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Benford on Space Exploration

gid-goo writes "Gregory Benford looks at what we should do in the aftermath of the Columbia accident. Is the shuttle, or the International Space Station for that matter, useful? Or just payola to aerospace interests and a means for keeping Russian rocket scientists employed?" Benford's comments about the necessity of a closed biosphere and of some way for astronauts to stop muscle and bone loss are far more insightful than the usual discussions about where our space exploration priorities should lie.

383 comments

  1. Ensure.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That the failures are not repeated. I am from India and the first 4-5 attempts by my country to put a so-called 'whistler rocket' failed. But ISRO learnt from the mistakes and successfully launched multiple rockets and are now into commercial launch of satellites. The moral? Never give up, and if you commit mistkaes, find the reasons and learn from them.

    1. Re:Ensure.. by TheJesusCandle · · Score: 1

      Disclaimer: I haven't read the article. This is about a newspaper article I read yesterday, that I think fits in this discussion.

      In the Dutch paper "Volkskrant", there was an opinion piece by a biologist yesterday. He explained that currently, the experiments done in the Shuttle are nowhere near worth their money. The experiments done (like what's the effect of zero-gravity on species x) test no important hypotheses and the outcome is usually not published in high profile magazines.

      Once in a while, every scientist working in a field that could possibly have something to do with zero gravity research gets a request for ideas for experiments. They're basically begging for things to add to shuttle science missions. He doesn't really take these things seriously, since these experiments never test anything important. The important stuff (what's the effect of long term zero grav on humans) has been pretty much covered by now.

      Also, a Shuttle flight costs $500 million. You can run his institute on that for a hundred years.

      So his proposal is to give the $500M to the scientific community instead, to be used for pure science, and see if the scientists themselves spend it on experiments in Shuttles. "Of course they wouldn't".

  2. Americans can do whatever they want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But if they sit on their steak I'm going to follow the Indian and Chinese space programs instead and cheer with them when they launch something.

    1. Re:Americans can do whatever they want by calyxa · · Score: 5, Insightful

      regardless of what the Americans do or don't do in space, I'll be cheering _anyone_ who launches humans and / or robots into space for the purposes of exploration.

      -calyxa

      --
      Decay! Decay! Decay! -Helium
    2. Re:Americans can do whatever they want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      I'll be cheering anyone on who launches humans and / or robots into space for the purposes of exploring the more efficient recycling of urine.

    3. Re:Americans can do whatever they want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      bah! you're supposed to drink it!

    4. Re:Americans can do whatever they want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If NASA came to my house, and said, "dude, we need YOU to go to the ISS to replenish their store of toilet paper."

      Without any hesitation, I would agree. Without ANY hesitation.

    5. Re:Americans can do whatever they want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like that's even a difficult decision. Make it meaningful.

      For instance, what if they came to your door and made this modest proposal: "We'd like you to travel to the ISS and participate in our human flesh-recycling program, where astronaut mass is reused and distribute among your peers!"?

      Hesitating yet, my long-pig friend?

    6. Re:Americans can do whatever they want by buswolley · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Honorable Representative,
      The good men and women of the lost shuttle Columbia must be honored. There can be no better way to honor these heroes than by honoring the dreams that led them through the many trials of becoming astronauts. These accomplished men and women dreamed of space exploration with the truest American pioneering spirit. This dream must be honored. The dream must be enacted into reality. It is a most American dream.
      We honor the dreams of the astronauts of the Columbia by supporting an aggressive and visionary policy of manned space exploration beyond earth's orbit. No statue or monument can do better justice to our fallen heroes, for a statue or plaque would represent little other than the failure of our American dream; and would commemorate merely the mediocrity of the American spirit. Dream big. No excuses. We must go to Mars.
      We must go to Mars. Not for profit, though profit will come by it in the end. We must explore Mars. Not for the glory of America, though glory will come of it. We must embrace Mars as the first step in the destiny of Mankind. That is, outward.
      America. She is not Great by Her name alone, but by mighty deeds and kindest embraces we may show the Sadaam's of the world that their cruel hands lead not to greatness, just to mediocrity of human potential. We may make them fearful of our weapons, but weapons will not inspire their dreams of what can be.
      Come let us pay tribute to the crew of the Columbia

      --

      A Good Troll is better than a Bad Human.

    7. Re:Americans can do whatever they want by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exploration is much more than sticking a flag in the moon soil and posing for pictures. Nobody says that we should not go into space. The question is how efficiently our money are being spent.

      NASA funding exceedes all other investments in science many times and produces little results. In fact NASA kills our scientific progress by draining money from all other research projects. If the same money were spent on electric cars and solar energy we all would be flying to work by now.

  3. Last time I checked. by Chris_Stankowitz · · Score: 4, Funny

    From the article:

    "the [current space] station recycles only urine... it is camping in space, not truly living there".

    Last time I checked, my crap got recycled in the great outdoors.

    1. Re:Last time I checked. by Lshmael · · Score: 1

      Yes, but how long does that take? And if you live in an semi-urban/surburban area, how much processing does it go through? I think you are missing the point - the space station cannot recycle more of its waste, including the (astro/cosmo)nauts' crap.

    2. Re:Last time I checked. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think it was a Joke, DUH!

    3. Re:Last time I checked. by dbrutus · · Score: 5, Funny

      Where does the crap go? Why don't they just put it in a big crap sack and offer it as a prize to the first practical solution to the problem of space farming. Stick it outside, it's not like it will smell up the joint. As time goes on, it would be an increasing prize.

      Let's face it at $10k/kg lift costs, a ton (metric) of already orbiting feces has a value of $10,000,000. Assuming 1.5kg of crap produced daily (3 man crews, sounds sensible) we're talking about $15k down the spout per day the ISS is occupied (double that during changeovers when there are six people on board). A metric ton would be accumulated every year and nine months give or take.

      Heck, throw the competition wide open to other uses. How thick a layer of crap is required to make a good meteor shield? If the space elevator needs a counterweight, would several tons of crap suffice to shorten the amount of cable necessary? How about military uses? stick a JAM guidance pack on it and drop it on Kim Jong Il. Not only would it provide a fatality but it would make any former dictator so dispatched the object of endless jokes.

      Am I joking? In some parts, yes. But the idea of storing very expensive material (including the most expensive crap there is) in some sort of storage space and running contests for creative use of the stuff would certainly create an increased level of interest. You could do it as a green contest, as a guy thing (it's the world's equivalent of those jars and cans every guy has in the garage to store washers and other random stuff he might have a use for in the future), or a farmer thing (we're back to feces fertilizer) but everything there is horribly expensive. Let's get our money's worth.

    4. Re:Last time I checked. by hughk · · Score: 1

      All waste goes into the Progress resupply craft after it has been emptied. Progress is then separated and set to reenter ialong a path that would cause it to burn up. My definition, you can only shit what you eat, so the solution works well. as long the waste seals are intact. Ventilation on the ISS is somewhat worse than a submarine, so the place must stink after a while.

      --
      See my journal, I write things there
    5. Re:Last time I checked. by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      Well the raw material doesn't have to have any fancy containment or even atmosphere until somebody works out the necessary seals to keep the air from being fouled.

      I think that the only thing holding this back is the snooty perception that doing it would be incredibly white trash.

    6. Re:Last time I checked. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      > Heck, throw the competition wide open to other uses. How thick a layer of crap is required to make a good meteor shield? If the space elevator needs a counterweight, would several tons of crap suffice to shorten the amount of cable necessary?

      Yeah, but what we really wanted to know was if it could be used to stick tiles back on Shuttles. *g*

    7. Re:Last time I checked. by Danse · · Score: 1

      Let's face it at $10k/kg lift costs, a ton (metric) of already orbiting feces has a value of $10,000,000.

      Wouldn't that be a metric crapload? :)

      --
      It's not enough to bash in heads, you've got to bash in minds. - Captain Hammer
    8. Re:Last time I checked. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd just like to say that this is the best post I've seen on slashdot in literally years. It's funny, yes, but very insightful, regardless of the fact that the poster was probably influenced by the recent articles on reusing human waste (but that sort of 2+2=4 is exactly how knowledge progresses). Very nice.

    9. Re:Last time I checked. by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      Actually I missed that article on reusing human waste. Where can I find it?

  4. Nice Article, but by Omkar · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "This [going to Mars] is what we should be doing. Such an adventure would resonate with a world beset by wars and woes. It has a grandeur appropriate to the advanced nations, who should do it together."

    I disagree. At the risk of sounding jingoistic, I believe that nations should compete with another to explore. This competition is the only way to foster space exploration until space becomes commercially viable.

    Last point. What was something on Iraq doing in a space article?

    1. Re:Nice Article, but by zioncat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Competition to better each other is good and all but who can actually compete with America. Russia? China?

    2. Re:Nice Article, but by Vishi+Troll+182 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Let's say! Again Americans. You all rally behind your bush. But what is the real issue. Your tax dollars. All of this cold war "USA is better, Russia is better." GO PLAY ON THE PLAYGROUND. In the end both are good countries. Just whichever you choose. Like a car. Each has its strong points and weak points. Make your deicion carefully. oh and one more thing. have any of you "AMERICA IS BETTER THAN CHINA" ever stopped to appreciate and respect yours of government. Hail to your homeland

    3. Re:Nice Article, but by MacAndrew · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Funny, I stumbled on the same paragraph but for different reasons.

      I agree with the author that little hard science is being done on the shuttle or ISS that can't be handled with automation; this recommends cutting funding, yet the author turns around and proposes spending money to put man in space for its own sake -- what happened to the interest in science? Science aimed at keeping man is space is unnecessary if having man is space is unnecessary.

      I find, "Such an adventure would resonate with a world beset by wars and woes" deadly condescending. You know what would resonate with the world? Getting rid of some of those "wars and woes." Think a cure for AIDS, or even malaria. New infrastructure for transportation and commerce. Or universal drinkable water, not to mention food. Or a thousand other challenges that we can do, with enough money and labor and, yes, science/technology, and which we really should tidy up before we reach for the stars -- by "reach" I mean pursue projects that are about entertainment more than science or commerce.

      The thing is, we really do care about helping mankind more than distracting it, if the problem is in front of us (e.g., Nobel Peace Prize winner Doctors Without Borders). Space travel only wins when everything in the abstract.

      Apollo stands as one of mankind's greatest achievements. There's no need to one-up it, and there's no need to live in space. We haven't conquered living on Earth.

    4. Re:Nice Article, but by dbrutus · · Score: 2, Offtopic

      We have a cure for malaria, it's called DDT (which they now know how to use safely and not cause problems for the birdies anymore) but the greenies would rather let people die. The Ugandans have a great program that has cheaply slashed AIDS infections in their country but because it relies heavily on faith groups to preach a message of behavior modification the AIDS establishment is burying Africa's biggest success story. And on it goes. The human mind and spirit can solve virtually any problem but can we fight past human greed, envy, and pettiness to implement the solution?

    5. Re:Nice Article, but by gilroy · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Blockquoth the poster:

      Or a thousand other challenges that we can do, with enough money and labor and, yes, science/technology, and which we really should tidy up before we reach for the stars

      The problem with saying "Let's get everything fixed up here, first" is this: It can't be done. Solving the problems mentioned, and the untold many in tow behind them, would require lifting most of the species to a standard of living comparable to or equal to that of the United States. We do not have the resources to do that, especially if that standard of living includes environmental integrity as well. Where are those resources? In space: Cheap energy, vast mineral resources, no ecosphere to assault.


      The evidence is extremely poor that humanity would indeed focus on solving its ills. Most likely, without some driving idea, without a frontier, we will see an increasing self-absorption and a general numbing of our best impulses. As they say, change is inevitable but growth is not... and the only hope lies in growth, in reaching beyond, not back.

    6. Re:Nice Article, but by MacAndrew · · Score: 1

      It can't be done.

      Hey, that's what they said about going to the Moon. ;-)

      There are no resources in space that we can't get here cheaper. And if there are, fine, that's a commercial justification for getting them.

      It's not about perfection, but progress. We can make progress.

    7. Re:Nice Article, but by MacAndrew · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      The human mind and spirit can solve virtually any problem but can we fight past human greed, envy, and pettiness to implement the solution?

      Yes. How's that for a faith-based solution?

      The thing with DDT is that it's a tool for reducing infection, but it would not eradicate the malaria itself. You can still get infected outdoors. And mosquitoes develop resistance. Regardless, I could just pick another infectious disease like sleeping sickness or river blindness and so on. For some illnesses we do have treatments, but if they're not getting to the people who need them, what difference does that make.

      As for AIDS, whatever works. I don't care.

    8. Re:Nice Article, but by Cappy+Red · · Score: 1

      Pardon the pun, but space exploration doesn't exist in a vacuum. Our endeavors in space represent(or rather, should represent, out greatest advances in skill and technology. For some, apparently, a failure in it calls into question our skill and technology in war. Besides that, a war effort is an incredible cash sink.

      As for competition- I tend to think you're right. Barring phenomenal public support, and we're talking about vocal near unanimity here, national pride is the only current motivation.

      NASA could and can always count on the hardcore sci-fi and space geeks for support, but without at least slightly mundanely flashy craft and missions, they'll never pull the all important "average yokel swing votes of confidence." The average yokel recognizes the basic shape of the shuttle, and can kind of ken orbitting the Earth. A station is getting a bit more afield, and any kind of deeper space exploration loses almost all non-geek interest whatsoever.

      Though it might kill it, I can't wait for space travel to become profitable.

      *honk*

      --
      This is my sig. It's prescription, I swear. I need it for reading things... on the other side of things
    9. Re:Nice Article, but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      1. Dude, DDT is not a cure for a malaria. It's like a neurotoxin that kills the mosquitos that transmit the disease. It has documented harmful health consequences (for humans, fyi). The reasons it's used are that it's cheap, it kills effecitively, and the need is urgent. DDT is nothing for science to boast about. What's needed to fight malaria is more effective pyrethroid type biodegradable compounds and more effective medicines. But that's just the half of it. Most of the people suffering from malaria are too poor to afford medicines. Heck, even low tech solutions like mosquito nets to sleep under could save multitudes --if only they could afford them.

      2. The success of Uganda's fight against AIDS is not due primarily to "faith groups," but to political leadership that acknowledged the problem early on and took decisive steps to deal with it. It's unclear to me whether "faith groups" have done more harm than good when it comes to understanding and treating AIDS.

    10. Re:Nice Article, but by dbrutus · · Score: 2, Informative

      You say there's nothing in space you can't get cheaper here. Try 50 terawatts of power. The world currently runs on 10-12 terawatts and that's with a lot of it stuck in the dark ages. If we were to liberate the 4/5ths of mankind stuck under repressive regimes and they would start to have the ability to purchase power because of higher standards of living, there simply isn't enough uranium, coal, oil, or natural gas available on the planet to do it.

      Yes, we do need space resource extraction, not least of all to provide energy for all those liberated people who aren't dying of malaria et al and want to live a modern life.

    11. Re:Nice Article, but by great+om · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      The ugandan program is effective because it teaches (as early as it can) proper and effective condom use.

      --
      ------- Oh damn.... the Sigfile escaped... -Great OM
    12. Re:Nice Article, but by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Most likely, without some driving idea, without a frontier, we will see an increasing self-absorption and a general numbing of our best impulses. As they say, change is inevitable but growth is not... and the only hope lies in growth, in reaching beyond, not back.

      AMEN.

      I think it is time that humanity needs to reach for new frontiers again. The Moon is one place humans should return to, given that we know the Moon has a large supply of strategically important metallic elements, all of which can be used to build space colonies between the Earth and the Moon and also to eventually build spacecraft that will take Man well beyond Mars.

    13. Re:Nice Article, but by GryMor · · Score: 1

      Where on Earth are you planning on finding 10^24kgs of rock rich in all sorts of metals?

      Where on Earth are you planning on finding 10^17 Watts of solar Power?

      Well, those resources are down here, but do you realise the cost we'll incurr if we harvest even a thousandth of that in the one resource that isn't out there in abundence?

      For our future, for our children, we must go OUT, to turn inwards is to stagnate and consume ourselves and everything that makes Earth's problems worth dealing with. The resources to deal with those problems is out there, not down here, we may have enough down here to make a temporary bandage, but only at the cost of our childrens future and the opertunity to have even the slightest glimmer of a chance of solving the problems we have.

      Manned colonization of the solar system, do it to protect the children from the greatest monster of all... death of hope.

      --
      Realities just a bunch of bits.
    14. Re:Nice Article, but by renecarlos · · Score: 2, Interesting

      >The problem with saying "Let's get everything fixed up here, first" is this: It can't be done.

      Well, it technically can, but that's not the point, I agree.

      A few years back, there was a debate with Clarence Page (then-Chicago Tribune) and some right-winger: Does Racism Still Exist? The other guy pulled out his haymaker: If you could only solve one problem in the black community, racism or teen pregnancy, which would you choose?

      He makes a good point, but Clarence Page didn't take the bait. His response: why do I have to choose? Are blacks somehow less deserving that we can only work on one problem at a time?

      And if you don't think space exploration solves society's ills (okay, works on them), you need to look at the Columbia manifest. Try science.nasa.gov, for starters. It's not an objective, 3rd-party source, of course, but it's still informative.

    15. Re:Nice Article, but by DrXym · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      Ding dong, is any one home? You can spray insecticide all you like and all will happen is the mosquitos will become resistant to it and you're back to square one. The only way to effectively rid mosquitos from an area is through education and public works initiatives - the little buggers breed in standing water so draining nearby swamps helps, as does effective drainage schemes and prosecuting people who have uncovered standing water on their properties.

    16. Re:Nice Article, but by MacAndrew · · Score: 1

      Page isn't with the Tribune? I used to like his columns occasionally.

      Bully for him not letting the other guy frame the debate. (Wouldn't it be fascinating if we could snap our fingers and abolish either problem? But we can't, just as we don't have to choose, and anyway that choice would not be particularly meaningful -- it would be like someone coming to you and taking one of your children away -- you choose which.) That's what someone tried to do here by injecting "everything." BTW, from firsthand experience I'll share that racism is doing just fine, it's just quieter these days.

      Here, too, we can pursue more than one objective at a time, it's a question of priorities. And I think we have those priorities wrong. Fight teen pregnancy or build a moon base? Is this a trick question? NASA's budget is now $14 billion (plus deficits). That's real money, even these days.

      As for whether NASA's work is all worthwhile AND economical, I wouldn't go to NASA's site at all (though yes, I have often). I rely on any number of articles by scientists upset over the diversion and waste of funds on manned spaceflight. Here is an example forwarded to me by a good friend, who is also an aero/astronatical engineer, which discussed ISS and manned flight generally from a scientist's perspective. It should be thought-provoking.

      Go to NASA's site and read everything you can about unmanned projects. Now if you had to pick manned or (ten times as much) unmanned flight (with no loss of life), which would you choose? :) Of course the choice is not so stark: it's about priorities.

      Again, I favor space exploration and scientific inquiry, but am cool to manned, which we do not need yet. In fact it is because I am eager for us to push the boundaries of science that I am against manned spaceflight at this time. It cost far too much and benefits us little -- and kills people.

    17. Re:Nice Article, but by flikx · · Score: 1

      The steam engine stands as one of mankind's greatest achievements. There's no need to one-up it,

      --
      One future, two choices. Oppose them or let them destroy us.
    18. Re:Nice Article, but by p3d0 · · Score: 1
      I find, "Such an adventure would resonate with a world beset by wars and woes" deadly condescending. You know what would resonate with the world? Getting rid of some of those "wars and woes." Think a cure for AIDS, or even malaria.
      Now that is condescending. I applaud all efforts to reduce/eliminate/ameliorate war and disease, but if that becomes mankind's one and only goal, we will stagnate. What is the point of concentrating on extending the quantity and duration of human life to the exclusion of all that makes life worth living?

      How far would you take this policy? Should people stop making movies because the resources would be better spend fighting AIDS? How about music? Should we stop teaching history because history teachers would better spend their time fighting AIDS? Besides, what was the last contribution you made in the fight against AIDS?

      Our greatest strength is our diversity. Some people work on curing AIDS while others try to build a better spacecraft. To stigmatize the latter is unfair and shortsighted.

      Apollo stands as one of mankind's greatest achievements. There's no need to one-up it...
      The internal logic of this statement escapes me. How can you consider the Apollo mission to be such a great achievement, and yet claim that it is not worth pursuing the exact same kind of achievement today? Can you honestly (honestly, now) tell me that you would not have used the same arguments during the 1960s to condemn the Apollo mission itself?

      Let me put this in perspective. Imagine scaling down the universe so the nearest star is at the location the moon currently occupies. How far do you think the scaled-down moon would be? Do you think it would be as far as San Francisco from Los Angeles? No, too far. Perhaps it would be a mile or two? Still too far. How about one city block?

      In fact, the moon would be less than 4 meters away. So, to say that going to the moon makes further space travel unnecessary would be like saying that travelling from your bedroom to your kitchen made the Appolo mission redundant. The technological advances required to reach the stars will be as different from Apollo as the Saturn rocket is from your two feet.

      ...and there's no need to live in space. We haven't conquered living on Earth.
      What an absurd, vacuous sound-bite. Would you stop launching rockets until there are 10 billion happy, friendly, healthy people living in peace and brotherhood, holding hands and singing songs in each others' languages, when finally one of them says "well, we have conquered living on earth; let's start thinking about space travel"?

      No? Then what is your criterion? When exactly will you be satisfied that we have "conquered living on Earth"? And how do you justify the notion that this is a prerequisite to space exploration? You didn't address that at all.

      --
      Patrick Doyle
      I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
    19. Re:Nice Article, but by rark · · Score: 1

      > "which they now know how to use safely and not
      > cause problems for the birdies anymore"

      Color me skeptical. Got references?

      BTW, I'm inclined to think that it's less 'burying' and more...well..

      I can't comment on the social mileiu of Uganda, I've never been there and know a rather minimal amount of things about the country (I can find it on a map, that's pretty much it). I *do* know the social mileiu of the U.S. well, and I know that faith based campaigns (for anything) organized outside the faith (i.e. organized or blessed by the government) are *extremely* risky in terms of individual freedom and safety here. As a public health official (which I'm not, but putting myself 'in their shoes') I might well ignore, not mention or minimize (incidently, I *have* heard of faith based strategies used in many parts of Africa, as well as the U.S., so minimize might actually be a better word than bury as well, but it's an issue of degree) these strategies simply because they aren't a practical option for the U.S., not at the governmental level (which is not to say that individual churches and whatnot going out and spreading information about abstinance and avoiding IV drug use hasn't helped in this country, it has), not from a public health agency viewpoint.

    20. Re:Nice Article, but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Simplistic bullshit (both the DDT and "faith-based cure" points). You really should have gone to bed after the crapload post.

    21. Re:Nice Article, but by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      The Ugandan program has the catchy name of ABC,

      A = Abstinence before marriage
      B = Be faithful to your spouse "zero plowing outside your field"
      C = Wear a condom if you can't handle A/B

      Condom programs exist all over Africa. Uganda is head and shoulders above other countries in preventing AIDS.

      Condoms may be part of the answer but they certainly have been demonstrated to be fallible. Abstinence and fidelity have a better disease prevention history for STDs of all types.

    22. Re:Nice Article, but by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      Mosquitos tend to rest on walls, the current strategy for DDT use is to have light spraying indoors in your own house.

      Certainly DDT is only one part of an anti-malarial strategy but I've seen world maps of malaria areas before DDT was discovered, right before it was banned and today. DDT reduced malaria areas radically and today malaria is making a comeback. That's in part because replacement chemicals aren't as good and in part because they are more expensive.

      My point stands, I think. If we're going to take care of problems at home before space, we at least ought to untie our hands from behind our back and really solve them.

    23. Re:Nice Article, but by WatertonMan · · Score: 1

      China is trying to put an astronaut in space. Kudos to them.

    24. Re:Nice Article, but by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      Sorry to disappoint but there are lots of articles backing up both points. Google around and you'll find them.

    25. Re:Nice Article, but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are lots of articles backing up virtually anything you'd like to believe. Particularly for controversial subjects like AIDS and malaria in Africa. You can choose to read the ones you like and remain simplistic and naive, or you can broaden your horizons. Ever heard of "dry sex" and its relation to AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa? Ever read a comprehensive history of malaria treatment research?

      I've lived in Africa. You really have no idea what you're talking about.

    26. Re:Nice Article, but by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
      You can spray insecticide all you like and all will happen is the mosquitos will become resistant to it and you're back to square one.

      Wrong. Amongst other things, the survivng mosquitos are generally weaker. If you batter their population with enough variety of chemicals, the survivors become non-viable. Selection does have a cost to the species, one which mutation generall amplifies rather than correcting for. If poison - as the poster before me mentioned - in specific target areas, you select for mosquitos that don't favour human dwellings. This is even better since you're not making as large a hole in the biosphere.

      Other steps you can take are turning vegetarian (mossies favour carnivores), abstaining from perfume (mossies like it too!), and - as you said - covering standing water (e.g. wells).

      --
      Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    27. Re:Nice Article, but by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      Would that be South Africa, Morocco, or Ethiopia? Hey, because I live in North America, I can hold myself out as an expert in Panama (a country I've never been in)?

      The numbers are there, feel free to look them up. If you weren't an AC, I might even have done the work for you.

      btw: I looked up dry sex. If you aren't sleeping around before marriage (the A in Uganda's ABC program) or are faithful (the B in the same program) it won't matter that your condom breaks (the C in the program) because of dry sex because neither partner will be carrying the virus.

      The liberal solution is to make a tougher condom (I'm sure the materials scientists are at work) or to change well entrenched cultural sexual practices. But wait, that sounds like what they've been making fun of the christians over. Isn't changing sexual practices impossible?

      The only difference is that those conservative christians are working to strengthen families which have numerous benefits, including stopping lots of STD transmission, the liberal solution takes just as much effort but won't provide any benefits other than the strictly biological one of reducing STD transmission.

  5. More efficient, safer launch vehicles by eln · · Score: 5, Insightful

    We must revive efforts to design the next generation space shuttle. The current design is far behing what current technology is capable of producing. With enough research, we can build a launch vehicle capable of fulfilling the promises made by the shuttle program.

    We must not, under any circumstances, abandon human space flight. We as humans are explorer by our very nature. We cannot allow tragedy to sway us from our neverending quest for knowledge.

    1. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by Usquebaugh · · Score: 1

      Get the idea of a space shuttel out of your head. It's the wrong frigging way to do things.

      Let's see we lift all this heavy space craft into orbit, use loads of fuel etc and then what? We let the thing glide back down!!!

      Build rockets, build them cheap and lob pletny of them up there. If some idiot wants to go along for the ride sure, but mostly lets get payload up there.

    2. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by mpthompson · · Score: 5, Informative

      I'm not sure putting our priorities on designing the next shuttle is what's really needed since it is basically a truck to LEO. In retrospect, in the early 70's NASA would have been much better off ramping up production and building scores of Saturn V's, a hundred Saturn 1B's and a few dozen Skylabs. With 20/20 hindsight, big dumb boosters were probably the best way to go three decades ago and that probably still holds true today. Who knows, maybe we still would have lost 1 out of 50 Saturn launches as well, but at least would have a lot more interesting stuff everywhere between LEO and the Moon for the same money.

      For me I'm much more interested in spending the bulk of NASA's limited budget on interesting payloads that leave LEO rather than developing trucks to deliver the payloads to LEO. After all, 60's technology was fine for getting us to LEO and the Shuttle isn't going to take NASA to Mars.

      Since the beginning of the shuttle program there were plans for a shuttle derived unmanned heavy lift vehicle that basically looked like a huge boxcar strapped to the side of the external tank. The only recoverable parts were the engines themselves, which would parachute to Earth after entering the atmosphere with an ablative heat shield. I believe that with most of the weight of the shuttle structure, wings, and crew cabin removed, such a booster would have had nearly the capacity of the Saturn V. It seems that such plans could be resurrected and within a year or two we have a heavy lift vehicle that can take advantage of economies of scale for shuttle solid rocket boosters and external tanks which I believe, ironically, are the cheapest parts of the shuttle. NASA can then use the proven Soyuz (thank you very much Russia for keeping the rocket and capsule assembly lines going) to get human crews into orbit until some suitable replacement is made.

      Once NASA again has heavy lift capability it can then concentrate on truly interesting payloads that can take us to Mars and beyond. I'll cry if NASA does get the go ahead for a Mars mission and comes up with a scheme where dozens of shuttle missions (either the remaining three vehicles or next generation shuttles) are required to build the spacecraft in orbit from small components.

    3. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      So I guess you're opposed to the X prize which pushes for a reusable launch vehicle that can fly twice in two weeks. A shame really.

    4. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by jdray · · Score: 1

      I suspect that [his] point was that, more than anything, we need useful mass in orbit. It costs around US$5,000 per pound (US$11,000 per kg) to put stuff into orbit. Why bring [however much the space shuttle weighs] back down again? The only thing we ought to be bringing back is enough mass to return the people safely. Everything else should be left in orbit to be used.

      "SSTO" stands for Single Stage To Orbit. We don't have an HLLV (Heavy Lift Launch Vehicle) capable of that yet, not even the shuttle in its current configuration. Every piece of spacecraft that either burns up in the atmosphere during launch or gets thrown in the ocean as it is discarded is a waste of precious material that we need in orbit if we're ever going to have a long-term presence there.

      Do you know that the shuttle could carry an extra thousand pounds of cargo if it kept its external tank with it until it reached orbit instead of discarding it to fall into the Indian Ocean, blown apart by built-in explosives? That doesn't even include the useful mass that is the ET itself. I'd like to see them, just once to prove it can work, carrying an ET all the way to orbit and attaching it to the space station. Even if they ejected it later because it didn't go with their new drapes, at least they've shown it can be done.

      Sorry. I'll get off my soapbox now.

      JD

      --
      The Spoon
      Updated 6/28/2011
    5. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is exactly what I started thinking about 15 minutes after I found out about Challenger. That's right, Challenger. As all schoolchildren growing up on Long Island (home of the former Grumman Aerospace Corp., maker of the Lunar Module) in the 60's learned, designs that make sense for flying in the lower atmosphere are really not the best for flying in space. The same is obviously (at least to us amateurs) true for vehicles that have to re-enter Earth's atmosphere. What were we thinking? When the first shuttle flew alot of people compared it to a "falling brick" more than a "space plane". Just why do we need wings anyway? More control over approach and landing? Shuttle gets one pass around. I still remmember the last few Apollo missions from the moon when the Command Module would splash down amazingly close to the ships coming to pick it up. Both the Russians and the Chinese land their capsules on dry ground. Your proposals on manned "ferry" and heavy lift vehicles are right on the mark. Someone needs to start dusting off those old Apollo and Saturn blueprints ...

    6. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by artao · · Score: 1

      Quote:
      " I'll cry if NASA does get the go ahead for a Mars mission and comes up with a scheme where dozens of shuttle missions (either the remaining three vehicles or next generation shuttles) are required to build the spacecraft in orbit from small components."

      The place to build a craft for travel in space is IN SPACE. One can build a MUCH more efficient SPACEcraft that way. (NASA has gotten the go-ahead for a manned Mars mission, BTW)
      And as far as "trucks" to LEO, well ... basically. But yes, we need new trucks. Ours are "old" and inefficient, and we can build much better ones now. Launch and re-entry are hard on any space vehicle, and our current shuttles have, IMHO, taken their share of abuse and should be retired.
      I mean, shit!, the current shuttle is still using 386 to 586 level computers!!! And current thought/technology is looking at flying into space, not rocket blasting, as a possibility. We need to increase efficiency and decrease cost.
      Has no one here heard of Project Prometheus?! NASA's 10-year plan for a manned trip to Mars? Using nuclear powered spacecraft. Able to cut the trip from 6 months to 2 months? And they only want (and got) a budget increase of $800 million for the next 5 years.
      Cripes, we've been going to space for around 50 years. This exploration and technology is still in its infancy. Don't people understand this? 2(two) catastrophic failures in 120-150 missions in NOT a bad record. We've had WAAAAYYYY!! more submarine accidents on this planet.

    7. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by thrillseeker · · Score: 1
      Do you know that the shuttle could carry an extra thousand pounds of cargo if it kept its external tank with it until it reached orbit instead of discarding it to fall into the Indian Ocean, blown apart by built-in explosives?

      You wanna rethink that statement? The external tank is dead-weight after the fuel is used. Getting rid of it allows the remainder to require less thrust to lift - i.e. more cargo.

    8. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who's Leo, and why are we giving him so much stuff?

    9. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by mpthompson · · Score: 1

      In some ways I think we agree. My point is that if NASA embarks on a project to build a replacement for the shuttle that is every bit as complicated and as expensive as the shuttle there will not be any room in the budget to develop more interesting things like nuclear powered engines to get us to Mars in less than two months. Expecting to see a 2x or 3x increase in NASA's budget to afford to do everything is probably just wishful thinking.

      Think of it this way. If you are a dragster racer and you have $200,000, are you going to spend $25,000 on the dragster to win the race (think Prometheus) and $175,000 on the truck and trailer that get you between the races (think shuttle). In my opinion that is exactly what NASA is doing with the shuttle and any plans to replace it. It just doesn't make sense when you are working with a constrained budget and there are bigger goals to be aiming for.

    10. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by kalidasa · · Score: 1

      Two words:

      Delta Clipper. Just make sure all the hoses are connected.

    11. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by Criton · · Score: 1

      Accually shuttle-c could match saturn 5 and energia the verion on astronutix is a two SSME shuttle-c a three SSME version would carry almost equaly to energia or even use disposable RS68s you'll gain payload by not having to have an areoshell for the SSMEs would carry more. The best thing aboput shuttle-c is it would accually cost less than a normal shuttle launch not as much craft maintinace as an orbiter but would carrry 3 to 4 times the cargo. Also it may be possible to make some truely huge launchers using shuttle parts that would even exceed saturn 5 by a large margin. maybe use a core with 5 or 6 SSMEs two ETs and 4 SRBs and you'll have 2x saturn 5s lift capacity. Which would equal you can go to mars if you wanted. R&D for it would be alomst mothing compaired to making a heavylift booster from scatch or bringing back saturn 5 which it's self would not be too costly to do way under the 1.5 billion wasted on dead end projects. As for manning ISS I sugest make a new version of apollo that can carry 5 people they could have it built in a year it would make a good life boat and could be launched on a delta 4 . Also an apollo built with 21'st century technology would weigh much less than the 60s version yet have more room inside. The service module could use a single shuttle OMS engine so you don't even have to revamp production on the apollo SPS engine.

    12. Re:More efficient, safer launch vehicles by mpthompson · · Score: 1

      Any one know if plans to move forward with the Shuttle-C are being considered? Hopefully from the turmoil of the Columbia disaster decisions to move forward with an unmanned heavy lift vehicle will finally be made. Basing it on bought and paid for shuttle technology just makes too much sense. The only thing I'm not sure about is if the SSMEs are cheap enough to throw away after a single launch? I thought they were fairly expensive pieces of technology.

      I certainly like the idea of a revised version of the Apollo capsule as well. Such a capsule could probably be made reusable and could be used to take people all the way to Lunar orbit if needed. I'm just afraid that NASA will want to strap wings to whatever they build and turn a $1B project in to $10B.

      With these thing done, we could then seriously start talking about where we want to go beyond LEO.

  6. Maybe we can take a lesson from cats? by mikeophile · · Score: 5, Interesting

    http://www.ananova.com/news/story/sm_246696.html Scientists say they've discovered that cats purr to help them get better when they're injured. The researchers at the Fauna Communications Research Institute in North Carolina call the purr a natural healing mechanism. They say the purr helps their bones and organs to heal and grow. It works in a similar way to ultrasound on humans. Exposure to similar sound frequencies are known to improve bone density. Dr Elizabeth von Muggenthaler, the president of the institute, said: "Old wives' tales usually have a grain of truth behind them and cats do heal very quickly. The healing power of purring seems to explain their 'nine lives'." She told The Sunday Telegraph: "We are starting to solve a 3,000-year-old mystery as to why cats purr. The next phase will be to explain the mechanics of the process." Story filed: 15:49 Sunday 18th March 2001

    1. Re:Maybe we can take a lesson from cats? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Did you read the article, "Offtopic" mods? The science was done on the space shuttle and ISS. Lamers.

    2. Re:Maybe we can take a lesson from cats? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oops, it was a different article on the same subjects. Still lamers.

    3. Re:Maybe we can take a lesson from cats? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Okay.. so I was kind of astonished when this article was first published. This lady has not a single scientific thought in her head. "We are starting to SOLVE a 3,000 year-old mystery" wtf? She's not solving anything. Unless there is some evidence that low frequency sound waves are actually necessary (no way around it) to increase bone density, I would take this with a grain of salt. I bet the reason ultrasound is successful on humans is because it tricks the body into thinking it's undergoing impact, and the body naturally responds by increasing bone density BECAUSE IT THINKS IT NEEDS IT. Same thing would happen if the person jumped around and hit a punching bad. Similarly, if cats needed stronger bones, they would have evolved to have greater bone density.. they wouldn't need 'purring' to trick their body into strengthening their bones. And why the hell do they purr mostly when they're being pet and happy then? Btw cat's probably have "9 lives" because they happen to hit the sweet spot between size, agiligy, and intelligence. Does a lion have nine lives?

    4. Re:Maybe we can take a lesson from cats? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seem to have only a partial understanding of how evolution works - basically, with whatever it can. Cats need bone density and muscle mass, but because they're exclusive meat-eaters, they also need to spend 90% of their time asleep. Those two things conflict, as evolutionary drives often do.
      So what's a poor DNA strand to do? Hey, here's a way to combine rest time with bone development! Holy shit, it works - pass it along!
      Evolution is opportunistic - a species can't select what traits it wants, and it can only work with variations of what it already has. A cat can't simply develop more bone mass against the entire history of evolution before it (which conserves energy and nutrients by how necessary they seem). So it purrs to solve the problem.
      There was a recent article on slashdot about how mammalian suckling response may have evolved from gill action in fish - a side-effect is that we sometimes get the hiccoughs. Is it an optimal way to develop the needed response? No, but it's actually possible. If nature was a perfectionist, we'd all be perfect unicellular organisms.

  7. Re:Simple .. spend $ on health, education... by ChrisStoy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    That reminds me of an old Popular Mechanics I found asking the question "should we be going to the moon?" There were lots of "fix things on earth before going to space" arguments...but, what if we tried that? Would things be better on earth? Don't we all benifit from the technology developed during the space race? There will always be homeless...there will always be poor. If we wait to fix every problem we will never make progress.

  8. Very insightful by Omkar · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "The shuttle and the International Space Station are not helping us. They do remarkably little science--and, as far as I can see, next to none that could not be done by unmanned missions. Like vampires, they suck NASA's entire budget dry."

    People who want robots to do the work in space and see no need for humans miss the point - we have no need for humans because of our lack of ambition.

    1. Re:Very insightful by JoeBuck · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Did you read the article, Omkar? Evidently not; Benford wants humans to go to Mars. His objection to the current shuttle-ISS program is that it offers absolutely zero progress towards getting there: no experiments with true recycling, no experiments with generating artificial gravity by spinning the station. Instead, we're spending billions to have people do trivial stuff, and if you're going to do trivial stuff, it's better to have machines do it.

    2. Re:Very insightful by Omkar · · Score: 1

      That was my point. I agreed with him.

  9. If anything.. by josh+crawley · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We need to put a foundry and a small biome on the moon. From those, we can build from those supplies.

    1. Re:If anything.. by forgetful_ca · · Score: 5, Interesting
      We need to put a foundry and a small biome on the moon. From those, we can build from those supplies.

      A good point! Here's something that has stumped me for years: Why in bejeepers is everyone gung ho about mars? We've got a perfectly good stepping stone that's 9/10's of the way to anywhere in our solar system parked about 300k kms from us! Not only that, should the need arise, it's conceivable in time of need those stationed there could be evacuated. Perhaps I've just read too much Robert Heinlein (Methusalah's Children, for one. )
      If someone wouldn't mind elucidating why the moon is such a poor choice, I'd appreciate it. Please, don't let it be merely that the moon is less interesting politically.
    2. Re:If anything.. by Rxke · · Score: 1

      Private -commercial entrepeneurs like Transorbital are already envisioning this. Wait for their first launch towards the moon. I hope they'll be successful, would love to see the mad scramble towards the moon: Big spacepowers will want to be in to this game, once it wil be blatantly obvious that it is STILL the place to be as a first step into the great beond; Transorbital plans to make this a multimedia SHOW and you can bet your money that it will rock! NASA is just boring for Joe Public, but once small companies actually set foot (even robotically) on the moon, a lot of people will start dreaming again.... And some of those dreamers will effectively ACT and invest on daring new missions.

    3. Re:If anything.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the only reason NASA would consider the moon a "poor choice" is for the simple, and very political/image-wise reason that "we've already been there". Its not as flashy as saying "we're going to Mars..."

      I personally think we would benefit *greatly* from going back to the moon, creating a small base there... it takes far less time to get there, if the space station gives us the effects on the body of zero-G, this gives us the effects of living in low-G (1/6G or so)... *plus*, yes.. similar to Heinlein (The Moon is a Harsh Mistress is my favorite) we can develop a magnetic track launching system, put a smelting operation either on the moon or at one of the Lagrange points, and make our own metal. Big cost savings in terms of building large structures out in space.

      I for one don't want to see a repeat of the moon landings... yeah, ok, we landed there and brought back some rocks. It was a challenge, yes, and we did get some information from the rocks that we didn't know before... but what did it contribute to us *living* in space or on other worlds?

      I agree.. BioSphere was a horrible failure... we need to concentrate on creating a *sustainable* living environment in space, and how to keep the human body fit. Without this knowledge, and long-distance exploration is pretty much out.

      "yeah, we got a team to mars... but their muscles are so atrophied that they cant get out and walk around."

      No... I don't neccesarily think that the space station is a *bad* thing... but I love the quote from the Apollo-1 disaster... "a failure of imagination". I think *that* is what NASA suffers the most from.

    4. Re:If anything.. by mangu · · Score: 1

      Well, since you mentioned Heinlein, and given the current bias of the US government toward military solutions, one must also mention Heinlein's "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress". There is an accelerator launcher in that book which had been built to launch things into orbit, but, as it turns out, it's also used to launch rocks to the Earth. It need not be moved to be pointed. By choosing the right launch moment and speed, anything can be made to hit any point on the Earth surface.

    5. Re:If anything.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because the moon is small. They've done their sums, and realised that using any appreciable quantity of lunar resources will result in massive changes to tidal and meteorological patterns.

      Or not.

    6. Re:If anything.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I read (or saw it in a videogame) that the moon is devoid of valuable raw materials but the asteroid belt isn't. Asteroids are mostly nickel-iron. Is the asteroid belt closer than mars? I forget.
      bubble-formed outposts.

    7. Re:If anything.. by forgetful_ca · · Score: 1

      My first response was going to be "well, if you want asteroids, go to the belt by all means, and just flick them back to the moon. doesn't matter how long they take too arrive, you can use the sun's gravity for free."

      But on second thought, given the current political climate, I'm sure no one is going to be casual about the idea of giga-tonne rocks with trajectories anywhere near the earth.

  10. What I'd like to see by Burgundy+Advocate · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Here's what I'd like to see in the future. Also, these are all things that may actually happen. Well, someday.

    A new spaceplane, designed for crew. See the Orbital Space Plane.

    A new technology, reusable launch vehicle. See the Space Launch Initiative.

    Continuing with the Prometheus Project. We fucked up when we stopped persuing NERVA/Rover.

    Mars. Need I say more?

    I'd also like to see a space elevator persued, but I don't know that we have the tech yet. Then again, I haven't looked into it that much either.

    Yeah, so that's my wishlist. Only a few hundreds of billions of dollars in imaginary cash NASA doesn't have...

    --
    Dragging people kicking and screaming into reality since 1996.
    1. Re:What I'd like to see by saskboy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What about the Moon? I doubt Nasa can say with any certainty now that we can honestly send people to a far away planet, when we still have major issues with landing on our very own.

      If we try for the Moon again, which we haven't done in OVER 30 years, and we succeed, then I think we could set our sites on manned Mars shots.

      --
      Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
    2. Re:What I'd like to see by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 4, Informative
      Here's what I'd like to see in the future. Also, these are all things that may actually happen. Well, someday.
      • A new spaceplane, designed for crew. See the Orbital Space Plane [orbital.com].

      Wings add greatly to the weight, and there are lots of tradeoffs, like high landing speeds. Arguably adding wings to the Shuttle killed Columbia, certainly it was a wing failed, and the tiles are necessary because of the aerodynamic shape required, and the slower reentry that wings impose/allows, leading to overall higher heat load (compared to Apollo, Shuttle has to cope with a somewhat lower temperature but for much longer).

      A new technology, reusable launch vehicle. See the Space Launch Initiative [slinews.com].

      The SLI has been cancelled.

      Continuing with the Prometheus Project [space.com]. We fucked up when we stopped persuing NERVA/Rover [astronautix.com].

      Prometheus is a development of a nuclear power plant for space use; it is for ion drives. NERVA will not be supported under this program.

      Mars. Need I say more? [nw.net] I'd also like to see a space elevator persued, but I don't know that we have the tech yet. Then again, I haven't looked into it that much either.

      It seems doable with hardly much more technology than we have right now. Scaling up the production of carbon nanotubes to production of tonnes rather than milligrams is required, and a demonstration of a few percent more strength, and a reasonably large wodge of cash- about $15 billion ;-)

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    3. Re:What I'd like to see by AndroidCat · · Score: 1
      tiles are necessary because of the aerodynamic shape required

      I believe the original shuttle designs called for more of a lifting-body shape, without such large wings. It was all the wrangling over missions, payload requirements and shrinking budget that gave us the "current" design.

      I have no idea what a lifting-body shape would do for the thermal requirements, but not having to deal with wing flex and thousands of jigsaw tiles would be a good thing. (If nothing else, we probably have better materials for the job now.)

      All the various new systems tried or being tried are a good thing, but they should have been looking into a 2nd generation shuttle design in case none of them were ready on time. Things always take longer. We lost Skylab because the shuttle wasn't ready on time. (And I wonder how much of the pressure on the Russians to abandon Mir was to "even the score". [Idle speculation])

      As for space elevators, build a few hundred miles of nanotubes and use it in an engineering project, and then we're ready to talk. Until then, we need something that'll work within the next ten years.

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
    4. Re:What I'd like to see by rela · · Score: 0, Flamebait
      I'd also like to see a space elevator persued, but I don't know that we have the tech yet. Then again, I haven't looked into it that much either.

      I've never bought the space elevator idea. Objects in orbit haven't been NAILED UP THERE, after all. What do they expect to hold up the cable?

    5. Re:What I'd like to see by f()rK()_Bomb · · Score: 1

      The problem with NERVA is that you will have all those anti-nuclear nutters complaining that it uses nuclear power and is therefore damaging the environment

      --
      "The space elevator will be built about 50 years after everyone stops laughing." - Arthur C. Clarke ~1980
    6. Re:What I'd like to see by dcmeserve · · Score: 4, Informative
      I'd also like to see a space elevator persued, but I don't know that we have the tech yet.

      Here's a good paper on the subject. It's a 15mb pdf, but worth the download.

      In it, a good many of the technical problems are solidly examined, and reasonable solutions are proposed.

      The approach presented is to launch an initial spool of very thin cable into geosynchronous orbit. This spool will be some thousands of kg in mass; this won't be *that* much harder than putting up a communications satellite. Then you lower that cable down to earth (and raise spool-unreeling spacecraft up past geosynch. as a counterweight), and you have a sort of "mini" space elevator that can haul up a mere 1200 kg. A series of climbers then ascend, each epoxying on a new layer of cable. Continue for 2 years, and you have a cable that can carry up as much as the shuttle. Continue for 5 years, and you have one that can lift a million kg.

      All the solutions to the technical problems will require lots of research/testing to truly overcome, so it'd likely still be decades away, even with full effort. And that's also assuming the cable itself can be built.

      I think that's the paper's main weakness, actually: its reliance on finding an epoxy to construct the cable with, that will allow the overall cable strength to be similar to the inherent nanotube strength. The proposal calls for 3-cm lengths of carbon nanotube to be assembled into the cable (in a mostly flat ribbon shape) with the epoxy. This is because such lengths of carbon nanotubes have indeed been produced, and the paper is trying to go with known technology as much as possible.

      Now it seems to me that finding an epoxy strong enough to hold on to the fibers would require finding a substance with nearly as much strength as the fibers themselves. Otherwise, the epoxy will fail when the load becomes great, and the fibers will just slip out. A strong rope does you no good if you can't hold onto it!

      Though perhaps there's something about epoxying materials from fibers that I don't understand. Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?

      The terrorist-threat angle is another concern. Though a terrorist attack would presumably occur at the low end of the cable, which would have minimal effect on the earth.

      The main environmental risk is that of the cable breaking at a high point, possibly at the counterweight. The paper say that if this happens, "About 3000 kg of 2 square millimeter cross-section cable ... may fall to Earth intact and east of the anchor." It goes onto say that further study/simulation is necessary to determine the full threat.


      So again, for me, I'm not so sure that the epoxy technique of cable construction will work. We may have to wait until we have enough nano-scale control to be able to construct the cable with full-cable-length nanotube, finely interwoven. Of course, once we can make nanotubes like that, a lot of other possibilities for space travel may open up.

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
    7. Re:What I'd like to see by g4dget · · Score: 1
      # A new spaceplane, designed for crew. See the Orbital Space Plane

      Why? Even if we want to get crew into space and back again, is it cheaper or safer to land with a space plane than with a capsule? Doesn't look like it. Apollo/Soyuz-style capsules seems safer and cheaper. Of course, with robotic probes, you don't have to worry that much about how to get them back to earth: most don't come back, and for sample return missions, you just drop them.

      A new technology, reusable launch vehicle. See the Space Launch Initiative

      Sure, cheaper launches are nice. But whether it should be reusable depends on whether that's cheaper. Reusability for reusability's sake is a waste of money. For robotic probes, what we have seems good enough.

      Continuing with the Prometheus Project [space.com]. We fucked up when we stopped persuing NERVA/Rover

      No, we didn't. Putting any form of nuclear energy into space has profound political implications. And do you really want a nuclear powered rocket to break up like Columbia did? And why? We don't need the capacity for probes.

      Mars. Need I say more?

      Yeah, like why we should waste enormous amounts of money getting humans to Mars. A fleet of unmanned probes would give us a lot more information in the short term.

      Only a few hundreds of billions of dollars in imaginary cash NASA doesn't have...

      Your Buck Rogers-style exploration plans cost trillions of dollars, which is a shame, since we could accomplish much more with a fraction of the money if we concentrate on robotic probes.

    8. Re:What I'd like to see by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      If we try for the Moon again, which we haven't done in OVER 30 years, and we succeed, then I think we could set our sites on manned Mars shots.

      When we have sites on the Moon, we can set our sights on Mars and use our sites to help us in going to Mars.

    9. Re:What I'd like to see by isorox · · Score: 1

      It seems doable with hardly much more technology than we have right now. Scaling up the production of carbon nanotubes to production of tonnes rather than milligrams is required, and a demonstration of a few percent more strength, and a reasonably large wodge of cash- about $15 billion ;-)

      Over 10 years thats nothing - $5 per year per american. Bring in Japan and Europe too and cost falls even futhur. I presume it would be bilt over ocean, probably "near" hawwii. 500 mile no-fly/no-ship-zone arround the area, covered by 24 hour patrols, would

      1) give the military something to do
      2) not be a tempting target for terrorists.

      hell, for $15billion, theres a lot of people on Earth that could personally afford it.

      After one's built, and successful, another one would presumably be cheaper. Build one in the indian ocean, one in the atlantic, and one in the pacific.

    10. Re:What I'd like to see by saskboy · · Score: 1

      "Apollo/Soyuz-style capsules seems safer and cheaper. "

      Do those capsule's have to land in water, or can they land and be picked up anywhere for the astronauts to survive?

      --
      Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
    11. Re:What I'd like to see by thrillseeker · · Score: 1
      it seems to me that finding an epoxy strong enough to hold on to the fibers would require finding a substance with nearly as much strength as the fibers themselves. Otherwise, the epoxy will fail when the load becomes great, and the fibers will just slip out. A strong rope does you no good if you can't hold onto it! Though perhaps there's something about epoxying materials from fibers that I don't understand. Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?

      I think Bueller's out sick today (I always loved the car in that movie).

      In composites, specifically carbon-fiber reinforcing an epoxy binder, the load bearing is handled by the fiber, which must exist in sufficient quantity (>10%) that it supports itself at most points, and the binder (the matrix, often epoxy) is used to hold it together. There is an advantage over a solid material in that a flaw in a fiber is limited to just that fiber, especially as the fibers can be woven in particular orientations for increased strength. The matrix is a less critical component in the material when it is used where fibers excell - when put in tension (a'la a cable). When failure occurs, it will almost always be a debonding between the fiber and the matrix - however this debonding doesn't usually occur until the fiber itself breaks, because the matrix is very elastic - the fibers tend to wrap around themselves at sufficient points to provide the tensional strength and the epoxy is "just there".

      But when it does fail, it's usually more sudden than in a metal, for example. But there's no metals strong enough (yet) to build this thing. Maybe metallic hydrogen will work, but we can't do that yet.

      The strength required can certainly be calculated and the production tested before it's taken aloft. There'd be a great view on the ride up for sure.

  11. unbiased by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    [quote]
    Benford's comments about the necessity of a closed biosphere and of some way for astronauts to stop muscle and bone loss are far more insightful than the usual discussions about where our space exploration priorities should lie.
    [/quote]

    and at least we're unbiased.

  12. Re:Simple .. spend $ on health, education... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There were lots of "fix things on earth before going to space" arguments...

    Just fixing the misspellings and the mod system would be a good start.

  13. A very fine article by podperson · · Score: 0, Funny

    I only disagree with the bit about Bush being good at disasters. He may prove good at causing them...

  14. I wrote this after the shuttle died. by DarthWiggle · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It's tragic to watch the current fallout of the Columbia disaster. Certainly NASA, relevant manufacturers, and the United States Government will be asked to answer for any negligence which may have caused the loss of the shuttle and her seven crew. But I would implore anyone reading this not to conclude that the loss of the Columbia should mean the end of human spaceflight.

    If anything, our commitment to space should be radically expanded. The current problems in the space program are the result of all power and authority over the development of space exploration being held in a single decision-making body. NASA, which is a marvelous organization and which certainly provided the basis for the early successes in space, is simply not equipped to move space exploration ahead. It is a government entity, unbound by market considerations, and weighed down by bureaucratic inefficiencies which make radical changes - such as the introduction of new technologies in a cost-effective manner - impossible.

    The question, however, must be posed whether space exploration in itself is valuable enough to transfer to the private sector. This question is analogous to the gradual shift in the control of earthbound exploration schemes from sovereign control to chartered corporations. To answer the question, however, without respect to the analogy, no, space exploration in itself is not particularly valuable. It is another medium, another vehicle for transporting humans and their commerce, as well as seeing what's out there. I doubt any private venture at this point would find this to be a profitable scheme without, to be circular, some way to make profits from it.

    Thus the analogy: space travel is valuable only insofar as it brings benefit to the people of this planet, or, more specifically, to the shareholders of any corporations which undertake it. In near space, the profits are easy to identify. The GPS system which allows boaters to find their way to fishing spots provided the "spiritual" basis for private venture such as XM Radio. Government-financed spy satellites showed private corporations that money could be made selling space-based imagery of the planet.

    But none of these requires human space flight. In order for there to be profit in the human expansion into space, there must be some market for the products which can be produced exclusively or most efficiently in space, whether directly in the case of manufactured goods or indirectly in the case of products developed using experimental data acquired in space. As one discussion group poster noted in response to a question on the necessity of humans to supervise space-based experiments, "It's hard to count ants from 140 miles down."

    The International Space Station is a fiasco, and so is the space shuttle. Given the radical developments in materials sciences and knowledge of the effects of space on human bodies, it is as unlikely that the shuttles would have remained in private service for twenty years as to consider that Boeing might continue to build aircraft using the processes and materials perfected during the development of, say, the now-obsolete 727. Even a plane that has had a 30-year lifespan such as the 737 is today not the same plane except in the most superficial way as the first model that flew out of Everett Field.

    My plan for space would include the following broad steps. First, ground the shuttle fleet only as long as is necessary to conduct materials review of the launch equipment (fuel tank and rockets), the cooling tile system, and any particularly vulnerable areas of the shuttle's structure (particularly any structural elements on the bottom of the spacecraft). Second, apply any changes rapidly - within no more than two years - with a national commitment to redeploy the shuttle as a stopgap measure in the interests of national security and commerce (as well as prestige). Third, set a hard deadline to retire the shuttles by 2014 at the absolute latest - perhaps 2012 to coincide with the 50th anniversary of American spaceflight. Fourth, provide incentives to corporations to begin manned space flight outside the scope of NASA oversight. Fifth, turn NASA into a regulatory agency for the purposes of establishing safety guidelines; and a science agency which would fund and oversee pure science activities in space. Sixth, provide ongoing incentives for the next two or three decades to promote human exploitation of space by private corporations.

    The money for such incentives could probably be found in the monies freed up by the unfortunate loss of Columbia. I would name two incentive packages: the Challenger Fund for the rapid commercialization of space exploration, and the Columbia Fund for the ongoing support of pure science exploration by government or commercial entities. A third package, the Apollo Fund - deriving its name from America's other fatal space mission, Apollo I - would subsidize development of safety mechanisms and alternative propulsion schemes for space exploration.

    Our planet is small. Our resources are limited. Only a hundred miles above our heads is the gateway to, literally, a universe of options. There are planets packed with natural resources and room for human habitation. There are asteroids which at once pose a direct threat to our planet and could be a staggeringly rich source of raw materials for the improvement of human civilization. And, as always in a new realm, there is a near infinite space which will provide further insights into this incredible and complex universe in which we are such small but special players.

    Now is not the time to draw back from our commitment to space. If anything, we should conclude that the loss of Columbia means that we have reached the limits - after 40 years of remarkable successes - of government monopoly over rich space exploration.

    I suspect that the crew of Columbia and their families would agree. After all, they were drawn to the space program because of the opportunity to do something revolutionary, brave, and necessary for our world, not because they wanted to get rich. They would - I hope - support any initiative which would have given them more opportunity to do the work they loved. If we could demonstrate that private control of the space program would, in fact, radically expand that space program - in the same way that private corporations increased and improved the reach of the automobile, the airplane, telecommunications networks, and the Internet - I believe that those astronauts and the astronauts who remain would support us.

    Don't give up on space. It is not only our future, but also our present. Make it better, do not declare it dead with those men and women who have died in their ongoing quest to expand the reach and the value of our lives.

    1. Re:I wrote this after the shuttle died. by sparrow_hawk · · Score: 2

      I think that's perhaps among the best ideas I've heard since even before Columbia blew herself all to Hell.

      The one thing I would change -- make the "Apollo fund", in the tradition of its namesake, a fund to answer Mr. Benford's questions of living for long periods in zero-gee and keeping our wastes to ourselves, with the goal of actually heading back to the moon and eventually to Mars, and plow the safety mechanisms and propulsion schemes into the "Challenger Fund".

      A Mars mission would probably require significant government coordination, but I like the ideas. :)

      (These opinions offered just on the off-chance you're an aerospace-contractor lobbyist or someone else with the power to make it happen. :)

    2. Re:I wrote this after the shuttle died. by Ashish+Kulkarni · · Score: 1

      well, maybe this is offtopic but... why isn't more effort being put into exploring our oceans? They compose upto 70% of the earth's surface, and are right here in our backyard. Yet when everyone thinks of the expanding human race, it's always in the space direction -- never seawards. It's quite possible that in a few years we may have artificial gills to survive underwater. If that happens, there's could be a literal explosion in the space available to humanity. Why isn't this in the public consciousness and the budget allocation?

    3. Re:I wrote this after the shuttle died. by dcmeserve · · Score: 1
      Fourth, provide incentives to corporations to begin manned space flight outside the scope of NASA oversight. Fifth, turn NASA into a regulatory agency for the purposes of establishing safety guidelines; and a science agency which would fund and oversee pure science activities in space.

      I think you've missed something here: what about the excellent astronaut-training facilities/staff/experience that NASA has built up over the decades, as well as the current crop of astronauts? I'd suggest that in addition to your "Fifth" option, add the creation of NATA, the National Astronautics Training Academy. This would consist of just that subset of NASA; its job would be to train the astronauts that companies would hire for space work.

      A company may be able to finance the hardware for a space mission, but the astronaut training requires a big, big, long-term investment. Keeping that centralized probably makes sense. This would be a sort of "rent-a-naut" system. :)

      --
      "Orthodoxy is unconsciousness" - Orwell
    4. Re:I wrote this after the shuttle died. by Reziac · · Score: 1

      IOW, spread the effort to get more results. If more people (corporations, countries, passing space aliens, whatever) are working on the problem -- yeah, you'll have more failures, but you'll also have more successes.

      Think of the space program now as being what the automobile was in its early days. A whole lot of people had their own ideas (some sharing info, some not), and some ideas worked, while some failed spectacularly. But enough people persisted, and now we've got cars in our everyday lives, and for the most part, they work.

      That's the nature of research. Sometimes it fails -- after all, that's how you learn what *doesn't* work. But it's only a disaster if you then give up.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  15. Re:Nice Article, but nothing by Lshmael · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That's funny. The word "Iraq" seems to be mentioned only once in the third paragraph. And it does have relevance: a major war would both shift public attention away from NASA and could cause budget constraints.

  16. Well spoken by Madcapjack · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I think that space exploration, and more specifically the colonization of the solar system, is one of the most important tasks we have to accomplish. And the most difficult precisely because the need for it does not seem as pressing as the needs we find here. but it is precisely our situation on earth that I believe offers the best arguement for the colonization of the solar system. Why? The sciences have learned that OUR place in this biome we call earth is fragile, and it just might be out of control. In fact, it is out of control. We are train running into a mountain's side. We see it, and we'll hit it, and we'll close our eyes.


    the space shuttle IS over-rated.


    and personally i hope to see a space-elevator someday. a much cheaper and perhaps a much more environmentally friendly way to escape this gravity well

  17. TVOntario by Kevin_Cedrone · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Tonight on Studio2, a 3-member panel debated the virtues of the manned space program from a cost-benefit stance, from the human-wonder-fulfillment stance and the most interesting, from the "all of humanity's eggs in one basket stance".

    SciFi author Robert J. Sawyer [link] explained that the space program is more than just about vanity, or the desire to prove worth. If it weren't for curiosity, none of us would have left Africa some 6-7 million years ago.

    I believe the space program is necessary, because it allows us to test new technologies to their limits. Like pens that can write upside down...

    I would also like to point out that NASA seems to be ignoring the first A. That's a great error in my eyes. Atmospheric transportation will always be more common than interstellar imo.

    The final thing I have to add, is the fact that humanity will reach a population impasse. Even if (hopefully when) all of the world develops, and rates of population increase drop, consumption of natural resources will eventually deplete reserves. I believe space exploration is but one link in the chain that will lead us away from Earth, and towards a new home. Maybe one with track lighting?

    1. Re:TVOntario by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      If it weren't for curiosity, none of us would have left Africa some 6-7 million years ago.

      Though the rest of the world would probably have appreciated that...and African society would be a lot less of a mess today (it frankly couldn't be any more screwed up than it has been by our expatriate exploitation and abandonment).

      Arguments for all the great potential accomplishments that humans might achieve falter against the stark history of what we already have. Perhaps we should aim lower. Than, say, geostationary orbit.

    2. Re:TVOntario by The+Cydonian · · Score: 1
      If it weren't for curiosity, none of us would have left Africa some 6-7 million years ago.

      That's an overreaching generalisation on an evolutionary process that took place, as you mention, 6-7 million years ago. While I'm not an authority on human evolution, I think it's fair to say that curiousity need not necessarily be the primary reason. The quest for food, for instance, could be one possible reason.

      But all the same, your point about curiousity being a motivator for exploration raises an interesting point, albeit in a socio-cultural sense. One of the very interesting things about the history of exploration is that most explorers were European; there were very few Oriental explorers. Why didn't any Easterner "discover" Europe, just as Vasco da Gama "discovered" Goa in the late-16th century? As an old National Geographic article (can't remember the issue/year; sorry) once pointed out, European explorers needed the East; by the fifteenth century, the ancient Silk Route was closed by marauding invaders. The West needed to re-open a trade route to the exotic East to continue its import of spices, perfumes and tea. There were pecuniary benefits here; the explorers were, actually, entrepreneurs.

      My point is simple:- projects such as the ISS or even the trip to Mars are all fine, inspiring and impressive, but as long as there's no real economic motive, I don't think space exploration can survive.

      So, the question is, can space bring in the big bucks? Quite possibly, yes.

    3. Re:TVOntario by AndroidCat · · Score: 1
      Like pens that can write upside down...

      *SPLORF*! By coincidence, I have one of Robert J. Sawyer's pens sitting in front of me right now that was left behind at the last Ad Astra SF convention. SFWRITER.COM

      No, I have no idea if it'll write upside down.

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
    4. Re:TVOntario by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Like pens that can write upside down...Like pens that can write upside down... ...and the russians discovered pencils !!!

    5. Re:TVOntario by azzy · · Score: 1

      > If it weren't for curiosity, none of us would have left Africa some 6-7 million years ago.

      I'm not sure that's why we left Africa.
      It was probably more related to natural migration to seek new food supplies, expanding population, etc..

      > test new technologies to their limits. Like pens that can write upside down...

      How much money did this cost? When the Russians solved the problem with pencils. What's more valuable, ability to throw mney at a problem til it is solved, or ability to use some intelligence?

  18. Basic Research by seanmcelroy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The payoff for continuing involvement in the expensive field of space exploration lie not in the development of a commercially viable model from the exploration itself. Rather, our incentive is a contribution to the great body of knowledge known as basic research.

    While I won't deny that it's great to gain knowledge for its own sake, that's really not the point. Governments for years has understood the value in making significant contributions to basic research so that private firms can capitalize on those findings and bolster the economy of the nation making the investment. Whether or not that model is viable in today's global, instantaneous information-sharing age is debatable, but to continue in that mentality, we must look beyond such tragic, yet short-term disasters such as Columbia and understand where we would and would not be without our ventures into space experimentation if we were to cease. Leadership demands sacrifice.

    --
    Be very, very careful what you put into that head, because you will never, ever get it out. -Thomas Cardinal Wolsey
    1. Re:Basic Research by ike42 · · Score: 1
      Basic research is very valuable and worth investing in. But NASA's manned space program does the most expensize and lowest volume basic research in the world. I'm not denying that some some research only possible in space, but would it not be more productive to give the roughly $10 billion dollars per year to the National Science Foundation?

      The money wasted in the manned space program could be funding thousands of scientist and educators on the ground.

  19. Curious by LongJohnStewartMill · · Score: 0, Interesting

    Just out of curiosity, but if we send people to Mars, how in the hell are they supposed to get back? I mean, are they going to set up a launch pad themselves, or will they send a space limo over to pick them up? Is the atmosphere of Mars similar to Earth's?

    1. Re: Curious by Niadh · · Score: 4, Informative
      Just out of curiosity, but if we send people to Mars, how in the hell are they supposed to get back? I mean, are they going to set up a launch pad themselves, or will they send a space limo over to pick them up? Is the atmosphere of Mars similar to Earth's?


      The escape velocity of Mars is 5.03kps as compared with Earth's 11.2kps escape velocity. That figure is based on its gravaty.

      As for the atmosphere, here is more info out of a Newsletter from the Coconino Astronomical Society about what is in the atmosphere and how they know. You may want to read the whole letter at http://www.lowell.edu/cas/news/2002_sep. pdf (warning! it gets boring fast).

      In order to determine if a gas is retained by a planet, the following formula is used.

      Escape velocity of molecules = the square root of (2 times Boltzmann's constant times the effective temperature / molecular weight times the mass of the hydrogen atom).

      The escape velocity of Mars is three miles per second. Therefore, Mars has carbon dioxide and no water vapor in its atmosphere. Carbon dioxide has a molecular weight of 44; water has a molecular weight of 18. Obviously, water vapor requires much less energy to escape the Martian gravitational pull than carbon dioxide. Hydrogen and helium molecules are not present in any of the inner planets because of their atomic weights of one and four, respectively ...

  20. We need bigger goals by targo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I have never really heard a good explanation, why we need the ISS and Shuttle, and how exactly are they supposed to help us achieve bigger goals like spreading life elsewhere in the Universe or making spaceflight commercially viable.
    Going to the Moon was a good example of the opposite - we picked a real high target, of which we weren't really sure how to achieve it, and set it as a clear goal. And when working toward the goal, we made tremendous advances in science, creating many new practical technologies and materials.
    ISS, on the other hand, has never been a grand target, we have always played it safe, always known how it is would be achieved, so basically it is just an expensive toy, there is nothing fundamentally new to be discovered by building it.
    If we concentrated our efforts on something bigger, like flying to Mars or creating a Moon base then we might not get immediate gratification. But working towards these tough but clear goals would create a motivation for making all kinds of smaller advances that would all support the main goal, just like they did in the sixties. For example, we could solve the closed ecosphere problem, the technologies from this advance alone would have the potential to significantly improve everyday life.
    But instead no one is willing to take risks any more, and we are stuck with doing the same stuff over and over again, putting all sorts of junk in low Earth orbit, something that we have known how to do for ages, and trying to convince ourselves that we are making great progress while actually being stuck in an Escher house.

    1. Re:We need bigger goals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is because every journey, even the longest must begin with the first steps...

  21. Good Reason by digital-959 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The space station provides an excellent oppertunity to inspire and motivate others into science fields. So even if it costs billions of dollars or even trillions, if it means that some kid is motivated into science so that they perhaps discover something like a way to stop ageing or a new metal type, it would be worth it. Plus there is the moral issue, if we can put a man on the moon, and launch people into space and have them live there, doesn't it just show how much we have progressed? I mean if it means more girls end up like the ones at Digital Teenz then perhaps it is worth the risk and expense. But judge for yourself, and remember its your tax dollars at work!

    1. Re:Good Reason by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is again, crazy. If you want to inspire and educate people, the best use of the money is to hire more and better teachers, not spend it on an orbiting husk.

    2. Re:Good Reason by machine+of+god · · Score: 1

      Right. Plus your drop shock squad mk2 can now make orbital insertions anywhere. And aerospace complex restrictions for orbital imporvements are waived.

      yeah. That would be nice.

  22. Space Elevator feasible? (Re:What I'd like to see) by tamnir · · Score: 4, Informative

    I'd also like to see a space elevator persued, but I don't know that we have the tech yet. Then again, I haven't looked into it that much either.


    According to this article mentioned earlier on Slashdot:


    "Technically it's feasible," said Robert Cassanova, director of the NASA Institute for Advanced Concepts.

    [...]

    The key to the concept's feasibility lies in the material that will be used to construct the ribbon between the Earth and outer space. Nanotubes are essentially sheets of graphite -- a lattice of carbon -- seamlessly rolled into long tubes that are mere nanometers in diameter. These are 100 times as strong as steel, but much lighter.

    "Carbon nanotubes are rapidly developing," Cassanova said. "They are not long enough to stretch from Earth's surface to 62,000 miles, but there are a number of organizations working on that now."
    --
    I code, therefore I am.
  23. I'll get modded down for this, but oh well... by Ryu2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    i hate to be a cynical bastard, but i can't get past the fact that the columbia tragedy is little more than a glorified car accident. i don't want to belittle these deaths--because death is an awful thing--but people die everyday by much more inhumane and unnecessary means. the columbia explosion is sad, yes, but these astronauts are no more saints than the hungry children dying of malnutrition in africa everyday. and we sure as shit don't memorialize them, the thousands that die because instead of buying them bread and milk we use our billions to research why our flying tower of babel got too hot and caught fire on reentry. instead of creatively finding ways to get AZT and other retrovirus drugs across the atlantic, we perfect an unmanned plane capable of launching smart missiles from a few hundred feet at whoever it is we feel like assassinating.

    maybe--just maybe--we rally around national tragedies± because we need to create a pain to counter balance the numbness of our mundane life necessary to keep from hating ourselves. or maybe we really are the navel-gazing, imperialistic gluttons that the world thinks we are, incapable of imaging a world beyond Must See TV and the Cosmo sex quiz, too callused to even give a damn. how did we get here? where are we going? where have we been?

    boy, this generation needs a hero.

    --
    There's 10 types of people in this world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
    1. Re:I'll get modded down for this, but oh well... by seanmcelroy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's a good point that perhaps we are focusing perhaps too intently on the life lost in the Columbia accident compared to other deathes around the world, but I disagree in part to the idea our expenditures in space are ill-placed.

      If we want to develop tomorrow's cures for AIDS or other diseases that grab our attention in horrific ways or otherwise improve our quality of life, we have to expand our knowledge -- in some ways only experimentation in space can. Granted, it's not a panacea for every social ill, but Tower of Babel I think is going too far. The rewards we reap in applications for healthcare, engineering, and otherwise could be used for the greater good or to become a nationalistic bully. However, that's a rather short-term effect.

      Instead, if we invest everything now in our close-to-home problems, we might solve those problems. What about the future? We won't be prepared if we don't look ahead.

      --
      Be very, very careful what you put into that head, because you will never, ever get it out. -Thomas Cardinal Wolsey
    2. Re:I'll get modded down for this, but oh well... by IvyMike · · Score: 4, Insightful

      i hate to be a cynical bastard, but i can't get past the fact that the columbia tragedy is little more than a glorified car accident

      Astronauts risk their lives for the best of motivations-- they want to advance science. You can question if the space shuttle is the best way to do this, but I don't think you can question the motivations. And maybe I'm hopelessly naive, but the advancement of science is a great thing. NASA wants to make the world a better place by furthering our understanding of the universe. They want to expand the notion of what it means to be human. They want to visit the stars, and this is the first step.

      And when the space program suffers a setback, when these men who are carrying the hopes and dreams of a better future for everyone die, it's pretty discouraging, and worthy of my grief. There's that moment of doubt -- maybe we are just glorified fucking monkeys who should give up and stop trying to be anything more.

      But I'm convinced that man has done great things, and these great things always started with men and women willing to push the notions of what these monkeys can do. We need a hero? We already have them.

    3. Re:I'll get modded down for this, but oh well... by gilroy · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Blockquoth the poster:

      Instead, if we invest everything now in our close-to-home problems, we might solve those problems.

      Almost certainly not. We've been trying to solve these problems for literally thousands of years and seem only infinitesimally closer. A major benefit of space exploration and development is the possibility it offers for real paradigm-shattering. It's clear we must do things differently, if the species is to survive the next hundred years; and there's absolutely no reason to think that, confined to the same place, we will do that.
    4. Re:I'll get modded down for this, but oh well... by vvikram · · Score: 5, Insightful


      No offence but _yes_, you SHOULD get modded down for this. Not because what you say is *unorthodox* but you have got the wrong *reasons* for your argument

      Pushing the envelope is always done by a select few. Thats why they are heroes. Why are Formula-1 drivers heroes ? They are ready [sorry for the cliche] to "go where no man/woman has gone". Every advancement _especially_ space is taken with risks and the people who come forward to shoulder the risks for the first few times - cheaply put , those who are ready to be guinea pigs for the betterment of humans _ARE_ DEFINITELY heroes in my book. right ?

      Why dont we mourn the death of starving kids? I come from India and I have seen what you say exactly. You bet I agree with you and we should mourn them. But you shouldnt ask why we _are_ mourning the death of the shuttle astronauts. They _were_ pioneers who died for a cause.

      Thanks.
      vv

    5. Re:I'll get modded down for this, but oh well... by rollingcalf · · Score: 1

      It's not just about seven lives, but the enormous investment made in those lives and the value of the work they do. Each mission cost $300 million, the craft cost $10 billion, and each of those individuals spent decades of their lives preparing for it, with millions spent on them in the process.

      That has now literally gone up in smoke, in addition to the loss of what would have been gained from future missions. The contributions of the space program to science - including a wide variety of medical techniques such as mammograms and treatments for chronic dizziness - have been hit with a big setback, and it makes people both angry and sad to think of what those billion$ could have done for starving people in America and elsewhere, instead of tossing it into a program that blows up every 15 years.

      --
      ---------
      There is inferior bacteria on the interior of your posterior.
    6. Re:I'll get modded down for this, but oh well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I'll get modded down for this, but oh well...

      You should get modded down because your comments are totally off-topic. This story is not about a Heartbreaking National Tragedy. It is about furthering the space program.

    7. Re:I'll get modded down for this, but oh well... by giminy · · Score: 1

      Well, I have some karma to burn, too, I guess.

      Science suffers from the law of diminishing returns. It takes more and more money to get less and less useful data back as time goes on. Early scientific discovery (like Newton's discovery [okay, open to debate because the guy stole all his work from others] of the gravitational constant) cost very little money; now we're spending millions of dollars to send small ant colonies into space to see if they still build their tunnels correctly (yes, this was an actual experiment on Columbia in January).

      My question is when do we stop? After a while we're going to have tried a lot of meaningless experiments which teach us a lot of things that don't improve the world at all. At that point we'll just be doing these for knowledge alone. That's all fine and good, but I don't consider it noble.

      It's true that our curiosity and pursuit of knowledge helped us get where we are, but now we're left in a state of meaningless discovery.

      --
      The Right Reverend K. Reid Wightman,
  24. How can a shuttle die? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It wasn't ever living.

  25. This is not off-topic, mods. by mikeophile · · Score: 5, Informative

    The main part of the Benford's article is that the primary problem of space travel is dealing with the lack of gravity to maintain human bone and organ health.

    Cats spend up to 20 hours a day sleeping and yet still manage to stay fitter than most human gymnasts.

    Purring creates vibrations through the cat's body helping to maintain muscle and bone density.

    Transducers in an astronaut's suit could produce similar resonant vibrations. These vibrations could simulate the stresses of g-forces by rapidly moving the astronaut a very small distance back and forth.

    Sorry I didn't connect the dots for you in the original post.

    1. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by Vishi+Troll+182 · · Score: 1

      I found this informative. Just goes to show the mods are total dumbasses. Who want to put money on this post getting +5 informative?

    2. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by Rinikusu · · Score: 2, Funny

      "Hey Jim, looks like you had too much coffee, might want to put that down.."

      "Aw heck, Joe, it's just the damn suit again..."

      "Oh.. Don't let Sally see that.."

      --
      If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
    3. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by Happy+go+Lucky · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Transducers in an astronaut's suit could produce similar resonant vibrations. These vibrations could simulate the stresses of g-forces by rapidly moving the astronaut a very small distance back and forth

      Maybe it would work for bones. I doubt it, but maybe.

      OTOH, I can already guarantee it won't do anything for muscle. The only way (yes, the ONLY) way to cause muscle to increase in mass (or to even retain mass) is to force it to work against resistance. That's why people wishing to increase strength lift weights.

      Obviously, that's not an option in space. A decent weight set will weigh 400-500 pounds all told, when you have to lift it and pay the weight penalty, and then won't weigh anything at all in orbit. A 275-lb barbell is enough resistance at Earth-surface gravity that I won't try to bench it without a spotter. That same barbell would make for a pretty poor workout when it has inertia, but no actual weight.

      Maybe this calls for one of the rubber band contraptions. Bowflex, SoloFlex, and the like are not that great-the best thing to do with them is to call them pop-art coat racks. However, in the absence of gravity they might be the only real option.

      Which brings up another question: Has NASA ever put returning astronauts on anabolic androgens? (What the uninformed call 'steroids?') The one legal use they have in humans in the US is to speed recovery from injury, and they might play a part in recovering from long orbits and the resulting bone and strength loss.

    4. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by great+om · · Score: 1

      What about using electricty to stimulate the muscles? Might that work?

      --
      ------- Oh damn.... the Sigfile escaped... -Great OM
    5. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by Veteran · · Score: 0

      Sorry, you are dead wrong. Muscle mass comes when the insertion and attachment of the tendons at the ends of muscles are put under stress. It has NOTHING to do with working the muscle against stress by lifting weights. It is possible to grow muscle mass just by massaging the tendons at the ends of muscles, this is sometimes done with bed - ridden patients.

    6. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by idommp · · Score: 1
      Cats spend up to 20 hours a day sleeping and yet still manage to stay fitter than most human gymnasts.

      I have friends who swear that people who sleep with a purring cat are healthier. (sorry but I prefer a dog - it's warmer).

      Anyway, the solution to loss of bone mass might just be to send a few cats along. Just strap a couple to each astronaut and maybe the humans would benifit.

      Reguarding REAL science, have we ever put a cat in orbit for a long enough duration to see how feline bones react to zero g? This purring thing might actually have merit but we'll never find out by sending robots into space.

    7. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by Reziac · · Score: 0

      Anabolic androgens have all sorts of nasty side-effects, including some that are destructive to other tissue and organ -- may not be a very good trade-off.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    8. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Cats spend up to 20 hours a day sleeping and yet still manage to stay fitter than most human gymnasts.

      Someone hasn't been paying attention when a fat cat was in the room. Just because someone wears a fur coat doesn't mean they are slim and muscled.

    9. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by Happy+go+Lucky · · Score: 1
      What about using electricty to stimulate the muscles? Might that work?

      Unlikely.

      You've probably seen the gadgets on television claiming to use electrical impulses to work muscles in ten minutes a day without effort.

      They're nonsense. Electrical stimulation is occasionally used for physical therapy, but in those cases it's excruciatingly painful (it takes a LOT of electricity to make a muscle charley-horse itself enough to gain or maintain strength, which is what they do) and the only reason PT's really use them over resistance exercises is for patients who need to work the muscles but must not be allowed to move the joints.

    10. Re:This is not off-topic, mods. by id · · Score: 0

      I have had physical therapy using electrical stimulation, while it is somewhat painful I think anyone willing to go to mars would put up with it...I would again for the chance.

  26. Uhhh... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Remember when we sent people to the moon? We had a landing vehicle? I'd suspect we'd do something similar.

    1. Re:Uhhh... by LongJohnStewartMill · · Score: 1

      What about the strong gravitational pull of Mars? It's gotta be quite a bit more than the moon... That's the main reason why I was asking.

    2. Re:Uhhh... by KewlPC · · Score: 1

      Mars' gravity is 38% of Earth's, IIRC.

    3. Re:Uhhh... by fredrik70 · · Score: 1

      atmospereis prettymuch non-existent compared to earth. THe gravity pull is 0.34g IIRC. Yes,we'll need more trust than when we're on the moon, but still fairly small. The actual spaceship for the trip back would be in orbit around mars.

      --
      if (!signature) { throw std::runtime_error("No sig!"); }
  27. Baby Boomers by DoktorFaust · · Score: 5, Interesting
    The past Director of NASA said to me a few years ago that he thought the agency had about a decade to prove itself. Around 2010 the Baby Boomers will start to retire and the Federal budget will come under greater pressure.

    I think that this is an excellent point. Having grown up in the 1980s and 90s, I watched NASA's budget drastically shrink relative to the GDP and I watched NASA stumble along at a terribly slow pace with minimal public support. One can't help but think how great it must have been in the 60s and early 70s when the public was jazzed and scientists were having fun. But this is a frightening point...

    Can it really get worse? I personally feel there might be something to this: what happens when a large part of the population suddenly retires, the nation goes broke? Can interest shift further away from space exploration? Is this our last chance to get people interested in NASA before we see an even greater decline in public support?

    What do you think?

    --

    Die Menschen verhoehnen was sie nicht verstehen. -- Goethe.
    1. Re:Baby Boomers by KlausBreuer · · Score: 1

      Hey, major off-topic post. I tried to email you, but can't...

      "Die Menchen verhöhnen was sie nicht verstehen. -- Goethe"

      Great quote, Dr. Faust. Please fix the speeling error, though. It's "Die Menschen verhöhnen..." ;)

      Ciao,
      Klaus

      --
      Free PC version of ChipWits at http://www.breueronline.de/klaus/chipwits/
  28. Benford doesn't know what he's talking about by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Benford apparently isn't aware that centrifuge experiments *have* been conducted on the space shuttle. Or that Columbia was carrying a physiology experiment that would have done a lot for revealing just why exposure to zero-G causes orthostatic intolerance [inability to stand or remain standing].

    Specifically, the 1998 STS-90 mission [Neurolab], among other things, studied how humans perceived centrifugal motion in the absence of an existing 1G gravity vector. This mission was designed to study the vestibular system, but others have looked at cardiovascular effects.

    The long and the short is that it helps some, but the inertial problem is still sticky. Worse, it tends to make the astronauts sick. Losing track of your vertical tends to make your body do bad things.

    A simple review of Pubmed/Medline would have showed all of this. But then, Benford's strength always was was fiction, wasn't it?

    Actually, I've read his work. I don't think fiction's really a strong-point, either.

    1. Re:Benford doesn't know what he's talking about by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 3, Informative

      I think Benford had a much larger centrifuge in mind than either the STS90 or STS107 experiments.

      Boeing designed a centrifuge module for the ISS that was a bit larger--2.5 meters or so, but it's not for human use.

    2. Re:Benford doesn't know what he's talking about by abreauj · · Score: 2, Informative
      Specifically, the 1998 STS-90 mission [Neurolab], among other things, studied how humans perceived centrifugal motion in the absence of an existing 1G gravity vector. This mission was designed to study the vestibular system, but others have looked at cardiovascular effects.

      It seemed to me that Benford was talking about the long-term effects of centrifugal motion on the human body. Those experiments weren't keeping the subjects under continuous centrifugal motion for months at a time, so I think his point is still valid. Spinning the shuttle for a few minutes is hardly a test of long-term effects.

    3. Re:Benford doesn't know what he's talking about by doom · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Yet another brilliant Anonymous Coward wrote:
      Benford apparently isn't aware that centrifuge experiments *have* been conducted on the space shuttle. Or that Columbia was carrying a physiology experiment that would have done a lot for revealing just why exposure to zero-G causes orthostatic intolerance [inability to stand or remain standing].

      Specifically, the 1998 STS-90 mission [Neurolab], among other things, studied how humans perceived centrifugal motion in the absence of an existing 1G gravity vector. This mission was designed to study the vestibular system, but others have looked at cardiovascular effects.

      The long and the short is that it helps some, but the inertial problem is still sticky. Worse, it tends to make the astronauts sick. Losing track of your vertical tends to make your body do bad things.
      The radius of the centrifuge obviously matters *a lot* if you're talking about having people live in them for long periods of time. The acceleration gradient of a centrifuge is really weird when you're near the axis: imagine a radical change in "gravity" when you stand-up or sit-down. Imagine "gravity" being stronger at your feet than at your head. The point of using the long tether gimmick is to get a flat acceleration gradient that more closely approximates a planets surface gravity.

      Take a look at the "off-axis rotator" they used in these Neurolab experiments. It's really *small*... no wonder if it made them sick: Astronaut Training for The Vestibular Team Experiments

      A simple review of Pubmed/Medline would have showed all of this. But then, Benford's strength always was was fiction, wasn't it?
      Gregory Benford's technical credentials are somewhat better established than yours, Anonymous: Gregory Benford Professor Plasma Physics and Astrophysics
      Actually, I've read his work. I don't think fiction's really a strong-point, either.
      And, not that it's relevant or anything, but some of his fiction strikes me as being some of the best SF written in the last several decades (I'm a fan of "Across the Sea of Suns" myself).
  29. Centrifugal Gravity by umofomia · · Score: 5, Informative

    This article on spacefuture.com has a pretty good analysis of what centripetal forces we should be looking for in deciding to build a rotating space station. It takes into account not only the physics, but also the effects of this artificial gravity on humans (since there is a significant effect due to Coriolis forces that make it behave differently from natural gravity).

  30. Curious ignorance by amigaluvr · · Score: 5, Interesting

    One thing I have noticed on looking at information about the space programs for various country's

    I have asked many people lately who was the first woman in space. Invariably the answer is either "I don't know" or "Sally Ride". This is such a pity

    The world is amazingly ignorant of the history of space exploration. This is saddening. Considering the absolute minor number of injuries and deaths involved in space exploration compared to what has actually been happening, it is all rather amazing.

    1. Re:Curious ignorance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What other answers could people give? Ride was the first woman in space on June 18 1983, aboard Challenger - while it's not as common knowledge as the first man in space, or first man on the moon I think it's good people at least know her name, especially considering how few people cared how often the shuttles run. What would be more interesting is just HOW many people knew. any stats there?

    2. Re:Curious ignorance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, sally ride was the first woman in space if you ignore every other country apart from the US

      russians put a woman in orbit decades before

    3. Re:Curious ignorance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative
      I have asked many people lately who was the first woman in space.

      Laika! But she was kind of a bitch.

      Really - Valentina Tereshkova, the pilot of Vostok 7. The only thing remarkable about Sally Ride (or other "female firsts") is that women in the west were prevented from pursuing that field for so long. The Soviet Union had no shortage of flaws, but they were more equal-opportunity than the West.

      And actually I rather dislike the story of Laika. She was sent to her death (an unpleasant one, slow suffocation, dehydration, or burning up) and they knew they had no way to get her down. The Americans weren't much better, killing lots of monkeys and chimps. At least by the time they actually managed to get a primate in orbit it was late enough that they were also able to land it safely. Maybe there's a message there about prematurely putting humans in space...

    4. Re:Curious ignorance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Tereshkova was also one of the youngest astronauts. She was 26 when she orbited. The youngest I think was Gherman Titov. My memory is a bit hazy, but he may have been the 2nd russian in space.

    5. Re:Curious ignorance by KewlPC · · Score: 1

      Actually, the Russians had poisoned what would have been Laika's last meal, so that she would have died a quick and painless death.

      Unfortunately, she didn't live long enough to eat that last meal; IIRC there was a problem and she was cooked alive. I don't remember for sure, but I think that the craft itself remained functional for a while after Laika's death.

    6. Re:Curious ignorance by mangu · · Score: 1
      What other answers could people give?


      The correct answer, for instance. If you check this NASA site, you will learn that "On June 16,1963 Valentina Tereshkova was launched into space aboard Vostok 6"

  31. Let's Stay Up by Lede+Singer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have to say that I agree with you, I think it's important to continue space exploration at all costs. I doubt we'll live to see the discovery of alien life form or interplanetary travel, but that doesn't mean there aren't quite a few reasons to keep humans in space if not other "objects".

    For one, how many technological advances have been created from our desire to reach into space? How many products have reached the basic consumer market because people at NASA (or wherever) thought them up.

    Second, there are too many unknowns. Money aside, there are many reasons to continue space exploration (including the space station) and almost no reasons to stop it.

    Third, we have no need to stop exploration. When the gov. runs out of money then maybe I'll concede, but for now, we're all fine and there's no need to stop the programs. If it's not broken, then don't fix it.

    So, I don't feel that the Shuttle accident should have any negative impact on any countries space programs. Astronauts know the risk they take, and certainly they understand far better then me how insanely difficult it is to fly into space and back. Frankly, I'm amazed we can do it at all, but hell, the internal combustion engine boggles me sometimes.

    I feel that in this situation, it's better to learn from the mistakes that were made instead of refusing to take any more risks.

    1. Re:Let's Stay Up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > For one, how many technological advances have been created from our desire to reach into space? How many products have reached the basic consumer market because people at NASA (or wherever) thought them up.

      Not that many actually, when you look into it. Computers didn't get miniaturised because of NASA, they got miniaturised because people like Robert Noyce were curious.

      Apart from that, Teflon and Velcro seem like a poor payback for all that spending (of course, I am defining payback in the narrowest possible terms).

      The benefits of space exploration are much more to do with scientific discovery. The benefits of *manned* space exploration aren't even to do with science, they are much more cultural.

    2. Re:Let's Stay Up by somers96 · · Score: 1

      You think its worth 300 million dollar a launch!? We wasted money by putting "pork-barrel"_John Glenn back to space! We also had to fly three doctors on the mission to protect FACE because of Glenn! Lets do something better, design a safer system and stop putting PC free-riders into space. We would do better by hiring the Russian designers to produce something outside of our lobby-happy-kickback-congress!!

  32. Space Tourism! by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 5, Interesting
    About the only thing that has a hope of cutting costs of reaching orbit is space tourism.

    The problem at the moment is that space is too expensive; even the Russians charge thousands of dollars per pound, and they've got the cheapest launchers going.

    The reason for the high cost? We don't launch enough. The point is that if you look at the technologies out there, this one might save you 20%, that one 10% etc. But each doubling of the number of launches typically saves you 15%; and it's a gift that carries on giving. The minimum cost for launching into space appears to be very low; comparable to the cost of a Concorde flight, the amount of fuel used per person is somewhat comparable.

    Therefore we need a purpose for space that requires launching a lot. Space Tourism is likely to meet that niche.

    Reliability is of course the second question after price. However, take the Shuttle; it's extremely likely that both crashes are caused by design flaws in the Shuttle; and that the number of flaws that remain undiscovered will decrease over time. Therefore the reliability of the Shuttle should increase, and there's no known limit to how reliable launch vehicles can be.

    It seems from surveys that many people would like to go into space, so the interest is certainly there. If the low cost vehicles are available, then it permits travel to low earth orbit. Mars, the moon, the asteroids would then be possible, and it seems that LEO is more than halfway to these places.

    --

    -WolfWithoutAClause

    "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    1. Re:Space Tourism! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's a small handful of people out there trying to support this tourist in space idea such as here http://www.xprize.org/

    2. Re:Space Tourism! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Reliability is of course the second question after price. However, take the Shuttle; it's extremely likely that both crashes are caused by design flaws in the Shuttle; and that the number of flaws that remain undiscovered will decrease over time. Therefore the reliability of the Shuttle should increase, and there's no known limit to how reliable launch vehicles can be.

      I think your Darwinian method of increasing shuttle reliability - fly em, blow em up, the one left is bound to be the most reliable - is probably not going to be a method space tourism companies would feel confortable recommending to their paying customers.

      The shuttle is *inherently* unsafe because it is simply too complex.

    3. Re:Space Tourism! by orn · · Score: 1

      I do believe in space tourism, but unfortunately it is also going to be plagued with some very bad accidents. That alone will hurt its chances of success far more than your financing issues.

      Your understanding of failure analysis is flawed. Instead, think about it in terms of probability. You can never get the probability of failure to zero, something can always go wrong. You build in contingencies and over design systems to improve their chances, but they're never zero.

      You said: Reliability is of course the second question after price. However, take the Shuttle; it's extremely likely that both crashes are caused by design flaws in the Shuttle; and that the number of flaws that remain undiscovered will decrease over time. Therefore the reliability of the Shuttle should increase, and there's no known limit to how reliable launch vehicles can be.

      What you neglect is that the more launches you have, the more often you test that reliability figure (MTBF if you're thinking conservatively, FITs if you're an optimist). The more tourists you send up, the more likely you will kill some of them. It will always be impossible to bring that probability to zero.

      So you do your best. You design the best system you can, you analyze every failure and rework the system to keep that failure from happening again. But most of all, you prepare the public for the fact that there WILL be failures.

      And when they happen, you move onward. Onward and Upward.

      --
      1. 2.
  33. "Failsafe" Does NOT Exist by aerojad · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Especially in the space program, you can not, never in a million years, expect any launch vehicle to have a 100% safety record. Fine, how about 99%? Well for every 100 missions, you'll have another Challenger/Columbia. You figure it out. Disasters like this will happen because in order to get out there, get where we want, do the research we desire, advance ourselves as a species that (sadly too little of ourselves) desire, the risk will have to be taken to get out there.

    The internal combustion engine... wonderful invention, and how many people went on to die from trains, cars, and planes. Numbers by now in the *taking a stab in the dark* hundreds of thousands, but look at the benefits, how much more quickly goods and people can be moved from point A to point B. Took a lot of suffering, a lot of checks and rechecks, a lot of "well person x was killed so kill project x" noise from people who can't accept change and their mouthpieces in the media.

    My largest hope from all of this is that the end result that is achieved is better, faster, safer, cheaper, more technologically advanced space vehicles will be spawned, and the exploration shall continue.

    Read your alternate history... there should have been a story on slashdot sometime in 2000 with a title like "Man Lands On Mars".

    We can do a heck of a lot more than we currently do. Somebody just needs the balls to get the ball rolling.

    --

    SecondPageMedia - Wha
    1. Re:"Failsafe" Does NOT Exist by KewlPC · · Score: 1

      Especially in the space program, you can not, never in a million years, expect any launch vehicle to have a 100% safety record.

      I agree.

      I hate it when people say the shuttle has the highest failure rate of any launcher, because it isn't true. We just don't hear about the other failures, because people go, "Oh boy, Rocket Type X failed again, and so now Corporation Y has lost another satellite." The Arianne 5 (or whatever it's called), for example, has an insanely high statistical failure rate, much more so than the shuttle.

      With that said, looking at the shuttle's failure rate in a purely statistical manner gives one a skewered view. Some people say, "1 launch in 60 has failed!" without actually doing the math. If one out of every 60 launches failed, that would be only a 1.6% failure rate, aka a 98.4% success rate. A 100% success rate is impossible, and even a 99% success rate would mean that 1 out of every 100 launches ended in disaster.

      And let's also consider that while 1 of the 2 catastrophes was part design flaw (which was fixed), and part "It's good enough, so launch it already" thinking, the second catastrophe seems to have merely been caused by an accident (the tank insulation striking the wing).

      The Columbia should have been retired years ago. At about 25 years of age, it was the oldest of the shuttle orbiters. Additionally, it had the misfortune of being the "first run" of the space shuttles, and all the problems that come with that. IIRC (I could be way wrong on this), the other shuttles were actually constructed a little differently than the Columbia was, based on lessons learned.

      As another IIRC, and additional evidence that the Columbia should've been retired years ago, the Columbia was completely worthless as far as supporting the ISS goes, because it was the only shuttle that couldn't actually reach the ISS. I could be wrong about that, though.

    2. Re:"Failsafe" Does NOT Exist by Reziac · · Score: 1

      That's what we all thought back in the days of the moon landings -- Mars, here we come! After all, the principle is the same, just further away.

      But somehow the idea lost its luster -- maybe because moon rocks weren't all that different from Earth rocks (like you expected 'em to be loaded with alien spores or unknown elements??)

      As to failsafe -- exactly, there ain't no such animal. My first thought was "but what about the long list of missions that *didn't* crash??"

      Statistics, that marvelous tool for frightening the masses into huddling in their bomb shelters. Bah.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    3. Re:"Failsafe" Does NOT Exist by ic3p1ck · · Score: 1
      well person x was killed so kill project x


      Not to nit pick or anything but should that be 'person x was killed so kill project y? ;)
    4. Re:"Failsafe" Does NOT Exist by aerojad · · Score: 1

      damn you... lol (yes)

      --

      SecondPageMedia - Wha
    5. Re:"Failsafe" Does NOT Exist by machine+of+god · · Score: 1

      Right, but you have to admit, there's something to be said for not having a kaboom failure mode. There has got to be a way to avoid that at least.

  34. Not space station, not Moon, Eros! by rufusdufus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I say we should turn the asteroid Eros into a space colony. Drill into one end and hollow out a burrow. Add an airlock. Power it with power sats. Then you have a space station. Over time you can build a larger alcove to house hundreds of people. Spin it up to one G. Strap some nuke drive on it and you have a real spaceship.

    1. Re:Not space station, not Moon, Eros! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Interesting idea.

    2. Re:Not space station, not Moon, Eros! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      If asteroids are part of exploded planet they should be diamonds there right on the surface, and gold and a lot of other valuble minerals. It would make sense to send a robot there with a laser powered spectrum analyzer and check the dust on the surface of the asteroids for anything of value.

      It makes much more sense to colonize asteroids because the launching capsules from asteroids to Earth is so easy that any football player can do it. Launching from the Moon is already too expensive unless the crater full of already polished diamonds will be found.

      Plus studying asteroids can help us to protect the Earth from meteorite impact. We can learn how to move them or how to break them apart when needed.

    3. Re:Not space station, not Moon, Eros! by isorox · · Score: 2, Funny

      That's no moon.. Its a space station!

  35. We owe Mars to our parents and our children by mpthompson · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Having been born in the mid-60's, I really don't have any memory of the golden era of space travel. For my generation it seems that NASA has always been struggling to keep it's budget and to find some purpose worthy of its original mission to get to the moon in one decade. The planetary missions of the late 70's and 80's were exciting to people like me who were interested in astronomy and space, but even these missions seem to be a fading memory.

    Now that I have young children, I would truly love to see this nation embark on a bold adventure that will ignite and challenge their imagination. Even if NASA started planning a Mars mission tomorrow it would be at least a decade or more before the first landing. I would relish being able to raise my children against the backdrop of having such a mission planned and follow with them each step necessary to take the next giant leap for mankind. From such an ambitious mission perhaps my children and their generation will learn by example that with planning, courage and commitment this nation can continue to achieve great things. Perhaps, just perhaps, their generation would then be inspired to take the next leap beyond the inner solar system, and so on, and so on.

    As I see it, we pay so much in taxes for things that are mundane and temporary. I would not object to a small sliver of my taxes going towards something that is not so much for us, but for the generations to come. Just as our generation does not lament the money and resources spent by our parents four decades ago to reach the moon, our children will not lament the money and resources it will take to reach Mars. They will only lament if our generation fails to have the vision and courage to take the next steps beyond those taken by our parent's generation.

  36. post-Shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Let's take a holiday from crewed space exploration and put the $ and effort into developing cheaper and more reliable launch and recovery technology, and continue our robotic missions in the meantime. Shuttle launches at $300-$500+ million each are a ticket to bankruptcy for NASA, not a stairway to space. Money matters - ask the folks who used to run the Soviet Union.

    We've learned a lot in the third of a century since the Shuttle was designed - new refractory materials, thermal flux reduction by better aero boundary layer control, simpler and more reliable boost propulsion systems (hybrids), aero control through surface plasma generation, orbital reboost using solar electric magnetic thrusters, autonomous robotics, etc. We can build a far better launch system today than we could in the 1970s.

    The Shuttle is old stuff. It's neither as good as we need, nor as good as we can do. Whenever we launch one, we loft about 180,000 pounds of mass into orbit that we have to bring back, after delivering a payload of around 55,000 lbs. If the Shuttle were operated as an expendable vehicle, we could put nearly a quarter of a milliion pounds into low earth orbit every time we push the button. Wouldn't you rather put the ISS up with 10 launches than 50 launches?

    Rethinking the Shuttle doesn't mean scrubbing human presence in space. It simply means thinking for the long haul, considering how best to get the "stuff" (infrastructure) up there (expendible launch) and add human presence for assembly, test, and operation only as really needed (Shuttle follow-on systems). Expendible launch systems operated in intelligent balance with crewed systems will give us routine access to space lots sooner than "manned every time" systems.

    However our nation decides to go forward, we owe a debt of gratitude to our fellow Americans who are willing to hazard their lives in going to space. They are among our best and bravest. For the Challenger and Columbia crews, I hope within the next couple of decades, somebody writes your names on a cliff on Mars in remembrance. With any luck, it will be one of your sons or daughters who does it.

  37. The U.S. will not drop out of manned flights... by Nice2Cats · · Score: 4, Insightful
    ...when the Chinese are getting ready to send their first "taikonaut" into space, are talking about a moon landing, and a whole bunch of other things. I'm sure they'd be glad to take over the ISS for those poor old Americans, Europeans, and Russians, who just don't have the right socialist spirit (or any sprit, for that matter). Bitch all you want about national prestige, the Communists still believe in that stuff, and there is no way Congress is going to sit around while a bunch of Reds turn cartwheels over our heads.

    So, als long as there are Communists, manned space flight is safe...

    1. Re:The U.S. will not drop out of manned flights... by Nice2Cats · · Score: 1
      You're an abusive troll, but then I've got some time on my hands while waiting for the snow plow...

      1. The Chinese have done more than "planning", as the BBC article quoted pointed out. The last time people said they were "only planning" something was the 16th of October 1964, when China detonated its first atom bomb. These people are neither primitives nor stupid, and have a really big chip on their shoulder.

      2. Kim is the leader of North Korea, which is not China the way Canada is not the United -- uh, the way Sweden is not Italy. Since we're about to go to war against North Korea (again), you might want to read up on this. China has nukes, North Korea might have nukes. Big difference.

      3. I'm married.

    2. Re:The U.S. will not drop out of manned flights... by LS · · Score: 1

      Hey married person,

      Democracy and Communism are two sides of the same illusory Realpolitik coin.

      You are in space right now - just a section of space that happens to have a lot of atoms nearby.

      The game is diplomacy (read: conquest).

      LS

      --
      There is a fine line between being a cultivated citizen and being someone else's crop. - A. J. Patrick Liszkie
    3. Re:The U.S. will not drop out of manned flights... by cmpalmer · · Score: 1

      Actually, I'm hoping the Saudi's invest some of their oil money and start planning the Martian Islamic Empire. If that happened, we'd be all over the solar system within a century.

      --
      -- stream of did I lock the front door consciousness
  38. What use is the ISS and the Space Shuttle by knowledgepeacewi · · Score: 2, Insightful


    I have never really heard a good explanation, why we need the ISS and Shuttle, and how exactly are they supposed to help us achieve bigger goals like spreading life elsewhere in the Universe or making spaceflight commercially viable.

    I'll take a wack at this.

    The ISS will allow the space based construction of larger space craft. One of the biggest problems for long range exploration is the cost of sending up large crafts. If instead we can blast small crafts up to the space station with components and build the "Enterprise" in space, it will cost much less.

    The Shuttle and its Human payloads are a means for us to learn about the dangers and physical consequences of space on us. Not to mention, that the shuttle is necessary to supply the ISS with the supplies it needs to expand and preform research.

    Both the Shuttle and ISS have been used for space based research. It used to be the case that the standards of measurement were based on earth. These were imprecise due to gravity and other constraints. Thanks to research in space (where there is no gravity) certain new measuring standards are being used in scientific study on earth.

    The two together work as baby steps on our quest to tame the wilds of space, something that we're approaching responsibly.

    1. Re:What use is the ISS and the Space Shuttle by Jeremy+Erwin · · Score: 1

      The exciting goal in many people's minds) is Mars.

      But we should remeber that when NASA decided to turn it's attention away from merely "launching men into space" (Mercury) and towards "going to the moon" (Apollo) there was an intermediate program (Gemini) that served to solve potential problems associated with the Apollo design.

      Gemini astronauts help perfect docking in space (which a Lunar Orbit rendevous demanded), and longer term space flight.

      The goal should not be "to build a space station" but to "develop an experimental platform for testing problems associatef with long duration spaceflight".

    2. Re:What use is the ISS and the Space Shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > The ISS will allow the space based construction of larger space craft. One of the biggest problems for long range exploration is the cost of sending up large crafts. If instead we can blast small crafts up to the space station with components and build the "Enterprise" in space, it will cost much less.

      This is crazy. It doesn't cost less, it costs more - vastly more.

      In his book 'The Case For Mars' Bob Zubrin demonstrates how this 'starship enterprise' model of space exploration is what has held back Mars exploration. The costs of hauling all that equipment into space, bolting it together, testing it etc. is what causes the cost to escalate to around $200 billion (and that's a conservative estimate) - too high to get approved. Zubrin's simpler, Apollo-type 'live off the land' model comes in at only $40 billion on so (over the cost of 10 years).

  39. That's all well and true.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...but there's no money to be made in giving someone free fish. What you are SUPPOSED to do is teach them how to fish, and then sell them fishing poles. You don't better a nation by giving it freebies. You better a nation by getting it sober, standing it up, and giving it a push in the right direction. If we just give them food, they will just continue to beg for food from us. Besides, if they're so hungry over there, where do they get the energy to keep fucking and making new mouths to feed? There's not enough food for them, so how are they going to feed their children? What a bunch of fucking retards. They should do the world a favor and drown themselves. Then again, if they were living in America, they would be rewarded with welfare checks. These people are a disgrace to the human race.

    1. Re:That's all well and true.... by EdIsSoKewl · · Score: 1

      What we achieve in life is the result of an intricate interplay between nature and nurture. For people who live in poverty, suffer disease and malnutrition, lack basic education and employment and are often caught in the middle of armed conflict, achieving what those of us in the rich world have achieved is not a realistic option. Do you really think you would have become the suave sophisticate you are today if you had grown up in those conditions?

      People must take responsibility for their own lives, but they need a decent environment in which to do it. Many of the rich, comfortable people don't seem to understand this. Rich-world governments perpetuate policies that make the lives of the most miserable even worse, and yet are shocked when those same people don't behave rationally and lash out angrily and despirately. What the hell do they expect? We all have a responsibility to make life livable for everybody. If we don't, it will come back to haunt us eventually.

  40. Re:Space Elevator feasible? by knowledgepeacewi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    My prediction is that it will happen.

    They failed 6 times before succeeding in stringing the first telegraph line under the Atlantic Ocean.

    They barely had steam engines running and they were already linking Europe to American across an OCEAN. THat is the power of human innovation and drive.

    Now everytime we lay down wire across the Atlantic it can hold more bandwidth than all of the other wire previously put down.

  41. a commercial advantage by rufusdufus · · Score: 1

    I believe that the commercial exploitation of solar power via power satellites is the most likely conduit for space access. Power satellites are the first high profit use of space I have seen.

    Once in place, the maintanence costs for these power generators will make space travel seem quite cheap for the cost incurred.

    1. Re:a commercial advantage by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 1
      Yeah it could work. But you need to borrow a lot of money to get it up, the payback is atleast 6 years, and the cost of the electricity was about 8c a unit from the figures I've seen.

      Space Tourism has a gradual path it can take; just more and more people going, price gradually coming down and down.

      SPS needs an antenna 100m across in space from the get-go or you get no energy. That's 10s of billions right there, at the most optimistic.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
  42. Forward! by Bloodmoon1 · · Score: 1

    One thing we must not do (and I'm quite glad I haven't seen a post on it yet, if only everyone could be as smart as /.ers) is let the Columbia disaster set us back, or even stop us for going into space at all. A common thing I here when I talk to most people about space is, "We should solve our problems here before we waste all kinds of money on space." I think this has to be the worst outlook people could have on space. NASA barely gets any money anyway, and part of our problems on Earth are that we're over crowded, going to space will probably only help. Our big goal should be to get to the stars. Not just Mars, an asteroid, or even Pluto, which are all important steps along the way, but to get out among the galaxy and then the Universe. Granted, we probably have several billion years before we must leave, but we will have to someday. And this isn't just something we can put of for our great great great grand children to deal with, by then it might be to late. It's important that whatever we do, we always push forward the boundries of technology and of ourselves and into the great unknown. Onward!

    --

    Request: ECM unit, 1000 km fullerene cable, 1 tactical nuclear weapon. Reason: Birthday party for foreign dignitary.
    1. Re:Forward! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I couldnt disagree more. So we want to spend money to explore space, while we wipe out species on our own planet? We cant take care of our own. Once space exploration becomes possible, with the little minds we have it will quickly become space exploitation. No, our current goal should be to end strife and warfare here, and explore the world we live in. We are not ready to shoot for the stars. If we find life out there, and they know how our civilization has worked out thus far, how should they treat us? Do you think they want a McUniverse? I dont think so. The space program is a waste of money and a waste of time. I have never been inspired by space travel, nor is my son. He likes to look in the telescope and see the stars but at age of four he has said to me "Daddy, why are we going there? We are not ready". Out of the mouths of babes........

    2. Re:Forward! by Bloodmoon1 · · Score: 1

      I hope you see the ignorance of your post.

      The space program is a waste of money and a waste of time.

      Yet the computer you type on is a product of, not only technology initially devised for war, but also for the space program. Look around. Light weight materials, flat panal screens, in fact, most technologies you and many others take for granted today, are all spin-offs of technologies at first used in the space program. Today, we're living off of the fruits of the Apollo program. Just imagine what will be possible in 20 years thanks to, in no small part, technologies and research done by the current Shuttle fleet. And we can't even imagine what sort of advances will be made in the next hundred or thousand years thanks to space, or what we may never know if we leave now.

      So we want to spend money to explore space, while we wipe out species on our own planet?...our current goal should be to end strife and warfare here, and explore the world we live in.

      I'm not saying we should just give up here and write Earth off as a lost cause. Do we still have a lot of work to do here? Of course, but we have even more to do out there, and there's no reason we can't do both. Explore the world we live in? Explore what? With the exception of some very high mountains and very deep oceans, we don't have much left here to explore. We have something close to 100 worlds to explore out there in our solar system alone. You tell me where we have more to explore. And as much as I'd like to say I'd like to see a end to war, I know it won't happen. I'm what I like to refer to as realistic. Besides, war has, despite what everyone else may think, solved more problems throughout human history than everything else combined and has advanced humanity further then we thought possible. The flat screen on your computer (or one you may like to have) is a spin-off of space technology, which is derived from rocket weapon technology captured from the Nazi's at the end of WW2. I suppose you oppose war on Iraq on the grounds that it's a war, no matter how good the cause, even though we'd personally end that countries strife (see: Afganistan). But I digress.

      If we find life out there, and they know how our civilization has worked out thus far, how should they treat us? Do you think they want a McUniverse?

      I'd assume in the great big galaxy that exists, capatilism is likely to have found a home with at least one other species. And I think our civilization has worked out nicely. Your old enough to have children yourself, so you must be at least 20, probably closer to 30+. Now without good old medical technology (not so much from space this time) developed by our "poor" civilization, you would probably be close to your expected life span. This assumes you haven't already been killed in a war that dragged on for some 50 years (which they don't anymore, thanks again to our civilization and space. JDAM's are beautiful things). It's easy to sit where you are now and try to critique what you think is flawed with our world, but the reason you are able to be in such a position is because of those advances. You may not see it, but I would expect nothing more.

      The space program is a waste of money and a waste of time. I have never been inspired by space travel, nor is my son. He likes to look in the telescope and see the stars but at age of four he has said to me "Daddy, why are we going there? We are not ready". Out of the mouths of babes........

      That they heared from the mouths of their parents. First, being 4, your kid shouldn't be inspired by space travel, he should be inspired by a new toy or book. Most kids don't quite comprehend space travel, and apparently, some never do. The only way a 4 year old is going to say anything that ignorant is if they heard it from a parent first. Kids hear things and then repeat them for about the next month. And usually, as is the case with a kid getting in trouble at school for swearing, they repeat the worst selection of the garbage they hear. You're really doing your kid a big disservice if you're putting these ideas into his head now. My goal is to see a new star in person before I die. Will it happen? Probably not, but do I always have something to aim for and is everything else a lesser goal than that at this point in time? Yes. And what will his goal be? Probably to be just like his dad... I weep for the future.

      --

      Request: ECM unit, 1000 km fullerene cable, 1 tactical nuclear weapon. Reason: Birthday party for foreign dignitary.
  43. A Space Program Derived From American Values by Baldrson · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Gregory Benford and his colleagues at NASA have, for tragically obvious reasons, never been leaders in pointing out that incentives are far more effective in general than central programs. It is unfortunate that Benford's latest column still, even after the Columbia disaster and the example of the X-Prize, didn't apply the basic American values of fair contest to space policy. Seminal figures in the technological advances that lead to basic advances in transportation technology were conducted by private individuals competing for privately funded prize awards. These included the Wright Brothers, Henry Ford and Charles Lindbergh.

    This sort of incentives-based policy is in the tradition of American values. It should be no surprise that such values are being eroded as the 'nation of immigrants' changes from pioneering independence to bureaucratic dependence. The use of a socialist bureaucracy to explore space is a fundamentally different experiment that other proven American approaches to expanding the resource base available to humanity.

    In 1989 I was working on grassroots legislation to reform NASA's launch services policies. This led to the passage of P. L. 101-611, The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990which required NASA to procure launch services from private vendors whenever possible. This is common sense if proper boundaries between public and private functions are to be maintained. As radical as this may sound to many who see NASA as a space transportation company, it was, in fact, Presidential policy at the time and the legislation was therefore, in fact, redundant, but bureaucratic inertia demanded separate acts by the Legislative branch to reinforce the Executive's own command structure. This legislative effort started out as an attempt to passsomething along the lines of the Kelly Act of 1925 (which formed the basis for Jerry Pournelle's recommendations first put forth by his Citizen's Advisory Council for Space Policyin 1980), but compromised when it became clear that resistance from NASA, and its contractors, to citizen involvement in space policy was so intense that serious reform would be impractical. My testimony before Congress legislative follow-up to P.L. 101-611 made recommendations for a focus onincentives for commercial investment, rather than plans or "programs". An example of incentives-based legislation, applied to fusion energy policy, was recommended for passage by Bussard, R. W., one of the founders of the US fusion program in a letter confessing some of the subterfuge to which technical leaders resorted. It is still quite relevant today given the reliance on Middle Eastern oil and problems with fission energy. The point here is that incentives are more effective in general than governmental programs.

    The first settlers in America experienced enormous causalities their first years they were in America. Entire colonies were lost. The original colonies included a substantial variety of fundamentally differing approaches to settling North America. America's frontier wasn't built by a centrally controlled bureaucracy -- and there is no reason to expect such a bureaucracy will take Americans to their next frontier.

    Space policy is a touchstone of American values since Americans are spiritually a pioneering culture. Let's not forget who settled the frontier, how those "immigrants" differed from later immigrants, and what sort of "program" they had to settle the new frontier.

    1. Re:A Space Program Derived From American Values by praedor · · Score: 1

      While I do believe it could be helpful to encourage private endeavors, I am also leery of this because of the profit motive.


      NASA, being a publicly funded organization, does basic science and materials research as a matter of course. The results of such work are accessible to whoever wants it. A private endeavor would be more interested in making money and in patenting any and all data/materials/procedures they devise and would thus hide information from the public. Science and business is a BAD thing. It is bad for science in general. Science thrives in/requires an environment where the results of experiments are openly published and where others can continue or branch from those results with their own expermiments without fear of patent suites.


      Corporations rarely do basic science but they ALWAYS tap into the results of basic science to drive their private (anti)science for profit. There is a place for this but it should not be the major source of scientific space research.


      Ultimately, encourage private ventures but in no way depend upon them at the expense of public ventures where the data and materials science is open for view.

      --
      In Bushworld, they struggle to keep church and state separate in Iraq as they increasingly merge the two in America.
    2. Re:A Space Program Derived From American Values by Animats · · Score: 1
      America's frontier wasn't built by a centrally controlled bureaucracy...

      Spain's was, though. The Spanish colonization of the new world was run by a bureaucracy back in Spain. The paperwork for the Cortez expedition still exists, down to the pedegrees on their horses.

    3. Re:A Space Program Derived From American Values by radtea · · Score: 1
      The first settlers in America experienced enormous causalities their first years they were in America. Entire colonies were lost.

      There is little or no evidence as to the fate of the first colonies in America, although we know that ultimately some of the most enterprising and capable must have survived. It was over ten thousand years ago, after all.

      --Tom

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
  44. I had the same initial reaction...but by knowledgepeacewi · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I couldn't understand at first why the Columbia crash was such a tragedy when so many people are suffering all over the world.

    But if you look at the lives of any one of the astronauts you'll see that every day of their lives they worked hard to be the best that they could be. They reached for the stars and sacrificed the comforts of earth to help all mankind in our pursuit of a higher goal. They knew the high risks of space travel and went anyway...to help all of us. I don't mourn their loss, but appreciate their lives for how they lived them. Each of them was a hero.

    Wherever you have people you'll have conflict and corruption and evil. The space program gives us some hope of getting away from all of that. Colonizing new places and having new beginnings where just maybe the world won't turn out the way the Earth has.

    It'll be a cold day in Hell before we solve ALL of mankind's problems. Giving people hope and a sense of wonder may just help that cause more than throwing money at all our other problems.

  45. A question of cash by DavidTurner · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think NASA's current paralysis can be explained in part by their attitude towards money. What I have in mind is the famous space pen story - the Americans spend millions of dollars developing a space-pen, the Russians use a pencil. The article makes some interesting comparisons between the two programs, and it seems that the very budgetary constraints that are causing the Russian program to decay were the driving force behind some of its better/safer innovations. The Russians have always done clever things on a shoe-string, whereas the Americans have tended to go for the white elephants. Perhaps NASA should employ some of those Russian rocket scientists? IN SOVIET RUSSIA.... naah.

    1. Re:A question of cash by KewlPC · · Score: 1

      Except that the Americans got the last laugh... sort of. The Russians found that graphite dust from the pencils got EVERYWHERE, thanks to the lack of gravity.

      Although I do agree that, unfortunately, a lot of NASA is just pork barrel stuff.

    2. Re:A question of cash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.snopes.com/business/genius/spacepen.htm

    3. Re:A question of cash by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The leadership NASA is too much involved in shuttling taxpayers money into the pockets of contractors. In Soviet Union all the money were already appropriated by the government so there was no need to steal. And now there is nothing to steal.

      Space exploration should become business or it will take us forever to move from Model T to Ford Escort. We need a manufacturing plant in space and a cheap way to drop the product back to Earth. There are no raw materials in orbit, delivering them from Earth is out of question, launching from Moon is also too expensive, only asteroids have both raw materials and the easy launch option.

      Asteroids mean business but stealing taxpayers money is easier and naturally NASA goes the easy way. They are not stupid. We are.

  46. We need to get kids excited about space also by Whatsmynickname · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I agree with having a long term goal of going to Mars. If it takes 100 years to solve the problems, so be it. However, if we're ever going to do anything noteworthy in space after going to the moon, we need to start getting today's kids excited about space again. I remember how much I was wrapped up in all things space as I was growing up in the 60's and 70's, but I don't see any kids today being engaged the same way.

    We need as many as possible to buy a telescope and use it, show what's there to our kids. Share it with the local elementary school (I did this last year and 99% of those attending we're just astounded with seeing what's up there). Attend local astronomy star parties. We need to buy rockets from the hobby shop and launch those things with our kids. Take them to see real rocket launches (like we did recently at Vandenberg) and show them what's happening when they go into orbit (via a space sim like Celestia). Go to see IMAX 3D space shows. If you're in Southern California at the right time, take the kids to JPL's open house or to Vandenberg's open house. Launch ballons with a camera on it and take pictures from the edge of space!

    Just do something to get more and more people excited about space and going to Mars. Don't let kids think that Star Wars is the true model of space flight. Don't let people think we know everything there is to know about space. Just do something. Everyone who gives a crap about space should do something, and not just sit there.

    1. Re:We need to get kids excited about space also by praedor · · Score: 1

      If the goal is Mars and it is longterm, as in 50 to 100 years, then it is over and can be forgotten. There is NO project in any country at any time in history with that sort of longterm plan. Such a plan is as silly as the economic plans set out by US Presidents in which they map out the deficit, etc, over a span of 20 to 30 years. Their plans are GONE they instant they are out of office. At that point, all bets are off and the new prez gets to set a bogus goal set off in the future when he/she will not be in office.


      NASA needs to regroup and quit kissing political butt. They need to focus on what their intent/purpose really should be and then do that to the greatest extent possible. Scientific research/exploration is it. In most cases that means robots but in some cases it requires humans (as Benford mentions, no robot or series of robots can properly explore Mars the way a team of humans can). They need to go with the best means of putting robots in space but also make allowance for human cargo on occassion. This is not mutually exclusive. A good series of rockets of various sizes is all that is needed. The heavy lift boosters designed to haul heavy equipment, satellites, and humans aloft (to REAL orbits rather than the pathetic 200+/- mi orbits available to the shuttle).


      They need to quit dinking with people in space and actually get on board to SOLVE the problems of humans in space, and that means research for that purpose rather than cutsy high school science projects with ants or bees, etc. There are a list of problems involved with having humans in space. Enumerate them and work on them with humans, period. The other crap is either not worth the expense of sending it into orbit or can be better performed by unmanned craft.


      A real leader would dump the space station. It is a LOSER. The only way it could possibly be made useful is if it were squarely to become focused on testing humans-in-space problems...PERIOD. Give it the means to test centripedal gravity. Give it the means to develop closed biological support systems. That is all it should do...and get it into a frickin higher orbit.

      --
      In Bushworld, they struggle to keep church and state separate in Iraq as they increasingly merge the two in America.
    2. Re:We need to get kids excited about space also by Reziac · · Score: 1

      In our day, space exploration was brand new, therefore exciting. For kids today, it's always just "been there". That's not exciting, any more than a telephone is to us (tho it was a big deal to our grandparents).

      And there's not enough of a space industry so to speak for that to be a realistic job market, thus not much draw toward career-training in that area. Nor will there be, methinks, until private industry gets seriously into the act.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    3. Re:We need to get kids excited about space also by fredc · · Score: 1

      Reasonable people can debate whether the shuttle, ISS, or current space program are accomplishing much, or whether they will truly lead us somewhere.

      However, I believe there is also a broader issue. As a 45 year old, I grew up with the wonder of space travel. We got up early to watch the Mercury & Gemini launches, and were tranfixed watching the lunar landing. This has survived (witness the number of these discussions going on) to the present day -- to the disdain of my kids, I watched NASA TV as the Pathfinder/Sojourner landed on Mars a few summers ago.

      But we have lost that. With no real goal, space travel has become common place -- obviously not truly, but in the mind of the public. While my childhood heros (at some level) were astronauts, those of the recent past are stock traders.

      A result of this (at least in the late 90's) was and increase in MBA's along with a large decline in the number of math, science, and engineering graduates.

      My bottom line: without the national goal, we have lost our way. Whether it was the scientific goal per se, or the challenge of "beat the Russians", we had a goal, and as a society, we rose to the challenge.

      Americans and, at present, the human race, seems to need such a challenge. Not necessarily science for science sake (too many folks consumed with "joe millionaire"), but the competition or target to achieve.

      IMHO, we (be it Congress, the President, whoever) needs to set the strategic goal of Mars by 2010 (or 2012, whatever), and move toward that target. Without these challenges, we thrash.

      We need to renew the sense of wonder with science and exploration.

      --
      -- GroupIQ = (Minimum(members individual IQ))/Count(members)
    4. Re:We need to get kids excited about space also by leandrod · · Score: 1
      A result of this (at least in the late 90's) was and increase in MBA's along with a large decline in the number of math, science, and engineering graduates.

      You are kidding, right?

      The US has been a place were educational levels were relatively low. It was not so when education was not mandatory, then US churches did a better job on literacy then their European equivalents. But since mandatory education became the norm, the average European and Far Eastern school is much better the their US equivalents. Granted, Ivy League universities and the schools leading up to them are top-notch, but today they are just mostly forming well-educated crooks because the supreme value for US people is money.

      That the space program gave average education in the US a boost is a myth. Only some good schools were needed to that. What really gave some improvement was the Cold War comparisions with what was reported (but not necessarily in truth) of the USSR schooling standards, and racial integration. Now the US compares itself to no one, thinks it is better because it houses MS & Intel to mention only two of the biggest pigopolies in the World, and racial integration has taken an ugly turn with quotas perverting the goals of education.

      Anyway the Sputnik was a crisis. You can't use a crisis to drive a nation over so many decades. To do that you need shared belief in virtues and values, and good ones at that. Only God can give you that, and He doesn't just because you want a challenge to be the first. He makes you want either Himself or at least Truth or Salvation, or something the like.

      --
      Leandro Guimarães Faria Corcete DUTRA
      DA, DBA, SysAdmin, Data Modeller
      GNU Project, Debian GNU/Lin
  47. Eyes on the prize... by Genda · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This is so lame...

    What is the point of NASA and the Space Administration;
    1. Military space support
    2. Space-based business
    3. Learning about the nature and evolution of the universe.
    4. Getting a significant number of human beings off the planet before the sun get's too toasty to support life on the third rock.

    The first three items need a cheap and reliable facility for getting hardware up as often as possible. The shuttle was never designed for this duty. The next generation human transport won't be either. There has to be two tracks for getting stuff up there. One track for hardware, flown by wire and robots, managed with a minimum risk to human life.

    The next track needs to be a safe, effective, relatively inexpensive way to get large numbers of people off the planet and back again safely. By separating the tasks intelligently we should be able to cut costs and design time, and build optomized systems for the appropriate tasks at hand.

    Next we need to stop pissing billions away on pointless millitary spending designed to blast little brown people into giving us their natural resources. There're plenty of resources circling the sun, and the first ones to begin mining them are going to get filthy rich (that includes enough hydrocarbons to float the Iraqi's in an ocean of oil.) We need to stop playing footsies with our neighbors and get the heck off the planet. If we diverted 25% of the millitary budget to space exploration, development, and utilization, we'd be visiting substantial cities at L5, the Moon, and on Mars within all our lifetimes. Things on the big happy checklist of skills to develop include;

    1. Protecting people from hard/solar radiation outside the earths magnetosphere.
    2. Creating a sustainable, portable biosphere (3 feet of water surrounding a living enclosure would stop virtually all of the hard radiation, as well as insure sufficient water for living in sustained trips into space, and providing a barrier to high velocity microparticles.)
    3. Providing artificial gravity, the problems of bone loss are the tip of the iceberg for long term exposure to zero-G. We are optomized for 1 G living and less will causes serious long term problems. We already have the research to indicate the long list of problems associated with zero and low G living. We may even need to build rotating structures on mars and the moon to provide suitable gravity (building structures on rotating arms like a centrifuge, to provide additional artificial gravity.
    4. Isolating or biology from their biology. Until we actually begin the serious process of teraforming a planet... we need to make sure their bug don't infect us, and our bugs don't infect them. This is going to be a solid gold bitch. We don't even have a clue how to do this (bacterial sporse can survive vacuum, high temp, hard radiation, and deep cold. In short, we don't even know how to sterilize our tools and ourselves to the degree necessary to indure the saftey of our people and any rare ecologies we may contact.
    5. We have to improve our ability to move through space... we have to move so much faster. Chemical rockets are just not going to feed the bulldog, we need to do so much better.
    6 We need to come up with a sane means to explore space, in such a way that the entire world receives a share of all the benefits, while those who put up the big wagers, receive a fair portion of the rewards. As it stands, international law, UN conventions, and a variety of treatise, make truly rewarding exploration of space virtually impossible.
    7. We need to have a 5, 20, 20, and 50 year plan that suggests we haven't somehow lost our Father's testicles somewhere in the haze of Lunar exploration. Our parents and their parents, had more testicular fortitude in their little fingers that the entire damn nation has in it's 50 states. What kinds of stories of hardship did the persevere through to get to this country and to succeed here, ultimately planting human foot step on the moon. How many of them died striving for something better for themselves and the children's children. We run out of steamed milk for our lattes and life ends are we know it...

    I feel for the men and women that died so bravely. I especially feel for their families... now suck it up, don;t make their sacrafice a popcorn fart in the wind, and let's get on with the business of advancing the entire species.

    The answers my darlings are out their waving at us...

    Genda B.

    P.S. If it comes out that this was another avoidable tragedy resulting frmo the cutting of cost and cutting corners by greedy contractors... I suggest the next shuttle be tiled with high level managers from both the guilty corporation and NASA as an indication that we are not amused.

    1. Re: Eyes on the prize... by Queuetue · · Score: 1

      It's good to see more people stating that they are sick and tired of the candyass world we live in.

      The U.S. (if not the whole world) needs to get it's balls back, and redevelop some of our decency, pride, and respect.

    2. Re: Eyes on the prize... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to get our eggs out of this basket before the Sun bakes it. Long before then, as this planet will be hit by several big rocks during the next several billion years. We are not living in a closed ecosystem, there's a whole universe out there that interacts with us.

  48. There's a Moon up in the sky, it's called the Moon by Tumbleweed · · Score: 2, Funny

    You know, another great thing about the Moon over Mars is the decorating possibilities. No, seriously, it's all grey, so you can match that with any colours you want in your habitat. But Mars, all that orangey-red, you know _that's_ gotta reduce your available colour choices something awful!

    Plus, check out the view from the Moon versus the one from Mars. The Sun is a spec in the sky from Mars, but the Moon not only has the same view of the Sun as from Earth, it's also got the Earth in the sky - how fantastic is *that*?!

    And for the "This Old Habitat" crowd - all that Moon dust should make for some schweet mooncrete mix for making places to live. I dunno about the Mars dirt...

    And that's not even _talking_ about all the free green cheese...

  49. "Science" on the shuttle is a waste of money by Scarblac · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Disclaimer: I haven't read the article. This is about a newspaper article I read yesterday, that I think fits in this discussion.

    In the Dutch paper "Volkskrant", there was an opinion piece by a biologist yesterday. He explained that currently, the experiments done in the Shuttle are nowhere near worth their money. The experiments done (like what's the effect of zero-gravity on species x) test no important hypotheses and the outcome is usually not published in high profile magazines.

    Once in a while, every scientist working in a field that could possibly have something to do with zero gravity research gets a request for ideas for experiments. They're basically begging for things to add to shuttle science missions. He doesn't really take these things seriously, since these experiments never test anything important. The important stuff (what's the effect of long term zero grav on humans) has been pretty much covered by now.

    Also, a Shuttle flight costs $500 million. You can run his institute on that for a hundred years.

    So his proposal is to give the $500M to the scientific community instead, to be used for pure science, and see if the scientists themselves spend it on experiments in Shuttles. "Of course they wouldn't".

    --
    I believe posters are recognized by their sig. So I made one.
    1. Re:"Science" on the shuttle is a waste of money by mrfrostee · · Score: 1

      Disclaimer: I haven't read the article...

      Then you probably would not be interested in reading the STS-107 Press kit (http://www.nasa.gov/columbia/STS-107_PK.pdf), which has some good detail about what we expected to learn from 60 or so experiments on Columbia that you dismiss.

      there was an opinion piece by a biologist yesterday ... The experiments done (like what's the effect of zero-gravity on species x) test no important hypotheses and the outcome is usually not published in high profile magazines.

      Many colleagues of "a biologist" would disagree. Try searching PubMed for "microgravity" or "spaceflight" for thousands of examples, and biology is not the only microgravity science discipline.

      Once in a while, every scientist working in a field that could possibly have something to do with zero gravity research gets a request for ideas for experiments. They're basically begging for things to add to shuttle science missions.

      That's not how it works. Like other government funded research, periodic Request For Proposals are issued. Scientists (mostly at Universities) submit proposals for experiments. These are peer reviewed to make sure the science is worthwhile. Experiments that don't require microgravity (or other resources only available in space) are eliminated. Funding is tight, and competition is high.

      The important stuff (what's the effect of long term zero grav on humans) has been pretty much covered by now.

      We will probably never know all "the important stuff" about science, and there is much to learn besides the long term health effects of zero-g. Microgravity science is one area where we are still taking our first steps.

      Benford is correct when he says the ISS does not do much toward developing an artificial gravity environment suitable for Mars missions, but that is not its purpose. Most of the research being done on ISS is there specifically because it has little gravity. Developing "centrifugal gravity" is an (interesting) engineering problem, but not research. Some people criticize the Apollo program as great engineering but little research, a "stunt" that served little purpose beyond its entertainment value. When we decide to go to Mars (or the Moon, or LEO) to stay, it will be for the research.

  50. it's partially the fault of corporations, right? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    How come in the news I haven't heard that Boeing, Westinghouse and other large firms that perform a huge amount of contracting on the space shuttle should be taken to task over this accident. Why is this a government fault when it's very possible it could be the fault of major corporations too? People and companies that perform the maintenance on the shuttle are just as responsible as the engineers that design the vehicles.



    just my $0.02

  51. In 1989 I was working on grassroots.... by knowledgepeacewi · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You said:
    In 1989 I was working on grassroots legislation to reform NASA's launch services policies. This led to the passage of P. L. 101-611, The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 [google.com]which required NASA to procure launch services from private vendors whenever possible.

    You're admitting to this?!?

    You must be be asking for a beating. Either that or confessing your sins.

    The biggest problem in our corrupt government is that our agencies are forced to farm out to the lowest bidder instead of building the parts that they need themselves for one tenth the price.

    If Government agencies were allowed to run their own factories for essential military and space exploration equipment we wouldn't have half of the failures that we do from shoddy equipment in our military. _AND_ it would cost less (in the long run).

    But I guess greasing the palms of politicians and getting your buddy or your district a lucrative government contract at the expense of space exploration and US tax dollars is worth it.

    1. Re:In 1989 I was working on grassroots.... by benzapp · · Score: 1

      If Government agencies were allowed to run their own factories for essential military and space exploration equipment we wouldn't have half of the failures that we do from shoddy equipment in our military. _AND_ it would cost less (in the long run).

      Here is a challange: You provide an example of one government owned factory ANYWHERE IN THE WORLD which produces superior products.

      Hint: You won't. This is why even Communist china allows private business these days. Government ownership of business doesn't work. Its a fact. Its been tried. It has always failed.

      Deal with it.

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
  52. Re:Space Elevator feasible? (Re:What I'd like to s by AndroidCat · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'd like to see them build a few simple bridge cables before trying a space elevator. Those would be a good proof-of-concept before tackling the much harder job. And Catch-22 is that in order to build a space elevator, we'd need fairly good conventional space capability. (Fetching and positioning the counter-weight, etc.)

    --
    One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
  53. Space elevator? no thanks. by Julian+Morrison · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It may be feasible, but it's also insane.

    - It would be a money sink that would never pay back its construction costs - a tax money sink, because no commercial firm could ever get investment funding (not this side of AD 3000 anyhow).

    - It would be the worst sort of governmental monopoly, a choke point where everyone must bow and scrape to the groundbound owners, in order to get a lift.

    - It would be The Definitive Terrorist Target - and the bad guys only have to get lucky once. It would be utterly indefensible from a simple kamikaze attack, being so long that no weapons installation could keep cover over its whole length without weighing it down.

    - It would be a murphys-law magnet, untested technology carrying staggering tension loads in atmospheric, vacuum, radiation and electromagnetic conditions that would be experimental at best. And that's even before an orbiting piece of space junk slams into it.

    - And it would be a catastrophe waiting to happen, when (not if) it snaps and rains megatons of carbon cable down upon the ground below.

    Bleh.

    1. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by Richard+W.M.+Jones · · Score: 5, Informative

      - It would be a money sink that would never pay back its construction costs - a tax money sink, because no commercial firm could ever get investment funding (not this side of AD 3000 anyhow).

      The cost is actually quite modest. Figures between $5bn and $40bn have been mentioned. At the lower end of the scale, this is about 15 shuttle launches. At the high end, it's a tiny fraction of the US defence budget. The benefits to the first company or government who does this are the ability to launch satellites at a tiny cost, build further space elevators for (relatively) next to nothing, and in the long term the full exploration and exploitation of natural resources in space.

      - It would be the worst sort of governmental monopoly, a choke point where everyone must bow and scrape to the groundbound owners, in order to get a lift.

      This is certainly true in the short term. In the longer term, many elevators can be built by different companies and governments. (Only the first elevator is expensive - once that's working the others are cheap to build).

      - It would be The Definitive Terrorist Target - and the bad guys only have to get lucky once. It would be utterly indefensible from a simple kamikaze attack, being so long that no weapons installation could keep cover over its whole length without weighing it down.

      The proposal is to have an exclusion zone around of the order of 10-100 miles. It would be extremely hard to fly unnoticed into such an area. Attacks from underneath (submarines, etc) and attacks from people actually travelling on the elevator are harder to deal with. In the end it doesn't matter however. Once one elevator is up, you build more, and you keep a few reels of carbon nanotubes "parked" in space to cover this eventuality and natural disasters.

      - And it would be a catastrophe waiting to happen, when (not if) it snaps and rains megatons of carbon cable down upon the ground below.

      Yes, we've all read Kim Stanley Robinson too. He's a good writer, but not a great scientist. A break in the cable is most likely to happen in the first 20-40 miles (ie. in the atmosphere). So the 20-40 miles of cable drops down - into the exclusion zone which is just a harmless area of sea. The top part slowly drifts off into space. There's even the possibility of repairing a broken cable by lowering more down to earth before it drifts off.

      Rich.

    2. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by mangu · · Score: 1
      It would be utterly indefensible from a simple kamikaze attack


      On the other hand, it would have intrinsic resistance to attacks. For instance. if somebody tried to crash an airplane into it, which would be likely to fail: a flimsy and lightweight aluminum structure or the strongest (by far) structure ever built?

    3. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by zulux · · Score: 2, Funny

      - It would be The Definitive Terrorist Target

      - And it would be a catastrophe waiting to happen, when (not if) it snaps and rains megatons of carbon cable down upon the ground below.


      Then we'll just put the earth attachment point right next to Mecca. Two birds, one stone, or somthing.

      --

      Moneyed corporations, non-working 'poor' and criminal prisoners are turning productive citizens into tax-slaves.

    4. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by smoondog · · Score: 1

      I personally am not totally convinced that a space elevator will work with todays technology. That said, I think that if the US doesn't do it, someone else will. If it works, the advantage that it gives the that country over the US will lead the US to persue one as well....

      -Sean

    5. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by tamnir · · Score: 3, Informative
      And it would be a catastrophe waiting to happen, when (not if) it snaps and rains megatons of carbon cable down upon the ground below.


      I'll bite.

      The ribbon would weight 7.5 kg/km (yes, that's per kilometer). So the whole ribbon with its 100,000 km would weight 750,000 kg. Of course only the portion below the severed point would fall back. If that happens at an altitude of 1,000 km (region of space debris), only a mere 7,500 kg would fall back to Earth.

      7,500 kg...

      1 megaton = 1,000,000 t = 1,000,000,000 kg

      Your apocaliptic image of "rains megatons of carbon cable" is off by 6 orders of magnitude. Not to mention that with its low density, the ribbon would not plummet down, but would probably be picked up by winds and fall quietly, much like a piece of cloth.

      Just watch out for the climber. Oh here it comes! "INCOMING!"
      --
      I code, therefore I am.
    6. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by barawn · · Score: 1

      The proposal is to have an exclusion zone around of the order of 10-100 miles. It would be extremely hard to fly unnoticed into such an area. Attacks from underneath (submarines, etc) and attacks from people actually travelling on the elevator are harder to deal with. In the end it doesn't matter however. Once one elevator is up, you build more, and you keep a few reels of carbon nanotubes "parked" in space to cover this eventuality and natural disasters.

      Actually, what I can't figure out is that attacks on anything below a huge fraction of the length of the elevator won't do anything. Nothing at all. Think about it. The way the actual elevator is manufactured, the portion in the atmosphere is the skinniest, and the portion at the edge (91,000 km away!) is the thickest. So the first 10 km of cable represent virtually no mass whatsoever.

      The top part slowly drifts off into space. There's even the possibility of repairing a broken cable by lowering more down to earth before it drifts off.

      THIS is correct, and moreso than you were implying. It drifts off slowly - VERY slowly. Do the math: assume the cable is linear in density (which it isn't, so this is even a worst-case scenario) If you remove even 10 km (which is about the maximum height than any plane could get to, or any missile could get to) you've only removed 10/91,000 ~ 10/100,000 ~ 1/10,000 of the mass: that's 0.01%! That will move the center of mass upwards 0.01%, and decrease the orbital speed by (since v = sqrt(GM/R), v/v0 = sqrt(R0/R)) 0.005%. That's NOTHING. To put it in real terms, it'd move 2 kilometers a day. That is, it'd take something like 2 weeks before it even moves out of that exclusion zone, and if memory serves, the idea was to have the base platform mobile, so that spooling it down slowly would be a trivial exercise. When you've already spooled out 91,000 km, spooling out an additional 10 is nothing.

      I really hope these guys do okay. I do know that I've been strongly considering trying to give a hand, because to be honest, if it does happen, when it does happen, everything changes. Everything. Suddenly we have a future again.

    7. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by Fyz · · Score: 1

      Wrong.
      The elevator would have to be built by a material at least 100 times stronger than hardened steel. This figure is cable-radius-independant.

      The current candidate is carbon nanotubes(even though these currently cannot be made longer than 1 mm).

      And it wouldn't be a ribbon. This would have to be a big, fat cable to handle the immense forces that gravity and acceleration inflicts over 72000 km.

      The best guess currently is 5 m radius. That would give a cable weighing in at the order of 10^13 kg. So its not megatons. Its gigatons. It would by far be the biggest structure ever built.

      However, the acceleration outwards from the end of the cable, at one g, could be the most effective launch platform imaginable.

    8. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by tamnir · · Score: 1

      FYI, the figures I gave a not pulled out of thin air, but come from the already mentioned a few times Highlift Systems Site. Do a bit of reading and come back enlightened.

      By the way, whose "best guess" is this 5m radius?

      (Hint?) Science fiction books do not science make.

      --
      I code, therefore I am.
    9. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by Fyz · · Score: 1

      Whose best guess? Well, mine, actually. first off, let me ask you this: if your "ribbon" weighs 7.5 kg/km, its radius would be 5 cm. Now, carbon nanofibers arestrong, but i would like to see anybody hanging a space station the end of a 72000 km cable with that with. Furthermore, the deformation of such a ribbon would be incredible. I'm not going to do the math, but if you are interested try to calculate what poissons modulus would have to be, integrated over 72000 km. By the way, i have read Kim Stanley Robinson, but just as science fiction books do not science make, so do wacko websites not reality make.

    10. Re:Space elevator? no thanks. by barawn · · Score: 1

      "Wacko websites" do not get $500K from NASA in a NIAC grant.

      Where the hell did you get the weight/radius crap? You don't have to make a cable -you can make a ribbon perfectly fine (it doesn't have to be a cylinder). The original idea was to use steel and taper the thing insanely before carbon nanotubes came around. With steel the cost would've been astronomical - with CNTs they're doable. The current idea is to taper it rather significantly. It'll be a ribbon - about a meter wide but a few microns thick.

      As for the deformations, it's about 10% stretch. Yes, it's under tension, but it's also got 100 GPa tensile strength. At that tension it would resist (global) deformation rather well. Locally it'd take very little to push it around, but as soon as you let go, it'd spring right back into place (and a happy wave will travel up the cable at the speed of sound, and arrive back in about 14 hours).

      Also, they're not using CNTs: they're using CNT composites. That is, you take an epoxy and dope CNTs into them. They've currently made km-length ropes of the stuff with tensile strengths of order 10 GPa, which is an order of magnitude too low, but that's with a small CNT doping, and they're still working on it. It seems eminently feasible.

      It seems that wacko science postings who stick words from a first-year engineering course do not make reality either. Check credentials before you start bashing perfectly legitimate science.

  54. Re:The Dutch didn't Pay for them by Scarblac · · Score: 1

    Who cares that this scientist is Dutch. The exact same argument also goes for American scientists. Give them the chance to spend that $500M on whatever research they think is important, instead of giving it to NASA to desperately find something slightly scientific to do with it.

    --
    I believe posters are recognized by their sig. So I made one.
  55. hummers in space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're a sicko, but what the hey, I'll volunteer as a test subject.

  56. Speak for yourself by code_rage · · Score: 1

    I normally wouldn't bother to respond to such drivel, but since it's apparently been modded up to a (4) I think it needs some sort of reply.

    The astronauts are heroes because they choose to face risks known and unknown to advance scientific knowledge. We can debate over the value of the science that NASA pursued on Columbia's mission, but there is a big difference between the absurdity of a random car wreck and the pursuit of knowledge. There is also a big difference between the astronauts and those who engage in perilous and essentially selfish and useless pursuits such as (fill in the blank with ego-driven sport of choice). If nothing else, I imagine that the Columbia failure will lead us to better knowledge of space flight (perhaps we will devote more resources to hypersonic research, ionosphere research, plasma physics and so on).

    As to African children, bread and milk, I suggest that you consider the possibility that the US is not the 'great satan' responsible for all evil on the planet. Do African leaders bear any responsibility for the problems in their countries? I guess in your world view they do not, but somehow the US is the party responsible for fixing these problems while leaders like Mobutu lined their pockets with the proceeds of their nations' treasuries. Check out Michaela Wrong's book "In the Footsteps of Mr. Kurtz" for a recent and easily accessible account of Mobutu's misrule. The book by no means excuses the US or Belgium (former colonial power of Congo), but come on! At some point these places have to take *some* responsibility for their own welfare. The worst leader in Africa today seems to be Mugabe, though it's so hard to choose from such an ill-esteemed array of kleptocrats. I suppose somehow Americans are the reason for his misrule.

    What's next on the hit list -- Oh it's the evil of our creating weapons to kill terrorists. I guess you're right, we should wait for terrorists to come here and kill us. I guess we should sit down with them and discuss how we feel about terrorism, and try to find some common ground, because after all, everyone is basically a good person, right? And we're all basically alike, right? Please. The inhumanity of individuals like those who commit mass murder by hijacking planes is obvious to me -- is it not obvious to you?

    As to the issue of self-hate -- well, speak for yourself. If must-C-TV bothers you, don't watch it, and find something better to occupy your mind than fulminating on the habits of the majority of stupid people.

  57. The exploration of space is going to continue... by 3seas · · Score: 1

    It's really a given to science.

    We simply just need better vehicles.

    Perhaps a goal is that of Spaceship of Ezekiel

    Go ahead and take a look at the patent for a wheel within a wheel. How obvious it is once seen, how foolish one feels thinging someing more complicated.

    The simplicity/safty needs to be improved on what we have.

  58. Speak for yourself by code_rage · · Score: 1

    I normally wouldn't bother to respond to such drivel, but since it's apparently been modded up to a (4) I think it needs some sort of reply.

    The astronauts are heroes because they choose to face risks known and unknown to advance scientific knowledge. We can debate over the value of the science that NASA pursued on Columbia's mission, but there is a big difference between the absurdity of a random car wreck and the pursuit of knowledge. There is also a big difference between the astronauts and those who engage in perilous and essentially selfish and useless pursuits such as (fill in the blank with ego-driven sport of choice). If nothing else, I imagine that the Columbia failure will lead us to better knowledge of space flight (perhaps we will devote more resources to hypersonic research, ionosphere research, plasma physics and so on).

    As to African children, bread and milk, I suggest that you consider the possibility that the US is not the 'great satan' responsible for all evil on the planet. Do African leaders bear any responsibility for the problems in their countries? I guess in your world view they do not, but somehow the US is the party responsible for fixing these problems while leaders like Mobutu lined their pockets with the proceeds of their nations' treasuries. Check out Michaela Wrong's book "In the Footsteps of Mr. Kurtz" for a recent and easily accessible account of Mobutu's misrule. The book by no means excuses the US or Belgium (former colonial power of Congo), but come on! At some point these places have to take *some* responsibility for their own welfare. The worst leader in Africa today seems to be Mugabe, though it's so hard to choose from such an ill-esteemed array of kleptocrats. I suppose somehow Americans are the reason for his misrule.

    What's next on the hit list -- Oh it's the evil of our creating weapons to kill terrorists. I guess you're right, we should wait for terrorists to come here and kill us. I guess we should sit down with them and discuss how we feel about terrorism, and try to find some common ground, because after all, everyone is basically a good person, right? And we're all basically alike, right? Please. The inhumanity of individuals like those who commit mass murder by hijacking planes is obvious to me -- is it not obvious to you?

    As to the issue of self-hate -- well, speak for yourself. If must-C-TV bothers you, don't watch it, and find something better to occupy your mind than fulminating on the habits of the majority of stupid people.

  59. Why not robots? by hubbah · · Score: 1

    The primary assumption of the cited article is that robots wouldn't be useful on Mars. Why is this so easily dismissed? Each of Benford's arguments about the difficulty of putting humans on Mars is a vote for trying to make it work with robots. It certainly seems easier to me, and not at all something to be dismissed out of hand. After all, if robots can go cave hunting in Afghanistan, why can't they do the same on Mars. Sure you need some AI and some autonomous decision making, but still, it doesn't seem more difficult that getting human up there. Especially now.

  60. One thing you should read by A+Rabid+Tibetan+Yak · · Score: 0

    Kuro5hin is hosting a story on the topic of response to tragedies like this now -- A Heartbreaking National Tragedy.

    Well worth a read.

  61. I couldn't agree more by vrassoc · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As a South African I am extremely grateful to the USA, and other nations who can afford it, for their continued exploration of space, near and far.
    I cannot help but believe that there will no alternative but to find alternative accommodation for a large portion of the human race within the next few generations. Without exploration that will never be possible.
    The article says:
    The big question that NASA never talks about is: what are we doing dinking about with humans--instead of teleoperated robots--in near earth orbit anyway? What can people do in near-earth orbit that is worth doing that unmanned remote-controlled craft cannot? It never talks about it because it is a question that has no answer.
    If NASA has no answer (which is hard to believe) then how about this: there is still a LOT we have to learn about how the human body has to adapt to make life in space possible. Surely each mission outside earth's atmosphere completes another tiny piece of the puzzle?
    I salute the astronauts who are prepared to risk their lives to ensure the long term survival and growth of the human race. Thanks, guys.

  62. Two points in reply to this... by A+Rabid+Tibetan+Yak · · Score: 1

    1) You can't really compare the race to human powered flight with the race to space when it comes to private enterprise. It's a lot harder, more expensive and a heck of a lot more dangerous to get into orbit than it is to do a powered glide down a beach.

    Also, NASA and similar goverment bodies can allocate billions of dollars into researching new materials and methods... hundreds of independent contractors cannot manage those levels of funding. Finally, you're assuming space travel is economic for private enterprise -- aside from the occasional tourist there is as yet no valid business reason to develop space facilities (look at how little use the ISS is being put to by private enterprises). While I'd like to see more space exploration as much as anyone, I think large manned missions will remain in the domain of "because we can" type Government policy in the near future at least.

    2) Likewise, your comparison to the American settlers ("entire colonies were lost...") doesn't stand up in today's CNN-ised world. Back then, if a disaster befell the other side of your continent, you heard about it months later and its impact was diluted; the culture accepted these kind of losses as it came with the territory, so to speak. These days, a single tragedy like the Space Shuttle gathers instantaneous, international media cover, and a disaster of colony-sized proportions would probably break the entire space programme, due to a public unwilling to accept those kinds of risks and casualty rates.

  63. Not a troll by Strange+Ranger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The real tragedy of the space shuttle is that, as Benford says, they were up there doing trivial stuff that we likely could have had machines doing at this point.

    His article is spot on. He calls for an era of space exploration akin to that of the late 60's. People died. We had a GOAL. They were heroes. Yet we kept going and we made that goal.

    Not only does he call for a return to space exploration, but he points the way - centrifugal gravity and long term stand alone bio-support, aka a biosphere.

    So what does it take to overcome this tragedy? I dunno, would a million people sending copies of Benford's article to @whitehouse.gov addresses be a start?

    Are we just going to putter around for years and turn this into a double tragedy?

    Please let's not.

    --

    Operator, give me the number for 911!
  64. Bowflex? by rollingcalf · · Score: 1

    No, this is not a joke. The solution to the problem of the loss of bone and muscle mass may be something low-tech that already exists. If you've seen how astronauts exercise in space, it is generally some type of stationary bicycle work or other types of exercise that do not work the muscles and bones intensely enough.

    What they really need is something that provides a variety of resistance exercises without relying on weights, such as Bowflex or spring-based machines, and they need to train heavy like a bodybuilder when using them in space. They should probably even train harder and more often than bodybuilders would, since they have the rest of the time when their muscles can get near-complete relaxation in the weightlessness of space.

    --
    ---------
    There is inferior bacteria on the interior of your posterior.
    1. Re:Bowflex? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but simple and already existing solutions don't provide much for university people to do in space. It's much more glamorous to think that no solution exists yet and the pretty people that are sent in space are somehow working hard to solve these problems. The Russians theorized that the lack of pressure on the soles of the feet somehow causes problems, so they put rubber bands on their cosmonauts' feet to simulate the pressure. It works.
      It's pretty much the same with Russian space suits; you've seen how hard it is to get into an American suit with the ridiculous design vs. the Russian suit with the open back. You just float into it and close the door.

    2. Re:Bowflex? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      astronauts do not like working out like bodybuilders. they do not appreciate the distraction from the main event, the reason they are there; the do not like sweating like pigs and smelling worse; they are scientists and engineers, not bodybuilders.

      astronauts have consistently rejected heavy workouts.

      anyways the heavy workouts don't really help THAT much for decalcification.

  65. Should humanity cave in and not explore space ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    because 7 people died in what is granted a tragic way to go put? I don't think so. I think that NASA should learn from this, fix the issue, and move on. Maybe some small thing they discover in the wake of this will be of great benefit to further deep space exploration. I for one want to see human beings living in orbital colonies, but I don't think I'll live that long. I for one wouldn't mind getting off this rock, and if there is a risk that I might die, then at least I'm gone.

  66. As a species we lack perspective and love comfort by demo9orgon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think we need to first focus on humanity.
    Humanity has to become better at fulfilling our ideals as a species. We need to be hardier, capable of extended periods in micro-gravity without any drugs to keep us from pissing out our bones.

    We need NASA to help big energy companies safely deploy technologies which will enable a hydrogen economy, not just for the seven wealthiest nations, but for everyone, because there's no prize for half-assing global technology like automobiles and power-plants. We need to get that stuff out there.

    We should park the ISS at L4 and take a decade to scour all our rubbish out of low-earth orbit. Wouldn't it suck if the shuttle was struck by something someone accidentally dropped while working on the ISS months before?

    The cool thing about all that "cleanning up LEO" would be that while a bunch of flyboys are playing RPV with radar and massive glad-bags, we could still be doing all the bullshit science that's made NASA and graduate students slaving away at research colleges happy for years.

    Maybe we could take a good thirty years to finish that clean-up job, and by that time we'll have the kind of genetics technology which permits us to endure complete weightlessness, and maybe even allow us to hibernate just like bears so we don't need as much food, air, or have to worry about all that pesky psychology and some reality-tv producer buying all the NASA footage and making a tv series out of it.

    And everyone here knows that there's absolutely no reason why we can't engineer perfectly good stuctures at the bottom of the well, develop the technologies to sustatin life in them. We could wrap up that knowledge, send it into orbit and create a civilization.

    What stops us?
    We do. We let clerics and technologists tell us fairy tales and we wet ourselves. Some of us have been trained from birth to entertain them.
    We let politicians and their day-to-day pissing contests and in-fighting hamstring us in everything from feeding ourselves to enabling us to justify stepping on someone's face.
    We let merchants push our buttons, control what we do with things we own, and we enjoy being controlled in so many different ways that it's become woven into the very culture...what we wear, what we play, and what we drive, what we want to wank to.

    Our biggest problem is us.
    And since we're quite happy being dipshits, until something happens to change that, solving any of these other little problems isn't going to matter.

    --
    Every new form of media has it's own Requirimento
  67. Re:The Dutch didn't Pay for them by insomaniac · · Score: 1

    If we give a thank you for everything that came out of the US in the last 100 years, will you give a thank you for everything that came out of europe the last 1000 years or so?

    --
    The way to corrupt a youth is to teach him to hold in higher value them who think alike than those who think differently
  68. bah by nomadic · · Score: 1

    I'm one of the people who's become disillusioned with manned spaceflight, and I'll tell you why.

    It started with sending humanity to the stars, now it's just NASA maintaining it's budget. Space is no longer a province of all of humanity, but rather a small group of elitists who jealously guard what they think it their province alone; look at the shameful way US astronauts treated Dennis Tito when he want up there ("You shouldn't be here! You're not in our clique!").

    If NASA decides to start creating a genuine space infrastructure, more power to them. Until then don't expect the kind of enthusiasm you saw with Neil Armstrong.

  69. astronauts don't need to land by g4dget · · Score: 1
    Once we decide to go to other planets the lightspeed lag dictates that we will need to send humans out into the Great Deep.

    Maybe. I actually have more confidence in robotic probes. In any case, even if we need human presence, the "lightspeed lag" only means that we need to get people into orbit. Sensible human exploration of Mars would mean to send people into Mars orbit and have the planet explored by tele-operated robots. There is absolutely no reason to land people on any of the planets. In fact, the risk of contamination from human presence would be a very good reason not to even if we could afford it.

  70. Re:Simple .. spend $ on health, education... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    In general, it would be good if the homeless had homes, cancer and AIDS were cured, etc. While it is not clear that the federal government can solve these problems by throwing a few gigabucks around, for the moment assume it will.

    The federal budget for science (NSF) and the space program is small. Wouldn't it be better to get the money by reducing the DoD funding by 2% rather than slashing NASA's funding by 50%?

  71. This needs a few +1 Insightfuls by Tokerat · · Score: 2, Informative

    In a big way. Well put, my feelings exactly (spelling errors and all ;-) ).

    As for the article, pure rubbish. Unrelentless ranting. Science fiction.

    In the end, the next months will try NASA as never before. It has tried to convince its public that going into space is safe, when it is not. Once is an accident, twice is a defect.
    Space is about as safe as a highway of drunk drivers, always has been, always will be. How can you say for one minute NASA should make it look easy to go 100km up at 17,580mph, in 394 degrees K tempatures, sustain it, and then accurately drop back to the planet and hit a runway in Florida, startng the decent as far back as the Pacific?

    NASA and all the others who have worked on the Shuttle have worked miracles over the years. I for one am glad they went ahead at whatever the cost, because wasteful or not, we're further ahead of where we were.

    Perhaps then, along the articles lines of thinking, we should ban cars, because they have failed more than once, and the auto industry is just pissing awaay our hard earned dollars. I suspect the author uses a computer with Windows? Better not save any data on it, as "Microsoft wants us to believe our hard drives are safe, when in fact they are not. Once is an accident, twice is a defect."

    (OK Maybe he'd be right on the last one.)

    My point is: Shit happens. There will be accidents. Build a new space plane, it will crash at least once. So will the next one. And the one after. Let us not forget, launching a rocket into space that comes back down safely is the most dangerous, costly, complex thing mankind has ever done. And with good reason: It is the greatest thing mankind has ever done.
    --
    CAn'T CompreHend SARcaSm?
  72. what a waste by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We have in the US an urgent need
    to spend on things useless.

    We spend billions of dollars on military,
    defense and yes the , the space program.

    We spend zero on national healthcare
    or educating our masses (student loans are
    at an all time high)

    Why not first educate and build a healthy
    population instead ?

    1. Re:what a waste by praksys · · Score: 1

      We spend billions of dollars on military, defense and yes the , the space program.

      Without those billions spent on the military do you really think that the US would still have billions to spend on everything else? Just consider what those billions have bought for the US - cheaper oil, capitalist economies in dozens of countries (including Japan, S Korea, and Taiwan - three of the US's largest trading partners), free movement of goods on the seas, and the list goes on.

      You don't even need any wacky marxist theories about exploitation to see that US military spending pays a huge economic return to the US. The US does very well out of free trade, but just as the British Empire did in the 19th century, the US needs a large military to make sure that trade remains free.

      We spend zero on national healthcare or educating our masses (student loans are at an all time high)

      US government spending per capita (Federal, State, and local) on healthcare and education is higher than almost any other country in the world (the exceptions are mostly oil economies). Figures for this are often reported in % of GDP which makes US spending look low compared to some other developed nations, but the US has one of the largest per capita GDP's so if you look at the dollar amounts spent then the US is well out in front.

      What the US gets for its money is variable. US education is pretty average at the primary and secondary levels, but stellar at the tertiary level (if you manage to find a top ten list of schools in any particular field then you will typically find that 5-8 of them are in the US). US healthcare is the best in the world bar none - although it is unevenly available. As proof observe that Americans don't exercise and eat a poor diet but still have one of the longest average lifespans in the world. Good healthcare - not healthy living - is the cause of that long lifespan.

      Why not first educate and build a healthy population instead?

      Most Americans are unhealthy and ignorant by choice. Why not give them something to aspire to - then they might actually take advantage of the vast sums of money that are already thrown into healthcare and education.

  73. You say that like it's a bad thing by Animus+Howard · · Score: 2, Insightful

    > Is the shuttle, or the International Space Station
    > for that matter, useful? Or just payola to aerospace
    > interests and a means for keeping Russian rocket
    > scientists employed?"

    Even if it's true, what's wrong with that?

    If you are making a list of Pros and Cons about the space program, "keeping qualified but unemployed people from working for the bad guys" definitely belongs on the Pro list. Access to space, just like nuclear weapons, is something that not all countries have. And it's something that we don't want our enemies to have.

    The "payola" thing is just plain stupid. It's a blatantly loaded word that doesn't even describe what he is trying to say. (Payola is a bribe, or an extorted payment. How does that apply here?)

    If the aerospace industry is important to national security -- which it unquestionably is -- then so what if the space program is a "subsidy"? It's part of a much larger, overall equation that Congress has to keep in balance. That belongs on the Pro list too.

    People who argue that the space program is "too expensive" and "not paying off" don't understand basic economics. The race to the moon didn't really pay off when we landed in 1969. It paid off in the 90s when microchips changed everything.

  74. Deja Vu all over again by ch-chuck · · Score: 1

    from this:

    Back in mission control engineers scanned monitors looking for the problems. Suddenly all the dials and gauges went crazy. A voice shouted "fire". It was the voice of one of the astronauts. The controllers looked at the screen that should be showing the interior of the Apollo capsule, all they could see was a fireball. Gus Grissom's voice came over the comms, "I've got a fire in the cockpit". There were more shouts , a scream and then silence. The interior of Apollo I had become a blowtorch and in eight seconds Grissom, White and Chaffee were dead. Everybody's worst nightmare had just become a reality.

    The Apollo program had become a mess. Complacency and incompetance was abound and in the wake of the Apollo I disaster a drive to improve things wholesale saw a lot of heads roll. With the Vietnam war and civil rights concerning the public, people were asking if the space program was worth it.

    --
    try { do() || do_not(); } catch (JediException err) { yoda(err); }
  75. This is not enough by Arnulf · · Score: 1

    While I agree with the need of a biosphere and gravity for astronauts I disagree with the rest.

    Turning back to rockets? I don't think so. Rockets can fail too. Ariane 5 is the best example.

    Dusting off Saturn; I don't know how many flights the Saturn system had, but I wager that over hundred flights will certainly show a (fatal?) weakness in every system. All we can do is respond to that.

    Then his argument for manned spaceflight and against robots: Scientific experiments can only be conducted by human beings. I beg to differ. Certainly, robots are not as versatile as human beings, but for experiments they're enough. Heck, the whole spacecraft could be just a big robot. Let's face it: the shuttle crew is there to study humans in space. For the only benefit that is: bring humans into space. And maybe to other planets. That's it. Everything else could be done by robots.

    So, do we really need humans in space? Apparently this leads to only one conclusion: to colonialize space. This is the sole reason for this gigantic effort. I could argue that we do not need humans in space. We cannot cope with our problems here on our homeworld. How are we supposed to deal with more problems in outer space? Carry war and depletion there? First we should do our homework here before setting sights for other horizons.

    However I admit that I like human spaceflight like the next geek. I have the books by Asimov, Cherryh, etc. to prove it. Even a Benford. But ditching the shuttle because it failed twice in over a hundred flights is not the right answer, in my opinion. It has to be revised that's clear. And there has to be research for alternatives. Supersonic planes, etc.

    If cost is the only argument, then drop human spaceflight altogether.

    -Arnulf
  76. Mod this man up, he knows what he's on about by leonbrooks · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Charity vehicles are stolen (by both sides) for use as soldier transports in some parts of Africa. Which do they need most: food and shelter, or another war?

    And yes, heterosexuality (or for that matter lesbianism) doesn't spread AIDS anywhere near as fast as male homosexual practice, but the only real blocker is the kind of social arrangement practiced by Christianity or Judiasm. Horrors! We'd much rather die slowly and painfully, taking others with us, than learn from the bigots!

    Jews survived the black plague singularly well because they adhered to the `silly' rules in the books of Deuteronomy and Numbers, while their Catholic neighbours didn't. Those rules have reasons behind them. There's a lot that the ancients knew well, but we refuse to learn. At our cost.

    Common sense isn't, is it?

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    1. Re:Mod this man up, he knows what he's on about by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      The gays are at fault in Africa not for their sexual practices but for their political practices which are reflexively anti-christian. This bigotry has led to the suppression of a great AIDS success story due to the gay lobby's influence in the AIDS establishment.

      In the case of 1st world AIDS, promiscuous homosexuality is more directly at fault. Can we at least condemn the bug chasers who want to be HIV+?

    2. Re:Mod this man up, he knows what he's on about by Ryan+Amos · · Score: 1

      If you're referring to that Rolling Stone article, you do realize that pretty much everyone quoted in the story either recanted or denied they said anything at all. I'm sure "bug chasing" does exist, but it's probably among people who have bigger psychological problems and the "bug chasing" is just a symptom. As for your conspiracy theory, I'll just ask one question; Which is bigger and more powerful, the gay lobby or the Christian lobby? Answer that and your argument falls apart.

    3. Re:Mod this man up, he knows what he's on about by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      Actually I never read the Rolling Stone article but got my information from the much less sensational (and unrepudiated) article in National Review (dead tree edition) that ran months earlier.

      The problem isn't only bug chasing per se but the attitude that surrounds it. Bug chasers are being hidden and protected by the gay establishment as much as promiscuous homosexual behavior in gay baths was at the start of the epidemic. It's the complete lack of self-policing that really scares me.

      Sure, gays want us to stay out of their bedrooms but when they condone pathological (from a public health perspective) behavior and refuse to clean up their own community, they lose any right to the benefit of the doubt.

      As for the size of the gay lobby v. the christian lobby, you have to take into account two things, the diffusion of christians in all political points of view compared to the relative concentration of politically active gays on the left. Unlike blacks, gays are diverse enough to credibly threaten to leave, but their targetted influence in Dem primaries make them a force in the US. For them, creating an image of innocuous, friendly people, just like us is their number one priority. Thus the coddling of their nutcases. Since they perceive faith groups as being their enemy they also have as high up on their list trying to exclude, and where that is impossible limit, religious perspectives from public policy discourse.

      Look at the christian lobby. Heck, Catholics who are heirarchical and have made abortion a top priority can't even bring in line a large number of catholic politicians. Do you really suppose that christians are enough to have a cohesive lobby across churches? Frankly, they aren't and haven't been for quite a long time. Get some unitarians, episcopalians, catholics, baptists, evangelicals, and a few orthodox into the same room and you won't have long to wait before trouble starts. And these are all christians.

  77. Post was funny, but... by leonbrooks · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Religion breeds terrorism.

    The worst religion of the lot is materialism. More deaths directly attributable to that throughout history than any other single belief group (except possibly people who believe that smoking won't give them cancer).

    Even the Cattleticks fall short, they only (directly) got somewhere between 60 and 100 million, not counting starting or provoking numerous world and `civil' wars. Materialism is evil, convert someone away from it today.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    1. Re:Post was funny, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Of course, you _are_ typing your message from a public access computer...right?

    2. Re:Post was funny, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What does that have to do with anything?

  78. orbiting human waste by No+Such+Agency · · Score: 1

    Human feces needs to be composted in order to be particularly useful for growing plants. So it's part of the solution, but just a starting point. And "soil" is an incredibly subtle and complex mixture which is extremely hard to "put together" from its separate ingredients. I guess that's an area where humble soil scientists can contribute to the space program. Still, you're right about the value of that much orbiting biomass. It seems stupid to just throw it away.

    --
    Freedom: "I won't!"
    1. Re:orbiting human waste by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      Not only soil scientists but others in agriculture as well. Let's say you made a 'plot' from each Progress shuttle that came in, using some for used hardware to be recycled, most others for agriculture, some to be sold out for whatever people want. The agriculture ones could be rented out to ADM or some other agri concern and the food sold for just under the replacement launch value. So you have robotics experts to create an appropriate telecommanded robot, and farmers along with soil experts.

      The major costs would be increased fuel requirements for orbital boosting. If a plot isn't rented after a few boosts, you can just let it drop. You could string them out on a frame.

      I could see one of those Japanese real estate/construction conglomerates funding the whole thing. Toss Russia a x% interest in exchange for the shuttles and you've got most of a deal there. Chances are, there will be fewer takers than there are shuttles so you can swap out old shuttles for new.

  79. Follow the bouncing links in the Wired article by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
    ...to here. They even have a production schedule, and they require no miracle technologies to do it. They could start building infrastructure today.

    Quote, The space elevator would essentially allow the world to participate, time to found the Open Space Institute? (-:

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  80. Alternative take by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The US is so powerful, so big and so rich, it has a responsibility to be setting the agenda for big missions, like perhaps Mars.

    In 1,000 years, when it's the Russo-Chinese confederation or whoever running the world, what do you want your legacy to have been? The great civilisations always leave their mark, things they are remembered for. Egypt, Rome, Greece. The US's legacy so far is Apollo and the atomic bomb. Is that where you want to leave it?

  81. Mars Return by No+Such+Agency · · Score: 3, Informative

    Robert Zubrin puts forward a credible scheme in his (rather biased but scientifically thorough) book "The Case for Mars". You send an unmanned return vehicle ahead, with a fuel generator to make fuel from the Martian atmosphere (yes, it's possible). The crew only goes once there's a ticket home already there. For added safety, you send two return vehicles. The crew has a rover so they can drive to the nearest ascent vehicle when their time is up, and everything's cool. Meanwhile, there's a habitat left behind which you can use to start a persistent presence there.

    --
    Freedom: "I won't!"
  82. Too small! by No+Such+Agency · · Score: 1

    As another comment here says, the shuttle centrifuge experiments use very small radii. The human body does get disoriented when the head and feet have very different gravitational environments! You need a larger radius to avoid this. Think of the rotating ship section in "2001" - it was about 10 metres across. That would be much better. Of course the way NASA works, if it doesn't fit on the ISS or in the shuttle cargo bay, it doesn't happen...

    --
    Freedom: "I won't!"
  83. "man dreams of leaving, but always stays behind" by 43tom · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ok, apparently we've gone to the moon, and thats great, but what is the preoccupation with getting away from, quite possibly the most naturally harmonic, and stunningly beautiful place in the universe. Here the plan guys, lets explore a few barron space rocks, so that we have somewhere to go when we're done wrecking this one!

  84. Re:The Dutch didn't Pay for them by groomed · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    The US has killed millions of innocent people in several large-scale conflicts of dubious merit over the past 50 years. The US routinely strongarms other countries to protect its own interests. The US was a racially segregated country for most of the past century. US protectionism prevents cheap medicine from getting to the people who needs it most. Most people have little reason to be grateful.

    Meanwhile, the US owes over 6 trillion dollars in debt. Where did that money come from? Exactly. So as long as you're spending our money you'd better heed the day of reckoning.

  85. Solar Power Satellites? by doom · · Score: 3, Informative
    Well, I think the central trouble is that NASA isn't doing much in particular with this man-in-space jazz, and it's pretty obvious to everyone that this is the case ("With all the problems we have here on earth, why are we--").

    Mars exploration is a thought, at least it's dramatic enough that it might grab people's attention. I submit that we would be better off pursuing a goal in space with some obvious practical benefit, e.g. this scheme of Robert Kennedy of the Ultimax Group:

    Mirrors & Smoke: Ameliorating Climate Change with Giant Solar Sails;

    Topic: Mirrors & Smoke, and Other Shady Schemes

    390,000 sq.km of solar sails, placed in non-Keplerian orbits around the Sun-Earth L1 Lagrange point, can intercept enough (~0.25%) sunlight to offset global warming and concomitant rapid climate change due to anthropogenic CO2, or if you will, a mirrored Maunder Minimum. Such mirrors can also provide total planetary electricity demand, estimated at 300 quads (quadrillion BTUs) by 2050, displacing all terrestrial carbon-burners.
    Apparently NASA "studied" the SPSS idea again a few years back. They said it looked good, but they needed to reduce launch costs "a problem which is being addressed" (by the space shuttle?):

    Bright Future for Solar Power Satellites

  86. Re:Simple .. spend $ on health, education... by No+Such+Agency · · Score: 1

    A lot of people see it this way: we could hugely improve conditions for the poor and homeless using the money which is wasted by inefficient and corrupt government, or squandered on stupid pointless weapons systems. It's not an either/or proposition. We *should* be able to both explore space and look after people on Earth, but our leaders (I'm Canadian but believe me our gov't is just as bad) choose to waste our tax money making themselves and their supporters/friends richer and more powerful. Also, I think a lot of things are done backwards - there should be no place for corporate profits in health care or prisons for example, but the X-prize (which seems to be going nowhere) seems to have really stimulated the idea that innovative, economical launch systems can be created by private concerns. As it is now of course, HMO's run health care, and NASA struggles to get into space, underfunded by government and overcharged by pork-barreling defense/areospace contractors.

    --
    Freedom: "I won't!"
  87. Point by point expose of JM by leonbrooks · · Score: 4, Informative
    It would be a money sink that would never pay back its construction costs

    Complete bollocks. Specficially, if it cost $20G to build (they say $10G), it need only make $2G/a to handily beat bank loans and stuff as a payback means. So double the $100/kg lift costs to $200/kg, big deal in the face of the $10,000-$30,000/kg it is now. $2G / $100/kg extra profit == 20Mt/a, 55,000t/day, 2300t/hr, a 400t load every 10 minutes.

    Need to halve that load? Triple the price instead of doubling it. Or use the elevator to build more, and amortise the costs between them.

    It would be the worst sort of governmental monopoly

    And we don't have one now? Go ahead, build your own Saturn V or Energia-Groza, be my guest.

    Once they have half a dozen of these up, owned by 3 or 4 countries or consortia (I'd guess USA, EU, China, Russia, India, Brasil), that starts to break down anyway. If Australia wanted to build the first one, that would cost us $10,000 a head. If it built the 8th one, maybe $500 a head and every Australian gets their first 2kg hauled to space for free. If the people living in Perth pooled their gree kilograms, we could loft a 3000 tonne satellite.

    It would be The Definitive Terrorist Target

    Ever tried to hit something a meter wide from 10 km away? With defenses on the elevator shooting back at you and at your shells?

    Clearing a corridor 10km wide around this would be no problem, and keeping it clear with SDI technology (near the ground, a perfectly ordinary Vulcan radar-guided cannon would do the job) relatively simple. Can you outfly a laser? Could your aircraft or missile survive several hundred unexpected megawatts of microwaves tuned to some vital dimension? How about a smart remote-targeted crowbar dropping in on you from LEO at mach 20?

    It would be a murphys-law magnet

    Any concievable replacement would be worse.

    And that's even before an orbiting piece of space junk slams into it.

    It would have to be a clever piece of space-junk, smaller than a peanut and yet more destructive than a nuke. You haven't had a look at the design, have you?

    If they were kind enough to put the elevator up on the Equator (not necessary, but it helps), it (or more specifically the defenses on it) would actually make a pretty good street-sweeper for the space industry.

    And it would be a catastrophe waiting to happen, when (not if) it snaps and rains megatons of carbon cable down upon the ground below.

    That statement just betrayed your complete ignorance of how the elevator would work.

    Of the 100,000km length, less than 100km would be in atmosphere. Take what is presumably the worst case: the cable snaps about 50km up. 50km of cable fall to earth, the top 30km or so burning up on re-entry, the balance stays in orbit. That's right, losing 0.05% of the cable makes very little difference to its orbit. Soon the lost 50km is replaced by shipping it out along another cable and unreeling it off the next segment above the damaged one.

    But what about the bottom 20km? Even if it were heavy (did you read the line saying `paper-thin?'), it would fall into the ocean. Even if they anchored it at, say, Kununurra (in the far north of Western Australia) and it were heavy, you'd still only lose a stripe of desert a few m wide and 20km long. Big deal.

    Now, important step, visit High Lift Systems and RTFM. Then come whinging back here.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    1. Re:Point by point expose of JM by benzapp · · Score: 1

      Going to college can help you be knowledgeable, but it cannot make you wise. -- John Taylor Gatto

      Finally, another /. reader who is familiar wtih John Taylor Gatto. The Underground History of American Education is perhaps the best book I have read which was written in the post world war II era.

      Peace

      --
      I don't read or respond to AC posts
  88. Problems: by Bendebecker · · Score: 2, Informative

    The Problems with the shuttles:

    1. They cost inordinate amounts of money

    2. They provide no significant gain (If your goal is to study stuff to save human lives, the money is better spent researching stuff on Earth)

    3. They're obselete(going to space in the shuttle is like going online with a PDP-11)

    The Gains from the shuttle:

    1. Nearly meaningless science that has very little, if any, practical value.

    2. Vast numbers of jobs.

    3. The ability to say, "Hey, we're in low Earth orbit!"

    The problems with going to Mars:

    1. Radiation

    2. Physical effects of prolonged zero gravity.

    3. Actually getting there and getting back alive.

    The gains of going to Mars:

    1. The ability to say, "We're on a whole nother fricking planet!"

    2. Entry in every history book

    3. Vast numbers of jobs

    4. Science that is actually worth doing and justifies the cost.

    5. Knowing that we have taken a step forward and not a step back

    Which would you pick?(rehetorical Question)

    --
    There's a growing sense that even if The Future comes,
    most of us won't be able to afford it.
    -- Lemmy
  89. Priceless by Bendebecker · · Score: 1

    Interplanetary Vehicle: 50 billion dollars

    Research to make a trip to mars possible: 1 trillion dollars

    Being able to say we just landed on a whole nother fricking planet: priceless

    --
    There's a growing sense that even if The Future comes,
    most of us won't be able to afford it.
    -- Lemmy
  90. 10G for a 100m chicken-wire antenna? Get real! by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
    SPS needs an antenna 100m across in space from the get-go or you get no energy. That's 10s of billions right there, at the most optimistic.
    If that antenna's for bouncing energy from an ordinary (well, high-power but otherwise unremarkable) microwave horn, you could build it out of hardware-store bird mesh tensioned with fencing wire. I kid you not, it's quite different from building Parkes-in-space: you need naff-all structure for something like that.

    You could even omit the fencing wire and just spin the reflector. It's not as if there's anything in space to slow it down. Or rust it.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  91. This is just a hypothesis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The website of the Fauna Communications Research Institute says that this is just a hypothesis, not a "discovery" as the Ananova article suggests.

    http://www.animalvoice.com/catpurrP.htm

  92. That AC isn't married (-: by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    It showed in his choice of reward from the North Korean delegate.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  93. No, not a nice article by uncleFester · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    I'm sorry, but it was a bullshit article. I stopped reading at the line...

    Early results from the telemetry and the huge debris field suggest that the thermal tiles failed. .. because we have been told all week in the tech briefings not to purport conjecture or assumption of what happened yet because we do not know. As this ass demonstrates, he has no grasp on that simple concept and thus failed any such integrety test.

    --
    -'fester
    1. Re:No, not a nice article by jdray · · Score: 1

      It's good of you, citizen, to take your governmental direction so well. They tell us not to speculate, so we must not.

      *Bother!*

      For one, Mr. Benford's speculation was obviously just that, and an educated reader can digest the whole article knowing that an early statement is based in an assumption. That doesn't by any means invalidate the rest of the article.

      Secondly, given Mr. Benford's background, I would SPECULATE that he is somewhere close to the truth, and trust his guesses as much as any NASA-employed rhetoric spreader.

      But that's just me. I'm an American, but more importantly a thoughtful member of humanity [we have no corner on ideas of freedom], and I support your right to continue to wallow in your ignorance.

      --
      The Spoon
      Updated 6/28/2011
  94. my personal views of space.... by fewnorms · · Score: 2, Insightful

    When I was about 6 years of age, I used to live in Houston, Texas, with the
    Johnson Space Center around the corner. I remember my parents used to take
    visitors from back home (The Netherlands) to the center so they could marvel at
    all the huge rockets and such which they keep around there. I have a fotograph
    of me sitting in one of the seats used in the Apollo craft. And after every
    visit we made, I remember thinking "When I grow up, I want to sit in one of
    those chairs again. Go out there. See the Earth from orbit!" - Basically, become an astronaut.
    Then, one morning as I and my mom were watching TV in the kitchen,
    the program got interrupted.
    "We interrupt this program for a special news bulletin: The Space Shuttle Challenger has just exploded during take-off."
    From that moment onward, I never wanted to be an astronaut no more.

    Now, being grown up and all, I realise that the only way to go is up.
    Everything we as humans do on this world is messing around in the margins.
    As some poster before me loosely stated, exploring is embedded in our genes.
    NOT going up there would be a grave mistake.
    And all those people saying that we should try to fix up stuff here on Earth first, well,
    I'm sorry to have to be the one to point out that every time humans have explored
    outside their "set" boundries, their own "world" was pretty messed up.
    Still they went forward, with a vision that what they were doing might just change their world.

    And hasn't the Space Program, even though it's been underfunded for most of it's life,
    given us a lot of benefits? Think about medical applications, literal wonders have been worked
    in that field just by the Space Program alone. Almost in every field of science has the
    Space Program made a contribution. The list of applications directly or indirectly derived from
    space development is a very very long one. A lot of common household articles are derived from
    the very Space Program that some of the users of these articles attack so fiercly.

    If I really thought I could make a difference, I would love to try and convince people of these facts.
    Sadly, I know that can never happen. Some people believe so firm in their idea that Man should
    not go to space same as some people believe so firm in the Church, or other affiliated mind numbing
    programs.

    My final point, and one that seems to be forgetten every now and then:

    Before everyone starts talking technical stuff, we should be trying to change
    the global populations view about space. Things would be a lot easier if large partions of
    the world's population could share our firm belief in space and it's benefits.

    Sorry if this post seems kind of a mess, I'm not a gifted writer.

    --
    Veni, Vidi, Velcro!
  95. It's not that dangerous by Proc6 · · Score: 1

    Over-reactors suck. Last I heard the most dangerous job in America was still those lobster (or something) fisherman in Maine or whatever. I dont have any statistics, but I would venture to guess working for NASA is still wayyyy down on the list of moste dangerous jobs. Last I checked as well, everyone employed at NASA and setting foot into a space shuttle was aware of the risks and chose to accept them. So what's the problem? Who cares what you or I think anyway, it's a legal job with pretty low risks, and those doing it want to do it. Doesn't death come as one of the risks for Indy car driver, Military officer, powerline repairer, volcano explorer, and millions of other jobs? I know of someone who was killed by a giant press machine at a water heater plant (ugh), so should we all re-evaluate our need to continue water-heater development? Whatever. Make it safer when you can, but don't over-react and start thinking it should be dismanteled just because there are accidents.

    --

    I'm Rick James with mod points biatch!

  96. Closed biosphere? by Junior+J.+Junior+III · · Score: 1

    What about those space spores that drop in off the tails of comets? Isn't that supposedly how all life on this planet may have started?

    --
    You see? You see? Your stupid minds! Stupid! Stupid!
  97. I think by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    that Michael Moore should make a movie called "Bowling for Columbia" exposing the ridiculous amounts of money wasted on the bunk science of the Shuttle and ISS, using the Feynman report on the Challenger disaster as a starting point.

  98. Russian Scientists by goombah99 · · Score: 1
    While there are many reasons to explore space let me address a very good one. Kepping russian missile scientist employed in a make work project with a useful product.

    its' absurdly cheap at the price. missile technology like WMD needs to be kept under wraps. Analyises have shown that missile envy spreads like a bad cold. thay is the moment one country gets a 300 mile mislie that overlaps his neighbor, then poof all the neighbors want it, and it grows quadratically.

    building good missiles is supposedly hard (i would not know), but if so its a genie we should try to keep in the bottle.

    plus its a good model for the other areas of the fomer soviet union we care about like bio weaponeers and nuclear scientists. the world would be well advise to emoply these people weel. or just buy them a retirement villa. wahtever. getting these people off line is CHEAP compared to cleaning up after the possible damage one of them could do.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  99. Big. Dumb. Boosters by wowbagger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I keep saying this, hoping to convince others and thus to start us moving in the right direction.

    A reusable orbital delivery system makes about as much sense as reusable toilet paper - yes it is possible, but the cost to make it reusable far exceeds the savings. Every kilo you boost to orbit costs about ten kilos in fuel. Therefore, adding any weight that is not payload is extremely wasteful. If you add one kilo to make something "reusable", that is a kilo of payload you give up.

    The rocket engines on the shuttle are very complex - turbopumps, combustion chambers, cyrogenic fuels. The solid rocket boosters are MUCH simpler - why did NASA not use just them? Simple - solid rockets are not throttleable - one lit off, they make as much thrust as they want to, and while you can to an extent control that thrust by how you design them, there will be unavoidable variations in thrust from unit to unit. You cannot get several of them balanced out - in the shuttle, the main engines are used to balance the load out by shifting their thrust to make up for variances.

    However, we have for some time known how to build hybrid rocket - solid fuel, liquid oxidizer. These rockets are throttleable and can be made restartable.

    Imagine this: We start making hybrid rockets, roughly the size of the shuttle's SRB's. They are NOT designed for reuse (if they can be made reuseable without weight penalty great, but otherwise fugetaboutit).

    For normal, unmanned payloads, you use 1 or more of these rockets (one for smaller payloads like a comsat, up to five or more for big chunks of the ISS). If they go foom on launch it is unfortunate but not catastrophic.

    For manned missions, we launch a MUCH SMALLER vehicle, big enough for the (astro|cosmo)nauts and not much else (if they need a big experiment, you launch it as an ummanned launch). Because the launch vehicle is much smaller, you don't need as many of these boosters. You can therefore inspect the HELL out of the ones you use.

    Since you are making the boosters by the truckload, you can quickly get the economies of scale to bring the cost down. This argument was also used for the shuttle, but since the shuttle is such a complicated bird this promise never materialized. I assert that BDB's (big dumb boosters) would be able to achive this goal.

    Also, since these boosters are standard parts, you could farm them out to several companies (hell, GPL the damn design!) This would allow for competition, as well as innovation. We could even allow them to be build in other countries (e.g. Russia). How about getting a degree of commonality between the Russian space program and the US?

    Finally, given the fact that you could use a non-cryogenic oxidizer, you could relatively safely ship these things into orbit, thus allowing (lunar|Mars) missions to use them to provide the delta-V to leave orbit.

    NASA keeps focusing on "sexy" technologies like SCRAMjets and such, and those are find as research projects. But for workhorse applications, why not K.I.S.S.?

    Big Dumb Boosters. Beat that into NASA, beat that into your Congresscritter, beat that into the National Space Society and the Planetary Society, beat that into your fellow /.'ser and K5'ers.

    1. Re:Big. Dumb. Boosters by Reziac · · Score: 1

      A re-usable system doesn't make much sense *now* -- but over the long haul, it's the only system that makes sense. We just aren't to that point YET. Nor will we be if it's not pursued.

      Or do you think that we should never have developed re-usable automobiles and airplanes either?? ;)

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
    2. Re:Big. Dumb. Boosters by fuzdout · · Score: 1

      Sure they can be disposable, can't you imagine the Reynold's Wrap ladies now advertising cars and airplanes?? ;)

      --
      Fuzdout
      ..My sig ran away. Has anyone seen my sig?
  100. tangent by zogger · · Score: 0, Redundant

    --just as a side issue, I think the tech already exists for a better shuttle-like design. The reason why it isn't being used is that it's a military secret used in whatever prototype or low production planes the air force has that have replaced the sr-71, like the reported aurora and brilliant buzzard alleged models.

    1. Re:tangent by UrGeek · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, Lockheed-Martin beat out others and won a contract to build a half-size sub-orbital prototype of a single stage to orbital next generation shuttle. The prototype was called the X-33. The full blown bird would have been VentureStar.

      It had a lot of new techonologies. One has a new design fuel tank make of a new composite material. The first time they tried filling it up with liquid hydrogen, it ripped open. They told the government that they needed a ton of money more, over and above the original bid to fix it. The government said, forget it and the project was abandoned.

  101. NASA Isn't Military by Baldrson · · Score: 1
    The military has a legitimate reason for keeping things "in house" so to speak -- and the government has a legitimate reason for engaging in military activity.

    NASA is another kettle of fish. Try reading The National Science Trust white paper or read the paper linked to by the phrase you used as your title. These provide the proper role of a scientific agency. If guys like James Van Allen could support the legislation (which he did) you have to think twice about why you are demanding that he launch his scientific satellites with government-owned and operated transportation services.

  102. Nope, he's living in dreamworld by Goonie · · Score: 0, Offtopic
    And yes, heterosexuality (or for that matter lesbianism) doesn't spread AIDS anywhere near as fast as male homosexual practice, but the only real blocker is the kind of social arrangement practiced by Christianity or Judiasm. Horrors! We'd much rather die slowly and painfully, taking others with us, than learn from the bigots!

    Nope, Exclusive lesbianism is statistically much safer again. By your logic, all women should therefore become lesbians and use artificial insemination from HIV-negative men to become pregnant.

    Alternatively, we could all become celibate. That'd solve the problem!

    Grow up. The ancients didn't practice what they preach. Neither do contemporary Christians or Jews, as a group. There's a lot of fornication goin' on, and there always will be, and any public health campaigns that aren't designed around this simple fact will fail.

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
    1. Re:Nope, he's living in dreamworld by timeOday · · Score: 1
      Nope, Exclusive lesbianism is statistically much safer again.
      Safer than having an exclusive partner who is also free of disease? No it isn't.
      By your logic, all women should therefore become lesbians and use artificial insemination from HIV-negative men to become pregnant. Alternatively, we could all become celibate. That'd solve the problem!
      I'm just as safe having sex with my wife.
      Grow up. The ancients didn't practice what they preach. Neither do contemporary Christians or Jews, as a group. There's a lot of fornication goin' on, and there always will be, and any public health campaigns that aren't designed around this simple fact will fail.
      There's some truth to that, but it totally ignores the different rate of AIDS spread between different groups, which is a very real phenomenon. I've never known anybody who got AIDS.

      We hear about Africans with AIDS raping kids because they think having sex with a non-infected person will cure them. Surely you agree the answer in that case is NOT just handing out condoms?

      The parent asserted that there are health benefits to not sleeping around. Religion aside, isn't that a pretty straightforward assertion?

    2. Re:Nope, he's living in dreamworld by coyote-san · · Score: 1
      I've never known anybody who got AIDS.

      No, you never learned that somebody you knew has AIDS. It's almost certain that a least one person you've known has become HIV+, and very possible that at least one has developed AIDS.

      Remember, there's no visible marker that somebody is HIV+. Even early stages of AIDS are not obvious to the naked eye, and the wasting is often countered with steroids.

      You might be fairly certain about your own immediate family and closest friends, but what about your coworkers? Your old college classmates? Dormmates? The people you recognize at the grocery store, sub shop, barbershop, etc.

      The parent asserted that there are health benefits to not sleeping around.
      No, he was (implicitly) claiming that the problem is "deviant" sexual behavior that's not permitted by the OT. Not just "no sleeping around," but no sodomy, no homosexuality, etc. Nowhere in the OT did it say that homosexual sex is fine as long as the people involved are monogamous. Nor monogamous fornication outside of marriage.

      We know he was refering to the OT, not that "new agey" NT nonsense, since he made a point of noting that the Catholics died but the Jews did not during the Black Plague.

      (Whenever I see people praising the morals of the OT, I wonder if they're ready to impregnant their brother's widow. Odon's sin was not masturbation, it was pulling out early in such a situation.)

      --
      For every complex problem there is an answer that is clear, simple, and wrong. -- H L Mencken
    3. Re:Nope, he's living in dreamworld by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      I'm just as safe having sex with my wife.

      No you aren't. You should see how many men your wife has sex with when you're not around.

    4. Re:Nope, he's living in dreamworld by Planesdragon · · Score: 1

      Nowhere in the OT did it say that homosexual sex is fine as long as the people involved are monogamous. Nor monogamous fornication outside of marriage.

      Technically, it didn't say that homosexuality was wrong, eihter--but that may or may not have just been a lack of a herbrew word for "homosexual."

      But to get back on topic--Religion backed by Science is, oddly enough, the answer to AIDS. Sleeping around is dangerous. Sleeping around in ammoral. If we all only had sex with one other person in our entire lives--or even if the "group" of those we have sex with all have to agree to add anyone--then AIDS would die out within a generation.

      And to get back off of topic--it reminds me a lot about the way Christian morality works. You won't be punnished if you violate most of the laws--you just won't be rewarded.

    5. Re:Nope, he's living in dreamworld by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      Actually, I was claiming that the liberals would rather have africans die than replicate Africa's most successful program to prevent AIDS because it would strengthen the hand of religious people the world over.

      How does it feel to have blood on your hands? Is it any better that it's a bunch of 3rd world darkies you'll never even meet?

      It's disgusting that 1st world homosexuals are so callous with other people's lives while they play the victim, looking for sympathy when their own behavior gets them in trouble.

    6. Re:Nope, he's living in dreamworld by dbrutus · · Score: 1

      In case you haven't figured it out, exclusive lesbianism isn't something everybody can do, especially the half of the population that's male. Let's just give up on half the human race, shall we?

  103. Why the moon? by Goonie · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The requirements for a moon mission and a Mars mission are so different you're not likely to prove very much by landing on it.

    The moon is a day or two away by chemical rocket. Mars is somewhere between a few weeks (if we build something really futuristic like an Orion drive) and eight months (if we do a minimum-energy Hohmann orbit) away. Mars has an atmosphere, so you can do aerobraking and make propellant out of it, neither of which you can do on the Moon. Mars has a nice diurnal cycle, the Moon doesn't. The temperatures are totally different. The science you want to do on each place is totally different.

    If you want a less challenging target for your initial mission, try a near-Earth asteroid. Much more science return - and learning more about NEOs might give us the chance to figure out how best to deflect them.

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
  104. Robots have their limits by Goonie · · Score: 1
    No, we didn't. Putting any form of nuclear energy into space has profound political implications. And do you really want a nuclear powered rocket to break up like Columbia did? And why? We don't need the capacity for probes.

    Nuclear fission rockets are probably dead in the water for operation in Earth's atmosphere. However, I'm not particularly concerned about a bit of uranium being dumped in the sea. Thousands of tons of it have been dissolved in the ocean since long before we were here.

    As for the need, electricity generation would enable heaps of stuff we can't do now - decent data transmission rates from outer solar system probes, active radar, nuclear rockets allowing bigger probes carrying more equipment launched with the same boosters we have now...the list goes on.

    Yeah, like why we should waste enormous amounts of money getting humans to Mars. A fleet of unmanned probes would give us a lot more information in the short term.

    Have you any idea how limited remote-controlled robots are? Send me to Mars with a digital camera, a chemistry set, a microscope, a shovel, and a hammer, and I can learn more about Mars in five minutes than Pathfinder could in months.

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
    1. Re:Robots have their limits by g4dget · · Score: 1
      However, I'm not particularly concerned about a bit of uranium being dumped in the sea.

      Apparently, stuff that goes up has a good chance of being dumped into people's backyards, and that should concern you. In any case, the major problem with nuclear materials in space is political: given how trigger-happy the US is, the last thing the rest of the world wants is large amounts of nuclear power available to the US military from space.

      Send me to Mars with a digital camera, a chemistry set, a microscope, a shovel, and a hammer, and I can learn more about Mars in five minutes than Pathfinder could in months.

      Sure, but for the cost of sending you, we could send hundreds of unmanned probes. Each of them may take days to accomplish what you can accomplish in minutes, but what does it matter? Mars isn't going anywhere. Furthermore, while running around Mars, you would thoroughly contaminate it.

      Have you any idea how limited remote-controlled robots are?

      Yes, I have a very good idea of how limited they are. But their limitations are simply not a problem for planetary exploration, in particular if you look at cost/benefit tradeoffs.

    2. Re:Robots have their limits by Goonie · · Score: 1
      Apparently, stuff that goes up has a good chance of being dumped into people's backyards, and that should concern you.

      Uranium just isn't that dangerous. Plutonium is nasty, sure. So are some of the isotopes formed by fission reactions. So use uranium for your nuclear reactor, encase it in enough shielding to survive a failed launch (which is quite possible,), and leave the reactor out in deep space rather than bringing it home.

      As for what the US military can do with nuclear power in space, the US military has B-2 bombers with guided bombs, cruise missiles, aircraft carriers which carry enough strike power to take down the air force of any other nation, and hundreds of ICBMs at its disposal. Compared to that a nuclear reactor in space is chicken feed.

      Sure, but for the cost of sending you, we could send hundreds of unmanned probes. Each of them may take days to accomplish what you can accomplish in minutes, but what does it matter? Mars isn't going anywhere.

      Ah. I'd make a further point. Aside from the productivity gains, which I argue are so huge that it might well justify the cost of a manned missions, there are things that a human expedition can do that robots simply can't, no matter how many probes you send.

      Furthermore, while running around Mars, you would thoroughly contaminate it.

      A well-designed human mission shouldn't pose much of a contamination threat. The lander and all the gear would be sterilized before the mission left Earth, just like an unmanned mission. Of course, the crew would take along bacteria, viruses and whatnot, so that's not a complete fix. However, it wouldn't be hard to sterilise the crew's excretions. For instance, a simple technique would be to simply heat up any waste to a few hundred degrees for a few minutes before dumping it. Heck, let's go further and heat it to 1500 degrees if you want to be absolutely sure. In any case, Mars' surface environment is likely to do a pretty good job of killing any microbes the crew bring with them. The ones that inhabit our bodies aren't extremophiles, and even extremophiles would struggled with martian surface conditions, with the very low temperatures, bugger-all atmosphere, lack of liquid water, and unshielded UV.

      --

      Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
      --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
    3. Re:Robots have their limits by thrillseeker · · Score: 1
      given how trigger-happy the US is, the last thing the rest of the world wants is large amounts of nuclear power available to the US military from space.

      Trigger happy? Exactly who would you trust then with large amounts of nuclear power in space? The US has had nuclear ability for five decades - the sole use in a military fashion was during a world war. Maybe we could entrust the North Koreans with it? Afterall, they are only suspected of having enough for a dirty bomb or two and they are already threatening "total war".

      Who would be able to defend against some rogue outfit taking over the nuclear material other than the US? The ex-Soviet Union, with their Enron-quality nuclear bookkeeping? The French, suspected of providing nuclear plans to Saddam Insane?

      I know - give it to the EU. The beauracracy involved would prevent anyone from ever making trouble with it - or ever doing anything worthwhile with it either.

  105. What about a space rope? by dnoyeb · · Score: 1

    Why not just drop a big ass rope off the space station?

    1. Re:What about a space rope? by MyHair · · Score: 1

      Why not just drop a big ass rope off the space station?

      Don't know how serious you are, but first off carbon nanotube fiber is the only thing known that would be strong enough and light enough for a space elevator.

      The elevator will have to be carefully deployed; You can't drop it down from the space station because A: at that speed gravity is counterbalanced so the 'rope' won't fall; and B: the space station is not geostationary and would drag the 'rope' through the atmosphere and burn it up.

      Read the High Lift Systems web site thoroughly on the proposed deployment procedures and the forces that will complicate the process.

    2. Re:What about a space rope? by dnoyeb · · Score: 1

      seems like if necessary you could launch the rope downward with a propellant. Further you could deploy a geo-stationary platform for this purpose. Of course their are issue. But seems less than trying to build a rigid body to stick into space.

  106. China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think most people are forgetting about China's quickly evolving space program. While the Russians are totally screwed I have a feeling once China drops a man on the moon someone in America is going to wake up and smell the coffee. At least I hope so. We need to start looking at where we can go when we screw up this rock we are on...

  107. Three cheaper launch alternatives by WillWare · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The compelling problem that the space program should try to solve is that launching into space is just too damn expensive. Today it costs $5K to $10K to place one kilogram in orbit. At that price, space tourism and colonization are completely out of the question. Using its dying gasp of breath to dramatically lower the cost of launch would be the noblest, most valuable thing NASA could do. From that point on, space development would be picked up by Marriott and 3M, and political Brownian motion would be removed from the equation.

    Tethers ( 1, 2, 3 ) attached to counterweights can be used to transfer spacecraft from one orbit to another. The first tether has an orbit that skims the atmosphere, where a craft catches and connects to the end of the tether. The craft is lifted into low earth orbit and subsequent tethers help it to reach escape velocity. Using the tethers takes energy out of the orbits of the counterweights, some of which can be put back by using the tethers for descent as well as launch.

    J. Storrs-Hall (once moderator of sci.nanotech) envisioned a space dock, a linear motor suspended 100 km above the ground that accelerates spacecraft to an elliptical orbit. He computes an amortized cost of reaching low earth orbit of 42 cents per kilogram. From the elliptical orbit, it's a relatively small safe step to escape velocity.

    A space elevator ( 1, 2 ) is an excellent long-term solution. A cable is hung from a weight in geosynchronous orbit, reaching down to the Earth's surface. The elevator climbs the cable, carrying a craft. When it reaches GEO, the craft detaches and spends only a little fuel getting to escape velocity.

    Tethers and the space elevator require novel materials for strong cables, probably using carbon nanotubes. The frame to hold up the space dock is in compression, and something we could build with little or no advance in material science. Any of these alternatives would be vastly cheaper and vastly safer than putting human lives on the noses of fuel tanks subjected to unreasonable speeds and stresses.

    --
    WWJD for a Klondike Bar?
    1. Re:Three cheaper launch alternatives by Vireo · · Score: 1

      The other side of the medal for those alternatives are:

      1. Tethers physics in orbit are incredibly complicated. The few experiments done in the past show that the tether's contorsions when deployed are unpredictable.

      2. Canons and other railguns must either provide a ridiculously strong acceleration or be ridiculously long and tall (Storrs-Hall seems to envision a 100km-tall, 300km-long device).

      3. Space elevators would require an incredible amount of incredibly strong material. Geosynchronous orbit is 36,000 km away. You have to build a cable, let's say, at least 10 m in diameter, and actually longer than 36,000 km (it must extant up to a counterweight so that its center of mass is in geosynchronous orbit). Yep, that's over 1 cubic kilometer of material, not even counting the counterweight.

      There is also Tsiolkovsy's equatorial ring... build a ring around Earths's equator and somehow make it elastic, and make it turn really fast around the globe. Under centrifugal forces, it will expand... a few % or expansion is enough for it to reach low Earth orbit, and the quantity of material that could be lifted would be enormous. Caveats involves the Andes, among other things.

    2. Re:Three cheaper launch alternatives by WillWare · · Score: 1
      2. Canons and other railguns must either provide a ridiculously strong acceleration or be ridiculously long and tall (Storrs-Hall seems to envision a 100km-tall, 300km-long device).

      JoSH calculated he'd need 10 Gs of acceleration for 80 seconds. That sounds like a hell of a lot to me, I'm not sure I'd survive it without at least some broken bones. Maybe if you're suspended in a fluid.

      I would be inclined to go with a longer track with lower acceleration. The length of the space dock is inversely proportional to the acceleration, and less acceleration is easier on both spacecraft and people.

      There's plenty of room in the middle of the Pacific to make a dock just over 1000 miles long, so you'd only have an acceleration of 2G. Or it could be made longer, and with 2G you could put the craft in a more elliptical orbit with a higher perigee. In that case, once you were past the velocity for circular orbit, the track would need to hold the craft down until it got to the end.

      --
      WWJD for a Klondike Bar?
  108. Why Mars is better than the Moon or space habitats by Colin+Simmonds · · Score: 1
    Why in bejeepers is everyone gung ho about mars?

    I'd suggest that you, and anyone else interested in the question of why Mars is a better target for a base and eventual colonization, should read Robert Zubrin's book The Case for Mars. He advances in it a number of arguments as to why Mars is better, but the one I found the most interesting was the suggestion that Mars is the best place in the solar system for farming, aside from the Earth (see pages 185-199).

    We know that Mars has lots of water relatively accessible in its polar ice caps, as well as likely underground deposits all over the planet. By contrast, the only known water on the Moon is the recently discovered ice lurking in shadowy craters at the south pole. And based on the results of Viking and analysis of Martian meteorites, we know that its soil has all of the necessary nutrients for growing plants in.

    The other key to agriculture is a source of energy for growing crops. To use natural sunlight for growing crops on the Moon or a space habitat would require huge greenhouses. To shield the crops from radiation, the glass would have to be 10cm thick! Mars has enough of an atmosphere to filter out most of the radiation, so farms on Mars would simply require a pressurized tent. Artificial lighting is also a possibility, but the energy costs become prohibitive, particularly when free energy from the Sun is available.

    Most of the above factors apply, less generally, to human habitation. The Martian atmosphere will be easier for humans to get around, and it'll mean that settlements require less shielding against radiation. The Martian day is close in length to that of Earth. The surface gravity of Mars is higher than that of the Moon, so adapting to it will be easier. And so on.

    Mars is the best place for human habitation outside of the Earth. That makes it the most desirable colonization target, but even for temporary outposts, the same factors will make those bases cheaper and easier to sustain.

  109. Any number of ways... by Goonie · · Score: 1
    Just out of curiosity, but if we send people to Mars, how in the hell are they supposed to get back?

    If you send a big enough booster, you could include enough fuel for the return trip. Unfortunately, that means you need to take an awful lot of fuel, which takes a really big rocket (or series of rockets) to get out of Earth orbit, The more big launches you need to make, the more it's going to cost.

    Alternatively, you could make some propellant there. Either you send a nuclear reactor to Mars to turn carbon dioxide and hydrogen (the hydrogen is either brought with you, or if we know a bit more about water availability on Mars maybe we'll be able to extract it from the soil or something) into, say, methane and oxygen bipropellant. The reactor, processing plant, and so on are much lighter than the fuel, so this should be easier. This is Mars Direct, dreamed up (with a colleague) by Robert Zubrin, the guy behind the Mars Society.

    If you've got a nuclear thermal rocket, you need a heap less propellant because you can force it out the back of the rocket much faster. Therefore, you can probably just take it with you, or you might use something from Mars for the return trip.

    Finally, if you've got an Orion drive (powering the ship by exploding nuclear weapons behind it), a VASIMR engine, or something similarly exotic, your propellant is so efficient at moving the ship that carrying the fuel for the return trip is dead easy. In fact, you can burn extra fuel to get there much faster than a standard trip with a chemical or nuclear thermal rocket.

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
  110. Who cares that this scientist is Dutch? by Hubert_Shrump · · Score: 1

    I do. I don't want 40% of my $500 million going to cheap cigars and funny boots.

    --
    Keep your packets off my GNU/Girlfriend!
  111. Re:Curious ignorance - Laika was deliberately kilt by caveat · · Score: 1

    She was sent to her death (an unpleasant one, slow suffocation, dehydration, or burning up) and they knew they had no way to get her down.

    Heh, then you'll hate to hear that the dog they sent up before her got cooked on launch (insufficient insulation on the casule, drag heating). Anyway, Laika was actually euthanized before reentry with drug-laced food - the Russians weren't THAT bad.

    --

    Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored. - Aldous Huxley
  112. Would you name specific parts? by roystgnr · · Score: 1

    The biggest problem in our corrupt government is that our agencies are forced to farm out to the lowest bidder instead of building the parts that they need themselves for one tenth the price.

    I'm clearly missing out on a huge opportunity to sell these parts for 80% profit at half the price.

  113. Re:It's not that dangerous - most dangerous job by caveat · · Score: 1

    Last I heard the most dangerous job in America was still those lobster (or something) fisherman in Maine or whatever.

    It's king crab fishing in the Bering Sea - the height of crab season just happens to be the middle of winter on one of the roughest bodies of water on the planet. I can't find the numbers in a two-minute google search, but IIRC out of a fleet of ~300 men, 2 to 6 don't come back each season - and that's assuming no boats sink. The blood sweat and tears of hard-working men must be a hell of a seasoning, king crab is what, $20/lb?

    --

    Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored. - Aldous Huxley
  114. spaceplanes by zogger · · Score: 0, Redundant

    --I was aware of the various space plane designs. I was more thinking of the *alleged* advanced craft that are flying. I am really speculating now, no actual data of course, but the web has various references* that can be found. It could be that for the public & civilian spaceplane concepts they are limited in using only technology that is up to a certain publically acknowledged threshold of advancement, which would require them to re-invent the wheel in an inefficient (but still functional, obviously) manner in order to protect the better quality designs in the secret prototype craft.

    *google search, random selection reference url

    http://www.dreamlandresort.com/black_projects/gr oo m_projects.html

    remove slashdot-inserted space in "groom" part of url

  115. Bone Loss in Space by gordguide · · Score: 1

    The second of two research projects on Bone Loss in Space, called OSTEO-2 ((Osteoporosis Experiments in Orbit-2), were performed on the STS-107 mission.
    The project, a research mission of the Canadian Space Agency, was to follow up on results of OSTEO-1 from STS-95, experiments which were performed by Astronaut John Glenn aboard Discovery.
    Preliminary results from the tests were very positive; some media reports used the term "breakthrough" to describe the results.
    All data was lost upon re-entry.

  116. Re:HHEHHEHE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Suggested moderation: (-1, Stoned)

  117. Re:spaceplanes/another by zogger · · Score: 1

    here is a better url for this topic

    http://www.fas.org/irp/mystery/index.html

  118. Back To The Moon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    * This was a letter I wrote to Mr. Bush 3 weeks before the Columbia disaster.

    Dear Mr. President,

    I am writing to you about my disappointment with the stateof affairs in America today. While the media is constantlychurning up images of our faltering economy, corporate CEOs being led away in handcuffs and the constant spectre of additional terrorist attacks. There remains little focus or attention on what made the United States the greatest country in the world.

    America's spirit has always been great ideas...ideas that unite the nation and provide a rallying point to focus ourskills, determination and ideals. It began with the Declaration of Independence from Mother England, a bold and audacious move against the Superpower of that era. Later the expansion west and claiming of a continent drove the American dream. World War II and the universal struggle against the Axis forces pushed this country yet futher in greatness. And then in the sixties and seventies it was the Race tothe Moon. It galvanized a generation...I remember as a young boy, being called to the TV by my parents one hot July evening to see live pictures of the first steps on themoon. That moment and the steps that led up to it made me so proud to be an American.

    No other nation can or could have done this...yet. While we have forsaken the Moon for other 'scientific pursuits in space', China recently anounced that they intend to put men in space by the end of 2003 AND set up a moon prescence by the end of this decade to in their own words, "exploit its resources" . The thought of that is at best an affront toour astronauts and engineers that made the original journey possible, and at worst a possible threat to our future inspace and our security here on Earth.

    NASA's priorities need to be radically re-organized...theyshould be doing great things again, making heros that our kids can look up to , not spending valuable research dollars on hair-brained anti-gravity research, not launching repeatedly the 'Space Truck'(Shuttle) to do heavens knows what and building this so-called International Space Station, that us U.S. taxpayers are paying the lion's share of over $10 billion dollars at last count.(and called by a recent article in New Scientist magazine, "the aimless, cash-guzzling International Space Station" )

    Not only has this space station been hideously expensive,and fraught with numerous cost overruns, but what will it really accomplish? What are thy really doing that we really didn't learn or do with SkyLab back in the 1970's, exceptmaybe planning to host pop-stars and other super-rich tourists..?

    This nation's destiny is to return to the Moon , and live there...establishing a research station like MacMurdo Station in the Antarctica. The first step in learning how to 'homestead' in space's hostile environment. Mining minerals and water ice for fuel, building materials and life enabling oxygen. Somewhere from which we can properly explore the Moon's history and hidden riches. And re-ignite the American people's imagination of going to the stars. I havea one year old son now, and I want him to imagine and dreamof going beyond earth's problems someday to a bold new frontier and destiny for mankind.

    Currently NASA's manned space program is focused only on Mars....a destination we are not ready for nor as economoical as going back to the Moon first. NASA's own people have said the following..

    "NASA is misdirected by setting its sights too firmlyon Mars and the search for life on the red planet, said lunar scientist Paul Spudis. NASA's own Office of Space Science, as well as former space agency chief,Daniel Goldin, have "suppressed this [ lunar science ]community in favor of Mars," he said.

    "I don't think you can conduct a human mission to Mars for less than a $100 billion in any time shorter than ten years," Spudis said. "The technology base will only marginally support a human Mars mission. It's justa bridge too far. I contend that NASA doesn't have a politically viable mission."

    Spudis said that buried within NASA is a progressive plan for placing humans back onto the Moon. NASA Exploration Team (NExT) members at the Johnson Space Center, he said, have scripted a breakthrough strategy.

    There is a plan already started, what we need is the will to in these troubled times think of a loftier and bolder goal, that of retruning to the Moon - to stay. Are we too distracted and busy with the war on terrorism and other ills at home? I think not, as we did it the first time through the heyday of the height of the Cold War and its stresses /costs.

    To summarize, here are the key points I'd like you to consider:

    1. Make returning to the Moon a new national goal , to stay this time...to explore , learn its secrets and pave the path to eventually living in space.

    2. Immediately re-organize NASAs management, expendituresand focus to pursue this task.

    3. Halt the run-away spending on the International Space Station. I don't really think we are getting our money's worth.

    What NASA needs a is grand vision in order to survive. "Right now, NASA is just one big accounting problem," saysJohn Pike of the Global Security think tank in Washington DC. "Unless there is some other reason for its existence, some other goal, the easiest way of solving this problem isto shut down NASA."

    By setting a new direction and bold agaenda to return to the Moon we can turnaround NASA's flailing , and re-chart its mission as a great quest, one that will capture the imaginations of all Americans, youg and old, to renew the pioneering spirit of America. Additionally, the technologyand lessons learned about living of the Moon will be directly applicable to the next logical goal of a Mars mission.

    Thanks for your time, I hope you give this some thought.

    Sincerely,

    a citizen

  119. Elitism hurts no matter where it hits by Reziac · · Score: 1

    Just like the elitists hereabouts who shout "If you're not an expert, you shouldn't use linux!" ;) But there is something to what you say -- some people act as if "commercialization of space travel" were in some way evil. There =are= people who want such programs to be hero-driven and out of reach of the common man. But if the *ultimate* object isn't to make life in space a viable option *for the common man*, then why are we bothering at all??

    You'll know we've *truly* succeeded when riding the shuttle to Mars, or better yet Alpha Centauri, is no more exciting than taking the bus from Phoenix to Tucson is today.

    --
    ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  120. Re:Simple .. spend $ on health, education... by Reziac · · Score: 1

    And eventually there will be poor and homeless on space stations and other planets, just as poverty and homelessness didn't go away because people explored, then settled and ultimately civilized Earth's frontiers. It's the nature of humanity. "Wherever you go, there you are," while completely true, is NOT a good reason to never go anywhere.

    --
    ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  121. The Space Launch Initiative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The SLI has not been cancelled. Some of its funding has been redirected, though, to the OSP and ISS.

  122. No doubt in my mind by alanafalcon · · Score: 1

    I find it amazing that NASA has had the fantastic track record that they've had. I am a scientist and know about little peculiarities and set-backs you can encounter in an experiment setup and execution. When lives are involved, you try everything a million times before the "run that counts" - but probability dictates something obscure will come up every so often. When you're blasting through the atmosphere with your nose on fire, there is enough opportunity to eventually get those odd situations.

    I completely agree though, learn from your mistakes, make the possibilities the least and get out there and learn something amazing.

    --
    Sanity is the playground of the unimaginative
  123. Of Babies and Bathwater... by Estaban+Almedia · · Score: 1

    One of Benford's positions is that the space station does not allow for partial-G experiments prior to a trip to Mars. Maybe I'm missing something but it seems uniquely qualified... Astronaut's spend 6 months on the station simulating the trip to Mars. Then a fresh crew from Earth takes them to the Moon, which at quarter-G is a fair approximation of Mars gravity. Person's with celebrity need to be careful how they use it. Its easy to get attention now, because it invokes the image of dead astronauts.

  124. You proved his point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Brits got a _lot_ more people into the New World than did the Spanish. Britain remained a significant world power much longer than did Spain.

  125. Space by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Only simpler, yet more powerfull tech will get us anywhere. We need to learn how to control gravity. We need to lear how to move from point A to point B without spending tons of fuels to accelerate and then just as much to decellerate. Frankly as far as space reaserach goes, more sense would be to put more money into basic reasearch.
    More shuttle flights will never lead us to other galacies, a better nuclear acelerator might. I trully belive that conventional engnines (checmical, plasma, or nuclear) will never be able to propel (living) humans beyond solar system.

    Vic

  126. It is quite simple... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Marx and those socialists were right, there are too many capitalist pigs. How can I justify going to College for science and engineering when pretty much they tell us you are the smartest people in our country but you will have to work harder, longer, and get paid less for being an engineer which is a high paying science type job, while having some moron with a business degree bossing you around generally negatively affecting your objective. Face it people just do not care, we have wishy washy politicians who have there own agendas, and only a small minority really cares. The moon race was unique in that we had hard competition, Kennedy was a charismatic leader who died and this was one of his dreams, it was this that really pushed america to do this. Not to mention this was a sign of our ability to land missiles anywhere and everywhere making this a worthwhile goal. I have an idea, why do we not make it clear that the 60 billion dollar war that will kill Iraqis and americans a like be canceled and we could use that money to advance space or get us off our dependence on foreign oil. Or our highly regarded tax cuts, would I rather see us feed starving children or do something useful with that money? You tell me, I do not support any of our nations leadership because they lack basic understanding of economics and how we could make a better situation for everyone while helping ourselves, it can be done. So the key here is do not vote for BUSH in 2004 and make it clear that america is dissatisfied with the options in politics. We need a candidate who is very intelligent, pragmatic, and understands science. Bush simply is not our man, he barely knows what NASA is he had planned budget cuts, and if anything is to blame for a space shuttle falling out of the sky it is budget cuts. Clinton and Bush #1 can also share the blame but he was only doing what he had to do to get our government out of hock because of the Reagan administration which was responsible for accelerating economic growth too fast and causing us to enter a recession because of an artificial growth based on 6 trillion dollars of borrowed money across 8 years. Keynesian economics gone awry is how I would describe that period. Now is the time, it is the time not to cut taxes but spending the trillions of dollars for the good of the world, not individuals. You tell me what is more effective give away money to people who will use it to buy foreign goods or Giving many americans jobs creating new technology and rebuilding aging american infrastructure. So remember this when we go to the polls.

    -An anonymous concerned American

  127. Thinking about our Moon attitude by burns210 · · Score: 1

    We went to the moon in the 60's, and didn't go back. My thoughts (that just hit me) "Competition is Good." Russia never went to the moon, so why should we one-up ourselves? Hopefully, With China (and others) finally persuing space flight(can you believe it took them 30 years to start and catch up?) America will be pushed to step up and show that they are still one step ahead.

  128. Asteroids by lommer · · Score: 1

    What I'm proposing is a relatively safe science mission that uses know technologies and proven capabilities that could capture the imagination of the public. Asteroids. While we know a great deal about the meteorites that strike out earth, we do not know as much about the large asteroids that inhabit our solar system. This mission would investigate these asteroids.

    Phase one would be completely unmanned. A vehicle, perhaps prepared in orbit by the ISS, would travel to the asteroid belt or some nearby asteroid, capture the asteroid, and return with it to earth orbit. The the requirements for this would really push the envelope of what our current technologies are capable of, and would expand and improve our familiarity with the mechanics of space operation.

    Phase two involves the process that occurs after the asteroid has been returned to earth orbit. I envision the ISS becoming a central base for a team of geologists and other scientists who routinely make EVA spacewalks to the asteroid, performing numerous science experiments and taking samples that are returned to the ISS or earth for analysis. This phase would also be very succesful in the media's eyes as it has the potential to produce excellent pictures and videos of humans at work in space. Though you might not think that the media should not be our primary purpose in space, it will be absolutely neccesary to capture the public's imagination and to build a feeling of adventure.

    The final, third phase depends on the size of the asteroid. There are numerous possibilities for it after the science has been conducted on it in orbit. It could either be completely dissasembled in orbit, put on a trajectory to burn up in earth's atmosphere, or left in orbit. However, it could also be put on a trajectory to impact with the moon in a known location, allowing us to for the first time in history to study an asteroid impact in great depth. This could also provide justification for another moon mission to set up equipment beforehand and study the impact crate afterwards.

    The key to the success of this mission lies in its modularity. If, after phase 1 conditions here on earth have changed, one need not appropriate enourmous amounts of $$$ from congress for phase two. Same goes for phase three. This will make the mission a much more attractive proposition to the financiers.

    I would love to see this happen. Any comments on it from the rest of the /. crowd?

    1. Re:Asteroids by saskboy · · Score: 1

      I love the idea. I don't see it happening though, because the nay sayers will say, "Oh yeah! Well what if we happen to redirect the asteroid INTO the Earth?" Imagine humanity causing the very extinction event we all seem to fear the most. How poetic.

      --
      Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
  129. Humans in space? don't we know better now? by michaelbg · · Score: 1

    I am not a fan of human space travel. The symbolism of going out into space never really excited me much, since I tend to think I wouldn't like it, and I never really understood why someone would want to go up.

    Would any of you? Like at least a few other slashdot readers, I lead a sedentary existence, sometime emerging into the outdoors for a few hours here and there(so few I am pasty faced and open to jibes from my dark-toned girlfriend) . But I wouldn't want to give those few hours up. I don't want to wear space suits, or work on a space station on mars which would be like a small claustrophobic village, though less fun since there are no outdoors. As for orwellian nightmares...well, forget about privacy in any of these places, or even freedom. Ultimately, who has the freedom to do as s/he pleases when you could kill everyone around you just by opening the wrong door. The pioneers who go out will be, well visionary, but then that's often just another word for stupid and deluded.

    As to whether I should pay as a taxpayer for people to go up into space, well, then my opinion is quite clear: no. The arguments for human space exploration are 1) all the eggs in one basket theory. Well, aphorism-based policy is tricky, since there are quite a few aphorisms around. Rather than go through an exhaustive list against foolhardiness, let me quote/paraphrase two: A bird on earth is worth two on Mars. Put all your eggs in the one basket and--watch that basket! Does anyone seriously believe that building a station on Mars has a better survivability than building a deep biodome bomb shelter in Colorado? The latter is significantly cheaper, and no need to worry about bone density loss, just the usual pastiness factor for white folk. :-)

    As an aside, I don't want to give up on Earth. And I don't want anyone else to have that option either. ie. if the elite of the world decide merely living in America isn't safe enough from the teeming hordes anymore, and go off into space, can you imagine the consequences for those of us still leaving down here? Absentee ownership will take on a whole new meaning. ie. I like having all the eggs in one basket. Perhaps we've already doomed the earth with our profligate ways. It's still cheaper to build shelters on Earth. It's much easier to make a go of it in apocalyptic earth than to survive on a mars colony with earth in collapse.

    2) Encouraging young people into science. Or is it encouraging young people into space science that will then think that going into space is a worthy goal. I seem to have always thought going into space was foolish. Why not colonize the undersea while you're at it! oh not sexy enough.

    Well science doesn't need the sex. America's society is pretty sick now, more concerned with getting a hit single or becoming a parasitic business contract lawyer who does IPOs (or whatever they do when they aren't sucking the life juices of positive life force) than with understanding how the world works... Science is not about going to mars. It's about understanding new things. Try understanding how the human brain works or how life works or countless other things....now that's science.

    Encourage people into engineering...well engineering is always about balancing the forces of nature against the forces of man, including his/her pocketbook. Figure out how to store energy efficiently so that one can ride out power demand surges when everyone turns on the dishwasher....now that's a challenging science and engineering problem. Figure out how to REDUCE the amount of fertilizer while still obtaining good growth results (aside: what kind of agricultural engineering policy is it to develop plants that resist fertilizer and pesticide excess rather than finding ways to reduce susceptibility to pests and encourage growth? agricultural engineering run by pesticide companies, obviously.)

    Encourage people into the sciences and engineering domain? well in a way, sure. It creates jobs for high tech types. (well like me. :-) ) Now that even chip design is being offshored, the only real engineering work in the US is soon going to be NASA and the defence industry? Great! (Well it'd be greater for me if I were an American citizen!) In a way, perhaps that explains why some many science/tech types are so pro-space. Look where the money is, as they say.

    As detailed further in the next point, the human space race is expensive. Why be indirect about it? You want to encourage people in engineering and sciences? Encourage those kind of businesses, those kind of schools. Discourage complicated tax codes (rich accountants); highly skewed medical staff market (very expensive to become a doctor in the US. You obviously are way too tight on the supply since you need to import from all over the world. Tight supply of doctors = rich doctors); winner-take-all business climate, focus on financial dealings, CEO glorification (What does a CEO do of real value? talk to rich investors? Golf? attend board meetings of other companies where they hike up one another's salaries.), entire derivatives markets (Go into money: it's way easier to understand than the effect of Maxwell's Equations at the nanoscale chip level, and once you learn, you're done! money's money. Derivatives are new but they're a joke, a very lucrative joke, so the joke's on me for becoming an engineer.) crazy tort and criminal system (rich lawyers). I repeat: the joke's on me for becoming an engineer. Sure engineering is hard work, when you try to do it right. But hell, stockboy at costco is hard work too--I know. And McDonald's is hard, and ad writing can be hard (though sometimes you have to wonder whether hard work goes on for some of these ads!) and brain surgery is hard. Heart surgery is also hard, but is better paid than brain surgery. More clogged arteries around than clogged brains...I find that hard to believe. Oh right, people don't mind having clogged brains (I know I know, brain surgeons don't deal with intelligence, even less with clear, honest thinking. Damn shame.) . ie. what you get paid only indirectly depends on how hard you work. And it's not just education...some smart hardworking PhDs in biosciences aren't raking in the dough either. Our society just values certain things more than others, and actually doing stuff ranks at the bottom of the barrel these days.

    Perhaps some engineers feel it's just right that some money come their way finally. I'd prefer to have a business climate where making a 20% profit on a gidjet sounds like a good project. Oh sure, in today's climate, investors claim they'd be happy with that...but they're just biding their time for the next speculative bubble to make the real dough.

    So after all this meandering let me summarize this point: the human space race is a poor means to encourage young people into science. For it confuses the goal of science, understanding, with sexy and symbolic gestures. Perhaps the money does encourage some engineering and science by creating a reserve of government employees and subcontractors, but better means of encouraging engineering and science as professions exist, and the money could be used for other tasks, which brings me to the next point.

    3) Better than spending it down here on earth! A previous poster on slashdot said there would always be poor and hungry people, and one shouldn't stop doing things because of this. Furthermore, he states that the symbolism of searching and the research spinoffs are essential. Well, how much research could Africa churn out, if people could eat and live comfortably? And wasn't the eradication of smallpox one of the greatest real achievements of the human race? Would the elimination of hunger and abject poverty not be THE GREATEST ACHIEVEMENT EVER, engineering and otherwise. I apologize for the allcaps, but come on! Going to mars is nothing! We get there and SO WHAT! spinoffs!? Why wait for spinoffs!? how about we research smaller sources of power right now? Better solar panels! So NASA came up with miniaturization. That was years ago. And the non-spacefaring among us would have come up with that one sometime along the way. ie. if there had been no NASA there would have been no research? ridiculous. If that had genuinely been true, the US would have deserved its fate, but seeing the size of the American defence research commitment, one does tend to think that the US research field would have done all right. And perhaps without the fat high margin government contracts for space, America's researchers could have focussed on efficient manufacturing techniques.

    4) The nature of pioneering is to lose a few lives. Let us consider the expansion of America into the west. The first pioneers had it pretty rough. Still, it wasn't really that rough to decide to pioneer. Life in the east was pretty miserable, and those that found pioneering too rough probably didn't last long enough to... get onto CNN to tell those back east they should stay home. Oh right no CNN! Well, relative to those early pioneers, we are better informed about the risks of space travel. And even if we were as uninformed, we can just up and go (otherwise you know some people would be looking for gold on mars! just on the offchance right!). Well, if the west of the US was completely uninhabited today, it would take very little time to settle. Our tech is just so much better now. Cars that can drive across the country, trains, planes, speedboats, (wagons=minivans?). What's the rush to do it now? in 60 years, when america finally recovers from the babyboom generation, well things will be different.

    5) What about our parents' cojones! A slashdot poster pointed out that we have to do this for our parents and our children. Well, I hope my grandchildren will actually have a world to live in, not a bomb shelter nor a mars colony.

    But what about our parents? According to the poster, his parents had the balls to dream of the moon...well my parents are in the baby boom generation...their parents paid for this space business. well, to be frank, my grandparents had pretty miserable lives back then. During the 50-60s, they were true corporate slaves and they were fighting for union rights. Not because they wanted to particularly, since they didn't want to rock the boat. They had no choice in the matter. Corporations were just so plain evil there was no choice really. Most of this kind of stuff is offshore now, so it's not in our faces but that wasn't a world very tolerant of people expressing their opinions. Yet, when we read about that time, we hear of great economic prosperity. Of course, old people died then. Now they linger, and the baby boom is going to linger for decades. They had it pretty good...creating pension plans, medicare (Canada), welfare (Canada) but now is the time to pay for that. They were too busy paying for space to pay for their own expenses so now I'll pay. Great.

    As for their moral courage...the employer was always right. The government was nearly allpowerful. Cops could beat anyone. Parents could beat their children. Well, people in that time did what they were told. We're going to the moon. Great! let's do it! Only when confronted with many thousands of bodybags did Americans question their view of Vietnam. Sure there are exceptions but if it weren't for truly egregious conditions, the common man wouldn't have gone on strike. Now, we've gone to the other extreme. Well, I like this extreme, having rights and and wanting my money spent as I see fit.

    So finally, the notion of a space-race was a bit odd at its origin, but at least, we didn't know any better. Now, we know its tough and lethal. It should emphasize to reasonable people the importance of life down here on earth.

    When we don't have continents of sick, starving people, and when our technology has advanced sufficiently, perhaps we, the government and private companies, can then go into space. When all of earth is well-fed and we've figured out how to make our industry into closed systems, well, then we'll need new frontiers and probably have the means to achieve them, though even then, with difficulty. For now, we've got more work down here than any reasonable person could possibly want to think about. I would like to focus on that.

  130. Re:Space Elevator feasible? (Re:What I'd like to s by Mike_L · · Score: 1

    HighLift Systems has a design of a 100,000 km long cable that has a density of 7.5 kg/km. That is 750,000 kg total for the cable. Consider the enormous amount of tension that such a cable must withstand. There would be very little difference between a cable that can only support itself and a cable that can support a payload.

    I suggest you read the HighLift Systems website. They have a lot of really good information:

    http://www.highliftsystems.com/

  131. Re:Why Mars is better than the Moon or space habit by Craig+Davison · · Score: 1

    There's no soil on mars. Soil is biomass.
    What you mean is "small bits of rock and mineral"

  132. Re:Space Elevator feasible? (Re:What I'd like to s by AndroidCat · · Score: 1
    While those designs are interesting, I find that I can't be bothered to spend much time thinking about them in other than the abstract until someone actually makes some of the cable and uses it in an engineering project. What we need is something that can be built and running in under 10 years before all the shuttles have been retired/lost.

    Umm, only 750 metric tonnes? That sounds kind of light, actually. Regardless, the whole cable will have to be lofted into orbit before it can be installed. For that, we need working conventional space capability, and lots of it.

    --
    One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
  133. Stupidity, and other musings by Xilinx_guy · · Score: 1
    "Against Stupidity, the gods themselves strive in vain."

    I've been avidly following all the editorials, stories, commentaries, and blogs since Columbia was destroyed last week, and I have yet to see any writer to put their finger on the basic problem with manned spaceflight.

    I'll put it in words for you: Humans don't belong in outer space. Lest I be accused of some sort of retro Luddite philosophy, let me clarify the foundation of that statement. Humans evolved on the African plains millions of years ago, and have admirable survival traits for all sorts of circumstances that can be found on this planet. But we don't live (normally) in Antarctica, nor do we live in the ocean. It's the wrong environment. Trying to export an earthlike environment to the rest of the solar system is not only stupid, it's doomed to failure.

    So what's the answer? Let's think of it in terms of ecological niches, shall we? What sort of animal can you design to survive and flourish in the Oort cloud? First of all, normal body temperature should be only a few degrees above ambient (4.7K). Secondly, you need the ability to gather energy from the environment (solar radiation, fusion, etc...). Finally, and most importantly, you need the ability to survive the constant bombardment of hard radiation, high energy elementary particles, micrometeorites, and other random junk. This implies redundancy and regeneration on a nanoscale that is as yet unknown to our technology.

    So what should we do? We should expand our unmanned space program dramatically (in particular, we *must* map all the potential "dinosaur-killer" near-earth asteroids), kill the manned space program, and concentrate on developing nanoscale technologies that will permit machine based AI's to survive the natural space environment. If you want to visit outer space, you'll have to upload yourself to a machine that's already there!

    To recap, there is no point in trying to populate the galaxy with humans. It's the wrong ecological niche! On the other hand, there's nothing wrong in uploading human intelligences into machines that will explore the galaxy. Now that is a project that sounds interesting! But I can't help but wonder, has it been done already?

  134. Why go to space? Survival. by adoll · · Score: 1

    Yes, it is a sad event when people die. All forms of transport
    involve risk but space flight is very spectacular when it goes
    wrong. Seven people died in the shuttle and the entire world
    knows about it. Seven people died the same day in an avalanche
    in western Canada that swept over a group of teenage skiers from
    south of Calgary. A crowded passenger train collided with a
    freight train in northwestern Zimbabwe... 42 people were killed
    and another 60 injured. Transportation of any form involves
    risk and people will continue to die in train, car, airplane,
    and spacecraft mishaps. Society will not stop moving people
    about in spite of the risk, therefore it makes sense to take all
    reasonable precautions and then "just do it". The question the
    American taxpayers need to ask is are shuttles the best way of
    moving people and cargo to orbit?

    The shuttles are 1970's technology. My palm pilot has more
    memory than the shuttle's main computers (they were designed
    about 5 years before the Apple //+, remember it?). Computers
    are easy to upgrade, but what about the structure of the
    vehicle? The airframes of the shuttles undergo much harsher
    treatment than your typical military jet... airframe fatigue
    caused Canada has retired 25% of the CF-18s they bought in the
    early 1980's. Columbia was planned for retirement sometime
    after 2010 making it a rather geriatric craft.

    Aside: Canada can be proud that our Sea King helicopters may
    still be operating in 2010 and thus continue to hold the 'old
    age award' for military aircraft. There is still no sign that
    the federal government is going to award the replacement
    contract for these choppers.

    The US shuttles are old and still serviceable but they are risky
    to run. The old Soviet method of launching 'Soyuz' module is
    arguably more expensive, but you don't worry about fatigue (each
    module is used once and discarded). The Soyuz sit on top of an
    industrial launch vehicle (the Proton rocket) that has one of
    the best launch records in the world. The Protons are 1960s
    design, but each is, again, built brand new for each launch.
    The vehicles wear out but the design doesn't. Nasa abandoned
    the disposable launcher concept when they moved into shuttles
    and now the US space program is completely dependent upon the
    shuttles for moving humans back and forth from space. Nasa will
    likely ground the shuttle fleet until the investigations are
    done, so the Russians and the Soyuz vehicles are the only
    passage back and forth to the ISS. Now ask the question: who
    has the better design? The Chinese are in the process of
    building a manned space program -- their manned module looks
    more like a Soyuz capsule than anything in the US inventory.

    So why is the loss of a US space shuttle important? Because
    space flight is vital to the survival of our species. Humans
    are vulnerable to extinction so long as we are bottled up on
    this one planet. Any of a number of events can kill us off: a
    large asteroid impact, instability in our Sun, or local cosmic
    radiation bursts. Items one and two would not spell the end of
    our species if humans had a sustainable society operating, for
    example, in the asteroid belt. The shuttle has focused people's
    attention on the dangers of space flight and may result in even
    more conservative designs in US space vehicles to mitigate the
    danger. The cost of this diminished return for safety will be
    delay and fewer missions flown. Fewer missions means it will
    take longer to achieve the interplanetary 'sustainable society'
    that will protect humanity from disaster.

    And that would be the biggest disaster of all. Humans need to
    break free of the Earth and our species is at risk until we do.
    Individual people will be at risk during the journey. People
    will continue to die in space the same as they die on motorways
    and in railroad mishaps. Don't think for a moment that the
    journey into space is not worth the risk. It is the only way to
    ensure our survival.

  135. Re:Space Elevator feasible? (Re:What I'd like to s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yep, only 750 metric tonnes.

    Nanotubes are some seriously cool shit.

  136. Space plane design by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just freaked myself out.

    I saw the Shuttle failure on BBC as it was happening, and at the time, sketched out what I thought should be the "replacement".

    It's essentially the same design as the Orbital one, although slightly sleeker, and without the tail fin.

    Wierd.

  137. No rethinking necessary. by jdray · · Score: 1
    I want to say first that a) I understand your skepticism, and b) I'm normally adamant about having references at hand when talking about something [thank God for Google].

    Having said that, I can't find the article that laid out the particulars. I'll keep looking, and post something if I find it.

    The basics behind the statement are twofold: first, the shuttle ET has between 5 and 20 tons of fuel left when it gets ejected from the orbiter. Second, the shuttle has to make a specialized maneuver right before it ejects the ET that ensures that the ET is headed down the correct insertion path for its death descent into the atmosphere. If it continued along a ballistic launch trajectory, not ejecting the residual fuel, extra cargo capacity could be achieved.

    While you're waiting for me to get back to you, check out Chris Fitch's excellent ET page at this link.

    Regards,

    JD

    --
    The Spoon
    Updated 6/28/2011
    1. Re:No rethinking necessary. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... the shuttle ET has between 5 and 20 tons of fuel left when it gets ejected from the orbiter.

      Uhh, why?

    2. Re:No rethinking necessary. by jdray · · Score: 1

      Dunno. I suppose for much the same reason that you have gas left in your tank when you go to the gas station. Better to have too much than not enough.

      --
      The Spoon
      Updated 6/28/2011
  138. Get Back UP There NOW!! by deathcloset · · Score: 1

    Wow! this article appeared on Google news. I was at first curious about gid-goo. with a name like that I wondered what nationality he could be? but after linking and finding slashdot I was like, oh, he's just a geek.

    Really, why don't they have a centerfuge in space yet? 2001 came and went, but no centrifical rooms on our space missions to jupiter... come to think of it no mission to jupiter...or for that matter no gigantic black rectangle either (though we shouldn't need to build that, it should just be there).

    I mean, I could see how the constant 1g stress could result in some serious questions of durability for a spinning spacecraft, but aren't our structural engineers pretty good at building structures in 1g by now? I mean the've had like, what, 100,000 years of building structures in 1g to practice.

    Would we even need propellent to keep it spinning? could we not have large, one sided, reflective solar panels arranged around a cylinder like some kind of windmill or propeller?

    What I say is, Can it with the anti-nuke sentiment and lets get ourselves a damn nuclear powered engine!! we've had this enourmously powerful technology for so long now and we have barely even tapped into nuclear powers true potential!

    After all, most of the rest of the matter in the universe seems to think that nuclear reactions out in space are fine and dandy, in fact just downright expected.

    Also, build a shipyard on the moon. The moon is perfect! Low grav means that moving large pieces of anything would be a snap. Also, though very little, the gravity of the moon gives us that great convenience of leverage. Also it's the damn moon and it's been asking for a moon base for some time now, also it's just rad.

    But I digress, how I digress. as arthur c clarke said.

    "If men cease to dream, if they turn their backs upon the wonder of the universe, the story of our race will be coming to an end."

    If our race is going to end I want it to end in some galactic war.

    Not while watching "the bachelor", or "american idol".

    Hell, I'll even settle for Vogons.

  139. Re:Why Mars is better than the Moon or space habit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting
    This is a kindof unstructured ramble, to summarize I think that in the shorter term, the idea of peopled Mars missions is way overrated.

    Firstly while the thicker the atmosphere the better, Mars has only around 1% of our sea level pressure. Although its further removed from Sol, radiation on the surface will still be a significant problem even under tents.

    Ambient energy sources from light and thermal gradients are stronger on the moon, and it is cheaper to get heavy things, like mining and plant equipment and nuclear reactors to the Moon than to Mars.

    There is probably more ice water on the Moon than we can currently detect, and anyway lunar rock is typically about 30% by weight hydrogen and oxygen, you just have to cook the rock to release it. The 10cm thick glass for (underground) greenhouses can be made on location.

    Because the journey there is short, keeping humans healthy and happy enough in transit is almost a no-brainer. Missions can be shorter, cheaper and escape back to Earth is similarly easier.

    For the forseeable future, human habitation of other spheres will primarily occur underground; its easy to make a mine airtight and it affords natural protection from solar radiation, not to mention tailings to process for useful things like air and steel. You just need a "space mole", energy to run it, a few airlocks, a suitable sealant, atmosphere, and you soon have as big a habitat as you want, from lifting the minimum weight out of Earth's gravity. This dovetails neatly with the automated mining that will be the primary economic motivation for space development in the mid to long term. Also the lower gravity and greater availability of energy is a boon for mining, making it much cheaper to return the products either to Earth or just to a lagrangian collection point - where a suitably massive Mars colony ship might be built.

    Sure lunar gravity is not healthy, but because the moon is closer and cheaper to get to, some of the money saved could be used for underground centrifugally complemented living quarters.

    I'm not advocating lunar bases as a population solution, but I think it is a natural stepping stone to start developing before people even set foot on Mars.

  140. Re:Why Mars is better than the Moon or space habit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Did I say 30% by weight? Not sure about the weight part, maybe just by molar ratio. *shrugs*
    Point is, you can make air and water there if you have energy.

  141. Mars myths by apsmith · · Score: 1

    1. The martian atmosphere has about 1% of Earth's pressure, and does almost nothing to protect from radiation. It is also pure CO2 so your flying craft has to carry its full reaction mass just like a rocket - there is a possibility of aerodynamic lift if your craft has really, really big wings (and is really, really light) but in truth the atmosphere on Mars is a lot closer to the vacuum of the Moon than to Earth's atmosphere.

    2. In any case, much of Earth's radiation protection comes from its magnetic field. Mars' magnetic field, however, is only 1/800 the strength of Earth's - so not much help there.

    3. Mars is a lot farther from the Sun than the Earth, however, so radiation from the Sun is reduced (about a factor of 2). However, that also means solar energy is a factor of 2 lower - which means you need twice as many solar cells on Mars as on the Moon or near Earth orbit for the same energy use level. In any case, solar radiation (including from flares) is a lot easier to shield against than the 1000x higher energy cosmic rays - which are the same, or slightly worse, at Mars' orbit (less shielding from the Sun's magnetic field).

    4. Colonization is not going to happen anytime soon without closing economic cylces - the settlers will not be able to produce everything themselves, and to balance their imports from Earth they will need to have some exchange in reverse. Whatever that economic exchange is, the proximity of the Moon makes for much shorter cycles, and therefore much faster payback on investment and growth, so even if the Moon has to rely more on Earth for food and materials than Mars would, the economic payback from developing the Moon will be far greater for at least the first few decades of development.

    But really, we should work for both - our goal should be human development of the entire solar system. I've met Zubrin, and while he's a great Mars advocate, he is ready to acknowledge it's not the only destination out there!

    --

    Energy: time to change the picture.

  142. Re:Space Elevator feasible? (Re:What I'd like to s by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The trick is to do it in stages, first a rocket takes off with a thin cable trailing it. Yes the exhaust would have to be angled away on all sides, and I think this is the hardest part of the idea. The last rocket stage becomes the first counterweight. A climber then ascends, either powered electrically through the cable or by microwave beam, and dragging a thicker cable up. When the climber gets to the top, its mass is added to the counterweight. Iterate a few times and you have a decent cable and counterweight. No need to capture a near earth object and steer it into position.
    Or maybe we could teach those spider silk secreting goats some transcendental meditation, they can levitate up there while spinning the threads of the cable...

  143. Very nice letter by apsmith · · Score: 1

    Paul Spudis is one of my heros too (getting so much out of Clementine)...

    I wish I knew more about the people behind this "NExT" strategy - anyway, I do think it could work, but there seems to be within-NASA competition of several proposals on ways to go forward. Somebody at a high level needs to take one of these and say "Yes, this is what we will do in the next 10 years"; starting at the President isn't bad, but actually I think Congress needs to know we care - write your senators and representatives, go meet with them, and let them know you think space exploration and development is important!

    --

    Energy: time to change the picture.

  144. Re:Space Elevator feasible? (Re:What I'd like to s by AndroidCat · · Score: 1

    I can't see doing it that way. You'd have to be feeding cable at 11 KPS or so. And your rocket isn't just going to go straight up to GeoSync and hang there, it's going to take a "circle the earth" or few relative to your ground station before you could stablize it relative to the ground.

    --
    One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
  145. Don't accept it all... by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    ...as with most things, but he is a hoot to read and makes a great deal more sense than mainstream prognosticators. If you want a wilder read, try Karl Bunday, and if you want more content-focussed stuff, try John Holt.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  146. Under my username...? by leonbrooks · · Score: 1

    Against which thousands of visits have been logged...?

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  147. Enola Gay? by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
    AIDS is spread in Africa almost entirely by heterosexual sex. Stop blaming gays for AIDS.

    You're just being a prejudiced bigot, didn't even read what I had to say. I'm blaming stupid practices for AIDS, not gays. Now wake up and use your brain instead of your programming.

    Having said that, stats typically show that gays are between three and seven times as likely to die of AIDS as heterosexuals. I believe that the real figures are even worse, because a number of those "heterosexuals" would actually be bisexual but unwilling (or ashamed) to admit it for a variety of reasons including overwhelming prejudice.

    If you go back and read my post again, you'll see that I'm advocating whatever is proven to work and chaste heterosexual marriage works most effectively against AIDS.

    You'll note that I didn't advocate Islamic (polygynous) marriage, because although that works for the individuals actually married, it forces a large population surplus of single males, with consequent pressure toward homosexuality, which is an unadmitted pandemic in many Islamic countries. If Mohammed had been born female, I think the outcome might have been quite different.

    Other prejudice that you might be carrying around include the idea of `genetic' or pre-programmed homosexuality. I've seen this idea espoused by many gay websites and other literature, but never with any real proof, and many of the sites which do advocate it often (to their credit) never make a direct claim, just copious implications, I presume because they really want it to be so, but can't see any firm evidence for it and can't bring themselves to lie directly. I've dealt with a lot of gays, had deep-and-meaningful story-of-my-life conversations with many, and the sum of what I find is that they have all had some significant personal experiences which set them up for being gay (mum dressing them up in girly clothes etc). Consequently, I flatly refuse to believe that a significant number of gays are `born that way'.

    Another finesse indulged in by gay sites is the claim that some ministry or other failed to `heal' any of their gay clients. I've not seen the ministry named, but let's say for debate's sake that it is. I know of other ministries that have permanently and gently `healed' gays. And yes, it is indeed real, they're not just burying it to please their peers.

    Back at the Christophobia, your prejudice does have a real basis in fact: there are at least as many self-righteous dickheads travelling under the `Christian' banner as anywhere else. There are also large numbers of organisations claiming to be Christian (or, more often, `The Christian Church'), and evidently without reasonable cause. However, this doesn't prevent the basic premises of `primitive' Christianity from being demonstrable and effective in everyday life. You can go to Moses' crossing and dive on the drowned Egyptian army (friends of mine have done this), touch the rock that split and fountained, it's not myth and fantasy.

    On the other hand, materialism is indeed myth and fantasy. It's dead easy to shoot materialists with their own weapons, so to speak. Take, for example, quantum physics. There are not enough atoms (and not enough quantum ticks) in the universe to have formed even one copy of the DNA of a painfully simple organism by random juggling of atoms, no matter how rosy-hued a view of chemistry you take. We're talking tens of thousands of orders of magnitude impossible here. And if you add any structure to that, in an effort to find "useful" intermediate stages, the odds go down.

    There are, of course, a myriad other falsifications to hand to take down materialism, the main point is you're assuming that it's true and working from there. That's not wise. Indulge in a bit more metaphysics before trying to diss Christianity, and don't lump everything labelled `Christian' together as if all Chrsitians were mental clones.

    What about the topic? Yes, it's a wordplay. The aircraft that levelled Hiroshima long after the Japanese surrender offers was named Enola Gay, but homosexuality has killed many more people than her.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  148. Deviants and living in a dream world by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
    he was (implicitly) claiming that the problem is "deviant" sexual behavior that's not permitted by the OT.

    You chose the word `deviant', I did not.

    For the record, homosexuality (and it even differentiates between being an effeminate homosexual or a butch one, and condemns both) and heterosexual sodomy are not permitted by the NT, either.

    In answer to a post below, the OT does indeed condemn homosexuality, very specifically. Read Genesis chapter 19 and tell me if you don't know what it is on about, Leviticus 18:22 against lesbianism, Leviticus 20:13 commands stoning to death of practicing male homosexuals (same penalty for incest or bestiality in the verses round about).

    Having got that off our chests, I claim that the problem is dangerous behaviour, and that the remedy long predates AIDS as we know it. What you call that dangerous behaviour is, as always, your choice.

    Quite a few people that I know, and many more friend-of-friends, have died of AIDS, although the official cause of death was sometimes different. The original poster (dbrutus, grandparent of your post?) does indeed have a point, and we should mod him up. Oh, I see he has been.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  149. Fucking listen up by SetupWeasel · · Score: 1

    Biosphere? BIOSPHERE?!

    We need fucking construction capability in space and we need it now. Forget fucking biospheres, forget fucking boneloss. I want one real fucking orbital CONSTRUCTION SITE. A place where satillites can be made, a place that had a fucking purpose other then to let some fucking astronauts jerk off about how lucky they are that they are IN SPACE. The shuttle has been in service for 20 years and space travel has not progressed one inch because of it.

    The ISS is the same as Mir is the same as SkyLab. A fucking lump of metal that serves next to no purpose and chews up money. SkyLab's time is over. It is time for orbiting platforms; it is time for earth/moon travel; it is time to find what use we can put the moon to. Then MAYBE there will be a point to going to mars, or even to launching the shuttle.

    Those 7 astronauts died for no fucking reason whatsoever. And that pisses me off.

  150. Re: Twists on Station Recycling by barnhard · · Score: 1

    Guess what, sometimes the truth is stranger than fiction ... Research work done in conjunction with the University of Maryland Aerospace Engineering Department on the potential use of biomass resistojet thrusters for Space Station reboost in the early eighties (Barnhard, Pellerito, Snyder, et.al.) showed that the cross-over point for using solid waste from astronauts to feed a biomass methane digester was approximately five astronauts. However, the problem is actually more complex than just having the necessary feed stock and a viable digestion process. As it would happen you need at least a more few things ... For example engines that could actually use the fuel ... (opps, been there done that ... McDonald Douglas tested resistojets in the early seventies which worked quite nicely). The brave souls doing this research work by no means solved all the engineering challenges, they merely showed that the waste could become a resource and that there appeared to be a pretty darn good case for making it one. Gary P. Barnhard Robotic Space Systems Engineer

  151. Re:Curious ignorance - Laika was deliberately kilt by archie77 · · Score: 1

    >Anyway, Laika was actually euthanized before >reentry with drug-laced food - the >Russians weren't THAT bad. You're wrong. Lately the Russians admitted on a space congress in the USA that Laika died of overheating after about 2-3 orbits. The news appeared also some time ago on Slashdot too: "Russians Reveal Early Death of Laika" http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=02/10/2 9/1754233&mode=thread Bye

  152. Speaking of Benford - 16 Minutes from Earth by John+Sokol · · Score: 1
    Alex Lightman recently spoke with him after the Shuttle accident and write and article on his thoughts, a clip from there reads:
    • I called Gregory Benford, professor of physics and science fiction writers. He said, "The space shuttle is a vehicle designed by lawyers in 1970. From now on, we will probably turn back to using rockets, and landing people in capsules in the ocean, to get payloads into space."

    Read that article at:
    http://www.alexlightman.com/ - 16 Minutes from Earth

    --
    I am always doing that which I can not do, in order that I may learn how to do it. - Pablo Picasso
  153. Anti-Grav is needed by yoinkslap · · Score: 0

    We really need anti-gravity to get anywhere into space. Some form of repelling-force-producing field, be it anti-grav, or electro-gravitic propulsion, i believe thats what will truely expedite our journey to the stars.

    --
    Dont ask me...Im just the bass player.
  154. Jews and Black Death by devinjones · · Score: 0
    Jews survived the black plague singularly well because they adhered to the `silly' rules in the books of Deuteronomy and Numbers, while their Catholic neighbours didn't.

    Actually, because jewish people didn't get sick, their bigotted neighbors assumed they were somehow connected with the Black Death, and killed them. In greater numbers than plauge would have.

  155. Bigotry by leonbrooks · · Score: 1
    their bigotted neighbors assumed they were somehow connected with the Black Death, and killed them.

    True.

    In greater numbers than plauge would have.

    Not true, to the best of my knowledge.

    That's an ironic use of the word `bigot', too. Bigot is a contraction of `by God', as in `no, by God', famous last words for many Protestants, Aryans and other `heretics' on being asked to recant before being burned to death at the stake by said neighbours. The phrase came to mean `stubbornly ignorant' but IRL originated with stubborn enlightenment...

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  156. Everything you know is wrong by stonewolf · · Score: 1

    Who owns the tooling required to build a space shuttle? Who decided that the space shuttle had to have a 1500 mile cross range hypersonic glide capability? Who decided the space shuttle had to have a 30 ton payload capacity? The answer will surprise most of you. It is the US Department of Defense. The space shuttle as built is a military space plane, it is not and never was designed to civilian specifications. Don't beleive me, go back and look at the history.

    The history of the shuttle design is a long one. The last shuttle that NASA designed had a 10 ton payload and didn't start gliding until it had slowed to sub-sonic speeds. It didn't need complex ceramic tiles for heat protection because it was designed to shed the head in the shockwave in front of the ship and could have used high temperature metal alloys for heat protection just like the X-15 and SR-71 use.

    But, there was no political support for a small, practical, civilian shuttle. The sentiment in congress was that the Apollo space craft and the Saturn rockets could do everything that NASA wanted to do, so why bother with building a shuttle? So, NASA made a deal with the DOD for support. But, to do what the DOD wanted the Shuttle had to be a very different vehicle. A vehicle that pushed the limits of technology way beyond anything we had at the time.

    The result was the Enterprise class space shuttles that we have now. The truth is that every one of them should be considered an experimental aircraft. They never met their goals for payload or cost. To get such a large ship flying with the technology available at the time required too many compromises. Solid fuel boosters that killed the Challenger and an astonishinly complex thermal protection system that killed the Columbia. Good politics, bad engineering.

    Then there is the question of the cost of the shuttles. You can count on NASA to ask for a few billion to build a replacement for Columbia. Why in the world does it cost billions to build a Shuttle, but only a few hundred millions for a 747? (Under the tiles a Shuttle isn't that much different from a small airliner.)

    The answer is that there is a production line for the 747, but each shuttle is hand built. When congress was deciding to build the shuttles they looked at the cost of building a production line for space shuttles versus the cost of building the minimal amount of tooling and doing the work by hand. The numbers showed that if they had build a production line the incremental cost of building a shuttle would be around $450 million. About twice the cost of a 747, and well withing the price range of the Air Force and many commercial companies. In fact, it was stated that space shuttles would be sold to commercial operators.

    For some reason congress decided to cap the number of space shuttles that could legally be built at a number one less than the number needed to justify building a production line. So, there are only 4 shuttles and no production facility to make spare parts or build new vehicles. No production facility to create commercial versions of the vehicle. And, no follow on improved vehicles. While the 747 has continued to evolve and improve over the last 20 years, the space shuttles have gone on nearly unchanged and unimproved.

    The history of the shuttle is recorded in places like Aviation Week and the AIAA journal. Find a good library and read the coverage from the late '60s and early '70s while these decisions were being made.

    Stonewolf

  157. Re:Why Mars is better than the Moon or space habit by cmpalmer · · Score: 1

    Add: "small bits of rock and mineral" with nasty, caustic chemicals. Think of trying to grow plants in sterile, dusty sand that has been soaking in Clorox for a few million years.

    --
    -- stream of did I lock the front door consciousness
  158. Bone Loss is *such* a red herring! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


    Benford's comments about the necessity of a closed biosphere and of some way for astronauts to stop muscle and bone loss




    Oh for criminy's sake! Robert Zubrin (ex-NASA) has so thoroughly debunked this problem it's not even funny. This problem keeps getting mentioned by manned space/Mars program naysayers, I'm *so sick* of hearing it. Just spin the frigging craft at a few rpm to create artificial gravity! WHY DO PEOPLE KEEP CARPING ABOUT BONE LOSS DUE TO WEIGHTLESSNESS!?!?!?! ARRRRRRRRGH.


  159. ISS water recyling system by Criton · · Score: 1

    Acccually ISS only recyles water vapor in the atmosphere at this momet which is where 90% of the water lost by the human body ends up. The urine recycling was one of the sugestions but has not been implamented yet one it requires a flash vaporizer or a pasturizure and some plants to implament safely either of wehich would require more space than is in the base modules but is planned to be added in a new US service modules.

  160. Re: Twists on Station Recycling by Criton · · Score: 1

    Accually using the waste as a propellent how ever gross that might seem would be a good ideal to use on a fast muclear interplanetary mission. Esp if it's propeled by an electric arcjet or linear accelerators. If the waste is propellent then carrying extra food would not be a huge weight penalty since it's going to end up being extra propellent in the end. On a mars or moon base waste could used in a bio digestor to make methane the left overs could be burned in a solar furnace and then used as a safe fertilizer or just be thrown in a dual loop biomass recycling system which nasa has demonstriated allready. In dual loop first said waste fecus and urine are used to fertilize reeds and other swamp type plants which will produce H2O vapor and O2 these can be composted giving methane a good rocket fuel and whats left could be used as a safe growing medium for vegtables. There are many dangers to having your tomatos and melons growing in raw fecus the dual loop system or burning it first adviods this danger. You wouldn't want your astronuats to end up getting colera or worms space travel is danerous enough as it is.