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Guy Fawkes' Explosion Would Have Devasted London

Anonymous Coward writes "Experts at the University of Wales in Aberystwyth have worked out for the first time the true extent of the damage Guy Fawkes would have caused if his daring deed had not been foiled on November 5, 1605. " Sorry - history geek/major in me coming out, but this is definitiely one of those major points in history when things Could Have Gone Differently.

52 of 546 comments (clear)

  1. My old uni! by Cockney · · Score: 4, Funny

    For the first time ever my old university is mentioned on Slashdot. I'm so happy!

    1. Re:My old uni! by Alan+Partridge · · Score: 4, Funny

      Fucked up your A levels, then?

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    2. Re:My old uni! by Eunuchswear · · Score: 5, Funny

      Hah! I was at UEA 26 years ago, and here I am reading slashdot.

      Might as well kill yourself now, you have nothing to look forward to.

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    3. Re:My old uni! by MartinB · · Score: 3, Informative
      For the first time ever my old university is mentioned on Slashdot

      Nope.

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  2. well at least by cassidyc · · Score: 5, Funny

    He has been the only person to go the parliament with honest intentions

    CJC

    1. Re:well at least by stonedCoder · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The moderation is screwed! The parent '5, Insightful' is showing as '5, Funny' for some reason(!)

      As a UK 'citizen' who is 'lucky' enough to see the current load of self-serving, jeering, ignorant political whores performing live, I can confirm the parent post is true!

      ;)

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    2. Re:well at least by corbettw · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yes, we're much better off over here in the Colonies. Our policians never lie, cheat, or steal.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
  3. The Article's ending says it all by tanya2526 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    *If* he was an expert,
    *If* he had it packed in
    _Then_ it would've had same effect as TNT
    (and so blasted about a km big hole)
    So this is a GOOD model.

    yada yada.

    Seriously, the assumptions they have made are just too far-fetched. It sounds like someone thought of this idea - hey what would've happened if.. -- and then did some calculations, and then put it in a sensational manner to get press.

    As Dick Feynman would say, this is something like Cargo Cult Science - no true scientific backing for this

  4. Done later anyway by 16K+Ram+Pack · · Score: 3, Informative
    Great Fire of London, 1666.

    And let's not forget the South Bank ;-)

    1. Re:Done later anyway by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 4, Insightful
      The Gunpowder Plot was essentially 9/11 in 1605, except that the plot was foiled.
      Except that had it succeeded, the Protestant English of the time probably wouldn't have made a token effort at catching the killers, failed, and then gone off and started a war in Mesopotamia by way of covering up their failure.
      --
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    2. Re:Done later anyway by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No, instead the exagerrated and publicized the scope of the failed plot and used it as an excuse to further oppress Ireland too since all catholics were obviously evil fanatics.

  5. In other news.... by Skraut · · Score: 5, Funny

    Experts at the Slashdot labratory have worked out for the first time the true extent of the possible damage to the University of Wales in Aberystwyth's web server due to the posting of a story about Guy Fawkes

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  6. Re:Not much to destroy by Cockney · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Not much to destroy? Only the newly fledged parliament and all the MPs. It would be like blowing up the Senate building with all the people in it. Sure there wasn't much else around but this may have completely changed the course of British history.

  7. BBC website by brejc8 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    BBC has a nice website about it too. (much more informative)

    1. Re:BBC website by glesga_kiss · · Score: 4, Interesting
      I once saw a documentary, one of the BBCs late night "learning zone" ones I think (it was many years ago) that showed lots of evidence for the case that the whole thing was a frame up. There's no mention of that on the above site all!

      Googling found this link, which mentions the price of gunpowder at the time being far to expensive for the conspirators to afford the amount they had. There is also doubt on the origins of the letter that tipped off authorities to the plot.

      Another site states the following:

      Was the Plot a fake?

      There is considerable evidence that there was no real Gunpowder Plot and that the idea of it was invented by Robert Cecil in order to discredit the Catholics, not to mention other motives such as removing a political rival (Northumberland) and gaining land from the the confiscated estates of Midland Catholics. This view of the plot provides answers to some otherwise awkward questions such as: Why were the Essex rebels let off a so lightly, and what exactly was meant by 'Reserved to her Majesty's use'? Why was Parliament postponed and how did the coal cellar became so easily and conveniently available? Where did so much gunpowder come from? Wasn't Tresham's warning letter an obvious giveaway? Why did Monteagle give it to Cecil and why didn't Cecil inform the King immediately? Why didn't Guy Fawkes escape after the first search and was he really tortured? How come the Midland rebels were so quickly surrounded by the Sheriff's men and why were Catesby and Percy both shot?

      I couldn't find any really compelling links, certainally none as good as the documentary.

    2. Re:BBC website by LoonyJetman · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I heard a representative of the gunpowder plot society on radio 5 (bbc) last night, who seemed fairly knowledgeable about the subject and was level headed enough not to get carried away with the presenters enthusiasm for the blowing up half of london aspect of the story. Their website is as comprehensive as you would expect from their name.

  8. Gun powder = TNT by T.i.m · · Score: 3, Insightful

    the 2,500kg of gunpowder Guy Fawkes was found with, would be equivalent to the same amount of TNT today

    So TNT is no better then gunpowder? What is so special with this guys gunpowder?

    --
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    1. Re:Gun powder = TNT by SharpFang · · Score: 3, Informative

      Dunk TNT in water, no effect. Hit it with a hammer - no effect. Warm it with a match - no effect. Place it in open and detonate it. The explosion is considerable.

      Dunk gunpowder in water. Won't burn. Hit it. Boom. Apply a small spark (like static from your sweater.) Boom. Put a pile of it in the open. Shhhh! - a big cloud of smoke, some sparks, some bright fire, no explosion. (only puting it in relatively small chamber - like a gun, a barrel or a cellar, depending on amount - causes considerable explosion. Otherwise it just burns quite rapidly.

      --
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  9. Wasn't he framed? by Black+Rabbit · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I remember reading something somewhere a few years ago that offered proof that Guy Fawkes was framed. Anything to this?

    I also understand that Brits seem to have tossed out the whole Nov 5th thing for the more commercial American import of Halloween, but haven't really picked up on the concept, with many kids showing up on pumpkinless doorsteps sans costume.

    Seems to me that Guy Fawkes Night would be a much bigger blast!

    1. Re:Wasn't he framed? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      I also understand that Brits seem to have tossed out the whole Nov 5th thing for the more commercial American import of Halloween, but haven't really picked up on the concept, with many kids showing up on pumpkinless doorsteps sans costume.

      Not really. November 5th is still a bigger night in the U.K than Halloween; we spend UKP80million a year on fireworks, most of them for November 5th. Sales of plastic horns and Scream masks pall in comparision really.

      What tends to happen is that Halloween simply gets overshadowed, which is why none of the kids really go for it with much gusto. Especially this year, where November 5th has fallen smack in the mid-week, meaning there are large scale firework displays both the weekend before and after.

    2. Re:Wasn't he framed? by martinthebrit · · Score: 4, Informative

      Some of us Brits object to the American import of Halloween overshadowing our own pyrotechnic traditions.

      Very funny diatribe about 20 minutes into last week's Now Show (radio 4 comedy programme) about this very matter.

    3. Re:Wasn't he framed? by erinacht · · Score: 3, Informative
      We celebrate both all hallows eve and November the 5th, though for me personally, Guy Fawkes night is a rememberance of poor old Guy and the good he could have done.

      Was Guy Fawkes Framed? find out here!

      Since it may be my namesake's festival, I have to correct you on the "American Import" bit...
      It is believed that the tradition of Halloween reached America with the Irish immigrants of the 19th century who, according to Barkin and James, retained the belief that ghosts and spirits roamed the earth on Halloween. It is even possible that it was the Irish that developed the idea of trick or treating when villagers would go begging for food for a feast or perhaps the festival of St. Columb Kill.
      Though to be fair, Haloween as it is celibrated today is Americanised
  10. Re:Future by kaltkalt · · Score: 3, Insightful

    because the negative is often quite interesting ("interesting" is not to be confused with "woulda been great had it happened.")

    --

    Stupid people make stupid things profitable.
  11. From the article: by plexxer · · Score: 4, Funny

    He said the physicists used the weight of explosive to work out how it would affect its surroundings.

    "We know that the more explosive we have the more energy will be released when the charge is set off.

    "From the pressure pulse generated by the explosion, we can tell if windows are going to be smashed or if whole buildings will be demolished," he said.

    He explained that the further from the blast the lesser the effects until only a faint bang is audible.


    Obviously they had their top minds working on this.

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  12. Well, it did happen in 2000 in Enschede... by ControlFreal · · Score: 5, Interesting

    At may 13th 2000, a fireworks storage facility (located in the middle of a residential area, of all places) in the city of Enschede in the east of the Netherlands went skyhigh. Some general info is here.

    Whereas the London event would have been equivalent to 2.5 tons of TNT, the Enschede explosion was estimated as being equivalent to anywhere between 5 tons and 15 tons of TNT (between 2e10 and 6e10 Joules, and at maximum about 1/1000th of Hiroshima in terms of energy). In the event, about 100000 kg of fireworks detonated, set off by a detonation in one of the central containers. The energy in the explosion was estimated by analyzing images of the shockfront wave set off by the explosion.

    The result was similar to what has been predicted for London: in Enschede, about 1200 houses were obliterated and 22 were killed.

    Fortunately, the event led to changes in legislation and much stricter requirements for such dangerous storage facilities near residential areas.

    On a personal note: I was about 6 km from Ground Zero when the event happened, and the sound from the explosion was very, very impressive even at that distance!

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  13. Re:Huh? by misterpies · · Score: 5, Insightful


    It qould have destroyed the Houses of Parliament, including all the MPS, the Lords and the King who were there for the state opening of parliament; Westminster Abbey; and the main royal palaces of Whitehall and St James's (Buckingham wasn't built yet). So the effect on the government & ruling class would have been devastating.

    On the other hand, the main commercial, shipping and population centre of London at the time was the City of London, which is a couple of miles from Parliament (technically in the City of Westminster), so the direct effect on London's population would have been small. The knock-on might have been huge, though. Just as 9/11 may have ended lower manhattan's dominance of the finance sector in NYC, it's possible that London's importance as a trading centre would have been seriously dented.

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  14. Sometimes the experts know what they are doing. by Eevee · · Score: 5, Interesting

    *If* he was an expert,

    There's a link at the end of the article where they point out that Fawkes was brought into the plot because...he was an expert in gunpowder.

    *If* he had it packed in

    This was not a spur of the moment event. There was more than enough time to ensure the gunpowder was correctly placed and packed.

    1. Re:Sometimes the experts know what they are doing. by eyegor · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What I find laughable is the statement that black powder (especially 17th century black powder) would have the same explosive power as an equivalent mass of TNT. As an example, when used as a bursting charge in an artillary shell, black powder is only 1/3 to 1/2 as efficent as TNT.

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  15. Re:Not much to destroy by Amiga+Lover · · Score: 3, Informative

    If anyone's interested in other results of conventional explosions, take a look at the texas city explosion in 1947 when a ship carrying fertilizer (supposedly, there is some debate about whether there was more behind it) detonated, or the fauld explosion in the UK in 1944 where 3670 tonnes of stored bombs exploded underground

  16. Re:Future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    he Guy Fawkes day was a frightning day for all of us British.

    it happened in 1605. How exactly was it a frightening day for you, again?

  17. "What if?" Try "Remember when ..." by Kombat · · Score: 4, Interesting


    The Halifax Explosion is one of the most impressive disasters in history. Often billed as the largest non-nuclear explosion prior to the atomic age, two ships, one loaded with war ammunition, collided right in the middle of Halifax Harbour in Nova Scotia. It exploded, killing over 1600 people. The anchor from one of the ships was found 5 kilometers away. The explosion shattered windows and rang churchbells in my hometown of Truro, over 100 km away.

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  18. University/School by The+Grassy+Knoll · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's a school of whales, not a university, you insensitive clod!

    .

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  19. Re:Not much to destroy by Ed_Moyse · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Did you read the article? It would have been much worse than "self-detonating in a starbucks".


    Quoting from the article :"If Guy Fawkes had succeeded with his gunpowder plot he would have devastated much of London as well as blowing the palace of Westminster sky-high."


    Bear in mind that even if only a few thousand people died in the initial explosion (there were hundreds of MPs in westminster, plus all the support staff) that there weren't firemen in the same sense as we have now. There would probably have been a fire sweeping london, like Great Fire of 1666:
    "On Sunday morning, the 2nd September 1666, the destruction of medieval London began. Within 5 days the city which Shakespeare had known was destroyed by fire. An area of one and a half miles by half a mile lay in ashes; 373 acres inside the city walls and 63 acres outside, 87 churches destroyed (including St. Paul's Cathedral) and 13,200 houses." source


    That fire started in a bakery. I think that Guy Fawkes could have done pretty well too.

  20. Gunpowder != TNT by Tsu+Dho+Nimh · · Score: 4, Informative
    "what's the general difference between gunpowder and TNT? I mean, both are a pure form of salt peter and whatnot, basically a normal explosive."

    Not even close. TNT is "tri-nitro toluene", is a pale yellow crystalline, aromatic hydrocarbon compound that melts at 81 C. It is way more stable than nitroglycerine (not related to gunpowder either). The specific combustion energy of TNT is 4.6 MJ/kg. I'm not sure what gunpowder formula Fawkes used, but I doubt that it could have been as effective as TNT.

  21. Halifax Explosion by Irishman · · Score: 4, Informative

    An explosion of this magnitude (over 2.5 kilotonnes of TNT) did explode in a city back in 1917. Halifax, Nova Scotia in Canada was devestated by an explosion of a munitions ship on its way to Europe. The explosion killed almost 2000 people, injured over 9000 and rattled dishes about 300 km away. The explosion was so large, it was actually studied by Oppenheimer and his crew as a model of how to deliver the atomic bomb. From this, they determined that damaged is greatly enhanced when the bomb is exploded above ground. If you want to find out more, just go here.

    1. Re:Halifax Explosion by TGK · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Basicly this allowed them to ascertain that a detonation at ground level would have more of its energy absorbed by the ground and terrain than a detonation at altitude X.

      Remember, the Manhattan project dealt with explosive forces heretofor unreckoned with in history. No one was really sure if a blast of that magnitude would be substantialy dampened by man made obstructions.

      The afforementioned incident provided a passable model wherein one could reason that buildings could act as a sheild to a several ton explosion, there was no evidence to suggest that this would not be true for a several kiloton explosion as well.

      Think of it this way. Oppenheimer didn't use this case study as a reason to detonate the bomb in the air, but rather a reason not to detonate it on the ground.

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    2. Re:Halifax Explosion by nautical9 · · Score: 4, Informative
      On the cool clear morning of December 6, 1917, the munitions ship Mont Blanc, already on fire from a collision in Halifax Harbour with the Belgian relief ship Imo, glances off pier 6 in the north end of Halifax sparking a fire in the dockyard. West Street firemen were the first to arrive at the pier 6 fire. For all but one of them, it would be their last alarm. At 9:04:35 am the Mont Blanc explodes with a force of 2.9 kilotons. The Halifax Explosion killed between 1600 and 2000 people, wounded another 9000, and left 25,000 people homeless.

      From http://www.halifaxfiremuseum.org/

  22. Re:Sorry for being American but... by Burb · · Score: 3, Funny
    We forgive you for being American.

    Technically we are celebrating the failure of a plot to bring down the government (King+Parliament) by means of an explosive nature.

    --

  23. Re:I don't get it. by riggwelter · · Score: 5, Informative

    We have a national day (it's not actually a holiday) in the UK (well, England certainly) on the 5th of November to celebrate the fact that Guy Fawkes, and his fellow conspiritors we prevented from commiting a major act of what was essentially religious-inspired terrorism, namely the assisnation of the monarch and parliament.

    That's why effigies of Mr Fawkes are burnt as part of the celebrations.

    Of course, given that Mr Fawkes represented the oppressed (at the time) Roman Catholic community, was he a terrorist, or a freedom fighter?

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  24. Huge Difference by Detritus · · Score: 5, Informative
    Gunpowder, or black powder, is a low explosive. It doesn't detonate, it deflagrates, which means that it burns very quickly, producing large quantities of gas.

    TNT, or tri-nitro-toluene, is a high explosive. It detonates, producing a violent shock wave.

    High explosives are more violent in their effects than low explosives. That's why they are so popular with the military. They do a better job of breaking things.

    --
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    1. Re:Huge Difference by garysears · · Score: 3, Interesting

      what defines an explosive?
      I believe that any compound or chemical which has speed of oxidation that exceeds the speed of sound within the medium itself constitutes an explosive due to the formation of a concussive shockwave. Ignoring nuclear nasties, this lets out CO2 bombs and such and confines itself to chemical reactions. However, the fact that the rate of deflagration (burning) of gunpowder confined in a moderately compressed form such as a wooden shipping barrel WILL give a heck of a concussive effect (personal experience with empty grain silos attest to this) would seem to shut down the theory that a simple deflagrant is anything to laugh at in its proper form. True, a higher rate-of-propagation gives a higher "brisance", or shockiness to the explosion, but sometimes you just want lots and lots of KE with little shock, such as in mining or loosening rock for a quarry. Then, you WANT a low explosive. You don't want powder, you want pieces. in other words, Fooey. Blooie!

  25. As quoted from my wife's website by NickFusion · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I recognized that cogent description. My wife wrote it.

    The rest of the article is here:

    www.bonfirenight.net/gunpowder.php

    She was interviewed about Bonfire Night by the Assoc. French Press:

    http://tinyurl.com/tnu3 (Yahoo News)

    (My wife is a bigger geek than I...Yay!)

    --
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  26. Re:Future by Alan+Partridge · · Score: 3, Funny

    I would be, they might miss by half a mile and blow up my bloody office.

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  27. Re:Future by dunstan · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Particularly the consequences of persecuting a minority within your population.

    Some years ago I was given a book about the Gunpowder plot, which sets the context. After the death of Elizabeth I, there was hope among the English Catholics that life would get better. Instead, James I set up what was effectively an inquisition, and appoined Popplewell to turn the screws down even tighter. My family were tucked away in North Yorkshire, and got away with a series of fines, but many English Catholic families had members executed - the English Martyrs. That's why even in today's more ecumenical time I'm not ashamed to sing "Our fathers chained in prisons dark were still in heart and conscience free".

    Yes, a splinter group decided to resort to violence, and yes that was totally unforgiveable, but there is a lesson which should not be ingored.

    Dunstan Vavasour

    --
    The last scintilla of doubt just rode out of town
  28. Damn, you beat me to it! by uradu · · Score: 3, Funny

    > Obviously they had their top minds working on this.

    That's the first thing that came to my mind, too. I think he's also a founding member of the Royal Society For Putting Things On Top Of Other Things.

  29. Child's play by Illserve · · Score: 4, Informative

    Back in WW2, the RAF had a huge ammo depot called the Fauld.

    On November 27, 1944, there was an accident and it blew up.

    This is the supposedly the largest non-nuclear explosion in recorded history.

    3670 tons of bombs went up in an explosion that was seismically recordable in Casablanca

    The crater was half a mile across.

    78 people killed.

    A photo:
    http://www.historicairphotos.com/g_uk/imag e2_lge.j pg

    Some informative links with other photos:

    http://www.carolyn.topmum.net/tutbury/fauld/faul dc rater.htm

    http://freespace.virgin.net/kehla.barnes/disaste r. htm

    1. Re:Child's play by Gudlyf · · Score: 3, Funny
      Caption of this image:

      "Hmmm...strange these all have their detonators still installed. Meh, no matter."

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  30. The Slimy Stuarts by lindsayt · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It has been surmised by some historians that James' aides, and not Guy Fawkes, planted the explosives only to have them found. The English people were pretty sceptical of a mostly-Catholic Scot ruling their country (remember that because of the Auld Alliance between Scotland and France, the Scottish nobility was about 90% French as every Scottish king married a French princess for many generations, and the French princesses were all Catholic), and James I of England needed to prove that he was (1) not Catholic but rather C of E; and (2) primarily James I of England and only secondarily James VI of Scotland.

    So anyway, some surmise that his advisers knew nothing would prove his non-Catholicism better than some Catholic zealot trying to kill him. Of course that was the result, that the C of E English largely accepted James I until his death as loyal both in terms of religion and nationality. Of course things went a little differently for his son (and grandson too)...

    As a European historian, I've always found Stuart England and its brief reprieve during the Commonwealth to be the most fascinating part of English history. Perhaps it's because they were just so untrustworthy and untrusted...

    --
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  31. Black Powder is not a high explosive by hughk · · Score: 3, Informative
    so please can someone explain to me why the effect would be the same as the same quantity of TNT. The black powder was in barrels and it was in cellars which would have provided some compression. Would it be enough, well I don't really think so.

    My BS detector needle is hugging the high end again!!!!

    FWIW, a high explosive is one where the detonation wave exceeds the speed of sound in the explosive so that it blows up, so to speak before it flies apart. High explosives do not need compression, but low-explosives do. This is why black powder goes off in a phut unless it is compressed so that it doesn't fly apart until all parts are reacting.

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  32. How come they didn't have this at my school? by m0smithslash · · Score: 4, Funny
    Physicists from the university's Centre for Explosion Studies found that the amount of gunpowder Guy ...

    Centre for Explosion Studies!! Now there is a cool major.

    Bob: Hi, what's your major?
    Jane: Theater. How about you?
    Bob: Explosion Studies.
    Jane: Wow, that is soooo cool. Wanna go out tonight?

    Doesn't work that way with CS I can tell you. Seriously, was there ever a cooler thing to major in? I would have even dropped out of CS to be able to blow things up. They also get to study all the great explosions of all time.

    I wonder what kind of job Explosive majors get? Cool stuff like special effects, building demolition, pyrotechniques, rodent control. I think I missed my true calling in life.

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    1. Re:How come they didn't have this at my school? by curlif · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Fire.

      Friend of mine's brother-in-law burns things for a living. Every day he gets to burn something or blow some shit up and get paid for it. Now and then they'll go out into the desert, build a house, and burn it down.

      He's the happiest guy I think I've ever met.

  33. Re:I don't get it. by Dusabre · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Of course, given that Mr Fawkes represented the oppressed (at the time) Roman Catholic community, was he a terrorist, or a freedom fighter?

    You can get in trouble for thinking unpatriotic thoughts like that.

    So I'll get into even greater trouble. The phrases freedom fighter/terrorist describe the same people from different viewpoints. The person getting freedom fighted calls them terrorist. Those who use terror call themselves freedom fighters.

    Of course the real qualifier is what means they use and what ends they want to achieve (the means being more important than the ends in judging whether they are acting for good or evil IMHO).

    The Resistance movement in Europe was called terrorist by the Gestapo. Old resistance fighter readily admit using terror tactics against the Nazis. They are proud of the fear they raised amongst the murdering invaders.

    The Polish underground even used anthrax to discourage the Gestapo from reading anonymuous tipoff letters!