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10GHz Processors and Ultraviolet Lithography

hoyosa writes "This article on zd-net reports that Extreme Ultraviolet LLC has built the first ultraviolet lithography stand for manufacturing processors. Will this make silicone obsolete? " Some interesting bits in there. Also "Soon" means we won't see actual chips until oh, say 2005, so don't hold your breath or anything.

200 comments

  1. What will super models do? by brodiedreamyou.ca · · Score: 1

    If the chip industry gets out of silicon, then the demand will decrease and prices will increase for some of silicons other "uses" we could all be effected

    1. Re:What will super models do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      "Will this make silicone obsolete?"

      Silicone, used in breast implants, will NEVER become obsolete, as long there breathes horney men everywhere!

      Silcon, on the other hand, may be superseded by some other material as a semiconductor.

      Heh!

    2. Re:What will super models do? by Bradee-oh! · · Score: 1

      Silicone, used in breast implants, will NEVER become obsolete, as long there breathes horney men everywhere!

      Ah, but who's to say some other material or technology won't come along to supercede silicon as breast implant material?

      Then, other than its potential explosive properties, silicon may indeed be made obsolete.

      --
      "This is Zombo Com, and welcome to you who have come to Zombo Com" - www.zombo.com
    3. Re:What will super models do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because there is a difference between silicon and silicone...

    4. Re:What will super models do? by RoninM · · Score: 1

      That's why God invented saline.

      --
      If a corporation is a personhood, is owning stock slavery?
    5. Re:What will super models do? by oldhacker · · Score: 1

      Well, what if the breast implant biz DID switch to silicon? I can see the headlines now - "Message from alien civilization found by seti@home running in Jennifer Lopez' left breast!" Dolly Parton would have trouble leaving the country because she'd qualify as a supercomputer capable of running nuclear weapons design simulations.

    6. Re:What will super models do? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry dude, but not all of us guys are impressed by Nike Air-Tits. Silicone implants are a turnoff to me and I'd only fuck a woman inspite of them, definitely not because. Breast implants are only good for chicken chested women, recunstruction after plastic surgery, or for women who have hopeless 'rock in a sock' looking breasts.

    7. Re:What will super models do? by suicidal · · Score: 1

      ***RIIIIINNNNGGG*** This is your wakeup call...

      Silicone breast implants ARE obsolete, and have been for quite some time. Saline replaced it a long time ago, it's MUCH safer.

      Now, about that 10GHz.....

  2. Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All this is thanks to calculus. Praise the integral!

  3. Silicone Obsolete? by spoonboy42 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Egads, I hope not! It's my favorite synthetic rubber!

    --
    Anonymous Luddite: "What do you think of the dehumanizing effects of the Internet?"
    Andy Grove: "Not Much."
    1. Re:Silicone Obsolete? by Tuxinatorium · · Score: 1

      Actually, it's not a typo. UV lithography will make silicone breast implants obsolete, because it will allow computers to get good enough to render full 3d holographic porn at a zillion frames per second.

  4. "will this make silicone obsolete?" by Stone+Rhino · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No, this does not have anything to do with breast implants, but it WILL make silicon obsolete.

    --


    Remember, there were no nuclear weapons before women were allowed to vote.
    1. Re:"will this make silicone obsolete?" by p3d0 · · Score: 0, Flamebait
      it WILL make silicon obsolete
      No it won't, smartass. Read the article again.
      --
      Patrick Doyle
      I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
    2. Re:"will this make silicone obsolete?" by Boone^ · · Score: 3, Informative

      Maybe /. needs to post more of the article in the blurb, since it's becoming known that the intelligent masses can comment on stuff before reading wtf it's about.

      People assume that Ultraviolet Lithography and Silicon are competitors, when in fact UV Lithography is the process that helps shrink featuresize.

    3. Re:"will this make silicone obsolete?" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      or maybe the slashdot editors should just post a synopsis of the article and stop making themselves look like dumbasses by trying to comment on it.

    4. Re:"will this make silicone obsolete?" by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      I agree--this poster is a real idiot. Seeing this makes one feel even worse for having carefully-considered article submissions rejected.

    5. Re:"will this make silicone obsolete?" by RadioTV · · Score: 1

      Everything in italics is the submitter, not the editor.

      --
      I have great faith in fools - self confidence my friends call it. - Edgar Allan Poe
  5. Moore's law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Redundant

    Moore's Law, formulated by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, states that the number of transistors a chip can hold will double every 18 to 24 months, as transistor size shrinks. More transistors, which switch off and on to represent binary data, lead to a corresponding leap in performance.

    The lithography technique now used, called deep ultraviolet, will suffice for one or two more generations of manufacturing processes, down to chip features the size of 100 nanometers, or one-tenth of a micron. Chipmakers are working on switching to 0.13-micron processes.

    As chipmakers reduce sizes below 100 nanometers, a new lithography technology will be needed--because as chip features decrease in size, the wavelength of light used in the lithography process must also be decreased. Deep ultraviolet lithography uses a wavelength of 240 nanometers. EUV uses a much shorter wavelength.

    Without a next-generation lithography technology like EUV, chip manufacturers, including AMD and Intel, would hit a wall in 2004 or 2005, when they would be unable to produce faster chips.

    1. Re:Moore's law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Informative? Indeed -- for people who haven't read the article. For those of us who have read the article the post was simply repetitive.

    2. Re:Moore's law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      Redundent and probably plagarism. This was in the article.. word for word.. mod down.

  6. Huh? by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 2, Redundant
    Why would ultraviolet lithography make silicone obsolete :-)

    Would not UV lithography work on silicon?

    Bruce

    1. Re:Huh? by gartogg · · Score: 1

      The problem that chip manufacturers have been having with the much wanted, useful swithch to other materials is that the processes developed so far are for silicon. with a new method, they would just develop applications for other metals, and it wouldn't just be crappy low end chips in other metals, but a good new etching process.

      --
      I'm a concientious .sig objector.
    2. Re:Huh? by CyberDruid · · Score: 1

      Why would ultraviolet lithography make silicone obsolete :-)
      I won't go into the details, but it is somehow related to computer generated porn.

      --

      Opinions stated are mine and do not reflect those of the Illuminati

    3. Re:Huh? by Fourier · · Score: 2

      *shakes head*

      Shouldn't there be some sort of requirement that the submitter of an article at least sort of understand what it says?

    4. Re:Huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Baha... If I had mod points..

  7. .01 THz speed by imrdkl · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    At what point do we know the answer before we ask the question?

    1. Re:.01 THz speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Moderator question: why is this flamebait?

    2. Re:.01 THz speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because he is ruining Intel's marketing ploy. See, Intel has to announce the THz processor first, not some wacko on slashdot. Intel is not happy, so CmdrTaco will receive only 10% of his advertisement funds next time.

  8. love this quote: by Stone+Rhino · · Score: 1, Interesting

    "The fastest PC processors today top out just above 1GHz." um... I assume they don't realize that the fastest are BELOW 1 ghz (risc, itanium, etc.)

    --


    Remember, there were no nuclear weapons before women were allowed to vote.
    1. Re:love this quote: by ivan256 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually I believe right now the fastest available CPU is the 1.2Ghz EV7. That is if you're talking about speed of computation. If your talking about clock speed (Which is still measuring the speed of something, though not necissaritly performance) the fastest chips run much faster then 1Ghz. It seems to me like the article is talking about clock speed.

    2. Re:love this quote: by Stone+Rhino · · Score: 1

      I had not known of the EV7, can you give a link?

      --


      Remember, there were no nuclear weapons before women were allowed to vote.
    3. Re:love this quote: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      CPU is the 1.2Ghz EV7

      Imagine how much heat that monster must generate. Even sub-GHz Alphas put even Athlons to shame when it comes to heat production.

    4. Re:love this quote: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    5. Re:love this quote: by Squareball · · Score: 2, Informative

      Did you notice the date on this article?? Jan. 11th 2001!! Last year! hmmm.. old news?

    6. Re:love this quote: by Stone+Rhino · · Score: 1

      best I could come up with from a google search was a 6 month old article. now anyone got a better link?

      --


      Remember, there were no nuclear weapons before women were allowed to vote.
    7. Re:love this quote: by Stone+Rhino · · Score: 1

      you're right, its not new. see this

      --


      Remember, there were no nuclear weapons before women were allowed to vote.
    8. Re:love this quote: by staili · · Score: 1

      "PC processors", not processors in general.

      PC
      The generic term for an x86 box with a BIOS roughly compatible with the original 1981 Personal Computer from IBM.

    9. Re:love this quote: by jd · · Score: 2

      In which case, the top-of-the-line are about 2 GHz, at room temp. The best overclocking I've seen almost trippled performance, putting the theoretical top-of-the-line at 6 GHz.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    10. Re:love this quote: by Turmio · · Score: 2, Interesting
    11. Re:love this quote: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hahaha oh man.. the quality of article selection makes me want to sit around and submit joke articles to see how many i can slip by the editors. all i have to do is write a good blurb and they're never going to do a bit of fact checking... wooo /me goes to create a gamecube emulator

    12. Re:love this quote: by kilrogg · · Score: 2

      And the mips processors too, this one from PMC-Sierra is a 1GHz, 64bit, dual core processor.

    13. Re:love this quote: by Stone+Rhino · · Score: 1

      well wadda ya know.

      --


      Remember, there were no nuclear weapons before women were allowed to vote.
    14. Re:love this quote: by Tower · · Score: 1

      Check out specbench.org - look for the new Alpha CPU numbers.

      --
      "It's tough to be bilingual when you get hit in the head."
  9. Silicone, silicon by KFury · · Score: 5, Informative

    UV lithography has nothing to do with silicon (or silicone, for that matter...)

    It just means using light with a shorter wavelength to etch the silicon wafer, allowing you to use a smaller micron process than you could with longer wavelengths.

    You'd still use silicon for the wafer. To say otherwise is like saying that deisel fuel makes cars obsolete. They're entirely different problems.

    1. Re:Silicone, silicon by Arjuna+Theban · · Score: 3, Informative

      It just means using light with a shorter wavelength to etch the silicon wafer, allowing you to use a smaller micron process than you could with longer wavelengths.

      Actually the light is just used to "expose" the photoresist to pattern your wafer (Si, GaAs, etc). Depending on the type of your resist (negative or positive) the exposed areas of the resist either solidifies or solubilizes and when you develop it in the appropriate developer you are left with your pattern on the wafer. The etching is done later using the photoresist as a mask to cover areas you don't want etched.

      ---

    2. Re:Silicone, silicon by stripes · · Score: 2
      You'd still use silicon for the wafer. To say otherwise is like saying that deisel fuel makes cars obsolete. They're entirely different problems.

      I think it is more like saying "Fuel injector will make gas obsolete". Or maybe foam injection molding (of steel rather then die cast) will make use of steel obsolete...

    3. Re:Silicone, silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's another bad analogy:
      It's like saying a new hammer will make wood/nail construction obsolete.

  10. Arrgghhh by ka9dgx · · Score: 3, Funny
    I can't believe our fearless leader would make such an error as to swap Hollywood (Silicone Hills) with San Jose (Silicon Valley)... but, alas... it is Sunday, and perhaps he's tired. ;)

    --Mike--

    1. Re:Arrgghhh by mashy · · Score: 1

      I can't believe our fearless leader would make such an error...

      notice the italics

  11. old news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    That article is over a year old

    1. Re:old news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's the first thing I noticed too, but the page was created 01-13-2002, so I think 2001 was just a simple mistake.

    2. Re:old news by Animats · · Score: 2

      Nope. It's old. That prototype machine was announced in early 2001.

    3. Re:old news by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2

      I noticed that too. It really makes you wonder why this stuff gets posted as news. I'm tempted to blame the poster, but then I thought, hey--it's the editors who are getting paid for hanging around on Slashdot. They should be the ones who do some checking. With the X-box emulator hoax yesterday and all the double-posts of earlier, it really makes you wonder why VA thinks they earn their money, and yet engineers deserve to be fired. This is especially stark when we cosider there are many competent volunteers who would gladly take over the editor roles. This isn't anything personal against the editors (hey, I also get lazy on the job sometimes), but I'd be much happier to see VA money do more to support Sourceforge and talented coders rather than these self-appointed geek-monarchs.

  12. The end is nigh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    For two months now both us and the Russians have known about a huge meteor that will hit the earth and most likely eradicate most if not all life on the planet.

    I learned about this two weeks ago and have been drinking for seven days now. There is no hope.

    1. Re:The end is nigh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If that's true, then why are you wasting your time drinking?

    2. Re:The end is nigh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your ideas intrigue me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.

    3. Re:The end is nigh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Yeah right.

      The press would be screaming bloody murder if that was the case. You really think they could keep it a secret?

    4. Re:The end is nigh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then where did my tax report go? I swear to god I filed it, but they keep hassling me. The government is pretty good at hidding things. And I don't see no press screaming bloody murder about it.

  13. hey, neat bot! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    soon, maybe AI technology will develop to the point that a bot can actually interpret the meaning of phrases and words without requiring 100% accuracy. Another giant leap would to be able to incorporate logic (as in logical thinking) and reason that would allow the bot to realize what an ass it would make of itself for actually taking the time to pick on such a stupid and insignificant little speck of a post, instead of looking at the subject and maybe even applying a bit of critical thought in order to respond to the subject at hand!

    Such traits are used everyday by rational humans, so it will be neat to welcome the bots to our club (since so many talking monkeys dressed as humans refuse to rise to the occasion)

    If this was a poster, my apologies. I will use language you can understand... *throws feces at cage* *urinates into hand and drinks* HEEEEEEE SCRREEEEECH HAAA hAAA HAAAAAA HEE! (now, take those EXACT meanings and wrap them in pretty words with many syllables, then it will give the appearance of insight and civilization)

  14. Et tu, ZDNet? by joshjs · · Score: 1

    From the article: The fastest PC processors today top out just above 1GHz.

    I think I speak for us all when I say:

    What?

    1. Re:Et tu, ZDNet? by whee · · Score: 2, Informative

      Note the date of the article: January 11, 2001 2:41 PM PT

    2. Re:Et tu, ZDNet? by edwarddes · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the fastest processors on terms of clock speed may be the p4 and its multigigahertz, but think of all the other processor lines that are MUCH faster at lower clock speeds computationaly wise(powerpc-power4, alpha, itanium...)

  15. /. does it again.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Once again the /. staff demonstrates their highly developed proofreading skills. Hey, they really need a "fuck ups per week" box on the front page!

  16. Another Moore's Law misquote? by Jimmy_B · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I noticed that in the article, the author mentions Moore's Law as stating that transistor densities double every 18-24 months. Wasn't it originally 12 months, then changed to every 12-18 months?

    1. Re:Another Moore's Law misquote? by CyberDruid · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nope.
      It is often misquoted as saying something about double speed in 18 months. The CPU-speed is actually somewhat closer to 12 months nowadays (or, so I've read from at least two independent researchers). What's holding the computers back is bus-speed, which doubles approx. every 3 years.

      --

      Opinions stated are mine and do not reflect those of the Illuminati

    2. Re:Another Moore's Law misquote? by jd · · Score: 2
      Having said that, VME and VMX technology is so far ahead of the pathetic PCI busses available, that all anyone should really need is a good bus transplant.


      (VMX, if I remember correctly, is 128-bit bus technology, which has been around for the past decade or so. Why PCs don't use it, is beyond me, as it's tried & tested, there are already cards for it - unlike the failed PS/2 - and it offers far more capacity for growth than any other technology they're shoving into PCs, DESPITE being older than the busses that PCs are using.)

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re:Another Moore's Law misquote? by tekunokurato · · Score: 1

      No. It is, in fact, every 18-24 months, and always has been.

    4. Re:Another Moore's Law misquote? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it was supposed to be very 18 months. And yes, it was transistor density, not "speed", but, especially in those early days performance scaled very well with transistor count.

      Come to think about it, the value of my stock options was supposed to double every 18 months as well . . .

    5. Re:Another Moore's Law misquote? by jefferson · · Score: 1
      Actually, despite what the Intel website says, if you read Moore's paper he clearly predicts that component density will double every 12 months, not every 18-24 months.

      The complexity for minimum component costs has in- creased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year (see graph on next page). (p.2, second column).

      The graph on p.3 clearly shows an annual doubling of components (transistors). The current 18-24 month rate is an updated version of the law, to take into account the fact that the rate has slowed since the 60's. Of course, this means that this "Law" isn't, in fact, much of a law at all.

    6. Re:Another Moore's Law misquote? by Tower · · Score: 2

      Actually, with 64bit 133Mhz PCI-X, the peripheral busses "should be fine for a while". 32/33 PCI is just so cheap, and relatively easy to do (especially when you have drop-in logic), that cost-effectiveness for PCs is too large a factor. How else are you going to get the cost/volume numbers so attractive for network/SCSI cards... 10/100 Ethernet cards have been available for as low as $5-15 for a couple years now - hard to compete with that, and still make a profit.

      For servers, you can have a bridge chip that has 6-8 point-point PCI-X busses - some 64 bit, some 32 bit, and since they aren't truly shared, each card can attain it's full speed (PCI/PCI-X 33/66/133). Cost isn't nearly the issue that it is in consumer desktops.

      That all being said - a bigger issue becomes the CPUMemory bandwidth... this is somewhat alleviated with the 266Mhz (133DDR) updates, but there is still a lot left to do... Of course, an 8MB on-chip L3 cache wouldn't hurt either :)

      --
      "It's tough to be bilingual when you get hit in the head."
  17. Secondary use... by instinctdesign · · Score: 1

    At least there will always be a secondary use for silicone.

    --
    forma3
    1. Re:Secondary use... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is a use for silicone

    2. Re:Secondary use... by instinctdesign · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I noticed that... something tells me I need to second guess CmdrTaco more often.

      --
      forma3
  18. What's the sotry wth this now? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This story is over a year old.

  19. what the fuck are you /. editors smoking by BobSoros · · Score: 1

    This article in the the story is nearly a year old...

    Tomorrow /. will be reporting the details the florida recount ?

    --
    Contain my voice. Place my user into your foe list.
    1. Re:what the fuck are you /. editors smoking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Say what? There's been an election??! ;-)

  20. MHZ Blah! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Comparing Megahertz on processors is like comparing Civics to Corvettes. "My Corvette can do 6000 RPM!" "Oh yeah, my Honda can do 8000 RPM!"

    Its just no longer a useful way of measuring.
    Just as a 1.x Ghz P-III and a 1.x Ghz P-IV are not the same.

    1. Re:MHZ Blah! by Ltiamar · · Score: 1

      I agree. A real benchmark could be the actual MFLOPs and MIPs.

  21. Old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Chipmakers on fast track to 10GHz
    By John G. Spooner
    ZDNet News
    January 11, 2001 2:41 PM

    Just how long is the /. submission queue??

  22. January 11, 2001 by KommissarHorizon · · Score: 1

    I wonder if CmdrTaco is dating his checks 2001. Thought that article looked familiar, read it a year ago.

  23. Just in time by damiam · · Score: 2
    Moore's law says we should have 10ghz processors in 2005, and lo and behold, someone develops a technology so we will.

    now - 2ghz
    June 2003 - 4ghz
    January 2005 - 8ghz
    Spring 2005 - 10ghz

    --
    It's hard to be religious when certain people are never incinerated by bolts of lightning.
    1. Re:Just in time by BobSoros · · Score: 1

      excuse my ignorance but would the last row be

      August 2006 - 10ghz

      maybe i missed the joke.. awell,

      --
      Contain my voice. Place my user into your foe list.
    2. Re:Just in time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're in decimal, not hex. 10 is not double 8.

    3. Re:Just in time by chabotc · · Score: 2

      Actualy moore's law is about the comutational power and the amount of transistors on a chip. Not the amount of Hz's a chip processes instructions at

      Theoreticly, a chip with twice the amount of transistors but running at the same clock speed, would be twice as powerfull as the model with half the transistors.

      the P4 is a nice example of this, higher Hz's, but lower amount of instructions per tick ;-)

    4. Re:Just in time by rtaylor · · Score: 2

      Cutting and pasting my own comments...

      It truely is amazing how many people quote what they think is Moores Law only to be radically off.

      It has to do with TRANSISTOR DENSITY doubling every 18months. Nothing at all to do with performance, other than as a side effect -- and thats usually a side effect. Sometimes there is no performance boost at all if the transisters are used for compatibility or configurability. Like say Microcode modifications and X86 compatibility layers.

      "The observation made in 1965 by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel, that the number of transistors per square inch on integrated circuits had doubled every year since the integrated circuit was invented. Moore predicted that this trend would continue for the foreseeable future. In subsequent years, the pace slowed down a bit, but data density has doubled approximately every 18 months, and this is the current definition of Moore's Law, which Moore himself has blessed. Most experts, including Moore himself, expect Moore's Law to hold for at least another two decades."

      http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/M/Moores_Law.html

      --
      Rod Taylor
    5. Re:Just in time by crgrace · · Score: 2

      Theoreticly, a chip with twice the amount of transistors but running at the same clock speed, would be twice as powerfull as the model with half the transistors.

      Why do you think this? The "power" of digital circuits is almost entirely determined by the feature size, given adequate integration. Doubling the transistors on a 0.5 micron process is not the same as using a 0.25 micron process. If you're thinking "put two processors on the 0.5 micron chip", you're mistaken, because it is well known how difficult multiprocessor systems are, one processor with twice the power is much easier to use.

      Besides, most transistors in processors today are used in cache. Doubling the cache most certainly does not double performance (see any computer architecture text)

    6. Re:Just in time by damiam · · Score: 2

      It would be, except that 10 != 8*2. August 2006 would be 16ghz. Someone better at math with me can correct me, but 10ghz ought to be a few months after 8ghz (maybe early summer 2005).

      --
      It's hard to be religious when certain people are never incinerated by bolts of lightning.
    7. Re:Just in time by BobSoros · · Score: 1

      Uhmmm.. okay, i've been up far too long tonight..

      Take me behind the barn and shoot me, make it quick.

      --
      Contain my voice. Place my user into your foe list.
    8. Re:Just in time by damiam · · Score: 1

      I'm aware of what Moore's law really is, but it does seem to work with processor clock speeds too (for example, 36 months ago, 500mhz was top of the line). If you must be anal, my name is Moore too, so I'll say it's my law the processor clock speeds double every 18 months. That better?

      --
      It's hard to be religious when certain people are never incinerated by bolts of lightning.
    9. Re:Just in time by 4of12 · · Score: 2

      Actualy moore's law is about the comutational power and the amount of transistors on a chip. Not the amount of Hz's a chip processes instructions at

      Good point.

      It gets me thining, though.

      If one did plot the operating frequency vs year on a semilogarithmic scale, would any similar trend be observed?

      Likewise, if one plotted the width of the memory addressing of these chips (8-bit, 16-bit, 32-bit, 64-bit) vs time, would a trend be observed?

      [Drifting abruptly on topic] Is X ray lithography pretty much too expensive and impractical, then?

      --
      "Provided by the management for your protection."
  24. This is great for the business industry... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is great for the business industry and maybe the consumers. One problem, the software industry are barely able to keep up the 32bit IA and soon to be, 64 IA and 1.0 or better gigahertz CPU platform. This means, MS have to write a code that is capable of this (which they will and hopefully getting rid of DOS codes completely), and all software codes will have to be written in a different code. Also, this is going great for the communication industry (see lots of potenial in this) and the CIA, NSA code breakers. Will speed up things here.

  25. Holy hole in a donut batman by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well I know my server runs fine and fast at 900, but then again I rememeber the days when I thought my DX4 120 was blazin' I would like to see if the motherboard market will be able to co-exist, and if the current hard drive technology will change.

  26. 10 Ghz and speed of light... by alexandre · · Score: 2, Interesting

    i'm wondering what will happen with 10 Ghz processor because every cycle, lights can only travel about 3 cm...?

    1. Re:10 Ghz and speed of light... by MasterC · · Score: 1

      Basically, the speed of propogation will become a key factor in design. Registers between pipeline stages won't be *necessary* as the speed keeps increasing as the VLSI people can count on the speed of propogation (ie use the signal propogation in the chip as the register).

      --
      :wq
    2. Re:10 Ghz and speed of light... by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 4, Interesting
      i'm wondering what will happen with 10 Ghz processor because every cycle, lights can only travel about 3 cm...?

      The problem is actually worse than you indicate. Electrical signals on a chip propagate much slower than the speed of light due to the impedance properties of the signal traces.

      This problem explains some of the "features" of the P4 that people complain about. The architecture reserves entire pipeline stages for "signal drive"; these stages are just to let signals propagate accross the chip. IIRC, the drive stages are wasted on today's P4's, but once the clock speed reaches higher GHz, they will be very necessary.

      Concepts such as "hyperthreading" may become more popular as well. This allows multiple alternate CPU states sharing the same silicon. If they alternate every CPU clock, for example, one hyperthread can be calculating while the other one is propagating its last clock's results across the chip.

    3. Re:10 Ghz and speed of light... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is one reason processors have pipelines. Electrons don't have to go all the way through the processor for it do do a bunch of operation in a very small area of the chip.

  27. Read the article? by Christopher+Thomas · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Extreme Ultraviolet LLC has built the first ultraviolet lithography stand for manufacturing processors.

    Um, we've been using UV for a while now. This company has built the first _Extreme_ UV rig. This is especially obvious as a press release when you realize that they can define EUV as beginning more or less wherever they feel like. The term "EUV" was coined when "X-Rays" got a bad name in lithography circles (it used to be "deep UV", "Soft X-Rays", "Hard X-Rays").

    Will this make silicone obsolete?

    a) "Silicon".

    b) No.

    The article says:

    "EUV technology is very extendable...and we have demonstrated that it would work down to the 30-nanometer level," Gwyn said.

    Barring a new invention, which is always possible, "It should take us to the end of silicon...as we know it today," he said.


    In english: The limits of silicon technology will run out before the limits of EUV technology.

    They're not ending silicon - they're saying that as long as silicon will be around, photolithography will be around.

  28. I think we're missing the big picture here. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sales have already showed us that faster PCs are not what everyone wants. I think more time spent on motherboards and RAM and possibly software that will run without having problems or lockups would make more sense, other then big corporations and possibly a few gamers. I don't think the public wants or needs anything faster than 2 GHz.

  29. Date by imsirovic5 · · Score: 0

    Yup it is a year old article.. Well little bit older than a year:

    January 11, 2001 2:41 PM PT

    2001... Not 2002....

  30. /. Editing by Detritus · · Score: 1
    Fish. Barrel. Hand Grenade.

    This is too damn easy.

    --
    Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
  31. Heat problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This all sounds great but my concern is with the current rates of computer processing there is a big problem with heat. The current research should be to keep the system running cooler so that crashes do to heat should not be the problem. Other concerns should be all so on how fast the RAM can handle the speed. Current PCs 1.5 and 2GHz are good but with speeds up to 10 GHz this will be a definite bottleneck for computing in the future. It would be neat to see computers that can perform at real life speed but I'm just wondering at what price. I would like to see more companies like Intel and AMD working with other companies who make the motherboards and other peripherals to make computers run more efficiently plus this would make thier CPUs more attractive to the market.

  32. e-beam technology is more interressting than euv by tempmpi · · Score: 5, Interesting

    While EUV technology is very likely to dominate the mass markets like x86s CPU, northbridges, etc. E-beam technology could bring much more competition to the market. As the article and serveral other source told us, e-beam tech. "draws" the transitors one by one to the silicone. This drawing process is much slower than the normal mask-based lithography. But you do not need a mask, you can make changes to the chip layout much faster because you don't need to make new masks and must just change the programming of your e-beam chip printer.

    This could enable cost-effective low-volume chip series made with a cutting edge manufacturing process. It could also make expensive and "slow" fpga based chip emulators obsolete. It could also be the break-through for open hardware because open chip design could be manufatured without big finacial problems.

    --
    Jan
  33. Something called freudian slip? by chabotc · · Score: 2

    Heh, something called "freudian slip" comes to mind..

    The age old question of "Whats on a man's mind" can now be awnsered: Silicone and not silicon ;-)

    1. Re:Something called freudian slip? by tph · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yep!

      That's when you say one thing and mean a mother

      [Qoute: Cliff Clavin of the Cheers sitcom]

  34. 3D interfaces? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe we'll see true 3D interfaces for operating systems and desktop apps. That's the only way I can see that would actually use this much power. Any other suggestions about how Joe User would benefit?

    1. Re:3D interfaces? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because Windows2005 will requires at least 8GHz just to run smoothly.

  35. Bottlenecks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hard drives and bus speeds are still too slow. Speed them up and we'll have something.

  36. Does NOT mean silicon is obsolete. by mycr0ft · · Score: 0, Redundant

    That's right. It doesn't mean silicon is obsolete.
    It does mean that EUV photomask aligners and photoresist technology can now handle the sorter wavelength extreme UV and therefore make smaller devices.
    -- Mycr0ft

    --

    Me physicist. Me make rockets.
  37. Realtime raytracing? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I believe that at these speeds we'll actually see the advent of realtime raytracing. (For what it's worth, back in 1994 there was a real time raytracing example... it only ran at 320x200 in 8 bits, but that was on a pentium 90)

    For standard office apps, we're pretty much at our sweet spot... but there are plenty of uses for this power elsewhere.

  38. This is getting silly... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
    All this processor power and still using mechanical hard drives!!!!, IDE and that...

    Why don't they concentrate on solid state hard drives, or better yet, a fibre optic bus... and bring the price down for them first, that processor at 10 GHz will spend more time waiting for the hard drive than anything.

    1. Re:This is getting silly... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Why don't you do it then?

      Set up a company, get loads of venture capital and you're on your way to becoming the next hardware billionare.

  39. This is just awful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just bought a dell dude, and you guys are
    saying that soon there will be something faster?
    That sucks!!

    Anyway winXP sure runs smooth on my dell!

  40. 10GHz = 3cm wave; 240nm 1MGHz! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    The 10GHz frequency they are planning now has a wave length of 3cm (1.2"); meanwhile the CPUs are growing in size (since the number of transistors grows faster than the path shrinks) and will soon outgrow the ¼ of the wavelength; then makers will have soon to either stop the freq increase, or slice the CPU (either internally or externally) in smaller parts.

    Just to avoid any confusion, I recall that the 240nm wavelength cited for Deep UV is a frequency of 1,250,000GHz, that is 125,000 times the 10GHz of the future CPUs. Of course the EUV are still higher than DUV in freq.

  41. Silicone by athakur999 · · Score: 1

    I think what the submitter meant is that devices created with this new technology will so captivate nerds that it will completely displace any desire for women, thus making silicone obsolete.

    --
    "People that quote themselves in their signatures bother me" - athakur999
  42. The heat will be taken care of. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Darn programmers, don't know much about chip manufacturing and engineering, do you?

    The heat will be taken care of, trust me, that is what these people do for a living, dissipate heat (no pun intended).

    The bigger problem might be, as many of you said, bottlenecks in peripherals, RAM, FSB speeds etc. If we can surpass this, I personally believe we can use computers for so many other applications today, like AI, probably make computers build the next chip themselves. Had no choice but to use the word "them", didn't mean to humanize them, I know how much that freaks everyone out.

  43. Speed increases by SailorBob · · Score: 1

    The guy writing the ZD-net article seems to be making the assumption that the only (or primary at least) factor affecting the performance (or even the physical speed) of a CPU is the manufacturing process. Doesn't he seem to be forgeting the architecture issue? I mean, intel is currently ahead in the physical speed dept, not because of the manufacturing process, but because of architecture.

    --

    Woopty Doo Basil, what does it all mean?!

  44. *to* the end of silicon by the+bluebrain · · Score: 1

    Quote: "Barring a new invention, which is always possible, "It should take us to the end of silicon...as we know it today," he [Chuck Gwyn, program director for EUV at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in Livermore, Calif.] said."

    The limit for Silicon is hit when the paths "lithogrified" onto the wafers are less than a certain width, by this time measured in number of atoms. The distance between silicon atoms in a wafer is (again AFAIK) 0.235 nm, so today's 0.13-micron processes (130 nm) mean average path widths of ~550 atoms ... and I assume it will take a couple of dozen, at least, to make sure the yield doesn't drop through the floor.
    So - this is not about anything other than silicon, just the limits of this particular semiconductor.

    What else is there? Gallium Arsenide, AFAIK. But that's another story.

    --
    yes, we have no bananas
    1. Re:*to* the end of silicon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You would still run into the same dimensional brick wall if the atomic size of the new material is not a few orders of magnitude smaller. GaAs is desirable because of its electrical properties which might make it easier to make transistors with less atoms.

      There are a lot of yield issues with GaAs... I don't think the industry is ready to switch to it until they have milked enough from good old silicon.

  45. PCs have stopped being sexy. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
    Has anyone else noticed, but suddenly PCs have stopped being sexy?

    I'm a power user. I make computer music and videos. 10GHz would be cool...

    But still, I yawned when I read this feature.

    Fact is, we don't need more GHz.

    What we need is more bandwidth (way more bandwidth) and some really innovative interesting software. (I.e. not that cack the Redmond guys have been producing for the last decade.)

    We need smart apps, better interfaces and reliability. (The effective GHz count gets cut to shreds every time there's a crash or data loss.)

    We need imagination, creative flair and colour...

    We don't need Windows, which still thinks it's living in the 80s. And we don't need Linux, which is the kind of long-haired, sandal-wearing geek-fest that gave the 70s a bad name.

    (Open Source? Yeah, so what if only terminal nerds care enough to use it? Like I want to know horizontal and vertical scan rates before I can get Xfree to run. Right...)

    Bottom line - who cares about 10GHz when most software has been designed by social inadequates who get excited by things that most people think are just plain sad?

    We need software that makes life easier, not harder and more aggravating.

    When we have that, 10GHz may start to matter again.

    1. Re:PCs have stopped being sexy. by Pussy+Is+Money · · Score: 0
      I think the poet said it best: "We were never being bored cause we were never being boring".

      If you are so dissatisfied then nothing you are doing right now is giving you satisfaction.

      --
      Pushin' 'n dealin', shovin' 'n stealin'
    2. Re:PCs have stopped being sexy. by MacBoy · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Are you really so blind? PC's haven't been sexy for years. PC's are a commodity; there is no room left for 'sexy' in that economic equation. Only one PC product is sexy today...

      Take two steps back, then walk over to the nearest Apple Store. Buy a Mac. You need to do this. You know you want to. Don't be afraid; you would be amazed at the level of support you will get from your friends after 'coming out'. Buy a Mac. Bask in its sexiness. Everything from the mouse to the case to the GUI is designed to appeal to the senses. The apps are functional without being bloated, and they are intuitively easy to use (iTunes, iPhoto, iMovie, iDVD, etc.). When was the last time that you showed your system off to fellow computer geeks and had a 'wow' reaction? Your new G4 will get that.

      Several of my long-time PC-using friends have recently joined me as new Mac users, and none have looked back.

    3. Re:PCs have stopped being sexy. by KILNA · · Score: 1

      After having been a former Amiga devotee, I have second thoughts about any computer platform that requires "coming out". Status quo may be boring, but I know I can replace it on the cheap, buy parts for it at Wal-Mart in the middle of the night, and share software with my friends. And I have little interest in "converting" my friends. I don't want my choice in computer platform to be ascribed the same attributes as a choice in religion or sexual preferece.

      --
      Error: PANTS NOT FOUND. Press <F1> to continue.
  46. Moore's law by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I dont know if anyone else feels this way, but i think they should forget about Moore's law. I think that has been a hinderance to the whole computer industry. If we forget about this law and just make more powerful processors, they would actually stop dooping the consumers out there. Ask a regular user who bought a computer somewhere and they probably still have a 433 to a 600 Mhz processor. These large manufacturers produce and come out with the best and newest so often, you are ripping everyone off. And though its good money for these manufacturers, them ripping off the consumers leaves some bitter because what they have is never good enough, or is usually obsolete in 2 years. If you just jump to the next generation and take advantage of newer technology, you can produce a powerful processor while these other computer companies climb the gig ladder, "we will release our 2.1 ghz processor today, and tomorrow, our 2.3 ghz" come on! -- get a clue. Help the rest of the tech-field out by coming out with an absolute super-processor, then we can finally get to a level that is real-time, true multitasking at blazing rates, and unlike a computer the world has ever seen, someone should step up and be a hero, and stop following the other, you guys have been playing "not it" for too long.

  47. Lamest /. Post of 2002 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I nominate this as the lamest /. post for 2002. I hope this one wins because I would dread seeing a post that is even lamer.

    The artical is a year old. It was written by a clueless jurnalist. The story is about as excciting as, "Neil Armstrong Takes Second Step on Moon." It also has nothing to due with making Silicon obsoleate.

    I am going to chauk up the whole thing to sever Sunday morning hangovers!

  48. i hate you by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We need more silicoln for tits

  49. Neat... Intel 10ghz vs. AMD 10000XP(2.2ghz) by beamz · · Score: 3, Funny

    Great... so can we expect Intel to keep extending the pipeline in the processor so they can up the clock rate? Or are they going to actually going to improve the processor for something other than Quake?

    Nowadays all I associate clockrate with is Intel's marketing machine. AMD has slowly increased the clock rate and kept the price/performance gap decent AFAIK.

    At any rate, sounds like good engineering innovation.

  50. April 1 ?? by simetra · · Score: 1

    "We expect to have the first full field-scanned images by April 1,"

    Q. Why haven't marketing people realized that using April 1 as a target date, for anything, just isn't a good idea?

    Really, did we learn nothing during the 20th century? How about March 31 instead?

    --

    "Would it kill you to put down the toilet seat?" -- Maya Angelou
    1. Re:April 1 ?? by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2

      If you look more carefully, they meant April 1, 2001. Not that this makes the date selection any more shrewd, but it does help to show the irrelevance of this particular article.

  51. I *HATE* these articles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    I hate it when articles come out about higher CPU speeds. It's the same old comments again... "Who needs it?", "Other HW is too slow for the CPU now!" etc. etc.

    1. By the time the CPU speed is at 10GHz, we will have faster Drives, Memory, etc. The article stated that 10GHz is years away! By then we'll have Quad-Pumped 2GHZ MoBo's & Memory.
    2. I need that much speed/power! I want to be able to start burning a CD or DVD, while re-drawing a 5MB picture in PhotoShop (ever just try to flip one? CPU hog), while Voice-Dictating a letter in Word.
    3. As with #1, we'll have a solution. There exist Freon solutions now. Liquid Nitrogen will do wonders.

    Everything that you are all saying now was said verbatim in 1986 -- "Who needs more than 640Kb ???"

  52. Re:e-beam technology is more interesting than euv by cweagle · · Score: 2, Informative

    While e-beam technology is, as stated, extremely flexible and useful as a 'one-off' prototyping method, it is also SLOW AS HECK. With millions of transistors, drawing one by one is not a solution for mass-production. With a wafer holding perhaps thousands of dies, I have heard from those in the industry that it can take up to 10 hours (hours!) for one wafer to be 'drawn'.

    This Will Not Do.

    --
    -- "They say that time changes things. The truth is, you have to change them yourself." (Andy Warhol, adapted)
  53. Make "silicone" obsolete?? Um, why?? by MacBoy · · Score: 1

    For the record, it's silicon, not silicone. Silicon is a semiconductor; Silicone used to caulk window frames and for certain 'implants'.

    The question is begged... how would a new lithography process which will enable silicon to continue to be used for another decade, make silicon obsolete? I really don't see how the original poster could have misunderstood this so grossly.

    1. Re:Make "silicone" obsolete?? Um, why?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      May be they should use silicon for implants. That way cup size & IQ can be increased at the same time.

  54. DISGUSTING PALESTINIAN CRIMES by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The sick Palestinians butchered the bodies of three young terrorists and fed the organs to their pets in order to smear Israel. They claimed Israeli doctors stole the organs, yet no evidence exists or has ever existed. On the other hand, Palestinians regularly place their children in the crossfire between IDF forces defending Israel and Palestinian terrorists trying to kill Israeli families.

    People who support the Palestinian murderers are hate criminals and anti-Semites who should be ostracized and rejected from society. The American Left exposes its hatred for peace by backing the Palestinian slaughter of Israeli citizens. The Israeli Left is a fifth column collaborationist group that actively works against Israeli freedom by collaborating with Arab murderers.

    Stop the Arabs before they wipe out the only democracy in the Middle East. The American Left tries to ignore this, but the truth cannot be hidden; Arabs are trying to destroy democracy. Stop them.

  55. The more you have, the more you want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sounds great, but what about everything else. What good is a 10GHz processor if your RAM only goes at a quarter of the speed. What about your hard drive. But if you think about it, more speed isn't going to help all that much. That's 5 times as much power as we have no that's going to be available in 4-5 years. In 5 years, we've already made this progress. What I believe, is that the more power we have available, the more we will want. After 10GHz, which might seem like too much now, will be too slow later. As a programmer, I'm worried about the programming. As power increases, new programmers seem to lack proficiency. They don't program to be efficient because they think everyone has a super computer. Most programs, especially games, waste the power available to them. Just think about it, the more money you have, the more you waste. The more you have, the more you want. It's human nature. Same goes to the tech industry. It's human nature.

  56. Boring... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Will the 10 GHz CPU outperform the current 1GHz CPU? Why?

    Today's limitations seem to be the hard disk with access in the millisecond range (~MHz). A few orders of magnitude up is main memory speed. Even Rambus runs at less than 1GHz clock speed and doesn't get much gain for that! Please look up the following: what length is a light-nanosecond. Memory systems must be less than this in physical dimensions, or the increase in clock speed is useless. But modern computer problems require really large capacity memories.

    The conclusion is: a 10 GHz CPU will be useless without a comparable speed for memory and an almost as fast speed for hard disk, all currently impossible. Nobody will buy a 10GHz CPU with a 1GHz memory speed and even slower hard disk!

    P.S. Here is a hint to the problem. The really big super-computer boys have concluded that the solution is a move to massively parallel machines, nothing else else will do. This means really big $$$. Home computers just don't count in this world. Intel is just trying to fake you out!

  57. But it's so slow... by Animats · · Score: 2
    I always liked direct-writing E-beam approaches. They were used as far back as the 1970s. But they've always been very slow. There's been talk of systems with lots of electron guns, writing with multiple beams, but nothing has happened yet.

    And remember, you have to make a pass through the E-beam machine for each layer.

  58. The human brain works on parallel processing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The human brain works on parallel processing, why not concentrate on a 1000 cpus or more on a single chip, instead of cranking up the clock speed every year and asking for Radio frequency and Quantum trouble?

  59. HardDrive gotta go! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It makes no sense to waste time on 10GHz processors, when the hard drive is such ancient technology... When are they going to work on (STATIC RAM) then work on the processors, motherboards etc...

    This is ridiculous, it can be a machine that can compute 100 MIPS, what good is it with a hard drive that runs at 7200 or 10000 rpm??? Go figure!!!

  60. One possible design stategy. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One possible design stategy would be to forego such high processor speeds and instead build the complete PC (CPU, solid state drive, sound, video, etc.) entirely in whatever solid state material ends up replacing silicon.

    While not an RF (radio frequency) engineer, I did work as a tech in the RF industry years ago, and even at 1 GHz frequencies all kinds of problems arise. At as low as 10 MHz, capacitors start acting like inductors due to lead inductance and coils start behaving like capacitors due to stray capacitance, etc.

    At 10 GHz who knows if stability and unsafe energy emissions will be controllable with discrete components. Total solid-state integration might be the only way to design at such high frequencies.

  61. Re:10GHz = 3cm wave; 240nm 1MGHz! by MasterC · · Score: 1

    What? The frequency of the light is independent of the size of the die. The light is shining *down* on the die. I fail to see any relevance in your post...

    --
    :wq
  62. Computers or microwave ovens? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Consider that computers are now microwave (GHz frequencies) type machines. And we are going to surround ourselves with this technology in our offices and homes? I know that computer systems are not microwave ovens (yet), but is anybody even thinking about this aspect (electromagnetic radiation) of these systems?

  63. Heat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Great now I can cook a chicken and write a paper at the same time. Don't get me wrong I only buy AMD CPU's but some one needs to tell them that "size does matter" and "bigger is better". my thunderbird @1.2GHz gives off enough heat from that tiny slug to blow dry my hair. At this rate the core would be 75% smaller at 10GHz and generate about 1KW of heat.

  64. Re:e-beam technology is more interesting than euv by Jeremi · · Score: 2
    With millions of transistors, drawing one by one is not a solution for mass-production.


    Hmm... what we need then is an e-beam with some sort of prism-like splitter in front of it... sort of like when you you glue ten pens together to write 10 lines of text at once. If you could split a single e-beam into 1,000 parallel e-beams, separated by the right distances, you could then write 1,000 chips in parallel while still avoiding the need to draw up a mask.

    --


    I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
  65. X-rays by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    X-rays should be used as they are even shorter wavelengths than UV, enabling even finer detail and hence more greater speed. Incidently, a breadbox sized X-ray laser has recently been developed at the University of Toronto which may facilitate this process.

  66. silicon will become obsolete when... by Utopia · · Score: 1

    Silicon will become obsolete when the size of the gates inside the chip equals the wavelength of a
    electron. At this point the transistors cease to trasmit.

    There are already several replacements for silicon - copper compounds,
    magnetic alloys, fullerenes etc. - in order to keep up with Moore's law.
    But for many engineers throwing out silicon is difficult to imagine.
    For a number of years now almost all R&D in the semiconductor industry
    has been focussed on silicon-based chips. Throwing out silicon would
    mean letting of f a huge base of information acquired over 1/2 a century.

  67. Read the Article! by wiZd0m · · Score: 1

    Chipmakers on fast track to 10GHz

    By John G. Spooner
    ZDNet News

    January 11, 2001 2:41 PM PT

    The semiconductor industry has reached an important milestone on the path to producing 10GHz chips ... ...

    Trolls: 1
    slashdot: 0

  68. Bad article, no donut. by Animats · · Score: 5, Interesting
    First, this article is from early 2001. It's a year old.

    There are two big unsolved problems with "extreme ultraviolet" lithography, which is really X-ray lithography. First, you need a coherent X-ray source. The proposed options are a synchrotron, which is big (house-sized) and expensive, or an X-ray laser, which nobody has yet made work. Sandia has claimed a laser-pumped "plasma" source, but it doesn't yet have enough power to do the job.

    The other problem is that the masks have to be almost perfect down to the atomic level. Surprisingly, there are ways to do this. It looks like that problem will be solved.

    However, the whole technology is nowhere near working. The major web pages on the subject haven't been updated for a year or so, which is a bad sign. Much of the work is being done at the old A-bomb labs (LLNL and Sandia), which today are sort of senior activity centers for old physicists. All the articles seem to come from there. We're not seeing much in the way of EUV articles from semiconductor-fab equipment manufacturers yet.

    There's considerable speculation in the industry that there might be a hiatus of a few years around 2004-2006, during which there won't be much progress in line width. This happened once before in the semiconductor industry, in the 1970s. But it's not the end; EUV should eventually work.

    Sometime around 2014 or so, we reach the End of Silicon, or at least the end of improvements to lithography on flat silicon, because atoms are too big. Further progress will require a new technology.

    1. Re:Bad article, no donut. by Alsee · · Score: 2

      Sometime around 2014 or so, we reach the End of Silicon, or at least the end of improvements to lithography on flat silicon, because atoms are too big.

      Right. We just need to switch to smaller atoms. The radius of a silicon atom is about 1.17 Angstroms. However, a hydrogen atom is less than half the radius, at 0.53 Angstroms. Since component density is a function of area, substituting Hydrogen atoms for Silicon atoms would yeild 4.87 times the component density.

      Creating a hydrogen wafer and etching transistors into it are left as exercises for the reader.

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    2. Re:Bad article, no donut. by Tower · · Score: 1

      >Creating a hydrogen wafer and etching transistors into it are left as exercises for the reader.

      I had it done, but my dog ate my paper... Can I have a few more days on this - the last time I tried it, the wafer didn't hold together too well...

      --
      "It's tough to be bilingual when you get hit in the head."
  69. Hmmm...Wondering the possibilites... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At first this sounds like great news, but no where does the article also make notes of how the motherboards, bus speeds, memory, sound cards, video cards and other devices would be affected... Certainly, the new machines currently available 2Ghz and others have shown that these devices can handle it, but what about older devices, such as printers, scanners, digital devices that are external. How will the new 10Ghz machines be able to handle the siginals to and from these devices??? I agree that soon, with the faster speeds comes the idea that an internal cooling system like an air conditioner will need to be in place to keep things running smoothly. So I ask the makers of the new chips: At what cost or sacrifice will the consumers have to give up in order to buy these machines?? Price, Availability, Space, Power comsumption, Upgradeability, Networking, Or Compatability??

  70. time to smell the coffee by f00zbll · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The news world needs to wake up and realize what a load of BS these articles are. Some posts mentioned the need for more bandwidth and I totally agree, but having done some simple tests with PC hardware, it is sufficient for entry level.

    Out of curiousity, I compared mpeg play back on both windows2K and BeOS on a dual P3 450 system with 32mb video and 512mb of ram. BeOS was able to play back full screen without skipping. Win2K skipped probably a few frames every minute and was very noticeable. Now I wasn't being very scientific about the test obviously, I just wanted to see if the hardware was capable of full screen (1280 X 1024 res) play back. The answer from a viewing perspective is yes.

    Although the older P3 architecture running on 100mhz bus with a single CPU isn't good enough for professional quality video editing (non-linear editing), the newer systems would perform much better. In comparison, a lot of professionals use Mac and Final Cut Pro 3. Having a 10ghz CPU will do very little for non-linear video editing.

    The hardware needs better bus architecture and the OS needs to be designed for streaming large amounts of data rapidly, which windows NT kernel currently does not do well. Microsoft has tried to get their systems into film school for editing with poor results. Linux isn't any better in that respect, so the only viable solution (BeOS) for PC video editing is gone.

    As more consumers get comfortable with video and music editing, the OS will have to change to meet the demand. If microsoft and intel doesn't, some one else will. This whole mhz battle won't go on forever. At some point, it will cease being the primary factor for consumer PC's.

  71. Solid state HDs are already available by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just to let everyone know who suggested dumping mechanical hard drives for electronic drives, solid state hard drives are already currently available.

    What will make these drives even more viable and cost effective, will be drives based on IBM's new MRAM (combination of solid-state and magnetics) technology, or some variation of it. MRAM is reportedly very high speed, extremely low power, and non-volatile (retains data even when power is turned off). All three are major improvements to current solid-state drives, not to mention mechanical drives.

    One low-cost way to increase performance today is to utilize multiple drives in a RAID (Redundant Array of Inexpensive Drives -- no, I didn't make up the acronym) striping arrangement. Abit, Iwill, Gigabyte and others either have released or announced AMD Athlon/Duron motherboards with built-in RAID controllers.

    I plan to build such a system later this year, using the money saved on AMD CPUs to purchase a RAID board and mulitiple ATA-100, 7200 RPM drives. One motherboard site currently has AMD 1.2 Ghz Athlon for $288, while the 1.4 GHz Pentium 4 is $782, over 2.7 times more for a processor that runs substantially slower on almost all current apps.

    Competition is great!

  72. Re:e-beam technology is more interesting than euv by kilrogg · · Score: 2
    While e-beam technology is, as stated, extremely flexible and useful as a 'one-off' prototyping method, it is also SLOW AS HECK. With millions of transistors, drawing one by one is not a solution for mass-production.

    I don't know that I'd want to use e-beam for prototyping. Your electrical performance might be so different that you could get fooled into thinking you have something which works. Prototyping isn't only for functional verification, it's also needed to see if you're meeting setup/hold times, jitter specs, etc, and that stuff is process sensitive.

    A better use for e-beaming is fixing/moding of prototype parts when a bug is found. Mask sets are so expensive now a days, if you suspect you've found the cause of a problem (and its small), you're better off trying to fix a few parts first.

    With a wafer holding perhaps thousands of dies, I have heard from those in the industry that it can take up to 10 hours (hours!) for one wafer to be 'drawn'.

    I think you mean 1 step in the wafer building process. In 0.13um you currenly get anywhere from 1-3 steps per day, and there are roughly 200 steps to making a wafer. That works out to about 3 month to make one batch of wafers.

  73. Re:10GHz = 3cm wave; 240nm 1MGHz! by joib · · Score: 2, Informative

    Well the 10GHz is the speed of the processor they think they are able to produce with EUV. It has nothing to do with the wavelength used in the etching process. The 10GHz just means that there is a clock thingy inside the processor which says 'tick' 10*10^9 times per second. Although this _does_ create a problem, as you hinted at. As the speed of light in vacuum is constant, it means that the clock signal will only propagate a certain length before the next 'tick'. With a 10GHz clock, the signal will propagate a maximum of about 3cm before the next 'tick' (high school physics, remember; c=lf, where c=speed of wave propagation, l=wavelength, f=frequency). Of course in reality it will propagate even less than 3cm (which is the wavelength you get if c=speed of light in vacuum=3*10^8m/s), as the speed of light inside the chip is somewhat slower than in vacuum. This will mean that the parts of the chip that are further away from the clock will be somewhat out of sync with the parts that are close to the clock. This is something chip designers certainly have to take into account. I'm not sure, maybe it is already an issue today?

  74. don't worry ... by taniwha · · Score: 1

    the adult film industry will make sure it that it does become obsolete it's only because it's been replaced with something better

  75. Re:10GHz = 3cm wave; 240nm 1MGHz! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is nothing wrong with wavelength the same order of magnitude as the chip dimension. It just means the ASIC design people have to start looking at signal integrity - something that most PCB design people have been doing for the few years. That basically mean they should be more than software coders hacking in HDL...

    IMHO ASIC have been too abstracted by the languages from reality. There are chips that are unrealistic for their operating conditions for their intend markets.

  76. Chemistry 101 by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 5, Funny


    Silicon: Chemical Formula Si, Atomic Number 14 in period table of elements, 2nd most common element in Earth's crust behind oxygen. Semiconductor. If silicon were to become obsolete we would need a replacement for stuff like rocks and materials as well as glass and concrete.

    Silica: SiO2, as pure a white crystaline material abundant in nature. Fused quartz is pure amorphus silica.

    Silicate: chemical compound containing silicon, oxygen, and one or more metals, e.g., aluminum, barium, beryllium, calcium, iron, magnesium, manganese, potassium, sodium, or zirconium. Found in quartz minerals such as agate, amethyst, chalcedony, flint, jasper, onyx, and rock crystal, opal, sand, sandstone, clay, granite, and many other rocks; in skeletal parts of various protists and animals, such as certain sarcodines, diatoms, and sponges, and in the stems and other tissue of higher plants.

    Silicone: inorganic polymer in which atoms of silicon and oxygen alternate in a chain; various organic radicals, such as the methyl group, CH3, are bound to the silicon atoms. As linear polymers silicones form a large class of useful fluids and greases. When crosslinked they form a useful class of synthetic rubbers.

    1. Re:Chemistry 101 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, you wanna be pedantic?
      'Silicon: Chemical Formula Si'
      Chemical SYMBOL, dude.

    2. Re:Chemistry 101 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, you wanna be pedantic?
      'Silicon: Chemical Formula Si'
      Chemical SYMBOL, dude.


      While Si is a chemical symbol, it is ALSO a chemical formula.

      Chemical formulae are groupings of symbols describing the composition of a material. As such Si is obviously a chemical formula for Silicon.

      Signed,

      Mr. Pedantic.

  77. Old article by anfloga · · Score: 1

    This article appears to be over a year old! January 11th, 2001 is its date...

  78. Pamela Lee... by cliffy2000 · · Score: 1

    Now that Silicon's gonna be obsolete, I think she'll have to go with UV breasts... I can see it now.

  79. The End Of Silicon by hyyx · · Score: 1
    "Barring a new invention, which is always possible, 'It should take us to the end of silicon...as we know it today,' he said."
    I always thought that moletronics would eventually replace silicon for good. The technology is manufactured at much smaller levels than what is being talked about in the article.
  80. No it won't by autopr0n · · Score: 2

    This is a process for lithography into silicon, which is what we already use, except it's slightly more precise.

    --
    autopr0n is like, down and stuff.
  81. HDs are a bottleneck by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    We need to replace our 20GB+ hard drives with something else like this nonvolative Magnetic RAM (MRAM) or something. Some sort of new technology is needed to get rid of the hard drive bottleneck. I don't think they can spin em much faster than 20,000RPM or they might make your computer case explode.

    This MRAM holds all the data just like a hard drive when the power is off. It might be just as fast or faster than static RAM. It would truly be the best of all worlds if they could make it high capacity and superfast and of course cheap ... "the holy grail". Imagine turning on your computer as fast as your TV! That would be very cool indeed.

    Perhaps in the next 10 years or so, we can get rid of the hard drive altogether... morph the hard drive and memory sticks or something. I hear there are still plenty of problems with this MRAM, but some sort of substitute for the slow hard drives needs to get invented. I think I read that IBM is working on this technology. They might as well try to obsolete their own hard drive technology before somebody else does.

  82. Density, not speed by autopr0n · · Score: 2

    And ironically you misquoted as well, Moore said that transistor density would double every 18 months, not chip speed (which is closely related).

    --
    autopr0n is like, down and stuff.
    1. Re:Density, not speed by CyberDruid · · Score: 1

      Huh? I never said that.

      --

      Opinions stated are mine and do not reflect those of the Illuminati

    2. Re:Density, not speed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      alrite autopr0n is back! now i can stop drinking myself to sleep & go back to wacking it!

  83. sites using silicone technology [OT] by Stone+Rhino · · Score: 1

    love your work. when you getting moderation up for user submissions?

    --


    Remember, there were no nuclear weapons before women were allowed to vote.
  84. It's gonna be awhile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It seems some people are missing an important point: it's gonna be awhile. Not only does the process have to develop to something efficient (right now it's "beta", so to speak), but the chip people have to create the new design, and market it, and so on. During this time, we can expect faster hard drives and bus speeds. The key is not only faster hard drives and bus speeds to go with a 10GHz chip, but a smaller margin between bus speed/hard drive speed and the CPU.

  85. More speed is OK, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...software needs to remain operable on slower machines. Too often you end up having to buy a new, faster computer just to run newer, better software. It drains our pockets.

  86. In a bit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm going to start coding soon.

  87. Remebering the courses by xtord · · Score: 1

    One on the questions on my physics test last year was about UV litography (since a swedish company is developing parts for it). Any way it increases the amount of circuits on the same area with a factor of about 400.

  88. CPU improvements are nice, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When will my *apps* be faster? When will I get to install drivers and hardware without rebooting?

  89. ob matrix quote. by ErikZ · · Score: 1

    "Also "Soon" means we won't see actual chips until oh, say 2005, so don't hold your breath or anything."

    Do you think that's air you're breathing?

    --
    Democrats or Republicans. They are both taking us to the same place and they are not afraid of us anymore.
  90. Re:e-beam technology is more interesting than euv by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Think how pure and pristine that prism would need to be, photonic light bullet deflection offers more promise . DSP chips can be made the 10 pencil in one hand trick. and you know you have the fastest.

  91. Fibre optic bus? by tph · · Score: 1

    You are right about the mechanical hard drives being slow - but how is a fibre optic bus going to help this?

    Sure, you could increase the clock frequency on the bus, but the need for (very) high frequency electronics would still be there. The most serious bottleneck would probably be between the processor and the RAM.

    But - as a student in the fibre field I hope we will see such busses soon ;-)

  92. 10GHz processor? by FREETACO · · Score: 1

    Yeah, and I've got a 100:1 lossless compression scheme to sell you.

  93. Optical litography with fresnel zone plates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is a lot more practical, they allows you to use scanning litography but with a lot of beams in parallel.

  94. Old news. by Alehandro · · Score: 1

    Ultraviolet lithography was around for a while already. Stands to make paths even on crystals are already exist. Someone just pulled out one of military projects.

  95. Written January 11, 2001 by ziggy_zero · · Score: 0

    The fastest PC processors today top out just above 1GHz.

    If by 1GHz you mean 2GHz, yes. Subtle difference, I know, but important nonetheless.

    --
    I belong to the ______ generation.
  96. It's about photolithograpgy, not the substrate... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The article says nothing about the composition of the wafers, just the wavelegth of the light souce used for manipulating photoresist. In short, chips would still be made of silicon in this process, but the feature size would shrink.

    The article is full of errors....chips today top out at just above 1GHz? Sheesh

  97. April 1st...? by Rui+del-Negro · · Score: 1

    > "We expect to have the first full field-scanned
    > images by April 1," said Chuck Gwyn, program director

    I wonder if there's any significance to the date...

    RMN
    ~~~

  98. I think saline made silicone obsolete. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ROFL. Fucking morons.

  99. Coherent EUV sources. by Christopher+Thomas · · Score: 4, Informative

    There are two big unsolved problems with "extreme ultraviolet" lithography, which is really X-ray lithography. First, you need a coherent X-ray source. The proposed options are a synchrotron, which is big (house-sized) and expensive, or an X-ray laser, which nobody has yet made work. Sandia has claimed a laser-pumped "plasma" source, but it doesn't yet have enough power to do the job.

    Or, you can use a frequency-doubled UV laser (frequency-doubled Ar:F lasers are the current favourite, if memory serves).

    Shining a laser beam through certain types of material produces an output beam that contains frequencies that are harmonics of the input beam's frequency, due to nonlinear interactions between the incident beam and the electrons in the material.

    This has been used as a tool in the lab for years, and has been under intense investigation for lithography for quite a while now. My understanding is that frequency-doubled EUV sources are already shipping.

  100. Oh well, owning the big house was fun by twitter · · Score: 2
    I'm hoping someone figures out how to make an x-ray laser. The trouble would seem to be bouncing them so that your productive media would be pumped in sync. How do you line up things to x-ray flatness? What kind of media do you use full of k-shells? Ehhh, it's not my department.

    In the mean time, the folks at places like CAMD have had coherent xrays for a while. There are supposed to be about five other labs like this around. I supose you could try to miniturize this technology. If someone comes up with something better, great, but the techniques that can take advantage of it ARE being worked out today.

    --

    Friends don't help friends install M$ junk.

  101. A little late on this one by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This article is about a year old.

  102. The REAL lithography issue by Da+Schmiz · · Score: 1
    From the article: "Deep ultraviolet lithography uses a wavelength of 240 nanometers. EUV uses a much shorter wavelength."

    I think by "much shorter" they're probably referring to 193nm ArF eximer laser photolithography or, more likely, 157nm F2 photolithography. The International Semiconductor Technology Roadmap pegs 157nm lithography as the likely candidate for the 70nm feature node.

    Actually, the biggest problem facing 157nm litho right now is optics. Fused silica works well for 100+nm wavelengths, but its transmission drops off significantly below that, so that by the time we reach 157nm, silica is practically opaque, useless as a lens material.

    Most of the industry has been looking at Calcium Fluoride (CaF2) as the next optical material for photolithography; unfortunately, researchers at NIST revealed last May that CaF2 has a high level of intrinsic birefringence. This means that a CaF2 lens would only refract light correctly if it is polarized along the <111> or <001> directions. So a stepper system would require a substantial increase in the number of lenses to keep correcting the light path.

    This runs into the other problem with CaF2: current processes for manufacture of optical-grade CaF2 crystals result in low yields, and the growth system may create additional, stress-induced birefringence effects. Without a sufficient supply of high-purity CaF2, the industry may have to shelve this whole technology in favor of one of the NGL techniques, like the electron beam technology described in the article. On the other hand, none of the NGL technologies are as yet mature enough to make them feasible.

    Of course, Moore's Law keeps pushing the semiconductor industry ahead. One way or another, they'll figure out a solution.

    As a disclaimer: I am not a semiconductor scientist/PhD/expert/pundit/etc. -- just someone who likes to follow the field. The above may or may not be accurate, and you are welcome to say so.

    --

    "Anything is better than IE, and you can quote me on that." -- Wil Wheaton.

  103. Re:e-beam technology is more interesting than euv by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Linux is my favorite. It is good, and I think that everyone should use Linux.

  104. Re:e-beam technology is more interressting than eu by Richard+Kirk · · Score: 1
    At the moment, the easiest, and lowest-risk way of getting up the resolution seems to be to crank down the wavelength of light. However, if this ever reaches a hard limit, then there are equivalent processes using electrons...

    Instead of making a mask, you produce a pattern of raised points on a conducting plate. These points will emit electrons when a field is applied. You can then use reducing electron optics to produduce a much smaller image of your source on your semiconductor target. The whole chip could be imaged at once, so this would be no slower than conventional sources.

    You could use a similar trick with ions. These have a bigger mass/charge ratio, so they take more volts to accelerate, but they are less put off by stray electrical and magnetic fields. The better ion beam milling microscopes use sub-nm beams these days.

  105. Re: put more effort in programming... by cb0y · · Score: 0

    If compilers/libraries/programmers put more effort in optimized smart code not dogdy lame "oh yeah this works on a p4" code crap, then perhaps we can squeeze 2x more speed out of current cpus.

    Thats like getting as P4-4ghz FOR FREE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    We need to put the same effort in making smart code as engineers do in designing cpus with caches/prefectches etc....

    Todays compilers really do suck.

  106. I hope it does make Silicone Obsolete by mesach · · Score: 1

    I personally prefer the Saline breasts myself much more natural feeling!! and you know that counts

    --
    moo.
  107. Why is 10ghz by 2005 a big surprise? by Faustus3 · · Score: 1

    Notice that in an article following the one anouncing the end of silicone that a 2.2ghz chip is being introduced. This is 2002, 18 months from now we shopuld have a 4.2-5ghz chip and 18 months from then a 8.4-10ghz chip. Moores law predicts a 10ghz chip by 2005 so why is anyone surprised?

  108. Re: put more effort in programming... by Inthewire · · Score: 1

    Thats like getting as P4-4ghz FOR FREE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    No. It has long been recognized that one of the goals of computation is to make machine time less expensive than programmer time. Optimized, non portable code isn't worth the extra time it takes to create. My time is best spent writing solving high level problems, not low level ones. Let megahertz clean up the gory details.

    Yes, I do this for a living.
    No, I am not stupid.

    --


    Writers imply. Readers infer.