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AOL's Mystro TV vs Tivo?

admiral2001 writes "Here is is a NYTimes story about AOL-Time-Warner's plans for a TiVo-killing 'Mystro TV' (nytimes annoying free registration required). They plan to begin rolling this out sometime in the next two years. Their major features are the simple pause, rewind, and fast forward that all PVRs have. However, they've taken the obvious stance to "let[s] networks set the parameters, dictating which shows users can reschedule, and it also creates ways for networks to insert commercials." The article even mentions how they could get an advantage in pushing their product because "viewers could try out Mystro TV by pushing a button on their remote"."

79 of 356 comments (clear)

  1. TiVo killer? by YoJaUta · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think not. The whole point of TiVo is that it lets users reschedule shows and skip commercials to their ***own*** liking.

    I don't think this will be a successful product anytime soon, unless AOL bundles the appliance with its 1e6 hours free cds.

    1. Re:TiVo killer? by Surak · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think not. The whole point of TiVo is that it lets users reschedule shows and skip commercials to their ***own*** liking.

      It comes down to marketing. AOL/TW has wayyy more marketing power than Matsushita (ReplayTV) or TiVo.

      Nobody thinks that McDonald's has the greatest hamburgers in the world, yet they are the number 1 hamburger-based fast food chain in the world. Nobody (not even many of AOL's own users) think AOL is a great ISP, yet it's number 1.

      Make something convenient, easy and cheap enough, back it with some good marketing and you can sell sand to Arabs.

    2. Re:TiVo killer? by DonkeyJimmy · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think not. The whole point of TiVo is that it lets users reschedule shows and skip commercials to their ***own*** liking.

      First of all, let me say I've been a tivo owner since 2000 and I will remain one until their service is destroyed by networks and us users with our pirate guide-info sites are hunted in the streets for sport.

      That said, after reading a dozen comments like this, I think people are missing the point. AOL is not trying to make a better consumer product. They are trying to create a network friendly version of Tivo (with far less consumer goodness as a side effect) that they can get the networks backing.

      If it's built into your digital cable box and all you have to do is press a button to activate it, people will buy it. If they aren't afraid that it will go belly up next year and lose it's service, people will buy it. If it costs $200 instead of $500 because the networks are subsidizing it with built in commercials, people will buy it. If it's easy to use and user friendly, people will buy it (Tivo IS easy to use and user friendly, but you won't get that impression from the general media).

      It is a sorry state of affairs when something made to server corperations may defeate the ultimate in TV addons, but how many people in the world still don't own Tivos who could afford them?

      --
      "Probably the toughest time in anyone's life is when you have to murder a loved one because they're the devil." -Philips
    3. Re:TiVo killer? by Sabalon · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Never understimate the power of a lower price over quality.

      Q.E.D - Wal-mart

    4. Re:TiVo killer? by hendridm · · Score: 4, Funny

      This is the part that struck me:

      > it also creates ways for networks to insert commercials.

      Why wouldn't the networks "insert" (ie, flag) all of their commercials into your PVRed program? You can't tell me they would just sit back and only include "the important ones". From their point of view, they're all necessary.

      TiVo killer? More like PVR killer. At least my old VCR lets me do whatever I want with my programming, including fast forward through the same recycled Pepsi and Chevy commercials I've seen countless times before. I might not even care if they would limit commercials to new content I haven't seen (much) before, but who needs to see the same Coca-Cola ad every 5 minutes during breaks? I AM AWARE OF YOUR PRODUCT AND HOW REFRESHING IT IS, THANK YOU.

      Look maw! The talking box says 'dem corporate folk made a new sody pop. Sum 'bout Cokie Colie!

    5. Re:TiVo killer? by program21 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But this isn't just a loss of quality, it's a total loss of features. This device is nothing more than a crippled VCR, except that it stores stuff digitally.

      --
      This has been a test. Had this been a real emergency, we would have fled in terror and you would not have been informed.
    6. Re:TiVo killer? by fname · · Score: 2, Informative

      It has a very slim chance of being a success. Here's the way it can work: It's gotta be free. Free to buy (comes with cable, presumably), $5/month tops to use. I think they'd sell a lot more PPV this way. It's actually a great idea, but it won't kill TiVo.

      Seriously, if the Mystro came bundled with cable TV and had varying levels of utility, it'd be great. Pause live TV (FF disabled) and PPV ordering (keeps shows up to 7 days) is free. Record shows by time, FF disabled, $5/month. Then the $10-13 charge for full TiVo-like service.

      Divx was a great idea too, the problem was it was set up in opposition to DVDs. If it had been introduced much later (like now!), the response would be much better. And the studios, at this point, would not care kill off the cash cow that is DVD sales.

      the problem with Mystro and Divx is that they are set up in opposition to the user-controlled experience, instead of an improvement over the content producer-controlled experience. Divx would be a lot better than renting DVDs at Blockbuster; Mystro will be great for a lot of people who just want the simple functions made possible (pause TV, record PPV for upcoming viewing), or made simpler (no need to return DVDs).

      I own a DirecTiVo, and it's great. I won't give it up. But it doesn't mean there can't be other options.

    7. Re:TiVo killer? by Mysticalfruit · · Score: 2, Informative

      I would think this product would entice people to go buy a TiVo instead... After they go home and tell the thing to record Law and Order so they can watch it later and it refuses... and they take the thing back and exchange it for a tivo...

      --
      Yes Francis, the world has gone crazy.
    8. Re:TiVo killer? by Sabalon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      True...but if you have a person from the target audience standing looking at both products, who both proclaim to let you pause live tv, etc...
      do you think they will notice the little * indicating to look at the small print saying some shows may not be recordable.

      They will see that one is less than the other and doesn't require a monthly fee (guessing on that point) and that will settle their minds.

      Now is the time for TiVo to get aggressive in how they market their box.

    9. Re:TiVo killer? by tupps · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You could also put keep commercials current. If you have a commercial for an event next Thursday and the person is watching the Saturday after they could 'refresh' the commercials so that they are newer.

      --
      Go out and get sailing!
  2. I Love Google by redink1 · · Score: 5, Informative

    nytimes annoying free registration not required here.

    1. Re:I Love Google by Sawbones · · Score: 4, Informative
      My favorite bit from the article is where the "unbiased" reporter calls a Tivo "Cumbersome to install". Unless Mystro talks back up the cable line it's going to be just as "cumbersome" as a Tivo:


      1) Connect Cable In.

      2) Connect Cable out to TV.

      3) Plug in phone line.

      --

      Ad in classifieds: Pandora's Box (no box) $5
    2. Re:I Love Google by nate1138 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't know about AOLTW's solution. But I recently got the Dish Network, with this receiver and I absolutely love it. I had purchased a replayTV first, and aside from the lack of an ethernet port, this is infinitely superior. The integration between the guide and the programming is excellent. The biggest beef I had with the Replay was the delay between the time I told it to change the channel and the time that the change actually happened. In addition, replayTV's guide kind of sucks, and I couldn't watch tv while surfing the guide like I can with this new unit. Best part? I got it for 50 bucks with my new dish service! and no extra monthly charge for the service either!

      --
      Where's my lobbyist? Right here.
    3. Re:I Love Google by kolding · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And how many people out there still have VCR's that are flashing 12:00? Seriously, connecting a phone line can be too complicated for some people, especially since most homes don't have a phone jack next to the cable line. Plus, don't forget that you have to program it up to know what your area code is, how to dial, etc, etc, etc. My Replay took about 20 minutes to get fully set up the first time I turned it on. A lot of consumers don't have the patience for that.

      With Mystro, you should be able to just plug it into the cable jack and connect it to the TV. The cable company will do the rest. You bet your patooty that it will be talking back up the cable line. It has to, actually, your shows are stored in the cable system rather than on the local box. Thus, to watch last nights Baywatch, you have to go to the up the network and tell the network to start downloading your show.

      Mystro also has one other big advantage, you can potentially get the whole library of stuff that's been shown. If you missed Baywatch three weeks ago, you can potentially go back and watch arbitrary episodes. Of course, they have to get the rights to let you do that, but still, you don't have to worry about your disk filling up, shows coming on at the same time, power failures, etc.

  3. Yeah, right. by PhxBlue · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Just like DivX was supposed to be the DVD-killer, right? I'm as likely to buy this as I was to buy into DivX--which is to say, not happenin'.

    Industry seems to think it can lead consumers around by the nose, telling them, "We know what's best for you." Sometimes it succeeds; but when an obviously-good idea like Tivo beats drek like this to the punch, it's no contest.

    --
    !#@%*)anks for hanging up the phone, dear.
    1. Re:Yeah, right. by canadiangoose · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You can't simply assume that it will lose because it is bad for the consumer. Sure, it's restrictive next to a TiVo, but I know of very few non-geeks who have a clue what a PVR is. When AOL begins marketing this, it will be the first introduction to PVR technology for most people, they will not compare it to TiVo. People are going to love this. Pity.

      --
      Never eat more than you can lift -- Miss Piggy
  4. network leverage, alas, works by ghostlibrary · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not a surprise-- major corporation takes great idea and releases their inferior spin on it, hoping that their marketing will let it triumph.

    One reason that it's good to be Second to Market (not First) is that you can pick-and-choose on which features to compete with, and don't have to do as much work informing people.

    First to Market: teach people what it is, and sell them on buying it

    Second to Market: convince people to buy yours, not theirs.

    --
    A.
  5. For those of you who hate registering. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    AOL Is Planning a Fast-Forward Answer to TiVo
    By DAVID D. KIRKPATRICK

    Personal video recorders like TiVo mock everything a television network is about. The devices let viewers thumb their noses at program schedules and, even worse, fast-forward past commercials. To many at the networks and studios, it is a cruel joke that could drive them out of business.

    AOL Time Warner, however, is trying to beat TiVo Inc. at its own game.

    A secretive team of AOL Time Warner executives has begun talking with other major cable operators and media companies about speeding up and co-opting the potential revolution that TiVo kicked off. The company's system, called Mystro TV, is AOL Time Warner's gambit in an imminent battle over the future of the television business. Satellite services, cable systems and television manufacturers are all racing to promote their versions of the TiVo-like technologies that threaten to wreak havoc on networks and studios, and AOL Time Warner wants to put its own stamp on the evolution of the medium.
    Advertisement

    Its plans will turn in part on whether the company can end two years of internal discord following AOL's acquisition of Time Warner. If the company's often antagonistic divisions can cooperate, their collective arms reach to all sides of the television business. The company's Turner Broadcasting and WB are the largest collection of networks. Warner Brothers is the largest television studio. And Time Warner Cable is the most technologically advanced and second-largest cable operator.

    AOL Time Warner already has a track record of directing the technological course of the entertainment business, most recently by single-handledly forcing Hollywood to adopt the low-priced sale of DVD's. Now it has dedicated significant financial and personnel resources to Mystro TV. Two years ago, the company transferred Time Warner Cable's top executive, Joseph J. Collins, and top engineer, James A. Chiddix, to the secretive project full time. Meanwhile, the cable division has already implemented some elements of the technology. Viewers in New York and elsewhere can subscribe to an HBO on-demand channel, enabling them to watch "The Sopranos" and other offerings on their own schedule with fast-forward and rewind. Viewers in Hawaii can watch the nightly news and other programs whenever they want, and the cable system is testing new forms of targeted advertising there as well.

    But as the company rushes to stay ahead of competing services from satellite and electronics companies, AOL Time Warner must also overcome questions about its technology. At the same time, Mystro TV needs to win the cooperation of networks, studios and the creators of shows. So far, most industry executives -- even some at AOL Time Warner's networks and studios -- say they are dubious about the feasibility of the idea.

    The essence of AOL Time Warner's Mystro TV is a technology that uses a cable system itself to provide viewers capabilities similar to computerized personal video recorders like TiVo: watching programs on their own schedules, with fast-forward and rewind. But it also lets networks set the parameters, dictating which shows users can reschedule, and it also creates ways for networks to insert commercials.

    Two senior AOL Time Warner executives said the company was hoping to begin rolling out service within two years. They said the company planned to sell the Mystro TV service to other competing cable operators, just as it sold HBO, potentially giving Mystro a central role as a gateway between television networks and viewers around the country.

    For now, senior AOL Time Warner executives said the company is trying to keep its efforts under wraps, partly because details may still change. The company was also stung by excessive publicity surrounding a disappointing test of interactive TV technology in Orlando, Fla., in the mid-1990's. A spokeswoman for Mystro TV declined to comment.

    A confidential CD-ROM demonstrating a prototype of the service depicts a viewer arriving home in the middle of "Friends," (produced by Warner Brothers and shown on NBC) and restarting it from the beginning. Another viewer pauses a broadcast of "Charmed" (produced by Warner Brothers and shown on WB). "Go ahead, answer the phone," the demo suggests, "Mystro TV allows you to pause what you are watching."

    As with the current HBO on-demand service, viewers can scroll through an on-screen programming schedule to look backward and forward at available shows. They can watch "Sex and the City" while "The Sopranos" is on, or preview next week's episode of either. "Want to watch a show that aired last night or a few hours ago?" the demonstration asks, "Simply go backward in the guide and press `Play.' No advanced planning required."
    Advertisement

    Those capabilities frighten many at the networks, studios and Hollywood talent agencies, all of whom control crucial rights to the use of their shows. Letting viewers reshuffle the TV schedule cripples the network's ability to build audiences for new shows by putting them on after hits. More troublesome, the easy fast-forwarding promises to deprive networks of revenue by decimating the audience for commercials.

    But the demonstration also stresses that the Mystro TV system offers networks and studios considerable advantages over in-home personal video recorders such as TiVo or ReplayTV, which is made by Sonicblue. Not only can networks determine the availability of their shows, but Mystro TV prevents consumers from making, storing or sharing copies (something ReplayTV allows). Mystro also does not automatically skip commercials or even include a fast-forward button that leaps past one 30-second commercial at a time (another feature of ReplayTV.)

    While a program is paused or rewinding, networks can insert new commercials during the process or display them around the periphery of the screen. On the CD-ROM demo, for example, a viewer pausing "Charmed" might see a commercial for Special K or Pizza Hut.

    The demonstration also promises advertisers new ways to target viewers. A viewer watching a car commercial might be able to select an additional view of the interior or safety features. Or one household might see a commercial for a luxury car while another sees a pitch for an economy model. "Increase the effectiveness of advertising by sending different ads to different homes," the demonstration promises.

    Unlike TiVo or other set-top appliances, the demonstration notes, viewers could try out Mystro TV by pushing a button on their remote, an enormous advantage to wooing customers. (Consumers would presumably pay a monthly fee for Mystro service.)

    But the thrust of AOL Time Warner's pitch to networks and studios is an implicit threat that the personal video recorder technology is coming, with or without their permission. So far, only about 700,000 of the most avid television mavens have bought TiVo devices, which are cumbersome to install and cost $200 to $400 in addition to a monthly fee. But two major satellite TV companies, EchoStar Communications and the DirectTV business of the Hughes Electronics unit of General Motors, have recently begun promoting TiVo-like set-top boxes as part of their services. In the fall, Toshiba is expected to begin selling a television with a similar device already installed. Time Warner Cable itself is hedging its bets by investing in TiVo-style cable boxes. It included similar functions in about 60,000 of the set-top boxes it has already installed, with 200,000 more expected to be delivered by next year.

    Still, rolling out Mystro TV will not be as easy as an engineer pushing a button, mainly because of the elaborate telecommunications capacity required. TiVo and similar other devices store recorded programs in a hard drive on top of the set; the Mystro TV system would store the programming in hubs of cable networks. For the cable company, each additional user would mean squeezing another stream of video content through its cables. Then the system requires software to play digital traffic cop, managing the flow of so many distinct transmissions at once.

    Michael Ramsay, the chief executive of TiVo, said he doubted AOL Time Warner could handle the capacity. "We have never been able to figure how you could do that economically," he said. But for their part, Time Warner Cable engineers have told industry audiences that they have been building their capacity toward this goal for years, so they think they are ready to tackle the logistics.

    The requisite deals are even more tangled. Unlike recording on a personal hard drive, storing programming at a central location entails reaching licensing agreements with the owners of the shows -- studios, networks, producers, and others.

    Executives at the major networks declined to comment. Privately, many acknowledge that they fear the spread of personal video recorders could do to their business what Napster did to music. They also worry that letting viewers watch shows like "Friends" at any time might sap the lucrative demand for reruns in syndication. For now, some senior network executives say they are putting their faith in the couch potato factor: many consumers apparently prefer to sit in front of whatever happens to be on, including commercials.

    For now, said Josh Bernoff, an analyst at Forrester Research, the fear of personal video recorders is not potent enough to drive Hollywood into the arms of Mystro TV. But, he said, the idea behind Mystro TV was "the holy grail" of television -- a vast library of programming at the viewer's finger tips.

    "If you could get the license to everything that was ever broadcast on television, could you create a tremendous video-on-demand service?," he said. "Oh yeah, then all the technical problems would be worth it. But its getting the licenses that is the problem."

  6. WHy would anyone buy this? by Unknown+Poltroon · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Whats the point if i cant skip commercials? If the network decides what i can watch? I mean, hasnt the network already shown it at the wrong time, thats why im recording it!

    --
    All Troll + "offtopic" mods are meta moderated as "Unfair", because you abused the system.
    1. Re:WHy would anyone buy this? by sweetooth · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You forgot about the part where the network doesn't give a damn what you think or want. It's all about ad revenue.

    2. Re:WHy would anyone buy this? by program21 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't see TV as any sort of right. Nor, in most cases, is it free (the exception being basic broadcast channels you can pick up with a set of rabbit ears). I pay for the privelege of watching television, and part of my monthly fee goes from my satellite company to the networks, for their license to rebroadcast the network's programming.
      On top of that, the network shows commercials, and if I'm reimbursing them by watching commercials, I shouldn't be paying part of my monthly fee towards them, and vice versa.

      --
      This has been a test. Had this been a real emergency, we would have fled in terror and you would not have been informed.
    3. Re:WHy would anyone buy this? by jedidiah · · Score: 3, Interesting

      They are hampering their own ability to provide meaningful exposure for their sponsors. ANNOYING the customer is never beneficial. At best, viewers will merely ignore commercials. At worst, viewers will hold a grudge. Neither of these options is good for the TV networks.

      The TV networks need to get their heads out of their *sses and stop running around like they are living in some fantasy land where the Neilson ratings actually mean something. They need to be more mindful and directed with their advertising. They need better feedback and confirmed (rather than merely assumed) viewership.

      They simply need to be willing to be told when commercials suck or are annoying. They also need to know what commercials end up viewed for their own sake even by viewers that have the option not bothering.

      TV networks need to get over the idea that commercial viewing is an entitlement. They need to EARN our eyeballs. The sooner they realize this, the better off they will be.

      BTW, there IS NO CONTRACT between me and a broadcaster. I owe them NOTHING. They OWE US, since we are their revenue source.

      Don't pretend that any altruism is remotely involved in this situation.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    4. Re:WHy would anyone buy this? by GregGardner · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They are AOL and they own Time Warner Cable. This means that they could just build this technology into the next generation digital cable boxes. So if you subscribe to Time Warner Cable, you own (or rent) this box once it is released. If they can cut sweet deals with the networks and advertisers, it is possible that the cost for the end-user is $0.00. So the end user gets some Tivo-like features, such as the ability to rewind/pause live-tv, record programming that they are allowed to record, etc. all for free.

      Then average Joe wonders why he would spend money out of his pocket buying another Tivo box. Chances are he wouldn't unless he really wants to skip commercials and program/keep any programs he wishes. AOL is probably betting that average Joe who thinks AOL is the Internet will take the TV-network-driven free PVR over paying for Tivo.
      If this strategy works, then Tivo is driven out of business.

    5. Re:WHy would anyone buy this? by amuro98 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I actually wouldn't mind too much if they played ads while I had the show paused. I'm usually not in the room anyways, and besides, the ads would help prevent screen burn-in. :p

      Of course, what I don't understand is why play ads while the show is paused at all? Think about the reasons you'd pause a show. Most of the time, it's because you're leaving the room to do something else (bathroom, get a snack, answer the phone, etc.) and aren't going to be paying attention to the screen ANYWAYS.

      So, sure, play your ads while the show is paused. Just don't expect them to be watched...

  7. Yeah good luck... by i_want_you_to_throw_ · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Getting the legions of Tivo owners to give up the system they have become so rabidly fond of. It's not just a product, it's a culture.

    Getting an industry behind you won't help that much either. You could probably get bunches of AOL people who are on the fence about a Tivo purchase but anyone who owns a Tivo probably wouldn't jump at the chance to start receiving commercials.

    1. Re:Yeah good luck... by The+Lynxpro · · Score: 2, Interesting

      They shouldn't discount us Tivo owner/subscribers. We offer something to the broadcasters for free they aren't realizing. We offer realtime feedback for their advertising. Usually, they have to pay for this via market research studies. If an ad is unappealing to me, I skip over it. Tivo reports this. It also lets the broadcaster tailor their advertisements more effectively to the television show. For instance, Pepsi should not purchase time during "Buffy" on UPN to show their current "urban/hip hop" themed ad. It is the wrong demographic. It does not appeal to me and thus I skip it. Furthermore, Tivo itself grabs aggregate viewing data that I believe is far more realistic than the tyranny of the Nielsens. That is why I don't mind them monitoring my viewing habits. There have been too many quality shows cancelled because of what the idiot Nielsen families watch or do not watch... If a company creates a compelling ad, I won't skip it. Hence the success of advertising during the recent Superbowl. It was a total disappointment sportswise, but the commercials kept me watching. Funny how that happened...

      --
      "Right now, somewhere in this world, Scott Baio is plowing a woman he doesn't love," - Peter Griffin, *Family Guy*
  8. Analysis... by CommieLib · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Mystro TV is a complex multimedia system that will require vast legal agreements between consumers, networks and other multinational corporations. Additionally, it will serve two masters (consumers and networks) rather than one.

    TIVO is a hard drive with multimedia software.

    Guess who wins?

    --
    If your bitterest enemies are people who hack the heads off civilians, then I would say you're doing something right.
    1. Re:Analysis... by MonkeyDluffy · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Additionally, it will serve two masters (consumers and networks) rather than one.

      You left out the cable operators. They'll charge extra for this "feature".

      -MDL

      --
      Happy meals fund terrorism
    2. Re:Analysis... by Guppy06 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Guess who wins?"

      The one that corporations throw their money behind. Like MiniDisc vs. DAT.

    3. Re:Analysis... by HeghmoH · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm sorry, did either of those win?

      --
      Mod down posts with a "Free Mac Mini/iPod" sig, they're spam!
  9. Missing the boat... by peterdaly · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The whole appeal of Tivo is that the watcher can take back control of watching TV. That is what makes Tivo a "killer app."

    This reigns back in that control. That being the case, it is not the "killer app" TWC hopes it will be.

    -Pete

  10. AOL - Missing the boat since 1984 by N0decam · · Score: 2, Interesting

    People will buy the gadget with better functionality built into it (ie. TIVO/Replay) given the choice and the knowledge.

    They can hope that people will be stupid enough to shell out money for crippled hardware, but DivX (the original crippled DVD competitor) shows how well that works.

  11. It's the control stupid! by DrRobert · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Control is everything in this market. If the networks can control what I watch (like they did pre-Tivo) then the device is of little use to me. Tivo is user hackable and I can choose when and what I record. This should work even on top of AOLs system through the "analog loophole". The trick is that TiVo has to have the business savy to let consumers know what they are missing by having networks control what they watch. Personally I don't see what the big deal is anyway with the commercials. The Tivo can't skip them, I get the point of all of them even though I fast-forward through them. I watch the last Michael Jordan commercial many times. The user must have control. The user must be taught that he must have control. Only then will the market drive the best product to success. These are the same problems Open Source faces.

  12. as long by odyrithm · · Score: 5, Funny

    as it dosnt say "welcome to AOL" every time its switched on fine.. otherwise shoot me, shoot me now.

    --
    moo
  13. Too Little Too Late by _Elite_ · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I believe that the cable companies have lost the real opportunity to gain total control over what we watch, and how we watch it. People will often go for subscription services, but if they have to watch the advertisments anyway (I suppose they can still mute them), then why go with this option. With stand alone devices like TiVo, the owner of the device (read:end user) is in total control of what they record, how long they can store it, when they can watch it, and when they can re-schedule a recording.

    The cable companies want to take that away from people, and it may have worked, if TiVo had not been so popular. I think the only VoD services that are going to fly will have to give the customer _Total_ control over what they want. I predict that this technology will be limited to VoD for pay-per-view movies, not regular television.

    --
    I used to hate computers, but then a server went down on me.
  14. oh really? by Joe+the+Lesser · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Personal video recorders like TiVo mock everything a television network is about. The devices let viewers thumb their noses at program schedules and, even worse, fast-forward past commercials. To many at the networks and studios, it is a cruel joke that could drive them out of business.

    I think the cruel joke is the horrible load of advertising I'm put through to watch generally tasteless, unorginal, mediocre programming. If the TV networks can't adapt to the new style of TV, then they deserve to go out of business.

    --
    "I only speak the truth"
    Karma: null(Mostly affected by an unassigned variable)
    1. Re:oh really? by FuzzyBad-Mofo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the cruel joke is on cable subscribers who are inundated with commercials for a service that they pay for..

  15. Are we that antagonistic? by GreyyGuy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why does evreything have to be a "insert current dominant player"-killer? Is Microsoft's business model doing that so pervasive that we don't see any other option? If the market will only support one company's product, is it really worth spending the time and effort to get into an existing market?

  16. Sounds like iControl by Hollinger · · Score: 3, Informative

    This sounds like iControl from Time Warner Cable on steroids. I have most of those features, but not with live programming. It's pretty neat in its current form, but, of course, the playlists are updated and rotated every so often, so you don't get to "save" a show if the network decides to give you a new episode.

  17. Oh, really? by Kaz+Riprock · · Score: 4, Insightful

    but Mystro TV prevents consumers from making, storing or sharing copies

    If it comes in a cable through the wall, someone can descramble, store, compress, and distribute it. What in the world would keep me from attaching my TiVo to this thing (which may just be my cable box with Mystro-enabling chips) and TiVo-ing channel 3?

    Besides, this thing will never fly, because it would require every TV show to give licensing agreements to AOL/Time Warner. Then, A/TW will have to have a central server that talks to every cable provider in the US. Uh huh...good thing I can TiVo past this on CNN tonight.

    --
    Mordor...a magical, mythical land where women are more rare than dragons--but where every man would rather find a dragon
  18. Good for ReplayTV/TiVo by crow · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This is good for ReplayTV and TiVo. Very few people will avoid buying one of their units because the new service is available. Just the opposite--more consumers will be exposed to just how much more control they can have over their TV viewing. And once people see how much better it can be, they'll be more receptive to getting a ReplayTV or TiVo, because they'll understand why they want one (because the restricitions on the AOL service will be annoying).

    1. Re:Good for ReplayTV/TiVo by mjh · · Score: 2, Insightful
      once people see how much better it can be, they'll be more receptive to getting a ReplayTV or TiVo, because they'll understand why they want one (because the restricitions on the AOL service will be annoying).

      The problem with this is it assumes the ability to distinguish the difference between Mystro TV and TiVo (for example). But if people only know Mystro and nothing about TiVo, how will they find the restrictions to be annoying? To them they're not restrictions. They're not capabilities taken away from TiVo. They're improvments to regular TV.

      --
      Key to financial independence: Spend less than you earn. Save and invest the difference. Do it for a long time.
  19. cable on demand by buktotruth · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I've seen the cable on demand functionality of "Cablevisions - Digital IO" service and it blew me away. You could watch whatever whenever. I think that this AOL-TW product will be dwarfed by on demand broadcasting. I'm waiting for the day when television will shift from broadcasting on a set schedule, to allowing the viewers freedom to choose what to watch, and when.

    Imagine sitting down at 4AM and throwing on the news. It of course would not be live, but who cares. If you can watch it then, then great.

    I do own a Tivo, and my TV watching has changed drastically. Unfortunately though, if its 7:30PM on a Sunday and I want to watch the new Simpsons episode at 8:00, I still have to wait. Imagine a system like this:

    The channel decides which shows will "air" in a given week, and the viewer has access to ALL of them, at any time. If it's Monday and I want to watch something that typically airs on Friday, no problem. The only caveat with this, is live television. And you know what, if the live broadcast is that good, people will tune in at that time too.

  20. Bad things in store..... by dracken · · Score: 4, Insightful

    From the article Or one household might see a commercial for a luxury car while another sees a pitch for an economy model. "Increase the effectiveness of advertising by sending different ads to different homes," the demonstration promises.

    This cannot be achieved till the networks collect personal information, spending habits, viewing habits and the like. We all loathed realplayer and windows media player for calling up home about the clips we watch. This is far bigger and more ugly.

    1. Re:Bad things in store..... by bm_luethke · · Score: 2, Insightful

      not necesarialy. Say the cable company distributes cable boxes based on region. So that all of the Magnolia area of Knoxville gets serial numbers that serial mod 20 is 0. They can then look at that and realise that the average household makes about 10,000 a year and adjust appropriatly. This doesn't absolutely mean person to person difference - but region difference is possible (such as wal-mart selling different stuff in each store based on location).

      --
      ------- Sorry about the spelling, I suffer from two problems. Dyslexia makes it difficult to spell well, lazy makes it
  21. How does it work? by newsdee · · Score: 3, Insightful

    From the article: Mystro TV is a technology that uses a cable system itself to provide viewers capabilities similar to computerized personal video recorders like TiVo.

    So, does this mean that there is no extra machine to install, and a minumum service cost?

    This may be a good thing actually. If you are able to select exactly the content you want to receive and when over the cable, then it's great, as long as the subscription price to cable remains the same. There used to be some widgets to automatically remove advertisements in VCRs. I think it worked by recognizing some special signal that happens when you switch from a program to an ad (among other thinks, the volume is louder). So with this AOL thingy you theoretically can attach a machine that removes the ads, and presto.

    In other words (to summarize), I think AOL is aiming to stop people from buying Tivos by offering a cheaper service, and not to replace Tivos.

  22. They fear their audience. by ianscot · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Those capabilities frighten many at the networks, studios and Hollywood talent agencies.... Letting viewers reshuffle the TV schedule cripples the network's ability to build audiences for new shows by putting them on after hits. More troublesome, the easy fast-forwarding promises to deprive networks of revenue by decimating the audience for commercials.

    One more example of an entertainment industry that doesn't understand point-to-point and can't break the ingrained habits of centralized, "broadcast" control. This is what they're supposedly worried about? That scheduling flexibility offered to the audience will prevent people from having new shows scheduled down their throats? A generation of network schedulers is quaking in their boots -- but c'mon, you can't think of any better ways to promote a program? Movies become big hits, almost always, without any such scheduling "in." (The ones that get heavy TV ad time are usually crap: "Master of Disguise," anyone?) And what about the full half of the glass: the people who DO get to watch it who couldn't otherwise? Huh?

    And note to TV execs: anything that actually reports, legitimately, the rate of viewing is going to "decimate" your revenues from commercials. We go to the bathroom. The same people who watch commercials for Bud Light and laugh now aren't going to stop. The rest of us hit "mute."

    --
    "Fundamentalism" isn't about divine morality. It's about human authority.
  23. Sounds like a good idea by ifreakshow · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I'd like to start out by saying that I'm all for innovation and I hope that AOL/TW can actually make this work. It certainly changes the way you watch tv when you can set your own schedule. This service will have an advantage over Tivo in that you won't have to remember to record shows. Just search through the archive and press play.

    I do see some reasons why I will still keep my Tivo:
    • Networks determine the availability of their shows
    • No ability to save a local copy
    • No commercial skipping
    • They'll be monitoring your tastes:
      "Or one household might see a commercial for a luxury car while another sees a pitch for an economy model. 'Increase the effectiveness of advertising by sending different ads to different homes,' the demonstration promises."


    For those of you wearing tin foil hats that don't want to register go here
  24. This doesn't have to be the "TiVo killer" by jht · · Score: 4, Informative

    If this technology makes it's way into the standard cable network, then it's a sales feature for cable vs. satellite. TiVo becomes, in effect, the "premium option" for consumers, much as it is now.

    If the cable companies want to charge more for it, though, then it may steal some sales from TiVo, but it's more likely that folks will avoid it entirely. I actually think that if some form of digital VCR/on demand technology makes it into the cable network by default, it'll be a bonus for TiVo.

    Think about it. Right now, one of the toughest things for TiVo is just explaining it to people. If some TiVo-like capabilities become available by default to everyone, then TiVo actually has something to relate their product to. They can say, in essense, "Mystro isn't bad. But when you want the real thing, try TiVo". That has some potential.

    By the way, I explain TiVo to folks by saying "I don't watch any particular network anymore. I watch the TiVo channel, and it knows what I want and shows it to me when I want it, automatically". It seems to work as an explanation.

    --
    -- Josh Turiel
    "2. Do not eat iPod Shuffle."
  25. Re:Why? by ergo98 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Cheap commodity hardware? Says who? I have a Celeron 1.7Ghz/256MB RAM that I specifically put together as a "Media Center" PC, and doing a capture with the ATI TV Wonder PCI at a half decent resolution (I expect minimal degradation from broadcast quality: If it doesn't at least beat a $60 VCR then it hardly seems worthwhile) consumes 60%+ of the CPU. With a 5400RPM 30GB drive, it is IMPOSSIBLE to time shift (watching one part of the show while a later part records) as the machine simply doesn't have the power. In the end the quality is degraded from broadcast and usefulness is limited. I'd take a Tivo in a second if it were available in Canada. There is a Bell PVR that works with their satellite that is supposedly fantastic, however it obviously requires the satellite service, and currently as a cable modem user I don't have it.

  26. Oh, yeah! by nagora · · Score: 2, Insightful
    "let[s] networks set the parameters, dictating which shows users can reschedule, and it also creates ways for networks to insert commercials."

    That's just what's always annoyed me about our VCR: it lets me skip ads and watch things when I want to. At last, a recorder that really recreates that "just watching normal TV" feel.

    What a pack of dickheads.

    TWW

    --
    "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
  27. Re:Why? by Darth+Maul · · Score: 3, Informative

    Yes, mythTV is your friend. Mix one part MythTV, and one part Shuttle XPC and you have the ultimate Linux PVR.

    --
    --- witty signature
  28. It's an old rebuttal, but still valid... by PseudoThink · · Score: 3, Insightful

    People aren't really "taking back" anything with Tivo (or any PVR) when they use it to skip comercials. They are using it to circumvent part of the revenue stream that networks and broadcasters use to make TV/cable more affordable. Once PVRs make commercials an invalid form of generating revenue, I would expect most standard channels to become more like premium channels...no commercials, but they cost more. Granted, PVRs also enable viewers to watch shows on their own schedule...that's just an issue of infrastructure and scalability. Until recently, "video on demand" hasn't really been feasible for networks, and it still has all sorts of scalability issues that Tivo solves nicely. So I don't think it's valid to have a "taking back our God-given TV rights" attitude about PVRs, but that doesn't make PVR's bad.

    1. Re:It's an old rebuttal, but still valid... by gpinzone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or they'll become like the "E" channel or TNN and scroll ads while you watch.

  29. Re:Why? by tundog · · Score: 2, Informative

    The problem is that despite having capable hardware, what you need are the program listings. That's essentailly what TiVo is selling you on a monthly basis, a list of times that the programs offered by the networks are being aired. While you could (theoretically) do this yourself, it makes you own PVR as about as useful as a VCR.

    What will be interesting is the potential for another technology arms race. Right now TiVo cuts out commercials by sensing black frames that are inserted between prgramming and commercials. Based on the current technology, if the networks start getting fancy with the splices, (say green frames instead of black) Tivo is SOL, that is, atleast, until they upgrade your Tivo software; let the arms race begin.

    --
    All your base are belong to us!
  30. It's a step in the inevitable direction by ites · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The future of movies and television seems to be changing towards one that is advert-free but sponsored by product placement. Given that content is becoming plastic - copied and manipulated as wanted - this seems the only way to pay for films that people want to watch.
    A recent film made in Africa - where copying is rife and people are poor anyhow - demonstrates this wonderfully. Critical Assignment, paid for by Guiness, is a kind of African James Bond action film with sexy women and a cheesy plot. The hero is Michael Power, already famous as the kung-fu kicking hero of Guiness adverts across Nigeria and other countries. I've driven past a huge poster of him in Lagos many times.
    While businesses like AOL and Sony are worrying about how to (a) keep their customers and (b) make money from movies and (c) prevent piracy, other more pragmatic businesses are thinking: "piracy is inevitable, so let's use that to our advantage".
    To be honest, films like Critical Assignment (which I've not seen, just read about) are probably really bad, but then many commercial efforts are as well. And as competition for viewers heats up (when Guiness's competitors, like South African Breweries and Heineken make their own action movies), quality will go up (or down, if you like).
    I think the US/Japanese/Western content industry is too old and inflexible to understand how to use the new digital economy usefully. Expect the next Hollywoods to be in South Africa, Bombay, and Hong Kong, catering for audiences that number in the billion range.

    --
    Sig for sale or rent. One previous user. Inquire within.
  31. What kind of a name is that? by Sgs-Cruz · · Score: 4, Funny

    Mystro TV? Excuse me? I assume that's supposed to be pronounced like 'Maestro' but when I see that I think of a superhero or something... I guess what TiVo needs is a supervillain to defeat it... :)

    --

    Karma: pi (Mostly due to circular reasoning in posts).

    1. Re:What kind of a name is that? by Piquan · · Score: 2, Funny

      It wasn't until just now that I realized they weren't calling it "Mysterio". For those not into Spidey comics, Mysterio is a recurring bad guy who used to work for Hollywood...

  32. Corporate Intelligence by mr.nicholas · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I would like to make just a couple comments here.

    So far, only about 700,000 of the most avid television mavens have bought TiVo devices, ...

    I am one of those 700,000 folks, but I respectfully disagree with the collection ("avid television mavens") I've been dropped into. I bought my TiVO because I'm *NOT* addicted to the TV and don't want to be. I wanted to choose what and when I watched. I wanted to STOP being a slave to the TV clock.

    TiVo has 100% changed the way I watch TV (insert beginning of ad-like-comments). I no longer watch programs that I don't care about "to fill up space." I watch ONLY what I want, when I want.

    ... which are cumbersome to install.

    Oh my yes; plugging in two cables is certainly cumbersome :(

    I suppose it shouldn't surprise me that they would say such a thing: this is the same company that stated above that by reducing the number of options you have for your PVR (what you can record, when, and what you can skip) they will attrack more customers from the TiVo ranch.

  33. I now officially hate (AOL) Time Warner! by The+Lynxpro · · Score: 2, Interesting

    And this is not AOL's doing. This is the Time Warner end of the business. Why not just use TiVo in their set top boxes instead of wasting more money that AOL TW should be using to pay down its debt? This is borderline schitsophrenia (sic) because AOL itself owns 13% of Tivo stock. TiVo is going to be the standard PVR. Replay is bankrupt and still being sued by the whole broadcast industry. Time Warner Cable is idiotic. Why waste thousands of dollars per subscriber to run VOD when a PVR settop box is far more economical? Why would I pay $10 per month to watch the Sopranos any time I want when $14 per month to Tivo allows me to record any show I want to watch and view it at any time? Its just like that lame PVR Time Warner Cable currently offers from Scientific Atlantic. AOL TW should take the development money they are wasting on this and pump it into developing a dual tuner Tivo that is compatible with their cable networks? It makes the most sense and that's why they won't do it. At the same time, AOL is offering a Beta program for AOL subscribers who already own TiVo Series2 units to allow for online scheduling through your AOL account...as well as running AIM on top of network enabled Tivos. Where is the synergy supposed to be? If you ask me, its not AOL that's the problem, its the simpletons at Time Warner. You know, the same lugheads that greenlit "Battlefield Earth" and "Pluto Nash" which combined cost $200 million to make &that's not even factoring in the marketing costs. Way to go you idiots! Now just get it over with and cast Josh Harnett as Superman... Tools...absolute tools.

    --
    "Right now, somewhere in this world, Scott Baio is plowing a woman he doesn't love," - Peter Griffin, *Family Guy*
  34. Re:Why? by Darth+Maul · · Score: 2, Informative

    Not true. XMLTV solves that problem by grabbing TV listings off the Web. This is what MythTV uses to schedule recordings.

    --
    --- witty signature
  35. Screw your ad revenue! We want fresh content. by hendridm · · Score: 2, Funny

    > You reimburse them by watching the advertising.

    I'm sure that will comfort me when I am watching yet another Pepsi, Chevy, 1-800-Collect, Volkswagon commecial that I've seen a million times and make me no more or less aware of their product's existence. I am aware that Pepsi is better than Coke and vice versa. I am aware that VW is looking for drivers. I am well aware 1-800-Collect is a retirement home for washed up actors.

    One thing confuses me, however: Why is toilet paper always "new and improved"? It seems to work and feel the same as it always did to me. With retzin!

  36. You guys are missing the point. by gurps_npc · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Basically they are selling Tivo - Light.

    You get the super feature of Tivo - 80% of the rescheduling power and not having to know when your show is on to record it. You give up the commercial killing stuff and maybe 20% of the rescheduling power. They can sell it cheaper then Tivo, because they are funded by the networks to keep the commercials.

    Will it sell? Depends on price.

    If you tell me that for a one time payment of $50 bucks, I can get the rescheduling, then YES it will sell and Tivo will die.

    If instead they try to price it as competitive with Tivo and then try to make Tivo Illegal, it will not do well, and hopefull the lawsuit will die.

    --
    excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
  37. When will these companies realize... by egarland · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...just because you can see that a technology is going to hurt your business doesn't mean you should try and fight it. Throwing millions of dollers twords trying to make your customer's lives worse isn't going to help your business.

    PVR's are going to kill the TV industry. We must stop them!

    Linux is going to kill Microsoft. We must stop it!

    File swapping is going to kill the music industry. Destroy it!

    VCR's are going to kill the movie industry.

    Video killed the radio star.

    When did we go from a country where companies were supposed to compete on merrit to a country full of whining baby companies that don't want to change, inovate, or suffer any losses. Just because you can see that something is going to happen that will hurt your business, doesn't mean it's your job to try and stop it from happeneing. Lay a few people off to prepare for the impending belt tightening, don't hire a fleat of lawers and lobyists and wonder why your profits are down so much.

    If you sell water don't sue mother nature expecting to stop the coming rain.

    --
    set softtabstop=4 shiftwidth=4 expandtab nocp worlddomination
    1. Re:When will these companies realize... by amuro98 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Business is about adapting and staying in front.

      Problem is, the large companies (you know who they are) have been there so long, they can't or won't adapt anymore.

      If anything, this article speaks volumes about Tivo. You know you've "made it" when you've got a company many, many, MANY times larger than you publishing a panicky article about how scared they are about your product.

      The article was full of half-truths and anti-Tivo propaganda to try to make the company and product sound EVIL:

      * Fast forward through commercials. Big deal. VCRs have been doing this since the early 80s. It didn't doom the TV networks then, and it's not going to doom them now.

      * TIVO users don't watch commercials. As a TIVO user, I can say this is definitely not true. I have the 30-second backdoor enabled on my TIVO, but if I see an ad that actually advertises something I'm interested in (say, a new movie trailer) then I'll stop, REWIND and watch it. Of course, I'll only do that once. I don't need to see the same ad over and over and over again.

      * TIVO is "cumbersome to set up." Well, if AOL/Time Warner is using their average AOL users as a model, that may be true.... But if anything, the TIVO is easier to setup than a VCR. It walks you through the initial setup with onscreen instructions for crying out loud...

      * TIVO users are "evil" because they can watch what they want, when they want, regardless of the network schedules. Yes, I can simply tell my Tivo to record what I want, then watch it later. I can do the same (to a lesser extent) with a VCR. Again, VCRs didn't destroy the TV networks, and they're over 20 years old now.

      If anything, these boneheaded networks should realize that being able to record now, watch later means that you can run MORE content on your network. For instance, if NBC sees that ABC is running a killer show during this week's Friends, simply rerun Friends at 2am! Even if ABC does the same thing, the audience will be able to record both shows. Or, if ABC is smart, they'll run "new" content during NBC's reruns! Ah, damnit...you mean the networks will have to compete for viewers 24/7 with quality programming?? Man, this Tivo thing is evil!

  38. But the average AOL by Archfeld · · Score: 2, Insightful

    user has no problem losing features as long as it is easy to use so I predict this will find a market amongst the several billion unwashed AOL users. I am not giving up my gener1 TIVO until I am quite DEAD, but I also use my ATI card as a nice PVR so I am not the demographic they are shooting for anyways. The only thing we here at sladhdot can do is tell our families and the people I am sure we all support about it.

    --
    errr....umm...*whooosh* *whoosh* Is this thing on ?
  39. Not a Tivo Killer by MojoRilla · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sounds like Mystro TV is not a personal video recorder, it is an on-demand television system. Networks are probably loath to give up schedule driven TV, but AOL might be able to force this one through by scaring networks with fear of personal video recorders and commercial skipping.

    If you asked me what I loved most about my TiVO, I would say that it lets me watch what I want when I want to. And then second, I can skip commercials. Don't get me wrong, I hate commercials. But time shifting is much more important to me.

    The ability to play back shows whenever I want (freeing me from network scheduling) is a major advantage of the technology. It seems like this is what Myestro TV is trying to do.

    I can imagine that some shows will allow time shifting for a few days or a week, while others won't have restrictions. I think it could be more flexible than TiVO.

    The problem with TiVO is that you have to know what you want to watch before you want to watch it. And you can only record one thing at a time (unless you have two TiVO's or a DirectTiVO). This causes my wife much fretting when she needs to decide between Buffy and Gilmore Girls. With this system, there is no problem. You can watch them both.

    Another problem I have found with TiVO is that all the commercials are stale. When I get around to watching a Junk Yard Wars from last week, if I do happen to see a promo for something I might like, it is too late to record it. With this system, I might be able to find it in the archive, or at least when watching a week old show at least I would get up-to-date promos.

    The advantages of TiVO are that you can skip commercials, and that you can store things indefinately. These will still be important to some users, so there will always be a market for a personal video recorder.

    A completely on-demand television system creates many interesting things. There would be no more schedules, just when shows were available. Television contracts would be rewritten to pay for the amount of plays, not . You might be able to pay a premium to see an obscure show, but you would be able to see it. Commercials might be more geared to the viewer. Broadcasting standards might be lifted (since parental controls could be built into this).

    Anyway, sounds interesting. Not that I would want to give up my TiVO.

  40. Network Sponsored *AND* consumer friendly? by DrDebug · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think not.

    The whole reason I LIKE my tivo(s) is because I have freedom of choice. I watch what *I* like to watch, when I want to watch it. I don't need a 'MAX HEADROOM' network executive dictating to me when I can watch anything-- including those repetitious commercials!!

  41. Forget Tivo by chill182 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I still can't figure out why Tivo is more popular than ReplayTV. I bought my Replay last weekend and it has soooo many more features than Tivo. My personal favorites are the ability to send shows to other Replay owners and the ability to program it online.

  42. 30 Second Skip works with TiVo, too by Rosenkavalier · · Score: 2, Informative

    The only difference regarding the 30 second skip between Replay and TiVo is that the TiVo function is not included in the documentation.

    Activating 30 Second Skip on TiVo (works with 2.5 and later) -- while you are watching a recorded program (can't be Live TV), press the following in order:

    Select
    Play
    Select
    3
    0
    Select

    You should hear three 'dings' when successful. This toggles the 'Skip to End' button on the remote from Skip to End to Skip 30 seconds. This is not a permanent switch -- if your machine reboots (power failure, OS update, manual reset), you need to re-toggle again.

    I have that sequence stored as a macro on my remote, so I can switch back and forth between the two settings as desired.

  43. PreempTiVe strike by Tackhead · · Score: 3, Insightful
    > It sounds like a TiVo.. with all the stuff you want taken out of it and replaced with stuff that put more money in thier pokets. I can't imagine this will even start to put a dint in the PVR market.. instead it might Boost sales.. Give everyone a taste of how cool PVR's are and when they get sick of the subscription they will hunt out on thier own to buy a PVR with all the good stuff in it still.

    A large portion of the populace still thinks AOL is "the Internet".

    If AOL spends a billion or two to give everyone a taste of Mystro - thereby convincing the Great Unwashed that PVRs are "like VCRs, but they suck, and have more ads" - and they've pre-empted TiVo from ever gaining traction.

    Think about it - if the average Joe's first impression of a PVR was this thing, would he risk dropping another $299 on a TiVo?

    If it costs AOL/TW a billion or two to wipe TiVo off the map, that's money well spent.

  44. Max Headroom said this would happen... by SolemnDragon · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Anybody remember Max Headroom? Quote from the site: "It predicted the use of Internet-like e-mail to cast election votes, such as is commonly done for taking polls nowadays by CNN and many other Web sites, and as is done by Web page-hit counters. And some states are now talking of instituting political elections via Internet.

    It predicted the rise of "BlipVerts" as advertising, in the use of short ads that flash constantly-moving and -changing images to the viewer because the viewers' attention spans had become so increasingly short.

    It predicted the common occurrences of computer viruses, tapeworms, timebombs, and Trojan horses as ways of defeating other programs. In fact, one episode showed Max invading an enemy's computer network with an image of a wooden Trojan horse! Of course, today, these are well-known hackers' (crackers') products. It predicted what is known today as "page-jacking," or the surrepticious taking over of another's Web page, calling it "zipping" (of an online broadcast station's signal) in one episode. In the same "zipping" episode it introduced the idea of on-line shopping. It predicted, in a sense, the clandestine use of Web anonymizers or ways of being online without being tracked, calling the people who can do this "blanks."
    It also included features such as televisions functioning as webcams, by remote control with two way feed, televisions which are manufactured without shutoff buttons, in a world where the television show/ network with the most ratings wins an election. And of course, my alltime favourite quote from The Max himself, "Why do you think they call it 'programming?'"

  45. But how will it work with my TiVo? by tgibbs · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sounds great. Now I'll just need TiVo to upgrade their cable box control software, so that if one show I want to record is in conflict with another, or if I forget to tell it to record a show, it will automatically reschedule that show for recording at a time when the TiVo is free.

  46. I have a solution: by TomorrowPlusX · · Score: 2, Interesting

    My solution is very, very simple: stop watching the d*mned television.

    It's all I can do not to curse about this but here it is as I see it: up until the 80's, you could expect an hour long tv show to consist of maybe 7 to ten minutes of commercials, and the rest being the tv show. Many, if not all, the commercials were for local companies and services. Fine.

    We all know how commercials have become, so the market for the TiVO was born. In fact, over thanksgiving, at a relative's house, we tried to watch some james bond movie and it was, quite literally, 10 minutes of movie interspaced with 15 minute chevy/coke/dell commercial breaks. A 90 minute movie took THREE HOURS.

    Of course, nobody who runs the networks likes that we have the choice to skip commercials or anything we're not interested in, so the odds are there will be no such thing as a TiVO in five years. If it takes technology like in the AOL case here, so be it -- if on the other hand it takes legislation, well then so be it too. My bet is that once the AOL device fails to sell (think DIVX) hollywood will simply make PVRs illegal.

    You can see similar things happening in the movie industry; hell the last time I saw a movie I was shown SIX commercials before the previews began. And I had already paid something like 9 dollars just to get in. Think "captive audience" -- e.g., you and me.

    I think what we need to start doing, here, is think about wether it's worth it.

    Is it better to stay at home & watch TV, or to go out to a local coffee shop and write some code, read a book, or talk to a pretty girl/boy? Is it better to be steeped in advertising, or to go for a walk? (sadly, depending on where you live there isn't always a difference due to proliferation of billboards)

    Anyway, what i'd really like to get at here is that once you get past the commercials, TV itself just isn't all that good -- and the world outside is SO MUCH BETTER.

    I stopped watching TV four years ago -- with only the occasional late night conan o'brian and/or simpson's rerun. Since I gave up TV I've lost 20 pounds, gotten in great shape, dated much much more... etc etc. In fact, the only thing I'm missing is the internal scheduler I used to have which said "be home by 7 so you can catch ".

    And, if you want to tell me "but cable has all these good shows" ask yourself if most cable stations hae commercials. As far as I know all but a few have *plenty* of commercials -- and yet you're PAYING for it. Paying! Bah! it's not worth it. At least normal TV is free.

    Now, excuse me while I calm down. We shouldn't be fighting an escalating arms war to skip commercials -- we should simply stop watching altogether.

    If you do, you'll thank yourself for it. Trust me.

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  47. What about the benefits? by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The ability to zap a commercial arguably makes the commercials more valuable. It will take some clever advertising to keep people from hitting the button, but on the upside, we no longer have to watch ads we despise.

    Every time I see an Old Navy ad, I make a solemn vow never to set foot in one of their stores. Were I allowed to zap these commercials, I wouldn't loathe their store quite so much.

    The fact that the commercials are being skipped could be useful information in and of itself. If such information were collected in an aggregate, private way, maybe advertisers would take the hint and stop running stupid commercials.

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  48. Commercials and Copyright protection by Mage99 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    No doubt "making" users of this device view commercials and somehow tracking who records what material is part of this scheme. What baffles me about products like this is they remove features I want, like namely the ability to FF past commercials in a recording, to record when and what I want without being monitored or tracked. Even if this product was free I wouldn't participate due to the monitoring that no doubt would be done by AOL/Time Warner.

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    We are what we repeatedly do. Excellence then, is not an act, but a habit.
  49. You are all missing the point by Snowspinner · · Score: 3, Interesting
    TiVo is not wildly popular, and never will be. It will remain the province of a relative handful of dedicated geeks like us.

    This, in and of itself, does not bother the networks. The networks are largely aware that there is a limited subclass of the population that is going to find ways out of their pay schemes.

    Their primary interest is not actually to eliminate this subclass. It's to make sure that they remain a subclass, and that their newfangled PVRs and the like don't spill out into the mainstream. It's only when they fail miserably at this (c.f. mp3s) that they will begin cracking down wildly.

    No one really pretends that they can get rid of technological innovation like this. Geeks will always be ahead of the curve. The interest of the networks and corporations in general is in making sure that the mass population doesn't catch up with these foul innovations.

    That's what MystroTV is about. Getting the mainstream to avoid fancy stuff like TiVos. The handful of us who already have TiVos? We're only of interest to them in that we'll show them the next innovation they have to keep limited to the elite.

  50. Interactiv TV by Zeinfeld · · Score: 2, Interesting
    But this isn't just a loss of quality, it's a total loss of features. This device is nothing more than a crippled VCR, except that it stores stuff digitally.

    No, this is actualy just Time Warner going back to their pre-Ineternet per-AOL fiasco, Interactive TV. The model is completely unchanged from 1992, content to be stored in distribution hubs and downloaded on demand. The only thing that is interactive is you get to shop while you watch the crap.

    These days I am pretty much a post-Tivo TV viewer. I don't rate the tivo features because I simply don't watch network TV - PERIOD. Heck we didn't even get the local network channels for over a year when we first got Dish TV and we never missed them.

    The problem is that network TV gets worse and worse as the cost gets higher and higher. The last decent shows on US TV were Seinfeld and the X-Files, both long gone to reruns. Ad skiping technology is superfluous when the shows on offer are Joe Millionaire and the bachelorette.

    The only significant feature missing from my dishplayer as far as I am concerned is removable storage. Give me the ability to plug in nice fat 160 Gb drives at a time via serial ATA and I can actually get to record some of my own stuff. At the moment we have 4 hours teletubbies, 16 hours Dora the Explorer, 8 episodes of Blues Clues and some sessamee street. I have one episode of the sopranos. Funny thing is that when I think about it most of the stuff on my dishplayer is actually more intellectually demanding than the average network tv show.

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