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Global Warming - From Inside the Globe

Bill Kendrick writes "The National Post reports that a team of American and Canadian researchers has found evidence of real global warming: the temperature of the Earth's crust is increasing at a remarkable rate. What's really interesting is that heat absorbed by rocks slowly permeates into the earth. By boring holes in the ground, they can tell how hot the earth was years ago, in a 'reading tree rings' fashion."

250 comments

  1. Oh god, not again by Sc00ter · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Can we all just please realize that humans have been on the earth such a short period of time that we really have no idea how global climate is over a long period of time, so we have no real reference to figure out if humans are the cause of this "global warming"

    1. Re:Oh god, not again by shankark · · Score: 3, Informative

      Can we all just please realize that humans have been on the earth such a short period of time that we really have no idea how global climate is over a long period of time, so we have no real reference to figure out if humans are the cause of this "global warming"

      To some extent that is true, post hoc ergo propter hoc and all that. But if you look at the article more closely, they mention that, and I quote..

      "...The warming is most pronounced in northern latitudes, Dr. Beltrami says. On Ellesmere Island and in Alaska, ground temperatures are four to five degrees higher than they were in 1500. The rise is having a significant effect on permafrost, turning some northern areas that were once perpetually frozen into "several metres of muck," he says...."

      Surely, this can't all be entirely due to the slow seething disturbances down below. I think humanity, especially post-Industrial Revolution generations have to take some quarter of the blame. It may of course be, that since the earth isn't entirely spherical and the poles are closer to the centre, they tend to get warmer "faster".

    2. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can we all just please realize that humans have been on the earth such a short period of time that we really have no idea how global climate is over a long period of time

      Possibly, but let's look at some things we DO know.

      The earth's temp. is rising NOW.

      We're pumping billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere - which is a closed system .

      Now, it's perfectly logical to draw a correlation between the two.

      So let's look at future actions from a cause/effect perspective:

      #1: we continue to pump billions of tons of greenhouse gasses into the environment - If there is a correlation, we're killing our planet. If there is no correlation, nothing bad happens.

      #2: we stop pumping billions of tons of greenhouse gasses into the environment - if there is a correlation, nothing bad happens. If there is no correlation, nothing bad happens.

      So from a risk management point of view, it would be pretty stupid to continue to pollute the planet. There is no reward if you're right, but we're all dead if you're wrong.

      we have no real reference to figure out if humans are the cause of this "global warming"

      But by the time we WILL have reference, we'll all be dead if we are the cause. Therefore the only logical course of action is to stop.

    3. Re:Oh god, not again by AJWM · · Score: 5, Informative

      higher than they were in 1500

      Well, duh, ever hear of the Little Ice Age? Circa 1400 to 1800, give or take a half century. Prior to that (about 1000 to 1300), temperatures were warmer than they are today. In England farmers raised wine grapes, the Norse had dairy farms in Greenland.

      Climate change happens. Ten thousand years ago a good part of North America (and Europe) was under a mile of ice. I suppose humans take the blame for melting that?

      Get a grip.

      --
      -- Alastair
    4. Re:Oh god, not again by Cenam · · Score: 0

      omg your a moron, if this 'global warming' bs is true then if it is "killing the planet" as you say then if we stop pumping out CO2(which btw is natural and is suppose to exist about 5 times the quantity of O2 in the atmosphere) it will die off, if we don't stop then it will die off, and theres no way in hell it is all us because we dosn't do that much when you look at it from a global scale(we do enough to trash a few cities or so), so if this will kill the planet it is only natural, in which case we should live well while we can, and not stop because if we do we slow scientific progress, which we sorta need to get our asses outta here:)

      --

      The Truth: There is no string:)
    5. Re:Oh god, not again by foofboy · · Score: 5, Informative

      Also from the article:

      "Dr. Beltrami and his colleagues from the University of Michigan found that more than half of the land's heat gain over the past 500 years came during the 20th century, and 30% since 1950."

      Try to keep an open mind.

    6. Re:Oh god, not again by redhatbox · · Score: 1


      I can't for the life of me figure our why this person decided to post this as an AC. This is good stuff, at least in my opinion.

      I have to echo the argument that as we aren't exactly sure what the long-term effects of introducing large quanities of CO2 into our biosphere will have (although, as deforestation continues, the effects of such may become more pronounced more rapidly than otherwise), we should probably start examining ways to reduce the factors contributing to such emissions.

      No, I'm not suggesting we tell Big Industry to shove it. I'm not saying we should all rush out and buy bicycles either. I *am* saying we all have something of an obligation to look at the potential consequences of our actions, if only for self preservation purposes. If you don't think things could possibly hit a critical point within your lifetime, try thinking about your kids and grandkids. Don't plan on having any kids? All right, start thinking abour your friends' children/grandchildren. Don't have any friends? Wow, that must suck.

      Moderators, please mod the parent comment up. Nobody has to agree with the poster's position, but it's good to see people at least thinking for themselves in a logical fashion.

    7. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Also from the article: "Dr. Beltrami and his colleagues from the University of Michigan found that more than half of the land's heat gain over the past 500 years came during the 20th century, and 30% since 1950."

      Oh really? That contradicts existing information to-date, and doesn't speak about what has happened in the last 23 years that we have a satellite temperature record for (and that shows no warming whatsoever).

      Fact is, there is no proof of human-caused global warming. Not even a correlation. And as mentioned above, the climate warms and gets cooler. It's part of a natural cycle.

      Those that believe that humans are causing global warming fit into the same group of people that, hundreds of years ago, thought you'd fall off the edge of the world if you sailed too far and that the sun circled the earth--both very "human-centric" ways of thinking. They had no proof of either, but it was a part of popular culture nonetheless and to suggest the world was round was considered rediculous.

      Likewise today, global warming is a part of popular culture. Like before, it elevates the importance of man in the universe (or on the planet, in this case) and gives them a self-important feeling, as if man can cause or prevent the next ice age or global warming. Of course, there's absolutely no proof of this--but to suggest otherwise is often rediculed by popular culture.

      Earth changed constantly over billions of years before the global warming club appeared. They definitely need to get a grip on reality and realize that the world--not even the environment--revolves around humans.

    8. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Possibly, but let's look at some things we DO know. The earth's temp. is rising NOW.

      We don't know that. In fact, we know that in the last 23 years, for which there is a global satellite temperature record, there has been no noted warming whatsoever.

      We're pumping billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere - which is a closed system .

      And the plants thank us for it and give us more oxygen in return.

      Now, it's perfectly logical to draw a correlation between the two.

      Well, assuming there was global warming (which there hasn't been at least in the last 23 years), the best you could do is try to draw a correlation.

      Mind you, a correllation is not proof, not by a longshot.

      There might be a correlation between the amount of farting going on due to there being more people on the earth, but you'd be hard pressed to conclude that the increased farting is causing global warming--even though a strong correlation may exist.

      #1: we continue to pump billions of tons of greenhouse gasses into the environment - If there is a correlation, we're killing our planet. If there is no correlation, nothing bad happens.

      Again, bad assumption.

      You assume that a rise in global temperatures is bad. We have no proof of that. It may cause more rainfall in Africa and allow that continent to actually feed itself. That'd be a good thing. Those that automatically believe that global warming would be bad are certainly over-estimating their own ability to know what is good and bad for this planet.

      Also, BTW, there is no proof whatsoever to suggest that a rise in temperature will cause sea level to rise. In fact, there is plenty of information to suggestion the opposite--that an increase in temperature will cause more evaporation from the oceans, causing more clouds to rain upon Antartica, causing more ice to form and reducing the sea level somewhat.

      #2: we stop pumping billions of tons of greenhouse gasses into the environment - if there is a correlation, nothing bad happens. If there is no correlation, nothing bad happens.

      Nothing bad, except millions of unemployed people worldwide, increased poverty because poor countries aren't able to become industrialized, more unhealthy people in the world because people in industrialized countries will be thrown out of work and unable to get medical attention for themselves and, at the same time, rich countries will be harder pressed to export "free" health aid to third world countries.

      If you don't care about the wellbeing of people, sure, nothing bad happens.

      So from a risk management point of view, it would be pretty stupid to continue to pollute the planet. There is no reward if you're right, but we're all dead if you're wrong.

      While I'm not pro-pollution, that doesn't mean I'm in favor of making drastic cuts to address an unproven theory at the cost of the health and wellbeing of millions--possibly billions--of people worldwide.

      To suggest that "we're all dead if you're wrong" is extremist propaganda. If there was ever proof of what you're saying, believe me, countries and individuals would both be willing to make sacrifices. But neither countries nor persons, in general, are going to make that sacrifice to solve an unproven problem.

      But by the time we WILL have reference, we'll all be dead if we are the cause. Therefore the only logical course of action is to stop.

      Again, that's extremist environmentalist propaganda. Don't buy it without thinking.

      The human race will change its ways before it kills itself. But it will only change its way if there is convincing evidence that there is not just a correlation between one, but a direct relationship. That evidence does not currently exist.

    9. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 2
      Moderators, please mod the parent comment up. Nobody has to agree with the poster's position, but it's good to see people at least thinking for themselves in a logical fashion.

      He's not thinking for himself. He's echoing the standard propaganda spewed by environmentalists; there's certainly no evidence he is thinking for himself and there's actually some doubt as to whether he's thinking logically.

      The very fact that he believes there'd be "nothing bad" about making major cuts in CO2 without considering the affect on the wellbeing and health of humans (as a direct result of a worsening economy) shows that, at best, he is making logical conclusions based on half the information.

    10. Re:Oh god, not again by spike+hay · · Score: 1

      We're pumping billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere - which is a closed system .

      Now, it's perfectly logical to draw a correlation between the two.


      Um, no. There are many other factors influencing climate.

      The Kyoto Petition was signed by 2,500 scientists. Only a few were involved in actual climatology. Most were social scientists and gov't functionaries.

      However, another petition urging congress to reject the treaty, was signed by 15,000 scientists!

      Here is a good page explaining global warming and it's relation to CO2 emissions: here I will talk about the results of this study later, so read it.

      But by the time we WILL have reference, we'll all be dead if we are the cause. Therefore the only logical course of action is to stop.

      What do you mean we will all be dead!? 3,000 years ago things were vastly warmer than they are today. CO2 isn't even one of the main causes of the greenhouse effect. It just happens to have more of a greenhouse effect than other gases. Just use your head. The reason the earth is warming is because we are still coming out of the little ice age 300 years ago!!!
      We're still below the temperature levels of the middle ages and way below the levels of ancient times. The global warming article I referred you to has an excellent graph showing the average temperatures for the last 3000 years. The earth warms and cools all the time. This new global warming is just us entering into an average temperature period. It's nothing to be worried about.

      If you look at the global ocean temp. graph for the past 3,000 years, we seem to be going through a slow rise in temperature right now. Compare that to the dramatic up an down of several degrees between 1000 and 500 B.C.

      In our warming since the Little Ice Age, we had a dramatic increase of a little less than a degree between 1600 and 1700, before there was a lot of CO2 emissions. It has been a gradual rise since then. We aren't even up to the average historical ocean temperature yet.

      There is no credible evidence linking C02 emissions to global warming. It is just another warming and cooling cycle. Please, before you flame me, look at the article I linked to. It contains valuable information about the subject historically.

      --
      If you don't understand any of my sayings, come to me in private and I shall take you in my German mouth.
    11. Re:Oh god, not again by spike+hay · · Score: 1

      !@#$#$#!@#$!@#$!#@T$##^ Forgot to hit "preview"!!!!

      The first paragraph of italisized is a quote from a previous poster. The rest is of my own doing.

      --
      If you don't understand any of my sayings, come to me in private and I shall take you in my German mouth.
    12. Re:Oh god, not again by nomadic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Those that believe that humans are causing global warming fit into the same group of people that, hundreds of years ago, thought you'd fall off the edge of the world if you sailed too far and that the sun circled the earth--both very "human-centric" ways of thinking. They had no proof of either, but it was a part of popular culture nonetheless and to suggest the world was round was considered rediculous.

      The fact that humankind has a definite effect on the environment is an established fact. The only people who don't believe it are the scientifically illiterate, and those who are so invested in ideology that they just can't believe in it.

      Earth changed constantly over billions of years before the global warming club appeared. They definitely need to get a grip on reality and realize that the world--not even the environment--revolves around humans.

      This makes no sense, yet it appears on every global warming story. Non-human factors can effect global climate, therefore human factors never will be able to. Do you see how silly the argument is? There's a huge difference between "A can affect B" and "A and only A can affect B".

      The scientists say there's global warming. The business world says there isn't. Now who should we believe? The scientists, or the people who benefit financially from saying there isn't?

      Fine, you say, there's global warming, but it can't be industry (again, because there wasn't industry in the past; it still makes no sense). What exactly do you think happens to all the CO2 and other pollutants we pump into the atmosphere? They just disappear? Well we see one effect already in acid rain (or do you think that's a myth, too?) Again, proof that humanity can indeed cause large-scale adverse climate change.

    13. Re:Oh god, not again by motox · · Score: 1

      That excuse is not good enough to ignore climate changes and to keep polluting the planet. Ten thousand years ago we didnt have industries releasing all sort of shit in the atmosphere. I think YOU and people like George Bush should get a grip before speaking.

    14. Re:Oh god, not again by Eccles · · Score: 1

      Surely, this can't all be entirely due to the slow seething disturbances down below.

      It could be, and don't call me Shirley.

      --
      Ooh, a sarcasm detector. Oh, that's a real useful invention.
    15. Re:Oh god, not again by NoBeardPete · · Score: 1

      When you complain that maybe we aren't causing global warming, you may have a point. However, if global warming is happening in a serious way, it is of vital importance that we try to figure out as much about it as possible, regardless of who or what is responsible.

      Major global warming could impact our lives in so many catastrophic ways. I won't even bother going into them all here, but I think it suffices to say that more people could be displaced from their homes than all of the people who have lived and died in the entire history of the world.

      Now, don't you think it is important to study something that could have this effect? To try to figure out whether or not it's happening, and if so, how quickly, and how far it's likely to go? The world may not revolve around humans, but we do have to live in the world, and as such it behooves us to figure out what is happening to us, even if it is natural, or part of some giant cycle that has been going on for eons.

      --
      Arrr, it be the infamous pirate, No Beard Pete!
    16. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 1, Troll
      The fact that humankind has a definite effect on the environment is an established fact. The only people who don't believe it are the scientifically illiterate, and those who are so invested in ideology that they just can't believe in it.

      Where is the evidence, sir? I have seen none whatsoever. None. Zippo. I've seen lots of correlations, suggestions, and political BS. But absolutely no scientific evidence that proves this conclusively.

      If you'd be so kind as to present me with a link then I will be happy to join "your side."

      Non-human factors can effect global climate, therefore human factors never will be able to. Do you see how silly the argument is? There's a huge difference between "A can affect B" and "A and only A can affect B".

      No, it's not that we can't. We probably do. Everything affects everything. But there is no evidence that we have anything more than a miniscule affect on global warming. The combined output of CO2 from natural sources and just plain simple water vapor is orders of magnitude more important than what we produce as humans.

      The scientists say there's global warming.

      Which scientists? The IPCC? That was mostly signed by environmentalists and politicians. There was a whopping 1 climate scientist that signed it. On the other hand, this petition, signed by over 15,000 scientists suggests otherwise.

      So please be careful when you say scientists that there's global warming. The vast majority either say there isn't, or that there isn't any evidence of it.

      Most of the scientists that say there is conclusive proof of human-caused global warming are mostly those that depend on it for their funding.

      What exactly do you think happens to all the CO2 and other pollutants we pump into the atmosphere? They just disappear?

      Uh, yes. Just ask your neighborhood tree or plant what they like to eat. They'll tell you they like water (which there will be more of if the earth warms and there is more evaporation) and CO2 (which apparently we're poisoning the atmosphere with).

      So, yes, thanks to the plants CO2 does disappear.

      Well we see one effect already in acid rain (or do you think that's a myth, too?)

      No, that's not a myth. But it's not caused by the same chemicals that supposedly cause global warming.

      Again, proof that humanity can indeed cause large-scale adverse climate change.

      Acid rain is not usually large-scale. It usually affects a specific area downwind of the source of the pollution. A contaminating factory in Detroit isn't going to cause acid rain in Europe... THAT would be large-scale climate change, so to speak.

    17. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 2
      Major global warming could impact our lives in so many catastrophic ways. I won't even bother going into them all here,

      I wish you would, because some possible affects of global warming would be:

      1. Increased evaporation from the oceans due to increased temperature.

      2. Increased clouds due to the evaporation.

      3. Increased rainfall over the poles where it would freeze and become ice (since, even at a degree or two warmer, the poles are still below freezing).

      4. Increased rainfall over land, perhaps turning deserts into agricultural centers and feeding millions of people in Africa.

      but I think it suffices to say that more people could be displaced from their homes than all of the people who have lived and died in the entire history of the world.

      Hahah, I'd like you to re-read that statement. It's a logically impossible.

      Nevertheless, if you are suggesting that sea level would rise, probably the opposite is true. Increased evaporation over the oceans would fall, in part, over the poles and freeze. Global warming could actually cause a decrease in sea level. The only displacement would be those moving to get closer to the receeding beach.

      Now, don't you think it is important to study something that could have this effect? To try to figure out whether or not it's happening, and if so, how quickly, and how far it's likely to go?

      I'm in favor of study. That's science and a good thing.

      I'm 100% opposed to making anything but minor adjustments to our policies, societies, and ecomomies until such study is finished conclusively.

    18. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      hmm ... nor did we have volcanos releasing sulfuric acid or chlorinated compounds causing acid rain and catalyzing a breakdown of ozone, nor forest fires or deep mine fires spewing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Oh, wait, even now, most of the atmospheric pollutants are environmental, not manmade, you stupid fuck.

    19. Re:Oh god, not again by broller · · Score: 1

      >>The earth's temp. is rising NOW.
      >We don't know that. In fact, we know that in the last 23 years, for which there is a global satellite temperature record,
      >there has been no noted warming whatsoever.


      Already at this early point in the comment postings, I've seen you quote this at least twice. Please provide a link or reference to this statment. In other words, please prove it.

    20. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 2
      That excuse is not good enough to ignore climate changes and to keep polluting the planet. Ten thousand years ago we didnt have industries releasing all sort of shit in the atmosphere. I think YOU and people like George Bush should get a grip before speaking.

      While you are certainly welcome to your opinion, your post contributed nothing to the debate and only suggests that the opposing view should not have their say.

      But thanks for playing.

    21. Re:Oh god, not again by Malcontent · · Score: 2

      You link to the oism.org site proves your ignorance (or malice). The oism is a sham and has been exposed many times in the media. It's a republican organization whose job is to spread anti environmental FUD. Go to their home page and read what is says there. It consists of six people and one building. Pointing to a extreme right wing organization and saying "see they say there is no such thing as global warming" probably fools the ignorant masses and the Rush Limbaugh amen corner but your audience here is probably more educated then the knuckle draggers you are used to speaking to.

      Just spend a few minutes browsing the oism site and the IPCC site and you'll see who knows what. One site is full of scientific studies and rich in information the other is a right wing propaganda site.

      --

      War is necrophilia.

    22. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      With each essay or news story that I read, it adds further proof to me that humans don't know very much at all.

    23. Re:Oh god, not again by martinde · · Score: 1

      > The human race will change its ways before it kills
      > itself.

      You're assuming that the reaction to warming would be such that we'd have time to stop. There's a decent amount of evidence that dramatic changes in the climate have come on suddenly in the past. One theory is that the dumping trillions of gallons of fresh water into the ocean shut down key Atlantic currents, cooling Europe. It was so sudden, it was like flipping a switch - that's a proposed theory at least.

      I'm not going to take sides but assuming that there will be time to react after we've seen real evidence - that might be as bad as an assumption as several of the original poster's assumptions.

    24. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 3, Informative
      Please provide a link or reference to this statment. In other words, please prove it.

      Well, since you're apparently too lazy to use Google, I found this one from NASA for you.

      In it you'll see that they mentioned the greatest affect on temperature changes seem to have been El Niño.

      Anyway, read, learn, enjoy.

    25. Re:Oh god, not again by JamesOfTheDesert · · Score: 2
      Surely, this can't all be entirely due to the slow seething disturbances down below.

      Why not? Do you have some specific evidence to support your conjecture?

      --

      Java is the blue pill
      Choose the red pill
    26. Re:Oh god, not again by NoBeardPete · · Score: 2

      Hahah, I'd like you to re-read that statement. It's a logically impossible.

      Perhaps I should have put parentheses in. "... than all those people who have (lived and died) in the history of the earth". Not all of the people who have lived plus all of the people who have died. And I don't think it takes much of a sea level rise to accomplish this.

      As far as changing policy before firm conclusions are reached, I think you would do well to consider the expected return. Say scientists are studying something, and they have some preliminary results saying that if we continue on our current course of action, there's a 50% chance something catastrophic will happen, but they won't be certain until they've done another 20 years of study, by which time said catastrophe might be too late to avert. Do you insist on waiting for the final, conculsive results?

      Well, that depends on the cost of changing the course of action. If it's less than half of the cost of the catastrophe, we should probably start making changes now.

      I'm not saying that this is the real situation, just that your stance on conclusivity of studies probably isn't as flexible as it ought to be.

      --
      Arrr, it be the infamous pirate, No Beard Pete!
    27. Re:Oh god, not again by God!+Awful · · Score: 3, Insightful


      Climate change happens. Ten thousand years ago a good part of North America (and Europe) was under a mile of ice. I suppose humans take the blame for melting that?

      Oh, you people are so ridiculous, snatching at whatever random fact that appeals to your self-serving opinion. I remember a Christian Science lecturer once told me that the ice age is what allowed the animals from Noah's ark to walk across the ocean and settle on the various continents. I don't think your argument is that bad, but you're still being willfully ignorant.

      Scientists believe that a number of factors contribute to large scale climate change:

      1. The gradual warming of the sun.
      2. The gradual cooling of the earth's core.
      3. Large volcanic eruptions and meteor impacts, which pollute the atmosphere with dust.
      4. The reflective nature of the polar ice.
      5. The population cycles of plants and animals, which change the composition of the atmosphere.
      6. The thinning of the ozone layer.
      7. The bulldozing of the rainforest.
      8. Commercial farming.
      9. Atmospheric pollution.
      10. Human power consumption.

      So the fact that the first 5 elements have caused periodic climate change over the course of Earth's existance does not prove that the industrial revolution is not causing global warming. Furthermore, we have evidence that the effects of mankind are causing climate change to occur much faster than they were previously. On top of this, we have scientific models (based on chemistry and physics) which can accurately predict the warming trend. (We have the examples of the planets Mars and Venus, which provide further test vectors.)

      This doesn't mean that there won't be little blips in the data. In fact, a volcanic eruption in the mid 90s caused a 2-3 year disruption in the warming trend (source: the Smithsonian Institute). In the past, large scale climate changes have caused the extinction of large numbers of species. So far, the temperature has always returned back to comfortable levels.

      However, the danger of global warming is that several of these factors exist in an unstable equilibrium. As the Earth gets warmer, the polar ice melts. This causes the Earth to reflect less of the sun's energy and more of the ice melts. This results in a 'snowball' effect (to use an inappropriate term). Perhaps in the past, this runaway warming has been quenched by a catastrophic effect like a giant volcanic eruption. Therefore, the equilibrium would be unstable, but chaotic enough to always return to the balance point. There is no guarantee than man-made climate change will have the same effect. Some of the natural factors (e.g. the plant-animal arms race) have a buffering effect, which tends to restore the equilibrium. Man-made factors will get worse as the population increases; they may bias the controlling equations and cause the equilibrium to never be restored.

      -a

    28. Re:Oh god, not again by JamesOfTheDesert · · Score: 2
      The scientists say there's global warming.

      Shouldn't that be The Scientists, (you know, just like The Man, Them, and Big Business)?

      --

      Java is the blue pill
      Choose the red pill
    29. Re:Oh god, not again by roguerez · · Score: 1

      Farmers still raise wine grapes in England. And English wine still sucks.. :)

    30. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 2
      And I don't think it takes much of a sea level rise to accomplish this

      Assuming sea level rises. Which it might not. And even if it does, so what? Are we so arrogant as to think that the world will always look exactly as it is? Nothing is forever. Not even Los Angeles.

      Say scientists are studying something, and they have some preliminary results saying that if we continue on our current course of action, there's a 50% chance something catastrophic will happen, but they won't be certain until they've done another 20 years of study, by which time said catastrophe might be too late to avert. Do you insist on waiting for the final, conculsive results?

      If the results were even 10% conclusive I'd say we ought to take some action. But we're far from even 10% sure that humans are causing any affect whatsoever on global warming.

      Even so, I might backtrack on that because I'm not sure that we know that a rising sea level would be a bad thing. Just because people have to relocate doesn't mean, 200 years from now, the earth won't be a better place because of that.

      There are too many variables. There's no proof that there is ongoing global warming. If there is global warming, there's no proof that humans are a significant cause of it. If there is global warming and we are causing it, there's no proof that it will bring major changes to the earth. If it does bring major changes to the earth, there's no proof that those changes will be bad in anything but the shortest-term.

      So... given so much uncertainty, no, I'm not yet ready to take any significant action to address it.

    31. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      and those who are so invested in ideology that they just can't believe in it.

      Hello, Pot, I'd like to introduce you to my friend, Kettle.

      Get over yourself. There isn't any shortage of ideological blindness on "your side" of this issue either.

    32. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 2
      Malcontent: Read this. Regardless of the truth (or lack thereof) of what you say, this link should give you some additional perspective.

    33. Re:Oh god, not again by canadian_right · · Score: 2, Troll
      Well actually, there are MORE people alive right now than all the people that have lived and died in all of history - so its not a big stretch to say that global warming can, in fact, affect that many people.

      The Artic (North pole) is NOT frozen all year round, and the time that it is 'defrosted' has been increasing over the last few years which is causing all sorts of problems for polar bears which depend on the ice for their hunting.

      Your little tale about all the wonderful changes global warming will bring is a pipe dream. No one knows for sure what will happen if the Earth warms up a few degrees. The main thing is that there will be MORE ENERGY. More energy means bigger storms, more 'extreme weather events'. From what I've read, global warming will make some parts of the world more pleasant, but it will make just as many places much less pleasant:

      • USA Midewest will become a dust bowl
      • Northern Europe will actually get cooler (due to a cold artic current not running as deep in the warmer water)
      • Canadian prairies get wetter (a welcome change)
      • More frequent large storms
      • If enough ice melts, the oceans will rise.

      The weather is too complicated to predict with any great accuracy, so all this should be taken with a grain of salt.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    34. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 3
      On top of this, we have scientific models (based on chemistry and physics) which can accurately predict the warming trend. (We have the examples of the planets Mars and Venus, which provide further test vectors.)

      Can you provide a link? Last I checked we didn't even have a model that successfully modeled the increase at the beginning of the 20th century. And no model that takes into account the affect of solar variations and the affects of (ahem) clouds.

      If modeling is really as good as you've suggested, I've apparently missed something and I'd very much like to see that model and educate myself.

    35. Re:Oh god, not again by Stacdaed · · Score: 1

      ever hear of the Little Ice Age? Circa 1400 to 1800, give or take a half century. Prior to that (about 1000 to 1300), temperatures were warmer than they are today.
      No, the last ice age was over 10000 years ago not 300.

    36. Re:Oh god, not again by JamesOfTheDesert · · Score: 2
      Well actually, there are MORE people alive right now than all the people that have lived and died in all of history.

      So, I guess the people alive yesterday aren't part of the people who have ever lived.

      Interesting. Just when does history start?

      --

      Java is the blue pill
      Choose the red pill
    37. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're assuming that the reaction to warming would be such that we'd have time to stop. There's a decent amount of evidence that dramatic changes in the climate have come on suddenly in the past.

      That's why I always keep an emergency stock of Hawaiian shirts, Speedos and iced tea in the basement!

    38. Re:Oh god, not again by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 2

      Really? thats interesting. I have always wanted to know how many people there have ever been. but I could never fgure out a reliable way of determining this info - aside from talking with God.

      Where did you get that info - how do they know how many people have been born in ALL of time?

      seriously. how?

    39. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's so nice to see someone thinking logically on /. Woohooo

    40. Re:Oh god, not again by hnc · · Score: 1

      > I'm 100% opposed to making anything but minor adjustments to our policies, societies, and ecomomies until such study is finished conclusively.

      yeah, it would be the end of the world if we americans would have to stop going shopping with a SUV and running our air conditions full throttle!

      hnc

    41. Re:Oh god, not again by motox · · Score: 1

      Well the opposite view said to get a grip, so why dont you follow the hint as well and go get one :)

    42. Re:Oh god, not again by guygee · · Score: 2

      I followed your link, and frankly I was not impressed. So you have found a sociologically-oriented "case study" written by a couple of dissidents. An interesting data point, perhaps, but these guys are definitely in the minority. Healthy debate and disagreement is part of the scientific process, but there are are increasingly few serious climatologists, meteorologists and geologists who don't believe that human activities are having a sigificant effect on the Earth's climate. Beyond a few legitimate contrarians, what you are left with are the ideologues and the outright sellouts.

      Sorry, due to the potential seriousness of the threat, the burden of proof is on you. I'll follow the prepondence of evidence.

    43. Re:Oh god, not again by hnc · · Score: 1

      > You assume that a rise in global temperatures is bad. We have no proof of that. It may cause more rainfall in Africa and allow that continent to actually feed itself. That'd be a good thing. Those that automatically believe that global warming would be bad are certainly over-estimating their own ability to know what is good and bad for this planet

      no, we have no proof that global warming is bad. furthermore, we have not proof that global warming is good. so, let's try and see. brilliant idea!

      > To suggest that "we're all dead if you're wrong" is extremist propaganda. If there was ever proof of what you're saying, believe me, countries and individuals would both be willing to make sacrifices. But neither countries nor persons, in general, are going to make that sacrifice to solve an unproven problem.

      its naive to believe that a president how is paid by the oil industry (apart from others) would want to make people make these sacrifices. instead, lets drill more oil in alaska.

    44. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 2
      Your little tale about all the wonderful changes global warming will bring is a pipe dream.

      Perhaps, but no more so than many of the pipe dreams (or nightmares) offered by some environmentalists.

      From what I've read, global warming will make some parts of the world more pleasant, but it will make just as many places much less pleasant

      As you said earlier in your post ("No one knows for sure what will happen if the Earth warms up a few degrees."), no-one really knows. So what you've read is just as much speculation as what I posted, but...

      USA Midewest will become a dust bowl

      I tend to think this is mostly to frighten the United States popultaion. The fact is, the Rocky Mountains that run through the middle of both our countries is what causes rain to fall across the U.S. midwest. Increased temperature (and thus increased ocean evaporation and clouds) will tend to cause more rain the U.S. Midwest, not less.

      Unless the Rocky Mountains disappear I don't think there is much of a risk to the U.S. Midwest. Of course, global warming might melt the Rockies...

      Northern Europe will actually get cooler (due to a cold artic current not running as deep in the warmer water)

      I'm not informed about this point, although I'd be curious to know how much colder they'd expect it to be and what affect that would really have. Northern Europe (if we're talking Scandanavian countries) are already pretty cold.

      More frequent large storms

      Is that necessarily bad?

      If enough ice melts, the oceans will rise

      If the ice melts. While I am aware that the North Pole melts each year (my dad once spent a number of months near the North Pole on a scientific trip for the University of Washington and had pictures of the ice breaking up when they abandoned their camp), that is not the case with the South Pole.

      The weather is too complicated to predict with any great accuracy, so all this should be taken with a grain of salt.

      Agreed, completely. But that goes both ways and everything the environmentalists say needs to be taken with a grain of salt as well. Unfortunately, the media sensationalizes it and governments come up with drastic Protocols based on incomplete research. They've forgotten their grain of salt...

    45. Re:Oh god, not again by God!+Awful · · Score: 1

      I saw this exhibit when I visited the Smithsonian Institute last October. Unfortunately, I can't find a link on their website.

      I remember they had a video presentation in which they showed how the warming trend had slowed for 2 years due to a recent volcanic eruption, and they talked about a computer model which had successfully predicted the effect.

      In any case, whether or not, they can model the Earth as a whole, I don't see how anyone can deny that they have the ability to model the effects of each factor individually, and those models should lead you to the same conclusions.

      -a

    46. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's a link, you Google-impaired moron:

      http://www.vehiclechoice.org/climate/cutler.html

      THE LITTLE ICE AGE.

    47. Re:Oh god, not again by guygee · · Score: 2

      Ironically, given the expected changes due to a warming earth (partly based on paleoclimatological inferences made from past warmer periods), one of the countries likely to suffer the most is the good ol' USA, due to expected increased aridity in our main crop-producing regions. On the other hand, Russia and Canada may actually experience some benefits, at least in terms of agricultural productivity.

    48. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >We're pumping billions of tons of CO2 into the
      >atmosphere - which is a closed system .
      >And the plants thank us for it and give us more
      >oxygen in return
      Yes, but only up to a point. The percentage of CO2 in the atmosphere has doubled since the beginning of the industrial revolution. Now, correct me if I'm wrong, but this doesn't sound like a system in equilibrium.

      >Also, BTW, there is no proof whatsoever to
      >suggest that a rise in temperature will cause
      >sea level to rise
      Oh, really? So what you're telling me is that water doesn't expand as it's temperature increases. Interesting. Care to tell us why warm water is less dense that cold water? Could it be that it's less dense? Same mass, lower density make more volume. More volume of water, same size of ocean, makes higher sea level. And don't try say it evaporates more, as less than 0.5% of the water is in the atmosphere as water vapour.

    49. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why can't you morons use google?

      http://www.prb.org/Content/NavigationMenu/Other_ ar ticles/July-September_20001/How_Many_People_Have_L ived_On_Earth_.htm

      An estimated 105 Billion people have existed on Earth.

      YOU ARE SO FULL OF SHIT.

    50. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, here's the deal: Water in ice form takes up 10% more volume than water in liquid form, so more melted ice would result in a drop in sea level - that is, if the ice in question is floating in the ocean.

      The big worry is that all that ice in Antarctica is is above sea level - it's sitting on land, not in the ocean. So if it melts, well, there goes "America's Wang" (along with places such as the Netherlands, and practically _every_ coastal city by an ocean on the planet, plus several dozen island nations)...

    51. Re:Oh god, not again by Cenam · · Score: 0

      dumbass...think about it..how many measurments were taken of the land underground a hundred years ago, now how many of those were done with decent equiptment...

      --

      The Truth: There is no string:)
    52. Re:Oh god, not again by AKAImBatman · · Score: 2

      . I think humanity, especially post-Industrial Revolution generations have to take some quarter of the blame

      Blame?! This isn't about blame! This is about credit! About how man can now affect the entire world with his technology. How we should be fearful of our own power. Wake up people! We aren't that good. Sure we're great at finding new ways to kill one another, but there isn't a damn thing we can do to permanently destroy planet Earth. Even if we set off every nuclear weapon on this planet, all you'd end up with is a lot of dead people. The earth would recover just fine thank you. Might be a little chilly for awhile, but all the radiation would be absorbed by abundant elements such as, oh I dunno, WATER!

      So, enough of the "blame" bit. There is no "blame". The earth does its thing and we do ours. Oh, and try to watch less Captain Planet. Please?

    53. Re:Oh god, not again by de+Selby · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if AJWM was trying to claim that modern global warming is just something the earth is doing, but the point is good that we've gone through changes like this before and haven't had any trouble enjoying them.

      If we caused this or not, it doesn't seem to be anything to get upset about.

    54. Re:Oh god, not again by LatJoor · · Score: 2

      Therefore, the equilibrium would be unstable, but chaotic enough to always return to the balance point. There is no guarantee than man-made climate change will have the same effect.

      There's always the Nuclear Winter theory.

    55. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Exactly.


      Also, those screaming 'global warming' (the sky is falling!) are the exact same crowd that gave us the "Nuclear Winter" hysteria 25 years ago, and the "Club of Rome" study before that. They were wrong.


      They predicted doom and gloom for the last decade of the 20th century and the rest of the 21st century. They were wrong.


      They claim the CO2 is a dangereous greenhouse gas and ignore the fact that H2O (water vapor) can trap seven times more heat and there is hundreds of times more water in the atmosphere than CO2.

      They conveniently ignore the buffering effect of the oceans. Increases in atmospheric CO2 are reduced by Calcium absorbing it in the oceans. Classic carbonate buffering.

      They are the same ones who drone on about how evil the Western civilizations (especially the USA) are to create and sustain our high standard of living. These are the people who create Green Parties with Red motives and extroll the virtues of returning to pre-industrial agrarian societies. They conveniently forget how much manure and Methane horses and cows put out, to say nothing of how little food they produce. People would starve by the hundreds of millions if food were dependent upon animal power for production.


      These are the people who scream about intollerance but won't allow opinions which differ from theirs to be heard. Their campus newspaper trashings, book burnings and brown shirt disruptions of assemblies examining opposing views are now a trademark on most campuses, proving there is little difference between Marxist and Facists. They scream about percieved threats to their constitutional rights but routinely deny those rights to others.

      These people, and their friends and allies, spike trees and kill loggers. They burn down resorts and threaten lives. They burn down medical research labs and with those labs the hopes of those less fortunate and more afflicted.

    56. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right. Remember when the first 'Petition' signed by 2,000 "acientists" was released, 'proving' that most scientists were supporting the Global Warming theory? The petitioners lied. Most were 'artists' or 'concerned' citizens, Less than 200 were scientists of any type, and only 15 were atmospheric scientists or meterologists. A subsequent petition signed by about 15,000 real atmospheric scientists and meterologists was against the global warming theory, but didn't see air time with the major media because they were not left enough.

      http://www.newaus.com.au/news25b.html

      http://www.accesstoenergy.com/view/ate/s41p31.ht m

    57. Re:Oh god, not again by Tony-A · · Score: 2

      I don't see how anyone can deny that they have the ability to model the effects of each factor individually
      Ocean currents. In particular, what turns them on and turns them off.
      Does anyone have a model that explains the climatic changes that occurred when the Isthmus of Panama closed the gap between North and South America?

    58. Re:Oh god, not again by aklouie · · Score: 1

      Actually there is a group of highly respected engineers and scientists trying to prove what you are talking about. A global mass balance on CO2 and I think other gasses has been worked on for the past couple years. They are near to closing it, but the last major part has to do with the amount of CO2 that is contained somehow in the permafrost of the russian tundra. Because of the very odd seasons over there and of the land's history, apparently there are possibly tons of CO2 sitting there being steadily released to the atmosphere as the frost melts. Anyways, it's not done yet, I think the last I heard about it, there are 10 gigatons of CO2 still unaccounted for, but so far indications show that industry has made a meaningful impact on the environment, but the question now is how much. That should be answered if the mass balance is closed. Most of this information was from my Chemical Engineering professor who is one of the many people working on the tundra problem (he gets to go up to the artic and russian outback.... wheee)

    59. Re:Oh god, not again by truesaer · · Score: 1
      You assume that a rise in global temperatures is bad. We have no proof of that. It may cause more rainfall in Africa and allow that continent to actually feed itself. That'd be a good thing


      I think one of the (many) problems is that even a small rise in temperature (1 degree or so) would cause a large rise in sea level due to thermal expansion of the oceans. Flat areas near oceans would then be underwater (ie, Florida).

    60. Re:Oh god, not again by maxpublic · · Score: 2

      Of course, real scientists realize that the question of human-caused global warming is an unanswered one and deserving of further empirical study, rather than just pulling an argument out of one's ass.

      But then, neither the Gaians nor the Ostriches are ever interested in actual *scientific investigation*. They're already convinced that what they say is true, just because they say it.

      Which gives them quite a bit in common with institutionalized megalomaniacs.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
    61. Re:Oh god, not again by AnalogBoy · · Score: 2

      I heard once.. in the prolouge to 2001, as a matter of fact, that there were 8[i think?] men behind every one person alive today.

      Regardless of its basis in research, i, myself, wouldn't estimate we're quite at that point. 6 billion is a big number, but i think in all the thousands of years and thousands of civilizations, you could scrounge up 6 billion.

      However I would like to know where you got your figure from. I'd be interesting to see some research on said subject. I'm just too tired to do it right now. Remind me in the morning.

    62. Re:Oh god, not again by Kupek · · Score: 2

      As some people in this thread have so vocally reccomend, I used google to find out about the OISM and their petition, and I found an interesting article on them.

    63. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Flat areas near oceans would then be underwater (ie, Florida).
      Good riddance, I say!
    64. Re:Oh god, not again by God!+Awful · · Score: 1

      Therefore, the equilibrium would be unstable, but chaotic enough to always return to the balance point. There is no guarantee than man-made climate change will have the same effect.


      There's always the Nuclear Winter theory.

      That's right, mankind can disturb the equilibrium in both directions. Maybe in a few decades, when the effects of global warming get really bad, some genius politician will come up with that solution. If we explode a bunch of nuclear bombs and block out the sunlight, we can cool the Earth back down. Personally, I'd rather not wager my future on a terraforming experiment for which we cannot possibly be adequately prepared.

      -a
    65. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Nothing bad, except millions of unemployed people worldwide, increased poverty because >poor countries aren't able to become industrialized, more unhealthy people in the world >because people in industrialized countries will be thrown out of work and unable to get >medical attention for themselves and, at the same time, rich countries will be harder >pressed to export "free" health aid to third world countries.

      For sure, actually, netherland is worried about rise of sea... It lives i think they should know. But for sure, i didn't go there to check. What i can tell you, and i have seen... Is our first tornado, in france, never had that years ago. Also a big storm, which destroyed half part of french forest. Wood prices went down...
      Maybe in the future, we will become a desert ?

      Please stop being silly. earth warmer evaportation -> rain -> (but where goes that rain?) to sea, so sea rises...

      Also what happened over here in europe, france, germany, netherland etc... we rises our level for pollution etc... it has brought some work. Some people were enroled to check trash, to sort them, to reuse them... is it that bad ?

      By the way.. all of that seen, with my eyes... especially half of the forest destroyed all over france, and new tornado events, no asumption, facts...

    66. Re:Oh god, not again by letxa2000 · · Score: 3, Interesting
      I remember they had a video presentation in which they showed how the warming trend had slowed for 2 years due to a recent volcanic eruption, and they talked about a computer model which had successfully predicted the effect.

      Ok, but a model has to work in all cases to be valid. As you can see they were pretty excited because in this one particular case they got it right. I.e., they were surprised because most of the time their models don't work.

      The question is whether that model worked for climate change before and after that 2-year period that it supposedly got it right.

      If I flip a coin enough times I'll eventually predict global climate change, too.

      In any case, whether or not, they can model the Earth as a whole, I don't see how anyone can deny that they have the ability to model the effects of each factor individually, and those models should lead you to the same conclusions.

      That's not true, either. They might be able to approximate affects of some factors, but until they can approximate everything that plays a factor then it is truly impossible to say how much a given factor will affect the whole.

      I'm not saying they should stop trying to model. Just that right now the models don't tell us anything and they need to keep working on it.

    67. Re:Oh god, not again by ossammaa · · Score: 1

      I live in tassie and its always cold enouigh to freeze your nuts off. All throughout my life i have found no evidence to find global warming exists. Even if it did, it probably wouldn't be significant so why worry

    68. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      The Scientists?, (you know, just like The Man?, Them?, and Big Business?)?

      Ok, so you use Windows. But what else is your point?

    69. Re:Oh god, not again by Malcontent · · Score: 2

      I don't get it? What is that link supposed to prove?

      Look I make a simple point the "Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine" is a right wing FUD organization (er I mean a thinktank). It is funded by right wing groups and it's purpose is to try and discredit global warming and indeed fight every piece of environmental law that might cost it's sugar daddies some money. That point is pretty much indisputable. Go read their front page.

      What I find very amusing is the republican line has changed. For a long time they denied global warming existed at all. I remember a couple of years ago conservative press kept harping about how it was all a lie. Now they have changed their story. They seem to vaccilate between. "Global warming exists but it's not our fault" and "Global warming exists but it's good for you!". I guess when nobody believed their first lie they had to make up new ones.

      --

      War is necrophilia.

    70. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I knew that damn dihydrogen monoxide would bring us down one day. No No H20! No No H20! Dihyodrogen Monoxide Research Division

    71. Re:Oh god, not again by Mike1024 · · Score: 2

      Hey,

      Well, assuming there was global warming (which there hasn't been at least in the last 23 years), the best you could do is try to draw a correlation.

      Mind you, a correllation is not proof, not by a longshot.


      Absolutely not. I personally favour the Global Co-incidence theory.

      And I'm sure all right-thinking armchair scientists would agree with me

      Michael

      --
      "Goodness me, how unlike the FBI to abuse the trust of the American public." -- The Onion
    72. Re:Oh god, not again by Evil+Pete · · Score: 2

      Since you're too lazy to get the full story I also used google, check this. Or don't you trust Nature. And this followup.

      This myth has persisted for so long its amazing. The satellite data did not take into account the orbital decay of the sensor platforms.

      --
      Bitter and proud of it.
    73. Re:Oh god, not again by Subcarrier · · Score: 1

      a model has to work in all cases to be valid

      That is just ludicrous. A model is by definition a simplification, a scaled down version of the real thing. A very good model can get it right nine times out of ten but there is no such thing as a perfect model. The fact that even the best models are fallible does not make them worthless. The observation that a model is reasonably accurate in a certain type of scenario already tells us that the principles behind the model are sound, even if we're missing some factors.

      Now, I'm no weatherman but climatological modeling cannot be that different from modeling in other areas.

      The question is whether that model worked for climate change before and after that 2-year period that it supposedly got it right.

      The key is to understand the limitations of a model in order not to misapply it.

      I suppose you're arguing that a model that can predict a 2-year period does not yet tell us anything about climatological change because of the time scales involved. That doesn't make the model or the principles behind it invalid, it just makes the model limited.

      If a number of such limited models pointed towards accelerated global warming caused by human civilization, I at least would be inclined to take it seriously.

      --
      "I have opinions of my own, strong opinions, but I don't always agree with them." -- George H. W. Bush
    74. Re:Oh god, not again by Syberghost · · Score: 2

      Try to keep an open mind.

      I have found that generally, when somebody tells me to keep an open mind, their brain has fallen out of the opening in theirs.

    75. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can't speak for the other guy, but no, I don't trust Nature. They've printed some absolute crap in the past few years.

      I've read your articles, and it's rather interesting to note that even using the revised numbers, the global warming predictions are off by a facter of 2.

    76. Re:Oh god, not again by nutshell42 · · Score: 1
      Hey, why don't we just take all the nukes we have and blow everything straight to hell?

      Are we so arrogant as to think that the world will always look exactly as it is? Nothing is forever. Not even Los Angeles.

      You're right, nothing is forever but many, many people would prefer that no raising of sea levels takes place for the time being.

      --
      Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
    77. Re:Oh god, not again by cp99 · · Score: 1

      Oh really? That contradicts existing information to-date, and doesn't speak about what has happened in the last 23 years that we have a satellite temperature record for (and that shows no warming whatsoever).

      You should really change your peusdoscience source.

      Global warming is a accepted scientific theory. Whereas the warming-skeptics gave up on science a long time ago, and have reduced themselves to a PR agency.

      For a good overview of the science behind global warming, this link gives a pretty good overview (with links to the peer review lit.).

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    78. Re:Oh god, not again by nomadic · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Get over yourself. There isn't any shortage of ideological blindness on "your side" of this issue either.

      Ah, but I don't personally benefit from global warming being true. Actually, I suffer from it. I would LOVE global warming to be a myth; I live in a coastal city, and don't really WANT it to be under water in a few decades.

      And I didn't have an opinion one way or the other until I went to college and started taking courses in climatology/metereology. Despite the right-wing FUD, climate is monitored very closely, and there is ample evidence that many climatic factors have anthropogenic sources.

    79. Re:Oh god, not again by nomadic · · Score: 2

      Which scientists? The IPCC? That was mostly signed by environmentalists and politicians. There was a whopping 1 climate scientist that signed it. On the other hand, this petition [oism.org], signed by over 15,000 scientists suggests otherwise.

      Whoosh! That's the sound of your credibility flying out the window.

      Plenty of other posters have indicated the flaw of listing oism.org as anything other than extremist propaganda. I'll work on your IPCC claim.

      Here is a list of the people who compiled the report. Looks like scientists to me. Nobody from Greenpeace, but plenty from NASA.

    80. Re:Oh god, not again by jovhl · · Score: 1

      Dr. Beltrami and his colleagues from the University of Michigan found that more than half of the land's heat gain over the past 500 years came during the 20th century, and 30% since 1950

      So what? The 500 years before that, the heat lost was more that the heat gained the following 500 years. So what if half the gain last 500 years came last century? Doesn't mean it wouldn't still have happened even if the industrial revolution didn't occur. To jump at the conclusion that it must be man-made makes me belive you think rather to much of the industial might og humans, and to little of the self-regulatory processes in nature.

      [SeriousMode: Off]
      Maybe if we did our worst and started directing astroids to intercept earth (Nukes? Mere toys compared to a wellplaced astroid) we might be able to trigger a good iceage and kill off most multi-cellular species, but when the skies clears off, life would still be here just waiting for a new shot at evolution.

      If there was an intelligent species of dinosaurs that did this, what's the chance we would find any traces whatsoever?

      Acupuncture - taking voodoo to the next level

    81. Re:Oh god, not again by cp99 · · Score: 1

      Which scientists? The IPCC? That was mostly signed by environmentalists and politicians. There was a whopping 1 climate scientist that signed it. On the other hand, this petition [oism.org], signed by over 15,000 scientists suggests otherwise.

      Perhaps your unaware of the state of environmental science, but the Bush adminstration asked the National Academy of Sciences to evalute the IPCC (which is very different to your FUD) claims, and they found in favour of the global warming. (Link)

      Meanwhile the global warming petition is just a PR exercise. Science is done by a bunch of non-specialists (I'm not a climate scientist, yet my qualifications would put allow me to add my name to the petition) voting on it. Especially, when parts of the petition's supporting information are boarderline fraud.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    82. Re:Oh god, not again by shawnseat · · Score: 1

      A couple of comments:

      USA Midewest [sic] will become a dust bowl
      Unfortunately, this is going to happen to a significant fraction of the Midwest even if global warming doesn't happen to this degree. The Ogallala is being drained quickly enough that the agriculturally "necessary" water will run out in about a century.

      If enough ice melts, the oceans will rise.

      Actually, the melting of the ice sheets isn't necessary to cause ocean rise. Even in the nightmare scenario where both Antarctica and Greenland thaw, more of the rise in the ocean comes from thermal expansion of the ocean water than additional water gained by melting glaciers.

      --
      Religion is the opiate of the masses. The wealthy smoke the real stuff.
    83. Re:Oh god, not again by Gonzoman · · Score: 1

      Have you never heard of Archimedes Principle? If the ice is floating in water, when it melts it turns in to the exact mass of water which it displaces when it is floating. QED there is no net rise or fall in sea level from floating ice melting.

    84. Re:Oh god, not again by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is plenty of evidence that the climate has gone through heating and cooling periods before the industrial age. The Sahara wasn't always a desert, but it is now and it's clearly isn't the fault of humans.

      I don't know of anyone who denies the earth's temperature is rising. You seem to be denying that it has happened in the past. All the other times the earth experienced global warming it was natural, but this time it's completely man's fault?

    85. Re:Oh god, not again by God!+Awful · · Score: 1


      Really? thats interesting. I have always wanted to know how many people there have ever been. but I could never fgure out a reliable way of determining this info - aside from talking with God.

      Where did you get that info - how do they know how many people have been born in ALL of time?

      Fossil records, historical data, statistical models.

      Actually, I have heard this statistic before as well, in the context of the anthropic principle. One of the corollaries of the anthropic principle is that the population of Earth is probably going to decline drastically very soon. The reasoning is kind of counter-intuitive, but it goes like this:

      There will be N human beings during the course of the Earth's lifespan. Statistically speaking, your birth number, X, is most likely to be close to number N/2. Given that something like half the people who have ever lived are alive today (i.e. N/4), if all of these people have an average of 2 children, we will reach N in only 2 more generations. So the end of the world is coming. Kind of scary, isn't it?

      I'm sure this kind of logic isn't going to appeal to people the first time they hear it. After all, the assumption that X is close to N/2 is not really valid. However, if you integrate the function across all possible values of X, you will find that there is still a very good chance that the world will end soon (i.e. the population will drop drastically).

      -a

    86. Re:Oh god, not again by nomadic · · Score: 2

      Not at all; of course global temperatures cycled in the past, and of course this wasn't caused by human beings. I'm simply stating just because warming happened before through non-human causes, it DOESN'T logically follow that it can't ALSO happen through human activity.

      And I'm simply stating that there's a good chance that it's man's fault, or at least partially man's fault. What's so hard to believe about that? And even if there's a 50-50 chance of it being caused by humans, that warrants reducing C02 emissions right there. You don't buy insurance because you're 100% sure your car is going to be in a wreck.

    87. Re:Oh god, not again by God!+Awful · · Score: 1


      If the ice melts. While I am aware that the North Pole melts each year (my dad once spent a number of months near the North Pole on a scientific trip for the University of Washington and had pictures of the ice breaking up when they abandoned their camp), that is not the case with the South Pole.

      Actually, parts of the South Pole have begun melting recently... ice that has been there for thousands of years. That's part of what has been concerning scientists recently.


      Agreed, completely. But that goes both ways and everything the environmentalists say needs to be taken with a grain of salt as well. Unfortunately, the media sensationalizes it and governments come up with drastic Protocols based on incomplete research. They've forgotten their grain of salt...

      You know, I am not a hardcore environmentalist. I just happen to know some science, and I can't deny that this stuff is real. Environmentalists may sensationalize the facts, but they are still facts. I cannot prove that the effects of global warming will be devestating, but I know there will be effects.

      There are those among us who will deny tooth and nail that a fact is important until it is conclusively proven. How many people died of lung cancer while the cigarette companies claimed that there was no conclusive link to tobacco? You cannot conclusively prove that this gun is loaded, so stick it against your head and pull the trigger. Now you know. Either it wasn't loaded or your are dead. That's the problem with global warming. The effects may be inconclusive now, but they won't be conclusive until it's too late.

      As I said, I am not a hardcore environmentalist. The reason is that I also understand game theory, and I know that environmentalism is a tragedy of the commons (i.e. it pays off for society as a whole, but not for each individual). Therefore, I am wasteful when it suits me; I drive an SUV. But I don't go around posting on newsgroups, trying to justify my selfish behaviour.

      -a

    88. Re:Oh god, not again by Squeeze+Truck · · Score: 2

      Even is all I did was eat, sleep, poop, and "make methane", I'm having an effect on the environment.

      I think what you mean is that mankind will not be able to change the earth so much as to "destroy" it, and trying to "save" the planet from certain doom is ignorant and futile.

      I agree with you there.

      Increase and decrease of human populations is a constant cycle as well. Perhaps the black death of 1300 and subsequent decrease in warm human bodies brought on that little ice age. Hmmm...

      (PS, I'm kidding)

      --

      "Reactionaries must be deprived of the right to voice their opinions; only the people have that right." - Mao

    89. Re:Oh god, not again by Mr.Intel · · Score: 2

      but there are are increasingly few serious climatologists, meteorologists and geologists who don't believe that human activities are having a sigificant effect on the Earth's climate.

      As a former meteorology major at the U of Arizona, I still have contacts with many meteorologists both in and out of government service. I currently work at a TV station and am friends with the stations staff meteorologists. From what I have determined from this very loose knit network of scientific professionals, most agree that man has an impact on the environment, but that the degree of impact has yet to be decided.

      Fact is there is too much evidence for *both* arguments to say that one or the other is right. Since it is mainstream right now to be aligned with pro-global warming camps, more data will surface to support that argument. Personally, I think that while global temps may be increasing, Human involvement is entirely overrated.

      Sorry, due to the potential seriousness of the threat, the burden of proof is on you.

      On the contrary, due to the enormous economical and social impact of the changes proposed by the "Environmentalists" to fix the "problem", the burden of proof is on you. Furthermore, there is a greater threat from NEOs smashing into earth than from a global rise in temps of 2 degrees Celsius over the next fifty years.

      --
      ASCII tastes bad dude.
      Binary it is then.
    90. Re:Oh god, not again by guygee · · Score: 2



      On the contrary, due to the enormous economical
      and social impact of the changes proposed by the "Environmentalists" to fix
      the "problem", the burden of proof is on you.


      There is no justification for your claim that the
      economic impact of reducing greenhouse gas emissions is necessarily "enormous"
      (presumably, you mean something like "enormously detrimental").
      On the contrary, I believe that a "moon race" type effort to advance
      renewable energy, conservation, and public transportation technologies would be enormously
      beneficial to the economy, and would have an ultimately beneficial effect
      on society as a whole. The only detrimental effects would be felt by
      the vested interests, our current set of corporate masters.

      Furthermore, there is a greater threat from NEOs
      smashing into earth than from a global rise in temps of 2 degrees Celsius
      over the next fifty years.


      Based on the past frequency of collisions with large NEOs, I would
      gather that the probability of such an event occuring in the next 50 years
      is very tiny. Regardless, the threats are completely orthogonal - any
      threat posed by global warming is neither enhanced nor diminished by the
      threat posed by collisions with NEOs.

    91. Re:Oh god, not again by Mr.Intel · · Score: 2

      I believe that a "moon race" type effort to advance renewable energy, conservation, and public transportation technologies would be enormously beneficial to the economy, and would have an ultimately beneficial effect on society as a whole.

      But that is not what is being proposed by the environmental lobbyists. They want regulation on industry and huge swaths of private land declared national sanctuaries. This would have a devastating impact on the economy.

      Based on the past frequency of collisions with large NEOs, I would gather that the probability of such an event occuring in the next 50 years is very tiny.

      In this you are somewhat correct. It is tiny, relative to say getting into an automobile accident this year, but large compared to getting struck by lightning. I would submit that there is not enough evidence (or at least contradicting evidence) to say with any certainty that the earth's temperature is rising or will rise in 50 years.

      any threat posed by global warming is neither enhanced nor diminished by the threat posed by collisions with NEOs.

      I merely used the one to put the other into perspective. Direct comparison is irrelevant.

      --
      ASCII tastes bad dude.
      Binary it is then.
  2. shhhhhh.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    what you're saying is very unpolitcally correct and has not been supported by hollywood.

  3. Rush Limbaugh right? by big_debacle · · Score: 1

    So it sounds like Rush might be right and humans aren't the cause of global warming? Be on the lookout for flying pigs and monkeys coming from strange places...

    1. Re:Rush Limbaugh right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who is Rush Limbaugh?

  4. I know the cause of global warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    There are thousands and thousands of heaters. They are not natural and are causing the planet to warm up. If people would just keep their doors closed with the heater on it would be very beneficial to the animals.

    1. Re:I know the cause of global warming by og_sh0x · · Score: 1

      That might not be too far off. Large cities create a "heat island" effect from the heat generated by all the businesses and residences, etc. Temperatures are a few degrees Fahrenheit warmer in large cities than in surrounding, more sparsely populated areas.

    2. Re:I know the cause of global warming by Swaffs · · Score: 2

      I know! Lets all run our air conditioners with the doors OPEN! That'll solve everything!

      --

      --
      "Karma can only be portioned out by the cosmos." - Homer Simpson [1F10]

  5. Confused ??? by halo8 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The Articale says 'crust tempature rising' wich to me.. says its heating from the inside outwards

    but reading the entire thing says that rocks closer to the surface are warmer.. wich to me says its heating from the outside inwards

    and would most (if not all rocks) from the 1950's still be visable? let alone burried?

    --
    The More Knowledge you have the Luckier you Get- J.R. Ewing
    1. Re:Confused ??? by letxa2000 · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The Articale says 'crust tempature rising' wich to me.. says its heating from the inside outwards.

      I agree. I personally believe (not based on research) that the temeprature of subsurface rock is going to be more affected by the core than it is by the surface temperature of the air.

      In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if the temperature of seismic activity was affecting the atmospheric temperature more than the atmospheric temperature was causing any major change to the temperature of surface rocks themselves.

      but reading the entire thing says that rocks closer to the surface are warmer.. wich to me says its heating from the outside inwards

      I think there has to be a middle point. If you go into any cave in the Mojave desert of California and are more than about a dozen feet below ground, believe me, you'll know that the surface temperature doesn't do much to the subsurface temperature. It gets downright cold.

      But if you get to the core, it's hot. So I suppose it's kind of like a sine wave. It's hot at the top, gets cooler as you go down from the surface, and at some point gets hotter as you get closer to the magma that's down there somewhere.

      and would most (if not all rocks) from the 1950's still be visable? let alone burried?

      That's what I was wondering, too. Ok, perhaps his approach works. But I would think he'd be able to compare temperatures from hundreds of millions of years ago to perhaps millions of years ago. Anything that was on the surface even 500 years ago is either still on the surface or very close to it, except in a few exceptional cases (fault lines, volcanos, etc.).

  6. You've GOT to be kidding me... by the_skywise · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Heat from 150 years ago is 100 metres below ground? (Depending on the rock). Sort of like tree rings...

    "Tree Rings" are the result of bark cycles of the tree. This is *not* the same thing... We're talking about rock that has never seen the light of day... so we're talking about radiation permeating the surface and being stored there like a BATTERY...

    What about temperature cycles? Can he "see" the great cold snap of '78?

    What about dispersal patterns? Does radiation permeate equally?

    And does that mean that the caves that have a constant temperature of ~60 degrees WERE the temperatures thousands of years ago?

    What *we* do know... is that its science that makes for good press, politics, and money...

    1. Re:You've GOT to be kidding me... by audacity242 · · Score: 1

      Nope, not talking about radiation permeating the rock and being stored like a battery.

      Rocks are made up of minerals. These minerals have very distinct crystalline structure. When magma undergoes lithification, or an existing rock metamorphism, crystals grow. The rate of growth depends on the rate of cooling and also the pressure the rock is under. It's not too hard to realize that you can take rocks of a certain age and look at their grain size and give a rough estimate of how warm they were at the time of crystallization.

      -Jenn

    2. Re:You've GOT to be kidding me... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      And does that mean that the caves that have a constant temperature of ~60 degrees WERE the temperatures thousands of years ago?

      1. open calculus textbook (differential equations, 1 dimension)

      2. look in index to see classic example of why cellars stay the same temperature.

      3. think about it some.

      4. read the real publication in the peer reviewed magazine cited in the popular press atricle cited here.

      5. quit trolling slashdot with ignorant shit like this. Yes, you are a troll as you obviously know better.

      Some reasonable comments like "dude, how do they know the thermal conductivity of the earth around those 1 km bore holes well enough to get a 10 year accuracy out of thermal gradients determined by 1 or 2 C changes? Sounds noisy to me" Would be more appreciated and would be better at casting doubt on this popular news story.

  7. National Post is not reliable by Screaming+Lunatic · · Score: 3, Informative
    The National Post is not a reliable source of information. They're a right wing newspaper that tries to serve the interest of large corporations. Part of the motivation behind publishing this story is to pressure the Canadian government out of the Kyoto Treaty. This doesn't mean that what the researchers found is not valid, it just means that these stories should be taken with a grain of salt.

    PK

    1. Re:National Post is not reliable by s20451 · · Score: 4, Funny

      The National Post is not a reliable source of information.

      Good thing Slashdot is here to give us unbiased journalism.

      --
      Toronto-area transit rider? Rate your ride.
    2. Re:National Post is not reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let me guess, you idea of a unbiased paper is the Toronto star?

      I guess the perception is relative, but dispite being a financial paper, it is quite unbiased.

    3. Re:National Post is not reliable by dadragon · · Score: 1

      They're a right wing newspaper that tries to serve the interest of large corporations.

      How is this worse than the left-wing newspapers serving the intersts of the vocal minority?

      Are you saying that had it been published in the Globe and Mail that it would somehow be more reliable?

      --
      God save our Queen, and Heaven bless The Maple Leaf Forever!
    4. Re:National Post is not reliable by Screaming+Lunatic · · Score: 1
      They're a right wing newspaper that tries to serve the interest of large corporations.

      How is this worse than the left-wing newspapers serving the intersts of the vocal minority?

      Are you saying that had it been published in the Globe and Mail that it would somehow be more reliable?

      You obviously didn't read my whole post. I said that the researchers findings may still be valid, but you need to question the National Post's motives when reading the story. As you would have to question the Globe and Mail's motives if was printed in their newspaper.
    5. Re:National Post is not reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "dispite being a financial paper"

      This is a joke right? National Post hopes to grow up to be the National Enquirer. They couldn't read a statement if thier lives depended on it. What a joke.

    6. Re:National Post is not reliable by letxa2000 · · Score: 1, Flamebait
      The National Post is not a reliable source of information. They're a right wing newspaper that tries to serve the interest of large corporations.

      ... and the environmentalists are not a reliable source of information. They are a leftist organization that tries to affect political and economic change in the name of the environment.

      What's the difference?

      Only by reading the biased information from both sides can you attempt to get a clue as to what the truth is, because neither side is going to give it to you 100%.

    7. Re:National Post is not reliable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Kyoto Treaty will do little to nothing for global emissions unless the US signs on. It'll just screw up our economy. Not that I mind. We won't have to deal with the liberals for much longer if that happens... Also, the post is now owned by CanWest and so is just as left wing as the rest of canada.

    8. Re:National Post is not reliable by mghiggins · · Score: 1

      Good thing Slashdot is here to give us unbiased journalism.

      Arg - why do people keep trying to bring this up? Slashdot *isn't* journalism - it's a place where you and I can *discuss* journalism from other sources.

      --
      All opinions expressed herein are not my own; I haven't had free will since last year when aliens ate my brain.
  8. So what do we do about it? by pjbass · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Based on this last comment in the article, what are we supposed to do?

    ...scientists predict the warming will bring with it a rise in the number of so-called "extreme weather events" such as ice storms, droughts and hurricanes.
    "That's what worries me the most," Dr. Beltrami says.


    Ok, that is something to worry about. We all know they are events on the planet (and off the planet) that we can't control that impact our lives greatly: earthquakes, hurricanes, global climate change, etc. Is all this research being done so we know how bad life is going to become or do these scientists believe they may actually be able to do something to stop nature's course?

  9. foo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What's their problem?
    Everyone and their dog knows that the heat comes from the sun, THE SUN.

    It does not come from humans (all you 14th centuary hippies and selfproclaimed gods out there, give it up, it's pathetic) and it does not come from evil poor people trying to make a living in undeveloped countries (hello EU, USA, UN?).

    It's just to silly.

    1. Re:foo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Everyone listen up! The poster above has informed us that we need to change everything we know about physics and the Earth! There is no heat produced on the planet from chemical reactions, nor nuclear reactions, nor from geothermal sources.

      And finally, as far as the main source of heat is concerned (read: the sun), the naturally occurring greenhouse gases, along with those produced by human industry, are completely irrelevant in determining its impact. That's right! The greenhouse gases don't do anything at all! This is evidenced by the fact that when the sun sets, the temperature here on Earth drops to 70 degrees above absolute zero!

      It's a good thing there are geniuses like the above poster to clarify everything on Slashdot.

  10. CANADIANS WERE FIRST!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Canadian scientists were the first to discover this!!! USA SUCKS.

    1. Re:CANADIANS WERE FIRST!!! by dadragon · · Score: 1

      I think I speak for every right-minded Canadian here when I say:

      SHUT THE FUCK UP!!!

      I, OTOH would have said something witty like:
      "The article should have read: Canadians do some research, Americans take credit for it." or something equally stupid.

      If you're going to bash another country, please don't bring your country down with it, okay?

      --
      God save our Queen, and Heaven bless The Maple Leaf Forever!
    2. Re:CANADIANS WERE FIRST!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why don't you eat your apples first, faggot!

    3. Re:CANADIANS WERE FIRST!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Fine.

      But when your number one so-called "babe" is Celine "La chienne" Dione, then you need to have something else to brag about.

      Canadian "babes" - an oxymoron.

  11. weather events by Alsee · · Score: 1, Troll

    scientists predict the warming will bring with it a rise in the number of so-called "extreme weather events" such as ice storms, droughts and hurricanes.

    I read this and can't help thinking, If we cooled the planet by say 20 degrees we'd have fewer weather events such as ice storms??? Excuse me?!?

    -

    --
    - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    1. Re:weather events by Hanzie · · Score: 2

      Higher temps means more energy is available to make interesting weather.

      Ice storms seem to be caused by fronts shifting quickly (warm enough for rain, then cold front moves in quickly)

      --
      ********* sig: If you don't like the law, get filthy stinking rich, and buy a better one.
    2. Re:weather events by Malcontent · · Score: 2

      If you don't understand then perhaps you ought to take the time learn more about meteorology and climatology. Not everything is easily understood by a laymen and the pysics involved in meteorology is very difficult indeed.

      --

      War is necrophilia.

    3. Re:weather events by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the planet cooled by 20 degrees we would all be dead. The temperature of the planet is very delicate. Any sudden change (by even 1 degree in a short period of time) would be catastrophic to any life on Earth.

    4. Re:weather events by frankie · · Score: 2

      If we cooled the planet by say 20 degrees we'd have fewer weather events such as ice storms??? Excuse me?!?

      Yes, as a matter of fact, there would be a LOT fewer ice storms if the entire planet were 20 degrees cooler. Colder air + water == less evaporation == less moisture falling out of the sky in any form.

      Let's drive the point home: guess which continent has the lowest amount of annual precipitation?

  12. I don't care... by SavingPrivateNawak · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    because I am American,
    I own a SUV that sucks a crapload of gas,
    and I still hear reports about Global Warming being bullshit.

    What a relief for my conscience,
    and on top of that I do not have to try to adopt another lifestyle as other countries do
    (who are wrong, not being as smart and independent about such topics like petrol as we, American).

    1. Re:I don't care... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Petrol", eh... you just blew your cover, buster!

    2. Re:I don't care... by SavingPrivateNawak · · Score: 1

      Yep! Fark it!

  13. Um, no. by Perdo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Drilling a hole generates heat. Sometimes harder substances generate more heat, sometimes less. While the "heat tree rings" may exist, as seems logical, the act of attempting to observe them corrupts your data.

    Using extremely old holes could mitigate this somewhat, but then you have no measure of the geological composition, and therefore thermal properties, of the rock the hole was bored through.

    This makes any measurements made of core earth temperature so speculative as to be worthless, except as a very "scientific" expensive way to spread fud. There are quit a few "scientific" methods to measure global warming that are in fact just pseudo scientific pawns in the politically charged arena of environmentalism.

    To imagine that we have had no impact on global warming is obviously false. Any argument contrary to what should be painfully obvious to the most casual observer is pure political bullshit.

    --

    If voting were effective, it would be illegal by now.

  14. Weird Science by quasi_steller · · Score: 1

    Well, It seams to me that this is another case of weird science. The argument for rising temperatures is simple, the temperature of the surface will move downward due to conduction (you heat a long metal rod on one end and eventually the temperature will be conducted to the other end).

    But wouldn't the rising crustal temperatures on earth be subject to too many variables? The tempurature of the crust 100 feet below the surface of the earth would not only be dependent on the temperature of the earth ~150 years ago, but upon the temperature much longer ago than that. Why is this? Well 200 years ago the temperature of the crust 100 feet below the surface of the earth (lets call this tempurature "A") was influence by the earth's surface tempurature ~150 years before that (from their reasoning). Now, at present, the tempurature of the crust 100 feet below the surface of the earth is dependent upon the surface tempurature of the earth ~150 years ago ( lets call this tempurature "B"). It is obvious to me that tempurature "B" is going to be influenced by more than just the surface temperature ~150 years ago, but also by tempuratue "A" (something that has an initial temperature that is low, when warmed up by a given amount will still be cooler that something with a relatively high temperature, when warmed by the same amount), and likewise tempurature "A" is dependent upon more than just the crustal temperatures ~150 years before it was measured.

    Therefore unless if we can know the temperature of the surface of the earth in the past, there is no way of knowing the temperature of the surface of the earth in the past. Am I the only one who thinks this is weird science?

    --
    ...interesting if true.
    1. Re:Weird Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Obviously you know more than these scientists. Such an inarticulate convoluted response as that should convince anyone. The thing is that there are complicated physics/mathematical models for heat transfer calculations. The only thing affecting the temperature of the rock would be heat from the surface, heat from the molten center, and if the rock was near say a volcano or earthquake. So you can compensate for the constant heat of the molten center, and make sure you drill away from a fault line and it should work fine. The heat moves through the rock like voice through a string/paper cup telephone (except much slower) during really hot periods there would be a spike in heat for a certain segment and a likewise drop when it's cold. As for the environment I don't care about global warming really, I do care about air pollution just because it's nasty and I don't like it. We need Nuclear power plant everywhere and dump the waste in that mountain in Nevada, but that won't happen because the oil industry will keep fooling the environmentalist into believing that nuclear power is bad and unsafe. I'm not convinced the Greenhouse effect is really happening but everyone should know that it is something that could happen if you don't believe me just look at this poor planet
      http://seds.lpl.arizona.edu/nineplanets/nineplanet s/venus.html
      scroll down until you see the picture of the planet on the right and read from that section.

    2. Re:Weird Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I can't figure out what the hell you've typed.

      "We obey the laws of thermodynamics in this house!"

  15. Wow, you're a great thinker. by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 2

    What's their problem? Everyone and their dog knows that the heat comes from the sun, THE SUN. It does not come from humans (all you 14th centuary hippies and selfproclaimed gods out there, give it up, it's pathetic) and it does not come from evil poor people trying to make a living in undeveloped countries (hello EU, USA, UN?).

    Why is it every time someone calls someone "hippies" they're always spouting nonsense? Did you read the article before you posted? HALF the heat in the crust is coming from the center of the earth. This heat is generated by radioactive decay. The other half comes from the sun.

    When people say humans are causing an increase in the global temperature (whether you agree with this or not), what they mean is that humans are generating atmospheric gases that trap solar heat by interfering with its thermal radiation into space. Saying the heat "comes from the sun, not from humans" is correct in a narrow literal sense, I guess, because we aren't warming it up with our breath.

  16. data collection by mbkennel · · Score: 1

    What, did you think that the geophysicists just happened to have forgotten all about that? Quick send this devastating rebuttal to the editor of Geophysical Review Letters.

    No. Homie don't think so.

    Artificial heating locally will quickly re-equilibrate with the natural observed heat profile.

    They can also do things known as "experiments" to check the accuracy of the experimental method.

    And see that gee the profile over 614 holes is consistent with a actual experimental phenomenon rather than the drilling procedure and local rock type.

    What are the "scientific" ways to measure global warming that are "pseudo scientific pawns".

    1. Re:data collection by Perdo · · Score: 2

      Here we agree:

      It's still mostly our fault.

      But in any case it doesn't really matter: if changes in the Sun's dynamics are making the Earth hotter, it will suck just that much more when we add insult to injury.


      "To imagine that we have had no impact on global warming is obviously false."

      Here we disagree:

      Artificial heating locally will quickly re-equilibrate with the natural observed heat profile.

      The facts in the Bible will quickly re-equilibrate with the facts of the Bible.

      Do you have an independent observational verification of temperature gradients that is not full of corrupt data also? If so, why do we care about 614 holes that are all similarly flawed? The experiment is self-consistent but that does not prove that it is factually consistent.

      Our difference is that I will not let my opinion on the subject of global warming bias my interpretation of the data or accept experiments that cannot comply with scientific method even if they support my opinion.

      If you have ever spent any time standing in hot drilling mud, you would know that the thermal impact of drilling a hole is amazing. If a hole requires a 3500 hp V12 detroit diesel to run for 3 months, nearly 90% of that mechanical energy is converted to heat inside the hole. Additionally, the steel casing conducts heat 6 times better than, for instance, basalt and will smooth measured temperature gradients enough to make any data meaningless.

      Let me put it into physics terms for you, since that is your field. The observer affects the observed. In the case of measuring the temperature of bore holes, the observer has had such a vast impact on what the observer is measuring, that all the data is irreversibly corrupt.

      Yes, global warming exists and is primarily caused by humans. But this data, while supporting that fact, is corrupt, and therefore must be ignored. The experiment as conceived is flawed.

      --

      If voting were effective, it would be illegal by now.

    2. Re:data collection by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, global warming exists and is primarily caused by humans. But this data, while supporting that fact, is corrupt, and therefore must be ignored. The experiment as conceived is flawed.

      I wouldn't say primarily caused by humans. For what I've read in the past few years, the sun has had alot more to say in the matter than we ever could. But that's no excuse to continue polluting our environment though.

    3. Re:data collection by Perdo · · Score: 2

      can we assume that the sun just puts out a given ammount of energy that only fluctuates a little bit and on long timescales? so, while the sun maintains the temperature, humans create all kinds of changes that warm the planet.

      --

      If voting were effective, it would be illegal by now.

  17. Fooled by Al Gore by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Al Gore was one of the first to popularize "global warming" myths. Since he is the guy who invented the Internet we all know and love, it looks like the more gullible among us also buy into his other creations.

  18. IT's MAN's FAULT by argoff · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    How dare you walk on the ground and heat up all those gravel molecules! I protest, and demand federal regulations limiting how much people can walk. Please we must act now to prevent global inmact!!! Can't you heathens listen to what mother Earth is trying to tell us!!

  19. Global Warming isn't a problem by lkaos · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We are not going to destroy the planet by global warming. The earth has endured a great deal of meteorological change and life goes on. The fact is that temperatures are going to change whether we like it or not. I almost think that whether we are making the planet warming by .01 degree is irrelavant because natural changes are probably making it warmer by .5 degrees anyway.

    There are better reasons to not cut down forests and to reduce emissions. When people argue global warming, they just pollute the issue and reduce their credibility.

    --
    int func(int a);
    func((b += 3, b));
    1. Re:Global Warming isn't a problem by glwtta · · Score: 2

      All I know is that the last two winters in Montreal were piss - almost no snow and barely even below -20C - argue with that!

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    2. Re:Global Warming isn't a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can't base your theory of global warming on two winters in your home town...lol By your logic I can argue for global COOLING because a few years ago we had one of the COLDEST winters in Cleveland.

    3. Re:Global Warming isn't a problem by glwtta · · Score: 2
      a) Your entire point is invalid becase 1. Montreal is not my home town and 2. Montreal is not what you would call a "town"

      b) Thank you for explaining to me why I cannot base claims of global warming on two winters. I feel really, really silly for thinking that I could.

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    4. Re:Global Warming isn't a problem by Swaffs · · Score: 1

      Excellent point... However, its snowing and -16 with the wind in Winnipeg right now. Argue with THAT!

      --

      --
      "Karma can only be portioned out by the cosmos." - Homer Simpson [1F10]

    5. Re:Global Warming isn't a problem by Kupek · · Score: 2

      You're right, we're not going to destroy the planet. In fact, it would take a highly systematic and calculated effort to even come close, and even then, I don't think we have the technology to succeed. This planet has been around for about five billion years, and has survived much more than we can throw at it.

      Whatever happens to it, some new equilibrium will eventually be achieved, which will be sustained for some period of time, until the next catalyst for change comes about.

      The interesting queston to ask is will we be a part of whatever new equilibrium that is achieved? That is the concern of environmentalists, not "are we destroying the planet." The planet's always going to chug along (until the sun dies). We, however, may not.

      As for your guesses at temperature changes, they're just that: guesses. You're not basing them on any emperical evidence, which makes them rubbish.

    6. Re:Global Warming isn't a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Of course global warming won't destroy humanity, but it's much worse than you think. The IPCC (the UN climate group) predicts that human greenhouse gas emissions will increase global average temperatures by between 1 and 5 degrees celcius.

      Among the near-certain consequences of this are reduced agricultural yields in the developing world (even if we count the extra fertilizing effect of CO_2), and a cost of trillions of dollars in flood protection over the next few centuries. There are also a great deal of possible disasters, such as extreme weather and more cases of malaria.

      There is a consensus in the scientific community that man-made global warming is a serious problem. Personally, I think loss of biodiversity is our biggest environmental problem, but nevertheless I don't think we should dismiss global warming out of hand.

    7. Re:Global Warming isn't a problem by guygee · · Score: 5, Interesting

      "We are not going to destroy the planet by global warming. The earth has endured a great deal of meteorological change and life goes on. "

      A little George Carlin quote seemed appropriate here:

      "...there is nothing wrong with the planet. Nothing wrong with the
      planet. The planet is fine. The PEOPLE are fucked. Difference. Difference.
      The planet is fine. Compared to the people, the planet is doing great. Been
      here four and a half billion years. Did you ever think about the
      arithmetic? The planet has been here four and a half billion years. We've
      been here, what, a hundred thousand? Maybe two hundred thousand? And we've
      only been engaged in heavy industry for a little over two hundred years.
      Two hundred years versus four and a half billion. And we have the CONCEIT
      to think that somehow we're a threat? That somehow we're gonna put in
      jeopardy this beautiful little blue-green ball that's just a-floatin'
      around the sun?

      The planet has been through a lot worse than us. Been through all kinds of
      things worse than us. Been through earthquakes, volcanoes, plate tectonics,
      continental drift, solar flares, sun spots, magnetic storms, the magnetic
      reversal of the poles...hundreds of thousands of years of bombardment by
      comets and asteroids and meteors, worldwide floods, tidal waves, worldwide
      fires, erosion, cosmic rays, recurring ice ages...And we think some plastic
      bags, and some aluminum cans are going to make a difference? The
      planet...the planet...the planet isn't going anywhere. WE ARE!

      We're going away. Pack your shit, folks. We're going away. And we won't
      leave much of a trace, either. Thank God for that. Maybe a little
      styrofoam. Maybe. A little styrofoam. The planet'll be here and we'll be
      long gone. Just another failed mutation. Just another closed-end biological
      mistake. An evolutionary cul-de-sac. The planet'll shake us off like a bad
      case of fleas. A surface nuisance."

    8. Re:Global Warming isn't a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      for sure, there is better reason (cinical) :-/

      Except new storm (never happened before) in europe, destroyed at least half french forest in december 1999, see link : http://www.avcommunication.fr/tempeteIO.htm
      By the way, this is fact, not assumption. Next time, the other half part, will be destroyed, and we will become a desert...

      First tornado, in the south of france... never happened before...

  20. Re:AMERICANS ARE FAGS!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Slow down yankee doodle! You fucking commie cowboy! Canadians are smarter and better looking than you stupid fat americans!

  21. Rate of warming decreased? by Adam+J.+Richter · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Dr. Beltrami and his colleagues from the University of Michigan found that more than half of the land's heat gain over the past 500 years came during the 20th century, and 30% since 1950.

    So, they believe the rate of warming for 1951-2000 was less than half what is was for 1901-1950. I don't have much basis for an opinion on the meaningfulness of these researchers' results, but I would sure like to know how they explain this apparently levelling off.

    1. Re:Rate of warming decreased? by PhuCknuT · · Score: 1

      You're reading it wrong. If half of the warming happened since 1900, and 30% came since 1950, then that means 20% came between 1900 and 1950. How is 30% less than half of 20%?

    2. Re:Rate of warming decreased? by dhogaza · · Score: 2

      Classic Slashdot ignorance and inability to perform analysis ...

      Example: 51% (over half) of the heat gain over the past 500 years came during the 20th century.

      30% came in the years 1950-1999.

      Meaning 21% came in the years 1900-1949 in this example.

      For the rate of warming to have decreased in the last half of the last century >60% of the heat gain over the last 500 years would have to come from the last century. If the researchers believed this they probably would've stated so.

    3. Re:Rate of warming decreased? by letxa2000 · · Score: 2
      It doesn't really matter. There has been no global warming in the last 23 years that there's been a satellite record. So either the remaining 30% happened between 1950 and 1979, or their whole process for calculating these things based on rock temperatures is broken.

      Remember, any theory that contradicts reality is false. They might claim or suggest all kinds of weird and wonderful things in the past, but if their conclusion conflicts with what we've observed in the last 23 years, it's all sci-fi...

    4. Re:Rate of warming decreased? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      It doesn't really matter. There has been no global warming in the last 23 years that there's been a satellite record.

      That's right. The high altitude temperatures only increased 1/4 of the rate of the ground. This is very well known and acknowledged.

  22. Why all the right wing nastiness here? by snarfer · · Score: 1

    I think what we are seeing at Slashdot when the subject of global warming comes up is that the far right web sites are sending their readers here to leave comments and otherwise shout down the "locals." Regular readers might notice a certain kind of nasty post that we aren't used to, calling names and otherwise trying to intimidate people who post moderate opinions.

    This practice is called being "Freep'd." The term comes from the site Free Republic. It is funded by far right organizations like the Moonies and the Heritage Foundation.

    1. Re:Why all the right wing nastiness here? by hidden · · Score: 1

      Regular readers might notice a certain kind of nasty post that we aren't used to, calling names and otherwise trying to intimidate people who post moderate opinions
      you may be right, I have no idea...but, any conclusion based on not being used to nasty posts on slashdot... WOW! someone hasn't been reading slashdot for a LONG time...

    2. Re:Why all the right wing nastiness here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, what happens is that a large nunber of slashdot reader start rehearsing the standard left wing opinion, and others start rebutting them. There was another article dealing with this a couple weeks ago, and once you've been around here for long enough you see that these discussions tend to last over time, with the original posters getting tired while the rebutters getting stronger.

      Are you unconfortable without a one sided self feeding discussion.

    3. Re:Why all the right wing nastiness here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure thing. Just make sure to wear your tinfoil hat when you leave the house, hippie.

      Of course, no one could POSSIBLY disagree with the lies of the environmental movement without being a "right winger". Nope, not at all.

    4. Re:Why all the right wing nastiness here? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 2

      You know, I was wondering why nobody could spell all of a sudden whenever the topic of global warming came up.

      I think it's great, actually. As long as they're kept busy indoors posting vitriol to web sites and unleashing scripts against online polls, their SUVs are parked outside and not emitting any greenhouse gases.

    5. Re:Why all the right wing nastiness here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, I especially love how they all managed
      to score low IDs.

    6. Re:Why all the right wing nastiness here? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh no! Not the 'Vast right-wing conspiracy'! By the way, what makes your uneducated ramblings on a particular subject more correct than the Freeprs? It smacks of elitism.

    7. Re:Why all the right wing nastiness here? by snarfer · · Score: 1

      I rest my case.

  23. Heat Transfer -- HELP by jamesl · · Score: 1

    We are badly in need of facts from someone schooled in heat transfer and/or geology.

    The core of the earth is much hotter than the surface which results in a thermal gradient defined by many factors. In the absence of sunlight and a warm atmosphere, the flow of energy would be from the core into space with the speed determined by the thermal characteristics of the earth. The presence of our atmosphere (at some apparently variable temperature) complicates the equation.

    I assume (and this is dangerous) that since this research will be published in a peer reviewed journal, the basic science is sound. Can anyone shed any light on this?

  24. The evidence accumulates by release7 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    This article which accompanies the recent news that of B-22 the ice shelf that has been around since the ice age on top of the dozens of other large ice formation that have disappeared into the sea in addition to the melting ice cap on top of Mt. Kilamanjaro, in addition to the recent news that the arctic ice cap is thinning and will be gone by 2080 on top of all the well-respected climatologists who have concluded global warming is a very real phenomena, plus the highest temperature ever recorded in the last hundred years and the fact that the carbon dioxide levels have increased to 370 ppm from 250 ppm in the last 100 years coupled with the fact that it has been shown there is a strong correlation between CO2 levels and global temperatures, well, there's only one thing left to conclude...

    Things sure aren't getting any colder.

    --

    <a href="http://www.joblessjimmy.com">Work is dumb and so is Jobless Jimmy.</a>

    1. Re:The evidence accumulates by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I wish people would realize that there is a difference between the earth getting warmer, and what has come to be called 'global warming'.

      It is getting warmer, but no solid proof exists that 'global warming' is happening.

      Confusing yes, but i guess just like most left wing arguments, the argument is in the wording.

    2. Re:The evidence accumulates by letxa2000 · · Score: 2
      This article which accompanies the recent news that of B-22 the ice shelf that has been around since the ice age on top of the dozens of other large ice formation that have disappeared into the sea in addition to the melting ice cap on top of Mt. Kilamanjaro, in addition to the recent news that the arctic ice cap is thinning

      Uh huh... And tell me... how much has the sea risen during this time?

      Arctic ice cap is thinning and will be gone by 2080

      "It's the end of the world as we know it, and I feel fine." You know, with all due respect, can you recognize "gloom and doom"-speak when you see it? That's a rhetorical question.

      on top of all the well-respected climatologists who have concluded global warming is a very real phenomena

      Have you investigated how many well-respect climatologists and physicists have concluded that it's either not real or that, at least, there's not enough data to know?

      plus the highest temperature ever recorded in the last hundred years

      Wouldn't have anything to do with the fact that there's people in more places to take more measurements? Or that we have satellites taking temperature readings 24/7? Nah, that couldn't be it.

      the carbon dioxide levels have increased to 370 ppm from 250 ppm in the last 100 years

      Reference/link please? And any evidence that that's inherently bad? Even if it is true, I've seen no conclusive proof that that's something I need to be worried about.

      coupled with the fact that it has been shown there is a strong correlation between CO2 levels and global temperatures

      There's a strong correlation between the number of people farting in the world and global temperatures, too, but that doesn't mean that farting is heating up the earth.

      well, there's only one thing left to conclude...

      Yes:

      1. Icecaps are apparently melting and the sea isn't rising.

      2. The Antartic will be habitable in 78 years so at least we don't have to worry as much about overpopulation; we can export people down there.

      3. You haven't fully investigated how many real climatologists believe and don't believe that global warming has been proven.

      4. You don't know the difference between a correlation and a relation.

      Thus, the only thing left to conclude is that we don't know dick about the subject any any knee-jerk reaction would be premature.

  25. Global Warming by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just spoke with Roger Lumis from the Xavier University in Nova Scotia...I'm afraid it's true we will all be dead within 12 years. :(

  26. Expert research in progress... by Pollux · · Score: 3, Funny

    *Dig, Dig, Dig*

    ...

    *Dig, Dig, Dig*

    ...

    "Hey Jack, we got two holes dug for ya. Now whatcha want us to do wit'em?"

    "Lower the temperature guage into each hole and measure the temperature of the crust at the bottom of each hole. While you do that, I'll calculate the historical dates for each hole based on their depth..."

    "Okey dokey boss...well, this here hole's got a readin' of 42 degrees...whatcha make out it's date to be?"

    "Okay, according to my calculations, that one is from January of 1849, and the other one is dated to be around July of 1968."

    "Okey, well, the udder' hole's got a readin' of 74 degrees."

    ***Next Day's Newspaper Headlines"***

    "Experts Discover Dramatic Global Warming in the Earth's Crust"

  27. Some issues with the article by Herger · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Some issues worth thinking about:

    The article states that 150 meters down corresponds to about 100 years ago. However, the thermal conductivity of the crust at each site should be different, meaning that local adjustments need to be made to temperature readings.

    The process of drilling generates frictional heat which will affect local temperature readings. Even if the holes are old, wouldn't air or water passing through affect the temperature?

    Speaking of water, did the authors do a thorough seismic survey to check for aquifers, geothermal vents, other activity which might affect the temperature?

    What's the relative standard? To assume that the surface temperature is the current temperature is dangerous, since it is more affected by daily solar heating, cooling from precipitation, etc.

    616 bore holes seems like a lot until you consider that the land surface area of Earth is 148 million square kilometers. If you picked out , say, 616 members of the U.S. population, there is a (significant) chance they will all be engineers, but it's incorrect to assume from this observation that everyone in the U.S. is an engineer. Site selection will have a big impact from reasons previously stated.

    Granted, the full article has not been printed yet, so all we have is a journalist's take. But I will be watching for the full article.

  28. No, Good Science by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 3, Informative

    Therefore unless if we can know the temperature of the surface of the earth in the past, there is no way of knowing the temperature of the surface of the earth in the past. Am I the only one who thinks this is weird science?

    (It's been ten years since I took a PDE course, so parts of this could be slightly off.)
    The heat equation looks like this:

    du/dt = A * (d/dx)^2 u

    where u is temperature, and the partial derivative with respect to time is proportional to the second partial derivative with respect to space (depth). (A is a constant determined by the thermal conductivity of the material.)

    To use the heat equation to solve for u(x,t), you need boundary conditions surrounding a two-dimensional domain (space and time). Time here runs from 1500 AD to 2000 AD, and space runs from 0 meters at the surface to 1000 meters at the bottom of the hole. So there are four boundary functions along the extremes of both dimensions:

    1. u(0 meters, t)
    2. u(1000 meters, t)
    3. u(x, 2000 AD)
    4. u(x, 1500 AD)

    The first one is the function they're trying to get- it's their unknown. The second they have to assume is constant, because there is no way to directly measure it. But since temperature perturbations at the surface of the earth won't have penetrated that deep over the time scale they're looking at, and most of the variability will originate at the surface, this is a fairly safe assumption. The third just requires them to drop a thermometer down the hole, as they have done. The fourth is what you're worrying about, but they don't need it because they have 2. and 3. and can use the heat equation to extrapolate over the rest of the domain.

    A problem arises because the left side of the heat equation is a first derivative in time. As time progresses, features in the temperature profile u(x) degrade. (Partial differential equations that have second derivatives on both sides, like the wave equation, don't have this problem.) What you don't want to find, when you measure the temperature down one of these holes, is that the temperature increases uniformly with depth. That means you've waited too long, everything has equilibrated, and both sides of the heat equation are now zero, which prevents you from extrapolating backward. Apparently they must have found some curvature in u(x), or we wouldn't be seeing this article posted.

    There are other complications. The thermal conductivity constant won't be uniform with depth, for example. What that means is they need computers to solve for u(x,t) numerically. Partial differential equations can almost never be solved symbolically anyway, so this isn't much of an issue.

    1. Re:No, Good Science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I did not read the article, so...

      Since you are drilling a hole, you could take samples and actually measure the thermal conductivity.

  29. Re:Oh god, no that you could ever t again by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2

    Looking at all your posts, it looks like there is zero evidence that you can comprehend the real possibility that you are just plain wrong. No doubt you will write a lengthy reply proving my point.

  30. 70-degree days in the middle of winter by Bender+Unit+22 · · Score: 1

    Just reminded me of Kent Brockman:
    Could this record-breaking heat wave be the result of the dreaded "greenhouse effect"?
    Well, if 70-degree days in the middle of winter are the "price" of car pollution, you'll forgive me if I keep my old Pontiac. [chuckles]


    ref

  31. Great, now maybe we can finally nationalize by 1010011010 · · Score: 2

    Great, now maybe we can finally nationalize all of the remaining private property in the U.S.A.

    </sarcasm>

    --
    Napster-to-go says "Fill and refill your compatible MP3 player", which is a lie. It's not MP3. It's WMA with DRM.
  32. Maybe by Ashcrow · · Score: 1

    This might be evidence of global warming, but not unlike the ozone hole, it is mainly speculation. Just because the earth is getting warmer in the center doesn't mean polution and other man evils are plotting to ruin the environment. As far as science can tell (at the moment), the only way that we can for sure ruin the environment is to take drastic measures (like pouring oil over the entire planet).

    Also, one would think drilling would create heat so the info comming back might not be any more accurate than carbon dating.

    1. Re:Maybe by cp99 · · Score: 1

      This might be evidence of global warming, but not unlike the ozone hole, it is mainly speculation.

      I personally find this spectulation quite amusing. Last year, I had the honour of attending a lecture given by F. Sherwood Roland (who won the Nobel prize in chemistry for his work on atmospheric (and most importantly ozone) chemistry) on the state of atmospheric chemistry. He felt that the scientific evidence pointed towards human induced global warming.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
  33. Global Warning is Good by ffatTony · · Score: 4, Funny

    I am devoting my life to the continuation of global warming. I promise I will not rest until the North/East (my home) has Florida like weather conditions year round.

    1. Re:Global Warning is Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No matter what, the Earth will always be there. You might not, but then again, is that really a bad thing?

  34. How about high-t in the Earth's core? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Heat from 150 years ago is 100 metres below ground

    Then how does it explain an extremly high temperature in the core of our Earth?

    let me guess... Big Bang? Right! And now it's getting colder. May be with some local fluctations.

    Wait a minute. Where is the global warming?

  35. worse by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    he heat comes from the sun

    Than the situation is even worse - the much smaller % of Sun's radiation fluctuations have thousand times more effect on our temperature than any posible physical factor down here on the Earth. That scares me - any small Sun's blast might the last thing the life here will see.

  36. Re:Heat Transfer -- HELP by Aaaaaargh! · · Score: 2, Funny

    We are badly in need of facts from someone schooled in heat transfer and/or geology

    I'm no expert in heat transfer: I slept through most of the (7AM!) Thermodynamics course I took back when I was a student. I decided to bone up on it, however, the book is lodged in the middle of a stack of textbooks holding up one side of the shelf that my monitor rests upon. So, instead I'll bullshit my way through it. Just think of the earth to a big computer: the crust is the CPU, the atmosphere is the heatsink and the seas are the liquid cooling system God put in so He could overclock the world.

    After thoroughly reading Tom's Hardware Guide, HardOCP, and a bunch of other sites on the web, I can say with all the authority of an expert in a completely different science making a bad analogy that we just need to shave a few mountains, apply a nice, thick layer of thermal compound and put tall enough (must reach beyond the atmosphere) heatsink/fan combos on top. Or maybe the Overclocked Jesus can turn the seas to liquid nitrogen and save us all! Of course, I'd never have a taste of fried halibut again, but I'm willing to make sacrifices.

    If, in fact, there is a global warming trend, which I'm not inclined to dispute as there may well be, just what can we realistically do to prevent it? At this point, I'd suggest adapting, since there's only one other certain solution...

    --
    Give them an inch and they'll take a foot. Much more than that, you won't have a leg to stand on.
  37. early April Fools by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Duh ! What is this silly nonsense? Do you think heat is some kind of liquid that is affected by gravity and slowly soaks down through the rocks? Heat flows in all directions. And measuring temperature alone provides little useful information, you also need to know the thermal conductivity and specific heat of the medium(rocks), which is highly non-uniform.

    Old boreholes? Give me a break. The air convection in the hole will effect the measured temperature.

    I for one don't believe any such thermal signal more than a few years old can exceed the noise threshold.

    Bert Douglas

    1. Re:early April Fools by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 3, Informative

      Duh ! What is this silly nonsense? Do you think heat is some kind of liquid that is affected by gravity and slowly soaks down through the rocks? Heat flows in all directions.

      I don't think you understand something. Nowhere in the article did it say heat was "affected by gravity". Heat does show limited properties of signal propagation, because it flows at a finite rate along a gradient of decreasing temperature and is always conserved. (Meaning, because of the First and Second Laws of Thermodynamics.)

      And measuring temperature alone provides little useful information, you also need to know the thermal conductivity and specific heat of the medium(rocks), which is highly non-uniform.

      This just requires extra data on rock composition, which is well known and easily accounted for in any computational heat equation model.

      Old boreholes? Give me a break. The air convection in the hole will effect the measured temperature.

      Air convection is unlikely to be much of a problem at all. Air is a good insulator and a borehole of air has low thermal mass. Water convection is a much larger problem. This is from their web site, explaining how they get rid of environmental interference:

      Temperature perturbations in boreholes are produced by several processes. For climate reconstruction it is important to distinguish between a changing temperature through time at the Earth?s surface and other sources of temperature perturbations.

      Geologic conditions and processes, other than climate change, that produce curvature in temperature-depth profiles include the following: (1) systematic variation of thermal conductivity with depth, (2) radioactive heat generation in rocks, (3) topography, (4) lateral variation of surface temperature caused by surface orientation, changing vegetation, or variable snow cover, (5) uplift and erosion or subsidence and burial at the site, and (6) vertical percolation of groundwater.

      Several approaches are taken to isolate and correct for temperature anomalies from these sources. Available topographic and geological information available at each borehole site allows one to compute the magnitude and expected shape of temperature perturbations from each source. Sites can be discarded if the geologic disturbances are too large, otherwise corrections can be made. It is also possible to combine or stack temperature anomalies from several nearby drillholes. As geologic, topographic, and hydrologic conditions at each hole are unlikely to be identical, spurious temperature anomalies are likely to cancel. If each hole has experienced a similar climatic thermal signal, the climatically induced temperature anomalies will constructively interfere in the stacked temperature profiles.

      There is one very efficient method of isolating climate change effects in borehole temperatures but the method requires patience. All of the non-climate sources of temperature anomalies are steady state, or quasi steady state relative to the time scale of climate change. Thus curvature in temperature profiles from these sources is stationary in time. By measuring and remeasuring borehole temperatures after an appropriate time lapse, changes in temperature with time can safely be ascribed to climatic sources. Several monitoring experiments are in progress. With present technology available to measure temperatures in boreholes to better than 10 mK accuracy, the repeat time to isolate climate-change signals is about 5 years.


      So it appears they have thought of some of these things.

      I for one don't believe any such thermal signal more than a few years old can exceed the noise threshold.

      It's clear you haven't read the paper, but I guess I'll take your word for it. You should know.

    2. Re:early April Fools by ekeko · · Score: 1

      Heat does transfer slowly.

  38. Researcher's own web site by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    I realize that confusing all this theology with some science is the kind of thing that gets one flamed, if not burned at the stake, but the Belltrami's own web site is here. Both cites for papers published elsewhere and some online papers are available.

  39. Actualy your wrong. by autopr0n · · Score: 2

    People who don't think global warming is possible are the same kinds of people who don't belive in evolution, that is to say people who don't belive the obvious scientific evidence in favor of something that is more in synch with their pre-heald beliefs or ideologies.

    Yeh, it's possible that global warming isn't happening or isn't caused by humans, but if you look at all the data rather then a few slashdot posts or propaganda from one side or the other, it's pretty clear that the earth is getting warmer, and has been recently, and that there's a resonable chance that we might be causing it.

    --
    autopr0n is like, down and stuff.
  40. Hrm. by autopr0n · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I wonder how many "sciantists" you could get to sign a "anti-evolution" petition. A lot, probably.

    The number of "sciantists" who sign an online petition isn't proof of anything.

    --
    autopr0n is like, down and stuff.
  41. Have Rosie and Alec close their mouths by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Global warming?

    Have Rosie O'Donut close her mouth.

    Get Alec to make good on his promise to leave this country and go to Europe with the mangia patate.

    Result: No more global warming or other fantasies in this hemisphere.

  42. Even scientists can be unscientific by mc6809e · · Score: 1

    There are a lot of people here giving a hard time to the skeptics. In science, scepticism is a virtue. Theories need to be tested. Theories need experimental support. People who make claims need to back them up. Proper science is all about this back and forth between various claims and theories.

    Its also unfair to suppose that every skeptic is motivated by some base political, or economic consideration. It is dangerous conceit to assume that one's own views are pure while dismissing those who disagree as letting prejudice influence them.

    Consider this letter to The Economist by Jeffrey Harvey
    of the Netherlands Institute of Ecology -- one of the major critics of The Sceptical Evironmentalist and ask yourself how someone who claims to be a scientist can compare Nature and Scientific American to the Bible and the Koran. Also see the excellent reply by Charles Korsmo.

    SIR -- As co-author of the review of "The Skeptical
    Environmentalist" in Nature and of a critique of its chapter on
    biodiversity published by the Union of Concerned Scientists, I must be
    one of the green heretics you refer to in your one-sided leader
    ("Defending science", February 2nd).
    You are smearing the vast majority of the scientific community.
    You say that the four senior scientists who attacked Bjorn Lomborg's
    polemic in Scientific American were "weak on substance". To show you
    how absurd this is, Professor Tom Lovejoy, who wrote the piece on
    biodiversity, is a senior ecologist and biodiversity adviser with the
    World Bank, and a leading authority on tropical ecology. Your attempt
    to discredit him is sordid and reflects your conservative ideological
    agenda.
    I have not the space here to debunk the vast amounts of
    disinformation in Mr Lomborg's book. Its fatal flaw is to ignore the
    connection between environmental indicators and the condition of the
    underlying ecosystems upon which our survival (and that of all life)
    depends. Mr Lomborg says nothing about the fraying of marine and
    terrestrial food webs, the extent, loss and chemical alteration of
    wetlands, the effects of invasive species, etc.
    I will conclude with a quotation from an article that appeared in
    Jyllands-Posten, a Danish Sunday paper:

    "Ove Nathan, former president of the University of Copenhagen,
    thinks it totally unlikely that such a thing as a scientific
    conspiracy against Bjorn Lomborg should exist. 'There is no scientific
    periodical that outshines or is more critically edited than Nature,
    Science, and Scientific American. In science they speak with almost
    the same authority as the Bible of Christianity and the Koran of
    Islam. If all three periodicals pass the same severe judgment upon
    Lomborg, I personally would take it for gospel truth.'"

    Jeffrey Harvey
    Netherlands Institute of Ecology
    Heteren, Netherlands

    ~~

    SIR - Jeffrey Harvey's letter (February 16th), in response to your
    article on Bjorn Lomborg, is among the most remarkable and disturbing
    I have ever read. He attempts to demonstrate the "absurdity" of your
    claim that Tom Lovejoy's Scientific American article was "weak on
    substance", not by reference to the substance of Mr Lovejoy's article
    but by recounting his rank and position. He then one-ups himself by
    quoting approvingly an article comparing Nature to the Bible and
    Scientific American to the Koran, and ascribing to them the power of
    gospel truth.
    While notions of unquestioned authority and infallible oracles
    have long been shunned outside fundamentalist religious circles,
    apparently they have found a comfortable home among some scientists.
    You must have been shaking your head in disbelief at such an egregious
    example of the kind of person against whom science must be defended.
    Men such as Mr Harvey do not deserve to call themselves scientists.

    Charles Korsmo
    Washington, DC

    1. Re:Even scientists can be unscientific by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "There are a lot of people here giving a hard time to the skeptics."

      Translation: Please don't hurt the poor feelings of this old' right-winger.

      "In science, scepticism is a virtue. Theories need to be tested. Theories need experimental support. People who make claims need to back them up. Proper science is all about this back and forth between various claims and theories. "

      Global warming theory is tested all the time on computers.
      The right-wing/capitalist/religious fundy's don't know jack about science. You certainly don't know. Do you even have a degree? Leave science to OFFICIAL REAL scientists.

      Get back in your hole bible-thumper.

    2. Re:Even scientists can be unscientific by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, and you want to know something about those computer models? They're innacurate. The warming they've predicted over the last century (note: this is their model of existing data) is off by more than a factor of 5 (probably much higher, but let's be nice). It's kind of hard to credit their predictions of 100 years from now.

    3. Re:Even scientists can be unscientific by jovhl · · Score: 1

      Do you even have a degree? Leave science to OFFICIAL REAL scientists.

      <Sarcasm>
      Oh, so that's how it works! Science is like the army, where the one with the higher rank is right. "Sorry I proved your theory wrong, sir, I didn't know you were the Major High Grand Master Arch-Bishop of General Scientificness. Of course, I will retact my proof immediately and issue an apology for having offended one of my betters..."
      </Sarcasm>

      The whole point about science is to be scientific about it, not to adobt it as an authorative religion!!
      Empirical data can disprove a theory, but never, never, NEVER prove a theory!
      To accept theories as gospel is wrong.
      To think less of it, beacuse it is "just a theory" is to miss the point completely - being a theory means it's still not disproved, and no amount of empirical backing will elevate it beyond being a theory

      I don't mind that people think this theory is right and this is wrong, but it should be based on their own evaluation and reflection, and be able to have an open-minded debate about it, not just adobt whatever theory is in fashion at the moment and argue that everyone that thinks otherwise is morons. Of course, if you refuse do do actual thinking about theories, namecalling is the only argument available to you. And then no amount of elevated titles will save you, only an idiot would be convinced by being called a moron.

    4. Re:Even scientists can be unscientific by onarchy · · Score: 1

      Translation: Please don't hurt the poor feelings of this old' right-winger.

      How convenient it must be to declare all that disagrees with your world view politically charged. That being said, are you implying that only left-wingers are capable of rational thought and truth seeking? That kind of arrogance does not work in your favor, to put it mildly.

      Global warming theory is tested all the time on computers.

      Yes, they are. That's the problem. They should be tested in REALITY, not just in computers. Haven't you learned the basics of science yet? Empirical data MUST take precedence over simulations. Currently the observed world is in violent disagreement with the climate simulations. Many scientists have therefore chosen to believe that the empirical data are wrong! That should be a fairly strong warning signal.

      Onar.

  43. Conspiracy theory type reason for warming by Ixohoxi · · Score: 1

    This is not a troll. An object which might possibly be the infamous 12th planet, Niribu, has been found in the sky. Looking where the object is calculated to be, based on data about its orbit. This might not be an object headed for a pass near Earth, but as the time nears we can get a better idea. There is the possibility that we will see signs of the purported changes our planet will undergo. The earth warming inside might be a sign. The Antarctic ice shelfs are melting on their underside, is this a sign too? Increase in the number of earthquakes might be one too. The magnetic poles are shifting a little faster than normal. I won't provide links, just look up some of this stuff and make up your own minds.

    --
    What's a second? An hour? A day?
    It has much more to do with
    the Earth's rotation than with cesium.
  44. Goodbye Slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The fact that this is rated higher than the responses that point out the OBVIOUS logical flaw, is why I will be passing over any "scientific" discussions on Slashdot from now on.

    -- A longtime reader

  45. 'leftism'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Could someone help me out here, please?

    I am reading the posts here with some amusement. The anger which erupts so quickly in American political discussions-- particularly in regards to what is considered 'leftist'-- makes me wonder if it is even possible to consider an issue rationally from either side of the debate.

    The thing I am wondering is exactly how accepting the proposition that human industrial activity might be causing climactic change is a 'left-wing' idea. Is it because a concern for the environment has been associated with the American 1960s left?

    The word 'left-wing' originates from the French Revolution. The particular architecture of the royal stables, where the first assembly was held, made for a seating arrangement in the shape of a semi-circle. The Royalists, loyal to Louis, sat on the right. The Jacobins and sans-culottes, on the left.

    Over the years, 'left' has denoted state-centered approaches to wealth redistribution and community over individuality. The 'right' is market-centered and libertarian (well, it's supposed to be, but many Christian-conservative right-wingers hate the ACLU, go figure).

    So why does a scientific controversy get interpreted in these terms?

    My guess is that the passionate rhetoric on both sides is symptomatic of the American inability to discuss politics rationally, mostly because Americans have too much power and too little history to use it wisely. Hence the immediate association of global warming to 'liberalism' because the *only* American experience with a left movement was in the 60s.

    (Funny how noone has brought up British Petroleum... I guess Europe is irelevant...)

    Anyone have any other ideas?

    1. Re:'leftism'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>I guess Europe is irelevant.
      Let's see.

      You collaborated or surrendered in WWII to a nut with a missing testicle, an Oedipus complex, and who liked to have his girl friend spank him.

      You sucked us into Korea and Vietnam.

      You resisted the missile defense deployment of Ronald Reagan, who singlehandedly brought down the Berlin Wall and the downfall of the USSR.

      Possession of child pornography is still legal in some European countries. So is bestiality.

      You can't reform your ridiculous socialist labor laws independently, so you form a European "Union" to provide cover for reform. Yet you back out of the Union when your pathetic labor market causes your country's Euro valuation to fall into the sewer.

      You give murderers a slap on the wrist, because it is only their "first" murder. You turn loose papal assassins and terrorists at the first opportunity.

      You allow Cuba, the Sudan and other repressive African and Islamic countries to be represented in a UN human rights panel, while conspiring to dump the US from the panel.

      You provide safe zones for dopers to shoot up.

      You are turning into one large orgy of animal rights fanatics, while at the same time gorging on your pate.

      You leech of the backs of American soldiers, and while America spends billions on eradicating terrorism globally, you complain about the five star treatment terrorists are receiving at Guantanamo Bay resort.

      irrelevent?

      You hit it on the head.

    2. Re:'leftism'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Let's not forget their primitive minds that still believe in kings and queens and princesses and so on.

      Quick question: How many Queens were crushed to death when the horses they were attempting to mate with fell on them?

      Not just talking about England. The last 50-100 years have seen "royalty" in most European countries.

      The same mentality that fuels liberals minds is the same mentality that believes in "royalty", socialism, communism, state is better than individual, individual needs help/handout of state, individual works for the collective, etc.

    3. Re:'leftism'? by Evil+Pete · · Score: 2

      Oh god no you said something intelligent. That'll only confuse the Slashdotters. But it will be funny waiting for the replies. Lets see. There'll be the obligatory: "Well then why don't you go and live in Russia^H^H^H^H^H^HChina". Or even better "We saved your ass in WW2", yeah like they had a choice. Fact is most of the anger comes from ignorance, these guys don't really know what Leftism is anyway. Totally knee jerk reaction. As I said it just so amusing watching the reactions ... its almost pitiful.

      --
      Bitter and proud of it.
    4. Re:'leftism'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Leftism = 20 million dead in the twentieth century.

      Case closed.

    5. Re:'leftism'? by Evil+Pete · · Score: 2

      Thank heavens someone answered ... I was starting to think I'd have revise the intelligence level of slashdot upwards.

      20 million dead. hmph. That was Communism dork. Not leftism. There is a difference. Oh you didn't know ? Figures. BTW I'm not even a leftist.

      --
      Bitter and proud of it.
  46. stirring the bees nest by maxpublic · · Score: 1

    Oh lord - yet another editorial attempt to get the Gaians and the Ostriches to have at it again, in the hopes of stimulating a flame war. And here Taco was saying that the comments posted by folks here are of little, if any, value to Slashdot.

    If that's the case, then why do they go out of their way to get fanatics on an issue in an uproar?

    Max

    --
    My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
  47. Retraction, please ignore parent by Adam+J.+Richter · · Score: 2

    Dr. Beltrami and his colleagues from the University of Michigan found that more than half of the land's heat gain over the past 500 years came during the 20th century, and 30% since 1950.

    Sorry, I blew it, so I'll publicly take responsibility for my error. As the responses by "dhogaza" and "PhuCknuT" correctly point out, I misread that sentence. Beltrami et al claim that 30% of the temperature increase over that past 500 years happened since 1950, not just 30% of the temperature increase since 1900. Although I obviously puzzled over that sentence for before posting about it, I will endeavor to be more diligent against making this kind of mistake in the future. Sorry for wasting everyone's time with a simple misreading.

  48. Please explain to me this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If you talk to Europeans, they accept that the Earth is warming up and think that something must be done to prevent it from messing up the balance of nature.

    If you talk to people from the USA, they come up with who knows what explanations about why the Earth is not warming up. Why is it so? Do they teach you at school that the Earth may not warm up and thus it is perfectly safe to pump more CO2 and other greenhouse gasses to the atmosphere?

    There still is an ozone hole. The Earth is warming up. Okay, the ozone hole is not so large as it was a few years ago, but this was because ozone-layer eating gasses were banned.

    Think about it, if everyone had thought "what a bunch of hippie communist propaganda, ozone-schmozone, ha" things would be different now. In that scenario you had better not go to Southern Australia for a vacation.

    So, please explain what drives especially people from the US to close their eyes from the facts and cite corporate spin doctors who offer "proof" about why the planet is NOT warming and hence it is safe NOT to invest in expensive modifications of manufacturing plants or environmentally friendly technology.

    I would love to create stockholder value, but I'm constipated right now.

    1. Re:Please explain to me this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>Okay, the ozone hole is not so large as it was a few years ago, but this was because ozone-layer eating gasses were banned.
      Not a linear correlation on ozone hole and "ozone-layer eating gasses ban" Ozone layer has been shown to shrink and grow.

      >> is NOT warming and hence it is safe NOT to invest in expensive modifications of manufacturing plants or environmentally friendly technology.
      expensive modifications-> no proof that blowing tens of billions/hundreds of billions of dollars up in smoke will have one iota of an effect on climate. The changes in climate over the last 50-100 years are but a nanosecond in time. And but a nanosecond in climate time.

      Why should my family run business through out a $10,000-$20,000 refridgeration system because the freon to run the damn thing went from $15 a can to $800+ ? Yeah, the ban rocketed the price of real freon into the ozone layer. And the fake freon doesn't work, especially in hot environments. But over in mangia patate land, you smuggle freon across your borders as if it was homemade wine. Price of an $800 can of freon 12 in mangia patate land is less than $100 US. So don't hold your snout so high.

      Since when did Carbon Dioxide, food for plants and trees, become a toxin? And if it is a toxin, why doesn't the natural carbon sinks in the US count toward the reduction of CO2? It's our trees that are filtering the CO2 into O2.

      Yet when the US comes up with a tremendously effective plan for reducing greenhouse gases, you mangia patate poo poo it. The emissions trading system in the 80's developed by the US produced astonishing reductions in emissions. It was an overwhelming success.

      Keep your $4, $5, and $6 gasoline rates. I'll hop in my SUV and head for the hills in comfort. After working hard all week, it puts a smile on my face knowing that my 8 mile per gallon 6000 pound luxury SUV will decimate any subcompact you drive if we get into an accident, or if I have to bump you over to move you out of the left lane so I can hit 100 mph on my way to my vacation house that sits smack in the middle of a nature preserve, and burns wood for heat, not because I don't have oil/gas/electric heat, but because I know it will drive you up the wall as I throw log after log of wood into the franklin stove, and watch all the pollution waft into the pristine wilderness.

      Yeah, the freon hurt. But I am extracting my pound of flesh. And then some.

      Now go get your fuckin shine box!

    2. Re:Please explain to me this... by wierzpio · · Score: 1
      >>And if it is a toxin, why doesn't the natural carbon sinks in the US count toward the reduction of CO2? It's our trees that are filtering the CO2 into O2.

      Because it's not entirely true, as US _government_ funded studies have shown Greenhouse Gases and Carbon Sequestration

    3. Re:Please explain to me this... by This+Is+Ridiculous · · Score: 1
      Do they teach you at school that the Earth may not warm up and thus it is perfectly safe to pump more CO2 and other greenhouse gasses to the atmosphere?

      No. The schools have been taken over by environmentalists who teach our kids about how horrible the things we're doing to the environment are. But American society teaches us to think for ourselves instead of just blindly believing whatever somebody tells us.

      There still is an ozone hole. The Earth is warming up. Okay, the ozone hole is not so large as it was a few years ago, but this was because ozone-layer eating gasses were banned.

      Have you ever thought that maybe the ozone hole was there before--but we didn't see it because we didn't have any satellites before?

      Earth is below its average temperature over the last few thousand years. Most of the warming is in the coldest climates. (Tell the people in Siberia that we want to reverse the process that has put the average winter temperature at -38 instead of -40.) Fluctuations in the temperature are normal. Our "changes" to the environment are pretty insignificant. Nobody has ever given any hard evidence that the CO2 we're releasing is a problem.

      Even if there is warming, we don't know what its effects will be. It could be bad--things like the ice caps melting--but it could also be good, like winters that are less harsh.

      Global warming was invented by the environmental equivalent of Luddites--people who were afraid of any change because it was a change, not because it was a bad change.

      Put all these facts together and I'm not willing to spend billions of dollars to combat global warming that may be normal and beneficial--if it even exists.

      --
      Hey, you try to find an open nick these days!
    4. Re:Please explain to me this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>Because it's not entirely true, as US _government_ funded studies have shown
      Read the article you cite you heehaw. It says that the trees don't absorb MORE CO2 when other enabling nutrients are not available. Then it goes on to say that more planting should occur.

      FACT IS CO2 is plant and tree food. Regardless of what ALF/ELF/EarthFirst/PETA/Newkirk/Baldwin/O'Donuts/$ Nader$/Roberts/GerbilBoyGere other wackos indoctrinate you with.

      Now go get your fuckin shinebox!

    5. Re:Please explain to me this... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Have you ever thought that maybe the ozone hole was there before--but we didn't see it because we didn't have any satellites before?

      The ozone level over the Antarctic dropped dramatically from values measured in the 1950s. There is data from before satellites.

      Earth is below its average temperature over the last few thousand years. Most of the warming is in the coldest climates. (Tell the people in Siberia that we want to reverse the process that has put the average winter temperature at -38 instead of -40.)

      All this is as predicted by the GCMs. So what ? And you do realise that if Siberia warms up it will release huge amounts of CH4 from the permafrost ... a much more powerful greenhouse gas. You want the world warmer ... remember the dustbowl of the 30's ... well get used to it buddy. America has good climate at the moment ... don't expect it to last.

    6. Re:Please explain to me this... by Evil+Pete · · Score: 2
      Not a linear correlation on ozone hole and "ozone-layer eating gasses ban" Ozone layer has been shown to shrink and grow.

      But the trend is upwards. It grows EACH southern winter, and shows a 2 yearly cycle. But you should know that shouldn't you unless you are pig ignorant.
      Why should my family run business through out a $10,000-$20,000 refridgeration system because the freon to run the damn thing went from $15 a can to $800+ ? Yeah, the ban rocketed the price of real freon into the ozone layer.

      Yeah, that sucks. But the damage to the ozone layer is one of the best documented effects. Pretty open and shut.
      Since when did Carbon Dioxide, food for plants and trees, become a toxin?

      Oh pulease! This is a greenie argument. Oh man its like natural therefore there can't be anything wrong with it. Bullshit. Its not a toxin. It causes the world to get warmer not massive death. The warmer world however is not necessarily pleasant.
      After working hard all week, it puts a smile on my face knowing that my 8 mile per gallon 6000 pound luxury SUV will decimate any subcompact you drive if we get into an accident

      Just like a typical redneck. Probably think you can get away with neg driving too. BTW enjoy your guzzler while you can. World oil stocks are dropping dramatically. It is expected that extraction rates will drop from about 2010. There isn't that much oil left. Why do think all that work is being done on fuel cells ?

      --
      Bitter and proud of it.
  49. Strawman arguments perfected to an art by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the beginning, we just had mindless spelling flames. Now we have something better: trolls mocking mispellings which were actually not in the quoted article! How much more silly can you get?

  50. headline is misleading by funkapus · · Score: 2

    Could one of the editors please change the headline to something else that's not completely inaccurate?

    I'm noticing a disturbing trend of headlines on Slashdot that completely contradict the article they reference. In this instance, a study has shown that thermal energy from the atmosphere penetrates surface rock layers, which then store that heat as a record of historical climate, much the same as rings on a tree indicate its age. If this study is to be believed, it is strong evidence that the earth's atmosphere has warmed dramatically in the last hundred years.

    The headline implies precisely the opposite; that the earth's crust is being warmed by its molten core. This is misinformation.

    I'd appreciate seeing a little more careful work on the part of the editors. Lots of people are going to see that headline, not bother reading the article to find out the details, and then wander off assuming that global warming has been resolved and that it doesn't matter if they buy that Ford Explorer they've been thinking about.

    I know I'm going to be flamed by people who don't buy the concept of global warming, or think that the study is flawed. That's not the issue. The issue is that this study is being represented as evidence for one side of the debate, when in fact it is evidence for the other.

    Slashdot is a clearinghouse for information that influences a lot of people. That's only a positive thing if great care is taken to not spread misinformation. Inaccurate or misleading information is worse than no information at all, and just decreases the signal-to-noise ratio.

  51. Earth changes due to Planet X ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All these geophysical changes are due to the coming cataclysmic flyby of Planet X according to http://www.metatech.org/planet_x_nibiru_earth_chan ges.html

  52. Dont wake up the morons by Evil+Pete · · Score: 2

    No one's going to listen to you here. Slashdot these days is full of scientifically ignorant right wing bums.

    I mean they fuckin even got the basis of this article wrong. It is heat conducting down from the surface. Similar measurements, on permafrost, have been done for the last decade. The earth is getting warmer, there is absolutely no doubt on that. Is it due to CO2. Well fuck me .. it IS a greenhouse gas you know .. how many ways are there to pretend it isn't. Let the slashdotters count the ways. Maybe the Earth is just plain getting warmer ... many measurements indicate the fastest rate of warming since the start of the holocene, which is kind of an amazing coincidence that it should happen when we are pumping so much CO2 into the atmosphere.

    Am I a greenie ? Nope. Do I think global warming is going to stuff things up big time ? Yep. Do I think humans will actually do anything to stop it ? No. Just look at history. Humans aren't really good at planning long term. Better still look at all the fishing grounds and the reaction when scientists point out the consequences of continued levels of fishing ... they object , find ways around it blah blah .. then the fishing stocks crash bye bye industry. Wonderful planning guys. Total idiots.

    Normally I don't get this pissed off. But the level of ignorance is totally frightening. Oh well that's what natural selection is for.

    --
    Bitter and proud of it.
    1. Re:Dont wake up the morons by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The door swings both ways regarding idiocy. Just think about what you're saying....the pure arrogance that we can somehow "bring down" a planet by farting and making nasty cars would be laughable if so many people weren't stupid enough to believe it....bah....this is getting nowhere...you're probably assuming I am just as ignorant as the rest of the slashdotters....big deal. There's no getting through to people who won't think for themselves. You're proof of that.

      bah.

  53. Such an irrelevant argument by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The whole "are humans causing global warming" is such a red herring. Does it matter? Is it not enough to argue that reducing emissions, polutants, and generally being more sustainable is beneficial because: i) it would improve air quality; ii) improved water quality; iii) more sustainable use of *local* resources. In a nutshell, it would improve our quality of living.

    1. Re:Such an irrelevant argument by shawnseat · · Score: 1

      Is it not enough to argue that reducing emissions, polutants, and generally being more sustainable is beneficial because: i) it would improve air quality; ii) improved water quality; iii) more sustainable use of *local* resources.

      If you were arguing for strong(er) air or water pollution standards, I'd be in full agreement. Your argument is flawed to support reduction in CO2, though. (NOTE: I agree CO2 reduction needs to occur; it's much better to argue from a defensible position, though!)
      Actually, efforts to increase the relative amount of CO2 release enhances what is normally called "air quality" in two ways: it reduces carbon and CO emissions which have clear negative impacts on human health and less fuel is burned for the same amount of energy (CO2 is more oxidized than C or CO). As to water quality, CO2 is dissolved in all naturally occuring water on Earth in significant quantities; this is why limestone caverns form, for example. As to your third example, there are a lot of places where quality of living would go down markedly if they were unable to import from elsewhere.

      So if these are poor arguments, what are some good arguments? Ultimately, fossil fuels will begin to run out. Investment in other methodologies (BTW current solar technology is really not a good idea; the pollution produced in production and disposal is horrific) is necessary for the transition to other energy sources to be as smooth as possible. Most environmental critics don't realize that environmentalists usually don't want the most extreme possible solution; they want one that will cause the least disruption to their own and their children's (and following generations') lives. We really don't want a Gulf of Mississippi!

      --
      Religion is the opiate of the masses. The wealthy smoke the real stuff.
  54. Re:Wow, you're a great mom. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who are you to judge what's nonsense and what's not?

    when people say humans are causing an increase in the global temperature (whether you agree with this or not), what they mean is that humans are generating atmospheric gases blah blah.

    What they mean is that humans do have an impact on the weather. There is no question about it - they're either 14th centuary hippies or selfproclaimed gods.

    and you're a typical slashdrone, dreaming you know something.

    - the heat comes from the sun.

  55. 'the igloo effect' by zer0*ryok0 · · Score: 1

    as much as i don't really thing global warming is anything than just one of earths regular changes in temperature (people.. X years from now will be reasearching 'global cooling' aka. the 'igloo effect')

    what if (IF its real) the problem is like somthing that no one would even think of.. for instance, all these tree's that are cut down.

    (this is a theory just like anything else)

    me and my brother walk to the store quite often
    and those tree's that are so perfect and provide 100% shade are always cool underneath.

    now.. where we previously lived was one of those stupid lego housing areas... there was not a single tree in sight. if i wanted to be cool i had to go inside.

    now think how the earth feels in both instances.... she just wants some shady lovin from her tree hair :)

    -zer0

    --
    the only fact is that everything is an opinion
  56. For the love of god! by rambot · · Score: 0

    Please stop posting these farcical threads on global warming! If you want to bitch about changes in the weather, look at the BIG picture, not your narrow slice of time!

    Getting to hot outside? Blame it on global warming!

    Getting to cold outside? Blame it on global warming!

    Ice breaking apart up north? Blame it on global warming!

    Car won't start? Blame in on global warming!

    Bush's wife won't sleep with him? Blame it on global warming!

    ps. Thank you shaboz melik muhummed achmed jabbar, for your hilarious pandering that makes me laugh until this very day!

  57. Did they take anaerobic organisms into account?? by Salis · · Score: 1

    Anaerobic bacteria live far below the surface of the earth, even where pressures are extradordinarily large. And...guess what...anaerobic bacteria create _heat_. Probably much more than conduction from the surface above. So are they measuring the conduction of heat that came from the surface 100 years ago...or just the amount of anaerobic bacteria that is in their
    soil sample.

    What we would really need to see is their actual method of sampling and measurement taking. Too many possible inaccuracies.

    Salis

    --
    Favorite /. tagline: "On the eighth day, God created FORTRAN." And it was good.
  58. Historical Temperatures by sharkey · · Score: 2

    They can get that from boring holes? Wonder what they could get from interesting holes?

    --

    --
    "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
  59. ObSimpsons by sharkey · · Score: 2

    If 70 degree days in the middle of January are the "price" of car pollution, you'll forgive me if I keep my old Pontiac.
    --Your Emmy Award-winning host, Kent Brockman

    --

    --
    "Outlook not so good." That magic 8-ball knows everything! I'll ask about Exchange Server next.
  60. CO2 doesn't go away by willy_me · · Score: 2
    What exactly do you think happens to all the CO2 and other pollutants we pump into the atmosphere? They just disappear?

    Uh, yes. Just ask your neighborhood tree or plant what they like to eat. They'll tell you they like water (which there will be more of if the earth warms and there is more evaporation) and CO2 (which apparently we're poisoning the atmosphere with).

    So, yes, thanks to the plants CO2 does disappear.

    Uh, no. We're taking carbon from deep underground (oil) and putting it into the atmosphere. Plants may take that carbon back out of the atmosphere but it's just temporary. As soon as that plant dies and burns/rots the carbon goes back into the atmosphere. The carbon never makes it back underground from where it originally came.

    The way I see it the only environmentally safe fuel to burn is hydrogen. Solar/wind power can be stored in the form of hydrogen that can used to power automobiles. I guess alcohols based from grains/plants would also be good as they wouldn't change the CO2 ratio of the atmosphere. Either way, it all comes from solar power.

    Willy

  61. same old problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    when you are looking for trouble you will find it. put another way... if you are biased and _WANT_ to find results, then you will obscure those findings that you don't like and even falsify and fabricate findings to collaborate your fundamentalism.

    the real problem is that the message you try to get across is obscured by your lack of integrity (yes, character DOES matter), thus pushing people away. Use the truth, and approach problems with logic and reason. As specifically about the environment, this is even more important, because you have to make sure you don't 'overcorrect' and cause even more problems

  62. Re:Wow, you're a great mom. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who are you to judge what's nonsense and what's not?

    Hahahahaha.... what an idiot.

  63. One difference between dino's and humans ... by freaker_TuC · · Score: 1


    Dinosaurs did not pollute,
    Humans do ...

    Dinosaurs probably where not thinkers,
    Humans do, though know they do pollute ...

    Dino's did not know their extinction,
    Humans might know ...

    The dino's could not change earths destiny
    Maybe humans can ...

    after all, earth might stay here, shaking off humans, maybe another cycle of earths life ...

    --
    --- I am known for the ones who want to find me on the net. Is that a privacy risk or a privilege? One might wonder..
    1. Re:One difference between dino's and humans ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >>>>Dinosaurs did not pollute,
      Humans do ...

      Are you saying dinosaur shit doesn't stink? According to the environmental wackos, cow shit stinks. So in NY, cows now must be 200 feet away from a body of water before they can take a shit. Question is, do they tape measure it out, eyeball it, or pace it off before they drop their load?

  64. Your word of the day is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Irony" ... look it up.

  65. News Flash: Mankind Affects Its Surroundings. by Fat+Casper · · Score: 2
    I'm not a treehugger. I like 'em turned into charcoal, because that's one hell of a way to cook cows. I'm an Army guy who likes to shoot HE into the woods. And my gun is irrelevant; you're never taking my car away from me.

    Man is incredibly capable of affecting his environment. He just sucks at predicting consequences. The question of whether Man or Nature is doing this warming is stupid. Change happens. The current change is warming. This is a Bad Thing- The sea levels are just fine where they're at, and droughts suck. What little groundwater that we haven't polluted yet isn't enough for us to drink, wash our cars and water our lawns forever.

    Unless the warming is mainly because Earth's orbit is decaying a bit and we're getting closer to the sun, we can affect it. The niche we've evolved into is changing, folks. I don't want to find myself owning property that suddenly turned into beachfront. We're better off changing our behavior to maintain the status quo than changing our behavior because we don't have the port cities or crop production levels that we got so used to.

    --
    I spent a year in Iraq looking for WMD and all I found was this lousy sig.
  66. Both sides are slanted by deuterium · · Score: 1

    I don't know how scientific issues manage to become political issues, but in this particular case, both sides here are arguing outcomes that they cannot possibly predict.
    If the data shows a warming trend in the last century, I'll buy that. But what does it mean? Do we expect that the earth's temperature is invariant? Can we prove causation? I just don't see a strong case either way. If there continues to be a warming trend, what will be the result of that? How do we know if it will be good or bad? I can't see how we could. The weather is like the ultimate 3 body problem, involving the interactions of countless variables. I defy anyone to make a simulation that can predict the weather in a statistically significant way for even short term trends.
    My personal view is that we should alter our energy usage policies for more obvious reasons, such as dwindling petroleum supplies, smog, and self-reliance from foreign energy sources.
    Am I nuts?

  67. Is this self-condemnation? (-: by leonbrooks · · Score: 2
    your audience here is probably more educated then the knuckle draggers you are used to speaking to.

    Really? Are you sure? This is Slashdot we're posting on...
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  68. At least 25,000 of the scientists in the USA by leonbrooks · · Score: 2
    I wonder how many "sciantists" you could get to sign a "anti-evolution" petition.

    We're seeing typoes on some otherwise quite respectable sites recently, so this isn't as obvious an incompetence indicator as it once was. Sad, really.

    Regardless of typoes and propaganda sites, there are at least 25,000 card-carrying scientists in the USA alone who reckon that evolution is a non-starter.

    Evolution is only one of a very large number of sacred cows which should be on the conveyor-belt headed towards the mincer. As textbooks still occasionally hawk the centuries-ago-disproven ontogeny-recapitulates-phylogeny lie, so they also still tell us that aeroplanes stay up because of the Bernoulli principle (and so they fly upside-down how...?), and that oil is formed from the compressed bodies of dinosaurs (and so the domes are refilling themselves how...?).

    Aside from the fact that many of them are also raving loonies, and aside from observing the many honest scientists I know, I'm occasionally tempted to agree with the concensus-reality crowd's view of science, ie, that all scientific conclusions are based on ideological assumptions so of course the answers will fit same ideologies. As with many things in life, it seems to have a thread of truth running through it, but not nearly enough to make the whole deal worth taking aboard.

    So I settle for a general air of skepticism and tossing the odd spanner into the works. (-:
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  69. An aerobics class, underground by leonbrooks · · Score: 2
    anaerobic bacteria create heat

    Good point. Are these methane-fixers you're talking about?
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    1. Re:An aerobics class, underground by Salis · · Score: 1

      Methane, hydrocarbons, sulfates, phosphates, etc

      It's amazing what life will oxidize in order to gain energy...even if it's just enough to survive.

      Salis

      --
      Favorite /. tagline: "On the eighth day, God created FORTRAN." And it was good.
  70. zetatalk.com by gd23ka · · Score: 1

    Zetatalk is a good starting point for information on that theory.

  71. Come back down, forgot your parachute... by castlan · · Score: 2

    This was a very intriguing post! Now if you would actually back up some of what you are saying, I would be most impressed.

    As for reckoning, scientists are free to think whatever they like. If their beliefs are to be restricted, that is the duty of their respective governments or religions, not their scientific principles. What an individual scientist believes is only scientifically significant so far as they are willing to submit the belief to validation via the scientific method. That said, where did you pull this figure of 25K from, and where can I buy one of these cards?

    Where was the recapitulation of phylogeny via ontogeny disproven? I don't believe that the theory exen existed for multiple centuries, much less that it was disproven over 199 years ago. There are many theories of evolution, Charles Darwin held one significantly different than his grandfather Erasmus, or Lamark did.

    There is no reason that the Bernoulli principle only works in one direction - do Iomega Bernoulli drives or standard winchester hard-drives fail when they are mounted upside down? Passengar aircraft don't fly upside down, because that is illegal. While air foils are more efficient when designed for non-interable flight, there is no reson that a symmetric wind can't be used. The more significant problem is that of keeping the fluids available to the engine during upside-down flight.

    Oil is indeed formed from pressurized organic material dating from prehistoric times. What domes are refilling themselves? Do you mean that oil is a renewable resource? We won't have to tap ANWR after all, because previous cachets of oil are refilling themselves? That is great news!

    A general air of skepticism can be healthy, but only if you proactively work with what's available. Our current system of science, while not perfect, can handle the odd monkey wrench now and then. It has much less success dealing with innuendo and vapor. I suppose I settle for general airs of open-mindedness, and tossing the odd goat to the trolls. :-)