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Nano Body Building

Roland Piquepaille writes "In this article from Backbone Magazine, Douglas Mulhall, author of 'Our Molecular Future' tells us about the future of nanomedicine. He thinks that medical diagnosis will be the first successful steps, involving nanorobots which will raise alerts when they detect pre-cancerous cells. And twenty years from now, researchers envision that nanomedicine will be a trillion dollar industry. Around 2025, you'll pay $1,000 a year for a nanopill that will extend your life by suppressing heart attacks, diabetes and other diseases. Other scientists say that nanotechnology will be used to build synthetic bone and tissue, an opinion shared by Scientific American, which warns that growing replacement organs is still at least another 10 to 20 years in front of us. More details and references are available in this overview focused on how nanomedicine is going to totally take over healthcare in the 21st century. [Additional note: Slashdot described Mulhall's Law of Disassembly last February.]"

65 of 272 comments (clear)

  1. yes but will it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    .. enlarge my penis?

    1. Re:yes but will it... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      no, but it can make your hand smaller.

  2. Wow! by Bishop,+Martin · · Score: 3, Funny

    Around 2025, you'll pay $1,000 a year for a nanopill that will extend your life by suppressing heart attacks, diabetes and other diseases.

    And then they can mix it with viagra and make a pill that increases your life, AND your penis! Twice the spam too!

    --
    Setec Astronomy
  3. Gotta love the 21th Century by Graftweed · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Great, another thing to make us even more lazy and careless.

    Exercise and good diets? Nah mate, just pop in one of those new pills and you're sorted.

    1. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by InternationalCow · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, there's no formal proof that watching what you eat will *extend* your life span. Not paying any attention to it MAY shorten it however. Same goes for exercise. No, this pill or whatever form it takes is definitely the way to go. What I do foresee, however, is Westerners becoming some kind of Struldbrug club (see Larry Niven for what the hell that is) with worn out peripheral nervous systems. And your central nervous system, with its pattern of connections being your personality, will not be that easy to maintain. You could end up more demented than Ronald Reagan but still looking like J Lo (or whatever you prefer).

      --
      ----- One learns to itch where one can scratch.
    2. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by Bl33d4merican · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "21th"...maybe we should improve our schools before we improve everything else. What good will it do us to live hundreds of years if we still have children who think "21th" is a word? Perhaps nanotechnology can improve education as well. (No, I don't mean reusable paper, better databases, or e-learning, as suggested by Mulhall...I mean a real improvements in the learning process.) I do, however, recommend Our Molecular Future, the book mentioned in the article. While it is a bit presumptuous, it's a rather fascinating read.

      --

      Every windows user is a sadomasochist.

    3. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by Jerf · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exercise and good diets? Nah mate, just pop in one of those new pills and you're sorted.

      Yes, but who cares? The reason we have to exercise and diet is that we are adapted for non-civilized times. On the evolutionary scale civilization is young, young, young.

      Maintaining our current adaptations, and using technology to correctly and dynamically adjust our bodies to our current situations sounds optimal to me. (We want to maintain our current adaptations as a "just in case" mechanism; we probably shouldn't evolve our "natural" bodies to excessively depend on civilization.)

      There is nothing intrinsically wrong with a lower or higher activity level, any more then it's intrinsically wrong that you can't run 60 mph for an hour. If the health effects of inactivity are erased, that's just fine.

      Don't confuse effect with cause. Exercise is necessary for specific reasons. If the reasons are removed, then exercise is no longer necessary.

      Of course, this ignore something else: If you could give me a pill and give me a toned body right now, the odds are much greater that I'd engage in much more exercise then I do now, even if it weren't strictly necessary. The hump is what stops me; I've tried several times to start an exercise program, but I've got so far to go before it's really fun and not boring that I never make it over that hump. I mean, I feel all bad about it and stuff, but that doesn't help much.

      (Suggestions on how to make it fun aren't necessary, although perhaps they'll help others; I've thought of several but they all involve not living in an apartment.)

      Also, fundamentally, adequate diets will always be necessary; you will always have certain requirements and it'll be a long time before we have elemental transmutation built into our bodies ;-) But if I could stick a more efficient processing plant in you that ran off of sugar and a few trace elements, recycling everything else, would you still be bitching about how bad my diet of pure sugar is? Diet is relative, and if we adjust our bodies to match our diet, so much the better for us!

      You have been brainwashed into assuming that exercise and diet are some sort of Universal Constant, but they aren't. Study animal nutrition for real-life examples that exist today. You want to kill your cat? Try feeding it Vegan-style. I've talked to a vet who has seen this; it's quite sad.

    4. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by Wetware · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There is no reason that the same bots that are searching out and destroying harmful cells cannot also be repairing failing cells that you want to maintain. Your nervous system can be kept fully functioning, skin can look great, no mobility issues, etc. I just wonder what happens when the memory gets full.

    5. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by TheRagingTowel · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You underestimate the other biological and psychological effects of doing sports - like better metabolism, which I don't think a nanopill can improve systematicly, and just the good feeling of doing sports, which in turn have biochemical reasons. You want to feel better without the sports? Well I guess you'll find a pill for this too...

      --
      4Z5TX
    6. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by Jerf · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You miss the point completely. The point is that if a pill could indeed do those things, then who cares? Arguing "well what if the pill can't do those things?", while a potentially interesting and fruitful discussion on its own, does nothing to answer my post, which assumes that a pill can do those things from the get-go.

      When a post has the form "If A, then B", it accomplishes nothing to argue "What if not A?"; this is why a logical implication is considered true automatically if the antecedent is false. If not A, then logically, my post is sound anyhow!

    7. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by m_evanchik · · Score: 2, Informative

      Kim Robinson deals with issue in his "Mars" trilogy. The solution he envisages is sort of like a mental housecleaning, and the description of it working sounds like a psychedlic drug episode.

      I'm more than willing to risk the eventual craziness to live longer.

    8. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by Afty0r · · Score: 3, Insightful
      If you could give me a pill and give me a toned body right now, the odds are much greater that I'd engage in much more exercise then I do now, even if it weren't strictly necessary. The hump is what stops me; I've tried several times to start an exercise program, but I've got so far to go before it's really fun and not boring that I never make it over that hump.

      I'm six foot four (just under 2 metres tall), almost perfect body mass ratio, I have had at least semi regular exercise all my life, a reasonable diet and I have to tell you that there are very few forms of exercise that are "really fun and not boring" - and those that are, you need at least ONE other person to engage in :)

      I hope you don't read this post as condescending as what I'm about to say may sound blunt - but there is NO SUCH THING as a hump - exercise is HARD WORK, and if it doesn't feel like hard work then you're not exercising well.

      Go out, start again - this time when you think you're hitting the hump, remember that it's just the same as it has been for the past few days/weeks/months and you've just got to work through it mentally. DO NOT tell yourself "it gets better on the other side" or some such crap - it's always hard work - the exercise is not the reward, the increased confidence, fitness and feeling of self-worth is the reward, and you will ONLY get that if it FEELS like hard work.

      Get out there are do it - you're capable of it, and it's up to you to prove it.
    9. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by thrillseeker · · Score: 2, Funny
      I just wonder what happens when the memory gets full.

      I forget.

    10. Re:Gotta love the 21th Century by Zerth · · Score: 2, Funny

      > You could end up more demented than Ronald
      > Reagan but still looking like J Lo (or whatever
      > you prefer).

      So, basically, retirement homes will be the whorehouses of the future?

      The distant future: "Dude, that is the chick you're banging? She doesn't even look legal! How old is she?"
      'Actually, like 130, but I try not to think about it.'
      "Ewww.... at least I've got somebody in the same century as me."
      'Yah, but you spend half your check on buying her crap. Mine, I just leave at the old folks home during the day with a sock full of quarters for bingo.'

  4. Social Problems? by ajiva · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Aren't people forgetting the social problems? Its like what the mathmatician said in Jurrasic Park: "They were so busy trying to see if they could, they didn't stop and think if they should" (or something to that effect). So if we have a generation (or two) of people living longer, what happens to Social Security? Or housing? Or land prices? Or the environment? Or heck lots and lots of other very limited resources! Would I take one of these pills if it was offered to me for $1k? Damn straight I would, but there are so many issues that I shudder at the effects this will have ~100 years down the road.

    1. Re:Social Problems? by TykeClone · · Score: 5, Insightful

      You didn't actually think that you'd get to retire by 70, now did you?

      --
      A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
    2. Re:Social Problems? by Pyromage · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What effect? None. All of that's already going hell for just that reason. This magic would just be the nail on the coffin. Hell, it'd probably be better to finish it off anyway so we can start fixing it.

      And then the ethical problems. If you save lives (and don't tell me that curing heart attacks, diabetes, and cancer won't save lives), is it ethical to not do so? Is it better to watch them die, knowing that you could have helped, but didn't just so that you could get your social security check?

      To quote someone much smarter than I: If science is the source of problems, ignorance is not the solution.

    3. Re:Social Problems? by MoogMan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Indeed. Put simply, it'll screw up natural selection... Sure nano technology is good in the short term, but we must ask ourselves if it is beneficial for us in the region of 1000+ years away.

    4. Re:Social Problems? by augmenter · · Score: 5, Insightful

      When will you people learn? Natural selection doesn't have a goal, there is no road it follows. So, you just can't screw it up or change its direction: it doesn't have one.

      --
      There is no good and bad. There is only cause and effect.
    5. Re:Social Problems? by hunterx11 · · Score: 3, Insightful
      We already screw up natural selection with things like education and clothing and toothbrushes and wheelchairs. That is, most of the time our chances of reproducing are not really dependent on our genes. (On a side note, the funny thing about Social Darwinism is that even if Darwinism could be applied to society, the poor would be the most fit since in general there in an inverse relation between a person's wealth and the amount of offspring they produce.)

      This is not to say that natural selection does not still affect humans. Perhaps the most obvious case of this is the prevalence of sickle cell anemia in Africans and people of African descent. Even though sickle cell anemia makes it harder to survive and hence reproduce, being a carrier for it gives on resistance to malaria. Of course, for a group like African-Americans, the odds of getting malaria are much, much less than the odds of being born with sickle cell anemia.

      I suppose I'm rambling a bit, but my point is that not to "screw up" natural selection in humans, you either have to eliminate anything that gives people advantages they weren't born with, or bring bad good ol' eugenics (even in the US there used to be forced sterilizations). Of course, in the future we'll be able to improve our genes, and use that darned adaption called intelligence to improve ourselves through things like nanotechnology.

      --
      English is easier said than done.
    6. Re:Social Problems? by Dimensio · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Moreover, natural selection is simply the process of life forms being less able to survive to reproduce in a given environment. You're not even stopping natural selection, you're just changing the environmental pressures and thus changing the probabilities that certain individuals will be selected out of it. Natural selection still happens, and it's no better or worse for it.

      Such lack of understanding of what natural selection is leads creationist morons to think that evolution theory is "directly responsible" for reprehensible eugenics programs, as the eugensists were just "trying to help evolution along".

    7. Re:Social Problems? by BerntB · · Score: 2, Interesting
      we're already destroying the earth
      In the western world the destruction of nature has slowed dramatically the last few decades. Industrialization brings lots of environmental damage, but it gets smaller with time.

      When and if global overpopulation becomes a problem, we might have to find a solution.

      You are arguing to let (at a minimum) hundreds of millions of people die -- because you believe there might not be a solution.

      I thought of myself as a bit of a misanthrope, but you have me beat by a laaarge factor. :-)

      --
      Karma: Excellent (My Karma? I wish...:-( )
  5. anatomynauts... by beeplet · · Score: 4, Funny

    I tried to read it, but never got past the word "anatomynaughts" in the second paragraph. Are those like a cross between astronauts, anatomy, and... nothing?

    Seriously, if you're going to make up words, at least spell them correctly. :P

  6. Is the magic pill available in a bundle with by Pyromage · · Score: 3, Insightful

    my flying car? Can I get a discount if I get them both together? I'll pay another $500 if you throw in some cold-fusion!

    Wake me when they can demo the stuff.

  7. it's coming by axonal · · Score: 5, Funny

    Borg Technology
    Coming to a stardeck near you.

  8. life in the future by chocolatetrumpet · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Right now I am eating pizza. I don't exercise enough and I am too fat, and at this rate I will die of heart disease by about age 38. I'm also drinking coke.

    So if in the future I could eat anything I wanted, never exercise, and still have perfect nutrition and physique... what will become of the world?

    A bunch of really hot, lazy, horny, well fed people having a good time? Sounds like heaven...

    --
    Spoon not. Fork, or fork not. There is no spoon.
    1. Re:life in the future by Pyromage · · Score: 2, Funny

      Hell, it'll probably just average out ;) By living unhealthily and taking magic pills, I can probably just manage a normal lifespan 8-}

    2. Re:life in the future by Tiro · · Score: 2, Interesting
      If you look at the future of the world-economy, it doesn't look quite so bright as that. Given limited natural resources, another 50-75 years of growth at current rates is unsustainable. The trade deficits in the U.S. can only be sustained for so long before the dollar crashes, and that will happen when the day comes that the U.S. is no longer seen as the safest bet for capital investment. It happened to Amsterdam, it happened to the City of London and it will happen on Wall Street.

      Also consider the melting polar ice caps-->flooding of significant areas of the earth in what, twenty or thirty years? Remember that many economic hubs of the world are on coasts [NY, LA, Houston, Amsterdam, London, Singapore, et al].

      I used to wish I could be born in the future. However now I believe that my generation could be one of the last to enjoy the good life on Earth.. at least until some of these problems get resolved, if they can be. There is simply not enough wealth to go around to make the world a peaceful place forever. Check out the political economy argument in Chaos and Governnance in the Modern World System, written way back in 1998 before the problems for the U.S. economy that are apparent today became so obvious, and certainly before the U.S. experiences Sept 11 or started acting so [overtly] militaristic.

    3. Re:life in the future by edheler · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You have an awfully depressing view of the future.

      Quite possibly the best thing which could happen to humanity would be for someone to invent a device/drug/whatever which would allow every human to live as an in-shape twenty-something until an accident killed them. If that were to happen we would have many incentives to actually fix a large number of our problems. Everyone having a long, healthy life would not allow the luxury of passing the buck to the next generation to solve the problems of our making. We would have to become long term thinkers because of a long life span.

    4. Re:life in the future by kurosawdust · · Score: 3, Insightful
      A bunch of really hot, lazy, horny, well fed people having a good time? Sounds like heaven...

      Really? That doesn't sound to me to be much closer to heaven than we are right now. Read Flow by Csikszentmihalyi, or, if you don't feel like spending money on books or going down to the library, perhaps you might consider the gigantic mountain of evidence you see everywhere around you on a daily basis that tells you that the Good Life has within epsilon of nothing to do with Fine Wine, Money, and Orgasms. Or to put it another way: imagine someone in 1800 saying how wonderful it would be when the time comes around when people don't have to farm their own food, don't have to work 12-14 hour days, and are totally free to realize their own potential. In a society that great and advanced, happiness would be the law of the land and nobody would ever be depressed, right?

  9. Go all the way by physicsphairy · · Score: 2, Informative

    As long as you're going to have little nano robots carry out your body's natural functions, why not go all the way, i.e. brain in a vat?

  10. you love the guessing game by sjwaste · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Don't we all? When a technology barely gets underway, everyone pours out their guesses as to how far it will be in 20 years. Remember Conan doing those "in the year 2000" sketches? I swear back in the 50's people thought we'd have flying cars by now!

    Like any technology, the research dollars will probably go towards those projects with the highest expected returns. I might be a cynic, but rather than curing a disease, I'll bet we'll find a new flood of cosmetic upgrades.

    1. Re:you love the guessing game by physicsphairy · · Score: 3, Informative
      I swear back in the 50's people thought we'd have flying cars by now!

      Well, I guess they were right. . .

    2. Re:you love the guessing game by Black_Logic · · Score: 2, Interesting

      back in the 50's people thought we'd have flying cars by now!

      That sure does come up a lot. The fact is there is one. It's pointed out here all the time, that Moller skycar. The barrier for everyone having a flying car is not the technology, it's the practicality. Air traffic control is already a difficult thing to keep in check. That's with proffesional pilots and proffesional upkeep on the vehicles. The public just isn't clamouring for flying cars. Medicine is a whole other animal. People are dying to get their hands on life lengthening medicine. (Bad pun, sorry. :) )

      --
      Ansi's and stupid tricks!
  11. Double entendres and all that... by Faust7 · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Skin is being sprayed by ink jet printers onto surfaces. Then it grows."

    My inkjet printer already does that.

    Then "it" certainly does grow.

  12. nanoo nanoo by maxbang · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ah, jeez. We just had a post regarding buzzwords and their annyonace/dangers. Here we go again with a round of theorizing based on the latest tech craze to hit the mass media. I can't wait for this to develop into the umpteenth bad science Hollywood blockbuster. I can see the pitch now: "And there's this ship that's made out of nano-titties, and it's the only way to make it into the Earth's core or else the climate will shift from nano-blizzards from nano-stars and cause a nano-age of nano-ice. Now gimme my 100 mill or I'll nano-size your penis."

    --
    I also reply below your current threshold.
  13. Proprietary Nano? by JRSiebz · · Score: 4, Funny

    Let's start a petition now for the software in the 'nano-bots' be open source. I don't need all of the security and stability flaws of M$ with the coding genius of Diebold operating running around in my bloodstream.

    And they'll never catch on at all unless they're low carb :-P haha

  14. Toxitity issue by UrgleHoth · · Score: 4, Informative

    One issue I've not read in the articles posted here is the one concerning the toxicity of nano materials, such as buckyballs.

    Also, right now on wbur is a BBC documentary on nanotech.

    --

    Dogma - "let's just say we'd like to avoid any empirical entanglements."
  15. You're forgetting the essential by vlad_petric · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The older the people, the more conservative they become.

    Reminds me of Asimov's writings, where the first wave of space colonization eventually fails (among other reasons) because people live hundreds of years.

    --

    The Raven

  16. Scary. by Exiler · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How long till we have Johnny Mnemonic-esque super corporations playing profits and dividends with life and death? Not that the current ones are much better, but if they could have control over your 'medicine' after you ate it, imagine the extortion possibilities. Get ready to bend over and take the corporate suppository.

    --
    Banaaaana!
  17. Future spam by Black+Art · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I am expecting the flood of spam for "Natural Nano Bodybuilding Pills".

    Who would have thought that our junkmail filters will need to be programmed to filter out "nano nano".

    --
    "Trademarks are the heraldry of the new feudalism."
  18. $1,000 a year? by rolux · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Around 2025, you'll pay $1,000 a year for a nanopill that will extend your life by suppressing heart attacks, diabetes and other diseases.

    What percentage of the world population will earn $1,000 a year by 2025? (And if that percentage turns out to be surprisingly high because so many of those who don't make $1,000 have died from AIDS by 2025 -- would that weaken or strenghten the argument?) Heart attacks and diabetes seem to be pretty rampant in the North and West, but globally, when you think the "future of medicine", you'd rather think AIDS, and think $1 a month. Call it Nanoprice -- if there has to be something nano to it...

    --
    My next comment will be ready soon, but moderators can beat the rush and mod it up early.
  19. And what about athletics? by ezraekman · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Around 2025, you'll pay $1,000 a year for a nanopill that will extend your life by suppressing heart attacks, diabetes and other diseases. Other scientists say that nanotechnology will be used to build synthetic bone and tissue...

    In other news, a similar pill allowing for massive increases in strength and muscle mass via constant electric stimulation was banned for use in most public sporting events, though several athletes have been caught in a massive sting operation. However, due to newly-released self-destructive nanobots contained in the pill, it has become very difficult to track the use of such mechanisms.

    Seriously, while the potential benefits from such technology will, in my opinion, greatly outweigh the dangers... I can see the potential for some pretty heavy "fairness" implications coming up. We'll see...

  20. Great, like traffic isn't bad enough as it is... by HockeyPuck · · Score: 4, Informative

    According to Robert Malthus... His hypothesised that (unchecked) population growth always exceeds the growth of means of subsistence. Actual (checked) population growth is kept in line with food supply growth by "positive checks" (starvation, disease and the like, elevating the death rate) and "preventive checks" (i.e. postponement of marriage, etc. that keep down the birthrate), both of which are characterized by "misery and vice". Malthus's hypothesis implied that actual population always has a tendency to push above the food supply. Because of this tendency, any attempt to ameliorate the condition of the lower classes by increasing their incomes or improving agricultural productivity would be fruitless, as the extra means of subsistence would be completely absorbed by an induced boost in population. As long as this tendency remains, Malthus argued, the "perfectibility" of society will always be out of reach. Can we really deal with a population that lives to be 150? 200? If the earth's populatoin is just over 6Billion... would we sustain a population of 7-8 Billion? I live in the sanjose area and they are buildings/houses on every hill in the area, of which 5 years ago the hills were still covered in grass. And the higher the population, the quicker we consume resources...

  21. Hairloss by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 2, Interesting
    As I'm sure many others of you with male pattern baldness are wondering, WHEN THE HELL WILL NANOTECH CURE HAIRLOSS?!?!?!

    Seriously, with all of todays modern medicine, the best we can come up with is Minoxidil which speeds regrowth and Propecia which inhibits DHT. And you need to keep paying for these or your hair goes bye bye, not to mention if its Minox dependant, you lose all the hair you regrew with the Minox when you stop.

    I can't wait till serious science deals away with these monthy costs and gives me a one time cure for hairloss. I don't care if it is a couple thousand dollars, because in the long run, that is worth not having to apply topicals/take pills and constantly worry whether or not they're working.

    --
    Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
  22. Are we ready for Immortality? by Moosifer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    All this no disease and living forever stuff is wonderful. Until you start thinking about other issues like the psychological implications of "immortiality" or more importantly, the practical issues of over-population. Maybe it will be metered, being available only to the rich. Or will lobbyists, civil liberties groups and insurance companies make it available to the masses? No amount of water conservation will enable us to sustain global populations of 20 billion people. But even if we figure out how to synthesize resources (shouldn't this come before the immortality quest?) what about space? As it is, I can't afford to buy a house in the Bay Area - what happens when the poplation quadrples because no one gets sick or dies, and the tech-elite remain vibrant and economically viable until they're 150 or older? This really is all great stuff, but we're not prepared for a total end to our current survival principles. We don't seem to be introducing these advancements in a reasonable order.

    1. Re:Are we ready for Immortality? by strook · · Score: 4, Funny
      No amount of water conservation will enable us to sustain global populations of 20 billion people.

      Yeah, and 640k should be enough for anybody....

      --

      "TV is great! Every New Year's I make a resolution to watch more TV." - Ann Coulter

  23. Waiting... by Merovign · · Score: 2, Funny

    Half-life 2 is delayed, Doom 3 is delayed, the new Skyline GT-R is put off 2 years, and now I have to wait 20 years for this cool pill?

    I guess they're all trying to teach us delayed gratification.

    And it will probably cost $1000 is 2004 dollars, or $12342 2025 dollars. Though the first public doses will probably be available only through a Pepsi sweepstakes.

    1. Re:Waiting... by Quattro+Vezina · · Score: 4, Funny

      Half-life 2 is delayed, Doom 3 is delayed, the new Skyline GT-R is put off 2 years, and now I have to wait 20 years for this cool pill?

      Hey, the pill will still be out before Duke Nukem Forever is. As an added bonus, it'll help you live longer, so you may very well be alive when DNF is released thanks to this pill.

      --
      I support the Center for Consumer Freedom
  24. Just need to last til 2025 by doormat · · Score: 2, Funny

    And by then $1000 will be a pittance!

    --
    The Doormat

    If you're not outraged, then you're not paying attention.
  25. Re:Great, like traffic isn't bad enough as it is.. by forkspoon · · Score: 2, Informative

    Do you have an economics degree? Malthus was shown to be wrong about his conjecture that population would be limited by available land mass...accoring to him we shouldn't even have been able to make it to 1 billion...

  26. Re:Great, like traffic isn't bad enough as it is.. by HockeyPuck · · Score: 3, Insightful

    No i don't have a degree, but people now are living into their 80-90s yet social security still kicks in at 65.

    What would happen if the avg person lived to 100-110 yet social security still kicked in at 65? You work for 45 yrs (assuming you start at 20), and then get 35yrs of social security?

    Plus the more people the higher the demand for resources (food, gas, land/housing). Plus people tend to want to live on the fringe of society (suburbs..) rather than in cities so population density within the cities is low however the demand for resources is still high (more gas for the 40mile commute, more instructure spent to run gas/phone/electricity to the houses).

  27. Reminds me of old-time Usenet discussions by Wylfing · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I forget the names of the groups I used to read back in the day (back when tin was a hot new project), but I do recall the very lively life-extension threads (and other such wonderous topics as "What would we do as a society of immortals?"). A common prediction went like this:
    If you can live until 2020, you will be able to live until 2040. And if you can live until 2040, you will be able to live forever.

    --
    Our intelligent designer has never created an animal that we couldn't improve by strapping a bomb to it.
  28. THIS IS BAD! by drayzel · · Score: 3, Funny

    I am an expert on nanotechnology because I read Micheal Chrichtons book 'Prey'. They will swarm and then set us up the bomb!

    Thanks to M.C. I am also an expert on genticaly recreated Disosaurs (Raptors are bad), Time Travel (Old things are bad), Alien Intelignce (Spherical things in the ocean are bad), Japanese business practices (Horny S&M loving Japanese guys are bad), and countless other cutting edge issues... all of which are BAD.

    ~Z

    -LAUGH-

  29. I'm skeptical of the predicted dates... by Eric+Smith · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I'm skeptical of the predicted dates because technological advances are usually either much later than predicted, or else show up completely unexpected. And since nanotech medical is expected...

    Still, I hope they're right. I'm 40 now, and if I start taking better care of myself, I might actually make it to 2025.

    My biggest health problem has been obesity, and I've managed to lose about 65 pounds since September 2003 on a low-carb diet. I've still got at least 50 lbs. to go, or 85 lbs. according to my doctor. He says for my height (6'0") I should weigh 185, but I weighed more than that when I was in high school and was in good condition.

    Anyhow, if I can get down to a reasonable weight, and keep the pounds off, I think I'll have a much better chance of living long enough to take advantage of these nanotech advances.

    1. Re:I'm skeptical of the predicted dates... by finkployd · · Score: 2, Informative

      Remember, those "target weight for a given height" charts assume an "average" body. If you have a small frame and no muscle then they will read high. If you are perfectly healthy and have a muscular physique, you will appear to be "obese" on one of these charts.

      Finkployd

  30. Re:i'm suspicious by Yotsuya · · Score: 2, Informative

    You did read the actual text describing this advance, did you not? He's talking not about personal computers, but about computer technologies.. In this case, the first steps done in opto computing. He didn't mention there was also quantum computing demonstrated.
    Quantum computing has the potential to make all our current speed measuring methods completely obsolete, where optical computing is simply better (faster, potentially not as power hungry, etc...), quantum computing simply behaves in totally new ways, able to find solutions nearly instantaneously whatever the number of potential results.

    --
    Claude Angers
  31. The future is now! by mec · · Score: 3, Interesting

    A bunch of really hot, lazy, horny, well fed people have a good time? Sounds like heaven...

    Compared to the mass of people in, say, the 17th century, we already are all of those things!

    Hot: regular bathing and clean clothes every day
    Lazy: I don't have to work 12 hours a day 6.5 days a week just wresting my food from the earth
    Horny: Not sure about that compared to 300 years ago, but it seems like people have a lot more resources for sex now that their food, clothing, and shelter are much easier to provide
    Well Fed: Pretty obvious
    Having a good time: This is more subtle, I'd say most people in developed countries have lots more opportunity to pursue a good time; whether they actually succeed or not is up to them

  32. Re:Great, like traffic isn't bad enough as it is.. by skasingularity · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Fsck that, people will get bored long before they live that long, and suicide rates will skyrocket. Or people will just stop ordering the pill when they are done with life. Seriously.

    Also, theres a good chance that people will wait a lot longer to have kids if they live to be 200. And, if advances can grow replacement organs and the like, why can't they grow more food to feed the masses? Perhaps nanobots could turn people into plants, so you just soak up some rays and, BAM! There's your meal!

    Ok, so that probably isn't going to happen, but if there are so many huge advances coming our way, *coughVapor-anyone?cough* whose to say we can't come up with ways to take care of the longer living people?

  33. As I have always maintained... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...they will invent immortality the day after I die.

  34. The Big Problem. by MadMacSkillz · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The big problem with anything in the future that makes us twice as smart, fast, strong, good looking, whatever, is that rich people will be able to afford it and poor people won't. If we're not careful, 100 years from now we'll be divided into a society of super humans and, well, the rest of us grunts, who will be delegated to God knows what unsavory tasks. I think our only hope would be... gulp... capitalism. Some bright business suit types saying, "Hey, if we could mass manufacture this cheaply, we could sell it to EVERYONE!" Of course, that still wouldn't solve the problem for extremely poor nations. Will THEY end up being the grunts doing the manual labor for piss poor wages? Oh... that's right... they already are doing that, making us sneakers and whatnot. I'm not crazy about where this is all headed. Sadly, nobody asked me...

    --
    Music - www.richardmac.com
  35. Scary scary consequences... by LiberalApplication · · Score: 2, Interesting
    And your central nervous system, with its pattern of connections being your personality, will not be that easy to maintain. You could end up more demented than Ronald Reagan but still looking like J Lo

    Imagine that, a scenario where people are physically healthy and youthful well into their late one-hundred-eighties. Who can say what psychological state such people would be in? If that state isn't a good one, what would we do with such people? Allow them to continue on indefinitely, youth and health frozen, as their mental degradation progresses?

    We might even have to start euthanizing people, which would then necessitate a standard for determining which people are no longer fit for participation in society...

  36. Let's start with the basics by TangLiSha · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I agree that it is very important to work on creating artificial organs, but wouldn't it make more sense to start with blood? We seem to have a constant shortage of blood, and very few people donate on a regular basis.

    I am O- and give blood components every two weeks, knowing full well that if I should ever have a need for blood there is a good chance that none will be available for me.

    We spend a lot of time and money collecting blood, and I think that an artificial source would end up being cheaper and safer in the long run. You don't have to test it for disease, and it can be custom made for the person that needs it.

    --
    Everyone has an agenda. Except me. --Michael Crichton
  37. What about medical ethics? by WindowLicker916 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Have any of these scientest stopped to think of the impact this kind of technology would have on society and the world on whole? If everyone lived to be 100 just imagine the consequences!! Increased pollution, social security _would_ go bankrupt, unemployment could go up (since peopel would retire later), etc. I think this line of sciene is highly unethical and could have diare consequences for everyone. What do you think?

  38. Outer Limits by mgcsinc · · Score: 2, Funny

    There's an episode of the Outer Limits where they try something similar to this, and the guy ends up growing gills and eyes on the back of his head as a result of the robots trying to make him better.