what I've read about modern military history, the goal of war is not to kill people, it is to destroy the combat effectiveness of the enemy's forces.

    This kind of thinking is the reason why the U.S. military can't beat a truly committed enemy. It doesn't help that their idea of "combat effectiveness" is hopelessly self-referential (combat effectiveness is the ability to reduce combat effectiveness of an enemy).

    The goal of war is to crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentations of their women. Even uneducated barbarians know that.

    All kidding aside, war is a means, not a goal. Was is the way you get something you want when nothing else will work. Principles like "we should avoid civilian casualties" and "a tank is worth more than a handgun" are not absolute.

    The U.S. military works from several basic assumptions that hamstring them in many situations (and are forced on them by the "CNN factor"): they are trying to help the civilians in the area, their enemy is an evil dictator whose people hate him, and they want the area to be peaceful. These assumptions often conflict with, and even contradict, the only possible logical purposes of their attacks, leading to confusion and apparent incompetence.

    It is very dangerous to have such sweeping absolutes out in the open for all your enemies to see and exploit. People in more than one area that has not profited from their interaction with the U.S. have compared the American military, with their submarines, stealth planes, and nightfighting gear, to vampires. The analogy is a very appropriate one, not only because their strange-seeming motivations and their terrifying night-attack tactics, but because they are invulnerable to the normal, direct methods of attack and must be fought according to bizarre and seemingly arbitrary rules that make them curiously easy for most to ward off, if not kill.

    However, with no chance of a seriously damaging defeat near home ground, the American military will doubtless remain complacently ignorant of how they are perceived, and in particular, how well their limitations are understood.

    --------

    --
    /.
  12. SkyNet by Philippe · · Score: 2

    Am I the only one that sees this as a piece of SkyNet, of the Terminator movies?

  13. Not nuch different from a cruise missle by Matt_Bennett · · Score: 3

    If you think about this device, and what its mission is, it isn't very far off from a cruise missle, except that it doesn't blow itself up when it completes its mission. It comes back to fight another day. Cruise missles suffer from the same vulnerabilites, they've got multiple navigation sources (GPS, inertial, landmarks), and sat. communications, where they can be re-targeted if needed.

    The first such mission envisioned is the suppression of enemy air defenses.

    I think that this means the ground based, anti-aircraft installations (guns, missles, radar) The airframe is a pretty stealthy design, which is right for going against that sort of target. That type of mission is the most dangerous for a human pilot. I'm sure Congress likes it, since if one of them goes down in combat, they don't have to tell their constituents that they are sending their children to death in some far off country.

    I would think air-air combat is a much harder problem, but it would be very good to take the human out of the loop- The plane could then do continuous hi-G turns, both positive and negative, stuff that would knock out a human in seconds.

    1. Re:Not nuch different from a cruise missle by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 2
      I think that this means the ground based, anti-aircraft installations (guns, missles, radar)
      Robotic Wild Weasels! The origional Wild Weasel patch imortalizes the supposed reaction of the first EWO (Electronic Warfare Officer) to the mission. At the risk of murdering the quote:
      "You want me to sit behind a stick jocky who thinks he's invincible, flying an aircraft to go after weapons designed to shoot down aircraft?! You gotta be shittin' me!"
      The Wild Weasel mission has always been dangerous. Automating the role would keep a lot of pilots safe(r).

      It would also have a strong psycological factor. Wild Weasels, once the role had been perfected, tend to supress enemy air defenses by their mere presence. Imagine being a AAA operator considering the threat of stealth automated threat radar hunters lurking out there. Especially after a few sites get hit by one.

      Oddly enough, I believe the US already has a simular capability. The AGM-88 HARM (which I've mentioned elsewhere in this story). Give the HARM an increased fuel capacity and it can humm round the open skies for hours waiting for a threat radar to power up. Of course, the HARM is a one-shot deal.

  14. Re:Yeah, but... by Barbarian · · Score: 2

    If you watched both movies, the terminators were assasins disguised as humans to aid in infiltration.

    --

  15. Re:In HARM's way: doing your googling for you by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 2
    Thanks! Great link. One thing to note is the nature of the HARM. It specifically seeks out RF from threat systems and attempts to eliminate this source via direct impact or shrapnel from a near-miss explosion. Later versions of the HARM also attempted to damage / kill nearby equipment and operators. A misfire is surely possible. However, I feel its safe to assume that RF activity is central to most of these cases (radar or not).

    If you're interested in the Electronic Warfare systems involved during the Gulf War, this source is excellent.

  16. Ever played a multiplayer game? by guran · · Score: 2
    Ever seen one where the AI can beat a skilled human player?

    Granted, the USAF might do a better job at AI's then a gaming company, the basic problems are the same:

    There simply are no automated solutions to a chaotic scenario! Freaking mathematically impossible!

    A fully automated fighter will obey certain simple rules (fire at most threating target first, do evasive manouvers if fired upon)
    A human will learn those rules, and make sure that "the most threating target" is actually a decoy and that the robofighter is under a constant haul of cheap, quite harmless missiles that will distract it.

    Suppose the robofighter can determine friend/foe with 100% accuracy. That was the *easy* part. Now the question is "should I fire or not?"

    Again, see to the gaming situation. Don't you just love how those AI controlled opponents take impossible long distance shots at you, giving you a chance to duck and return accurate fire from a better position? Or how 20 bots scramble to meet a single opponent, while the rest are sneaking in from the back?

    Humans make mistakes, machines make mistakes. THe difference is that machines make their mistakes systematically.

    --

    All opinions are my own - until criticized

    1. Re:Ever played a multiplayer game? by guran · · Score: 2
      talk to the developers of Terminus at Vicarious Visions. During the first demo they did at RPI those dev's told us that the AI could beat their best more than half the time. Not only that, they (the AI) were employing some very interesting "stalk and kill" methods.

      If that is more than promotion talk: impressing!
      I remain sceptical though. Computers, even state of the art "AI:s" play by the rules. Playing by the rules is not a good war-time strategy...

      --

      All opinions are my own - until criticized

    2. Re:Ever played a multiplayer game? by guran · · Score: 2
      You're kidding, right? A good bot in a combat game is unbeatable.

      A bot in a quick reaction/if it moves, blast it - combat game, yes.
      But a bot in a RTS game? A bot in a game with heavy penalties for blasting allies/NP:s? A bot against a human player who may wear a disguise, looking like an ally/NP?

      If you just want to destroy everything in an area, you don't need a robofighter, you can use a cruise missile or high altitude bombing (or in extreme cases an ICBM)

      And putting the crosshairs of a 20mm cannon on a live target is no different than in a game.

      It is very different (apart from the fact that you are killing someone)
      Reality is quite a bit larger than a quake arena. There are fake targets to confuse you, there are bushes and fog to hide behind. There are all sorts of things that you didn't expect.
      And most of all, You cannot afford to make mistakes. There is no "next round"

      --

      All opinions are my own - until criticized

    3. Re:Ever played a multiplayer game? by Syberghost · · Score: 2

      Ever seen one where the AI can beat a skilled human player?

      Yeah; Counter-Strike aimbot. :-)

      Seriously, though, one thing people are forgetting is that most of the time when a human being makes a mistake in a battle and shoots a missle at the wrong Bradley (happened in a friend of mine's unit, and you all saw it on CNN), it's because a piece of complicated technology they were relying on failed.

      A computer wouldn't even have the option of verifying that the hardware didn't fail. At least a human has a chance.

      -

    4. Re:Ever played a multiplayer game? by guran · · Score: 2
      Of course it would be absurd to replace all pilots with computers. The idea is to place humans out of harms way, not out of the loop.

      Now a botplane == reusable cruise missile *might* save costs if it works. (which I doubt it will for a few more years, it is not like this is the first attempt)
      But if you want to add another element to the battlefield, not just save money, you need a botplane that can go beyond striking a predetermined target. You may send in your botplanes trolling for SAM and AA sites and take them out without risking your pilots. That is a (rather) simple task:

      while !OutOfFuel(){
      FlyAround();
      LookMean();
      if (FiredUpon) then ReturnFire();
      }
      ReturnToBase();

      The problem is that the enemy soon will learn not to fire upon bots, saving their missiles for real planes.

      The other use is to fly over an area where there are suspected ground targets, but their precise location is not known and there is a high risk of SAM's.
      Now iraq and kosovo showed the USAF that sattelites and human pilots are easily fooled by decoys. Do you really expect a computer to do better?

      Your arguments about battleships are already answered elsewhere, so I'll leave it here.

      --

      All opinions are my own - until criticized

    5. Re:Ever played a multiplayer game? by jafac · · Score: 2

      They're not talking about replacing all humans with robot pilots. That's absurd. There will be just way too many situations that even very good AI would not be able to handle.

      However, the majority of bombing missions have already been replaced by robots. They're called Cruise Missiles. This thing is just a reusable Cruise Missile. With a predetermined target, this thing can unload 3000 pounds of ordinance, and fly back home - and reload. A single Cruise Missile is about $800,000. Way too fuckin expensive for your little 3rd-world tinpot raids. Use one of these drones to launch an airstrike, and keep it coming as quickly as you can reattach bombs. If your enemy does not have air superiority, you can keep using these things, they won't be shot down as easily as Cruise Missiles because they're smarter, and can fly much faster and higher, and have a remote-pilot option. Plus, a crucial advantage, it can pull probably 20-30 G turns, where a human pilot can only survive about 10. That's a huge defensive advantage when evading enemy fire.
      Remember during the gulf war when we were worried that we were going to run out of Cruise Missiles? VERY expensive weapons. This weapon is meant to address that problem - we were flying expensive jets, risking pilots to do little more than dump bombs on static, undefended targets. A robot can do that.

      If you don't have air superiority, then you use human piloted air superiority fighters and GET air superiority, then you bring in the drones. If you don't have air superiority, clearly these things will be shot down by the dozen by even a poorly equipped air defense. Or, the communications mechanisms and safeguards will be hacked. So you can see, these things have very limited uses, but there IS a good place for them.

      Now it's soapbox time. What are Cruise Missiles, and fighter-bombers REALLY replacing?
      Battleships. Like the old Iowa-class battleships. Sure, there were a lot of good reasons to discontinue use of these weapons, chief among them was the sheer manpower required to keep them running, but what they could do: They could sit off the coast, safe from enemy antiaircraft fire, behind their protective screen of carrier-launched interceptors as air defense, and lob 16" shells 200 miles inland. With modern computer guidance, these shells could be as accurate as Cruise Missiles, could be retrofitted for nuclear capabilities, and could reach 90% of the world's population (within 200 miles of any water). The battlecruiser could place as much ordinance on a target as three aircraft carriers launching strikes around the clock, and the battlecruiser could do it in any weather, without risking pilots, or requiring air superiority. But they aren't high-tech. WWII-era battlecruisers just aren't as sexy as remote piloted bomber drones.

      Oh well. Humans make mistakes, machines make mistakes. Humans are supposed to LEARN from their mistakes.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    6. Re:Ever played a multiplayer game? by jafac · · Score: 2

      I just thought of something else.

      Last month, I had the experience of watching the Thunderbirds in an air show. They did some amazing stuff. I bet that in an air show, these drones would make the Thunderbirds obsolete.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  17. Have we forgotten about one thing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Have we forgotten about one thing?

    Light speed is 299792458 m/s. I'm working the numbers and after the transmission time, reception time, some fudge factor for signal decoding, latency, etc. and then the time to actually make the move, you are talking about a 1000-2000 mile radius between you and the plane.

    Earth curvature is even worse. If you are prepared to really take a hit on the service radius, you can use a satelite, but then you have to use a satelite in geosynch orbit (which is not a nice low 100-200 mile orbit like the shuttle flies in. 22,000 miles is more like it)

    Of course, there's always an airliner loaded with relays flying near the target radius.

    But the pilots won't be able to sit in their couches in some comfy home hooked up to a modified playstation and make war. You are going to have to ship the pilots and the planes out to a base near the target, so your enemy is going to be gunning for that location. All it takes is one good-sized balistic missile to make it through the defenses and all of your planes just fall out of the sky because you just killed a bunch of pilots.

    So it's not a technology that can make war like a game. Not unless the government knows something we don't about faster than light communication.

  18. I have a small favor to ask... by TheDullBlade · · Score: 3

    You have done a real bang-up job on the software design, but would you mind posting the implementation?

    --------

    --
    /.
  19. Absolutely wrong by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 2

    IFF is not very useful. Do you perhaps remember a few years back when the air force shot down two army helicopters in the Iraq northern no-fly zone? They misidentified them.

    Remember the USS Vincennes that shot down the Iran airliner?

    IFF has been aorund since WWII (55+ years) and has never been so reliable that pilots actually trusted it. No doubt current versions are better than older stuff, but it's hardly perfect, or even good enough.

    If IFF were so good, why do they spend billions on radar which can identify the airplane type from radar returns?

    --

  20. Re:One word Artificial Intelligence! by jmv · · Score: 2

    I work with people doing AI research, so I can tell you that we're not yet there. "There" meaning: unmanned autonomous aircraft. That being said, I really believe that in a not so distant future we will be "there"...

  21. Friendly Fire is never friendly by PhilHibbs · · Score: 3
    the decision to fire weapons should be made by a human, to reduce the risk of "friendly fire."
    Well, just so long as the human isn't American. We lost more troops to you guys than to the Iraqis.
    1. Re:Friendly Fire is never friendly by jafac · · Score: 2

      sorry 'bout that old bean. . .

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  22. Re:What about close air support? by osc3r · · Score: 2

    we spend millions on military because it is the most socially meaningful research that there is! Measure the fall of communism or the end of Hitler's terror against some tree-huggin scientist developing a new hairspray that doesn't need to be tested on cute bunnies. A**holes like Saddam are out there - we spend millions on military to keep them out of our universities so scientists can have the leisure time to develop socially meaningful things like nutra sweet

  23. Re:Jamming isn't a big problem by jmv · · Score: 2

    whether you can force it down to zero is irrelevent... let's say you can force it down to 1 kbits/s. Text transmissions: no problem. Voice transmission: there's a problem but it can still get through. Video transmission: no way!

    The problem is that to remotely pilot an aircraft travelling at Mach 2 (even much below Mach 1), you need a lot of data, and that data needs to be updated rapidly. Think about it. You need a video feed from the cockpit, all the radar info, all the instruments (attitude, altitude, speed, ...). There's no way you can get all that through when you're being jammed... Also, if you have 100 planes in the same area, your bandwidth (using spread-spectrum) is divided by 100. That's not much available...

  24. Very slick design :) by Chris+Johnson · · Score: 2
    Just aerodynamically it's fascinating to check out this plane and see what's possible when you don't have to have a human pilot. It really is like a flying robot- where modern fighters have 'reflexes' like a robot (such as unstable planes with artificial stability via computers) this one even looks like a robot, given a complete stealth design and a menacing sleekness that comes from not needing a canopy. No tail- the jet exhaust is thrust vectored in the yaw direction and compensates for the obvious yaw instability, and in general that whole design is so unstable and flippy that only a computer and gyros could keep it flying stably. As a result I bet the damn thing can fly pretzels in the sky- very neat.

    I would be nervous about flying civilian aircraft in its vicinity (or indeed future variations of this concept that are more autonomous) in case it took a dislike to my plane. But- if I was expecting attacks from anything from enemy aircraft to helicopters to missiles, I'd want to have some of these little suckers loose in the sky. It'd be "all civilian aircraft out of the sky NOW! OK- anything left is toast". I think the defensive capabilities of such a design, particularly as autonomous robots, could be really formidable. This is not exclusively an offensive weapon. It could be a hell of a defense against almost any air attack.

  25. Re:One word: Jamming! by QuantumG · · Score: 2

    hmm.. now if you have very good surveillance of the battle field (can we say satelight, ground camera's, radar, etc, etc) you could fly a bomber with no one way commands. Hell, if you can make a cruise missile that has a remote detonator, why can't you have an automated plane to do dogfights. Personally I'd just like to see a war plane controlled by a pilot on the ground in a simulator. Although I think a more interesting idea is a Battle Droid controlled with a halflife like interface from a remote location. Now that is war.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  26. Re:Disturbing Trend by Platinum+Dragon · · Score: 2

    You're right, we should continue to risk the lives of men and women in battle!

    Hey, if you're going to make it easier to kill other men and women under the guise of war, you should be willing to risk your own life.

    Perhaps one only realizes the value of all life when one's own has been put in danger, or sacrificed.

    -------------

    --

    Someday, you're going to die. Get over it.
  27. Re:Reminds me of Terminator 2 by mrBlond · · Score: 2

    Okay, the whole thing goes:

    Terminator: In 3 years Cyberdyne will become the largest supplier of military computer systems. All stealth bombers are upgraded with Cyberdyne computers, becoming fully unmanned. Afterward, they fly with a perfect operational record.

    Sarah: Uh huh, great. Then those fat fucks in Washington figure, what the hell, let a computer run the whole show, right?

    Terminator: Basically. The Skynet funding bill is passed. The system goes on-line August 4th, 1997. Human decisions are removed from strategic defense. Skynet begins to learn, at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. eastern time, August 29. In a panic, they try to pull the plug.

    Sarah: And Skynet fights back.

    --
    CowboyNeal for president!
    "Hit any user to continue."
  28. Re:Disturbing Trend by YoJ · · Score: 2

    I don't think that the world knowing the limitations of the US military is a bad thing. Yes, the US military is easy to ward off. Don't perform genetic cleansing, don't attack innocent countries, and keep a semblance of democracy. We don't need to fight direct wars with countries if they can change their behavior to ward us off from using our "vampire" tactics.

  29. These arent autonomous vehicles by catseye_95051 · · Score: 2

    Ther is a big difference between a remtoe manned vehicle and an autonomous one. Saying things like "the first step towards robots fighting our wars for us" is like saying the 25 cent crane-game machien is the first step towards robots doing our manual labor for us.

    All they did is take the pilot out of the plane and put him on the ground folks. Those "operators" are air force pilots (the friend of an in-law of mine was oen of the test pilots.)

    I would expect this sort of "machines are gonna kill us" nonsense from the unwashed masses, but I thought Slashdot was supposed to be a techno-literate group.

    If you want to undrestand why they are going this direction, go rent an epsiode of Nova called "The Biology Barrier." For awhile now the limiting factor on fighter plane performance has not been what the plane could do, but what the human body inside the plane could stand. Taking the pilot out of the cockpit frees the plane up to perform at maximum.

  30. Re:This is a great idea. by QuantumG · · Score: 2

    better yet.. why not just fight the war in software. A world wide simulator with tanks, planes and infintry. Then at the end of each week we can send out a list of the people who were killed in battle.


    Attention Citizen. Your avatar was killed in active duty on the 21st of June, 2026. Please report for decintergration at your nearest recycling plant.


    "Damn it.."

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  31. For REAL autonomous combat machines... by catseye_95051 · · Score: 2

    See the now defunct DARPA Unmanned COmbat Vehicles Project.

    It was aimed directly at making intelligent autonomous tanks, ala Kieth Laumer's bolo books.

    A lot of the neural network stuff we see in practice now and the vestiges of neural network reserach still going on got started under that project.

  32. Yeah, but... by Greyfox · · Score: 2
    Why should the terminator look human? It'd make much more sense from a design standpoint to design a well armed and armored jeep to clear out those annoying meat monkeys.

    Besides, why is it that every time someone brings up an even remotely autonomous robot, someone brings up Terminator? Why would an AI be interested in the earth at all? Oxygen's hard on the 'bots and living at the bottom of a gravity well would require you to waste much more resources in the construction of your autonomous units. First thing I'd do as a rogue AI would be to move to the asteroid field.

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

    1. Re:Yeah, but... by alumshubby · · Score: 2

      Since this thread's going way off topic anyway, one thing always bothered me about the original concept of the Terminator: A cyborg that looks like five-foot-three-inch 68-yr-old Sadie Finklestein of Paramus, NJ would have a much easier time getting within killing range of Sarah Conor than a huge imposing Ahhnult. The "Sadie" could just walk up to her, say "Are you Sarah Conor, dear?" and....

      --
      "How many light bulbs does it take to change a person?" --BMcC-->
  33. EMP pulses by Shotgun · · Score: 2

    Would these planes be vulnerable to EMP pulses over lasers that have been discussed here on /. before?

    I ask this because the planes will be remote controlled which would require some type of radio link. That implies and antennae. Is it possible to harden an antennae against EMP and still recieve a low power signal from many miles away? (assumption: the remote control tranmitter would have to be portable which would limit it to a few hundred watts?)

    Would it be possible to control the plane with a laser communication system using a high altitude AWACs in order to keep line of sight.

    --
    Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
    Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
  34. Misconceptions by toolie · · Score: 2

    There are a ton of misconceptions in this discussion, so I'll just try to address them here.

    1) There is no AI running the UCAV. There is AI running in the aircraft, but it is there to help the pilot of the aircraft. It is an unmanned air vehicle (UAV), but there is a ground station that the pilot sits at. From this station, the pilot controls the aircraft, as well as designates and determines targets. The ground station has a screen that is a sensor view from the UCAV (both FLIR and DTV (I think it has DTV anyway)) that is used to identify the target before the PERSON pulls the trigger. (One person controls a flight of four UCAVs).

    2) Maneuverability. Sure, losing the human inside the aircraft would lessen the restrictions on aircraft agility, but the UCAV isn't designed for that. It is designed for deep attack missions, where the threat is too high for humans to risk their lives. It is designed for stealth. They don't want the UCAV to be seen at all. If its seen, it has very little in the way of surviving (which is why they are so cheap). They are designed to fly a long way, destroy the SAM sites (very easy to ID) and other high-priority targets (such as command and control structures).

    3) IFF. Modern land vehicles don't have the CPU power or bandwidth to answer all the IFF queries that would be going on on the modern battlefield. That is the main reason that they don't have IFF. It is still up to the person to decide if a target is a threat.

    --
    -- toolie
  35. More or less war crimes? by Pseudonymus+Bosch · · Score: 2
    ''COLLATERAL DAMAGE'' OR UNLAWFUL KILLINGS?
    According to NATO, initially aircraft were restricted to flying above 15,000 feet to protect their aircraft and pilots from the FRY air defences. This ceiling was relaxed during the second half of the air campaign, with some planes flying as low as 6,000 feet. Officials have conceded that high-altitude bombing reduced the overall effectiveness of the air campaign, but have denied that it resulted in increased civilian casualties. They said that many attacks were aborted if a target could not be positively identified so as to spare civilians.
    So these devices, will
    • increase the number of civilians killed because of the lack of compassion of the algorithm?

      or

    • diminish it because of more selective bombing (so that they can die of hunger or cold)?

    __
    --
    __
    Men with no respect for life must never be allowed to control the ultimate instruments of death.
    GW Bu
  36. Armed UAVs, cruise missiles and stuff by hwilker · · Score: 2

    All the talk in this thread about air-to-air combat, identification issues, communications latency, jamming, hacking etc. is quite interesting in principle. Looking at the specific mission the Boeing aircraft is designed for, however, a lot of the issues become irrelevant. The goal is to get a platform for Supression of Enemy Air Defences (SEAD) which is safer than the current manned airplanes, which have to fly right into the envelopes of the systems they are tasked to attack.

    The Boeing UAV, I imagine, would perform its mission by flying over a given area, maybe around an enemy airfield, which is the target for a later attack by manned strike aircraft. The UAV package, say four UAVs, cruises in, sensing for air defense radar emissions and looking with EO sensors and radar. Possible targets could be identified and cataloged by the on-board computer, and transmitted to the control station. Most of this part of the mission could be run quite autonomously, with human controllers only supervising. If the UAVs are engaged by enemy systems, they could perform automatic evasion maneuvers, or the controllers could intervene, ordering the endangered UAV to, for example, "fly into this valley and hide", and redirect it back sometime later.

    If the mission of the day is an attack on the air defense systems, this could be pre-planned in a very short amount of time by the controllers and the overall mission commander, based on the requirements of the follow-on strike package: "Let's take out these two missile batteries here first, they are on the ingress and egress routes for the strike, and then proceed to attack these gun batteries at the field - they may endanger our low-level strike planes". Targets can be designated, a time-on-target specified, and the UAV system would fly the UAVs in a manner consistent with these plans.

    The actual attack, then, would be a more hands-on effort on the controller's part. Weapons release would be ordered by them, but the technicalities would be handled by the computers - just as in manned aircraft.

    Afterwards, the surviving UAVs would withdraw or, possibly, stay on station to attack sudden threats when the manned strike aircraft are over the target.

    In light of the requirements of this mission, consider this:

    • Identification: air-defence systems should be relatively easy to identify. Most of them need RF emissions to work, and many have pretty unique visual (and, I guess, imaging radar) signatures as well. Take this together, and it should be possible to present the human operator a high-confidence evaluation of the area below/in front of the UAV. Manned friendly aircraft in the vicinity are not a combat, only an air traffic control problem.
    • Comm latency: This is not so much a problem if the moves and actions of the UAV are not dependent on split-second timing, as for example in air combat. Most of the activities during an unmanned SEAD mission, I would imagine, are time-critical, but not that much. Evading a missile requires quick reaction, of course, but some of this - the first turn - can be automated, and then the humans can intervene. If the first reaction isn't sufficient, you only lose an UAV, not a three-times-the-price fighter and an expensively-trained pilot or two.
    • Jamming: This requires a technical solution, but shouldn't be a big problem. The UAVs can be made autonomous enough to fly on for short periods of comm interruptions, and to return home (or perform other default actions) when comms break down for a longer time.
    • Hacking: This would entail gaining access to the ground-based control systems or the on-board systems in the UAV itself. This would probably be accomplished by compromising the communications protocol between the two, trying to pass false commands to the UAV and to present false sensor data to the ground system. I imagine that it would be possible in principle to do this, but very, very hard to implement in practice. This problem isn't specific to the case of armed UAVs, and need also be addressed in other contexts like inter-vehicle communications for ground forces, or data communications between AWACS and manned aircraft.
    --
    -- H. Wilker
  37. real friendly fire concern by gunner800 · · Score: 2
    Even if the computer controlled weapons went apesh*t and fired on each other, they wouldn't be killing friendlies. Friendly fire isn't so bad if nobody dies.

    However, I can see being concerned about interaction between computer-controlled aircraft and, say, ground troops. Human soldiers do not act in ways that are easily predictable by computers. Calling in a gunship for air cover might be a little risky if the "gunners" can't tell who's on whose side.


    My mom is not a Karma whore!

    1. Re:real friendly fire concern by mpe · · Score: 2

      This reminds me of a concept in the Cyberpunk RPG called the "Cookie-cutter" where a firearm, attack droid, or other nasty implement of death is fitted with a radio receiver, and anyone wearing (or implanted with) a transmitter with the correct signal briefly stops the firing mechanism while the gun is pointed at them.

      Hardly original, the idea crops up in the Philip K. Dick short story "Second Variety". Indeed the concept of killing machines disguised as humans also occurs in the same story.

  38. Tesla by Hard_Code · · Score: 2

    Asimov? Didn't Tesla predict drone aircraft way before that?

    --

    It's 10 PM. Do you know if you're un-American?
  39. Up and over down under by spam_it_to_me_baby · · Score: 2

    One of these suckers, known as the Global Hawk, is flying across the Pacific to Australia in April next year. It's landing at an as-yet unnamed airfield that is being extensively surveyed so the bot knows the lie of the land, so to speak. Release is here&l t;/a>.

  40. Re:Disturbing Trend by sconeu · · Score: 2

    At the risk of bringing in Trek, There was an episode (with the war fought by computers) where they pointed out that war is SUPPOSED to be messy and bloody. That's why it's to be avoided.

    --
    General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
  41. Re:New task/field for hackers by QuantumG · · Score: 2

    And the Tomahawk has delivered such payloads. During the Monica Lewinsky scandal Clinton launched dozens of Tomahawk missiles at targets that were apparently controlled by Osama bin Laden. Included in the barrage of explosives were a number of anti-personal warheads that on impact explode thousands of spiked cow pods. Automated massacre.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  42. Re:PIO, G and other little problems... by THB · · Score: 2

    -The number of g's that a plane can pull is not just limited by the pilot. At 9g the power needed to maintain a turn is extrodinary. Even the f-16 whose thrust is greater than its weight can only maintain this for short periods. After this the speed and thus energy, have dropped to a point where the plane has lost any advantage it may have gained while turning.
    -PIO was a problem on early designs of unstable aircraft. The newer revisions are much better at corrections than the older ones, most of the resistance to this was by pilots who got used to the lag. Try flying any plane at a low speed, and lag become a huge problem.
    -These new systems will be far heavier them current systems, and still require armor and such.

    You comment on human percetion however is the best agrument against this, and in the end will be the failing of unmanned aircraft.

  43. Re:New task/field for hackers by sconeu · · Score: 2

    This is just adding some kill AI as well.

    Much easier said than done.

    Remember, if you fsck up while writing the AI, PEOPLE DIE. And not the enemy.

    --
    General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
  44. I am worried. by shren · · Score: 5

    The US Government has avoided or gotten pressured out of a lot of wars because American Soldiers were dying. Each technology designed to fight a battle without putting men on the field or in the sky will help move a political impediment to war.

    Most people would consider this a bad thing.

    --
    Maybe the state's highest function is to grind out insoluble problems. (Zelazny, Hall of Mirrors)
    1. Re:I am worried. by jafac · · Score: 2

      bounce the signal off an AWACS (or similarly equipped plane - with an Apple AirPort Base Station. . . :-)

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  45. New task/field for hackers by fatguy64 · · Score: 2

    This sounds like a great new hacking project/field if it ever catches on. It's risky, but think of the payoff. A whole air force at your command. MUHUHAHA.
    Also, these new aircraft would presumably have to have contact with the ground. Wouldn't it be easy to jam/disable this contact and send them spiraling to their demise? Just a thought.

    --

    Trying is the first step toward failure. - Homer Simpson

  46. "Hammerheads" by SEWilco · · Score: 2

    Did anyone else think of Dale Brown's book "Hammerheads"? An anti-drug unit starts using the tilt-rotor V-22 Osprey with great success. They add on smaller remote-controlled versions for patrolling. Some operators drop candy on parachutes to recreational boaters (good public relations) which were being examined, while supervisors would prefer the public not realize that those oversized toys carry lethal weapons.

  47. Re:This is a great idea. by sconeu · · Score: 2

    Attention Citizen. Your avatar was killed in active duty on the 21st of June, 2026. Please report for decintergration at your nearest recycling plant.

    Trek did this one back in '66 or '67. The episode was called "A Taste of Armageddon".

    --
    General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
  48. The /real/ reason? by Mr_Tom · · Score: 2

    [Quoted from Economist article]
    America's air force spends around $2m training each pilot, and $1 billion a year keeping its 2,000 F-16 pilots in peak
    ....
    From simulations, Boeing has worked out that operators should be able to handle four UCAVs efficiently from a single workstation.
    [/Quoted]

    So, if you can quarter the number of pilots you need, that's a cost reduction of US$750m pa in ongoing training costs. Not to mention direct labour cost. Oh, and if you're spending US$2m on each pilot, that can be quartered as well.

    And given that military outfits spend more time sitting around at peace than in conflict, this is a real ongoing saving.... And I'd bet that /that's/ the real motivator. Nothing to do with engineering prowess, or protecting pilots, just good old-fashioned greenbacks. :-/

    1. Re:The /real/ reason? by jafac · · Score: 2

      Not only that, you pilots grew up playing the Playstation version, so training will be minimal - plus, you don't need perfect physical specimens - they don't have to have perfect eyesight (the camera gets rid of any advantage there), they don't have to be in top condition for resisting high-g maneuvers, nor do they need the extensive survival training.

      Basically, you could pull Beavis and Butthead right out of their living room and plop them directly into the console.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  49. Re:What about close air support? by sconeu · · Score: 2

    Thank you. But allow me to put it shorter and sweeter by using what I told my daughter when she asked about the Holocaust...

    Evil Exists.

    --
    General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
  50. Where's Isamu Dyson When We Need Him? by Robotech_Master · · Score: 2

    ObMacross Plus: Don't they know that if they start testing unmanned fighters, they run the risk of having them taken over by insane virturoid idol singers?
    --

    --
    Editor Emeritus and Senior Writer, TeleRead.org
  51. Re:One word: Jamming! by jmv · · Score: 2

    But then, you're vulnerable to stealth giant flying scisors!

  52. Re:Ender's game -- Possible spoilers by plsander · · Score: 2

    Sorry... The ships were not unmanned. There were human crews connected by the ansibles. Makes Ender's end strategy all that more poignent.

    SPOILER

    Now Ender did not know that it was not a training simulation, and the crews would not be returning to the homes they left (relativistic time dilation).

  53. What Asimov would think ... by (void*) · · Score: 3
    The three laws of robot fighter planes (RFP)

    1. An RFP may not injure friendly forces, or, through inaction, allow a friendly forces to come to harm from enemy forces.
    2. An RFP must obey orders given it by friendly ground control, except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.
    3. An RFP must protect its own existence and its partners as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Law.
  54. Ender's game by Chris+Siegler · · Score: 3

    Since UCAVs are remotely controlled by operators sitting at computer workstations, there is no need for pilots to fly constant training missions to keep their skills sharpened; they can sit at the same workstations and run simulations.

    It would be pretty hard to distinguish a simulation from a real battle then, wouldn't it? I won't ruin the ending for people who haven't read the book, but this brought to memory Orson Scott Card's book, a boy named Ender, and his training at battle school.

  55. Exactly! They did not accomplish their objective. by TheDullBlade · · Score: 2

    Yay! Rah-Rah Rangers! They killed over a thousand Somalis with a 50:1 kill ratio!

    Only... They aborted the mission.

    the US military has a long track record of beating hell out of truly committed enemies.

    On the contrary, the US military has a long track record of inflicting terrible losses on 3rd world countries without actually managing to do what they set out to do: the defence of South Vietnam, the abduction of a Somali warlord, humanitarian protection of Yugoslav civilians, just a few examples of the many complete and utter failures with high "collateral damage".

    With one gruesome stunt, the Somalis stopped the immense American war machine cold. Now that is a successful operation.

    --------

    --
    /.
  56. Re:Gundam Wing by AdamHaun · · Score: 2

    I think you said what I was trying to better than I could have myself. Thanks!

    --
    Visit the
  57. Re:What about the V-1? by jafac · · Score: 2

    No, it was when Ooog the caveman ordered his little brother, Ooogoo, to go kill the cavemen across the valley with a stone axe.

    The ethical dilemma lies with the person giving the orders, not with the mindless machine that follows them.

    --

    These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  58. Re:what asimov would think by andyh1978 · · Score: 4
    Perhaps the Asimov reference is an ironic one referring to the story 'The Feeling of Power'.

    In this (slightly heavy handed) story, the superpowers' computers battle each other, with fully automated weapons. Humans have become reliant on computers to do simple maths; why bother learning it when everyone has a computer?

    But the military want a way to beat the enemy's computer weapons; it's too costly to put larger and larger computers in the weapons. So, they re-invent the idea of doing maths on paper (a shocking concept to those assembled, and they name it 'graphitics'), and with it the 'manned missile'.

    The general drove on. "At the present time, our chief bottleneck is the fact that missiles are limited in intelligence. The computer controlling them can only be so large, and for that reason they can meet the changing nature of antimissile defenses in a unsatisfactory way. Few missiles, if any, accomplish their goal, and missile warfare is coming to a dead end; for the enemy , fortunately as well as for ourselves.

    "On the other hand, a missile with a man or two within, controlling flight by graphitics, would be lighter, more mobile, more intelligent. It would give us a lead that might well mean the margin of victory. Besides which, gentlemen, the exigencies of war compel us to remember one thing. A man is much more dispensable than a computer. Manned missiles could be launched in numbers and under circumstances that no good general would care to undertake as far as computer-directed missiles are concerned-"
    Full story can be found at this site.
  59. Friendly fire isn't about aircraft by NMerriam · · Score: 3

    The concern with friendly fire isn't about allied aircraft -- you're correct that we alrady have decent friend-or-foe identification beacons on friendly aircraft to prevent us accidentally downing an allied plane.

    The primary concern in frind-or-foe is in ground forces that have no such beacons, nor do they really have any way of carrying such.

    The reason we lost so many forces to friendly fire during the Gulf War is that our ground forces were moving so quickly that they were frequently AHEAD of the official friend/foe demarcation. They were pushing so aggresively into Iraqi territory that they were mistaken by allied aircraft as thus being Iraqui forces and fired upon.

    In almost every case the mistake was recongnized immediately, but of course once the Hellfire is launched it does little good to realize it was a friendly tank.

    As much as we trust in technology the truth remains that we really have no 100% effective way of knowing exactly where friendly and enemy troops are int he heat of battle -- which is why, ultimately, we HAVE to rely on humans to make the call. if an aircraft's IFF is damaged that doesn't excuse our shooting it down, and the same goes for tanks.

    Some of the fault belongs in the fact that our armed forces (like moth other government agencies) are decentralized -- the Army doesn't necessarily know exactly what the Air Force is doing, and vice versa. Of course they cooperate, and they are getting much better, but even within the Army you had most of the friendly fire due to simple inability to notify the Army air units that the Army ground units were progressing as quickly as they were. Picking individual tanks out of a skirmish would be an exercise in futility if there was not a human to make the call.

    That said, the real advantage to unmanned craft is that they no longer have to keep within the physical constraints of safety for the pilot -- they can pull 15-G turns without a problem, and don't have to be designed to incorporate safety equipment or a feild of view for human eyes. They can be designed to be essentially disposable, perfectly aerodynamic, lighter, highly maneuverable, and with a minimal radar signature...

    ---------------------------------------------

    --
    Recursive: Adj. See Recursive.
  60. Re:what asimov would think by pen · · Score: 2
    There was also a movie with a similar name that was filmed during the '70's (?) with a remarkably similar plot. Anyone remember watching Colossus?

    BTW, I saw that movie again on Scifi a few weeks ago, and couldn't believe the resemblance of the Colossus logo and the AOL logo.

    --

  61. Roles and missions by CrusadeR · · Score: 2

    It'll be interesting to see how the program will develop as they run through the prototype airframes/AI... since they're saying they're just initially targeting SEAD as a program goal, it seems that Boeing doesn't feel their air-to-air capabilities are viable in a dogfight yet (which translates to human fighter escorts for the strike wing).

    Also, with the pilot removed, the UCAV can perform very high-g maneuvers (probably just for evasion of SAMs/AAMs and what not)... does anyone know if the current generation of unmanned reconnaisance aircraft have complex evasion routines, or are they oblivious to air defenses?

    --
    :wq
  62. Ender's game by joto · · Score: 2
    This looks much like the classic SF story Ender's game by Orson Scott Card.

    In that story, a young computer hacker and excellent gamer is sent to army training, controlling unmanned combat space vehicles in a war with an alien race. He won the war in a very unexpected way. I don't want to spoil the ending for those who haven't read it, but you should!

  63. PIO, G and other little problems... by costas · · Score: 4
    There are better reasons than cost to create UCAVs:

    G-forces. At this day and age, the true limit of a fighter's performance isn't engine power or structural integrity: it's how many Gs the pilot can stand. Even with the best pressure suits, a UCAV has an obvious advantage.

    PIO (Pilot Induced Oscillation): if you're gonna pull any tricky aerodynamics like the X-45 does (inverted swept wing, stealth profile) you need dynamically unstable aircraft. The problem with unstable designs in fighters is usually that the pilot overcompensates flight corrections --i.e., the resolution of the human is much lower than the resolution that the flight corrections must be made; in essence, the pilot is correcting the aircraft at a lag. Modern control systems of course correct for this already --by trying to determine what the pilot *wants* to do, rather than what he's putting in the stick-- but with higher Gs (and thus higher speeds) the human is the weak link.

    Weight, of course. If I remember my Design courses correctly, the extra systems for the pilot account for about 20%-25% of a fighter's Take Off Gross Weight: armor plating, cockpit controls, air conditioning, etc. Weight is an aircraft's Number 1 limiting design factor.

    OTOH there is one huge disadvantage to a UCAV: in a dog-fight, or whenever human perception is needed to reduce the decision tree to something manageable, they will always (well, for the next few decades anyway) be outmanned. Pun intended.

    1. Re:PIO, G and other little problems... by jmv · · Score: 2

      Just a correction, there's no problem with a pilot flying an unstable aircraft. Lots of today's aircrafts are naturally unstable, but they are made stable by the control system which takes its input from the pilot. The F-117 stealth fighter is an example (I think it's probably the worse) of an unstable aircraft.

      As for the G-force, a computer can take more than a human, but there's still a fundamental limit with what the wings can take, which is probably aroung 15 G's (I'm guessing here), while a pilot can take 7-9 G's.

  64. Friendly fire by Doctor+Dark · · Score: 2

    I imagine that "The Economist" was referring to the American habit of shooting up its allies on the ground, rather than the marginally less frequent shooting own aircraft, flying through cable railways, crashing Harriers with no reason at all, but as usual, irony flies over the American head.

    --

    The original Doctor Dark.

  65. Sour Grapes by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 2
    After the "accidental" bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade, the opinion of many countries (most notably China, of course) was that Americans are so afraid of losing their own lives, that they are willing to be reckless with the lives of other people.
    Sour grapes and propoganda. The US Military is amoung, if not THE, world's most powerfull forces. It has in its arsonal weapons systems that give it capabilities undreamed of by less well-funded armies. To those who oppose US interests, that has to be frightening. I'm not suprised this generates a bit of name-calling.
    Some have gone so far as to link this behavior to the fact that we are willing to get involved where Europeans or Oil is at stake (not necessarily in that order of importance), even if mass slaughter is going on and human rights are being severely violated with impunity.
    Damned if you do, damned if you don't.

    The US is going to protect its interests. War for oil? Certainly. The Gulf War was about protecting allied, and thus US, interests. Liberating a small State overan by its aggresive neighbor? It makes good press.

    That's not to say the US won't take action on a moral basis. We have the reach to be able to react to any event in the world. But these situations get considerably more complex and have to potential to change drastically from the inital intent. Somalia is a prime example (and has sparked frantic study in urban warfare by the US Army). But just because we can... does that mean we should?

    The US military can't solve every problem in the world. We will fail if we try. With any luck, the US leadership will wisely choose those situations where US involvement can help.

    But the more the US gets involved in world affairs, the more we'll be scorned by fearfull governments for interfering with other sovergn nations. How ironic that some of these same critics would complain that we don't involve ourselves with every world hotspot.

    Of course, the fear of some of the greatest critics will be that the next "hot spot" will be their own backyard.

    Or breeding new and interesting versions of Mad Cow Disease to spray into cattle feed. Or slipping discrete lead-lined packets out of Khazakstan. Or suicide bombing our ships. Or cutting back on oil production.
    And thus, our critics will seek ways to level the playing field. They'll use our morality (wish to avoid civilian casualties) to gain the high ground - its part of what makes urban warfare so difficult. And they'll seek out cheap forms of "weapons of mass destruction" to include biological and chemical agents. Oddly enough, this kind of threat will only increase the likelyhood that the US will take active interest in these governments.
  66. Re:what asimov would think by pen · · Score: 2
    OK, I took a few seconds to look it up. The movie was actually released in 1969, and was called "Colossus: The Forbin Project". It was about the U.S. and the Soviet Union both building virtually indestructible supercomputers that powered the defense system of each country. Eventually, the computers take over the planet and force (!) people to live in peace. You can see the Colossus logo pretty clearly on the bottom images on this page (caching courtesy of Lycos), and there's also the IMDB entry.

    --

  67. Idiotic Solutions to Real Problems by sielwolf · · Score: 2

    Um, is there anyway of teaming Unmanned and Manned craft? Like a single human fighter with, say, 5 unmanned subordinates?

    I don't know about you, but when I play Homeworld, I usually watch my squadrons closely (while not leaving it to a blip on the screen for them to find/kill). If "I" think that what they find is/isn't worth it, "I" decide if they should go for it/retreat/find something else.

    The machines can dip their fingers in blood while a human can play eye in the sky (e.g. "Heh, look, a SCUD base" or "Nope, those are our guys").

    Personally it seems like a solution that maximizes all of their strengths while minimizing their weaknesses.

    --
    What is music when you despise all sound?
  68. Re:Exactly! They did not accomplish their objectiv by rjh · · Score: 2

    Only... They aborted the mission.

    Absolutely false. The mission objective was achieved despite overwhelming resistance.

    Put in boldface for a reason. The mission objective was the snatch-and-grab of one of Aidid's lieutenants, and they successfully achieved their objective.

    Further missions were scrubbed by White House order. The theater commanders disagreed vehemently with the President's abandonment of the Somalia operation; they had Aidid's entire gang on the ropes after that battle in downtown Mogadishu, and Task Force Ranger wanted to finish the job--with sufficient force and vehemence to send a strong message that you don't desecrate the bodies of American troopers.

    The theater commanders were overridden by the President.

    The failure of the US military to achieve its objectives in the Somalia operation is really a failure of the US political system. The military did everything we asked them to, and more. But, as is usual, US politicians lost their will to fight long before the military did.

  69. One other overlooked (and critical) advantage by lrund · · Score: 2
    One of the greatest dangers to the armed forces that manned aircraft represent is the loss of their aircrew.

    In this case, I'm not talking about the expense of the loss of a highly-trained pilot, or the simple human factor of pilots dying. I'm talking about what happens when an aircraft is downed over enemy territory.

    Do you remember what happened during the Gulf War when Hussein got his hands on Allied pilots? They were tortured, paraded in front of television cameras, and used as instruments of psychological warfare and propaganda. Let's look at each of these eventualities as dispassionately as such a subject will allow:

    • Western nations' aircrews know a great deal about what's going on. A downed pilot is almost always a high-ranking officer, and will know things that the enemy would dearly love to find out: base locations, upcoming missions, the numbers and dispositions of military units on their own side, what military intelligence (no canned cliches here, please) knows, etc... and this information will be forcibly extracted. "Interrogation" is an ancient science, and has been developed to horrific effectiveness. The desired information
    • will be extracted.

      I can't speak for other nations, but I do know that modern Americans have no stomach for military casualties, no matter what the cause. One of the best ways to get the US out of a local war is to rack up the body count and prisoner count... you don't need many. Just a few widely-televised images, and the "bring our boys home" protests begin (note: I am not taking a side on whether we should be involved in any specific military action; I don't have the dependable information to judge, and neither do you. What, you trust CNN? Pentagon spokesmen? Iraqi spokesmen?). A downed pilot is a very effective weapon against the will of Americans to fight.

    Remove the pilot from the possibility of capture, and you deny the enemy (whoever that might be at the moment... these things tend to change) a source of accurate military intelligence and a psychological warfare tool.

    Plus, people like me whose fathers are combat pilots can be a bit more certain Dad will be home for Christmas.

  70. Disturbing Trend by vergil · · Score: 5
    I've noticed a disturbing trend when it comes to modern weaponry, war and the public's perception of both.

    Recall the "conflict" (it wasn't formally a "war") in the Persian Gulf and the lavish media coverage fawning over the tricked-out American arsenal of depleted uranium, ship-launched cruise missiles and so-called "smart bombs."

    I was in high school at the time, and remember well the glossy graphics in the corporate press extolling the efficiency of "fire-and-forget" rockets.

    Later came a few insightful (but quickly forgotten) editorials criticizing America's "video game mentality" of combat.

    Perhaps automated weapon systems are more efficient than those manned by humans. Maybe they'll even cut down on "friendly" casualties, and, in the long run, shave some dollars off of our bloated defense budget.

    What really concerns me ain't efficiency, or cost savings. It's accountability. I think many fail to realize that war -- whether conducted with knives or napalm, whether hand-to-hand or computerized -- is about killing. Smart bombs and fire-and-forget missiles abstract killing to a small blip on a phosphorescent screen far removed from the actual event.

    Unmanned flying gunships, I'm afraid, are a step in the wrong direction.

    Sincerely,
    Vergil

    1. Re:Disturbing Trend by mpe · · Score: 2

      If you take that weapon away from the human, he becomes a much less effective destroyer. Consider a soldier without a gun, a tank crew without their vehicle, a pilot without his plane; they all weild much less power without their hardware.

      Actually the most serious thing which can be done to a soldier is a non fatal, non life threatening (with medical treatment), serious injury. That not only prevents them from being a military threat but also requires resources to be expended in treatment/evacuation/etc.

    2. Re:Disturbing Trend by Shotgun · · Score: 2

      From what I've read about modern military history, the goal of war is not to kill people, it is to destroy the combat effectiveness of the enemy's forces.

      This kind of thinking is the reason why the U.S. military can't beat a truly committed enemy. It doesn't help that their idea of "combat effectiveness" is hopelessly self-referential (combat effectiveness is the ability to reduce combat effectiveness of an enemy).

      I was suprised to learn that the M-16 was not designed to kill the enemy, it was designed to maim. The bullet is steel cased, pointed, and designed to tumble. A lucky shot (luck being relative) will take out more than one enemy as the bullet passes through one in a random fashion and into another. The enemey is then left with two wounded to drag home and care for. If you want to see the enemy's moral drop, have them carry come a lot of wounded who are screaming in pain as infection sets in. If you want to see moral drop even faster, force them to leave those same screaming wounded on the battle field.

      The combat effectiveness of the enemy includes their will to fight. I'm a big guy who doesn't like to get hit. I have bluffed my way through several fights just by looking mean. This corresponds to the psychological aspect of war. We want to hit and kill the enemy without them even knowing that we have been there, thus raising fear in the average forcibly recruited soldier. Just as happened in Irag, we want to scare the off the battlefield so that we don't risk getting hit ourselves.

      Unmanned aircrafts controlled remotely just make sense. Smaller tighter craft with more aerodynamic designs will basically consist of a missile carrying engine with wing stubs. They'll be in, hit the enemy, perform maneuvers that would kill a pilot, and be out again before the enemy has a chance to get a shot off. Being taken down without even a chance to fight back has got to be one of the most demoralizing situations imaginable for a soldier.

      Of course, as others have stated, this will be an impetus for politician to involves us in even more conflicts that we shouldn't be in. Call it the 'see-it-doesn't-hurt-us' factor.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    3. Re:Disturbing Trend by vergil · · Score: 2
      Cam--

      I think you misunderstood my position.

      Let me state first that I'm flattered you will remember me. Second, I'm not putting a gun to your head bro. Take a pause and several deep breaths.

      My point wasn't that we should gratuitously deny American servicemen the latest technology. My point was that such technology -- specifically armed, airborne drones -- could easily be used to strip a layer of accountability from the mechanics of combat ... in other words, could be used to sanitize killing. I never said the military should be prohibited from using armed airborne drones.

      War is not about killing. War is about proving to the other guy that you mean business, and will stop at nothing to get what you want. If something is imporant enough for one soldier to die for, then it should be important enough for every citizen of his country to die for. Including you, Vergil. Anything less is a waste of life.

      Where to start. First, let's look at your romanticized notion of warfare in the context of recent American military involvements. To me, war is not justified by the placating tautology that, if one soldier can make a noble sacrifice on the front line, all citizens should be able to make a similar sacrifice. I like to think (and forgive me, perhaps I'm indulging in the luxury of speaking from the comfort of my terminal while you and your men sacrifice such simple comforts)that violent action initiated by a nation should be justified on it's own merits, and not by the hardships such action causes said nation's citizens. All to often I and other American citizens feel that our government's latest armed escapade is initiated for reasons that are less than noble. I think a soldier that dies due to a Washington policymaker's incompetance or ulterior motives is a squandrance of life. I don't agree with your assertion that the opposite is true.

      In such a scenario, I don't believe that -- as you put it -- every citizen should be willing to die for a cause if one soldier risks his life for said cause. That's absurd. Put down your copy of Thus Spake Zarathustra for a second and recognize that some of us -- perhaps not you -- prefer to deliberate before locking-and-loading, lacing up our BDU's and leaping at the latest state-sponsored crusade.

      By the way. I don't think you should be risking your neck in Kosovo. Maybe you think I'm a "traitor" for voicing my opinion, but it is my personal, humble opinion. I'm not exactly sure why the American government decided to commit troops there, but I'm fairly certain such a massive commitment of resources has accomplished precious little toward ending a thousand years of ethic strife.

      Even though I disagree with you, I really do appreciate your well-thought out reply. Thanks.

      Sincerely,
      Vergil

    4. Re:Disturbing Trend by Shaister · · Score: 2

      "The first such mission envisioned is the suppression of enemy air defenses." -From the Boeing website. Having failed to create successful smart bombs, we thought we'd try our hand at smart bombers. Maybe the next step is smart Generals.

    5. Re:Disturbing Trend by tswinzig · · Score: 2

      Hey, if you're going to make it easier to kill other men and women under the guise of war, you should be willing to risk your own life.

      Why? We generally don't start wars in America, we finish them (one way or another). If another country is going to commit an act of war, then why should we risk American lives trying to end that war?

      Perhaps one only realizes the value of all life when one's own has been put in danger, or sacrificed

      So you think that if one pilot risks his life, that suddenly there will be millions of Americans that all of a sudden understand the value of all life?

      Wars are going to happen. The question is whether or not we risk our lives in them. Sure, I'd feel differently about this if we lived in Germany, and Hitler was building these planes to take over the world. But until I see the US attacking other countries, unprovoked, I don't have any problem with it whatsoever.

      "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence."

      --

      "And like that ... he's gone."
    6. Re:Disturbing Trend by jafac · · Score: 2

      it was more along the lines of:

      We will treat it like a snake, find the head, cut it off, and then kill it.
      ( I remember this, because the analogy broke down when he said that, as if cutting off a snakes head wouldn't kill it already - years later, I read in Scientific American that a severed snake's head can still bite even hours after it was removed)

      This discussion was how Colin Powell was going to treat the Iraqi Army's command structure, they used electronic warfare to stop all communication, then attacked all command posts. Cut it off, and then kill it.
      It's a pretty obvious battle plan, so he wasn't really revealing anything.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    7. Re:Disturbing Trend by rjh · · Score: 2

      This kind of thinking is the reason why the U.S. military can't beat a truly committed enemy.

      On the contrary:the US military has a long track record of beating hell out of truly committed enemies. The most recent such incident I can think of occurred in Mogadishu, Somalia back in 1993, when a simple snatch-and-grab on a Somali warlord turned into the largest US ground engagement since Vietnam.

      The fight lasted for the day, throughout the night, and then some. The Rangers were short on water (very important for long engagements in desert climates), ammunition, night-vision equipment, and were outnumbered at least ten to one by insurgents on the ground.

      Something on the order of twenty American troops were killed. Over one thousand armed Somalis were killed and another five hundred wounded. (These estimates come from Somali medical sources, not US military sources. Estimates of civilian casualties are highly speculative, and deeply tragic. Urban combat is hell on everyone, especially the poor schmucks who've got the bad luck to live there.)

      The Somali warlords, in an attempt to bolster morale of their decimated troops, dragged the body of a US serviceman through the streets (a soldier named Shugart, I think). That went on the international wire and the video was seen in the United States, which shocked and appalled US sensibilities so much that the Somali operation was aborted.

      The public sentiment is that we were beaten in Mogadishu. The reality is that the Rangers acquitted themselves very well against a ferociously committed adversary, and against incredible odds.

    8. Re:Disturbing Trend by Detritus · · Score: 3
      I think many fail to realize that war -- whether conducted with knives or napalm, whether hand-to-hand or computerized -- is about killing.

      From what I've read about modern military history, the goal of war is not to kill people, it is to destroy the combat effectiveness of the enemy's forces. This usually involves killing people, but that is not the objective.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
  71. They did not accomplish their larger objectives. by TheDullBlade · · Score: 2

    I didn't really know anything about the Somalia operation, I was going by what you said, which was that they aborted the mission. Now I've looked up a few concise histories of it, so I can work with facts other than the ones you mentioned.

    It changes little. While they accomplished their narrowly defined objective (abducting a single man), they failed in their implied objective of retaining their capability to continue to act in the area, and the root objective of making it possible for the food shipments to be fairly distributed.

    Let's not forget that this was in the context of a humanitarian mission, and killing Somali soldiers was something that they were supposed to keep to a minimum. Those high kill counts do not speak in their favor. Americans cause an amazingly high number of casualties during "humanitarian" missions.

    All this aside from the inherent incompetence of ordering the abduction. If the military high command had adequately predicted the casualties that the operation would cost for the politicians, the order would surely not have been given.

    They won the battle in such a way that it lost them the war. Claiming success is like applauding a chess player who says "I set out to capture his pawn and I did" when he is mated on the next move. The US also won many battles in Vietnam, and their kill ratios were very impressive despite low morale and drafted troops. Whenever they set a short-term objective, they accomplished it. They still lost the war, because they didn't know what the hell their objectives really were.

    I don't blame the soldiers involved. They followed orders successfully. However, I do not agree with your seperation of the US military and the US political system. The US political system is the top-level command of the US military. I'm not disputing that the US military is very competent at certain, well-specified tasks, but rather pointing out that they rarely achieve a useful result. Because they lack clear, consistent motivation throughout the command structure, one level is always manufacturing disaster for another level.

    The top-level command, the politicians, saw the "snatch and grab" as a disaster, while the ranked military officers saw it as a success (sure, we told you it would be easy, but we did it! Don't blame us!). How much more screwed up could that be?

    Worst of all, at the very heart of the problem is that the situation in Somalia was partly caused by the US. Just as the US supported Saddam Hussein's rise to power, they supported one Somali warlord or another during the cold war to prevent the rise of communism in favor of violent anarchy. The politics that lead to the famine (Somalia being agriculturally self-sufficient to the point where it would normally have weathered the drought) were a direct result of earlier US (to the tune of nearly, if not more than, a billion dollars in aid to certain warlords) and Russian intervention. Furthermore, early in the relief efforts, the US military treated Aidid and other warlords as legitimate local authorities. They created the situation they meant to end, and ultimately defeated themselves.

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  72. This isn't going to replace the bayonet.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    'You can bomb it, shell it, gas it, irradiate it, and make it inhabitable for humans, but it's not *yours* untill a seventeen year old with a rifle is standing on it." Even the new Land Warrior system OICW has a bayonet lug....

  73. Re:They did not accomplish their larger objectives by rjh · · Score: 2

    they failed in ... retaining their capability to continue to act in the area

    Again false. Task Force Ranger was good to go within minutes after the original force returned home. Not all of Task Force Ranger ventured out that day; a lot of guys were still fresh and ready to fight.

    If the military high command had adequately predicted the casualties that the operation would cost for the politicians, the order would surely not have been given.

    In fact, casualties were predicted. The order was given anyway.

    They still lost the war, because they didn't know what the hell their objectives really were.

    US soldiers didn't lose Vietnam. US politicians lost Vietnam. But, given that "I do not agree with your separation of the US military and the US political system", I'll grant that.

    The distinction between the two really is fundamental, BTW. The President of the United States may be Commander-in-Chief, but he's a civilian--were he to be a military officer, he'd have had to face a court-martial over Monica Lewinsky. The President is an elected official, answerable to the people; the military is answerable only to the government.

    I agree with you heartily regarding the failure of US politics in the region. However, since the politicians failed, that's where the blame ought to go--not on the military, which did its job admirably and without complaint, despite impossible resistance.

  74. Re:What about the V-1? by mpe · · Score: 2

    It's all a matter of definition, but wasn't the V-1 in some sense the first example of this? It was radio-controlled in real-time, and carried a warhead.

    No the ranging on a V1 was by use of a propeller on the front, which would measure distance. There was an idea of fitting some missiles with radio tracking, but the German high command felt that the intelligence reports they were getting were accurate.

  75. Re:in other news by sheckard · · Score: 2

    No commercial airplane will ever fly without pilots in any of our lifetime.

    While we may have the technology to do it, it's not mature enough yet. And I'm not even sure that it would be possible. No airplane has the capability to do a autopilot takeoff, and while many have the capability to do an autolanding, it's possible at maybe 10 or 15 runways in the US. (By autolanding, I mean a full autolanding, flying an ILS approach to standard minimums and requiring the pilots to take over the approach and hand-fly it from there obviously doesn't count.) I can guarantee you that the FAA would not certificate and aircraft airworthy without pilots. That is a good thing in my opinion. The FAA does not even allow pilots to use GPS as their sole means of navigation flying IFR -- they must have a VOR tuned in and set to the proper course.

    So, in short, while it's possible for an airplane to reduce the pilot's workload by 90%, that last 10% will never disappear. At least not in our lifetime for commercial (ie people-carrying) aircraft.

  76. Para bellum by Pseudonymus+Bosch · · Score: 2

    A convincing and overwhelming threat of force can prevent wars from starting or avert human rights abuses.

    As in "I am Lex Luthor and I can destroy Metropolis unless you dye your hair blue"?

    a nation that wants to secure a good and peaceful tomorrow had best be investing in these technologies today.

    A nation that want to secure a good and peaceful tomorrow had best be investing a bit less in economical development, democracy, human rights and the environment both at home and abroad.

    Investing in these technologies is for those who want world domination and a healthy military-industrial complex.
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    GW Bu
    1. Re:Para bellum by Pseudonymus+Bosch · · Score: 2

      As in "I am Lex Luthor and I can destroy Metropolis unless you dye your hair blue"?
      A ridiculous example, but yes.


      I couldn't find any better at the moment. But yesterday's news brought that the US have unclassified documents that acknowledge that the US helped the social unrest before the Chilean military killed the democratically elected president Salvador Allende to install a long-term dictatorship.

      such investments can support economic development, democracy, and human rights.

      I doubt it. The usual example is that Japan and Germany after the WW II show that there better ways to imporve a country than investing in the military. And lots of countries have invested a lot in weapons and armies without much economic or democratic success.

      In an ideal world, military power would be unnecessary. In case you haven't looked around recently, this is not an ideal world.

      And I think that armies are not part of the solution and probably part of the problem.
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      Men with no respect for life must never be allowed to control the ultimate instruments of death.
      GW Bu
  77. This is a great idea. by empesey · · Score: 2

    This will lead to unmanned tanks, and other tools of destruction. Soon, wars will be settled by [unmanned] tournaments of Roshambo.

  78. Will the system's new recruits be found at... by MathJMendl · · Score: 2

    Video game arcades with flight simulations?

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    "I have not failed. I've simply found 10,000 ways that won't work." --Thomas Edison
  79. I hate when that happens. by TheDullBlade · · Score: 2

    Well, it seems we're indeed just arguing because of a difference of semantics (and, indeed, yours are more standard; I've been deliberately using the term "military" very broadly to try and make people think about it from another direction).

    But I think that this belief in the seperation of military and government is a huge part of the problem. That idea is at the heart of my original post.

    The politicians were not entirely to blame for the failure in Vietnam.

    Outsiders can't just step into a civil war and "win" it.

    Sure, the US military could have gone in and wiped out all military forces that opposed them at any one time. There would have been massive civilian casualties, resulting in greater support for communism. The people of North Vietnam believed in communism, as did many in South Vietnam. If you think the P.R. problems were bad back home, think of what they were in Vietnam.

    There was no way to win. This type of situation is like a hydra, where cutting off one head causes two more to grow. The best outcome a military solution could achieve would be a police-state under US martial law.

    Even worse was the fact that the real enemies weren't in Vietnam. Fighting them indirectly was hopeless, each side could pour weapons in indefinitely. Fighting them directly was impossible, as nuclear devastation would result.

    Sure, the politicians made mistakes, but it was an utterly hopeless situation. The military could destroy any target given to them, but nothing was to be gained by such destruction.

    Again false. Task Force Ranger was good to go within minutes after the original force returned home.

    More confusion in the discussion. I meant within the larger context, they lost political support for future action.

    In fact, casualties were predicted.

    Yes, but they were underestimated. But I think perhaps that the estimates were based on support that they didn't have. They wanted, and should have had, close air support and tanks on standby.

    Furthermore, an earlier plan involving the use of Delta Force resulted in the evaluation that they could just go in and pick up whoever they wanted off the streets. They later changed their minds, but that bold statement probably stuck in the politicians' mind. If that initial evaluation had been less optimistic, the abduction strategy would probably never have been considered.

    It reminds me faintly of Dieppe (it's a Canadian thing, you might not recognize the reference, but it's an interesting example of a world-class fuckup), in the way that planned-on support was stripped away a bit at a time (though the results were very different).

    At least one Ranger bled to death while their commander took 6 hours to beg in non-US UN armor, and another 6 for them to get there. Successful or not, there were some major screwups.

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    1. Re:I hate when that happens. by rjh · · Score: 2

      Yes, but they were underestimated. But I think perhaps that the estimates were based on support that they didn't have. They wanted, and should have had, close air support and tanks on standby.

      Task Force Ranger had helicopter gunships overhead during the entire engagement; in fact, two of the gunships (Black Hawks) were shot down. Insofar as armor support, that's very dicey in urban environments--many city streets, particularly in Third World countries, won't take the weight of an AFV.

      Insofar as the underestimation of casualties, that's probably only marginally right. Twenty casualties is probably within the spread which was predicted, and far closer to the worst-case than the best-case. The Army never says "we expect to lose five troops in this op"; they say "we expect casualties to run up to X percent".

      Now, whether or not politicians really understand that X percent casualties means X percent dead American boys, that's a far different question. With President Clinton, the answer was no--he didn't understand. It's been reported that he felt deeply betrayed by his advisors for not making him understand just how serious an issue war is. (Ref: Mark Bowden, Black Hawk Down).

      Furthermore, an earlier plan involving the use of Delta Force resulted in the evaluation that they could just go in and pick up whoever they wanted off the streets.

      In fact, that was the plan, and Delta Force was the unit tasked with the snatch and grab. There was also a Navy SEAL with Task Force Ranger, if I recall correctly. The Rangers were there only to support the D-boys, not to achieve the objective on their own. However, since officially the D-boys don't exist, credit for the collar went to the Rangers.

      Things began to go wrong as soon as the first Ranger abseiled out of the helicopter. Something went wrong (nobody's sure what) and he fell six stories to the street. (He survived, BTW, but with major brain damage.) Then the Somalis started engaging the air support, which was expected; the RPG-7s they were engaging them with wasn't. Two Black Hawk helicopters were shot down, and that's when the mission went from SNAFU to TARFU.

      At least one Ranger bled to death

      His name was Jamie Smith. His injuries came when the helicopter he was in crashed. Post-incident investigation shows that, even if medevac had been available, he'd still have died from his injuries--they were simply irreparable.

      Jamie's father has never accepted this version of events, though, and loudly condemns the military for not having the 10th Mountain on standby.

      while their commander took 6 hours to beg in non-US UN armor, and another 6 for them to get there

      It took several hours for armor to be mobilized, but once it arrived, it didn't take six hours for them to relieve the Rangers--only that long to group up with the Rangers. They were taking heat off the Rangers the instant they arrived in Mogadishu.

      -- Please note that I'm not disagreeing with you re: the political stupidity of Somalia--the abject, utter, addle-brained stupidity of it all. But there is a lot of rumor and misinformation going on about Somalia, and it really annoys me.

      A friend of mine, Dan, was murdered a few days later in Mogadishu. He was a journalist reporting for Reuters', and one of the nicest people I ever knew. Kind of erratic at times, though--he was driven, genuinely driven to report on the Third World, and he had great empathy for people in developing countries. It tended to color his view of the world, and he was pretty fed up with American luxury when he left for Somalia.

      It's hypothesized that his attackers were so outraged over their losses to the Rangers that they decided to lynch any Americans they could find.

      It's deeply ironic they'd lynch the one American who could, and did, understand their anger and rage.

      -- That's my personal interest in Mogadishu. That's why I'm so anal-retentive about making sure people understand what really happened and what didn't. I figure, Dan would at least want me to get his story straight.

  80. economics by sethg · · Score: 2
    The Economist article:
    ...[UAVs] can loiter over dangerous areas without putting pilots at risk or costing too much (around $3m apiece) to replace...
    Sen. Everett Dirksen:
    A million dollars here, a million dollars there ... pretty soon, you're talking about real money.

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    send all spam to theotherwhitemeat@ropine.com
  81. Don't be a civilian by Pseudonymus+Bosch · · Score: 2

    Wars wouldn't be such a bad thing any more.

    Unless you are a civilian. And from WW I to Ruanda, civilians are making more and more of the victims of war.
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    GW Bu
  82. What OS? by MathJMendl · · Score: 2

    Hopefully the system won't be running Windows. Imagine the surprise of the world if the new planes suddently take a break from fighting against other countries in war and suddenly engage in a tactical attack on Netscape Navigator's home base. =-)

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    "I have not failed. I've simply found 10,000 ways that won't work." --Thomas Edison
  83. One word: Jamming! by jmv · · Score: 2

    Make all your aircrafts unmanned and the next thing you know, your communications are being jammed and all your planes are suddenly down! You can make a communication system more robust to jamming (by using spread-spectrum, and other redunduncy), but you cannot make it totally jamming-proof.

    Another problem with such an aircraft is that in order to be guided, the plane needs to emit (so the ground controller can see the data). This has two side effects:
    1) The plane cannot be made stealth.
    2) It would be all too easy to guide a missile based on those emissions.

    I think the future of unmanned aircrafts will depend on AI. Of course, we're not yet there...

  84. Manouvering too. by mindstrm · · Score: 2

    Given there is no human occupant to protect, the planes can be made more aerodynamic, and more maneouverable.. and deal with forces much greater than our conventional fighters can.
    (most, if not all, modern planes can handle forces and manouvers that would easily kill their occupants)

  85. EVERY LAST ONE OF YOU IS MISSING THE POINT by bellers · · Score: 2

    The thing that you have either missed or chose to miss is that UCAV is not a ROBOT vehicle, it is merely unmanned.

    UCAV is controlled by humans in remote locations, presumably out of harms way. UCAV does have some automated functionality, but nothing more complicated than cruise control.

    Sheesh. You replace the pilot with a camera and suddenly everyone starts talking talking Asimov and Heinlein.

    Hey, I've got an idea, while we watch the UCAV demo, lets put on our flying backpacks and eat some Soylent Green for lunch.

    The moral of this story is that things are usually not as much as they appear to be, be it nifty, insidious, nefarious, exciting, whatever.

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    This space for rent.
  86. hacking into jet fighters: not bloodly likely by Lohgra · · Score: 3

    All this talk about intercepting or spoofing control signals is ridiculous.

    If electronic infiltration were even a remote possibility with computer pilots it would be almost as doable with real ones, since a human pilot gets targetting info, terrain maps, base and target locations, and mission objectives from ground or satellite locations already.

    Of course there is the human element of trust in calling the enemy "charlie" or naming different jets with various adjective/animal/number triplets, but that is just another type of encryption, really. It can't always be cracked by computers (as long as they're still failing the turing test) but enemy humans can crack it pretty well.

    A human pilot could of course just use visual imput to complete the mission and get home if he had some reason to doubt ground or satellite info. But so could a computer pilot! If the checksums or codewords or protocols are a bit fishy, of if it sees one ally attacking another, the computer plane can go manual override and just do its own thing. Of course this creates the possibility for a Dr. Strangelove scenario, but the movie shows that humans don't do much good against that.

    Personally I plan on getting on the robots' good side now so they'll let me live to do their menial chores once they take over.

  87. A few thoughts... by jburroug · · Score: 2
    This is not logical: Since the planes can be networked and thus know each other'srelative positions, preventing friendly fire is a much simpler problem than the visual recognition required to determine what to shoot at, unless you don't mind hitting non-military targets

    Since the first generation of craft would be "wild weasles" going after enemy air defences their is no danger of them shooting at each other, thus them knowing each others positions is meaningless, they aren't looking for air targets. The freindly fire danger I see would be in one of these buggers getting lost and homing in on freindly air defences, either from their own bases or some other allied position. If the craft is damaged and "forgets" where the good guys are supposed to be the potential for it to destroy the first anti-aircraft radar it finds is kinda scary. I'd feel better knowing that humans and humans only can make the decision to fire.
    IFF and other ident systems are mostly reliable, automated target recognition via radar profile is faster and more accurate by far than what humans can do, but radar signatures can be spoofed, IFF signals can be faked etc... It may be hard or near impossible today but it won't be impossible for ever.

    Asides from the technical problems of completly automated combat systems there is of course the ethical dilema of allowing machines to make the decision to kill human beings. Humans, even the enemy, deserve the thought and consideration of another human before being killed, we owe each other that small dignity even in war. Modern warfare is already remote and cold enough as it is, removing any more of the humanity and allowing our weapons to do our killing for us makes the prospect of war all too simple a thing, all too bloodless an affair, and I fear that the decision to attack or not will be taken too lightly in such a case. Not to mention the very real (in say 50+ years) of our own AI's turning on us, and making the decision to kill all humans. If they've never been allowed to decide on their own to kill humans they would (hopefully) be less likely to see it as an option if they do turn on us.

    Not that this story is giving me fears of SkyNet or anything, just some things to think about when considering the concept of allowing computers to do our killing for us.

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    "Listen: We are here on Earth to fart around. Don't let anybody tell you any different!" - Kurt Vonnegut
  88. What about close air support? by swb · · Score: 2

    Close air support is where the risk is the pilots and the friendly fire deaths. Aircraft already have friend-or-foe beacons in place to minimize friendly fire incidents involving aircraft. Also, bombers and other "strategic" air missions are already carried out from quite high altitude.

    Where life gets hairy and where lives get lost is close air support missions -- attacking ground targets to support infantry in the field. I've seen numerous Vietnam documentaries where US troops literally called in air strikes _on their own positions_ because they were getting overrun or nearly so. You need to get in really close to make sure that the group of guys in green you're about to roast with a load of napalm aren't your own people. When you get in "low and slow" you lose the ability to maneuver and you become really vulnerable to AA and shoulder-fired munitions not to mention enemy fighters from above.

    I really don't see a robot plane doing much for close air support. Tactical bombing missions, maybe, but those are relatively low risk right now and the high-risk, high-accuracy stuff they can do with Tomahawks.

    If they could ever get the fly-by-wire experience down right, it might be interesting to see "disposable" close-air support planes that could be flown at the company or batallion level by people on the ground. A single-use plane consisting of a few claymores, a 20mm cannon and a .50 caliber gun with a camera and a jet engine attached might be interesting. Need close air support? Slip on the VR headset, grab the joystick and a fresh disposable gets dropped out of a high-altitude B-52.

  89. Re:What about the V-1? by ptomblin · · Score: 2

    The V-1 was NOT radio-controlled. They set a direction and a distance, and it flew that direction and distance as best it could. Once it reached the distance, the engine cut out and it dove. If it undershot or overshot, they changed the distance setting for the next one. However, the only evidence they had for where it landed was news reports and spies, and the British used the BBC and turned (double agent) spies in order to make the Germans think they were overshooting when they were undershooting.

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  90. Not deleting the pilot, just removing the pilot. by Speare · · Score: 2

    I don't think the story was trying to imply that humans wouldn't be involved in the control of the plane. Just that humans wouldn't be INSIDE the plane to control it.

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  91. What about the V-1? by Goonie · · Score: 2

    It's all a matter of definition, but wasn't the V-1 in some sense the first example of this? It was radio-controlled in real-time, and carried a warhead.

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  92. In HARM's way by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 3
    One of the many successful weapons systems used during the Gulf War was the AGM-88 HARM (High-speed Anti-Radiation Missile). The HARM basically goes after weapons systems such as Anti-Aircraft Artillary (AAA) or Surface to Air Missiles (SAMs) by eliminating the radar component and effectively blinding the threat (if not completely destroying it). It was remarkably effective and played a large part in limiting the effectiveness of enemy air defenses.

    The HARM can be used in different ways. You can fire it off a platform such as the F-4G Wild Weasel. In this case, the EWO (Electronics Warfare Officer) selects a threat, hands that threat to the HARM, and sends the HARM on its way.

    But the HARM also carries its own threat table and can be sent after a target with little direction. In this case, a threat is identified in a general area and the HARM is fired. The HARM then looks for threats, identifies the highest priority threat according to its internal table, and then goes after that threat.

    These kinds of abilities allow a HARM to be used with platforms not otherwise especially equiped for Wild Weasel missions. It also allows for more creative functions. A pilot can "pickle over the horizon" and send a HARM after a known target without coming in range themselves. And by extending a HARM's fuel capacity, it can "hunt" for an extended period of time awaiting threat radars to power up after hiding from the Wild Weasel aircraft.

    Vicous stuff.

    The sobering part comes from a few rare reports during the Gulf War. There were reports of "near misses" with HARM missles by friendly surface forces. The theory is that the HARMs mis-identified friendly radar or communications systems as a threat in its internal threat table.

  93. Re:Not deleting the pilot, just removing the pilot by sheckard · · Score: 2

    How would that be any different? Would you fly on the equivalent of a RC aircraft?

  94. Can you say cruse missle? by elgonzzo · · Score: 2

    Cruse missles are already computer controled, computers will only be able to replace humans in most missions when thye can adapt and make complex judgement calls.

    As for using a network to keep track of them, I think that's a bad idea. Some commanders have been known to blanket jam a battlefield after preparing their troops and letting the small units slug it out without guidince from on high, assuming their troops will be better able to handle it

  95. Re:in other news by vheissu · · Score: 2

    First, the original reply was a joke, but its still an interesting topic... An auto takeoff would be even easier than an autolanding. Whereas landing requires getting the plane into a small specific area and then flying an approach, along a very narrowly defined corridor in a very specific amount of time (so you don't end up on the top of someone taking or taxiing), takeoffs consist of little more than open the throttles up, then setting a climb--both pretty easy for a pilot or an aircraft. I think the only reason they haven't been implemented yet is that there is a fairly elaborate system of clearances at most major airports leading up to that point, and once you're there, the actual takeoff is trivial. The main reason full ILS for autolandings is only available at a few airports is the cost of installing the ridiculously precise radio beacons that were needed up until recently... With the removal of selective availiblity of GPS, this is now an option, and there is a distinct possibility that even more accurate satellite systems will become a reality. The FAA is probably one of the most cautious organizations in existance, and they have a long history of waiting until technology is proven before allowing its use. State of the art aircraft today essentially display the ultimate in technology that was available ten years ago, when the FAA began reviewing it.

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  96. Re:Jamming isn't a big problem by jafac · · Score: 2

    There's also the fact that jammers are really easy targets to find and hit.

    not when it's an A-6.

    Which leads me to another interesting question. If a massive first-assualt type of strike is used, generally, we lead-off with EW, jamming, etc. Blind the enemy first.

    But with jamming going on, how could these vehicles participate in the strike?

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    These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
  97. M-16 design by rjh · · Score: 2

    The M-16 was not designed to maim, as you say. Rather, it grew out of the armed services' dissatisfaction with the M-14 rifle. The main problem with the M-14 was its weight; it's a big pig of a weapon and ammunition for it weighs a ton.

    By moving from 7.62mm ammunition to 5.56mm ammunition, the weight of the ammo was reduced by a factor of almost a third. The heavy use of plastics and minimized use of heavy metal components cut several pounds off the M-16, when compared to its predecessor.

    The smaller bullet possesses less lethality, correct. However, it's not a tumbler round and it wasn't meant to maim people. In Mogadishu, Somali gang members were shot at point-blank range with M-16 fire and weren't incapacitated; the bullet tended to penetrate clean through, without causing significant wound trauma. If the 5.56mm cartridge was designed to maim, then it was pretty badly designed, because it doesn't incapacitate reliably. (The Israelis and British have reported similar problems with the 5.56mm round. The Soviets have the same problem with their 5.45mm AK-74s in Chechnya; the 5.45mm round is so inadequate that the Sovs have started fielding a 9mm assault rifle with their troops, just to get some stopping power again.)

    To recap: the reason for moving to 5.56mm was to minimize weight, so that soldiers could carry more ammunition and fight longer engagements. A soldier already goes into combat lugging around over 100 pounds in his pack; every ounce of saved weight helps.

  98. Re:States with a "shall-issue" gun permit law have by TheDullBlade · · Score: 2

    "67% of all statistics are made up."

    83% of slashdot.org readers already knew that.

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  99. Jamming isn't a big problem by Animats · · Score: 2
    With modern military spread-spectrum systems, jamming generally has the effect of forcing the data rate down, but usually can't force it to zero unless the jammer has far more effective power and is better sited than the comm transmitter. This has led to systems where you can still get key info and commands through, even if bandwidth is very limited.

    That's in fact the main reason for the move from remotely piloted vehicles to unmanned aerial vehicles. The Israelis pioneered this concept, with a trailer-launched reconnissance UAV around 1980.

    There's also the fact that jammers are really easy targets to find and hit.

  100. Re:Not deleting the pilot, just removing the pilot by Speare · · Score: 2

    That's the idea. Read the article, especially re: secure line-of-sight and satellite-relay control systems.

    It's just like the existing 'smart bombs' are able to be guided by secure channels, watching the video returning from the craft and aiming it with a joystick.

    One pilot in a secure bunker can launch ten birds from different airports. She can punch in their waypoints to meet near the objective, and fine-tune one or two into their attacks at a time. Let those birds revert to autopilot while another two go in for attacks. Repeat. When done, land them one at a time by the same joystick. Let the airport jockeys put the planes away, while the pilot sips her tea.

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