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Global Warming will Open Northwest Passage

Makarand writes "For the most part we dread global warming. However, some experts from the U.S. Arctic Research Commission, studying the polar ice caps, are now pointing out some of the advantageous side effects of global warming. They are predicting that in 5 to 10 summers from now the polar ice caps would disappear for around 2 months each year opening up the fabled Northwest passage for commercial shipping. This would effectively reduce the shipping distance between Europe and Asia by 6800 miles compared to the route using the Panama canal."

203 of 590 comments (clear)

  1. There are other shipping routes by Dynedain · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But how does this compare to the route through the Suez Canal?

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    1. Re:There are other shipping routes by Dynedain · · Score: 4, Funny

      right, but the article said it would shave distance off the trip between Europe and Asia. Pardon me if I'm wrong, but my poor U.S. geography education taught me that Europe is on the Mediterranean, and that the Red Sea empties into the Indian Ocean, which happens to be one of the oceans that Asia is situated upon.

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    2. Re:There are other shipping routes by Malc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think it depends on which parts of Europe and Asia they are shipping between. E.g. Dublin to Seoul vs Athens to Karachi.

    3. Re:There are other shipping routes by Tempelherr · · Score: 3, Informative

      The northern passage provides the most benefit for routes between northern Europe (Scandinavian countries, England, Germany, Russia) and the west coast of the US. For example, with the passage open, the route length between Norway and the West Coast of Canada would be cut by over 3350 miles (5391 km).

    4. Re:There are other shipping routes by stephanruby · · Score: 4, Informative

      I'm not sure about shaving distances, but you might be able to shave some time. The Suez Canal is a congested area. Ships often lose a couple of days just waiting in line to go through. There might also a size/drafts/beams consideration. Supertankers, for instance, probably can't go through Suez.

    5. Re:There are other shipping routes by ninthwave · · Score: 2

      I think the Americas refers to the countries of North and South America. Not the United States of America.

      --
      I was thinking of the immortal words of Socrates, who said: "I drank what?" - Chris Knight (Val Kilmer)- Real Genius
    6. Re:There are other shipping routes by ninthwave · · Score: 2

      Of course if I read into the parenthetical comment I would than have to say that he was referring to US interest and will spend some of today trying to remove my Timberlands from my mouth.

      --
      I was thinking of the immortal words of Socrates, who said: "I drank what?" - Chris Knight (Val Kilmer)- Real Genius
    7. Re:There are other shipping routes by Steve+Franklin · · Score: 2

      Keep in mind that the distance eastward along the equator from where it crosses western South America to where it crosses Sumatra is the same as it is going in the opposite direction. The Pacific Ocean is huge. The advantage of going westward from Europe to Asia across upper North America would thus appear to be as much in that it takes the trip farther north as in that it is a more direct route.

      --
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  2. Marvelous news. by Trusty+Penfold · · Score: 5, Funny


    Destory the environment so my grandson's console will arrive in time for Christmas.

    At least I'll have left him something.

    1. Re:Marvelous news. by ackthpt · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Destory the environment so my grandson's console will arrive in time for Christmas.

      It's rather like saying, "One fringe benefit of cancer is you'll lose weight." Problem is getting people to take risks seriously until they've got the disease, once they've got it, they're all eyes and ears, wanting to know how to make the problem go away. Well, on the bright side, maybe the flooding will clean the streets of D.C., NYC, SF, etc.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    2. Re:Marvelous news. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'm about 5 miles from the ocean in Florida. When the flooding starts it's beachfront property for me, baby!

    3. Re:Marvelous news. by kesuki · · Score: 2

      Keep in mind that since 1979 10% of the polar ice cap has melted, and yet there hasn't been a single costal city flooded.
      Remember, Ice is lower density than water, and the polar caps are a FRACTION of the size of the surface are of the worlds oceans. IF all the ice at both poles melted the world's oceans risings could be measured in inches. not in feet.
      And remember, the ice caps melting does not mean 'global warming' because in fact, the globe isn't warming... only the polar caps seem to be melting... and that could well be due to the dramatic weakening of the earth's magnetosphere over the past 200 years.
      Imagining cities around the globe flooding because of the ice caps melting is fantasy, because there isn't enough ice up there to actually raise the world's oceans. remember we already have tides, so a few inches won't cause any costal cities to flood, although the netherlands might want to evaluate their dikes, since sea level rising by an inch could increase the strain dramatically.

  3. Uh... by ElGuapoGolf · · Score: 2

    Wouldn't that polar ice that melts have to go somewhere? Like maybe a few feet inland along the coasts of the world. That probably isn't good is it?

    1. Re:Uh... by Moirke · · Score: 4, Funny

      The state of Florida is a small price to pay for a shortcut to China.

    2. Re:Uh... by Hays · · Score: 5, Informative

      Nope. The northern Icecaps are floating. Their melting does nothing to change the global water level. The frozen water is already displacing as much water as it would in liquid form.

    3. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 5, Informative
      "Wouldn't that polar ice that melts have to go somewhere? Like maybe a few feet inland along the coasts of the world. That probably isn't good is it?"
      The north polar ice is already floating in the water. It is (almost exactly) displacing the same volume[1] of water it would be if it were to melt.

      The rising sea levels due to global warming are/would be the result of the Antarctic and Greenland ice caps partially melting, which are on land and are enormous. Only minor melting of small, outlying portions, decreased global, glaciation, and increase movement of glaciers to the water all have a major impact.

      It's also safe to assume that any influx of fresh water into the ocean will cause an even distribution of increased depth, but I know what you meant. :)

      [1] The masses are necessarily the same, but the volume slightly differs because of the variance of the density of fresh to salt water.

    4. Re:Uh... by Forrestina · · Score: 2, Interesting

      actually, the predicted rising of the oceans has a lot to do with the effects of heat on water molecules. namely, water will take up more room when warmer. there's a lot of water out there to take up more room.....

      --

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    5. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 2

      No, apparently that's often thought, but that won't be a factor until the climate warms up a lot more than anyone thinks it will. This is because only a thin surface layer of ocean water is heated, and because we're only talking a a few degrees.

    6. Re:Uh... by MajroMax · · Score: 5, Informative
      If you fill a glass to the brim with water, and ice sticks above the rim of the glass, the glass WILL overflow when the ice melts.

      -1, Wrong.

      The block of ice floats because it displaces as much water as the ice weighs -- if a glass of water is at a given level with a block of ice of mass X grammes in it, then removing the block of ice would require one to put X grammes of water back in the glass to return the liquid to the same level as with the block.

      As the block of ice melts, the water from the melting will combine with the water in the glass, tending to increase the water level in the glass -- however, there is now less ice in the glass, so it displaces less, tending to decrease the water level in the glass. As it so happens, for ice the equation is balanced and there ends up being zero net change in the water level -- as in the above example (removing the block), we just happened to remove the block (X grammes) by melting the ice (returning X grammes of water).

      This isn't the complete story with regards to the ocean, of course, because the ocean isn't pure fresh water -- but the effects of melting ice in seawater would still be orders of magnitude less than you're predicting with an 'overflowing glass of water'.

      --
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    7. Re:Uh... by sholden · · Score: 2, Informative

      How about you try the damn experiment before you assume how it turns out.

      Floating ice is not fully submerged because it is less dense. It's less dense and hence takes up more volume than the same mass of liquid water. Simple physics indicates that the *volume* that is submerged is the same as the volume the equivalent mass of liquid water would occupy (assumming the 'floating' is caused by the density difference and not jets you installed on the bottom of the ice...)

      Do you think ice floats by magic?!?

    8. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 5, Funny
      Wow, and I thought I phrased it carefully enough so that the people that don't know this basic physics--which isn't a crime--would take a second to think about it before they responded. Oh, well.

      They should read some Archimedes.

    9. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 2

      As many people have said, it's basic physics that a floating object displaces exactly as much mass as itself. Put another way, the entire iceberg weighs exactly as much as the water it displaces below its waterline. When it melts, it fills that hole exactly.

    10. Re:Uh... by JebusIsLord · · Score: 2

      Except there is a lot of water in the world around the freezing point, and that is where water is densest. My point is, ice and warm water are both less dense than water close to the freezing point. This should serve to balance things out quite a bit as melted ice is SMALLER than the original ice, and warming water is slightly LARGER than cooler water. Did that make sense?

      --
      Jeremy
    11. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 2

      Well, you may be right that it's more of a factor than I'm acknowledging. But the important thing to understand is that the thermal expansion of seawater is, for these purposes, linearly and continuously in proportion to the temperature rise. But the addition of fresh water into the ocean as a result of melting ice caps is neither linear nor, more important in the context of your specific point, continuous. This is true in the complex climatological sense; but it's also simply true because ice going from -1.5C to -0.5C isn't nearly as interesting as when it goes from -0.5C to 0.5C. See?

    12. Re:Uh... by dubious9 · · Score: 3

      Yes, but meanwhile the ice melting under the water level is actually lowering the water level because the ice took up more volumn than the volumn of water displaced. In fact the upper parts increases exactly the water level as much as the lower part decreases it.

      God I can't believe I actually have to explain that.

      --
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    13. Re:Uh... by weave · · Score: 2
      Is the ice up there really floating though? Like, if you take a glass of water, partially freeze it so the top is frozen, drain the water underneath, the ice will not move since it's anchored near the rim.

      Maybe not the best example, but I'd suspect it's not floating else when the water levels changed due to tides, there'd be huge ice quakes or something as that ice would have to shift around.

      (Then again, maybe it does do that. I have no idea, which is why I bring it up. :)

    14. Re:Uh... by packeteer · · Score: 2

      When water freezes it crystalizes. It actually expands when it becomes a solid. As the ice melts is does submerge all the way but the crystal structure breaks down and it takes up less space. None of this matters though because of one simple rule. The weight of an amount of water an object displaces is EQUAL to the weight of the object assuming it floats.

      I cant believe people dont even understand frickin water on slashdot. I know its not the most obvious of science but its around us non stop so i would hope you would have learned this.

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    15. Re:Uh... by pe1rxq · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Tidal movment (not sure if I spelled it right...) is mostly situated around the equator, its hardly noticable around the poles. And completly gone if you are situated at the geographical poles.

      Jeroen

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    16. Re:Uh... by Mike+Schiraldi · · Score: 2

      You should take your own advice. The modernized version of Archimedes' Law says that the upward force exerted on a floating object is equal to the mass of the water it displaces times the acceleration due to gravity. And Newton showed that the downward force on an object is equal to its own mass times the acceleration due to gravity.

      Now, since the ice cube is neither sinking nor rising, we know that the net force on it is zero. Therefore:

      (mass of displaced water) * (g) == (mass of entire ice cube) * (g)

      Cancel the g's. The mass of the displaced water is equal to the mass of the entire ice cube. When the ice melts, the water line doesn't move.

    17. Re:Uh... by toriver · · Score: 2
      Ice is less dense

      Mostly. As I understand it, water is at its "densest" at +4 Celsius; ice will normally be at 0 (at 1 atm pressure) or below, but if the water is, say, 8-9 degrees or so the difference isn't necessarily that much.

    18. Re:Uh... by UniverseIsADoughnut · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Thank you for writing what I was going to, you are correct and with the proper equations.

      Now for the exceptions to this. The oceans are salt water (more dense) the ice caps are fresh water, so they are floating a bit higher in the water then they would be in fresh water, so when the melt it would raise the sea level. When I solved this once it came out to an extremely small number so it doesn't really matter. Where the sea level change comes from is from ice in antartica and greenland melting. There you have ice miles thick that's on land. Basicly a lot more ice than the floating Ice, this will raise the oceans and is where the global warming floads come from.

      And to the person wondering if all the ice is held up by the water in the artic, yes it is, there is no land there, it touching land like N. America and Russia will not hold it up as water lowers below, just look at a pond or river in the winter as an example, near the edge as the water drops the ice drops, usualy causing a inclind ice sheet that makes getting on and off the river or pond really hard. Also with it moving up and down with tides, it does, the artic is a very broken up pile of ice, ice, it's very dangerous do to pressure ridges and such. If you ever want to see such a break up watch a river in spring when the ice breaks, often you get jams and pressure ridges, when it all blows rivers can rise at feet per second! very dangerous. I had the Susquahanna (live near it, can't spell it) River do this just as I went to get on it, luckily I got away.

    19. Re:Uh... by daniel_howell · · Score: 5, Informative

      Actually the melting of sea ice does have several, albeit indirect, effects on the sea level, since it influences world climate.

      Firstly sea ice is white, the sea is not. So melting the ice lowers the albedo in the polar regions, which will have a small warming effect as less heat is reflected.

      Secondly differential melting and freezing at the base of the sea ice is a major driving force in several ocean circulation systems, notably the 'Gulf Stream'. This plays a major role in transporting heat around the globe, especially to North West Europe and Iceland. It is believed that extensive reduction of the sea ice will reduce or even eliminate this current. There is evidence that in the last few tens of thousands of years the current has turned on and off several times.

      Regional changes are likely to include colder winters and drier summers in western europe, and warmer waters and thus potentially more active tropical storms and huricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, although these changes would also depend on the (unpredicatble) response of other major ocean currents to the change.

      Exactly what effect such a large change would have on overall world climate is difficult to predict, but since our current population and land-use patterns are based on existing climatic conditions, the maxim of 'any change is likely to be bad for us in the short or medium term' probably applies here.

    20. Re:Uh... by mikerich · · Score: 2
      Wouldn't that polar ice that melts have to go somewhere? Like maybe a few feet inland along the coasts of the world. That probably isn't good is it?

      No, the Northern polar cap is made of floating ice which has already displaced sea water. When it melts it won't affect sea levels.

      And if anyone doubts me...

      Kids! Here's a quick experiment. Put some ice cubes into a glass. Now carefully add water until the glass is completely full. What happens when the ice melts?

      Melting of Antarctic ice would be a different matter as the vast majority of that ice sheet is sitting on the continental landmass itself.

      Best wishes,
      Mike.

    21. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 2
      Which differs from what I wrote in what way, exactly?

      The attribution and sequence of posts is confusing. But I wrote one of the first posts pointing out that the water level would be unchanged. This post was just expressing my astonishment that so many people were confused on this matter and didn't stop to check.

    22. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 2
      "Back to school, you dim wit."
      I did, in fact, learn what I wrote (that the water level won't change) in school. The AC did not, unless they went to a really bad school, which is possible.

      It's too bad it was an AC that wrote this. Someone being that obnoxiously wrong should have to publicly eat crow.

      I don't doubt that I have sometimes unknowingly been guilty of being arrogant and pedantic about something I am quite wrong. Certainly I've done it a few times of which I am aware. But I can hardly think of anything more embarassing. I am mortified when I do this.

      Being an arrogant jerk is a bad habit. Being an arrogant jerk while being very wrong is to spectacularly make a fool of one's self in public. Discovering this is, or should be, powerfully dissuasive of acting like an arrogant jerk in general. So being an arrogant jerk anonymously is a really, really bad habit.

    23. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 2
      "Tidal movment (not sure if I spelled it right...) is mostly situated around the equator, its hardly noticable around the poles. And completly gone if you are situated at the geographical poles."
      Is that true? It sounds like you're assuming there is a causal, rather than correlative, relationship between the Earth's rotation and the tides. But the tides are caused by the Moon. I don't know if the planes of the Moon's revolution and the Earth's equator are really close or exactly the same or what, but as a practical matter you are probably right.

      Disclaimer: Just writing this makes me realize how little I know about the Moon. I know more about all the planets and their motions than I do the Moon. This is an inexcusable bit of ignorance. I'll have to correct that sometime.

    24. Re:Uh... by vnsnes · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Is that why the world's most northerly town is trying to extract energy from tidal currents!? : http://www.msnbc.com/news/831472.asp

      The article also says, "Canada's Bay of Fundy in Nova Scotia has the highest tides in the world, at about 39 feet. "

    25. Re:Uh... by kmellis · · Score: 3, Informative
      "...that the *volume* that is submerged is the same as the volume the equivalent mass of liquid water would occupy..."
      Close, but you need to be careful and remember that it's the mass, not the volume, that is equivalent as a matter of simple physics. The volumes also happen to be almost exactly equal because liquid ice and sea water are pretty much exactly the same thing. :) Therefore, the sea level wouldn't change. But it doesn't have to be this way.

      In contrast, think about oil and water. Oil, for example, is significantly less dense than water and floats on water as a liquid. So, similarly, imagine some substance, which we'll call "blunge", that acts just like water does (with its relatively unusual decrease in density as a solid relative to liquid) but that both as a solid and liquid it's substantially less dense than water. What would happen?

      Frozen, a chunk of blunge would float like water ice does and it would displace a mass of water exactly equal to its mass. Let's call the volume of displaced water x. When blunge thaws, it will no longer displace the water and the water level will fall....but then this liquid blunge, which has volume y, will float on the water and, theoretically (ignoring other factors), will be distributed evenly over the surface of the water. Now we have to ask: is the volume y equal to the volume x? No, we know that y is greater than x. For this reason, the level of the two fluids, with liquid blunge floating on top of the water, will rise relative to the level of water with solid blunge floating in it.

      And, as it happens, this is the case with sea water, ice, and melted ice...fresh water. Fresh water is slightly (for these purposes) less dense than sea water; and so when north polar ice thaws, the seal level does, in fact, very, very slightly rise. When the ice in your soft-drink melts, the level very slightly rises. But it's negligible. The naysayers in this thread are technically right, but conceptually wrong.

    26. Re:Uh... by packeteer · · Score: 2

      Well most people are wrong on this topic. Its counter-intuative to most people to realize melting ice wont raise the water level. Its not even very important to know in most people's lives.

      --
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  4. Guzzle guzzle by lowey71 · · Score: 2, Funny

    So buying a 3 ton SUV does have benefits for the world!

    1. Re:Guzzle guzzle by Jonny+Ringo · · Score: 2

      Yes, and if you watched Futurerama last night you'd learn that when it just gets to hot we can send all the suv's exhaustin one direction propelling us further a way from the sun so we may cool a down a bit.

  5. this will be great.. by radon28 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    for all the coastal cities suffering an extremely crippled economy due to the rising ocean levels that will destroy everything they have.

    1. Re:this will be great.. by dimator · · Score: 2

      I really wonder about this... just how much water is in the ice caps? When you compare them to the surface area of the world's oceans, it doesnt seem like it could be *that* much water.

      I'm pulling this directly from my ass though, so does anyone have any hard numbers?

      --
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    2. Re:this will be great.. by Methuseus · · Score: 2, Informative

      But the ice on Greenland and Antarctica (which is greater than the amount on the Northern cap) still will melt. And then there's the fact that the oceans will get warmer from the melting ice, and the warmer water is, the more space it displaces. So there will be a non-trivial rise in the oceans, but it will take some time. Luckily I will probably be dead (unless I discover the secret to immortality).

      --
      Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity, though I'm not yet sure about the universe. - A Einstein
    3. Re:this will be great.. by Maniakes · · Score: 2

      Average ocean depth = 12,566 feet. 1/1,000,00 * 1/100 * 12,566 feet = 0.00150792 inches, or 36 micrometers.

      A few feet would be a few tenths of a percent, not millionths.

      --
      A legparnasom tele van angolnaval.
    4. Re:this will be great.. by Maniakes · · Score: 2

      [snip]the rising ocean levels that will destroy everything they have.

      That's assuming they don't take the profits from the increased trade to build dikes and sea walls

      --
      A legparnasom tele van angolnaval.
  6. Huh? by kmellis · · Score: 2, Funny
    " ...polar ice caps would disappear..."
    I think that should have been the "north polar ice cap". We'd be in serious trouble if the southern ice cap were in danger of melting away.

    It is my understanding that last summer ('01) the geographical North Pole was open water.

    1. Re:Huh? by Loki_1929 · · Score: 4, Funny

      "It is my understanding that last summer ('01) the geographical North Pole was open water."

      Indeed, Santa lost 3 reindeer and threatened to "sue the sh*t out of the motherf*cking c*cksuckers who f*cked up the godd*mn ice cap."

      With the workshop flooded and a good portion of the reindeer out of commission, looks like parents might actually have to go out and spend money this year. Sorry, folks, now get movin'.

      --
      -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
    2. Re:Huh? by kmellis · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I'm not sure if people were being skeptical about my mention of the North Pole being open water last year, but here's a quote:
      "Icebreakers like the Yamal usually slowly grind through an ice sheet up to 2 metres thick in summer from Spitsbergen to the North Pole. This year the Yamal crunched through kilometres of thin ice and open water to reach the pole, where water lapped its bow. The captain had to steam 10 kilometres away to find ice thick enough for the 100 passengers to get out and be able to say they had stood on the North Pole--or close to it!"
      You can Google to find lots of discussions of this. How reliable the observation was is questionable. (That is to say, was this really exactly at the geographic North Pole?) Also, the NYT article about this erroneously made the claim that this was possibly the first time in millions of years there was open water at the North Pole. This is patently false. The world's been this warm in recent history (thousands, not millions).
    3. Re:Huh? by WatertonMan · · Score: 2

      Actually this is why the poles may reverse. (See the other Slashdot article earlier today) Santa's secret workshop was in danger of sinking in the ocean. He thus needs to relocate to the south pole but can only do so if it becomes the north pole.

  7. icebergs by dollargonzo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    won't there still be icebergs? i wouldn't approach an area where the icecap is going to be in 1 month and was 1 month ago. there will be plenty of ice to be careful of and frigid water. OR: is technology good enough to avoid all these obstacles and still make a profit?

    --
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    1. Re:icebergs by jcsehak · · Score: 4, Funny

      Never trust technology when you're dealing with icebergs. Once, a long time ago, these people built this huge titanic ocean liner, and said it was unsinkable, then they ran into this giant titanic iceberg that tore this titanic gash in its hull, sinking the ship. I wish I could remember the name of the ship though. I think it was "The Enormous."

      (w/ apologies to Homer)

      --

      c-hack.com |
    2. Re:icebergs by WhiteKnight07 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The Titanic didn't have modern sonar. Good sonar can not only tell the exact direction and distance of the iceberg but can also map the contours of its surface. Sure sonar like that is expensive but whats a few hundred thousand dollars for sonar equipment when the new route will save you a few million?

      --


      We're going to make information free Mr. Anderson, whether you like it, or not.
    3. Re:icebergs by Hays · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yeah I'm sure that would be a conern to the shipping. But it is manageable. Already North Atlanta Sea ice is monitored very actively in order to keep icebergs from hitting ships and oil rigs.

      I believe the US Coast gaurd's International Ice Patrol takes care of most of the monitoring relevent to shipping.

    4. Re:icebergs by WatertonMan · · Score: 5, Informative
      Canada and the United States map all iceberg activity by satellites and by aerial surveys. So they know where the icebergs are, their movement and so forth. So while it is a danger, with modern GPS equipment and modern communications and mapping it is a managed danger.

      For existing oil rigs they use the above, plus will actually tow large icebergs out of the way of oil rigs and the like.

      A lot of the advanced tracking has actually only come on the last few years. NASA put up a satellite back in I think '98 that started tracking a lot of icebergs. This helped eliminate the problem of losing icebergs when they were being tracked by plane and ship based radar/sonar.

      If the northwest passage opens up that will be a huge benefit for shipping. Not to downplay the other problems to the environment, but the west has wanted the northwest passage ever since Columbus first sailed the ocean blue.

    5. Re:icebergs by WatertonMan · · Score: 3, Informative
      Just to go along with the above, here's a good page with links to a lot of the satellite imagery of icebergs in the north.

      Artic Information

      The Canadian Department of Environment also has regular updates and warnings about icebergs and the like. Presumably were the northwest passage to open up they'd track it. (I admit I'm a bit leery of trusting the prediction - but who knows) I suspect that, baring continued war in the mid-east, the United States military would be involved as well. Admittedly it is less of an issue now that the cold war is over. But they have had quite a bit of monitoring of the arctic sea in the past.

      Department of Environment

    6. Re:icebergs by panurge · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Actually assessment by later engineers was that the Titanic was underdesigned, and that earlier ships such as Brunel's would have survived. I can't remember the name of it, but there was a book back in the 70s which explained why oil tankers kept getting ripped apart, ranging from poor design, too few engines, to shipowners insisting that the fastest route had to be taken even if it was the most dangerous. The thought of supertankers crossing the arctic ocean is worrying to say the least (Exxon Valdez anyone?)

      --
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    7. Re:icebergs by autocracy · · Score: 2

      Controller: "Sir, we've lost the iceberg."
      Boss: "You WHAT?! The thing isn't exactly the size of a pen... it's a fricken iceberg! And it moves at the speed of a snail! How can you lose something that size moving that slow?"
      Controller: "Oh, like it's easy to find - an iceberg in an ocean is like a needle in a haystack"
      Boss: "Yeah? When's the last time a needle sunk a ship?"

      --
      SIG: HUP
    8. Re:icebergs by MicroBerto · · Score: 2
      Yeah but now that the icebergs are melting, they will swim into the titanic and not the other way around!

      And then we make more cheesy movies!

      --
      Berto
  8. what about the ice-bears by kh0ng · · Score: 2, Funny
    what about those pretty white polar bears up there, won't they drown if all the ice melts away?

    Anyway, I don't understand how they can declare this as an "advantage"! It's a serious problem with our clime, and all they think of is "how can our economy benefit from it"...

    1. Re:what about the ice-bears by WhiteKnight07 · · Score: 2

      Actually they spend a lot of there time living in Greenland and Canada. They may have to change their migration patterns a bit, but not much.

      --


      We're going to make information free Mr. Anderson, whether you like it, or not.
    2. Re:what about the ice-bears by Black+Copter+Control · · Score: 2
      Polar bears are both drowning and starving. The lack of ice near land is messing up their fishing process. Sometimes it means that they're out on icebergs in open water far more often. More than that, though is the problems it's causing them in being able to fish.

      It's not so much the melting icecap. It's the melting shore ice. It's far too thin far to much of the time. It's also messing up the eskimoes because more and more of the permafrost is no longer permanently frosted. It's a lot harder (also colder and more dangerous) slogging through cold mud than it is walking on permafrost.

      --
      OS Software is like love: The best way to make it grow is to give it away.
  9. Conspiracy by EvanED · · Score: 4, Funny

    U.S. just returned the Panama Canal to Panama a couple years ago. Coincidence?

    1. Re:Conspiracy by cameldrv · · Score: 2

      They dug the canal. Panama was chosen, as a canal across the United States was deemed impractical using methods then available.

    2. Re:Conspiracy by EvanED · · Score: 2

      If what I remember is correct, the French didn't get very far (especially as they tried to do a sea-level canal throughout)

    3. Re:Conspiracy by neocon · · Score: 2

      Umm, yeah, sure.

      That's not what Mikhail Gorbachev said when he was recently interviewed on MSNBC. He was very specific that it was the failure of Soviet industry to keep up with the arms race which forced them to back off on their commitments to sustain the Eastern European governments in early 1989.

      What happened later in 1989 with the spectre of a repeat of the events of 1956 or 1968 removed is, of course, history.

      Go google for the interview transcript. Then go ahead and explain why we should believe that you know something which Mr. Gorbachev does not.

  10. Meanwhile... by jmv · · Score: 3, Funny

    US authorities are urging people to buy more SUV's to make that happen faster and thus help the whole world reduce costs.

  11. No, really! by venomkid · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Yeah! And one good thing about having cancer is that you don't have to worry about haircuts anymore!

    Jesus, what are these people thinking?

    --
    vk.
    1. Re:No, really! by Hays · · Score: 3, Insightful

      your analogy isn't quite fair. The Earth has warmed and cooled quite a bit throughout history. The last 10,000 or so years have been very stable, but it was in and out of ice ages for hundreds of thousands of years before that.

      So anyway, it's not as much a cancer as a fever. And we're not quite sure what normal temperature should be, anyway.

    2. Re:No, really! by CaptainCarrot · · Score: 2
      How could this be a good thing?

      Why should it necessarily be a bad thing? Nature does what it does, neither good nor bad in the larger sense although it does sometimes adversely affect us. Sometimes we affect it, and sometimes we don't, and in the case of global warming the immediate cause it not at all clear. We are, in any event, still well within historical norms. There was a time in the Middle Ages when England was a great wine producing region, and Greenland was, well, green. On a geological time scale, there were many, many more years where the Earth had no polar ice caps than when it did; recent climactic history seems to have been rather anomalous.

      So what's good? What's bad? What's normal? We tend to evaluate these things by how they will affect us, and our entire civilization has come about under a certain set of climactic conditions. Those conditions may (or may not) be about to change. When evaluating the ultimate effect this will have on our culture, it's perfectly appropriate to look at things like shortened shipping routes, because every disadvantage of the new conditions will ahve to be weighed against every concomitant advantage.

      --
      And the brethren went away edified.
    3. Re:No, really! by mizhi · · Score: 2

      As George Carlin put it, "The _Planet_ is fine. The _people_ are fucked."

      --
      Humorless sig goes here.
    4. Re:No, really! by CaptainCarrot · · Score: 2

      Yeah, that's a lot more succinct. But he'd probably had more sleep than I did when I posted.

      --
      And the brethren went away edified.
  12. I can just picture it by Space+Coyote · · Score: 4, Funny

    Bob and Doug MacKenzie setting up toll booths on top of some icebergs, to try and collect on this whole Earth-going-to-hell thing. At least it'll be good for Canada's economy :)

    --
    ___
    Cogito cogito, ergo cogito sum.
    1. Re:I can just picture it by jcsehak · · Score: 2

      Take off, ya hoser! :)

      --

      c-hack.com |
    2. Re:I can just picture it by Space+Coyote · · Score: 2

      Man d oI ever love it when some idiot who stumbles over mod points sees a +5 funny and thinks "That's funny, but .. I don't know if it's wirth a 5.. I better fix that" and marks it overrated. I really think metamoderation should be expanded to include crap like that.

      --
      ___
      Cogito cogito, ergo cogito sum.
  13. 1) Global warming fscks up plannet.

    2) ???

    3) FexEx gets competition.

  14. Just Doing My Part ... by SuperDuG · · Score: 3, Funny

    I'll be spraying aerosol cans into the air for the next few years, and make sure to use old nasty coolants for my air conditioner. I mean really, who needs an ozone anyways, commercialize the enviroment!

    --
    Ignore the "p2p is theft" trolls, they're just uninformed
    1. Re:Just Doing My Part ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Ozone hole. Global warming. Entirely different things, and only related in some minor (for both) and subtle ways.

      Global warming is mostly due to carbon dioxide and methane; the ozone layer doesn't do so much in the atmospheric insulation process.

      The ozone layer problems are actually more or less under control. (As best as we can do, anyway.) Under the Montreal Protocol, we all stopped using the nastiest self-catalyzing ozone destroyers, and now just have to wait out their effects. (admittedly, for 50+ years - they're persistent buggers.) There's a kind of hope there - rapid, multilateral action may have very well saved our vapid, multilateral asses.

      It's just key to keep the two issues seperate. In part, because while the companies responsible for ozone-layer-depleting chemicals snapped to and helped out with the solution, rather than, (as some of the oil companies are doing - BP and Shell less so, Exxon/Mobil very much so) trying to create bogus "concerns" about the science.

      In no small part, if you want to be a cynic, because DuPont et al., realized that outlawing ozone-depleters would create a market for their followons, (which they had ready for market.)

    2. Re:Just Doing My Part ... by freeweed · · Score: 2

      Just to add to the other response, CFC's were banned from use in aerosol cans almost 30 years ago. It still amazes me how many people won't buy aerosol products to this day, because of some non-existant threat to the Ozone Layer.

      --
      Endless arguments over trivial contradictions in books written by ignorant savages to explain thunder in the dark.
  15. Supertankers... by didiken · · Score: 4, Insightful

    >For supertankers, which now must sail all the
    >way around Cape Horn at the tip of South America,
    >the trip would be shortened by 11,800 miles.

    Really hope that those ships won't pollute the last clean spot on Earth ! If one of those supertankers hits onto iceberg, that's really horrible.

    1. Re:Supertankers... by chrispy666 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      HAHAHA Thank God all the ships are not like the Erika.
      FYPG, modern supertankers have double hulls, and in any case, using this passage would definitely increase A LOT the premium that the charterers have to pay for a tanker vessel to go into that kind of waters, i.e. breaking the "IWL" (insurance warranty limits).
      So, don't worry, the penguins there won't have any bad "fuelly" surprise anytime soon.
      Most of the ships that would eventually use this route are grain loaders from US Gulf to Asia, because the cost of Panama Canal tax has a great influence over the price of the freight... and anyways, it's only for 2 months, roughly the time for a long round voyage... very negligeable.

      And yes, I work in shipping ...

      --
      Music is the language of the heart, the sound of the soul. -Joe Satriani
    2. Re:Supertankers... by Cplus · · Score: 2

      An article in Wired's dead tree version a couple of months ago critiqued modern supertanker stability, a good read, especially for those in shipping.

      --
      "Share your knowledge. It's a way to achieve immortality." -- Dalai Lama
    3. Re:Supertankers... by cybercuzco · · Score: 2

      >For supertankers, which now must sail all the
      >way around Cape Horn at the tip of South America,
      >the trip would be shortened by 11,800 miles.

      Well thank god, I was worried that my supply of precious, precious oil might be delayed a few weeks in transit, now i can refine it into gas and burn it right away! Thank you global warming!

      --

    4. Re:Supertankers... by bziman · · Score: 2
      So, don't worry, the penguins there won't have any bad "fuelly" surprise anytime soon.

      That may be true, but that is mostly due to the fact that penguins can only be found in Antarctica. I would imagine that a northwest passage would only move tankers away from penguins...

    5. Re:Supertankers... by Xeriar · · Score: 2

      Think of how much oil it takes to move these supertankers 12,000 miles.

    6. Re:Supertankers... by cybercuzco · · Score: 2

      Well using that logic, Im going to burn my house down, but im not going to douse it in gasoline first, that way it will take a few minutes longer.

      --

  16. typical capitalism at work by lingqi · · Score: 2

    If it means saving a buck for some company, you bet they'd lobby for it really hard regardless if it screws the rest of the world over. And if that company's got $$ and congresscritters, they'd probabbly get their way too.

    Venice is on the verge of becomming more of a water town than it already is - granted, the fact that the city is sinking doesn't help much - but damn, don't accelerate the problem.

    Most cities are near some major bodies of water, which usually means that having the ocean rise a couple meters means deep sh*t for a lot of peope and a lot of financial centers. Before anybody goes "but but" - Even if the city does not drown, you will have serious sewage problems, kay?

    Not to mention that melting tons of ice means releasing million year-old viruses and other goodness that we probabbly don't have defences for anymore / or never even had in the beginning.

    sigh... this kind of "oh yeah global warming have these benefits" crap should not even be entertained and whoever came up with it really need a good spanking.

    --

    My life in the land of the rising sun.

    1. Re:typical capitalism at work by Dynedain · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Most cities are near some major bodies of water, which usually means that having the ocean rise a couple meters means deep sh*t for a lot of peope and a lot of financial centers. Before anybody goes "but but" - Even if the city does not drown, you will have serious sewage problems, kay?

      Everyone loves this argument about rising sea level drowning cities.

      I don't buy it - the Dutch have been dealing with the situation for centuries.

      --
      I'm out of my mind right now, but feel free to leave a message.....
  17. Nordenskj�ld by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nordenskjöld, the discoverer, should have lived to see this. He made 95% of the trip from Europe to The Bering Strait when he got stuck in the pack ice and had to wait for the next summer.

  18. Benefit of fast polar sea voyages! by StefanJ · · Score: 2
    You won't have to plow through the dying oceans' mats of dead fish and choking algea, or deal with violent cyclonic storms from fucked up weather systems, or risk attacks by the refugee ships fleeing drowned coastal cities and devastated farming areas in Asia.

    Also, way up north the skies will be clearer because there aren't any smoke plumes from burning forests.

    See? There are benefits to global warming!

    Stefan Jones,
    Viridian Archbishop
    http://www.viridiandesign.org

  19. North West Passage huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    Just a thought...

    When the poles flip will it still be called the North West passage because they redefined north...
    Or will it be renamed the south east passage?

  20. Huh? by Loki_1929 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Polar ice caps?
    We don't need no steenking polar ice caps...

    --
    -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
  21. Europe? Japan? by theolein · · Score: 2

    You mean that if the polar ice caps melt there will be a Europe or Japan to be happy about this?

  22. Nitpick. Re:Always knew it! by StefanJ · · Score: 2
    CFCs assault the ozone layer; they are not, as far as I know, a greenhouse gas.

    The switchover to ozone-safe refrigerants is actually an excellent example of how things can work out right. There's a good chance that the ozone holes will be a thing of the past, thanks to international agreements banning the bad stuff.

    1. Re:Nitpick. Re:Always knew it! by cp99 · · Score: 2

      CFC's are a greenhouse gas. However, their concentration is very low relative to other greenhouse gases (mostly H2O and CO2) so their warming effect is small.

      In atmospheric chemistry, they speed up the rate of ozone removal, leading to increased UV penetration of the atmosphere.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
  23. Odd.. by Loki_1929 · · Score: 2

    And all this time, I figured that cheap property I bought just east of the San Andreas fault line would be beach-front property in an unpredictable amount of time due to a catastrophic earthquake. Now I find out that it's not only going to happen within my lifetime, but in a predictable fashion and due to human influence? Amazing...

    I suppose this is how one feels after seeing one's lottery number called on TV! Yahoooo!

    --
    -- "Government is the great fiction through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
  24. See?? See what? by stwrtpj · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Yet another reason why the greenniks should be locked in a cage and poked with red-hot branding irons.

    On a side note, while this might be a potential consequence of global warming per se, it does nothing (and no one else has done anything) to plausibly correlate human activity to GW.

    When I read this, I had a choice to either mod you as -1 Troll or respond. I decided to do the latter, since the former would be me reacting more out of emotion than logic, and at least by posting another moderator can decide if I did the right thing.

    I will not go into a lengthy disseration about all the research that has been done that does indeed correlate human behavior in the past half century with global warming, for I am sure you will find fault with whatever study I cite, as I am sure other /. readers would.

    At the same time, I think it can be safely said that many of the people to whom a clear connection has not been established in their minds still entertain the notion that it is possible that human actions have caused the current warming trend, or have exacerbated a natural warming trend. As a result, these people choose not to do anything about it until that connection is established.

    My response to that is: you're taking one hell of a chance with the planet.

    We have exactly one planet available to us to live on. While many may claim that there is no 100% hard and fast undeniable irrefutable undebateable proof of human-induced global warming, if there is even a possibility that there is indeed a link, do you really want to take that risk?

    Here's a bit of a news flash for everyone waiting for that iron-clad evidence, including the environmentalists: You're never going to find it. The factors that control the Earth's climate are far too variable and numerous to calculate. Change a single variable and you get widely differing results. Yet at the same time, statistically speaking there is a general trend that says that it is possible we are causing it. If we're talking about the planet, I think that even that possibility, no matter how small, needs to be taken into consideration.

    The reason for this should be clear: If we're wrong, and we ignore the problem, we will not be able to simply say later on "Oops, we'll go and fix it." You can't fix a planetary ecology once its been damaged that badly. Let me rephrase that: we will not be able to fix it to be habitable to us. The planetary environment will most likely adapt given time, but with no consideration for our civilization or even our species. The polar caps melt and flood our cities? Oh well, tough luck, so long as the overall ecology of the planet survives.

    So think for a moment before you make comments like yours. Make a risk assessment. See if you really want to take that chance. Remember: one planet, no "backup copy", no spare parts, no warranty.

    --
    Karma: Frotzed (mostly due to the Frobozz Magic Karma Company)
    1. Re:See?? See what? by lowkster · · Score: 3, Interesting
      At the same time, I think it can be safely said that many of the people to whom a clear connection has not been established in their minds still entertain the notion that it is possible that human actions have caused the current warming trend, or have exacerbated a natural warming trend.

      There have been many ice ages in the earth's past, long before humans ever existed and between each glacial period there was - GLOBAL WARMING! The earth warms and cools, the magnetic pole flips and every so often there is a mass extintion event that wipes out large portions of life (http://www.hi.is/~joner/eaps/tlm.htm). Just get used to it. Planet earth can be a real bitch.

    2. Re:See?? See what? by cp99 · · Score: 2

      And...

      Just because the earth has warmed and cooled in the past, doesn't mean that humans aren't causing the current warming.

      The scientific evidence strongly points to human induced warming, hence preventable, hence, it's only a bitch if we let it.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
  25. But... by macdaddy · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...greatly increase the possibly of disaster. Just because the surface ice isn't there anymore or is greatly reduced doesn't mean that there aren't icebergs to contend with. Remember, at least 2/3 of an iceberg is under water. At least. And in all truth icebergs aren't always floating at the surface. They can and have been found hovering below the surface of the water. I forget what the reason for this was but I saw the video. Pretty neat. I do remember that artic ice (icebergs) is formed from the bottom up very slowly (read: below the surface of the water and up). This eliminates the trapping of air in the ice which makes artic ice transparent rather than translucent. This was also the last bit of evidence needed to counter the biologists claims that Snowball Earth couldn't have happened. They claimed that if the Earth was covered in 60-90m of ice at the thinnest point, no life could survive on the planet. No sunlight could reach the basic organisms and obviously nothing could survive above the ice. The transparent artic ice disproved the biologists claim. The ice allowed an abundance of light down to the single-celled organisms in the water below.

    1. Re:But... by gl4ss · · Score: 2

      ..sonar..

      and you'd have to be careful of them anyways on certain areas, it's not like titanic was taking a shortcut through the pole-

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
  26. Global Warming Enemy #1? by Jormundgard · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So why is the National Academy of Science in "disagreement" about global warming? The story I hear is because of a guy named Richard Lindzen, and goes something like this. Every scientist on the NAS believes that global warming is a threat, except Dr. Lindzen. His "iris" effect claims that rate of heating is exaggerated and that there's a restoring effect to slow it down. But because of his conclusion, politicans can declare disagreement among the NAS and "nobody knows", so it's better to do nothing.

    The man's brilliant, and if you see him give a talk then the guy's very convincing, but I wouldn't want the fate of the world on my shoulders.

    (If anyone can corroborate this, then I'd be interested.)

  27. That would be great by roalt · · Score: 2
    This is really good news from people of Europe, like me.

    Finally those air-conditioning units from Asia will become affordable...

  28. Open 2-3 months per year... by Guppy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The article mentions that the Northeast/Northwest passages would probably be open for a brief period each year. I wonder, though -- once open, maybe the passage could be kept open with icebreakers. Perhaps for a few extra weeks? Maybe extra months?

    It would be quite expensive, but the tolls for using the Panama canal can be over a hundred thousand dollars for some ships.

  29. Canada by stew-a-cide · · Score: 5, Informative

    This isn't good news as far as Canada is concerned. The following is from an E2 w/u I did a while back (http://www.everything2.com/index.pl?node=Canadian %20Arctic%20Sovereignty):

    Arctic sovereignty has long been a pressing issue in Canada. While ownership of the Arctic Archipelago islands is no longer disputed seriously by any nation (and the inhabitants of this region are professed Canadians), control over the surrounding ocean is still a contentious issue.

    Canada claims full ownership of all the seas in the area up to its usual (and accepted) 200-mile limit, as well as full ownership of any sea ice extending northward from it's cost to the North Pole (since, in its opinion, sea ice is effectively land). Many countries, including the United States, refuse to recognise its sea ice claim - and while allowing that the open waters in the area are a Canadian possession, claim that the Northwest Passage (an indeterminate rout through the maze of the Arctic Archipelago) is an international strait that that they cannot be denied passage. This is despite the fact that the Northwest Passage is perhaps the least navigated waterway in the world (the number of ships which pass through it in a year can be counted on one hand, and most of these are government icebreakers).

    The United States has, on a number of occasions, attempted to flout Canada's sovereignty by sailing both civilian and military vessels through the passage unannounced. Matters came to a head in the 70's when the United States attempted to navigate a reinforced oil tanker through the passage (an oil tanker break-up in the high arctic would have unimaginably disastrous effects), but public outcry forced it to concede to at least giving notice to the Canadian government before attempting any further navigation.

    Also, Russia and the United States have both challenged Canadian sovereignty by sailing submarines under the ice and seas claimed by Canada. During the Cold War they would often conduct cat and mouse games in the area, much to the chagrin of the Canadian government. Canada currently does not have submarines capable of conducting under ice patrols, and does not expect to have this capability until around 2010.

    To counter the moves of other countries and to assert its sovereignty, Canada has taken a number of steps. First, it has invested large amounts of money in the people of the area. The Inuit people of the region are provided with full health insurance and welfare (as are all Canadians), and recently efforts have been made to maintain as much of the traditional culture and economy as possible. Recently, the Inuit were even granted their own territory, Nunavut, where they comprise the majority of the population and Inuktitut (the tongue of the Inuit) is an official language. Recently, youth unemployment and lack of housing (because of the high birth rate and rapidly rising population) have both become a cause for concern.

    Additionally, the government operates a fleet of icebreakers and aircraft used to supply far northern settlements and outposts. These have presented something of a Catch-22 for the government, since an arctic presence (largely by way of military vessels) must be maintained to assert sovereignty, yet these vessels breaking up the sea ice has a negative effect on local hunting activities (something the government would like to support).

    The native people have also been employed directly to assert sovereignty by way of the Canadian Rangers, a program that employs Inuit hunters on the sea ice to patrol for foreign craft and assert Canadian sovereignty (the fact that many Inuit live a large part of the year on the sea ice also gives credence to Canada's claims).

    Another aggravating factor in maintaining sovereignty is global warming. The Arctic has been disproportionately affected by warming, and it's expected that commercial navigation of the Northwest Passage will become feasible in the next 10 to 15 years. Many nations (including immerging Asian powers) would have an interest in opening up the passage to free navigation. Not only would such a scenario threaten Canadian sovereignty, but it would also cause immense harm to the lifestyle of the people of the region - and would contribute massive amounts of pollution in an incredibly fragile environment.

    1. Re:Canada by WatertonMan · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Related to this is that if the northwest passage opens up and Canada claims it, then many nations will expect Canada to put up the maintanaince. i.e. having something like the US coast guard in quantities to handle the new traffic.

      However with probably trillions of dollars at stake, I have a feeling Canada will lose this battle. Canada simply doesn't have the power to back up their desires in this matter. And the nations wanting the passage to be international will include basically every nation on the planet other than Canada.

      Canada could, of course, react by stopping support for the region and also not providing free navigational information as it does at present.

    2. Re:Canada by stew-a-cide · · Score: 2, Informative

      Related to this is that if the northwest passage opens up and Canada claims it, then many nations will expect Canada to put up the maintanaince. i.e. having something like the US coast guard in quantities to handle the new traffic. This is exactly why Canada can't allow anyone to sail through and set a precedent to that effect (not only does Canada get nothing from an open passage - but it will cost huge amounts in security, environmental costs, etc.). I would suspect that Canada's current policy is "turn around or we shoot" - which isn't a bad one at all. Canada is too geographically isolated for any country but the US to attack in any serious way (and I doubt the US would go to war over this issue).

    3. Re:Canada by WatertonMan · · Score: 2
      Unfortunately past precedence on this issue isn't good. Canada has done relatively little or nothing to other nations violating their waters. They allowed other nations to help overfish the grand banks. They basically did nothing until the stocks were already depleted and that one ship (Spanish?) was after the last remaining school. (Sorry I forget the details as I now live in Utah, not Nova Scotia)

      Further saying that no one could use the northwest passage simply isn't going to happen. It is too valuable. So unless Canada does something about their pitiful machinery for the coast guard, the waters will de-facto end up controlled by the United States. I mean right now they have those helicopters for search and rescue that barely fly.

      Further if some ship tried to sail the northwest passage and Canada confronted them, do you REALLY think that the Canadian navy would attack? Do you think they would be willing to sink some ship? I don't. I think that by and large the Canadian government lacks balls. What is worse is that it is completely unwilling to allocate the funds to even be able to project power over its own waters.

    4. Re:Canada by lommer · · Score: 5, Informative

      "To counter the moves of other countries and to assert its sovereignty, Canada has taken a number of steps. First, it has invested large amounts of money in the people of the area. The Inuit people of the region are provided with full health insurance and welfare (as are all Canadians), and recently efforts have been made to maintain as much of the traditional culture and economy as possible. Recently, the Inuit were even granted their own territory, Nunavut, where they comprise the majority of the population and Inuktitut (the tongue of the Inuit) is an official language. Recently, youth unemployment and lack of housing (because of the high birth rate and rapidly rising population) have both become a cause for concern."

      Puhleez! As the damn article said itself, us canucks provide free health care to everyone in our country, so that point is completely moot. And our recent efforts to "maintain as much of the traditional culture and economy as possible" are what we do everywhere in Canada. Our government invests huge amounts of money in protecting the traditions and heritages of our native peoples, not to mention those of everyone in Canada. And finally, the reason we created Nunavut is because now there is (barely) enough people to justify making a territory there! Granted most of these people are native, so I suppose it could be seen as a victory for first nations, but really it's just common sense.

      Finally, the concerns about youth unemployment and lack of housing that you cite are almost universally applicable in Canada's indian reserves. So really all of these points are some idiot's poor attempt to BS his way into sounding legit. If had left out this paragraph, his article actually would have been decent because he does have a good grasp of the technical aspects. But the above shows an appalling lack of knowledge regarding the situation in Canada's north.

  30. Look on the bright side by release7 · · Score: 5, Funny
    Husband: "Honey, I accidentally ripped a gaping hole in the side of the house and it might threaten the structural integrity of our home. It could collapse!"

    Wife: "Great! Now we finally have that third door we've always hoped for. Now excuse me while I go vote for George Bush. We're going to need a lot more of that Iraqi oil to keep this place warm in the winter!"

    --

    <a href="http://www.joblessjimmy.com">Work is dumb and so is Jobless Jimmy.</a>

  31. Global warming and the environmental issues by Cheese+Cracker · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Who was to blame for the previous global warmings? You know... the car industry wasn't around back then.

    If you're really concerned about the environment, then buy goods that are produced near you instead of goods that needs to be transported halfway across the globe. The transportation industry is a big contributor in polluting our environment. But as long as there's a demand for cheap goods from overseas, the pollution will continue to increase. The opening of the Northwest passage will most likely be better for the environment than shipping the stuff through the Panama or Suez canals.

  32. This of course assumes ... by Greedo · · Score: 2

    ... that we here in Canada will let you all through, eh?

    --
    Tuus crepidae innexilis sunt.
  33. Wait a minute by Raul654 · · Score: 2

    Hey, before you discount the idea of bombing iraq, remember - all that smoke from what is left of their cities will help to block out light from the sun, which will reduce the heat the earth recives, and prevent global warming. I like how you think...

    --


    To make laws that man cannot, and will not obey, serves to bring all law into contempt.
    --E.C. Stanton
    1. Re:Wait a minute by autocracy · · Score: 2

      Actually, the whole global warming thing is based on the inverse - the CO2 would trap heat near the surface rather than blocking it... unless of course we started trying things like nuclear winters where we just covered the entire sky all at once with a lot more crap...

      --
      SIG: HUP
  34. Supertankers + Iceberg = Titanic by truth_revealed · · Score: 2

    This is a fucking ecological disaster waiting to happen. Oil floats and does not degrade as readily in the cold.

  35. Only one more time ... by Charles+Dodgeson · · Score: 2
    Verse 2:
    Four centures, thereafter, I take passage over sea
    In the footsteps of McKenzie, but floating well above the scree
    Watching icebergs melt before, and behind me fade away
    All from the smoggiest Explorers driving in the USA
    (For those who don't know what we're on about, see original lyrics.)
    --
    Prime numbers are exactly what Alan Greenspan says they are -S. Minsky
  36. There's more by roguerez · · Score: 2

    The hole in the ozon layer is finally getting big enough to shoot through a rocket.

    (So we'll finally are able to really get to the moon.)

  37. It's Canadian Territory by youbiquitous · · Score: 5, Informative

    The Northwest Passage is not, as the article says, "above Canada". The "tangle of islands about 500 miles north of the Arctic Circle" - those islands are all Canadian territory. The Northwest Passage passes through Canadian inland waters. Google for Northwest Passage and have a look for yourself. The USA usually respects the sovereign territory of its allies. Think the Canadian government might have something to say about commercial shipping polluting one of the last (semi) pristine environments left on the planet?

    --
    "Clean up the air and treat the animals fair" - Captain Beefheart
  38. We should make energy more expensive by CemeteryWall · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don't want to appear too anti-capitalist but it would be good if we could manage to contol its excesses. One of the uncontrolled excesses is pollution. We are being given the wrong signals by the system - by advertising and by price - so our everydayday actions screw up the world.

    Energy use, in particular, should be very much more expensive in order to cut our consumption. Our energy excesses are damaging the environment of the planet and have set the scene for the dangers current security situation.

    In Europe we don't quite reach US levels of pollution mostly because we are not as wealthy - but we obviously would like to catch you up.

    I believe energy use is our primary ethical issue. We must change the rules of world trade so that the "hidden hand of the market" does not choke us all. A good example would be a global agreement to tax air travel for its pollution.

    BTW. I saw a protest plackard on TV saying Americans are over 100 times more polluting to the world than the inhabitants of Bangladesh. I know Londoners are pretty bad (See CityLimits) but surely you can't be that much ahead of us.

    1. Re:We should make energy more expensive by WhiteKnight07 · · Score: 2

      Or you can simply figure out to produce energy without all that tedious muckinug about with fossil fuels. Fusion power or orbital power recievers come to mind. *holds up a cup of water* Look, ma! Power for eveybody!

      --


      We're going to make information free Mr. Anderson, whether you like it, or not.
    2. Re:We should make energy more expensive by panurge · · Score: 2
      Europeans don't produce as much carbon dioxide as Americans mainly because the climates are less extreme (lower heating and air conditioning bills), transport distances are in general shorter, and higher energy prices have encouraged greater efficiencies. Higher energy costs will not change the climate and geography of the USA.

      However, the ice cap melting may have dramatic effects on part of the Eastern seaboard. Woods Hole have pointed out that the release of cold water into the arctic could result in the stoppage of the thermohaline circulation - removing the flow of warm water up past the New England States and resulting in significantly colder winters. Not as dramatic as flooding Florida (or as much fun for the rest of us) but it could trigger a gradual exodus from the East Coast.

      --
      Panurge has posted for the last time. Thanks for the positive moderations.
    3. Re:We should make energy more expensive by dragons_flight · · Score: 2

      I understand your point, that there is an unaccounted for environmental cost in current energy use, but making it more expensive (say with some kind of tax) is an unlikely fix. Any country or community that imposed such a tax would immediately be putting themselves at an economic disadvantage to their neighbors. Companies that could afford to would likely move where energy was cheap, little would be solved, and the local economy would suffer.

      The only way to make such a plan succeed would be to impose it at the international level, which given the "success" of Kyoto seems an unlikely plan.

      If you want people to truly pursue a solution you need one that corporations will go along with, which means not hurting the economy (or more correctly imposing less damage to the economy than doing nothing about global warming is doing). Alternative energy is a good example, because even the most aggresive polluter will acknowledge that oil supplies won't last forever.

      While we can certainly solve the problems of CO2 emission by strictly limiting CO2, a solution that we can never get passed is no solution. A less tried but more socially acceptable alternative is to pursue technological and scientific solutions to these problems. I have faith that humanity is smart enough to overcome this bump in the road (though probably not before the consequences of global warming become obvious to even the most resolute opponent).

    4. Re:We should make energy more expensive by oliverthered · · Score: 2

      Well shouldn't we just demand a refund on our council tax until they turn off the street lights between midnight and 6am. (or all together).

      Turn down the unatural warmth in closed shopping malls.It's usually 20+deg c, but should be 17-18Deg c to be 'confortable' for most people in the kind of cloths you would wear to the shops.

      --
      thank God the internet isn't a human right.
    5. Re:We should make energy more expensive by mcbevin · · Score: 3, Insightful
      In Europe we don't quite reach US levels of pollution mostly because we are not as wealthy - but we obviously would like to catch you up.


      i think theres a bit more to it than that ....

      for example, the average new car in germany has over double the mileage per gallon than in america.

      why? because the government taxes petrol heavily to encourage this. not only does this help the environment, but it also reduces their dependence on arab oil (i.e. they don't have to start wars to gaurantee an oil supply), and causes them to develop cars a significantly ahead technologically (at least in fuel consumption, but also in safety and a few other areas) than what america produces.

      just one of many reasons ....

      i think the average western european is pretty much as wealthy as the average american ... and of course, being more socialistic, the poor european is a hell of a let better off than the poor american. theres a lot more to it than average per capita income.

      besides, it would be a lot cheaper, for example, for many european countries to use nuclear power than invest heavily in wind turbines etc, so i don't think that the american's wealth can be used as an _excuse_ for their environmental poisoning.

      developing countries may have a reasonable excuse to pollute excessively as they go through the process of industrialisation (and all developed countries have been through that phase so aren't really in a position to criticise), but america's wealth provides no such excuse, rather the opposite.

      just my 2 cents worth.

    6. Re:We should make energy more expensive by ivan256 · · Score: 2

      Personally, I would love to see a USA federal tax on Gas. That would rise by 5 cents /year for the next 5 years and then rise by 10 / year.

      What exactly would that acomplish? Without suitable public transportation, people will be forced to pay the higher prices just to get to work. Salaries will have to increase, and we'll have massive inflation. Oil consumption will not change.

      Solve the problem (poor transportation), not the symptom (high oil consumption).

    7. Re:We should make energy more expensive by TheSync · · Score: 2

      I think that CO2 taxes (and perhaps Methane taxes) of some sort will happen at least in developed countries should pollutant moderated global climate change become fairly evident.

      The question is how much to tax? Tax too much, and you could destroy global economies, and that could be worse than climate change itself.

      Or we could wait until we were close to achieving a non-CO2 producing energy technology (close on a dollar-per-watt basis), and then kick in some minor CO2 taxes to "gently push" the new technology into production.

    8. Re:We should make energy more expensive by goon+america · · Score: 2
      BTW. I saw a protest plackard on TV saying Americans are over 100 times more polluting to the world than the inhabitants of Bangladesh.

      I'd like to see that person with the plackard give up his/her lifestyle for one of a Bangladeshi.

      • Some tips:
      • Look for a job in the red-hot rice-farming sector. If you're lucky you can be one of the 65% of inhabitants that have jobs.
      • There are plenty of ways to stretch your $10/week paycheck. Make your house out of mud, and rebuild it after the flood season every year.
      • Severe overpopulation has its benefits. You will always have plenty of available roommates.
      CIA world factbook
  39. what's missing in the Global Warming argument by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I forecast the weather for a living, and have been doing so for 20 years. I'm not sure about Global Warming and know no one in my field who is. I have been invited to the White House to listen to then Vice President Gore speak masterfully on the subject and read as many learned papers as is possible.

    However, here's what's bugging me. In talking to everyone, including James Hansen (who first popularized the thought), I have never heard anyone say anything positive about Global Warming. Even in a worst case scenario there should be positive aspects. The fact that those are never mentioned makes me worry that this is more a political agenda than scientific certainty.

    New England will need less fuel oil. Crops will grow longer in much of the US Midwest, Central Russia, Canada, etc. Less people will die from cold weather related trauma.

    It would be as if we decided to eliminate the internal combustion engine without looking at the downside of living without cars, trucks and planes... or the air pollution that dried animal poop particles used to bring to our cities.

    The atmosphere is incredibly complex. Processes that work to warm the atmosphere can later turn and cool it. Heat causes more evaporation, causes more clouds, causes more cooling (very simplified).

    I just worry we're not getting the full story. That's all.

    1. Re:what's missing in the Global Warming argument by cp99 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Positive effects are in the various IPCC reports. For example, my home country, New Zealand should improve the supply of power (NZ generates a good proportion of it's electricity from hydropower, increased tempertures should lower the seasonal effects on the power supplies). As another NZ example, the following is suggested: "Grain phenological responses to warming and increased CO2 are mostly positive, making grain filling slightly earlier and decreasing drought risk (Pyke et al., 1998; Jamieson and Munro, 1999). Although grain-filling duration may be decreased by warmer temperatures, earlier flowering may compensate by shifting grain filling into an earlier, cooler period."

      All of this was taken from Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability by the IPCC.

      --
      Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
    2. Re:what's missing in the Global Warming argument by MO! · · Score: 3, Interesting
      There's a story here that reaches the exact opposite conclusion. Basically, cold, salty, dense polar water sinks and flows towards the equator. Warm, less salty, less dense tropical water flows toward the polar region along the surface. With polar waters warming, and melting ice descreasing the salt levels - this round trip process would stop, causing the cold water to remain at the poles and forming a drastic "instant" ice age.


      So, yes, you are missing a large part of the Global Warming argument - the effect on ocean currents, and their impact on the environment.

      --
      I AM, therefore I THINK!
    3. Re:what's missing in the Global Warming argument by Phronesis · · Score: 2
      James Hansen (who first popularized the thought)

      Actually, it was Svante Arrhenius who first proposed global warming and coined the term "greenhouse effect," in 1896 (Arrhenius, S. "The influence of the carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the ground," Philosophical Magazine, Series 5, 41: 237-276 (1896).)

      The idea was picked up again in 1957 by Roger Revelle and Hans Seuss (R. Revelle and H.E. Suess, "Carbon dioxide exchange between Atmosphere and Ocean and the Question of an Increase of Atmospheric CO2 during the Past Decades," Tellus 9, 18-27 (1957).) Also, regarding "I have never heard anyone say anything positive about Global Warming," you should really read the IPCC reports on Climate Impacts and Adaptation. They go into both the positive and negative effects in great depth and discuss them from the perspective of maximizing utility.

    4. Re:what's missing in the Global Warming argument by dhogaza · · Score: 2

      Given the fact that potential positive effects have been thought about and publicized makes me certain you're trolling.

      The big issue is one of uncertainty in terms of changes in local weather patterns. The breadbasket of North America might become the cactus center of the world - or it might not.

      It is the uncertain outcome of the experiment we're running on the planet that leads many to suggest that we proceed as cautiously as possible ... by slowing down the pace as much as is practical.

    5. Re:what's missing in the Global Warming argument by goon+america · · Score: 2
      The atmosphere is incredibly complex.

      Exactly. Even a small change on our part could lead to dramatic, unpredictable results. Whatever the good changes you listed, are not worth the risk of undertaking an unknown, unpredictable and irreversable change to the atmosphere. Most people not living in NORAD don't have an alternative to our atmosphere in case something goes horribly wrong.

    6. Re:what's missing in the Global Warming argument by Nept · · Score: 2

      99% of scientists agree that global warming is happening. read.

      That's a bullshit statistic, now c'mon admit it. What is it...80% of all statistics are made up?

      --
      "Teachers leave us kids alone ..." - Roger Waters, Pink Floyd
  40. other benefits, too by g4dget · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Global warming has lots of other benefits as well:

    • makes Alaska and Minnesota more livable
    • reduces global overpopulation by
      • drowning people in sudden floods
      • spreading disease
      • making the ground water more saline
      • altering precipitation patterns and causing famine
    • create lots of new beachfront property in formerly hot, dry, inland areas
    • create lots of new islands, as coastal mountain ranges get surrounded by water
    • lets you grow Marijuna more quickly in Northern California
    George is probably also not all that unhappy that the more liberal enclaves in the US tend to be coastal and will likely get flooded. But I suspect Texas won't be doing so well either. Sorry about that one, George.

  41. Re:I knew it made sense... by cp99 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Wrong. Volcanic emissions of CO2 are approx. 150 times less CO2 than humans. (Link)

    --
    Warning: Some ideologies on the Net are smaller than they appear.
  42. Wishful thinking by dragons_flight · · Score: 5, Interesting

    When one year is warm the surface of the ocean heats up and expands ever so slightly that you couldn't even notice. If the next year is a bit cooler then it shrinks a little and everything maintains a nice equilibrium. If instead that next year is also warm then the heat diffuses downward and everything expands a little more.

    The oceans are such a large thermal reservoir that the heating of the last half century is only barely perceptible in the expansion of the ocean. The best available evidence is that temperatures globally have been incredibly flat over the last 10000 years (end of the last ice age) up till 1900 or so. The lack of significant long term changes in temperature has kept the ocean volume essentially constant during this time. The problem comes in if global average temperatures have a sustained increase.

    If the temperatures jump even one degree Celsius and STAY that way, then the temperatures will gradually diffuse in the oceans over centuries until they reach a new equilibrium. A millenium from now when the entire ocean has warmed a fraction of a degree, the thermal expansion of the oceans will have raised sea levels 10-20 METERS.

    Of course this assummes that we do nothing about global warming and simply bask in the warmth while the water rises. It starts at the surface, but if you keep things warm that warmth will saturate the ocean, it's just a matter of time.

    1. Re:Wishful thinking by dragons_flight · · Score: 2

      That isn't true. You're forgetting about the mini ice age -- which many believe to be what knocked off the vikings.

      The so called mini ice age which was a very big deal in Europe is believed to have been connected with a local reorganization of the Atlantic currents. There is no local record of this cold period in Asia or most of the Southern Hemisphere. At the global level, this period (1450-1750) represents a drop of less than 0.5 degree C from established averages.

      The quoted value of 10-20 meters come from a colloquia by Prof. Stephen Schneider which I attended a few months ago. A naive calculation of thermal expansion using a coefficient of 2.1e-4 per degree C and an average ocean depth of 3.7 km comes out with an increase of about 1 meter per degree C. But because the coefficient actually depends on both pressure and temperature, the value quoted above (for room temperature and 1 atm) is too low. Not being an expert in this area I'm not sure how to arrive an appropriate coefficient, but I do respect Dr. Schnieder's judgment in that matter.

      Another issue that people neglect to bring up is the enormity of the task of melting the great land-based ice shields. First, the temperature has to be above freezing for the ice to even start to melt, and it has to be well above freezing for the ice to melt fast enough to keep from being replaced by next winter's snow. One hundred years isn't going to do the job.

      Keep in mind that for an ice sheet to maintain a constant size the edges must be melting at exactly the same rate that the pressure of new ice in the center is pushing it out. Hence at the edges the temperatures already get warm enough to melt significant amounts of ice. If the temperatures get warmer the place where equilibrium occurs get pushed inward and ice sheets shrink. Will we melt all of the antartic ice sheet, probably not, but we can easily shrink it a good deal.

  43. The Northwest Passage by Tempelherr · · Score: 5, Informative
    A year or so ago in my European Studies class we had a speaker from the University of Trondheim in Norway, Willy Østreng, who is an expert on the northwest passage and it the various areas associated with it. He also has a book out titled "The National and Societal Challenges of the Northern Sea Route: A Reference Work" Østreng has been trying for years to get various countries to recognize the importance and possibilities of the Arctic passage, both as an economic factor, and the various environmental problems that would be associated with it too, but for many countries this area has only been seen in terms of military importance, especially in the past during the cold war. It looks like some of these countries are starting to pay attention, especially the US.

    I think it is a rather interesting topic myself and one that the various governments with a partial stake in it should be further investigating. The northwest passages provides a very good alternative to the Suez canal, which has been closed twice since WWII, and could possibly get closed again if war were to somehow break out in that area. The northwest passage also eliminates over 3350 miles in the route from Trellheim, Norway to the west coast of Canada, which could improve trade between these areas.

  44. To quote J. Craig Venter... by eco2geek · · Score: 2, Interesting
    ...molecular biologist, in Esquire magazine:

    "Scientifically, it's far, far safer for us to take nuclear waste and bury it deep in some mine shaft somewhere than to continue dumping billions of tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere from burning gasoline and diesel. We're contaminating our entire environment now because people are afraid of nuclear energy."

    (Well, I'm not afraid of nuclear energy, I just know its waste is about the most poisonous stuff there is...but the man's got a point.) Anybody ever think about how much crap we spew into the environment on a yearly basis by using petroleum? Why not? You breathe it.

  45. Good for Canada? Not bloody likely by trotski · · Score: 5, Interesting

    At least it'll be good for Canada's economy :)

    Funny you should say that.

    The United States has claimed several times that it does not fully recognize Canada's sovereignty over the North. The US believes it can (and does) move it's nucular submarines through Canada's north (under the ice of course!) without notifying or asking the Canadian government for permission.

    If Canada trys to charge some sort of shipping tariff, the US is quite likely to ignore such a request. Moreover, it would not be surprising if the US claimed (annexed I guess is the correct term) the entire northwest passage for itself. After all, Canada lacks the capacity to nforce any shipping laws or tariffs (look at our coast guard for christs sake!), it's only logical for the US to step in and take control. So, I wouldn't get too excited about this being good for the economy... most likely this will be a Bad Thing for Canada. Good for you yanks though :).

    --

    "Entropy is the bad-guy, and he is everywhere"
    1. Re:Good for Canada? Not bloody likely by Maniakes · · Score: 2

      How about just blowing those US submarines out of the water?

      Think about what you just said. Eventually, the flaw in that plan will become obvious.

      Hint: Think about what happens with any submarines you don't get. Think about what they carry.

      --
      A legparnasom tele van angolnaval.
  46. Agreed by Myco · · Score: 5, Funny
    I think we can all agree that Florida doesn't count.

    >rimshot<

    1. Re:Agreed by Kaz+Riprock · · Score: 2

      No, Florida can't count. There's a difference.

      --
      Mordor...a magical, mythical land where women are more rare than dragons--but where every man would rather find a dragon
    2. Re:Agreed by Myco · · Score: 2

      Yes. The difference is that it's not funny if you say it your way.

  47. Re:Missing benefits by g4dget · · Score: 2

    Technology won't solve flooding, disease, or famine, ever, because those are not technological problems. If they were, the orders of magnitude increases in productivity and safety we have achieved would keep those things from happening already. Instead, people just push the limits of population and risk to the same level. The only way to change that is to change behavior, not technology.

  48. Wow... by Dark+Lord+Seth · · Score: 2

    Great thinking there. I know, there are lots of other problems that can be solved by being lazy and ignorant! Let's start World War 3! It kills (pun intended) the overpopulation problem as well as this issue with too many nukes left. And it greatly helps in reducing the ground prices in several large cities, it gives the economy a fresh start as well and it's good for the geiger counter/gas mask/nuclear bunker industry!

    I know, why don't we cut down the entire Amazon forest as well? That will create lots of job oppurtunities for lumberjacks! We will satisfy the global economy by seriously reducing the world price for paper and wood while still giving countries like Brazil more areable land to grow crops and build cities upon! It's a win win situation!

    Get a grip people. Global warming needs to be stopped, news like this is not giving people the correct idea. What use would the passage be to sea traffic IF MOST PORTS AROUND THE WORLD HAVE BEEN DESTROYED BY FLOODING AND CLIMATIC SHIFTS?

  49. correct by jopet · · Score: 2, Insightful

    see, it's like your doctor - he cannot predict whether you will drink yourself to death tomorrow, but he can predict that if you drink a lot every day, you will ruin your liver and/or brain eventually.

  50. Post-Deluvian Survival Training by screwballicus · · Score: 2

    Here's a hint, for when the apocalyptic shit hits the fan, and we find out the northern ice isn't in fact a series of islands: check the marks on the little girl's freaking back!

    Mariner : What are the markings on her back?
    Helen: Some say it's the way to dry land.
    Mariner: : Dry land is a myth.
    Helen: No, you said it yourself, that you've seen it.
    Mariner: You're a fool to believe in something you've never seen.
    Helen: But the things on your boat!...
    Mariner: The things on my boat, what!?
    Helen: There are things on your boat that no one has ever seen. These shells, the music box and the reflecting glass. Well, if not from dry land, then where? Where!?
    Mariner: You wanna see dry land. You really wanna see it? I'll take you there.

  51. And now the bad news by Black+Copter+Control · · Score: 5, Informative
    If you followed the talk about how much a melting ice cube raises the water in a glass, consider the other effect of the melting ice.

    What happens when the ice finishes melting?? The water temperature rises.

    Ice acts as a thermal buffer. It keeps the water temperature near freezing... When it gets too cold, freezing ice releases heat as it freezes. When it gets too warm, melting ice eats a lot of thermal energy.

    As the size of the ice drops, it's ability to regulate the temperature lessens. Temperature swings in the northern hemisphere are going to get larger and generally go towards the warmer. (I'm guessing that this has something to do with the already noted amplification of global warming in the far north).

    Of course, Europe could be the ones that get royally worked over in the long run.... if the predictions mentioned on slashdot some time ago come true about the shrinking icecap messing up the ocean currents that keep europe unusually warm for their latitude.....

    Great: You can get from Japan to Europe far faster, but most of the farms in Europe are now frozen over for most of the year. (kinda like the George Karlin skit: "The good news is that you'll live to a ripe old age, but you'll be bleeding from both eyes for the whole time")

    --
    OS Software is like love: The best way to make it grow is to give it away.
  52. Re:warming = billions dead=less overpopulation too by i+chose+quality · · Score: 2, Informative
    With the earth at 6 billion + population and people genetically programmed to breed like rabbits, what nature will probablly do (to stabillize the population at more controlled levels) is global warming, this will reduce the excess population thru enviromental collaps.
    *gasp* why do you expect "nature" to "do" something against "excess population"(*shudder*)? do you know so much more than us about the earth's ecosystem and its regulation mechanisms? if that is the case, please enlighten us! till then i'll stay with my view of the earth as a chaotic system. maybe a planetism, but that's all. ;)
    Of course, we could develop nanotech real fast and try to stop this from happening, but we will probablly have to get used to living in what ammounts to a giant computer controlled greenhouse coverd planet..
    now you are talking science fiction here. we (mankind) are in no way capable of developing a system to control climatic conditions on earth based on nano-sized robots real fast. sorry. :)
    of course, you could use nanotech to go to the moon or mars, or the asteroid belt cheaplly to get away from the maddening crowds...
    ok, i have to admit, that we can develop a nanotech-based weather-changing system real fast. faster, at least, than nanotech terraforming other planets... oh: and cheaply! ;) sorry, dude, you are way off...

    --
    "gallia est divisae in partes tres, quarum unam incolunt belgae, aliam aquitani, tertiam, quo ipsorum lingua celtae, nostra galli appellantur."
    de bello gallico
    --
    the computer is online
    i am not at it
    what a waste of ressources
  53. Antarctic going by SgtChaireBourne · · Score: 2
    I think that should have been the "north polar ice cap". We'd be in serious trouble if the southern ice cap were in danger of melting away.
    The ice in the south pole is going, too. In 1987 and 2000, some massive ice bergs the size of some of the smaller U.S. states or European countries broke loose. One is about 23 km x 300 km. Ice bergs A-17 and B-22 both broke from the Ross ice shelf.
    --
    Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
  54. Actually, it will have to be called... by rcs1000 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The South-West passage. Just 'cause the poles have been flipped, doesn't mean East becomes West.

    --
    --- My dad's political betting
  55. For crying out loud. by boogy+nightmare · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So after years of american scientists pretending that global warming does not exist now they have finally admitted it does they are now saying that it is a good thing cos now we can pollute even more water with both sound and chemicals from frieghter shipping.

    not groovy

    A

    --
    Kingdom of Loathing (www.kingdomofloathing.com) Addicted is me
  56. Global warming solution by commodoresloat · · Score: 4, Funny

    Come on, global warming is no problem. We'll just drop a giant ice cube in the ocean every year to cool the planet down. Then if we run out of ice, we'll send all the robots to the Galapagos Islands to fart......

    ummmm, nevermind.

    1. Re:Global warming solution by echucker · · Score: 2

      The only excuse for not +1 Funny modding the parent is a lack of moderator points.

    2. Re:Global warming solution by Hard_Code · · Score: 2

      WINDMILLS DO NOT WORK THAT WAY!!

      GOOD NIGHT!

      - MORBO

      (and now some random text to escape the slashdot lameness filter)

      --

      It's 10 PM. Do you know if you're un-American?
  57. Quick Freeze, actually. . . The Mammoths say so. by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Here's a neat quote. See my notes at the bottom. . .


    "Back in the 1940s Dr. Frank C. Hibben, Prof. of Archeology at the University of New Mexico led an expedition to Alaska to look for human remains. He didn't find human remains; he found miles and miles of icy muck just packed with mammoths, mastodons, several kinds of bison, horses, wolves, bears and lions. Just north of Fairbanks, Alaska, the members of the expedition watched in horror as bulldozers pushed the half-melted muck into sluice boxes for the extraction of gold. Animal tusks and bones rolled up in front of the blades "like shavings before a giant plane". The carcasses were found in all attitudes of death, most of them "pulled apart by some unexplainable prehistoric catastrophic disturbance"

    The evident violence of the deaths of these masses of animals, combined with the stench of rotting flesh was almost unendurable both in seeing it, and in considering what might have caused it. The killing fields stretched for literally hundreds of miles in every direction. There were trees and animals, layers of peat and moss, twisted and tangled and mangled together as though some Cosmic mixmaster sucked them all in 12000 years ago, and then froze them instantly into a solid mass.

    Just north of Siberia entire islands are formed of the bones of Pleistocene animals swept northward from the continent into the freezing Arctic Ocean. One estimate suggests that some ten million animals may be buried along the rivers of northern Siberia. Thousands upon thousands of tusks created a massive ivory trade for the master carvers of China; all from the frozen mammoths and mastodons of Siberia. The famous Beresovka mammoth first drew attention to the preserving properties of being quick-frozen when buttercups were found in its mouth.

    What kind of terrible event overtook these millions of creatures in a single day?

    Well, the evidence suggests an enormous tsunami raging across the land, tumbling animals and vegetation together, to be finally quick-frozen for the next 12000 years. But the extinction was not limited to the Arctic, even if the freezing preserved the evidence of Nature's rage. Paleontologist George G. Simpson considers the extinction of the Pleistocene horse in north America to be one of the most mysterious episodes in zoological history, confessing that "no one knows the answer." He is also honest enough to admit that there is the larger problem of the extinction of many other species in America at the same time: The horse, giant tortoises living in the Caribbean, the giant sloth, the sabre-toothed tiger, the glyptodont and toxodon. These were all tropical animals. These creatures didn't die because of the "gradual onset" of an ice age, "unless one is willing to postulate freezing temperatures across the equator, such an explanation clearly begs the question."

    Massive piles of mastodon and sabre-toothed tiger bones were discovered in Florida. Mastodons, toxodons, giant sloths and other animals were found in Venezuela quick-frozen in mountain glaciers. Woolly rhinoceros, giant armadillos, giant beavers, giant jaguars, ground sloths, antelopes and scores of other entire species were all totally wiped out at the same time, at the end of the Pleistocene, approximately 12000 years ago.

    This event was global.

    The mammoths of Siberia became extinct at the same time as the giant rhinoceros of Europe; the mastodons of Alaska, the bison of Siberia, the Asian elephants and the American camels. It is obvious that the cause of these extinctions must be common to both hemispheres, and that it was not gradual. A "uniformitarian glaciation" would not have cause extinctions, because the various animals would have simply migrated to better pasture. What is seen is a surprising event of uncontrolled violence. In other words, 12000 years ago, a time we have stumbled across again and again, something terrible happened - so terrible that life on earth was nearly wiped out in a single day.

    Harold P. Lippman admits that the magnitude of fossils and tusks encased in the Siberian permafrost present an "insuperable difficulty" to the theory of uniformitarianism, since no gradual process can result in the preservation of tens of thousands of tusks and whole individuals, "even if they died in winter." Especially when many of these individuals have undigested grasses and leaves in their belly. Pleistocene geologist William R. Farrand of the Lamont-Doherty Geological Observatory, who is opposed to catastrophism in any form, states: "Sudden death is indicated by the robust condition of the animals and their full stomachs ... the animals were robust and healthy when they died." Unfortunately, in spite of this admission, this poor guy seems to have been incapable of facing the reality of worldwide catastrophe represented by the millions of bones deposited all over this planet right at the end of the Pleistocene. Hibben sums up the situation in a single statement: "The Pleistocene period ended in death. This was no ordinary extinction of a vague geological period which fizzled to an uncertain end. This death was catastrophic and all inclusive"

    The conclusion is, again, that the end of the Ice Age, the Pleistocene extinction, the end of the Upper Paleolithic, Magdalenian, Perigordian, and so on, and the end of the "reign of the gods," all came to a global, catastrophic conclusion about 12000 years ago. And, as it happens, even before this evidence was brought to light, this is the same approximate date that Plato gave for the sinking of Atlantis."


    --This is pretty intense stuff, (which, naturally, nobody likes to look at), so I went to check out the sources. Both Dr. Frank C. Hibben and William R. Farrand are real guys, and their observations were are indeed accurately presented here. Go check for yourself.


    -Fantastic Lad

  58. Re:Missing benefits by g4dget · · Score: 2
    Flooding -- Dams.

    Dams are actually the major cause of flooding; many countries are ripping them out again. Harmful flooding is most easily avoided by not building in flood plains and by not building dams.

    Disease -- Vaccines.

    Decreases in morbidity and mortality have mostly been due to low-tech improvements in public health, not medicine or vaccines. And the threat from many diseases is simply a consequence of high population densities brought about by technology.

    Famine -- GM Food and technology in agriculture.

    We have more than enough food to feed everybody on earth--producing more isn't going to solve famine. The real problem is distribution, as well as the simple fact that with every improvement in productivity, population size increases and people move into more marginal areas.

    Technology is a good thing.

    Technology is a good thing: it's fun, it's entertaining, it lets us experience more, and it helps us with some important things. I'm not against technology by any means. But almost all of the serious problems our world is facing are not technological problems and they can't be solved with technology. Furthermore, just because we have created the technology to do something and people can be convinced that they want it doesn't mean it's a good idea to do it.

  59. Actually.. by Inoshiro · · Score: 2

    since ice is less dense than water, less ice means lower levels. Put water in a cup. Freeze it. Note the little mountains that form.

    This is also why ice floats, because it is less dense than water. Saturn is also less dense than water, but I doubt you will find a tub of water big enough to float Saturn in.

    --
    --
    Internet Explorer (n): Another bug -- that is, a feature that can't be turned off -- in Windows.
  60. Re:Quick Freeze, actually. . . The Mammoths say so by JPelorat · · Score: 4, Funny

    Unfortunately, the Slashdot readership won't believe any of that - it's impossible for them to blame Americans for it.

    --
    Hokey statistics and ancient misconceptions are no match for a good thought in your head, kid!
  61. Permafrost is (was) a huge carbon sink by geoswan · · Score: 2
    During a slashdot discussion earlier this year we came across an NPR interview with a scientist who was an expert on permafrost. He said that permafrost can be hundreds of metres thick. Permafrost is like a huge, frozen bog. As it melts, and biological activity recommences, it will release huge quantities of methane and CO2.

    I forget exactly how the carbon locked up in permafrost compared with the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. But it was frightening.

  62. Remind me in 5 to 10 summers by ch-chuck · · Score: 2

    to have a hearty laugh at those people. Being 42 I can remember past recessions where all kinds of fantastic disasters were immenent - none of which came about. Earth going to hell must be a natural form of entertainment and/or psychological compensation / revenge for the unemployed. ("If only they'd listened to me, the earth could have been saved! Oh well, burn baby, burn!")

    --
    try { do() || do_not(); } catch (JediException err) { yoda(err); }
  63. Affects winter seal hunting as well by billstewart · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Seals make breathing holes in the ice. Both for the people and the bears, the standard method of hunting seals is to hang out near the breathing holes and grab the seals when they come up for air. As ice melt increases the open water, the seals have much more open space to breathe in, and hunting them becomes impossible. They're a major food source for the bears, and also for any people doing native subsistence hunting. Fishing is more possible if there's open water, but difficult. The people also do some bear hunting for food, and as the number of seals decreases, the people will probably do more bear hunting, greatly increasing pressure on the bears.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  64. Voyage of the St Roch by geoswan · · Score: 2
    The St Roch was the second vessel to traverse the Northwest passage. She did it first West to East, and then from East to West. She was also the first vessel to circumnavigate North America.

    The St Roch's first voyage, in 1942, was extremely dangerous. It took over two years. She was frozen in the ice over two winters. And she was almost crushed several times, when she entered a clear channel through the ice pack. Combinations of currents, tide and wind would clear a temporary channel. But on several occasions the changing combination of current, tide and wind would close it up after her or around her. These chunks of ice would have been closer to the size of a bus, rather than the size of a mountain or big hill, like an iceberg. But, being caught in a floating pack of them, with waves, would have ground her apart.

    The RCMP recreated the St Roch's traverse, as a millenial celebration. They encountered practically no ice. The RCMP sent a small, modern patrol vessel to do the recreation. And the Canadian Coast Guard sent an ice-breaker as an escort. This time around the ice-breaker was never needed.

    The original St Roch is the core of the Vancouver Maritime Museum. She is a wooden vessel, about 100 tons. Her hull is dish-shaped, and specially reinforced, so that if the water froze around her she would pop out, like a cork, rather than being crushed.

    Okay, that was the clearly on topic part of this comment.

    The Larsen B ice shelf that fragmented down in Antarctica in April is named after Henry Larsen, the St Roch's commander. The St Roch was an RCMP vessel. During the thirties she ferried personnel and supplies to the RCMP's more distant northern stations. In those days a few dozen RCMP officers were just about the only presence of the Canadian government up there.

    The St Roch only had a crew of ten or so. Larsen was only a sergeant. But it was felt necessary to send them on this dangerous and arduous journey, during the war. The Germans did establish weather stations on Northern Islands. This was extremely important in the days before weather satellites. If they had established bases in Greenland, or Canada's Eastern Arctic, a vessel like the St Roch would have been useful to track them down. But many believe the real mission was to protect Canadian soveriegnty over the far north, from the Americans.

    The Americans building the Alaska highway, across BC and the Yukon, were bullying the locals, acting like Canada was an occupied country, and they were the only legitimate authority. In this they were a very bad ally.

  65. This just goes to show you... by killerc · · Score: 2, Funny

    That every cloud of fluorocarbons has a silver lining.

  66. Re:Damages outweight benefits? by jeremyp · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You have no solid data because there is no solid data. Are there more hurricanes than 100 years ago? Well, no not really. Do they cause more damage? Yes, but that's because there are more people living on the edge of Florida.

    There is a huge cost associated with global warming which we really cannot avoid. That is, we can spend loads of money now trying to stop it, but the cost (in dollars and lives) will be higher than if we just let it run its course and mitigate the effects as they occur (e.g. build flood defences to stop land from being inundated). The reason for this is that we cannot just grab the money out of the air, we have to take it away from other needy causes.

    It's important to realise that global warming will probably stop after a while once alternative energy sources such as wind and solar power become cheaper than fossil fuels which will happen some time in the next 100 years. The sooner this happens, the sooner global warming ceases to be a big problem. It follows that cutting carbon emissions is the wrong thing to do. The money spent on this (well some of it) would be better spent on research into alternative energy sources.

    --
    All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
  67. Re:This assumes no mini-ice age? by fizban · · Score: 2

    Or will the nice age be localized to the western-hemishpere?

    Yeah, it's called "Nuclear Winter."

    --

    +1 Insightful, -1 Troll. What can I say, I'm an Insightful Troll.

  68. Doesn't mean you can charge... by Hittite+Creosote · · Score: 2
    Right, and how much do tankers have to pay to go through, for example, the Straits of Malacca? Nothing! - an extract from this source -
    In 1995, there were 2148 tankers which transited the Straits ofMalacca and Singapore. Their breakdown by destination is as follows: 969 for Japan, 341South Korea, 388 Singapore, 124 Taiwan, 4 Hong Kong, 77 Thailand, 26 Indonesia, 37 China,Liberia 8 and 7 Malaysia. Except for Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Japan, the rest has notcontributed a single cent for expenses in the Straits of Malacca and Singapore
  69. In other news.. by Frank+of+Earth · · Score: 2

    This would effectively reduce the shipping distance between Europe and Asia by 6800 miles compared to the route using the Panama canal. ...the country of Panama has allocated 3 billion dollars to developing a gigantic freeze ray.

  70. Natural Global Warming by caveat · · Score: 5, Interesting

    before you all start screaming about us mere humans destroying the environment (what a streak of arrogance that is), please to be noting the flipping magentic field article, which points out that the magnetic field has decreased dramatically over the last 200 years, and the multitude of comments that intelligently put the "decreased magentic fields result in severe atmospheric disturbances and climactic changes" remarks in the article together with climactic data from the last 200 years and pointed out that we might not be responsible for global warming after all. of course, then it would have to be renamed the "Southeast Passage"...

    --

    Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored. - Aldous Huxley
  71. Re:Heal thyself by ianscot · · Score: 2
    I'm sorry, you are confident and think you know what you are talking about.

    You, unfortunately, are doing exactly what you accuse the poster of. Our poster is referring, offhandedly, to the extensive posting on the topic of water level changes above -- on the very same Slashdot story. S/he didn't commit to one side in that argument or the other, if you'd kindly read the actual words rather than what you assumed they said. The rest of this post, the guts, is about temperate change, ocean currents, and potential effects on climate in places like Europe... or did you get that far?

    You might want to read the message and respond thoughtfully to it -- rather than choosing to use an aside as a straw man to try to score debate points against. This is a pretty classic Usenet tactic, and all it does is expose your prejudices.

    --
    "Fundamentalism" isn't about divine morality. It's about human authority.
  72. Mother Nature's against the northwest passage by Genady · · Score: 4, Interesting

    http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/news-release/releases/200 1/01-102.htm

    Don't you people remember the hype around all the freshwater released into the north atlantic shutting down the gulf stream and plungeing Europe into a mini-ice age? What good will knocking 6000+ nm off of the europe-far east trade route be when the ships are frozen in European ports?

    --


    What if it is just turtles all the way down?
    1. Re:Mother Nature's against the northwest passage by kesuki · · Score: 2

      excuse me, but I happen to live in north dakota, and I don't see as how even if a melting of the polar caps causes a mini ice age how that would make all of north america and europe uninhabitable...
      didn't the native american's ancestors cross from siberia over to alaska durring the last ice age??? and they didn't even have central heating systems installed from sears... get a clue... just because you think 70 degrees is cold doesn't mean other people are perfectly happy with sub zero temperatures...

  73. Better than Panama? That's nice, but... by ColGraff · · Score: 2

    A lot fewer people use the Panama Canal these days - with ships getting larger and larger, a lot can't fit through the locks, and the fast modern engines reduce the neccessity. And for the military, so far as I know there aren't many warships bigger than a missile sub or destroyer that can use the Panama Canal these days.

    So, regarding the Northwest Passage, I wonder (a) how passable it will be for large ships, and (b) whether the hassle/risk of using the new passage will be worth it for commercial shipping and the military, especially if it's just two months a year.

    Of course, if militaries do start using it, that could have interesting consequences - maybe something like the Straight of Gibralter, a chokepoint that becomes utterly impassable if you can delay your enemy's shipping long enough. Just a thought.

    --
    I'm the stranger...posting to /.
  74. Re:[o/t/] How to hit icebergs right by geoswan · · Score: 3, Informative
    The British had a blue ribbon committee look into the Titanic's design. The Titanic's watertight bulkheads were all transverse, from Port to Starboard. The committee suggested that Titanic would have fared better if she had also had one longitudinal bulkhead.

    Five years later the Lusitania is sunk by a torpedo, with considerable loss of life. The British had a blue ribbon committee look into her design. They suggested that there would have been less loss of life if she had not had a longitudinal watertight bulkhead.

    My recollection is that some of the same people sat on both committees.

    As water filled up some of the compartments on one side, the ship started to list to one side. Once she was listing more than, IIRC, fifteen degrees, then passengers couldn't jump across to the lifeboats on the lower side. And while passengers could enter the life boats on the higher side, lowering them was a problem, because they slid down the side of the ship, and in those days the hull plates were sealed with big rivets. The boat deck was sixty feet from the water. Those rivets tore the lifeboats to peices.

  75. More research! by tomdarch · · Score: 2

    Great! Once the Northwest Passage opens up, we'll be able to do more research to discover wether or not this whole 'global warming' thing is actually happening! You can't be sure, you know. Particularly with the right-wing in control of the US government, perhaps this will shake a little loose change out of their tight pockets for some scientific funding, as long as they know that the results will be inconclusive.

  76. International maritime law by coyote-san · · Score: 4, Informative

    Canada may claim it is territorial waters, but the US has a stronger case in the claim that it's still an international strait and free passage cannot be denied or taxed.

    Ironically, Canada itself contains one of the best precedents of this - the St. Lawrence Seaway is an international strait from the Atlantic Ocean to the Great Lakes, even though substantial stretches of it are Canadian territory on both banks. (Other stretches have Canada on one side, the US on the other.)

    There's also the pesky fact that the Canadian waters do not cover the entire distance - the western terminus will be in either US or Russian waters, and the US could use Canada's own claims to claim all sea ice and surrounding waters to the North Pole itself.

    --
    For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong. -- H L Mencken
  77. Re:Mod parent down, please by trixillion · · Score: 4, Informative

    How can this possibly be (-1) - off topic? The poster is absolutely correct. The Suez Canal was in no way designed for supertankers. The Suez Canal has no locks due to being at see level. However its draft (width) is too narrow to allow passage of supertankers. Currently the Suez is planning to widen the canal to accommodate these vessels but this is not expected to be available until 2010, almost 150 years after originally opening. Clearly the original poster who states, "Actually one of the main uses and design considerations for the Suez was to accommodate supertankers," is the worst kind of ignorant karma whore.

    As a side note, when the Panama Canal opened there were already several ships that were too large to fit in its locks as well. However, the ship designers knew this and had no intention of sending their ships through the Panama locks. The world's largest ships do not use either canal and an open Northwest Passage would shave off considerably more than the 6000 miles listed in the article for these ships.

    David McCullough (the critically acclaimed author of the recent biographies of Truman and John Adams) wrote a fascinating historical account of the building of the Panama Canal in, "Path Between the Seas: the Creation of the Panama Canal, 1870-1914." I would recommend this book to anyone with an interest in the subject.

  78. Maybe but... by Codifex+Maximus · · Score: 2

    >This would effectively reduce the shipping distance
    >between Europe and Asia by 6800 miles compared to
    >the route using the Panama canal."

    It'll prolly flood the ports too. :)

    --
    Codifex Maximus ~ In search of... a shorter sig.
  79. Re:Missing benefits by TheSync · · Score: 2

    Famine and health are directly correlated with governments and economies. Good governments allow free market economies to work.

    Working free market economies are very efficient at delivering what is needed where it is needed through price feedback.

    Moreover, working free market economies grow technology quickly because technology is the only effective way of achieving productivity growth once you get almost everyone working.

    Governments break free markets through two major routes: currency mismanagement (Argentina, for example) and attempts to control industries in ways that break free market price feedback loops (Cuba, North Korea, Zimbawe). These can be done for either corrupt or benign reasons, but the end result is not much different.

    And, oh yeah, if we ended all immigration controls, the world would become $150 trillion richer.

  80. Re:Flooding != Clean by susano_otter · · Score: 2
    Pseudo-anarchists vote Libertarian

    Who do real anarchists vote for?

    --

    Any sufficiently well-organized community is indistinguishable from Government.

  81. And the first shipping company to offer this? by bobdotorg · · Score: 2

    The Shackleton Shipping Lines. Guaranteed deilivery in two years or less.

    --
    __ Someday, but not this morning, I'll finally learn to use the preview button.
  82. Re:Heal thyself by geoswan · · Score: 2
    You, unfortunately, are doing exactly what you accuse the poster of. Our poster is referring, offhandedly, to the extensive posting on the topic of water level changes above -- on the very same Slashdot story. S/he didn't commit to one side in that argument or the other, if you'd kindly read the actual words rather than what you assumed they said. The rest of this post, the guts, is about temperate change, ocean currents, and potential effects on climate in places like Europe... or did you get that far?

    You might want to read the message and respond thoughtfully to it -- rather than choosing to use an aside as a straw man to try to score debate points against. This is a pretty classic Usenet tactic, and all it does is expose your prejudices.

    Mr Scot, I did read Samuel's original post. I read the whole thing. I read it several times. And after reading your comment I went back and re-read it.

    Anyone who just read your comment would think I am a troll who posts flamebait. That bugs me.

    You seem to be scolding me for taking the original comment out of context.

    Well, Samuel's comment starts a new thread. It is not a followup to any previous comment. So far as I am concerned there is no context.

    What prejudices of mine do you think I am exposing, anyhow?

    Are you assuming that since I challenged part of Samuel's post I am challenging the idea Global Warming is a serious problem? You seem to be assuming this is obvious.

    Global warming has come up in several threads this year. And in those discussions I have spent hours researching links to post that demonstrate that it is a terribly serious problem.

    But, I don't think that I do the views I agree with a favour by refraining to challenge something that is clearly wrong merely because another part of that comment may agree with my views.

  83. Re:Heal thyself by Black+Copter+Control · · Score: 2
    I guess that i should have said "whether a melting ice cube raises the water" rather than how much.

    Actually, my guess is that, while an ice cube in fresh water won't raise the level as it melts, an ice cube in sea water probably would (but a good bit less), since fresh water is less dense than sea water -- but it would be far less than the 10% expansion of ice when it freezes -- but I'd have to test that guess to be sure.. That and thermal expansion of water as it warms can have an effect on sea levels.
    Remember that the ocean is hundreds (and thousands) of feet deep, so a 0.1% overall thermal expansion would have a pretty noticable effect on sea levels.

    The real threat to sea levels, however, comes from the antarctic ice cap which is not floating. When that sucker melts, we'll be in deep trouble (if you'll excuse the pun).

    --
    OS Software is like love: The best way to make it grow is to give it away.
  84. What the hell is wrong with some of you Americans? by ShieldWolf · · Score: 4, Insightful

    An article is written that the Northwest Passage *MAY* open in the future, and already many of you are saying screw 'Canada we are going to use it without your permission because you don't have an adequate navy to enforce your rights there'. Some of you have even hinted at NUCLEAR retaliation if we do try to enforce our rights.

    WTF is wrong with you people?

    Why must Americans stick their finger in everyone's eyes? Is this honestly how your country feels about us and other countries' rights? Your arrogance astounds me.

    --
    just = (My)Opinion.toCents();
  85. What about pictures by N8F8 · · Score: 2

    I usually bakl at any kind of talk like this unless I see pictures.

    --
    "God fights on the side with the best artillery." - Napoleon, Marshal of France - speaking truth to power
  86. The NorthEast passage by geoswan · · Score: 3, Interesting
    The article also speaks about the North-East passage, the passage across Northern Siberia. This passage has been used in the past.

    I read a book on German armed merchant cruisers during World War 2. The German merchant fleet was confined to harbour during World War 2. About two dozen of their fastest merchant ships were refitted with cannons, mines, and mine-laying rails, and sent out to raid allied shipping.

    Large naval crews sailed aboard them. And they became really skilled at altering the ships appearance to resemble other, real, allied or neutral vessels. Some of these raiders were very successful.

    Anyhow, prior to Germany attacking the Soviet Union, the Germans chartered a Soviet ice-breaker to escort one of these commerce raiders across this Northeast passage, so it could attack allied shipping in the Pacific.

  87. Re:Missing benefits by g4dget · · Score: 2
    Famine and health are directly correlated with governments and economies.

    You are making the same point I'm making: famine in today's world is not a technological problem, it's a social problem.

  88. Re:Missing benefits by g4dget · · Score: 2
    The other correlation that is clear is that disease and famine go away as technology increases. [...] One only has to correlate the statistics and one can see that countries with the most technology do the best overall.

    You are confusing "technology" and "technological development". You are saying that there is a correlation between a country's technological development and their wealth. That's undoubtedly true, but it has nothing to do with whether the development of new technologies solves the problems that underdeveloped countries have today. What we are discussing here is whether the development of new technologies will help underdeveloped nations. Underdevelopment is not a problem of any lack of new technologies, it's a social problem of the lack of deployment of existing technologies.

    With every technological improvement population size decreases.

    Take a look here. Technological improvements bring about massive population growth. It is only that when individual countries become enormously wealthy that their population growth slows. It is wealth, not technology, that causes population growth rates to decline.

    And even in most of the wealthiest and technologically most developed countries, populations are still growing today. There are very few countries in the world where population sizes actually are decreasing.

  89. Re:Missing benefits by g4dget · · Score: 2
    FYI, you can find a world population growth rate map by country here.

    As you can see, the only countries that have negative growth rates (a decrease in population) are some of the former Eastern Block countries--because their infrastructure and economy are crumbling.

  90. Indians! by Pseudonymus+Bosch · · Score: 2

    As far as I know, 10.000 BC is one of the dates estimated for the arrival of Homo sapiens to America.

    The ancestors of American Indians and their weapons could have gone in a killing spree from Alaska to Tierra del Fuego in just some centuries, preying unto animals that didn't fear men. They would have either killed for food or broken the species balance. That could do the sudden mass extinction of big animals in America. This is the first tiem I see it claimed that it happened in days instead of centuries.

    By the way, why did humans survive according to your hypothesis?

    --
    __
    Men with no respect for life must never be allowed to control the ultimate instruments of death.
    GW Bu
  91. What for? by Pseudonymus+Bosch · · Score: 2
    So if Canada spends a lot of money in the area and receives very little, why is it claiming the area? Do they love so much the Eskimos (that have been living in the area for centuries)? Do they love so much the wildlife?
    1. Claim a vast extension of frozen wasteland.
    2. Spend money to keep your flag there.
    3. ??
    4. Profit!
    --
    __
    Men with no respect for life must never be allowed to control the ultimate instruments of death.
    GW Bu
  92. easy tiger by Nept · · Score: 2

    I'm sure the thoughts of the average /.'er aren't considered when politicians debate government policy.

    --
    "Teachers leave us kids alone ..." - Roger Waters, Pink Floyd
  93. Great! by orthogonal · · Score: 2

    So now you can quickly ship a rubber dinghy to me at my house on the Outer Banks/sea shore/bay?

  94. Precious bodily fluids! by c.emmertfoster · · Score: 2

    I can no longer sit back and allow Communist infiltration, Communist indoctrination, Communist subversion and the international Communist conspiracy to sap and impurify all of our precious bodily fluids!

    I sure as hell don't read Slashdot for the floating-ice-cube arguments.

    --
    We can neither love nor pity nor forgive. If you make a slip in handling us you die!
  95. Not my hypothesis. . . by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 2
    As far as I know, 10.000 BC is one of the dates estimated for the arrival of Homo sapiens to America.

    As far as you know, hm? Now think: The same people who determined the public school curriculum and who paid for all of the text books we all read, have also most recently dismantled the American democratic system, (if there ever was one), and are sending the U.S. people into an illegal and greed motivated war. But sure. Let those guys determine what you think you know.

    By the way, why did humans survive according to your hypothesis?

    I'm just the messenger on this one. It's hard to cover up hundreds of miles of dead mammoths. Look it up, for goodness sake. It's easy.

    Just because it causes uncomfortable, "doesn't fit in with what the Learning Channel told me to believe," feelings, doesn't mean that it should be pushed away. Perhaps one ought to question the party line. I would think, anyway.


    -Fantastic Lad

  96. peer reviewed scientists rule the world? by geekotourist · · Score: 2
    I'd have figured that the average person currently planning on sending the US into war also believes the first humans came to the Americas no more than 7,000 years ago, soon after the garden of eden (and then again after that first set was wiped out by a global flood). I doubt they spent too much time reading the peer-reviewed archeology / paleontology articles which explore issues of when humans came to the Americas.

    The writer of your quoted materials isn't a standard flood geologist / creationist. However, the claims made are similar enough (6k or 12k years ago, giant quantities of salt water temporarily covered vast quantities of land), that evidence against a global flood also applies to his case. Evidence from the talk.origins flood faqs that doesn't support recent floods includes ice core, tree ring, lake bed sedimentation and desert pack rat nest samples. They don't show a layer of salt water 12,000 or any recent thousands of years ago.

    But as I browse talk.origins, I see they specifically address your writer. Quoting from this article: "...their claim that hundreds of thousands of frozen carcasses have been found is simply incorrect. At most, only a few tens of frozen carcasses have been documented in all of Siberia and Alaska. In Canada, the frozen mammal material found consists of scraps of hide and muscle found attached to bones. All of these "frozen carcasses" that have been carefully examined show evidence of decomposition, scavenging, or both prior to be buried, e.g. Gutherie (1990). Also, the sediments in which these carcasses occur are clearly of noncatastrophic origin (Gutherie 1990, Lister and Bahn 1994, Pewe 1975, Uraintseva 1993)..." [bold added] Please note that the references are all articles you can find and read. And browsing talk.origins will find more links to mammoth articles...

  97. Heh. Indeed. . ! by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I'd have figured that the average person currently planning on sending the US into war also believes the first humans came to the Americas no more than 7,000 years ago, soon after the garden of eden (and then again after that first set was wiped out by a global flood). I doubt they spent too much time reading the peer-reviewed archeology / paleontology articles which explore issues of when humans came to the Americas.

    Heh, yeah. I always hate to consider it, but you'd probably be right about that. I wonder exactly how many hard-core creationists there are in the U.S. . . .

    Still, peer-reviewed science, while it no doubt is an attempt at the best foot forward, doesn't impress me very much these days. I have seen and read too much, -and spoken to enough members of the scientific community complaining about stupidity and corruption to be much more than highly cynical of anything supported by the party line.

    The writer of your quoted materials isn't a standard flood geologist / creationist. However, the claims made are similar enough (6k or 12k years ago, giant quantities of salt water temporarily covered vast quantities of land), that evidence against a global flood also applies to his case. Evidence from the talk.origins flood faqs [talkorigins.org] that doesn't support recent floods includes ice core, tree ring, lake bed sedimentation and desert pack rat nest samples. They don't show a layer of salt water 12,000 or any recent thousands of years ago.

    Well, sure. I'd buy all of that. But the writer of the article I cut & pasted didn't make a single claim about flood waters of any kind, so the point, while well taken, is moot.

    But as I browse talk.origins, I see they specifically address your writer. Quoting from this article [talkorigins.org]: "...their claim that hundreds of thousands of frozen carcasses have been found is simply incorrect. At most, only a few tens of frozen carcasses have been documented in all of Siberia and Alaska. In Canada, the frozen mammal material found consists of scraps of hide and muscle found attached to bones. All of these "frozen carcasses" that have been carefully examined show evidence of decomposition, scavenging, or both prior to be buried, e.g. Gutherie (1990). Also, the sediments in which these carcasses occur are clearly of noncatastrophic origin (Gutherie 1990, Lister and Bahn 1994, Pewe 1975, Uraintseva 1993)..." [bold added] Please note that the references are all articles you can find and read. And browsing talk.origins will find more links to mammoth articles...

    Ah! Now here's where it gets interesting!

    I've been able to find lucid arguments on both sides of the flash-freeze fence. --There is the general theory which attempts to explain the un-gnawed upon carcases. --That the dead mammoths which were discovered had fallen into crevices where predators could not get at them, and that snow and freezing mudslide covered them up so that they were preserved. --Though the scientists who promote this argument also describe how much of the tissues were in fact extremely rotted upon inspection 12,000 years (or so), later. They use this to discredit the idea of any flash-freezing taking place.

    This makes me wonder, because the problem with that idea would seem to be two-fold:

    For one, it would suggest that the method they indicate for the preservation of the carcas didn't work. (You can't freeze a subject for 12,000 years and still have have extensive rotting. At least not the way my freezer works.) --Indeed, when I did some further looking, it appears that a regular guy found one of the now famous mammoth carcases extruding from a melting ice flow on a melt river. He didn't report it for a whole year, (because he wasn't sure what it was at first; it took time for the ice to melt back enough to reveal the beast). When he finally did report it, the mammoth had been exposed to the elements and bacteria of the 1800's, which, I would think, should have offered enough time for the pre-historic meat to get a head start on rotting.

    My point here is that the scientists who oppose a catastrophic world view jumped quickly and somewhat recklessly upon the whole rotting idea in order to discredit ideas which didn't fit with theirs, despite the fact that it didn't actually help their theories. This is exactly the kind of behavior which makes me hesitate before embracing main-stream science.

    Anyway, I am now thoroughly intrigued. I'm going to be hunting down one of the quoted books, (by Frank C. Hibben, who by all accounts, appears to be a very reputable and respected scientist), in order to get from the horse's mouth exactly what he saw and did when visiting Alaska. Every other endeavor he was involved with during his long life, (which ended just earlier this year), leads me to think that he was a card-carrying member of the main stream scientific community. So if he really does write that he saw what he is quoted as having seen in the frozen north, then I will be willing to keep the book open on this and do some further research.

    The main problem with catastrophism is that it's too much fun; far too many of the people who write about it seem to be inclined to exaggeration and hearsay, which does nothing but erode any credibility they might have.

    And hopefully I'll also be able to validate another intriguing claim I ran across; supposedly among certain areas of the bone and tusk fields, were significant quantities of volcanic ash.

    Okay. Enough for now. --Thanks for engaging me in this cool conversation! I don't often find such willing people on Slashdot!


    -Fantastic Lad

  98. This party line that you write about... by geekotourist · · Score: 2
    I don't think its as powerful as you make it out to be. Most paleo researchers I know would love to discover evidence of major catastrophes-- another asteroid extinction event for example. Standard big claims require big evidence cliche- it took a while, but the asteroid theory took hold as evidence came in.

    About those mammoths- go back to the original articles and books, like you're planning with that one. I've seen too many theories put forth on the web where quotes out of context seem to support what they actually don't.

    Anecdotally: my great-grandfather, a paleontologist, was one of the first Europeans to eat frozen mammoth (well, first for 7,000 years or whenever mammoths went extinct). Badly freezer burned, but not inedible.

    1. Re:This party line that you write about... by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 2
      About those mammoths- go back to the original articles and books, like you're planning with that one. I've seen too many theories put forth on the web where quotes out of context seem to support what they actually don't.

      Indeed. The problem is that while there has certainly been a lot of inflated nonsense, (Planet X, Hollow Earth, Faked Moon Landing, 1000's of U.S. boxcars fitted with shackles, etc.), I've time and again run across the, 'Grain of Truth' phenomenon. (Dark star theory, Underground military bases, Preparedness for a Faked Moon Landing just in case the 10 years of massive competition with the Soviets didn't go quite as planned, and FEMA's maintaining of unused emergency detention and/or refugee camps in the U.S.)

      As always, dissemination of over-exaggerated information is very effective at destroying credibility.

      And then there's the stuff which actually turns out to be more significant than originally thought, but which the public still struggles to not think about too much; (Egyptologists willfully ignoring the data presented by geology & astronomy, The effects of the electromagnetic spectrum on the human body/nervous system, the problem of sociopaths holding high positions in corporate & political America, Israel becoming that which it most despises, to name a few items).

      There are a vast number of extremely odd things out there in the wide, wide world. I think it's foolish to close oneself off to new thinking in any way; so long as you don't mind the three steps forward, two steps back approach, you are guaranteed to come out the other end knowing a great deal more than those who refuse to examine anything out of favor with the main stream. As such, I keep putting forth items like this one in the conventional forums like Slashdot. --I really don't mind knee-jerk ridicule from the Muggles, ("So, has God been speaking to you, or is that just the crack talking?!"), because every now and then I run into a guy like you who knows how to challenge an argument properly. Hence, the crucible of truth. It's proven in the past to be an excellent aide in trying to work out what is real and what is not. The only real crime, I think, is in being too intimidated to think outside the peer-pressure enforced parameters. Small minds are doomed to think only small thoughts.

      Quoting from your quoted..."the evidence suggests an enormous tsunami raging across the land...".

      Ahh, I see where you came from. --I tend to categorize tsunami among flash in the pan events like hurricanes and earthquakes as opposed to '40 days and 40 nights with no land in sight' stuff, so I just assumed it was a case of idle wording on the author's part rather than Biblical posturing about submerged land masses. Japan experiences its share of tsunami and much of the argument you put forth against biblical flooding would, I suspect, would still hold true in Tokyo. --Though, I'll grant you the author did make it sound bigger than the average 15 meter harbor wave!

      Anecdotally: my great-grandfather, a paleontologist, was one of the first Europeans to eat frozen mammoth (well, first for 7,000 years or whenever mammoths went extinct). Badly freezer burned, but not inedible.

      I just read that one fellow made an, "heroic attempt to eat a bite of of the mammoth meat, but despite cooking and lots of spicing, was just unable to keep it down." --I'd be willing to bet that this is a popular game among researchers! To be one of the few people on the planet to eat mammoth meat would be a total gas. (Probably in more ways than one!)

      Take care!


      -Fantastic Lad

  99. Also, it does mention what I assume is salt water. by geekotourist · · Score: 2

    Quoting from your quoted..."the evidence suggests an enormous tsunami raging across the land...".

  100. Re:What the hell is wrong with some of you America by srvivn21 · · Score: 2

    I'm late to the party, but I think this gives me some decent insight to the situation that you are describing. I'm surfing this article with a threshold of 3, and I don't see a single comment (not one) saying anything like "sucks to be you". One comment does state that Canada doesn't currently have enough clout to enforce taxation of the route, but it's stated in a logical (not inflamitory) manner.

    There are certainly a lot of odd-balls that claim U.S. citizenship, and sadly the ones that scream the loudest and are the most often heard are those that are most passionate about their position. Thankfully, slashdot moderation allows those extremists to be filtered out. The majority of Americans who are rude are not rude out of malice, but out of ignorance.

    Just like Slashdot, the U.S. does not have a single unified opinion or voice.

    The good news is, those people who are threatening nuclear retaliation are very likely unable to back up thier claims.

    All IMHO, of course.